This application claims priority from U.S. Provisional Application Ser. No. 60/847,750, which was filed on Sep. 28, 2006, entitled “Abnormal Situation Prevention in a Heat Exchanger” the entire contents of which are expressly incorporated by reference herein.
This disclosure relates generally to abnormal situation prevention in process control equipment and, more particularly, to abnormal situation prevention in a heat exchanger.
Process control systems, like those used in chemical, petroleum or other processes, typically include one or more centralized or decentralized process controllers communicatively coupled to at least one host or operator workstation. The process controllers are also typically coupled to one or more process control and instrumentation devices such as, for example, field devices, via analog, digital or combined analog/digital buses. Field devices, which may be valves, valve positioners, switches, transmitters, and sensors (e.g., temperature, pressure, and flow rate sensors), are located within the process plant environment and perform functions within the process such as opening or closing valves, measuring process parameters, increasing or decreasing fluid flow, etc. Smart field devices such as field devices conforming to the well-known FOUNDATION™ Fieldbus (hereinafter “Fieldbus”) protocol or the Highway Addressable Remote Transmitter (HART®) protocol may also perform control calculations, alarming functions, and other control functions commonly implemented within the process controller.
The process controllers, which are typically located within the process plant environment, receive signals indicative of process measurements or process variables made by or associated with the field devices and/or other information pertaining to the field devices, and execute controller applications. The controller applications implement, for example, different control modules that make process control decisions, generate control signals based on the received information, and coordinate with the control modules or blocks being performed in the field devices such as HART® and Fieldbus field devices. The control modules in the process controllers send the control signals over the communication lines or signal paths to the field devices to thereby control the operation of the process.
Information from the field devices and the process controllers is typically made available to one or more other hardware devices such as operator workstations, maintenance workstations, personal computers, handheld devices, data historians, report generators, centralized databases, etc., to enable an operator or a maintenance person to perform desired functions with respect to the process such as, for example, changing settings of the process control routine, modifying the operation of the control modules within the process controllers or the smart field devices, viewing the current state of the process or of particular devices within the process plant, viewing alarms generated by field devices and process controllers, simulating the operation of the process for the purpose of training personnel or testing the process control software, and diagnosing problems or hardware failures within the process plant.
While a typical process plant has many process control and instrumentation devices such as valves, transmitters, sensors, etc. connected to one or more process controllers, there are many other supporting devices that are also necessary for or related to process operation. These additional devices include, for example, power supply equipment, power generation and distribution equipment, rotating equipment such as turbines, motors, etc., which are located at numerous places in a typical plant. While this additional equipment does not necessarily create or use process variables and, in many instances, is not controlled or even coupled to a process controller for the purpose of affecting the process operation, this equipment is nevertheless important to, and ultimately necessary for proper operation of the process.
As is known, problems frequently arise within a process plant environment, especially within a process plant having a large number of field devices and supporting equipment. These problems may be broken or malfunctioning devices, logic elements, such as software routines, residing in improper modes, process control loops being improperly tuned, one or more failures in communications between devices within the process plant, etc. These and other problems, while numerous in nature, generally result in the process operating in an abnormal state (i.e., the process plant being in an abnormal situation) which is usually associated with suboptimal performance of the process plant.
Many diagnostic tools and applications have been developed to detect and determine the cause of problems within a process plant and to assist an operator or a maintenance person to diagnose and correct the problems, once the problems have occurred and have been detected. For example, operator workstations, which are typically connected to the process controllers through communication connections such as a direct or wireless bus, Ethernet, modem, phone line, and the like, have processors and memories that are adapted to run software, such as the DeltaV™ and Ovation® control systems, sold by Emerson Process Management. These control systems have numerous control module and control loop diagnostic tools. Maintenance workstations may be communicatively connected to the process control devices via object lining and embedding (OLE) for process control (OPC) connections, handheld connections, etc. The workstations typically include one or more applications designed to view maintenance alarms and alerts generated by field devices within the process plant, to test devices within the process plant, and to perform maintenance activities on the field devices and other devices within the process plant. Similar diagnostic applications have been developed to diagnose problems within the supporting equipment within the process plant.
Commercial software such as the AMS™ Suite: Intelligent Device Manager from Emerson Process Management enables communication with and stores data pertaining to field devices to ascertain and track the operating state of the field devices. See also U.S. Pat. No. 5,960,214, entitled “Integrated Communication Network for use in a Field Device Management System.” In some instances, the AMS™ Suite: Intelligent Device Manager software may be used to communicate with a field device to change parameters within the field device, to cause the field device to run applications on itself such as, for example, self-calibration routines or self-diagnostic routines, to obtain information about the status or health of the field device, etc. This information may include, for example, status information (e.g., whether an alarm or other similar event has occurred), device configuration information (e.g., the manner in which the field device is currently or may be configured and the type of measuring units used by the field device), device parameters (e.g., the field device range values and other parameters), etc. Of course, this information may be used by a maintenance person to monitor, maintain, and/or diagnose problems with field devices.
Similarly, many process plants include equipment monitoring and diagnostic applications such as, for example, the Machinery Health® application provided by CSI Systems, or any other known applications used to monitor, diagnose, and optimize the operating state of various rotating equipment. Maintenance personnel usually use these applications to maintain and oversee the performance of rotating equipment in the plant, to determine problems with the rotating equipment, and to determine when and if the rotating equipment must be repaired or replaced. Similarly, many process plants include power control and diagnostic applications such as those provided by, for example, the Liebert and ASCO companies, to control and maintain the power generation and distribution equipment. It is also known to run control optimization applications such as, for example, real-time optimizers (RTO+), within a process plant to optimize the control activities of the process plant. Such optimization applications typically use complex algorithms and/or models of the process plant to predict how inputs may be changed to optimize operation of the process plant with respect to some desired optimization variable such as, for example, profit.
These and other diagnostic and optimization applications are typically implemented on a system-wide basis in one or more of the operator or maintenance workstations, and may provide preconfigured displays to the operator or maintenance personnel regarding the operating state of the process plant, or the devices and equipment within the process plant. Typical displays include alarming displays that receive alarms generated by the process controllers or other devices within the process plant, control displays indicating the operating state of the process controllers and other devices within the process plant, maintenance displays indicating the operating state of the devices within the process plant, etc. Likewise, these and other diagnostic applications may enable an operator or a maintenance person to retune a control loop or to reset other control parameters, to run a test on one or more field devices to determine the current status of those field devices, or to calibrate field devices or other equipment.
While these various applications and tools may facilitate identification and correction of problems within a process plant, these diagnostic applications are generally configured to be used only after a problem has already occurred within a process plant and, therefore, after an abnormal situation already exists within the plant. Unfortunately, an abnormal situation may exist for some time before it is detected, identified, and corrected using these tools. Delayed abnormal situation processing may result in the suboptimal performance of the process plant for the period of time during which the problem is detected, identified and corrected. In many cases, a control operator first detects that a problem exists based on alarms, alerts or poor performance of the process plant. The operator will then notify the maintenance personnel of the potential problem. The maintenance personnel may or may not detect an actual problem and may need further prompting before actually running tests or other diagnostic applications, or performing other activities needed to identify the actual problem. Once the problem is identified, the maintenance personnel may need to order parts and schedule a maintenance procedure, all of which may result in a significant period of time between the occurrence of a problem and the correction of that problem. During this delay, the process plant may run in an abnormal situation generally associated with the suboptimal operation of the plant.
