DIFFERENTIATION OF LYME DISEASE AND SOUTHERN TICK-ASSOCIATED RASH ILLNESS

Abstract
The present disclosure provides a biosignature that distinguishes Lyme disease, including early Lyme disease, from STARI. The present disclosure also provides methods for detecting Lyme disease and STARI, as well as methods for treating subjects diagnosed with Lyme disease or STARI.
Description
REFERENCE TO SEQUENCE LISTING

The instant application contains a Sequence Listing which has been submitted electronically in ASCII format and is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety. Said ASCII copy, created on Apr. 27, 2021, is named “CSURF_065620-642266_ST25.txt”, and is 2.58 KB in size.


FIELD OF THE INVENTION

The present disclosure relates to human disease detection tools and methods, and in particular pertains to tools and methods for detecting Lyme disease and southern tick-associated rash illness (STARI), and for distinguishing Lyme disease from STARI.


BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

Lyme disease is a multisystem bacterial infection that in the United States is primarily caused by infection with Borrelia burgdorferi sensu stricto. Over 300,000 cases of Lyme disease are estimated to occur annually in the United States, with over 3.4 million laboratory diagnostic tests performed each year. Symptoms associated with this infection include fever, chills, headache, fatigue, muscle and joint aches, and swollen lymph nodes; however, the most prominent clinical manifestation in the early stage is the presence of one or more erythema migrans (EM) skin lesions. This annular, expanding erythematous skin lesion occurs at the site of the tick bite in 70 to 80% of infected individuals and is typically 5 cm or more in diameter. Although an EM lesion is a hallmark for Lyme disease, other types of skin lesions can be confused with EM, including the rash of southern tick-associated rash illness (STARI).


A strict geographic segregation of Lyme disease and STARI does not exist, as there are regions where STARI and Lyme disease are co-prevalent. Clinically, the skin lesions of STARI and early Lyme disease are indistinguishable, and no laboratory tool or method exists for the diagnosis of STARI or differentiation of STARI from Lyme disease. The only biomarkers evaluated for differential diagnosis of early Lyme disease and STARI have been serum antibodies to B. burgdorferi. However, these tests have poor sensitivity for early stages of Lyme disease, and thus a lack of B. burgdorferi antibodies cannot be used as a reliable differential marker for STARI. Thus, there is a need for diagnostic methods to differentiate between Lyme disease and STARI, and that facilitate proper treatment, patient management and disease surveillance.


SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

In one aspect, the present disclosure encompasses a method for analyzing a blood sample from a subject, the method comprising: (a) deproteinizing the blood sample to produce a metabolite extract; (b) performing liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry on a sample of the metabolite extract; and (c) providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D.


In another aspect, the present disclosure encompasses a method for classifying a subject as having Lyme disease or STARI, the method comprising: (a) deproteinizing a blood sample from a subject to produce a metabolite extract, wherein the subject has at least one symptom that is associated with Lyme disease or STARI; (b) performing liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry on a sample of the metabolite extract; (c) providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D; and (d) inputting the abundance values from step (c) into a classification model trained with samples of metabolite extracts derived from suitable controls, wherein the classification model produces a disease score and the disease score distinguishes subjects with Lyme disease or STARI.


In another aspect, the present disclosure encompasses a method for treating a subject with Lyme disease, the method comprising: (a) obtaining a disease score from a test; (b) diagnosing the subject with Lyme disease based on the disease score; and (c) administering a treatment to the subject with Lyme disease, wherein the test comprises measuring the amount of each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D; providing abundance values for each molecular feature measured; and inputting the abundance values into a classification model trained with samples derived from suitable controls, wherein the classification model produces a disease score and the disease score distinguishes subjects with Lyme disease from subjects with STARI, and optionally from healthy subjects. In certain examples, the test comprises (i) deproteinizing a blood sample from a subject to produce a metabolite extract; (ii) performing liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry on a sample of the metabolite extract; (iii) providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D; and (iv) inputting the abundance values from step (iii) into a classification model trained with samples of metabolite extracts derived from suitable controls, wherein the classification model produces a disease score and the disease score distinguishes subjects with Lyme disease. In further examples, the subject has at least one symptom of Lyme disease. In still further examples, the Lyme disease is early Lyme disease and optionally the symptom is an EM rash.


In another aspect, the present disclosure encompasses a method for treating a subject with STARI, the method comprising: (a) obtaining a disease score from a test; (b) diagnosing the subject with STARI based on the disease score; and (c) administering a treatment to the subject with STARI, wherein the test comprises measuring the amount of each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D; providing abundance values for each molecular feature measured; and inputting the abundance values into a classification model trained with samples derived from suitable controls, wherein the classification model produces a disease score and the disease score distinguishes subjects with STARI. In certain examples, the test comprises (i) deproteinizing a blood sample from a subject to produce a metabolite extract; (ii) performing liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry on a sample of the metabolite extract; (iii) providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D; and (iv) inputting the abundance values from step (iii) into a classification model trained with samples of metabolite extracts derived from suitable controls, wherein the classification model produces a disease score and the disease score distinguishes subjects with STARI from subjects with Lyme disease, including early Lyme disease, and optionally from healthy subjects. In further examples, the subject has at least one symptom of STARI. In still further examples, the symptom is an EM or an EM-like rash.


Other aspects and iterations of the invention are described below.





BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE FIGURES

The disclosure contains at least one photograph executed in color. Copies of this patent application publication with color photographs will be provided by the Office upon request and payment of the necessary fee.



FIG. 1 is a block diagram depicting a metabolic profiling pocess for the identification and application of differentiating molecular features (MFs). LC-MS data from an initial Discovery-Set of early Lyme disease (EL) and STARI samples was used to identify a list of MFs that were targeted in a second LC-MS run. The data from both LC-MS runs was combined to form the Targeted-Discovery-Set. The MFs were then screened for consistency and robustness and this resulted in a final early Lyme disease-STARI biosignature of 261 MFs. This biosignature was used for downstream pathway analysis and for classification modeling. Two training-data sets along with the 261 MF biosignature list were used to train multiple classification models, random forest (RF) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Data from samples of two Test-Sets (not included for the Discovery/Training-Set data) were blindly tested against the two-way (EL vs STARI) and three-way [EL vs STARI vs healthy controls (HC)] classification models. The regression coeficients used for each MF in the LASSO two-way and three-way classification models are provided in Table 5 and Table 7, resepectively.



FIG. 2 is a graphical depiction of pathways differentially regulated in patients with early Lyme disease and STARI. The 122 presumptively identified MFs were analyzed using MetaboAnalyst to identify perturbed pathways between early Lyme disease and STARI. The color and size of each circle is based on P values and pathway impact values. Pathways with a >0.1 impact were considered to be perturbed and differentially regulated between patients with early Lyme disease and STARI. There were a total of four pathways affected: 1) glycerophospholipid metabolism; 2) sphingolipid metabolism; 3) valine, leucine and isoleucine biosynthesis; and 4) phenylalanine metabolism.



FIGS. 3A-E show metabolite identification and the association with NAE and PFAM metabolism. Structural identification of palmitoyl ethanolamide (FIG. 3A and FIG. 3B) and other NAEs in the 261 MF biosignature indicated alteration of NAE metabolism (FIG. 3C), a pathway that can influence the production of PFAMs. Further MF identification revealed that palmitamide (FIG. 3D and FIG. 3E) and other PFAMs also differed in abundance between STARI and early Lyme disease patients. Structural identification was achieved by retention-time alignment (FIG. 3A and FIG. 3D) of authentic standard (top panel), authentic standard spiked in pooled patient sera (middle panel), and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera (bottom panel), and by comparison of MS/MS spectra (FIG. 3B and FIG. 3E) of the authentic standards (top) and the targeted metabolites in patient sera (bottom). Retention-time alignments for palmitoyl ethanolamide (FIG. 3A) and palmitamide (FIG. 3D) were generated with extracted ion chromatograms for m/z 300.2892 and m/z 256.2632, respectively. The relationship of PFAM formation to NAE metabolism is highlighted in pink in FIG. 3C. The * and ** represent steps for the formation of palmitoyl ethanolamide and palmitamide, respectively. PLA, phospholipase A; PLC, phospholipase C; PLD, phospholipase D; ADH, alcohol dehydrogenase; PAM, peptidylglycine α-amidating monooxygenase.



FIGS. 4A-C graphically depict comparisons of MF abundances from the Lyme disease-STARI biosignature against healthy controls. FIG. 4A: Fourteen of the metabolites with level 1 or level 2 structural identifications were evaluated for abundance differences between early Lyme disease (green squares) and STARI (blue triangles) normalized to the metabolite abundance in healthy controls. Included are metabolites identified for NAE and PFAM metabolism. GP-NAE: glycerophospho-N-palmitoyl ethanolamine; Lyso PA (20:4): arachidonoyl lysophosphatidic acid; CMPF: 3-carboxy-4-methyl-5-propyl-2-furanpropanoic acid. The relative mean abundance and 95% confidence intervals are shown for each metabolite.



FIG. 4B: Abundance fold change ranges (x-axis) plotted against the percent of MFs from the 261 MF early Lyme disease-STARI biosignature that have increased (light blue) or decreased (dark blue) abundances in STARI relative to healthy controls, and increased (light green) or decreased (dark green) abundances in early Lyme disease relative to healthy controls. FIG. 4C: The percent overlap of MFs between STARI and early Lyme disease that increase (dark purple) or decrease (light purple) relative to healthy controls within each abundance fold change range. An overlap of 30%, 16%, 5%, 0%, 0% and 4% was found for MFs with increased abundance relative to healthy controls, and 12%, 13%, 0%, 7%, 0%, and 8% for MFs with decreased abundance relative to healthy controls for the MFs falling within the 1.0-1.4, 1.5-1.9, 2.0-2.4, 2.5-2.9, 3.0-3.4, and ≥3.5 abundance fold ranges, respectively.



FIGS. 5A-C graphically depict evaluations of the performance of classification models described in the Example 1. FIG. 5A: LASSO scores (Xβ; i.e. the linear portion of the regression model) were calculated for Test-Set data of early Lyme disease and STARI serum samples by multiplying the transformed abundances of the 38 MFs identified in the two-way LASSO model by the LASSO coefficients of the model and summing for each sample. Scores are plotted along the y-axis; serum samples are plotted randomly along the x-axis for easier viewing. FIG. 5B: An ROC curve demonstrates the level of discrimination that is achieved between early Lyme disease and STARI using the 38 MFs of the two-way LASSO classification model by depicting a true positive rate (sensitivity; early Lyme disease) versus a false positive rate (specificity; STARI) for the Test-Set samples (Table 7). The AUC was calculated to be 0.986. The diagonal line represents an AUC value of 0.5. The performance of two-tiered testing (red dot) on the same sample set (Test-Set 1) was included as a reference for the sensitivity and specificity of the current clinical laboratory test for Lyme disease. FIG. 5C: LASSO scores (Xβi) were calculated for the Test-Set data of early Lyme disease (green spheres), STARI (blue spheres), and healthy control (black spheres) serum samples by multiplying the transformed abundances of the 82 MFs identified in the three-way LASSO model by each of three LASSO coefficients used in the model. Each axis represents the sample score in the direction of one of the three sample groups. Scores are used in calculation of probabilities of class membership, with highest probability determining the predicted class. Although there is overlap, the three groups predominantly occupy distinct areas of the plot.



FIGS. 6A-B graphically depict evaluations of intra-and inter-group variability in healthy controls (FIG. 6A) and STARI subjects (FIG. 6B). Linear discriminant analysis was performed using the 82 MFs picked by LASSO in the three-way classification model to assess the intra-group variability based on the geographical region or laboratory from which healthy control (CO-black, solid; FL-light gray, dotted; and NY-dark gray, dashed) and STARI (MO-dark blue, solid; NC-light blue, dotted; and Other-black, dashed) sera were obtained. Only slight intra-group variation was observed. This analysis also compared and showed clear differentiation of all healthy control from STARI samples regardless of geographical region or laboratory origin. Healthy controls from FL were included in this analysis to demonstrate that healthy controls from an area with low incidence of Lyme disease and where STARI cases occur do not differ from the healthy controls obtained from other regions and used in the classification modeling.



FIGS. 7A-B show data from level 1 identification of stearoyl ethanolamide. Confirmation of the structural identity of stearoyl ethanolamide was achieved by retention-time alignment (FIG. 7A) of authentic standard (top panel), authentic standard spiked in pooled patient sera (middle panel), and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera; and by comparison of MS/MS spectra (FIG. 7B) of the authentic standard (top) and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera (bottom). Retention-time alignments for stearoyl ethanolamide (FIG. 7A) were generated with extracted ion chromatograms for m/z 328.3204. MS/MS spectra for stearoyl ethanolamide were obtained with a collision energy of 20 eV.



FIGS. 8A-B show data from level 1 identification of pentadecanoyl ethanolamide. Confirmation of the structural identity of pentadecanoyl ethanolamide was achieved by retention-time alignment (FIG. 8A) of authentic standard (top panel), authentic standard spiked in pooled patient sera (middle panel), and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera; and by comparison of MS/MS spectra (FIG. 8B) of the authentic standard (top) and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera (bottom). Retention-time alignments for pentadecanoyl ethanolamide (FIG. 8A) were generated with extracted ion chromatograms for m/z 286.2737. MS/MS spectra for pentadecanoyl ethanolamide were obtained with a collision energy of 20 eV.



FIGS. 9A-B show data from level 1 identification of eicosanoyl ethanolamide. Confirmation of the structural identity of eicosanoyl ethanolamide was achieved by retention-time alignment (FIG. 9A) of authentic standard (top panel), authentic standard spiked in pooled patient sera (middle panel), and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera; and by comparison of MS/MS spectra (FIG. 9B) of the authentic standard (top) and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera (bottom). Retention-time alignments for eicosanoyl ethanolamide (FIG. 9A) were generated with extracted ion chromatograms for m/z 356.3517. MS/MS spectra for eicosanoyl ethanolamide were obtained with a collision energy of 20 eV.



FIGS. 10A-B show data from level 1 identification of glycerophospho-N-palmitoyl ethanolamine. Confirmation of the structural identity of glycerophospho-N-palmitoyl ethanolamine was achieved by retention-time alignment (FIG. 10A) of authentic standard (top panel), authentic standard spiked in pooled patient sera (middle panel), and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera; and by comparison of MS/MS spectra (FIG. 10B) of the authentic standard (top) and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera (bottom). Retention-time alignments for glycerophospho-N-palmitoyl ethanolamine (FIG. 10A) were generated with extracted ion chromatograms for m/z 454.2923. MS/MS spectra for glycerophospho-N-palmitoyl ethanolamine were obtained with a collision energy of 20 eV.



FIGS. 11A-B show data from level 1 identification of stearamide. Confirmation of the structural identity of stearamide was achieved by retention-time alignment (FIG. 11A) of authentic standard (top panel), authentic standard spiked in pooled patient sera (middle panel), and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera; and by comparison of MS/MS spectra (FIG. 11B) of the authentic standard (top) and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera (bottom). Retention-time alignments for stearamide (FIG. 11A) were generated with extracted ion chromatograms for m/z 284.2943. MS/MS spectra for stearamide were obtained with a collision energy of 20 eV.



FIGS. 12A-B show data from level 1 identification of erucamide. Confirmation of the structural identity of erucamide was achieved by retention-time alignment (FIG. 12A) of authentic standard (top panel), authentic standard spiked in pooled patient sera (middle panel), and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera; and by comparison of MS/MS spectra (FIG. 12B) of the authentic standard (top) and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera (bottom). Retention-time alignments for erucamide (FIG. 12A) were generated with extracted ion chromatograms for m/z 338.3430. MS/MS spectra for erucamide were obtained with a collision energy of 20 eV.



FIGS. 13A-B show data from level 1 identification of L-phenylalanine. Confirmation of the structural identity of L-phenylalanine was achieved by retention-time alignment (FIG. 13A) of authentic standard (top panel), authentic standard spiked in pooled patient sera (middle panel), and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera; and by comparison of MS/MS spectra (FIG. 13B) of the authentic standard (top) and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera (bottom). Retention-time alignments for L-phenylalanine (FIG. 13A) were generated with extracted ion chromatograms for m/z 166.0852. MS/MS spectra for L-phenylalanine were obtained with a collision energy of 20 eV.



FIGS. 14A-B show data from level 1 identification of nonanedioic acid. Confirmation of the structural identity of nonanedioic acid was achieved by retention-time alignment (FIG. 14A) of authentic standard (top panel), authentic standard spiked in pooled patient sera (middle panel), and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera; and by comparison of MS/MS spectra (FIG. 14B) of the authentic standard (top) and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera (bottom). Retention-time alignments for nonanedioic acid (FIG. 14A) were generated with extracted ion chromatograms for m/z 189.1122. MS/MS spectra for nonanedioic acid were obtained with a collision energy of 10 eV.



FIGS. 15A-B show data from level 1 identification of glycocholic acid. Confirmation of the structural identity of glycocholic acid was achieved by retention-time alignment (FIG. 15A) of authentic standard (top panel), authentic standard spiked in pooled patient sera (middle panel), and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera; and by comparison of MS/MS spectra (FIG. 15B) of the authentic standard (top) and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera (bottom). Retention-time alignments for glycocholic acid (FIG. 15A) were generated with extracted ion chromatograms for m/z 466.3152. MS/MS spectra for glycocholic acid were obtained with a collision energy of 20 eV.



FIGS. 16A-B show data from level 1 identification of 3-carboxy-4-methyl-5-propyl-2-furanpropanoic acid (CMPF). Confirmation of the structural identity of CMPF was achieved by retention-time alignment (FIG. 16A) of authentic standard (top panel), authentic standard spiked in pooled patient sera (middle panel), and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera; and by comparison of MS/MS spectra (FIG. 16B) of the authentic standard (top) and the targeted metabolite in pooled patient sera (bottom). Retention-time alignments for CMPF (FIG. 16A) were generated with extracted ion chromatograms for m/z 241.1069. MS/MS spectra for CMPF were obtained with a collision energy of 20 eV.



FIG. 17 shows data from level 2 identification of Lyso PA (20:4) by MS/MS spectral matching. The MS/MS fragmentation pattern for m/z 459.2502 (**) in pooled sera at RT 19.02 is shown. A match to the fragmentation of arachidonoyl lysophosphatidic acid (Lyso PA (20:4)) in the Metlin database is indicated by (*). MS/MS spectra for m/z 459.2502 were obtained with a collision energy of 20 eV.



FIG. 18 shows data from level 2 identification of 3-ketosphingosine by MS/MS spectral matching. The MS/MS fragmentation pattern for m/z 298.2740 (**) in pooled sera at RT 16.44 is shown. A match to the fragmentation of 3-ketosphingosine in the Metlin database is indicated by (*). MS/MS spectra for m/z 298.2740 were obtained with a collision energy of 20 eV.





DETAILED DESCRIPTION

Lyme disease is an illness caused by a Borrelia species (e.g., Borrelia burgdorferi, Borrelia garinii, Borellia afzelii, etc.) and is transmitted to humans through the bite of infected blacklegged ticks (Ixodes species). Lyme disease can go through several stages and may cause different symptoms, depending on how long a subject has been infected and where in the body the infection has spread. The stages of Lyme disease include Stage 1, Stage 2, and Stage 3. Stage 1 Lyme disease may also be referred to as “early localized Lyme disease” or “early Lyme disease” and usually develops about 1 day to about 4 weeks after infection. Non-limiting examples of symptoms of Stage 1 Lyme disease include erythema migrans and flu-like symptoms, such as lack of energy, headache, stiff neck, fever, chills, muscle pain, joint pain, and swollen lymph nodes. Stage 1 Lyme disease may result in one or more than one symptom. In some cases, Stage 1 Lyme disease does not result in any symptoms. Stage 2 Lyme disease may also be referred to as “early disseminated infection” and usually develops about 1 month to about 4 months after infection. Non-limiting examples of symptoms of Stage 2 Lyme disease include an erythema migrans (or additional erythema migrans rash sites), pain, weakness, numbness in the arms and/or legs, Bell's palsy (facial drooping), headaches, fainting, poor memory, reduced ability to concentrate, conjunctivitis, episodes of pain, redness and swelling in one or more large joints, rapid heartbeats (palpitations), and serious heart problems. Stage 3 Lyme disease may also be referred to as “late persistent Lyme disease” and usually develops months to years after infection. Non-limiting examples of symptoms of Stage 3 Lyme disease include arthritis, numbness and tingling in the hands, numbness and tingling in the feet, numbness and tingling in the back, tiredness, Bell's palsy (facial drooping), problems with memory, mood, sleep speaking, and heart problems (pericarditis). A subject diagnosed with Lyme disease, or suspected of having Lyme disease, may be identified on the basis of one or more symptoms, geographic location, and possibility of tick bite. Currently, several routine diagnostic tests are known for diagnosing Lyme disease. Typically these tests detect and/or quantify antibodies to one or more Borellia antigens, and are performed using common immunoassay methods such as enzyme-linked immunoassays (EIA or ELISA), immunofluorescence assays, or Western immunoblots. Generally, these tests are most reliable only a few weeks after an infection. Positive PCR and/or positive culture may also be used. (See, e.g., Moore et al., “Current Guidelines, Common Clinical Pitfalls, and Future Directions for Laboratory Diagnosis of Lyme Disease, United States,” Emerg Infect Dis. 2016, Vol. 22, No. 7). In one example, diagnostic testing may comprise a commercially-available C6 EIA. The C6 Lyme EIA measures antibody reactivity to a synthetic peptide corresponding to the sixth invariable region of VlsE, a highly conserved surface protein of the causative Borrelia burgdorferi bacterium. Alternatively, or in addition, diagnostic testing may comprise using IgM and/or IgG immunoblots following a positive or equivocal first-tier assay. As used herein, a subject that is negative for antibodies to Lyme disease causing Borrelia species need only be negative by one method of testing.


Southern tick-associated rash illness (STARI) is an illness associated with a bite from the lone star tick, Amblyomma americanum. The causative agent of STARI is unknown. The rash of STARI is a red, expanding “bull's-eye” lesion that develops around the site of a lone star tick bite. The rash of STARI may be referred to as an EM rash or an EM-like rash. The rash usually appears within 7 days of tick bite and expands to a diameter of 8 centimeters (3 inches) or more. Non-limiting examples of additional symptoms associated with STARI include discomfort and/or itching at the bite site, muscle pain, joint pain, fatigue, fever, chills, and headache. A subject diagnosed with STARI, or suspected of having STARI, may be identified on the basis of one or more symptom, geographic location, and possibility of tick bite.


Complicating the clinical differentiation between Lyme disease, and in particular early Lyme disease, and STARI are shared symptoms (for example, an EM or EM-like rash), co-prevalence of STARI and Lyme disease in certain geographic regions, and poor sensitivity of common diagnostic methods for early stages Lyme disease. The present disclosure provides a biosignature that identifies Lyme disease and southern tick-associated rash illness (STARI), and distinguishes one from the other. Various aspects of the biosignature and its use are described in detail below.


I. Definitions

So that the present disclosure may be more readily understood, certain terms are first defined. Unless defined otherwise, all technical and scientific terms used herein have the same meaning as commonly understood by one of ordinary skill in the art to which examples of the disclosure pertain. Many methods and materials similar, modified, or equivalent to those described herein can be used in the practice of the examples of the present disclosure without undue experimentation, the preferred materials and methods are described herein. In describing and claiming the examples of the present disclosure, the following terminology will be used in accordance with the definitions set out below.


The term “about,” as used herein, refers to variation of in the numerical quantity that can occur, for example, through typical measuring techniques and equipment, with respect to any quantifiable variable, including, but not limited to, mass, volume, time, distance, wave length, frequency, voltage, current, and electromagnetic field. Further, given solid and liquid handling procedures used in the real world, there is certain inadvertent error and variation that is likely through differences in the manufacture, source, or purity of the ingredients used to make the compositions or carry out the methods and the like. The term “about” also encompasses these variations, which can be up to ±5-10%, but can also be ±9%, 8%, 7%, 6%, 5%, 4%, 3%, 2%, 1%, etc. Whether or not modified by the term “about,” the claims include equivalents to the quantities.


As used herein, the term “accuracy” refers to the ability of a test (e.g., a diagnostic test, a classification model, etc.) to correctly differentiate one type of subject (e.g., a subject with Lyme disease) from one or more different types of subjects (e.g., a subject with STARI, a healthy subject, etc.). Accuracy is equal to (true positive result)+(true negative result)/(true positive result)+(true negative result)+(false positive result)+(false negative result).


The term “biosignature” refers to a plurality of molecular features forming a distinctive pattern which is indicative of a disease or condition of an animal, preferably a human.


The term “molecular feature” refers to a small molecule metabolite in a blood sample that has a mass less than 3000 Da. The term “abundance value” refers to an amount of a molecular feature in a blood sample. The abundance value for a molecular feature may be identified via any suitable method known in the art. Molecular features are defined herein by a positive ion m/z charge ratio ±a suitable tolerance to account for instrument variability (e.g., ±15 ppm) and optionally one or more additional characteristic such as retention time or a chemical structure based on accurate mass; and abundance values for each molecular feature are obtained from a measurement of the area under the peak for the monoisotopic mass of each molecular feature determined by mass spectrometry. Given that the present disclosure identifies the molecular features (i.e., small molecule metabolites) forming each biosignature, alternative methods for measuring the amount of the metabolites may be used without departing from the scope of the invention.


As used herein, the term “ROC” means “receiver operating characteristic”. A ROC analysis may be used to evaluate the diagnostic performance, or predictive ability, of a test or a method of analysis. A ROC graph is a plot of sensitivity and specificity of a test at various thresholds or cut-off values. Each point on a ROC curve represents the sensitivity and its respective specificity. A threshold value can be selected based on an ROC curve, wherein the threshold value is a point where sensitivity and specificity both have acceptable values. The threshold value can be used in applying the test for diagnostic purposes. It will be understood that if only specificity is optimized, then the test will be less likely to generate a false positive (diagnosis of the disease in more subjects who do not have the disease) at the cost of an increased likelihood that some cases of disease will not be identified (e.g., false negatives). If only sensitivity is optimized, the test will be more likely to identify most or all of the subjects with the disease, but will also diagnose the disease in more subjects who do not have the disease (e.g., false positives). A user is able to modify the parameters, and therefore select an ROC threshold value suitable for a given clinical situation, in ways that will be readily understood by those skilled in the art.


Another useful feature of the ROC curve is an area under the curve (AUC) value, which quantifies the overall ability of the test to discriminate between different sample properties, for example, to discriminate between subjects with Lyme disease and those STARI; to discriminate between subjects with STARI and healthy subjects; subjects or to discriminate between subjects with Lyme disease, STARI, and healthy subjects. A test that is no better at identifying true positives than random chance will generate a ROC curve with an AUC of 0.5. A test having perfect specificity and sensitivity (i.e., generating no false positives and no false negatives) will have an AUC of 1.00. In reality, most tests will have an AUC somewhere between these two values.


As used herein, the term “sensitivity” refers to the percentage of truly positive observations which is classified as such by a test, and indicates the proportion of subjects correctly identified as having a given condition. In other words, sensitivity is equal to (true positive result)/[(true positive result)+(false negative result)].


As used herein, the term “specificity” refers to the percentage of truly negative observations which is classified as such by a test, and indicates the proportion of subjects correctly identified as not having a given condition. Specificity is equal to (true negative result)/[(true negative result)+(false positive result).


