Methods and Compositions for Diagnosis and Prognosis of Renal Injury and Renal Failure

Abstract
The present invention relates to methods and compositions for monitoring, diagnosis, prognosis, and determination of treatment regimens in subjects suffering from or suspected of having a renal injury. In particular, the invention relates to using assays that detect one or more of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 1 IB as diagnostic and prognostic biomarker assays in renal injuries.
Description
BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

The following discussion of the background of the invention is merely provided to aid the reader in understanding the invention and is not admitted to describe or constitute prior art to the present invention.


The kidney is responsible for water and solute excretion from the body. Its functions include maintenance of acid-base balance, regulation of electrolyte concentrations, control of blood volume, and regulation of blood pressure. As such, loss of kidney function through injury and/or disease results in substantial morbidity and mortality. A detailed discussion of renal injuries is provided in Harrison's Principles of Internal Medicine, 17th Ed., McGraw Hill, New York, pages 1741-1830, which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety. Renal disease and/or injury may be acute or chronic. Acute and chronic kidney disease are described as follows (from Current Medical Diagnosis & Treatment 2008, 47th Ed, McGraw Hill, New York, pages 785-815, which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety): “Acute renal failure is worsening of renal function over hours to days, resulting in the retention of nitrogenous wastes (such as urea nitrogen) and creatinine in the blood. Retention of these substances is called azotemia. Chronic renal failure (chronic kidney disease) results from an abnormal loss of renal function over months to years”.


Acute renal failure (ARF, also known as acute kidney injury, or AKI) is an abrupt (typically detected within about 48 hours to 1 week) reduction in glomerular filtration. This loss of filtration capacity results in retention of nitrogenous (urea and creatinine) and non-nitrogenous waste products that are normally excreted by the kidney, a reduction in urine output, or both. It is reported that ARF complicates about 5% of hospital admissions, 4-15% of cardiopulmonary bypass surgeries, and up to 30% of intensive care admissions. ARF may be categorized as prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal in causation. Intrinsic renal disease can be further divided into glomerular, tubular, interstitial, and vascular abnormalities. Major causes of ARF are described in the following table, which is adapted from the Merck Manual, 17th ed., Chapter 222, and which is hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety:













Type
Risk Factors







Prerenal



ECF volume depletion
Excessive diuresis, hemorrhage, GI losses, loss of



intravascular fluid into the extravascular space (due to



ascites, peritonitis, pancreatitis, or burns), loss of skin



and mucus membranes, renal salt- and water-wasting



states


Low cardiac output
Cardiomyopathy, MI, cardiac tamponade, pulmonary



embolism, pulmonary hypertension, positive-pressure



mechanical ventilation


Low systemic vascular
Septic shock, liver failure, antihypertensive drugs


resistance



Increased renal vascular
NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, hypercalcemia,


resistance
anaphylaxis, anesthetics, renal artery obstruction, renal



vein thrombosis, sepsis, hepatorenal syndrome


Decreased efferent
ACE inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers


arteriolar tone (leading to



decreased GFR from



reduced glomerular



transcapillary pressure,



especially in patients with



bilateral renal artery



stenosis)



Intrinsic Renal



Acute tubular injury
Ischemia (prolonged or severe prerenal state): surgery,



hemorrhage, arterial or venous obstruction; Toxins:



NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides,



foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin,



ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque



contrast agents, streptozotocin


Acute glomerulonephritis
ANCA-associated: Crescentic glomerulonephritis,



polyarteritis nodosa, Wegener's granulomatosis; Anti-



GBM glomerulonephritis: Goodpasture's syndrome;



Immune-complex: Lupus glomerulonephritis,



postinfectious glomerulonephritis, cryoglobulinemic



glomerulonephritis


Acute tubulointerstitial
Drug reaction (eg, β-lactams, NSAIDs, sulfonamides,


nephritis
ciprofloxacin, thiazide diuretics, furosemide, phenytoin,



allopurinol, pyelonephritis, papillary necrosis


Acute vascular
Vasculitis, malignant hypertension, thrombotic


nephropathy
microangiopathies, scleroderma, atheroembolism


Infiltrative diseases
Lymphoma, sarcoidosis, leukemia


Postrenal



Tubular precipitation
Uric acid (tumor lysis), sulfonamides, triamterene,



acyclovir, indinavir, methotrexate, ethylene glycol



ingestion, myeloma protein, myoglobin


Ureteral obstruction
Intrinsic: Calculi, clots, sloughed renal tissue, fungus



ball, edema, malignancy, congenital defects; Extrinsic:



Malignancy, retroperitoneal fibrosis, ureteral trauma



during surgery or high impact injury


Bladder obstruction
Mechanical: Benign prostatic hyperplasia, prostate



cancer, bladder cancer, urethral strictures, phimosis,



paraphimosis, urethral valves, obstructed indwelling



urinary catheter; Neurogenic: Anticholinergic drugs,



upper or lower motor neuron lesion









In the case of ischemic ARF, the course of the disease may be divided into four phases. During an initiation phase, which lasts hours to days, reduced perfusion of the kidney is evolving into injury. Glomerular ultrafiltration reduces, the flow of filtrate is reduced due to debris within the tubules, and back leakage of filtrate through injured epithelium occurs. Renal injury can be mediated during this phase by reperfusion of the kidney. Initiation is followed by an extension phase which is characterized by continued ischemic injury and inflammation and may involve endothelial damage and vascular congestion. During the maintenance phase, lasting from 1 to 2 weeks, renal cell injury occurs, and glomerular filtration and urine output reaches a minimum. A recovery phase can follow in which the renal epithelium is repaired and GFR gradually recovers. Despite this, the survival rate of subjects with ARF may be as low as about 60%.


Acute kidney injury caused by radiocontrast agents (also called contrast media) and other nephrotoxins such as cyclosporine, antibiotics including aminoglycosides and anticancer drugs such as cisplatin manifests over a period of days to about a week. Contrast induced nephropathy (CIN, which is AKI caused by radiocontrast agents) is thought to be caused by intrarenal vasoconstriction (leading to ischemic injury) and from the generation of reactive oxygen species that are directly toxic to renal tubular epithelial cells. CIN classically presents as an acute (onset within 24-48 h) but reversible (peak 3-5 days, resolution within 1 week) rise in blood urea nitrogen and serum creatinine.


A commonly reported criteria for defining and detecting AKI is an abrupt (typically within about 2-7 days or within a period of hospitalization) elevation of serum creatinine. Although the use of serum creatinine elevation to define and detect AKI is well established, the magnitude of the serum creatinine elevation and the time over which it is measured to define AKI varies considerably among publications. Traditionally, relatively large increases in serum creatinine such as 100%, 200%, an increase of at least 100% to a value over 2 mg/dL and other definitions were used to define AKI. However, the recent trend has been towards using smaller serum creatinine rises to define AKI. The relationship between serum creatinine rise, AKI and the associated health risks are reviewed in Praught and Shlipak, Curr Opin Nephrol Hypertens 14:265-270, 2005 and Chertow et al, J Am Soc Nephrol 16: 3365-3370, 2005, which, with the references listed therein, are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety. As described in these publications, acute worsening renal function (AKI) and increased risk of death and other detrimental outcomes are now known to be associated with very small increases in serum creatinine. These increases may be determined as a relative (percent) value or a nominal value. Relative increases in serum creatinine as small as 20% from the pre-injury value have been reported to indicate acutely worsening renal function (AKI) and increased health risk, but the more commonly reported value to define AKI and increased health risk is a relative increase of at least 25%. Nominal increases as small as 0.3 mg/dL, 0.2 mg/dL or even 0.1 mg/dL have been reported to indicate worsening renal function and increased risk of death. Various time periods for the serum creatinine to rise to these threshold values have been used to define AKI, for example, ranging from 2 days, 3 days, 7 days, or a variable period defined as the time the patient is in the hospital or intensive care unit. These studies indicate there is not a particular threshold serum creatinine rise (or time period for the rise) for worsening renal function or AKI, but rather a continuous increase in risk with increasing magnitude of serum creatinine rise.


One study (Lassnigg et all, J Am Soc Nephrol 15:1597-1605, 2004, hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety) investigated both increases and decreases in serum creatinine. Patients with a mild fall in serum creatinine of −0.1 to −0.3 mg/dL following heart surgery had the lowest mortality rate. Patients with a larger fall in serum creatinine (more than or equal to −0.4 mg/dL) or any increase in serum creatinine had a larger mortality rate. These findings caused the authors to conclude that even very subtle changes in renal function (as detected by small creatinine changes within 48 hours of surgery) seriously effect patient's outcomes. In an effort to reach consensus on a unified classification system for using serum creatinine to define AKI in clinical trials and in clinical practice, Bellomo et al., Crit Care. 8(4):R204-12, 2004, which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, proposes the following classifications for stratifying AKI patients:


“Risk”: serum creatinine increased 1.5 fold from baseline OR urine production of <0.5 ml/kg body weight/hr for 6 hours;


“Injury”: serum creatinine increased 2.0 fold from baseline OR urine production <0.5 ml/kg/hr for 12 h;


“Failure”: serum creatinine increased 3.0 fold from baseline OR creatinine >355 μmol/l (with a rise of >44) or urine output below 0.3 ml/kg/hr for 24 h or anuria for at least 12 hours;


And included two clinical outcomes:


“Loss”: persistent need for renal replacement therapy for more than four weeks.


“ESRD”: end stage renal disease—the need for dialysis for more than 3 months.


These criteria are called the RIFLE criteria, which provide a useful clinical tool to classify renal status. As discussed in Kellum, Crit. Care Med. 36: S141-45, 2008 and Ricci et al., Kidney Int. 73, 538-546, 2008, each hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, the RIFLE criteria provide a uniform definition of AKI which has been validated in numerous studies.


More recently, Mehta et al., Crit. Care 11:R31 (doi:10.1186.cc5713), 2007, hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, proposes the following similar classifications for stratifying AKI patients, which have been modified from RIFLE:


“Stage I”: increase in serum creatinine of more than or equal to 0.3 mg/dL (>26.4 μmol/L) or increase to more than or equal to 150% (1.5-fold) from baseline OR urine output less than 0.5 mL/kg per hour for more than 6 hours;


“Stage II”: increase in serum creatinine to more than 200% (>2-fold) from baseline OR urine output less than 0.5 mL/kg per hour for more than 12 hours;


“Stage III”: increase in serum creatinine to more than 300% (>3-fold) from baseline OR serum creatinine ≥354 μmol/L accompanied by an acute increase of at least 44 μmol/L OR urine output less than 0.3 mL/kg per hour for 24 hours or anuria for 12 hours.


The CIN Consensus Working Panel (McCollough et al, Rev Cardiovasc Med. 2006; 7(4):177-197, hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety) uses a serum creatinine rise of 25% to define Contrast induced nephropathy (which is a type of AKI).Although various groups propose slightly different criteria for using serum creatinine to detect AKI, the consensus is that small changes in serum creatinine, such as 0.3 mg/dL or 25%, are sufficient to detect AKI (worsening renal function) and that the magnitude of the serum creatinine change is an indicator of the severity of the AKI and mortality risk.


Although serial measurement of serum creatinine over a period of days is an accepted method of detecting and diagnosing AKI and is considered one of the most important tools to evaluate AKI patients, serum creatinine is generally regarded to have several limitations in the diagnosis, assessment and monitoring of AKI patients. The time period for serum creatinine to rise to values (e.g., a 0.3 mg/dL or 25% rise) considered diagnostic for AKI can be 48 hours or longer depending on the definition used. Since cellular injury in AKI can occur over a period of hours, serum creatinine elevations detected at 48 hours or longer can be a late indicator of injury, and relying on serum creatinine can thus delay diagnosis of AKI. Furthermore, serum creatinine is not a good indicator of the exact kidney status and treatment needs during the most acute phases of AKI when kidney function is changing rapidly. Some patients with AKI will recover fully, some will need dialysis (either short term or long term) and some will have other detrimental outcomes including death, major adverse cardiac events and chronic kidney disease. Because serum creatinine is a marker of filtration rate, it does not differentiate between the causes of AKI (pre-renal, intrinsic renal, post-renal obstruction, atheroembolic, etc) or the category or location of injury in intrinsic renal disease (for example, tubular, glomerular or interstitial in origin). Urine output is similarly limited, Knowing these things can be of vital importance in managing and treating patients with AKI.


These limitations underscore the need for better methods to detect and assess AKI, particularly in the early and subclinical stages, but also in later stages when recovery and repair of the kidney can occur. Furthermore, there is a need to better identify patients who are at risk of having an AKI.


BRIEF SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

It is an object of the invention to provide methods and compositions for evaluating renal function in a subject. As described herein, measurement of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B (collectively referred to herein as “kidney injury markers, and individually as a “kidney injury marker”) can be used for diagnosis, prognosis, risk stratification, staging, monitoring, categorizing and determination of further diagnosis and treatment regimens in subjects suffering or at risk of suffering from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, and/or acute renal failure (also called acute kidney injury).


These kidney injury markers may be used, individually or in panels comprising a plurality of kidney injury markers, for risk stratification (that is, to identify subjects at risk for a future injury to renal function, for future progression to reduced renal function, for future progression to ARF, for future improvement in renal function, etc.); for diagnosis of existing disease (that is, to identify subjects who have suffered an injury to renal function, who have progressed to reduced renal function, who have progressed to ARF, etc.); for monitoring for deterioration or improvement of renal function; and for predicting a future medical outcome, such as improved or worsening renal function, a decreased or increased mortality risk, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will require renal replacement therapy (i.e., hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, hemofiltration, and/or renal transplantation, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will recover from an injury to renal function, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will recover from ARF, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will progress to end stage renal disease, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will progress to chronic renal failure, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will suffer rejection of a transplanted kidney, etc.


In a first aspect, the present invention relates to methods for evaluating renal status in a subject. These methods comprise performing an assay method that is configured to detect one or more kidney injury markers of the present invention in a body fluid sample obtained from the subject. The assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are then correlated to the renal status of the subject. This correlation to renal status may include correlating the assay result(s) to one or more of risk stratification, diagnosis, prognosis, staging, classifying and monitoring of the subject as described herein. Thus, the present invention utilizes one or more kidney injury markers of the present invention for the evaluation of renal injury.


In certain embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for risk stratification of the subject; that is, assigning a likelihood of one or more future changes in renal status to the subject. In these embodiments, the assay result(s) is/are correlated to one or more such future changes. The following are preferred risk stratification embodiments.


In preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's risk for a future injury to renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to a likelihood of such a future injury to renal function. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of suffering a future injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of suffering a future injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


In other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's risk for future reduced renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to a likelihood of such reduced renal function. For example, the measured concentrations may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of suffering a future reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of future reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


In still other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's likelihood for a future improvement in renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to a likelihood of such a future improvement in renal function. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of a future improvement in renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of a future improvement in renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold.


In yet other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's risk for progression to ARF, and the result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to a likelihood of such progression to ARF. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of progression to ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of progression to ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


And in other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's outcome risk, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to a likelihood of the occurrence of a clinical outcome related to a renal injury suffered by the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of one or more of: acute kidney injury, progression to a worsening stage of AKI, mortality, a requirement for renal replacement therapy, a requirement for withdrawal of renal toxins, end stage renal disease, heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, progression to chronic kidney disease, etc., is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of one or more of: acute kidney injury, progression to a worsening stage of AKI, mortality, a requirement for renal replacement therapy, a requirement for withdrawal of renal toxins, end stage renal disease, heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, progression to chronic kidney disease, etc., is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


In such risk stratification embodiments, preferably the likelihood or risk assigned is that an event of interest is more or less likely to occur within 180 days of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject. In particularly preferred embodiments, the likelihood or risk assigned relates to an event of interest occurring within a shorter time period such as 18 months, 120 days, 90 days, 60 days, 45 days, 30 days, 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, 12 hours, or less. A risk at 0 hours of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject is equivalent to diagnosis of a current condition.


In preferred risk stratification embodiments, the subject is selected for risk stratification based on the pre-existence in the subject of one or more known risk factors for prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal ARF. For example, a subject undergoing or having undergone major vascular surgery, coronary artery bypass, or other cardiac surgery; a subject having pre-existing congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, glomerular filtration below the normal range, cirrhosis, serum creatinine above the normal range, or sepsis; or a subject exposed to NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin are all preferred subjects for monitoring risks according to the methods described herein. This list is not meant to be limiting. By “pre-existence” in this context is meant that the risk factor exists at the time the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject. In particularly preferred embodiments, a subject is chosen for risk stratification based on an existing diagnosis of injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF.


In other embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for diagnosing a renal injury in the subject; that is, assessing whether or not a subject has suffered from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF. In these embodiments, the assay result(s) is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status. The following are preferred diagnostic embodiments.


In preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of such an injury. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of reduced renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In yet other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of ARF, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury causing ARF. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of ARF may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of ARF may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In still other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing a subject as being in need of renal replacement therapy, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to a need for renal replacement therapy. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In still other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing a subject as being in need of renal transplantation, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to a need for renal transplantation. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In still other embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for monitoring a renal injury in the subject; that is, assessing whether or not renal function is improving or worsening in a subject who has suffered from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF. In these embodiments, the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status. The following are preferred monitoring embodiments.


In preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject suffering from an injury to renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In other preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject suffering from reduced renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In yet other preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject suffering from acute renal failure, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In other additional preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject at risk of an injury to renal function due to the pre-existence of one or more known risk factors for prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal ARF, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In yet other preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject having, or at risk of, an injury to renal function for future persistence of acute kidney injury. “Future persistence” as used herein refers to an existing acute renal injury that will continue for a period selected from the group consisting of 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, and 12 hours. In certain embodiments the subject has an acute kidney injury at the time the sample is obtained. This is not meant to imply that the subject must have an acute kidney injury at the time the sample is obtained, but rather that the subject, upon onset of an acute kidney injury, suffers from an acute kidney injury that will persist. In various embodiments, the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to the future persistence of the acute kidney injury in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a future persistence of acute kidney injury may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, afuture improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a future persistence of acute kidney injury may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a future improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In still other embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for classifying a renal injury in the subject; that is, determining whether a renal injury in a subject is prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal; and/or further subdividing these classes into subclasses such as acute tubular injury, acute glomerulonephritis acute tubulointerstitial nephritis, acute vascular nephropathy, or infiltrative disease; and/or assigning a likelihood that a subject will progress to a particular RIFLE stage. In these embodiments, the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to a particular class and/or subclass. The following are preferred classification embodiments.


In preferred classification embodiments, these methods comprise determining whether a renal injury in a subject is prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal; and/or further subdividing these classes into subclasses such as acute tubular injury, acute glomerulonephritis acute tubulointerstitial nephritis, acute vascular nephropathy, or infiltrative disease; and/or assigning a likelihood that a subject will progress to a particular RIFLE stage, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, is/are correlated to the injury classification for the subject. For example, the measured concentration may be compared to a threshold value, and when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a particular classification is assigned; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a different classification may be assigned to the subject.


A variety of methods may be used by the skilled artisan to arrive at a desired threshold value for use in these methods. For example, the threshold value may be determined from a population of normal subjects by selecting a concentration representing the 75th, 85th, 90th, 95th, or 99th percentile of a kidney injury marker measured in such normal subjects. Alternatively, the threshold value may be determined from a “diseased” population of subjects, e.g., those suffering from an injury or having a predisposition for an injury (e.g., progression to ARF or some other clinical outcome such as death, dialysis, renal transplantation, etc.), by selecting a concentration representing the 75th, 85th, 90th, 95th, or 99th percentile of a kidney injury marker measured in such subjects. In another alternative, the threshold value may be determined from a prior measurement of a kidney injury marker in the same subject; that is, a temporal change in the level of a kidney injury marker in the subject may be used to assign risk to the subject.


The foregoing discussion is not meant to imply, however, that the kidney injury markers of the present invention must be compared to corresponding individual thresholds. Methods for combining assay results can comprise the use of multivariate logistical regression, loglinear modeling, neural network analysis, n-of-m analysis, decision tree analysis, calculating ratios of markers, etc. This list is not meant to be limiting. In these methods, a composite result which is determined by combining individual markers may be treated as if it is itself a marker; that is, a threshold may be determined for the composite result as described herein for individual markers, and the composite result for an individual patient compared to this threshold.


The ability of a particular test to distinguish two populations can be established using ROC analysis. For example, ROC curves established from a “first” subpopulation which is predisposed to one or more future changes in renal status, and a “second” subpopulation which is not so predisposed can be used to calculate a ROC curve, and the area under the curve provides a measure of the quality of the test. Preferably, the tests described herein provide a ROC curve area greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9, and most preferably at least 0.95.


In certain aspects, the measured concentration of one or more kidney injury markers, or a composite of such markers, may be treated as continuous variables. For example, any particular concentration can be converted into a corresponding probability of a future reduction in renal function for the subject, the occurrence of an injury, a classification, etc. In yet another alternative, a threshold that can provide an acceptable level of specificity and sensitivity in separating a population of subjects into “bins” such as a “first” subpopulation (e.g., which is predisposed to one or more future changes in renal status, the occurrence of an injury, a classification, etc.) and a “second” subpopulation which is not so predisposed. A threshold value is selected to separate this first and second population by one or more of the following measures of test accuracy:


an odds ratio greater than 1, preferably at least about 2 or more or about 0.5 or less, more preferably at least about 3 or more or about 0.33 or less, still more preferably at least about 4 or more or about 0.25 or less, even more preferably at least about 5 or more or about 0.2 or less, and most preferably at least about 10 or more or about 0.1 or less;


a specificity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least about 0.6, more preferably at least about 0.7, still more preferably at least about 0.8, even more preferably at least about 0.9 and most preferably at least about 0.95, with a corresponding sensitivity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than about 0.3, more preferably greater than about 0.4, still more preferably at least about 0.5, even more preferably about 0.6, yet more preferably greater than about 0.7, still more preferably greater than about 0.8, more preferably greater than about 0.9, and most preferably greater than about 0.95;


a sensitivity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least about 0.6, more preferably at least about 0.7, still more preferably at least about 0.8, even more preferably at least about 0.9 and most preferably at least about 0.95, with a corresponding specificity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than about 0.3, more preferably greater than about 0.4, still more preferably at least about 0.5, even more preferably about 0.6, yet more preferably greater than about 0.7, still more preferably greater than about 0.8, more preferably greater than about 0.9, and most preferably greater than about 0.95;


at least about 75% sensitivity, combined with at least about 75% specificity;


a positive likelihood ratio (calculated as sensitivity/(1-specificity)) of greater than 1, at least about 2, more preferably at least about 3, still more preferably at least about 5, and most preferably at least about 10; or


a negative likelihood ratio (calculated as (1-sensitivity)/specificity) of less than 1, less than or equal to about 0.5, more preferably less than or equal to about 0.3, and most preferably less than or equal to about 0.1.


The term “about” in the context of any of the above measurements refers to +/−5% of a given measurement.


Multiple thresholds may also be used to assess renal status in a subject. For example, a “first” subpopulation which is predisposed to one or more future changes in renal status, the occurrence of an injury, a classification, etc., and a “second” subpopulation which is not so predisposed can be combined into a single group. This group is then subdivided into three or more equal parts (known as tertiles, quartiles, quintiles, etc., depending on the number of subdivisions). An odds ratio is assigned to subjects based on which subdivision they fall into. If one considers a tertile, the lowest or highest tertile can be used as a reference for comparison of the other subdivisions. This reference subdivision is assigned an odds ratio of 1. The second tertile is assigned an odds ratio that is relative to that first tertile. That is, someone in the second tertile might be 3 times more likely to suffer one or more future changes in renal status in comparison to someone in the first tertile. The third tertile is also assigned an odds ratio that is relative to that first tertile.


In certain embodiments, the assay method is an immunoassay. Antibodies for use in such assays will specifically bind a full length kidney injury marker of interest, and may also bind one or more polypeptides that are “related” thereto, as that term is defined hereinafter. Numerous immunoassay formats are known to those of skill in the art. Preferred body fluid samples are selected from the group consisting of urine, blood, serum, saliva, tears, and plasma.


The foregoing method steps should not be interpreted to mean that the kidney injury marker assay result(s) is/are used in isolation in the methods described herein. Rather, additional variables or other clinical indicia may be included in the methods described herein. For example, a risk stratification, diagnostic, classification, monitoring, etc. method may combine the assay result(s) with one or more variables measured for the subject selected from the group consisting of demographic information (e.g., weight, sex, age, race), medical history (e.g., family history, type of surgery, pre-existing disease such as aneurism, congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, or sepsis, type of toxin exposure such as NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin), clinical variables (e.g., blood pressure, temperature, respiration rate), risk scores (APACHE score, PREDICT score, TIMI Risk Score for UA/NSTEMI, Framingham Risk Score), a glomerular filtration rate, an estimated glomerular filtration rate, a urine production rate, a serum or plasma creatinine concentration, a urine creatinine concentration, a fractional excretion of sodium, a urine sodium concentration, a urine creatinine to serum or plasma creatinine ratio, a urine specific gravity, a urine osmolality, a urine urea nitrogen to plasma urea nitrogen ratio, a plasma BUN to creatnine ratio, a renal failure index calculated as urine sodium/(urine creatinine/plasma creatinine), a serum or plasma neutrophil gelatinase (NGAL) concentration, a urine NGAL concentration, a serum or plasma cystatin C concentration, a serum or plasma cardiac troponin concentration, a serum or plasma BNP concentration, a serum or plasma NTproBNP concentration, and a serum or plasma proBNP concentration. Other measures of renal function which may be combined with one or more kidney injury marker assay result(s) are described hereinafter and in Harrison's Principles of Internal Medicine, 17th Ed., McGraw Hill, New York, pages 1741-1830, and Current Medical Diagnosis & Treatment 2008, 47th Ed, McGraw Hill, New York, pages 785-815, each of which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety.


When more than one marker is measured, the individual markers may be measured in samples obtained at the same time, or may be determined from samples obtained at different (e.g., an earlier or later) times. The individual markers may also be measured on the same or different body fluid samples. For example, one kidney injury marker may be measured in a serum or plasma sample and another kidney injury marker may be measured in a urine sample. In addition, assignment of a likelihood may combine an individual kidney injury marker assay result with temporal changes in one or more additional variables.


In various related aspects, the present invention also relates to devices and kits for performing the methods described herein. Suitable kits comprise reagents sufficient for performing an assay for at least one of the described kidney injury markers, together with instructions for performing the described threshold comparisons.


In certain embodiments, reagents for performing such assays are provided in an assay device, and such assay devices may be included in such a kit. Preferred reagents can comprise one or more solid phase antibodies, the solid phase antibody comprising antibody that detects the intended biomarker target(s) bound to a solid support. In the case of sandwich immunoassays, such reagents can also include one or more detectably labeled antibodies, the detectably labeled antibody comprising antibody that detects the intended biomarker target(s) bound to a detectable label. Additional optional elements that may be provided as part of an assay device are described hereinafter.


Detectable labels may include molecules that are themselves detectable (e.g., fluorescent moieties, electrochemical labels, ecl (electrochemical luminescence) labels, metal chelates, colloidal metal particles, etc.) as well as molecules that may be indirectly detected by production of a detectable reaction product (e.g., enzymes such as horseradish peroxidase, alkaline phosphatase, etc.) or through the use of a specific binding molecule which itself may be detectable (e.g., a labeled antibody that binds to the second antibody, biotin, digoxigenin, maltose, oligohistidine, 2,4-dintrobenzene, phenylarsenate, ssDNA, dsDNA, etc.).


Generation of a signal from the signal development element can be performed using various optical, acoustical, and electrochemical methods well known in the art. Examples of detection modes include fluorescence, radiochemical detection, reflectance, absorbance, amperometry, conductance, impedance, interferometry, ellipsometry, etc. In certain of these methods, the solid phase antibody is coupled to a transducer (e.g., a diffraction grating, electrochemical sensor, etc) for generation of a signal, while in others, a signal is generated by a transducer that is spatially separate from the solid phase antibody (e.g., a fluorometer that employs an excitation light source and an optical detector). This list is not meant to be limiting. Antibody-based biosensors may also be employed to determine the presence or amount of analytes that optionally eliminate the need for a labeled molecule.







DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION

The present invention relates to methods and compositions for diagnosis, differential diagnosis, risk stratification, monitoring, classifying and determination of treatment regimens in subjects suffering or at risk of suffering from injury to renal function, reduced renal function and/or acute renal failure through measurement of one or more kidney injury markers. In various embodiments, a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B or one or more markers related thereto, and optionally one or more additional kidney injury markers known in the art, are correlated to the renal status of the subject.


For purposes of this document, the following definitions apply:


As used herein, an “injury to renal function” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) measurable reduction in a measure of renal function. Such an injury may be identified, for example, by a decrease in glomerular filtration rate or estimated GFR, a reduction in urine output, an increase in serum creatinine, an increase in serum cystatin C, a requirement for renal replacement therapy, etc. “Improvement in Renal Function” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) measurable increase in a measure of renal function. Preferred methods for measuring and/or estimating GFR are described hereinafter.


As used herein, “reduced renal function” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) reduction in kidney function identified by an absolute increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 0.1 mg/dL (≥8.8 μmol/L), a percentage increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 20% (1.2-fold from baseline), or a reduction in urine output (documented oliguria of less than 0.5 ml/kg per hour).


As used herein, “acute renal failure” or “ARF” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) reduction in kidney function identified by an absolute increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 0.3 mg/dl (≥26.4 μmol/l), a percentage increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 50% (1.5-fold from baseline), or a reduction in urine output (documented oliguria of less than 0.5 ml/kg per hour for at least 6 hours). This term is synonymous with “acute kidney injury” or “AKI.”


In this regard, the skilled artisan will understand that the signals obtained from an immunoassay are a direct result of complexes formed between one or more antibodies and the target biomolecule (i.e., the analyte) and polypeptides containing the necessary epitope(s) to which the antibodies bind. While such assays may detect the full length biomarker and the assay result be expressed as a concentration of a biomarker of interest, the signal from the assay is actually a result of all such “immunoreactive” polypeptides present in the sample. Expression of biomarkers may also be determined by means other than immunoassays, including protein measurements (such as dot blots, western blots, chromatographic methods, mass spectrometry, etc.) and nucleic acid measurements (mRNA quatitation). This list is not meant to be limiting.


As used herein, the term “Angiopoietin-related protein 6” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the Angiopoietin-related protein 6 precursor (Swiss-Prot Q8NI99 (SEQ ID NO: 1)).











        10         20         30         40                  



MGKPWLRALQ LLLLLGASWA RAGAPRCTYT FVLPPQKFTG  







        50         60         70         80



AVCWSGPAST RATPEAANAS ELAALRMRVG RHEELLRELQ







        90        100        110        120



RLAAADGAVA GEVRALRKES RGLSARLGQL RAQLQHEAGP







       130        140        150        160



GAGPGADLGA EPAAALALLG ERVLNASAEA QRAAARFHQL







       170        180        190        200



DVKFRELAQL VTQQSSLIAR LERLCPGGAG GQQQVLPPPP







       210        220        230        240        



LVPVVPVRLV GSTSDTSRML DPAPEPQRDQ TQRQQEPMAS 







       250        260        270        280



PMPAGHPAVP TKPVGPWQDC AEARQAGHEQ SGVYELRVGR







       290        300        310        320



HVVSVWCEQQ LEGGGWTVIQ RRQDGSVNFF TTWQHYKAGF







       330        340        350        360



GRPDGEYWLG LEPVYQLTSR GDHELLVLLE DWGGRGARAH







        370        380        390        400



 YDGFSLEPES DHYRLRLGQY HGDAGDSLSW HNDKPFSTVD







       410        420        430        440        



RDRDSYSGNC ALYQRGGWWY HACAHSNLNG VWHHGGHYRS 







       450        460        470



RYQDGVYWAE FRGGAYSLRK AAMLIRPLKL






The following domains have been identified in Angiopoietin-related protein 6:














Residues
Length
Domain ID

















1-20
20
Signal peptide


21-470
450
Angiopoietin-related protein 6









As used herein, the term “Complement C5” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the Complement C5 precursor (Swiss-Prot P01031 (SEQ ID NO: 1))











        10         20         30         40



MGLLGILCFL IFLGKTWGQE QTYVISAPKI FRVGASENIV







        50         60         70         80



IQVYGYTEAF DATISIKSYP DKKFSYSSGH VHLSSENKFQ







        90        100        110        120



NSAILTIQPK QLPGGQNPVS YVYLEVVSKH FSKSKRMPIT







       130        140        150        160



YDNGFLFIHT DKPVYTPDQS VKVRVYSLND DLKPAKRETV







       170        180        190        200



LTFIDPEGSE VDMVEEIDHI GIISFPDFKI PSNPRYGMWT







       210        220        230        240



IKAKYKEDFS TTGTAYFEVK EYVLPHFSVS IEPEYNFIGY







       250        260        270        280



KNFKNFEITI KARYFYNKVV TEADVYITFG IREDLKDDQK







       290        300        310        320



EMMQTAMQNT MLINGIAQVT FDSETAVKEL SYYSLEDLNN







       330        340        350        360



KYLYIAVTVI ESTGGFSEEA EIPGIKYVLS PYKLNLVATP







       370        380        390        400



LFLKPGIPYP IKVQVKDSLD QLVGGVPVTL NAQTIDVNQE







       410        420        430        440



TSDLDPSKSV TRVDDGVASF VLNLPSGVTV LEFNVKTDAP







       450        460        470        480



DLPEENQARE GYRAIAYSSL SQSYLYIDWT DNHKALLVGE







       490        500        510        520



HLNIIVTPKS PYIDKITHYN YLILSKGKII HFGTREKFSD 







       530        540        550        560



ASYQSINIPV TQNMVPSSRL LVYYIVTGEQ TAELVSDSVW







       570        580        590        600



LNIEEKCGNQ LQVHLSPDAD AYSPGQTVSL NMATGMDSWV







       610        620        630        640



ALAAVDSAVY GVQRGAKKPL ERVFQFLEKS DLGCGAGGGL







       650        660        670        680



NNANVFHLAG LTFLTNANAD DSQENDEPCK EILRPRRTLQ







       690        700        710        720



KKIEEIAAKY KHSVVKKCCY DGACVNNDET CEQRAARISL







       730        740        750        760



GPRCIKAFTE CCVVASQLRA NISHKDMQLG RLHMKTLLPV







       770        780        790        800



SKPEIRSYFP ESWLWEVHLV PRRKQLQFAL PDSLTTWEIQ







       810        820        830        840



GVGISNTGIC VADTVKAKVF KDVFLEMNIP YSVVRGEQIQ







       850        860        870        880



LKGTVYNYRT SGMQFCVKMS AVEGICTSES PVIDHQGTKS







       890        900        910        920



SKCVRQKVEG SSSHLVTFTV LPLEIGLHNI NFSLETWFGK







       930        940        950        960



EILVKTLRVV PEGVKRESYS GVTLDPRGIY GTISRRKEFP







       970        980        990       1000



YRIPLDLVPK TEIKRILSVK GLLVGEILSA VLSQEGINIL







      1010       1020       1030       1040



THLPKGSAEA ELMSVVPVFY VFHYLETGNH WNIFHSDPLI







      1050       1060       1070       1080



EKQKLKKKLK EGMLSIMSYR NADYSYSVWK GGSASTWLTA







      1090       1100       1110       1120



FALRVLGQVN KYVEQNQNSI CNSLLWLVEN YQLDNGSFKE







      1130       1140       1150       1160



NSQYQPIKLQ GTLPVEAREN SLYLTAFTVI GIRKAFDICP







      1170       1180       1190       1200



LVKIDTALIK ADNFLLENTL PAQSTFTLAI SAYALSLGDK







      1210       1220       1230       1240



THPQFRSIVS ALKREALVKG NPPIYRFWKD NLQHKDSSVP







      1250       1260       1270       1280



NTGTARMVET TAYALLTSLN LKDINYVNPV IKWLSEEQRY







      1290       1300       1310       1320



GGGFYSTQDT INAIEGLTEY SLLVKQLRLS MDIDVSYKHK







      1330       1340       1350       1360



GALHNYKMTD KNFLGRPVEV LLNDDLIVST GFGSGLATVH







      1370       1380       1390       1400



VTTVVHKTST SEEVCSFYLK IDTQDIEASH YRGYGNSDYK







      1410       1420       1430       1440



RIVACASYKP SREESSSGSS HAVMDISLPT GISANEEDLK







      1450       1460       1470       1480



ALVEGVDQLF TDYQIKDGHV ILQLNSIPSS DFLCVRFRIF







      1490       1500       1510       1520



ELFEVGFLSP ATFTVYEYHR PDKQCTMFYS TSNIKIQKVC







      1530       1540       1550       1560



EGAACKCVEA DCGQMQEELD LTISAETRKQ TACKPEIAYA







      1570       1580       1590       1600



YKVSITSITV ENVFVKYKAT LLDIYKTGEA VAEKDSEITF







      1610       1620       1630       1640



IKKVTCTNAE LVKGRQYLIM GKEALQIKYN FSFRYIYPLD







      1650       1660       1670      



SLTWIEYWPR DTTCSSCQAF LANLDEFAED IFLNGC






The following domains have been identified in Complement C5:














Residues
Length
Domain ID

















 1-18
18
signal peptide


 19-673
655
Complement C5 beta chain


674-677
4
Propeptide


 678-1676
999
Complement C5 alpha chain


678-751
74
Complement C5a anaphlatoxin


 752-1676
925
Complement C5 alpha' chain









As used herein, the term “Fibroblast growth factor 21” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the Fibroblast growth factor 21 precursor (Swiss-Prot Q9NSA1 (SEQ ID NO: 1))











        10         20         30         40



MDSDETGFEH SGLWVSVLAG LLLGACQAHP IPDSSPLLQF







        50         60         70         80



GGQVRQRYLY TDDAQQTEAH LEIREDGTVG GAADQSPESL







        90        100        110        120



LQLKALKPGV IQILGVKTSR FLCQRPDGAL YGSLHFDPEA







       130        140        150        160



CSFRELLLED GYNVYQSEAH GLPLHLPGNK SPHRDPAPRG







       170        180        190        200



PARFLPLPGL PPALPEPPGI LAPQPPDVGS SDPLSMVGPS







QGRSPSYAS






The following domains have been identified in Fibroblast growth factor 21:














Residues
Length
Domain ID

















1-28
28
Signal peptide


29-209
181
Fibroblast growth factor 21









As used herein, the term “Fibroblast growth factor 23” refers to one or polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the Fibroblast growth factor 23 precursor (Swiss-Prot Q9GZV9 (SEQ ID NO: 1)).











        10         20         30         40



MLGARLRLWV CALCSVCSMS VLRAYPNASP LLGSSWGGLI







        50         60         70         80



HLYTATARNS YHLQIHKNGH VDGAPHQTIY SALMIRSEDA







        90        100        110        120 



GFVVITGVMS RRYLCMDFRG NIFGSHYFDP ENCRFQHQTL







       130        140        150        160



ENGYDVYHSP QYHFLVSLGR AKRAFLPGMN PPPYSQFLSR







       170        180        190        200



RNEIPLIHFN TPIPRRHTRS AEDDSERDPL NVLKPRARMT







       210        220        230        240



PAPASCSQEL PSAEDNSPMA SDPLGVVRGG RVNTHAGGTG







       250 



PEGCRPFAKF I






The following domains have been identified in Fibroblast growth factor 23:














Residues
Length
Domain ID

















1-24
24
Signal sequence


25-251
227
Fibroblast growth factor 23


25-179
155
Fibroblast growth factor 23 N-terminal peptide


180-251 
72
Fibroblast growth factor 23 C-terminal peptide









As used herein, the term “Pro-Interleukin-16” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the Interleukin-16 precursor (Swiss-Prot Q14005 (SEQ ID NO: 1)).











        10         20         30         40



MESHSRAGKS RKSAKFRSIS RSLMLCNAKT SDDGSSPDEK







        50         60         70         80



YPDPFEISLA QGKEGIFHSS VQLADTSEAG PSSVPDLALA







        90        100        110        120



SEAAQLQAAG NDRGKTCRRI FFMKESSTAS SREKPGKLEA







       130        140        150        160



QSSNFLFPKA CHQRARSNST SVNPYCTREI DFPMTKKSAA







       170        180        190        200



PTDRQPYSLC SNRKSLSQQL DCPAGKAAGT SRPTRSLSTA







       210        220        230        240



QLVQPSGGLQ ASVISNIVLM KGQAKGLGFS IVGGKDSIYG







       250        260        270        280



PIGIYVKTIF AGGAAAADGR LQEGDEILEL NGESMAGLTH







       290        300        310        320



QDALQKFKQA KKGLLTLTVR TRLTAPPSLC SHLSPPLCRS 







       330        340        350        360



LSSSTCITKD SSSFALESPS APISTAKPNY RIMVEVSLQK







       370        380        390        400



EAGVGLGIGL CSVPYFQCIS GIFVHTLSPG SVAHLDGRLR







       410        420        430        440



CGDEIVEISD SPVHCLTLNE VYTILSHCDP GPVPIIVSRH







       450        460        470        480



PDPQVSEQQL KEAVAQAVEN TKFGKERHQW SLEGVKRLES







       490        500        510        520



SWHGRPTLEK EREKNSAPPH RRAQKVMIRS SSDSSYMSGS







       530        540        550        560



PGGSPGSGSA EKPSSDVDIS THSPSLPLAR EPVVLSIASS







       570        580        590        600



RLPQESPPLP ESRDSHPPLR LKKSFEILVR KPMSSKPKPP







       610        620        630        640



PRKYFKSDSD PQKSLEEREN SSCSSGHTPP TCGQEARELL







       650        660        670        680 



PLLLPQEDTA GRSPSASAGC PGPGIGPQTK SSTEGEPGWR







       690        700        710        720



RASPVTQTSP IKHPLLKRQA RMDYSFDTTA EDPWVRISDC







       730        740        750        760



IKNLFSPIMS ENHGHMPLQP NASLNEEEGT QGHPDGTPPK







       770        780        790        800



LDTANGTPKV YKSADSSTVK KGPPVAPKPA WFRQSLKGLR







       810        820        830        840



NRASDPRGLP DPALSTQPAP ASREHLGSHI RASSSSSSIR







       850        860        870        880



QRISSFETFG SSQLPDKGAQ RLSLQPSSGE AAKPLGKHEE







       890        900        910        920



GRFSGLLGRG AAPTLVPQQP EQVLSSGSPA ASEARDPGVS







       930        940        950        960



ESPPPGRQPN QKTLPPGPDP LLRLLSTQAE ESQGPVLKMP







       970        980        990       1000



SQRARSFPLT RSQSCETKLL DEKTSKLYSI SSQVSSAVMK







      1010       1020       1030       1040



SLLCLPSSIS CAQTPCIPKE GASPTSSSNE DSAANGSAET







      1050       1060       1070       1080



SALDTGFSLN LSELREYTEG LTEAKEDDDG DHSSLQSGQS







      1090       1100       1110       1120



VISLLSSEEL KKLIEEVKVL DEATLKQLDG IHVTILHKEE







      1130       1140       1150       1160



GAGLGFSLAG GADLENKVIT VHRVFPNGLA SQEGTIQKGN







      1170       1180       1190       1200



EVLSINGKSL KGTTHHDALA ILRQAREPRQ AVIVTRKLTP







      1210       1220       1230       1240



EAMPDLNSST DSAASASAAS DVSVESTAEA TVCTVTLEKM







      1250       1260       1270       1280



SAGLGFSLEG GKGSLHGDKP LTINRIFKGA ASEQSETVQP







      1290       1300       1310       1320



GDEILQLGGT AMQGLTRFEA WNIIKALPDG PVTIVIRRKS







      1330



LQSKETTAAG DS






The following domains have been identified in Pro-Interleukin-16:

















Residues
Length
Domain ID









1-1332
1332
Pro-Inter1eukin-16







1212-1332
 121
Inter1eukin-16







1228

Missing in isoform 2







1-701

Missing in isoform 3







1-701

Missing in isoform 4







1228

Missing in isoform 4







1239-1332

→DVGRAGLQPGRREGLPTRRQASHH





(SEQ ID NO:)










As used herein, the term “C—X—C motif chemokine 9” refers to one or polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the C—X—C motif chemokine 9 precursor (Swiss-Prot Q07325 (SEQ ID NO: 1)).









        10         20         30         40


MKKSGVLFLL GIILLVLIGV QGTPVVRKGR CSCISTNQGT





        50         60         70         80


IHLQSLKDLK QFAPSPSCEK IEIIATLKNG VQTCLNPDSA





        90        100        110        120


DVKELIKKWE KQVSQKKKQK NGKKHQKKKV LKVRKSQRSR QKKTT






The following domains have been identified in C—X—C motif chemokine 9 precursor:














Residues
Length
Domain ID

















1-22
22
Signal sequence


23-125
103
C-X-C motif chemokine 9









As used herein, the term “Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein” refers to one or polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein precursor (Swiss-Prot P26927 (SEQ ID NO: 1)).











        10         20         30         40



MGWLPLLLLL TQCLGVPGQR SPLNDFQVLR GTELQHLLHA







        50         60         70         80



VVPGPWQEDV ADAEECAGRC GPLMDCRAFH YNVSSHGCQL







        90        100        110        120



LPWTQHSPHT RLRRSGRCDL FQKKDYVRTC IMNNGVGYRG







       130        140        150        160



TMATTVGGLP CQAWSHKFPN DHKYTPTLRN GLEENFCRNP







       170        180        190        200



DGDPGGPWCY TTDPAVRFQS CGIKSCREAA CVWCNGEEYR







       210        220        230        240



GAVDRTESGR ECQRWDLQHP HQHPFEPGKF LDQGLDDNYC







       250        260        270        280



RNPDGSERPW CYTTDPQIER EFCDLPRCGS EAQPRQEATT







       290        300        310        320



VSCFRGKGEG YRGTANTTTA GVPCQRWDAQ IPHQHRFTPE







       330        340        350        360



KYACKDLREN FCRNPDGSEA PWCFTLRPGM RAAFCYQIRR







       370        380        390        400



CTDDVRPQDC YHGAGEQYRG TVSKTRKGVQ CQRWSAETPH







       410        420        430        440



KPQFTFTSEP HAQLEENFCR NPDGDSHGPW CYTMDPRTPF







       450        460        470        480



DYCALRRCAD DQPPSILDPP DQVQFEKCGK RVDRLDQRRS







       490        500        510        520



KLRVVGGHPG NSPWTVSLRN RQGQHFCGGS LVKEQWILTA







       530        540        550        560



RQCFSSCHMP LTGYEVWLGT LFQNPQHGEP SLQRVPVAKM







       570        580        590        600



VCGPSGSQLV LLKLERSVTL NQRVALICLP PEWYVVPPGT







       610        620        630        640



KCEIAGWGET KGTGNDTVLN VALLNVISNQ ECNIKHRGRV







       650        660        670        680 



RESEMCTEGL LAPVGACEGD YGGPLACFTH NCWVLEGIII







       690        700        710



PNRVCARSRW PAVFTRVSVF VDWIHKVMRL G






The following domains have been identified in Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein:














Residues
Length
Domain ID

















1-18
18
Signal sequence


19-711
693
Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein


19-483
465
Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein alpha chain


484-711 
228
Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein beta chain









As used herein, the term “Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B” refers to one or polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B precursor (Swiss-Prot O00300 (SEQ ID NO: 1)).









        10         20         30         40


MNNLLCCALV FLDISIKWTT QETFPPKYLH YDEETSHQLL





        50         60         70         80


CDKCPPGTYL KQHCTAKWKT VCAPCPDHYY TDSWHTSDEC





        90        100        110        120


LYCSPVCKEL QYVKQECNRT HNRVCECKEG RYLEIEFCLK





       130        140        150        160


HRSCPPGFGV VQAGTPERNT VCKRCPDGFF SNETSSKAPC





       170        180        190        200


RKHTNCSVFG LLLTQKGNAT HDNICSGNSE STQKCGIDVT





       210        220        230        240


LCEEAFFRFA VPTKFTPNWL SVLVDNLPGT KVNAESVERI





       250        260        270        280


KRQHSSQEQT FQLLKLWKHQ NKDQDIVKKI IQDIDLCENS





       290        300        310        320


VQRHIGHANL TFEQLRSLME SLPGKKVGAE DIEKTIKACK





       330        340        350        360


PSDQILKLLS LWRIKNGDQD TLKGLMHALK HSKTYHFPKT





       370        380        390        400 401


VTQSLKKTIR FLHSFTMYKL YQKLFLEMIG NQVQSVKISC L






The following domains have been identified in Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B:














Residues
Length
Domain ID

















1-21
21
Signal sequence


22-401
380
Tumor necrosis factor




receptor superfamily member 11B









As used herein, the term “relating a signal to the presence or amount” of an analyte reflects this understanding. Assay signals are typically related to the presence or amount of an analyte through the use of a standard curve calculated using known concentrations of the analyte of interest. As the term is used herein, an assay is “configured to detect” an analyte if an assay can generate a detectable signal indicative of the presence or amount of a physiologically relevant concentration of the analyte. Because an antibody epitope is on the order of 8 amino acids, an immunoassay configured to detect a marker of interest will also detect polypeptides related to the marker sequence, so long as those polypeptides contain the epitope(s) necessary to bind to the antibody or antibodies used in the assay.


The term “related marker” as used herein with regard to a biomarker such as one of the kidney injury markers described herein refers to one or more fragments, variants, etc., of a particular marker or its biosynthetic parent that may be detected as a surrogate for the marker itself or as independent biomarkers. The term also refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the biomarker precursor complexed to additional species, such as binding proteins, receptors, heparin, lipids, sugars, etc.


The term “positive going” marker as that term is used herein refer to a marker that is determined to be elevated in subjects suffering from a disease or condition, relative to subjects not suffering from that disease or condition. The term “negative going” marker as that term is used herein refer to a marker that is determined to be reduced in subjects suffering from a disease or condition, relative to subjects not suffering from that disease or condition.


The term “subject” as used herein refers to a human or non-human organism. Thus, the methods and compositions described herein are applicable to both human and veterinary disease. Further, while a subject is preferably a living organism, the invention described herein may be used in post-mortem analysis as well. Preferred subjects are humans, and most preferably “patients,” which as used herein refers to living humans that are receiving medical care for a disease or condition. This includes persons with no defined illness who are being investigated for signs of pathology.


Preferably, an analyte is measured in a sample. Such a sample may be obtained from a subject, or may be obtained from biological materials intended to be provided to the subject. For example, a sample may be obtained from a kidney being evaluated for possible transplantation into a subject, and an analyte measurement used to evaluate the kidney for preexisting damage. Preferred samples are body fluid samples.


The term “body fluid sample” as used herein refers to a sample of bodily fluid obtained for the purpose of diagnosis, prognosis, classification or evaluation of a subject of interest, such as a patient or transplant donor. In certain embodiments, such a sample may be obtained for the purpose of determining the outcome of an ongoing condition or the effect of a treatment regimen on a condition. Preferred body fluid samples include blood, serum, plasma, cerebrospinal fluid, urine, saliva, sputum, and pleural effusions. In addition, one of skill in the art would realize that certain body fluid samples would be more readily analyzed following a fractionation or purification procedure, for example, separation of whole blood into serum or plasma components.


The term “diagnosis” as used herein refers to methods by which the skilled artisan can estimate and/or determine the probability (“a likelihood”) of whether or not a patient is suffering from a given disease or condition. In the case of the present invention, “diagnosis” includes using the results of an assay, most preferably an immunoassay, for a kidney injury marker of the present invention, optionally together with other clinical characteristics, to arrive at a diagnosis (that is, the occurrence or nonoccurrence) of an acute renal injury or ARF for the subject from which a sample was obtained and assayed. That such a diagnosis is “determined” is not meant to imply that the diagnosis is 100% accurate. Many biomarkers are indicative of multiple conditions. The skilled clinician does not use biomarker results in an informational vacuum, but rather test results are used together with other clinical indicia to arrive at a diagnosis. Thus, a measured biomarker level on one side of a predetermined diagnostic threshold indicates a greater likelihood of the occurrence of disease in the subject relative to a measured level on the other side of the predetermined diagnostic threshold.


Similarly, a prognostic risk signals a probability (“a likelihood”) that a given course or outcome will occur. A level or a change in level of a prognostic indicator, which in turn is associated with an increased probability of morbidity (e.g., worsening renal function, future ARF, or death) is referred to as being “indicative of an increased likelihood” of an adverse outcome in a patient.


Marker Assays


In general, immunoassays involve contacting a sample containing or suspected of containing a biomarker of interest with at least one antibody that specifically binds to the biomarker. A signal is then generated indicative of the presence or amount of complexes formed by the binding of polypeptides in the sample to the antibody. The signal is then related to the presence or amount of the biomarker in the sample. Numerous methods and devices are well known to the skilled artisan for the detection and analysis of biomarkers. See, e.g., U.S. Pat. Nos. 6,143,576; 6,113,855; 6,019,944; 5,985,579; 5,947,124; 5,939,272; 5,922,615; 5,885,527; 5,851,776; 5,824,799; 5,679,526; 5,525,524; and 5,480,792, and The Immunoassay Handbook, David Wild, ed. Stockton Press, New York, 1994, each of which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, including all tables, figures and claims.


The assay devices and methods known in the art can utilize labeled molecules in various sandwich, competitive, or non-competitive assay formats, to generate a signal that is related to the presence or amount of the biomarker of interest. Suitable assay formats also include chromatographic, mass spectrographic, and protein “blotting” methods. Additionally, certain methods and devices, such as biosensors and optical immunoassays, may be employed to determine the presence or amount of analytes without the need for a labeled molecule. See, e.g., U.S. Pat. Nos. 5,631,171; and 5,955,377, each of which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, including all tables, figures and claims. One skilled in the art also recognizes that robotic instrumentation including but not limited to Beckman ACCESS®, Abbott AXSYM®, Roche ELECSYS®, Dade Behring STRATUS® systems are among the immunoassay analyzers that are capable of performing immunoassays. But any suitable immunoassay may be utilized, for example, enzyme-linked immunoassays (ELISA), radioimmunoassays (RIAs), competitive binding assays, and the like.


Antibodies or other polypeptides may be immobilized onto a variety of solid supports for use in assays. Solid phases that may be used to immobilize specific binding members include include those developed and/or used as solid phases in solid phase binding assays. Examples of suitable solid phases include membrane filters, cellulose-based papers, beads (including polymeric, latex and paramagnetic particles), glass, silicon wafers, microparticles, nanoparticles, TentaGels, AgroGels, PEGA gels, SPOCC gels, and multiple-well plates. An assay strip could be prepared by coating the antibody or a plurality of antibodies in an array on solid support. This strip could then be dipped into the test sample and then processed quickly through washes and detection steps to generate a measurable signal, such as a colored spot. Antibodies or other polypeptides may be bound to specific zones of assay devices either by conjugating directly to an assay device surface, or by indirect binding. In an example of the later case, antibodies or other polypeptides may be immobilized on particles or other solid supports, and that solid support immobilized to the device surface.


Biological assays require methods for detection, and one of the most common methods for quantitation of results is to conjugate a detectable label to a protein or nucleic acid that has affinity for one of the components in the biological system being studied. Detectable labels may include molecules that are themselves detectable (e.g., fluorescent moieties, electrochemical labels, metal chelates, etc.) as well as molecules that may be indirectly detected by production of a detectable reaction product (e.g., enzymes such as horseradish peroxidase, alkaline phosphatase, etc.) or by a specific binding molecule which itself may be detectable (e.g., biotin, digoxigenin, maltose, oligohistidine, 2,4-dintrobenzene, phenylarsenate, ssDNA, dsDNA, etc.).


Preparation of solid phases and detectable label conjugates often comprise the use of chemical cross-linkers. Cross-linking reagents contain at least two reactive groups, and are divided generally into homofunctional cross-linkers (containing identical reactive groups) and heterofunctional cross-linkers (containing non-identical reactive groups). Homobifunctional cross-linkers that couple through amines, sulfhydryls or react non-specifically are available from many commercial sources. Maleimides, alkyl and aryl halides, alpha-haloacyls and pyridyl disulfides are thiol reactive groups. Maleimides, alkyl and aryl halides, and alpha-haloacyls react with sulfhydryls to form thiol ether bonds, while pyridyl disulfides react with sulfhydryls to produce mixed disulfides. The pyridyl disulfide product is cleavable. Imidoesters are also very useful for protein-protein cross-links. A variety of heterobifunctional cross-linkers, each combining different attributes for successful conjugation, are commercially available.


In certain aspects, the present invention provides kits for the analysis of the described kidney injury markers. The kit comprises reagents for the analysis of at least one test sample which comprise at least one antibody that a kidney injury marker. The kit can also include devices and instructions for performing one or more of the diagnostic and/or prognostic correlations described herein. Preferred kits will comprise an antibody pair for performing a sandwich assay, or a labeled species for performing a competitive assay, for the analyte. Preferably, an antibody pair comprises a first antibody conjugated to a solid phase and a second antibody conjugated to a detectable label, wherein each of the first and second antibodies that bind a kidney injury marker. Most preferably each of the antibodies are monoclonal antibodies. The instructions for use of the kit and performing the correlations can be in the form of labeling, which refers to any written or recorded material that is attached to, or otherwise accompanies a kit at any time during its manufacture, transport, sale or use. For example, the term labeling encompasses advertising leaflets and brochures, packaging materials, instructions, audio or video cassettes, computer discs, as well as writing imprinted directly on kits.


Antibodies


The term “antibody” as used herein refers to a peptide or polypeptide derived from, modeled after or substantially encoded by an immunoglobulin gene or immunoglobulin genes, or fragments thereof, capable of specifically binding an antigen or epitope. See, e.g. Fundamental Immunology, 3rd Edition, W. E. Paul, ed., Raven Press, N.Y. (1993); Wilson (1994; J. Immunol. Methods 175:267-273; Yarmush (1992) J. Biochem. Biophys. Methods 25:85-97. The term antibody includes antigen-binding portions, i.e., “antigen binding sites,” (e.g., fragments, subsequences, complementarity determining regions (CDRs)) that retain capacity to bind antigen, including (i) a Fab fragment, a monovalent fragment consisting of the VL, VH, CL and CH1 domains; (ii) a F(ab′)2 fragment, a bivalent fragment comprising two Fab fragments linked by a disulfide bridge at the hinge region; (iii) a Fd fragment consisting of the VH and CH1 domains; (iv) a Fv fragment consisting of the VL and VH domains of a single arm of an antibody, (v) a dAb fragment (Ward et al., (1989) Nature 341:544-546), which consists of a VH domain; and (vi) an isolated complementarity determining region (CDR). Single chain antibodies are also included by reference in the term “antibody.”


Antibodies used in the immunoassays described herein preferably specifically bind to a kidney injury marker of the present invention. The term “specifically binds” is not intended to indicate that an antibody binds exclusively to its intended target since, as noted above, an antibody binds to any polypeptide displaying the epitope(s) to which the antibody binds. Rather, an antibody “specifically binds” if its affinity for its intended target is about 5-fold greater when compared to its affinity for a non-target molecule which does not display the appropriate epitope(s). Preferably the affinity of the antibody will be at least about 5 fold, preferably 10 fold, more preferably 25-fold, even more preferably 50-fold, and most preferably 100-fold or more, greater for a target molecule than its affinity for a non-target molecule. In preferred embodiments, Preferred antibodies bind with affinities of at least about 107 M−1, and preferably between about 108 M−1 to about 109 M−1, about 109 M−1 to about 1010 M−1, or about 1010 M−1 to about 1012 M−1.


Affinity is calculated as Kd=koff/kon (koff is the dissociation rate constant, Kon is the association rate constant and Kd is the equilibrium constant). Affinity can be determined at equilibrium by measuring the fraction bound (r) of labeled ligand at various concentrations (c). The data are graphed using the Scatchard equation: r/c=K(n−r): where r=moles of bound ligand/mole of receptor at equilibrium; c=free ligand concentration at equilibrium; K=equilibrium association constant; and n=number of ligand binding sites per receptor molecule. By graphical analysis, r/c is plotted on the Y-axis versus r on the X-axis, thus producing a Scatchard plot. Antibody affinity measurement by Scatchard analysis is well known in the art. See, e.g., van Erp et al., J. Immunoassay 12: 425-43, 1991; Nelson and Griswold, Comput. Methods Programs Biomed. 27: 65-8, 1988.


The term “epitope” refers to an antigenic determinant capable of specific binding to an antibody. Epitopes usually consist of chemically active surface groupings of molecules such as amino acids or sugar side chains and usually have specific three dimensional structural characteristics, as well as specific charge characteristics. Conformational and nonconformational epitopes are distinguished in that the binding to the former but not the latter is lost in the presence of denaturing solvents.


Numerous publications discuss the use of phage display technology to produce and screen libraries of polypeptides for binding to a selected analyte. See, e.g, Cwirla et al., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 87, 6378-82, 1990; Devlin et al., Science 249, 404-6, 1990, Scott and Smith, Science 249, 386-88, 1990; and Ladner et al., U.S. Pat. No. 5,571,698. A basic concept of phage display methods is the establishment of a physical association between DNA encoding a polypeptide to be screened and the polypeptide. This physical association is provided by the phage particle, which displays a polypeptide as part of a capsid enclosing the phage genome which encodes the polypeptide. The establishment of a physical association between polypeptides and their genetic material allows simultaneous mass screening of very large numbers of phage bearing different polypeptides. Phage displaying a polypeptide with affinity to a target bind to the target and these phage are enriched by affinity screening to the target. The identity of polypeptides displayed from these phage can be determined from their respective genomes. Using these methods a polypeptide identified as having a binding affinity for a desired target can then be synthesized in bulk by conventional means. See, e.g., U.S. Pat. No. 6,057,098, which is hereby incorporated in its entirety, including all tables, figures, and claims.


The antibodies that are generated by these methods may then be selected by first screening for affinity and specificity with the purified polypeptide of interest and, if required, comparing the results to the affinity and specificity of the antibodies with polypeptides that are desired to be excluded from binding. The screening procedure can involve immobilization of the purified polypeptides in separate wells of microtiter plates. The solution containing a potential antibody or groups of antibodies is then placed into the respective microtiter wells and incubated for about 30 min to 2 h. The microtiter wells are then washed and a labeled secondary antibody (for example, an anti-mouse antibody conjugated to alkaline phosphatase if the raised antibodies are mouse antibodies) is added to the wells and incubated for about 30 min and then washed. Substrate is added to the wells and a color reaction will appear where antibody to the immobilized polypeptide(s) are present.


The antibodies so identified may then be further analyzed for affinity and specificity in the assay design selected. In the development of immunoassays for a target protein, the purified target protein acts as a standard with which to judge the sensitivity and specificity of the immunoassay using the antibodies that have been selected. Because the binding affinity of various antibodies may differ; certain antibody pairs (e.g., in sandwich assays) may interfere with one another sterically, etc., assay performance of an antibody may be a more important measure than absolute affinity and specificity of an antibody.


Assay Correlations


The term “correlating” as used herein in reference to the use of biomarkers refers to comparing the presence or amount of the biomarker(s) in a patient to its presence or amount in persons known to suffer from, or known to be at risk of, a given condition; or in persons known to be free of a given condition. Often, this takes the form of comparing an assay result in the form of a biomarker concentration to a predetermined threshold selected to be indicative of the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a disease or the likelihood of some future outcome.


Selecting a diagnostic threshold involves, among other things, consideration of the probability of disease, distribution of true and false diagnoses at different test thresholds, and estimates of the consequences of treatment (or a failure to treat) based on the diagnosis. For example, when considering administering a specific therapy which is highly efficacious and has a low level of risk, few tests are needed because clinicians can accept substantial diagnostic uncertainty. On the other hand, in situations where treatment options are less effective and more risky, clinicians often need a higher degree of diagnostic certainty. Thus, cost/benefit analysis is involved in selecting a diagnostic threshold.


Suitable thresholds may be determined in a variety of ways. For example, one recommended diagnostic threshold for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction using cardiac troponin is the 97.5th percentile of the concentration seen in a normal population. Another method may be to look at serial samples from the same patient, where a prior “baseline” result is used to monitor for temporal changes in a biomarker level.


Population studies may also be used to select a decision threshold. Reciever Operating Characteristic (“ROC”) arose from the field of signal dectection therory developed during World War II for the analysis of radar images, and ROC analysis is often used to select a threshold able to best distinguish a “diseased” subpopulation from a “nondiseased” subpopulation. A false positive in this case occurs when the person tests positive, but actually does not have the disease. A false negative, on the other hand, occurs when the person tests negative, suggesting they are healthy, when they actually do have the disease. To draw a ROC curve, the true positive rate (TPR) and false positive rate (FPR) are determined as the decision threshold is varied continuously. Since TPR is equivalent with sensitivity and FPR is equal to 1-specificity, the ROC graph is sometimes called the sensitivity vs (1-specificity) plot. A perfect test will have an area under the ROC curve of 1.0; a random test will have an area of 0.5. A threshold is selected to provide an acceptable level of specificity and sensitivity.


In this context, “diseased” is meant to refer to a population having one characteristic (the presence of a disease or condition or the occurrence of some outcome) and “nondiseased” is meant to refer to a population lacking the characteristic. While a single decision threshold is the simplest application of such a method, multiple decision thresholds may be used. For example, below a first threshold, the absence of disease may be assigned with relatively high confidence, and above a second threshold the presence of disease may also be assigned with relatively high confidence. Between the two thresholds may be considered indeterminate. This is meant to be exemplary in nature only.


In addition to threshold comparisons, other methods for correlating assay results to a patient classification (occurrence or nonoccurrence of disease, likelihood of an outcome, etc.) include decision trees, rule sets, Bayesian methods, and neural network methods. These methods can produce probability values representing the degree to which a subject belongs to one classification out of a plurality of classifications.


Measures of test accuracy may be obtained as described in Fischer et al., Intensive Care Med. 29: 1043-51, 2003, and used to determine the effectiveness of a given biomarker. These measures include sensitivity and specificity, predictive values, likelihood ratios, diagnostic odds ratios, and ROC curve areas. The area under the curve (“AUC”) of a ROC plot is equal to the probability that a classifier will rank a randomly chosen positive instance higher than a randomly chosen negative one. The area under the ROC curve may be thought of as equivalent to the Mann-Whitney U test, which tests for the median difference between scores obtained in the two groups considered if the groups are of continuous data, or to the Wilcoxon test of ranks.


As discussed above, suitable tests may exhibit one or more of the following results on these various measures: a specificity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably at least 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9 and most preferably at least 0.95, with a corresponding sensitivity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than 0.3, more preferably greater than 0.4, still more preferably at least 0.5, even more preferably 0.6, yet more preferably greater than 0.7, still more preferably greater than 0.8, more preferably greater than 0.9, and most preferably greater than 0.95; a sensitivity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably at least 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9 and most preferably at least 0.95, with a corresponding specificity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than 0.3, more preferably greater than 0.4, still more preferably at least 0.5, even more preferably 0.6, yet more preferably greater than 0.7, still more preferably greater than 0.8, more preferably greater than 0.9, and most preferably greater than 0.95; at least 75% sensitivity, combined with at least 75% specificity; a ROC curve area of greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9, and most preferably at least 0.95; an odds ratio different from 1, preferably at least about 2 or more or about 0.5 or less, more preferably at least about 3 or more or about 0.33 or less, still more preferably at least about 4 or more or about 0.25 or less, even more preferably at least about 5 or more or about 0.2 or less, and most preferably at least about 10 or more or about 0.1 or less; a positive likelihood ratio (calculated as sensitivity/(1-specificity)) of greater than 1, at least 2, more preferably at least 3, still more preferably at least 5, and most preferably at least 10; and or a negative likelihood ratio (calculated as (1-sensitivity)/specificity) of less than 1, less than or equal to 0.5, more preferably less than or equal to 0.3, and most preferably less than or equal to 0.1


Additional clinical indicia may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) of the present invention. These include other biomarkers related to renal status. Examples include the following, which recite the common biomarker name, followed by the Swiss-Prot entry number for that biomarker or its parent: Actin (P68133); Adenosine deaminase binding protein (DPP4, P27487); Alpha-1-acid glycoprotein 1 (P02763); Alpha-1-microglobulin (P02760); Albumin (P02768); Angiotensinogenase (Renin, P00797); Annexin A2 (P07355); Beta-glucuronidase (P08236); B-2-microglobulin (P61769); Beta-galactosidase (P16278); BMP-7 (P18075); Brain natriuretic peptide (proBNP, BNP-32, NTproBNP; P16860); Calcium-binding protein Beta (S100-beta, P04271); Carbonic anhydrase 9 (Q16790); Casein Kinase 2 (P68400); Clusterin (P10909); Complement C3 (P01024); Cysteine-rich protein (CYR61, O00622); Cytochrome C (P99999); Epidermal growth factor (EGF, P01133); Endothelin-1 (P05305); Exosomal Fetuin-A (P02765); Fatty acid-binding protein, heart (FABP3, P05413); Fatty acid-binding protein, liver (P07148); Ferritin (light chain, P02792; heavy chain P02794); Fructose-1,6-biphosphatase (P09467); GRO-alpha (CXCL1, (P09341); Growth Hormone (P01241); Hepatocyte growth factor (P14210); Insulin-like growth factor I (P05019); Immunoglobulin G; Immunoglobulin Light Chains (Kappa and Lambda); Interferon gamma (P01579); Lysozyme (P61626); Interleukin-1alpha (P01583); Interleukin-2 (P60568); Interleukin-4 (P05112); Interleukin-9 (P15248); Interleukin-12p40 (P29460); Interleukin-13 (P35225); Interleukin-16 (Q14005); L1 cell adhesion molecule (P32004); Lactate dehydrogenase (P00338); Leucine Aminopeptidase (P28838); Meprin A-alpha subunit (Q16819); Meprin A-beta subunit (Q16820); Midkine (P21741); MIP2-alpha (CXCL2, P19875); MMP-2 (P08253); MMP-9 (P14780); Netrin-1 (095631); Neutral endopeptidase (P08473); Osteopontin (P10451); Renal papillary antigen 1 (RPA1); Renal papillary antigen 2 (RPA2); Retinol binding protein (P09455); Ribonuclease; S100 calcium-binding protein A6 (P06703); Serum Amyloid P Component (P02743); Sodium/Hydrogen exchanger isoform (NHE3, P48764); Spermidine/spermine N1-acetyltransferase (P21673); TGF-Beta1 (P01137); Transferrin (P02787); Trefoil factor 3 (TFF3, Q07654); Toll-Like protein 4 (000206); Total protein; Tubulointerstitial nephritis antigen (Q9UJW2); Uromodulin (Tamm-Horsfall protein, P07911).


For purposes of risk stratification, Adiponectin (Q15848); Alkaline phosphatase (P05186); Aminopeptidase N (P15144); CalbindinD28k (P05937); Cystatin C (P01034); 8 subunit of FIFO ATPase (P03928); Gamma-glutamyltransferase (P19440); GSTa (alpha-glutathione-S-transferase, P08263); GSTpi (Glutathione-S-transferase P; GST class-pi; P09211); IGFBP-1 (P08833); IGFBP-2 (P18065); IGFBP-6 (P24592); Integral membrane protein 1 (Itm1, P46977); Interleukin-6 (P05231); Interleukin-8 (P10145); Interleukin-18 (Q14116); IP-10 (10 kDa interferon-gamma-induced protein, P02778); IRPR (IFRD1, O00458); Isovaleryl-CoA dehydrogenase (IVD, P26440); I-TAC/CXCL11 (014625); Keratin 19 (P08727); Kim-1 (Hepatitis A virus cellular receptor 1, Q96D42); L-arginine:glycine amidinotransferase (P50440); Leptin (P41159); Lipocalin2 (NGAL, P80188); MCP-1 (P13500); MIG (Gamma-interferon-induced monokine Q07325); MIP-1a (P10147); MIP-3a (P78556); MIP-1beta (P13236); MIP-1d (Q16663); NAG (N-acetyl-beta-D-glucosaminidase, P54802); Organic ion transporter (OCT2, 015244); Osteoprotegerin (000300); P8 protein (060356); Plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 (PAI-1, P05121); ProANP(1-98) (P01160); Protein phosphatase 1-beta (PPI-beta, P62140); Rab GDI-beta (P50395); Renal kallikrein (P06870); RT1.B-1 (alpha) chain of the integral membrane protein (Q5Y7A8); soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 1A (sTNFR-I, P19438); soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 1B (sTNFR-II, P20333); Tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases 3 (TIMP-3, P35625); uPAR (Q03405) may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) of the present invention.


Other clinical indicia which may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) of the present invention includes demographic information (e.g., weight, sex, age, race), medical history (e.g., family history, type of surgery, pre-existing disease such as aneurism, congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, or sepsis, type of toxin exposure such as NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin), clinical variables (e.g., blood pressure, temperature, respiration rate), risk scores (APACHE score, PREDICT score, TIMI Risk Score for UA/NSTEMI, Framingham Risk Score), a urine total protein measurement, a glomerular filtration rate, an estimated glomerular filtration rate, a urine production rate, a serum or plasma creatinine concentration, a renal papillary antigen 1 (RPA1) measurement; a renal papillary antigen 2 (RPA2) measurement; a urine creatinine concentration, a fractional excretion of sodium, a urine sodium concentration, a urine creatinine to serum or plasma creatinine ratio, a urine specific gravity, a urine osmolality, a urine urea nitrogen to plasma urea nitrogen ratio, a plasma BUN to creatnine ratio, and/or a renal failure index calculated as urine sodium/(urine creatinine/plasma creatinine). Other measures of renal function which may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) are described hereinafter and in Harrison's Principles of Internal Medicine, 17th Ed., McGraw Hill, New York, pages 1741-1830, and Current Medical Diagnosis & Treatment 2008, 47th Ed, McGraw Hill, New York, pages 785-815, each of which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety.


Combining assay results/clinical indicia in this manner can comprise the use of multivariate logistical regression, loglinear modeling, neural network analysis, n-of-m analysis, decision tree analysis, etc. This list is not meant to be limiting.


Diagnosis of Acute Renal Failure


As noted above, the terms “acute renal (or kidney) injury” and “acute renal (or kidney) failure” as used herein are defined in part in terms of changes in serum creatinine from a baseline value. Most definitions of ARF have common elements, including the use of serum creatinine and, often, urine output. Patients may present with renal dysfunction without an available baseline measure of renal function for use in this comparison. In such an event, one may estimate a baseline serum creatinine value by assuming the patient initially had a normal GFR. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is the volume of fluid filtered from the renal (kidney) glomerular capillaries into the Bowman's capsule per unit time. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) can be calculated by measuring any chemical that has a steady level in the blood, and is freely filtered but neither reabsorbed nor secreted by the kidneys. GFR is typically expressed in units of ml/min:






GFR
=


Urine





Concentration
×
Urine





Flow


Plasma





Concentration






By normalizing the GFR to the body surface area, a GFR of approximately 75-100 ml/min per 1.73 m2 can be assumed. The rate therefore measured is the quantity of the substance in the urine that originated from a calculable volume of blood.


There are several different techniques used to calculate or estimate the glomerular filtration rate (GFR or eGFR). In clinical practice, however, creatinine clearance is used to measure GFR. Creatinine is produced naturally by the body (creatinine is a metabolite of creatine, which is found in muscle). It is freely filtered by the glomerulus, but also actively secreted by the renal tubules in very small amounts such that creatinine clearance overestimates actual GFR by 10-20%. This margin of error is acceptable considering the ease with which creatinine clearance is measured.


Creatinine clearance (CCr) can be calculated if values for creatinine's urine concentration (UCr), urine flow rate (V), and creatinine's plasma concentration (PCr) are known. Since the product of urine concentration and urine flow rate yields creatinine's excretion rate, creatinine clearance is also said to be its excretion rate (UCr×V) divided by its plasma concentration. This is commonly represented mathematically as:







C
Cr

=



U
Cr

×
V


P
Cr






Commonly a 24 hour urine collection is undertaken, from empty-bladder one morning to the contents of the bladder the following morning, with a comparative blood test then taken:







C
Cr

=



U
Cr

×
24


-


hour





volume



P
Cr

×
24
×
60

mins






To allow comparison of results between people of different sizes, the CCr is often corrected for the body surface area (BSA) and expressed compared to the average sized man as ml/min/1.73 m2. While most adults have a BSA that approaches 1.7 (1.6-1.9), extremely obese or slim patients should have their CCr corrected for their actual BSA:







C

Cr


-


corrected


=



C
Cr

×
1.73

BSA





The accuracy of a creatinine clearance measurement (even when collection is complete) is limited because as glomerular filtration rate (GFR) falls creatinine secretion is increased, and thus the rise in serum creatinine is less. Thus, creatinine excretion is much greater than the filtered load, resulting in a potentially large overestimation of the GFR (as much as a twofold difference). However, for clinical purposes it is important to determine whether renal function is stable or getting worse or better. This is often determined by monitoring serum creatinine alone. Like creatinine clearance, the serum creatinine will not be an accurate reflection of GFR in the non-steady-state condition of ARF. Nonetheless, the degree to which serum creatinine changes from baseline will reflect the change in GFR. Serum creatinine is readily and easily measured and it is specific for renal function.


For purposes of determining urine output on a Urine output on a mL/kg/hr basis, hourly urine collection and measurement is adequate. In the case where, for example, only a cumulative 24-h output was available and no patient weights are provided, minor modifications of the RIFLE urine output criteria have been described. For example, Bagshaw et al., Nephrol. Dial. Transplant. 23: 1203-1210, 2008, assumes an average patient weight of 70 kg, and patients are assigned a RIFLE classification based on the following: <35 mL/h (Risk), <21 mL/h (Injury) or <4 mL/h (Failure).


Selecting a Treatment Regimen


Once a diagnosis is obtained, the clinician can readily select a treatment regimen that is compatible with the diagnosis, such as initiating renal replacement therapy, withdrawing delivery of compounds that are known to be damaging to the kidney, kidney transplantation, delaying or avoiding procedures that are known to be damaging to the kidney, modifying diuretic administration, initiating goal directed therapy, etc. The skilled artisan is aware of appropriate treatments for numerous diseases discussed in relation to the methods of diagnosis described herein. See, e.g., Merck Manual of Diagnosis and Therapy, 17th Ed. Merck Research Laboratories, Whitehouse Station, N J, 1999. In addition, since the methods and compositions described herein provide prognostic information, the markers of the present invention may be used to monitor a course of treatment. For example, improved or worsened prognostic state may indicate that a particular treatment is or is not efficacious.


One skilled in the art readily appreciates that the present invention is well adapted to carry out the objects and obtain the ends and advantages mentioned, as well as those inherent therein. The examples provided herein are representative of preferred embodiments, are exemplary, and are not intended as limitations on the scope of the invention.


Example 1: Contrast-Induced Nephropathy Sample Collection

The objective of this sample collection study is to collect samples of plasma and urine and clinical data from patients before and after receiving intravascular contrast media. Approximately 250 adults undergoing radiographic/angiographic procedures involving intravascular administration of iodinated contrast media are enrolled. To be enrolled in the study, each patient must meet all of the following inclusion criteria and none of the following exclusion criteria:


Inclusion Criteria

males and females 18 years of age or older;


undergoing a radiographic/angiographic procedure (such as a CT scan or coronary intervention) involving the intravascular administration of contrast media;


expected to be hospitalized for at least 48 hours after contrast administration.


able and willing to provide written informed consent for study participation and to comply with all study procedures.


Exclusion Criteria

renal transplant recipients;


acutely worsening renal function prior to the contrast procedure;


already receiving dialysis (either acute or chronic) or in imminent need of dialysis at enrollment;


expected to undergo a major surgical procedure (such as involving cardiopulmonary bypass) or an additional imaging procedure with contrast media with significant risk for further renal insult within the 48 hrs following contrast administration;


participation in an interventional clinical study with an experimental therapy within the previous 30 days;


known infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or a hepatitis virus.


Immediately prior to the first contrast administration (and after any pre-procedure hydration), an EDTA anti-coagulated blood sample (10 mL) and a urine sample (10 mL) are collected from each patient. Blood and urine samples are then collected at 4 (±0.5), 8 (±1), 24 (±2) 48 (±2), and 72 (±2) hrs following the last administration of contrast media during the index contrast procedure. Blood is collected via direct venipuncture or via other available venous access, such as an existing femoral sheath, central venous line, peripheral intravenous line or hep-lock. These study blood samples are processed to plasma at the clinical site, frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc., San Diego, Calif. The study urine samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc.


Serum creatinine is assessed at the site immediately prior to the first contrast administration (after any pre-procedure hydration) and at 4 (±0.5), 8 (±1), 24 (±2) and 48 (±2)), and 72 (±2) hours following the last administration of contrast (ideally at the same time as the study samples are obtained). In addition, each patient's status is evaluated through day 30 with regard to additional serum and urine creatinine measurements, a need for dialysis, hospitalization status, and adverse clinical outcomes (including mortality).


Prior to contrast administration, each patient is assigned a risk based on the following assessment: systolic blood pressure <80 mm Hg=5 points; intra-arterial balloon pump=5 points; congestive heart failure (Class III-IV or history of pulmonary edema)=5 points; age >75 yrs=4 points; hematocrit level <39% for men, <35% for women=3 points; diabetes=3 points; contrast media volume=1 point for each 100 mL; serum creatinine level >1.5 g/dL=4 points OR estimated GFR 40-60 mL/min/1.73 m2=2 points, 20-40 mL/min/1.73 m2=4 points, <20 mL/min/1.73 m2=6 points. The risks assigned are as follows: risk for CIN and dialysis: 5 or less total points=risk of CIN—7.5%, risk of dialysis—0.04%; 6-10 total points=risk of CIN—14%, risk of dialysis—0.12%; 11-16 total points=risk of CIN—26.1%, risk of dialysis—1.09%; >16 total points=risk of CIN—57.3%, risk of dialysis—12.8%.


Example 2: Cardiac Surgery Sample Collection

The objective of this sample collection study is to collect samples of plasma and urine and clinical data from patients before and after undergoing cardiovascular surgery, a procedure known to be potentially damaging to kidney function. Approximately 900 adults undergoing such surgery are enrolled. To be enrolled in the study, each patient must meet all of the following inclusion criteria and none of the following exclusion criteria:


Inclusion Criteria

males and females 18 years of age or older;


undergoing cardiovascular surgery;


Toronto/Ottawa Predictive Risk Index for Renal Replacement risk score of at least 2 (Wijeysundera et al., JAMA 297: 1801-9, 2007); and


able and willing to provide written informed consent for study participation and to comply with all study procedures.


Exclusion Criteria

known pregnancy;


previous renal transplantation;


acutely worsening renal function prior to enrollment (e.g., any category of RIFLE criteria);


already receiving dialysis (either acute or chronic) or in imminent need of dialysis at enrollment;


currently enrolled in another clinical study or expected to be enrolled in another clinical study within 7 days of cardiac surgery that involves drug infusion or a therapeutic intervention for AKI;


known infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or a hepatitis virus.


Within 3 hours prior to the first incision (and after any pre-procedure hydration), an EDTA anti-coagulated blood sample (10 mL), whole blood (3 mL), and a urine sample (35 mL) are collected from each patient. Blood and urine samples are then collected at 3 (±0.5), 6 (±0.5), 12 (±1), 24 (±2) and 48 (±2) hrs following the procedure and then daily on days 3 through 7 if the subject remains in the hospital. Blood is collected via direct venipuncture or via other available venous access, such as an existing femoral sheath, central venous line, peripheral intravenous line or hep-lock. These study blood samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc., San Diego, Calif. The study urine samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc.


Example 3: Acutely Ill Subject Sample Collection

The objective of this study is to collect samples from acutely ill patients. Approximately 2200 adults expected to be in the ICU for at least 48 hours will be enrolled. To be enrolled in the study, each patient must meet all of the following inclusion criteria and none of the following exclusion criteria:


Inclusion Criteria

males and females 18 years of age or older;


Study population 1: approximately 300 patients that have at least one of:


shock (SBP <90 mmHg and/or need for vasopressor support to maintain MAP >60 mmHg and/or documented drop in SBP of at least 40 mmHg); and


sepsis;


Study population 2: approximately 300 patients that have at least one of:


IV antibiotics ordered in computerized physician order entry (CPOE) within 24 hours of enrollment;


contrast media exposure within 24 hours of enrollment;


increased Intra-Abdominal Pressure with acute decompensated heart failure; and


severe trauma as the primary reason for ICU admission and likely to be hospitalized in the ICU for 48 hours after enrollment;


Study population 3: approximately 300 patients expected to be hospitalized through acute care setting (ICU or ED) with a known risk factor for acute renal injury (e.g. sepsis, hypotension/shock (Shock=systolic BP <90 mmHg and/or the need for vasopressor support to maintain a MAP >60 mmHg and/or a documented drop in SBP >40 mmHg), major trauma, hemorrhage, or major surgery); and/or expected to be hospitalized to the ICU for at least 24 hours after enrollment;


Study population 4: approximately 1000 patients that are 21 years of age or older, within 24 hours of being admitted into the ICU, expected to have an indwelling urinary catheter for at least 48 hours after enrollment, and have at least one of the following acute conditions within 24 hours prior to enrollment:


(i) respiratory SOFA score of ≥2 (PaO2/FiO2 <300), (ii) cardiovascular SOFA score of ≥1 (MAP <70 mm Hg and/or any vasopressor required).


Study population 5: approximately 300 patients that are 21 years of age or older, receiving care in the ICU, have an indwelling urinary catheter as standard care at the time of enrollment, have acute kidney injury (KDIGO stage 2 or stage 3) at the time of the first sample collection, and have their first sample collected within 36 hours of meeting KDIGO stage 2 criteria


Exclusion Criteria

known pregnancy;


prisoners or institutionalized individuals;


previous renal transplantation;


comfort-measures-only status for study population 5;


known acutely worsening renal function prior to enrollment (e.g., any category of RIFLE criteria) for study populations 1, 2, 3, and 4;


received dialysis (either acute or chronic) within 5 days prior to enrollment or in imminent need of dialysis at the time of enrollment;


known infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or a hepatitis virus;


meets any of the following in study populations 4 and 5:

    • (i) active bleeding with an anticipated need for >4 units PRBC in a day;
    • (ii) hemoglobin <7 g/dL;
    • (iii) any other condition that in the physician's opinion would contraindicate drawing serial blood samples for clinical study purposes;


      meets only the SBP <90 mmHg inclusion criterion set forth above, and does not have shock in the attending physician's or principal investigator's opinion.


      After obtaining informed consent, an EDTA anti-coagulated blood sample (10 mL) and a urine sample (25-50 mL) are collected from each patient. Blood and urine samples are then collected at 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), 36 (±2), 48 (±2), 60 (±2), 72 (±2), and 84 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. Blood is collected via direct venipuncture or via other available venous access, such as an existing femoral sheath, central venous line, peripheral intravenous line or hep-lock. These study blood samples are processed to plasma at the clinical site, frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc., San Diego, Calif. The study urine samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc.


Example 4. Immunoassay Format

Analytes are measured using standard sandwich enzyme immunoassay techniques.


A first antibody which binds the analyte is immobilized in wells of a 96 well polystyrene microplate. Analyte standards and test samples are pipetted into the appropriate wells and any analyte present is bound by the immobilized antibody. After washing away any unbound substances, a horseradish peroxidase-conjugated second antibody which binds the analyte is added to the wells, thereby forming sandwich complexes with the analyte (if present) and the first antibody. Following a wash to remove any unbound antibody-enzyme reagent, a substrate solution comprising tetramethylbenzidine and hydrogen peroxide is added to the wells. Color develops in proportion to the amount of analyte present in the sample. The color development is stopped and the intensity of the color is measured at 540 nm or 570 nm. An analyte concentration is assigned to the test sample by comparison to a standard curve determined from the analyte standards.


Table of Swiss-Prot numbers, preferred names and units for the analytes in the examples below.














Swiss-Prot




Number
Preferred Name
Units







Q8NI99
Angiopoietin-related protein
ng/ml



6



P01031
Complement C5
ng/ml


Q9NSA1
Fibroblast growth factor 21
ng/ml


Q9GZV9
Fibroblast growth factor 23
ng/ml


Q14005
Pro-interleukin-16
pg/ml


Q07325
C-X-C motif chemokine 9,
pg/ml



Hepatocyte growth factor-like




protein



P26927
Hepatocyte growth factor-like
ng/ml



protein



O00300
Tumor necrosis factor
pg/ml



receptor superfamily member




11B









Example 5. Apparently Healthy Donor and Chronic Disease Patient Samples

Human urine samples from donors with no known chronic or acute disease (“Apparently Healthy Donors”) were purchased from two vendors (Golden West Biologicals, Inc., 27625 Commerce Center Dr., Temecula, Calif. 92590 and Virginia Medical Research, Inc., 915 First Colonial Rd., Virginia Beach, Va. 23454). The urine samples were shipped and stored frozen at less than −20° C. The vendors supplied demographic information for the individual donors including gender, race (Black/White), smoking status and age.


Human urine samples from donors with various chronic diseases (“Chronic Disease Patients”) including congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes mellitus and hypertension were purchased from Virginia Medical Research, Inc., 915 First Colonial Rd., Virginia Beach, Va. 23454. The urine samples were shipped and stored frozen at less than −20 degrees centigrade. The vendor provided a case report form for each individual donor with age, gender, race (Black/White), smoking status and alcohol use, height, weight, chronic disease(s) diagnosis, current medications and previous surgeries.