Additionally, many process plants can experience an abnormal situation which results in significant costs or damage within the plant in a relatively short amount of time. For example, some abnormal situations can cause significant damage to equipment, the loss of raw materials, or significant unexpected downtime within the process plant if these abnormal situations exist for even a short amount of time. Thus, merely detecting a problem within the plant after the problem has occurred, no matter how quickly the problem is corrected, may still result in significant loss or damage within the process plant. As a result, it is desirable to try to prevent abnormal situations from arising in the first place, instead of simply trying to react to and correct problems within the process plant after an abnormal situation arises.
One technique, disclosed in U.S. patent application Ser. No. 09/972,078, now U.S. Pat. No. 7,085,610, entitled “Root Cause Diagnostics,” (based in part on U.S. patent application Ser. No. 08/623,569, now U.S. Pat. No. 6,017,143), may be used to predict an abnormal situation within a process plant before the abnormal situations actually arises. The entire disclosures of both of these applications are hereby incorporated by reference herein. Generally speaking, this technique places statistical data collection and processing blocks or statistical processing monitoring (SPM) blocks, in each of a number of devices, such as field devices, within a process plant. The statistical data collection and processing blocks collect process variable data and determine certain statistical measures associated with the collected data, such as the mean, median, standard deviation, etc. These statistical measures may then be sent to a user and analyzed to recognize patterns suggesting the future occurrence of a known abnormal situation. Once the system predicts an abnormal situation, steps may be taken to correct the underlying problem and avoid the abnormal situation.
Other techniques have been developed to monitor and detect problems in a process plant. One such technique is referred to as Statistical Process Control (SPC). SPC has been used to monitor variables associated with a process and alert an operator when the quality variable moves from its “statistical” norm. With SPC, a small sample of a variable, such as a key quality variable, is used to generate statistical data for the small sample. The statistical data for the small sample is then compared to statistical data corresponding to a much larger sample of the variable. The variable may be generated by a laboratory or analyzer, or retrieved from a data historian. SPC alarms are generated when the small sample's average or standard deviation deviates from the large samples average or standard deviation, respectively, by some predetermined amount. An intent of SPC is to avoid making process adjustments based on normal statistical variation of the small samples. Charts of the average or standard deviation of the small samples may be displayed to the operator on a console separate from a control console.
Another technique analyzes multiple variables and is referred to as multivariable statistical process control (MSPC). This technique uses algorithms, such as principal component analysis (PCA) and partial least squares (PLS), that analyze historical data to create a statistical model of the process. In particular, samples of variables corresponding to normal operation and samples of variables corresponding to abnormal operation are analyzed to generate a model to determine when an alarm should be generated. Once the model has been defined, variables corresponding to a current process may be provided to the model, which may generate an alarm if the variables indicate an abnormal operation.
A further technique includes detecting an abnormal operation of a process in a process plant with a configurable model of the process. The technique includes multiple regression models corresponding to several discrete operations of the process plant. Regression modeling in a process plant is disclosed in U.S. patent application Ser. No. 11/492,467 entitled “Method and System for Detecting Abnormal Operation in a Process Plant,” the entire disclosure of which is hereby incorporated by reference herein. The regression model determines if the observed process significantly deviates from a normal output of the model. If a significant deviation occurs, the technique alerts an operator or otherwise brings the process back into the normal operating range.
With model-based performance monitoring system techniques, a model is utilized, such as a correlation-based model, a first-principles model, or a regression model that relates process inputs to process outputs. For regression modeling, an association or function is determined between a dependent process variable and one or more independent variables. The model may be calibrated to the actual plant operation by adjusting internal tuning constants or bias terms. The model can be used to predict when the process is moving into an abnormal condition and alert the operator to take action. An alarm may be generated when there is a significant deviation in actual versus predicted behavior or when there is a notable change in a calculated efficiency parameter.
Model-based performance monitoring systems typically cover as small as a single unit operation (e.g. a pump, a compressor, a column, etc.) or a combination of operations that make up a process unit of a process plant (e.g. crude unit, fluid catalytic cracking unit (FCCU), reformer, etc.). One particular piece of process equipment is a heat exchanger. A heat exchanger takes a colder fluid on one side and a hotter fluid on the other side. When the two fluids pass through the heat exchanger, heat is transferred from the hotter fluid to the colder fluid. One common abnormal condition in heat exchangers is fouling. Fouling occurs when residual material from one or both of the fluids builds up on the inside walls of the heat exchanger. When this happens, the performance of the heat exchanger deteriorates such that with the same amount of fluid, not as much heat is transferred. Also, as fouling material builds up, there is less cross-sectional area for the fluid to flow through, and so either not as much fluid will flow, or the driving mechanism (e.g. pump) needs to work harder to force the fluid through. Because a deterioration in the heat exchanger can negatively impact the rest of the plant, it is desirable to detect fouling as early as possible, so that corrective action may be taken.
A system and method to facilitate the monitoring and diagnosis of a process control system and any elements thereof is disclosed with a specific premise of abnormal situation prevention in a heat exchanger. Monitoring and diagnosis of faults in a heat exchanger may include statistical analysis techniques, such as regression and load following. In particular, on-line process data may be collected from an operating heat exchanger. The process data may be representative of a normal operation of the process when it is on-line and operating normally. A statistical analysis may be used to develop a regression model of the process based on the collected data and the regression model may be stored along with the collected process data. Alternatively, or in conjunction, monitoring of the process may be performed which uses a regression model of the process developed using statistical analysis to generate an output based on a parameter of the regression model. The output may include a statistical output based on the results of the model, normalized process variables based on training data, process variable limits or model components, and process variable ratings based on the training data and model components. Each of the outputs may be used to generate visualizations for process monitoring or process diagnostics and may perform alarm diagnostics to detect abnormal situations in the heat exchanger.
Referring now to
Still further, maintenance systems, such as computers executing the AMS™ Suite: Intelligent Device Manager application described above and/or the monitoring, diagnostics and communication applications described below may be connected to the process control systems 12 and 14 or to the individual devices therein to perform maintenance, monitoring, and diagnostics activities. For example, a maintenance computer 18 may be connected to the controller 12B and/or to the devices 15 via any desired communication lines or networks (including wireless or handheld device networks) to communicate with and, in some instances, reconfigure or perform other maintenance activities on the devices 15. Similarly, maintenance applications such as the AMS™ Suite: Intelligent Device Manager application may be installed in and executed by one or more of the user interfaces 14A associated with the distributed process control system 14 to perform maintenance and monitoring functions, including data collection related to the operating status of the devices 16.
The process plant 10 also includes various rotating equipment 20, such as turbines, motors, etc. which are connected to a maintenance computer 22 via some permanent or temporary communication link (such as a bus, a wireless communication system or hand held devices which are connected to the equipment 20 to take readings and are then removed). The maintenance computer 22 may store and execute any number of monitoring and diagnostic applications 23, including commercially available applications, such as those provided by CSI (an Emerson Process Management Company), as well the applications, modules, and tools described below, to diagnose, monitor and optimize the operating state of the rotating equipment 20 and other equipment in the plant. Maintenance personnel usually use the applications 23 to maintain and oversee the performance of equipment 20 in the plant 10, to determine problems with the rotating equipment 20 and to determine when and if the equipment 20 must be repaired or replaced. In some cases, outside consultants or service organizations may temporarily acquire or measure data pertaining to the rotating equipment 20 and use this data to perform analyses for the rotating equipment 20 to detect problems, poor performance, or other issues effecting the rotating equipment 20. In these cases, the computers running the analyses may not be connected to the rest of the system 10 via any communication line or may be connected only temporarily.