As used herein, the term “subject” refers to a mammal, preferably a human. The mammals include, but are not limited to, humans, primates, livestock, rodents, and pets. A subject may be waiting for medical care or treatment, may be under medical care or treatment, or may have received medical care or treatment.


As used interchangeably herein, the terms “control group,” “normal group,” “control subject,” or “healthy subject” refer to a subject, or a group of subjects, not previously diagnosed with the disease in question and/or treated for the disease in question for atherapeutically effective amount of time (e.g., 12 months or more).


As used herein, the term “blood sample” refers to a biological sample derived from blood, preferably peripheral (or circulating) blood. The blood sample can be whole blood, plasma or serum.


The terms “treat,” “treating,” or “treatment” as used herein, refer to the provision of medical care by a trained and licensed health professional to a subject in need thereof. The medical care may be a diagnostic test, a therapeutic treatment, and/or a prophylactic or preventative measure. The object of therapeutic and prophylactic treatment is to prevent or slow down (lessen) an undesired physiological change or disease/disorder. Beneficial or desired clinical results of therapeutic or prophylactic treatments include, but are not limited to, alleviation of symptoms, diminishment of extent of disease, stabilized (i.e., not worsening) state of disease, a delay or slowing of disease progression, amelioration or palliation of the disease state, and remission (whether partial or total), whether detectable or undetectable. “Treatment” can also mean prolonging survival as compared to expected survival if not receiving treatment. Alternatively, the medical care may be a recommendation for no intervention. For example, no medical intervention may be needed for diseases that are self-limiting. Those in need of treatment include those already with the disease, condition, or disorder as well as those prone to have the disease, condition or disorder or those in which the disease, condition or disorder is to be prevented.


II. Biosignatures

In an aspect, the present disclosure provides a biosignature that provides an accuracy of detecting Lyme disease equal to or greater than about 80%. In another aspect, the present disclosure provides a biosignature that provides an accuracy of detecting STARI disease equal to or greater than about 80%.


A method for identifying a Lyme disease biosignature and/or a STARI biosignature is detailed in the examples. Generally speaking, the method comprises: a) obtaining test blood samples and control blood samples; b) analyzing the test blood samples and control blood samples by mass spectrometry to obtain abundance values for a plurality of molecular features in the test blood samples and the control blood samples; and c) applying a statistical modeling technique to select for a plurality of molecular features that distinguish test blood samples from control blood samples with an accuracy equal to or greater than about 80%. Test blood samples are from subjects with Lyme disease and/or STARI, either of which is confirmed using known diagnostic methods as described above; and control bloods samples are from subjects confirmed to be free of Lyme, STARI, or both using known diagnostic methods for each. The molecular features that distinguish test blood samples from control blood samples comprise the biosignature for that disease.


A blood sample may be a whole blood sample, a plasma sample, or a serum sample. Any of a variety of methods generally known in the art for collecting a blood sample may be utilized. Generally speaking, the sample collection method preferably maintains the integrity of the sample such that abundance values for each molecular feature can be accurately measured. A blood sample may be used “as is”, or a blood sample may be processed to remove undesirable constituents. In preferred examples, a blood sample is processed using standard techniques to remove high-molecular weight species, and thereby obtain an extract comprising small molecule metabolites. This is referred to herein as “deproteinization” or a “deproteinization step.” For example, a solvent or solvent mixture (e.g., methanol or the like) may be added to a blood sample to precipitate these high-molecular weight species followed by a centrifugation step to separate the precipitate and the metabolite-containing supernatant. In another example, proteases may be the added to a blood sample. In another example, size exclusion chromatography may be used.


Analysis using mass spectrometry, preferably high resolution mass spectrometry, yields abundance measures for a plurality of molecular features. The abundance value for each molecular feature may be obtained from a measurement of the area under the peak for the monoisotopic mass of each molecular feature. Identification and extraction of molecular features involves finding and quantifying all the known and unknown compounds/metabolites down to the lowest abundance, and extracting all relevant spectral and chromatographic information. Algorithms are available to identify and extract molecular features. Such algorithms include for example the Molecular Feature Extractor (MFE) by Agilent. MFE locates ions that are covariant (rise and fall together in abundance) but the analysis is not exclusively based on chromatographic peak information. The algorithm uses the accuracy of the mass measurements to group related ions-related by charge-state envelope, isotopic distribution, and/or the presence of adducts and dimers. It assigns multiple species (ions) that are related to the same neutral molecule (for example, ions representing multiple charge states or adducts of the same neutral molecule) to a single compound that is referred to as a feature. Using this approach, the MFE algorithm can locate multiple compounds within a single chromatographic peak. Specific parameters for MFE may include a minimum ion count of 600, an absolute height of 2,000 ion counts, ion species H+ and Na+, charge state maximum 1, and compound ion count threshold of 2 or more ions. Once the molecular feature has been identified and extracted, the area under the peak for the monoisotopic mass is used to determine the abundance value for the molecular feature. The monoisotopic mass is the sum of the masses of the atoms in a molecule using the unbound, ground-state, rest mass of the principal (most abundant) isotope for each element instead of the isotopic average mass. Monoisotopic mass is typically expressed in unified atomic mass units (u), also called daltons (Da).


A molecular feature is identified as a potential molecular feature for utilization in a biosignature of the present disclosure if it is present in at least 50% of either the test blood samples or the control blood samples. For example, the molecular feature may be present in at least 50%, at least 55%, at least 60%, at least 65%, at least 70%, at least 75%, at least 80%, at least 85%, at least 90%, at least 95% or 100% of either the test blood samples or the control blood samples. Additionally, a molecular feature is identified as a potential molecular feature for utilization in a biosignature of the present disclosure if it is significantly different in abundance between the test blood samples and the control blood samples. Specifically, a molecular feature is identified as being significantly different if the difference in abundance value of the molecular feature in the test blood samples versus the abundance value of the molecular feature in the blood biological samples has a p-value is less than 0.1, preferably less than 0.05, less than 0.01, less than 0.005, or less than 0.001.


To increase the stringency of the biosignature, replicates of the test blood samples and control blood samples may be analyzed. For example, the test blood samples and control blood samples may be analyzed in duplicate. Alternatively, the test biological samples and control biological samples may be analyzed in triplicate. Additionally, the test blood samples and control blood samples may be analyzed four, five or six times. The replicate analysis is used to down-select the plurality of molecular features. The down-selection results in a biosignature with increased stringency.


Once a plurality of potential molecular features has been generated, a statistical modeling technique may be applied to select for the molecular features that provide an accuracy of disease detection that is clinically meaningful. Several statistical models are available to select the molecular features that comprise a biosignature of the present disclosure. Non-limiting examples of statistical modeling techniques include LDA, classification tree (CT) analysis, random forests, and LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) logistic regression analysis. Various methods are known in the art for determining an optimal cut-off that maximizes sensitivity and/or specificity to serve as a threshold for discriminating samples obtained from subjects with Lyme disease or STARI. For the biosignatures in Table A, Table C, and Table D, the cut-off is determined by a data point of the highest specificity at the highest sensitivity on the ROC curve. However, the cut-off can be set as required by situational circumstances. For example, in certain clinical situations it may be desirable to minimize false-positive rates. These clinical situations may include, but are not limited to, the use of an experimental treatment (e.g., in a clinical trial) or the use of a treatment associated with serious adverse events and/or a higher than average number of side effects. Alternatively, it may be desirable to minimize false-negative rates in other clinical situations. Non-limiting examples may include treatment with a non-pharmacological intervention, the use of a treatment with a good risk-benefit profile, or treatment with an additional diagnostic agent. For the biosignatures in Table A, molecular feature stability across many samples and different LC-MS analyses was used as the cut-off.


In one example, the present disclosure provides a biosignature comprising each molecular feature in Table A, wherein the molecular features in the table are defined at least by their m/z ratio ±15 ppm, in some examples ±10 ppm, in some examples ±5 ppm (depending upon instrument variability). A biosignature comprising each molecular feature in Table A provides a 9800 probability of accurately detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease, including early Lyme disease, and an 89% probability of accurately detecting a sample from a subject with STARI, when discriminating between a classification of Lyme disease and STARI. A skilled artisan will appreciate that in certain examples one or more molecular feature may be eliminated from the model without a clinically meaningful, negative impact on the model.
















TABLE A











Predicted









Chemical







Retention

Structure





m/z

Time
Compound
(based on
Metabolite


MF

(positive

(see
Predicted
accurate
Class or


#
Name
ion)
Mass
examples)
Formula
mass)
Pathway






















1
CSU/CDC-001
166.0852
165.078
1.86
C9H11NO2
Phenylalanine
Phenylalanine









metabolism


2
CSU/CDC-012
270.3156
269.3076
18.02
C18H39N




3
CSU/CDC-013
284.3314
283.3236
18.13
C19H41N




4
CSU/CDC-014
300.6407
599.268
18.27
C33H37N5O6
Asp Phe Arg Tyr
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 1)



5
CSU/CDC-019
300.2892
299.2821
19.66
C18H37NO2
Palmitoyl
N-acyl








ethanolamide
ethanolamine









metabolism


6
CSU/CDC-039
734.5079
1449.9753
17.81





7
CSU/CDC-062
370.1837
369.1757
19.7
C19H23N5O3




8
CSU/CDC-066
811.1942
810.1869
12.07
C42H30N6O12




9
CSU/CDC-067
947.7976
946.7936
14.55
C62H106O6
TAG(59:7)
Triacylglycerol









metabolism


10
CSU/CDC-072
410.2033
409.196
17.18





11
CSU/CDC-075
1487.0005
1485.9987
18.17





12
CSU/CDC-086
137.0463
136.0378
1.37
C4H8O5
Threonate
Sugar









metabolite


13
CSU/CDC-
107 811.7965
810.7882
12.07





14
CSU/CDC-132
616.1776
615.1699
15.43





15
CSU/CDC-152
713.4492
712.4391
19.35
C38H65O10P
PG(32:5)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


16
CSU/CDC-155
502.3376
484.3039
19.87
C27H40N4O3
Gln Leu Pro Lys
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 2)



17
CSU/CDC-158
415.3045
414.2978
20.19





18
CSU/CDC-164
366.3729
365.3655
22.79





19
CSU/CDC-166
333.1446
332.1373
12.89
C12H20N4O7
Glu Gln Gly
Peptide


20
CSU/CDC-205
241.1069
240.0996
14.7
C12H16O5
3-Carboxy-4-
Fatty acid








methyl-5-propyl-2-
metabolism








furanpropanoic









acid (CMPF)



21
CSU/CDC-211
464.1916
463.1849
13.05
C16H29N7O7S
Arg Asp Cys Ala
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 3)



22
CSU/CDC-212
1249.2045
1248.1993
15.31





23
CSU/CDC-213
1248.9178
1247.9141
15.3





24
CSU/CDC-219
158.1539
157.1466
15.36





25
CSU/CDC-227
529.3381
528.3296
16.89
C24H44N6O7
Gln Val Leu
Peptide








Leu Gly









(SEQ ID NO: 4)



26
CSU/CDC-229
282.2776
264.2456
20.56
C18H32O




27
CSU/CDC-235
190.1260
189.1187
14.12
C9H19NOS
8-
2-








Methylthiooctanal
oxocarboxylic








doxime
acid









metabolism


28
CSU/CDC-238
382.3675
381.3603
20.23
C2H47NO2
Erucicoyl
N-acyl








ethanolamide
ethanolamine









metabolism


29
CSU/CDC-244
477.2968
476.2898
22.79
C31H40O4
Lys Lys Thr Thr
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 5)



30
CSU/CDC-248
459.3968
458.3904
19.08





31
CSU/CDC-253
342.2635
341.2565
15.62
C19H35NO4




32
CSU/CDC-254
529.3827
1022.6938
17.86





33
CSU/CDC-258
459.2502
458.2429
19.02
C23H39O7P
Lyso PA(20:4)
Glycerohospho









lipid









metabolism


34
CSU/CDC-002
239.0919
238.0844
11.66
C12H14O5
Trans-2, 3, 4-
Phenylpropano








trimethoxy-
id and








cinnamate
polyketide









metabolism


35
CSU/CDC-028
389.2174
388.2094
15.47
C19H32O8
Methyl
Fatty acid








10,12,13,15-
metabolism








bisepidioxy-16-









hydroperoxy-8E-









octadecenoate



36
CSU/CDC-182
285.2065
284.1991
16.02
C16H28O4




37
CSU/CDC-204
279.1693
278.1629
11.05
C15H22N2O3
Phe Leu
Dipeptide


38
CSU/CDC-247
714.6967
1427.3824
11.76












In one example, the present disclosure provides a biosignature comprising each molecular feature in Table B, wherein the molecular features in the table are defined at least by their m/z ratio ±15 ppm, in some examples ±10 ppm, in some examples ±5 ppm (depending upon instrument variability). The biosignature comprises each molecular feature in Table B that maintains an absolute abundance fold change of 2 or greater between Lyme disease and STARI, and maintains an abundance coefficient of variation of 0.2 or less between STARI blood samples, and maintains an abundance coefficient of variation of 0.2 or less between Lyme disease blood samples. A skilled artisan will appreciate that in certain examples one or more molecular features may be eliminated from the model without a clinically meaningful, negative impact on the model.
















TABLE B











Predicted









Chemical







Retention

Structure





m/z

Time
Compound
(based on
Metabolite


MF

(positive

(see
Predicted
accurate
Class or


#
Name
ion)
Mass
examples)
Formula
mass)
Pathway






















1
CSU/CDC-006
286.1444
285.1371
16.08
C17H19NO3
Piperine
Alkaloid









metabolism


2
CSU/CDC-021
394.3515
376.3171
20.09





3
CSU/CDC-023
284.2943
283.2872
21.15
C18H37NO
Stearamide
Primary Fatty









Acid Amide









Metabolism


4
CSU/CDC-083
482.404
481.3976
19.99





5
CSU/CDC-086
137.0463
136.0378
1.37
C4H8O5
Threonate
Sugar









metabolite


6
CSU/CDC-217
438.3787
420.3453
19.93





7
CSU/CDC-219
158.1539
157.1466
15.36





8
CSU/CDC-211
464.1916
463.1849
13.05
C16H29N7O7S
Arg Asp Cys Ala
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 3)



9
CSU/CDC-240
441.3687
440.3614
21.26
C30H48O2
4,4-Dimethyl-
Sterol








14a-formyl-5a-
metabolism








cholesta-8,24-









dien-3b-ol



10
CSU/CDC-248
459.3968
458.3904
19.08





11
CSU/CDC-258
459.2502
458.2429
19.02
C23H39O7P
Lyso PA(20:4)
Glycerophospho









lipid









metabolism









In one example, the present disclosure provides a biosignature comprising each molecular feature in Table C, wherein the molecular features in the table are defined at least by their m/z ratio ±15 ppm, in some examples ±10 ppm, in some examples ±5 ppm (depending upon instrument variability). The biosignature comprising each molecular feature in Table C provides an 85% probability of accurately detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease, including early Lyme disease, an 92% probability of accurately detecting a sample from a subject with STARI, and a 93% probability of accurately detecting a sample from a healthy subject, when discriminating between a status (classification) of Lyme disease, STARI, and healthy. A skilled artisan will appreciate that in certain examples one or more molecular features may be eliminated from the model without a clinically meaningful, negative impact on the model.
















TABLE C











Predicted









Chemical







Retention

Structure





m/z

Time
Compound
(based on
Metabolite


MF

(positive

(see
Predicted
accurate
Class or


#
Name
ion)
Mass
examples)
Formula
mass)
Pathway






















1
CSU/CDC-001
166.0852
165.078
1.86
C9H11NO2
Phenylalanine
Phenylalanine









metabolism


2
CSU/CDC-012
270.3156
269.3076
18.02
C18H39N




3
CSU/CDC-013
284.3314
283.3236
18.13
C19H41N




4
CSU/CDC-014
300.6407
599.268
18.27
C33H37N5O6
Asp Phe Arg Tyr
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 1)



5
CSU/CDC-019
300.2892
299.2821
19.66
C18H37NO2
Palmitoyl
N-acyl








ethanolamide
ethanolamine









metabolism


6
CSU/CDC-039
734.5079
1449.9753
17.81





7
CSU/CDC-062
370.1837
369.1757
19.7
C19H23N5O3




8
CSU/CDC-066
811.1942
810.1869
12.07
C42H30N6O12




9
CSU/CDC-067
947.7976
946.7936
14.55
C62H106O6
TAG(59:7)
Triacylglycerol









metabolism


10
CSU/CDC-072
410.2033
409.196
17.18





11
CSU/CDC-075
1487.0005
1485.9987
18.17





12
CSU/CDC-086
137.0463
136.0378
1.37
C4H8O5
Threonate
Sugar









metabolite


13
CSU/CDC-107
811.7965
810.7882
12.07





14
CSU/CDC-132
616.1776
615.1699
15.43





15
CSU/CDC-152
713.4492
712.4391
19.35
C38H65O10P
PG(32:5)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


16
CSU/CDC-155
502.3376
484.3039
19.87
C27H40N4O4
Gln Leu Pro Lys
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 2)



17
CSU/CDC-158
415.3045
414.2978
20.19





18
CSU/CDC-164
366.3729
365.3655
22.79





19
CSU/CDC-166
333.1446
332.1373
12.89
C12H20N4O7
Glu Gln Gly
Peptide


20
CSU/CDC-205
241.1069
240.0996
14.7
C12H16O5
3-Carboxy-4-
Fatty acid








methyl-5-propyl-
metabolism








2-furanpropanoic









acid (CMPF)



21
CSU/CDC-211
464.1916
463.1849
13.05
C16H29N7O7S
Arg Asp Cys Ala
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 3)



22
CSU/CDC-212
1249.2045
1248.1993
15.31





23
CSU/CDC-213
1248.9178
1247.9141
15.3





24
CSU/CDC-219
158.1539
157.1466
15.36





25
CSU/CDC-227
529.3381
528.3296
16.89
C24H44N6O7
Gln Val Leu Leu
Peptide








Gly









(SEQ ID NO: 4)



26
CSU/CDC-229
282.2776
264.2456
20.56
C18H32O




27
CSU/CDC-235
190.1260
189.1187
14.12
C9H19NOS
8-
2-








Methylthiooctanal
oxocarboxylic








doxime
acid









metabolism


28
CSU/CDC-238
382.3675
381.3603
20.23
C24H47NO2
Erucicoyl
N-acyl








ethanolamide
ethanolamine









metabolism


29
CSU/CDC-244
477.2968
476.2898
22.79
C31H40O4
Lys Lys Thr Thr
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 5)



30
CSU/CDC-248
459.3968
458.3904
19.08





31
CSU/CDC-253
342.2635
341.2565
15.62
C19H35NO4




32
CSU/CDC-254
529.3827
1022.6938
17.86





33
CSU/CDC-258
459.2502
458.2429
19.02
C23H39O7P
Lyso PA(20:4)
Glycerohospho









lipid









metabolism


34
CSU/CDC-003
886.4296
1770.8438
12.18





35
CSU/CDC-004
181.0859
180.0788
14.7
C10H12O3
5'-(3'-Methoxy-4'-
Endogenous








hydroxyphenyl)-
metabolite








gamma-
associated








valerolactone
with









microbiome


36
CSU/CDC-006
286.1444
285.1371
16.08
C17H19NO3
Piperine
Alkaloid









metabolism


37
CSU/CDC-008
463.2339
462.2248
16.36
C25H34O8
Ala Lys Met Asn
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 6)



38
CSU/CDC-009
242.2844
241.2772
17.1
C16H35N




39
CSU/CDC-017
590.4237
589.4194
19.24





40
CSU/CDC-026
553.3904
552.3819
23.38
C35H52O5
Furohyperforin
Endogenous









metabolite-









derived









from food


41
CSU/CDC-030
399.2364
398.2313
16.23





42
CSU/CDC-042
580.4144
1158.8173
18.26





43
CSU/CDC-052
704.4985
1372.925
18.7





44
CSU/CDC-061
623.4521
1210.8362
19.55





45
CSU/CDC-070
389.2178
388.2099
15.52
C19H32O8




46
CSU/CDC-074
1111.6690
1110.6656
17.89





47
CSU/CDC-083
482.4040
481.3976
19.99





48
CSU/CDC-084
533.1929
532.1854
20.84
C23H28N6O9
Asp His Phe Asp
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 7)



49
CSU/CDC-087
466.3152
465.3085
14.73
C26H43NO6
Glycocholic acid
Bile acid









metabolism


50
CSU/CDC-091
683.4728
1347.9062
17.56





51
CSU/CDC-095
227.0897
204.1002
9.68
C9H16O5




52
CSU/CDC-098
183.1016
182.0943
10.89
C10H14O3




53
CSU/CDC-099
476.3055
475.2993
11.09
C26H41N3O5




54
CSU/CDC-112
215.1283
214.1209
12.32
C11H18O4
alpha-Carboxy-
Endogenous








delta-
metabolite-








decalactone
derived









from food


55
CSU/CDC-115
519.1881
518.1813
12.33
C20H30N4O12
Poly-g-D-
Poly D-








glutamate
glutamate









metabolism


56
CSU/CDC-128
1086.1800
2170.3435
15.38





57
CSU/CDC-133
285.2061
284.1993
15.99
C16H28O4




58
CSU/CDC-134
357.1363
356.1284
15.98
C20H20O6
Xanthoxylol
Endogenous









metabolite-









derived from









food


59
CSU/CDC-136
299.1853
298.1781
16.24
C16H26O5
Tetranor-PGE1
Prostaglandin









metabolism


60
CSU/CDC-137
334.2580
333.2514
16.36





61
CSU/CDC-138
317.2317
316.2254
16.63





62
CSU/CDC-141
331.2471
330.2403
17.26
C18H34O5
11,12,13-
Fatty








trihydroxy-9-
acid








octadecenoic
metabolism








acid



63
CSU/CDC-144
583.3480
582.3379
18.04
C27H46N6O8
Leu Lys Glu Pro
Peptide








Pro









(SEQ ID NO: 8)



64
CSU/CDC-157
648.4672
647.4609
19.98
C34H66NO8P
PE(29:1)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


65
CSU/CDC-165
445.2880
854.5087
12.48
C45H74O15
(3b,21b)-12-
Endogenous








Oleanene-
metabolite-








3,21,28-triol 28-
derived from








[arabinosyl-(1-
food








>3)-arabinosyl-









(1->3)-









arabinoside



66
CSU/CDC-181
1486.7386
2971.4668
14.97





67
CSU/CDC-183
668.4686
1317.8969
18.04
C16H28O4
Omphalotin A
Endogenous









metabolite-









derived from









food


68
CSU/CDC-184
454.2924
436.2587
18.1
C21H41O7P
Lyso-PA(18:1)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


69
CSU/CDC-186
607.9324
606.9246
19.01





70
CSU/CDC-188
521.4202
503.3858
21.06





71
CSU/CDC-193
176.0746
175.0667
2.31





72
CSU/CDC-194
596.9082
1191.8033
19.1





73
CSU/CDC-203
532.5606
531.5555
18.38





74
CSU/CDC-206
337.1667
336.1599
20.67
C12H24N4O7




75
CSU/CDC-210
415.1634
207.0784
12.2
C8H9N5O2
6-Amino-9H-
Endogenous








purine-9-
metabolite-








propanoic acid
derived from









food


76
CSU/CDC-218
364.3407
346.3068
20.72





77
CSU/CDC-222
989.5004
1976.9858
12.03





78
CSU/CDC-224
819.6064
1635.8239
12.06





79
CSU/CDC-237
286.2737
285.2666
19.08
C17H35NO2
Pentadecanoyl
N-acyl








ethanolamide
ethanolamine









metabolism


80
CSU/CDC-245
614.4833
613.4772
19.78





81
CSU/CDC-250
298.2740
297.2668
16.44
C18H35NO2
3-Ketospingosine
Sphingolipid









metabolism


82
CSU/CDC-252
1003.7020
1002.696
18.46












In one example, the present disclosure provides a biosignature comprising each molecular feature in Table D, wherein the molecular features in the table are defined at least by their m/z ratio ±15 ppm, in some examples ±10 ppm, in some examples ±5 ppm (depending upon instrument variability). The biosignature comprising each molecular feature in Table D provides an 97% probability of accurately detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease, including early Lyme disease, and an 89% probability of accurately detecting a sample from a subject with STARI, when discriminating between a classification of Lyme disease and STARI. The biosignature comprising each molecular feature in Table D provides an 85% probability of accurately detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease, including early Lyme disease, a 92% probability of accurately detecting a sample from a subject with STARI, and a 93% probability of accurately a sample from a healthy subject, when discriminating between a classification of Lyme disease, STARI, and healthy. A skilled artisan will appreciate that one or more molecular features may be eliminated from the model without a clinically meaningful, negative impact on the model.
