Example 6. Use of Angiopoietin-Related Protein 6 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Angiopoietin-related protein 6 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 6.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24


hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72


















Non-

Non-

Non-




Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered




Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00270
0.00302
0.00270
0.00302



Average
1.25
6.11
0.676
6.08
0.295
6.05



Stdev
3.63
15.9
2.13
15.7
1.24
15.6



p (t-test)

0.15

0.13

0.12



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
15.2
128
8.21
128
5.26
128



n (Patient)
23
108
20
111
18
113







sCr only















Median
0.00270
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
0.451
6.75
0.467
6.68
0.483
6.62



Stdev
1.75
16.4
1.78
16.4
1.81
16.3



p (t-test)

0.039

0.044

0.050



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
8.21
128
8.21
128
8.21
128



n (Patient)
30
100
29
101
28
102







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
5.94
4.15
5.18
5.46
3.60
7.15



Stdev
17.0
9.26
16.9
10.9
9.66
18.6



p (t-test)

0.51

0.91

0.17



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
128
34.4
128
47.1
62.1
128



n (Patient)
83
47
76
54
68
62













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.63
0.69
0.47
0.65
0.68
0.53
0.67
0.66
0.55


SE
0.060
0.051
0.053
0.061
0.052
0.052
0.062
0.054
0.051


p Value
0.025
2.9E−4
0.53
0.012
8.4E−4
0.57
0.0074
0.0022
0.31


nCohort Recovered
23
30
83
20
29
76
18
28
68


nCohort Non-
108
100
47
111
101
54
113
102
62


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
69%
72%
66%
69%
71%
70%
69%
71%
71%


Specificity
48%
50%
33%
50%
48%
36%
50%
46%
37%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19


Sensitivity
28%
31%
19%
28%
31%
24%
28%
30%
26%


Specificity
87%
93%
71%
90%
93%
74%
94%
93%
75%


OR Quartile 2
4.62
3.30
0.569
5.44
3.44
0.712
6.14
3.60
0.912


p Value
0.45
0.55
0.78
0.40
0.54
0.87
0.37
0.52
0.96


Lower limit of 95%
0.0893
0.0640
0.0111
0.105
0.0668
0.0139
0.118
0.0698
0.0178


CI


Upper limit of 95%
239
170
29.1
282
177
36.5
319
185
46.7


CI


OR Quartile 3
2.08
2.57
0.934
2.26
2.32
1.31
2.23
2.08
1.42


p Value
0.12
0.027
0.86
0.097
0.052
0.48
0.12
0.094
0.35


Lower limit of 95%
0.835
1.11
0.438
0.863
0.994
0.618
0.815
0.884
0.680


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.20
5.95
1.99
5.94
5.40
2.77
6.10
4.90
2.97


CI


OR Quartile 4
2.56
6.29
0.582
3.49
5.98
0.888
6.72
5.68
1.04


p Value
0.15
0.016
0.22
0.11
0.019
0.77
0.070
0.023
0.92


Lower limit of 95%
0.710
1.41
0.244
0.764
1.34
0.396
0.858
1.27
0.473


CI


Upper limit of 95%
9.26
28.1
1.39
15.9
26.7
1.99
52.6
25.4
2.30


CI
















TABLE 6.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48


hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72


















Non-

Non-

Non-




Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered




Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00238
0.00302
0.00238
0.00302
0.00238
0.00302



Average
0.479
7.00
0.508
6.85
0.285
6.73



Stdev
1.69
16.7
1.74
16.6
1.11
16.4



p (t-test)

0.023

0.031

0.033



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
8.21
128
8.21
128
5.26
128



n (Patient)
35
96
33
98
30
101







sCr only















Median
0.00238
0.00302
0.00238
0.00302
0.00238
0.00302



Average
0.409
7.46
0.420
7.38
0.430
7.30



Stdev
1.57
17.2
1.59
17.1
1.61
17.0



p (t-test)

0.0099

0.012

0.013



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
8.21
128
8.21
128
8.21
128



n (Patient)
41
90
40
91
39
92







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
5.19
5.53
5.27
5.34
3.87
7.30



Stdev
16.3
10.4
16.7
10.1
10.3
19.2



p (t-test)

0.90

0.98

0.19



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
62.1
128



n (Patient)
89
41
84
46
76
54













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.73
0.52
0.70
0.72
0.52
0.70
0.72
0.55


SE
0.048
0.044
0.055
0.049
0.045
0.053
0.050
0.046
0.052


p Value
1.6E−5
1.2E−7
0.78
3.7E−5
5.9E−7
0.64
6.7E−5
2.5E−6
0.36


nCohort Recovered
35
41
89
33
40
84
30
39
76


nCohort Non-
96
90
41
98
91
46
101
92
54


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
74%
77%
68%
73%
76%
70%
72%
75%
70%


Specificity
54%
56%
34%
55%
55%
35%
53%
54%
36%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19


Sensitivity
31%
33%
24%
31%
33%
24%
31%
33%
26%


Specificity
91%
93%
74%
91%
92%
74%
93%
92%
75%


OR Quartile 2
2.72
2.18
0.464
2.94
2.26
0.550
3.33
2.34
0.712


p Value
0.62
0.70
0.70
0.59
0.68
0.77
0.55
0.67
0.87


Lower limit of 95%
0.0529
0.0425
0.00904
0.0572
0.0441
0.0107
0.0647
0.0456
0.0139


CI


Upper limit of 95%
140
112
23.8
151
116
28.2
171
120
36.5


CI


OR Quartile 3
3.37
4.20
1.10
3.32
3.83
1.21
2.98
3.50
1.31


p Value
0.0031
3.5E−4
0.82
0.0041
8.1E−4
0.64
0.011
0.0018
0.48


Lower limit of 95%
1.51
1.91
0.496
1.47
1.75
0.557
1.29
1.59
0.618


CI


Upper limit of 95%
7.55
9.22
2.42
7.54
8.42
2.61
6.90
7.69
2.77


CI


OR Quartile 4
4.85
6.33
0.926
4.41
6.07
0.886
6.20
5.81
1.05


p Value
0.014
0.0039
0.86
0.021
0.0049
0.78
0.017
0.0060
0.90


Lower limit of 95%
1.38
1.81
0.393
1.25
1.73
0.385
1.39
1.65
0.472


CI


Upper limit of 95%
17.1
22.2
2.18
15.6
21.3
2.04
27.7
20.4
2.34


CI
















TABLE 6.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72


hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72


















Non-

Non-

Non-




Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered




Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
1.84
7.23
1.92
7.06
1.91
6.84



Stdev
5.91
17.6
6.02
17.4
6.21
17.0



p (t-test)

0.041

0.054

0.071



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
48
83
46
85
42
89







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
1.82
7.59
1.85
7.50
1.93
7.31



Stdev
5.75
18.0
5.80
17.9
5.90
17.7



p (t-test)

0.026

0.030

0.040



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
53
78
52
79
50
81







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
4.91
6.17
5.14
5.60
3.61
7.82



Stdev
16.2
10.7
16.5
10.4
10.0
19.5



p (t-test)

0.65

0.86

0.11



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
62.1
128



n (Patient)
90
40
86
44
78
52













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.63
0.67
0.56
0.63
0.66
0.53
0.61
0.64
0.55


SE
0.049
0.047
0.055
0.050
0.047
0.054
0.051
0.049
0.052


p Value
0.0062
3.7E−4
0.32
0.011
8.9E−4
0.58
0.035
0.0043
0.38


nCohort Recovered
48
53
90
46
52
86
42
50
78


nCohort Non-
83
78
40
85
79
44
89
81
52


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
73%
77%
72%
73%
76%
70%
71%
74%
69%


Specificity
46%
49%
36%
46%
48%
35%
43%
46%
35%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19


Sensitivity
31%
32%
28%
31%
32%
25%
30%
31%
29%


Specificity
85%
85%
76%
85%
85%
74%
86%
84%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.72
1.47
0.448
1.84
1.51
0.514
2.11
1.61
0.669


p Value
0.79
0.85
0.69
0.76
0.84
0.74
0.71
0.81
0.84


Lower limit of 95%
0.0336
0.0287
0.00873
0.0359
0.0296
0.0100
0.0411
0.0315
0.0131


CI


Upper limit of 95%
88.2
75.1
23.0
94.2
77.5
26.4
108
82.6
34.2


CI


OR Quartile 3
2.35
3.21
1.45
2.26
2.92
1.28
1.82
2.43
1.19


p Value
0.026
0.0024
0.37
0.033
0.0050
0.54
0.12
0.019
0.65


Lower limit of 95%
1.11
1.51
0.642
1.07
1.38
0.583
0.847
1.15
0.562


CI


Upper limit of 95%
4.96
6.82
3.29
4.80
6.19
2.80
3.90
5.13
2.52


CI


OR Quartile 4
2.67
2.65
1.17
2.46
2.55
0.970
2.61
2.34
1.35


p Value
0.038
0.032
0.71
0.058
0.040
0.94
0.054
0.061
0.46


Lower limit of 95%
1.06
1.09
0.504
0.971
1.05
0.420
0.985
0.961
0.608


CI


Upper limit of 95%
6.74
6.46
2.73
6.21
6.20
2.24
6.93
5.71
3.00


CI
















TABLE 6.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96


hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72


















Non-

Non-

Non-




Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered




Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
1.63
7.80
1.76
7.41
1.78
7.08



Stdev
5.59
18.1
5.80
17.7
6.02
17.3



p (t-test)

0.017

0.031

0.049



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
54
77
50
81
45
86







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
1.72
7.89
1.75
7.79
1.78
7.69



Stdev
5.60
18.3
5.65
18.2
5.70
18.1



p (t-test)

0.016

0.019

0.022



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
56
75
55
76
54
77







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
5.02
5.87
5.26
5.36
3.66
7.68



Stdev
16.3
10.5
16.7
10.2
10.1
19.4



p (t-test)

0.76

0.97

0.13



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
62.1
128



n (Patient)
88
42
84
46
77
53













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.67
0.55
0.64
0.66
0.53
0.61
0.65
0.55


SE
0.047
0.047
0.055
0.048
0.047
0.053
0.050
0.047
0.052


p Value
8.1E−4
1.8E−4
0.32
0.0033
4.7E−4
0.57
0.023
0.0011
0.38


nCohort Recovered
54
56
88
50
55
84
45
54
77


nCohort Non-
77
75
42
81
76
46
86
77
53


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
0%
 0%
0%
 0%
0%
 0%
0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
75%
77%
74%
74%
76%
72%
71%
75%
70%


Specificity
46%
48%
36%
46%
47%
36%
42%
46%
35%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19


Sensitivity
34%
33%
26%
32%
33%
24%
31%
32%
28%


Specificity
87%
86%
75%
86%
85%
74%
87%
85%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.42
1.34
0.480
1.61
1.38
0.550
1.90
1.42
0.690


p Value
0.86
0.89
0.71
0.81
0.87
0.77
0.75
0.86
0.85


Lower limit of 95%
0.0278
0.0261
0.00937
0.0315
0.0269
0.0107
0.0371
0.0278
0.0135


CI


Upper limit of 95%
72.8
68.4
24.6
82.6
70.5
28.2
97.4
72.8
35.3


CI


OR Quartile 3
2.63
3.18
1.61
2.43
2.89
1.41
1.78
2.63
1.25


p Value
0.011
0.0026
0.25
0.019
0.0055
0.39
0.13
0.011
0.56


Lower limit of 95%
1.25
1.50
0.714
1.15
1.37
0.645
0.840
1.25
0.590


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.54
6.74
3.63
5.13
6.11
3.08
3.79
5.54
2.64


CI


OR Quartile 4
3.42
3.00
1.06
2.90
2.88
0.886
2.97
2.76
1.29


p Value
0.0090
0.015
0.88
0.024
0.020
0.78
0.028
0.025
0.53


Lower limit of 95%
1.36
1.23
0.459
1.15
1.18
0.385
1.12
1.14
0.583


CI


Upper limit of 95%
8.62
7.30
2.47
7.32
7.01
2.04
7.87
6.73
2.87


CI
















TABLE 6.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
3.53
7.96
3.62
7.66
3.62
7.66



Stdev
9.97
19.7
10.1
19.3
10.1
19.3



p (t-test)

0.091

0.12

0.12



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
62.1
128
62.1
128
62.1
128



n (Patient)
80
51
78
53
78
53







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
1.96
8.71
1.96
8.71
1.96
8.71



Stdev
5.60
19.6
5.60
19.6
5.60
19.6



p (t-test)

0.0078

0.0078

0.0078



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
67
64
67
64
67
64







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
3.59
8.74
3.68
8.35
3.72
8.17



Stdev
9.66
21.3
9.76
20.9
9.81
20.7



p (t-test)

0.060

0.084

0.099



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
62.1
128
62.1
128
62.1
128



n (Patient)
87
43
85
45
84
46













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.56
0.65
0.57
0.55
0.65
0.56
0.55
0.65
0.55


SE
0.052
0.048
0.054
0.052
0.048
0.054
0.052
0.048
0.053


p Value
0.24
0.0018
0.18
0.33
0.0018
0.27
0.33
0.0018
0.37


nCohort Recovered
80
67
87
78
67
85
78
67
84


nCohort Non-
51
64
43
53
64
45
53
64
46


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
71%
77%
74%
70%
77%
73%
70%
77%
72%


Specificity
36%
43%
37%
36%
43%
36%
36%
43%
36%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19


Sensitivity
29%
33%
28%
28%
33%
27%
28%
33%
26%


Specificity
78%
82%
76%
77%
82%
75%
77%
82%
75%


OR Quartile 2
0.640
0.956
0.497
0.682
0.956
0.532
0.682
0.956
0.550


p Value
0.82
0.98
0.73
0.85
0.98
0.75
0.85
0.98
0.77


Lower limit of 95%
0.0125
0.0187
0.00970
0.0133
0.0187
0.0104
0.0133
0.0187
0.0107


CI


Upper limit of 95%
32.7
48.9
25.5
34.9
48.9
27.3
34.9
48.9
28.2


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.36
2.49
1.69
1.30
2.49
1.58
1.30
2.49
1.41


p Value
0.42
0.018
0.20
0.50
0.018
0.26
0.50
0.018
0.39


Lower limit of 95%
0.641
1.17
0.752
0.614
1.17
0.713
0.614
1.17
0.645


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.90
5.30
3.81
2.73
5.30
3.50
2.73
5.30
3.08


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.44
2.24
1.22
1.32
2.24
1.11
1.32
2.24
1.06


p Value
0.38
0.052
0.64
0.50
0.052
0.81
0.50
0.052
0.89


Lower limit of 95%
0.646
0.992
0.532
0.593
0.992
0.486
0.593
0.992
0.465


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.19
5.05
2.78
2.92
5.05
2.53
2.92
5.05
2.41


CI
















TABLE 6.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
196
243
183
243
168
245



Average
226
266
224
265
203
267



Stdev
114
136
122
135
107
135



p (t-test)

0.17

0.19

0.050



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83



Max
551
667
551
667
551
667



n (Patient)
25
126
21
130
19
132







sCr only















Median
216
228
220
227
211
229



Average
262
259
266
258
259
259



Stdev
134
134
135
134
133
134



p (t-test)

0.90

0.76

0.99



Min
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83



Max
562
667
562
667
562
667



n (Patient)
29
121
28
122
26
124







UO only















Median
219
253
211
254
208
253



Average
249
272
244
277
245
272



Stdev
131
136
128
138
130
136



p (t-test)

0.31

0.13

0.21



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
64.1
1.83



Max
667
605
667
647
667
647



n (Patient)
91
59
84
66
77
73













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.60
0.51
0.56
0.61
0.49
0.58
0.66
0.51
0.58


SE
0.059
0.060
0.048
0.063
0.060
0.047
0.061
0.062
0.047


p Value
0.11
0.92
0.24
0.081
0.90
0.086
0.0075
0.82
0.088


nCohort Recovered
25
29
91
21
28
84
19
26
77


nCohort Non-
126
121
59
130
122
66
132
124
73


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
76%
74%
78%
76%
74%
79%
77%
74%
79%


Specificity
32%
24%
27%
33%
21%
29%
37%
23%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
53%
51%
56%
53%
51%
58%
54%
52%
56%


Specificity
64%
55%
54%
67%
54%
56%
74%
58%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
27%
26%
32%
26%
25%
33%
27%
26%
32%


Specificity
84%
76%
79%
81%
75%
81%
89%
77%
81%


OR Quartile 2
1.51
0.924
1.34
1.60
0.767
1.49
1.90
0.862
1.65


p Value
0.39
0.87
0.46
0.36
0.60
0.31
0.22
0.77
0.19


Lower limit of 95%
0.591
0.360
0.621
0.592
0.285
0.697
0.689
0.318
0.779


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.84
2.37
2.89
4.31
2.06
3.17
5.25
2.34
3.48


CI


OR Quartile 3
2.02
1.29
1.48
2.26
1.19
1.72
3.26
1.45
1.62


p Value
0.12
0.54
0.24
0.099
0.68
0.10
0.032
0.39
0.14


Lower limit of 95%
0.830
0.573
0.766
0.857
0.523
0.899
1.11
0.619
0.850


CI


Upper limit of 95%
4.91
2.92
2.86
5.97
2.72
3.31
9.57
3.42
3.09


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.94
1.08
1.80
1.51
1.02
2.12
3.19
1.16
1.90


p Value
0.25
0.87
0.12
0.49
0.96
0.048
0.13
0.77
0.093


Lower limit of 95%
0.621
0.421
0.855
0.473
0.396
1.01
0.701
0.428
0.898


CI


Upper limit of 95%
6.06
2.78
3.79
4.79
2.64
4.49
14.5
3.14
4.02


CI
















TABLE 6.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
186
249
180
249
170
250



Average
234
268
230
268
214
271



Stdev
124
136
124
135
117
135



p (t-test)

0.17

0.13

0.032



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83



Max
551
667
551
667
551
667



n (Patient)
40
111
36
115
32
119







sCr only















Median
200
245
203
243
196
245



Average
249
264
251
262
243
265



Stdev
126
137
127
137
124
137



p (t-test)

0.54

0.65

0.36



Min
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83



Max
562
667
562
667
562
667



n (Patient)
44
107
43
108
40
111







UO only















Median
217
256
213
255
209
255



Average
250
275
249
274
249
271



Stdev
130
139
132
136
133
134



p (t-test)

0.28

0.27

0.32



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
64.1
1.83



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
100
50
93
57
85
65













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.60
0.55
0.56
0.61
0.54
0.57
0.66
0.57
0.57


SE
0.050
0.051
0.050
0.051
0.051
0.049
0.051
0.052
0.047


p Value
0.047
0.33
0.21
0.029
0.44
0.18
0.0017
0.18
0.12


nCohort Recovered
40
44
100
36
43
93
32
40
85


nCohort Non-
111
107
50
115
108
57
119
111
65


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
78%
77%
78%
78%
76%
77%
79%
77%
78%


Specificity
35%
30%
27%
36%
28%
27%
41%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
56%
54%
58%
56%
54%
58%
56%
55%
57%


Specificity
65%
59%
54%
67%
58%
55%
72%
62%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
25%
25%
34%
25%
25%
33%
27%
26%
32%


Specificity
75%
75%
79%
75%
74%
80%
81%
78%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.95
1.38
1.31
2.03
1.22
1.24
2.57
1.40
1.43


p Value
0.098
0.43
0.51
0.086
0.62
0.58
0.026
0.41
0.35


Lower limit of 95%
0.885
0.626
0.588
0.904
0.549
0.576
1.12
0.626
0.672


CI


Upper limit of 95%
4.31
3.02
2.92
4.58
2.71
2.69
5.91
3.14
3.05


CI


OR Quartile 3
2.35
1.71
1.62
2.51
1.61
1.67
3.29
2.03
1.63


p Value
0.026
0.14
0.17
0.022
0.19
0.13
0.0061
0.061
0.14


Lower limit of 95%
1.11
0.840
0.817
1.15
0.789
0.858
1.41
0.969
0.852


CI


Upper limit of 95%
4.97
3.48
3.22
5.50
3.29
3.25
7.72
4.27
3.13


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.01
1.01
1.94
1.01
0.970
1.95
1.59
1.22
1.91


p Value
0.98
0.98
0.087
0.98
0.94
0.080
0.35
0.65
0.088


Lower limit of 95%
0.440
0.450
0.908
0.426
0.431
0.923
0.601
0.518
0.908


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.33
2.28
4.13
2.40
2.18
4.11
4.23
2.86
4.02


CI
















TABLE 6.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
196
252
192
253
180
253



Average
244
267
236
269
228
271



Stdev
134
133
133
133
131
133



p (t-test)

0.31

0.16

0.079



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83



Max
667
647
667
647
667
647



n (Patient)
50
101
46
105
40
111







sCr only















Median
204
245
204
245
203
247



Average
255
262
254
262
250
264



Stdev
134
133
134
133
132
135



p (t-test)

0.78

0.74

0.56



Min
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83



Max
667
647
667
647
667
647



n (Patient)
54
97
52
99
49
102







UO only















Median
225
237
222
249
214
256



Average
253
268
252
269
247
274



Stdev
132
137
132
136
135
131



p (t-test)

0.53

0.45

0.22



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
98
52
94
56
86
64













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.58
0.54
0.54
0.61
0.54
0.54
0.63
0.55
0.58


SE
0.048
0.049
0.050
0.048
0.049
0.049
0.049
0.049
0.047


p Value
0.084
0.43
0.47
0.025
0.40
0.39
0.0061
0.30
0.091


nCohort Recovered
50
54
98
46
52
94
40
49
86


nCohort Non-
101
97
52
105
99
56
111
102
64


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
79%
77%
77%
79%
77%
77%
79%
76%
80%


Specificity
34%
30%
27%
35%
29%
27%
38%
29%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
55%
54%
52%
56%
54%
54%
57%
54%
56%


Specificity
60%
56%
51%
63%
56%
52%
68%
57%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
25%
25%
33%
26%
25%
32%
27%
26%
33%


Specificity
74%
74%
79%
76%
75%
79%
80%
78%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.96
1.44
1.20
2.01
1.34
1.20
2.30
1.30
1.61


p Value
0.081
0.35
0.64
0.074
0.45
0.65
0.039
0.50
0.22


Lower limit of 95%
0.920
0.676
0.549
0.934
0.627
0.554
1.04
0.602
0.747


CI


Upper limit of 95%
4.18
3.05
2.64
4.33
2.86
2.59
5.05
2.81
3.46


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.87
1.44
1.12
2.19
1.45
1.26
2.73
1.56
1.55


p Value
0.076
0.28
0.73
0.031
0.28
0.50
0.0098
0.20
0.19


Lower limit of 95%
0.938
0.740
0.574
1.07
0.740
0.647
1.27
0.785
0.808


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.72
2.82
2.20
4.46
2.85
2.44
5.83
3.10
2.97


CI


OR Quartile 4
0.936
0.939
1.78
1.10
1.01
1.75
1.48
1.24
1.98


p Value
0.87
0.87
0.13
0.81
0.97
0.14
0.38
0.59
0.072


Lower limit of 95%
0.431
0.438
0.838
0.492
0.467
0.830
0.614
0.557
0.942


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.04
2.02
3.79
2.47
2.20
3.70
3.57
2.77
4.17


CI
















TABLE 6.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
196
252
194
254
183
254



Average
245
268
233
274
228
273



Stdev
135
132
128
135
130
133



p (t-test)

0.30

0.071

0.052



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83



Max
667
647
667
647
667
647



n (Patient)
58
93
53
98
47
104







sCr only















Median
203
249
203
251
203
251



Average
249
266
247
267
247
267



Stdev
132
135
131
135
131
135



p (t-test)

0.46

0.35

0.37



Min
84.8
1.83
84.8
1.83
84.8
1.83



Max
667
647
667
647
667
647



n (Patient)
60
91
59
92
57
94







UO only















Median
225
237
217
251
211
256



Average
256
262
250
271
246
275



Stdev
135
131
132
135
135
130



p (t-test)

0.78

0.34

0.19



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
96
54
92
58
86
64













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.58
0.56
0.53
0.62
0.57
0.56
0.64
0.57
0.59


SE
0.047
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.048
0.047


p Value
0.076
0.21
0.61
0.010
0.14
0.24
0.0035
0.15
0.068


nCohort Recovered
58
60
96
53
59
92
47
57
86


nCohort Non-
93
91
54
98
92
58
104
94
64


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
81%
79%
76%
81%
79%
78%
81%
79%
80%


Specificity
34%
32%
26%
36%
32%
27%
38%
32%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
56%
55%
52%
57%
55%
55%
58%
55%
58%


Specificity
59%
57%
51%
62%
58%
53%
66%
58%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
25%
25%
31%
27%
26%
33%
28%
27%
33%


Specificity
74%
75%
78%
77%
76%
79%
81%
77%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.19
1.76
1.11
2.32
1.82
1.29
2.61
1.71
1.61


p Value
0.039
0.14
0.79
0.028
0.11
0.51
0.014
0.16
0.22


Lower limit of 95%
1.04
0.836
0.513
1.10
0.868
0.598
1.21
0.810
0.747


CI


Upper limit of 95%
4.63
3.69
2.40
4.93
3.84
2.79
5.60
3.60
3.46


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.80
1.59
1.12
2.20
1.69
1.40
2.64
1.70
1.73


p Value
0.084
0.16
0.73
0.024
0.12
0.32
0.0080
0.12
0.100


Lower limit of 95%
0.925
0.827
0.576
1.11
0.874
0.725
1.29
0.876
0.900


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.49
3.08
2.19
4.36
3.27
2.71
5.42
3.31
3.33


CI


OR Quartile 4
0.942
1.01
1.64
1.23
1.13
1.87
1.63
1.23
1.98


p Value
0.88
0.97
0.20
0.60
0.74
0.099
0.25
0.60
0.072


Lower limit of 95%
0.443
0.479
0.774
0.563
0.531
0.888
0.702
0.568
0.942


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.00
2.15
3.48
2.70
2.42
3.94
3.80
2.65
4.17


CI
















TABLE 6.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
219
247
217
249
217
249



Average
257
262
253
266
253
266



Stdev
136
132
132
136
132
136



p (t-test)

0.83

0.56

0.56



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
81
70
80
71
80
71







sCr only















Median
206
253
203
254
203
254



Average
254
263
251
266
251
266



Stdev
138
130
139
129
139
129



p (t-test)

0.67

0.49

0.49



Min
84.8
1.83
84.8
1.83
84.8
1.83



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
67
84
65
86
65
86







UO only















Median
220
249
219
253
219
253



Average
255
264
252
269
252
268



Stdev
134
132
132
136
133
134



p (t-test)

0.68

0.43

0.46



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
95
55
93
57
91
59













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.52
0.55
0.54
0.54
0.57
0.55
0.54
0.57
0.55


SE
0.047
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.047
0.048


p Value
0.60
0.25
0.46
0.44
0.13
0.29
0.44
0.13
0.28


nCohort Recovered
81
67
95
80
65
93
80
65
91


nCohort Non-
70
84
55
71
86
57
71
86
59


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
77%
79%
76%
77%
79%
77%
77%
79%
78%


Specificity
27%
30%
26%
28%
31%
27%
28%
31%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
54%
56%
55%
55%
57%
56%
55%
57%
56%


Specificity
53%
57%
53%
54%
58%
54%
54%
58%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
26%
26%
33%
27%
27%
33%
27%
27%
32%


Specificity
75%
76%
79%
76%
77%
80%
76%
77%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.26
1.56
1.15
1.30
1.68
1.24
1.30
1.68
1.34


p Value
0.54
0.24
0.72
0.48
0.17
0.58
0.48
0.17
0.46


Lower limit of 95%
0.599
0.746
0.533
0.621
0.801
0.576
0.621
0.801
0.621


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.64
3.27
2.50
2.74
3.52
2.69
2.74
3.52
2.89


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.34
1.66
1.33
1.42
1.86
1.49
1.42
1.86
1.48


p Value
0.37
0.12
0.40
0.29
0.061
0.24
0.29
0.061
0.24


Lower limit of 95%
0.707
0.871
0.685
0.746
0.971
0.767
0.746
0.971
0.766


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.55
3.18
2.60
2.69
3.58
2.89
2.69
3.58
2.86


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.06
1.13
1.82
1.17
1.22
1.95
1.17
1.22
1.80


p Value
0.89
0.75
0.12
0.67
0.61
0.080
0.67
0.61
0.12


Lower limit of 95%
0.506
0.538
0.863
0.562
0.575
0.923
0.562
0.575
0.855


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.20
2.38
3.86
2.45
2.57
4.11
2.45
2.57
3.79


CI









Example 7. Use of Angiopoietin-Related Protein 6 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Angiopoietin-related protein 6 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 7.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24


hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.48
6.76
2.48
6.76
2.59
6.61



Stdev
6.53
17.4
6.53
17.4
6.65
17.2



p (t-test)

0.11

0.11

0.14



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
46
85
46
85
44
87







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.11
7.56
2.11
7.56
2.19
7.37



Stdev
6.08
18.2
6.08
18.2
6.18
18.0



p (t-test)

0.036

0.036

0.048



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
54
76
54
76
52
78







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
5.67
4.35
5.59
4.68
5.65
4.65



Stdev
16.4
8.97
16.6
9.67
16.9
9.50



p (t-test)

0.65

0.74

0.71



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
128
34.4



n (Patient)
93
37
88
42
84
46













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.61
0.66
0.44
0.61
0.66
0.47
0.59
0.64
0.47


SE
0.050
0.047
0.057
0.050
0.047
0.055
0.051
0.048
0.053


p Value
0.022
5.1E−4
0.30
0.022
5.1E−4
0.58
0.066
0.0027
0.63


nCohort Recovered
46
54
93
46
54
88
44
52
84


nCohort Non-
85
76
37
85
76
42
87
78
46


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
73%
78%
57%
73%
78%
62%
71%
76%
63%


Specificity
46%
48%
29%
46%
48%
31%
43%
46%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19


Sensitivity
28%
32%
22%
28%
32%
21%
28%
31%
22%


Specificity
80%
83%
73%
80%
83%
73%
80%
83%
73%


OR Quartile 2
1.84
1.40
0.401
1.84
1.40
0.480
1.97
1.50
0.550


p Value
0.76
0.87
0.65
0.76
0.87
0.71
0.74
0.84
0.77


Lower limit of 95%
0.0359
0.0274
0.00781
0.0359
0.0274
0.00937
0.0384
0.0292
0.0107


CI


Upper limit of 95%
94.2
71.8
20.6
94.2
71.8
24.6
101
76.5
28.2


CI


OR Quartile 3
2.26
3.22
0.537
2.26
3.22
0.719
1.88
2.66
0.765


p Value
0.033
0.0025
0.12
0.033
0.0025
0.40
0.10
0.011
0.49


Lower limit of 95%
1.07
1.51
0.244
1.07
1.51
0.333
0.885
1.26
0.359


CI


Upper limit of 95%
4.80
6.88
1.18
4.80
6.88
1.55
4.01
5.64
1.63


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.62
2.31
0.750
1.62
2.31
0.727
1.48
2.12
0.737


p Value
0.28
0.058
0.53
0.28
0.058
0.47
0.38
0.088
0.48


Lower limit of 95%
0.679
0.973
0.303
0.679
0.973
0.304
0.620
0.895
0.315


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.85
5.47
1.86
3.85
5.47
1.74
3.54
5.04
1.72


CI
















TABLE 7.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48


hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.28
7.55
2.28
7.55
2.36
7.35



Stdev
6.06
18.4
6.06
18.4
6.16
18.2



p (t-test)

0.040

0.040

0.054



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
57
74
57
74
55
76







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.06
8.21
2.06
8.21
2.13
7.98



Stdev
5.80
19.1
5.80
19.1
5.89
18.9



p (t-test)

0.016

0.016

0.022



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
63
68
63
68
61
70







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
5.07
5.88
5.17
5.61
5.32
5.24



Stdev
15.9
10.9
16.1
10.7
16.6
10.2



p (t-test)

0.78

0.88

0.98



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
128
34.4



n (Patient)
94
36
92
38
86
44













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.61
0.65
0.51
0.61
0.65
0.52
0.59
0.63
0.50


SE
0.049
0.048
0.057
0.049
0.048
0.056
0.050
0.048
0.054


p Value
0.026
0.0020
0.81
0.026
0.0020
0.70
0.072
0.0085
1.00


nCohort Recovered
57
63
94
57
63
92
55
61
86


nCohort Non-
74
68
36
74
68
38
76
70
44


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
73%
76%
67%
73%
76%
68%
71%
74%
66%


Specificity
42%
44%
33%
42%
44%
34%
40%
43%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19


Sensitivity
30%
32%
25%
30%
32%
24%
29%
31%
23%


Specificity
81%
83%
74%
81%
83%
74%
80%
82%
73%


OR Quartile 2
1.30
1.08
0.386
1.30
1.08
0.416
1.38
1.15
0.514


p Value
0.90
0.97
0.64
0.90
0.97
0.66
0.87
0.95
0.74


Lower limit of 95%
0.0253
0.0211
0.00752
0.0253
0.0211
0.00811
0.0269
0.0224
0.0100


CI


Upper limit of 95%
66.3
55.2
19.8
66.3
55.2
21.4
70.5
58.6
26.4


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.96
2.60
0.984
1.96
2.60
1.10
1.64
2.15
0.933


p Value
0.072
0.012
0.97
0.072
0.012
0.82
0.19
0.043
0.86


Lower limit of 95%
0.942
1.23
0.435
0.942
1.23
0.490
0.786
1.03
0.432


CI


Upper limit of 95%
4.09
5.50
2.22
4.09
5.50
2.47
3.40
4.49
2.01


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.77
2.26
0.972
1.77
2.26
0.879
1.63
2.08
0.806


p Value
0.18
0.053
0.95
0.18
0.053
0.77
0.25
0.081
0.62


Lower limit of 95%
0.775
0.990
0.401
0.775
0.990
0.364
0.713
0.913
0.344


CI


Upper limit of 95%
4.04
5.16
2.36
4.04
5.16
2.12
3.72
4.75
1.89


CI
















TABLE 7.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72


hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.05
8.31
2.05
8.31
2.12
8.07



Stdev
5.76
19.2
5.76
19.2
5.84
19.0



p (t-test)

0.014

0.014

0.019



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
64
67
64
67
62
69







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
1.97
8.59
1.97
8.59
2.00
8.46



Stdev
5.68
19.5
5.68
19.5
5.72
19.4



p (t-test)

0.0090

0.0090

0.011



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
66
65
66
65
65
66







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
4.70
6.85
4.70
6.85
5.02
5.87



Stdev
15.8
11.1
15.8
11.1
16.3
10.5



p (t-test)

0.46

0.46

0.76



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
128
34.4



n (Patient)
94
36
94
36
88
42













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.62
0.65
0.58
0.62
0.65
0.58
0.60
0.64
0.53


SE
0.049
0.048
0.057
0.049
0.048
0.057
0.049
0.048
0.055


p Value
0.014
0.0024
0.15
0.014
0.0024
0.15
0.044
0.0050
0.58


nCohort Recovered
64
66
94
64
66
94
62
65
88


nCohort Non-
67
65
36
67
65
36
69
66
42


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
73%
75%
75%
73%
75%
75%
71%
74%
69%


Specificity
41%
42%
36%
41%
42%
36%
39%
42%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19


Sensitivity
33%
34%
31%
33%
34%
31%
32%
33%
26%


Specificity
83%
83%
77%
83%
83%
77%
82%
83%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.05
0.985
0.386
1.05
0.985
0.386
1.11
1.02
0.480


p Value
0.98
0.99
0.64
0.98
0.99
0.64
0.96
0.99
0.71


Lower limit of 95%
0.0205
0.0193
0.00752
0.0205
0.0193
0.00752
0.0217
0.0198
0.00937


CI


Upper limit of 95%
53.5
50.4
19.8
53.5
50.4
19.8
56.9
51.9
24.6


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.86
2.26
1.70
1.86
2.26
1.70
1.55
2.05
1.15


p Value
0.097
0.033
0.23
0.097
0.033
0.23
0.24
0.058
0.72


Lower limit of 95%
0.893
1.07
0.717
0.893
1.07
0.717
0.746
0.977
0.524


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.89
4.76
4.03
3.89
4.76
4.03
3.21
4.29
2.54


CI


OR Quartile 4
2.36
2.56
1.44
2.36
2.56
1.44
2.17
2.45
1.06


p Value
0.042
0.026
0.40
0.042
0.026
0.40
0.066
0.033
0.88


Lower limit of 95%
1.03
1.12
0.612
1.03
1.12
0.612
0.951
1.07
0.459


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.38
5.85
3.39
5.38
5.85
3.39
4.95
5.61
2.47


CI
















TABLE 7.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96


hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.01
8.76
2.04
8.62
2.10
8.36



Stdev
5.61
19.8
5.65
19.6
5.73
19.4



p (t-test)

0.0078

0.0095

0.014



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
68
63
67
64
65
66







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
1.96
8.92
1.96
8.92
1.99
8.78



Stdev
5.58
19.9
5.58
19.9
5.62
19.7



p (t-test)

0.0060

0.0060

0.0074



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
69
62
69
62
68
63







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
4.91
6.17
4.97
6.01
5.14
5.60



Stdev
16.2
10.7
16.2
10.6
16.5
10.4



p (t-test)

0.65

0.71

0.86



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
128
34.4



n (Patient)
90
40
89
41
86
44













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.61
0.64
0.56
0.61
0.64
0.55
0.59
0.63
0.52


SE
0.049
0.049
0.055
0.049
0.049
0.055
0.050
0.049
0.054


p Value
0.026
0.0049
0.32
0.026
0.0049
0.32
0.071
0.0097
0.74


nCohort Recovered
68
69
90
67
69
89
65
68
86


nCohort Non-
63
62
40
64
62
41
66
63
44


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
71%
74%
72%
72%
74%
73%
70%
73%
68%


Specificity
38%
41%
36%
39%
41%
36%
37%
40%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19


Sensitivity
33%
34%
28%
33%
34%
27%
32%
33%
25%


Specificity
82%
83%
76%
82%
83%
75%
82%
82%
74%


OR Quartile 2
0.927
0.899
0.448
0.956
0.899
0.464
1.02
0.927
0.514


p Value
0.97
0.96
0.69
0.98
0.96
0.70
0.99
0.97
0.74


Lower limit of 95%
0.0181
0.0176
0.00873
0.0187
0.0176
0.00904
0.0198
0.0181
0.0100


CI


Upper limit of 95%
47.4
46.0
23.0
48.9
46.0
23.8
51.9
47.4
26.4


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.55
1.96
1.45
1.62
1.96
1.53
1.35
1.78
1.09


p Value
0.24
0.076
0.37
0.20
0.076
0.31
0.42
0.13
0.83


Lower limit of 95%
0.743
0.932
0.642
0.778
0.932
0.678
0.650
0.851
0.502


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.22
4.13
3.29
3.38
4.13
3.46
2.79
3.73
2.37


CI


OR Quartile 4
2.33
2.43
1.17
2.24
2.43
1.12
2.06
2.33
0.970


p Value
0.041
0.032
0.71
0.052
0.032
0.80
0.081
0.041
0.94


Lower limit of 95%
1.03
1.08
0.504
0.992
1.08
0.481
0.914
1.03
0.420


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.27
5.50
2.73
5.05
5.50
2.59
4.65
5.27
2.24


CI
















TABLE 7.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
3.32
9.22
3.36
9.01
3.39
8.81



Stdev
9.57
21.2
9.62
21.0
9.67
20.8



p (t-test)

0.029

0.036

0.044



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
62.1
128
62.1
128
62.1
128



n (Patient)
88
43
87
44
86
45







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
1.96
10.1
1.96
10.1
1.96
10.1



Stdev
5.33
21.3
5.33
21.3
5.33
21.3



p (t-test)

0.0015

0.0015

0.0015



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
78
53
78
53
78
53







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
3.47
9.40
3.51
9.17
3.55
8.95



Stdev
9.52
21.9
9.57
21.7
9.61
21.5



p (t-test)

0.033

0.041

0.050



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
62.1
128
62.1
128
62.1
128



n (Patient)
90
40
89
41
88
42













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
0.64
0.57
0.59
0.64
0.57
0.57
0.64
0.56


SE
0.054
0.050
0.055
0.054
0.050
0.055
0.053
0.050
0.055


p Value
0.11
0.0039
0.18
0.11
0.0039
0.18
0.17
0.0039
0.27


nCohort Recovered
88
78
90
87
78
89
86
78
88


nCohort Non-
43
53
40
44
53
41
45
53
42


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
72%
75%
72%
73%
75%
73%
71%
75%
71%


Specificity
36%
40%
36%
37%
40%
36%
36%
40%
35%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19
3.17
3.17
3.19


Sensitivity
33%
34%
30%
32%
34%
29%
31%
34%
29%


Specificity
78%
81%
77%
78%
81%
76%
78%
81%
76%


OR Quartile 2
0.492
0.682
0.448
0.509
0.682
0.464
0.526
0.682
0.480


p Value
0.72
0.85
0.69
0.74
0.85
0.70
0.75
0.85
0.71


Lower limit of 95%
0.00959
0.0133
0.00873
0.00992
0.0133
0.00904
0.0103
0.0133
0.00937


CI


Upper limit of 95%
25.2
34.9
23.0
26.1
34.9
23.8
26.9
34.9
24.6


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.48
2.03
1.45
1.55
2.03
1.53
1.39
2.03
1.36


p Value
0.34
0.073
0.37
0.28
0.073
0.31
0.41
0.073
0.45


Lower limit of 95%
0.666
0.937
0.642
0.701
0.937
0.678
0.636
0.937
0.611


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.27
4.40
3.29
3.43
4.40
3.46
3.03
4.40
3.03


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.75
2.16
1.41
1.67
2.16
1.34
1.59
2.16
1.28


p Value
0.18
0.059
0.42
0.22
0.059
0.49
0.26
0.059
0.56


Lower limit of 95%
0.776
0.970
0.611
0.741
0.970
0.583
0.708
0.970
0.557


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.96
4.81
3.24
3.77
4.81
3.08
3.58
4.81
2.93


CI
















TABLE 7.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
213
245
209
245
208
245



Average
256
261
256
261
251
263



Stdev
128
136
130
136
126
137



p (t-test)

0.83

0.83

0.63



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83



Max
647
667
647
667
647
667



n (Patient)
49
102
48
103
46
105







sCr only















Median
225
227
225
227
225
228



Average
272
253
272
253
267
255



Stdev
133
135
133
135
129
137



p (t-test)

0.41

0.41

0.62



Min
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83



Max
647
667
647
667
647
667



n (Patient)
52
98
52
98
51
99







UO only















Median
220
254
216
255
219
250



Average
255
266
251
272
254
264



Stdev
132
136
131
137
134
133



p (t-test)

0.64

0.35

0.66



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
597
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
104
46
97
53
91
59













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.52
0.47
0.53
0.52
0.47
0.56
0.53
0.48
0.53


SE
0.050
0.049
0.052
0.050
0.049
0.050
0.051
0.050
0.049


p Value
0.72
0.48
0.52
0.69
0.48
0.26
0.53
0.66
0.52


nCohort Recovered
49
52
104
48
52
97
46
51
91


nCohort Non-
102
98
46
103
98
53
105
99
59


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
75%
72%
76%
75%
72%
77%
75%
73%
76%


Specificity
24%
21%
26%
25%
21%
27%
26%
22%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
53%
50%
57%
53%
50%
58%
53%
51%
54%


Specificity
55%
50%
53%
56%
50%
55%
57%
51%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
25%
24%
30%
25%
24%
32%
26%
25%
29%


Specificity
76%
73%
77%
75%
73%
78%
76%
75%
77%


OR Quartile 2
0.948
0.706
1.12
0.987
0.706
1.25
1.07
0.733
1.15


p Value
0.89
0.39
0.79
0.97
0.39
0.58
0.86
0.45
0.72


Lower limit of 95%
0.431
0.317
0.498
0.448
0.317
0.571
0.485
0.329
0.539


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.09
1.57
2.50
2.18
1.57
2.74
2.37
1.63
2.46


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.38
1.00
1.46
1.47
1.00
1.70
1.49
1.06
1.32


p Value
0.36
1.0
0.29
0.27
1.0
0.13
0.27
0.86
0.40


Lower limit of 95%
0.697
0.510
0.726
0.739
0.510
0.862
0.739
0.540
0.686


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.74
1.96
2.93
2.94
1.96
3.34
2.99
2.09
2.55


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.05
0.880
1.46
1.01
0.880
1.71
1.10
0.988
1.35


p Value
0.89
0.74
0.34
0.97
0.74
0.16
0.81
0.97
0.43


Lower limit of 95%
0.479
0.409
0.671
0.460
0.409
0.805
0.492
0.455
0.640


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.32
1.89
3.17
2.23
1.89
3.63
2.47
2.15
2.84


CI
















TABLE 7.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
214
245
214
245
214
245



Average
257
261
257
261
254
263



Stdev
135
133
135
133
133
135



p (t-test)

0.86

0.86

0.66



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
64
87
64
87
62
89







sCr only















Median
225
237
225
237
220
245



Average
263
256
263
256
260
259



Stdev
136
132
136
132
133
134



p (t-test)

0.73

0.73

0.99



Min
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
67
84
67
84
66
85







UO only















Median
219
255
219
255
219
253



Average
253
270
253
270
255
265



Stdev
131
140
131
138
135
132



p (t-test)

0.47

0.45

0.66



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
105
45
103
47
95
55













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.53
0.50
0.54
0.53
0.50
0.55
0.54
0.51
0.54


SE
0.047
0.047
0.052
0.047
0.047
0.051
0.048
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.58
0.97
0.40
0.58
0.97
0.34
0.45
0.77
0.46


nCohort Recovered
64
67
105
64
67
103
62
66
95


nCohort Non-
87
84
45
87
84
47
89
85
55


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
77%
76%
76%
77%
76%
77%
78%
76%
76%


Specificity
28%
27%
26%
28%
27%
26%
29%
27%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
53%
51%
58%
53%
51%
57%
53%
52%
55%


Specificity
53%
51%
53%
53%
51%
53%
53%
52%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
25%
25%
33%
25%
25%
34%
26%
26%
31%


Specificity
75%
75%
78%
75%
75%
79%
76%
76%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.31
1.18
1.07
1.31
1.18
1.16
1.41
1.22
1.15


p Value
0.47
0.67
0.87
0.47
0.67
0.71
0.36
0.60
0.72


Lower limit of 95%
0.626
0.562
0.477
0.626
0.562
0.520
0.673
0.583
0.533


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.75
2.46
2.40
2.75
2.46
2.60
2.96
2.55
2.50


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.27
1.08
1.56
1.27
1.08
1.55
1.27
1.14
1.33


p Value
0.47
0.81
0.21
0.47
0.81
0.22
0.47
0.69
0.40


Lower limit of 95%
0.666
0.569
0.773
0.666
0.569
0.771
0.665
0.599
0.685


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.43
2.05
3.16
2.43
2.05
3.10
2.44
2.17
2.60


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.02
0.980
1.78
1.02
0.980
1.90
1.09
1.09
1.58


p Value
0.97
0.96
0.14
0.97
0.96
0.10
0.82
0.82
0.23


Lower limit of 95%
0.482
0.468
0.823
0.482
0.468
0.884
0.516
0.519
0.745


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.14
2.05
3.86
2.14
2.05
4.09
2.31
2.29
3.34


CI
















TABLE 7.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
213
247
211
249
211
249



Average
254
264
254
264
250
267



Stdev
136
132
137
131
133
134



p (t-test)

0.64

0.64

0.44



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
73
78
72
79
70
81







sCr only















Median
214
245
214
245
214
245



Average
255
263
255
263
255
263



Stdev
134
134
134
134
134
134



p (t-test)

0.72

0.72

0.72



Min
84.8
1.83
84.8
1.83
84.8
1.83



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
74
77
74
77
74
77







UO only















Median
225
245
225
228
225
237



Average
256
263
257
260
256
263



Stdev
134
133
135
131
134
133



p (t-test)

0.77

0.90

0.76



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
105
45
103
47
96
54













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.55
0.54
0.53
0.55
0.54
0.52
0.56
0.54
0.52


SE
0.047
0.047
0.052
0.047
0.047
0.051
0.047
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.33
0.41
0.58
0.31
0.41
0.70
0.22
0.41
0.64


nCohort Recovered
73
74
105
72
74
103
70
74
96


nCohort Non-
78
77
45
79
77
47
81
77
54


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
79%
79%
76%
80%
79%
77%
80%
79%
76%


Specificity
30%
30%
26%
31%
30%
26%
31%
30%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
54%
53%
53%
54%
53%
51%
54%
53%
52%


Specificity
53%
53%
51%
54%
53%
50%
54%
53%
51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
27%
27%
33%
27%
27%
32%
27%
27%
31%


Specificity
77%
77%
78%
76%
77%
78%
77%
77%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.67
1.61
1.07
1.73
1.61
1.16
1.86
1.61
1.11


p Value
0.18
0.21
0.87
0.15
0.21
0.71
0.10
0.21
0.79


Lower limit of 95%
0.795
0.768
0.477
0.824
0.768
0.520
0.885
0.768
0.513


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.51
3.39
2.40
3.64
3.39
2.60
3.92
3.39
2.40


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.34
1.27
1.21
1.41
1.27
1.06
1.41
1.27
1.12


p Value
0.37
0.47
0.59
0.29
0.47
0.86
0.29
0.47
0.73


Lower limit of 95%
0.706
0.670
0.601
0.744
0.670
0.534
0.743
0.670
0.576


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.54
2.40
2.44
2.68
2.40
2.12
2.68
2.40
2.19


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.21
1.26
1.78
1.17
1.26
1.63
1.26
1.26
1.64


p Value
0.61
0.54
0.14
0.67
0.54
0.21
0.54
0.54
0.20


Lower limit of 95%
0.580
0.601
0.823
0.560
0.601
0.756
0.599
0.601
0.774


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.54
2.63
3.86
2.45
2.63
3.52
2.64
2.63
3.48


CI
















TABLE 7.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
220
249
216
251
216
251



Average
254
265
254
265
250
268



Stdev
133
134
134
133
131
136



p (t-test)

0.62

0.62

0.42



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
76
75
75
76
73
78







sCr only















Median
225
247
225
247
225
247



Average
257
262
257
262
257
262



Stdev
131
137
131
137
131
137



p (t-test)

0.80

0.80

0.80



Min
84.8
1.83
84.8
1.83
84.8
1.83



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
77
74
77
74
77
74







UO only















Median
225
237
225
237
225
245



Average
257
261
257
261
256
263



Stdev
135
130
135
130
135
132



p (t-test)

0.87

0.87

0.74



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
100
50
100
50
95
55













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.54
0.52
0.52
0.54
0.52
0.52
0.55
0.52
0.53


SE
0.047
0.047
0.050
0.047
0.047
0.050
0.047
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.39
0.63
0.65
0.36
0.63
0.65
0.26
0.63
0.57


nCohort Recovered
76
77
100
75
77
100
73
77
95


nCohort Non-
75
74
50
76
74
50
78
74
55


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
79%
77%
76%
79%
77%
76%
79%
77%
76%


Specificity
29%
27%
26%
29%
27%
26%
30%
27%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
53%
51%
52%
54%
51%
52%
54%
51%
53%


Specificity
53%
51%
51%
53%
51%
51%
53%
51%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
28%
28%
32%
28%
28%
32%
28%
28%
31%


Specificity
78%
78%
78%
77%
78%
78%
78%
78%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.50
1.26
1.11
1.56
1.26
1.11
1.67
1.26
1.15


p Value
0.28
0.54
0.79
0.24
0.54
0.79
0.18
0.54
0.72


Lower limit of 95%
0.715
0.601
0.506
0.741
0.601
0.506
0.795
0.601
0.533


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.16
2.63
2.45
3.27
2.63
2.45
3.51
2.63
2.50


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.27
1.08
1.13
1.34
1.08
1.13
1.34
1.08
1.19


p Value
0.46
0.81
0.73
0.37
0.81
0.73
0.37
0.81
0.61


Lower limit of 95%
0.670
0.572
0.572
0.706
0.572
0.572
0.706
0.572
0.611


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.41
2.05
2.22
2.54
2.05
2.22
2.54
2.05
2.31


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.35
1.40
1.67
1.30
1.40
1.67
1.40
1.40
1.58


p Value
0.43
0.37
0.19
0.48
0.37
0.19
0.37
0.37
0.23


Lower limit of 95%
0.645
0.668
0.781
0.623
0.668
0.781
0.666
0.668
0.745


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.82
2.93
3.57
2.73
2.93
3.57
2.94
2.93
3.34


CI
















TABLE 7.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
225
247
222
249
220
251



Average
255
265
255
265
252
269



Stdev
130
139
131
138
127
142



p (t-test)

0.67

0.67

0.43



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
89
62
88
63
87
64







sCr only















Median
225
247
225
247
225
247



Average
255
264
255
264
255
264



Stdev
129
139
129
139
129
139



p (t-test)

0.68

0.68

0.68



Min
84.8
1.83
84.8
1.83
84.8
1.83



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
79
72
79
72
79
72







UO only















Median
222
247
222
247
219
251



Average
257
261
257
261
254
267



Stdev
135
131
135
131
133
135



p (t-test)

0.85

0.85

0.57



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
98
52
98
52
96
54













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.52
0.53
0.53
0.52
0.53
0.53
0.54
0.53
0.54


SE
0.048
0.047
0.050
0.048
0.047
0.050
0.048
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.66
0.58
0.58
0.62
0.58
0.58
0.45
0.58
0.39


nCohort Recovered
89
79
98
88
79
98
87
79
96


nCohort Non-
62
72
52
63
72
52
64
72
54


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
76%
76%
77%
76%
76%
77%
77%
76%
78%


Specificity
26%
27%
27%
26%
27%
27%
26%
27%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
53%
53%
54%
54%
53%
54%
55%
53%
56%


Specificity
52%
52%
52%
52%
52%
52%
53%
52%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
29%
29%
33%
29%
29%
33%
30%
29%
33%


Specificity
78%
78%
79%
77%
78%
79%
78%
78%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.09
1.17
1.20
1.13
1.17
1.20
1.17
1.17
1.30


p Value
0.82
0.67
0.64
0.75
0.67
0.64
0.67
0.67
0.51


Lower limit of 95%
0.516
0.560
0.549
0.535
0.560
0.549
0.555
0.560
0.594


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.31
2.45
2.64
2.40
2.45
2.64
2.48
2.45
2.85


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.22
1.21
1.27
1.28
1.21
1.27
1.35
1.21
1.42


p Value
0.55
0.57
0.49
0.45
0.57
0.49
0.36
0.57
0.31


Lower limit of 95%
0.636
0.636
0.645
0.671
0.636
0.645
0.709
0.636
0.725


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.33
2.29
2.48
2.46
2.29
2.48
2.59
2.29
2.77


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.41
1.50
1.78
1.36
1.50
1.78
1.51
1.50
1.90


p Value
0.36
0.28
0.13
0.42
0.28
0.13
0.27
0.28
0.094


Lower limit of 95%
0.673
0.717
0.838
0.649
0.717
0.838
0.722
0.717
0.897


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.96
3.14
3.79
2.85
3.14
3.79
3.16
3.14
4.02


CI









Example 8. Use of Angiopoietin-Related Protein 6 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Angiopoietin-related protein 6 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 8.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Average
3.82
8.20
3.65
9.04
3.70
9.53


Stdev
9.53
21.5
9.35
22.4
9.23
23.5


p (t-test)

0.11

0.053

0.043


Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Max
62.1
128
62.1
128
62.1
128


n (Patient)
88
43
92
39
96
35







sCr only













Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Average
3.82
8.40
3.61
9.53
3.74
9.53


Stdev
9.53
21.7
9.31
22.9
9.27
23.5


p (t-test)

0.096

0.037

0.046


Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Max
62.1
128
62.1
128
62.1
128


n (Patient)
88
42
93
37
95
35







UO only













Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Average
5.08
6.65
4.99
7.48
4.99
7.48


Stdev
15.2
11.5
15.0
12.0
15.0
12.0


p (t-test)

0.68

0.53

0.53


Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
128
34.4


n (Patient)
112
18
114
16
114
16












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.56
0.56
0.55
0.57
0.57
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.55


SE
0.054
0.055
0.075
0.056
0.057
0.079
0.058
0.058
0.079


p Value
0.27
0.30
0.52
0.18
0.20
0.51
0.37
0.40
0.51


nCohort Non-
88
88
112
92
93
114
96
95
114


persistent


nCohort Persistent
43
42
18
39
37
16
35
35
16


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
72%
71%
72%
72%
70%
69%
69%
69%
69%


Specificity
36%
35%
34%
36%
34%
33%
34%
34%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19


Sensitivity
28%
29%
28%
31%
32%
31%
29%
29%
31%


Specificity
76%
76%
75%
77%
77%
75%
76%
76%
75%


OR Quartile 2
0.492
0.480
0.164
0.427
0.401
0.144
0.368
0.372
0.144


p Value
0.72
0.71
0.37
0.67
0.65
0.34
0.62
0.62
0.34


Lower limit of 95%
0.00959
0.00937
0.00316
0.00832
0.00781
0.00276
0.00716
0.00724
0.00276


CI


Upper limit of 95%
25.2
24.6
8.55
21.9
20.6
7.51
18.9
19.1
7.51


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.48
1.36
1.34
1.42
1.24
1.10
1.14
1.11
1.10


p Value
0.34
0.45
0.61
0.40
0.61
0.87
0.75
0.81
0.87


Lower limit of 95%
0.666
0.611
0.443
0.629
0.544
0.357
0.499
0.483
0.357


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.27
3.03
4.02
3.22
2.83
3.39
2.62
2.54
3.39


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.24
1.28
1.15
1.50
1.65
1.40
1.27
1.25
1.40


p Value
0.62
0.56
0.80
0.34
0.25
0.57
0.59
0.61
0.57


Lower limit of 95%
0.540
0.557
0.378
0.651
0.709
0.447
0.532
0.524
0.447


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.82
2.93
3.52
3.47
3.82
4.36
3.03
2.99
4.36


CI
















TABLE 8.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Average
2.41
9.45
2.44
10.3
2.63
10.6


Stdev
5.82
21.3
5.87
22.4
5.89
23.4


p (t-test)

0.0064

0.0029

0.0030


Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128


n (Patient)
78
53
84
47
88
43







sCr only













Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Average
2.38
9.82
2.26
10.7
2.49
10.8


Stdev
5.78
21.7
5.66
22.4
5.73
23.1


p (t-test)

0.0044

0.0015

0.0020


Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128


n (Patient)
79
51
83
47
86
44







UO only













Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Average
4.79
7.55
4.70
8.23
4.70
8.23


Stdev
15.1
12.5
15.0
12.9
15.0
12.9


p (t-test)

0.41

0.30

0.30


Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
128
34.4


n (Patient)
106
24
108
22
108
22












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
0.60
0.57
0.60
0.62
0.57
0.57
0.60
0.57


SE
0.051
0.052
0.067
0.052
0.052
0.069
0.054
0.054
0.069


p Value
0.074
0.054
0.30
0.050
0.017
0.29
0.18
0.076
0.29


nCohort Non-
78
79
106
84
83
108
88
86
108


persistent


nCohort Persistent
53
51
24
47
47
22
43
44
22


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
72%
73%
75%
72%
74%
73%
70%
73%
73%


Specificity
37%
37%
35%
37%
37%
34%
35%
36%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19


Sensitivity
32%
33%
29%
34%
36%
32%
30%
32%
32%


Specificity
79%
80%
75%
80%
81%
76%
77%
78%
76%


OR Quartile 2
0.682
0.648
0.230
0.562
0.569
0.207
0.492
0.514
0.207


p Value
0.85
0.83
0.47
0.77
0.78
0.43
0.72
0.74
0.43


Lower limit of 95%
0.0133
0.0127
0.00445
0.0110
0.0111
0.00401
0.00959
0.0100
0.00401


CI


Upper limit of 95%
34.9
33.2
11.9
28.8
29.1
10.7
25.2
26.4
10.7


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.50
1.53
1.61
1.53
1.74
1.39
1.26
1.50
1.39


p Value
0.29
0.27
0.35
0.28
0.17
0.53
0.57
0.32
0.53


Lower limit of 95%
0.706
0.712
0.588
0.703
0.787
0.502
0.573
0.678
0.502


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.19
3.30
4.40
3.33
3.84
3.85
2.75
3.33
3.85


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.83
1.97
1.27
2.03
2.37
1.47
1.47
1.65
1.47


p Value
0.14
0.097
0.64
0.084
0.036
0.45
0.35
0.23
0.45


Lower limit of 95%
0.825
0.885
0.473
0.910
1.06
0.542
0.649
0.729
0.542


CI


Upper limit of 95%
4.06
4.38
3.39
4.55
5.32
4.00
3.34
3.71
4.00


CI
















TABLE 8.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Average
2.29
8.99
2.15
9.83
2.22
10.2


Stdev
5.72
20.5
5.56
21.3
5.50
21.9


p (t-test)

0.0087

0.0028

0.0022


Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128


n (Patient)
73
58
78
53
81
50







sCr only













Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Average
2.20
9.65
2.09
10.4
2.19
10.6


Stdev
5.63
21.1
5.50
21.8
5.47
22.2


p (t-test)

0.0039

0.0014

0.0014


Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128


n (Patient)
76
54
80
50
82
48







UO only













Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Average
4.71
7.33
4.58
8.17
4.58
8.17


Stdev
15.4
11.8
15.2
12.2
15.2
12.2


p (t-test)

0.40

0.27

0.27


Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
128
34.4


n (Patient)
101
29
104
26
104
26












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
0.62
0.57
0.61
0.64
0.59
0.59
0.63
0.59


SE
0.050
0.050
0.062
0.051
0.051
0.065
0.052
0.052
0.065


p Value
0.077
0.019
0.29
0.029
0.0050
0.18
0.071
0.015
0.18


nCohort Non-
73
76
101
78
80
104
81
82
104


persistent


nCohort Persistent
58
54
29
53
50
26
50
48
26


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
71%
74%
72%
72%
76%
73%
70%
75%
73%


Specificity
37%
38%
35%
37%
39%
35%
36%
38%
35%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19


Sensitivity
31%
33%
31%
34%
36%
35%
32%
33%
35%


Specificity
79%
80%
76%
81%
81%
77%
79%
79%
77%


OR Quartile 2
0.796
0.712
0.291
0.682
0.627
0.254
0.620
0.588
0.254


p Value
0.91
0.87
0.54
0.85
0.82
0.50
0.81
0.79
0.50


Lower limit of 95%
0.0156
0.0139
0.00564
0.0133
0.0123
0.00492
0.0121
0.0115
0.00492


CI


Upper limit of 95%
40.7
36.5
15.0
34.9
32.1
13.1
31.7
30.1
13.1


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.42
1.76
1.39
1.50
2.00
1.44
1.30
1.82
1.44


p Value
0.36
0.15
0.48
0.29
0.085
0.46
0.50
0.14
0.46


Lower limit of 95%
0.676
0.821
0.559
0.706
0.910
0.552
0.611
0.827
0.552


CI


Upper limit of 95%
2.96
3.79
3.46
3.19
4.41
3.74
2.77
4.02
3.74


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.74
2.03
1.44
2.16
2.44
1.76
1.77
1.91
1.76


p Value
0.17
0.082
0.43
0.059
0.030
0.23
0.16
0.11
0.23


Lower limit of 95%
0.786
0.914
0.581
0.970
1.09
0.698
0.796
0.856
0.698


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.85
4.52
3.59
4.81
5.45
4.46
3.94
4.27
4.46


CI
















TABLE 8.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.32
8.83
2.17
9.65
2.27
9.79



Stdev
5.76
20.4
5.60
21.1
5.56
21.5



p (t-test)

0.011

0.0036

0.0036



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
72
59
77
54
79
52







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.26
9.31
2.15
10.0
2.24
10.2



Stdev
5.69
20.8
5.56
21.4
5.53
21.9



p (t-test)

0.0062

0.0024

0.0024



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
74
56
78
52
80
50







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
4.91
6.44
4.76
7.08
4.76
7.08



Stdev
15.7
11.3
15.5
11.7
15.5
11.7



p (t-test)

0.61

0.45

0.45



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
128
34.4



n (Patient)
97
33
100
30
100
30













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
0.61
0.53
0.61
0.63
0.55
0.59
0.61
0.55


SE
0.050
0.050
0.059
0.051
0.051
0.061
0.051
0.051
0.061


p Value
0.076
0.034
0.57
0.029
0.010
0.42
0.069
0.029
0.42


nCohort Non-
72
74
97
77
78
100
79
80
100


persistent


nCohort Persistent
59
56
33
54
52
30
52
50
30


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
71%
73%
70%
72%
75%
70%
71%
74%
70%


Specificity
38%
38%
34%
38%
38%
34%
37%
38%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19


Sensitivity
31%
32%
27%
33%
35%
30%
31%
32%
30%


Specificity
79%
80%
75%
81%
81%
76%
78%
79%
76%


OR Quartile 2
0.821
0.758
0.344
0.703
0.669
0.303
0.660
0.627
0.303


p Value
0.92
0.89
0.60
0.86
0.84
0.55
0.84
0.82
0.55


Lower limit of 95%
0.0160
0.0148
0.00668
0.0137
0.0131
0.00590
0.0129
0.0123
0.00590


CI


Upper limit of 95%
42.0
38.8
17.7
36.0
34.2
15.6
33.8
32.1
15.6


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.48
1.66
1.19
1.57
1.88
1.20
1.43
1.71
1.20


p Value
0.30
0.19
0.70
0.24
0.11
0.68
0.35
0.18
0.68


Lower limit of 95%
0.708
0.782
0.505
0.740
0.863
0.497
0.673
0.785
0.497


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.10
3.54
2.78
3.34
4.07
2.91
3.04
3.72
2.91


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.67
1.86
1.14
2.07
2.22
1.36
1.62
1.74
1.36


p Value
0.21
0.13
0.77
0.075
0.051
0.51
0.23
0.17
0.51


Lower limit of 95%
0.754
0.839
0.466
0.930
0.997
0.549
0.731
0.784
0.549


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.69
4.14
2.79
4.59
4.96
3.36
3.60
3.88
3.36


CI
















TABLE 8.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)














24
48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.32
8.83
2.17
9.65
2.27
9.79



Stdev
5.76
20.4
5.60
21.1
5.56
21.5



p (t-test)

0.011

0.0036

0.0036



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
72
59
77
54
79
52







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.29
9.14
2.17
9.83
2.27
9.98



Stdev
5.72
20.7
5.60
21.3
5.56
21.7



p (t-test)

0.0077

0.0031

0.0031



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
73
57
77
53
79
51







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
3.63
9.81
3.56
10.4
3.56
10.4



Stdev
9.47
23.2
9.39
23.8
9.39
23.8



p (t-test)

0.033

0.020

0.020



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
62.1
128
62.1
128
62.1
128



n (Patient)
95
35
97
33
97
33













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
0.60
0.56
0.61
0.62
0.56
0.59
0.60
0.56


SE
0.050
0.050
0.058
0.051
0.051
0.059
0.051
0.051
0.059


p Value
0.076
0.057
0.29
0.029
0.019
0.29
0.069
0.049
0.29


nCohort Non-
72
73
95
77
77
97
79
79
97


persistent


nCohort Persistent
59
57
35
54
53
33
52
51
33


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
71%
72%
71%
72%
74%
70%
71%
73%
70%


Specificity
38%
37%
35%
38%
38%
34%
37%
37%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19


Sensitivity
31%
32%
29%
33%
34%
30%
31%
31%
30%


Specificity
79%
79%
76%
81%
81%
76%
78%
78%
76%


OR Quartile 2
0.821
0.782
0.372
0.703
0.690
0.344
0.660
0.648
0.344


p Value
0.92
0.90
0.62
0.86
0.85
0.60
0.84
0.83
0.60


Lower limit of 95%
0.0160
0.0153
0.00724
0.0137
0.0135
0.00668
0.0129
0.0127
0.00668


CI


Upper limit of 95%
42.0
40.0
19.1
36.0
35.3
17.7
33.8
33.2
17.7


CI


OR Quartile 3
1.48
1.50
1.33
1.57
1.68
1.19
1.43
1.53
1.19


p Value
0.30
0.28
0.51
0.24
0.18
0.70
0.35
0.27
0.70


Lower limit of 95%
0.708
0.712
0.571
0.740
0.783
0.505
0.673
0.712
0.505


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.10
3.18
3.10
3.34
3.62
2.78
3.04
3.30
2.78


CI


OR Quartile 4
1.67
1.78
1.25
2.07
2.13
1.40
1.62
1.67
1.40


p Value
0.21
0.15
0.61
0.075
0.065
0.45
0.23
0.21
0.45


Lower limit of 95%
0.754
0.805
0.524
0.930
0.954
0.582
0.731
0.750
0.582


CI


Upper limit of 95%
3.69
3.96
2.99
4.59
4.73
3.36
3.60
3.71
3.36


CI
















TABLE 8.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
225
249
225
249
225
249



Average
256
266
254
272
251
281



Stdev
130
141
128
146
127
150



p (t-test)

0.65

0.44

0.22



Min
33.6
1.83
33.6
1.83
1.83
22.9



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
96
55
104
47
111
40







sCr only















Median
225
247
225
249
223
251



Average
257
262
253
273
250
282



Stdev
130
142
127
148
127
149



p (t-test)

0.84

0.39

0.19



Min
33.6
1.83
33.6
1.83
1.83
22.9



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
94
56
103
47
108
42







UO only















Median
225
245
225
245
225
249



Average
255
281
255
281
254
288



Stdev
132
141
132
141
132
142



p (t-test)

0.43

0.43

0.32



Min
1.83
121
1.83
121
1.83
121



Max
667
597
667
597
667
597



n (Patient)
131
19
131
19
132
18













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.52
0.51
0.54
0.53
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.56
0.56


SE
0.049
0.049
0.072
0.051
0.051
0.072
0.054
0.053
0.074


p Value
0.64
0.83
0.57
0.51
0.43
0.57
0.42
0.30
0.42


nCohort Non-
96
94
131
104
103
131
111
108
132


persistent


nCohort Persistent
55
56
19
47
47
19
40
42
18


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
75%
73%
79%
77%
77%
79%
78%
79%
83%


Specificity
25%
24%
26%
26%
26%
26%
26%
27%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
53%
52%
53%
53%
53%
53%
52%
55%
56%


Specificity
51%
51%
50%
51%
51%
50%
50%
52%
51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
27%
27%
37%
30%
32%
37%
32%
33%
39%


Specificity
76%
76%
76%
77%
78%
76%
77%
78%
77%


OR Quartile 2
0.976
0.885
1.31
1.15
1.16
1.31
1.22
1.35
1.80


p Value
0.95
0.75
0.65
0.74
0.71
0.65
0.65
0.49
0.37


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.455
0.416
0.408
0.513
0.520
0.408
0.518
0.575
0.492


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.09
1.89
4.24
2.57
2.60
4.24
2.86
3.15
6.61


OR Quartile 3
1.16
1.12
1.13
1.18
1.20
1.13
1.13
1.30
1.29


p Value
0.66
0.74
0.81
0.64
0.60
0.81
0.75
0.47
0.62


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.599
0.578
0.430
0.592
0.604
0.430
0.546
0.638
0.479


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.26
2.17
2.96
2.35
2.40
2.96
2.32
2.67
3.47


OR Quartile 4
1.19
1.13
1.88
1.41
1.63
1.88
1.66
1.75
2.07


p Value
0.65
0.75
0.22
0.38
0.21
0.22
0.21
0.16
0.17


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.559
0.530
0.682
0.652
0.756
0.682
0.746
0.798
0.741


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.54
2.40
5.20
3.07
3.52
5.20
3.68
3.84
5.80
















TABLE 8.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
220
253
223
253
225
257



Average
251
271
249
276
248
283



Stdev
129
140
126
145
125
148



p (t-test)

0.36

0.25

0.13



Min
33.6
1.83
33.6
1.83
1.83
22.9



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
88
63
94
57
101
50







sCr only















Median
225
247
225
245
225
245



Average
254
267
253
269
251
274



Stdev
127
143
125
148
124
151



p (t-test)

0.56

0.50

0.32



Min
33.6
1.83
33.6
1.83
1.83
22.9



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
88
62
93
57
99
51







UO only















Median
225
253
225
253
223
257



Average
255
275
255
275
254
280



Stdev
129
152
129
152
129
153



p (t-test)

0.47

0.47

0.37



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
123
27
123
27
124
26













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.55
0.53
0.53
0.55
0.52
0.53
0.56
0.53
0.55


SE
0.048
0.048
0.062
0.049
0.049
0.062
0.050
0.050
0.063


p Value
0.31
0.59
0.59
0.26
0.64
0.59
0.23
0.58
0.46


nCohort Non-
88
88
123
94
93
123
101
99
124


persistent


nCohort Persistent
63
62
27
57
57
27
50
51
26


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
76%
74%
74%
77%
74%
74%
78%
75%
77%


Specificity
26%
25%
25%
27%
25%
25%
27%
25%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
54%
52%
56%
54%
51%
56%
54%
51%
58%


Specificity
52%
51%
51%
52%
51%
51%
51%
51%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
30%
29%
37%
33%
32%
37%
34%
31%
38%


Specificity
78%
77%
77%
80%
78%
77%
79%
78%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.13
0.958
0.963
1.23
0.920
0.963
1.29
0.988
1.16


p Value
0.75
0.91
0.94
0.60
0.83
0.94
0.53
0.97
0.77


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.535
0.455
0.372
0.568
0.433
0.372
0.581
0.455
0.428


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.40
2.02
2.49
2.65
1.96
2.49
2.88
2.15
3.14


OR Quartile 3
1.28
1.12
1.31
1.30
1.06
1.31
1.25
1.06
1.45


p Value
0.45
0.74
0.52
0.44
0.87
0.52
0.53
0.86
0.39


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.671
0.583
0.568
0.671
0.547
0.568
0.632
0.540
0.619


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.46
2.14
3.03
2.51
2.05
3.03
2.46
2.09
3.42


OR Quartile 4
1.57
1.39
2.00
1.97
1.68
2.00
1.96
1.60
2.14


p Value
0.23
0.38
0.13
0.074
0.17
0.13
0.081
0.22
0.095


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.748
0.663
0.822
0.936
0.799
0.822
0.920
0.750
0.875


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.29
2.92
4.85
4.16
3.55
4.85
4.18
3.41
5.25
















TABLE 8.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
225
247
225
245
227
221



Average
254
266
253
267
252
272



Stdev
129
139
128
141
126
145



p (t-test)

0.57

0.53

0.38



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
1.83
22.9



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
83
68
86
65
94
57







sCr only















Median
225
233
225
233
225
221



Average
256
263
253
268
252
272



Stdev
128
141
128
142
127
144



p (t-test)

0.75

0.51

0.37



Min
84.8
1.83
33.6
1.83
1.83
22.9



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
82
68
86
64
93
57







UO only















Median
228
220
228
220
227
221



Average
259
256
259
256
258
259



Stdev
131
142
131
142
131
143



p (t-test)

0.93

0.93

0.96



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
115
35
115
35
116
34













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.53
0.52
0.49
0.53
0.53
0.49
0.53
0.53
0.50


SE
0.047
0.048
0.056
0.048
0.048
0.056
0.049
0.049
0.057


p Value
0.47
0.68
0.89
0.47
0.49
0.89
0.51
0.51
0.96


nCohort Non-
83
82
115
86
86
115
94
93
116


persistent


nCohort Persistent
68
68
35
65
64
35
57
57
34


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
76%
75%
74%
77%
77%
74%
77%
77%
76%


Specificity
27%
26%
25%
27%
27%
25%
27%
27%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
51%
50%
46%
51%
50%
46%
49%
49%
47%


Specificity
51%
50%
49%
50%
50%
49%
49%
49%
49%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
29%
29%
31%
31%
31%
31%
32%
32%
32%


Specificity
78%
78%
77%
79%
79%
77%
79%
78%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.17
1.03
0.974
1.22
1.19
0.974
1.23
1.24
1.13


p Value
0.68
0.93
0.95
0.61
0.65
0.95
0.60
0.58
0.78


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.558
0.493
0.409
0.575
0.563
0.409
0.568
0.576
0.463


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.46
2.16
2.32
2.57
2.52
2.32
2.65
2.69
2.77


OR Quartile 3
1.09
1.00
0.799
1.03
1.00
0.799
0.925
0.945
0.859


p Value
0.80
1.0
0.56
0.93
1.0
0.56
0.82
0.87
0.70


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.572
0.526
0.374
0.541
0.524
0.374
0.479
0.489
0.399


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.06
1.90
1.71
1.96
1.91
1.71
1.79
1.83
1.85


OR Quartile 4
1.50
1.48
1.49
1.68
1.72
1.49
1.71
1.68
1.58


p Value
0.28
0.30
0.35
0.17
0.15
0.35
0.16
0.17
0.29


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.719
0.708
0.649
0.801
0.818
0.649
0.810
0.799
0.682


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.15
3.10
3.44
3.52
3.60
3.44
3.60
3.55
3.64
















TABLE 8.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
225
247
225
233
225
233



Average
255
264
255
265
253
269



Stdev
130
138
127
141
127
143



p (t-test)

0.66

0.65

0.47



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
1.83
22.9



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
81
70
85
66
91
60







sCr only















Median
225
221
227
221
227
221



Average
258
261
257
262
255
266



Stdev
128
141
126
144
127
145



p (t-test)

0.89

0.83

0.63



Min
84.8
1.83
84.8
1.83
1.83
22.9



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
81
69
84
66
90
60







UO only















Median
225
221
227
221
225
221



Average
257
261
258
260
257
263



Stdev
132
138
132
140
131
141



p (t-test)

0.88

0.92

0.81



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
109
41
110
40
111
39













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.53
0.51
0.51
0.52
0.51
0.51
0.53
0.51
0.52


SE
0.047
0.047
0.053
0.048
0.048
0.054
0.048
0.048
0.054


p Value
0.56
0.86
0.81
0.63
0.86
0.91
0.58
0.81
0.77


nCohort Non-
81
81
109
85
84
110
91
90
111


persistent


nCohort Persistent
70
69
41
66
66
40
60
60
39


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
76%
74%
76%
76%
74%
75%
77%
75%
77%


Specificity
26%
25%
26%
26%
25%
25%
26%
26%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
51%
49%
49%
50%
48%
48%
50%
48%
49%


Specificity
51%
49%
50%
49%
49%
49%
49%
49%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
29%
29%
32%
30%
30%
32%
30%
30%
33%


Specificity
78%
78%
77%
79%
79%
77%
78%
78%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.09
0.929
1.07
1.09
0.961
1.02
1.18
1.03
1.18


p Value
0.82
0.84
0.87
0.82
0.92
0.95
0.67
0.94
0.71


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.521
0.444
0.466
0.519
0.458
0.445
0.551
0.485
0.500


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.28
1.94
2.46
2.29
2.01
2.36
2.51
2.19
2.78


OR Quartile 3
1.09
0.948
0.935
0.977
0.897
0.872
0.978
0.895
0.933


p Value
0.80
0.87
0.85
0.94
0.74
0.71
0.95
0.74
0.85


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.572
0.499
0.456
0.513
0.471
0.423
0.510
0.465
0.450


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.06
1.80
1.92
1.86
1.71
1.80
1.88
1.72
1.94


OR Quartile 4
1.40
1.43
1.56
1.62
1.59
1.64
1.52
1.50
1.72


p Value
0.37
0.34
0.27
0.20
0.22
0.23
0.27
0.28
0.18


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.670
0.683
0.704
0.773
0.761
0.737
0.724
0.714
0.772


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.93
2.99
3.45
3.39
3.34
3.64
3.20
3.15
3.83
















TABLE 8.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
225
249
225
247
225
245



Average
255
264
255
264
253
268



Stdev
130
138
128
140
127
142



p (t-test)

0.71

0.66

0.50



Min
84.8
1.83
84.8
1.83
1.83
22.9



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
78
73
81
70
88
63







sCr only















Median
225
245
225
233
225
233



Average
256
263
255
264
253
268



Stdev
129
140
127
142
127
143



p (t-test)

0.75

0.70

0.51



Min
84.8
1.83
84.8
1.83
1.83
22.9



Max
667
619
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
79
71
82
68
88
62







UO only















Median
227
221
227
221
225
221



Average
258
259
258
259
257
262



Stdev
133
137
133
137
132
137



p (t-test)

0.95

0.95

0.84



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
108
42
108
42
109
41













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.53
0.52
0.51
0.53
0.52
0.51
0.53
0.52
0.52


SE
0.047
0.047
0.053
0.047
0.048
0.053
0.048
0.048
0.053


p Value
0.55
0.66
0.87
0.55
0.65
0.87
0.56
0.60
0.73


nCohort Non-
78
79
108
81
82
108
88
88
109


persistent


nCohort Persistent
73
71
42
70
68
42
63
62
41


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
75%
75%
76%
76%
75%
76%
76%
76%
78%


Specificity
26%
25%
26%
26%
26%
26%
26%
26%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
52%
51%
48%
51%
50%
48%
51%
50%
49%


Specificity
51%
51%
49%
51%
50%
49%
50%
50%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
29%
30%
31%
30%
31%
31%
30%
31%
32%


Specificity
78%
78%
77%
79%
79%
77%
78%
78%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.05
0.998
1.12
1.09
1.03
1.12
1.13
1.11
1.29


p Value
0.89
1.00
0.79
0.82
0.93
0.79
0.75
0.79
0.56


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.505
0.478
0.488
0.521
0.493
0.488
0.535
0.523
0.549


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.20
2.09
2.57
2.28
2.16
2.57
2.40
2.35
3.02


OR Quartile 3
1.14
1.05
0.876
1.09
1.00
0.876
1.03
1.00
0.935


p Value
0.68
0.87
0.72
0.80
1.0
0.72
0.92
1.0
0.85


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.603
0.556
0.429
0.572
0.526
0.429
0.541
0.522
0.456


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.16
2.00
1.79
2.06
1.90
1.79
1.97
1.92
1.92


OR Quartile 4
1.45
1.53
1.49
1.61
1.71
1.49
1.57
1.60
1.56


p Value
0.33
0.26
0.33
0.21
0.16
0.33
0.23
0.21
0.27


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.692
0.731
0.674
0.770
0.814
0.674
0.748
0.765
0.704


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.03
3.21
3.29
3.38
3.59
3.29
3.29
3.37
3.45









Example 9. Use of Angiopoietin-Related Protein 6 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Angiopoietin-related protein 6 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 9.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.14
7.44
3.12
7.64
3.14
8.00



Stdev
6.07
18.1
7.55
19.5
7.51
20.2



p (t-test)

0.040

0.077

0.059



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
54
77
69
62
74
57







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.06
7.75
2.59
8.46
2.38
9.40



Stdev
5.98
18.4
6.50
20.1
6.28
21.0



p (t-test)

0.028

0.022

0.0067



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
56
74
70
60
76
54







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
5.43
4.83
5.17
5.87
5.09
6.37



Stdev
15.8
9.81
15.5
10.6
15.3
11.0



p (t-test)

0.85

0.84

0.72



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
128
34.4



n (Patient)
102
28
107
23
109
21













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.66
0.45
0.59
0.61
0.54
0.58
0.61
0.53


SE
0.048
0.048
0.063
0.050
0.050
0.067
0.051
0.051
0.070


p Value
0.0033
0.0011
0.47
0.067
0.025
0.60
0.12
0.028
0.71


nCohort Non-
54
56
102
69
70
107
74
76
109


persistent


nCohort Persistent
77
74
28
62
60
23
57
54
21


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
75%
77%
57%
74%
75%
70%
72%
72%
67%


Specificity
46%
46%
30%
41%
40%
34%
38%
37%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19


Sensitivity
31%
32%
21%
29%
32%
26%
30%
35%
29%


Specificity
83%
84%
74%
78%
80%
75%
78%
82%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.42
1.32
0.278
0.899
0.858
0.219
0.772
0.712
0.196


p Value
0.86
0.89
0.52
0.96
0.94
0.45
0.90
0.87
0.42


Lower limit of 95%
0.0278
0.0258
0.00540
0.0176
0.0168
0.00423
0.0151
0.0139
0.00379


CI


Upper limit of 95%
72.8
67.5
14.3
46.0
43.9
11.3
39.5
36.5
10.2


CI


OR Quartile 3
2.63
2.91
0.582
1.96
2.00
1.16
1.56
1.52
0.986


p Value
0.011
0.0056
0.22
0.076
0.072
0.77
0.24
0.28
0.98


Lower limit of 95%
1.25
1.37
0.247
0.932
0.940
0.437
0.741
0.712
0.366


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.54
6.18
1.37
4.13
4.26
3.07
3.28
3.23
2.66


CI


OR Quartile 4
2.26
2.51
0.758
1.47
1.85
1.05
1.54
2.40
1.21


p Value
0.063
0.037
0.59
0.34
0.13
0.93
0.29
0.033
0.71


Lower limit of 95%
0.955
1.06
0.278
0.667
0.833
0.374
0.697
1.07
0.429


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.37
5.94
2.07
3.25
4.12
2.92
3.40
5.38
3.44


CI
















TABLE 9.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.01
7.19
2.09
8.19
2.22
8.43



Stdev
6.07
17.6
5.80
19.1
5.94
19.6



p (t-test)

0.049

0.016

0.015



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
49
82
63
68
67
64







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
1.86
7.66
2.00
8.59
1.91
9.01



Stdev
5.86
18.1
5.72
19.5
5.61
19.8



p (t-test)

0.026

0.0099

0.0054



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
53
77
65
65
68
62







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
5.23
5.46
4.97
6.34
4.89
6.73



Stdev
16.0
10.8
15.6
11.4
15.4
11.7



p (t-test)

0.94

0.65

0.55



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
128
34.4



n (Patient)
94
36
99
31
101
29













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.68
0.47
0.62
0.65
0.54
0.61
0.65
0.53


SE
0.048
0.047
0.057
0.049
0.048
0.060
0.049
0.048
0.062


p Value
0.0027
1.4E−4
0.63
0.014
0.0014
0.50
0.031
0.0016
0.60


nCohort Non-
49
53
94
63
65
99
67
68
101


persistent


nCohort Persistent
82
77
36
68
65
31
64
62
29


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
74%
78%
61%
74%
77%
71%
72%
76%
69%


Specificity
47%
49%
31%
41%
43%
34%
39%
41%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19


Sensitivity
30%
32%
22%
32%
34%
26%
33%
35%
28%


Specificity
84%
85%
73%
83%
83%
75%
82%
84%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.67
1.45
0.386
1.08
1.00
0.317
0.956
0.912
0.291


p Value
0.80
0.85
0.64
0.97
1.0
0.57
0.98
0.96
0.54


Lower limit of 95%
0.0325
0.0283
0.00752
0.0211
0.0195
0.00615
0.0187
0.0178
0.00564


CI


Upper limit of 95%
85.3
74.1
19.8
55.2
51.2
16.3
48.9
46.7
15.0


CI


OR Quartile 3
2.57
3.40
0.701
1.95
2.52
1.28
1.62
2.19
1.13


p Value
0.013
0.0016
0.38
0.075
0.017
0.58
0.20
0.042
0.79


Lower limit of 95%
1.22
1.59
0.315
0.935
1.18
0.531
0.778
1.03
0.464


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.43
7.28
1.56
4.08
5.38
3.08
3.38
4.67
2.74


CI


OR Quartile 4
2.25
2.70
0.789
2.26
2.51
1.03
2.24
2.85
1.16


p Value
0.075
0.029
0.61
0.053
0.029
0.95
0.052
0.013
0.76


Lower limit of 95%
0.922
1.11
0.318
0.990
1.10
0.409
0.992
1.24
0.456


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.48
6.59
1.96
5.16
5.74
2.59
5.05
6.53
2.94


CI
















TABLE 9.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)














24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.01
7.19
2.09
8.19
2.02
8.44



Stdev
6.07
17.6
5.80
19.1
5.72
19.4



p (t-test)

0.049

0.016

0.011



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
49
82
63
68
65
66







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
1.90
7.56
2.03
8.46
1.97
8.73



Stdev
5.91
18.0
5.76
19.4
5.68
19.6



p (t-test)

0.031

0.012

0.0081



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
52
78
64
66
66
64







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
5.14
5.64
4.86
6.43
4.78
6.76



Stdev
16.3
10.6
15.9
11.1
15.7
11.3



p (t-test)

0.86

0.59

0.50



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
128
34.4



n (Patient)
89
41
94
36
96
34













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.67
0.50
0.62
0.64
0.57
0.62
0.64
0.56


SE
0.048
0.047
0.055
0.049
0.048
0.057
0.049
0.048
0.058


p Value
0.0027
3.7E−4
0.94
0.014
0.0031
0.23
0.015
0.0034
0.28


nCohort Non-
49
52
89
63
64
94
65
66
96


persistent


nCohort Persistent
82
78
41
68
66
36
66
64
34


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
74%
77%
66%
74%
76%
75%
73%
75%
74%


Specificity
47%
48%
33%
41%
42%
36%
40%
41%
35%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19


Sensitivity
30%
32%
24%
32%
33%
28%
33%
34%
29%


Specificity
84%
85%
74%
83%
83%
76%
83%
83%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.67
1.50
0.464
1.08
1.03
0.386
1.02
0.970
0.358


p Value
0.80
0.84
0.70
0.97
0.99
0.64
0.99
0.99
0.61


Lower limit of 95%
0.0325
0.0292
0.00904
0.0211
0.0202
0.00752
0.0198
0.0190
0.00696


CI


Upper limit of 95%
85.3
76.5
23.8
55.2
52.7
19.8
51.9
49.6
18.4


CI


OR Quartile 3
2.57
3.09
0.932
1.95
2.28
1.70
1.78
2.08
1.52


p Value
0.013
0.0035
0.86
0.075
0.031
0.23
0.12
0.056
0.34


Lower limit of 95%
1.22
1.45
0.426
0.935
1.08
0.717
0.853
0.982
0.639


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.43
6.58
2.04
4.08
4.83
4.03
3.71
4.39
3.63


CI


OR Quartile 4
2.25
2.59
0.926
2.26
2.41
1.19
2.45
2.62
1.32


p Value
0.075
0.036
0.86
0.053
0.037
0.70
0.033
0.023
0.53


Lower limit of 95%
0.922
1.06
0.393
0.990
1.05
0.499
1.07
1.14
0.552


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.48
6.32
2.18
5.16
5.51
2.83
5.61
5.99
3.17


CI
















TABLE 9.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)














24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.01
7.19
2.12
8.07
2.05
8.31



Stdev
6.07
17.6
5.84
19.0
5.76
19.2



p (t-test)

0.049

0.019

0.014



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
49
82
62
69
64
67







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
1.90
7.56
2.06
8.34
2.00
8.59



Stdev
5.91
18.0
5.80
19.2
5.72
19.5



p (t-test)

0.031

0.014

0.0099



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
52
78
63
67
65
65







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
5.31
5.26
5.08
5.79
4.98
6.05



Stdev
16.5
10.3
16.2
10.7
16.0
10.9



p (t-test)

0.98

0.80

0.71



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
128
34.4
128
34.4
128
34.4



n (Patient)
86
44
90
40
92
38













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.67
0.49
0.62
0.64
0.54
0.62
0.64
0.53


SE
0.048
0.047
0.054
0.049
0.048
0.055
0.049
0.048
0.056


p Value
0.0027
3.7E−4
0.90
0.013
0.0030
0.46
0.014
0.0032
0.54


nCohort Non-
49
52
86
62
63
90
64
65
92


persistent


nCohort Persistent
82
78
44
69
67
40
67
65
38


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
74%
77%
66%
74%
76%
72%
73%
75%
71%


Specificity
47%
48%
33%
42%
43%
36%
41%
42%
35%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19


Sensitivity
30%
32%
23%
32%
33%
25%
33%
34%
26%


Specificity
84%
85%
73%
82%
83%
74%
83%
83%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.67
1.50
0.514
1.11
1.06
0.448
1.05
1.00
0.416


p Value
0.80
0.84
0.74
0.96
0.98
0.69
0.98
1.0
0.66


Lower limit of 95%
0.0325
0.0292
0.0100
0.0217
0.0208
0.00873
0.0205
0.0195
0.00811


CI


Upper limit of 95%
85.3
76.5
26.4
56.9
54.4
23.0
53.5
51.2
21.4


CI


OR Quartile 3
2.57
3.09
0.933
2.05
2.39
1.45
1.86
2.18
1.31


p Value
0.013
0.0035
0.86
0.057
0.023
0.37
0.097
0.042
0.52


Lower limit of 95%
1.22
1.45
0.432
0.979
1.13
0.642
0.893
1.03
0.575


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.43
6.58
2.01
4.28
5.07
3.29
3.89
4.60
2.98


CI


OR Quartile 4
2.25
2.59
0.806
2.17
2.31
0.971
2.36
2.51
1.07


p Value
0.075
0.036
0.62
0.066
0.047
0.95
0.042
0.029
0.88


Lower limit of 95%
0.922
1.06
0.344
0.951
1.01
0.412
1.03
1.10
0.452


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.48
6.32
1.89
4.95
5.28
2.29
5.38
5.74
2.54


CI
















TABLE 9.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72

















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent




Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
2.01
7.19
2.15
7.96
2.09
8.19



Stdev
6.07
17.6
5.88
18.9
5.80
19.1



p (t-test)

0.049

0.023

0.016



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
49
82
61
70
63
68







sCr only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
1.90
7.56
2.06
8.34
2.00
8.59



Stdev
5.91
18.0
5.80
19.2
5.72
19.5



p (t-test)

0.031

0.014

0.0099



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
35.9
128
35.9
128
35.9
128



n (Patient)
52
78
63
67
65
65







UO only















Median
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302



Average
3.89
7.87
3.75
8.42
3.68
8.80



Stdev
9.89
20.7
9.74
21.3
9.64
21.7



p (t-test)

0.14

0.088

0.065



Min
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238



Max
62.1
128
62.1
128
62.1
128



n (Patient)
84
46
87
43
89
41













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.67
0.52
0.61
0.64
0.55
0.61
0.64
0.55


SE
0.048
0.047
0.053
0.049
0.048
0.054
0.049
0.048
0.055


p Value
0.0027
3.7E−4
0.73
0.024
0.0030
0.32
0.026
0.0032
0.39


nCohort Non-
49
52
84
61
63
87
63
65
89


persistent


nCohort Persistent
82
78
46
70
67
43
68
65
41


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238
0.00238


Sensitivity
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100%
100% 
100% 


Specificity
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302
0.00302


Sensitivity
74%
77%
67%
73%
76%
72%
72%
75%
71%


Specificity
47%
48%
33%
41%
43%
36%
40%
42%
35%


Cutoff Quartile 4
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19
3.17
3.19
3.19


Sensitivity
30%
32%
24%
31%
33%
26%
32%
34%
27%


Specificity
84%
85%
74%
82%
83%
75%
83%
83%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.67
1.50
0.550
1.15
1.06
0.497
1.08
1.00
0.464


p Value
0.80
0.84
0.77
0.95
0.98
0.73
0.97
1.0
0.70


Lower limit of 95%
0.0325
0.0292
0.0107
0.0224
0.0208
0.00970
0.0211
0.0195
0.00904


CI


Upper limit of 95%
85.3
76.5
28.2
58.6
54.4
25.5
55.2
51.2
23.8


CI


OR Quartile 3
2.57
3.09
1.03
1.86
2.39
1.43
1.70
2.18
1.29


p Value
0.013
0.0035
0.93
0.096
0.023
0.38
0.16
0.042
0.53


Lower limit of 95%
1.22
1.45
0.481
0.895
1.13
0.644
0.816
1.03
0.579


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.43
6.58
2.22
3.88
5.07
3.18
3.53
4.60
2.88


CI


OR Quartile 4
2.25
2.59
0.886
2.08
2.31
1.02
2.26
2.51
1.12


p Value
0.075
0.036
0.78
0.081
0.047
0.97
0.053
0.029
0.80


Lower limit of 95%
0.922
1.06
0.385
0.913
1.01
0.439
0.990
1.10
0.481


CI


Upper limit of 95%
5.48
6.32
2.04
4.75
5.28
2.35
5.16
5.74
2.59


CI
















TABLE 9.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
214
245
225
227
216
247



Average
261
259
266
253
258
261



Stdev
132
135
139
128
135
133



p (t-test)

0.92

0.55

0.86



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83



Max
647
667
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
50
101
75
76
85
66







sCr only















Median
225
227
225
225
214
251



Average
272
253
263
256
251
271



Stdev
133
135
133
136
129
141



p (t-test)

0.41

0.74

0.37



Min
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83
67.1
1.83



Max
647
667
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
52
98
73
77
86
64







UO only















Median
223
249
225
237
225
253



Average
257
263
259
255
257
266



Stdev
134
134
133
135
132
144



p (t-test)

0.82

0.87

0.76



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
597
667
597
667
597



n (Patient)
112
38
120
30
125
25













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.51
0.47
0.52
0.49
0.49
0.50
0.53
0.56
0.53


SE
0.050
0.049
0.055
0.047
0.047
0.059
0.048
0.048
0.064


p Value
0.91
0.48
0.68
0.87
0.91
0.97
0.54
0.24
0.69


nCohort Non-
50
52
112
75
73
120
85
86
125


persistent


nCohort Persistent
101
98
38
76
77
30
66
64
25


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
74%
72%
76%
76%
75%
73%
79%
80%
76%


Specificity
24%
21%
26%
27%
26%
25%
28%
29%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
52%
50%
55%
50%
49%
53%
53%
55%
56%


Specificity
54%
50%
52%
49%
49%
51%
52%
53%
51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
25%
24%
29%
22%
25%
30%
26%
30%
36%


Specificity
74%
73%
76%
72%
74%
76%
75%
78%
77%


OR Quartile 2
0.911
0.706
1.13
1.17
1.07
0.917
1.46
1.61
1.09


p Value
0.82
0.39
0.79
0.67
0.85
0.85
0.33
0.22
0.87


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.414
0.317
0.477
0.561
0.514
0.369
0.686
0.747
0.400


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.00
1.57
2.66
2.45
2.24
2.27
3.11
3.46
2.97


OR Quartile 3
1.30
1.00
1.33
0.974
0.948
1.18
1.21
1.39
1.34


p Value
0.45
1.0
0.45
0.93
0.87
0.68
0.56
0.32
0.51


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.657
0.510
0.634
0.514
0.500
0.530
0.636
0.725
0.563


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.56
1.96
2.78
1.84
1.80
2.63
2.31
2.66
3.17


OR Quartile 4
0.936
0.880
1.28
0.741
0.931
1.34
1.06
1.49
1.86


p Value
0.87
0.74
0.55
0.43
0.85
0.51
0.88
0.29
0.18


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.431
0.409
0.563
0.354
0.446
0.555
0.505
0.711
0.745


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.04
1.89
2.92
1.55
1.94
3.26
2.22
3.12
4.65
















TABLE 9.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
213
245
214
249
206
258



Average
260
259
257
262
249
271



Stdev
133
134
137
131
132
135



p (t-test)

0.98

0.81

0.31



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83



Max
647
667
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
49
102
70
81
79
72







sCr only















Median
225
228
220
237
213
253



Average
271
253
260
259
252
267



Stdev
134
134
135
134
130
138



p (t-test)

0.46

0.96

0.51



Min
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83
84.8
1.83



Max
647
667
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
51
99
70
80
79
71







UO only















Median
219
256
221
253
221
263



Average
252
272
255
268
252
278



Stdev
131
139
131
141
129
148



p (t-test)

0.38

0.58

0.32



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
103
47
111
39
116
34













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.51
0.47
0.55
0.53
0.52
0.54
0.57
0.55
0.56


SE
0.050
0.050
0.051
0.047
0.047
0.054
0.047
0.047
0.057


p Value
0.80
0.58
0.30
0.46
0.75
0.51
0.11
0.31
0.29


nCohort Non-
49
51
103
70
70
111
79
79
116


persistent


nCohort Persistent
102
99
47
81
80
39
72
71
34


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
75%
73%
77%
78%
76%
74%
81%
77%
76%


Specificity
24%
22%
26%
29%
27%
25%
30%
28%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
53%
51%
57%
53%
51%
56%
57%
55%
59%


Specificity
55%
51%
53%
53%
51%
52%
56%
54%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
25%
24%
34%
26%
26%
36%
29%
30%
41%


Specificity
73%
73%
79%
76%
76%
78%
78%
78%
79%


OR Quartile 2
0.948
0.733
1.16
1.40
1.20
0.978
1.81
1.33
1.13


p Value
0.89
0.45
0.71
0.37
0.63
0.96
0.12
0.46
0.78


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.431
0.329
0.520
0.670
0.573
0.424
0.849
0.631
0.463


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.09
1.63
2.60
2.93
2.50
2.26
3.85
2.79
2.77


OR Quartile 3
1.38
1.06
1.55
1.27
1.11
1.42
1.66
1.46
1.58


p Value
0.36
0.86
0.22
0.47
0.74
0.35
0.12
0.25
0.24


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.697
0.540
0.771
0.668
0.586
0.679
0.873
0.765
0.731


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.74
2.09
3.10
2.41
2.11
2.95
3.17
2.77
3.44


OR Quartile 4
0.899
0.846
1.90
1.09
1.11
2.03
1.50
1.53
2.68


p Value
0.79
0.67
0.10
0.82
0.78
0.081
0.28
0.26
0.018


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.413
0.392
0.884
0.521
0.530
0.917
0.717
0.731
1.18


Upper limit of 95% CI
1.96
1.82
4.09
2.28
2.32
4.50
3.14
3.21
6.08
















TABLE 9.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
213
245
216
247
213
251



Average
260
259
258
261
252
266



Stdev
133
134
137
131
135
132



p (t-test)

0.98

0.88

0.51



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83



Max
647
667
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
49
102
69
82
75
76







sCr only















Median
225
228
225
228
216
245



Average
271
253
261
258
255
263



Stdev
134
134
135
133
133
135



p (t-test)

0.46

0.89

0.71



Min
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83
84.8
1.83



Max
647
667
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
51
99
69
81
75
75







UO only















Median
225
237
225
221
225
233



Average
255
265
258
258
256
265



Stdev
133
134
133
135
131
140



p (t-test)

0.66

0.98

0.71



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
98
52
105
45
110
40













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.51
0.47
0.53
0.53
0.51
0.50
0.56
0.54
0.52


SE
0.050
0.050
0.050
0.047
0.047
0.052
0.047
0.047
0.054


p Value
0.80
0.58
0.52
0.52
0.81
0.96
0.24
0.44
0.67


nCohort Non-
49
51
98
69
69
105
75
75
110


persistent


nCohort Persistent
102
99
52
82
81
45
76
75
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
75%
73%
77%
78%
77%
73%
80%
79%
75%


Specificity
24%
22%
27%
29%
28%
25%
31%
29%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
53%
51%
52%
52%
51%
49%
54%
52%
50%


Specificity
55%
51%
51%
52%
51%
50%
53%
52%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
25%
24%
31%
26%
26%
31%
28%
28%
35%


Specificity
73%
73%
78%
75%
75%
77%
77%
77%
78%


OR Quartile 2
0.948
0.733
1.20
1.45
1.24
0.905
1.80
1.53
1.02


p Value
0.89
0.45
0.64
0.32
0.57
0.81
0.12
0.26
0.95


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.431
0.329
0.549
0.694
0.593
0.408
0.851
0.728
0.445


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.09
1.63
2.64
3.03
2.59
2.01
3.80
3.22
2.36


OR Quartile 3
1.38
1.06
1.12
1.20
1.06
0.938
1.34
1.17
1.00


p Value
0.36
0.86
0.73
0.57
0.87
0.86
0.37
0.62
1.0


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.697
0.540
0.574
0.634
0.555
0.467
0.706
0.618
0.485


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.74
2.09
2.20
2.28
2.01
1.89
2.54
2.23
2.06


OR Quartile 4
0.899
0.846
1.54
1.05
1.07
1.52
1.30
1.33
1.93


p Value
0.79
0.67
0.27
0.89
0.86
0.29
0.48
0.45
0.10


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.413
0.392
0.721
0.503
0.511
0.700
0.623
0.634
0.874


Upper limit of 95% CI
1.96
1.82
3.27
2.20
2.24
3.32
2.73
2.78
4.26
















TABLE 9.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within


96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
213
245
220
245
214
249



Average
260
259
260
259
254
264



Stdev
133
134
137
131
135
133



p (t-test)

0.98

0.98

0.63



Min
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83
64.1
1.83



Max
647
667
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
49
102
68
83
74
77







sCr only















Median
225
228
225
227
220
237



Average
271
253
263
256
257
261



Stdev
134
134
135
133
133
135



p (t-test)

0.46

0.76

0.85



Min
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83
84.8
1.83



Max
647
667
667
619
667
619



n (Patient)
51
99
68
82
74
76







UO only















Median
225
228
225
225
225
245



Average
257
261
259
257
256
263



Stdev
135
132
135
131
133
136



p (t-test)

0.85

0.94

0.76



Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9



Max
667
605
667
605
667
605



n (Patient)
95
55
100
50
105
45













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.51
0.47
0.52
0.52
0.50
0.50
0.54
0.52
0.52


SE
0.050
0.050
0.049
0.047
0.048
0.050
0.047
0.047
0.052


p Value
0.80
0.58
0.71
0.68
1.00
0.93
0.35
0.60
0.66


nCohort Non-
49
51
95
68
68
100
74
74
105


persistent


nCohort Persistent
102
99
55
83
82
50
77
76
45


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
75%
73%
76%
77%
76%
74%
79%
78%
76%


Specificity
24%
22%
26%
28%
26%
25%
30%
28%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
53%
51%
51%
52%
50 %
50 %
53 %
51 %
51%


Specificity
55%
51%
51%
51%
50%
50%
53%
51%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
25%
24%
29%
25%
26%
30%
27%
28%
33%


Specificity
73%
73%
77%
75%
75%
77%
77%
77%
78%


OR Quartile 2
0.948
0.733
1.15
1.31
1.12
0.949
1.61
1.38
1.07


p Value
0.89
0.45
0.72
0.48
0.77
0.89
0.21
0.40
0.87


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.431
0.329
0.533
0.625
0.534
0.436
0.768
0.657
0.477


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.09
1.63
2.50
2.73
2.33
2.06
3.39
2.88
2.40


OR Quartile 3
1.38
1.06
1.06
1.14
1.00
1.00
1.27
1.11
1.07


p Value
0.36
0.86
0.87
0.69
1.0
1.0
0.47
0.74
0.86


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.697
0.540
0.545
0.600
0.526
0.507
0.670
0.586
0.530


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.74
2.09
2.06
2.17
1.90
1.97
2.40
2.11
2.14


OR Quartile 4
0.899
0.846
1.36
1.02
1.03
1.43
1.26
1.28
1.78


p Value
0.79
0.67
0.42
0.97
0.93
0.35
0.54
0.51
0.14


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.413
0.392
0.642
0.485
0.493
0.669
0.601
0.611
0.823


Upper limit of 95% CI
1.96
1.82
2.89
2.13
2.16
3.08
2.63
2.68
3.86
















TABLE 9.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
213
245
216
247
211
253


Average
263
258
256
262
250
267


Stdev
133
134
132
135
131
136


p (t-test)

0.82

0.79

0.44


Min
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83
84.8
1.83


Max
647
667
667
619
667
619


n (Patient)
47
104
65
86
70
81







sCr only













Median
220
229
220
237
214
247


Average
270
254
261
258
255
263


Stdev
135
133
136
133
134
135


p (t-test)

0.49

0.92

0.69


Min
85.4
1.83
85.4
1.83
84.8
1.83


Max
647
667
667
619
667
619


n (Patient)
50
100
66
84
72
78







UO only













Median
225
237
225
245
220
249


Average
252
268
251
270
249
276


Stdev
131
137
129
141
127
143


p (t-test)

0.48

0.41

0.24


Min
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9
1.83
22.9


Max
667
605
667
605
667
605


n (Patient)
92
58
95
55
99
51












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.50
0.48
0.54
0.53
0.51
0.54
0.56
0.54
0.56


SE
0.051
0.050
0.049
0.047
0.048
0.049
0.047
0.047
0.050


p Value
0.92
0.66
0.44
0.56
0.76
0.42
0.24
0.40
0.25


nCohort
47
50
92
65
66
95
70
72
99


Non-persistent











nCohort Persistent
104
100
58
86
84
55
81
78
51


Cutoff Quartile 2
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166


Sensitivity
74%
73%
78%
77%
76%
76%
79%
78%
78%


Specificity
23%
22%
27%
28%
27%
26%
30%
29%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225
225


Sensitivity
53%
51%
52%
52%
51%
53%
54%
53%
55%


Specificity
55%
52%
51%
52%
52%
52%
54%
53%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
324
324
323
324
324
323
324
324
323


Sensitivity
24%
24%
31%
27%
26%
33%
28%
28%
35%


Specificity
72%
72%
78%
77%
76%
79%
79%
78%
80%


OR Quartile 2
0.871
0.763
1.29
1.26
1.20
1.15
1.61
1.48
1.36


p Value
0.74
0.51
0.51
0.53
0.63
0.72
0.21
0.30
0.45


Lower limit of
0.390
0.342
0.598
0.604
0.573
0.533
0.770
0.705
0.612


95% CI











Upper limit of
1.95
1.70
2.79
2.65
2.51
2.50
3.38
3.10
3.04


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.39
1.13
1.12
1.20
1.11
1.19
1.41
1.24
1.35


p Value
0.35
0.73
0.74
0.57
0.74
0.61
0.29
0.51
0.39


Lower limit of
0.696
0.572
0.580
0.632
0.585
0.611
0.743
0.652
0.684


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.78
2.22
2.16
2.29
2.12
2.31
2.68
2.35
2.65


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
0.828
0.812
1.62
1.22
1.11
1.82
1.45
1.38
2.15


p Value
0.64
0.60
0.20
0.61
0.79
0.12
0.33
0.40
0.046


Lower limit of
0.379
0.376
0.769
0.575
0.527
0.863
0.688
0.654
1.01


95% CI











Upper limit of
1.81
1.75
3.41
2.57
2.33
3.86
3.07
2.89
4.59


95% CI


















Example 10. Use of Complement C5 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Complement C5 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 10.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.181
0.477
0.162
0.470
0.169
0.458


Average
0.343
0.754
0.333
0.739
0.360
0.728


Stdev
0.762
0.921
0.841
0.906
0.888
0.902


p (t-test)

0.0019

0.0049

0.015


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
57
259
46
270
41
275







sCr only













Median
0.184
0.488
0.184
0.485
0.187
0.478


Average
0.327
0.792
0.331
0.787
0.339
0.777


Stdev
0.669
0.946
0.678
0.944
0.696
0.939


p (t-test)

8.9E−5

1.4E−4

3.3E−4


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
76
239
74
241
70
245







UO only













Median
0.348
0.467
0.340
0.472
0.339
0.477


Average
0.562
0.873
0.570
0.817
0.544
0.815


Stdev
0.702
1.14
0.737
1.07
0.688
1.07


p (t-test)

0.0031

0.016

0.0082


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
193
121
172
142
155
159












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.73
0.73
0.56
0.75
0.73
0.57
0.73
0.72
0.57


SE
0.033
0.030
0.034
0.033
0.030
0.033
0.036
0.031
0.032


p Value
6.9E−12
2.9E−15
0.067
2.5E−14
1.3E−14
0.039
2.0E−10
6.6E−13
0.026


nCohort
57
76
193
46
74
172
41
70
155


Recovered











nCohort Non-
259
239
121
270
241
142
275
245
159


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
80%
82%
75%
80%
81%
76%
79%
80%
77%


Specificity
47%
46%
25%
54%
46%
26%
51%
44%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384


Sensitivity
57%
59%
58%
56%
59%
58%
55%
58%
58%


Specificity
82%
79%
55%
87%
78%
56%
85%
77%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728


Sensitivity
29%
31%
31%
28%
31%
30%
28%
30%
28%


Specificity
93%
93%
79%
93%
93%
78%
93%
93%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.58
3.78
1.03
4.76
3.70
1.13
3.93
3.26
1.23


p Value
3.3E−5
2.9E−6
0.91
2.7E−6
4.7E−6
0.65
7.5E−5
4.4E−5
0.44


Lower limit of
1.96
2.17
0.611
2.48
2.11
0.673
2.00
1.85
0.735


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.54
6.60
1.74
9.14
6.48
1.88
7.73
5.75
2.04


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
6.27
5.49
1.67
8.59
5.20
1.77
7.21
4.65
1.90


p Value
7.1E−7
4.2E−8
0.028
2.3E−6
1.2E−7
0.013
1.6E−5
8.8E−7
0.0050


Lower limit of
3.03
2.99
1.06
3.52
2.82
1.13
2.94
2.52
1.21


95% CI











Upper limit of
12.9
10.1
2.65
20.9
9.57
2.77
17.7
8.59
2.98


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
5.40
6.37
1.70
5.62
6.11
1.53
4.84
5.63
1.40


p Value
0.0017
1.3E−4
0.045
0.0048
1.8E−4
0.10
0.010
3.6E−4
0.19


Lower limit of
1.89
2.47
1.01
1.69
2.37
0.918
1.45
2.18
0.841


95% CI











Upper limit of
15.5
16.4
2.84
18.6
15.8
2.56
16.1
14.5
2.35


95% CI

























TABLE 10.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.201
0.533
0.183
0.520
0.191
0.488


Average
0.332
0.819
0.330
0.797
0.353
0.775


Stdev
0.633
0.962
0.671
0.946
0.704
0.938


p (t-test)

1.3E−5

6.3E−5

5.1E−4


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
90
226
79
237
71
245







sCr only













Median
0.215
0.550
0.215
0.546
0.216
0.534


Average
0.334
0.855
0.336
0.848
0.342
0.834


Stdev
0.590
0.987
0.596
0.984
0.610
0.977


p (t-test)

9.7E−7

1.7E−6

5.8E−6


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
106
210
104
212
99
217







UO only













Median
0.343
0.566
0.341
0.522
0.341
0.513


Average
0.562
0.927
0.575
0.851
0.557
0.842


Stdev
0.727
1.17
0.755
1.10
0.712
1.10


p (t-test)

7.8E−4

0.0089

0.0056


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
211
103
193
121
177
137












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.74
0.74
0.59
0.74
0.74
0.57
0.71
0.73
0.57


SE
0.028
0.028
0.035
0.029
0.028
0.033
0.031
0.029
0.033


p Value
0
0
0.010
0
0
0.026
8.8E−12
2.2E−15
0.038


nCohort
90
106
211
79
104
193
71
99
177


Recovered











nCohort
226
210
103
237
212
121
245
217
137


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
82%
83%
77%
82%
83%
76%
80%
82%
76%


Specificity
43%
42%
26%
47%
41%
26%
44%
40%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384


Sensitivity
62%
63%
61%
61%
63%
59%
59%
61%
58%


Specificity
80%
76%
55%
82%
76%
55%
80%
75%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728


Sensitivity
32%
34%
35%
31%
33%
31%
30%
33%
30%


Specificity
92%
92%
80%
92%
92%
79%
92%
92%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.56
3.55
1.16
4.09
3.45
1.11
3.18
3.09
1.11


p Value
4.0E−6
2.8E−6
0.60
6.1E−7
4.7E−6
0.70
6.0E−5
3.0E−5
0.70


Lower limit of
2.07
2.09
0.669
2.35
2.03
0.655
1.81
1.82
0.661


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.10
6.03
2.01
7.11
5.85
1.88
5.60
5.26
1.85


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
6.51
5.60
1.96
7.19
5.32
1.77
5.80
4.69
1.73


p Value
2.8E−10
1.8E−10
0.0060
1.0E−9
5.9E−10
0.015
6.4E−8
1.1E−8
0.017


Lower limit of
3.64
3.30
1.21
3.81
3.13
1.12
3.07
2.76
1.10


95% CI











Upper limit of
11.7
9.50
3.17
13.5
9.03
2.80
11.0
7.96
2.71


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
5.54
6.26
2.10
5.42
6.04
1.70
4.60
5.53
1.56


p Value
4.3E−5
3.6E−6
0.0057
1.6E−4
5.5E−6
0.045
6.8E−4
1.6E−5
0.088


Lower limit of
2.44
2.88
1.24
2.25
2.78
1.01
1.91
2.54
0.936


95% CI











Upper limit of
12.6
13.6
3.55
13.0
13.1
2.84
11.1
12.0
2.61


95% CI
















TABLE 10.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.218
0.563
0.213
0.548
0.229
0.529


Average
0.345
0.869
0.347
0.851
0.361
0.821


Stdev
0.584
0.999
0.602
0.987
0.628
0.975


p (t-test)

5.0E−7

2.1E−6

2.5E−5


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
114
202
107
209
97
219







sCr only













Median
0.237
0.582
0.238
0.571
0.239
0.552


Average
0.353
0.900
0.356
0.889
0.363
0.871


Stdev
0.559
1.02
0.565
1.02
0.575
1.01


p (t-test)

8.1E−8

2.1E−7

9.2E−7


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
127
189
124
192
119
197







UO only













Median
0.341
0.576
0.343
0.531
0.341
0.529


Average
0.587
0.880
0.601
0.829
0.569
0.852


Stdev
0.832
1.03
0.849
0.998
0.799
1.04


p (t-test)

0.0075

0.033

0.0068


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
213
101
203
111
189
125












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.74
0.73
0.61
0.73
0.72
0.59
0.71
0.71
0.59


SE
0.028
0.028
0.035
0.028
0.028
0.034
0.029
0.029
0.033


p Value
0
2.2E−16
0.0024
0
2.2E−15
0.012
5.3E−13
2.0E−13
0.0097


nCohort
114
127
213
107
124
203
97
119
189


Recovered











nCohort
202
189
101
209
192
111
219
197
125


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
84%
84%
80%
84%
83%
78%
82%
82%
78%


Specificity
40%
38%
28%
42%
38%
27%
41%
37%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384


Sensitivity
64%
65%
62%
63%
64%
59%
61%
62%
59%


Specificity
75%
72%
56%
76%
72%
55%
75%
71%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728


Sensitivity
34%
35%
36%
33%
35%
32%
32%
34%
32%


Specificity
91%
91%
80%
91%
90%
79%
90%
90%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.46
3.10
1.55
3.74
3.05
1.35
3.24
2.72
1.28


p Value
4.0E−6
2.6E−5
0.13
1.2E−6
3.1E−5
0.29
1.5E−5
1.7E−4
0.36


Lower limit of
2.04
1.83
0.874
2.20
1.81
0.779
1.90
1.61
0.754


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.88
5.24
2.75
6.36
5.16
2.33
5.51
4.57
2.17


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
5.55
4.90
2.10
5.34
4.53
1.81
4.80
3.99
1.85


p Value
6.8E−11
2.2E−10
0.0027
3.6E−10
1.5E−9
0.014
9.5E−9
2.8E−8
0.0083


Lower limit of
3.31
3.00
1.29
3.16
2.78
1.13
2.81
2.45
1.17


95% CI











Upper limit of
9.28
8.00
3.41
9.02
7.40
2.89
8.19
6.50
2.93


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
5.40
5.26
2.19
4.78
5.00
1.79
4.00
4.60
1.81


p Value
3.4E−6
9.9E−7
0.0036
1.7E−5
2.1E−6
0.029
1.4E−4
7.1E−6
0.024


Lower limit of
2.65
2.71
1.29
2.35
2.57
1.06
1.96
2.36
1.08


95% CI











Upper limit of
11.0
10.2
3.71
9.74
9.73
3.01
8.17
8.94
3.03


95% CI

























TABLE 10.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.237
0.582
0.237
0.563
0.237
0.538