Similarly, a power generation and distribution system 24 having power generating and distribution equipment 25 associated with the plant 10 is connected via, for example, a bus, to another computer 26 which runs and oversees the operation of the power generating and distribution equipment 25 within the plant 10. The computer 26 may execute known power control and diagnostics applications 27 such as those provided by, for example, Liebert and ASCO or other companies to control and maintain the power generation and distribution equipment 25. Again, in many cases, outside consultants or service organizations may use service applications that temporarily acquire or measure data pertaining to the equipment 25 and use this data to perform analyses for the equipment 25 to detect problems, poor performance, or other issues effecting the equipment 25. In these cases, the computers (such as the computer 26) running the analyses may not be connected to the rest of the system 10 via any communication line or may be connected only temporarily.
As illustrated in
Generally speaking, the abnormal situation prevention system 35 may communicate with abnormal operation detection systems (not shown in
The portion 50 of the process plant 10 illustrated in
In any event, one or more user interfaces or computers 72 and 74 (which may be any type of personal computer, workstation, etc.) accessible by plant personnel such as configuration engineers, process control operators, maintenance personnel, plant managers, supervisors, etc. are coupled to the process controllers 60 via a communication line or bus 76 which may be implemented using any desired hardwired or wireless communication structure, and using any desired or suitable communication protocol such as, for example, an Ethernet protocol. In addition, a database 78 may be connected to the communication bus 76 to operate as a data historian that collects and stores configuration information as well as on-line process variable data, parameter data, status data, and other data associated with the process controllers 60 and heat exchanger 64 and other field devices within the process plant 10. Thus, the database 78 may operate as a configuration database to store the current configuration, including process configuration modules, as well as control configuration information for the process control system 54 as downloaded to and stored within the process controllers 60 and the devices of the heat exchanger 64 and other field devices. Likewise, the database 78 may store historical abnormal situation prevention data, including statistical data collected by the heat exchanger 64 (or, more particularly, devices of the heat exchanger 64) and other field devices within the process plant 10 statistical data determined from process variables collected by the heat exchanger 64 (or, more particularly, devices of the heat exchanger 64) and other field devices, and other types of data that will be described below.
While the process controllers 60, I/O devices 69 and 70, and the heat exchanger 64, are typically located down within and distributed throughout the sometimes harsh plant environment, the workstations 72 and 74, and the database 78 are usually located in control rooms, maintenance rooms or other less harsh environments easily accessible by operators, maintenance personnel, etc. Although only one heat exchanger 64 is shown, it should be understood that a process plant 10 may have multiple heat exchangers 64 along with various other types of equipment such as that shown in
Generally speaking, the process controllers 60 may store and execute one or more controller applications that implement control strategies using a number of different, independently executed, control modules or blocks. The control modules may each be made up of what are commonly referred to as function blocks, wherein each function block is a part or a subroutine of an overall control routine and operates in conjunction with other function blocks (via communications called links) to implement process control loops within the process plant 10. As is well known, function blocks, which may be objects in an object-oriented programming protocol, typically perform one of an input function, a control function, or an output function. For example, an input function may be associated with a transmitter, a sensor or other process parameter measurement device. A control function may be associated with a control routine that performs PID, fuzzy logic, or another type of control. Also, an output function may control the operation of some device, such as a valve, to perform some physical function within the process plant 10. Of course, hybrid and other types of complex function blocks exist, such as model predictive controllers (MPCs), optimizers, etc. It is to be understood that while the Fieldbus protocol and the DeltaV™ system protocol use control modules and function blocks designed and implemented in an object-oriented programming protocol, the control modules may be designed using any desired control programming scheme including, for example, sequential function blocks, ladder logic, etch, and are not limited to being designed using function blocks or any other particular programming technique.
As illustrated in
The heat exchanger 64 and, in particular, the devices of the heat exchanger 64, may include a memory (not shown) for storing routines such as routines for implementing statistical data collection pertaining to one or more process variables sensed by sensing devices and/or routines for abnormal operation detection, that will be described below. Each of one or more of the heat exchangers 64, and/or some or all of the devices thereof in particular, may also include a processor (not shown) that executes routines such as routines for implementing statistical data collection and/or routines for abnormal operation detection. Statistical data collection and/or abnormal operation detection need not be implemented by software. Rather, one of ordinary skill in the art will recognize that such systems may be implemented by any combination of software, firmware, and/or hardware within one or more field devices and/or other devices.
As shown in
Generally speaking, the block 80 or sub-elements of the block 80, collect data, such a process variable data, from the device in which they are located and/or from other devices. For example, the block 80 may collect the temperature difference variable from devices within the heat exchanger 64, such as a temperature sensor, a temperature transmitter, or other devices, or may determine the temperature difference variable from temperature measurements from the devices. The block 80 may be included with the heat exchanger 64 and may collect data through valves, sensors, transmitters, or any other field device. Additionally, the block 80 or sub-elements of the block may process the variable data and perform an analysis on the data for any number of reasons. For example, the block 80 that is illustrated as being associated with the heat exchanger 64, may have a fouling detection routine 82 that analyzes several process variables of the heat exchanger 64 as further explained below.
The block 80 may include a set of one or more statistical process monitoring (SPM) blocks or units such as blocks SPM1-SPM4 which may collect process variable or other data within the heat exchanger 64 and perform one or more statistical calculations on the collected data to determine, for example, a mean, a median, a standard deviation, a root-mean-square (RMS), a rate of change, a range, a minimum, a maximum, etc. of the collected data and/or to detect events such as drift, bias, noise, spikes, etc., in the collected data. The specific statistical data generated, and the method in which it is generated is not critical. Thus, different types of statistical data can be generated in addition to, or instead of, the specific types described above. Additionally, a variety of techniques, including known techniques, can be used to generate such data. The term statistical process monitoring (SPM) block is used herein to describe functionality that performs statistical process monitoring on at least one process variable or other process parameter, such as the Rtot and/or ΔP variable, and may be performed by any desired software, firmware or hardware within the device or even outside of a device for which data is collected. It will be understood that, because the SPMs are generally located in the devices where the device data is collected, the SPMs can acquire quantitatively more and qualitatively more accurate process variable data. As a result, the SPM blocks are generally capable of determining better statistical calculations with respect to the collected process variable data than a block located outside of the device in which the process variable data is collected.
It is to be understood that although the block 80 is shown to include SPM blocks in
It is to be further understood that although the block 80 is shown to include SPM blocks in
With reference to
In a typical heat exchanger application, the several measurements may be available. Some examples of heat exchanger 64 measurements are Cold Fluid Flow Rate (Fc), Cold Fluid Inlet Temperature (Tc,in), Cold Fluid Outlet Temperature (Tc,out), Cold Fluid Inlet Pressure (Pc,in), Cold Fluid Outlet Pressure (Pc,out), Hot Fluid Flow Rate (Fh), Hot Fluid Inlet Temperature (Th,in), Hot Fluid Outlet Temperature (Th,out), Hot Fluid Inlet Pressure (Ph,in), and Hot Fluid Outlet Pressure (Ph,out). Some heat exchangers 64 may capture only a few of these measures, while others may modify the measurements. One example of a modified measurement may be to only include a single measurement of differential pressure instead of separate inlet and outlet pressures.
Detecting a fouling abnormal situation in a heat exchanger 64 may include some or all of the measurements described above. One method of fouling detection may include monitoring a differential pressure. Differential pressure may be measured by 1) a differential pressure transmitter across the heat exchanger to measure the differential pressure (ΔP) directly, or 2) absolute pressure transmitters to measure the inlet pressure Pin and outlet pressure Pout on the heat exchanger. Thus,
ΔP=Pin−Pout (Equ. 1)
differential pressure (ΔP) is dependent upon the flow rate of the fluid through the heat exchanger. Therefore, an algorithm to detect fouling based on ΔP includes changes in flow rate, as well. Further, ΔP may permit a fouling detection block 80 at both the hot and cold sides of the heat exchanger 64 to measure and detect the Pin and Pout values.
