The present invention relates to a currency pair trading support apparatus, method and program of the same.
Financial trading, such as exchange trading (FX), is performed via networks, such as the Internet, by development of a computer communication technology in recent years.
In such a financial trading, the trading is performed by communicating between two or more broker servers and order terminals.
The trading is performed using a currency pair which is combination of different currencies in case of exchange trading. Therefore it is difficult to judge the strong currency and weak currency in unit of a currency.
The purpose of the present invention is to provide a currency pair trading support apparatus, method and program of the same capable of performing suitable automatic trading based on an index data indicating currency strength which is elements of the currency pair when trading a plurality of currency pairs.
A first invention is currency pair trading support apparatus, comprising: a memory storing an index data calculated for each time of a predetermined time interval by calculating a change data indicating change within the predetermined time interval of a rate data about a plurality of currency pairs respectively on the basis of the rate data indicating a trading rate of the currency pair in time sequence and accumulating the change data of the currency pairs which target currency is a buying currency or a selling currency in the currency pairs about each currency which is element of the currency pairs; a reader reading the index data from the memory on the basis of the time data; a trend judger judging whether each currency in each time is up-trend or down-trend based on the index data; a near zero judger judging whether the index data has value of a predetermined range near zero; a condition judger judging whether a condition that the index data of both of the sell currency and the buy currency indicate value of a predetermined range near zero, the sell currency is down-trend and the buy currency is up-trend is satisfied or not, and writing an information indicating the currency pair to the memory when the condition is satisfied; and an output interface outputting an information indicating the currency pair written to the memory as a trading candidate.
A second invention is a currency pair trading support apparatus, comprising: a memory storing an index data calculated for each time of a predetermined time interval by calculating a change data indicating change within the predetermined time interval of a rate data about a plurality of currency pairs respectively on the basis of the rate data indicating a trading rate of the currency pair in time sequence and accumulating the change data of the currency pairs which target currency is a buying currency or a selling currency in the currency pairs about each currency which is element of the currency pairs; a reader reading the index data from the memory on the basis of the time data; a trend judger judging whether each currency in each time is up-trend or down-trend based on the index data; a near zero judger judging whether the index data has value of a predetermined range near zero; a condition judger judging whether a condition that the index data of both of the sell currency and the buy currency indicate value of a predetermined range near zero, the sell currency is up-rend and the buy currency is down-trend is satisfied or not, and writing an information indicating the currency pair to the memory when the condition is satisfied; and an output interface outputting an information indicating the currency pair written to the memory as a trading candidate.
A third invention is a currency pair trading support method, comprising: reading an index data calculated for each time of a predetermined time interval by calculating a change data indicating change within the predetermined time interval of a rate data about a plurality of currency pairs respectively on the basis of the rate data indicating a trading rate of the currency pair in time sequence and accumulating the change data of the currency pairs which target currency is a buying currency or a selling currency in the currency pairs about each currency which is element of the currency pairs, from a memory based on time data; judging whether each currency in each time is up-trend or down-trend based on the index data; judging whether the index data has value of a predetermined range near zero; judging whether a condition that the index data of both of the sell currency and the buy currency indicate value of a predetermined range near zero, the sell currency is down-trend and the buy currency is up-trend is satisfied or not, and writing an information indicating the currency pair to the memory when the condition is satisfied; and outputting an information indicating the currency pair written to the memory as a trading candidate.
A fourth invention is a computer program having computer instructions on a computer readable medium, the instructions being adapted to enable a computer system to perform operation, comprising: reading an index data calculated for each time of a predetermined time interval by calculating a change data indicating change within the predetermined time interval of a rate data about a plurality of currency pairs respectively on the basis of the rate data indicating a trading rate of the currency pair in time sequence and accumulating the change data of the currency pairs which target currency is a buying currency or a selling currency in the currency pairs about each currency which is element of the currency pairs, from a memory based on time data; judging whether each currency in each time is up-trend or down-trend based on the index data; judging whether the index data has value of a predetermined range near zero; judging whether a condition that the index data of both of the sell currency and the buy currency indicate value of a predetermined range near zero, the sell currency is down-trend and the buy currency is up-trend is satisfied or not, and writing an information indicating the currency pair to the memory when the condition is satisfied; and outputting an information indicating the currency pair written to the memory as a trading candidate.
Below a FX processing system relating to the embodiment of the present invention will be explained.
As shown in
Below a relationship between components of the present invention and components of the present embodiment will be explained.
A rate data RD(Cn/Cm) is an example of the rate data of the present invention. an index data ISIndex(Cn) of the present embodiment is an example of the index data of the present invention.
Currency Cn of a currency pair Cn/Cm is an example of a buying currency, currency Cm is a example of the selling currency.
The RD generation server 10 is constituted by a plurality of FX trading server which manages trading of currency pair. Each FX trading server manages the trading of currency pairs which are under jurisdiction of itself.
Each FX trading server generates rate data indicating the rate of the currency pair which is under jurisdiction of itself in time sequence.
The rate data generated by each FX trading server is opened to the public.
In the present embodiment, 28 FX trading server which generates rate data RD(Cn/Cm) respectively are used.
Each FX trading server determines a rate data of currency pair based on selling and buying information (which is provided by the FX dealer server 12) from investors about currency pair which is under jurisdiction of itself.
For example, the FX trading server of the currency pair “USD/JPY” generates the rate data RD(USD/JPY) shown in
The rate data RD(Cn/Cm) indicates the rate of a predetermined time interval. The rate data RD(Cn/Cm) is defined for each of a plurality of charts, for example monthly chart, weekly chart, daily chart and minute chart.
