The present invention relates to a technology for controlling power supply using a large amount of data, the so-called big data, about electric power consumption amount and electric power generation/storage amount.
In particular, the present invention relates to a technology for determining a power supply method by managing these data and calculating the total of consumer's power consumption under control of Information and Control. More in particularly, the present invention relates to a technology, implemented by Information and Control, for acquiring power consumption data sent from buildings, for forecasting demands, and for consuming a combination of existing company-supplied power and regionally stored/generated power such as electric power stored at night or generated by solar power generation.
Conventionally, electric power is supplied based on a contract with a power company that has thermal power stations and nuclear power stations. When the amount of power supply to a building becomes smaller than the amount of power demand, the power supply is stopped. However, when smart grid is used where power supply and demand is processed based on a two-way information exchange between a power supplier and a power user or when a power consumer becomes a power supplier who has a solar power generation system, the information not only on the user's power consumption but also on user's power generation is acquired to provide an efficient power usage method. In smart grid, when the power demand is high, a consumer reduces the power consumption or switches the power to the storage power, stored at midnight at which the electrical charge is low and the power consumption is small, or use the storage power generated via solar power generation or obtained from an electric vehicle. These actions lead to a power consumption reduction called peak-shift in which the high power-demand time zone is shifted. The application of such a method requires that information on the power consumption in homes, offices, and commercial facilities be collected to acquire the information on the power usage status of the whole area. The following technologies are proposed to measure the power supply and demand balance and, based on the measured result, to control the power supply.
JP-A-2012-227928 describes a selection method of communication means for use when data is sent from a power meter that has the communication function. JP-A-2012-165549 describes a method for calculating the total power consumption via a network based on the total calculation result of power amounts, consumed by multiple electric devices, for controlling the power consumption. WO2012/066651A1 describes a method for calculating the total of power consumption using an information infrastructure and for calculating the surplus power using regional power generation information, such as solar power generation, to give an incentive to power consumers for using those new powers. JP-A-2012-60789 describes a method for using power consumption data to measure the power supply and demand balance.
A method for controlling the power usage status using information on the power usage is called a demand response. The use of this method is known as described in WO2012/066651A1. A technology for controlling the supply and demand balance is described in JP-A-2012-60789. In addition, a method for estimating and controlling the whole consumption amount based on the power usage status is described in JP-A-2012-227928 and JP-A-2012-165549.
However, the publications given above do not describe a case in which information on the power consumption value of buildings is not acquired from all buildings included in an area/town or when the information that can be acquired is limited. In fact, when there are many buildings from which data cannot be acquired, the power consumption status of that area/town is not known only from the acquired power consumption data. In particular, the power consumption of the commercial facilities, offices, and factories affects the power consumption tendency of the whole area. Therefore, when power consumption data on those buildings is not acquired, the power consumption values of those buildings must be estimated. The power supply and demand of an area/town is well balanced by estimating the future power consumption values with such an accuracy that the estimated power consumption values are not so much different from the actual power consumption values. Thus, it is necessary to calculate the power consumption amounts of all buildings included in an area/town and, therefore, the power consumption of the buildings in an area is estimated from the power consumption amount that can be acquired in the area.
The present invention proposes a technology for solving the following two problems:
To solve the above problems, the present invention employs the following configuration. That is, the present invention performs the following to estimate the power consumption of the whole area. For a “building” from which power consumption data cannot be acquired, the present invention identifies a building, whose attribute is similar to that of the building and from which power consumption data can be acquired, and estimates the power consumption of the “building”, from which power consumption data cannot be acquired, from the power consumption data on the identified building. The “building”, which is a unit for calculating and managing power consumption data, is a concept that includes facilities, structures, and other objects.
More specific solution means is as follows. Information and Control is used that acquires a large amount of power consumption data. This Information and Control acquires power consumption data from an energy management system, installed in the buildings such as a home or a building, stores the acquired power consumption data and, at the same time, performs variability analysis of an average power consumption based on the attributes such as times, locations, and building types. In addition, for a building from which power consumption data cannot be acquired, Information and Control performs the following processing to estimate the power consumption value.
