There are several components in a printing device that support printing processes, and some of these may need to be replaced after they have been used for some time to ensure continued satisfactory operation of the printing device. However, operators may not have a good intuition about life expectancy of the components, and may therefore replace a significant number of components prematurely, long before a failure would have occurred.
Referring to
Some of the components, such as the PIP, BID and blanket are replaced by the operator after a number of printing operations. The operator may replace them because they have failed or as preventive replacements, before they fail. Preventive replacements may take place as part of a procedure, such as at the start of a shift or at a break in the printing process. Another example of when preventive replacements take place is when operators anticipate that a defect is likely to occur in the near future.
In more detail, the information relating to lifespan performance provides a plurality of indications of estimated numbers of remaining impressions, each for a different number of already printed impressions. The selected statistical lifespan data may be selected from base information comprising statistical performance data for a plurality of printing devices. For example, it may comprise statistical performance data from the worldwide install base of the printing device and similar printing devices. It could also comprise additional data, such as lab data. A subset of the base information, selected in dependence on a lifespan threshold equal to the number of already printed impressions is used to derive an indication of an estimated number of impressions for that number of already printed impressions. A subset of the base information used for a determined number of already printed impressions may comprise the lifespans of replaced components that had lifespans equal to or higher than the lifespan threshold. As a specific example, at 30,000 printed impressions, all components which malfunctioned or were otherwise replaced before 30,000 impressions are excluded from the selected statistical lifespan data and the data merely contains replacements with lifespans of 30,0000 impressions and above. The metrics of this capped distribution is higher, compared to the distribution provided by the entire base information, because low lifespans are excluded from the data. A statistic of the lifespans of the replaced components with lifespans which reached at least 30,000 impressions is then computed and this is then used, at a later time, to provide the indication of the estimated number of remaining impressions for a current component with 30,000 already printed impressions.
In some examples, the information relating to lifespan performance may comprise pre-computed mapping information providing the indication of an estimated number of remaining impressions. The mapping information may have an input and an output and the output may be the indication of an estimated number of remaining impressions. The input may be a value based on the number of already printed impressions. The input may also comprise additional parameters. In some examples, the mapping information is provided in the form of a formula or a look-up table. The information relating to lifespan performance may further comprise additional predetermined adjusting data that is applied to the output of the mapping information to then obtain the estimated number of remaining impressions. Alternatively, the indication of the estimated number of impressions, output by the mapping information, is the actual estimated number of remaining impressions. The information relating to lifespan performance may also comprise additional predetermined adjusting data used to derive the input, from the number of already printed impressions, to the predetermined mapping information. This may include, if there are more than one input parameter to the mapping information, the adjusting data being used as one of those input parameters. Any updates to the information relating to lifespan performance of a component, for example due to changes in the base information, new manufacturer choices or new operator choices or historical use habits, may then be made via the adjusting data rather than having to re-compute the mapping information.
The counter 210 may receive signals from a sensor located near a drum, for example the sensor 144 described with respect to
The controller may comprise a processor and internal and/or external memory storing instructions and data, including the information relating to lifespan performance of the component, for determining the estimated number of remaining impressions. The controller may communicate the estimated number of remaining impressions to a user by displaying the remaining number of impressions on a display. Alternatively, it may communicate the estimated number of remaining impressions to a user in a different way.
The controller may monitor and estimate the number of remaining impressions for a plurality of components. Although
The memory 310 may be used to store the information relating to lifespan performance of a component in the printing device 100. In more detail, the memory 310 may store the predetermined mapping information and the predetermined adjusting data described with respect to
The adjusting data may be used together with the number of already printed impressions as an input to the mapping information. Additionally or alternatively, it may be used to adjust the output of the mapping information to obtain the estimated number of remaining impressions of a component of the printing device of
The adjusting data may comprise printing device performance data that is applied, by the controller 220, to the indication of an estimated number of remaining impressions, output by the mapping information, to obtain the estimated number of remaining impressions. The printing device performance data may be derived from historical performance data of the printing device. For example, the output of the mapping information may indicate the worldwide average of the relevant subset of the base information and local historical performance data for the printing device may indicate that the average life of a component of the printing device is twice that of the worldwide average. In those cases, the estimated number of remaining impressions, indicated by the output by the mapping information, may need to be doubled to give an accurate reflection of the likely number of remaining impressions for the component. The controller may multiply an output of the mapping information with the printing device performance data to obtain the likely number of remaining impressions for the component. In some examples, the printing device performance data may be the average of lifespans of the component recorded locally for the specific printing device. The printing device may store a log of lifespans of replaced components. When a component is replaced, the number of impressions in which the component was involved before it was replaced may be logged in this log. The printing device performance data may then be obtained from some or all of the lifespans in this log and may be updated when new replacements occur. In other examples, the printing device performance data may be a value or set of values computed taking various factors into account, such as the applications of the printing operations, print volume, historical start/stop patterns of the printing device and operator proficiency. Moreover, in some examples, the application of the adjusting data to an output of the mapping information may not be as simple as scaling the output of the mapping information. There may be a more complex relationship between the output of the mapping information and the appropriate estimated number of remaining impressions for the printing device. In some examples, the printing device performance data may be a look-up table or another formula.