In the present embodiment, the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) of the currency pair Cn/Cm at the time tc is shown as “RD (Cn/Cm)(tc)”.
Here “n” and “m” is defined as shown in
In this case, the 28 FX trading servers which constitutes the RD generation server 10 generate rate data RD(Cn/Cm) shown in
The FX dealer server 12 transmits an order based on the order of selling or buying which specifies the currency pair from the private investor terminal 14 and the FX automatic trading server 18.
The order indicates prices (bit/offer) of the trading.
As shown in
Here, the [21], the operating portion 23, the display 25, the memory 27 and the processing circuit 31 are connected via an internal bus 20.
The interface 26 performs transmission and reception of data and request with the FX dealer server 12 and the FX index calculation server 16 via network 9.
The operating portion 23 is a keyboard, a mouse, etc. for an individual investor to operate it.
The display 25 displays the screen according to the display signal from the processing circuit 31.
The memory 27 memorizes the program and data which are used for processing of the processing circuit 31.
The working memory 29 memorizes a middle data in the middle of the processing in the processing circuit 31 etc.
The processing circuit 31 executes the program read from the memory 27.
The processing circuit 31 generalizes and controls processing of the private investor terminal 14. Moreover, the processing circuit 31 memorizes suitably the data in the middle of the processing to the memory 27.
In the present embodiment, the private investor terminal 14 transmits an automatic trading request to the FX automatic trading server 18, and the FX automatic trading server 18 performs automatic trading mentions later based on the request. Moreover, the private investor terminal 14 may perform trading of the currency pair.
As shown in
Here, the processing circuit 31, the operating portion 33, the display 35, the memory 37 and the processing circuit 41 are connected via an internal bus 30.
The interface 36 performs transmission and reception of data and request with the RD generation server 10 and the private investor terminal 14 via network 9.
The operating portion 33 is a keyboard, a mouse, etc. for a manager of the FX index calculation server 16 to operate it.
The display 35 displays the screen according to the display signal from the processing circuit 41.
The memory 37 memorizes the program and data which are used for processing of the processing circuit 41.
The processing circuit 41 generalizes and controls processing of the FX index calculation server 16.
The data used in the processing circuit 41 and the computed data are temporarily memorized by the memory means of the working memory 39 or the memory 37. Although operation of reading and writing among the processing circuit 41, working memory 39 and memory 37 is not specified in the present embodiment, it is carried out for every processing of the processing circuit 41.
The FX index calculation server 16 calculates the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) indicating its strength about each of USD, JPY, GBP, EUR, CHF, AUD, NZD, CAD, based on the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) of 28 currency pair inputted from the RD generation server 10.
Below, the operation of the FX index calculation server 16 will be explained. The processing circuit 41 inputs the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) shown in
[Equation 1]
delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc)=RD(Cn/Cm)(tc)−RD(Cn/Cm)(tc−delta t) (1)
That is, the processing circuit 41 computes change value delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc) obtained by subtracting the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) of the time tc read from the memory 37 from the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) of the time “tc-delta t” read from the memory 37, and writes it in the working memory 39. The processing circuit 41 performs the processing for each currency Cn with all other currency Cm.
And the processing circuit 41 reads the change value delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc) computed by the formula (1) from the working memory 39. As shown in the following equation (2), the processing circuit 41 multiplies the change value delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc) with an adjustment coefficient Z(Cn/Cm) of the currency pair Cn/Cm to obtain corrected change value delta CR(Cn/Cm)(tc) and memorize it to the memory 37 or the working memory 39.
The adjustment coefficient Z(Cn/Cm) indicates a coefficient for exchanging into a predetermined currency. In the present embodiment, for example, an adjustment coefficient for exchanging all of the change value into yen (JPY).
[Equation 2]
delta CR(Cn/Cm)(tc)=delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc)*Z(Cn/Cm) (2)
And the processing circuit 41 computes the index data Index(Cn)(tc) by accumulating the corrected change value delta CR(Cn/Cm)(tc) of m=1 to 8, while fixing the value of “n” corresponding to the currency, about each of the 8 currencies Cn, as shown in the following equation (3).
In the equation (3), the delta CR (Cn/Cm:Cn/Cm)(tc) indicates the corrected change value delta CR of currency pair in which the currency Cn is a selling currency or a buying currency. In this case, when the currency Cn is a selling currency, it is added with the delta CR, and when the currency Cn is a buying currency, it is subtracted by the delta CR.
And, about each of the eight currencies Cn, as shown in the following equation (4), the processing circuit 41 computes the average of the index data Index(Cn)(tc) of time t=tc, tc−1, . . . , tc−x, and writes it to the memory 37 as the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc).
In addition, the processing circuit 41 may correct the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) of each currency generated by the equation (3) by using a predetermined corrected value delta CIndex(Cn) about each currency.
For example, the processing circuit 41 performs addition or multiplication of the corrected value delta CIndex(Cn) with respect to the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) of each currency. And sorting processing later mentioned is performed by using the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) after addition (multiplication).
The corrected value delta CIndex(Cn) is determined artificially or automatically based on information for example, other than the rate data RD(Cn/Cm), such as market expectation of each country, a political trend, and an economic trend.
The corrected value delta CIndex(Cn) is memorized by the memory 37 of the FX index calculation server 16.
When a decrease possibility factor is in the currency, the value is small, and when there is an increase possibility factor, the value is large. Moreover, the value of positive/negative is used.
Important information (for example, market expectation of each country, a political trend, an economic trend, etc.) which can not be read from the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) can be made to reflect in the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) by using the corrected value delta CIndex(Cn).
The processing circuit 41 may decide ranking by comparing the currency and the other currency, and calculating the moved percentage about all of the currency pairs of targets.
