METHODS AND COMPOSITIONS FOR DIAGNOSIS AND PROGNOSIS OF RENAL INJURY AND RENAL FAILURE

Abstract
The present invention relates to methods and compositions for monitoring, diagnosis, prognosis, and determination of treatment regimens in subjects suffering from or suspected of having a renal injury. In particular, the invention relates to using assays that detect one or more biomarkers selected from the group consisting of Immumoglobulin A, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, and Thrombomodulin as diagnostic and prognostic biomarker assays in renal injuries.
Description
BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

The following discussion of the background of the invention is merely provided to aid the reader in understanding the invention and is not admitted to describe or constitute prior art to the present invention.


The kidney is responsible for water and solute excretion from the body. Its functions include maintenance of acid-base balance, regulation of electrolyte concentrations, control of blood volume, and regulation of blood pressure. As such, loss of kidney function through injury and/or disease results in substantial morbidity and mortality. A detailed discussion of renal injuries is provided in Harrison's Principles of Internal Medicine, 17th Ed., McGraw Hill, New York, pages 1741-1830, which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety. Renal disease and/or injury may be acute or chronic. Acute and chronic kidney disease are described as follows (from Current Medical Diagnosis & Treatment 2008, 47th Ed, McGraw Hill, New York, pages 785-815, which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety): “Acute renal failure is worsening of renal function over hours to days, resulting in the retention of nitrogenous wastes (such as urea nitrogen) and creatinine in the blood. Retention of these substances is called azotemia. Chronic renal failure (chronic kidney disease) results from an abnormal loss of renal function over months to years”.


Acute renal failure (ARF, also known as acute kidney injury, or AKI) is an abrupt (typically detected within about 48 hours to 1 week) reduction in glomerular filtration. This loss of filtration capacity results in retention of nitrogenous (urea and creatinine) and non-nitrogenous waste products that are normally excreted by the kidney, a reduction in urine output, or both. It is reported that ARF complicates about 5% of hospital admissions, 4-15% of cardiopulmonary bypass surgeries, and up to 30% of intensive care admissions. ARF may be categorized as prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal in causation. Intrinsic renal disease can be further divided into glomerular, tubular, interstitial, and vascular abnormalities. Major causes of ARF are described in the following table, which is adapted from the Merck Manual, 17th ed., Chapter 222, and which is hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety:













Type
Risk Factors







Prerenal



ECF volume depletion
Excessive diuresis, hemorrhage, GI losses, loss of



intravascular fluid into the extravascular space (due to



ascites, peritonitis, pancreatitis, or burns), loss of skin



and mucus membranes, renal salt- and water-wasting



states


Low cardiac output
Cardiomyopathy, MI, cardiac tamponade, pulmonary



embolism, pulmonary hypertension, positive-pressure



mechanical ventilation


Low systemic vascular
Septic shock, liver failure, antihypertensive drugs


resistance


Increased renal vascular
NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, hypercalcemia,


resistance
anaphylaxis, anesthetics, renal artery obstruction, renal



vein thrombosis, sepsis, hepatorenal syndrome


Decreased efferent
ACE inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers


arteriolar tone (leading to


decreased GFR from


reduced glomerular


transcapillary pressure,


especially in patients with


bilateral renal artery


stenosis)


Intrinsic Renal


Acute tubular injury
Ischemia (prolonged or severe prerenal state): surgery,



hemorrhage, arterial or venous obstruction; Toxins:



NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides,



foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin,



ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque



contrast agents, streptozotocin


Acute glomerulonephritis
ANCA-associated: Crescentic glomerulonephritis,



polyarteritis nodosa, Wegener's granulomatosis; Anti-



GBM glomerulonephritis: Goodpasture's syndrome;



Immune-complex: Lupus glomerulonephritis,



postinfectious glomerulonephritis, cryoglobulinemic



glomerulonephritis


Acute tubulointerstitial
Drug reaction (eg, β-lactams, NSAIDs, sulfonamides,


nephritis
ciprofloxacin, thiazide diuretics, furosemide, phenytoin,



allopurinol, pyelonephritis, papillary necrosis


Acute vascular
Vasculitis, malignant hypertension, thrombotic


nephropathy
microangiopathies, scleroderma, atheroembolism


Infiltrative diseases
Lymphoma, sarcoidosis, leukemia


Postrenal


Tubular precipitation
Uric acid (tumor lysis), sulfonamides, triamterene,



acyclovir, indinavir, methotrexate, ethylene glycol



ingestion, myeloma protein, myoglobin


Ureteral obstruction
Intrinsic: Calculi, clots, sloughed renal tissue, fungus



ball, edema, malignancy, congenital defects; Extrinsic:



Malignancy, retroperitoneal fibrosis, ureteral trauma



during surgery or high impact injury


Bladder obstruction
Mechanical: Benign prostatic hyperplasia, prostate



cancer, bladder cancer, urethral strictures, phimosis,



paraphimosis, urethral valves, obstructed indwelling



urinary catheter; Neurogenic: Anticholinergic drugs,



upper or lower motor neuron lesion









In the case of ischemic ARF, the course of the disease may be divided into four phases. During an initiation phase, which lasts hours to days, reduced perfusion of the kidney is evolving into injury. Glomerular ultrafiltration reduces, the flow of filtrate is reduced due to debris within the tubules, and back leakage of filtrate through injured epithelium occurs. Renal injury can be mediated during this phase by reperfusion of the kidney. Initiation is followed by an extension phase which is characterized by continued ischemic injury and inflammation and may involve endothelial damage and vascular congestion. During the maintenance phase, lasting from 1 to 2 weeks, renal cell injury occurs, and glomerular filtration and urine output reaches a minimum. A recovery phase can follow in which the renal epithelium is repaired and GFR gradually recovers. Despite this, the survival rate of subjects with ARF may be as low as about 60%.


Acute kidney injury caused by radiocontrast agents (also called contrast media) and other nephrotoxins such as cyclosporine, antibiotics including aminoglycosides and anticancer drugs such as cisplatin manifests over a period of days to about a week. Contrast induced nephropathy (CIN, which is AKI caused by radiocontrast agents) is thought to be caused by intrarenal vasoconstriction (leading to ischemic injury) and from the generation of reactive oxygen species that are directly toxic to renal tubular epithelial cells. CIN classically presents as an acute (onset within 24-48 h) but reversible (peak 3-5 days, resolution within 1 week) rise in blood urea nitrogen and serum creatinine.


A commonly reported criteria for defining and detecting AKI is an abrupt (typically within about 2-7 days or within a period of hospitalization) elevation of serum creatinine. Although the use of serum creatinine elevation to define and detect AKI is well established, the magnitude of the serum creatinine elevation and the time over which it is measured to define AKI varies considerably among publications. Traditionally, relatively large increases in serum creatinine such as 100%, 200%, an increase of at least 100% to a value over 2 mg/dL and other definitions were used to define AKI. However, the recent trend has been towards using smaller serum creatinine rises to define AKI. The relationship between serum creatinine rise, AKI and the associated health risks are reviewed in Praught and Shlipak, Curr Opin Nephrol Hypertens 14:265-270, 2005 and Chertow et al, J Am Soc Nephrol 16: 3365-3370, 2005, which, with the references listed therein, are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety. As described in these publications, acute worsening renal function (AKI) and increased risk of death and other detrimental outcomes are now known to be associated with very small increases in serum creatinine. These increases may be determined as a relative (percent) value or a nominal value. Relative increases in serum creatinine as small as 20% from the pre-injury value have been reported to indicate acutely worsening renal function (AKI) and increased health risk, but the more commonly reported value to define AKI and increased health risk is a relative increase of at least 25%. Nominal increases as small as 0.3 mg/dL, 0.2 mg/dL or even 0.1 mg/dL have been reported to indicate worsening renal function and increased risk of death. Various time periods for the serum creatinine to rise to these threshold values have been used to define AKI, for example, ranging from 2 days, 3 days, 7 days, or a variable period defined as the time the patient is in the hospital or intensive care unit. These studies indicate there is not a particular threshold serum creatinine rise (or time period for the rise) for worsening renal function or AKI, but rather a continuous increase in risk with increasing magnitude of serum creatinine rise.


One study (Lassnigg et all, J Am Soc Nephrol 15:1597-1605, 2004, hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety) investigated both increases and decreases in serum creatinine. Patients with a mild fall in serum creatinine of −0.1 to −0.3 mg/dL following heart surgery had the lowest mortality rate. Patients with a larger fall in serum creatinine (more than or equal to −0.4 mg/dL) or any increase in serum creatinine had a larger mortality rate. These findings caused the authors to conclude that even very subtle changes in renal function (as detected by small creatinine changes within 48 hours of surgery) seriously effect patient's outcomes. In an effort to reach consensus on a unified classification system for using serum creatinine to define AKI in clinical trials and in clinical practice, Bellomo et al., Crit Care. 8(4):R204-12, 2004, which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, proposes the following classifications for stratifying AKI patients:


“Risk”: serum creatinine increased 1.5 fold from baseline OR urine production of <0.5 ml/kg body weight/hr for 6 hours;


“Injury”: serum creatinine increased 2.0 fold from baseline OR urine production <0.5 ml/kg/hr for 12 h;


“Failure”: serum creatinine increased 3.0 fold from baseline OR creatinine >355 μmol/l (with a rise of >44) or urine output below 0.3 ml/kg/hr for 24 h or anuria for at least 12 hours;


And included two clinical outcomes:


“Loss”: persistent need for renal replacement therapy for more than four weeks.


“ESRD”: end stage renal disease—the need for dialysis for more than 3 months.


These criteria are called the RIFLE criteria, which provide a useful clinical tool to classify renal status. As discussed in Kellum, Crit. Care Med. 36: S141-45, 2008 and Ricci et al., Kidney Int. 73, 538-546, 2008, each hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, the RIFLE criteria provide a uniform definition of AKI which has been validated in numerous studies.


More recently, Mehta et al., Crit. Care 11:R31 (doi:10.1186.cc5713), 2007, hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, proposes the following similar classifications for stratifying AKI patients, which have been modified from RIFLE:


“Stage I”: increase in serum creatinine of more than or equal to 0.3 mg/dL (>26.4 μmol/L) or increase to more than or equal to 150% (1.5-fold) from baseline OR urine output less than 0.5 mL/kg per hour for more than 6 hours;


“Stage II”: increase in serum creatinine to more than 200% (>2-fold) from baseline OR urine output less than 0.5 mL/kg per hour for more than 12 hours;


“Stage III”: increase in serum creatinine to more than 300% (>3-fold) from baseline OR serum creatinine ≥354 μmol/L accompanied by an acute increase of at least 44 μmol/L OR urine output less than 0.3 mL/kg per hour for 24 hours or anuria for 12 hours.


The CIN Consensus Working Panel (McCollough et al, Rev Cardiovasc Med. 2006; 7(4):177-197, hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety) uses a serum creatinine rise of 25% to define Contrast induced nephropathy (which is a type of AKI). Although various groups propose slightly different criteria for using serum creatinine to detect AKI, the consensus is that small changes in serum creatinine, such as 0.3 mg/dL or 25%, are sufficient to detect AKI (worsening renal function) and that the magnitude of the serum creatinine change is an indicator of the severity of the AKI and mortality risk.


Although serial measurement of serum creatinine over a period of days is an accepted method of detecting and diagnosing AKI and is considered one of the most important tools to evaluate AKI patients, serum creatinine is generally regarded to have several limitations in the diagnosis, assessment and monitoring of AKI patients. The time period for serum creatinine to rise to values (e.g., a 0.3 mg/dL or 25% rise) considered diagnostic for AKI can be 48 hours or longer depending on the definition used. Since cellular injury in AKI can occur over a period of hours, serum creatinine elevations detected at 48 hours or longer can be a late indicator of injury, and relying on serum creatinine can thus delay diagnosis of AKI. Furthermore, serum creatinine is not a good indicator of the exact kidney status and treatment needs during the most acute phases of AKI when kidney function is changing rapidly. Some patients with AKI will recover fully, some will need dialysis (either short term or long term) and some will have other detrimental outcomes including death, major adverse cardiac events and chronic kidney disease. Because serum creatinine is a marker of filtration rate, it does not differentiate between the causes of AKI (pre-renal, intrinsic renal, post-renal obstruction, atheroembolic, etc) or the category or location of injury in intrinsic renal disease (for example, tubular, glomerular or interstitial in origin). Urine output is similarly limited, Knowing these things can be of vital importance in managing and treating patients with AKI.


These limitations underscore the need for better methods to detect and assess AKI, particularly in the early and subclinical stages, but also in later stages when recovery and repair of the kidney can occur. Furthermore, there is a need to better identify patients who are at risk of having an AKI.


BRIEF SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

It is an object of the invention to provide methods and compositions for evaluating renal function in a subject. As described herein, measurement of one or more biomarkers selected from the group consisting of Immumoglobulin A, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, and Thrombomodulin (each referred to herein as a “kidney injury marker”) can be used for diagnosis, prognosis, risk stratification, staging, monitoring, categorizing and determination of further diagnosis and treatment regimens in subjects suffering or at risk of suffering from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, and/or acute renal failure (also called acute kidney injury).


The kidney injury markers of the present invention may be used, individually or in panels comprising a plurality of kidney injury markers, for risk stratification (that is, to identify subjects at risk for a future injury to renal function, for future progression to reduced renal function, for future progression to ARF, for future improvement in renal function, etc.); for diagnosis of existing disease (that is, to identify subjects who have suffered an injury to renal function, who have progressed to reduced renal function, who have progressed to ARF, etc.); for monitoring for deterioration or improvement of renal function; and for predicting a future medical outcome, such as improved or worsening renal function, a decreased or increased mortality risk, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will require renal replacement therapy (i.e., hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, hemofiltration, and/or renal transplantation, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will recover from an injury to renal function, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will recover from ARF, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will progress to end stage renal disease, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will progress to chronic renal failure, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will suffer rejection of a transplanted kidney, etc.


In a first aspect, the present invention relates to methods for evaluating renal status in a subject. These methods comprise performing an assay method that is configured to detect one or more biomarkers selected from the group consisting of Immumoglobulin A, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, and Thrombomodulin in a body fluid sample obtained from the subject. The assay result(s), for example measured concentration(s) of one or more biomarkers selected from the group consisting of Immumoglobulin A, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, and Thrombomodulin is/are then correlated to the renal status of the subject. This correlation to renal status may include correlating the assay result(s) to one or more of risk stratification, diagnosis, prognosis, staging, classifying and monitoring of the subject as described herein. Thus, the present invention utilizes one or more kidney injury markers of the present invention for the evaluation of renal injury.


In certain embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for risk stratification of the subject; that is, assigning a likelihood of one or more future changes in renal status to the subject. In these embodiments, the assay result(s) is/are correlated to one or more such future changes. The following are preferred risk stratification embodiments.


In preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's risk for a future injury to renal function, and the assay result(s) is/are correlated to a likelihood of such a future injury to renal function. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of suffering a future injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of suffering a future injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


In other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's risk for future reduced renal function, and the assay result(s) is/are correlated to a likelihood of such reduced renal function. For example, the measured concentrations may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of suffering a future reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of future reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


In still other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's likelihood for a future improvement in renal function, and the assay result(s) is/are correlated to a likelihood of such a future improvement in renal function. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of a future improvement in renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of a future improvement in renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold.


In yet other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's risk for progression to ARF, and the result(s) is/are correlated to a likelihood of such progression to ARF. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of progression to ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of progression to ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


And in other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's outcome risk, and the assay result(s) is/are correlated to a likelihood of the occurrence of a clinical outcome related to a renal injury suffered by the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of one or more of: acute kidney injury, progression to a worsening stage of AKI, mortality, a requirement for renal replacement therapy, a requirement for withdrawal of renal toxins, end stage renal disease, heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, progression to chronic kidney disease, etc., is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of one or more of: acute kidney injury, progression to a worsening stage of AKI, mortality, a requirement for renal replacement therapy, a requirement for withdrawal of renal toxins, end stage renal disease, heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, progression to chronic kidney disease, etc., is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


In such risk stratification embodiments, preferably the likelihood or risk assigned is that an event of interest is more or less likely to occur within 180 days of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject. In particularly preferred embodiments, the likelihood or risk assigned relates to an event of interest occurring within a shorter time period such as 18 months, 120 days, 90 days, 60 days, 45 days, 30 days, 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, 12 hours, or less. A risk at 0 hours of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject is equivalent to diagnosis of a current condition.


In preferred risk stratification embodiments, the subject is selected for risk stratification based on the pre-existence in the subject of one or more known risk factors for prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal ARF. For example, a subject undergoing or having undergone major vascular surgery, coronary artery bypass, or other cardiac surgery; a subject having pre-existing congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, glomerular filtration below the normal range, cirrhosis, serum creatinine above the normal range, or sepsis; or a subject exposed to NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin are all preferred subjects for monitoring risks according to the methods described herein. This list is not meant to be limiting. By “pre-existence” in this context is meant that the risk factor exists at the time the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject. In particularly preferred embodiments, a subject is chosen for risk stratification based on an existing diagnosis of injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF.


In other embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for diagnosing a renal injury in the subject; that is, assessing whether or not a subject has suffered from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF. In these embodiments, the assay result(s), for example measured concentration(s) of one or more biomarkers selected from the group consisting of Immumoglobulin A, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, and Thrombomodulin is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status. The following are preferred diagnostic embodiments.


In preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function, and the assay result(s) is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of such an injury. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of reduced renal function, and the assay result(s) is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In yet other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of ARF, and the assay result(s) is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury causing ARF. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of ARF may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of ARF may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In still other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing a subject as being in need of renal replacement therapy, and the assay result(s) is/are correlated to a need for renal replacement therapy. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In still other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing a subject as being in need of renal transplantation, and the assay result(s0 is/are correlated to a need for renal transplantation. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In still other embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for monitoring a renal injury in the subject; that is, assessing whether or not renal function is improving or worsening in a subject who has suffered from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF. In these embodiments, the assay result(s), for example measured concentration(s) of one or more biomarkers selected from the group consisting of Immumoglobulin A, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, and Thrombomodulin is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status. The following are preferred monitoring embodiments.


In preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject suffering from an injury to renal function, and the assay result(s) is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In other preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject suffering from reduced renal function, and the assay result(s) is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In yet other preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject suffering from acute renal failure, and the assay result(s) is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In other additional preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject at risk of an injury to renal function due to the pre-existence of one or more known risk factors for prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal ARF, and the assay result(s) is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In still other embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for classifying a renal injury in the subject; that is, determining whether a renal injury in a subject is prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal; and/or further subdividing these classes into subclasses such as acute tubular injury, acute glomerulonephritis acute tubulointerstitial nephritis, acute vascular nephropathy, or infiltrative disease; and/or assigning a likelihood that a subject will progress to a particular RIFLE stage. In these embodiments, the assay result(s), for example measured concentration(s) of one or more biomarkers selected from the group consisting of Immumoglobulin A, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, and Thrombomodulin is/are correlated to a particular class and/or subclass. The following are preferred classification embodiments.


In preferred classification embodiments, these methods comprise determining whether a renal injury in a subject is prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal; and/or further subdividing these classes into subclasses such as acute tubular injury, acute glomerulonephritis acute tubulointerstitial nephritis, acute vascular nephropathy, or infiltrative disease; and/or assigning a likelihood that a subject will progress to a particular RIFLE stage, and the assay result(s) is/are correlated to the injury classification for the subject. For example, the measured concentration may be compared to a threshold value, and when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a particular classification is assigned; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a different classification may be assigned to the subject.


A variety of methods may be used by the skilled artisan to arrive at a desired threshold value for use in these methods. For example, the threshold value may be determined from a population of normal subjects by selecting a concentration representing the 75th, 85th, 90th, 95th, or 99th percentile of a kidney injury marker measured in such normal subjects. Alternatively, the threshold value may be determined from a “diseased” population of subjects, e.g., those suffering from an injury or having a predisposition for an injury (e.g., progression to ARF or some other clinical outcome such as death, dialysis, renal transplantation, etc.), by selecting a concentration representing the 75th, 85th, 90th, 95th, or 99th percentile of a kidney injury marker measured in such subjects. In another alternative, the threshold value may be determined from a prior measurement of a kidney injury marker in the same subject; that is, a temporal change in the level of a kidney injury marker in the subject may be used to assign risk to the subject.


The foregoing discussion is not meant to imply, however, that the kidney injury markers of the present invention must be compared to corresponding individual thresholds. Methods for combining assay results can comprise the use of multivariate logistical regression, loglinear modeling, neural network analysis, n-of-m analysis, decision tree analysis, calculating ratios of markers, etc. This list is not meant to be limiting. In these methods, a composite result which is determined by combining individual markers may be treated as if it is itself a marker; that is, a threshold may be determined for the composite result as described herein for individual markers, and the composite result for an individual patient compared to this threshold.


The ability of a particular test to distinguish two populations can be established using ROC analysis. For example, ROC curves established from a “first” subpopulation which is predisposed to one or more future changes in renal status, and a “second” subpopulation which is not so predisposed can be used to calculate a ROC curve, and the area under the curve provides a measure of the quality of the test. Preferably, the tests described herein provide a ROC curve area greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9, and most preferably at least 0.95.


In certain aspects, the measured concentration of one or more kidney injury markers, or a composite of such markers, may be treated as continuous variables. For example, any particular concentration can be converted into a corresponding probability of a future reduction in renal function for the subject, the occurrence of an injury, a classification, etc. In yet another alternative, a threshold that can provide an acceptable level of specificity and sensitivity in separating a population of subjects into “bins” such as a “first” subpopulation (e.g., which is predisposed to one or more future changes in renal status, the occurrence of an injury, a classification, etc.) and a “second” subpopulation which is not so predisposed. A threshold value is selected to separate this first and second population by one or more of the following measures of test accuracy:


an odds ratio greater than 1, preferably at least about 2 or more or about 0.5 or less, more preferably at least about 3 or more or about 0.33 or less, still more preferably at least about 4 or more or about 0.25 or less, even more preferably at least about 5 or more or about 0.2 or less, and most preferably at least about 10 or more or about 0.1 or less;


a specificity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least about 0.6, more preferably at least about 0.7, still more preferably at least about 0.8, even more preferably at least about 0.9 and most preferably at least about 0.95, with a corresponding sensitivity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than about 0.3, more preferably greater than about 0.4, still more preferably at least about 0.5, even more preferably about 0.6, yet more preferably greater than about 0.7, still more preferably greater than about 0.8, more preferably greater than about 0.9, and most preferably greater than about 0.95;


a sensitivity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least about 0.6, more preferably at least about 0.7, still more preferably at least about 0.8, even more preferably at least about 0.9 and most preferably at least about 0.95, with a corresponding specificity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than about 0.3, more preferably greater than about 0.4, still more preferably at least about 0.5, even more preferably about 0.6, yet more preferably greater than about 0.7, still more preferably greater than about 0.8, more preferably greater than about 0.9, and most preferably greater than about 0.95;


at least about 75% sensitivity, combined with at least about 75% specificity;


a positive likelihood ratio (calculated as sensitivity/(1-specificity)) of greater than 1, at least about 2, more preferably at least about 3, still more preferably at least about 5, and most preferably at least about 10; or


a negative likelihood ratio (calculated as (1-sensitivity)/specificity) of less than 1, less than or equal to about 0.5, more preferably less than or equal to about 0.3, and most preferably less than or equal to about 0.1.


The term “about” in the context of any of the above measurements refers to +/−5% of a given measurement.


Multiple thresholds may also be used to assess renal status in a subject. For example, a “first” subpopulation which is predisposed to one or more future changes in renal status, the occurrence of an injury, a classification, etc., and a “second” subpopulation which is not so predisposed can be combined into a single group. This group is then subdivided into three or more equal parts (known as tertiles, quartiles, quintiles, etc., depending on the number of subdivisions). An odds ratio is assigned to subjects based on which subdivision they fall into. If one considers a tertile, the lowest or highest tertile can be used as a reference for comparison of the other subdivisions. This reference subdivision is assigned an odds ratio of 1. The second tertile is assigned an odds ratio that is relative to that first tertile. That is, someone in the second tertile might be 3 times more likely to suffer one or more future changes in renal status in comparison to someone in the first tertile. The third tertile is also assigned an odds ratio that is relative to that first tertile.


