Methods and Compositions for Diagnosis and Prognosis of Renal Injury and Renal Failure

Abstract
The present invention relates to methods and compositions for monitoring, diagnosis, prognosis, and determination of treatment regimens in subjects suffering from or suspected of having a renal injury. In particular, the invention relates to using assays that detect one or more of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24 as diagnostic and prognostic biomarker assays in renal injuries.
Description
BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

The following discussion of the background of the invention is merely provided to aid the reader in understanding the invention and is not admitted to describe or constitute prior art to the present invention.


The kidney is responsible for water and solute excretion from the body. Its functions include maintenance of acid-base balance, regulation of electrolyte concentrations, control of blood volume, and regulation of blood pressure. As such, loss of kidney function through injury and/or disease results in substantial morbidity and mortality. A detailed discussion of renal injuries is provided in Harrison's Principles of Internal Medicine, 17th Ed., McGraw Hill, New York, pages 1741-1830, which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety. Renal disease and/or injury may be acute or chronic. Acute and chronic kidney disease are described as follows (from Current Medical Diagnosis & Treatment 2008, 47th Ed, McGraw Hill, New York, pages 785-815, which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety): “Acute renal failure is worsening of renal function over hours to days, resulting in the retention of nitrogenous wastes (such as urea nitrogen) and creatinine in the blood. Retention of these substances is called azotemia. Chronic renal failure (chronic kidney disease) results from an abnormal loss of renal function over months to years”.


Acute renal failure (ARF, also known as acute kidney injury, or AKI) is an abrupt (typically detected within about 48 hours to 1 week) reduction in glomerular filtration. This loss of filtration capacity results in retention of nitrogenous (urea and creatinine) and non-nitrogenous waste products that are normally excreted by the kidney, a reduction in urine output, or both. It is reported that ARF complicates about 5% of hospital admissions, 4-15% of cardiopulmonary bypass surgeries, and up to 30% of intensive care admissions. ARF may be categorized as prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal in causation. Intrinsic renal disease can be further divided into glomerular, tubular, interstitial, and vascular abnormalities. Major causes of ARF are described in the following table, which is adapted from the Merck Manual, 17th ed., Chapter 222, and which is hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety:













Type
Risk Factors







Prerenal



ECF volume
Excessive diuresis, hemorrhage, GI losses, loss of


depletion
intravascular fluid into the extravascular space (due



to ascites, peritonitis, pancreatitis, or burns), loss



of skin and mucus membranes, renal salt- and water-



wasting states


Low cardiac
Cardiomyopathy, MI, cardiac tamponade,


output
pulmonary embolism, pulmonary hypertension,



positive-pressure mechanical ventilation


Low systemic
Septic shock, liver failure, antihypertensive drugs


vascular


resistance


Increased renal
NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, hypercalcemia,


vascular
anaphylaxis, anesthetics, renal artery obstruction,


resistance
renal vein thrombosis, sepsis, hepatorenal syndrome


Decreased efferent
ACE inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers


arteriolar tone


(leading to


decreased GFR from


reduced glomerular


transcapillary


pressure, especially


in patients with


bilateral renal


artery stenosis)


Intrinsic Renal


Acute tubular
Ischemia (prolonged or severe prerenal state):


injury
surgery, hemorrhage, arterial or venous obstruction;



Toxins: NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus,



aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol,



hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals,



methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents,



streptozotocin


Acute
ANCA-associated: Crescentic glomerulonephritis,


glomerulonephritis
polyarteritis nodosa, Wegener's granulomatosis;



Anti-GBM glomerulonephritis: Goodpasture's



syndrome; Immune-complex: Lupus



glomerulonephritis, postinfectious



glomerulonephritis, cryoglobulinemic



glomerulonephritis


Acute
Drug reaction (eg, β-lactams, NSAIDs,


tubulointerstitial
sulfonamides, ciprofloxacin, thiazide diuretics,


nephritis
furosemide, phenytoin, allopurinol, pyelonephritis,



papillary necrosis


Acute vascular
Vasculitis, malignant hypertension, thrombotic


nephropathy
microangiopathies, scleroderma, atheroembolism


Infiltrative
Lymphoma, sarcoidosis, leukemia


diseases


Postrenal


Tubular
Uric acid (tumor lysis), sulfonamides, triamterene,


precipitation
acyclovir, indinavir, methotrexate, ethylene glycol



ingestion, myeloma protein, myoglobin


Ureteral
Intrinsic: Calculi, clots, sloughed renal tissue,


obstruction
fungus ball, edema, malignancy, congenital defects;



Extrinsic: Malignancy, retroperitoneal fibrosis,



ureteral trauma during surgery or high impact injury


Bladder
Mechanical: Benign prostatic hyperplasia, prostate


obstruction
cancer, bladder cancer, urethral strictures, phimosis,



paraphimosis, urethral valves, obstructed indwelling



urinary catheter; Neurogenic: Anticholinergic drugs,



upper or lower motor neuron lesion









In the case of ischemic ARF, the course of the disease may be divided into four phases. During an initiation phase, which lasts hours to days, reduced perfusion of the kidney is evolving into injury. Glomerular ultrafiltration reduces, the flow of filtrate is reduced due to debris within the tubules, and back leakage of filtrate through injured epithelium occurs. Renal injury can be mediated during this phase by reperfusion of the kidney. Initiation is followed by an extension phase which is characterized by continued ischemic injury and inflammation and may involve endothelial damage and vascular congestion. During the maintenance phase, lasting from 1 to 2 weeks, renal cell injury occurs, and glomerular filtration and urine output reaches a minimum. A recovery phase can follow in which the renal epithelium is repaired and GFR gradually recovers. Despite this, the survival rate of subjects with ARF may be as low as about 60%.


Acute kidney injury caused by radiocontrast agents (also called contrast media) and other nephrotoxins such as cyclosporine, antibiotics including aminoglycosides and anticancer drugs such as cisplatin manifests over a period of days to about a week. Contrast induced nephropathy (CIN, which is AKI caused by radiocontrast agents) is thought to be caused by intrarenal vasoconstriction (leading to ischemic injury) and from the generation of reactive oxygen species that are directly toxic to renal tubular epithelial cells. CIN classically presents as an acute (onset within 24-48 h) but reversible (peak 3-5 days, resolution within 1 week) rise in blood urea nitrogen and serum creatinine.


A commonly reported criteria for defining and detecting AKI is an abrupt (typically within about 2-7 days or within a period of hospitalization) elevation of serum creatinine. Although the use of serum creatinine elevation to define and detect AKI is well established, the magnitude of the serum creatinine elevation and the time over which it is measured to define AKI varies considerably among publications. Traditionally, relatively large increases in serum creatinine such as 100%, 200%, an increase of at least 100% to a value over 2 mg/dL and other definitions were used to define AKI. However, the recent trend has been towards using smaller serum creatinine rises to define AKI. The relationship between serum creatinine rise, AKI and the associated health risks are reviewed in Praught and Shlipak, Curr Opin Nephrol Hypertens 14:265-270, 2005 and Chertow et al, J Am Soc Nephrol 16: 3365-3370, 2005, which, with the references listed therein, are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety. As described in these publications, acute worsening renal function (AKI) and increased risk of death and other detrimental outcomes are now known to be associated with very small increases in serum creatinine. These increases may be determined as a relative (percent) value or a nominal value. Relative increases in serum creatinine as small as 20% from the pre-injury value have been reported to indicate acutely worsening renal function (AKI) and increased health risk, but the more commonly reported value to define AKI and increased health risk is a relative increase of at least 25%. Nominal increases as small as 0.3 mg/dL, 0.2 mg/dL or even 0.1 mg/dL have been reported to indicate worsening renal function and increased risk of death. Various time periods for the serum creatinine to rise to these threshold values have been used to define AKI, for example, ranging from 2 days, 3 days, 7 days, or a variable period defined as the time the patient is in the hospital or intensive care unit. These studies indicate there is not a particular threshold serum creatinine rise (or time period for the rise) for worsening renal function or AKI, but rather a continuous increase in risk with increasing magnitude of serum creatinine rise.


One study (Lassnigg et all, J Am Soc Nephrol 15:1597-1605, 2004, hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety) investigated both increases and decreases in serum creatinine. Patients with a mild fall in serum creatinine of −0.1 to −0.3 mg/dL following heart surgery had the lowest mortality rate. Patients with a larger fall in serum creatinine (more than or equal to −0.4 mg/dL) or any increase in serum creatinine had a larger mortality rate. These findings caused the authors to conclude that even very subtle changes in renal function (as detected by small creatinine changes within 48 hours of surgery) seriously effect patient's outcomes. In an effort to reach consensus on a unified classification system for using serum creatinine to define AKI in clinical trials and in clinical practice, Bellomo et al., Crit Care. 8(4):R204-12, 2004, which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, proposes the following classifications for stratifying AKI patients:


“Risk”: serum creatinine increased 1.5 fold from baseline OR urine production of <0.5 ml/kg body weight/hr for 6 hours;


“Injury”: serum creatinine increased 2.0 fold from baseline OR urine production <0.5 ml/kg/hr for 12 h;


“Failure”: serum creatinine increased 3.0 fold from baseline OR creatinine >355 μmol/l (with a rise of >44) or urine output below 0.3 ml/kg/hr for 24 h or anuria for at least 12 hours;


And included two clinical outcomes:


“Loss”: persistent need for renal replacement therapy for more than four weeks.


“ESRD”: end stage renal disease—the need for dialysis for more than 3 months.


These criteria are called the RIFLE criteria, which provide a useful clinical tool to classify renal status. As discussed in Kellum, Crit. Care Med. 36: S141-45, 2008 and Ricci et al., Kidney Int. 73, 538-546, 2008, each hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, the RIFLE criteria provide a uniform definition of AKI which has been validated in numerous studies.


More recently, Mehta et al., Crit. Care 11:R31 (doi:10.1186.cc5713), 2007, hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, proposes the following similar classifications for stratifying AKI patients, which have been modified from RIFLE:


“Stage I”: increase in serum creatinine of more than or equal to 0.3 mg/dL (>26.4 μmol/L) or increase to more than or equal to 150% (1.5-fold) from baseline OR urine output less than 0.5 mL/kg per hour for more than 6 hours;


“Stage II”: increase in serum creatinine to more than 200% (>2-fold) from baseline OR urine output less than 0.5 mL/kg per hour for more than 12 hours;


“Stage III”: increase in serum creatinine to more than 300% (>3-fold) from baseline OR serum creatinine >354 μmol/L accompanied by an acute increase of at least 44 μmol/L OR urine output less than 0.3 mL/kg per hour for 24 hours or anuria for 12 hours.


The CIN Consensus Working Panel (McCollough et al, Rev Cardiovasc Med. 2006; 7(4):177-197, hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety) uses a serum creatinine rise of 25% to define Contrast induced nephropathy (which is a type of AKI). Although various groups propose slightly different criteria for using serum creatinine to detect AKI, the consensus is that small changes in serum creatinine, such as 0.3 mg/dL or 25%, are sufficient to detect AKI (worsening renal function) and that the magnitude of the serum creatinine change is an indicator of the severity of the AKI and mortality risk.


Although serial measurement of serum creatinine over a period of days is an accepted method of detecting and diagnosing AKI and is considered one of the most important tools to evaluate AKI patients, serum creatinine is generally regarded to have several limitations in the diagnosis, assessment and monitoring of AKI patients. The time period for serum creatinine to rise to values (e.g., a 0.3 mg/dL or 25% rise) considered diagnostic for AKI can be 48 hours or longer depending on the definition used. Since cellular injury in AKI can occur over a period of hours, serum creatinine elevations detected at 48 hours or longer can be a late indicator of injury, and relying on serum creatinine can thus delay diagnosis of AKI. Furthermore, serum creatinine is not a good indicator of the exact kidney status and treatment needs during the most acute phases of AKI when kidney function is changing rapidly. Some patients with AKI will recover fully, some will need dialysis (either short term or long term) and some will have other detrimental outcomes including death, major adverse cardiac events and chronic kidney disease. Because serum creatinine is a marker of filtration rate, it does not differentiate between the causes of AKI (pre-renal, intrinsic renal, post-renal obstruction, atheroembolic, etc) or the category or location of injury in intrinsic renal disease (for example, tubular, glomerular or interstitial in origin). Urine output is similarly limited, Knowing these things can be of vital importance in managing and treating patients with AKI.


These limitations underscore the need for better methods to detect and assess AKI, particularly in the early and subclinical stages, but also in later stages when recovery and repair of the kidney can occur. Furthermore, there is a need to better identify patients who are at risk of having an AKI.


BRIEF SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

It is an object of the invention to provide methods and compositions for evaluating renal function in a subject. As described herein, measurement of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24 (collectively referred to herein as “kidney injury markers, and individually as a “kidney injury marker”) can be used for diagnosis, prognosis, risk stratification, staging, monitoring, categorizing and determination of further diagnosis and treatment regimens in subjects suffering or at risk of suffering from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, and/or acute renal failure (also called acute kidney injury).


These kidney injury markers may be used, individually or in panels comprising a plurality of kidney injury markers, for risk stratification (that is, to identify subjects at risk for a future injury to renal function, for future progression to reduced renal function, for future progression to ARF, for future improvement in renal function, etc.); for diagnosis of existing disease (that is, to identify subjects who have suffered an injury to renal function, who have progressed to reduced renal function, who have progressed to ARF, etc.); for monitoring for deterioration or improvement of renal function; and for predicting a future medical outcome, such as improved or worsening renal function, a decreased or increased mortality risk, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will require renal replacement therapy (i.e., hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, hemofiltration, and/or renal transplantation, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will recover from an injury to renal function, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will recover from ARF, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will progress to end stage renal disease, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will progress to chronic renal failure, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will suffer rejection of a transplanted kidney, etc.


In a first aspect, the present invention relates to methods for evaluating renal status in a subject. These methods comprise performing an assay method that is configured to detect one or more kidney injury markers of the present invention in a body fluid sample obtained from the subject. The assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are then correlated to the renal status of the subject. This correlation to renal status may include correlating the assay result(s) to one or more of risk stratification, diagnosis, prognosis, staging, classifying and monitoring of the subject as described herein. Thus, the present invention utilizes one or more kidney injury markers of the present invention for the evaluation of renal injury.


In certain embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for risk stratification of the subject; that is, assigning a likelihood of one or more future changes in renal status to the subject. In these embodiments, the assay result(s) is/are correlated to one or more such future changes. The following are preferred risk stratification embodiments.


In preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's risk for a future injury to renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to a likelihood of such a future injury to renal function. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of suffering a future injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of suffering a future injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


In other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's risk for future reduced renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to a likelihood of such reduced renal function. For example, the measured concentrations may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of suffering a future reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of future reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


In still other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's likelihood for a future improvement in renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to a likelihood of such a future improvement in renal function. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of a future improvement in renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of a future improvement in renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold.


In yet other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's risk for progression to ARF, and the result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to a likelihood of such progression to ARF. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of progression to ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of progression to ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


And in other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's outcome risk, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to a likelihood of the occurrence of a clinical outcome related to a renal injury suffered by the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of one or more of: acute kidney injury, progression to a worsening stage of AKI, mortality, a requirement for renal replacement therapy, a requirement for withdrawal of renal toxins, end stage renal disease, heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, progression to chronic kidney disease, etc., is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of one or more of: acute kidney injury, progression to a worsening stage of AKI, mortality, a requirement for renal replacement therapy, a requirement for withdrawal of renal toxins, end stage renal disease, heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, progression to chronic kidney disease, etc., is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


In such risk stratification embodiments, preferably the likelihood or risk assigned is that an event of interest is more or less likely to occur within 180 days of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject. In particularly preferred embodiments, the likelihood or risk assigned relates to an event of interest occurring within a shorter time period such as 18 months, 120 days, 90 days, 60 days, 45 days, 30 days, 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, 12 hours, or less. A risk at 0 hours of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject is equivalent to diagnosis of a current condition.


In preferred risk stratification embodiments, the subject is selected for risk stratification based on the pre-existence in the subject of one or more known risk factors for prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal ARF. For example, a subject undergoing or having undergone major vascular surgery, coronary artery bypass, or other cardiac surgery; a subject having pre-existing congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, glomerular filtration below the normal range, cirrhosis, serum creatinine above the normal range, or sepsis; or a subject exposed to NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin are all preferred subjects for monitoring risks according to the methods described herein. This list is not meant to be limiting. By “pre-existence” in this context is meant that the risk factor exists at the time the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject. In particularly preferred embodiments, a subject is chosen for risk stratification based on an existing diagnosis of injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF.


In other embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for diagnosing a renal injury in the subject; that is, assessing whether or not a subject has suffered from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF. In these embodiments, the assay result(s) is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status. The following are preferred diagnostic embodiments.


In preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of such an injury. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of reduced renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In yet other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of ARF, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury causing ARF. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of ARF may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of ARF may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In still other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing a subject as being in need of renal replacement therapy, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to a need for renal replacement therapy. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In still other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing a subject as being in need of renal transplantation, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to a need for renal transplantation. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In still other embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for monitoring a renal injury in the subject; that is, assessing whether or not renal function is improving or worsening in a subject who has suffered from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF. In these embodiments, the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status. The following are preferred monitoring embodiments.


In preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject suffering from an injury to renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In other preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject suffering from reduced renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In yet other preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject suffering from acute renal failure, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In other additional preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject at risk of an injury to renal function due to the pre-existence of one or more known risk factors for prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal ARF, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In yet other preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject having, or at risk of, an injury to renal function for future persistence of acute kidney injury. “Future persistence” as used herein refers to an existing acute renal injury that will continue for a period selected from the group consisting of 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, and 12 hours. In certain embodiments the subject has an acute kidney injury at the time the sample is obtained. This is not meant to imply that the subject must have an acute kidney injury at the time the sample is obtained, but rather that the subject, upon onset of an acute kidney injury, suffers from an acute kidney injury that will persist. In various embodiments, the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to the future persistence of the acute kidney injury in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a future persistence of acute kidney injury may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, afuture improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a future persistence of acute kidney injury may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a future improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In still other embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for classifying a renal injury in the subject; that is, determining whether a renal injury in a subject is prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal; and/or further subdividing these classes into subclasses such as acute tubular injury, acute glomerulonephritis acute tubulointerstitial nephritis, acute vascular nephropathy, or infiltrative disease; and/or assigning a likelihood that a subject will progress to a particular RIFLE stage. In these embodiments, the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to a particular class and/or subclass. The following are preferred classification embodiments.


In preferred classification embodiments, these methods comprise determining whether a renal injury in a subject is prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal; and/or further subdividing these classes into subclasses such as acute tubular injury, acute glomerulonephritis acute tubulointerstitial nephritis, acute vascular nephropathy, or infiltrative disease; and/or assigning a likelihood that a subject will progress to a particular RIFLE stage, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, is/are correlated to the injury classification for the subject. For example, the measured concentration may be compared to a threshold value, and when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a particular classification is assigned; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a different classification may be assigned to the subject.


A variety of methods may be used by the skilled artisan to arrive at a desired threshold value for use in these methods. For example, the threshold value may be determined from a population of normal subjects by selecting a concentration representing the 75th, 85th, 90th, 95th, or 99th percentile of a kidney injury marker measured in such normal subjects. Alternatively, the threshold value may be determined from a “diseased” population of subjects, e.g., those suffering from an injury or having a predisposition for an injury (e.g., progression to ARF or some other clinical outcome such as death, dialysis, renal transplantation, etc.), by selecting a concentration representing the 75th, 85th, 90th, 95th, or 99th percentile of a kidney injury marker measured in such subjects. In another alternative, the threshold value may be determined from a prior measurement of a kidney injury marker in the same subject; that is, a temporal change in the level of a kidney injury marker in the subject may be used to assign risk to the subject.


The foregoing discussion is not meant to imply, however, that the kidney injury markers of the present invention must be compared to corresponding individual thresholds. Methods for combining assay results can comprise the use of multivariate logistical regression, loglinear modeling, neural network analysis, n-of-m analysis, decision tree analysis, calculating ratios of markers, etc. This list is not meant to be limiting. In these methods, a composite result which is determined by combining individual markers may be treated as if it is itself a marker; that is, a threshold may be determined for the composite result as described herein for individual markers, and the composite result for an individual patient compared to this threshold.


The ability of a particular test to distinguish two populations can be established using ROC analysis. For example, ROC curves established from a “first” subpopulation which is predisposed to one or more future changes in renal status, and a “second” subpopulation which is not so predisposed can be used to calculate a ROC curve, and the area under the curve provides a measure of the quality of the test. Preferably, the tests described herein provide a ROC curve area greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9, and most preferably at least 0.95.


In certain aspects, the measured concentration of one or more kidney injury markers, or a composite of such markers, may be treated as continuous variables. For example, any particular concentration can be converted into a corresponding probability of a future reduction in renal function for the subject, the occurrence of an injury, a classification, etc. In yet another alternative, a threshold that can provide an acceptable level of specificity and sensitivity in separating a population of subjects into “bins” such as a “first” subpopulation (e.g., which is predisposed to one or more future changes in renal status, the occurrence of an injury, a classification, etc.) and a “second” subpopulation which is not so predisposed. A threshold value is selected to separate this first and second population by one or more of the following measures of test accuracy:


an odds ratio greater than 1, preferably at least about 2 or more or about 0.5 or less, more preferably at least about 3 or more or about 0.33 or less, still more preferably at least about 4 or more or about 0.25 or less, even more preferably at least about 5 or more or about 0.2 or less, and most preferably at least about 10 or more or about 0.1 or less;


a specificity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least about 0.6, more preferably at least about 0.7, still more preferably at least about 0.8, even more preferably at least about 0.9 and most preferably at least about 0.95, with a corresponding sensitivity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than about 0.3, more preferably greater than about 0.4, still more preferably at least about 0.5, even more preferably about 0.6, yet more preferably greater than about 0.7, still more preferably greater than about 0.8, more preferably greater than about 0.9, and most preferably greater than about 0.95;


a sensitivity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least about 0.6, more preferably at least about 0.7, still more preferably at least about 0.8, even more preferably at least about 0.9 and most preferably at least about 0.95, with a corresponding specificity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than about 0.3, more preferably greater than about 0.4, still more preferably at least about 0.5, even more preferably about 0.6, yet more preferably greater than about 0.7, still more preferably greater than about 0.8, more preferably greater than about 0.9, and most preferably greater than about 0.95;


at least about 75% sensitivity, combined with at least about 75% specificity;


a positive likelihood ratio (calculated as sensitivity/(1-specificity)) of greater than 1, at least about 2, more preferably at least about 3, still more preferably at least about 5, and most preferably at least about 10; or


a negative likelihood ratio (calculated as (1-sensitivity)/specificity) of less than 1, less than or equal to about 0.5, more preferably less than or equal to about 0.3, and most preferably less than or equal to about 0.1.


The term “about” in the context of any of the above measurements refers to +/−5% of a given measurement.


Multiple thresholds may also be used to assess renal status in a subject. For example, a “first” subpopulation which is predisposed to one or more future changes in renal status, the occurrence of an injury, a classification, etc., and a “second” subpopulation which is not so predisposed can be combined into a single group. This group is then subdivided into three or more equal parts (known as tertiles, quartiles, quintiles, etc., depending on the number of subdivisions). An odds ratio is assigned to subjects based on which subdivision they fall into. If one considers a tertile, the lowest or highest tertile can be used as a reference for comparison of the other subdivisions. This reference subdivision is assigned an odds ratio of 1. The second tertile is assigned an odds ratio that is relative to that first tertile. That is, someone in the second tertile might be 3 times more likely to suffer one or more future changes in renal status in comparison to someone in the first tertile. The third tertile is also assigned an odds ratio that is relative to that first tertile.


In certain embodiments, the assay method is an immunoassay. Antibodies for use in such assays will specifically bind a full length kidney injury marker of interest, and may also bind one or more polypeptides that are “related” thereto, as that term is defined hereinafter. Numerous immunoassay formats are known to those of skill in the art. Preferred body fluid samples are selected from the group consisting of urine, blood, serum, saliva, tears, and plasma.


The foregoing method steps should not be interpreted to mean that the kidney injury marker assay result(s) is/are used in isolation in the methods described herein. Rather, additional variables or other clinical indicia may be included in the methods described herein. For example, a risk stratification, diagnostic, classification, monitoring, etc. method may combine the assay result(s) with one or more variables measured for the subject selected from the group consisting of demographic information (e.g., weight, sex, age, race), medical history (e.g., family history, type of surgery, pre-existing disease such as aneurism, congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, or sepsis, type of toxin exposure such as NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin), clinical variables (e.g., blood pressure, temperature, respiration rate), risk scores (APACHE score, PREDICT score, TIMI Risk Score for UA/NSTEMI, Framingham Risk Score), a glomerular filtration rate, an estimated glomerular filtration rate, a urine production rate, a serum or plasma creatinine concentration, a urine creatinine concentration, a fractional excretion of sodium, a urine sodium concentration, a urine creatinine to serum or plasma creatinine ratio, a urine specific gravity, a urine osmolality, a urine urea nitrogen to plasma urea nitrogen ratio, a plasma BUN to creatnine ratio, a renal failure index calculated as urine sodium/(urine creatinine/plasma creatinine), a serum or plasma neutrophil gelatinase (NGAL) concentration, a urine NGAL concentration, a serum or plasma cystatin C concentration, a serum or plasma cardiac troponin concentration, a serum or plasma BNP concentration, a serum or plasma NTproBNP concentration, and a serum or plasma proBNP concentration. Other measures of renal function which may be combined with one or more kidney injury marker assay result(s) are described hereinafter and in Harrison's Principles of Internal Medicine, 17th Ed., McGraw Hill, New York, pages 1741-1830, and Current Medical Diagnosis & Treatment 2008, 47h Ed, McGraw Hill, New York, pages 785-815, each of which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety.


When more than one marker is measured, the individual markers may be measured in samples obtained at the same time, or may be determined from samples obtained at different (e.g., an earlier or later) times. The individual markers may also be measured on the same or different body fluid samples. For example, one kidney injury marker may be measured in a serum or plasma sample and another kidney injury marker may be measured in a urine sample. In addition, assignment of a likelihood may combine an individual kidney injury marker assay result with temporal changes in one or more additional variables.


In various related aspects, the present invention also relates to devices and kits for performing the methods described herein. Suitable kits comprise reagents sufficient for performing an assay for at least one of the described kidney injury markers, together with instructions for performing the described threshold comparisons.


In certain embodiments, reagents for performing such assays are provided in an assay device, and such assay devices may be included in such a kit. Preferred reagents can comprise one or more solid phase antibodies, the solid phase antibody comprising antibody that detects the intended biomarker target(s) bound to a solid support. In the case of sandwich immunoassays, such reagents can also include one or more detectably labeled antibodies, the detectably labeled antibody comprising antibody that detects the intended biomarker target(s) bound to a detectable label. Additional optional elements that may be provided as part of an assay device are described hereinafter.


Detectable labels may include molecules that are themselves detectable (e.g., fluorescent moieties, electrochemical labels, ecl (electrochemical luminescence) labels, metal chelates, colloidal metal particles, etc.) as well as molecules that may be indirectly detected by production of a detectable reaction product (e.g., enzymes such as horseradish peroxidase, alkaline phosphatase, etc.) or through the use of a specific binding molecule which itself may be detectable (e.g., a labeled antibody that binds to the second antibody, biotin, digoxigenin, maltose, oligohistidine, 2,4-dintrobenzene, phenylarsenate, ssDNA, dsDNA, etc.).


Generation of a signal from the signal development element can be performed using various optical, acoustical, and electrochemical methods well known in the art. Examples of detection modes include fluorescence, radiochemical detection, reflectance, absorbance, amperometry, conductance, impedance, interferometry, ellipsometry, etc. In certain of these methods, the solid phase antibody is coupled to a transducer (e.g., a diffraction grating, electrochemical sensor, etc) for generation of a signal, while in others, a signal is generated by a transducer that is spatially separate from the solid phase antibody (e.g., a fluorometer that employs an excitation light source and an optical detector). This list is not meant to be limiting. Antibody-based biosensors may also be employed to determine the presence or amount of analytes that optionally eliminate the need for a labeled molecule.







DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION

The present invention relates to methods and compositions for diagnosis, differential diagnosis, risk stratification, monitoring, classifying and determination of treatment regimens in subjects suffering or at risk of suffering from injury to renal function, reduced renal function and/or acute renal failure through measurement of one or more kidney injury markers. In various embodiments, a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24 or one or more markers related thereto, and optionally one or more additional kidney injury markers known in the art, are correlated to the renal status of the subject.


For purposes of this document, the following definitions apply:


As used herein, an “injury to renal function” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) measurable reduction in a measure of renal function. Such an injury may be identified, for example, by a decrease in glomerular filtration rate or estimated GFR, a reduction in urine output, an increase in serum creatinine, an increase in serum cystatin C, a requirement for renal replacement therapy, etc. “Improvement in Renal Function” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) measurable increase in a measure of renal function. Preferred methods for measuring and/or estimating GFR are described hereinafter.


As used herein, “reduced renal function” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) reduction in kidney function identified by an absolute increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 0.1 mg/dL (>8.8 μmol/L), a percentage increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 20% (1.2-fold from baseline), or a reduction in urine output (documented oliguria of less than 0.5 ml/kg per hour).


As used herein, “acute renal failure” or “ARF” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) reduction in kidney function identified by an absolute increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 0.3 mg/dl (>26.4 μmol/1), a percentage increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 50% (1.5-fold from baseline), or a reduction in urine output (documented oliguria of less than 0.5 ml/kg per hour for at least 6 hours). This term is synonymous with “acute kidney injury” or “AKI.”


In this regard, the skilled artisan will understand that the signals obtained from an immunoassay are a direct result of complexes formed between one or more antibodies and the target biomolecule (i.e., the analyte) and polypeptides containing the necessary epitope(s) to which the antibodies bind. While such assays may detect the full length biomarker and the assay result be expressed as a concentration of a biomarker of interest, the signal from the assay is actually a result of all such “immunoreactive” polypeptides present in the sample. Expression of biomarkers may also be determined by means other than immunoassays, including protein measurements (such as dot blots, western blots, chromatographic methods, mass spectrometry, etc.) and nucleic acid measurements (mRNA quatitation). This list is not meant to be limiting.


As used herein, the term “Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1 precursor (Swiss-Prot P01033 (SEQ ID NO: 1)).











        10         20         30         40



MAPFEPLASG ILLLLWLIAP SRACTCVPPH PQTAFCNSDL







        50         60         70         80



VIRAKFVGTP EVNQTTLYQR YEIKMTKMYK GFQALGDAAD







        90        100        110        120



IRFVYTPAME SVCGYFHRSH NRSEEFLIAG KLQDGLLHIT







       130        140        150        160



TCSFVAPWNS LSLAQRRGFT KTYTVGCEEC TVFPCLSIPC







       170        180        190        200



KLQSGTHCLW TDQLLQGSEK GFQSRHLACL PREPGLCTWQ







SLRSQIA






The following domains have been identified in Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1:

















Residues
Length
Domain ID




















1-23
23
signal sequence



24-207
184
Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1










As used herein, the term “Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2 precursor (human precursor: Swiss-Prot P16035 (SEQ ID NO: 2)).











        10         20         30         40



MGAAARTLRL ALGLLLLATL LRPADACSCS PVHPQQAFCN







        50         60         70         80



ADVVIRAKAV SEKEVDSGND IYGNPIKRIQ YEIKQIKMFK







        90        100        110        120



GPEKDIEFIY TAPSSAVCGV SLDVGGKKEY LIAGKAEGDG







       130        140        150        160



KMHITLCDFI VPWDTLSTTQ KKSLNHRYQM GCECKITRCP







       170        180        190        200



MIPCYISSPD ECLWMDWVTE KNINGHQAKF FACIKRSDGS







       210        220



CAWYRGAAPP KQEFLDIEDP






The following domains have been identified in Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2:

















Residues
Length
Domain ID




















1-26
26
Signal peptide



27-220
194
Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2










As used herein, the term “Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4” refers to one or polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4 precursor (human precursor: Swiss-Prot Q99727 (SEQ ID NO: 3)).











        10         20         30         40



MPGSPRPAPS WVLLLRLLAL LRPPGLGEAC SCAPAHPQQH







        50         60         70         80



ICHSALVIRA KISSEKVVPA SADPADTEKM LRYEIKQIKM







        90        100        110        120



FKGFEKVKDV QYIYTPFDSS LCGVKLEANS QKQYLLTGQV







       130        140        150        160



LSDGKVFIHL CNYIEPWEDL SLVQRESLNH HYHLNCGCQI







       170        180        190        200



TTCYTVPCTI SAPNECLWTD WLLERKLYGY QAQHYVCMKH







       210        220



VDGTCSWYRG HLPLRKEFVD IVQP






The following domains have been identified in Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4:

















Residues
Length
Domain ID




















1-29
29
Signal sequence



30-224
195
Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4










As used herein, the term “C—C motif chemokine 15” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the C—C motif chemokine 15 precursor (human precursor: Swiss-Prot Q16663 (SEQ ID NO: 4)).











        10         20         30         40



MKVSVAALSC LMLVAVLGSQ AQFINDAETE LMMSKLPLEN







        50         60         70         80



PVVLNSFHFA ADCCTSYISQ SIPCSLMKSY FETSSECSKP







        90        100        110



GVIFLTKKGR QVCAKPSGPG VQDCMKKLKP YSI






The following domains have been identified in C—C motif chemokine 15:

















Residues
Length
Domain ID




















1-21
21
Signal peptide



22-113
92
C-C motif chemokine 15



43-113
71
C-C motif chemokine 15 (22-92)



46-113
68
C-C motif chemokine 15 (25-92)



50-113
64
C-C motif chemokine 15 (29-92)










As used herein, the term “C—C motif chemokine 18” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the C—C motif chemokine 18 precursor (human precursor: Swiss-Prot P55774 (SEQ ID NO: 5)).











        10         20         30         40



MKGLAAALLV LVCTMALCSC AQVGTNKELC CLVYTSWQIP







        50         60         70         80



QKFIVDYSET SPQCPKPGVI LLTKRGRQIC ADPNKKWVQK







YISDLKLNA






The following domains have been identified in C—C motif chemokine 18: Residues Length Domain ID

















Residues
Length
Domain ID




















 1-20
20
Signal peptide



21-89
69
C-C motif chemokine 18



21-88
68
CCL 18 (1-68)



23-89
67
CCL 18 (3-69)



24-89
66
CCL 18 (4-69)










As used herein, the term “C—C motif chemokine 23” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the C—C motif chemokine 23 precursor (Swiss-Prot P55773 (SEQ ID NO: 6))











        10         20         30         40



MKVSVAALSC LMLVTALGSQ ARVTKDAETE FMMSKLPLEN







        50         60         70         80



PVLLDRFHAT SADCCISYTP RSIPCSLLES YFETNSECSK







        90        100        110        120



PGVIFLTKKG RRFCANPSDK QVQVCVRMLK LDTRIKTRKN






The following domains have been identified in C—C motif chemokine 23:

















Residues
Length
Domain ID




















1-21
21
signal peptide



22-120
99
C-C motif chemokine 23



40-120
81
C-C motif chemokine 23 (19-99)



43-120
78
C-C motif chemokine 23 (22-99)



48-120
73
C-C motif chemokine 23 (27-99)



51-120
70
C-C motif chemokine 23 (30-99)










As used herein, the term “C—C motif chemokine 24” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the C—C motif chemokine 24 precursor (Swiss-Prot O00175 (SEQ ID NO: 7))











        10         20         30         40



MAGLMTIVTS LLFLGVCAHH IIPTGSVVIP SPCCMFFVSK







        50         60         70         80



RIPENRVVSY QLSSRSTCLK AGVIFTTKKG QQFCGDPKQE







        90        100        110



WVQRYMKNLD AKQKKASPRA RAVAVKGPVQ RYPGNQTTC






The following domains have been identified in C—C motif chemokine 24:

















Residues
Length
Domain ID




















1-26
26
signal peptide



27-119
93
C-C motif chemokine 24










As used herein, the term “relating a signal to the presence or amount” of an analyte reflects this understanding. Assay signals are typically related to the presence or amount of an analyte through the use of a standard curve calculated using known concentrations of the analyte of interest. As the term is used herein, an assay is “configured to detect” an analyte if an assay can generate a detectable signal indicative of the presence or amount of a physiologically relevant concentration of the analyte. Because an antibody epitope is on the order of 8 amino acids, an immunoassay configured to detect a marker of interest will also detect polypeptides related to the marker sequence, so long as those polypeptides contain the epitope(s) necessary to bind to the antibody or antibodies used in the assay.


The term “related marker” as used herein with regard to a biomarker such as one of the kidney injury markers described herein refers to one or more fragments, variants, etc., of a particular marker or its biosynthetic parent that may be detected as a surrogate for the marker itself or as independent biomarkers. The term also refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the biomarker precursor complexed to additional species, such as binding proteins, receptors, heparin, lipids, sugars, etc.


The term “positive going” marker as that term is used herein refer to a marker that is determined to be elevated in subjects suffering from a disease or condition, relative to subjects not suffering from that disease or condition. The term “negative going” marker as that term is used herein refer to a marker that is determined to be reduced in subjects suffering from a disease or condition, relative to subjects not suffering from that disease or condition.


The term “subject” as used herein refers to a human or non-human organism. Thus, the methods and compositions described herein are applicable to both human and veterinary disease. Further, while a subject is preferably a living organism, the invention described herein may be used in post-mortem analysis as well. Preferred subjects are humans, and most preferably “patients,” which as used herein refers to living humans that are receiving medical care for a disease or condition. This includes persons with no defined illness who are being investigated for signs of pathology.


Preferably, an analyte is measured in a sample. Such a sample may be obtained from a subject, or may be obtained from biological materials intended to be provided to the subject. For example, a sample may be obtained from a kidney being evaluated for possible transplantation into a subject, and an analyte measurement used to evaluate the kidney for preexisting damage. Preferred samples are body fluid samples.


The term “body fluid sample” as used herein refers to a sample of bodily fluid obtained for the purpose of diagnosis, prognosis, classification or evaluation of a subject of interest, such as a patient or transplant donor. In certain embodiments, such a sample may be obtained for the purpose of determining the outcome of an ongoing condition or the effect of a treatment regimen on a condition. Preferred body fluid samples include blood, serum, plasma, cerebrospinal fluid, urine, saliva, sputum, and pleural effusions. In addition, one of skill in the art would realize that certain body fluid samples would be more readily analyzed following a fractionation or purification procedure, for example, separation of whole blood into serum or plasma components.


The term “diagnosis” as used herein refers to methods by which the skilled artisan can estimate and/or determine the probability (“a likelihood”) of whether or not a patient is suffering from a given disease or condition. In the case of the present invention, “diagnosis” includes using the results of an assay, most preferably an immunoassay, for a kidney injury marker of the present invention, optionally together with other clinical characteristics, to arrive at a diagnosis (that is, the occurrence or nonoccurrence) of an acute renal injury or ARF for the subject from which a sample was obtained and assayed. That such a diagnosis is “determined” is not meant to imply that the diagnosis is 100% accurate. Many biomarkers are indicative of multiple conditions. The skilled clinician does not use biomarker results in an informational vacuum, but rather test results are used together with other clinical indicia to arrive at a diagnosis. Thus, a measured biomarker level on one side of a predetermined diagnostic threshold indicates a greater likelihood of the occurrence of disease in the subject relative to a measured level on the other side of the predetermined diagnostic threshold.


Similarly, a prognostic risk signals a probability (“a likelihood”) that a given course or outcome will occur. A level or a change in level of a prognostic indicator, which in turn is associated with an increased probability of morbidity (e.g., worsening renal function, future ARF, or death) is referred to as being “indicative of an increased likelihood” of an adverse outcome in a patient.


Marker Assays


In general, immunoassays involve contacting a sample containing or suspected of containing a biomarker of interest with at least one antibody that specifically binds to the biomarker. A signal is then generated indicative of the presence or amount of complexes formed by the binding of polypeptides in the sample to the antibody. The signal is then related to the presence or amount of the biomarker in the sample. Numerous methods and devices are well known to the skilled artisan for the detection and analysis of biomarkers. See, e.g., U.S. Pat. Nos. 6,143,576; 6,113,855; 6,019,944; 5,985,579; 5,947,124; 5,939,272; 5,922,615; 5,885,527; 5,851,776; 5,824,799; 5,679,526; 5,525,524; and 5,480,792, and The Immunoassay Handbook, David Wild, ed. Stockton Press, New York, 1994, each of which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, including all tables, figures and claims.


The assay devices and methods known in the art can utilize labeled molecules in various sandwich, competitive, or non-competitive assay formats, to generate a signal that is related to the presence or amount of the biomarker of interest. Suitable assay formats also include chromatographic, mass spectrographic, and protein “blotting” methods. Additionally, certain methods and devices, such as biosensors and optical immunoassays, may be employed to determine the presence or amount of analytes without the need for a labeled molecule. See, e.g., U.S. Pat. Nos. 5,631,171; and 5,955,377, each of which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, including all tables, figures and claims. One skilled in the art also recognizes that robotic instrumentation including but not limited to Beckman ACCESS®, Abbott AXSYM®, Roche ELECSYS®, Dade Behring STRATUS® systems are among the immunoassay analyzers that are capable of performing immunoassays. But any suitable immunoassay may be utilized, for example, enzyme-linked immunoassays (ELISA), radioimmunoassays (RIAs), competitive binding assays, and the like.


Antibodies or other polypeptides may be immobilized onto a variety of solid supports for use in assays. Solid phases that may be used to immobilize specific binding members include include those developed and/or used as solid phases in solid phase binding assays. Examples of suitable solid phases include membrane filters, cellulose-based papers, beads (including polymeric, latex and paramagnetic particles), glass, silicon wafers, microparticles, nanoparticles, TentaGels, AgroGels, PEGA gels, SPOCC gels, and multiple-well plates. An assay strip could be prepared by coating the antibody or a plurality of antibodies in an array on solid support. This strip could then be dipped into the test sample and then processed quickly through washes and detection steps to generate a measurable signal, such as a colored spot. Antibodies or other polypeptides may be bound to specific zones of assay devices either by conjugating directly to an assay device surface, or by indirect binding. In an example of the later case, antibodies or other polypeptides may be immobilized on particles or other solid supports, and that solid support immobilized to the device surface.


Biological assays require methods for detection, and one of the most common methods for quantitation of results is to conjugate a detectable label to a protein or nucleic acid that has affinity for one of the components in the biological system being studied. Detectable labels may include molecules that are themselves detectable (e.g., fluorescent moieties, electrochemical labels, metal chelates, etc.) as well as molecules that may be indirectly detected by production of a detectable reaction product (e.g., enzymes such as horseradish peroxidase, alkaline phosphatase, etc.) or by a specific binding molecule which itself may be detectable (e.g., biotin, digoxigenin, maltose, oligohistidine, 2,4-dintrobenzene, phenylarsenate, ssDNA, dsDNA, etc.).


Preparation of solid phases and detectable label conjugates often comprise the use of chemical cross-linkers. Cross-linking reagents contain at least two reactive groups, and are divided generally into homofunctional cross-linkers (containing identical reactive groups) and heterofunctional cross-linkers (containing non-identical reactive groups). Homobifunctional cross-linkers that couple through amines, sulfhydryls or react non-specifically are available from many commercial sources. Maleimides, alkyl and aryl halides, alpha-haloacyls and pyridyl disulfides are thiol reactive groups. Maleimides, alkyl and aryl halides, and alpha-haloacyls react with sulfhydryls to form thiol ether bonds, while pyridyl disulfides react with sulfhydryls to produce mixed disulfides. The pyridyl disulfide product is cleavable. Imidoesters are also very useful for protein-protein cross-links. A variety of heterobifunctional cross-linkers, each combining different attributes for successful conjugation, are commercially available.


In certain aspects, the present invention provides kits for the analysis of the described kidney injury markers. The kit comprises reagents for the analysis of at least one test sample which comprise at least one antibody that a kidney injury marker. The kit can also include devices and instructions for performing one or more of the diagnostic and/or prognostic correlations described herein. Preferred kits will comprise an antibody pair for performing a sandwich assay, or a labeled species for performing a competitive assay, for the analyte. Preferably, an antibody pair comprises a first antibody conjugated to a solid phase and a second antibody conjugated to a detectable label, wherein each of the first and second antibodies that bind a kidney injury marker. Most preferably each of the antibodies are monoclonal antibodies. The instructions for use of the kit and performing the correlations can be in the form of labeling, which refers to any written or recorded material that is attached to, or otherwise accompanies a kit at any time during its manufacture, transport, sale or use. For example, the term labeling encompasses advertising leaflets and brochures, packaging materials, instructions, audio or video cassettes, computer discs, as well as writing imprinted directly on kits.


Antibodies


The term “antibody” as used herein refers to a peptide or polypeptide derived from, modeled after or substantially encoded by an immunoglobulin gene or immunoglobulin genes, or fragments thereof, capable of specifically binding an antigen or epitope. See, e.g. Fundamental Immunology, 3rd Edition, W. E. Paul, ed., Raven Press, N.Y. (1993); Wilson (1994; J. Immunol. Methods 175:267-273; Yarmush (1992) J. Biochem. Biophys. Methods 25:85-97. The term antibody includes antigen-binding portions, i.e., “antigen binding sites,” (e.g., fragments, subsequences, complementarity determining regions (CDRs)) that retain capacity to bind antigen, including (i) a Fab fragment, a monovalent fragment consisting of the VL, VH, CL and CH1 domains; (ii) a F(ab′)2 fragment, a bivalent fragment comprising two Fab fragments linked by a disulfide bridge at the hinge region; (iii) a Fd fragment consisting of the VH and CH1 domains; (iv) a Fv fragment consisting of the VL and VH domains of a single arm of an antibody, (v) a dAb fragment (Ward et al., (1989) Nature 341:544-546), which consists of a VH domain; and (vi) an isolated complementarity determining region (CDR). Single chain antibodies are also included by reference in the term “antibody.”


Antibodies used in the immunoassays described herein preferably specifically bind to a kidney injury marker of the present invention. The term “specifically binds” is not intended to indicate that an antibody binds exclusively to its intended target since, as noted above, an antibody binds to any polypeptide displaying the epitope(s) to which the antibody binds. Rather, an antibody “specifically binds” if its affinity for its intended target is about 5-fold greater when compared to its affinity for a non-target molecule which does not display the appropriate epitope(s). Preferably the affinity of the antibody will be at least about 5 fold, preferably 10 fold, more preferably 25-fold, even more preferably 50-fold, and most preferably 100-fold or more, greater for a target molecule than its affinity for a non-target molecule. In preferred embodiments, Preferred antibodies bind with affinities of at least about 107 M−1, and preferably between about 108 M−1 to about 109 M−1, about 109 M−1 to about 1010 M−1, or about 1010 M−1 to about 1012 M−1.


Affinity is calculated as Kd=koff/kon (koff is the dissociation rate constant, Kon is the association rate constant and Kd is the equilibrium constant). Affinity can be determined at equilibrium by measuring the fraction bound (r) of labeled ligand at various concentrations (c). The data are graphed using the Scatchard equation: r/c=K(n−r): where r=moles of bound ligand/mole of receptor at equilibrium; c=free ligand concentration at equilibrium; K=equilibrium association constant; and n=number of ligand binding sites per receptor molecule. By graphical analysis, r/c is plotted on the Y-axis versus r on the X-axis, thus producing a Scatchard plot. Antibody affinity measurement by Scatchard analysis is well known in the art. See, e.g., van Erp et al., J. Immunoassay 12: 425-43, 1991; Nelson and Griswold, Comput. Methods Programs Biomed. 27: 65-8, 1988.


The term “epitope” refers to an antigenic determinant capable of specific binding to an antibody. Epitopes usually consist of chemically active surface groupings of molecules such as amino acids or sugar side chains and usually have specific three dimensional structural characteristics, as well as specific charge characteristics. Conformational and nonconformational epitopes are distinguished in that the binding to the former but not the latter is lost in the presence of denaturing solvents.


Numerous publications discuss the use of phage display technology to produce and screen libraries of polypeptides for binding to a selected analyte. See, e.g, Cwirla et al., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 87, 6378-82, 1990; Devlin et al., Science 249, 404-6, 1990, Scott and Smith, Science 249, 386-88, 1990; and Ladner et al., U.S. Pat. No. 5,571,698. A basic concept of phage display methods is the establishment of a physical association between DNA encoding a polypeptide to be screened and the polypeptide. This physical association is provided by the phage particle, which displays a polypeptide as part of a capsid enclosing the phage genome which encodes the polypeptide. The establishment of a physical association between polypeptides and their genetic material allows simultaneous mass screening of very large numbers of phage bearing different polypeptides. Phage displaying a polypeptide with affinity to a target bind to the target and these phage are enriched by affinity screening to the target. The identity of polypeptides displayed from these phage can be determined from their respective genomes. Using these methods a polypeptide identified as having a binding affinity for a desired target can then be synthesized in bulk by conventional means. See, e.g., U.S. Pat. No. 6,057,098, which is hereby incorporated in its entirety, including all tables, figures, and claims.


The antibodies that are generated by these methods may then be selected by first screening for affinity and specificity with the purified polypeptide of interest and, if required, comparing the results to the affinity and specificity of the antibodies with polypeptides that are desired to be excluded from binding. The screening procedure can involve immobilization of the purified polypeptides in separate wells of microtiter plates. The solution containing a potential antibody or groups of antibodies is then placed into the respective microtiter wells and incubated for about 30 min to 2 h. The microtiter wells are then washed and a labeled secondary antibody (for example, an anti-mouse antibody conjugated to alkaline phosphatase if the raised antibodies are mouse antibodies) is added to the wells and incubated for about 30 min and then washed. Substrate is added to the wells and a color reaction will appear where antibody to the immobilized polypeptide(s) are present.


The antibodies so identified may then be further analyzed for affinity and specificity in the assay design selected. In the development of immunoassays for a target protein, the purified target protein acts as a standard with which to judge the sensitivity and specificity of the immunoassay using the antibodies that have been selected. Because the binding affinity of various antibodies may differ; certain antibody pairs (e.g., in sandwich assays) may interfere with one another sterically, etc., assay performance of an antibody may be a more important measure than absolute affinity and specificity of an antibody.


Assay Correlations


The term “correlating” as used herein in reference to the use of biomarkers refers to comparing the presence or amount of the biomarker(s) in a patient to its presence or amount in persons known to suffer from, or known to be at risk of, a given condition; or in persons known to be free of a given condition. Often, this takes the form of comparing an assay result in the form of a biomarker concentration to a predetermined threshold selected to be indicative of the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a disease or the likelihood of some future outcome.


Selecting a diagnostic threshold involves, among other things, consideration of the probability of disease, distribution of true and false diagnoses at different test thresholds, and estimates of the consequences of treatment (or a failure to treat) based on the diagnosis. For example, when considering administering a specific therapy which is highly efficacious and has a low level of risk, few tests are needed because clinicians can accept substantial diagnostic uncertainty. On the other hand, in situations where treatment options are less effective and more risky, clinicians often need a higher degree of diagnostic certainty. Thus, cost/benefit analysis is involved in selecting a diagnostic threshold.


Suitable thresholds may be determined in a variety of ways. For example, one recommended diagnostic threshold for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction using cardiac troponin is the 97.5th percentile of the concentration seen in a normal population. Another method may be to look at serial samples from the same patient, where a prior “baseline” result is used to monitor for temporal changes in a biomarker level.


Population studies may also be used to select a decision threshold. Reciever Operating Characteristic (“ROC”) arose from the field of signal dectection therory developed during World War II for the analysis of radar images, and ROC analysis is often used to select a threshold able to best distinguish a “diseased” subpopulation from a “nondiseased” subpopulation. A false positive in this case occurs when the person tests positive, but actually does not have the disease. A false negative, on the other hand, occurs when the person tests negative, suggesting they are healthy, when they actually do have the disease. To draw a ROC curve, the true positive rate (TPR) and false positive rate (FPR) are determined as the decision threshold is varied continuously. Since TPR is equivalent with sensitivity and FPR is equal to 1—specificity, the ROC graph is sometimes called the sensitivity vs (1—specificity) plot. A perfect test will have an area under the ROC curve of 1.0; a random test will have an area of 0.5. A threshold is selected to provide an acceptable level of specificity and sensitivity.


In this context, “diseased” is meant to refer to a population having one characteristic (the presence of a disease or condition or the occurrence of some outcome) and “nondiseased” is meant to refer to a population lacking the characteristic. While a single decision threshold is the simplest application of such a method, multiple decision thresholds may be used. For example, below a first threshold, the absence of disease may be assigned with relatively high confidence, and above a second threshold the presence of disease may also be assigned with relatively high confidence. Between the two thresholds may be considered indeterminate. This is meant to be exemplary in nature only.


In addition to threshold comparisons, other methods for correlating assay results to a patient classification (occurrence or nonoccurrence of disease, likelihood of an outcome, etc.) include decision trees, rule sets, Bayesian methods, and neural network methods. These methods can produce probability values representing the degree to which a subject belongs to one classification out of a plurality of classifications.


Measures of test accuracy may be obtained as described in Fischer et al., Intensive Care Med. 29: 1043-51, 2003, and used to determine the effectiveness of a given biomarker. These measures include sensitivity and specificity, predictive values, likelihood ratios, diagnostic odds ratios, and ROC curve areas. The area under the curve (“AUC”) of a ROC plot is equal to the probability that a classifier will rank a randomly chosen positive instance higher than a randomly chosen negative one. The area under the ROC curve may be thought of as equivalent to the Mann-Whitney U test, which tests for the median difference between scores obtained in the two groups considered if the groups are of continuous data, or to the Wilcoxon test of ranks.


As discussed above, suitable tests may exhibit one or more of the following results on these various measures: a specificity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably at least 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9 and most preferably at least 0.95, with a corresponding sensitivity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than 0.3, more preferably greater than 0.4, still more preferably at least 0.5, even more preferably 0.6, yet more preferably greater than 0.7, still more preferably greater than 0.8, more preferably greater than 0.9, and most preferably greater than 0.95; a sensitivity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably at least 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9 and most preferably at least 0.95, with a corresponding specificity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than 0.3, more preferably greater than 0.4, still more preferably at least 0.5, even more preferably 0.6, yet more preferably greater than 0.7, still more preferably greater than 0.8, more preferably greater than 0.9, and most preferably greater than 0.95; at least 75% sensitivity, combined with at least 75% specificity; a ROC curve area of greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9, and most preferably at least 0.95; an odds ratio different from 1, preferably at least about 2 or more or about 0.5 or less, more preferably at least about 3 or more or about 0.33 or less, still more preferably at least about 4 or more or about 0.25 or less, even more preferably at least about 5 or more or about 0.2 or less, and most preferably at least about 10 or more or about 0.1 or less; a positive likelihood ratio (calculated as sensitivity/(1-specificity)) of greater than 1, at least 2, more preferably at least 3, still more preferably at least 5, and most preferably at least 10; and or a negative likelihood ratio (calculated as (1-sensitivity)/specificity) of less than 1, less than or equal to 0.5, more preferably less than or equal to 0.3, and most preferably less than or equal to 0.1


Additional clinical indicia may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) of the present invention. These include other biomarkers related to renal status. Examples include the following, which recite the common biomarker name, followed by the Swiss-Prot entry number for that biomarker or its parent: Actin (P68133); Adenosine deaminase binding protein (DPP4, P27487); Alpha-1-acid glycoprotein 1 (P02763); Alpha-1-microglobulin (P02760); Albumin (P02768); Angiotensinogenase (Renin, P00797); Annexin A2 (P07355); Beta-glucuronidase (P08236); B-2-microglobulin (P61769); Beta-galactosidase (P16278); BMP-7 (P18075); Brain natriuretic peptide (proBNP, BNP-32, NTproBNP; P16860); Calcium-binding protein Beta (S100-beta, P04271); Carbonic anhydrase 9 (Q16790); Casein Kinase 2 (P68400); Clusterin (P10909); Complement C3 (P01024); Cysteine-rich protein (CYR61, 000622); Cytochrome C (P99999); Epidermal growth factor (EGF, P01133); Endothelin-1 (PO5305); Exosomal Fetuin-A (P02765); Fatty acid-binding protein, heart (FABP3, P05413); Fatty acid-binding protein, liver (P07148); Ferritin (light chain, P02792; heavy chain P02794); Fructose-1,6-biphosphatase (P09467); GRO-alpha (CXCL1, (P09341); Growth Hormone (P01241); Hepatocyte growth factor (P14210); Insulin-like growth factor I (P05019); Immunoglobulin G; Immunoglobulin Light Chains (Kappa and Lambda); Interferon gamma (P01579); Lysozyme (P61626); Interleukin-1 alpha (P01583); Interleukin-2 (P60568); Interleukin-4 (P05112); Interleukin-9 (P15248); Interleukin-12p40 (P29460); Interleukin-13 (P35225); Interleukin-16 (Q14005); L1 cell adhesion molecule (P32004); Lactate dehydrogenase (P00338); Leucine Aminopeptidase (P28838); Meprin A-alpha subunit (Q16819); Meprin A-beta subunit (Q16820); Midkine (P21741); MIP2-alpha (CXCL2, P19875); MMP-2 (P08253); MMP-9 (P14780); Netrin-1 (O95631); Neutral endopeptidase (P08473); Osteopontin (P10451); Renal papillary antigen 1 (RPA1); Renal papillary antigen 2 (RPA2); Retinol binding protein (P09455); Ribonuclease; S100 calcium-binding protein A6 (P06703); Serum Amyloid P Component (P02743); Sodium/Hydrogen exchanger isoform (NHE3, P48764); Spermidine/spermine Ni-acetyltransferase (P21673); TGF-Beta1 (P01137); Transferrin (P02787); Trefoil factor 3 (TFF3, Q07654); Toll-Like protein 4 (O00206); Total protein; Tubulointerstitial nephritis antigen (Q9UJW2); Uromodulin (Tamm-Horsfall protein, P07911).


For purposes of risk stratification, Adiponectin (Q15848); Alkaline phosphatase (P05186); Aminopeptidase N (P15144); CalbindinD28k (P05937); Cystatin C (P01034); 8 subunit of FIFO ATPase (P03928); Gamma-glutamyltransferase (P19440); GSTa (alpha-glutathione-S-transferase, P08263); GSTpi (Glutathione-S-transferase P; GST class-pi; P09211); IGFBP-1 (P08833); IGFBP-2 (P18065); IGFBP-6 (P24592); Integral membrane protein 1 (Itm1, P46977); Interleukin-6 (P05231); Interleukin-8 (P10145); Interleukin-18 (Q14116); IP-10 (10 kDa interferon-gamma-induced protein, P02778); IRPR (IFRD1, 000458); Isovaleryl-CoA dehydrogenase (IVD, P26440); I-TAC/CXCL11 (O14625); Keratin 19 (P08727); Kim-1 (Hepatitis A virus cellular receptor 1, Q96D42); L-arginine:glycine amidinotransferase (P50440); Leptin (P41159); Lipocalin2 (NGAL, P80188); MCP-1 (P13500); MIG (Gamma-interferon-induced monokine Q07325); MIP-1a (P10147); MIP-3a (P78556); MIP-1beta (P13236); MIP-1d (Q16663); NAG (N-acetyl-beta-D-glucosaminidase, P54802); Organic ion transporter (OCT2, 015244); Osteoprotegerin (O00300); P8 protein (O60356); Plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 (PAI-1, P05121); ProANP(1-98) (P01160); Protein phosphatase 1-beta (PPI-beta, P62140); Rab GDI-beta (P50395); Renal kallikrein (P06870); RT1.B-1 (alpha) chain of the integral membrane protein (Q5Y7A8); soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 1A (sTNFR-I, P19438); soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 1B (sTNFR-II, P20333); Tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases 3 (TIMP-3, P35625); uPAR (Q03405) may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) of the present invention.


Other clinical indicia which may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) of the present invention includes demographic information (e.g., weight, sex, age, race), medical history (e.g., family history, type of surgery, pre-existing disease such as aneurism, congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, or sepsis, type of toxin exposure such as NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin), clinical variables (e.g., blood pressure, temperature, respiration rate), risk scores (APACHE score, PREDICT score, TIMI Risk Score for UA/NSTEMI, Framingham Risk Score), a urine total protein measurement, a glomerular filtration rate, an estimated glomerular filtration rate, a urine production rate, a serum or plasma creatinine concentration, a renal papillary antigen 1 (RPA1) measurement; a renal papillary antigen 2 (RPA2) measurement; a urine creatinine concentration, a fractional excretion of sodium, a urine sodium concentration, a urine creatinine to serum or plasma creatinine ratio, a urine specific gravity, a urine osmolality, a urine urea nitrogen to plasma urea nitrogen ratio, a plasma BUN to creatnine ratio, and/or a renal failure index calculated as urine sodium/(urine creatinine/plasma creatinine). Other measures of renal function which may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) are described hereinafter and in Harrison's Principles of Internal Medicine, 17th Ed., McGraw Hill, New York, pages 1741-1830, and Current Medical Diagnosis & Treatment 2008, 47th Ed, McGraw Hill, New York, pages 785-815, each of which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety.


Combining assay results/clinical indicia in this manner can comprise the use of multivariate logistical regression, loglinear modeling, neural network analysis, n-of-m analysis, decision tree analysis, etc. This list is not meant to be limiting.


Diagnosis of Acute Renal Failure


As noted above, the terms “acute renal (or kidney) injury” and “acute renal (or kidney) failure” as used herein are defined in part in terms of changes in serum creatinine from a baseline value. Most definitions of ARF have common elements, including the use of serum creatinine and, often, urine output. Patients may present with renal dysfunction without an available baseline measure of renal function for use in this comparison. In such an event, one may estimate a baseline serum creatinine value by assuming the patient initially had a normal GFR. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is the volume of fluid filtered from the renal (kidney) glomerular capillaries into the Bowman's capsule per unit time. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) can be calculated by measuring any chemical that has a steady level in the blood, and is freely filtered but neither reabsorbed nor secreted by the kidneys. GFR is typically expressed in units of ml/min:






GFR
=


Urine





Concentration
×
Urine





Flow


Plasma





Concentration






By normalizing the GFR to the body surface area, a GFR of approximately 75-100 ml/min per 1.73 m2 can be assumed. The rate therefore measured is the quantity of the substance in the urine that originated from a calculable volume of blood.


There are several different techniques used to calculate or estimate the glomerular filtration rate (GFR or eGFR). In clinical practice, however, creatinine clearance is used to measure GFR. Creatinine is produced naturally by the body (creatinine is a metabolite of creatine, which is found in muscle). It is freely filtered by the glomerulus, but also actively secreted by the renal tubules in very small amounts such that creatinine clearance overestimates actual GFR by 10-20%. This margin of error is acceptable considering the ease with which creatinine clearance is measured.


Creatinine clearance (CCr) can be calculated if values for creatinine's urine concentration (UCr), urine flow rate (V), and creatinine's plasma concentration (PCr) are known. Since the product of urine concentration and urine flow rate yields creatinine's excretion rate, creatinine clearance is also said to be its excretion rate (UCr×V) divided by its plasma concentration. This is commonly represented mathematically as:







C
Cr

=



U
Cr

×
V


P
Cr






Commonly a 24 hour urine collection is undertaken, from empty-bladder one morning to the contents of the bladder the following morning, with a comparative blood test then taken:







C
Cr

=



U
Cr

×
24


-


hour





volume



P
Cr

×
24
×
60





mins






To allow comparison of results between people of different sizes, the CCr is often corrected for the body surface area (BSA) and expressed compared to the average sized man as ml/min/1.73 m2. While most adults have a BSA that approaches 1.7 (1.6-1.9), extremely obese or slim patients should have their CCr corrected for their actual BSA:







C

Cr


-


corrected


=



C
Cr

×
1.73

BSA





The accuracy of a creatinine clearance measurement (even when collection is complete) is limited because as glomerular filtration rate (GFR) falls creatinine secretion is increased, and thus the rise in serum creatinine is less. Thus, creatinine excretion is much greater than the filtered load, resulting in a potentially large overestimation of the GFR (as much as a twofold difference). However, for clinical purposes it is important to determine whether renal function is stable or getting worse or better. This is often determined by monitoring serum creatinine alone. Like creatinine clearance, the serum creatinine will not be an accurate reflection of GFR in the non-steady-state condition of ARF. Nonetheless, the degree to which serum creatinine changes from baseline will reflect the change in GFR. Serum creatinine is readily and easily measured and it is specific for renal function.


For purposes of determining urine output on a Urine output on a mL/kg/hr basis, hourly urine collection and measurement is adequate. In the case where, for example, only a cumulative 24-h output was available and no patient weights are provided, minor modifications of the RIFLE urine output criteria have been described. For example, Bagshaw et al., Nephrol. Dial. Transplant. 23: 1203-1210, 2008, assumes an average patient weight of 70 kg, and patients are assigned a RIFLE classification based on the following: <35 mL/h (Risk), <21 mL/h (Injury) or <4 mL/h (Failure).


Selecting a Treatment Regimen


Once a diagnosis is obtained, the clinician can readily select a treatment regimen that is compatible with the diagnosis, such as initiating renal replacement therapy, withdrawing delivery of compounds that are known to be damaging to the kidney, kidney transplantation, delaying or avoiding procedures that are known to be damaging to the kidney, modifying diuretic administration, initiating goal directed therapy, etc. The skilled artisan is aware of appropriate treatments for numerous diseases discussed in relation to the methods of diagnosis described herein. See, e.g., Merck Manual of Diagnosis and Therapy, 17th Ed. Merck Research Laboratories, Whitehouse Station, N J, 1999. In addition, since the methods and compositions described herein provide prognostic information, the markers of the present invention may be used to monitor a course of treatment. For example, improved or worsened prognostic state may indicate that a particular treatment is or is not efficacious.


One skilled in the art readily appreciates that the present invention is well adapted to carry out the objects and obtain the ends and advantages mentioned, as well as those inherent therein. The examples provided herein are representative of preferred embodiments, are exemplary, and are not intended as limitations on the scope of the invention.


Example 1: Contrast-Induced Nephropathy Sample Collection

The objective of this sample collection study is to collect samples of plasma and urine and clinical data from patients before and after receiving intravascular contrast media. Approximately 250 adults undergoing radiographic/angiographic procedures involving intravascular administration of iodinated contrast media are enrolled. To be enrolled in the study, each patient must meet all of the following inclusion criteria and none of the following exclusion criteria:


Inclusion Criteria

males and females 18 years of age or older;


undergoing a radiographic/angiographic procedure (such as a CT scan or coronary intervention) involving the intravascular administration of contrast media;


expected to be hospitalized for at least 48 hours after contrast administration.


able and willing to provide written informed consent for study participation and to comply with all study procedures.


Exclusion Criteria

renal transplant recipients;


acutely worsening renal function prior to the contrast procedure;


already receiving dialysis (either acute or chronic) or in imminent need of dialysis at enrollment;


expected to undergo a major surgical procedure (such as involving cardiopulmonary bypass) or an additional imaging procedure with contrast media with significant risk for further renal insult within the 48 hrs following contrast administration;


participation in an interventional clinical study with an experimental therapy within the previous 30 days;


known infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or a hepatitis virus.


Immediately prior to the first contrast administration (and after any pre-procedure hydration), an EDTA anti-coagulated blood sample (10 mL) and a urine sample (10 mL) are collected from each patient. Blood and urine samples are then collected at 4 (±0.5), 8 (±1), 24 (±2) 48 (±2), and 72 (±2) hrs following the last administration of contrast media during the index contrast procedure. Blood is collected via direct venipuncture or via other available venous access, such as an existing femoral sheath, central venous line, peripheral intravenous line or hep-lock. These study blood samples are processed to plasma at the clinical site, frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc., San Diego, Calif. The study urine samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc.


Serum creatinine is assessed at the site immediately prior to the first contrast administration (after any pre-procedure hydration) and at 4 (±0.5), 8 (±1), 24 (±2) and 48 (±2)), and 72 (±2) hours following the last administration of contrast (ideally at the same time as the study samples are obtained). In addition, each patient's status is evaluated through day 30 with regard to additional serum and urine creatinine measurements, a need for dialysis, hospitalization status, and adverse clinical outcomes (including mortality).


Prior to contrast administration, each patient is assigned a risk based on the following assessment: systolic blood pressure <80 mm Hg=5 points; intra-arterial balloon pump=5 points; congestive heart failure (Class III-IV or history of pulmonary edema)=5 points; age >75 yrs=4 points; hematocrit level <39% for men, <35% for women=3 points; diabetes=3 points; contrast media volume=1 point for each 100 mL; serum creatinine level >1.5 g/dL=4 points OR estimated GFR 40-60 mL/min/1.73 m2=2 points, 20-40 mL/min/1.73 m2=4 points, <20 mL/min/1.73 m2=6 points. The risks assigned are as follows: risk for CIN and dialysis: 5 or less total points=risk of CIN—7.5%, risk of dialysis—0.04%; 6-10 total points=risk of CIN—14%, risk of dialysis—0.12%; 11-16 total points=risk of CIN—26.1%, risk of dialysis—1.09%; >16 total points=risk of CIN—57.3%, risk of dialysis—12.8%.


Example 2: Cardiac Surgery Sample Collection

The objective of this sample collection study is to collect samples of plasma and urine and clinical data from patients before and after undergoing cardiovascular surgery, a procedure known to be potentially damaging to kidney function. Approximately 900 adults undergoing such surgery are enrolled. To be enrolled in the study, each patient must meet all of the following inclusion criteria and none of the following exclusion criteria:


Inclusion Criteria

males and females 18 years of age or older;


undergoing cardiovascular surgery;


Toronto/Ottawa Predictive Risk Index for Renal Replacement risk score of at least 2 (Wijeysundera et al., JAMA 297: 1801-9, 2007); and


able and willing to provide written informed consent for study participation and to comply with all study procedures.


Exclusion Criteria

known pregnancy;


previous renal transplantation;


acutely worsening renal function prior to enrollment (e.g., any category of RIFLE criteria);


already receiving dialysis (either acute or chronic) or in imminent need of dialysis at enrollment;


currently enrolled in another clinical study or expected to be enrolled in another clinical study within 7 days of cardiac surgery that involves drug infusion or a therapeutic intervention for AKI;


known infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or a hepatitis virus.


Within 3 hours prior to the first incision (and after any pre-procedure hydration), an EDTA anti-coagulated blood sample (10 mL), whole blood (3 mL), and a urine sample (35 mL) are collected from each patient. Blood and urine samples are then collected at 3 (±0.5), 6 (±0.5), 12 (±1), 24 (±2) and 48 (±2) hrs following the procedure and then daily on days 3 through 7 if the subject remains in the hospital. Blood is collected via direct venipuncture or via other available venous access, such as an existing femoral sheath, central venous line, peripheral intravenous line or hep-lock. These study blood samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc., San Diego, Calif. The study urine samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc.


Example 3: Acutely Ill Subject Sample Collection

The objective of this study is to collect samples from acutely ill patients. Approximately 2200 adults expected to be in the ICU for at least 48 hours will be enrolled. To be enrolled in the study, each patient must meet all of the following inclusion criteria and none of the following exclusion criteria:


Inclusion Criteria

males and females 18 years of age or older;


Study population 1: approximately 300 patients that have at least one of:


shock (SBP<90 mmHg and/or need for vasopressor support to maintain MAP>60 mmHg and/or documented drop in SBP of at least 40 mmHg); and


sepsis;


Study population 2: approximately 300 patients that have at least one of:


IV antibiotics ordered in computerized physician order entry (CPOE) within 24 hours of enrollment;


contrast media exposure within 24 hours of enrollment;


increased Intra-Abdominal Pressure with acute decompensated heart failure; and


severe trauma as the primary reason for ICU admission and likely to be hospitalized in the ICU for 48 hours after enrollment;


Study population 3: approximately 300 patients expected to be hospitalized through acute care setting (ICU or ED) with a known risk factor for acute renal injury (e.g. sepsis, hypotension/shock (Shock=systolic BP<90 mmHg and/or the need for vasopressor support to maintain a MAP>60 mmHg and/or a documented drop in SBP>40 mmHg), major trauma, hemorrhage, or major surgery); and/or expected to be hospitalized to the ICU for at least 24 hours after enrollment;


Study population 4: approximately 1000 patients that are 21 years of age or older, within 24 hours of being admitted into the ICU, expected to have an indwelling urinary catheter for at least 48 hours after enrollment, and have at least one of the following acute conditions within 24 hours prior to enrollment:


(i) respiratory SOFA score of >2 (PaO2/FiO2<300), (ii) cardiovascular SOFA score of >1 (MAP<70 mm Hg and/or any vasopressor required).


Study population 5: approximately 300 patients that are 21 years of age or older, receiving care in the ICU, have an indwelling urinary catheter as standard care at the time of enrollment, have acute kidney injury (KDIGO stage 2 or stage 3) at the time of the first sample collection, and have their first sample collected within 36 hours of meeting KDIGO stage 2 criteria


Exclusion Criteria

known pregnancy;


prisoners or institutionalized individuals;


previous renal transplantation;


comfort-measures-only status for study population 5;


known acutely worsening renal function prior to enrollment (e.g., any category of RIFLE criteria) for study populations 1, 2, 3, and 4;


received dialysis (either acute or chronic) within 5 days prior to enrollment or in imminent need of dialysis at the time of enrollment;


known infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or a hepatitis virus; meets any of the following in study populations 4 and 5:

    • (i) active bleeding with an anticipated need for >4 units PRBC in a day;
    • (ii) hemoglobin <7 g/dL;
    • (iii) any other condition that in the physician's opinion would contraindicate drawing serial blood samples for clinical study purposes;


      meets only the SBP <90 mmHg inclusion criterion set forth above, and does not have shock in the attending physician's or principal investigator's opinion.


After obtaining informed consent, an EDTA anti-coagulated blood sample (10 mL) and a urine sample (25-50 mL) are collected from each patient. Blood and urine samples are then collected at 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), 36 (±2), 48 (±2), 60 (±2), 72 (±2), and 84 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. Blood is collected via direct venipuncture or via other available venous access, such as an existing femoral sheath, central venous line, peripheral intravenous line or hep-lock. These study blood samples are processed to plasma at the clinical site, frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc., San Diego, Calif. The study urine samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc.


Example 4. Immunoassay Format

Analytes are measured using standard sandwich enzyme immunoassay techniques. A first antibody which binds the analyte is immobilized in wells of a 96 well polystyrene microplate. Analyte standards and test samples are pipetted into the appropriate wells and any analyte present is bound by the immobilized antibody. After washing away any unbound substances, a horseradish peroxidase-conjugated second antibody which binds the analyte is added to the wells, thereby forming sandwich complexes with the analyte (if present) and the first antibody. Following a wash to remove any unbound antibody-enzyme reagent, a substrate solution comprising tetramethylbenzidine and hydrogen peroxide is added to the wells. Color develops in proportion to the amount of analyte present in the sample. The color development is stopped and the intensity of the color is measured at 540 nm or 570 nm. An analyte concentration is assigned to the test sample by comparison to a standard curve determined from the analyte standards.


Table of Swiss-Prot numbers, preferred names and units for the analytes in the examples below.

















Swiss-Prot





Number
Preferred Name
Units









P01033
Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1
pg/ml



P16035
Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2
pg/ml



Q99727
Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4
pg/ml



Q16663
C-C motif chemokine 15
pg/ml



P55774
C-C motif chemokine 18
ng/ml



P55773
C-C motif chemokine 23
ng/ml



O00175
C-C motif chemokine 24
pg/ml










Example 5. Apparently Healthy Donor and Chronic Disease Patient Samples

Human urine samples from donors with no known chronic or acute disease (“Apparently Healthy Donors”) were purchased from two vendors (Golden West Biologicals, Inc., 27625 Commerce Center Dr., Temecula, Calif. 92590 and Virginia Medical Research, Inc., 915 First Colonial Rd., Virginia Beach, Va. 23454). The urine samples were shipped and stored frozen at less than −20° C. The vendors supplied demographic information for the individual donors including gender, race (Black/White), smoking status and age.


Human urine samples from donors with various chronic diseases (“Chronic Disease Patients”) including congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes mellitus and hypertension were purchased from Virginia Medical Research, Inc., 915 First Colonial Rd., Virginia Beach, Va. 23454. The urine samples were shipped and stored frozen at less than −20 degrees centigrade. The vendor provided a case report form for each individual donor with age, gender, race (Black/White), smoking status and alcohol use, height, weight, chronic disease(s) diagnosis, current medications and previous surgeries.