Hereafter, the example of the operation of the FX index calculation server 16 shown in
The 28 servers which constitute the RD generation server 10 shown in
The processing circuit 41 of the FX index calculation server 16 shown in
The processing circuit 41 writes the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) of 28 currency pairs to the memory 37 shown in
The processing circuit 41 of the FX index calculation server 16 reads 28 rate data RD(Cn/Cm) written in the memory 37 at Step ST1, and generates the change value delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc) based on the equation (1), for each time tc.
At this time, the processing circuit 41 reads the rate value RD (Cn/Cm) of the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) corresponding to each time tc from the memory 37 by using the time data indicating each of time tc of the equation (1) as a key.
Next, the processing circuit 41 calculates the difference of the rate value RD (Cn/Cm) (tc) of the time (tc), and the rate value RD (Cn/Cm) (tc−delta t) of the adjoining time (tc−delta t), and writes the result of the calculation as change value delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc) of a predetermined time width to the memory 37.
The processing circuit 41 writes the generated 28 change value delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc) to the memory 37.
As shown in the equation (2), the processing circuit 41 multiples the change value delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc) calculated at Step 2 with the adjustment coefficient Z(Cn/Cm) as shown in
The processing circuit 41 computes the index data Index(Cn)(tc) by accumulating the corrected change value delta CR(Cn/Cm)(tc) of m=1 to 8, while fixing the value of “n” corresponding to the currency, about each of the 8 currencies Cn, as shown in the equation (3).
The processing circuit 41 writes the generated index data Index(Cn)(tc) of the 8 currencies to the memory 37.
About each of the eight currencies Cn, as shown in the equation (4), the processing circuit 41 computes the average of the index data Index(Cn)(tc) of time t=tc, tc−1, . . . , tc−x, and writes it to the memory 37 as the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc).
The processing circuit 41 reads the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) from the memory 37 according to the request from the FX automatic trading server 18 and transmits it to the FX automatic trading server 18 via the interface 36.
As shown in
The input portion 112 performs the processing of Step ST1. The change data calculation portion 113 performs the processing of Steps ST2 and ST3. The element index data calculation portion 114 performs the processing of Step ST 4. The index data calculation portion 115 performs the processing of Step ST5.
Hereafter, data writing and reading with respect to the memory 37 by the processing circuit 41 will be explained.
The processing circuit 41 performs writing and reading of the rate data RD(Cn/Cm), change value delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc), index data Index(Cn)(tc) and index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) by the following processing. Also in the embodiments other than this present embodiment, it is the same.
For example the processing circuit 41 performs the predetermined function in the program, accesses the table data TABLE in the memory 37 of the attribute specified with the function based on the key KEY specified with the function, and obtains address ADR corresponding to the key KEY. The attributes concerned are the classification of data, a time chart, etc. Moreover, the address ADR is defined to be specified uniquely by the key KEY.
Next, the processing circuit 41 accesses the memory 37 based on the obtained address ADR. By using such table data TABLE, it can access in a short time at the address ADR in the memory 37 corresponding to the key compared with the case where arrangement is used.
For example, in the reading operation, the processing circuit 41 accesses the above-mentioned address ADR of the memory 37, and reads data DATA memorized at the address. The processing circuit 41 generates the data MAP(KEY, DATA) including the data DATA, and the address ADRx−1 and ADRx+1 which are adjoined to the address ADRx used at this time in the table data TABLE as a return value of the function and memorizes it to the memory 37. In addition, it is possible to include data elements other than the above in the data MAP of a return value.
By this method, the data DATA of the next time can be accessed based on the address ADRx−1, ADRx+1 contained in the MAP data of the present time, and the obtaining address by the table data TABLE becomes unnecessary. Thereby, high speed access is attained.
Moreover, the processing circuit 41 writes the data DATA in address ADR in the memory 37 obtained from the table data TABLE based on the key KEY at the time of writing.
In the present embodiment, the data module DB indicates the data group which performs access to the memory 37 shown in
First, reading and writing operation to the memory 37 will be explained about the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) of 28 currency pairs.
As shown in
As shown in
That is, the processing circuit 41 accesses the table data TABLE (RD, time chart) corresponding to the table data TABLE shown in
At the time of reading operation, the processing circuit 41 reads the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) from address ADR as data DATA. At the time of writing, the processing circuit 41 writes the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) in address ADR as data DATA.
The processing circuit 41 determines the table data TABLE (RD, time chart) to be read from the memory 37 and to be used at the time of reading and writing of the rate data RD(Cn/Cm), based on the time chart data designated together with the time data.
Next, reading and writing operation to the memory 37 will be explained about the change value delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc).
As shown in
About each currency pair Cn/Cm, the data module DBs of a plurality of time charts (for example, four) are defined.
As shown in
Here, the time data tc (TIME) corresponds to the key KEY shown in
That is, the processing circuit 41 obtains the address ADR by accessing the table data TABLE (delta R, time chart) corresponding to the table data TABLE shown in
The processing circuit 41 determines the table data TABLE (RD, time chart) to be read from the memory 37 and to be used at the time of reading and writing of the change value delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc), based on the time chart data designated together with the time data.
Note that, it is not necessary to perform processing shown in
Next, reading and writing of the index data Index(Cn)(tc) to the memory 37 will be explained.
As shown in
As shown in
Here, the time data tc (TIME) corresponds to the key KEY shown in
At the time of reading operation, the processing circuit 41 reads the index data Index(Cn)(tc) from the address ADR as data DATA. At the time of writing, the processing circuit 41 writes index data Index(Cn)(tc) in the address ADR as data DATA.