Another method of fouling detection may include monitoring overall thermal resistance (Rtot). The heat transfer rate ({dot over (Q)}) in heat exchanger may be calculated using measurements on either the hot side or the cold side:
{dot over (Q)}={dot over (m)}c·Cc·ΔTc={dot over (m)}h·Ch·ΔTh (Equ. 2)
where {dot over (m)}c and {dot over (m)}h are mass-flow rates of the cold and hot fluids, Cc and Ch are the specific-heat of the cold and hot fluids, ΔTc and ΔTh are the temperature differences of the cold and hot fluids with ΔTc=Tc,out−Tc,in and ΔTh=Th,in−Th,out.
The total heat transfer may also calculated using the Log-Mean-Temperature Difference (LMTD) and properties of the heat exchanger.
{dot over (Q)}=U·A·LMTD (Equ. 3)
where U is the average heat transfer coefficient, A is the heat transfer surface area of the heat exchanger, LMTD is the Log-Mean-Temperature-Difference, defined as:
where, for a parallel, or concurrent flow heat exchanger:
Δt1=th,in−tc,in, Δt2=th,out−tc,out (Equ. 5)
and for a counter-flow heat exchanger:
Δt1=th,in−tc,out, Δt2=th,out−tc,in (Equ. 6)
Although A of Equ. 3 may be obtained from product literature, U may be difficult to determine analytically. However, U and A may be taken together as a single variable, the overall total heat transfer rate. The reciprocal of UA is the total thermal resistance, Rtot.
Combining the two different equations for {dot over (Q)}:
For the hot-side flow rate:
An increase in the total thermal resistance using either Equ. or Equ. 10 may indicate fouling in the heat exchanger.
For a given application, the terms Cc and Ch may be constant. Because a fouling detection algorithm may not actually include the value of thermal resistance, but rather, may only detect when the value changes, Equ. 9 and Equ. 10 may be reduced to:
In order to monitor for fouling based on thermal resistance, the heat exchanger 64 may be monitored for some or all of the following process variables: Flow Rate (Flow) of either hot or cold fluid (Fc or Fh), Inlet Temperature of Hot Fluid (Th,in), Outlet Temperature of Hot Fluid (Th,out), Inlet Temperature of Cold Fluid (Tc,in), and Outlet Temperature of Cold Fluid (Tc,out). An abnormal operation of the heat exchanger 64 may be detected using a variety of methods. In one implementation, abnormal operation of a heat exchanger may be detected using extensible regression. In a further implementation, abnormal operation of a heat exchanger may be detected using a simplified algorithm for abnormal situation prevention in load-following applications.
Overview of an Abnormal Situation Prevention Module in a Heat Exchanger
Under normal operating conditions in a heat exchanger, both Rtot and ΔP may change based upon the load variable (Flow). A regression algorithm, which models either or both of Rtot or ΔP as a function of the flow through the heat exchanger 64 may be used to detect an abnormal situation.
With reference to
The load variables 160, 162 may pass to a corresponding load variable SPM block 172 while the monitored variable values 152, 154, 156, and 158 may be used in conjunction with load variable 160, 162 to calculate the monitored variables Rtot 168, 170, which may then pass to a number of monitored variable SPM blocks 173 along with monitored variable values 164, 166. SPM blocks 172, 173 may be used to calculate statistical signatures of each of the monitored inputs, as well as the flow rates. In one implementation, the means (μ) calculated in the SPM blocks 172 are the inputs (both x and y) to the regression blocks. The statistical signatures may also be any of various kinds of statistical data such as mean data, median data, standard deviation data, rate of change data, range data, etc., calculated from the inputs. Such data could be calculated based on a sliding window of the input or based on non-overlapping windows of the input. As one example, a load variable SPM block 172 may generate mean and standard deviation data over a user-specified sample window size, such as a most recent load variable sample and preceding samples of the load variable or any number of samples or amount of data that may be statistically useful. In this example, a mean load variable value and a standard deviation load variable value may be generated for each new load variable sample received by the load variable SPM block 172. As another example, the load variable SPM blocks 172 may generate mean and standard deviation data using non-overlapping time periods. In this example, a window of five minutes (or some other suitable time period) could be used, and a mean and/or standard deviation load variable value would thus be generated every five minutes. In a similar manner, the monitored variable SPM blocks 173 receive the monitored variables 164, 166, 168, and 170 to generate second statistical data in a manner similar to the load variable SPM blocks 172, such as mean and standard deviation data over a specified sample window. These statistical signatures may also be calculated in either a field device or a host system. In a further embodiment, for the calculation Rtot, the means of the temperatures and flow rates may be calculated in the field device with the previously-described equations applied afterwards. From the SPM blocks 172, 173 the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 passes the values to a plurality of regression blocks 176, 180, 184, 188.
During a learning phase, the regression blocks 176, 180, 184, 188 each model the value of a monitored variable (Rtot and/or ΔP) as a function of the load variable (Flow). During a monitoring phase, the regression blocks 176, 180, 184, 188 calculate a predicted value of the monitored value and compare the monitored variable to the predicted value. In one embodiment, the regression block 176 predicts the value of ΔP, as a function of Fc, the regression block 180 predicts the value of Rtot, c as a function of Fc, the regression block 184 predicts the value of Rtot, h as a function of Fh, and the regression block 188 predicts the value of ΔPh as a function of Fh. For example, during the learning phase, which is described in more detail below, the regression blocks 176, 180, 184, 188 create a regression model to predict data generated from the monitored variables Rtot, ΔP as a function of data generated from the load variables (Fh, Fc, collectively referred to as “Flow”). The data generated from the monitored variables Rtot, ΔP and data generated from the load variables may include monitored data and load variable data, monitored data and load variable data that has been filtered or otherwise processed, statistical data generated from monitored data and load variable data, etc. During the monitoring phase, which is also described in more detail below, the regression model predicts a value for data generated from Rtot and/or ΔP during operation of the heat exchanger 64. The regression blocks 176, 180, 184, 188 output a corresponding status 175, 179, 183, 187 based upon a deviation, if any, between the predicted value of data generated from Rtot and/or ΔP and a monitored value for data generated from Rtot and/or ΔP. For example, if the monitored value of either or both of Rtot and ΔP significantly deviates from their predicted values, the regression block 176, 180, 184, 188 may output a status of “Up”, which may be an indication that fouling conditions are present in the heat exchanger. Otherwise, the regression block 176, 180, 184, 188 may output the status as “Normal.”