Example 6. Use of Metalloproteinase Inhibitor 1 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 6.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered”


cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
5950
17800
5970
17700
5950
17300


Average
9410
33100
8890
32200
8800
31800


Stdev
9010
35200
7930
34800
8170
34600


p (t-test)

8.0E−7

8.9E−6

3.1E−5


Min
634
297
634
297
634
297


Max
39400
146000
32600
146000
32600
146000


n (Patient)
57
260
46
271
41
276







sCr only













Median
7940
18500
7940
18100
7940
18100


Average
12800
33700
13000
33500
11700
33500


Stdev
16300
35700
16400
35600
11300
35800


p (t-test)

1.3E−6

2.7E−6

8.7E−7


Min
634
297
634
297
634
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
65500
146000


n (Patient)
76
240
74
242
70
246







UO only













Median
10800
21300
9980
20500
9520
20800


Average
23500
37700
23000
36200
22100
35700


Stdev
30800
35700
30600
35400
29800
35400


p (t-test)

2.2E−4

4.4E−4

2.7E−4


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
127000
146000


n (Patient)
194
121
173
142
156
159












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.75
0.70
0.66
0.75
0.69


SE
0.031
0.032
0.032
0.033
0.032


p Value
 2.2E−16 
 2.7E−10 
7.5E−7
 6.6E−14 
2.2E−9


nCohort
57
76
194
46
74


Recovered


nCohort Non-
260
240
121
271
242


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020


Sensitivity
82%
81%
88%
80%
81%


Specificity
54%
43%
34%
52%
43%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100


Sensitivity
58%
58%
66%
56%
58%


Specificity
84%
76%
60%
87%
76%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400


Sensitivity
30%
31%
35%
30%
31%


Specificity
98%
95%
81%
100% 
95%


OR Quartile 2
5.27
3.24
3.85
4.28
3.16


p Value
8.6E−8
3.5E−5
2.9E−5
1.1E−5
5.5E−5


Lower limit of
2.87
1.86
2.05
2.24
1.81


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.67
5.64
7.24
8.21
5.53


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
7.27
4.51
2.90
8.64
4.27


p Value
2.4E−7
5.1E−7
1.0E−5
2.1E−6
1.4E−6


Lower limit of
3.42
2.51
1.81
3.55
2.37


95% CI


Upper limit of
15.4
8.12
4.66
21.1
7.70


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
24.4
8.18
2.26
39.1
7.86


p Value
0.0017
7.8E−5
0.0021
0.010
1.1E−4


Lower limit of
3.32
2.88
1.34
2.38
2.77


95% CI


Upper limit of
180
23.2
3.79
642
22.3


95% CI












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.65
0.75
0.70
0.66



SE
0.031
0.035
0.032
0.030



p Value
8.9E−7
 2.7E−13
 8.0E−10
1.2E−7



nCohort
173
41
70
156



Recovered



nCohort Non-
142
276
246
159



recovered



Cutoff Quartile 2
6080
6030
6020
6080



Sensitivity
86%
79%
80%
85%



Specificity
34%
54%
43%
35%



Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14100
14200



Sensitivity
63%
56%
58%
63%



Specificity
61%
88%
77%
63%



Cutoff Quartile 4
36300
35900
35400
36300



Sensitivity
33%
29%
31%
33%



Specificity
82%
100% 
96%
83%



OR Quartile 2
3.16
4.45
3.02
3.06



p Value
7.2E−5
1.7E−5
1.4E−4
5.6E−5



Lower limit of
1.79
2.25
1.71
1.78



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.57
8.78
5.32
5.28



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.67
9.09
4.61
2.86



p Value
2.6E−5
7.4E−6
1.0E−6
6.4E−6



Lower limit of
1.69
3.46
2.50
1.81



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.22
23.9
8.50
4.52



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
2.18
34.0
9.98
2.50



p Value
0.0033
0.014
1.5E−4
7.9E−4



Lower limit of
1.30
2.07
3.04
1.46



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.66
559
32.7
4.27



95% CI

















TABLE 6.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
6460
20500
6980
19000
6510
18500


Average
13400
34900
14200
33700
14400
33000


Stdev
18900
35800
19900
35500
20800
35100


p (t-test)

1.2E-7

5.1E-6

2.7E-5


Min
634
297
634
297
634
297


Max
110000
146000
110000
146000
110000
146000


n (Patient)
90
227
79
238
71
246







sCr only













Median
8310
20500
8310
20000
8210
19800


Average
15500
35500
15700
35200
14700
35200


Stdev
21000
36300
21100
36300
19000
36400


p (t-test)

2.9E-7

6.5E-7

2.4E-7


Min
634
297
634
297
634
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
110000
146000


n (Patient)
106
211
104
213
99
218







UO only













Median
11200
20500
11000
19200
11000
19300


Average
25400
36200
25900
33900
25000
34000


Stdev
31900
35500
32300
34700
31500
35300


p (t-test)

0.0071

0.039

0.017


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
127000
146000


n (Patient)
212
103
194
121
178
137













Recovery Period Duration (hr)












24
48














sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.74
0.70
0.64
0.71
0.69


SE
0.029
0.030
0.034
0.031
0.030


p Value
 2.2E−16 
 1.5E−11 
5.3E−5
 4.3E−12 
 1.2E−10 


nCohort
90
106
212
79
104


Recovered


nCohort Non-
227
211
103
238
213


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6030
6080
6030
6030


Sensitivity
85%
84%
90%
82%
84%


Specificity
49%
42%
33%
47%
42%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200


Sensitivity
61%
62%
67%
59%
61%


Specificity
78%
73%
58%
76%
72%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35900
36300
35900
35900


Sensitivity
32%
33%
31%
31%
33%


Specificity
92%
91%
78%
91%
90%


OR Quartile 2
5.25
3.84
4.49
4.11
3.73


p Value
3.1E−9
7.1E−7
3.7E−5
5.6E−7
1.2E−6


Lower limit of
3.03
2.26
2.20
2.36
2.19


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.08
6.54
9.15
7.15
6.35


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
5.53
4.26
2.80
4.51
4.05


p Value
2.8E−9
2.4E−8
4.1E−5
3.1E−7
7.4E−8


Lower limit of
3.14
2.56
1.71
2.53
2.43


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.72
7.09
4.59
8.03
6.74


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.62
4.77
1.58
4.55
4.60


p Value
3.7E−5
1.7E−5
0.089
3.1E−4
2.6E−5


Lower limit of
2.48
2.34
0.933
2.00
2.26


95% CI


Upper limit of
12.8
9.71
2.68
10.4
9.38


95% CI












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.61
0.71
0.70
0.62



SE
0.033
0.032
0.030
0.032



p Value
5.9E−4
 1.8E−11 
 2.2E−11 
2.6E−4



nCohort
194
71
99
178



Recovered



nCohort Non-
121
246
218
137



recovered



Cutoff Quartile 2
6080
6030
6030
6080



Sensitivity
87%
82%
83%
85%



Specificity
32%
48%
42%
33%



Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14200
14200



Sensitivity
61%
58%
61%
61%



Specificity
57%
77%
74%
58%



Cutoff Quartile 4
36300
35900
35900
36300



Sensitivity
29%
30%
33%
31%



Specificity
77%
90%
91%
79%



OR Quartile 2
3.16
4.10
3.60
2.67



p Value
2.0E−4
1.0E−6
2.4E−6
6.0E−4



Lower limit of
1.72
2.33
2.12
1.52



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.78
7.23
6.14
4.68



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.06
4.77
4.39
2.11



p Value
0.0022
5.5E−7
3.1E−8
0.0013



Lower limit of
1.30
2.59
2.60
1.34



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.28
8.80
7.42
3.32



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
1.39
3.86
4.83
1.68



p Value
0.21
0.0014
3.1E−5
0.046



Lower limit of
0.827
1.69
2.30
1.01



95% CI



Upper limit of
2.33
8.82
10.1
2.81



95% CI

















TABLE 6.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
7170
20500
7180
20200
7150
19300


Average
15100
36500
15400
35700
15800
34600


Stdev
20200
36700
20700
36400
21500
36000


p (t-test)

1.9E−8

1.9E−7

2.6E−6


Min
475
297
475
297
475
297


Max
110000
146000
110000
146000
110000
146000


n (Patient)
114
203
107
210
97
220







sCr only













Median
8610
20500
8810
20000
8610
19800


Average
16800
36900
17100
36400
16300
36300


Stdev
21800
37100
22000
37100
20400
37200


p (t-test)

8.2E−8

3.2E−7

1.3E−7


Min
475
297
475
297
475
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
110000
146000


n (Patient)
127
190
124
193
119
198







UO only













Median
11600
20500
11500
19400
11000
20500


Average
26000
35300
25900
34500
24700
35300


Stdev
32000
35500
32000
35400
31000
35900


p (t-test)

0.021

0.030

0.0057


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
127000
146000


n (Patient)
214
101
204
111
190
125













Recovery Period Duration (hr)












24
48














sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.72
0.69
0.62
0.71
0.68


SE
0.028
0.029
0.035
0.029
0.030


p Value
 1.6E−15 
 2.6E−11 
6.7E−4
 2.9E−13 
 9.0E−10 


nCohort
114
127
214
107
124


Recovered


nCohort Non-
203
190
101
210
193


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6030
6080
6030
6030


Sensitivity
87%
86%
87%
85%
85%


Specificity
46%
41%
31%
45%
40%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200


Sensitivity
64%
63%
64%
62%
62%


Specificity
74%
69%
57%
73%
69%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35900
36300
35900
35900


Sensitivity
34%
35%
30%
33%
34%


Specificity
90%
89%
77%
90%
89%


OR Quartile 2
5.47
4.19
3.02
4.70
3.82


p Value
1.2E−9
2.0E−7
8.7E−4
1.8E−8
8.4E−7


Lower limit of
3.16
2.44
1.57
2.74
2.24


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.45
7.18
5.79
8.05
6.51


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.88
3.87
2.35
4.37
3.58


p Value
7.9E−10
3.0E−8
6.1E−4
1.4E−8
1.7E−7


Lower limit of
2.94
2.40
1.44
2.63
2.22


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.09
6.24
3.83
7.27
5.78


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.82
4.30
1.42
4.27
4.08


p Value
7.0E−6
5.9E−6
0.19
3.5E−5
1.2E−5


Lower limit of
2.43
2.29
0.835
2.15
2.17


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.58
8.07
2.42
8.49
7.67


95% CI












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.61
0.70
0.69
0.63



SE
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.033



p Value
0.0013
 6.9E−12 
 2.9E−10 
1.2E−4



nCohort
204
97
119
190



Recovered



nCohort Non-
111
220
198
125



recovered



Cutoff Quartile 2
6080
6030
6030
6080



Sensitivity
86%
84%
84%
85%



Specificity
31%
45%
40%
32%



Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14200
14200



Sensitivity
62%
60%
62%
62%



Specificity
56%
73%
70%
58%



Cutoff Quartile 4
36300
35900
35900
36300



Sensitivity
29%
31%
34%
32%



Specificity
77%
89%
89%
79%



OR Quartile 2
2.65
4.39
3.64
2.57



p Value
0.0016
7.5E−8
1.8E−6
0.0013



Lower limit of
1.45
2.56
2.14
1.45



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.87
7.52
6.19
4.58



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.12
4.17
3.78
2.28



p Value
0.0018
9.2E−8
7.8E−8
4.7E−4



Lower limit of
1.32
2.47
2.33
1.44



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.41
7.05
6.14
3.62



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
1.35
3.57
4.17
1.82



p Value
0.26
2.9E−4
1.5E−5
0.022



Lower limit of
0.801
1.79
2.18
1.09



95% CI



Upper limit of
2.29
7.12
7.96
3.05



95% CI

















TABLE 6.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
8180
22000
8150
21100
7940
20000


Average
15800
38300
16200
37000
16600
35700


Stdev
21300
37200
21900
36900
22700
36300


p (t-test)

1.1E−9

2.9E−8

6.2E−7


Min
419
297
419
297
419
297


Max
111000
146000
111000
146000
111000
146000


n (Patient)
134
183
125
192
114
203







sCr only













Median
8710
21900
8740
21300
8730
21600


Average
17200
38000
17400
37700
16600
37900


Stdev
22900
37300
23000
37200
21600
37500


p (t-test)

1.6E−8

4.2E−8

9.3E−9


Min
419
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
111000
146000


n (Patient)
140
177
138
179
135
182







UO only













Median
11600
21300
11200
20300
11000
20500


Average
25600
36300
25600
35400
24600
35900


Stdev
31900
35600
31800
35600
30800
36300


p (t-test)

0.0076

0.013

0.0032


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
127000
146000


n (Patient)
216
99
207
108
194
121












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.73
0.71
0.63
0.72
0.70


SE
0.028
0.029
0.035
0.028
0.029


p Value
0
 3.9E−13 
1.9E−4
 2.8E−14 
 4.1E−12 


nCohort
134
140
216
125
138


Recovered


nCohort Non-
183
177
99
192
179


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6030
6080
6030
6030


Sensitivity
88%
87%
88%
86%
87%


Specificity
43%
40%
31%
42%
40%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200


Sensitivity
67%
66%
66%
64%
65%


Specificity
72%
69%
57%
71%
69%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35900
36300
35900
35900


Sensitivity
37%
36%
33%
35%
36%


Specificity
90%
89%
79%
90%
88%


OR Quartile 2
5.42
4.46
3.26
4.70
4.28


p Value
3.8E−9
1.2E−7
5.3E−4
2.6E−8
2.1E−7


Lower limit of
3.09
2.57
1.67
2.73
2.47


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.50
7.76
6.36
8.10
7.41


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
5.24
4.29
2.53
4.41
4.07


p Value
2.8E−11
1.8E−9
2.4E−4
2.3E−9
6.2E−9


Lower limit of
3.22
2.67
1.54
2.71
2.53


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.54
6.89
4.15
7.17
6.53


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.38
4.39
1.85
4.62
4.24


p Value
3.4E−7
1.6E−6
0.023
3.5E−6
2.7E−6


Lower limit of
2.82
2.40
1.09
2.42
2.32


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.3
8.03
3.14
8.81
7.76


95% CI












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.62
0.71
0.71
0.63



SE
0.034
0.029
0.029
0.033



p Value
2.7E−4
 6.0E−13 
 5.8E−13 
6.7E−5



nCohort
207
114
135
194



Recovered



nCohort Non-
108
203
182
121



recovered



Cutoff Quartile 2
6080
6030
6030
6080



Sensitivity
88%
85%
86%
86%



Specificity
32%
43%
40%
32%



Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14200
14200



Sensitivity
63%
63%
65%
63%



Specificity
57%
72%
70%
58%



Cutoff Quartile 4
36300
35900
35900
36300



Sensitivity
31%
33%
36%
33%



Specificity
78%
89%
89%
80%



OR Quartile 2
3.42
4.35
4.19
2.87



p Value
2.0E−4
7.9E−8
2.6E−7
5.1E−4



Lower limit of
1.79
2.54
2.43
1.58



95% CI



Upper limit of
6.55
7.43
7.22
5.21



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.21
4.28
4.23
2.31



p Value
0.0011
1.0E−8
3.1E−9
4.4E−4



Lower limit of
1.37
2.60
2.62
1.45



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.56
7.04
6.81
3.68



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
1.65
3.83
4.44
1.96



p Value
0.060
4.8E−5
2.1E−6
0.011



Lower limit of
0.980
2.00
2.40
1.17



95% CI



Upper limit of
2.79
7.31
8.23
3.29



95% CI

















TABLE 6.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
10600
20800
10000
20700
10000
20700


Average
22100
38700
22200
38200
22200
38200


Stdev
28300
37600
28500
37300
28500
37300


p (t-test)

9.9E−6

2.0E−5

2.0E−5


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
127000
146000
127000
146000
127000
146000


n (Patient)
188
129
185
132
185
132







sCr only













Median
9400
22000
9350
22000
9330
22000


Average
18800
39100
18900
38600
18300
39000


Stdev
24400
37900
24600
37700
23400
38100


p (t-test)

3.0E−8

8.7E−8

1.5E−8


Min
419
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
111000
146000


n (Patient)
160
157
157
160
156
161







UO only













Median
11300
21500
11600
20800
11300
21100


Average
24300
38300
24500
37500
24500
37300


Stdev
29900
38000
30100
37800
30200
37400


p (t-test)

4.4E−4

0.0010

0.0012


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
127000
146000
127000
146000
127000
146000


n (Patient)
211
104
208
107
205
110












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.66
0.70
0.64
0.66
0.69
0.63
0.66
0.70
0.63


SE
0.032
0.029
0.034
0.031
0.029
0.034
0.031
0.029
0.034


p Value
3.5E−7
 1.9E−11 
5.5E−5
3.6E−7
 8.3E−11 
1.1E−4
3.6E−7
 1.5E−11 
9.6E−5


nCohort
188
160
211
185
157
208
185
156
205


Recovered


nCohort Non-
129
157
104
132
160
107
132
161
110


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6030
6080
6030
6030
6080
6030
6030
6080


Sensitivity
87%
88%
87%
87%
88%
87%
87%
88%
86%


Specificity
33%
38%
31%
34%
38%
31%
34%
38%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200


Sensitivity
66%
66%
65%
65%
66%
64%
65%
66%
64%


Specificity
61%
66%
57%
61%
66%
57%
61%
66%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35900
36300
35900
35900
36300
35900
35900
36300


Sensitivity
37%
37%
35%
36%
36%
34%
36%
37%
34%


Specificity
83%
86%
80%
83%
86%
79%
83%
87%
80%


OR Quartile 2
3.24
4.36
2.86
3.41
4.21
3.02
3.41
4.29
2.87


p Value
1.0E−4
5.6E−7
0.0012
5.1E−5
7.3E−7
6.3E−4
5.1E−5
5.4E−7
8.4E−4


Lower limit of
1.79
2.45
1.52
1.88
2.39
1.60
1.88
2.43
1.55


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.87
7.76
5.40
6.17
7.44
5.69
6.17
7.58
5.34


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.98
3.75
2.54
2.87
3.64
2.29
2.87
3.75
2.33


p Value
4.7E−6
2.5E−8
1.8E−4
8.5E−6
4.6E−8
7.3E−4
8.5E−6
2.5E−8
5.2E−4


Lower limit of
1.87
2.35
1.56
1.80
2.29
1.41
1.80
2.35
1.44


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.75
5.96
4.13
4.56
5.79
3.69
4.56
5.96
3.75


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.89
3.67
2.07
2.73
3.49
1.95
2.73
3.72
1.97


p Value
6.7E−5
4.2E−6
0.0066
1.5E−4
9.8E−6
0.013
1.5E−4
4.4E−6
0.011


Lower limit of
1.71
2.11
1.22
1.62
2.01
1.15
1.62
2.12
1.17


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.87
6.40
3.50
4.60
6.07
3.28
4.60
6.51
3.31


95% CI
















TABLE 6.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)













24
48
72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort












sCr or UO














Median
253000
499000
245000
494000
245000
472000


Average
314000
530000
280000
527000
285000
523000


Stdev
213000
274000
171000
275000
178000
275000


p (t-test)

1.5E−7

3.4E−8

3.8E−7


Min
66700
13600
66700
13600
66700
13600


Max
975000
1120000
872000
1120000
872000
1120000


n (Patient)
52
275
42
285
38
289








sCr only














Median
257000
519000
257000
519000
257000
511000


Average
341000
535000
333000
535000
341000
530000


Stdev
237000
270000
231000
270000
236000
271000


p (t-test)

1.1E−7

4.6E−8

5.7E−7


Min
66700
13600
66700
13600
66700
13600


Max
950000
1120000
950000
1120000
950000
1120000


n (Patient)
69
257
67
259
63
263








UO only














Median
359000
582000
343000
586000
342000
567000


Average
431000
598000
413000
596000
411000
580000


Stdev
248000
287000
239000
285000
241000
283000


p (t-test)

5.3E−8

1.1E−9

1.9E−8


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
197
128
176
149
159
166












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.74
0.72
0.67
0.78
0.73


SE
0.032
0.031
0.031
0.032
0.031


p Value
 7.8E−14 
 4.5E−13 
8.1E−8
0
 3.7E−14 


nCohort
52
69
197
42
67


Recovered


nCohort Non-
275
257
128
285
259


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000


Sensitivity
80%
82%
84%
80%
82%


Specificity
52%
51%
31%
57%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000


Sensitivity
56%
57%
62%
55%
57%


Specificity
81%
75%
58%
83%
76%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000


Sensitivity
28%
29%
41%
28%
29%


Specificity
92%
88%
85%
98%
90%


OR Quartile 2
4.32
4.60
2.42
5.22
4.93


p Value
3.6E−6
1.4E−7
0.0021
1.7E−6
5.1E−8


Lower limit of
2.33
2.61
1.38
2.65
2.78


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.02
8.12
4.26
10.3
8.76


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
5.35
4.02
2.29
6.13
4.18


p Value
6.7E−6
5.6E−6
3.7E−4
2.6E−5
4.8E−6


Lower limit of
2.58
2.21
1.45
2.64
2.27


95% CI


Upper limit of
11.1
7.34
3.61
14.3
7.72


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.75
3.08
4.09
16.3
3.49


p Value
0.0037
0.0049
1.7E−7
0.0063
0.0030


Lower limit of
1.66
1.41
2.41
2.20
1.53


95% CI


Upper limit of
13.6
6.76
6.94
120
7.99


95% CI












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.69
0.77
0.72
0.68



SE
0.030
0.034
0.032
0.030



p Value
 5.0E−10 
 6.9E−15 
 1.3E−11 
3.1E−9



nCohort
176
38
63
159



Recovered



nCohort Non-
149
289
263
166



recovered



Cutoff Quartile 2
262000
260000
260000
262000



Sensitivity
85%
79%
81%
85%



Specificity
33%
58%
51%
35%



Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
433000
437000



Sensitivity
63%
54%
56%
60%



Specificity
61%
82%
75%
60%



Cutoff Quartile 4
708000
707000
704000
708000



Sensitivity
40%
28%
29%
37%



Specificity
88%
97%
89%
87%



OR Quartile 2
2.69
5.25
4.40
3.07



p Value
3.6E−4
3.9E−6
6.1E−7
4.1E−5



Lower limit of
1.56
2.60
2.46
1.79



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.64
10.6
7.87
5.24



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.65
5.27
3.72
2.19



p Value
2.2E−5
1.3E−4
3.0E−5
5.2E−4



Lower limit of
1.69
2.25
2.01
1.41



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.16
12.4
6.90
3.42



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
4.72
14.4
3.19
4.14



p Value
4.0E−8
0.0090
0.0061
8.0E−7



Lower limit of
2.71
1.94
1.39
2.36



95% CI



Upper limit of
8.21
107
7.32
7.29



95% CI

















TABLE 6.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)













24
48
72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort












sCr or UO














Median
279000
525000
277000
499000
279000
490000


Average
363000
543000
366000
534000
370000
529000


Stdev
233000
275000
239000
275000
245000
275000


p (t-test)

1.0E−7

2.4E−6

1.7E−5


Min
66700
13600
66700
13600
66700
13600


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
87
240
76
251
69
258








sCr only














Median
282000
528000
282000
528000
291000
521000


Average
380000
547000
376000
547000
382000
541000


Stdev
248000
273000
245000
273000
249000
274000


p (t-test)

3.0E−7

1.7E−7

1.8E−6


Min
66700
13600
66700
13600
66700
13600


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
101
226
99
228
94
233








UO only














Median
371000
598000
369000
576000
371000
534000


Average
437000
617000
434000
595000
433000
578000


Stdev
250000
287000
248000
289000
245000
292000


p (t-test)

1.4E−8

1.9E−7

1.8E−6


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
217
108
198
127
181
144












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.70
0.69
0.68
0.69
0.69


SE
0.030
0.030
0.033
0.032
0.030


p Value
 4.7E−11 
 4.8E−10 
1.9E−8
4.3E−9
 1.6E−10 


nCohort
87
101
217
76
99


Recovered


nCohort Non-
240
226
108
251
228


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000


Sensitivity
81%
82%
87%
80%
82%


Specificity
43%
42%
31%
43%
42%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000


Sensitivity
57%
58%
65%
56%
58%


Specificity
70%
67%
57%
68%
68%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
707000
708000
707000
707000


Sensitivity
30%
31%
44%
29%
31%


Specificity
90%
87%
84%
89%
88%


OR Quartile 2
3.21
3.31
3.00
3.16
3.46


p Value
1.9E−5
7.2E−6
6.5E−4
4.1E−5
3.5E−6


Lower limit of
1.88
1.96
1.60
1.82
2.05


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.47
5.58
5.64
5.49
5.85


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.17
2.84
2.46
2.73
2.88


p Value
1.7E−5
3.3E−5
2.3E−4
2.9E−4
3.0E−5


Lower limit of
1.88
1.74
1.52
1.59
1.75


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.37
4.65
3.96
4.71
4.73


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.79
2.98
4.01
3.55
3.21


p Value
4.4E−4
9.7E−4
2.2E−7
0.0015
5.9E−4


Lower limit of
1.80
1.56
2.37
1.63
1.65


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.96
5.68
6.77
7.76
6.25


95% CI












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.66
0.68
0.68
0.65



SE
0.031
0.033
0.031
0.031



p Value
2.4E−7
6.9E−8
7.1E−9
2.1E−6



nCohort
198
69
94
181



Recovered



nCohort Non-
127
258
233
144



recovered



Cutoff Quartile 2
262000
260000
260000
262000



Sensitivity
85%
80%
82%
84%



Specificity
31%
43%
41%
32%



Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
437000
437000



Sensitivity
62%
55%
57%
58%



Specificity
58%
68%
67%
56%



Cutoff Quartile 4
708000
707000
707000
708000



Sensitivity
39%
29%
30%
37%



Specificity
84%
88%
87%
84%



OR Quartile 2
2.59
3.05
3.13
2.48



p Value
0.0011
1.1E−4
2.2E−5
0.0011



Lower limit of
1.46
1.73
1.85
1.44



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.59
5.36
5.31
4.28



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.23
2.62
2.70
1.81



p Value
5.5E−4
8.1E−4
1.0E−4
0.0088



Lower limit of
1.42
1.49
1.64
1.16



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.52
4.59
4.47
2.81



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
3.37
3.07
2.93
3.05



p Value
4.6E−6
0.0051
0.0016
2.8E−5



Lower limit of
2.00
1.40
1.51
1.81



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.66
6.72
5.72
5.14



95% CI

















TABLE 6.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)













24
48
72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort












sCr or UO














Median
280000
560000
279000
530000
279000
524000


Average
362000
564000
364000
557000
366000
547000


Stdev
224000
276000
229000
275000
235000
275000


p (t-test)

1.2E−10

1.5E−9

4.4E−8


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
111
216
104
223
94
233








sCr only














Median
286000
564000
282000
564000
286000
552000


Average
376000
568000
372000
568000
376000
561000


Stdev
238000
273000
236000
273000
239000
274000


p (t-test)

4.0E−10

2.0E−10 

3.0E−9


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
124
203
121
206
116
211








UO only














Median
367000
602000
363000
595000
367000
577000


Average
434000
627000
435000
608000
429000
596000


Stdev
247000
288000
249000
288000
243000
292000


p (t-test)

1.4E−9 

2.8E−8

4.6E−8


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
219
106
208
117
193
132












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.72
0.71
0.70
0.71
0.71


SE
0.028
0.028
0.032
0.029
0.028


p Value
 1.2E−14 
 1.7E−13 
1.4E−9
 2.1E−13 
 3.3E−14 


nCohort
111
124
219
104
121


Recovered


nCohort Non-
216
203
106
223
206


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000


Sensitivity
84%
84%
88%
83%
84%


Specificity
42%
40%
31%
43%
41%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000


Sensitivity
60%
61%
66%
59%
61%


Specificity
68%
67%
58%
69%
68%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
707000
708000
707000
707000


Sensitivity
33%
33%
42%
32%
33%


Specificity
91%
89%
83%
90%
89%


OR Quartile 2
3.80
3.61
3.22
3.83
3.83


p Value
5.5E−7
1.4E−6
4.0E−4
5.1E−7
4.8E−7


Lower limit of
2.25
2.14
1.69
2.27
2.27


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.40
6.08
6.15
6.48
6.46


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.22
3.11
2.63
3.26
3.24


p Value
2.2E−6
2.0E−6
8.5E−5
2.8E−6
1.1E−6


Lower limit of
1.98
1.95
1.63
1.99
2.02


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.22
4.97
4.27
5.35
5.21


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.05
3.96
3.63
4.48
4.18


p Value
7.5E−6
1.8E−5
1.3E−6
3.4E−5
1.3E−5


Lower limit of
2.49
2.11
2.15
2.20
2.20


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.3
7.42
6.12
9.11
7.97


95% CI












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.68
0.70
0.70
0.67



SE
0.032
0.030
0.029
0.031



p Value
2.6E−8
 2.1E−11 
 1.9E−12 
5.2E−8



nCohort
208
94
116
193



Recovered



nCohort Non-
117
233
211
132



recovered



Cutoff Quartile 2
262000
260000
260000
262000



Sensitivity
86%
82%
84%
86%



Specificity
31%
44%
41%
32%



Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
437000
437000



Sensitivity
65%
58%
60%
62%



Specificity
58%
69%
67%
58%



Cutoff Quartile 4
708000
707000
707000
708000



Sensitivity
40%
31%
33%
39%



Specificity
83%
89%
89%
84%



OR Quartile 2
2.87
3.62
3.67
2.81



p Value
6.2E−4
1.9E−6
9.7E−7
3.9E−4



Lower limit of
1.57
2.13
2.18
1.59



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.25
6.15
6.19
4.99



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.58
3.09
3.04
2.27



p Value
7.6E−5
1.4E−5
4.5E−6
4.0E−4



Lower limit of
1.61
1.86
1.89
1.44



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.12
5.14
4.89
3.57



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
3.32
3.76
3.85
3.53



p Value
5.7E−6
2.7E−4
4.2E−5
2.3E−6



Lower limit of
1.98
1.84
2.02
2.09



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.57
7.66
7.34
5.96



95% CI

















TABLE 6.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Recovery Period Duration (hr)













24
48
72
















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort












sCr or UO














Median
296000
564000
293000
536000
279000
529000


Average
383000
573000
381000
566000
372000
561000


Stdev
232000
278000
233000
277000
236000
274000


p (t-test)

3.3E−10

1.7E−9

1.6E−9


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
134
193
125
202
113
214








sCr only














Median
293000
567000
289000
567000
282000
565000


Average
381000
580000
377000
581000
376000
577000


Stdev
234000
275000
231000
275000
233000
274000


p (t-test)

3.6E−11

1.0E−11 

2.7E−11 


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
139
188
137
190
133
194








UO only














Median
373000
595000
371000
582000
369000
576000


Average
438000
621000
437000
609000
432000
599000


Stdev
249000
290000
248000
291000
246000
291000


p (t-test)

1.1E−8 

4.2E−8

5.9E−8


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
220
105
211
114
198
127












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.70
0.71
0.69
0.70
0.72


SE
0.028
0.028
0.033
0.029
0.028


p Value
 7.5E−13 
 2.6E−14 
1.2E−8
 2.5E−12 
 2.7E−15 


nCohort
134
139
220
125
137


Recovered


nCohort Non-
193
188
105
202
190


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000


Sensitivity
85%
86%
90%
85%
86%


Specificity
40%
40%
32%
42%
40%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000


Sensitivity
60%
62%
65%
59%
62%


Specificity
64%
65%
57%
65%
66%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
707000
708000
707000
707000


Sensitivity
35%
36%
41%
34%
36%


Specificity
90%
89%
82%
90%
90%


OR Quartile 2
3.98
3.90
3.99
4.08
4.05


p Value
3.1E−7
4.9E−7
7.7E−5
1.6E−7
2.5E−7


Lower limit of
2.34
2.30
2.01
2.41
2.38


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.75
6.64
7.92
6.91
6.89


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.70
3.05
2.42
2.69
3.24


p Value
2.0E−5
1.7E−6
3.2E−4
2.6E−5
5.4E−7


Lower limit of
1.71
1.93
1.49
1.70
2.05


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.26
4.82
3.91
4.28
5.14


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.66
4.58
3.22
4.47
4.90


p Value
1.5E−6
1.2E−6
1.1E−5
5.1E−6
6.9E−7


Lower limit of
2.49
2.48
1.91
2.35
2.61


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.73
8.45
5.42
8.51
9.17


95% CI












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.68
0.71
0.72
0.67



SE
0.032
0.029
0.028
0.031



p Value
5.0E−8
 2.2E−13 
 6.7E−15 
4.9E−8



nCohort
211
113
133
198



Recovered



nCohort Non-
114
214
194
127



recovered



Cutoff Quartile 2
262000
260000
260000
262000



Sensitivity
88%
85%
86%
87%



Specificity
32%
44%
41%
33%



Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
437000
437000



Sensitivity
64%
59%
62%
62%



Specificity
57%
67%
67%
58%



Cutoff Quartile 4
708000
707000
707000
708000



Sensitivity
40%
33%
35%
39%



Specificity
83%
89%
89%
84%



OR Quartile 2
3.32
4.51
4.05
3.39



p Value
1.9E−4
2.2E−8
2.2E−7
7.1E−5



Lower limit of
1.77
2.66
2.39
1.86



95% CI



Upper limit of
6.24
7.65
6.88
6.19



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.39
3.00
3.28
2.23



p Value
2.7E−4
6.8E−6
5.0E−7
5.5E−4



Lower limit of
1.50
1.86
2.06
1.42



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.83
4.84
5.21
3.52



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
3.29
4.09
4.59
3.37



p Value
6.8E−6
3.1E−5
1.9E−6
4.6E−6



Lower limit of
1.96
2.11
2.45
2.00



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.52
7.94
8.59
5.66



95% CI

















TABLE 6.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
359000
572000
342000
576000
342000
577000


Average
421000
595000
416000
597000
415000
598000


Stdev
240000
290000
237000
289000
237000
289000


p (t-test)

8.6E−9

1.6E−9

1.1E−9 


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
187
140
184
143
183
144







sCr only













Median
313000
564000
308000
564000
308000
564000


Average
402000
583000
399000
583000
399000
581000


Stdev
240000
280000
239000
279000
239000
279000


p (t-test)

1.3E−9

 5.5E−10

8.4E−10


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
159
168
156
171
154
173







UO only













Median
375000
582000
369000
586000
359000
596000


Average
436000
616000
433000
617000
428000
622000


Stdev
245000
296000
243000
294000
241000
292000


p (t-test)

1.4E−8

4.2E−9

3.7E−10


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
215
110
212
113
209
116












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.68
0.69
0.68
0.68
0.70
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.70


SE
0.030
0.029
0.032
0.030
0.029
0.032
0.030
0.029
0.031


p Value
6.3E−9
 3.9E−11
3.0E−8
 8.4E−10
 8.0E−12
6.3E−9
 4.4E−10
 1.5E−11
 4.5E−10


nCohort Recovered
187
159
215
184
156
212
183
154
209


nCohort Non-
140
168
110
143
171
113
144
173
116


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000


Sensitivity
86%
86%
88%
87%
87%
88%
87%
86%
89%


Specificity
34%
37%
32%
34%
38%
32%
34%
38%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000


Sensitivity
62%
61%
65%
62%
62%
65%
62%
62%
66%


Specificity
59%
62%
57%
59%
63%
58%
60%
63%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
707000
708000
707000
707000
708000
707000
707000
708000


Sensitivity
39%
37%
40%
40%
37%
41%
40%
36%
42%


Specificity
86%
87%
82%
86%
88%
83%
86%
88%
84%


OR Quartile 2
3.24
3.72
3.45
3.40
3.91
3.63
3.45
3.75
3.82


p Value
5.5E−5
2.3E−6
1.7E−4
2.7E−5
9.5E−7
9.1E−5
2.1E−5
1.6E−6
4.7E−5


Lower limit of
1.83
2.16
1.81
1.92
2.27
1.90
1.95
2.18
2.00


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.73
6.41
6.59
6.01
6.75
6.93
6.11
6.44
7.29


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.35
2.55
2.43
2.40
2.76
2.47
2.45
2.76
2.66


p Value
2.0E−4
4.0E−5
2.4E−4
1.3E−4
9.3E−6
1.7E−4
8.6E−5
9.2E−6
4.6E−5


Lower limit of
1.50
1.63
1.51
1.53
1.76
1.54
1.57
1.76
1.66


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.67
3.98
3.91
3.75
4.31
3.97
3.84
4.32
4.27


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.83
4.07
3.11
4.22
4.21
3.36
4.14
4.07
3.90


p Value
6.8E−7
1.1E−6
1.8E−5
1.6E−7
8.4E−7
4.8E−6
2.3E−7
1.5E−6
3.5E−7


Lower limit of
2.26
2.31
1.85
2.46
2.37
2.00
2.42
2.30
2.31


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.52
7.14
5.21
7.22
7.45
5.64
7.09
7.21
6.58


95% CI









Example 7. Use of Metalloproteinase Inhibitor 1 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 7.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
7070
20000
6950
20000
6710
20500


Average
15900
35500
14900
35600
14800
35300


Stdev
23300
35800
21500
35900
21900
35700


p (t-test)

4.7E−7

1.2E−7

2.2E−7


Min
475
297
475
297
475
297


Max
116000
146000
110000
146000
110000
146000


n (Patient)
108
209
104
213
100
217







sCr only













Median
8650
20500
8510
20500
8310
20500


Average
16400
36800
16400
36600
16500
36400


Stdev
22300
36800
22400
36700
22600
36500


p (t-test)

5.2E−8

8.5E−8

1.3E−7


Min
475
297
475
297
475
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
126
190
124
192
122
194







UO only













Median
11300
21700
11000
21300
11000
20500


Average
24700
39200
24000
38700
24000
37300


Stdev
31100
36500
30700
36400
31000
35800


p (t-test)

3.9E−4

1.9E−4

6.3E−4


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
146000
140000


n (Patient)
222
93
208
107
198
117












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.72
0.70
0.66
0.73
0.70
0.66
0.73
0.70
0.65


SE
0.029
0.029
0.035
0.028
0.029
0.033
0.028
0.029
0.033


p Value
 3.8E−14
 9.9E−12
6.3E−6
 2.2E−15
 8.2E−12
1.7E−6
 2.2E−16
 6.5E−12
4.3E−6


nCohort Recovered
108
126
222
104
124
208
100
122
198


nCohort Non-
209
190
93
213
192
107
217
194
117


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080


Sensitivity
85%
84%
89%
85%
84%
89%
85%
85%
87%


Specificity
44%
39%
31%
45%
40%
32%
46%
40%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200


Sensitivity
63%
64%
68%
62%
64%
66%
63%
63%
64%


Specificity
74%
71%
57%
75%
71%
58%
77%
71%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300


Sensitivity
33%
35%
35%
33%
34%
36%
32%
34%
35%


Specificity
89%
90%
79%
90%
90%
81%
90%
89%
81%


OR Quartile 2
4.59
3.39
3.74
4.66
3.53
3.76
4.75
3.67
3.25


p Value
2.8E−8
6.1E−6
3.0E−4
2.1E−8
3.2E−6
9.9E−5
1.6E−8
1.6E−6
1.9E−4


Lower limit of
2.68
2.00
1.83
2.72
2.08
1.93
2.77
2.16
1.75


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.87
5.76
7.65
7.99
6.00
7.33
8.15
6.24
6.03


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.80
4.22
2.81
4.99
4.26
2.74
5.62
4.31
2.47


p Value
2.2E−9
5.6E−9
7.2E−5
1.8E−9
5.3E−9
4.8E−5
3.9E−10
4.9E−9
1.7E−4


Lower limit of
2.87
2.60
1.69
2.96
2.62
1.69
3.27
2.64
1.54


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.02
6.85
4.67
8.42
6.93
4.46
9.65
7.02
3.96


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.86
4.63
2.10
4.60
4.47
2.41
4.29
4.32
2.27


p Value
7.1E−5
3.5E−6
0.0064
2.6E−5
5.7E−6
9.9E−4
6.3E−5
9.3E−6
0.0019


Lower limit of
1.98
2.42
1.23
2.26
2.34
1.43
2.10
2.26
1.35


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.51
8.84
3.59
9.38
8.54
4.07
8.74
8.26
3.82


95% CI
















TABLE 7.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
9010
20500
8810
20500
8420
20500


Average
17700
37200
17600
37000
16900
37000


Stdev
23400
37100
23500
37000
22300
37100


p (t-test)

1.6E−7

1.9E−7

6.6E−8


Min
419
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
110000
146000


n (Patient)
136
181
134
183
129
188







sCr only













Median
9350
20500
9380
20500
9380
20500


Average
18000
38400
18100
38200
18100
38000


Stdev
22800
38000
22900
38000
23000
37800


p (t-test)

2.8E−8

4.1E−8

6.8E−8


Min
419
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
149
168
148
169
146
171







UO only













Median
11900
21700
11800
21300
11200
20900


Average
25200
38600
25300
37400
24900
36700


Stdev
31100
37200
31400
36500
31200
36200


p (t-test)

0.0012

0.0030

0.0029


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
146000
140000


n (Patient)
226
89
220
95
207
108












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.68
0.64
0.69
0.68
0.64
0.70
0.68
0.64


SE
0.029
0.030
0.036
0.029
0.030
0.035
0.029
0.030
0.034


p Value
 9.9E−11
1.0E−9
7.8E−5
 5.0E−11
1.4E−9
9.6E−5
 2.3E−12
1.4E−9
5.6E−5


nCohort Recovered
136
149
226
134
148
220
129
146
207


nCohort Non-
181
168
89
183
169
95
188
171
108


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6030
6080
6030
6030
6080
6030
6030
6080


Sensitivity
86%
86%
90%
86%
86%
89%
86%
86%
88%


Specificity
40%
37%
31%
40%
37%
31%
41%
38%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200


Sensitivity
63%
64%
66%
63%
63%
65%
63%
63%
64%


Specificity
67%
65%
56%
67%
65%
56%
69%
65%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35900
36300
35900
35900
36300
35900
35900
36300


Sensitivity
34%
36%
33%
34%
36%
33%
34%
36%
32%


Specificity
87%
87%
78%
87%
87%
78%
88%
87%
79%


OR Quartile 2
4.11
3.51
3.99
4.27
3.57
3.88
4.35
3.70
3.42


p Value
3.6E−7
6.4E−6
2.7E−4
1.8E−7
4.8E−6
2.0E−4
1.1E−7
2.6E−6
2.0E−4


Lower limit of
2.38
2.03
1.89
2.47
2.07
1.90
2.53
2.14
1.79


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.08
6.06
8.40
7.36
6.17
7.94
7.48
6.39
6.55


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.44
3.27
2.52
3.46
3.19
2.43
3.84
3.19
2.35


p Value
2.2E−7
4.6E−7
4.0E−4
2.1E−7
8.0E−7
5.0E−4
3.2E−8
7.9E−7
4.9E−4


Lower limit of
2.16
2.06
1.51
2.16
2.01
1.47
2.38
2.01
1.45


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.49
5.19
4.21
5.53
5.05
4.00
6.18
5.06
3.79


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.42
3.90
1.70
3.61
3.83
1.74
3.65
3.71
1.78


p Value
3.7E−5
3.5E−6
0.055
2.2E−5
4.6E−6
0.043
2.7E−5
7.9E−6
0.031


Lower limit of
1.91
2.19
0.988
2.00
2.16
1.02
1.99
2.09
1.05


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.12
6.93
2.93
6.54
6.81
2.96
6.67
6.59
3.00


95% CI
















TABLE 7.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
9010
21900
9010
21700
8870
21700


Average
18400
38700
18500
38300
18000
38300


Stdev
24700
37300
24900
37200
23900
37400


p (t-test)

3.1E−8

7.1E−8

3.0E−8


Min
419
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
111000
146000


n (Patient)
154
163
152
165
148
169







sCr only













Median
9310
22000
9160
21900
9310
21600


Average
18700
39200
18800
39000
18900
38800


Stdev
24500
37800
24600
37800
24700
37700


p (t-test)

2.3E−8

3.4E−8

5.2E−8


Min
419
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
161
156
160
157
159
158







UO only













Median
11900
21300
11900
20900
11800
20500


Average
25600
37100
25700
36700
25300
36500


Stdev
31500
36700
31500
36600
31200
36500


p (t-test)

0.0056

0.0077

0.0053


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
146000
140000


n (Patient)
224
91
223
92
212
103












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.69
0.63
0.70
0.69
0.62
0.70
0.69
0.62


SE
0.029
0.030
0.036
0.029
0.030
0.036
0.029
0.030
0.034


p Value
 4.1E−12
 8.7E−11
3.1E−4
 1.3E−11
 1.3E−10
6.4E−4
 3.0E−12
 2.1E−10
3.7E−4


nCohort Recovered
154
161
224
152
160
223
148
159
212


nCohort Non-
163
156
91
165
157
92
169
158
103


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6030
6080
6030
6030
6080
6030
6030
6080


Sensitivity
87%
86%
88%
87%
86%
87%
86%
86%
86%


Specificity
37%
35%
30%
38%
36%
30%
38%
36%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200


Sensitivity
66%
66%
65%
65%
66%
64%
65%
65%
63%


Specificity
67%
65%
56%
66%
65%
56%
67%
65%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35900
36300
35900
35900
36300
35900
35900
36300


Sensitivity
37%
38%
32%
36%
38%
32%
36%
37%
32%


Specificity
87%
87%
78%
87%
87%
78%
87%
87%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.77
3.34
3.17
3.90
3.40
2.86
3.86
3.45
2.81


p Value
2.9E−6
2.0E−5
0.0011
1.6E−6
1.6E−5
0.0021
1.5E−6
1.2E−5
0.0014


Lower limit of
2.16
1.92
1.59
2.24
1.95
1.46
2.23
1.98
1.49


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.57
5.81
6.33
6.80
5.91
5.60
6.70
6.02
5.30


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.97
3.64
2.33
3.75
3.54
2.24
3.77
3.44
2.19


p Value
7.3E−9
4.6E−8
0.0010
2.5E−8
8.4E−8
0.0016
2.4E−8
1.5E−7
0.0015


Lower limit of
2.49
2.29
1.41
2.36
2.23
1.36
2.36
2.17
1.35


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.33
5.79
3.86
5.97
5.63
3.70
6.00
5.46
3.55


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.90
4.05
1.63
3.77
3.98
1.59
3.83
3.92
1.70


p Value
2.6E−6
1.0E−6
0.078
4.5E−6
1.4E−6
0.092
4.6E−6
1.8E−6
0.048


Lower limit of
2.21
2.31
0.947
2.14
2.27
0.927
2.16
2.23
1.00


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.88
7.11
2.80
6.65
6.98
2.74
6.81
6.86
2.88


95% CI
















TABLE 7.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
9350
21900
9360
21500
9310
21500


Average
19200
39700
19400
39100
18900
39100


Stdev
24900
38100
25100
37900
24200
38100


p (t-test)

2.3E−8

7.9E−8

3.5E−8


Min
419
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
111000
146000


n (Patient)
168
149
165
152
161
156







sCr only













Median
9510
22000
9570
22000
9620
21900


Average
19400
40000
19500
39700
19600
39500


Stdev
24900
38400
24900
38400
25000
38300


p (t-test)

2.4E−8

3.7E−8

5.7E−8


Min
419
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
172
145
171
146
170
147







UO only













Median
11800
21500
11900
21300
11800
20500


Average
25400
37400
25500
37200
25200
37000


Stdev
31500
36500
31500
36400
31100
36700


p (t-test)

0.0036

0.0046

0.0033


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
146000
140000


n (Patient)
223
92
222
93
214
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.69
0.63
0.69
0.69
0.63
0.69
0.68
0.63


SE
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.035
0.029
0.030
0.034


p Value
 3.9E−11
 3.8E−10
1.9E−4
 1.5E−10
 5.6E−10
2.3E−4
 4.7E−11
 9.1E−10
1.6E−4


nCohort Recovered
168
172
223
165
171
222
161
170
214


nCohort Non-
149
145
92
152
146
93
156
147
101


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6030
6080
6030
6030
6080
6030
6030
6080


Sensitivity
87%
86%
88%
88%
86%
88%
87%
86%
88%


Specificity
36%
34%
30%
36%
35%
31%
37%
35%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200


Sensitivity
68%
68%
65%
66%
67%
65%
66%
67%
63%


Specificity
65%
65%
56%
65%
64%
56%
65%
64%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35900
36300
35900
35900
36300
35900
35900
36300


Sensitivity
38%
38%
35%
37%
38%
34%
37%
37%
34%


Specificity
86%
85%
79%
85%
85%
79%
86%
85%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.80
3.26
3.23
4.00
3.32
3.29
3.93
3.38
3.38


p Value
5.4E−6
4.4E−5
8.9E−4
2.4E−6
3.4E−5
7.3E−4
2.3E−6
2.7E−5
3.5E−4


Lower limit of
2.14
1.85
1.62
2.25
1.88
1.65
2.23
1.91
1.73


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.76
5.76
6.45
7.12
5.85
6.57
6.94
5.95
6.60


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.99
3.79
2.39
3.65
3.68
2.30
3.64
3.57
2.21


p Value
6.9E−9
2.3E−8
7.0E−4
4.5E−8
4.2E−8
0.0011
4.6E−8
7.7E−8
0.0014


Lower limit of
2.50
2.38
1.44
2.30
2.31
1.39
2.29
2.25
1.36


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.37
6.06
3.96
5.81
5.87
3.80
5.79
5.69
3.59


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.61
3.59
2.00
3.43
3.53
1.95
3.45
3.47
1.91


p Value
3.8E−6
3.5E−6
0.011
9.1E−6
4.8E−6
0.014
9.5E−6
6.4E−6
0.017


Lower limit of
2.10
2.09
1.17
1.99
2.06
1.14
2.00
2.02
1.12


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.23
6.17
3.41
5.90
6.06
3.34
5.98
5.95
3.23


95% CI
















TABLE 7.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11100
21500
11100
21100
11000
20800


Average
23100
39100
23200
38600
23300
38300


Stdev
28900
38100
29000
38000
29000
37900


p (t-test)

3.3E−5

6.5E−5

8.6E−5


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
127000
146000
127000
146000
127000
146000


n (Patient)
203
114
201
116
200
117







sCr only













Median
10900
22000
10900
22000
10900
22000


Average
20400
40600
20400
40600
20400
40600


Stdev
25100
39400
25100
39400
25100
39400


p (t-test)

5.4E−8

5.4E−8

5.4E−8


Min
419
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
185
132
185
132
185
132







UO only













Median
11800
21500
11900
21300
11900
20800


Average
24500
38800
24600
38500
24700
37900


Stdev
29700
38800
29800
38700
29900
38500


p (t-test)

4.1E−4

5.5E−4

9.8E−4


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
127000
146000
127000
146000
127000
146000


n (Patient)
217
98
216
99
214
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.67
0.63
0.65
0.67
0.63
0.64
0.67
0.63


SE
0.033
0.031
0.035
0.033
0.031
0.035
0.033
0.031
0.035


p Value
4.4E−6
2.0E−8
1.3E−4
8.7E−6
2.0E−8
1.5E−4
9.7E−6
2.0E−8
2.5E−4


nCohort Recovered
203
185
217
201
185
216
200
185
214


nCohort Non-
114
132
98
116
132
99
117
132
101


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6030
6080
6030
6030
6080
6030
6030
6080


Sensitivity
86%
87%
87%
86%
87%
87%
86%
87%
87%


Specificity
31%
34%
30%
31%
34%
31%
32%
34%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200
14200


Sensitivity
66%
65%
64%
65%
65%
64%
64%
65%
62%


Specificity
59%
61%
56%
58%
61%
56%
58%
61%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35900
36300
35900
35900
36300
35900
35900
36300


Sensitivity
37%
39%
35%
36%
39%
34%
36%
39%
34%


Specificity
81%
84%
79%
81%
84%
79%
81%
84%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.76
3.41
2.86
2.85
3.41
2.91
2.90
3.41
3.02


p Value
0.0010
5.1E−5
0.0016
7.0E−4
5.1E−5
0.0013
5.7E−4
5.1E−5
8.7E−4


Lower limit of
1.50
1.88
1.49
1.56
1.88
1.52
1.58
1.88
1.57


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.05
6.17
5.48
5.23
6.17
5.58
5.32
6.17
5.79


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.72
2.87
2.31
2.55
2.87
2.23
2.47
2.87
2.08


p Value
3.9E−5
8.5E−6
8.6E−4
1.1E−4
8.5E−6
0.0013
1.7E−4
8.5E−6
0.0031


Lower limit of
1.69
1.80
1.41
1.59
1.80
1.37
1.54
1.80
1.28


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.39
4.56
3.78
4.09
4.56
3.64
3.95
4.56
3.37


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.53
3.39
2.03
2.43
3.39
1.99
2.39
3.39
1.91


p Value
4.5E−4
6.2E−6
0.0088
7.6E−4
6.2E−6
0.011
9.7E−4
6.2E−6
0.017


Lower limit of
1.51
2.00
1.20
1.45
2.00
1.17
1.42
2.00
1.12


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.26
5.75
3.45
4.09
5.75
3.37
4.00
5.75
3.23


95% CI
















TABLE 7.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
274000
564000
275000
564000
270000
564000


Average
354000
562000
354000
560000
342000
561000


Stdev
231000
271000
231000
271000
222000
271000


p (t-test)

5.2E−11

1.3E−10

1.0E−11


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
105
222
102
225
98
229







sCr only













Median
279000
566000
279000
566000
275000
566000


Average
365000
569000
362000
569000
358000
570000


Stdev
235000
269000
235000
268000
232000
268000


p (t-test)

2.1E−11

1.4E−11

4.4E−12


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
121
205
119
207
117
209







UO only













Median
373000
605000
371000
598000
369000
595000


Average
445000
617000
439000
608000
433000
603000


Stdev
256000
284000
252000
287000
249000
286000


p (t-test)

1.4E−7 

7.4E−8 

3.9E−8 


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
226
99
213
112
202
123












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.72
0.67
0.73
0.73
0.67
0.74
0.73
0.67


SE
0.028
0.028
0.034
0.028
0.028
0.032
0.028
0.027
0.031


p Value
 2.2E−16
 4.4E−16
3.0E−7
 1.3E−15
0
1.3E−7
0
0
4.0E−8


nCohort Recovered
105
121
226
102
119
213
98
117
202


nCohort Non-
222
205
99
225
207
112
229
209
123


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000


Sensitivity
84%
85%
85%
84%
86%
85%
84%
86%
85%


Specificity
45%
43%
29%
44%
44%
30%
46%
44%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000
437000


Sensitivity
60%
62%
66%
60%
62%
64%
60%
62%
63%


Specificity
71%
70%
57%
72%
71%
57%
72%
71%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000
708000


Sensitivity
33%
34%
44%
32%
33%
42%
33%
33%
41%


Specificity
91%
89%
83%
91%
89%
84%
93%
90%
84%


OR Quartile 2
4.33
4.40
2.31
4.01
4.58
2.40
4.41
4.77
2.64


p Value
5.2E−8
4.0E−8
0.0081
2.3E−7
1.8E−8
0.0038
4.3E−8
8.2E−9
0.0011


Lower limit of
2.55
2.59
1.24
2.37
2.70
1.33
2.59
2.81
1.48


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.34
7.46
4.29
6.79
7.78
4.35
7.49
8.12
4.73


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.81
3.84
2.50
3.78
3.89
2.41
3.92
3.94
2.26


p Value
1.8E−7
4.1E−8
2.6E−4
2.7E−7
3.8E−8
2.6E−4
2.2E−7
3.5E−8
5.1E−4


Lower limit of
2.31
2.38
1.53
2.28
2.40
1.50
2.34
2.42
1.43


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.29
6.22
4.08
6.26
6.31
3.87
6.56
6.41
3.57


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.23
4.21
3.96
4.96
4.08
3.68
6.33
4.41
3.64


p Value
1.1E−5
1.2E−5
3.3E−7
2.1E−5
1.9E−5
1.0E−6
9.5E−6
1.2E−5
1.2E−6


Lower limit of
2.50
2.21
2.33
2.37
2.14
2.18
2.80
2.27
2.16


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.9
8.03
6.71
10.4
7.77
6.20
14.3
8.55
6.13


95% CI
















TABLE 7.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
293000
568000
293000
571000
284000
568000


Average
379000
576000
376000
577000
370000
576000


Stdev
235000
274000
234000
273000
229000
274000


p (t-test)

5.1E−11

2.7E−11

8.5E−12


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
134
193
133
194
128
199







sCr only













Median
300000
576000
299000
577000
294000
577000


Average
386000
583000
384000
584000
380000
585000


Stdev
237000
274000
237000
274000
235000
273000


p (t-test)

3.5E−11

1.9E−11

6.9E−12


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
146
181
145
182
143
184







UO only













Median
375000
598000
375000
598000
369000
596000


Average
448000
619000
443000
618000
432000
616000


Stdev
256000
287000
253000
288000
247000
288000


p (t-test)

2.5E−7 

7.7E−8 

4.4E−9 


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
231
94
225
100
210
115












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.71
0.71
0.67
0.72
0.72
0.68
0.72
0.72
0.69


SE
0.028
0.028
0.034
0.028
0.028
0.033
0.028
0.028
0.032


p Value
 1.9E−14
 4.0E−14
3.9E−7
 5.3E−15
 1.2E−14
9.9E−8
 6.7E−16
 2.0E−15
4.2E−9


nCohort Recovered
134
146
231
133
145
225
128
143
210


nCohort Non-
193
181
94
194
182
100
199
184
115


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000


Sensitivity
85%
86%
87%
86%
86%
88%
85%
86%
88%


Specificity
40%
39%
30%
41%
39%
31%
41%
40%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000


Sensitivity
62%
63%
65%
62%
63%
64%
62%
63%
63%


Specificity
67%
66%
56%
68%
66%
56%
68%
66%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
707000
708000
707000
707000
708000
707000
707000
708000


Sensitivity
35%
36%
43%
35%
36%
42%
35%
36%
42%


Specificity
89%
88%
82%
89%
88%
82%
90%
89%
84%


OR Quartile 2
3.98
4.00
2.91
4.05
4.07
3.24
4.14
4.22
3.38


p Value
3.1E−7
4.4E−7
0.0017
2.2E−7
3.2E−7
5.4E−4
1.3E−7
1.6E−7
1.5E−4


Lower limit of
2.34
2.33
1.49
2.39
2.38
1.67
2.44
2.46
1.80


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.75
6.84
5.68
6.88
6.96
6.32
7.02
7.22
6.35


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.36
3.27
2.34
3.47
3.36
2.26
3.43
3.38
2.32


p Value
2.9E−7
3.6E−7
8.1E−4
1.6E−7
2.0E−7
9.9E−4
2.5E−7
2.0E−7
4.3E−4


Lower limit of
2.12
2.07
1.42
2.18
2.13
1.39
2.15
2.13
1.45


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.34
5.15
3.84
5.52
5.31
3.68
5.49
5.34
3.70


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.22
4.25
3.33
4.15
4.18
3.35
4.70
4.44
3.71


p Value
4.2E−6
1.5E−6
7.9E−6
5.4E−6
2.0E−6
6.1E−6
2.5E−6
1.2E−6
8.5E−7


Lower limit of
2.28
2.36
1.97
2.25
2.32
1.98
2.47
2.43
2.20


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.79
7.67
5.65
7.66
7.54
5.66
8.94
8.10
6.25


95% CI
















TABLE 7.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
303000
573000
300000
576000
296000
576000


Average
394000
586000
390000
587000
384000
587000


Stdev
239000
276000
238000
275000
232000
276000


p (t-test)

1.0E−10

2.8E−11

7.0E−12


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
154
173
152
175
148
179







sCr only













Median
304000
582000
303000
586000
301000
590000


Average
394000
594000
392000
594000
389000
596000


Stdev
239000
275000
238000
274000
236000
274000


p (t-test)

1.4E−11

7.8E−12

2.2E−12


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
161
166
160
167
159
168







UO only













Median
373000
600000
373000
600000
367000
597000


Average
443000
627000
442000
627000
434000
621000


Stdev
254000
285000
252000
287000
248000
287000


p (t-test)

2.5E−8 

1.7E−8 

3.3E−9 


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
230
95
228
97
215
110












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.71
0.71
0.69
0.71
0.72
0.69
0.72
0.72
0.69


SE
0.028
0.028
0.034
0.028
0.028
0.034
0.028
0.028
0.032


p Value
 3.2E−13
 3.4E−14
2.8E−8
 3.4E−14
 1.1E−14
2.3E−8
 4.9E−15
 2.0E−15
2.6E−9


nCohort Recovered
154
161
230
152
160
228
148
159
215


nCohort Non-
173
166
95
175
167
97
179
168
110


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000


Sensitivity
87%
88%
88%
87%
88%
88%
87%
88%
88%


Specificity
39%
39%
30%
39%
39%
30%
40%
39%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000


Sensitivity
62%
63%
66%
62%
63%
66%
62%
64%
65%


Specificity
63%
63%
57%
64%
64%
57%
64%
64%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
707000
708000
707000
707000
708000
707000
707000
708000


Sensitivity
36%
37%
42%
36%
37%
42%
36%
37%
42%


Specificity
87%
87%
82%
88%
87%
82%
89%
87%
83%


OR Quartile 2
4.38
4.57
3.34
4.54
4.65
3.07
4.50
4.73
3.45


p Value
1.6E−7
1.3E−7
5.9E−4
8.3E−8
9.8E−8
9.7E−4
7.4E−8
7.2E−8
1.7E−4


Lower limit of
2.52
2.60
1.68
2.61
2.64
1.58
2.60
2.69
1.81


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.61
8.04
6.65
7.88
8.18
5.99
7.78
8.32
6.59


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.76
2.98
2.56
2.91
3.06
2.53
2.93
3.14
2.43


p Value
9.2E−6
2.0E−6
2.2E−4
3.3E−6
1.2E−6
2.4E−4
3.2E−6
6.9E−7
2.4E−4


Lower limit of
1.76
1.90
1.55
1.86
1.95
1.54
1.86
2.00
1.51


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.32
4.67
4.22
4.57
4.80
4.15
4.60
4.93
3.91


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.74
3.87
3.26
3.94
3.81
3.34
4.39
4.07
3.57


p Value
4.4E−6
1.9E−6
1.1E−5
2.6E−6
2.5E−6
7.0E−6
8.8E−7
1.1E−6
1.7E−6


Lower limit of
2.13
2.22
1.92
2.22
2.18
1.97
2.44
2.31
2.12


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.57
6.76
5.51
6.97
6.65
5.65
7.93
7.14
6.02


95% CI
















TABLE 7.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
318000
576000
313000
577000
304000
577000


Average
401000
592000
398000
592000
393000
593000


Stdev
243000
275000
243000
273000
238000
275000


p (t-test)

1.3E−10

4.8E−11

1.3E−11


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
166
161
163
164
159
168







sCr only













Median
313000
590000
311000
594000
309000
594000


Average
397000
600000
395000
601000
393000
603000


Stdev
242000
272000
242000
271000
240000
271000


p (t-test)

6.4E−12

3.5E−12

9.9E−13


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
169
158
168
159
167
160







UO only













Median
377000
598000
375000
596000
371000
596000


Average
441000
626000
441000
624000
436000
621000


Stdev
251000
289000
251000
288000
249000
287000


p (t-test)

1.2E−8 

1.7E−8 

5.7E−9 


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
226
99
225
100
217
108












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.72
0.69
0.71
0.72
0.69
0.71
0.73
0.69


SE
0.029
0.028
0.033
0.028
0.028
0.033
0.028
0.028
0.032


p Value
 8.9E−13
 1.4E−14
1.3E−8
 1.2E−13
 4.9E−15
1.6E−8
 2.3E−14
 8.9E−16
3.9E−9


nCohort Recovered
166
169
226
163
168
225
159
167
217


nCohort Non-
161
158
99
164
159
100
168
160
108


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000


Sensitivity
88%
89%
90%
88%
89%
90%
88%
89%
90%


Specificity
38%
38%
31%
39%
38%
32%
39%
38%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000


Sensitivity
63%
65%
66%
63%
65%
65%
63%
66%
64%


Specificity
63%
64%
57%
63%
64%
56%
64%
65%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
707000
708000
707000
707000
708000
707000
707000
708000


Sensitivity
37%
37%
41%
37%
37%
41%
37%
38%
42%


Specificity
86%
86%
82%
87%
86%
82%
87%
87%
83%


OR Quartile 2
4.57
4.74
4.08
4.81
4.82
4.15
4.73
4.90
4.20


p Value
1.9E−7
1.5E−7
1.1E−4
7.7E−8
1.1E−7
8.8E−5
7.2E−8
8.3E−8
4.1E−5


Lower limit of
2.58
2.65
2.00
2.71
2.70
2.04
2.69
2.74
2.12


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.10
8.47
8.30
8.53
8.62
8.45
8.32
8.77
8.33


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.90
3.32
2.50
2.98
3.40
2.41
2.98
3.49
2.32


p Value
3.4E−6
2.2E−7
2.6E−4
2.0E−6
1.3E−7
4.2E−4
2.0E−6
7.1E−8
5.4E−4


Lower limit of
1.85
2.11
1.53
1.90
2.16
1.48
1.90
2.22
1.44


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.54
5.22
4.08
4.67
5.36
3.92
4.67
5.51
3.73


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.60
3.78
3.19
3.70
3.72
3.12
4.07
3.95
3.47


p Value
4.1E−6
1.7E−6
1.4E−5
3.2E−6
2.3E−6
2.0E−5
1.1E−6
1.0E−6
2.8E−6


Lower limit of
2.09
2.19
1.89
2.13
2.16
1.85
2.31
2.28
2.06


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.20
6.53
5.39
6.41
6.41
5.26
7.14
6.86
5.85


95% CI
















TABLE 7.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
358000
578000
350000
578000
342000
582000


Average
428000
607000
426000
607000
424000
609000


Stdev
246000
288000
246000
286000
244000
286000


p (t-test)

5.2E−9

4.0E−9

1.4E−9


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
204
123
202
125
201
126







sCr only













Median
328000
578000
328000
578000
328000
578000


Average
412000
603000
412000
603000
412000
603000


Stdev
242000
281000
242000
281000
242000
281000


p (t-test)

 1.8E−10

 1.8E−10

 1.8E−10


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
184
143
184
143
184
143







UO only













Median
377000
586000
375000
582000
371000
590000


Average
439000
619000
439000
617000
436000
620000


Stdev
247000
295000
247000
295000
246000
293000


p (t-test)

2.0E−8

2.8E−8

6.1E−9


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
220
105
219
106
217
108












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.68
0.70
0.68
0.69
0.70
0.68
0.69
0.70
0.69


SE
0.031
0.030
0.033
0.031
0.030
0.033
0.031
0.030
0.032


p Value
3.2E−9
 1.9E−11
3.8E−8
1.8E−9
 1.9E−11
4.5E−8
 5.7E−10
 1.9E−11
8.2E−9


nCohort Recovered
204
184
220
202
184
219
201
184
217


nCohort Non-
123
143
105
125
143
106
126
143
108


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000


Sensitivity
89%
88%
89%
89%
88%
89%
89%
88%
89%


Specificity
33%
35%
31%
34%
35%
32%
34%
35%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000
437000


Sensitivity
64%
64%
65%
64%
64%
64%
64%
64%
65%


Specificity
58%
61%
57%
58%
61%
57%
59%
61%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
707000
708000
707000
707000
708000
707000
707000
708000


Sensitivity
39%
38%
40%
39%
38%
40%
40%
38%
41%


Specificity
83%
85%
82%
84%
85%
82%
84%
85%
82%


OR Quartile 2
3.89
4.05
3.54
4.02
4.05
3.60
4.09
4.05
3.73


p Value
2.2E−5
3.4E−6
1.9E−4
1.4E−5
3.4E−6
1.6E−4
1.1E−5
3.4E−6
1.0E−4


Lower limit of
2.08
2.24
1.82
2.15
2.24
1.85
2.18
2.24
1.92


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.29
7.30
6.89
7.54
7.30
7.01
7.66
7.30
7.25


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.51
2.81
2.42
2.50
2.81
2.34
2.56
2.81
2.46


p Value
9.2E−5
7.8E−6
3.2E−4
9.7E−5
7.8E−6
5.1E−4
6.2E−5
7.8E−6
2.3E−4


Lower limit of
1.58
1.78
1.49
1.58
1.78
1.45
1.62
1.78
1.52


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.99
4.41
3.91
3.96
4.41
3.77
4.05
4.41
3.96


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.20
3.63
3.00
3.30
3.63
2.94
3.47
3.63
3.24


p Value
1.0E−5
1.8E−6
3.4E−5
6.1E−6
1.8E−6
4.7E−5
2.6E−6
1.8E−6
9.3E−6


Lower limit of
1.91
2.14
1.78
1.97
2.14
1.75
2.07
2.14
1.93


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.36
6.17
5.04
5.54
6.17
4.93
5.84
6.17
5.44


95% CI









Example 8. Use of Metalloproteinase Inhibitor 1 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 8.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
10700
28600
10700
33800
11000
31700


Average
19900
45200
20100
48800
22000
48700


Stdev
25000
40000
25500
40200
27800
39800


p (t-test)

2.2E−11

2.4E−13

 1.7E−10


Min
297
873
297
873
297
873


Max
127000
146000
127000
146000
127000
146000


n (Patient)
205
112
221
96
236
81







sCr only













Median
11000
28600
10900
31500
11200
31500


Average
20000
45400
20300
48800
22200
47500


Stdev
24700
40600
24900
41400
27400
41100


p (t-test)

2.8E−11

6.1E−13

1.2E−9


Min
297
873
297
873
297
873


Max
127000
146000
127000
146000
127000
146000


n (Patient)
208
108
223
93
235
81







UO only













Median
12400
25100
12500
28600
12700
30000


Average
26300
47200
26300
48500
26300
49300


Stdev
31200
42100
31100
43100
31000
43400


p (t-test)

2.0E−4 

1.3E−4 

8.7E−5


Min
297
873
297
873
297
873


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
146000
140000


n (Patient)
275
40
278
37
279
36












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.71
0.70
0.67
0.74
0.73
0.67
0.74
0.71
0.67


SE
0.031
0.032
0.049
0.032
0.033
0.051
0.035
0.036
0.052


p Value
 9.6E−12
 2.8E−10
5.0E−4
 2.0E−14
 3.4E−12
7.3E−4
 1.0E−11
5.7E−9
7.4E−4


nCohort Non-
205
208
275
221
223
278
236
235
279


persistent


nCohort Persistent
112
108
40
96
93
37
81
81
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080


Sensitivity
89%
88%
92%
92%
90%
92%
93%
90%
92%


Specificity
33%
32%
28%
32%
31%
27%
31%
30%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200


Sensitivity
71%
69%
70%
76%
74%
70%
78%
74%
69%


Specificity
61%
60%
53%
61%
60%
53%
59%
58%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300


Sensitivity
46%
45%
45%
50%
48%
46%
49%
47%
47%


Specificity
86%
86%
78%
86%
85%
78%
83%
83%
78%


OR Quartile 2
4.05
3.40
4.71
5.21
4.27
4.26
5.60
3.95
4.12


p Value
3.9E−5
2.2E−4
0.012
3.1E−5
1.3E−4
0.019
1.2E−4
5.7E−4
0.022


Lower limit of
2.08
1.77
1.41
2.39
2.03
1.27
2.33
1.81
1.23


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.88
6.50
15.7
11.3
8.98
14.3
13.4
8.63
13.8


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.74
3.42
2.60
4.98
4.33
2.61
5.10
3.99
2.49


p Value
1.6E−7
1.1E−6
0.0089
6.0E−9
8.5E−8
0.011
4.6E−8
1.3E−6
0.016


Lower limit of
2.28
2.09
1.27
2.90
2.53
1.24
2.84
2.28
1.18


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.13
5.61
5.33
8.56
7.40
5.50
9.16
7.00
5.27


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.07
4.93
2.87
5.91
5.21
2.96
4.78
4.18
3.13


p Value
4.0E−9
7.8E−9
0.0025
 2.1E−10
3.2E−9
0.0026
2.9E−8
3.7E−7
0.0017


Lower limit of
2.95
2.87
1.45
3.41
3.02
1.46
2.75
2.41
1.54


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.72
8.47
5.69
10.2
9.00
6.00
8.31
7.26
6.39


95% CI
















TABLE 8.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
10100
23400
10600
31500
10800
31500


Average
18900
42900
18900
46800
20700
46900


Stdev
23700
39500
23400
40500
26300
39900


p (t-test)

7.7E−11

9.3E−14

 2.4E−11


Min
419
297
297
399
297
399


Max
121000
146000
121000
146000
121000
146000


n (Patient)
186
131
204
113
219
98







sCr only













Median
11000
22400
10900
29300
11000
27300


Average
19500
42800
19400
46000
21400
44900


Stdev
23700
40400
23600
41200
26500
40600


p (t-test)

4.0E−10

2.3E−12

2.6E−9


Min
419
297
297
399
297
399


Max
121000
146000
121000
146000
121000
146000


n (Patient)
192
124
206
110
218
98







UO only













Median
12400
23400
12400
23400
12400
24700


Average
26000
42000
26000
42700
26000
43100


Stdev
31400
38800
31200
39800
31200
40000


p (t-test)

8.4E−4 

7.3E−4 

5.6E−4


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
146000
140000


n (Patient)
256
59
260
55
261
54












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.68
0.65
0.73
0.71
0.65
0.73
0.70
0.65


SE
0.030
0.031
0.042
0.031
0.032
0.043
0.032
0.033
0.044


p Value
 2.2E−11
7.7E−9
3.0E−4
 4.2E−14
 2.8E−11
6.8E−4
 1.0E−12
3.7E−9
7.2E−4


nCohort Non-
186
192
256
204
206
260
219
218
261


persistent


nCohort Persistent
131
124
59
113
110
55
98
98
54


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080


Sensitivity
88%
86%
93%
90%
89%
93%
93%
91%
93%


Specificity
34%
32%
29%
33%
33%
29%
33%
32%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200


Sensitivity
68%
66%
68%
73%
70%
67%
74%
70%
67%


Specificity
62%
60%
54%
62%
61%
53%
61%
59%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300


Sensitivity
43%
42%
39%
48%
45%
40%
48%
44%
41%


Specificity
87%
86%
78%
87%
86%
78%
85%
83%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.68
3.00
5.70
4.64
3.94
5.17
6.37
4.68
5.04


p Value
2.4E−5
2.9E−4
0.0012
1.2E−5
5.6E−5
0.0022
9.4E−6
4.6E−5
0.0026


Lower limit of
2.01
1.66
1.99
2.33
2.02
1.80
2.81
2.23
1.76


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.74
5.44
16.3
9.21
7.67
14.8
14.4
9.82
14.4


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.51
2.98
2.46
4.36
3.60
2.36
4.52
3.45
2.28


p Value
1.8E−7
5.6E−6
0.0032
8.2E−9
3.8E−7
0.0061
2.3E−8
2.0E−6
0.0088


Lower limit of
2.19
1.86
1.35
2.64
2.20
1.28
2.66
2.07
1.23


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.63
4.77
4.48
7.20
5.90
4.36
7.66
5.75
4.22


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.04
4.41
2.28
6.27
5.09
2.37
5.19
3.95
2.46


p Value
8.7E−9
7.5E−8
0.0072
 7.7E−11
4.4E−9
0.0058
2.6E−9
5.0E−7
0.0042


Lower limit of
2.90
2.57
1.25
3.61
2.95
1.28
3.02
2.31
1.33


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.74
7.58
4.16
10.9
8.76
4.39
8.93
6.75
4.56


95% CI
















TABLE 8.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
9450
22000
9580
28600
9980
27300


Average
18500
41600
18300
44600
20200
44700


Stdev
23100
39200
22800
39900
25200
40100


p (t-test)

2.5E−10

9.6E−13

1.2E−10


Min
419
297
297
399
297
399


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
120000
146000


n (Patient)
175
142
190
127
205
112







sCr only













Median
10600
22000
9980
28600
10800
22700


Average
18900
41900
18700
44700
20600
44200


Stdev
23000
40000
22800
40600
25200
40800


p (t-test)

4.4E−10

3.1E−12

8.4E−10


Min
419
297
297
399
297
399


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
120000
146000


n (Patient)
182
134
195
121
208
108







UO only













Median
12400
21900
12400
22000
12400
22000


Average
25800
40300
25800
41300
25800
41300


Stdev
31100
38700
30900
39700
30900
39700


p (t-test)

0.0014

8.6E−4 

8.6E−4 


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
146000
140000


n (Patient)
246
69
251
64
251
64












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.69
0.64
0.73
0.71
0.64
0.72
0.70
0.64


SE
0.030
0.031
0.039
0.030
0.031
0.041
0.031
0.032
0.041


p Value
 1.2E−11
1.2E−9
5.0E−4
 1.8E−14
 3.1E−12
8.1E−4
 6.4E−12
 8.5E−10
8.1E−4


nCohort Non-
175
182
246
190
195
251
205
208
251


persistent


nCohort Persistent
142
134
69
127
121
64
112
108
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080


Sensitivity
87%
86%
91%
90%
88%
91%
91%
90%
91%


Specificity
35%
33%
30%
35%
33%
29%
34%
33%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200


Sensitivity
67%
66%
64%
70%
69%
64%
71%
69%
64%


Specificity
63%
62%
54%
63%
62%
53%
61%
60%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300


