The present invention relates to the prediction of field conditions and the suitability for performance of a remote sensing operation over the field.
Land engaged in agriculture may subjected to a variety of remote sensing operations in order obtain more detailed information about soil and crop condition. Examples include satellite imagery, aerial imagery, and manual field scouting. Agricultural producers use this information to make operation decisions such as irrigating, fertilizing, or treating infestation. In order to optimize the timing of remote sensing operations to best capture field condition information, it is critical that these operations be performed when weather and field conditions are ideal. In order to optimize timing of remote sensing operations, a method of predicting suitable times for performing a remote sensing operation is desirable.
Presented herein is a method for predicting suitability for performing a remote sensing operation over a particular field. The method includes the step of accessing predicted operation variables at points within the field. These operation variables may include values for weather, crop, and soil conditions. Based on operation suitability parameters selected for each variable, the method predicts remote sensing operation suitability for different points in time.
Values for predicted weather conditions 24 at the field node can be obtained from sources such as the National Weather Service website, operated by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Values for crop conditions 104 and soil conditions 28 may be predicted with a dynamic model, such as the Precision Agricultural-Landscape Modeling System (PALMS) developed under NASA's Regional Earth Science Application Center (RESACA) program. This program predicts crop conditions 104 and soil conditions 28, based on predicted weather conditions 24, measured soil conditions, and crop season parameters. This computer program is available under license for research or commercial use through the Wisconsin Alumni Research Foundation.
The next step 60 of this embodiment 20 is to predict remote sensing operation suitability 6 at the node 12 for several points in time by comparing predicted operation variables 8 against operation suitability parameters 66 selected for the remote sensing operation. These parameters 66 define thresholds at which the operation variable is suitable 68 for the remote sensing operation, and thresholds beyond which the variable is unsuitable 70. In the illustrated embodiment, a suitability algorithm 64 calculates suitability values for each operation variable 6 of concern, based on suitability parameters 66 selected.
For example, if a value for an operation variable 8 at a given point in time falls within the suitable value thresholds 68, then the suitability algorithm 64 will calculate the suitability value 6′ for that operation variable 8 to be 100%. Conversely, if the value for the variable 8 falls outside of the unsuitable value thresholds 70, then the suitability algorithm 64 will calculate the suitability value 6′ for that operation variable 8 to be 0%. Finally, if the value for the operation variable 8 falls within the transition range between suitable and unsuitable thresholds, then the suitability algorithm 64 will calculate the suitability value 6′ for that operation variable 8 to be the fraction between the suitable threshold value 68 and unsuitable threshold value 70.
As illustrated, the suitability algorithm 64 also includes weightings 72 emphasizing the relative importance of each operation variable 8 with regard to overall operation suitability 6 for the node 12. The suitability algorithm 64 calculates overall suitability 6 by multiplying each operation variable suitability value 6′ by its corresponding weighting 72 for a weighted suitability value, then dividing the sum of the weighted suitability values by the sum of the weighting values 72.
Values for operation variables 8, operation variable suitability 6′, and overall node suitability 6 generated from the foregoing method are available for display 90 in numerous forms.
Having described the illustrated embodiments, it will become apparent that various modifications can be made without departing from the scope of the invention as defined in the accompanying claims.