In certain embodiments, the assay method is an immunoassay. Antibodies for use in such assays will specifically bind a full length kidney injury marker of interest, and may also bind one or more polypeptides that are “related” thereto, as that term is defined hereinafter. Numerous immunoassay formats are known to those of skill in the art. Preferred body fluid samples are selected from the group consisting of urine, blood, serum, saliva, tears, and plasma.


The foregoing method steps should not be interpreted to mean that the kidney injury marker assay result(s) is/are used in isolation in the methods described herein. Rather, additional variables or other clinical indicia may be included in the methods described herein. For example, a risk stratification, diagnostic, classification, monitoring, etc. method may combine the assay result(s) with one or more variables measured for the subject selected from the group consisting of demographic information (e.g., weight, sex, age, race), medical history (e.g., family history, type of surgery, pre-existing disease such as aneurism, congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, or sepsis, type of toxin exposure such as NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin), clinical variables (e.g., blood pressure, temperature, respiration rate), risk scores (APACHE score, PREDICT score, TIMI Risk Score for UA/NSTEMI, Framingham Risk Score), a glomerular filtration rate, an estimated glomerular filtration rate, a urine production rate, a serum or plasma creatinine concentration, a urine creatinine concentration, a fractional excretion of sodium, a urine sodium concentration, a urine creatinine to serum or plasma creatinine ratio, a urine specific gravity, a urine osmolality, a urine urea nitrogen to plasma urea nitrogen ratio, a plasma BUN to creatnine ratio, a renal failure index calculated as urine sodium/(urine creatinine/plasma creatinine), a serum or plasma neutrophil gelatinase (NGAL) concentration, a urine NGAL concentration, a serum or plasma cystatin C concentration, a serum or plasma cardiac troponin concentration, a serum or plasma BNP concentration, a serum or plasma NTproBNP concentration, and a serum or plasma proBNP concentration. Other measures of renal function which may be combined with one or more kidney injury marker assay result(s) are described hereinafter and in Harrison's Principles of Internal Medicine, 17th Ed., McGraw Hill, New York, pages 1741-1830, and Current Medical Diagnosis & Treatment 2008, 47th Ed, McGraw Hill, New York, pages 785-815, each of which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety.


When more than one marker is measured, the individual markers may be measured in samples obtained at the same time, or may be determined from samples obtained at different (e.g., an earlier or later) times. The individual markers may also be measured on the same or different body fluid samples. For example, one kidney injury marker may be measured in a serum or plasma sample and another kidney injury marker may be measured in a urine sample. In addition, assignment of a likelihood may combine an individual kidney injury marker assay result with temporal changes in one or more additional variables.


In various related aspects, the present invention also relates to devices and kits for performing the methods described herein. Suitable kits comprise reagents sufficient for performing an assay for at least one of the described kidney injury markers, together with instructions for performing the described threshold comparisons.


In certain embodiments, reagents for performing such assays are provided in an assay device, and such assay devices may be included in such a kit. Preferred reagents can comprise one or more solid phase antibodies, the solid phase antibody comprising antibody that detects the intended biomarker target(s) bound to a solid support. In the case of sandwich immunoassays, such reagents can also include one or more detectably labeled antibodies, the detectably labeled antibody comprising antibody that detects the intended biomarker target(s) bound to a detectable label. Additional optional elements that may be provided as part of an assay device are described hereinafter.


Detectable labels may include molecules that are themselves detectable (e.g., fluorescent moieties, electrochemical labels, ecl (electrochemical luminescence) labels, metal chelates, colloidal metal particles, etc.) as well as molecules that may be indirectly detected by production of a detectable reaction product (e.g., enzymes such as horseradish peroxidase, alkaline phosphatase, etc.) or through the use of a specific binding molecule which itself may be detectable (e.g., a labeled antibody that binds to the second antibody, biotin, digoxigenin, maltose, oligohistidine, 2,4-dintrobenzene, phenylarsenate, ssDNA, dsDNA, etc.).


Generation of a signal from the signal development element can be performed using various optical, acoustical, and electrochemical methods well known in the art. Examples of detection modes include fluorescence, radiochemical detection, reflectance, absorbance, amperometry, conductance, impedance, interferometry, ellipsometry, etc. In certain of these methods, the solid phase antibody is coupled to a transducer (e.g., a diffraction grating, electrochemical sensor, etc) for generation of a signal, while in others, a signal is generated by a transducer that is spatially separate from the solid phase antibody (e.g., a fluorometer that employs an excitation light source and an optical detector). This list is not meant to be limiting. Antibody-based biosensors may also be employed to determine the presence or amount of analytes that optionally eliminate the need for a labeled molecule.







DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION

The present invention relates to methods and compositions for diagnosis, differential diagnosis, risk stratification, monitoring, classifying and determination of treatment regimens in subjects suffering or at risk of suffering from injury to renal function, reduced renal function and/or acute renal failure through measurement of one or more kidney injury markers. In various embodiments, a measured concentration of one or more biomarkers selected from the group consisting of Immumoglobulin A, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, and Thrombomodulin or one or more markers related thereto, are correlated to the renal status of the subject.


For purposes of this document, the following definitions apply:


As used herein, an “injury to renal function” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) measurable reduction in a measure of renal function. Such an injury may be identified, for example, by a decrease in glomerular filtration rate or estimated GFR, a reduction in urine output, an increase in serum creatinine, an increase in serum cystatin C, a requirement for renal replacement therapy, etc. “Improvement in Renal Function” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) measurable increase in a measure of renal function. Preferred methods for measuring and/or estimating GFR are described hereinafter.


As used herein, “reduced renal function” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) reduction in kidney function identified by an absolute increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 0.1 mg/dL (≥8.8 μmol/L), a percentage increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 20% (1.2-fold from baseline), or a reduction in urine output (documented oliguria of less than 0.5 ml/kg per hour).


As used herein, “acute renal failure” or “ARF” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) reduction in kidney function identified by an absolute increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 0.3 mg/dl (≥26.4 μmol/l), a percentage increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 50% (1.5-fold from baseline), or a reduction in urine output (documented oliguria of less than 0.5 ml/kg per hour for at least 6 hours). This term is synonymous with “acute kidney injury” or “AKI.”


As used herein, the term “IgA” refers to an antibody having two subclasses (IgA1 and IgA2) and which can exist in a dimeric form linked by a J chain (called secretory IgA, or sIgA). In its secretory form, IgA is the main immunoglobulin found in mucous secretions, including tears, saliva, colostrum and secretions from the genito-urinary tract, gastrointestinal tractprostate and respiratory epithelium. It is also found in small amounts in blood. IgA may be measured separately from other immunoglobulins such as IgG or IgM, for example, using antibodies which bind to the IgA α-chain.


As used herein, the term “Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4” refers to one or polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4 precursor (Swiss-Prot Q99727 (SEQ ID NO: 1)).











        10         20         30         40



MPGSPRPAPS WVLLLRLLAL LRPPGLGEAC SCAPAHPQQH







        50         60         70         80



ICHSALVIRA KISSEKVVPA SADPADTEKM LRYEIKQIKM







        90        100        110        120



FKGFEKVKDV QYIYTPFDSS LCGVKLEANS QKQYLLTGQV







       130        140        150        160



LSDGKVFIHL CNYIEPWEDL SLVQRESLNH HYHLNCGCQI







       170        180        190        200



TTCYTVPCTI SAPNECLWTD WLLERKLYGY QAQHYVCMKH







       210        220



VDGTCSWYRG HLPLRKEFVD IVQP






The following domains have been identified in Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4:

















Residues
Length
Domain ID




















1-27
27
Signal sequence



28-224
197
Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4










As used herein, the term “Thrombomodulin” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the CD44 antigen precursor (Swiss-Prot P07204 (SEQ ID NO: 2)).











        10         20         30         40



MLGVLVLGAL ALAGLGFPAP AEPQPGGSQC VEHDCFALYP







        50         60         70         80



GPATFLNASQ ICDGLRGHLM TVRSSVAADV ISLLLNGDGG







        90        100        110        120



VGRRRLWIGL QLPPGCGDPK RLGPLRGFQW VTGDNNTSYS







       130        140        150        160



RWARLDLNGA PLCGPLCVAV SAAEATVPSE PIWEEQQCEV







       170        180        190        200



KADGFLCEFH FPATCRPLAV EPGAAAAAVS ITYGTPFAAR







       210        220        230        240



GADFQALPVG SSAAVAPLGL QLMCTAPPGA VQGHWAREAP







       250        260        270        280



GAWDCSVENG GCEHACNAIP GAPRCQCPAG AALQADGRSC







       290        300        310        320



TASATQSCND LCEHFCVPNP DQPGSYSCMC ETGYRLAADQ







       330        340        350        360



HRCEDVDDCI LEPSPCPQRC VNTQGGFECH CYPNYDLVDG







       370        380        390        400



ECVEPVDPCF RANCEYQCQP LNQTSYLCVC AEGFAPIPHE







       410        420        430        440



PHRCQMFCNQ TACPADCDPN TQASCECPEG YILDDGFICT







       450        460        470        480



DIDECENGGF CSGVCHNLPG TFECICGPDS ALARHIGTDC







       390        500        510        520



DSGKVDGGDS GSGEPPPSPT PGSTLTPPAV GLVHSGLLIG







       530        540        550        560



ISIASLCLVV ALLALLCHLR KKQGAARAKM EYKCAAPSKE







       570



VVLQHVRTER TPQRL






Most preferably, the Thrombomodulin assay detects one or more soluble forms of Thrombomodulin. Thrombomodulin is a single-pass type I membrane protein having a large extracellular domain, most or all of which is present in soluble forms of Thrombomodulin generated either through alternative splicing event which deletes all or a portion of the transmembrane domain, or by proteolysis of the membrane-bound form. In the case of an immunoassay, one or more antibodies that bind to epitopes within this extracellular domain may be used to detect these soluble form(s). The following domains have been identified in Thrombomodulin:

















Residues
Length
Domain ID




















1-18
20
signal sequence



19-575
557
Thrombomodulin



19-515
497
extracellular



516-539 
24
transmembrane



540-575 
36
cytoplasmic










As used herein, the term “relating a signal to the presence or amount” of an analyte reflects this understanding. Assay signals are typically related to the presence or amount of an analyte through the use of a standard curve calculated using known concentrations of the analyte of interest. As the term is used herein, an assay is “configured to detect” an analyte if an assay can generate a detectable signal indicative of the presence or amount of a physiologically relevant concentration of the analyte. Because an antibody epitope is on the order of 8 amino acids, an immunoassay configured to detect a marker of interest will also detect polypeptides related to the marker sequence, so long as those polypeptides contain the epitope(s) necessary to bind to the antibody or antibodies used in the assay. The term “related marker” as used herein with regard to a biomarker such as one of the kidney injury markers described herein refers to one or more fragments, variants, etc., of a particular marker or its biosynthetic parent that may be detected as a surrogate for the marker itself or as independent biomarkers. The term also refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the biomarker precursor complexed to additional species, such as binding proteins, receptors, heparin, lipids, sugars, etc.


In this regard, the skilled artisan will understand that the signals obtained from an immunoassay are a direct result of complexes formed between one or more antibodies and the target biomolecule (i.e., the analyte) and polypeptides containing the necessary epitope(s) to which the antibodies bind. While such assays may detect the full length biomarker and the assay result be expressed as a concentration of a biomarker of interest, the signal from the assay is actually a result of all such “immunoreactive” polypeptides present in the sample. Expression of biomarkers may also be determined by means other than immunoassays, including protein measurements (such as dot blots, western blots, chromatographic methods, mass spectrometry, etc.) and nucleic acid measurements (mRNA quatitation). This list is not meant to be limiting.


The term “positive going” marker as that term is used herein refer to a marker that is determined to be elevated in subjects suffering from a disease or condition, relative to subjects not suffering from that disease or condition. The term “negative going” marker as that term is used herein refer to a marker that is determined to be reduced in subjects suffering from a disease or condition, relative to subjects not suffering from that disease or condition.


The term “subject” as used herein refers to a human or non-human organism. Thus, the methods and compositions described herein are applicable to both human and veterinary disease. Further, while a subject is preferably a living organism, the invention described herein may be used in post-mortem analysis as well. Preferred subjects are humans, and most preferably “patients,” which as used herein refers to living humans that are receiving medical care for a disease or condition. This includes persons with no defined illness who are being investigated for signs of pathology.


Preferably, an analyte is measured in a sample. Such a sample may be obtained from a subject, or may be obtained from biological materials intended to be provided to the subject. For example, a sample may be obtained from a kidney being evaluated for possible transplantation into a subject, and an analyte measurement used to evaluate the kidney for preexisting damage. Preferred samples are body fluid samples.


The term “body fluid sample” as used herein refers to a sample of bodily fluid obtained for the purpose of diagnosis, prognosis, classification or evaluation of a subject of interest, such as a patient or transplant donor. In certain embodiments, such a sample may be obtained for the purpose of determining the outcome of an ongoing condition or the effect of a treatment regimen on a condition. Preferred body fluid samples include blood, serum, plasma, cerebrospinal fluid, urine, saliva, sputum, and pleural effusions. In addition, one of skill in the art would realize that certain body fluid samples would be more readily analyzed following a fractionation or purification procedure, for example, separation of whole blood into serum or plasma components.


The term “diagnosis” as used herein refers to methods by which the skilled artisan can estimate and/or determine the probability (“a likelihood”) of whether or not a patient is suffering from a given disease or condition. In the case of the present invention, “diagnosis” includes using the results of an assay, most preferably an immunoassay, for a kidney injury marker of the present invention, optionally together with other clinical characteristics, to arrive at a diagnosis (that is, the occurrence or nonoccurrence) of an acute renal injury or ARF for the subject from which a sample was obtained and assayed. That such a diagnosis is “determined” is not meant to imply that the diagnosis is 100% accurate. Many biomarkers are indicative of multiple conditions. The skilled clinician does not use biomarker results in an informational vacuum, but rather test results are used together with other clinical indicia to arrive at a diagnosis. Thus, a measured biomarker level on one side of a predetermined diagnostic threshold indicates a greater likelihood of the occurrence of disease in the subject relative to a measured level on the other side of the predetermined diagnostic threshold.


Similarly, a prognostic risk signals a probability (“a likelihood”) that a given course or outcome will occur. A level or a change in level of a prognostic indicator, which in turn is associated with an increased probability of morbidity (e.g., worsening renal function, future ARF, or death) is referred to as being “indicative of an increased likelihood” of an adverse outcome in a patient.


Marker Assays


In general, immunoassays involve contacting a sample containing or suspected of containing a biomarker of interest with at least one antibody that specifically binds to the biomarker. A signal is then generated indicative of the presence or amount of complexes formed by the binding of polypeptides in the sample to the antibody or other binding species. The signal is then related to the presence or amount of the biomarker in the sample. Numerous methods and devices are well known to the skilled artisan for the detection and analysis of biomarkers. See, e.g., U.S. Pat. Nos. 6,143,576; 6,113,855; 6,019,944; 5,985,579; 5,947,124; 5,939,272; 5,922,615; 5,885,527; 5,851,776; 5,824,799; 5,679,526; 5,525,524; and 5,480,792, and The Immunoassay Handbook, David Wild, ed. Stockton Press, New York, 1994, each of which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, including all tables, figures and claims.


The assay devices and methods known in the art can utilize labeled molecules in various sandwich, competitive, or non-competitive assay formats, to generate a signal that is related to the presence or amount of the biomarker of interest. Suitable assay formats also include chromatographic, mass spectrographic, and protein “blotting” methods. Additionally, certain methods and devices, such as biosensors and optical immunoassays, may be employed to determine the presence or amount of analytes without the need for a labeled molecule. See, e.g., U.S. Pat. Nos. 5,631,171; and 5,955,377, each of which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, including all tables, figures and claims. One skilled in the art also recognizes that robotic instrumentation including but not limited to Beckman ACCESS®, Abbott AXSYM®, Roche ELECSYS®, Dade Behring STRATUS® systems are among the immunoassay analyzers that are capable of performing immunoassays. But any suitable immunoassay may be utilized, for example, enzyme-linked immunoassays (ELISA), radioimmunoassays (RIAs), competitive binding assays, and the like.


Antibodies or other polypeptides may be immobilized onto a variety of solid supports for use in assays. Solid phases that may be used to immobilize specific binding members include include those developed and/or used as solid phases in solid phase binding assays. Examples of suitable solid phases include membrane filters, cellulose-based papers, beads (including polymeric, latex and paramagnetic particles), glass, silicon wafers, microparticles, nanoparticles, TentaGels, AgroGels, PEGA gels, SPOCC gels, and multiple-well plates. An assay strip could be prepared by coating the antibody or a plurality of antibodies in an array on solid support. This strip could then be dipped into the test sample and then processed quickly through washes and detection steps to generate a measurable signal, such as a colored spot. Antibodies or other polypeptides may be bound to specific zones of assay devices either by conjugating directly to an assay device surface, or by indirect binding. In an example of the later case, antibodies or other polypeptides may be immobilized on particles or other solid supports, and that solid support immobilized to the device surface.


Biological assays require methods for detection, and one of the most common methods for quantitation of results is to conjugate a detectable label to a protein or nucleic acid that has affinity for one of the components in the biological system being studied. Detectable labels may include molecules that are themselves detectable (e.g., fluorescent moieties, electrochemical labels, metal chelates, etc.) as well as molecules that may be indirectly detected by production of a detectable reaction product (e.g., enzymes such as horseradish peroxidase, alkaline phosphatase, etc.) or by a specific binding molecule which itself may be detectable (e.g., biotin, digoxigenin, maltose, oligohistidine, 2,4-dintrobenzene, phenylarsenate, ssDNA, dsDNA, etc.).


Preparation of solid phases and detectable label conjugates often comprise the use of chemical cross-linkers. Cross-linking reagents contain at least two reactive groups, and are divided generally into homofunctional cross-linkers (containing identical reactive groups) and heterofunctional cross-linkers (containing non-identical reactive groups). Homobifunctional cross-linkers that couple through amines, sulfhydryls or react non-specifically are available from many commercial sources. Maleimides, alkyl and aryl halides, alpha-haloacyls and pyridyl disulfides are thiol reactive groups. Maleimides, alkyl and aryl halides, and alpha-haloacyls react with sulfhydryls to form thiol ether bonds, while pyridyl disulfides react with sulfhydryls to produce mixed disulfides. The pyridyl disulfide product is cleavable. Imidoesters are also very useful for protein-protein cross-links. A variety of heterobifunctional cross-linkers, each combining different attributes for successful conjugation, are commercially available.


In certain aspects, the present invention provides kits for the analysis of the described kidney injury markers. The kit comprises reagents for the analysis of at least one test sample which comprise at least one antibody that a kidney injury marker. The kit can also include devices and instructions for performing one or more of the diagnostic and/or prognostic correlations described herein. Preferred kits will comprise an antibody pair for performing a sandwich assay, or a labeled species for performing a competitive assay, for the analyte. Preferably, an antibody pair comprises a first antibody conjugated to a solid phase and a second antibody conjugated to a detectable label, wherein each of the first and second antibodies that bind a kidney injury marker. Most preferably each of the antibodies are monoclonal antibodies. The instructions for use of the kit and performing the correlations can be in the form of labeling, which refers to any written or recorded material that is attached to, or otherwise accompanies a kit at any time during its manufacture, transport, sale or use. For example, the term labeling encompasses advertising leaflets and brochures, packaging materials, instructions, audio or video cassettes, computer discs, as well as writing imprinted directly on kits.


Antibodies


The term “antibody” as used herein refers to a peptide or polypeptide derived from, modeled after or substantially encoded by an immunoglobulin gene or immunoglobulin genes, or fragments thereof, capable of specifically binding an antigen or epitope. See, e.g. Fundamental Immunology, 3rd Edition, W. E. Paul, ed., Raven Press, N.Y. (1993); Wilson (1994; J. Immunol. Methods 175:267-273; Yarmush (1992) J. Biochem. Biophys. Methods 25:85-97. The term antibody includes antigen-binding portions, i.e., “antigen binding sites,” (e.g., fragments, subsequences, complementarity determining regions (CDRs)) that retain capacity to bind antigen, including (i) a Fab fragment, a monovalent fragment consisting of the VL, VH, CL and CH1 domains; (ii) a F(ab′)2 fragment, a bivalent fragment comprising two Fab fragments linked by a disulfide bridge at the hinge region; (iii) a Fd fragment consisting of the VH and CH1 domains; (iv) a Fv fragment consisting of the VL and VH domains of a single arm of an antibody, (v) a dAb fragment (Ward et al., (1989) Nature 341:544-546), which consists of a VH domain; and (vi) an isolated complementarity determining region (CDR). Single chain antibodies are also included by reference in the term “antibody.”


Antibodies used in the immunoassays described herein preferably specifically bind to a kidney injury marker of the present invention. The term “specifically binds” is not intended to indicate that an antibody binds exclusively to its intended target since, as noted above, an antibody binds to any polypeptide displaying the epitope(s) to which the antibody binds. Rather, an antibody “specifically binds” if its affinity for its intended target is about 5-fold greater when compared to its affinity for a non-target molecule which does not display the appropriate epitope(s). Preferably the affinity of the antibody will be at least about 5 fold, preferably 10 fold, more preferably 25-fold, even more preferably 50-fold, and most preferably 100-fold or more, greater for a target molecule than its affinity for a non-target molecule. In preferred embodiments, Preferred antibodies bind with affinities of at least about 107 M−1, and preferably between about 108 M−1 to about 109 M−1, about 109 M−1 to about 1010 M, or about 1010 M−1 to about 1012 M−1.


Affinity is calculated as Kd=koff/kon (koff is the dissociation rate constant, Kon is the association rate constant and Kd is the equilibrium constant). Affinity can be determined at equilibrium by measuring the fraction bound (r) of labeled ligand at various concentrations (c). The data are graphed using the Scatchard equation: r/c=K(n−r): where r=moles of bound ligand/mole of receptor at equilibrium; c=free ligand concentration at equilibrium; K=equilibrium association constant; and n=number of ligand binding sites per receptor molecule. By graphical analysis, r/c is plotted on the Y-axis versus r on the X-axis, thus producing a Scatchard plot. Antibody affinity measurement by Scatchard analysis is well known in the art. See, e.g., van Erp et al., J. Immunoassay 12: 425-43, 1991; Nelson and Griswold, Comput. Methods Programs Biomed. 27: 65-8, 1988.


The term “epitope” refers to an antigenic determinant capable of specific binding to an antibody. Epitopes usually consist of chemically active surface groupings of molecules such as amino acids or sugar side chains and usually have specific three dimensional structural characteristics, as well as specific charge characteristics. Conformational and nonconformational epitopes are distinguished in that the binding to the former but not the latter is lost in the presence of denaturing solvents.


Numerous publications discuss the use of phage display technology to produce and screen libraries of polypeptides for binding to a selected analyte. See, e.g, Cwirla et al., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 87, 6378-82, 1990; Devlin et al., Science 249, 404-6, 1990, Scott and Smith, Science 249, 386-88, 1990; and Ladner et al., U.S. Pat. No. 5,571,698. A basic concept of phage display methods is the establishment of a physical association between DNA encoding a polypeptide to be screened and the polypeptide. This physical association is provided by the phage particle, which displays a polypeptide as part of a capsid enclosing the phage genome which encodes the polypeptide. The establishment of a physical association between polypeptides and their genetic material allows simultaneous mass screening of very large numbers of phage bearing different polypeptides. Phage displaying a polypeptide with affinity to a target bind to the target and these phage are enriched by affinity screening to the target. The identity of polypeptides displayed from these phage can be determined from their respective genomes. Using these methods a polypeptide identified as having a binding affinity for a desired target can then be synthesized in bulk by conventional means. See, e.g., U.S. Pat. No. 6,057,098, which is hereby incorporated in its entirety, including all tables, figures, and claims.


The antibodies that are generated by these methods may then be selected by first screening for affinity and specificity with the purified polypeptide of interest and, if required, comparing the results to the affinity and specificity of the antibodies with polypeptides that are desired to be excluded from binding. The screening procedure can involve immobilization of the purified polypeptides in separate wells of microtiter plates. The solution containing a potential antibody or groups of antibodies is then placed into the respective microtiter wells and incubated for about 30 min to 2 h. The microtiter wells are then washed and a labeled secondary antibody (for example, an anti-mouse antibody conjugated to alkaline phosphatase if the raised antibodies are mouse antibodies) is added to the wells and incubated for about 30 min and then washed. Substrate is added to the wells and a color reaction will appear where antibody to the immobilized polypeptide(s) are present.