Sensitivity
40%
40%
36%
44%
44%
38%
44%
43%
38%


Specificity
87%
86%
78%
87%
87%
78%
85%
84%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.69
2.98
4.43
4.67
3.82
3.96
5.18
4.28
3.96


p Value
1.2E−5
2.0E−4
9.3E−4
3.0E−6
3.2E−5
0.0022
5.9E−6
3.4E−5
0.0022


Lower limit of
2.06
1.67
1.84
2.44
2.03
1.64
2.54
2.15
1.64


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.61
5.29
10.7
8.91
7.19
9.59
10.5
8.52
9.59


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.51
3.24
2.04
4.02
3.71
2.04
3.74
3.42
2.04


p Value
1.3E−7
8.2E−7
0.011
1.5E−8
1.0E−7
0.014
1.6E−7
1.1E−6
0.014


Lower limit of
2.20
2.03
1.17
2.48
2.29
1.16
2.28
2.09
1.16


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.58
5.17
3.54
6.49
6.02
3.60
6.13
5.61
3.60


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.43
4.24
2.02
5.46
5.07
2.14
4.37
3.93
2.14


p Value
1.3E−7
2.1E−7
0.017
1.8E−9
6.2E−9
0.011
6.4E−8
4.7E−7
0.011


Lower limit of
2.55
2.46
1.14
3.14
2.93
1.19
2.56
2.31
1.19


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.70
7.31
3.59
9.48
8.76
3.85
7.45
6.70
3.85


95% CI
















TABLE 8.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
9450
22000
9600
28600
9980
24700


Average
18300
41500
18400
44300
19800
44400


Stdev
22900
39100
22800
39900
24400
40500


p (t-test)

 2.0E−10

2.1E−12

6.9E−11


Min
419
297
297
399
297
399


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
173
144
189
128
201
116







sCr only













Median
10800
22000
10200
27300
10800
22700


Average
19100
41400
18800
43900
20200
44100


Stdev
23100
39900
22900
40400
24400
41100


p (t-test)

1.4E−9

1.3E−11

3.8E−10


Min
419
297
297
399
297
399


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
180
136
192
124
204
112







UO only













Median
12100
22000
12100
22000
12100
22000


Average
25500
39700
25700
40200
25700
40200


Stdev
31400
37400
31200
38400
31200
38400


p (t-test)

0.0012

0.0013

0.0013


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
146000
140000


n (Patient)
239
76
245
70
245
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.68
0.65
0.72
0.71
0.64
0.71
0.70
0.64


SE
0.030
0.031
0.038
0.030
0.031
0.039
0.031
0.032
0.039


p Value
 1.4E−11
6.5E−9
1.3E−4
 1.1E−13
 1.4E−11
3.9E−4
 1.1E−11
 8.0E−10
3.9E−4


nCohort Non-
173
180
239
189
192
245
201
204
245


persistent


nCohort Persistent
144
136
76
128
124
70
116
112
70


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080


Sensitivity
87%
85%
91%
89%
88%
90%
91%
89%
90%


Specificity
35%
33%
30%
34%
33%
29%
34%
33%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200


Sensitivity
67%
65%
66%
70%
69%
66%
70%
69%
66%


Specificity
64%
62%
55%
63%
62%
54%
61%
60%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300


Sensitivity
40%
40%
38%
44%
43%
39%
43%
42%
39%


Specificity
87%
86%
79%
87%
86%
79%
85%
84%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.49
2.83
4.25
4.27
3.63
3.75
4.88
4.08
3.75


p Value
2.0E−5
3.3E−4
5.9E−4
6.6E−6
4.2E−5
0.0018
6.0E−6
3.6E−5
0.0018


Lower limit of
1.97
1.60
1.86
2.27
1.96
1.64
2.46
2.09
1.64


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.21
4.99
9.70
8.02
6.74
8.57
9.70
7.93
8.57


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.49
3.05
2.33
3.88
3.55
2.28
3.65
3.34
2.28


p Value
1.3E−7
2.5E−6
0.0020
2.8E−8
2.0E−7
0.0036
1.9E−7
1.3E−6
0.0036


Lower limit of
2.19
1.92
1.36
2.40
2.20
1.31
2.24
2.05
1.31


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.56
4.84
3.99
6.26
5.73
3.96
5.94
5.44
3.96


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.63
4.08
2.33
5.35
4.77
2.33
4.32
3.89
2.33


p Value
7.2E−8
4.1E−7
0.0029
2.7E−9
2.0E−8
0.0036
8.1E−8
5.7E−7
0.0036


Lower limit of
2.65
2.37
1.33
3.08
2.76
1.32
2.53
2.28
1.32


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.08
7.04
4.08
9.29
8.22
4.12
7.37
6.62
4.12


95% CI
















TABLE 8.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
9450
22000
9510
28600
9680
24700


Average
17900
41300
17700
44200
19600
43900


Stdev
22400
39000
22200
39600
24300
40100


p (t-test)

 1.5E−10

4.6E−13

8.4E−11


Min
419
297
297
399
297
399


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
169
148
184
133
197
120







sCr only













Median
10800
22000
10200
27300
10800
22700


Average
18700
41200
18500
43600
20000
43700


Stdev
22700
39800
22600
40300
24100
40900


p (t-test)

1.0E−9

1.0E−11

3.2E−10


Min
419
297
297
399
297
399


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
176
140
188
128
200
116







UO only













Median
11900
23400
11900
22700
11900
22700


Average
24400
42200
24500
42400
24500
42400


Stdev
29800
39400
29800
39900
29800
39900


p (t-test)

2.9E−5

3.3E−5 

3.3E−5 


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
127000
146000
127000
146000
127000
146000


n (Patient)
234
81
237
78
237
78












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.68
0.67
0.73
0.71
0.66
0.71
0.70
0.66


SE
0.030
0.031
0.037
0.029
0.030
0.037
0.031
0.032
0.037


p Value
 1.4E−11
4.0E−9
5.2E−6
 8.0E−15
 8.8E−12
1.3E−5
 5.9E−12
 5.9E−10
1.3E−5


nCohort Non-
169
176
234
184
188
237
197
200
237


persistent


nCohort Persistent
148
140
81
133
128
78
120
116
78


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080


Sensitivity
86%
86%
91%
89%
88%
91%
90%
90%
91%


Specificity
35%
34%
31%
35%
34%
30%
34%
34%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200


Sensitivity
66%
65%
68%
70%
68%
68%
70%
68%
68%


Specificity
64%
62%
56%
64%
62%
56%
62%
60%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300


Sensitivity
40%
39%
40%
44%
42%
40%
42%
41%
40%


Specificity
88%
86%
80%
88%
87%
80%
85%
84%
80%


OR Quartile 2
3.43
3.03
4.70
4.20
3.89
4.43
4.64
4.37
4.43


p Value
2.1E−5
1.3E−4
2.3E−4
5.2E−6
1.6E−5
4.1E−4
6.2E−6
1.4E−5
4.1E−4


Lower limit of
1.95
1.72
2.06
2.26
2.10
1.94
2.38
2.24
1.94


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.06
5.34
10.7
7.78
7.21
10.1
9.02
8.50
10.1


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.47
3.02
2.69
4.16
3.50
2.67
3.80
3.27
2.67


p Value
1.4E−7
2.7E−6
2.7E−4
5.0E−9
2.3E−7
3.8E−4
7.0E−8
1.5E−6
3.8E−4


Lower limit of
2.18
1.90
1.58
2.58
2.18
1.55
2.34
2.02
1.55


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.51
4.79
4.59
6.70
5.62
4.57
6.16
5.30
4.57


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.67
4.10
2.60
5.69
4.76
2.60
4.28
3.85
2.60


p Value
8.1E−8
4.6E−7
6.4E−4
1.3E−9
2.4E−8
7.2E−4
1.0E−7
6.9E−7
7.2E−4


Lower limit of
2.66
2.37
1.50
3.25
2.75
1.49
2.51
2.26
1.49


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.21
7.09
4.50
9.99
8.23
4.52
7.31
6.55
4.52


95% CI
















TABLE 8.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
350000
595000
365000
595000
377000
605000


Average
435000
599000
444000
605000
451000
613000


Stdev
256000
279000
261000
277000
260000
285000


p (t-test)

1.2E−7

5.6E−7

1.7E−6


Min
13600
105000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
206
121
222
105
238
89







sCr only













Median
350000
596000
359000
594000
375000
590000


Average
432000
602000
443000
604000
450000
607000


Stdev
255000
276000
261000
273000
261000
278000


p (t-test)

3.8E−8

5.1E−7

2.9E−6


Min
13600
105000
13600
151000
13600
154000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
208
118
223
103
236
90







UO only













Median
404000
700000
404000
765000
406000
765000


Average
469000
677000
468000
691000
470000
693000


Stdev
264000
283000
264000
283000
264000
285000


p (t-test)

2.3E−6

7.2E−7

1.1E−6


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
281
44
283
42
285
40












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.68
0.71
0.67
0.67
0.72
0.66
0.66
0.72


SE
0.032
0.032
0.046
0.033
0.033
0.047
0.035
0.035
0.048


p Value
9.0E−8
2.5E−8
7.4E−6
4.5E−7
3.3E−7
3.0E−6
3.2E−6
3.1E−6
5.1E−6


nCohort Non-
206
208
281
222
223
283
238
236
285


persistent


nCohort Persistent
121
118
44
105
103
42
89
90
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000


Sensitivity
85%
86%
91%
86%
86%
90%
85%
87%
90%


Specificity
31%
31%
27%
30%
30%
27%
29%
30%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000
437000


Sensitivity
66%
68%
75%
67%
67%
79%
67%
68%
80%


Specificity
59%
60%
54%
58%
58%
54%
56%
57%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000
708000


Sensitivity
39%
39%
50%
39%
39%
52%
42%
39%
52%


Specificity
83%
83%
79%
82%
81%
79%
81%
80%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.58
2.70
3.77
2.59
2.79
3.55
2.39
2.74
3.33


p Value
0.0014
1.0E−3
0.014
0.0025
0.0015
0.019
0.0089
0.0031
0.027


Lower limit of
1.44
1.49
1.31
1.40
1.48
1.23
1.24
1.40
1.15


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.61
4.88
10.9
4.81
5.24
10.3
4.58
5.35
9.67


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.83
3.17
3.48
2.72
2.79
4.32
2.67
2.76
4.70


p Value
1.3E−5
2.0E−6
7.0E−4
5.2E−5
4.1E−5
2.1E−4
1.7E−4
9.9E−5
1.8E−4


Lower limit of
1.77
1.97
1.69
1.68
1.71
1.99
1.60
1.66
2.09


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.52
5.10
7.17
4.42
4.54
9.35
4.45
4.61
10.6


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.10
3.05
3.68
2.83
2.74
4.09
3.05
2.56
4.06


p Value
1.7E−5
2.2E−5
9.9E−5
8.4E−5
1.5E−4
3.7E−5
3.9E−5
5.2E−4
5.7E−5


Lower limit of
1.85
1.82
1.91
1.68
1.63
2.09
1.79
1.51
2.05


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.20
5.11
7.10
4.75
4.60
7.98
5.19
4.35
8.03


95% CI
















TABLE 8.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
338000
594000
359000
586000
371000
597000


Average
420000
596000
433000
599000
439000
609000


Stdev
248000
280000
253000
282000
253000
287000


p (t-test)

5.0E−9

7.2E−8

1.0E−7


Min
13600
105000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
187
140
204
123
219
108







sCr only













Median
341000
590000
359000
576000
371000
578000


Average
424000
593000
437000
589000
443000
594000


Stdev
253000
275000
259000
276000
259000
278000


p (t-test)

2.7E−8

1.0E−6

2.0E−6


Min
13600
105000
13600
151000
13600
154000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
192
134
205
121
217
109







UO only













Median
398000
600000
400000
607000
402000
607000


Average
462000
638000
462000
646000
463000
646000


Stdev
262000
290000
260000
293000
260000
295000


p (t-test)

3.2E−6

1.5E−6

2.5E−6


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
260
65
263
62
265
60












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.68
0.68
0.68
0.67
0.66
0.68
0.67
0.66
0.68


SE
0.030
0.031
0.040
0.031
0.032
0.040
0.033
0.033
0.041


p Value
1.3E−9
7.6E−9
6.7E−6
4.7E−8
4.9E−7
4.9E−6
1.3E−7
1.3E−6
8.7E−6


nCohort Non-
187
192
260
204
205
263
219
217
265


persistent


nCohort Persistent
140
134
65
123
121
62
108
109
60


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000


Sensitivity
86%
86%
89%
86%
86%
89%
86%
86%
88%


Specificity
33%
33%
28%
32%
32%
28%
31%
31%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000
437000


Sensitivity
66%
66%
68%
65%
64%
69%
66%
65%
70%


Specificity
61%
61%
54%
59%
59%
54%
58%
58%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000
708000


Sensitivity
38%
37%
43%
38%
36%
45%
40%
37%
45%


Specificity
84%
83%
79%
83%
81%
79%
82%
81%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.98
2.96
3.30
2.92
2.84
3.08
2.73
2.80
2.93


p Value
1.5E−4
2.0E−4
0.0048
3.8E−4
5.4E−4
0.0081
0.0014
0.0011
0.011


Lower limit of
1.70
1.67
1.44
1.62
1.57
1.34
1.48
1.51
1.28


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.22
5.23
7.55
5.26
5.13
7.06
5.06
5.18
6.75


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.06
3.15
2.48
2.66
2.56
2.70
2.60
2.54
2.78


p Value
1.6E−6
1.1E−6
0.0019
3.6E−5
7.3E−5
0.0010
9.3E−5
1.3E−4
9.0E−4


Lower limit of
1.94
1.99
1.40
1.67
1.61
1.49
1.61
1.58
1.52


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.83
5.00
4.41
4.23
4.08
4.87
4.20
4.09
5.07


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.32
2.98
2.89
2.99
2.51
3.19
3.05
2.42
3.12


p Value
6.9E−6
3.5E−5
3.0E−4
3.1E−5
4.1E−4
9.7E−5
2.4E−5
7.9E−4
1.5E−4


Lower limit of
1.97
1.78
1.62
1.78
1.51
1.78
1.82
1.44
1.73


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.60
4.99
5.13
5.00
4.19
5.71
5.13
4.04
5.63


95% CI
















TABLE 8.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
323000
595000
339000
594000
342000
599000


Average
407000
598000
417000
603000
427000
610000


Stdev
244000
276000
246000
280000
249000
282000


p (t-test)

1.3E−10

 6.4E−10

2.9E−9


Min
13600
105000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
176
151
190
137
205
122







sCr only













Median
326000
594000
339000
582000
342000
586000


Average
411000
598000
422000
598000
432000
601000


Stdev
248000
272000
252000
274000
255000
275000


p (t-test)

3.0E−10

6.3E−9

4.2E−8


Min
13600
105000
13600
151000
13600
154000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
182
144
194
132
207
119







UO only













Median
380000
607000
382000
641000
389000
609000


Average
453000
642000
455000
647000
456000
643000


Stdev
258000
286000
257000
289000
258000
290000


p (t-test)

9.1E−8 

1.1E−7

2.6E−7


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
249
76
253
72
254
71












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.70
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.68
0.69


SE
0.029
0.030
0.037
0.030
0.031
0.038
0.031
0.032
0.038


p Value
 5.1E−12
 1.7E−11
1.5E−7
 1.3E−10
1.1E−9
2.8E−7
1.3E−9
1.3E−8
6.6E−7


nCohort Non-
176
182
249
190
194
253
205
207
254


persistent


nCohort Persistent
151
144
76
137
132
72
122
119
71


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000


Sensitivity
87%
87%
89%
87%
87%
89%
87%
87%
89%


Specificity
35%
35%
29%
34%
34%
29%
32%
32%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000
437000


Sensitivity
66%
67%
68%
66%
66%
69%
66%
66%
69%


Specificity
64%
64%
55%
61%
61%
55%
60%
59%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000
708000


Sensitivity
38%
38%
43%
39%
37%
44%
39%
37%
44%


Specificity
86%
85%
80%
85%
83%
80%
83%
82%
80%


OR Quartile 2
3.56
3.48
3.53
3.36
3.41
3.24
3.15
3.32
3.18


p Value
9.8E−6
1.8E−5
0.0016
4.2E−5
4.6E−5
0.0032
1.9E−4
1.3E−4
0.0039


Lower limit of
2.03
1.97
1.61
1.88
1.89
1.48
1.72
1.79
1.45


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.26
6.17
7.70
6.00
6.15
7.10
5.74
6.14
6.96


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.43
3.63
2.69
3.00
3.00
2.82
2.90
2.89
2.74


p Value
1.2E−7
4.3E−8
3.6E−4
2.5E−6
3.0E−6
2.9E−4
8.0E−6
9.8E−6
4.3E−4


Lower limit of
2.17
2.29
1.56
1.90
1.89
1.61
1.82
1.81
1.56


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.41
5.75
4.64
4.74
4.76
4.93
4.64
4.63
4.79


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.66
3.30
3.13
3.50
2.88
3.25
3.26
2.61
3.08


p Value
2.1E−6
8.4E−6
4.8E−5
2.7E−6
5.6E−5
3.6E−5
7.4E−6
2.4E−4
8.2E−5


Lower limit of
2.14
1.95
1.81
2.07
1.72
1.86
1.95
1.56
1.76


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.26
5.58
5.43
5.92
4.82
5.68
5.47
4.35
5.40


95% CI
















TABLE 8.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
321000
590000
339000
586000
342000
595000


Average
406000
595000
417000
601000
425000
606000


Stdev
246000
274000
247000
279000
250000
280000


p (t-test)

1.9E−10

 9.9E−10

3.2E−9


Min
13600
105000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
173
154
188
139
200
127







sCr only













Median
326000
594000
334000
582000
341000
590000


Average
408000
598000
417000
600000
425000
605000


Stdev
247000
272000
250000
274000
252000
275000


p (t-test)

1.5E−10

1.2E−9

3.9E−9


Min
13600
105000
13600
151000
13600
154000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
179
147
190
136
202
124







UO only













Median
377000
596000
382000
602000
389000
600000


Average
449000
632000
451000
637000
453000
634000


Stdev
257000
285000
256000
289000
257000
290000


p (t-test)

8.9E−8 

1.0E−7

2.4E−7


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
240
85
245
80
246
79












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.70
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.68


SE
0.029
0.029
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.031
0.031
0.036


p Value
 5.3E−12
 5.7E−12
9.1E−8
 1.7E−10
 1.3E−10
1.8E−7
1.0E−9
 7.6E−10
4.3E−7


nCohort Non-
173
179
240
188
190
245
200
202
246


persistent


nCohort Persistent
154
147
85
139
136
80
127
124
79


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000


Sensitivity
87%
87%
91%
87%
88%
90%
87%
88%
90%


Specificity
36%
35%
30%
34%
34%
30%
33%
33%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000
437000


Sensitivity
66%
67%
67%
65%
66%
68%
66%
67%
67%


Specificity
64%
64%
56%
61%
62%
56%
60%
60%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000
708000


Sensitivity
37%
37%
41%
38%
38%
42%
39%
38%
42%


Specificity
86%
85%
80%
85%
84%
80%
84%
83%
80%


OR Quartile 2
3.74
3.66
4.21
3.47
3.64
3.82
3.42
3.61
3.74


p Value
4.4E−6
8.6E−6
3.0E−4
2.6E−5
1.8E−5
7.6E−4
6.2E−5
4.2E−5
9.1E−4


Lower limit of
2.13
2.07
1.93
1.94
2.02
1.75
1.87
1.95
1.72


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.57
6.48
9.16
6.20
6.57
8.33
6.23
6.66
8.17


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.51
3.71
2.57
2.99
3.14
2.59
2.93
3.09
2.52


p Value
6.8E−8
2.5E−8
3.6E−4
2.6E−6
1.1E−6
4.4E−4
5.5E−6
2.4E−6
6.7E−4


Lower limit of
2.23
2.34
1.53
1.89
1.98
1.52
1.84
1.93
1.48


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.54
5.87
4.32
4.71
4.97
4.41
4.66
4.93
4.29


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.48
3.37
2.87
3.38
3.08
3.03
3.18
2.91
2.88


p Value
5.0E−6
6.7E−6
1.2E−4
5.1E−6
2.1E−5
6.4E−5
1.2E−5
4.6E−5
1.4E−4


Lower limit of
2.04
1.98
1.68
2.00
1.83
1.76
1.90
1.74
1.67


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.94
5.71
4.92
5.70
5.17
5.23
5.33
4.87
4.98


95% CI
















TABLE 8.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
314000
577000
327000
572000
339000
578000


Average
407000
590000
417000
595000
424000
602000


Stdev
248000
273000
250000
276000
252000
277000


p (t-test)

6.5E−10

2.6E−9

5.7E−9


Min
13600
105000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
169
158
183
144
196
131







sCr only













Median
321000
586000
328000
577000
340000
582000


Average
406000
595000
416000
597000
424000
602000


Stdev
246000
272000
249000
274000
252000
275000


p (t-test)

1.8E−10

1.4E−9

5.1E−9


Min
13600
105000
13600
151000
13600
154000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
175
151
186
140
198
128







UO only













Median
371000
602000
375000
607000
377000
605000


Average
442000
640000
443000
644000
444000
641000


Stdev
252000
287000
251000
289000
252000
289000


p (t-test)

2.8E−9 

2.2E−9

5.8E−9


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
235
90
237
88
238
87












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.69
0.69
0.70
0.69
0.69
0.70


SE
0.029
0.029
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.031
0.031
0.035


p Value
 1.4E−11
 4.7E−12
2.7E−9
 2.1E−10
 1.2E−10
3.0E−9
 9.8E−10
 7.8E−10
8.1E−9


nCohort Non-
169
175
235
183
186
237
196
198
238


persistent


nCohort Persistent
158
151
90
144
140
88
131
128
87


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000
262000


Sensitivity
87%
87%
91%
88%
87%
91%
88%
88%
91%


Specificity
36%
35%
31%
35%
34%
31%
34%
33%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000
437000


Sensitivity
66%
67%
68%
65%
66%
68%
66%
66%
68%


Specificity
64%
65%
57%
62%
62%
57%
61%
61%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000
708000


Sensitivity
36%
37%
42%
37%
37%
43%
37%
38%
43%


Specificity
85%
85%
81%
84%
84%
81%
83%
83%
81%


OR Quartile 2
3.68
3.59
4.62
3.76
3.56
4.45
3.65
3.50
4.37


p Value
4.3E−6
8.6E−6
1.1E−4
7.4E−6
1.8E−5
1.7E−4
2.4E−5
4.5E−5
2.0E−4


Lower limit of
2.11
2.05
2.12
2.11
1.99
2.05
2.00
1.92
2.01


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.43
6.31
10.0
6.72
6.35
9.68
6.66
6.39
9.51


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.50
3.68
2.74
3.03
3.10
2.79
3.06
3.04
2.71


p Value
7.0E−8
2.6E−8
1.1E−4
1.7E−6
1.2E−6
1.0E−4
2.2E−6
2.7E−6
1.6E−4


Lower limit of
2.22
2.33
1.64
1.93
1.96
1.66
1.92
1.91
1.62


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.52
5.83
4.58
4.78
4.91
4.67
4.85
4.84
4.56


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.25
3.38
3.17
3.09
3.07
3.33
2.95
2.89
3.17


p Value
1.5E−5
7.2E−6
2.1E−5
2.2E−5
2.3E−5
9.9E−6
3.8E−5
5.1E−5
2.3E−5


Lower limit of
1.90
1.99
1.86
1.84
1.83
1.95
1.76
1.73
1.86


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.55
5.75
5.40
5.21
5.17
5.69
4.94
4.84
5.42


95% CI









Example 9. Use of Metalloproteinase Inhibitor 1 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 9.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
7870
21100
9400
20500
9450
22400


Average
15500
36800
18800
38800
19400
41100


Stdev
22400
36200
24100
38000
25100
38400


p (t-test)

1.6E−8

4.3E−8

3.9E−9


Min
475
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
119
198
158
159
179
138







sCr only













Median
8850
20700
9980
20700
9560
23100


Average
16600
37100
18200
39700
19100
42000


Stdev
22300
37000
22300
39000
24000
39400


p (t-test)

3.2E−8

3.4E−9

 5.1E−10


Min
475
297
419
297
399
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
130
186
162
154
184
132







UO only













Median
11800
27400
12100
29500
12100
31500


Average
24600
43300
25100
45500
25300
47500


Stdev
30500
38400
30600
39800
30600
40500


p (t-test)

2.0E−5

1.9E−5

9.4E−6


Min
297
873
297
873
297
873


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
146000
140000


n (Patient)
241
74
256
59
263
52










Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.70
0.68
0.68
0.68
0.68
0.70
0.70
0.69


SE
0.028
0.029
0.038
0.030
0.030
0.041
0.030
0.030
0.043


p Value
 6.7E−16
 7.2E−12
1.0E−6
1.7E−9
2.5E−9
7.7E−6
 2.7E−11
 4.0E−11
7.8E−6


nCohort Non-
119
130
241
158
162
256
179
184
263


persistent


nCohort Persistent
198
186
74
159
154
59
138
132
52


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080


Sensitivity
86%
84%
92%
86%
85%
92%
88%
86%
90%


Specificity
43%
38%
30%
36%
35%
29%
35%
33%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200


Sensitivity
65%
65%
70%
64%
64%
71%
69%
70%
73%


Specificity
74%
71%
56%
64%
64%
55%
64%
64%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300


Sensitivity
34%
35%
39%
37%
38%
41%
40%
41%
42%


Specificity
90%
89%
79%
87%
88%
79%
86%
86%
78%


OR Quartile 2
4.55
3.38
4.92
3.51
3.01
4.39
3.77
3.14
3.68


p Value
3.8E−8
6.8E−6
3.8E−4
9.1E−6
8.3E−5
0.0024
1.2E−5
1.2E−4
0.0078


Lower limit of
2.65
1.99
2.05
2.02
1.74
1.69
2.08
1.75
1.41


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.81
5.75
11.9
6.12
5.21
11.4
6.83
5.63
9.62


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
5.19
4.40
3.01
3.17
3.14
2.98
3.97
4.11
3.23


p Value
 1.3E−10
1.8E−9
1.1E−4
8.2E−7
1.0E−6
5.0E−4
1.1E−8
6.8E−9
4.8E−4


Lower limit of
3.14
2.72
1.72
2.00
1.98
1.61
2.48
2.55
1.67


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.58
7.13
5.27
5.02
4.97
5.51
6.37
6.63
6.25


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.66
4.45
2.46
3.85
4.41
2.51
4.08
4.40
2.65


p Value
5.6E−6
3.5E−6
0.0016
2.5E−6
3.3E−7
0.0026
3.8E−7
1.0E−7
0.0022


Lower limit of
2.40
2.37
1.40
2.20
2.49
1.38
2.37
2.55
1.42


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.07
8.37
4.31
6.74
7.80
4.56
7.02
7.60
4.94


95% CI
















TABLE 9.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
7070
20500
9020
20700
9010
22400


Average
15500
36100
17600
38500
18200
40400


Stdev
22900
35900
22700
37800
24100
37900


p (t-test)

7.2E−8

1.2E−8

1.2E−9


Min
475
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
112
205
147
170
165
152







sCr only













Median
8650
20500
9980
20500
9450
22000


Average
16600
36700
18300
38600
18900
39900


Stdev
22600
36700
22800
38400
24300
38400


p (t-test)

9.4E−8

3.1E−8

1.0E−8


Min
475
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
126
190
154
162
169
147







UO only













Median
11600
21900
12100
21900
12100
24700


Average
24400
39900
25100
41000
25200
41900


Stdev
30500
37400
30600
38700
30600
39300


p (t-test)

1.6E−4

2.6E−4

2.0E−4


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
146000
140000


n (Patient)
222
93
238
77
245
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.70
0.66
0.69
0.68
0.65
0.71
0.69
0.65


SE
0.028
0.029
0.035
0.029
0.030
0.038
0.029
0.030
0.039


p Value
 4.4E−16
 1.7E−11
3.2E−6
 4.3E−11
3.8E−9
5.3E−5
 1.1E−13
 1.1E−10
7.5E−5


nCohort Non-
112
126
222
147
154
238
165
169
245


persistent


nCohort Persistent
205
190
93
170
162
77
152
147
70


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080


Sensitivity
86%
84%
92%
87%
86%
92%
89%
87%
91%


Specificity
45%
39%
32%
39%
36%
31%
38%
36%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200


Sensitivity
63%
64%
67%
64%
63%
66%
68%
67%
67%


Specificity
74%
71%
57%
65%
64%
55%
66%
64%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300


Sensitivity
34%
34%
37%
36%
36%
36%
39%
38%
37%


Specificity
90%
89%
80%
88%
87%
79%
87%
86%
78%


OR Quartile 2
4.89
3.39
5.90
4.26
3.45
5.24
4.78
3.71
4.53


p Value
9.0E−9
6.1E−6
2.2E−5
3.5E−7
1.0E−5
2.2E−4
2.5E−7
8.1E−6
7.8E−4


Lower limit of
2.85
2.00
2.60
2.44
1.99
2.18
2.64
2.09
1.88


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.41
5.76
13.4
7.44
5.99
12.6
8.66
6.60
10.9


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.96
4.22
2.63
3.28
2.98
2.40
4.09
3.63
2.47


p Value
 7.2E−10
5.6E−9
1.9E−4
4.5E−7
3.0E−6
0.0014
3.8E−9
5.6E−8
0.0015


Lower limit of
2.98
2.60
1.58
2.07
1.88
1.40
2.56
2.28
1.41


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.26
6.85
4.36
5.20
4.70
4.11
6.54
5.79
4.31


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.66
4.16
2.27
4.11
3.84
2.10
4.35
3.91
2.14


p Value
1.1E−5
9.6E−6
0.0027
2.0E−6
3.5E−6
0.0094
3.0E−7
1.3E−6
0.0091


Lower limit of
2.34
2.21
1.33
2.29
2.17
1.20
2.48
2.25
1.21


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.25
7.82
3.87
7.38
6.78
3.66
7.63
6.78
3.79


95% CI
















TABLE 9.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
6980
20500
9010
20500
9010
21900


Average
15500
36000
17500
38200
18400
39200


Stdev
23000
35800
22800
37600
24500
37600


p (t-test)

9.9E−8

1.7E−8

1.4E−8


Min
475
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
111
206
144
173
158
159







sCr only













Median
8510
20500
9450
20500
9450
20800


Average
16800
36400
18400
38100
19200
38700


Stdev
22700
36700
23000
38200
24700
38100


p (t-test)

1.8E−7

7.7E−8

1.1E−7


Min
475
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
124
192
151
165
163
153







UO only













Median
11600
20500
11900
20900
12000
21700


Average
24900
37300
25300
38000
25500
38600


Stdev
31100
36600
31100
37300
31100
37800


p (t-test)

0.0019

0.0022

0.0021


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
146000
140000


n (Patient)
212
103
225
90
232
83












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.69
0.64
0.70
0.67
0.63
0.70
0.68
0.63


SE
0.028
0.029
0.034
0.029
0.030
0.036
0.029
0.030
0.037


p Value
 6.7E−16
 3.3E−11
6.2E−5
 1.3E−11
5.2E−9
2.8E−4
 3.1E−12
1.5E−9
4.3E−4


nCohort Non-
111
124
212
144
151
225
158
163
232


persistent


nCohort Persistent
206
192
103
173
165
90
159
153
83


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020
6080


Sensitivity
86%
84%
89%
87%
86%
89%
87%
86%
88%


Specificity
45%
40%
32%
40%
37%
31%
37%
36%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100
14200


Sensitivity
63%
63%
63%
64%
62%
63%
66%
65%
64%


Specificity
74%
70%
56%
66%
64%
55%
66%
64%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400
36300


Sensitivity
33%
34%
34%
36%
36%
34%
38%
37%
35%


Specificity
90%
89%
79%
88%
87%
79%
87%
86%
78%


OR Quartile 2
5.00
3.53
3.95
4.50
3.64
3.54
4.14
3.47
3.09


p Value
5.9E−9
3.2E−6
9.2E−5
1.3E−7
4.2E−6
5.4E−4
9.8E−7
1.4E−5
0.0021


Lower limit of
2.91
2.08
1.98
2.57
2.10
1.73
2.34
1.98
1.51


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.60
6.00
7.86
7.86
6.31
7.24
7.32
6.09
6.34


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.84
4.01
2.19
3.39
2.90
2.12
3.74
3.23
2.14


p Value
1.3E−9
1.8E−8
0.0015
2.5E−7
5.0E−6
0.0034
2.5E−8
5.9E−7
0.0040


Lower limit of
2.91
2.47
1.35
2.13
1.84
1.28
2.35
2.04
1.27


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.05
6.50
3.55
5.38
4.58
3.51
5.96
5.12
3.58


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.58
4.02
1.97
4.28
3.65
1.94
4.18
3.51
1.95


p Value
1.4E−5
1.6E−5
0.012
1.6E−6
8.1E−6
0.016
8.0E−7
7.6E−6
0.017


Lower limit of
2.30
2.14
1.16
2.36
2.07
1.13
2.37
2.03
1.13


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.10
7.56
3.32
7.74
6.43
3.32
7.38
6.09
3.39


95% CI
















TABLE 9.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent”


cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output


(UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
7070
20500
9010
20500
9010
21700


Average
15600
35900
17600
38000
18500
38800


Stdev
23000
35800
22900
37600
24600
37500


p (t-test)

1.5E−7

2.8E−8

2.9E−8


Min
475
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
110
207
143
174
156
161







sCr only













Median
8510
20500
9980
19900
9560
20700


Average
16800
36400
18500
37900
19300
38500


Stdev
22700
36700
23000
38200
24700
38100


p (t-test)

1.8E−7

1.3E−7

1.8E−7


Min
475
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
124
192
150
166
162
154







UO only













Median
11800
20500
11900
20500
11900
21300


Average
25100
36400
25300
37300
25500
37600


Stdev
31300
36300
31300
36700
31400
36900


p (t-test)

0.0044

0.0034

0.0038


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
146000
140000
146000
140000
146000
140000


n (Patient)
208
107
220
95
226
89













Persistence Period Duration (hr)












24
48














sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.72
0.69
0.62
0.69
0.67


SE
0.028
0.029
0.034
0.029
0.030


p Value
 2.7E−15 
 3.3E−11 
2.3E−4
 5.1E−11 
1.6E−8


nCohort Non-
110
124
208
143
150


persistent


nCohort
207
192
107
174
166


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020


Sensitivity
86%
84%
88%
87%
86%


Specificity
45%
40%
32%
39%
37%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100


Sensitivity
63%
63%
62%
63%
62%


Specificity
74%
70%
56%
66%
63%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400


Sensitivity
33%
34%
34%
36%
36%


Specificity
90%
89%
79%
88%
87%


OR Quartile 2
4.74
3.53
3.36
4.23
3.43


p Value
1.6E−8
3.2E−6
2.5E−4
3.2E−7
9.6E−6


Lower limit of
2.76
2.08
1.76
2.43
1.99


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.13
6.00
6.43
7.34
5.91


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.72
4.01
2.03
3.30
2.82


p Value
2.4E−9
1.8E−8
0.0036
4.4E−7
8.4E−6


Lower limit of
2.83
2.47
1.26
2.08
1.79


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.85
6.50
3.27
5.24
4.46


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.50
4.02
1.95
4.21
3.58


p Value
1.8E−5
1.6E−5
0.013
2.1E−6
1.1E−5


Lower limit of
2.26
2.14
1.15
2.32
2.03


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.94
7.56
3.28
7.61
6.33


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.63
0.70
0.68
0.63



SE
0.035
0.029
0.030
0.036



p Value
2.9E−4
 8.7E−12 
5.0E−9
4.1E−4



nCohort Non-
220
156
162
226



persistent



nCohort
95
161
154
89



Persistent



Cutoff Quartile 2
6080
6030
6020
6080



Sensitivity
88%
87%
86%
88%



Specificity
31%
37%
35%
30%



Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14100
14200



Sensitivity
63%
66%
64%
64%



Specificity
55%
66%
64%
55%



Cutoff Quartile 4
36300
35900
35400
36300



Sensitivity
35%
37%
36%
35%



Specificity
79%
87%
86%
79%



OR Quartile 2
3.42
3.95
3.26
3.05



p Value
4.9E−4
1.7E−6
3.0E−5
0.0016



Lower limit of
1.71
2.25
1.87
1.53



95% CI



Upper limit of
6.81
6.92
5.67
6.10



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.13
3.75
3.14
2.20



p Value
0.0027
2.5E−8
1.0E−6
0.0022



Lower limit of
1.30
2.35
1.98
1.33



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.50
5.96
4.97
3.66



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
2.01
4.04
3.45
1.98



p Value
0.010
1.4E−6
1.0E−5
0.013



Lower limit of
1.18
2.29
1.99
1.15



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.43
7.13
5.99
3.40



95% CI

















TABLE 9.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent”


cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine


output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
6950
20500
8810
20500
8870
21300


Average
14700
35900
17100
37900
18100
38500


Stdev
21600
35900
22000
37600
24000
37500


p (t-test)

4.5E−8

1.7E−8

3.0E−8


Min
475
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
106
211
138
179
150
167







sCr only













Median
8210
20500
9380
20500
9380
21100


Average
15900
36600
17700
38100
18600
38700


Stdev
21400
36800
22000
38200
23900
38000


p (t-test)

3.8E−8

2.7E−8

4.1E−8


Min
475
297
419
297
419
297


Max
116000
146000
116000
146000
116000
146000


n (Patient)
121
195
146
170
158
158







UO only













Median
11200
21300
11600
21300
11800
21500


Average
23600
38400
24100
39000
24400
39000


Stdev
29300
38100
29600
38400
29800
38700


p (t-test)

1.5E−4

1.9E−4

2.9E−4


Min
297
399
297
399
297
399


Max
127000
146000
127000
146000
127000
146000


n (Patient)
202
113
212
103
217
98












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.73
0.70
0.65
0.69
0.68


SE
0.028
0.029
0.033
0.029
0.030


p Value
 2.2E−16 
 1.9E−12 
7.3E−6
 2.6E−11 
1.1E−9


nCohort Non-
106
121
202
138
146


persistent


nCohort
211
195
113
179
170


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
6030
6020
6080
6030
6020


Sensitivity
85%
85%
88%
87%
86%


Specificity
45%
40%
33%
40%
38%


Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14100
14200
14200
14100


Sensitivity
63%
63%
64%
63%
62%


Specificity
75%
71%
57%
66%
64%


Cutoff Quartile 4
35900
35400
36300
35900
35400


Sensitivity
34%
34%
35%
36%
36%


Specificity
92%
90%
80%
88%
88%


OR Quartile 2
4.81
3.74
3.73
4.28
3.68


p Value
1.2E−8
1.2E−6
6.8E−5
2.1E−7
3.0E−6


Lower limit of
2.80
2.20
1.95
2.47
2.13


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.25
6.37
7.14
7.41
6.35


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.89
4.20
2.37
3.24
2.99


p Value
2.0E−9
8.9E−9
3.6E−4
7.1E−7
2.9E−6


Lower limit of
2.91
2.57
1.47
2.03
1.89


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.21
6.84
3.81
5.15
4.74


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.47
4.75
2.13
4.24
3.98


p Value
6.9E−6
4.4E−6
0.0042
2.7E−6
3.6E−6


Lower limit of
2.61
2.44
1.27
2.32
2.22


95% CI


Upper limit of
11.5
9.25
3.59
7.76
7.14


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.65
0.70
0.69
0.64



SE
0.034
0.029
0.030
0.035



p Value
1.7E−5
 1.0E−11 
 3.7E−10 
3.5E−5



nCohort Non-
212
150
158
217



persistent



nCohort
103
167
158
98



Persistent



Cutoff Quartile 2
6080
6030
6020
6080



Sensitivity
89%
87%
86%
89%



Specificity
32%
38%
36%
31%



Cutoff Quartile 3
14200
14200
14100
14200



Sensitivity
64%
65%
65%
64%



Specificity
57%
66%
65%
56%



Cutoff Quartile 4
36300
35900
35400
36300



Sensitivity
35%
37%
37%
35%



Specificity
80%
87%
87%
79%



OR Quartile 2
3.95
4.04
3.49
3.61



p Value
9.2E−5
8.8E−7
1.0E−5
2.6E−4



Lower limit of
1.98
2.32
2.00
1.81



95% CI



Upper limit of
7.86
7.05
6.08
7.19



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.33
3.55
3.32
2.31



p Value
6.5E−4
8.2E−8
3.4E−7
8.6E−4



Lower limit of
1.43
2.24
2.09
1.41



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.78
5.65
5.26
3.78



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
2.11
3.97
3.78
2.03



p Value
0.0053
2.6E−6
3.4E−6
0.0088



Lower limit of
1.25
2.23
2.16
1.20



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.57
7.05
6.64
3.45



95% CI

















TABLE 9.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent”


cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output


(UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)













24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort












sCr or UO














Median
279000
564000
321000
571000
342000
577000


Average
363000
566000
410000
572000
418000
589000


Stdev
236000
270000
253000
274000
249000
279000


p (t-test)

5.9E−11

6.3E−8

1.3E−8


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
114
213
155
172
179
148








sCr only














Median
280000
567000
314000
586000
340000
594000


Average
365000
572000
394000
586000
409000
600000


Stdev
235000
268000
237000
276000
244000
276000


p (t-test)

9.2E−12

 8.8E−11 

 1.6E−10 


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
124
202
157
169
182
144








UO only














Median
400000
595000
402000
660000
400000
693000


Average
457000
619000
461000
643000
460000
673000


Stdev
260000
289000
261000
288000
261000
280000


p (t-test)

3.7E−6 

1.5E−6

8.5E−8


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
245
80
261
64
269
56












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.72
0.73
0.66
0.68
0.70


SE
0.028
0.028
0.037
0.029
0.029


p Value
 1.1E−15 
 2.2E−16 
8.6E−6
2.5E−9
 1.1E−12 


nCohort Non-
114
124
245
155
157


persistent


nCohort
213
202
80
172
169


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000


Sensitivity
85%
86%
85%
85%
86%


Specificity
43%
43%
28%
36%
37%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000


Sensitivity
61%
62%
65%
62%
63%


Specificity
70%
70%
55%
63%
64%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000


Sensitivity
33%
34%
44%
34%
37%


Specificity
90%
90%
81%
85%
87%


OR Quartile 2
4.11
4.45
2.22
3.18
3.54


p Value
1.3E−7
3.4E−8
0.020
2.0E−5
4.5E−6


Lower limit of
2.43
2.62
1.13
1.87
2.06


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.95
7.57
4.36
5.40
6.07


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.69
3.90
2.24
2.69
3.11


p Value
1.5E−7
2.5E−8
0.0025
1.5E−5
8.6E−7


Lower limit of
2.27
2.42
1.33
1.72
1.98


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.00
6.29
3.79
4.20
4.89


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.68
4.43
3.28
3.00
3.97


p Value
9.7E−6
5.9E−6
1.9E−5
7.5E−5
1.7E−6


Lower limit of
2.36
2.33
1.90
1.74
2.26


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.28
8.43
5.65
5.16
6.98


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.68
0.68
0.70
0.71



SE
0.040
0.030
0.029
0.041



p Value
4.0E−6
2.2E−9
 8.8E−12 
2.1E−7



nCohort Non-
261
179
182
269



persistent



nCohort
64
148
144
56



Persistent



Cutoff Quartile 2
262000
260000
260000
262000



Sensitivity
89%
86%
88%
91%



Specificity
28%
35%
35%
28%



Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
433000
437000



Sensitivity
69%
63%
65%
75%



Specificity
54%
60%
62%
55%



Cutoff Quartile 4
708000
707000
704000
708000



Sensitivity
47%
38%
40%
50%



Specificity
80%
85%
86%
80%



OR Quartile 2
3.22
3.39
3.80
4.02



p Value
0.0057
2.1E−5
6.6E−6
0.0044



Lower limit of
1.41
1.93
2.13
1.54



95% CI



Upper limit of
7.39
5.95
6.78
10.4



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.63
2.57
2.92
3.67



p Value
0.0012
3.6E−5
3.7E−6
9.0E−5



Lower limit of
1.47
1.64
1.85
1.91



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.70
4.03
4.59
7.03



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
3.55
3.58
4.11
3.98



p Value
1.7E−5
2.6E−6
2.6E−7
7.0E−6



Lower limit of
1.99
2.10
2.40
2.18



95% CI



Upper limit of
6.32
6.10
7.05
7.28



95% CI

















TABLE 9.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent”


cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output


(UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)













24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort












sCr or UO














Median
272000
565000
300000
573000
314000
578000


Average
348000
568000
389000
579000
397000
594000


Stdev
224000
270000
237000
276000
237000
278000


p (t-test)

2.1E−12

1.9E−10

3.2E−11


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
108
219
144
183
164
163








sCr only














Median
277000
571000
299000
578000
314000
582000


Average
356000
574000
385000
585000
399000
592000


Stdev
228000
268000
236000
273000
241000
274000


p (t-test)

7.4E−13

1.2E−11

6.4E−11


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
120
206
149
177
166
160








UO only














Median
375000
590000
382000
602000
377000
609000


Average
446000
612000
451000
629000
451000
644000


Stdev
254000
290000
256000
290000
256000
287000


p (t-test)

3.7E−7 

2.3E−7 

4.7E−8 


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
225
100
241
84
248
77












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.74
0.74
0.67
0.70
0.72


SE
0.027
0.027
0.034
0.028
0.028


p Value
0
0
6.4E−7
 5.3E−13 
 1.2E−14 


nCohort Non-
108
120
225
144
149


persistent


nCohort
219
206
100
183
177


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000


Sensitivity
85%
86%
86%
86%
86%


Specificity
45%
44%
30%
39%
39%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000


Sensitivity
61%
63%
63%
62%
64%


Specificity
72%
72%
56%
65%
66%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000


Sensitivity
33%
34%
42%
35%
36%


Specificity
92%
90%
82%
88%
87%


OR Quartile 2
4.68
4.83
2.60
3.84
4.06


p Value
1.1E−8
7.0E−9
0.0030
7.5E−7
4.0E−7


Lower limit of
2.76
2.83
1.38
2.25
2.36


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.95
8.23
4.91
6.55
6.99


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.10
4.24
2.13
3.11
3.50


p Value
3.4E−8
6.3E−9
0.0022
1.1E−6
8.4E−8


Lower limit of
2.48
2.60
1.31
1.97
2.21


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.77
6.90
3.45
4.90
5.53


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.50
4.63
3.35
3.76
3.78


p Value
6.0E−6
5.7E−6
6.1E−6
7.4E−6
5.0E−6


Lower limit of
2.63
2.39
1.98
2.11
2.14


95% CI


Upper limit of
11.5
8.98
5.66
6.72
6.69


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.68
0.71
0.71
0.69



SE
0.036
0.029
0.029
0.037



p Value
4.7E−7
 2.8E−13 
 5.1E−13 
9.9E−8



nCohort Non-
241
164
166
248



persistent



nCohort
84
163
160
77



Persistent



Cutoff Quartile 2
262000
260000
260000
262000



Sensitivity
89%
88%
88%
90%



Specificity
30%
38%
37%
29%



Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
433000
437000



Sensitivity
65%
63%
64%
69%



Specificity
55%
63%
63%
56%



Cutoff Quartile 4
708000
707000
704000
708000



Sensitivity
44%
37%
37%
45%



Specificity
81%
87%
86%
81%



OR Quartile 2
3.55
4.35
4.17
3.60



p Value
8.5E−4
3.4E−7
7.0E−7
0.0013



Lower limit of
1.69
2.47
2.37
1.65



95% CI



Upper limit of
7.47
7.64
7.34
7.86



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.34
2.90
3.03
2.77



p Value
0.0013
3.4E−6
1.5E−6
2.4E−4



Lower limit of
1.39
1.85
1.93
1.61



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.91
4.54
4.75
4.77



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
3.43
4.07
3.63
3.56



p Value
7.4E−6
7.8E−7
3.5E−6
5.8E−6



Lower limit of
2.00
2.33
2.11
2.06



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.88
7.11
6.26
6.17



95% CI

















TABLE 9.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent”


cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output


(UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)













24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort












sCr or UO














Median
270000
565000
298000
573000
303000
578000


Average
345000
569000
386000
579000
394000
590000


Stdev
223000
270000
238000
275000
238000
276000


p (t-test)

9.8E−13

1.2E−10

3.2E−11


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
107
220
142
185
158
169








sCr only














Median
275000
574000
295000
582000
300000
590000


Average
349000
576000
379000
587000
388000
595000


Stdev
223000
268000
233000
271000
235000
273000


p (t-test)

7.8E−14

2.2E−12

2.0E−12


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
118
208
146
180
160
166








UO only














Median
371000
595000
373000
598000
371000
602000


Average
440000
609000
446000
620000
447000
633000


Stdev
253000
286000
256000
285000
256000
283000


p (t-test)

1.1E−7 

1.5E−7 

3.7E−8 


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
216
109
230
95
237
88












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.75
0.75
0.67
0.71
0.72


SE
0.027
0.027
0.033
0.028
0.028


p Value
0
0
1.1E−7
 1.7E−13 
 4.4E−16 


nCohort Non-
107
118
216
142
146


persistent


nCohort
220
208
109
185
180


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000


Sensitivity
85%
86%
86%
86%
87%


Specificity
46%
45%
31%
39%
40%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000


Sensitivity
61%
63%
63%
62%
64%


Specificity
73%
73%
56%
65%
67%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000


Sensitivity
33%
34%
40%
35%
36%


Specificity
92%
91%
82%
87%
88%


OR Quartile 2
4.79
5.03
2.76
3.98
4.28


p Value
7.3E−9
3.1E−9
0.0013
3.9E−7
1.5E−7


Lower limit of
2.82
2.95
1.49
2.33
2.49


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.14
8.59
5.11
6.79
7.37


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.27
4.57
2.24
3.12
3.61


p Value
1.8E−8
1.6E−9
8.5E−4
1.0E−6
4.5E−8


Lower limit of
2.58
2.79
1.39
1.98
2.28


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.08
7.49
3.59
4.92
5.72


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.41
5.04
3.17
3.64
3.92


p Value
7.4E−6
3.5E−6
1.3E−5
1.2E−5
3.9E−6


Lower limit of
2.58
2.54
1.89
2.04
2.20


95% CI


Upper limit of
11.3
9.99
5.33
6.51
7.01


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.68
0.71
0.72
0.69



SE
0.034
0.028
0.028
0.035



p Value
1.7E−7
 8.4E−14 
 2.0E−15 
4.2E−8



nCohort Non-
230
158
160
237



persistent



nCohort
95
169
166
88



Persistent



Cutoff Quartile 2
262000
260000
260000
262000



Sensitivity
88%
88%
88%
89%



Specificity
30%
39%
39%
30%



Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
433000
437000



Sensitivity
65%
63%
64%
68%



Specificity
56%
63%
64%
57%



Cutoff Quartile 4
708000
707000
704000
708000



Sensitivity
41%
36%
37%
42%



Specificity
81%
87%
87%
81%



OR Quartile 2
3.34
4.43
4.62
3.34



p Value
5.9E−4
1.7E−7
1.1E−7
9.5E−4



Lower limit of
1.68
2.54
2.62
1.63



95% CI



Upper limit of
6.65
7.74
8.13
6.82



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.40
2.90
3.19
2.79



p Value
5.4E−4
3.4E−6
5.0E−7
1.0E−4



Lower limit of
1.46
1.85
2.03
1.66



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.94
4.55
5.02
4.67



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
3.03
3.68
3.85
3.10



p Value
3.7E−5
4.3E−6
2.1E−6
3.3E−5



Lower limit of
1.79
2.11
2.20
1.82



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.13
6.43
6.71
5.28



95% CI

















TABLE 9.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent”


cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output


(UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)













24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort












sCr or UO














Median
272000
565000
296000
568000
301000
574000


Average
346000
567000
386000
577000
393000
587000


Stdev
224000
270000
239000
274000
240000
275000


p (t-test)

2.2E−12

1.7E−10

6.5E−11


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
106
221
140
187
155
172








sCr only














Median
275000
574000
293000
577000
300000
582000


Average
349000
576000
378000
585000
388000
593000


Stdev
223000
268000
234000
271000
236000
272000


p (t-test)

7.8E−14

3.0E−12

3.0E−12


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
118
208
144
182
158
168








UO only














Median
375000
577000
375000
590000
375000
595000


Average
443000
597000
445000
612000
445000
620000


Stdev
255000
286000
255000
286000
256000
284000


p (t-test)

1.0E−6 

2.6E−7 

1.1E−7 


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000
1120000
1090000


n (Patient)
211
114
223
102
229
96












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.74
0.75
0.66
0.71
0.72


SE
0.027
0.027
0.033
0.028
0.028


p Value
0
0
9.4E−7
 1.7E−13 
 4.4E−16 


nCohort Non-
106
118
211
140
144


persistent


nCohort
221
208
114
187
182


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000


Sensitivity
85%
86%
86%
86%
87%


Specificity
45%
45%
31%
40%
40%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000


Sensitivity
61%
63%
61%
62%
64%


Specificity
73%
73%
56%
66%
67%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000


Sensitivity
33%
34%
39%
34%
35%


Specificity
92%
91%
82%
87%
88%


OR Quartile 2
4.55
5.03
2.73
4.13
4.44


p Value
2.0E−8
3.1E−9
0.0011
2.0E−7
7.6E−8


Lower limit of
2.68
2.95
1.49
2.42
2.58


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.73
8.59
4.99
7.05
7.64


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.17
4.57
2.02
3.13
3.63


p Value
3.1E−8
1.6E−9
0.0031
9.9E−7
4.3E−8


Lower limit of
2.51
2.79
1.27
1.98
2.29


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.91
7.49
3.21
4.95
5.75


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.32
5.04
2.86
3.53
3.80


p Value
9.2E−6
3.5E−6
6.3E−5
2.0E−5
6.6E−6


Lower limit of
2.54
2.54
1.71
1.97
2.13


95% CI


Upper limit of
11.1
9.99
4.79
6.30
6.78


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.67
0.71
0.72
0.68



SE
0.033
0.028
0.028
0.034



p Value
2.2E−7
 1.2E−13 
 2.2E−15 
8.9E−8



nCohort Non-
223
155
158
229



persistent



nCohort
102
172
168
96



Persistent



Cutoff Quartile 2
262000
260000
260000
262000



Sensitivity
89%
88%
88%
90%



Specificity
31%
39%
39%
31%



Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
433000
437000



Sensitivity
64%
62%
64%
66%



Specificity
56%
63%
65%
56%



Cutoff Quartile 4
708000
707000
704000
708000



Sensitivity
39%
35%
36%
40%



Specificity
81%
86%
87%
81%



OR Quartile 2
3.78
4.67
4.78
3.86



p Value
1.4E−4
6.6E−8
6.0E−8
2.0E−4



Lower limit of
1.90
2.67
2.71
1.90



95% CI



Upper limit of
7.52
8.16
8.41
7.88



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.24
2.83
3.19
2.46



p Value
0.0010
5.6E−6
5.0E−7
3.6E−4



Lower limit of
1.38
1.81
2.03
1.50



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.63
4.43
5.03
4.04



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
2.78
3.51
3.72
2.75



p Value
1.2E−4
9.8E−6
3.7E−6
1.5E−4



Lower limit of
1.65
2.01
2.13
1.63



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.68
6.11
6.49
4.66



95% CI

















TABLE 9.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent”


cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output


(UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)













24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort












sCr or UO














Median
272000
564000
293000
565000
294000
571000


Average
347000
562000
383000
575000
389000
585000


Stdev
227000
271000
238000
274000
239000
274000


p (t-test)

1.6E−11

1.9E−10

4.2E−11


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
102
225
135
192
149
178








sCr only














Median
275000
568000
293000
571000
303000
574000


Average
351000
571000
381000
579000
390000
586000


Stdev
225000
269000
236000
272000
238000
273000


p (t-test)

8.4E−13

3.2E−11

3.4E−11


Min
13600
105000
13600
105000
13600
105000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
115
211
140
186
154
172








UO only














Median
369000
576000
363000
595000
367000
595000


Average
436000
601000
434000
618000
436000
623000


Stdev
250000
288000
249000
286000
250000
285000


p (t-test)

1.1E−7 

5.6E−9 

4.2E−9 


Min
13600
135000
13600
135000
13600
135000


Max
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000
1040000
1120000


n (Patient)
204
121
214
111
219
106












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.74
0.74
0.67
0.71
0.72


SE
0.028
0.027
0.032
0.028
0.028


p Value
0
0
8.0E−8
 1.3E−13 
 1.4E−14 


nCohort Non-
102
115
204
135
140


persistent


nCohort
225
211
121
192
186


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
260000
260000
262000
260000
260000


Sensitivity
84%
85%
87%
86%
86%


Specificity
45%
44%
32%
41%
40%


Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
433000
437000
437000
433000


Sensitivity
60%
62%
62%
62%
63%


Specificity
73%
72%
57%
67%
67%


Cutoff Quartile 4
707000
704000
708000
707000
704000


Sensitivity
32%
34%
39%
34%
34%


Specificity
91%
90%
83%
87%
87%


OR Quartile 2
4.31
4.63
3.07
4.20
4.10


p Value
5.9E−8
1.4E−8
2.7E−4
1.3E−7
2.3E−7


Lower limit of
2.54
2.72
1.68
2.47
2.40


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.31
7.86
5.61
7.15
7.00


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.04
4.25
2.15
3.26
3.47


p Value
8.3E−8
9.3E−9
0.0011
5.2E−7
1.3E−7


Lower limit of
2.42
2.59
1.36
2.06
2.18


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.73
6.96
3.40
5.17
5.50


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.96
4.79
3.07
3.55
3.56


p Value
2.1E−5
7.0E−6
2.1E−5
2.5E−5
1.8E−5


Lower limit of
2.37
2.42
1.83
1.97
1.99


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.4
9.50
5.14
6.41
6.35


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.69
0.71
0.71
0.69



SE
0.032
0.028
0.028
0.032



p Value
3.1E−9
 3.4E−14 
 6.5E−14 
2.0E−9



nCohort Non-
214
149
154
219



persistent



nCohort
111
178
172
106



Persistent



Cutoff Quartile 2
262000
260000
260000
262000



Sensitivity
90%
88%
87%
91%



Specificity
33%
40%
39%
32%



Cutoff Quartile 3
437000
437000
433000
437000



Sensitivity
65%
62%
63%
66%



Specificity
57%
64%
64%
58%



Cutoff Quartile 4
708000
707000
704000
708000



Sensitivity
41%
35%
35%
41%



Specificity
83%
87%
86%
82%



OR Quartile 2
4.42
4.78
4.35
4.61



p Value
2.1E−5
3.0E−8
1.8E−7
2.5E−5



Lower limit of
2.23
2.75
2.50
2.26



95% CI



Upper limit of
8.77
8.32
7.56
9.37



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.50
3.00
3.04
2.63



p Value
1.6E−4
1.9E−6
1.4E−6
8.5E−5



Lower limit of
1.55
1.91
1.93
1.63



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.01
4.72
4.77
4.27



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
3.26
3.75
3.48
3.15



p Value
7.9E−6
5.8E−6
1.1E−5
1.5E−5



Lower limit of
1.94
2.12
2.00
1.87



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.48
6.64
6.07
5.30



95% CI










Example 10. Use of Metalloproteinase Inhibitor 2 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 10.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
9920
16000
10100
15400
10000
15100


Average
12700
33200
13500
32200
13000
31900


Stdev
10100
58100
10900
57100
10500
56600


p (t-test)

0.0084

0.027

0.034


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
42400
465000
42400
465000
38600
465000


n (Patient)
57
260
46
271
41
276







sCr only













Median
12000
14800
12000
14800
11600
14800


Average
16600
33200
16600
33100
15800
33100


Stdev
13400
60100
13600
59900
12500
59400


p (t-test)

0.017

0.020

0.016


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
63200
465000
63200
465000
63200
465000


n (Patient)
76
240
74
242
70
246







UO only













Median
10600
21700
10300
21200
10100
19600


Average
19200
46300
19200
42300
19300
39700


Stdev
38500
68200
40400
63900
42200
61000


p (t-test)

9.9E−6

1.1E−4

6.3E−4


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
465000
428000
465000
428000
465000
428000


n (Patient)
194
121
173
142
156
159













Recovery Period Duration (hr)












24
48














sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.67
0.58
0.74
0.65
0.57


SE
0.036
0.037
0.030
0.040
0.037


p Value
2.8E−6
0.037
 6.7E−16 
2.7E−4
0.042


nCohort
57
76
194
46
74


Recovered


nCohort Non-
260
240
121
271
242


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980


Sensitivity
79%
77%
93%
78%
77%


Specificity
42%
30%
37%
41%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
54%
52%
69%
53%
52%


Specificity
68%
57%
62%
67%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100


Sensitivity
28%
28%
40%
27%
28%


Specificity
89%
84%
85%
87%
84%


OR Quartile 2
2.71
1.43
8.15
2.47
1.50


p Value
0.0012
0.23
1.1E−7
0.0066
0.17


Lower limit of
1.48
0.803
3.76
1.29
0.842


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.96
2.53
17.7
4.76
2.66


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.57
1.42
3.68
2.34
1.43


p Value
0.0024
0.19
1.2E−7
0.012
0.19


Lower limit of
1.40
0.842
2.27
1.21
0.844


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.72
2.38
5.97
4.54
2.41


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.38
2.07
3.72
2.50
1.98


p Value
0.0071
0.036
1.3E−6
0.045
0.049


Lower limit of
1.39
1.05
2.19
1.02
1.00


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.22
4.07
6.33
6.15
3.90


95% CI












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.73
0.66
0.59
0.72



SE
0.029
0.042
0.037
0.029



p Value
 5.1E−15 
1.6E−4
0.018
 1.6E−14 



nCohort
173
41
70
156



Recovered



nCohort Non-
142
276
246
159



recovered



Cutoff Quartile 2
8020
7990
7980
8020



Sensitivity
91%
78%
77%
89%



Specificity
38%
44%
33%
39%



Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500



Sensitivity
67%
53%
52%
66%



Specificity
64%
68%
57%
66%



Cutoff Quartile 4
29400
28900
28100
29400



Sensitivity
37%
27%
28%
35%



Specificity
85%
88%
86%
85%



OR Quartile 2
6.12
2.76
1.66
5.03



p Value
4.2E−8
0.0034
0.087
6.8E−8



Lower limit of
3.20
1.40
0.929
2.80



95% CI



Upper limit of
11.7
5.44
2.97
9.04



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
3.53
2.42
1.45
3.78



p Value
1.2E−7
0.013
0.18
2.3E−8



Lower limit of
2.21
1.20
0.847
2.37



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.63
4.87
2.47
6.02



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
3.37
2.69
2.34
2.91



p Value
9.8E−6
0.046
0.022
1.2E−4



Lower limit of
1.97
1.02
1.13
1.69



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.77
7.10
4.83
5.01



95% CI

















TABLE 10.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
10600
18100
10900
17200
10600
16100


Average
13600
35800
14200
34600
13700
34100


Stdev
11500
61500
12100
60300
12000
59500


p (t-test)

8.0E−4

0.0031

0.0045


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
465000
76000
465000
76000
465000


n (Patient)
90
227
79
238
71
246







sCr only













Median
12000
16000
12000
16000
11400
16600


Average
16700
35900
16700
35700
16000
35600


Stdev
14200
63700
14300
63400
13600
62800


p (t-test)

0.0023

0.0028

0.0022


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
465000
76000
465000
76000
465000


n (Patient)
106
211
104
213
99
218







UO only













Median
11400
21700
11200
21100
10900
19500


Average
20000
49400
19900
45100
19900
42300


Stdev
37100
73200
38400
68700
39800
65300


p (t-test)

3.4E−6

3.9E−5

2.0E−4


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
465000
428000
465000
428000
465000
428000


n (Patient)
212
103
194
121
178
137













Recovery Period Duration (hr)












24
48














sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.66
0.59
0.71
0.64
0.59


SE
0.032
0.033
0.032
0.034
0.033


p Value
5.3E−7
0.0065
 7.9E−11 
3.3E−5
0.0075


nCohort
90
106
212
79
104


Recovered


nCohort Non-
227
211
103
238
213


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990


Sensitivity
79%
77%
90%
78%
77%


Specificity
34%
28%
33%
34%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
56%
54%
68%
55%
54%


Specificity
66%
57%
58%
65%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900


Sensitivity
31%
30%
41%
30%
30%


Specificity
90%
85%
83%
89%
85%


OR Quartile 2
1.96
1.31
4.49
1.86
1.36


p Value
0.014
0.32
3.7E−5
0.029
0.26


Lower limit of
1.14
0.768
2.20
1.06
0.798


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.36
2.22
9.15
3.24
2.31


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.46
1.50
2.99
2.23
1.51


p Value
5.1E−4
0.089
1.5E−5
0.0029
0.087


Lower limit of
1.48
0.940
1.82
1.32
0.942


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.09
2.41
4.91
3.78
2.42


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.10
2.45
3.26
3.31
2.36


p Value
2.0E−4
0.0039
1.2E−5
0.0017
0.0056


Lower limit of
1.95
1.33
1.92
1.57
1.29


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.62
4.50
5.53
6.98
4.34


95% CI












Recovery Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.69
0.65
0.60
0.69



SE
0.031
0.035
0.033
0.030



p Value
 6.2E−10 
9.4E−6
0.0018
 7.6E−10 



nCohort
194
71
99
178



Recovered



nCohort Non-
121
246
218
137



recovered



Cutoff Quartile 2
8020
7990
7990
8020



Sensitivity
88%
78%
78%
87%



Specificity
34%
37%
30%
34%



Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500



Sensitivity
65%
54%
54%
65%



Specificity
59%
65%
58%
61%



Cutoff Quartile 4
29400
28900
28900
29400



Sensitivity
38%
30%
31%
36%



Specificity
83%
90%
87%
83%



OR Quartile 2
3.85
2.10
1.50
3.45



p Value
2.9E−5
0.011
0.14
3.3E−5



Lower limit of
2.05
1.19
0.879
1.92



95% CI



Upper limit of
7.24
3.72
2.56
6.18



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.74
2.20
1.57
2.93



p Value
2.8E−5
0.0048
0.064
5.3E−6



Lower limit of
1.71
1.27
0.973
1.84



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.39
3.81
2.54
4.65



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
2.99
3.86
2.94
2.75



p Value
4.2E−5
0.0014
0.0012
1.6E−4



Lower limit of
1.77
1.69
1.53
1.62



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.06
8.82
5.62
4.65



95% CI

















TABLE 10.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11300
18600
11300
18100
11000
17900


Average
15000
37600
15200
36800
14600
36000


Stdev
13100
64600
13400
63700
12800
62400


p (t-test)

2.5E−4

5.9E−4

9.1E−4


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
465000
76000
465000
76000
465000


n (Patient)
114
203
107
210
97
220







sCr only













Median
11900
18000
12000
17900
11600
17900


Average
16800
38000
17000
37500
16400
37400


Stdev
14800
66600
14900
66100
14300
65400


p (t-test)

4.9E−4

7.4E−4

6.3E−4


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
465000
76000
465000
76000
465000


n (Patient)
127
190
124
193
119
198







UO only













Median
11600
21500
11500
21400
11300
20600


Average
20700
48500
20800
45900
20100
44000


Stdev
37700
73600
38500
70900
38900
67800


p (t-test)

1.3E−5

5.7E−5

8.9E−5


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
465000
428000
465000
428000
465000
428000


n (Patient)
214
101
204
111
190
125












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.61
0.69
0.64
0.60
0.68
0.64
0.61
0.68


SE
0.031
0.032
0.033
0.032
0.032
0.033
0.032
0.032
0.031


p Value
2.5E−6
8.2E−4
1.7E−8
1.3E−5
0.0016
4.5E−8
6.7E−6
5.3E−4
7.1E−9


nCohort
114
127
214
107
124
204
97
119
190


Recovered


nCohort Non-
203
190
101
210
193
111
220
198
125


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020


Sensitivity
80%
79%
87%
80%
79%
86%
80%
79%
86%


Specificity
34%
31%
31%
35%
31%
31%
36%
32%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
57%
55%
65%
57%
55%
64%
56%
55%
64%


Specificity
62%
57%
57%
63%
57%
57%
63%
58%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400


Sensitivity
33%
32%
41%
31%
32%
39%
31%
32%
38%


Specificity
88%
85%
82%
87%
85%
82%
89%
87%
83%


OR Quartile 2
2.12
1.78
3.02
2.11
1.76
2.93
2.26
1.80
3.08


p Value
0.0046
0.028
8.7E−4
0.0050
0.032
6.8E−4
0.0026
0.026
2.1E−4


Lower limit of
1.26
1.06
1.57
1.25
1.05
1.57
1.33
1.07
1.70


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.56
2.98
5.79
3.57
2.94
5.44
3.84
3.01
5.58


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.20
1.67
2.50
2.19
1.63
2.39
2.15
1.69
2.55


p Value
9.9E−4
0.027
2.5E−4
0.0013
0.035
3.5E−4
0.0022
0.025
8.0E−5


Lower limit of
1.38
1.06
1.53
1.36
1.04
1.48
1.32
1.07
1.60


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.52
2.63
4.09
3.53
2.57
3.84
3.51
2.68
4.07


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.44
2.69
3.16
3.04
2.55
2.95
3.57
3.07
2.98


p Value
1.3E−4
7.5E−4
2.0E−5
5.7E−4
0.0014
5.3E−5
2.9E−4
2.7E−4
4.7E−5


Lower limit of
1.83
1.51
1.86
1.62
1.44
1.75
1.79
1.68
1.76


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.47
4.78
5.38
5.73
4.54
4.99
7.12
5.63
5.03


95% CI
















TABLE 10.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11400
18600
11300
18400
10900
18200


Average
17300
38500
17300
37400
17000
36500


Stdev
22300
66200
22900
64900
23500
63300


p (t-test)

4.3E−4

9.4E−4

0.0017


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
215000
465000
215000
465000
215000
465000


n (Patient)
134
183
125
192
114
203







sCr only













Median
11800
18200
11800
18100
11600
18100


Average
18000
38600
18100
38300
17800
38200


Stdev
22400
67300
22600
66900
22400
66500


p (t-test)

6.0E−4

7.8E−4

6.9E−4


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
215000
465000
215000
465000
215000
465000


n (Patient)
140
177
138
179
135
182







UO only













Median
11600
21400
11400
21500
11400
20600


Average
20700
49000
20600
46900
20200
44700


Stdev
37500
74400
38100
71700
38500
68700


p (t-test)

1.0E−5

2.8E−5

6.8E−5


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
465000
428000
465000
428000
465000
428000


n (Patient)
216
99
207
108
194
121












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.62
0.68
0.64
0.62
0.68
0.65
0.62
0.67


SE
0.031
0.031
0.034
0.031
0.031
0.033
0.031
0.031
0.032


p Value
3.5E−6
9.1E−5
9.1E−8
5.6E−6
1.4E−4
4.5E−8
2.0E−6
7.2E−5
4.2E−8


nCohort Recovered
134
140
216
125
138
207
114
135
194


nCohort Non-
183
177
99
192
179
108
203
182
121


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020


Sensitivity
82%
82%
86%
82%
82%
86%
82%
81%
85%


Specificity
34%
34%
30%
35%
33%
31%
37%
33%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
57%
56%
65%
57%
56%
65%
57%
56%
64%


Specificity
60%
57%
56%
61%
57%
57%
61%
58%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400


Sensitivity
33%
33%
41%
32%
33%
40%
32%
34%
38%


Specificity
86%
85%
82%
86%
85%
83%
86%
86%
83%


OR Quartile 2
2.38
2.29
2.61
2.44
2.21
2.77
2.62
2.18
2.62


p Value
0.0011
0.0018
0.0031
7.6E−4
0.0026
0.0013
3.0E−4
0.0032
0.0012


Lower limit of
1.41
1.36
1.38
1.45
1.32
1.49
1.55
1.30
1.46


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.99
3.85
4.94
4.09
3.71
5.16
4.41
3.65
4.71


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.99
1.69
2.37
2.08
1.69
2.49
2.08
1.74
2.44


p Value
0.0028
0.021
5.8E−4
0.0018
0.021
2.0E−4
0.0022
0.015
1.8E−4


Lower limit of
1.27
1.08
1.45
1.31
1.08
1.54
1.30
1.11
1.53


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.14
2.65
3.88
3.29
2.65
4.03
3.32
2.74
3.90


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.03
2.83
3.31
2.84
2.74
3.14
2.82
3.08
2.99


p Value
1.6E−4
2.6E−4
1.0E−5
4.7E−4
4.1E−4
2.1E−5
7.9E−4
1.3E−4
4.2E−5


Lower limit of
1.70
1.62
1.95
1.58
1.57
1.86
1.54
1.73
1.77


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.38
4.96
5.63
5.08
4.79
5.32
5.17
5.47
5.06


95% CI
















TABLE 10.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery stalls within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11900
19800
11900
20000
11900
20000


Average
20700
42300
20600
42000
20600
42000


Stdev
38800
67400
39100
66700
39100
66700


p (t-test)

3.4E−4

3.9E−4

3.9E−4


Min
200
1490
200
1490
200
1490


Max
465000
428000
465000
428000
465000
428000


n (Patient)
188
129
185
132
185
132







sCr only













Median
11800
18800
12000
18300
12000
18500


Average
18600
40600
18700
40000
18500
40200


Stdev
22400
70800
22500
70200
22300
70000


p (t-test)

2.0E−4

3.4E−4

2.6E−4


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
215000
465000
215000
465000
215000
465000


n (Patient)
160
157
157
160
156
161







UO only













Median
11500
21500
11500
21500
11400
21500


Average
20500
48000
20500
47400
20000
47400


Stdev
37700
72900
37900
72000
37500
71500


p (t-test)

1.4E−5

1.8E−5

1.1E−5


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
465000
428000
465000
428000
465000
428000


n (Patient)
211
104
208
107
205
110












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.62
0.68
0.64
0.61
0.68
0.64
0.62
0.68


SE
0.032
0.031
0.033
0.032
0.031
0.033
0.032
0.031
0.033


p Value
3.2E−5
1.8E−4
9.2E−8
1.6E−5
4.8E−4
5.0E−8
1.6E−5
2.4E−4
2.9E−8


nCohort Recovered
188
160
211
185
157
208
185
156
205


nCohort Non-
129
157
104
132
160
107
132
161
110


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020


Sensitivity
83%
82%
85%
83%
81%
85%
83%
81%
85%


Specificity
30%
31%
30%
31%
31%
30%
31%
31%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
60%
57%
65%
60%
56%
65%
60%
56%
65%


Specificity
56%
56%
57%
57%
55%
58%
57%
56%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400


Sensitivity
36%
34%
41%
36%
34%
41%
36%
34%
41%


Specificity
82%
84%
83%
82%
83%
83%
82%
84%
83%


OR Quartile 2
2.12
2.01
2.34
2.23
1.97
2.47
2.23
2.00
2.37


p Value
0.0080
0.0092
0.0062
0.0046
0.011
0.0035
0.0046
0.0092
0.0046


Lower limit of
1.22
1.19
1.27
1.28
1.17
1.35
1.28
1.19
1.31


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.68
3.39
4.30
3.87
3.31
4.54
3.87
3.37
4.31


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.91
1.68
2.54
1.96
1.56
2.58
1.96
1.60
2.62


p Value
0.0051
0.022
1.8E−4
0.0037
0.050
1.2E−4
0.0037
0.038
8.6E−5


Lower limit of
1.21
1.08
1.56
1.24
1.00
1.59
1.24
1.03
1.62


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.02
2.62
4.13
3.08
2.43
4.19
3.08
2.49
4.24


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.51
2.70
3.43
2.55
2.57
3.45
2.55
2.72
3.48


p Value
4.9E−4
2.6E−4
5.3E−6
4.1E−4
5.3E−4
4.5E−6
4.1E−4
2.7E−4
3.8E−6


Lower limit of
1.50
1.58
2.02
1.52
1.51
2.03
1.52
1.59
2.05


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.21
4.61
5.82
4.28
4.38
5.86
4.28
4.65
5.91


95% CI
















TABLE 10.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
94400
115000
94100
114000
92400
114000


Average
101000
126000
101000
125000
99500
125000


Stdev
32200
45000
31900
44800
32900
44600


p (t-test)

2.7E−4

0.0010

8.8E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
213000
299000
213000
299000
213000
299000


n (Patient)
52
275
42
285
38
289







sCr only













Median
96000
116000
96000
116000
96000
115000


Average
101000
127000
101000
127000
101000
127000


Stdev
26600
46300
26000
46300
26400
46100


p (t-test)

1.3E−5

1.1E−5

2.6E−5


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
213000
299000
213000
299000
213000
299000


n (Patient)
69
257
67
259
63
263







UO only













Median
104000
121000
104000
120000
102000
119000


Average
117000
130000
115000
131000
115000
129000


Stdev
43200
44400
41100
46100
41900
45300


p (t-test)

0.0058

9.9E−4

0.0047


Min
57000
64800
57000
64800
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
197
128
176
149
159
166