TABLE D











Predicted









Chemical







Retention

Structure





m/z

Time
Compound
(based on
Metabolite


MF

(positive

(see
Predicted
accurate
Class or


#
Name
ion)
Mass
examples)
Formula
mass)
Pathway






















1
CSU/CDC-001
166.0852
165.078
1.86
C9H11NO2
Phenylalanine
Phenylalanine









metabolism


2
CSU/CDC-012
270.3156
269.3076
18.02
C18H39N




3
CSU/CDC-013
284.3314
283.3236
18.13
C19H41N




4
CSU/CDC-014
300.6407
599.268
18.27
C33H37N5O6
Asp Phe Arg Tyr
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 1)



5
CSU/CDC-019
300.2892
299.2821
19.66
C18H37NO2
Palmitoyl
N-acyl








ethanolamide
ethanolamine









metabolism


6
CSU/CDC-039
734.5079
1449.9753
17.81





7
CSU/CDC-062
370.1837
369.1757
19.7
C19H23N5O3




8
CSU/CDC-066
811.1942
810.1869
12.07
C42H30N6O12




9
CSU/CDC-067
947.7976
946.7936
14.55
C62H106O6
TAG(59:7)
Triacylglycerol









metabolism


10
CSU/CDC-072
410.2033
409.196
17.18





11
CSU/CDC-075
1487.0005
1485.9987
18.17





12
CSU/CDC-086
137.0463
136.0378
1.37
C4H8O5
Threonate
Sugar









metabolite


13
CSU/CDC-107
811.7965
810.7882
12.07





14
CSU/CDC-132
616.1776
615.1699
15.43





15
CSU/CDC-152
713.4492
712.4391
19.35
C38H65O10P
PG(32:5)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


16
CSU/CDC-155
502.3376
484.3039
19.87
C27H40N4O4
Gln Leu Pro Lys
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 2)



17
CSU/CDC-158
415.3045
414.2978
20.19





18
CSU/CDC-164
366.3729
365.3655
22.79





19
CSU/CDC-166
333.1446
332.1373
12.89
C12H20N4O7
Glu Gln Gly
Peptide


20
CSU/CDC-205
241.1069
240.0996
14.7
C12H16O5
3-Carboxy-4-
Fatty acid








methyl-5-propyl-
metabolism








2-furanpropanoic









acid (CMPF)



21
CSU/CDC-211
464.1916
463.1849
13.05
C16H29N7O7S
Arg Asp Cys Ala
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 3)



22
CSU/CDC-212
1249.2045
1248.1993
15.31





23
CSU/CDC-213
1248.9178
1247.9141
15.3





24
CSU/CDC-219
158.1539
157.1466
15.36





25
CSU/CDC-227
529.3381
528.3296
16.89
C24H44N6O7
Gln Val Leu Leu
Peptide








Gly









(SEQ ID NO: 4)



26
CSU/CDC-229
282.2776
264.2456
20.56
C18H32O




27
CSU/CDC-235
190.1260
189.1187
14.12
C9H19NOS
8-
2-








Methylthiooctanal
oxocarboxylic








doxime
acid









metabolism


28
CSU/CDC-238
382.3675
381.3603
20.23
C24H47NO2
Erucicoyl
N-acyl








ethanolamide
ethanolamine









metabolism


29
CSU/CDC-244
477.2968
476.2898
22.79
C31H40O4
Lys Lys Thr Thr
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 5)



30
CSU/CDC-248
459.3968
458.3904
19.08





31
CSU/CDC-253
342.2635
341.2565
15.62
C19H35NO4




32
CSU/CDC-254
529.3827
1022.6938
17.86





33
CSU/CDC-258
459.2502
458.2429
19.02
C23H39O7P
Lyso PA(20:4)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


34
CSU/CDC-002
239.0919
238.0844
11.66
C12H14O5
Trans-2, 3, 4-
Phenyl-








trimethoxycinna
propanoid and








mate
polyketide









metabolism


35
CSU/CDC-028
389.2174
388.2094
15.47
C19H32O8
Methyl
Fatty acid








10,12,13,15-
metabolism








bisepidioxy-16-









hydroperoxy-8E-









octadecenoate



36
CSU/CDC-182
285.2065
284.1991
16.02
C16H28O4




37
CSU/CDC-204
279.1693
278.1629
11.05
C15H22N2O3
Phe Leu
Dipeptide


38
CSU/CDC-247
714.6967
1427.3824
11.76





39
CSU/CDC-003
886.4296
1770.8438
12.18





40
CSU/CDC-004
181.0859
180.0788
14.7
C10H12O3
5'-(3'-Methoxy-4'-
Endogenous








hydroxyphenyl)-
metabolite








gamma-
associated








valerolactone
with









microbiome


41
CSU/CDC-006
286.1444
285.1371
16.08
C17H19NO3
Piperine
Alkaloid









metabolism


42
CSU/CDC-008
463.2339
462.2248
16.36
C25H34O8
Ala Lys Met Asn
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 6)



43
CSU/CDC-009
242.2844
241.2772
17.1
C16H35N




44
CSU/CDC-017
590.4237
589.4194
19.24





45
CSU/CDC-026
553.3904
552.3819
23.38
C35H52O5
Furohyperforin
Endogenous









metabolite-









derived









from









food


46
CSU/CDC-030
399.2364
398.2313
16.23





47
CSU/CDC-042
580.4144
1158.8173
18.26





48
CSU/CDC-052
704.4985
1372.925
18.7





49
CSU/CDC-061
623.4521
1210.8362
19.55





50
CSU/CDC-070
389.2178
388.2099
15.52
C19H32O8




51
CSU/CDC-074
1111.6690
1110.6656
17.89





52
CSU/CDC-083
482.4040
481.3976
19.99





53
CSU/CDC-084
533.1929
532.1854
20.84
C23H28N6O9
Asp His Phe Asp
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 7)



54
CSU/CDC-087
466.3152
465.3085
14.73
C26H43NO6
Glycocholic acid
Bile acid









metabolism


55
CSU/CDC-091
683.4728
1347.9062
17.56





56
CSU/CDC-095
227.0897
204.1002
9.68
C9H16O5




57
CSU/CDC-098
183.1016
182.0943
10.89
C10H14O3




58
CSU/CDC-099
476.3055
475.2993
11.09
C26H41N3O5




59
CSU/CDC-112
215.1283
214.1209
12.32
C11H18O4
alpha-Carboxy-
Endogenous








delta-
metabolite-








decalactone
derived









from









food


60
CSU/CDC-115
519.1881
518.1813
12.33
C20H30N4O12
Poly-g-D-
Poly D-








glutamate
glutamate









metabolism


61
CSU/CDC-128
1086.1800
2170.3435
15.38





62
CSU/CDC-133
285.2061
284.1993
15.99
C16H28O4




63
CSU/CDC-134
357.1363
356.1284
15.98
C20H20O6
Xanthoxylol
Endogenous









metabolite-









derived









from









food


64
CSU/CDC-136
299.1853
298.1781
16.24
C16H26O5
Tetranor-PGE1
Prostaglandin









metabolism


65
CSU/CDC-137
334.2580
333.2514
16.36





66
CSU/CDC-138
317.2317
316.2254
16.63





67
CSU/CDC-141
331.2471
330.2403
17.26
C18H34O5
11,12,13-
Fatty acid








trihydroxy-9-
metabolism








octadecenoic









acid



68
CSU/CDC-144
583.3480
582.3379
18.04
C27H46N6O8
Leu Lys Glu Pro
Peptide








Pro









(SEQ ID NO: 8)



69
CSU/CDC-157
648.4672
647.4609
19.98
C34H66NO8P
PE(29:1)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


70
CSU/CDC-165
445.2880
854.5087
12.48
C45H74O15
(3b,21b)-12-
Endogenous








Oleanene-
metabolite-








3,21,28-triol 28-
derived








[arabinosyl-(1-
from








>3)-arabinosyl-
food








(1->3)-









arabinoside]



71
CSU/CDC-181
1486.7386
2971.4668
14.97





72
CSU/CDC-183
668.4686
1317.8969
18.04
C16H28O4
Omphalotin A
Endogenous









derived









from









food


73
CSU/CDC-184
454.2924
436.2587
18.1
C21H41O7P
Lyso-PA(18:1)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


74
CSU/CDC-186
607.9324
606.9246
19.01





75
CSU/CDC-188
521.4202
503.3858
21.06





76
CSU/CDC-193
176.0746
175.0667
2.31





77
CSU/CDC-194
596.9082
1191.8033
19.1





78
CSU/CDC-203
532.5606
531.5555
18.38





79
CSU/CDC-206
337.1667
336.1599
20.67
C12H24N4O7




80
CSU/CDC-210
415.1634
207.0784
12.2
C8H9N5O2
6-Amino-9H-
Endogenous








purine-9-
metabolite-








propanoic
derived








acid
from









food


81
CSU/CDC-218
364.3407
346.3068
20.72





82
CSU/CDC-222
989.5004
1976.9858
12.03





83
CSU/CDC-224
819.6064
1635.8239
12.06





84
CSU/CDC-237
286.2737
285.2666
19.08
C17H35NO2
Pentadecanoyl
N-acyl








ethanolamide
ethanolamine









metabolism


85
CSU/CDC-245
614.4833
613.4772
19.78





86
CSU/CDC-250
298.2740
297.2668
16.44
C18H35NO2
3-Ketospingosine
Sphingolipid









metabolism


87
CSU/CDC-252
1003.7020
1002.696
18.46





88
CSU/CDC-005
223.0968
222.0895
14.69
C12H14O4




89
CSU/CDC-007
286.1437
285.1364
16.06
C17H19NO3




90
CSU/CDC-010
1112.6727
1111.6663
17.86





91
CSU/CDC-011
454.2923
453.2867
18.08
C21H44NO7P
Glycerophospho-
N-acyl








N-Palmitoyl
ethanolamine








Ethanolamine
metabolism


92
CSU/CDC-015
522.3580
521.3483
18.5
C26H52NO7P
PC(18:1)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


93
CSU/CDC-016
363.2192
362.2132
18.58
C21H30O5
4,5α-
Sterol








dihydrocortisone
metabolism


94
CSU/CDC-018
388.3939
387.3868
19.53





95
CSU/CDC-020
256.2632
255.2561
20.08
C16H33NO
Palmitic amide
Primary Fatty









Acid Amide









Metabolism


96
CSU/CDC-021
394.3515
376.3171
20.09





97
CSU/CDC-022
228.1955
227.1885
20.99





98
CSU/CDC-023
284.2943
283.2872
21.15
C18H37NO
Stearamide
Primary Fatty









Acid Amide









Metabolism


99
CSU/CDC-024
338.3430
337.3344
22.14
C22H43NO
13Z-
Primary Fatty








Docosenamide
Acid Amide








(Erucamide)
Metabolism


100
CSU/CDC-025
689.5604
688.5504
22.52
C38H77N2O6P
SM(d18:1-15:0) /
Sphingolipid








SM(d18:1/14:1-
metabolism








OH)



101
CSU/CDC-027
432.2803
431.2727
10.8
C25H37NO5
Ala Ile Lys Thr
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 9)



102
CSU/CDC-029
385.2211
384.2147
15.84
C16H28N6O5
Lys His Thr
Peptides


103
CSU/CDC-
449.3261
879.6122
17.07
C46H89NO12S
C22-OH
Sphingolipid








Sulfatide
metabolism


104
CSU/CDC-032
467.3821
444.2717
17.1
C24H40O8
2-glyceryl-6-
Prostaglandin








keto-PGF1α
metabolism


105
CSU/CDC-033
836.5936
835.5845
17.15
C44H85NO11S
C20 Sulfatide
Sphingolipid









metabolism


106
CSU/CDC-034
792.5646
791.5581
17.17
C42H82NO10P
PS(36:0)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


107
CSU/CDC-035
356.2802
355.2722
17.35





108
CSU/CDC-036
806.5798
805.5746
17.71
C43H84NO10P
PS(37:0)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


109
CSU/CDC-037
762.5582
761.5482
17.79
C41H80NO9P
PS-O(35:1)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


110
CSU/CDC-038
718.5308
700.4946
17.88
C39H73O8P
PA(36:2)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


111
CSU/CDC-040
690.4825
1361.924
17.95





112
CSU/CDC-041
426.1798
425.1725
18.03





113
CSU/CDC-043
741.5154
1481.0142
18.24
C83H150O17P
CL(74:6)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


114
CSU/CDC-044
864.6245
863.6166
18.17
C46H89NO11S
C22 Sulfatide
Sphingolipid









metabolism


115
CSU/CDC-045
558.4017
1080.7347
18.28





116
CSU/CDC-046
719.5012
1402.9377
18.26





117
CSU/CDC-047
536.3897
1053.7382
18.36





118
CSU/CDC-048
538.8674
1058.696
18.4





119
CSU/CDC-049
653.4619
1270.8593
18.43





120
CSU/CDC-050
732.5450
714.5092
18.47
C40H75O8P
PA(37:2)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


121
CSU/CDC-051
748.5232
1478.0059
18.58





122
CSU/CDC-053
682.4841
1328.9008
18.77





123
CSU/CDC-054
360.3615
359.3555
18.89





124
CSU/CDC-055
441.2412
440.2325
19.09
C20H32N4O7
Pro Asp Pro Leu









(SEQ ID NO: 10)



125
CSU/CDC-056
638.4554
1240.847
18.92





126
CSU/CDC-057
755.5311
1474.9941
18.94
C83H144O17P2
CL(74:9)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


127
CSU/CDC-058
711.5023
1386.9417
19.09





128
CSU/CDC-059
784.5530
1567.0908
19.27





129
CSU/CDC-060
645.4660
1271.8896
19.36





130
CSU/CDC-063
300.2886
282.2569
19.84
C18H34O2
13Z-
Fatty acid








octadecenoic
metabolism








acid



131
CSU/CDC-064
309.0981
308.0913
2.06
C15H16O7




132
CSU/CDC-065
561.2965
1120.5778
11.7
C54H88O24
Camellioside D
Endogenous









metabolite-









derived









from food


133
CSU/CDC-068
1106.2625
2209.5193
14.53





134
CSU/CDC-069
371.2070
370.1997
15.52
C15H26N6O7
His Ser Lys
Peptide


135
CSU/CDC-071
443.2649
442.256
15.52
C19H34N6O6
Pro Gln Ala Lys
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 11)



136
CSU/CDC-073
850.6093
849.6009
17.63
C48H84NO9P
PS-O(42:6)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


137
CSU/CDC-076
697.4896
1358.909
18.32





138
CSU/CDC-077
439.8234
877.6325
18.71





139
CSU/CDC-078
567.8897
566.8818
18.73





140
CSU/CDC-079
435.2506
434.243
19
C21H39O7P
Lyso-PA(18:2)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


141
CSU/CDC-080
834.6136
833.6057
18.83
C45H88NO10P
PS(39:0)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


142
CSU/CDC-081
534.8834
533.8771
18.82





143
CSU/CDC-082
468.8441
467.8373
19.13





144
CSU/CDC-085
312.3259
311.319
22.05





145
CSU/CDC-088
228.1955
227.1884
15.22





146
CSU/CDC-089
385.2211
384.2143
15.83
C20H32O7
Lys His Thr
Peptide


147
CSU/CDC-090
403.2338
402.2253
15.84
C16H30N6O6
Lys Gln Gln
Peptide


148
CSU/CDC-092
675.4753
1348.9377
18.37





149
CSU/CDC-093
682.4841
1345.9257
18.76





150
CSU/CDC-094
762.5401
1506.0367
19.36





151
CSU/CDC-177
189.1122
188.1049
12.27
C9H14O4
Nonanedioic Acid
Fatty acid









metabolism


152
CSU/CDC-097
169.0860
168.0786
9.94
C9H12O3
2,6-Dimethoxy-4-
Endogenous








methylphenol
metabolite-









derived









from food


153
CSU/CDC-100
276.1263
275.1196
11.16
C15H17NO4




154
CSU/CDC-101
314.0672
313.06
11.56
C10H12N5O5P




155
CSU/CDC-102
201.1122
200.1047
11.56
C10H16O4
Decenedioic acid
Fatty acid









metabolism


156
CSU/CDC-103
115.0391
114.0318
11.57
C5H6O3
2-Hydroxy-2,4-
Phenylalanine








pentadienoate
metabolism


157
CSU/CDC-104
491.1569
490.1504
11.56
C24H26O11




158
CSU/CDC-105
241.1054
218.1157
11.57
C10H18O5
3-Hydroxy-
Fatty acid








sebacic acid
metabolism


159
CSU/CDC-106
105.0914
104.0841
11.57





160
CSU/CDC-108
311.1472
328.1391
12.22
C18H20N2O4
Phe Tyr
Peptide


161
CSU/CDC-109
271.1543
270.1464
12.24





162
CSU/CDC-110
169.0860
168.0787
12.24
C9H12O3
2,6-Dimethoxy-4-
Endogenous








methylphenol
metabolite-









derived









from food


163
CSU/CDC-111
187.0967
186.0889
12.24
C9H14O4




164
CSU/CDC-113
475.1635
474.1547
12.25
C25H22N4O6
His Cys Asp Thr
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 12)



165
CSU/CDC-114
129.0547
128.0474
12.33
C6H8O3
(4E)-2-
Fatty acid








Oxohexenoic
metabolism








acid



166
CSU/CDC-116
125.0599
124.0527
13.12
C7H8O2
4-Methylcatechol
Catechol









metabolism


167
CSU/CDC-117
247.1550
246.1469
13.13
C12H22O5
3-Hydroxy-
Fatty acid








dodecanedioic
metabolism








acid



168
CSU/CDC-118
517.2614
516.2544
13.13
C21H36N6O9
Gln Glu Gln Ile
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 13)



169
CSU/CDC-119
301.0739
300.0658
13.14
C16H12O6
Chrysoeriol
Endogenous









metabolite-









derived









from food


170
CSU/CDC-120
327.1773
304.1885
14.17
C16H24N4O2




171
CSU/CDC-121
387.2023
386.1935
14.51
C19H30O8
Citroside A
Endogenous









metabolite-









derived









from food


172
CSU/CDC-122
875.8451
1749.684
14.55





173
CSU/CDC-123
737.5118
736.5056
14.52
C42H73O8P
PA(39:5)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


174
CSU/CDC-124
1274.3497
1273.3481
14.96





175
CSU/CDC-125
1274.2092
1273.2
14.96





176
CSU/CDC-126
1486.5728
2971.1328
14.95





177
CSU/CDC-127
965.3818
964.3727
15.37





178
CSU/CDC-129
1086.0562
2170.0908
15.38
C97H167N5O48
NeuAcalpha2-
Sphingolipid








3Galbeta1-
metabolism








3GalNAcbeta1-4(9-OAc-









NeuAcalpha2-









8NeuAcalpha2-3)









Galbeta1-









4Glcbeta-









Cer(d18:1/18:0)



179
CSU/CDC-130
1086.4344
2169.8474
15.39





180
CSU/CDC-131
1240.7800
1239.7712
15.38





181
CSU/CDC-135
317.1956
316.1885
16.24
C12H24N6O4
Arg Ala Ala
Peptide


182
CSU/CDC-139
299.2219
298.2148
16.64
C17H30O4
8E-
Fatty acid








Heptadecenedioic
metabolism








acid



183
CSU/CDC-140
748.5408
747.5317
17.23
C40H78NO9P
PS-O(34:1)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


184
CSU/CDC-142
712.4935
1422.9749
17.82
C79H140O17P2
CL(70:7)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


185
CSU/CDC-143
674.5013
673.4957
17.99
C37H72NO7P
PE-P(32:1)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


186
CSU/CDC-145
677.9537
676.9478
18.36





187
CSU/CDC-146
531.3522
530.3457
18.4
C35H46O4




188
CSU/CDC-147
585.2733
584.2649
18.39
C33H36N4O6
15,16-
Bilirubin








Dihydrobiliverdin
breakdown









products-









Porphyrin









metabolism


189
CSU/CDC-148
513.3431
512.3352
18.4





190
CSU/CDC-149
611.9156
610.9073
18.59





191
CSU/CDC-150
549.0538
531.0181
18.38





192
CSU/CDC-151
755.5311
1509.0457
18.93





193
CSU/CDC-153
599.4146
598.4079
19.59
C40H54O4
Isomytiloxanthin
Isoflavinoid


194
CSU/CDC-154
762.5029
761.4919
19.66
C43H72NO8P
PE(38:7)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


195
CSU/CDC-156
741.4805
740.4698
19.96
C40H69O10P
PG(34:5)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


196
CSU/CDC-159
516.3532
498.3199
20.27
C23H42N6O6
Ala Leu Ala Pro
Peptide








Lys









(SEQ ID NO: 14)



197
CSU/CDC-160
769.5099
768.5018
20.53
C42H73O10P
PG(36:5)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


198
CSU/CDC-161
862.5881
861.5818
20.86





199
CSU/CDC-162
837.5358
836.5274
21.11
C53H72O8
Amitenone
Endogenous









metabolite-









derived









from food


200
CSU/CDC-163
558.3995
540.367
21.44
C26H48N6O6
Leu Ala Pro Lys Ile
Peptide








(SEQ ID NO: 15)



201
CSU/CDC-167
1105.9305
2209.8462
14.53





202
CSU/CDC-168
329.1049
328.0976
14.61
C18H16O6
2-Oxo-3-
Phenylalanine








phenylpropanoic
metabolism








acid



203
CSU/CDC-169
1241.2053
1240.2
15.38





204
CSU/CDC-170
1088.6731
1087.6676
17.85





205
CSU/CDC-171
667.4391
666.4323
20.35
C37H63O8P
PA(24:5)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


206
CSU/CDC-172
133.0497
132.0423
11.57
C5H8O4
2-Acetolactic
Pantothenate








acid
and CoA









Biosynthesis









Pathway


207
CSU/CDC-173
259.1540
258.1469
11.75





208
CSU/CDC-174
311.1472
288.1574
12.23
C10H20N6O4
Asn Arg
Dipeptide


209
CSU/CDC-175
147.0652
146.0579
12.33
C6H10O4
α-Ketopantoic
Pantothenate








acid
and CoA









Biosynthesis









Pathway


210
CSU/CDC-176
169.0860
168.0788
12.29
C9H12O3
Epoxyoxophorone
Endogenous









metabolite-









derived









from food


211
CSU/CDC-096
187.0965
186.0894
9.93
C9H14O4
5-
Endogenous








Butyltetrahydro-
metabolite-








2-oxo-3-
derived








furancarboxylic
from food








acid



212
CSU/CDC-178
139.1116
138.1044
12.95
C9H14O4
3,6-Nonadienal
Endogenous









metabolite-









derived









from food


213
CSU/CDC-179
515.2811
514.2745
13.14
C26H42O10
Cofaryloside
Endogenous









metabolite-









derived









from food


214
CSU/CDC-180
283.1522
282.1444
13.93
C25H42N2O7S
Epidihydrophaseic
Endogenous








acid
metabolite-









derived









from food


215
CSU/CDC-185
706.9750
705.9684
18.7





216
CSU/CDC-187
834.5575
833.5502
20.32





217
CSU/CDC-189
683.4727
1364.9294
17.54





218
CSU/CDC-190
728.9890
1455.9633
18.63





219
CSU/CDC-191
726.5104
1451.0035
18.64
C81H144O17P2
CL(72:7)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


220
CSU/CDC-192
633.9280
632.9206
18.47





221
CSU/CDC-195
209.0784
208.0713
9.92
C17H24O3
Benzylsuccinateic
Phenylpropanoic









acid









metabolism


222
CSU/CDC-196
792.5483
1566.055
18.46





223
CSU/CDC-197
618.9221
1218.8083
19.02





224
CSU/CDC-198
549.0543
531.0189
18.37





225
CSU/CDC-199
553.7262
552.7188
18.74





226
CSU/CDC-200
756.0320
755.0266
18.95





227
CSU/CDC-201
639.6307
638.6205
19.58





228
CSU/CDC-202
753.4414
730.4513
19.37
C42H67O8P
PA(39:8)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


229
CSU/CDC-207
328.3204
327.3148
20.72
C20H41NO2
Stearoyl
N-acyl








ethanolamide
ethanolamine









metabolism


230
CSU/CDC-208
514.3718
1009.7122
18.42
C56H99NO14
3-O-acetyl-
Sphingolipid








sphingosine-
metabolism








2,3,4,6-tetra-O-









acetyl-









GalCer(d18:1/h2









2:0)



231
CSU/CDC-209
630.4594
1241.8737
19.95





232
CSU/CDC-214
244.2270
243.22
17.17
C14H29NO2
Lauroyl
N-acyl








ethanolamide
ethanolamine









metabolism


233
CSU/CDC-215
463.3426
924.6699
18.08





234
CSU/CDC-216
468.3892
450.3553
19.17
C31H46O2




235
CSU/CDC-217
438.3787
420.3453
19.93





236
CSU/CDC-220
792.0006
790.995
12.04





237
CSU/CDC-221
792.2025
791.1947
12.04





238
CSU/CDC-223
791.6016
790.594
12.04





239
CSU/CDC-225
1115.5593
2228.1028
14.95





240
CSU/CDC-226
1486.9176
2970.7976
14.96





241
CSU/CDC-228
430.3161
412.2845
20.23
C23H40O6




242
CSU/CDC-230
297.2793
296.2734
20.66
C19H36O2
Methyl oleate
Oleic acid









ester


243
CSU/CDC-231
714.3655
1426.718
11.73





244
CSU/CDC-232
714.5306
1427.0479
11.76





245
CSU/CDC-233
989.7499
1977.4865
12.03





246
CSU/CDC-234
221.0744
220.0672
13.7
C7H12N2O6
L-beta-aspartyl-
Peptide








L-serine



247
CSU/CDC-236
313.2734
312.2663
18.91
C19H36O3
2-oxo-
Fatty acid








nonadecanoic
metabolism








acid



248
CSU/CDC-239
337.2712
314.282
20.66
C19H38O3
2-Hydroxy-
Fatty acid








nonadecanoic
metabolism








acid



249
CSU/CDC-240
441.3687
440.3614
21.26
C30H48O2
4,4-Dimethyl-
Sterol








14a-formyl-5a-
metabolism








cholesta-8,24-









dien-3b-ol



250
CSU/CDC-241
425.3735
424.3666
21.5
C30H48O
Butyrospermone
Sterol









metabolism


251
CSU/CDC-242
356.3517
355.3448
21.67
C22H45NO2
Eicosanoyl
N-acyl








ethanolamide
ethanolamine









metabolism


252
CSU/CDC-243
393.2970
370.3082
22.46
C22H42O4




253
CSU/CDC-246
167.9935
166.9861
13.2
C7H5NS2




254
CSU/CDC-249
677.6170
676.6095
20.71
C47H80O2
Cholesterol ester
Sterol








(20:2)
metabolism


255
CSU/CDC-251
460.2695
459.2627
16.87
C26H37NO6




256
CSU/CDC-255
630.4765
612.4417
18.11





257
CSU/CDC-256
514.3734
1026.7281
18.41





258
CSU/CDC-257
667.4754
1315.916
19.28





259
CSU/CDC-259
516.8549
1031.6945
18.43





260
CSU/CDC-260
740.5242
1479.0334
19.4
C83H148O17P2
CL(74:7)
Glycerophosph









olipid









metabolism


261
CSU/CDC-261
1104.0614
2206.1096
15.2












III. Methods for Analyzing a Blood Sample from a Subject

In another aspect, the present disclosure provides a method for analyzing a blood sample from a subject. The method comprises performing liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry on a blood sample, and providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D. Preferably, the method further comprises deproteinizing a blood sample from a subject to produce a metabolite extract and then performing liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry on a sample of the metabolite extract. The method may comprise providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A or Table C. The method may comprise providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table B or Table D. The method may comprise providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, or Table D. The method may comprise providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table C or Table D.


A subject may be a human or a non-human mammal including, but not limited to, a livestock animal, a companion animal, a lab animal, or a zoological animal. A subject may be a rodent, e.g., a mouse, a rat, a guinea pig, etc. A subject may also be a livestock animal. Non-limiting examples of suitable livestock animals may include pigs, cows, horses, goats, sheep, llamas and alpacas. Alternatively, a subject may be a companion animal. Non-limiting examples of companion animals may include pets such as dogs, cats, rabbits, and birds. A subject may be a zoological animal. As used herein, a “zoological animal” refers to an animal that may be found in a zoo. Such animals may include non-human primates, large cats, wolves, and bears. In preferred examples, a subject is human.


Methods of the present disclosure for analyzing a blood sample may be used to monitor the progression or resolution of Lyme disease or STARI. A skilled artisan will also appreciate that infection with Borrelia species that cause Lyme disease, or with the causative agent(s) of STARI, likely commences prior to diagnosis or the onset of symptoms associated with the disease. For at least these reasons, a suitable blood sample may be from a subject that may or may not have a symptom associated with Lyme disease or STARI. Non-limiting examples of symptoms associated with Lyme disease and STARI are described above. A subject may have at least one symptom associated with Lyme disease, at least one symptom associated with STARI, or at least one symptom associated with Lyme disease and STARI. As a non-limiting example, a subject can have an erythema migrans (EM) rash or an EM-like rash. Alternatively, a subject may not have a symptom of Lyme disease or STARI but may be at risk of having Lyme disease or STARI. Non-limiting examples of risk factors for Lyme disease or STARI include living in or visiting a region endemic for Lyme disease or STARI, spending time in wooded or grassy areas, camping, fishing, gardening, hiking, hunting and/or picnicking in a region endemic for Lyme disease or STARI, and not removing tick(s) promptly or properly. In each of the above examples, suitable subjects, whether or not they have a symptom associated with Lyme disease or STARI at the time a blood sample is obtained, may or may not have received (or be receiving) treatment for Lyme disease, STARI, or another disease with symptoms similar to Lyme disease or STARI.


A blood sample may be a whole blood sample, a plasma sample, or a serum sample. Any of a variety of methods generally known in the art for collecting a blood sample may be utilized. Generally speaking, the sample collection method preferably maintains the integrity of the sample such that abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D can be accurately measured according to the disclosure. A blood sample may be used “as is”, or a blood sample may be processed to remove undesirable constituents. In preferred examples, a blood sample is processed using standard techniques to remove high-molecular weight species, and thereby obtain an extract comprising small molecule metabolites. This is referred to herein as “deproteinization” or a “deproteinization step.” For example, a solvent or solvent mixture (e.g., methanol or the like) may be added to a blood sample to precipitate these high-molecular weight species followed by a centrifugation step to separate the precipitate and the metabolite-containing supernatant. In another example, proteases may be the added to a blood sample. In another example, size exclusion chromatography may be used.