To estimate a power consumption value, map information, building data described in a map, attributes related to a building shape, and power consumption data analyzed for each building are used. A map is vector data composed of coordinate columns, and a unique number for identifying a building is attached to vector data representing a building. The attribute number is used to establish the relation among the building attributes of buildings. Building attributes include a number (code) indicating the type of building such as a home or commercial facilities and, for a home, include information indicating whether residents are at home or not.
Using these attributes, the power consumption data on a building of the same type, held in Information and Control as analysis data, is searched for. For a building from which power consumption data cannot be acquired, the average of these history data is calculated for use as the power consumption data on that building. Power consumption data cannot be acquired if the acquisition of power consumption data is not permitted or if data is not sent or received due to a failure in an apparatus. Even in such a case, this method allows power consumption data to be acquired.
In some areas, power is stored in a time zone in which electricity charge is low or electric power is generated by a solar power generation system. This stored or generated power can be used in a time zone in which the electricity charge is high or when the power supply and demand is tight. To solve the problems, the following configuration is employed.
Power discharge or power sharing requires the forecasting of power consumption in each area/town. To satisfy this requirement, the following two functions are provided: one is the statistical analysis function that acquires power consumption data in each area/town and the trend variation forecasting function that forecasts a variation in electric power using the past analysis results of the power consumption in an area/town. The statistical analysis function collects power consumption data on the buildings included in each area/town, and the trend variation forecasting function forecasts the trend of the future, based on the analysis results of the past, to forecast a ratio between power supply and power consumption. As a result, the amount of discharge to an area/town and the amount of shared-power supply between areas/towns are determined.
According to the present invention, even if there are one or more buildings from which power consumption data cannot be acquired, it becomes possible to estimate the whole power consumption of an area more accurately.
In this embodiment, because the information on the power usage status of the houses arranged according to an area is available, an area manager can discharge power that is charged in the area. In particular, the power consumption amount of a building, if not known, can be estimated from a similar building. When there are storage batteries, power can be discharged according to a request from a user.
Not only a power company but also an area manager, which is an organization for increasing power consumption efficiency in an area, can manage the cooperation between sensor data information and the discharge control of regionally generated/stored power. An area manager performs this cooperation using a data center.
One embodiment of the present invention is described in detail below with reference to the drawings. In this embodiment, information on the power consumption of a whole area can be obtained by acquiring power consumption data on each building and, for a building from which data cannot be acquired, by using power consumption data on a similar building. In addition, the power consumption status of a whole area/town is acquired with high forecasting accuracy and, if storage power is available, the discharge amount and the shared-power amount among areas/towns are calculated. In this manner, the efficiency of power consumption is increased.
This embodiment is executed by the cooperation among the following components via a network: Information and Control implemented on a computer system, a computer system on which an application is installed such as a power control system that discharges a storage battery, and a sensor system that has the communication function such as a home energy management system and a building energy management system.
The installation of a power consumption sensor, which is installed in a building for two-way communication between a power company and a user, allows information on the power usage status of a power user to be acquired. In particular, an apparatus called a Home Energy Management System (HEMS) or a Building Energy Management System (BEMS) is available for use. With a sensor installed in individual apparatuses in a building, the information on the power consumption of each apparatus, which cannot be obtained by a power meter only, can be acquired. These data is acquired as power consumption data in a building and, by adding up these power consumption data, the information on the power consumption in each area/town can be obtained. The use of power consumption data on each building or on each area/town gives the following advantages. One of those advantages is that power can be charged in a time zone in which the electricity charge is low. Another advantage is that, when power regionally generated by solar power generation or by fuel cells is available, a power peak-shift (the usage time zone in which the power consumption is the maximum is shifted to a time zone in which the power consumption is low) can be performed by discharging the regional power in a time zone in which the electricity charge is high and the power consumption is high. A still another advantage is a reduction in the electricity charge. Therefore, the power consumption required for resident lives or commercial/business activities is optimized while maintaining a balance between power supply and consumption. In this manner, the power-consumption tendency information not only on buildings but also on an area/town can be collected for use in the discharge operation or power sharing operation. In the description below, the present invention assumes that the discharge facility described above is available. To accomplish the regional operation of power as described above, the following problems must be solved:
It is impossible for the owner of an individual building to manage the power consumption of a whole area/town, to discharge regionally charged/generated power, and to manage the power sharing between areas/towns. Instead, an operator called an area manager manages these tasks. The power management of an area manager, that is, the management processing in the system in this embodiment according to the operation of an area manager, is performed according to the following steps.