The adjusting data may further comprise a statistical metric value derived from the base information. The controller may use the value to obtain the indication of an estimated number of remaining impressions. In more detail, the value may be used as an input to, or adjust the number of printed impressions before it is input into, the mapping information. In some examples, the input to the mapping information may be the ratio between the currently printed number of impressions and the statistical metric value. For example, the statistical metric may be a worldwide average lifespan calculated from the base information. Alternatively, the adjusting data may comprise a look-up table or formula for deriving the input to the mapping information.
As a specific example, the estimated remaining number of impressions Rpersonal may be determined as follows:
Where P is the number of already printed impressions, Pn is a polynomial function providing the mapping information, LSww is the worldwide average lifespan and LSpress is the average lifespan of the component for the printing device, forming the printing device performance data. As is clear from equation 1, the input to the formula Pn is the ratio of the number of printed impressions and the worldwide average lifespan. Moreover, the output of the formula, corresponding to the indication of an estimated number of remaining impression, is a normalized number of remaining impressions Rnorm,
obtained from a relevant subset of the base information, which if multiplied by the worldwide average for the base information would give a generalized number of remaining impressions R
R=R
norm*LSww. [equation 3]
The estimated number of remaining impressions for the component of the printing device Rpersonal is then given by
from which it can be seen that equation 1 can be derived.
The estimated number of remaining number of impressions has an associated confidence level. The confidence level may be pre-programmed by the manufacturer or it may be dynamically set by the manufacturer or operator. For example, the mapping information may indicate the median number of impressions remaining for a component of a printing device that has already printed a given number of impressions. Of course that means that 50% of the time the component will have additional impressions left to print compared to the estimated number and 50% of the time the component will have fewer impressions left to print before it fails. Consequently, an operator or manufacturer may want a higher confidence level. For example, the operator or manufacturer may want a 90% confidence level, meaning that there is a 9 out of 10 chance that a components will have a remaining number of impressions equal to or higher than the estimated number of remaining impressions indicated by the mapping information. In that case, the operator may want the output of the mapping information to be an indication of the 10th percentile instead of an indication of the median of the distribution. The operator or manufacturer may alternatively want a lower confidence level. The indication of the estimated number of remaining impressions may be an indication of any suitable metric for the distribution provided by the relevant subset of the base information, including the average, the median, a percentile or quantile of the distribution. If the mapping information is for example a polynomial, the coefficients of the polynomial may be selected to give the estimated number of remaining impressions at a chosen confidence level. If the mapping information is a look-up table, the entries in the look-up table are chosen to give the estimated number of remaining impressions at the chosen confidence level.
In some examples, the adjusting data may comprise information indicating a confidence level, for example, in the form of an additional input parameter to the mapping information or data indicating to the controller which mapping information to select. The controller 220 then determines the estimated number of remaining impressions, in accordance with the adjusting data, at the indicated confidence level. In the examples when the information indicating a confidence level is in the form of an input parameter to the mapping information, changing the confidence level does not involve any changes to the mapping information. In other examples, a plurality of formulas or look-up tables, one for each confidence level or a combination of confidence levels, may be stored. In yet other examples, a look-up table or formula may be dynamically created by the controller based on a selected confidence level or a combination of selected confidence levels.
In some examples, an operator may be able to select one or more target confidence levels using a graphical user interface on the display 330. A number of possible confidence levels, such as low, medium and high, may be stored in memory, together with a pointer to the associated adjusting data or mapping information. The memory may also store an indication of a confidence level selected by the operator, to allow the controller to access the relevant adjusting data or mapping information when it computes the estimated number of remaining impressions. In some examples, the mapping information may be derived to provide an indication of an estimated number of remaining impressions at a first confidence level for a first set of already printed impressions and at a different second confidence level for a second set of already printed impressions. The mapping information may be derived from first and second statistical metrics with the respective first and second confidence level and the output of the mapping information may transition from one to the other as the already number of impressions increases. The memory may then store two different selected indications of confidence levels. The combination of confidence levels may correspond to an input parameter or mapping information to be used. Alternatively, each confidence level may correspond to a different input parameter or mapping information to be used at different sets of already printed impressions. The derivation of the mapping information will be described in more detail below with respect to
The adjusting data may further comprise data for rounding and interpolating. For example, the controller may use adjusting data to round a value obtained from the indication of an estimated number of remaining impressions, or to the indication itself, in order to obtain the estimated number of impressions to be communicated to the user. It has been described above that the sum of the estimated number of remaining impressions and the impressions already printed increases as the impressions already printed increases but this may not hold true for the estimated number of remaining impressions communicated to the user if that estimated number is a rounded estimate. The adjusting data may further comprise additional data not described herein. The mapping information and the adjusting data may instead or additionally be stored in a memory area on an external device, on a server, or in a cloud storage service, to be transmitted to, or otherwise retrieved by, the controller 220.