A single blood sample may be obtained from a subject. Alternatively, the molecular features may be detected in blood samples obtained over time from a subject. As such, more than one blood sample may be collected from a subject over time. For instance, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16 or more blood samples may be collected from a subject over time. For example, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 blood samples are collected from a subject over time. Alternatively, 6, 7, 8, 9, or 10 blood samples are collected from a subject over time. Further, 10, 11, 12, 13, or 14 blood samples are collected from a subject over time. Still further, 14, 15, 16 or more blood samples are collected from a subject over time. The blood samples collected from the subject over time may be used to monitor Lyme disease or STARI in a subject. Alternatively, the blood samples collected from the subject over time may be used to monitor response to treatment in a subject.


When more than one sample is collected from a subject over time, blood samples may be collected 0.5, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12 or more days apart. For example, blood samples may be collected 0.5, 1, 2, 3, or 4 days apart. Alternatively, blood samples may be collected 4, 5, 6, or 7 days apart. Further, blood samples may be collected 7, 8, 9, or 10 days apart. Still further, blood samples may be collected 10, 11, 12 or more days apart.


Once a sample is obtained, it is processed in vitro to measure abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D. All suitable methods for measuring the abundance value for each of the molecular features known to one of skill in the art are contemplated within the scope of the invention. For example, mass spectrometry may be used to measure abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D. The abundance values may be determined through direct infusion into the mass spectrometer. Alternatively, techniques coupling a chromatographic step with a mass spectrometry step may be used. The chromatographic step may be liquid chromatography. In certain examples, the abundance value for each of the molecular features may be determined utilizing liquid chromatography followed by mass spectrometry (LC-MS). In some examples, the liquid chromatography is high performance liquid chromatography (HPLC). Non-limiting examples of HPLC include partition chromatography, normal phase chromatography, displacement chromatography, reversed phase chromatography, size exclusion chromatography, ion exchange chromatography, bioaffinity chromatography, aqueous normal phase chromatography or ultrafast liquid chromatography. As used herein “mass spectrometry” describes methods of ionization coupled with mass selectors. Non-limiting examples of methods of ionization include matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization (MALDI), electrospray ionization (ESI), and atmospheric pressure chemical ionization (ACPI). Non-limiting examples of mass selectors include quadropole, time of flight (TOF), and ion trap. Further, the mass selectors may be used in combination such as quadropole-TOF or triple quadropole.


In one example, an aliquot of a serum metabolite extract may be applied to a Poroshell 120, EC-C8, 2.1×100 mm, 2.7 μm LC Column (Agilent Technologies, Palo Alto, Calif.), and metabolites may be eluted with a nonlinear gradient of acetonitrile in formic acid (e.g., 0.1%) at a flow rate of 250 μl/min with an Agilent 1200 series LC system. The eluent may be introduced directly into an Agilent 6520 quadrapole time of flight mass (Q-TOF) spectrometer and MS may be performed as previously described (27, 50). LC-MS and LC-MS/MS data may be collected under the following parameters: gas temperature, 310° C.; drying gas at 10 liters per min; nebulizer at 45 lb per in2; capillary voltage, 4,000 V; fragmentation energy, 120 V; skimmer, 65 V; and octapole RF setting, 750 V. The positive-ion MS data for the mass range of 75 to 1,700 Da may be acquired at a rate of 2 scans per sec in both centroid and profile modes in 4-GHz high-resolution mode. Positive-ion reference masses may be used to ensure mass accuracy. To monitor instrument performance, quality control samples having a metabolite extract of healthy control serum may be analyzed in duplicate at the beginning of each analysis day and every 20 samples during the analysis day. In view of the specifics disclosed in this example, a skilled artisan will be able to optimize conditions as needed when using alternative equipment or approaches.


IV. Methods for Classifying a Subject as Having Lyme Disease or STARI

In another aspect, the present disclosure provides a method for classifying a subject as having Lyme disease or STARI. The method comprises analyzing a blood sample from a subject as described in Section III to provide abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D; and comparing the abundance values to a reference set of abundance values. The statistical significance of any difference between the abundance values measured in the subject's blood sample as compared to the abundance values from the reference set is then determined. If the difference is statistically significant then a subject may be classified as having Lyme disease or STARI; if the difference is not statistically significant then a subject may be classified as not having Lyme disease or STARI. For instance, when using p-values, the abundance value of a molecular feature in a test blood sample is identified as being significantly different from the abundance value of the molecular feature in the reference set when the p-value is less than 0.1, preferably less than 0.05, less than 0.01, less than 0.005, or less than 0.001. Abundance values for the molecular features from the reference set may be determined before, after, or at the same time, as the abundance values for the molecular features from the subject's blood sample. Alternatively, abundance values for the molecular features from a reference set stored in a database may be used.


Any suitable reference set known in the art may be used; alternatively a new reference set may be generated. A suitable reference set comprises the abundance values for each of the molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D in blood sample(s) obtained from control subjects known to be positive for Lyme disease, known to be positive for STARI, known to be negative for Lyme disease, known to be negative for STARI, known to be negative for Lyme disease and STARI, healthy subjects, or any combination thereof. Further, control subjects known to be negative for Lyme disease and/or STARI may also be known to be suffering from a disease with overlapping symptoms, may exhibit serologic cross-reactivity with Lyme disease, and/or may be suffering for another spirochetal infection. A subject suffering from a disease with overlapping symptoms may have one or more of the symptoms of Lyme disease described above. Non-limiting examples of diseases with overlapping symptoms include tick-bite hypersensitivity reactions, certain cutaneous fungal infections and bacterial cellulitis with non-Lyme EM-like lesions, syphilis, fibromyalgia, lupus, mixed connective tissue disorders (MCTD), chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS), rheumatoid arthritis, depression, mononucleosis, multiple sclerosis, sarcoidosis, endocarditis, colitis, Crohn's disease, early ALS, early Alzheimers disease, encephalitis, Fifth's disease, gastroesophageal reflux disease, infectious arthritis, interstitial cystis, irritable bowel syndrome, juvenile arthritis, Menieres syndrome, osteoarthritis, prostatitis, psoriatic arthritis, psychiatric disorders (bipolar, depression, etc.), Raynaud's syndrome, reactive arthritis, scleroderma, Sjogren's syndrome, sleep disorders, and thyroid disease. Specifically, a disease with overlapping symptoms is selected from the group consisting of syphilis and fibromyalgia. Further, the disclosure provides a method of correctly distinguishing a subject with early Lyme disease from a subject exhibiting serologic cross-reactivity with Lyme disease. A 2-tier serology-based assay is frequently used to diagnose Lyme disease. However, such an assay suffers from poor sensitivity in subjects with early Lyme disease. Non-limiting examples of diseases that exhibit serologic cross-reactivity with Lyme disease include infectious mononucleosis, syphilis, periodontal disease caused by Treponema denticola, granulocytic anaplasmosis, Epstein-Barr virus infection, malaria, Helicobacter pylori infections, bacterial endocarditis, rheumatoid arthritis, multiple sclerosis, infections caused by other spirochetes, and lupus. Specifically, a disease with serologic cross-reactivity is selected from the group consisting of infectious mononucleosis and syphilis. Non-limiting examples of other spirochetal infections include syphilis, severe periodontitis, leptospirosis, relapsing fever, rate-bite fever, bejel, yaws, pinta, and intestinal spirochaetosis. Specifically, another spirochetal infection is selected from the group consisting of syphilis and severe periodontitis.


In one example, a method for classifying a subject as having Lyme disease comprises: (a) deproteinizing a blood sample from a subject to produce a metabolite extract; (b) performing liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry on a sample of the metabolite extract; (c) providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D; and (d) inputting the abundance values from step (c) into a classification model trained with samples of metabolite extracts derived from suitable controls, wherein the classification model produces a disease score and the disease score distinguishes subjects with Lyme disease. In one example, the subject has at least one symptom associated with Lyme disease. In a specific example, the subject has an erythema migrans rash or an EM-like rash. In another example, the subject does not have a symptom of Lyme disease but is at risk of having Lyme disease. In each of the above examples, the subject may or may not have received (or be receiving) treatment for Lyme disease, STARI, or another disease with symptoms similar to Lyme disease or STARI.


In another example, a method for classifying a subject as having STARI comprises: (a) deproteinizing a blood sample from a subject to produce a metabolite extract; (b) performing liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry on a sample of the metabolite extract; (c) providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D; and (d) inputting the abundance values from step (c) into a classification model trained with samples of metabolite extracts derived from suitable controls, wherein the classification model produces a disease score and the disease score distinguishes subjects with STARI. In one example, the subject has at least one symptom associated with STARI. In a specific example, the subject has an erythema migrans rash or an EM-like rash. In another example, the subject does not have a symptom of STARI but is at risk of having STARI. In each of the above examples, the subject may or may not have received (or be receiving) treatment for Lyme disease, STARI, or another disease with symptoms similar to Lyme disease or STARI.


In another example, a method for classifying a subject as having Lyme disease or STARI comprises: (a) deproteinizing a blood sample from a subject to produce a metabolite extract; (b) performing liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry on a sample of the metabolite extract; (c) providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D; and (d) inputting the abundance values from step (c) into a classification model trained with samples of metabolite extracts derived from suitable controls, wherein the classification model produces a disease score and the disease score distinguishes subjects with Lyme disease from subjects STARI, and optionally further distinguishes healthy subjects. In one example, the subject has at least one symptom associated with Lyme disease and/or at least one symptom associated with STARI. In a specific example, the subject has an erythema migrans rash or an EM-like rash. In another example, the subject does not have a symptom of Lyme disease or STARI but is at risk of having Lyme disease or STARI. In each of the above examples, the subject may or may not have received (or be receiving) treatment for Lyme disease, STARI, or another disease with symptoms similar to Lyme disease or STARI.


In each of the above examples, the classification model has been trained with samples derived from suitable controls. Any suitable classification system known in the art may be used, provided the model produced therefrom has an accuracy of at least 80% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease, including early Lyme disease, and/or an accuracy of at least 80% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI. For example, a classification model may have an accuracy of about 80%, about 85%, about 90%, about 95%, or greater for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease, including early Lyme disease, and/or an accuracy of about 80%, about 85%, about 90%, about 95%, or greater for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI. Non-limiting examples of suitable classification models include LASSO, RF, ridge regression, elastic net, linear discriminant analysis, logistic regression, support vector machines, CT, and kernel estimation. In various examples, the model has a sensitivity from about 0.8 to about 1, and/or a specificity from about 0.8 to about 1. In certain examples, area under the ROC curve may be used to evaluate the suitability of a model, and an AUC ROC value of about 0.8 or greater indicates the model has a suitable accuracy.


The classification model produces a disease score and the disease score distinguishes: (i) samples from subjects with Lyme disease from samples from subjects with STARI, or (ii) distinguishes samples from subjects with Lyme disease from samples from control subjects, or (iii) distinguishes samples from subjects with STARI from samples from control subjects, or (iv) distinguishes samples from subjects with Lyme disease, samples from subjects with STARI and samples from control subjects from one another. As a non-limiting example, LASSO scores for a subject's sample may be calculated by multiplying the respective regression coefficients resulting from LASSO analysis by the transformed abundance of each MF in the biosignature and summing for each sample. In a further example, the sample score may be transformed into probabilities for each sample being classified to each sample group. As another non-limiting example, the transformed abundances of all MFs are used to classify the sample into one of the sample groups in each classification tree developed in an RF model, where the levels of chosen MFs are used sequentially to classify the samples, and the final classification is determined by majority votes among all such classification trees in the RF model. Scores from alternative classification models may be calculated as is known in the art.


In one example, abundance values are provided for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, or Table D; the suitable controls comprise a blood sample known to be positive for Lyme disease and a blood sample known to be positive for STARI; and the classification model has an accuracy of at least 80%, at least 85%, at least 90%, or at least 95% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease and an accuracy of at least 80% or at least 85% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI. Alternatively, abundance values are provided for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, or Table D; the suitable controls include a blood sample known to be positive for Lyme disease, a blood sample known to be positive for STARI, and a blood sample known to be negative for both Lyme disease and STARI; and the classification model has an accuracy of at least 80%, at least 85%, or at least 90%, even more preferably at least 95% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease and an accuracy of at least 80% or at least 85% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI. In still another alternative, abundance values are provided for each molecular feature in Table C or Table D; the suitable controls include a blood sample known to be positive for Lyme disease, a blood sample known to be positive for STARI, and a blood sample known to be negative for both Lyme disease and STARI; and the classification model has an accuracy of at least 80%, preferably at least 85% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease; an accuracy of at least 80%, at least 85%, or at least 90% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI; and an accuracy of at least 80%, at least 85%, at least 90%, or at least 95% for detecting a sample from a healthy subject.


V. Methods for Treating a Subject as Having Lyme Disease or STARI

Another aspect of the disclosure is a method for treating a subject based on the subject's classification as having Lyme disease or STARI as described in Section IV. Treatment may be with a non-pharmacological treatment, a pharmacological treatment, or an additional diagnostic test.


In one example, the method comprises (a) obtaining a disease score from a test; (b) diagnosing the subject with Lyme disease based on the disease score; and (c) administering a treatment to the subject with Lyme disease, wherein the test comprises measuring the amount of each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D; providing abundance values for each molecular feature measured; and inputting the abundance values into a classification model trained with samples derived from suitable controls, wherein the classification model produces a disease score and the disease score distinguishes subjects with Lyme disease from subjects with STARI, and optionally from healthy subjects. In some examples, the test is a method of Section IV. In further examples, the test comprises (i) deproteinizing a blood sample from a subject to produce a metabolite extract; (ii) performing liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry on a sample of the metabolite extract; (iii) providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C or Table D; and (iv) inputting the abundance values from step (iii) into a classification model trained with samples of metabolite extracts derived from suitable controls, wherein the classification model produces a disease score and the disease score distinguishes subjects with Lyme disease. Suitable controls are described above. In one example, abundance values are provided for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, or Table D; the suitable controls comprise a blood sample known to be positive for Lyme disease and a blood sample known to be positive for STARI; and the classification model has an accuracy of at least 80%, at least 85%, at least 90%, or at least 95% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease and an accuracy of at least 80% or at least 85% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI. Alternatively, abundance values are provided for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, or Table D; the suitable controls include a blood sample known to be positive for Lyme disease, a blood sample known to be positive for STARI, and a blood sample known to be negative for both Lyme disease and STARI; and the classification model has an accuracy of at least 80%, at least 85%, or at least 90%, even more preferably at least 95% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease and an accuracy of at least 80% or at least 85% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI. In still another alternative, abundance values are provided for each molecular feature in Table C or Table D; the suitable controls include a blood sample known to be positive for Lyme disease, a blood sample known to be positive for STARI, and a blood sample known to be negative for both Lyme disease and STARI; and the classification model has an accuracy of at least 80%, preferably at least 85% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease; an accuracy of at least 80%, at least 85%, or at least 90% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI; and an accuracy of at least 80%, at least 85%, at least 90%, or at least 95% for detecting a sample from a healthy subject.


Treatment may comprise one or more standard treatments for Lyme disease. Non-limiting examples of standard pharmacological treatments for Lyme disease include an antibiotic, an antibacterial agent, a vaccine, an immune modulator, an anti-inflammatory agent, or a combination thereof. Suitable antibiotics include, but are not limited to, amoxicillin, doxycycline, cefuroxime axetil, amoxicillin-clavulanic acid, macrolides, ceftriaxone, cefotaxmine, and penicillin G. Antibiotics may be administered orally or parenterally. Alternatively, treatment may comprise one or more experimental pharmacological treatment (e.g., treatment in a clinical trial). In each of the above examples, treatment may be for the acute or disseminated stage of the disease, or may be a prophylactic treatment. For example, following successful resolution of a primary Borrrelia infection, the subject may be treated with a vaccine to prevent future infections. In still other examples, treatment may comprise further diagnostic testing. For example, if a subject has early Lyme disease but was negative for Lyme disease by current diagnostic testing (e.g., first-tier testing performed using the C6 EIA and second tier testing using IgM and/or IgG immunoblots following a positive or equivocal first-tier assay), additional testing may be ordered after an amount of time has elapsed (e.g., 3, 5, 7, 10, 14 days or more) to confirm the initial diagnosis.


In another example, the method comprises (a) obtaining a disease score from a test; (b) diagnosing the subject with STARI based on the disease score; and (c) administering a treatment to the subject with STARI, wherein the test comprises measuring the amount of each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C, or Table D; providing abundance values for each molecular feature measured; and inputting the abundance values into a classification model trained with samples derived from suitable controls, wherein the classification model produces a disease score and the disease score distinguishes subjects with STARI from subjects with Lyme disease, including early Lyme disease, and optionally from healthy subjects. In some examples, the test is a method of Section IV. In further examples, the test comprises (i) deproteinizing a blood sample from a subject to produce a metabolite extract; (ii) performing liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry on a sample of the metabolite extract; (iii) providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, Table C or Table D; and (iv) inputting the abundance values from step (iii) into a classification model trained with samples of metabolite extracts derived from suitable controls, wherein the classification model produces a disease score and the disease score distinguishes subjects with STARI. Suitable controls are described above. In one example, abundance values are provided for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, or Table D; the suitable controls comprise a blood sample known to be positive for Lyme disease and a blood sample known to be positive for STARI; and the classification model has an accuracy of at least 80%, at least 85%, at least 90%, or at least 95% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease and an accuracy of at least 80% or at least 85% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI. Alternatively, abundance values are provided for each molecular feature in Table A, Table B, or Table D; the suitable controls include a blood sample known to be positive for Lyme disease, a blood sample known to be positive for STARI, and a blood sample known to be negative for both Lyme disease and STARI; and the classification model has an accuracy of at least 80%, at least 85%, or at least 90%, even more preferably at least 95% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease and an accuracy of at least 80% or at least 85% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI. In still another alternative, abundance values are provided for each molecular feature in Table C or Table D; the suitable controls include a blood sample known to be positive for Lyme disease, a blood sample known to be positive for STARI, and a blood sample known to be negative for both Lyme disease and STARI; and the classification model has an accuracy of at least 80%, preferably at least 85% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease; an accuracy of at least 80%, at least 85%, or at least 90% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI; and an accuracy of at least 80%, at least 85%, at least 90%, or at least 95% for detecting a sample from a healthy subject.


Treatment may comprise one or more standard treatments for STARI. There are no therapeutic agents specifically approved for STARI, in part because the causative agent is not known. Nonetheless, non-limiting examples of standard pharmacological treatments for STARI include an antibiotic, an antibacterial agent, a vaccine, an immune modulator, an anti-inflammatory agent, or a combination thereof. Suitable antibiotics include, but are not limited to, amoxicillin, doxycycline, cefuroxime axetil, amoxicillin-clavulanic acid, macrolides, ceftriaxone, cefotaxmine, and penicillin G. Antibiotics may be administered orally or parenterally. Alternatively, treatment may comprise one or more experimental pharmacological treatment (e.g., treatment in a clinical trial). In each of the above examples, treatment may be for acute disease, or may be a prophylactic treatment. For example, following successful treatment of STARI (as defined the by the current clinical standard of the time), the subject may be treated with a vaccine to prevent future infections. In still other another example, treatment may comprise further diagnostic testing. For example, if a subject is diagnosed with STARI, additional testing may be ordered after an amount of time has elapsed (e.g., 3, 5, 7, 10, 14 days or more) to confirm the initial diagnosis. In yet another example, treatment may consist of supportive care only, e.g., non-pharmacological treatments or over-the-counter pharmaceutical agents to alleviate symptoms, such as fever, aches, etc.


In certain examples, obtaining a result from a test of Section IV comprises analyzing a blood sample obtained from the subject as described in Section III and/or classifying the subject as described in Section IV. In certain examples, obtaining a result from a test of Section IV comprises requesting (e.g., placing a medical order or prescription) from a third party a test that analyzes a blood sample obtained from the subject as described in Section III and classifies the subject as described in Section IV, or requesting from a third party a test that analyzes a blood sample obtained from the subject as described in Section III, and then performing the classification as described in Section IV.


In each of the above examples, the method may further comprise obtaining a second result (for a sample obtained from the subject after treatment has begun) from the same test of Section IV as before treatment and adjusting treatment based on the test result.


Accordingly, yet another aspect of the disclosure is a method for monitoring the effectiveness of a therapeutic agent intended to treat a subject with Lyme disease or STARI. The method comprises obtaining a result from a test of Section IV, administering a therapeutic agent to the subject, obtaining a result from the same test of Section IV as before treatment, wherein the treatment is effective if the disease score classifies the subject as more healthy than before. A first sample obtained before treatment began may be used as a baseline. Alternatively, the first sample may be obtained after treatment has begun. Samples may be collected from a subject over time, including 0.5, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12 or more days apart. For example, blood samples may be collected 0.5, 1, 2, 3, or 4 days apart. Alternatively, blood samples may be collected 4, 5, 6, or 7 days apart. Further, blood samples may be collected 7, 8, 9, or 10 days apart. Still further, blood samples may be collected 10, 11, 12 or more days apart.


The following examples are included to demonstrate preferred examples of the invention. It should be appreciated by those of skill in the art that the techniques disclosed in the examples that follow represent techniques discovered by the inventors to function well in the practice of the invention. Those of skill in the art should, however, in light of the present disclosure, appreciate that changes may be made in the specific examples that are disclosed and still obtain a like or similar result without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention. Therefore, all matter set forth or shown in the examples and accompanying drawings is to be interpreted as illustrative and not in a limiting sense.


EXAMPLES

The following examples illustrate various iterations of the invention.


Example 1

Lyme disease is a multisystem bacterial infection that in the United States is primarily caused by infection with Borrelia burgdorferi sensu stricto. Over 300,000 cases of Lyme disease are estimated to occur annually in the United States, with over 3.4 million laboratory diagnostic tests performed each year (1, 2). Symptoms associated with this infection include fever, chills, headache, fatigue, muscle and joint aches, and swollen lymph nodes; however, the most prominent clinical manifestation in the early stage is the presence of one or more erythema migrans (EM) skin lesions (3). This annular, expanding erythematous skin lesion occurs at the site of the tick bite in 70 to 80% of infected individuals and is typically 5 cm or more in diameter (4, 5). Although an EM lesion is a hallmark for Lyme disease, other types of skin lesions can be confused with EM (3, 5, 6). These include rashes caused by tick-bite hypersensitivity reactions, certain cutaneous fungal infections, bacterial cellulitis and the rash of southern tick-associated rash illness (STARI) (7, 8).


STARI is associated with a bite from the lone star tick (Amblyomma americanum) and, in addition to the development of an EM-like skin lesion, individuals with STARI can present with mild systemic symptoms (including muscle and joint pains, fatigue, fever, chills, and headache) that are similar to those occurring in patients with Lyme disease (7, 9, 10). These characteristics of STARI have led some to postulate that the etiology of this illness is a Borrelia species, including B. burgdorferi (10, 11) or B. lonestari (12-15); however, multiple studies have refuted that STARI is caused by B. burgdorferi (7, 16-19) and additional cases associating B. lonestari with STARI have not emerged (20, 21). Additionally, STARI patients have been screened serologically for reactivity to rickettsial agents, but no evidence was obtained to demonstrate that rickettsia causes this illness (10, 22). Thus, at present no infectious etiology is known for STARI.


STARI cases occur over the geographic region where the lone star tick is present. This includes a region that currently expands from central Texas and Oklahoma upward into the Midwestern states and eastward, including the southern states and along the Atlantic coast into Maine (23). Unlike STARI, Lyme disease is transmitted to humans through the bite of the blacklegged tick (Ixodes scapularis) that is present in the northeastern, mid-Atlantic, and north-central United States, and the western blacklegged tick (I. pacificus), which is present on the Pacific Coast (24). The geographic distribution of human Lyme disease and the vectors for this disease is expanding (24-26), and there is a similar expansion of areas inhabited by the lone star tick (23). Importantly, a strict geographic segregation of Lyme disease and STARI does not exist, as there are regions where STARI and Lyme disease are co-prevalent (25). Thus, there is a growing need for diagnostic methods to differentiate between Lyme disease and STARI, and that facilitate proper treatment, patient management and disease surveillance.


Clinically, the skin lesions of STARI and early Lyme disease are indistinguishable, and no laboratory tool or method exists for the diagnosis of STARI or differentiation of STARI from Lyme disease. The only biomarkers evaluated for differential diagnosis of early Lyme disease and STARI have been serum antibodies to B. burgdorferi (10, 16). However, these tests have poor sensitivity for early stages of Lyme disease, and thus a lack of B. burgdorferi antibodies cannot be used as a reliable differential marker for STARI.


The experiments herein describe the development of a metabolomics-driven approach to identify biomarkers that discriminate early Lyme disease from STARI, and provide evidence that these two diseases are biochemically distinct. A retrospective cohort of well-characterized sera from patients with early Lyme disease and STARI was evaluated to identify a differentiating metabolic biosignature. Using statistical modeling, this metabolic biosignature accurately classified test samples that included healthy controls. Additionally, the metabolic biosignature revealed that N-acyl ethanolamine (NAE) and primary fatty acid amide (PFAM) metabolism differed significantly between these two diseases.


Clinical samples: A total of 220 well-characterized retrospective serum samples from three different repositories were used to develop and test a metabolic biosignature that accurately classifies early Lyme disease and STARI (Table 2). All samples from Lyme disease patients were culture confirmed and/or PCR positive for B. burgdorferi. The median age for early Lyme disease patients was 45 years and 74% were males. STARI patients had an overall median age of 45 years and 55% were males.


To establish a Lyme disease diagnostic baseline, the recommended two-tiered serology testing for Lyme disease was performed on all samples. First-tier testing was performed using the C6 EIA and was positive for 66% of Lyme disease samples. When STARI and healthy controls were tested by the C6 EIA, two STARI samples (2%) and five healthy controls (9%) tested positive or equivocal. Two-tiered testing using IgM and IgG immunoblots as the second-tier test following a positive or equivocal first-tier assay resulted in a sensitivity of 44% for early Lyme disease samples (duration of illness was not considered for IgM immunoblot testing). The sensitivity of two-tiered testing for early Lyme disease samples included in the Discovery/Training-Sets and the Test-Sets was 38% and 53%, respectively. All STARI and healthy control samples were negative by two-tiered testing (Table 2).


Development of a metabolic biosignature for early Lyme disease and STARI differentiation: Metabolic profiling by liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS) of a retrospective cohort of well-characterized sera from patients with early Lyme disease (n=40) and STARI (n=36) (Table 2 and FIG. 1) comprising the Discovery-Set (i.e. Test-Set samples that were not used in molecular feature selection) resulted in a biosignature of 792 molecular features (MFs) that differed significantly (adjusted-p<0.05) with a ≥2 fold change in relative abundance between early Lyme disease and STARI. Down-selection of MFs based on their robustness in replicate analyses of the same sera produced a refined biosignature of 261 MFs (FIG. 1 and Table 3). Of these 261 MFs, 60 and 201 displayed an increased and decreased abundance, respectively, in early Lyme disease as compared to STARI. The large number of MFs that differed significantly between early Lyme disease and STARI patients indicated that these two patient groups had distinguishing biochemical profiles. These variances were applied to define alterations of specific metabolic pathways (FIG. 1) and used to develop diagnostic classification models (FIG. 1).