The regression blocks 176, 180, 184, 188 include a load variable input, which is an independent variable input (x), from an SPM 172 and a monitored variable input, that is at least one dependent variable input (y), from an SPM 173. As discussed above, the monitored variables 152, 154, 156, 158, 160, and 162 are used to calculate Rtot in the heat exchanger 64. As will be described in more detail below, the regression blocks 176, 180, 184, 188 may be trained using a plurality of data sets to model the monitored variables Rtot or ΔP as a function of the load variable Fc 160 or Fh 162. The regression blocks 176, 180, 184, 188 may use the mean, standard deviation or other statistical measure of the load variable and the monitored variables from the SPMs 172, 173 as the independent and dependent variable inputs (x, y) for regression modeling. For example, the means of the load variable and the monitored variables may be used as (x, y) points in the regression modeling, and the standard deviation may be modeled as a function of the load variable and used to determine the threshold at which an abnormal situation is detected during the monitoring phase. As such, it should be understood that while the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 is described as modeling the differential pressure and/or thermal resistance variables as a function of the load variable, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may model various data generated from the differential pressure and/or thermal resistance variables as a function of various data generated from the load variable based on the independent and dependent inputs provided to the regression model, including, but not limited to, differential pressure and/or thermal resistance data and load variable data, statistical data generated from the differential pressure and/or thermal resistance data and load variable data, and differential pressure and/or thermal resistance data and load variable data that has been filtered or otherwise processed. Further, while the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 is described as predicting values of the differential pressure and/or thermal resistance variables and comparing the predicted values to monitored values of the differential pressure and/or thermal resistance variables, the predicted and monitored values may include various predicted and monitored values generated from the differential pressure and/or thermal resistance variables, such as predicted and monitored differential pressure and/or thermal resistance data, predicted and monitored statistical data generated from the differential pressure and/or thermal resistance data, and predicted and monitored differential pressure and/or thermal resistance data that has been filtered or otherwise processed.
As will also be described in more detail below, the regression blocks 176, 180, 184, 188 may include one or more regression models, with each regression model provided for a different operating region. Each regression model may utilize a function to model the dependent Rtot and/or ΔP values as a function of the independent load variable (Flow) over some range of the load variable. The regression model may comprise a linear regression model, for example, or some other regression model. Generally, a linear regression model comprises some linear combination of functions f(X), g(X), h(X), . . . . For modeling an industrial process, a typically adequate linear regression model may comprise a first order function of X (e.g., Y=m*X+b) or a second order function of X (e.g., Y=a*X2+b*X+c), however, other functions may also be suitable.
In the example shown in
After the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 has been trained, the regression models may be utilized by corresponding deviation detectors 190, 192, 194, 196 to generate at least one predicted value (y) of the dependent Rtot and/or ΔP variables Y based on a given independent load variable (Flow) input (x) during a monitoring phase. The deviation detectors 190, 192, 194, 196 further utilize a monitored Rtot and/or ΔP input (y) and the independent load variable (Flow) input (x) to the regression models. Generally speaking, the deviation detectors 190, 192, 194, 196 calculate the predicted values (y) for a particular load variable value and uses the predicted value as the “normal” or “baseline” Rtot and/or ΔP. Each deviation detector 190, 192, 194, 196 compares the corresponding monitored Rtot and/or ΔP value (y) to predicted Rtot and/or ΔP value (yp), respectively, that are generated by the regression blocks 176, 180, 184, 188 to determine if either or both of the Rtot and ΔP(y) is significantly deviating from the predicted value(s) (yp) (e.g., Δy=y−yp). If the monitored value (y) is significantly deviating from the predicted value (yp), this may indicate that an abnormal situation has occurred, is occurring, or may occur in the near future, and thus the deviation detectors 190, 192, 194, 196 may generate an indicator of the deviation. For example, if the monitored Rtot value (y) is higher than the predicted Rtot value (yp) and the difference exceeds a threshold, an indication of an abnormal situation (e.g., “Up”) may be generated. If not, the status is “Normal”. In some implementations, the indicator of an abnormal situation may comprise an alert or alarm.
In a further embodiment, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may be reduced when fewer than all of the variables described in relation to
In addition to monitoring the heat exchanger 64 for abnormal situations, the deviation detectors may also check to see if the load variable is within the limits seen during the development and training of the model. For example, during the monitoring phase the deviation detectors monitor whether a given value for the load variable is within the operating range of the regression model as determined by the minimum and maximum values of the load variable used during the learning phase of the model. If the load variable value is outside of the limits, the deviation detector may output a status of “Out of Range” or other indication that the load variable is outside of the operating region for the regression model. The regression blocks may either await an input from a user to develop and train a new regression model for the new operating region or automatically develop and train a new regression model for the new operating region, examples of which are provided further below.
One of ordinary skill in the art will recognize that the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 and the regression blocks 176, 180, 184, 188 can be modified in various ways. For example, the SPM blocks 172, 173 could be omitted, and the raw values of the load variable and the monitored variables may be provided directly to the blocks as the (x, y) points used for regression modeling and provided directly to the deviation detectors for monitoring. As another example, other types of processing in addition to or instead of the SPM blocks 172, 173 could be utilized. For example, the process variable data could be filtered, trimmed, etc., prior to the SPM blocks 172, 173 or in place of utilizing the SPM blocks 172, 173.
Additionally, although the regression blocks 176, 180, 184, 188 are illustrated as having a single independent load variable input (x), a single dependent variable (y), and a single predicted value (yp), the blocks could include a regression model that models one or more monitored variables as a function of multiple load variables. For example, the blocks could comprise a multiple linear regression (MLR) model, a principal component regression (PCR) model, a partial least squares (PLS) model, a ridge regression (RR) model, a variable subset selection (VSS) model, a support vector machine (SVM) model, etc.
The Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 could be implemented wholly or partially in a heat exchanger 64 or a device of the heat exchanger 64. As just one example, the SPM blocks 172, 173 could be implemented in a temperature sensor or temperature transmitter of the heat exchanger 64 and the regression blocks 176, 180, 184, 188 and/or the deviation detectors 190, 192, 194, 196 could be implemented in the controller 60 (
The Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may be in communication with the abnormal situation prevention system 35 (
Additionally, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may provide information to the abnormal situation prevention system 35 and/or other systems in the process plant. For example, the deviation indicator generated by the deviation detectors could be provided to the abnormal situation prevention system 35 and/or the alert/alarm application 43 to notify an operator of the abnormal condition. As another example, after the regression blocks have been trained, parameters of the regression blocks could be provided to the abnormal situation prevention system 35 and/or other systems in the process plant so that an operator can examine the regression blocks and/or so that the regression block parameters can be stored in a database. As yet another example, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may provide (x), (y), and/or (yp) values to the abnormal situation prevention system 35 so that an operator can view the values, for instance, when a deviation has been detected.
At a block 284, the trained model generates predicted values (yp) of the dependent Rtot and/or ΔP values using values (x) of the independent load variable, Flow (Fc, h), that it receives. Next, at a block 284, the monitored values (y) of the Rtot and/or ΔP variables are compared to the corresponding predicted values (yp) to determine if the Rtot and/or ΔP is significantly deviating from the predicted values. For example, each corresponding deviation detector 190, 192, 194, 196 generates or receives the output (yp) of the regression blocks and compares it to the respective values (y) of Rtot and/or ΔP. If it is determined that the monitored value of Rtot and/or ΔP has significantly deviated from the predicted value (yp), an indicator of the deviation may be generated at a block 292. In the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150, for example, the deviation detectors may generate the indicator. The indicator may be an alert or alarm, for example, or any other type of signal, flag, message, etc., indicating that a significant deviation has been detected (e.g., status=“Up”).
As will be discussed in more detail below, the block 280 may be repeated after the model has been initially trained and after it has generated predicted values (yp) of the dependent Rtot and/or ΔP variables. For example, the model could be retrained if a set point in the process has been changed or if a value of the independent load variable falls outside of the range xMIN, xMAX.