The antibodies so identified may then be further analyzed for affinity and specificity in the assay design selected. In the development of immunoassays for a target protein, the purified target protein acts as a standard with which to judge the sensitivity and specificity of the immunoassay using the antibodies that have been selected. Because the binding affinity of various antibodies may differ; certain antibody pairs (e.g., in sandwich assays) may interfere with one another sterically, etc., assay performance of an antibody may be a more important measure than absolute affinity and specificity of an antibody.


While the present application describes antibody-based binding assays in detail, alternatives to antibodies as binding species in assays are well known in the art. These include receptors for a particular target, aptamers, etc. Aptamers are oligonucleic acid or peptide molecules that bind to a specific target molecule. Aptamers are usually created by selecting them from a large random sequence pool, but natural aptamers also exist. High-affinity aptamers containing modified nucleotides conferring improved characteristics on the ligand, such as improved in vivo stability or improved delivery characteristics. Examples of such modifications include chemical substitutions at the ribose and/or phosphate and/or base positions, and may include amino acid side chain functionalities.


Assay Correlations


The term “correlating” as used herein in reference to the use of biomarkers refers to comparing the presence or amount of the biomarker(s) in a patient to its presence or amount in persons known to suffer from, or known to be at risk of, a given condition; or in persons known to be free of a given condition. Often, this takes the form of comparing an assay result in the form of a biomarker concentration to a predetermined threshold selected to be indicative of the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a disease or the likelihood of some future outcome.


Selecting a diagnostic threshold involves, among other things, consideration of the probability of disease, distribution of true and false diagnoses at different test thresholds, and estimates of the consequences of treatment (or a failure to treat) based on the diagnosis. For example, when considering administering a specific therapy which is highly efficacious and has a low level of risk, few tests are needed because clinicians can accept substantial diagnostic uncertainty. On the other hand, in situations where treatment options are less effective and more risky, clinicians often need a higher degree of diagnostic certainty. Thus, cost/benefit analysis is involved in selecting a diagnostic threshold.


Suitable thresholds may be determined in a variety of ways. For example, one recommended diagnostic threshold for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction using cardiac troponin is the 97.5th percentile of the concentration seen in a normal population. Another method may be to look at serial samples from the same patient, where a prior “baseline” result is used to monitor for temporal changes in a biomarker level.


Population studies may also be used to select a decision threshold. Reciever Operating Characteristic (“ROC”) arose from the field of signal detection theory developed during World War II for the analysis of radar images, and ROC analysis is often used to select a threshold able to best distinguish a “diseased” subpopulation from a “nondiseased” subpopulation. A false positive in this case occurs when the person tests positive, but actually does not have the disease. A false negative, on the other hand, occurs when the person tests negative, suggesting they are healthy, when they actually do have the disease. To draw a ROC curve, the true positive rate (TPR) and false positive rate (FPR) are determined as the decision threshold is varied continuously. Since TPR is equivalent with sensitivity and FPR is equal to 1—specificity, the ROC graph is sometimes called the sensitivity vs (1—specificity) plot. A perfect test will have an area under the ROC curve of 1.0; a random test will have an area of 0.5. A threshold is selected to provide an acceptable level of specificity and sensitivity.


In this context, “diseased” is meant to refer to a population having one characteristic (the presence of a disease or condition or the occurrence of some outcome) and “nondiseased” is meant to refer to a population lacking the characteristic. While a single decision threshold is the simplest application of such a method, multiple decision thresholds may be used. For example, below a first threshold, the absence of disease may be assigned with relatively high confidence, and above a second threshold the presence of disease may also be assigned with relatively high confidence. Between the two thresholds may be considered indeterminate. This is meant to be exemplary in nature only.


In addition to threshold comparisons, other methods for correlating assay results to a patient classification (occurrence or nonoccurrence of disease, likelihood of an outcome, etc.) include decision trees, rule sets, Bayesian methods, and neural network methods. These methods can produce probability values representing the degree to which a subject belongs to one classification out of a plurality of classifications.


Measures of test accuracy may be obtained as described in Fischer et al., Intensive Care Med. 29: 1043-51, 2003, and used to determine the effectiveness of a given biomarker. These measures include sensitivity and specificity, predictive values, likelihood ratios, diagnostic odds ratios, and ROC curve areas. The area under the curve (“AUC”) of a ROC plot is equal to the probability that a classifier will rank a randomly chosen positive instance higher than a randomly chosen negative one. The area under the ROC curve may be thought of as equivalent to the Mann-Whitney U test, which tests for the median difference between scores obtained in the two groups considered if the groups are of continuous data, or to the Wilcoxon test of ranks.


As discussed above, suitable tests may exhibit one or more of the following results on these various measures: a specificity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably at least 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9 and most preferably at least 0.95, with a corresponding sensitivity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than 0.3, more preferably greater than 0.4, still more preferably at least 0.5, even more preferably 0.6, yet more preferably greater than 0.7, still more preferably greater than 0.8, more preferably greater than 0.9, and most preferably greater than 0.95; a sensitivity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably at least 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9 and most preferably at least 0.95, with a corresponding specificity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than 0.3, more preferably greater than 0.4, still more preferably at least 0.5, even more preferably 0.6, yet more preferably greater than 0.7, still more preferably greater than 0.8, more preferably greater than 0.9, and most preferably greater than 0.95; at least 75% sensitivity, combined with at least 75% specificity; a ROC curve area of greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9, and most preferably at least 0.95; an odds ratio different from 1, preferably at least about 2 or more or about 0.5 or less, more preferably at least about 3 or more or about 0.33 or less, still more preferably at least about 4 or more or about 0.25 or less, even more preferably at least about 5 or more or about 0.2 or less, and most preferably at least about 10 or more or about 0.1 or less; a positive likelihood ratio (calculated as sensitivity/(1-specificity)) of greater than 1, at least 2, more preferably at least 3, still more preferably at least 5, and most preferably at least 10; and or a negative likelihood ratio (calculated as (1-sensitivity)/specificity) of less than 1, less than or equal to 0.5, more preferably less than or equal to 0.3, and most preferably less than or equal to 0.1


Additional clinical indicia may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) of the present invention. These include other biomarkers related to renal status. Examples include the following, which recite the common biomarker name, followed by the Swiss-Prot entry number for that biomarker or its parent: Actin (P68133); Adenosine deaminase binding protein (DPP4, P27487); Alpha-1-acid glycoprotein 1 (P02763); Alpha-1-microglobulin (P02760); Albumin (P02768); Angiotensinogenase (Renin, P00797); Annexin A2 (P07355); Beta-glucuronidase (P08236); B-2-microglobulin (P61679); Beta-galactosidase (P16278); BMP-7 (P18075); Brain natriuretic peptide (proBNP, BNP-32, NTproBNP; P16860); Calcium-binding protein Beta (S100-beta, P04271); Carbonic anhydrase (Q16790); Casein Kinase 2 (P68400); Ceruloplasmin (P00450); Clusterin (P10909); Complement C3 (P01024); Cysteine-rich protein (CYR61, 000622); Cytochrome C (P99999); Epidermal growth factor (EGF, P01133); Endothelin-1 (P05305); Exosomal Fetuin-A (P02765); Fatty acid-binding protein, heart (FABP3, P05413); Fatty acid-binding protein, liver (P07148); Ferritin (light chain, P02793; heavy chain P02794); Fructose-1,6-biphosphatase (P09467); GRO-alpha (CXCL1, (P09341); Growth Hormone (P01241); Hepatocyte growth factor (P14210); Insulin-like growth factor I (P01343); Immunoglobulin G; Immunoglobulin Light Chains (Kappa and Lambda); Interferon gamma (P01308); Lysozyme (P61626); Interleukin-lalpha (P01583); Interleukin-2 (P60568); Interleukin-4 (P60568); Interleukin-9 (P15248); Interleukin-12p40 (P29460); Interleukin-13 (P35225); Interleukin-16 (Q14005); L1 cell adhesion molecule (P32004); Lactate dehydrogenase (P00338); Leucine Aminopeptidase (P28838); Meprin A-alpha subunit (Q16819); Meprin A-beta subunit (Q16820); Midkine (P21741); MIP2-alpha (CXCL2, P19875); MMP-2 (P08253); MMP-9 (P14780); Netrin-1 (095631); Neutral endopeptidase (P08473); Osteopontin (P10451); Renal papillary antigen 1 (RPA1); Renal papillary antigen 2 (RPA2); Retinol binding protein (P09455); Ribonuclease; S100 calcium-binding protein A6 (P06703); Serum Amyloid P Component (P02743); Sodium/Hydrogen exchanger isoform (NHE3, P48764); Spermidine/spermine N1-acetyltransferase (P21673); TGF-Beta1 (P01137); Transferrin (P02787); Trefoil factor 3 (TFF3, Q07654); Toll-Like protein 4 (000206); Total protein; Tubulointerstitial nephritis antigen (Q9UJW2); Uromodulin (Tamm-Horsfall protein, P07911).


For purposes of risk stratification, Adiponectin (Q15848); Alkaline phosphatase (P05186); Aminopeptidase N (P15144); CalbindinD28k (P05937); Cystatin C (P01034); 8 subunit of FIFO ATPase (P03928); Gamma-glutamyltransferase (P19440); GSTa (alpha-glutathione-S-transferase, P08263); GSTpi (Glutathione-S-transferase P; GST class-pi; P09211); IGFBP-1 (P08833); IGFBP-2 (P18065); IGFBP-6 (P24592); Integral membrane protein 1 (Itml, P46977); Interleukin-6 (P05231); Interleukin-8 (P10145); Interleukin-18 (Q14116); IP-10 (10 kDa interferon-gamma-induced protein, P02778); IRPR (IFRD1, 000458); Isovaleryl-CoA dehydrogenase (IVD, P26440); I-TAC/CXCL11 (014625); Keratin 19 (P08727); Kim-1 (Hepatitis A virus cellular receptor 1, 043656); L-arginine:glycine amidinotransferase (P50440); Leptin (P41159); Lipocalin2 (NGAL, P80188); MCP-1 (P13500); MIG (Gamma-interferon-induced monokine Q07325); MIP-1a (P10147); MIP-3a (P78556); MIP-lbeta (P13236); MIP-1d (Q16663); NAG (N-acetyl-beta-D-glucosaminidase, P54802); Organic ion transporter (OCT2, 015244); Osteoprotegerin (014788); P8 protein (060356); Plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 (PAI-1, P05121); ProANP(1-98) (P01160); Protein phosphatase 1-beta (PPI-beta, P62140); Rab GDI-beta (P50395); Renal kallikrein (Q86U61); RT1.B-1 (alpha) chain of the integral membrane protein (Q5Y7A8); Soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 1A (sTNFR-I, P19438); Soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 1B (sTNFR-II, P20333); Tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases 3 (TIMP-3, P35625); uPAR (Q03405) may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) of the present invention.


Other clinical indicia which may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) of the present invention includes demographic information (e.g., weight, sex, age, race), medical history (e.g., family history, type of surgery, pre-existing disease such as aneurism, congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, or sepsis, type of toxin exposure such as NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin), clinical variables (e.g., blood pressure, temperature, respiration rate), risk scores (APACHE score, PREDICT score, TIMI Risk Score for UA/NSTEMI, Framingham Risk Score), a urine total protein measurement, a glomerular filtration rate, an estimated glomerular filtration rate, a urine production rate, a serum or plasma creatinine concentration, a renal papillary antigen 1 (RPA1) measurement; a renal papillary antigen 2 (RPA2) measurement; a urine creatinine concentration, a fractional excretion of sodium, a urine sodium concentration, a urine creatinine to serum or plasma creatinine ratio, a urine specific gravity, a urine osmolality, a urine urea nitrogen to plasma urea nitrogen ratio, a plasma BUN to creatnine ratio, and/or a renal failure index calculated as urine sodium/(urine creatinine/plasma creatinine). Other measures of renal function which may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) are described hereinafter and in Harrison's Principles of Internal Medicine, 17th Ed., McGraw Hill, New York, pages 1741-1830, and Current Medical Diagnosis & Treatment 2008, 47th Ed, McGraw Hill, New York, pages 785-815, each of which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety.


Combining assay results/clinical indicia in this manner can comprise the use of multivariate logistical regression, loglinear modeling, neural network analysis, n-of-m analysis, decision tree analysis, etc. This list is not meant to be limiting.


Diagnosis of Acute Renal Failure


As noted above, the terms “acute renal (or kidney) injury” and “acute renal (or kidney) failure” as used herein are defined in part in terms of changes in serum creatinine from a baseline value. Most definitions of ARF have common elements, including the use of serum creatinine and, often, urine output. Patients may present with renal dysfunction without an available baseline measure of renal function for use in this comparison. In such an event, one may estimate a baseline serum creatinine value by assuming the patient initially had a normal GFR. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is the volume of fluid filtered from the renal (kidney) glomerular capillaries into the Bowman's capsule per unit time. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) can be calculated by measuring any chemical that has a steady level in the blood, and is freely filtered but neither reabsorbed nor secreted by the kidneys. GFR is typically expressed in units of ml/min:






GFR
=


Urine





Concentration
×
Urine





Flow


Plasma





Concentration






By normalizing the GFR to the body surface area, a GFR of approximately 75-100 ml/min per 1.73 m2 can be assumed. The rate therefore measured is the quantity of the substance in the urine that originated from a calculable volume of blood.


There are several different techniques used to calculate or estimate the glomerular filtration rate (GFR or eGFR). In clinical practice, however, creatinine clearance is used to measure GFR. Creatinine is produced naturally by the body (creatinine is a metabolite of creatine, which is found in muscle). It is freely filtered by the glomerulus, but also actively secreted by the renal tubules in very small amounts such that creatinine clearance overestimates actual GFR by 10-20%. This margin of error is acceptable considering the ease with which creatinine clearance is measured.


Creatinine clearance (CCr) can be calculated if values for creatinine's urine concentration (UCr), urine flow rate (V), and creatinine's plasma concentration (PCr) are known. Since the product of urine concentration and urine flow rate yields creatinine's excretion rate, creatinine clearance is also said to be its excretion rate (UCr×V) divided by its plasma concentration. This is commonly represented mathematically as:







C
Cr

=



U
Cr

×
V


P
Cr






Commonly a 24 hour urine collection is undertaken, from empty-bladder one morning to the contents of the bladder the following morning, with a comparative blood test then taken:







C
Cr

=



U
Cr

×
24


-


hour





volume



P
Cr

×
24
×
60





mins






To allow comparison of results between people of different sizes, the CCr is often corrected for the body surface area (BSA) and expressed compared to the average sized man as ml/min/1.73 m2. While most adults have a BSA that approaches 1.7 (1.6-1.9), extremely obese or slim patients should have their CCr corrected for their actual BSA:







C

Cr


-


corrected


=



C
Cr

×
1.73

BSA





The accuracy of a creatinine clearance measurement (even when collection is complete) is limited because as glomerular filtration rate (GFR) falls creatinine secretion is increased, and thus the rise in serum creatinine is less. Thus, creatinine excretion is much greater than the filtered load, resulting in a potentially large overestimation of the GFR (as much as a twofold difference). However, for clinical purposes it is important to determine whether renal function is stable or getting worse or better. This is often determined by monitoring serum creatinine alone. Like creatinine clearance, the serum creatinine will not be an accurate reflection of GFR in the non-steady-state condition of ARF. Nonetheless, the degree to which serum creatinine changes from baseline will reflect the change in GFR. Serum creatinine is readily and easily measured and it is specific for renal function.


For purposes of determining urine output on a Urine output on a mL/kg/hr basis, hourly urine collection and measurement is adequate. In the case where, for example, only a cumulative 24-h output was available and no patient weights are provided, minor modifications of the RIFLE urine output criteria have been described. For example, Bagshaw et al., Nephrol. Dial. Transplant. 23: 1203-1210, 2008, assumes an average patient weight of 70 kg, and patients are assigned a RIFLE classification based on the following: <35 mL/h (Risk), <21 mL/h (Injury) or <4 mL/h (Failure).


Selecting a Treatment Regimen


Once a diagnosis is obtained, the clinician can readily select a treatment regimen that is compatible with the diagnosis, such as initiating renal replacement therapy, withdrawing delivery of compounds that are known to be damaging to the kidney, kidney transplantation, delaying or avoiding procedures that are known to be damaging to the kidney, modifying diuretic administration, initiating goal directed therapy, etc. The skilled artisan is aware of appropriate treatments for numerous diseases discussed in relation to the methods of diagnosis described herein. See, e.g., Merck Manual of Diagnosis and Therapy, 17th Ed. Merck Research Laboratories, Whitehouse Station, N J, 1999. In addition, since the methods and compositions described herein provide prognostic information, the markers of the present invention may be used to monitor a course of treatment. For example, improved or worsened prognostic state may indicate that a particular treatment is or is not efficacious.


One skilled in the art readily appreciates that the present invention is well adapted to carry out the objects and obtain the ends and advantages mentioned, as well as those inherent therein. The examples provided herein are representative of preferred embodiments, are exemplary, and are not intended as limitations on the scope of the invention.


Example 1: Contrast-Induced Nephropathy Sample Collection

The objective of this sample collection study is to collect samples of plasma and urine and clinical data from patients before and after receiving intravascular contrast media. Approximately 250 adults undergoing radiographic/angiographic procedures involving intravascular administration of iodinated contrast media are enrolled. To be enrolled in the study, each patient must meet all of the following inclusion criteria and none of the following exclusion criteria:


Inclusion Criteria

males and females 18 years of age or older;


undergoing a radiographic/angiographic procedure (such as a CT scan or coronary intervention) involving the intravascular administration of contrast media;


expected to be hospitalized for at least 48 hours after contrast administration.


able and willing to provide written informed consent for study participation and to comply with all study procedures.


Exclusion Criteria

renal transplant recipients;


acutely worsening renal function prior to the contrast procedure;


already receiving dialysis (either acute or chronic) or in imminent need of dialysis at enrollment;


expected to undergo a major surgical procedure (such as involving cardiopulmonary bypass) or an additional imaging procedure with contrast media with significant risk for further renal insult within the 48 hrs following contrast administration;


participation in an interventional clinical study with an experimental therapy within the previous 30 days;


known infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or a hepatitis virus.


Immediately prior to the first contrast administration (and after any pre-procedure hydration), an EDTA anti-coagulated blood sample (10 mL) and a urine sample (10 mL) are collected from each patient. Blood and urine samples are then collected at 4 (±0.5), 8 (±1), 24 (±2) 48 (±2), and 72 (±2) hrs following the last administration of contrast media during the index contrast procedure. Blood is collected via direct venipuncture or via other available venous access, such as an existing femoral sheath, central venous line, peripheral intravenous line or hep-lock. These study blood samples are processed to plasma at the clinical site, frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc., San Diego, Calif. The study urine samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc.


Serum creatinine is assessed at the site immediately prior to the first contrast administration (after any pre-procedure hydration) and at 4 (±0.5), 8 (±1), 24 (±2) and 48 (±2)), and 72 (±2) hours following the last administration of contrast (ideally at the same time as the study samples are obtained). In addition, each patient's status is evaluated through day 30 with regard to additional serum and urine creatinine measurements, a need for dialysis, hospitalization status, and adverse clinical outcomes (including mortality).


Prior to contrast administration, each patient is assigned a risk based on the following assessment: systolic blood pressure <80 mm Hg=5 points; intra-arterial balloon pump=5 points; congestive heart failure (Class III-IV or history of pulmonary edema)=5 points; age >75 yrs=4 points; hematocrit level <39% for men, <35% for women=3 points; diabetes=3 points; contrast media volume=1 point for each 100 mL; serum creatinine level >1.5 g/dL=4 points OR estimated GFR 40-60 mL/min/1.73 m2=2 points, 20-40 mL/min/1.73 m2=4 points, <20 mL/min/1.73 m2=6 points. The risks assigned are as follows: risk for CIN and dialysis: 5 or less total points=risk of CIN—7.5%, risk of dialysis—0.04%; 6-10 total points=risk of CIN—14%, risk of dialysis—0.12%; 11-16 total points=risk of CIN—26.1%, risk of dialysis—1.09%; >16 total points=risk of CIN—57.3%, risk of dialysis—12.8%.


Example 2: Cardiac Surgery Sample Collection

The objective of this sample collection study is to collect samples of plasma and urine and clinical data from patients before and after undergoing cardiovascular surgery, a procedure known to be potentially damaging to kidney function. Approximately 900 adults undergoing such surgery are enrolled. To be enrolled in the study, each patient must meet all of the following inclusion criteria and none of the following exclusion criteria:


Inclusion Criteria

males and females 18 years of age or older;


undergoing cardiovascular surgery;


Toronto/Ottawa Predictive Risk Index for Renal Replacement risk score of at least 2 (Wijeysundera et al., JAMA 297: 1801-9, 2007); and


able and willing to provide written informed consent for study participation and to comply with all study procedures.


Exclusion Criteria

known pregnancy;


previous renal transplantation;


acutely worsening renal function prior to enrollment (e.g., any category of RIFLE criteria);


already receiving dialysis (either acute or chronic) or in imminent need of dialysis at enrollment;


currently enrolled in another clinical study or expected to be enrolled in another clinical study within 7 days of cardiac surgery that involves drug infusion or a therapeutic intervention for AKI;


known infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or a hepatitis virus.


Within 3 hours prior to the first incision (and after any pre-procedure hydration), an EDTA anti-coagulated blood sample (10 mL), whole blood (3 mL), and a urine sample (35 mL) are collected from each patient. Blood and urine samples are then collected at 3 (±0.5), 6 (±0.5), 12 (±1), 24 (±2) and 48 (±2) hrs following the procedure and then daily on days 3 through 7 if the subject remains in the hospital. Blood is collected via direct venipuncture or via other available venous access, such as an existing femoral sheath, central venous line, peripheral intravenous line or hep-lock. These study blood samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc., San Diego, Calif. The study urine samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc.


Example 3: Acutely Ill Subject Sample Collection

The objective of this study is to collect samples from acutely ill patients. Approximately 900 adults expected to be in the ICU for at least 48 hours will be enrolled. To be enrolled in the study, each patient must meet all of the following inclusion criteria and none of the following exclusion criteria:


Inclusion Criteria

males and females 18 years of age or older;


Study population 1: approximately 300 patients that have at least one of:


shock (SBP<90 mmHg and/or need for vasopressor support to maintain MAP>60 mmHg and/or documented drop in SBP of at least 40 mmHg); and


sepsis;


Study population 2: approximately 300 patients that have at least one of:


IV antibiotics ordered in computerized physician order entry (CPOE) within 24 hours of enrollment;


contrast media exposure within 24 hours of enrollment;


increased Intra-Abdominal Pressure with acute decompensated heart failure; and


severe trauma as the primary reason for ICU admission and likely to be hospitalized in the ICU for 48 hours after enrollment;


Study population 3: approximately 300 patients expected to be hospitalized through acute care setting (ICU or ED) with a known risk factor for acute renal injury (e.g. sepsis, hypotension/shock (Shock=systolic BP<90 mmHg and/or the need for vasopressor support to maintain a MAP>60 mmHg and/or a documented drop in SBP>40 mmHg), major trauma, hemorrhage, or major surgery); and/or expected to be hospitalized to the ICU for at least 24 hours after enrollment.


Exclusion Criteria

known pregnancy;


institutionalized individuals;


previous renal transplantation;


known acutely worsening renal function prior to enrollment (e.g., any category of RIFLE criteria);


received dialysis (either acute or chronic) within 5 days prior to enrollment or in imminent need of dialysis at the time of enrollment;


known infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or a hepatitis virus;


meets only the SBP<90 mmHg inclusion criterion set forth above, and does not have shock in the attending physician's or principal investigator's opinion.


After providing informed consent, an EDTA anti-coagulated blood sample (10 mL) and a urine sample (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient. Blood and urine samples are then collected at 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. Blood is collected via direct venipuncture or via other available venous access, such as an existing femoral sheath, central venous line, peripheral intravenous line or hep-lock. These study blood samples are processed to plasma at the clinical site, frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc., San Diego, Calif. The study urine samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc.