In silico analysis of metabolic pathways: Presumptive chemical identification was applied to the 261 MFs. This yielded predicted chemical formulae for 149 MFs, and 122 MFs were assigned a putative chemical structure based on interrogation of each MF's monoisotopic mass (+ or −15 ppm) against the Metlin database and the Human Metabolome Database (HMDB) (Table 3). An in silico interrogation of potentially altered metabolic pathways was performed using the presumptive identifications for the 122 MFs and MetaboAnalyst (28). Four differentiating pathways were predicted to have the greatest impact, with the most significant being glycerophospholipid metabolism and sphingolipid metabolism (FIG. 2 and Table 4). Specifically, the MetaboAnalyst analysis indicated that differences in phosphatidic acid, phosphatidylethanolamine, phosphatidylcholine and lysophosphotidylcholine were the major contributors to altered glycerophospholipid metabolism between STARI and early Lyme disease (Table 4). Altered sphingolipid metabolism between these two groups was attributable to changes in the relative abundances of sphingosine, dehydrosphinganine and sulfatide (Table 4). Manual interrogation of the predicted structural identifications revealed that 26 and 7 of the 122 MFs assigned a putative structural identification were associated with glycerophospholipid and sphingolipid metabolism, respectively (Table 3).


Elucidation of altered NAE metabolism: The prediction of altered metabolic pathways was based on the presumptive structural identification of the early Lyme disease versus STARI differentiating MFs. Thus, to further define the metabolic differences between these two patient groups, structural confirmation of selected MFs was undertaken. Two MFs that displayed relatively large abundance differences (m/z 300.2892, RT 19.66; and m/z 328.3204, RT 20.72) were putatively identified as sphingosine-C18 or 3-ketosphinganine, and sphingosine-C20 or N,N-dimethyl sphingosine, respectively. However, both of these MFs had alternative predicted structures of palmitoyl ethanolamide and stearoyl ethanolamide, respectively. The interrogation of authentic standards against these two serum MFs revealed RTs and MS/MS spectra that identified the m/z 300.2892 and m/z 328.3204 products as palmitoyl ethanolamide (FIGS. 3A and 3B) and stearoyl ethanolamide (FIG. 7), respectively. These two products, as well as other NAEs, are derived from phosphatidylethanolamine and phosphatidylcholine, and represent a class of structures termed endocannabinoids and endocannabinoid-like (29) (FIG. 3C). Further analysis of the 122 MFs identified five additional MFs with a predicted structure that mapped to the NAE pathway. Specifically, MF m/z 286.2737, RT 19.08 was putatively identified as a sphingosine-C17 or pentadecanoyl ethanolamide, and was confirmed to be the latter (FIG. 8). MF m/z 356.3517, RT 21.67 was putatively identified and confirmed to be eicosanoyl ethanolamide (FIG. 9), and MF m/z 454.2923, RT 18.08 was confirmed to be glycerophospho-N-palmitoyl ethanolamine (FIG. 10), which is an intermediate in the formation of palmitoyl ethanolamide. A second group of lipids, the PFAMs that act as signaling molecules and that are potentially associated with the metabolism of NAEs were also identified as having significant relative abundance differences between the early Lyme disease and STARI patient samples. Specifically, MFs m/z 256.2632, RT 20.08; m/z 284.2943, RT 21.15; and m/z 338.3430, RT 22.14 were confirmed to be palmitamide (FIG. 3D and FIG. 3E), stearamide (FIG. 11) and erucamide (FIG. 12), respectively.


The large number of differentiating MFs associated with NAE metabolism suggested that this is a major biological difference between STARI and early Lyme disease (FIG. 3C and Table 3). Four additional MFs of the 261 MF biosignature, and that fit known host biochemical pathways, were also structurally confirmed. These included L-phenylalanine (FIG. 13), nonanedioic acid (FIG. 14), glycocholic acid (FIG. 15) and 3-carboxy-4-methyl-5-propyl-2-furanpropanoic acid (CMPF) (FIG. 16). Additionally, two MFs that provided strong matches to MS/MS spectra in the Metlin databases were putatively identified as arachidonoyl lysophosphatidic acid [Lyso PA (20:4)] (FIG. 17) and 3-ketosphingosine (FIG. 18).


The 261 MF biosignature list revealed metabolic dissimilarity between Lyme disease and STARI: To test whether early Lyme disease and STARI represent distinct metabolic states that would be reflected in the comparison of MF abundances in these two disease states to those of healthy controls, the abundance fold-change for each structurally confirmed MF in early Lyme disease and STARI sera as compared to healthy controls was determined. This revealed that the majority of these MFs maintained fold change differences with respect to healthy controls that allowed for segregation of early Lyme disease and STARI patient samples (FIG. 4A). For three MFs (3-ketosphingosine, CMPF, and Lyso PA 20:4), the levels in early Lyme disease were increased as compared to the healthy controls while the levels in STARI were decreased. Additionally, all of the NAEs and PFAMs had abundances in early Lyme disease patients that were closer to those of healthy controls, whereas the abundances in STARI were greatly increased. This analysis was expanded to all 261 MFs of the early Lyme disease-STARI biosignature (FIG. 4B). The percent of MFs with increased and decreased abundances relative to healthy controls were similar across the abundance fold changes for both early Lyme disease and STARI. However, when the MFs with increased or decreased abundances were compared between early Lyme disease and STARI for each range of abundance fold change, the concordance was low (0 to 30%) (FIG. 4C). This indicated that the metabolic changes in early Lyme disease and STARI as compared to healthy controls differed.


Diagnostic classification of early Lyme disease vs STARI: Classification models were used to determine whether the 261 MF biosignature could be applied to discriminate early Lyme disease from STARI (Table 1 and FIG. 1). Specifically, two classification models, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and random forest (RF) were trained with the 261 MF biosignature using abundance data from the Training-Set samples only (FIG. 1). Test-Set samples were not used for molecular feature selection or to train the classification models. The LASSO model selected 38 MFs, and RF by default does not perform feature selection and thus used all 261 MFs for classification of the STARI and early Lyme disease patient populations (Table 3 and Table 5). When Test-Set samples (FIG. 1) (i.e. those not included in the Discovery/Training-Set) were tested in duplicate, early Lyme disease samples were classified by RF and LASSO with an accuracy of 97% and 98%, respectively. The STARI samples had a classification accuracy of 89% with both models (Table 1 and Table 6). A depiction of the LASSO scores for the Test-Set data showed segregation of the early Lyme disease and STARI patient samples, and demonstrated the discriminating power of the 38 MFs selected by the LASSO model (FIG. 5A). A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to demonstrate the performance of the LASSO model for differentiating early Lyme disease from STARI patients. The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to be 0.986 (FIG. 5B). The 38 MFs of the LASSO model encompassed four of the 14 structurally confirmed metabolites: CMPF, L-phenylalanine, palmitoyl ethanolamide, and arachidonoyl lysophosphatidic acid (Table 3).


Diagnostic classification of early Lyme disease vs STARI vs healthy controls: Separate three-way classification models using LASSO and RF were developed by including LC-MS data collected for healthy controls in the Training-Set samples (FIG. 1). For model training LASSO selected 82 MFs (Table 3). The regression coefficients for the 82 MFs selected by LASSO are provided in Table 7. Evaluation of the RF and LASSO three-way classification models with Test-Set samples (those not used in the Discovery/Training-Sets) revealed classification accuracies of 85% and 92% for early Lyme disease and STARI, respectively. Surprisingly, healthy controls were classified with accuracies of 95% and 93% with the RF and LASSO models, respectively (Table 1 and Table 8). Plotting of LASSO scores calculated for Test-Set data revealed three groupings that corresponded with early Lyme disease, STARI and healthy controls (FIG. 5C). Of the early Lyme disease samples that were misclassified with the RF model (n=9), all were predicted to be healthy controls; and those misclassified by the LASSO model (n=9), three were classified as STARI and six as healthy controls. Of the STARI samples that were misclassified by the RF and LASSO models (n=3 for both models), all samples were misclassified as early Lyme disease. When healthy controls were misclassified using the RF model (n=2) and LASSO model (n=3), all were misclassified as early Lyme disease.


Of the 38 MFs selected by LASSO for the two-way classification model, 33 were included in the 82 MFs of the LASSO three-way classification model (Table 3). The 82 MFs of the LASSO three-way classification included seven of the 14 structurally confirmed metabolites: 3-ketosphingosine, glycocholic acid and pentadecanoyl ethanolamide, as well as the four included in the LASSO two-way classification model (Table 3).


Biosignature was not influenced by geographic variability: Since retrospective samples collected by multiple laboratories were used in these studies, analyses were performed to assess whether a geographic bias was introduced. To address this, three healthy control groups and three STARI groups (all early Lyme disease samples came from one geographic region) were evaluated by linear discriminant analysis using the 82 MFs of the LASSO three-way classification model (FIG. 6). For healthy controls, those samples used in the modeling (collected in New York and Colorado) were evaluated. Additionally, healthy controls from Florida, a region with low prevalence for Lyme disease and reported to have STARI cases, were included to evaluate whether samples collected in the southern United States would differ from those collected in New York or Colorado. For STARI, three patient samples groups collected in Missouri, NC and other states (included VA, GA, KY, TN, AL, IA and NE) were compared. The linear discriminant analysis demonstrated that although slight variation exists between the three healthy control groups (NY, CO and FL), there is greater variability between all healthy controls and all STARI samples than within healthy controls or STARI samples based on geographic location of collection (FIG. 6).


Discussion: The inability to detect B. burgdorferi by PCR or culture and the lack of a serological response to B. burgdorferi antigens in STARI patients is widely accepted as evidence that the etiologies of STARI and Lyme disease differ (7, 16). This is further supported by the different tick species associated with these two diseases (8, 25). Nevertheless, the strong overlap in clinical symptoms, including the development of an EM-like skin lesion, creates confusion and controversy for the clinical differentiation of STARI and Lyme disease (30). The data reported here demonstrated marked differences between the metabolic profiles of early Lyme disease and STARI patients, and thus provide compelling positive data to support the concept that these two illnesses are distinct entities. Interestingly, metabolic pathway analyses and the structural identification of several MFs with significant abundance differences between early Lyme disease and STARI identified multiple NAEs. These endogenous lipid mediators are derived from phosphatidylcholine and phospahtidylethanolamine via the endocannabinoid system (FIG. 3C) (29). Arachidonoylethanolamide (AEA) is the most widely studied endocannabinoid, as it is an endogenous agonist of the cannabinoid receptors; however, it is a minor component of animal tissues. In contrast, congeners of AEA, such as the NAEs identified in the early Lyme disease-STARI biosignature, are significant products of animal tissues, including the skin (29, 31). The serum levels of NAEs possessing long-chain saturated fatty acids were significantly increased in the serum of STARI patients. These NAEs are produced in response to inflammation, and act in an anti-inflammatory manner as agonists of PPAR-α or by enhancing AEA activity (32, 33). The NAEs are generally degraded via fatty acid amide hydrolase; however, it was recently demonstrated that NAEs can be converted to N-acylglycine structures via an alcohol dehydrogenase, and further degraded to PFAMs (34). Interestingly, the data generated from these studies not only demonstrated a STARI-associated increase in NAEs with saturated fatty acids, but also an increase in the corresponding PFAMs. Although the mechanism for the increased abundance of NAEs and PFAMs in STARI patients is unknown, decrease in fatty acid amide hydrolase activity which releases free fatty acids from both NAEs and PFAMs would result in the observed increase in abundance of these metabolites (35). The anti-inflammatory activity of the NAEs also raises the possibility that these metabolites are partially responsible for the milder symptoms associated with STARI (9). As the enzymes involved with the genesis and degradation of NAEs and PFAMs are known (29, 36), studies can be constructed to further elucidate the mechanism(s) by which NAEs and PFAMs accumulate in the sera of STARI patients.


This current work expands demonstrates the ability to distinguish early Lyme disease from an illness with nearly identical symptoms or what would be considered a Lyme disease-like illness (37). The existing diagnostic algorithm for Lyme disease is a two-tiered serologic approach that utilizes an EIA or IFA as a first-tier test followed by IgM and IgG immunoblotting as the second-tier test (38). For early Lyme disease, the sensitivity of this diagnostic is 29-40% and the specificity is 95-100% (39). The current antibody-based approaches do not distinguish between active and previous infections, an important limitation. In the current study all of the STARI samples were negative by two-tiered testing, and only 2% were positive by the first-tier EIA. Early Lyme disease samples were 44% positive (38% positivity for the early Lyme disease samples used in the Discovery and Training Sets and 53% positivity for early Lyme disease samples used in the Test Sets) by two-tiered testing. In contrast, when classification modeling was applied to the 261 MFs of the early Lyme disease-STARI biosignature, diagnostic accuracy for early Lyme disease was dramatically increased (85 to 98% accuracy depending on the model) as compared to serology. Classification by RF or LASSO was overall highly accurate for early Lyme disease and STARI, in particular when using the two-way classification models. Interestingly, when healthy controls were introduced and used to develop a three-way classification model there was a slight increase in the accuracy for STARI and decrease in the accuracy for early Lyme disease, but healthy controls were classified with a 93-95% accuracy. This was surprising as healthy controls were not used to create the initial 261 MF biosignature, and furthers supported that STARI and early Lyme disease are metabolically distinct from healthy controls, but in different ways.


To date the development of a diagnostic tool for STARI or for differentiation of early Lyme disease and STARI has received little attention. As the geographic distribution of Lyme disease continues to expand (25, 26), so will the geographic range where there is overlap of Lyme disease and STARI. Thus, a diagnostic tool that accurately differentiates these two diseases could have a major impact on patient management. Lyme disease is treated with antibiotics, and although there is no defined infectious etiology for STARI, this illness is also commonly treated in a similar manner (7, 20, 40). Establishment of a robust diagnostic tool would not only facilitate antibiotic stewardship, it would also allow for proper studies to assess the true impact of therapies for STARI. Lyme disease is also a reportable disease and in order to maintain accurate disease surveillance in low incidence areas, it is essential that diseases such as STARI be excluded (30). Additionally, vaccines are currently being developed for Lyme disease (41-44) and as these are tested, it will be important to identify STARI patients in order to properly assess vaccine efficacy.


To apply the discoveries of this work towards the development of an assay that can be used for the clinical differentiation of early Lyme disease and STARI, it should first be determined whether an emphasis should be placed on the diagnosis of Lyme disease or STARI. As there is no defined etiology of STARI, and Lyme disease is not necessarily self-limiting without antibiotics and can have subsequent complications if untreated, we envision that the final assay would focus on being highly sensitive for early Lyme disease and be primarily applied in regions where Lyme disease and STARI overlap. Although existing laboratory tests for Lyme disease emphasize specificity, this strategy needs to be reconsidered for a differential diagnostic test of STARI and early Lyme disease, since any illness presenting with an EM in a region with a known incidence of Lyme disease would likely be treated with antibiotics (7, 20, 40). As with all diagnostic tests, use of a metabolic biosignature for differentiation of early Lyme disease and STARI would need to be performed in conjunction with clinical evaluation of the patient, and consideration of their medical history and epidemiologic risk for these two diseases.


The approach outlined in this study applies semi-quantitative mass spectrometry and the use of biochemical signatures for the classification of patients. Clinical application of such an approach would likely occur in a specialized clinical diagnostic laboratory. However, it should be noted that the second-tier immunoblot assays for the serological diagnosis of Lyme disease are already performed in specialized laboratories (1, 45, 46). Mass spectrometry assays are currently used in clinical laboratories for the analyses of small molecule metabolites. The majority of these tests are under Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments (CLIA) guidelines, but an FDA cleared mass spectrometry-based test for inborn metabolic errors is in use (47). The most accurate quantification of metabolites by mass spectrometry is achieved by Multiple Reaction Monitoring (MRM) assays (48). Such assays are developed with the knowledge of a MF's chemical structure. To this end, the chemical structure of 14 MFs have been identified. The chemical structure of the remainder of the MFs can be identified by the methods described herein. It should be noted that the NAEs and PFAMs that were revealed via our pathway analyses are amenable to MRM assays (49). These metabolites are now being investigated for their ability to accurately classify STARI and early Lyme disease.


The data reported here were generated from the analysis of retrospectively collected serum samples from various repositories that have been archived for different lengths of time. To reduce the impact of the potential variability associated with these samples, stringent criteria were applied to the data analysis. In addition to the requirement of a significant fold change, those MFs selected for the final early Lyme disease-STARI biosignature were required to be present in at least 80% of samples within a sample group and maintain the median fold-change difference in at least 50% of samples within a group. While the STARI and healthy control sera were collected by multiple laboratories and from multiple geographic locations, the early Lyme disease sera were obtained from a single laboratory. This is a potential limitation of the study. However, linear discriminate analysis was applied to assess the variability within the healthy control and STARI samples collected by different laboratories. This analysis demonstrated little to no variability among the STARI or healthy control samples indicating that the criteria used for MF selection effectively reduced non-biological variability. As noted, data were collected by non-absolute semi-quantitative mass spectrometry. Nevertheless, this is a common practice applied in the development of differentiating biosignatures for infectious diseases (27, 50-53), and the workflow ensured that the most robust MFs were selected and used for classification modeling.


Without knowledge of a known etiologic agent, it is recognized that STARI simply encompasses a clinical syndrome. The STARI samples used in this current work included those collected in studies used to define this illness (9), as well as samples collected outside those original studies. Additional samples collected prospectively will be useful to assess the applicability of our current metabolic biosignature in a real world scenario. Future sample collection will also target patient populations with non-Lyme EM-like lesions, including tick-bite hypersensitivity reactions, certain cutaneous fungal infections and bacterial cellulitis. Additionally, other factors such as confections with other vector-borne pathogens will need to be addressed with prospective studies. In the Southeastern United States, there is evidence for enzootic transmission of B. burgdorferi; however, it is debatable whether Lyme disease occurs in this region (11, 30, 54, 55). The current study was not designed to provide evidence for or against the presence of Lyme disease in the southern United States. Nevertheless, metabolic profiling offers a novel approach that is orthogonal to the methods currently employed to address this issue.


Example 2

STARI is an illness that has received little attention over the years, but is a confounding factor in diagnosing early Lyme disease in areas where both illnesses overlap and contributes to the debate surrounding the presence of Lyme disease in the southern United States. No diagnostic tool exists for STARI or for differentiating early Lyme disease from STARI. Based on documented differences between early Lyme disease and STARI (9, 16, 56), we metabolically profiled serum to develop a biochemical biosignature that when applied could accurately classify early Lyme disease and STARI patients (See Example 1). This example describes the design of the study described in Example 1.


An unbiased-metabolomics study was designed to directly compare the metabolic host responses between these two illnesses, and subsequently evaluate how this metabolic biosignature distinguishes these two illnesses. The use of unbiased metabolomics for biosignature discovery does not lend itself to power calculations to determine sample size. Thus, sample sizes were selected based on our previous studies (27, 50, 51). To obtain a sufficient number of well-characterized STARI sera, retrospectively collected samples from two separate studies were used. Specifically, the first set of STARI serum samples (n=33) was obtained from the CDC repository. These samples were collected through a prospective study performed between 2007 and 2009 (57). Patients were enrolled through CDC outreach efforts (n=17) or by contract with the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (n=16). The states where patients were recruited included NC, 18; VA, 4; TN, 3; KY, 2; GA, 2; IA, 2; AL, 1; and NE, 1. All samples were collected pre-treatment with the exception of one patient who was treated with doxycycline 1-2 days before the serum sample was obtained. The second set of STARI samples (n=22) was obtained from the New York Medical College serum repository (20). These samples were collected between 2001 and 2004 from patients living in Missouri.


Sufficient numbers of well-characterized early Lyme disease serum samples were acquired from New York, an area of high incidence for Lyme disease and low incidence of STARI (9). Specifically, all early Lyme disease samples (n=70) were culture and/or PCR positive for B. burgdorferi and were collected pre-treatment. To ensure appropriate representation of both non-disseminated and disseminated forms of early EM Lyme disease, samples from patients with a single EM that were skin culture and/or PCR positive for B. burgdorferi and blood culture negative (n=35), and patients with multiple EMs or a single EM that were blood culture positive (n=35) were used. Early Lyme disease samples were collected between 1992 and 2007, and 1 to 33 days post-onset of symptoms. To understand the relationship of our findings to a healthy control population serum samples from healthy donors were also included in the study. These were procured from repositories at New York Medical College, the CDC and the University of Central Florida. A detailed description of inclusion and exclusion criteria for each patient and donor population is provided in Table 2. All participating institutions obtained institutional review board (IRB) approval for this study. IRB review and approval for this study ensured that the retrospective samples used had been collected under informed consent.


All samples were analyzed in duplicate and were randomized prior to processing for LC-MS analyses. Healthy control sera were used as quality control samples for each LC-MS experiment. The serum samples and respective LC-MS data files of each patient group and healthy controls were randomly separated into a Discovery-Set/Training-Sets 1 and 2, and Test-Sets 1 and 2. Specifically, 40 of the 70 early Lyme disease and 36 of the 55 STARI samples were randomly selected as the Discovery-Set samples. This sample set was used for molecular feature selection. To train the classification models, two training-sets were used. The first, Training-Set 1, was identical to the Discovery-Set (i.e. contained the same early Lyme disease and STARI samples) and the second, Training-Set 2, had the same samples as Training-Set 1 with the addition of 38 of the 58 healthy control samples. Lastly, Test-Sets 1 and 2 were created. Test-Set 1 was comprised of 30 early Lyme disease and 19 STARI samples that were not included in the Discovery/Training samples sets. Test-Set 2 had the same samples as those used in Test-Set 1 with the addition of 20 healthy control samples that were not included in the Training-Set 2 samples. Test-Sets 1 and 2 were exclusively used for blinded testing of the classification models.


Randomization into Discovery/Training-Sets or Test-Sets was done in a manner that ensured bias was not introduced based on the repository from which STARI samples were obtained or on whether the early Lyme disease samples were from a non-disseminated or disseminated case. Biosignature development was performed by screening MFs based on stringent criteria outlined in FIG. 1 and detailed in the Biosignature development section (below).


Example 3

This example describes methods used for Lyme disease serologic testing of all serum samples used in the examples above. Standard two-tiered testing was performed on all samples (38). The C6 B. burgdorferi (Lyme) ELISA (Immunetics, Boston, Mass.) was used as a first-tier test, and any positive or equivocal samples were reflexed to Marblot IgM and IgG immunoblots (MarDx Diagnostics, Inc., Carlsbad, Calif.) as the second-tier test. Serologic assays were performed according to the manufacturer's instructions, and the data were interpreted according to established CDC guidelines (38). Duration of illness, however, was not considered for test interpretation.


Example 4

This example describes liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS) methods used in the examples above. Serum samples were randomized prior to extraction of small molecule metabolites and LC-MS analyses. Small molecule metabolites were extracted from sera as previously reported (27). An aliquot (10 μl) of the serum metabolite extract was applied to a Poroshell 120, EC-C8, 2.1×100 mm, 2.7 μm LC Column (Agilent Technologies, Palo Alto, Calif.). The metabolites were eluted with a 2-98% nonlinear gradient of acetonitrile in 0.1% formic acid at a flow rate of 250 μl/min with an Agilent 1200 series LC system. The eluent was introduced directly into an Agilent 6520 quadrapole time of flight mass (Q-TOF) spectrometer and MS was performed as previously described (27, 50). LC-MS and LC-MS/MS data were collected under the following parameters: gas temperature, 310° C.; drying gas at 10 liters per min; nebulizer at 45 lb per in2; capillary voltage, 4,000 V; fragmentation energy, 120 V; skimmer, 65 V; and octapole RF setting, 750 V. The positive-ion MS data for the mass range of 75 to 1,700 Da were acquired at a rate of 2 scans per sec. Data were collected in both centroid and profile modes in 4-GHz high-resolution mode. Positive-ion reference masses of 121.050873 m/z and 922.009798 m/z were introduced to ensure mass accuracy. To monitor instrument performance, quality control samples having a metabolite extract of healthy control serum (BioreclamationIVT, Westbury, N.Y.) was analyzed in duplicate at the beginning of each analysis day and every 20 samples during the analysis day.


Example 5

This example describes the methods used for biosignature development as described in the examples above. LC-MS data from an initial Discovery-Set of samples comprised of randomly selected early Lyme disease (n=40) and randomly selected STARI patients (n=36) that were exclusively used for molecular feature selection and classification model training were processed with the Molecular Feature Extractor algorithm tool of the Agilent MassHunter Qualitative Analysis software version B.05.00 (Agilent Technologies, Santa Clara, Calif.). The MFs were aligned between data files with a 0.25 min retention time window and 15 ppm mass tolerance. Comparative analyses of differentiating MFs between patient groups were performed using the workflow presented in FIG. 1A. Specifically, the Discovery-Set data was analyzed using Mass Profiler Pro (MPP) software version B.12.05 (Agilent Technologies). Using MPP a univariate, unpaired t-test was performed on each metabolite to test for a difference in mean (standardized) abundance between early Lyme disease and STARI groups. Multiple testing was accounted for by computing false-discovery rate (FDR)-adjusted p-values (Benjamin and Hochberg, 1995). To prevent selection of MFs biased by uncontrolled variables (diet, other undisclosed illnesses, etc.), only MFs present in 50% or more of samples in at least one group and that differed between the groups with a significance of adjusted-p<0.05 were selected. Quantitative Analysis software version B.05.01 (Agilent Technologies) was used to extract area abundance values for all differentially selected MFs from the MS data files. Duplicate MFs were removed by assessing adduct ions, as well as mass, retention time and abundance similarities; this resulted in the Discovery MF List. A duplicate LC-MS analysis of the Discovery-Set samples was performed and the area abundance for MFs of the discovery MF List were extracted using the Quantitative Analysis software. These data with those from the first LC-MS analysis formed the Targeted-Discovery-Set.


Abundance data from the Targeted-Discovery-Set data files were normalized using a two-step method. First, abundances (area under the peak for the monoisotopic mass) of each Discovery MF were normalized by the median intensity of the stable MFs detected in each individual sample (58). Stable MFs were those identified in the original extraction of LC-MS data files with the Agilent MassHunter Qualitative Analysis software and present in at least 50% of all sample data files. Secondly, median fold changes of stable MFs between the initial quality control sample (applied at the beginning of the LC-MS analysis) and each of the subsequent quality control samples (applied every 20 clinical samples throughout the LC-MS analysis) were calculated. The median fold change calculated for the quality control sample that directly followed each series of 20 clinical samples was multiplied against the normalized Discovery-MF abundances in the clinical samples of that series. This second normalization step was performed to correct for instrument variability. To apply stringency to the development of a final early Lyme disease-STARI biosignature, MFs were filtered based on consistency in the duplicate LC-MS data sets by requiring the same directional abundance change between the patient groups. Specifically, MFs with at least a ≥2-fold abundance difference and a 1.5-fold abundance difference between the medians of the two groups (early Lyme disease and STARI) for LC-MS analysis-1 and LC-MS analysis-2, respectively, were selected. Further criteria applied to ensure that the most robust MFs were being selected included: removing MFs with >20% missing values in both groups, and selecting only MFs where at least 50% of the samples within a patient group produced a fold change of ≥2 in comparison to the mean of the other patient group. This selection process resulted in the MFs included in the early Lyme disease-STARI biosignature.


