The present application generally relates to information technology and, more particularly, to process trace prediction.
Increasingly, businesses are relying on process management software applications to help, for example, analyze, optimize, and automate various business processes. Typically, such applications rely on a partially executed process trace for a given case to predict the next activity, but do not account for multimodal data related to the case, thereby limiting their functionality and efficiency.
In one embodiment of the present invention, techniques for complete trace prediction of a process instance using multimodal attributes are provided. An exemplary computer-implemented method includes receiving a request from a user to resolve an issue related to one or more of a product and a service, wherein the request comprises multimodal data corresponding to at least two modalities. The process includes creating a case based on the request, wherein the case comprises a plurality of case attributes. The process also includes generating vector representations for (i) each of the at least two modalities based on the multimodal data and (ii) the case based on the case attributes. Additionally, the process includes providing the vector representations as input to a joint machine learning model to determine a sequence of events for resolving the issue, wherein the joint machine learning model is trained based at least in part on prior requests and sequences of events corresponding to the prior requests. The process may also include outputting said determined sequence of events for resolving the issue to one or more additional users.
Another example embodiment includes a computer-implemented method including obtaining a joint machine learning model for determining a complete trace for processing requests related to one or more of a product and a service, wherein the joint machine learning model is trained based at least in part on historical requests and sequences of events corresponding to the historical requests; receiving a new request related to the one or more of the product and the service, the new request comprising data corresponding to at least two different modalities; obtaining queue information corresponding to a status of at least one other pending request; generating a combined vector representation of the new request, wherein said generating comprises generating and concatenating vector representations of (i) the data corresponding to each of the at least two modalities and (ii) the queue information corresponding to the status of the at least one other pending request; determining a complete trace of events for processing the new request by providing the combined vector representation as input to the joint machine learning model.
Another embodiment of the invention or elements thereof can be implemented in the form of a computer program product tangibly embodying computer readable instructions which, when implemented, cause a computer to carry out a plurality of method steps, as described herein. Furthermore, another embodiment of the invention or elements thereof can be implemented in the form of a system including a memory and at least one processor that is coupled to the memory and configured to perform noted method steps. Yet further, another embodiment of the invention or elements thereof can be implemented in the form of means for carrying out the method steps described herein, or elements thereof; the means can include hardware module(s) or a combination of hardware and software modules, wherein the software modules are stored in a tangible computer-readable storage medium (or multiple such media).
These and other objects, features and advantages of the present invention will become apparent from the following detailed description of illustrative embodiments thereof, which is to be read in connection with the accompanying drawings.
An embodiment described herein includes predicting a complete trace for a process instance (such as a business process, for example) using multi-modal inputs available at the time the process instance is initiated. The multimodal inputs may include, for example, case features, images, comments, queue features, etc. Additionally, at least one of the example embodiments described herein includes learning a joint machine learning model that takes multimodal inputs in vector form. Such a joint machine learning model is trained to maximize the likelihood of an observed historical full event sequence (also referred to herein as a ‘trace’) for a given case vector. Further, one or more example embodiments include predicting an event sequence using the trained joint machine learning model by passing the case and queue state vectors along with image and comment embeddings as input, and iteratively generating a probability distribution over an event dictionary until an end of trace event (EOT) is observed, wherein the event dictionary is conditioned on input and previous event predictions by the model.
In some example embodiments, an image is represented in vector form using convolutional neural network (CNN), and sentences describing the image are encoded using recurrent neural network (RNN). Given an image, when the joint machine learning model is trained, the model sequentially generates a probability distribution over words in a vocabulary until an end of trace event is determined.
Also depicted in
The historical event logs 110 are also provided as input to an event embedding encoder 112. The event embedding encoder 112 encodes events from the historical event logs 110 to create event embeddings (e.g., vector representations of events). For example, the event embedding encoder 112 learns an unsupervised embedding for each event as in Act2Vec, and the unsupervised task is used to predict an event from its context.
The system architecture depicted in
The case vectors are provided as input to the event sequence prediction model 118. The event sequence prediction model 118 learns associations between the cases and complete traces based on the case vectors and the event embeddings. The joint model trainer 114 outputs the trained joint model 120.