Power generation and night power storage on an area/town basis contributes to the optimization of a balance between the power supply and the power consumption of an area/town. However, the supply of power in this way requires the cooperation with a conventional power distribution system managed by an infrastructure manager and, therefore, requires the installation of an area management system that manages each area/town. In this embodiment, such an area management system manages the power consumption of an area/town and, by discharging regionally generated power and night storage power, reduces the electricity charges and solves a power shortage problem. In addition, the system collects information on the power of multiple areas/towns and supplies the shared power of an area/town, which has surplus power, to an area/town in which the shortage of power or an increase in the power usage amount is expected.
The area management system manages and controls the power consumption status of multiple buildings and the storage amount of storage apparatuses. More specifically, the area management system performs the following processing.
Power consumption data is acquired and analyzed by a system called Information and Control. The area management system is configured by a combination of Information and Control, the sensors that measure the power consumption, and a power control system that controls the discharge of power. The operation of a system for managing the area management system is performed by an area manager. The area manager need not be an individual but may he a specific organization or a managerial position.
Information and Control is a system that performs information processing.
Communication network 204: This is a network for sending sensor data to Information and Control.
Apparatus data is also acquired from the HEMS 201, BEMS 202, and storage battery sensor 203 described above at a predetermined time, for example, periodically. The apparatus data describes the apparatus type information, connection information, other operation information (on/off), and soundness information (normal/failed) on the apparatus parts of the apparatuses installed in a building and connected to the network.
Data acquisition function 205: This function acquires the measurement values of the power consumption amount and the storage power amount periodically sent from the HEMS 201, BEMS 202, and storage battery sensor 203.
Storage data generation function 206: This function converts data for storing acquired power consumption data, storage power data, and apparatus data in a stream database 213. The data structure is a key-value pair method. The key, which indicates the type of data, is described by a code indicating power consumption. In this case, the value is the acquired value of power consumption data, and the acquired data itself is described as the value.
Data storage function 207: This function stores data in a database. The function stores power consumption data, storage power data, and apparatus data, each represented in a key-value format, into the stream database (213). In addition, the function stores structured data in a history database 214 and stores the analysis result of power consumption and power storage in an analytics database 215.
Data structuring function 208: This function acquires data, required for analysis, from data acquired in the key-value method and converts the acquired data into generic items to be used by Information and Control. This function corresponds to retrieving data from a key and a value. That is, the function corresponds to the processing in which data (data type, apparatus number, apparatus type, data acquisition time, data acquisition interval, and measured value (power consumption value, storage power amount, apparatus status)) is retrieved and then arranged in a predetermined order.
In-memory modeling function 209: This function expands not only power consumption data, storage power data, and apparatus data but also region/town map-attribute data into a memory for high-speed access and, at the same time, expands history data into a memory for analysis. The function also expands data obtained as a result of analysis.
Analytics interface function 210: This interface function allows the analytics application (Analytics) software 218 to cooperate with other functions. The analytics software 218 is composed of functions for performing trend analysis based on power consumption data, for calculating the total of area/town data, for estimating power consumption data upon detection of power consumption loss, for analyzing an apparatus abnormality described in apparatus data, and for analyzing the frequency of apparatus data loss.
Data search function 211: This function searches the history database 214, analytics database 215, map database 216, and attribute database 217 for power consumption data history, data statistic processing results, and data related to a position in a map and stores the search result in an in-memory.
Application common interface 212: This interface function allows a power control function 225 to cooperate with other functions to execute the storage battery charge/discharge application using data analysis results.
Stream database 213: This database stores the acquired result of power consumption data and apparatus data. The result is stored in a key-value format.