Example 4. Immunoassay Format

Analytes are measured using standard sandwich enzyme immunoassay techniques. A first antibody which binds the analyte is immobilized in wells of a 96 well polystyrene microplate. Analyte standards and test samples are pipetted into the appropriate wells and any analyte present is bound by the immobilized antibody. After washing away any unbound substances, a horseradish peroxidase-conjugated second antibody which binds the analyte is added to the wells, thereby forming sandwich complexes with the analyte (if present) and the first antibody. Following a wash to remove any unbound antibody-enzyme reagent, a substrate solution comprising tetramethylbenzidine and hydrogen peroxide is added to the wells. Color develops in proportion to the amount of analyte present in the sample. The color development is stopped and the intensity of the color is measured at 540 nm or 570 nm. An analyte concentration is assigned to the test sample by comparison to a standard curve determined from the analyte standards.


Example 5. Apparently Healthy Donor and Chronic Disease Patient Samples

Human urine samples from donors with no known chronic or acute disease (“Apparently Healthy Donors”) were purchased from two vendors (Golden West Biologicals, Inc., 27625 Commerce Center Dr., Temecula, Calif. 92590 and Virginia Medical Research, Inc., 915 First Colonial Rd., Virginia Beach, Va. 23454). The urine samples were shipped and stored frozen at less than −20° C. The vendors supplied demographic information for the individual donors including gender, race (Black/White), smoking status and age.


Human urine samples from donors with various chronic diseases (“Chronic Disease Patients”) including congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes mellitus and hypertension were purchased from Virginia Medical Research, Inc., 915 First Colonial Rd., Virginia Beach, Va. 23454. The urine samples were shipped and stored frozen at less than −20 degrees centigrade. The vendor provided a case report form for each individual donor with age, gender, race (Black/White), smoking status and alcohol use, height, weight, chronic disease(s) diagnosis, current medications and previous surgeries.


Example 6. Use of Kidney Injury Markers for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) were enrolled in the following study. Each patient was classified by kidney status as non-injury (0), risk of injury (R), injury (I), and failure (F) according to the maximum stage reached within 7 days of enrollment as determined by the RIFLE criteria. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and a urine samples (25-30 mL) were collected from each patient at enrollment, 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. Immumoglobulin A, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, and Thrombomodulin were each measured by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents in the urine samples and the plasma component of the blood samples collected. Concentrations were reported as follows: one or more biomarkers selected from the group consisting of Immumoglobulin A-ng/mL, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4-pg/mL, and Thrombomodulin-pg/mL.


Two cohorts were defined as described in the introduction to each of the following tables. In the following tables, the time “prior max stage” represents the time at which a sample is collected, relative to the time a particular patient reaches the lowest disease stage as defined for that cohort, binned into three groups which are +/−12 hours. For example, “24 hr prior” which uses 0 vs R, I, F as the two cohorts would mean 24 hr (+/−12 hours) prior to reaching stage R (or I if no sample at R, or F if no sample at R or I).


A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated for each biomarker measured and the area under each ROC curve (AUC) was determined. Patients in Cohort 2 were also separated according to the reason for adjudication to cohort 2 as being based on serum creatinine measurements (sCr), being based on urine output (UO), or being based on either serum creatinine measurements or urine output. Using the same example discussed above (0 vs R, I, F), for those patients adjudicated to stage R, I, or F on the basis of serum creatinine measurements alone, the stage 0 cohort may have included patients adjudicated to stage R, I, or F on the basis of urine output; for those patients adjudicated to stage R, I, or F on the basis of urine output alone, the stage 0 cohort may have included patients adjudicated to stage R, I, or F on the basis of serum creatinine measurements; and for those patients adjudicated to stage R, I, or F on the basis of serum creatinine measurements or urine output, the stage 0 cohort contains only patients in stage 0 for both serum creatinine measurements and urine output. Also, in the data for patients adjudicated on the basis of serum creatinine measurements or urine output, the adjudication method which yielded the most severe RIFLE stage was used.


The ability to distinguish cohort 1 from Cohort 2 was determined using ROC analysis. SE is the standard error of the AUC, n is the number of sample or individual patients (“pts,” as indicated). Standard errors were calculated as described in Hanley, J. A., and McNeil, B. J., The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology (1982) 143: 29-36; p values were calculated with a two-tailed Z-test, and are reported as p<0.05 in tables 1-6 and p<0.10 in tables 7-14. An AUC<0.5 is indicative of a negative going marker for the comparison, and an AUC>0.5 is indicative of a positive going marker for the comparison.


Various threshold (or “cutoff”) concentrations were selected, and the associated sensitivity and specificity for distinguishing cohort 1 from cohort 2 were determined. OR is the odds ratio calculated for the particular cutoff concentration, and 95% CI is the confidence interval for the odds ratio.









TABLE 1





Comparison of marker levels in urine samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0)


and in urine samples collected from subjects at 0, 24 hours, and 48 hours prior to reaching stage R, I or F in Cohort 2.







Thrombomodulin











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





sCr or UO


Median
13800
20500
13800
17700
13800
17300


Average
16400
26200
16400
23000
16400
18300


Stdev
11700
18400
11700
18300
11700
11800


p(t-test)

6.8E−5

0.0052

0.47


Min
998
1260
998
1560
998
1130


Max
63300
74700
63300
104000
63300
53500


n (Samp)
118
47
118
54
118
25


n (Patient)
97
47
97
54
97
25


sCr only


Median
17500
9520
17500
17600
17500
16800


Average
20100
15700
20100
22800
20100
15600


Stdev
13800
17000
13800
23700
13800
7630


p(t-test)

0.24

0.44

0.24


Min
792
1260
792
1570
792
4520


Max
74700
53900
74700
104000
74700
31700


n (Samp)
264
14
264
19
264
13


n (Patient)
159
14
159
19
159
13


UO only


Median
14100
27600
14100
18500
14100
17300


Average
16300
27900
16300
22900
16300
18400


Stdev
11400
17500
11400
14700
11400
12300


p(t-test)

3.5E−6

0.0026

0.42


Min
998
4270
998
1560
998
1130


Max
59400
74700
59400
69600
59400
53500


n (Samp)
105
45
105
49
105
23


n (Patient)
84
45
84
49
84
23














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.34
0.70
0.61
0.48
0.64
0.56
0.43
0.56


SE
0.049
0.081
0.049
0.047
0.069
0.049
0.065
0.085
0.068


p
0.0020
0.054
4.9E−5
0.015
0.78
0.0039
0.37
0.39
0.36


nCohort 1
118
264
105
118
264
105
118
264
105


nCohort 2
47
14
45
54
19
49
25
13
23


Cutoff 1
13900
5750
15000
13200
9740
13400
9100
9480
8240


Sens 1
70%
71%
71%
70%
74%
71%
72%
77%
74%


Spec 1
51%
13%
55%
48%
28%
49%
33%
27%
30%


Cutoff 2
8100
4270
9930
8240
6410
10300
8240
9260
8100


Sens 2
81%
86%
80%
81%
84%
82%
80%
85%
83%


Spec 2
29%
 7%
40%
30%
15%
41%
30%
25%
30%


Cutoff 3
5520
3600
6410
6280
4500
6280
4500
8240
2680


Sens 3
91%
93%
91%
91%
95%
92%
92%
92%
91%


Spec 3
15%
 5%
18%
19%
 8%
17%
 8%
22%
 4%


Cutoff 4
20500
24600
20700
20500
24600
20700
20500
24600
20700


Sens 4
49%
14%
56%
44%
26%
47%
44%
 8%
43%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
24800
30400
24400
24800
30400
24400
24800
30400
24400


Sens 5
49%
14%
56%
35%
21%
43%
16%
 8%
17%


Spec 5
81%
80%
80%
81%
80%
80%
81%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
32500
38200
29400
32500
38200
29400
32500
38200
29400


Sens 6
34%
14%
44%
19%
16%
29%
12%
 0%
17%


Spec 6
91%
90%
90%
91%
90%
90%
91%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
0.73
0.50
1.1
1.3
1.0
1.7
1.2
4.2
1.3


p Value
0.58
0.58
0.82
0.61
1.0
0.31
0.76
0.20
0.72


95% CI of
0.24
0.044
0.37
0.48
0.28
0.59
0.31
0.46
0.31


OR Quart2
2.2
5.6
3.6
3.5
3.6
5.1
5.1
39
5.3


OR Quart 3
1.0
2.1
0.83
2.0
0.79
2.0
2.6
6.6
1.6


p Value
1.0
0.41
0.76
0.15
0.73
0.19
0.15
0.085
0.49


95% CI of
0.35
0.36
0.25
0.77
0.20
0.70
0.71
0.77
0.41


OR Quart3
2.8
12
2.8
5.3
3.1
5.9
9.3
56
6.4


OR Quart 4
3.9
3.8
7.3
3.0
1.0
4.2
1.9
2.1
2.3


p Value
0.0052
0.10
2.1E−4
0.024
0.98
0.0064
0.36
0.56
0.21


95% CI of
1.5
0.77
2.6
1.2
0.28
1.5
0.50
0.18
0.62


OR Quart4
10
19
21
7.7
3.7
12
7.1
23
8.7










Immunoglobulin A











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage
















Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2







sCr or UO



Median
733
1220
733
1520
733
1130



Average
1910
1970
1910
2200
1910
1530



Stdev
5540
2460
5540
2730
5540
1800



p(t-test)

0.92

0.63

0.67



Min
1.00E−9
68.3
1.00E−9
46.6
1.00E−9
79.2



Max
96900
14200
96900
18500
96900
9330



n (Samp)
366
74
366
88
366
41



n (Patient)
195
74
195
88
195
41



sCr only



Median
913
950
913
1680
913
1200



Average
1800
2120
1800
2780
1800
1920



Stdev
4050
2840
4050
3670
4050
2240



p(t-test)

0.67

0.15

0.89



Min
1.00E−9
68.3
1.00E−9
86.8
1.00E−9
121



Max
96900
14200
96900
18500
96900
8110



n (Samp)
753
29
753
37
753
23



n (Patient)
295
29
295
37
295
23



UO only



Median
747
1590
747
1650
747
1340



Average
2040
2300
2040
2460
2040
1650



Stdev
6090
2570
6090
2850
6090
1770



p(t-test)

0.74

0.57

0.71



Min
7.57
230
7.57
46.6
7.57
79.2



Max
96900
14200
96900
18500
96900
9330



n (Samp)
294
64
294
74
294
35



n (Patient)
130
64
130
74
130
35















0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.60
0.55
0.65
0.60
0.60
0.63
0.54
0.52
0.58


SE
0.037
0.056
0.040
0.035
0.050
0.038
0.048
0.062
0.053


p
0.0064
0.37
2.4E−4
0.0028
0.039
5.8E−4
0.40
0.72
0.16


nCohort 1
366
753
294
366
753
294
366
753
294


nCohort 2
74
29
64
88
37
74
41
23
35


Cutoff 1
744
657
821
572
644
657
549
350
771


Sens 1
70%
72%
70%
70%
70%
70%
71%
74%
71%


Spec 1
51%
39%
53%
45%
38%
48%
43%
22%
51%


Cutoff 2
485
465
724
412
538
510
310
310
657


Sens 2
81%
83%
81%
81%
81%
81%
80%
83%
80%


Spec 2
38%
29%
50%
34%
34%
37%
24%
18%
48%


Cutoff 3
269
118
378
317
185
348
173
191
192


Sens 3
91%
93%
91%
91%
92%
91%
90%
91%
91%


Spec 3
20%
 6%
30%
25%
10%
26%
11%
11%
12%


Cutoff 4
1530
1760
1610
1530
1760
1610
1530
1760
1610


Sens 4
45%
34%
50%
50%
49%
51%
32%
39%
31%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
2210
2610
2560
2210
2610
2560
2210
2610
2560


Sens 5
27%
28%
28%
36%
32%
36%
12%
17%
14%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
4780
4130
4820
4780
4130
4820
4780
4130
4820


Sens 6
 9%
14%
11%
11%
16%
11%
 7%
17%
 6%


Spec 6
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
1.4
1.6
2.5
2.2
1.5
2.2
0.53
0.42
0.82


p Value
0.41
0.41
0.068
0.034
0.44
0.065
0.27
0.21
0.76


95% CI of
0.62
0.52
0.93
1.1
0.53
0.95
0.17
0.11
0.24


OR Quart2
3.3
5.0
7.0
4.7
4.3
5.3
1.6
1.6
2.8


OR Quart 3
2.6
1.2
4.3
1.6
1.2
2.2
1.9
1.0
2.8


p Value
0.013
0.76
0.0031
0.24
0.78
0.065
0.15
1.0
0.041


95% CI of
1.2
0.36
1.6
0.73
0.39
0.95
0.80
0.34
1.0


OR Quart3
5.7
4.0
11
3.5
3.6
5.3
4.5
2.9
7.7


OR Quart 4
2.4
2.0
4.7
3.6
2.6
4.2
1.2
0.85
1.5


p Value
0.028
0.20
0.0014
5.3E−4
0.052
5.2E−4
0.65
0.78
0.43


95% CI of
1.1
0.69
1.8
1.7
0.99
1.9
0.49
0.28
0.52


OR Quart4
5.2
6.1
12
7.4
6.9
9.6
3.1
2.6
4.5










Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage
















Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2







sCr or UO



Median
5.10
9.33
5.10
10.0
5.10
1.80



Average
96.3
28.6
96.3
75.3
96.3
62.9



Stdev
1310
87.1
1310
301
1310
321



p(t-test)

0.66

0.88

0.87



Min
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9



Max
24700
621
24700
2510
24700
2060



n (Samp)
368
75
368
91
368
41



n (Patient)
196
75
196
91
196
41



sCr only



Median
5.74
5.10
5.74
10.1
5.74
1.80



Average
61.2
47.5
61.2
72.8
61.2
67.1



Stdev
922
120
922
147
922
254



p(t-test)

0.94

0.94

0.98



Min
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9



Max
24700
621
24700
609
24700
1230



n (Samp)
760
29
760
37
760
23



n (Patient)
297
29
297
37
297
23



UO only



Median
4.41
9.96
4.41
11.9
4.41
5.06



Average
117
32.7
117
86.0
117
77.1



Stdev
1460
92.6
1460
326
1460
347



p(t-test)

0.64

0.85

0.87



Min
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9



Max
24700
621
24700
2510
24700
2060



n (Samp)
297
65
297
77
297
35



n (Patient)
132
65
132
77
132
35















0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.54
0.52
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.61
0.47
0.50
0.53


SE
0.037
0.055
0.040
0.034
0.050
0.037
0.048
0.061
0.052


p
0.31
0.70
0.045
0.023
0.099
0.0028
0.55
0.98
0.57


nCohort 1
368
760
297
368
760
297
368
760
297


nCohort 2
75
29
65
91
37
77
41
23
35


Cutoff 1
0
0
0
0
0
1.22
0
0
0


Sens 1
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
70%
100% 
100% 
100% 


Spec 1
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
42%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff 2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0


Sens 2
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Spec 2
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff 3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0


Sens 3
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Spec 3
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff 4
10.4
11.9
11.7
10.4
11.9
11.7
10.4
11.9
11.7


Sens 4
37%
38%
45%
44%
46%
51%
27%
43%
31%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
18.3
21.2
20.5
18.3
21.2
20.5
18.3
21.2
20.5


Sens 5
33%
31%
42%
34%
32%
38%
20%
30%
26%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
33.2
34.5
37.4
33.2
34.5
37.4
33.2
34.5
37.4


Sens 6
15%
24%
15%
21%
30%
19%
15%
17%
20%


Spec 6
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
0.81
0.49
0.099
0.78
4.6
0.30
0.43
0.086
0.20


p Value
0.56
0.20
2.8E−4
0.47
0.019
0.0066
0.13
0.019
0.016


95% CI of
0.39
0.16
0.029
0.39
1.3
0.13
0.14
0.011
0.055


OR Quart2
1.7
1.5
0.34
1.5
16
0.72
1.3
0.67
0.74


OR Quart 3
0.69
0.29
0.45
0.68
1.7
0.62
2.7
0.26
0.74


p Value
0.33
0.063
0.041
0.28
0.48
0.20
0.011
0.041
0.50


95% CI of
0.33
0.078
0.21
0.33
0.40
0.30
1.3
0.071
0.30


OR Quart3
1.5
1.1
0.97
1.4
7.1
1.3
5.9
0.95
1.8


OR Quart 4
1.5
1.1
1.2
1.8
5.7
1.7
0
0.71
0.65


p Value
0.26
0.83
0.54
0.053
0.0064
0.12
na
0.48
0.36


95% CI of
0.76
0.46
0.64
0.99
1.6
0.88
na
0.28
0.26


OR Quart4
2.8
2.7
2.4
3.4
20
3.2
na
1.8
1.6
















TABLE 2





Comparison of marker levels in urine samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients that


did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0 or R) and in urine samples collected from subjects


at 0, 24 hours, and 48 hours prior to reaching stage I or F in Cohort 2.







Thrombomodulin











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





sCr or UO


Median
15800
20900
15800
20500
15800
16000


Average
18900
24000
18900
24500
18900
16700


Stdev
13700
14100
13700
19500
13700
11400


p(t-test)

0.088

0.036

0.53


Min
998
792
998
4340
998
3280


Max
69600
44300
69600
104000
69600
41300


n (Samp)
246
23
246
33
246
17


n (Patient)
159
23
159
33
159
17


sCr only


Median
nd
nd
16700
19100
16700
17800


Average
nd
nd
19500
35300
19500
22800


Stdev
nd
nd
13500
36900
13500
16000


p(t-test)
nd
nd

0.0075

0.53


Min
nd
nd
792
4340
792
4520


Max
nd
nd
74700
104000
74700
47800


n (Samp)
nd
nd
316
6
316
7


n (Patient)
nd
nd
187
6
187
7


UO only


Median
16300
22800
16300
21700
16300
16800


Average
19100
24600
19100
22900
19100
17800


Stdev
13900
13600
13900
14000
13900
11100


p(t-test)

0.074

0.17

0.72


Min
998
792
998
4810
998
3280


Max
69600
44300
69600
74700
69600
41300


n (Samp)
215
23
215
30
215
16


n (Patient)
133
23
133
30
133
16














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.61
nd
0.62
0.61
0.60
0.60
0.46
0.56
0.49


SE
0.065
nd
0.065
0.055
0.12
0.058
0.074
0.11
0.075


p
0.080
nd
0.057
0.050
0.43
0.076
0.63
0.62
0.92


nCohort 1
246
nd
215
246
316
215
246
316
215


nCohort 2
23
nd
23
33
6
30
17
7
16


Cutoff 1
13700
nd
13900
16100
14800
18100
9740
15000
12800


Sens 1
74%
nd
74%
73%
83%
70%
71%
71%
75%


Spec 1
45%
nd
43%
51%
43%
56%
33%
44%
41%


Cutoff 2
12900
nd
13000
12800
14800
12800
4500
9740
6280


Sens 2
83%
nd
83%
82%
83%
80%
82%
86%
81%


Spec 2
42%
nd
41%
42%
43%
41%
 7%
29%
15%


Cutoff 3
6240
nd
6240
5250
4270
6410
3280
4500
3280


Sens 3
91%
nd
91%
91%
100% 
90%
94%
100% 
94%


Spec 3
15%
nd
14%
10%
 7%
15%
 3%
 8%
 4%


Cutoff 4
22100
nd
22200
22100
24000
22200
22100
24000
22200


Sens 4
48%
nd
52%
42%
33%
47%
35%
29%
38%


Spec 4
70%
nd
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
28400
nd
28400
28400
29700
28400
28400
29700
28400


Sens 5
43%
nd
43%
21%
33%
23%
18%
29%
19%


Spec 5
80%
nd
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
37900
nd
38800
37900
38000
38800
37900
38000
38800


Sens 6
26%
nd
22%
12%
33%
 7%
 6%
29%
 6%


Spec 6
90%
nd
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
1.3
nd
2.5
1.5
0.99
1.3
2.1
2.0
1.7


p Value
0.73
nd
0.21
0.53
0.99
0.73
0.31
0.57
0.47


95% CI of
0.33
nd
0.61
0.41
0.061
0.32
0.50
0.18
0.39


OR Quart2
5.0
nd
10
5.7
16
5.0
8.8
23
7.6


OR Quart 3
1.0
nd
1.0
4.1
2.0
3.5
1.0
2.0
1.4


p Value
1.0
nd
1.0
0.019
0.57
0.040
1.0
0.57
0.70


95% CI of
0.24
nd
0.19
1.3
0.18
1.1
0.19
0.18
0.29


OR Quart3
4.2
nd
5.2
13
23
12
5.1
23
6.4


OR Quart 4
2.7
nd
3.7
2.4
2.0
2.4
1.8
2.0
1.4


p Value
0.11
nd
0.055
0.16
0.57
0.16
0.46
0.57
0.68


95% CI of
0.81
nd
0.97
0.70
0.18
0.70
0.40
0.18
0.30


OR Quart4
9.1
nd
14
8.2
23
8.3
7.6
23
6.5










Immunoglobulin A











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage
















Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2







sCr or UO



Median
801
1910
801
2620
801
1400



Average
1710
2680
1710
3390
1710
2220



Stdev
4190
2640
4190
3400
4190
2450



p(t-test)

0.16

0.0074

0.54



Min
1.00E−9
82.4
1.00E−9
152
1.00E−9
54.7



Max
96900
14200
96900
18500
96900
9330



n (Samp)
686
38
686
47
686
26



n (Patient)
282
38
282
47
282
26



sCr only



Median
924
2310
924
3170
924
2560



Average
1860
4420
1860
4200
1860
3620



Stdev
4680
4180
4680
4790
4680
3940



p(t-test)

0.10

0.074

0.18



Min
1.00E−9
866
1.00E−9
186
1.00E−9
121



Max
96900
14200
96900
18500
96900
13100



n (Samp)
896
9
896
13
896
13



n (Patient)
334
9
334
13
334
13



UO only



Median
866
1710
866
2610
866
1820



Average
1890
2600
1890
3430
1890
2580



Stdev
4740
2640
4740
3530
4740
2520



p(t-test)

0.38

0.042

0.49



Min
7.57
82.4
7.57
152
7.57
54.7



Max
96900
14200
96900
18500
96900
9330



n (Samp)
551
35
551
41
551
22



n (Patient)
201
35
201
41
201
22















0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.80
0.67
0.73
0.72
0.72
0.59
0.65
0.65


SE
0.049
0.089
0.051
0.043
0.081
0.046
0.060
0.083
0.065


p
6.1E−5
6.9E−4
0.0013
8.8E−8
0.0076
1.2E−6
0.13
0.071
0.025


nCohort 1
686
896
551
686
896
551
686
896
551


nCohort 2
38
9
35
47
13
41
26
13
22


Cutoff 1
1210
2110
1000
1700
918
1690
572
573
932


Sens 1
71%
78%
71%
70%
77%
71%
73%
77%
73%


Spec 1
62%
75%
53%
73%
50%
71%
38%
34%
52%


Cutoff 2
860
1500
860
918
878
1050
499
499
650


Sens 2
82%
89%
80%
81%
85%
80%
81%
85%
82%


Spec 2
52%
64%
50%
54%
48%
54%
33%
29%
40%


Cutoff 3
479
864
479
344
344
561
169
169
344


Sens 3
92%
100% 
91%
91%
92%
90%
92%
92%
91%


Spec 3
32%
48%
29%
23%
20%
35%
 9%
 9%
21%


Cutoff 4
1550
1760
1660
1550
1760
1660
1550
1760
1660


Sens 4
58%
78%
51%
70%
69%
71%
50%
62%
55%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
2170
2590
2470
2170
2590
2470
2170
2590
2470


Sens 5
47%
44%
40%
60%
62%
51%
35%
46%
27%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
4020
4290
4130
4020
4290
4130
4020
4290
4130


Sens 6
18%
33%
17%
28%
31%
20%
19%
23%
23%


Spec 6
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
1.3
>1.0
1.7
0.59
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0


p Value
0.70
<1.00
0.48
0.48
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0