The trained joint model 120 is used by the trace generator 130 to predict complete traces of a new case at the time the new case is instantiated. For example,
Referring now to
In
In at least one example embodiment, the joint model is trained using one or more deep learning training algorithms. For example, according to one example embodiment, an objective function may be used as follows:
wherein I corresponds to the input attributes of the case, S is the sequence of events or trace summation of loss over a batch, and wherein the summation of loss across an event sequence of a trace is:
Also, according to at least one example embodiment, the following model equations are used to train the joint model:
h
−1
,c
−1=CNN(I)
∀tϵ0,1, . . . ,N−1:
xt=WeSt
h
t
,c
t
=LSTM(xt,ht−1,ct−1)
P
t+1=f(ht)
wherein, h−1 and c−1 are the initial states for the LSTM. In this example, an image represents the case attribute and a CNN model is used to map the image to the hidden state. We the event embedding that is learned from the historical logs. xt is the embedding of each event, which in this example embodiment is obtained with a linear mapping of the sparse event vector, St. At each step, the LSTM produces a cell state ct and a hidden state ht, which is projected to give the probability distribution of the subsequent step.
A non-limiting example use case scenario for one or more embodiments described herein includes a customer sending a request to resolve an issue related to a product or service. For example, consider a customer who has purchased a refurbished chair in an e-commerce setting from an online retailer. The customer may find some issue with the chair upon receiving it, such as, for example, the paint on one of the chair's legs being worn off during shipment of the chair. According to at least one embodiment, the customer may file a complaint using, for instance, an online form via a graphical user interface to resolve the issue with the chair. The customer may access, for example, a system of the retailer to fill-out the online form, wherein the online form accepts multimodal input from the user (such as an image of the chair, comments describing the complaint, details about the order, etc.). The system may then create a case (or a support ticket) related to the customer's request. According to one or more example embodiments, a complete trace may then be predicted at the time the case is initiated (e.g., upon the customer submitting the form).
Referring also to
Each case in table 300 may be considered a case document (such as new case document 122 in
In the example shown in
In accordance with at least one example embodiment, the determination of the sequence of event considers one or more of: case-specific attributes, process-oriented attributes, importance of a given case and similarities between a given case and other cases. Case-specific attributes may include, for example, the amount of an item, vendor name of the item, category type of the item, etc. Process-oriented attributes may include, for example, sequence of actions taken on the issue, comments corresponding to specific actions taken, etc. The importance of a given case may relate to whether the customer is, for example, a frequent or a high-value customer when the current issue is raised. Similarities between a given case and other cases may correspond to a number of issues raised in the other cases that are similar to an issue of the given case within a certain time frame (e.g., within a day, month, etc.), and a number of actions (e.g., process steps) taken on all such issues.
According to at least one example embodiment, case-specific attributes and process-oriented attributes may affect the sequence of events (such as, for example, an order of the events in the sequence). An example of such might include prioritizing a given case to avoid any penalties when an invoice amount for that case is higher than a given threshold. Another example might include performing additional steps before clearing an invoice having missing information.
The multimodal data of process 500 may include at least two of: text data; image data; audio data; and video data. The generating of step 506 may include generating at least one vector representation for (i) the queue state information and (ii) the data corresponding to each of the at least two modalities. The queue state information may include at least one of: a number of pending cases; a queue throughput; a number of resources; and a number of cases which have been delayed. The case attributes may include an invoice amount; an invoice date; an identifier associated with the user; an identifier associated with the one or more of product and service; and/or payment terms. According to at least one embodiment, the process 500 includes estimating a processing time for resolving the issue based on said sequence of events. The sequence of events may include one or more of: arranging a third-party to remedy the issue; initiating a return of the one or more of the product and service; and reimbursing, at least in part, the user for one or more of the service and product. The process 500 may include automatically causing performance of one or more of the outputted sequence of events. The joint machine-learning model may include two or more of: a convolutional neural network; a recurrent neural network; and a long short-term memory (LSTM) network.
An example of an embodiment comprises a method including obtaining a joint machine learning model for determining a complete trace for processing requests related to one or more of a product and a service, wherein the joint machine learning model is trained based at least in part on historical requests and sequences of events corresponding to the historical requests; receiving a new request related to the one or more of the product and the service, the new request comprising data corresponding to at least two different modalities; obtaining queue information corresponding to a status of at least one other pending request; generating a combined vector representation of the new request, wherein said generating comprises generating and concatenating vector representations of (i) the data corresponding to each of the at least two modalities and (ii) the queue information corresponding to the status of the at least one other pending request; determining a complete trace of events for processing the new request by providing the combined vector representation as input to the joint machine learning model.
The techniques depicted in
Additionally, the techniques depicted in
An embodiment of the invention or elements thereof can be implemented in the form of an apparatus including a memory and at least one processor that is coupled to the memory and configured to perform exemplary method steps.