History database 214: This database stores structured data, which is structured by retrieving analysis-required item values from power consumption data, storage data, and apparatus data, as history data.
Analytics database 215: This database stores the analysis of power consumption data (variability analysis) and power consumption data collected in geographical units such as areas/towns. For variability analysis, the results created by forecasting the future are stored. Data estimated on an area/town basis is used for collecting area/town statistics.
Map database 216: This database is used to determine the positional relation of an area/town. This database is used also to calculate the area of a house shape. This database also stores satellite photograph images and aerial photograph images which are used as a background image.
Attribute database 217: This database stores attributes about a map. For example, a building type, use of a building, the number of persons in a building, and the height of a building are attribute data.
Analytics function 218: This function includes a group of functions that perform data variability analysis or statistical processing, as well as functions that determine an apparatus abnormality, using data stored in the history database 214 or recently acquired power consumption data and apparatus data. The analytics software 218 is configured by a trend forecasting function 219, a journal data analysis function 220, a non-acquired data value estimation function 221, a statistical analysis function 222, a trend knowledge acquisition function 223, and an abnormality analysis determination function 224.
Trend forecasting function 219: This function compares the variations in power consumption and water services with the past history for use in analysis and future variation forecasting. Here, this function forecasts a variation over time, a variation that will be generated according to positions, and a variation that will be generated at an event time such as a long vacation.
Journal data analysis function 220: This function checks acquired apparatus data to detect an apparatus part failure or an apparatus abnormality caused by the loss of apparatus data itself and, thereby, determines an abnormality in the measured values.
Non-acquired data value estimation function 221: This function estimates the power consumption data on a building, for which data has not yet acquired, from the information (building area, building type, building height, personnel organization, etc.) searched for from the attribute database 217.
Statistical analysis function 222: This function performs statistical calculation to collect statistics on power consumption data on each area/town or statistics on hourly power consumption.
Trend knowledge acquisition function 223: This function associates power consumption values with a time, a period, and an area/town and acquires information, such as variation speeds, corresponding to a situation determined by the association.
Abnormality data analysis function 224: This function compares acquired power consumption data with apparatus data to determine whether data is normal or abnormal.
Power control function 225: This function references the regionally-generated/stored power amount, sends the discharge control signal to the control apparatus, and controls the power distribution apparatus for managing the discharge amount and for sharing power among areas/towns.
The functions described in this specification are executed by a computer program. That is, a device that works as a computer reads the computer program, and an arithmetic unit such as the CPU executes the operation processing according to the content, which has been read, for executing the functions.
An area/town indicates a management unit that configures the whole of a power management range managed by an area manager.
An area/town sometimes includes a building specifically intended for regional power-generation/power-storage. The power consumption information is sent to the supplier of company-supplied power via power meters 312, 313, and 315. The power consumption information is sent also to an area manager 321 (hereinafter, the area manager 321 refers to an information processing device (computer) operated by an area manager (person)) via the HEMS or BEMS, such as that shown by the reference numerals 313, 314, and 315, over a communication network 311. The power meters 315 and 317 measure the electric power amount of power generation/storage, and the measured amount is sent to the area manager 321 or to the company-supplied power operator (Note that the measured amount is sent to the computer used by the manager or the operator. This applies also to the description below).
The area manager 321 cannot acquire all power consumption data on the buildings included in the area/town. The power consumption data is supplied from a building, which has agreed to supply data by contract, to the area manager 321, but the power consumption data cannot be acquired from a building that has not yet agreed to supply data. In addition, in some cases, there is a building in which an apparatus such as a power meter is not installed or data cannot be acquired due to an apparatus failure. Therefore, one area/town may sometimes include a building that supplies data to a different area manager (to that manager's computer). In addition, the area manager 321 may acquire power consumption data from two or more areas/towns.
Here, the destinations to which the power consumption data is supplied may be limited to which have been agreed as the destination.