95% CI of
0.30
>0.062
0.39
0.14
0.14
0.25
0.28
0.14
0.20


OR Quart2
6.1
na
7.2
2.5
7.2
4.1
3.5
7.2
5.0


OR Quart 3
4.2
>2.0
3.5
2.3
0.50
2.3
1.2
0.50
2.4


p Value
0.028
<0.57
0.061
0.13
0.57
0.17
0.76
0.57
0.21


95% CI of
1.2
>0.18
0.94
0.77
0.045
0.70
0.36
0.045
0.61


OR Quart3
15
na
13
6.7
5.5
7.7
4.0
5.5
9.5


OR Quart 4
7.0
>6.1
6.2
6.4
4.1
7.0
2.1
4.1
3.1


p Value
0.0021
<0.094
0.0041
1.9E−4
0.077
4.6E−4
0.20
0.077
0.094


95% CI of
2.0
>0.73
1.8
2.4
0.86
2.4
0.69
0.86
0.82


OR Quart4
24
na
22
17
19
21
6.2
19
12










Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage
















Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2







sCr or UO



Median
5.10
13.0
5.10
17.5
5.10
9.96



Average
62.4
38.8
62.4
112
62.4
65.7



Stdev
961
103
961
380
961
238



p(t-test)

0.88

0.73

0.99



Min
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9



Max
24700
621
24700
2510
24700
1230



n (Samp)
693
38
693
47
693
26



n (Patient)
285
38
285
47
285
26



sCr only



Median
5.89
23.2
5.89
17.1
5.89
1.80



Average
56.6
127
56.6
67.7
56.6
65.5



Stdev
846
222
846
165
846
137



p(t-test)

0.80

0.96

0.97



Min
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9



Max
24700
621
24700
609
24700
489



n (Samp)
904
9
904
13
904
13



n (Patient)
337
9
337
13
337
13



UO only



Median
5.10
15.9
5.10
17.5
5.10
14.2



Average
74.9
41.0
74.9
125
74.9
79.5



Stdev
1070
107
1070
405
1070
258



p(t-test)

0.85

0.76

0.98



Min
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9



Max
24700
621
24700
2510
24700
1230



n (Samp)
558
35
558
41
558
22



n (Patient)
204
35
204
41
204
22















0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.72
0.64
0.70
0.67
0.68
0.57
0.55
0.65


SE
0.050
0.097
0.052
0.044
0.083
0.047
0.059
0.083
0.065


p
0.0062
0.023
0.0063
8.6E−6
0.046
2.0E−4
0.22
0.57
0.025


nCohort 1
693
904
558
693
904
558
693
904
558


nCohort 2
38
9
35
47
13
41
26
13
22


Cutoff 1
9.70
19.1
9.95
10.1
5.09
9.47
0
0
9.14


Sens 1
71%
78%
71%
70%
77%
73%
100% 
100% 
73%


Spec 1
63%
76%
61%
65%
46%
60%
 0%
 0%
58%


Cutoff 2
0
0
0
5.09
4.93
0
0
0
0


Sens 2
100% 
100% 
100% 
81%
85%
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Spec 2
 0%
 0%
 0%
49%
45%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff 3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0


Sens 3
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 
100% 


Spec 3
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%


Cutoff 4
11.3
13.1
13.5
11.3
13.1
13.5
11.3
13.1
13.5


Sens 4
50%
78%
51%
66%
62%
61%
42%
38%
50%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
21.2
22.9
22.9
21.2
22.9
22.9
21.2
22.9
22.9


Sens 5
37%
56%
26%
45%
31%
46%
27%
38%
36%


Spec 5
80%
81%
80%
80%
81%
80%
80%
81%
80%


Cutoff 6
36.8
37.4
39.4
36.8
37.4
39.4
36.8
37.4
39.4


Sens 6
18%
33%
17%
23%
15%
27%
19%
38%
23%


Spec 6
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
4.1
>2.0
1.7
>12
3.0
0.41
0.36
0.39
0.19


p Value
0.076
<0.57
0.48
<0.019
0.34
0.21
0.14
0.27
0.14


95% CI of
0.86
>0.18
0.40
>1.5
0.31
0.10
0.095
0.076
0.022


OR Quart2
20
na
7.2
na
29
1.6
1.4
2.1
1.7


OR Quart 3
5.2
>0
3.5
>14
4.1
1.8
0.86
0.20
1.2


p Value
0.035
<na 
0.061
<0.011
0.21
0.25
0.78
0.14
0.76


95% CI of
1.1
>na 
0.94
>1.8
0.45
0.67
0.31
0.023
0.36


OR Quart3
24
na
13
na
37
4.6
2.4
1.7
4.1


OR Quart 4
9.8
>7.2
6.2
>26
5.1
2.9
0.99
1.00
2.1


p Value
0.0024
<0.066
0.0041
<0.0015
0.14
0.019
0.99
0.99
0.19


95% CI of
2.2
>0.88
1.8
>3.5
0.59
1.2
0.36
0.28
0.69


OR Quart4
43
na
22
na
44
7.2
2.7
3.5
6.2
















TABLE 3





Comparison of marker levels in urine samples collected within 12 hours of reaching


stage R from Cohort 1 (patients that reached, but did not progress beyond, RIFLE


stage R) and from Cohort 2 (patients that reached RIFLE stage I or F).







Immunoglobulin A











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only














Co-
Co-
Co-
Co-
Co-
Co-



hort 1
hort 2
hort 1
hort 2
hort 1
hort 2





Median
1220
1830
939
3190
1330
1810


Average
1600
2620
1620
3020
1760
2500


Stdev
1520
2500
1660
2070
1530
2660


p(t-test)

0.010

0.037

0.12


Min
68.3
179
68.3
277
142
179


Max
7410
13100
6000
6000
7410
13100


n (Samp)
76
33
29
10
61
23


n (Patient)
76
33
29
10
61
23












At Enrollment













sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only







AUC
0.64
0.69
0.59



SE
0.060
0.10
0.071



p
0.016
0.062
0.19



nCohort 1
76
29
61



nCohort 2
33
10
23



Cutoff 1
882
2690
918



Sens 1
73%
70%
74%



Spec 1
46%
83%
38%



Cutoff 2
631
631
779



Sens 2
82%
80%
83%



Spec 2
29%
34%
33%



Cutoff 3
457
277
457



Sens 3
91%
90%
91%



Spec 3
22%
24%
16%



Cutoff 4
1870
1630
1890



Sens 4
45%
70%
39%



Spec 4
71%
72%
70%



Cutoff 5
2410
2690
2640



Sens 5
45%
70%
39%



Spec 5
80%
83%
80%



Cutoff 6
3730
4660
3730



Sens 6
27%
20%
17%



Spec 6
91%
93%
90%



OR Quart 2
1.2
0.39
1.3



p Value
0.75
0.48
0.71



95% CI of
0.35
0.029
0.30



OR Quart2
4.3
5.2
5.8



OR Quart 3
0.80
0.88
1.3



p Value
0.74
0.91
0.71



95% CI of
0.21
0.096
0.30



OR Quart3
3.0
8.0
5.8



OR Quart 4
4.0
3.5
3.2



p Value
0.020
0.22
0.10



95% CI of
1.3
0.47
0.79



OR Quart4
13
26
13











Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only














Co-
Co-
Co-
Co-
Co-
Co-



hort 1
hort 2
hort 1
hort 2
hort 1
hort 2





Median
1.00E−9
13.4
1.00E−9
13.2
6.87
10.1


Average
15.2
33.4
24.9
40.0
16.0
37.2


Stdev
32.3
74.2
46.8
58.6
27.3
87.5


p(t-test)

0.072

0.41

0.090


Min
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9


Max
190
423
190
180
151
423


n (Samp)
78
34
30
10
62
24


n (Patient)
78
34
30
10
62
24












At Enrollment













sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only







AUC
0.65
0.68
0.58



SE
0.058
0.10
0.070



p
0.0079
0.080
0.23



nCohort 1
78
30
62



nCohort 2
34
10
24



Cutoff 1
5.50
5.10
3.86



Sens 1
71%
70%
71%



Spec 1
58%
60%
47%



Cutoff 2
0
1.30
0



Sens 2
100% 
90%
100% 



Spec 2
 0%
60%
 0%



Cutoff 3
0
1.30
0



Sens 3
100% 
90%
100% 



Spec 3
 0%
60%
 0%



Cutoff 4
10.9
9.95
20.9



Sens 4
50%
50%
38%



Spec 4
71%
70%
71%



Cutoff 5
21.2
45.5
23.3



Sens 5
41%
20%
38%



Spec 5
81%
80%
81%



Cutoff 6
43.3
71.4
39.9



Sens 6
12%
20%
17%



Spec 6
91%
90%
90%



OR Quart 2
>18
>2.5
0.94



p Value
<0.0078
<0.49
0.93



95% CI of
>2.1
>0.19
0.23



OR Quart2
na
na
3.9



OR Quart 3
>16
>15
1.0



p Value
<0.012
<0.028
1.0



95% CI of
>1.8
>1.3
0.24



OR Quart3
na
na
4.1



OR Quart 4
>24
>2.5
2.2



p Value
<0.0033
<0.49
0.24



95% CI of
>2.9
>0.19
0.59



OR Quart4
na
na
8.3

















TABLE 4





Comparison of the maximum marker levels in urine samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients that


did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0) and the maximum values in urine samples collected from subjects


between enrollment and 0, 24 hours, and 48 hours prior to reaching stage F in Cohort 2.







Thrombomodulin











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





sCr or UO


Median
13900
24200
13900
24200
13900
23800


Average
17000
26800
17000
26600
17000
25100


Stdev
12100
14100
12100
14300
12100
9300


p(t-test)

0.010

0.012

0.084


Min
2210
2090
2210
2090
2210
14900


Max
63300
50700
63300
50700
63300
40600


n (Samp)
97
12
97
12
97
7


n (Patient)
97
12
97
12
97
7


sCr only


Median
19300
22600
19300
21300
nd
nd


Average
22500
26800
22500
26300
nd
nd


Stdev
15300
19200
15300
19500
nd
nd


p(t-test)

0.50

0.55
nd
nd


Min
2210
2090
2210
2090
nd
nd


Max
74700
50700
74700
50700
nd
nd


n (Samp)
159
6
159
6
nd
nd


n (Patient)
159
6
159
6
nd
nd


UO only


Median
14400
26100
14400
26100
14400
25700


Average
17100
29600
17100
29600
17100
26800


Stdev
11900
10200
11900
10200
11900
8920


p(t-test)

0.0050

0.0050

0.052


Min
2210
19100
2210
19100
2210
16000


Max
59400
47800
59400
47800
59400
40600


n (Samp)
84
8
84
8
84
6


n (Patient)
84
8
84
8
84
6














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.73
0.56
0.81
0.72
0.55
0.81
0.75
nd
0.79


SE
0.086
0.12
0.094
0.087
0.12
0.094
0.11
nd
0.11


p
0.0091
0.61
8.2E−4
0.013
0.67
8.2E−4
0.020
nd
0.012


nCohort 1
97
159
84
97
159
84
97
nd
84


nCohort 2
12
6
8
12
6
8
7
nd
6


Cutoff 1
18900
14800
22200
18900
14800
22200
19900
nd
19900


Sens 1
75%
83%
75%
75%
83%
75%
71%
nd
83%


Spec 1
65%
39%
76%
65%
38%
76%
69%
nd
68%


Cutoff 2
16800
14800
19900
14800
14800
19900
15900
nd
19900


Sens 2
83%
83%
88%
83%
83%
88%
86%
nd
83%


Spec 2
63%
39%
68%
55%
38%
68%
59%
nd
68%


Cutoff 3
14800
0
18100
14800
0
18100
14800
nd
15900


Sens 3
92%
100% 
100% 
92%
100% 
100% 
100% 
nd
100% 


Spec 3
55%
 0%
62%
53%
 0%
62%
55%
nd
57%


Cutoff 4
20500
28400
20700
20500
28400
20700
20500
nd
20700


Sens 4
58%
33%
75%
58%
33%
75%
57%
nd
67%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
nd
70%


Cutoff 5
25700
33700
25600
25700
33700
25600
25700
nd
25600


Sens 5
42%
33%
50%
42%
33%
50%
43%
nd
50%


Spec 5
80%
81%
81%
80%
81%
81%
80%
nd
81%


Cutoff 6
33200
44300
32500
33200
44300
32500
33200
nd
32500


Sens 6
25%
33%
38%
25%
33%
38%
14%
nd
33%


Spec 6
91%
91%
90%
91%
91%
90%
91%
nd
90%


OR Quart 2
0
2.1
>0
1.0
2.1
>0
>0
nd
>0


p Value
na
0.56
<na 
1.0
0.56
<na 
<na 
nd
<na 


95% CI of
na
0.18
>na 
0.059
0.18
>na 
>na 
nd
>na 


OR Quart2
na
24
na
17
24
na
na
nd
na


OR Quart 3
5.9
1.0
>3.4
4.5
1.0
>3.4
>4.7
nd
>3.5


p Value
0.12
1.0
<0.30
0.19
1.0
<0.30
<0.18
nd
<0.30


95% CI of
0.64
0.060
>0.33
0.47
0.060
>0.33
>0.49
nd
>0.33


OR Quart3
54
17
na
43
17
na
na
nd
na


OR Quart 4
7.1
2.0
>6.4
7.1
2.0
>6.4
>3.4
nd
>3.3


p Value
0.080
0.58
<0.10
0.080
0.58
<0.10
<0.30
nd
<0.32


95% CI of
0.79
0.17
>0.68
0.79
0.17
>0.68
>0.33
nd
>0.32


OR Quart4
63
23
na
63
23
na
na
nd
na










Immunoglobulin A











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage
















Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2







sCr or UO



Median
853
4060
853
4040
853
3130



Average
2340
5270
2340
5060
2340
3860



Stdev
7330
4310
7330
4330
7330
2550



p(t-test)

0.073

0.096

0.50



Min
1.00E−9
120
1.00E−9
120
1.00E−9
567



Max
96900
18500
96900
18500
96900
8110



n (Samp)
195
21
195
21
195
11



n (Patient)
195
21
195
21
195
11



sCr only



Median
1280
4060
1280
4040
1280
2670



Average
2550
5920
2550
4720
2550
2610



Stdev
6110
5500
6110
4930
6110
1320



p(t-test)

0.073

0.25

0.98



Min
1.00E−9
120
1.00E−9
120
1.00E−9
567



Max
96900
18500
96900
18500
96900
4060



n (Samp)
295
11
295
11
295
6



n (Patient)
295
11
295
11
295
6



UO only



Median
946
6000
946
4060
946
4060



Average
2640
5890
2640
5720
2640
4120



Stdev
8830
4830
8830
4880
8830
2770



p(t-test)

0.16

0.19

0.62



Min
14.8
567
14.8
567
14.8
567



Max
96900
18500
96900
18500
96900
8110



n (Samp)
130
15
130
15
130
9



n (Patient)
130
15
130
15
130
9















0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.81
0.74
0.84
0.80
0.71
0.83
0.78
0.66
0.78


SE
0.059
0.087
0.066
0.059
0.089
0.067
0.083
0.12
0.093


p
1.5E−7
0.0054
3.2E−7
4.1E−7
0.021
9.0E−7
6.2E−4
0.19
0.0029


nCohort 1
195
295
130
195
295
130
195
295
130


nCohort 2
21
11
15
21
11
15
11
6
9


Cutoff 1
2470
3130
2300
2470
3030
2210
2210
1890
1890


Sens 1
71%
73%
73%
71%
73%
73%
73%
83%
78%


Spec 1
78%
75%
77%
78%
75%
77%
77%
63%
72%


Cutoff 2
2210
3030
2210
1900
2210
1900
1900
1890
932


Sens 2
81%
82%
80%
81%
82%
80%
82%
83%
89%


Spec 2
77%
75%
77%
74%
66%
72%
74%
63%
50%


Cutoff 3
1530
561
1530
1530
561
1530
934
561
561


Sens 3
90%
91%
93%
90%
91%
93%
91%
100% 
100% 


Spec 3
67%
28%
65%
67%
28%
65%
53%
28%
38%


Cutoff 4
1610
2620
1680
1610
2620
1680
1610
2620
1680


Sens 4
86%
82%
87%
86%
73%
87%
82%
50%
78%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
2650
3760
2620
2650
3760
2620
2650
3760
2620


Sens 5
67%
64%
60%
67%
55%
60%
55%
33%
56%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
4960
6000
4780
4960
6000
4780
4960
6000
4780


Sens 6
48%
18%
53%
38%
 9%
47%
36%
 0%
44%


Spec 6
90%
93%
90%
90%
93%
90%
90%
93%
90%


OR Quart 2
1.0
0.99
>1.0
1.0
0.99
>1.0
>1.0
>1.0
>2.1


p Value
1.0
0.99
<0.98
1.0
0.99
<0.98
<1.0
<0.99
<0.56


95% CI of
0.061
0.061
>0.062
0.061
0.061
>0.062
>0.061
>0.062
>0.18


OR Quart2
16
16
na
16
16
na
na
na
na


OR Quart 3
5.4
2.0
>5.8
5.4
3.1
>5.8
>2.1
>3.1
>1.0


p Value
0.13
0.57
<0.12
0.13
0.33
<0.12
<0.55
<0.33
<1.0


95% CI of
0.61
0.18
>0.64
0.61
0.31
>0.64
>0.18
>0.32
>0.060


OR Quart3
48
23
na
48
30
na
na
na
na


OR Quart 4
19
7.5
>12
19
6.3
>12
>9.3
>2.0
>7.0


p Value
0.0057
0.063
<0.024
0.0057
0.091
<0.024
<0.039
<0.57
<0.079


95% CI of
2.3
0.90
>1.4
2.3
0.74
>1.4
>1.1
>0.18
>0.80


OR Quart4
150
63
na
150
54
na
na
na
na










Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage
















Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2







sCr or UO



Median
6.17
41.5
6.17
36.8
6.17
16.3



Average
144
221
144
218
144
47.9



Stdev
1760
550
1760
550
1760
54.8



p(t-test)

0.84

0.85

0.86



Min
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9



Max
24700
2510
24700
2510
24700
180



n (Samp)
196
21
196
21
196
11



n (Patient)
196
21
196
21
196
11



sCr only



Median
10.0
41.5
10.0
23.2
10.0
15.9



Average
120
138
120
130
120
120



Stdev
1440
214
1440
214
1440
193



p(t-test)

0.97

0.98

1.00



Min
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
7.82



Max
24700
621
24700
609
24700
489



n (Samp)
297
11
297
11
297
6



n (Patient)
297
11
297
11
297
6



UO only



Median
7.77
48.9
7.77
48.9
7.77
43.4



Average
207
300
207
297
207
56.1



Stdev
2150
639
2150
639
2150
57.7



p(t-test)

0.87

0.87

0.83



Min
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9
1.00E−9



Max
24700
2510
24700
2510
24700
180



n (Samp)
132
15
132
15
132
9



n (Patient)
132
15
132
15
132
9















0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.81
0.75
0.83
0.78
0.71
0.82
0.76
0.71
0.77


SE
0.059
0.086
0.066
0.061
0.089
0.069
0.086
0.12
0.094


p
2.1E−7
0.0032
4.2E−7
3.8E−6
0.019
4.0E−6
0.0029
0.084
0.0038


nCohort 1
196
297
132
196
297
132
196
297
132


nCohort 2
21
11
15
21
11
15
11
6
9


Cutoff 1
16.3
16.3
22.9
15.7
13.5
16.3
12.8
12.7
15.7


Sens 1
76%
73%
73%
71%
73%
73%
73%
83%
78%


Spec 1
73%
64%
76%
72%
61%
68%
70%
60%
67%


Cutoff 2
15.7
13.5
16.3
12.7
12.7
15.7
12.7
12.7
12.2


Sens 2
81%
82%
80%
81%
82%
80%
82%
83%
89%


Spec 2
72%
61%
68%
69%
60%
67%
69%
60%
65%


Cutoff 3
12.7
12.7
12.2
7.64
7.72
12.2
7.64
7.72
0


Sens 3
90%
91%
93%
90%
91%
93%
91%
100% 
100% 


Spec 3
69%
60%
65%
53%
42%
65%
53%
42%
 0%


Cutoff 4
14.5
22.9
17.9
14.5
22.9
17.9
14.5
22.9
17.9


Sens 4
81%
55%
73%
71%
55%
60%
64%
33%
56%


Spec 4
70%
71%
70%
70%
71%
70%
70%
71%
70%


Cutoff 5
23.3
29.6
24.3
23.3
29.6
24.3
23.3
29.6
24.3


Sens 5
57%
55%
67%
52%
45%
60%
45%
33%
56%


Spec 5
81%
80%
80%
81%
80%
80%
81%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
37.4
49.3
39.7
37.4
49.3
39.7
37.4
49.3
39.7


Sens 6
52%
36%
60%
48%
27%
60%
45%
33%
56%


Spec 6
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
>2.1
0
0
>3.2
1.0
0
>1.0
>1.0
0


p Value
<0.56
na
na
<0.32
1.0
na
<1.0
<1.0
na


95% CI of
>0.18
na
na
>0.32
0.061
na
>0.061
>0.061
na


OR Quart2
na
na
na
na
16
na
na
na
na


OR Quart 3
>6.8
4.2
4.2
>8.0
4.2
5.5
>5.4
>3.1
3.2


p Value
<0.082
0.21
0.21
<0.055
0.21
0.13
<0.13
<0.33
0.33


95% CI of
>0.78
0.45
0.45
>0.95
0.45
0.61
>0.61
>0.31
0.32


OR Quart3
na
38
40
na
38
49
na
na
32


OR Quart 4
>17
6.4
13
>14
5.3
11
>5.4
>2.0
5.5


p Value
<0.0078
0.089
0.018
<0.014
0.13
0.026
<0.13
<0.57
0.13


95% CI of
>2.1
0.75
1.6
>1.7
0.60
1.3
>0.61
>0.18
0.61


OR Quart4
na
55
110
na
46
94
na
na
50
















TABLE 5





Comparison of marker levels in EDTA samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0)


and in EDTA samples collected from subjects at 0, 24 hours, and 48 hours prior to reaching stage R, I or F in Cohort 2.