Average
0.363
0.910
0.364
0.884
0.371
0.852


Stdev
0.556
1.04
0.573
1.02
0.596
1.00


p (t-test)

6.7E−8

4.1E−7

4.8E−6


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
133
183
124
192
113
203







sCr only













Median
0.239
0.584
0.243
0.584
0.243
0.579


Average
0.362
0.930
0.365
0.921
0.367
0.910


Stdev
0.544
1.05
0.548
1.04
0.553
1.04


p (t-test)

1.6E−8

3.3E−8

8.1E−8


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
139
177
137
179
134
182







UO only













Median
0.339
0.576
0.339
0.552
0.340
0.531


Average
0.574
0.915
0.581
0.872
0.564
0.869


Stdev
0.811
1.06
0.826
1.03
0.792
1.05


p (t-test)

0.0019

0.0069

0.0037


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
215
99
206
108
193
121












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.72
0.73
0.61
0.72
0.72
0.60
0.71
0.72
0.59


SE
0.028
0.028
0.035
0.028
0.028
0.034
0.029
0.028
0.033


p Value
1.6E−15
4.4E−16
0.0012
8.4E−15
3.8E−15
0.0023
1.7E−12
2.5E−14
0.0054


nCohort
133
139
215
124
137
206
113
134
193


Recovered











nCohort
183
177
99
192
179
108
203
182
121


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
84%
84%
80%
84%
84%
80%
83%
84%
78%


Specificity
38%
37%
27%
40%
36%
28%
40%
37%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384


Sensitivity
66%
67%
64%
64%
66%
62%
62%
65%
60%


Specificity
71%
71%
56%
72%
71%
56%
72%
70%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728


Sensitivity
34%
36%
35%
33%
36%
33%
32%
35%
32%


Specificity
88%
89%
80%
88%
89%
79%
88%
89%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.20
3.08
1.49
3.53
2.97
1.50
3.29
2.92
1.28


p Value
1.7E−5
3.2E−5
0.17
3.2E−6
5.3E−5
0.16
9.4E−6
6.5E−5
0.36


Lower limit of
1.88
1.81
0.841
2.08
1.75
0.855
1.94
1.73
0.753


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.43
5.24
2.65
6.00
5.04
2.62
5.57
4.94
2.19


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
4.76
4.95
2.25
4.53
4.69
2.11
4.14
4.33
1.97


p Value
2.7E−10
8.0E−11
0.0012
1.5E−9
3.0E−10
0.0022
2.2E−8
2.0E−9
0.0039


Lower limit of
2.93
3.06
1.38
2.78
2.90
1.31
2.52
2.68
1.24


95% CI











Upper limit of
7.73
8.02
3.68
7.40
7.59
3.39
6.81
7.00
3.13


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.84
4.68
2.13
3.63
4.53
1.90
3.33
4.30
1.82


p Value
1.3E−5
9.5E−7
0.0052
4.2E−5
1.6E−6
0.016
1.9E−4
3.6E−6
0.023


Lower limit of
2.10
2.53
1.25
1.96
2.44
1.12
1.77
2.32
1.09


95% CI











Upper limit of
7.03
8.68
3.61
6.74
8.39
3.20
6.27
7.98
3.05


95% CI
















TABLE 10.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.306
0.582
0.309
0.579
0.309
0.579


Average
0.509
0.928
0.510
0.917
0.510
0.917


Stdev
0.748
1.05
0.754
1.04
0.754
1.04


p (t-test)

4.4E−5

7.1E−5

7.1E−5


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
187
129
184
132
184
132







sCr only













Median
0.259
0.593
0.252
0.587
0.259
0.584


Average
0.449
0.914
0.451
0.903
0.453
0.899


Stdev
0.739
0.999
0.746
0.993
0.748
0.991


p (t-test)

3.7E−6

7.0E−6

9.5E−6


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
159
157
156
160
155
161







UO only













Median
0.331
0.584
0.332
0.576
0.331
0.571


Average
0.553
0.941
0.555
0.925
0.546
0.933


Stdev
0.777
1.09
0.782
1.08
0.767
1.09


p (t-test)

3.4E−4

5.9E−4

2.9E−4


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
210
104
207
107
204
110












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.67
0.71
0.62
0.66
0.70
0.61
0.66
0.70
0.62


SE
0.031
0.029
0.034
0.031
0.029
0.034
0.031
0.029
0.034


p Value
1.4E−7
1.6E−12
5.3E−4
1.7E−7
3.3E−12
7.9E−4
1.7E−7
8.2E−12
6.7E−4


nCohort
187
159
210
184
156
207
184
155
204


Recovered











nCohort
129
157
104
132
160
107
132
161
110


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
85%
85%
79%
86%
85%
79%
86%
84%
78%


Specificity
32%
35%
27%
33%
35%
27%
33%
35%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384


Sensitivity
66%
67%
62%
65%
66%
62%
65%
66%
62%


Specificity
61%
67%
56%
61%
67%
56%
61%
66%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728


Sensitivity
33%
36%
37%
33%
35%
36%
33%
35%
36%


Specificity
81%
86%
80%
81%
85%
81%
81%
85%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.74
2.93
1.39
2.88
3.09
1.35
2.88
2.91
1.32


p Value
6.1E−4
1.1E−4
0.25
3.2E−4
4.9E−5
0.28
3.2E−4
1.1E−4
0.32


Lower limit of
1.54
1.70
0.793
1.62
1.79
0.778
1.62
1.70
0.765


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.86
5.05
2.43
5.12
5.32
2.36
5.12
4.99
2.29


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
3.02
4.04
2.14
2.91
3.93
2.05
2.91
3.82
2.09


p Value
3.7E−6
5.1E−9
0.0020
6.7E−6
9.6E−9
0.0031
6.7E−6
1.8E−8
0.0023


Lower limit of
1.89
2.53
1.32
1.83
2.46
1.27
1.83
2.40
1.30


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.82
6.45
3.46
4.63
6.26
3.31
4.63
6.08
3.36


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.10
3.28
2.37
2.13
3.11
2.39
2.13
3.06
2.42


p Value
0.0049
2.3E−5
0.0013
0.0041
5.0E−5
0.0011
0.0041
6.5E−5
9.2E−4


Lower limit of
1.25
1.89
1.40
1.27
1.80
1.42
1.27
1.77
1.43


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.51
5.68
4.01
3.57
5.39
4.04
3.57
5.30
4.08


95% CI









Example 11. Use of Complement C5 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Complement C5 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 11.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-Recovered
recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.224
0.546
0.224
0.535
0.224
0.529


Average
0.341
0.856
0.346
0.844
0.345
0.835


Stdev
0.586
0.992
0.596
0.986
0.605
0.980


p (t-test)

1.2E−6

3.2E−6

6.0E−6


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
108
208
104
212
100
216







sCr only













Median
0.233
0.576
0.233
0.566
0.237
0.559


Average
0.340
0.906
0.342
0.899
0.345
0.891


Stdev
0.551
1.02
0.555
1.02
0.559
1.02


p (t-test)

3.0E−8

5.6E−8

1.1E−7


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
126
189
124
191
122
193







UO only













Median
0.341
0.538
0.348
0.503
0.341
0.520


Average
0.565
0.959
0.567
0.903
0.555
0.894


Stdev
0.707
1.23
0.711
1.18
0.700
1.15


p (t-test)

4.1E−4

0.0018

0.0013


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
221
93
207
107
197
117












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.73
0.74
0.59
0.72
0.74
0.58
0.72
0.73
0.58


SE
0.028
0.027
0.036
0.029
0.028
0.034
0.029
0.028
0.034


p Value
1.1E−15
0
0.0099
1.4E−14
0
0.028
3.4E−14
2.2E−16
0.016


nCohort
108
126
221
104
124
207
100
122
197


Recovered











nCohort
208
189
93
212
191
107
216
193
117


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
82%
84%
77%
82%
84%
76%
81%
83%
76%


Specificity
39%
39%
26%
38%
39%
26%
39%
39%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384


Sensitivity
64%
66%
62%
63%
65%
59%
62%
65%
59%


Specificity
78%
74%
55%
77%
73%
55%
77%
73%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728


Sensitivity
34%
36%
33%
33%
36%
33%
33%
35%
32%


Specificity
93%
91%
78%
92%
91%
79%
93%
91%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.94
3.37
1.22
2.77
3.26
1.07
2.81
3.15
1.11


p Value
5.7E−5
6.8E−6
0.49
1.5E−4
1.1E−5
0.80
1.3E−4
1.9E−5
0.70


Lower limit of
1.74
1.99
0.689
1.64
1.92
0.624
1.66
1.86
0.653


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.97
5.73
2.16
4.69
5.53
1.84
4.77
5.34
1.89


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
6.34
5.50
2.04
5.73
5.22
1.72
5.58
4.96
1.78


p Value
1.4E−11
2.0E−11
0.0048
1.6E−10
7.4E−11
0.024
4.8E−10
2.7E−10
0.015


Lower limit of
3.71
3.34
1.24
3.35
3.18
1.07
3.25
3.02
1.12


95% CI











Upper limit of
10.8
9.06
3.35
9.78
8.59
2.76
9.59
8.15
2.83


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
6.48
5.88
1.80
6.04
5.68
1.80
6.64
5.49
1.83


p Value
2.3E−6
4.2E−7
0.032
5.5E−6
7.0E−7
0.028
5.8E−6
1.2E−6
0.022


Lower limit of
2.98
2.96
1.05
2.78
2.86
1.07
2.93
2.76
1.09


95% CI











Upper limit of
14.1
11.7
3.08
13.1
11.3
3.04
15.1
10.9
3.07


95% CI
















TABLE 11.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.239
0.579
0.239
0.571
0.239
0.559


Average
0.389
0.900
0.392
0.892
0.394
0.877


Stdev
0.585
1.04
0.589
1.03
0.598
1.03


p (t-test)

4.5E−7

8.1E−7

2.3E−6


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
136
180
134
182
129
187







sCr only













Median
0.244
0.584
0.252
0.584
0.265
0.583


Average
0.390
0.939
0.392
0.934
0.395
0.925


Stdev
0.564
1.07
0.565
1.06
0.569
1.06


p (t-test)

4.2E−8

6.2E−8

1.3E−7


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
149
167
148
168
146
170







UO only













Median
0.340
0.610
0.340
0.576
0.339
0.571


Average
0.556
1.000
0.560
0.961
0.553
0.926


Stdev
0.727
1.21
0.734
1.18
0.729
1.14


p (t-test)

8.2E−5

3.0E−4

5.2E−4


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
225
89
219
95
206
108












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.71
0.63
0.70
0.71
0.61
0.70
0.70
0.61


SE
0.029
0.029
0.036
0.029
0.029
0.035
0.029
0.029
0.034


p Value
3.8E−13
1.3E−13
5.2E−4
1.5E−12
4.2E−13
0.0014
1.1E−11
2.9E−12
0.0017


nCohort
136
149
225
134
148
219
129
146
206


Recovered











nCohort
180
167
89
182
168
95
187
170
108


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
83%
84%
81%
83%
83%
80%
82%
83%
79%


Specificity
36%
35%
28%
36%
34%
27%
36%
34%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384


Sensitivity
66%
67%
65%
65%
67%
63%
64%
66%
61%


Specificity
71%
69%
56%
71%
69%
56%
71%
68%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728


Sensitivity
34%
36%
38%
34%
36%
37%
34%
35%
35%


Specificity
88%
87%
80%
87%
87%
80%
88%
87%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.82
2.78
1.61
2.72
2.63
1.51
2.59
2.53
1.38


p Value
1.1E−4
1.7E−4
0.12
1.8E−4
3.4E−4
0.17
3.5E−4
5.3E−4
0.25


Lower limit of
1.66
1.63
0.881
1.61
1.55
0.842
1.54
1.50
0.793


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.76
4.73
2.95
4.59
4.46
2.71
4.35
4.28
2.40


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
4.85
4.56
2.38
4.60
4.43
2.16
4.29
4.20
1.99


p Value
1.5E−10
3.6E−10
8.4E−4
5.4E−10
6.9E−10
0.0023
3.3E−9
2.5E−9
0.0046


Lower limit of
2.99
2.84
1.43
2.84
2.76
1.31
2.65
2.62
1.24


95% CI











Upper limit of
7.87
7.33
3.96
7.45
7.12
3.54
6.95
6.73
3.19


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.68
3.84
2.47
3.56
3.77
2.32
3.59
3.65
2.18


p Value
1.7E−5
4.7E−6
9.8E−4
2.8E−5
6.2E−6
0.0019
3.5E−5
1.1E−5
0.0034


Lower limit of
2.03
2.16
1.44
1.96
2.12
1.36
1.96
2.05
1.30


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.66
6.82
4.24
6.44
6.71
3.95
6.57
6.48
3.68


95% CI
















TABLE 11.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.239
0.599
0.239
0.593
0.243
0.584


Average
0.399
0.944
0.402
0.934
0.408
0.917


Stdev
0.583
1.07
0.586
1.06
0.593
1.06


p (t-test)

4.8E−8

1.0E−7

4.0E−7


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
153
163
151
165
147
169







sCr only













Median
0.252
0.596
0.259
0.593
0.260
0.591


Average
0.406
0.961
0.408
0.955
0.409
0.950


Stdev
0.573
1.09
0.574
1.08
0.576
1.08


p (t-test)

2.8E−8

4.2E−8

6.3E−8


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
160
156
159
157
158
158







UO only













Median
0.339
0.659
0.339
0.639
0.340
0.593


Average
0.583
0.924
0.584
0.917
0.581
0.886


Stdev
0.832
1.04
0.834
1.04
0.832
1.03


p (t-test)

0.0024

0.0030

0.0051


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
223
91
222
92
211
103












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.73
0.71
0.63
0.72
0.71
0.63
0.71
0.71
0.62


SE
0.028
0.029
0.036
0.028
0.029
0.036
0.029
0.029
0.034


p Value
1.6E−15
1.0E−13
1.6E−4
1.7E−14
3.4E−13
2.0E−4
6.7E−13
9.9E−13
6.8E−4


nCohort
153
160
223
151
159
222
147
158
211


Recovered











nCohort
163
156
91
165
157
92
169
158
103


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
86%
85%
82%
85%
85%
83%
84%
84%
81%


Specificity
37%
35%
28%
36%
35%
28%
35%
34%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384


Sensitivity
69%
69%
66%
68%
68%
65%
67%
68%
62%


Specificity
71%
68%
57%
70%
68%
56%
69%
68%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728


Sensitivity
36%
37%
38%
36%
36%
38%
35%
36%
36%


Specificity
87%
86%
80%
87%
86%
80%
86%
86%
80%


OR Quartile 2
3.51
3.11
1.85
3.12
2.93
1.88
2.88
2.76
1.61


p Value
7.6E−6
5.0E−5
0.050
3.7E−5
1.1E−4
0.043
1.0E−4
2.2E−4
0.10


Lower limit of
2.03
1.80
0.999
1.82
1.70
1.02
1.69
1.61
0.908


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.09
5.39
3.41
5.35
5.05
3.47
4.90
4.74
2.86


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
5.42
4.67
2.51
5.12
4.53
2.42
4.57
4.40
2.08


p Value
5.8E−12
1.9E−10
3.7E−4
2.4E−11
3.8E−10
6.1E−4
3.5E−10
7.3E−10
0.0029


Lower limit of
3.35
2.90
1.51
3.17
2.82
1.46
2.84
2.75
1.29


95% CI











Upper limit of
8.78
7.50
4.18
8.26
7.27
4.00
7.35
7.05
3.37


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.77
3.61
2.54
3.65
3.55
2.48
3.41
3.49
2.26


p Value
4.7E−6
5.9E−6
6.4E−4
8.1E−6
7.8E−6
8.5E−4
2.3E−5
1.0E−5
0.0024


Lower limit of
2.14
2.07
1.49
2.07
2.04
1.46
1.93
2.00
1.33


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.66
6.29
4.35
6.43
6.19
4.24
6.01
6.08
3.82


95% CI
















TABLE 11.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.259
0.610
0.260
0.605
0.266
0.596


Average
0.464
0.922
0.466
0.911
0.473
0.893


Stdev
0.758
0.997
0.764
0.991
0.772
0.985


p (t-test)

5.5E−6

9.9E−6

3.2E−5


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
167
149
164
152
160
156







sCr only













Median
0.270
0.610
0.274
0.605
0.277
0.600


Average
0.467
0.931
0.469
0.926
0.471
0.921


Stdev
0.750
1.01
0.751
1.01
0.753
1.01


p (t-test)

4.2E−6

5.9E−6

8.2E−6


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
171
145
170
146
169
147







UO only













Median
0.336
0.614
0.332
0.619
0.339
0.593


Average
0.575
0.939
0.574
0.937
0.580
0.896


Stdev
0.816
1.07
0.817
1.06
0.829
1.03


p (t-test)

0.0012

0.0011

0.0039


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
222
92
221
93
213
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.70
0.63
0.70
0.70
0.63
0.69
0.69
0.62


SE
0.029
0.030
0.036
0.029
0.030
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.035


p Value
9.8E−13
7.9E−12
2.4E−4
2.7E−12
2.3E−11
1.5E−4
7.3E−11
6.1E−11
6.1E−4


nCohort
167
171
222
164
170
221
160
169
213


Recovered











nCohort
149
145
92
152
146
93
156
147
101


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
85%
85%
82%
84%
84%
82%
83%
84%
80%


Specificity
34%
33%
28%
34%
33%
28%
33%
33%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384


Sensitivity
70%
69%
65%
69%
68%
66%
67%
68%
63%


Specificity
68%
66%
56%
68%
66%
57%
67%
66%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728


Sensitivity
36%
37%
37%
36%
37%
38%
35%
37%
36%


Specificity
85%
85%
80%
85%
85%
80%
85%
85%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.99
2.80
1.71
2.69
2.63
1.74
2.48
2.47
1.55


p Value
1.1E−4
2.8E−4
0.081
3.6E−4
5.5E−4
0.070
8.8E−4
0.0011
0.13


Lower limit of
1.72
1.61
0.936
1.56
1.52
0.955
1.45
1.44
0.874


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.21
4.86
3.12
4.63
4.55
3.18
4.23
4.26
2.75


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
4.84
4.33
2.42
4.68
4.20
2.48
4.16
4.07
2.23


p Value
9.3E−11
1.3E−9
6.1E−4
1.9E−10
2.5E−9
4.0E−4
2.7E−9
4.8E−9
0.0012


Lower limit of
3.00
2.70
1.46
2.91
2.62
1.50
2.60
2.54
1.37


95% CI











Upper limit of
7.79
6.95
4.00
7.52
6.73
4.11
6.65
6.52
3.63


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.23
3.47
2.31
3.31
3.40
2.43
3.09
3.34
2.19


p Value
2.1E−5
6.9E−6
0.0022
1.7E−5
9.2E−6
0.0011
4.9E−5
1.2E−5
0.0036


Lower limit of
1.88
2.02
1.35
1.92
1.98
1.42
1.79
1.95
1.29


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.54
5.96
3.94
5.70
5.85
4.14
5.32
5.75
3.71


95% CI
















TABLE 11.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.312
0.596
0.312
0.596
0.313
0.593


Average
0.536
0.934
0.537
0.927
0.539
0.920


Stdev
0.771
1.06
0.774
1.06
0.776
1.06


p (t-test)

1.6E−4

2.0E−4

2.7E−4


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
202
114
200
116
199
117







sCr only













Median
0.292
0.632
0.292
0.632
0.292
0.632


Average
0.494
0.939
0.494
0.939
0.494
0.939


Stdev
0.763
1.02
0.763
1.02
0.763
1.02


p (t-test)

1.3E−5

1.3E−5

1.3E−5


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
184
132
184
132
184
132







UO only













Median
0.331
0.601
0.329
0.610
0.332
0.593


Average
0.557
0.955
0.556
0.954
0.560
0.938


Stdev
0.785
1.09
0.787
1.09
0.790
1.08


p (t-test)

2.9E−4

2.9E−4

5.2E−4


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
216
98
215
99
213
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.69
0.63
0.66
0.69
0.63
0.65
0.69
0.63


SE
0.033
0.031
0.035
0.033
0.031
0.035
0.033
0.031
0.035


p Value
1.4E−6
1.8E−10
1.7E−4
1.4E−6
1.8E−10
1.1E−4
2.4E−6
1.8E−10
2.7E−4


nCohort
202
184
216
200
184
215
199
184
213


Recovered











nCohort
114
132
98
116
132
99
117
132
101


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
84%
85%
81%
84%
85%
81%
84%
85%
80%


Specificity
30%
32%
28%
30%
32%
28%
30%
32%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384
0.384


Sensitivity
67%
69%
63%
66%
69%
64%
66%
69%
62%


Specificity
59%
64%
56%
60%
64%
56%
59%
64%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728
0.724
0.724
0.728


Sensitivity
34%
38%
38%
34%
38%
38%
34%
38%
38%


Specificity
80%
84%
81%
80%
84%
81%
80%
84%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.31
2.64
1.60
2.19
2.64
1.63
2.23
2.64
1.55


p Value
0.0052
7.9E−4
0.11
0.0079
7.9E−4
0.10
0.0066
7.9E−4
0.13


Lower limit of
1.28
1.50
0.893
1.23
1.50
0.911
1.25
1.50
0.874


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.15
4.66
2.86
3.90
4.66
2.92
3.97
4.66
2.75


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.93
3.88
2.19
2.90
3.88
2.25
2.80
3.88
2.10


p Value
1.2E−5
2.3E−8
0.0017
1.2E−5
2.3E−8
0.0012
2.1E−5
2.3E−8
0.0027


Lower limit of
1.81
2.41
1.34
1.80
2.41
1.38
1.74
2.41
1.29


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.73
6.24
3.58
4.68
6.24
3.68
4.51
6.24
3.41


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.11
3.26
2.51
2.17
3.26
2.64
2.13
3.26
2.53


p Value
0.0049
1.2E−5
6.5E−4
0.0034
1.2E−5
3.2E−4
0.0042
1.2E−5
5.6E−4


Lower limit of
1.25
1.92
1.48
1.29
1.92
1.56
1.27
1.92
1.49


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.54
5.54
4.27
3.65
5.54
4.49
3.58
5.54
4.29


95% CI


















Example 8. Use of Complement C5 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Complement C5 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 12.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.306
0.619
0.304
0.632
0.324
0.632


Average
0.469
1.07
0.478
1.15
0.499
1.20


Stdev
0.609
1.20
0.618
1.24
0.614
1.33


p (t-test)

8.1E−9

5.8E−10

5.2E−10


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
205
111
221
95
235
81







sCr only













Median
0.312
0.600
0.306
0.632
0.322
0.632


Average
0.509
1.01
0.513
1.08
0.529
1.11


Stdev
0.733
1.11
0.732
1.14
0.726
1.20


p (t-test)

2.5E−6

2.2E−7

3.7E−7


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
208
107
223
92
234
81







UO only













Median
0.362
0.802
0.362
0.975
0.362
0.988


Average
0.588
1.32
0.588
1.38
0.586
1.42


Stdev
0.787
1.35
0.783
1.39
0.782
1.39


p (t-test)

1.4E−6

4.3E−7

1.5E−7


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
274
40
277
37
278
36












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.68
0.67
0.72
0.71
0.67
0.69
0.69
0.69


SE
0.032
0.033
0.049
0.033
0.034
0.051
0.036
0.036
0.051


p Value
5.6E−10
3.8E−8
4.4E−4
4.2E−11
1.5E−9
7.0E−4
6.3E−8
3.0E−7
2.0E−4


nCohort
205
208
274
221
223
277
235
234
278


Non-persistent











nCohort Persistent
111
107
40
95
92
37
81
81
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
86%
84%
85%
87%
86%
84%
86%
85%
86%


Specificity
31%
30%
27%
30%
30%
26%
29%
29%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384


Sensitivity
71%
70%
65%
76%
75%
65%
73%
73%
67%


Specificity
61%
60%
52%
61%
60%
52%
58%
58%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728


Sensitivity
39%
37%
52%
41%
40%
54%
41%
40%
56%


Specificity
82%
81%
79%
82%
81%
79%
80%
80%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.63
2.25
2.06
3.01
2.55
1.85
2.59
2.31
2.25


p Value
0.0018
0.0079
0.12
0.0013
0.0049
0.19
0.0073
0.015
0.11


Lower limit of
1.44
1.24
0.830
1.54
1.33
0.741
1.29
1.17
0.843


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.83
4.09
5.10
5.88
4.91
4.61
5.19
4.53
6.00


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
3.94
3.53
2.03
4.91
4.52
2.00
3.68
3.66
2.18


p Value
6.8E−8
7.0E−7
0.045
8.4E−9
5.2E−8
0.058
3.9E−6
4.5E−6
0.037


Lower limit of
2.39
2.14
1.02
2.86
2.63
0.978
2.12
2.10
1.05


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.48
5.81
4.05
8.45
7.77
4.09
6.41
6.36
4.53


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.97
2.59
4.12
3.15
2.90
4.35
2.82
2.60
4.64


p Value
4.8E−5
3.8E−4
5.1E−5
2.5E−5
9.7E−5
4.7E−5
2.0E−4
6.4E−4
2.8E−5


Lower limit of
1.76
1.53
2.08
1.85
1.70
2.14
1.63
1.50
2.26


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.02
4.37
8.17
5.37
4.95
8.82
4.89
4.50
9.51


95% CI
















TABLE 12.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.295
0.614
0.301
0.632
0.305
0.651


Average
0.450
1.01
0.464
1.07
0.478
1.13


Stdev
0.608
1.14
0.616
1.18
0.612
1.24


p (t-test)

3.6E−8

4.7E−9

1.3E−9


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
186
130
204
112
218
98







sCr only













Median
0.303
0.593
0.303
0.610
0.312
0.621


Average
0.501
0.958
0.508
1.00
0.521
1.03


Stdev
0.741
1.07
0.743
1.09
0.736
1.13


p (t-test)

1.0E−5

2.8E−6

2.8E−6


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
192
123
206
109
217
98







UO only













Median
0.348
0.692
0.352
0.692
0.350
0.730


Average
0.572
1.15
0.573
1.19
0.571
1.21


Stdev
0.788
1.21
0.782
1.25
0.781
1.25


p (t-test)

7.1E−6

3.3E−6

1.6E−6


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
255
59
259
55
260
54












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.67
0.67
0.71
0.69
0.67
0.71
0.68
0.68


SE
0.031
0.032
0.041
0.032
0.032
0.043
0.033
0.034
0.043


p Value
7.9E−11
7.5E−8
3.4E−5
2.8E−11
5.9E−9
9.6E−5
3.8E−10
1.2E−7
3.0E−5


nCohort
186
192
255
204
206
259
218
217
260


Non-persistent











nCohort Persistent
130
123
59
112
109
55
98
98
54


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
85%
83%
85%
86%
84%
84%
87%
85%
85%


Specificity
32%
30%
27%
31%
30%
27%
30%
29%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384


Sensitivity
70%
68%
68%
73%
72%
67%
73%
71%
69%


Specificity
64%
61%
54%
63%
61%
54%
61%
59%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728


Sensitivity
38%
36%
49%
40%
38%
49%
42%
38%
50%


Specificity
84%
82%
80%
83%
82%
80%
83%
81%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.56
2.10
2.10
2.68
2.33
1.89
2.84
2.31
2.16


p Value
0.0012
0.0095
0.056
0.0014
0.0055
0.10
0.0017
0.0082
0.059


Lower limit of
1.45
1.20
0.982
1.46
1.28
0.881
1.48
1.24
0.972


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.51
3.69
4.50
4.92
4.23
4.07
5.45
4.31
4.80


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
4.14
3.43
2.48
4.60
3.96
2.38
4.25
3.66
2.54


p Value
6.4E−9
4.3E−7
0.0029
3.2E−9
7.5E−8
0.0056
6.3E−8
7.8E−7
0.0034


Lower limit of
2.56
2.13
1.36
2.78
2.40
1.29
2.52
2.19
1.36


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.70
5.54
4.52
7.63
6.54
4.40
7.18
6.14
4.74


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.38
2.50
3.96
3.36
2.67
3.84
3.41
2.53
4.00


p Value
6.8E−6
5.5E−4
6.1E−6
6.8E−6
2.4E−4
1.5E−5
6.4E−6
6.0E−4
9.6E−6


Lower limit of
1.99
1.49
2.18
1.98
1.58
2.09
2.00
1.49
2.16


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.75
4.20
7.20
5.69
4.50
7.06
5.80
4.29
7.39


95% CI
















TABLE 12.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.290
0.619
0.292
0.651
0.302
0.658


Average
0.438
0.980
0.448
1.03
0.470
1.06


Stdev
0.613
1.10
0.625
1.13
0.627
1.18


p (t-test)

6.8E−8

1.2E−8

1.4E−8


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
175
141
190
126
204
112







sCr only













Median
0.302
0.599
0.301
0.638
0.304
0.638


Average
0.488
0.942
0.493
0.983
0.513
0.999


Stdev
0.750
1.04
0.753
1.05
0.748
1.09


p (t-test)

9.3E−6

2.3E−6

4.9E−6


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
182
133
195
120
207
108







UO only













Median
0.343
0.681
0.345
0.678
0.345
0.678


Average
0.574
1.06
0.573
1.11
0.573
1.11


Stdev
0.801
1.15
0.793
1.18
0.793
1.18


p (t-test)

6.4E−5

2.3E−5

2.3E−5


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
245
69
250
64
250
64












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.68
0.66
0.72
0.70
0.66
0.71
0.69
0.66


SE
0.030
0.031
0.039
0.030
0.031
0.040
0.031
0.033
0.040


p Value
5.0E−12
2.7E−9
4.3E−5
1.7E−13
4.2E−11
5.9E−5
2.2E−11
5.4E−9
5.9E−5


nCohort
175
182
245
190
195
250
204
207
250


Non-persistent











nCohort Persistent
141
133
69
126
120
64
112
108
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
84%
83%
84%
86%
85%
84%
87%
85%
84%


Specificity
33%
31%
28%
32%
31%
28%
31%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384


Sensitivity
70%
68%
67%
73%
72%
67%
73%
71%
67%


Specificity
66%
63%
55%
65%
63%
54%
63%
61%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728


Sensitivity
38%
37%
45%
40%
39%
45%
40%
39%
45%


Specificity
86%
84%
80%
85%
84%
80%
83%
82%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.61
2.30
2.03
2.84
2.58
2.06
2.96
2.52
2.06


p Value
6.8E−4
0.0032
0.049
4.7E−4
0.0015
0.052
6.0E−4
0.0029
0.052


Lower limit of
1.50
1.32
1.00
1.58
1.44
0.993
1.59
1.37
0.993


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.55
4.01
4.09
5.09
4.63
4.27
5.49
4.62
4.27


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
4.37
3.72
2.41
5.08
4.32
2.44
4.60
3.86
2.44


p Value
1.2E−9
5.5E−8
0.0020
1.1E−10
5.6E−9
0.0025
3.2E−9
1.3E−7
0.0025


Lower limit of
2.72
2.32
1.38
3.10
2.64
1.37
2.78
2.34
1.37


95% CI











Upper limit of
7.03
5.97
4.23
8.33
7.07
4.35
7.63
6.38
4.35


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.72
2.96
3.35
3.65
3.28
3.31
3.36
2.92
3.31


p Value
2.1E−6
5.5E−5
3.2E−5
1.9E−6
1.0E−5
5.4E−5
6.8E−6
6.3E−5
5.4E−5


Lower limit of
2.16
1.75
1.89
2.14
1.94
1.85
1.98
1.73
1.85


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.41
5.00
5.92
6.22
5.56
5.93
5.69
4.94
5.93


95% CI
















TABLE 12.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.290
0.610
0.295
0.644
0.302
0.651


Average
0.439
0.971
0.450
1.02
0.469
1.04


Stdev
0.616
1.10
0.627
1.13
0.628
1.17


p (t-test)

1.2E−7

1.9E−8

2.7E−8


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
173
143
189
127
200
116







sCr only













Median
0.303
0.593
0.301
0.632
0.304
0.632


Average
0.492
0.930
0.496
0.966
0.512
0.983


Stdev
0.754
1.03
0.758
1.04
0.752
1.08


p (t-test)

1.8E−5

5.8E−6

8.0E−6


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
180
135
192
123
203
112







UO only













Median
0.339
0.664
0.340
0.664
0.340
0.664


Average
0.566
1.04
0.566
1.09
0.566
1.09


Stdev
0.794
1.13
0.785
1.17
0.785
1.17


p (t-test)

6.2E−5

2.0E−5

2.0E−5


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
238
76
244
70
244
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.67
0.66
0.72
0.70
0.66
0.71
0.68
0.66


SE
0.030
0.031
0.038
0.030
0.031
0.039
0.031
0.032
0.039


p Value
1.1E−11
1.5E−8
2.6E−5
6.3E−13
3.0E−10
4.2E−5
4.8E−11
1.1E−8
4.2E−5


nCohort
173
180
238
189
192
244
200
203
244


Non-persistent











nCohort Persistent
143
135
76
127
123
70
116
112
70


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
84%
82%
84%
85%
84%
84%
85%
84%
84%


Specificity
32%
31%
28%
32%
31%
28%
31%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384


Sensitivity
69%
67%
67%
72%
71%
67%
72%
71%
67%


Specificity
66%
63%
55%
65%
63%
55%
63%
61%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728


Sensitivity
38%
36%
42%
39%
38%
43%
40%
38%
43%


Specificity
86%
83%
80%
85%
83%
80%
84%
82%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.50
2.04
2.09
2.64
2.28
2.07
2.62
2.24
2.07


p Value
0.0011
0.010
0.033
9.4E−4
0.0044
0.042
0.0015
0.0070
0.042


Lower limit of
1.44
1.18
1.06
1.49
1.29
1.03
1.44
1.25
1.03


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.32
3.50
4.12
4.70
4.03
4.18
4.75
4.03
4.18


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
4.35
3.49
2.54
4.90
4.12
2.49
4.47
3.76
2.49


p Value
1.3E−9
1.9E−7
7.6E−4
2.2E−10
1.2E−8
0.0014
3.8E−9
1.6E−7
0.0014


Lower limit of
2.71
2.18
1.48
3.00
2.53
1.42
2.72
2.29
1.42


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.99
5.58
4.37
8.00
6.70
4.35
7.36
6.16
4.35


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.59
2.85
2.96
3.58
3.09
2.98
3.33
2.89
2.98


p Value
3.8E−6
9.6E−5
1.3E−4
2.6E−6
2.6E−5
1.6E−4
7.9E−6
7.2E−5
1.6E−4


Lower limit of
2.09
1.68
1.69
2.10
1.83
1.69
1.96
1.71
1.69


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.18
4.82
5.15
6.10
5.23
5.27
5.63
4.88
5.27


95% CI
















TABLE 12.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.280
0.610
0.285
0.632
0.302
0.632


Average
0.433
0.964
0.448
1.00
0.471
1.02


Stdev
0.618
1.09
0.631
1.11
0.634
1.15


p (t-test)

1.2E−7

4.1E−8

9.7E−8


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
169
147
184
132
196
120







sCr only













Median
0.302
0.593
0.298
0.632
0.303
0.632


Average
0.488
0.922
0.493
0.956
0.509
0.973


Stdev
0.758
1.02
0.762
1.03
0.755
1.07


p (t-test)

2.0E−5

6.6E−6

9.5E−6


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
176
139
188
127
199
116







UO only













Median
0.329
0.667
0.336
0.660
0.336
0.660


Average
0.543
1.08
0.546
1.09
0.546
1.09


Stdev
0.763
1.15
0.759
1.17
0.759
1.17


p (t-test)

3.5E−6

3.0E−6

3.0E−6


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
233
81
236
78
236
78












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.68
0.68
0.72
0.70
0.67
0.70
0.68
0.67


SE
0.029
0.031
0.036
0.030
0.031
0.037
0.031
0.032
0.037


p Value
2.3E−12
9.3E−9
1.1E−6
5.6E−13
1.9E−10
5.2E−6
1.7E−10
7.7E−9
5.2E−6


nCohort
169
176
233
184
188
236
196
199
236


Non-persistent











nCohort Persistent
147
139
81
132
127
78
120
116
78


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
84%
82%
85%
85%
83%
85%
85%
84%
85%


Specificity
33%
31%
29%
32%
31%
28%
31%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384


Sensitivity
69%
67%
69%
71%
70%
68%
71%
70%
68%


Specificity
66%
63%
57%
65%
63%
56%
63%
61%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728


Sensitivity
38%
37%
43%
39%
39%
42%
38%
39%
42%


Specificity
86%
84%
81%
85%
84%
81%
83%
83%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.47
2.02
2.32
2.64
2.25
2.18
2.56
2.20
2.18


p Value
0.0011
0.011
0.015
7.9E−4
0.0046
0.024
0.0016
0.0073
0.024


Lower limit of
1.44
1.18
1.18
1.50
1.28
1.11
1.43
1.24
1.11


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.26
3.46
4.56
4.66
3.95
4.29
4.60
3.93
4.29


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
4.31
3.45
2.93
4.64
4.04
2.69
4.09
3.67
2.69


p Value
1.3E−9
2.0E−7
9.1E−5
5.1E−10
1.4E−8
3.3E−4
1.6E−8
1.8E−7
3.3E−4


Lower limit of
2.69
2.16
1.71
2.86
2.49
1.57
2.51
2.25
1.57


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.92
5.51
5.01
7.52
6.54
4.62
6.67
5.98
4.62


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.91
3.06
3.27
3.51
3.31
3.03
3.07
3.08
3.03


p Value
1.3E−6
3.6E−5
2.3E−5
4.0E−6
9.3E−6
8.5E−5
2.8E−5
2.7E−5
8.5E−5


Lower limit of
2.25
1.80
1.89
2.06
1.95
1.74
1.82
1.82
1.74


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.78
5.21
5.66
5.98
5.62
5.26
5.19
5.20
5.26


95% CI









Example 9. Use of Complement C5 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Complement C5 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 13.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.216
0.566
0.279
0.587
0.279
0.614


Average
0.335
0.888
0.425
0.935
0.430
1.00


Stdev
0.564
1.01
0.593
1.08
0.578
1.13


p (t-test)

8.2E−8

3.7E−7

1.3E−8


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
119
197
158
158
178
138







sCr only













Median
0.237
0.576
0.285
0.589
0.277
0.621


Average
0.383
0.888
0.437
0.937
0.440
1.01


Stdev
0.720
0.969
0.696
1.03
0.671
1.08


p (t-test)

8.0E−7

6.9E−7

1.8E−8


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
130
185
162
153
183
132







UO only













Median
0.342
0.614
0.348
0.688
0.354
0.761


Average
0.549
1.11
0.563
1.19
0.581
1.19


Stdev
0.683
1.33
0.720
1.37
0.787
1.26


p (t-test)

2.2E−6

1.1E−6

9.1E−6


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
240
74
255
59
262
52












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.74
0.73
0.63
0.69
0.70
0.65
0.70
0.71
0.66


SE
0.027
0.028
0.039
0.030
0.030
0.042
0.030
0.030
0.044


p Value
0
0
6.1E−4
1.5E−10
3.3E−11
2.9E−4
7.0E−12
9.0E−13
4.4E−4


nCohort
119
130
240
158
162
255
178
183
262


Non-persistent











nCohort Persistent
197
185
74
158
153
59
138
132
52


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
85%
84%
81%
84%
84%
81%
86%
86%
81%


Specificity
41%
38%
27%
34%
33%
27%
33%
33%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384


Sensitivity
66%
66%
65%
67%
67%
68%
71%
72%
67%


Specificity
77%
73%
55%
67%
66%
54%
66%
66%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728


Sensitivity
36%
36%
41%
36%
37%
47%
38%
39%
52%


Specificity
92%
90%
80%
86%
86%
80%
85%
85%
80%


OR Quartile 2
3.90
3.36
1.59
2.56
2.56
1.59
2.93
2.90
1.50


p Value
5.8E−7
7.6E−6
0.16
5.6E−4
6.3E−4
0.20
2.1E−4
2.9E−4
0.28


Lower limit of
2.29
1.98
0.833
1.50
1.49
0.779
1.66
1.63
0.715


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.64
5.72
3.04
4.37
4.39
3.23
5.16
5.16
3.15


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
6.76
5.38
2.22
4.16
4.01
2.48
4.82
4.89
2.36


p Value
6.5E−13
2.3E−11
0.0039
2.7E−9
6.5E−9
0.0029
1.5E−10
1.7E−10
0.0073


Lower limit of
4.02
3.29
1.29
2.60
2.51
1.36
2.98
3.00
1.26


95% CI











Upper limit of
11.4
8.82
3.81
6.64
6.41
4.52
7.80
7.96
4.43


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
6.74
4.99
2.66
3.49
3.49
3.61
3.65
3.76
4.36


p Value
4.3E−7
1.1E−6
6.3E−4
1.0E−5
8.6E−6
2.4E−5
2.6E−6
1.4E−6
3.6E−6


Lower limit of
3.22
2.61
1.52
2.00
2.01
1.99
2.13
2.19
2.34


95% CI











Upper limit of
14.1
9.53
4.65
6.08
6.05
6.56
6.25
6.43
8.13


95% CI
















TABLE 13.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.215
0.556
0.244
0.593
0.243
0.632


Average
0.334
0.870
0.395
0.928
0.396
0.986


Stdev
0.578
0.996
0.578
1.06
0.565
1.09


p (t-test)

3.2E−7

1.1E−7

3.0E−9


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
112
204
147
169
164
152







sCr only













Median
0.237
0.566
0.274
0.584
0.260
0.600


Average
0.385
0.876
0.436
0.913
0.436
0.959


Stdev
0.730
0.963
0.712
1.01
0.694
1.04


p (t-test)

1.8E−6

2.3E−6

2.0E−7


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
126
189
154
161
168
147







UO only













Median
0.332
0.610
0.339
0.667
0.340
0.690


Average
0.538
1.02
0.553
1.08
0.573
1.06


Stdev
0.692
1.23
0.730
1.24
0.800
1.15


p (t-test)

1.3E−5

9.1E−6

6.7E−5


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
221
93
237
77
244
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.74
0.73
0.64
0.71
0.70
0.65
0.73
0.71
0.65


SE
0.027
0.028
0.035
0.029
0.029
0.038
0.028
0.029
0.039


p Value
0
2.2E−16
1.0E−4
1.5E−13
2.1E−11
4.8E−5
2.2E−16
2.6E−13
8.3E−5


nCohort
112
126
221
147
154
237
164
168
244


Non-persistent











nCohort Persistent
204
189
93
169
161
77
152
147
70


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
84%
84%
82%
83%
83%
82%
86%
85%
81%


Specificity
41%
38%
28%
35%
34%
27%
35%
34%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384


Sensitivity
65%
66%
66%
67%
66%
69%
72%
70%
69%


Specificity
78%
73%
57%
70%
67%
56%
70%
67%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728


Sensitivity
34%
35%
39%
36%
35%
44%
39%
37%
47%


Specificity
92%
90%
81%
88%
86%
81%
88%
86%
81%


OR Quartile 2
3.61
3.14
1.74
2.68
2.53
1.70
3.15
2.92
1.63


p Value
2.0E−6
2.1E−5
0.070
2.7E−4
6.2E−4
0.11
5.0E−5
1.5E−4
0.15


Lower limit of
2.13
1.85
0.955
1.58
1.49
0.892
1.81
1.68
0.836


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.13
5.31
3.18
4.54
4.30
3.24
5.48
5.08
3.16


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
6.52
5.16
2.48
4.85
4.00
2.82
5.95
4.81
2.70


p Value
4.1E−12
7.9E−11
4.0E−4
9.1E−11
6.7E−9
2.0E−4
6.5E−13
1.2E−10
5.5E−4


Lower limit of
3.84
3.15
1.50
3.01
2.50
1.64
3.66
2.98
1.54


95% CI











Upper limit of
11.1
8.47
4.11
7.82
6.39
4.88
9.67
7.76
4.75


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
5.98
4.66
2.61
4.05
3.29
3.37
4.57
3.59
3.84


p Value
2.2E−6
3.1E−6
4.2E−4
2.8E−6
2.6E−5
1.7E−5
1.8E−7
4.6E−6
3.5E−6


Lower limit of
2.85
2.44
1.53
2.26
1.89
1.94
2.58
2.08
2.17


95% CI











Upper limit of
12.5
8.91
4.46
7.26
5.73
5.87
8.08
6.19
6.78


95% CI
















TABLE 13.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.216
0.552
0.243
0.587
0.243
0.610


Average
0.336
0.866
0.397
0.917
0.398
0.958


Stdev
0.581
0.995
0.584
1.05
0.576
1.08


p (t-test)

4.4E−7

2.4E−7

2.1E−8


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
111
205
144
172
157
159







sCr only













Median
0.238
0.559
0.277
0.579
0.266
0.593


Average
0.389
0.868
0.440
0.900
0.441
0.932


Stdev
0.736
0.961
0.718
1.01
0.706
1.03


p (t-test)

3.4E−6

5.3E−6

1.1E−6


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
124
191
151
164
162
153







UO only













Median
0.329
0.610
0.336
0.659
0.340
0.660


Average
0.528
0.996
0.547
1.02
0.568
0.996


Stdev
0.681
1.20
0.726
1.20
0.801
1.11


p (t-test)

1.5E−5

3.1E−5

2.1E−4


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
211
103
224
90
231
83












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.74
0.72
0.64
0.71
0.69
0.64
0.73
0.70
0.64


SE
0.028
0.028
0.034
0.029
0.030
0.036
0.028
0.029
0.037


p Value
0
3.1E−15
7.1E−5
5.3E−13
1.3E−10
7.0E−5
1.6E−15
4.6E−12
1.3E−4


nCohort
111
124
211
144
151
224
157
162
231


Non-persistent











nCohort Persistent
205
191
103
172
164
90
159
153
83


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
83%
83%
82%
83%
82%
81%
86%
84%
81%


Specificity
41%
37%
28%
35%
33%
28%
36%
34%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384


Sensitivity
65%
65%
65%
66%
65%
67%
70%
68%
66%


Specificity
77%
73%
57%
69%
66%
57%
70%
67%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728


Sensitivity
34%
35%
38%
35%
35%
41%
37%
36%
43%


Specificity
92%
90%
81%
88%
85%
81%
87%
85%
81%


OR Quartile 2
3.43
2.82
1.76
2.62
2.30
1.64
3.28
2.76
1.57


p Value
4.8E−6
1.0E−4
0.057
3.3E−4
0.0018
0.11
2.3E−5
2.5E−4
0.15


Lower limit of
2.02
1.67
0.983
1.55
1.36
0.899
1.89
1.60
0.847


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.82
4.76
3.14
4.44
3.90
3.01
5.68
4.76
2.91


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
6.35
4.90
2.50
4.47
3.68
2.62
5.41
4.24
2.48


p Value
7.8E−12
2.9E−10
2.3E−4
6.6E−10
4.2E−8
2.3E−4
5.9E−12
1.8E−9
6.6E−4


Lower limit of
3.74
2.99
1.54
2.78
2.31
1.57
3.35
2.65
1.47


95% CI











Upper limit of
10.8
8.03
4.08
7.18
5.86
4.37
8.75
6.80
4.19


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
5.88
4.51
2.61
3.85
3.12
3.03
4.04
3.23
3.35


p Value
2.7E−6
5.1E−6
3.6E−4
6.2E−6
5.7E−5
5.4E−5
1.5E−6
2.5E−5
1.4E−5


Lower limit of
2.80
2.36
1.54
2.14
1.79
1.77
2.29
1.87
1.94


95% CI











Upper limit of
12.3
8.61
4.41
6.90
5.44
5.18
7.14
5.57
5.78


95% CI
















TABLE 13.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.215
0.550
0.244
0.584
0.243
0.600


Average
0.336
0.863
0.399
0.912
0.401
0.949


Stdev
0.584
0.993
0.585
1.05
0.579
1.07


p (t-test)

5.5E−7

3.5E−7

4.2E−8


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
110
206
143
173
155
161







sCr only













Median
0.238
0.559
0.279
0.576
0.270
0.591


Average
0.389
0.868
0.442
0.896
0.443
0.927


Stdev
0.736
0.961
0.720
1.01
0.708
1.02


p (t-test)

3.4E−6

7.4E−6

1.5E−6


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
124
191
150
165
161
154







UO only













Median
0.329
0.576
0.329
0.619
0.339
0.619


Average
0.532
0.971
0.550
0.984
0.573
0.956


Stdev
0.687
1.18
0.733
1.17
0.810
1.08


p (t-test)

4.1E−5

8.8E−5

7.0E−4


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
207
107
219
95
225
89












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.74
0.72
0.63
0.70
0.69
0.64
0.72
0.70
0.63


SE
0.028
0.028
0.034
0.029
0.030
0.035
0.028
0.029
0.036


p Value
0
3.1E−15
1.4E−4
1.7E−12
3.5E−10
9.0E−5
8.9E−15
1.4E−11
2.2E−4


nCohort
110
124
207
143
150
219
155
161
225


Non-persistent











nCohort Persistent
206
191
107
173
165
95
161
154
89


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
83%
83%
81%
83%
82%
81%
85%
84%
81%


Specificity
41%
37%
29%
34%
33%
28%
35%
34%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384


Sensitivity
65%
65%
64%
66%
65%
66%
69%
68%
65%


Specificity
77%
73%
57%
69%
66%
57%
70%
66%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728


Sensitivity
34%
35%
36%
35%
35%
39%
37%
36%
40%


Specificity
92%
90%
81%
87%
85%
81%
87%
85%
81%


OR Quartile 2
3.50
2.82
1.73
2.48
2.18
1.65
3.14
2.60
1.61


p Value
3.4E−6
1.0E−4
0.059
6.6E−4
0.0034
0.097
3.8E−5
5.0E−4
0.12


Lower limit of
2.06
1.67
0.979
1.47
1.29
0.914
1.82
1.52
0.881


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.94
4.76
3.07
4.19
3.68
2.99
5.41
4.46
2.95


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
6.19
4.90
2.46
4.35
3.58
2.62
5.10
4.12
2.38


p Value
1.5E−11
2.9E−10
2.6E−4
1.3E−9
7.6E−8
1.7E−4
2.4E−11
3.5E−9
8.4E−4


Lower limit of
3.65
2.99
1.52
2.71
2.25
1.58
3.16
2.58
1.43


95% CI











Upper limit of
10.5
8.03
3.98
6.99
5.70
4.33
8.23
6.59
3.96


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
5.78
4.51
2.39
3.78
3.07
2.69
3.90
3.17
2.87


p Value
3.4E−6
5.1E−6
0.0011
8.1E−6
7.3E−5
2.7E−4
2.7E−6
3.3E−5
1.2E−4


Lower limit of
2.76
2.36
1.42
2.11
1.76
1.58
2.21
1.84
1.68


95% CI











Upper limit of
12.1
8.61
4.04
6.78
5.35
4.58
6.89
5.47
4.92


95% CI
















TABLE 13.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.212
0.550
0.243
0.579
0.243
0.593


Average
0.331
0.856
0.400
0.897
0.403
0.927


Stdev
0.592
0.985
0.594
1.04
0.589
1.06


p (t-test)

7.5E−7

9.1E−7

1.8E−7


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
106
210
138
178
149
167







sCr only













Median
0.236
0.563
0.265
0.576
0.259
0.591


Average
0.384
0.864
0.440
0.887
0.440
0.917


Stdev
0.743
0.954
0.729
0.995
0.716
1.01


p (t-test)

3.6E−6

1.0E−5

2.2E−6


Min
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224
0.00300
0.00224


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00


n (Patient)
121
194
146
169
157
158







UO only













Median
0.324
0.576
0.328
0.610
0.329
0.601


Average
0.508
0.991
0.531
0.989
0.555
0.960


Stdev
0.643
1.19
0.699
1.18
0.786
1.09


p (t-test)

4.7E−6

2.3E−5

2.3E−4


Min
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410
0.00224
0.00410


Max
5.75
6.00
5.75
6.00
6.00
5.72


n (Patient)
201
113
211
103
216
98












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.75
0.73
0.64
0.70
0.69
0.64
0.71
0.70
0.64


SE
0.027
0.028
0.033
0.029
0.029
0.034
0.029
0.029
0.035


p Value
0
2.2E−16
2.0E−5
2.8E−12
6.4E−11
3.5E−5
5.2E−14
2.4E−12
7.5E−5


nCohort
106
121
201
138
146
211
149
157
216


Non-persistent











nCohort Persistent
210
194
113
178
169
103
167
158
98


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173
0.173


Sensitivity
83%
83%
82%
83%
82%
82%
84%
84%
82%


Specificity
42%
38%
29%
35%
34%
28%
36%
34%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384
0.384
0.382
0.384


Sensitivity
64%
65%
65%
65%
64%
65%
67%
67%
64%


Specificity
78%
74%
58%
69%
66%
57%
69%
67%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728
0.724
0.716
0.728


Sensitivity
34%
35%
36%
35%
34%
38%
36%
35%
39%


Specificity
92%
90%
81%
88%
86%
81%
87%
85%
81%


OR Quartile 2
3.55
2.99
1.93
2.53
2.34
1.76
2.99
2.79
1.75


p Value
2.8E−6
4.2E−5
0.024
5.0E−4
0.0014
0.057
6.1E−5
1.9E−4
0.064


Lower limit of
2.09
1.77
1.09
1.50
1.39
0.983
1.75
1.63
0.969


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.03
5.06
3.42
4.26
3.95
3.14
5.12
4.78
3.16


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
6.50
5.15
2.54
4.03
3.60
2.50
4.56
4.12
2.34


p Value
1.2E−11
1.3E−10
1.3E−4
7.8E−9
7.4E−8
2.3E−4
3.6E−10
3.5E−9
7.4E−4


Lower limit of
3.78
3.13
1.58
2.51
2.26
1.54
2.84
2.57
1.43


95% CI











Upper limit of
11.2
8.50
4.09
6.47
5.73
4.08
7.33
6.58
3.83


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
6.26
4.79
2.44
3.80
3.11
2.61
3.84
3.20
2.70


p Value
3.6E−6
3.9E−6
7.9E−4
1.0E−5
7.3E−5
3.6E−4
4.7E−6
3.4E−5
2.3E−4


Lower limit of
2.88
2.46
1.45
2.10
1.78
1.54
2.16
1.85
1.59


95% CI











Upper limit of
13.6
9.32
4.11
6.89
5.45
4.41
6.82
5.54
4.59


95% CI









Example 14. Use of Fibroblast Growth Factor 21 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Fibroblast growth factor 21 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 14.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0175
0.287
0.0169
0.289
0.0169
0.286


Average
0.437
0.718
0.131
0.763
0.144
0.750


Stdev
1.20
1.16
0.314
1.24
0.330
1.23


p (t-test)

0.31

0.029

0.046


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
1.33
5.96
1.33
5.96


n (Patient)
22
108
19
111
17
113










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0181
0.298
0.0186
0.292
0.0191
0.290


Average
0.316
0.772
0.327
0.764
0.340
0.756


Stdev
1.02
1.20
1.04
1.20
1.05
1.19


p (t-test)

0.066

0.082

0.10


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
5.40
5.96
5.40
5.96


n (Patient)
29
100
28
101
27
102










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.144
0.180
0.121
0.297
0.0814
0.298


Average
0.616
0.781
0.514
0.901
0.505
0.860


Stdev
1.09
1.30
0.972
1.38
1.01
1.31


p (t-test)

0.44

0.064

0.085


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
82
47
75
54
67
62












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.72
0.52
0.74
0.70
0.58
0.73
0.69
0.61


SE
0.057
0.049
0.053
0.054
0.051
0.051
0.058
0.053
0.050


p Value
0.0021
1.2E−5
0.76
1.2E−5
9.5E−5
0.10
9.0E−5
3.8E−4
0.035


nCohort Recovered
22
29
82
19
28
75
17
27
67


nCohort Non-recovered
108
100
47
111
101
54
113
102
62


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131


Sensitivity
79%
81%
77%
78%
80%
80%
78%
79%
81%


Specificity
45%
45%
26%
47%
43%
28%
47%
41%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163


Sensitivity
56%
57%
53%
56%
56%
59%
55%
56%
60%


Specificity
77%
72%
51%
84%
71%
56%
82%
70%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780


Sensitivity
28%
31%
28%
29%
31%
35%
28%
30%
35%


Specificity
86%
93%
76%
95%
93%
81%
94%
93%
84%


OR Quartile 2
3.08
3.46
1.13
3.26
3.04
1.52
3.13
2.65
1.77


p Value
0.021
0.0060
0.78
0.021
0.015
0.32
0.033
0.035
0.17


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.18
1.43
0.487
1.19
1.24
0.661
1.09
1.07
0.782


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.02
8.40
2.60
8.94
7.43
3.49
8.95
6.56
4.02


OR Quartile 3
4.25
3.48
1.19
6.75
3.24
1.85
5.67
3.01
2.06


p Value
0.0079
0.0070
0.63
0.0037
0.011
0.089
0.0089
0.018
0.043


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.46
1.41
0.582
1.86
1.30
0.911
1.54
1.21
1.02


Upper limit of 95% CI
12.4
8.61
2.45
24.5
8.04
3.76
20.8
7.50
4.16


OR Quartile 4
2.44
6.07
1.19
7.29
5.76
2.37
6.32
5.46
2.80


p Value
0.18
0.018
0.68
0.058
0.022
0.036
0.080
0.027
0.015


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.672
1.36
0.525
0.934
1.29
1.06
0.805
1.22
1.22


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.84
27.1
2.68
56.9
25.8
5.29
49.7
24.5
6.42
















TABLE 14.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0175
0.336
0.0175
0.319
0.0181
0.305


Average
0.300
0.802
0.317
0.786
0.348
0.763


Stdev
0.960
1.21
0.988
1.20
1.03
1.19


p (t-test)

0.031

0.048

0.092


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
5.40
5.96
5.40
5.96


n (Patient)
34
96
32
98
29
101










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0186
0.359
0.0191
0.347
0.0204
0.347


Average
0.286
0.842
0.293
0.832
0.301
0.823


Stdev
0.890
1.24
0.900
1.24
0.911
1.23


p (t-test)

0.012

0.015

0.020


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
5.40
5.96
5.40
5.96


n (Patient)
40
90
39
91
38
92










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.136
0.265
0.123
0.285
0.107
0.298


Average
0.573
0.896
0.579
0.850
0.578
0.811


Stdev
1.06
1.38
1.08
1.31
1.12
1.23


p (t-test)

0.15

0.21

0.27


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
88
41
83
46
75
54












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.73
0.73
0.54
0.72
0.72
0.56
0.70
0.71
0.58


SE
0.046
0.044
0.055
0.047
0.046
0.053
0.050
0.047
0.051


p Value
6.1E−7
1.3E−7
0.45
3.0E−6
1.4E−6
0.30
5.4E−5
6.8E−6
0.14


nCohort Recovered
34
40
88
32
39
83
29
38
75


nCohort Non-recovered
96
90
41
98
91
46
101
92
54


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131


Sensitivity
81%
82%
76%
81%
81%
78%
79%
80%
80%


Specificity
44%
42%
25%
44%
41%
27%
41%
39%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163


Sensitivity
61%
62%
56%
60%
62%
59%
58%
61%
59%


Specificity
82%
78%
52%
81%
77%
54%
79%
76%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780


Sensitivity
31%
33%
32%
31%
33%
33%
30%
33%
33%


Specificity
91%
92%
77%
91%
92%
78%
90%
92%
80%


OR Quartile 2
3.42
3.42
1.03
3.23
3.03
1.30
2.69
2.68
1.52


p Value
0.0045
0.0036
0.94
0.0074
0.0087
0.55
0.028
0.020
0.32


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.46
1.49
0.437
1.37
1.32
0.553
1.11
1.17
0.661


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.00
7.82
2.44
7.64
6.93
3.05
6.49
6.15
3.49


OR Quartile 3
7.44
5.67
1.40
6.56
5.33
1.68
5.38
5.01
1.85


p Value
5.3E−5
7.0E−5
0.38
1.6E−4
1.3E−4
0.16
7.8E−4
2.3E−4
0.089


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.81
2.41
0.664
2.47
2.27
0.812
2.02
2.13
0.911


Upper limit of 95% CI
19.7
13.4
2.95
17.4
12.6
3.49
14.4
11.8
3.76


OR Quartile 4
4.70
6.17
1.58
4.26
5.90
1.75
3.66
5.65
2.00


p Value
0.016
0.0045
0.28
0.025
0.0056
0.18
0.045
0.0070
0.090


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.33
1.76
0.692
1.20
1.68
0.779
1.03
1.61
0.899


Upper limit of 95% CI
16.6
21.6
3.60
15.1
20.7
3.92
13.0
19.8
4.45
















TABLE 14.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0333
0.346
0.0349
0.326
0.0349
0.305


Average
0.438
0.802
0.457
0.784
0.498
0.750


Stdev
1.18
1.15
1.20
1.14
1.25
1.13


p (t-test)

0.088

0.13

0.26


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
47
83
45
85
41
89










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0341
0.359
0.0349
0.347
0.0349
0.346


Average
0.419
0.838
0.428
0.827
0.443
0.808


Stdev
1.13
1.17
1.13
1.17
1.16
1.16


p (t-test)

0.045

0.057

0.085


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
52
78
51
79
49
81










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.140
0.278
0.131
0.278
0.123
0.278


Average
0.627
0.784
0.634
0.756
0.597
0.793


Stdev
1.17
1.19
1.19
1.15
1.12
1.25


p (t-test)

0.48

0.58

0.35


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
89
40
85
44
77
52












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.69
0.53
0.67
0.68
0.54
0.65
0.67
0.56


SE
0.047
0.046
0.055
0.048
0.047
0.054
0.050
0.047
0.052


p Value
9.6E−5
2.6E−5
0.60
3.2E−4
1.3E−4
0.51
0.0026
4.5E−4
0.26


nCohort Recovered
47
52
89
45
51
85
41
49
77


nCohort Non-recovered
83
78
40
85
79
44
89
81
52


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131


Sensitivity
81%
82%
75%
80%
81%
77%
79%
80%
79%


Specificity
36%
37%
25%
36%
35%
26%
34%
35%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163


Sensitivity
63%
63%
55%
61%
62%
57%
58%
60%
58%


Specificity
72%
69%
52%
71%
69%
53%
68%
67%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780


Sensitivity
33%
35%
30%
32%
34%
30%
30%
33%
31%


Specificity
87%
88%
76%
87%
88%
76%
85%
88%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.37
2.63
0.985
2.21
2.33
1.19
1.91
2.16
1.40


p Value
0.036
0.019
0.97
0.055
0.039
0.69
0.12
0.061
0.43


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.06
1.17
0.416
0.982
1.04
0.504
0.841
0.967
0.607


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.32
5.91
2.33
4.96
5.20
2.79
4.34
4.82
3.22


OR Quartile 3
4.39
3.80
1.31
3.88
3.57
1.48
3.03
3.16
1.64


p Value
2.0E−4
4.6E−4
0.48
6.4E−4
8.2E−4
0.29
0.0055
0.0025
0.17


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.01
1.80
0.618
1.78
1.69
0.711
1.39
1.50
0.805


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.56
8.02
2.76
8.45
7.53
3.08
6.61
6.65
3.33


OR Quartile 4
3.29
4.06
1.39
3.03
3.89
1.36
2.54
3.58
1.57


p Value
0.016
0.0047
0.44
0.026
0.0060
0.46
0.061
0.0100
0.27


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.25
1.54
0.602
1.14
1.48
0.601
0.956
1.36
0.706


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.71
10.7
3.20
8.01
10.3
3.09
6.75
9.46
3.48
















TABLE 14.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0349
0.370
0.0349
0.346
0.0407
0.309


Average
0.412
0.848
0.435
0.813
0.482
0.767


Stdev
1.12
1.18
1.16
1.16
1.21
1.14


p (t-test)

0.036

0.074

0.19


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
53
77
49
81
44
86










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0349
0.370
0.0351
0.359
0.0349
0.347


Average
0.411
0.861
0.418
0.850
0.425
0.840


Stdev
1.10
1.19
1.11
1.19
1.12
1.18


p (t-test)

0.030

0.038

0.046


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
55
75
54
76
53
77










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.131
0.298
0.123
0.298
0.115
0.292


Average
0.630
0.770
0.639
0.743
0.600
0.784


Stdev
1.18
1.17
1.20
1.13
1.13
1.24


p (t-test)

0.53

0.63

0.38


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
87
42
83
46
76
53












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.70
0.55
0.68
0.68
0.55
0.65
0.68
0.56


SE
0.046
0.046
0.055
0.046
0.046
0.053
0.049
0.046
0.052


p Value
3.3E−5
1.6E−5
0.36
7.2E−5
8.4E−5
0.31
0.0020
1.0E−4
0.24


nCohort Recovered
53
55
87
49
54
83
44
53
76


nCohort Non-recovered
77
75
42
81
76
46
86
77
53


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131


Sensitivity
82%
83%
79%
81%
82%
80%
79%
82%
79%


Specificity
36%
36%
26%
37%
35%
28%
34%
36%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163


Sensitivity
64%
64%
57%
63%
63%
59%
59%
62%
58%


Specificity
70%
69%
53%
71%
69%
54%
68%
68%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780


Sensitivity
35%
36%
29%
33%
36%
28%
31%
35%
30%


Specificity
89%
89%
76%
88%
89%
76%
86%
89%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.51
2.73
1.32
2.55
2.40
1.58
1.95
2.51
1.46


p Value
0.025
0.016
0.54
0.023
0.033
0.31
0.11
0.025
0.37


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.12
1.21
0.548
1.14
1.07
0.658
0.868
1.12
0.634


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.63
6.14
3.17
5.73
5.38
3.77
4.40
5.63
3.35


OR Quartile 3
4.05
3.97
1.50
4.25
3.73
1.68
3.12
3.51
1.74


p Value
2.5E−4
2.6E−4
0.29
2.2E−4
4.8E−4
0.16
0.0036
8.7E−4
0.13


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.92
1.89
0.712
1.97
1.78
0.812
1.45
1.68
0.856


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.55
8.34
3.14
9.15
7.82
3.49
6.72
7.33
3.54


OR Quartile 4
4.23
4.59
1.26
3.58
4.41
1.24
2.90
4.23
1.50


p Value
0.0036
0.0021
0.59
0.0100
0.0027
0.60
0.032
0.0036
0.32


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.60
1.74
0.548
1.36
1.67
0.549
1.09
1.60
0.676


Upper limit of 95% CI
11.2
12.1
2.88
9.46
11.6
2.80
7.68
11.2
3.33
















TABLE 14.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0778
0.305
0.0684
0.305
0.0684
0.305


Average
0.630
0.733
0.640
0.714
0.640
0.714


Stdev
1.24
1.06
1.25
1.05
1.25
1.05


p (t-test)

0.63

0.72

0.72


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
79
51
77
53
77
53










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0553
0.347
0.0553
0.347
0.0553
0.347


Average
0.518
0.828
0.518
0.828
0.518
0.828


Stdev
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.16


p (t-test)

0.13

0.13

0.13


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
66
64
66
64
66
64










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.127
0.305
0.115
0.305
0.107
0.298


Average
0.638
0.752
0.647
0.729
0.653
0.717


Stdev
1.20
1.12
1.21
1.10
1.22
1.09


p (t-test)

0.60

0.71

0.77


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
86
43
84
45
83
46












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.60
0.65
0.56
0.60
0.65
0.56
0.60
0.65
0.56


SE
0.051
0.048
0.054
0.051
0.048
0.054
0.051
0.048
0.053


p Value
0.051
0.0023
0.29
0.047
0.0023
0.28
0.047
0.0023
0.28


nCohort Recovered
79
66
86
77
66
84
77
66
83


nCohort Non-recovered
51
64
43
53
64
45
53
64
46


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131


Sensitivity
82%
83%
79%
83%
83%
80%
83%
83%
80%


Specificity
30%
33%
27%
31%
33%
27%
31%
33%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163


Sensitivity
63%
64%
58%
64%
64%
60%
64%
64%
61%


Specificity
58%
64%
53%
60%
64%
55%
60%
64%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780


Sensitivity
29%
34%
30%
28%
34%
29%
28%
34%
28%


Specificity
77%
83%
77%
77%
83%
76%
77%
83%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.04
2.41
1.38
2.21
2.41
1.51
2.21
2.41
1.58


p Value
0.11
0.037
0.47
0.071
0.037
0.36
0.071
0.037
0.31


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.857
1.05
0.574
0.933
1.05
0.629
0.933
1.05
0.658


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.84
5.51
3.31
5.25
5.51
3.61
5.25
5.51
3.77


OR Quartile 3
2.35
3.12
1.60
2.66
3.12
1.82
2.66
3.12
1.93


p Value
0.021
0.0018
0.21
0.0081
0.0018
0.11
0.0081
0.0018
0.078


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.14
1.52
0.763
1.29
1.52
0.871
1.29
1.52
0.929


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.84
6.38
3.35
5.47
6.38
3.79
5.47
6.38
4.03


OR Quartile 4
1.41
2.62
1.43
1.29
2.62
1.30
1.29
2.62
1.24


p Value
0.40
0.023
0.39
0.53
0.023
0.53
0.53
0.023
0.60


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.635
1.14
0.629
0.583
1.14
0.574
0.583
1.14
0.549


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.14
5.99
3.25
2.87
5.99
2.94
2.87
5.99
2.80
















TABLE 14.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.144
0.575
0.133
0.566
0.133
0.566


Average
0.402
1.17
0.397
1.15
0.400
1.13


Stdev
0.513
1.42
0.511
1.41
0.528
1.40


p (t-test)

0.0087

0.017

0.026


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478


Max
1.64
8.76
1.64
8.76
1.64
8.76


n (Patient)
25
126
21
130
19
132










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.178
0.567
0.190
0.566
0.190
0.566


Average
0.711
1.09
0.730
1.09
0.758
1.07


Stdev
1.63
1.23
1.66
1.23
1.71
1.22


p (t-test)

0.16

0.20

0.27


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76


n (Patient)
29
121
28
122
26
124










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.289
0.781
0.282
0.771
0.286
0.753


Average
0.891
1.28
0.873
1.27
0.914
1.18


Stdev
1.22
1.49
1.22
1.47
1.26
1.42


p (t-test)

0.081

0.077

0.22


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0335
0.0113
0.00478


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
91
59
84
66
77
73












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.73
0.67
0.62
0.73
0.67
0.62
0.72
0.66
0.59


SE
0.049
0.051
0.047
0.052
0.052
0.046
0.054
0.054
0.046


p Value
2.2E−6
7.4E−4
0.011
1.3E−5
0.0013
0.0082
3.9E−5
0.0033
0.057


nCohort Recovered
25
29
91
21
28
84
19
26
77


nCohort Non-recovered
126
121
59
130
122
66
132
124
73


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161


Sensitivity
80%
79%
81%
80%
80%
82%
80%
79%
79%


Specificity
52%
45%
30%
57%
46%
31%
58%
46%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519


Sensitivity
55%
55%
63%
54%
54%
61%
54%
54%
58%


Specificity
72%
69%
58%
71%
68%
58%
74%
69%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46


Sensitivity
29%
29%
31%
28%
29%
30%
28%
28%
27%


Specificity
96%
90%
78%
95%
89%
79%
95%
88%
77%


OR Quartile 2
4.38
3.12
1.84
5.33
3.36
2.02
5.35
3.23
1.65


p Value
0.0013
0.0090
0.13
6.8E−4
0.0059
0.077
0.0011
0.0093
0.19


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.78
1.33
0.832
2.03
1.42
0.927
1.96
1.33
0.779


Upper limit of 95% CI
10.7
7.33
4.08
14.0
7.97
4.39
14.6
7.82
3.48


OR Quartile 3
3.11
2.67
2.35
2.92
2.49
2.15
3.26
2.64
1.81


p Value
0.018
0.026
0.013
0.037
0.040
0.022
0.032
0.035
0.073


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.21
1.12
1.20
1.06
1.04
1.12
1.11
1.07
0.946


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.98
6.33
4.59
7.99
5.94
4.16
9.57
6.54
3.45


OR Quartile 4
9.98
3.53
1.56
7.96
3.35
1.59
7.01
3.01
1.24


p Value
0.027
0.050
0.24
0.047
0.060
0.22
0.063
0.087
0.57


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.30
1.00
0.741
1.03
0.951
0.761
0.903
0.851
0.592


Upper limit of 95% CI
76.5
12.4
3.28
61.5
11.8
3.34
54.4
10.7
2.58
















TABLE 14.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.196
0.716
0.209
0.582
0.196
0.680


Average
0.665
1.18
0.707
1.15
0.573
1.17


Stdev
1.02
1.42
1.06
1.41
0.907
1.41


p (t-test)

0.038

0.087

0.026


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478


Max
4.20
8.76
4.20
8.76
4.20
8.76


n (Patient)
40
111
36
115
32
119










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.226
0.582
0.231
0.575
0.226
0.582


Average
0.885
1.11
0.902
1.10
0.858
1.11


Stdev
1.56
1.24
1.58
1.24
1.57
1.25


p (t-test)

0.36

0.42

0.31


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76


n (Patient)
44
107
43
108
40
111










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.294
0.805
0.289
0.753
0.295
0.716


Average
0.920
1.30
0.911
1.27
0.961
1.16


Stdev
1.23
1.53
1.24
1.49
1.27
1.44


p (t-test)

0.11

0.12

0.38


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0335
0.0113
0.00478


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
100
50
93
57
85
65












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.67
0.61
0.62
0.65
0.61
0.61
0.68
0.62
0.57


SE
0.047
0.049
0.050
0.049
0.049
0.048
0.049
0.050
0.047


p Value
4.2E−4
0.018
0.018
0.0028
0.026
0.017
2.8E−4
0.020
0.16


nCohort Recovered
40
44
100
36
43
93
32
40
85


nCohort Non-recovered
111
107
50
115
108
57
119
111
65


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161


Sensitivity
80%
79%
82%
80%
79%
82%
80%
78%
78%


Specificity
40%
34%
29%
42%
35%
30%
44%
35%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519


Sensitivity
56%
55%
62%
55%
55%
60%
55%
55%
55%


Specificity
65%
61%
56%
64%
60%
56%
69%
62%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46


Sensitivity
30%
29%
32%
29%
29%
32%
29%
29%
28%


Specificity
88%
84%
78%
86%
84%
78%
91%
85%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.70
1.89
1.86
2.86
1.98
2.02
3.08
1.95
1.43


p Value
0.013
0.11
0.15
0.011
0.085
0.089
0.0079
0.098
0.35


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.23
0.870
0.803
1.28
0.909
0.897
1.34
0.885
0.672


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.92
4.10
4.31
6.39
4.31
4.57
7.06
4.31
3.05


OR Quartile 3
2.35
1.95
2.08
2.14
1.84
1.87
2.74
2.03
1.46


p Value
0.026
0.067
0.039
0.053
0.096
0.066
0.017
0.061
0.25


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.11
0.954
1.04
0.990
0.897
0.960
1.19
0.969
0.765


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.97
4.00
4.16
4.64
3.78
3.66
6.28
4.27
2.80


OR Quartile 4
2.96
2.16
1.67
2.50
2.07
1.68
4.03
2.30
1.24


p Value
0.037
0.098
0.19
0.081
0.12
0.17
0.029
0.090
0.56


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.07
0.868
0.781
0.893
0.833
0.799
1.15
0.879
0.594


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.23
5.35
3.57
6.97
5.15
3.55
14.1
6.00
2.61
















TABLE 14.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.218
0.733
0.209
0.716
0.185
0.716


Average
0.676
1.22
0.702
1.19
0.587
1.20


Stdev
0.955
1.47
0.990
1.45
0.867
1.45


p (t-test)

0.018

0.040

0.012


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478


Max
4.20
8.76
4.20
8.76
4.20
8.76


n (Patient)
50
101
46
105
40
111










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.242
0.582
0.242
0.567
0.231
0.575


Average
0.871
1.14
0.895
1.12
0.855
1.13


Stdev
1.44
1.28
1.46
1.28
1.44
1.29


p (t-test)

0.25

0.34

0.24


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76


n (Patient)
54
97
52
99
49
102










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.316
0.728
0.292
0.747
0.287
0.728


Average
0.946
1.23
0.927
1.24
0.944
1.18


Stdev
1.24
1.53
1.24
1.49
1.27
1.44


p (t-test)

0.21

0.16

0.29


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0505


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
98
52
94
56
86
64












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.60
0.60
0.65
0.59
0.61
0.68
0.61
0.59


SE
0.046
0.047
0.050
0.046
0.048
0.048
0.046
0.048
0.047


p Value
8.9E−4
0.032
0.055
0.0014
0.050
0.020
8.7E−5
0.025
0.048


nCohort Recovered
50
54
98
46
52
94
40
49
86


nCohort Non-recovered
101
97
52
105
99
56
111
102
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161


Sensitivity
80%
78%
83%
81%
79%
84%
81%
79%
81%


Specificity
36%
31%
30%
39%
33%
31%
42%
35%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519


Sensitivity
57%
56%
60%
56%
55%
61%
57%
55%
58%


Specificity
64%
59%
55%
63%
58%
56%
68%
59%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46


Sensitivity
30%
29%
29%
29%
28%
30%
30%
28%
28%


Specificity
84%
81%
77%
83%
81%
78%
88%
82%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.28
1.66
2.01
2.73
1.80
2.33
3.17
2.05
1.88


p Value
0.033
0.18
0.10
0.010
0.12
0.048
0.0041
0.064
0.11


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.07
0.785
0.868
1.27
0.849
1.01
1.44
0.959
0.862


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.86
3.52
4.65
5.88
3.83
5.38
6.96
4.38
4.09


OR Quartile 3
2.40
1.83
1.81
2.19
1.64
2.00
2.73
1.77
1.73


p Value
0.014
0.080
0.088
0.031
0.15
0.044
0.0098
0.11
0.100


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.19
0.930
0.916
1.07
0.831
1.02
1.27
0.885
0.900


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.83
3.59
3.58
4.46
3.22
3.92
5.83
3.52
3.33


OR Quartile 4
2.22
1.79
1.32
1.90
1.66
1.52
2.96
1.77
1.29


p Value
0.072
0.16
0.47
0.15
0.23
0.28
0.037
0.19
0.50


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.931
0.790
0.618
0.794
0.732
0.717
1.07
0.761
0.616


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.29
4.03
2.83
4.54
3.75
3.20
8.23
4.10
2.71
















TABLE 14.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.258
0.716
0.231
0.649
0.216
0.725


Average
0.808
1.19
0.824
1.16
0.612
1.23


Stdev
1.21
1.41
1.25
1.38
0.822
1.48


p (t-test)

0.093

0.14

0.0079


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
4.20
8.76


n (Patient)
58
93
53
98
47
104










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.282
0.582
0.286
0.575
0.286
0.575


Average
0.950
1.10
0.962
1.09
0.925
1.11


Stdev
1.57
1.18
1.58
1.17
1.56
1.20


p (t-test)

0.50

0.56

0.41


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01


n (Patient)
60
91
59
92
57
94










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.316
0.575
0.292
0.649
0.287
0.649


Average
0.967
1.19
0.951
1.20
0.954
1.17


Stdev
1.24
1.52
1.25
1.48
1.27
1.44


p (t-test)

0.34

0.28

0.34


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0505


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
96
54
92
58
86
64












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.61
0.58
0.58
0.62
0.58
0.59
0.66
0.59
0.59


SE
0.046
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.047
0.048
0.046
0.047
0.047


p Value
0.014
0.077
0.12
0.012
0.087
0.053
7.1E−4
0.054
0.064


nCohort Recovered
58
60
96
53
59
92
47
57
86


nCohort Non-recovered
93
91
54
98
92
58
104
94
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161


Sensitivity
78%
77%
81%
80%
77%
83%
80%
78%
81%


Specificity
31%
28%
29%
34%
29%
30%
36%
30%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519


Sensitivity
56%
55%
56%
55%
54%
57%
56%
54%
56%


Specificity
59%
57%
53%
58%
56%
54%
62%
56%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46


Sensitivity
29%
29%
28%
29%
28%
29%
31%
29%
28%


Specificity
81%
80%
76%
81%
80%
77%
87%
81%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.64
1.32
1.81
2.01
1.37
2.10
2.24
1.48
1.88


p Value
0.19
0.47
0.15
0.069
0.41
0.074
0.039
0.31
0.11


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.780
0.626
0.801
0.946
0.650
0.931
1.04
0.700
0.862


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.46
2.77
4.10
4.25
2.88
4.74
4.81
3.12
4.09


OR Quartile 3
1.80
1.59
1.42
1.73
1.51
1.57
2.03
1.52
1.55


p Value
0.084
0.16
0.31
0.11
0.22
0.18
0.048
0.22
0.19


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.925
0.827
0.725
0.880
0.783
0.810
1.00
0.783
0.808


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.49
3.08
2.77
3.40
2.92
3.05
4.11
2.94
2.97


OR Quartile 4
1.75
1.60
1.22
1.72
1.54
1.40
3.04
1.69
1.29


p Value
0.17
0.24
0.61
0.19
0.28
0.37
0.022
0.20
0.50


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.790
0.734
0.572
0.761
0.708
0.665
1.17
0.761
0.616


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.87
3.49
2.60
3.89
3.36
2.96
7.87
3.73
2.71
















TABLE 14.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.294
0.728
0.291
0.740
0.291
0.740


Average
0.845
1.27
0.834
1.27
0.834
1.27


Stdev
1.15
1.51
1.16
1.50
1.16
1.50


p (t-test)

0.053

0.044

0.044


Min
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
81
70
80
71
80
71










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.286
0.649
0.286
0.649
0.286
0.649


Average
0.989
1.08
0.983
1.08
0.983
1.08


Stdev
1.57
1.14
1.58
1.14
1.58
1.14


p (t-test)

0.67

0.65

0.65


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
4.31
8.76
4.31
8.76
4.31


n (Patient)
67
84
65
86
65
86










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.295
0.716
0.294
0.740
0.289
0.781


Average
0.904
1.29
0.878
1.32
0.856
1.34


Stdev
1.16
1.60
1.16
1.58
1.16
1.56


p (t-test)

0.090

0.050

0.031


Min
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
95
55
93
57
91
59












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
0.57
0.59
0.60
0.58
0.61
0.60
0.58
0.62


SE
0.046
0.047
0.049
0.046
0.047
0.048
0.046
0.047
0.047


p Value
0.046
0.12
0.069
0.030
0.085
0.026
0.030
0.085
0.011


nCohort Recovered
81
67
95
80
65
93
80
65
91


nCohort Non-recovered
70
84
55
71
86
57
71
86
59


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161


Sensitivity
77%
77%
80%
77%
78%
81%
77%
78%
81%


Specificity
27%
28%
28%
28%
29%
29%
28%
29%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519


Sensitivity
57%
56%
56%
58%
56%
58%
58%
56%
59%


Specificity
56%
57%
54%
56%
57%
55%
56%
57%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46


Sensitivity
33%
27%
31%
34%
28%
33%
34%
28%
34%


Specificity
81%
78%
78%
82%
78%
80%
82%
78%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.26
1.35
1.59
1.30
1.46
1.71
1.30
1.46
1.84


p Value
0.54
0.42
0.26
0.48
0.32
0.19
0.48
0.32
0.13


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.599
0.648
0.716
0.621
0.696
0.772
0.621
0.696
0.832


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.64
2.83
3.52
2.74
3.05
3.79
2.74
3.05
4.08


OR Quartile 3
1.67
1.66
1.50
1.76
1.67
1.67
1.76
1.67
1.86


p Value
0.12
0.12
0.24
0.087
0.12
0.13
0.087
0.12
0.067


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.874
0.871
0.767
0.921
0.872
0.858
0.921
0.872
0.957


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.18
3.18
2.92
3.35
3.20
3.25
3.35
3.20
3.61


OR Quartile 4
2.15
1.31
1.58
2.41
1.41
1.95
2.41
1.41
2.08


p Value
0.045
0.48
0.23
0.023
0.37
0.080
0.023
0.37
0.054


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.02
0.618
0.745
1.13
0.662
0.923
1.13
0.662
0.986


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.56
2.76
3.34
5.14
3.00
4.11
5.14
3.00
4.39









Example 15. Use of Fibroblast Growth Factor 21 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Fibroblast growth factor 21 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 15.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0333
0.326
0.0333
0.326
0.0349
0.313


Average
0.367
0.831
0.367
0.831
0.383
0.812


Stdev
0.900
1.26
0.900
1.26
0.918
1.26


p (t-test)

0.031

0.031

0.049


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
5.40
5.96
5.40
5.96


n (Patient)
45
85
45
85
43
87










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0306
0.396
0.0306
0.396
0.0333
0.358


Average
0.335
0.902
0.335
0.902
0.348
0.879


Stdev
0.837
1.32
0.837
1.32
0.851
1.31


p (t-test)

0.0064

0.0064

0.011


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
5.40
5.96
5.40
5.96


n (Patient)
53
76
53
76
51
78










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.144
0.180
0.131
0.233
0.131
0.233


Average
0.605
0.852
0.589
0.855
0.603
0.807


Stdev
1.06
1.41
1.07
1.36
1.09
1.31


p (t-test)

0.28

0.23

0.35


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
92
37
87
42
83
46












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.67
0.71
0.51
0.67
0.71
0.54
0.65
0.68
0.54


SE
0.048
0.045
0.057
0.048
0.045
0.055
0.049
0.046
0.053


p Value
3.9E−4
4.0E−6
0.84
3.9E−4
4.0E−6
0.49
0.0018
7.0E−5
0.50


nCohort Recovered
45
53
92
45
53
87
43
51
83


nCohort Non-recovered
85
76
37
85
76
42
87
78
46


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131


Sensitivity
81%
86%
73%
81%
86%
76%
79%
83%
76%


Specificity
38%
40%
24%
38%
40%
25%
35%
37%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163


Sensitivity
61%
63%
54%
61%
63%
57%
60%
62%
57%


Specificity
71%
68%
51%
71%
68%
53%
70%
67%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780


Sensitivity
32%
36%
30%
32%
36%
31%
31%
35%
30%


Specificity
87%
89%
76%
87%
89%
77%
86%
88%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.62
3.88
0.849
2.62
3.88
1.08
2.05
2.97
1.08


p Value
0.020
0.0016
0.71
0.020
0.0016
0.86
0.083
0.0095
0.86


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.16
1.67
0.356
1.16
1.67
0.459
0.910
1.30
0.466


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.90
9.01
2.02
5.90
9.01
2.56
4.63
6.76
2.49


OR Quartile 3
3.88
3.63
1.23
3.88
3.63
1.50
3.43
3.20
1.47


p Value
6.4E−4
6.6E−4
0.60
6.4E−4
6.6E−4
0.29
0.0019
0.0021
0.30


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.78
1.73
0.572
1.78
1.73
0.712
1.57
1.53
0.710


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.45
7.62
2.64
8.45
7.62
3.14
7.47
6.70
3.03


OR Quartile 4
3.03
4.32
1.35
3.03
4.32
1.50
2.78
3.97
1.47


p Value
0.026
0.0032
0.49
0.026
0.0032
0.33
0.040
0.0054
0.35


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.14
1.63
0.574
1.14
1.63
0.659
1.05
1.50
0.655


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.01
11.4
3.16
8.01
11.4
3.42
7.36
10.5
3.31
















TABLE 15.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0351
0.358
0.0351
0.358
0.0409
0.336


Average
0.461
0.829
0.461
0.829
0.478
0.808


Stdev
1.12
1.19
1.12
1.19
1.14
1.18


p (t-test)

0.075

0.075

0.11


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
56
74
56
74
54
76







sCr only













Median
0.0351
0.432
0.0351
0.432
0.0409
0.396


Average
0.436
0.884
0.436
0.884
0.451
0.859


Stdev
1.07
1.22
1.07
1.22
1.08
1.21


p (t-test)

0.029

0.029

0.047


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
62
68
62
68
60
70







UO only













Median
0.147
0.172
0.140
0.222
0.131
0.233


Average
0.623
0.811
0.622
0.804
0.634
0.757


Stdev
1.14
1.25
1.15
1.22
1.19
1.15


p (t-test)

0.42

0.42

0.58


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
93
36
91
38
85
44












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.67
0.69
0.52
0.67
0.69
0.53
0.65
0.66
0.54


SE
0.047
0.046
0.057
0.047
0.046
0.056
0.048
0.047
0.054


p Value
3.3E−4
4.7E−5
0.73
3.3E−4
4.7E−5
0.56
0.0015
5.1E−4
0.44


nCohort
56
62
93
56
62
91
54
60
85


Recovered











nCohort
74
68
36
74
68
38
76
70
44


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131


Sensitivity
82%
84%
75%
82%
84%
76%
80%
81%
77%


Specificity
36%
35%
25%
36%
35%
25%
33%
33%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163


Sensitivity
65%
66%
53%
65%
66%
55%
63%
64%
57%


Specificity
70%
68%
51%
70%
68%
52%
69%
67%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780


Sensitivity
32%
35%
31%
32%
35%
32%
32%
34%
32%


Specificity
84%
85%
76%
84%
85%
77%
83%
85%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.61
2.85
0.986
2.61
2.85
1.09
2.03
2.19
1.19


p Value
0.021
0.013
0.97
0.021
0.013
0.85
0.082
0.057
0.69


Lower limit of
1.16
1.24
0.405
1.16
1.24
0.450
0.914
0.978
0.504


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.86
6.53
2.40
5.86
6.53
2.64
4.52
4.91
2.79


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
4.24
4.11
1.14
4.24
4.11
1.32
3.73
3.60
1.48


p Value
1.4E−4
1.5E−4
0.74
1.4E−4
1.5E−4
0.47
4.8E−4
5.4E−4
0.29


Lower limit of
2.01
1.98
0.529
2.01
1.98
0.617
1.78
1.74
0.711


95% CI











Upper limit of
8.90
8.54
2.47
8.90
8.54
2.82
7.82
7.44
3.08


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.51
3.21
1.42
2.51
3.21
1.54
2.31
2.96
1.62


p Value
0.037
0.0081
0.42
0.037
0.0081
0.31
0.058
0.014
0.24


Lower limit of
1.06
1.35
0.604
1.06
1.35
0.664
0.973
1.25
0.718


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.94
7.62
3.34
5.94
7.62
3.56
5.47
7.01
3.66


95% CI
















TABLE 15.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0465
0.346
0.0465
0.346
0.0465
0.326


Average
0.476
0.854
0.476
0.854
0.489
0.831


Stdev
1.07
1.24
1.07
1.24
1.08
1.23


p (t-test)

0.065

0.065

0.096


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
63
67
63
67
61
69







sCr only













Median
0.0465
0.370
0.0465
0.370
0.0518
0.358


Average
0.462
0.879
0.462
0.879
0.469
0.866


Stdev
1.05
1.25
1.05
1.25
1.06
1.24


p (t-test)

0.041

0.041

0.052


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
65
65
65
65
64
66







UO only













Median
0.140
0.298
0.140
0.298
0.131
0.278


Average
0.608
0.851
0.608
0.851
0.625
0.781


Stdev
1.14
1.24
1.14
1.24
1.18
1.17


p (t-test)

0.29

0.29

0.48


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
93
36
93
36
87
42












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.66
0.55
0.65
0.66
0.55
0.64
0.65
0.55


SE
0.048
0.048
0.057
0.048
0.048
0.057
0.048
0.048
0.055


p Value
0.0020
6.5E−4
0.35
0.0020
6.5E−4
0.35
0.0035
0.0021
0.33


nCohort
63
65
93
63
65
93
61
64
87


Recovered











nCohort
67
65
36
67
65
36
69
66
42


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131


Sensitivity
82%
83%
78%
82%
83%
78%
81%
82%
79%


Specificity
33%
34%
26%
33%
34%
26%
33%
33%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163


Sensitivity
64%
65%
56%
64%
65%
56%
64%
64%
57%


Specificity
65%
65%
52%
65%
65%
52%
66%
64%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780


Sensitivity
31%
34%
33%
31%
34%
33%
30%
33%
31%


Specificity
81%
83%
77%
81%
83%
77%
80%
83%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.29
2.51
1.22
2.29
2.51
1.22
2.10
2.20
1.32


p Value
0.046
0.029
0.67
0.046
0.029
0.67
0.071
0.058
0.54


Lower limit of
1.01
1.10
0.489
1.01
1.10
0.489
0.938
0.973
0.548


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.18
5.74
3.03
5.18
5.74
3.03
4.71
4.96
3.17


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
3.34
3.33
1.33
3.34
3.33
1.33
3.35
3.12
1.50


p Value
0.0010
0.0010
0.47
0.0010
0.0010
0.47
0.0010
0.0018
0.29


Lower limit of
1.63
1.62
0.615
1.63
1.62
0.615
1.63
1.52
0.712


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.86
6.84
2.89
6.86
6.84
2.89
6.89
6.38
3.14


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
1.94
2.51
1.71
1.94
2.51
1.71
1.79
2.41
1.50


p Value
0.11
0.029
0.21
0.11
0.029
0.21
0.16
0.037
0.33


Lower limit of
0.860
1.10
0.735
0.860
1.10
0.735
0.792
1.05
0.659


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.38
5.74
4.00
4.38
5.74
4.00
4.03
5.51
3.42


95% CI
















TABLE 15.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0570
0.370
0.0518
0.358
0.0518
0.336


Average
0.461
0.893
0.464
0.884
0.475
0.860


Stdev
1.04
1.26
1.05
1.26
1.06
1.24


p (t-test)

0.035

0.040

0.061


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
67
63
66
64
64
66







sCr only













Median
0.0518
0.396
0.0518
0.396
0.0570
0.370


Average
0.450
0.912
0.450
0.912
0.457
0.898


Stdev
1.03
1.27
1.03
1.27
1.04
1.26


p (t-test)

0.024

0.024

0.031


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
68
62
68
62
67
63







UO only













Median
0.131
0.298
0.127
0.305
0.123
0.298


Average
0.622
0.795
0.626
0.783
0.630
0.764


Stdev
1.17
1.19
1.17
1.18
1.19
1.15


p (t-test)

0.44

0.48

0.54


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
89
40
88
41
85
44












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.67
0.56
0.66
0.67
0.56
0.65
0.66
0.56


SE
0.048
0.047
0.056
0.048
0.047
0.055
0.048
0.048
0.054


p Value
0.0012
2.7E−4
0.28
9.4E−4
2.7E−4
0.27
0.0017
9.8E−4
0.26


nCohort
67
68
89
66
68
88
64
67
85


Recovered











nCohort
63
62
40
64
62
41
66
63
44


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131


Sensitivity
83%
84%
80%
83%
84%
80%
82%
83%
80%


Specificity
33%
34%
27%
33%
34%
27%
33%
33%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163


Sensitivity
65%
66%
57%
66%
66%
59%
65%
65%
59%


Specificity
64%
65%
53%
65%
65%
53%
66%
64%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780


Sensitivity
33%
35%
30%
33%
35%
29%
32%
35%
30%


Specificity
82%
84%
76%
82%
84%
76%
81%
84%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.31
2.66
1.48
2.41
2.66
1.55
2.20
2.31
1.44


p Value
0.047
0.023
0.40
0.037
0.023
0.34
0.058
0.047
0.41


Lower limit of
1.01
1.14
0.597
1.05
1.14
0.627
0.973
1.01
0.601


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.28
6.17
3.65
5.51
6.17
3.82
4.96
5.28
3.46


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
3.34
3.58
1.51
3.57
3.58
1.62
3.57
3.34
1.70


p Value
0.0010
5.5E−4
0.28
5.6E−4
5.5E−4
0.21
5.6E−4
0.0010
0.16


Lower limit of
1.63
1.74
0.713
1.73
1.74
0.765
1.73
1.63
0.815


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.86
7.38
3.21
7.35
7.38
3.42
7.35
6.86
3.56


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.29
2.85
1.39
2.20
2.85
1.32
2.02
2.73
1.36


p Value
0.046
0.013
0.44
0.058
0.013
0.51
0.090
0.017
0.46


Lower limit of
1.01
1.24
0.602
0.973
1.24
0.574
0.896
1.19
0.601


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.18
6.53
3.20
4.96
6.53
3.03
4.56
6.25
3.09


95% CI
















TABLE 15.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0814
0.326
0.0805
0.319
0.0796
0.313


Average
0.595
0.824
0.598
0.813
0.603
0.798


Stdev
1.19
1.13
1.19
1.12
1.20
1.11


p (t-test)

0.29

0.32

0.37


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
87
43
86
44
85
45







sCr only













Median
0.0684
0.346
0.0684
0.346
0.0684
0.346


Average
0.511
0.903
0.511
0.903
0.511
0.903


Stdev
1.10
1.24
1.10
1.24
1.10
1.24


p (t-test)

0.060

0.060

0.060


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
77
53
77
53
77
53







UO only













Median
0.123
0.315
0.115
0.313
0.107
0.309


Average
0.623
0.794
0.626
0.782
0.631
0.768


Stdev
1.18
1.15
1.19
1.14
1.20
1.13


p (t-test)

0.44

0.48

0.54


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
89
40
88
41
87
42












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.62
0.64
0.58
0.62
0.64
0.58
0.62
0.64
0.58


SE
0.054
0.050
0.055
0.053
0.050
0.055
0.053
0.050
0.055


p Value
0.030
0.0042
0.16
0.028
0.0042
0.15
0.028
0.0042
0.15


nCohort
87
77
89
86
77
88
85
77
87


Recovered











nCohort
43
53
40
44
53
41
45
53
42


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131
0.0111
0.0111
0.0131


Sensitivity
84%
83%
82%
84%
83%
83%
84%
83%
83%


Specificity
30%
31%
28%
30%
31%
28%
31%
31%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163
0.155
0.155
0.163


Sensitivity
63%
64%
60%
64%
64%
61%
64%
64%
62%


Specificity
56%
60%
54%
57%
60%
55%
58%
60%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780
0.774
0.774
0.780


Sensitivity
35%
38%
32%
34%
38%
32%
33%
38%
31%


Specificity
79%
83%
78%
79%
83%
77%
79%
83%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.19
2.21
1.84
2.29
2.21
1.93
2.39
2.21
2.02


p Value
0.098
0.071
0.20
0.081
0.071
0.17
0.066
0.071
0.14


Lower limit of
0.864
0.933
0.721
0.904
0.933
0.756
0.945
0.933
0.792


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.56
5.25
4.70
5.80
5.25
4.92
6.06
5.25
5.14


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.18
2.66
1.76
2.32
2.66
1.88
2.47
2.66
2.00


p Value
0.042
0.0081
0.15
0.028
0.0081
0.10
0.018
0.0081
0.071


Lower limit of
1.03
1.29
0.823
1.10
1.29
0.881
1.17
1.29
0.942


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.60
5.47
3.75
4.90
5.47
3.99
5.21
5.47
4.24


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.05
2.98
1.66
1.95
2.98
1.58
1.86
2.98
1.50


p Value
0.083
0.0086
0.23
0.11
0.0086
0.28
0.13
0.0086
0.33


Lower limit of
0.910
1.32
0.726
0.868
1.32
0.692
0.829
1.32
0.659


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.63
6.74
3.80
4.40
6.74
3.60
4.18
6.74
3.42


95% CI
















TABLE 15.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.216
0.725
0.223
0.716
0.209
0.582


Average
0.627
1.24
0.639
1.23
0.655
1.21


Stdev
0.862
1.48
0.867
1.48
0.882
1.47


p (t-test)

0.0082

0.012

0.019


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478


Max
4.20
8.76
4.20
8.76
4.20
8.76


n (Patient)
49
102
48
103
46
105







sCr only













Median
0.238
0.575
0.238
0.575
0.231
0.567


Average
0.821
1.12
0.821
1.12
0.831
1.12


Stdev
1.41
1.26
1.41
1.26
1.42
1.26


p (t-test)

0.18

0.18

0.21


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76


n (Patient)
52
98
52
98
51
99







UO only













Median
0.316
0.771
0.294
0.762
0.294
0.762


Average
0.939
1.29
0.943
1.23
0.927
1.23


Stdev
1.22
1.58
1.25
1.50
1.25
1.48


p (t-test)

0.15

0.21

0.18


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0335
0.00478
0.0335


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
104
46
97
53
91
59












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.67
0.62
0.60
0.65
0.62
0.59
0.65
0.62
0.60


SE
0.045
0.047
0.051
0.046
0.047
0.049
0.046
0.047
0.048


p Value
2.5E−4
0.0096
0.051
8.5E−4
0.0096
0.063
0.0012
0.011
0.046


nCohort
49
52
104
48
52
97
46
51
91


Recovered











nCohort
102
98
46
103
98
53
105
99
59


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161


Sensitivity
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
79%
80%
80%
80%


Specificity
37%
35%
28%
35%
35%
28%
37%
35%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519


Sensitivity
58%
56%
61%
57%
56%
60%
56%
56%
59%


Specificity
65%
62%
55%
65%
62%
56%
63%
61%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46


Sensitivity
31%
31%
28%
31%
31%
28%
30%
30%
29%


Specificity
88%
85%
76%
88%
85%
76%
87%
84%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.38
2.06
1.59
2.14
2.06
1.47
2.34
2.15
1.57


p Value
0.025
0.059
0.28
0.050
0.059
0.34
0.029
0.046
0.26


Lower limit of
1.11
0.972
0.683
1.00
0.972
0.663
1.09
1.01
0.718


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.09
4.39
3.70
4.59
4.39
3.27
5.05
4.59
3.42


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.58
2.05
1.89
2.45
2.05
1.91
2.19
1.94
1.86


p Value
0.0086
0.041
0.078
0.013
0.041
0.062
0.031
0.059
0.067


Lower limit of
1.27
1.03
0.930
1.20
1.03
0.969
1.07
0.974
0.957


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.24
4.07
3.83
4.97
4.07
3.78
4.46
3.85
3.61


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.28
2.43
1.24
3.15
2.43
1.27
2.92
2.34
1.35


p Value
0.014
0.045
0.58
0.018
0.045
0.54
0.027
0.055
0.43


Lower limit of
1.27
1.02
0.569
1.22
1.02
0.595
1.13
0.981
0.640


95% CI











Upper limit of
8.48
5.78
2.73
8.17
5.78
2.71
7.58
5.57
2.84


95% CI
















TABLE 15.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.242
0.716
0.242
0.716
0.234
0.582


Average
0.810
1.21
0.810
1.21
0.828
1.19


Stdev
1.19
1.43
1.19
1.43
1.20
1.42


p (t-test)

0.070

0.070

0.10


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
64
87
64
87
62
89







sCr only













Median
0.289
0.566
0.289
0.566
0.284
0.565


Average
0.980
1.09
0.980
1.09
0.990
1.08


Stdev
1.52
1.19
1.52
1.19
1.53
1.19


p (t-test)

0.62

0.62

0.68


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01


n (Patient)
67
84
67
84
66
85







UO only













Median
0.294
0.864
0.294
0.828
0.294
0.828


Average
0.909
1.37
0.922
1.32
0.897
1.30


Stdev
1.22
1.57
1.23
1.55
1.22
1.51


p (t-test)

0.057

0.096

0.075


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
105
45
103
47
95
55












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.63
0.57
0.64
0.63
0.57
0.62
0.62
0.57
0.62


SE
0.045
0.047
0.051
0.045
0.047
0.051
0.045
0.047
0.048


p Value
0.0056
0.11
0.0065
0.0056
0.11
0.016
0.0077
0.12
0.012


nCohort
64
67
105
64
67
103
62
66
95


Recovered











nCohort
87
84
45
87
84
47
89
85
55


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161


Sensitivity
82%
80%
84%
82%
80%
83%
82%
80%
82%


Specificity
34%
31%
30%
34%
31%
29%
35%
32%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519


Sensitivity
57%
55%
67%
57%
55%
64%
56%
54%
62%


Specificity
59%
55%
57%
59%
55%
56%
58%
55%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46


Sensitivity
30%
27%
33%
30%
27%
32%
29%
27%
33%


Specificity
81%
78%
78%
81%
78%
78%
81%
77%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.32
1.80
2.27
2.32
1.80
2.00
2.51
1.87
1.88


p Value
0.027
0.12
0.076
0.027
0.12
0.12
0.016
0.099
0.13


Lower limit of
1.10
0.857
0.917
1.10
0.857
0.838
1.18
0.889
0.833


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.91
3.78
5.64
4.91
3.78
4.79
5.32
3.92
4.25