This means that, to allow the area manager 321 to acquire information about power consumption in the whole area/town, it is necessary not only to acquire power consumption data on the buildings in the area manager's management range that have agreed to supply data but also to estimate power consumption data on the houses that do not supply data. In addition, in such an area/town, it is necessary for the area manager 321 to collect the following data: data on the regionally generated solar power or power obtained from an electric vehicle, data on the electric power stored in a low-charge time zone and discharged at a power consumption peak time, and data on shared power supply to an area/town where there is no power-generation/power-storage facility. It is assumed that data on these types of power can be acquired by the area manager 321. By doing so, the area manager 321 obtains information on the power consumption status in an area/town, included in the management range, for determining whether to discharge.
Step 401: Determine Whether it is a Time for Acquiring Power Related Data.
The area manager 321 determines whether it is a time for acquiring power consumption data, power storage data, and apparatus data. The area manager 321 acquires these data at a predetermine interval.
Step 402: Acquire Power Consumption Data and Power Storage Data.
The area manager 321 acquires the power consumption data, power storage data, and apparatus data on the buildings from the HEMS 201 or BEMS 202 via the communication line 204 such as the Internet. The HEMS 201 is a data acquisition device for collecting information on the electric power usage status of each apparatus in a home. The BEMS 202 is a data acquisition device for collecting information on the electric power consumption status of each apparatus in an office building or a commercial building. The area manager 321 also acquires the storage amount data and the discharge amount data of the regional power-generation/power-storage system from the storage sensor 203. At the same time, the area manager 321 acquires the apparatus data on apparatus failures from the HEMS 201, BEMS 202, and storage sensor 203, including failures generated in those devices. The HEMS 201, BEMS 202, and storage sensor 203 may be an apparatus, such as a smart meter, that has the communication function for sending the power consumption amount information to the power supplier. The data acquisition function 205 acquires the power consumption data and the storage data, the storage data generation function 206 converts the acquired data to a key-value format, and the data storage function 207 stores the converted data in the stream database 213. The key value of data in the key-value format indicates the data type indicating whether the data is power consumption data or storage data, and the value of the data indicates the acquired value of the power consumption data or storage data. Therefore, acquired data is once stored in the stream database 213 with a key value added to the acquired data.
Step 403: Structure the Acquired Data.
The data structuring function 208 separates data, which indicates the power consumption of an apparatus necessary for analysis, from the acquired power consumption data and the storage data. The power consumption data and the storage data may be described in a generic XML (eXchange Markup Language) format. An XML-format data item is described using a start tag <**> and an end tag </**>. The item name of data is coded within parentheses (<>), and data is coded between the start tag and the end tag. When the manufacturers of the HEMS 201, BEMS 202, and storage sensor 203 are different, different item names are coded. Therefore, a table of correspondence between the item names of manufacturers and the generic item names managed by Information and Control is used to find a correspondence between a power-consumption/storage related item name, to which an. XML tag is attached, and a generic item names required by Information and Control to obtain a value corresponding to the generic item. The in-memory modeling function 209 performs unit conversion for an obtained value, if necessary, and expands the obtained value into memory. The generic item names are those corresponding to reference numerals 509 to 514 in
Step 404: Expand Structured Data into In-Memory.
As shown in
As shown in
The actual data 503 of power consumption data is stored in the memory space 505, and new data is added as shown by the reference numeral 504. As shown in
Step 405: Search for a Building from which Data Cannot be Acquired.
An area includes a building from which power consumption data cannot be acquired. When a large amount of power consumption data is acquired from individual buildings, the data may not be acquired due to a fault in a communication line or due to a failure in a communication device. In such a case, the power consumption value is estimated.
In such a case, a power consumption value is estimated using the map database 216, attribute database 217, and history database 214. Map data on a referenced area/town is used to determine from which building the data cannot be acquired.