Additionally, an embodiment of the present invention can make use of software running on a computer or workstation. With reference to
Accordingly, computer software including instructions or code for performing the methodologies of the invention, as described herein, may be stored in associated memory devices (for example, ROM, fixed or removable memory) and, when ready to be utilized, loaded in part or in whole (for example, into RAM) and implemented by a CPU. Such software could include, but is not limited to, firmware, resident software, microcode, and the like.
A data processing system suitable for storing and/or executing program code will include at least one processor 602 coupled directly or indirectly to memory elements 604 through a system bus 610. The memory elements can include local memory employed during actual implementation of the program code, bulk storage, and cache memories which provide temporary storage of at least some program code in order to reduce the number of times code must be retrieved from bulk storage during implementation.
Input/output or I/O devices (including, but not limited to, keyboards 608, displays 606, pointing devices, and the like) can be coupled to the system either directly (such as via bus 610) or through intervening I/O controllers (omitted for clarity).
Network adapters such as network interface 614 may also be coupled to the system to enable the data processing system to become coupled to other data processing systems or remote printers or storage devices through intervening private or public networks. Modems, cable modems and Ethernet cards are just a few of the currently available types of network adapters.
As used herein, including the claims, a “server” includes a physical data processing system (for example, system 612 as shown in
The present invention may be a system, a method, and/or a computer program product at any possible technical detail level of integration. The computer program product may include a computer readable storage medium (or media) having computer readable program instructions thereon for causing a processor to carry out embodiments of the present invention.
The computer readable storage medium can be a tangible device that can retain and store instructions for use by an instruction execution device. The computer readable storage medium may be, for example, but is not limited to, an electronic storage device, a magnetic storage device, an optical storage device, an electromagnetic storage device, a semiconductor storage device, or any suitable combination of the foregoing. A non-exhaustive list of more specific examples of the computer readable storage medium includes the following: a portable computer diskette, a hard disk, a random access memory (RAM), a read-only memory (ROM), an erasable programmable read-only memory (EPROM or Flash memory), a static random access memory (SRAM), a portable compact disc read-only memory (CD-ROM), a digital versatile disk (DVD), a memory stick, a floppy disk, a mechanically encoded device such as punch-cards or raised structures in a groove having instructions recorded thereon, and any suitable combination of the foregoing. A computer readable storage medium, as used herein, is not to be construed as being transitory signals per se, such as radio waves or other freely propagating electromagnetic waves, electromagnetic waves propagating through a waveguide or other transmission media (e.g., light pulses passing through a fiber-optic cable), or electrical signals transmitted through a wire.
Computer readable program instructions described herein can be downloaded to respective computing/processing devices from a computer readable storage medium or to an external computer or external storage device via a network, for example, the Internet, a local area network, a wide area network and/or a wireless network. The network may comprise copper transmission cables, optical transmission fibers, wireless transmission, routers, firewalls, switches, gateway computers and/or edge servers. A network adapter card or network interface in each computing/processing device receives computer readable program instructions from the network and forwards the computer readable program instructions for storage in a computer readable storage medium within the respective computing/processing device.
Computer readable program instructions for carrying out operations of the present invention may be assembler instructions, instruction-set-architecture (ISA) instructions, machine instructions, machine dependent instructions, microcode, firmware instructions, state-setting data, configuration data for integrated circuitry, or either source code or object code written in any combination of one or more programming languages, including an object oriented programming language such as Smalltalk, C++, or the like, and procedural programming languages, such as the “C” programming language or similar programming languages. The computer readable program instructions may execute entirely on the user's computer, partly on the user's computer, as a stand-alone software package, partly on the user's computer and partly on a remote computer or entirely on the remote computer or server. In the latter scenario, the remote computer may be connected to the user's computer through any type of network, including a local area network (LAN) or a wide area network (WAN), or the connection may be made to an external computer (for example, through the Internet using an Internet Service Provider). In some embodiments, electronic circuitry including, for example, programmable logic circuitry, field-programmable gate arrays (FPGA), or programmable logic arrays (PLA) may execute the computer readable program instructions by utilizing state information of the computer readable program instructions to personalize the electronic circuitry, in order to perform embodiments of the present invention.
Embodiments of the present invention are described herein with reference to flowchart illustrations and/or block diagrams of methods, apparatus (systems), and computer program products according to embodiments of the invention. It will be understood that each block of the flowchart illustrations and/or block diagrams, and combinations of blocks in the flowchart illustrations and/or block diagrams, can be implemented by computer readable program instructions.