Example 6

This example describes the methods used for prediction and verification of MF chemical structure. Confirmation of the chemical structures of selected MFs was performed by LC-MS-MS to provide level-1 or level-2 identifications (59). Commercial standards palmitoyl ethanolamide, stearoyl ethanolamide, eicosanoyl ethanolamide, glycerophospho-N-palmitoyl ethanolamine, pentadecanoyl ethanolamide, and erucamide were obtained from Cayman Chemical (Ann Arbor, Mich., USA). Commercial standards piperine and nonanedioic acid were obtained from Sigma Aldrich (Saint Louis, Mo., USA). Commercial standards methyl oleate, stearamide, palmitamide, CMPF, and glycocholic acid were obtained from Santa Cruz Biotechnology, Inc. (Santa Cruz, Calif., USA). The LC conditions used were the same as those used for the LC-MS analyses of serum metabolites. MS/MS spectra of the targeted MFs and commercial standards were obtained with an Agilent 6520 Q-TOF mass spectrometer. Electrospray ionization was performed in the positive ion mode as described for MS analyses, except the mass spectrometer was operated in the 2 GHz extended dynamic range mode. The positive ion MS/MS data (50 to 1,700 Da) were acquired at a rate of 1 scan per sec. Precursor ions were selected by the quadrupole and fragmented via collision-induced dissociation (CID) with nitrogen at collision energies of 10, 20, or 40 eV. To provide a level-1 identification, the MS/MS spectra of the targeted metabolites were compared to spectra of commercial standards. Additionally, LC retention time comparisons between the targeted MF and the respective standard were made. A retention time window of ±5 sec was applied as a cutoff for identification. The MS/MS spectra of selected serum metabolites were compared to spectra in the Metlin database for a level-2 identification.


Example 7

Metabolic pathway analysis in the examples above was performed by MetaboAnalyst. The experimentally obtained monoisotopic masses corresponding to the MFs of the 261 biosignature list were searched against HMDB using a 15 ppm window. The resulting list of potential metabolite structures were applied to the MetaboAnalyst pathway analysis tool (28) Settings for pathway analysis included applying Homo sapiens pathway library; the Hypergeometric Test for the over-representation analysis and Relative-betweenness centrality to estimate node importance in the pathway topology.


Example 8

Methods for statistical analyses and classification modeling are described in this example. Methods to filter the list of MFs and to normalize abundances are described in the section on biosignature development. Prior to analysis, the normalized abundances were log 2 transformed and each MF was scaled to have a mean of zero and standard deviation of 1. Statistical analyses were performed using R software (60).


For classification modeling, Training- and Test-Set samples were used as previously described (27, 50) and as shown in FIG. 1. Separate classification analyses were performed for comparison of two groups (early Lyme disease and STARI) and three groups (early Lyme disease, STARI and healthy controls). For each scenario, two classification approaches were applied: random forest (RF) using the RandomForest package (61), with 16 features randomly selected for each clade and a total of 500 trees; and LASSO logistic (two-way) and multinomial (three-way) regression analysis using the glmnet package (62), with the tuning parameter chosen for minimum misclassification error over a 10-fold cross-validation. The ROC curve and AUC were generated for predicted responses on the Test-Set samples only using the pROC package (63). For the purpose of visualization, LASSO scores for individual patient samples were calculated by multiplying the respective regression coefficients (Table 5 and Table 7) resulting from LASSO analysis by the transformed abundance of each MF in the biosignature (38 MFs in the case of two-way classification and 82 MFs in the case of three-way classification) and summing for each sample. The rgl package was used to generate the 3-dimensional scatterplot of LASSO scores (64).


A linear discriminant analysis was performed with the 82 MFs selected by the three-way LASSO model using linear discriminant analysis function in R. MF abundance data included in the linear discriminant analysis were from healthy controls from Colorado, Florida, and New York, and from STARI patients from North Carolina, Missouri, and other states. Before linear discriminant analysis data were transformed by taking the log 2 value and standardizing to the mean 0 and variance 1 within each MF. Samples were differentiated by healthy and STARI.


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TABLE 1







Classification modeling using the 261 molecular feature biosignature list.


RF, random forest; LASSO, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator; MF; molecular


feature.














RF (261 MFs)
LASSO (38/82 MFs±)














Test-Set
Number
Number
%
Number
%


Classification
Sample
of Data
Correctly
Classification
Correctly
Classification


Model
Group
Files*
Predicted
Accuracy
Predicted
Accuracy





1: Two-Way
Early
60
58
97
59
98


Model
Lyme








Disease








STARI
38
34
89
34
89


2: Three-Way
Early
60
51
85
51
85


Model
Lyme








Disease








STARI
38
35
92
35
92



Healthy
40
38
95
37
93



Controls





*Samples were analyzed in duplicate by LC-MS.



±A total of 38 MFs were selected by the LASSO model for two-way modeling and 82 MFs were selected by the LASSO for three-way modeling.














TABLE 2







Serum samples used in the study













Description of
Sample
Sample Criteria for
Sample
State
Sample



Samples
Nos.
Inclusion
Purpose
Collected
Provider*
Ref.










Early Lyme Disease (n = 70)













Age: 16-81
70
At least one EM present on
Discovery
NY
NYMC
(27)


Male (52)

initial visit to the clinic.
Training and





Female (18)

Samples were collected at
Test







initial visit to the clinic and








pre-treatment. Positive








culture and/or PCR test for









B. burgdorferi. Patients









lived in an endemic area for








LD.











STARI (n = 55)













STARI Group 1
33
All patients had a
Discovery
NC, VA,
CDC, Fort
(57)


Age: 4-82

physician-diagnosed
Training and
GA, KY
Collins,



Male (17)

erythema migrans-like rash
Test
TN, AL, IA
CO



Female (16)

≥5 cm and a recent history

and NE






of possible or verified






STARI Group 2
22
exposure to Amblyomma

MO
NYMC
(20)


Age: 8-80


americanum (lone star)







Male (13)

ticks before the onset of






Female (9)

symptoms. Patients lived in








a non-endemic area for LD








with the exception of three








patients.±Samples were








standard two-tiered








negative for LD.











Healthy Donors (n = 95)













Healthy Group 1
28
No history of tick-borne
Discovery
CO
CDC, Fort



Age: 18-unknown

disease within the last 12
Training and

Collins,



Male (8)

months and lived in a non-
Test

CO



Female (20)

endemic area for LD.








Samples were standard








two-tiered negative for LD.






Healthy Group 2†#
30
No history of Lyme disease

NY
NYMC



Age: 18-74§

and lived in an endemic








area for LD. Samples were








standard two-tiered








negative for LD.






Healthy Group 3
37
No previous diagnosis with
Verification¥
FL
UCF (65)
(65)


Age: 18-60

and/or treated for LD; and








could not have lived within








the past 10 years in a state








with a high incidence of LD








(CT, DE, ME, MD, MA, MN,








NH, NJ, NY, PA, VT, VA








and WI). Samples were








standard two-tiered








negative for LD.





NYMC, New York Medical College;


CDC, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention;


UCF, University of Central Florida;


LD, Lime disease


*Sample handling varied among laboratories that provided samples.



±Two patients were from southwest Iowa and one was from southeast Virginia; both areas are considered to have low risk for Lyme disease and a higher prevalence of A. americanum as compared to I. scapularis.




The gender of these donors was approximately 50% females and? 50% males.




#The samples were obtained from the same geographic location as the early Lyme disease samples.




§Age ranged from 18-74 for all donors (n = 100). Only a subset of 30 donors were used for this study.




¥Healthy controls from Florida were used to verify that the dysregulation of MFs between EL and STARI were not due to regional differences.














TABLE 3







261 MF biosignature list The experimentally obtained mass of each MF was used to


search against the Metlin database and the Human Metabolome Database (HMDB). The


predicted chemical structures had to match to the MF mass within 15 ppm. MFs could have


matches to multiple chemical structures of within the same classes of chemicals or to structures


of a different chemical class. The putative chemical structure data obtained by interrogation


against the HMDB were used to evaluate possible metabolic pathways that differed between


early Lyme disease and STARI patients (see Table 4).

















Compound










Predicted










Formula










Predicted


# of






m/z
Chemical


Alternate






Mass
Structure (based
Metabolite
Level
Chemical

2 Way
3 Way



Retention
on accurate
Class or
of
Structures
RF
LASSO
LASSO


MF #
Time
mass)
Pathway
Iden.
±15 ppm
Model
Model
Model


















CSU/
166.0852
C9H11NO2
Phenylalanine
1
>5
x
x
x


CDC-
165.078
Phenylalanine
metabolism







001
1.86









CSU/
239.0919
C12H14O5
Phenylpropanoid
4
5
x
x



CDC-
238.0844
Trans-2,3,4-
and







002
11.66
trimethoxycinnamate
polyketide










metabolism







CSU/
886.4296


4
0
x

x


CDC-
1770.8438









003
12.18









CSU/
181.0859
C10H12O3
Endogenous
4
>5
x

x


CDC-
180.0788
5′-(3′-Methoxy-4′-
metabolite







004
14.7
hydroxyphenyI)-
associated









gamma-
with









valerolactone
microbiome







CSU/
223.0968
C12H14O4

4
>5
x




CDC-
222.0895









005
14.69









CSU/
286.1444
C17H19NO3
Alkaloid
1
>5
x

x


CDC-
285.1371
Piperine
metabolism







006
16.08









CSU/
286.1437
C17H19NO3

4
>5
x




CDC-
285.1364









007
16.06









CSU/
463.2339
C25H34O8
Peptide
4
>5
x

x


CDC-
462.2248
Ala Lys Met Asn








008
16.36
(SEQ ID NO: 6)








CSU/
242.2844
C16H35N

4
1
x

x


CDC-
241.2772









009
17.1









CSU/
1112.6727


4
0
x




CDC-
1111.6663









010
17.86









CSU/
454.2923
C21H44NO7P
N-acyl
3
>5
x




CDC-
453.2867
Glycerophospho-
ethanolamine







011
18.08
N-Palmitoyl
metabolism









Ethanolamine








CSU/
270.3156
C18H39N

4
1
x
x
x


CDC-
269.3076









012
18.02









CSU/
284.3314
C19H41N

4
1
x
x
x


CDC-
283.3236









013
18.13









CSU/
300.6407
C33H37N5O6
Peptide
4
>5
x
x
x


CDC-
599.268
Asp Phe Arg Tyr








014
18.27
(SEQ ID NO: 1)








CSU/
522.3580
C26H52NO7P
Glycerophospholipid
3
>5
x




CDC-
521.3483
PC(18:1)
metabolism







015
18.5









CSU/
363.2192
C21H30O5
Sterol
4
>5
x




CDC-
362.2132
4,5α-
metabolism







016
18.58
dihydrocortisone








CSU/
590.4237


4
0
x

x


CDC-
589.4194









017
19.24









CSU/
388.3939


4
0
x




CDC-
387.3868









018
19.53









CSU/
300.2892
C18H37NO2
N-acyl
1
>5
x
x
x


CDC-
299.2821
Palmitoyl
ethanolamine







019
19.66
ethanolamide
metabolism







CSU/
256.2632
C16H33NO
Primary Fatty
1
1
x




CDC-
255.2561
Palmitic amide
Acid Amide







020
20.08

Metabolism







CSU/
394.3515


4
0
x




CDC-
376.3171









021
20.09









CSU/
228.1955


4
0
x




CDC-
227.1885









022
20.99









CSU/
284.2943
C18H37NO
Primary Fatty
1
1
x




CDC-
283.2872
Stearamide
Acid Amide







023
21.15

Metabolism







CSU/
338.3430
C22H43NO
Primary Fatty
1
3
x




CDC-
337.3344
13Z-
Acid Amide







024
22.14
Docosenamide
Metabolism









(Erucamide)








CSU/
689.5604
C38H77N2O6P
Sphingolipid
3
>5
x




CDC-
688.5504
SM(d18:115:0) /
metabolism







025
22.52
SM (d18:1/14:1-OH)








CSU/
553.3904
C35H52O5
Endogenous
4
3
x

x


CDC-
552.3819
Furohyperforin
metabolite -







026
23.38

derived from










food







CSU/
432.2803
C25H37NO5
Peptide
4
>5
x




CDC-
431.2727
Ala Ile Lys Thr








027
10.8
(SEQ ID NO: 9)








CSU/
389.2174
C19H32O8
Fatty acid
4
>5
x
x



CDC-
388.2094
Methyl
metabolism







028
15.47
10,12,13,15-










bisepidioxy16-










hydroperoxy-8E-










octadecenoate








CSU/
385.2211
C16H28N6O5
Peptides
4
>5
x




CDC-
384.2147
Lys His Thr








029
15.84









CSU/
399.2364


4
0
x

x


CDC-
398.2313









030
16.23









CSU/
449.3261
C46H89NO12S
Sphingolipid
4
2
x




CDC-
879.6122
C22-OH Sulfatide
metabolism







031
17.07









CSU/
467.3821
C24H40O8
Prostaglandin
4
>5
x




CDC-
444.2717
2-glyceryl-6-keto-
metabolism







032
17.1
PGF1α








CSU/
836.5936
C44H85NO11S
Sphingolipid
4
1
x




CDC-
835.5845
C20 Sulfatide
metabolism







033
17.15









CSU/
792.5646
C42H82NO10P
Glycerophosph
4
>5
x




CDC-
791.5581
PS(36:0)
olipid







034
17.17

metabolism







CSU/
356.2802


4
0
x




CDC-
355.2722









035
17.35









CSU/
806.5798
C43H84NO10P
Glycerophospholipid
4
>5
x




CDC-
805.5746
PS(37:0)
metabolism







036
17.71









CSU/
762.5582
C41H80NO9P
Glycerophospholipid
4
>5
x




CDC-
761.5482
PS-O(35:1)
metabolism







037










17.79










CSU/
718.5308
C39H73O8P
Glycerophospholipid
4
>5
x




CDC-
700.4946
PA(36:2)
metabolism







038
17.88









CSU/
734.5079


4
0
x
x
x


CDC-
1449.9753









039
17.81









CSU/
690.4825


4
0
x




CDC-
1361.924









040
17.95









CSU/
426.1798


4
0
x




CDC-
425.1725









041
18.03









CSU/
580.4144


4
0
x

x


CDC-
1158.8173









042
18.26









CSU/
741.5154
C83H150O17P2
Glycerophospholipid
4
2
x




CDC-
1481.0142
CL(74:6)
metabolism







043
18.24









CSU/
864.6245
C46H89NO11S
Sphingolipid
4
2
x




CDC-
863.6166
C22 Sulfatide
metabolism







044
18.17









CSU/
558.4017


4
0
x




CDC-
1080.7347









045
18.28









CSU/
719.5012


4
0
x




CDC-
1402.9377









046
18.26









CSU/
536.3897


4
0
x




CDC-
1053.7382









047
18.36









CSU/
538.8674


4
0
x




CDC-
1058.696









048
18.4









CSU/
653.4619


4
0
x




CDC-
1270.8593









049
18.43









CSU/
732.5450
C40H75O8P
Glycerophospholipid
4
>5
x




CDC-
714.5092
PA(37:2)
metabolism







050
18.47









CSU/
748.5232


4
0
x




CDC-
1478.0059









051
18.58









CSU/
704.4985


4
0
x

x


CDC-
1372.925









052
18.7









CSU/
682.4841


4
0
x




CDC-
1328.9008









053
18.77









CSU/
360.3615


4
0
x




CDC-
359.3555









054
18.89









CSU/
441.2412
C20H32N4O7
Peptide
4
>5
x




CDC-
440.2325
Pro Asp Pro Leu








055
19.09
(SEQ ID NO: 10)








CSU/
638.4554


4
0
x




CDC-
1240.847









056
18.92









CSU/
755.5311
C83H144O17P2
Glycero-
4
2
x




CDC-
1474.9941
CL(74:9)
phospholipid







057
18.94

metabolism







CSU/
711.5023


4
0
x




CDC-
1386.9417









058
19.09









CSU/
784.5530


4
0
x




CDC-
1567.0908









059
19.27









CSU/
645.4660


4
0
x




CDC-
1271.8896









060
19.36









CSU/
623.4521


4
0
x

x


CDC-
1210.8362









061
19.55









CSU/
370.1837
C19H23N5O3

4
1
x
x
x


CDC-
369.1757









062
19.7









CSU/
300.2886
C18H34O2
Fatty acid
4
>5
x




CDC-
282.2569
13Z-octadecenoic
metabolism







063
19.84
acid








CSU/
309.0981
C15H16O7

4
3
x




CDC-
308.0913









064
2.06









CSU/
561.2965
C54H88O24
Endogenous
4
5
x




CDC-
1120.5778
Camellioside D
metabolite -







065
11.7

derived from










food







CSU/
811.1942
C42H30N6O12

4
1
x
x
x


CDC-
810.1869









066
12.07









CSU/
947.7976
C62H106O6
Triacylglycerol
4
>5
x
x
x


CDC-
946.7936
TAG(59:7)
metabolism







067
14.55









CSU/
1106.2625


4
0
x




CDC-
2209.5193









068
14.53









CSU/
371.2070
C15H26N6O7
Peptide
4
>5
x




CDC-
370.1997
His Ser Lys








069
15.52









CSU/
389.2178
C19H32O8

4
>5
x

x


CDC-
388.2099









070
15.52









CSU/
443.2649
C19H34N6O6
Peptide
3
>5
x




CDC-
442.256
Pro Gln Ala Lys








071
15.52
(SEQ ID NO: 11)








CSU/
410.2033


4
3
x
x
x


CDC-
409.196









072
17.18









CSU/
850.6093
C48H84NO9P
Glycero-
4
1
x




CDC-
849.6009
PS-O(42:6)
phospholipid







073
17.63

metabolism







CSU/
1111.6690


4
0
x

x


CDC-
1110.6656









074
17.89









CSU/
1487.0005


4
0
x
x
x


CDC-
1485.9987









075
18.17









CSU/
697.4896


4
0
x




CDC-
1358.909









076
18.32









CSU/
439.8234


4
0
x




CDC-
877.6325









077
18.71









CSU/
567.8897


4
0
x




CDC-
566.8818









078
18.73









CSU/
435.2506
C21H39O7P
Glycero-
4
>5
x




CDC-
434.243
Lyso-PA(18:2)
phospholipid







079
19

metabolism







CSU/
834.6136
C45H88NO10P
Glycero-
4
>5
x




CDC-
833.6057
PS(39:0)
phospholipid







080
18.83

metabolism







CSU/
534.8834


4
0
x




CDC-
533.8771









081
18.82









CSU/
468.8441


4
0
x




CDC-
467.8373









082
19.13









CSU/
482.4040


4
0
x

x


CDC-
481.3976









083
19.99









CSU/
533.1929
C23H28N6O9
Peptide
4
>5
x

x


CDC-
532.1854
Asp His Phe Asp








084
20.84
(SEQ ID NO: 7)








CSU/
312.3259


4
0
x




CDC-
311.319









085
22.05









CSU/
137.0463
C4H8O5
Sugar
4
>5
x
x
x


CDC-
136.0378
Threonate
metabolite







086
1.37









CSU/
466.3152
C26H43NO6
Bile acid
1
3
x

x


CDC-
465.3085
Glycocholic acid
metabolism







087
14.73









CSU/
228.1955


4
0
x




CDC-
227.1884









088
15.22









CSU/
385.2211
C20H32O7
Peptide
4
>5
x




CDC-
384.2143
Lys His Thr








089
15.83









CSU/
403.2338
C16H30N6O6
Peptide
3
>5
x




CDC-
402.2253
Lys Gln Gln








090
15.84









CSU/
683.4728


4
0
x

x


CDC-
1347.9062









091
17.56









CSU/
675.4753


4
0
x




CDC-
1348.9377









092
18.37









CSU/
682.4841


4
0
x




CDC-
1345.9257









093
18.76









CSU/
762.5401


4
0
x




CDC-
1506.0367









094
19.36









CSU/
227.0897
C9H16O5

4
2
x

x


CDC-
204.1002









095
9.68









CSU/
189.1122
C9H14O4
Fatty acid
1
>5
x




CDC-
188.1049
Nonanedioic Acid
metabolism







177
12.27









CSU/
169.0860
C9H12O3
Endogenous
4
>5
x




CDC-
168.0786
2,6-Dimethoxy-4-
metabolite -







097
9.94
methylphenol
derived from










food







CSU/
183.1016
C10H14O3

4
>5
x

x


CDC-
182.0943









098
10.89









CSU/
476.3055
C26H41N3O5

4
5
x

x


CDC-
475.2993









099
11.09









CSU/
276.1263
C15H17NO4

4
3
x




CDC-
275.1196









100
11.16









CSU/
314.0672
C10H12N5O5P

4
1
x




CDC-
313.06









101
11.56









CSU/
201.1122
C10H16O4
Fatty acid
3
>5
x




CDC-
200.1047

metabolism







102
11.56









CSU/
115.0391
C5H6O3
Phenylalanine
4
>5
x




CDC-
114.0318

metabolism







103
11.57









CSU/
491.1569
C24H26O11

4
>5
x




CDC-
490.1504









104
11.56









CSU/
241.1054
C10H18O5
Fatty acid
4
3
x




CDC-
218.1157
3-Hydroxy-
metabolism







105
11.57
sebacic acid








CSU/
105.0914


4
0
x




CDC-
104.0841









106
11.57









CSU/
811.7965


4
0
x
x
x


CDC-
810.7882









107
12.07









CSU/
311.1472
C18H20N2O4
Peptide
3
>5
x




CDC-
328.1391
Phe Tyr








108
12.22









CSU/
271.1543


4
0
x




CDC-
270.1464









109
12.24









CSU/
169.0860
C9H12O3
Endogenous
4
>5
x




CDC-
168.0787
2,6-Dimethoxy-4-
metabolite -







110
12.24
methylphenol
derived from










food







CSU/
187.0967
C9H14O4

4
4
x




CDC-
186.0889









111
12.24









CSU/
215.1283
C11H18O4
Endogenous
4
4
x

x


CDC-
214.1209
alpha-Carboxy-
metabolite -







112
12.32
delta-decalactone
derived from










food







CSU/
475.1635
C25H22N4O6
Peptide
4
>5
x




CDC-
474.1547
His Cys Asp Thr








113
12.25
(SEQ ID NO: 12)








CSU/
129.0547
C6H8O3
Fatty acid
4
>5
x




CDC-
128.0474
(4E)-2-
metabolism







114
12.33
Oxohexenoic acid








CSU/
519.1881
C20H30N4O12
Poly D-
4
>5
x

x


CDC-
518.1813
Poly-g-D-
glutamate







115
12.33
glutamate
metabolism







CSU/
125.0599
C7H8O2
Catechol
3
>5
x




CDC-
124.0527
4-Methylcatechol
metabolism







116
13.12









CSU/
247.1550
C12H22O5
Fatty acid
4
4
x




CDC-
246.1469
3-Hydroxy-
metabolism







117
13.13
dodecanedioic










acid








CSU/
517.2614
C21H36N6O9
Peptide
4
>5
x




CDC-
516.2544
Gln Glu Gln Ile








118
13.13
(SEQ ID NO: 13)








CSU/
301.0739
C16H12O6
Endogenous
4
>5
x




CDC-
300.0658
Chrysoeriol
metabolite -







119
13.14

derived from










food







CSU/
327.1773
C16H24N4O2

4
1
x




CDC-
304.1885









120
14.17









CSU/
387.2023
C19H30O8
Endogenous
4
>5
x




CDC-
386.1935
Citroside A
metabolite -







121
14.51

derived from










food







CSU/
875.8451


4
0
x




CDC-
1749.684









122
14.55









CSU/
737.5118
C42H73O8P
Glycero-
4
>5
x




CDC-
736.5056
PA(39:5)
phospholipid







123
14.52

metabolism







CSU/
1274.3497


4
0
x




CDC-
1273.3481









124
14.96









CSU/
1274.2092


4
0
x




CDC-
1273.2









125
14.96









CSU/
1486.5728


4
0
x




CDC-
2971.1328









126
14.95









CSU/
965.3818


4
0
x




CDC-
964.3727









127
15.37









CSU/
1086.1800


4
0
x

x


CDC-
2170.3435









128
15.38









CSU/
1086.0562
C97H167N5O48
Sphingolipid
4
1
x




CDC-
2170.0908
NeuAcalpha2-
metabolism







129
15.38
3Galbeta1-










3GalNAcbeta1-










4(9-OAc-










NeuAcalpha2-










8NeuAcalpha2-










3)Galbeta1-










4Glcbeta-










Cer(d18:1/18:0)








CSU/
1086.4344


4
0
x




CDC-
2169.8474









130
15.39









CSU/
1240.7800


4
0
x




CDC-
1239.7712









131
15.38









CSU/
616.1776


4
0
x
x
x


CDC-
615.1699









132
15.43









CSU/
285.2061
C16H28O4

4
1
x

x


CDC-
284.1993









133
15.99









CSU/
357.1363
C20H20O6
Endogenous
4
>5
x

x


CDC-
356.1284
Xanthoxylol
metabolite -







134
15.98

derived from










food







CSU/
317.1956
C12H24N6O4
Peptide
4
>5
x




CDC-
316.1885
Arg Ala Ala








135
16.24









CSU/
299.1853
C16H26O5
Prostaglandin
4
>5
x

x


CDC-
298.1781
Tetranor-PGE1
metabolism







136
16.24









CSU/
334.2580


4
0
x

x


CDC-
333.2514









137
16.36









CSU/
317.2317


4
0
x

x


CDC-
316.2254









138
16.63









CSU/
299.2219
C17H30O4
Fatty acid
4
2
x




CDC-
298.2148
8E-
metabolism







139
16.64
Heptadecenedioic










acid








CSU/
748.5408
C40H78NO9P
Glycerophospholipid
4
>5
x




CDC-
747.5317
PS-O(34:1)
metabolism







140
17.23









CSU/
331.2471
C18H34O5
Fatty acid
4
>5
x

x


CDC-
330.2403
11,12,13-
metabolism







141
17.26
trihydroxy-9-










octadecenoic acid








CSU/
712.4935
C79H140O17P2
Glycerophospholipid
4
1
x




CDC-
1422.9749
CL(70:7)
metabolism







142
17.82









CSU/
674.5013
C37H72NO7P
Glycerophospholipid
4
>5
x




CDC-
673.4957
PE-P(32:1)
metabolism







143
17.99









CSU/
583.3480
C27H46N6O8
Peptide
4
1
x

x


CDC-
582.3379
Leu Lys Glu Pro








144
18.04
Pro










(SEQ ID NO: 8)








CSU/
677.9537


4
0
x




CDC-
676.9478









145
18.36









CSU/
531.3522
C35H46O4

4
2
x




CDC-
530.3457









146
18.4









CSU/
585.2733
C33H36N4O6
Bilirubin
4
>5
x




CDC-
584.2649
15,16-
breakdown







147
18.39
Dihydrobiliverdin
products -










Porphyrin










metabolism







CSU/
513.3431


4
0
x




CDC-
512.3352









148
18.4









CSU/
611.9156


4
0
x




CDC-
610.9073









149
18.59









CSU/
549.0538


4
0
x




CDC-
531.0181









150
18.38









CSU/
755.5311


4
0
x




CDC-
1509.0457









151
18.93









CSU/
713.4492
C38H65O10P
Glycerophospholipid
4
4
x
x
x


CDC-
712.4391
PG(32:5)
metabolism







152
19.35









CSU/
599.4146
C40H54O4
lsoflavinoid
4
>5
x




CDC-
598.4079
lsomytiloxanthin








153
19.59









CSU/
762.5029
C43H72NO8P
Glycero-
4
>5
x




CDC-
761.4919
PE(38:7)
phospholipid







154
19.66

metabolism







CSU/
502.3376
C27H40N4O4
Peptide
4
>5
x
x
x


CDC-
484.3039
Gln Leu Pro Lys








155
19.87
(SEQ ID NO: 2)