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.98
1.49
2.67
1.98
1.49
2.27
1.78
1.42
2.13


p Value
0.042
0.22
0.0085
0.042
0.22
0.024
0.086
0.29
0.029


Lower limit of
1.03
0.783
1.28
1.03
0.783
1.12
0.922
0.742
1.08


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.80
2.85
5.54
3.80
2.85
4.63
3.42
2.70
4.20


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
1.85
1.31
1.78
1.85
1.31
1.63
1.72
1.26
1.82


p Value
0.12
0.48
0.14
0.12
0.48
0.21
0.17
0.54
0.12


Lower limit of
0.849
0.618
0.823
0.849
0.618
0.756
0.790
0.597
0.863


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.02
2.76
3.86
4.02
2.76
3.52
3.74
2.67
3.86


95% CI
















TABLE 15.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.289
0.575
0.287
0.582
0.287
0.582


Average
0.887
1.19
0.864
1.20
0.861
1.20


Stdev
1.17
1.48
1.17
1.47
1.18
1.46


p (t-test)

0.17

0.12

0.13


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
73
78
72
79
70
81







sCr only













Median
0.294
0.565
0.294
0.565
0.294
0.565


Average
1.02
1.06
1.02
1.06
1.02
1.06


Stdev
1.48
1.20
1.48
1.20
1.48
1.20


p (t-test)

0.85

0.85

0.85


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01


n (Patient)
74
77
74
77
74
77







UO only













Median
0.338
0.716
0.338
0.716
0.316
0.728


Average
0.940
1.29
0.945
1.27
0.933
1.25


Stdev
1.20
1.62
1.21
1.59
1.23
1.52


p (t-test)

0.14

0.17

0.17


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
105
45
103
47
96
54












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.58
0.54
0.60
0.59
0.54
0.59
0.60
0.54
0.59


SE
0.046
0.047
0.052
0.046
0.047
0.051
0.046
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.084
0.34
0.055
0.050
0.34
0.073
0.038
0.34
0.053


nCohort
73
74
105
72
74
103
70
74
96


Recovered











nCohort
78
77
45
79
77
47
81
77
54


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161


Sensitivity
79%
78%
84%
80%
78%
83%
80%
78%
81%


Specificity
30%
28%
30%
31%
28%
29%
31%
28%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519


Sensitivity
55%
53%
60%
56%
53%
60%
56%
53%
59%


Specificity
55%
53%
54%
56%
53%
54%
56%
53%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46


Sensitivity
27%
25%
31%
28%
25%
30%
28%
25%
31%


Specificity
77%
74%
77%
78%
74%
77%
79%
74%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.67
1.40
2.27
1.73
1.40
2.00
1.86
1.40
1.81


p Value
0.18
0.37
0.076
0.15
0.37
0.12
0.10
0.37
0.15


Lower limit of
0.795
0.668
0.917
0.824
0.668
0.838
0.885
0.668
0.801


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.51
2.93
5.64
3.64
2.93
4.79
3.92
2.93
4.10


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.49
1.27
1.78
1.57
1.27
1.76
1.57
1.27
1.79


p Value
0.22
0.47
0.11
0.17
0.47
0.11
0.17
0.47
0.090


Lower limit of
0.784
0.670
0.876
0.826
0.670
0.872
0.826
0.670
0.912


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.83
2.40
3.62
2.99
2.40
3.54
2.99
2.40
3.52


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
1.21
0.948
1.52
1.35
0.948
1.40
1.45
0.948
1.64


p Value
0.61
0.89
0.29
0.43
0.89
0.40
0.33
0.89
0.20


Lower limit of
0.580
0.455
0.700
0.643
0.455
0.644
0.688
0.455
0.774


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.54
1.98
3.32
2.84
1.98
3.03
3.07
1.98
3.48


95% CI
















TABLE 15.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.287
0.582
0.286
0.649
0.286
0.649


Average
0.874
1.21
0.852
1.23
0.848
1.22


Stdev
1.16
1.49
1.15
1.49
1.16
1.48


p (t-test)

0.12

0.085

0.088


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
76
75
75
76
73
78







sCr only













Median
0.294
0.575
0.294
0.575
0.294
0.575


Average
0.981
1.10
0.981
1.10
0.981
1.10


Stdev
1.46
1.22
1.46
1.22
1.46
1.22


p (t-test)

0.58

0.58

0.58


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01


n (Patient)
77
74
77
74
77
74







UO only













Median
0.316
0.575
0.316
0.575
0.295
0.582


Average
0.957
1.22
0.957
1.22
0.947
1.22


Stdev
1.22
1.56
1.22
1.56
1.24
1.51


p (t-test)

0.25

0.25

0.24


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
100
50
100
50
95
55












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
0.56
0.58
0.60
0.56
0.58
0.60
0.56
0.59


SE
0.046
0.047
0.050
0.046
0.047
0.050
0.046
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.053
0.17
0.11
0.030
0.17
0.11
0.023
0.17
0.075


nCohort
76
77
100
75
77
100
73
77
95


Recovered











nCohort
75
74
50
76
74
50
78
74
55


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161


Sensitivity
80%
78%
82%
80%
78%
82%
81%
78%
82%


Specificity
30%
29%
29%
31%
29%
29%
32%
29%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519


Sensitivity
56%
55%
56%
57%
55%
56%
56%
55%
56%


Specificity
55%
55%
53%
56%
55%
53%
56%
55%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46


Sensitivity
28%
27%
30%
29%
27%
30%
29%
27%
31%


Specificity
78%
77%
77%
79%
77%
77%
79%
77%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.74
1.45
1.86
1.80
1.45
1.86
1.93
1.45
1.88


p Value
0.15
0.33
0.15
0.12
0.33
0.15
0.085
0.33
0.13


Lower limit of
0.822
0.690
0.803
0.851
0.690
0.803
0.914
0.690
0.833


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.67
3.05
4.31
3.80
3.05
4.31
4.09
3.05
4.25


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.57
1.49
1.44
1.66
1.49
1.44
1.66
1.49
1.50


p Value
0.17
0.22
0.30
0.12
0.22
0.30
0.12
0.22
0.24


Lower limit of
0.827
0.785
0.725
0.872
0.785
0.725
0.871
0.785
0.767


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.99
2.83
2.84
3.16
2.83
2.84
3.16
2.83
2.92


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
1.35
1.21
1.43
1.50
1.21
1.43
1.62
1.21
1.58


p Value
0.43
0.61
0.35
0.28
0.61
0.35
0.21
0.61
0.23


Lower limit of
0.645
0.582
0.669
0.715
0.582
0.669
0.765
0.582
0.745


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.82
2.53
3.08
3.16
2.53
3.08
3.42
2.53
3.34


95% CI
















TABLE 15.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.295
0.649
0.294
0.716
0.294
0.728


Average
0.886
1.26
0.868
1.28
0.858
1.29


Stdev
1.15
1.56
1.15
1.55
1.15
1.54


p (t-test)

0.089

0.060

0.050


Min
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
89
62
88
63
87
64







sCr only













Median
0.294
0.575
0.294
0.575
0.294
0.575


Average
1.01
1.08
1.01
1.08
1.01
1.08


Stdev
1.48
1.18
1.48
1.18
1.48
1.18


p (t-test)

0.76

0.76

0.76


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
4.31
8.76
4.31
8.76
4.31


n (Patient)
79
72
79
72
79
72







UO only













Median
0.316
0.728
0.316
0.728
0.294
0.760


Average
0.896
1.33
0.896
1.33
0.870
1.36


Stdev
1.15
1.63
1.15
1.63
1.15
1.61


p (t-test)

0.061

0.061

0.033


Min
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
98
52
98
52
96
54












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.58
0.56
0.59
0.59
0.56
0.59
0.60
0.56
0.61


SE
0.048
0.047
0.050
0.047
0.047
0.050
0.047
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.080
0.24
0.057
0.048
0.24
0.057
0.031
0.24
0.021


nCohort
89
79
98
88
79
98
87
79
96


Recovered











nCohort
62
72
52
63
72
52
64
72
54


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161
0.162
0.162
0.161


Sensitivity
79%
78%
81%
79%
78%
81%
80%
78%
81%


Specificity
28%
28%
29%
28%
28%
29%
29%
28%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519
0.511
0.511
0.519


Sensitivity
56%
56%
58%
57%
56%
58%
58%
56%
59%


Specificity
54%
54%
54%
55%
54%
54%
55%
54%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46
1.46


Sensitivity
31%
26%
33%
32%
26%
33%
33%
26%
35%


Specificity
79%
76%
79%
80%
76%
79%
80%
76%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.47
1.35
1.68
1.53
1.35
1.68
1.58
1.35
1.81


p Value
0.32
0.43
0.21
0.28
0.43
0.21
0.24
0.43
0.15


Lower limit of
0.684
0.643
0.742
0.709
0.643
0.742
0.736
0.643
0.801


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.17
2.84
3.80
3.28
2.84
3.80
3.40
2.84
4.10


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.52
1.49
1.61
1.60
1.49
1.61
1.69
1.49
1.79


p Value
0.21
0.22
0.17
0.16
0.22
0.17
0.12
0.22
0.090


Lower limit of
0.790
0.786
0.815
0.834
0.786
0.815
0.879
0.786
0.912


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.91
2.84
3.17
3.07
2.84
3.17
3.24
2.84
3.52


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
1.63
1.13
1.78
1.81
1.13
1.78
2.01
1.13
2.20


p Value
0.20
0.74
0.13
0.12
0.74
0.13
0.066
0.74
0.040


Lower limit of
0.776
0.543
0.838
0.862
0.543
0.838
0.956
0.543
1.04


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.41
2.36
3.79
3.80
2.36
3.79
4.23
2.36
4.66


95% CI









Example 16. Use of Fibroblast Growth Factor 21 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Fibroblast growth factor 21 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 16.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0796
0.313
0.0814
0.305
0.123
0.265


Average
0.565
0.884
0.556
0.937
0.578
0.922


Stdev
1.08
1.31
1.06
1.36
1.05
1.42


p (t-test)

0.14

0.088

0.14


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
87
43
91
39
95
35







sCr only













Median
0.0796
0.326
0.0805
0.305
0.0943
0.289


Average
0.559
0.897
0.547
0.974
0.572
0.931


Stdev
1.08
1.32
1.06
1.39
1.06
1.42


p (t-test)

0.13

0.061

0.12


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
87
42
92
37
94
35







UO only













Median
0.163
0.183
0.163
0.183
0.163
0.183


Average
0.643
0.876
0.635
0.965
0.635
0.965


Stdev
1.11
1.51
1.11
1.58
1.11
1.58


p (t-test)

0.44

0.29

0.29


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
111
18
113
16
113
16












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.62
0.62
0.52
0.62
0.63
0.54
0.59
0.60
0.54


SE
0.054
0.054
0.074
0.055
0.056
0.079
0.058
0.058
0.079


p Value
0.024
0.023
0.76
0.027
0.022
0.62
0.12
0.076
0.62


nCohort
87
87
111
91
92
113
95
94
113


Recovered











nCohort
43
42
18
39
37
16
35
35
16


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131


Sensitivity
84%
86%
78%
85%
86%
81%
83%
86%
81%


Specificity
30%
30%
25%
30%
29%
26%
28%
29%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163


Sensitivity
63%
62%
50%
62%
62%
50%
57%
60%
50%


Specificity
56%
55%
50%
55%
54%
50%
53%
53%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780


Sensitivity
33%
33%
28%
36%
38%
31%
34%
34%
31%


Specificity
78%
78%
75%
79%
79%
75%
78%
78%
75%


OR Quartile 2
2.19
2.56
1.18
2.32
2.66
1.50
1.92
2.42
1.50


p Value
0.098
0.060
0.78
0.092
0.066
0.55
0.19
0.098
0.55


Lower limit of
0.864
0.961
0.359
0.871
0.936
0.398
0.716
0.849
0.398


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.56
6.80
3.88
6.18
7.55
5.63
5.14
6.89
5.63


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.18
2.00
0.982
1.95
1.96
0.982
1.48
1.70
0.982


p Value
0.042
0.071
0.97
0.087
0.092
0.97
0.32
0.18
0.97


Lower limit of
1.03
0.942
0.363
0.907
0.896
0.345
0.678
0.775
0.345


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.60
4.24
2.66
4.20
4.27
2.80
3.24
3.75
2.80


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
1.73
1.79
1.14
2.12
2.34
1.38
1.84
1.81
1.38


p Value
0.19
0.16
0.82
0.074
0.046
0.58
0.16
0.17
0.58


Lower limit of
0.764
0.789
0.373
0.928
1.02
0.441
0.786
0.775
0.441


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.91
4.06
3.48
4.85
5.39
4.32
4.30
4.24
4.32


95% CI
















TABLE 16.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0684
0.422
0.0778
0.441
0.0814
0.305


Average
0.531
0.873
0.520
0.937
0.547
0.920


Stdev
1.11
1.23
1.07
1.29
1.06
1.34


p (t-test)

0.10

0.051

0.087


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
77
53
83
47
87
43







sCr only













Median
0.0731
0.422
0.0731
0.441
0.0796
0.326


Average
0.528
0.885
0.517
0.935
0.547
0.905


Stdev
1.10
1.25
1.08
1.29
1.07
1.33


p (t-test)

0.091

0.051

0.10


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
78
51
82
47
85
44







UO only













Median
0.147
0.285
0.147
0.285
0.147
0.285


Average
0.622
0.910
0.613
0.979
0.613
0.979


Stdev
1.12
1.39
1.11
1.44
1.11
1.44


p (t-test)

0.28

0.18

0.18


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
105
24
107
22
107
22












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.65
0.56
0.65
0.66
0.57
0.62
0.63
0.57


SE
0.050
0.050
0.067
0.051
0.051
0.069
0.053
0.053
0.069


p Value
0.0024
0.0037
0.38
0.0028
0.0022
0.29
0.022
0.017
0.29


nCohort
77
78
105
83
82
107
87
85
107


Recovered











nCohort
53
51
24
47
47
22
43
44
22


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131


Sensitivity
85%
86%
79%
85%
87%
82%
84%
86%
82%


Specificity
32%
32%
26%
31%
32%
26%
30%
31%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163


Sensitivity
64%
63%
54%
64%
64%
55%
60%
61%
55%


Specificity
60%
58%
50%
58%
57%
50%
55%
55%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780


Sensitivity
34%
35%
33%
36%
38%
36%
35%
36%
36%


Specificity
81%
81%
76%
81%
82%
77%
79%
80%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.70
2.96
1.32
2.61
3.17
1.59
2.19
2.79
1.59


p Value
0.029
0.022
0.62
0.043
0.020
0.43
0.098
0.039
0.43


Lower limit of
1.11
1.17
0.448
1.03
1.20
0.497
0.864
1.05
0.497


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.59
7.50
3.87
6.59
8.41
5.12
5.56
7.41
5.12


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.66
2.30
1.20
2.42
2.37
1.22
1.88
1.96
1.22


p Value
0.0081
0.024
0.68
0.019
0.022
0.67
0.095
0.075
0.67


Lower limit of
1.29
1.11
0.495
1.16
1.13
0.487
0.895
0.935
0.487


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.47
4.74
2.93
5.06
4.96
3.07
3.96
4.13
3.07


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.13
2.29
1.60
2.37
2.77
1.87
2.05
2.29
1.87


p Value
0.065
0.043
0.34
0.036
0.014
0.21
0.083
0.046
0.21


Lower limit of
0.954
1.02
0.613
1.06
1.23
0.705
0.910
1.01
0.705


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.73
5.12
4.18
5.32
6.24
4.98
4.63
5.15
4.98


95% CI
















TABLE 16.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0600
0.432
0.0630
0.455
0.0731
0.448


Average
0.517
0.861
0.503
0.914
0.518
0.914


Stdev
1.13
1.19
1.10
1.23
1.09
1.26


p (t-test)

0.096

0.049

0.060


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
72
58
77
53
80
50







sCr only













Median
0.0630
0.432
0.0630
0.448
0.0684
0.394


Average
0.511
0.889
0.500
0.937
0.517
0.927


Stdev
1.11
1.23
1.09
1.26
1.08
1.28


p (t-test)

0.071

0.039

0.055


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
75
54
79
50
81
48







UO only













Median
0.136
0.305
0.131
0.380
0.131
0.380


Average
0.618
0.875
0.603
0.963
0.603
0.963


Stdev
1.14
1.29
1.12
1.33
1.12
1.33


p (t-test)

0.30

0.16

0.16


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
100
29
103
26
103
26












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.67
0.57
0.67
0.68
0.61
0.65
0.66
0.61


SE
0.048
0.049
0.062
0.049
0.050
0.064
0.050
0.051
0.064


p Value
8.5E−4
7.2E−4
0.26
6.0E−4
4.1E−4
0.094
0.0030
0.0018
0.094


nCohort
72
75
100
77
79
103
80
81
103


Non-persistent











nCohort
58
54
29
53
50
26
50
48
26


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131


Sensitivity
84%
87%
79%
85%
88%
85%
84%
88%
85%


Specificity
33%
33%
26%
32%
33%
27%
31%
32%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163


Sensitivity
66%
65%
59%
66%
66%
62%
64%
65%
62%


Specificity
62%
60%
52%
61%
59%
52%
59%
58%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780


Sensitivity
33%
35%
31%
36%
38%
35%
36%
38%
35%


Specificity
81%
81%
76%
82%
82%
77%
81%
81%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.72
3.36
1.35
2.70
3.60
2.05
2.39
3.31
2.05


p Value
0.023
0.011
0.56
0.029
0.0100
0.22
0.056
0.016
0.22


Lower limit of
1.15
1.33
0.494
1.11
1.36
0.650
0.978
1.25
0.650


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.45
8.49
3.67
6.59
9.52
6.49
5.82
8.77
6.49


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
3.17
2.76
1.53
3.05
2.85
1.76
2.53
2.52
1.76


p Value
0.0017
0.0060
0.32
0.0028
0.0054
0.21
0.013
0.014
0.21


Lower limit of
1.54
1.34
0.665
1.47
1.36
0.732
1.22
1.21
0.732


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.52
5.70
3.54
6.32
5.96
4.25
5.25
5.27
4.25


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.02
2.37
1.42
2.51
2.85
1.74
2.44
2.64
1.74


p Value
0.086
0.036
0.45
0.025
0.012
0.24
0.030
0.019
0.24


Lower limit of
0.906
1.06
0.573
1.12
1.26
0.689
1.09
1.17
0.689


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.50
5.29
3.54
5.63
6.41
4.41
5.45
5.93
4.41


95% CI
















TABLE 16.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0570
0.422
0.0600
0.448
0.0657
0.394


Average
0.520
0.852
0.505
0.903
0.523
0.892


Stdev
1.14
1.19
1.11
1.22
1.10
1.24


p (t-test)

0.11

0.056

0.078


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
71
59
76
54
78
52







sCr only













Median
0.0630
0.384
0.0630
0.394
0.0684
0.336


Average
0.520
0.863
0.509
0.907
0.526
0.896


Stdev
1.13
1.21
1.10
1.25
1.09
1.27


p (t-test)

0.10

0.058

0.081


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
73
56
77
52
79
50







UO only













Median
0.127
0.305
0.123
0.315
0.123
0.315


Average
0.632
0.802
0.616
0.872
0.616
0.872


Stdev
1.16
1.22
1.14
1.26
1.14
1.26


p (t-test)

0.47

0.30

0.30


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
96
33
99
30
99
30












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.65
0.57
0.67
0.66
0.61
0.65
0.64
0.61


SE
0.048
0.049
0.059
0.049
0.050
0.061
0.050
0.051
0.061


p Value
6.9E−4
0.0020
0.21
4.9E−4
0.0012
0.079
0.0021
0.0047
0.079


nCohort
71
73
96
76
77
99
78
79
99


Non-persistent











nCohort
59
56
33
54
52
30
52
50
30


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131


Sensitivity
85%
86%
82%
85%
87%
87%
85%
86%
87%


Specificity
34%
33%
27%
33%
32%
28%
32%
32%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163


Sensitivity
66%
64%
61%
67%
65%
63%
65%
64%
63%


Specificity
63%
60%
53%
62%
60%
54%
60%
58%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780


Sensitivity
32%
34%
27%
35%
37%
30%
35%
36%
30%


Specificity
80%
81%
75%
82%
82%
76%
81%
81%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.84
2.94
1.67
2.82
3.09
2.56
2.59
2.84
2.56


p Value
0.018
0.018
0.31
0.023
0.017
0.11
0.036
0.027
0.11


Lower limit of
1.20
1.20
0.619
1.16
1.22
0.820
1.06
1.12
0.820


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.73
7.18
4.51
6.87
7.82
8.01
6.32
7.20
8.01


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
3.38
2.73
1.74
3.24
2.80
1.99
2.86
2.48
1.99


p Value
9.9E−4
0.0062
0.18
0.0016
0.0057
0.11
0.0047
0.015
0.11


Lower limit of
1.64
1.33
0.779
1.56
1.35
0.858
1.38
1.19
0.858


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.96
5.61
3.90
6.73
5.82
4.61
5.94
5.14
4.61


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
1.93
2.16
1.12
2.40
2.59
1.34
2.22
2.40
1.34


p Value
0.11
0.060
0.80
0.033
0.021
0.53
0.051
0.033
0.53


Lower limit of
0.869
0.969
0.460
1.07
1.15
0.541
0.997
1.07
0.541


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.30
4.83
2.75
5.38
5.82
3.31
4.96
5.37
3.31


95% CI
















TABLE 16.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0570
0.422
0.0600
0.448
0.0657
0.394


Average
0.520
0.852
0.505
0.903
0.523
0.892


Stdev
1.14
1.19
1.11
1.22
1.10
1.24


p (t-test)

0.11

0.056

0.078


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
71
59
76
54
78
52







sCr only













Median
0.0657
0.346
0.0657
0.346
0.0731
0.326


Average
0.528
0.848
0.515
0.890
0.532
0.878


Stdev
1.13
1.21
1.11
1.24
1.10
1.26


p (t-test)

0.12

0.074

0.10


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
72
57
76
53
78
51







UO only













Median
0.115
0.313
0.115
0.326
0.115
0.326


Average
0.617
0.835
0.607
0.875
0.607
0.875


Stdev
1.16
1.20
1.15
1.22
1.15
1.22


p (t-test)

0.35

0.26

0.26


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
94
35
96
33
96
33












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.64
0.60
0.67
0.64
0.61
0.65
0.63
0.61


SE
0.048
0.050
0.058
0.049
0.050
0.059
0.050
0.051
0.059


p Value
6.9E−4
0.0058
0.091
4.9E−4
0.0039
0.064
0.0021
0.013
0.064


nCohort
71
72
94
76
76
96
78
78
96


Non-persistent











nCohort
59
57
35
54
53
33
52
51
33


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131


Sensitivity
85%
84%
83%
85%
85%
85%
85%
84%
85%


Specificity
34%
32%
28%
33%
32%
28%
32%
31%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163


Sensitivity
66%
63%
63%
67%
64%
64%
65%
63%
64%


Specificity
63%
60%
54%
62%
59%
54%
60%
58%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780


Sensitivity
32%
33%
31%
35%
36%
33%
35%
35%
33%


Specificity
80%
81%
77%
82%
82%
77%
81%
81%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.84
2.50
1.85
2.82
2.60
2.19
2.59
2.39
2.19


p Value
0.018
0.038
0.22
0.023
0.037
0.14
0.036
0.056
0.14


Lower limit of
1.20
1.05
0.688
1.16
1.06
0.766
1.06
0.976
0.766


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.73
5.96
4.97
6.87
6.35
6.26
6.32
5.85
6.26


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
3.38
2.54
2.01
3.24
2.60
2.07
2.86
2.30
2.07


p Value
9.9E−4
0.011
0.087
0.0016
0.0098
0.081
0.0047
0.024
0.081


Lower limit of
1.64
1.24
0.905
1.56
1.26
0.915
1.38
1.11
0.915


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.96
5.20
4.45
6.73
5.36
4.67
5.94
4.74
4.67


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
1.93
2.07
1.50
2.40
2.47
1.68
2.22
2.29
1.68


p Value
0.11
0.075
0.35
0.033
0.028
0.24
0.051
0.043
0.24


Lower limit of
0.869
0.928
0.636
1.07
1.10
0.707
0.997
1.02
0.707


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.30
4.62
3.54
5.38
5.55
4.00
4.96
5.12
4.00


95% CI
















TABLE 16.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.417
0.582
0.491
0.559
0.494
0.571


Average
0.956
1.19
1.02
1.08
1.03
1.06


Stdev
1.37
1.29
1.38
1.26
1.40
1.18


p (t-test)

0.31

0.82

0.90


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.00478
0.0627


Max
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01
8.76
4.30


n (Patient)
96
55
104
47
111
40







sCr only













Median
0.417
0.575
0.487
0.559
0.469
0.571


Average
0.931
1.17
0.997
1.07
1.01
1.05


Stdev
1.34
1.29
1.35
1.27
1.38
1.16


p (t-test)

0.29

0.76

0.84


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.00478
0.0113


Max
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01
8.76
4.30


n (Patient)
94
56
103
47
108
42







UO only













Median
0.511
0.716
0.511
0.716
0.503
0.748


Average
1.04
1.07
1.04
1.07
1.04
1.10


Stdev
1.38
1.11
1.38
1.11
1.38
1.13


p (t-test)

0.95

0.95

0.85


Min
0.00478
0.0757
0.00478
0.0757
0.00478
0.0757


Max
8.76
3.76
8.76
3.76
8.76
3.76


n (Patient)
131
19
131
19
132
18












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.57
0.56
0.56
0.53
0.52
0.56
0.54
0.54
0.56


SE
0.049
0.049
0.073
0.051
0.051
0.073
0.054
0.053
0.074


p Value
0.17
0.23
0.43
0.52
0.64
0.43
0.45
0.46
0.40


nCohort
96
94
131
104
103
131
111
108
132


Non-persistent











nCohort
55
56
19
47
47
19
40
42
18


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161


Sensitivity
76%
75%
84%
77%
74%
84%
78%
76%
83%


Specificity
26%
26%
27%
26%
25%
27%
26%
26%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519


Sensitivity
56%
55%
53%
53%
53%
53%
52%
55%
56%


Specificity
53%
53%
50%
51%
51%
50%
50%
52%
51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46


Sensitivity
35%
36%
32%
28%
30%
32%
28%
31%
33%


Specificity
80%
81%
76%
76%
77%
76%
76%
77%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.14
1.03
1.94
1.15
0.985
1.94
1.22
1.12
1.80


p Value
0.74
0.94
0.31
0.74
0.97
0.31
0.65
0.79
0.37


Lower limit of
0.526
0.480
0.534
0.513
0.446
0.534
0.518
0.488
0.492


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.46
2.20
7.08
2.57
2.17
7.08
2.86
2.57
6.61


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.46
1.41
1.13
1.18
1.20
1.13
1.13
1.30
1.29


p Value
0.26
0.31
0.81
0.64
0.60
0.81
0.75
0.47
0.62


Lower limit of
0.751
0.725
0.430
0.592
0.604
0.430
0.546
0.638
0.479


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.85
2.74
2.96
2.35
2.40
2.96
2.32
2.67
3.47


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.14
2.35
1.43
1.21
1.40
1.43
1.18
1.49
1.56


p Value
0.047
0.026
0.50
0.64
0.40
0.50
0.69
0.33
0.41


Lower limit of
1.01
1.11
0.502
0.553
0.644
0.502
0.521
0.674
0.543


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.52
4.97
4.07
2.64
3.03
4.07
2.67
3.29
4.50


95% CI
















TABLE 16.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.369
0.567
0.433
0.559
0.487
0.649


Average
0.959
1.16
1.01
1.09
1.01
1.10


Stdev
1.38
1.29
1.39
1.26
1.41
1.20


p (t-test)

0.37

0.74

0.70


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.00478
0.0598


Max
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01
8.76
4.31


n (Patient)
88
63
94
57
101
50







sCr only













Median
0.378
0.563
0.494
0.511
0.487
0.559


Average
0.963
1.10
1.03
1.01
1.03
1.00


Stdev
1.38
1.24
1.40
1.20
1.42
1.11


p (t-test)

0.53

0.94

0.91


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.00478
0.0113


Max
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01
8.76
4.30


n (Patient)
88
62
93
57
99
51







UO only













Median
0.494
0.740
0.494
0.740
0.491
0.760


Average
1.02
1.14
1.02
1.14
1.02
1.17


Stdev
1.38
1.20
1.38
1.20
1.38
1.21


p (t-test)

0.68

0.68

0.61


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598


Max
8.76
4.31
8.76
4.31
8.76
4.31


n (Patient)
123
27
123
27
124
26












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.56
0.55
0.57
0.54
0.52
0.57
0.56
0.53
0.57


SE
0.048
0.048
0.063
0.049
0.049
0.063
0.050
0.050
0.064


p Value
0.17
0.34
0.28
0.39
0.74
0.28
0.25
0.55
0.26


nCohort
88
88
123
94
93
123
101
99
124


Non-persistent











nCohort
63
62
27
57
57
27
50
51
26


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161


Sensitivity
78%
76%
81%
77%
75%
81%
78%
76%
81%


Specificity
27%
26%
27%
27%
26%
27%
27%
26%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519


Sensitivity
54%
53%
56%
53%
51%
56%
54%
53%
58%


Specificity
52%
52%
51%
51%
51%
51%
51%
52%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46


Sensitivity
32%
32%
33%
28%
28%
33%
30%
29%
35%


Specificity
80%
80%
76%
77%
76%
76%
77%
77%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.31
1.11
1.61
1.23
1.07
1.61
1.29
1.16
1.52


p Value
0.48
0.79
0.37
0.60
0.86
0.37
0.53
0.72
0.43


Lower limit of
0.616
0.523
0.565
0.568
0.499
0.565
0.581
0.527
0.531


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.80
2.35
4.61
2.65
2.29
4.61
2.88
2.54
4.37


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.28
1.25
1.31
1.16
1.06
1.31
1.25
1.20
1.45


p Value
0.45
0.51
0.52
0.66
0.87
0.52
0.53
0.61
0.39


Lower limit of
0.671
0.650
0.568
0.600
0.547
0.568
0.632
0.608
0.619


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.46
2.39
3.03
2.24
2.05
3.03
2.46
2.35
3.42


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
1.81
1.85
1.62
1.28
1.26
1.62
1.45
1.38
1.73


p Value
0.12
0.10
0.29
0.52
0.55
0.29
0.34
0.41
0.23


Lower limit of
0.862
0.881
0.658
0.604
0.595
0.658
0.678
0.643
0.699


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.80
3.89
3.99
2.70
2.67
3.99
3.12
2.95
4.30


95% CI
















TABLE 16.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.295
0.575
0.331
0.567
0.369
0.582


Average
0.961
1.14
0.969
1.14
1.00
1.11


Stdev
1.41
1.26
1.40
1.27
1.43
1.19


p (t-test)

0.42

0.45

0.64


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.00478
0.0598


Max
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01
8.76
4.31


n (Patient)
83
68
86
65
94
57







sCr only













Median
0.331
0.566
0.369
0.562
0.371
0.565


Average
0.973
1.08
0.991
1.06
1.03
1.01


Stdev
1.42
1.20
1.40
10.76 .22
1.44
1.11


p (t-test)

0.63



0.94


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.00478
0.0113


Max
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01
8.76
4.30


n (Patient)
82
68
86
64
93
57







UO only













Median
0.487
0.716
0.487
0.716
0.475
0.728


Average
1.03
1.11
1.03
1.11
1.02
1.13


Stdev
1.40
1.18
1.40
1.18
1.39
1.19


p (t-test)

0.75

0.75

0.68


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598


Max
8.76
4.31
8.76
4.31
8.76
4.31


n (Patient)
115
35
115
35
116
34












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.57
0.56
0.56
0.57
0.54
0.56
0.57
0.54
0.56


SE
0.047
0.047
0.057
0.047
0.048
0.057
0.049
0.049
0.057


p Value
0.11
0.24
0.30
0.14
0.39
0.30
0.14
0.41
0.29


nCohort
83
82
115
86
86
115
94
93
116


Non-persistent











nCohort
68
68
35
65
64
35
57
57
34


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161


Sensitivity
79%
78%
80%
80%
78%
80%
81%
79%
79%


Specificity
29%
28%
27%
29%
28%
27%
29%
28%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519


Sensitivity
56%
54%
57%
55%
53%
57%
56%
54%
59%


Specificity
54%
54%
52%
53%
52%
52%
53%
53%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46


Sensitivity
31%
31%
31%
29%
28%
31%
30%
28%
32%


Specificity
80%
79%
77%
78%
77%
77%
78%
76%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.57
1.38
1.48
1.64
1.38
1.48
1.69
1.46
1.41


p Value
0.24
0.40
0.41
0.21
0.40
0.41
0.20
0.35
0.47


Lower limit of
0.737
0.651
0.585
0.762
0.648
0.585
0.761
0.666
0.556


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.34
2.91
3.72
3.52
2.95
3.72
3.73
3.18
3.56


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.50
1.38
1.45
1.43
1.24
1.45
1.45
1.33
1.58


p Value
0.22
0.33
0.34
0.28
0.51
0.34
0.27
0.40
0.24


Lower limit of
0.787
0.725
0.678
0.747
0.651
0.678
0.751
0.685
0.731


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.86
2.63
3.12
2.73
2.38
3.12
2.82
2.57
3.44


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
1.73
1.71
1.49
1.46
1.29
1.49
1.48
1.26
1.58


p Value
0.15
0.16
0.35
0.32
0.50
0.35
0.31
0.55
0.29


Lower limit of
0.827
0.814
0.649
0.696
0.616
0.649
0.700
0.595
0.682


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.64
3.59
3.44
3.05
2.71
3.44
3.12
2.67
3.64


95% CI
















TABLE 16.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.294
0.649
0.295
0.575
0.368
0.575


Average
0.852
1.26
0.957
1.15
1.01
1.09


Stdev
1.12
1.54
1.40
1.27
1.45
1.18


p (t-test)

0.063

0.39

0.69


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.00478
0.0598


Max
6.76
8.76
8.76
5.01
8.76
4.31


n (Patient)
81
70
85
66
91
60







sCr only













Median
0.295
0.567
0.331
0.566
0.369
0.566


Average
0.960
1.09
0.969
1.08
1.02
1.02


Stdev
1.42
1.20
1.41
1.21
1.45
1.10


p (t-test)

0.55

0.60

0.98


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.00478
0.0113


Max
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01
8.76
4.30


n (Patient)
81
69
84
66
90
60







UO only













Median
0.462
0.716
0.475
0.649
0.462
0.716


Average
0.938
1.33
1.01
1.15
1.00
1.17


Stdev
1.18
1.69
1.39
1.22
1.39
1.23


p (t-test)

0.11

0.58

0.52


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598


Max
6.76
8.76
8.76
4.31
8.76
4.31


n (Patient)
109
41
110
40
111
39












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.60
0.56
0.58
0.58
0.56
0.57
0.57
0.55
0.57


SE
0.046
0.047
0.053
0.047
0.047
0.054
0.048
0.048
0.054


p Value
0.038
0.17
0.12
0.094
0.21
0.21
0.15
0.32
0.20


nCohort
81
81
109
85
84
110
91
90
111


Non-persistent











nCohort
70
69
41
66
66
40
60
60
39


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161


Sensitivity
80%
78%
80%
80%
79%
80%
80%
78%
79%


Specificity
30%
28%
28%
29%
29%
27%
29%
28%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519


Sensitivity
57%
55%
59%
56%
55%
57%
57%
55%
59%


Specificity
56%
54%
53%
54%
54%
53%
54%
53%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46


Sensitivity
33%
32%
34%
30%
30%
32%
30%
30%
33%


Specificity
81%
80%
78%
79%
79%
77%
78%
78%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.68
1.43
1.57
1.70
1.49
1.50
1.60
1.39
1.44


p Value
0.18
0.35
0.32
0.17
0.31
0.37
0.24
0.40
0.42


Lower limit of
0.791
0.675
0.650
0.790
0.697
0.621
0.734
0.645
0.594


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.58
3.02
3.77
3.65
3.17
3.62
3.49
3.00
3.47


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.67
1.46
1.61
1.50
1.38
1.51
1.53
1.40
1.63


p Value
0.12
0.25
0.20
0.22
0.32
0.27
0.21
0.32
0.19


Lower limit of
0.874
0.765
0.777
0.788
0.725
0.727
0.792
0.725
0.779


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.18
2.78
3.32
2.87
2.64
3.13
2.94
2.69
3.42


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.15
1.90
1.84
1.62
1.59
1.64
1.52
1.50
1.72


p Value
0.045
0.091
0.13
0.20
0.22
0.23
0.27
0.28
0.18


Lower limit of
1.02
0.902
0.835
0.773
0.761
0.737
0.724
0.714
0.772


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.56
4.01
4.04
3.39
3.34
3.64
3.20
3.15
3.83


95% CI
















TABLE 16.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.294
0.582
0.295
0.575
0.331
0.582


Average
0.836
1.26
0.849
1.26
0.898
1.24


Stdev
1.09
1.55
1.08
1.57
1.17
1.54


p (t-test)

0.052

0.058

0.12


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.00478
0.0113


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
78
73
81
70
88
63







sCr only













Median
0.295
0.567
0.331
0.566
0.369
0.566


Average
0.936
1.11
0.946
1.11
0.996
1.05


Stdev
1.40
1.23
1.38
1.24
1.44
1.15


p (t-test)

0.42

0.45

0.80


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.00478
0.0113


Max
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01
8.76
4.30


n (Patient)
79
71
82
68
88
62







UO only













Median
0.415
0.728
0.415
0.728
0.427
0.740


Average
0.907
1.40
0.907
1.40
0.902
1.43


Stdev
1.14
1.73
1.14
1.73
1.14
1.75


p (t-test)

0.042

0.042

0.033


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
108
42
108
42
109
41












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
0.57
0.60
0.58
0.56
0.60
0.58
0.55
0.60


SE
0.046
0.047
0.053
0.047
0.047
0.053
0.047
0.048
0.053


p Value
0.066
0.16
0.065
0.085
0.19
0.065
0.090
0.29
0.060


nCohort
78
79
108
81
82
108
88
88
109


Non-persistent











nCohort
73
71
42
70
68
42
63
62
41


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161


Sensitivity
78%
77%
81%
79%
78%
81%
79%
77%
80%


Specificity
28%
28%
28%
28%
28%
28%
28%
27%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519


Sensitivity
56%
55%
60%
56%
54%
60%
57%
55%
61%


Specificity
55%
54%
54%
54%
54%
54%
55%
53%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46


Sensitivity
33%
32%
36%
31%
31%
36%
32%
31%
37%


Specificity
82%
81%
79%
80%
79%
79%
80%
78%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.40
1.33
1.63
1.45
1.38
1.63
1.53
1.29
1.57


p Value
0.37
0.46
0.27
0.33
0.40
0.27
0.28
0.52
0.32


Lower limit of
0.666
0.631
0.680
0.688
0.651
0.680
0.709
0.603
0.650


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.94
2.79
3.93
3.07
2.91
3.93
3.28
2.74
3.77


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.57
1.46
1.71
1.50
1.38
1.71
1.60
1.39
1.84


p Value
0.17
0.25
0.15
0.22
0.33
0.15
0.16
0.32
0.10


Lower limit of
0.828
0.765
0.828
0.786
0.725
0.828
0.834
0.725
0.887


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.99
2.77
3.52
2.85
2.63
3.52
3.07
2.67
3.83


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.24
2.04
2.05
1.86
1.71
2.05
1.81
1.60
2.16


p Value
0.037
0.062
0.071
0.10
0.16
0.071
0.12
0.21
0.055


Lower limit of
1.05
0.965
0.940
0.885
0.814
0.940
0.862
0.765
0.984


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.77
4.33
4.49
3.92
3.59
4.49
3.80
3.37
4.73


95% CI









Example 17. Use of Fibroblast Growth Factor 21 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Fibroblast growth factor 21 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 17.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0306
0.370
0.0627
0.330
0.0796
0.305


Average
0.351
0.890
0.538
0.816
0.544
0.833


Stdev
0.842
1.31
1.09
1.24
1.05
1.30


p (t-test)

0.0093

0.18

0.16


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
53
77
68
62
73
57







sCr only













Median
0.0333
0.396
0.0570
0.358
0.0684
0.358


Average
0.347
0.908
0.498
0.866
0.490
0.918


Stdev
0.827
1.33
1.05
1.28
1.01
1.33


p (t-test)

0.0067

0.076

0.041


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
55
74
69
60
75
54







UO only













Median
0.131
0.233
0.155
0.265
0.155
0.265


Average
0.632
0.832
0.623
0.919
0.637
0.875


Stdev
1.13
1.31
1.11
1.42
1.12
1.42


p (t-test)

0.43

0.27

0.40


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
101
28
106
23
108
21












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.69
0.55
0.62
0.64
0.53
0.59
0.63
0.53


SE
0.045
0.046
0.063
0.049
0.049
0.067
0.051
0.050
0.070


p Value
9.6E−6
2.4E−5
0.45
0.013
0.0049
0.61
0.063
0.0088
0.71


nCohort
53
55
101
68
69
106
73
75
108


Non-persistent











nCohort
77
74
28
62
60
23
57
54
21


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131


Sensitivity
84%
85%
79%
82%
83%
74%
81%
83%
76%


Specificity
40%
38%
26%
32%
32%
25%
30%
31%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163


Sensitivity
64%
62%
61%
63%
63%
52%
60%
63%
52%


Specificity
70%
65%
52%
62%
61%
50%
58%
59%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780


Sensitivity
34%
35%
32%
31%
33%
35%
30%
35%
33%


Specificity
87%
87%
76%
79%
81%
76%
78%
81%
76%


OR Quartile 2
3.55
3.54
1.27
2.22
2.34
0.921
1.80
2.21
1.07


p Value
0.0026
0.0032
0.64
0.059
0.049
0.88
0.16
0.073
0.91


Lower limit of
1.56
1.53
0.464
0.971
1.00
0.329
0.790
0.929
0.357


95% CI











Upper limit of
8.12
8.20
3.48
5.07
5.46
2.58
4.12
5.27
3.19


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
4.05
3.11
1.71
2.74
2.69
1.09
2.00
2.41
1.10


p Value
2.5E−4
0.0022
0.22
0.0054
0.0066
0.85
0.053
0.016
0.84


Lower limit of
1.92
1.50
0.727
1.35
1.32
0.442
0.991
1.18
0.432


95% CI











Upper limit of
8.55
6.44
4.00
5.57
5.49
2.69
4.05
4.95
2.80


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.35
3.71
1.52
1.70
2.15
1.73
1.51
2.37
1.58


p Value
0.010
0.0055
0.37
0.19
0.063
0.27
0.31
0.036
0.38


Lower limit of
1.33
1.47
0.608
0.767
0.960
0.656
0.685
1.06
0.575


95% CI











Upper limit of
8.45
9.37
3.80
3.79
4.83
4.55
3.35
5.29
4.32


95% CI
















TABLE 17.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0204
0.396
0.0409
0.396
0.0627
0.358


Average
0.309
0.882
0.464
0.859
0.475
0.872


Stdev
0.853
1.28
1.08
1.23
1.04
1.26


p (t-test)

0.0064

0.054

0.053


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
48
82
62
68
66
64







sCr only













Median
0.0262
0.422
0.0409
0.422
0.0570
0.396


Average
0.308
0.913
0.450
0.885
0.457
0.898


Stdev
0.823
1.31
1.06
1.25
1.04
1.28


p (t-test)

0.0037

0.034

0.032


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
52
77
64
65
67
62







UO only













Median
0.131
0.233
0.155
0.265
0.155
0.265


Average
0.622
0.814
0.613
0.875
0.628
0.840


Stdev
1.15
1.24
1.12
1.32
1.13
1.31


p (t-test)

0.41

0.28

0.39


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
93
36
98
31
100
29












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.73
0.72
0.54
0.66
0.67
0.53
0.64
0.66
0.52


SE
0.044
0.044
0.057
0.047
0.047
0.060
0.049
0.048
0.062


p Value
3.0E−7
5.4E−7
0.47
6.9E−4
2.7E−4
0.63
0.0052
0.0013
0.72


nCohort
48
52
93
62
64
98
66
67
100


Non-persistent











nCohort
82
77
36
68
65
31
64
62
29


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131


Sensitivity
84%
86%
78%
82%
85%
74%
81%
84%
76%


Specificity
42%
40%
26%
34%
34%
24%
32%
33%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163


Sensitivity
65%
64%
58%
65%
65%
52%
62%
63%
52%


Specificity
75%
69%
53%
66%
64%
50%
62%
61%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780


Sensitivity
34%
36%
31%
32%
35%
32%
31%
35%
31%


Specificity
90%
90%
76%
82%
84%
77%
80%
84%
76%


OR Quartile 2
3.79
4.06
1.22
2.39
2.88
0.932
2.02
2.54
1.05


p Value
0.0015
0.0011
0.67
0.036
0.015
0.88
0.090
0.031
0.92


Lower limit of
1.66
1.75
0.489
1.06
1.23
0.369
0.896
1.09
0.400


95% CI











Upper limit of
8.65
9.46
3.03
5.40
6.73
2.36
4.56
5.93
2.75


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
5.48
3.94
1.56
3.58
3.26
1.07
2.73
2.67
1.07


p Value
2.7E−5
3.4E−4
0.26
5.5E−4
0.0013
0.88
0.0055
0.0068
0.87


Lower limit of
2.48
1.86
0.716
1.74
1.58
0.475
1.34
1.31
0.469


95% CI











Upper limit of
12.1
8.34
3.39
7.38
6.69
2.39
5.56
5.45
2.45


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
4.46
5.37
1.42
2.22
2.96
1.55
1.85
2.80
1.42


p Value
0.0045
0.0014
0.42
0.059
0.012
0.33
0.13
0.015
0.45


Lower limit of
1.59
1.91
0.604
0.971
1.27
0.640
0.829
1.22
0.573


95% CI











Upper limit of
12.5
15.1
3.34
5.07
6.88
3.77
4.14
6.42
3.54


95% CI
















TABLE 17.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-

Non-

Non-



Duration
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


(hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.0204
 0.396
 0.0409
 0.396
 0.0518
 0.358


Average
 0.309
 0.882
 0.464
 0.859
 0.474
 0.862


Stdev
 0.853
 1.28
 1.08
 1.23
 1.06
 1.24


p (t-test)

 0.0064

 0.054

 0.058


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
 5.40
 5.96
 5.96
 5.46
 5.96
 5.46


n (Patient)
48
82
62
68
64
66










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-

Non-

Non-



Duration
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


(hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.0306
 0.396
 0.0465
 0.396
 0.0570
 0.358


Average
 0.314
 0.901
 0.457
 0.872
 0.467
 0.875


Stdev
 0.830
 1.31
 1.07
 1.24
 1.05
 1.26


p (t-test)

 0.0051

 0.044

 0.048


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
 5.40
 5.96
 5.96
 5.46
 5.96
 5.46


n (Patient)
51
78
63
66
65
64










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-

Non-

Non-



Duration
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


(hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.127
 0.265
 0.147
 0.278
 0.147
 0.278


Average
 0.636
 0.761
 0.625
 0.807
 0.641
 0.773


Stdev
 1.18
 1.17
 1.15
 1.24
 1.16
 1.22


p (t-test)

 0.57

 0.43

 0.57


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
 5.96
 5.46
 5.96
 5.46
 5.96
 5.46


n (Patient)
88
41
93
36
95
34













Persistence





Period
24
48
72
















Duration
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


(hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
 0.73
 0.71
 0.55
 0.66
 0.66
 0.54
 0.65
 0.64
 0.53


SE
 0.044
 0.045
 0.055
 0.047
 0.048
 0.057
 0.048
 0.049
 0.058


p Value
3.0E−7
4.2E−6
 0.38
6.9E−4
9.8E−4
 0.51
 0.0025
 0.0034
 0.59


nCohort
48
51
88
62
63
93
64
65
95


Non-











persistent











nCohort
82
78
41
68
66
36
66
64
34


Persistent











Cutoff
 0.0111
 0.0105
 0.0131
 0.0111
 0.0105
 0.0131
 0.0111
 0.0105
 0.0131


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
84%
85%
80%
82%
83%
78%
82%
83%
79%


Specificity
42%
39%
27%
34%
33%
26%
33%
32%
26%


Cutoff
 0.155
 0.147
 0.163
 0.155
 0.147
 0.163
 0.155
 0.147
 0.163


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
65%
63%
59%
65%
64%
53%
64%
62%
53%


Specificity
75%
69%
53%
66%
63%
51%
64%
62%
51%


Cutoff
 0.774
 0.756
 0.780
 0.774
 0.756
 0.780
 0.774
 0.756
 0.780


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
34%
36%
29%
32%
35%
31%
32%
34%
29%


Specificity
90%
90%
76%
82%
84%
76%
81%
83%
76%


OR
 3.79
 3.55
 1.55
 2.39
 2.50
 1.22
 2.20
 2.30
 1.38


Quartile 2











p Value
 0.0015
 0.0029
 0.34
 0.036
 0.031
 0.67
 0.058
 0.050
 0.51


Lower
 1.66
 1.54
 0.627
 1.06
 1.09
 0.489
 0.973
 1.00
 0.534


limit of











95% CI











Upper
 8.65
 8.16
 3.82
 5.40
 5.75
 3.03
 4.96
 5.28
 3.56


limit of











95% CI











OR
 5.48
 3.70
 1.62
 3.58
 3.04
 1.14
 3.12
 2.67
 1.15


Quartile 3











p Value
2.7E−5
6.2E−4
 0.21
5.5E−4
 0.0024
 0.74
 0.0018
 0.0069
 0.73


Lower
 2.48
 1.75
 0.765
 1.74
 1.49
 0.529
 1.52
 1.31
 0.524


limit of











95% CI











Upper
12.1
 7.82
 3.42
 7.38
 6.24
 2.47
 6.38
 5.43
 2.52


limit of











95% CI











OR
 4.46
 5.15
 1.32
 2.22
 2.83
 1.42
 2.02
 2.57
 1.30


Quartile 4











p Value
 0.0045
 0.0019
 0.51
 0.059
 0.016
 0.42
 0.090
 0.025
 0.55


Lower
 1.59
 1.83
 0.574
 0.971
 1.22
 0.604
 0.896
 1.12
 0.544


limit of











95% CI











Upper
12.5
14.5
 3.03
 5.07
 6.60
 3.34
 4.56
 5.89
 3.13


limit of











95% CI
















TABLE 17.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0204
0.396
0.0353
0.370
0.0465
0.346


Average
0.309
0.882
0.466
0.851
0.476
0.854


Stdev
0.853
1.28
1.08
1.22
1.07
1.24


p (t-test)

0.0064

0.060

0.065


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
48
82
61
69
63
67










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0306
0.396
0.0409
0.370
0.0518
0.346


Average
0.314
0.901
0.459
0.864
0.469
0.866


Stdev
0.830
1.31
1.07
1.24
1.06
1.25


p (t-test)

0.0051

0.050

0.054


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
51
78
62
67
64
65










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.107
0.290
0.131
0.298
0.131
0.298


Average
0.645
0.735
0.638
0.760
0.654
0.727


Stdev
1.20
1.14
1.17
1.18
1.18
1.16


p (t-test)

0.68

0.59

0.75


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
85
44
89
40
91
38














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.71
0.56
0.66
0.66
0.55
0.65
0.64
0.54


SE
0.044
0.045
0.054
0.047
0.048
0.056
0.048
0.048
0.056


p Value
3.0E−7
4.2E−6
0.28
5.3E−4
7.6E−4
0.39
0.0020
0.0028
0.45


nCohort Non-
48
51
85
61
62
89
63
64
91


persistent











nCohort Persistent
82
78
44
69
67
40
67
65
38


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131


Sensitivity
84%
85%
82%
83%
84%
80%
82%
83%
82%


Specificity
42%
39%
28%
34%
34%
27%
33%
33%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163


Sensitivity
65%
63%
61%
65%
64%
57%
64%
63%
58%


Specificity
75%
69%
55%
67%
65%
53%
65%
62%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780


Sensitivity
34%
36%
27%
32%
34%
28%
31%
34%
26%


Specificity
90%
90%
75%
82%
84%
75%
81%
83%
75%


OR Quartile 2
3.79
3.55
1.77
2.49
2.61
1.48
2.29
2.40
1.68


p Value
0.0015
0.0029
0.21
0.028
0.024
0.40
0.046
0.039
0.28


Lower limit of 95%
1.66
1.54
0.720
1.10
1.13
0.597
1.01
1.04
0.655


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
8.65
8.16
4.35
5.64
6.00
3.65
5.18
5.51
4.30


OR Quartile 3
5.48
3.70
1.96
3.84
3.26
1.51
3.34
2.85
1.53


p Value
2.7E−5
6.2E−4
0.075
2.9E−4
0.0013
0.28
0.0010
0.0041
0.27


Lower limit of 95%
2.48
1.75
0.935
1.85
1.58
0.713
1.63
1.39
0.715


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
12.1
7.82
4.13
7.97
6.70
3.21
6.86
5.81
3.30


OR Quartile 4
4.46
5.15
1.14
2.13
2.72
1.16
1.94
2.47
1.06


p Value
0.0045
0.0019
0.75
0.073
0.020
0.74
0.11
0.033
0.90


Lower limit of 95%
1.59
1.83
0.500
0.931
1.17
0.496
0.860
1.08
0.445


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
12.5
14.5
2.61
4.86
6.32
2.69
4.38
5.64
2.50
















TABLE 17.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0204
0.396
0.0351
0.358
0.0409
0.336


Average
0.309
0.882
0.471
0.842
0.481
0.843


Stdev
0.853
1.28
1.09
1.21
1.08
1.23


p (t-test)

0.0064

0.071

0.077


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
48
82
60
70
62
68










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0306
0.396
0.0409
0.370
0.0518
0.346


Average
0.314
0.901
0.459
0.864
0.469
0.866


Stdev
0.830
1.31
1.07
1.24
1.06
1.25


p (t-test)

0.0051

0.050

0.054


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.40
5.96
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
51
78
62
67
64
65










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0814
0.298
0.115
0.305
0.115
0.305


Average
0.628
0.763
0.627
0.774
0.644
0.745


Stdev
1.20
1.12
1.18
1.15
1.19
1.13


p (t-test)

0.53

0.50

0.65


Min
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6
1.37E−6


Max
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.96
5.46


n (Patient)
83
46
86
43
88
41














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.71
0.58
0.66
0.66
0.57
0.65
0.64
0.56


SE
0.044
0.045
0.053
0.047
0.048
0.054
0.048
0.048
0.055


p Value
3.0E−7
4.2E−6
0.13
5.1E−4
7.6E−4
0.20
0.0020
0.0028
0.24


nCohort Non-
48
51
83
60
62
86
62
64
88


persistent











nCohort Persistent
82
78
46
70
67
43
68
65
41


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131
0.0111
0.0105
0.0131


Sensitivity
84%
85%
83%
83%
84%
81%
82%
83%
83%


Specificity
42%
39%
29%
35%
34%
28%
34%
33%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163
0.155
0.147
0.163


Sensitivity
65%
63%
63%
66%
64%
60%
65%
63%
61%


Specificity
75%
69%
57%
68%
65%
55%
66%
62%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780
0.774
0.756
0.780


Sensitivity
34%
36%
30%
31%
34%
30%
31%
34%
29%


Specificity
90%
90%
77%
82%
84%
77%
81%
83%
76%


OR Quartile 2
3.79
3.55
1.93
2.60
2.61
1.69
2.39
2.40
1.93


p Value
0.0015
0.0029
0.15
0.022
0.024
0.25
0.036
0.039
0.17


Lower limit of 95%
1.66
1.54
0.787
1.15
1.13
0.688
1.06
1.04
0.756


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
8.65
8.16
4.74
5.89
6.00
4.17
5.40
5.51
4.92


OR Quartile 3
5.48
3.70
2.23
4.14
3.26
1.84
3.58
2.85
1.88


p Value
2.7E−5
6.2E−4
0.034
1.5E−4
0.0013
0.11
5.5E−4
0.0041
0.10


Lower limit of 95%
2.48
1.75
1.06
1.98
1.58
0.876
1.74
1.39
0.881


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
12.1
7.82
4.67
8.62
6.70
3.88
7.38
5.81
3.99


OR Quartile 4
4.46
5.15
1.47
2.04
2.72
1.43
1.86
2.47
1.32


p Value
0.0045
0.0019
0.35
0.090
0.020
0.39
0.13
0.033
0.51


Lower limit of 95%
1.59
1.83
0.655
0.894
1.17
0.629
0.825
1.08
0.574


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
12.5
14.5
3.31
4.66
6.32
3.25
4.20
5.64
3.03
















TABLE 17.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.209
0.733
0.295
0.566
0.371
0.566


Average
0.617
1.25
0.879
1.20
0.895
1.23


Stdev
0.856
1.49
1.14
1.50
1.11
1.58


p (t-test)

0.0059

0.14

0.13


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478


Max
4.20
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
50
101
75
76
85
66










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.238
0.575
0.295
0.559
0.429
0.535


Average
0.821
1.12
0.995
1.04
1.04
0.998


Stdev
1.41
1.26
1.47
1.16
1.43
1.17


p (t-test)

0.18

0.83

0.86


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
6.76
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01


n (Patient)
52
98
73
77
86
64










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.417
0.748
0.475
0.642
0.487
0.716


Average
0.954
1.32
0.977
1.32
0.966
1.44


Stdev
1.22
1.65
1.21
1.80
1.19
1.94


p (t-test)

0.15

0.22

0.11


Min
0.00478
0.0678
0.00478
0.0757
0.00478
0.0757


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
112
38
120
30
125
25














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.62
0.60
0.57
0.55
0.58
0.55
0.51
0.58


SE
0.045
0.047
0.055
0.047
0.047
0.060
0.047
0.048
0.065


p Value
1.1E−4
0.0096
0.074
0.12
0.31
0.19
0.26
0.79
0.21


nCohort Non-
50
52
112
75
73
120
85
86
125


persistent











nCohort Persistent
101
98
38
76
77
30
66
64
25


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161


Sensitivity
81%
80%
82%
79%
78%
83%
76%
75%
80%


Specificity
38%
35%
28%
29%
29%
28%
26%
26%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519


Sensitivity
58%
56%
61%
55%
53%
57%
55%
52%
56%


Specificity
66%
62%
54%
55%
53%
52%
53%
51%
51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46


Sensitivity
32%
31%
32%
29%
29%
30%
27%
25%
36%


Specificity
88%
85%
77%
79%
78%
76%
76%
74%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.65
2.06
1.69
1.56
1.43
1.90
1.09
1.03
1.43


p Value
0.012
0.059
0.26
0.24
0.35
0.23
0.82
0.94
0.50


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.24
0.972
0.676
0.741
0.680
0.670
0.519
0.490
0.498


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.65
4.39
4.25
3.27
2.99
5.37
2.29
2.17
4.13


OR Quartile 3
2.73
2.05
1.77
1.49
1.31
1.40
1.35
1.12
1.34


p Value
0.0054
0.041
0.14
0.22
0.41
0.42
0.36
0.74
0.51


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.35
1.03
0.837
0.785
0.688
0.624
0.708
0.584
0.563


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.53
4.07
3.74
2.83
2.48
3.13
2.57
2.13
3.17


OR Quartile 4
3.40
2.43
1.53
1.50
1.42
1.34
1.22
0.970
1.86


p Value
0.012
0.045
0.31
0.28
0.35
0.51
0.60
0.94
0.18


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.31
1.02
0.677
0.715
0.678
0.555
0.583
0.460
0.745


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.80
5.78
3.44
3.16
3.00
3.26
2.55
2.04
4.65
















TABLE 17.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence
Non-

Non-

Non-



Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.201
  0.737
 0.284
 0.567
 0.289
 0.575


Average
 0.603
  1.25
 0.876
 1.18
 0.884
 1.21


Stdev
 0.859
  1.48
 1.18
 1.46
 1.14
 1.52


p (t-test)

  0.0050

 0.16

 0.13


Min
 0.0113
  0.00478
 0.0113
 0.00478
 0.0113
 0.00478


Max
 4.20
  8.76
 6.76
 8.76
 6.76
 8.76


n (Patient)
49
102
70
81
79
72










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence
Non-

Non-

Non-



Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.231
 0.582
 0.291
 0.562
 0.295
 0.559


Average
 0.811
 1.13
 1.00
 1.04
 1.04
 0.999


Stdev
 1.42
 1.26
 1.50
 1.14
 1.47
 1.14


p (t-test)

 0.17

 0.87

 0.86


Min
 0.0153
 0.00478
 0.0153
 0.00478
 0.0153
 0.00478


Max
 8.76
 6.76
 8.76
 5.01
 8.76
 5.01


n (Patient)
51
99
70
80
79
71










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence
Non-

Non-

Non-



Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
  0.295
 0.781
  0.451
 0.740
  0.456
 0.760


Average
  0.923
 1.31
  0.951
 1.31
  0.940
 1.41


Stdev
  1.22
 1.57
  1.20
 1.67
  1.18
 1.77


p (t-test)
  
 0.099
  
 0.15
  
 0.076


Min
  0.00478
 0.0598
  0.00478
 0.0598
  0.00478
 0.0598


Max
  6.76
 8.76
  6.76
 8.76
  6.76
 8.76


n (Patient)
103
47
111
39
116
34













Persistence
24
48
72
















Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
 0.68
 0.63
 0.61
 0.59
 0.55
 0.59
 0.57
 0.53
 0.59


SE
 0.044
 0.047
 0.051
 0.046
 0.047
 0.054
 0.047
 0.047
 0.057


p Value
4.9E−5
 0.0060
 0.033
 0.062
 0.24
 0.094
 0.11
 0.59
 0.11


nCohort Non-
 49
51
103
70
70
111
79
79
116


persistent











nCohort
102
99
 47
81
80
  39
72
71
 34


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.162
 0.161
  0.161
 0.162
 0.161
  0.161
 0.162
 0.161
  0.161


Sensitivity
81%
80%
81%
80%
79%
82%
78%
76%
79%


Specificity
39%
35%
28%
31%
30%
28%
28%
27%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.511
 0.503
  0.519
 0.511
 0.503
  0.519
 0.511
 0.503
  0.519


Sensitivity
59%
57%
62%
56%
54%
59%
56%
52%
59%


Specificity
67%
63%
55%
56%
54%
53%
54%
52%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.46
 1.45
  1.46
 1.46
 1.45
  1.46
 1.46
 1.45
  1.46


Sensitivity
31%
30%
34%
28%
28%
33%
28%
25%
38%


Specificity
88%
84%
79%
79%
77%
77%
77%
75%
78%


OR Quartile 2
 2.77
 2.15
  1.65
 1.86
 1.59
  1.77
 1.35
 1.15
  1.41


p Value
 0.0087
 0.046
  0.24
 0.10
 0.22
  0.22
 0.43
 0.71
  0.47


Lower limit of
 1.29
 1.01
  0.711
 0.885
 0.757
  0.708
 0.643
 0.549
  0.556


95% CI











Upper limit of
 5.92
 4.59
  3.85
 3.92
 3.33
  4.43
 2.84
 2.41
  3.56


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
 2.95
 2.19
  2.00
 1.57
 1.38
  1.63
 1.49
 1.17
  1.58


p Value
 0.0031
 0.026
  0.055
 0.17
 0.33
  0.19
 0.22
 0.62
  0.24


Lower limit of
 1.44
 1.10
  0.987
 0.826
 0.725
  0.779
 0.786
 0.618
  0.731


95% CI











Upper limit of
 6.03
 4.39
  4.04
 2.99
 2.63
  3.42
 2.84
 2.23
  3.44


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
 3.28
 2.34
  1.90
 1.45
 1.28
  1.72
 1.30
 1.00
  2.25


p Value
 0.014
 0.055
  0.10
 0.33
 0.51
  0.18
 0.48
 1.00
  0.052


Lower limit of
 1.27
 0.981
  0.884
 0.688
 0.609
  0.772
 0.624
 0.479
  0.991


95% CI











Upper limit of
 8.48
 5.57
  4.09
 3.07
 2.69
  3.83
 2.72
 2.09
  5.12


95% CI
















TABLE 17.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.201
0.737
0.289
0.566
0.294
0.566


Average
0.603
1.25
0.885
1.17
0.908
1.17


Stdev
0.859
1.48
1.18
1.46
1.17
1.49


p (t-test)

0.0050

0.19

0.23


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478


Max
4.20
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
49
102
69
82
75
76










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.231
0.582
0.294
0.559
0.295
0.559


Average
0.811
1.13
1.01
1.03
1.02
1.01


Stdev
1.42
1.26
1.51
1.14
1.47
1.16


p (t-test)

0.17

0.95

0.96


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
6.76
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01


n (Patient)
51
99
69
81
75
75










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.294
0.760
0.451
0.716
0.456
0.728


Average
0.913
1.30
0.951
1.27
0.939
1.34


Stdev
1.21
1.55
1.20
1.62
1.18
1.71


p (t-test)

0.098

0.19

0.11


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
98
52
105
45
110
40














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.68
0.63
0.61
0.58
0.55
0.58
0.57
0.53
0.58


SE
0.044
0.047
0.049
0.046
0.047
0.052
0.047
0.047
0.054


p Value
4.9E−5
0.0060
0.025
0.071
0.27
0.12
0.16
0.48
0.14


nCohort Non-











persistent
49
51
98
69
69
105
75
75
110


nCohort Persistent
102
99
52
82
81
45
76
75
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161


Sensitivity
81%
80%
83%
80%
79%
82%
79%
77%
80%


Specificity
39%
35%
30%
32%
30%
29%
29%
28%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519


Sensitivity
59%
57%
62%
55%
53%
58%
54%
52%
57%


Specificity
67%
63%
56%
55%
54%
53%
53%
52%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46


Sensitivity
31%
30%
33%
28%
27%
31%
26%
25%
35%


Specificity
88%
84%
79%
78%
77%
77%
76%
75%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.77
2.15
2.01
1.93
1.65
1.85
1.56
1.33
1.50


p Value
0.0087
0.046
0.10
0.083
0.19
0.17
0.24
0.45
0.37


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.29
1.01
0.868
0.917
0.785
0.772
0.741
0.634
0.621


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.92
4.59
4.65
4.07
3.46
4.43
3.27
2.78
3.62


OR Quartile 3
2.95
2.19
2.05
1.49
1.31
1.56
1.34
1.17
1.51


p Value
0.0031
0.026
0.041
0.22
0.41
0.21
0.37
0.62
0.27


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.44
1.10
1.03
0.783
0.687
0.773
0.706
0.618
0.727


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.03
4.39
4.07
2.84
2.49
3.16
2.54
2.23
3.13


OR Quartile 4
3.28
2.34
1.78
1.40
1.24
1.52
1.13
1.00
1.93


p Value
0.014
0.055
0.13
0.37
0.58
0.29
0.74
1.0
0.10


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.27
0.981
0.838
0.664
0.587
0.700
0.542
0.479
0.874


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.48
5.57
3.79
2.96
2.60
3.32
2.36
2.09
4.26
















TABLE 17.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.201
0.737
0.284
0.567
0.291
0.567


Average
0.603
1.25
0.869
1.18
0.894
1.18


Stdev
0.859
1.48
1.19
1.45
1.17
1.49


p (t-test)

0.0050

0.15

0.19


Min
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478
0.0113
0.00478


Max
4.20
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
49
102
68
83
74
77










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.231
0.582
0.291
0.562
0.294
0.562


Average
0.811
1.13
0.998
1.04
1.01
1.03


Stdev
1.42
1.26
1.52
1.14
1.48
1.15


p (t-test)

0.17

0.85

0.95


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
6.76
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01


n (Patient)
51
99
68
82
74
76










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.289
0.740
0.316
0.575
0.427
0.582


Average
0.911
1.28
0.963
1.21
0.950
1.27


Stdev
1.23
1.51
1.22
1.56
1.20
1.64


p (t-test)

0.11

0.29

0.18


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
95
55
100
50
105
45














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.68
0.63
0.62
0.59
0.56
0.58
0.57
0.54
0.57


SE
0.044
0.047
0.048
0.046
0.047
0.050
0.046
0.047
0.052


p Value
4.9E−5
0.0060
0.016
0.044
0.19
0.13
0.11
0.37
0.16


nCohort Non-
49
51
95
68
68
100
74
74
105


persistent











nCohort Persistent
102
99
55
83
82
50
77
76
45


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161


Sensitivity
81%
80%
84%
81%
79%
82%
79%
78%
80%


Specificity
39%
35%
31%
32%
31%
29%
30%
28%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519


Sensitivity
59%
57%
60%
55%
54%
56%
55%
53%
56%


Specificity
67%
63%
56%
56%
54%
53%
54%
53%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46


Sensitivity
31%
30%
33%
29%
28%
30%
27%
26%
33%


Specificity
88%
84%
79%
79%
78%
77%
77%
76%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.77
2.15
2.25
2.00
1.71
1.86
1.61
1.38
1.53


p Value
0.0087
0.046
0.058
0.068
0.16
0.15
0.21
0.40
0.33


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.29
1.01
0.972
0.950
0.814
0.803
0.768
0.657
0.655


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.92
4.59
5.19
4.22
3.59
4.31
3.39
2.88
3.56


OR Quartile 3
2.95
2.19
1.89
1.57
1.38
1.44
1.41
1.24
1.38


p Value
0.0031
0.026
0.064
0.17
0.33
0.30
0.29
0.51
0.37


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.44
1.10
0.964
0.826
0.725
0.725
0.744
0.652
0.682


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.03
4.39
3.72
3.00
2.63
2.84
2.68
2.35
2.77


OR Quartile 4
3.28
2.34
1.82
1.57
1.38
1.43
1.26
1.11
1.78


p Value
0.014
0.055
0.12
0.24
0.40
0.35
0.54
0.78
0.14


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.27
0.981
0.863
0.737
0.651
0.669
0.601
0.532
0.823


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.48
5.57
3.86
3.34
2.91
3.08
2.63
2.32
3.86
















TABLE 17.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.216
0.725
0.278
0.575
0.287
0.582


Average
0.627
1.23
0.825
1.20
0.830
1.22


Stdev
0.869
1.47
1.15
1.46
1.12
1.49


p (t-test)

0.010

0.085

0.073


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
4.20
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
47
104
65
86
70
81










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.238
0.575
0.291
0.562
0.294
0.562


Average
0.826
1.12
0.970
1.06
0.987
1.05


Stdev
1.43
1.26
1.50
1.17
1.46
1.19


p (t-test)

0.21

0.69

0.78


Min
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478
0.0153
0.00478


Max
8.76
6.76
8.76
5.01
8.76
5.01


n (Patient)
50
100
66
84
72
78










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.282
0.805
0.289
0.740
0.295
0.740


Average
0.830
1.39
0.861
1.36
0.858
1.41


Stdev
1.15
1.56
1.15
1.59
1.13
1.65


p (t-test)

0.013

0.027

0.017


Min
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598
0.00478
0.0598


Max
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76
6.76
8.76


n (Patient)
92
58
95
55
99
51














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.62
0.65
0.60
0.56
0.63
0.59
0.54
0.63


SE
0.046
0.047
0.047
0.046
0.047
0.048
0.046
0.047
0.049


p Value
7.5E−4
0.014
0.0014
0.028
0.19
0.0073
0.047
0.37
0.011


nCohort Non-
47
50
92
65
66
95
70
72
99


persistent











nCohort Persistent
104
100
58
86
84
55
81
78
51


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161
0.162
0.161
0.161


Sensitivity
80%
79%
84%
80%
79%
84%
79%
77%
82%


Specificity
36%
34%
32%
32%
30%
31%
30%
28%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519
0.511
0.503
0.519


Sensitivity
58%
56%
62%
56%
54%
60%
56%
53%
59%


Specificity
66%
62%
58%
57%
55%
56%
56%
53%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46
1.46
1.45
1.46


Sensitivity
31%
30%
36%
30%
29%
36%
30%
27%
39%


Specificity
87%
84%
82%
82%
79%
81%
80%
76%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.24
1.94
2.51
1.94
1.59
2.25
1.61
1.28
1.93


p Value
0.039
0.087
0.031
0.081
0.22
0.058
0.21
0.51
0.12


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.04
0.908
1.09
0.922
0.761
0.972
0.770
0.613
0.835


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.81
4.13
5.78
4.07
3.34
5.19
3.38
2.68
4.48


OR Quartile 3
2.64
2.08
2.22
1.67
1.38
1.89
1.57
1.24
1.71


p Value
0.0080
0.039
0.020
0.12
0.32
0.064
0.17
0.51
0.12


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.29
1.04
1.14
0.872
0.725
0.964
0.826
0.652
0.865


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.42
4.16
4.36
3.20
2.64
3.72
2.99
2.35
3.40


OR Quartile 4
3.04
2.25
2.50
1.91
1.49
2.44
1.68
1.19
2.90


p Value
0.022
0.067
0.017
0.10
0.31
0.020
0.18
0.64
0.0060


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.17
0.944
1.18
0.880
0.697
1.15
0.791
0.569
1.36


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.87
5.36
5.31
4.16
3.17
5.18
3.58
2.50
6.20









Example 18. Use of Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Fibroblast growth factor 23 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 18.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
1.90E−6
0.0223
1.90E−6
0.0220
1.90E−6
0.0220


Average
0.0562
0.116
0.0188
0.121
0.0196
0.119


Stdev
0.189
0.239
0.0473
0.247
0.0500
0.245


p (t-test)

0.27

0.076

0.100


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.173
1.70
0.173
1.70


n (Patient)
22
108
19
111
17
113










sCr only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.000547
0.0231
0.000806
0.0230
0.000547
0.0228


Average
0.0156
0.132
0.0161
0.131
0.0167
0.129


Stdev
0.0387
0.258
0.0392
0.257
0.0399
0.256


p (t-test)

0.017

0.020

0.024


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.173
1.70
0.173
1.70
0.173
1.70


n (Patient)
29
100
28
101
27
102










UO only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0182
0.0215
0.0162
0.0216
0.0106
0.0222


Average
0.0863
0.142
0.0742
0.152
0.0668
0.150


Stdev
0.157
0.324
0.131
0.321
0.118
0.307


p (t-test)

0.19

0.061

0.042


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.500
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
82
47
75
54
67
62














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.72
0.73
0.56
0.73
0.73
0.59
0.75
0.72
0.61


SE
0.053
0.048
0.053
0.055
0.049
0.051
0.055
0.049
0.050


p Value
 4.5E−5
 1.0E−6
0.25
 2.5E−5
 3.7E−6
0.078
 7.6E−6
 5.7E−6
0.021


nCohort Recovered
22
29
82
19
28
75
17
27
67


nCohort Non-
108
100
47
111
101
54
113
102
62


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Sensitivity
90%
90%
94%
89%
90%
93%
89%
90%
94%


Specificity
27%
24%
17%
26%
25%
17%
29%
26%
19%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194


Sensitivity
56%
59%
55%
56%
58%
57%
56%
58%
60%


Specificity
82%
79%
52%
84%
79%
55%
88%
78%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936


Sensitivity
28%
31%
30%
28%
31%
31%
27%
30%
31%


Specificity
86%
93%
77%
89%
93%
79%
88%
93%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.31
2.86
3.02
2.95
3.03
2.62
3.51
3.22
3.49


p Value
0.037
0.055
0.097
0.074
0.043
0.11
0.041
0.034
0.038


Lower limit of 95%
1.07
0.980
0.820
0.902
1.03
0.805
1.05
1.09
1.07


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
10.2
8.37
11.1
9.63
8.90
8.54
11.7
9.48
11.4


OR Quartile 3
5.84
5.52
1.37
6.75
5.15
1.63
9.45
4.80
2.06


p Value
0.0026
 6.6E−4
0.40
0.0037
0.0011
0.18
0.0038
0.0019
0.043


Lower limit of 95%
1.85
2.06
0.664
1.86
1.92
0.803
2.06
1.79
1.02


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
18.4
14.7
2.80
24.5
13.8
3.29
43.3
12.9
4.16


OR Quartile 4
2.44
6.07
1.41
3.29
5.76
1.69
2.84
5.46
1.67


p Value
0.18
0.018
0.41
0.12
0.022
0.19
0.18
0.027
0.21


Lower limit of 95%
0.672
1.36
0.627
0.718
1.29
0.764
0.613
1.22
0.752


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
8.84
27.1
3.16
15.1
25.8
3.76
13.1
24.5
3.72
















TABLE 18.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
1.90E−6
0.0231
1.90E−6
0.0231
1.90E−6
0.0230


Average
0.0181
0.137
0.0185
0.134
0.0195
0.131


Stdev
0.0393
0.262
0.0404
0.260
0.0423
0.257


p (t-test)

0.0096

0.013

0.022


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.173
1.70
0.173
1.70
0.173
1.70


n (Patient)
34
96
32
98
29
101










sCr only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.000806
0.0303
0.00106
0.0303
0.000806
0.0277


Average
0.0172
0.145
0.0176
0.144
0.0180
0.142


Stdev
0.0364
0.268
0.0367
0.267
0.0371
0.266


p (t-test)

0.0032

0.0041

0.0050


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.173
1.70
0.173
1.70
0.173
1.70


n (Patient)
40
90
39
91
38
92










UO only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0182
0.0219
0.0162
0.0225
0.0126
0.0230


Average
0.0723
0.180
0.0745
0.165
0.0680
0.160


Stdev
0.126
0.360
0.130
0.343
0.118
0.325


p (t-test)

0.013

0.034

0.025


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.500
1.70
0.500
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
88
41
83
46
75
54














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.74
0.73
0.59
0.74
0.73
0.60
0.75
0.72
0.62


SE
0.045
0.044
0.055
0.046
0.045
0.053
0.046
0.046
0.050


p Value
 1.5E−7
 1.3E−7
0.086
 1.7E−7
 4.9E−7
0.056
 1.2E−7
 8.6E−7
0.015


nCohort Recovered
34
40
88
32
39
83
29
38
75


nCohort Non-
96
90
41
98
91
46
101
92
54


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Sensitivity
91%
90%
93%
91%
90%
93%
91%
90%
94%


Specificity
24%
20%
16%
25%
21%
17%
28%
21%
19%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194


Sensitivity
59%
61%
56%
59%
60%
59%
58%
60%
61%


Specificity
76%
75%
52%
78%
74%
54%
79%
74%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936


Sensitivity
31%
33%
37%
31%
33%
33%
30%
33%
31%


Specificity
91%
92%
80%
91%
92%
78%
90%
92%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.97
2.25
2.40
3.30
2.35
2.91
3.89
2.46
3.90


p Value
0.042
0.13
0.19
0.027
0.11
0.11
0.012
0.090
0.040


Lower limit of 95%
1.04
0.798
0.649
1.15
0.833
0.790
1.34
0.869
1.06


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
8.49
6.34
8.85
9.45
6.64
10.7
11.3
6.96
14.3


OR Quartile 3
4.75
4.71
1.40
5.18
4.43
1.68
5.38
4.16
2.11


p Value
 6.1E−4
 2.6E−4
0.38
 5.3E−4
 4.6E−4
0.16
 7.8E−4
 8.0E−4
0.040


Lower limit of 95%
1.95
2.05
0.664
2.04
1.93
0.812
2.02
1.81
1.03


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
11.6
10.8
2.95
13.1
10.2
3.49
14.4
9.58
4.31


OR Quartile 4
4.70
6.17
2.24
4.26
5.90
1.75
3.66
5.65
1.69


p Value
0.016
0.0045
0.053
0.025
0.0056
0.18
0.045
0.0070
0.19


Lower limit of 95%
1.33
1.76
0.988
1.20
1.68
0.779
1.03
1.61
0.764


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
16.6
21.6
5.09
15.1
20.7
3.92
13.0
19.8
3.76
















TABLE 18.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.000547
0.0303
0.000547
0.0303
1.90E−6
0.0232


Average
0.0220
0.153
0.0225
0.150
0.0220
0.144


Stdev
0.0448
0.277
0.0457
0.275
0.0468
0.270


p (t-test)

0.0016

0.0025

0.0046


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.206
1.70
0.206
1.70
0.206
1.70


n (Patient)
47
83
45
85
41
89










sCr only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.00174
0.0561
0.00242
0.0559
0.00106
0.0559


Average
0.0210
0.162
0.0214
0.160
0.0205
0.157


Stdev
0.0428
0.284
0.0431
0.282
0.0430
0.280


p (t-test)

 5.1E−4

 6.8E−4

 9.0E−4


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.206
1.70
0.206
1.70
0.206
1.70


n (Patient)
52
78
51
79
49
81










UO only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0181
0.0267
0.0133
0.0267
0.0106
0.0231


Average
0.0704
0.187
0.0710
0.175
0.0698
0.161


Stdev
0.125
0.363
0.128
0.348
0.124
0.327


p (t-test)

0.0076

0.015

0.028


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.500
1.70
0.500
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
89
40
85
44
77
52














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.74
0.74
0.62
0.73
0.73
0.63
0.74
0.74
0.64


SE
0.043
0.043
0.055
0.044
0.043
0.053
0.043
0.043
0.050


p Value
 5.0E−8
 1.7E−8
0.032
 8.1E−8
 7.0E−8
0.012
 1.6E−8
 2.7E−8
0.0061


nCohort Recovered
47
52
89
45
51
85
41
49
77


nCohort Non-
83
78
40
85
79
44
89
81
52


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Sensitivity
92%
91%
95%
92%
91%
95%
92%
91%
96%


Specificity
21%
19%
17%
22%
20%
18%
24%
20%
19%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194


Sensitivity
63%
64%
57%
62%
63%
61%
62%
63%
63%


Specificity
72%
71%
53%
73%
71%
55%
76%
71%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936


Sensitivity
35%
37%
38%
34%
37%
36%
33%
36%
33%


Specificity
91%
92%
80%
91%
92%
80%
90%
92%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.93
2.41
3.85
3.18
2.51
4.50
3.78
2.71
6.05


p Value
0.043
0.096
0.083
0.030
0.083
0.053
0.013
0.060
0.020


Lower limit of 95%
1.03
0.855
0.837
1.12
0.887
0.980
1.32
0.957
1.32


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
8.32
6.82
17.7
9.05
7.09
20.7
10.8
7.68
27.7


OR Quartile 3
4.39
4.40
1.51
4.55
4.14
1.96
5.01
4.25
2.44


p Value
 2.0E−4
 1.3E−4
0.28
 1.8E−4
 2.3E−4
0.075
 1.4E−4
 2.2E−4
0.016


Lower limit of 95%
2.01
2.06
0.713
2.06
1.94
0.935
2.18
1.97
1.18


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
9.56
9.40
3.21
10.1
8.82
4.13
11.5
9.15
5.04


OR Quartile 4
5.77
7.10
2.37
5.31
6.82
2.29
4.47
6.27
1.85


p Value
0.0021
 5.9E−4
0.040
0.0035
 7.7E−4
0.046
0.0089
0.0013
0.13


Lower limit of 95%
1.88
2.32
1.04
1.73
2.23
1.01
1.45
2.05
0.833


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
17.7
21.7
5.39
16.3
20.9
5.15
13.7
19.2
4.12
















TABLE 18.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.00106
0.0564
0.000547
0.0303
1.90E-6
0.0267


Average
0.0214
0.164
0.0217
0.157
0.0216
0.149


Stdev
0.0426
0.285
0.0442
0.280
0.0456
0.273


p (t-test)

4.4E-4

0.0011

0.0027


Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.206
1.70
0.206
1.70
0.206
1.70


n (Patient)
53
77
49
81
44
86


sCr only








Median
0.00106
0.0605
0.00174
0.0584
0.00106
0.0605


Average
0.0207
0.168
0.0211
0.166
0.0200
0.165


Stdev
0.0420
0.288
0.0423
0.286
0.0418
0.285


p (t-test)

2.5E-4

3.4E-4

3.5E-4


Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.206
1.70
0.206
1.70
0.206
1.70


n (Patient)
55
75
54
76
53
77


UO only








Median
0.0133
0.0303
0.0106
0.0267
0.00953
0.0232


Average
0.0707
0.181
0.0719
0.169
0.0704
0.159


Stdev
0.127
0.355
0.130
0.341
0.125
0.325


p (t-test)

0.011

0.022

0.033


Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.500
1.70
0.500
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
87
42
83
46
76
53












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.75
0.76
0.64
0.75
0.75
0.64
0.76
0.76
0.64


SE
0.042
0.042
0.054
0.042
0.042
0.052
0.042
0.042
0.050


p Value
5.9E-9
9.2E-10
0.012
3.2E-9
4.7E-9
0.0054
1.1E-9
7.5E-10
0.0051


nCohort Recovered
53
55
87
49
54
83
44
53
76


nCohort Non-
77
75
42
81
76
46
86
77
53


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6


Sensitivity
92%
92%
95%
93%
92%
96%
93%
92%
96%


Specificity
21%
20%
17%
22%
20%
18%
25%
21%
20%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194


Sensitivity
64%
65%
62%
64%
64%
65%
63%
65%
64%


Specificity
70%
71%
55%
73%
70%
58%
75%
72%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936


Sensitivity
38%
39%
36%
36%
38%
35%
34%
38%
32%


Specificity
92%
93%
79%
92%
93%
80%
91%
92%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.10
2.88
4.17
3.62
2.98
4.85
4.44
3.10
6.27


p Value
0.037
0.052
0.067
0.018
0.044
0.042
0.0065
0.037
0.018


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.07
0.992
0.907
1.24
1.03
1.06
1.52
1.07
1.37


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.99
8.33
19.2
10.5
8.66
22.3
13.0
8.99
28.7


OR Quartile 3
4.05
4.59
2.00
4.97
4.31
2.57
5.06
4.69
2.60


p Value
2.5E-4
7.0E-5
0.071
5.7E-5
1.3E-4
0.013
8.8E-5
6.6E-5
0.0098


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.92
2.17
0.942
2.28
2.04
1.22
2.25
2.20
1.26


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.55
9.74
4.24
10.8
9.12
5.43
11.4
10.0
5.36


OR Quartile 4
7.40
8.04
2.13
6.27
7.71
2.07
5.09
7.40
1.77


p Value
4.5E-4
2.6E-4
0.070
0.0013
3.4E-4
0.077
0.0044
4.5E-4
0.16


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.42
2.63
0.941
2.05
2.52
0.923
1.66
2.42
0.797


Upper limit of 95% CI
22.7
24.6
4.82
19.2
23.6
4.64
15.6
22.7
3.93
















TABLE 18.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.00847
0.0303
0.00752
0.0232
0.00752
0.0232


Average
0.0582
0.180
0.0591
0.174
0.0591
0.174


Stdev
0.108
0.333
0.110
0.328
0.110
0.328


p (t-test)

0.0031

0.0051

0.0051


Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
79
51
77
53
77
53


sCr only








Median
0.00344
0.0582
0.00344
0.0582
0.00344
0.0582


Average
0.0371
0.177
0.0371
0.177
0.0371
0.177


Stdev
0.0740
0.307
0.0740
0.307
0.0740
0.307


p (t-test)

4.6E-4

4.6E-4

4.6E-4


Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.364
1.70
0.364
1.70
0.364
1.70


n (Patient)
66
64
66
64
66
64


UO only








Median
0.0130
0.0303
0.0116
0.0303
0.0106
0.0267


Average
0.0612
0.198
0.0621
0.190
0.0627
0.186


Stdev
0.111
0.356
0.112
0.350
0.113
0.347


p (t-test)

0.0014

0.0026

0.0035


Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
86
43
84
45
83
46












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.67
0.71
0.66
0.67
0.71
0.66
0.67
0.71
0.66


SE
0.050
0.045
0.053
0.049
0.045
0.052
0.049
0.045
0.052


p Value
7.3E-4
2.4E-6
0.0027
6.1E-4
2.4E-6
0.0025
6.1E-4
2.4E-6
0.0026


nCohort
79
66
86
77
66
84
77
66
83


Recovered











nCohort
51
64
43
53
64
45
53
64
46


Non-











recovered











Cutoff
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
96%
94%
95%
96%
94%
96%
96%
94%
96%


Specificity
19%
20%
17%
19%
20%
18%
19%
20%
18%


Cutoff
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
65%
66%
63%
66%
66%
64%
66%
66%
65%


Specificity
59%
65%
56%
61%
65%
57%
61%
65%
58%


Cutoff
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
37%
39%
40%
36%
39%
38%
36%
39%
37%


Specificity
82%
88%
81%
82%
88%
81%
82%
88%
81%


OR
5.74
3.68
4.33
6.17
3.68
4.67
6.17
3.68
4.85


Quartile 2











p Value
0.024
0.030
0.060
0.019
0.030
0.047
0.019
0.030
0.042


Lower limit
1.25
1.13
0.943
1.35
1.13
1.02
1.35
1.13
1.06


of 95% CI











Upper limit
26.3
12.0
19.9
28.2
12.0
21.5
28.2
12.0
22.3


of 95% CI











OR
2.69
3.57
2.13
3.05
3.57
2.42
3.05
3.57
2.57


Quartile 3











p Value
0.0078
5.6E-4
0.048
0.0028
5.6E-4
0.021
0.0028
5.6E-4
0.013


Lower limit
1.30
1.73
1.01
1.47
1.73
1.14
1.47
1.73
1.22


of 95% CI











Upper limit
5.58
7.35
4.52
6.32
7.35
5.11
6.32
7.35
5.43


of 95% CI











OR
2.76
4.65
2.86
2.51
4.65
2.58
2.51
4.65
2.45


Quartile 4











p Value
0.014
7.5E-4
0.012
0.025
7.5E-4
0.022
0.025
7.5E-4
0.030


Lower limit
1.23
1.90
1.26
1.12
1.90
1.15
1.12
1.90
1.09


of 95% CI











Upper limit
6.20
11.4
6.48
5.63
11.4
5.81
5.63
11.4
5.52


of 95% CI
















TABLE 18.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.0664
0.198
0.0625
0.190
0.0625
0.190


Average
0.233
0.365
0.219
0.363
0.172
0.367


Stdev
0.440
0.383
0.453
0.382
0.403
0.388


p (t-test)

0.13

0.12

0.043


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00372
0.00169
0.00372
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
25
126
21
130
19
132


sCr only








Median
0.0664
0.204
0.0651
0.198
0.0631
0.198


Average
0.201
0.372
0.206
0.370
0.170
0.375


Stdev
0.395
0.387
0.402
0.386
0.356
0.393


p (t-test)

0.035

0.047

0.015


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00372
0.00169
0.00372
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
29
121
28
122
26
124


UO only








Median
0.112
0.335
0.119
0.319
0.127
0.288


Average
0.282
0.442
0.276
0.433
0.286
0.407


Stdev
0.374
0.409
0.374
0.406
0.383
0.400


p (t-test)

0.015

0.015

0.059


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
91
59
84
66
77
73












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.68
0.64
0.68
0.67
0.64
0.71
0.70
0.61


SE
0.055
0.051
0.047
0.056
0.052
0.046
0.056
0.051
0.046


p Value
0.0047
5.5E-4
0.0041
0.0012
8.3E-4
0.0031
1.3E-4
1.1E-4
0.020


nCohort
25
29
91
21
28
84
19
26
77


Recovered











nCohort
126
121
59
130
122
66
132
124
73


Non-











recovered











Cutoff
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
76%
77%
80%
77%
77%
80%
77%
77%
78%


Specificity
32%
34%
29%
38%
36%
30%
42%
38%
29%


Cutoff
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
56%
57%
63%
55%
57%
61%
55%
56%
58%


Specificity
76%
79%
58%
76%
79%
58%
79%
81%
57%


Cutoff
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
28%
29%
37%
28%
29%
36%
28%
29%
34%


Specificity
88%
90%
82%
90%
89%
83%
95%
92%
83%


OR
1.51
1.75
1.57
2.05
1.87
1.73
2.47
2.14
1.42


Quartile 2











p Value
0.39
0.21
0.26
0.15
0.17
0.16
0.075
0.095
0.35


Lower limit
0.591
0.729
0.718
0.777
0.773
0.803
0.912
0.875
0.678


of 95% CI











Upper limit
3.84
4.19
3.42
5.41
4.50
3.72
6.71
5.25
3.00


of 95% CI











OR
3.96
5.09
2.35
3.85
4.77
2.15
4.50
5.44
1.81


Quartile 3











p Value
0.0061
9.9E-4
0.013
0.013
0.0016
0.022
0.011
0.0014
0.073


Lower limit
1.48
1.93
1.20
1.33
1.81
1.12
1.42
1.93
0.946


of 95% CI











Upper limit
10.6
13.4
4.59
11.1
12.6
4.16
14.3
15.4
3.45


of 95% CI











OR
2.82
3.53
2.79
3.64
3.35
2.86
7.01
4.91
2.56


Quartile 4











p Value
0.11
0.050
0.0078
0.093
0.060
0.0069
0.063
0.037
0.016


Lower limit
0.794
1.00
1.31
0.806
0.951
1.33
0.903
1.10
1.19


of 95% CI











Upper limit
10.0
12.4
5.93
16.4
11.8
6.12
54.4
21.9
5.52


of 95% CI
















TABLE18.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.0769
0.204
0.0769
0.193
0.0713
0.204


Average
0.240
0.380
0.243
0.374
0.189
0.384


Stdev
0.371
0.398
0.385
0.394
0.340
0.399


p (t-test)

0.053

0.081

0.012


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00372
0.00169
0.00372
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
40
111
36
115
32
119


sCr only








Median
0.0752
0.249
0.0762
0.226
0.0727
0.249


Average
0.229
0.390
0.232
0.387
0.201
0.394


Stdev
0.357
0.401
0.360
0.400
0.326
0.405


p (t-test)

0.022

0.029

0.0075


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00372
0.00169
0.00372
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
44
107
43
108
40
111


UO only








Median
0.119
0.353
0.112
0.335
0.112
0.300


Average
0.276
0.483
0.271
0.465
0.274
0.438


Stdev
0.352
0.441
0.356
0.428
0.362
0.419


p (t-test)

0.0023

0.0032

0.012


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
100
50
93
57
85
65












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.63
0.65
0.66
0.64
0.64
0.66
0.68
0.67
0.63


SE
0.049
0.047
0.049
0.050
0.048
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.046


p Value
0.0066
0.0019
0.0015
0.0055
0.0028
8.8E-4
1.5E-4
3.1E-4
0.0045


nCohort Recovered
40
44
100
36
43
93
32
40
85


nCohort Non-
111
107
50
115
108
57
119
111
65


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489


Sensitivity
77%
78%
82%
77%
78%
82%
78%
78%
80%


Specificity
30%
32%
29%
33%
33%
30%
38%
35%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164


Sensitivity
57%
59%
64%
56%
58%
63%
56%
59%
60%


Specificity
68%
70%
57%
67%
70%
58%
72%
72%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536


Sensitivity
28%
29%
38%
28%
29%
37%
29%
30%
35%


Specificity
82%
84%
81%
83%
84%
82%
91%
88%
82%


OR Quartile 2
1.40
1.61
1.86
1.71
1.69
2.02
2.15
1.95
1.67


p Value
0.41
0.23
0.15
0.20
0.19
0.089
0.074
0.098
0.19


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.626
0.740
0.803
0.754
0.772
0.897
0.929
0.885
0.775


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.14
3.52
4.31
3.88
3.70
4.57
4.96
4.31
3.59


OR Quartile 3
2.73
3.41
2.36
2.51
3.23
2.37
3.29
3.73
2.04


p Value
0.0098
0.0014
0.016
0.022
0.0023
0.012
0.0061
0.0011
0.033


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.27
1.61
1.17
1.15
1.52
1.21
1.41
1.69
1.06


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.83
7.25
4.75
5.50
6.87
4.67
7.72
8.21
3.94


OR Quartile 4
1.83
2.16
2.61
1.93
2.07
2.61
4.03
2.96
2.56


p Value
0.20
0.098
0.013
0.18
0.12
0.013
0.029
0.037
0.015


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.732
0.868
1.22
0.733
0.833
1.23
1.15
1.07
1.20


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.56
5.35
5.58
5.07
5.15
5.53
14.1
8.23
5.44
















TABLE 18.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.0769
0.276
0.0769
0.276
0.0704
0.288


Average
0.232
0.398
0.218
0.398
0.169
0.405


Stdev
0.351
0.404
0.347
0.403
0.309
0.404


p (t-test)

0.014

0.0095

1.0E-3


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
50
101
46
105
40
111


sCr only








Median
0.0752
0.288
0.0752
0.288
0.0693
0.288


Average
0.223
0.409
0.213
0.411
0.184
0.419


Stdev
0.341
0.408
0.334
0.408
0.301
0.412


p (t-test)

0.0050

0.0031

5.0E-4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
54
97
52
99
49
102


UO only








Median
0.108
0.383
0.104
0.372
0.119
0.319


Average
0.267
0.493
0.265
0.480
0.271
0.445


Stdev
0.349
0.435
0.354
0.425
0.359
0.420


p (t-test)

7.1E-4

0.0011

0.0072


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
98
52
94
56
86
64












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.66
0.68
0.66
0.67
0.68
0.71
0.70
0.63


SE
0.046
0.044
0.047
0.046
0.044
0.046
0.044
0.043
0.046


p Value
7.9E-4
2.1E-4
1.7E-4
3.2E-4
8.7E-5
1.3E-4
9.1E-7
2.3E-6
0.0048


nCohort
50
54
98
46
52
94
40
49
86


Recovered











nCohort
101
97
52
105
99
56
111
102
64


Non-











recovered











Cutoff
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
79%
80%
85%
79%
81%
84%
80%
81%
78%


Specificity
34%
35%
31%
35%
37%
31%
40%
39%
28%


Cutoff
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
58%
61%
65%
58%
61%
66%
59%
62%
61%


Specificity
66%
69%
58%
67%
69%
60%
75%
73%
58%


Cutoff
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
30%
31%
38%
30%
31%
38%
32%
32%
36%


Specificity
84%
85%
82%
87%
87%
82%
92%
90%
83%


OR
1.96
2.23
2.43
2.01
2.42
2.33
2.70
2.77
1.38


Quartile 2











p Value
0.081
0.036
0.045
0.074
0.021
0.048
0.013
0.0087
0.40


Lower limit
0.920
1.05
1.02
0.934
1.14
1.01
1.23
1.29
0.648


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.18
4.72
5.78
4.33
5.15
5.38
5.92
5.92
2.95


of 95% CI











OR
2.73
3.38
2.63
2.87
3.46
2.87
4.40
4.47
2.17


Quartile 3











p Value
0.0054
7.0E-4
0.0067
0.0046
6.5E-4
0.0027
3.4E-4
8.9E-5
0.022


Lower limit
1.35
1.67
1.31
1.38
1.70
1.44
1.96
2.11
1.12


of 95% CI











Upper limit
5.53
6.83
5.28
5.93
7.07
5.72
9.89
9.47
4.19


of 95% CI











OR
2.22
2.57
2.78
2.92
2.93
2.72
5.68
4.21
2.66


Quartile 4











p Value
0.072
0.032
0.0082
0.027
0.020
0.0094
0.0062
0.0055
0.011


Lower limit
0.931
1.08
1.30
1.13
1.19
1.28
1.64
1.53
1.25


of 95% CI











Upper limit
5.29
6.12
5.92
7.58
7.23
5.78
19.7
11.6
5.65


of 95% CI
















TABLE 18.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered Cohort
Non-recovered Cohort
Recovered Cohort
Non-recovered Cohort
Recovered Cohort
Non-recovered Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.0847
0.288
0.0804
0.291
0.0784
0.297


Average
0.230
0.413
0.216
0.411
0.193
0.411


Stdev
0.328
0.417
0.326
0.412
0.328
0.404


p (t-test)

0.0051

0.0033

0.0015


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
58
93
53
98
47
104


sCr only








Median
0.0791
0.293
0.0784
0.297
0.0777
0.297


Average
0.222
0.422
0.211
0.427
0.204
0.427


Stdev
0.325
0.417
0.316
0.417
0.317
0.414


p (t-test)

0.0020

8.4E-4

6.5E-4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
60
91
59
92
57
94


UO only








Median
0.119
0.350
0.108
0.354
0.128
0.302


Average
0.268
0.481
0.266
0.471
0.275
0.439


Stdev
0.348
0.438
0.353
0.427
0.358
0.424


p (t-test)

0.0013

0.0017

0.011


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
96
54
92
58
86
64












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr o rUO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.67
0.66
0.68
0.68
0.61


SE
0.045
0.044
0.048
0.045
0.044
0.047
0.044
0.043
0.047


p Value
0.0025
4.8E-4
0.0013
8.7E-4
1.5E-4
8.6E-4
3.2E-5
4.0E-5
0.014


nCohort Recovered
58
60
96
53
59
92
47
57
86


nCohort Non-recovered
93
91
54
98
92
58
104
94
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489


Sensitivity
77%
79%
81%
78%
79%
81%
79%
80%
77%


Specificity
29%
32%
29%
30%
32%
29%
34%
33%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164


Sensitivity
59%
62%
63%
59%
62%
64%
61%
63%
59%


Specificity
64%
67%
57%
66%
68%
59%
72%
70%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536


Sensitivity
32%
33%
39%
33%
34%
38%
33%
34%
36%


Specificity
86%
87%
82%
89%
88%
83%
91%
89%
83%


OR Quartile 2
1.42
1.76
1.81
1.49
1.82
1.77
1.92
1.97
1.19


p Value
0.36
0.14
0.15
0.30
0.11
0.16
0.094
0.074
0.65


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.674
0.836
0.801
0.703
0.868
0.801
0.895
0.936
0.563


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.00
3.69
4.10
3.18
3.84
3.93
4.13
4.16
2.52


OR Quartile 3
2.55
3.20
2.28
2.82
3.43
2.50
4.02
3.97
1.94


p Value
0.0067
8.4E-4
0.018
0.0035
4.6E-4
0.0079
2.8E-4
1.3E-4
0.049


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.30
1.62
1.15
1.40
1.72
1.27
1.90
1.96
1.00


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.02
6.34
4.52
5.66
6.83
4.93
8.51
8.03
3.73


OR Quartile 4
2.98
3.20
2.96
3.80
3.78
2.90
5.22
4.39
2.66


p Value
0.013
0.0083
0.0050
0.0058
0.0038
0.0057
0.0033
0.0022
0.011


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.25
1.35
1.39
1.47
1.54
1.36
1.73
1.70
1.25


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.06
7.58
6.31
9.81
9.28
6.18
15.7
11.3
5.65
















TABLE 18.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.105
0.297
0.104
0.300
0.104
0.300


Average
0.238
0.464
0.237
0.462
0.237
0.462


Stdev
0.284
0.466
0.285
0.463
0.285
0.463


p (t-test)

3.6E-4

3.7E-4

3.7E-4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.44
1.80
1.44
1.80
1.44
1.80


n (Patient)
81
70
80
71
80
71


sCr only








Median
0.0799
0.301
0.0784
0.303
0.0784
0.303


Average
0.215
0.445
0.195
0.454
0.195
0.454


Stdev
0.292
0.436
0.272
0.435
0.272
0.435


p (t-test)

3.1E-4

4.2E-5

4.2E-5


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.44
1.80
1.44
1.80
1.44
1.80


n (Patient)
67
84
65
86
65
86


UO only








Median
0.105
0.396
0.104
0.373
0.104
0.373


Average
0.252
0.505
0.250
0.499
0.249
0.494


Stdev
0.311
0.469
0.314
0.462
0.314
0.458


p (t-test)

1.2E-4

1.3E-4

1.5E-4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.44
1.80
1.44
1.80
1.44
1.80


n (Patient)
95
55
93
57
91
59












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.63
0.66
0.67
0.63
0.68
0.67
0.63
0.68
0.67


SE
0.046
0.044
0.047
0.045
0.043
0.046
0.045
0.043
0.046


p Value
0.0056
2.5E-4
3.3E-4
0.0042
2.1E-5
1.6E-4
0.0042
2.1E-5
2.2E-4


nCohort Recovered
81
67
95
80
65
93
80
65
91


nCohort Non-recovered
70
84
55
71
86
57
71
86
59


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489


Sensitivity
77%
80%
82%
77%
80%
82%
77%
80%
81%


Specificity
27%
31%
29%
28%
32%
30%
28%
32%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164


Sensitivity
60%
63%
64%
61%
64%
65%
61%
64%
64%


Specificity
58%
66%
58%
59%
68%
59%
59%
68%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536


Sensitivity
37%
36%
40%
37%
37%
39%
37%
37%
39%


Specificity
85%
88%
83%
85%
91%
83%
85%
91%
84%


OR Quartile 2
1.26
1.80
1.88
1.30
1.94
2.02
1.30
1.94
1.84


p Value
0.54
0.12
0.13
0.48
0.081
0.089
0.48
0.081
0.13


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.599
0.857
0.833
0.621
0.922
0.897
0.621
0.922
0.832