The processing circuit 41 determines the table data TABLE (Index, time chart) to be read from the memory 37 and to be used at the time of reading and writing of the index data Index(Cn)(tc), based on the time chart data designated together with the time data.
Next, reading and writing of the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) to the memory 37 will be explained.
The index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) is written to the memory 37 as the Roc data (DATA) including the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) and the x of the index data Index(Cn)(tc) which are used for the calculation of the equation (4).
As shown in
As shown in
That is, the processing circuit 41 obtains the address ADR by accessing the table data TABLE (Roc, time chart) corresponding to the table data TABLE shown in
At the time of reading operation, the processing circuit 41 reads the data Roc(Cn)(tc) from the address ADR as data DATA. At the time of writing, the processing circuit 41 writes data Roc(Cn)(tc) in the address ADR as data DATA.
The processing circuit 41 determines the table data TABLE (Roc, time chart) to be read from the memory 37 and to be used at the time of reading and writing of the data Roc(Cn)(tc), based on the time chart data designated together with the time data.
Note that, also in the embodiment other than the present embodiment, writing and reading of various data in a memory are performed by the processing shown in the
Hereafter, the example of processing of Steps ST1 to ST4 shown in
The processing circuit 41 judges whether the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) of all currency pairs of time tc(tc) is memorized in the memory 37. If it judges that the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) is memorized, it will progress to Step ST102.
The processing circuit 41 judges whether the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) of time t=tc tc−1, . . . , tc−x which are required for calculation of the index data Index(Cn)(tc) is memorized in the memory 37. If it judges that the [in1 is memorized, it will progress to step ST103.
The processing circuit 41 judged whether the processing of Steps ST105 and ST106 about all currency pairs ends, and when it is judged that it ends, it progresses to Step ST101. When it is judged that it does not end, It progresses to Step ST104, after selecting a non-ended currency pair and setting it as k=0.
The processing circuit 41 judges whether the variable k is less than x, and when it judges that it is right, it will progress to Step ST105.
Based on the equations (1) and (2), the processing circuit 41 computes the corrected change value delta CR (Cn/Cm)(k), and writes this to the memory 37.
The processing circuit 41 adds the index data Index(Cn)(k) with the corrected change value delta CR (Cn/Cm)(k).
Further the processing circuit 41 subtracts the corrected change value delta CR (Cn/Cm)(k) from the index data Index(Cm)(k).
The processing circuit 41 carries out the increment of the variable k by only one.
When it becomes k=x, it returns to Step ST103, and the index data Index(Cn)(tc) is memorized in the memory 37 at this time.
According to the method shown in
In the processing circuit 41, the index data Index (USD) (tn) is calculated as follows, for example.
Index(USD)(tn)=delta CR(USD/JPY)(tn)+delta CR(EUR/USD)(tn)+delta CR(GBP/USD)(tn)+delta CR(USD/CHF)(tn)+delta CR(USD/CAD)(tn)+delta CR(AUD/USD)(tn)+delta CR(NZD/USD)(tn)
In the processing circuit 41 the index data Index (JPY) (tn) is calculated as follows, for example.
Index(JPY)(tn)=delta CR(USD/JPY)(tn)+delta CR(EUR/JPY)(tn)+delta CR(GBP/JPY)(tn)+delta CR(CHF/JPY)(tn)+delta CR(CAD/JPY)(tn)+delta CR(AUD/JPY)(tn)+delta CR(NZD/JPY)(tn)
Here, the interface 56, the operating portion 53, the display 55, the memory 57 and the processing circuit 61 are connected via an internal bus 50.
The interface 56 performs transmission and reception of data and request with the FX index calculation server 16 and the private investor terminal 14 via network 9.
The operating portion 53 is a keyboard, a mouse, etc. for a manager of the FX automatic trading server 18 to operate it.
The display 55 displays the screen according to the display signal from the processing circuit 61.
The memory 57 memorizes the program and data which are used for processing of the processing circuit 61.
The processing circuit 61 generalizes and controls processing of the FX automatic trading server 18.
The data used in the processing circuit 61 and the computed data are temporarily memorized by the memory means of the working memory 59, or the memory 57. Although operation of reading and writing among the processing circuit 61, working memory 59 and memory 57 are not specified in the present embodiment, it is carried out for every processing of the processing circuit 61.
The FX automatic trading server 18 performs the automatic trading of the currency pairs based on the index data Index (Cn) inputted from the FX index calculation server 16.
Hereinafter the operation of the FX automatic trading server 18 shown in
The processing circuit 61 of the FX automatic trading server 18 transmits the request of the index data to the FX index calculation server 16 via interface 56.
The processing circuit 61 writes the data Roc(Cn)(tc) including the index data Index(Cn)(tc) received according to the index data request to the memory 57.
The processing circuit 61 performs writing and reading of the data Roc(Cn)(tc) with respect to the memory 57 by the processing explained in the
Note that, the processing circuit 61 may receive directly the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) and use it as the data DATA as shown in
The embodiment of the present embodiment, the access to the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) memorized in the memory 57 by the processing circuit 61 is performed by the processing explained using
The processing circuit 61 reads the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) in the data Roc(Cn)(tc) which was written to the memory 57, sorts the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) of 8 currencies in expensive order, and memorizes a currency strength ranking data indicating currency strength ranking of each time to the memory 37. And the processing circuit 61 generates image data for displaying a currency strength ranking based on the currency strength ranking data and memorize it to the memory 37. Further, currency ranking strength data is memorized as a data module DB mentioned above for every time chart. The processing circuit 61 designates a time chart and performs reading and the writing of the currency strength ranking data to the memory 37 by the processing explained by using time as a key in
The processing circuit 61 transmits the generated screen data to the private investor terminal 14, according to the request from the private investor terminal 14.