The in-memory modeling function 209 starts the data search function 211 to search the ma,p database 216 for map data 601 of a referenced area. The map data 601 is the vector data of coordinate rows. Building data and the shape indicating a town are represented by vector data. A building number 605 is attached to vector data. A building number is unique among all buildings. The building number of a building, from which power consumption data and storage data can be acquired, is stored in advance in a data-acquired building data table 606. This table includes an area/town number 607, a building number 608, and an apparatus number 609 that is the number of an HEMS or BEMS included in the building. Multiple apparatus numbers 609 are described for one building number 608. If this data is available, the building number 605, attached to the building shape of map data, can be compared with the building number 608, included in the data-acquired building data table 606, to obtain a building number not included in the data-acquired building data table 606. Referring to
The data search function 211 searches for a house (604) the building number of which is included in the map data but not included in the data-acquired building data table 606. The house that has been searched for is registered in the data non-acquired building table 611 as a building from which data cannot be acquired. Next, for a building number 607 included in the data non-acquired building table 611, the data search function 211 searches the attribute database 217 for attribute data 606 related to the map data 601. The data search function 211 can search for attribute data by using latitude and longitude, which indicate a range of a map, as the key of the attribute database 217. The building number 607 included in this attribute is the same as the building number 605 in the map data, and a building type number 608, a number of persons in the building 609, and a height 610 are searched for as the attribute. The building type number 608, number of persons in the building 609, and height 610 are stored in the data non-acquired building table 611 corresponding to the building number.
The data-acquired building table 606 and the data non-acquired building table 611 are reviewed and updated periodically. After the data-acquired building table 606 is generated, data included in the table may be erased due to an apparatus abnormality. In this case, the erased data is added to the data non-acquired building table 611.
Step 406: Estimate the Power Consumption Amount of a Building Corresponding to Non-Acquired Data.
A building from which power consumption data cannot be acquired is identified by the method shown in step 405 in which map data and attribute data are used. Next, the following describes a method for estimating the power consumption value of such a building. The data search function 211 searches the history database 214 for the power consumption data on a building collected on the same day or on a day around the same day (within several weeks) using the building type number, height, and the number of persons as the key. When the power consumption amount differs between a weekday and a holiday, the data on that day is excluded. The reference numeral 701 in
CE=(CE1+CE2+ . . . CEN)/N (1.1)
The data obtained as an execution result of expression (1.1) is held as in-memory data to store it later in the analytics database 215. In this case, the data type number 511 is a number indicating the data estimation result.
Step 407: Repeat the Power Consumption Estimation Values of Data Non-Acquired Houses.
The non-acquired data value estimation function 221 repeats the processing of step 406 for the buildings, each of which corresponds to a building number described in the data non-acquired building table 611, to calculate the power consumption value. If the calculation is ended, the processing proceeds to step 408. If the calculation is not ended, the processing returns to step 406.
Step 408: Eliminate Incompatible Data.
Sometimes, an acquired power consumption value is an impossible value due to a failure in the power measurement apparatus. For example, when the power consumption value far exceeds the contracted power amount, the power consumption of an office building on a holiday indicates the power consumption of a weekday. In such a case, the abnormality data analysis function 224 determines that a failure is generated based on the status of the past power consumption and corrects the data.
The abnormality data analysis function 224 searches for a building whose power consumption value 522 of a building expanded into the in-memory (shown in
|CE−AE|>ε (1.2)
Next, to determine whether this abnormality is caused by an apparatus failure, the abnormality data analysis function 224 starts the journal analysis function 220 to search the in-memory for the acquired apparatus data.
If abnormal power consumption data is acquired, the abnormality data analysis function 224 references the apparatus data and determines whether:
In addition, if data is not acquired from a building from which data is to be acquired, the abnormality data analysis function 224 starts the journal data analysis function 220 to search the in-memory to determine whether the apparatus data is acquired in the past. If the apparatus data is not searched for, it is determined that an abnormality is generated in the apparatus.
Step 409: Determine an Apparatus Abnormality.
If it is determined that an apparatus abnormality is generated and the power consumption data cannot be acquired or if the acquired data is ignored, step 405 is executed to estimate the power consumption value as non-acquired data. Otherwise, step 410 is executed.
Step 410: Calculate the Total of Consumption Amount of the Whole Area/Town.
The statistical analysis function 222 calculates the total of the contracted power amounts and the power consumptions of each area/town.
If power consumption data 904, 905, and 906 is collected for individual apparatuses (air conditioner, lighting device, household electrical appliance) as shown in
Step 411: Determine Whether it is a Time for Discharge.