In some examples, updates may be made to the information related to lifespan performance when new statistical data is available, for example as a result of longer lifespans being recorded through use of the apparatus 200 described herein. Alternatively or additionally, changes may be made as a result of new user or manufacturer choices. The update information may comprise updates to the adjusting data while the mapping information stays the same. The interface 320 may receive update information to update information relating to lifespan performance of one or more components of the printing apparatus 100. The update information may then be stored in the memory 310, or in an external device. The interface may for example be an interface to receive and transmit information over a network, such as the internet or a local network, to a data processing apparatus such as a personal computer.
The display 330 may receive the estimated number of remaining impressions from the controller 220 and display this estimated number of remaining impressions to the user using a graphical user interface (GUI). The display may be a part of the printing device 300, as shown in
As a result of using conditional lifespan data, the estimated number of remaining impressions is one or greater. In other words, in examples, the methods used may not predict an end of the life of the component. If the component has not malfunctioned, the estimated number of remaining impressions will be at least one. However, in some examples, for very high number of printed impressions, no value may be shown for the estimated number of remaining impressions. This is because just a small number of components may have achieved such high numbers of printed impressions and the average, or other statistical metric value, calculated based on such a small subset of the base information may therefore not be reliable.
At very high numbers of printed impressions, the statistical data may be unreliable and therefore no value may be displayed for the remaining number of impressions as indicated by the look-up table in
It will now be described how a formula, such as Pn in equation 1 described hereinbefore, or a look-up table, to be used in the printing device to estimate the number of remaining impressions can be derived from statistical metric values such as those shown in
A look-up table would be derived in a similar way to that explained for the function but instead of fitting a polynomial to the dashed line, pairs of values at various points of the line, representing the normalized number of printed impressions and the normalized estimated number of remaining impressions are saved in the look-up table. By storing precomputed mapping information, precomputed for example as described above, and also precomputed adjusting data, the estimated number of remaining impressions can be obtained quickly in real-time.
As users stop replacing components far in advance of when the components would malfunction, the estimated number of remaining impressions for each number of already printed impressions may increase. This is because the lifespans for each component will increase as users replace them less frequently, and so the associated base information will show an increase in lifespans. An increase in lifespans may also occur as a result of improvements to printing processes or other components in the printing device. As the lifespans increase, the estimated number of remaining impressions will also increase for each number of already printed impressions. As such, the indication of an estimated number of remaining impressions provided by the formula will need to be updated. For at least some lifespan improvements, the formula can remain the same and updates to the estimated number of remaining impressions can be provided as the adjusting data for deriving the input or adjusting the output of the formula. For example, it can simply be provided as an update to the worldwide average lifespan LSww used in equation 1 above to derive an input to the formula. That way, the coefficients of the formula, or the entries in the look-up table, may not need to be updated every time the base information changes significantly. The manufacturer or other external entity may update the adjusting data and communicate the updated adjusting data to a printing device in the form of a software update, so that the updated formula may be stored in the memory of the printing device. Alternatively, information stored in a cloud service may be updated to include the updated adjusting data. Alternatively, if the manufacturer or other external entity want to make changes to the coefficients of the formula or changes to the look-up table, these can also be communicated in a similar way.
The controller uses 220 the received number of impressions already printed by a component to obtain an estimate of a number of remaining impressions of the component at 720. The controller estimates the number of remaining impressions using the determined number of impressions already printed and information relating to lifespan performance of the component. The information relating to lifespan performance provides an indication of an estimated number of remaining impressions, for the number of impressions already printed, derived from statistical lifespan data selected in dependence on a lifespan threshold corresponding to the number of impressions already printed, as already described herein. As also already described herein, the information relating to lifespan performance may comprise predetermined mapping information providing a mapping between numbers of printed impressions and corresponding estimated numbers of remaining impressions. The mapping information may be derived from base information comprising statistical performance data for a plurality of printing devices. The mapping information provides the indication of an estimated number of remaining impressions. The mapping information may be provided in the form of a formula or look-up table stored in a memory 310. The information relating to lifespan performance of the component may further comprise adjusting data for deriving an input to and/or adjusting an output from the mapping information. The adjusting data may comprise printing device performance data. In more detail, obtaining the estimated number of remaining impressions of a component may comprise obtaining the indication of an estimated number of remaining impressions from the information relating to lifespan performance and adjusting the indication based on historical performance of the printing device to obtain the estimated number of remaining impressions. The adjusting data may alternatively or additionally comprise a statistical metric value, derived from the base information, for deriving an input to the mapping information.