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.64
3.78
4.25
2.74
4.07
4.57
2.74
4.07
4.08


OR Quartile 3
2.07
3.27
2.41
2.19
3.72
2.68
2.19
3.72
2.64


p Value
0.028
5.4E-4
0.012
0.019
1.6E-4
0.0047
0.019
1.6E-4
0.0050


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.08
1.67
1.21
1.14
1.88
1.35
1.14
1.88
1.34


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.97
6.40
4.77
4.20
7.35
5.30
4.20
7.35
5.20


OR Quartile 4
3.40
4.10
3.29
3.27
5.83
3.02
3.27
5.83
3.24


p Value
0.0022
0.0014
0.0022
0.0029
2.6E-4
0.0042
0.0029
2.6E-4
0.0025


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.56
1.73
1.54
1.50
2.26
1.42
1.50
2.26
1.51


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.42
9.71
7.05
7.15
15.0
6.45
7.15
15.0
6.93









Example 19. Use of Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Fibroblast growth factor 23 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 19.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered Cohort
Non-recovered Cohort
Recovered Cohort
Non-recovered Cohort
Recovered Cohort
Non-recovered Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.000547
0.0303
0.000547
0.0303
0.000547
0.0232


Average
0.0468
0.137
0.0468
0.137
0.0486
0.134


Stdev
0.144
0.262
0.144
0.262
0.147
0.259


p (t-test)

0.034

0.034

0.047


Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
45
85
45
85
43
87


sCr only








Median
0.00106
0.0534
0.00106
0.0534
0.00106
0.0494


Average
0.0411
0.151
0.0411
0.151
0.0424
0.147


Stdev
0.133
0.273
0.133
0.273
0.136
0.271


p (t-test)

0.0078

0.0078

0.012


Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
53
76
53
76
51
78


UO only








Median
0.0201
0.0194
0.0186
0.0203
0.0183
0.0213


Average
0.0836
0.164
0.0835
0.155
0.0857
0.144


Stdev
0.150
0.361
0.153
0.340
0.156
0.326


p (t-test)

0.076

0.10

0.17


Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
92
37
87
42
83
46












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.72
0.55
0.70
0.72
0.57
0.69
0.72
0.57


SE
0.046
0.044
0.057
0.046
0.044
0.055
0.047
0.045
0.053


p Value
1.5E-5
4.0E-7
0.39
1.5E-5
4.0E-7
0.21
3.3E-5
1.1E-6
0.18


nCohort Recovered
45
53
92
45
53
87
43
51
83


nCohort Non-recovered
85
76
37
85
76
42
87
78
46


Cutoff Quartile 2
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6


Sensitivity
91%
91%
95%
91%
91%
95%
91%
91%
96%


Specificity
20%
19%
16%
20%
19%
17%
21%
20%
18%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194


Sensitivity
61%
64%
51%
61%
64%
52%
60%
64%
54%


Specificity
71%
70%
50%
71%
70%
51%
70%
71%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936


Sensitivity
32%
36%
30%
32%
36%
31%
31%
35%
28%


Specificity
87%
89%
76%
87%
89%
77%
86%
88%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.41
2.29
3.41
2.41
2.29
4.17
2.61
2.47
4.85


p Value
0.095
0.12
0.12
0.095
0.12
0.067
0.068
0.088
0.042


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.858
0.812
0.739
0.858
0.812
0.907
0.930
0.875
1.06


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.75
6.47
15.7
6.75
6.47
19.2
7.35
7.00
22.3


OR Quartile 3
3.88
4.20
1.06
3.88
4.20
1.13
3.43
4.29
1.28


p Value
6.4E-4
1.8E-4
0.89
6.4E-4
1.8E-4
0.75
0.0019
1.7E-4
0.50


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.78
1.98
0.492
1.78
1.98
0.539
1.57
2.01
0.621


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.45
8.90
2.26
8.45
8.90
2.35
7.47
9.16
2.64


OR Quartile 4
3.03
4.32
1.35
3.03
4.32
1.50
2.78
3.97
1.24


p Value
0.026
0.0032
0.49
0.026
0.0032
0.33
0.040
0.0054
0.60


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.14
1.63
0.574
1.14
1.63
0.659
1.05
1.50
0.549


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.01
11.4
3.16
8.01
11.4
3.42
7.36
















TABLE 19.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.000806
0.0303
0.000806
0.0303
0.000806
0.0267


Average
0.0409
0.155
0.0409
0.155
0.0420
0.151


Stdev
0.0902
0.288
0.0902
0.288
0.0916
0.285


p (t-test)

0.0049

0.0049

0.0076


Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
56
74
56
74
54
76


sCr only








Median
0.00259
0.0561
0.00259
0.0561
0.00259
0.0534


Average
0.0381
0.168
0.0381
0.168
0.0390
0.163


Stdev
0.0861
0.297
0.0861
0.297
0.0874
0.294


p (t-test)

0.0012

0.0012

0.0020


Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
62
68
62
68
60
70


UO only








Median
0.0183
0.0216
0.0183
0.0216
0.0162
0.0225


Average
0.0707
0.200
0.0715
0.191
0.0732
0.171


Stdev
0.123
0.381
0.125
0.372
0.128
0.349


p (t-test)

0.0043

0.0072

0.022


Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.500
1.70
0.500
1.70
0.500
1.70


n (Patient)
93
36
91
38
85
44












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.71
0.61
0.70
0.71
0.61
0.69
0.70
0.62


SE
0.045
0.045
0.057
0.045
0.045
0.056
0.046
0.045
0.053


p Value
9.1E-6
2.1E-6
0.049
9.1E-6
2.1E-6
0.046
2.3E-5
6.0E-6
0.026


nCohort
56
62
93
56
62
91
54
60
85


Recovered











nCohort
74
68
36
74
68
38
76
70
44


Non-











recovered











Cutoff
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
92%
91%
97%
92%
91%
97%
92%
91%
98%


Specificity
20%
18%
17%
20%
18%
18%
20%
18%
19%


Cutoff
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
64%
66%
56%
64%
66%
55%
62%
64%
59%


Specificity
68%
68%
52%
68%
68%
52%
67%
67%
54%


Cutoff
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
34%
37%
39%
34%
37%
37%
33%
36%
34%


Specificity
86%
87%
80%
86%
87%
79%
85%
87%
79%


OR
2.77
2.23
7.27
2.77
2.23
7.89
2.98
2.39
9.97


Quartile 2











p Value
0.060
0.14
0.059
0.060
0.14
0.049
0.044
0.11
0.028


Lower
0.956
0.771
0.927
0.956
0.771
1.01
1.03
0.828
1.28


limit of











95% CI











Upper
8.03
6.44
57.0
8.03
6.44
61.8
8.66
6.93
77.9


limit of











95% CI











OR
3.67
4.11
1.33
3.67
4.11
1.32
3.24
3.60
1.70


Quartile 3











p Value
5.1E-4 
1.5E-4 
0.47
5.1E-4 
1.5E-4 
0.47
0.0016
5.4E-4 
0.16


Lower
1.76
1.98
0.615
1.76
1.98
0.617
1.56
1.74
0.815


limit of











95% CI











Upper
7.66
8.54
2.89
7.66
8.54
2.82
6.73
7.44
3.56


limit of











95% CI











OR
3.06
3.92
2.48
3.06
3.92
2.21
2.82
3.61
1.93


Quartile 4











p Value
0.014
0.0026
0.034
0.014
0.0026
0.061
0.023
0.0047
0.11


Lower
1.26
1.61
1.07
1.26
1.61
0.963
1.16
1.48
0.855


limit of











95% CI











Upper
7.46
9.57
5.73
7.46
9.57
5.07
6.87
8.80
4.34


limit of











95% CI
















TABLE 19.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.00310
0.0303
0.00310
0.0303
0.00310
0.0303


Average
0.0451
0.163
0.0451
0.163
0.0462
0.159


Stdev
0.0948
0.299
0.0948
0.299
0.0961
0.296


p (t-test)
0.0033
0.0033
0.0053





Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
63
67
63
67
61
69


sCr only








Median
0.00310
0.0559
0.00310
0.0559
0.00344
0.0431


Average
0.0441
0.168
0.0441
0.168
0.0448
0.165


Stdev
0.0935
0.303
0.0935
0.303
0.0940
0.301


p (t-test)

0.0021

0.0021

0.0027


Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
65
65
65
65
64
66


UO only








Median
0.0181
0.0582
0.0181
0.0582
0.0133
0.0431


Average
0.0679
0.207
0.0679
0.207
0.0697
0.183


Stdev
0.123
0.378
0.123
0.378
0.127
0.355


p (t-test)

0.0021
0.0021

0.0088



Min
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6
1.63E-6


Max
0.500
1.70
0.500
1.70
0.500
1.70


n (Patient)
93
36
93
36
87
42












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UOonly
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.69
0.64
0.68
0.69
0.64
0.68
0.68
0.64


SE
0.047
0.046
0.056
0.047
0.046
0.056
0.047
0.047
0.053


p Value
9.6E-5
5.2E-5
0.012
9.6E-5
5.2E-5
0.012
1.7E-4
1.3E-4
0.0074


nCohort
63
65
93
63
65
93
61
64
87


Recovered











nCohort
67
65
36
67
65
36
69
66
42


Non-











recovered











Cutoff
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6
1.90E-6


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
91%
91%
97%
91%
91%
97%
91%
91%
98%


Specificity
17%
17%
17%
17%
17%
17%
18%
17%
18%


Cutoff
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
64%
65%
58%
64%
65%
58%
64%
64%
62%


Specificity
65%
65%
53%
65%
65%
53%
66%
64%
55%


Cutoff
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
36%
37%
42%
36%
37%
42%
35%
36%
38%


Specificity
86%
86%
81%
86%
86%
81%
85%
86%
80%


OR
2.15
2.00
7.27
2.15
2.00
7.27
2.31
2.08
9.24


Quartile 2











p Value
0.16
0.20
0.059
0.16
0.20
0.059
0.12
0.18
0.034


Lower limit
0.744
0.693
0.927
0.744
0.693
0.927
0.799
0.718
1.18


of 95% CI











Upper limit
6.22
5.79
57.0
6.22
5.79
57.0
6.68
6.00
72.2


of 95% CI











OR
3.34
3.33
1.56
3.34
3.33
1.56
3.35
3.12
2.00


Quartile 3











p Value
0.0010
0.0010
0.26
0.0010
0.0010
0.26
0.0010
0.0018
0.071


Lower limit
1.63
1.62
0.716
1.63
1.62
0.716
1.63
1.52
0.942


of 95% CI











Upper limit
6.86
6.84
3.39
6.86
6.84
3.39
6.89
6.38
4.24


of 95% CI











OR
3.35
3.64
2.98
3.35
3.64
2.98
3.08
3.49
2.53


Quartile 4











p Value
0.0061
0.0034
0.011
0.0061
0.0034
0.011
0.011
0.0046
0.026


Lower limit
1.41
1.53
1.29
1.41
1.53
1.29
1.30
1.47
1.12


of 95% CI











Upper limit











of 95% CI
7.95
8.66
6.89
7.95
8.66
6.89
7.31
8.29
5.74
















TABLE 19.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.00378
0.0559
0.00344
0.0431
0.00344
0.0267


Average
0.0440
0.172
0.0443
0.169
0.0454
0.165


Stdev
0.0921
0.307
0.0927
0.305
0.0940
0.301


p (t-test)

0.0014

0.0018

0.0030


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
67
63
66
64
64
66


sCr only








Median
0.00344
0.0582
0.00344
0.0582
0.00378
0.0559


Average
0.0434
0.174
0.0434
0.174
0.0441
0.172


Stdev
0.0915
0.308
0.0915
0.308
0.0921
0.307


p (t-test)
0.0011
0.0011
0.0015





Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
68
62
68
62
67
63


UO only








Median
0.0133
0.0431
0.0130
0.0303
0.0126
0.0267


Average
0.0694
0.190
0.0700
0.185
0.0708
0.176


Stdev
0.126
0.362
0.126
0.358
0.128
0.348


p (t-test)

0.0061

0.0081

0.014


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.500
1.70
0.500
1.70
0.500
1.70


n (Patient)
89
40
88
41
85
44












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.69
0.65
0.69
0.69
0.65
0.68
0.68
0.65


SE
0.047
0.046
0.054
0.047
0.046
0.054
0.047
0.047
0.053


p Value
6.8E−5
3.3E−5
0.0055
6.4E−5
3.3E−5
0.0057
1.2E−4
8.6E−5
0.0057


nCohort Recovered
67
68
89
66
68
88
64
67
85


nCohort Non-
63
62
40
64
62
41
66
63
44


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Sensitivity
92%
92%
98%
92%
92%
98%
92%
92%
98%


Specificity
18%
18%
18%
18%
18%
18%
19%
18%
19%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194


Sensitivity
63%
65%
62%
64%
65%
63%
64%
63%
64%


Specificity
63%
63%
55%
64%
63%
56%
64%
63%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936


Sensitivity
38%
39%
38%
38%
39%
37%
36%
38%
36%


Specificity
87%
87%
80%
86%
87%
80%
86%
87%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.53
2.44
8.55
2.62
2.44
8.89
2.82
2.53
9.97


p Value
0.10
0.11
0.041
0.088
0.11
0.037
0.067
0.10
0.028


Lower limit of
0.837
0.808
1.09
0.867
0.808
1.14
0.931
0.837
1.28


95% CI











Upper limit of
7.65
7.39
66.9
7.93
7.39
69.5
8.52
7.65
77.9


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.92
3.13
2.04
3.12
3.13
2.18
3.12
2.92
2.27


p Value
0.0032
0.0018
0.067
0.0018
0.0018
0.045
0.0018
0.0032
0.032


Lower limit of
1.43
1.53
0.951
1.52
1.53
1.02
1.52
1.43
1.07


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.96
6.40
4.38
6.38
6.40
4.67
6.38
5.96
4.80


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.97
4.14
2.37
3.80
4.14
2.24
3.49
3.97
2.29


p Value
0.0018
0.0013
0.040
0.0025
0.0013
0.053
0.0046
0.0018
0.046


Lower limit of
1.67
1.74
1.04
1.60
1.74
0.988
1.47
1.67
1.01


95% CI











Upper limit of
9.44
9.86
5.39
9.04
9.86
5.09
8.29
9.44
5.15


95% CI
















TABLE 19.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.0106
0.0559
0.0105
0.0431
0.0104
0.0303


Average
0.0594
0.200
0.0598
0.196
0.0603
0.192


Stdev
0.110
0.355
0.111
0.352
0.112
0.349


p (t-test)

 9.5E−4

0.0013

0.0018


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
87
43
86
44
85
45


sCr only








Median
0.00752
0.0605
0.00752
0.0605
0.00752
0.0605


Average
0.0487
0.189
0.0487
0.189
0.0487
0.189


Stdev
0.0951
0.328
0.0951
0.328
0.0951
0.328


p (t-test)

 5.6E−4

 5.6E−4

 5.6E−4


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
77
53
77
53
77
53


UO only








Median
0.0126
0.0582
0.0116
0.0559
0.0106
0.0431


Average
0.0596
0.211
0.0600
0.207
0.0605
0.202


Stdev
0.109
0.366
0.110
0.362
0.110
0.359


p (t-test)

 4.7E−4

 6.8E−4

 9.5E−4


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
89
40
88
41
87
42












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.68
0.70
0.68
0.67
0.70
0.68
0.67
0.70
0.68


SE
0.052
0.048
0.053
0.052
0.048
0.053
0.051
0.048
0.052


p Value
 7.4E−4
 4.6E−5
 7.4E−4
 7.6E−4
 4.6E−5
 7.8E−4
 6.6E−4
 4.6E−5
 6.9E−4


nCohort Recovered
87
77
89
86
77
88
85
77
87


nCohort Non-
43
53
40
44
53
41
45
53
42


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Sensitivity
98%
96%
98%
98%
96%
98%
98%
96%
98%


Specificity
18%
19%
18%
19%
19%
18%
19%
19%
18%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194
0.0190
0.0190
0.0194


Sensitivity
65%
66%
65%
66%
66%
66%
67%
66%
67%


Specificity
57%
61%
56%
58%
61%
57%
59%
61%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936
0.0929
0.0929
0.0936


Sensitivity
42%
40%
42%
41%
40%
41%
40%
40%
40%


Specificity
83%
84%
82%
83%
84%
82%
82%
84%
82%


OR Quartile 2
9.46
6.17
8.55
9.83
6.17
8.89
10.2
6.17
9.24


p Value
0.032
0.019
0.041
0.029
0.019
0.037
0.027
0.019
0.034


Lower limit of
1.21
1.35
1.09
1.26
1.35
1.14
1.31
1.35
1.18


95% CI











Upper limit of
74.0
28.2
66.9
76.8
28.2
69.5
79.7
28.2
72.2


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.52
3.05
2.38
2.69
3.05
2.54
2.86
3.05
2.70


p Value
0.017
0.0028
0.028
0.010
0.0028
0.018
0.0065
0.0028
0.011


Lower limit of
1.18
1.47
1.10
1.26
1.47
1.17
1.34
1.47
1.25


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.38
6.32
5.16
5.72
6.32
5.49
6.08
6.32
5.83


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.46
3.55
3.37
3.28
3.55
3.19
3.11
3.55
3.02


p Value
0.0031
0.0026
0.0040
0.0045
0.0026
0.0058
0.0064
0.0026
0.0084


Lower limit of
1.52
1.56
1.47
1.44
1.56
1.40
1.38
1.56
1.33


95% CI











Upper limit of
7.87
8.12
7.72
7.44
8.12
7.27
7.04
8.12
6.86


95% CI
















TABLE 19.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.0743
0.282
0.0727
0.276
0.0726
0.276


Average
0.257
0.384
0.261
0.381
0.239
0.388


Stdev
0.401
0.386
0.405
0.385
0.373
0.397


p (t-test)

0.063

0.081

0.032


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00372
0.00169
0.00372
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
49
102
48
103
46
105


sCr only








Median
0.0752
0.282
0.0752
0.282
0.0743
0.288


Average
0.251
0.386
0.251
0.386
0.227
0.397


Stdev
0.391
0.388
0.391
0.388
0.357
0.400


p (t-test)

0.044

0.044

0.012


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00372
0.00169
0.00372
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
52
98
52
98
51
99


UO only








Median
0.128
0.319
0.127
0.335
0.127
0.303


Average
0.299
0.449
0.287
0.451
0.284
0.440


Stdev
0.373
0.426
0.369
0.422
0.370
0.415


p (t-test)

0.031

0.015

0.017


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
104
46
97
53
91
59












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.64
0.62
0.63
0.64
0.63
0.65
0.66
0.63


SE
0.046
0.046
0.051
0.047
0.046
0.049
0.047
0.045
0.047


p Value
0.0030
0.0024
0.021
0.0040
0.0024
0.0061
0.0015
6.2E−4
0.0058


nCohort Recovered
49
52
104
48
52
97
46
51
91


nCohort Non-
102
98
46
103
98
53
105
99
59


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489


Sensitivity
78%
79%
78%
79%
79%
81%
79%
79%
81%


Specificity
33%
33%
27%
33%
33%
29%
35%
33%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164


Sensitivity
59%
60%
63%
58%
60%
62%
58%
61%
61%


Specificity
67%
69%
56%
67%
69%
57%
67%
71%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536


Sensitivity
28%
30%
37%
28%
30%
36%
29%
30%
36%


Specificity
82%
83%
80%
81%
83%
80%
83%
84%
81%


OR Quartile 2
1.76
1.78
1.33
1.84
1.78
1.74
2.01
1.86
1.84


p Value
0.14
0.13
0.50
0.12
0.13
0.18
0.074
0.11
0.13


Lower limit of
0.824
0.838
0.582
0.858
0.838
0.771
0.934
0.872
0.832


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.77
3.79
3.02
3.95
3.79
3.95
4.33
3.95
4.08


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.95
3.40
2.15
2.79
3.40
2.16
2.87
3.69
2.09


p Value
0.0031
7.8E−4
0.035
0.0050
7.8E−4
0.028
0.0046
4.1E−4
0.031


Lower limit of
1.44
1.67
1.05
1.36
1.67
1.09
1.38
1.79
1.07


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.03
6.95
4.39
5.71
6.95
4.29
5.93
7.62
4.07


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
1.77
2.01
2.32
1.70
2.01
2.29
1.90
2.34
2.41


p Value
0.19
0.10
0.032
0.22
0.10
0.031
0.15
0.055
0.022


Lower limit of
0.761
0.868
1.08
0.731
0.868
1.08
0.794
0.981
1.14


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.10
4.65
4.99
3.94
4.65
4.87
4.54
5.57
5.09


95% CI
















TABLE 19.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.0780
0.293
0.0780
0.293
0.0780
0.293


Average
0.239
0.419
0.239
0.419
0.222
0.427


Stdev
0.356
0.406
0.356
0.406
0.326
0.417


p (t-test)

0.0051

0.0051

0.0015


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
64
87
64
87
62
89


sCr only








Median
0.0784
0.297
0.0784
0.297
0.0780
0.300


Average
0.238
0.426
0.238
0.426
0.220
0.438


Stdev
0.349
0.410
0.349
0.410
0.318
0.422


p (t-test)

0.0032

0.0032

6.1E−4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
67
84
67
84
66
85


UO only








Median
0.112
0.370
0.105
0.434
0.104
0.373


Average
0.279
0.499
0.269
0.511
0.258
0.495


Stdev
0.355
0.441
0.348
0.441
0.349
0.427


p (t-test)

0.0015

4.1E−4

3.3E−4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
105
45
103
47
95
55












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.65
0.67
0.65
0.65
0.68
0.66
0.67
0.69


SE
0.044
0.044
0.050
0.044
0.044
0.049
0.044
0.044
0.046


p Value
6.3E−4
6.1E−4
9.6E−4
6.3E−4
6.1E−4
2.1E−4
2.4E−4
1.6E−4
6.3E−5


nCohort Recovered
64
67
105
64
67
103
62
66
95


nCohort Non-
87
84
45
87
84
47
89
85
55


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489


Sensitivity
79%
80%
82%
79%
80%
83%
80%
80%
84%


Specificity
31%
31%
29%
31%
31%
29%
32%
32%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164


Sensitivity
61%
62%
67%
61%
62%
68%
61%
62%
67%


Specificity
64%
64%
57%
64%
64%
58%
65%
65%
60%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536


Sensitivity
32%
33%
40%
32%
33%
40%
33%
34%
40%


Specificity
84%
85%
81%
84%
85%
82%
85%
86%
83%


OR Quartile 2
1.74
1.80
1.85
1.74
1.80
2.00
1.88
1.87
2.25


p Value
0.14
0.12
0.17
0.14
0.12
0.12
0.096
0.099
0.058


Lower limit of
0.831
0.857
0.772
0.831
0.857
0.838
0.894
0.889
0.972


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.65
3.78
4.43
3.65
3.78
4.79
3.95
3.92
5.19


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.78
2.91
2.67
2.78
2.91
2.98
2.81
3.10
3.08


p Value
0.0027
0.0017
0.0085
0.0027
0.0017
0.0033
0.0026
9.4E−4
0.0015


Lower limit of
1.42
1.50
1.28
1.42
1.50
1.44
1.43
1.58
1.54


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.42
5.67
5.54
5.42
5.67
6.16
5.49
6.05
6.19


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.56
2.85
2.83
2.56
2.85
3.00
2.85
3.28
3.29


p Value
0.023
0.011
0.0080
0.023
0.011
0.0050
0.014
0.0052
0.0022


Lower limit of
1.14
1.27
1.31
1.14
1.27
1.39
1.24
1.42
1.54


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.77
6.41
6.12
5.77
6.41
6.46
6.55
7.55
7.05


95% CI

























TABLE 19.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72
















Non-

Non-


Non-














Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.0939
0.297
0.0914
0.300
0.0914
0.300


Average
0.249
0.431
0.247
0.430
0.249
0.424


Stdev
0.342
0.421
0.344
0.418
0.348
0.415


p (t-test)

0.0044

0.0042

0.0060


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
73
78
72
79
70
81


sCr only








Median
0.0914
0.300
0.0914
0.300
0.0914
0.300


Average
0.248
0.434
0.248
0.434
0.248
0.434


Stdev
0.340
0.422
0.340
0.422
0.340
0.422


p (t-test)

0.0035

0.0035

0.0035


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
74
77
74
77
74
77


UO only








Median
0.127
0.434
0.112
0.434
0.104
0.384


Average
0.275
0.509
0.266
0.519
0.260
0.497


Stdev
0.350
0.445
0.343
0.445
0.349
0.428


p (t-test)

7.4E−4

2.0E−4

3.2E−4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
105
45
103
47
96
54












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.63
0.67
0.63
0.63
0.69
0.63
0.63
0.69


SE
0.045
0.045
0.050
0.045
0.045
0.049
0.045
0.045
0.047


p Value
0.0057
0.0039
6.3E−4
0.0040
0.0039
1.5E−4
0.0041
0.0039
7.3E−5


nCohort Recovered
73
74
105
72
74
103
70
74
96


nCohort Non-
78
77
45
79
77
47
81
77
54


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489


Sensitivity
77%
78%
82%
77%
78%
83%
78%
78%
83%


Specificity
27%
28%
29%
28%
28%
29%
29%
28%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164


Sensitivity
60%
61%
67%
61%
61%
68%
60%
61%
69%


Specificity
60%
61%
57%
61%
61%
58%
61%
61%
60%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536


Sensitivity
35%
35%
40%
34%
35%
40%
33%
35%
39%


Specificity
85%
85%
81%
85%
85%
82%
84%
85%
82%


OR Quartile 2
1.26
1.40
1.85
1.30
1.40
2.00
1.40
1.40
2.16


p Value
0.54
0.37
0.17
0.48
0.37
0.12
0.37
0.37
0.071


Lower limit of
0.602
0.668
0.772
0.624
0.668
0.838
0.670
0.668
0.936


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.63
2.93
4.43
2.72
2.93
4.79
2.93
2.93
5.00


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.30
2.43
2.67
2.43
2.43
2.98
2.44
2.43
3.32


p Value
0.012
0.0078
0.0085
0.0078
0.0078
0.0033
0.0077
0.0078
8.5E−4


Lower limit of
1.20
1.26
1.28
1.26
1.26
1.44
1.27
1.26
1.64


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.42
4.68
5.54
4.68
4.68
6.16
4.70
4.68
6.72


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.98
3.09
2.83
2.88
3.09
3.00
2.68
3.09
2.96


p Value
0.0069
0.0053
0.0080
0.0089
0.0053
0.0050
0.015
0.0053
0.0050


Lower limit of
1.35
1.40
1.31
1.30
1.40
1.39
1.21
1.40
1.39


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.59
6.84
6.12
6.36
6.84
6.46
5.92
6.84
6.31


95% CI

























TABLE 19.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.0988
0.293
0.0939
0.297
0.0939
0.297


Average
0.250
0.437
0.248
0.436
0.250
0.430


Stdev
0.337
0.427
0.339
0.424
0.343
0.420


p (t-test)

0.0033

0.0032

0.0047


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
76
75
75
76
73
78


sCr only








Median
0.0939
0.291
0.0939
0.291
0.0939
0.291


Average
0.249
0.440
0.249
0.440
0.249
0.440


Stdev
0.336
0.428
0.336
0.428
0.336
0.428


p (t-test)

0.0027

0.0027

0.0027


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
77
74
77
74
77
74


UO only








Median
0.119
0.415
0.119
0.415
0.112
0.373


Average
0.266
0.502
0.266
0.502
0.266
0.482


Stdev
0.343
0.445
0.343
0.445
0.349
0.433


p (t-test)

4.6E−4

4.6E−4

0.0011


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
100
50
100
50
95
55












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.63
0.66
0.63
0.63
0.66
0.63
0.63
0.65


SE
0.045
0.045
0.049
0.045
0.045
0.049
0.045
0.045
0.047


p Value
0.0057
0.0042
9.1E−4
0.0040
0.0042
9.1E−4
0.0042
0.0042
0.0012


nCohort Recovered
76
77
100
75
77
100
73
77
95


nCohort Non-
75
74
50
76
74
50
78
74
55


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489


Sensitivity
77%
78%
80%
78%
78%
80%
78%
78%
80%


Specificity
28%
29%
28%
28%
29%
28%
29%
29%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164


Sensitivity
60%
61%
66%
61%
61%
66%
60%
61%
65%


Specificity
59%
60%
58%
60%
60%
58%
60%
60%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536


Sensitivity
36%
36%
40%
36%
36%
40%
35%
36%
38%


Specificity
86%
86%
82%
85%
86%
82%
85%
86%
82%


OR Quartile 2
1.30
1.45
1.56
1.35
1.45
1.56
1.45
1.45
1.59


p Value
0.48
0.33
0.29
0.43
0.33
0.29
0.33
0.33
0.26


Lower limit of
0.623
0.690
0.686
0.645
0.690
0.686
0.692
0.690
0.716


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.73
3.05
3.53
2.82
3.05
3.53
3.03
3.05
3.52


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.18
2.30
2.68
2.30
2.30
2.68
2.30
2.30
2.72


p Value
0.019
0.012
0.0063
0.012
0.012
0.0063
0.012
0.012
0.0045


Lower limit of
1.14
1.20
1.32
1.20
1.20
1.32
1.20
1.20
1.36


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.17
4.42
5.44
4.41
4.42
5.44
4.42
4.42
5.42


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.32
3.45
3.04
3.21
3.45
3.04
2.98
3.45
2.83


p Value
0.0030
0.0023
0.0043
0.0040
0.0023
0.0043
0.0069
0.0023
0.0069


Lower limit of
1.50
1.56
1.42
1.45
1.56
1.42
1.35
1.56
1.33


95% CI











Upper limit of
7.35
7.63
6.51
7.09
7.63
6.51
6.59
7.63
6.03


95% CI
















TABLE 19.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.105
0.350
0.104
0.373
0.104
0.354


Average
0.235
0.498
0.233
0.496
0.232
0.494


Stdev
0.278
0.479
0.279
0.476
0.280
0.472


p (t-test)

3.6E−5

3.5E−5

3.7E−5


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.44
1.80
1.44
1.80
1.44
1.80


n (Patient)
89
62
88
63
87
64


sCr only








Median
0.0939
0.302
0.0939
0.302
0.0939
0.302


Average
0.228
0.469
0.228
0.469
0.228
0.469


Stdev
0.283
0.458
0.283
0.458
0.283
0.458


p (t-test)

1.3E−4

1.3E−4

1.3E−4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.44
1.80
1.44
1.80
1.44
1.80


n (Patient)
79
72
79
72
79
72


UO only








Median
0.116
0.455
0.116
0.455
0.104
0.415


Average
0.250
0.524
0.250
0.524
0.248
0.518


Stdev
0.307
0.475
0.307
0.475
0.310
0.467


p (t-test)

3.5E−5

3.5E−5

4.0E−5


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.44
1.80
1.44
1.80
1.44
1.80


n (Patient)
98
52
98
52
96
54












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.65
0.67
0.65
0.65
0.67
0.66
0.65
0.68


SE
0.046
0.045
0.048
0.046
0.045
0.048
0.046
0.045
0.047


p Value
0.0013
0.0011
2.4E−4
9.0E−4
0.0011
2.4E−4
6.5E−4
0.0011
1.1E−4


nCohort Recovered
89
79
98
88
79
98
87
79
96


nCohort Non-
62
72
52
63
72
52
64
72
54


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489
0.0475
0.0475
0.0489


Sensitivity
79%
79%
81%
79%
79%
81%
80%
79%
81%


Specificity
28%
29%
29%
28%
29%
29%
29%
29%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164
0.163
0.163
0.164


Sensitivity
61%
62%
65%
62%
62%
65%
62%
62%
67%


Specificity
57%
61%
58%
58%
61%
58%
59%
61%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536
0.535
0.535
0.536


Sensitivity
40%
39%
42%
40%
39%
42%
39%
39%
41%


Specificity
85%
87%
84%
85%
87%
84%
85%
87%
83%


OR Quartile 2
1.47
1.56
1.68
1.53
1.56
1.68
1.58
1.56
1.81


p Value
0.32
0.24
0.21
0.28
0.24
0.21
0.24
0.24
0.15


Lower limit of
0.684
0.739
0.742
0.709
0.739
0.742
0.736
0.739
0.801


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.17
3.30
3.80
3.28
3.30
3.80
3.40
3.30
4.10


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.12
2.58
2.63
2.24
2.58
2.63
2.36
2.58
2.92


p Value
0.026
0.0047
0.0067
0.017
0.0047
0.0067
0.011
0.0047
0.0026


Lower limit of
1.10
1.34
1.31
1.16
1.34
1.31
1.22
1.34
1.46


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.12
4.98
5.28
4.34
4.98
5.28
4.58
4.98
5.87


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.95
4.39
3.76
3.80
4.39
3.76
3.65
4.39
3.44


p Value
5.3E−4
3.7E−4
7.3E−4
7.5E−4
3.7E−4
7.3E−4
0.0011
3.7E−4
0.0015


Lower limit of
1.82
1.94
1.74
1.75
1.94
1.74
1.68
1.94
1.60


95% CI











Upper limit of
8.59
9.92
8.10
8.24
9.92
8.10
7.92
9.92
7.38


95% CI


















Example 20. Use of Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Fibroblast growth factor 23 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 20.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.0106
0.0232
0.0118
0.0303
0.0126
0.0611


Average
0.0668
0.185
0.0650
0.201
0.0651
0.216


Stdev
0.137
0.342
0.134
0.355
0.132
0.371


p (t-test)

0.0058

0.0018

 7.8E−4


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
87
43
91
39
95
35


sCr only








Median
0.0106
0.0267
0.0122
0.0232
0.0122
0.0303


Average
0.0658
0.189
0.0666
0.203
0.0654
0.214


Stdev
0.137
0.345
0.134
0.364
0.133
0.372


p (t-test)

0.0045

0.0022

0.0010


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
87
42
92
37
94
35


UO only








Median
0.0183
0.0773
0.0183
0.131
0.0183
0.131


Average
0.0739
0.309
0.0729
0.345
0.0729
0.345


Stdev
0.139
0.480
0.138
0.499
0.138
0.499


p (t-test)

 4.4E−5

 5.4E−6

 5.4E−6


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
111
18
113
16
113
16












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.66
0.66
0.65
0.66
0.65
0.67
0.66
0.66
0.67


SE
0.053
0.053
0.075
0.054
0.056
0.078
0.056
0.056
0.078


p Value
0.0031
0.0024
0.048
0.0029
0.0084
0.029
0.0041
0.0050
0.029


nCohort
87
87
111
91
92
113
95
94
113


Non-











persistent











nCohort
43
42
18
39
37
16
35
35
16


Persistent











Cutoff
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
95%
95%
94%
95%
95%
94%
94%
94%
94%


Specificity
17%
17%
14%
16%
16%
14%
16%
16%
14%


Cutoff
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
65%
64%
61%
64%
62%
62%
66%
66%
62%


Specificity
57%
56%
51%
56%
54%
51%
56%
55%
51%


Cutoff
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
35%
36%
50%
38%
35%
56%
40%
37%
56%


Specificity
79%
79%
78%
80%
78%
79%
80%
79%
79%


OR Quartile
4.27
4.17
2.86
3.65
3.41
2.47
3.09
3.13
2.47


2











p Value
0.062
0.067
0.32
0.096
0.12
0.40
0.15
0.14
0.40


Lower limit
0.930
0.907
0.356
0.793
0.739
0.305
0.670
0.678
0.305


of 95% CI











Upper limit
19.6
19.2
23.0
16.8
15.7
20.0
14.3
14.5
20.0


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
2.52
2.32
1.66
2.28
1.96
1.76
2.42
2.37
1.76


3











p Value
0.017
0.030
0.33
0.037
0.092
0.30
0.032
0.036
0.30


Lower limit
1.18
1.09
0.599
1.05
0.896
0.598
1.08
1.06
0.598


of 95% CI











Upper limit
5.38
4.96
4.59
4.94
4.27
5.16
5.42
5.32
5.16


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
2.05
2.13
3.62
2.53
1.95
4.77
2.67
2.19
4.77


4











p Value
0.083
0.070
0.014
0.027
0.12
0.0048
0.023
0.070
0.0048


Lower limit
0.910
0.941
1.30
1.11
0.844
1.61
1.15
0.939
1.61


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.63
4.82
10.1
5.79
4.50
14.1
6.19
5.09
14.1


of 95% CI

























TABLE 20.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.00378
0.0509
0.00847
0.0611
0.0104
0.0651


Average
0.0627
0.169
0.0607
0.186
0.0599
0.199


Stdev
0.140
0.312
0.135
0.328
0.133
0.340


p (t-test)

0.0098

0.0028

0.0011


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
77
53
83
47
87
43


sCr only








Median
0.00547
0.0509
0.00781
0.0605
0.00847
0.0608


Average
0.0621
0.173
0.0607
0.184
0.0604
0.194


Stdev
0.139
0.318
0.136
0.328
0.134
0.337


p (t-test)

0.0078

0.0033

0.0018


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
78
51
82
47
85
44


UO only








Median
0.0181
0.0955
0.0181
0.105
0.0181
0.105


Average
0.0726
0.256
0.0716
0.277
0.0716
0.277


Stdev
0.142
0.425
0.141
0.438
0.141
0.438


p (t-test)

 3.9E−4

 1.1E−4

 1.1E−4


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
105
24
107
22
107
22












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.69
0.67
0.69
0.69
0.68
0.69
0.70
0.68


SE
0.048
0.049
0.065
0.050
0.050
0.067
0.051
0.051
0.067


p Value
 8.3E−5
 1.3E−4
0.011
 9.3E−5
 8.9E−5
0.0063
 1.4E−4
 1.1E−4
0.0063


nCohort
77
78
105
83
82
107
87
85
107


Non-











persistent











nCohort
53
51
24
47
47
22
43
44
22


Persistent











Cutoff
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
94%
94%
96%
96%
96%
95%
95%
95%
95%


Specificity
18%
18%
15%
18%
18%
15%
17%
18%
15%


Cutoff
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
68%
67%
62%
66%
66%
64%
67%
68%
64%


Specificity
62%
60%
52%
59%
59%
52%
59%
59%
52%


Cutoff
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
38%
37%
54%
43%
40%
59%
44%
41%
59%


Specificity
83%
82%
81%
84%
83%
81%
84%
82%
81%


OR Quartile 2
3.70
3.50
4.13
4.96
5.04
3.69
4.27
4.50
3.69


p Value
0.049
0.059
0.18
0.039
0.037
0.22
0.062
0.053
0.22


Lower limit
1.01
0.952
0.521
1.08
1.10
0.463
0.930
0.980
0.463


of 95% CI











Upper limit
13.6
12.9
32.8
22.8
23.1
29.4
19.6
20.7
29.4


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
3.51
3.03
1.83
2.79
2.74
1.92
2.93
3.06
1.92


p Value
 8.7E−4
0.0032
0.19
0.0069
0.0082
0.18
0.0060
0.0043
0.18


Lower limit
1.68
1.45
0.737
1.33
1.30
0.745
1.36
1.42
0.745


of 95% CI











Upper limit
7.33
6.34
4.56
5.88
5.77
4.96
6.32
6.59
4.96


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.98
2.71
5.02
3.99
3.30
6.28
4.13
3.23
6.28


p Value
0.0086
0.016
 7.6E−4
0.0010
0.0043
 2.3E−4
 8.2E−4
0.0051
 2.3E−4


Lower limit
1.32
1.21
1.96
1.74
1.45
2.36
1.80
1.42
2.36


of 95% CI











Upper limit
6.74
6.10
12.8
9.12
7.47
16.7
9.47
7.33
16.7


of 95% CI

























TABLE 20.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.00293
0.0534
0.00378
0.0605
0.00734
0.0608


Average
0.0572
0.166
0.0555
0.179
0.0554
0.187


Stdev
0.136
0.302
0.132
0.314
0.130
0.321


p (t-test)

0.0071

0.0025

0.0014


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
72
58
77
53
80
50


sCr only








Median
0.00310
0.0582
0.00378
0.0608
0.00715
0.0608


Average
0.0553
0.176
0.0542
0.187
0.0546
0.192


Stdev
0.134
0.311
0.130
0.321
0.129
0.326


p (t-test)

0.0033

0.0013

 9.6E−4


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
75
54
79
50
81
48


UO only








Median
0.0182
0.0611
0.0181
0.0955
0.0181
0.0955


Average
0.0736
0.221
0.0718
0.245
0.0718
0.245


Stdev
0.144
0.394
0.143
0.410
0.143
0.410


p (t-test)

0.0024

 5.4E−4

 5.4E−4


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
100
29
103
26
103
26












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.71
0.65
0.71
0.72
0.68
0.71
0.72
0.68


SE
0.046
0.047
0.061
0.047
0.048
0.063
0.048
0.048
0.063


p Value
 1.1E−5
 4.8E−6
0.015
 8.2E−6
 3.3E−6
0.0041
 2.0E−5
 6.1E−6
0.0041


nCohort
72
75
100
77
79
103
80
81
103


Non-











persistent











nCohort
58
54
29
53
50
26
50
48
26


Persistent











Cutoff
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
95%
94%
97%
96%
96%
96%
96%
96%
96%


Specificity
19%
19%
16%
19%
19%
16%
19%
19%
16%


Cutoff
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
67%
69%
59%
66%
68%
62%
66%
69%
62%


Specificity
64%
63%
52%
61%
61%
52%
60%
60%
52%


Cutoff
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
38%
39%
48%
42%
42%
54%
42%
42%
54%


Specificity
85%
84%
81%
86%
85%
82%
85%
84%
82%


OR
4.43
3.90
5.33
6.17
5.62
4.60
5.54
5.23
4.60


Quartile 2











p Value
0.025
0.040
0.11
0.019
0.026
0.15
0.027
0.033
0.15


Lower limit
1.21
1.06
0.676
1.35
1.23
0.581
1.21
1.14
0.581


of 95% CI











Upper limit
16.2
14.3
42.1
28.2
25.8
36.4
25.4
24.0
36.4


of 95% CI











OR
3.63
3.65
1.53
3.05
3.29
1.76
2.91
3.37
1.76


Quartile 3











p Value
 5.3E−4
 6.1E−4
0.32
0.0028
0.0018
0.21
0.0045
0.0016
0.21


Lower limit
1.75
1.74
0.665
1.47
1.56
0.732
1.39
1.58
0.732


of 95% CI











Upper limit
7.53
7.66
3.54
6.32
6.94
4.25
6.08
7.17
4.25


of 95% CI











OR
3.39
3.34
3.98
4.26
4.04
5.16
4.10
3.74
5.16


Quartile 4











p Value
0.0041
0.0042
0.0022
 7.3E−4
0.0010
 4.6E−4
 8.8E−4
0.0017
 4.6E−4


Lower limit
1.47
1.46
1.65
1.84
1.76
2.06
1.79
1.64
2.06


of 95% CI











Upper limit
7.79
7.62
9.62
9.87
9.29
12.9
9.43
8.53
12.9


of 95% CI

























TABLE 20.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.00276
0.0559
0.00344
0.0608
0.00547
0.0608


Average
0.0571
0.165
0.0554
0.177
0.0557
0.181


Stdev
0.137
0.300
0.133
0.311
0.131
0.316


p (t-test)

0.0079

0.0028

0.0022


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
71
59
76
54
78
52


sCr only








Median
0.00310
0.0582
0.00378
0.0608
0.00715
0.0608


Average
0.0560
0.171
0.0548
0.181
0.0552
0.186


Stdev
0.135
0.307
0.132
0.316
0.131
0.321


p (t-test)

0.0050

0.0021

0.0016


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
73
56
77
52
79
50


UO only








Median
0.0147
0.0559
0.0133
0.0621
0.0133
0.0621


Average
0.0752
0.198
0.0733
0.217
0.0733
0.217


Stdev
0.147
0.374
0.145
0.388
0.145
0.388


p (t-test)

0.0082

0.0027

0.0027


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
96
33
99
30
99
30












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.71
0.71
0.65
0.72
0.72
0.68
0.71
0.71
0.68


SE
0.046
0.047
0.058
0.047
0.047
0.059
0.047
0.048
0.059


p Value
 5.1E−6
 7.1E−6
0.0084
 3.9E−6
 5.3E−6
0.0024
 7.4E−6
 9.9E−6
0.0024


nCohort
71
73
96
76
77
99
78
79
99


Non-











persistent











nCohort
59
56
33
54
52
30
52
50
30


Persistent











Cutoff
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
95%
95%
97%
96%
96%
97%
96%
96%
97%


Specificity
20%
19%
17%
20%
19%
16%
19%
19%
16%


Cutoff
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
68%
68%
64%
67%
67%
67%
67%
68%
67%


Specificity
65%
63%
54%
62%
61%
55%
62%
61%
55%


Cutoff
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
37%
38%
42%
41%
40%
47%
40%
40%
47%


Specificity
85%
84%
80%
86%
84%
81%
85%
84%
81%


OR
4.58
4.19
6.40
6.39
6.05
5.59
5.95
5.62
5.59


Quartile 2











p Value
0.022
0.031
0.078
0.017
0.020
0.10
0.022
0.026
0.10


Lower limit
1.25
1.14
0.814
1.40
1.32
0.710
1.30
1.23
0.710


of 95% CI











Upper limit
16.8
15.4
50.3
29.3
27.7
44.0
27.3
25.8
44.0


of 95% CI











OR
3.87
3.60
2.07
3.24
3.23
2.40
3.29
3.29
2.40


Quartile 3











p Value
 2.9E−4
 6.4E−4
0.081
0.0016
0.0019
0.045
0.0015
0.0018
0.045


Lower limit
1.86
1.72
0.915
1.56
1.54
1.02
1.58
1.56
1.02


of 95% CI











Upper limit
8.05
7.50
4.67
6.73
6.75
5.65
6.89
6.94
5.65


of 95% CI











OR
3.24
3.05
2.99
4.06
3.67
3.68
3.73
3.38
3.68


Quartile 4











p Value
0.0056
0.0078
0.012
0.0010
0.0021
0.0035
0.0018
0.0036
0.0035


Lower limit
1.41
1.34
1.27
1.76
1.60
1.54
1.63
1.49
1.54


of 95% CI











Upper limit
7.45
6.94
7.01
9.40
8.40
8.83
8.53
7.69
8.83


of 95% CI
















TABLE 20.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.00276
0.0559
0.00344
0.0608
0.00547
0.0608


Average
0.0571
0.165
0.0554
0.177
0.0557
0.181


Stdev
0.137
0.300
0.133
0.311
0.131
0.316


p (t-test)

0.0079

0.0028

0.0022


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
71
59
76
54
78
52










sCr only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.00344
0.0559
0.00547
0.0605
0.00734
0.0605


Average
0.0568
0.168
0.0555
0.178
0.0559
0.182


Stdev
0.136
0.305
0.133
0.314
0.131
0.319


p (t-test)

0.0066

0.0029

0.0023


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
72
57
76
53
78
51










UO only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0130
0.0611
0.0130
0.0631
0.0130
0.0631


Average
0.0667
0.214
0.0656
0.226
0.0656
0.226


Stdev
0.136
0.369
0.135
0.377
0.135
0.377


p (t-test)

0.0011

 4.9E−4

 4.9E−4


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
94
35
96
33
96
33












Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or
sCr




UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.70
0.68
0.72
0.70
0.69
0.71 
0.70 
0.69


SE
0.046
0.047
0.056
0.047
0.048
0.056
0.047 
0.048 
0.056


p Value
 5.1E−6
 2.1E−5
0.0011
 3.9E−6
 1.7E−5
 6.2E−4
 7.4E−6
 3.0E−5
 6.2E−4


nCohort Non-
71
72
94
76
76
96
78    
78    
96


persistent











nCohort
59
57
35
54
53
33
52    
51    
33


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Sensitivity
95%
95%
97%
96%
96%
97%
96%
96%
97%


Specificity
20%
19%
17%
20%
20%
17%
19%
19%
17%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194


Sensitivity
68%
67%
66%
67%
66%
67%
67%
67%
67%


Specificity
65%
62%
55%
62%
61%
55%
62%
60%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936


Sensitivity
37%
37%
46%
41%
40%
48%
40%
39%
48%


Specificity
85%
83%
82%
86%
84%
82%
85%
83%
82%


OR Quartile 2
4.58
4.34
6.97
6.39
6.27
6.40
5.95 
5.83 
6.40


p Value
0.022
0.027
0.065
0.017
0.018
0.078
0.022 
0.023 
0.078


Lower limit
1.25
1.18
0.889
1.40
1.37
0.814
1.30 
1.27 
0.814


of 95% CI











Upper limit
16.8
16.0
54.7
29.3
28.7
50.3
27.3  
26.7  
50.3


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
3.87
3.33
2.37
3.24
2.98
2.47
3.29 
3.03 
2.47


p Value
 2.9E−4
0.0012
0.036
0.0016
0.0034
0.033
0.0015
0.0032
0.033


Lower limit
1.86
1.61
1.06
1.56
1.43
1.08
1.58 
1.45 
1.08


of 95% CI











Upper limit
8.05
6.91
5.32
6.73
6.19
5.64
6.89 
6.34 
5.64


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.24
2.92
3.81
4.06
3.50
4.37
3.73 
3.23 
4.37


p Value
0.0056
0.011
0.0020
0.0010
0.0030
7.8E−4
0.0018
0.0051
7.8E−4


Lower limit
1.41
1.28
1.63
1.76
1.53
1.85
1.63 
1.42 
1.85


of 95% CI











Upper limit
7.45
6.63
8.90
9.40
8.00
10.3
8.53 
7.32 
10.3


of 95% CI
















TABLE 20.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.133
0.204
0.134
0.204
0.136
0.271


Average
0.283
0.447
0.295
0.449
0.293
0.481


Stdev
0.339
0.461
0.350
0.465
0.347
0.480


p (t-test)

0.014

0.026

0.0093


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00169
0.00660


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
96
55
104
47
111
40










sCr only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.128
0.196
0.132
0.187
0.134
0.226


Average
0.278
0.442
0.297
0.431
0.292
0.461


Stdev
0.337
0.458
0.353
0.460
0.348
0.474


p (t-test)

0.013

0.052

0.018


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00169
0.00660


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
94
56
103
47
108
42










UO only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.148
0.579
0.148
0.579
0.150
0.644


Average
0.303
0.632
0.303
0.632
0.303
0.651


Stdev
0.355
0.530
0.355
0.530
0.353
0.539


p (t-test)

5.7E−4

5.7E−4

3.7E−4


Min
0.00169
0.0348
0.00169
0.0348
0.00169
0.0348


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
131
19
131
19
132
18












Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
 0.59
0.68
 0.58
 0.57
0.68
 0.60
 0.59
0.68


SE
0.049
 0.049
0.071
 0.051
0.051
0.071
 0.054
 0.053
0.073


p Value
0.077
 0.063
0.011
 0.13
 0.18
0.011
 0.058
 0.094
0.012


nCohort Non-
96
94  
131
104   
103   
131
111   
108   
132


persistent











nCohort
55
56  
19
47  
47  
19
40  
42  
18


Persistent











Cutoff
0.0475
  0.0472
0.0489
  0.0475
  0.0472
0.0489
  0.0475
  0.0472
0.0489


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
76%
77%
79%
74%
74%
79%
78%
76%
78%


Specificity
26%
27%
26%
25%
25%
26%
26%
26%
26%


Cutoff
0.163
 0.158
0.164
 0.163
 0.158
0.164
 0.163
 0.158
0.164


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
56%
57%
68%
57%
57%
68%
60%
60%
67%


Specificity
53%
54%
53%
53%
53%
53%
53%
54%
52%


Cutoff
0.535
 0.531
0.536
 0.535
 0.531
0.536
 0.535
 0.531
0.536


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
38%
39%
53%
38%
38%
53%
40%
40%
56%


Specificity
82%
83%
79%
81%
81%
79%
80%
81%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.14
 1.20
1.31
 0.972
 0.985
1.31
 1.22
 1.12
1.21


p Value
0.74
 0.65
0.65
 0.94
 0.97
0.65
 0.65
 0.79
0.75


Lower limit
0.526
 0.554
0.408
 0.440
 0.446
0.408
 0.518
 0.488
0.374


of 95% CI











Upper limit
2.46
 2.59
4.24
 2.15
 2.17
4.24
 2.86
 2.57
3.94


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.46
 1.58
2.41
 1.52
 1.55
2.41
 1.70
 1.71
2.19


p Value
0.26
 0.18
0.093
 0.24
 0.22
0.093
 0.16
 0.15
0.14


Lower limit
0.751
 0.812
0.864
 0.756
 0.771
0.864
 0.817
 0.828
0.776


of 95% CI











Upper limit
2.85
 3.08
6.73
 3.04
 3.10
6.73
 3.55
 3.52
6.18


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.87
 3.15
4.09
 2.61
 2.58
4.09
 2.70
 2.82
4.64


p Value
0.0062
  0.0030
0.0054
 0.014
 0.015
0.0054
 0.013
 0.0092
0.0031


Lower limit
1.35
 1.48
1.51
 1.21
 1.20
1.51
 1.23
 1.29
1.68


of 95% CI











Upper limit
6.11
 6.74
11.0
 5.60
 5.53
11.0
 5.92
 6.14
12.9


of 95% CI

























TABLE 20.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.128
0.249
0.128
0.249
0.130
0.297


Average
0.266
0.451
0.272
0.459
0.269
0.492


Stdev
0.330
0.451
0.333
0.458
0.328
0.472


p (t-test)

0.0041

0.0043

9.2E−4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00169
0.00660


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
88
63
94
57
101
50










sCr only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.128
0.196
0.130
0.187
0.136
0.204


Average
0.269
0.439
0.277
0.441
0.276
0.462


Stdev
0.330
0.452
0.335
0.458
0.330
0.473


p (t-test)

0.0084

0.013

0.0057


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00169
0.00660


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
88
62
93
57
99
51










UO only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.147
0.526
0.147
0.526
0.147
0.530


Average
0.297
0.565
0.297
0.565
0.297
0.575


Stdev
0.356
0.487
0.356
0.487
0.354
0.494


p (t-test)

0.0012

0.0012

9.0E−4


Min
0.00169
0.0348
0.00169
0.0348
0.00169
0.0348


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
123
27
123
27
124
26












Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.61
0.60
0.68
0.60
0.59
0.68
 0.63
 0.60
0.68


SE
0.047
0.047
0.061
0.048
0.048
0.061
 0.049
 0.050
0.062


p Value
0.024
0.044
0.0036
0.029
0.062
0.0036
  0.0087
  0.045
0.0041


nCohort Non-
88
88
123
94
93
123
101  
99  
124


persistent











nCohort Persistent
63
62
27
57
57
27
50  
51  
26


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
  0.0475
  0.0472
0.0489


Sensitivity
78%
77%
85%
77%
77%
85%
80%
78%
85%


Specificity
27%
27%
28%
27%
27%
28%
28%
27%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164
 0.163
 0.158
0.164


Sensitivity
57%
56%
67%
58%
56%
67%
60%
57%
65%


Specificity
55%
55%
54%
54%
54%
54%
54%
54%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536
 0.535
 0.531
0.536


Sensitivity
38%
39%
44%
39%
39%
44%
40%
39%
46%


Specificity
84%
84%
79%
83%
83%
79%
82%
82%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.31
1.29
2.20
1.23
1.24
2.20
 1.53
 1.36
2.08


p Value
0.48
0.52
0.17
0.60
0.58
0.17
 0.31
 0.45
0.21


Lower limit of 95%
0.616
0.603
0.707
0.568
0.576
0.707
 0.677
 0.612
0.667


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
2.80
2.74
6.82
2.65
2.69
6.82
 3.48
 3.04
6.47


OR Quartile 3
1.60
1.56
2.32
1.63
1.49
2.32
 1.79
 1.52
2.15


p Value
0.16
0.19
0.060
0.15
0.24
0.060
 0.096
 0.23
0.089


Lower limit of 95%
0.834
0.809
0.965
0.839
0.767
0.965
 0.901
 0.769
0.890


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
3.07
2.99
5.56
3.17
2.89
5.56
 3.57
 3.00
5.19


OR Quartile 4
3.25
3.34
2.98
3.06
3.02
2.98
 3.07
 2.90
3.23


p Value
0.0025
0.0021
0.014
0.0038
0.0042
0.014
  0.0038
  0.0060
0.0093


Lower limit of 95%
1.51
1.55
1.25
1.44
1.42
1.25
 1.44
 1.36
1.33


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
6.99
7.18
7.15
6.54
6.45
7.15
 6.58
 6.20
7.82
















TABLE 20.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.105
0.263
0.116
0.249
0.128
0.293


Average
0.261
0.443
0.265
0.446
0.265
0.472


Stdev
0.334
0.439
0.336
0.443
0.328
0.459


p (t-test)

0.0044

0.0050

0.0015


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
83
68
86
65
94
57










sCr only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.104
0.226
0.116
0.226
0.130
0.249


Average
0.262
0.432
0.265
0.438
0.267
0.456


Stdev
0.336
0.437
0.335
0.443
0.328
0.460


p (t-test)

0.0078

0.0072

0.0040


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
82
68
86
64
93
57










UO only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.136
0.434
0.136
0.434
0.141
0.480


Average
0.288
0.533
0.288
0.533
0.288
0.540


Stdev
0.350
0.473
0.350
0.473
0.349
0.478


p (t-test)

0.0011

0.0011

9.0E−4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
115
35
115
35
116
34












Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.61
 0.61
0.66
0.61
0.61
0.66
 0.62
 0.60
0.66


SE
0.046
 0.046
0.055
0.047
0.047
0.055
 0.048
 0.048
0.056


p Value
0.013
 0.018
0.0041
0.015
0.022
0.0041
 0.011
 0.034
0.0048


nCohort Non-
83
82  
115
86
86
115
94  
93  
116


persistent











nCohort
68
68  
35
65
64
35
57  
57  
34


Persistent











Cutoff
0.0475
  0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
  0.0475
  0.0472
0.0489


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
78%
78%
83%
78%
78%
83%
79%
77%
82%


Specificity
28%
28%
28%
28%
28%
28%
28%
27%
28%


Cutoff
0.163
 0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164
 0.163
 0.158
0.164


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
59%
59%
66%
58%
58%
66%
60%
58%
65%


Specificity
57%
57%
55%
56%
56%
55%
55%
55%
54%


Cutoff
0.535
 0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536
 0.535
 0.531
0.536


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
37%
37%
43%
37%
38%
43%
39%
39%
44%


Specificity
84%
84%
80%
84%
84%
80%
83%
83%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.35
 1.38
1.86
1.41
1.38
1.86
 1.43
 1.24
1.78


p Value
0.43
 0.40
0.21
0.37
0.40
0.21
 0.37
 0.58
0.25


Lower limit
0.641
 0.651
0.707
0.662
0.648
0.707
 0.657
 0.576
0.673


of 95% CI











Upper limit
2.86
 2.91
4.91
3.00
2.95
4.91
 3.13
 2.69
4.70


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.87
 1.92
2.32
1.78
1.73
2.32
 1.83
 1.67
2.18


p Value
0.060
 0.050
0.036
0.083
0.100
0.036
 0.076
 0.13
0.054


Lower limit
0.974
 1.000
1.06
0.927
0.900
1.06
 0.939
 0.858
0.986


of 95% CI











Upper limit
3.57
 3.68
5.11
3.41
3.33
5.11
 3.57
 3.25
4.81


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.13
 3.09
3.00
3.01
3.09
3.00
 3.06
 3.02
3.19


p Value
0.0037
  0.0042
0.0079
0.0046
0.0038
0.0079
  0.0038
  0.0042
0.0053


Lower limit
1.45
 1.43
1.33
1.40
1.44
1.33
 1.44
 1.42
1.41


of 95% CI











Upper limit
6.76
 6.67
6.75
6.45
6.63
6.75
 6.54
 6.45
7.22


of 95% CI
















TABLE 20.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.105
0.263
0.105
0.269
0.127
0.291 


Average
0.263
0.435
0.265
0.443
0.264
0.462 


Stdev
0.338
0.436
0.337
0.440
0.331
0.452 


p (t-test)

0.0071

0.0054

0.0023 


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55  


n (Patient)
81
70
85
66
91
60    










sCr only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.104
0.249
0.104
0.226
0.116
0.269 


Average
0.262
0.430
0.266
0.432
0.265
0.450 


Stdev
0.338
0.434
0.339
0.437
0.333
0.450 


p (t-test)

0.0084

0.0097

0.0044 


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55  


n (Patient)
81
69
84
66
90
60    










UO only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.136
0.396
0.133
0.415
0.136
0.434 


Average
0.289
0.495
0.286
0.506
0.287
0.511 


Stdev
0.354
0.458
0.353
0.458
0.352
0.463 


p (t-test)

0.0040

0.0023

0.0020 


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55  


n (Patient)
109
41
110
40
111
39    












Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.61
0.61
0.63
0.61
0.61
0.64
0.62
0.61
0.64


SE
0.046
0.046
0.053
0.046
0.047
0.053
0.047
0.048
0.054


p Value
0.018
0.016
0.012
0.013
0.018
0.0067
0.013
0.019
0.0078


nCohort Non-
81
81
109
85
84
110
91
90
111


persistent











nCohort
70
69
41
66
66
40
60
60
39


Persistent











Cutoff
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
77%
78%
78%
79%
79%
80%
78%
78%
79%


Specificity
27%
28%
27%
28%
29%
27%
27%
28%
27%


Cutoff
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
59%
59%
63%
59%
59%
65%
60%
60%
64%


Specificity
57%
58%
55%
56%
57%
55%
56%
57%
55%


Cutoff
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
36%
36%
39%
36%
36%
40%
38%
38%
41%


Specificity
84%
84%
80%
84%
83%
80%
84%
83%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.26
1.43
1.29
1.46
1.49
1.50
1.37
1.39
1.44


p Value
0.54
0.35
0.56
0.33
0.31
0.37
0.42
0.40
0.42


Lower limit
0.599
0.675
0.549
0.686
0.697
0.621
0.636
0.645
0.594


of 95% CI











Upper limit
2.64
3.02
3.02
3.11
3.17
3.62
2.95
3.00
3.47


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.86
2.02
2.12
1.87
1.93
2.31
1.91
1.96
2.18


p Value
0.061
0.034
0.046
0.059
0.049
0.029
0.055
0.047
0.043


Lower limit
0.972
1.05
1.01
0.977
1.00
1.09
0.987
1.01
1.03


of 95% CI











Upper limit
3.55
3.89
4.44
3.60
3.70
4.90
3.71
3.81
4.63


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.91
2.97
2.53
2.90
2.86
2.67
3.15
3.11
2.81


p Value
0.0065
0.0056
0.020
0.0062
0.0069
0.015
0.0031
0.0035
0.010


Lower limit
1.35
1.38
1.16
1.35
1.33
1.21
1.47
1.45
1.28


of 95% CI











Upper limit
6.27
6.42
5.54
6.21
6.12
5.85
6.73
6.65
6.20


of 95% CI
















TABLE 20.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.104
0.249
0.105
0.226
0.116
0.288


Average
0.263
0.428
0.268
0.430
0.264
0.453


Stdev
0.341
0.431
0.342
0.434
0.334
0.446


p (t-test)

0.0098

0.011

0.0033


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
78
73
81
70
88
63










sCr only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.104
0.249
0.104
0.226
0.116
0.269


Average
0.260
0.427
0.265
0.429
0.264
0.446


Stdev
0.339
0.431
0.340
0.434
0.333
0.446


p (t-test)

0.0091

0.011

0.0050


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
79
71
82
68
88
62










UO only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.141
0.348
0.141
0.348
0.147
0.396


Average
0.290
0.486
0.290
0.486
0.290
0.490


Stdev
0.355
0.456
0.355
0.456
0.354
0.461


p (t-test)

0.0060

0.0060

0.0053


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
108
42
108
42
109
41












Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.61
 0.61
0.63
 0.60
 0.61
0.63
 0.62
 0.61
0.63


SE
 0.046
 0.046
0.052
 0.046
 0.046
0.052
 0.047
 0.047
0.053


p Value
 0.021
 0.019
0.014
 0.024
 0.022
0.014
 0.013
 0.024
0.016


nCohort Non-
78  
79  
108
81  
82  
108
88  
88  
109


persistent











nCohort
73  
71  
42
70  
68  
42
63  
62  
41


Persistent











Cutoff
  0.0475
  0.0472
0.0489
  0.0475
  0.0472
0.0489
  0.0475
  0.0472
0.0489


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
77%
77%
79%
77%
78%
79%
78%
77%
78%


Specificity
27%
28%
27%
27%
28%
27%
27%
27%
27%


Cutoff
  0.163
  0.158
0.164
 0.163
 0.158
0.164
 0.163
 0.158
0.164


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
59%
59%
62%
59%
59%
62%
60%
60%
61%


Specificity
58%
58%
55%
57%
57%
55%
57%
57%
54%


Cutoff
  0.535
  0.531
0.536
 0.535
 0.531
0.536
 0.535
 0.531
0.536


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
36%
37%
38%
36%
37%
38%
38%
39%
39%


Specificity
85%
85%
80%
84%
84%
80%
84%
84%
80%


OR Quartile 2
 1.21
 1.33
1.35
 1.26
 1.38
1.35
 1.31
 1.29
1.29


p Value
 0.61
 0.46
0.49
 0.54
 0.40
0.49
 0.48
 0.52
0.56


Lower limit
 0.580
 0.631
0.575
 0.599
 0.651
0.575
 0.616
 0.603
0.549


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 2.54
 2.79
3.15
 2.64
 2.91
3.15
 2.80
 2.74
3.02


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
 1.95
 2.02
1.96
 1.86
 1.92
1.96
 2.00
 1.95
1.84


p Value
 0.042
 0.034
0.071
 0.061
 0.050
0.071
 0.039
 0.048
0.10


Lower limit
 1.02
 1.05
0.944
 0.972
 1.000
0.944
 1.04
 1.01
0.887


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 3.73
 3.87
4.06
 3.55
 3.68
4.06
 3.86
 3.77
3.83


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
 3.04
 3.23
2.41
 2.91
 3.09
2.41
 3.25
 3.34
2.53


p Value
  0.0052
  0.0033
0.027
  0.0065
  0.0042
0.027
  0.0025
  0.0021
0.020


Lower limit
 1.40
 1.48
1.10
 1.35
 1.43
1.10
 1.51
 1.55
1.16


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 6.63
 7.05
5.24
 6.27
 6.67
5.24
 6.99
 7.18
5.54


of 95% CI









Example 21. Use of Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Fibroblast growth factor 23 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 21.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.00106
0.0509
0.00547
0.0303
0.0104
0.0230


Average
0.0416
0.150
0.0548
0.162
0.0615
0.163


Stdev
0.134
0.272
0.132
0.297
0.134
0.308


p (t-test)

0.0082

0.0080

0.013


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
53
77
68
62
73
57










sCr only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.00242
0.0534
0.00715
0.0406
0.0104
0.0267


Average
0.0409
0.154
0.0528
0.167
0.0592
0.171


Stdev
0.131
0.277
0.131
0.301
0.132
0.314


p (t-test)

0.0058

0.0050

0.0068


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
55
74
69
60
75
54










UO only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0181
0.0223
0.0185
0.0611
0.0185
0.0611


Average
0.0774
0.212
0.0756
0.250
0.0749
0.270


Stdev
0.145
0.404
0.142
0.438
0.141
0.454


p (t-test)

0.0060

 9.1E−4

 3.3E−4


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
101
28
106
23
108
21












Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.73
 0.72
0.62
 0.66
 0.67
0.62
 0.62
 0.63
0.62


SE
 0.044
 0.044
0.062
 0.048
 0.048
0.068
 0.050
 0.050
0.070


p Value
2.4E−7
9.0E−7
0.063
7.3E−4
4.0E−4
0.081
 0.012
  0.0071
0.085


nCohort Non-
53  
55  
101
68  
69  
106
73  
75  
108


persistent











nCohort
77  
74  
28
62  
60  
23
57  
54  
21


Persistent











Cutoff
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
91%
91%
96%
90%
90%
96%
89%
89%
95%


Specificity
19%
18%
16%
16%
16%
15%
15%
15%
15%


Cutoff
  0.0190
  0.0186
0.0194
  0.0190
  0.0186
0.0194
  0.0190
  0.0186
0.0194


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
66%
65%
61%
65%
65%
57%
61%
63%
57%


Specificity
74%
69%
52%
63%
62%
51%
59%
59%
51%


Cutoff
  0.0929
  0.0908
0.0936
  0.0929
  0.0908
0.0936
  0.0929
  0.0908
0.0936


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
35%
36%
39%
34%
35%
43%
33%
33%
48%


Specificity
89%
89%
78%
82%
83%
78%
81%
80%
79%


OR Quartile 2
 2.33
 2.13
5.08
 1.80
 1.71
3.91
 1.51
 1.38
3.48


p Value
 0.11
 0.15
0.12
 0.28
 0.32
0.20
 0.45
 0.56
0.24


Lower limit
 0.824
 0.754
0.644
 0.623
 0.590
0.492
 0.522
 0.475
0.436


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 6.57
 6.00
40.1
 5.20
 4.93
31.1
 4.36
 3.98
27.8


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
 5.46
 4.13
1.71
 3.13
 3.07
1.35
 2.28
 2.41
1.38


p Value
1.6E−5
1.9E−4
0.22
  0.0018
  0.0023
0.52
 0.023
 0.016
0.50


Lower limit
 2.52
 1.96
0.727
 1.53
 1.49
0.544
 1.12
 1.18
0.539


of 95% CI











Upper limit
11.8 
 8.69
4.00
 6.40
 6.31
3.35
 4.63
 4.95
3.55


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
 4.23
 4.69
2.32
 2.39
 2.56
2.78
 2.11
 2.00
3.36


p Value
 0.0036
 0.0018
0.064
 0.036
 0.024
0.034
 0.068
 0.090
0.015


Lower limit
 1.60
 1.78
0.951
 1.06
 1.13
1.08
 0.945
 0.899
1.27


of 95% CI











Upper limit
11.2 
12.4 
5.68
 5.40
 5.80
7.14
 4.70
 4.45
8.88


of 95% CI

























TABLE 21.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.000547
0.0494
0.00293
0.0406
0.00547
0.0267


Average
0.0259
0.153
0.0401
0.166
0.0457
0.168


Stdev
0.0673
0.277
0.0863
0.298
0.0926
0.305


p (t-test)

0.0023

0.0017

0.0023


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.401
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
48
82
62
68
66
64










sCr only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.000806
0.0559
0.00293
0.0509
0.00378
0.0303


Average
0.0250
0.160
0.0393
0.171
0.0445
0.172


Stdev
0.0647
0.284
0.0850
0.304
0.0921
0.309


p (t-test)

 9.9E−4

0.0011

0.0016


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.401
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
52
77
64
65
67
62










UO only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)












24
48
72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0181
0.0217
0.0185
0.0219
0.0185
0.0219


Average
0.0787
0.179
0.0766
0.202
0.0759
0.213


Stdev
0.149
0.362
0.146
0.386
0.144
0.397


p (t-test)

0.027

0.0085

0.0047


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
93
36
98
31
100
29












Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.74
0.74
0.61
0.69
0.70
0.61
0.67
0.67 
0.61


SE
0.043
0.043
0.057
0.046
0.046
0.060
0.047
0.047 
0.062


p Value
 1.6E−8
 2.2E−8
0.047
 2.7E−5
 2.2E−5
0.064
 5.1E−4
 2.5E−4
0.069


nCohort Non-
48
52
93
62
64
98
66
67    
100


persistent











nCohort
82
77
36
68
65
31
64
62    
29


Persistent











Cutoff
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
91%
91%
97%
91%
91%
97%
91%
90%
97%


Specificity
21%
19%
17%
18%
17%
16%
17%
16%
16%


Cutoff
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
65%
65%
58%
65%
65%
55%
62%
63%
55%


Specificity
75%
71%
53%
66%
64%
51%
62%
61%
51%


Cutoff
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
34%
36%
39%
37%
37%
42%
38%
37%
45%


Specificity
90%
90%
80%
87%
86%
80%
86%
85%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.82
2.38
7.27
2.23
2.04
5.85
1.93
1.83 
5.33


p Value
0.051
0.10
0.059
0.14
0.19
0.093
0.22
0.26 
0.11


Lower limit
0.995
0.842
0.927
0.771
0.706
0.744
0.669
0.634 
0.676


of 95% CI











Upper limit
7.99
6.73
57.0
6.44
5.90
46.1
5.59
5.30 
42.1


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
5.48
4.57
1.56
3.58
3.26
1.26
2.73
2.67 
1.28


p Value
 2.7E−5
 9.1E−5
0.26
5.5E−4
0.0013
0.57
0.0055
0.0068
0.56


Lower limit
2.48
2.13
0.716
1.74
1.58
0.562
1.34
1.31 
0.558


of 95% CI











Upper limit
12.1
9.78
3.39
7.38
6.69
2.85
5.56
5.45 
2.94


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
4.46
5.37
2.48
3.92
3.58
2.82
3.80
3.36 
3.25


p Value
0.0045
0.0014
0.034
0.0026
0.0039
0.019
0.0025
0.0050
0.0087


Lower limit
1.59
1.91
1.07
1.61
1.50
1.18
1.60
1.44 
1.35


of 95% CI











Upper limit
12.5
15.1
5.73
9.57
8.51
6.70
9.04
7.84 
7.84


of 95% CI
















TABLE 21.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.000547
0.0494
0.00293
0.0406
0.00344
0.0303


Average
0.0259
0.153
0.0401
0.166
0.0453
0.165


Stdev
0.0673
0.277
0.0863
0.298
0.0940
0.301


p (t-test)

0.0023

0.0017

0.0030


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.401
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
48
82
62
68
64
66










sCr only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.00106
0.0534
0.00310
0.0406
0.00378
0.0303


Average
0.0255
0.158
0.0399
0.169
0.0450
0.167


Stdev
0.0652
0.283
0.0856
0.302
0.0933
0.305


p (t-test)

0.0013

0.0014

0.0025


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.401
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
51
78
63
66
65
64










UO only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0144
0.0230
0.0181
0.0431
0.0181
0.0431


Average
0.0792
0.166
0.0771
0.183
0.0763
0.192


Stdev
0.153
0.342
0.149
0.361
0.148
0.370


p (t-test)

0.049

0.019

0.012


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
88
41
93
36
95
34












Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.74
0.73
0.63
0.69
0.69
0.63
0.68
0.67 
0.63


SE
0.043
0.043
0.054
0.046
0.046
0.057
0.047
0.047 
0.058


p Value
 1.6E−8
 9.1E−8
0.017
 2.7E−5
 5.7E−5
0.025
 1.8E−4
 3.5E−4
0.027


nCohort Non-
48
51
88
62
63
93
64
65    
95


persistent











nCohort
82
78
41
68
66
36
66
64    
34


Persistent











Cutoff
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
91%
91%
98%
91%
91%
97%
91%
91%
97%


Specificity
21%
20%
18%
18%
17%
17%
17%
17%
17%


Cutoff
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
65%
64%
61%
65%
64%
58%
64%
62%
59%


Specificity
75%
71%
55%
66%
63%
53%
64%
62%
53%


Cutoff
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
34%
36%
37%
37%
36%
39%
36%
36%
41%


Specificity
90%
90%
80%
87%
86%
80%
86%
85%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.82
2.47
8.89
2.23
2.12
7.27
2.08
1.97 
6.68


p Value
0.051
0.088
0.037
0.14
0.17
0.059
0.18
0.21 
0.071


Lower limit
0.995
0.875
1.14
0.771
0.732
0.927
0.718
0.681 
0.851


of 95% CI











Upper limit
7.99
7.00
69.5
6.44
6.12
57.0
6.00
5.69 
52.5


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
5.48
4.29
1.88
3.58
3.04
1.56
3.12
2.67 
1.59


p Value
 2.7E−5
 1.7E−4
0.10
 5.5E−4
0.0024
0.26
0.0018
0.0069
0.25


Lower limit
2.48
2.01
0.881
1.74
1.49
0.716
1.52
1.31 
0.718


of 95% CI











Upper limit
12.1
9.16
3.99
7.38
6.24
3.39
6.38
5.43 
3.51


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
4.46
5.15
2.24
3.92
3.43
2.48
3.49
3.09 
2.80


p Value
0.0045
0.0019
0.053
0.0026
0.0053
0.034
0.0046
0.0090
0.017


Lower limit
1.59
1.83
0.988
1.61
1.44
1.07
1.47
1.32 
1.20


of 95% CI











Upper limit
12.5
14.5
5.09
9.57
8.15
5.73
8.29
7.19 
6.54


of 95% CI
















TABLE 21.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.000547
0.0494
0.00276
0.0509
0.00310
0.0303


Average
0.0259
0.153
0.0397
0.164
0.0451
0.163


Stdev
0.0673
0.277
0.0869
0.296
0.0948
0.299


p (t-test)

0.0023

0.0019

0.0033


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.401
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
48
82
61
69
63
67










sCr only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.00106
0.0534
0.00293
0.0509
0.00344
0.0303


Average
0.0255
0.158
0.0395
0.167
0.0448
0.166


Stdev
0.0652
0.283
0.0862
0.300
0.0940
0.303


p (t-test)

0.0013

0.0016

0.0027


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.401
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
51
78
62
67
64
65










UO only









Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0106
0.0231
0.0133
0.0267
0.0133
0.0267


Average
0.0807
0.157
0.0791
0.168
0.0782
0.175


Stdev
0.155
0.331
0.152
0.345
0.150
0.353


p (t-test)

0.078

0.044

0.031


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
85
44
89
40
91
38












Persistence Period



Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.74
0.73
0.64
0.70
0.69
0.63
0.68
0.68
0.63


SE
0.043
0.043
0.053
0.045
0.046
0.055
0.047
0.047
0.055


p Value
 1.6E−8
 9.1E−8
0.0095
 1.2E−5
 2.7E−5
0.015
 9.6E−5
 1.9E−4
0.016


nCohort Non-
48
51
85
61
62
89
63
64
91


persistent











nCohort
82
78
44
69
67
40
67
65
38


Persistent











Cutoff
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
91%
91%
98%
91%
91%
98%
91%
91%
97%


Specificity
21%
20%
19%
18%
18%
18%
17%
17%
18%


Cutoff
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
65%
64%
64%
65%
64%
62%
64%
63%
63%


Specificity
75%
71%
56%
67%
65%
55%
65%
62%
55%


Cutoff
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
34%
36%
34%
36%
36%
35%
36%
35%
37%


Specificity
90%
90%
79%
87%
85%
79%
86%
84%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.82
2.47
9.97
2.31
2.19
8.55
2.15
2.04
7.89


p Value
0.051
0.088
0.028
0.12
0.15
0.041
0.16
0.19
0.049


Lower limit
0.995
0.875
1.28
0.799
0.758
1.09
0.744
0.706
1.01


of 95% CI











Upper limit
7.99
7.00
77.9
6.68
6.34
66.9
6.22
5.90
61.8


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
5.48
4.29
2.27
3.84
3.26
2.04
3.34
2.85
2.09


p Value
 2.7E−5
 1.7E−4
0.032
 2.9E−4
0.0013
0.067
0.0010
0.0041
0.063


Lower limit
2.48
2.01
1.07
1.85
1.58
0.951
1.63
1.39
0.960


of 95% CI











Upper limit
12.1
9.16
4.80
7.97
6.70
4.38
6.86
5.81
4.55


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
4.46
5.15
1.93
3.76
3.29
1.98
3.35
2.96
2.21


p Value
0.0045
0.0019
0.11
0.0035
0.0070
0.10
0.0061
0.012
0.061


Lower limit
1.59
1.83
0.855
1.54
1.38
0.870
1.41
1.27
0.963


of 95% CI











Upper limit
12.5
14.5
4.34
9.17
7.81
4.52
7.95
6.88
5.07


of 95% CI
















TABLE 21.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.000547
0.0494
0.00259
0.0406
0.00293
0.0303


Average
0.0259
0.153
0.0400
0.162
0.0454
0.161


Stdev
0.0673
0.277
0.0876
0.294
0.0955
0.297


p (t-test)

0.0023

0.0024

0.0041


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.401
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
48
82
60
70
62
68










sCr only











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.00106
0.0534
0.00293
0.0509
0.00344
0.0303


Average
0.0255
0.158
0.0395
0.167
0.0448
0.166


Stdev
0.0652
0.283
0.0862
0.300
0.0940
0.303


p (t-test)

0.0013

0.0016

0.0027


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.401
1.70
0.459
1.70
0.459
1.70


n (Patient)
51
78
62
67
64
65










UO only











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.00847
0.0267
0.0116
0.0303
0.0116
0.0303


Average
0.0712
0.171
0.0704
0.179
0.0697
0.186


Stdev
0.144
0.330
0.142
0.340
0.140
0.347


p (t-test)

0.019

0.012

0.0076


Min
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6
1.63E−6


Max
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70
0.878
1.70


n (Patient)
83
46
86
43
88
41














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.74
0.73
0.66
0.70
0.69
0.66
0.68
0.68
0.66


SE
0.043
0.043
0.051
0.045
0.046
0.052
0.046
0.047
0.053


p Value
 1.6E−8
 9.1E−8
0.0013
 8.3E−6
 2.7E−5
0.0020
 7.1E−5
 1.9E−4
0.0023


nCohort Non-
48
51
83
60
62
86
62
64
88


persistent











nCohort Persistent
82
78
46
70
67
43
68
65
41


Cutoff Quartile 2
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6
1.90E−6


Sensitivity
91%
91%
98%
91%
91%
98%
91%
91%
98%


Specificity
21%
20%
19%
18%
18%
19%
18%
17%
18%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194
0.0190
0.0186
0.0194


Sensitivity
65%
64%
65%
66%
64%
65%
65%
63%
66%


Specificity
75%
71%
58%
68%
65%
57%
66%
62%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936
0.0929
0.0908
0.0936


Sensitivity
34%
36%
37%
36%
36%
37%
35%
35%
39%


Specificity
90%
90%
81%
87%
85%
80%
85%
84%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.82
2.47
10.7
2.39
2.19
9.60
2.23
2.04
8.89


p Value
0.051
0.088
0.024
0.11
0.15
0.031
0.14
0.19
0.037


Lower limit of 95%
0.995
0.875
1.38
0.828
0.758
1.23
0.771
0.706
1.14


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
7.99
7.00
83.9
6.93
6.34
75.0
6.44
5.90
69.5


OR Quartile 3
5.48
4.29
2.57
4.14
3.26
2.47
3.58
2.85
2.54


p Value
 2.7E−5
 1.7E−4
0.013
 1.5E−4
0.0013
0.019
 5.5E−4
0.0041
0.018


Lower limit of 95%
2.48
2.01
1.22
1.98
1.58
1.16
1.74
1.39
1.17


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
12.1
9.16
5.43
8.62
6.70
5.28
7.38
5.81
5.49


OR Quartile 4
4.46
5.15
2.45
3.61
3.29
2.41
3.21
2.96
2.67


p Value
0.0045
0.0019
0.030
0.0047
0.0070
0.035
0.0081
0.012
0.019


Lower limit of 95%
1.59
1.83
1.09
1.48
1.38
1.06
1.35
1.27
1.18


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
12.5
14.5
5.52
8.80
7.81
5.43
7.62
6.88
6.07
















TABLE 21.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0752
0.288
0.104
0.282
0.127
0.271


Average
0.253
0.387
0.269
0.416
0.281
0.423


Stdev
0.398
0.387
0.359
0.416
0.355
0.429


p (t-test)

0.049

0.021

0.028


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
50
101
75
76
85
66










sCr only











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0752
0.282
0.0939
0.276
0.128
0.226


Average
0.251
0.386
0.258
0.416
0.289
0.406


Stdev
0.391
0.388
0.349
0.419
0.363
0.424


p (t-test)

0.044

0.014

0.070


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
52
98
73
77
86
64










UO only











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.128
0.353
0.131
0.556
0.147
0.579


Average
0.294
0.495
0.292
0.556
0.297
0.584


Stdev
0.364
0.445
0.357
0.469
0.352
0.505


p (t-test)

0.0064

9.2E−4

7.7E−4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
112
38
120
30
125
25














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.64
0.65
0.60
0.61
0.67
0.58
0.57
0.66


SE
0.046
0.046
0.054
0.046
0.046
0.058
0.047
0.048
0.064


p Value
0.0023
0.0024
0.0067
0.023
0.013
0.0029
0.076
0.13
0.012


nCohort Non-
50
52
112
75
73
120
85
86
125


persistent











nCohort Persistent
101
98
38
76
77
30
66
64
25


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489


Sensitivity
78%
79%
79%
76%
78%
80%
74%
75%
76%


Specificity
32%
33%
27%
27%
29%
27%
25%
26%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164


Sensitivity
59%
60%
68%
59%
60%
73%
59%
59%
68%


Specificity
68%
69%
56%
59%
60%
56%
56%
57%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536


Sensitivity
29%
30%
42%
33%
34%
50%
33%
33%
52%


Specificity
82%
83%
80%
83%
84%
81%
81%
80%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.69
1.78
1.37
1.17
1.43
1.45
0.946
1.03
1.09


p Value
0.18
0.13
0.48
0.67
0.35
0.45
0.88
0.94
0.87


Lower limit of 95%
0.791
0.838
0.566
0.561
0.680
0.545
0.451
0.490
0.400


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
3.61
3.79
3.32
2.45
2.99
3.88
1.98
2.17
2.97


OR Quartile 3
3.11
3.40
2.79
2.06
2.25
3.48
1.87
1.94
2.45


p Value
0.0019
7.8E−4
0.0100
0.029
0.015
0.0058
0.059
0.049
0.053


Lower limit of 95%
1.52
1.67
1.28
1.08
1.17
1.43
0.977
1.00
0.987


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
6.36
6.95
6.07
3.94
4.33
8.43
3.60
3.73
6.10


OR Quartile 4
1.83
2.01
2.98
2.34
2.59
4.22
2.16
1.98
4.33


p Value
0.16
0.10
0.0072
0.030
0.017
8.8E−4
0.044
0.072
0.0014


Lower limit of 95%
0.792
0.868
1.34
1.09
1.19
1.81
1.02
0.942
1.76


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
4.25
4.65
6.59
5.03
5.65
9.85
4.55
4.17
10.6
















TABLE 21.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0743
0.288
0.0914
0.293
0.104
0.302


Average
0.240
0.392
0.241
0.431
0.250
0.445


Stdev
0.390
0.389
0.341
0.418
0.334
0.431


p (t-test)

0.025

0.0029

0.0021


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
49
102
70
81
79
72










sCr only











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0743
0.288
0.0847
0.291
0.104
0.293


Average
0.237
0.392
0.239
0.426
0.258
0.429


Stdev
0.383
0.390
0.342
0.416
0.342
0.427


p (t-test)

0.022

0.0033

0.0074


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
51
99
70
80
79
71










UO only











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.105
0.373
0.112
0.526
0.133
0.530


Average
0.272
0.505
0.272
0.554
0.278
0.574


Stdev
0.352
0.438
0.344
0.455
0.340
0.481


p (t-test)

6.8E−4

8.8E−5

8.4E−5


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
103
47
111
39
116
34













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.65
0.68
0.64
0.64
0.70
0.62
0.61
0.69


SE
0.046
0.045
0.049
0.045
0.045
0.052
0.046
0.046
0.055


p Value
7.2E−4
7.7E−4
3.0E−4
0.0022
0.0017
1.1E−4
0.0061
0.013
7.5E−4


nCohort Non-
49
51
103
70
70
111
79
79
116


persistent











nCohort Persistent
102
99
47
81
80
39
72
71
34


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489


Sensitivity
78%
79%
83%
78%
79%
85%
76%
77%
82%


Specificity
33%
33%
29%
29%
30%
29%
27%
28%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164


Sensitivity
60%
61%
68%
60%
61%
72%
61%
61%
68%


Specificity
69%
71%
58%
61%
63%
58%
59%
59%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536


Sensitivity
29%
30%
40%
35%
35%
46%
36%
35%
47%


Specificity
84%
84%
82%
86%
86%
82%
85%
84%
81%


OR Quartile 2
1.76
1.86
2.00
1.40
1.59
2.23
1.17
1.33
1.78


p Value
0.14
0.11
0.12
0.37
0.22
0.10
0.67
0.46
0.25


Lower limit of 95%
0.824
0.872
0.838
0.670
0.757
0.851
0.560
0.631
0.673


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
3.77
3.95
4.79
2.93
3.33
5.83
2.45
2.79
4.70


OR Quartile 3
3.37
3.69
2.98
2.44
2.67
3.47
2.31
2.26
2.57


p Value
0.0010
4.1E−4
0.0033
0.0077
0.0035
0.0021
0.012
0.015
0.022


Lower limit of 95%
1.63
1.79
1.44
1.27
1.38
1.57
1.20
1.17
1.15


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
6.96
7.62
6.16
4.70
5.18
7.66
4.43
4.34
5.76


OR Quartile 4
2.14
2.34
3.00
3.17
3.23
3.90
3.16
2.76
3.80


p Value
0.087
0.055
0.0050
0.0053
0.0046
7.8E−4
0.0039
0.0097
0.0014


Lower limit of 95%
0.895
0.981
1.39
1.41
1.43
1.76
1.45
1.28
1.68


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
5.09
5.57
6.46
7.13
7.28
8.63
6.89
5.95
8.61
















TABLE 21.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0743
0.288
0.0890
0.291
0.104
0.297


Average
0.240
0.392
0.243
0.427
0.250
0.434


Stdev
0.390
0.389
0.343
0.416
0.338
0.426


p (t-test)

0.025

0.0039

0.0039


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
49
102
69
82
75
76










sCr only











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0743
0.288
0.0804
0.288
0.0939
0.293


Average
0.237
0.392
0.241
0.423
0.249
0.430


Stdev
0.383
0.390
0.344
0.414
0.338
0.424


p (t-test)

0.022

0.0044

0.0045


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
51
99
69
81
75
75










UO only











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.104
0.384
0.112
0.476
0.133
0.501


Average
0.264
0.497
0.266
0.528
0.273
0.543


Stdev
0.351
0.430
0.344
0.445
0.340
0.467


p (t-test)

5.0E−4

1.5E−4

1.6E−4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
98
52
105
45
110
40














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.65
0.68
0.64
0.64
0.69
0.62
0.62
0.68


SE
0.046
0.045
0.047
0.045
0.045
0.049
0.045
0.046
0.052


p Value
7.2E−4
7.7E−4
1.3E−4
0.0025
0.0019
1.1E−4
0.0085
0.0071
7.6E−4


nCohort Non-
49
51
98
69
69
105
75
75
110


persistent











nCohort Persistent
102
99
52
82
81
45
76
75
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489


Sensitivity
78%
79%
83%
78%
79%
84%
76%
77%
82%


Specificity
33%
33%
30%
29%
30%
30%
27%
28%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164


Sensitivity
60%
61%
67%
60%
60%
69%
59%
60%
65%


Specificity
69%
71%
59%
61%
62%
58%
59%
60%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536


Sensitivity
29%
30%
40%
34%
35%
44%
36%
36%
45%


Specificity
84%
84%
83%
86%
86%
83%
85%
85%
82%


OR Quartile 2
1.76
1.86
2.01
1.45
1.65
2.27
1.17
1.33
1.85


p Value
0.14
0.11
0.10
0.32
0.19
0.076
0.67
0.45
0.19


Lower limit of 95%
0.824
0.872
0.868
0.694
0.785
0.917
0.561
0.634
0.741


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
3.77
3.95
4.65
3.03
3.46
5.64
2.45
2.78
4.62


OR Quartile 3
3.37
3.69
2.99
2.31
2.53
3.07
2.06
2.25
2.31


p Value
0.0010
4.1E−4
0.0024
0.012
0.0058
0.0030
0.029
0.015
0.029


Lower limit of 95%
1.63
1.79
1.47
1.20
1.31
1.46
1.08
1.17
1.09


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
6.96
7.62
6.05
4.45
4.90
6.44
3.94
4.32
4.90


OR Quartile 4
2.14
2.34
3.23
3.06
3.12
3.87
3.21
3.27
3.68


p Value
0.087
0.055
0.0026
0.0069
0.0061
6.4E−4
0.0040
0.0035
0.0012


Lower limit of 95%
0.895
0.981
1.51
1.36
1.38
1.78
1.45
1.48
1.67


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
5.09
5.57
6.91
6.88
7.02
8.41
7.09
7.25
8.11
















TABLE 21.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0743
0.288
0.0847
0.288
0.0988
0.293


Average
0.240
0.392
0.242
0.425
0.250
0.432


Stdev
0.390
0.389
0.346
0.414
0.340
0.424


p (t-test)

0.025

0.0042

0.0041


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
49
102
68
83
74
77










sCr only











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0743
0.288
0.0794
0.288
0.0914
0.291


Average
0.237
0.392
0.240
0.421
0.248
0.428


Stdev
0.383
0.390
0.346
0.412
0.340
0.422


p (t-test)

0.022

0.0047

0.0048


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
51
99
68
82
74
76










UO only











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.105
0.370
0.119
0.415
0.136
0.434


Average
0.269
0.476
0.268
0.498
0.275
0.508


Stdev
0.355
0.428
0.347
0.441
0.342
0.461


p (t-test)

0.0018

6.5E−4

8.2E−4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
95
55
100
50
105
45














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.64
0.64
0.66
0.62
0.63
0.64


SE
0.046
0.045
0.047
0.045
0.045
0.049
0.045
0.045
0.051


p Value
7.2E−4
7.7E−4
0.0012
0.0020
0.0015
0.0010
0.0072
0.0059
0.0055


nCohort Non-
49
51
95
68
68
100
74
74
105


persistent











nCohort Persistent
102
99
55
83
82
50
77
76
45


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489


Sensitivity
78%
79%
80%
78%
79%
80%
77%
78%
78%


Specificity
33%
33%
28%
29%
31%
28%
27%
28%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164


Sensitivity
60%
61%
65%
60%
61%
66%
60%
61%
62%


Specificity
69%
71%
59%
62%
63%
58%
59%
61%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536


Sensitivity
29%
30%
38%
34%
34%
42%
35%
36%
42%


Specificity
84%
84%
82%
85%
85%
83%
85%
85%
82%


OR Quartile 2
1.76
1.86
1.59
1.50
1.71
1.56
1.21
1.38
1.27


p Value
0.14
0.11
0.26
0.28
0.16
0.29
0.61
0.40
0.57


Lower limit of 95%
0.824
0.872
0.716
0.719
0.814
0.686
0.582
0.657
0.558


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
3.77
3.95
3.52
3.15
3.59
3.53
2.53
2.88
2.90


OR Quartile 3
3.37
3.69
2.72
2.45
2.69
2.68
2.18
2.38
2.03


p Value
0.0010
4.1E−4
0.0045
0.0076
0.0035
0.0063
0.019
0.0095
0.052


Lower limit of 95%
1.63
1.79
1.36
1.27
1.38
1.32
1.14
1.24
0.994


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
6.96
7.62
5.42
4.72
5.22
5.44
4.17
4.58
4.15


OR Quartile 4
2.14
2.34
2.83
2.95
3.01
3.54
3.09
3.16
3.31


p Value
0.087
0.055
0.0069
0.0089
0.0078
0.0012
0.0053
0.0046
0.0024


Lower limit of 95%
0.895
0.981
1.33
1.31
1.34
1.64
1.40
1.43
1.53


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
5.09
5.57
6.03
6.64
6.77
7.61
6.84
6.98
7.16
















TABLE 21.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0743
0.282
0.0784
0.291
0.0847
0.300


Average
0.245
0.387
0.236
0.423
0.243
0.429


Stdev
0.397
0.387
0.351
0.408
0.346
0.415


p (t-test)

0.041

0.0036

0.0035


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
47
104
65
86
70
81










sCr only











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0752
0.282
0.0794
0.288
0.0914
0.291


Average
0.241
0.388
0.238
0.419
0.246
0.425


Stdev
0.386
0.389
0.348
0.410
0.342
0.419


p (t-test)

0.030

0.0048

0.0050


Min
0.00372
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
50
100
66
84
72
78










UO only











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-



Persistence Period
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0988
0.372
0.104
0.396
0.127
0.396


Average
0.258
0.483
0.256
0.500
0.263
0.504


Stdev
0.346
0.429
0.342
0.434
0.339
0.448


p (t-test)

5.6E−4

2.0E−4

3.2E−4


Min
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169
0.00300
0.00169


Max
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55
1.80
1.55


n (Patient)
92
58
95
55
99
51














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.65
0.67
0.65
0.64
0.68
0.64
0.62
0.66


SE
0.046
0.046
0.046
0.044
0.045
0.047
0.045
0.045
0.048


p Value
0.0013
0.0016
2.6E−4
6.1E−4
0.0015
1.1E−4
0.0019
0.0059
6.5E−4


nCohort Non-
47
50
92
65
66
95
70
72
99


persistent











nCohort Persistent
104
100
58
86
84
55
81
78
51


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489
0.0475
0.0472
0.0489


Sensitivity
78%
78%
81%
79%
79%
82%
78%
77%
80%


Specificity
32%
32%
29%
31%
30%
29%
29%
28%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164
0.163
0.158
0.164


Sensitivity
60%
60%
66%
62%
61%
67%
62%
60%
65%


Specificity
70%
70%
60%
65%
64%
60%
63%
61%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536
0.535
0.531
0.536


Sensitivity
29%
30%
40%
34%
35%
42%
35%
36%
41%


Specificity
83%
84%
84%
86%
86%
84%
86%
86%
83%


OR Quartile 2
1.65
1.67
1.77
1.68
1.59
1.88
1.40
1.28
1.62


p Value
0.20
0.19
0.16
0.17
0.22
0.13
0.37
0.51
0.25


Lower limit of 95%
0.765
0.781
0.801
0.801
0.761
0.833
0.670
0.613
0.714


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
3.56
3.57
3.93
3.52
3.34
4.25
2.93
2.68
3.66


OR Quartile 3
3.48
3.50
2.82
2.93
2.70
3.08
2.73
2.38
2.49


p Value
9.2E−4
7.1E−4
0.0029
0.0016
0.0034
0.0015
0.0029
0.0095
0.011


Lower limit of 95%
1.66
1.69
1.43
1.50
1.39
1.54
1.41
1.24
1.24


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
7.28
7.23
5.59
5.72
5.26
6.19
5.28
4.59
5.01


OR Quartile 4
1.98
2.25
3.37
3.17
3.34
3.83
3.17
3.47
3.38


p Value
0.13
0.067
0.0018
0.0068
0.0046
6.1E−4
0.0053
0.0027
0.0018


Lower limit of 95%
0.827
0.944
1.57
1.38
1.45
1.78
1.41
1.54
1.57


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
4.72
5.36
7.24
7.29
7.69
8.27
7.13
7.82
7.25









Example 22. Use of Pro-Interleukin-16 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Pro-interleukin-16 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 22.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0286
50.4
0.0279
49.8
0.0286
45.5


Average
45.7
240
35.8
234
40.2
229


Stdev
102
397
93.3
390
98.1
388


p (t-test)

2.9E−4

7.2E−4

0.0021


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
440
3020
440
3020
440
3020


n (Patient)
57
258
46
269
41
274










sCr only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0290
66.2
0.0290
65.3
0.0291
54.6


Average
50.6
252
51.9
250
54.9
246


Stdev
133
405
134
404
138
402


p (t-test)

2.7E−5

4.4E−5

1.1E−4


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
822
3020
822
3020
822
3020


n (Patient)
76
238
74
240
70
244










UO only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0422
23.9
0.0422
37.6
0.0422
41.2


Average
177
253
167
253
156
255


Stdev
299
459
290
445
266
445


p (t-test)

0.078

0.042

0.018


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1370
3020
1370
3020
1370
3020


n (Patient)
193
120
172
141
155
158














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.71
0.53
0.73
0.71
0.56
0.70
0.70
0.56


SE
0.034
0.031
0.034
0.035
0.031
0.033
0.038
0.032
0.032


p Value
2.1E−9
3.6E−12
0.32
3.5E−11
6.9E−12
0.092
1.1E−7
2.9E−10
0.078


nCohort Recovered
57
76
193
46
74
172
41
70
155


nCohort Non-
258
238
120
269
240
141
274
244
158


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
81%
82%
78%
81%
82%
81%
80%
82%
80%


Specificity
42%
41%
24%
48%
42%
26%
44%
41%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03


Sensitivity
56%
59%
52%
55%
58%
54%
54%
57%
54%


Specificity
75%
78%
51%
80%
77%
53%
78%
76%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
280
284
283
280
284
283
280
284


Sensitivity
29%
31%
28%
28%
30%
29%
28%
30%
29%


Specificity
91%
92%
77%
93%
92%
78%
93%
91%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.10
3.21
1.13
3.92
3.40
1.50
3.12
3.22
1.47


p Value
2.8E−4
5.3E−5
0.66
4.3E−5
2.5E−5
0.14
0.0011
7.2E−5
0.15


Lower limit of 95%
1.68
1.83
0.655
2.04
1.92
0.872
1.57
1.81
0.867


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
5.71
5.66
1.95
7.54
6.01
2.57
6.18
5.72
2.50


OR Quartile 3
3.88
4.96
1.16
5.10
4.69
1.31
4.24
4.20
1.34


p Value
4.5E−5
1.6E−7
0.51
3.1E−5
4.3E−7
0.23
2.7E−4
3.1E−6
0.19


Lower limit of 95%
2.02
2.73
0.738
2.37
2.58
0.841
1.95
2.30
0.861


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
7.44
9.02
1.84
11.0
8.55
2.05
9.22
7.67
2.09


OR Quartile 4
4.18
5.16
1.30
5.64
4.95
1.45
4.86
4.55
1.52


p Value
0.0034
2.5E−4
0.32
0.0047
3.6E−4
0.16
0.010
7.4E−4
0.11


Lower limit of 95%
1.61
2.15
0.774
1.70
2.06
0.867
1.46
1.89
0.907


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
10.9
12.4
2.18
18.7
11.9
2.41
16.2
11.0
2.54
















TABLE 22.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0289
88.7
0.0289
76.4
0.0289
68.1


Average
57.8
264
53.5
255
43.8
252


Stdev
159
411
160
404
109
404


p (t-test)

5.8E−6

2.0E−5

2.4E−5


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
577
3020


n (Patient)
90
225
79
236
71
244










sCr only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0291
105
0.0291
94.3
0.0291
91.1


Average
65.3
276
66.5
273
58.6
272


Stdev
170
420
171
418
139
419


p (t-test)

1.2E−6

2.1E−6

1.3E−6


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
822
3020


n (Patient)
106
209
104
211
99
216










UO only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0422
45.5
0.0422
35.1
0.0422
35.1


Average
174
272
175
256
166
257


Stdev
299
480
298
460
278
459


p (t-test)

0.027

0.060

0.031


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1370
3020
1370
3020
1370
3020


n (Patient)
211
102
193
120
177
136














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.74
0.73
0.56
0.74
0.73
0.56
0.72
0.72
0.55


SE
0.029
0.028
0.035
0.029
0.028
0.034
0.031
0.029
0.033


p Value
2.2E−16
6.7E−16
0.073
4.4E−16
2.0E−15
0.094
1.2E−12
8.2E−15
0.12


nCohort Recovered
90
106
211
79
104
193
71
99
177


nCohort Non-
225
209
102
236
211
120
244
216
136


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
84%
85%
81%
84%
85%
82%
82%
85%
82%


Specificity
42%
40%
25%
44%
40%
26%
42%
40%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03


Sensitivity
60%
62%
56%
59%
62%
54%
57%
61%
54%


Specificity
74%
74%
53%
76%
73%
52%
75%
73%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
283
284
283
283
284
283
283
284


Sensitivity
32%
33%
31%
31%
33%
30%
30%
32%
29%


Specificity
91%
91%
78%
92%
90%
78%
93%
91%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.97
3.77
1.47
4.14
3.93
1.69
3.42
3.76
1.61


p Value
1.0E−6
1.8E−6
0.20
7.6E−7
9.0E−7
0.070
2.7E−5
2.0E−6
0.090


Lower limit of 95%
2.28
2.18
0.814
2.36
2.28
0.958
1.93
2.18
0.929


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
6.89
6.50
2.64
7.28
6.79
2.99
6.08
6.49
2.77


OR Quartile 3
4.37
4.58
1.41
4.53
4.36
1.30
3.96
4.11
1.28


p Value
1.1E−7
6.6E−9
0.16
3.0E−7
2.1E−8
0.26
5.1E−6
9.8E−8
0.28


Lower limit of 95%
2.54
2.74
0.874
2.54
2.60
0.822
2.19
2.44
0.820


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
7.53
7.67
2.26
8.06
7.29
2.05
7.16
6.91
2.01