Overview of the Regression Model
Referring again to
At a block 312, a regression model for the range [xMIN, xMAX] may be generated based on the data sets (x, y) received at the block 304. In an example described further below, after a MONITOR command is issued, or it a maximum number of data sets has been collected, a regression model corresponding to the group 354 of data sets may be generated. Any of a variety of techniques, including known techniques, may be used to generate the regression model, and any of a variety of functions could be used as the model. For example, the model of could comprise a linear equation, a quadratic equation, a higher order equation, etc. The graph 370 of
Utilizing the Model Through Operating Region Changes
It may be that, after the model has been initially trained, the system that it models may move into a different, but normal operating region. For example, a set point may be changed.
At a block 404, a data set (x, y) is received. In the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 of
At the block 412, a predicted value of either or both of Rtot, and/or ΔP (yp) of the dependent monitored variable Y may be generated using the model. In particular, the model generates the predicted Rtot and/or ΔP (yp) values from the total Flow (Fc, h) load variable value (x) received at the block 404. In the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 of
Then, at a block 416, the monitored Rtot and/or ΔP values (y) received at the block 404 may be compared with the predicted Rtot and/or ΔP values (yp). The comparison may be implemented in a variety of ways. For example, a difference or a percentage difference could be generated. Other types of comparisons could be used as well. Referring now to
Referring again to
Referring again to
In general, determining if the monitored Rtot and/or ΔP value (y) significantly deviates from the predicted gain Rtot and/or ΔP value (yp) may be implemented using a variety of techniques, including known techniques. In one implementation, determining if the monitored Rtot and/or ΔP value (y) significantly deviates from the predicted Rtot and/or ΔP value (yp) may include analyzing the present values of (y) and (yp). For example, the monitored Rtot and/or ΔP value (y) could be subtracted from the predicted Rtot and/or ΔP value (yp), or vice versa, and the result may be compared to a threshold to see if it exceeds the threshold. It may optionally comprise also analyzing past values of (y) and (yp). Further, it may comprise comparing (y) or a difference between (y) and (yp) to one or more thresholds. Each of the one or more thresholds may be fixed or may change. For example, a threshold may change depending on the value of the load variable X or some other variable. Different thresholds may be used for different Rtot and/or ΔP values. U.S. patent application Ser. No. 11/492,347, entitled “Methods And Systems For Detecting Deviation Of A Process Variable From Expected Values,” filed on Jul. 25, 2006, and which was incorporated by reference above, describes example systems and methods for detecting whether a process variable significantly deviates from an expected value, and any of these systems and methods may optionally be utilized. One of ordinary skill in the art will recognize many other ways of determining if the monitored Rtot and/or ΔP value (y) significantly deviates from the predicted value (yp). Further, blocks 416 and 420 may be combined.
Some or all of criteria to be used in the comparing (y) to (yp) (block 416) and/or the criteria to be used in determining if (y) significantly deviates from (yp) (block 420) may be configurable by a user via the configuration application 38 (
Referring again to
Referring again to the block 408 of
Referring now to
Then, at a block 432, it may be determined if enough data sets are in the data group to which the data set was added at the block 428 in order to generate a regression model corresponding to the group 374 of data sets. This determination may be implemented using a variety of techniques. For example, the number of data sets in the group may be compared to a minimum number, and if the number of data sets in the group is at least this minimum number, it may be determined that there are enough data sets in order to generate a regression model. The minimum number may be selected using, a variety of techniques, including techniques known to those of ordinary skill in the art. If it is determined that there are enough data sets in order to generate a regression model, the model may be updated at a block 436, as will be described below with reference to
At a block 460, a regression model for the range [x′MIN, x′MAX] may be generated based on the data sets (x, y) in the group. Any of a variety of techniques, including known techniques, may be used to generate the regression model, and any of a variety of functions could be used as the model. For example, the model could comprise a linear equation, a quadratic equation, etc. In
For ease of explanation, the range [xMIN, xMAX] will now be referred to as [xMIN
Referring again to
Similarly, if xMAX
Thus, the model may now be represented as:
if xMAX
As can be seen from equations 12, 15, and 16, the model may comprise a plurality of regression models. In particular, a first regression model (i.e., f1(x)) may be used to model the dependent Rtot and/or ΔP variable Y in a first operating region (i.e., xMIN
Referring again to
The abnormal situation prevention system 35 (
Manual Control of the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module
In the abnormal situation prevention modules described with respect to
An initial state of the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may be an UNTRAINED state 560, for example. The Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may transition from the UNTRAINED state 560 to the LEARNING state 554 when a LEARN command is received. If a MONITOR command is received, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may remain in the UNTRAINED state 560. Optionally, an indication may be displayed on a display device to notify the operator that the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 has not yet been trained.
In an OUT OF RANGE state 562, each received data set may be analyzed to determine if it is in the validity range. If the received data set is not in the validity range, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module may remain in the OUT OF RANGE state 562. If, however, a received data set is within the validity range, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may transition to the MONITORING state 558. Additionally, if a LEARN command is received, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may transition to the LEARNING state 554.
In the LEARNING state 554, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may collect data sets so that a regression model may be generated in one or more operating regions corresponding to the collected data sets. Additionally, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 optionally may check to see if a maximum number of data sets has been received. The maximum number may be governed by storage available to the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150, for example. Thus, if the maximum number of data sets has been received, this may indicate that the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 is, or is in danger of, running low on available memory for storing data sets, for example. In general, if it is determined that the maximum number of data sets has been received, or if a MONITOR command is received, the model of the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may be updated and the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may transition to the MONITORING state 558.
If, on the other hand, the minimum number of data sets has been collected, the flow may proceed to a block 612. At the block 612, the model of the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may be updated as will be described in more detail with reference to
If, at the block 604 it has been determined that a MONITOR command was not received, the flow may proceed to a block 620, at which a new data set may be received. Next, at a block 624, the received data set may be added to an appropriate training group. An appropriate training group may be determined based on the load variable value of the data set, for instance. As an illustrative example, if the load variable value is less than xMIN of the model's validity range, the data set could be added to a first training group. And, if the load variable value is greater than xMAX of the model's validity range, the data set could be added to a second training group.
At a block 628, it may be determined if a maximum number of data sets has been received. If the maximum number has been received, the flow may proceed to the block 612, and the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 will eventually transition to the MONITORING state 558 as described above. On the other hand, if the maximum number has not been received, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 will remain in the LEARNING state 554. One of ordinary skill in the art will recognize that the method 600 can be modified in various ways. As just one example, if it is determined that the maximum number of data sets has been received at the block 628, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 could merely stop adding data sets to a training group. Additionally or alternatively, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 could cause a user to be prompted to give authorization to update the model. In this implementation, the model would not be updated, even if the maximum number of data sets had been obtained, unless a user authorized the update.
At a block 662, it may be determined if this is the initial training of the model. As just one example, it may be determined if the validity range [xMIN, xMAX] is some predetermined range that indicates that the model has not yet been trained. If it is the initial training of the model, the flow may proceed to a block 665, at which the validity range [xMIN, xMAX] will be set to the range determined at the block 654.
If at the block 662 it is determined that this is not the initial training of the model, the flow may proceed to a block 670. At the block 670, it may be determined whether the range [x′MIN, x′MAX] overlaps with the validity range [xMIN, xMAX]. If there is overlap, the flow may proceed to a block 674, at which the ranges of one or more other regression models or interpolation models may be updated in light of the overlap. Optionally, if a range of one of the other regression models or interpolation models is completely within the range [x′MIN, x′MAX], the other regression model or interpolation model may be discarded. This may help to conserve memory resources, for example. At a block 678, the validity range may be updated, if needed. For example, if x′MIN is less than xMIN of the validity range, xMIN of the validity range may be set to the x′MIN.
