The field of the invention relates to determining the presence of influenza (flu) and other diseases or conditions with body temperature correlations in a locale, and extrapolating epidemiological data, by obtaining thermal imaging and associated data contained in user devices.
Infrared is the next longest wavelength of light past visible light. Infrared wavelengths extend from approximately 700 nanometers (frequency 430 THz), to 1 millimeter (300 GHz). Currently, certain smartphone manufacturers use infrared emitters in their commercially-available smartphones (such as for example, iPhones from Apple Inc.) to project 30,000 infrared dots onto a user's face, capture the resulting infrared image, and compare it against reference images to verify the facial characteristics of the user in a biometric authentication protocol such as, for example, Face ID (Apple, 2018). In addition to this facial mapping application, however, it is well known that infrared sensors can also measure heat energy emitted (Wagner, 2013), and infrared cameras have been used for measurement of facial temperature (Ioannou, et al., 2014).
Infrared cameras have been proposed to correlate fever with influenza (flu) infection, notably as an airport screening measure (Priest, Duncan, Jennings, & Baker, 2011). However, this approach made use of stationary cameras that must rapidly scan multiple passengers and lacks a database to compare each image to a baseline reference for that specific person. Indeed, that study found a lack of predictive value in this approach.
As a contrast to that approach, we note that personal electronic devices such as smartphones, by way of example the iPhone with Face ID, are already configured to refer to the baseline of the device's owner, solving the aforementioned problem. As we will describe, assigning each device's analytical capabilities solely to its owner represents a novel computational approach at collecting individual health data that ultimately has community-level value.
Machine learning is the exercise of using algorithms to train a computer to identify patterns in a dataset, in other words the automation of computational model-building. This exercise can be structured as supervised learning where the value of data inputs is known, for example, human temperature measurements as inputs can be ranked as “normal” or “pre-fever” or “fever” according to well-established clinical guidelines for fever. Machine learning can also be structured as unsupervised learning (data with no historical context), for example if it were trained to correlate fever with human commuter patterns where no such correlation was ever previously identified.
Deep learning can be thought of as pattern recognition (machine learning) from massive datasets. In contrast to the previous machine learning examples involving only one or two variables, a deep learning exercise could, by way of example, attempt to correlate fever against atmospheric temperature, humidity, weather patterns, season, etc. In addition to these environmental variables, the deep learning engine may also contemplate human factors such as commuter patterns, international travel patterns, and employment sector, all of which influence a person's likelihood of encountering influenza.
Fever can be an early indicator of infection. Each influenza season, health organizations recommend that employees stay home and rest when sick rather than infecting their family, colleagues, and fellow commuters. In the 2017 flu season, more people were killed by seasonal influenza than in any other since the 1970s (Sun, 2017). However, there is no straightforward way for a person to self-diagnose the flu accurately when common flu symptoms may overlap across disparate conditions such as the common cold, allergy/asthma, hormonal imbalance, fatigue, etc. Conversely, fever is an objective measurement that helps narrow down this list of conditions. For example, during the common cold season among adults and children, fever is more likely to be caused by viral influenza as compared to a bacterial infection, and this guidance can be used to prevent unnecessary prescription of antibiotics (which are active against bacteria but not viruses).
Depending on geography, time of year, and travel history, fever is also a useful risk indicator for less common infections such as swine flu, Ebola, or Zika virus. Therefore there is utility in passive, frequent monitoring of body temperature because this can identify onset of fever which can be an objective, quantitative surrogate for early-stage infection.
However, passive and frequent temperature measurement is not possible with current tools. For example, rectal thermometers are highly accurate but extremely invasive and inconvenient. Conversely, axillary and tympanic temperature measurements are simple and fast, but axillary measurement often requires removal of clothing and tympanic measurement is susceptible to interference by earwax buildup. The development of infrared measurement at the forehead is an improvement in terms of speed and non-invasiveness of temperature collection. However, this is still a single-point collection, and the accuracy of forehead infrared measurement can be compromised by perspiration. More importantly, the forehead as a single measurement may not be a reliable surrogate for body temperature (Berksoy, Bağ, Yazici, & Çelik, 2018).