OR Quartile 4
4.73
4.73
1.60
5.45
4.57
1.50
5.75
4.79
1.47


p Value
9.2E−5
1.9E−5
0.084
1.5E−4
2.9E−5
0.13
3.1E−4
3.5E−5
0.14


Lower limit of 95%
2.17
2.32
0.940
2.27
2.24
0.891
2.22
2.28
0.883


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
10.3
9.65
2.71
13.1
9.31
2.51
14.8
10.1
2.46
















TABLE 22.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0318
93.6
0.0318
76.4
0.0318
70.0


Average
75.6
278
76.2
271
70.2
265


Stdev
172
427
173
422
146
420


p (t-test)

2.0E−6

7.0E−6

1.2E−5


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
771
3020


n (Patient)
114
201
107
208
97
218










sCr only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
99.3
0.0328
88.7
0.0328
83.2


Average
85.8
285
87.9
281
80.9
280


Stdev
191
434
193
432
172
432


p (t-test)

1.8E−6

4.3E−6

2.5E−6


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
894
3020


n (Patient)
127
188
124
191
119
196










UO only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0422
88.0
0.0422
50.2
0.0422
50.2


Average
168
287
172
269
170
261


Stdev
289
493
293
476
288
464


p (t-test)

0.0077

0.027

0.032


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1370
3020
1370
3020
1370
3020


n (Patient)
213
100
203
110
189
124














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.68
0.58
0.69
0.68
0.57
0.67
0.68
0.56


SE
0.030
0.030
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.031
0.030
0.033


p Value
5.9E−11
1.2E−9
0.020
3.2E−10
4.1E−9
0.058
2.2E−8
4.5E−9
0.078


nCohort Recovered
114
127
213
107
124
203
97
119
189


nCohort Non-
201
188
100
208
191
110
218
196
124


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
84%
84%
81%
84%
84%
81%
82%
83%
81%


Specificity
35%
33%
25%
36%
34%
25%
35%
34%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03


Sensitivity
61%
62%
60%
60%
61%
57%
59%
61%
56%


Specificity
69%
68%
54%
69%
67%
54%
69%
67%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
283
284
283
283
284
283
283
284


Sensitivity
33%
34%
31%
32%
34%
30%
31%
33%
30%


Specificity
89%
88%
77%
89%
88%
77%
89%
88%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.75
2.50
1.41
2.94
2.64
1.42
2.48
2.50
1.42


p Value
2.1E−4
7.6E−4
0.25
8.9E−5
3.7E−4
0.23
0.0010
7.6E−4
0.22


Lower limit of 95%
1.61
1.47
0.784
1.71
1.55
0.803
1.44
1.47
0.816


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
4.70
4.27
2.54
5.03
4.51
2.52
4.26
4.26
2.47


OR Quartile 3
3.56
3.46
1.79
3.38
3.20
1.55
3.18
3.17
1.52


p Value
3.6E−7
3.0E−7
0.018
1.5E−6
1.5E−6
0.065
8.2E−6
2.3E−6
0.072


Lower limit of 95%
2.18
2.15
1.11
2.06
1.99
0.974
1.91
1.97
0.963


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
5.80
5.56
2.91
5.54
5.14
2.48
5.28
5.11
2.40


OR Quartile 4
3.80
3.85
1.54
3.76
3.66
1.46
3.54
3.72
1.49


p Value
5.5E−5
1.9E−5
0.11
9.9E−5
3.8E−5
0.15
3.2E−4
4.6E−5
0.13


Lower limit of 95%
1.99
2.08
0.907
1.93
1.97
0.866
1.78
1.98
0.889


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
7.26
7.15
2.63
7.33
6.79
2.47
7.07
7.00
2.49
















TABLE 22.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
108
0.0328
91.1
0.0328
75.1


Average
80.4
297
82.5
285
78.6
276


Stdev
179
440
181
434
161
430


p (t-test)

1.5E−7

1.2E−6

3.5E−6


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
894
3020


n (Patient)
134
181
125
190
114
201










sCr only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
108
0.0328
108
0.0328
108


Average
85.0
301
86.2
297
78.7
299


Stdev
187
444
188
443
167
444


p (t-test)

1.5E−7

2.9E−7

8.5E−8


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
894
3020


n (Patient)
140
175
138
177
135
180










UO only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0422
62.9
0.0422
51.0
0.0422
52.6


Average
171
283
174
267
171
261


Stdev
292
493
296
478
291
467


p (t-test)

0.013

0.035

0.036


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1370
3020
1370
3020
1370
3020


n (Patient)
215
98
206
107
193
120














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.68
0.57
0.67
0.68
0.56
0.66
0.69
0.56


SE
0.029
0.030
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.035
0.031
0.029
0.034


p Value
1.4E−10
9.6E−10
0.037
5.4E−9
1.8E−9
0.10
2.6E−7
2.2E−10
0.100


nCohort Recovered
134
140
215
125
138
206
114
135
193


nCohort Non-
181
175
98
190
177
107
201
180
120


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
84%
84%
81%
84%
84%
79%
82%
84%
80%


Specificity
33%
32%
25%
34%
33%
24%
32%
33%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03


Sensitivity
62%
63%
59%
61%
62%
57%
59%
62%
57%


Specificity
66%
66%
54%
66%
65%
53%
65%
66%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
283
284
283
283
284
283
283
284


Sensitivity
35%
36%
31%
34%
36%
30%
33%
36%
30%


Specificity
89%
89%
77%
89%
88%
77%
89%
89%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.56
2.49
1.36
2.60
2.57
1.24
2.20
2.71
1.32


p Value
5.9E−4
9.0E−4
0.31
4.7E−4
5.7E−4
0.46
0.0037
2.8E−4
0.32


Lower limit of 95%
1.50
1.45
0.755
1.52
1.50
0.703
1.29
1.58
0.761


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
4.38
4.26
2.45
4.43
4.41
2.18
3.75
4.65
2.30


OR Quartile 3
3.29
3.24
1.70
2.92
3.08
1.52
2.63
3.19
1.53


p Value
6.3E−7
6.9E−7
0.032
7.6E−6
2.0E−6
0.081
6.9E−5
1.1E−6
0.070


Lower limit of 95%
2.06
2.04
1.05
1.83
1.94
0.949
1.63
2.00
0.966


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
5.25
5.16
2.76
4.68
4.89
2.43
4.23
5.08
2.42


OR Quartile 4
4.34
4.36
1.49
4.12
4.21
1.44
3.80
4.41
1.50


p Value
3.2E−6
1.9E−6
0.14
1.1E−5
3.2E−6
0.17
5.5E−5
2.4E−6
0.13


Lower limit of 95%
2.34
2.38
0.875
2.19
2.30
0.853
1.99
2.38
0.891


CI











Upper limit of 95% CI
8.05
7.99
2.55
7.75
7.72
2.44
7.26
8.18
2.51
















TABLE 22.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0382
110
0.0382
108
0.0382
108


Average
133
310
135
303
135
303


Stdev
248
477
250
474
250
474


p (t-test)

2.4E−5

6.1E−5

6.1E−5


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1350
3020
1350
3020
1350
3020


n (Patient)
187
128
184
131
184
131










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
148
0.0328
116
0.0328
114


Average
86.3
326
88.0
319
88.5
317


Stdev
178
463
179
461
180
460


p (t-test)

3.7E−9

1.2E−8

1.8E−8


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
918
3020
918
3020
918
3020


n (Patient)
159
156
156
159
155
160










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0411
108
0.0422
88.0
0.0422
105


Average
156
306
159
298
159
293


Stdev
273
501
274
497
276
491


p (t-test)

6.9E−4

0.0015

0.0021


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1370
3020
1370
3020
1370
3020


n (Patient)
210
103
207
106
204
109












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.69
0.60
0.64
0.68
0.59
0.64
0.68
0.59


SE
0.032
0.030
0.035
0.032
0.030
0.035
0.032
0.030
0.034


p Value
4.6E−6
8.7E−11
0.0028
2.3E−5
8.3E−10
0.011
2.3E−5
1.0E−9
0.012


nCohort Recovered
187
159
210
184
156
207
184
155
204


nCohort Non-
128
156
103
131
159
106
131
160
109


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
84%
84%
83%
84%
84%
81%
84%
84%
81%


Specificity
28%
30%
26%
28%
30%
25%
28%
30%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03


Sensitivity
64%
65%
61%
63%
64%
59%
63%
64%
60%


Specificity
59%
65%
55%
59%
64%
55%
59%
64%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
283
284
283
283
284
283
283
284


Sensitivity
34%
38%
33%
33%
37%
32%
33%
37%
32%


Specificity
81%
87%
79%
80%
87%
78%
80%
87%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.14
2.27
1.63
2.06
2.21
1.44
2.06
2.24
1.40


p Value
0.0095
0.0033
0.11
0.012
0.0042
0.21
0.012
0.0035
0.25


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.20
1.31
0.901
1.17
1.28
0.808
1.17
1.30
0.788


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.79
3.91
2.96
3.64
3.79
2.57
3.64
3.86
2.47


OR Quartile 3
2.60
3.47
1.94
2.38
3.20
1.76
2.38
3.11
1.80


p Value
5.3E−5
1.4E−7
0.0067
2.2E−4
7.6E−7
0.019
2.2E−4
1.3E−6
0.015


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.64
2.19
1.20
1.50
2.02
1.10
1.50
1.96
1.12


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.14
5.52
3.14
3.77
5.06
2.83
3.77
4.92
2.88


OR Quartile 4
2.12
4.23
1.81
2.01
4.01
1.70
2.01
3.94
1.72


p Value
0.0043
7.0E−7
0.028
0.0080
1.7E−6
0.048
0.0080
2.3E−6
0.042


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.27
2.39
1.07
1.20
2.27
1.01
1.20
2.23
1.02


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.56
7.47
3.06
3.36
7.09
2.87
3.36
6.96
2.90
















TABLE 22.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
133
124
133
124
124
124


Average
240
169
258
168
247
171


Stdev
425
145
462
143
481
146


p (t-test)

0.14

0.078

0.16


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
25
126
21
130
19
132










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
112
125
118
124
106
125


Average
211
169
215
169
219
169


Stdev
399
139
406
138
422
137


p (t-test)

0.35

0.31

0.28


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
29
121
28
122
26
124










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
127
123
128
123
125
124


Average
181
183
187
175
183
180


Stdev
247
164
255
158
261
160


p (t-test)

0.96

0.73

0.91


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
91
59
84
66
77
73












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.49
0.56
0.52
0.49
0.55
0.49
0.53
0.58
0.51


SE
0.063
0.058
0.049
0.068
0.059
0.048
0.070
0.060
0.047


p Value
0.88
0.30
0.63
0.91
0.36
0.89
0.64
0.21
0.76


nCohort Recovered
25
29
91
21
28
84
19
26
77


nCohort Non-recovered
126
121
59
130
122
66
132
124
73


Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2


Sensitivity
75%
76%
80%
75%
76%
76%
76%
77%
77%


Specificity
24%
31%
29%
29%
32%
26%
32%
35%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
49%
50%
47%
49%
50%
47%
50%
51%
49%


Specificity
44%
52%
48%
43%
50%
48%
47%
54%
49%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
199
201
200
199
201
200
199
201


Sensitivity
25%
27%
27%
25%
27%
26%
26%
27%
26%


Specificity
76%
83%
76%
76%
82%
75%
79%
81%
75%


OR Quartile 2
0.928
1.43
1.57
1.22
1.52
1.11
1.44
1.73
1.24


p Value
0.88
0.43
0.26
0.70
0.36
0.79
0.49
0.23
0.58


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.341
0.586
0.718
0.438
0.620
0.527
0.507
0.699
0.590


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.53
3.48
3.42
3.42
3.72
2.33
4.11
4.30
2.59


OR Quartile 3
0.761
1.09
0.846
0.727
1.00
0.805
0.900
1.20
0.948


p Value
0.54
0.84
0.62
0.50
1.0
0.51
0.83
0.67
0.87


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.321
0.484
0.439
0.287
0.440
0.422
0.344
0.516
0.500


Upper limit of 95% CI
1.81
2.45
1.63
1.84
2.27
1.54
2.36
2.81
1.80


OR Quartile 4
1.08
1.80
1.17
1.09
1.71
1.04
1.30
1.52
1.07


p Value
0.88
0.27
0.69
0.88
0.32
0.92
0.66
0.43
0.85


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.396
0.634
0.552
0.370
0.599
0.496
0.404
0.531
0.514


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.94
5.11
2.47
3.20
4.86
2.18
4.19
4.37
2.24
















TABLE 22.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
118
125
126
124
118
125


Average
189
178
199
175
194
177


Stdev
341
151
358
150
374
151


p (t-test)

0.78

0.56

0.71


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
40
111
36
115
32
119










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
118
125
124
124
112
125


Average
193
176
195
175
198
175


Stdev
334
145
338
145
351
143


p (t-test)

0.67

0.62

0.57


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
44
107
43
108
40
111










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
125
124
126
124
124
125


Average
174
198
180
184
176
190


Stdev
237
173
244
167
250
166


p (t-test)

0.53

0.90

0.69


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
100
50
93
57
85
65












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.56
0.56
0.57
0.54
0.56
0.52
0.57
0.58
0.55


SE
0.052
0.050
0.050
0.054
0.051
0.049
0.055
0.051
0.048


p Value
0.22
0.21
0.18
0.43
0.26
0.61
0.21
0.13
0.26


nCohort Recovered
40
44
100
36
43
93
32
40
85


nCohort Non-recovered
111
107
50
115
108
57
119
111
65


Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2


Sensitivity
77%
77%
84%
77%
77%
79%
77%
77%
80%


Specificity
30%
30%
30%
31%
30%
28%
34%
32%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
49%
50%
51%
52%


Specificity
50%
50%
50%
47%
49%
49%
50%
52%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
200
201
200
200
201
200
200
201


Sensitivity
29%
29%
32%
28%
29%
28%
28%
28%
29%


Specificity
85%
84%
78%
83%
84%
76%
84%
82%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.40
1.38
2.25
1.43
1.44
1.46
1.78
1.66
1.67


p Value
0.41
0.43
0.067
0.39
0.37
0.35
0.18
0.21
0.19


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.626
0.626
0.944
0.625
0.653
0.666
0.766
0.746
0.775


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.14
3.02
5.36
3.29
3.17
3.18
4.16
3.68
3.59


OR Quartile 3
1.02
1.02
1.00
0.879
0.955
0.945
1.02
1.17
1.18


p Value
0.96
0.96
1.0
0.74
0.90
0.87
0.97
0.68
0.62


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.494
0.505
0.507
0.416
0.471
0.489
0.466
0.566
0.617


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.10
2.06
1.97
1.86
1.94
1.83
2.22
2.41
2.25


OR Quartile 4
2.30
2.16
1.67
1.93
2.07
1.26
2.07
1.83
1.43


p Value
0.090
0.098
0.19
0.18
0.12
0.55
0.17
0.20
0.34


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.879
0.868
0.781
0.733
0.833
0.595
0.736
0.732
0.685


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.00
5.35
3.57
5.07
5.15
2.67
5.83
4.56
3.00
















TABLE 22.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
118
126
118
125
114
126


Average
175
183
182
180
176
182


Stdev
306
156
319
154
336
155


p (t-test)

0.83

0.96

0.88


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
50
101
46
105
40
111










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
114
129
114
126
112
127


Average
178
182
180
181
184
179


Stdev
304
149
310
148
319
147


p (t-test)

0.91

0.99

0.90


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
54
97
52
99
49
102










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
125
123
126
123
125
124


Average
177
191
180
185
179
185


Stdev
238
173
243
168
250
166


p (t-test)

0.69

0.88

0.86


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
98
52
94
56
86
64












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.58
0.60
0.53
0.57
0.59
0.52
0.59
0.59
0.53


SE
0.048
0.047
0.050
0.050
0.048
0.049
0.051
0.048
0.048


p Value
0.085
0.038
0.50
0.16
0.048
0.68
0.062
0.049
0.51


nCohort Recovered
50
54
98
46
52
94
40
49
86


nCohort Non-recovered
101
97
52
105
99
56
111
102
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2


Sensitivity
77%
78%
77%
77%
79%
77%
77%
78%
78%


Specificity
30%
31%
27%
30%
33%
27%
32%
33%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
52%
54%
48%
51%
53%
48%
52%
53%
50%


Specificity
54%
56%
49%
52%
54%
49%
55%
55%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
200
201
200
200
201
200
200
201


Sensitivity
31%
31%
31%
30%
30%
29%
30%
29%
28%


Specificity
86%
85%
78%
85%
85%
77%
88%
84%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.45
1.66
1.20
1.48
1.80
1.20
1.66
1.76
1.38


p Value
0.34
0.18
0.64
0.32
0.12
0.65
0.21
0.14
0.40


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.678
0.785
0.549
0.680
0.849
0.554
0.746
0.824
0.648


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.12
3.52
2.64
3.21
3.83
2.59
3.68
3.77
2.95


OR Quartile 3
1.30
1.44
0.889
1.16
1.29
0.892
1.34
1.38
1.00


p Value
0.45
0.28
0.73
0.68
0.46
0.74
0.43
0.36
1.0


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.657
0.740
0.454
0.577
0.659
0.460
0.647
0.697
0.524


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.56
2.82
1.74
2.31
2.53
1.73
2.76
2.74
1.91


OR Quartile 4
2.72
2.57
1.54
2.33
2.39
1.31
2.96
2.14
1.29


p Value
0.030
0.032
0.27
0.067
0.049
0.48
0.037
0.087
0.50


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.10
1.08
0.721
0.942
1.01
0.618
1.07
0.895
0.616


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.72
6.12
3.27
5.78
5.69
2.77
8.23
5.09
2.71
















TABLE 22.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
122
125
120
125
120
126


Average
191
174
199
171
197
173


Stdev
305
137
318
134
333
137


p (t-test)

0.65

0.46

0.54


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
58
93
53
98
47
104










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
118
129
116
127
116
127


Average
185
178
186
177
189
176


Stdev
302
136
304
136
309
135


p (t-test)

0.85

0.81

0.72


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
60
91
59
92
57
94










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
126
123
126
123
126
123


Average
179
186
182
181
182
182


Stdev
241
169
246
164
250
165


p (t-test)

0.85

0.97

1.00


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
96
54
92
58
86
64












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.56
0.59
0.52
0.55
0.59
0.51
0.56
0.58
0.52


SE
0.048
0.047
0.049
0.049
0.047
0.049
0.050
0.047
0.048


p Value
0.24
0.058
0.62
0.35
0.058
0.76
0.22
0.082
0.75


nCohort Recovered
58
60
96
53
59
92
47
57
86


nCohort Non-recovered
93
91
54
98
92
58
104
94
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2


Sensitivity
76%
78%
78%
77%
78%
78%
77%
78%
78%


Specificity
28%
30%
27%
28%
31%
27%
30%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
52%
54%
48%
51%
53%
48%
52%
53%
48%


Specificity
52%
55%
49%
51%
54%
49%
53%
54%
49%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
200
201
200
200
201
200
200
201


Sensitivity
30%
31%
30%
29%
30%
28%
29%
30%
27%


Specificity
83%
83%
77%
81%
83%
76%
83%
82%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.23
1.52
1.30
1.29
1.58
1.29
1.41
1.48
1.38


p Value
0.59
0.27
0.51
0.51
0.23
0.51
0.38
0.31
0.40


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.582
0.724
0.594
0.603
0.752
0.598
0.652
0.700
0.648


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.60
3.20
2.85
2.75
3.32
2.79
3.07
3.12
2.95


OR Quartile 3
1.14
1.43
0.891
1.08
1.35
0.894
1.23
1.35
0.897


p Value
0.69
0.29
0.73
0.82
0.37
0.74
0.56
0.37
0.74


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.593
0.741
0.457
0.554
0.701
0.463
0.616
0.700
0.469


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.20
2.74
1.74
2.11
2.60
1.72
2.45
2.62
1.71


OR Quartile 4
2.07
2.22
1.42
1.72
2.14
1.21
1.98
1.99
1.12


p Value
0.080
0.054
0.37
0.19
0.066
0.61
0.13
0.096
0.77


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.917
0.987
0.667
0.761
0.952
0.573
0.827
0.884
0.533


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.66
5.00
3.01
3.89
4.83
2.56
4.72
4.50
2.35
















TABLE 22.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
126
123
125
124
125
124


Average
160
204
160
204
160
204


Stdev
134
283
135
281
135
281


p (t-test)

0.21

0.22

0.22


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
844
2200
844
2200
844
2200


n (Patient)
81
70
80
71
80
71










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
116
129
112
129
112
129


Average
150
205
151
203
151
203


Stdev
141
260
144
257
144
257


p (t-test)

0.13

0.14

0.14


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
844
2200
844
2200
844
2200


n (Patient)
67
84
65
86
65
86










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
123
129
123
129
124
125


Average
156
226
157
223
158
219


Stdev
122
318
123
313
125
308


p (t-test)

0.057

0.070

0.092


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
844
2200
844
2200
844
2200


n (Patient)
95
55
93
57
91
59












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.53
0.61
0.57
0.54
0.61
0.57
0.54
0.61
0.56


SE
0.047
0.046
0.049
0.047
0.046
0.049
0.047
0.046
0.048


p Value
0.49
0.018
0.16
0.45
0.015
0.16
0.45
0.015
0.23


nCohort Recovered
81
67
95
80
65
93
80
65
91


nCohort Non-recovered
70
84
55
71
86
57
71
86
59


Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2


Sensitivity
76%
80%
78%
76%
80%
79%
76%
80%
80%


Specificity
26%
31%
27%
26%
32%
28%
26%
32%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
49%
55%
55%
49%
55%
54%
49%
55%
53%


Specificity
48%
55%
53%
49%
55%
53%
49%
55%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
200
201
200
200
201
200
200
201


Sensitivity
29%
31%
33%
28%
30%
32%
28%
30%
31%


Specificity
78%
82%
79%
78%
82%
78%
78%
82%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.09
1.80
1.35
1.13
1.94
1.46
1.13
1.94
1.57


p Value
0.82
0.12
0.45
0.74
0.081
0.35
0.74
0.081
0.26


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.521
0.857
0.617
0.540
0.922
0.666
0.540
0.922
0.718


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.28
3.78
2.95
2.37
4.07
3.18
2.37
4.07
3.42


OR Quartile 3
0.877
1.49
1.33
0.925
1.50
1.33
0.925
1.50
1.18


p Value
0.69
0.22
0.40
0.81
0.22
0.40
0.81
0.22
0.62


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.462
0.783
0.685
0.488
0.783
0.685
0.488
0.783
0.614


Upper limit of 95% CI
1.66
2.85
2.60
1.75
2.86
2.57
1.75
2.86
2.28


OR Quartile 4
1.40
2.05
1.82
1.35
1.91
1.68
1.35
1.91
1.56


p Value
0.37
0.069
0.12
0.42
0.10
0.17
0.42
0.10
0.24


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.670
0.945
0.863
0.647
0.880
0.799
0.647
0.880
0.741


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.93
4.47
3.86
2.82
4.16
3.55
2.82
4.16
3.28









Example 23. Use of Pro-Interleukin-16 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Pro-interleukin-16 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 23.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0291
99.3
0.0291
83.2
0.0291
77.7


Average
61.8
278
64.2
273
63.3
271


Stdev
142
425
145
422
145
420


p (t-test)

5.2E−7

1.7E−6

2.5E−6


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
862
3020
862
3020
862
3020


n (Patient)
107
208
103
212
100
215










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0318
108
0.0318
107
0.0305
106


Average
73.8
289
75.0
286
75.6
285


Stdev
171
434
172
433
173
432


p (t-test)

2.5E−7

4.7E−7

6.4E−7


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
894
3020
894
3020
894
3020


n (Patient)
125
189
123
191
122
192










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0422
77.0
0.0422
41.2
0.0422
45.5


Average
179
269
169
277
172
264


Stdev
329
449
290
484
295
467


p (t-test)

0.051

0.014

0.034


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
2390
3020
1370
3020
1370
3020


n (Patient)
221
92
207
106
197
116












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.71
0.57
0.70
0.70
0.56
0.70
0.70
0.56


SE
0.029
0.029
0.036
0.030
0.029
0.035
0.030
0.029
0.034


p Value
4.1E−13
6.6E−13
0.042
5.0E−12
1.5E−12
0.067
6.3E−12
1.6E−12
0.066


nCohort Recovered
107
125
221
103
123
207
100
122
197


nCohort Non-recovered
208
189
92
212
191
106
215
192
116


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
84%
85%
82%
84%
85%
82%
84%
85%
83%


Specificity
37%
35%
25%
38%
36%
26%
38%
36%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03


Sensitivity
62%
65%
58%
61%
64%
55%
60%
64%
55%


Specificity
73%
72%
53%
72%
72%
52%
72%
71%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
280
284
283
280
284
283
280
284


Sensitivity
33%
34%
32%
32%
34%
31%
32%
34%
30%


Specificity
90%
89%
77%
89%
89%
78%
90%
89%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.17
3.00
1.46
3.19
3.11
1.58
3.15
3.17
1.72


p Value
2.9E−5
6.7E−5
0.22
2.7E−5
3.9E−5
0.13
3.3E−5
2.9E−5
0.065


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.84
1.75
0.795
1.86
1.81
0.877
1.83
1.85
0.967


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.43
5.14
2.69
5.48
5.34
2.83
5.42
5.45
3.06


OR Quartile 3
4.39
4.68
1.53
3.97
4.45
1.32
3.93
4.33
1.38


p Value
1.3E−8
7.3E−10
0.090
1.2E−7
2.5E−9
0.25
1.9E−7
4.6E−9
0.17


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.64
2.87
0.936
2.38
2.72
0.824
2.35
2.65
0.868


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.31
7.65
2.50
6.61
7.26
2.11
6.58
7.07
2.18


OR Quartile 4
4.24
4.16
1.57
3.95
4.02
1.58
4.25
3.95
1.50


p Value
3.9E−5
9.9E−6
0.10
9.2E−5
1.6E−5
0.087
7.0E−5
2.0E−5
0.12


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.13
2.21
0.916
1.98
2.14
0.935
2.08
2.10
0.894


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.43
7.82
2.70
7.86
7.56
2.68
8.68
7.43
2.53
















TABLE 23.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0318
106
0.0328
99.3
0.0328
91.1


Average
91.1
290
92.5
287
93.1
282


Stdev
189
442
190
440
192
437


p (t-test)

1.5E−6

2.8E−6

5.8E−6


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
1120
3020


n (Patient)
135
180
133
182
129
186










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
108
0.0328
108
0.0328
108


Average
97.8
300
98.5
298
99.1
296


Stdev
203
449
204
449
204
448


p (t-test)

8.4E−7

1.2E−6

1.6E−6


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
1120
3020


n (Patient)
148
167
147
168
146
169










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0422
111
0.0422
106
0.0422
54.2


Average
170
298
169
292
172
271


Stdev
296
504
289
503
295
478


p (t-test)

0.0057

0.0065

0.025


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1370
3020
1370
3020
1370
3020


n (Patient)
225
88
219
94
206
107












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.68
0.60
0.67
0.68
0.58
0.67
0.68
0.57


SE
0.030
0.030
0.037
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.035


p Value
1.5E−9
1.9E−9
0.0080
5.5E−9
2.8E−9
0.022
9.9E−9
3.1E−9
0.034


nCohort Recovered
135
148
225
133
147
219
129
146
206


nCohort Non-
180
167
88
182
168
94
186
169
107


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
84%
84%
84%
84%
85%
84%
84%
85%
84%


Specificity
33%
32%
26%
33%
32%
26%
33%
32%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03


Sensitivity
63%
65%
61%
62%
64%
59%
61%
64%
57%


Specificity
67%
66%
54%
66%
66%
53%
66%
66%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
283
284
283
283
284
283
283
284


Sensitivity
33%
35%
33%
33%
35%
32%
33%
34%
31%


Specificity
86%
86%
78%
86%
86%
78%
86%
86%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.71
2.52
1.84
2.61
2.57
1.85
2.60
2.61
1.93


p Value
2.8E−4
8.3E−4
0.065
4.6E−4
6.7E−4
0.055
4.7E−4
5.4E−4
0.033


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.58
1.47
0.964
1.52
1.49
0.988
1.52
1.52
1.05


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.65
4.34
3.50
4.46
4.42
3.48
4.44
4.50
3.53


OR Quartile 3
3.37
3.59
1.88
3.20
3.49
1.62
3.06
3.40
1.52


p Value
3.6E−7
7.5E−8
0.014
1.1E−6
1.3E−7
0.054
2.9E−6
2.4E−7
0.081


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.11
2.25
1.14
2.01
2.19
0.992
1.91
2.14
0.949


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.39
5.71
3.11
5.11
5.56
2.64
4.89
5.41
2.43


OR Quartile 4
3.05
3.22
1.72
2.95
3.16
1.63
3.01
3.11
1.55


p Value
1.4E−4
4.4E−5
0.051
2.3E−4
5.7E−5
0.076
2.2E−4
7.3E−5
0.10


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.72
1.84
0.998
1.66
1.81
0.950
1.68
1.78
0.917


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.43
5.64
2.97
5.25
5.54
2.78
5.40
5.45
2.62
















TABLE 23.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
113
0.0328
111
0.0328
108


Average
93.3
310
94.6
306
97.1
299


Stdev
193
455
194
454
196
451


p (t-test)

1.1E−7

2.2E−7

8.5E−7


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
1120
3020


n (Patient)
153
162
151
164
147
168










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
112
0.0328
111
0.0328
109


Average
102
311
103
309
103
307


Stdev
208
459
208
458
209
457


p (t-test)

3.1E−7

4.3E−7

6.1E−7


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
1120
3020


n (Patient)
160
155
159
156
158
157










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0401
115
0.0401
113
0.0422
88.0


Average
161
317
162
314
166
289


Stdev
284
511
285
509
289
489


p (t-test)

7.0E−4

8.9E−4

0.0056


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1370
3020
1370
3020
1370
3020


n (Patient)
223
90
222
91
211
102












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.68
0.62
0.68
0.68
0.62
0.67
0.67
0.59


SE
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.035


p Value
1.0E−10
4.2E−9
6.6E−4
6.2E−10
6.1E−9
6.4E−4
1.2E−8
7.0E−9
0.0094


nCohort Recovered
153
160
223
151
159
222
147
158
211


nCohort Non-
162
155
90
164
156
91
168
157
102


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
86%
85%
84%
85%
85%
85%
85%
85%
82%


Specificity
33%
31%
26%
32%
31%
26%
32%
32%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03


Sensitivity
64%
65%
64%
63%
64%
65%
62%
64%
60%


Specificity
65%
64%
56%
64%
64%
56%
63%
63%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
283
284
283
283
284
283
283
284


Sensitivity
36%
36%
34%
35%
36%
34%
35%
36%
32%


Specificity
86%
86%
78%
86%
86%
78%
86%
85%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.93
2.61
1.91
2.80
2.65
1.95
2.57
2.70
1.61


p Value
1.5E−4
7.1E−4
0.049
2.5E−4
5.7E−4
0.043
6.7E−4
4.6E−4
0.12


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.68
1.50
1.00
1.62
1.52
1.02
1.49
1.55
0.885


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.11
4.54
3.63
4.86
4.62
3.70
4.42
4.70
2.91


OR Quartile 3
3.29
3.20
2.27
3.11
3.11
2.33
2.80
3.02
1.78


p Value
4.4E−7
7.6E−7
0.0015
1.3E−6
1.3E−6
0.0010
1.0E−5
2.3E−6
0.018


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.07
2.02
1.37
1.97
1.96
1.41
1.77
1.91
1.10


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.22
5.07
3.77
4.93
4.92
3.87
4.42
4.79
2.88


OR Quartile 4
3.51
3.37
1.92
3.39
3.31
1.87
3.16
3.25
1.72


p Value
1.2E−5
1.5E−5
0.018
2.0E−5
2.0E−5
0.022
5.7E−5
2.6E−5
0.045


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.00
1.94
1.12
1.93
1.91
1.09
1.81
1.88
1.01


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.15
5.84
3.29
5.94
5.74
3.21
5.54
5.64
2.91
















TABLE 23.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
166
0.0328
159
0.0328
116


Average
97.3
326
99.1
320
102
311


Stdev
203
465
205
463
207
459


p (t-test)

2.0E−8

6.4E−8

2.8E−7


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
1120
3020


n (Patient)
167
148
164
151
160
155










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
168
0.0328
166
0.0328
166


Average
102
327
102
325
103
323


Stdev
209
468
209
468
210
467


p (t-test)

3.4E−8

5.0E−8

7.4E−8


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
1120
3020


n (Patient)
171
144
170
145
169
146










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0411
108
0.0422
106
0.0422
62.9


Average
166
303
167
299
169
285


Stdev
289
506
289
505
292
490


p (t-test)

0.0029

0.0037

0.0096


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1370
3020
1370
3020
1370
3020


n (Patient)
222
91
221
92
213
100












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.69
0.60
0.69
0.69
0.60
0.67
0.68
0.58


SE
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.035


p Value
3.6E−11
5.8E−10
0.0043
3.3E−10
8.9E−10
0.0052
7.3E−9
1.0E−9
0.025


nCohort Recovered
167
171
222
164
170
221
160
169
213


nCohort Non-
148
144
91
151
145
92
155
146
100


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
86%
85%
84%
85%
86%
84%
85%
86%
81%


Specificity
31%
30%
26%
31%
31%
26%
31%
31%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03


Sensitivity
67%
67%
63%
66%
66%
62%
64%
66%
59%


Specificity
65%
64%
55%
64%
64%
55%
63%
63%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
283
284
283
283
284
283
283
284


Sensitivity
38%
38%
33%
37%
38%
33%
36%
38%
32%


Specificity
86%
86%
78%
86%
86%
78%
86%
86%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.73
2.56
1.75
2.65
2.60
1.78
2.41
2.65
1.41


p Value
5.0E−4
0.0011
0.082
6.6E−4
9.3E−4
0.072
0.0017
7.5E−4
0.25


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.55
1.45
0.932
1.51
1.48
0.950
1.39
1.50
0.784


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.82
4.51
3.29
4.63
4.58
3.35
4.18
4.66
2.54


OR Quartile 3
3.70
3.52
2.05
3.39
3.41
1.97
3.03
3.31
1.69


p Value
4.0E−8
1.2E−7
0.0051
2.4E−7
2.3E−7
0.0075
2.2E−6
4.0E−7
0.033


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.32
2.21
1.24
2.13
2.14
1.20
1.91
2.08
1.04


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.90
5.60
3.37
5.38
5.43
3.24
4.79
5.27
2.73


OR Quartile 4
3.81
3.79
1.74
3.61
3.72
1.70
3.37
3.65
1.66


p Value
2.0E−6
1.8E−6
0.045
4.8E−6
2.5E−6
0.054
1.5E−5
3.4E−6
0.060


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.20
2.19
1.01
2.08
2.15
0.991
1.94
2.11
0.978


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.61
6.54
2.98
6.27
6.42
2.91
5.84
6.31
2.83
















TABLE 23.5







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.





sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0382
116
0.0382
112
0.0382
110


Average
137
325
139
319
140
317


Stdev
252
495
253
493
253
491


p (t-test)

1.2E−5

2.3E−5

3.3E−5


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1350
3020
1350
3020
1350
3020


n (Patient)
202
113
200
115
199
116










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
166
0.0328
166
0.0328
166


Average
112
336
112
336
112
336


Stdev
215
484
215
484
215
484


p (t-test)

5.8E−8

5.8E−8

5.8E−8


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
947
3020
947
3020
947
3020


n (Patient)
184
131
184
131
184
131










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0401
116
0.0401
112
0.0401
108


Average
153
324
153
321
155
314


Stdev
270
511
270
510
271
506


p (t-test)

1.3E−4

1.8E−4

3.4E−4


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1370
3020
1370
3020
1370
3020


n (Patient)
216
97
215
98
213
100












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.67
0.63
0.64
0.67
0.62
0.63
0.67
0.61


SE
0.033
0.031
0.035
0.033
0.031
0.035
0.033
0.031
0.035


p Value
5.7E−6
2.5E−8
3.1E−4
1.8E−5
2.5E−8
3.8E−4
4.9E−5
2.5E−8
0.0017


nCohort Recovered
202
184
216
200
184
215
199
184
213


nCohort Non-
113
131
97
115
131
98
116
131
100


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
85%
85%
85%
84%
85%
85%
84%
85%
83%


Specificity
28%
29%
26%
28%
29%
27%
27%
29%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03
8.03


Sensitivity
65%
66%
64%
64%
66%
63%
64%
66%
62%


Specificity
58%
61%
56%
58%
61%
56%
58%
61%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
283
284
283
283
284
283
283
284


Sensitivity
35%
39%
35%
35%
39%
35%
34%
39%
34%


Specificity
81%
85%
79%
80%
85%
79%
80%
85%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.17
2.25
1.96
2.04
2.25
2.00
1.90
2.25
1.70


p Value
0.012
0.0057
0.036
0.018
0.0057
0.031
0.031
0.0057
0.086


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.19
1.27
1.05
1.13
1.27
1.07
1.06
1.27
0.928


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.95
3.98
3.67
3.69
3.98
3.74
3.40
3.98
3.11


OR Quartile 3
2.67
3.15
2.26
2.49
3.15
2.18
2.41
3.15
2.03


p Value
5.9E−5
1.6E−6
0.0012
1.6E−4
1.6E−6
0.0019
2.5E−4
1.6E−6
0.0044


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.65
1.97
1.38
1.55
1.97
1.33
1.50
1.97
1.25


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.30
5.03
3.70
4.00
5.03
3.55
3.87
5.03
3.29


OR Quartile 4
2.29
3.55
2.05
2.20
3.55
2.01
2.16
3.55
1.92


p Value
0.0018
3.3E−6
0.0080
0.0029
3.3E−6
0.010
0.0036
3.3E−6
0.015


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.36
2.08
1.21
1.31
2.08
1.18
1.29
2.08
1.13


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.85
6.06
3.49
3.70
6.06
3.41
3.63
6.06
3.26
















TABLE 23.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
112
129
111
129
111
129


Average
178
182
178
182
182
180


Stdev
310
155
313
155
319
154


p (t-test)

0.91

0.92

0.97


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
49
102
48
103
46
105










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
111
129
111
129
112
129


Average
182
175
182
175
183
174


Stdev
310
140
310
140
313
140


p (t-test)

0.87

0.87

0.81


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
52
98
52
98
51
99










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
125
123
125
124
125
124


Average
182
180
176
191
180
184


Stdev
243
145
240
170
247
164


p (t-test)

0.94

0.69

0.93


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
675
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
104
46
97
53
91
59












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
0.60
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.55
0.58
0.59
0.53


SE
0.048
0.048
0.052
0.048
0.048
0.050
0.049
0.048
0.049


p Value
0.065
0.044
0.58
0.048
0.044
0.35
0.087
0.068
0.54


nCohort Recovered
49
52
104
48
52
97
46
51
91


nCohort Non-recovered
102
98
46
103
98
53
105
99
59


Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2


Sensitivity
77%
79%
78%
78%
79%
79%
77%
78%
78%


Specificity
31%
33%
27%
31%
33%
28%
30%
31%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
54%
54%
48%
54%
54%
49%
53%
54%
49%


Specificity
57%
58%
49%
58%
58%
49%
57%
57%
49%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
199
201
200
199
201
200
199
201


Sensitivity
28%
29%
30%
28%
29%
30%
28%
28%
27%


Specificity
82%
81%
77%
81%
81%
77%
80%
80%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.52
1.78
1.33
1.58
1.78
1.47
1.48
1.60
1.34


p Value
0.29
0.13
0.50
0.24
0.13
0.34
0.32
0.22
0.46


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.705
0.838
0.582
0.735
0.838
0.663
0.680
0.750
0.621


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.26
3.79
3.02
3.40
3.79
3.27
3.21
3.41
2.89


OR Quartile 3
1.56
1.61
0.882
1.67
1.61
0.943
1.49
1.52
0.946


p Value
0.20
0.17
0.72
0.15
0.17
0.86
0.27
0.23
0.87


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.785
0.815
0.440
0.835
0.815
0.483
0.739
0.769
0.491


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.10
3.17
1.77
3.33
3.17
1.84
2.99
3.00
1.82


OR Quartile 4
1.77
1.68
1.46
1.70
1.68
1.47
1.57
1.62
1.17


p Value
0.19
0.21
0.34
0.22
0.21
0.31
0.30
0.25
0.69


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.761
0.742
0.671
0.731
0.742
0.693
0.674
0.714
0.552


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.10
3.80
3.17
3.94
3.80
3.14
3.65
3.66
2.47
















TABLE 23.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
112
129
112
129
114
129


Average
162
194
162
194
164
192


Stdev
273
164
273
164
277
163


p (t-test)

0.37

0.37

0.44


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
64
87
64
87
62
89










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
112
129
112
129
114
129


Average
167
192
167
192
168
191


Stdev
275
157
275
157
277
156


p (t-test)

0.48

0.48

0.52


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
67
84
67
84
66
85










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
124
129
124
125
124
125


Average
171
207
172
202
176
191


Stdev
231
180
233
178
242
167


p (t-test)

0.35

0.45

0.68


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
105
45
103
47
95
55












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.63
0.63
0.59
0.63
0.63
0.57
0.61
0.62
0.56


SE
0.045
0.045
0.052
0.045
0.045
0.051
0.046
0.045
0.049


p Value
0.0056
0.0051
0.076
0.0056
0.0051
0.17
0.012
0.0090
0.24


nCohort Recovered
64
67
105
64
67
103
62
66
95


nCohort Non-
87
84
45
87
84
47
89
85
55


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2


Sensitivity
82%
82%
84%
82%
82%
83%
81%
81%
82%


Specificity
34%
34%
30%
34%
34%
29%
34%
33%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
56%
56%
53%
56%
56%
51%
55%
55%
51%


Specificity
58%
57%
51%
58%
57%
50%
56%
56%
51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
200
201
200
200
201
200
200
201


Sensitivity
32%
32%
36%
32%
32%
34%
31%
32%
31%


Specificity
84%
84%
79%
84%
84%
79%
84%
83%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.32
2.40
2.27
2.32
2.40
2.00
2.17
2.16
1.88


p Value
0.027
0.022
0.076
0.027
0.022
0.12
0.042
0.044
0.13


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.10
1.13
0.917
1.10
1.13
0.838
1.03
1.02
0.833


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.91
5.10
5.64
4.91
5.10
4.79
4.57
4.55
4.25


OR Quartile 3
1.77
1.66
1.21
1.77
1.66
1.06
1.59
1.58
1.06


p Value
0.087
0.12
0.59
0.087
0.12
0.86
0.17
0.17
0.87


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.920
0.871
0.601
0.920
0.871
0.534
0.826
0.826
0.545


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.39
3.18
2.44
3.39
3.18
2.12
3.05
3.01
2.06


OR Quartile 4
2.56
2.41
2.08
2.56
2.41
1.90
2.39
2.33
1.58


p Value
0.023
0.029
0.062
0.023
0.029
0.10
0.036
0.037
0.23


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.14
1.09
0.963
1.14
1.09
0.884
1.06
1.05
0.745


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.77
5.32
4.50
5.77
5.32
4.09
5.37
5.14
3.34
















TABLE 23.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
120
129
118
129
118
129


Average
175
186
176
185
177
184


Stdev
275
145
277
144
280
142


p (t-test)

0.76

0.80

0.86


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
73
78
72
79
70
81










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
118
130
118
130
118
130


Average
172
189
172
189
172
189


Stdev
274
144
274
144
274
144


p (t-test)

0.65

0.65

0.65


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
74
77
74
77
74
77










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
125
124
125
124
125
124


Average
180
186
179
188
182
182


Stdev
236
167
238
165
246
155


p (t-test)

0.87

0.81

0.99


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
105
45
103
47
96
54












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.60
0.62
0.53
0.60
0.62
0.54
0.60
0.62
0.54


SE
0.046
0.045
0.052
0.046
0.045
0.051
0.046
0.045
0.049


p Value
0.022
0.0070
0.57
0.024
0.0070
0.49
0.024
0.0070
0.39


nCohort Recovered
73
74
105
72
74
103
70
74
96


nCohort Non-
78
77
45
79
77
47
81
77
54


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2


Sensitivity
81%
82%
76%
81%
82%
77%
81%
82%
80%


Specificity
32%
32%
26%
32%
32%
26%
33%
32%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
56%
57%
49%
56%
57%
49%
56%
57%
50%


Specificity
56%
57%
50%
56%
57%
50%
56%
57%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
200
201
200
200
201
200
200
201


Sensitivity
32%
32%
31%
32%
32%
32%
31%
32%
30%


Specificity
82%
82%
77%
82%
82%
78%
81%
82%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.93
2.16
1.07
2.00
2.16
1.16
2.15
2.16
1.53


p Value
0.085
0.046
0.87
0.069
0.046
0.71
0.045
0.046
0.30


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.914
1.01
0.477
0.947
1.01
0.520
1.02
1.01
0.689


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.09
4.60
2.40
4.24
4.60
2.60
4.56
4.60
3.40


OR Quartile 3
1.66
1.75
0.938
1.57
1.75
0.940
1.57
1.75
1.00


p Value
0.12
0.089
0.86
0.17
0.089
0.86
0.17
0.089
1.0


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.871
0.919
0.467
0.826
0.919
0.471
0.826
0.919
0.513


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.16
3.33
1.89
2.99
3.33
1.87
2.99
3.33
1.95


OR Quartile 4
2.18
2.26
1.52
2.10
2.26
1.63
1.96
2.26
1.42


p Value
0.046
0.037
0.29
0.057
0.037
0.21
0.085
0.037
0.37


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.01
1.05
0.700
0.978
1.05
0.756
0.911
1.05
0.667


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.68
4.85
3.32
4.52
4.85
3.52
4.21
4.85
3.01
















TABLE 23.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
120
129
120
129
120
129


Average
177
185
178
184
179
182


Stdev
270
146
272
145
276
143


p (t-test)

0.83

0.86

0.93


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
76
75
75
76
73
78










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
116
129
116
129
116
129


Average
174
188
174
188
174
188


Stdev
269
145
269
145
269
145


p (t-test)

0.70

0.70

0.70


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
77
74
77
74
77
74










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
125
124
125
124
126
124


Average
182
181
182
181
184
177


Stdev
242
159
242
159
248
153


p (t-test)

0.99

0.99

0.83


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
100
50
100
50
95
55












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
0.62
0.53
0.59
0.62
0.53
0.59
0.62
0.53


SE
0.046
0.046
0.050
0.046
0.046
0.050
0.046
0.046
0.049


p Value
0.040
0.011
0.56
0.043
0.011
0.56
0.044
0.011
0.58


nCohort Recovered
76
77
100
75
77
100
73
77
95


nCohort Non-recovered
75
74
50
76
74
50
78
74
55


Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2


Sensitivity
81%
82%
78%
82%
82%
78%
82%
82%
80%


Specificity
32%
32%
27%
32%
32%
27%
33%
32%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
56%
58%
50%
55%
58%
50%
55%
58%
49%


Specificity
55%
57%
50%
55%
57%
50%
55%
57%
49%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
200
201
200
200
201
200
200
201


Sensitivity
31%
31%
30%
30%
31%
30%
29%
31%
27%


Specificity
80%
81%
77%
80%
81%
77%
79%
81%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.01
2.26
1.31
2.08
2.26
1.31
2.24
2.26
1.59


p Value
0.070
0.037
0.51
0.057
0.037
0.51
0.037
0.037
0.26


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.944
1.05
0.588
0.978
1.05
0.588
1.05
1.05
0.716


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.28
4.85
2.92
4.44
4.85
2.92
4.77
4.85
3.52


OR Quartile 3
1.57
1.85
1.00
1.49
1.85
1.00
1.49
1.85
0.944


p Value
0.17
0.062
1.0
0.22
0.062
1.0
0.22
0.062
0.87


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.827
0.970
0.507
0.785
0.970
0.507
0.784
0.970
0.486


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.99
3.53
1.97
2.83
3.53
1.97
2.83
3.53
1.83


OR Quartile 4
1.80
1.86
1.43
1.74
1.86
1.43
1.62
1.86
1.17


p Value
0.12
0.10
0.35
0.15
0.10
0.35
0.21
0.10
0.68


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.851
0.882
0.669
0.822
0.882
0.669
0.765
0.882
0.551


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.80
3.94
3.08
3.67
3.94
3.08
3.42
3.94
2.50
















TABLE 23.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
120
129
121
129
120
129


Average
155
218
155
217
155
215


Stdev
129
298
130
296
131
294


p (t-test)

0.076

0.085

0.091


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
844
2200
844
2200
844
2200


n (Patient)
89
62
88
63
87
64










sCr only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
120
129
120
129
120
129


Average
151
213
151
213
151
213


Stdev
134
278
134
278
134
278


p (t-test)

0.079

0.079

0.079


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
844
2200
844
2200
844
2200


n (Patient)
79
72
79
72
79
72










UO only









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
123
127
123
127
123
127


Average
162
219
162
219
162
216


Stdev
132
320
132
320
133
314


p (t-test)

0.12

0.12

0.15


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
844
2200
844
2200
844
2200


n (Patient)
98
52
98
52
96
54












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.58
0.61
0.56
0.58
0.61
0.56
0.58
0.61
0.56


SE
0.048
0.046
0.050
0.048
0.046
0.050
0.047
0.046
0.049


p Value
0.099
0.021
0.27
0.11
0.021
0.27
0.094
0.021
0.26


nCohort Recovered
89
79
98
88
79
98
87
79
96


nCohort Non-recovered
62
72
52
63
72
52
64
72
54


Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2
94.3
94.3
97.2


Sensitivity
77%
82%
79%
78%
82%
79%
78%
82%
80%


Specificity
27%
32%
28%
27%
32%
28%
28%
32%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
55%
57%
54%
54%
57%
54%
55%
57%
54%


Specificity
53%
56%
52%
52%
56%
52%
53%
56%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
200
201
200
200
201
200
200
201


Sensitivity
32%
31%
31%
32%
31%
31%
31%
31%
30%


Specificity
80%
80%
78%
80%
80%
78%
79%
80%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.27
2.10
1.42
1.31
2.10
1.42
1.36
2.10
1.53


p Value
0.54
0.057
0.39
0.48
0.057
0.39
0.43
0.057
0.30


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.594
0.978
0.637
0.616
0.978
0.637
0.639
0.978
0.689


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.70
4.52
3.15
2.80
4.52
3.15
2.90
4.52
3.40


OR Quartile 3
1.36
1.66
1.27
1.28
1.66
1.27
1.35
1.66
1.26


p Value
0.36
0.12
0.49
0.45
0.12
0.49
0.36
0.12
0.50


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.709
0.873
0.645
0.671
0.873
0.645
0.709
0.873
0.646


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.60
3.17
2.48
2.46
3.17
2.48
2.59
3.17
2.46


OR Quartile 4
1.88
1.73
1.54
1.81
1.73
1.54
1.74
1.73
1.42


p Value
0.096
0.15
0.27
0.12
0.15
0.27
0.14
0.15
0.37


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.894
0.824
0.721
0.862
0.824
0.721
0.831
0.824
0.667


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.95
3.64
3.27
3.80
3.64
3.27
3.65
3.64
3.01









Example 24. Use of Pro-Interleukin-16 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Pro-interleukin-16 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 24.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0382
167
0.0382
177
0.0392
170


Average
145
313
146
340
161
332


Stdev
292
460
288
483
309
485


p (t-test)

9.3E−5

1.3E−5

2.9E−4


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
2390
3020
2390
3020
2390
3020


n (Patient)
203
112
219
96
234
81










sCr only









Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0382
169
0.0382
183
0.0382
170


Average
144
317
145
342
157
338


Stdev
291
465
287
489
298
501


p (t-test)

6.1E−5

1.3E−5

1.2E−4


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
2390
3020
2390
3020
2390
3020


n (Patient)
206
108
221
93
233
81










UO only









Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0422
38.7
0.0422
108
0.0422
118


Average
199
255
196
276
196
284


Stdev
370
370
369
378
368
380


p (t-test)

0.37

0.22

0.18


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
3020
1390
3020
1390
3020
1390


n (Patient)
273
40
276
37
277
36












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.66
0.57
0.67
0.66
0.60
0.65
0.65
0.60


SE
0.033
0.033
0.050
0.034
0.035
0.052
0.037
0.037
0.052


p Value
9.8E−7
1.2E−6
0.15
1.4E−6
3.4E−6
0.066
8.1E−5
7.5E−5
0.049


nCohort Non-
203
206
273
219
221
276
234
233
277


persistent











nCohort Persistent
112
108
40
96
93
37
81
81
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
87%
86%
85%
86%
86%
86%
86%
86%
86%


Specificity
29%
28%
24%
27%
27%
24%
26%
27%
24%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03


Sensitivity
67%
68%
60%
69%
68%
65%
68%
68%
67%


Specificity
59%
59%
51%
58%
57%
52%
56%
56%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
280
284
283
280
284
283
280
284


Sensitivity
35%
36%
32%
39%
38%
35%
38%
37%
36%


Specificity
80%
81%
76%
81%
80%
76%
79%
79%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.59
2.43
1.81
2.41
2.29
2.05
2.29
2.31
1.98


p Value
0.0028
0.0053
0.20
0.0086
0.013
0.15
0.020
0.019
0.17


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.39
1.30
0.726
1.25
1.19
0.769
1.14
1.15
0.740


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.82
4.54
4.49
4.64
4.42
5.48
4.61
4.64
5.29


OR Quartile 3
2.93
3.03
1.58
3.04
2.84
1.98
2.69
2.72
2.17


p Value
1.3E−5
9.1E−6
0.19
1.8E−5
6.1E−5
0.060
2.7E−4
2.4E−4
0.039


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.81
1.86
0.803
1.83
1.70
0.971
1.58
1.59
1.04


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.75
4.94
3.10
5.05
4.73
4.06
4.59
4.63
4.50


OR Quartile 4
2.18
2.35
1.51
2.64
2.43
1.72
2.40
2.21
1.81


p Value
0.0034
0.0014
0.26
3.4E−4
0.0011
0.14
0.0018
0.0048
0.11


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.29
1.39
0.737
1.55
1.42
0.831
1.39
1.27
0.867


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.66
3.96
3.09
4.50
4.14
3.57
4.16
3.83
3.77
















TABLE 24.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0382
166
0.0382
181
0.0382
182


Average
117
329
122
353
140
349


Stdev
220
484
226
505
263
506


p (t-test)

3.0E−7

4.8E−8

2.3E−6


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
1510
3020


n (Patient)
184
131
202
113
217
98










sCr only









Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0382
166
0.0382
174
0.0382
174


Average
128
318
130
340
142
340


Stdev
242
484
241
503
261
511


p (t-test)

6.2E−6

9.6E−7

7.9E−6


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1270
3020
1270
3020
1350
3020


n (Patient)
190
124
204
110
216
98










UO only









Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0422
129
0.0422
170
0.0422
176


Average
171
357
171
367
171
374


Stdev
295
573
296
584
296
587


p (t-test)

4.4E−4

3.3E−4

2.2E−4


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1510
3020
1510
3020
1510
3020


n (Patient)
254
59
258
55
259
54












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.66
0.63
0.68
0.67
0.64
0.67
0.66
0.65


SE
0.031
0.032
0.042
0.032
0.033
0.043
0.034
0.034
0.044


p Value
1.9E−8
6.7E−7
0.0020
2.1E−8
3.2E−7
0.0011
8.2E−7
2.5E−6
7.0E−4


nCohort Non-
184
190
254
202
204
258
217
216
259


persistent











nCohort Persistent
131
124
59
113
110
55
98
98
54


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
86%
85%
88%
87%
86%
89%
87%
87%
89%


Specificity
30%
29%
26%
29%
28%
26%
28%
28%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03


Sensitivity
66%
65%
66%
68%
67%
69%
68%
68%
70%


Specificity
61%
60%
54%
60%
59%
54%
58%
58%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
280
284
283
280
284
283
280
284


Sensitivity
36%
35%
37%
39%
37%
38%
40%
38%
39%


Specificity
83%
82%
78%
83%
81%
78%
82%
81%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.68
2.40
2.55
2.63
2.52
2.81
2.50
2.51
2.74


p Value
0.0011
0.0036
0.028
0.0023
0.0037
0.023
0.0061
0.0058
0.027


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.49
1.33
1.11
1.41
1.35
1.15
1.30
1.31
1.12


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.82
4.33
5.91
4.91
4.69
6.85
4.81
4.84
6.69


OR Quartile 3
2.97
2.83
2.25
3.20
3.00
2.61
2.99
3.03
2.79


p Value
4.7E−6
1.5E−5
0.0074
2.7E−6
9.8E−6
0.0025
2.0E−5
1.7E−5
0.0015


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.86
1.77
1.24
1.97
1.84
1.40
1.81
1.83
1.48


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.74
4.52
4.07
5.19
4.87
4.86
4.95
5.01
5.26


OR Quartile 4
2.66
2.44
2.06
3.04
2.60
2.13
2.92
2.51
2.21


p Value
2.4E−4
7.8E−4
0.020
3.3E−5
3.5E−4
0.016
7.3E−5
6.5E−4
0.012


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.58
1.45
1.12
1.80
1.54
1.15
1.72
1.48
1.19


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.48
4.09
3.76
5.14
4.38
3.95
4.97
4.27
4.10
















TABLE 24.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
166
0.0328
179
0.0328
177


Average
104
329
108
351
134
335


Stdev
205
475
211
489
262
485


p (t-test)

3.5E−8

4.3E−9

2.7E−6


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
1510
3020


n (Patient)
174
141
189
126
204
111










sCr only









Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
167
0.0328
181
0.0355
179


Average
110
330
110
352
130
344


Stdev
213
482
213
496
245
502


p (t-test)

9.2E−8

7.0E−9

6.3E−7


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
1350
3020


n (Patient)
181
133
193
121
206
108










UO only









Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0422
118
0.0411
159
0.0411
159


Average
172
327
172
339
172
339


Stdev
299
542
300
552
300
552


p (t-test)

0.0021

0.0013

0.0013


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1510
3020
1510
3020
1510
3020


n (Patient)
245
68
250
63
250
63












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.68
0.63
0.70
0.70
0.64
0.68
0.68
0.64


SE
0.030
0.031
0.040
0.031
0.031
0.041
0.032
0.033
0.041


p Value
1.4E−10
3.7E−9
0.0013
2.8E−11
4.5E−10
6.0E−4
1.9E−8
4.3E−8
6.0E−4


nCohort Non-
174
181
245
189
193
250
204
206
250


persistent











nCohort Persistent
141
133
68
126
121
63
111
108
63


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
87%
86%
88%
87%
87%
89%
87%
87%
89%


Specificity
31%
30%
26%
30%
30%
26%
29%
29%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03


Sensitivity
66%
66%
66%
69%
69%
70%
69%
69%
70%


Specificity
63%
62%
54%
62%
62%
55%
60%
60%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
280
284
283
280
284
283
280
284


Sensitivity
37%
38%
35%
40%
40%
37%
39%
39%
37%


Specificity
84%
84%
78%
85%
84%
78%
82%
82%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.89
2.55
2.65
2.97
2.75
2.81
2.82
2.69
2.81


p Value
3.4E−4
0.0016
0.016
4.7E−4
0.0012
0.015
0.0014
0.0023
0.015


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.62
1.43
1.20
1.61
1.49
1.22
1.49
1.42
1.22


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.16
4.56
5.85
5.46
5.06
6.48
5.33
5.10
6.48


OR Quartile 3
3.25
3.17
2.32
3.71
3.51
2.81
3.44
3.44
2.81


p Value
6.6E−7
1.3E−6
0.0033
8.2E−8
3.1E−7
6.4E−4
8.4E−7
1.0E−6
6.4E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.04
1.99
1.32
2.30
2.17
1.55
2.10
2.09
1.55


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.17
5.07
4.07
5.98
5.68
5.08
5.62
5.64
5.08


OR Quartile 4
3.18
3.16
1.88
3.63
3.44
1.99
2.95
2.91
1.99


p Value
2.2E−5
2.1E−5
0.033
2.1E−6
4.9E−6
0.023
5.3E−5
6.9E−5
0.023


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.86
1.86
1.05
2.13
2.02
1.10
1.75
1.72
1.10


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.43
5.36
3.37
6.18
5.83
3.60
4.99
4.92
3.60
















TABLE 24.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO









Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
166
0.0328
177
0.0328
177


Average
100
331
108
348
125
344


Stdev
198
474
212
488
242
493


p (t-test)

1.7E−8

6.8E−9

2.4E−7


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
1350
3020


n (Patient)
172
143
188
127
200
115










sCr only









Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0328
166
0.0328
177
0.0328
177


Average
111
326
111
346
128
342


Stdev
214
480
213
494
242
499


p (t-test)

2.0E−7

1.8E−8

5.5E−7


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1120
3020
1120
3020
1350
3020


n (Patient)
179
135
191
123
203
111










UO only









Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.0422
108
0.0422
108
0.0422
108


Average
169
322
172
325
172
325


Stdev
294
532
298
541
298
541


p (t-test)

0.0018

0.0024

0.0024


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1510
3020
1510
3020
1510
3020


n (Patient)
238
75
244
69
244
69












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.68
0.62
0.70
0.69
0.62
0.69
0.68
0.62


SE
0.030
0.031
0.039
0.031
0.031
0.040
0.032
0.033
0.040


p Value
7.5E−11
9.2E−9
0.0027
7.1E−11
1.3E−9
0.0028
2.9E−9
3.7E−8
0.0028


nCohort Non-
172
179
238
188
191
244
200
203
244


persistent











nCohort Persistent
143
135
75
127
123
69
115
111
69


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Sensitivity
87%
86%
88%
87%
87%
88%
88%
87%
88%


Specificity
31%
30%
26%
30%
30%
26%
30%
29%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03


Sensitivity
66%
65%
63%
69%
67%
65%
70%
68%
65%


Specificity
63%
61%
54%
62%
61%
54%
61%
60%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
283
280
284
283
280
284
283
280
284


Sensitivity
37%
37%
35%
39%
39%
35%
39%
39%
35%


Specificity
85%
84%
78%
85%
84%
77%
83%
82%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.99
2.64
2.64
3.02
2.84
2.71
3.02
2.84
2.71


p Value
2.2E−4
0.0011
0.012
3.8E−4
7.8E−4
0.013
6.7E−4
0.0013
0.013


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.67
1.48
1.24
1.64
1.55
1.23
1.60
1.50
1.23


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.34
4.71
5.61
5.55
5.24
5.98
5.70
5.37
5.98


OR Quartile 3
3.24
2.98
1.95
3.58
3.28
2.21
3.58
3.27
2.21


p Value
6.8E−7
4.0E−6
0.014
1.5E−7
1.0E−6
0.0052
3.2E−7
2.0E−6
0.0052


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.04
1.88
1.15
2.23
2.04
1.27
2.19
2.01
1.27


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.15
4.75
3.33
5.77
5.28
3.85
5.83
5.33
3.85


OR Quartile 4
3.31
3.04
1.85
3.56
3.30
1.83
3.14
2.93
1.83


p Value
1.3E−5
3.8E−5
0.033
2.9E−6
9.3E−6
0.040
2.0E−5
5.9E−5
0.040


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.93
1.79
1.05
2.09
1.95
1.03
1.86
1.74
1.03


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.66
5.17
3.26
6.06
5.60
3.27
5.31
4.96
3.27
















TABLE 24.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.0328
167
0.0328
182
0.0328
181


Average
91.7
334
96.6
355
116
350


Stdev
181
473
191
487
228
492


p (t-test)

2.5E−9

2.9E−10

2.5E−8


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
918
3020
918
3020
1350
3020


n (Patient)
168
147
183
132
196
119


sCr only








Median
0.0328
166
0.0328
177
0.0328
177


Average
104
328
105
348
122
344


Stdev
200
480
200
493
233
498


p (t-test)

5.1E−8

4.2E−9

1.6E−7


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
918
3020
918
3020
1350
3020


n (Patient)
175
139
187
127
199
115


UO only








Median
0.0401
121
0.0401
129
0.0401
129


Average
160
339
162
341
162
341


Stdev
283
530
286
534
286
534


p (t-test)

1.7E−4

2.0E−4

2.0E−4


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1510
3020
1510
3020
1510
3020


n (Patient)
233
80
236
77
236
77












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.68
0.64
0.72
0.69
0.64
0.70
0.68
0.64


SE
0.030
0.031
0.037
0.030
0.031
0.038
0.031
0.032
0.038


p Value
5.0E−12
3.6E−9
2.1E−4
6.1E−13
5.2E−10
1.6E−4
1.6E−10
1.8E−8
1.6E−4


nCohort
168
175
233
183
187
236
196
199
236


Non-











persistent











nCohort
147
139
80
132
127
77
119
115
77


Persistent











Cutoff
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
86%
86%
89%
88%
87%
90%
88%
87%
90%


Specificity
32%
30%
27%
31%
30%
27%
30%
29%
27%


Cutoff
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
66%
65%
65%
69%
67%
66%
70%
68%
66%


Specificity
64%
62%
55%
63%
61%
55%
62%
60%
55%


Cutoff
283
280
284
283
280
284
283
280
284


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
37%
37%
38%
40%
39%
38%
39%
39%
38%


Specificity
86%
85%
79%
86%
84%
79%
84%
83%
79%


OR Quartile
2.93
2.58
2.92
3.28
2.77
3.21
3.23
2.74
3.21


2











p Value
2.4E−4
0.0012
0.0051
1.3E−4
8.7E−4
0.0037
3.0E−4
0.0015
0.0037


Lower limit
1.65
1.46
1.38
1.78
1.52
1.46
1.71
1.47
1.46


of 95% CI











Upper limit
5.19
4.58
6.20
6.03
5.04
7.05
6.10
5.11
7.05


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
3.40
2.96
2.26
3.84
3.23
2.41
3.72
3.20
2.41


3











p Value
2.3E−7
4.2E−6
0.0024
2.9E−8
1.1E−6
0.0014
1.2E−7
2.4E−6
0.0014


Lower limit
2.14
1.86
1.34
2.39
2.01
1.41
2.29
1.97
1.41


of 95% CI











Upper limit
5.41
4.70
3.83
6.18
5.19
4.12
6.05
5.19
4.12


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
3.59
3.28
2.25
4.05
3.54
2.25
3.35
3.12
2.25


4











p Value
4.6E−6
1.4E−5
0.0039
4.1E−7
3.3E−6
0.0044
7.3E−6
2.2E−5
0.0044


Lower limit
2.08
1.92
1.30
2.36
2.08
1.29
1.97
1.84
1.29


of 95% CI











Upper limit
6.19
5.59
3.91
6.96
6.03
3.92
5.67
5.28
3.92


of 95% CI
















TABLE 24.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
120
129
121
130
122
130


Average
175
190
172
200
179
184


Stdev
249
147
240
155
244
116


p (t-test)

0.68

0.47

0.91


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
526


n (Patient)
96
55
104
47
111
40


sCr only








Median
119
129
120
129
121
129


Average
170
190
175
183
176
181


Stdev
246
145
246
115
242
114


p (t-test)

0.59

0.82

0.89


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
526
2200
526


n (Patient)
94
56
103
47
108
42


UO only








Median
124
129
124
129
125
126


Average
180
194
180
194
181
189


Stdev
228
122
228
122
227
123


p (t-test)

0.79

0.79

0.88


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
478
2200
478
2200
478


n (Patient)
131
19
131
19
132
18












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.60
0.61
0.60
0.61
0.61
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.58


SE
0.049
0.048
0.073
0.051
0.051
0.073
0.054
0.053
0.075


p Value
0.034
0.019
0.16
0.026
0.038
0.16
0.064
0.063
0.26


nCohort
96
94
131
104
103
131
111
108
132


Non-











persistent











nCohort
55
56
19
47
47
19
40
42
18


Persistent











Cutoff
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
85%
86%
84%
85%
85%
84%
85%
86%
83%


Specificity
31%
32%
27%
30%
30%
27%
29%
30%
27%


Cutoff
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
56%
57%
53%
57%
57%
53%
57%
57%
50%


Specificity
53%
54%
50%
53%
53%
50%
52%
53%
50%


Cutoff
200
199
201
200
199
201
200
199
201


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
35%
34%
42%
38%
36%
42%
38%
36%
39%


Specificity
80%
80%
77%
81%
80%
77%
79%
79%
77%


OR Quartile
2.67
2.81
1.94
2.43
2.46
1.94
2.30
2.53
1.80


2











p Value
0.026
0.019
0.31
0.055
0.052
0.31
0.090
0.058
0.37


Lower limit
1.12
1.18
0.534
0.980
0.994
0.534
0.879
0.969
0.492


of 95% CI











Upper limit
6.34
6.68
7.08
6.01
6.09
7.08
6.00
6.58
6.61


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
1.46
1.58
1.13
1.52
1.55
1.13
1.48
1.49
1.00


3











p Value
0.26
0.18
0.81
0.24
0.22
0.81
0.29
0.28
1.0


Lower limit
0.751
0.812
0.430
0.756
0.771
0.430
0.714
0.726
0.373


of 95% CI











Upper limit
2.85
3.08
2.96
3.04
3.10
2.96
3.07
3.06
2.68


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
2.14
2.03
2.45
2.61
2.21
2.45
2.30
2.05
2.07


4











p Value
0.047
0.064
0.079
0.014
0.042
0.079
0.039
0.071
0.17


Lower limit
1.01
0.959
0.903
1.21
1.03
0.903
1.04
0.940
0.741


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.52
4.28
6.64
5.60
4.75
6.64
5.05
4.49
5.80


of 95% CI
















TABLE 24.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
119
130
119
130
120
130


Average
171
194
169
200
170
202


Stdev
253
153
245
159
239
164


p (t-test)

0.52

0.38

0.39


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
88
63
94
57
101
50


sCr only








Median
117
131
118
130
120
129


Average
170
188
169
192
171
191


Stdev
253
141
247
145
241
149


p (t-test)

0.60

0.52

0.58


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
88
62
93
57
99
51


UO only








Median
124
129
124
129
125
126


Average
171
229
171
229
172
227


Stdev
220
198
220
198
220
202


p (t-test)

0.21

0.21

0.24


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
123
27
123
27
124
26












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.61
0.62
0.62
0.62
0.62
0.62
0.61
0.61
0.60


SE
0.047
0.047
0.062
0.048
0.048
0.062
0.050
0.050
0.064


p Value
0.017
0.0091
0.063
0.011
0.011
0.063
0.022
0.030
0.11


nCohort
88
88
123
94
93
123
101
99
124


Non-











persistent











nCohort
63
62
27
57
57
27
50
51
26


Persistent











Cutoff
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
84%
85%
85%
86%
86%
85%
86%
86%
85%


Specificity
32%
33%
28%
32%
32%
28%
31%
31%
27%


Cutoff
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
57%
58%
52%
58%
58%
52%
58%
57%
50%


Specificity
55%
56%
50%
54%
55%
50%
53%
54%
50%


Cutoff
200
199
201
200
199
201
200
199
201


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
33%
34%
41%
35%
35%
41%
36%
33%
38%


Specificity
81%
81%
78%
81%
81%
78%
80%
79%
77%


OR
2.47
2.89
2.20
2.87
2.92
2.20
2.72
2.87
2.08


Quartile











2











p Value
0.029
0.013
0.17
0.017
0.015
0.17
0.030
0.022
0.21


Lower limit
1.10
1.26
0.707
1.21
1.23
0.707
1.10
1.16
0.667


of 95% CI











Upper limit
5.57
6.67
6.82
6.81
6.92
6.82
6.72
7.07
6.47


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
1.60
1.74
1.09
1.63
1.67
1.09
1.59
1.52
1.00


3











p Value
0.16
0.098
0.83
0.15
0.13
0.83
0.19
0.23
1.0


Lower limit
0.834
0.902
0.476
0.839
0.858
0.476
0.800
0.769
0.429


of 95% CI











Upper limit
3.07
3.36
2.52
3.17
3.25
2.52
3.15
3.00
2.33


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
2.09
2.14
2.44
2.28
2.25
2.44
2.28
1.86
2.14


4











p Value
0.053
0.046
0.046
0.031
0.034
0.046
0.033
0.11
0.095


Lower limit
0.992
1.01
1.02
1.08
1.07
1.02
1.07
0.872
0.875


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.40
4.51
5.88
4.82
4.76
5.88
4.86
3.95
5.25


of 95% CI
















TABLE 24.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
120
129
120
129
123
129


Average
174
188
174
190
176
189


Stdev
260
149
256
152
246
159


p (t-test)

0.70

0.66

0.73


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
83
68
86
65
94
57


sCr only








Median
118
129
118
129
123
129


Average
175
181
173
183
176
180


Stdev
262
137
256
140
248
145


p (t-test)

0.86

0.77

0.90


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
82
68
86
64
93
57


UO only








Median
125
122
125
122
126
122


Average
175
204
175
204
176
201


Stdev
227
183
227
183
226
185


p (t-test)

0.49

0.49

0.55


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
115
35
115
35
116
34












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.60
0.60
0.55
0.59
0.60
0.55
0.56
0.56
0.54


SE
0.047
0.047
0.057
0.047
0.047
0.057
0.049
0.049
0.057


p Value
0.040
0.042
0.37
0.062
0.042
0.37
0.22
0.21
0.51


nCohort
83
82
115
86
86
115
94
93
116


Non-











persistent











nCohort
68
68
35
65
64
35
57
57
34


Persistent











Cutoff
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
82%
82%
77%
82%
83%
77%
79%
81%
76%


Specificity
31%
32%
26%
30%
31%
26%
28%
29%
26%


Cutoff
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
56%
56%
46%
55%
56%
46%
53%
53%
44%


Specificity
54%
55%
49%
53%
55%
49%
51%
52%
48%


Cutoff
200
199
201
200
199
201
200
199
201


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
31%
31%
34%
31%
31%
34%
32%
30%
32%


Specificity
80%
79%
77%
79%
79%
77%
79%
77%
77%


OR Quartile
2.13
2.17
1.19
1.91
2.20
1.19
1.43
1.71
1.13


2











p Value
0.057
0.051
0.70
0.10
0.051
0.70
0.37
0.19
0.78


Lower limit
0.979
0.995
0.488
0.880
0.998
0.488
0.657
0.772
0.463


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.63
4.72
2.91
4.16
4.87
2.91
3.13
3.79
2.77


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
1.50
1.54
0.799
1.43
1.55
0.799
1.16
1.19
0.737


3











p Value
0.22
0.19
0.56
0.28
0.19
0.56
0.66
0.61
0.44


Lower limit
0.787
0.807
0.374
0.747
0.808
0.374
0.600
0.613
0.342


of 95% CI











Upper limit
2.86
2.94
1.71
2.73
2.97
1.71
2.24
2.29
1.59


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
1.73
1.71
1.79
1.68
1.72
1.79
1.71
1.46
1.58


4











p Value
0.15
0.16
0.17
0.17
0.15
0.17
0.16
0.32
0.29


Lower limit
0.827
0.814
0.784
0.801
0.818
0.784
0.810
0.690
0.682


of 95% CI











Upper limit
3.64
3.59
4.07
3.52
3.60
4.07
3.60
3.08
3.64


of 95% CI
















TABLE 24.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
120
129
120
129
123
127


Average
177
185
175
189
176
188


Stdev
263
149
257
151
250
156


p (t-test)

0.83

0.70

0.74


Min
28.8
0.0162
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
81
70
85
66
91
60


sCr only








Median
116
129
118
129
122
127


Average
175
180
175
181
176
179


Stdev
263
136
259
139
251
142


p (t-test)

0.89

0.86

0.93


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
81
69
84
66
90
60


UO only








Median
125
124
125
124
125
124


Average
178
191
176
196
177
194


Stdev
232
173
232
173
231
174


p (t-test)

0.74

0.63

0.69


Min
28.8
0.0162
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
109
41
110
40
111
39












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.60
0.54
0.59
0.59
0.55
0.56
0.56
0.54


SE
0.047
0.047
0.053
0.047
0.047
0.054
0.048
0.048
0.054


p Value
0.078
0.041
0.51
0.061
0.065
0.33
0.18
0.19
0.46


nCohort
81
81
109
85
84
110
91
90
111


Non-











persistent











nCohort
70
69
41
66
66
40
60
60
39


Persistent











Cutoff
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
81%
83%
76%
82%
82%
78%
80%
80%
77%


Specificity
31%
32%
26%
31%
31%
26%
29%
29%
26%


Cutoff
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
56%
57%
49%
56%
56%
50%
53%
53%
49%


Specificity
54%
56%
50%
54%
55%
50%
52%
52%
50%


Cutoff
200
199
201
200
199
201
200
199
201


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
30%
30%
32%
30%
30%
32%
32%
30%
31%


Specificity
79%
79%
77%
79%
79%
77%
79%
78%
77%


OR Quartile
1.96
2.25
1.07
1.98
2.02
1.23
1.60
1.62
1.18


2











p Value
0.085
0.042
0.87
0.084
0.077
0.63
0.24
0.22
0.71


Lower limit
0.911
1.03
0.466
0.912
0.927
0.525
0.734
0.745
0.500


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.21
4.89
2.46
4.31
4.39
2.90
3.49
3.54
2.78


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
1.50
1.62
0.935
1.50
1.54
1.00
1.22
1.25
0.933


3











p Value
0.22
0.14
0.85
0.22
0.19
1.0
0.55
0.51
0.85


Lower limit
0.786
0.851
0.456
0.788
0.807
0.485
0.635
0.649
0.450


of 95% CI











Upper limit
2.85
3.10
1.92
2.87
2.95
2.06
2.35
2.40
1.94


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
1.61
1.65
1.56
1.62
1.59
1.64
1.76
1.50
1.45


4











p Value
0.21
0.19
0.27
0.20
0.22
0.23
0.14
0.28
0.37


Lower limit
0.770
0.785
0.704
0.773
0.761
0.737
0.836
0.714
0.647


of 95% CI











Upper limit
3.38
3.46
3.45
3.39
3.34
3.64
3.69
3.15
3.26


of 95% CI
















TABLE 24.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
116
129
116
129
122
129


Average
178
183
177
184
178
184


Stdev
268
146
263
149
253
154


p (t-test)
0.88
0.85
0.88





Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
78
73
81
70
88
63


sCr only








Median
115
129
116
129
120
129


Average
176
179
175
180
177
179


Stdev
267
134
262
137
254
140


p (t-test)
0.92
0.89
0.96





Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
79
71
82
68
88
62


UO only








Median
125
124
125
124
125
124


Average
178
192
178
192
179
189


Stdev
233
171
233
171
232
173


p (t-test)
0.73
0.73
0.79





Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
108
42
108
42
109
41












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.60
0.60
0.54
0.59
0.60
0.54
0.56
0.57
0.53


SE
0.046
0.046
0.053
0.047
0.047
0.053
0.048
0.048
0.053


p Value
0.039
0.025
0.41
0.062
0.042
0.41
0.22
0.14
0.55


nCohort
78
79
108
81
82
108
88
88
109


Non-











persistent











nCohort
73
71
42
70
68
42
63
62
41


Persistent











Cutoff
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
82%
83%
76%
81%
82%
76%
79%
81%
76%


Specificity
32%
33%
26%
31%
32%
26%
28%
30%
26%


Cutoff
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
58%
58%
50%
57%
57%
50%
54%
55%
49%


Specificity
56%
57%
50%
56%
56%
50%
52%
53%
50%


Cutoff
200
199
201
200
199
201
200
199
201


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
29%
30%
33%
29%
29%
33%
30%
29%
32%


Specificity
78%
78%
78%
78%
78%
78%
78%
77%
77%


OR Quartile
2.18
2.41
1.12
1.96
2.17
1.12
1.53
1.75
1.07


2











p Value
0.046
0.027
0.79
0.085
0.051
0.79
0.28
0.16
0.87


Lower limit
1.01
1.11
0.488
0.911
0.995
0.488
0.709
0.802
0.466


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.68
5.25
2.57
4.21
4.72
2.57
3.28
3.81
2.46


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
1.75
1.81
1.00
1.67
1.72
1.00
1.28
1.39
0.935


3











p Value
0.088
0.073
1.0
0.12
0.10
1.0
0.45
0.32
0.85


Lower limit
0.920
0.946
0.490
0.874
0.898
0.490
0.671
0.725
0.456


of 95% CI











Upper limit
3.34
3.46
2.04
3.18
3.29
2.04
2.46
2.67
1.92


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
1.45
1.53
1.75
1.40
1.48
1.75
1.57
1.39
1.56


4











p Value
0.33
0.26
0.16
0.37
0.30
0.16
0.23
0.38
0.27


Lower limit
0.692
0.731
0.798
0.670
0.708
0.798
0.748
0.663
0.704


of 95% CI











Upper limit
3.03
3.21
3.84
2.93
3.10
3.84
3.29
2.92
3.45


of 95% CI









Example 25. Use of Pro-Interleukin-16 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Pro-interleukin-16 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 25.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO








Median
0.0291
109
0.0382
91.1
0.0382
112


Average
57.4
293
129
280
128
304


Stdev
137
431
288
422
282
440


p (t-test)

2.0E−8

2.3E−4

2.1E−5


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
862
3020
2390
3020
2390
3020


n (Patient)
118
197
157
158
178
137


sCr only








Median
0.0318
108
0.0328
108
0.0382
129


Average
76.4
292
116
295
117
324


Stdev
175
437
222
460
222
483


p (t-test)

2.1E−7

1.2E−5

5.6E−7


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
894
3020
1120
3020
1120
3020


n (Patient)
129
185
161
153
183
131


UO only








Median
0.0422
113
0.0422
112
0.0422
170


Average
179
292
183
306
179
343


Stdev
326
479
330
502
326
525


p (t-test)
0.022
0.022
0.0038





Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
2390
3020
2390
3020
2390
3020


n (Patient)
240
73
255
58
262
51












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.71
0.60
0.65
0.65
0.60
0.65
0.66
0.63


SE
0.028
0.029
0.039
0.031
0.031
0.043
0.031
0.032
0.045


p Value
 2.2E−16
5.7E−13
0.010
2.2E−6
6.1E−7
0.023
1.2E−6
5.0E−7
0.0043


nCohort
118
129
240
157
161
255
178
183
262


Non-











persistent











nCohort
197
185
73
158
153
58
137
131
51


Persistent











Cutoff
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
85%
84%
85%
84%
84%
84%
85%
85%
86%


Specificity
36%
34%
25%
30%
30%
25%
29%
29%
25%


Cutoff
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
65%
65%
62%
62%
63%
62%
64%
64%
67%


Specificity
75%
72%
53%
62%
63%
53%
60%
60%
53%


Cutoff
283
280
284
283
280
284
283
280
284


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
35%
35%
34%
33%
33%
34%
36%
37%
39%


Specificity
91%
88%
78%
83%
83%
77%
83%
83%
77%


OR Quartile
3.19
2.78
1.92
2.17
2.17
1.79
2.28
2.26
2.07


2











p Value
2.5E−5
1.9E−4 
0.069
0.0051
0.0053
0.14
0.0043
0.0052
0.091


Lower limit
1.86
1.63
0.950
1.26
1.26
0.831
1.29
1.28
0.891


of 95% CI











Upper limit
5.48
4.77
3.88
3.73
3.75
3.84
4.02
4.01
4.83


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
5.44
4.88
1.84
2.64
2.92
1.81
2.62
2.69
2.26


3











p Value
 6.0E−11
2.2E−10
0.026
2.9E−5 
4.8E−6
0.046
3.9E−5
2.8E−5
0.011


Lower limit
3.28
2.99
1.08
1.68
1.84
1.01
1.66
1.69
1.20


of 95% CI











Upper limit
9.04
7.97
3.14
4.16
4.61
3.25
4.15
4.28
4.25


of 95% CI











OR Quartile
5.13
4.02
1.79
2.36
2.38
1.75
2.75
2.84
2.22


4











p Value
3.1E−6
1.0E−5 
0.045
0.0015
0.0013
0.075
1.6E−4
9.9E−5
0.013


Lower limit
2.58
2.17
1.01
1.39
1.40
0.946
1.62
1.68
1.18


of 95% CI











Upper limit
10.2
7.46
3.17
4.02
4.03
3.23
4.65
4.79
4.18


of 95% CI
















TABLE 25.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48












Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO






Median
0.0291
108
0.0328
108


Average
56.6
285
95.1
300


Stdev
138
426
193
450


p (t-test)

8.1E−8

6.1E−7


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
862
3020
1120
3020


n (Patient)
111
204
146
169


sCr only






Median
0.0318
108
0.0328
108


Average
76.1
288
107
295


Stdev
176
434
213
454


p (t-test)

4.2E−7

5.0E−6


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
894
3020
1120
3020


n (Patient)
125
189
153
161


UO only






Median
0.0401
115
0.0422
123


Average
164
307
168
324


Stdev
288
505
294
528


p (t-test)

0.0017

0.0012


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1370
3020
1510
3020


n (Patient)
221
92
237
76












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48














sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.70
0.62
0.68
0.66
0.62


SE
0.028
0.029
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.038


p Value
4.4E−16
1.4E−12
0.0012
1.2E−9
1.1E−7
0.0019


nCohort
111
125
221
146
153
237


Non-








persistent








nCohort
204
189
92
169
161
76


Persistent








Cutoff
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Quartile 2








Sensitivity
85%
85%
85%
85%
84%
86%


Specificity
38%
35%
26%
32%
31%
26%


Cutoff
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03


Quartile 3








Sensitivity
64%
65%
62%
63%
63%
63%


Specificity
75%
72%
55%
65%
64%
54%


Cutoff
283
280
284
283
280
284


Quartile 4








Sensitivity
34%
34%
34%
34%
34%
34%


Specificity
91%
89%
78%
86%
84%
78%


OR
3.40
3.00
1.98
2.61
2.30
2.05


Quartile 2








p Value
9.6E−6
6.7E−5
0.037
5.4E−4
0.0026
0.045


Lower limit
1.98
1.75
1.04
1.52
1.34
1.01


of 95% CI








Upper limit
5.84
5.14
3.77
4.50
3.96
4.13


of 95% CI








OR
5.21
4.68
1.97
3.21
3.08
2.01


Quartile 3








p Value
3.3E−10
7.3E−10
0.0075
7.3E−7
1.7E−6
0.0099


Lower limit
3.11
2.87
1.20
2.02
1.94
1.18


of 95% CI








Upper limit
8.71
7.65
3.24
5.10
4.88
3.43


of 95% CI








OR
5.16
4.16
1.83
3.11
2.79
1.81


Quartile 4








p Value
6.2E−6
9.9E−6
0.027
7.3E−5
2.2E−4
0.040


Lower limit
2.53
2.21
1.07
1.78
1.62
1.03


of 95% CI








Upper limit
10.5
7.82
3.14
5.45
4.80
3.17


of 95% CI


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)






72
















Non-persistent
Persistent






Cohort
Cohort








sCr or UO







Median
0.0328
159





Average
94.8
324





Stdev
195
465





p (t-test)

1.7E−8





Min
0.0108
0.0108





Max
1120
3020





n (Patient)
164
151





sCr only







Median
0.0355
123





Average
106
315





Stdev
214
466





p (t-test)

3.7E−7





Min
0.0108
0.0108





Max
1120
3020





n (Patient)
168
146





UO only







Median
0.0422
170





Average
164
353





Stdev
291
545





p (t-test)

1.5E−4





Min
0.0108
0.0108





Max
1510
3020





n (Patient)
244
69


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)






72

















sCr or
sCr
UO






UO
only
only








AUC
0.69
0.67
0.64





SE
0.030
0.031
0.039





p Value
1.1E−10
1.3E−8
2.7E−4





nCohort
164
168
244





Non-








persistent








nCohort
151
146
69





Persistent








Cutoff
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279





Quartile 2








Sensitivity
86%
86%
87%





Specificity
32%
31%
26%





Cutoff
8.03
6.95
8.03





Quartile 3








Sensitivity
65%
64%
67%





Specificity
63%
62%
55%





Cutoff
283
280
284





Quartile 4








Sensitivity
38%
37%
38%





Specificity
87%
85%
78%





OR
2.87
2.67
2.32





Quartile 2








p Value
2.6E−4
6.8E−4
0.029





Lower limit
1.63
1.51
1.09





of 95% CI








Upper limit
5.06
4.70
4.95





of 95% CI








OR
3.21
3.01
2.40





Quartile 3








p Value
7.4E−7
2.7E−6
0.0022





Lower limit
2.02
1.90
1.37





of 95% CI








Upper limit
5.08
4.78
4.20





of 95% CI








OR
3.91
3.36
2.18





Quartile 4








p Value
1.6E−6
1.2E−5
0.0078





Lower limit
2.24
1.95
1.23





of 95% CI








Upper limit
6.83
5.77
3.87





of 95% CI
















TABLE 25.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48












Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO






Median
0.0291
108
0.0328
106


Average
57.1
284
96.6
295


Stdev
138
426
195
448


p (t-test)

1.1E−7

1.4E−6


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
862
3020
1120
3020


n (Patient)
110
205
143
172


sCr only






Median
0.0318
107
0.0328
99.3


Average
77.4
284
109
290


Stdev
178
432
215
451


p (t-test)

7.7E−7

1.1E−5


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
894
3020
1120
3020


n (Patient)
123
191
150
164


UO only






Median
0.0401
108
0.0422
108


Average
164
292
162
315


Stdev
290
487
284
514


p (t-test)

0.0041

9.1E−4


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1370
3020
1370
3020


n (Patient)
211
102
224
89












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48














sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.70
0.61
0.68
0.66
0.62


SE
0.028
0.029
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.036


p Value
6.7E−16
1.8E−12
0.0014
2.6E−9
1.1E−7
0.0014


nCohort
110
123
211
143
150
224


Non-








persistent








nCohort
205
191
102
172
164
89


Persistent








Cutoff
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Quartile 2








Sensitivity
85%
85%
84%
84%
84%
84%


Specificity
38%
36%
27%
32%
31%
26%


Cutoff
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03


Quartile 3








Sensitivity
63%
64%
62%
63%
63%
63%


Specificity
75%
72%
55%
65%
64%
55%


Cutoff
283
280
284
283
280
284


Quartile 4








Sensitivity
34%
34%
32%
34%
34%
34%


Specificity
91%
89%
78%
85%
84%
78%


OR Quartile
3.47
3.11
1.94
2.55
2.42
1.87


2








p Value
7.0E−6
3.9E−5
0.034
7.0E−4
0.0014
0.056


Lower limit
2.02
1.81
1.05
1.48
1.41
0.983


of 95% CI








Upper limit
5.96
5.34
3.59
4.37
4.17
3.56


of 95% CI








OR Quartile
5.08
4.45
2.01
3.14
3.00
2.07


3








p Value
6.1E−10
2.5E−9
0.0046
1.2E−6
2.8E−6
0.0048


Lower limit
3.03
2.72
1.24
1.98
1.90
1.25


of 95% CI








Upper limit
8.49
7.26
3.26
4.98
4.75
3.42


of 95% CI








OR Quartile
5.07
4.02
1.72
2.96
2.65
1.82


4








p Value
7.7E−6
1.6E−5
0.045
1.5E−4
4.5E−4
0.031


Lower limit
2.49
2.14
1.01
1.69
1.54
1.06


of 95% CI








Upper limit
10.3
7.56
2.91
5.18
4.56
3.12


of 95% CI


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)






72
















Non-persistent
Persistent






Cohort
Cohort








sCr or UO







Median
0.0328
114





Average
96.7
312





Stdev
199
458





p (t-test)

1.3E−7





Min
0.0108
0.0108





Max
1120
3020





n (Patient)
157
158





sCr only







Median
0.0328
108





Average
109
304





Stdev
217
460





p (t-test)

2.2E−6





Min
0.0108
0.0108





Max
1120
3020





n (Patient)
162
152





UO only







Median
0.0401
144





Average
159
339





Stdev
281
529





p (t-test)

1.3E−4





Min
0.0108
0.0108





Max
1370
3020





n (Patient)
231
82


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)






72

















sCr
sCr
UO






UO
only
only








AUC
0.69
0.67
0.64





SE
0.030
0.030
0.037





p Value
2.7E−10
2.5E−8
2.2E−4





nCohort
157
162
231





Non-








persistent








nCohort
158
152
82





Persistent








Cutoff
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279





Quartile 2








Sensitivity
85%
86%
85%





Specificity
32%
31%
26%





Cutoff
8.03
6.95
8.03





Quartile 3








Sensitivity
65%
64%
66%





Specificity
64%
63%
55%





Cutoff
283
280
284





Quartile 4








Sensitivity
36%
36%
37%





Specificity
86%
85%
79%





OR Quartile
2.74
2.71
2.05





2








p Value
3.7E−4
4.8E−4
0.039





Lower limit
1.57
1.55
1.04





of 95% CI








Upper limit
4.78
4.76
4.04





of 95% CI








OR Quartile
3.29
3.00
2.40





3








p Value
4.4E−7
2.8E−6
0.0011





Lower limit
2.07
1.89
1.42





of 95% CI








Upper limit
5.21
4.75
4.05





of 95% CI








OR Quartile
3.46
3.02
2.14





4








p Value
1.2E−5
6.1E−5
0.0065





Lower limit
1.99
1.76
1.24





of 95% CI








Upper limit
6.04
5.18
3.71





of 95% CI
















TABLE 25.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48












Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO






Median
0.0291
107
0.0328
105


Average
57.5
283
97.3
293


Stdev
139
425
195
447


p (t-test)

1.5E−7

2.0E−6


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
862
3020
1120
3020


n (Patient)
109
206
142
173


sCr only






Median
0.0318
107
0.0328
93.6


Average
77.4
284
110
288


Stdev
178
432
215
450


p (t-test)

7.7E−7

1.5E−5


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
894
3020
1120
3020


n (Patient)
123
191
149
165


UO only






Median
0.0401
88.0
0.0422
88.0


Average
167
281
166
299


Stdev
292
481
286
505


p (t-test)

0.0094

0.0034


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1370
3020
1370
3020


n (Patient)
207
106
219
94












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48














sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.70
0.60
0.67
0.66
0.60


SE
0.028
0.029
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.036


p Value
4.4E−16
1.8E−12
0.0035
5.4E−9
2.1E−7
0.0055


nCohort
109
123
207
142
149
219


Non-








persistent








nCohort
206
191
106
173
165
94


Persistent








Cutoff
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Quartile 2








Sensitivity
85%
85%
84%
84%
84%
84%


Specificity
39%
36%
27%
32%
32%
26%


Cutoff
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03


Quartile 3








Sensitivity
64%
64%
61%
62%
62%
61%


Specificity
75%
72%
56%
65%
64%
54%


Cutoff
283
280
284
283
280
284


Quartile 4








Sensitivity
33%
34%
31%
34%
33%
32%


Specificity
91%
89%
78%
85%
84%
78%


OR Quartile
3.54
3.11
1.89
2.59
2.46
1.85


2








p Value
5.0E−6
3.9E−5
0.038
5.6E−4
0.0011
0.055


Lower limit
2.06
1.81
1.04
1.51
1.43
0.988


of 95% CI








Upper limit
6.09
5.34
3.46
4.45
4.24
3.48


of 95% CI








OR Quartile
5.30
4.45
1.98
3.06
2.92
1.83


3








p Value
3.0E−10
2.5E−9
0.0050
2.1E−6
4.7E−6
0.016


Lower limit
3.16
2.72
1.23
1.93
1.85
1.12


of 95% CI








Upper limit
8.92
7.26
3.19
4.85
4.63
3.00


of 95% CI








OR Quartile
4.99
4.02
1.58
2.91
2.60
1.63


4








p Value
9.7E−6
1.6E−5
0.087
1.9E−4
5.6E−4
0.076


Lower limit
2.45
2.14
0.935
1.66
1.51
0.950


of 95% CI








Upper limit
10.2
7.56
2.68
5.09
4.49
2.78


of 95% CI


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)






72
















Non-persistent
Persistent






Cohort
Cohort








sCr or UO







Median
0.0328
111





Average
97.9
308





Stdev
200
457





p (t-test)

2.6E−7





Min
0.0108
0.0108





Max
1120
3020





n (Patient)
155
160





sCr only







Median
0.0328
108





Average
110
302





Stdev
218
460





p (t-test)

3.0E−6





Min
0.0108
0.0108





Max
1120
3020





n (Patient)
161
153





UO only







Median
0.0422
106





Average
163
316





Stdev
283
517





p (t-test)

9.0E-4





Min
0.0108
0.0108





Max
1370
3020





n (Patient)
225
88


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)






72

















sCr or
sCr
UO






UO
only
only








AUC
0.68
0.67
0.61





SE
0.030
0.030
0.036





p Value
8.8E−10
5.0E−8
0.0016





nCohort
155
161
225





Non-








persistent








nCohort
160
153
88





Persistent








Cutoff
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279





Quartile 2








Sensitivity
86%
86%
85%





Specificity
32%
32%
26%





Cutoff
8.03
6.95
8.03





Quartile 3








Sensitivity
64%
63%
62%





Specificity
64%
63%
55%





Cutoff
283
280
284





Quartile 4








Sensitivity
36%
35%
34%





Specificity
86%
84%
78%





OR Quartile
2.84
2.76
2.05





2








p Value
2.3E−4
3.8E−4
0.033





Lower limit
1.63
1.58
1.06





of 95% CI








Upper limit
4.94
4.84
3.97





of 95% CI








OR Quartile
3.11
2.92
2.01





3








p Value
1.3E−6
4.8E−6
0.0068





Lower limit
1.96
1.84
1.21





of 95% CI








Upper limit
4.92
4.61
3.33





of 95% CI








OR Quartile
3.35
2.97
1.86





4








p Value
2.0E−5
7.9E−5
0.025





Lower limit
1.92
1.73
1.08





of 95% CI








Upper limit
5.83
5.09
3.20





of 95% CI
















TABLE 25.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48












Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO






Median
0.0291
108
0.0318
106


Average
52.1
281
89.9
293


Stdev
136
422
178
446


p (t-test)

1.2E−7

8.3E−7


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
862
3020
862
3020


n (Patient)
105
210
137
178


sCr only






Median
0.0291
107
0.0328
105


Average
74.3
283
101
291


Stdev
177
430
199
450


p (t-test)

7.1E−7

3.8E−6


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
894
3020
894
3020


n (Patient)
120
194
145
169


UO only






Median
0.0382
110
0.0401
108


Average
152
302
153
314


Stdev
272
487
268
506


p (t-test)

5.6E−4

2.8E−4


Min
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108
0.0108


Max
1370
3020
1370
3020


n (Patient)
201
112
211
102












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48














sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.74
0.71
0.63
0.68
0.67
0.61


SE
0.028
0.029
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.035


p Value
0
1.5E−13
1.7E−4
1.5E−9
1.6E−8
0.0014


nCohort
105
120
201
137
145
211


Non-








persistent








nCohort
210
194
112
178
169
102


Persistent








Cutoff
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279


Quartile 2








Sensitivity
85%
85%
85%
84%
85%
83%


Specificity
40%
37%
27%
33%
32%
26%


Cutoff
8.03
6.95
8.03
8.03
6.95
8.03


Quartile 3








Sensitivity
64%
64%
63%
62%
63%
62%


Specificity
77%
72%
57%
66%
65%
55%


Cutoff
283
280
284
283
280
284


Quartile 4








Sensitivity
33%
34%
33%
33%
34%
33%


Specificity
91%
89%
79%
85%
85%
79%


OR Quartile
3.85
3.29
2.11
2.62
2.64
1.76


2








p Value
1.3E−6
1.6E−5
0.015
4.5E−4
4.7E−4
0.066


Lower limit
2.23
1.92
1.15
1.53
1.53
0.963


of 95% CI








Upper limit
6.64
5.66
3.84
4.49
4.54
3.23


of 95% CI








OR Quartile
5.95
4.67
2.32
3.17
3.10
2.01


3








p Value
6.6E−11
1.2E−9
5.3E−4
1.1E−6
1.6E−6
0.0046


Lower limit
3.48
2.84
1.44
1.99
1.95
1.24


of 95% CI








Upper limit
10.2
7.67
3.72
5.05
4.92
3.26


of 95% CI








OR Quartile
5.33
4.24
1.87
2.90
2.85
1.84


4








p Value
9.5E−6
1.2E−5
0.019
2.4E−4
2.2E−4
0.023


Lower limit
2.54
2.22
1.11
1.64
1.63
1.09


of 95% CI








Upper limit
11.2
8.11
3.14
5.12
4.95
3.12


of 95% CI


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)






72
















Non-persistent
Persistent






Cohort
Cohort








sCr or UO







Median
0.0328
111





Average
91.8
306





Stdev
185
455





p (t-test)

1.6E−7





Min
0.0108
0.0108





Max
918
3020





n (Patient)
149
166





sCr only







Median
0.0328
109





Average
102
305





Stdev
204
459





p (t-test)

7.1E−7





Min
0.0108
0.0108





Max
918
3020





n (Patient)
157
157





UO only







Median
0.0401
112





Average
151
329





Stdev
265
515





p (t-test)

6.8E−5





Min
0.0108
0.0108





Max
1370
3020





n (Patient)
216
97


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)






72

















sCr or
sCr
UO






UO
only
only








AUC
0.68
0.68
0.63





SE
0.030
0.030
0.035





p Value
1.0E−9
3.4E−9
2.8E−4





nCohort
149
157
216





Non-








persistent








nCohort
166
157
97





Persistent








Cutoff
0.0279
0.0279
0.0279





Quartile 2








Sensitivity
85%
86%
85%





Specificity
32%
32%
26%





Cutoff
8.03
6.95
8.03





Quartile 3








Sensitivity
63%
64%
64%





Specificity
64%
64%
56%





Cutoff
283
280
284





Quartile 4








Sensitivity
35%
36%
35%





Specificity
86%
85%
79%





OR Quartile
2.68
2.95
1.96





2








p Value
4.1E−4
1.6E−4
0.036





Lower limit
1.55
1.68
1.05





of 95% CI








Upper limit
4.63
5.17
3.67





of 95% CI








OR Quartile
3.12
3.08
2.26





3








p Value
1.3E−6
1.7E−6
0.0012





Lower limit
1.97
1.94
1.38





of 95% CI








Upper limit
4.94
4.88
3.70





of 95% CI








OR Quartile
3.27
3.23
2.05





4








p Value
3.4E−5
2.9E−5
0.0080





Lower limit
1.87
1.86
1.21





of 95% CI








Upper limit
5.74
5.60
3.49





of 95% CI
















TABLE 25.6







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.





sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
111
129
120
129
120
129


Average
176
183
170
192
182
179


Stdev
307
156
261
162
269
123


p (t-test)

0.84

0.53

0.92


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
667


n (Patient)
50
101
75
76
85
66










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
111
129
116
129
120
129


Average
182
175
167
187
178
176


Stdev
310
140
264
152
267
109


p (t-test)

0.87

0.57

0.96


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
526


n (Patient)
52
98
73
77
86
64










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
125
123
126
122
125
124


Average
178
193
182
178
181
185


Stdev
235
155
233
143
228
153


p (t-test)

0.71

0.93

0.94


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
675
2200
667
2200
667


n (Patient)
112
38
120
30
125
25














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.60
0.60
0.56
0.60
0.61
0.52
0.59
0.60
0.54


SE
0.048
0.048
0.055
0.046
0.046
0.060
0.047
0.047
0.064


p Value
0.039
0.044
0.29
0.028
0.018
0.73
0.062
0.035
0.58


nCohort Non-
50
52
112
75
73
120
85
86
125


persistent











nCohort Persistent
101
98
38
76
77
30
66
64
25


Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2


Sensitivity
78%
79%
82%
83%
83%
80%
83%
83%
76%


Specificity
32%
33%
28%
33%
34%
27%
32%
31%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
54%
54%
47%
54%
55%
43%
55%
56%
48%


Specificity
58%
58%
49%
53%
55%
48%
53%
55%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
199
201
200
199
201
200
199
201


Sensitivity
29%
29%
34%
32%
31%
30%
32%
33%
32%


Specificity
82%
81%
78%
81%
81%
76%
80%
80%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.69
1.78
1.69
2.42
2.56
1.45
2.33
2.20
1.09


p Value
0.18
0.13
0.26
0.024
0.016
0.45
0.037
0.051
0.87


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.791
0.838
0.676
1.13
1.19
0.545
1.05
0.998
0.400


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.61
3.79
4.25
5.21
5.52
3.88
5.14
4.87
2.97