The processing circuit 31 of the private investor terminal 14 shown in
The processing circuit 61 may read the index data ISIndex(Cn) of eight currencies written in the memory 37 at Step ST11, and displays it by using graph in time sequence. The individual investor can grasp at a glance what change of the strength of each currency has become based on the graph shown in
The graph shown in
Based on the index data ISIndex(Cn), the processing circuit 41 may display simultaneously the graph of two or more time intervals, such as a 15 minute chart, a hourly chart and a daily chart, about one currency, as shown in
When the index data ISIndex(Cn) is memorized in the memory 37 shown in
Note that, it is not necessary to perform processing of Step ST12.
The processing circuit 61 of the FX automatic trading server 18 judges whether the currency pair which satisfies a predetermined conditions among the currency pairs shown in
Specifically, the processing circuit 61 specifies the currency pair satisfying the condition that index data ISIndex(Cn) of both of selling currency and buying currency indicates near zero (around zero), the index data ISIndex(Cn) of the buying currency is up-trend, and the selling currency is down-trend.
For example, the index data ISIndex (GBP)) at the timing A shown in
In addition, the processing circuit 61 computes 10-20% of value of the maximum of the absolute value among the index data ISIndex(Cn) of the eight currencies of a predetermined periods as threshold width, and writes this in the memory 37. The processing circuit 61 writes a first threshold data indicating the value of the threshold width in the plus direction from zero. The processing circuit 61 writes a second threshold data indicating the value of the threshold width in the minus direction from zero.
The processing circuit 61 compares the index data ISIndex(Cn) with the first and second threshold data read from the memory 57. When the index data ISIndex(Cn) is not more than the first threshold data, and index data ISIndex(Cn) is not less than the second threshold data, the processing circuit 61 judges that the index data ISIndex(Cn) is value near zero. The threshold width is updated not according to fixation but according to time.
At this time, about 15% is best mode. The inventor determines the 10-20% as most effective range based on an actual trade result.
Here, when satisfying such conditions that both of the index data ISIndex(Cn) of selling currency and buying currency indicate near zero, the probability which repeats the up-trend and the down-trend by turns is high. Therefore the condition is applied. In addition, the processing circuit 61 uses the index data for determination whether near zero or not having shorter plot time width, compared with the plot width used for specifying the currency of up-trend and down-trend. For example, the processing circuit 61 judges whether it is near zero or not based on the hourly chart, judges the trend based on the daily chart.
This is because the trend of the short time of the index data ISIndex(Cn) has a tendency for following trend of long time.
In addition, the up-trend means the high value and low value of the index data ISIndex(Cn) increase (raise), or the value is increasing. The down-trend means the high value and low value of the index data ISIndex(Cn) decrease, or the value is decreasing.
The processing circuit 61 detects the low value and high value of the index data ISIndex(Cn) one by one, and writes them in the memory 57. And the processing circuit 61 reads the high value (low value) from the memory 57, and compares it with the adjoining high value (low value). And when the high value (low value) afterward is higher, it is judged as the high value (low value) of the index data ISIndex(Cn) is increasing. And when the high value (low value) afterward is lower, it is judged as the high value (low value) of the index data ISIndex(Cn) is decreasing. The processing circuit 61 writes the data indicating judgment result to the memory 57.
When the index data ISIndex(Cn) decreases (increases) after it increases (decreases), the high value (low value) is determined at the timing when it decreases (increases) by a predetermined percentage or value from the high value (low value).
The memory 57 memorizes a table data including the item indicating the address in which the index pattern data is memorized in association with the time data indicating the high value or low value of the index data ISIndex(Cn).
The index pattern data includes the index data ISIndex(Cn) of the high value or the low value, and a property indication whether it is the high value or the low value. When the processing circuit 61 detects the high value or the low value of the index data ISIndex(Cn), the processing circuit 61 adds the item of the high value or the low value to the table data, and memorize the index pattern data corresponding the added item to a predetermined address of the memory 37.
The processing circuit 61 searches the table data read from the memory 57, using the specified time data as a search key, and obtains the address corresponding to the time data concerned. And the processing circuit 61 accesses the obtained address in the memory 57, and reads the index pattern data.
And the processing circuit 61 judges any of up-trend and down-trend the index data ISIndex(Cn) is, using the read index pattern data, based on the size relation of two index data of the high value which related time is adjoined, and the size relation of two index data of the low value with which related time is adjoined.
Further, the processing circuit 61 writes the trend data indicating property whether each currency of each time is up-trend or down-trend based on the judgment. The processing circuit 61 writes data indicating the currency pairs satisfying the predetermined condition.
In addition, the processing circuit 41 memorized data indicating result of the judgment of the near zero, the trend and the specified currency pair, as the data DATA to the memory 57 by performing the processing shown in
The processing circuit 61 notifies the currency specified at the Step ST13 as a trading candidate For example, the processing circuit 61 performs processing which displays the currency pair concerned on a web page.
Specifically the processing circuit 61 memorizes the currency pairs specified at Step ST13 as candidate for trading to the memory 57, and transmits the directions signal for buying to the FX dealer server 12.
Thus, the method which determines the currency pair of candidates for trading according to the trend of currency is called a trend follow method. In addition, in the present embodiment and the other embodiment, the currency pairs which is determined as the trading candidate is written to the memory 57. The currency pair shown in the trading candidate currency pair data memorized in the memory 57 is used as a candidate at the time when a user decides the candidate for trading.