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.68
0.61
0.70
0.69
0.62
0.72
0.69
0.61


SE
0.035
0.033
0.032
0.039
0.033
0.031
0.038
0.034
0.031


p Value
2.0E−8
2.3E−8
3.9E−4
4.2E−7
1.6E−8
1.4E−4
1.6E−8
4.7E−8
3.3E−4


nCohort Recovered
52
69
197
42
67
176
38
63
159


nCohort Non-
275
257
128
285
259
149
289
263
166


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200


Sensitivity
78%
78%
85%
78%
78%
84%
78%
78%
83%


Specificity
42%
38%
31%
43%
37%
32%
47%
38%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
55%
56%
60%
54%
56%
60%
54%
55%
58%


Specificity
77%
71%
56%
76%
72%
58%
79%
71%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
28%
30%
32%
28%
30%
32%
27%
30%
30%


Specificity
92%
93%
79%
93%
94%
80%
92%
94%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.63
2.17
2.63
2.59
2.11
2.49
3.16
2.18
2.46


p Value
0.0023
0.0077
9.1E−4
0.0055
0.011
8.9E−4
0.0012
0.0094
7.3E−4


Lower limit of
1.41
1.23
1.49
1.32
1.19
1.46
1.58
1.21
1.46


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.89
3.84
4.67
5.07
3.75
4.28
6.34
3.91
4.16


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.12
3.07
1.95
3.76
3.16
2.04
4.40
3.07
1.98


p Value
5.4E−5
1.3E−4
0.0038
5.1E−4
1.1E−4
0.0016
3.6E−4
2.4E−4
0.0024


Lower limit of
2.07
1.73
1.24
1.78
1.76
1.31
1.95
1.69
1.27


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.19
5.46
3.06
7.94
5.68
3.19
9.92
5.59
3.08


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.75
5.48
1.79
4.99
6.79
1.86
4.39
6.22
1.60


p Value
0.0037
4.4E−4
0.024
0.0088
3.3E−4
0.017
0.016
6.2E−4
0.070


Lower limit of
1.66
2.12
1.08
1.50
2.39
1.12
1.31
2.18
0.962


95% CI


Upper limit of
13.6
14.1
2.97
16.6
19.3
3.08
14.7
17.7
2.66


95% CI
















TABLE 10.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
97900
116000
97400
115000
96000
114000


Average
108000
127000
110000
125000
110000
125000


Stdev
35600
45800
37400
45400
38900
44900


p (t-test)

4.8E−4

0.0059

0.012


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
257000
299000
257000
299000
257000
299000


n (Patient)
87
240
76
251
69
258







sCr only













Median
98100
117000
98100
117000
98000
117000


Average
107000
129000
106000
128000
107000
128000


Stdev
32600
46900
32400
46800
32900
46600


p (t-test)

2.4E−5

2.4E−5

8.9E−5


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
257000
299000
257000
299000
257000
299000


n (Patient)
101
226
99
228
94
233







UO only













Median
105000
123000
105000
120000
104000
120000


Average
117000
133000
116000
131000
116000
129000


Stdev
42700
45300
42100
45900
42900
44600


p (t-test)

0.0019

0.0029

0.0066


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
217
108
198
127
181
144












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.66
0.62
0.62
0.66
0.61
0.63
0.65
0.61


SE
0.033
0.031
0.034
0.035
0.031
0.032
0.036
0.032
0.032


p Value
5.8E−6
4.8E−7
2.1E−4
3.4E−4
4.5E−7
5.1E−4
4.5E−4
3.5E−6
3.6E−4


nCohort Recovered
87
101
217
76
99
198
69
94
181


nCohort Non-
240
226
108
251
228
127
258
233
144


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200


Sensitivity
78%
79%
86%
78%
79%
84%
78%
79%
84%


Specificity
34%
35%
30%
34%
34%
31%
36%
34%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
57%
58%
62%
55%
57%
60%
54%
57%
59%


Specificity
69%
66%
56%
66%
67%
56%
65%
66%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
29%
30%
34%
27%
30%
32%
27%
30%
31%


Specificity
85%
86%
79%
83%
87%
79%
81%
86%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.90
2.02
2.71
1.81
1.96
2.38
2.00
1.89
2.48


p Value
0.019
0.0082
0.0015
0.037
0.012
0.0026
0.017
0.018
0.0011


Lower limit of
1.11
1.20
1.46
1.03
1.16
1.35
1.13
1.11
1.44


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.26
3.40
5.02
3.17
3.31
4.19
3.55
3.21
4.28


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.96
2.67
2.06
2.35
2.70
1.90
2.22
2.53
1.90


p Value
4.6E−5
8.6E−5
0.0027
0.0018
7.9E−5
0.0054
0.0046
2.6E−4
0.0045


Lower limit of
1.76
1.64
1.28
1.38
1.65
1.21
1.28
1.54
1.22


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.98
4.35
3.30
4.01
4.42
2.99
3.87
4.17
2.96


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.30
2.67
1.99
1.84
2.87
1.83
1.57
2.62
1.66


p Value
0.012
0.0023
0.0088
0.070
0.0014
0.020
0.18
0.0036
0.050


Lower limit of
1.20
1.42
1.19
0.951
1.50
1.10
0.810
1.37
1.00


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.41
5.03
3.33
3.55
5.49
3.03
3.05
5.02
2.74


95% CI
















TABLE 10.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
98600
117000
98600
117000
98000
116000


Average
112000
127000
112000
126000
112000
126000


Stdev
40700
45000
40800
44900
41900
44400


p (t-test)

0.0049

0.0082

0.012


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
257000
299000
257000
299000
257000
299000


n (Patient)
111
216
104
223
94
233







sCr only













Median
98600
118000
98600
118000
98600
118000


Average
111000
129000
110000
129000
109000
129000


Stdev
38500
45900
37700
46000
37600
46000


p (t-test)

2.8E−4

1.2E−4

1.6E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
257000
299000
257000
299000
257000
299000


n (Patient)
124
203
121
206
116
211







UO only













Median
104000
125000
103000
125000
101000
123000


Average
115000
137000
114000
136000
114000
134000


Stdev
41400
46000
40600
46800
41200
45800


p (t-test)

1.9E−5

1.7E−5

7.8E−5


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
219
106
208
117
193
132












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.62
0.64
0.67
0.62
0.65
0.66
0.62
0.64
0.65


SE
0.032
0.031
0.033
0.032
0.031
0.032
0.033
0.031
0.031


p Value
9.1E−5
5.0E−6
5.3E−7
2.7E−4
1.7E−6
5.8E−7
2.2E−4
3.4E−6
8.7E−7


nCohort Recovered
111
124
219
104
121
208
94
116
193


nCohort Non-
216
203
106
223
206
117
233
211
132


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200


Sensitivity
78%
79%
89%
78%
79%
87%
78%
78%
86%


Specificity
32%
31%
32%
31%
31%
32%
33%
31%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
58%
59%
66%
57%
59%
65%
57%
59%
64%


Specificity
66%
65%
58%
65%
65%
58%
66%
66%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
29%
31%
39%
29%
31%
37%
28%
31%
34%


Specificity
83%
84%
81%
83%
85%
81%
82%
85%
81%


OR Quartile 2
1.66
1.71
3.60
1.54
1.69
3.16
1.76
1.61
3.07


p Value
0.055
0.039
1.6E−4
0.11
0.044
2.5E−4
0.037
0.066
1.6E−4


Lower limit of
0.990
1.03
1.85
0.912
1.01
1.71
1.03
0.968
1.72


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.77
2.83
7.01
2.59
2.80
5.85
2.98
2.69
5.49


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.69
2.63
2.63
2.55
2.73
2.58
2.53
2.71
2.53


p Value
4.7E−5
4.2E−5
8.5E−5
1.5E−4
2.4E−5
7.6E−5
2.6E−4
3.4E−5
6.9E−5


Lower limit of
1.67
1.66
1.63
1.57
1.71
1.61
1.54
1.69
1.60


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.33
4.17
4.27
4.13
4.35
4.12
4.17
4.34
3.99


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.99
2.29
2.74
1.92
2.58
2.52
1.75
2.59
2.18


p Value
0.019
0.0041
1.4E−4
0.028
0.0014
4.1E−4
0.066
0.0016
0.0026


Lower limit of
1.12
1.30
1.63
1.07
1.44
1.51
0.964
1.43
1.31


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.54
4.02
4.60
3.45
4.61
4.20
3.19
4.69
3.62


95% CI
















TABLE 10.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
98600
119000
98600
118000
98100
118000


Average
112000
128000
112000
128000
111000
128000


Stdev
40900
45100
41200
44900
39400
45300


p (t-test)

0.0012

0.0023

8.2E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
269000
299000
269000
299000
257000
299000


n (Patient)
134
193
125
202
113
214







sCr only













Median
98700
120000
98600
121000
98700
120000


Average
111000
130000
110000
130000
110000
130000


Stdev
39400
45800
38700
45900
38400
46000


p (t-test)

1.2E−4

3.3E−5

5.7E−5


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
269000
299000
269000
299000
269000
299000


n (Patient)
139
188
137
190
133
194







UO only













Median
103000
128000
103000
124000
103000
123000


Average
114000
139000
114000
136000
114000
134000


Stdev
39800
47800
40400
47200
41200
46000


p (t-test)

9.4E−7

1.2E−5

7.2E−5


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
220
105
211
114
198
127












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.65
0.68
0.63
0.66
0.66
0.64
0.65
0.65


SE
0.031
0.030
0.033
0.031
0.030
0.032
0.031
0.030
0.032


p Value
8.4E−6
9.0E−7
4.4E−8
2.0E−5
1.2E−7
5.9E−7
5.3E−6
5.9E−7
1.1E−6


nCohort Recovered
134
139
220
125
137
211
113
133
198


nCohort Non-
193
188
105
202
190
114
214
194
127


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200


Sensitivity
80%
80%
89%
80%
81%
87%
80%
79%
86%


Specificity
33%
32%
31%
33%
33%
31%
35%
32%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
61%
62%
67%
60%
62%
64%
59%
61%
64%


Specificity
66%
65%
58%
66%
66%
57%
66%
66%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
31%
32%
40%
30%
33%
38%
30%
32%
35%


Specificity
83%
84%
82%
83%
85%
82%
84%
86%
81%


OR Quartile 2
1.99
1.95
3.54
1.92
2.02
3.00
2.10
1.78
2.83


p Value
0.0075
0.0094
1.9E−4
0.012
0.0064
4.7E−4
0.0046
0.026
4.6E−4


Lower limit of
1.20
1.18
1.82
1.15
1.22
1.62
1.26
1.07
1.58


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.31
3.24
6.89
3.18
3.35
5.56
3.50
2.94
5.05


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.01
3.05
2.73
2.85
3.24
2.39
2.83
3.10
2.49


p Value
2.6E−6
1.7E−6
5.1E−5
9.8E−6
5.4E−7
2.7E−4
1.9E−5
1.5E−6
9.8E−5


Lower limit of
1.90
1.93
1.68
1.79
2.05
1.50
1.76
1.96
1.57


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.76
4.82
4.44
4.53
5.14
3.83
4.55
4.92
3.94


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.12
2.49
3.00
2.14
2.83
2.67
2.25
2.89
2.23


p Value
0.0066
0.0011
3.4E−5
0.0073
2.9E−4
1.8E−4
0.0063
2.8E−4
0.0020


Lower limit of
1.23
1.44
1.78
1.23
1.61
1.60
1.26
1.63
1.34


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.66
4.32
5.04
3.74
4.98
4.47
4.03
5.11
3.71


95% CI
















TABLE 10.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
101000
119000
101000
120000
101000
119000


Average
114000
132000
114000
132000
114000
131000


Stdev
40800
46600
40900
46200
40900
46200


p (t-test)

4.5E−4

3.1E−4

4.3E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
187
140
184
143
183
144







sCr only













Median
101000
118000
99700
120000
100000
119000


Average
113000
130000
112000
131000
112000
130000


Stdev
38800
47200
37800
47400
37900
47400


p (t-test)

4.7E−4

6.7E−5

1.5E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
269000
299000
269000
299000
269000
299000


n (Patient)
159
168
156
171
154
173







UO only













Median
103000
124000
103000
125000
103000
124000


Average
114000
138000
114000
137000
114000
137000


Stdev
39600
48200
39800
47700
40100
47300


p (t-test)

3.0E−6

3.1E−6

5.1E−6


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
215
110
212
113
209
116












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.62
0.66
0.63
0.64
0.67
0.63
0.63
0.67


SE
0.031
0.031
0.033
0.031
0.030
0.032
0.031
0.031
0.032


p Value
5.0E−5
8.3E−5
4.7E−7
1.9E−5
8.0E−6
2.1E−7
3.2E−5
3.2E−5
2.0E−7


nCohort Recovered
187
159
215
184
156
212
183
154
209


nCohort Non-
140
168
110
143
171
113
144
173
116


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200


Sensitivity
83%
80%
86%
83%
81%
87%
83%
80%
87%


Specificity
31%
31%
31%
32%
31%
31%
31%
31%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
61%
60%
65%
61%
60%
65%
60%
60%
66%


Specificity
58%
60%
58%
58%
61%
58%
58%
60%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
33%
32%
39%
34%
33%
39%
33%
33%
38%


Specificity
81%
82%
82%
82%
84%
82%
81%
84%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.17
1.82
2.81
2.28
1.92
2.95
2.15
1.73
3.11


p Value
0.0047
0.021
0.0010
0.0026
0.012
5.7E−4
0.0048
0.033
3.1E−4


Lower limit of
1.27
1.10
1.51
1.33
1.15
1.59
1.26
1.04
1.68


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.72
3.03
5.20
3.91
3.18
5.47
3.67
2.87
5.75


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.11
2.18
2.58
2.16
2.36
2.62
2.10
2.24
2.66


p Value
0.0010
5.4E−4
9.8E−5
7.1E−4
1.5E−4
6.7E−5
0.0011
3.5E−4
4.6E−5


Lower limit of
1.35
1.40
1.60
1.38
1.51
1.63
1.35
1.44
1.66


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.30
3.40
4.16
3.37
3.68
4.21
3.28
3.49
4.27


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.05
2.22
2.90
2.23
2.62
2.92
2.19
2.54
2.75


p Value
0.0054
0.0028
5.5E−5
0.0020
4.0E−4
4.7E−5
0.0025
6.2E−4
1.1E−4


Lower limit of
1.24
1.32
1.73
1.34
1.54
1.74
1.32
1.49
1.64


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.41
3.73
4.86
3.71
4.46
4.89
3.64
4.32
4.60


95% CI









Example 11. Use of Metalloproteinase Inhibitor 2 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 11.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
10600
17900
10400
17900
10100
17900


Average
15300
36900
14700
36700
14500
36400


Stdev
13900
63700
13300
63200
13300
62700


p (t-test)

5.8E−4

5.1E−4

6.3E−4


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
465000
76000
465000
76000
465000


n (Patient)
108
209
104
213
100
217







sCr only













Median
12000
16000
11800
16000
11500
16600


Average
17000
37300
17000
37100
17000
36900


Stdev
14700
66400
14800
66100
14900
65800


p (t-test)

8.2E−4

9.5E−4

0.0011


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
465000
76000
465000
76000
465000


n (Patient)
126
190
124
192
122
194







UO only













Median
11400
25100
11000
22700
11000
21700


Average
20500
51500
19900
48500
19900
46000


Stdev
38100
74800
38900
70600
39600
68200


p (t-test)

1.9E−6

5.3E−6

2.4E−5


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
465000
428000
465000
428000
465000
428000


n (Patient)
222
93
208
107
198
117












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.59
0.74
0.66
0.60
0.74
0.66
0.60
0.72


SE
0.031
0.032
0.033
0.031
0.032
0.031
0.031
0.032
0.031


p Value
1.6E−6
0.0031
 5.1E−13
2.3E−7
0.0023
 5.3E−15
1.3E−7
0.0017
 2.8E−13


nCohort Recovered
108
126
222
104
124
208
100
122
198


nCohort Non-
209
190
93
213
192
107
217
194
117


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020


Sensitivity
81%
79%
92%
82%
79%
93%
82%
79%
91%


Specificity
37%
31%
32%
38%
31%
35%
39%
32%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
56%
53%
71%
56%
54%
69%
57%
54%
68%


Specificity
61%
55%
59%
62%
56%
60%
64%
57%
60%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400


Sensitivity
32%
32%
44%
32%
32%
43%
32%
31%
41%


Specificity
87%
86%
83%
88%
85%
84%
89%
85%
84%


OR Quartile 2
2.56
1.68
5.90
2.79
1.74
7.56
2.83
1.81
5.04


p Value
4.2E−4
0.048
2.2E−5
1.3E−4
0.034
1.2E−6
1.1E−4
0.024
3.9E−6


Lower limit of
1.52
1.01
2.60
1.65
1.04
3.34
1.67
1.08
2.54


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.33
2.81
13.4
4.72
2.92
17.1
4.80
3.03
10.0


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.00
1.37
3.45
2.15
1.45
3.31
2.33
1.54
3.13


p Value
0.0042
0.17
3.2E−6
0.0018
0.11
2.1E−6
7.1E−4
0.065
3.2E−6


Lower limit of
1.24
0.874
2.05
1.33
0.922
2.02
1.43
0.974
1.94


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.21
2.16
5.82
3.48
2.29
5.43
3.79
2.42
5.06


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.10
2.84
3.82
3.60
2.74
4.00
3.77
2.65
3.75


p Value
4.6E−4
4.7E−4
1.1E−6
1.7E−4
7.2E−4
3.6E−7
1.6E−4
0.0011
1.1E−6


Lower limit of
1.65
1.58
2.23
1.85
1.53
2.35
1.89
1.48
2.20


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.83
5.09
6.54
7.01
4.92
6.82
7.51
4.76
6.38


95% CI
















TABLE 11.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11300
19300
11100
19300
11000
19300


Average
15500
40000
15400
39800
14900
39500


Stdev
13800
67800
13800
67400
13300
66600


p (t-test)

4.4E−5

4.7E−5

4.7E−5


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
465000
76000
465000
76000
465000


n (Patient)
136
181
134
183
129
188







sCr only













Median
12000
18700
12000
18600
11800
18200


Average
16900
40600
16900
40500
16900
40200


Stdev
14700
70200
14700
70000
14800
69600


p (t-test)

6.5E−5

7.4E−5

8.9E−5


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
465000
76000
465000
76000
465000


n (Patient)
149
168
148
169
146
171







UO only













Median
11600
22100
11400
22100
11300
21700


Average
20600
52500
20300
51100
20100
47800


Stdev
37600
76500
38000
74400
38800
70600


p (t-test)

1.3E−6

1.9E−6

9.6E−6


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
465000
428000
465000
428000
465000
428000


n (Patient)
226
89
220
95
207
108












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.61
0.72
0.66
0.61
0.72
0.67
0.62
0.71


SE
0.030
0.031
0.034
0.030
0.031
0.033
0.030
0.031
0.032


p Value
4.5E−7
3.4E−4
2.3E−10
1.8E−7
3.2E−4
 2.0E−11
3.8E−8
2.4E−4
 3.5E−11


nCohort Recovered
136
149
226
134
148
220
129
146
207


nCohort Non-
181
168
89
183
169
95
188
171
108


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020


Sensitivity
81%
79%
89%
81%
79%
89%
81%
80%
88%


Specificity
33%
30%
31%
34%
30%
31%
34%
30%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
59%
56%
69%
59%
56%
68%
60%
57%
68%


Specificity
61%
56%
57%
62%
57%
58%
64%
58%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400


Sensitivity
34%
35%
44%
34%
34%
44%
35%
34%
43%


Specificity
87%
85%
82%
87%
85%
83%
88%
85%
84%


OR Quartile 2
2.14
1.59
3.47
2.22
1.62
3.88
2.26
1.68
3.42


p Value
0.0039
0.075
6.6E−4
0.0026
0.065
2.0E−4
0.0020
0.048
2.0E−4


Lower limit of
1.28
0.954
1.70
1.32
0.970
1.90
1.35
1.00
1.79


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.58
2.66
7.11
3.72
2.70
7.94
3.80
2.80
6.55


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.21
1.64
2.90
2.34
1.68
2.96
2.57
1.78
2.99


p Value
6.1E−4
0.029
5.9E−5
2.6E−4
0.022
2.9E−5
6.2E−5
0.012
1.1E−5


Lower limit of
1.41
1.05
1.72
1.48
1.08
1.78
1.62
1.14
1.84


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.49
2.56
4.87
3.70
2.63
4.92
4.08
2.78
4.88


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.42
3.04
3.63
3.61
2.99
3.92
4.02
2.89
3.91


p Value
3.7E−5
8.0E−5
3.0E−6
2.2E−5
1.0E−4
6.3E−7
9.9E−6
1.7E−4
5.2E−7


Lower limit of
1.91
1.75
2.11
2.00
1.72
2.29
2.17
1.66
2.30


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.12
5.29
6.23
6.54
5.20
6.71
7.44
5.03
6.67


95% CI
















TABLE 11.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11300
19300
11300
19300
11000
19300


Average
17200
41100
17300
40700
16800
40600


Stdev
21500
69500
21700
69200
21600
68400


p (t-test)

5.7E−5

7.8E−5

6.3E−5


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
215000
465000
215000
465000
215000
465000


n (Patient)
154
163
152
165
148
169







sCr only













Median
11500
19000
11500
18900
11400
18800


Average
17900
41500
17900
41300
17900
41200


Stdev
21500
71000
21600
70800
21600
70600


p (t-test)

7.0E−5

8.0E−5

8.9E−5


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
215000
465000
215000
465000
215000
465000


n (Patient)
161
156
160
157
159
158







UO only













Median
11900
21500
11900
21500
11500
21500


Average
21500
49500
21600
49100
21200
46900


Stdev
38600
75700
38600
75400
39400
71800


p (t-test)

2.1E−5

2.7E−5

5.4E−5


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
465000
428000
465000
428000
465000
428000


n (Patient)
224
91
223
92
212
103












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.66
0.63
0.68
0.65
0.63
0.68
0.67
0.63
0.69


SE
0.030
0.031
0.035
0.030
0.031
0.035
0.030
0.031
0.033


p Value
3.0E−7
2.0E−5
2.2E−7
4.5E−7
1.8E−5
3.3E−7
3.5E−8
1.6E−5
1.3E−8


nCohort Recovered
154
161
224
152
160
223
148
159
212


nCohort Non-
163
156
91
165
157
92
169
158
103


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020


Sensitivity
83%
81%
86%
83%
82%
86%
83%
82%
87%


Specificity
33%
31%
29%
34%
31%
30%
34%
31%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
60%
58%
66%
60%
59%
65%
61%
59%
66%


Specificity
60%
58%
56%
61%
58%
56%
62%
58%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400


Sensitivity
36%
37%
42%
36%
36%
41%
36%
36%
41%


Specificity
86%
86%
82%
86%
86%
82%
87%
86%
83%


OR Quartile 2
2.39
1.97
2.51
2.47
2.01
2.55
2.65
2.04
3.13


p Value
0.0012
0.011
0.0059
7.8E−4
0.0092
0.0049
3.1E−4
0.0076
5.8E−4


Lower limit of
1.41
1.17
1.30
1.46
1.19
1.33
1.56
1.21
1.63


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.05
3.33
4.82
4.19
3.39
4.91
4.49
3.45
6.00


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.30
1.91
2.49
2.30
1.96
2.39
2.56
2.02
2.63


p Value
2.9E−4
0.0043
4.3E−4
2.9E−4
0.0030
7.0E−4
4.8E−5
0.0021
1.1E−4


Lower limit of
1.47
1.23
1.50
1.47
1.26
1.44
1.63
1.29
1.61


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.61
2.99
4.13
3.61
3.07
3.96
4.04
3.15
4.30


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.59
3.45
3.20
3.47
3.40
3.12
3.83
3.34
3.26


p Value
7.7E−6
9.5E−6
2.2E−5
1.3E−5
1.3E−5
3.1E−5
4.6E−6
1.7E−5
1.2E−5


Lower limit of
2.05
2.00
1.87
1.98
1.96
1.83
2.16
1.93
1.92


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.29
5.98
5.47
6.08
5.88
5.34
6.81
5.77
5.53


95% CI
















TABLE 11.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11500
19100
11400
19000
11300
19200


Average
19000
41300
18900
40900
18600
40800


Stdev
25200
71400
25300
70700
25400
69900


p (t-test)

1.8E−4

2.2E−4

1.8E−4


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
215000
465000
215000
465000
215000
465000


n (Patient)
168
149
165
152
161
156







sCr only













Median
11900
18800
11900
18700
11800
18600


Average
19300
41600
19300
41400
19300
41200


Stdev
25100
72300
25100
72100
25200
71900


p (t-test)

1.9E−4

2.2E−4

2.4E−4


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
215000
465000
215000
465000
215000
465000


n (Patient)
172
145
171
146
170
147







UO only













Median
11900
21500
11800
21500
11500
21500


Average
21600
49100
21500
49100
21300
47200


Stdev
38600
75500
38600
75100
39200
72500


p (t-test)

2.6E−5

2.4E−5

5.3E−5


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
465000
428000
465000
428000
465000
428000


n (Patient)
223
92
222
93
214
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.62
0.67
0.64
0.62
0.68
0.65
0.62
0.68


SE
0.031
0.032
0.035
0.031
0.032
0.035
0.031
0.032
0.033


p Value
1.0E−5
1.2E−4
6.6E−7
7.2E−6
1.1E−4
2.8E−7
8.9E−7
1.0E−4
5.3E−8


nCohort Recovered
168
172
223
165
171
222
161
170
214


nCohort Non-
149
145
92
152
146
93
156
147
101


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020


Sensitivity
83%
81%
85%
83%
82%
85%
83%
82%
86%


Specificity
32%
30%
29%
32%
30%
29%
33%
31%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
60%
58%
65%
60%
58%
66%
61%
59%
66%


Specificity
58%
56%
56%
59%
57%
56%
60%
57%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400


Sensitivity
36%
37%
41%
36%
36%
42%
36%
36%
41%


Specificity
84%
84%
82%
84%
84%
82%
85%
84%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.18
1.89
2.29
2.29
1.93
2.34
2.45
1.96
2.71


p Value
0.0042
0.018
0.011
0.0023
0.015
0.0091
9.9E−4
0.013
0.0021


Lower limit of
1.28
1.11
1.21
1.34
1.13
1.23
1.44
1.15
1.44


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.72
3.22
4.34
3.91
3.27
4.42
4.19
3.33
5.12


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.08
1.78
2.39
2.13
1.83
2.46
2.36
1.87
2.66


p Value
0.0014
0.011
7.0E−4
9.7E−4
0.0082
4.7E−4
1.9E−4
0.0059
1.0E−4


Lower limit of
1.33
1.14
1.44
1.36
1.17
1.48
1.50
1.20
1.63


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.25
2.78
3.96
3.33
2.86
4.06
3.70
2.93
4.36


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.88
3.09
3.12
2.95
3.04
3.29
3.20
2.99
3.16


p Value
9.3E−5
3.2E−5
3.1E−5
7.4E−5
4.2E−5
1.3E−5
2.8E−5
5.5E−5
2.0E−5


Lower limit of
1.70
1.82
1.83
1.73
1.79
1.92
1.86
1.76
1.86


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.90
5.27
5.34
5.03
5.17
5.61
5.50
5.08
5.38


95% CI
















TABLE 11.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11900
20900
11900
20900
11800
21100


Average
21500
43700
21400
43400
21400
43300


Stdev
39800
69300
39900
68800
40000
68500


p (t-test)

3.4E−4

3.7E−4

4.0E−4


Min
200
1490
200
1490
200
1490


Max
465000
428000
465000
428000
465000
428000


n (Patient)
203
114
201
116
200
117







sCr only













Median
11900
19000
11900
19000
11900
19000


Average
19100
44000
19100
44000
19100
44000


Stdev
24400
75300
24400
75300
24400
75300


p (t-test)

3.4E−5

3.4E−5

3.4E−5


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
215000
465000
215000
465000
215000
465000


n (Patient)
185
132
185
132
185
132







UO only













Median
11800
21500
11700
21500
11700
21500


Average
21700
47200
21600
47200
21600
46600


Stdev
39100
73500
39200
73100
39400
72500


p (t-test)

7.4E−5

6.6E−5

9.6E−5


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
465000
428000
465000
428000
465000
428000


n (Patient)
217
98
216
99
214
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.63
0.67
0.64
0.63
0.67
0.65
0.63
0.67


SE
0.033
0.032
0.034
0.033
0.032
0.034
0.033
0.032
0.034


p Value
1.4E−5
4.9E−5
1.2E−6
1.1E−5
4.9E−5
5.1E−7
8.0E−6
4.9E−5
6.9E−7


nCohort Recovered
203
185
217
201
185
216
200
185
214


nCohort Non-
114
132
98
116
132
99
117
132
101


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020
7990
7990
8020


Sensitivity
83%
83%
84%
84%
83%
84%
84%
83%
84%


Specificity
30%
30%
29%
30%
30%
29%
30%
30%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
62%
59%
65%
62%
59%
66%
62%
59%
65%


Specificity
57%
56%
57%
57%
56%
57%
57%
56%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400
28900
28900
29400


Sensitivity
39%
39%
41%
39%
39%
41%
38%
39%
41%


Specificity
82%
84%
82%
83%
84%
82%
82%
84%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.10
2.06
2.10
2.17
2.06
2.14
2.21
2.06
2.22


p Value
0.012
0.0099
0.017
0.0084
0.0099
0.015
0.0070
0.0099
0.011


Lower limit of
1.18
1.19
1.14
1.22
1.19
1.16
1.24
1.19
1.20


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.74
3.56
3.86
3.87
3.56
3.93
3.94
3.56
4.08


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.16
1.85
2.46
2.14
1.85
2.53
2.20
1.85
2.50


p Value
0.0013
0.0075
3.6E−4
0.0014
0.0075
2.4E−4
9.5E−4
0.0075
2.5E−4


Lower limit of
1.35
1.18
1.50
1.34
1.18
1.54
1.38
1.18
1.53


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.45
2.92
4.04
3.42
2.92
4.15
3.51
2.92
4.09


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.92
3.39
3.15
3.01
3.39
3.31
2.95
3.39
3.16


p Value
5.8E−5
6.2E−6
2.3E−5
3.6E−5
6.2E−6
1.0E−5
4.8E−5
6.2E−6
2.0E−5


Lower limit of
1.73
2.00
1.85
1.78
2.00
1.95
1.75
2.00
1.86


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.91
5.75
5.36
5.07
5.75
5.63
4.96
5.75
5.38


95% CI
















TABLE 11.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
97900
117000
97500
117000
97500
117000


Average
107000
129000
107000
128000
107000
128000


Stdev
34500
46400
34800
46300
35400
46100


p (t-test)

2.0E−5

4.4E−5

1.0E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
257000
299000
257000
299000
257000
299000


n (Patient)
105
222
102
225
98
229







sCr only













Median
97900
120000
97900
120000
97900
120000


Average
106000
131000
106000
131000
106000
131000


Stdev
32400
47500
32700
47300
32600
47200


p (t-test)

5.5E−7

7.3E−7

6.2E−7


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
257000
299000
257000
299000
257000
299000


n (Patient)
121
205
119
207
117
209







UO only













Median
106000
123000
105000
124000
104000
123000


Average
118000
132000
116000
134000
115000
133000


Stdev
43100
45000
41300
46900
41800
46000


p (t-test)

0.0068

2.9E−4

6.0E−4


Min
57000
70200
57000
70200
57000
70200


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
226
99
213
112
202
123












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.66
0.68
0.62
0.66
0.68
0.63
0.66
0.68
0.63


SE
0.031
0.030
0.035
0.031
0.030
0.033
0.031
0.030
0.032


p Value
7.3E−8
1.9E−9
9.0E−4
2.6E−7
1.6E−9
4.9E−5
7.9E−7
9.3E−10
5.1E−5


nCohort Recovered
105
121
226
102
119
213
98
117
202


nCohort Non-
222
205
99
225
207
112
229
209
123


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200


Sensitivity
80%
80%
86%
80%
80%
87%
79%
80%
86%


Specificity
35%
34%
30%
35%
34%
31%
35%
34%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
59%
60%
61%
58%
60%
62%
58%
60%
60%


Specificity
68%
67%
54%
68%
67%
56%
67%
68%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
32%
33%
35%
31%
33%
37%
31%
33%
34%


Specificity
89%
88%
79%
88%
88%
81%
88%
89%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.14
2.05
2.56
2.12
2.13
2.90
2.00
2.07
2.89


p Value
0.0039
0.0057
0.0036
0.0045
0.0037
7.0E−4
0.0093
0.0053
4.4E−4


Lower limit of
1.28
1.23
1.36
1.26
1.28
1.57
1.19
1.24
1.60


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.59
3.41
4.82
3.57
3.54
5.38
3.38
3.44
5.23


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.95
3.04
1.84
2.91
3.06
2.03
2.81
3.09
1.92


p Value
1.4E−5
3.7E−6
0.013
2.1E−5
3.5E−6
0.0029
4.7E−5
3.3E−6
0.0051


Lower limit of
1.81
1.90
1.14
1.78
1.91
1.27
1.71
1.92
1.22


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.81
4.86
2.97
4.77
4.92
3.24
4.61
4.98
3.02


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.57
3.79
2.08
3.39
3.67
2.42
3.16
3.94
2.10


p Value
1.7E−4
3.2E−5
0.0059
3.2E−4
5.0E−5
7.3E−4
7.2E−4
3.0E−5
0.0042


Lower limit of
1.84
2.02
1.24
1.74
1.96
1.45
1.62
2.07
1.26


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.94
7.11
3.51
6.59
6.88
4.05
6.14
7.51
3.49


95% CI
















TABLE 11.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
98000
120000
97900
119000
98000
118000


Average
111000
129000
111000
129000
112000
128000


Stdev
41500
44400
41600
44300
42200
44200


p (t-test)

2.4E−4

2.5E−4

8.6E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
134
193
133
194
128
199







sCr only













Median
98600
121000
98600
121000
98600
121000


Average
110000
131000
110000
131000
110000
131000


Stdev
39300
45700
39400
45600
39500
45400


p (t-test)

1.9E−5

2.1E−5

2.0E−5


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
146
181
145
182
143
184







UO only













Median
104000
124000
104000
125000
104000
125000


Average
116000
136000
115000
138000
115000
135000


Stdev
41900
46400
40800
47500
41300
46100


p (t-test)

1.5E−4

1.5E−5

4.3E−5


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
231
94
225
100
210
115












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.66
0.66
0.65
0.66
0.66
0.67
0.65
0.66
0.66


SE
0.030
0.030
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.032


p Value
2.0E−7
4.7E−8
1.3E−5
1.7E−7
4.0E−8
1.0E−6
1.6E−6
2.8E−8
9.4E−7


nCohort Recovered
134
146
231
133
145
225
128
143
210


nCohort Non-
193
181
94
194
182
100
199
184
115


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200


Sensitivity
82%
82%
88%
82%
82%
89%
81%
82%
87%


Specificity
35%
34%
30%
35%
34%
31%
34%
34%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
61%
62%
65%
61%
62%
66%
60%
62%
64%


Specificity
66%
64%
56%
66%
65%
57%
66%
65%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
31%
33%
38%
31%
32%
39%
30%
33%
37%


Specificity
84%
84%
80%
83%
84%
81%
83%
85%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.44
2.27
3.28
2.48
2.30
3.65
2.22
2.23
3.06


p Value
6.1E−4
0.0017
7.2E−4
4.8E−4
0.0013
2.2E−4
0.0021
0.0020
3.8E−4


Lower limit of
1.46
1.36
1.65
1.49
1.38
1.84
1.34
1.34
1.65


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.06
3.77
6.53
4.14
3.84
7.26
3.69
3.71
5.66


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.01
2.93
2.34
3.10
3.02
2.56
2.90
3.03
2.45


p Value
2.6E−6
3.1E−6
8.1E−4
1.5E−6
1.8E−6
1.7E−4
6.4E−6
1.8E−6
1.8E−4


Lower limit of
1.90
1.87
1.42
1.96
1.92
1.57
1.83
1.92
1.53


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.76
4.61
3.84
4.92
4.75
4.18
4.60
4.77
3.92


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.30
2.59
2.50
2.26
2.54
2.71
2.08
2.66
2.45


p Value
0.0030
6.0E−4
6.6E−4
0.0036
7.5E−4
1.8E−4
0.0091
4.7E−4
6.3E−4


Lower limit of
1.33
1.50
1.47
1.30
1.48
1.61
1.20
1.54
1.46


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.98
4.45
4.23
3.91
4.38
4.56
3.60
4.61
4.08


95% CI
















TABLE 11.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
98800
120000
98600
120000
98600
120000


Average
114000
129000
114000
129000
114000
128000


Stdev
42700
44200
43000
43900
43300
43800


p (t-test)

0.0018

0.0017

0.0029


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
154
173
152
175
148
179







sCr only













Median
99200
122000
99100
121000
99000
122000


Average
113000
131000
113000
131000
112000
131000


Stdev
41100
45200
41200
45000
41200
45000


p (t-test)

1.7E−4

1.9E−4

1.3E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
161
166
160
167
159
168







UO only













Median
104000
124000
104000
125000
103000
127000


Average
115000
138000
115000
139000
114000
138000


Stdev
41100
47300
40900
47000
40200
47200


p (t-test)

2.2E−5

7.1E−6

2.8E−6


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
230
95
228
97
215
110












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.65
0.66
0.64
0.65
0.67
0.63
0.65
0.68


SE
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.033


p Value
1.0E−5
1.1E−6
2.2E−6
5.4E−6
9.6E−7
4.5E−7
1.1E−5
4.2E−7
6.7E−8


nCohort Recovered
154
161
230
152
160
228
148
159
215


nCohort Non-
173
166
95
175
167
97
179
168
110


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200


Sensitivity
83%
83%
88%
83%
83%
89%
82%
83%
87%


Specificity
34%
33%
30%
34%
33%
31%
34%
33%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
62%
63%
66%
62%
63%
67%
62%
63%
67%


Specificity
63%
63%
57%
64%
63%
57%
64%
64%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
31%
33%
39%
30%
32%
40%
30%
33%
39%


Specificity
81%
83%
80%
81%
82%
81%
81%
83%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.43
2.32
3.34
2.51
2.36
3.46
2.34
2.40
3.10


p Value
7.5E−4
0.0015
5.9E−4
4.7E−4
0.0012
4.0E−4
0.0011
9.5E−4
4.3E−4


Lower limit of
1.45
1.38
1.68
1.50
1.40
1.74
1.40
1.43
1.65


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.07
3.89
6.65
4.21
3.96
6.89
3.91
4.02
5.83


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.76
2.82
2.56
2.91
2.90
2.69
2.93
2.98
2.91


p Value
9.2E−6
5.7E−6
2.2E−4
3.3E−6
3.4E−6
9.5E−5
3.2E−6
2.0E−6
1.4E−5


Lower limit of
1.76
1.80
1.55
1.86
1.85
1.64
1.86
1.90
1.80


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.32
4.42
4.22
4.57
4.54
4.43
4.60
4.67
4.71


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.90
2.29
2.62
1.84
2.25
2.89
1.85
2.38
2.90


p Value
0.015
0.0018
3.2E−4
0.021
0.0022
7.1E−5
0.020
0.0012
5.5E−5


Lower limit of
1.13
1.36
1.55
1.10
1.34
1.71
1.10
1.41
1.73


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.19
3.86
4.44
3.09
3.79
4.89
3.12
4.02
4.86


95% CI
















TABLE 11.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
99100
120000
98700
120000
98700
120000


Average
114000
130000
114000
130000
114000
129000


Stdev
42500
44300
42900
44000
43200
43800


p (t-test)

9.0E−4

0.0010

0.0018


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
166
161
163
164
159
168







sCr only













Median
99200
122000
99100
121000
99000
122000


Average
113000
131000
113000
131000
113000
131000


Stdev
41400
44900
41600
44800
41500
44700


p (t-test)

1.2E−4

1.4E−4

9.3E−5


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
169
158
168
159
167
160







UO only













Median
103000
130000
103000
129000
103000
128000


Average
114000
141000
114000
141000
114000
139000


Stdev
39500
48200
39500
48100
40000
47400


p (t-test)

1.1E−7

1.6E−7

9.5E−7


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
226
99
225
100
217
108












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.65
0.70
0.64
0.65
0.69
0.64
0.66
0.68


SE
0.030
0.030
0.033
0.030
0.030
0.033
0.030
0.030
0.033


p Value
4.6E−6
5.4E−7
3.6E−9
3.0E−6
4.8E−7
5.6E−9
6.3E−6
2.1E−7
1.9E−8


nCohort Recovered
166
169
226
163
168
225
159
167
217


nCohort Non-
161
158
99
164
159
100
168
160
108


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200


Sensitivity
83%
83%
89%
83%
83%
89%
82%
83%
87%


Specificity
33%
33%
31%
33%
33%
31%
33%
33%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
63%
63%
69%
63%
64%
68%
62%
64%
68%


Specificity
62%
62%
58%
63%
62%
58%
63%
63%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
32%
33%
42%
31%
33%
42%
31%
33%
40%


Specificity
81%
82%
82%
81%
82%
82%
81%
83%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.29
2.34
3.59
2.41
2.38
3.65
2.24
2.42
3.00


p Value
0.0018
0.0015
2.7E−4
9.6E−4
0.0012
2.2E−4
0.0022
9.7E−4
6.5E−4


Lower limit of
1.36
1.39
1.81
1.43
1.41
1.84
1.34
1.43
1.60


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.86
3.96
7.14
4.05
4.02
7.26
3.74
4.09
5.64


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.75
2.83
3.02
2.82
2.90
2.91
2.82
2.98
2.94


p Value
9.3E−6
5.6E−6
1.4E−5
5.7E−6
3.3E−6
2.5E−5
5.7E−6
2.0E−6
1.3E−5


Lower limit of
1.76
1.81
1.83
1.80
1.85
1.77
1.80
1.90
1.81


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.31
4.43
4.99
4.42
4.55
4.78
4.42
4.67
4.78


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.02
2.27
3.43
1.92
2.24
3.35
1.93
2.36
3.02


p Value
0.0072
0.0018
4.3E−6
0.012
0.0022
6.1E−6
0.012
0.0012
2.9E−5


Lower limit of
1.21
1.36
2.03
1.15
1.34
1.98
1.15
1.40
1.80


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.37
3.81
5.79
3.21
3.74
5.66
3.22
3.96
5.07


95% CI
















TABLE 11.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
101000
123000
101000
123000
101000
123000


Average
114000
135000
114000
135000
114000
135000


Stdev
40600
46500
40800
46200
40800
46100


p (t-test)

1.8E−5

2.1E−5

1.7E−5


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
204
123
202
125
201
126







sCr only













Median
101000
121000
101000
121000
101000
121000


Average
114000
131000
114000
131000
114000
131000


Stdev
41500
45600
41500
45600
41500
45600


p (t-test)

4.5E−4

4.5E−4

4.5E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
184
143
184
143
184
143







UO only













Median
103000
125000
103000
125000
102000
126000


Average
114000
139000
114000
139000
114000
139000


Stdev
39400
48400
39500
48400
39600
47900


p (t-test)

6.0E−7

8.8E−7

6.3E−7


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
220
105
219
106
217
108












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.66
0.64
0.68
0.66
0.64
0.68
0.66
0.64
0.68


SE
0.032
0.031
0.033
0.032
0.031
0.033
0.031
0.031
0.033


p Value
3.6E−7
1.4E−5
5.9E−8
2.8E−7
1.4E−5
8.4E−8
1.5E−7
1.4E−5
2.5E−8


nCohort Recovered
204
184
220
202
184
219
201
184
217


nCohort Non-
123
143
105
125
143
106
126
143
108


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200
90200


Sensitivity
86%
83%
87%
86%
83%
87%
87%
83%
87%


Specificity
32%
31%
30%
32%
31%
31%
32%
31%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
65%
62%
68%
65%
62%
67%
65%
62%
68%


Specificity
59%
59%
58%
59%
59%
58%
59%
59%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
36%
34%
40%
35%
34%
40%
36%
34%
40%


Specificity
81%
82%
82%
81%
82%
82%
82%
82%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.92
2.12
2.85
3.01
2.12
2.90
3.06
2.12
3.00


p Value
3.8E−4
0.0058
0.0012
2.5E−4
0.0058
9.6E−4
2.0E−4
0.0058
6.5E−4


Lower limit of
1.62
1.24
1.51
1.67
1.24
1.54
1.70
1.24
1.60


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.26
3.61
5.35
5.44
3.61
5.45
5.53
3.61
5.64


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.66
2.40
2.91
2.64
2.40
2.80
2.70
2.40
2.94


p Value
3.6E−5
1.3E−4
1.9E−5
3.8E−5
1.3E−4
3.2E−5
2.4E−5
1.3E−4
1.3E−5


Lower limit of
1.67
1.53
1.78
1.66
1.53
1.72
1.70
1.53
1.81


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.23
3.75
4.74
4.19
3.75
4.55
4.29
3.75
4.78


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.43
2.23
3.00
2.34
2.23
2.94
2.46
2.23
3.02


p Value
6.3E−4
0.0020
3.4E−5
0.0010
0.0020
4.7E−5
5.3E−4
0.0020
2.9E−5


Lower limit of
1.46
1.34
1.78
1.41
1.34
1.75
1.48
1.34
1.80


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.05
3.71
5.04
3.90
3.71
4.93
4.10
3.71
5.07


95% CI









Example 12. Use of Metalloproteinase Inhibitor 2 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 12.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11600
23500
11600
25700
11900
28900


Average
17800
50100
18300
54600
20900
53600


Stdev
21800
77800
22100
82600
35200
78100


p (t-test)

5.7E−8

3.8E−9

5.5E−7


Min
200
2940
200
2940
200
3000


Max
183000
428000
183000
428000
396000
428000


n (Patient)
205
112
221
96
236
81







sCr only













Median
11800
21800
11800
25200
12000
24300


Average
19900
46400
20500
49500
23200
45800


Stdev
35400
70300
35500
73900
44300
65800


p (t-test)

1.1E−5

3.7E−6

5.9E−4


Min
200
2940
200
2940
200
2940


Max
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000
371000


n (Patient)
208
108
223
93
235
81







UO only













Median
12300
39600
12800
38200
12800
39600


Average
22100
79400
22400
81600
22400
83600


Stdev
34300
102000
34300
106000
34300
106000


p (t-test)

 1.3E−11

 1.4E−11

 4.9E−12


Min
200
5410
200
5410
200
5410


Max
396000
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000


n (Patient)
275
40
278
37
279
36












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.67
0.79
0.71
0.69
0.78
0.72
0.67
0.78


SE
0.032
0.033
0.044
0.033
0.034
0.047
0.035
0.036
0.047


p Value
1.5E−9
3.6E−7
 1.3E−10
 8.6E−11
1.4E−8
3.6E−9
 7.4E−10
2.7E−6
1.2E−9


nCohort Non-
205
208
275
221
223
278
236
235
279


persistent


nCohort Persistent
112
108
40
96
93
37
81
81
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020


Sensitivity
85%
83%
90%
89%
87%
89%
90%
86%
89%


Specificity
30%
29%
27%
31%
30%
27%
30%
29%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
66%
64%
82%
69%
68%
81%
70%
67%
83%


Specificity
59%
57%
55%
58%
57%
54%
57%
56%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400


Sensitivity
46%
44%
65%
49%
47%
65%
51%
46%
67%


Specificity
86%
85%
81%
85%
84%
80%
83%
82%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.42
2.07
3.37
3.43
2.90
3.05
3.93
2.59
2.94


p Value
0.0036
0.015
0.025
4.6E−4
0.0019
0.041
6.0E−4
0.0073
0.049


Lower limit of
1.34
1.15
1.16
1.72
1.48
1.04
1.80
1.29
1.01


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.40
3.73
9.81
6.85
5.67
8.89
8.58
5.19
8.60


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.75
2.37
5.66
3.03
2.83
5.02
3.12
2.52
5.90


p Value
3.6E−5
4.3E−4
6.4E−5
1.9E−5
6.3E−5
2.2E−4
3.9E−5
6.2E−4
1.3E−4


Lower limit of
1.70
1.46
2.42
1.82
1.70
2.13
1.81
1.48
2.38


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.44
3.82
13.2
5.03
4.71
11.8
5.36
4.28
14.6


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.07
4.24
7.78
5.46
4.82
7.49
5.18
3.86
8.15


p Value
4.0E−9
1.2E−7
1.9E−8
1.0E−9
1.4E−8
8.5E−8
6.3E−9
1.5E−6
4.8E−8


Lower limit of
2.95
2.48
3.80
3.17
2.80
3.58
2.97
2.23
3.84


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.72
7.24
15.9
9.42
8.31
15.6
9.02
6.70
17.3


95% CI
















TABLE 12.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11600
21200
11600
21900
11600
24800


Average
17500
45900
17600
50200
20300
49200


Stdev
21300
73300
21200
77700
35600
72600


p (t-test)

9.8E−7

4.0E−8

3.1E−6


Min
200
658
200
2170
200
2170


Max
183000
428000
183000
428000
396000
428000


n (Patient)
186
131
204
113
219
98







sCr only













Median
11900
19800
11800
21200
11900
21300


Average
20600
42000
20300
45200
23000
42300


Stdev
36700
66600
35800
69700
45200
61600


p (t-test)

2.7E−4

3.7E−5

0.0020


Min
200
658
200
2170
200
2170


Max
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000
371000


n (Patient)
192
124
206
110
218
98







UO only













Median
12000
32200
12500
32200
12300
32400


Average
21600
62900
22000
64300
21900
65300


Stdev
34500
88900
34500
91700
34400
92300


p (t-test)

1.6E−8

1.8E−8

1.0E−8


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
396000
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000


n (Patient)
256
59
260
55
261
54












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.63
0.71
0.69
0.66
0.70
0.70
0.66
0.70


SE
0.031
0.032
0.040
0.032
0.033
0.042
0.033
0.034
0.042


p Value
6.8E−8
5.2E−5
1.4E−7
1.2E−9
1.1E−6
1.8E−6
 7.7E−10
6.4E−6
1.2E−6


nCohort Non-
186
192
256
204
206
260
219
218
261


persistent


nCohort Persistent
131
124
59
113
110
55
98
98
54


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020


Sensitivity
82%
81%
83%
85%
84%
82%
88%
85%
81%


Specificity
30%
29%
27%
30%
30%
27%
31%
29%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
63%
60%
71%
65%
63%
69%
67%
63%
70%


Specificity
59%
56%
55%
58%
57%
54%
58%
56%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400


Sensitivity
41%
39%
53%
45%
42%
53%
47%
42%
54%


Specificity
86%
84%
81%
86%
84%
81%
84%
83%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.02
1.67
1.81
2.47
2.15
1.63
3.16
2.30
1.58


p Value
0.012
0.064
0.11
0.0030
0.011
0.20
7.5E−4
0.0087
0.22


Lower limit of
1.17
0.971
0.868
1.36
1.20
0.777
1.62
1.23
0.755


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.50
2.88
3.77
4.47
3.87
3.40
6.17
4.28
3.31


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.37
1.90
2.98
2.66
2.21
2.61
2.79
2.19
2.79


p Value
2.3E−4
0.0059
5.0E−4
6.0E−5
0.0010
0.0025
5.6E−5
0.0017
0.0015


Lower limit of
1.50
1.20
1.61
1.65
1.38
1.40
1.69
1.34
1.48


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.75
3.01
5.51
4.28
3.56
4.86
4.61
3.57
5.25


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.32
3.28
4.80
4.96
3.77
4.68
4.81
3.41
4.90


p Value
1.2E−7
1.0E−5
3.0E−7
6.1E−9
9.8E−7
7.8E−7
1.1E−8
6.4E−6
4.6E−7


Lower limit of
2.51
1.94
2.63
2.89
2.22
2.54
2.81
2.00
2.64


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.41
5.56
8.74
8.52
6.41
8.64
8.26
5.80
9.08


95% CI
















TABLE 12.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11500
21100
11400
21400
11600
21600


Average
16700
44800
16500
48300
19900
46400


Stdev
18500
71600
18100
74800
35100
69800


p (t-test)

9.8E−7

4.3E−8

9.5E−6


Min
200
658
200
2170
200
2170


Max
183000
428000
183000
428000
396000
428000


n (Patient)
175
142
190
127
205
112







sCr only













Median
11800
19600
11600
20600
11800
20900


Average
19700
41600
19900
43600
23100
40400


Stdev
35700
65400
36300
67100
46100
59200


p (t-test)

1.6E−4

6.2E−5

0.0044


Min
200
658
200
2170
200
2170


Max
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000
371000


n (Patient)
182
134
195
121
208
108







UO only













Median
12000
25100
12000
27000
12000
27000


Average
21200
58500
21500
60100
21500
60100


Stdev
33800
84800
33700
87500
33700
87500


p (t-test)

6.6E−8

6.0E−8

6.0E−8


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
396000
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000


n (Patient)
246
69
251
64
251
64












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.64
0.69
0.70
0.66
0.68
0.69
0.65
0.68


SE
0.031
0.032
0.038
0.031
0.032
0.040
0.032
0.033
0.040


p Value
2.5E−8
2.0E−5
4.0E−7
 2.2E−10
4.0E−7
4.7E−6
2.6E−9
6.4E−6
4.7E−6


nCohort Non-
175
182
246
190
195
251
205
208
251


persistent


nCohort Persistent
142
134
69
127
121
64
112
108
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020


Sensitivity
82%
81%
83%
85%
83%
81%
87%
84%
81%


Specificity
31%
29%
27%
32%
30%
27%
31%
30%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
63%
60%
70%
65%
63%
67%
66%
63%
67%


Specificity
60%
57%
55%
60%
58%
54%
59%
57%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400


Sensitivity
39%
38%
48%
43%
40%
48%
43%
40%
48%


Specificity
86%
85%
81%
86%
85%
81%
84%
83%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.09
1.71
1.78
2.62
2.19
1.58
2.94
2.27
1.58


p Value
0.0073
0.050
0.099
0.0010
0.0069
0.19
6.5E−4
0.0070
0.19


Lower limit of
1.22
1.00
0.898
1.48
1.24
0.794
1.58
1.25
0.794


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.58
2.91
3.52
4.67
3.87
3.14
5.45
4.13
3.14


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.52
1.98
2.83
2.83
2.33
2.42
2.75
2.23
2.42


p Value
6.9E−5
0.0032
3.6E−4
1.3E−5
3.8E−4
0.0027
3.6E−5
1.0E−3
0.0027


Lower limit of
1.60
1.26
1.60
1.77
1.46
1.36
1.70
1.38
1.36


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.97
3.11
5.00
4.51
3.71
4.32
4.44
3.59
4.32


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.10
3.38
3.99
4.67
3.74
3.97
4.05
3.16
3.97


p Value
4.3E−7
7.4E−6
2.1E−6
2.7E−8
1.2E−6
3.5E−6
2.4E−7
1.9E−5
3.5E−6


Lower limit of
2.37
1.98
2.25
2.71
2.20
2.22
2.38
1.87
2.22


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.08
5.76
7.05
8.03
6.37
7.11
6.90
5.35
7.11


95% CI
















TABLE 12.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11400
21100
11400
21300
11500
21500


Average
16700
44400
16600
48000
18100
48500


Stdev
18600
71100
18200
74600
23400
76100


p (t-test)

1.3E−6

5.7E−8

2.8E−7


Min
200
658
200
2170
200
2170


Max
183000
428000
183000
428000
215000
428000


n (Patient)
173
144
189
128
201
116







sCr only













Median
11700
19400
11500
20400
11600
20900


Average
19700
41300
19200
44100
20600
44300


Stdev
35900
65000
34900
67300
37100
68300


p (t-test)

2.1E−4

2.1E−5

8.1E−5


Min
200
658
200
2170
200
2170


Max
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000
396000


n (Patient)
180
136
192
124
204
112







UO only













Median
11900
24000
12000
27000
12000
27000


Average
20900
56100
21300
57800
21300
57800


Stdev
34000
81300
33900
84200
33900
84200


p (t-test)

1.5E−7

1.1E−7

1.1E−7


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
396000
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000


n (Patient)
239
76
245
70
245
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.64
0.70
0.69
0.67
0.69
0.69
0.66
0.69


SE
0.031
0.032
0.037
0.031
0.032
0.038
0.032
0.033
0.038


p Value
1.9E−8
1.9E−5
3.5E−8
 2.7E−10
1.3E−7
7.3E−7
2.7E−9
8.0E−7
7.3E−7


nCohort Non-
173
180
239
189
192
245
201
204
245


persistent


nCohort Persistent
144
136
76
128
124
70
116
112
70


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020


Sensitivity
83%
81%
84%
85%
84%
83%
86%
85%
83%


Specificity
31%
29%
28%
32%
31%
27%
31%
30%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
62%
60%
70%
65%
63%
67%
66%
63%
67%


Specificity
60%
57%
56%
60%
58%
55%
59%
57%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400


Sensitivity
39%
38%
47%
42%
40%
49%
42%
40%
49%


Specificity
86%
84%
82%
86%
85%
82%
85%
83%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.16
1.77
2.08
2.67
2.31
1.82
2.85
2.44
1.82


p Value
0.0050
0.037
0.035
8.3E−4
0.0039
0.086
7.0E−4
0.0034
0.086


Lower limit of
1.26
1.03
1.05
1.50
1.31
0.920
1.56
1.34
0.920


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.70
3.01
4.09
4.74
4.07
3.60
5.23
4.43
3.60


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.51
1.97
2.94
2.74
2.37
2.47
2.70
2.33
2.47


p Value
7.1E−5
0.0033
1.3E−4
2.1E−5
2.6E−4
0.0015
4.1E−5
4.7E−4
0.0015


Lower limit of
1.59
1.25
1.69
1.72
1.49
1.41
1.68
1.45
1.41


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.96
3.10
5.11
4.37
3.77
4.31
4.34
3.74
4.31


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.95
3.26
4.10
4.57
3.80
4.20
4.01
3.36
4.20


p Value
8.1E−7
1.4E−5
7.2E−7
4.0E−8
9.5E−7
7.9E−7
3.0E−7
6.8E−6
7.9E−7


Lower limit of
2.29
1.91
2.35
2.66
2.23
2.38
2.36
1.98
2.38


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.82
5.54
7.17
7.87
6.48
7.42
6.82
5.69
7.42


95% CI
















TABLE 12.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11400
20900
11300
21400
11400
21600


Average
16600
43600
16500
46900
18100
47600


Stdev
18800
70300
18300
73400
23600
75000


p (t-test)

2.5E−6

1.2E−7

5.2E−7


Min
200
658
200
2170
200
2170


Max
183000
428000
183000
428000
215000
428000


n (Patient)
169
148
184
133
197
120







sCr only













Median
11600
19200
11500
20000
11600
20400


Average
19800
40600
19300
43300
20700
43300


Stdev
36300
64200
35200
66400
37400
67300


p (t-test)

3.4E−4

3.9E−5

1.5E−4


Min
200
658
200
2170
200
2170


Max
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000
396000


n (Patient)
176
140
188
128
200
116







UO only













Median
11700
25100
11900
24000
11900
24000


Average
20700
54400
21100
54500
21100
54500


Stdev
34300
79100
34400
80400
34400
80400


p (t-test)

2.6E−7

4.8E−7

4.8E−7


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
396000
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000


n (Patient)
234
81
237
78
237
78












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.63
0.71
0.70
0.66
0.70
0.69
0.66
0.70


SE
0.030
0.032
0.035
0.030
0.032
0.036
0.031
0.033
0.036


p Value
2.7E−8
2.8E−5
1.9E−9
 1.3E−10
2.1E−7
2.6E−8
1.8E−9
1.4E−6
2.6E−8


nCohort Non-
169
176
234
184
188
237
197
200
237


persistent


nCohort Persistent
148
140
81
133
128
78
120
116
78


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020


Sensitivity
82%
81%
85%
85%
84%
85%
86%
84%
85%


Specificity
31%
30%
29%
32%
31%
28%
31%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
62%
59%
72%
65%
62%
71%
66%
63%
71%


Specificity
60%
57%
57%
61%
59%
57%
59%
57%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400


Sensitivity
39%
37%
47%
41%
40%
46%
42%
40%
46%


Specificity
86%
85%
82%
86%
85%
82%
85%
84%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.14
1.76
2.31
2.67
2.27
2.17
2.78
2.39
2.17


p Value
0.0051
0.038
0.015
7.0E−4
0.0041
0.025
7.4E−4
0.0036
0.025


Lower limit of
1.26
1.03
1.17
1.51
1.30
1.10
1.54
1.33
1.10


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.66
2.98
4.53
4.70
3.98
4.27
5.04
4.29
4.27


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.50
1.96
3.38
2.94
2.35
3.11
2.82
2.30
3.11


p Value
7.3E−5
0.0034
1.3E−5
5.2E−6
2.8E−4
5.3E−5
1.7E−5
5.2E−4
5.3E−5


Lower limit of
1.59
1.25
1.95
1.85
1.48
1.79
1.76
1.44
1.79


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.93
3.08
5.85
4.68
3.73
5.39
4.52
3.67
5.39


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.98
3.26
4.16
4.48
3.78
3.87
3.98
3.33
3.87


p Value
8.9E−7
1.5E−5
4.0E−7
6.7E−8
1.1E−6
1.7E−6
3.6E−7
7.9E−6
1.7E−6


Lower limit of
2.29
1.91
2.40
2.60
2.22
2.22
2.34
1.96
2.22


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.89
5.56
7.22
7.73
6.46
6.73
6.77
5.63
6.73


95% CI
















TABLE 12.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starrts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
104000
123000
105000
120000
106000
120000


Average
115000
133000
118000
130000
118000
132000


Stdev
41600
45900
43500
44400
42600
46500


p (t-test)

4.0E−4

0.027

0.014


Min
57000
64800
57000
64800
57000
64800


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
206
121
222
105
238
89







sCr only













Median
104000
123000
105000
120000
106000
119000


Average
115000
134000
119000
128000
119000
129000


Stdev
41400
46300
44800
42000
44300
43000


p (t-test)

2.3E−4

0.074

0.082


Min
57000
64800
57000
64800
57000
64800


Max
299000
281000
299000
270000
299000
270000


n (Patient)
208
118
223
103
236
90







UO only













Median
106000
139000
106000
145000
106000
145000


Average
118000
149000
118000
151000
118000
153000


Stdev
41500
50100
41400
50200
41300
50900


p (t-test)

7.7E−6

2.4E−6

2.0E−6


Min
57000
82200
57000
82200
57000
82200


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
281
44
283
42
285
40












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.64
0.71
0.60
0.59
0.72
0.60
0.59
0.72


SE
0.032
0.033
0.046
0.034
0.034
0.047
0.036
0.036
0.048


p Value
2.6E−5
1.6E−5
6.7E−6
0.0036
0.0067
2.1E−6
0.0049
0.017
2.9E−6


nCohort Non-
206
208
281
222
223
283
238
236
285


persistent


nCohort Persistent
121
118
44
105
103
42
89
90
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300
90600


Sensitivity
84%
84%
91%
83%
83%
90%
82%
81%
90%


Specificity
31%
30%
27%
29%
29%
27%
28%
28%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
63%
64%
73%
60%
59%
76%
61%
59%
78%


Specificity
57%
58%
53%
55%
54%
54%
54%
53%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
34%
35%
50%
30%
30%
52%
34%
32%
52%


Specificity
80%
80%
79%
77%
77%
79%
78%
78%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.37
2.26
3.77
1.96
1.90
3.55
1.75
1.63
3.33


p Value
0.0032
0.0052
0.014
0.024
0.032
0.019
0.072
0.11
0.027


Lower limit of
1.33
1.28
1.31
1.09
1.06
1.23
0.950
0.896
1.15


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.19
4.02
10.9
3.51
3.41
10.3
3.23
2.97
9.67


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.26
2.38
3.05
1.80
1.72
3.71
1.80
1.64
3.99


p Value
5.0E−4
2.6E−4
0.0019
0.015
0.024
5.8E−4
0.021
0.048
4.9E−4


Lower limit of
1.43
1.49
1.51
1.12
1.07
1.76
1.09
1.00
1.83


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.59
3.79
6.17
2.88
2.77
7.84
2.95
2.68
8.69


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.06
2.17
3.68
1.51
1.45
4.09
1.82
1.64
4.06


p Value
0.0053
0.0029
9.9E−5
0.12
0.16
3.7E−5
0.029
0.071
5.7E−5


Lower limit of
1.24
1.30
1.91
0.895
0.860
2.09
1.06
0.959
2.05


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.43
3.61
7.10
2.54
2.45
7.98
3.11
2.81
8.03


95% CI
















TABLE 12.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
103000
122000
104000
121000
104000
123000


Average
115000
131000
117000
130000
116000
133000


Stdev
41800
45200
43100
44400
41900
46200


p (t-test)

5.6E−4

0.0070

0.0013


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
187
140
204
123
219
108







sCr only













Median
103000
123000
104000
120000
105000
120000


Average
115000
132000
117000
130000
117000
131000


Stdev
41500
45800
43100
44800
42100
46400


p (t-test)

4.2E−4

0.013

0.0051


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
192
134
205
121
217
109







UO only













Median
106000
132000
105000
133000
105000
133000


Average
117000
144000
116000
146000
116000
147000


Stdev
40900
49600
40700
49700
40600
50200


p (t-test)

5.7E−6

1.2E−6

1.1E−6


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
260
65
263
62
265
60












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.63
0.68
0.61
0.60
0.70
0.63
0.61
0.70


SE
0.031
0.032
0.039
0.033
0.033
0.040
0.034
0.034
0.040


p Value
1.6E−5
2.0E−5
3.8E−6
4.5E−4
0.0015
7.0E−7
1.8E−4
0.0014
1.1E−6


nCohort Non-
187
192
260
204
205
263
219
217
265


persistent


nCohort Persistent
140
134
65
123
121
62
108
109
60


Cutoff Quartile 2
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300
90600


Sensitivity
84%
83%
89%
83%
82%
89%
83%
82%
88%


Specificity
32%
31%
28%
30%
29%
28%
29%
29%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
61%
62%
68%
60%
59%
71%
61%
59%
72%


Specificity
58%
58%
54%
56%
55%
55%
55%
54%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
34%
34%
45%
33%
31%
47%
36%
34%
47%


Specificity
81%
81%
80%
79%
79%
80%
80%
79%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.34
2.14
3.30
2.07
1.86
3.08
2.06
1.78
2.93


p Value
0.0021
0.0061
0.0048
0.010
0.027
0.0081
0.015
0.046
0.011


Lower limit of
1.36
1.24
1.44
1.19
1.07
1.34
1.15
1.01
1.28


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.04
3.69
7.55
3.62
3.23
7.06
3.70
3.14
6.75


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.23
2.28
2.48
1.91
1.74
2.96
1.94
1.70
3.06


p Value
4.6E−4
3.5E−4
0.0019
0.0052
0.016
3.9E−4
0.0057
0.026
3.4E−4


Lower limit of
1.42
1.45
1.40
1.21
1.11
1.62
1.21
1.06
1.66


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.48
3.58
4.41
3.01
2.75
5.39
3.10
2.70
5.63


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.19
2.12
3.15
1.86
1.68
3.48
2.31
1.96
3.42


p Value
0.0024
0.0037
9.3E−5
0.017
0.047
2.7E−5
0.0014
0.010
4.3E−5


Lower limit of
1.32
1.28
1.77
1.12
1.01
1.94
1.38
1.17
1.90


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.65
3.52
5.59
3.09
2.79
6.24
3.87
3.29
6.16


95% CI
















TABLE 12.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
100000
120000
103000
120000
103000
122000


Average
114000
131000
116000
130000
115000
133000


Stdev
41600
44900
42800
44300
41600
45900


p (t-test)

2.4E−4

0.0026

3.9E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
176
151
190
137
205
122







sCr only













Median
101000
122000
104000
119000
104000
120000


Average
114000
132000
116000
130000
116000
132000


Stdev
41100
45700
42600
45000
41500
46600


p (t-test)

1.6E−4

0.0046

0.0014


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
182
144
194
132
207
119







UO only













Median
104000
133000
104000
133000
104000
133000


Average
115000
145000
115000
146000
115000
146000


Stdev
40400
48000
40200
48400
40200
48700


p (t-test)

1.6E−7

4.8E−8

7.4E−8


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
249
76
253
72
254
71












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.64
0.71
0.62
0.61
0.72
0.64
0.62
0.71


SE
0.031
0.031
0.036
0.032
0.032
0.037
0.032
0.033
0.037


p Value
2.3E−6
3.7E−6
1.1E−8
7.6E−5
3.9E−4
3.7E−9
2.4E−5
3.2E−4
9.2E−9


nCohort Non-
176
182
249
190
194
253
205
207
254


persistent


nCohort Persistent
151
144
76
137
132
72
122
119
71


Cutoff Quartile 2
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300
90600


Sensitivity
83%
83%
91%
82%
82%
90%
83%
82%
90%


Specificity
32%
31%
30%
31%
30%
29%
30%
29%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
62%
62%
71%
61%
60%
74%
62%
60%
73%


Specificity
60%
60%
56%
58%
57%
57%
57%
56%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
34%
34%
46%
33%
32%
47%
36%
34%
46%


Specificity
82%
82%
81%
81%
79%
81%
81%
80%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.41
2.17
4.17
2.07
1.92
3.84
2.04
1.80
3.76


p Value
0.0012
0.0044
6.8E−4
0.0081
0.018
0.0014
0.012
0.037
0.0017


Lower limit of
1.42
1.27
1.83
1.21
1.12
1.68
1.17
1.04
1.65


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.11
3.70
9.50
3.54
3.29
8.76
3.56
3.12
8.58


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.50
2.49
3.15
2.18
1.95
3.63
2.20
1.85
3.53


p Value
5.9E−5
6.9E−5
5.1E−5
6.6E−4
0.0035
1.3E−5
7.8E−4
0.0085
2.1E−5


Lower limit of
1.60
1.59
1.81
1.39
1.25
2.03
1.39
1.17
1.97


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.90
3.90
5.49
3.41
3.06
6.48
3.48
2.92
6.30


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.39
2.33
3.67
2.02
1.80
3.82
2.48
2.13
3.63


p Value
9.1E−4
0.0012
3.9E−6
0.0064
0.023
2.6E−6
4.9E−4
0.0037
6.5E−6


Lower limit of
1.43
1.40
2.11
1.22
1.08
2.18
1.49
1.28
2.07


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.99
3.88
6.37
3.35
2.98
6.69
4.13
3.54
6.37


95% CI
















TABLE 12.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
99600
120000
103000
120000
103000
123000


Average
113000
132000
115000
131000
114000
134000


Stdev
40000
46100
41400
45700
40300
47100


p (t-test)

4.6E−5

5.8E−4

1.0E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
173
154
188
139
200
127







sCr only













Median
101000
123000
103000
120000
104000
123000


Average
112000
133000
115000
132000
114000
134000


Stdev
39400
46800
41200
46200
40100
47600


p (t-test)

1.8E−5

5.9E−4

1.0E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
179
147
190
136
202
124







UO only













Median
103000
133000
103000
134000
104000
133000


Average
114000
146000
114000
148000
114000
148000


Stdev
39200
48500
38900
49000
38900
49300


p (t-test)

3.9E−9

 7.3E−10

1.2E−9


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
240
85
245
80
246
79












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.66
0.72
0.63
0.63
0.73
0.64
0.64
0.73


SE
0.030
0.031
0.034
0.031
0.032
0.035
0.032
0.032
0.035


p Value
4.6E−7
3.6E−7
 5.7E−11
2.1E−5
3.7E−5
 1.3E−11
9.2E−6
1.7E−5
 3.9E−11


nCohort Non-
173
179
240
188
190
245
200
202
246


persistent


nCohort Persistent
154
147
85
139
136
80
127
124
79


Cutoff Quartile 2
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300
90600


Sensitivity
84%
83%
92%
83%
82%
91%
83%
82%
91%


Specificity
33%
32%
31%
31%
31%
30%
30%
30%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
63%
63%
73%
62%
61%
75%
62%
61%
75%


Specificity
61%
61%
58%
59%
58%
58%
57%
57%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
34%
35%
47%
33%
33%
49%
36%
36%
48%


Specificity
83%
83%
82%
81%
81%
82%
82%
82%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.54
2.28
4.97
2.14
2.05
4.51
2.05
1.96
4.43


p Value
6.2E−4
0.0024
1.3E−4
0.0056
0.0089
3.3E−4
0.011
0.017
3.9E−4


Lower limit of
1.49
1.34
2.19
1.25
1.20
1.98
1.18
1.13
1.94


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.32
3.89
11.3
3.66
3.51
10.3
3.55
3.40
10.1


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.69
2.68
3.71
2.29
2.15
4.14
2.23
2.09
4.03


p Value
1.5E−5
1.7E−5
2.2E−6
3.0E−4
8.2E−4
8.9E−7
5.7E−4
0.0015
1.4E−6


Lower limit of
1.72
1.71
2.16
1.46
1.37
2.35
1.41
1.33
2.29


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.21
4.21
6.38
3.58
3.37
7.28
3.51
3.30
7.10


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.43
2.54
4.19
2.09
2.04
4.47
2.59
2.54
4.25


p Value
7.5E−4
4.0E−4
2.1E−7
0.0044
0.0056
8.7E−8
2.7E−4
3.5E−4
2.3E−7


Lower limit of
1.45
1.52
2.44
1.26
1.23
2.58
1.55
1.52
2.46


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.07
4.24
7.20
3.47
3.39
7.73
4.31
4.23
7.37


95% CI
















TABLE 12.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
99600
120000
102000
120000
103000
121000


Average
112000
132000
114000
131000
114000
133000


Stdev
39700
46200
41300
45600
40100
47100


p (t-test)

5.0E−5

5.8E−4

1.0E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
169
158
183
144
196
131







sCr only













Median
101000
123000
103000
120000
104000
122000


Average
113000
132000
115000
131000
115000
133000


Stdev
39700
46600
41500
45900
40400
47300


p (t-test)

4.6E−5

0.0013

2.6E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
175
151
186
140
198
128







UO only













Median
103000
132000
102000
132000
103000
132000


Average
114000
144000
114000
145000
114000
145000


Stdev
39500
48000
39400
48000
39400
48300


p (t-test)

2.0E−8

6.3E−9

1.0E−8


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
235
90
237
88
238
87












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.65
0.72
0.63
0.62
0.72
0.64
0.63
0.72


SE
0.030
0.031
0.034
0.031
0.032
0.034
0.032
0.032
0.034


p Value
8.4E−7
1.2E−6
 1.8E−10
2.1E−5
1.0E−4
 3.5E−11
1.1E−5
4.9E−5
 9.8E−11


nCohort Non-
169
175
235
183
186
237
196
198
238


persistent


nCohort Persistent
158
151
90
144
140
88
131
128
87


Cutoff Quartile 2
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300
90600


Sensitivity
83%
82%
91%
83%
81%
91%
82%
81%
91%


Specificity
33%
31%
31%
31%
30%
31%
30%
29%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
63%
63%
72%
62%
61%
74%
62%
61%
74%


Specificity
62%
61%
58%
59%
58%
59%
58%
57%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
34%
34%
44%
33%
32%
45%
36%
35%
45%


Specificity
83%
82%
82%
81%
80%
82%
82%
81%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.34
2.10
4.62
2.15
1.89
4.45
2.02
1.80
4.37


p Value
0.0015
0.0054
1.1E−4
0.0048
0.018
1.7E−4
0.011
0.033
2.0E−4


Lower limit of
1.39
1.25
2.12
1.26
1.11
2.05
1.17
1.05
2.01


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.96
3.56
10.0
3.67
3.20
9.68
3.48
3.08
9.51


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.68
2.67
3.63
2.33
2.14
4.01
2.21
2.07
3.91


p Value
1.5E−5
1.8E−5
1.8E−6
2.1E−4
8.5E−4
5.0E−7
6.1E−4
0.0016
8.2E−7


Lower limit of
1.72
1.70
2.14
1.49
1.37
2.33
1.40
1.32
2.27


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.20
4.18
6.17
3.64
3.35
6.89
3.47
3.26
6.72


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.44
2.37
3.68
2.05
1.91
3.87
2.57
2.36
3.68


p Value
7.6E−4
0.0010
1.7E−6
0.0056
0.012
7.5E−7
2.9E−4
9.6E−4
1.9E−6


Lower limit of
1.45
1.42
2.16
1.23
1.15
2.26
1.54
1.42
2.16


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.09
3.96
6.27
3.40
3.16
6.61
4.29
3.93
6.30


95% CI









Example 13. Use of Metalloproteinase Inhibitor 2 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 13.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11300
18000
11500
19500
11400
20900


Average
15600
37400
16300
42100
17400
44700


Stdev
13600
63200
14600
69300
20800
71900


p (t-test)

2.5E−4

6.9E−6

2.1E−6


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
428000
76000
428000
215000
428000


n (Patient)
119
198
158
159
179
138







sCr only













Median
12000
16000
11900
19200
11900
19600


Average
17300
37100
16800
41900
18500
43600


Stdev
14800
64900
14600
70200
22500
72900


p (t-test)