OR Quartile 3
1.65
1.61
0.868
1.34
1.45
0.715
1.35
1.55
0.908


p Value
0.15
0.17
0.71
0.37
0.25
0.42
0.36
0.19
0.83


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.833
0.815
0.416
0.706
0.765
0.320
0.708
0.808
0.385


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.27
3.17
1.81
2.54
2.77
1.60
2.57
2.97
2.15


OR Quartile 4
1.83
1.68
1.81
2.01
1.91
1.34
1.87
1.98
1.49


p Value
0.16
0.21
0.15
0.070
0.094
0.51
0.099
0.072
0.40


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.792
0.742
0.810
0.944
0.896
0.555
0.889
0.942
0.585


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.25
3.80
4.04
4.28
4.07
3.26
3.92
4.17
3.80
















TABLE 25.7







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.





sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
110
129
114
129
120
129


Average
175
183
168
191
173
190


Stdev
310
155
269
159
265
148


p (t-test)

0.82

0.51

0.63


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
49
102
70
81
79
72










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
110
129
112
129
116
130


Average
181
176
166
188
170
185


Stdev
313
140
270
149
266
135


p (t-test)

0.89

0.54

0.67


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
51
99
70
80
79
71










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
125
124
126
122
125
124


Average
173
200
179
190
177
197


Stdev
233
178
231
176
226
186


p (t-test)

0.48

0.77

0.64


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
103
47
111
39
116
34














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.61
0.61
0.56
0.62
0.63
0.53
0.61
0.63
0.54


SE
0.048
0.047
0.051
0.045
0.045
0.054
0.046
0.046
0.057


p Value
0.023
0.027
0.23
0.011
0.0041
0.60
0.013
0.0047
0.48


nCohort Non-
49
51
103
70
70
111
79
79
116


persistent











nCohort Persistent
102
99
47
81
80
39
72
71
34


Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2


Sensitivity
78%
79%
83%
83%
84%
82%
83%
85%
79%


Specificity
33%
33%
29%
34%
36%
28%
33%
34%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
55%
55%
49%
56%
56%
46%
57%
58%
50%


Specificity
59%
59%
50%
56%
57%
49%
56%
57%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
199
201
200
199
201
200
199
201


Sensitivity
29%
29%
32%
32%
32%
28%
33%
34%
29%


Specificity
84%
82%
78%
83%
83%
76%
82%
82%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.76
1.86
2.00
2.50
2.86
1.77
2.45
2.83
1.41


p Value
0.14
0.11
0.12
0.018
0.0074
0.22
0.024
0.010
0.47


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.824
0.872
0.838
1.17
1.33
0.708
1.13
1.28
0.556


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.77
3.95
4.79
5.33
6.18
4.43
5.34
6.26
3.56


OR Quartile 3
1.77
1.71
0.940
1.57
1.71
0.812
1.66
1.81
1.00


p Value
0.11
0.12
0.86
0.17
0.10
0.58
0.12
0.073
1.0


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.885
0.865
0.471
0.826
0.897
0.391
0.873
0.946
0.466


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.52
3.40
1.87
2.99
3.28
1.69
3.17
3.46
2.15


OR Quartile 4
2.14
1.93
1.63
2.28
2.33
1.22
2.32
2.37
1.31


p Value
0.087
0.12
0.21
0.037
0.033
0.63
0.029
0.026
0.53


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.895
0.835
0.756
1.05
1.07
0.538
1.09
1.11
0.559


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.09
4.48
3.52
4.97
5.07
2.78
4.95
5.06
3.07
















TABLE 25.8







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.





sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
110
129
116
129
120
129


Average
175
183
169
190
176
185


Stdev
310
155
271
159
272
145


p (t-test)

0.82

0.56

0.81


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
49
102
69
82
75
76










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
110
129
112
129
120
129


Average
181
176
167
186
174
181


Stdev
313
140
272
149
272
134


p (t-test)

0.89

0.59

0.86


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
51
99
69
81
75
75










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
126
122
127
122
125
123


Average
177
190
181
182
180
187


Stdev
238
173
236
167
231
175


p (t-test)

0.72

0.98

0.86


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
98
52
105
45
110
40














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or


sCr or

UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.61
0.61
0.53
0.61
0.62
0.51
0.59
0.61
0.51


SE
0.048
0.047
0.050
0.046
0.045
0.052
0.046
0.046
0.054


p Value
0.023
0.027
0.56
0.017
0.0068
0.91
0.042
0.020
0.78


nCohort Non-
49
51
98
69
69
105
75
75
110


persistent











nCohort Persistent
102
99
52
82
81
45
76
75
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2


Sensitivity
78%
79%
79%
82%
83%
78%
80%
81%
75%


Specificity
33%
33%
28%
33%
35%
27%
31%
32%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
55%
55%
46%
55%
56%
44%
55%
56%
48%


Specificity
59%
59%
48%
55%
57%
48%
55%
56%
49%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
199
201
200
199
201
200
199
201


Sensitivity
29%
29%
29%
32%
32%
27%
32%
32%
28%


Specificity
84%
82%
77%
83%
83%
75%
81%
81%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.76
1.86
1.42
2.23
2.55
1.27
1.80
2.05
1.02


p Value
0.14
0.11
0.39
0.036
0.016
0.57
0.12
0.063
0.95


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.824
0.872
0.637
1.05
1.19
0.558
0.851
0.962
0.445


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.77
3.95
3.15
4.73
5.46
2.90
3.80
4.37
2.36


OR Quartile 3
1.77
1.71
0.790
1.49
1.62
0.727
1.49
1.62
0.872


p Value
0.11
0.12
0.49
0.22
0.14
0.37
0.22
0.14
0.71


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.885
0.865
0.403
0.783
0.851
0.361
0.785
0.850
0.423


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.52
3.40
1.55
2.84
3.10
1.47
2.83
3.09
1.80


OR Quartile 4
2.14
1.93
1.32
2.21
2.25
1.10
2.01
2.05
1.17


p Value
0.087
0.12
0.47
0.046
0.042
0.81
0.070
0.063
0.71


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.895
0.835
0.618
1.01
1.03
0.499
0.944
0.962
0.514


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.09
4.48
2.83
4.80
4.89
2.45
4.28
4.37
2.64
















TABLE 25.9







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.





sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
110
129
114
129
120
129


Average
175
183
170
189
177
184


Stdev
310
155
273
158
273
145


p (t-test)

0.82

0.59

0.85


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
49
102
68
83
74
77










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
110
129
112
129
118
129


Average
181
176
168
186
175
180


Stdev
313
140
274
148
274
133


p (t-test)

0.89

0.61

0.89


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
51
99
68
82
74
76










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
127
122
128
122
126
124


Average
179
187
184
178
182
181


Stdev
242
168
242
160
236
166


p (t-test)

0.83

0.87

0.99


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
95
55
100
50
105
45














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or


sCr or

UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.61
0.61
0.53
0.61
0.62
0.50
0.59
0.61
0.51


SE
0.048
0.047
0.049
0.046
0.045
0.050
0.046
0.046
0.052


p Value
0.023
0.027
0.59
0.017
0.0066
0.92
0.042
0.020
0.80


nCohort Non-
49
51
95
68
68
100
74
74
105


persistent











nCohort Persistent
102
99
55
83
82
50
77
76
45


Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2


Sensitivity
78%
79%
80%
82%
83%
78%
81%
82%
76%


Specificity
33%
33%
28%
34%
35%
27%
31%
32%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
55%
55%
47%
55%
56%
46%
56%
57%
49%


Specificity
59%
59%
48%
56%
57%
48%
55%
57%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
199
201
200
199
201
200
199
201


Sensitivity
29%
29%
27%
31%
32%
26%
31%
32%
27%


Specificity
84%
82%
76%
82%
82%
75%
81%
81%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.76
1.86
1.59
2.32
2.65
1.31
1.86
2.13
1.07


p Value
0.14
0.11
0.26
0.028
0.012
0.51
0.10
0.051
0.87


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.824
0.872
0.716
1.09
1.24
0.588
0.882
0.997
0.477


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.77
3.95
3.52
4.91
5.67
2.92
3.94
4.53
2.40


OR Quartile 3
1.77
1.71
0.842
1.57
1.72
0.786
1.57
1.71
0.938


p Value
0.11
0.12
0.61
0.17
0.10
0.49
0.17
0.10
0.86


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.885
0.865
0.433
0.826
0.898
0.398
0.827
0.896
0.467


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.52
3.40
1.64
3.00
3.29
1.55
2.99
3.26
1.89


OR Quartile 4
2.14
1.93
1.17
2.13
2.17
1.05
1.94
1.98
1.10


p Value
0.087
0.12
0.68
0.057
0.051
0.89
0.085
0.077
0.81


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.895
0.835
0.551
0.979
0.995
0.484
0.912
0.928
0.499


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.09
4.48
2.50
4.63
4.72
2.29
4.13
4.21
2.45
















TABLE 25.10







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.





sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
110
129
112
129
114
129


Average
178
182
171
188
179
182


Stdev
316
154
279
155
281
141


p (t-test)

0.92

0.64

0.94


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
47
104
65
86
70
81










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
111
129
112
129
118
129


Average
184
174
170
183
177
178


Stdev
316
140
277
147
278
132


p (t-test)

0.81

0.70

0.99


Min
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8
0.0162
12.8


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
50
100
66
84
72
78










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
125
124
126
124
124
125


Average
177
189
183
179
182
181


Stdev
245
165
247
154
243
159


p (t-test)

0.74

0.91

0.97


Min
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162
28.8
0.0162


Max
2200
902
2200
902
2200
902


n (Patient)
92
58
95
55
99
51














24
48
72
















Persistence Period
sCr or
sCr
sCr or
UO

UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
UO
only
sCr only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.60
0.59
0.55
0.62
0.62
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.53


SE
0.048
0.048
0.049
0.045
0.046
0.049
0.046
0.046
0.050


p Value
0.034
0.053
0.32
0.0073
0.011
0.55
0.023
0.031
0.50


nCohort Non-
47
50
92
65
66
95
70
72
99


persistent











nCohort Persistent
104
100
58
86
84
55
81
78
51


Cutoff Quartile 2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2
94.3
93.2
97.2


Sensitivity
78%
78%
81%
83%
82%
80%
81%
81%
78%


Specificity
32%
32%
29%
35%
35%
28%
33%
32%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
124
124
125
124
124
125
124
124
125


Sensitivity
55%
54%
50%
57%
56%
49%
57%
56%
51%


Specificity
60%
58%
50%
58%
58%
49%
57%
57%
51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
200
199
201
200
199
201
200
199
201


Sensitivity
29%
29%
29%
30%
31%
27%
30%
31%
27%


Specificity
83%
82%
77%
82%
82%
76%
80%
81%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.65
1.67
1.77
2.59
2.46
1.59
2.15
1.97
1.36


p Value
0.20
0.19
0.16
0.013
0.019
0.26
0.045
0.076
0.45


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.765
0.781
0.801
1.22
1.16
0.716
1.02
0.931
0.612


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.56
3.57
3.93
5.51
5.23
3.52
4.56
4.17
3.04


OR Quartile 3
1.79
1.62
1.00
1.86
1.72
0.944
1.75
1.71
1.06


p Value
0.10
0.17
1.0
0.061
0.10
0.87
0.089
0.10
0.86


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.888
0.817
0.518
0.971
0.899
0.486
0.918
0.897
0.540


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.60
3.22
1.93
3.58
3.31
1.83
3.34
3.27
2.09


OR Quartile 4
1.98
1.86
1.40
1.91
2.02
1.17
1.68
1.84
1.18


p Value
0.13
0.15
0.37
0.10
0.077
0.68
0.18
0.11
0.67


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.827
0.803
0.665
0.880
0.927
0.551
0.791
0.864
0.549


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.72
4.31
2.96
4.16
4.39
2.50
3.58
3.92
2.55









Example 26. Use of C—X—C Motif Chemokine 9 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—X—C motif chemokine 9 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 26.1







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.





sCr or UO











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
140
747
121
677
111
650


Average
892
14300
774
13800
811
13500


Stdev
2160
38000
1910
37300
2020
37000


p (t-test)

0.0082

0.019

0.029


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00389
0.00285
0.00389


Max
10500
150000
9930
150000
9930
150000


n (Patient)
57
259
46
270
41
275










sCr only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
188
779
206
769
208
763


Average
914
15400
937
15300
964
15000


Stdev
1970
39300
1990
39200
2040
38900


p (t-test)

0.0015

0.0019

0.0028


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
10500
150000
10500
150000
10500
150000


n (Patient)
76
239
74
241
70
245










UO only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
290
1130
287
970
279
952


Average
10100
14900
8880
15700
7840
16000


Stdev
33100
37500
30800
39000
28200
40100


p (t-test)

0.23

0.083

0.037


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00389


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
194
120
173
141
156
158














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.67
0.64
0.71
0.66
0.63
0.71
0.65
0.64


SE
0.035
0.033
0.033
0.037
0.034
0.032
0.038
0.035
0.031


p Value
2.3E−8
4.5E−7
1.4E−5
1.3E−8
2.8E−6
2.1E−5
1.2E−8
8.3E−6
6.1E−6


nCohort
57
76
194
46
74
173
41
70
156


Recovered











nCohort Non-
259
239
120
270
241
141
275
245
158


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
109
108
110
109
108
110
109
108
110


Sensitivity
79%
78%
87%
79%
78%
84%
79%
78%
84%


Specificity
42%
36%
32%
46%
34%
33%
49%
34%
35%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
480
489
485
480
489
485
480
489


Sensitivity
56%
57%
63%
55%
56%
61%
55%
56%
61%


Specificity
75%
71%
58%
78%
70%
59%
80%
70%
61%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790


Sensitivity
29%
30%
35%
28%
29%
33%
28%
29%
32%


Specificity
93%
89%
81%
93%
89%
82%
93%
89%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.70
1.98
3.13
3.07
1.77
2.66
3.49
1.80
2.82


p Value
0.0013
0.017
2.3E−4
7.0E−4
0.050
5.5E−4
3.0E−4
0.046
1.7E−4


Lower limit
1.47
1.13
1.71
1.60
1.00
1.53
1.77
1.01
1.64


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.94
3.47
5.73
5.87
3.12
4.63
6.86
3.21
4.83


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
3.85
3.24
2.41
4.37
3.06
2.25
4.95
2.96
2.41


p Value
5.0E−5
3.6E−5
2.3E−4
9.5E−5
8.9E−5
4.8E−4
1.0E−4
1.9E−4
1.4E−4


Lower limit
2.01
1.86
1.51
2.08
1.75
1.43
2.21
1.67
1.53


of 95% CI











Upper limit
7.37
5.66
3.85
9.16
5.36
3.54
11.1
5.23
3.79


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
5.40
3.59
2.28
5.62
3.45
2.20
4.84
3.16
2.03


p Value
0.0017
0.0014
0.0018
0.0048
0.0020
0.0029
0.010
0.0041
0.0083


Lower limit
1.89
1.64
1.36
1.69
1.57
1.31
1.45
1.44
1.20


of 95% CI











Upper limit
15.5
7.86
3.84
18.6
7.55
3.70
16.1
6.94
3.43


of 95% CI
















TABLE 26.2







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.





sCr or UO











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
156
836
147
781
130
763


Average
1110
16200
928
15500
989
15000


Stdev
3160
40300
2100
39500
2200
38900


p (t-test)

4.6E−4

0.0011

0.0026


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00389
0.00285
0.00389


Max
24200
150000
10500
150000
10500
150000


n (Patient)
90
226
79
237
71
245










sCr only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
208
852
210
836
211
819


Average
1170
17300
1190
17100
1230
16700


Stdev
2970
41600
3000
41400
3070
41000


p (t-test)

8.4E−5

1.1E−4

2.1E−4


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
24200
150000
24200
150000
24200
150000


n (Patient)
106
210
104
212
99
217










UO only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
294
1200
308
841
294
841


Average
10800
14400
10900
13700
10100
14400


Stdev
34100
36400
34100
36100
32300
37900


p (t-test)

0.40

0.49

0.28


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00389


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
212
102
194
120
178
136














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.67
0.64
0.69
0.67
0.61
0.69
0.66
0.61


SE
0.030
0.031
0.034
0.032
0.031
0.033
0.033
0.031
0.032


p Value
1.9E−11
1.2E−8
5.9E−5
8.5E−10
8.1E−8
0.0012
7.3E−9
3.1E−7
5.6E−4


nCohort
90
106
212
79
104
194
71
99
178


Recovered











nCohort Non-
226
210
102
237
212
120
245
217
136


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
109
109
110
109
109
110
109
109
110


Sensitivity
81%
80%
88%
80%
79%
85%
80%
79%
85%


Specificity
40%
35%
32%
41%
34%
31%
42%
34%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
485
489
485
485
489
485
485
489


Sensitivity
59%
60%
64%
57%
59%
59%
56%
58%
60%


Specificity
73%
69%
57%
72%
68%
56%
72%
68%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790


Sensitivity
31%
31%
35%
30%
31%
32%
29%
30%
29%


Specificity
91%
88%
80%
91%
88%
79%
90%
87%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.84
2.14
3.47
2.75
1.94
2.60
2.93
2.00
2.65


p Value
1.4E−4
0.0043
2.7E−4
3.2E−4
0.014
0.0014
2.0E−4
0.010
6.7E−4


Lower limit
1.66
1.27
1.78
1.59
1.15
1.45
1.66
1.18
1.51


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.85
3.62
6.76
4.78
3.27
4.67
5.15
3.39
4.64


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
4.01
3.25
2.29
3.49
3.09
1.82
3.29
2.90
1.98


p Value
4.2E−7
3.0E−6
8.4E−4
1.0E−5
8.0E−6
0.011
5.0E−5
3.0E−5
0.0032


Lower limit
2.34
1.98
1.41
2.00
1.88
1.15
1.85
1.76
1.26


of 95% CI











Upper limit
6.85
5.34
3.73
6.08
5.07
2.89
5.85
4.78
3.11


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
4.70
3.28
2.14
4.49
3.16
1.73
3.81
2.89
1.49


p Value
9.9E−5
3.4E−4
0.0045
3.5E−4
5.1E−4
0.038
0.0015
0.0014
0.13


Lower limit
2.16
1.71
1.27
1.97
1.65
1.03
1.66
1.51
0.890


of 95% CI











Upper limit
10.2
6.28
3.63
10.2
6.06
2.90
8.70
5.54
2.48


of 95% CI
















TABLE 26.3







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.





sCr or UO











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
194
892
208
849
204
763


Average
2930
16900
3120
16400
3370
15700


Stdev
14800
41200
15300
40600
16000
39800


p (t-test)

5.3E−4

0.0012

0.0036


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
114
202
107
209
97
219










sCr only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
211
934
225
892
234
856


Average
1700
18700
1740
18400
1790
18000


Stdev
4990
43500
5050
43200
5140
42700


p (t-test)

1.5E−5

2.4E−5

5.0E−5


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
43100
150000
43100
150000
43100
150000


n (Patient)
127
189
124
192
119
197










UO only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
308
1130
333
801
298
841


Average
10800
14400
11300
13100
11200
13100


Stdev
34000
36800
34700
35300
34400
35600


p (t-test)

0.40

0.66

0.64


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
214
100
204
110
190
124














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.68
0.67
0.62
0.66
0.65
0.59
0.65
0.64
0.60


SE
0.030
0.030
0.035
0.031
0.031
0.034
0.032
0.031
0.033


p Value
2.1E−9
2.9E−8
7.0E−4
2.5E−7
5.5E−7
0.011
2.4E−6
4.0E−6
0.0027


nCohort
114
127
214
107
124
204
97
119
190


Recovered











nCohort Non-
202
189
100
209
192
110
219
197
124


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
109
109
110
109
109
110
109
109
110


Sensitivity
81%
81%
84%
80%
80%
81%
79%
79%
82%


Specificity
36%
34%
29%
35%
32%
28%
35%
32%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
485
489
485
485
489
485
485
489


Sensitivity
60%
60%
63%
58%
59%
59%
57%
58%
60%


Specificity
68%
65%
56%
65%
64%
55%
65%
63%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790


Sensitivity
32%
32%
33%
31%
31%
30%
30%
30%
28%


Specificity
87%
85%
79%
86%
85%
77%
86%
84%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.42
2.18
2.19
2.10
1.87
1.68
2.09
1.79
1.99


p Value
8.5E−4
0.0032
0.012
0.0053
0.017
0.070
0.0066
0.028
0.015


Lower limit
1.44
1.30
1.19
1.25
1.12
0.957
1.23
1.06
1.14


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.08
3.65
4.03
3.54
3.13
2.96
3.55
2.99
3.46


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
3.11
2.71
2.17
2.60
2.51
1.76
2.42
2.34
2.02


p Value
4.1E−6
2.7E−5
0.0018
1.1E−4
1.1E−4
0.018
4.8E−4
3.6E−4
0.0028


Lower limit
1.92
1.70
1.33
1.60
1.58
1.10
1.47
1.47
1.27


of 95% CI











Upper limit
5.04
4.32
3.54
4.22
4.00
2.81
3.97
3.74
3.19


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.06
2.64
1.80
2.71
2.51
1.47
2.50
2.31
1.30


p Value
3.9E−4
9.4E−4
0.030
0.0016
0.0017
0.15
0.0047
0.0045
0.31


Lower limit
1.65
1.49
1.06
1.46
1.41
0.872
1.32
1.29
0.779


of 95% CI











Upper limit
5.68
4.70
3.05
5.03
4.47
2.48
4.73
4.10
2.19


of 95% CI
















TABLE 26.4







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.





sCr or UO











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
209
999
209
860
208
821


Average
2730
18600
2910
17800
3130
16800


Stdev
13700
43100
14200
42200
14800
41200


p (t-test)

4.9E−5

1.8E−4

7.1E−4


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
134
182
125
191
114
202










sCr only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
213
1040
225
999
216
970


Average
1610
20100
1640
19800
1660
19500


Stdev
4780
44800
4810
44600
4860
44300


p (t-test)

2.0E−6

2.8E−6

4.6E−6


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
43100
150000
43100
150000
43100
150000


n (Patient)
140
176
138
178
135
181










UO only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
324
946
339
781
321
772


Average
10800
14600
11200
13400
11100
13400


Stdev
33800
37100
34500
35700
34100
36200


p (t-test)

0.38

0.61

0.57


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
216
98
207
107
194
120














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.68
0.68
0.61
0.66
0.67
0.59
0.65
0.67
0.59


SE
0.030
0.030
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.031
0.030
0.033


p Value
1.1E−9
1.3E−9
0.0027
1.4E−7
1.3E−8
0.0094
1.5E−6
2.9E−8
0.0070


nCohort
134
140
216
125
138
207
114
135
194


Recovered











nCohort Non-
182
176
98
191
178
107
202
181
120


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
109
109
110
109
109
110
109
109
110


Sensitivity
82%
82%
84%
81%
81%
82%
81%
81%
82%


Specificity
35%
34%
29%
34%
33%
29%
35%
33%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
485
489
485
485
489
485
485
489


Sensitivity
62%
62%
61%
59%
61%
59%
58%
61%
59%


Specificity
66%
65%
55%
64%
64%
55%
64%
64%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790


Sensitivity
32%
33%
32%
31%
33%
29%
30%
32%
28%


Specificity
85%
85%
78%
84%
85%
77%
83%
84%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.53
2.44
2.11
2.26
2.20
1.89
2.26
2.16
2.01


p Value
4.7E−4
8.0E−4
0.017
0.0020
0.0029
0.031
0.0021
0.0035
0.015


Lower limit
1.50
1.45
1.15
1.35
1.31
1.06
1.34
1.29
1.15


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.26
4.11
3.89
3.79
3.69
3.38
3.80
3.62
3.53


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
3.06
3.02
1.94
2.58
2.87
1.72
2.45
2.81
1.82


p Value
2.4E−6
2.7E−6
0.0078
6.8E−5
7.4E−6
0.024
2.1E−4
1.2E−5
0.011


Lower limit
1.92
1.90
1.19
1.62
1.81
1.07
1.53
1.77
1.15


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.87
4.79
3.15
4.10
4.55
2.76
3.94
4.46
2.89


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.73
2.79
1.62
2.35
2.69
1.35
2.11
2.56
1.22


p Value
5.1E−4
3.4E−4
0.076
0.0033
5.3E−4
0.26
0.011
0.0010
0.45


Lower limit
1.55
1.59
0.950
1.33
1.54
0.797
1.19
1.46
0.726


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.82
4.88
2.76
4.14
4.72
2.29
3.76
4.48
2.05


of 95% CI
















TABLE 26.5







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.





sCr or UO











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
308
926
313
822
313
822


Average
8920
16200
9050
15900
9050
15900


Stdev
30600
39800
30800
39500
30800
39500


p (t-test)

0.066

0.085

0.085


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
188
128
185
131
185
131










sCr only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
252
1130
250
1030
249
1050


Average
3650
20300
3720
19900
3730
19800


Stdev
15000
45600
15200
45300
15200
45100


p (t-test)

1.6E−5

2.7E−5

3.1E−5


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
120000
150000
120000
150000
120000
150000


n (Patient)
160
156
157
159
156
160










UO only











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
328
1070
333
841
321
860


Average
10300
15300
10500
14900
10500
14600


Stdev
32800
38700
33000
38200
33200
37700


p (t-test)

0.24

0.29

0.32


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
211
103
208
106
205
109














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.62
0.67
0.60
0.61
0.66
0.60
0.61
0.66
0.61


SE
0.032
0.030
0.035
0.032
0.030
0.034
0.032
0.030
0.034


p Value
3.2E−4
2.6E−8
0.0027
4.2E−4
1.4E−7
0.0044
4.2E−4
8.4E−8
0.0018


nCohort
188
160
211
185
157
208
185
156
205


Recovered











nCohort Non-
128
156
103
131
159
106
131
160
109


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
109
109
110
109
109
110
109
109
110


Sensitivity
82%
83%
83%
82%
83%
82%
82%
83%
83%


Specificity
30%
33%
29%
30%
33%
29%
30%
33%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
485
489
485
485
489
485
485
489


Sensitivity
61%
63%
61%
60%
62%
60%
60%
62%
61%


Specificity
57%
63%
55%
57%
62%
55%
57%
63%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790


Sensitivity
31%
33%
31%
31%
33%
30%
31%
32%
30%


Specificity
79%
83%
78%
79%
83%
77%
79%
83%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.94
2.48
1.92
2.04
2.42
1.86
2.04
2.46
1.96


p Value
0.018
8.8E−4
0.030
0.011
0.0011
0.037
0.011
8.8E−4
0.023


Lower limit
1.12
1.45
1.07
1.18
1.42
1.04
1.18
1.45
1.10


of 95% CI











Upper limit
3.35
4.23
3.46
3.53
4.12
3.32
3.53
4.19
3.50


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.11
2.97
1.96
2.04
2.74
1.88
2.04
2.82
2.04


p Value
0.0014
3.0E−6
0.0060
0.0022
1.4E−5
0.0090
0.0022
8.6E−6
0.0032


Lower limit
1.33
1.88
1.21
1.29
1.74
1.17
1.29
1.78
1.27


of 95% CI











Upper limit
3.33
4.70
3.17
3.21
4.32
3.03
3.21
4.44
3.28


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
1.74
2.46
1.57
1.65
2.34
1.48
1.65
2.30
1.50


p Value
0.035
8.8E−4
0.093
0.057
0.0017
0.14
0.057
0.0021
0.13


Lower limit
1.04
1.45
0.927
0.985
1.38
0.875
0.985
1.35
0.889


of 95% CI











Upper limit
2.90
4.19
2.67
2.75
3.98
2.51
2.75
3.91
2.53


of 95% CI









Example 27. Use of C—X—C Motif Chemokine 9 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—X—C motif chemokine 9 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 27.1







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.





sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery

Non-

Non-

Non-


Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
169
892
156
865
143
858


Average
3260
16400
3370
16100
3470
15800


Stdev
18300
40100
18700
39700
19100
39400


p (t-test)

0.0014

0.0022

0.0033


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
108
208
104
212
100
216










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery

Non-

Non-

Non-


Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
210
934
208
913
208
871


Average
3250
17600
3300
17500
3350
17300


Stdev
17100
41800
17200
41600
17400
41400


p (t-test)

2.9E−4

3.8E−4

4.9E−4


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
126
189
124
191
122
193










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery

Non-

Non-

Non-


Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
298
1250
294
1200
294
1130


Average
10800
14700
10500
14900
10200
15000


Stdev
33700
37500
33300
37700
32600
38400


p (t-test)

0.37

0.28

0.24


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
222
92
208
106
198
116













Recovery
24
48
72
















Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.67
0.66
0.70
0.67
0.65
0.71
0.67
0.64


SE
0.029
0.030
0.035
0.029
0.030
0.034
0.029
0.030
0.033


p Value
7.5E−12
9.2E−9
8.0E−6
5.3E−12
1.4E−8
1.1E−5
1.7E−12
3.2E−8
3.1E−5


nCohort
108
126
222
104
124
208
100
122
198


Recovered











nCohort Non-
208
189
92
212
191
106
216
193
116


recovered











Cutoff
109
108
110
109
108
110
109
108
110


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
83%
82%
89%
83%
82%
89%
84%
82%
87%


Specificity
41%
36%
31%
42%
36%
32%
44%
36%
32%


Cutoff
485
480
489
485
480
489
485
480
489


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
61%
60%
68%
60%
60%
66%
59%
59%
64%


Specificity
70%
65%
58%
70%
65%
58%
70%
64%
58%


Cutoff
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
33%
33%
39%
33%
32%
37%
32%
32%
34%


Specificity
91%
87%
81%
90%
86%
81%
90%
86%
80%


OR Quartile 2
3.40
2.53
3.70
3.71
2.63
3.72
4.06
2.55
3.22


p Value
5.7E−6
4.6E−4
3.4E−4
1.4E−6
2.7E−4
1.1E−4
2.9E−7
4.3E−4
2.2E−4


Lower limit
2.00
1.51
1.81
2.18
1.56
1.91
2.38
1.51
1.73


of 95% CI











Upper limit
5.76
4.26
7.56
6.31
4.43
7.26
6.94
4.28
5.97


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
3.65
2.83
2.96
3.52
2.69
2.70
3.39
2.56
2.44


p Value
3.5E−7
1.3E−5
3.6E−5
9.0E−7
3.4E−5
6.3E−5
2.3E−6
8.3E−5
2.1E−4


Lower limit
2.22
1.77
1.77
2.13
1.69
1.66
2.05
1.60
1.52


of 95% CI











Upper limit
6.00
4.52
4.95
5.81
4.30
4.40
5.63
4.08
3.91


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
4.86
3.13
2.68
4.54
3.03
2.44
4.22
2.92
2.15


p Value
1.3E−5
1.7E−4
3.1E−4
3.2E−5
2.6E−4
8.3E−4
7.5E−5
4.1E−4
0.0039


Lower limit
2.39
1.73
1.57
2.22
1.67
1.45
2.07
1.61
1.28


of 95% CI











Upper limit
9.91
5.67
4.57
9.25
5.48
4.13
8.62
5.30
3.61


of 95% CI
















TABLE 27.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
206
1130
191
1060
166
1050


Average
3470
18200
3520
18000
3620
17600


Stdev
16900
42600
17000
42400
17400
41900


p (t-test)

1.6E−4

2.1E−4

4.1E−4


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
136
180
134
182
129
187


sCr only


Median
216
1190
213
1130
213
1060


Average
3390
19500
3410
19400
3450
19100


Stdev
16200
44000
16200
43900
16300
43700


p (t-test)

3.3E−5

3.9E−5

5.3E−5


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
149
167
148
168
146
170


UO only


Median
294
1350
294
1230
294
1210


Average
10500
15800
10100
16400
9940
15900


Stdev
33400
38300
32400
39800
31900
39800


p (t-test)

0.23

0.14

0.15


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
226
88
220
94
207
107












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.68
0.66
0.70
0.68
0.65
0.71
0.68
0.64


SE
0.029
0.030
0.036
0.029
0.030
0.035
0.029
0.030
0.034


p Value
 1.6E−12
 4.1E−10
5.7E−6
 2.2E−12
 5.8E−10
1.9E−5
 4.8E−13
1.6E−9
5.8E−5


nCohort Recovered
136
149
226
134
148
220
129
146
207


nCohort Non-recovered
180
167
88
182
168
94
187
170
107


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
109
110
109
109
110
109
109
110


Sensitivity
84%
83%
89%
84%
83%
88%
84%
83%
86%


Specificity
37%
34%
31%
37%
34%
31%
39%
34%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
485
489
485
485
489
485
485
489


Sensitivity
64%
63%
69%
63%
63%
67%
63%
62%
64%


Specificity
68%
65%
58%
68%
65%
57%
68%
64%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790


Sensitivity
35%
34%
40%
35%
34%
38%
34%
34%
35%


Specificity
88%
85%
81%
88%
85%
80%
88%
85%
80%


OR Quartile 2
3.03
2.58
3.43
3.14
2.63
3.38
3.45
2.53
2.74


p Value
4.0E−5
4.3E−4
7.5E−4
2.3E−5
3.4E−4
5.6E−4
4.9E−6
5.3E−4
0.0014


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.78
1.52
1.67
1.85
1.55
1.69
2.03
1.50
1.48


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.14
4.38
7.02
5.33
4.46
6.74
5.87
4.28
5.10


OR Quartile 3
3.83
3.24
3.06
3.63
3.16
2.72
3.59
2.99
2.46


p Value
2.6E−8
5.8E−7
2.9E−5
8.2E−8
1.0E−6
1.0E−4
1.3E−7
2.9E−6
2.6E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.39
2.04
1.81
2.27
1.99
1.64
2.23
1.89
1.52


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.14
5.14
5.17
5.82
5.00
4.52
5.77
4.74
3.98


OR Quartile 4
4.04
2.99
2.73
3.90
2.94
2.55
3.59
2.84
2.08


p Value
6.1E−6
1.1E−4
2.6E−4
1.0E−5
1.4E−4
5.6E−4
3.5E−5
2.2E−4
0.0062


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.21
1.72
1.59
2.13
1.69
1.50
1.96
1.63
1.23


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.39
5.21
4.68
7.15
5.12
4.35
6.57
4.95
3.50
















TABLE 27.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
213
1210
213
1200
209
1130


Average
4910
18500
4970
18300
5090
17900


Stdev
21400
42900
21600
42600
21800
42200


p (t-test)

4.6E−4

6.0E−4

0.0010


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
154
162
152
164
148
168


sCr only


Median
234
1210
241
1210
248
1200


Average
3900
20200
3930
20000
3950
19900


Stdev
17500
44900
17600
44800
17600
44700


p (t-test)

2.6E−5

3.1E−5

3.6E−5


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
161
155
160
156
159
157


UO only


Median
317
1200
313
1200
317
1130


Average
10700
15100
10700
15000
10600
14900


Stdev
33500
38100
33600
37900
33000
38500


p (t-test)

0.31

0.33

0.30


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
224
90
223
91
212
102












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.68
0.62
0.68
0.68
0.62
0.68
0.67
0.61


SE
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.035


p Value
 4.9E−10
2.4E−9
8.5E−4
1.5E−9
3.4E−9
6.7E−4
1.6E−9
8.9E−9
0.0014


nCohort Recovered
154
161
224
152
160
223
148
159
212


nCohort Non-recovered
162
155
90
164
156
91
168
157
102


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
109
110
109
109
110
109
109
110


Sensitivity
83%
83%
83%
83%
83%
84%
83%
82%
83%


Specificity
33%
32%
29%
34%
32%
29%
34%
32%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
485
489
485
485
489
485
485
489


Sensitivity
65%
65%
64%
64%
64%
65%
63%
64%
62%


Specificity
66%
64%
56%
65%
64%
56%
65%
64%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790


Sensitivity
35%
34%
34%
34%
34%
34%
33%
34%
31%


Specificity
85%
84%
79%
85%
84%
78%
84%
84%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.37
2.26
2.00
2.45
2.30
2.04
2.63
2.18
2.07


p Value
0.0014
0.0026
0.030
8.7E−4
0.0021
0.025
3.4E−4
0.0039
0.018


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.40
1.33
1.07
1.45
1.35
1.09
1.55
1.28
1.14


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.02
3.84
3.74
4.16
3.91
3.81
4.46
3.69
3.76


OR Quartile 3
3.51
3.23
2.29
3.32
3.14
2.35
3.16
3.06
2.03


p Value
1.1E−7
6.0E−7
0.0013
3.4E−7
1.0E−6
9.0E−4
1.0E−6
1.8E−6
0.0041


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.21
2.04
1.38
2.10
1.98
1.42
1.99
1.93
1.25


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.58
5.12
3.80
5.27
4.97
3.90
5.00
4.83
3.29


OR Quartile 4
3.01
2.70
1.93
2.91
2.65
1.88
2.72
2.61
1.60


p Value
8.3E−5
2.8E−4
0.017
1.4E−4
3.5E−4
0.021
3.5E−4
4.5E−4
0.080


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.74
1.58
1.12
1.68
1.55
1.10
1.57
1.53
0.945


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.21
4.61
3.30
5.03
4.53
3.23
4.70
4.45
2.72
















TABLE 27.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
225
1210
216
1200
209
1190


Average
5120
19600
5210
19200
5320
18700


Stdev
21200
44400
21300
44000
21600
43500


p (t-test)

2.0E−4

3.2E−4

5.7E−4


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
168
148
165
151
161
155


sCr only


Median
241
1210
248
1210
249
1210


Average
4780
20400
4810
20200
4840
20100


Stdev
19300
45600
19400
45500
19400
45400


p (t-test)

6.1E−5

7.2E−5

8.6E−5


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
172
144
171
145
170
146


UO only


Median
328
1070
324
965
324
841


Average
10800
14800
10800
14700
10500
15000


Stdev
33500
37900
33600
37700
32800
38800


p (t-test)

0.35

0.38

0.29


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
223
91
222
92
214
100












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.68
0.61
0.68
0.68
0.61
0.68
0.67
0.60


SE
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.031
0.035


p Value
1.2E−9
5.9E−9
0.0031
2.7E−9
8.3E−9
0.0029
3.3E−9
2.1E−8
0.0031


nCohort Recovered
168
172
223
165
171
222
161
170
214


nCohort Non-recovered
148
144
91
151
145
92
155
146
100


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
109
110
109
109
110
109
109
110


Sensitivity
84%
83%
84%
84%
83%
84%
85%
83%
84%


Specificity
33%
32%
29%
33%
32%
29%
34%
32%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
485
489
485
485
489
485
485
489


Sensitivity
66%
65%
63%
65%
65%
63%
64%
64%
61%


Specificity
64%
63%
55%
64%
63%
55%
63%
62%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790


Sensitivity
34%
33%
32%
33%
33%
32%
32%
33%
30%


Specificity
83%
82%
78%
82%
82%
77%
82%
82%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.51
2.35
2.04
2.65
2.39
2.08
2.83
2.25
2.19


p Value
8.7E−4
0.0020
0.025
4.5E−4
0.0017
0.022
1.7E−4
0.0031
0.012


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.46
1.37
1.09
1.54
1.39
1.11
1.64
1.32
1.19


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.33
4.05
3.81
4.55
4.11
3.88
4.88
3.86
4.03


OR Quartile 3
3.34
3.17
2.06
3.24
3.08
2.12
3.06
2.99
1.92


p Value
3.3E−7
9.6E−7
0.0046
5.9E−7
1.7E−6
0.0032
1.8E−6
2.9E−6
0.0081


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.10
2.00
1.25
2.04
1.94
1.29
1.93
1.89
1.19


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.30
5.03
3.40
5.13
4.88
3.49
4.83
4.74
3.12


OR Quartile 4
2.45
2.27
1.62
2.32
2.23
1.58
2.17
2.20
1.44


p Value
8.5E−4
0.0020
0.082
0.0017
0.0025
0.096
0.0038
0.0030
0.18


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.45
1.35
0.941
1.37
1.33
0.922
1.28
1.31
0.846


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.14
3.83
2.78
3.92
3.76
2.72
3.66
3.70
2.46
















TABLE 27.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
313
1070
313
860
317
841


Average
9530
16100
9620
15800
9670
15700


Stdev
31400
39900
31500
39600
31600
39500


p (t-test)

0.11

0.13

0.14


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
203
113
201
115
200
116


sCr only


Median
265
1250
265
1250
265
1250


Average
4590
22200
4590
22200
4590
22200


Stdev
18400
47600
18400
47600
18400
47600


p (t-test)

7.0E−6

7.0E−6

7.0E−6


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
185
131
185
131
185
131


UO only


Median
339
1070
333
965
355
841


Average
10400
15400
10400
15300
10500
15000


Stdev
32600
39400
32700
39200
32800
38800


p (t-test)

0.24

0.25

0.29


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
217
97
216
98
214
100












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.61
0.67
0.60
0.61
0.67
0.60
0.61
0.67
0.59


SE
0.034
0.031
0.035
0.033
0.031
0.035
0.033
0.031
0.035


p Value
6.3E−4
2.6E−8
0.0045
8.4E−4
2.6E−8
0.0040
0.0010
2.6E−8
0.0070


nCohort Recovered
203
185
217
201
185
216
200
185
214


nCohort Non-recovered
113
131
97
115
131
98
116
131
100


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
109
110
109
109
110
109
109
110


Sensitivity
83%
84%
82%
83%
84%
83%
84%
84%
82%


Specificity
30%
31%
29%
30%
31%
29%
30%
31%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
485
489
485
485
489
485
485
489


Sensitivity
62%
66%
61%
62%
66%
61%
61%
66%
60%


Specificity
57%
61%
55%
57%
61%
55%
56%
61%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790
2650
2650
2790


Sensitivity
30%
34%
31%
30%
34%
31%
29%
34%
30%


Specificity
78%
82%
77%
78%
82%
77%
78%
82%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.08
2.39
1.88
2.15
2.39
1.92
2.19
2.39
1.82


p Value
0.013
0.0023
0.039
0.0094
0.0023
0.033
0.0079
0.0023
0.048


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.16
1.37
1.03
1.21
1.37
1.05
1.23
1.37
1.01


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.70
4.19
3.43
3.83
4.19
3.50
3.90
4.19
3.28


OR Quartile 3
2.13
3.00
1.89
2.11
3.00
1.94
2.05
3.00
1.81


p Value
0.0017
3.9E−6
0.011
0.0017
3.9E−6
0.0078
0.0026
3.9E−6
0.016


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.33
1.88
1.16
1.32
1.88
1.19
1.29
1.88
1.12


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.41
4.78
3.07
3.38
4.78
3.15
3.27
4.78
2.93


OR Quartile 4
1.51
2.32
1.54
1.46
2.32
1.50
1.43
2.32
1.44


p Value
0.12
0.0014
0.12
0.16
0.0014
0.13
0.18
0.0014
0.18


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.898
1.38
0.899
0.865
1.38
0.881
0.849
1.38
0.846


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.54
3.90
2.62
2.45
3.90
2.57
2.40
3.90
2.46









Example 28. Use of C—X—C Motif Chemokine 9 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—X—C motif chemokine 9 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 28.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
241
1500
250
2030
272
1720


Average
7260
20300
7000
23100
9610
18500


Stdev
27000
44500
26300
47300
31600
42200


p (t-test)

0.0013

1.4E−4

0.047


Min
0.00285
0.0155
0.00285
0.0155
0.00285
0.0155


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
204
112
220
96
235
81


sCr only


Median
254
1500
258
1840
290
1680


Average
7140
21000
7100
23300
9010
20200


Stdev
26800
45200
26200
47900
30300
44600


p (t-test)

7.4E−4

1.4E−4

0.012


Min
0.00285
0.0155
0.00285
0.0155
0.00285
0.0155


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
207
108
222
93
234
81


UO only


Median
391
1640
412
1720
417
1700


Average
11000
18400
10900
19900
10900
20400


Stdev
33500
43200
33300
44600
33200
45100


p (t-test)

0.21

0.14

0.12


Min
0.00285
0.0155
0.00285
0.0155
0.00285
0.0155


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
274
40
277
37
278
36












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.70
0.68
0.74
0.73
0.70
0.71
0.69
0.69


SE
0.032
0.032
0.049
0.032
0.033
0.050
0.035
0.036
0.051


p Value
 5.7E−11
 7.8E−10
1.6E−4
 2.4E−14
 8.7E−12
9.4E−5
2.2E−9
7.0E−8
1.4E−4


nCohort Non-persistent
204
207
274
220
222
277
235
234
278


nCohort Persistent
112
108
40
96
93
37
81
81
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
108
110
109
108
110
109
108
110


Sensitivity
89%
88%
95%
92%
90%
95%
93%
90%
94%


Specificity
33%
32%
28%
32%
32%
28%
31%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
480
489
485
480
489
485
480
489


Sensitivity
71%
70%
80%
77%
75%
81%
77%
74%
81%


Specificity
62%
60%
54%
62%
60%
54%
59%
58%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790


Sensitivity
39%
41%
38%
45%
44%
41%
40%
40%
42%


Specificity
83%
83%
77%
84%
83%
77%
80%
80%
77%


OR Quartile 2
4.08
3.42
7.43
5.24
4.30
6.74
5.63
3.97
6.51


p Value
3.6E−5
2.0E−4
0.0066
2.9E−5
1.2E−4
0.0099
1.1E−4
5.4E−4
0.011


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.09
1.79
1.75
2.41
2.04
1.58
2.35
1.82
1.53


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.93
6.55
31.5
11.4
9.04
28.7
13.5
8.68
27.8


OR Quartile 3
4.04
3.62
4.77
5.45
4.63
5.06
4.72
3.97
4.85


p Value
3.9E−8
4.2E−7
1.6E−4
1.4E−9
3.0E−8
2.0E−4
1.3E−7
1.5E−6
3.1E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.45
2.20
2.12
3.15
2.69
2.15
2.66
2.26
2.06


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.64
5.96
10.7
9.42
7.97
11.9
8.41
6.95
11.5


OR Quartile 4
3.12
3.38
1.97
4.15
3.82
2.27
2.61
2.60
2.39


p Value
2.2E−5
6.4E−6
0.057
2.2E−7
1.1E−6
0.024
6.0E−4
6.4E−4
0.018


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.85
1.99
0.979
2.42
2.23
1.11
1.51
1.50
1.16


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.28
5.73
3.96
7.10
6.54
4.63
4.52
4.50
4.90
















TABLE 28.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
234
1250
234
1680
252
1640


Average
6840
19000
6570
21400
9040
18200


Stdev
26200
43200
25300
45800
31100
41200


p (t-test)

0.0021

2.4E−4

0.030


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
185
131
203
113
218
98


sCr only


Median
254
1230
250
1640
272
1390


Average
6720
19800
6540
21900
8410
19600


Stdev
25800
44300
25200
46400
29600
43400


p (t-test)

0.0010

1.7E−4

0.0081


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
191
124
205
110
217
98


UO only


Median
328
1320
339
1380
355
1350


Average
11400
14500
11200
15300
11200
15600


Stdev
34500
36400
34300
37600
34200
37900


p (t-test)

0.54

0.43

0.40


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
255
59
259
55
260
54












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.67
0.66
0.72
0.71
0.65
0.70
0.69
0.65


SE
0.031
0.032
0.042
0.031
0.032
0.043
0.033
0.034
0.043


p Value
 6.7E−10
6.1E−8
2.0E−4
 7.9E−13
 3.9E−11
3.3E−4
 6.8E−10
2.3E−8
4.6E−4


nCohort Non-persistent
185
191
255
203
205
259
218
217
260


nCohort Persistent
131
124
59
113
110
55
98
98
54


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
108
110
109
108
110
109
108
110


Sensitivity
86%
85%
92%
89%
88%
91%
91%
89%
91%


Specificity
33%
31%
29%
33%
32%
29%
32%
31%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
480
489
485
480
489
485
480
489


Sensitivity
69%
67%
71%
73%
72%
71%
74%
71%
70%


Specificity
63%
61%
55%
63%
61%
54%
61%
59%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790


Sensitivity
37%
38%
37%
42%
42%
38%
39%
39%
39%


Specificity
84%
83%
78%
84%
84%
78%
81%
81%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.09
2.53
4.42
4.15
3.54
4.00
4.68
3.61
3.90


p Value
1.6E−4
0.0016
0.0023
2.9E−5
1.3E−4
0.0046
4.6E−5
2.6E−4
0.0054


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.72
1.42
1.70
2.13
1.85
1.53
2.23
1.81
1.49


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.54
4.50
11.5
8.07
6.78
10.4
9.82
7.19
10.2


OR Quartile 3
3.78
3.13
3.01
4.72
4.06
2.91
4.57
3.66
2.81


p Value
4.2E−8
2.3E−6
4.5E−4
1.8E−9
4.3E−8
9.0E−4
1.9E−8
7.8E−7
0.0014


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.35
1.95
1.63
2.85
2.46
1.55
2.69
2.19
1.49


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.07
5.03
5.56
7.83
6.71
5.48
7.76
6.14
5.30


OR Quartile 4
3.09
3.03
2.07
3.81
3.75
2.14
2.73
2.72
2.22


p Value
2.8E−5
3.5E−5
0.019
8.3E−7
1.1E−6
0.016
2.0E−4
2.2E−4
0.012


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.82
1.79
1.13
2.24
2.20
1.15
1.61
1.60
1.19


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.23
5.13
3.78
6.47
6.37
3.97
4.64
4.62
4.12
















TABLE 28.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
234
1250
234
1520
254
1380


Average
6290
18800
5880
20900
8800
17600


Stdev
24600
43300
23700
45400
30400
41100


p (t-test)

0.0014

1.4E−4

0.032


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
175
141
190
126
205
111


sCr only


Median
252
1210
249
1440
272
1380


Average
6150
19700
5790
21700
8020
19300


Stdev
24200
44400
23400
46200
28700
43500


p (t-test)

5.7E−4

7.0E−5

0.0062


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
182
133
194
121
207
108


UO only


Median
333
1210
339
1320
339
1320


Average
11100
14900
11000
15900
11000
15900


Stdev
34000
38000
33700
39300
33700
39300


p (t-test)

0.43

0.32

0.32


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
246
68
251
63
251
63












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.67
0.63
0.71
0.71
0.63
0.68
0.68
0.63


SE
0.030
0.031
0.040
0.030
0.031
0.041
0.032
0.033
0.041


p Value
1.3E−9
4.7E−8
0.0012
 1.3E−12
 2.6E−11
0.0010
1.3E−8
6.2E−8
0.0010


nCohort Non-persistent
175
182
246
190
194
251
205
207
251


nCohort Persistent
141
133
68
126
121
63
111
108
63


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
108
110
109
108
110
109
108
110


Sensitivity
84%
83%
85%
87%
86%
86%
86%
86%
86%


Specificity
33%
31%
28%
33%
32%
28%
31%
31%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
480
489
485
480
489
485
480
489


Sensitivity
67%
66%
68%
71%
70%
68%
71%
69%
68%


Specificity
64%
62%
55%
64%
62%
55%
61%
60%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790


Sensitivity
36%
37%
35%
40%
40%
37%
36%
37%
37%


Specificity
84%
84%
78%
85%
85%
78%
81%
81%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.61
2.30
2.26
3.11
2.87
2.32
2.90
2.77
2.32


p Value
6.8E−4
0.0032
0.028
1.9E−4
5.1E−4
0.029
7.4E−4
0.0013
0.029


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.50
1.32
1.09
1.71
1.58
1.09
1.56
1.49
1.09


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.55
4.01
4.68
5.63
5.21
4.95
5.40
5.16
4.95


OR Quartile 3
3.67
3.13
2.54
4.49
3.91
2.58
3.94
3.40
2.58


p Value
5.2E−8
1.7E−6
0.0012
1.6E−9
3.8E−8
0.0015
6.8E−8
1.3E−6
0.0015


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.30
1.96
1.44
2.76
2.41
1.44
2.39
2.07
1.44


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.86
4.99
4.48
7.30
6.36
4.64
6.48
5.57
4.64


OR Quartile 4
2.98
2.96
1.89
3.65
3.72
2.00
2.40
2.53
2.00


p Value
5.6E−5
5.5E−5
0.031
1.9E−6
1.3E−6
0.022
0.0010
5.0E−4
0.022


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.75
1.75
1.06
2.14
2.19
1.11
1.42
1.50
1.11


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.06
5.00
3.39
6.22
6.33
3.62
4.04
4.28
3.62
















TABLE 28.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
234
1250
234
1440
254
1380


Average
6340
18600
5910
20800
7480
19600


Stdev
24800
43100
23700
45200
27300
44000


p (t-test)

0.0017

1.7E−4

0.0028


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
173
143
189
127
201
115


sCr only


Median
259
1210
250
1400
272
1380


Average
6220
19400
5850
21300
7410
20100


Stdev
24300
44200
23600
45900
27100
44700


p (t-test)

7.8E−4

1.0E−4

0.0018


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
180
135
192
123
204
111


UO only


Median
328
1200
339
1210
339
1210


Average
11200
14400
11000
15500
11000
15500


Stdev
34300
36800
33900
38200
33900
38200


p (t-test)

0.48

0.35

0.35


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
239
75
245
69
245
69












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.66
0.62
0.71
0.69
0.62
0.69
0.67
0.62


SE
0.030
0.031
0.038
0.030
0.031
0.040
0.032
0.033
0.040


p Value
1.9E−9
3.3E−7
0.0012
 6.6E−12
 3.7E−10
0.0017
6.1E−9
1.5E−7
0.0017


nCohort Non-persistent
173
180
239
189
192
245
201
204
245


nCohort Persistent
143
135
75
127
123
69
115
111
69


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
108
110
109
108
110
109
108
110


Sensitivity
84%
82%
85%
86%
85%
86%
86%
85%
86%


Specificity
32%
31%
28%
32%
31%
28%
31%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
480
489
485
480
489
485
480
489


Sensitivity
67%
65%
67%
71%
69%
67%
70%
68%
67%


Specificity
64%
61%
55%
64%
62%
55%
62%
60%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790


Sensitivity
36%
36%
35%
39%
40%
35%
37%
37%
35%


Specificity
84%
83%
78%
85%
84%
78%
82%
81%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.50
2.04
2.31
2.89
2.49
2.31
2.82
2.41
2.31


p Value
0.0011
0.010
0.019
3.8E−4
0.0019
0.024
7.9E−4
0.0038
0.024


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.44
1.18
1.15
1.61
1.40
1.12
1.54
1.33
1.12


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.32
3.50
4.65
5.18
4.43
4.78
5.18
4.38
4.78


OR Quartile 3
3.66
2.94
2.47
4.33
3.65
2.41
3.84
3.23
2.41


p Value
5.4E−8
5.1E−6
0.0011
3.1E−9
1.3E−7
0.0020
8.1E−8
2.5E−6
0.0020


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.29
1.85
1.43
2.67
2.25
1.38
2.35
1.98
1.38


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.83
4.68
4.25
7.03
5.90
4.23
6.27
5.27
4.23


OR Quartile 4
3.09
2.85
1.86
3.58
3.58
1.84
2.55
2.56
1.84


p Value
3.4E−5
9.6E−5
0.031
2.6E−6
2.6E−6
0.039
4.3E−4
4.2E−4
0.039


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.81
1.68
1.06
2.10
2.10
1.03
1.51
1.52
1.03


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.27
4.82
3.28
6.10
6.08
3.29
4.29
4.31
3.29
















TABLE 28.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
234
1210
225
1420
250
1380


Average
5600
19100
5230
21200
7610
19000


Stdev
22400
43900
21600
45900
27500
43400


p (t-test)

5.2E−4

4.9E−5

0.0048


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
169
147
184
132
197
119


sCr only


Median
252
1210
249
1400
268
1380


Average
5500
20000
5170
21800
6790
20700


Stdev
22000
45000
21300
46700
25400
45700


p (t-test)

2.2E−4

2.4E−5

5.6E−4


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
176
139
188
127
200
115


UO only


Median
308
1290
321
1320
321
1320


Average
10700
15500
10700
16000
10700
16000


Stdev
33400
38800
33200
39500
33200
39500


p (t-test)

0.29

0.25

0.25


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
234
80
237
77
237
77












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.66
0.64
0.71
0.70
0.64
0.68
0.67
0.64


SE
0.030
0.031
0.037
0.030
0.031
0.038
0.032
0.032
0.038


p Value
3.8E−9
1.3E−7
1.6E−4
 3.1E−12
 1.3E−10
3.3E−4
1.4E−8
6.9E−8
3.3E−4


nCohort Non-persistent
169
176
234
184
188
237
197
200
237


nCohort Persistent
147
139
80
132
127
77
119
115
77


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
108
110
109
108
110
109
108
110


Sensitivity
83%
82%
86%
86%
84%
86%
86%
84%
86%


Specificity
32%
31%
29%
33%
31%
29%
31%
30%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
480
489
485
480
489
485
480
489


Sensitivity
66%
65%
69%
70%
69%
68%
69%
68%
68%


Specificity
64%
61%
56%
64%
62%
56%
61%
60%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790


Sensitivity
36%
36%
34%
39%
39%
34%
36%
37%
34%


Specificity
85%
84%
78%
85%
85%
78%
82%
82%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.29
2.02
2.57
2.88
2.45
2.41
2.76
2.36
2.41


p Value
0.0025
0.011
0.0079
3.2E−4
0.0020
0.013
8.4E−4
0.0040
0.013


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.34
1.18
1.28
1.62
1.39
1.20
1.52
1.32
1.20


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.93
3.46
5.15
5.12
4.32
4.85
5.00
4.25
4.85


OR Quartile 3
3.43
2.92
2.85
4.11
3.58
2.61
3.53
3.16
2.61


p Value
1.8E−7
5.5E−6
1.4E−4
6.8E−9
1.5E−7
5.0E−4
3.1E−7
3.0E−6
5.0E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.16
1.84
1.66
2.55
2.23
1.52
2.18
1.95
1.52


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.46
4.63
4.88
6.63
5.77
4.49
5.72
5.12
4.49


OR Quartile 4
3.10
2.85
1.78
3.78
3.56
1.77
2.53
2.53
1.77


p Value
3.6E−5
1.0E−4
0.042
1.2E−6
2.9E−6
0.047
4.7E−4
4.7E−4
0.047


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.81
1.68
1.02
2.21
2.09
1.01
1.50
1.51
1.01


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.30
4.83
3.11
6.47
6.06
3.11
4.26
4.27
3.11









Example 29. Use of C—X—C Motif Chemokine 9 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—X—C motif chemokine 9 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 29.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
173
1030
225
1210
234
1380


Average
4240
16500
4980
18800
4990
20900


Stdev
22100
39900
21300
43300
20400
45900


p (t-test)

0.0023

3.8E−4

4.7E−5


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
119
197
158
158
179
137


sCr only


Median
210
934
242
1190
249
1250


Average
4320
17200
4780
19400
4790
21900


Stdev
21200
41000
20900
43900
20000
46800


p (t-test)

0.0011

1.7E−4

1.4E−5


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00683


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
130
185
162
153
184
131


UO only


Median
294
1840
308
1780
321
1720


Average
10300
17400
10500
18200
10700
18400


Stdev
32700
41100
32900
42100
33000
42900


p (t-test)

0.13

0.13

0.15


Min
0.00285
0.0155
0.00285
0.0155
0.00285
0.0155


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
241
73
256
58
263
51












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.67
0.71
0.69
0.67
0.70
0.70
0.69
0.69


SE
0.029
0.030
0.037
0.030
0.030
0.041
0.030
0.031
0.044


p Value
 3.3E−13
1.9E−8
2.6E−8
 4.2E−10
1.2E−8
1.2E−6
 6.7E−11
 5.3E−10
8.0E−6


nCohort Non-persistent
119
130
241
158
162
256
179
184
263


nCohort Persistent
197
185
73
158
153
58
137
131
51


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
108
110
109
108
110
109
108
110


Sensitivity
84%
82%
93%
84%
84%
93%
86%
86%
92%


Specificity
39%
35%
31%
34%
33%
29%
34%
33%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
480
489
485
480
489
485
480
489


Sensitivity
62%
61%
75%
64%
63%
78%
68%
68%
78%


Specificity
70%
65%
58%
64%
62%
56%
64%
62%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790


Sensitivity
35%
33%
45%
35%
35%
45%
36%
36%
43%


Specificity
91%
86%
81%
85%
84%
79%
84%
83%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.37
2.52
6.03
2.76
2.56
5.59
3.13
3.11
4.69


p Value
6.5E−6
4.9E−4
2.1E−4
2.2E−4
6.3E−4
0.0013
1.0E−4
1.4E−4
0.0041


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.99
1.50
2.33
1.61
1.49
1.96
1.76
1.74
1.63


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.71
4.24
15.6
4.74
4.39
16.0
5.57
5.59
13.5


OR Quartile 3
3.75
2.80
4.16
3.14
2.87
4.45
3.71
3.53
4.54


p Value
9.5E−8
1.4E−5
2.2E−6
1.0E−6
6.3E−6
1.1E−5
4.8E−8
1.7E−7
3.0E−5


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.31
1.76
2.31
1.98
1.82
2.29
2.32
2.20
2.23


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.09
4.46
7.51
4.97
4.53
8.65
5.93
5.67
9.23


OR Quartile 4
5.18
3.06
3.50
3.22
2.77
3.11
2.97
2.66
2.74


p Value
2.7E−6
1.8E−4
1.3E−5
3.0E−5
1.9E−4
2.1E−4
5.3E−5
2.4E−4
0.0016


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.61
1.71
1.99
1.86
1.62
1.71
1.75
1.58
1.46


Upper limit of 95% CI
10.3
5.49
6.13
5.58
4.74
5.67
5.04
4.48
5.13
















TABLE 29.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
164
979
209
1190
209
1250


Average
3140
16700
5050
17800
4640
19800


Stdev
18000
40400
21900
42100
20700
44100


p (t-test)

8.6E−4

0.0010

9.2E−5


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
112
204
147
169
165
151


sCr only


Median
209
934
225
1070
216
1230


Average
3250
17600
4000
19400
3760
21300


Stdev
17100
41800
17900
44200
17100
46000


p (t-test)

2.9E−4

7.1E−5

6.1E−6


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
126
189
154
161
169
146


UO only


Median
286
1350
298
1290
315
1250


Average
10500
15400
10700
15800
10900
15700


Stdev
33600
37600
33800
37900
33900
38100


p (t-test)

0.26

0.27

0.31


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
222
92
238
76
245
69












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.67
0.67
0.69
0.68
0.66
0.70
0.69
0.65


SE
0.029
0.030
0.035
0.029
0.030
0.038
0.029
0.030
0.039


p Value
 1.7E−13
8.9E−9
4.8E−7
 6.4E−11
4.0E−9
1.9E−5
 3.1E−12
 7.6E−11
1.2E−4


nCohort Non-persistent
112
126
222
147
154
238
165
169
245


nCohort Persistent
204
189
92
169
161
76
151
146
69


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
108
110
109
108
110
109
108
110


Sensitivity
83%
82%
90%
85%
84%
89%
86%
86%
88%


Specificity
40%
36%
32%
36%
34%
30%
35%
34%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
480
489
485
480
489
485
480
489


Sensitivity
61%
60%
70%
64%
63%
71%
68%
66%
71%


Specificity
71%
65%
58%
66%
63%
57%
66%
64%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790


Sensitivity
34%
33%
40%
34%
34%
39%
36%
36%
38%


Specificity
91%
87%
81%
86%
84%
79%
85%
84%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.36
2.53
4.25
3.10
2.72
3.61
3.36
3.11
3.11


p Value
6.8E−6
4.6E−4
1.4E−4
3.6E−5
2.4E−4
0.0013
2.3E−5
7.3E−5
0.0047


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.98
1.51
2.02
1.81
1.60
1.65
1.91
1.78
1.42


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.69
4.26
8.94
5.30
4.65
7.91
5.88
5.45
6.83


OR Quartile 3
3.79
2.83
3.17
3.43
2.86
3.22
4.05
3.50
3.11


p Value
1.3E−7
1.3E−5
1.3E−5
1.8E−7
6.4E−6
4.1E−5
5.0E−9
1.3E−7
1.2E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.31
1.77
1.89
2.16
1.81
1.84
2.54
2.20
1.74


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.21
4.52
5.32
5.46
4.53
5.62
6.48
5.58
5.54


OR Quartile 4
5.21
3.13
2.88
3.14
2.81
2.52
3.12
2.91
2.19


p Value
5.4E−6
1.7E−4
1.1E−4
6.5E−5
2.0E−4
0.0012
3.7E−5
8.6E−5
0.0074


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.56
1.73
1.69
1.79
1.63
1.44
1.82
1.71
1.23


Upper limit of 95% CI
10.6
5.67
4.92
5.49
4.84
4.39
5.35
4.96
3.89
















TABLE 29.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
166
970
209
1060
213
1210


Average
3170
16600
5150
17500
4830
18900


Stdev
18100
40300
22100
41800
21200
43300


p (t-test)

9.7E−4

0.0015

2.8E−4


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
111
205
144
172
158
158


sCr only


Median
210
913
250
1010
250
1200


Average
3310
17500
4080
19100
3890
20500


Stdev
17200
41600
18100
43900
17400
45300


p (t-test)

3.8E−4

1.2E−4

1.9E−5


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
124
191
151
164
163
152


UO only


Median
294
1230
302
1210
318
1210


Average
11000
14000
10600
15300
10800
15200


Stdev
34400
36000
33400
38200
33500
38400


p (t-test)

0.48

0.28

0.33


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
212
102
225
89
232
82












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.66
0.65
0.68
0.66
0.64
0.69
0.67
0.63


SE
0.029
0.030
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.037


p Value
 7.0E−13
5.7E−8
1.9E−5
 4.5E−10
5.4E−8
1.4E−4
 3.3E−10
1.9E−8
7.2E−4


nCohort Non-persistent
111
124
212
144
151
225
158
163
232


nCohort Persistent
205
191
102
172
164
89
158
152
82


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
108
110
109
108
110
109
108
110


Sensitivity
83%
81%
86%
84%
82%
85%
84%
82%
84%


Specificity
40%
35%
31%
35%
33%
29%
34%
32%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
480
489
485
480
489
485
480
489


Sensitivity
61%
60%
66%
63%
62%
66%
65%
64%
66%


Specificity
70%
65%
58%
65%
62%
56%
65%
63%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790


Sensitivity
34%
32%
36%
34%
34%
36%
34%
34%
34%


Specificity
91%
86%
80%
85%
84%
79%
84%
83%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.19
2.29
2.78
2.82
2.30
2.43
2.56
2.17
2.11


p Value
1.6E−5
0.0018
0.0016
1.2E−4
0.0018
0.0079
5.6E−4
0.0042
0.026


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.88
1.36
1.47
1.66
1.36
1.26
1.50
1.28
1.09


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.40
3.84
5.25
4.79
3.90
4.67
4.37
3.69
4.07


OR Quartile 3
3.69
2.69
2.59
3.17
2.64
2.55
3.51
2.95
2.42


p Value
2.2E−7
3.4E−5
1.4E−4
9.6E−7
2.8E−5
3.5E−4
1.1E−7
3.8E−6
9.9E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.25
1.69
1.59
2.00
1.68
1.53
2.21
1.86
1.43


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.05
4.30
4.24
5.03
4.17
4.25
5.57
4.66
4.08


OR Quartile 4
5.12
3.03
2.30
2.98
2.67
2.13
2.76
2.62
1.84


p Value
6.7E−6
2.6E−4
0.0019
1.3E−4
4.0E−4
0.0061
2.2E−4
3.9E−4
0.030


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.52
1.67
1.36
1.70
1.55
1.24
1.61
1.54
1.06


Upper limit of 95% CI
10.4
5.48
3.90
5.22
4.60
3.65
4.74
4.46
3.20
















TABLE 29.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
169
952
209
1050
213
1200


Average
3200
16500
5190
17400
4890
18700


Stdev
18200
40200
22200
41700
21300
43100


p (t-test)

0.0011

0.0017

3.7E−4


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
110
206
143
173
156
160


sCr only


Median
210
913
252
970
252
1190


Average
3310
17500
4110
19000
3920
20300


Stdev
17200
41600
18100
43800
17500
45200


p (t-test)

3.8E−4

1.4E−4

2.3E−5


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
124
191
150
165
162
153


UO only


Median
298
1210
317
1130
333
965


Average
11200
13400
10900
14500
11100
14200


Stdev
34700
35400
33800
37300
33900
37300


p (t-test)

0.59

0.39

0.48


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
208
106
220
94
226
88












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.66
0.63
0.68
0.66
0.62
0.68
0.67
0.60


SE
0.029
0.030
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.036


p Value
 1.8E−12
5.7E−8
1.1E−4
1.6E−9
1.6E−7
8.1E−4
1.4E−9
5.9E−8
0.0040


nCohort Non-persistent
110
124
208
143
150
220
156
162
226


nCohort Persistent
206
191
106
173
165
94
160
153
88


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
108
110
109
108
110
109
108
110


Sensitivity
83%
81%
85%
83%
82%
85%
83%
82%
84%


Specificity
39%
35%
30%
35%
33%
30%
33%
31%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
480
489
485
480
489
485
480
489


Sensitivity
61%
60%
64%
62%
61%
64%
64%
63%
62%


Specificity
70%
65%
57%
65%
62%
56%
65%
62%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790


Sensitivity
33%
32%
35%
34%
33%
34%
34%
34%
32%


Specificity
91%
86%
80%
85%
84%
79%
84%
83%
77%


OR Quartile 2
3.03
2.29
2.44
2.67
2.18
2.40
2.46
2.05
2.13


p Value
3.5E−5
0.0018
0.0040
2.6E−4
0.0034
0.0072
8.8E−4
0.0076
0.020


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.79
1.36
1.33
1.58
1.29
1.27
1.45
1.21
1.13


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.12
3.84
4.49
4.52
3.68
4.53
4.19
3.47
4.05


OR Quartile 3
3.60
2.69
2.39
3.09
2.57
2.24
3.32
2.87
2.03


p Value
3.8E−7
3.4E−5
4.0E−4
1.6E−6
4.6E−5
0.0015
3.4E−7
6.3E−6
0.0061


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.20
1.69
1.48
1.95
1.63
1.36
2.09
1.82
1.22


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.90
4.30
3.88
4.90
4.06
3.68
5.26
4.53
3.36


OR Quartile 4
5.04
3.03
2.12
2.93
2.62
1.90
2.67
2.57
1.60


p Value
8.5E−6
2.6E−4
0.0049
1.7E−4
5.0E−4
0.019
3.6E−4
4.9E−4
0.091


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.47
1.67
1.26
1.67
1.52
1.11
1.56
1.51
0.927


Upper limit of 95% CI
10.3
5.48
3.58
5.13
4.52
3.24
4.58
4.38
2.77
















TABLE 29.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
164
952
208
952
222
1060


Average
3280
16200
5350
17000
5060
18000


Stdev
18500
39900
22600
41200
21700
42400


p (t-test)

0.0017

0.0031

8.4E−4


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
106
210
138
178
150
166


sCr only


Median
209
924
242
970
249
1190


Average
3350
17200
4190
18500
3990
19800


Stdev
17500
41300
18400
43300
17700
44700


p (t-test)

5.3E−4

2.3E−4

4.4E−5


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
121
194
146
169
158
157


UO only


Median
286
1230
308
1200
321
1190


Average
10700
14100
10500
15000
10300
15600


Stdev
33700
36800
33000
38400
32600
39300


p (t-test)

0.41

0.29

0.22


Min
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568
0.00285
0.00568


Max
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000
150000


n (Patient)
202
112
212
102
217
97












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.67
0.65
0.67
0.66
0.63
0.67
0.67
0.62


SE
0.029
0.030
0.033
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.035


p Value
 1.0E−12
1.8E−8
1.0E−5
5.1E−9
7.2E−8
2.2E−4
1.0E−8
2.9E−8
6.5E−4


nCohort Non-persistent
106
121
202
138
146
212
150
158
217


nCohort Persistent
210
194
112
178
169
102
166
157
97


Cutoff Quartile 2
109
108
110
109
108
110
109
108
110


Sensitivity
82%
81%
86%
83%
82%
85%
83%
82%
85%


Specificity
40%
36%
31%
36%
34%
30%
34%
32%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
485
480
489
485
480
489
485
480
489


Sensitivity
60%
60%
65%
61%
61%
64%
63%
63%
63%


Specificity
71%
65%
58%
64%
62%
57%
64%
63%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790
2650
2520
2790


Sensitivity
33%
32%
35%
33%
33%
33%
33%
34%
32%


Specificity
92%
87%
80%
86%
84%
79%
84%
84%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.07
2.42
2.72
2.72
2.34
2.51
2.54
2.20
2.29


p Value
3.0E−5
8.5E−4
0.0012
1.9E−4
0.0014
0.0037
5.5E−4
0.0035
0.0093


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.81
1.44
1.48
1.61
1.39
1.35
1.50
1.30
1.23


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.20
4.07
4.99
4.59
3.95
4.67
4.31
3.72
4.26


OR Quartile 3
3.70
2.80
2.63
2.87
2.58
2.29
2.98
2.86
2.14


p Value
3.2E−7
1.9E−5
7.6E−5
7.4E−6
4.5E−5
8.4E−4
3.0E−6
6.4E−6
0.0025


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.24
1.75
1.63
1.81
1.64
1.41
1.89
1.81
1.31


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.11
4.48
4.24
4.55
4.07
3.73
4.72
4.52
3.49


OR Quartile 4
5.39
3.16
2.16
2.93
2.65
1.86
2.60
2.59
1.65


p Value
8.3E−6
2.0E−4
0.0037
2.1E−4
5.0E−4
0.022
5.6E−4
5.0E−4
0.065


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.57
1.72
1.29
1.66
1.53
1.10
1.51
1.52
0.970


Upper limit of 95% CI
11.3
5.78
3.64
5.16
4.59
3.14
4.48
4.42
2.82









Example 30. Use of Hepatocyte Growth Factor-Like Protein for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 30.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
0.147
0.297
0.150
0.277
0.147
0.272


Average
0.673
3.81
0.701
3.70
0.739
3.64


Stdev
1.79
18.0
1.93
17.7
2.04
17.6


p (t-test)

0.20

0.25

0.29


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
12.3
176


n (Patient)
55
257
46
266
41
271


sCr only


Median
0.164
0.308
0.165
0.306
0.164
0.310


Average
0.714
4.05
0.722
4.03
0.653
4.00


Stdev
1.73
18.7
1.74
18.7
1.68
18.5


p (t-test)

0.13

0.13

0.14


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
12.3
176


n (Patient)
73
238
72
239
68
243


UO only


Median
0.182
0.440
0.176
0.350
0.181
0.322


Average
1.38
6.33
1.41
5.58
1.16
5.38


Stdev
5.00
25.7
5.24
23.8
3.46
22.9


p (t-test)

0.010

0.027

0.024


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
54.5
176
54.5
176
27.3
176


n (Patient)
192
118
172
138
155
155












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.63
0.61
0.65
0.63
0.61
0.65
0.63
0.62
0.63


SE
0.039
0.036
0.033
0.041
0.036
0.032
0.043
0.036
0.031


p Value
5.2E−4
0.0027
2.1E−6
0.0019
0.0036
3.4E−6
0.0021
7.7E−4
3.7E−5


nCohort Recovered
55
73
192
46
72
172
41
68
155


nCohort Non-recovered
257
238
118
266
239
138
271
243
155


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938


Sensitivity
78%
77%
88%
77%
77%
86%
77%
77%
83%


Specificity
40%
32%
33%
39%
32%
34%
39%
34%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251


Sensitivity
54%
54%
63%
53%
54%
60%
53%
54%
58%


Specificity
67%
63%
58%
67%
62%
58%
68%
65%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16


Sensitivity
28%
29%
36%
27%
28%
33%
27%
28%
32%


Specificity
87%
86%
81%
87%
86%
81%
85%
87%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.39
1.53
3.71
2.21
1.57
3.27
2.16
1.75
2.50


p Value
0.0055
0.15
4.9E−5
0.018
0.13
5.8E−5
0.029
0.062
8.1E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.29
0.858
1.97
1.14
0.879
1.84
1.08
0.973
1.46


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.43
2.73
7.00
4.26
2.80
5.83
4.30
3.14
4.29


OR Quartile 3
2.38
2.02
2.30
2.33
1.95
2.10
2.41
2.18
1.92


p Value
0.0056
0.011
5.0E−4
0.012
0.015
0.0015
0.014
0.0062
0.0047


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.29
1.18
1.44
1.20
1.14
1.33
1.20
1.25
1.22


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.41
3.46
3.69
4.52
3.36
3.31
4.84
3.81
3.01


OR Quartile 4
2.62
2.52
2.39
2.47
2.47
2.19
2.11
2.60
2.16


p Value
0.025
0.012
0.0011
0.048
0.015
0.0033
0.11
0.013
0.0044


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.13
1.22
1.42
1.01
1.19
1.30
0.852
1.22
1.27


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.06
5.20
4.04
6.08
5.09
3.69
5.23
5.53
3.67
















TABLE 30.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
0.147
0.319
0.149
0.311
0.149
0.310


Average
0.622
4.28
0.642
4.15
0.679
4.02


Stdev
1.64
19.2
1.70
18.9
1.79
18.6


p (t-test)

0.078

0.10

0.13


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
12.3
176


n (Patient)
87
225
79
233
71
241


sCr only


Median
0.163
0.321
0.164
0.320
0.153
0.321


Average
0.707
4.52
0.713
4.50
0.668
4.43


Stdev
1.68
19.9
1.69
19.9
1.65
19.7


p (t-test)

0.054

0.056

0.061


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
12.3
176


n (Patient)
103
209
102
210
97
215


UO only


Median
0.207
0.372
0.217
0.322
0.217
0.321


Average
1.77
6.37
1.82
5.65
1.36
5.80


Stdev
6.02
27.4
6.24
25.5
3.66
24.6


p (t-test)

0.021

0.047

0.019


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
54.5
176
54.5
176
27.3
176


n (Patient)
209
101
193
117
177
133












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.63
0.63
0.64
0.63
0.61
0.64
0.64
0.59


SE
0.033
0.032
0.035
0.034
0.032
0.033
0.035
0.032
0.033


p Value
1.4E−6
4.2E−5
2.8E−4
2.2E−5
6.2E−5
0.0013
6.0E−5
7.8E−6
0.0042


nCohort Recovered
87
103
209
79
102
193
71
97
177


nCohort Non-recovered
225
209
101
233
210
117
241
215
133


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938


Sensitivity
81%
79%
86%
80%
80%
84%
79%
80%
81%


Specificity
40%
34%
31%
39%
34%
31%
39%
36%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251


Sensitivity
56%
56%
61%
55%
56%
59%
54%
56%
57%


Specificity
64%
62%
56%
63%
62%
55%
63%
64%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16


Sensitivity
31%
31%
37%
30%
31%
34%
29%
31%
33%


Specificity
90%
87%
80%
90%
87%
80%
89%
88%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.85
1.99
2.74
2.56
2.03
2.27
2.49
2.26
1.85


p Value
1.5E−4
0.011
0.0019
8.9E−4
0.0087
0.0055
0.0017
0.0027
0.026


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.66
1.17
1.45
1.47
1.20
1.27
1.41
1.33
1.07


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.90
3.37
5.18
4.45
3.44
4.05
4.39
3.85
3.17


OR Quartile 3
2.26
2.09
1.98
2.07
2.03
1.79
2.03
2.28
1.65


p Value
0.0018
0.0028
0.0056
0.0068
0.0040
0.014
0.011
0.0011
0.030


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.35
1.29
1.22
1.22
1.25
1.12
1.18
1.39
1.05


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.77
3.38
3.22
3.49
3.30
2.85
3.50
3.74
2.60


OR Quartile 4
3.83
3.12
2.37
3.81
3.07
2.12
3.22
3.14
2.08


p Value
4.1E−4
6.0E−4
0.0014
8.1E−4
7.4E−4
0.0048
0.0035
8.3E−4
0.0058


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.82
1.63
1.39
1.74
1.60
1.26
1.47
1.61
1.24


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.08
5.99
4.02
8.34
5.89
3.57
7.08
6.13
3.50
















TABLE 30.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
0.153
0.322
0.158
0.321
0.158
0.320


Average
0.677
4.69
0.678
4.59
0.708
4.39


Stdev
1.78
20.3
1.81
20.1
1.89
19.6


p (t-test)

0.039

0.046

0.067


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
12.3
176


n (Patient)
111
201
106
206
96
216


sCr only


Median
0.169
0.321
0.172
0.320
0.169
0.322


Average
0.758
4.91
0.770
4.86
0.736
4.77


Stdev
1.81
21.0
1.82
20.9
1.80
20.6


p (t-test)

0.029

0.032

0.035


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
12.3
176


n (Patient)
124
188
122
190
117
195


UO only


Median
0.239
0.325
0.238
0.322
0.238
0.322


Average
2.40
5.09
2.45
4.77
2.02
5.17


Stdev
10.9
24.4
11.1
23.3
10.3
22.8


p (t-test)

0.18

0.24

0.099


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
133
176
133
176
133
176


n (Patient)
210
100
201
109
187
123












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.62
0.60
0.65
0.62
0.59
0.64
0.62
0.60


SE
0.031
0.032
0.035
0.032
0.032
0.034
0.032
0.032
0.033


p Value
1.0E−6
8.9E−5
0.0063
4.5E−6
2.9E−4
0.0064
1.5E−5
1.0E−4
0.0038


nCohort Recovered
111
124
210
106
122
201
96
117
187


nCohort Non-recovered
201
188
100
206
190
109
216
195
123


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938


Sensitivity
82%
80%
84%
81%
79%
83%
80%
79%
81%


Specificity
37%
32%
30%
36%
32%
29%
36%
32%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251


Sensitivity
57%
57%
58%
57%
56%
58%
56%
57%
57%


Specificity
63%
60%
54%
63%
60%
54%
64%
62%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16


Sensitivity
32%
32%
34%
32%
32%
34%
31%
32%
34%


Specificity
88%
86%
79%
89%
86%
80%
89%
86%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.60
1.88
2.20
2.32
1.82
1.97
2.31
1.86
1.81


p Value
3.7E−4
0.017
0.012
0.0017
0.024
0.022
0.0021
0.019
0.035


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.54
1.12
1.19
1.37
1.08
1.10
1.35
1.11
1.04


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.39
3.16
4.05
3.92
3.06
3.52
3.93
3.14
3.15


OR Quartile 3
2.28
2.02
1.61
2.26
1.92
1.62
2.22
2.11
1.58


p Value
6.8E−4
0.0028
0.053
9.1E−4
0.0056
0.044
0.0016
0.0017
0.049


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.42
1.27
0.995
1.40
1.21
1.01
1.35
1.32
1.00


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.68
3.21
2.60
3.66
3.05
2.60
3.64
3.38
2.51


OR Quartile 4
3.60
3.02
1.94
3.69
2.92
2.01
3.47
2.94
2.17


p Value
1.1E−4
2.7E−4
0.014
1.3E−4
4.2E−4
0.0093
4.1E−4
5.0E−4
0.0034


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.88
1.67
1.14
1.89
1.61
1.19
1.74
1.60
1.29


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.90
5.49
3.30
7.20
5.30
3.39
6.93
5.40
3.66
















TABLE 30.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
0.165
0.356
0.165
0.333
0.164
0.321


Average
0.879
4.98
0.898
4.82
0.953
4.57


Stdev
2.88
21.3
2.96
20.9
3.09
20.3


p (t-test)

0.029

0.039

0.061


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
27.3
176
27.3
176
27.3
176


n (Patient)
131
181
124
188
113
199


sCr only


Median
0.169
0.344
0.170
0.339
0.169
0.341


Average
0.932
5.08
0.945
5.03
0.919
4.98


Stdev
2.87
21.6
2.88
21.5
2.88
21.3


p (t-test)

0.026

0.029

0.031


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
27.3
176
27.3
176
27.3
176


n (Patient)
137
175
135
177
132
180


UO only


Median
0.239
0.333
0.232
0.333
0.238
0.322


Average
2.11
5.77
2.14
5.44
1.98
5.33


Stdev
10.2
25.1
10.4
24.1
10.2
23.2


p (t-test)

0.068

0.094

0.081


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
133
176
133
176
133
176


n (Patient)
212
98
204
106
191
119












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.64
0.61
0.65
0.63
0.61
0.64
0.63
0.60


SE
0.031
0.031
0.035
0.031
0.031
0.034
0.031
0.031
0.033


p Value
2.5E−7
6.0E−6
0.0028
1.2E−6
2.3E−5
0.0010
7.0E−6
1.8E−5
0.0021


nCohort Recovered
131
137
212
124
135
204
113
132
191


nCohort Non-recovered
181
175
98
188
177
106
199
180
119


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938


Sensitivity
83%
82%
83%
82%
81%
83%
81%
81%
82%


Specificity
36%
34%
29%
35%
33%
29%
36%
33%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251


Sensitivity
58%
58%
58%
57%
58%
58%
56%
58%
57%


Specificity
61%
61%
54%
61%
60%
54%
61%
61%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16


Sensitivity
34%
34%
37%
34%
33%
37%
32%
33%
35%


Specificity
88%
86%
80%
88%
86%
81%
88%
86%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.71
2.26
1.92
2.49
2.18
2.04
2.49
2.15
1.83


p Value
2.1E−4
0.0022
0.033
6.2E−4
0.0033
0.018
6.3E−4
0.0040
0.034


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.60
1.34
1.05
1.48
1.30
1.13
1.48
1.28
1.05


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.58
3.81
3.51
4.20
3.67
3.67
4.21
3.61
3.20


OR Quartile 3
2.17
2.15
1.62
2.14
2.04
1.68
2.02
2.11
1.59


p Value
9.5E−4
0.0010
0.051
0.0013
0.0022
0.032
0.0034
0.0014
0.048


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.37
1.36
0.997
1.35
1.29
1.05
1.26
1.33
1.00


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.43
3.39
2.62
3.40
3.22
2.70
3.23
3.33
2.53


OR Quartile 4
3.74
3.16
2.35
3.66
3.05
2.46
3.35
3.17
2.35


p Value
2.0E−5
9.4E−5
0.0016
3.9E−5
1.5E−4
8.0E−4
1.8E−4
1.1E−4
0.0014


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.04
1.77
1.38
1.97
1.71
1.45
1.78
1.76
1.39


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.87
5.63
4.00
6.80
5.44
4.17
6.32
5.69
3.96
















TABLE 30.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
0.202
0.372
0.195
0.356
0.195
0.356


Average
2.03
5.06
2.06
4.95
2.06
4.95


Stdev
10.8
22.1
10.9
21.9
10.9
21.9


p (t-test)

0.11

0.13

0.13


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
133
176
133
176
133
176


n (Patient)
185
127
182
130
182
130


sCr only


Median
0.181
0.342
0.178
0.331
0.175
0.339


Average
1.96
4.58
2.00
4.49
1.97
4.50


Stdev
11.1
20.4
11.2
20.2
11.2
20.2


p (t-test)

0.16

0.18

0.17


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
133
176
133
176
133
176


n (Patient)
157
155
154
158
153
159


UO only


Median
0.217
0.339
0.217
0.331
0.217
0.322


Average
2.15
5.51
2.18
5.37
2.19
5.25


Stdev
10.3
24.5
10.4
24.1
10.5
23.8


p (t-test)

0.091

0.11

0.12


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
133
176
133
176
133
176


n (Patient)
207
103
204
106
201
109












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.63
0.60
0.64
0.62
0.60
0.64
0.63
0.60


SE
0.032
0.031
0.035
0.032
0.031
0.034
0.032
0.031
0.034


p Value
1.4E−5
3.7E−5
0.0042
1.6E−5
9.8E−5
0.0031
1.6E−5
4.5E−5
0.0043


nCohort Recovered
185
157
207
182
154
204
182
153
201


nCohort Non-recovered
127
155
103
130
158
106
130
159
109


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938


Sensitivity
82%
82%
82%
82%
82%
82%
82%
82%
81%


Specificity
30%
32%
29%
30%
32%
29%
30%
32%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251


Sensitivity
62%
59%
60%
62%
58%
60%
62%
58%
60%


Specificity
58%
59%
55%
58%
58%
55%
58%
59%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16


Sensitivity
38%
34%
35%
37%
34%
35%
37%
34%
35%


Specificity
84%
84%
80%
84%
84%
80%
84%
84%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.91
2.12
1.76
2.01
2.08
1.86
2.01
2.11
1.66


p Value
0.021
0.0054
0.056
0.013
0.0066
0.036
0.013
0.0054
0.080


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.10
1.25
0.985
1.16
1.23
1.04
1.16
1.25
0.942


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.32
3.60
3.15
3.49
3.51
3.33
3.49
3.58
2.92


OR Quartile 3
2.31
2.12
1.85
2.23
1.96
1.89
2.23
2.01
1.82


p Value
3.9E−4
0.0011
0.012
6.3E−4
0.0034
0.0088
6.3E−4
0.0023
0.013


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.45
1.35
1.15
1.41
1.25
1.17
1.41
1.28
1.14


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.67
3.33
3.00
3.54
3.07
3.05
3.54
3.16
2.92


OR Quartile 4
3.14
2.74
2.11
2.97
2.60
2.13
2.97
2.76
2.15


p Value
2.4E−5
2.6E−4
0.0055
5.7E−5
5.2E−4
0.0048
5.7E−5
2.6E−4
0.0041


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.85
1.60
1.24
1.75
1.52
1.26
1.75
1.60
1.27


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.34
4.71
3.58
5.04
4.47
3.61
5.04
4.77
3.64









Example 31. Use of Hepatocyte Growth Factor-Like Protein for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 31.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
0.147
0.321
0.149
0.321
0.148
0.321


Average
0.680
4.57
0.645
4.51
0.658
4.45


Stdev
1.62
20.0
1.56
19.8
1.58
19.7


p (t-test)

0.048

0.051

0.058


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
12.3
176


n (Patient)
105
207
101
211
98
214


sCr only


Median
0.164
0.321
0.164
0.321
0.164
0.321


Average
0.693
4.95
0.701
4.90
0.708
4.85


Stdev
1.57
21.0
1.58
20.9
1.59
20.8


p (t-test)

0.025

0.028

0.031


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
12.3
176


n (Patient)
123
188
121
190
119
192


UO only


Median
0.205
0.502
0.202
0.505
0.212
0.336


Average
2.40
5.33
2.46
4.85
2.29
4.95


Stdev
12.8
22.9
13.2
21.5
12.9
21.2


p (t-test)

0.15

0.23

0.17


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
170
176
170
176
170
176


n (Patient)
218
92
205
105
196
114












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.63
0.64
0.64
0.63
0.64
0.64
0.63
0.61


SE
0.032
0.032
0.035
0.032
0.032
0.034
0.032
0.032
0.034


p Value
5.5E−6
6.4E−5
5.6E−5
5.9E−6
7.1E−5
2.1E−5
1.2E−5
7.9E−5
7.7E−4


nCohort Recovered
105
123
218
101
121
205
98
119
196


nCohort Non-recovered
207
188
92
211
190
105
214
192
114


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938


Sensitivity
80%
79%
89%
81%
79%
89%
80%
79%
85%


Specificity
35%
31%
31%
37%
31%
32%
37%
32%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251


Sensitivity
57%
57%
63%
56%
57%
63%
56%
57%
59%


Specificity
64%
60%
56%
63%
60%
57%
63%
61%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16


Sensitivity
31%
32%
36%
31%
32%
35%
30%
32%
33%


Specificity
87%
86%
79%
87%
86%
80%
87%
86%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.20
1.65
3.72
2.40
1.72
3.68
2.38
1.78
2.58


p Value
0.0033
0.057
3.3E−4
0.0012
0.041
1.3E−4
0.0014
0.029
0.0019


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.30
0.985
1.82
1.41
1.02
1.89
1.40
1.06
1.42


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.73
2.78
7.61
4.07
2.88
7.18
4.05
3.00
4.69


OR Quartile 3
2.34
1.99
2.13
2.24
2.00
2.21
2.20
2.01
1.75


p Value
5.8E−4
0.0034
0.0031
0.0012
0.0033
0.0013
0.0017
0.0032
0.019


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.44
1.26
1.29
1.37
1.26
1.36
1.34
1.26
1.10


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.79
3.17
3.51
3.64
3.18
3.57
3.59
3.20
2.79


OR Quartile 4
2.91
2.99
2.15
3.01
2.89
2.18
2.85
2.79
1.95


p Value
9.8E−4
3.1E−4
0.0053
9.1E−4
4.8E−4
0.0038
0.0016
7.4E−4
0.012


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.54
1.65
1.26
1.57
1.59
1.29
1.49
1.54
1.16


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.49
5.44
3.68
5.78
5.25
3.69
5.48
5.07
3.29
















TABLE 31.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
0.164
0.372
0.165
0.372
0.164
0.372


Average
0.665
5.19
0.674
5.13
0.644
5.06


Stdev
1.70
21.5
1.72
21.3
1.68
21.1


p (t-test)

0.016

0.018

0.019


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
12.3
176


n (Patient)
133
179
131
181
127
185


sCr only


Median
0.169
0.380
0.170
0.372
0.170
0.372


Average
0.694
5.52
0.698
5.49
0.704
5.42


Stdev
1.68
22.2
1.69
22.2
1.70
22.1


p (t-test)

0.0094

0.0100

0.011


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
12.3
176


n (Patient)
146
166
145
167
143
169


UO only


Median
0.210
0.536
0.212
0.512
0.217
0.372


Average
2.45
5.32
2.48
5.11
2.32
5.13


Stdev
12.7
23.4
12.8
22.8
12.7
22.0


p (t-test)

0.17

0.20

0.16


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
170
176
170
176
170
176


n (Patient)
222
88
217
93
205
105












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.64
0.65
0.66
0.64
0.63
0.66
0.64
0.62


SE
0.030
0.031
0.036
0.031
0.031
0.035
0.031
0.031
0.034


p Value
1.1E−7
2.9E−6
4.8E−5
3.0E−7
4.4E−6
1.4E−4
2.3E−7
5.1E−6
7.9E−4


nCohort Recovered
133
146
222
131
145
217
127
143
205


nCohort Non-recovered
179
166
88
181
167
93
185
169
105


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938


Sensitivity
82%
80%
89%
82%
80%
87%
82%
80%
85%


Specificity
34%
30%
31%
34%
30%
30%
35%
31%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251


Sensitivity
60%
60%
64%
59%
59%
62%
59%
59%
59%


Specificity
63%
61%
55%
63%
61%
55%
63%
61%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16


Sensitivity
35%
36%
39%
35%
36%
38%
35%
36%
36%


Specificity
89%
88%
80%
89%
88%
80%
89%
87%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.26
1.67
3.44
2.35
1.70
2.95
2.35
1.76
2.41


p Value
0.0021
0.050
7.3E−4
0.0014
0.043
0.0016
0.0013
0.031
0.0047


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.34
0.999
1.68
1.39
1.02
1.51
1.40
1.05
1.31


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.81
2.81
7.06
3.95
2.86
5.78
3.97
2.96
4.44


OR Quartile 3
2.55
2.31
2.17
2.42
2.25
2.05
2.44
2.25
1.74


p Value
7.3E−5
3.1E−4
0.0028
1.8E−4
4.7E−4
0.0047
1.6E−4
4.7E−4
0.023


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.61
1.46
1.31
1.53
1.43
1.25
1.53
1.43
1.08


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.04
3.64
3.62
3.84
3.54
3.37
3.88
3.55
2.80


OR Quartile 4
4.27
4.03
2.55
4.13
3.96
2.44
4.27
3.82
2.34


p Value
4.2E−6
3.2E−6
7.1E−4
7.0E−6
4.3E−6
0.0011
6.9E−6
7.3E−6
0.0016


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.30
2.24
1.48
2.22
2.20
1.43
2.27
2.13
1.38


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.93
7.23
4.38
7.66
7.11
4.17
8.04
6.87
3.96
















TABLE 31.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
0.169
0.388
0.169
0.388
0.165
0.372


Average
0.869
5.50
0.870
5.44
0.851
5.35


Stdev
2.73
22.5
2.75
22.4
2.75
22.1


p (t-test)

0.012

0.014

0.016


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
27.3
176
27.3
176
27.3
176


n (Patient)
151
161
149
163
145
167


sCr only


Median
0.172
0.401
0.175
0.388
0.178
0.380


Average
0.873
5.71
0.878
5.67
0.883
5.64


Stdev
2.68
23.0
2.69
22.9
2.70
22.9


p (t-test)

0.0091

0.0097

0.010


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
27.3
176
27.3
176
27.3
176


n (Patient)
158
154
157
155
156
156


UO only


Median
0.232
0.358
0.238
0.344
0.240
0.321


Average
3.09
3.71
3.10
3.67
2.96
3.89


Stdev
15.5
18.7
15.5
18.6
15.5
18.3


p (t-test)

0.76

0.78

0.64


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
170
176
170
176
170
176


n (Patient)
220
90
219
91
208
102












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.65
0.61
0.66
0.64
0.60
0.66
0.64
0.59


SE
0.031
0.031
0.036
0.031
0.031
0.036
0.031
0.031
0.035


p Value
3.6E−7
2.1E−6
0.0037
2.7E−7
3.3E−6
0.0062
3.7E−7
5.1E−6
0.0089


nCohort Recovered
151
158
220
149
157
219
145
156
208


nCohort Non-recovered
161
154
90
163
155
91
167
156
102


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938


Sensitivity
82%
81%
86%
82%
81%
85%
82%
81%
84%


Specificity
32%
30%
30%
33%
31%
29%
33%
31%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251


Sensitivity
61%
61%
60%
61%
61%
59%
60%
60%
57%


Specificity
62%
61%
54%
62%
61%
54%
62%
60%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16


Sensitivity
36%
36%
36%
36%
36%
35%
36%
36%
34%


Specificity
87%
86%
79%
87%
86%
79%
88%
86%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.19
1.80
2.48
2.26
1.83
2.27
2.26
1.87
2.28


p Value
0.0036
0.027
0.0065
0.0024
0.023
0.012
0.0023
0.019
0.0081


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.29
1.07
1.29
1.34
1.09
1.20
1.34
1.11
1.24


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.70
3.04
4.78
3.84
3.10
4.31
3.82
3.15
4.20


OR Quartile 3
2.63
2.43
1.77
2.64
2.36
1.71
2.50
2.30
1.51


p Value
3.3E−5
1.3E−4
0.025
3.3E−5
2.1E−4
0.035
8.2E−5
3.2E−4
0.091


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.67
1.54
1.07
1.67
1.50
1.04
1.59
1.46
0.936


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.16
3.82
2.91
4.17
3.72
2.80
3.95
3.62
2.43


OR Quartile 4
3.69
3.53
2.09
3.88
3.47
2.04
3.96
3.41
2.00


p Value
7.2E−6
9.1E−6
0.0076
4.2E−6
1.2E−5
0.0096
4.3E−6
1.6E−5
0.0100


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.09
2.02
1.22
2.18
1.99
1.19
2.20
1.95
1.18


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.52
6.17
3.58
6.92
6.06
3.50
7.11
5.95
3.40
















TABLE 31.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.175
0.388
0.172
0.388
0.169
0.380



Average
2.67
3.92
2.71
3.85
2.74
3.79



Stdev
16.8
16.0
17.0
15.8
17.2
15.6



p (t-test)

0.50

0.54

0.57



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
165
147
162
150
158
154







sCr only















Median
0.181
0.388
0.182
0.380
0.183
0.372



Average
2.65
3.99
2.66
3.96
2.68
3.93



Stdev
16.6
16.2
16.7
16.1
16.7
16.1



p (t-test)

0.47

0.49

0.50



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
169
143
168
144
167
145







UO only















Median
0.238
0.372
0.232
0.358
0.240
0.321



Average
2.84
4.29
2.85
4.25
2.92
3.99



Stdev
15.1
19.4
15.2
19.3
15.4
18.5



p (t-test)

0.48

0.50

0.59



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
219
91
218
92
210
100













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.64
0.61
0.65
0.64
0.61
0.65
0.64
0.60


SE
0.031
0.031
0.036
0.031
0.032
0.036
0.031
0.032
0.035


p Value
1.1E−6
7.1E−6
0.0025
7.7E−7
1.1E−5
0.0025
1.1E−6
1.7E−5
0.0044


nCohort Recovered
165
169
219
162
168
218
158
167
210


nCohort Non-
147
143
91
150
144
92
154
145
100


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938


Sensitivity
82%
81%
84%
83%
81%
84%
82%
81%
84%


Specificity
32%
30%
29%
32%
30%
29%
32%
31%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251


Sensitivity
62%
62%
59%
62%
61%
60%
61%
61%
57%


Specificity
61%
60%
54%
61%
60%
54%
61%
59%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16


Sensitivity
37%
37%
37%
37%
37%
37%
37%
37%
36%


Specificity
86%
85%
80%
86%
85%
80%
87%
85%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.14
1.86
2.05
2.25
1.89
2.09
2.24
1.92
2.20


p Value
0.0054
0.023
0.025
0.0030
0.019
0.021
0.0030
0.016
0.012


Lower limit of 95%
1.25
1.09
1.09
1.32
1.11
1.12
1.32
1.13
1.19


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.66
3.16
3.83
3.85
3.22
3.90
3.82
3.27
4.05


OR Quartile 3
2.50
2.38
1.71
2.56
2.31
1.75
2.43
2.25
1.51


p Value
8.3E−5
2.0E−4
0.035
5.3E−5
3.1E−4
0.026
1.3E−4
4.7E−4
0.090


Lower limit of 95%
1.58
1.51
1.04
1.62
1.47
1.07
1.54
1.43
0.938


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.95
3.75
2.80
4.05
3.64
2.88
3.82
3.54
2.45


OR Quartile 4
3.69
3.39
2.37
3.79
3.33
2.32
3.83
3.27
2.25


p Value
3.7E−6
1.1E−5
0.0017
2.9E−6
1.4E−5
0.0022
3.0E−6
1.9E−5
0.0027


Lower limit of 95%
2.12
1.97
1.39
2.17
1.93
1.35
2.18
1.9
1.32


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.42
5.84
4.06
6.62
5.74
3.97
6.74
5.63
3.82
















TABLE 31.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.214
0.350
0.210
0.350
0.212
0.344



Average
2.95
3.81
2.97
3.76
2.99
3.73



Stdev
15.8
17.5
15.9
17.4
15.9
17.3



p (t-test)

0.66

0.68

0.70



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
200
112
198
114
197
115







sCr only















Median
0.190
0.364
0.190
0.364
0.190
0.364



Average
2.87
3.81
2.87
3.81
2.87
3.81



Stdev
16.2
16.8
16.2
16.8
16.2
16.8



p (t-test)

0.62

0.62

0.62



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
182
130
182
130
182
130







UO only















Median
0.226
0.339
0.221
0.331
0.221
0.331



Average
2.92
4.04
2.93
4.00
2.95
3.94



Stdev
15.3
18.8
15.4
18.7
15.4
18.5



p (t-test)

0.58

0.60

0.62



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
213
97
212
98
210
100













Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.61
0.62
0.60
0.61
0.62
0.60
0.61
0.62
0.60


SE
0.034
0.032
0.035
0.034
0.032
0.035
0.034
0.032
0.035


p Value
0.0011
1.9E−4
0.0066
6.8E−4
1.9E−4
0.0064
7.6E−4
1.9E−4
0.0050


nCohort Recovered
200
182
213
198
182
212
197
182
210


nCohort Non-
112
130
97
114
130
98
115
130
100


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938
0.0928
0.0928
0.0938


Sensitivity
81%
82%
82%
82%
82%
83%
82%
82%
83%


Specificity
28%
30%
29%
29%
30%
29%
29%
30%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251
0.251


Sensitivity
61%
62%
60%
61%
62%
60%
61%
62%
60%


Specificity
56%
59%
54%
57%
59%
55%
56%
59%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16
1.17
1.17
1.16


Sensitivity
36%
35%
35%
36%
35%
35%
36%
35%
35%


Specificity
81%
82%
79%
81%
82%
79%
81%
82%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.73
1.86
1.89
1.79
1.86
1.92
1.82
1.86
2.00


p Value
0.058
0.025
0.038
0.043
0.025
0.033
0.037
0.025
0.024


Lower limit of 95%
0.982
1.08
1.03
1.02
1.08
1.05
1.04
1.08
1.10


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.04
3.21
3.45
3.15
3.21
3.51
3.20
3.21
3.65


OR Quartile 3
1.97
2.36
1.78
2.07
2.36
1.83
2.01
2.36
1.82


p Value
0.0049
2.7E−4
0.021
0.0024
2.7E−4
0.015
0.0035
2.7E−4
0.016


Lower limit of 95%
1.23
1.49
1.09
1.29
1.49
1.12
1.26
1.49
1.12


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.15
3.74
2.90
3.32
3.74
2.97
3.21
3.74
2.95