Thrombomodulin











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





sCr or UO


Median
7030
6920
7030
7610
7030
6900


Average
7260
7730
7260
8310
7260
8380


Stdev
3070
3480
3070
3720
3070
3480


p(t-test)

0.42

0.066

0.12


Min
27.6
3260
27.6
3350
27.6
4660


Max
17700
18700
17700
19600
17700
17500


n (Samp)
105
45
105
50
105
24


n (Patient)
97
45
97
50
97
24


sCr only


Median
6790
7270
6790
6950
6790
8650


Average
7230
9510
7230
9020
7230
9880


Stdev
2980
4990
2980
4560
2980
4140


p(t-test)

0.010

0.026

0.0049


Min
27.6
3350
27.6
3920
27.6
4800


Max
19600
18700
19600
18500
19600
17500


n (Samp)
246
13
246
16
246
11


n (Patient)
160
13
160
16
160
11


UO only


Median
7390
7780
7390
7690
7390
6920


Average
7790
7800
7790
8520
7790
8120


Stdev
2990
3470
2990
3730
2990
3080


p(t-test)

0.99

0.22

0.65


Min
1660
3260
1660
3350
1660
4660


Max
18400
18700
18400
19600
18400
17500


n (Samp)
96
40
96
44
96
21


n (Patient)
84
40
84
44
84
21














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.52
0.63
0.49
0.57
0.59
0.55
0.57
0.69
0.52


SE
0.052
0.085
0.055
0.050
0.077
0.053
0.067
0.090
0.070


p
0.68
0.14
0.80
0.17
0.23
0.37
0.32
0.031
0.81


nCohort 1
105
246
96
105
246
96
105
246
96


nCohort 2
45
13
40
50
16
44
24
11
21


Cutoff 1
5320
6270
5350
6170
5550
6260
6230
6800
6570


Sens 1
71%
77%
70%
70%
75%
70%
71%
73%
71%


Spec 1
24%
43%
18%
39%
33%
35%
40%
50%
38%


Cutoff 2
5020
5270
5100
5100
5220
5820
5020
6630
5680


Sens 2
80%
85%
80%
80%
81%
82%
83%
82%
81%


Spec 2
22%
28%
17%
23%
26%
27%
22%
47%
25%


Cutoff 3
3790
4340
4380
4720
4460
4740
4800
5680
4940


Sens 3
91%
92%
90%
90%
94%
91%
92%
91%
90%


Spec 3
13%
14%
 9%
20%
16%
11%
21%
35%
14%


Cutoff 4
8220
8350
8640
8220
8350
8640
8220
8350
8640


Sens 4
36%
46%
30%
44%
44%
39%
42%
55%
33%


Spec 4
70%
70%
71%
70%
70%
71%
70%
70%
71%


Cutoff 5
9170
9590
9900
9170
9590
9900
9170
9590
9900


Sens 5
29%
46%
20%
30%
44%
27%
33%
36%
24%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
11000
11300
12300
11000
11300
12300
11000
11300
12300


Sens 6
13%
23%
 8%
16%
25%
11%
21%
36%
 5%


Spec 6
90%
90%
91%
90%
90%
91%
90%
90%
91%


OR Quart 2
0.85
0.98
1.1
0.85
1.7
1.3
1.8
3.1
1.3


p Value
0.74
0.99
0.79
0.75
0.48
0.60
0.35
0.33
0.74


95% CI of
0.32
0.13
0.41
0.32
0.39
0.47
0.52
0.31
0.34


OR Quart2
2.3
7.2
3.2
2.3
7.4
3.8
6.3
31
4.7


OR Quart 3
0.67
1.5
0.41
0.85
0.32
1.5
0.36
2.0
0.77


p Value
0.44
0.66
0.15
0.75
0.33
0.44
0.24
0.57
0.72


95% CI of
0.24
0.24
0.12
0.32
0.033
0.54
0.064
0.18
0.18


OR Quart3
1.9
9.3
1.4
2.3
3.2
4.2
2.0
23
3.2


OR Quart 4
1.1
3.2
1.7
1.5
2.5
1.5
2.0
5.2
1.2


p Value
0.87
0.17
0.31
0.39
0.21
0.44
0.26
0.14
0.79


95% CI of
0.41
0.61
0.61
0.59
0.61
0.54
0.60
0.60
0.32


OR Quart4
2.8
16
4.6
3.8
9.9
4.2
6.9
46
4.5










Immunoglobulin A











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





sCr or UO


Median
3010000
2690000
3010000
2980000
3010000
3380000


Average
3450000
3130000
3450000
3620000
3450000
3060000


Stdev
1860000
1580000
1860000
1970000
1860000
1260000


p(t-test)

0.55

0.72

0.57


Min
941000
1280000
941000
1140000
941000
840000


Max
9300000
6440000
9300000
8610000
9300000
4670000


n (Samp)
55
15
55
24
55
8


n (Patient)
54
15
54
24
54
8


UO only


Median
3010000
2690000
3010000
3060000
3010000
3410000


Average
3210000
3230000
3210000
3690000
3210000
3430000


Stdev
1600000
1570000
1600000
2000000
1600000
1620000


p(t-test)

0.96

0.27

0.71


Min
941000
1280000
941000
1140000
941000
840000


Max
7760000
6440000
7760000
8610000
7760000
6370000


n (Samp)
49
13
49
23
49
9


n (Patient)
47
13
47
23
47
9














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.46
nd
0.50
0.53
nd
0.56
0.47
nd
0.56


SE
0.086
nd
0.091
0.071
nd
0.074
0.11
nd
0.11


p
0.68
nd
0.98
0.67
nd
0.41
0.82
nd
0.58


nCohort 1
55
nd
49
55
nd
49
55
nd
49


nCohort 2
15
nd
13
24
nd
23
8
nd
9


Cutoff 1
2350000
nd
2350000
2570000
nd
2570000
2150000
nd
2150000


Sens 1
73%
nd
77%
71%
nd
74%
75%
nd
78%


Spec 1
31%
nd
31%
42%
nd
41%
29%
nd
29%


Cutoff 2
2040000
nd
2040000
2150000
nd
2150000
2040000
nd
2040000


Sens 2
80%
nd
85%
83%
nd
83%
88%
nd
89%


Spec 2
27%
nd
27%
29%
nd
29%
27%
nd
27%


Cutoff 3
1280000
nd
1690000
2000000
nd
2000000
0
nd
0


Sens 3
93%
nd
92%
92%
nd
91%
100% 
nd
100% 


Spec 3
 5%
nd
20%
25%
nd
24%
 0%
nd
 0%


Cutoff 4
4360000
nd
4050000
4360000
nd
4050000
4360000
nd
4050000


Sens 4
20%
nd
23%
25%
nd
26%
12%
nd
33%


Spec 4
71%
nd
71%
71%
nd
71%
71%
nd
71%


Cutoff 5
4710000
nd
4380000
4710000
nd
4380000
4710000
nd
4380000


Sens 5
13%
nd
23%
21%
nd
26%
 0%
nd
22%


Spec 5
80%
nd
82%
80%
nd
82%
80%
nd
82%


Cutoff 6
6010000
nd
5310000
6010000
nd
5310000
6010000
nd
5310000


Sens 6
13%
nd
15%
12%
nd
17%
 0%
nd
11%


Spec 6
91%
nd
92%
91%
nd
92%
91%
nd
92%


OR Quart 2
1.1
nd
0.67
2.5
nd
2.2
5.0
nd
2.0


p Value
0.94
nd
0.68
0.21
nd
0.28
0.17
nd
0.59


95% CI of
0.18
nd
0.095
0.60
nd
0.52
0.49
nd
0.16


OR Quart2
6.2
nd
4.7
10
nd
9.6
51
nd
25


OR Quart 3
2.5
nd
2.6
1.6
nd
1.8
2.1
nd
3.5


p Value
0.26
nd
0.25
0.52
nd
0.46
0.55
nd
0.30


95% CI of
0.51
nd
0.52
0.37
nd
0.40
0.17
nd
0.32


OR Quart3
12
nd
13
6.9
nd
7.7
26
nd
39


OR Quart 4
1.1
nd
0.67
1.6
nd
1.8
1.1
nd
3.2


p Value
0.94
nd
0.68
0.52
nd
0.46
0.96
nd
0.33


95% CI of
0.18
nd
0.095
0.37
nd
0.40
0.061
nd
0.30


OR Quart4
6.2
nd
4.7
6.9
nd
7.7
19
nd
36










Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage
















Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2







sCr or UO



Median
1910
2090
1910
2100
1910
1570



Average
2160
2570
2160
2580
2160
2150



Stdev
1130
1970
1130
1680
1130
1340



p(t-test)

0.12

0.068

0.96



Min
653
982
653
567
653
664



Max
4740
13000
4740
10400
4740
5300



n (Samp)
105
45
105
50
105
24



n (Patient)
97
45
97
50
97
24



sCr only



Median
2020
1930
2020
2630
2020
1580



Average
2280
3250
2280
3440
2280
2030



Stdev
1280
3300
1280
2690
1280
1310



p(t-test)

0.018

0.0014

0.54



Min
515
1020
515
567
515
664



Max
9920
13000
9920
10400
9920
5300



n (Samp)
246
13
246
16
246
11



n (Patient)
160
13
160
16
160
11



UO only



Median
1910
2300
1910
2240
1910
2270



Average
2220
2470
2220
2550
2220
2770



Stdev
1190
1230
1190
1260
1190
2660



p(t-test)

0.27

0.14

0.14



Min
653
982
653
567
653
664



Max
5300
5910
5300
5510
5300
13000



n (Samp)
96
40
96
44
96
21



n (Patient)
84
40
84
44
84
21















0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.55
0.54
0.56
0.57
0.61
0.58
0.48
0.43
0.53


SE
0.052
0.084
0.055
0.050
0.077
0.053
0.066
0.092
0.071


p
0.35
0.66
0.29
0.18
0.15
0.12
0.73
0.43
0.65


nCohort 1
105
246
96
105
246
96
105
246
96


nCohort 2
45
13
40
50
16
44
24
11
21


Cutoff 1
1490
1340
1660
1550
1520
1590
1420
1450
1460


Sens 1
71%
77%
70%
70%
75%
73%
71%
73%
76%


Spec 1
37%
24%
44%
37%
34%
42%
33%
30%
34%


Cutoff 2
1330
1330
1310
1340
1240
1420
1040
1090
1310


Sens 2
80%
85%
80%
80%
81%
82%
83%
82%
81%


Spec 2
28%
23%
27%
29%
20%
33%
15%
15%
27%


Cutoff 3
1090
1090
1120
1090
1150
1020
809
1040
809


Sens 3
91%
92%
90%
90%
94%
91%
92%
91%
90%


Spec 3
17%
15%
16%
17%
16%
12%
11%
14%
10%


Cutoff 4
2650
2650
2660
2650
2650
2660
2650
2650
2660


Sens 4
31%
31%
38%
40%
50%
43%
21%
18%
29%


Spec 4
70%
70%
71%
70%
70%
71%
70%
70%
71%


Cutoff 5
3230
3230
3270
3230
3230
3270
3230
3230
3270


Sens 5
18%
31%
22%
28%
44%
27%
21%
18%
29%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
4010
4010
4110
4010
4010
4110
4010
4010
4110


Sens 6
 9%
23%
 8%
16%
31%
11%
17%
 9%
19%


Spec 6
90%
90%
91%
90%
90%
91%
90%
90%
91%


OR Quart 2
1.3
0.73
1.2
1.4
0.73
2.1
1.0
0.50
1.6


p Value
0.65
0.68
0.78
0.50
0.68
0.18
0.96
0.58
0.49


95% CI of
0.45
0.16
0.39
0.52
0.16
0.71
0.27
0.044
0.41


OR Quart2
3.5
3.4
3.5
3.7
3.4
6.2
4.0
5.7
6.5


OR Quart 3
1.7
0.48
1.8
1.1
0.48
1.8
1.9
2.7
1.3


p Value
0.31
0.40
0.29
0.85
0.41
0.28
0.33
0.25
0.72


95% CI of
0.61
0.084
0.61
0.40
0.086
0.61
0.54
0.50
0.31


OR Quart3
4.6
2.7
5.1
3.0
2.7
5.5
6.5
14
5.4


OR Quart 4
1.4
0.98
1.6
1.9
1.8
2.7
1.3
1.5
1.6


p Value
0.49
0.98
0.42
0.18
0.36
0.072
0.70
0.64
0.53


95% CI of
0.52
0.24
0.53
0.74
0.50
0.92
0.35
0.25
0.39


OR Quart4
4.0
4.1
4.5
5.1
6.5
7.8
4.7
9.6
6.2
















TABLE 6





Comparison of marker levels in EDTA samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients that


did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0 or R) and in EDTA samples collected from subjects at 0,


24 hours, and 48 hours prior to reaching stage I or F in Cohort 2.







Thrombomodulin











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
6880
6570
6880
6760
6880
6860


Average
7410
7840
7410
8180
7410
7290


Stdev
3240
3680
3240
4320
3240
2420


p(t-test)

0.59

0.27

0.89


Min
27.6
3590
27.6
3640
27.6
3690


Max
18700
17400
18700
19600
18700
11700


n (Samp)
230
19
230
26
230
15


n (Patient)
158
19
158
26
158
15














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
7090
6570
7090
7410
7090
6960


Average
7740
8030
7740
8450
7740
7310


Stdev
3270
3830
3270
4180
3270
2460


p(t-test)

0.71

0.31

0.63


Min
1660
3590
1660
3640
1660
3690


Max
20100
17400
20100
19600
20100
11700


n (Samp)
201
19
201
26
201
14


n (Patient)
133
19
133
26
133
14














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.51
nd
  0.49
  0.52
nd
  0.53
  0.51
nd
  0.48


SE
  0.069
nd
  0.070
  0.060
nd
  0.061
  0.078
nd
  0.081


P
  0.87
nd
  0.89
  0.78
nd
  0.65
  0.87
nd
  0.84


nCohort 1
 230
nd
 201
 230
nd
 201
 230
nd
 201


nCohort 2
  19
nd
  19
  26
nd
  26
  15
nd
  14


Cutoff 1
 5320
nd
 5270
 4720
nd
 5430
 5680
nd
 6230


Sens 1
  74%
nd
  74%
  73%
nd
  73%
  73%
nd
  71%


Spec 1
  26%
nd
  21%
  18%
nd
  24%
  33%
nd
  37%


Cutoff 2
 4900
nd
 4900
 4530
nd
 4590
 4800
nd
 4720


Sens 2
  84%
nd
  84%
  81%
nd
  81%
  80%
nd
  86%


Spec 2
  20%
nd
  15%
  16%
nd
  11%
  19%
nd
  13%


Cutoff 3
 4170
nd
 4170
 4120
nd
 4170
 4170
nd
 4170


Sens 3
  95%
nd
  95%
  92%
nd
  92%
  93%
nd
  93%


Spec 3
  12%
nd
  8%
  11%
nd
  8%
  12%
nd
  8%


Cutoff 4
 8280
nd
 8540
 8280
nd
 8540
 8280
nd
 8540


Sens 4
  32%
nd
  32%
  42%
nd
  46%
  47%
nd
  29%


Spec 4
  70%
nd
  70%
  70%
nd
  70%
  70%
nd
  70%


Cutoff 5
 9760
nd
 9910
 9760
nd
 9910
 9760
nd
 9910


Sens 5
  26%
nd
  26%
  31%
nd
  31%
  20%
nd
  21%


Spec 5
  80%
nd
  80%
  80%
nd
  80%
  80%
nd
  80%


Cutoff 6
11800
nd
12100
11800
nd
12100
11800
nd
12100


Sens 6
  16%
nd
  21%
  12%
nd
  12%
  0%
nd
  0%


Spec 6
  90%
nd
  90%
  90%
nd
  90%
  90%
nd
  90%


OR Quart
  1.6
nd
  0.31
  0.52
nd
  0.67
  1.0
nd
  1.4


2
  0.51
nd
  0.16
  0.26
nd
  0.52
  1.0
nd
  0.70


p Value
  0.42
nd
  0.059
  0.16
nd
  0.20
  0.24
nd
  0.29


95% CI of
  5.8
nd
  1.6
  1.6
nd
  2.3
  4.2
nd
  6.4


OR











Quart2











OR Quart
  1.0
nd
  0.82
  0.20
nd
  0.67
  0.74
nd
  1.0


3
  1.0
nd
  0.75
  0.043
nd
  0.52
  0.70
nd
  1.0


p Value
  0.24
nd
  0.23
  0.041
nd
  0.20
  0.16
nd
  0.19


95% CI of
  4.2
nd
  2.9
  0.95
nd
  2.3
  3.4
nd
  5.2


OR











Quart3











OR Quart
  1.2
nd
  1.0
  1.1
nd
  1.3
  0.98
nd
  1.4


4
  0.75
nd
  1.0
  0.80
nd
  0.62
  0.98
nd
  0.68


p Value
  0.32
nd
  0.30
  0.43
nd
  0.45
  0.23
nd
  0.30


95% CI of
  4.9
nd
  3.3
  3.0
nd
  3.8
  4.1
nd
  6.5


OR











Quart4










Immunoglobulin A











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
nd
nd
3020000
3300000
nd
nd


Average
nd
nd
3470000
4130000
nd
nd


Stdev
nd
nd
1730000
2000000
nd
nd


p(t-test)
nd
nd

0.20
nd
nd


Min
nd
nd
840000
1450000
nd
nd


Max
nd
nd
9300000
8610000
nd
nd


n (Samp)
nd
nd
111
13
nd
nd


n (Patient)
nd
nd
93
13
nd
nd














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
nd
nd
3020000
3300000
nd
nd


Average
nd
nd
3400000
4180000
nd
nd


Stdev
nd
nd
1630000
2050000
nd
nd


p(t-test)
nd
nd

0.14
nd
nd


Min
nd
nd
840000
1450000
nd
nd


Max
nd
nd
8600000
8610000
nd
nd


n (Samp)
nd
nd
98
11
nd
nd


n (Patient)
nd
nd
79
11
nd
nd














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
nd
nd
nd
   0.61
nd
   0.63
nd
nd
nd


SE
nd
nd
nd
   0.087
nd
   0.094
nd
nd
nd


P
nd
nd
nd
   0.21
nd
   0.17
nd
nd
nd


nCohort 1
nd
nd
nd
  111
nd
   98
nd
nd
nd


nCohort 2
nd
nd
nd
   13
nd
   11
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 1
nd
nd
nd
2710000
nd
3190000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 1
nd
nd
nd
   77%
nd
   73%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 1
nd
nd
nd
   44%
nd
   56%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 2
nd
nd
nd
2580000
nd
2710000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 2
nd
nd
nd
   85%
nd
   82%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 2
nd
nd
nd
   39%
nd
   44%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 3
nd
nd
nd
2150000
nd
2580000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 3
nd
nd
nd
   92%
nd
   91%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 3
nd
nd
nd
   24%
nd
   39%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 4
nd
nd
nd
4250000
nd
4080000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 4
nd
nd
nd
   46%
nd
   45%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 4
nd
nd
nd
   70%
nd
   70%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 5
nd
nd
nd
4710000
nd
4660000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 5
nd
nd
nd
   31%
nd
   27%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 5
nd
nd
nd
   80%
nd
   81%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 6
nd
nd
nd
5880000
nd
5880000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 6
nd
nd
nd
   15%
nd
   18%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 6
nd
nd
nd
   90%
nd
   91%
nd
nd
nd


OR Quart
nd
nd
nd
   1.0
nd
   2.1
nd
nd
nd


2
nd
nd
nd
   1.0
nd
   0.56
nd
nd
nd


p Value
nd
nd
nd
   0.13
nd
   0.18
nd
nd
nd


95% CI of
nd
nd
nd
   7.6
nd
   24
nd
nd
nd


OR











Quart2











OR Quart
nd
nd
nd
   2.8
nd
   4.5
nd
nd
nd


3
nd
nd
nd
   0.24
nd
   0.19
nd
nd
nd


p Value
nd
nd
nd
   0.50
nd
   0.47
nd
nd
nd


95% CI of
nd
nd
nd
   16
nd
   43
nd
nd
nd


OR











Quart3











OR Quart
nd
nd
nd
   2.1
nd
   4.3
nd
nd
nd


4
nd
nd
nd
   0.40
nd
   0.20
nd
nd
nd


p Value
nd
nd
nd
   0.36
nd
   0.45
nd
nd
nd


95% CI of
nd
nd
nd
   13
nd
   42
nd
nd
nd


OR











Quart4










Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
2060
2090
2060
2150
2060
1950


Average
2360
2660
2360
2650
2360
2420


Stdev
1470
2120
1470
1690
1470
1390


p(t-test)

0.40

0.35

0.89


Min
515
541
515
626
515
762


Max
13000
9920
13000
8090
13000
4970


n (Samp)
230
19
230
26
230
15


n (Patient)
158
19
158
26
158
15














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
2100
2120
2100
2150
2100
2110


Average
2400
2820
2400
2660
2400
2500


Stdev
1540
2210
1540
1720
1540
1400


p(t-test)

0.27

0.43

0.82


Min
515
541
515
626
515
762


Max
13000
9920
13000
8090
13000
4970


n (Samp)
201
19
201
26
201
14


n (Patient)
133
19
133
26
133
14














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.52
nd
  0.54
  0.54
nd
  0.54
  0.51
nd
  0.52


SE
  0.070
nd
  0.071
  0.061
nd
  0.061
  0.077
nd
  0.081


p
  0.78
nd
  0.60
  0.46
nd
  0.55
  0.93
nd
  0.78


nCohort 1
 230
nd
 201
 230
nd
 201
 230
nd
 201


nCohort 2
 19
nd
 19
 26
nd
 26
 15
nd
 14


Cutoff 1
1460
nd
1510
1590
nd
1280
1390
nd
1390


Sens 1
 74%
nd
 74%
 73%
nd
 73%
 73%
nd
 71%


Spec 1
 30%
nd
 33%
 36%
nd
 20%
 27%
nd
 27%


Cutoff 2
1330
nd
1330
1150
nd
1150
1280
nd
1280


Sens 2
 89%
nd
 84%
 85%
nd
 85%
 80%
nd
 86%


Spec 2
 22%
nd
 22%
 15%
nd
 16%
 20%
nd
 20%


Cutoff 3
1190
nd
1190
 842
nd
 842
 960
nd
 960


Sens 3
 95%
nd
 95%
 92%
nd
 92%
 93%
nd
 93%


Spec 3
 17%
nd
 17%
  7%
nd
  7%
  9%
nd
  9%


Cutoff 4
2700
nd
2890
2700
nd
2890
2700
nd
2890


Sens 4
 26%
nd
 21%
 42%
nd
 42%
 40%
nd
 36%


Spec 4
 70%
nd
 70%
 70%
nd
 70%
 70%
nd
 70%


Cutoff 5
3270
nd
3350
3270
nd
3350
3270
nd
3350


Sens 5
 21%
nd
 21%
 38%
nd
 38%
 27%
nd
 29%


Spec 5
 80%
nd
 80%
 80%
nd
 80%
 80%
nd
 80%


Cutoff 6
4110
nd
4310
4110
nd
4310
4110
nd
4310


Sens 6
 11%
nd
 16%
 12%
nd
 12%
 20%
nd
  7%


Spec 6
 90%
nd
 90%
 90%
nd
 90%
 90%
nd
 90%


OR Quart
  0.79
nd
  1.3
  0.69
nd
  0.58
  1.0
nd
  0.72


2
  0.73
nd
  0.73
  0.55
nd
  0.36
  1.0
nd
  0.68


p Value
  0.20
nd
  0.32
  0.21
nd
  0.18
  0.24
nd
  0.15


95% CI of
  3.1
nd
  5.0
  2.3
nd
  1.9
  4.2
nd
  3.4


OR











Quart2











OR Quart
  1.2
nd
  1.6
  0.54
nd
  0.22
  0.48
nd
  0.47


3
  0.75
nd
  0.51
  0.35
nd
  0.062
  0.41
nd
  0.40


p Value
  0.35
nd
  0.42
  0.15
nd
  0.044
  0.085
nd
  0.083


95% CI of
  4.2
nd
  5.9
  2.0
nd
  1.1
  2.7
nd
  2.7


OR











Quart3











OR Quart
  0.77
nd
  1.0
  1.5
nd
  1.4
  1.2
nd
  1.2


4
  0.71
nd
  1.0
  0.44
nd
  0.48
  0.75
nd
  0.75


p Value
  0.20
nd
  0.24
  0.54
nd
  0.53
  0.32
nd
  0.32


95% CI of
  3.0
nd
  4.2
  4.2
nd
  3.9
  4.9
nd
  4.9


OR











Quart4
















TABLE 7





Comparison of marker levels in EDTA samples collected within 12 hours of reaching


stage R from Cohort 1 (patients that reached, but did not progress beyond, RIFLE stage R) and


from Cohort 2 (patients that reached RIFLE stage I or F).







Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
2200
2850
nd
nd
2380
2530


Average
2660
3010
nd
nd
2550
2910


Stdev
1960
1900
nd
nd
1360
2020


p(t-test)

0.50
nd
nd

0.45


Min
1020
626
nd
nd
1020
626


Max
13000
8090
nd
nd
7100
8090


n (Samp)
50
19
nd
nd
41
14


n(Patient)
50
19
nd
nd
41
14












At Enrollment











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.57
nd
  0.54


SE
  0.079
nd
  0.091


p
  0.38
nd
  0.69


nCohort 1
 50
nd
 41


nCohort 2
 19
nd
 14


Cutoff 1
1910
nd
1920


Sens 1
 74%
nd
 71%


Spec 1
 40%
nd
 39%


Cutoff 2
1150
nd
 707


Sens 2
 84%
nd
 86%


Spec 2
 14%
nd
  0%


Cutoff 3
 626
nd
 626


Sens 3
 95%
nd
 93%


Spec 3
  0%
nd
  0%


Cutoff 4
2990
nd
3050


Sens 4
 47%
nd
 43%


Spec 4
 70%
nd
 71%


Cutoff 5
3410
nd
3350


Sens 5
 47%
nd
 43%


Spec 5
 80%
nd
 80%


Cutoff 6
4040
nd
3970


Sens 6
 26%
nd
 21%


Spec 6
 90%
nd
 90%


OR Quart 2
  0.74
nd
  0.61


p Value
  0.70
nd
  0.58


95% CI of
  0.16
nd
  0.11


OR Quart2
  3.4
nd
  3.5


OR Quart 3
  0.15
nd
  0.17


p Value
  0.10
nd
  0.14


95% CI of
  0.015
nd
  0.016


OR Quart3
  1.5
nd
  1.8


OR Quart 4
  2.4
nd
  1.7


p Value
  0.22
nd
  0.52


95% CI of
  0.60
nd
  0.35


OR Quart4
  9.7
nd
  8.2
















TABLE 8





Comparison of the maximum marker levels in EDTA samples collected from Cohort 1


(patients that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0) and the maximum values in EDTA samples


collected from subjects between enrollment and 0, 24 hours, and 48 hours prior to reaching stage


F in Cohort 2.