These examples underscore the limited value of single-point temperature measurements and the limitation of examining only a single region of the face or body. To this end, we describe a deep learning engine which creates a living record of an individual's temperature measurements over time, superimposing related external metadata (e.g. location, elevation, outdoor temperature, humidity, employment sector, proximity to mealtime or exercise routines) to further inform and refine a Fever Risk Assessment score that is ultimately returned to the individual. Providing clinical context to classify body temperature measurements as either “normal” or “pre-fever” or “fever” would be an example of “supervised learning”. This novel contextualizing of a person's body temperature measurement within up-to-date, high-level environmental and/or epidemiological frameworks deepens the value of this information for the individual user as well as for community health and global health professionals. Specifically, a person's interpretation of (and response to) fever would be improved if the person was made aware of patterns of infection within the local community, as described in the next section.
Influenza outbreaks occur one or more times every year. Epidemiological evidence suggests that flu outbreaks can originate in east Asian countries and then migrate westward. Because early-stage infection may be asymptomatic, the disease is unknowingly spread across communities, and travelers then spread it rapidly via mass transit such as trains and airplanes (which sequester contagious people in small cabins). In addition to influenza, various other pathogens have demonstrated rapid spread in the past few years, including Ebola, Zika, cholera, etc. The speed and magnitude of an outbreak can be exacerbated by various factors such as access to mass transit, weakness in healthcare infrastructure, weather patterns, lack of clean water infrastructure, consolidation of displaced people into refugee camps, etc. An important benefit of our proposed invention is that the diagnostic and epidemiological value of fever monitoring is agnostic and independent of the aforementioned exacerbating factors. Currently, there are mathematical modeling tools that account for common patterns of human transportation and movement that can be used to estimate the direction, speed, and severity of a disease outbreak. However, these models make use of historical data, internet search results, location-based news articles, and algorithmic estimates to develop predictions of future events. They suffer from a lack of up-to-date (real-time) information on the actual health and fever status of affected people.
We therefore describe the integration of individual user datapoints discussed in the previous section into a mapping database that would, for the first time, populate an epidemiological framework with actual human temperature measurements that are automatically meta-tagged with accurate time and location data. A deep learning system would collect individual-level information into large community-level datasets to identify real-time patterns of human congregation, travel, commuting, etc., and their relationship of these patterns to the incubation and spread of disease. Therefore, ongoing monitoring of fever would generate actionable human-level data that can also be aggregated into accurate models of disease spread at the hyperlocal, regional, or even global scale.
The results of this community-scale fever mapping tool are used to enrich the value of the risk assessment that is relayed back to individual users, as compared to an assessment of temperature on its own. Examples of the types of interaction with the invention, experienced by a representative individual named User A, are as follows:
Reference will now be made, by way of example, to the accompanying drawings which show example embodiments of the present application and in which:
Example embodiments of the present disclosure will be apparent to those of ordinary skill in the art from a review of the following detailed descriptions in conjunction with the drawings.
Example embodiments of the present disclosure are not limited to any particular operating system, electronic device architecture, server architecture or computer programming language.
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Electronic devices such as smartphones, laptops, tablet computers, smart televisions, etc. are often adapted to include sensors including cameras. Such cameras may be adapted to take thermal images including the thermal image of mammals such as by way of example, humans and cattle.