Processing shown in
As explained above, according to the FX index calculation server 16 of the FX processing system 1, index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) indicating the change of strength of the currencies in time sequence can be calculated based on the rate data RD(Cn/Cm) of 28 currency pairs from the RD generation server 10.
Therefore, the private investor terminal 14 can rank change of the strength of eight currencies to a time series based on the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc).
Thereby, the FX automatic trading server 18, as mentioned above, based on the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc), the currency pair which is used for candidate of trading can be determined automatically.
Thus, efficient automatic trading is attained, taking an overall tendency into consideration by determining a currency pair automatically based on the state of the strength among many currency, such as the whole currency or two or more major currency.
Further, according the private investor terminal 14 and the FX automatic trading server 18, it becomes easy to grasp change of rank by displaying visually change of the strength of all currency by using graph based on the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc). When drawn toward the upper part from the lower part of graph, signs that become strong gradually are known, and when opposite, the process which becomes weak is known.
Further, when graph of a long time chart such as daily chart indicates increase tendency, the graph of short time chart such as a hourly chart and 15 minutes chart indicates up tendency after down tendency, it is high possibility to take a position in the increase direction.
By using the FX processing system 1, the state of the strength among many currency, such as the whole currency or two or more major currency is known, an overall tendency can be grasped, and efficient trading are attained.
In the present embodiment, the process for determining the currency pair of the trading candidate based on the index data ISIndex at Step ST13 and ST14 shown in
As shown in
In addition, the processing circuit 61 judges whether it is near zero or not, by the same procedure with that of the first embodiment.
In step ST22, as shown in
At this time, the processing circuit 61 reads the currency strength ranking data from the memory 57 by using the time t as key KEY as shown in
The processing circuit 61 trades the currency pair specified at Step ST22 automatically (step ST23). Specifically, the processing circuit 61 transmits the directions signal for buying the currency pair specified at Step ST22 to the FX dealer server 12.
Appropriate trading of the currency pair is attained with very high probability by the automatic trading of the present embodiment.
Note that, the processing circuit 61 may specify the currency pair which the ranking of the buying currency is within a predetermined number from the strongest one, and the ranking of the selling currency is within a predetermined number from the weakest one.
In the present embodiment, the other process for determining the currency pair of the trading candidate based on the index data ISIndex(Cn) at Step ST13 and ST14 shown in
As shown in
In addition, the processing circuit 61 judges whether it is near zero, by the same procedure with the first embodiment.
The processing circuit 61 judges whether the condition that the buying currency of the currency pair specified at Step ST31 is more than a threshold of buying currency, or the selling currency of the currency pair is less than a threshold of selling currency, as shown in
And when the processing circuit 61 judges the condition is satisfied, the processing circuit 61 specifies the currency pair as a candidate for trading at Step ST33. Specifically the processing circuit 61 compares the index data ISIndex(Cn) of the buying currency of currency pair satisfying the condition of Step ST31 which is read from the memory 57 and the threshold of buying currency read from the memory 57. Then the processing circuit 61 judges the condition that the buying currency is more than the threshold of buying currency is satisfied and writes the information indicating the currency pair to the memory 57, when the condition that the index data ISIndex(Cn) is more than the threshold of buying currency is satisfied (Step ST32). Further, the processing circuit 61 compares the index data ISIndex(Cn) of the selling currency of currency pair satisfying the condition of Step ST31 which is read from the memory 57 and the threshold of selling currency read from the memory 57. Then the processing circuit 61 judges the condition that the selling currency is less than the threshold of selling currency is satisfied and writes the information indicating the currency pair to the memory 57, when the condition that the index data ISIndex(Cn) is less than the threshold of selling currency is satisfied (Step ST32).
The processing circuit 61 performs trading of the currency pair specified at Step ST31 when both of condition that buying currency is more than the threshold of buying currency and condition that selling currency is less than the threshold of selling currency are satisfied, or any of one condition is satisfied (Step ST33).
At this time, the processing circuit 61 read the threshold of buying currency and the threshold of selling currency (DATA) from the memory 57 by using time t as key KEY as shown in
As described above the condition that buying currency is more than the threshold of buying currency or the condition that selling currency is less than the threshold of selling currency is used. The reason of this is the possibility that the trend after change is maintained is high when the condition is satisfied.
Note that, the value of the threshold of buying currency and the threshold of selling currency are determined by performing statistics processing base on actual trading data. For example, 60 to 80% of absolute value of maximum and minimum of predetermined period is continued to be calculated by the processing circuit 61 as the threshold.
In the present embodiment, the index data of longer time chart than the index data used for judgment of the near zero is used for comparison with the threshold of buying currency and the threshold of selling currency.
Appropriate trading of the currency pair is attained with very high probability by the automatic trading of the present embodiment.
In the present embodiment, the other process for determining the currency pair of the trading candidate based on the index data ISIndex(Cn) at Steps ST13 and ST14 shown in
The processing circuit 61 of the FX automatic trading server 18 shown in
The relative strength index (RSI) is calculated about first time by “RSI=A/(A+B)*100”. Here, the “A” is an average value of gain (up width) of the index data ISIndex(Cn) of a predetermined period “y”. The “B” is an average value of loss (down width) of the index data ISIndex(Cn) of a predetermined period “y”. The RSI is calculated for second time and later by “RSI=PA/(PA+PB)×100”.
Here, the “PA” is calculated by “{an average gain of the index data ISIndex(Cn) of the precedent time*(y−1)+a gain of the index data ISIndex(Cn) of the present time}/y”. The “PB” is calculated by “{an average loss of the index data ISIndex(Cn) of the precedent time*(y−1)+a loss of the index data ISIndex(Cn) of the present time}/y”. Here the time is day interval in the case of daily chart, and 15 minutes interval in the case of 15 minutes chart.