7.0E−4

1.2E−5

1.6E−5


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
428000
76000
428000
215000
428000


n (Patient)
130
186
162
154
184
132







UO only













Median
11600
31200
12000
32600
12000
35500


Average
20100
59500
20800
66400
21300
70300


Stdev
33400
81800
33200
89300
33300
93700


p (t-test)

4.6E−9

 3.6E−10

 1.4E−10


Min
200
5410
200
5410
200
5410


Max
396000
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000


n (Patient)
241
74
256
59
263
52












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.59
0.76
0.65
0.63
0.76
0.67
0.64
0.76


SE
0.031
0.032
0.035
0.031
0.031
0.038
0.031
0.032
0.041


p Value
2.1E−5
0.0066
 6.1E−14
1.5E−6
5.4E−5
 8.5E−12
5.2E−8
7.3E−6
 9.5E−11


nCohort Non-
119
130
241
158
162
256
179
184
263


persistent


nCohort Persistent
198
186
74
159
154
59
138
132
52


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020


Sensitivity
80%
78%
93%
82%
81%
92%
85%
84%
90%


Specificity
34%
30%
31%
32%
30%
29%
32%
32%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
56%
53%
76%
60%
58%
76%
63%
61%
77%


Specificity
60%
55%
58%
59%
57%
56%
60%
58%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400


Sensitivity
33%
32%
51%
36%
36%
54%
39%
38%
58%


Specificity
87%
85%
83%
85%
85%
82%
85%
84%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.06
1.56
6.11
2.08
1.79
4.39
2.67
2.43
3.68


p Value
0.0060
0.087
1.8E−4
0.0063
0.028
0.0024
5.9E−4
0.0019
0.0078


Lower limit of
1.23
0.937
2.37
1.23
1.06
1.69
1.53
1.39
1.41


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.46
2.61
15.8
3.50
3.02
11.4
4.68
4.26
9.62


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.89
1.37
4.24
2.18
1.85
4.07
2.54
2.09
4.10


p Value
0.0070
0.17
1.6E−6
6.6E−4
0.0071
2.2E−5
6.6E−5
0.0015
6.1E−5


Lower limit of
1.19
0.873
2.35
1.39
1.18
2.13
1.61
1.33
2.06


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.99
2.15
7.64
3.41
2.88
7.78
4.00
3.30
8.16


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.39
2.56
5.15
3.28
3.19
5.27
3.78
3.26
5.96


p Value
1.1E−4
0.0012
1.4E−8
2.2E−5
2.9E−5
6.3E−8
1.3E−6
1.2E−5
3.1E−8


Lower limit of
1.83
1.45
2.92
1.90
1.85
2.89
2.21
1.92
3.17


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.28
4.51
9.07
5.68
5.51
9.62
6.48
5.54
11.2


95% CI
















TABLE 13.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
10600
17900
11400
19300
11300
20000


Average
15200
36900
16000
40700
17100
42500


Stdev
13700
62200
14300
67300
21100
69000


p (t-test)

3.0E−4

1.7E−5

9.1E−6


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
428000
76000
428000
215000
428000


n (Patient)
112
205
147
170
165
152







sCr only













Median
11800
15700
11800
18800
11600
19300


Average
17200
36800
16800
40600
17800
41800


Stdev
14900
64200
14700
68700
21200
70000


p (t-test)

8.5E−4

3.4E−5

2.9E−5


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
428000
76000
428000
215000
428000


n (Patient)
126
190
154
162
169
147







UO only













Median
11400
22900
11700
22900
11900
27000


Average
19900
52100
20700
56200
21200
58100


Stdev
34300
74900
34000
80800
34100
83900


p (t-test)

2.9E−7

9.4E−8

8.4E−8


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
396000
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000


n (Patient)
222
93
238
77
245
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.59
0.73
0.65
0.62
0.72
0.67
0.64
0.71


SE
0.031
0.032
0.033
0.031
0.031
0.036
0.030
0.031
0.038


p Value
1.6E−6
0.0039
 1.9E−12
7.9E−7
1.1E−4
1.3E−9
1.7E−8
9.4E−6
1.8E−8


nCohort Non-
112
126
222
147
154
238
165
169
245


persistent


nCohort Persistent
205
190
93
170
162
77
152
147
70


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020


Sensitivity
81%
79%
89%
81%
80%
87%
84%
82%
86%


Specificity
36%
31%
31%
32%
30%
29%
33%
31%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
57%
54%
71%
60%
57%
70%
62%
59%
70%


Specificity
62%
56%
59%
61%
58%
56%
61%
58%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400


Sensitivity
33%
32%
46%
35%
35%
47%
38%
37%
49%


Specificity
88%
85%
84%
86%
85%
82%
86%
85%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.36
1.68
3.74
2.03
1.66
2.74
2.67
2.13
2.35


p Value
0.0012
0.048
3.0E−4
0.0075
0.052
0.0062
4.0E−4
0.0056
0.021


Lower limit of
1.40
1.01
1.83
1.21
0.995
1.33
1.55
1.25
1.14


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.98
2.81
7.65
3.40
2.79
5.63
4.59
3.63
4.86


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.22
1.45
3.45
2.37
1.85
3.03
2.63
2.00
2.91


p Value
9.5E−4
0.11
3.2E−6
1.8E−4
0.0071
8.3E−5
3.0E−5
0.0024
2.4E−4


Lower limit of
1.38
0.921
2.05
1.51
1.18
1.74
1.67
1.28
1.65


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.55
2.28
5.82
3.72
2.88
5.25
4.14
3.14
5.15


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.70
2.60
4.44
3.19
3.01
3.98
3.70
3.34
4.20


p Value
7.6E−5
0.0012
6.8E−8
4.9E−5
8.3E−5
1.1E−6
3.0E−6
1.2E−5
7.9E−7


Lower limit of
1.93
1.46
2.58
1.82
1.74
2.28
2.14
1.95
2.38


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.07
4.62
7.64
5.58
5.21
6.95
6.42
5.75
7.42


95% CI
















TABLE 13.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
10600
18000
11400
19300
11400
19300


Average
15200
36900
16000
40300
17300
41100


Stdev
13700
62000
14400
66800
21400
67800


p (t-test)

3.3E−4

2.3E−5

3.4E−5


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
428000
76000
428000
215000
428000


n (Patient)
111
206
144
173
158
159







sCr only













Median
11500
16000
11600
18600
11600
18800


Average
17200
36600
16900
40100
18100
40600


Stdev
15000
63900
14800
68100
21500
68900


p (t-test)

9.8E−4

5.3E−5

8.5E−5


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
428000
76000
428000
215000
428000


n (Patient)
124
192
151
165
163
153







UO only













Median
11400
21700
11600
21700
11800
21700


Average
20000
48700
20700
51100
21200
52200


Stdev
34800
72100
34700
76000
34700
78500


p (t-test)

2.8E−6

1.8E−6

2.0E−6


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
396000
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000


n (Patient)
212
103
225
90
232
83












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.60
0.71
0.65
0.62
0.70
0.65
0.63
0.69


SE
0.031
0.032
0.033
0.031
0.031
0.034
0.031
0.031
0.036


p Value
1.2E−6
0.0030
 1.8E−10
8.5E−7
1.7E−4
1.3E−8
5.0E−7
6.1E−5
1.7E−7


nCohort Non-
111
124
212
144
151
225
158
163
232


persistent


nCohort Persistent
206
192
103
173
165
90
159
153
83


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980
8020


Sensitivity
81%
79%
87%
81%
79%
86%
82%
81%
84%


Specificity
36%
31%
31%
32%
30%
29%
32%
31%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
57%
54%
68%
60%
58%
68%
61%
59%
67%


Specificity
63%
56%
58%
62%
58%
57%
61%
58%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100
29400


Sensitivity
33%
31%
43%
35%
34%
43%
36%
35%
45%


Specificity
88%
85%
83%
86%
85%
82%
86%
85%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.41
1.74
3.13
1.99
1.64
2.46
2.23
1.89
2.14


p Value
9.3E−4
0.034
5.8E−4
0.0089
0.060
0.0070
0.0029
0.017
0.023


Lower limit of
1.43
1.04
1.63
1.19
0.979
1.28
1.32
1.12
1.11


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.06
2.92
6.00
3.34
2.73
4.73
3.78
3.19
4.13


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.29
1.53
2.99
2.44
1.90
2.78
2.42
2.00
2.64


p Value
6.2E−4
0.066
1.5E−5
1.2E−4
0.0051
1.0E−4
1.2E−4
0.0025
3.0E−4


Lower limit of
1.42
0.972
1.82
1.55
1.21
1.66
1.54
1.28
1.56


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.68
2.41
4.91
3.84
2.96
4.64
3.80
3.12
4.48


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.63
2.51
3.77
3.29
2.86
3.54
3.55
3.01
3.64


p Value
9.5E−5
0.0017
1.0E−6
3.8E−5
1.7E−4
4.4E−6
7.4E−6
6.3E−5
3.7E−6


Lower limit of
1.90
1.41
2.21
1.87
1.65
2.06
2.04
1.75
2.11


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.95
4.47
6.43
5.80
4.95
6.06
6.18
5.17
6.29


95% CI
















TABLE 13.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent”


cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output


(UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
10600
17900
11300
19300
11300
19300


Average
15300
36700
16000
40200
17300
40800


Stdev
13700
61900
14400
66700
21500
67500


p (t-test)

4.0E−4

2.7E−5

4.3E−5


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
428000
76000
428000
215000
428000


n (Patient)
110
207
143
174
156
161







sCr only













Median
11500
16000
11600
18600
11500
18700


Average
17200
36600
16900
39900
18100
40400


Stdev
15000
63900
14900
68000
21600
68700


p (t-test)

9.8E−4

6.2E−5

1.0E−4


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
76000
428000
76000
428000
215000
428000


n (Patient)
124
192
150
166
162
154







UO only













Median
11400
21700
11600
21500
11700
21500


Average
20200
47300
20800
49200
21300
49800


Stdev
35100
71100
35000
74400
35200
76400


p (t-test)

8.5E−6

5.9E−6

8.6E−6


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
396000
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000


n (Patient)
208
107
220
95
226
89












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.65
0.60
0.69
0.65
0.62


SE
0.031
0.032
0.033
0.031
0.031


p Value
3.2E−6
0.0030
3.4E−9
9.4E−7
1.8E−4


nCohort Non-
110
124
208
143
150


persistent


nCohort Persistent
207
192
107
174
166


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980


Sensitivity
81%
79%
86%
81%
80%


Specificity
35%
31%
31%
32%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
57%
54%
66%
60%
57%


Specificity
63%
56%
58%
62%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100


Sensitivity
32%
31%
41%
34%
34%


Specificity
88%
85%
83%
86%
85%


OR Quartile 2
2.29
1.74
2.73
2.03
1.66


p Value
0.0018
0.034
0.0015
0.0074
0.052


Lower limit of
1.36
1.04
1.47
1.21
0.995


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.86
2.92
5.07
3.40
2.78


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.23
1.53
2.74
2.38
1.85


p Value
9.1E−4
0.066
4.8E−5
1.8E−4
0.0071


Lower limit of
1.39
0.972
1.69
1.51
1.18


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.59
2.41
4.46
3.74
2.89


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.57
2.51
3.45
3.24
2.81


p Value
1.2E−4
0.0017
4.5E−6
4.8E−5
2.2E−4


Lower limit of
1.87
1.41
2.03
1.84
1.62


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.83
4.47
5.86
5.70
4.86


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.69
0.65
0.63
0.68



SE
0.034
0.031
0.031
0.035



p Value
4.8E−8
3.8E−7
6.6E−5
4.3E−7



nCohort Non-
220
156
162
226



persistent



nCohort Persistent
95
161
154
89



Cutoff Quartile 2
8020
7990
7980
8020



Sensitivity
85%
83%
81%
84%



Specificity
30%
33%
31%
29%



Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500



Sensitivity
66%
61%
58%
66%



Specificity
57%
61%
58%
56%



Cutoff Quartile 4
29400
28900
28100
29400



Sensitivity
42%
36%
35%
43%



Specificity
82%
86%
85%
82%



OR Quartile 2
2.43
2.31
1.92
2.16



p Value
0.0064
0.0019
0.014
0.018



Lower limit of
1.28
1.36
1.14
1.14



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.59
3.91
3.25
4.10



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.59
2.42
1.94
2.52



p Value
2.0E−4
1.2E−4
0.0036
4.0E−4



Lower limit of
1.57
1.54
1.24
1.51



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.28
3.80
3.04
4.21



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
3.38
3.43
2.96
3.36



p Value
8.1E−6
1.3E−5
8.1E−5
1.1E−5



Lower limit of
1.98
1.97
1.73
1.96



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.76
5.97
5.08
5.77



95% CI

















TABLE 13.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent”


cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output


(UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.


















Persistence Period Duration (hr)













24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort












sCr or UO














Median
10700
17900
11300
19300
11300
19300


Average
14900
36400
15500
39800
17000
40300


Stdev
12600
61500
13600
65900
21300
66500


p (t-test)

4.3E−4

2.6E−5

5.1E−5


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
61200
428000
61200
428000
215000
428000


n (Patient)
106
211
138
179
150
167








sCr only














Median
11600
16000
11600
18600
11500
18700


Average
16800
36500
16500
39700
17700
40200


Stdev
14200
63600
14100
67300
21300
68000


p (t-test)

8.9E−4

5.4E−5

9.1E−5


Min
200
658
200
658
200
658


Max
63200
428000
63200
428000
215000
428000


n (Patient)
121
195
146
170
158
158








UO only














Median
11200
21700
11400
21700
11500
21700


Average
19700
46600
20400
47800
21000
47900


Stdev
35400
69400
35400
71800
35700
73200


p (t-test)

7.4E−6

8.7E−6

1.5E−5


Min
200
2170
200
2170
200
2170


Max
396000
428000
396000
428000
396000
428000


n (Patient)
202
113
212
103
217
98












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.64
0.60
0.71
0.65
0.62


SE
0.032
0.032
0.032
0.030
0.031


p Value
8.4E−6
0.0031
 3.8E−11
4.1E−7
1.1E−4


nCohort Non-
106
121
202
138
146


persistent


nCohort Persistent
211
195
113
179
170


Cutoff Quartile 2
7990
7980
8020
7990
7980


Sensitivity
80%
79%
87%
81%
79%


Specificity
35%
31%
32%
33%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500
13500


Sensitivity
56%
54%
68%
60%
57%


Specificity
62%
56%
60%
62%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
28900
28100
29400
28900
28100


Sensitivity
32%
31%
42%
35%
34%


Specificity
89%
85%
84%
87%
86%


OR Quartile 2
2.16
1.72
3.03
2.06
1.66


p Value
0.0040
0.039
4.5E−4
0.0059
0.052


Lower limit of
1.28
1.03
1.63
1.23
0.996


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.64
2.88
5.63
3.46
2.78


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.13
1.50
3.20
2.46
1.85


p Value
0.0019
0.083
2.7E−6
1.1E−4
0.0070


Lower limit of
1.32
0.948
1.97
1.56
1.18


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.44
2.36
5.19
3.88
2.90


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.72
2.60
3.78
3.53
3.08


p Value
1.1E−4
0.0013
9.3E−7
2.2E−5
8.3E−5


Lower limit of
1.91
1.45
2.22
1.97
1.76


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.25
4.68
6.44
6.33
5.40


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.70
0.66
0.63
0.69



SE
0.033
0.030
0.031
0.034



p Value
1.3E−9
3.0E−7
4.2E−5
1.1E−8



nCohort Non-
212
150
158
217



persistent



nCohort Persistent
103
167
158
98



Cutoff Quartile 2
8020
7990
7980
8020



Sensitivity
86%
83%
81%
86%



Specificity
31%
33%
31%
30%



Cutoff Quartile 3
13500
13500
13500
13500



Sensitivity
68%
60%
58%
68%



Specificity
58%
61%
58%
58%



Cutoff Quartile 4
29400
28900
28100
29400



Sensitivity
42%
36%
35%
42%



Specificity
83%
87%
85%
82%



OR Quartile 2
2.81
2.38
1.92
2.57



p Value
0.0014
0.0012
0.014
0.0037



Lower limit of
1.49
1.41
1.14
1.36



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.30
4.02
3.23
4.85



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.99
2.43
1.94
2.99



p Value
1.5E−5
1.2E−4
0.0036
2.0E−5



Lower limit of
1.82
1.54
1.24
1.81



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.91
3.81
3.04
4.95



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
3.50
3.64
3.22
3.39



p Value
3.7E−6
7.8E−6
3.0E−5
7.1E−6



Lower limit of
2.06
2.07
1.86
1.99



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.96
6.43
5.58
5.77



95% CI

















TABLE 13.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
98000
117000
98700
119000
102000
120000


Average
109000
129000
113000
129000
116000
129000


Stdev
37500
45800
42900
43700
44400
42800


p (t-test)

8.6E−5

9.6E−4

0.012


Min
57600
57000
57000
64800
57000
64800


Max
277000
299000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
114
213
155
172
179
148







sCr only













Median
98000
120000
98700
123000
103000
122000


Average
107000
131000
112000
131000
117000
128000


Stdev
35400
46600
41700
44300
45900
41000


p (t-test)

2.4E−6

6.5E−5

0.025


Min
57600
57000
57000
64800
57000
64800


Max
277000
299000
299000
281000
299000
270000


n (Patient)
124
202
157
169
182
144







UO only













Median
106000
125000
106000
129000
105000
132000


Average
118000
134000
118000
140000
117000
145000


Stdev
42500
46600
41900
48100
41600
48700


p (t-test)

0.0039

2.4E−4

1.6E−5


Min
57000
70200
57000
70200
57000
77400


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
245
80
261
64
269
56












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.65
0.67
0.62
0.64
0.66


SE
0.031
0.030
0.037
0.030
0.030


p Value
4.4E−7
4.0E−9
0.0013
2.8E−6
6.2E−8


nCohort Non-
114
124
245
155
157


persistent


nCohort Persistent
213
202
80
172
169


Cutoff Quartile 2
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300


Sensitivity
80%
80%
85%
83%
83%


Specificity
34%
34%
28%
34%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
58%
60%
62%
61%
63%


Specificity
65%
66%
54%
62%
64%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
31%
33%
38%
31%
33%


Specificity
87%
88%
79%
81%
83%


OR Quartile 2
2.06
2.07
2.22
2.56
2.46


p Value
0.0058
0.0049
0.020
3.8E−4
6.7E−4


Lower limit of
1.23
1.25
1.13
1.52
1.46


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.43
3.45
4.36
4.31
4.13


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.58
2.92
1.95
2.55
2.95


p Value
8.2E−5
6.8E−6
0.012
3.9E−5
2.5E−6


Lower limit of
1.61
1.83
1.16
1.63
1.88


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.13
4.65
3.27
3.98
4.63


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.03
3.61
2.23
1.94
2.50


p Value
4.2E−4
4.2E−5
0.0041
0.012
7.0E−4


Lower limit of
1.64
1.95
1.29
1.15
1.47


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.60
6.66
3.85
3.25
4.24


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.66
0.62
0.62
0.69



SE
0.040
0.031
0.031
0.042



p Value
9.2E−5
1.6E−4
2.2E−4
5.8E−6



nCohort Non-
261
179
182
269



persistent



nCohort Persistent
64
148
144
56



Cutoff Quartile 2
90600
90400
90300
90600



Sensitivity
89%
83%
82%
91%



Specificity
28%
32%
31%
28%



Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000



Sensitivity
66%
63%
63%
71%



Specificity
54%
60%
60%
54%



Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000



Sensitivity
41%
31%
32%
45%



Specificity
79%
80%
80%
79%



OR Quartile 2
3.22
2.30
2.02
4.02



p Value
0.0057
0.0022
0.0093
0.0044



Lower limit of
1.41
1.35
1.19
1.54



95% CI



Upper limit of
7.39
3.92
3.42
10.4



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.21
2.57
2.62
2.97



p Value
0.0065
3.6E−5
2.7E−5
6.8E−4



Lower limit of
1.25
1.64
1.67
1.58



95% CI



Upper limit of
3.91
4.03
4.12
5.56



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
2.50
1.79
1.90
3.00



p Value
0.0019
0.024
0.013
3.5E−4



Lower limit of
1.40
1.08
1.15
1.64



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.47
2.97
3.16
5.48



95% CI

















TABLE 13.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
97100
118000
98500
120000
99700
120000


Average
106000
130000
112000
129000
115000
129000


Stdev
33300
46500
42700
43700
44300
42800


p (t-test)

2.8E−6

5.3E−4

0.0050


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
252000
299000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
108
219
144
183
164
163







sCr only













Median
97500
120000
98700
121000
100000
121000


Average
105000
132000
111000
131000
115000
129000


Stdev
31200
47500
41100
44700
43800
43300


p (t-test)

8.4E−8

6.2E−5

0.0032


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
252000
299000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
120
206
149
177
166
160







UO only













Median
104000
124000
104000
128000
104000
130000


Average
116000
135000
116000
139000
116000
142000


Stdev
42300
45600
41600
46700
41300
47200


p (t-test)

5.8E−4

3.7E−5

5.6E−6


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
225
100
241
84
248
77












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.68
0.69
0.64
0.65
0.66


SE
0.030
0.029
0.034
0.030
0.030


p Value
2.2E−9
 6.2E−11
4.3E−5
5.8E−7
9.0E−8


nCohort Non-
108
120
225
144
149


persistent


nCohort Persistent
219
206
100
183
177


Cutoff Quartile 2
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300


Sensitivity
80%
81%
86%
83%
82%


Specificity
36%
35%
30%
35%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
59%
61%
64%
61%
62%


Specificity
69%
68%
56%
64%
64%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
32%
33%
38%
31%
33%


Specificity
89%
89%
80%
83%
84%


OR Quartile 2
2.31
2.23
2.60
2.51
2.29


p Value
0.0014
0.0020
0.0030
4.4E−4
0.0015


Lower limit of
1.38
1.34
1.38
1.50
1.37


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.87
3.72
4.91
4.19
3.82


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.18
3.33
2.26
2.79
2.97


p Value
3.3E−6
7.1E−7
9.9E−4
8.4E−6
2.4E−6


Lower limit of
1.95
2.07
1.39
1.78
1.89


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.18
5.36
3.68
4.38
4.68


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.76
4.15
2.52
2.15
2.54


p Value
9.3E−5
1.5E−5
5.1E−4
0.0048
6.9E−4


Lower limit of
1.93
2.18
1.50
1.26
1.48


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.30
7.90
4.25
3.67
4.35


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.67
0.63
0.63
0.69



SE
0.036
0.031
0.031
0.037



p Value
2.3E−6
2.2E−5
2.1E−5
4.1E−7



nCohort Non-
241
164
166
248



persistent



nCohort Persistent
84
163
160
77



Cutoff Quartile 2
90600
90400
90300
90600



Sensitivity
89%
83%
82%
90%



Specificity
30%
33%
32%
29%



Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000



Sensitivity
67%
63%
62%
70%



Specificity
56%
62%
62%
56%



Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000



Sensitivity
40%
31%
32%
43%



Specificity
80%
81%
81%
80%



OR Quartile 2
3.55
2.37
2.12
3.60



p Value
8.5E−4
0.0012
0.0045
0.0013



Lower limit of
1.69
1.41
1.26
1.65



95% CI



Upper limit of
7.47
3.99
3.56
7.86



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.50
2.75
2.72
2.99



p Value
5.4E−4
9.3E−6
1.2E−5
9.0E−5



Lower limit of
1.49
1.76
1.74
1.73



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.21
4.30
4.26
5.18



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
2.73
1.95
2.04
3.05



p Value
2.5E−4
0.010
0.0065
7.0E−5



Lower limit of
1.60
1.17
1.22
1.76



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.68
3.26
3.40
5.27



95% CI

















TABLE 13.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
97000
118000
98300
119000
99100
120000


Average
106000
130000
112000
129000
114000
129000


Stdev
33500
46400
43000
43500
44100
42900


p (t-test)

2.8E−6

6.3E−4

0.0036


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
252000
299000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
107
220
142
185
158
169







sCr only













Median
97100
120000
98500
121000
99100
121000


Average
104000
132000
111000
131000
113000
130000


Stdev
31100
47300
41300
44400
42900
43700


p (t-test)

4.6E−8

5.1E−5

5.6E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
252000
299000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
118
208
146
180
160
166







UO only













Median
104000
123000
104000
125000
104000
127000


Average
115000
135000
115000
138000
115000
141000


Stdev
41900
45600
41400
46400
41000
46900


p (t-test)

1.6E−4

1.6E−5

2.7E−6


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
216
109
230
95
237
88












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.68
0.70
0.65
0.65
0.66


SE
0.030
0.029
0.033
0.030
0.030


p Value
1.4E−9
 8.6E−12
6.1E−6
4.8E−7
2.8E−8


nCohort Non-
107
118
216
142
146


persistent


nCohort Persistent
220
208
109
185
180


Cutoff Quartile 2
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300


Sensitivity
80%
81%
86%
83%
82%


Specificity
36%
36%
31%
35%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
60%
61%
64%
61%
62%


Specificity
69%
69%
57%
64%
65%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
32%
34%
38%
31%
33%


Specificity
89%
90%
81%
82%
84%


OR Quartile 2
2.36
2.32
2.76
2.60
2.41


p Value
0.0011
0.0012
0.0013
2.7E−4
7.8E−4


Lower limit of
1.41
1.39
1.49
1.55
1.44


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.95
3.87
5.11
4.34
4.02


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.30
3.57
2.37
2.80
3.07


p Value
1.8E−6
2.1E−7
3.6E−4
8.2E−6
1.3E−6


Lower limit of
2.02
2.21
1.48
1.78
1.95


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.39
5.78
3.82
4.40
4.83


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.69
4.48
2.57
2.08
2.61


p Value
1.1E−4
9.2E−6
3.3E−4
0.0069
5.4E−4


Lower limit of
1.90
2.31
1.54
1.22
1.51


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.18
8.69
4.31
3.55
4.49


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.67
0.63
0.65
0.69



SE
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.035



p Value
4.7E−7
1.1E−5
1.4E−6
8.8E−8



nCohort Non-
230
158
160
237



persistent



nCohort Persistent
95
169
166
88



Cutoff Quartile 2
90600
90400
90300
90600



Sensitivity
89%
83%
83%
90%



Specificity
31%
34%
33%
30%



Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000



Sensitivity
66%
62%
63%
69%



Specificity
57%
63%
63%
57%



Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000



Sensitivity
39%
31%
33%
41%



Specificity
80%
81%
82%
81%



OR Quartile 2
3.80
2.44
2.34
3.83



p Value
2.4E−4
7.6E−4
0.0013
4.0E−4



Lower limit of
1.86
1.45
1.39
1.82



95% CI



Upper limit of
7.74
4.09
3.93
8.05



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.56
2.75
2.87
2.99



p Value
2.2E−4
9.3E−6
4.2E−6
3.8E−5



Lower limit of
1.55
1.76
1.83
1.78



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.22
4.31
4.50
5.03



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
2.62
1.90
2.27
2.87



p Value
3.2E−4
0.015
0.0020
1.0E−4



Lower limit of
1.55
1.13
1.35
1.69



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.44
3.17
3.83
4.90



95% CI

















TABLE 13.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
96500
118000
98000
120000
98700
120000


Average
106000
129000
111000
130000
113000
129000


Stdev
33600
46300
41000
44600
42500
44100


p (t-test)

3.6E−6

1.1E−4

9.9E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
252000
299000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
106
221
140
187
155
172







sCr only













Median
97100
120000
98300
122000
98800
122000


Average
104000
132000
110000
131000
112000
131000


Stdev
31100
47300
39100
45500
41100
44900


p (t-test)

4.6E−8

7.0E−6

1.0E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
252000
299000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
118
208
144
182
158
168







UO only













Median
104000
124000
103000
127000
103000
129000


Average
114000
136000
114000
139000
114000
141000


Stdev
40300
47300
39900
47600
39700
48000


p (t-test)

2.3E−5

8.8E−7

1.7E−7


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
211
114
223
102
229
96












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.68
0.70
0.66
0.66
0.67


SE
0.030
0.029
0.033
0.030
0.029


p Value
2.0E−9
 8.6E−12
1.9E−6
7.3E−8
3.3E−9


nCohort Non-
106
118
211
140
144


persistent


nCohort Persistent
221
208
114
187
182


Cutoff Quartile 2
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300


Sensitivity
81%
81%
86%
83%
82%


Specificity
37%
36%
31%
36%
35%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
59%
61%
64%
61%
63%


Specificity
69%
69%
57%
65%
66%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
32%
34%
38%
31%
33%


Specificity
89%
90%
82%
83%
85%


OR Quartile 2
2.41
2.32
2.73
2.69
2.49


p Value
8.5E−4
0.0012
0.0011
1.6E−4
4.8E−4


Lower limit of
1.44
1.39
1.49
1.61
1.49


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.04
3.87
4.99
4.50
4.17


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.22
3.57
2.39
2.97
3.25


p Value
3.0E−6
2.1E−7
2.7E−4
2.9E−6
4.3E−7


Lower limit of
1.97
2.21
1.50
1.88
2.06


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.26
5.78
3.83
4.68
5.13


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.63
4.48
2.67
2.17
2.73


p Value
1.4E−4
9.2E−6
1.8E−4
0.0047
3.4E−4


Lower limit of
1.87
2.31
1.60
1.27
1.57


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.06
8.69
4.47
3.72
4.72


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.69
0.64
0.65
0.70



SE
0.033
0.030
0.030
0.034



p Value
2.1E−8
2.9E−6
2.6E−7
4.8E−9



nCohort Non-
223
155
158
229



persistent



nCohort Persistent
102
172
168
96



Cutoff Quartile 2
90600
90400
90300
90600



Sensitivity
89%
83%
83%
90%



Specificity
31%
34%
34%
31%



Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000



Sensitivity
68%
62%
63%
70%



Specificity
58%
63%
64%
58%



Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000



Sensitivity
40%
31%
33%
42%



Specificity
82%
81%
83%
82%



OR Quartile 2
3.78
2.56
2.42
3.86



p Value
1.4E−4
3.8E−4
8.4E−4
2.0E−4



Lower limit of
1.90
1.52
1.44
1.90



95% CI



Upper limit of
7.52
4.31
4.06
7.88



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.87
2.83
3.03
3.20



p Value
2.7E−5
5.6E−6
1.5E−6
7.4E−6



Lower limit of
1.75
1.81
1.93
1.92



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.70
4.43
4.76
5.32



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
2.98
1.94
2.36
3.18



p Value
3.9E−5
0.012
0.0013
1.6E−5



Lower limit of
1.77
1.15
1.40
1.88



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.02
3.25
3.99
5.38



95% CI

















TABLE 13.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent”


cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output


(UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
96500
118000
97900
119000
98600
120000


Average
105000
129000
111000
130000
113000
129000


Stdev
32700
46400
40700
44700
42500
44000


p (t-test)

3.3E−6

1.0E−4

8.3E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
252000
299000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
102
225
135
192
149
178







sCr only













Median
97200
120000
98500
120000
99100
120000


Average
105000
131000
110000
130000
113000
130000


Stdev
31400
47200
39500
45500
41400
44900


p (t-test)

1.6E−7

3.3E−5

4.1E−4


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
252000
299000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
115
211
140
186
154
172







UO only













Median
104000
123000
103000
125000
103000
125000


Average
115000
134000
114000
137000
114000
138000


Stdev
40800
46800
40500
46800
40200
47400


p (t-test)

1.3E−4

5.9E−6

3.3E−6


Min
57600
57000
57600
57000
57600
57000


Max
299000
281000
299000
281000
299000
281000


n (Patient)
204
121
214
111
219
106












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










24
48













sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr



UO
only
only
UO
only





AUC
0.68
0.69
0.64
0.66
0.66


SE
0.030
0.029
0.032
0.030
0.030


p Value
3.3E−9
 1.0E−10
1.2E−5
7.8E−8
7.2E−8


nCohort Non-
102
115
204
135
140


persistent


nCohort Persistent
225
211
121
192
186


Cutoff Quartile 2
90400
90300
90600
90400
90300


Sensitivity
80%
80%
84%
82%
81%


Specificity
36%
35%
30%
36%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000
109000


Sensitivity
59%
60%
63%
61%
61%


Specificity
69%
69%
57%
65%
65%


Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000
137000


Sensitivity
32%
33%
36%
31%
32%


Specificity
89%
90%
81%
84%
84%


OR Quartile 2
2.28
2.15
2.34
2.56
2.18


p Value
0.0019
0.0034
0.0036
3.1E−4
0.0026


Lower limit of
1.35
1.29
1.32
1.54
1.31


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.83
3.58
4.16
4.28
3.62


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.10
3.32
2.27
2.92
2.94


p Value
7.4E−6
1.0E−6
4.9E−4
4.4E−6
3.5E−6


Lower limit of
1.89
2.05
1.43
1.85
1.86


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.10
5.37
3.60
4.62
4.64


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.81
4.26
2.33
2.33
2.55


p Value
1.3E−4
1.8E−5
0.0011
0.0025
8.2E−4


Lower limit of
1.92
2.20
1.40
1.35
1.47


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.57
8.27
3.89
4.04
4.42


95% CI












Persistence Period Duration (hr)










48
72














UO
sCr or
sCr
UO




only
UO
only
only







AUC
0.67
0.64
0.64
0.68



SE
0.032
0.030
0.030
0.033



p Value
8.5E−8
1.9E−6
3.4E−6
1.0E−7



nCohort Non-
214
149
154
219



persistent



nCohort Persistent
111
178
172
106



Cutoff Quartile 2
90600
90400
90300
90600



Sensitivity
87%
83%
81%
87%



Specificity
31%
34%
32%
31%



Cutoff Quartile 3
109000
109000
109000
109000



Sensitivity
67%
62%
62%
68%



Specificity
58%
64%
63%
58%



Cutoff Quartile 4
137000
137000
137000
137000



Sensitivity
38%
31%
32%
39%



Specificity
81%
82%
82%
81%



OR Quartile 2
3.16
2.47
2.10
2.90



p Value
3.5E−4
5.8E−4
0.0044
9.6E−4



Lower limit of
1.68
1.48
1.26
1.54



95% CI



Upper limit of
5.93
4.13
3.51
5.45



95% CI



OR Quartile 3
2.81
2.85
2.73
2.98



p Value
2.4E−5
5.4E−6
1.1E−5
1.2E−5



Lower limit of
1.74
1.81
1.74
1.83



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.54
4.47
4.28
4.85



95% CI



OR Quartile 4
2.65
2.02
2.21
2.74



p Value
2.1E−4
0.0086
0.0030
1.4E−4



Lower limit of
1.58
1.20
1.31
1.63



95% CI



Upper limit of
4.43
3.41
3.74
4.60



95% CI










Example 14. Use of Metalloproteinase Inhibitor 4 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 14.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11.1
29.5
11.8
29.0
11.1
28.9


Average
17.9
190
18.2
183
17.1
180


Stdev
21.6
850
21.6
834
22.3
826


p (t-test)

0.13

0.18

0.21


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110


Max
108
9030
108
9030
108
9030


n (Patient)
57
260
46
271
41
276







sCr only













Median
13.0
29.0
13.3
28.8
13.3
28.8


Average
22.6
203
23.1
201
21.3
199


Stdev
27.4
884
27.6
880
21.5
873


p (t-test)

0.077

0.083

0.091


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110


Max
173
9030
173
9030
108
9030


n (Patient)
76
240
74
242
70
246







UO only













Median
17.0
38.8
16.9
34.6
15.7
33.7


Average
97.5
261
98.2
236
98.8
220


Stdev
655
931
691
863
725
819


p (t-test)

0.069

0.12

0.16


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00273
0.00110
0.00273


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
194
121
173
142
156
159












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.71
0.66
0.66
0.69
0.65
0.66
0.70
0.65
0.66


SE
0.034
0.034
0.032
0.038
0.034
0.031
0.038
0.035
0.030


p Value
1.3E−9
3.4E−6
4.9E−7
9.4E−7
1.9E−5
5.3E−7
1.2E−7
1.8E−5
7.3E−8


nCohort Recovered
57
76
194
46
74
173
41
70
156


nCohort Non-
260
240
121
271
242
142
276
246
159


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36


Sensitivity
80%
78%
88%
78%
77%
86%
78%
77%
85%


Specificity
46%
33%
33%
43%
32%
34%
46%
31%
35%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1


Sensitivity
55%
55%
64%
54%
54%
62%
55%
54%
62%


Specificity
74%
64%
59%
74%
64%
60%
80%
64%
62%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8


Sensitivity
30%
31%
36%
29%
31%
33%
28%
31%
33%


Specificity
96%
95%
81%
96%
95%
82%
95%
96%
83%


OR Quartile 2
3.28
1.69
3.48
2.76
1.63
3.16
3.11
1.52
3.06


p Value
1.1E−4
0.070
7.7E−5
0.0022
0.093
7.2E−5
0.0010
0.16
5.6E−5


Lower limit of
1.79
0.958
1.88
1.44
0.921
1.79
1.58
0.847
1.78


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.98
2.97
6.45
5.30
2.89
5.57
6.12
2.73
5.28


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.48
2.18
2.58
3.36
2.05
2.40
4.98
2.12
2.71


p Value
1.3E−4
0.0042
7.3E−5
6.9E−4
0.0085
1.6E−4
9.8E−5
0.0074
1.8E−5


Lower limit of
1.84
1.28
1.62
1.67
1.20
1.52
2.22
1.22
1.72


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.58
3.72
4.13
6.77
3.51
3.78
11.2
3.67
4.28


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
11.8
8.18
2.42
8.89
7.86
2.18
7.68
9.98
2.32


p Value
7.6E−4
7.8E−5
8.5E−4
0.0030
1.1E−4
0.0033
0.0057
1.5E−4
0.0019


Lower limit of
2.80
2.88
1.44
2.10
2.77
1.30
1.81
3.04
1.37


95% CI


Upper limit of
49.5
23.2
4.07
37.6
22.3
3.66
32.6
32.7
3.95


95% CI
















TABLE 14.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
11.2
33.4
12.3
29.7
11.2
29.7


Average
21.2
214
22.6
205
21.7
199


Stdev
26.7
908
27.7
887
28.6
873


p (t-test)

0.045

0.070

0.089


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110


Max
121
9030
121
9030
121
9030


n (Patient)
90
227
79
238
71
246







sCr only













Median
12.5
33.7
12.7
33.4
12.7
33.6


Average
25.3
227
25.7
225
24.4
221


Stdev
32.9
940
33.1
936
30.2
926


p (t-test)

0.028

0.031

0.036


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110


Max
173
9030
173
9030
172
9030


n (Patient)
106
211
104
213
99
218







UO only













Median
18.2
33.4
18.5
30.7
17.2
33.2


Average
111
262
117
229
109
226


Stdev
645
986
674
913
690
871


p (t-test)

0.10

0.21

0.18


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00273
0.00110
0.00273


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
212
103
194
121
178
137












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.71
0.68
0.64
0.68
0.67
0.61
0.69
0.67
0.62


SE
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.032
0.031
0.033
0.032
0.031
0.032


p Value
 2.8E−12
7.0E−9
7.9E−5
2.9E−8
5.4E−8
0.0012
2.0E−9
3.6E−8
1.9E−4


nCohort Recovered
90
106
212
79
104
194
71
99
178


nCohort Non-
227
211
103
238
213
121
246
218
137


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36


Sensitivity
83%
81%
89%
81%
81%
86%
81%
80%
85%


Specificity
44%
37%
32%
42%
37%
32%
45%
36%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1


Sensitivity
58%
57%
62%
56%
57%
59%
57%
57%
60%


Specificity
70%
64%
56%
68%
63%
55%
73%
65%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.9
61.8
60.9
60.9
61.8
60.9
60.9
61.8


Sensitivity
33%
34%
33%
31%
33%
30%
30%
33%
31%


Specificity
93%
92%
79%
92%
91%
78%
93%
92%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.86
2.49
3.95
2.99
2.42
2.87
3.47
2.33
2.90


p Value
9.7E−7
6.5E−4
9.2E−5
9.5E−5
9.9E−4
5.1E−4
1.6E−5
0.0017
2.4E−4


Lower limit of
2.25
1.47
1.98
1.73
1.43
1.58
1.97
1.37
1.64


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.62
4.20
7.86
5.19
4.08
5.21
6.11
3.94
5.12


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.24
2.41
2.06
2.78
2.28
1.75
3.61
2.41
2.00


p Value
1.0E−5
3.5E−4
0.0033
2.0E−4
7.9E−4
0.017
1.6E−5
4.5E−4
0.0027


Lower limit of
1.92
1.49
1.27
1.62
1.41
1.10
2.02
1.48
1.27


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.47
3.89
3.33
4.77
3.70
2.76
6.47
3.94
3.15


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
6.77
5.47
1.83
5.49
5.28
1.49
5.79
5.61
1.68


p Value
1.8E−5
6.9E−6
0.025
1.4E−4
1.1E−5
0.13
2.9E−4
1.3E−5
0.046


Lower limit of
2.83
2.61
1.08
2.29
2.52
0.887
2.24
2.58
1.01


95% CI


Upper limit of
16.2
11.5
3.10
13.2
11.1
2.49
15.0
12.2
2.81


95% CI
















TABLE 14.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
12.3
33.7
12.3
33.5
12.3
33.4


Average
24.0
235
24.5
228
24.1
219


Stdev
32.3
958
32.9
942
33.8
922


p (t-test)

0.019

0.026

0.038


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110


Max
223
9030
223
9030
223
9030


n (Patient)
114
203
107
210
97
220







sCr only













Median
12.7
35.5
13.3
33.4
13.3
34.0


Average
27.3
248
27.8
244
26.9
239


Stdev
36.2
989
36.5
982
34.6
970


p (t-test)

0.013

0.015

0.018


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110


Max
223
9030
223
9030
223
9030


n (Patient)
127
190
124
193
119
198







UO only













Median
18.1
33.4
17.7
33.4
16.9
33.7


Average
112
263
115
243
106
243


Stdev
642
996
658
952
669
910


p (t-test)

0.11

0.16

0.12


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
214
101
204
111
190
125












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.68
0.62
0.69
0.66
0.61
0.69
0.66
0.64


SE
0.029
0.030
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.032


p Value
 4.9E−12
4.5E−9
4.7E−4
 3.2E−10
1.1E−7
9.4E−4
 2.2E−10
9.3E−8
1.1E−5


nCohort Recovered
114
127
214
107
124
204
97
119
190


nCohort Non-
203
190
101
210
193
111
220
198
125


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36


Sensitivity
84%
82%
86%
82%
81%
85%
82%
81%
86%


Specificity
40%
35%
30%
39%
35%
30%
40%
34%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1


Sensitivity
60%
59%
62%
60%
58%
62%
60%
58%
65%


Specificity
68%
63%
56%
68%
62%
56%
71%
63%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.9
61.8
60.9
60.9
61.8
60.9
60.9
61.8


Sensitivity
34%
35%
32%
33%
35%
30%
33%
34%
32%


Specificity
91%
90%
78%
91%
90%
77%
92%
90%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.48
2.52
2.71
3.02
2.32
2.41
3.03
2.21
2.81


p Value
3.6E−6
4.9E−4
0.0021
3.8E−5
0.0015
0.0038
4.4E−5
0.0026
5.3E−4


Lower limit of
2.05
1.50
1.44
1.79
1.38
1.33
1.78
1.32
1.57


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.91
4.23
5.12
5.11
3.88
4.38
5.15
3.71
5.04


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.13
2.44
2.08
3.16
2.27
2.12
3.63
2.36
2.70


p Value
3.4E−6
1.5E−4
0.0031
4.5E−6
5.2E−4
0.0018
9.5E−7
3.1E−4
3.1E−5


Lower limit of
1.94
1.54
1.28
1.93
1.43
1.32
2.17
1.48
1.69


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.08
3.88
3.37
5.16
3.60
3.41
6.07
3.77
4.31


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.47
4.78
1.65
4.85
4.54
1.45
5.41
4.66
1.82


p Value
2.7E−6
2.1E−6
0.065
1.4E−5
4.5E−6
0.16
2.0E−5
5.6E−6
0.022


Lower limit of
2.69
2.50
0.970
2.38
2.38
0.861
2.49
2.40
1.09


95% CI


Upper limit of
11.1
9.12
2.80
9.88
8.67
2.45
11.8
9.07
3.05


95% CI
















TABLE 14.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
12.3
37.0
12.3
36.1
11.9
33.7


Average
26.8
256
27.5
245
27.6
233


Stdev
42.8
1010
44.0
984
45.6
958


p (t-test)

0.0088

0.014

0.023


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110


Max
337
9030
337
9030
337
9030


n (Patient)
134
183
125
192
114
203







sCr only













Median
12.5
37.0
12.7
36.7
12.7
36.6


Average
28.8
263
29.1
260
28.2
257


Stdev
43.9
1020
44.1
1020
42.8
1010


p (t-test)

0.0073

0.0082

0.0090


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
337
9030
337
9030
337
9030


n (Patient)
140
177
138
179
135
182







UO only













Median
18.1
38.8
17.3
36.3
17.0
35.8


Average
110
270
113
251
104
251


Stdev
640
1000
653
964
662
924


p (t-test)

0.089

0.13

0.10


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
216
99
207
108
194
121












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.71
0.69
0.64
0.70
0.68
0.63
0.70
0.69
0.65


SE
 0.028
 0.029
0.035
 0.029
 0.030
0.034
 0.029
 0.029
0.032


p Value
 6.0E−14
 5.9E−11
7.2E−5
 9.9E−12
 5.2E−10
8.2E−5
 2.5E−11
 2.4E−10
5.1E−6


nCohort Recovered
134   
140   
216
125   
138   
207
114   
135   
194


nCohort Non-
183   
177   
99
192   
179   
108
203   
182   
121


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36


Sensitivity
85%
84%
86%
83%
83%
86%
83%
83%
86%


Specificity
38%
36%
30%
38%
36%
31%
39%
36%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1 
24.1 
24.1
24.1 
24.1 
24.1
24.1 
24.1 
24.1


Sensitivity
62%
60%
64%
61%
60%
64%
61%
60%
65%


Specificity
66%
63%
56%
67%
62%
57%
69%
63%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9 
60.9 
61.8
60.9 
60.9 
61.8
60.9 
60.9 
61.8


Sensitivity
37%
37%
34%
35%
36%
32%
34%
36%
33%


Specificity
90%
89%
79%
90%
89%
79%
90%
90%
80%


OR Quartile 2
3.40
2.84
2.61
3.01
2.73
2.77
3.02
2.69
2.87


p Value
6.6E−6
1.1E−4
0.0031
3.8E−5
1.7E−4
0.0013
3.6E−5
2.1E−4
5.1E−4


Lower limit of
2.00
1.67
1.38
1.78
1.62
1.49
1.79
1.59
1.58


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.79
4.80
4.94
5.09
4.62
5.16
5.10
4.53
5.21


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.27
2.59
2.23
3.27
2.46
2.35
3.54
2.54
2.74


p Value
6.6E−7
4.5E−5
0.0013
9.4E−7
1.1E−4
4.9E−4
3.7E−7
6.7E−5
2.8E−5


Lower limit of
2.05
1.64
1.37
2.04
1.56
1.45
2.18
1.61
1.71


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.21
4.08
3.64
5.24
3.88
3.79
5.77
4.01
4.39


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.38
4.84
1.99
4.62
4.68
1.78
4.82
4.92
1.96


p Value
3.4E−7
5.4E−7
0.011
3.5E−6
9.4E−7
0.031
7.0E−6
7.4E−7
0.011


Lower limit of
2.82
2.61
1.17
2.42
2.52
1.05
2.43
2.62
1.17


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.3 
8.96
3.37
8.81
8.66
3.00
9.58
9.24
3.29


95% CI
















TABLE 14.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
16.8
37.0
16.5
36.9
16.5
36.9


Average
101
244
102
239
102
239


Stdev
672
896
677
886
677
886


p (t-test)

0.11

0.12

0.12


Min
0.00110
0.00169
0.00110
0.00169
0.00110
0.00169


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
188
129
185
132
185
132







sCr only













Median
15.1
38.6
15.4
37.8
15.1
38.6


Average
36.5
284
36.8
280
35.9
279


Stdev
67.1
1080
67.5
1070
66.9
1070


p (t-test)

0.0041

0.0050

0.0050


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
453
9030
453
9030
453
9030


n (Patient)
160
157
157
160
156
161







UO only













Median
18.2
39.1
18.5
37.0
18.1
37.9


Average
104
275
105
268
105
262


Stdev
643
985
647
972
652
959


p (t-test)

0.065

0.077

0.086


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
211
104
208
107
205
110












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.68
0.64
0.65
0.67
0.63
0.65
0.68
0.64


SE
 0.032
 0.030
0.034
 0.032
 0.030
0.034
 0.032
 0.030
 0.033


p Value
3.1E−6
1.5E−9
3.4E−5
2.5E−6
8.1E−9
6.6E−5
2.5E−6
2.3E−9
2.3E−5


nCohort Recovered
188   
160   
211
185   
157   
208
185   
156   
205   


nCohort Non-
129   
157   
104
132   
160   
107
132   
161   
110   


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36


Sensitivity
84%
84%
86%
85%
83%
86%
85%
83%
86%


Specificity
31%
34%
30%
32%
33%
31%
32%
33%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1 
24.1 
24.1
24.1 
24.1 
24.1
24.1 
24.1 
24.1 


Sensitivity
63%
62%
63%
63%
62%
63%
63%
62%
64%


Specificity
59%
62%
56%
59%
62%
56%
59%
62%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9 
60.9 
61.8
60.9 
60.9 
61.8
60.9 
60.9 
61.8 


Sensitivity
37%
38%
36%
37%
38%
35%
37%
38%
35%


Specificity
83%
87%
80%
83%
87%
80%
83%
88%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.49
2.69
2.58
2.62
2.44
2.73
2.62
2.48
2.87


p Value
 0.0016
3.2E−4
0.0027
8.7E−4
9.9E−4
0.0015
8.7E−4
7.9E−4
8.4E−4


Lower limit of
1.41
1.57
1.39
1.49
1.43
1.47
1.49
1.46
1.55


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.40
4.61
4.81
4.62
4.15
5.07
4.62
4.22
5.34


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.38
2.70
2.25
2.43
2.62
2.15
2.43
2.70
2.33


p Value
2.2E−4
1.9E−5
0.0010
1.5E−4
3.0E−5
0.0017
1.5E−4
1.9E−5
5.2E−4


Lower limit of
1.50
1.71
1.39
1.54
1.67
1.34
1.54
1.71
1.44


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.77
4.24
3.64
3.84
4.13
3.47
3.84
4.24
3.75


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.89
3.98
2.22
2.93
4.11
2.09
2.93
4.40
2.11


p Value
6.7E−5
1.4E−6
0.0029
5.5E−5
1.1E−6
0.0057
5.5E−5
4.6E−7
 0.0049


Lower limit of
1.71
2.27
1.31
1.74
2.33
1.24
1.74
2.47
1.25


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.87
6.98
3.76
4.95
7.25
3.52
4.95
7.82
3.55


95% CI
















TABLE 14.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3180
3320
3180
3320
3180
3300


Average
3270
3980
3200
3970
3220
3950


Stdev
1390
2560
1240
2540
1270
2530


p (t-test)

0.050

0.057

0.079


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
7920
19700
5620
19700
5620
19700


n (Patient)
52
275
42
285
38
289







sCr only













Median
3140
3320
3130
3330
3130
3320


Average
3340
4000
3240
4020
3280
4000


Stdev
1570
2590
1380
2610
1390
2600


p (t-test)

0.046

0.018

0.035


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9820
19700
7920
19700
7920
19700


n (Patient)
69
257
67
259
63
263







UO only













Median
3010
3910
2980
3860
3030
3770


Average
3430
4530
3380
4430
3390
4320


Stdev
1930
2890
1940
2770
1990
2680


p (t-test)

4.5E−5

8.0E−5

4.8E−4


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
197
128
176
149
159
166












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.56
0.56
0.62
0.56
0.57
0.62
0.56
0.56
0.61


SE
0.042
0.038
0.032
0.046
0.038
0.031
0.048
0.039
0.031


p Value
0.13
0.12
2.5E−4
0.16
0.062
1.5E−4
0.22
0.12
5.5E−4


nCohort Recovered
52
69
197
42
67
176
38
63
159


nCohort Non-
275
257
128
285
259
149
289
263
166


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
76%
76%
83%
76%
76%
82%
76%
76%
82%


Specificity
33%
30%
30%
33%
31%
31%
32%
30%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
51%
51%
60%
51%
51%
59%
51%
51%
57%


Specificity
52%
52%
56%
52%
54%
57%
53%
54%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720


Sensitivity
27%
28%
32%
27%
28%
31%
26%
27%
30%


Specificity
85%
84%
79%
86%
85%
80%
84%
84%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.57
1.41
2.06
1.60
1.48
2.00
1.44
1.37
2.14


p Value
0.17
0.26
0.010
0.19
0.19
0.0098
0.33
0.31
0.0039


Lower limit of
0.825
0.781
1.19
0.795
0.821
1.18
0.692
0.746
1.28


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.98
2.53
3.57
3.20
2.67
3.38
3.01
2.52
3.59


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.10
1.12
1.95
1.12
1.21
1.94
1.13
1.22
1.70


p Value
0.74
0.68
0.0038
0.73
0.49
0.0033
0.72
0.48
0.017


Lower limit of
0.610
0.656
1.24
0.587
0.704
1.25
0.576
0.702
1.10


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.00
1.90
3.06
2.15
2.07
3.02
2.23
2.11
2.64


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.02
2.01
1.79
2.18
2.19
1.74
1.90
2.00
1.60


p Value
0.084
0.050
0.024
0.090
0.034
0.032
0.17
0.062
0.070


Lower limit of
0.911
0.999
1.08
0.884
1.06
1.05
0.766
0.965
0.962


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.50
4.05
2.97
5.38
4.53
2.88
4.73
4.14
2.66


95% CI
















TABLE 14.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3040
3390
3070
3350
3040
3390


Average
3300
4070
3330
4030
3290
4020


Stdev
1510
2660
1560
2610
1600
2580


p (t-test)

0.011

0.026

0.026


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
9100
19700
9100
19700


n (Patient)
87
240
76
251
69
258







sCr only













Median
3040
3390
3040
3440
2980
3430


Average
3380
4090
3310
4110
3330
4090


Stdev
1640
2680
1520
2700
1530
2680


p (t-test)

0.015

0.0059

0.011


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9820
19700
9100
19700
9100
19700


n (Patient)
101
226
99
228
94
233







UO only













Median
3060
3890
3050
3720
3070
3720


Average
3520
4540
3510
4400
3490
4330


Stdev
2070
2880
2090
2760
2120
2670


p (t-test)

2.9E−4

0.0011

0.0018


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
217
108
198
127
181
144












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.57
0.61
0.57
0.58
0.60
0.58
0.57
0.60


SE
0.035
0.034
0.034
0.036
0.034
0.033
0.037
0.034
0.032


p Value
0.026
0.037
9.7E−4
0.055
0.019
0.0023
0.030
0.030
0.0019


nCohort Recovered
87
101
217
76
99
198
69
94
181


nCohort Non-
240
226
108
251
228
127
258
233
144


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
78%
78%
82%
78%
78%
80%
78%
78%
81%


Specificity
33%
32%
29%
34%
32%
28%
35%
32%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
52%
53%
60%
52%
53%
58%
53%
53%
57%


Specificity
56%
55%
55%
57%
57%
55%
59%
57%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720


Sensitivity
29%
29%
33%
28%
29%
32%
28%
28%
31%


Specificity
85%
83%
79%
84%
84%
79%
84%
83%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.76
1.63
1.87
1.81
1.70
1.61
1.84
1.63
1.84


p Value
0.039
0.067
0.033
0.037
0.048
0.082
0.038
0.071
0.023


Lower limit of
1.03
0.967
1.05
1.03
1.01
0.942
1.03
0.958
1.09


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.03
2.76
3.33
3.17
2.87
2.75
3.27
2.78
3.12


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.43
1.38
1.84
1.42
1.47
1.71
1.63
1.54
1.63


p Value
0.16
0.18
0.011
0.18
0.11
0.020
0.075
0.082
0.029


Lower limit of
0.870
0.864
1.15
0.848
0.916
1.09
0.952
0.947
1.05


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.33
2.22
2.93
2.39
2.37
2.68
2.80
2.49
2.54


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.30
1.99
1.86
2.06
2.11
1.83
2.00
1.93
1.77


p Value
0.012
0.023
0.018
0.036
0.016
0.020
0.052
0.035
0.027


Lower limit of
1.20
1.10
1.11
1.05
1.15
1.10
0.994
1.05
1.07


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.41
3.62
3.11
4.05
3.88
3.03
4.03
3.54
2.93


95% CI
















TABLE 14.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3040
3470
3100
3450
2990
3470


Average
3390
4120
3430
4080
3390
4060


Stdev
1820
2650
1870
2620
1940
2580


p (t-test)

0.0097

0.024

0.024


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
14500
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
111
216
104
223
94
233







sCr only













Median
2990
3490
2950
3500
2930
3490


Average
3380
4170
3340
4180
3350
4160


Stdev
1880
2670
1800
2680
1820
2660


p (t-test)

0.0046

0.0023

0.0037


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
14500
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
124
203
121
206
116
211







UO only













Median
3090
3710
3100
3700
3040
3770


Average
3540
4530
3550
4420
3480
4420


Stdev
2060
2910
2080
2830
2080
2740


p (t-test)

4.8E−4

0.0017

5.5E−4


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
219
106
208
117
193
132












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.59
0.60
0.57
0.60
0.59
0.58
0.60
0.61


SE
0.033
0.032
0.034
0.033
0.032
0.033
0.034
0.032
0.032


p Value
0.013
0.0032
0.0029
0.034
0.0020
0.0070
0.013
0.0028
8.2E−4


nCohort Recovered
111
124
219
104
121
208
94
116
193


nCohort Non-
216
203
106
223
206
117
233
211
132


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
79%
80%
83%
78%
80%
81%
79%
80%
82%


Specificity
32%
34%
29%
33%
34%
28%
34%
34%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
53%
54%
58%
52%
54%
56%
54%
55%
58%


Specificity
56%
56%
53%
55%
57%
53%
59%
58%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720


Sensitivity
29%
30%
31%
28%
30%
30%
27%
29%
31%


Specificity
83%
83%
78%
82%
83%
77%
81%
83%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.77
2.09
1.97
1.77
2.06
1.71
1.89
1.98
1.89


p Value
0.029
0.0045
0.023
0.031
0.0053
0.057
0.018
0.0088
0.021


Lower limit of
1.06
1.26
1.10
1.05
1.24
0.983
1.11
1.19
1.10


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.97
3.47
3.55
2.98
3.43
2.97
3.21
3.30
3.24


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.44
1.53
1.55
1.34
1.58
1.48
1.63
1.64
1.65


p Value
0.12
0.063
0.064
0.22
0.047
0.091
0.047
0.034
0.027


Lower limit of
0.909
0.978
0.974
0.839
1.01
0.939
1.01
1.04
1.06


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.28
2.40
2.48
2.14
2.49
2.34
2.65
2.59
2.58


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.99
2.11
1.57
1.76
2.17
1.46
1.60
2.00
1.67


p Value
0.019
0.0087
0.090
0.054
0.0070
0.15
0.12
0.017
0.046


Lower limit of
1.12
1.21
0.933
0.990
1.24
0.876
0.887
1.13
1.01


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.54
3.68
2.64
3.14
3.82
2.44
2.88
3.52
2.77


95% CI
















TABLE 14.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3150
3430
3160
3350
3040
3470


Average
3450
4160
3500
4100
3430
4100


Stdev
1790
2750
1830
2710
1910
2640


p (t-test)

0.0098

0.028

0.018


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
14500
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
134
193
125
202
113
214







sCr only













Median
3130
3450
3130
3450
3110
3470


Average
3470
4170
3430
4190
3430
4170


Stdev
1860
2740
1790
2760
1800
2740


p (t-test)

0.0099

0.0054

0.0061


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
14500
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
139
188
137
190
133
194







UO only













Median
3080
3720
3090
3620
3020
3860


Average
3510
4600
3520
4480
3470
4470


Stdev
2030
2940
2050
2870
2070
2760


p (t-test)

1.3E−4

5.7E−4

2.2E−4


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
220
105
211
114
198
127












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.56
0.57
0.61
0.55
0.57
0.60
0.58
0.58
0.62


SE
0.032
0.032
0.034
0.032
0.032
0.033
0.033
0.032
0.032


p Value
0.044
0.026
0.0012
0.10
0.021
0.0034
0.016
0.017
2.9E−4


nCohort Recovered
134
139
220
125
137
211
113
133
198


nCohort Non-
193
188
105
202
190
114
214
194
127


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
78%
79%
84%
78%
79%
83%
79%
79%
83%


Specificity
29%
31%
29%
30%
31%
29%
33%
31%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
52%
52%
57%
51%
52%
56%
54%
53%
58%


Specificity
52%
53%
53%
51%
53%
53%
57%
53%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720


Sensitivity
30%
30%
32%
28%
30%
31%
28%
29%
31%


Specificity
81%
81%
78%
80%
82%
78%
80%
81%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.43
1.71
2.12
1.47
1.66
2.08
1.83
1.66
2.19


p Value
0.16
0.037
0.013
0.14
0.049
0.012
0.021
0.048
0.0057


Lower limit of
0.865
1.03
1.17
0.883
1.00
1.17
1.10
1.00
1.26


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.37
2.83
3.85
2.44
2.74
3.70
3.05
2.75
3.83


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.18
1.20
1.51
1.09
1.21
1.45
1.52
1.27
1.71


p Value
0.47
0.41
0.082
0.70
0.41
0.11
0.075
0.29
0.020


Lower limit of
0.757
0.776
0.948
0.699
0.776
0.916
0.959
0.816
1.09


95% CI


Upper limit of
1.83
1.87
2.42
1.71
1.87
2.29
2.40
1.98
2.68


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.83
1.84
1.72
1.57
1.92
1.55
1.49
1.80
1.71


p Value
0.027
0.023
0.041
0.097
0.016
0.096
0.15
0.031
0.038


Lower limit of
1.07
1.09
1.02
0.921
1.13
0.925
0.862
1.05
1.03


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.12
3.13
2.88
2.68
3.27
2.58
2.57
3.06
2.83


95% CI
















TABLE 14.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3090
3510
3080
3520
3070
3620


Average
3520
4330
3520
4320
3510
4320


Stdev
2090
2750
2110
2730
2110
2720


p (t-test)

0.0027

0.0028

0.0027


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
187
140
184
143
183
144







sCr only













Median
3130
3450
3140
3430
3140
3430


Average
3520
4200
3520
4190
3530
4170


Stdev
1810
2860
1820
2840
1820
2830


p (t-test)

0.010

0.012

0.016


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
14500
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
159
168
156
171
154
173







UO only













Median
3040
3790
3040
3720
3010
3890


Average
3480
4600
3480
4590
3440
4620


Stdev
2030
2890
2040
2860
2030
2840


p (t-test)

6.4E−5

6.5E−5

1.9E−5


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
215
110
212
113
209
116












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.56
0.62
0.59
0.56
0.62
0.59
0.55
0.63


SE
0.032
0.032
0.034
0.032
0.032
0.033
0.032
0.032
0.033


p Value
0.0081
0.071
3.9E−4
0.0063
0.072
2.7E−4
0.0052
0.094
4.6E−5


nCohort Recovered
187
159
215
184
156
212
183
154
209


nCohort Non-
140
168
110
143
171
113
144
173
116


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
81%
79%
85%
82%
79%
85%
82%
79%
85%


Specificity
30%
30%
30%
30%
29%
30%
31%
29%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
55%
52%
57%
55%
52%
58%
56%
52%
59%


Specificity
53%
52%
53%
54%
52%
54%
54%
52%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720


Sensitivity
31%
29%
32%
31%
29%
32%
31%
29%
34%


Specificity
79%
79%
78%
79%
79%
78%
79%
79%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.87
1.59
2.32
1.97
1.57
2.44
2.00
1.52
2.57


p Value
0.020
0.070
0.0055
0.012
0.080
0.0032
0.010
0.10
0.0018


Lower limit of
1.10
0.963
1.28
1.16
0.948
1.35
1.18
0.918
1.42


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.18
2.64
4.20
3.34
2.59
4.42
3.39
2.51
4.65


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.40
1.20
1.54
1.44
1.17
1.58
1.47
1.17
1.70


p Value
0.13
0.41
0.067
0.10
0.47
0.053
0.084
0.47
0.023


Lower limit of
0.905
0.778
0.970
0.927
0.759
0.994
0.950
0.759
1.07


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.18
1.85
2.45
2.23
1.81
2.50
2.28
1.81
2.69


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.68
1.57
1.67
1.71
1.60
1.69
1.68
1.55
1.96


p Value
0.043
0.081
0.052
0.037
0.070
0.046
0.044
0.092
0.010


Lower limit of
1.02
0.946
0.996
1.03
0.962
1.01
1.01
0.931
1.17


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.78
2.61
2.79
2.83
2.67
2.82
2.78
2.58
3.26


95% CI









Example 15. Use of Metalloproteinase Inhibitor 4 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 15.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
12.5
34.6
12.5
33.4
12.5
33.4


Average
27.4
227
26.4
224
26.5
221


Stdev
47.8
945
46.5
936
47.2
928


p (t-test)

0.029

0.032

0.038


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
108
209
104
213
100
217







sCr only













Median
13.3
34.9
13.3
34.9
13.3
34.9


Average
29.0
246
29.0
244
29.0
241


Stdev
46.7
989
47.0
984
47.3
979


p (t-test)

0.014

0.016

0.017


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
126
190
124
192
122
194







UO only













Median
18.5
39.3
18.1
39.3
18.1
36.7


Average
99.9
304
101
275
104
255


Stdev
623
1040
643
976
658
936


p (t-test)

0.033

0.059

0.094


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
222
93
208
107
198
117












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.67
0.65
0.69
0.67
0.66
0.69
0.67
0.64


SE
 0.030
 0.030
0.035
 0.030
 0.030
 0.033
 0.030
 0.030
0.033


p Value
 4.8E−10
3.2E−8
2.2E−5
 4.2E−10
3.7E−8
3.5E−6
 6.4E−10
2.9E−8
3.6E−5


nCohort Recovered
108   
126   
222
104   
124   
208   
100   
122   
198


nCohort Non-
209   
190   
93
213   
192   
107   
217   
194   
117


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36


Sensitivity
82%
81%
86%
82%
81%
86%
82%
81%
84%


Specificity
39%
33%
30%
39%
34%
31%
40%
34%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1 
23.6 
24.1
24.1 
23.6 
24.1 
24.1 
23.6 
24.1


Sensitivity
58%
58%
65%
58%
58%
64%
58%
58%
61%


Specificity
66%
63%
56%
66%
63%
57%
67%
63%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9 
60.8 
61.8
60.9 
60.8 
61.8 
60.9 
60.8 
61.8


Sensitivity
33%
35%
39%
33%
35%
37%
33%
35%
36%


Specificity
91%
90%
81%
91%
90%
81%
91%
90%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.96
2.07
2.60
3.00
2.15
2.73
3.04
2.23
2.24


p Value
5.2E−5
 0.0058
0.0041
4.5E−5
 0.0038
 0.0015
3.8E−5
 0.0024
0.0061


Lower limit of
1.75
1.23
1.36
1.77
1.28
1.47
1.79
1.33
1.26


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.00
3.46
5.00
5.08
3.60
5.07
5.17
3.74
3.99


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.69
2.36
2.30
2.75
2.37
2.29
2.81
2.39
1.97


p Value
6.0E−5
2.7E−4
0.0011
5.2E−5
2.6E−4
7.3E−4
4.5E−5
2.5E−4
0.0043


Lower limit of
1.66
1.49
1.39
1.68
1.49
1.41
1.71
1.50
1.24


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.36
3.75
3.80
4.48
3.77
3.69
4.62
3.80
3.14


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.94
5.17
2.63
5.28
5.00
2.59
4.92
4.84
2.44


p Value
1.1E−5
1.3E−6
3.9E−4
1.1E−5
2.1E−6
3.8E−4
2.5E−5
3.4E−6
7.9E−4


Lower limit of
2.42
2.66
1.54
2.52
2.57
1.53
2.34
2.49
1.45


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.1 
10.1 
4.48
11.1 
9.73
4.37
10.3 
9.41
4.10


95% CI
















TABLE 15.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
13.3
36.5
13.3
33.4
13.3
33.4


Average
29.4
257
29.6
254
28.6
249


Stdev
47.4
1010
47.7
1010
46.7
994


p (t-test)

0.0093

0.010

0.012


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
136
181
134
183
129
188







sCr only













Median
15.4
36.9
15.9
36.7
15.9
36.7


Average
30.5
274
30.7
272
30.6
269


Stdev
47.1
1050
47.2
1050
47.4
1040


p (t-test)

0.0050

0.0054

0.0060


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
149
168
148
169
146
171







UO only













Median
18.2
39.3
18.2
38.8
18.1
33.4


Average
107
297
108
282
111
254


Stdev
625
1060
633
1030
653
964


p (t-test)

0.050

0.067

0.12


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
226
89
220
95
207
108












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.68
0.67
0.65
0.68
0.67
0.64
0.68
0.67
0.63


SE
 0.030
 0.030
0.036
 0.030
 0.030
0.035
 0.030
 0.030
0.034


p Value
1.0E−9
1.6E−8
4.7E−5
1.5E−9
3.0E−8
7.1E−5
 7.1E−10
2.7E−8
1.7E−4


nCohort Recovered
136   
149   
226
134   
148   
220
129   
146   
207


nCohort Non-
181   
168   
89
183   
169   
95
188   
171   
108


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36


Sensitivity
83%
82%
88%
84%
82%
87%
84%
82%
86%


Specificity
36%
32%
30%
37%
32%
30%
37%
33%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1 
24.1 
24.1
24.1 
24.1 
24.1
24.1 
24.1 
24.1


Sensitivity
60%
60%
65%
60%
59%
63%
60%
59%
61%


Specificity
62%
60%
56%
63%
60%
55%
64%
60%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9 
60.9 
61.8
60.9 
60.9 
61.8
60.9 
60.9 
61.8


Sensitivity
36%
38%
36%
36%
38%
35%
36%
37%
33%


Specificity
90%
89%
79%
90%
89%
79%
90%
89%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.83
2.10
3.05
2.94
2.14
3.03
3.00
2.21
2.77


p Value
1.0E−4
 0.0051
0.0016
5.9E−5
 0.0042
0.0012
4.1E−5
 0.0028
0.0013


Lower limit of
1.68
1.25
1.53
1.74
1.27
1.55
1.77
1.31
1.49


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.79
3.53
6.10
4.98
3.59
5.92
5.07
3.72
5.16


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.47
2.24
2.36
2.47
2.19
2.13
2.57
2.19
1.96


p Value
1.1E−4
4.4E−4
9.6E−4
1.1E−4
6.5E−4
0.0027
6.2E−5
6.5E−4
0.0053


Lower limit of
1.56
1.43
1.42
1.57
1.39
1.30
1.62
1.40
1.22


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.89
3.52
3.92
3.91
3.43
3.50
4.08
3.43
3.16


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.00
5.12
2.14
4.84
5.03
2.01
4.94
4.86
1.91


p Value
5.6E−7
1.2E−7
0.0057
9.6E−7
1.7E−7
0.010
1.3E−6
3.0E−7
0.015


Lower limit of
2.66
2.79
1.25
2.57
2.75
1.18
2.59
2.65
1.13


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.39
9.37
3.67
9.08
9.21
3.43
9.43
8.90
3.22


95% CI
















TABLE 15.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
13.0
38.8
13.0
37.0
13.0
37.0


Average
31.8
280
32.0
277
31.4
271


Stdev
53.3
1060
53.6
1060
52.9
1050


p (t-test)

0.0041

0.0047

0.0056


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
154
163
152
165
148
169







sCr only













Median
14.3
38.2
14.5
37.0
14.7
37.0


Average
32.2
290
32.4
289
32.5
287


Stdev
52.3
1090
52.4
1080
52.6
1080


p (t-test)

0.0028

0.0030

0.0032


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
161
156
160
157
159
158







UO only













Median
18.1
38.8
18.2
37.8
18.1
33.4


Average
109
286
110
283
112
259


Stdev
628
1050
629
1040
645
986


p (t-test)

0.066

0.071

0.11


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
224
91
223
92
212
103












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.68
0.63
0.69
0.68
0.62
0.69
0.68
0.62


SE
 0.029
 0.030
0.036
 0.029
 0.030
0.036
 0.029
 0.030
0.034


p Value
 3.0E−11
 7.2E−10
3.1E−4
 9.6E−11
1.5E−9
5.7E−4
 1.0E−10
2.7E−9
6.4E−4


nCohort Recovered
154   
161   
224
152   
160   
223
148   
159   
212


nCohort Non-
163   
156   
91
165   
157   
92
169   
158   
103


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36


Sensitivity
85%
83%
87%
85%
83%
86%
85%
84%
84%


Specificity
35%
33%
30%
36%
33%
30%
36%
33%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1 
24.1 
24.1
24.1 
24.1 
24.1
24.1 
24.1 
24.1


Sensitivity
63%
62%
64%
62%
62%
63%
62%
61%
62%


Specificity
64%
61%
55%
63%
61%
55%
64%
61%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9 
60.9 
61.8
60.9 
60.9 
61.8
60.9 
60.9 
61.8


Sensitivity
37%
38%
33%
37%
38%
33%
37%
38%
32%


Specificity
88%
88%
78%
88%
88%
78%
88%
87%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.98
2.45
2.81
3.09
2.50
2.55
3.07
2.54
2.30


p Value
7.2E−5
9.9E−4
0.0026
4.3E−5
7.9E−4
0.0049
4.2E−5
6.3E−4
0.0074


Lower limit of
1.74
1.44
1.44
1.80
1.46
1.33
1.79
1.49
1.25


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.11
4.19
5.50
5.29
4.26
4.91
5.25
4.33
4.23


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.00
2.63
2.18
2.85
2.56
2.10
2.86
2.49
2.06


p Value
2.4E−6
3.0E−5
0.0024
6.8E−6
4.8E−5
0.0036
6.7E−6
7.7E−5
0.0033


Lower limit of
1.90
1.67
1.32
1.81
1.63
1.27
1.81
1.58
1.27


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.75
4.13
3.60
4.49
4.02
3.46
4.51
3.91
3.33


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.25
4.41
1.76
4.11
4.33
1.72
4.18
4.26
1.70


p Value
8.4E−7
3.2E−7
0.041
1.5E−6
4.3E−7
0.049
1.5E−6
5.9E−7
0.048


Lower limit of
2.39
2.50
1.02
2.31
2.45
1.00
2.33
2.41
1.00


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.56
7.78
3.01
7.30
7.64
2.95
7.50
7.51
2.88


95% CI
















TABLE 15.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
15.1
38.8
15.4
37.0
15.4
36.9


Average
36.0
298
36.4
293
35.9
287


Stdev
62.4
1110
62.9
1100
62.7
1090


p (t-test)

0.0024

0.0030

0.0037


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
453
9030
453
9030
453
9030


n (Patient)
168
149
165
152
161
156







sCr only













Median
15.9
37.0
16.3
37.0
16.3
37.0


Average
36.4
305
36.6
303
36.7
301


Stdev
61.8
1130
61.9
1120
62.1
1120


p (t-test)

0.0019

0.0021

0.0023


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
453
9030
453
9030
453
9030


n (Patient)
172
145
171
146
170
147







UO only













Median
18.2
39.1
18.1
38.8
18.1
36.7


Average
108
286
109
283
111
265


Stdev
630
1040
631
1040
642
995


p (t-test)

0.065

0.069

0.10


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
223
92
222
93
214
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.68
0.67
0.64
0.67
0.67
0.64
0.67
0.66
0.63


SE
0.030
0.031
0.035
0.030
0.031
0.035
0.030
0.031
0.035


p Value
2.6E−9
3.2E−8
1.1E−4
6.9E−9
5.9E−8
1.2E−4
8.2E−9
1.0E−7
1.9E−4


nCohort
168
172
223
165
171
222
161
170
214


Recovered


nCohort Non-
149
145
92
152
146
93
156
147
101


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36


Sensitivity
84%
83%
86%
84%
83%
86%
84%
83%
85%


Specificity
33%
31%
30%
33%
32%
30%
34%
32%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1


Sensitivity
63%
62%
64%
62%
62%
65%
62%
61%
63%


Specificity
61%
60%
56%
61%
60%
56%
61%
59%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.9
61.8
60.9
60.9
61.8
60.9
60.9
61.8