Normal human body temperature is known to fall approximately within the range of 36.5-37.5° C. (97.7-99.5° F.). Currently, body temperature can be measured rapidly by infrared cameras or digital thermometers (which may also use infrared sensors). These are usually stand-alone devices that, in some cases, can be connected to a smartphone (either by physical cable or via wireless communication protocol) which then records and uploads the temperature measurement. However, the requirements for (1) a standalone measurement device, and (2) a step of connecting it to a smartphone, are not conducive to measuring temperature rapidly and frequently throughout a given day or night. Therefore, they have limited utility toward identifying the specific timeline of fever onset. Conversely, our approach leverages the existing integration of infrared imaging hardware within the device, especially a smartphone, which facilitates frequent interaction between the user and the temperature-measuring application. For example, each time the user deploys infrared facial recognition to unlock the smartphone, body temperature readings would be collected automatically and simultaneously. Because consumers interact with their smartphone devices on average 80 or more times a day (New York Post, 2017), this drives the collection of sufficient daily data points to capture not only the user's baseline “healthy” temperature but also the early onset of fever. Taking by way of example the Apple iPhone's Face ID, this system projects 30,000 infrared points onto the user's face, then constructs an infrared image from these data. Each of these infrared points may be mapped against specific regions of the user's face [SEE
Ultimately, each device would run this unsupervised deep learning exercise to construct an accurate, data-driven temperature profile that serves as a personalized baseline of its owner, against which future infrared measurements of that owner would be compared. To increase the clinical relevance of this deep learning exercise, these datasets at first could also be compared and/or trained against measurements obtained with sensitive, traditional thermometers (e.g. rectal, inguinal, axillary). Ultimately, however, the accuracy of the deep learning model should circumvent the need for training against traditional thermometer benchmarks, and the elimination of traditional thermometers further increases the likelihood of an owner engaging frequently with his/her temperature measurement device.
Thermal images of an individual mammal such as a human may vary depending on the body temperature of the individual at the time the thermal image is taken; therefore, a thermal image can be correlated with the temperature of the individual. An individual with an elevated body temperature above 99.5° C. will have a different thermal image than when the individual has a normal body temperature in the range of approximately 97.7° C.-99.5° C. The fact that baseline “normal” temperature exhibits natural variation among humans (U.S. National Library of Medicine, 2018) underscores the value of having each device trained specifically against the unique temperature profile of its owner. Elevated body temperature may be associated with fever, ovulation, heat stress due to exertion, certain cardiac conditions, and other conditions described below. The change in thermal image can be used to correlate to elevated temperature, and therefore predict and detect fever or other physical condition. As a supervised machine learning exercise, the range of biologically “normal” human body temperature would be contrasted against the range of temperatures that correspond to fever. Thermal images also show variation if an individual's body temperature is below the normal range such as when the individual is suffering from hypothermia, congestive heart failure, or other conditions. At the individual level, the invention provides a person with real-time information on changes in temperature in the context of possible harmful conditions such as fever, heat stress, etc.
It is appreciated that electronic devices that contain sensors and cameras can also contain GPS elements. Therefore, thermal images that are captured by an electronic device can also be “geotagged” (the process of adding geographical identification metadata to an existing piece of data). Because thermal images can be correlated to temperature, and can also be geotagged, they have unique value as real-time, individual-level temperature data points that can be integrated into a large cloud-computing framework that tracks and analyzes actual incidences and patterns of disease outbreak. It is appreciated that electronic devices, especially smartphones, can also metatag thermal images with real-time, location-specific indicators of environmental factors such as temperature, humidity, elevation, climate, etc. The integration of these multiple real-time variables via deep learning potentially offers a far richer and more accurate assessment of influenza risk as compared to existing mathematical modeling approaches that rely on combinations of historical data, algorithm-generated estimates, or inferences based on online search engine results or location-based news reporting.
At the community level, the invention therefore provides a novel way to integrate individual-level data into a large, population-level computational model that can accurately track and predict migration patterns of infection-causing pathogens based on actual data points.
The integration of individual-level datapoints into a large dataset uncovers several potential applications, as outlined below.
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Number | Date | Country | |
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62609558 | Dec 2017 | US |