CSU/
741.4805
C40H69O10P
Glycero-
4
>5
x




CDC-
740.4698
PG(34:5)
phospholipid







156
19.96

metabolism







CSU/
648.4672
C34H66NO8P
Glycero-
4
>5
x

x


CDC-
647.4609
PE(29:1)
phospholipid







157
19.98

metabolism







CSU/
415.3045


4
0
x
x
x


CDC-
414.2978









158
20.19









CSU/
516.3532
C23H42N6O6
Peptide
4
1
x




CDC-
498.3199
Ala Leu Ala Pro








159
20.27
Lys










(SEQ ID NO: 14)








CSU/
769.5099
C42H73O10P
Glycero-
4
>5
x




CDC-
768.5018
PG(36:5)
phospholipid







160
20.53

metabolism







CSU/
862.5881


4
0
x




CDC-
861.5818









161
20.86









CSU/
837.5358
C53H72O8
Endogenous
4
2
x




CDC-
836.5274
Amitenone
metabolite -







162
21.11

derived from










food







CSU/
558.3995
C26H48N6O6
Peptide
4
2
x




CDC-
540.367
Leu Ala Pro Lys








163
21.44
Ile










(SEQ ID NO: 15)








CSU/
366.3729


4
0
x
x
x


CDC-
365.3655









164
22.79









CSU/
445.2880
C45H74O15
Endogenous
4
1
x

x


CDC-
854.5087
(3b,21b)-12-Oleanene-
metabolite -







165
12.48
3,21,28-triol 28-
derived from









[arabinosyl-(1->3)-
food









arabinosyl-(1->3)-










arabinoside]








CSU/
333.1446
C12H20N4O7
Peptide
4
>5
x
x
x


CDC-
332.1373
Glu Gln Gly








166
12.89









CSU/
1105.9305


4
0
x




CDC-
2209.8462









167
14.53









CSU/
329.1049
C18H16O6
Phenylalanine
4
>5
x




CDC-
328.0976
2-Oxo-3-
metabolism







168
14.61
phenylpropanoic acid








CSU/
1241.2053


4
0
x




CDC-
1240.2









169
15.38









CSU/
1088.6731


4
0
x




CDC-
1087.6676









170
17.85









CSU/
667.4391
C37H63O8P
Glycero-
4
>5
x




CDC-
666.4323
PA(24:5)
phospholipid







171
20.35

metabolism







CSU/
133.0497
C5H8O4
Pantothenate
4
>5
x




CDC-
132.0423
2-Acetolactic acid
and CoA







172
11.57

Biosynthesis










Pathway







CSU/
259.1540


4
0
x




CDC-
258.1469









173
11.75









CSU/
311.1472
C10H20N6O4
Dipeptide
4
>5
x




CDC-
288.1574
Asn Arg








174
12.23









CSU/
147.0652
C6H10O4
Pantothenate
4
>5
x




CDC-
146.0579
α-Ketopantoic acid
and CoA







175
12.33

Biosynthesis










Pathway







CSU/
169.0860
C9H12O3
Endogenous
4
>5
x




CDC-
168.0788
Epoxyoxophorone
metabolite -







176
12.29

derived from food







CSU/
187.0965
C9H14O4
Endogenous
4
>5
x




CDC-
186.0894
5-Butyltetrahydro-
metabolite -







096
9.93
2-oxo-3-
derived from food









furancarboxylic










acid








CSU/
139.1116
C9H14O4
Endogenous
4
>5
x




CDC-
138.1044
3,6-Nonadienal
metabolite -







178
12.95

derived from










food







CSU/
515.2811
C26H42O10
Endogenous
4
>5
x




CDC-
514.2745
Cofaryloside
metabolite -







179
13.14

derived from










food







CSU/
283.1522
C25H42N2O7S
Endogenous
4
>5
x




CDC-
282.1444
Epidihydrophaseic
metabolite -







180
13.93
acid
derived from










food







CSU/
1486.7386


4
0
x

x


CDC-
2971.4668









181
14.97









CSU/
285.2065
C16H28O4

4
1
x
x



CDC-
284.1991









182
16.02









CSU/
668.4686
C16H28O4
Endogenous
4
1
x

x


CDC-
1317.8969
Omphalotin A
metabolite -







183
18.04

derived from










food







CSU/
454.2924
C21H41O7P
Glycero-
4
>5
x

x


CDC-
436.2587
Lyso-PA(18:1)
phospholipid







184
18.1

metabolism







CSU/
706.9750


4
0
x




CDC-
705.9684









185
18.7









CSU/
607.9324


4
0
x

x


CDC-
606.9246









186
19.01









CSU/
834.5575


4
0
x




CDC-
833.5502









187
20.32









CSU/
521.4202


4
0
x

x


CDC-
503.3858









188
21.06









CSU/
683.4727


4
0
x




CDC-
1364.9294









189
17.54









CSU/
728.9890


4
1
x




CDC-
1455.9633









190
18.63









CSU/
726.5104
C81H144O17P2
Glycero-
4
2
x




CDC-
1451.0035
CL(72:7)
phospholipid







191
18.64

metabolism







CSU/
633.9280


4
0
x




CDC-
632.9206









192
18.47









CSU/
176.0746


4
0
x

x


CDC-
175.0667









193
2.31









CSU/
596.9082


4
0
x

x


CDC-
1191.8033









194
19.1









CSU/
209.0784
C17H24O3
Phenyl-
4
>5
x




CDC-
208.0713
Benzylsuccinate
propanoic acid







195
9.92

metabolism







CSU/
792.5483


4
0
x




CDC-
1566.055









196
18.46









CSU/
618.9221


4
0
x




CDC-
1218.8083









197
19.02









CSU/
549.0543


4
0
x




CDC-
531.0189









198
18.37









CSU/
553.7262


4
0
x




CDC-
552.7188









199
18.74









CSU/
756.0320


4
0
x




CDC-
755.0266









200
18.95









CSU/
639.6307


4
0
x




CDC-
638.6205









201
19.58









CSU/
753.4414
C42H67O8P
Glycerophospholipid
4
2
x




CDC-
730.4513
PA(39:8)
metabolism







202
19.37









CSU/
532.5606


4
0
x

x


CDC-
531.5555









203
18.38









CSU/
279.1693
C15H22N2O3
Dipeptide
4
>5
x
x



CDC-
278.1629
Phe Leu








204
11.05









CSU/
241.1069
C12H16O5
Fatty acid
1
>5
x
x
x


CDC-
240.0996
3-Carboxy-4-
metabolism







205
14.7
methyl-5-propyl-2-










furanpropanoic










acid (CMPF)








CSU/
337.1667
C12H24N4O7

4
2
x

x


CDC-
336.1599









206
20.67









CSU/
328.3204
C20H41NO2
N-acyl
1
5
x




CDC-
327.3148
Stearoyl
ethanolamine







207
20.72
ethanolamide
metabolism







CSU/
514.3718
C56H99NO14
Sphingolipid
4
1
x




CDC-
1009.7122
3-O-acetyl-
metabolism







208
18.42
sphingosine-










2,3,4,6-tetra-O-










acetyl-










GalCer(d18:1/h22:0)








CSU/
630.4594


4
0
x




CDC-
1241.8737









209
19.95









CSU/
415.1634
C8H9N5O2
Endogenous
4
2
x

x


CDC-
207.0784
6-Amino-9H-
metabolite -







210
12.2
purine-9-
derived from









propanoic acid
food







CSU/
464.1916
C16H29N7O7S
Peptide
4
>5
x
x
x


CDC-
463.1849
Arg Asp Cys Ala








211
13.05
(SEQ ID NO: 3)








CSU/
1249.2045


4
0
x
x
x


CDC-
1248.1993









212
15.31









CSU/
1248.9178


4
0
x
x
x


CDC-
1247.9141









213
15.3









CSU/
244.2270
C14H29NO2
N-acyl
4
3
x




CDC-
243.22
Lauroyl
ethanolamine







214
17.17
ethanolamide
metabolism







CSU/
463.3426


4
0
x




CDC-
924.6699









215
18.08









CSU/
468.3892
C31H46O2

4
1
x




CDC-
450.3553









216
19.17









CSU/
438.3787


4
0
x




CDC-
420.3453









217
420.3453









CSU/
364.3407


4
0
x

x


CDC-
346.3068









218
20.72









CSU/
158.1539


4
0
x
x
x


CDC-
157.1466









219
15.36









CSU/
792.0006


4
0
x




CDC-
790.995









220
12.04









CSU/
792.2025


4
0
x




CDC-
791.1947









221
12.04









CSU/
989.5004


4
0
x

x


CDC-
1976.9858









222
12.03









CSU/
791.6016


4
0
x




CDC-
790.594









223
12.04









CSU/
819.6064


4
0
x

x


CDC-
1635.8239









224
12.06









CSU/
1115.5593


4
0
x




CDC-
2228.1028









225
14.95









CSU/
1486.9176


4
0
x




CDC-
2970.7976









226
14.96









CSU/
529.3381
C24H44N6O7
Peptide
4
5
x
x
x


CDC-
528.3296
Gln Val Leu Leu








227
16.89
Gly










(SEQ ID NO: 4)








CSU/
430.3161
C23H40O6

4
1
x




CDC-
412.2845









228
20.23









CSU/
282.2776
C18H32O

4
>5
x
x
x


CDC-
264.2456









229
20.56









CSU/
297.2793
C19H36O2
Oleic acid
1
>5
x




CDC-
296.2734
Methyloleate
ester







230
20.66









CSU/
714.3655


4
0
x




CDC-
1426.718









231
11.73









CSU/
714.5306


4
0
x




CDC-
1427.0479









232
11.76









CSU/
989.7499


4
0
x




CDC-
1977.4865









233
12.03









CSU/
221.0744
C7H12N2O6
Peptide
4
>5
x




CDC-
220.0672
L-beta-aspartyl-L-








234
13.7
serine








CSU/
190.1260
C9H19NOS
2-
4
2
x
x
x


CDC-
189.1187
8-
oxocarboxylic







235
14.12
Methylthiooctanal
acid









doxime
metabolism







CSU/
313.2734
C19H36O3
Fatty acid
4
5
x




CDC-
312.2663
2-oxo-
metabolism







236
18.91
nonadecanoic










acid








CSU/
286.2737
C17H35NO2
N-acyl
1
4
x

x


CDC-
285.2666
Pentadecanoyl
ethanolamine







237
19.08
ethanolamide
metabolism







CSU/
382.3675
C24H47NO2
N-acyl
4
1
x
x
x


CDC-
381.3603
Erucicoyl
ethanolamine







238
20.23
ethanolamide
metabolism







CSU/
337.2712
C19H38O3
Fatty acid
4
2
x




CDC-
314.282
2-Hydroxy-
metabolism







239
20.66
nonadecanoic










acid








CSU/
441.3687
C30H48O2
Sterol
4
>5
x




CDC-
440.3614
4,4-Dimethyl-14a-
metabolism







240
21.26
formyl-5a-










cholesta-8,24-dien-3b-ol








CSU/
425.3735
C30H48O
Sterol
4
>5
x




CDC-
424.3666
Butyrospermone
metabolism







241
21.5









CSU/
356.3517
C22H45NO2
N-acyl
1
2
x




CDC-
355.3448
Eicosanoyl
ethanolamine







242
21.67
ethanolamide
metabolism







CSU/
393.2970
C22H42O4

4
3
x




CDC-
370.3082









243
22.46









CSU/
477.2968
C31H40O4
Peptide
4
>5
x
x
x


CDC-
476.2898
Lys Lys Thr Thr








244
22.79
(SEQ ID NO: 5)








CSU/
614.4833


4
0
x

x


CDC-
613.4772









245
19.78









CSU/
167.9935
C7H5NS2

4
1
x




CDC-
166.9861









246
13.2









CSU/
714.6967


4
0
x
x



CDC-
1427.3824









247
11.76









CSU/
459.3968


4
0
x
x
x


CDC-
458.3904









248
19.08









CSU/
677.6170
C47H80O2
Sterol
4
>5
x




CDC-
676.6095
Cholesterol ester
metabolism







249
20.71
(20:2)








CSU/
298.2740
C18H35NO2
Sphingolipid
2
>5
x

x


CDC-
297.2668
3-Ketospingosine
metabolism







250
16.44









CSU/
460.2695
C26H37NO6

4
>5
x




CDC-
459.2627









251
16.87









CSU/
1003.7020


4
0
x

x


CDC-
1002.696









252
18.46









CSU/
342.2635
C19H35NO4

4
2
x
x
x


CDC-
341.2565









253
15.62









CSU/
529.3827


4
0
x
x
x


CDC-
1022.6938









254
17.86









CSU/
630.4765


4
0
x




CDC-
612.4417









255
18.11









CSU/
514.3734


4
0
x




CDC-
1026.7281









256
18.41









CSU/
667.4754


4
0
x




CDC-
1315.916









257
19.28









CSU/
459.2502
C23H39O7P
Glycero-
2
>5
x
x
x


CDC-
458.2429
Lyso PA(20:4)
phospholipid







258
19.02

metabolism







CSU/
516.8549


4
0
x




CDC-
1031.6945









259
18.43









CSU/
740.5242
C83H148O17P2
Glycero-
4
2
x




CDC-
1479.0334
CL(74:7)
phospholipid







260


metabolism







CSU/
1104.0614


4
0
x




CDC-
2206.1096









261
15.2
















TABLE 4







MetaboAnalyst results





















Holm




Pathway Hit
Total
Expected
Hits
Raw p
−log(p)
adjust
FDR
Impact


















Glycerophospholipid
39
1.2638

4

0.035545
3.337
1
1
0.33235


metabolism










Sphingolipid
25
0.81014

3±

0.045107
3.0987
1
1
0.15499


metabolism










Valine, leucine and
27
0.87495
2
0.21724
1.5268
1
1
0.17117


isoleucine biosynthesis










Phenylalanine
45
1.4582
1
0.77605
0.25353
1
1
0.11906


metabolism










alpha-Linolenic acid
29
0.93976
2
0.24148
1.421
1
1
0


metabolism










Glycosylphosphatidylino
14
0.45368
1
0.37027
0.99353
1
1
0.0439


sitol(GPI)-anchor










biosynthesis










Linoleic acid
15
0.48608
1
0.39079
0.93957
1
1
0


metabolism










Riboflavin metabolism
21
0.68052
1
0.50079
0.69157
1
1
0


Phenylalanine, tyrosine
27
0.87495
1
0.59113
0.52572
1
1
0.00062


and tryptophan










biosynthesis










Pantothenate and CoA
27
0.87495
1
0.59113
0.52572
1
1
0.02002


biosynthesis










Steroid hormone
99
3.2081
3
0.63116
0.4602
1
1
0.0382


biosynthesis










Glycerolipid metabolism
32
1.037
1
0.65393
0.42476
1
1
0.01247


Ubiquinone and other
36
1.1666
1
0.69723
0.36064
1
1
0


terpenoid-quinone










bios+A14:I29ynthesis










Nitrogen metabolism
39
1.2638
1
0.72615
0.32
1
1
0


Butanoate metabolism
40
1.2962
1
0.73517
0.30766
1
1
0.04772


Ascorbate and aldarate
45
1.4582
1
0.77605
0.25353
1
1
0.00802


metabolism










Drug metabolism -
86
2.7869
2
0.77721
0.25205
1
1
0.0176


cytochrome P450










Primary bile acid
47
1.5231
1
0.7906
0.23496
1
1
0.00846


biosynthesis










Lysine degradation
47
1.5231
1
0.7906
0.23496
1
1
0.06505


Fatty acid biosynthesis
49
1.5879
1
0.80422
0.21788
1
1
0


Fatty acid metabolism
50
1.6203
1
0.81069
0.20986
1
1
0


Starch and sucrose
50
1.6203
1
0.81069
0.20986
1
1
0.01265


metabolism










Pentose and
53
1.7175
1
0.82888
0.18768
1
1
0.009


glucuronate










interconversions










Arachidonic acid
62
2.0091
1
0.87371
0.135
1
1
0


metabolism










Aminoacyl-tRNA
75
2.4304
1
0.91874
0.084752
1
1
0


biosynthesis










Purine metabolism
92
2.9813
1
0.95452
0.046547
1
1
0.00791


Porphyrin and
104
3.3702
1
0.96989
0.030577
1
1
0.01101


chlorophyll metabolism





Total, the total number of compounds in the pathway;


Hits, the actual number of compounds in the pathway matched from the 261 MF biosignature list;


Raw p, the original p value calculated from the enrichment analysis;


Holm adjust, the adjusted p value by the Holm-Bonferroni method;


FDR, the p value adjusted using False Discovery Rate;


Impact, the pathway impact value calculated from pathway topology analysis.


The MetaboAnalyst results were used to target specific MFs in the early Lyme disease-STARI biosignature for structural identification.



The 4 hits in the glycerophospholipid metabolism pathway were phosphatidic acid, phosphatidylethanolamine, phosphatidylcholine and lysophosphotidylcholine.




±The 3 hits in the sphingolipid metabolism pathway were in sphingosine, dehydrosphinganine and sulfatide.














TABLE 5







Regression coefficients (β) of the LASSO two-way statistical model


The regression coefficient for each of the 38 MFs (CSU/CDC-#) used in the LASSO two-way


classification model are provided. The regression coefficients were generated with data from the


Training-Set samples, and applied in the classification of the Test-Set samples as shown in Table 6.








MF Id
Coefficient











Intercept
−0.5089


CSU/CDC-001
−0.3032


CSU/CDC-002
−0.0359


CSU/CDC-012
−0.31


CSU/CDC-013
−0.2256


CSU/CDC-014
0.05737


CSU/CDC-028
0.21447


CSU/CDC-039
0.29641


CSU/CDC-062
0.0152


CSU/CDC-066
−0.0559


CSU/CDC-067
0.63951


CSU/CDC-072
−0.1451


CSU/CDC-075
0.10409


CSU/CDC-086
0.71497


CSU/CDC-107
−0.2586


CSU/CDC-132
0.88577


CSU/CDC-152
−0.6125


CSU/CDC-155
−0.0083


CSU/CDC-158
−0.027


CSU/CDC-164
0.22005


CSU/CDC-166
−0.2033


CSU/CDC-182
−0.1077


CSU/CDC-204
−0.163


CSU/CDC-205
−0.8688


CSU/CDC-211
0.43327


CSU/CDC-212
−0.3513


CSU/CDC-213
−0.422


CSU/CDC-219
1.01872


CSU/CDC-227
0.43588


CSU/CDC-229
0.11674


CSU/CDC-235
0.3664


CSU/CDC-019
0.52461


CSU/CDC-238
0.7812


CSU/CDC-244
−0.7325


CSU/CDC-247
0.00621


CSU/CDC-248
0.38858


CSU/CDC-253
0.10575


CSU/CDC-254
0.27792


CSU/CDC-258
−0.5593
















TABLE 6







LASSO and RF two-way model classification probability scores


The LASSO and RF probability scores are provided for each


patient sample tested in duplicate. These are probability scores


for the Test-Set samples. A probability score of ≥0.5 classified


the samples as early Lyme disease (EL), and a probability


score of <0.5 resulted in the sample being classified as STARI.














LASSO







Coded
Prob-
LASSO
RF
RF




Sample
ability
Class-
Prob-
Class-
Sample
Patient


ID
Score
ification
ability
ification
ID
Type





Valb1618
0.9979
EL
0.8980
EL
EDL134-
EL







022315



Valb1591
0.9995
EL
0.8980
EL
EDL134-
EL







120214



Valb1454
0.9900
EL
0.6320
EL
EDL135-
EL







022315



Valb0820
0.5264
EL
0.8660
EL
EDL135-
EL







120214



Valb0989
0.9820
EL
0.8620
EL
EDL136-
EL







022315



Valb0546
0.8814
EL
0.8960
EL
EDL136-
EL







120214



Valb1573
0.9875
EL
0.5840
EL
EDL137-
EL







022315



Valb1299
0.7198
EL
0.4380
STARI
EDL137-
EL







120214



Valb0477
0.9247
EL
0.7780
EL
EDL138-
EL







022315



Valb0160
0.9868
EL
0.9160
EL
EDL138-
EL







120214



Valb0813
0.7300
EL
0.4880
STARI
EDL139-
EL







022315



Valb0443
0.8307
EL
0.7680
EL
EDL139-
EL







120214



Valb1412
0.9287
EL
0.7200
EL
EDL140-
EL







022315



Valb0886
0.9045
EL
0.8140
EL
EDL140-
EL







120214



Valb0827
0.9846
EL
0.9040
EL
EDL71-
EL







022315



Valb0186
0.9609
EL
0.9180
EL
EDL71-
EL







120214



Valb1337
0.9417
EL
0.8200
EL
EDL73-
EL







022315



Valb0714
0.9836
EL
0.9000
EL
EDL73-
EL







120214



Valb1510
0.9773
EL
0.7720
EL
EDL74-
EL







022315



Valb0642
0.9986
EL
0.8520
EL
EDL74-
EL







120214



Valb1586
0.9995
EL
0.9020
EL
EDL75-
EL







022315



Valb1402
1.0000
EL
0.9160
EL
EDL75-
EL







120214



Valb0593
0.9595
EL
0.8020
EL
EDL76-
EL







022315



Valb0608
0.6940
EL
0.7980
EL
EDL76-
EL







120214



Valb0808
0.9205
EL
0.8720
EL
EDL77-
EL







022315



Valb0750
0.9998
EL
0.7240
EL
EDL77-
EL







120214



Valb0907
0.9459
EL
0.6720
EL
EDL78-
EL







022315



Valb0585
0.9891
EL
0.9180
EL
EDL78-
EL







120214



Valb1638
0.9832
EL
0.6000
EL
EDL79-
EL







022315



Valb1640
0.9906
EL
0.8500
EL
EDL79-
EL







120214



Valb1430
0.9812
EL
0.7580
EL
ELL06-
EL







022315



Valb1155
0.9995
EL
0.8080
EL
ELL06-
EL







120214



Valb1553
0.9783
EL
0.7780
EL
ELL07-
EL







022315



Valb1562
0.9999
EL
0.7920
EL
ELL07-
EL







120214



Valb1445
0.8085
EL
0.7160
EL
ELL08-
EL







022315



Valb1188
0.9983
EL
0.7860
EL
ELL08-
EL







120214



Valb1613
0.9993
EL
0.8640
EL
ELL09-
EL







022315



Valb1514
1.0000
EL
0.8820
EL
ELL09-
EL







120214



Valb1479
0.3775
STARI
0.6320
EL
ELL10-
EL







022315



Valb0933
0.9095
EL
0.8380
EL
ELL10-
EL







120214



Valb0923
0.7083
EL
0.8120
EL
ELL16-
EL







022315



Valb0338
0.7215
EL
0.8320
EL
ELL16-
EL







120214



Valb0783
0.7849
EL
0.8880
EL
ELL17-
EL







022315



Valb0261
0.9862
EL
0.9120
EL
ELL17-
EL







120214



Valb1264
0.9418
EL
0.8240
EL
ELL18-
EL







022315



Valb0545
0.9738
EL
0.8480
EL
ELL18-
EL







120214



Valb1427
0.9704
EL
0.8480
EL
ELL61-
EL







022315



Valb1071
0.9664
EL
0.7620
EL
ELL61-
EL







120214



Valb1211
0.7950
EL
0.7360
EL
ELL62-
EL







022315



Valb1217
0.7831
EL
0.8360
EL
ELL62-
EL







120214



Valb1414
0.9892
EL
0.9100
EL
ELL63-
EL







022315



Valb1104
0.9699
EL
0.8600
EL
ELL63-
EL







120214



Valb0736
0.9469
EL
0.9300
EL
ELL64-
EL







022315



Valb0384
0.9780
EL
0.9040
EL
ELL64-
EL







120214



Valb0672
0.9415
EL
0.7680
EL
ELL65-
EL







022315



Valb0300
0.9927
EL
0.8920
EL
ELL65-
EL







120214



Valb1018
0.9093
EL
0.8320
EL
ELL66-
EL







022315



Valb0458
0.8905
EL
0.8480
EL
ELL66-
EL







120214



Valb1356
0.9174
EL
0.8100
EL
ELL67-
EL







022315



Valb0492
0.9747
EL
0.7260
EL
ELL67-
EL







120214



Valb1561
0.0313
STARI
0.4860
STARI
M06A-
STARI







022315



Valb1328
0.8608
EL
0.6060
EL
M06A-
STARI







120214



Valb0329
0.1613
STARI
0.2680
STARI
M09A-
STARI







022315



Valb0070
0.2476
STARI
0.4080
STARI
MO9A-
STARI







120214



Valb1052
0.0242
STARI
0.4060
STARI
M13A-
STARI







022315



Valb0809
0.8461
EL
0.8340
EL
M13A-
STARI







120214B



Valb1256
0.0157
STARI
0.2900
STARI
M16A-
STARI







022315



Valb1100
0.3798
STARI
0.4120
STARI
M16A-
STARI







120214



Valb1236
0.2314
STARI
0.6800
EL
M19A-
STARI







022315



Valb0580
0.5508
EL
0.6140
EL
M19A-
STARI







120214



Valb1525
0.7045
EL
0.4720
STARI
M22A-
STARI







022315



Valb0534
0.0496
STARI
0.4580
STARI
M22A-
STARI







120214



Valb0556
0.1448
STARI
0.3400
STARI
M26A-
STARI







022315



Valb0116
0.4234
STARI
0.2860
STARI
M26A-
STARI







120214



Valb0461
0.0037
STARI
0.2360
STARI
M27A-
STARI







022315



Valb0266
0.1015
STARI
0.2080
STARI
M27A-
STARI







120214



Valb0447
0.0316
STARI
0.1220
STARI
S03-
STARI







022315



Valb0026
0.0060
STARI
0.1420
STARI
S03-
STARI







120214



Valb1114
0.0010
STARI
0.1760
STARI
S09-
STARI







022315



Valb0464
0.0254
STARI
0.2120
STARI
S09-
STARI







120214



Valb1292
0.0004
STARI
0.1280
STARI
S17-
STARI







022315



Valb0754
0.0005
STARI
0.1020
STARI
S17-
STARI







120214



Valb0434
0.0257
STARI
0.2520
STARI
S21-
STARI







022315



Valb0044
0.0559
STARI
0.4300
STARI
S21-
STARI







120214



Valb0873
0.0173
STARI
0.1840
STARI
S33-
STARI







022315



Valb0352
0.0012
STARI
0.2200
STARI
S33-
STARI







120214



Valb1141
0.0001
STARI
0.1120
STARI
S39-
STARI







022315



Valb0480
0.0002
STARI
0.1160
STARI
S39-
STARI







120214



Valb0618
0.0158
STARI
0.3220
STARI
S43-
STARI







022315



Valb0660
0.1493
STARI
0.3020
STARI
S43-
STARI







120214



Valb0223
0.0007
STARI
0.0960
STARI
S47-
STARI







022315



Valb0054
0.0095
STARI
0.0940
STARI
S47-
STARI







120214



Valb0335
0.0093
STARI
0.0660
STARI
S53-
STARI







022315



Valb0197
0.0183
STARI
0.0360
STARI
S53-
STARI







120214



Valb0409
0.2080
STARI
0.2080
STARI
S55-
STARI







022315



Valb0060
0.0332
STARI
0.1280
STARI
S55-
STARI







120214



Valb0437
0.0004
STARI
0.0980
STARI
S65-
STARI







022315



Valb0093
0.0003
STARI
0.1500
STARI
S65-
STARI







120214
















TABLE 7







Regression coefficients (β) of the LASSO three-way statistical model.