OR Quartile 4
2.37
2.57
2.07
2.44
2.57
2.03
2.40
2.57
2.09


p Value
0.0012
4.2E−4
0.0073
8.2E−4
4.2E−4
0.0092
0.0011
4.2E−4
0.0064


Lower limit of 95%
1.40
1.52
1.22
1.45
1.52
1.19
1.42
1.52
1.23


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.00
4.34
3.53
4.12
4.34
3.45
4.04
4.34
3.55









Example 32. Use of Hepatocyte Growth Factor-Like Protein for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 32.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.170
0.873
0.178
1.18
0.190
1.13



Average
1.52
6.42
1.45
7.41
1.61
8.04



Stdev
12.0
22.0
11.6
23.6
11.3
25.6



p (t-test)

0.011

0.0030

0.0024



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
201
111
217
95
232
80







sCr only















Median
0.180
0.870
0.183
1.02
0.192
0.872



Average
1.57
6.49
1.52
7.41
1.70
7.79



Stdev
11.9
22.4
11.5
24.0
11.4
25.6



p (t-test)

0.012

0.0038

0.0041



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
204
107
219
92
231
80







UO only















Median
0.241
1.17
0.246
1.25
0.244
1.31



Average
2.69
7.15
2.67
7.69
2.66
7.90



Stdev
14.0
27.8
13.9
28.9
13.9
29.3



p (t-test)

0.11

0.082

0.072



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
270
40
273
37
274
36













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.69
0.67
0.75
0.72
0.67
0.72
0.69
0.68


SE
0.032
0.033
0.049
0.032
0.034
0.051
0.035
0.036
0.051


p Value
4.1E−11
7.1E−9
4.7E−4
2.6E−14
8.4E−11
6.5E−4
1.7E−10
2.3E−7
3.7E−4


nCohort Non-
201
204
270
217
219
273
232
231
274


persistent


nCohort Persistent
111
107
40
95
92
37
80
80
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938


Sensitivity
86%
84%
90%
89%
88%
89%
91%
88%
89%


Specificity
31%
30%
27%
31%
31%
27%
31%
29%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251


Sensitivity
68%
66%
65%
73%
71%
62%
71%
69%
64%


Specificity
60%
58%
52%
60%
58%
52%
57%
56%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16


Sensitivity
45%
44%
50%
51%
47%
54%
49%
44%
56%


Specificity
86%
85%
79%
86%
84%
79%
83%
81%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.65
2.26
3.40
3.88
3.25
3.07
4.60
2.92
2.96


p Value
0.0017
0.0077
0.025
2.0E−4
8.6E−4
0.040
2.9E−4
0.0036
0.047


Lower limit of 95%
1.44
1.24
1.17
1.90
1.62
1.05
2.02
1.42
1.01


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.87
4.11
9.88
7.93
6.49
8.96
10.5
6.00
8.66


OR Quartile 3
3.28
2.76
2.03
3.97
3.39
1.75
3.33
2.83
1.90


p Value
2.0E−6
4.5E−5
0.045
2.9E−7
4.9E−6
0.12
1.8E−5
1.6E−4
0.080


Lower limit of 95%
2.01
1.69
1.02
2.34
2.01
0.867
1.92
1.65
0.926


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.36
4.50
4.06
6.71
5.71
3.55
5.77
4.86
3.91


OR Quartile 4
5.06
4.37
3.66
6.37
4.61
4.36
4.71
3.40
4.66


p Value
6.1E−9
8.7E−8
2.1E−4
7.4E−11
4.1E−8
4.6E−5
5.1E−8
1.4E−5
2.7E−5


Lower limit of 95%
2.93
2.55
1.84
3.65
2.67
2.15
2.70
1.96
2.27


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.75
7.50
7.25
11.1
7.97
8.86
8.22
5.91
9.55
















TABLE 32.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.167
0.655
0.172
0.989
0.183
1.07



Average
1.58
5.61
1.48
6.43
1.64
6.85



Stdev
12.6
20.4
12.1
21.9
11.8
23.3



p (t-test)

0.033

0.010

0.0094



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
182
130
200
112
215
97







sCr only















Median
0.183
0.563
0.184
0.870
0.192
0.747



Average
1.67
5.71
1.59
6.37
1.76
6.58



Stdev
12.4
21.0
12.0
22.2
11.8
23.4



p (t-test)

0.034

0.014

0.016



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
188
123
202
109
214
97







UO only















Median
0.238
1.07
0.240
1.16
0.240
1.17



Average
2.80
5.25
2.77
5.59
2.76
5.70



Stdev
14.5
23.0
14.4
23.8
14.4
24.0



p (t-test)

0.31

0.25

0.23



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
251
59
255
55
256
54













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.65
0.65
0.72
0.68
0.65
0.72
0.67
0.65


SE
0.031
0.032
0.042
0.031
0.033
0.043
0.033
0.034
0.043


p Value
3.5E−9
1.9E−6
3.9E−4
2.9E−12
1.6E−8
6.1E−4
5.2E−11
8.7E−7
3.9E−4


nCohort Non-
182
188
251
200
202
255
215
214
256


persistent


nCohort Persistent
130
123
59
112
109
55
97
97
54


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938


Sensitivity
82%
80%
86%
86%
83%
85%
89%
85%
85%


Specificity
30%
29%
28%
31%
30%
27%
31%
29%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251


Sensitivity
65%
63%
64%
70%
67%
62%
70%
66%
63%


Specificity
61%
58%
53%
61%
59%
53%
59%
57%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16


Sensitivity
42%
40%
46%
46%
43%
49%
47%
42%
50%


Specificity
87%
85%
80%
87%
85%
80%
85%
83%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.01
1.66
2.47
2.70
2.14
2.22
3.54
2.28
2.16


p Value
0.013
0.068
0.026
0.0014
0.012
0.050
3.4E−4
0.0096
0.058


Lower limit of 95%
1.16
0.962
1.11
1.47
1.19
1.00
1.77
1.22
0.973


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.49
2.87
5.46
4.95
3.85
4.94
7.06
4.26
4.81


OR Quartile 3
2.95
2.31
2.07
3.59
2.91
1.79
3.38
2.57
1.90


p Value
5.8E−6
4.3E−4
0.015
3.8E−7
1.8E−5
0.055
3.2E−6
2.1E−4
0.038


Lower limit of 95%
1.85
1.45
1.15
2.19
1.79
0.987
2.03
1.56
1.04


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.72
3.68
3.73
5.87
4.73
3.26
5.65
4.24
3.47


OR Quartile 4
4.68
3.63
3.31
5.80
4.18
3.86
5.16
3.50
4.02


p Value
4.6E−8
2.4E−6
8.6E−5
5.3E−10
1.9E−7
1.5E−5
4.3E−9
4.7E−6
9.4E−6


Lower limit of 95%
2.69
2.12
1.82
3.33
2.44
2.09
2.98
2.05
2.17


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.13
6.20
6.01
10.1
7.17
7.11
8.92
5.99
7.44
















TABLE 32.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.169
0.534
0.172
0.726
0.185
0.704



Average
1.67
5.19
1.57
5.75
1.74
6.01



Stdev
13.0
19.6
12.5
20.7
12.2
21.9



p (t-test)

0.059

0.027

0.028



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
171
141
186
126
201
111







sCr only















Median
0.178
0.534
0.181
0.579
0.190
0.534



Average
1.71
5.35
1.63
5.87
1.80
6.05



Stdev
12.8
20.2
12.3
21.2
12.1
22.3



p (t-test)

0.053

0.027

0.030



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
178
133
191
120
204
107







UO only















Median
0.241
0.466
0.246
0.893
0.246
0.893



Average
2.90
4.59
2.85
4.92
2.85
4.92



Stdev
14.8
21.5
14.6
22.3
14.6
22.3



p (t-test)

0.46

0.37

0.37



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
242
68
247
63
247
63













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.67
0.65
0.61
0.69
0.67
0.61
0.68
0.65
0.61


SE
0.031
0.032
0.040
0.031
0.032
0.041
0.033
0.034
0.041


p Value
7.3E−8
4.0E−6
0.0055
6.6E−10
7.6E−8
0.0058
4.0E−8
4.3E−6
0.0058


nCohort Non-
171
178
242
186
191
247
201
204
247


persistent


nCohort Persistent
141
133
68
126
120
63
111
107
63


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938


Sensitivity
82%
80%
85%
85%
83%
84%
86%
84%
84%


Specificity
31%
29%
28%
32%
30%
28%
31%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251


Sensitivity
64%
62%
59%
67%
66%
57%
66%
64%
57%


Specificity
61%
59%
52%
61%
60%
52%
59%
57%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16


Sensitivity
38%
38%
40%
41%
40%
43%
41%
39%
43%


Specificity
86%
84%
79%
86%
84%
79%
84%
82%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.08
1.70
2.27
2.62
2.18
2.01
2.92
2.26
2.01


p Value
0.0077
0.053
0.027
0.0011
0.0074
0.061
7.1E−4
0.0077
0.061


Lower limit of 95%
1.21
0.993
1.10
1.47
1.23
0.969
1.57
1.24
0.969


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.58
2.90
4.69
4.66
3.86
4.18
5.43
4.11
4.18


OR Quartile 3
2.81
2.39
1.58
3.17
2.85
1.43
2.73
2.44
1.43


p Value
1.2E−5
2.1E−4
0.10
1.8E−6
1.5E−5
0.21
4.4E−5
3.0E−4
0.21


Lower limit of 95%
1.77
1.51
0.915
1.97
1.77
0.821
1.69
1.51
0.821


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.45
3.79
2.72
5.08
4.59
2.51
4.42
3.96
2.51


OR Quartile 4
3.80
3.23
2.47
4.32
3.58
2.88
3.74
3.02
2.88


p Value
1.9E−6
1.8E−5
0.0021
1.4E−7
2.9E−6
4.0E−4
1.3E−6
4.4E−5
4.0E−4


Lower limit of 95%
2.20
1.89
1.39
2.51
2.10
1.60
2.19
1.78
1.60


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.58
5.51
4.39
7.46
6.10
5.18
6.38
5.12
5.18
















TABLE 32.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.169
0.534
0.175
0.704
0.185
0.606



Average
1.68
5.13
1.58
5.70
1.76
5.83



Stdev
13.1
19.5
12.5
20.6
12.3
21.6



p (t-test)

0.065

0.029

0.034



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
169
143
185
127
197
115







sCr only















Median
0.183
0.413
0.182
0.552
0.190
0.534



Average
1.73
5.27
1.65
5.73
1.82
5.87



Stdev
12.9
20.1
12.4
21.0
12.2
21.9



p (t-test)

0.060

0.032

0.037



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
176
135
188
123
200
111







UO only















Median
0.238
0.606
0.240
0.893
0.240
0.893



Average
2.72
4.98
2.67
5.37
2.67
5.37



Stdev
14.6
21.3
14.4
22.2
14.4
22.2



p (t-test)

0.30

0.23

0.23



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
235
75
241
69
241
69













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.67
0.64
0.63
0.69
0.67
0.63
0.67
0.65
0.63


SE
0.031
0.032
0.038
0.031
0.032
0.040
0.032
0.033
0.040


p Value
9.5E−8
1.4E−5
0.0010
2.2E−9
2.2E−7
0.0016
9.7E−8
5.2E−6
0.0016


nCohort Non-
169
176
235
185
188
241
197
200
241


persistent


nCohort Persistent
143
135
75
127
123
69
115
111
69


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938


Sensitivity
82%
80%
85%
84%
83%
84%
85%
84%
84%


Specificity
31%
29%
29%
31%
30%
28%
31%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251


Sensitivity
64%
61%
61%
66%
65%
59%
65%
64%
59%


Specificity
62%
59%
54%
61%
60%
53%
59%
57%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16


Sensitivity
38%
37%
41%
41%
39%
43%
41%
39%
43%


Specificity
86%
84%
80%
86%
84%
80%
84%
82%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.00
1.63
2.32
2.44
2.11
2.03
2.59
2.21
2.03


p Value
0.011
0.072
0.018
0.0021
0.0092
0.048
0.0018
0.0081
0.048


Lower limit of 95%
1.17
0.958
1.15
1.38
1.20
1.00
1.42
1.23
1.00


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.42
2.78
4.67
4.32
3.71
4.10
4.70
3.99
4.10


OR Quartile 3
2.80
2.25
1.83
3.07
2.74
1.63
2.69
2.40
1.63


p Value
1.2E−5
5.2E−4
0.025
3.2E−6
2.7E−5
0.077
5.0E−5
3.3E−4
0.077


Lower limit of 95%
1.77
1.42
1.08
1.91
1.71
0.948
1.67
1.49
0.948


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.44
3.56
3.12
4.91
4.39
2.81
4.33
3.87
2.81


OR Quartile 4
3.97
3.11
2.82
4.24
3.37
3.09
3.70
2.98
3.09


p Value
1.1E−6
3.1E−5
2.9E−4
2.0E−7
7.7E−6
1.1E−4
1.6E−6
5.0E−5
1.1E−4


Lower limit of 95%
2.28
1.82
1.61
2.46
1.98
1.75
2.17
1.76
1.75


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.90
5.30
4.93
7.31
5.74
5.48
6.31
5.05
5.48
















TABLE 32.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.169
0.413
0.172
0.579
0.183
0.545



Average
1.71
5.00
1.61
5.51
1.78
5.65



Stdev
13.3
19.3
12.7
20.3
12.4
21.2



p (t-test)

0.077

0.038

0.043



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
165
147
180
132
193
119







sCr only















Median
0.183
0.388
0.182
0.545
0.190
0.413



Average
1.76
5.13
1.68
5.56
1.85
5.68



Stdev
13.0
19.8
12.6
20.7
12.3
21.6



p (t-test)

0.072

0.040

0.047



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
172
139
184
127
196
115







UO only















Median
0.221
0.466
0.238
0.545
0.238
0.545



Average
2.75
4.75
2.72
4.92
2.72
4.92



Stdev
14.8
20.6
14.7
21.0
14.7
21.0



p (t-test)

0.35

0.31

0.31



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
230
80
233
77
233
77













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.63
0.63
0.68
0.66
0.62
0.67
0.64
0.62


SE
0.031
0.032
0.038
0.031
0.032
0.038
0.032
0.033
0.038


p Value
1.7E−7
2.8E−5
8.0E−4
3.7E−9
5.7E−7
0.0011
9.5E−8
1.2E−5
0.0011


nCohort Non-
165
172
230
180
184
233
193
196
233


persistent


nCohort Persistent
147
139
80
132
127
77
119
115
77


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938


Sensitivity
82%
80%
85%
84%
83%
84%
85%
83%
84%


Specificity
31%
29%
29%
32%
30%
28%
31%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251


Sensitivity
63%
61%
62%
66%
65%
61%
66%
63%
61%


Specificity
62%
59%
54%
62%
60%
54%
60%
58%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16


Sensitivity
38%
37%
40%
40%
39%
42%
40%
38%
42%


Specificity
87%
84%
80%
86%
84%
80%
84%
83%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.99
1.62
2.28
2.45
2.09
2.14
2.53
2.18
2.14


p Value
0.011
0.072
0.017
0.0018
0.0095
0.028
0.0019
0.0085
0.028


Lower limit of 95%
1.17
0.957
1.16
1.40
1.20
1.09
1.41
1.22
1.09


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.39
2.76
4.49
4.30
3.64
4.22
4.55
3.88
4.22


OR Quartile 3
2.79
2.24
1.98
3.11
2.71
1.81
2.80
2.37
1.81


p Value
1.2E−5
5.4E−4
0.010
2.1E−6
3.0E−5
0.026
2.1E−5
3.7E−4
0.026


Lower limit of 95%
1.76
1.42
1.18
1.95
1.70
1.07
1.74
1.47
1.07


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.41
3.53
3.34
4.97
4.33
3.07
4.51
3.80
3.07


OR Quartile 4
4.00
3.11
2.67
4.16
3.36
2.89
3.67
2.95
2.89


p Value
1.2E−6
3.3E−5
4.9E−4
3.3E−7
8.7E−6
1.8E−4
1.8E−6
5.7E−5
1.8E−4


Lower limit of 95%
2.29
1.82
1.54
2.41
1.97
1.66
2.15
1.74
1.66


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.99
5.32
4.63
7.19
5.73
5.04
6.27
5.00
5.04









Example 33. Use of Hepatocyte Growth Factor-Like Protein for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 33.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.148
0.325
0.165
0.388
0.169
0.529



Average
0.639
4.81
0.710
5.78
0.864
6.36



Stdev
1.54
20.5
1.70
22.8
2.59
24.4



p (t-test)

0.030

0.0062

0.0032



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
27.3
176



n (Patient)
116
196
155
157
176
136







sCr only















Median
0.165
0.321
0.170
0.401
0.178
0.469



Average
0.727
5.02
0.724
5.92
0.894
6.57



Stdev
1.62
21.2
1.69
23.2
2.56
24.9



p (t-test)

0.024

0.0051

0.0026



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
27.3
176



n (Patient)
127
184
159
152
181
130







UO only















Median
0.203
0.704
0.217
0.870
0.232
1.11



Average
2.24
6.61
2.29
7.44
2.75
5.84



Stdev
12.3
25.6
12.0
28.4
14.3
24.5



p (t-test)

0.047

0.030

0.22



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
237
73
251
59
258
52













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.62
0.68
0.66
0.65
0.68
0.67
0.65
0.68


SE
0.031
0.032
0.038
0.031
0.031
0.041
0.031
0.032
0.044


p Value
1.1E−6
1.2E−4
1.2E−6
2.6E−7
2.4E−6
1.4E−5
4.3E−8
1.2E−6
4.1E−5


nCohort Non-
116
127
237
155
159
251
176
181
258


persistent


nCohort Persistent
196
184
73
157
152
59
136
130
52


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938


Sensitivity
80%
79%
92%
81%
80%
93%
84%
82%
92%


Specificity
34%
31%
30%
31%
30%
29%
32%
30%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251


Sensitivity
58%
57%
68%
62%
61%
68%
65%
64%
67%


Specificity
64%
59%
56%
62%
60%
54%
61%
60%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16


Sensitivity
33%
33%
44%
38%
38%
44%
38%
37%
48%


Specificity
88%
86%
81%
88%
87%
79%
85%
83%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.04
1.65
4.87
1.90
1.64
5.75
2.42
2.03
4.83


p Value
0.0073
0.058
4.2E−4
0.016
0.064
0.0011
0.0018
0.012
0.0035


Lower limit of 95%
1.21
0.983
2.02
1.12
0.973
2.01
1.39
1.17
1.68


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.43
2.76
11.7
3.21
2.76
16.4
4.22
3.52
13.9


OR Quartile 3
2.45
1.88
2.73
2.63
2.40
2.49
2.91
2.61
2.37


p Value
2.1E−4
0.0072
4.0E−4
3.3E−5
1.6E−4
0.0029
6.5E−6
5.2E−5
0.0072


Lower limit of 95%
1.53
1.19
1.57
1.67
1.52
1.37
1.83
1.64
1.26


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.93
2.97
4.77
4.15
3.79
4.54
4.63
4.16
4.44


OR Quartile 4
3.53
2.93
3.24
4.31
3.94
3.02
3.57
2.95
3.58


p Value
9.4E−5
3.3E−4
4.3E−5
7.5E−7
1.9E−6
3.0E−4
4.0E−6
6.3E−5
5.9E−5


Lower limit of 95%
1.87
1.63
1.84
2.42
2.24
1.66
2.08
1.74
1.92


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.66
5.27
5.69
7.69
6.93
5.48
6.14
5.00
6.67
















TABLE 33.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72

















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent




Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.149
0.321
0.165
0.380
0.165
0.529



Average
0.649
4.66
0.685
5.47
0.840
5.87



Stdev
1.58
20.2
1.69
22.1
2.65
23.3



p (t-test)

0.039

0.010

0.0066



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
27.3
176



n (Patient)
109
203
144
168
162
150







sCr only















Median
0.165
0.321
0.170
0.380
0.172
0.505



Average
0.726
4.93
0.736
5.65
0.892
5.98



Stdev
1.64
21.0
1.73
22.6
2.66
23.7



p (t-test)

0.027

0.0082

0.0063



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
27.3
176



n (Patient)
123
188
151
160
166
145







UO only















Median
0.202
0.575
0.212
0.630
0.221
0.798



Average
2.33
5.48
2.37
5.99
2.86
4.65



Stdev
12.8
22.9
12.4
25.0
14.9
21.2



p (t-test)

0.12

0.095

0.43



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
218
92
233
77
240
70













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.62
0.66
0.66
0.64
0.66
0.68
0.65
0.65


SE
0.032
0.032
0.035
0.031
0.031
0.038
0.030
0.031
0.039


p Value
3.6E−6
1.3E−4
3.9E−6
2.2E−7
6.5E−6
3.1E−5
4.2E−9
6.6E−7
1.0E−4


nCohort Non-
109
123
218
144
151
233
162
166
240


persistent


nCohort Persistent
203
188
92
168
160
77
150
145
70


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938


Sensitivity
80%
79%
89%
81%
79%
90%
84%
81%
89%


Specificity
35%
31%
31%
32%
30%
30%
33%
31%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251


Sensitivity
57%
56%
65%
61%
60%
65%
64%
63%
64%


Specificity
63%
59%
56%
62%
60%
55%
63%
61%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16


Sensitivity
32%
32%
40%
36%
36%
40%
38%
37%
43%


Specificity
88%
86%
81%
88%
87%
80%
87%
86%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.18
1.65
3.72
1.99
1.63
3.70
2.63
1.94
3.19


p Value
0.0036
0.057
3.3E−4
0.0093
0.063
0.0011
5.2E−4
0.015
0.0039


Lower limit of 95%
1.29
0.985
1.82
1.19
0.973
1.69
1.52
1.14
1.45


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.68
2.78
7.61
3.36
2.74
8.11
4.53
3.30
7.01


OR Quartile 3
2.30
1.89
2.43
2.58
2.28
2.26
3.02
2.62
2.13


p Value
6.5E−4
0.0069
5.9E−4
5.1E−5
3.9E−4
0.0028
2.6E−6
3.9E−5
0.0072


Lower limit of 95%
1.43
1.19
1.46
1.63
1.44
1.32
1.91
1.66
1.23


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.71
2.99
4.03
4.07
3.58
3.85
4.79
4.14
3.69


OR Quartile 4
3.48
2.99
2.90
4.26
3.72
2.67
4.12
3.51
3.00


p Value
1.7E−4
3.1E−4
1.0E−4
1.9E−6
6.2E−6
5.5E−4
9.1E−7
7.1E−6
1.6E−4


Lower limit of 95%
1.82
1.65
1.70
2.35
2.11
1.53
2.34
2.03
1.70


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.66
5.44
4.97
7.73
6.59
4.65
7.24
6.07
5.30
















TABLE 33.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72

















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent




Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.149
0.321
0.165
0.372
0.170
0.388



Average
0.654
4.64
0.674
5.39
0.854
5.64



Stdev
1.59
20.2
1.69
21.9
2.70
22.8



p (t-test)

0.041

0.011

0.0099



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
27.3
176



n (Patient)
108
204
141
171
155
157







sCr only















Median
0.169
0.320
0.172
0.372
0.178
0.388



Average
0.736
4.87
0.727
5.57
0.901
5.77



Stdev
1.65
20.9
1.73
22.4
2.70
23.2



p (t-test)

0.030

0.0093

0.0089



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
27.3
176



n (Patient)
121
190
148
163
160
151







UO only















Median
0.214
0.358
0.226
0.344
0.240
0.336



Average
2.18
5.49
2.24
5.81
2.77
4.65



Stdev
12.5
22.4
12.2
23.9
14.8
20.4



p (t-test)

0.097

0.085

0.38



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
208
102
221
89
228
82













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.62
0.63
0.66
0.64
0.62
0.66
0.64
0.61


SE
0.032
0.032
0.034
0.031
0.031
0.036
0.031
0.031
0.037


p Value
5.5E−6
2.6E−4
1.5E−4
2.4E−7
6.9E−6
0.0015
2.4E−7
4.8E−6
0.0040


nCohort Non-
108
121
208
141
148
221
155
160
228


persistent


nCohort Persistent
204
190
102
171
163
89
157
151
82


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938


Sensitivity
80%
79%
86%
81%
80%
87%
82%
81%
85%


Specificity
35%
31%
31%
33%
30%
30%
32%
31%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251


Sensitivity
57%
56%
61%
60%
60%
60%
62%
61%
59%


Specificity
63%
59%
55%
62%
60%
54%
62%
60%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16


Sensitivity
32%
32%
37%
36%
36%
36%
37%
36%
38%


Specificity
88%
86%
81%
89%
87%
79%
87%
86%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.23
1.72
2.79
2.10
1.72
2.73
2.19
1.86
2.38


p Value
0.0028
0.041
0.0016
0.0052
0.040
0.0034
0.0036
0.021
0.012


Lower limit of 95%
1.32
1.02
1.48
1.25
1.02
1.39
1.29
1.10
1.21


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.76
2.88
5.28
3.54
2.89
5.36
3.73
3.14
4.67


OR Quartile 3
2.24
1.79
1.92
2.51
2.22
1.72
2.63
2.34
1.60


p Value
9.6E−4
0.013
0.0082
8.0E−5
5.9E−4
0.034
3.3E−5
2.5E−4
0.073


Lower limit of 95%
1.39
1.13
1.18
1.59
1.41
1.04
1.67
1.48
0.958


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.62
2.84
3.10
3.98
3.49
2.83
4.15
3.69
2.66


OR Quartile 4
3.42
2.89
2.49
4.44
3.85
2.14
3.95
3.41
2.34


p Value
2.1E−4
4.8E−4
7.1E−4
1.4E−6
4.8E−6
0.0060
2.3E−6
1.3E−5
0.0024


Lower limit of 95%
1.78
1.59
1.47
2.42
2.16
1.24
2.24
1.96
1.35


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.55
5.25
4.23
8.15
6.87
3.67
7.00
5.93
4.06
















TABLE 33.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)















24

48

72

















Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent




Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO















Median
0.149
0.321
0.167
0.372
0.170
0.388



Average
0.659
4.62
0.679
5.36
0.862
5.57



Stdev
1.59
20.1
1.69
21.9
2.71
22.6



p (t-test)

0.043

0.012

0.011



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
27.3
176



n (Patient)
107
205
140
172
153
159







sCr only















Median
0.169
0.320
0.175
0.372
0.181
0.380



Average
0.736
4.87
0.732
5.54
0.907
5.73



Stdev
1.65
20.9
1.74
22.4
2.71
23.1



p (t-test)

0.030

0.0099

0.0095



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
27.3
176



n (Patient)
121
190
147
164
159
152







UO only















Median
0.217
0.336
0.221
0.336
0.239
0.336



Average
2.20
5.31
2.27
5.56
2.82
4.40



Stdev
12.7
22.0
12.4
23.2
15.0
19.7



p (t-test)

0.11

0.11

0.45



Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541



Max
170
176
170
176
170
176



n (Patient)
204
106
216
94
222
88













Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.62
0.62
0.65
0.64
0.61
0.66
0.64
0.61


SE
0.032
0.032
0.034
0.031
0.031
0.036
0.031
0.031
0.036


p Value
1.0E−5
2.6E−4
4.2E−4
5.9E−7
1.5E−5
0.0015
4.4E−7
1.0E−5
0.0036


nCohort Non-
107
121
204
140
147
216
153
159
222


persistent


nCohort Persistent
205
190
106
172
164
94
159
152
88


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938


Sensitivity
80%
79%
84%
81%
79%
85%
82%
80%
84%


Specificity
35%
31%
30%
32%
30%
30%
32%
30%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251


Sensitivity
57%
56%
59%
60%
59%
60%
62%
61%
59%


Specificity
63%
59%
55%
62%
60%
54%
62%
60%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16


Sensitivity
32%
32%
37%
36%
36%
36%
36%
36%
38%


Specificity
88%
86%
81%
89%
87%
80%
87%
86%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.11
1.72
2.23
2.00
1.63
2.41
2.11
1.76
2.14


p Value
0.0052
0.041
0.0086
0.0092
0.063
0.0070
0.0054
0.035
0.020


Lower limit of 95%
1.25
1.02
1.23
1.19
0.974
1.27
1.25
1.04
1.13


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.57
2.88
4.07
3.35
2.74
4.56
3.58
2.97
4.06


OR Quartile 3
2.18
1.79
1.78
2.45
2.16
1.74
2.63
2.28
1.67


p Value
0.0014
0.013
0.017
1.2E−4
8.8E−4
0.027
3.3E−5
3.9E−4
0.045


Lower limit of 95%
1.35
1.13
1.11
1.55
1.37
1.07
1.67
1.45
1.01


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.53
2.84
2.87
3.87
3.40
2.85
4.16
3.58
2.75


OR Quartile 4
3.36
2.89
2.46
4.37
3.79
2.22
3.82
3.35
2.36


p Value
2.6E−4
4.8E−4
8.0E−4
1.9E−6
6.3E−6
0.0036
4.1E−6
1.7E−5
0.0019


Lower limit of 95%
1.75
1.59
1.45
2.38
2.12
1.30
2.16
1.93
1.37


CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.43
5.25
4.17
8.01
6.75
3.78
6.75
5.82
4.06
















TABLE 33.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
0.149
0.321
0.165
0.344
0.165
0.372


Average
0.674
4.54
0.695
5.22
0.880
5.38


Stdev
1.62
19.9
1.72
21.6
2.77
22.2


p (t-test)

0.051

0.016

0.015


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
27.3
176


n (Patient)
103
209
135
177
147
165


sCr only


Median
0.165
0.321
0.169
0.364
0.170
0.372


Average
0.746
4.80
0.742
5.41
0.921
5.59


Stdev
1.67
20.7
1.76
22.1
2.74
22.9


p (t-test)

0.034

0.012

0.012


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
12.3
176
12.3
176
27.3
176


n (Patient)
118
193
143
168
155
156


UO only


Median
0.210
0.325
0.214
0.325
0.217
0.328


Average
2.26
5.04
2.34
5.15
2.92
4.03


Stdev
12.8
21.4
12.6
22.3
15.3
18.8


p (t-test)

0.15

0.16

0.58


Min
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541
8.78E−6
0.00541


Max
170
176
170
176
170
176


n (Patient)
198
112
208
102
213
97












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.62
0.62
0.65
0.64
0.61
0.66
0.64
0.61


SE
0.032
0.032
0.034
0.031
0.031
0.035
0.031
0.031
0.035


p Value
1.1E−5
1.5E−4
4.7E−4
8.7E−7
6.6E−6
0.0013
3.4E−7
4.9E−6
0.0026


nCohort Non-persistent
103
118
198
135
143
208
147
155
213


nCohort Persistent
209
193
112
177
168
102
165
156
97


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938
0.0928
0.0927
0.0938


Sensitivity
80%
79%
84%
81%
80%
85%
82%
81%
85%


Specificity
35%
32%
30%
33%
31%
30%
33%
31%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251
0.251
0.250
0.251


Sensitivity
57%
56%
61%
60%
60%
61%
62%
62%
61%


Specificity
64%
60%
56%
63%
62%
55%
63%
61%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.17
1.16
1.16


Sensitivity
31%
32%
35%
35%
35%
34%
36%
35%
35%


Specificity
87%
86%
80%
88%
87%
79%
87%
85%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.14
1.82
2.27
2.03
1.75
2.52
2.18
1.88
2.30


p Value
0.0048
0.024
0.0063
0.0074
0.034
0.0036
0.0036
0.018
0.0091


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.26
1.08
1.26
1.21
1.04
1.35
1.29
1.12
1.23


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.62
3.06
4.09
3.42
2.94
4.70
3.69
3.18
4.29


OR Quartile 3
2.36
1.96
1.97
2.54
2.41
1.92
2.79
2.53
1.89


p Value
5.5E−4
0.0046
0.0048
7.5E−5
1.6E−4
0.0082
1.2E−5
6.6E−5
0.011


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.45
1.23
1.23
1.60
1.53
1.18
1.76
1.60
1.16


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.84
3.12
3.16
4.02
3.81
3.10
4.41
4.00
3.09


OR Quartile 4
3.12
2.75
2.18
4.01
3.53
2.00
3.75
3.13
2.07


p Value
6.0E−4
9.1E−4
0.0035
7.2E−6
1.8E−5
0.0100
7.3E−6
5.1E−5
0.0073


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.63
1.51
1.29
2.19
1.98
1.18
2.10
1.80
1.22


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.99
4.99
3.68
7.35
6.29
3.40
6.68
5.42
3.53









Example 34. Use of Tumor Necrosis Factor Receptor Superfamily Member 11B for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 34.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
376
987
347
1020
318
987


Average
849
2060
657
2050
657
2040


Stdev
1010
3760
811
3710
836
3690


p (t-test)

0.15

0.12

0.13


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3170
30700
3170
30700


n (Patient)
21
104
18
107
17
108


sCr only


Median
364
1040
364
1040
364
1040


Average
767
2030
767
2030
767
2030


Stdev
941
3730
941
3730
941
3730


p (t-test)

0.10

0.10

0.10


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
24
100
24
100
24
100


UO only


Median
711
1550
629
1690
569
1650


Average
1350
2830
1200
2840
1220
2590


Stdev
3460
3380
3540
3200
3750
3040


p (t-test)

0.025

0.0096

0.029


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
81
43
74
50
66
58












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.67
0.70
0.69
0.72
0.70
0.75
0.72
0.70
0.75


SE
0.059
0.054
0.052
0.057
0.054
0.046
0.058
0.054
0.045


p Value
0.0050
2.1E−4
2.4E−4
1.3E−4
2.1E−4
2.9E−8
1.2E−4
2.1E−4
4.3E−8


nCohort Recovered
21
24
81
18
24
74
17
24
66


nCohort Non-recovered
104
100
43
107
100
50
108
100
58


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
375
375
376
375
375
376
375
375


Sensitivity
80%
81%
88%
79%
81%
90%
80%
81%
88%


Specificity
48%
50%
32%
50%
50%
35%
53%
50%
36%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
55%
56%
67%
55%
56%
72%
55%
56%
67%


Specificity
71%
75%
59%
78%
75%
65%
76%
75%
65%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
27%
28%
40%
28%
28%
44%
28%
28%
40%


Specificity
81%
88%
83%
89%
88%
88%
88%
88%
88%


OR Quartile 2
3.59
4.26
3.59
3.86
4.26
4.88
4.40
4.26
4.16


p Value
0.011
0.0026
0.016
0.011
0.0026
0.0028
0.0062
0.0026
0.0028


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.35
1.66
1.27
1.37
1.66
1.72
1.52
1.66
1.63


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.58
11.0
10.2
10.9
11.0
13.8
12.7
11.0
10.6


OR Quartile 3
3.03
3.82
3.01
4.30
3.82
4.75
3.91
3.82
3.84


p Value
0.033
0.0090
0.0054
0.015
0.0090
9.1E−5
0.024
0.0090
4.1E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.09
1.40
1.39
1.33
1.40
2.18
1.20
1.40
1.82


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.43
10.4
6.55
13.9
10.4
10.4
12.8
10.4
8.09


OR Quartile 4
1.57
2.72
3.13
3.12
2.72
5.67
2.88
2.72
4.76


p Value
0.45
0.13
0.0078
0.15
0.13
1.4E−4
0.18
0.13
7.5E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.485
0.752
1.35
0.675
0.752
2.32
0.622
0.752
1.92


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.06
9.85
7.25
14.4
9.85
13.9
13.4
9.85
11.8
















TABLE 34.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
451
1120
506
1110
396
1110


Average
775
2220
789
2200
788
2180


Stdev
871
3940
882
3920
912
3890


p (t-test)

0.042

0.049

0.059


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
32
93
31
94
29
96


sCr only


Median
527
1120
527
1120
527
1120


Average
810
2280
810
2280
810
2280


Stdev
860
4020
860
4020
860
4020


p (t-test)

0.032

0.032

0.032


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
36
89
36
89
36
89


UO only


Median
719
1470
685
1670
633
1350


Average
1360
2990
1270
3010
1300
2690


Stdev
3370
3540
3390
3440
3560
3240


p (t-test)

0.016

0.0082

0.029


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
86
38
82
42
74
50












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.68
0.69
0.69
0.68
0.73
0.69
0.68
0.71


SE
0.050
0.050
0.054
0.051
0.050
0.050
0.052
0.050
0.049


p Value
1.1E−4
2.2E−4
3.7E−4
2.5E−4
2.2E−4
7.4E−6
1.8E−4
2.2E−4
1.7E−5


nCohort Recovered
32
36
86
31
36
82
29
36
74


nCohort Non-recovered
93
89
38
94
89
42
96
89
50


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
376
375
376
376
375
376
376
375


Sensitivity
82%
82%
89%
81%
82%
90%
81%
82%
88%


Specificity
44%
42%
31%
42%
42%
33%
45%
42%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
59%
60%
68%
59%
60%
71%
58%
60%
66%


Specificity
75%
72%
58%
74%
72%
61%
76%
72%
61%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
29%
30%
42%
29%
30%
45%
28%
30%
40%


Specificity
84%
86%
83%
84%
86%
85%
83%
86%
85%


OR Quartile 2
3.48
3.26
3.89
3.05
3.26
4.66
3.52
3.26
3.74


p Value
0.0052
0.0068
0.019
0.013
0.0068
0.0075
0.0058
0.0068
0.0083


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.45
1.39
1.25
1.27
1.39
1.51
1.44
1.39
1.40


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.34
7.67
12.1
7.35
7.67
14.4
8.60
7.67
9.97


OR Quartile 3
4.34
3.83
3.01
4.05
3.83
3.91
4.40
3.83
3.01


p Value
0.0014
0.0018
0.0075
0.0024
0.0018
8.8E−4
0.0021
0.0018
0.0039


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.76
1.65
1.34
1.64
1.65
1.75
1.71
1.65
1.43


Upper limit of 95% CI
10.7
8.90
6.75
10.0
8.90
8.72
11.3
8.90
6.37


OR Quartile 4
2.21
2.70
3.44
2.10
2.70
4.82
1.88
2.70
3.82


p Value
0.14
0.063
0.0044
0.17
0.063
3.5E−4
0.24
0.063
0.0021


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.770
0.948
1.47
0.729
0.948
2.03
0.650
0.948
1.62


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.34
7.69
8.07
6.03
7.69
11.4
5.43
7.69
8.97
















TABLE 34.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
548
1220
561
1220
548
1150


Average
820
2440
830
2410
844
2350


Stdev
810
4200
817
4180
842
4120


p (t-test)

0.012

0.015

0.023


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
45
80
44
81
41
84


sCr only


Median
597
1220
597
1220
619
1220


Average
824
2500
824
2500
835
2470


Stdev
782
4270
782
4270
786
4250


p (t-test)

0.0084

0.0084

0.010


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
48
77
48
77
47
78


UO only


Median
732
1290
711
1290
677
1290


Average
1410
2890
1340
2910
1330
2680


Stdev
3380
3560
3380
3510
3540
3280


p (t-test)

0.029

0.018

0.034


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
86
38
83
41
75
49












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.68
0.67
0.67
0.68
0.68
0.67
0.67
0.69


SE
0.048
0.048
0.055
0.048
0.048
0.053
0.049
0.048
0.050


p Value
1.6E−4
2.2E−4
0.0025
3.5E−4
2.2E−4
4.6E−4
7.7E−4
5.1E−4
8.7E−5


nCohort Recovered
45
48
86
44
48
83
41
47
75


nCohort Non-recovered
80
77
38
81
77
41
84
78
49


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
376
375
376
376
375
376
376
375


Sensitivity
84%
83%
87%
83%
83%
88%
82%
82%
88%


Specificity
40%
38%
30%
39%
38%
31%
39%
36%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
60%
61%
66%
59%
61%
68%
58%
60%
65%


Specificity
67%
67%
57%
66%
67%
59%
66%
66%
60%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
32%
35%
39%
32%
35%
39%
31%
35%
37%


Specificity
87%
90%
81%
86%
90%
82%
85%
89%
83%


OR Quartile 2
3.44
2.95
2.86
3.01
2.95
3.28
2.94
2.59
3.58


p Value
0.0041
0.011
0.049
0.0098
0.011
0.026
0.012
0.025
0.011


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.48
1.28
1.00
1.31
1.28
1.16
1.27
1.13
1.35


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.97
6.81
8.15
6.96
6.81
9.33
6.82
5.94
9.55


OR Quartile 3
3.00
3.13
2.55
2.81
3.13
3.10
2.70
2.94
2.82


p Value
0.0048
0.0030
0.021
0.0081
0.0030
0.0049
0.012
0.0051
0.0065


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.40
1.47
1.15
1.31
1.47
1.41
1.24
1.38
1.34


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.44
6.67
5.64
6.04
6.67
6.84
5.88
6.25
5.97


OR Quartile 4
3.13
4.64
2.85
2.99
4.64
2.90
2.61
4.45
2.77


p Value
0.022
0.0037
0.015
0.028
0.0037
0.013
0.055
0.0048
0.017


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.18
1.65
1.22
1.12
1.65
1.25
0.980
1.58
1.20


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.33
13.1
6.66
7.97
13.1
6.72
6.98
12.6
6.37
















TABLE 34.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
561
1280
561
1220
548
1200


Average
809
2550
822
2500
835
2430


Stdev
793
4320
807
4270
829
4210


p (t-test)

0.0056

0.0083

0.013


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
50
75
48
77
45
80


sCr only


Median
575
1290
575
1290
597
1280


Average
800
2580
800
2580
810
2550


Stdev
773
4340
773
4340
778
4320


p (t-test)

0.0045

0.0045

0.0057


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
51
74
51
74
50
75


UO only


Median
702
1310
702
1290
685
1290


Average
1350
2870
1360
2780
1340
2640


Stdev
3400
3480
3440
3420
3570
3260


p (t-test)

0.021

0.029

0.041


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
82
42
80
44
74
50












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.70
0.68
0.69
0.70
0.68
0.68
0.69
0.69


SE
0.046
0.046
0.053
0.047
0.046
0.052
0.048
0.047
0.050


p Value
1.8E−5
1.3E−5
5.5E−4
6.2E−5
1.3E−5
6.6E−4
1.5E−4
3.8E−5
1.8E−4


nCohort Recovered
50
51
82
48
51
80
45
50
74


nCohort Non-recovered
75
74
42
77
74
44
80
75
50


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
376
375
376
376
375
376
376
375


Sensitivity
85%
85%
88%
84%
85%
89%
84%
84%
88%


Specificity
40%
39%
32%
40%
39%
32%
40%
38%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
61%
62%
67%
60%
62%
66%
59%
61%
64%


Specificity
66%
67%
59%
65%
67%
59%
64%
66%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
35%
36%
38%
34%
36%
36%
32%
36%
36%


Specificity
88%
90%
82%
88%
90%
81%
87%
90%
82%


OR Quartile 2
3.88
3.70
3.44
3.55
3.70
3.76
3.44
3.22
3.74


p Value
0.0019
0.0026
0.020
0.0033
0.0026
0.013
0.0041
0.0065
0.0083


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.65
1.58
1.21
1.52
1.58
1.32
1.48
1.39
1.40


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.11
8.66
9.75
8.26
8.66
10.6
7.97
7.46
9.97


OR Quartile 3
3.08
3.29
2.82
2.71
3.29
2.75
2.58
3.08
2.61


p Value
0.0032
0.0018
0.0089
0.0090
0.0018
0.0095
0.014
0.0032
0.011


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.46
1.55
1.30
1.28
1.55
1.28
1.21
1.46
1.24


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.50
6.94
6.14
5.71
6.94
5.92
5.49
6.50
5.47


OR Quartile 4
3.89
5.29
2.75
3.57
5.29
2.48
3.13
5.06
2.64


p Value
0.0064
0.0017
0.018
0.011
0.0017
0.033
0.022
0.0022
0.022


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.47
1.87
1.19
1.34
1.87
1.08
1.18
1.79
1.15


Upper limit of 95% CI
10.3
14.9
6.35
9.48
14.9
5.69
8.33
14.3
6.06
















TABLE 34.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
671
1310
682
1290
682
1290


Average
1320
2650
1330
2610
1330
2610


Stdev
3540
3260
3560
3240
3560
3240


p (t-test)

0.036

0.043

0.043


Min
45.2
57.6
45.2
57.6
45.2
57.6


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
75
50
74
51
74
51


sCr only


Median
597
1290
597
1290
597
1290


Average
1320
2380
1320
2380
1320
2380


Stdev
3870
2980
3870
2980
3870
2980


p (t-test)

0.086

0.086

0.086


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
62
63
62
63
62
63


UO only


Median
694
1330
702
1310
694
1330


Average
1350
2830
1360
2780
1340
2790


Stdev
3430
3450
3450
3420
3460
3390


p (t-test)

0.025

0.030

0.025


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
81
43
80
44
79
45












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.68
0.68
0.67
0.68
0.68
0.67
0.68
0.69


SE
0.050
0.047
0.052
0.050
0.047
0.052
0.050
0.047
0.051


p Value
3.8E−4
9.5E−5
4.4E−4
5.5E−4
9.5E−5
6.6E−4
5.5E−4
9.5E−5
2.2E−4


nCohort Recovered
75
62
81
74
62
80
74
62
79


nCohort Non-recovered
50
63
43
51
63
44
51
63
45


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
376
375
376
376
375
376
376
375


Sensitivity
84%
84%
88%
84%
84%
89%
84%
84%
89%


Specificity
31%
34%
32%
31%
34%
32%
31%
34%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
66%
63%
67%
65%
63%
66%
65%
63%
67%


Specificity
60%
63%
59%
59%
63%
59%
59%
63%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
38%
40%
37%
37%
40%
36%
37%
40%
38%


Specificity
83%
89%
81%
82%
89%
81%
82%
89%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.32
2.71
3.59
2.42
2.71
3.76
2.42
2.71
3.92


p Value
0.067
0.022
0.016
0.054
0.022
0.013
0.054
0.022
0.010


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.943
1.15
1.27
0.984
1.15
1.32
0.984
1.15
1.39


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.72
6.39
10.2
5.97
6.39
10.6
5.97
6.39
11.1


OR Quartile 3
2.91
2.95
3.01
2.69
2.95
2.75
2.69
2.95
2.94


p Value
0.0050
0.0036
0.0054
0.0086
0.0036
0.0095
0.0086
0.0036
0.0058


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.38
1.43
1.39
1.28
1.43
1.28
1.28
1.43
1.37


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.14
6.10
6.55
5.63
6.10
5.92
5.63
6.10
6.32


OR Quartile 4
2.92
5.17
2.61
2.79
5.17
2.48
2.79
5.17
2.82


p Value
0.011
5.7E−4
0.024
0.015
5.7E−4
0.033
0.015
5.7E−4
0.015


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.28
2.03
1.13
1.22
2.03
1.08
1.22
2.03
1.22


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.68
13.2
6.01
6.36
13.2
5.69
6.36
13.2
6.49









Example 35. Use of Tumor Necrosis Factor Receptor Superfamily Member 11B for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 35.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
575
1170
575
1170
667
1140


Average
880
2360
880
2360
903
2320


Stdev
863
4170
863
4170
878
4130


p (t-test)

0.023

0.023

0.032


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
43
82
43
82
41
84


sCr only


Median
575
1180
575
1180
597
1170


Average
875
2380
875
2380
884
2360


Stdev
842
4240
842
4240
849
4210


p (t-test)

0.016

0.016

0.019


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
49
75
49
75
48
76


UO only


Median
711
1670
702
1670
702
1660


Average
1410
3020
1360
2920
1370
2760


Stdev
3440
3390
3480
3300
3570
3190


p (t-test)

0.020

0.019

0.033


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
89
35
84
40
80
44












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.66
0.72
0.65
0.66
0.72
0.64
0.65
0.71


SE
0.050
0.049
0.054
0.050
0.049
0.052
0.051
0.049
0.051


p Value
0.0026
0.0011
4.2E−5
0.0026
0.0011
2.5E−5
0.0076
0.0018
4.5E−5


nCohort Recovered
43
49
89
43
49
84
41
48
80


nCohort Non-recovered
82
75
35
82
75
40
84
76
44


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
375
375
376
375
375
376
375
375


Sensitivity
82%
83%
91%
82%
83%
90%
81%
83%
86%


Specificity
37%
37%
31%
37%
37%
32%
37%
38%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
60%
61%
71%
60%
61%
70%
58%
61%
68%


Specificity
67%
67%
58%
67%
67%
60%
66%
67%
60%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
30%
32%
46%
30%
32%
45%
30%
32%
43%


Specificity
84%
86%
83%
84%
86%
85%
83%
85%
85%


OR Quartile 2
2.65
2.77
4.90
2.65
2.77
4.26
2.45
2.91
2.88


p Value
0.022
0.017
0.014
0.022
0.017
0.012
0.036
0.012
0.035


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.15
1.20
1.38
1.15
1.20
1.38
1.06
1.26
1.08


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.10
6.37
17.4
6.10
6.37
13.2
5.66
6.70
7.69


OR Quartile 3
3.08
3.27
3.51
3.08
3.27
3.43
2.70
3.07
3.21


p Value
0.0045
0.0021
0.0036
0.0045
0.0021
0.0027
0.012
0.0037
0.0032


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.42
1.54
1.51
1.42
1.54
1.53
1.24
1.44
1.48


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.68
6.97
8.19
6.68
6.97
7.67
5.88
6.53
6.99


OR Quartile 4
2.26
2.82
4.15
2.26
2.82
4.47
2.06
2.70
4.31


p Value
0.089
0.030
0.0013
0.089
0.030
6.3E−4
0.13
0.037
8.3E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.884
1.11
1.75
0.884
1.11
1.89
0.805
1.06
1.83


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.75
7.20
9.88
5.75
7.20
10.5
5.26
6.89
10.1
















TABLE 35.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
621
1290
621
1290
669
1280


Average
828
2630
828
2630
844
2570


Stdev
783
4420
783
4420
794
4370


p (t-test)

0.0036

0.0036

0.0057


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
54
71
54
71
52
73


sCr only


Median
643
1290
643
1290
667
1290


Average
845
2730
845
2730
852
2690


Stdev
781
4530
781
4530
786
4510


p (t-test)

0.0023

0.0023

0.0028


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
58
67
58
67
57
68


UO only


Median
732
1470
719
1670
702
1490


Average
1470
2910
1400
3000
1410
2740


Stdev
3430
3470
3420
3450
3540
3260


p (t-test)

0.040

0.019

0.044


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
90
34
88
36
82
42












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.69
0.68
0.69
0.69
0.71
0.67
0.68
0.70


SE
0.047
0.047
0.056
0.047
0.047
0.054
0.048
0.047
0.052


p Value
5.8E−5
6.1E−5
0.0012
5.8E−5
6.1E−5
1.4E−4
2.5E−4
1.2E−4
1.4E−4


nCohort Recovered
54
58
90
54
58
88
52
57
82


nCohort Non-recovered
71
67
34
71
67
36
73
68
42


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
376
375
376
376
375
376
376
375


Sensitivity
85%
85%
91%
85%
85%
92%
84%
85%
88%


Specificity
37%
36%
31%
37%
36%
32%
37%
37%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
63%
64%
68%
63%
64%
69%
62%
63%
69%


Specificity
67%
66%
57%
67%
66%
58%
65%
65%
60%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
37%
39%
41%
37%
39%
44%
36%
38%
40%


Specificity
89%
90%
81%
89%
90%
83%
88%
89%
83%


OR Quartile 2
3.21
3.24
4.67
3.21
3.24
5.13
2.93
3.38
3.44


p Value
0.0070
0.0074
0.017
0.0070
0.0074
0.011
0.012
0.0055
0.020


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.37
1.37
1.32
1.37
1.37
1.45
1.27
1.43
1.21


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.49
7.64
16.6
7.49
7.64
18.2
6.76
8.00
9.75


OR Quartile 3
3.46
3.40
2.73
3.46
3.40
3.13
3.04
3.18
3.31


p Value
0.0011
0.0011
0.018
0.0011
0.0011
0.0067
0.0033
0.0020
0.0029


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.65
1.63
1.19
1.65
1.63
1.37
1.45
1.53
1.50


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.28
7.11
6.28
7.28
7.11
7.15
6.37
6.63
7.29


OR Quartile 4
4.62
5.50
3.01
4.62
5.50
3.89
4.24
5.26
3.30


p Value
0.0021
6.3E−4
0.012
0.0021
6.3E−4
0.0020
0.0037
8.7E−4
0.0055


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.74
2.07
1.27
1.74
2.07
1.65
1.60
1.98
1.42


Upper limit of 95% CI
12.3
14.6
7.13
12.3
14.6
9.21
11.3
14.0
7.67
















TABLE 35.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
619
1320
619
1320
667
1300


Average
837
2820
837
2820
849
2750


Stdev
779
4610
779
4610
789
4560


p (t-test)

0.0012

0.0012

0.0020


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
61
64
61
64
59
66


sCr only


Median
619
1320
619
1320
619
1320


Average
831
2830
831
2830
831
2830


Stdev
769
4610
769
4610
769
4610


p (t-test)

0.0011

0.0011

0.0011


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
61
64
61
64
61
64


UO only


Median
732
1290
732
1290
719
1290


Average
1490
2850
1490
2850
1450
2730


Stdev
3440
3480
3440
3480
3500
3340


p (t-test)

0.051

0.051

0.056


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
90
34
90
34
84
40












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.71
0.67
0.70
0.71
0.67
0.69
0.71
0.67


SE
0.046
0.046
0.057
0.046
0.046
0.057
0.047
0.046
0.054


p Value
1.1E−5
8.2E−6
0.0027
1.1E−5
8.2E−6
0.0027
4.2E−5
8.2E−6
0.0012


nCohort Recovered
61
61
90
61
61
90
59
61
84


nCohort Non-recovered
64
64
34
64
64
34
66
64
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
376
375
376
376
375
376
376
375


Sensitivity
86%
86%
88%
86%
86%
88%
85%
86%
88%


Specificity
36%
36%
30%
36%
36%
30%
36%
36%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
66%
66%
68%
66%
66%
68%
64%
66%
68%


Specificity
66%
66%
57%
66%
66%
57%
64%
66%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
39%
41%
41%
39%
41%
41%
38%
41%
38%


Specificity
89%
90%
81%
89%
90%
81%
88%
90%
81%


OR Quartile 2
3.45
3.45
3.21
3.45
3.45
3.21
3.09
3.45
3.14


p Value
0.0057
0.0057
0.044
0.0057
0.0057
0.044
0.0099
0.0057
0.032


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.43
1.43
1.03
1.43
1.43
1.03
1.31
1.43
1.10


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.29
8.29
10.0
8.29
8.29
10.0
7.30
8.29
8.92


OR Quartile 3
3.64
3.64
2.73
3.64
3.64
2.73
3.17
3.64
2.91


p Value
6.1E−4
6.1E−4
0.018
6.1E−4
6.1E−4
0.018
0.0020
6.1E−4
0.0082


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.74
1.74
1.19
1.74
1.74
1.19
1.52
1.74
1.32


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.61
7.61
6.28
7.61
7.61
6.28
6.58
7.61
6.41


OR Quartile 4
4.95
6.27
3.01
4.95
6.27
3.01
4.53
6.27
2.55


p Value
7.9E−4
2.4E−4
0.012
7.9E−4
2.4E−4
0.012
0.0015
2.4E−4
0.029


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.94
2.36
1.27
1.94
2.36
1.27
1.78
2.36
1.10


Upper limit of 95% CI
12.6
16.7
7.13
12.6
16.7
7.13
11.5
16.7
5.91
















TABLE 35.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
643
1310
643
1310
669
1290


Average
988
2760
988
2760
1000
2690


Stdev
1410
4610
1410
4610
1430
4550


p (t-test)

0.0040

0.0040

0.0063


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
10300
30700
10300
30700
10300
30700


n (Patient)
64
61
64
61
62
63


sCr only


Median
643
1310
643
1310
643
1310


Average
982
2770
982
2770
982
2770


Stdev
1410
4610
1410
4610
1410
4610


p (t-test)

0.0037

0.0037

0.0037


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
10300
30700
10300
30700
10300
30700


n (Patient)
64
61
64
61
64
61


UO only


Median
711
1290
711
1290
719
1250


Average
1440
2780
1440
2780
1470
2630


Stdev
3480
3370
3480
3370
3540
3290


p (t-test)

0.048

0.048

0.080


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
85
39
85
39
82
42












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.70
0.68
0.69
0.70
0.68
0.68
0.70
0.66


SE
0.047
0.047
0.054
0.047
0.047
0.054
0.048
0.047
0.053


p Value
3.8E−5
2.8E−5
9.7E−4
3.8E−5
2.8E−5
9.7E−4
1.3E−4
2.8E−5
0.0025


nCohort Recovered
64
64
85
64
64
85
62
64
82


nCohort Non-recovered
61
61
39
61
61
39
63
61
42


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
376
375
376
376
375
376
376
375


Sensitivity
87%
87%
90%
87%
87%
90%
86%
87%
88%


Specificity
36%
36%
32%
36%
36%
32%
35%
36%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
66%
66%
67%
66%
66%
67%
63%
66%
64%


Specificity
64%
64%
58%
64%
64%
58%
63%
64%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
39%
41%
38%
39%
41%
38%
38%
41%
36%


Specificity
88%
89%
81%
88%
89%
81%
87%
89%
80%


OR Quartile 2
3.72
3.72
4.07
3.72
3.72
4.07
3.30
3.72
3.44


p Value
0.0043
0.0043
0.015
0.0043
0.0043
0.015
0.0076
0.0043
0.020


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.51
1.51
1.31
1.51
1.51
1.31
1.37
1.51
1.21


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.16
9.16
12.6
9.16
9.16
12.6
7.93
9.16
9.75


OR Quartile 3
3.40
3.40
2.72
3.40
3.40
2.72
2.95
3.40
2.42


p Value
0.0011
0.0011
0.013
0.0011
0.0011
0.013
0.0036
0.0011
0.024


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.63
1.63
1.23
1.63
1.63
1.23
1.43
1.63
1.12


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.08
7.08
6.01
7.08
7.08
6.01
6.10
7.08
5.21


OR Quartile 4
4.54
5.65
2.70
4.54
5.65
2.70
4.15
5.65
2.29


p Value
0.0010
2.9E−4
0.021
0.0010
2.9E−4
0.021
0.0019
2.9E−4
0.051


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.84
2.22
1.16
1.84
2.22
1.16
1.69
2.22
0.995


Upper limit of 95% CI
11.2
14.4
6.27
11.2
14.4
6.27
10.2
14.4
5.28
















TABLE 35.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
671
1350
671
1350
674
1330


Average
1420
2700
1420
2700
1430
2660


Stdev
3530
3250
3530
3250
3550
3230


p (t-test)

0.051

0.051

0.061


Min
45.2
57.6
45.2
57.6
45.2
57.6


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
83
42
83
42
82
43


sCr only


Median
619
1350
619
1350
619
1350


Average
1400
2490
1400
2490
1400
2490


Stdev
3740
3000
3740
3000
3740
3000


p (t-test)

0.086

0.086

0.086


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
73
52
73
52
73
52


UO only


Median
711
1290
711
1290
719
1290


Average
1540
2570
1540
2570
1550
2520


Stdev
3590
3200
3590
3200
3610
3180


p (t-test)

0.13

0.13

0.15


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
85
39
85
39
84
40












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.70
0.66
0.70
0.70
0.66
0.69
0.70
0.66


SE
0.052
0.048
0.054
0.052
0.048
0.054
0.052
0.048
0.054


p Value
1.1E−4
2.3E−5
0.0025
1.1E−4
2.3E−5
0.0025
1.8E−4
2.3E−5
0.0035


nCohort Recovered
83
73
85
83
73
85
82
73
84


nCohort Non-recovered
42
52
39
42
52
39
43
52
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
376
375
376
376
375
376
376
375


Sensitivity
90%
88%
90%
90%
88%
90%
91%
88%
90%


Specificity
33%
34%
32%
33%
34%
32%
33%
34%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
71%
69%
67%
71%
69%
67%
70%
69%
65%


Specificity
60%
63%
58%
60%
63%
58%
60%
63%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
38%
42%
36%
38%
42%
36%
37%
42%
35%


Specificity
81%
86%
80%
81%
86%
80%
80%
86%
80%


OR Quartile 2
4.58
3.99
4.07
4.58
3.99
4.07
4.79
3.99
4.26


p Value
0.0082
0.0055
0.015
0.0082
0.0055
0.015
0.0065
0.0055
0.012


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.48
1.50
1.31
1.48
1.50
1.31
1.55
1.50
1.38


Upper limit of 95% CI
14.2
10.6
12.6
14.2
10.6
12.6
14.8
10.6
13.2


OR Quartile 3
3.79
3.83
2.72
3.79
3.83
2.72
3.43
3.83
2.48


p Value
0.0011
5.0E−4
0.013
0.0011
5.0E−4
0.013
0.0021
5.0E−4
0.023


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.70
1.80
1.23
1.70
1.80
1.23
1.56
1.80
1.13


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.44
8.17
6.01
8.44
8.17
6.01
7.52
8.17
5.40


OR Quartile 4
2.58
4.62
2.24
2.58
4.62
2.24
2.44
4.62
2.12


p Value
0.025
5.2E−4
0.061
0.025
5.2E−4
0.061
0.034
5.2E−4
0.079


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.13
1.95
0.964
1.13
1.95
0.964
1.07
1.95
0.916


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.90
11.0
5.20
5.90
11.0
5.20
5.58
11.0
4.92









Example 36. Use of Tumor Necrosis Factor Receptor Superfamily Member 11B for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 36.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
677
1650
669
1670
669
1880


Average
1170
3210
1140
3430
1140
3700


Stdev
1760
5250
1740
5390
1710
5620


p (t-test)

0.0017

5.1E−4

1.5E−4


Min
45.2
90.5
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
10300
30700
10300
30700
10300
30700


n (Patient)
83
42
86
39
90
35


sCr only


Median
674
1650
667
1670
671
1670


Average
1060
3210
1070
3460
1080
3570


Stdev
1460
5250
1480
5510
1470
5650


p (t-test)

7.3E−4

2.6E−4

1.9E−4


Min
45.2
90.5
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
10300
30700
10300
30700
10300
30700


n (Patient)
82
42
87
37
89
35


UO only


Median
745
2690
763
2380
763
2380


Average
1510
4090
1580
3770
1580
3770


Stdev
3280
4030
3350
3930
3350
3930


p (t-test)

0.0041

0.019

0.019


Min
45.2
409
45.2
409
45.2
409


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
107
17
108
16
108
16












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.72
0.73
0.77
0.76
0.77
0.75
0.78
0.76
0.75


SE
0.051
0.050
0.070
0.050
0.050
0.074
0.050
0.052
0.074


p Value
1.9E−5
8.0E−6
1.4E−4
1.5E−7
1.2E−7
7.5E−4
3.9E−8
5.6E−7
7.5E−4


nCohort Non-persistent
83
82
107
86
87
108
90
89
108


nCohort Persistent
42
42
17
39
37
16
35
35
16


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
375
375
376
375
375
376
375
375


Sensitivity
93%
93%
100% 
97%
97%
100% 
97%
97%
100% 


Specificity
34%
34%
29%
35%
34%
29%
33%
34%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
71%
71%
76%
77%
78%
75%
80%
77%
75%


Specificity
60%
61%
54%
62%
62%
54%
61%
61%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
45%
45%
59%
49%
49%
56%
51%
49%
56%


Specificity
84%
85%
80%
85%
85%
80%
84%
84%
80%


OR Quartile 2
6.62
6.74
14.4
20.4
18.9
13.4
17.0
17.3
13.4


p Value
0.0033
0.0030
0.066
0.0037
0.0046
0.074
0.0064
0.0061
0.074


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.88
1.91
0.841
2.66
2.47
0.781
2.22
2.26
0.781


Upper limit of 95% CI
23.3
23.8
247
156
145
230
130
133
230


OR Quartile 3
3.79
3.91
3.85
5.35
5.93
3.48
6.29
5.21
3.48


p Value
0.0011
8.8E−4
0.026
1.4E−4
9.6E−5
0.041
1.1E−4
3.1E−4
0.041


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.70
1.75
1.18
2.26
2.42
1.06
2.48
2.12
1.06


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.44
8.72
12.6
12.7
14.5
11.5
15.9
12.8
11.5


OR Quartile 4
4.45
4.82
5.85
5.33
5.39
5.03
5.75
5.06
5.03


p Value
5.6E−4
3.5E−4
0.0013
1.4E−4
1.6E−4
0.0038
8.8E−5
2.8E−4
0.0038


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.90
2.03
1.99
2.25
2.25
1.68
2.40
2.11
1.68


Upper limit of 95% CI
10.4
11.4
17.2
12.6
12.9
15.0
13.8
12.1
15.0
















TABLE 36.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
671
1310
643
1360
643
1640


Average
1090
2920
1060
3170
1060
3370


Stdev
1530
4910
1490
5100
1460
5290


p (t-test)

0.0033

8.2E−4

3.1E−4


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
10300
30700
10300
30700
10300
30700


n (Patient)
73
52
78
47
82
43


sCr only


Median
671
1280
619
1360
643
1500


Average
1090
2780
1050
3000
1050
3120


Stdev
1530
4850
1500
4990
1480
5140


p (t-test)

0.0061

0.0017

0.0010


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
10300
30700
10300
30700
10300
30700


n (Patient)
73
51
77
47
80
44


UO only


Median
745
1670
763
1440
763
1440


Average
1460
3630
1540
3370
1540
3370


Stdev
3260
4000
3330
3890
3330
3890


p (t-test)

0.0068

0.025

0.025


Min
45.2
201
45.2
201
45.2
201


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
101
23
102
22
102
22












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.68
0.71
0.73
0.74
0.69
0.74
0.74
0.69


SE
0.049
0.050
0.065
0.048
0.048
0.067
0.049
0.049
0.067


p Value
1.5E−4
2.9E−4
0.0015
1.1E−6
7.5E−7
0.0050
5.2E−7
1.3E−6
0.0050


nCohort Non-persistent
73
73
101
78
77
102
82
80
102


nCohort Persistent
52
51
23
47
47
22
43
44
22


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
375
375
376
375
375
376
375
375


Sensitivity
90%
90%
96%
96%
96%
95%
95%
95%
95%


Specificity
36%
36%
30%
37%
38%
29%
35%
36%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
65%
65%
70%
70%
70%
68%
72%
70%
68%


Specificity
60%
60%
54%
62%
62%
54%
61%
61%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
40%
39%
48%
43%
43%
45%
44%
43%
45%


Specificity
85%
85%
80%
85%
86%
79%
84%
85%
79%


OR Quartile 2
5.20
5.09
9.30
13.3
13.6
8.75
11.2
11.9
8.75


p Value
0.0019
0.0022
0.033
6.5E−4
6.0E−4
0.038
0.0015
0.0011
0.038


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.84
1.80
1.20
3.00
3.07
1.13
2.53
2.69
1.13


Upper limit of 95% CI
14.7
14.4
72.1
59.0
60.3
68.0
49.8
53.0
68.0


OR Quartile 3
2.87
2.78
2.73
3.77
3.90
2.51
4.04
3.77
2.51


p Value
0.0052
0.0068
0.042
7.7E−4
5.9E−4
0.065
6.4E−4
9.7E−4
0.065


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.37
1.33
1.04
1.74
1.79
0.943
1.81
1.71
0.943


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.00
5.84
7.21
8.18
8.48
6.67
8.99
8.29
6.67


OR Quartile 4
3.82
3.64
3.71
4.07
4.44
3.21
4.20
4.31
3.21


p Value
0.0019
0.0030
0.0070
0.0011
6.9E−4
0.018
8.6E−4
8.3E−4
0.018


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.64
1.55
1.43
1.75
1.88
1.22
1.81
1.83
1.22


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.91
8.53
9.63
9.48
10.5
8.45
9.78
10.1
8.45
















TABLE 36.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
667
1310
575
1500
561
1640


Average
1070
2820
1030
3020
1020
3140


Stdev
1560
4750
1530
4870
1510
4990


p (t-test)

0.0049

0.0014

7.3E−4


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
10300
30700
10300
30700
10300
30700


n (Patient)
69
56
73
52
76
49


sCr only


Median
669
1290
597
1350
597
1350


Average
1080
2700
1040
2890
1040
2960


Stdev
1550
4730
1520
4860
1510
4950


p (t-test)

0.0085

0.0026

0.0020


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
10300
30700
10300
30700
10300
30700


n (Patient)
70
54
74
50
76
48


UO only


Median
736
1290
740
1260
740
1260


Average
1470
3260
1550
3030
1550
3030


Stdev
3320
3790
3400
3660
3400
3660


p (t-test)

0.018

0.054

0.054


Min
45.2
201
45.2
201
45.2
201


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
97
27
98
26
98
26












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.68
0.69
0.75
0.74
0.68
0.76
0.74
0.68


SE
0.048
0.049
0.061
0.046
0.047
0.063
0.046
0.047
0.063


p Value
4.2E−5
1.8E−4
0.0016
4.7E−8
4.1E−7
0.0049
1.4E−8
4.7E−7
0.0049


nCohort Non-persistent
69
70
97
73
74
98
76
76
98


nCohort Persistent
56
54
27
52
50
26
49
48
26


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
375
375
376
375
375
376
375
375


Sensitivity
89%
89%
93%
94%
94%
92%
94%
94%
92%


Specificity
36%
36%
30%
38%
38%
30%
37%
37%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
66%
65%
70%
71%
70%
69%
73%
71%
69%


Specificity
62%
61%
56%
64%
64%
55%
64%
63%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
39%
39%
41%
42%
42%
38%
43%
42%
38%


Specificity
86%
86%
79%
86%
86%
79%
86%
86%
79%


OR Quartile 2
4.73
4.44
5.33
10.2
9.54
5.04
8.94
8.75
5.04


p Value
0.0018
0.0028
0.029
3.0E−4
4.4E−4
0.035
6.4E−4
7.3E−4
0.035


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.78
1.67
1.18
2.89
2.71
1.12
2.54
2.49
1.12


Upper limit of 95% CI
12.6
11.8
24.0
35.7
33.6
22.7
31.5
30.8
22.7


OR Quartile 3
3.22
2.93
2.98
4.46
4.06
2.76
5.03
4.16
2.76


p Value
0.0019
0.0042
0.020
1.4E−4
3.5E−4
0.031
6.1E−5
3.2E−4
0.031


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.54
1.40
1.19
2.07
1.88
1.10
2.28
1.91
1.10


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.73
6.13
7.47
9.61
8.76
6.95
11.1
9.06
6.95


OR Quartile 4
3.82
3.82
2.65
4.62
4.63
2.29
4.43
4.22
2.29


p Value
0.0022
0.0024
0.036
5.2E−4
5.6E−4
0.079
6.3E−4
0.0010
0.079


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.62
1.61
1.06
1.95
1.94
0.908
1.89
1.79
0.908


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.01
9.06
6.59
11.0
11.1
5.78
10.4
9.96
5.78
















TABLE 36.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
643
1330
561
1640
561
1640


Average
985
2890
942
3090
950
3160


Stdev
1390
4740
1360
4860
1350
4940


p (t-test)

0.0020

5.0E−4

3.6E−4


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
10300
30700
10300
30700
10300
30700


n (Patient)
68
57
72
53
74
51


sCr only


Median
667
1290
575
1360
575
1360


Average
998
2770
955
2980
963
3050


Stdev
1380
4720
1360
4850
1350
4930


p (t-test)

0.0035

9.6E−4

7.1E−4


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
10300
30700
10300
30700
10300
30700


n (Patient)
69
55
73
51
75
49


UO only


Median
711
1330
719
1310
719
1310


Average
1420
3190
1500
2990
1500
2990


Stdev
3340
3650
3420
3530
3420
3530


p (t-test)

0.014

0.042

0.042


Min
45.2
201
45.2
201
45.2
201


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
93
31
94
30
94
30












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.70
0.71
0.76
0.75
0.69
0.76
0.75
0.69


SE
0.047
0.048
0.057
0.044
0.046
0.059
0.045
0.046
0.059


p Value
7.8E−6
3.9E−5
2.6E−4
3.6E−9
4.0E−8
9.7E−4
4.3E−9
4.8E−8
9.7E−4


nCohort Non-persistent
68
69
93
72
73
94
74
75
94


nCohort Persistent
57
55
31
53
51
30
51
49
30


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
375
375
376
375
375
376
375
375


Sensitivity
89%
89%
94%
94%
94%
93%
94%
94%
93%


Specificity
37%
36%
31%
39%
38%
31%
38%
37%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
67%
65%
71%
72%
71%
70%
73%
71%
70%


Specificity
63%
62%
57%
65%
64%
56%
65%
64%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
40%
40%
39%
43%
43%
37%
43%
43%
37%


Specificity
87%
87%
80%
88%
88%
79%
86%
87%
79%


OR Quartile 2
4.94
4.64
6.57
10.6
9.96
6.25
9.74
9.13
6.25


p Value
0.0014
0.0021
0.014
2.3E−4
3.4E−4
0.017
3.9E−4
5.7E−4
0.017


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.86
1.74
1.47
3.02
2.83
1.39
2.77
2.60
1.39


Upper limit of 95% CI
13.2
12.4
29.4
37.3
35.0
28.0
34.2
32.1
28.0


OR Quartile 3
3.44
3.13
3.24
4.76
4.34
3.02
4.88
4.44
3.02


p Value
0.0011
0.0024
0.0087
7.1E−5
1.9E−4
0.014
6.6E−5
1.7E−4
0.014


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.64
1.50
1.35
2.21
2.01
1.25
2.24
2.04
1.25


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.20
6.56
7.79
10.3
9.37
7.28
10.6
9.68
7.28


OR Quartile 4
4.43
4.44
2.46
5.37
5.39
2.14
4.86
4.88
2.14


p Value
8.9E−4
9.5E−4
0.045
2.0E−4
2.1E−4
0.094
3.5E−4
3.8E−4
0.094


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.84
1.84
1.02
2.22
2.21
0.878
2.04
2.03
0.878


Upper limit of 95% CI
10.7
10.8
5.94
13.0
13.2
5.23
11.6
11.7
5.23
















TABLE 36.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
643
1330
561
1640
561
1640


Average
985
2890
942
3090
950
3160


Stdev
1390
4740
1360
4860
1350
4940


p (t-test)

0.0020

5.0E−4

3.6E−4


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
10300
30700
10300
30700
10300
30700


n (Patient)
68
57
72
53
74
51


sCr only


Median
669
1290
597
1350
597
1350


Average
1010
2730
967
2920
974
2990


Stdev
1390
4690
1360
4810
1350
4900


p (t-test)

0.0048

0.0014

0.0010


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
93.3
45.2
93.3


Max
10300
30700
10300
30700
10300
30700


n (Patient)
68
56
72
52
74
50


UO only


Median
694
1360
702
1350
702
1350


Average
1410
3100
1500
2910
1500
2910


Stdev
3380
3550
3460
3430
3460
3430


p (t-test)

0.017

0.049

0.049


Min
45.2
201
45.2
201
45.2
201


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
91
33
92
32
92
32












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.71
0.68
0.72
0.76
0.74
0.70
0.76
0.74
0.70


SE
0.047
0.049
0.055
0.044
0.047
0.057
0.045
0.047
0.057


p Value
7.8E−6
1.8E−4
7.6E−5
3.6E−9
4.6E−7
3.2E−4
4.3E−9
5.6E−7
3.2E−4


nCohort Non-persistent
68
68
91
72
72
92
74
74
92


nCohort Persistent
57
56
33
53
52
32
51
50
32


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
375
375
376
375
375
376
375
375


Sensitivity
89%
88%
94%
94%
92%
94%
94%
92%
94%


Specificity
37%
35%
32%
39%
38%
32%
38%
36%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
67%
64%
73%
72%
69%
72%
73%
70%
72%


Specificity
63%
62%
58%
65%
64%
58%
65%
64%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
40%
39%
39%
43%
42%
38%
43%
42%
38%


Specificity
87%
87%
80%
88%
88%
79%
86%
86%
79%


OR Quartile 2
4.94
3.82
7.25
10.6
7.20
6.90
9.74
6.61
6.90


p Value
0.0014
0.0050
0.0095
2.3E−4
5.9E−4
0.011
3.9E−4
0.0010
0.011


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.86
1.50
1.62
3.02
2.33
1.54
2.77
2.14
1.54


Upper limit of 95% CI
13.2
9.73
32.4
37.3
22.2
30.9
34.2
20.4
30.9


OR Quartile 3
3.44
2.91
3.72
4.76
3.98
3.47
4.88
4.06
3.47


p Value
0.0011
0.0043
0.0032
7.1E−5
3.7E−4
0.0053
6.6E−5
3.5E−4
0.0053


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.64
1.40
1.55
2.21
1.86
1.45
2.24
1.88
1.45


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.20
6.05
8.90
10.3
8.51
8.33
10.6
8.76
8.33


OR Quartile 4
4.43
4.24
2.64
5.37
5.13
2.31
4.86
4.63
2.31


p Value
8.9E−4
0.0013
0.029
2.0E−4
3.1E−4
0.062
3.5E−4
5.6E−4
0.062


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.84
1.75
1.11
2.22
2.11
0.960
2.04
1.94
0.960


Upper limit of 95% CI
10.7
10.3
6.28
13.0
12.5
5.53
11.6
11.1
5.53









Example 37. Use of Tumor Necrosis Factor Receptor Superfamily Member 11B for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 37.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
575
1170
671
1300
669
1330


Average
1020
2390
980
2800
970
2980


Stdev
1230
4280
1090
4730
1070
4900


p (t-test)

0.031

0.0031

0.0011


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
7050
30700
7050
30700
7050
30700


n (Patient)
49
76
65
60
70
55


sCr only


Median
619
1160
667
1290
632
1330


Average
1020
2320
965
2690
991
2850


Stdev
1210
4260
1100
4660
1160
4860


p (t-test)

0.037

0.0044

0.0023


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
7050
30700
7050
30700
7050
30700


n (Patient)
51
73
65
59
71
53


UO only


Median
719
1860
740
2230
763
1860


Average
1410
3430
1440
3820
1520
3620


Stdev
3320
3650
3240
4000
3300
4000


p (t-test)

0.0066

0.0033

0.013


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
96
28
102
22
104
20












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.63
0.75
0.66
0.67
0.74
0.68
0.69
0.71


SE
0.049
0.050
0.057
0.049
0.049
0.065
0.049
0.049
0.069


p Value
0.0043
0.0083
1.5E−5
9.8E−4
4.3E−4
2.7E−4
2.3E−4
9.7E−5
0.0029


nCohort Non-persistent
49
51
96
65
65
102
70
71
104


nCohort Persistent
76
73
28
60
59
22
55
53
20


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
375
375
376
375
375
376
375
375


Sensitivity
83%
82%
96%
83%
85%
95%
85%
87%
95%


Specificity
37%
35%
31%
32%
34%
29%
33%
34%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
61%
60%
75%
63%
64%
73%
65%
68%
70%


Specificity
65%
65%
57%
62%
63%
55%
61%
63%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
30%
30%
50%
38%
37%
55%
40%
40%
50%


Specificity
82%
82%
82%
86%
86%
81%
86%
86%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.81
2.52
12.3
2.39
2.84
8.75
2.88
3.36
7.70


p Value
0.015
0.029
0.016
0.046
0.019
0.038
0.022
0.011
0.052


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.22
1.10
1.59
1.01
1.18
1.13
1.17
1.32
0.986


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.47
5.78
94.6
5.61
6.83
68.0
7.07
8.55
60.1


OR Quartile 3
2.89
2.78
4.02
2.76
3.09
3.25
3.02
3.67
2.72


p Value
0.0054
0.0068
0.0039
0.0060
0.0026
0.023
0.0032
7.1E−4
0.057


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.37
1.33
1.56
1.34
1.48
1.18
1.45
1.73
0.971


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.09
5.84
10.4
5.71
6.44
8.97
6.29
7.78
7.63


OR Quartile 4
1.93
2.01
4.65
3.87
3.70
5.24
4.00
4.00
3.95


p Value
0.14
0.12
9.1E−4
0.0025
0.0036
8.8E−4
0.0016
0.0017
0.0070


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.805
0.838
1.88
1.61
1.54
1.98
1.69
1.68
1.46


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.62
4.84
11.5
9.28
8.92
13.9
9.45
9.52
10.7
















TABLE 37.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
534
1220
643
1290
643
1310


Average
810
2440
950
2690
947
2800


Stdev
829
4200
1120
4560
1100
4680


p (t-test)

0.011

0.0048

0.0025


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
7050
30700
7050
30700


n (Patient)
45
80
60
65
64
61


sCr only


Median
561
1200
643
1290
619
1310


Average
846
2380
943
2580
922
2680


Stdev
826
4210
1110
4500
1090
4580


p (t-test)

0.014

0.0072

0.0037


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
7050
30700
7050
30700


n (Patient)
48
76
60
64
63
61


UO only


Median
711
1330
736
1280
745
1220


Average
1440
2930
1480
3130
1570
2930


Stdev
3450
3410
3350
3690
3410
3630


p (t-test)

0.032

0.025

0.072


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
89
35
95
29
97
27












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.67
0.71
0.68
0.67
0.68
0.69
0.69
0.66


SE
0.047
0.048
0.055
0.048
0.048
0.060
0.047
0.047
0.063


p Value
4.4E−5
3.5E−4
1.4E−4
2.1E−4
2.9E−4
0.0021
7.7E−5
3.7E−5
0.013


nCohort Non-persistent
45
48
89
60
60
95
64
63
97


nCohort Persistent
80
76
35
65
64
29
61
61
27


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
375
375
376
375
375
376
375
375


Sensitivity
84%
83%
94%
85%
84%
93%
87%
87%
93%


Specificity
40%
38%
33%
35%
35%
31%
36%
37%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
62%
62%
71%
65%
64%
69%
66%
66%
67%


Specificity
71%
69%
58%
65%
65%
56%
64%
65%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
32%
33%
40%
37%
38%
41%
38%
39%
37%


Specificity
87%
88%
81%
87%
88%
80%
86%
89%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.44
2.91
7.98
2.96
2.91
5.93
3.72
3.81
5.33


p Value
0.0041
0.012
0.0065
0.013
0.015
0.020
0.0043
0.0037
0.029


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.48
1.26
1.79
1.26
1.23
1.32
1.51
1.54
1.18


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.97
6.70
35.5
6.98
6.86
26.6
9.16
9.40
24.0


OR Quartile 3
4.10
3.57
3.51
3.39
3.31
2.80
3.40
3.55
2.41


p Value
4.4E−4
0.0011
0.0036
0.0011
0.0014
0.022
0.0011
7.9E−4
0.054


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.87
1.66
1.51
1.63
1.59
1.16
1.63
1.69
0.985


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.02
7.67
8.19
7.07
6.91
6.79
7.08
7.44
5.89


OR Quartile 4
3.13
3.43
2.82
3.80
4.54
2.82
3.70
5.19
2.13


p Value
0.022
0.014
0.018
0.0036
0.0015
0.023
0.0034
5.9E−4
0.11


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.18
1.29
1.20
1.55
1.78
1.16
1.54
2.03
0.850


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.33
9.14
6.66
9.35
11.6
6.90
8.87
13.3
5.33
















TABLE 37.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
534
1220
643
1290
643
1310


Average
810
2440
950
2690
937
2760


Stdev
829
4200
1120
4560
1100
4620


p (t-test)

0.011

0.0048

0.0031


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
7050
30700
7050
30700


n (Patient)
45
80
60
65
62
63


sCr only


Median
561
1200
643
1290
643
1300


Average
846
2380
943
2580
931
2640


Stdev
826
4210
1110
4500
1100
4550


p (t-test)

0.014

0.0072

0.0048


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
7050
30700
7050
30700


n (Patient)
48
76
60
64
62
62


UO only


Median
702
1310
732
1290
740
1250


Average
1460
2710
1500
2840
1590
2650


Stdev
3550
3260
3440
3490
3500
3400


p (t-test)

0.063

0.056

0.14


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
84
40
90
34
92
32












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.67
0.69
0.68
0.67
0.66
0.69
0.69
0.64


SE
0.047
0.048
0.053
0.048
0.048
0.057
0.047
0.048
0.059


p Value
4.4E−5
3.5E−4
2.9E−4
2.1E−4
2.9E−4
0.0039
6.2E−5
8.6E−5
0.020


nCohort Non-persistent
45
48
84
60
60
90
62
62
92


nCohort Persistent
80
76
40
65
64
34
63
62
32


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
375
375
376
375
375
376
375
375


Sensitivity
84%
83%
90%
85%
84%
88%
86%
85%
88%


Specificity
40%
38%
32%
35%
35%
30%
35%
35%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
62%
62%
70%
65%
64%
68%
65%
65%
66%


Specificity
71%
69%
60%
65%
65%
57%
65%
65%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
32%
33%
38%
37%
38%
38%
38%
39%
34%


Specificity
87%
88%
81%
87%
88%
80%
87%
89%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.44
2.91
4.26
2.96
2.91
3.21
3.30
3.24
2.91


p Value
0.0041
0.012
0.012
0.013
0.015
0.044
0.0076
0.0087
0.066


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.48
1.26
1.38
1.26
1.23
1.03
1.37
1.35
0.930


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.97
6.70
13.2
6.98
6.86
10.0
7.93
7.79
9.09


OR Quartile 3
4.10
3.57
3.43
3.39
3.31
2.73
3.39
3.31
2.37


p Value
4.4E−4
0.0011
0.0027
0.0011
0.0014
0.018
0.0011
0.0014
0.043


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.87
1.66
1.53
1.63
1.59
1.19
1.63
1.58
1.03


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.02
7.67
7.67
7.07
6.91
6.28
7.06
6.90
5.49


OR Quartile 4
3.13
3.43
2.55
3.80
4.54
2.48
4.15
4.96
1.89


p Value
0.022
0.014
0.029
0.0036
0.0015
0.040
0.0019
8.2E−4
0.16


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.18
1.29
1.10
1.55
1.78
1.04
1.69
1.94
0.781


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.33
9.14
5.91
9.35
11.6
5.87
10.2
12.7
4.55
















TABLE 37.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
534
1220
619
1300
619
1320


Average
810
2440
846
2750
837
2820


Stdev
829
4200
785
4560
779
4610


p (t-test)

0.011

0.0019

0.0012


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
45
80
59
66
61
64


sCr only


Median
561
1200
619
1290
619
1310


Average
846
2380
840
2640
831
2710


Stdev
826
4210
775
4500
769
4550


p (t-test)

0.014

0.0029

0.0019


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
48
76
59
65
61
63


UO only


Median
694
1290
719
1290
732
1250


Average
1410
2710
1450
2790
1550
2620


Stdev
3550
3240
3460
3420
3530
3330


p (t-test)

0.049

0.049

0.12


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
81
43
86
38
88
36












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.67
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.67
0.70
0.70
0.64


SE
0.047
0.048
0.052
0.047
0.047
0.055
0.046
0.047
0.057


p Value
4.4E−5
3.5E−4
1.9E−4
4.5E−5
6.2E−5
0.0022
1.1E−5
1.6E−5
0.012


nCohort Non-persistent
45
48
81
59
59
86
61
61
88


nCohort Persistent
80
76
43
66
65
38
64
63
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
375
375
376
375
375
376
375
375


Sensitivity
84%
83%
91%
85%
85%
89%
86%
86%
89%


Specificity
40%
38%
33%
36%
36%
31%
36%
36%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
62%
62%
67%
65%
65%
66%
66%
65%
64%


Specificity
71%
69%
59%
66%
66%
57%
66%
66%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
32%
33%
37%
38%
38%
37%
39%
40%
33%


Specificity
87%
88%
81%
88%
90%
80%
89%
90%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.44
2.91
4.88
3.09
3.04
3.89
3.45
3.38
3.54


p Value
0.0041
0.012
0.0059
0.0099
0.011
0.019
0.0057
0.0065
0.029


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.48
1.26
1.58
1.31
1.29
1.25
1.43
1.41
1.14


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.97
6.70
15.1
7.30
7.18
12.1
8.29
8.14
11.0


OR Quartile 3
4.10
3.57
3.01
3.65
3.56
2.55
3.64
3.55
2.22


p Value
4.4E−4
0.0011
0.0054
6.1E−4
7.8E−4
0.021
6.1E−4
7.9E−4
0.050


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.87
1.66
1.39
1.74
1.70
1.15
1.74
1.69
0.999


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.02
7.67
6.55
7.64
7.47
5.64
7.61
7.44
4.95


OR Quartile 4
3.13
3.43
2.61
4.53
5.52
2.37
4.95
6.03
1.82


p Value
0.022
0.014
0.024
0.0015
6.4E−4
0.046
7.9E−4
3.4E−4
0.17


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.18
1.29
1.13
1.78
2.07
1.02
1.94
2.26
0.769


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.33
9.14
6.01
11.5
14.7
5.52
12.6
16.1
4.29
















TABLE 37.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





sCr or UO


Median
534
1220
621
1290
621
1310


Average
810
2440
850
2720
841
2790


Stdev
829
4200
792
4530
785
4590


p (t-test)

0.011

0.0024

0.0015


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
45
80
58
67
60
65


sCr only


Median
561
1200
619
1290
619
1310


Average
846
2380
840
2640
831
2710


Stdev
826
4210
775
4500
769
4550


p (t-test)

0.014

0.0029

0.0019


Min
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6
45.2
51.6


Max
3380
30700
3380
30700
3380
30700


n (Patient)
48
76
59
65
61
63


UO only


Median
677
1330
711
1290
727
1280


Average
1410
2670
1460
2690
1560
2520


Stdev
3600
3170
3530
3310
3590
3220


p (t-test)

0.053

0.065

0.15


Min
45.2
127
45.2
127
45.2
127


Max
30700
14400
30700
14400
30700
14400


n (Patient)
79
45
83
41
85
39












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.67
0.70
0.69
0.69
0.67
0.70
0.70
0.65


SE
0.047
0.048
0.050
0.047
0.047
0.053
0.046
0.047
0.055


p Value
4.4E−5
3.5E−4
5.1E−5
6.4E−5
6.2E−5
0.0011
1.7E−5
1.6E−5
0.0071


nCohort Non-persistent
45
48
79
58
59
83
60
61
85


nCohort Persistent
80
76
45
67
65
41
65
63
39


Cutoff Quartile 2
376
375
375
376
375
375
376
375
375


Sensitivity
84%
83%
91%
85%
85%
90%
86%
86%
90%


Specificity
40%
38%
34%
36%
36%
33%
37%
36%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
835
835
852
835
835
852
835
835
852


Sensitivity
62%
62%
69%
64%
65%
66%
65%
65%
64%


Specificity
71%
69%
61%
66%
66%
58%
65%
66%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910
1880
1880
1910


Sensitivity
32%
33%
38%
37%
38%
37%
38%
40%
33%


Specificity
87%
88%
82%
88%
90%
81%
88%
90%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.44
2.91
5.32
3.24
3.04
4.46
3.60
3.38
4.07


p Value
0.0041
0.012
0.0036
0.0074
0.011
0.0095
0.0042
0.0065
0.015


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.48
1.26
1.72
1.37
1.29
1.44
1.50
1.41
1.31


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.97
6.70
16.4
7.64
7.18
13.8
8.67
8.14
12.6


OR Quartile 3
4.10
3.57
3.43
3.40
3.56
2.64
3.39
3.55
2.32


p Value
4.4E−4
0.0011
0.0019
0.0011
7.8E−4
0.014
0.0011
7.9E−4
0.035


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.87
1.66
1.58
1.63
1.70
1.21
1.63
1.69
1.06


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.02
7.67
7.45
7.11
7.47
5.76
7.07
7.44
5.07


OR Quartile 4
3.13
3.43
2.82
4.34
5.52
2.42
4.73
6.03
1.86


p Value
0.022
0.014
0.015
0.0020
6.4E−4
0.039
0.0011
3.4E−4
0.15


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.18
1.29
1.22
1.71
2.07
1.05
1.86
2.26
0.799


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.33
9.14
6.49
11.0
14.7
5.58
12.0
16.1
4.33









While the invention has been described and exemplified in sufficient detail for those skilled in this art to make and use it, various alternatives, modifications, and improvements should be apparent without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention. The examples provided herein are representative of preferred embodiments, are exemplary, and are not intended as limitations on the scope of the invention. Modifications therein and other uses will occur to those skilled in the art. These modifications are encompassed within the spirit of the invention and are defined by the scope of the claims.


It will be readily apparent to a person skilled in the art that varying substitutions and modifications may be made to the invention disclosed herein without departing from the scope and spirit of the invention.


All patents and publications mentioned in the specification are indicative of the levels of those of ordinary skill in the art to which the invention pertains. All patents and publications are herein incorporated by reference to the same extent as if each individual publication was specifically and individually indicated to be incorporated by reference.


The invention illustratively described herein suitably may be practiced in the absence of any element or elements, limitation or limitations which is not specifically disclosed herein. Thus, for example, in each instance herein any of the terms “comprising”, “consisting essentially of” and “consisting of” may be replaced with either of the other two terms. The terms and expressions which have been employed are used as terms of description and not of limitation, and there is no intention that in the use of such terms and expressions of excluding any equivalents of the features shown and described or portions thereof, but it is recognized that various modifications are possible within the scope of the invention claimed. Thus, it should be understood that although the present invention has been specifically disclosed by preferred embodiments and optional features, modification and variation of the concepts herein disclosed may be resorted to by those skilled in the art, and that such modifications and variations are considered to be within the scope of this invention as defined by the appended claims.


Other embodiments are set forth within the following claims.

Claims
  • 1. A method for evaluating renal status in a subject, comprising: performing one or more of an assay method configured to detect Angiopoietin-related protein 6,an assay method configured to detect Complement C5,an assay method configured to detect Fibroblast growth factor 21,an assay method configured to detect Fibroblast growth factor 23,an assay method configured to detect Pro-interleukin-16,an assay method configured to detect C—X—C motif chemokine 9,an assay method configured to detect Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/oran assay method configured to detect Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B,on a body fluid sample obtained from the subject to provide one or more assay result(s); andcorrelating the assay result(s) to the renal status of the subject.
  • 2. A method according to claim 1, wherein said correlation step comprises correlating the assay result(s) to one or more of risk stratification, diagnosis, staging, prognosis, classifying and monitoring of the renal status of the subject.
  • 3. A method according to claim 1, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood of one or more future changes in renal status to the subject based on the assay result(s).
  • 4. A method according to claim 3, wherein said one or more future changes in renal status comprise one or more of a future injury to renal function, future reduced renal function, future improvement in renal function, future acute renal failure (ARF), and future persistence of existing ARF.
  • 5. A method according to one of claims 1-4, wherein said assay result(s) comprise one or more of a measured concentration of Angiopoietin-related protein 6,a measured concentration of Complement C5,a measured concentration of Fibroblast growth factor 21,a measured concentration of Fibroblast growth factor 23,a measured concentration of Pro-interleukin-16,a measured concentration of C—X—C motif chemokine 9,a measured concentration of Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/ora measured concentration of Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B.
  • 6. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said correlating step comprises combining a plurality of assay results using a function that converts the plurality of assay results into a single composite result.
  • 7. A method according to claim 3, wherein said one or more future changes in renal status comprise a clinical outcome related to a renal injury suffered by the subject.
  • 8. A method according to claim 3, wherein the likelihood of one or more future changes in renal status is that an event of interest is more or less likely to occur within 30 days of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject.
  • 9. A method according to claim 8, wherein the likelihood of one or more future changes in renal status is that an event of interest is more or less likely to occur within a period selected from the group consisting of 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, and 12 hours.
  • 10. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject is selected for evaluation of renal status based on the pre-existence in the subject of one or more known risk factors for prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal ARF.
  • 11. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject is selected for evaluation of renal status based on an existing diagnosis of one or more of congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, glomerular filtration below the normal range, cirrhosis, serum creatinine above the normal range, sepsis, injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF, or based on undergoing or having undergone major vascular surgery, coronary artery bypass, or other cardiac surgery, or based on exposure to NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin.
  • 12. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a diagnosis of the occurrence or nonoccurrence of one or more of an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF to the subject based on the assay result.
  • 13. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said correlating step comprises assessing whether or not renal function is improving or worsening in a subject who has suffered from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF based on the assay result.
  • 14. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function in said subject.
  • 15. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of reduced renal function in said subject.
  • 16. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of acute renal failure in said subject.
  • 17. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a need for renal replacement therapy in said subject.
  • 18. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a need for renal transplantation in said subject.
  • 19. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of assigning a risk of the future occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function in said subject.
  • 20. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of assigning a risk of the future occurrence or nonoccurrence of reduced renal function in said subject.
  • 21. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of assigning a risk of the future occurrence or nonoccurrence of acute renal failure in said subject.
  • 22. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of assigning a risk of the future occurrence or nonoccurrence of a need for renal replacement therapy in said subject.
  • 23. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of assigning a risk of the future occurrence or nonoccurrence of a need for renal transplantation in said subject.
  • 24. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said one or more future changes in renal status comprise one or more of a future injury to renal function, future reduced renal function, future improvement in renal function, and future acute renal failure (ARF) within 72 hours of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 25. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said one or more future changes in renal status comprise one or more of a future injury to renal function, future reduced renal function, future improvement in renal function, and future acute renal failure (ARF) within 48 hours of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 26. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said one or more future changes in renal status comprise one or more of a future injury to renal function, future reduced renal function, future improvement in renal function, and future acute renal failure (ARF) within 24 hours of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 27. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0 or R.
  • 28. A method according to claim 27, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage R, I or F within 72 hours.
  • 29. A method according to claim 28, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 72 hours.
  • 30. A method according to claim 28, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 72 hours.
  • 31. A method according to claim 27, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0 or R, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 72 hours.
  • 32. A method according to claim 31, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0 or R, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 72 hours.
  • 33. A method according to claim 27, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage R, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 72 hours.
  • 34. A method according to claim 33, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage R, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 72 hours.
  • 35. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0, R, or I, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 72 hours.
  • 36. A method according to claim 35, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage I, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 72 hours.
  • 37. A method according to claim 28, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage R, I or F within 48 hours.
  • 38. A method according to claim 29, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 48 hours.
  • 39. A method according to claim 30, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 48 hours.
  • 40. A method according to claim 31, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 48 hours.
  • 41. A method according to claim 32, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 48 hours.
  • 42. A method according to claim 33, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 48 hours.
  • 43. A method according to claim 34, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 48 hours.
  • 44. A method according to claim 35, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 48 hours.
  • 45. A method according to claim 36, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 48 hours.
  • 46. A method according to claim 28, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage R, I or F within 24 hours.
  • 47. A method according to claim 29, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 24 hours.
  • 48. A method according to claim 30, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 24 hours.
  • 49. A method according to claim 31, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 24 hours.
  • 50. A method according to claim 32, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 24 hours.
  • 51. A method according to claim 33, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 24 hours.
  • 52. A method according to claim 34, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 24 hours.
  • 53. A method according to claim 35, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 24 hours.
  • 54. A method according to claim 36, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 24 hours.
  • 55. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject is not in acute renal failure.
  • 56. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has not experienced a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 57. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has a urine output of at least 0.5 ml/kg/hr over the 6 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 58. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has not experienced an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 59. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject (i) has not experienced a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, (ii) has a urine output of at least 0.5 ml/kg/hr over the 6 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, and (iii) has not experienced an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 60. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has not experienced a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 61. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has a urine output of at least 0.5 ml/kg/hr over the 6 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 62. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject (i) has not experienced a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, (ii) has a urine output of at least 0.5 ml/kg/hr over the 12 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, and (iii) has not experienced an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 63. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will (i) experience a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period, or (iii) experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 64. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will (i) experience a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period, or (iii) experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 65. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will (i) experience a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period, or (iii) experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 66. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will experience a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 67. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 68. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 69. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will experience a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 70. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 71. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 72. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will experience a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 73. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 74. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 75. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has not experienced a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 76. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has a urine output of at least 0.5 ml/kg/hr over the 12 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 77. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject (i) has not experienced a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, (ii) has a urine output of at least 0.5 ml/kg/hr over the 2 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, and (iii) has not experienced an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 78. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has not experienced a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 79. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has a urine output of at least 0.3 ml/kg/hr over the 24 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, or anuria over the 12 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 80. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject (i) has not experienced a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, (ii) has a urine output of at least 0.3 ml/kg/hr over the 24 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, or anuria over the 12 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, and (iii) has not experienced an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 81. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will (i) experience a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 12 hour period, or (iii) experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 82. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will (i) experience a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period, or (iii) experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 83. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will (i) experience a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine, or (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 84. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will experience a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 85. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 86. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will experience a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 87. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 88. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will experience a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 89. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 90. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will (i) experience a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine, or (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.3 ml/kg/hr over a 24 hour period or anuria over a 12 hour period.
  • 91. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will (i) experience a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine, or (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.3 ml/kg/hr over a 24 hour period or anuria over a 12 hour period.
  • 92. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will (i) experience a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine, or (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.3 ml/kg/hr over a 24 hour period or anuria over a 12 hour period.
  • 93. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will experience a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 94. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.3 ml/kg/hr over a 24 hour period or anuria over a 12 hour period.
  • 95. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will experience a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 96. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.3 ml/kg/hr over a 24 hour period or anuria over a 12 hour period.
  • 97. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will experience a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 98. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.3 ml/kg/hr over a 24 hour period or anuria over a 12 hour period.
  • 99. A method according to one of claims 1-98, wherein the body fluid sample is a urine sample.
  • 100. A method according to one of claims 1-98, wherein the body fluid sample is a blood, serum, or plasma sample.
  • 101. A method according to one of claims 1-100, wherein the assay method comprises introducing the body fluid sample obtained from the subject into an assay instrument which (i) contacts the body fluid sample with one or more reagents which specifically bind for detection one or more of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, (ii) generates one or more assay results indicative of one or more of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B in the urine sample, and (iii) uses the assay result(s) to assign the subject to a predetermined subpopulation of individuals having a known predisposition of a current or future acute renal injury or current or future acute renal failure.
  • 102. A method according to claim 101, further comprising treating the subject based on the predetermined subpopulation of individuals to which the patient is assigned, wherein the treatment comprises one or more of initiating renal replacement therapy, withdrawing delivery of compounds that are known to be damaging to the kidney, delaying or avoiding procedures that are known to be damaging to the kidney, and modifying diuretic administration.
  • 103. A method according to claim 101 or 102, wherein the subject does not have a current acute renal injury or acute renal failure, and the assay result is used to assign the subject to a predetermined subpopulation of individuals having a known predisposition of a future acute renal injury or future acute renal failure.
  • 104. A method according to claim 103, wherein the future acute renal injury or future acute renal failure is within a period selected from the group consisting of 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, and 12 hours
  • 105. A method according to claim 101 or 102, wherein the subject has a current acute renal injury or acute renal failure, and the assay result is used to assign the subject to a predetermined subpopulation of individuals having a known predisposition of future recovery from acute renal injury or acute renal failure.
  • 106. A method according to claim 105, wherein the future recovery from acute renal injury or acute renal failure is within a period selected from the group consisting of 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, and 12 hours
  • 107. A method according to claim 101 or 102, wherein the assay result is used to assign the subject to a predetermined subpopulation of individuals having a known predisposition of future persistence of an acute renal injury or acute renal failure.
  • 108. A method according to claim 107, wherein the future persistence is over a period selected from the group consisting of 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, and 12 hours.
  • 109. A method according to claim 107 or 108, wherein the subject has an acute renal injury or acute renal failure at the time the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 110. Measurement of one or more of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B for the evaluation of renal injury, particularly acute renal injury, and most particularly persistent acute renal injury.
  • 111. A kit, comprising: reagents for performing one or more assays configured to detect one or more of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, anda device which contains one or more encoded calibration curves for correlating results from performing said assay(s) to a concentration of one or more of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, wherein the concentration range of said calibration curve(s) comprise a normal concentration of one or more of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B, and a threshold concentration of one or more of Angiopoietin-related protein 6, Complement C5, Fibroblast growth factor 21, Fibroblast growth factor 23, Pro-interleukin-16, C—X—C motif chemokine 9, Hepatocyte growth factor-like protein, and/or Tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11B that indicates persistent acute renal injury in a human.
Parent Case Info

The present application claims the benefit of U.S. Provisional Patent Application 62/455,530 filed Feb. 6, 2017, which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety including all tables, figures and claims.

PCT Information
Filing Document Filing Date Country Kind
PCT/US2018/017120 2/6/2018 WO 00
Provisional Applications (1)
Number Date Country
62455530 Feb 2017 US