A check is made to determine whether it is a time for a predetermined discharge. If the power is discharged, step 412 is executed. If the power is not discharged, step 413 is executed. The power may be discharged from a storage battery installed in multiple areas/towns. To do so, a discharge management table (reference numeral 1101 in
Step 412: Discharge Power.
The power control function 225 references the discharge management table to discharge power from a storage battery in an area/town with a corresponding discharge time. The discharge power is consumed by an area/town that includes the storage battery and an area/town to which shared electric power is supplied. After discharging the power, step 413 is executed.
Step 413: Calculate the Power Urgency of an Area/Town.
For each area/town, the ratio between the total of contracted power AE and the power consumption CE calculated in step 410 is determined from the total calculation result calculated in step 410. If the following is satisfied, it is determined that the area/town is in the discharge request state.
ACE/AAE>6 (1.3)
where AAE is the contracted electric power of area/town A and ACE is the power consumption. Therefore, the trend forecasting function 219 forecasts variations using the history data. The trend forecasting function 219 performs this forecasting for all areas/towns.
Step 414: Forecast a Power Consumption Variation in an Area/Town.
The trend forecasting function 219 starts the data search function 211 to search the analytics database 215 for the power consumption data corresponding to each area/town. This data is also expanded in the in-memory by the in-memory modeling function 209, in which case the building number 513 in the meta-table 501 is set to NULL and the data type number 511 is set to the number indicating the average of the power consumption of an area/town. The variation data is obtained by calculating the average. In
AV(t0)=(ACE(t0)−ACE(t0−Δt))/Δt (1.4)
where AV(t0) is the variation speed at the current time, ACE(t0) is the total value of power consumption in the area/town at the same time of day, and ACE(t−Δt) is the total value of power consumption at Δt before. The trend forecasting function 219 calculates the power variation speed value for all data collection times. After that, for the power consumption value AE(t0) at the current time of day t0, the trend forecasting function 219 forecasts the power, which will be consumed after Δt, using the following expression.
APE(t0+Δt)=CE(t0)+AV(t)Δt (1.5)
This calculation is performed all areas/towns. The values at all sampling times are calculated. The result will be used in step 417 in which power is discharged or shared.
As a result, if the comparison between the forecast value APE(t0+Δt) and the contracted power AAE is
APE(t0+Δt)/AAE>δ (1.6)
the area/town becomes a candidate for discharge or power sharing.
Step: 415: Determine the Discharge Time.
The discharge time is scheduled once a day, a predetermined time, or when it is determined in step 413 that there is a high demand for power. When the discharge time is scheduled, step 416 is executed. If the discharge time is not scheduled, step 421 is executed.
Step 416: Calculate the Dischargeable Amount.
SE+NE−RE is calculated as the data that is received from the storage sensor 203, and SE is replaced by the calculated value where SE is the total storage amount value acquired in the past and described as the storage data, NE is the newly acquired storage amount, and RE is the amount of discharge if the power is discharged in step 412. The calculated value is stored in the in-memory.
Step 417: Calculate the Discharge Power Amount and the Shared Power Amount.
There is a plurality of methods for calculating the discharge amount and the shared power amount. The following describes one of the methods. Another calculation method, if used, does not affect the step that is executed.
In an area/town that has a storage battery facility, the amount of power that can be used in the area/town and the amount of power that can be shared are calculated. First, the discharge amount for a peak-shift is determined for each area/town in advance.
To do so, the maximum power consumption amount in each area is calculated from the forecast power consumption amount. Assume that the storage amount stored to the start of discharge in town 1 is UE1 when power is obtained via power storage and power sharing. The power discharge time zone is predetermined. The shared power amount is m (0<=m<1) times of the discharge amount. When power cannot be supplied to other areas/towns, m=0. Therefore, when the storage power amount is UE, the amount of discharge power to the same area/town is (1−m)UE and the amount of power supplied to other towns is mUE. When the number of areas/towns to which shared power is supplied is N, the amount of power equal to m/n×UE is supplied to one town. Thus, the electric power AE1(t) that can be used for storage and sharing at each time in area/town 1 is calculated as follows.