If at the block 670 it is determined that the range [x′MIN, x′MAX] does not overlap with the validity range [xMIN, xMAX], the flow may proceed to a block 682. At the block 682, an interpolation model may be generated, if needed. At the block 686, the validity range may be updated. The blocks 682 and 686 may be implemented in a manner similar to that described with respect to blocks 464 and 468 of
One of ordinary skill in the art will recognize that the method 650 can be modified in various ways. As just one example, if it is determined that the range [x′MIN, x′MAX] overlaps with the validity range [xMIN, xMAX], one or more of the range [x′MIN, x′MAX] and the operating ranges for the other regression models and interpolation models could be modified so that none of these ranges overlap.
At the block 712, a data set (x, y) may be received as described previously. Then, at a block 716, it may be determined whether the received data set (x, y) is within the validity range [xMIN, xMAX]. If the data set is outside of the validity range [xMIN, xMAX], the flow may proceed to a block 720, at which the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may transition to the OUT OF RANGE state 562. But if it is determined at the block 716 that the data set is within the validity range [xMIN, xMAX], the flow may proceed to blocks 724, 728 and 732. The blocks 724, 728 and 732 may be implemented similarly to the blocks 284, 288 and 292, respectively, as described with reference to
To help further explain state transition diagram 550 of
The graph 350 of
If the operator subsequently causes a LEARN command to be issued, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 will transition again to the LEARNING state 554. The graph 220 of
Then, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may transition back to the MONITORING state 558. The graph 350 of
If the operator again causes a LEARN command to be issued, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 will again transition to the LEARNING state 554, during which a further group of data sets are collected. After an operator has caused a MONITOR command to be issued, or if a maximum number of data sets has been collected, a regression model corresponding to the group of data sets may be generated. Ranges of the other regression models may be updated. For example, the ranges of the regression models corresponding to the curves 354 and 378 may be lengthened or shortened as a result of adding a regression model between the two. Additionally, the interpolation model for the operating region between the regression models corresponding to the curves 354 and 378 are overridden by a new regression model corresponding to a curve between curves 354, 378. Thus, the interpolation model may be deleted from a memory associated with the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150, if desired. After transitioning to the MONITORING state 558, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may operate as described previously.
Heat Exchanger Abnormal Operation Detection Using a Simplified Algorithm for Abnormal Situation Prevention in Load Following Applications
The Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 described above in relation to
An alternative Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 800 having a much shorter training period is shown in
A detailed block diagram of an example of a diagnostics block 804, 808, 812, 816 is shown in
The array 836 may define a function that models the dependent variable y as a function of received values of the independent variable x. The function defined by the array may comprise a plurality of linear segments extending between data points defined by the (x, y) data sets stored in the array 836. For a given value of x, a corresponding value of y may be predicted using the function as follows. If the received value of x equals one of the values xi stored in the array 836, then the predicted value of the dependent variable yp is simply equal to the corresponding value yi stored in the array 836. However, if the value of the independent variable x does not exactly match one of the values xi stored in the array 836, the predicted value of the dependent variable yp may be calculated by performing a linear interpolation between the pair of (x, y) data sets in the array 836 having independent variable x values that are nearest to the received value of the independent variable x, and which are greater than and less than the received value of the independent variable x, respectively. Specifically, if xi≦x≦xi+1, yp may be calculated by performing a linear interpolation between the data points (xi, yi) and (xi+1, yi+1), according to the formula:
Once a predicted value yp has been calculated, the diagnostics block 804 may calculate the difference between the actual value of the dependent variable y of the new (x, y) data set and the predicted value of the dependent variable yp according to the formula Δy=y−yp. The diagnostics block 804 may then determine whether Δy exceeds an established threshold value. If Δy exceeds the threshold value, the diagnostics block may detect an abnormal situation and generate the appropriate status signal status signal 175, 179, 183, 187.
Initially there are no data sets stored in the array 836. A first set of values (xa, ya) is received from the SPM blocks 172, 173. The value xa is compared to the minimum and maximum values of the Fc, h load variable (xmin, xmax) of the data sets stored in the array 836. Since there are initially no data sets stored in the array, no values for xmin and xmax have been established and the value xa cannot fall within the range xmin≦xa≦max. Therefore, the teaming function 828 is implemented and the data set (xa, ya) is added to the array 836. Since there are no other data sets stored in the array 836 at the time that the data set (xa, ya) is added to the array, the dataset (xa, ya) is added to the first position in the array and is accorded the index value “1”. Thus, when the array 836 is plotted on the coordinate system 850, the point (x1, y1) 856 corresponds to the values (xa, ya) of the first data set received from the SPM blocks 172, 173.
A second set of load (Fc, h) and monitored (Rtot and/or ΔP) variable values (xb, yb) is received from the SPM blocks 172, 173. Again the received value of the load variable xb is compared to the load variable values stored in the array 836. Since there is only one data set (xa, ya) stored in the array 836 the received load variable value xb cannot fall within the range between xmin≦xa≦max unless xb is exactly equal to xa. In this example, it is assumed that xb>xa. The learning function 828 is implemented once again and the data set (xb, yb) is added to the end of the array 836. Since the data set (xb, yb) is the second data set stored in the array 836 it is accorded in the index value “2”. When the array 836 is plotted on the coordinate system 850, the point (x2, y2) 858 corresponds to the received load and monitored variable values (xb, yb) received from the SPM blocks 172, 173. At this point, the model of the monitored variable (Rtot and/or ΔP) comprises the line segment 860 extending between and including the data points (x1,y1) 856 and (x2,y2) 858.
In
Next, a fourth data set (xd,yd) is received from the SPM blocks 172, 173. In this case, it is assumed that xb<xd<xc. At this stage, the smallest value of the monitored variable stored in the array 836 is xa and the largest value of the monitored variable stored in the array 836 is xc. In other words xmin=xa and xmax=xc. This time, the received value of the monitored variable xd is within the range xmin<xd<xmax. Therefore, the monitoring function 832 is implemented with regard to the data set (xd, yd) rather than the learning function 828, and the data set (xd, yd) is not added to the array 836.
In implementing the monitoring function 832 with regard to the data set (xd, yd) the algorithm calculates a predicted value of the monitored variable yd based on the existing model and the received value of the load variable xd. As mentioned above, it is assumed that the received value of the load variable xd falls within the range of xb<xd<xc, since xd is between the values xb and xc the predicted value of the monitored variable may be calculated based on the portion of the model 850 represented by the linear segment 864 extending between and including (x2 y2) 858 and (x3, y3) 862 (i.e. (xb, yb) and (xc, yc)). Recalling Equ. 17, the formula for calculating the predicted value of the monitored variable yp is
In alternative embodiments, the function modeling the monitored variable may be generated by methods other than performing a linear interpolation between the points in the array. For example, a spline may be generated for connecting the points in the array with a smooth curve. In a second order, or quadratic spline, a second order polynomial may be defined for connecting each pair of adjacent points. Curves may be selected in which the first derivatives of the curves are equal at the points where the curves meet (i.e. at the points defined in the array).
In a third order or cubic spline, a third order polynomial may be defined for connecting each pair of adjacent points. In this case, adjacent curves having equal first and second derivatives at the points where the curves meet may be selected.
Once the predicted value of the monitored variable has been determined, the difference between the predicted value of the monitored variable yp and the received value of the monitored variable yd is compared to a threshold value. If yd−yp is greater than the threshold value an abnormal situation is detected. If yd−yp is not greater than the threshold, the process is operating within acceptable limits, and the monitoring of the monitored variable continues with the receipt of the next data set. In one example, the threshold value is provided as an absolute value.