Thrombomodulin











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
7010
10800
7010
10900
7010
10100


Average
7320
11700
7320
12000
7320
10400


Stdev
3090
4710
3090
4860
3090
4590


p(t-test)

6.5E−5

4.5E−5

0.022


Min
1660
6570
1660
6570
1660
5600


Max
17700
19600
17700
19600
17700
18500


n (Samp)
97
11
97
10
97
6


n (Patient)
97
11
97
10
97
6














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
7190
11200
7190
11200
7190
10100


Average
7780
12800
7780
12800
7780
10400


Stdev
3090
5030
3090
5030
3090
4590


p(t-test)

9.2E−5

9.2E−5

0.052


Min
1660
6690
1660
6690
1660
5600


Max
18400
19600
18400
19600
18400
18500


n (Samp)
84
8
84
8
84
6


n (Patient)
84
8
84
8
84
6














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.79
nd
  0.80
  0.79
nd
  0.80
  0.72
nd
  0.68


SE
  0.084
nd
  0.096
  0.087
nd
  0.096
  0.12
nd
  0.12


P
6.3E-4
nd
  0.0015
8.5E-4
nd
  0.0015
  0.072
nd
  0.15


nCohort 1
  97
nd
  84
  97
nd
  84
  97
nd
  84


nCohort 2
  11
nd
  8
  10
nd
  8
  6
nd
  6


Cutoff 1
 8640
nd
10600
10600
nd
10600
 6570
nd
 6570


Sens 1
  73%
nd
  75%
  70%
nd
  75%
  83%
nd
  83%


Spec 1
  74%
nd
  83%
  87%
nd
  83%
  42%
nd
  38%


Cutoff 2
 7150
nd
 7150
 7150
nd
 7150
 6570
nd
 6570


Sens 2
  82%
nd
  88%
  80%
nd
  88%
  83%
nd
  83%


Spec 2
  54%
nd
  50%
  54%
nd
  50%
  42%
nd
  38%


Cutoff 3
 6570
nd
 6570
 6570
nd
 6570
 5500
nd
 5430


Sens 3
  91%
nd
 100%
  90%
nd
 100%
 100%
nd
 100%


Spec 3
  42%
nd
  38%
  42%
nd
  38%
  29%
nd
  21%


Cutoff 4
 8220
nd
 8460
 8220
nd
 8460
 8220
nd
 8460


Sens 4
  73%
nd
  75%
  70%
nd
  75%
  67%
nd
  67%


Spec 4
  70%
nd
  70%
  70%
nd
  70%
  70%
nd
  70%


Cutoff 5
 9250
nd
 9910
 9250
nd
 9910
 9250
nd
 9910


Sens 5
  64%
nd
  75%
  70%
nd
  75%
  67%
nd
  50%


Spec 5
  80%
nd
  81%
  80%
nd
  81%
  80%
nd
  81%


Cutoff 6
11300
nd
12400
11300
nd
12400
11300
nd
12400


Sens 6
  36%
nd
  38%
  40%
nd
  38%
  33%
nd
  17%


Spec 6
  91%
nd
  90%
  91%
nd
  90%
  91%
nd
  90%


OR Quart
  >2.2
nd
  >2.2
  >2.1
nd
  >2.2
  >2.1
nd
  0.95


2
  <0.54
nd
  <0.53
  <0.56
nd
  <0.53
  <0.56
nd
  0.97


p Value
  >0.18
nd
  >0.18
  >0.18
nd
  >0.18
  >0.18
nd
  0.056


95% CI of
na
nd
na
na
nd
na
na
nd
  16


OR











Quart2











OR Quart
  >2.2
nd
  >0
  >1.0
nd
  >0
  >0
nd
  1.0


3
  <0.54
nd
<na
  <1.0
nd
<na
<na
nd
  1.0


p Value
  >0.18
nd
>na
  >0.059
nd
>na
>na
nd
  0.059


95% CI of
na
nd
na
na
nd
na
na
nd
  17


OR











Quart3











OR Quart
  >9.4
nd
  >8.1
  >9.1
nd
  >8.1
  >4.5
nd
  3.1


4
  <0.043
nd
  <0.063
  <0.047
nd
  <0.063
  <0.19
nd
  0.34


p Value
  >1.1
nd
  >0.89
  >1.0
nd
  >0.89
  >0.47
nd
  0.30


95% CI of
na
nd
na
na
nd
na
na
nd
  33


OR











Quart4










Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
2010
3600
2010
3830
2010
3830


Average
2210
3810
2210
3830
2210
3780


Stdev
1160
1800
1160
1900
1160
2080


p(t-test)

8.2E−5

1.4E−4

0.0027


Min
653
887
653
887
653
762


Max
4740
6760
4740
6760
4740
6270


n (Samp)
97
11
97
10
97
6


n (Patient)
97
11
97
10
97
6














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
1960
3830
1960
3830
1960
3830


Average
2280
3770
2280
3770
2280
3780


Stdev
1220
2100
1220
2100
1220
2080


p(t-test)

0.0029

0.0029

0.0070


Min
653
887
653
887
653
762


Max
5300
6760
5300
6760
5300
6270


n (Samp)
84
8
84
8
84
6


n (Patient)
84
8
84
8
84
6














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.78
nd
  0.73
  0.77
nd
  0.73
  0.74
nd
  0.73


SE
  0.085
nd
  0.11
  0.090
nd
  0.11
  0.12
nd
  0.12


p
  0.0012
nd
  0.030
  0.0028
nd
  0.030
  0.041
nd
  0.053


nCohort 1
 97
nd
 84
 97
nd
 84
 97
nd
 84


nCohort 2
 11
nd
  8
 10
nd
  8
  6
nd
  6


Cutoff 1
3270
nd
2240
3270
nd
2240
2260
nd
2240


Sens 1
 73%
nd
 75%
 70%
nd
 75%
 83%
nd
 83%


Spec 1
 81%
nd
 60%
 81%
nd
 60%
 62%
nd
 60%


Cutoff 2
2260
nd
1660
2260
nd
1660
2260
nd
2240


Sens 2
 82%
nd
 88%
 80%
nd
 88%
 83%
nd
 83%


Spec 2
 62%
nd
 43%
 62%
nd
 43%
 62%
nd
 60%


Cutoff 3
1590
nd
 809
1590
nd
 809
 730
nd
 730


Sens 3
 91%
nd
 100%
 90%
nd
 100%
 100%
nd
 100%


Spec 3
 40%
nd
 11%
 40%
nd
 11%
  7%
nd
  7%


Cutoff 4
2660
nd
3020
2660
nd
3020
2660
nd
3020


Sens 4
 73%
nd
 62%
 70%
nd
 62%
 67%
nd
 67%


Spec 4
 70%
nd
 70%
 70%
nd
 70%
 70%
nd
 70%


Cutoff 5
3270
nd
3440
3270
nd
3440
3270
nd
3440


Sens 5
 73%
nd
 62%
 70%
nd
 62%
 67%
nd
 67%


Spec 5
 80%
nd
 81%
 80%
nd
 81%
 80%
nd
 81%


Cutoff 6
4110
nd
4310
4110
nd
4310
4110
nd
4310


Sens 6
 45%
nd
 38%
 50%
nd
 38%
 50%
nd
 33%


Spec 6
 91%
nd
 90%
 91%
nd
 90%
 91%
nd
 90%


OR Quart
  1.0
nd
  1.0
  0.96
nd
  1.0
  0
nd
  0


2
  1.0
nd
  1.0
  0.98
nd
  1.0
na
nd
na


p Value
  0.059
nd
  0.059
  0.057
nd
  0.059
na
nd
na


95% CI of
 17
nd
 17
 16
nd
 17
na
nd
na


OR











Quart2











OR Quart
  1.0
nd
  1.0
  0.96
nd
  1.0
  0.96
nd
  1.0


3
  1.0
nd
  1.0
  0.98
nd
  1.0
  0.98
nd
  1.0


p Value
  0.059
nd
  0.059
  0.057
nd
  0.059
  0.057
nd
  0.059


95% CI of
 17
nd
 17
 16
nd
 17
 16
nd
 17


OR











Quart3











OR Quart
 11
nd
  6.1
  8.8
nd
  6.1
  4.4
nd
  4.4


4
  0.030
nd
  0.11
  0.051
nd
  0.11
  0.20
nd
  0.20


p Value
  1.3
nd
  0.65
  0.99
nd
  0.65
  0.45
nd
  0.45


95% CI of
 95
nd
 57
 77
nd
 57
 42
nd
 43


OR











Quart4
















TABLE 9





Comparison of marker levels in urine samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients that did


not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0, R, or I) and in urine samples collected from Cohort 2


(subjects who progress to RIFLE stage F) at 0, 24 hours, and 48 hours prior to the subject


reaching RIFLE stage I.







Thrombomodulin











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
17000
14000
17000
20000
nd
nd


Average
19000
19000
19000
20000
nd
nd


Stdev
14000
19000
14000
13000
nd
nd


p(t-test)

0.97

0.92
nd
nd


Min
790
2100
790
4300
nd
nd


Max
100000
51000
100000
48000
nd
nd


n (Samp)
333
7
333
10
nd
nd


n (Patient)
191
7
191
10
nd
nd














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
nd
nd
17000
22000
nd
nd


Average
nd
nd
20000
22000
nd
nd


Stdev
nd
nd
14000
13000
nd
nd


p(t-test)
nd
nd

0.57
nd
nd


Min
nd
nd
790
4900
nd
nd


Max
nd
nd
75000
48000
nd
nd


n (Samp)
nd
nd
292
8
nd
nd


n (Patient)
nd
nd
161
8
nd
nd














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.43
nd
nd
  0.53
nd
  0.59
nd
nd
nd


SE
  0.11
nd
nd
  0.094
nd
  0.11
nd
nd
nd


P
  0.55
nd
nd
  0.73
nd
  0.40
nd
nd
nd


nCohort 1
 333
nd
nd
 333
nd
 292
nd
nd
nd


nCohort 2
  7
nd
nd
  10
nd
  8
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 1
 6400
nd
nd
15000
nd
19000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 1
  71%
nd
nd
  70%
nd
  75%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 1
  16%
nd
nd
  44%
nd
  56%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 2
 4500
nd
nd
11000
nd
11000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 2
  86%
nd
nd
  80%
nd
  88%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 2
  8%
nd
nd
  33%
nd
  31%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 3
 1800
nd
nd
 4800
nd
 4800
nd
nd
nd


Sens 3
 100%
nd
nd
  90%
nd
 100%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 3
  2%
nd
nd
  10%
nd
  8%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 4
23000
nd
nd
23000
nd
24000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 4
  29%
nd
nd
  40%
nd
  50%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 4
  70%
nd
nd
  70%
nd
  70%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 5
29000
nd
nd
29000
nd
29000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 5
  29%
nd
nd
  10%
nd
  12%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 5
  80%
nd
nd
  80%
nd
  80%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 6
38000
nd
nd
38000
nd
38000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 6
  29%
nd
nd
  10%
nd
  12%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 6
  90%
nd
nd
  90%
nd
  90%
nd
nd
nd


OR Quart
  0
nd
nd
  0.99
nd
  1.0
nd
nd
nd


2
na
nd
nd
  0.99
nd
  1.0
nd
nd
nd


p Value
na
nd
nd
  0.14
nd
  0.061
nd
nd
nd


95% CI of
na
nd
nd
  7.2
nd
  16
nd
nd
nd


OR











Quart2











OR Quart
  1.0
nd
nd
  2.0
nd
  4.2
nd
nd
nd


3
  1.0
nd
nd
  0.42
nd
  0.21
nd
nd
nd


p Value
  0.14
nd
nd
  0.36
nd
  0.45
nd
nd
nd


95% CI of
  7.3
nd
nd
  11
nd
  38
nd
nd
nd


OR











Quart3











OR Quart
  1.5
nd
nd
  0.99
nd
  2.0
nd
nd
nd


4
  0.65
nd
nd
  0.99
nd
  0.57
nd
nd
nd


p Value
  0.25
nd
nd
  0.14
nd
  0.18
nd
nd
nd


95% CI of
  9.3
nd
nd
  7.2
nd
  23
nd
nd
nd


OR











Quart4










Immunoglobulin A











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
920
2300
920
3800
920
2300


Average
1800
3700
1800
5600
1800
3300


Stdev
3800
3600
3800
4900
3800
3000


p(t-test)

0.067

1.8E−4

0.33


Min
1.0E−9
120
1.0E−9
410
1.0E−9
500


Max
97000
14000
97000
18000
97000
8100


n (Samp)
930
14
930
15
930
6


n (Patient)
342
14
342
15
342
6














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKIstage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
970
3700
nd
nd
nd
nd


Average
2000
4900
nd
nd
nd
nd


Stdev
4700
4600
nd
nd
nd
nd


p(t-test)

0.098
nd
nd
nd
nd


Min
1.0E−9
120
nd
nd
nd
nd


Max
97000
14000
nd
nd
nd
nd


n (Samp)
966
7
nd
nd
nd
nd


n (Patient)
352
7
nd
nd
nd
nd














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
1000
2300
1000
3800
nd
nd


Average
1900
4000
1900
5900
nd
nd


Stdev
4100
4300
4100
5200
nd
nd


p(t-test)

0.13

6.3E−4
nd
nd


Min
7.6
780
7.6
410
nd
nd


Max
97000
14000
97000
18000
nd
nd


n (Samp)
764
9
764
13
nd
nd


n (Patient)
251
9
251
13
nd
nd














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.73
  0.76
  0.73
  0.83
nd
  0.82
  0.71
nd
nd


SE
  0.077
  0.11
  0.096
  0.065
nd
  0.072
  0.12
nd
nd


p
  0.0031
  0.017
  0.017
4.5E−7
nd
1.2E−5
  0.077
nd
nd


nCohort 1
 930
 966
 764
 930
nd
 764
 930
nd
nd


nCohort 2
 14
  7
  9
 15
nd
 13
  6
nd
nd


Cutoff 1
1900
2300
1300
2300
nd
1900
 930
nd
nd


Sens 1
 71%
 71%
 78%
 73%
nd
 77%
 83%
nd
nd


Spec 1
 73%
 76%
 57%
 78%
nd
 71%
 50%
nd
nd


Cutoff 2
 820
2100
 820
1900
nd
1700
 930
nd
nd


Sens 2
 86%
 86%
 89%
 80%
nd
 85%
 83%
nd
nd


Spec 2
 46%
 73%
 43%
 73%
nd
 67%
 50%
nd
nd


Cutoff 3
 780
 120
 780
1500
nd
1500
 500
nd
nd


Sens 3
 93%
 100%
 100%
 93%
nd
 92%
 100%
nd
nd


Spec 3
 44%
  5%
 41%
 65%
nd
 63%
 29%
nd
nd


Cutoff 4
1700
1900
1800
1700
nd
1800
1700
nd
nd


Sens 4
 71%
 86%
 67%
 80%
nd
 77%
 67%
nd
nd


Spec 4
 70%
 70%
 70%
 70%
nd
 70%
 70%
nd
nd


Cutoff 5
2600
2700
2700
2600
nd
2700
2600
nd
nd


Sens 5
 43%
 57%
 33%
 67%
nd
 62%
 33%
nd
nd


Spec 5
 80%
 80%
 80%
 80%
nd
 80%
 80%
nd
nd


Cutoff 6
4100
4700
4100
4100
nd
4100
4100
nd
nd


Sens 6
 29%
 43%
 33%
 40%
nd
 46%
 33%
nd
nd


Spec 6
 90%
 90%
 90%
 90%
nd
 90%
 90%
nd
nd


OR Quart
  2.0
  0
 >2.0
  0
nd
  0
 >1.0
nd
nd


2
  0.57
na
 <0.57
na
nd
na
 <1.00
nd
nd


p Value
  0.18
na
 >0.18
na
nd
na
 >0.062
nd
nd


95% CI of
 22
na
na
na
nd
na
na
nd
nd


OR











Quart2











OR Quart
  3.0
  1.0
 >2.0
  3.0
nd
  3.0
 >1.0
nd
nd


3
  0.34
  1.0
 <0.57
  0.34
nd
  0.34
 <1.00
nd
nd


p Value
  0.31
  0.062
 >0.18
  0.31
nd
  0.31
 >0.062
nd
nd


95% CI of
 29
 16
na
 29
nd
 29
na
nd
nd


OR











Quart3











OR Quart
  8.2
  5.1
 >5.1
 11
nd
  9.3
 >4.1
nd
nd


4
  0.048
  0.14
 <0.14
  0.020
nd
  0.035
 <0.21
nd
nd


p Value
  1.0
  0.59
 >0.59
  1.5
nd
  1.2
 >0.45
nd
nd


95% CI of
 66
 44
na
 89
nd
 74
na
nd
nd


OR











Quart4










Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
5.8
26
5.8
37
5.8
8.1


Average
52
71
52
280
52
34


Stdev
830
160
830
640
830
47


p(t-test)

0.93

0.28

0.96


Min
1.0E−9
1.0E−9
1.0E−9
1.0E−9
1.0E−9
1.0E−9


Max
25000
620
25000
2500
25000
100


n (Samp)
938
14
938
15
938
6


n (Patient)
345
14
345
15
345
6














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
6.4
23
nd
nd
nd
nd


Average
55
160
nd
nd
nd
nd


Stdev
820
250
nd
nd
nd
nd


p(t-test)

0.74
nd
nd
nd
nd


Min
1.0E−9
1.0E−9
nd
nd
nd
nd


Max
25000
620
nd
nd
nd
nd


n (Samp)
974
7
nd
nd
nd
nd


n (Patient)
355
7
nd
nd
nd
nd














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
6.5
35
6.5
49
nd
nd


Average
61
100
61
320
nd
nd


Stdev
910
200
910
690
nd
nd


p(t-test)

0.89

0.30
nd
nd


Min
1.0E−9
1.0E−9
1.0E−9
1.0E−9
nd
nd


Max
25000
620
25000
2500
nd
nd


n (Samp)
772
9
772
13
nd
nd


n (Patient)
254
9
254
13
nd
nd














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.68
 0.69
 0.75
 0.79
nd
 0.80
 0.56
nd
nd


SE
 0.080
 0.11
 0.095
 0.070
nd
 0.074
 0.12
nd
nd


p
 0.021
 0.094
 0.0098
2.9E−5
nd
4.6E−5
 0.60
nd
nd


nCohort 1
938
974
772
938
nd
772
938
nd
nd


nCohort 2
 14
 7
 9
 15
nd
 13
 6
nd
nd


Cutoff 1
 16
 19
 23
 16
nd
 16
 0
nd
nd


Sens 1
 71%
 71%
 78%
 73%
nd
 77%
100%
nd
nd


Spec 1
 73%
 75%
 80%
 73%
nd
 72%
 0%
nd
nd


Cutoff 2
 0
 0
 0
 12
nd
 12
 0
nd
nd


Sens 2
100%
100%
100%
 80%
nd
 85%
100%
nd
nd


Spec 2
 0%
 0%
 0%
 69%
nd
 67%
 0%
nd
nd


Cutoff 3
 0
 0
 0
 5.1
nd
 5.1
 0
nd
nd


Sens 3
100%
100%
100%
 93%
nd
 92%
100%
nd
nd


Spec 3
 0%
 0%
 0%
 46%
nd
 46%
 0%
nd
nd


Cutoff 4
 13
 14
 15
 13
nd
 15
 13
nd
nd


Sens 4
 71%
 71%
 78%
 73%
nd
 77%
 50%
nd
nd


Spec 4
 70%
 70%
 70%
 70%
nd
 70%
 70%
nd
nd


Cutoff 5
 22
 23
 23
 22
nd
 23
 22
nd
nd


Sens 5
 57%
 57%
 78%
 60%
nd
 62%
 33%
nd
nd


Spec 5
 80%
 80%
 80%
 80%
nd
 80%
 80%
nd
nd


Cutoff 6
 37
 39
 39
 37
nd
 39
 37
nd
nd


Sens 6
 36%
 43%
 44%
 47%
nd
 54%
 33%
nd
nd


Spec 6
 90%
 90%
 90%
 90%
nd
 90%
 90%
nd
nd


OR Quart
 0
 >2.0
 >2.0
 >3.0
nd
 1.0
 >3.0
nd
nd


2
na
 <0.57
 <0.57
 <0.34
nd
 1.0
 <0.34
nd
nd


p Value
na
 >0.18
 >0.18
 >0.31
nd
 0.062
 >0.31
nd
nd


95% CI of
na
na
na
na
nd
 16
na
nd
nd


OR











Quart2











OR Quart
 0.25
 >0
 >0
 >3.0
nd
 3.0
 >1.0
nd
nd


3
 0.21
<na
<na
 <0.34
nd
 0.34
 <1.00
nd
nd


p Value
 0.027
>na
>na
 >0.31
nd
 0.31
 >0.062
nd
nd


95% CI of
 2.2
na
na
na
nd
 29
na
nd
nd


OR











Quart3











OR Quart
 2.3
 >5.1
 >7.2
 >9.3
nd
 8.3
 >2.0
nd
nd


4
 0.17
 <0.14
 <0.066
 <0.035
nd
 0.048
 <0.57
nd
nd


p Value
 0.70
 >0.59
 >0.88
 >1.2
nd
 1.0
 >0.18
nd
nd


95% CI of
 7.6
na
na
na
nd
 67
na
nd
nd


OR











Quart4
















TABLE 10





Comparison of marker levels in EDTA samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients that


did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0, R, or I) and in EDTA samples collected from Cohort 2


(subjects who progress to RIFLE stage F) at 0, 24 hours, and 48 hours prior to the subject


reaching RIFLE stage I.