These computer readable program instructions may be provided to a processor of a general purpose computer, special purpose computer, or other programmable data processing apparatus to produce a machine, such that the instructions, which execute via the processor of the computer or other programmable data processing apparatus, create means for implementing the functions/acts specified in the flowchart and/or block diagram block or blocks. These computer readable program instructions may also be stored in a computer readable storage medium that can direct a computer, a programmable data processing apparatus, and/or other devices to function in a particular manner, such that the computer readable storage medium having instructions stored therein comprises an article of manufacture including instructions which implement aspects of the function/act specified in the flowchart and/or block diagram block or blocks.
The computer readable program instructions may also be loaded onto a computer, other programmable data processing apparatus, or other device to cause a series of operational steps to be performed on the computer, other programmable apparatus or other device to produce a computer implemented process, such that the instructions which execute on the computer, other programmable apparatus, or other device implement the functions/acts specified in the flowchart and/or block diagram block or blocks.
The flowchart and block diagrams in the Figures illustrate the architecture, functionality, and operation of possible implementations of systems, methods, and computer program products according to various embodiments of the present invention. In this regard, each block in the flowchart or block diagrams may represent a module, segment, or portion of instructions, which comprises one or more executable instructions for implementing the specified logical function(s). In some alternative implementations, the functions noted in the blocks may occur out of the order noted in the Figures. For example, two blocks shown in succession may, in fact, be executed substantially concurrently, or the blocks may sometimes be executed in the reverse order, depending upon the functionality involved. It will also be noted that each block of the block diagrams and/or flowchart illustration, and combinations of blocks in the block diagrams and/or flowchart illustration, can be implemented by special purpose hardware-based systems that perform the specified functions or acts or carry out combinations of special purpose hardware and computer instructions.
It should be noted that any of the methods described herein can include an additional step of providing a system comprising distinct software modules embodied on a computer readable storage medium; the modules can include, for example, any or all of the components detailed herein. The method steps can then be carried out using the distinct software modules and/or sub-modules of the system, as described above, executing on a hardware processor 602. Further, a computer program product can include a computer-readable storage medium with code adapted to be implemented to carry out at least one method step described herein, including the provision of the system with the distinct software modules.
In any case, it should be understood that the components illustrated herein may be implemented in various forms of hardware, software, or combinations thereof, for example, application specific integrated circuit(s) (ASICS), functional circuitry, an appropriately programmed digital computer with associated memory, and the like. Given the teachings of the invention provided herein, one of ordinary skill in the related art will be able to contemplate other implementations of the components of the invention.
Additionally, it is understood in advance that although this disclosure includes a detailed description on cloud computing, implementation of the teachings recited herein are not limited to a cloud computing environment. Rather, embodiments of the present invention are capable of being implemented in conjunction with any other type of computing environment now known or later developed.
Cloud computing is a model of service delivery for enabling convenient, on-demand network access to a shared pool of configurable computing resources (for example, networks, network bandwidth, servers, processing, memory, storage, applications, virtual machines, and services) that can be rapidly provisioned and released with minimal management effort or interaction with a provider of the service. This cloud model may include at least five characteristics, at least three service models, and at least four deployment models.
Characteristics are as follows:
On-demand self-service: a cloud consumer can unilaterally provision computing capabilities, such as server time and network storage, as needed automatically without requiring human interaction with the service's provider.
Broad network access: capabilities are available over a network and accessed through standard mechanisms that promote use by heterogeneous thin or thick client platforms (e.g., mobile phones, laptops, and PDAs).
Resource pooling: the provider's computing resources are pooled to serve multiple consumers using a multi-tenant model, with different physical and virtual resources dynamically assigned and reassigned according to demand. There is a sense of location independence in that the consumer generally has no control or knowledge over the exact location of the provided resources but may be able to specify location at a higher level of abstraction (for example, country, state, or datacenter).
Rapid elasticity: capabilities can be rapidly and elastically provisioned, in some cases automatically, to quickly scale out and rapidly released to quickly scale in. To the consumer, the capabilities available for provisioning often appear to be unlimited and can be purchased in any quantity at any time.
Measured service: cloud systems automatically control and optimize resource use by leveraging a metering capability at some level of abstraction appropriate to the type of service (for example, storage, processing, bandwidth, and active user accounts). Resource usage can be monitored, controlled, and reported providing transparency for both the provider and consumer of the utilized service.
Service Models are as follows:
Software as a Service (SaaS): the capability provided to the consumer is to use the provider's applications running on a cloud infrastructure. The applications are accessible from various client devices through a thin client interface such as a web browser (for example, web-based e-mail). The consumer does not manage or control the underlying cloud infrastructure including network, servers, operating systems, storage, or even individual application capabilities, with the possible exception of limited user-specific application configuration settings.