When the RSI value is not more than “30” it means over selling, and when the RSI value is not less than 70, it means over buying.
In addition, although up and down trend of the index data ISIndex(Cn) are judged based on the RSI value in the present embodiment, it may be judged based on the technique of others, such as MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence Trading Method), RCI (Rank Correlation Index), Williams % R, and a Borinjarband.
The processing circuit 61 reads the index data ISIndex(Cn) of eight currencies from the memory 57, and determined currency pairs which the index data ISIndex(Cn) of the buying currency thereof is more the threshold of buying currency, or the index data ISIndex(Cn) of the selling currency thereof is less the threshold of selling currency based on the index data ISIndex(Cn). The processing is the same with that of Step ST32 described above.
The processing circuit 61 reads the RSI value (Cn)(tc) computed at Step ST41 from the memory 57, and judges whether a divergence has occurred in the buying currency which is more than the threshold of buying currency or the selling currency which is less than the threshold of selling currency based on the RSI value (Cn)(tc) at Step ST42.
Then the processing circuit 61 specifies the currency pair in which the divergence has occurred. The processing circuit 61 memorizes the information indicating the specified currency pair.
Specifically the processing circuit 61 judges the divergence has occurred about each currency when although the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) is up-trend, the RSI value (Cn)(tc) decreases.
On the other hand, the processing circuit 61 judges the divergence has occurred about each currency when although the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) is down-trend, the RSI value (Cn)(tc) increases.
The processing circuit 61 judges the trend of the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) by the same method with the first embodiment.
Further the processing circuit 61 compares two RSI values (Cn)(tc) of adjoining time. And the processing circuit 61 determines it is up-trend when the value of the later time is larger, and determines it is down-trend when the value of the precedent time is larger. The processing circuit 61 memorizes information indicating increase or decrease of the RSI value (Cn)(tc) about each time to the memory 57 in the state which is readable by using the time data as key.
The processing circuit 61 determines the currency pair which is judged that the condition is satisfied at Step ST43 as a trading target.
Note that, the processing circuit 61 may determine the trading target as follows. At this time, the processing circuit 61 reads the trend data from the memory 57 and judges the up and down trend used for the following processing based the trend data.
That is, the processing circuit 61 determines automatically the currency pair of selling target and the currency of buying target as follows, when there are both of the currency in which the divergence has occurred in the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) while the up-trend, and the currency in which the divergence has occurred in the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) while the downtrend trend.
The processing circuit 61 determines the currency pair of buying target which the currency Cn thereof is down-trend and the divergence has occurred, and the currency Cm thereof is up-trend and divergence has occurred among the currency pair Cn/Cm. On the other hand, the processing circuit 61 determines the currency pair of selling target which the currency Cn thereof is up-trend and the divergence has occurred, and the currency Cm thereof is down-trend and divergence has occurred.
Below operation of reading and writing of the RSI value (Cn)(tc) with respect to the memory 57 by the processing circuit 61 will be explained.
The RSI value (Cn)(tc) is written to the memory 57 as Roc 2 data (DATA) including the RSI value (Cn)(tc), the index data ISIndex(Cn) of the “y+1” period which is used for the calculation, the RSI value (new), a gain of average RSI, and a loss of average RSI.
As shown in
As shown in
That is, the processing circuit 61 accesses to the table data TABLE (Roc2, time chart) corresponding to the table data shown in
When performing reading operation, the processing circuit 61 reads the data Roc(Cn)(tc) as the data DATA from the address ADR. When performing writing operation, the processing circuit 61 writes the data Roc(Cn)(tc) as the data DATA from the address ADR.
The processing circuit 61 determines the time chart of the table data TABLE (Roc2, time chart) to read from the memory 37 and use, based on the time chart data specified together with time data.
Further, the processing circuit 61 may determine the candidate for trading, as shown below.
That is, the processing circuit 61 determines the currency pair of target for buying which the currency Cn is down-trend and the divergence has occurred and the currency Cm has no trend change among the currency pair Cn/Cm shown in
The processing circuit 61 determines as target for buying the currency pair which the currency Cn is up-trend and divergence has occurred, the currency Cm is no trend change among the currency pair Cn/Cm shown in
The processing circuit 61 determines as target for buying the currency pair which the currency Cn is no trend change, the currency Cm is up-trend and divergence has occurred among the currency pair Cn/Cm shown in
The processing circuit 61 determines as target for selling the currency pair which the currency Cn is no trend change, the currency Cm is down-trend and divergence has occurred among the currency pair Cn/Cm shown in
Thus, the method which determines the currency pair for trading based on divergence occurred in the trend of currency is called a contorian method.
The examples shown in
That is, the index data Index(Cn)(tc) of the currency (GBP) is over plus “100”. Then although the GBP is strong, the value of the RSI value (GBP) decreases. Since the situation which the GBP becomes weak and the CHF becomes strong should occur, the trading taking the position which sells GBP/CHF is performed. The GBP/CHF is falling also on the chart shown in
Appropriate trading of the currency pair is attained with very high probability by the automatic trading of the present embodiment.
In the present embodiment, the other process for determining the currency pair of the trading candidate based on the index data ISIndex(Cn) at Steps ST13 and ST14 shown in
The processing circuit 61 reads the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) of the eight currencies from the memory 57 and judges whether all of the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) are near zero. And the processing circuit 61 proceeds Step ST52 when judging that all of the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) are near zero.
Note that, the processing circuit 61 judges whether it is near zero or not by the same method of the first embodiment.