Continuing with
In theory there is no limit to the number of points that may be added to the array 836 for creating an extensible model such as the extensible model developed in
Referring to
If a point is removed from an extensible model, such as that shown in
Returning to the extensible model shown in
Turning now to
If the value of x for the new point is not within the range of values that have already been received, the new point is added to the array of points defining an extensible model at 920. If the value of x is less than xmin the new point is added to the front of the array and the index values of the other points already stored in the array are incremented by 1. If the value of x is greater than xmax, then the new point is added at the end of the array. At decision block 922, the number of points stored in the array is evaluated to determine whether the number of points already stored in the array is equal to the maximum number of points that may be stored in the array. If n≠nmax, the abnormal situation prevention system continues at 924. However, if n=nmax, a point is removed from the array at 926. The point removed may be a point (xi, yi) forming a triangle with its neighboring points having the smallest area Ai, as described above. Alternatively, an integral square error algorithm may be employed for identifying a point that, when removed from the array, will result in the least amount of error introduced into the corresponding extensible model.
Returning to decision block 914, if the value of the independent variable x is within the range of variable values already received, the monitoring function 916 proceeds by calculating a predicted value of the dependent variable yp at 928. The predicted value of the dependent variable is calculated based on the received value of the independent variable x and the extensible model embodied in the points stored in the array. Once the predicted value of the dependent variable yp has been calculated, the difference value Δy is calculated by subtracting the predicted value of the dependent variable yp from the actual value of y in the new data point received at 930. The value Δy is then compared to a user defined threshold at 932. If Δy is greater than the threshold, an abnormal situation is detected at 934. If the value of Δy is not greater than the threshold at 932, the status of the monitored process is considered normal and the abnormal situation prevention algorithm continues at 924.
One aspect of the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Modules 150, 800 is the user interface routines which provide a graphical user interface (GUI) that is integrated with the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module described herein to facilitate a user's interaction with the various abnormal situation prevention capabilities provided by the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module. However, before discussing the GUI in greater detail, it should be recognized that the GUI may include one or more software routines that are implemented using any suitable programming languages and techniques. Further, the software routines making up the GUI may be stored and processed within a single processing station or unit, such as, for example, a workstation, a controller, etc. within the plant 10 or, alternatively, the software routines of the GUI may be stored and executed in a distributed manner using a plurality of processing units that are communicatively coupled to each other within the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module.
Preferably, but not necessarily, the GUI may be implemented using a familiar graphical, windows-based structure and appearance, in which a plurality of interlinked graphical views or pages include one or more pull-down menus that enable a user to navigate through the pages in a desired manner to view and/or retrieve a particular type of information. The features and/or capabilities of the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module described above may be represented, accessed, invoked, etc. through one or more corresponding pages, views or displays of the GUI. Furthermore, the various displays making up the GUI may be interlinked in a logical manner to facilitate a user's quick and intuitive navigation through the displays to retrieve a particular type of information or to access and/or invoke a particular capability of the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module.
Generally speaking, the GUI described herein provides intuitive graphical depictions or displays of process control areas, units, loops, devices, etc. Each of these graphical displays may include status information and indications (some or all of which may be generated by the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module described above) that are associated with a particular view being displayed by the GUI. A user may use the indications shown within any view, page or display to quickly assess whether a problem exists within the heat exchanger 64 depicted within that display.
Additionally, the GUI may provide messages to the user in connection with a problem, such as an abnormal situation, that has occurred or which may be about to occur within the heat exchanger 64. These messages may include graphical and/or textual information that describes the problem, suggests possible changes to the system which may be implemented to alleviate a current problem or which may be implemented to avoid a potential problem, describes courses of action that may be pursued to correct or to avoid a problem, etc.
The Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Modules 150, 800 may include one or more operator displays.
With reference to
With reference to
Based on the foregoing, a system and method to facilitate the monitoring and diagnosis of a process control system may be disclosed with a specific premise of abnormal situation prevention in a heat exchanger 64. Monitoring and diagnosis of faults in a heat exchanger may include statistical analysis techniques, such as regression. In particular, on-line process data is collected from an operating heat exchanger. The process data is representative of a normal operation of the process when it is on-line and operating normally. A statistical analysis is used to develop a model of the process based on the collected data. Alternatively, or in conjunction, monitoring of the process may be performed which uses a model of the process developed using statistical analysis to generate an output based on a parameter of the model. The output may include a statistical output based on the results of the model, and normalized process variables based on the training data. Each of the outputs may be used to generate visualizations for process monitoring and diagnostics and perform alarm diagnostics to detect abnormal situations in the process.
With this aspect of the disclosure, a heat exchanger Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150, 800 may be defined and applied for on-line diagnostics, which may be useful in connection with heat exchangers and a variety of process equipment faults or abnormal situations within a process plant 10. The model may be derived using regression modeling. In some cases, the disclosed Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 150 may be used for observing long-term fouling within the heat exchanger. In other cases, the Heat Exchanger Abnormal Situation Prevention Module 800 may be used for observing short-term or instantaneous changes with the heat exchanger. For instance, the disclosed method may be used for on-line, long-term collaborative diagnostics, or relatively short-term diagnostics. Alternatively or additionally, the disclosed method may provide an alternative approach to regression analysis.
The disclosed method may be implemented in connection with a number of control system platforms, including, for instance, as illustrated in
The above-described examples involving abnormal situation prevention in a heat exchanger are disclosed with the understanding that practice of the disclosed systems, methods, and techniques is not limited to such contexts. Rather, the disclosed systems, methods, and techniques are well-suited for use with any diagnostics system, application, routine, technique or procedure, including those having a different organizational structure, component arrangement, or other collection of discrete parts, units, components or items, capable of selection for monitoring data collection, etc. Other diagnostics systems, applications, etc., that specify the process parameters being utilized in the diagnostics may also be developed or otherwise benefit from the systems, methods, and techniques described herein. Such individual specification of the parameters may then be utilized to locate, monitor, and store the process data associated therewith. Furthermore, the disclosed systems, methods, and techniques need not be utilized solely in connection with diagnostic aspects of a process control system, particularly when such aspects have yet to be developed or are in the early stages of development. Rather, the disclosed systems, methods, and techniques are well suited for use with any elements or aspects of a process control system, process plant, or process control network, etc.
The methods, processes, procedures and techniques described herein may be implemented using any combination of hardware, firmware, and software. Thus, systems and techniques described herein may be implemented in a standard multi-purpose processor or using specifically designed hardware or firmware as desired. When implemented in software, the software may be stored in any computer readable memory such as on a magnetic disk, a laser disk, or other storage medium, in a RAM or ROM or flash memory of a computer, processor, I/O device, field device, interface device, etc. Likewise, the software may be delivered to a user or a process control system via any known or desired delivery method including, for example, on a computer readable disk or other transportable computer storage mechanism or via communication media. Communication media typically embodies computer readable instructions, data structures, program modules or other data in a modulated data signal such as a carrier wave or other transport mechanism. The term “modulated data signal” means a signal that has one or more of its characteristics set or changed in such a manner as to encode information in the signal. By way of example, and not limitation, communication media includes wired media such as a wired network or direct-wired connection, and wireless media such as acoustic, radio frequency, infrared and other wireless media. Thus, the software may be delivered to a user or a process control system via a communication channel such as a telephone line, the Internet, etc. (which are viewed as being the same as or interchangeable with providing such software via a transportable storage medium).
Thus, while the present invention has been described with reference to specific examples, which are intended to be illustrative only and not to be limiting of the invention, it will be apparent to those of ordinary skill in the art that changes, additions or deletions may be made to the disclosed embodiments without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention.
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