AE1(t)=(1−m)UE1×AE1(t)/(AE1(t)+AE1(t+Δt)+ . . . +AE1(t+nΔt))+m′UEp1+m″UEp2+++m(k)UEpk (1.7)
where m′ indicates the amount of shared power supplied from other areas/towns to area/town 1.
Expression (1.7) indicates that power is discharged according to the power consumption value that varies from time to time. In the expression, mUEpi (i=2, 3, . . . , k) is the amount of shared power of the area/town that is the shared-power source. mUEpi=0 when shared power cannot be supplied from other areas/towns.
For example, it is possible to employ a method in which shared-power is supplied if expression (1.3) in step 413 is satisfied but not supplied if the expression is not satisfied.
Step 418: Create a List of Discharge Amounts and Discharge Times.
The electric power amount of regionally generated/stored power determined in step 417 for discharge and power sharing is stored in the discharge control table 1101 such as that shown in
Step 419: Store Structured Data.
The data storage function 207 stores structured power consumption data, storage data, and apparatus data, stored in the in-memory, in the history database 214.
Step 420: Acquire Trend Knowledge.
Because the power consumption trend shows a predetermined pattern, the trend knowledge acquisition function 223 acquires a variation pattern as knowledge. Thus, the trend knowledge acquisition function 223 integrates the changes in daily power consumption at the end of a day. The unit of integration is as follows.
Facilities may be classified, not uniquely, but according to other classifications. The data search function 211 searches the attribute database 217 for a building type number corresponding to the building classification described above. In addition, the data search function 211 searches the history database 214 for power consumption data corresponding to each building type on an area basis and stores the result in the in-memory. The trend knowledge acquisition function 223 calculates the average value of these past power consumption data and the latest power consumption data according to the classification described above and stores the result in the in-memory. The data storage function 207 stores the averaged data in the analytics database 215 as an analysis result.
Step 421: Repeat the Processing.
By repeating steps 401 to 420, the power consumption in an area/town is optimized.
Power consumption, if not acquired in an area/town in steps 401 to 421, can be estimated using the attribute data related to the map data and the power consumption data on similar buildings.
Power discharged under control of the area manager 321 is different from company-supplied power, the electricity charge differs from that of company-supplied power. Therefore, the use of company-supplied power and the use of regionally generated/stored power must be distinguished. In this case, the following condition must be taken into consideration.
The following two are considered for use of power distribution facilities.
Electric power consumers are classified according to whether discharge power is used.
In the case of a combination of (a) and (c), the electricity usage charge can be adjusted by transmitting information on the discharge amount of a storage battery, or this information as well as information on a shared-power destination area/town, via the power meter (314, 316) of the company-supplied power operator. In this case, assuming that all consumed power is supplied from the operator, the company-supplied power operator once collects the electricity charge, then, purchases the regionally generated/stored power and pays the charge to the area manager. After that, the charge is refunded from the area manager to the consumer who supplied the discharge power. Therefore, the charge may be transferred using a device not shown.
In the case of a combination of (a) and (d), not only contracted consumers but also non-contracted consumers can use regionally generated/stored power. Therefore, an area manager calculates the electric power amount of discharge for each contracted building and refunds the charge. This method allows the charge on a building, which has not yet contracted with the area manager and therefore cannot use discharge power without permission, to be determined correctly. The power distribution method described above takes into consideration the power distribution on a building level.
CEk=EE×CEk/(CE1+CE2+ . . . +CEn) (1.8)
where CEk(k=1, 2, 3, . . . n) is the contracted power amount of a building that can use the discharge power in area/town A and EE is the total consumable power amount. The amount of electric power that can be used by building 1 and building 2 included in area/town A is indicated by the reference numerals 1213 and 1214.
It should be further understood by those skilled in the art that although the foregoing description has been made on embodiments of the invention, the invention is not limited thereto and various changes and modifications may be made without departing from the spirit of the invention and the scope of the appended claims.
Number | Date | Country | Kind |
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2013-125187 | Jun 2013 | JP | national |