Sensitivity
38%
38%
35%
37%
38%
34%
37%
37%
34%


Specificity
86%
85%
79%
85%
85%
79%
86%
85%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.54
2.20
2.55
2.67
2.23
2.60
2.64
2.27
2.45


p Value
7.8E−4
0.0041
0.0049
4.0E−4
0.0034
0.0041
4.0E−4
0.0028
0.0048


Lower limit of
1.47
1.28
1.33
1.55
1.30
1.36
1.54
1.33
1.31


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.36
3.76
4.91
4.59
3.83
5.00
4.53
3.89
4.55


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.71
2.44
2.24
2.63
2.38
2.30
2.63
2.31
2.21


p Value
1.8E−5
1.1E−4
0.0016
3.0E−5
1.8E−4
0.0011
3.0E−5
2.8E−4
0.0014


Lower limit of
1.72
1.55
1.36
1.67
1.51
1.39
1.67
1.47
1.36


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.27
3.84
3.70
4.14
3.73
3.80
4.13
3.63
3.59


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.61
3.59
2.00
3.43
3.53
1.95
3.45
3.47
1.91


p Value
3.8E−6
3.5E−6
0.011
9.1E−6
4.8E−6
0.014
9.5E−6
6.4E−6
0.017


Lower limit of
2.10
2.09
1.17
1.99
2.06
1.14
2.00
2.02
1.12


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.23
6.17
3.41
5.90
6.06
3.34
5.98
5.95
3.23


95% CI
















TABLE 15.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
18.1
36.9
18.1
36.3
18.1
35.9


Average
98.8
267
99.6
263
100
261


Stdev
646
951
650
943
651
939


p (t-test)

0.063

0.070

0.074


Min
0.00110
0.00169
0.00110
0.00169
0.00110
0.00169


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
203
114
201
116
200
117







sCr only













Median
17.0
36.9
17.0
36.9
17.0
36.9


Average
41.1
325
41.1
325
41.1
325


Stdev
69.2
1180
69.2
1180
69.2
1180


p (t-test)

0.0012

0.0012

0.0012


Min
0.00110
0.00169
0.00110
0.00169
0.00110
0.00169


Max
453
9030
453
9030
453
9030


n (Patient)
185
132
185
132
185
132







UO only













Median
18.8
37.9
18.5
37.0
19.1
36.7


Average
103
287
103
284
104
279


Stdev
634
1010
635
1010
638
999


p (t-test)

0.051

0.054

0.061


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
217
98
216
99
214
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.65
0.63
0.63
0.65
0.63
0.62
0.65
0.63


SE
0.033
0.032
0.035
0.033
0.032
0.035
0.033
0.032
0.035


p Value
1.1E−4
2.2E−6
1.5E−4
1.4E−4
2.2E−6
1.5E−4
1.9E−4
2.2E−6
2.8E−4


nCohort
203
185
217
201
185
216
200
185
214


Recovered


nCohort Non-
114
132
98
116
132
99
117
132
101


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36
8.33
8.33
8.36


Sensitivity
82%
83%
85%
83%
83%
85%
83%
83%
85%


Specificity
29%
30%
29%
29%
30%
30%
30%
30%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1
24.1


Sensitivity
63%
62%
63%
63%
62%
64%
62%
62%
62%


Specificity
57%
58%
56%
57%
58%
56%
57%
58%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.9
61.8
60.9
60.9
61.8
60.9
60.9
61.8


Sensitivity
36%
38%
35%
35%
38%
34%
35%
38%
34%


Specificity
81%
84%
79%
81%
84%
79%
80%
84%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.93
2.06
2.31
1.99
2.06
2.36
2.03
2.06
2.45


p Value
0.024
0.0099
0.0082
0.017
0.0099
0.0069
0.015
0.0099
0.0048


Lower limit of
1.09
1.19
1.24
1.13
1.19
1.27
1.15
1.19
1.31


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.40
3.56
4.31
3.52
3.56
4.39
3.59
3.56
4.55


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.29
2.30
2.17
2.27
2.30
2.23
2.20
2.30
2.08


p Value
5.9E−4
3.6E−4
0.0019
6.1E−4
3.6E−4
0.0013
9.5E−4
3.6E−4
0.0031


Lower limit of
1.43
1.46
1.33
1.42
1.46
1.37
1.38
1.46
1.28


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.66
3.63
3.54
3.63
3.63
3.64
3.51
3.63
3.37


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.36
3.15
2.03
2.27
3.15
1.99
2.23
3.15
1.91


p Value
0.0011
1.9E−5
0.0088
0.0019
1.9E−5
0.011
0.0024
1.9E−5
0.017


Lower limit of
1.41
1.86
1.20
1.35
1.86
1.17
1.33
1.86
1.12


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.96
5.33
3.45
3.81
5.33
3.37
3.73
5.33
3.23


95% CI
















TABLE 15.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
2870
3520
2850
3520
2870
3510


Average
3160
4200
3150
4200
3170
4170


Stdev
1580
2680
1550
2670
1570
2660


p (t-test)

2.7E−4

2.6E−4

6.2E−4


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
9100
19700
9100
19700


n (Patient)
105
222
102
225
98
229







sCr only













Median
2950
3510
2920
3510
2870
3510


Average
3290
4200
3260
4210
3200
4230


Stdev
1660
2730
1640
2720
1540
2740


p (t-test)

0.0011

5.7E−4

1.9E−4


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9820
19700
9820
19700
9100
19700


n (Patient)
121
205
119
207
117
209







UO only













Median
3020
3940
3000
3940
3030
3910


Average
3470
4770
3410
4710
3410
4610


Stdev
1940
3070
1910
2980
1910
2920


p (t-test)

5.8E−6

3.0E−6

1.1E−5


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
226
99
213
112
202
123












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.61
0.64
0.63
0.62
0.64
0.63
0.62
0.63


SE
0.032
0.032
0.034
0.032
0.031
0.033
0.032
0.031
0.032


p Value
2.8E−5
7.4E−4
5.9E−5
2.3E−5
2.4E−4
1.3E−5
9.2E−5
8.3E−5
5.6E−5


nCohort
105
121
226
102
119
213
98
117
202


Recovered


nCohort Non-
222
205
99
225
207
112
229
209
123


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
82%
81%
85%
81%
81%
86%
81%
81%
84%


Specificity
39%
36%
29%
39%
36%
31%
39%
37%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
55%
55%
65%
56%
55%
64%
55%
56%
61%


Specificity
61%
58%
56%
62%
59%
57%
61%
60%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720


Sensitivity
30%
31%
35%
30%
31%
35%
30%
31%
34%


Specificity
86%
84%
79%
86%
85%
80%
86%
85%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.83
2.35
2.31
2.81
2.44
2.64
2.66
2.53
2.23


p Value
8.4E−5
0.0010
0.0081
9.8E−5
6.4E−4
0.0017
2.4E−4
3.8E−4
0.0055


Lower limit of
1.68
1.41
1.24
1.67
1.46
1.44
1.58
1.52
1.27


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.75
3.91
4.29
4.73
4.06
4.82
4.49
4.23
3.92


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.94
1.65
2.35
2.02
1.75
2.41
1.93
1.86
2.02


p Value
0.0061
0.030
6.3E−4
0.0040
0.016
2.6E−4
0.0075
0.0082
0.0025


Lower limit of
1.21
1.05
1.44
1.25
1.11
1.50
1.19
1.17
1.28


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.11
2.60
3.82
3.26
2.76
3.87
3.13
2.94
3.20


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.59
2.38
2.08
2.72
2.51
2.11
2.53
2.66
2.10


p Value
0.0025
0.0030
0.0059
0.0019
0.0019
0.0043
0.0040
0.0012
0.0042


Lower limit of
1.40
1.34
1.24
1.45
1.40
1.26
1.35
1.47
1.26


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.81
4.22
3.51
5.12
4.49
3.53
4.77
4.80
3.49


95% CI
















TABLE 15.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
2930
3560
2920
3630
2980
3520


Average
3230
4310
3210
4320
3250
4270


Stdev
1540
2810
1520
2800
1530
2790


p (t-test)

6.5E−5

3.8E−5

1.7E−4


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
9100
19700
9100
19700


n (Patient)
134
193
133
194
128
199







sCr only













Median
2980
3520
2950
3540
2920
3540


Average
3310
4320
3290
4330
3240
4360


Stdev
1610
2850
1590
2850
1510
2860


p (t-test)

1.5E−4

8.7E−5

2.7E−5


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9820
19700
9820
19700
9100
19700


n (Patient)
146
181
145
182
143
184







UO only













Median
3060
3890
3040
3930
3050
3920


Average
3530
4670
3500
4670
3460
4600


Stdev
2060
2970
2060
2910
2040
2840


p (t-test)

9.7E−5

5.0E−5

3.9E−5


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
231
94
225
100
210
115












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.62
0.61
0.62
0.63
0.62
0.63
0.61
0.62
0.63


SE
0.031
0.031
0.035
0.031
0.031
0.034
0.031
0.031
0.033


p Value
6.4E−5
2.9E−4
4.3E−4
2.8E−5
1.4E−4
1.1E−4
2.5E−4
5.3E−5
8.3E−5


nCohort
134
146
231
133
145
225
128
143
210


Recovered


nCohort Non-
193
181
94
194
182
100
199
184
115


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
82%
82%
86%
82%
82%
87%
81%
82%
84%


Specificity
35%
34%
29%
35%
34%
30%
34%
34%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
56%
56%
62%
56%
56%
62%
55%
57%
60%


Specificity
58%
57%
55%
59%
57%
55%
58%
58%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720


Sensitivity
32%
32%
33%
32%
32%
34%
31%
33%
35%


Specificity
84%
84%
78%
85%
84%
79%
84%
85%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.44
2.27
2.60
2.48
2.30
2.90
2.22
2.39
2.31


p Value
6.1E−4
0.0017
0.0040
4.8E−4
0.0013
0.0013
0.0021
8.6E−4
0.0049


Lower limit of
1.46
1.36
1.36
1.49
1.38
1.52
1.34
1.43
1.29


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.06
3.77
4.98
4.14
3.84
5.54
3.69
3.98
4.14


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.77
1.66
1.93
1.82
1.71
2.00
1.69
1.80
1.85


p Value
0.012
0.023
0.0084
0.0087
0.017
0.0047
0.021
0.0092
0.0089


Lower limit of
1.13
1.07
1.18
1.16
1.10
1.24
1.08
1.16
1.17


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.76
2.58
3.16
2.84
2.65
3.24
2.65
2.80
2.94


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.49
2.40
1.74
2.65
2.54
1.90
2.44
2.66
2.13


p Value
0.0013
0.0014
0.041
6.8E−4
7.5E−4
0.016
0.0019
4.7E−4
0.0037


Lower limit of
1.43
1.40
1.02
1.51
1.48
1.13
1.39
1.54
1.28


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.34
4.10
2.95
4.66
4.38
3.20
4.29
4.61
3.56


95% CI
















TABLE 15.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3100
3490
3080
3510
3120
3470


Average
3460
4230
3430
4250
3470
4200


Stdev
1830
2810
1810
2800
1820
2790


p (t-test)

0.0042

0.0021

0.0060


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
14500
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
154
173
152
175
148
179







sCr only













Median
3110
3480
3100
3490
3090
3500


Average
3500
4230
3480
4240
3440
4280


Stdev
1870
2830
1860
2820
1790
2850


p (t-test)

0.0060

0.0042

0.0017


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
14500
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
161
166
160
167
159
168







UO only













Median
3080
3720
3050
3720
3070
3720


Average
3540
4640
3520
4670
3490
4580


Stdev
2050
2980
2040
2970
2040
2890


p (t-test)

1.7E−4

6.3E−5

1.1E−4


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
230
95
228
97
215
110












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.57
0.61
0.59
0.58
0.62
0.57
0.58
0.62


SE
0.031
0.032
0.035
0.031
0.031
0.035
0.032
0.031
0.034


p Value
0.015
0.020
0.0012
0.0062
0.013
3.8E−4
0.022
0.0075
4.7E−4


nCohort
154
161
230
152
160
228
148
159
215


Recovered


nCohort Non-
173
166
95
175
167
97
179
168
110


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
80%
81%
85%
81%
81%
86%
80%
81%
85%


Specificity
31%
31%
29%
32%
31%
29%
31%
31%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
53%
53%
59%
54%
53%
60%
53%
54%
58%


Specificity
53%
53%
53%
54%
53%
54%
53%
53%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720


Sensitivity
29%
30%
32%
30%
30%
33%
29%
30%
33%


Specificity
79%
80%
77%
80%
80%
78%
80%
81%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.85
1.89
2.38
1.91
1.92
2.47
1.79
1.95
2.32


p Value
0.017
0.015
0.0075
0.012
0.012
0.0052
0.024
0.010
0.0055


Lower limit of
1.12
1.13
1.26
1.15
1.15
1.31
1.08
1.17
1.28


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.07
3.14
4.49
3.18
3.19
4.65
2.97
3.25
4.20


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.29
1.26
1.65
1.36
1.29
1.74
1.23
1.33
1.63


p Value
0.25
0.29
0.042
0.17
0.25
0.024
0.35
0.20
0.039


Lower limit of
0.837
0.817
1.02
0.879
0.837
1.08
0.797
0.858
1.02


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.00
1.95
2.68
2.10
2.00
2.82
1.91
2.05
2.59


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.55
1.62
1.58
1.72
1.71
1.75
1.61
1.80
1.79


p Value
0.092
0.061
0.092
0.039
0.039
0.037
0.069
0.024
0.027


Lower limit of
0.931
0.978
0.928
1.03
1.03
1.03
0.963
1.08
1.07


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.58
2.70
2.69
2.88
2.85
2.97
2.69
3.00
2.99


95% CI
















TABLE 15.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3080
3510
3040
3520
3090
3500


Average
3460
4290
3430
4310
3460
4250


Stdev
1790
2890
1780
2870
1790
2850


p (t-test)

0.0020

9.9E−4

0.0030


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
14500
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
166
161
163
164
159
168







sCr only













Median
3110
3500
3100
3510
3090
3510


Average
3510
4250
3490
4270
3460
4300


Stdev
1850
2880
1840
2880
1780
2900


p (t-test)

0.0056

0.0038

0.0015


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
14500
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
169
158
168
159
167
160







UO only













Median
3050
3860
3040
3790
3070
3720


Average
3500
4690
3500
4680
3500
4590


Stdev
2020
2980
2030
2960
2040
2910


p (t-test)

3.3E−5

3.6E−5

1.1E−4


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
226
99
225
100
217
108












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.57
0.63
0.59
0.57
0.63
0.58
0.58
0.62


SE
0.032
0.032
0.035
0.031
0.032
0.034
0.032
0.032
0.034


p Value
0.013
0.031
3.0E−4
0.0046
0.021
2.7E−4
0.017
0.012
6.2E−4


nCohort
166
169
226
163
168
225
159
167
217


Recovered


nCohort Non-
161
158
99
164
159
100
168
160
108


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
80%
80%
86%
80%
80%
86%
80%
80%
85%


Specificity
30%
30%
30%
31%
30%
30%
30%
30%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
54%
53%
59%
55%
53%
59%
54%
54%
57%


Specificity
54%
53%
54%
55%
53%
54%
53%
53%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720


Sensitivity
29%
29%
33%
30%
30%
33%
29%
30%
32%


Specificity
79%
79%
78%
80%
79%
78%
79%
80%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.74
1.65
2.56
1.83
1.68
2.60
1.70
1.71
2.46


p Value
0.034
0.053
0.0036
0.021
0.046
0.0030
0.039
0.039
0.0036


Lower limit of
1.04
0.994
1.36
1.10
1.01
1.38
1.03
1.03
1.34


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.89
2.75
4.82
3.04
2.80
4.91
2.83
2.85
4.50


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.36
1.26
1.63
1.46
1.29
1.67
1.33
1.33
1.55


p Value
0.17
0.29
0.045
0.087
0.25
0.034
0.20
0.20
0.066


Lower limit of
0.880
0.818
1.01
0.946
0.838
1.04
0.858
0.859
0.972


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.10
1.95
2.63
2.26
2.00
2.70
2.05
2.05
2.47


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.54
1.52
1.81
1.68
1.59
1.77
1.57
1.68
1.73


p Value
0.092
0.10
0.027
0.046
0.070
0.033
0.081
0.045
0.037


Lower limit of
0.932
0.917
1.07
1.01
0.963
1.05
0.946
1.01
1.03


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.56
2.51
3.05
2.79
2.64
2.99
2.61
2.78
2.91


95% CI
















TABLE 15.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3100
3510
3080
3520
3090
3510


Average
3560
4390
3550
4390
3550
4380


Stdev
2090
2830
2100
2810
2100
2800


p (t-test)

0.0026

0.0020

0.0025


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
204
123
202
125
201
126







sCr only













Median
3080
3510
3080
3510
3080
3510


Average
3480
4370
3480
4370
3480
4370


Stdev
1770
3010
1770
3010
1770
3010


p (t-test)

8.8E−4

8.8E−4

8.8E−4


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
14500
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
184
143
184
143
184
143







UO only













Median
3040
3860
3040
3790
3040
3790


Average
3470
4670
3470
4660
3470
4650


Stdev
2030
2910
2030
2900
2030
2880


p (t-test)

2.3E−5

2.5E−5

2.3E−5


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
220
105
219
106
217
108












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.58
0.63
0.59
0.58
0.63
0.59
0.58
0.63


SE
0.033
0.032
0.034
0.033
0.032
0.034
0.033
0.032
0.034


p Value
0.011
0.013
1.2E−4
0.0064
0.013
1.1E−4
0.0079
0.013
8.0E−5


nCohort
204
184
220
202
184
219
201
184
217


Recovered


nCohort Non-
123
143
105
125
143
106
126
143
108


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
83%
82%
87%
83%
82%
87%
83%
82%
87%


Specificity
30%
30%
30%
30%
30%
31%
30%
30%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
55%
55%
58%
56%
55%
58%
56%
55%
58%


Specificity
53%
53%
54%
53%
53%
54%
53%
53%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720
4720


Sensitivity
29%
30%
32%
30%
30%
32%
29%
30%
32%


Specificity
77%
79%
78%
78%
79%
78%
78%
79%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.07
1.97
2.85
2.14
1.97
2.90
2.18
1.97
3.00


p Value
0.010
0.012
0.0012
0.0073
0.012
9.6E−4
0.0061
0.012
6.5E−4


Lower limit of
1.19
1.16
1.51
1.23
1.16
1.54
1.25
1.16
1.60


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.62
3.34
5.35
3.74
3.34
5.45
3.80
3.34
5.64


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.39
1.37
1.60
1.46
1.37
1.65
1.42
1.37
1.64


p Value
0.15
0.16
0.049
0.097
0.16
0.037
0.12
0.16
0.038


Lower limit of
0.887
0.882
1.00
0.934
0.882
1.03
0.910
0.882
1.03


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.18
2.12
2.57
2.29
2.12
2.63
2.23
2.12
2.61


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.42
1.60
1.72
1.47
1.60
1.68
1.44
1.60
1.73


p Value
0.18
0.067
0.041
0.14
0.067
0.049
0.16
0.067
0.037


Lower limit of
0.855
0.967
1.02
0.883
0.967
1.00
0.868
0.967
1.03


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.36
2.64
2.88
2.44
2.64
2.83
2.39
2.64
2.91


95% CI









Example 16. Use of Metalloproteinase Inhibitor 4 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 16.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
16.3
51.9
16.5
61.5
17.0
56.6


Average
37.9
382
37.4
440
78.7
394


Stdev
62.5
1270
60.8
1370
589
1120


p (t-test)

1.3E−4

1.6E−5

0.0014


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
9030
7570


n (Patient)
205
112
221
96
236
81







sCr only













Median
16.9
48.7
16.9
56.6
18.2
53.0


Average
38.8
392
38.9
449
80.3
389


Stdev
62.9
1290
61.8
1390
590
1130


p (t-test)

1.0E−4

1.4E−5

0.0019


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
9030
7570


n (Patient)
208
108
223
93
235
81







UO only













Median
20.5
54.3
20.7
55.6
20.8
57.9


Average
99.1
580
98.5
624
98.3
640


Stdev
568
1540
565
1590
564
1610


p (t-test)

2.2E−4

9.2E−5

6.7E−5


Min
0.00110
1.76
0.00110
1.76
0.00110
1.76


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
275
40
278
37
279
36












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.71
0.69
0.69
0.74
0.72
0.69
0.73
0.70
0.70


SE
0.031
0.032
0.049
0.032
0.033
0.050
0.035
0.036
0.051


p Value
 2.1E−11
1.8E−9
8.2E−5
 6.9E−14
 4.2E−11
1.3E−4
 2.0E−11
3.0E−8
1.2E−4


nCohort Non-
205
208
275
221
223
278
236
235
279


persistent


nCohort
112
108
40
96
93
37
81
81
36


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36


Sensitivity
86%
84%
88%
89%
87%
86%
89%
86%
86%


Specificity
31%
30%
27%
31%
30%
27%
30%
29%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1


Sensitivity
71%
69%
80%
74%
72%
78%
77%
73%
78%


Specificity
61%
60%
54%
60%
59%
54%
59%
58%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8


Sensitivity
46%
45%
45%
50%
48%
46%
48%
46%
47%


Specificity
86%
86%
78%
86%
85%
78%
83%
82%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.66
2.27
2.58
3.43
2.90
2.32
3.37
2.59
2.24


p Value
0.0016
0.0070
0.057
4.6E−4
0.0019
0.092
0.0014
0.0073
0.11


Lower limit of
1.45
1.25
0.973
1.72
1.48
0.872
1.60
1.29
0.839


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.88
4.13
6.83
6.85
5.67
6.18
7.12
5.19
5.97


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.74
3.21
4.73
4.29
3.74
4.19
4.68
3.68
4.01


p Value
1.6E−7
3.3E−6
1.7E−4
6.9E−8
8.9E−7
6.0E−4
1.5E−7
3.9E−6
9.0E−4


Lower limit of
2.28
1.97
2.10
2.53
2.21
1.85
2.63
2.12
1.77


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.13
5.25
10.6
7.29
6.32
9.48
8.32
6.41
9.11


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.07
4.93
2.87
5.91
5.21
2.96
4.42
3.86
3.13


p Value
4.0E−9
7.8E−9
0.0025
 2.1E−10
3.2E−9
0.0026
1.3E−7
1.5E−6
0.0017


Lower limit of
2.95
2.87
1.45
3.41
3.02
1.46
2.55
2.23
1.54


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.72
8.47
5.69
10.2
9.00
6.00
7.66
6.70
6.39


95% CI
















TABLE 16.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
16.3
43.9
16.3
56.6
16.5
56.1


Average
35.1
336
34.1
385
78.4
340


Stdev
57.4
1180
55.3
1260
611
1030


p (t-test)

5.9E−4

9.1E−5

0.0052


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
9030
7570


n (Patient)
186
131
204
113
219
98







sCr only













Median
16.9
42.2
16.7
51.9
17.0
46.3


Average
37.9
348
36.9
389
81.6
332


Stdev
60.8
1210
59.2
1280
612
1030


p (t-test)

4.7E−4

1.0E−4

0.0075


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
9030
7570


n (Patient)
192
124
206
110
218
98







UO only













Median
20.0
43.9
20.4
50.8
20.5
51.9


Average
101
416
100
443
100
451


Stdev
588
1280
584
1330
583
1340


p (t-test)

0.0048

0.0027

0.0023


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
256
59
260
55
261
54












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.67
0.66
0.73
0.71
0.66
0.73
0.69
0.66


SE
0.030
0.032
0.042
0.031
0.032
0.043
0.032
0.034
0.043


p Value
 6.6E−11
3.6E−8
1.0E−4
 2.6E−14
 8.9E−11
1.4E−4
 1.3E−12
2.5E−8
1.4E−4


nCohort Non-
186
192
256
204
206
260
219
218
261


persistent


nCohort
131
124
59
113
110
55
98
98
54


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36


Sensitivity
85%
83%
86%
87%
85%
85%
88%
86%
85%


Specificity
32%
30%
28%
31%
31%
27%
31%
30%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1


Sensitivity
66%
65%
71%
72%
69%
71%
73%
68%
70%


Specificity
61%
59%
55%
62%
60%
54%
60%
58%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8


Sensitivity
43%
42%
41%
48%
45%
42%
47%
43%
43%


Specificity
87%
86%
79%
87%
86%
78%
84%
83%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.58
2.12
2.45
2.99
2.59
2.21
3.16
2.55
2.15


p Value
0.0011
0.0086
0.027
5.3E−4
0.0021
0.052
7.5E−4
0.0039
0.061


Lower limit of
1.46
1.21
1.11
1.61
1.41
0.994
1.62
1.35
0.967


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.55
3.72
5.41
5.54
4.75
4.90
6.17
4.81
4.78


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.13
2.66
2.98
4.09
3.38
2.89
4.20
3.02
2.79


p Value
1.7E−6
4.1E−5
5.0E−4
2.8E−8
1.2E−6
9.9E−4
7.8E−8
1.7E−5
0.0015


Lower limit of
1.96
1.67
1.61
2.49
2.07
1.54
2.49
1.82
1.48


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.00
4.24
5.51
6.72
5.52
5.43
7.09
4.99
5.25


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.04
4.41
2.51
6.27
5.09
2.62
4.81
3.67
2.72


p Value
8.7E−9
7.5E−8
0.0026
 7.7E−11
4.4E−9
0.0021
1.1E−8
1.8E−6
0.0015


Lower limit of
2.90
2.57
1.38
3.61
2.95
1.42
2.81
2.15
1.47


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.74
7.58
4.56
10.9
8.76
4.83
8.26
6.26
5.02


95% CI
















TABLE 16.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
15.8
42.0
16.0
53.0
16.3
51.9


Average
33.1
315
32.1
350
79.7
305


Stdev
52.8
1140
51.2
1200
631
967


p (t-test)

0.0012

3.0E−4

0.013


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
9030
7570


n (Patient)
175
142
190
127
205
112







sCr only













Median
16.4
42.0
16.3
46.5
17.0
45.0


Average
34.5
329
34.8
360
81.7
309


Stdev
53.5
1170
54.9
1230
626
985


p (t-test)

7.6E−4

2.5E−4

0.013


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
9030
7570


n (Patient)
182
134
195
121
208
108







UO only













Median
19.1
40.3
19.6
47.4
19.6
47.4


Average
103
365
101
391
101
391


Stdev
600
1190
594
1240
594
1240


p (t-test)

0.013

0.0075

0.0075


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
246
69
251
64
251
64












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.68
0.65
0.72
0.70
0.66
0.71
0.68
0.66


SE
0.030
0.031
0.039
0.030
0.031
0.040
0.031
0.033
0.040


p Value
 9.5E−11
9.9E−9
1.3E−4
 4.7E−14
 4.9E−11
1.0E−4
 1.8E−11
1.9E−8
1.0E−4


nCohort Non-
175
182
246
190
195
251
205
208
251


persistent


nCohort
142
134
69
127
121
64
112
108
64


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36


Sensitivity
85%
83%
86%
87%
85%
84%
87%
85%
84%


Specificity
33%
31%
28%
33%
31%
27%
31%
30%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1


Sensitivity
65%
64%
70%
69%
68%
70%
70%
67%
70%


Specificity
62%
60%
55%
63%
61%
55%
60%
59%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8


Sensitivity
41%
41%
39%
45%
44%
41%
44%
42%
41%


Specificity
87%
87%
79%
88%
87%
79%
85%
84%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.63
2.14
2.30
3.13
2.60
2.05
2.94
2.50
2.05


p Value
6.0E−4
0.0064
0.024
1.6E−4
0.0013
0.054
6.5E−4
0.0031
0.054


Lower limit of
1.51
1.24
1.11
1.73
1.45
0.987
1.58
1.36
0.987


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.58
3.71
4.75
5.68
4.68
4.25
5.45
4.59
4.25


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.13
2.74
2.83
3.78
3.29
2.89
3.51
2.84
2.89


p Value
1.2E−6
1.9E−5
3.6E−4
4.9E−8
1.0E−6
4.3E−4
5.2E−7
2.6E−5
4.3E−4


Lower limit of
1.98
1.73
1.60
2.34
2.04
1.60
2.15
1.75
1.60


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.97
4.34
5.00
6.10
5.31
5.22
5.74
4.61
5.22


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.80
4.58
2.40
5.91
5.07
2.56
4.37
3.66
2.56


p Value
3.6E−8
5.9E−8
0.0027
 4.6E−10
6.2E−9
0.0016
6.4E−8
1.7E−6
0.0016


Lower limit of
2.75
2.64
1.35
3.38
2.93
1.43
2.56
2.15
1.43


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.39
7.95
4.25
10.3
8.76
4.58
7.45
6.21
4.58


95% CI
















TABLE 16.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
15.8
42.0
16.3
51.9
16.3
48.7


Average
32.9
311
32.2
347
36.2
373


Stdev
53.0
1130
51.3
1190
59.1
1250


p (t-test)

0.0013

3.4E−4

1.6E−4


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
173
144
189
128
201
116







sCr only













Median
16.7
41.1
16.3
46.3
17.0
45.0


Average
34.8
324
33.8
354
37.6
381


Stdev
53.8
1160
52.5
1210
59.9
1270


p (t-test)

9.2E−4

3.0E−4

1.4E−4


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
180
136
192
124
204
112







UO only













Median
18.2
42.1
18.8
47.4
18.8
47.4


Average
104
337
102
363
102
363


Stdev
608
1140
601
1180
601
1180


p (t-test)

0.022

0.013

0.013


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
239
76
245
70
245
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.67
0.66
0.72
0.70
0.66
0.71
0.69
0.66


SE
0.030
0.031
0.038
0.030
0.031
0.039
0.031
0.032
0.039


p Value
 8.7E−11
3.9E−8
2.5E−5
 1.6E−13
 6.9E−11
3.7E−5
 3.8E−11
6.9E−9
3.7E−5


nCohort Non-
173
180
239
189
192
245
201
204
245


persistent


nCohort
144
136
76
128
124
70
116
112
70


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36


Sensitivity
84%
82%
86%
86%
85%
84%
86%
85%
84%


Specificity
32%
31%
28%
32%
31%
28%
31%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1


Sensitivity
65%
63%
70%
69%
67%
70%
68%
66%
70%


Specificity
62%
60%
56%
62%
61%
56%
60%
59%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8


Sensitivity
41%
40%
39%
45%
44%
40%
43%
42%
40%


Specificity
88%
87%
79%
88%
87%
79%
85%
84%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.52
2.05
2.35
2.91
2.51
2.06
2.85
2.44
2.06


p Value
9.5E−4
0.0094
0.016
3.4E−4
0.0017
0.043
7.0E−4
0.0034
0.043


Lower limit of
1.46
1.19
1.17
1.62
1.41
1.02
1.56
1.34
1.02


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.36
3.53
4.72
5.22
4.47
4.16
5.23
4.43
4.16


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.12
2.58
2.94
3.66
3.16
2.91
3.23
2.78
2.91


p Value
1.3E−6
5.1E−5
1.3E−4
9.2E−8
1.9E−6
2.4E−4
1.9E−6
3.0E−5
2.4E−4


Lower limit of
1.97
1.63
1.69
2.27
1.97
1.65
1.99
1.72
1.65


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.95
4.08
5.11
5.88
5.07
5.15
5.23
4.50
5.15


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.02
4.41
2.53
5.79
5.15
2.54
4.32
3.89
2.54


p Value
2.1E−8
1.2E−7
0.0011
 6.9E−10
5.2E−9
0.0013
8.1E−8
5.7E−7
0.0013


Lower limit of
2.86
2.55
1.45
3.32
2.97
1.44
2.53
2.28
1.44


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.83
7.65
4.41
10.1
8.93
4.48
7.37
6.62
4.48


95% CI
















TABLE 16.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
15.8
41.1
15.8
50.8
16.3
46.3


Average
32.4
304
31.4
336
36.1
362


Stdev
52.7
1110
50.9
1170
59.5
1230


p (t-test)

0.0017

4.8E−4

2.5E−4


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
169
148
184
133
197
120







sCr only













Median
16.4
40.2
16.3
45.0
16.7
43.2


Average
34.4
317
33.4
345
37.3
370


Stdev
53.5
1140
52.2
1190
59.8
1250


p (t-test)

0.0012

4.1E−4

2.0E−4


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
176
140
188
128
200
116







UO only













Median
18.1
46.1
18.2
48.4
18.2
48.4


Average
97.3
342
96.6
354
96.6
354


Stdev
611
1110
607
1130
607
1130


p (t-test)

0.014

0.011

0.011


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
234
81
237
78
237
78












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.67
0.68
0.72
0.70
0.68
0.71
0.68
0.68


SE
0.030
0.031
0.036
0.029
0.031
0.037
0.031
0.032
0.037


p Value
 8.1E−11
3.4E−8
1.2E−6
 2.5E−14
 6.5E−11
1.6E−6
 3.6E−11
7.2E−9
1.6E−6


nCohort Non-
169
176
234
184
188
237
197
200
237


persistent


nCohort
148
140
81
133
128
78
120
116
78


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36


Sensitivity
84%
82%
86%
86%
84%
86%
86%
84%
86%


Specificity
33%
31%
29%
33%
31%
29%
31%
30%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1


Sensitivity
65%
63%
70%
69%
66%
71%
68%
66%
71%


Specificity
63%
60%
57%
64%
61%
57%
61%
59%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8


Sensitivity
41%
40%
41%
44%
43%
41%
42%
41%
41%


Specificity
88%
87%
80%
89%
87%
80%
85%
84%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.49
2.04
2.61
2.90
2.47
2.45
2.78
2.39
2.45


p Value
9.7E−4
0.0096
0.0069
2.8E−4
0.0018
0.012
7.4E−4
0.0036
0.012


Lower limit of
1.45
1.19
1.30
1.63
1.40
1.22
1.54
1.33
1.22


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.29
3.49
5.23
5.16
4.36
4.92
5.04
4.29
4.92


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.11
2.56
3.13
3.92
3.11
3.11
3.36
2.73
3.11


p Value
1.3E−6
5.4E−5
3.8E−5
1.7E−8
2.1E−6
5.3E−5
7.1E−7
3.4E−5
5.3E−5


Lower limit of
1.96
1.62
1.82
2.44
1.95
1.79
2.08
1.70
1.79


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.92
4.05
5.38
6.30
4.98
5.39
5.43
4.40
5.39


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.08
4.43
2.81
6.19
5.15
2.81
4.28
3.85
2.81


p Value
2.4E−8
1.3E−7
2.2E−4
 3.4E−10
6.4E−9
2.5E−4
1.0E−7
6.9E−7
2.5E−4


Lower limit of
2.87
2.55
1.62
3.50
2.96
1.62
2.51
2.26
1.62


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.99
7.71
4.86
10.9
8.95
4.89
7.31
6.55
4.89


95% CI
















TABLE 16.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3120
3720
3140
3810
3150
3810


Average
3490
4520
3560
4520
3630
4500


Stdev
1640
3270
1820
3280
2090
3090


p (t-test)

2.0E−4

8.7E−4

0.0039


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9820
19700
14500
19700
19700
18800


n (Patient)
206
121
222
105
238
89







sCr only













Median
3100
3620
3090
3860
3120
3670


Average
3470
4540
3530
4580
3620
4490


Stdev
1630
3310
1810
3300
2080
3080


p (t-test)

1.1E−4

2.7E−4

0.0035


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9820
19700
14500
19700
19700
18800


n (Patient)
208
118
223
103
236
90







UO only













Median
3140
4580
3150
4610
3140
4750


Average
3580
5670
3580
5740
3570
5940


Stdev
2020
3670
2010
3740
2010
3720


p (t-test)

5.0E−8

3.4E−8

2.5E−9


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
281
44
283
42
285
40












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.58
0.69
0.57
0.59
0.69
0.57
0.57
0.72


SE
0.033
0.033
0.047
0.034
0.035
0.048
0.036
0.036
0.048


p Value
0.022
0.018
5.4E−5
0.036
0.013
8.5E−5
0.048
0.039
5.3E−6


nCohort Non-
206
208
281
222
223
283
238
236
285


persistent


nCohort
121
118
44
105
103
42
89
90
40


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
79%
79%
91%
80%
80%
90%
80%
79%
95%


Specificity
28%
27%
27%
27%
27%
27%
27%
27%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
56%
56%
68%
56%
57%
67%
57%
57%
70%


Specificity
53%
53%
53%
53%
53%
52%
53%
53%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720


Sensitivity
33%
34%
45%
33%
35%
48%
33%
33%
50%


Specificity
80%
80%
78%
79%
79%
78%
78%
78%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.47
1.40
3.77
1.52
1.47
3.55
1.45
1.36
7.29


p Value
0.16
0.21
0.014
0.15
0.18
0.019
0.22
0.30
0.0071


Lower limit of
0.860
0.821
1.31
0.864
0.838
1.23
0.803
0.760
1.72


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.51
2.40
10.9
2.66
2.58
10.3
2.62
2.44
30.9


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.47
1.45
2.38
1.43
1.53
2.19
1.48
1.45
2.59


p Value
0.094
0.11
0.012
0.13
0.075
0.024
0.11
0.14
0.0090


Lower limit of
0.936
0.922
1.21
0.896
0.958
1.11
0.909
0.888
1.27


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.31
2.29
4.69
2.28
2.46
4.34
2.43
2.36
5.30


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.93
2.03
2.94
1.86
2.07
3.24
1.69
1.77
3.60


p Value
0.011
0.0066
0.0013
0.019
0.0061
5.6E−4
0.057
0.037
2.3E−4


Lower limit of
1.16
1.22
1.53
1.11
1.23
1.66
0.985
1.04
1.82


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.21
3.37
5.68
3.13
3.47
6.32
2.89
3.02
7.10


95% CI
















TABLE 16.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3110
3720
3120
3810
3140
3770


Average
3420
4470
3510
4470
3600
4420


Stdev
1590
3130
1800
3120
2090
2930


p (t-test)

9.5E−5

4.3E−4

0.0035


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9820
19700
14500
19700
19700
18800


n (Patient)
187
140
204
123
219
108







sCr only













Median
3100
3620
3090
3810
3130
3520


Average
3420
4490
3490
4480
3600
4380


Stdev
1580
3180
1790
3140
2090
2930


p (t-test)

8.1E−5

3.4E−4

0.0059


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9820
19700
14500
19700
19700
18800


n (Patient)
192
134
205
121
217
109







UO only













Median
3140
3990
3140
4150
3130
4350


Average
3570
5020
3570
5090
3560
5210


Stdev
2040
3300
2030
3360
2030
3360


p (t-test)

1.2E−5

5.8E−6

1.2E−6


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
260
65
263
62
265
60












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.59
0.59
0.64
0.58
0.59
0.64
0.58
0.57
0.66


SE
0.032
0.032
0.040
0.033
0.033
0.041
0.034
0.034
0.041


p Value
0.0062
0.0078
7.5E−4
0.010
0.0084
6.1E−4
0.025
0.039
1.0E−4


nCohort Non-
187
192
260
204
205
263
219
217
265


persistent


nCohort
140
134
65
123
121
62
108
109
60


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
80%
80%
88%
81%
81%
89%
81%
81%
92%


Specificity
29%
29%
28%
29%
29%
28%
28%
28%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
56%
55%
62%
56%
56%
61%
56%
55%
63%


Specificity
54%
54%
53%
53%
54%
52%
53%
53%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720


Sensitivity
32%
32%
35%
33%
32%
37%
31%
30%
38%


Specificity
80%
80%
77%
79%
79%
78%
78%
77%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.62
1.59
2.78
1.77
1.72
3.08
1.74
1.64
4.42


p Value
0.068
0.083
0.011
0.040
0.051
0.0081
0.056
0.084
0.0022


Lower limit of
0.964
0.941
1.27
1.03
0.998
1.34
0.985
0.935
1.70


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.73
2.69
6.12
3.05
2.97
7.06
3.07
2.87
11.5


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.48
1.43
1.78
1.47
1.49
1.75
1.46
1.36
1.93


p Value
0.082
0.12
0.042
0.096
0.086
0.053
0.11
0.20
0.025


Lower limit of
0.951
0.916
1.02
0.935
0.945
0.993
0.919
0.854
1.09


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.29
2.22
3.11
2.30
2.33
3.08
2.32
2.15
3.45


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.92
1.85
1.87
1.86
1.79
2.04
1.64
1.49
2.17


p Value
0.011
0.017
0.037
0.017
0.025
0.018
0.062
0.13
0.011


Lower limit of
1.16
1.12
1.04
1.12
1.08
1.13
0.976
0.887
1.20


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.18
3.07
3.35
3.09
2.98
3.68
2.75
2.50
3.94


95% CI
















TABLE 16.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3100
3510
3100
3520
3140
3620


Average
3400
4420
3460
4440
3550
4400


Stdev
1530
3080
1740
3060
2060
2870


p (t-test)

1.2E−4

2.8E−4

0.0021


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
14500
19700
19700
18800


n (Patient)
176
151
190
137
205
122







sCr only













Median
3100
3500
3100
3510
3130
3510


Average
3420
4420
3490
4410
3590
4330


Stdev
1590
3100
1780
3070
2100
2860


p (t-test)

2.2E−4

6.9E−4

0.0078


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9820
19700
14500
19700
19700
18800


n (Patient)
182
144
194
132
207
119







UO only













Median
3100
3960
3110
3960
3110
3990


Average
3510
5010
3540
5000
3530
5050


Stdev
2000
3190
2030
3200
2030
3200


p (t-test)

1.6E−6

3.9E−6

1.9E−6


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
249
76
253
72
254
71












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.58
0.65
0.59
0.58
0.65
0.58
0.57
0.65


SE
0.032
0.032
0.038
0.032
0.032
0.039
0.033
0.033
0.039


p Value
0.0079
0.012
8.4E−5
0.0071
0.013
1.6E−4
0.014
0.042
6.7E−5


nCohort Non-
176
182
249
190
194
253
205
207
254


persistent


nCohort
151
144
76
137
132
72
122
119
71


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
80%
80%
88%
82%
81%
89%
82%
81%
90%


Specificity
30%
29%
29%
30%
29%
29%
29%
29%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
54%
53%
61%
54%
54%
60%
55%
54%
61%


Specificity
53%
53%
53%
53%
53%
53%
53%
52%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720


Sensitivity
31%
31%
36%
32%
32%
36%
31%
30%
37%


Specificity
80%
80%
78%
80%
79%
78%
79%
78%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.69
1.63
3.03
1.92
1.78
3.24
1.88
1.66
3.76


p Value
0.045
0.065
0.0037
0.016
0.034
0.0032
0.025
0.068
0.0017


Lower limit of
1.01
0.971
1.43
1.13
1.04
1.48
1.08
0.964
1.65


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.83
2.73
6.40
3.27
3.04
7.10
3.26
2.87
8.58


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.30
1.28
1.73
1.31
1.29
1.64
1.36
1.27
1.71


p Value
0.24
0.27
0.040
0.24
0.26
0.067
0.18
0.30
0.049


Lower limit of
0.839
0.828
1.03
0.840
0.828
0.966
0.865
0.808
1.00


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.00
1.99
2.92
2.03
2.01
2.80
2.13
1.99
2.93


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.82
1.78
1.94
1.89
1.80
1.99
1.66
1.52
2.04


p Value
0.020
0.025
0.019
0.013
0.023
0.017
0.052
0.11
0.013


Lower limit of
1.10
1.08
1.11
1.14
1.08
1.13
0.996
0.911
1.16


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.02
2.95
3.39
3.14
2.98
3.50
2.75
2.53
3.60


95% CI
















TABLE 16.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3090
3510
3100
3520
3120
3520


Average
3390
4400
3460
4420
3490
4470


Stdev
1540
3060
1740
3040
1740
3140


p (t-test)

1.5E−4

3.9E−4

3.6E−4


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
173
154
188
139
200
127







sCr only













Median
3090
3510
3080
3620
3100
3620


Average
3390
4430
3450
4430
3480
4480


Stdev
1520
3110
1740
3060
1730
3170


p (t-test)

9.8E−5

2.9E−4

2.7E−4


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
179
147
190
136
202
124







UO only













Median
3080
3990
3100
3960
3100
3990


Average
3480
4930
3510
4930
3510
4970


Stdev
2000
3080
2020
3110
2020
3110


p (t-test)

1.4E−6

4.0E−6

2.0E−6


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
240
85
245
80
246
79












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.58
0.65
0.58
0.59
0.64
0.58
0.58
0.65


SE
0.032
0.032
0.036
0.032
0.032
0.037
0.033
0.033
0.037


p Value
0.0072
0.0081
3.0E−5
0.0087
0.0072
9.2E−5
0.017
0.015
3.8E−5


nCohort Non-
173
179
240
188
190
245
200
202
246


persistent


nCohort
154
147
85
139
136
80
127
124
79


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
80%
80%
88%
81%
81%
89%
81%
81%
90%


Specificity
29%
29%
30%
30%
29%
29%
29%
29%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
54%
54%
61%
54%
54%
60%
54%
55%
61%


Specificity
53%
53%
54%
53%
53%
53%
52%
53%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720


Sensitivity
31%
31%
35%
32%
32%
36%
31%
31%
37%


Specificity
80%
80%
78%
80%
79%
78%
78%
78%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.66
1.60
3.15
1.84
1.77
3.28
1.75
1.68
3.74


p Value
0.053
0.075
0.0017
0.023
0.035
0.0018
0.041
0.060
9.1E−4


Lower limit of
0.994
0.954
1.54
1.09
1.04
1.56
1.02
0.978
1.72


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.77
2.67
6.45
3.13
3.00
6.92
3.01
2.88
8.17


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.33
1.31
1.83
1.30
1.35
1.70
1.31
1.37
1.76


p Value
0.20
0.22
0.019
0.24
0.18
0.044
0.23
0.17
0.031


Lower limit of
0.859
0.848
1.11
0.840
0.871
1.02
0.842
0.873
1.05


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.05
2.03
3.03
2.02
2.11
2.83
2.05
2.14
2.96


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.73
1.81
1.97
1.83
1.79
2.06
1.62
1.59
2.11


p Value
0.033
0.021
0.014
0.019
0.024
0.0097
0.062
0.075
0.0076


Lower limit of
1.04
1.09
1.15
1.10
1.08
1.19
0.976
0.955
1.22


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.87
3.00
3.39
3.03
2.97
3.56
2.68
2.64
3.66


95% CI
















TABLE 16.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3040
3520
3040
3770
3080
3720


Average
3370
4400
3430
4430
3480
4460


Stdev
1540
3020
1750
2990
1750
3100


p (t-test)

1.1E−4

2.1E−4

3.0E−4


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
169
158
183
144
196
131







sCr only













Median
3040
3520
3040
3770
3050
3770


Average
3360
4450
3420
4450
3450
4500


Stdev
1510
3080
1740
3030
1730
3120


p (t-test)

4.2E−5

1.4E−4

1.3E−4


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
14500
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
175
151
186
140
198
128







UO only













Median
3040
4030
3040
4180
3040
4300


Average
3460
4920
3450
4970
3440
5000


Stdev
1990
3030
1990
3050
1980
3040


p (t-test)

6.1E−7

2.9E−7

1.4E−7


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
235
90
237
88
238
87












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.59
0.60
0.66
0.60
0.60
0.66
0.59
0.59
0.67


SE
0.031
0.032
0.035
0.032
0.032
0.035
0.032
0.033
0.035


p Value
0.0032
0.0022
7.1E−6
0.0024
0.0019
3.7E−6
0.0084
0.0044
1.3E−6


nCohort Non-
169
175
235
183
186
237
196
198
238


persistent


nCohort
158
151
90
144
140
88
131
128
87


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
80%
80%
89%
82%
81%
90%
82%
81%
91%


Specificity
30%
30%
30%
31%
30%
30%
30%
29%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
54%
55%
62%
55%
56%
62%
55%
56%
63%


Specificity
54%
54%
54%
54%
54%
54%
53%
54%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720


Sensitivity
30%
32%
36%
31%
32%
36%
30%
31%
37%


Specificity
80%
81%
79%
80%
80%
79%
78%
79%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.77
1.71
3.46
2.00
1.89
3.83
1.87
1.80
4.37


p Value
0.029
0.042
6.5E−4
0.010
0.018
4.0E−4
0.022
0.033
2.0E−4


Lower limit of
1.06
1.02
1.70
1.18
1.11
1.82
1.09
1.05
2.01


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.95
2.85
7.07
3.39
3.20
8.05
3.21
3.08
9.51


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.39
1.45
1.97
1.40
1.49
1.99
1.38
1.51
2.07


p Value
0.14
0.096
0.0075
0.13
0.074
0.0071
0.16
0.070
0.0048


Lower limit of
0.902
0.936
1.20
0.904
0.962
1.21
0.885
0.967
1.25


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.15
2.24
3.24
2.17
2.32
3.29
2.15
2.36
3.43


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.73
1.93
2.04
1.79
1.91
2.14
1.51
1.69
2.19


p Value
0.033
0.011
0.0087
0.023
0.012
0.0054
0.11
0.042
0.0042


Lower limit of
1.04
1.16
1.20
1.08
1.15
1.25
0.911
1.02
1.28


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.87
3.21
3.48
2.97
3.16
3.65
2.50
2.80
3.74


95% CI









Example 17. Use of Metalloproteinase Inhibitor 4 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 17.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
12.7
36.2
15.6
37.0
15.4
42.2


Average
26.9
239
34.3
284
35.2
320


Stdev
45.9
969
57.0
1080
59.2
1150


p (t-test)

0.018

0.0039

0.0010


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
119
198
158
159
179
138







sCr only













Median
13.3
35.4
16.0
37.0
16.0
42.2


Average
29.3
250
31.2
294
33.1
336


Stdev
46.8
999
46.8
1090
51.4
1180


p (t-test)

0.012

0.0024

5.6E−4


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
130
186
162
154
184
132







UO only













Median
18.2
41.0
19.1
53.0
19.3
57.9


Average
96.3
368
99.9
422
99.5
467


Stdev
598
1160
588
1280
581
1360


p (t-test)

0.0081

0.0038

0.0017


Min
0.00110
1.76
0.00110
1.76
0.00110
1.76


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
241
74
256
59
263
52












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.67
0.68
0.67
0.67
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.70


SE
0.029
0.030
0.038
0.030
0.030
0.041
0.030
0.031
0.043


p Value
 9.3E−11
2.2E−8
2.6E−6
2.2E−8
2.5E−8
3.9E−6
 1.1E−10
 2.2E−10
2.0E−6


nCohort Non-
119
130
241
158
162
256
179
184
263


persistent


nCohort
198
186
74
159
154
59
138
132
52


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36


Sensitivity
82%
81%
88%
82%
81%
88%
86%
85%
88%


Specificity
36%
33%
29%
32%
31%
28%
33%
32%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1


Sensitivity
60%
59%
69%
60%
60%
73%
64%
64%
77%


Specificity
66%
63%
56%
60%
60%
55%
61%
60%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8


Sensitivity
35%
35%
42%
38%
40%
44%
41%
42%
46%


Specificity
92%
90%
80%
88%
89%
79%
87%
87%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.55
2.06
2.96
2.23
1.92
2.91
2.90
2.64
2.95


p Value
4.3E−4
0.0060
0.0046
0.0029
0.014
0.012
2.3E−4
7.9E−4
0.018


Lower limit of
1.51
1.23
1.40
1.32
1.14
1.26
1.65
1.50
1.21


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.28
3.45
6.26
3.78
3.25
6.70
5.12
4.66
7.19


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.81
2.47
2.78
2.30
2.28
3.30
2.83
2.75
4.10


p Value
1.9E−5
1.2E−4
3.0E−4
2.9E−4
3.5E−4
1.8E−4
9.5E−6
1.8E−5
6.1E−5


Lower limit of
1.75
1.56
1.60
1.47
1.45
1.76
1.79
1.73
2.06


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.50
3.92
4.83
3.60
3.57
6.15
4.48
4.37
8.16


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.96
4.95
2.90
4.55
5.25
3.02
4.41
4.76
3.24


p Value
8.3E−7
1.3E−6
1.9E−4
2.5E−7
3.1E−8
2.8E−4
1.1E−7
2.9E−8
2.1E−4


Lower limit of
2.93
2.59
1.66
2.56
2.92
1.66
2.55
2.74
1.74


95% CI


Upper limit of
12.1
9.45
5.07
8.10
9.44
5.48
7.63
8.26
6.03


95% CI
















TABLE 17.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
12.5
34.8
14.7
37.0
13.3
41.1


Average
27.2
231
30.5
271
31.7
298


Stdev
47.1
953
48.1
1040
52.4
1100


p (t-test)

0.024

0.0056

0.0021


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
112
205
147
170
165
152







sCr only













Median
13.3
34.9
16.3
36.9
15.4
40.1


Average
29.5
246
31.6
281
32.9
305


Stdev
47.4
989
47.8
1070
52.3
1120


p (t-test)

0.015

0.0041

0.0017


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
126
190
154
162
169
147







UO only













Median
18.1
39.3
18.2
40.3
18.2
47.4


Average
99.3
306
103
338
102
363


Stdev
622
1040
609
1130
601
1180


p (t-test)

0.031

0.020

0.013


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
222
93
238
77
245
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.66
0.66
0.68
0.66
0.66
0.70
0.68
0.67


SE
0.030
0.030
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.037
0.029
0.030
0.039


p Value
 2.2E−10
5.2E−8
4.9E−6
1.6E−9
9.6E−8
1.4E−5
 3.0E−12
1.4E−9
1.1E−5


nCohort Non-
112
126
222
147
154
238
165
169
245


persistent


nCohort
205
190
93
170
162
77
152
147
70


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36


Sensitivity
82%
81%
87%
83%
81%
87%
86%
84%
87%


Specificity
38%
33%
30%
34%
32%
29%
35%
33%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1


Sensitivity
59%
58%
67%
61%
59%
69%
64%
62%
71%


Specificity
66%
63%
57%
62%
60%
56%
62%
60%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8


Sensitivity
34%
35%
38%
38%
38%
39%
39%
39%
40%


Specificity
91%
90%
80%
89%
88%
79%
88%
87%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.72
2.07
2.92
2.51
2.05
2.74
3.38
2.67
2.71


p Value
1.7E−4
0.0058
0.0017
6.1E−4
0.0069
0.0062
2.1E−5
4.4E−4
0.0094


Lower limit of
1.62
1.23
1.49
1.48
1.22
1.33
1.93
1.54
1.28


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.59
3.46
5.71
4.24
3.46
5.63
5.92
4.62
5.76


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.81
2.36
2.63
2.50
2.16
2.80
2.93
2.47
3.17


p Value
2.5E−5
2.7E−4
1.9E−4
7.5E−5
7.9E−4
2.2E−4
4.0E−6
9.1E−5
8.8E−5


Lower limit of
1.74
1.49
1.58
1.59
1.38
1.62
1.86
1.57
1.78


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.53
3.75
4.36
3.93
3.38
4.83
4.63
3.89
5.65


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.29
4.63
2.44
4.94
4.56
2.46
4.73
4.23
2.54


p Value
4.4E−6
3.5E−6
0.0010
2.2E−7
3.7E−7
0.0015
9.0E−8
3.9E−7
0.0013


Lower limit of
2.60
2.42
1.43
2.70
2.54
1.41
2.68
2.42
1.44


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.8
8.84
4.16
9.05
8.19
4.29
8.36
7.39
4.48


95% CI
















TABLE 17.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
12.3
34.7
13.3
36.7
13.3
37.0


Average
27.2
230
30.6
266
32.4
285


Stdev
47.3
951
48.6
1030
53.4
1080


p (t-test)

0.025

0.0066

0.0034


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
111
206
144
173
158
159







sCr only













Median
13.3
34.7
16.3
36.5
15.4
37.0


Average
29.7
243
31.8
276
33.6
293


Stdev
47.7
984
48.2
1060
53.1
1100


p (t-test)

0.016

0.0049

0.0027


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
124
192
151
165
163
153







UO only













Median
18.1
37.0
18.2
39.1
18.5
39.3


Average
102
279
106
295
106
312


Stdev
637
995
626
1050
617
1090


p (t-test)

0.057

0.051

0.037


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
212
103
225
90
232
83












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.66
0.64
0.68
0.66
0.64
0.69
0.67
0.64


SE
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.037


p Value
 1.8E−10
8.1E−8
5.9E−5
1.0E−9
1.4E−7
1.5E−4
 1.2E−10
2.2E−8
1.6E−4


nCohort Non-
111
124
212
144
151
225
158
163
232


persistent


nCohort
206
192
103
173
165
90
159
153
83


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36


Sensitivity
82%
81%
85%
83%
82%
86%
85%
84%
86%


Specificity
38%
34%
30%
35%
32%
29%
35%
33%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1


Sensitivity
59%
58%
63%
61%
59%
64%
63%
61%
66%


Specificity
67%
63%
56%
63%
60%
56%
63%
60%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8


Sensitivity
34%
34%
35%
37%
37%
36%
38%
37%
36%


Specificity
91%
90%
80%
89%
88%
79%
87%
87%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.78
2.15
2.54
2.64
2.16
2.46
3.00
2.54
2.40


p Value
1.3E−4
0.0038
0.0033
3.0E−4
0.0038
0.0070
7.4E−5
7.1E−4
0.011


Lower limit of
1.65
1.28
1.36
1.56
1.28
1.28
1.74
1.48
1.22


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.69
3.60
4.72
4.47
3.64
4.73
5.17
4.35
4.72


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.90
2.37
2.19
2.72
2.22
2.27
2.84
2.34
2.46


p Value
1.5E−5
2.6E−4
0.0015
1.8E−5
5.2E−4
0.0015
6.9E−6
2.3E−4
7.5E−4


Lower limit of
1.79
1.49
1.35
1.72
1.41
1.37
1.80
1.49
1.46


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.71
3.77
3.55
4.29
3.48
3.76
4.48
3.67
4.15


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.20
4.47
2.11
4.70
4.33
2.09
4.18
3.81
2.11


p Value
5.5E−6
5.7E−6
0.0053
5.3E−7
9.0E−7
0.0073
8.0E−7
2.5E−6
0.0074


Lower limit of
2.55
2.34
1.25
2.57
2.41
1.22
2.37
2.18
1.22


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.6
8.54
3.57
8.60
7.78
3.58
7.38
6.64
3.66


95% CI
















TABLE 17.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
12.5
34.6
13.3
36.6
13.3
37.0


Average
27.4
229
30.8
265
32.5
282


Stdev
47.5
949
48.7
1030
53.7
1070


p (t-test)

0.027

0.0071

0.0039


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
110
207
143
174
156
161







sCr only













Median
13.3
34.7
16.3
34.9
15.9
36.9


Average
29.7
243
32.0
275
33.7
292


Stdev
47.7
984
48.4
1060
53.3
1090


p (t-test)

0.016

0.0052

0.0029


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
124
192
150
166
162
154







UO only













Median
18.2
36.7
18.2
37.0
18.2
38.8


Average
104
270
108
281
108
294


Stdev
643
977
633
1030
625
1060


p (t-test)

0.071

0.068

0.055


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
208
107
220
95
226
89












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.66
0.63
0.68
0.66
0.63
0.69
0.67
0.63


SE
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.036


p Value
 6.1E−10
8.1E−8
1.5E−4
2.3E−9
2.7E−7
1.9E−4
 1.9E−10
4.7E−8
1.7E−4


nCohort Non-
110
124
208
143
150
220
156
162
226


persistent


nCohort
207
192
107
174
166
95
161
154
89


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36


Sensitivity
82%
81%
84%
83%
81%
85%
84%
83%
85%


Specificity
37%
34%
30%
34%
32%
30%
35%
33%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1


Sensitivity
59%
58%
62%
61%
59%
63%
63%
60%
65%


Specificity
66%
63%
56%
63%
60%
55%
63%
60%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8


Sensitivity
34%
34%
35%
37%
37%
35%
37%
37%
35%


Specificity
91%
90%
80%
89%
88%
79%
87%
86%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.64
2.15
2.25
2.50
2.05
2.43
2.88
2.39
2.41


p Value
2.7E−4
0.0038
0.0079
5.9E−4
0.0068
0.0064
1.2E−4
0.0014
0.0084


Lower limit of
1.57
1.28
1.24
1.48
1.22
1.28
1.68
1.40
1.25


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.46
3.60
4.09
4.22
3.45
4.59
4.94
4.08
4.64


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.83
2.37
2.03
2.65
2.16
2.13
2.84
2.28
2.36


p Value
2.4E−5
2.6E−4
0.0036
2.9E−5
7.8E−4
0.0027
6.9E−6
3.5E−4
9.6E−4


Lower limit of
1.75
1.49
1.26
1.68
1.38
1.30
1.80
1.45
1.42


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.59
3.77
3.27
4.18
3.39
3.50
4.49
3.57
3.92


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.11
4.47
2.09
4.62
4.26
2.01
4.04
3.74
1.98


p Value
6.9E−6
5.7E−6
0.0057
7.0E−7
1.2E−6
0.010
1.4E−6
3.3E−6
0.013


Lower limit of
2.51
2.34
1.24
2.52
2.37
1.18
2.29
2.14
1.15


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.4
8.54
3.52
8.45
7.65
3.43
7.13
6.52
3.40


95% CI
















TABLE 17.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within


168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
12.5
34.6
14.0
35.9
13.3
36.7


Average
26.9
226
30.6
259
32.6
273


Stdev
47.5
940
49.0
1020
54.2
1050


p (t-test)

0.030

0.0090

0.0055


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
106
211
138
179
150
167







sCr only













Median
13.3
34.8
15.9
36.2
15.1
36.9


Average
29.1
240
31.5
269
33.3
286


Stdev
47.7
977
48.5
1040
53.5
1080


p (t-test)

0.018

0.0063

0.0036


Min
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167
0.00110
0.00167


Max
409
9030
409
9030
409
9030


n (Patient)
121
195
146
170
158
158







UO only













Median
17.7
37.0
18.1
37.0
18.2
37.9


Average
97.1
273
103
279
103
287


Stdev
648
955
641
990
634
1010


p (t-test)

0.053

0.058

0.050


Min
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277
0.00110
0.00277


Max
9030
7570
9030
7570
9030
7570


n (Patient)
202
113
212
103
217
98












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.67
0.65
0.67
0.66
0.64
0.68
0.67
0.64


SE
0.030
0.030
0.033
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.035


p Value
 5.2E−10
2.6E−8
1.1E−5
5.1E−9
8.2E−8
2.9E−5
 7.4E−10
1.4E−8
3.8E−5


nCohort Non-
106
121
202
138
146
212
150
158
217


persistent


nCohort
211
195
113
179
170
103
167
158
98


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36
8.33
8.31
8.36


Sensitivity
82%
81%
85%
83%
82%
86%
84%
84%
87%


Specificity
38%
35%
31%
35%
33%
31%
35%
34%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1
24.1
23.6
24.1


Sensitivity
59%
58%
63%
60%
59%
63%
62%
61%
64%


Specificity
67%
64%
57%
63%
61%
56%
63%
61%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8
60.9
60.8
61.8


Sensitivity
34%
34%
35%
36%
36%
35%
37%
37%
35%


Specificity
92%
90%
81%
89%
88%
80%
87%
87%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.67
2.27
2.50
2.55
2.20
2.81
2.96
2.56
2.86


p Value
2.4E−4
0.0019
0.0026
4.5E−4
0.0030
0.0014
7.1E−5
5.6E−4
0.0016


Lower limit of
1.58
1.35
1.38
1.51
1.31
1.49
1.73
1.50
1.49


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.52
3.81
4.54
4.29
3.70
5.30
5.06
4.37
5.48


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.89
2.46
2.23
2.59
2.29
2.19
2.70
2.40
2.31


p Value
2.1E−5
1.6E−4
8.5E−4
4.4E−5
3.4E−4
0.0015
1.8E−5
1.5E−4
8.6E−4


Lower limit of
1.77
1.54
1.39
1.64
1.45
1.35
1.71
1.53
1.41


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.71
3.93
3.58
4.10
3.59
3.55
4.26
3.77
3.78


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.47
4.75
2.29
4.68
4.36
2.11
3.97
3.78
2.03


p Value
6.9E−6
4.4E−6
0.0018
9.4E−7
1.2E−6
0.0053
2.6E−6
3.4E−6
0.0088


Lower limit of
2.61
2.44
1.36
2.52
2.40
1.25
2.23
2.16
1.20


95% CI


Upper limit of
11.5
9.25
3.85
8.66
7.89
3.57
7.05
6.64
3.45


95% CI
















TABLE 17.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
2870
3560
3000
3640
3110
3520


Average
3210
4220
3360
4330
3520
4290


Stdev
1650
2690
1670
2880
1860
2920


p (t-test)

2.8E−4

2.5E−4

0.0044


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9820
19700
9820
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
114
213
155
172
179
148







sCr only













Median
2930
3510
2950
3560
3070
3670


Average
3290
4210
3310
4370
3460
4360


Stdev
1640
2750
1580
2920
1810
2960


p (t-test)

7.5E−4

6.7E−5

8.3E−4


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9820
19700
9820
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
124
202
157
169
182
144







UO only













Median
3040
4350
3100
4340
3100
4390


Average
3520
4910
3570
5040
3570
5240


Stdev
2050
3060
2050
3280
2050
3390


p (t-test)

6.0E−6

1.0E−5

1.8E−6


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
245
80
261
64
269
56












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.61
0.65
0.61
0.61
0.64
0.57
0.59
0.66


SE
0.031
0.031
0.037
0.031
0.031
0.040
0.032
0.032
0.042


p Value
3.1E−5
6.1E−4
2.8E−5
5.8E−4
2.9E−4
3.6E−4
0.027
0.0057
1.3E−4


nCohort Non-
114
124
245
155
157
261
179
182
269


persistent


nCohort Persistent
213
202
80
172
169
64
148
144
56


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
81%
81%
85%
81%
82%
86%
80%
80%
88%


Specificity
37%
35%
28%
32%
32%
28%
29%
29%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
56%
55%
66%
56%
56%
64%
55%
56%
66%


Specificity
61%
58%
55%
57%
57%
53%
54%
54%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720


Sensitivity
31%
31%
39%
32%
33%
36%
30%
33%
38%


Specificity
86%
85%
79%
83%
83%
77%
79%
81%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.52
2.22
2.22
2.08
2.14
2.33
1.61
1.63
2.66


p Value
4.1E−4
0.0021
0.020
0.0049
0.0036
0.028
0.069
0.065
0.022


Lower limit of
1.51
1.33
1.13
1.25
1.28
1.09
0.963
0.971
1.15


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.21
3.69
4.36
3.47
3.58
4.95
2.69
2.73
6.13


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.05
1.69
2.41
1.70
1.68
2.03
1.40
1.49
2.21


p Value
0.0024
0.023
0.0011
0.018
0.020
0.014
0.13
0.075
0.0099


Lower limit of
1.29
1.08
1.42
1.10
1.08
1.15
0.903
0.961
1.21


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.27
2.65
4.08
2.63
2.60
3.58
2.16
2.31
4.04


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.75
2.50
2.41
2.23
2.50
1.92
1.68
2.04
2.05


p Value
0.0010
0.0017
0.0016
0.0027
7.0E−4
0.029
0.044
0.0060
0.022


Lower limit of
1.50
1.41
1.39
1.32
1.47
1.07
1.01
1.23
1.11


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.03
4.44
4.15
3.76
4.24
3.46
2.77
3.38
3.77


95% CI
















TABLE 17.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
2820
3560
2910
3720
3080
3520


Average
3120
4240
3230
4370
3450
4300


Stdev
1530
2690
1500
2860
1780
2880


p (t-test)

6.7E−5

1.8E−5

0.0015


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
9100
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
108
219
144
183
164
163







sCr only













Median
2900
3510
2950
3520
3100
3500


Average
3260
4210
3290
4340
3490
4240


Stdev
1640
2730
1590
2870
1860
2860


p (t-test)

5.8E−4

9.0E−5

0.0052


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9820
19700
9820
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
120
206
149
177
166
160







UO only













Median
3030
3960
3070
3930
3080
3930


Average
3460
4760
3520
4830
3530
4930


Stdev
2020
2930
2030
3090
2020
3150


p (t-test)

5.6E−6

1.5E−5

5.9E−6


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
225
100
241
84
248
77












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.61
0.65
0.63
0.61
0.63
0.58
0.57
0.64


SE
0.031
0.031
0.034
0.031
0.031
0.037
0.031
0.032
0.038


p Value
2.9E−6
2.6E−4
1.6E−5
2.8E−5
2.2E−4
2.6E−4
0.011
0.022
1.5E−4


nCohort Non-
108
120
225
144
149
241
164
166
248


persistent


nCohort Persistent
219
206
100
183
177
84
163
160
77


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
82%
81%
86%
82%
82%
87%
80%
80%
88%


Specificity
39%
36%
30%
34%
34%
29%
30%
30%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
57%
55%
64%
57%
56%
62%
55%
54%
62%


Specificity
63%
59%
56%
58%
57%
54%
54%
54%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720


Sensitivity
31%
31%
36%
33%
32%
33%
31%
30%
34%


Specificity
87%
85%
80%
85%
83%
78%
80%
80%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.85
2.39
2.60
2.34
2.29
2.72
1.68
1.72
3.09


p Value
7.2E−5
8.2E−4
0.0030
0.0011
0.0015
0.0047
0.046
0.036
0.0031


Lower limit of
1.70
1.44
1.38
1.41
1.37
1.36
1.01
1.04
1.46


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.78
3.98
4.91
3.91
3.82
5.43
2.79
2.87
6.53


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.22
1.80
2.26
1.84
1.69
1.90
1.43
1.34
1.91


p Value
9.6E−4
0.012
9.9E−4
0.0067
0.020
0.013
0.11
0.18
0.015


Lower limit of
1.38
1.14
1.39
1.18
1.09
1.15
0.924
0.869
1.13


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.56
2.83
3.68
2.87
2.62
3.16
2.21
2.08
3.23


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.02
2.55
2.19
2.71
2.36
1.73
1.83
1.66
1.75


p Value
5.8E−4
0.0016
0.0032
3.8E−4
0.0016
0.049
0.021
0.049
0.050


Lower limit of
1.61
1.43
1.30
1.56
1.38
1.00
1.10
1.00
1.00


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.68
4.57
3.69
4.68
4.01
2.99
3.04
2.76
3.05


95% CI
















TABLE 17.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
2800
3540
2910
3560
3100
3490


Average
3120
4240
3230
4360
3440
4270


Stdev
1540
2680
1510
2850
1800
2840


p (t-test)

7.6E−5

2.7E−5

0.0021


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
9100
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
107
220
142
185
158
169







sCr only













Median
2870
3510
2930
3520
3100
3480


Average
3210
4230
3260
4350
3440
4270


Stdev
1540
2740
1510
2880
1790
2860


p (t-test)

2.1E−4

4.0E−5

0.0021


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
9100
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
118
208
146
180
160
166







UO only













Median
3010
3920
3100
3720
3100
3790


Average
3440
4700
3520
4690
3530
4770


Stdev
2020
2870
2020
3020
2020
3070


p (t-test)

6.4E−6

6.1E−5

3.1E−5


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
216
109
230
95
237
88












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.62
0.65
0.63
0.62
0.62
0.58
0.58
0.62


SE
0.031
0.031
0.033
0.031
0.031
0.035
0.031
0.032
0.036


p Value
3.1E−6
1.1E−4
1.1E−5
4.0E−5
1.3E−4
8.9E−4
0.010
0.012
6.2E−4


nCohort Non-
107
118
216
142
146
230
158
160
237


persistent


nCohort Persistent
220
208
109
185
180
95
169
166
88


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
82%
81%
86%
82%
82%
85%
80%
81%
86%


Specificity
39%
36%
31%
35%
34%
29%
31%
31%
29%


Cutoff
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Quartile 3


Sensitivity
56%
55%
61%
56%
56%
58%
53%
53%
58%


Specificity
63%
59%
56%
58%
57%
53%
53%
53%
53%


Cutoff
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720


Quartile 4


Sensitivity
31%
31%
36%
32%
32%
33%
30%
30%
33%


Specificity
87%
86%
80%
85%
84%
78%
80%
80%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.91
2.48
2.76
2.43
2.41
2.38
1.85
1.90
2.60


p Value
5.3E−5
4.9E−4
0.0013
6.8E−4
7.8E−4
0.0075
0.017
0.013
0.0052


Lower limit of
1.73
1.49
1.49
1.46
1.44
1.26
1.11
1.14
1.33


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.88
4.14
5.11
4.05
4.02
4.49
3.08
3.17
5.08


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.16
1.80
1.99
1.75
1.65
1.55
1.29
1.28
1.54


p Value
0.0014
0.012
0.0040
0.013
0.026
0.074
0.25
0.27
0.088


Lower limit of
1.35
1.14
1.25
1.13
1.06
0.959
0.837
0.828
0.939


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.47
2.85
3.19
2.73
2.56
2.52
2.00
1.98
2.52


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.97
2.70
2.24
2.62
2.42
1.70
1.77
1.72
1.71


p Value
7.1E−4
1.0E−3
0.0021
5.9E−4
0.0013
0.050
0.029
0.036
0.052


Lower limit of
1.58
1.49
1.34
1.51
1.41
1.00
1.06
1.04
0.995


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.58
4.88
3.75
4.53
4.14
2.89
2.95
2.87
2.93


95% CI
















TABLE 17.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
2820
3520
2910
3560
3090
3500


Average
3130
4230
3240
4340
3440
4250


Stdev
1540
2680
1520
2840
1810
2820


p (t-test)

1.1E−4

3.6E−5

0.0024


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
9100
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
106
221
140
187
155
172







sCr only













Median
2870
3510
2930
3520
3100
3480


Average
3210
4230
3260
4340
3450
4250


Stdev
1540
2740
1520
2870
1800
2850


p (t-test)

2.1E−4

5.4E−5

0.0027


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
9100
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
118
208
144
182
158
168







UO only













Median
3010
3880
3070
3790
3070
3890


Average
3450
4610
3490
4670
3490
4740


Stdev
2040
2840
2020
2960
2020
2990


p (t-test)

2.8E−5

3.5E−5

1.7E−5


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
211
114
223
102
229
96












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.62
0.63
0.62
0.62
0.62
0.58
0.58
0.63


SE
0.031
0.031
0.033
0.031
0.031
0.034
0.031
0.032
0.035


p Value
6.5E−6
1.1E−4
5.7E−5
5.1E−5
1.7E−4
3.4E−4
0.0094
0.014
1.7E−4


nCohort Non-
106
118
211
140
144
223
155
158
229


persistent


nCohort Persistent
221
208
114
187
182
102
172
168
96


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
81%
81%
85%
82%
82%
85%
80%
80%
86%


Specificity
39%
36%
30%
34%
34%
30%
31%
31%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
56%
55%
60%
56%
55%
58%
53%
53%
58%


Specificity
62%
59%
55%
58%
57%
53%
54%
53%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720


Sensitivity
31%
31%
34%
32%
32%
33%
30%
30%
33%


Specificity
87%
86%
80%
84%
83%
78%
80%
80%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.77
2.48
2.48
2.35
2.33
2.44
1.82
1.84
2.70


p Value
1.1E−4
4.9E−4
0.0026
0.0010
0.0012
0.0048
0.020
0.019
0.0028


Lower limit of
1.65
1.49
1.37
1.41
1.40
1.31
1.10
1.11
1.41


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.65
4.14
4.50
3.91
3.88
4.53
3.02
3.06
5.16


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.11
1.80
1.81
1.76
1.65
1.57
1.33
1.28
1.60


p Value
0.0020
0.012
0.012
0.012
0.026
0.062
0.20
0.27
0.057


Lower limit of
1.31
1.14
1.14
1.13
1.06
0.978
0.858
0.828
0.986


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.39
2.85
2.87
2.74
2.56
2.52
2.05
1.98
2.58


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.92
2.70
2.03
2.53
2.34
1.82
1.69
1.67
1.79


p Value
8.7E−4
1.0E−3
0.0066
9.0E−4
0.0020
0.024
0.045
0.049
0.031


Lower limit of
1.55
1.49
1.22
1.46
1.37
1.08
1.01
1.00
1.06


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.49
4.88
3.39
4.39
4.00
3.07
2.81
2.78
3.03


95% CI
















TABLE 17.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
2850
3510
2920
3520
3090
3480


Average
3150
4200
3240
4310
3440
4230


Stdev
1570
2670
1540
2810
1830
2790


p (t-test)

2.7E−4

8.1E−5

0.0034


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
9100
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
102
225
135
192
149
178







sCr only













Median
2920
3500
2980
3510
3120
3450


Average
3230
4210
3270
4310
3460
4220


Stdev
1550
2730
1530
2850
1810
2830


p (t-test)

4.6E−4

1.1E−4

0.0048


Min
1080
863
1080
863
1080
863


Max
9100
19700
9100
19700
14500
19700


n (Patient)
115
211
140
186
154
172







UO only













Median
3010
3910
3050
3860
3040
3890


Average
3430
4580
3470
4620
3470
4670


Stdev
2030
2810
2010
2900
2020
2910


p (t-test)

2.7E−5

3.4E−5

2.0E−5


Min
893
863
893
863
893
863


Max
19700
18800
19700
18800
19700
18800


n (Patient)
204
121
214
111
219
106












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.61
0.63
0.62
0.61
0.62
0.58
0.57
0.63