The processing circuit 61 judges whether the trend follow method explained in the first embodiment is adopted or not in the automatic trading, proceeds to the Step ST53 when it has judges it is correct, and proceeds to the Step 51 when it has judges it is not correct. Note that, method data indication any of the method is adopted is memorized in the memory 57. The processing circuit 61 reads the method data from the memory 57 and determined the adopted method. Further the processing circuit 61 updates the method data when the adapted method has changed.
The processing circuit 61 switches the method of automatic trading to the contorian method explained in the fourth embodiment.
The processing circuit 61 switches to the trend follow method when any of the indicator of the plurality of currencies become outside of the near zero while adopting the contrian method.
Since it is easy to change without the trend of the index data of each currency maintaining for a long period when the index data of all the currency indicates near zero, prediction of the contorian method comes true in high probability. Therefore, it is effective to switch such a method of trading automatically in order to attain suitable automatic trading.
In the present embodiment, the other process for determining the currency pair of the trading candidate based on the index data ISIndex(Cn) at Steps ST13 and ST14 shown in
Some of the currency pair Cn/Cm has a correlation with other currency pair Cn/Cm. The correlation data indicating such correlation is determined statistically in advance, and is memorized in the memory 57 shown in
For example, a currency pair “USD/CAD” and “NZD/USD” have a relation of order correlation. That is, if “USD/CAD” increases or decreases, “NZD/USD” will increases or decreases. Further, there is a relation of negative correlation between the currency pair “USD/JPY” and “USD/CAD”. That is, if “USD/JPY” increases or decreases, “USD/CAD” will decreases of increases.
By the way, the following matter is obtained based on the correlation described above.
Namely, when there is a relation of order correlation between currency pair “C1/C2” and “C3/C1”, theoretically, the strength of currency should be “C1, C2, C3”, or “C1, C3, C2” in weak order. Therefore, the strength of currency cannot be “C2, C1, C3”, or “C3, C1, C2” in weak order.
The processing circuit 61 of the FX automatic trading server 18 shown in
The processing circuit 61 of the FX automatic trading server 18 shown in
The processing circuit 61 reads the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) from the memory 57, and judges the ranking pattern indicated in the list data read at Step ST61 is existed in the ranking pattern in the currency strength ranking data indicating the currency strength shown in
Specifically, it judges whether the processing circuit 61 extracts the information which shows the ranking about two currencies which serves as the currency combination about all of the combination of currencies of the ranking pattern, and judges whether the information which is the same with the information indicated in the list data is existed among the extracted information. The processing circuit 61 determines that the combination of the currency pair corresponding to the information is existed in the ranking pattern as distortion, when the same information exists.
Note that, the processing circuit 61 performs the reading the currency strength ranking data of each time from the memory 57 by the processing shown in
The processing circuit 61 monitors the index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) generated by the FX index calculation server 16, and detects the timing when the distortion detected at Step ST62 return.
Specifically, the processing circuit 61 detects the timing which the ranking pattern detected as the distortion in Step ST62 mentioned above returns to the right ranking pattern theoretically.
The processing circuit 61 determines the currency pair for target of selling based on the return of the ranking pattern detected at Step ST63. The processing circuit 61 specified the currency pair of the currencies by which the distortion disappeared, and write the information indicating the currency pair to the memory 57.
For example, the processing circuit 61 determines as a target of buying the currency pair which the strength ranking of the currency Cn will increase and the strength ranking of the currency Cm will decrease among the currency pair Cn/Cm. Further, the processing circuit 61 determines as a target of selling the currency pair which the strength ranking of the currency Cn will decrease and the strength ranking of the currency Cm will increase among the currency pair Cn/Cm.
For example, the trading target data indicating the return of the ranking pattern and the candidates of trading target corresponding to the return is memorized in the memory 57.
The processing circuit 61 determines the buying and selling of the currency pair based in the trading target data.
Appropriate trading of the currency pair is attained with very high probability by the automatic trading of the present embodiment.
It is assumed that the currency Cmax is defined as the currency which the index data Index (Cm) is maximum (it is mostly shifted to the direction becoming strong), and the currency Cminx is defined as the currency which the index data Index (Cm) is minimum (it is mostly shifted to the direction becoming weak). The processing circuit 61 of the FX automatic trading server 18 shown in
This invention is not limited in the embodiment mentioned above. Namely, regarding the component in the embodiment mentioned above, a person skilled in the art can do various changes, combination, sub-combination and substitution in the technical or equivalent scope of this invention.
In the present embodiment, the case that the processing of generating the index data Index (Cm) is performed by the FX index calculation server 16, and the processing of trading of the currency pair are performed by the FX automatic trading server 18. However, these processing may be performed by a single server or the private investor terminal 14.
Further, it may defined the change value delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc) as shown the following equation (5). As a result, the currency becomes stronger as the value of the index data index data ISIndex(Cn)(tc) becomes smaller.
[Equation 5]
delta R(Cn/Cm)(tc)=RD(Cn/Cm)(tc−delta t)−RD(Cn/Cm)(tc) (5)
Further, although the case where the currency pair of buying target is specified is explained with the embodiment described above, a currency pair of selling target may be specified by performing the processing described above by using the selling currency and the buying currency reverse.
The information of currency pair specified as the selling currency and the buying currency may be used for the instruction of selling or buying. Further this information may be displayed on the screen, and user may select currency pair based on the displayed information.
Number | Date | Country | Kind |
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PCT/JP2009/001567 | Apr 2009 | JP | national |
This application claims the priority benefit under 35 U.S.C. §119 of PCT Patent Application No. PCT/JP2009/001567 filed on Apr. 3, 2009, which is incorporated in its entirety by reference.