The estimated number of remaining impressions is displayed on a display at 730. The controller 220 may control a display to show the estimated number of remaining impressions as part of a graphical user interface. In some examples, the method may comprise for each count of a counter counting the number of impressions already printed updating the estimated number of remaining impressions and displaying the updated estimated number of remaining impressions. When the component is replaced, the counter is reset and the method is then restarted for the new component. The method described in
The calculation of the data points used to create the formula or look-up table and the data used for the calculation will now be described in more detail with respect to
To calculate a data point relating to an estimated number of remaining impressions for a particular number of already printed impressions, which can be used to derive the formula or for the look-up table, a subset of statistical lifespan data 840 is selected from the base information 820. Two subsets are shown by way of example in
As mentioned above, the calculation of the estimated number of remaining impressions may use, in addition to the pre-computed mapping information in the form of a formula or look-up table, adjusting data comprising, for example, printing device performance data. The printing device performance data may be derived from statistical performance data from a particular printing device, which may be separate from the data graphically illustrated in
The conditional lifespans may then be calculated iteratively such that a different second minimum lifespan threshold value may be set and components removed from the sample if they did not reach the second threshold value at 930. The statistical metric of the remaining components may then be calculated at 940 for the new sample set to produce a conditional lifespan for the second minimum threshold value. By repeating operations 930 and 940 for different minimum lifespan thresholds values, the conditional lifespans for a plurality of numbers of impressions already printed can be obtained. The estimated number of remaining impressions can then be calculated by subtracting the number of impressions already printed from the conditional lifespan of the component. It is noted that the derivative of the estimated number of remaining impressions with respect to the already printed impressions is less than one. Therefore, if a user inspects the number of printed impressions and estimated number of remaining impressions at a time t0, and again at a later time t1, the estimated number of remaining impressions will have reduced by less than the number of impressions printed between times t0 and t1. The estimated numbers of remaining impressions and numbers of already printed impressions can then be further normalized or used directly as data points to obtain the mapping information to be stored or accessed by the printing device. At least operations 920, 930 and 940 of
The non-transitory machine readable storage medium 1110 may further comprise a storage area for storing the information relating to lifespan performance 1140. The storage area may comprise a storage area for storing the mapping information 1142 such as a formula and/or a look-up table. Additionally, it may store the printing device performance data 1144 to adjust the output of the mapping information. Additionally, it may store a statistical metric to be used to derive the input to the mapping information. This may include, if there are more than one input parameter, it being used as one of those input parameters. For example, it may store a worldwide average lifespan 1146 as shown in
The storage area may further store the number of impressions printed 1150 received from the counter and the estimated number of remaining impressions 1160 computed. Additionally, it may store a number of values 1170 used in the computation of the estimated number of remaining impressions, such as the input 1172 to the formula or look-up table and the output providing the indication of a number of remaining impressions 1174. As mentioned above, the input 1172 may be the number of printed impressions 1150 divided by the worldwide average lifespan 1146. These values 1170 may be temporarily stored in the memory of the storage medium until the next computation of an estimated number of remaining impressions at which time they are overwritten. Some of the data described with respect to
The storage medium may not store all the instructions and data described above and it may also store additional instructions and data. Moreover, if the printing device comprises more than one replaceable components, the data stored in memory will comprise data for each of the replaceable components.
The description of the various aspects and examples of the present disclosure has been presented for purposes of illustration and description, but is not intended to be exhaustive or to limit the disclosure to the forms disclosed. Any example of a feature or alternative described herein may be combined with any other example of a feature and alternative described, as appropriate, and the disclosure includes the various combinations and configurations of examples and alternatives.
For example, although it has been described that the adjusting data is updated and the mapping information remains the same, in some examples the mapping information may alternatively or additionally be updated and personalized. If the mapping information is a look-up table the entries in the look-up table may be updated. If the mapping information is a polynomial, the coefficients of the polynomial may be updated.
Although a specific implementation of the printing apparatus have been described with respect to
Filing Document | Filing Date | Country | Kind |
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PCT/US2018/024291 | 3/26/2018 | WO | 00 |