SE
0.032
0.032
0.032
0.031
0.031
0.033
0.031
0.032
0.034


p Value
2.8E−5
3.8E−4
4.3E−5
1.0E−4
3.8E−4
2.2E−4
0.010
0.024
1.0E−4


nCohort Non-
102
115
204
135
140
214
149
154
219


persistent


nCohort Persistent
225
211
121
192
186
111
178
172
106


Cutoff Quartile 2
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330
2320
2320
2330


Sensitivity
81%
81%
84%
82%
81%
85%
80%
80%
86%


Specificity
38%
36%
30%
35%
34%
30%
32%
31%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280
3280


Sensitivity
55%
55%
60%
55%
55%
58%
53%
52%
58%


Specificity
61%
58%
55%
57%
56%
54%
53%
53%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720
4720
4710
4720


Sensitivity
30%
31%
34%
31%
31%
33%
29%
29%
33%


Specificity
86%
85%
80%
84%
83%
79%
80%
79%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.62
2.30
2.34
2.40
2.18
2.36
1.88
1.72
2.62


p Value
2.8E−4
0.0014
0.0036
7.8E−4
0.0026
0.0046
0.014
0.036
0.0023


Lower limit of
1.56
1.38
1.32
1.44
1.31
1.30
1.14
1.04
1.41


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.41
3.83
4.16
3.99
3.62
4.27
3.12
2.85
4.85


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.90
1.67
1.82
1.64
1.57
1.58
1.26
1.22
1.65


p Value
0.0081
0.028
0.0097
0.030
0.044
0.052
0.29
0.37
0.037


Lower limit of
1.18
1.06
1.16
1.05
1.01
0.996
0.817
0.788
1.03


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.06
2.65
2.88
2.55
2.45
2.51
1.95
1.88
2.63


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.72
2.57
2.04
2.33
2.19
1.88
1.64
1.56
1.80


p Value
0.0019
0.0018
0.0061
0.0025
0.0043
0.016
0.060
0.086
0.025


Lower limit of
1.45
1.42
1.22
1.35
1.28
1.12
0.979
0.938
1.08


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.12
4.64
3.39
4.04
3.75
3.14
2.74
2.60
3.03


95% CI









Example 18. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 15 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 15 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 18.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
22.0
289
10.3
274
0.0534
237


Average
144
2060
118
1990
120
1950


Stdev
265
6000
245
5890
260
5840


p (t-test)

0.017

0.032

0.046


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0187
0.0116
0.0187
0.0116


Max
1160
53500
1160
53500
1160
53500


n (Patient)
57
259
46
270
41
275







sCr only













Median
7.54
338
7.54
338
7.54
316


Average
169
2210
173
2190
180
2160


Stdev
314
6230
317
6200
325
6160


p (t-test)

0.0046

0.0054

0.0076


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0187
0.0116


Max
1300
53500
1300
53500
1300
53500


n (Patient)
76
239
74
241
70
245







UO only













Median
118
248
104
275
103
237


Average
1880
1470
1750
1690
1460
1980


Stdev
6590
3060
6510
3970
5360
5640


p (t-test)

0.53

0.92

0.41


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0187
0.0116
0.0187
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
30000
52500
53500


n (Patient)
193
121
172
142
155
159












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.72
0.55
0.71
0.71
0.56
0.72
0.70
0.57


SE
0.035
0.031
0.034
0.036
0.031
0.033
0.037
0.032
0.032


p Value
1.4E−8
 2.1E−12
0.12
6.7E−9
 1.9E−11
0.076
1.4E−9
 3.8E−10
0.043


nCohort Recovered
57
76
193
46
74
172
41
70
155


nCohort Non-
259
239
121
270
241
142
275
245
159


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
79%
82%
79%
79%
81%
78%
79%
81%
79%


Specificity
35%
39%
25%
37%
39%
24%
41%
39%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
154
155
155
154
155
155
154
155


Sensitivity
56%
59%
55%
56%
58%
56%
55%
57%
55%


Specificity
77%
76%
53%
83%
76%
55%
80%
74%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
912
902
909
912
902
909
912
902


Sensitivity
30%
31%
29%
29%
31%
28%
28%
31%
28%


Specificity
96%
95%
77%
96%
95%
77%
95%
94%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.05
2.89
1.27
2.19
2.81
1.16
2.71
2.65
1.33


p Value
0.023
2.3E−4
0.39
0.021
3.7E−4
0.59
0.0044
9.5E−4
0.29


Lower limit of
1.10
1.64
0.735
1.13
1.59
0.682
1.36
1.49
0.785


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.82
5.08
2.20
4.26
4.95
1.96
5.38
4.71
2.25


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.30
4.56
1.42
5.94
4.31
1.59
4.95
3.85
1.54


p Value
1.7E−5
4.3E−7
0.13
1.3E−5
1.2E−6
0.042
1.0E−4
8.2E−6
0.055


Lower limit of
2.21
2.53
0.899
2.67
2.39
1.02
2.21
2.13
0.990


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.38
8.20
2.24
13.2
7.78
2.49
11.1
6.97
2.41


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
11.6
8.23
1.38
8.78
7.91
1.34
7.58
7.28
1.40


p Value
8.1E−4
7.5E−5
0.22
0.0031
1.0E−4
0.26
0.0060
2.0E−4
0.19


Lower limit of
2.77
2.90
0.822
2.08
2.78
0.802
1.79
2.56
0.841


95% CI


Upper limit of
48.9
23.4
2.31
37.1
22.5
2.23
32.2
20.7
2.35


95% CI
















TABLE 18.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
22.1
373
18.3
355
9.44
346


Average
185
2330
176
2230
161
2170


Stdev
476
6380
492
6250
472
6150


p (t-test)

0.0016

0.0038

0.0065


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0187
0.0116
0.0187
0.0116


Max
3630
53500
3630
53500
3630
53500


n (Patient)
90
226
79
237
71
245







sCr only













Median
18.3
403
18.3
394
18.3
373


Average
204
2480
208
2460
196
2410


Stdev
473
6590
477
6570
455
6500


p (t-test)

4.5E−4

5.7E−4

8.1E−4


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0187
0.0116


Max
3630
53500
3630
53500
3630
53500


n (Patient)
106
210
104
212
99
217







UO only













Median
115
338
115
248
115
222


Average
1880
1410
2010
1260
1750
1690


Stdev
6360
3070
6630
2860
5640
5330


p (t-test)

0.48

0.24

0.93


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0151
0.0116
0.0151
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
52500
53500


n (Patient)
211
103
193
121
177
137












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
SCr
UO
sCr or
SCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.72
0.73
0.55
0.73
0.73
0.53
0.73
0.73
0.54


SE
0.029
0.028
0.035
0.030
0.028
0.034
0.030
0.029
0.033


p Value
 3.0E−14
0
0.18
 3.1E−14
 6.7E−16
0.33
 8.2E−15
 3.1E−15
0.23


nCohort Recovered
90
106
211
79
104
193
71
99
177


nCohort Non-
226
210
103
237
212
121
245
217
137


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
81%
84%
79%
81%
83%
78%
82%
83%
79%


Specificity
36%
38%
24%
38%
38%
24%
41%
37%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155


Sensitivity
61%
63%
57%
60%
62%
56%
58%
61%
55%


Specificity
78%
75%
54%
80%
75%
54%
79%
75%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
909
902
909
909
902
909
909
902


Sensitivity
33%
35%
28%
32%
34%
26%
31%
34%
26%


Specificity
96%
94%
76%
95%
94%
75%
96%
95%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.42
3.14
1.17
2.69
3.03
1.09
3.07
2.90
1.23


p Value
0.0015
3.1E−5
0.58
5.5E−4
5.2E−5
0.76
1.3E−4
1.1E−4
0.44


Lower limit of
1.40
1.83
0.666
1.53
1.77
0.634
1.73
1.69
0.723


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.17
5.37
2.07
4.70
5.19
1.87
5.44
4.98
2.10


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
5.49
5.21
1.55
5.89
4.95
1.50
5.23
4.69
1.40


p Value
3.3E−9
 6.5E−10
0.072
1.0E−8
2.1E−9
0.083
2.0E−7
1.1E−8
0.14


Lower limit of
3.12
3.08
0.962
3.21
2.93
0.949
2.80
2.76
0.896


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.65
8.79
2.49
10.8
8.36
2.37
9.77
7.96
2.19


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
10.7
8.88
1.26
8.68
8.58
1.04
10.2
9.73
1.11


p Value
8.1E−6
9.0E−7
0.39
4.8E−5
1.3E−6
0.88
1.3E−4
2.2E−6
0.69


Lower limit of
3.77
3.72
0.740
3.06
3.59
0.617
3.11
3.79
0.665


95% CI


Upper limit of
30.2
21.2
2.15
24.6
20.5
1.75
33.4
25.0
1.85


95% CI
















TABLE 18.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
39.4
403
39.5
355
13.4
347


Average
365
2480
383
2400
386
2310


Stdev
1110
6700
1140
6600
1180
6460


p (t-test)

9.4E−4

0.0019

0.0040


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
7940
53500
7940
53500
7940
53500


n (Patient)
114
202
107
209
97
219







sCr only













Median
36.6
423
39.4
403
36.6
366


Average
365
2620
373
2580
370
2530


Stdev
1060
6900
1070
6850
1080
6770


p (t-test)

3.0E−4

4.3E−4

6.4E−4


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
7940
53500
7940
53500
7940
53500


n (Patient)
127
189
124
192
119
197







UO only













Median
118
338
118
237
115
222


Average
1870
1420
1950
1310
1740
1700


Stdev
6330
3100
6480
2970
5520
5490


p (t-test)

0.50

0.33

0.95


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
52500
53500


n (Patient)
213
101
203
111
189
125












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.71
0.72
0.56
0.70
0.71
0.54
0.71
0.71
0.55


SE
0.029
0.028
0.035
0.030
0.029
0.034
0.030
0.029
0.033


p Value
 8.5E−13
 2.1E−14
0.10
 1.4E−11
 1.1E−12
0.19
 4.2E−12
 1.2E−12
0.15


nCohort Recovered
114
127
213
107
124
203
97
119
189


nCohort Non-
202
189
101
209
192
111
219
197
125


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
83%
85%
80%
83%
84%
80%
83%
84%
81%


Specificity
34%
35%
25%
36%
35%
25%
38%
35%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155


Sensitivity
62%
64%
57%
61%
63%
56%
60%
62%
55%


Specificity
72%
71%
54%
72%
70%
53%
72%
70%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
909
902
909
909
902
909
909
902


Sensitivity
35%
36%
29%
33%
35%
26%
32%
35%
26%


Specificity
92%
91%
77%
92%
91%
75%
92%
92%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.48
3.03
1.34
2.65
2.76
1.36
3.03
2.81
1.47


p Value
8.0E−4
5.3E−5
0.32
3.6E−4
1.9E−4
0.29
5.8E−5
1.5E−4
0.17


Lower limit of
1.46
1.77
0.751
1.55
1.62
0.772
1.77
1.65
0.849


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.22
5.18
2.40
4.52
4.70
2.39
5.21
4.80
2.56


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.25
4.33
1.55
4.06
4.01
1.44
3.86
3.75
1.41


p Value
1.2E−8
3.1E−9
0.071
5.6E−8
1.8E−8
0.13
3.5E−7
9.5E−8
0.13


Lower limit of
2.58
2.67
0.963
2.45
2.47
0.903
2.30
2.31
0.898


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.99
7.03
2.50
6.72
6.50
2.29
6.49
6.09
2.23


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
6.19
5.93
1.31
5.48
5.63
1.08
5.34
5.88
1.12


p Value
1.4E−6
3.7E−7
0.32
6.7E−6
7.9E−7
0.77
2.4E−5
1.0E−6
0.68


Lower limit of
2.95
2.98
0.769
2.61
2.84
0.637
2.45
2.89
0.664


95% CI


Upper limit of
13.0
11.8
2.24
11.5
11.2
1.84
11.6
12.0
1.87


95% CI
















TABLE 18.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
40.2
420
48.0
355
39.4
351


Average
430
2660
455
2540
464
2420


Stdev
1260
7000
1300
6860
1350
6690


p (t-test)

3.1E−4

8.7E−4

0.0022


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
8690
53500
8690
53500
8690
53500


n (Patient)
134
182
125
191
114
202







sCr only













Median
40.2
436
44.1
420
40.2
406


Average
425
2740
431
2710
426
2680


Stdev
1240
7110
1250
7070
1250
7020


p (t-test)

1.7E−4

2.2E−4

2.7E−4


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
8690
53500
8690
53500
8690
53500


n (Patient)
140
176
138
178
135
181







UO only













Median
118
248
123
223
118
222


Average
1860
1430
1930
1320
1720
1730


Stdev
6300
3130
6430
3010
5470
5580


p (t-test)

0.52

0.35

0.98


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
52500
53500


n (Patient)
215
99
206
108
193
121












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.71
0.55
0.69
0.70
0.54
0.69
0.70
0.54


SE
0.029
0.029
0.035
0.030
0.029
0.034
0.030
0.029
0.034


p Value
 2.3E−12
 2.8E−13
0.13
 2.5E−10
 6.1E−12
0.25
 2.2E−10
 7.9E−12
0.19


nCohort Recovered
134
140
215
125
138
206
114
135
193


nCohort Non-
182
176
99
191
178
108
202
181
121


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
84%
85%
81%
83%
84%
81%
84%
83%
81%


Specificity
33%
34%
25%
34%
33%
25%
36%
33%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155


Sensitivity
64%
65%
58%
62%
64%
56%
61%
64%
55%


Specificity
69%
69%
53%
69%
68%
53%
69%
68%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
909
902
909
909
902
909
909
902


Sensitivity
37%
38%
28%
35%
37%
26%
34%
37%
26%


Specificity
91%
91%
76%
90%
91%
75%
90%
91%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.48
2.79
1.41
2.51
2.49
1.40
2.88
2.43
1.49


p Value
8.4E−4
1.9E−4
0.25
6.7E−4
8.3E−4
0.25
1.1E−4
0.0010
0.16


Lower limit of
1.45
1.63
0.785
1.48
1.46
0.790
1.69
1.43
0.854


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.22
4.78
2.54
4.28
4.24
2.48
4.91
4.14
2.60


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.08
4.01
1.56
3.64
3.81
1.40
3.51
3.73
1.42


p Value
7.1E−9
8.1E−9
0.069
1.2E−7
2.7E−8
0.15
4.5E−7
4.6E−8
0.13


Lower limit of
2.54
2.50
0.965
2.26
2.38
0.880
2.16
2.33
0.899


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.57
6.43
2.52
5.88
6.10
2.24
5.73
5.98
2.24


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.92
5.86
1.27
5.09
5.67
1.06
4.75
6.02
1.12


p Value
1.6E−7
8.5E−8
0.39
1.6E−6
1.5E−7
0.82
8.7E−6
1.2E−7
0.68


Lower limit of
3.05
3.07
0.740
2.62
2.97
0.624
2.39
3.10
0.663


95% CI


Upper limit of
11.5
11.2
2.17
9.90
10.8
1.81
9.44
11.7
1.88


95% CI
















TABLE 18.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
72.4
406
72.6
351
72.6
351


Average
1650
1810
1680
1770
1680
1770


Stdev
6260
4140
6300
4100
6300
4100


p (t-test)

0.80

0.88

0.88


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200


n (Patient)
187
129
184
132
184
132







sCr only













Median
53.2
531
54.2
492
55.3
488


Average
638
2810
648
2760
652
2740


Stdev
2630
7160
2660
7110
2670
7090


p (t-test)

3.9E−4

5.8E−4

6.6E−4


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
30000
53500
30000
53500
30000
53500


n (Patient)
159
157
156
160
155
161







UO only













Median
116
300
118
248
116
242


Average
1840
1490
1860
1450
1880
1430


Stdev
6370
3110
6410
3070
6450
3030


p (t-test)

0.60

0.53

0.49


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
53500
19200


n (Patient)
210
104
207
107
204
110












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.70
0.57
0.63
0.69
0.56
0.63
0.69
0.57


SE
0.032
0.029
0.035
0.032
0.029
0.035
0.032
0.030
0.034


p Value
3.1E−5
 3.6E−12
0.038
7.9E−5
 4.5E−11
0.068
7.9E−5
 1.3E−10
0.054


nCohort Recovered
187
159
210
184
156
207
184
155
204


nCohort Non-
129
157
104
132
160
107
132
161
110


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
85%
85%
82%
85%
84%
81%
85%
84%
82%


Specificity
29%
32%
26%
29%
31%
26%
29%
31%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155


Sensitivity
64%
66%
60%
64%
66%
58%
64%
65%
58%


Specificity
60%
66%
55%
60%
66%
54%
60%
66%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
909
902
909
909
902
909
909
902


Sensitivity
34%
39%
31%
33%
38%
30%
33%
38%
30%


Specificity
81%
89%
78%
81%
88%
77%
81%
88%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.41
2.75
1.55
2.33
2.47
1.50
2.33
2.33
1.58


p Value
0.0029
3.4E−4
0.14
0.0038
0.0011
0.17
0.0038
0.0022
0.12


Lower limit of
1.35
1.58
0.862
1.31
1.43
0.840
1.31
1.36
0.887


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.31
4.79
2.78
4.12
4.26
2.67
4.12
4.00
2.81


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.69
3.82
1.79
2.60
3.71
1.62
2.60
3.61
1.66


p Value
2.8E−5
1.8E−8
0.017
4.8E−5
3.3E−8
0.044
4.8E−5
5.9E−8
0.034


Lower limit of
1.69
2.39
1.11
1.64
2.33
1.01
1.64
2.27
1.04


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.29
6.08
2.88
4.13
5.91
2.60
4.13
5.74
2.65


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.25
4.98
1.54
2.13
4.72
1.45
2.13
4.64
1.47


p Value
0.0021
8.1E−8
0.11
0.0041
2.0E−7
0.16
0.0041
2.8E−7
0.15


Lower limit of
1.34
2.77
0.909
1.27
2.63
0.858
1.27
2.59
0.872


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.77
8.95
2.61
3.57
8.49
2.46
3.57
8.34
2.48


95% CI
















TABLE 18.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
2350
4630
2350
4520
2350
4520


Average
2780
5040
2970
4940
2740
4940


Stdev
2070
3020
2160
3030
1870
3030


p (t-test)

4.6E−4

0.0047

0.0024


Min
62.8
413
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
8250
21200
8250
21200
8050
21200


n (Patient)
25
126
21
130
19
132







sCr only













Median
3060
4590
3080
4560
3240
4520


Average
3540
4950
3570
4930
3720
4870


Stdev
2350
3090
2390
3080
2410
3090


p (t-test)

0.023

0.031

0.076


Min
842
62.8
842
62.8
842
62.8


Max
10700
21200
10700
21200
10700
21200


n (Patient)
29
121
28
122
26
124







UO only













Median
4050
4670
3990
4570
3790
4710


Average
4550
4910
4490
4940
4200
5210


Stdev
2870
3190
2730
3300
2440
3430


p (t-test)

0.47

0.37

0.040


Min
62.8
513
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
91
59
84
66
77
73












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.76
0.66
0.54
0.73
0.65
0.54
0.75
0.63
0.59


SE
0.045
0.052
0.048
0.052
0.053
0.048
0.051
0.056
0.047


p Value
7.1E−9
0.0020
0.41
1.3E−5
0.0037
0.41
7.7E−7
0.022
0.064


nCohort Recovered
25
29
91
21
28
84
19
26
77


nCohort Non-
126
121
59
130
122
66
132
124
73


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740


Sensitivity
81%
79%
80%
79%
78%
77%
79%
77%
79%


Specificity
56%
41%
29%
52%
39%
27%
53%
35%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260


Sensitivity
58%
56%
54%
56%
56%
55%
56%
55%
58%


Specificity
88%
76%
53%
86%
75%
54%
89%
73%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060


Sensitivity
29%
29%
20%
28%
29%
23%
28%
28%
26%


Specificity
92%
90%
71%
90%
89%
73%
95%
88%
75%


OR Quartile 2
5.41
2.58
1.57
4.20
2.28
1.28
4.13
1.73
1.65


p Value
2.6E−4
0.030
0.26
0.0033
0.064
0.52
0.0051
0.23
0.19


Lower limit of
2.19
1.09
0.718
1.61
0.953
0.606
1.53
0.699
0.779


95% CI


Upper limit of
13.4
6.08
3.42
10.9
5.44
2.71
11.1
4.30
3.48


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
10.1
4.03
1.32
7.68
3.78
1.38
10.8
3.30
1.81


p Value
3.1E−4
0.0031
0.40
0.0017
0.0050
0.32
0.0019
0.013
0.073


Lower limit of
2.87
1.60
0.686
2.16
1.49
0.725
2.41
1.29
0.946


95% CI


Upper limit of
35.5
10.2
2.55
27.4
9.55
2.64
48.8
8.40
3.45


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.60
3.53
0.638
3.64
3.35
0.780
7.01
3.01
1.07


p Value
0.046
0.050
0.26
0.093
0.060
0.52
0.063
0.087
0.85


Lower limit of
1.03
1.00
0.293
0.806
0.951
0.369
0.903
0.851
0.514


95% CI


Upper limit of
20.5
12.4
1.39
16.4
11.8
1.65
54.4
10.7
2.24


95% CI
















TABLE 18.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3060
4710
3080
4670
3080
4590


Average
3490
5090
3580
5010
3480
4990


Stdev
2270
3120
2360
3100
2330
3080


p (t-test)

0.0035

0.012

0.011


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
40
111
36
115
32
119







sCr only













Median
3500
4700
3620
4680
3800
4530


Average
3860
5000
3890
4980
4030
4900


Stdev
2390
3160
2410
3160
2440
3150


p (t-test)

0.034

0.043

0.12


Min
842
62.8
842
62.8
842
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
44
107
43
108
40
111







UO only













Median
4090
4690
4060
4670
3920
4710


Average
4590
4890
4520
4970
4260
5250


Stdev
2740
3460
2660
3480
2400
3570


p (t-test)

0.56

0.38

0.045


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
100
50
93
57
85
65












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.68
0.62
0.52
0.66
0.62
0.53
0.67
0.59
0.58


SE
0.046
0.048
0.050
0.049
0.049
0.049
0.050
0.051
0.047


p Value
1.3E−4
0.010
0.66
0.0014
0.016
0.54
8.8E−4
0.079
0.10


nCohort Recovered
40
44
100
36
43
93
32
40
85


nCohort Non-
111
107
50
115
108
57
119
111
65


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740


Sensitivity
78%
77%
74%
77%
76%
74%
77%
75%
77%


Specificity
35%
30%
25%
33%
28%
25%
34%
25%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260


Sensitivity
59%
58%
56%
57%
57%
56%
57%
56%
58%


Specificity
75%
68%
53%
72%
67%
54%
75%
65%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060


Sensitivity
31%
31%
24%
30%
31%
25%
29%
30%
28%


Specificity
90%
89%
74%
89%
88%
74%
91%
88%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.95
1.38
0.949
1.71
1.22
0.920
1.78
0.988
1.24


p Value
0.098
0.43
0.89
0.20
0.62
0.83
0.18
0.98
0.58


Lower limit of
0.885
0.626
0.436
0.754
0.549
0.433
0.766
0.429
0.584


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.31
3.02
2.06
3.88
2.71
1.96
4.16
2.28
2.62


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.40
2.95
1.44
3.50
2.79
1.49
4.00
2.35
1.83


p Value
3.4E−4
0.0042
0.30
0.0027
0.0068
0.24
0.0020
0.026
0.071


Lower limit of
1.96
1.41
0.725
1.55
1.33
0.767
1.66
1.11
0.950


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.89
6.20
2.84
7.93
5.87
2.89
9.63
4.97
3.51


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.97
3.48
0.899
3.36
3.34
0.936
4.03
2.96
1.24


p Value
0.015
0.016
0.79
0.033
0.020
0.86
0.029
0.037
0.56


Lower limit of
1.31
1.26
0.409
1.10
1.21
0.437
1.15
1.07
0.594


95% CI


Upper limit of
12.0
9.62
1.98
10.2
9.26
2.00
14.1
8.23
2.61


95% CI
















TABLE 18.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3500
4670
3500
4530
3500
4530


Average
3980
5010
3930
4990
3900
4940


Stdev
2670
3100
2540
3130
2570
3100


p (t-test)

0.047

0.046

0.059


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
50
101
46
105
40
111







sCr only













Median
3860
4530
3930
4500
3940
4480


Average
4130
4960
4230
4900
4350
4820


Stdev
2520
3210
2520
3210
2530
3200


p (t-test)

0.10

0.19

0.38


Min
703
62.8
842
62.8
842
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
54
97
52
99
49
102







UO only













Median
3930
4790
3930
4790
3770
4790


Average
4450
5150
4410
5160
4270
5250


Stdev
2680
3490
2640
3480
2590
3400


p (t-test)

0.17

0.14

0.048


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
98
52
94
56
86
64












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.62
0.58
0.56
0.61
0.56
0.57
0.61
0.54
0.59


SE
0.047
0.048
0.050
0.048
0.048
0.049
0.050
0.050
0.047


p Value
0.013
0.078
0.19
0.020
0.19
0.16
0.023
0.45
0.045


nCohort Recovered
50
54
98
46
52
94
40
49
86


nCohort Non-
101
97
52
105
99
56
111
102
64


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740


Sensitivity
78%
76%
75%
77%
75%
75%
77%
74%
78%


Specificity
32%
28%
26%
30%
25%
26%
30%
22%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260


Sensitivity
58%
57%
62%
57%
56%
61%
57%
54%
61%


Specificity
66%
61%
56%
65%
60%
56%
68%
57%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060


Sensitivity
29%
30%
27%
29%
29%
27%
28%
28%
28%


Specificity
82%
83%
76%
83%
83%
76%
82%
82%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.69
1.24
1.03
1.48
0.987
1.03
1.40
0.804
1.38


p Value
0.18
0.58
0.95
0.32
0.97
0.94
0.41
0.59
0.40


Lower limit of
0.791
0.580
0.473
0.680
0.455
0.480
0.626
0.360
0.648


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.61
2.64
2.23
3.21
2.14
2.20
3.14
1.79
2.95


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.73
2.06
2.05
2.50
1.85
2.00
2.73
1.56
2.17


p Value
0.0054
0.037
0.041
0.013
0.078
0.044
0.0098
0.20
0.022


Lower limit of
1.35
1.04
1.03
1.22
0.934
1.02
1.27
0.785
1.12


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.53
4.06
4.07
5.13
3.65
3.92
5.83
3.10
4.19


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.83
2.13
1.14
1.90
1.98
1.13
1.83
1.77
1.29


p Value
0.16
0.076
0.74
0.15
0.11
0.75
0.20
0.19
0.50


Lower limit of
0.792
0.923
0.528
0.794
0.856
0.530
0.732
0.761
0.616


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.25
4.93
2.44
4.54
4.58
2.40
4.56
4.10
2.71


95% CI
















TABLE 18.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3650
4700
3620
4600
3540
4630


Average
4130
5000
4100
4970
3970
4980


Stdev
2690
3140
2620
3150
2610
3120


p (t-test)

0.084

0.087

0.053


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
58
93
53
98
47
104







sCr only













Median
3860
4530
3920
4520
3930
4490


Average
4250
4940
4310
4890
4390
4830


Stdev
2600
3220
2580
3230
2590
3220


p (t-test)

0.17

0.25

0.38


Min
703
62.8
842
62.8
842
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
60
91
59
92
57
94







UO only













Median
3930
4820
3920
4790
3770
4790


Average
4430
5150
4400
5150
4270
5250


Stdev
2710
3420
2660
3420
2590
3400


p (t-test)

0.16

0.14

0.048


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
96
54
92
58
86
64












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.60
0.57
0.57
0.59
0.56
0.57
0.61
0.54
0.60


SE
0.047
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.048
0.048
0.048
0.048
0.047


p Value
0.034
0.14
0.13
0.048
0.22
0.14
0.017
0.39
0.044


nCohort Recovered
58
60
96
53
59
92
47
57
86


nCohort Non-
93
91
54
98
92
58
104
94
64


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740


Sensitivity
78%
77%
76%
78%
76%
76%
78%
76%
78%


Specificity
31%
28%
26%
30%
27%
26%
32%
26%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260


Sensitivity
59%
57%
61%
58%
57%
60%
59%
55%
61%


Specificity
64%
60%
56%
64%
59%
57%
68%
58%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060


Sensitivity
28%
29%
26%
28%
28%
26%
28%
28%
28%


Specificity
79%
80%
75%
79%
80%
75%
81%
79%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.64
1.32
1.11
1.49
1.18
1.11
1.65
1.10
1.38


p Value
0.19
0.47
0.79
0.30
0.66
0.79
0.20
0.80
0.40


Lower limit of
0.780
0.626
0.513
0.703
0.561
0.519
0.765
0.519
0.648


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.46
2.77
2.40
3.18
2.50
2.37
3.56
2.34
2.95


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.55
2.00
2.02
2.49
1.90
1.98
3.03
1.70
2.17


p Value
0.0067
0.040
0.043
0.0096
0.059
0.045
0.0028
0.12
0.022


Lower limit of
1.30
1.03
1.02
1.25
0.977
1.01
1.46
0.876
1.12


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.02
3.88
3.99
4.96
3.68
3.86
6.26
3.31
4.19


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.49
1.60
1.05
1.45
1.54
1.05
1.63
1.43
1.29


p Value
0.32
0.24
0.90
0.36
0.28
0.91
0.25
0.37
0.50


Lower limit of
0.682
0.734
0.489
0.654
0.708
0.492
0.702
0.657
0.616


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.25
3.49
2.25
3.23
3.36
2.22
3.80
3.13
2.71


95% CI
















TABLE 18.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
4170
4480
4150
4470
4150
4470


Average
4620
4720
4620
4720
4620
4720


Stdev
2740
3290
2760
3260
2760
3260


p (t-test)

0.83

0.84

0.84


Min
703
62.8
703
62.8
703
62.8


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
81
70
80
71
80
71







sCr only













Median
3920
4520
3920
4520
3920
4520


Average
4320
4940
4360
4890
4360
4890


Stdev
2570
3290
2570
3280
2570
3280


p (t-test)

0.21

0.28

0.28


Min
703
62.8
842
62.8
842
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
67
84
65
86
65
86







UO only













Median
3940
4710
3940
4670
3940
4670


Average
4530
4970
4570
4890
4560
4900


Stdev
2690
3460
2690
3440
2720
3390


p (t-test)

0.39

0.52

0.49


Min
413
62.8
413
62.8
413
62.8


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
95
55
93
57
91
59












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.50
0.56
0.54
0.51
0.55
0.53
0.51
0.55
0.53


SE
0.047
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.92
0.23
0.44
0.91
0.31
0.59
0.91
0.31
0.52


nCohort Recovered
81
67
95
80
65
93
80
65
91


nCohort Non-
70
84
55
71
86
57
71
86
59


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740


Sensitivity
73%
77%
75%
73%
77%
74%
73%
77%
75%


Specificity
23%
28%
25%
24%
28%
25%
24%
28%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260


Sensitivity
53%
57%
56%
54%
57%
56%
54%
57%
56%


Specificity
52%
58%
54%
52%
58%
54%
52%
58%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060


Sensitivity
24%
26%
24%
24%
26%
23%
24%
26%
24%


Specificity
74%
76%
74%
74%
75%
73%
74%
75%
74%


OR Quartile 2
0.823
1.35
0.990
0.852
1.26
0.920
0.852
1.26
0.992


p Value
0.60
0.42
0.98
0.67
0.53
0.83
0.67
0.53
0.98


Lower limit of
0.394
0.648
0.462
0.408
0.604
0.433
0.408
0.604
0.467


95% CI


Upper limit of
1.72
2.83
2.12
1.78
2.65
1.96
1.78
2.65
2.11


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.21
1.86
1.50
1.27
1.86
1.49
1.27
1.86
1.48


p Value
0.56
0.062
0.24
0.46
0.061
0.24
0.46
0.061
0.24


Lower limit of
0.636
0.970
0.767
0.671
0.971
0.767
0.671
0.971
0.766


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.29
3.56
2.92
2.41
3.58
2.89
2.41
3.58
2.86


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
0.916
1.13
0.867
0.884
1.05
0.804
0.884
1.05
0.869


p Value
0.82
0.75
0.72
0.74
0.89
0.58
0.74
0.89
0.72


Lower limit of
0.438
0.538
0.401
0.423
0.500
0.372
0.423
0.500
0.406


95% CI


Upper limit of
1.92
2.38
1.87
1.85
2.21
1.74
1.85
2.21
1.86


95% CI









Example 19. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 15 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 15 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 19.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
22.1
401
36.6
366
37.9
363


Average
820
2170
852
2130
869
2110


Stdev
4380
5930
4460
5880
4530
5840


p (t-test)

0.038

0.051

0.062


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0187
0.0116
0.0187
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
107
209
103
213
100
216







sCr only













Median
22.1
414
22.1
403
24.3
401


Average
754
2360
765
2330
771
2320


Stdev
4060
6190
4090
6160
4110
6150


p (t-test)

0.011

0.013

0.015


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
125
190
123
192
122
193







UO only













Median
110
347
115
341
118
261


Average
1780
1580
1880
1420
1670
1810


Stdev
6210
3290
6400
3100
5420
5670


p (t-test)

0.77

0.49

0.83


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0187
0.0116
0.0187
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
52500
53500


n (Patient)
221
93
207
107
197
117












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.72
0.72
0.57
0.70
0.72
0.55
0.70
0.72
0.55


SE
0.029
0.028
0.036
0.030
0.028
0.035
0.030
0.028
0.034


p Value
 1.2E−14
 1.1E−15
0.038
 5.3E−12
 2.7E−15
0.13
 1.5E−11
 1.5E−14
0.17


nCohort Recovered
107
125
221
103
123
207
100
122
197


nCohort Non-
209
190
93
213
192
107
216
193
117


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
83%
85%
81%
82%
85%
79%
82%
84%
78%


Specificity
36%
36%
25%
35%
37%
24%
35%
36%
24%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
154
155
155
154
155
155
154
155


Sensitivity
63%
65%
60%
62%
65%
58%
61%
64%
56%


Specificity
75%
72%
54%
74%
72%
54%
74%
72%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
912
902
909
912
902
909
912
902


Sensitivity
34%
36%
30%
33%
36%
27%
33%
36%
28%


Specificity
93%
92%
77%
92%
92%
76%
92%
92%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.85
3.12
1.38
2.47
3.24
1.16
2.44
3.06
1.10


p Value
1.3E−4
3.4E−5
0.29
9.2E−4
1.9E−5
0.60
0.0011
4.3E−5
0.74


Lower limit of
1.67
1.82
0.759
1.45
1.89
0.664
1.43
1.79
0.636


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.87
5.35
2.51
4.23
5.56
2.04
4.18
5.24
1.89


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.98
4.72
1.80
4.50
4.77
1.62
4.47
4.65
1.51


p Value
1.3E−9
 5.8E−10
0.020
1.3E−8
 5.4E−10
0.044
2.1E−8
1.0E−9
0.081


Lower limit of
2.96
2.89
1.10
2.68
2.91
1.01
2.65
2.84
0.951


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.36
7.71
2.94
7.55
7.82
2.60
7.55
7.62
2.39


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
6.37
6.56
1.44
5.94
6.34
1.17
5.63
6.23
1.29


p Value
2.9E−6
2.1E−7
0.19
6.8E−6
3.5E−7
0.57
1.3E−5
4.5E−7
0.34


Lower limit of
2.93
3.22
0.835
2.73
3.11
0.686
2.59
3.06
0.766


95% CI


Upper limit of
13.8
13.3
2.47
12.9
12.9
1.99
12.2
12.7
2.17


95% CI
















TABLE 19.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
48.0
434
49.4
434
53.2
423


Average
874
2340
888
2320
908
2270


Stdev
4000
6310
4030
6280
4090
6220


p (t-test)

0.018

0.022

0.029


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
135
181
133
183
129
187







sCr only













Median
48.7
436
49.4
434
51.3
434


Average
836
2490
841
2480
847
2460


Stdev
3820
6530
3840
6510
3850
6490


p (t-test)

0.0072

0.0080

0.0089


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
148
168
147
169
146
170







UO only













Median
106
354
110
347
113
300


Average
1780
1580
1820
1500
1650
1850


Stdev
6170
3270
6250
3180
5320
5850


p (t-test)

0.78

0.63

0.76


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
52500
53500


n (Patient)
225
89
219
95
206
108












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.70
0.58
0.69
0.70
0.57
0.68
0.69
0.55


SE
0.029
0.029
0.036
0.029
0.029
0.036
0.030
0.029
0.034


p Value
 1.4E−11
 3.5E−12
0.021
 1.3E−10
 8.5E−12
0.051
1.1E−9
 3.3E−11
0.12


nCohort Recovered
135
148
225
133
147
219
129
146
206


nCohort Non-
181
168
89
183
169
95
187
170
108


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
84%
86%
81%
84%
86%
80%
83%
85%
79%


Specificity
33%
34%
25%
33%
34%
25%
33%
34%
24%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155


Sensitivity
64%
65%
62%
63%
64%
60%
63%
64%
57%


Specificity
69%
67%
55%
68%
67%
54%
68%
66%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
909
902
909
909
902
909
909
902


Sensitivity
35%
37%
30%
35%
37%
28%
34%
36%
28%


Specificity
89%
89%
77%
89%
88%
76%
88%
88%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.62
3.06
1.40
2.52
3.11
1.31
2.34
2.93
1.18


p Value
4.1E−4
6.7E−5
0.28
6.7E−4
5.2E−5
0.37
0.0017
1.1E−4
0.55


Lower limit of
1.54
1.77
0.763
1.48
1.80
0.726
1.38
1.70
0.677


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.47
5.31
2.58
4.29
5.40
2.36
3.97
5.06
2.07


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.95
3.73
1.95
3.75
3.63
1.78
3.59
3.54
1.57


p Value
1.4E−8
3.1E−8
0.0090
4.4E−8
5.6E−8
0.020
1.3E−7
1.0E−7
0.058


Lower limit of
2.46
2.34
1.18
2.34
2.28
1.09
2.23
2.22
0.985


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.35
5.95
3.22
6.02
5.79
2.91
5.77
5.63
2.52


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.38
4.51
1.45
4.23
4.43
1.28
3.95
4.36
1.23


p Value
2.8E−6
6.9E−7
0.18
4.6E−6
9.2E−7
0.38
1.3E−5
1.2E−6
0.44


Lower limit of
2.36
2.49
0.838
2.28
2.45
0.740
2.13
2.40
0.726


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.11
8.17
2.51
7.84
8.03
2.20
7.33
7.89
2.09


95% CI
















TABLE 19.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
49.4
537
49.4
497
53.2
437


Average
877
2500
888
2470
912
2420


Stdev
3820
6600
3850
6560
3900
6490


p (t-test)

0.0082

0.010

0.015


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
153
163
151
165
147
169







sCr only













Median
53.2
517
53.2
497
54.2
492


Average
864
2590
870
2570
875
2560


Stdev
3740
6730
3750
6710
3760
6690


p (t-test)

0.0050

0.0056

0.0062


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
160
156
159
157
158
158







UO only













Median
115
354
113
351
115
261


Average
1790
1550
1800
1530
1640
1900


Stdev
6200
3230
6210
3220
5260
5980


p (t-test)

0.72

0.69

0.69


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
52500
53500


n (Patient)
223
91
222
92
211
103












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.70
0.58
0.70
0.69
0.58
0.68
0.69
0.56


SE
0.029
0.029
0.036
0.029
0.029
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.035


p Value
 9.2E−12
 2.0E−11
0.031
 2.3E−11
 4.7E−11
0.032
 9.8E−10
 1.7E−10
0.081


nCohort Recovered
153
160
223
151
159
222
147
158
211


nCohort Non-
163
156
91
165
157
92
169
158
103


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
84%
85%
80%
84%
85%
80%
83%
85%
80%


Specificity
31%
32%
25%
32%
32%
25%
31%
32%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155


Sensitivity
66%
66%
62%
65%
66%
61%
64%
65%
57%


Specificity
67%
66%
55%
67%
65%
55%
66%
65%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
909
902
909
909
902
909
909
902


Sensitivity
37%
38%
31%
37%
38%
30%
36%
37%
28%


Specificity
88%
88%
77%
88%
87%
77%
88%
87%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.41
2.71
1.33
2.49
2.75
1.35
2.29
2.58
1.28


p Value
0.0014
4.3E−4
0.35
9.4E−4
3.4E−4
0.32
0.0023
6.9E−4
0.40


Lower limit of
1.40
1.56
0.729
1.45
1.58
0.744
1.34
1.49
0.720


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.14
4.71
2.42
4.28
4.79
2.46
3.92
4.47
2.26


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.05
3.71
1.93
3.83
3.61
1.86
3.43
3.51
1.55


p Value
5.0E−9
3.3E−8
0.0095
1.7E−8
6.0E−8
0.014
1.8E−7
1.1E−7
0.072


Lower limit of
2.53
2.33
1.17
2.40
2.27
1.14
2.16
2.21
0.962


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.46
5.91
3.18
6.10
5.74
3.06
5.46
5.57
2.49


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.49
4.26
1.50
4.33
4.18
1.47
4.05
4.11
1.26


p Value
5.0E−7
6.1E−7
0.14
9.0E−7
8.3E−7
0.17
2.8E−6
1.1E−6
0.39


Lower limit of
2.50
2.41
0.870
2.41
2.37
0.852
2.26
2.33
0.740


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.05
7.52
2.58
7.78
7.39
2.53
7.26
7.26
2.15


95% CI
















TABLE 19.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
53.2
555
54.2
544
57.7
492


Average
856
2680
871
2630
893
2560


Stdev
3670
6870
3700
6810
3740
6740


p (t-test)

0.0030

0.0043

0.0067


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
167
149
164
152
160
156







sCr only













Median
55.3
555
55.7
553
56.1
550


Average
847
2740
852
2720
857
2700


Stdev
3620
6950
3630
6930
3640
6910


p (t-test)

0.0021

0.0024

0.0027


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
171
145
170
146
169
147







UO only













Median
116
340
118
338
118
248


Average
1810
1510
1820
1500
1630
1920


Stdev
6210
3220
6220
3210
5240
6040


p (t-test)

0.66

0.64

0.67


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
52500
53500


n (Patient)
222
92
221
93
213
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.70
0.57
0.69
0.70
0.57
0.68
0.69
0.56


SE
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.030
0.030
0.035


p Value
 1.9E−11
 9.6E−12
0.043
 1.6E−10
 2.4E−11
0.062
5.7E−9
 9.1E−11
0.11


nCohort Recovered
167
171
222
164
170
221
160
169
213


nCohort Non-
149
145
92
152
146
93
156
147
101


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
85%
86%
82%
84%
86%
81%
83%
85%
80%


Specificity
31%
31%
25%
30%
31%
25%
30%
31%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155


Sensitivity
68%
68%
61%
66%
67%
60%
65%
67%
57%


Specificity
66%
65%
55%
65%
65%
54%
64%
64%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
909
902
909
909
902
909
909
902


Sensitivity
38%
39%
29%
38%
38%
29%
37%
38%
28%


Specificity
87%
87%
77%
87%
86%
76%
86%
86%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.41
2.65
1.49
2.34
2.70
1.38
2.14
2.53
1.34


p Value
0.0018
7.1E−4
0.20
0.0024
5.8E−4
0.29
0.0057
0.0012
0.32


Lower limit of
1.39
1.51
0.811
1.35
1.53
0.759
1.25
1.44
0.751


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.19
4.67
2.73
4.05
4.74
2.51
3.68
4.41
2.40


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.06
3.86
1.86
3.72
3.74
1.80
3.32
3.63
1.55


p Value
4.9E−9
1.6E−8
0.014
3.2E−8
3.1E−8
0.020
3.4E−7
5.6E−8
0.071


Lower limit of
2.54
2.41
1.14
2.33
2.35
1.10
2.09
2.28
0.963


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.49
6.16
3.06
5.92
5.97
2.94
5.26
5.79
2.50


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.08
4.05
1.36
3.87
3.98
1.33
3.61
3.91
1.22


p Value
7.4E−7
6.9E−7
0.27
1.8E−6
9.4E−7
0.31
5.9E−6
1.3E−6
0.47


Lower limit of
2.34
2.33
0.787
2.22
2.29
0.771
2.07
2.25
0.712


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.13
7.03
2.34
6.76
6.90
2.29
6.29
6.78
2.09


95% CI
















TABLE 19.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
81.2
447
81.2
380
81.4
354


Average
1830
1510
1850
1480
1860
1470


Stdev
6490
2980
6520
2960
6530
2950


p (t-test)

0.61

0.56

0.54


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
53500
19200


n (Patient)
202
114
200
116
199
117







sCr only













Median
65.1
553
65.1
553
65.1
553


Average
943
2790
943
2790
943
2790


Stdev
3600
7230
3600
7230
3600
7230


p (t-test)

0.0029

0.0029

0.0029


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
184
132
184
132
184
132







UO only













Median
108
344
110
341
110
338


Average
1790
1570
1800
1550
1820
1520


Stdev
6280
3180
6300
3170
6320
3140


p (t-test)

0.73

0.70

0.65


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
53500
19200


n (Patient)
216
98
215
99
213
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.61
0.67
0.59
0.61
0.67
0.58
0.61
0.67
0.58


SE
0.033
0.031
0.035
0.033
0.031
0.035
0.033
0.031
0.035


p Value
6.4E−4
2.4E−8
0.016
0.0012
2.4E−8
0.024
0.0016
2.4E−8
0.031


nCohort Recovered
202
184
216
200
184
215
199
184
213


nCohort Non-
114
132
98
116
132
99
117
132
101


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
84%
84%
82%
84%
84%
81%
84%
84%
81%


Specificity
28%
29%
25%
28%
29%
25%
28%
29%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155
155


Sensitivity
65%
67%
62%
64%
67%
62%
63%
67%
60%


Specificity
58%
62%
56%
58%
62%
55%
58%
62%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
909
902
909
909
902
909
909
902


Sensitivity
33%
39%
32%
33%
39%
31%
32%
39%
31%


Specificity
80%
85%
78%
80%
85%
78%
79%
85%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.05
2.14
1.52
1.94
2.14
1.41
1.97
2.14
1.47


p Value
0.017
0.0084
0.17
0.026
0.0084
0.25
0.022
0.0084
0.20


Lower limit of
1.13
1.22
0.837
1.08
1.22
0.785
1.10
1.22
0.815


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.69
3.76
2.76
3.46
3.76
2.54
3.52
3.76
2.64


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.60
3.26
2.06
2.43
3.26
1.99
2.36
3.26
1.86


p Value
8.3E−5
7.8E−7
0.0037
2.2E−4
7.8E−7
0.0055
3.5E−4
7.8E−7
0.012


Lower limit of
1.62
2.04
1.26
1.52
2.04
1.22
1.47
2.04
1.15


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.18
5.20
3.36
3.90
5.20
3.24
3.77
5.20
3.01


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.96
3.51
1.62
1.89
3.51
1.59
1.85
3.51
1.52


p Value
0.011
4.0E−6
0.076
0.016
4.0E−6
0.089
0.019
4.0E−6
0.12


Lower limit of
1.17
2.06
0.950
1.13
2.06
0.931
1.10
2.06
0.895


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.30
5.98
2.76
3.17
5.98
2.70
3.11
5.98
2.59


95% CI
















TABLE 19.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3380
4600
3530
4530
3530
4530


Average
3630
5170
3680
5130
3690
5090


Stdev
2270
3180
2260
3190
2260
3190


p (t-test)

0.0028

0.0052

0.0075


Min
62.8
413
62.8
413
62.8
413


Max
10700
21200
10700
21200
10700
21200


n (Patient)
49
102
48
103
46
105







sCr only













Median
3700
4680
3700
4680
3730
4670


Average
3750
5170
3750
5170
3800
5120


Stdev
2150
3280
2150
3280
2140
3290


p (t-test)

0.0056

0.0056

0.010


Min
276
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8


Max
10700
21200
10700
21200
10700
21200


n (Patient)
52
98
52
98
51
99







UO only













Median
4150
4470
4120
4470
4050
4670


Average
4550
5000
4600
4860
4430
5100


Stdev
2740
3510
2760
3390
2640
3460


p (t-test)

0.40

0.61

0.18


Min
62.8
733
62.8
513
62.8
513


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
104
46
97
53
91
59












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.63
0.52
0.64
0.63
0.51
0.64
0.62
0.55


SE
0.046
0.046
0.052
0.047
0.046
0.050
0.047
0.047
0.048


p Value
0.0010
0.0045
0.67
0.0027
0.0045
0.80
0.0037
0.011
0.30


nCohort Recovered
49
52
104
48
52
97
46
51
91


nCohort Non-
102
98
46
103
98
53
105
99
59


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740


Sensitivity
79%
78%
76%
79%
78%
75%
78%
77%
76%


Specificity
35%
31%
26%
33%
31%
26%
33%
29%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260


Sensitivity
58%
57%
52%
57%
57%
53%
57%
57%
56%


Specificity
65%
63%
51%
65%
63%
52%
65%
63%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060


Sensitivity
31%
33%
24%
31%
33%
23%
30%
32%
25%


Specificity
88%
88%
74%
88%
88%
73%
87%
88%
75%


OR Quartile 2
2.05
1.54
1.12
1.84
1.54
1.07
1.73
1.38
1.15


p Value
0.064
0.27
0.79
0.12
0.27
0.87
0.17
0.41
0.72


Lower limit of
0.959
0.721
0.498
0.858
0.721
0.493
0.798
0.643
0.539


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.38
3.27
2.50
3.95
3.27
2.32
3.73
2.95
2.46


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.58
2.32
1.13
2.45
2.32
1.19
2.50
2.19
1.48


p Value
0.0086
0.017
0.72
0.013
0.017
0.61
0.013
0.026
0.24


Lower limit of
1.27
1.16
0.566
1.20
1.16
0.609
1.22
1.10
0.766


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.24
4.63
2.27
4.97
4.63
2.33
5.13
4.39
2.86


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.28
3.72
0.896
3.15
3.72
0.799
2.92
3.58
1.01


p Value
0.014
0.0067
0.79
0.018
0.0067
0.58
0.027
0.0085
0.98


Lower limit of
1.27
1.44
0.400
1.22
1.44
0.365
1.13
1.38
0.475


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.48
9.61
2.01
8.17
9.61
1.75
7.58
9.26
2.14


95% CI
















TABLE 19.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3860
4500
3860
4500
3860
4500


Average
4290
4950
4290
4950
4310
4910


Stdev
2640
3220
2640
3220
2640
3210


p (t-test)

0.18

0.18

0.23


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
64
87
64
87
62
89







sCr only













Median
3940
4490
3940
4490
4000
4480


Average
4380
4890
4380
4890
4430
4850


Stdev
2530
3320
2530
3320
2520
3330


p (t-test)

0.30

0.30

0.40


Min
703
62.8
703
62.8
703
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
67
84
67
84
66
85







UO only













Median
4060
4710
4050
4710
3930
4780


Average
4550
5020
4540
5010
4420
5170


Stdev
2710
3580
2730
3500
2620
3520


p (t-test)

0.37

0.37

0.14


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
105
45
103
47
95
55












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.56
0.54
0.54
0.56
0.54
0.54
0.56
0.53
0.56


SE
0.047
0.047
0.052
0.047
0.047
0.051
0.047
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.18
0.41
0.50
0.18
0.41
0.43
0.22
0.57
0.19


nCohort Recovered
64
67
105
64
67
103
62
66
95


nCohort Non-
87
84
45
87
84
47
89
85
55


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740


Sensitivity
76%
74%
73%
76%
74%
74%
75%
73%
75%


Specificity
27%
24%
25%
27%
24%
25%
26%
23%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260


Sensitivity
57%
56%
58%
57%
56%
60%
57%
55%
60%


Specificity
59%
57%
53%
59%
57%
54%
60%
56%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060


Sensitivity
28%
29%
27%
28%
29%
26%
27%
28%
27%


Specificity
78%
79%
75%
78%
79%
75%
77%
79%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.14
0.884
0.905
1.14
0.884
0.985
1.06
0.793
0.990


p Value
0.73
0.75
0.81
0.73
0.75
0.97
0.88
0.54
0.98


Lower limit of
0.542
0.421
0.408
0.542
0.421
0.446
0.503
0.375
0.462


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.38
1.86
2.01
2.38
1.86
2.17
2.23
1.68
2.12


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.98
1.66
1.56
1.98
1.66
1.76
1.99
1.58
1.89


p Value
0.042
0.12
0.21
0.042
0.12
0.11
0.041
0.17
0.064


Lower limit of
1.03
0.871
0.773
1.03
0.871
0.872
1.03
0.826
0.964


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.80
3.18
3.16
3.80
3.18
3.54
3.84
3.01
3.72


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.36
1.51
1.10
1.36
1.51
1.02
1.27
1.46
1.17


p Value
0.43
0.28
0.81
0.43
0.28
0.97
0.54
0.33
0.68


Lower limit of
0.639
0.711
0.499
0.639
0.711
0.460
0.594
0.686
0.551


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.90
3.22
2.45
2.90
3.22
2.24
2.70
3.11
2.50


95% CI
















TABLE 19.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3790
4710
3860
4700
3770
4700


Average
4210
5090
4250
5040
4230
5040


Stdev
2560
3310
2550
3320
2580
3280


p (t-test)

0.072

0.11

0.095


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
73
78
72
79
70
81







sCr only













Median
3930
4670
3930
4670
3930
4670


Average
4300
5020
4300
5020
4300
5020


Stdev
2500
3380
2500
3380
2500
3380


p (t-test)

0.14

0.14

0.14


Min
703
62.8
703
62.8
703
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
74
77
74
77
74
77







UO only













Median
4050
4800
4050
4800
3930
4820


Average
4460
5230
4470
5170
4390
5230


Stdev
2610
3710
2630
3650
2580
3570


p (t-test)

0.15

0.19

0.096


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
105
45
103
47
96
54












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.56
0.56
0.57
0.56
0.55
0.58
0.56
0.58


SE
0.046
0.047
0.052
0.046
0.047
0.051
0.046
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.073
0.20
0.25
0.12
0.20
0.28
0.086
0.20
0.13


nCohort Recovered
73
74
105
72
74
103
70
74
96


nCohort Non-
78
77
45
79
77
47
81
77
54


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740


Sensitivity
77%
75%
73%
76%
75%
72%
77%
75%
74%


Specificity
27%
26%
25%
26%
26%
24%
27%
26%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260


Sensitivity
60%
58%
62%
59%
58%
62%
60%
58%
63%


Specificity
60%
58%
55%
60%
58%
55%
61%
58%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060


Sensitivity
29%
30%
29%
29%
30%
28%
28%
30%
28%


Specificity
79%
80%
76%
79%
80%
76%
79%
80%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.26
1.05
0.905
1.13
1.05
0.838
1.22
1.05
0.952


p Value
0.54
0.89
0.81
0.74
0.89
0.66
0.60
0.89
0.90


Lower limit of
0.602
0.506
0.408
0.543
0.506
0.384
0.582
0.506
0.444


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.63
2.20
2.01
2.36
2.20
1.83
2.54
2.20
2.04


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.30
1.95
2.03
2.18
1.95
2.00
2.44
1.95
2.28


p Value
0.012
0.043
0.052
0.019
0.043
0.055
0.0077
0.043
0.018


Lower limit of
1.20
1.02
0.994
1.14
1.02
0.987
1.27
1.02
1.15


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.42
3.73
4.15
4.18
3.73
4.04
4.70
3.73
4.52


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.62
1.68
1.30
1.56
1.68
1.19
1.45
1.68
1.22


p Value
0.21
0.18
0.51
0.24
0.18
0.66
0.33
0.18
0.61


Lower limit of
0.765
0.793
0.593
0.739
0.793
0.546
0.688
0.793
0.572


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.42
3.54
2.85
3.30
3.54
2.61
3.07
3.54
2.60


95% CI
















TABLE 19.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3860
4710
3920
4690
3790
4690


Average
4250
5090
4290
5040
4260
5040


Stdev
2560
3350
2550
3360
2580
3310


p (t-test)

0.083

0.12

0.11


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
76
75
75
76
73
78







sCr only













Median
3930
4580
3930
4580
3930
4580


Average
4320
5030
4320
5030
4320
5030


Stdev
2500
3420
2500
3420
2500
3420


p (t-test)

0.15

0.15

0.15


Min
703
62.8
703
62.8
703
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
77
74
77
74
77
74







UO only













Median
3930
4820
3930
4820
3920
4840


Average
4460
5160
4460
5160
4380
5230


Stdev
2670
3540
2670
3540
2600
3530


p (t-test)

0.18

0.18

0.092


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
100
50
100
50
95
55












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.56
0.56
0.57
0.56
0.56
0.57
0.56
0.58


SE
0.046
0.047
0.050
0.047
0.047
0.050
0.046
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.093
0.22
0.20
0.15
0.22
0.20
0.11
0.22
0.10


nCohort Recovered
76
77
100
75
77
100
73
77
95


nCohort Non-
75
74
50
76
74
50
78
74
55


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740


Sensitivity
77%
76%
74%
76%
76%
74%
77%
76%
75%


Specificity
28%
26%
25%
27%
26%
25%
27%
26%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260


Sensitivity
60%
58%
62%
59%
58%
62%
60%
58%
64%


Specificity
59%
57%
56%
59%
57%
56%
60%
57%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060


Sensitivity
29%
30%
26%
29%
30%
26%
28%
30%
27%


Specificity
79%
79%
75%
79%
79%
75%
78%
79%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.30
1.09
0.949
1.17
1.09
0.949
1.26
1.09
0.990


p Value
0.48
0.82
0.89
0.67
0.82
0.89
0.54
0.82
0.98


Lower limit of
0.623
0.523
0.436
0.561
0.523
0.436
0.602
0.523
0.462


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.73
2.28
2.06
2.45
2.28
2.06
2.63
2.28
2.12


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.18
1.85
2.08
2.06
1.85
2.08
2.30
1.85
2.41


p Value
0.019
0.062
0.039
0.029
0.062
0.039
0.012
0.062
0.012


Lower limit of
1.14
0.970
1.04
1.08
0.970
1.04
1.20
0.970
1.21


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.17
3.53
4.16
3.94
3.53
4.16
4.42
3.53
4.77


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.56
1.61
1.05
1.50
1.61
1.05
1.40
1.61
1.17


p Value
0.24
0.21
0.89
0.28
0.21
0.89
0.37
0.21
0.68


Lower limit of
0.741
0.768
0.484
0.715
0.768
0.484
0.666
0.768
0.551


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.27
3.39
2.29
3.16
3.39
2.29
2.94
3.39
2.50


95% CI
















TABLE 19.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
4060
4580
4090
4500
4060
4490


Average
4540
4840
4580
4780
4580
4780


Stdev
2720
3370
2710
3380
2730
3350


p (t-test)

0.55

0.68

0.69


Min
703
62.8
703
62.8
703
62.8


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
89
62
88
63
87
64







sCr only













Median
3930
4690
3930
4690
3930
4690


Average
4310
5060
4310
5060
4310
5060


Stdev
2520
3420
2520
3420
2520
3420


p (t-test)

0.12

0.12

0.12


Min
703
62.8
703
62.8
703
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
79
72
79
72
79
72







UO only













Median
3930
4790
3930
4790
3930
4750


Average
4480
5080
4480
5080
4520
5000


Stdev
2670
3520
2670
3520
2680
3490


p (t-test)

0.24

0.24

0.34


Min
413
62.8
413
62.8
413
62.8


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
98
52
98
52
96
54












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.52
0.56
0.56
0.51
0.56
0.56
0.51
0.56
0.54


SE
0.048
0.047
0.050
0.048
0.047
0.050
0.048
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.61
0.17
0.27
0.78
0.17
0.27
0.77
0.17
0.38


nCohort Recovered
89
79
98
88
79
98
87
79
96


nCohort Non-
62
72
52
63
72
52
64
72
54


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740
2740


Sensitivity
74%
78%
75%
73%
78%
75%
73%
78%
74%


Specificity
25%
28%
26%
24%
28%
26%
24%
28%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260
4230
4230
4260


Sensitivity
56%
58%
60%
56%
58%
60%
56%
58%
59%


Specificity
54%
57%
55%
53%
57%
55%
54%
57%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060
6010
6010
6060


Sensitivity
24%
28%
25%
24%
28%
25%
23%
28%
24%


Specificity
74%
77%
74%
74%
77%
74%
74%
77%
74%


OR Quartile 2
0.944
1.35
1.03
0.848
1.35
1.03
0.880
1.35
0.952


p Value
0.88
0.43
0.95
0.66
0.43
0.95
0.73
0.43
0.90


Lower limit of
0.448
0.643
0.473
0.404
0.643
0.473
0.419
0.643
0.444


95% CI


Upper limit of
1.99
2.84
2.23
1.78
2.84
2.23
1.85
2.84
2.04


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.52
1.85
1.81
1.43
1.85
1.81
1.51
1.85
1.79


p Value
0.21
0.061
0.088
0.28
0.061
0.088
0.21
0.061
0.090


Lower limit of
0.790
0.971
0.916
0.748
0.971
0.916
0.789
0.971
0.912


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.91
3.54
3.58
2.74
3.54
3.58
2.89
3.54
3.52


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
0.916
1.30
0.973
0.883
1.30
0.973
0.852
1.30
0.900


p Value
0.82
0.48
0.95
0.75
0.48
0.95
0.67
0.48
0.79


Lower limit of
0.432
0.624
0.449
0.417
0.624
0.449
0.403
0.624
0.416


95% CI


Upper limit of
1.94
2.72
2.11
1.87
2.72
2.11
1.80
2.72
1.95


95% CI









Example 20. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 15 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 15 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 20.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
65.6
585
65.6
770
77.7
784


Average
1180
2680
1140
3040
1460
2460


Stdev
5100
6030
4920
6440
5910
3940


p (t-test)

0.020

0.0044

0.16


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
52500
53500
52500
53500
19200


n (Patient)
204
112
220
96
235
81







sCr only













Median
65.2
604
65.6
803
75.3
791


Average
1170
2770
1110
3170
1450
2490


Stdev
5060
6130
4890
6520
5920
3950


p (t-test)

0.014

0.0023

0.14


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
52500
53500
52500
53500
19200


n (Patient)
207
108
222
93
234
81







UO only













Median
130
344
130
406
129
491


Average
1750
1550
1730
1670
1720
1720


Stdev
5760
3230
5730
3330
5720
3370


p (t-test)

0.83

0.95

1.00


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
18400
53500
18400
53500
18400


n (Patient)
274
40
277
37
278
36












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.71
0.58
0.73
0.74
0.60
0.72
0.72
0.61


SE
0.032
0.032
0.050
0.033
0.033
0.052
0.035
0.035
0.052


p Value
 3.6E−10
 2.6E−11
0.12
 4.4E−12
 2.8E−13
0.065
1.0E−9
 6.9E−10
0.034


nCohort Non-
204
207
274
220
222
277
235
234
278


persistent


nCohort Persistent
112
108
40
96
93
37
81
81
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
88%
90%
82%
90%
91%
84%
90%
93%
86%


Specificity
29%
30%
24%
29%
30%
24%
28%
29%
24%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
154
155
155
154
155
155
154
155


Sensitivity
71%
71%
68%
75%
75%
70%
77%
74%
72%


Specificity
61%
61%
53%
61%
60%
53%
59%
58%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
912
902
909
912
902
909
912
902


Sensitivity
42%
44%
32%
46%
48%
35%
46%
47%
36%


Specificity
84%
85%
76%
84%
85%
76%
82%
82%
76%


OR Quartile 2
2.92
3.86
1.50
3.53
4.50
1.65
3.56
5.12
2.01


p Value
9.7E−4
1.3E−4
0.36
5.6E−4
1.6E−4
0.29
0.0015
2.7E−4
0.16


Lower limit of
1.54
1.93
0.632
1.72
2.06
0.659
1.63
2.13
0.751


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.51
7.69
3.54
7.22
9.81
4.12
7.80
12.3
5.37


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.79
3.86
2.30
4.67
4.63
2.63
4.72
3.97
2.92


p Value
1.3E−7
1.3E−7
0.020
1.7E−8
3.0E−8
0.011
1.3E−7
1.5E−6
0.0062


Lower limit of
2.31
2.34
1.14
2.74
2.69
1.25
2.66
2.26
1.36


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.21
6.38
4.65
7.99
7.97
5.54
8.41
6.95
6.28


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.89
4.21
1.52
4.47
5.18
1.73
3.86
4.16
1.82


p Value
5.7E−7
1.4E−7
0.25
5.4E−8
3.6E−9
0.14
1.5E−6
4.0E−7
0.11


Lower limit of
2.28
2.47
0.741
2.61
3.00
0.835
2.23
2.40
0.871


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.62
7.20
3.11
7.68
8.95
3.59
6.70
7.22
3.78


95% CI
















TABLE 20.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
59.2
576
59.2
618
65.6
616


Average
1170
2490
1100
2820
1460
2290


Stdev
5270
5700
5040
6070
6080
3820


p (t-test)

0.034

0.0075

0.21


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
52500
53500
52500
53500
19200


n (Patient)
185
131
203
113
218
98







sCr only













Median
60.0
577
59.2
717
65.2
616


Average
1140
2610
1090
2900
1460
2300


Stdev
5190
5840
5020
6140
6090
3820


p (t-test)

0.021

0.0050

0.21


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
52500
53500
52500
53500
19200


n (Patient)
191
124
205
110
217
98







UO only













Median
118
406
118
488
118
521


Average
1790
1450
1760
1530
1760
1560


Stdev
5950
2870
5910
2960
5900
2980


p (t-test)

0.67

0.78

0.81


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
18400
53500
18400
53500
18400


n (Patient)
255
59
259
55
260
54












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.71
0.60
0.73
0.73
0.61
0.71
0.71
0.62


SE
0.030
0.031
0.042
0.031
0.031
0.044
0.033
0.033
0.044


p Value
 2.7E−11
 1.4E−11
0.020
 2.3E−13
 3.9E−14
0.014
 3.3E−10
 2.8E−10
0.0069


nCohort Non-
185
191
255
203
205
259
218
217
260


persistent


nCohort Persistent
131
124
59
113
110
55
98
98
54


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
87%
89%
85%
89%
91%
85%
89%
91%
87%


Specificity
31%
31%
25%
31%
31%
25%
29%
30%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
154
155
155
154
155
155
154
155


Sensitivity
70%
70%
68%
73%
74%
69%
74%
72%
70%


Specificity
64%
63%
54%
63%
62%
54%
61%
60%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
912
902
909
912
902
909
912
902


Sensitivity
40%
42%
31%
43%
45%
33%
42%
43%
33%


Specificity
85%
86%
76%
85%
86%
76%
83%
83%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.99
3.60
1.86
3.70
4.54
1.97
3.21
4.23
2.28


p Value
3.3E−4
7.6E−5
0.11
1.3E−4
3.3E−5
0.097
9.4E−4
1.5E−4
0.054


Lower limit of
1.64
1.91
0.867
1.90
2.22
0.884
1.61
2.01
0.984


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.43
6.79
4.00
7.22
9.27
4.38
6.42
8.90
5.30


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.25
3.97
2.48
4.72
4.64
2.63
4.57
3.93
2.81


p Value
3.5E−9
2.3E−8
0.0029
1.8E−9
3.5E−9
0.0023
1.9E−8
2.5E−7
0.0014


Lower limit of
2.63
2.45
1.36
2.85
2.79
1.41
2.69
2.34
1.49


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.88
6.45
4.52
7.83
7.73
4.90
7.76
6.61
5.30


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.85
4.39
1.40
4.42
5.06
1.58
3.41
3.65
1.63


p Value
8.8E−7
8.6E−8
0.29
6.1E−8
5.0E−9
0.16
6.4E−6
2.0E−6
0.13


Lower limit of
2.25
2.55
0.748
2.58
2.94
0.839
2.00
2.14
0.865


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.59
7.54
2.61
7.56
8.71
2.97
5.80
6.22
3.08


95% CI
















TABLE 20.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
55.7
585
55.3
692
63.1
635


Average
1100
2470
1030
2740
1400
2290


Stdev
5340
5580
5130
5840
6200
3820


p (t-test)

0.026

0.0065

0.17


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
52500
53500
52500
53500
19200


n (Patient)
174
142
189
127
204
112







sCr only













Median
56.1
596
55.7
784
65.0
616


Average
1070
2600
1020
2850
1390
2350


Stdev
5240
5720
5070
5960
6150
3880


p (t-test)

0.014

0.0038

0.14


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
52500
53500
52500
53500
19200


n (Patient)
181
134
194
121
207
108







UO only













Median
118
406
118
521
118
521


Average
1780
1510
1750
1610
1750
1610


Stdev
6040
2930
5980
3010
5980
3010


p (t-test)

0.72

0.86

0.86


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
18400
53500
18400
53500
18400


n (Patient)
245
69
250
64
250
64












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.71
0.72
0.59
0.74
0.74
0.61
0.71
0.72
0.61


SE
0.029
0.029
0.040
0.029
0.030
0.041
0.031
0.032
0.041


p Value
 3.3E−13
 4.0E−14
0.018
 4.4E−16
2.2E−16
0.0070
 1.2E−11
 1.1E−11
0.0070


nCohort Non-
174
181
245
189
194
250
204
207
250


persistent


nCohort Persistent
142
134
69
127
121
64
112
108
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
87%
89%
84%
89%
91%
86%
88%
91%
86%


Specificity
32%
33%
25%
32%
32%
26%
30%
31%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
154
155
155
154
155
155
154
155


Sensitivity
70%
70%
65%
72%
73%
67%
72%
71%
67%


Specificity
66%
65%
54%
65%
64%
54%
62%
61%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
912
902
909
912
902
909
912
902


Sensitivity
40%
43%
30%
44%
46%
33%
42%
44%
33%


Specificity
87%
88%
76%
88%
88%
77%
84%
85%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.99
3.84
1.79
3.75
4.81
2.10
3.25
4.39
2.10


p Value
2.1E−4
2.2E−5
0.11
4.3E−5
7.9E−6 
0.055
3.9E−4
5.0E−5
0.055


Lower limit of
1.68
2.06
0.882
1.99
2.42
0.984
1.69
2.15
0.984


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.34
7.14
3.62
7.08
9.58
4.50
6.23
8.96
4.50


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.49
4.30
2.23
4.90
4.72
2.44
4.31
3.86
2.44


p Value
 6.4E−10
2.5E−9
0.0047
 2.2E−10
8.4E−10
0.0025
1.1E−8
1.3E−7
0.0025


Lower limit of
2.79
2.66
1.28
3.00
2.88
1.37
2.61
2.34
1.37


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.22
6.94
3.88
8.00
7.76
4.35
7.12
6.38
4.35


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.63
5.35
1.41
5.69
6.41
1.62
3.89
4.21
1.62


p Value
7.6E−8
5.0E−9
0.25
1.1E−9
1.0E−10
0.12
5.7E−7
1.4E−7
0.12


Lower limit of
2.65
3.05
0.781
3.25
3.65
0.888
2.28
2.47
0.888


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.10
9.39
2.55
9.96
11.2
2.94
6.62
7.20
2.94


95% CI
















TABLE 20.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
54.2
585
54.2
671
60.6
616


Average
1100
2450
1040
2720
1160
2670


Stdev
5380
5540
5150
5820
5100
6000


p (t-test)

0.029

0.0073

0.019


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
52500
53500
52500
53500
52500


n (Patient)
172
144
188
128
200
116







sCr only














Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort


Median
56.1
585
55.3
701
61.1
616


Average
1080
2560
1030
2790
1150
2740


Stdev
5270
5680
5110
5900
5060
6090


p (t-test)

0.017

0.0053

0.014


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
52500
53500
52500
53500
52500


n (Patient)
179
136
191
124
203
112







UO only













Median
116
351
116
380
116
380


Average
1750
1650
1710
1760
1710
1760


Stdev
6010
3470
5940
3590
5940
3590


p (t-test)

0.90

0.95

0.95


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
53500
19200


n (Patient)
238
76
244
70
244
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.72
0.72
0.60
0.74
0.74
0.61
0.71
0.72
0.61


SE
0.029
0.030
0.038
0.029
0.030
0.040
0.031
0.031
0.040


p Value
 1.3E−13
 2.7E−13
0.011
 6.7E−16
 6.7E−16
0.0061
 7.6E−12
 6.2E−12
0.0061


nCohort Non-
172
179
238
188
191
244
200
203
244


persistent


nCohort Persistent
144
136
76
128
124
70
116
112
70


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
87%
88%
84%
89%
90%
86%
89%
90%
86%


Specificity
32%
32%
26%
32%
32%
26%
30%
31%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
154
155
155
154
155
155
154
155


Sensitivity
69%
69%
66%
72%
72%
67%
71%
71%
67%


Specificity
66%
64%
55%
65%
64%
55%
62%
61%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
912
902
909
912
902
909
912
902


Sensitivity
40%
42%
30%
44%
45%
31%
41%
43%
31%


Specificity
88%
88%
76%
88%
88%
77%
84%
85%
77%


OR Quartile 2
3.09
3.60
1.84
3.82
4.49
2.09
3.48
4.13
2.09


p Value
1.3E−4
3.7E−5
0.080
3.5E−5
1.1E−5
0.047
1.7E−4
5.5E−5
0.047


Lower limit of
1.73
1.96
0.930
2.02
2.30
1.01
1.81
2.07
1.01


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.52
6.61
3.63
7.20
8.75
4.33
6.67
8.24
4.33


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.47
4.02
2.35
4.72
4.50
2.49
3.93
3.76
2.49


p Value
 6.6E−10
9.4E−9
0.0018
 4.5E−10
1.8E−9
0.0014
4.6E−8
1.6E−7
0.0014


Lower limit of
2.78
2.50
1.37
2.90
2.75
1.42
2.41
2.29
1.42


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.18
6.47
4.03
7.70
7.34
4.35
6.43
6.16
4.35


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.85
5.15
1.41
5.58
6.02
1.50
3.85
4.16
1.50


p Value
4.3E−8
1.1E−8
0.24
1.6E−9
 3.7E−10
0.17
6.9E−7
1.8E−7
0.17


Lower limit of
2.76
2.94
0.795
3.19
3.43
0.837
2.26
2.44
0.837


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.53
9.03
2.50
9.76
10.5
2.70
6.55
7.11
2.70


95% CI
















TABLE 20.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
54.2
585
53.2
692
59.6
616


Average
798
2760
754
3040
1170
2600


Stdev
3610
6900
3460
7220
5150
5910


p (t-test)

0.0014

2.2E−4

0.024


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
53500
52500


n (Patient)
168
148
183
133
196
120







sCr only













Median
56.1
585
55.3
701
61.1
616


Average
787
2890
752
3130
899
3130


Stdev
3540
7070
3430
7350
3490
7630


p (t-test)

6.9E−4

1.4E−4

4.7E−4


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
175
140
187
128
199
116







UO only













Median
106
406
104
447
104
447


Average
1730
1710
1710
1760
1710
1760


Stdev
6070
3420
6030
3470
6030
3470


p (t-test)

0.98

0.94

0.94


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
53500
19200


n (Patient)
233
81
236
78
236
78












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.72
0.72
0.62
0.75
0.74
0.62
0.72
0.72
0.62


SE
0.029
0.029
0.037
0.029
0.029
0.038
0.031
0.031
0.038


p Value
 3.4E−14
 1.0E−13
0.0019
0
 2.2E−16
0.0012
 2.3E−12
 3.5E−12
0.0012


nCohort Non-
168
175
233
183
187
236
196
199
236


persistent


nCohort Persistent
148
140
81
133
128
78
120
116
78


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
86%
87%
85%
89%
89%
86%
89%
89%
86%


Specificity
32%
32%
26%
33%
32%
26%
31%
31%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
154
155
155
154
155
155
154
155


Sensitivity
69%
69%
68%
72%
71%
69%
71%
70%
69%


Specificity
67%
65%
56%
66%
64%
56%
63%
61%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
912
902
909
912
902
909
912
902


Sensitivity
41%
42%
32%
44%
45%
33%
42%
43%
33%


Specificity
89%
89%
77%
89%
89%
78%
85%
85%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.03
3.19
2.04
4.15
3.85
2.17
3.72
3.50
2.17


p Value
1.4E−4
1.1E−4
0.040
1.1E−5 
3.1E−5
0.030
7.5E−5
1.6E−4
0.030


Lower limit of
1.71
1.77
1.03
2.20
2.04
1.08
1.94
1.83
1.08


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.37
5.74
4.02
7.82
7.25
4.37
7.13
6.71
4.37


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.43
3.98
2.72
5.06
4.41
2.91
4.09
3.67
2.91


p Value
 6.9E−10
1.0E−8
2.4E−4
6.9E−11
2.1E−9
1.3E−4
1.6E−8
1.8E−7
1.3E−4


Lower limit of
2.76
2.48
1.59
3.11
2.71
1.68
2.51
2.25
1.68


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.12
6.38
4.63
8.24
7.16
5.01
6.67
5.98
5.01