The regression coefficient for each of the 82 MFs (CSU/CDC-#) used in the LASSO three-way


classification model are provided. The regression coefficients were generated with data from the


Training-Set samples, and applied in the classification of the Test-Set samples as shown in Table 8.










MF Id
Early Lyme Disease
Healthy Controls
STARI













Intercept
0.5755
−0.4927
−0.0828


CSU/CDC-001
0.37556
0
0


CSU/CDC-003
0
0.4377
0


CSU/CDC-004
0
0.00298
0


CSU/CDC-006
0.0704
0
0


CSU/CDC-008
−0.1193
0
0


CSU/CDC-009
0.22921
0
0


CSU/CDC-012
0.15307
0
−0.2457


CSU/CDC-013
0
0
−0.1007


CSU/CDC-014
0
0
0.72128


CSU/CDC-017
0.11117
0
0


CSU/CDC-026
0
−0.0633
0.05925


CSU/CDC-030
0
0.05795
0


CSU/CDC-039
0
−0.6065
0.06517


CSU/CDC-042
−0.4151
0.02856
0


CSU/CDC-052
0
0.05484
0


CSU/CDC-061
0
0.08714
0


CSU/CDC-062
0
0
0.60672


CSU/CDC-066
0
0
−0.3676


CSU/CDC-067
−1.1528
0
0


CSU/CDC-070
−0.5929
0.5531
0


CSU/CDC-072
0
0
−0.0857


CSU/CDC-074
0.01711
0
0


CSU/CDC-075
0
0
0.18553


CSU/CDC-083
0
−0.0872
0


CSU/CDC-084
0
−0.2013
0.21541


CSU/CDC-086
−1.1622
0
0.06776


CSU/CDC-087
0
0.03553
0


CSU/CDC-091
0
−0.6683
0


CSU/CDC-095
0
0
−0.0694


CSU/CDC-098
0
0.05396
0


CSU/CDC-099
0
−0.0398
0


CSU/CDC-107
0.36836
0
−0.1847


CSU/CDC-112
0
1.11724
0


CSU/CDC-115
0
0.12435
0


CSU/CDC-128
0
0.4206
−0.1927


CSU/CDC-132
0
0
1.0998


CSU/CDC-133
0.35613
−0.1349
0


CSU/CDC-134
0
−0.1009
0


CSU/CDC-136
0
−1.2108
0


CSU/CDC-137
0
−0.2512
0


CSU/CDC-138
−0.0183
0
0


CSU/CDC-141
0
0
0.2233


CSU/CDC-144
0
−0.1318
0


CSU/CDC-152
0.70277
0
0


CSU/CDC-155
0.27512
0
0


CSU/CDC-157
0
0
0.0505


CSU/CDC-158
0
1.89865
0


CSU/CDC-164
−0.2964
0
0


CSU/CDC-165
0
−0.4008
0


CSU/CDC-166
0.14382
0
0


CSU/CDC-181
0
1.3044
0


CSU/CDC-183
0
−0.7613
0.01014


CSU/CDC-184
0.35021
0
0


CSU/CDC-186
0
0.40861
0


CSU/CDC-188
0
0.5533
0


CSU/CDC-193
0
−1.2355
0


CSU/CDC-194
0
0.57412
0


CSU/CDC-203
−0.0308
0
0


CSU/CDC-205
0.50193
0
−0.3139


CSU/CDC-206
0
−0.0668
0


CSU/CDC-210
0
0
−0.218


CSU/CDC-211
−0.7208
0
0.20891


CSU/CDC-212
0
0
−0.0139


CSU/CDC-213
0
0
−0.2463


CSU/CDC-218
0
0.00722
0


CSU/CDC-219
−1.0252
0
0


CSU/CDC-222
0
−0.4632
0


CSU/CDC-224
0
−0.516
0


CSU/CDC-227
−0.4157
0
0.59261


CSU/CDC-229
0
0
0.86651


CSU/CDC-235
−0.9905
0
0


CSU/CDC-019
0
−0.0326
0.52245


CSU/CDC-237
0
0.62355
0


CSU/CDC-238
0
0
0.96539


CSU/CDC-244
1.5845
0
0


CSU/CDC-245
0
−1.3521
0


CSU/CDC-248
−0.0904
0
0.06017


CSU/CDC-250
0
0
−0.0882


CSU/CDC-252
0
−0.0646
0


CSU/CDC-253
0
0
0.16563


CSU/CDC-254
−0.1985
0
0


CSU/CDC-258
0
0
−0.7011
















TABLE 8







LASSO and RF three-way model classification probability scores.


The LASSO and RF probability scores are provided for each patient sample tested in duplicate.


These are probability scores for the Test-Set samples. Both the LASSO and


RF classifiers provided a probability score for a sample being early Lyme disease patient


(EL), healthy control (HC) and STARI. The sample was classified based


on the highest probability score for membership in one of the three groups (EL, HC, or STARI).













Coded
LASSO Probability
LASSO
RF Probability
RF




Sample
Score for EL, HC,
Class-
Score for EL, HC,
Class-
Sample
Patient


ID
and STARI
ification
and STARI
ification
ID
Type





Valb1618
0.9998
EL
0.8420
EL
EDL134-
EL



0.0000

0.0560

022315




0.0002

0.1020





Valb1591
1.0000
EL
0.8600
EL
EDL134-
EL



0.0000

0.0320

120214




0.0000

0.1080





Valb1454
0.9978
EL
0.5140
EL
EDL135-
EL



0.0003

0.0840

022315




0.0019

0.4020





Valb0820
0.9798
EL
0.6560
EL
EDL135-
EL



0.0010

0.1140

120214




0.0192

0.2300





Valb0989
0.9765
EL
0.3620
HC
EDL136-
EL



0.0190

0.5660

022315




0.0045

0.0720





Valb0546
0.9184
EL
0.5760
EL
EDL136-
EL



0.0198

0.3360

120214




0.0618

0.0880





Valb1573
0.6006
EL
0.4640
EL
EDL137-
EL



0.3980

0.1620

022315




0.0015

0.3740





Valb1299
0.0350
STARI
0.4640
EL
EDL137-
EL



0.0012

0.1380

120214




0.9639

0.3980





Valb0477
0.9823
EL
0.5760
EL
EDL138-
EL



0.0001

0.2480

022315




0.0175

0.1760





Valb0160
0.9570
EL
0.5800
EL
EDL138-
EL



0.0284

0.3560

120214




0.0146

0.0640





Valb0813
0.7815
EL
0.3380
EL
EDL139-
EL



0.1288

0.3340

022315




0.0897

0.3280





Valb0443
0.1403
HC
0.5140
EL
EDL139-
EL



0.8550

0.3480

120214




0.0047

0.1380





Valb1412
0.9258
EL
0.5260
EL
EDL140-
EL



0.0010

0.1860

022315




0.0732

0.2880





Valb0886
0.6301
EL
0.4060
HC
EDL140-
EL



0.1495

0.4380

120214




0.2204

0.1560





Valb0827
0.9395
EL
0.5600
EL
EDL71-
EL



0.0600

0.3240

022315




0.0005

0.1160





Valb0186
0.9623
EL
0.5460
EL
EDL71-
EL



0.0341

0.3980

120214




0.0036

0.0560





Valb1337
0.9873
EL
0.6840
EL
EDL73-
EL



0.0000

0.0480

022315




0.0127

0.2680





Valb0714
0.9991
EL
0.7480
EL
EDL73-
EL



0.0000

0.0740

120214




0.0009

0.1780





Valb1510
0.9795
EL
0.6700
EL
EDL74-
EL



0.0000

0.1140

022315




0.0205

0.2160





Valb0642
0.9990
EL
0.7280
EL
EDL74-
EL





0.1080

120214






0.1640





Valb1586
1.0000
EL
0.8180
EL
EDL75-
EL



0.0000

0.0920

022315




0.0000

0.0900





Valb1402
1.0000
EL
0.8460
EL
EDL75-
EL



0.0000

0.0640

120214




0.0000

0.0900





Valb0593
0.9699
EL
0.5380
EL
EDL76-
EL



0.0155

0.3180

022315




0.0146

0.1440





Valb0608
0.2554
HC
0.4000
HC
EDL76-
EL



0.4250

0.4320

120214




0.3197

0.1680





Valb0808
0.9747
EL
0.5080
EL
EDL77-
EL



0.0135

0.3480

022315




0.0118

0.1440





Valb0750
1.0000
EL
0.5600
EL
EDL77-
EL



0.0000

0.2140

120214




0.0000

0.2260





Valb0907
0.9570
EL
0.5640
EL
EDL78-
EL



0.0006

0.1900

022315




0.0424

0.2460





Valb0585
0.8967
EL
0.5760
EL
EDL78-
EL



0.0837

0.3440

120214




0.0196

0.0800





Valb1638
0.9978
EL
0.5880
EL
EDL79-
EL



0.0000

0.0940

022315




0.0022

0.3180





Valb1640
0.9891
EL
0.8180
EL
EDL79-
EL



0.0000

0.0700

120214




0.0109

0.1120





Valb1430
0.9960
EL
0.6740
EL
ELL06-
EL



0.0000

0.0980

022315




0.0040

0.2280





Valb1155
0.9921
EL
0.7140
EL
ELL06-
EL



0.0073

0.1020

120214




0.0006

0.1840





Valb1553
0.9522
EL
0.4940
EL
ELL07-
EL



0.0308

0.3240

022315




0.0170

0.1820





Valb1562
0.9989
EL
0.6360
EL
ELL07-
EL



0.0011

0.1900

120214




0.0000

0.1740





Valb1445
0.8847
EL
0.6300
EL
ELL08-
EL



0.0032

0.1880

022315




0.1122

0.1820





Valb1188
0.9871
EL
0.6260
EL
ELL08-
EL



0.0124

0.1600

120214




0.0005

0.2140





Valb1613
1.0000
EL
0.8320
EL
ELL09-
EL



0.0000

0.0740

022315




0.0000

0.0940





Valb1514
1.0000
EL
0.7780
EL
ELL09-
EL



0.0000

0.1120

120214




0.0000

0.1100





Valb1479
0.2786
STARI
0.5340
EL
ELL10-
EL



0.1610

0.2020

022315




0.5604

0.2640





Valb0933
0.5295
EL
0.6060
EL
ELL10-
EL



0.3586

0.2880

120214




0.1119

0.1060





Valb0923
0.6352
EL
0.5600
EL
ELL16-
EL



0.1147

0.2900

022315




0.2501

0.1500





Valb0338
0.4277
STARI
0.4760
EL
ELL16-
EL



0.0788

0.4300

120214




0.4935

0.0940





Valb0783
0.8276
EL
0.5720
EL
ELL17-
EL



0.0090

0.3660

022315




0.1634

0.0620





Valb0261
0.9899
EL
0.6060
EL
ELL17-
EL



0.0038

0.3060

120214




0.0064

0.0880





Valb1264
0.7738
EL
0.5880
EL
ELL18-
EL



0.0116

0.2880

022315




0.2146

0.1240





Valb0545
0.1309
HC
0.5000
EL
ELL18-
EL



0.8465

0.3480

120214




0.0225

0.1520





Valb1427
0.9965
EL
0.5460
EL
ELL61-
EL



0.0022

0.3180

022315




0.0012

0.1360





Valb1071
0.9949
EL
0.5240
EL
ELL61-
EL



0.0040

0.3060

120214




0.0011

0.1700





Valb1211
0.6844
EL
0.4780
EL
ELL62-
EL



0.3003

0.3280

022315




0.0153

0.1940





Valb1217
0.0136
HC
0.4560
EL
ELL62-
EL



0.9855

0.4140

120214




0.0009

0.1300





Valb1414
0.9456
EL
0.6260
EL
ELL63-
EL



0.0523

0.2680

022315




0.0020

0.1060





Valb1104
0.4263
HC
0.4460
HC
ELL63-
EL



0.5711

0.4700

120214




0.0026

0.0840





Valb0736
0.8514
EL
0.4700
HC
ELL64-
EL



0.1341

0.4880

022315




0.0145

0.0420





Valb0384
0.7501
EL
0.4000
HC
ELL64-
EL



0.2400

0.5680

120214




0.0100

0.0320





Valb0672
0.9502
EL
0.4200
HC
ELL65-
EL



0.0479

0.4660

022315




0.0019

0.1140





Valb0300
0.9441
EL
0.5220
EL
ELL65-
EL





0.4020

120214






0.0760





Valb1018
0.2340
HC
0.3360
HC
ELL66-
EL



0.7645

0.6140

022315




0.0015

0.0500





Valb0458
0.5250
EL
0.2980
HC
ELL66-
EL



0.4676

0.6620

120214




0.0074

0.0400





Valb1356
0.6663
EL
0.6480
EL
ELL67-
EL



0.3313

0.1860

022315




0.0024

0.1660





Valb0492
0.7816
EL
0.5200
EL
ELL67-
EL



0.2169

0.3160

120214




0.0015

0.1640





Valb0408
0.0012
HC
0.0840
HC
HCN07-
HC



0.9984

0.8860

022315




0.0004

0.0300





Valb0311
0.0039
HC
0.0720
HC
HCN07-
HC



0.9653

0.8880

120214




0.0308

0.0400





Valb0440
0.0006
HC
0.1480
HC
HCN08-
HC



0.9993

0.8140

022315




0.0001

0.0380





Valb0123
0.0189
HC
0.1960
HC
HCN08-
HC



0.9758

0.7700

120214




0.0053

0.0340





Valb0327
0.0029
HC
0.1180
HC
HCN09-
HC



0.9970

0.8600

022315




0.0001

0.0220





Valb0112
0.0000
HC
0.0540
HC
HCN09-
HC



0.9995

0.9260

120214




0.0005

0.0200





Valb1108
0.0042
HC
0.3780
HC
HCN16-
HC



0.9957

0.5120

022315




0.0001

0.1100





Valb0269
0.0724
HC
0.0700
HC
HCN16-
HC



0.9238

0.9120

120214




0.0039

0.0180





Valb0411
0.0243
HC
0.2760
HC
HCN17-
HC



0.9710

0.6700

022315




0.0047

0.0540





Valb0029
0.0491
HC
0.0620
HC
HCN17-
HC



0.9435

0.9220

120214




0.0074

0.0160





Valb0860
0.1211
HC
0.3560
HC
HCN18-
HC



0.8540

0.4300

022315




0.0250

0.2140





Valb0302
0.0198
HC
0.0240
HC
HCN18-
HC



0.9792

0.9720

120214




0.0010

0.0040





Valb0709
0.0060
HC
0.2980
HC
HCN19-
HC



0.9930

0.5740

022315




0.0010

0.1280





Valb0178
0.0024
HC
0.0480
HC
HCN19-
HC



0.9940

0.9260

120214




0.0036

0.0260





Valb0962
0.0978
HC
0.3700
HC
HCN25-
HC



0.8543

0.4420

022315




0.0479

0.1880





Valb0418
0.6988
EL
0.2500
HC
HCN25-
HC



0.1304

0.5540

120214




0.1708

0.1960





Valb0632
0.0014
HC
0.1080
HC
HCN28-
HC



0.9982

0.8440

022315




0.0005

0.0480





Valb0124
0.0226
HC
0.0800
HC
HCN28-
HC



0.9655

0.8780

120214




0.0119

0.0420





Valb0690
0.9013
EL
0.5920
EL
HCN29-
HC



0.0929

0.3340

022315




0.0058

0.0740





Valb0066
0.0876
HC
0.1260
HC
HCN29-
HC



0.8866

0.8560

120214




0.0257

0.0180





Valb1466
0.0038
HC
0.1860
HC
HCW13-
HC



0.9957

0.7800

022315




0.0005

0.0340





Valb0777
0.2406
HC
0.1320
HC
HCW13-
HC



0.7540

0.8560

120214




0.0054

0.0120





Valb1405
0.0021
HC
0.2540
HC
HCW21-
HC



0.9959

0.5900

022315




0.0019

0.1560





Valb0802
0.2993
HC
0.1660
HC
HCW21-
HC



0.6973

0.8180

120214




0.0034

0.0160





Valb1254
0.5258
EL
0.4020
EL
HCW25-
HC



0.4539

0.3720

022315




0.0203

0.2260





Valb0697
0.0064
HC
0.4060
HC
HCW25-
HC



0.9906

0.4180

120214




0.0031

0.1760





Valb1138
0.0005
HC
0.1720
HC
HCW26-
HC



0.9988

0.7260

022315




0.0007

0.1020





Valb0520
0.0041
HC
0.1580
HC
HCW26-
HC



0.9956

0.7940

120214




0.0004

0.0480





Valb1119
0.0001
HC
0.2120
HC
HCW28-
HC



0.9998

0.7240

022315




0.0001

0.0640





Valb0572
0.1165
HC
0.1180
HC
HCW28-
HC



0.8831

0.8600

120214




0.0004

0.0220





Valb0943
0.0616
HC
0.2260
HC
HCW29-
HC



0.9320

0.5440

022315




0.0064

0.2300





Valb0419
0.3990
HC
0.2480
HC
HCW29-
HC



0.5992

0.6840

120214




0.0018

0.0680





Valb1282
0.0191
HC
0.2980
HC
HCW34-
HC



0.6025

0.4380

022315




0.3783

0.2640





Valb0719
0.0209
HC
0.0980
HC
HCW34-
HC



0.9768

0.8980

120214




0.0024

0.0040





Valb1535
0.0056
HC
0.2160
HC
HCW37-
HC



0.9885

0.5380

022315




0.0059

0.2460





Valb1091
0.0163
HC
0.2120
HC
HCW37-
HC



0.9766

0.7280

120214




0.0071

0.0600





Valb1509
0.1004
HC
0.3080
HC
HCW44-
HC



0.8845

0.5860

022315




0.0151

0.1060





Valb0944
0.0532
HC
0.2300
HC
HCW44-
HC



0.9143

0.7280

120214




0.0325

0.0420





Valb1349
0.0037
HC
0.3080
HC
HCW46-
HC



0.9898

0.6100

022315




0.0066

0.0820





Valb0801
0.0039
HC
0.2640
HC
HCW46-
HC



0.9822

0.6500

120214




0.0139

0.0860





Valb1561
0.0005
STARI
0.0044
STARI
M06A-
STARI



0.0000

0.1788

022315




0.9995

0.8168





Valb1328
0.6469
EL
0.5180
EL
M06A-
STARI



0.0097

0.0960

120214




0.3434

0.3860





Valb0329
0.2186
STARI
0.2140
STARI
M09A-
STARI



0.0048

0.0740

022315




0.7767

0.7120





Valb0070
0.0212
STARI
0.2480
STARI
M09A-
STARI



0.0066

0.0980

120214




0.9722

0.6540





Valb1052
0.0298
STARI
0.3840
STARI
M13A-
STARI



0.0061

0.1920

022315




0.9640

0.4240





Valb0809
0.9494
EL
0.6200
EL
M13A-
STARI



0.0020

0.1560

120214




0.0486

0.2240

B



Valb1256
0.0016
STARI
0.2340
STARI
M16A-
STARI



0.0002

0.1440

022315




0.9982

0.6220





Valb1100
0.0232
STARI
0.2400
STARI
M16A-
STARI



0.0055

0.0820

120214




0.9713

0.6780





Valb1236
0.1166
STARI
0.4740
EL
M19A-
STARI



0.0227

0.2340

022315




0.8607

0.2920





Valb0580
0.1942
STARI
0.4080
STARI
M19A-
STARI



0.1003

0.1800

120214




0.7055

0.4120





Valb1525
0.9962
EL
0.3660
STARI
M22A-
STARI



0.0000

0.1700

022315




0.0038

0.4640





Valb0534
0.1791
STARI
0.3520
STARI
M22A-
STARI



0.0000

0.1880

120214




0.8208

0.4600





Valb0556
0.3684
STARI
0.3120
STARI
M26A-
STARI



0.1161

0.0300

022315




0.5155

0.6580





Valb0116
0.4121
STARI
0.1900
STARI
M26A-
STARI



0.0005

0.0560

120214




0.5874

0.7540





Valb0461
0.0048
STARI
0.2000
STARI
M27A-
STARI



0.0293

0.0860

022315




0.9659

0.7140





Valb0266
0.0169
STARI
0.1300
STARI
M27A-
STARI



0.0001

0.0560

120214




0.9830

0.8140





Valb0447
0.0016
STARI
0.1280
STARI
S03-
STARI



0.1106

0.0780

022315




0.8877

0.7940





Valb0026
0.0005
STARI
0.1320
STARI
S03-
STARI



0.0004

0.0640

120214




0.9992

0.8040





Valb1114
0.0013
STARI
0.1800
STARI
S09-
STARI



0.0004

0.2660

022315




0.9982

0.5540





Valb0464
0.1404
STARI
0.1320
STARI
S09-
STARI



0.0000

0.2000

120214




0.8596

0.6680





Valb1292
0.0002
STARI
0.1360
STARI
S17-
STARI



0.0000

0.1980

022315




0.9997

0.6660





Valb0754
0.0001
STARI
0.0980
STARI
S17-
STARI



0.0000

0.1480

120214




0.9999

0.7540





Valb0434
0.0209
STARI
0.1780
STARI
S21-
STARI



0.0896

0.2000

022315




0.8896

0.6220





Valb0044
0.0148
STARI
0.2560
STARI
S21-
STARI



0.0203

0.1920

120214




0.9649

0.5520





Valb0873
0.0079
STARI
0.1340
STARI
S33-
STARI



0.0169

0.2480

022315




0.9753

0.6180





Valb0352
0.0003
STARI
0.1280
STARI
S33-
STARI



0.0087

0.2180

120214




0.9910

0.6540





Valb1141
0.0000
STARI
0.1060
STARI
S39-
STARI



0.0169

0.1100

022315




0.9831

0.7840





Valb0480
0.0000
STARI
0.0540
STARI
S39-
STARI



0.0002

0.0500

120214




0.9998

0.8960





Valb0618
0.0015
STARI
0.2640
STARI
S43-
STARI



0.0010

0.2060

022315




0.9975

0.5300





Valb0660
0.0018
STARI
0.2700
STARI
S43-
STARI



0.0008

0.1400

120214




0.9973

0.5900





Valb0223
0.0002
STARI
0.1080
STARI
S47-
STARI



0.0340

0.3080

022315




0.9658

0.5840





Valb0054
0.0023
STARI
0.0640
STARI
S47-
STARI



0.0168

0.0740

120214




0.9808

0.8620





Valb0335
0.0085
STARI
0.0660
STARI
S53-
STARI



0.0023

0.0440

022315




0.9893

0.8900





Valb0197
0.0050
STARI
0.0320
STARI
S53-
STARI



0.0001

0.0320

120214




0.9949

0.9360





Valb0409
0.0714
STARI
0.1680
STARI
S55-
STARI



0.0715

0.1420

022315




0.8571

0.6900





Valb0060
0.0119
STARI
0.1020
STARI
S55-
STARI



0.0059

0.1180

120214




0.9821

0.7800





Valb0437
0.0001
STARI
0.0800
STARI
S65-
STARI



0.0078

0.1060

022315




0.9921

0.8140





Valb0093
0.0000
STARI
0.1060
STARI
S65-
STARI



0.0001

0.0720

120214




0.9999

0.8220








Claims
  • 1. A method for treating a subject in need thereof, wherein the subject is suspected as having Lyme disease or STARI, the method comprising: (a) obtaining a disease score from a mass spectrometry based test;(b) diagnosing the subject with Lyme disease or STARI based on the disease score; and(c) if the subject is diagnosed with Lyme disease, administering a treatment to the subject diagnosed with Lyme disease based on the disease score, wherein the treatment is a pharmacological treatment for Lyme disease selected from an antibiotic, an antibacterial agent, an immune modulator, an anti-inflammatory agent, or a combination thereof;(d) if the subject is diagnosed with STARI, optionally administering a treatment to the subject diagnosed with STARI based on the disease score, wherein the treatment is a pharmacological treatment is selected from an antibiotic, an antibacterial agent, an anti-inflammatory agent, or a combination thereof, wherein the mass spectrometry-based test comprises:(i) deproteinizing a blood sample from a subject to produce a metabolite extract, wherein the subject has at least one symptom that is associated with Lyme disease or STARI;(ii) performing liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry on a sample of the metabolite extract;(iii) providing abundance values for each molecular feature in Table A, Table C, or Table D:
  • 2. The method of claim 1, wherein an area under the curve (AUC) value for an ROC curve of the classification model is about 0.8 or greater.
  • 3. The method of claim 1, wherein the classification model has a sensitivity from about 0.8 to about 1 and/or a specificity from about 0.8 to about 1, and optionally an area under the curve (AUC) value for an ROC curve that is about 0.8 or greater.
  • 4. The method of claim 1, wherein the classification model has a sensitivity from about 0.85 to about 1 and/or a specificity from about 0.85 to about 1, and optionally an area under the curve (AUC) value for an ROC curve that is about 0.8 or greater.
  • 5. The method of claim 1, wherein the classification model has a sensitivity from about 0.9 to about 1 and/or a specificity from about 0.9 to about 1, and optionally an area under the curve (AUC) value for an ROC curve that is about 0.8 or greater.
  • 6. The method of claim 5, wherein the classification model has an accuracy of at least 97% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease and an accuracy of at least 87% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI.
  • 7. The method of claim 1, wherein: abundance values are provided for each molecular feature in Table A or Table D; andthe suitable controls comprise a blood sample from a subject known to be positive for Lyme disease, and a blood sample from a subject known to be positive for STARI.
  • 8. The method of claim 7, wherein the classification model has an accuracy of at least 95% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease and an accuracy of at least 85% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI.
  • 9. The method of claim 7, wherein the classification model has an accuracy of at least 97% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease and an accuracy of at least 87% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI.
  • 10. The method of claim 1, wherein: abundance values are provided for each molecular feature in Table C or Table D;the suitable controls include a blood sample from a subject known to be positive for Lyme disease, a blood sample from a subject known to be positive for STARI, and a blood sample from a healthy subject.
  • 11. The method of claim 10, wherein the classification model has an accuracy of at least 85% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease, an accuracy of at least 85% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI, and an accuracy of at least 85% for detecting a sample from a healthy subject.
  • 12. The method of claim 10, wherein the classification model has an accuracy of at least 85% for detecting a sample from a subject with Lyme disease, an accuracy of at least 90% for detecting a sample from a subject with STARI, and an accuracy of at least 90% for detecting a sample from a healthy subject.
  • 13. The method of claim 1, wherein the blood sample is a serum sample.
  • 14. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject has at least one symptom that is associated with both Lyme disease and STARI.
  • 15. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject has an erythema migrans rash.
  • 16. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject's serum is negative for antibodies to Lyme disease-causing Borrelia species.
CROSS REFERENCE TO RELATED APPLICATIONS

This application is a continuation application of U.S. application Ser. No. 16/703,401, filed Dec. 4, 2019, which application is a continuation of International Application No. PCT/US2018/036688, with an international filing date of Jun. 8, 2018, which PCT application claims the benefit of U.S. provisional application No. 62/516,824, filed Jun. 8, 2017. The contents of the above-mentioned applications are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety.

GOVERNMENTAL RIGHTS

This invention was made with government support under AI100228 and AI099094, each awarded by National Institutes of Health. The government has certain rights in the invention.

Provisional Applications (1)
Number Date Country
62516824 Jun 2017 US
Continuations (2)
Number Date Country
Parent 16703401 Dec 2019 US
Child 17534170 US
Parent PCT/US2018/036688 Jun 2018 US
Child 16703401 US