Thrombomodulin











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
6800
8700
6800
14000
nd
nd


Average
7400
9700
7400
14000
nd
nd


Stdev
3200
4500
3200
4300
nd
nd


p(t-test)

0.055

9.8E−7
nd
nd


Min
28
5300
28
9100
nd
nd


Max
20000
17000
20000
20000
nd
nd


n (Samp)
306
7
306
6
nd
nd


n (Patient)
190
7
190
6
nd
nd














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
nd
nd
6900
14000
nd
nd


Average
nd
nd
7600
14000
nd
nd


Stdev
nd
nd
3100
4300
nd
nd


p(t-test)
nd
nd

1.5E−6
nd
nd


Min
nd
nd
1700
9100
nd
nd


Max
nd
nd
20000
20000
nd
nd


n (Samp)
nd
nd
269
6
nd
nd


n (Patient)
nd
nd
161
6
nd
nd














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.66
nd
nd
  0.91
nd
  0.90
nd
nd
nd


SE
  0.11
nd
nd
  0.082
nd
  0.084
nd
nd
nd


P
  0.17
nd
nd
7.9E−7
nd
2.0E−6
nd
nd
nd


nCohort 1
 306
nd
nd
 306
nd
 269
nd
nd
nd


nCohort 2
  7
nd
nd
  6
nd
  6
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 1
 6600
nd
nd
11000
nd
11000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 1
  71%
nd
nd
  83%
nd
  83%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 1
  46%
nd
nd
  85%
nd
  84%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 2
 5500
nd
nd
11000
nd
11000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 2
  86%
nd
nd
  83%
nd
  83%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 2
  31%
nd
nd
  85%
nd
  84%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 3
 5300
nd
nd
 9100
nd
 9100
nd
nd
nd


Sens 3
 100%
nd
nd
 100%
nd
 100%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 3
  27%
nd
nd
  76%
nd
  75%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 4
 8300
nd
nd
 8300
nd
 8500
nd
nd
nd


Sens 4
  57%
nd
nd
 100%
nd
 100%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 4
  70%
nd
nd
  70%
nd
  70%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 5
 9800
nd
nd
 9800
nd
 9900
nd
nd
nd


Sens 5
  43%
nd
nd
  83%
nd
  83%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 5
  80%
nd
nd
  80%
nd
  80%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 6
12000
nd
nd
12000
nd
12000
nd
nd
nd


Sens 6
  29%
nd
nd
  50%
nd
  50%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 6
  90%
nd
nd
  90%
nd
  90%
nd
nd
nd


OR Quart
  >3.1
nd
nd
  >0
nd
  >0
nd
nd
nd


2
  <0.33
nd
nd
<na
nd
<na
nd
nd
nd


p Value
  >0.32
nd
nd
>na
nd
>na
nd
nd
nd


95% CI of
na
nd
nd
na
nd
na
nd
nd
nd


OR











Quart2











OR Quart
  >1.0
nd
nd
  >0
nd
  >1.0
nd
nd
nd


3
  <0.99
nd
nd
<na
nd
  <1.0
nd
nd
nd


p Value
  >0.062
nd
nd
>na
nd
  >0.061
nd
nd
nd


95% CI of
na
nd
nd
na
nd
na
nd
nd
nd


OR











Quart3











OR Quart
  >3.1
nd
nd
  >6.5
nd
  >5.3
nd
nd
nd


4
  <0.33
nd
nd
  <0.087
nd
  <0.13
nd
nd
nd


p Value
  >0.31
nd
nd
  >0.76
nd
  >0.60
nd
nd
nd


95% CI of
na
nd
nd
na
nd
na
nd
nd
nd


OR











Quart4










Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
2000
3600
2000
3400
nd
nd


Average
2300
3600
2300
2900
nd
nd


Stdev
1500
1500
1500
1400
nd
nd


p(t-test)

0.034

0.34
nd
nd


Min
510
1300
510
890
nd
nd


Max
13000
5700
13000
4600
nd
nd


n (Samp)
306
7
306
6
nd
nd


n (Patient)
190
7
190
6
nd
nd














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
nd
nd
2100
3400
nd
nd


Average
nd
nd
2400
2900
nd
nd


Stdev
nd
nd
1600
1400
nd
nd


p(t-test)
nd
nd

0.42
nd
nd


Min
nd
nd
510
890
nd
nd


Max
nd
nd
13000
4600
nd
nd


n (Samp)
nd
nd
269
6
nd
nd


n (Patient)
nd
nd
161
6
nd
nd














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.75
nd
nd
  0.65
nd
  0.64
nd
nd
nd


SE
  0.11
nd
nd
  0.12
nd
  0.12
nd
nd
nd


P
  0.021
nd
nd
  0.23
nd
  0.26
nd
nd
nd


nCohort 1
 306
nd
nd
 306
nd
 269
nd
nd
nd


nCohort 2
  7
nd
nd
  6
nd
  6
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 1
3300
nd
nd
1700
nd
1700
nd
nd
nd


Sens 1
 71%
nd
nd
 83%
nd
 83%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 1
 81%
nd
nd
 39%
nd
 38%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 2
2100
nd
nd
1700
nd
1700
nd
nd
nd


Sens 2
 86%
nd
nd
 83%
nd
 83%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 2
 54%
nd
nd
 39%
nd
 38%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 3
1300
nd
nd
 870
nd
 870
nd
nd
nd


Sens 3
 100%
nd
nd
 100%
nd
 100%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 3
 23%
nd
nd
  7%
nd
  7%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 4
2700
nd
nd
2700
nd
2800
nd
nd
nd


Sens 4
 71%
nd
nd
 67%
nd
 67%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 4
 70%
nd
nd
 70%
nd
 70%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 5
3300
nd
nd
3300
nd
3400
nd
nd
nd


Sens 5
 71%
nd
nd
 67%
nd
 50%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 5
 80%
nd
nd
 80%
nd
 80%
nd
nd
nd


Cutoff 6
4100
nd
nd
4100
nd
4200
nd
nd
nd


Sens 6
 29%
nd
nd
 17%
nd
 17%
nd
nd
nd


Spec 6
 90%
nd
nd
 90%
nd
 90%
nd
nd
nd


OR Quart
  0
nd
nd
  1.0
nd
  0.99
nd
nd
nd


2
na
nd
nd
  1.0
nd
  0.99
nd
nd
nd


p Value
na
nd
nd
  0.061
nd
  0.060
nd
nd
nd


95% CI of
na
nd
nd
 16
nd
 16
nd
nd
nd


OR











Quart2











OR Quart
  1.0
nd
nd
  0
nd
  0
nd
nd
nd


3
  1.0
nd
nd
na
nd
na
nd
nd
nd


p Value
  0.061
nd
nd
na
nd
na
nd
nd
nd


95% CI of
  16
nd
nd
na
nd
na
nd
nd
nd


OR











Quart3











OR Quart
  5.2
nd
nd
  4.2
nd
  4.1
nd
nd
nd


4
  0.14
nd
nd
  0.21
nd
  0.21
nd
nd
nd


p Value
  0.59
nd
nd
  0.45
nd
  0.45
nd
nd
nd


95% CI of
 46
nd
nd
 38
nd
 38
nd
nd
nd


OR











Quart4
















TABLE 11





Comparison of marker levels in enroll urine samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients


that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0 or R within 48 hrs) and in enroll urine samples


collected from Cohort 2 (subjects reaching RIFLE stage I or F within 48 hrs). Enroll samples


from patients already at RIFLE stage I or F were included in Cohort 2.







Thrombomodulin











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
16000
23000
nd
nd
16000
23000


Average
18000
22000
nd
nd
18000
23000


Stdev
14000
12000
nd
nd
14000
12000


p(t-test)

0.18
nd
nd

0.098


Min
1000
2100
nd
nd
1000
4900


Max
70000
51000
nd
nd
70000
51000


n (Samp)
109
26
nd
nd
91
24


n (Patient)
109
26
nd
nd
91
24












At Enrollment











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.62
nd
  0.65


SE
  0.064
nd
  0.066


P
  0.054
nd
  0.024


nCohort 1
 109
nd
  91


nCohort 2
  26
nd
  24


Cutoff 1
15000
nd
19000


Sens 1
  73%
nd
  71%


Spec 1
  49%
nd
  62%


Cutoff 2
13000
nd
13000


Sens 2
  81%
nd
  83%


Spec 2
  43%
nd
  44%


Cutoff 3
 5100
nd
 6200


Sens 3
  92%
nd
  92%


Spec 3
  12%
nd
  14%


Cutoff 4
22000
nd
22000


Sens 4
  50%
nd
  54%


Spec 4
  71%
nd
  70%


Cutoff 5
27000
nd
26000


Sens 5
  23%
nd
  25%


Spec 5
  81%
nd
  80%


Cutoff 6
36000
nd
36000


Sens 6
  15%
nd
  17%


Spec 6
  91%
nd
  90%


OR Quart 2
  0.97
nd
  0.96


p Value
  0.96
nd
  0.96


95% CI of
  0.22
nd
  0.18


OR Quart2
  4.2
nd
  5.2


OR Quart 3
  3.0
nd
  4.4


p Value
  0.090
nd
  0.041


95% CI of
  0.84
nd
  1.1


OR Quart3
  11
nd
  18


OR Quart 4
  2.2
nd
  3.2


p Value
  0.23
nd
  0.12


95% CI of
  0.60
nd
  0.75


OR Quart4
  8.3
nd
  14










Immunoglobulin A











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
780
1900
900
4100
790
2300


Average
1900
3100
2000
5300
2100
3200


Stdev
6000
3400
5600
5600
7000
3300


p(t-test)

0.13

0.047

0.26


Min
1.0E−9
8.8
1.0E−9
57
7.6
8.8


Max
97000
18000
97000
18000
97000
18000


n (Samp)
292
59
336
12
203
53


n (Patient)
292
59
336
12
203
53












At Enrollment











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.67
  0.67
  0.69


SE
  0.041
  0.087
  0.044


P
3.7E−5
  0.050
1.0E−5


nCohort 1
 292
 336
 203


nCohort 2
 59
 12
 53


Cutoff 1
 960
1300
 960


Sens 1
 71%
 75%
 72%


Spec 1
 55%
 57%
 54%


Cutoff 2
 570
 170
 650


Sens 2
 81%
 83%
 81%


Spec 2
 40%
  7%
 42%


Cutoff 3
 340
 120
 390


Sens 3
 92%
 92%
 91%


Spec 3
 26%
  5%
 27%


Cutoff 4
1600
1900
1700


Sens 4
 59%
 67%
 62%


Spec 4
 70%
 70%
 70%


Cutoff 5
2600
2900
2600


Sens 5
 42%
 58%
 42%


Spec 5
 80%
 80%
 80%


Cutoff 6
4100
4400
3900


Sens 6
 25%
 42%
 32%


Spec 6
 90%
 90%
 90%


OR Quart 2
  1.3
  0
  2.0


p Value
  0.62
na
  0.20


95% CI of
  0.46
na
  0.69


OR Quart2
  3.7
na
  5.8


OR Quart 3
  2.9
  0.66
  2.7


p Value
  0.023
  0.65
  0.058


95% CI of
  1.2
  0.11
  0.97


OR Quart3
  7.4
  4.0
  7.6


OR Quart 4
  4.5
  2.4
  5.1


p Value
  0.0010
  0.21
  0.0013


95% CI of
  1.8
  0.61
  1.9


OR Quart4
 11
  9.8
 14










Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
5.1
20
6.2
42
5.1
19


Average
100
130
110
130
140
130


Stdev
1400
370
1300
190
1700
390


p(t-test)

0.90

0.95

0.98


Min
1.0E−9
1.0E−9
1.0E−9
1.0E−9
1.0E−9
1.0E−9


Max
25000
2500
25000
610
25000
2500


n (Samp)
297
59
341
12
208
53


n(Patient)
297
59
341
12
208
53












At Enrollment











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.74
 0.79
 0.73


SE
 0.039
 0.079
 0.042


P
1.0E−9
3.0E−4
8.9E−8


nCohort 1
297
341
208


nCohort 2
 59
 12
 53


Cutoff 1
 12
 17
 12


Sens 1
 71%
 75%
 72%


Spec 1
 70%
 71%
 66%


Cutoff 2
 9.4
 16
 9.5


Sens 2
 81%
 83%
 81%


Spec 2
 64%
 71%
 61%


Cutoff 3
 0
 1.6
 0


Sens 3
100%
 92%
100%


Spec 3
 0%
 37%
 0%


Cutoff 4
 12
 16
 15


Sens 4
 71%
 83%
 60%


Spec 4
 70%
 70%
 70%


Cutoff 5
 22
 24
 23


Sens 5
 47%
 67%
 45%


Spec 5
 80%
 80%
 81%


Cutoff 6
 37
 43
 37


Sens 6
 34%
 50%
 34%


Spec 6
 90%
 90%
 90%


OR Quart 2
 0.55
 >2.0
 2.1


p Value
 0.36
 <0.56
 0.31


95% CI of
 0.16
 >0.18
 0.50


OR Quart2
 2.0
na
 8.8


OR Quart 3
 3.4
 >2.0
 9.2


p Value
 0.0091
 <0.56
6.4E−4


95% CI of
 1.4
 >0.18
 2.6


OR Quart3
 8.5
na
 33


OR Quart 4
 5.4
 >8.7
 12


p Value
2.2E−4
 <0.044
1.3E−4


95% CI of
 2.2
 >1.1
 3.3


OR Quart4
 13
na
 42
















TABLE 12





Comparison of marker levels in enroll EDTA samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients


that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0 or R within 48 hrs) and in enroll EDTA samples


collected from Cohort 2 (subjects reaching RIFLE stage I or F within 48 hrs). Enroll samples


from patients already at stage I or F were included in Cohort 2.







Thrombomodulin











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
6800
6700
nd
nd
6900
6700


Average
7500
8300
nd
nd
7800
8200


Stdcv
3100
4300
nd
nd
3200
4400


p(t-test)

0.30
nd
nd

0.66


Min
2300
3600
nd
nd
2300
3600


Max
18000
20000
nd
nd
18000
20000


n (Samp)
95
23
nd
nd
80
22


n (Patient)
95
23
nd
nd
80
22












At Enrollment











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.53
nd
  0.48


SE
  0.068
nd
  0.070


P
  0.68
nd
  0.81


nCohort 1
  95
nd
  80


nCohort 2
  23
nd
  22


Cutoff 1
 6100
nd
 6100


Sens 1
  74%
nd
  73%


Spec 1
  36%
nd
  30%


Cutoff 2
 4700
nd
 4700


Sens 2
  83%
nd
  82%


Spec 2
  18%
nd
  12%


Cutoff 3
 4200
nd
 4200


Sens 3
  91%
nd
  91%


Spec 3
  11%
nd
  8%


Cutoff 4
 8500
nd
 8800


Sens 4
  30%
nd
  27%


Spec 4
  71%
nd
  70%


Cutoff 5
 9400
nd
 9900


Sens 5
  26%
nd
  23%


Spec 5
  80%
nd
  80%


Cutoff 6
12000
nd
12000


Sens 6
  13%
nd
  14%


Spec 6
  91%
nd
  90%


OR Quart 2
  0.96
nd
  0.63


p Value
  0.95
nd
  0.53


95% CI of
  0.27
nd
  0.16


OR Quart2
  3.4
nd
  2.6


OR Quart 3
  0.61
nd
  1.0


p Value
  0.49
nd
  1.0


95% CI of
  0.15
nd
  0.28


OR Quart3
  2.5
nd
  3.6


OR Quart 4
  1.2
nd
  1.1


p Value
  0.81
nd
  0.94


95% CI of
  0.34
nd
  0.29


OR Quart4
  4.0
nd
  3.8










Immunoglobulin A











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
2.9E6
3.3E6
nd
nd
2.6E6
3.3E6


Average
3.4E6
3.8E6
nd
nd
3.3E6
3.8E6


Stdev
2.0E6
1.4E6
nd
nd
2.0E6
1.4E6


p(t-test)

0.55
nd
nd

0.45


Min
840000
2.0E6
nd
nd
840000
2.0E6


Max
1.0E7
6.7E6
nd
nd
1.0E7
6.7E6


n (Samp)
44
10
nd
nd
37
10


n (Patient)
44
10
nd
nd
37
10












At Enrollment











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.62
nd
 0.65


SE
 0.10
nd
 0.10


p
 0.23
nd
 0.14


nCohort 1
44
nd
37


nCohort 2
10
nd
10


Cutoff 1
3.1E6
nd
3.1E6


Sens 1
70%
nd
70%


Spec 1
61%
nd
65%


Cutoff 2
2.6E6
nd
2.6E6


Sens 2
80%
nd
80%


Spec 2
48%
nd
51%


Cutoff 3
2.6E6
nd
2.6E6


Sens 3
90%
nd
90%


Spec 3
48%
nd
51%


Cutoff 4
3.7E6
nd
3.5E6


Sens 4
40%
nd
40%


Spec 4
70%
nd
70%


Cutoff 5
4.9E6
nd
4.6E6


Sens 5
20%
nd
20%


Spec 5
82%
nd
81%


Cutoff 6
5.9E6
nd
5.9E6


Sens 6
10%
nd
10%


Spec 6
91%
nd
92%


OR Quart 2
 2.0
nd
 2.0


p Value
 0.59
nd
 0.59


95% CI of
 0.16
nd
 0.16


OR Quart2
25
nd
26


OR Quart 3
 7.5
nd
 3.3


p Value
 0.090
nd
 0.33


95% CI of
 0.73
nd
 0.29


OR Quart3
77
nd
38


OR Quart 4
 2.0
nd
 5.0


p Value
 0.59
nd
 0.19


95% CI of
 0.16
nd
 0.46


OR Quart4
25
nd
54










Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
2200
3500
nd
nd
2300
3400


Average
2600
3200
nd
nd
2600
3200


Stdev
1500
1800
nd
nd
1600
1800


p(t-test)

0.070
nd
nd

0.17


Min
510
630
nd
nd
510
630


Max
10000
8100
nd
nd
10000
8100


n (Samp)
95
23
nd
nd
80
22


n (Patient)
95
23
nd
nd
80
22












At Enrollment











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.63
nd
  0.61


SE
  0.068
nd
  0.071


P
  0.064
nd
  0.13


nCohort 1
 95
nd
 80


nCohort 2
 23
nd
 22


Cutoff 1
1600
nd
1600


Sens 1
 74%
nd
 73%


Spec 1
 32%
nd
 32%


Cutoff 2
1500
nd
1500


Sens 2
 83%
nd
 82%


Spec 2
 24%
nd
 24%


Cutoff 3
1200
nd
1200


Sens 3
 91%
nd
 91%


Spec 3
 13%
nd
 11%


Cutoff 4
3000
nd
3100


Sens 4
 61%
nd
 59%


Spec 4
 71%
nd
 70%


Cutoff 5
3600
nd
3600


Sens 5
 43%
nd
 41%


Spec 5
 80%
nd
 80%


Cutoff 6
4400
nd
4500


Sens 6
 22%
nd
 18%


Spec 6
 91%
nd
 90%


OR Quart 2
  0.53
nd
  0.52


p Value
  0.42
nd
  0.41


95% CI of
  0.12
nd
  0.11


OR Quart2
  2.5
nd
  2.5


OR Quart 3
  1.0
nd
  1.0


p Value
  1.0
nd
  1.0


95% CI of
  0.26
nd
  0.25


OR Quart3
  3.9
nd
  4.0


OR Quart 4
  2.4
nd
  2.1


p Value
  0.16
nd
  0.25


95% CI of
  0.70
nd
  0.59


OR Quart4
  8.2
nd
  7.5









While the invention has been described and exemplified in sufficient detail for those skilled in this art to make and use it, various alternatives, modifications, and improvements should be apparent without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention. The examples provided herein are representative of preferred embodiments, are exemplary, and are not intended as limitations on the scope of the invention. Modifications therein and other uses will occur to those skilled in the art. These modifications are encompassed within the spirit of the invention and are defined by the scope of the claims.


It will be readily apparent to a person skilled in the art that varying substitutions and modifications may be made to the invention disclosed herein without departing from the scope and spirit of the invention.


All patents and publications mentioned in the specification are indicative of the levels of those of ordinary skill in the art to which the invention pertains. All patents and publications are herein incorporated by reference to the same extent as if each individual publication was specifically and individually indicated to be incorporated by reference.


The invention illustratively described herein suitably may be practiced in the absence of any element or elements, limitation or limitations which is not specifically disclosed herein. Thus, for example, in each instance herein any of the terms “comprising”, “consisting essentially of” and “consisting of” may be replaced with either of the other two terms. The terms and expressions which have been employed are used as terms of description and not of limitation, and there is no intention that in the use of such terms and expressions of excluding any equivalents of the features shown and described or portions thereof, but it is recognized that various modifications are possible within the scope of the invention claimed. Thus, it should be understood that although the present invention has been specifically disclosed by preferred embodiments and optional features, modification and variation of the concepts herein disclosed may be resorted to by those skilled in the art, and that such modifications and variations are considered to be within the scope of this invention as defined by the appended claims.


Other embodiments are set forth within the following claims.

Claims
  • 1-42. (canceled)
  • 43. A method for testing a patient at risk of having or developing acute renal failure, the method comprising: performing an assay to detect the level of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4 (TIMP4) in a urine sample obtained from the patient.
  • 44. The method of claim 43, wherein the sample was obtained within 7 days after an acute medical event which predisposes the patient for developing acute renal failure, wherein the acute medical event comprises shock, sepsis, hemorrhage, an ischemic surgery, increased intra-abdominal pressure with acute decompensate heart failure, ischemia, pulmonary embolism, pancreatitis, a burn, or excess diuresis.
  • 45. The method of claim 44, wherein the sample was obtained within 72 hours after the acute medical event.
  • 46. The method of claim 45, wherein the sample was obtained within 48 hours after the acute medical event.
  • 47. The method of claim 43, wherein the sample was obtained within 7 days after an acute medical event which predisposes the patient for developing acute renal failure, wherein the acute medical event comprises exposure to NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamid, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast media, or streptozotocin.
  • 48. The method of claim 47, wherein the sample was obtained within 72 hours after the acute medical event.
  • 49. The method of claim 48, wherein the sample was obtained within 48 hours after the acute medical event.
  • 50. The method of claim 43, further comprising measuring a volume of urine output, urine flow rate, serum creatinine, or urine creatinine within 7 days after the sample is obtained.
  • 51. The method of claim 43, further comprising measuring a volume of urine output, urine flow rate, serum creatinine, or urine creatinine within 72 hours after the sample is obtained.
  • 52. The method of claim 44, further comprising obtaining the sample from the patient.
  • 53. A method for evaluating renal status in a patient, the method comprising: (a) performing an assay to detect the level of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4 (TIMP4) in a body fluid sample obtained from the subject to generate an assay result;(b) correlating the assay result to a likelihood of the patient having acute kidney injury within 48 hours of the time the sample was obtained by: (i) comparing the assay result to a threshold value obtained from a population study performed on a population of individuals, wherein the threshold value separates the population into a first subpopulation above the threshold value and a second subpopulation at or below the threshold value, the first subpopulation having an increased likelihood relative to the second subpopulation of having acute kidney injury within 48 hours, and(ii) assigning the patient to the first subpopulation or the second subpopulation; and(c) treating the patient based on the subpopulation to which the patient is assigned, wherein when the patient is assigned to the first subpopulation, the patient is treated by one or more of initiating renal replacement therapy, withdrawing of compounds that are known to be damaging to the kidney, delaying or avoiding procedures that are known to be damaging to the kidney, and modifying diuretic administration.
  • 54. The method of claim 53, wherein (a) the body fluid is blood, and(b) the likelihood of the patient having acute kidney injury within 48 hours of the time the sample was obtained is the likelihood of the patient having RIFLE stage R, I, or F as defined by serum creatinine levels within 24 hours of the time the sample was obtained.
  • 55. The method of claim 54, wherein the likelihood of the patient having acute kidney injury within 24 hours is the likelihood of the patient developing future acute kidney injury within 24 hours.
  • 56. The method of claim 55, wherein the threshold is between about 1,520 pg/mL and 2,650 pg/mL.
  • 57. The method of claim 54, wherein the likelihood of the patient having acute kidney injury within 24 hours is the likelihood of the patient having current acute kidney injury.
  • 58. The method of claim 53, further comprising measuring a volume of urine output, urine flow rate, serum creatinine, or urine creatinine within 7 days after the sample is obtained.
  • 59. The method of claim 53, wherein when the patient is assigned to the second subpopulation, the treatment comprises performing a second assay to detect the level of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4 (TIMP4) in a second body fluid sample obtained from the subject within 7 days of obtaining the first sample.
  • 60. A method for evaluating renal status in a patient, the method comprising: (a) performing an assay to detect the level of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4 (TIMP4) in a blood sample obtained from the subject to generate an assay result;(b) correlating the assay result to a likelihood of the patient having RIFLE stage F acute kidney injury within 7 days of the time the sample was obtained by: (i) comparing the assay result to a threshold value obtained from a population study performed on a population of individuals, wherein the threshold value separates the population into a first subpopulation above the threshold value and a second subpopulation at or below the threshold value, the first subpopulation having an increased likelihood relative to the second subpopulation of having RIFLE stage F acute kidney injury within 7 days, and(ii) assigning the patient to the first subpopulation or the second subpopulation; and(c) treating the patient based on the subpopulation to which the patient is assigned, wherein when the patient is assigned to the first subpopulation, the patient is treated by one or more of initiating renal replacement therapy, withdrawing of compounds that are known to be damaging to the kidney, delaying or avoiding procedures that are known to be damaging to the kidney, and modifying diuretic administration.
  • 61. The method of claim 60, wherein the threshold is between about 1,590 pg/mL and 4,110 pg/mL.
  • 62. The method of claim 60, further comprising measuring a volume of urine output, urine flow rate, serum creatinine, or urine creatinine within 7 days after the sample is obtained.
Parent Case Info

The present invention claims priority to U.S. provisional patent applications 61/243,995 filed Sep. 18, 2009; 61/244,000 filed Sep. 18, 2009; and 61/254,636 filed Oct. 23, 2009, each of which is hereby incorporated in its entirety including all tables, figures and claims.

Provisional Applications (3)
Number Date Country
61243995 Sep 2009 US
61244000 Sep 2009 US
61254636 Oct 2009 US
Continuations (1)
Number Date Country
Parent 13395114 Apr 2012 US
Child 16251407 US