Platform as a Service (PaaS): the capability provided to the consumer is to deploy onto the cloud infrastructure consumer-created or acquired applications created using programming languages and tools supported by the provider. The consumer does not manage or control the underlying cloud infrastructure including networks, servers, operating systems, or storage, but has control over the deployed applications and possibly application hosting environment configurations.
Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS): the capability provided to the consumer is to provision processing, storage, networks, and other fundamental computing resources where the consumer is able to deploy and run arbitrary software, which can include operating systems and applications. The consumer does not manage or control the underlying cloud infrastructure but has control over operating systems, storage, deployed applications, and possibly limited control of select networking components (for example, host firewalls).
Deployment Models are as follows:
Private cloud: the cloud infrastructure is operated solely for an organization. It may be managed by the organization or a third party and may exist on-premises or off-premises.
Community cloud: the cloud infrastructure is shared by several organizations and supports a specific community that has shared concerns (for example, mission, security requirements, policy, and compliance considerations). It may be managed by the organizations or a third party and may exist on-premises or off-premises.
Public cloud: the cloud infrastructure is made available to the general public or a large industry group and is owned by an organization selling cloud services.
Hybrid cloud: the cloud infrastructure is a composition of two or more clouds (private, community, or public) that remain unique entities but are bound together by standardized or proprietary technology that enables data and application portability (for example, cloud bursting for load-balancing between clouds).
A cloud computing environment is service oriented with a focus on statelessness, low coupling, modularity, and semantic interoperability. At the heart of cloud computing is an infrastructure comprising a network of interconnected nodes.
Referring now to
Referring now to
Hardware and software layer 60 includes hardware and software components. Examples of hardware components include: mainframes 61; RISC (Reduced Instruction Set Computer) architecture based servers 62; servers 63; blade servers 64; storage devices 65; and networks and networking components 66. In some embodiments, software components include network application server software 67 and database software 68.
Virtualization layer 70 provides an abstraction layer from which the following examples of virtual entities may be provided: virtual servers 71; virtual storage 72; virtual networks 73, including virtual private networks; virtual applications and operating systems 74; and virtual clients 75. In one example, management layer 80 may provide the functions described below. Resource provisioning 81 provides dynamic procurement of computing resources and other resources that are utilized to perform tasks within the cloud computing environment. Metering and Pricing 82 provide cost tracking as resources are utilized within the cloud computing environment, and billing or invoicing for consumption of these resources.
In one example, these resources may include application software licenses. Security provides identity verification for cloud consumers and tasks, as well as protection for data and other resources. User portal 83 provides access to the cloud computing environment for consumers and system administrators. Service level management 84 provides cloud computing resource allocation and management such that required service levels are met. Service Level Agreement (SLA) planning and fulfillment 85 provide pre-arrangement for, and procurement of, cloud computing resources for which a future requirement is anticipated in accordance with an SLA.
Workloads layer 90 provides examples of functionality for which the cloud computing environment may be utilized. Examples of workloads and functions which may be provided from this layer include: mapping and navigation 91; software development and lifecycle management 92; virtual classroom education delivery 93; data analytics processing 94; transaction processing 95; and complete trace prediction using multimodal attributes 96, in accordance with the one or more embodiments of the present invention.
The terminology used herein is for the purpose of describing particular embodiments only and is not intended to be limiting of the invention. As used herein, the singular forms “a,” “an” and “the” are intended to include the plural forms as well, unless the context clearly indicates otherwise. It will be further understood that the terms “comprises” and/or “comprising,” when used in this specification, specify the presence of stated features, steps, operations, elements, and/or components, but do not preclude the presence or addition of another feature, step, operation, element, component, and/or group thereof.
At least one embodiment of the present invention may provide a beneficial effect such as, for example, generating a complete process trace based on multimodal input at the time a case is initiated. Also, at least one embodiment of the present invention may provide a beneficial effect such as, for example, allowing users increased flexibility when providing information about an issue with particular product or service, and utilizing such information to determine a sequence of process events to be taken to remedy the issue.
The descriptions of the various embodiments of the present invention have been presented for purposes of illustration, but are not intended to be exhaustive or limited to the embodiments disclosed. Many modifications and variations will be apparent to those of ordinary skill in the art without departing from the scope and spirit of the described embodiments. The terminology used herein was chosen to best explain the principles of the embodiments, the practical application or technical improvement over technologies found in the marketplace, or to enable others of ordinary skill in the art to understand the embodiments disclosed herein.