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.35
5.65
1.61
6.50
6.55
1.73
4.11
4.44
1.73


p Value
1.4E−8
3.4E−9
0.096
2.0E−10
 1.2E−10
0.057
2.3E−7
5.8E−8
0.057


Lower limit of
3.00
3.18
0.919
3.65
3.70
0.985
2.41
2.59
0.985


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.54
10.0
2.81
11.6
11.6
3.03
7.03
7.61
3.03


95% CI
















TABLE 20.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
4090
4500
4090
4500
4170
4300


Average
4460
5020
4470
5090
4630
4780


Stdev
2710
3430
2690
3590
2790
3560


p (t-test)

0.27

0.24

0.78


Min
62.8
413
62.8
413
62.8
413


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
96
55
104
47
111
40







sCr only













Median
4150
4490
4120
4500
4230
4300


Average
4520
4930
4480
5090
4660
4720


Stdev
2700
3470
2660
3650
2780
3560


p (t-test)

0.42

0.26

0.91


Min
276
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
94
56
103
47
108
42







UO only













Median
4170
4800
4170
4800
4150
4880


Average
4560
5570
4560
5570
4540
5820


Stdev
2670
4660
2670
4660
2680
4660


p (t-test)

0.17

0.17

0.089


Min
62.8
1120
62.8
1120
62.8
1630


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
131
19
131
19
132
18












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.54
0.52
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.49
0.49
0.57


SE
0.049
0.049
0.072
0.051
0.051
0.072
0.054
0.053
0.074


p Value
0.44
0.65
0.54
0.43
0.43
0.54
0.89
0.80
0.32


nCohort Non-
96
94
131
104
103
131
111
108
132


persistent


nCohort Persistent
55
56
19
47
47
19
40
42
18


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740


Sensitivity
75%
73%
68%
79%
79%
68%
78%
76%
72%


Specificity
25%
24%
24%
27%
27%
24%
26%
26%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260


Sensitivity
56%
54%
63%
57%
55%
63%
52%
50%
67%


Specificity
53%
52%
52%
53%
52%
52%
50%
50%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060


Sensitivity
29%
29%
26%
28%
30%
26%
20%
21%
28%


Specificity
77%
77%
75%
76%
77%
75%
73%
73%
75%


OR Quartile 2
0.976
0.885
0.700
1.36
1.38
0.700
1.22
1.12
0.867


p Value
0.95
0.75
0.50
0.46
0.44
0.50
0.65
0.79
0.80


Lower limit of
0.455
0.416
0.246
0.599
0.607
0.246
0.518
0.488
0.287


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.09
1.89
1.99
3.10
3.14
1.99
2.86
2.57
2.61


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.46
1.26
1.85
1.52
1.36
1.85
1.13
1.00
2.19


p Value
0.26
0.50
0.22
0.24
0.38
0.22
0.75
1.0
0.14


Lower limit of
0.751
0.647
0.685
0.756
0.682
0.685
0.546
0.490
0.776


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.85
2.44
5.00
3.04
2.73
5.00
2.32
2.04
6.18


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.38
1.31
1.06
1.21
1.40
1.06
0.675
0.743
1.15


p Value
0.40
0.48
0.92
0.64
0.40
0.92
0.38
0.49
0.80


Lower limit of
0.651
0.618
0.355
0.553
0.644
0.355
0.280
0.317
0.383


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.93
2.77
3.17
2.64
3.03
3.17
1.63
1.74
3.48


95% CI
















TABLE 20.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
4000
4480
4000
4480
4170
4420


Average
4440
4980
4480
4980
4640
4720


Stdev
2720
3350
2750
3360
2850
3300


p (t-test)

0.28

0.32

0.88


Min
62.8
413
62.8
413
62.8
413


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
88
63
94
57
101
50







sCr only













Median
4090
4490
4060
4500
4170
4370


Average
4490
4930
4460
5020
4640
4730


Stdev
2680
3430
2650
3500
2770
3440


p (t-test)

0.38

0.26

0.87


Min
276
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
88
62
93
57
99
51







UO only













Median
4170
4670
4170
4670
4150
4690


Average
4600
5110
4600
5110
4570
5260


Stdev
2710
4090
2710
4090
2710
4090


p (t-test)

0.42

0.42

0.29


Min
62.8
513
62.8
513
62.8
513


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
123
27
123
27
124
26












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.54
0.53
0.52
0.54
0.54
0.52
0.50
0.49
0.54


SE
0.048
0.048
0.062
0.049
0.049
0.062
0.050
0.050
0.063


p Value
0.39
0.55
0.80
0.39
0.39
0.80
0.98
0.89
0.57


nCohort Non-
88
88
123
94
93
123
101
99
124


persistent


nCohort Persistent
63
62
27
57
57
27
50
51
26


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740


Sensitivity
76%
74%
70%
79%
77%
70%
78%
75%
73%


Specificity
26%
25%
24%
28%
27%
24%
27%
25%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260


Sensitivity
57%
55%
59%
58%
56%
59%
54%
51%
62%


Specificity
55%
53%
52%
54%
54%
52%
51%
51%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060


Sensitivity
27%
27%
22%
26%
28%
22%
20%
22%
23%


Specificity
76%
76%
74%
76%
76%
74%
72%
73%
74%


OR Quartile 2
1.13
0.958
0.766
1.43
1.24
0.766
1.29
0.988
0.905


p Value
0.75
0.91
0.57
0.37
0.58
0.57
0.53
0.97
0.84


Lower limit of
0.535
0.455
0.304
0.657
0.576
0.304
0.581
0.455
0.347


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.40
2.02
1.93
3.13
2.69
1.93
2.88
2.15
2.36


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.60
1.39
1.58
1.63
1.49
1.58
1.25
1.06
1.76


p Value
0.16
0.32
0.29
0.15
0.24
0.29
0.53
0.86
0.20


Lower limit of
0.834
0.725
0.678
0.839
0.767
0.678
0.632
0.540
0.742


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.07
2.67
3.67
3.17
2.89
3.67
2.46
2.09
4.19


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.18
1.21
0.812
1.10
1.26
0.812
0.652
0.733
0.862


p Value
0.66
0.62
0.68
0.80
0.55
0.68
0.31
0.45
0.77


Lower limit of
0.562
0.574
0.301
0.519
0.595
0.301
0.287
0.329
0.318


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.47
2.53
2.19
2.34
2.67
2.19
1.48
1.63
2.34


95% CI
















TABLE 20.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3930
4580
3930
4500
4090
4480


Average
4370
5030
4390
5030
4530
4880


Stdev
2750
3260
2730
3310
2830
3270


p (t-test)

0.18

0.20

0.49


Min
62.8
413
62.8
413
62.8
413


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
83
68
86
65
94
57







sCr only













Median
3930
4580
3930
4580
4120
4480


Average
4420
4980
4430
5000
4590
4810


Stdev
2720
3310
2690
3380
2800
3330


p (t-test)

0.26

0.25

0.66


Min
276
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
82
68
86
64
93
57







UO only













Median
4060
4780
4060
4780
4050
4790


Average
4550
5150
4550
5150
4520
5270


Stdev
2750
3690
2750
3690
2750
3680


p (t-test)

0.30

0.30

0.20


Min
62.8
513
62.8
513
62.8
513


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
115
35
115
35
116
34












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.56
0.55
0.55
0.56
0.55
0.55
0.53
0.52
0.57


SE
0.047
0.047
0.057
0.047
0.048
0.057
0.049
0.049
0.057


p Value
0.18
0.27
0.37
0.22
0.29
0.37
0.51
0.73
0.23


nCohort Non-
83
82
115
86
86
115
94
93
116


persistent


nCohort Persistent
68
68
35
65
64
35
57
57
34


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740


Sensitivity
78%
76%
74%
78%
77%
74%
79%
75%
76%


Specificity
28%
27%
25%
28%
27%
25%
28%
26%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260


Sensitivity
59%
57%
63%
58%
58%
63%
56%
54%
65%


Specificity
57%
56%
54%
56%
56%
54%
53%
53%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060


Sensitivity
28%
28%
26%
28%
28%
26%
25%
25%
26%


Specificity
77%
77%
75%
77%
77%
75%
74%
74%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.35
1.19
0.974
1.41
1.19
0.974
1.43
1.07
1.13


p Value
0.43
0.64
0.95
0.37
0.65
0.95
0.37
0.86
0.78


Lower limit of
0.641
0.567
0.409
0.662
0.563
0.409
0.657
0.499
0.463


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.86
2.51
2.32
3.00
2.52
2.32
3.13
2.29
2.77


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.87
1.72
1.98
1.78
1.73
1.98
1.45
1.33
2.18


p Value
0.060
0.10
0.085
0.083
0.100
0.085
0.27
0.40
0.054


Lower limit of
0.974
0.898
0.910
0.927
0.900
0.910
0.751
0.685
0.986


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.57
3.29
4.31
3.41
3.33
4.31
2.82
2.57
4.81


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.31
1.29
1.03
1.26
1.29
1.03
0.950
0.936
1.08


p Value
0.48
0.50
0.95
0.53
0.50
0.95
0.89
0.86
0.86


Lower limit of
0.625
0.615
0.431
0.604
0.616
0.431
0.444
0.437
0.452


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.73
2.69
2.44
2.65
2.71
2.44
2.03
2.00
2.58


95% CI
















TABLE 20.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3920
4690
3930
4580
4060
4490


Average
4350
5040
4380
5040
4520
4880


Stdev
2780
3210
2740
3280
2860
3200


p (t-test)

0.16

0.18

0.48


Min
62.8
413
62.8
413
62.8
413


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
81
70
85
66
91
60







sCr only













Median
3930
4670
3930
4580
4090
4490


Average
4410
4990
4430
4990
4570
4820


Stdev
2740
3280
2720
3330
2840
3260


p (t-test)

0.24

0.26

0.62


Min
276
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
81
69
84
66
90
60







UO only













Median
3940
4800
3990
4790
3940
4800


Average
4500
5200
4510
5200
4480
5300


Stdev
2760
3510
2750
3560
2760
3540


p (t-test)

0.21

0.21

0.14


Min
62.8
513
62.8
513
62.8
513


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
109
41
110
40
111
39












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.57
0.56
0.57
0.56
0.55
0.57
0.54
0.53
0.58


SE
0.047
0.047
0.054
0.047
0.048
0.054
0.048
0.048
0.054


p Value
0.12
0.22
0.20
0.18
0.28
0.23
0.44
0.60
0.14


nCohort Non-
81
81
109
85
84
110
91
90
111


persistent


nCohort Persistent
70
69
41
66
66
40
60
60
39


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740


Sensitivity
79%
77%
76%
79%
77%
75%
78%
77%
77%


Specificity
28%
27%
26%
28%
27%
25%
27%
27%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260


Sensitivity
60%
58%
63%
59%
58%
62%
57%
55%
64%


Specificity
58%
57%
55%
56%
56%
55%
54%
53%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060


Sensitivity
27%
28%
24%
27%
27%
25%
25%
25%
26%


Specificity
77%
77%
74%
76%
76%
75%
75%
74%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.45
1.24
1.07
1.46
1.28
1.02
1.37
1.19
1.18


p Value
0.33
0.58
0.87
0.33
0.52
0.95
0.42
0.65
0.71


Lower limit of
0.688
0.587
0.466
0.686
0.606
0.445
0.636
0.559
0.500


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.07
2.60
2.46
3.11
2.71
2.36
2.95
2.55
2.78


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.07
1.81
2.12
1.87
1.72
2.00
1.53
1.40
2.18


p Value
0.028
0.073
0.046
0.059
0.10
0.067
0.21
0.32
0.043


Lower limit of
1.08
0.947
1.01
0.977
0.899
0.952
0.792
0.725
1.03


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.97
3.47
4.44
3.60
3.31
4.20
2.94
2.69
4.63


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.22
1.24
0.933
1.22
1.20
0.976
0.986
0.971
1.02


p Value
0.60
0.57
0.87
0.60
0.63
0.95
0.97
0.94
0.96


Lower limit of
0.582
0.593
0.406
0.583
0.573
0.424
0.465
0.458
0.443


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.54
2.59
2.14
2.55
2.51
2.25
2.09
2.06
2.36


95% CI
















TABLE 20.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3930
4670
3930
4580
4090
4480


Average
4330
5030
4350
5030
4590
4770


Stdev
2660
3300
2640
3350
2860
3190


p (t-test)

0.15

0.17

0.71


Min
276
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
78
73
81
70
88
63







sCr only













Median
3930
4670
3930
4580
4090
4490


Average
4340
5050
4360
5050
4510
4900


Stdev
2640
3340
2620
3390
2760
3330


p (t-test)

0.15

0.16

0.44


Min
276
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8


Max
11800
21200
11800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
79
71
82
68
88
62







UO only













Median
3930
4790
3930
4790
3930
4800


Average
4500
5170
4500
5170
4470
5270


Stdev
2780
3480
2780
3480
2780
3460


p (t-test)

0.22

0.22

0.15


Min
62.8
513
62.8
513
62.8
513


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
108
42
108
42
109
41












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.57
0.56
0.57
0.56
0.56
0.57
0.52
0.53
0.58


SE
0.047
0.047
0.053
0.047
0.047
0.053
0.048
0.048
0.053


p Value
0.16
0.17
0.21
0.20
0.22
0.21
0.66
0.51
0.12


nCohort Non-
78
79
108
81
82
108
88
88
109


persistent


nCohort Persistent
73
71
42
70
68
42
63
62
41


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740


Sensitivity
78%
77%
76%
79%
78%
76%
78%
77%
78%


Specificity
28%
28%
26%
28%
28%
26%
27%
27%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260


Sensitivity
59%
58%
62%
59%
57%
62%
56%
55%
63%


Specificity
58%
57%
55%
57%
56%
55%
53%
53%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060


Sensitivity
27%
28%
24%
27%
28%
24%
24%
26%
24%


Specificity
77%
77%
74%
77%
77%
74%
74%
75%
74%


OR Quartile 2
1.40
1.33
1.12
1.45
1.38
1.12
1.31
1.29
1.29


p Value
0.37
0.46
0.79
0.33
0.40
0.79
0.48
0.52
0.56


Lower limit of
0.666
0.631
0.488
0.688
0.651
0.488
0.616
0.603
0.549


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.94
2.79
2.57
3.07
2.91
2.57
2.80
2.74
3.02


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.95
1.81
1.96
1.86
1.72
1.96
1.43
1.39
2.12


p Value
0.042
0.073
0.071
0.061
0.10
0.071
0.28
0.32
0.046


Lower limit of
1.02
0.946
0.944
0.972
0.898
0.944
0.748
0.725
1.01


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.73
3.46
4.06
3.55
3.29
4.06
2.74
2.67
4.44


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.26
1.33
0.893
1.22
1.29
0.893
0.883
1.04
0.933


p Value
0.54
0.45
0.79
0.60
0.50
0.79
0.75
0.91
0.87


Lower limit of
0.602
0.636
0.389
0.582
0.615
0.389
0.417
0.495
0.406


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.63
2.78
2.05
2.54
2.69
2.05
1.87
2.20
2.14


95% CI









Example 21. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 15 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 15 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 21.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
22.1
428
59.2
423
58.2
565


Average
764
2280
881
2540
859
2820


Stdev
4180
6070
3730
6700
3560
7110


p (t-test)

0.017

0.0070

0.0015


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
118
198
157
159
178
138







sCr only













Median
22.1
428
59.2
434
57.2
596


Average
738
2400
843
2640
812
2980


Stdev
4000
6250
3680
6790
3510
7250


p (t-test)

0.0080

0.0036

5.0E−4


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
129
186
161
154
183
132







UO only













Median
108
420
127
434
127
585


Average
1750
1620
1740
1630
1710
1780


Stdev
6070
2990
5930
3050
5860
3210


p (t-test)

0.86

0.88

0.94


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
18400
53500
18400
53500
18400


n (Patient)
240
74
255
59
262
52












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.73
0.61
0.67
0.68
0.59
0.69
0.71
0.61


SE
0.028
0.028
0.039
0.030
0.030
0.042
0.030
0.030
0.045


p Value
0
2.2E−16
0.0048
2.6E−8
1.5E−9
0.026
 1.1E−10
 1.5E−12
0.011


nCohort Non-
118
129
240
157
161
255
178
183
262


persistent


nCohort Persistent
198
186
74
159
154
59
138
132
52


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
85%
85%
85%
84%
85%
81%
86%
86%
83%


Specificity
37%
36%
26%
31%
32%
24%
30%
31%
24%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
154
155
155
154
155
155
154
155


Sensitivity
65%
66%
65%
63%
64%
66%
67%
70%
69%


Specificity
75%
72%
55%
63%
63%
54%
63%
64%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
912
902
909
912
902
909
912
902


Sensitivity
36%
37%
32%
36%
38%
32%
40%
42%
35%


Specificity
93%
92%
77%
87%
87%
76%
87%
87%
77%


OR Quartile 2
3.33
3.38
1.99
2.25
2.64
1.40
2.57
2.79
1.54


p Value
1.2E−5
1.1E−5 
0.054
0.0032
5.9E−4
0.35
0.0012
6.2E−4
0.27


Lower limit of
1.94
1.96
0.988
1.31
1.52
0.686
1.45
1.55
0.714


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.71
5.81
4.03
3.87
4.59
2.87
4.55
5.03
3.34


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
5.36
4.92
2.22
2.89
3.11
2.26
3.59
4.08
2.62


p Value
 8.1E−11
1.7E−10
0.0039
5.1E−6
1.3E−6
0.0069
8.9E−8
8.5E−9
0.0030


Lower limit of
3.23
3.02
1.29
1.83
1.96
1.25
2.25
2.53
1.39


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.90
8.03
3.81
4.57
4.93
4.09
5.74
6.58
4.96


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
7.69
7.02
1.61
3.72
4.03
1.54
4.25
5.13
1.74


p Value
2.4E−7
7.7E−8 
0.10
4.6E−6
1.2E−6
0.17
2.3E−7
8.8E−9
0.088


Lower limit of
3.54
3.45
0.911
2.12
2.29
0.832
2.46
2.94
0.921


95% CI


Upper limit of
16.7
14.3
2.86
6.52
7.07
2.86
7.36
8.95
3.31


95% CI
















TABLE 21.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
22.0
423
53.2
436
54.2
565


Average
793
2220
857
2450
849
2650


Stdev
4300
5980
3850
6490
3700
6810


p (t-test)

0.027

0.0096

0.0034


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
111
205
146
170
164
152







sCr only













Median
22.0
428
53.2
436
53.2
576


Average
750
2360
836
2550
830
2740


Stdev
4060
6190
3770
6630
3650
6910


p (t-test)

0.011

0.0053

0.0020


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
125
190
153
162
168
147







UO only













Median
88.0
406
110
434
113
565


Average
1750
1650
1740
1680
1700
1790


Stdev
6210
3290
6030
3410
5950
3540


p (t-test)

0.87

0.93

0.91


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
53500
19200


n (Patient)
221
93
237
77
244
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.73
0.61
0.69
0.70
0.60
0.70
0.71
0.61


SE
0.028
0.028
0.036
0.029
0.029
0.038
0.029
0.029
0.040


p Value
0
0
0.0025
 1.2E−10
 2.9E−11
0.0086
 3.9E−12
 3.2E−13
0.0038


nCohort Non-
111
125
221
146
153
237
164
168
244


persistent


nCohort Persistent
205
190
93
170
162
77
152
147
70


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
84%
86%
84%
84%
86%
82%
85%
86%
83%


Specificity
38%
38%
26%
32%
33%
25%
31%
32%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
154
155
155
154
155
155
154
155


Sensitivity
64%
65%
63%
64%
65%
65%
68%
69%
67%


Specificity
76%
73%
56%
66%
65%
55%
66%
66%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
912
902
909
912
902
909
912
902


Sensitivity
35%
36%
31%
36%
38%
31%
39%
40%
33%


Specificity
93%
92%
77%
88%
88%
77%
88%
88%
77%


OR Quartile 2
3.29
3.64
1.85
2.51
3.02
1.49
2.53
3.01
1.61


p Value
1.4E−5
3.4E−6
0.055
7.9E−4
9.3E−5
0.23
0.0010
1.6E−4
0.17


Lower limit of
1.92
2.11
0.987
1.47
1.74
0.779
1.46
1.70
0.811


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.64
6.27
3.47
4.31
5.26
2.86
4.40
5.33
3.20


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
5.51
5.03
2.18
3.54
3.48
2.25
4.17
4.28
2.49


p Value
 1.2E−10
 1.5E−10
0.0022
1.0E−7
1.4E−7
0.0029
2.6E−9
1.7E−9
0.0014


Lower limit of
3.28
3.07
1.32
2.22
2.19
1.32
2.60
2.66
1.42


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.25
8.24
3.59
5.63
5.53
3.84
6.66
6.86
4.35


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
6.82
6.56
1.55
4.36
4.53
1.50
4.57
4.96
1.64


p Value
1.2E−6
2.1E−7
0.11
1.2E−6
4.3E−7
0.16
1.8E−7
4.0E−8
0.094


Lower limit of
3.14
3.22
0.903
2.40
2.52
0.848
2.58
2.80
0.919


95% CI


Upper limit of
14.8
13.3
2.66
7.89
8.14
2.65
8.08
8.79
2.94


95% CI
















TABLE 21.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
22.1
414
53.2
434
53.2
550


Average
800
2210
870
2420
866
2560


Stdev
4320
5970
3890
6440
3770
6670


p (t-test)

0.030

0.012

0.0060


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
110
206
143
173
157
159







sCr only













Median
22.1
414
54.2
434
54.2
550


Average
762
2330
848
2510
855
2640


Stdev
4090
6160
3800
6580
3720
6790


p (t-test)

0.013

0.0070

0.0039


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
123
192
150
165
162
153







UO only













Median
91.3
347
116
351
118
406


Average
1810
1540
1780
1570
1740
1660


Stdev
6340
3150
6180
3250
6100
3360


p (t-test)

0.67

0.76

0.91


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
53500
19200


n (Patient)
211
103
224
90
231
83












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.72
0.59
0.68
0.69
0.58
0.70
0.70
0.59


SE
0.028
0.028
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.029
0.029
0.037


p Value
4.4E−16
1.3E−15
0.0084
6.1E−10
 1.5E−10
0.029
 2.2E−11
 1.4E−11
0.016


nCohort Non-
110
123
211
143
150
224
157
162
231


persistent


nCohort Persistent
206
192
103
173
165
90
159
153
83


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
84%
85%
83%
83%
85%
80%
84%
86%
81%


Specificity
37%
37%
26%
31%
33%
25%
31%
32%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
154
155
155
154
155
155
154
155


Sensitivity
64%
65%
60%
64%
64%
60%
66%
67%
61%


Specificity
75%
72%
55%
66%
65%
54%
66%
65%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
912
902
909
912
902
909
912
902


Sensitivity
34%
36%
31%
36%
37%
31%
38%
39%
33%


Specificity
93%
92%
78%
88%
88%
77%
88%
88%
77%


OR Quartile 2
3.12
3.24
1.66
2.28
2.72
1.30
2.43
2.81
1.37


p Value
3.3E−5 
1.9E−5 
0.093
0.0024
3.3E−4
0.39
0.0014
2.9E−4
0.32


Lower limit of
1.82
1.89
0.919
1.34
1.57
0.715
1.41
1.61
0.736


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.33
5.56
3.02
3.88
4.69
2.37
4.19
4.92
2.56


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
5.37
4.77
1.85
3.46
3.39
1.76
3.82
3.79
1.88


p Value
2.2E−10
5.4E−10
0.012
1.7E−7 
2.4E−7
0.025
1.8E−8
2.3E−8
0.016


Lower limit of
3.20
2.91
1.14
2.17
2.13
1.07
2.39
2.37
1.13


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.02
7.82
2.98
5.50
5.38
2.90
6.08
6.04
3.14


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
6.71
6.34
1.57
4.14
4.30
1.53
4.40
4.46
1.66


p Value
1.5E−6
3.5E−7
0.093
2.8E−6
1.0E−6
0.12
4.8E−7
2.8E−7
0.073


Lower limit of
3.09
3.11
0.927
2.29
2.40
0.889
2.47
2.52
0.954


95% CI


Upper limit of
14.6
12.9
2.67
7.50
7.72
2.64
7.84
7.88
2.89


95% CI
















TABLE 21.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
22.0
406
53.2
434
53.2
537


Average
805
2200
875
2400
875
2530


Stdev
4340
5950
3910
6430
3800
6630


p (t-test)

0.032

0.014

0.0073


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
109
207
142
174
155
161







sCr only













Median
22.1
414
53.2
434
53.2
544


Average
762
2330
853
2500
860
2620


Stdev
4090
6160
3820
6560
3730
6770


p (t-test)

0.013

0.0077

0.0043


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
123
192
149
166
161
154







UO only













Median
88.0
338
115
338
115
341


Average
1850
1480
1820
1500
1790
1560


Stdev
6400
3110
6250
3180
6170
3270


p (t-test)

0.58

0.64

0.75


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
53500
19200


n (Patient)
207
107
219
95
225
89












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.72
0.59
0.68
0.69
0.58
0.70
0.70
0.58


SE
0.028
0.028
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.036
0.029
0.029
0.036


p Value
2.2E−16
1.3E−15
0.011
 6.8E−10
 1.7E−10
0.035
 2.4E−11
 1.6E−11
0.021


nCohort Non-
109
123
207
142
149
219
155
161
225


persistent


nCohort Persistent
207
192
107
174
166
95
161
154
89


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
84%
85%
83%
83%
85%
81%
84%
86%
82%


Specificity
38%
37%
27%
32%
33%
25%
32%
32%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
154
155
155
154
155
155
154
155


Sensitivity
64%
65%
60%
63%
64%
60%
66%
66%
62%


Specificity
76%
72%
55%
66%
65%
54%
66%
65%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
912
902
909
912
902
909
912
902


Sensitivity
34%
36%
30%
36%
37%
29%
37%
38%
30%


Specificity
93%
92%
77%
88%
88%
77%
88%
88%
77%


OR Quartile 2
3.18
3.24
1.79
2.32
2.76
1.43
2.51
2.86
1.55


p Value
2.5E−5 
1.9E−5 
0.055
0.0020
2.6E−4
0.24
9.0E−4
2.3E−4
0.17


Lower limit of
1.86
1.89
0.989
1.36
1.60
0.790
1.46
1.64
0.834


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.44
5.56
3.24
3.95
4.77
2.61
4.34
5.01
2.87


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
5.62
4.77
1.82
3.37
3.30
1.78
3.82
3.68
1.95


p Value
1.1E−10
5.4E−10
0.013
3.1E−7
4.3E−7
0.020
1.8E−8
4.2E−8
0.0090


Lower limit of
3.33
2.91
1.14
2.12
2.08
1.09
2.40
2.31
1.18


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.49
7.82
2.93
5.36
5.23
2.91
6.08
5.86
3.22


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
6.59
6.34
1.45
4.07
4.23
1.38
4.25
4.38
1.45


p Value
1.9E−6
3.5E−7
0.16
3.6E−6
1.4E−6
0.25
8.7E−7
3.8E−7
0.18


Lower limit of
3.04
3.11
0.858
2.25
2.36
0.801
2.39
2.48
0.838


95% CI


Upper limit of
14.3
12.9
2.46
7.37
7.59
2.36
7.57
7.74
2.51


95% CI
















TABLE 21.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
22.0
406
53.2
434
53.2
497


Average
799
2170
889
2350
893
2450


Stdev
4420
5900
3970
6340
3870
6530


p (t-test)

0.036

0.019

0.012


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
105
211
137
179
149
167







sCr only













Median
22.1
423
53.2
436
53.2
544


Average
749
2320
836
2470
845
2590


Stdev
4130
6120
3860
6490
3770
6690


p (t-test)

0.014

0.0082

0.0047


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
34200
53500
34200
53500
34200
53500


n (Patient)
120
195
145
170
157
158







UO only













Median
81.4
347
88.0
341
97.4
344


Average
1830
1530
1820
1530
1790
1570


Stdev
6480
3070
6350
3120
6280
3180


p (t-test)

0.65

0.66

0.74


Min
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116
0.0116


Max
53500
19200
53500
19200
53500
19200


n (Patient)
201
113
211
103
216
98












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.73
0.61
0.68
0.70
0.59
0.69
0.71
0.59


SE
0.028
0.028
0.034
0.030
0.029
0.035
0.029
0.029
0.035


p Value
0
 2.2E−16
0.0014
1.1E−9
 2.1E−11
0.0075
 4.6E−11
 1.9E−12
0.0076


nCohort Non-
105
120
201
137
145
211
149
157
216


persistent


nCohort Persistent
211
195
113
179
170
103
167
158
98


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489
0.0489


Sensitivity
84%
85%
84%
83%
85%
83%
84%
85%
83%


Specificity
38%
37%
27%
32%
33%
26%
32%
32%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
155
154
155
155
154
155
155
154
155


Sensitivity
64%
65%
62%
63%
64%
61%
65%
66%
62%


Specificity
77%
73%
57%
66%
66%
55%
66%
66%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
909
912
902
909
912
902
909
912
902


Sensitivity
34%
36%
32%
35%
37%
31%
37%
39%
32%


Specificity
93%
92%
79%
88%
89%
78%
88%
89%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.20
3.18
1.99
2.35
2.74
1.66
2.58
2.82
1.67


p Value
2.2E−5 
2.4E−5
0.023
0.0016
2.7E−4
0.093
6.1E−4
2.4E−4
0.098


Lower limit of
1.87
1.86
1.10
1.38
1.59
0.919
1.50
1.62
0.911


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.49
5.45
3.59
4.00
4.71
3.02
4.43
4.91
3.05


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
5.87
5.02
2.13
3.31
3.50
1.96
3.62
3.89
2.06


p Value
8.7E−11
 2.5E−10
0.0016
5.0E−7
1.3E−7
0.0060
5.7E−8
1.2E−8
0.0037


Lower limit of
3.44
3.05
1.33
2.07
2.20
1.21
2.28
2.44
1.26


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.0
8.28
3.42
5.27
5.58
3.17
5.77
6.20
3.36


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
7.25
6.91
1.72
4.11
4.75
1.57
4.19
4.86
1.62


p Value
2.1E−6 
3.0E−7
0.041
4.7E−6
4.6E−7
0.093
1.6E−6
1.3E−7
0.076


Lower limit of
3.20
3.30
1.02
2.24
2.59
0.927
2.33
2.70
0.950


95% CI


Upper limit of
16.4
14.5
2.89
7.52
8.70
2.67
7.52
8.73
2.76


95% CI
















TABLE 21.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3500
4670
3940
4690
4060
4580


Average
3630
5180
4270
5060
4340
5090


Stdev
2250
3190
2560
3340
2610
3410


p (t-test)

0.0024

0.10

0.13


Min
62.8
413
62.8
413
62.8
413


Max
10700
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
50
101
75
76
85
66







sCr only













Median
3700
4680
3950
4670
3950
4720


Average
3750
5170
4340
4990
4300
5170


Stdev
2150
3280
2490
3410
2460
3570


p (t-test)

0.0056

0.19

0.079


Min
276
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8


Max
10700
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
52
98
73
77
86
64







UO only













Median
4050
4720
4050
4840
4120
4800


Average
4550
5100
4490
5500
4500
5660


Stdev
2770
3580
2700
3890
2680
4160


p (t-test)

0.33

0.096

0.076


Min
62.8
1120
62.8
1120
62.8
1630


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
112
38
120
30
125
25












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.63
0.54
0.56
0.55
0.58
0.56
0.57
0.58


SE
0.046
0.046
0.055
0.047
0.047
0.060
0.047
0.048
0.065


p Value
8.4E−4
0.0045
0.44
0.17
0.32
0.16
0.24
0.17
0.22


nCohort Non-
50
52
112
75
73
120
85
86
125


persistent


nCohort Persistent
101
98
38
76
77
30
66
64
25


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740


Sensitivity
79%
78%
76%
75%
73%
80%
76%
77%
80%


Specificity
34%
31%
26%
25%
23%
27%
26%
27%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260


Sensitivity
58%
57%
58%
57%
56%
67%
56%
58%
64%


Specificity
66%
63%
53%
56%
56%
54%
54%
56%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060


Sensitivity
32%
33%
24%
29%
30%
30%
29%
31%
28%


Specificity
88%
88%
74%
79%
79%
76%
78%
79%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.96
1.54
1.13
1.02
0.810
1.45
1.09
1.19
1.43


p Value
0.081
0.27
0.79
0.96
0.58
0.45
0.82
0.65
0.50


Lower limit of
0.920
0.721
0.477
0.488
0.387
0.545
0.519
0.563
0.498


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.18
3.27
2.66
2.12
1.70
3.88
2.29
2.52
4.13


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.73
2.32
1.53
1.66
1.62
2.36
1.50
1.73
1.99


p Value
0.0054
0.017
0.26
0.12
0.14
0.045
0.22
0.100
0.13


Lower limit of
1.35
1.16
0.728
0.872
0.850
1.02
0.788
0.900
0.818


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.53
4.63
3.22
3.16
3.09
5.47
2.87
3.33
4.84


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.40
3.72
0.888
1.50
1.65
1.34
1.40
1.72
1.18


p Value
0.012
0.0067
0.79
0.28
0.19
0.51
0.37
0.15
0.74


Lower limit of
1.31
1.44
0.376
0.715
0.779
0.555
0.671
0.818
0.450


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.80
9.61
2.10
3.16
3.48
3.26
2.94
3.60
3.09


95% CI
















TABLE 21.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3620
4600
3930
4500
3940
4490


Average
3690
5130
4340
4950
4400
4960


Stdev
2220
3210
2550
3320
2610
3360


p (t-test)

0.0053

0.21

0.26


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
10700
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
49
102
70
81
79
72







sCr only













Median
3730
4670
4000
4490
3940
4500


Average
3820
5120
4410
4910
4350
5030


Stdev
2120
3300
2500
3390
2480
3480


p (t-test)

0.012

0.31

0.17


Min
703
62.8
703
62.8
703
62.8


Max
10700
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
51
99
70
80
79
71







UO only













Median
3940
4710
3940
4840
4050
4790


Average
4500
5110
4440
5420
4450
5520


Stdev
2770
3420
2700
3640
2680
3820


p (t-test)

0.25

0.078

0.067


Min
62.8
513
62.8
513
62.8
513


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
103
47
111
39
116
34












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.62
0.56
0.55
0.53
0.59
0.54
0.55
0.59


SE
0.046
0.047
0.051
0.047
0.047
0.054
0.047
0.047
0.057


p Value
0.0027
0.012
0.27
0.30
0.48
0.089
0.38
0.31
0.13


nCohort Non-
49
51
103
70
70
111
79
79
116


persistent


nCohort Persistent
102
99
47
81
80
39
72
71
34


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740


Sensitivity
78%
77%
77%
74%
72%
79%
75%
75%
79%


Specificity
33%
29%
26%
24%
23%
27%
25%
25%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260


Sensitivity
58%
57%
60%
57%
55%
67%
57%
56%
65%


Specificity
65%
63%
54%
57%
56%
56%
56%
56%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060


Sensitivity
31%
32%
26%
28%
29%
31%
28%
30%
29%


Specificity
88%
88%
75%
79%
79%
77%
77%
78%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.76
1.38
1.16
0.916
0.781
1.44
1.02
0.998
1.41


p Value
0.14
0.41
0.71
0.82
0.51
0.42
0.96
1.00
0.47


Lower limit of
0.824
0.643
0.520
0.438
0.372
0.594
0.487
0.478
0.556


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.77
2.95
2.60
1.92
1.64
3.47
2.12
2.09
3.56


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.58
2.19
1.76
1.75
1.54
2.53
1.66
1.62
2.18


p Value
0.0086
0.026
0.11
0.089
0.19
0.017
0.12
0.14
0.054


Lower limit of
1.27
1.10
0.872
0.918
0.806
1.18
0.873
0.850
0.986


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.24
4.39
3.54
3.34
2.93
5.43
3.17
3.09
4.81


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.28
3.58
1.02
1.45
1.48
1.45
1.30
1.53
1.31


p Value
0.014
0.0085
0.97
0.33
0.31
0.37
0.48
0.26
0.53


Lower limit of
1.27
1.38
0.460
0.688
0.700
0.647
0.624
0.731
0.559


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.48
9.26
2.24
3.07
3.13
3.26
2.72
3.21
3.07


95% CI
















TABLE 21.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3620
4600
3930
4580
3920
4690


Average
3690
5130
4300
4980
4240
5090


Stdev
2220
3210
2550
3310
2530
3360


p (t-test)

0.0053

0.17

0.081


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
10700
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
49
102
69
82
75
76







sCr only













Median
3730
4670
3940
4500
3930
4670


Average
3820
5120
4370
4930
4300
5040


Stdev
2120
3300
2500
3370
2490
3430


p (t-test)

0.012

0.25

0.13


Min
703
62.8
703
62.8
703
62.8


Max
10700
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
51
99
69
81
75
75







UO only













Median
3930
4790
3920
4860
3930
4910


Average
4400
5250
4320
5550
4340
5650


Stdev
2720
3410
2660
3550
2630
3690


p (t-test)

0.098

0.021

0.018


Min
62.8
513
62.8
513
62.8
513


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
98
52
105
45
110
40












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.62
0.58
0.56
0.54
0.62
0.58
0.56
0.62


SE
0.046
0.047
0.050
0.047
0.047
0.051
0.046
0.047
0.054


p Value
0.0027
0.012
0.096
0.22
0.37
0.017
0.10
0.20
0.027


nCohort Non-
49
51
98
69
69
105
75
75
110


persistent


nCohort Persistent
102
99
52
82
81
45
76
75
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740


Sensitivity
78%
77%
77%
74%
73%
80%
76%
75%
80%


Specificity
33%
29%
27%
25%
23%
28%
27%
25%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260


Sensitivity
58%
57%
62%
57%
56%
69%
59%
57%
68%


Specificity
65%
63%
56%
58%
57%
58%
59%
57%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060


Sensitivity
31%
32%
29%
29%
30%
33%
30%
31%
32%


Specificity
88%
88%
77%
80%
80%
78%
80%
80%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.76
1.38
1.20
0.950
0.810
1.53
1.17
1.00
1.50


p Value
0.14
0.41
0.64
0.89
0.58
0.33
0.67
1.0
0.37


Lower limit of
0.824
0.643
0.549
0.454
0.385
0.655
0.561
0.479
0.621


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.77
2.95
2.64
1.99
1.70
3.56
2.45
2.09
3.62


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.58
2.19
2.05
1.85
1.62
3.07
2.06
1.81
2.68


p Value
0.0086
0.026
0.041
0.062
0.14
0.0030
0.029
0.073
0.011


Lower limit of
1.27
1.10
1.03
0.969
0.851
1.46
1.08
0.945
1.25


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.24
4.39
4.07
3.54
3.10
6.44
3.94
3.45
5.74


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.28
3.58
1.32
1.63
1.65
1.78
1.74
1.77
1.64


p Value
0.014
0.0085
0.47
0.21
0.19
0.14
0.15
0.14
0.23


Lower limit of
1.27
1.38
0.618
0.764
0.777
0.823
0.822
0.837
0.737


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.48
9.26
2.83
3.46
3.52
3.86
3.67
3.74
3.64


95% CI
















TABLE 21.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3620
4600
3930
4670
3860
4710


Average
3690
5130
4280
4980
4220
5100


Stdev
2220
3210
2560
3290
2540
3340


p (t-test)

0.0053

0.15

0.072


Min
62.8
276
62.8
276
62.8
276


Max
10700
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
49
102
68
83
74
77







sCr only













Median
3730
4670
3930
4580
3930
4690


Average
3820
5120
4350
4940
4290
5050


Stdev
2120
3300
2510
3350
2500
3400


p (t-test)

0.012

0.23

0.12


Min
703
62.8
703
62.8
703
62.8


Max
10700
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
51
99
68
82
74
76







UO only













Median
3920
4800
3920
4860
3930
4860


Average
4390
5200
4340
5400
4360
5470


Stdev
2750
3330
2710
3410
2680
3530


p (t-test)

0.11

0.041

0.037


Min
62.8
513
62.8
513
62.8
513


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
95
55
100
50
105
45












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.62
0.58
0.56
0.55
0.61
0.58
0.57
0.60


SE
0.046
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.047
0.050
0.046
0.047
0.052


p Value
0.0027
0.012
0.089
0.17
0.31
0.027
0.081
0.16
0.043


nCohort Non-
49
51
95
68
68
100
74
74
105


persistent


nCohort Persistent
102
99
55
83
82
50
77
76
45


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740


Sensitivity
78%
77%
76%
75%
73%
78%
77%
75%
78%


Specificity
33%
29%
26%
25%
24%
27%
27%
26%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260


Sensitivity
58%
57%
62%
58%
56%
66%
60%
58%
64%


Specificity
65%
63%
57%
59%
57%
58%
59%
58%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060


Sensitivity
31%
32%
27%
29%
29%
30%
30%
30%
29%


Specificity
88%
88%
76%
79%
79%
77%
80%
80%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.76
1.38
1.15
0.984
0.839
1.31
1.21
1.04
1.27


p Value
0.14
0.41
0.72
0.97
0.64
0.51
0.61
0.92
0.57


Lower limit of
0.824
0.643
0.533
0.470
0.399
0.588
0.582
0.496
0.558


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.77
2.95
2.50
2.06
1.76
2.92
2.53
2.16
2.90


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.58
2.19
2.13
1.96
1.72
2.68
2.18
1.91
2.32


p Value
0.0086
0.026
0.029
0.043
0.10
0.0063
0.019
0.051
0.022


Lower limit of
1.27
1.10
1.08
1.02
0.898
1.32
1.14
0.997
1.13


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.24
4.39
4.20
3.75
3.29
5.44
4.17
3.65
4.79


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.28
3.58
1.17
1.57
1.60
1.43
1.68
1.71
1.30


p Value
0.014
0.0085
0.68
0.24
0.23
0.35
0.18
0.16
0.51


Lower limit of
1.27
1.38
0.551
0.737
0.749
0.669
0.793
0.807
0.593


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.48
9.26
2.50
3.34
3.40
3.08
3.54
3.61
2.85


95% CI
















TABLE 21.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
3620
4600
3930
4490
3930
4500


Average
3740
5090
4360
4890
4340
4950


Stdev
2190
3220
2560
3280
2530
3340


p (t-test)

0.0100

0.28

0.21


Min
703
62.8
703
62.8
703
62.8


Max
10700
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
47
104
65
86
70
81







sCr only













Median
3700
4680
3930
4580
3930
4690


Average
3790
5120
4360
4920
4290
5030


Stdev
2130
3280
2540
3320
2520
3370


p (t-test)

0.010

0.26

0.14


Min
703
62.8
703
62.8
703
62.8


Max
10700
21200
11800
21200
11800
21200


n (Patient)
50
100
66
84
72
78







UO only













Median
3930
4750
3920
4800
3930
4780


Average
4430
5100
4410
5180
4420
5220


Stdev
2790
3280
2750
3340
2730
3410


p (t-test)

0.19

0.13

0.12


Min
62.8
513
62.8
513
62.8
513


Max
13800
21200
13800
21200
13800
21200


n (Patient)
92
58
95
55
99
51












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.62
0.57
0.55
0.55
0.58
0.55
0.56
0.57


SE
0.047
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.047
0.050


p Value
0.0049
0.0079
0.17
0.34
0.32
0.11
0.27
0.17
0.14


nCohort Non-
47
50
92
65
66
95
70
72
99


persistent


nCohort Persistent
104
100
58
86
84
55
81
78
51


Cutoff Quartile 2
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740
2740
2730
2740


Sensitivity
78%
77%
76%
74%
74%
76%
75%
76%
76%


Specificity
32%
30%
26%
25%
24%
26%
26%
26%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260
4230
4260
4260


Sensitivity
58%
57%
59%
57%
56%
62%
58%
58%
61%


Specificity
66%
64%
55%
58%
58%
57%
59%
58%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060
6010
6060
6060


Sensitivity
31%
32%
26%
28%
29%
27%
28%
29%
25%


Specificity
87%
88%
75%
78%
79%
76%
79%
79%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.65
1.43
1.11
0.950
0.902
1.15
1.06
1.11
1.16


p Value
0.20
0.35
0.79
0.89
0.79
0.72
0.89
0.78
0.72


Lower limit of
0.765
0.669
0.519
0.452
0.429
0.533
0.506
0.533
0.527


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.56
3.08
2.37
2.00
1.90
2.50
2.20
2.32
2.54


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.64
2.36
1.76
1.86
1.72
2.13
1.95
1.91
1.94


p Value
0.0080
0.016
0.095
0.061
0.10
0.029
0.043
0.051
0.059


Lower limit of
1.29
1.17
0.906
0.971
0.899
1.08
1.02
0.998
0.974


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.42
4.75
3.43
3.58
3.31
4.20
3.74
3.65
3.85


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.04
3.45
1.05
1.41
1.49
1.17
1.45
1.59
1.01


p Value
0.022
0.011
0.91
0.37
0.31
0.68
0.33
0.23
0.97


Lower limit of
1.17
1.33
0.492
0.662
0.697
0.551
0.688
0.752
0.466


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.87
8.93
2.22
3.00
3.17
2.50
3.07
3.36
2.20


95% CI









Example 22. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 18 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 18 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 22.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.870
1.22
0.716
1.23
0.716
1.18


Average
0.858
2.90
0.745
2.86
0.739
2.83


Stdev
0.658
9.70
0.561
9.57
0.588
9.49


p (t-test)

0.32

0.33

0.35


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
2.61
60.0
2.01
60.0
2.01
60.0


n (Patient)
23
109
20
112
18
114







sCr only













Median
0.797
1.27
0.819
1.26
0.797
1.24


Average
0.783
3.07
0.794
3.04
0.786
3.02


Stdev
0.513
10.1
0.519
10.0
0.527
9.96


p (t-test)

0.22

0.23

0.24


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
2.01
60.0
2.01
60.0
2.01
60.0


n (Patient)
30
101
29
102
28
103







UO only













Median
0.970
1.36
0.947
1.42
0.915
1.36


Average
1.06
5.16
0.957
4.78
0.923
4.33


Stdev
0.834
14.3
0.720
13.4
0.707
12.6


p (t-test)

0.010

0.014

0.028


Min
0.00242
0.273
0.00242
0.273
0.00242
0.273


Max
4.23
60.0
3.20
60.0
3.20
60.0


n (Patient)
83
48
76
55
68
63












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.66
0.69
0.67
0.70
0.68
0.71
0.70
0.68
0.71


SE
0.058
0.051
0.050
0.057
0.052
0.047
0.059
0.052
0.045


p Value
0.0071
2.4E−4
8.4E−4
5.7E−4
5.5E−4
4.6E−6
9.9E−4
5.0E−4
4.7E−6


nCohort Recovered
23
30
83
20
29
76
18
28
68


nCohort Non-
109
101
48
112
102
55
114
103
63


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569


Sensitivity
77%
78%
90%
78%
77%
91%
78%
78%
89%


Specificity
35%
37%
34%
40%
34%
37%
44%
36%
38%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
54%
56%
67%
54%
56%
69%
54%
55%
65%


Specificity
70%
70%
59%
75%
69%
63%
72%
68%
63%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66


Sensitivity
28%
31%
31%
28%
30%
36%
27%
30%
35%


Specificity
87%
93%
78%
90%
93%
83%
89%
93%
84%


OR Quartile 2
1.79
2.08
4.38
2.32
1.81
5.83
2.85
1.93
4.95


p Value
0.24
0.10
0.0050
0.099
0.20
8.0E−4
0.046
0.15
7.0E−4


Lower limit of
0.681
0.862
1.56
0.854
0.738
2.08
1.02
0.784
1.96


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.71
5.01
12.3
6.30
4.43
16.4
7.98
4.76
12.5


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.70
3.02
2.88
3.59
2.81
3.83
2.99
2.62
3.21


p Value
0.044
0.013
0.0052
0.020
0.021
3.6E−4
0.050
0.033
0.0014


Lower limit of
1.03
1.26
1.37
1.22
1.17
1.83
1.00
1.08
1.57


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.08
7.25
6.06
10.5
6.78
8.01
8.95
6.33
6.55


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.53
6.20
1.64
3.44
5.89
2.77
2.99
5.60
2.78


p Value
0.16
0.017
0.23
0.11
0.020
0.014
0.16
0.024
0.015


Lower limit of
0.701
1.39
0.735
0.755
1.32
1.23
0.649
1.25
1.22


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.14
27.7
3.66
15.7
26.3
6.23
13.8
25.1
6.36


95% CI
















TABLE 22.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.695
1.32
0.659
1.32
0.604
1.30


Average
0.763
3.18
0.738
3.14
0.692
3.09


Stdev
0.593
10.2
0.599
10.1
0.577
10.0


p (t-test)

0.17

0.18

0.19


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
2.01
60.0
2.01
60.0
2.01
60.0


n (Patient)
35
97
33
99
30
102







sCr only













Median
0.735
1.35
0.774
1.35
0.735
1.34


Average
0.781
3.36
0.788
3.33
0.782
3.31


Stdev
0.564
10.6
0.569
10.6
0.575
10.5


p (t-test)

0.12

0.13

0.13


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
2.01
60.0
2.01
60.0
2.01
60.0


n (Patient)
42
90
41
91
40
92







UO only













Median
0.978
1.39
0.974
1.42
0.983
1.36


Average
1.08
5.69
1.06
5.25
1.04
4.66


Stdev
0.846
15.3
0.838
14.5
0.843
13.4


p (t-test)

0.0051

0.0091

0.020


Min
0.00242
0.273
0.00242
0.273
0.00242
0.273


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
89
42
84
47
76
55












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.72
0.72
0.67
0.73
0.71
0.68
0.74
0.71
0.67


SE
0.047
0.045
0.052
0.046
0.046
0.050
0.046
0.046
0.049


p Value
3.6E−6
1.2E−6
0.0010
1.0E−6
3.6E−6
4.4E−4
1.2E−7
3.3E−6
5.8E−4


nCohort Recovered
35
42
89
33
41
84
30
40
76


nCohort Non-
97
90
42
99
91
47
102
92
55


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569


Sensitivity
81%
82%
88%
82%
81%
89%
82%
82%
87%


Specificity
43%
40%
31%
45%
39%
33%
50%
40%
34%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
58%
59%
69%
58%
58%
68%
57%
58%
64%


Specificity
71%
69%
58%
73%
68%
60%
73%
68%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66


Sensitivity
30%
32%
33%
29%
32%
34%
29%
32%
33%


Specificity
89%
90%
79%
88%
90%
80%
90%
90%
80%


OR Quartile 2
3.29
3.14
3.40
3.75
2.79
4.20
4.67
2.94
3.57


p Value
0.0056
0.0061
0.021
0.0024
0.014
0.0064
5.9E−4
0.010
0.0070


Lower limit of
1.42
1.39
1.21
1.60
1.23
1.50
1.94
1.29
1.42


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.65
7.14
9.57
8.81
6.32
11.8
11.2
6.70
8.98


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.41
3.20
3.14
3.62
3.00
3.14
3.62
2.82
2.54


p Value
0.0040
0.0034
0.0040
0.0035
0.0056
0.0029
0.0050
0.0091
0.011


Lower limit of
1.48
1.47
1.44
1.53
1.38
1.48
1.48
1.29
1.24


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.88
6.95
6.83
8.58
6.54
6.66
8.91
6.16
5.19


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.31
4.52
1.84
3.00
4.33
2.03
3.75
4.14
1.98


p Value
0.038
0.0084
0.14
0.057
0.010
0.084
0.041
0.013
0.094


Lower limit of
1.07
1.47
0.813
0.969
1.41
0.910
1.06
1.35
0.891


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.2
13.9
4.17
9.31
13.3
4.55
13.3
12.7
4.39


95% CI
















TABLE 22.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.739
1.30
0.700
1.30
0.700
1.28


Average
0.865
3.50
0.851
3.45
0.842
3.34


Stdev
0.690
11.0
0.700
10.9
0.702
10.6


p (t-test)

0.100

0.11

0.13


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
3.02
60.0
3.02
60.0
3.02
60.0


n (Patient)
48
84
46
86
42
90







sCr only













Median
0.797
1.34
0.819
1.33
0.819
1.28


Average
0.857
3.71
0.864
3.67
0.874
3.59


Stdev
0.614
11.4
0.617
11.3
0.622
11.2


p (t-test)

0.068

0.074

0.086


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
2.07
60.0
2.07
60.0
2.07
60.0


n (Patient)
54
78
53
79
51
81







UO only













Median
1.02
1.36
1.00
1.36
1.00
1.36


Average
1.11
5.75
1.10
5.36
1.07
4.76


Stdev
0.842
15.5
0.855
14.8
0.863
13.7


p (t-test)

0.0050

0.0085

0.019


Min
0.00242
0.273
0.00242
0.273
0.00242
0.273


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
90
41
86
45
78
53












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.69
0.64
0.69
0.69
0.65
0.69
0.68
0.65


SE
0.046
0.045
0.054
0.046
0.046
0.052
0.047
0.046
0.050


p Value
4.4E−5
1.7E−5
0.010
2.5E−5
4.2E−5
0.0047
5.0E−5
1.6E−4
0.0023


nCohort Recovered
48
54
90
46
53
86
42
51
78


nCohort Non-
84
78
41
86
79
45
90
81
53


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569


Sensitivity
83%
83%
85%
84%
82%
87%
83%
81%
87%


Specificity
40%
37%
30%
41%
36%
31%
43%
35%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
58%
59%
63%
58%
58%
64%
57%
57%
62%


Specificity
65%
63%
56%
65%
62%
57%
64%
61%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66


Sensitivity
32%
35%
32%
31%
34%
31%
31%
33%
32%


Specificity
88%
89%
78%
87%
89%
78%
88%
88%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.28
2.94
2.50
3.62
2.59
2.97
3.75
2.40
3.29


p Value
0.0043
0.0092
0.066
0.0021
0.020
0.028
0.0017
0.033
0.012


Lower limit of
1.45
1.31
0.942
1.59
1.16
1.12
1.64
1.08
1.30


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.40
6.63
6.64
8.22
5.81
7.87
8.56
5.36
8.28


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.55
2.44
2.17
2.60
2.30
2.40
2.35
2.04
2.25


p Value
0.012
0.014
0.046
0.012
0.022
0.021
0.027
0.051
0.026


Lower limit of
1.23
1.20
1.01
1.24
1.13
1.14
1.10
0.998
1.10


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.32
4.99
4.63
5.47
4.69
5.06
5.02
4.16
4.60


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.32
4.24
1.62
3.05
4.07
1.59
3.34
3.75
1.83


p Value
0.015
0.0035
0.25
0.024
0.0045
0.26
0.022
0.0075
0.14


Lower limit of
1.26
1.61
0.713
1.15
1.54
0.708
1.19
1.42
0.825


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.75
11.2
3.71
8.06
10.7
3.58
9.41
9.88
4.06


95% CI
















TABLE 22.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.774
1.35
0.704
1.33
0.700
1.30


Average
0.862
3.74
0.846
3.61
0.837
3.45


Stdev
0.661
11.4
0.678
11.2
0.684
10.9


p (t-test)

0.065

0.080

0.11


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
3.02
60.0
3.02
60.0
3.02
60.0


n (Patient)
55
77
51
81
46
86







sCr only













Median
0.774
1.36
0.797
1.35
0.819
1.35


Average
0.842
3.83
0.849
3.79
0.861
3.74


Stdev
0.606
11.6
0.609
11.5
0.608
11.4


p (t-test)

0.054

0.059

0.065


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
2.07
60.0
2.07
60.0
2.07
60.0


n (Patient)
57
75
56
76
55
77







UO only













Median
1.02
1.36
1.00
1.36
1.02
1.35


Average
1.09
5.57
1.08
5.20
1.08
4.67


Stdev
0.825
15.1
0.840
14.5
0.864
13.6


p (t-test)

0.0063

0.010

0.022


Min
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
88
43
84
47
77
54












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.71
0.64
0.71
0.70
0.65
0.70
0.69
0.64


SE
0.045
0.044
0.053
0.045
0.045
0.051
0.046
0.045
0.050


p Value
5.3E−6
1.6E−6
0.0064
4.1E−6
4.5E−6
0.0045
1.4E−5
2.0E−5
0.0056


nCohort Recovered
55
57
88
51
56
84
46
55
77


nCohort Non-
77
75
43
81
76
47
86
77
54


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569


Sensitivity
84%
85%
84%
85%
84%
85%
85%
83%
85%


Specificity
38%
39%
30%
41%
38%
31%
43%
36%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
61%
61%
63%
60%
61%
64%
58%
60%
61%


Specificity
65%
65%
56%
67%
64%
57%
65%
64%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66


Sensitivity
35%
36%
35%
33%
36%
32%
33%
35%
31%


Specificity
89%
89%
80%
88%
89%
79%
89%
89%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.35
3.66
2.16
4.02
3.20
2.56
4.32
2.81
2.76


p Value
0.0040
0.0023
0.11
9.9E−4
0.0054
0.047
5.5E−4
0.012
0.025


Lower limit of
1.47
1.59
0.851
1.76
1.41
1.01
1.88
1.25
1.14


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.61
8.41
5.47
9.22
7.27
6.47
9.90
6.33
6.73


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.97
2.93
2.12
3.06
2.76
2.35
2.60
2.60
2.10


p Value
0.0031
0.0032
0.049
0.0028
0.0053
0.023
0.012
0.0088
0.041


Lower limit of
1.44
1.43
1.00
1.47
1.35
1.13
1.24
1.27
1.03


95% CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.10
6.00
4.48
6.37
5.64
4.91
5.47
5.30
4.26


OR Quartile 4
4.41
4.78
2.08
3.75
4.59
1.72
3.96
4.41
1.75


p Value
0.0027
0.0015
0.077
0.0075
0.0020
0.19
0.0090
0.0027
0.17


Lower limit of
1.67
1.82
0.924
1.42
1.74
0.769
1.41
1.67
0.791


95% CI


Upper limit of 95% CI
11.6
12.6
4.70
9.88
12.1
3.84
11.1
11.6
3.88
















TABLE 22.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
1.02
1.35
1.02
1.33
1.02
1.33


Average
1.04
4.93
1.04
4.78
1.04
4.78


Stdev
0.797
13.9
0.805
13.7
0.805
13.7


p (t-test)

0.013

0.017

0.017


Min
0.00242
0.197
0.00242
0.197
0.00242
0.197


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
81
51
79
53
79
53







sCr only













Median
0.950
1.35
0.950
1.35
0.950
1.35


Average
0.990
4.19
0.990
4.19
0.990
4.19


Stdev
0.779
12.5
0.779
12.5
0.779
12.5


p (t-test)

0.037

0.037

0.037


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
68
64
68
64
68
64







UO only













Median
1.02
1.39
1.02
1.35
1.02
1.35


Average
1.09
5.46
1.10
5.26
1.10
5.18


Stdev
0.828
15.0
0.836
14.7
0.841
14.5


p (t-test)

0.0073

0.0098

0.011


Min
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
87
44
85
46
84
47












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.66
0.64
0.65
0.66
0.63
0.65
0.66
0.63


SE
0.050
0.047
0.053
0.050
0.047
0.052
0.050
0.047
0.052


p Value
0.0020
7.5E−4
0.0087
0.0029
7.5E−4
0.012
0.0029
7.5E−4
0.011


nCohort Recovered
81
68
87
79
68
85
79
68
84


nCohort Non-
51
64
44
53
64
46
53
64
47


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569


Sensitivity
86%
84%
84%
87%
84%
85%
87%
84%
85%


Specificity
32%
34%
30%
33%
34%
31%
33%
34%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
59%
61%
61%
58%
61%
61%
58%
61%
62%


Specificity
56%
60%
55%
56%
60%
55%
56%
60%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66


Sensitivity
35%
34%
34%
34%
34%
33%
34%
34%
32%


Specificity
81%
84%
79%
81%
84%
79%
81%
84%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.97
2.76
2.25
3.22
2.76
2.46
3.22
2.76
2.56


p Value
0.021
0.018
0.087
0.013
0.018
0.058
0.013
0.018
0.047


Lower limit of
1.18
1.19
0.890
1.28
1.19
0.971
1.28
1.19
1.01


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.49
6.40
5.71
8.12
6.40
6.21
8.12
6.40
6.47


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.79
2.37
1.95
1.77
2.37
1.92
1.77
2.37
2.05


p Value
0.11
0.016
0.076
0.11
0.016
0.079
0.11
0.016
0.054


Lower limit of
0.879
1.18
0.933
0.876
1.18
0.927
0.876
1.18
0.987


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.63
4.76
4.09
3.58
4.76
3.99
3.58
4.76
4.24


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.40
2.71
1.98
2.19
2.71
1.80
2.19
2.71
1.72


p Value
0.033
0.018
0.098
0.054
0.018
0.15
0.054
0.018
0.19


Lower limit of
1.08
1.19
0.881
0.986
1.19
0.804
0.986
1.19
0.769


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.36
6.20
4.46
4.88
6.20
4.04
4.88
6.20
3.84


95% CI









Example 23. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 18 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 18 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 23.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
covered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.822
1.30
0.822
1.30
0.822
1.28


Average
0.944
3.40
0.944
3.40
0.955
3.34


Stdev
0.827
10.9
0.827
10.9
0.843
10.7


p (t-test)

0.13

0.13

0.15


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
46
86
46
86
44
88







sCr only













Median
0.819
1.34
0.819
1.34
0.870
1.31


Average
0.934
3.71
0.934
3.71
0.952
3.63


Stdev
0.778
11.5
0.778
11.5
0.787
11.4


p (t-test)

0.077

0.077

0.090


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
55
76
55
76
53
78







UO only













Median
1.02
1.42
0.974
1.43
1.00
1.36


Average
1.71
4.64
1.70
4.33
1.74
4.02


Stdev
6.16
13.3
6.33
12.5
6.48
12.0


p (t-test)

0.086

0.11

0.16


Min
0.00242
0.273
0.00242
0.273
0.00242
0.273


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
93
38
88
43
84
47












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.66
0.67
0.66
0.66
0.67
0.69
0.65
0.66
0.66


SE
0.048
0.047
0.055
0.048
0.047
0.051
0.049
0.047
0.051


p Value
8.0E−4
2.0E−4
0.0031
8.0E−4
2.0E−4
2.0E−4
0.0020
8.6E−4
0.0019


nCohort Recovered
46
55
93
46
55
88
44
53
84


nCohort Non-
86
76
38
86
76
43
88
78
47


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569


Sensitivity
81%
83%
87%
81%
83%
88%
81%
81%
87%


Specificity
37%
36%
30%
37%
36%
32%
36%
34%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
58%
61%
68%
58%
61%
70%
57%
59%
64%


Specificity
65%
64%
57%
65%
64%
59%
64%
62%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66


Sensitivity
29%
33%
34%
29%
33%
37%
28%
32%
34%


Specificity
83%
85%
78%
83%
85%
81%
82%
85%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.56
2.77
2.84
2.56
2.77
3.55
2.39
2.16
3.24


p Value
0.022
0.014
0.049
0.022
0.014
0.016
0.035
0.059
0.018


Lower limit of
1.14
1.23
1.01
1.14
1.23
1.26
1.06
0.970
1.23


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.76
6.23
8.04
5.76
6.23
9.98
5.37
4.81
8.55


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.60
2.68
2.87
2.60
2.68
3.33
2.30
2.37
2.35


p Value
0.012
0.0069
0.0096
0.012
0.0069
0.0024
0.028
0.018
0.023


Lower limit of
1.24
1.31
1.29
1.24
1.31
1.53
1.09
1.16
1.13


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.47
5.49
6.37
5.47
5.49
7.25
4.85
4.85
4.91


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.95
2.88
1.90
1.95
2.88
2.47
1.79
2.65
2.03


p Value
0.14
0.020
0.13
0.14
0.020
0.029
0.20
0.032
0.084


Lower limit of
0.797
1.18
0.825
0.797
1.18
1.10
0.729
1.09
0.910


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.76
7.01
4.37
4.76
7.01
5.59
4.37
6.46
4.55


95% CI
















TABLE 23.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.940
1.33
0.940
1.33
0.960
1.32


Average
0.935
3.76
0.935
3.76
0.944
3.68


Stdev
0.763
11.6
0.763
11.6
0.774
11.5


p (t-test)

0.069

0.069

0.079


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
57
75
57
75
55
77







sCr only













Median
0.905
1.36
0.905
1.36
0.950
1.35


Average
0.928
4.06
0.928
4.06
0.943
3.96


Stdev
0.731
12.1
0.731
12.1
0.738
12.0


p (t-test)

0.041

0.041

0.050


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
64
68
64
68
62
70







UO only













Median
0.983
1.36
0.974
1.42
1.00
1.36


Average
1.71
4.72
1.69
4.60
1.75
4.10


Stdev
6.13
13.4
6.20
13.1
6.41
12.2


p (t-test)

0.080

0.086

0.15


Min
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
94
37
92
39
86
45












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.69
0.67
0.67
0.69
0.69
0.66
0.67
0.65


SE
0.046
0.046
0.055
0.046
0.046
0.053
0.047
0.046
0.052


p Value
2.0E−4
3.2E−5
0.0023
2.0E−4
3.2E−5
3.9E−4
5.4E−4
1.7E−4
0.0039


nCohort Recovered
57
64
94
57
64
92
55
62
86


nCohort Non-
75
68
37
75
68
39
77
70
45


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569


Sensitivity
84%
85%
89%
84%
85%
90%
83%
83%
89%


Specificity
37%
36%
31%
37%
36%
32%
36%
34%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
59%
60%
70%
59%
60%
72%
57%
59%
64%


Specificity
61%
61%
57%
61%
61%
59%
60%
60%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66


Sensitivity
33%
37%
32%
33%
37%
36%
32%
36%
31%


Specificity
86%
88%
78%
86%
88%
79%
85%
87%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.06
3.25
3.68
3.06
3.25
4.03
2.81
2.48
3.86


p Value
0.0074
0.0061
0.023
0.0074
0.0061
0.015
0.012
0.029
0.010


Lower limit of
1.35
1.40
1.19
1.35
1.40
1.31
1.25
1.10
1.37


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.95
7.56
11.4
6.95
7.56
12.4
6.33
5.59
10.9


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.26
2.37
3.19
2.26
2.37
3.62
2.00
2.09
2.40


p Value
0.023
0.016
0.0053
0.023
0.016
0.0019
0.053
0.037
0.021


Lower limit of
1.12
1.18
1.41
1.12
1.18
1.61
0.990
1.04
1.14


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.57
4.76
7.21
4.57
4.76
8.14
4.04
4.19
5.06


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.06
4.07
1.67
3.06
4.07
2.15
2.82
3.75
1.59


p Value
0.014
0.0020
0.23
0.014
0.0020
0.069
0.022
0.0036
0.26


Lower limit of
1.26
1.67
0.719
1.26
1.67
0.942
1.16
1.54
0.708


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.44
9.91
3.87
7.44
9.91
4.92
6.87
9.12
3.58


95% CI
















TABLE 23.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.970
1.35
0.970
1.35
0.970
1.33


Average
0.991
4.05
0.991
4.05
0.987
3.96


Stdev
0.774
12.2
0.774
12.2
0.785
12.1


p (t-test)

0.047

0.047

0.053


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
65
67
65
67
63
69







sCr only













Median
0.960
1.36
0.960
1.36
0.965
1.36


Average
0.948
4.18
0.948
4.18
0.955
4.13


Stdev
0.723
12.4
0.723
12.4
0.726
12.3


p (t-test)

0.035

0.035

0.039


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
67
65
67
65
66
66







UO only













Median
1.02
1.36
1.02
1.36
1.02
1.35


Average
1.72
4.78
1.72
4.78
1.76
4.27


Stdev
6.10
13.6
6.10
13.6
6.30
12.7


p (t-test)

0.078

0.078

0.13


Min
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
95
36
95
36
89
42












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.68
0.64
0.65
0.68
0.64
0.65
0.67
0.63


SE
0.048
0.047
0.056
0.048
0.047
0.056
0.047
0.047
0.053


p Value
0.0014
1.1E−4
0.012
0.0014
1.1E−4
0.012
0.0014
2.5E−4
0.012


nCohort Recovered
65
67
95
65
67
95
63
66
89


nCohort Non-
67
65
36
67
65
36
69
66
42


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569


Sensitivity
84%
85%
86%
84%
85%
86%
84%
83%
88%


Specificity
34%
34%
29%
34%
34%
29%
35%
33%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
58%
60%
64%
58%
60%
64%
58%
59%
62%


Specificity
58%
60%
55%
58%
60%
55%
59%
59%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66


Sensitivity
34%
37%
33%
34%
37%
33%
33%
36%
31%


Specificity
85%
87%
78%
85%
87%
78%
84%
86%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.60
2.88
2.59
2.60
2.88
2.59
2.83
2.50
3.40


p Value
0.023
0.014
0.073
0.023
0.014
0.073
0.014
0.030
0.021


Lower limit of
1.14
1.24
0.914
1.14
1.24
0.914
1.24
1.10
1.21


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.95
6.67
7.35
5.95
6.67
7.35
6.47
5.71
9.57


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.96
2.22
2.14
1.96
2.22
2.14
1.96
2.09
1.99


p Value
0.057
0.025
0.059
0.057
0.025
0.059
0.056
0.038
0.072


Lower limit of
0.981
1.11
0.970
0.981
1.11
0.970
0.982
1.04
0.940


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.92
4.46
4.72
3.92
4.46
4.72
3.92
4.18
4.21


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.87
3.77
1.76
2.87
3.77
1.76
2.65
3.62
1.55


p Value
0.014
0.0026
0.19
0.014
0.0026
0.19
0.023
0.0035
0.30


Lower limit of
1.24
1.59
0.756
1.24
1.59
0.756
1.14
1.53
0.680


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.67
8.95
4.10
6.67
8.95
4.10
6.14
8.58
3.52


95% CI
















TABLE 23.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.970
1.35
0.979
1.34
0.979
1.33


Average
1.84
3.31
1.86
3.27
1.88
3.20


Stdev
7.14
10.4
7.20
10.3
7.30
10.2


p (t-test)

0.34

0.36

0.39


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
69
63
68
64
66
66







sCr only













Median
0.965
1.36
0.965
1.36
0.970
1.36


Average
1.79
3.39
1.79
3.39
1.81
3.34


Stdev
7.09
10.5
7.09
10.5
7.14
10.4


p (t-test)

0.30

0.30

0.32


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
70
62
70
62
69
63







UO only













Median
1.02
1.36
1.04
1.36
1.02
1.35


Average
1.73
4.44
1.75
4.35
1.76
4.14


Stdev
6.23
13.0
6.26
12.8
6.37
12.4


p (t-test)

0.11

0.12

0.15


Min
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
91
40
90
41
87
44












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.67
0.64
0.64
0.67
0.63
0.64
0.66
0.63


SE
0.048
0.047
0.054
0.048
0.047
0.054
0.048
0.048
0.053


p Value
0.0024
4.1E−4
0.0096
0.0040
4.1E−4
0.016
0.0040
8.4E−4
0.012


nCohort Recovered
69
70
91
68
70
90
66
69
87


nCohort Non-
63
62
40
64
62
41
66
63
44


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569


Sensitivity
83%
84%
85%
83%
84%
85%
83%
83%
86%


Specificity
32%
33%
30%
32%
33%
30%
33%
32%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
59%
60%
62%
58%
60%
61%
58%
59%
61%


Specificity
58%
59%
55%
57%
59%
54%
58%
58%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66


Sensitivity
35%
37%
35%
34%
37%
34%
33%
37%
32%


Specificity
84%
86%
79%
84%
86%
79%
83%
86%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.21
2.54
2.39
2.30
2.54
2.50
2.50
2.21
2.85


p Value
0.059
0.029
0.081
0.047
0.029
0.066
0.030
0.059
0.035


Lower limit of
0.970
1.10
0.899
1.01
1.10
0.942
1.10
0.970
1.08


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.05
5.90
6.35
5.26
5.90
6.64
5.71
5.05
7.54


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.96
2.09
2.03
1.84
2.09
1.87
1.84
1.96
1.95


p Value
0.056
0.037
0.068
0.083
0.037
0.10
0.083
0.056
0.076


Lower limit of
0.982
1.04
0.949
0.924
1.04
0.880
0.923
0.982
0.933


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.92
4.19
4.35
3.68
4.19
3.96
3.67
3.92
4.09


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.83
3.54
2.04
2.71
3.54
1.94
2.50
3.39
1.67


p Value
0.014
0.0034
0.090
0.018
0.0034
0.11
0.030
0.0046
0.22


Lower limit of
1.24
1.52
0.896
1.19
1.52
0.853
1.10
1.46
0.741


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.47
8.24
4.65
6.20
8.24
4.40
5.71
7.89
3.77


95% CI
















TABLE 23.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
1.02
1.36
1.04
1.35
1.02
1.35


Average
1.73
4.22
1.75
4.13
1.75
4.07


Stdev
6.30
12.5
6.33
12.4
6.37
12.2


p (t-test)

0.13

0.14

0.15


Min
0.00242
0.197
0.00242
0.197
0.00242
0.197


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
89
43
88
44
87
45







sCr only













Median
0.989
1.36
0.989
1.36
0.989
1.36


Average
1.78
3.68
1.78
3.68
1.78
3.68


Stdev
6.68
11.3
6.68
11.3
6.68
11.3


p (t-test)

0.23

0.23

0.23


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
79
53
79
53
79
53







UO only













Median
1.05
1.35
1.05
1.35
1.05
1.34


Average
1.74
4.43
1.75
4.33
1.76
4.26


Stdev
6.23
13.0
6.26
12.8
6.30
12.7


p (t-test)

0.11

0.12

0.13


Min
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
91
40
90
41
89
42












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.64
0.63
0.62
0.64
0.62
0.63
0.64
0.62


SE
0.053
0.050
0.054
0.053
0.050
0.054
0.052
0.050
0.054


p Value
0.011
0.0054
0.017
0.018
0.0054
0.027
0.016
0.0054
0.023


nCohort Recovered
89
79
91
88
79
90
87
79
89


nCohort Non-
43
53
40
44
53
41
45
53
42


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569
0.561
0.561
0.569


Sensitivity
84%
81%
85%
84%
81%
85%
84%
81%
86%


Specificity
29%
29%
30%
30%
29%
30%
30%
29%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
60%
62%
60%
59%
62%
59%
60%
62%
60%


Specificity
55%
58%
54%
55%
58%
53%
55%
58%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.66


Sensitivity
35%
36%
35%
34%
36%
34%
33%
36%
33%


Specificity
80%
82%
79%
80%
82%
79%
79%
82%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.12
1.77
2.39
2.22
1.77
2.50
2.31
1.77
2.61


p Value
0.11
0.19
0.081
0.093
0.19
0.066
0.076
0.19
0.054


Lower limit of
0.838
0.761
0.899
0.876
0.761
0.942
0.915
0.761
0.985


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.38
4.10
6.35
5.61
4.10
6.64
5.85
4.10
6.93


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.87
2.30
1.75
1.73
2.30
1.61
1.85
2.30
1.72


p Value
0.097
0.022
0.15
0.14
0.022
0.21
0.10
0.022
0.15


Lower limit of
0.894
1.13
0.823
0.833
1.13
0.765
0.889
1.13
0.818


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.93
4.69
3.72
3.61
4.69
3.40
3.83
4.69
3.62


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.11
2.59
2.04
2.01
2.59
1.94
1.92
2.59
1.84


p Value
0.071
0.020
0.090
0.091
0.020
0.11
0.11
0.020
0.14


Lower limit of
0.937
1.16
0.896
0.894
1.16
0.853
0.854
1.16
0.813


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.76
5.81
4.65
4.52
5.81
4.40
4.30
5.81
4.17


95% CI









Example 24. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 18 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 18 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 24.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence


starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.989
1.36
0.978
1.54
0.989
1.54


Average
1.70
4.28
1.66
4.64
1.68
4.94


Stdev
6.30
12.5
6.16
13.1
6.04
13.8


p (t-test)

0.12

0.078

0.062


Min
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.310


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
89
43
93
39
97
35







sCr only













Median
0.978
1.39
0.983
1.59
1.00
1.54


Average
1.69
4.37
1.65
4.81
1.69
4.90


Stdev
6.30
12.6
6.13
13.4
6.07
13.8


p (t-test)

0.11

0.066

0.066


Min
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
89
42
94
37
96
35







UO only













Median
1.06
1.58
1.06
1.74
1.06
1.74


Average
1.65
8.26
1.64
9.16
1.64
9.16


Stdev
5.60
18.9
5.55
19.9
5.55
19.9


p (t-test)

0.0030

0.0013

0.0013


Min
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
113
18
115
16
115
16












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.68
0.71
0.70
0.70
0.73
0.68
0.67
0.73


SE
0.052
0.052
0.072
0.053
0.054
0.075
0.055
0.056
0.075


p Value
0.0013
4.8E−4
0.0046
2.2E−4
2.6E−4
0.0018
8.4E−4
0.0026
0.0018


nCohort Non-
89
89
113
93
94
115
97
96
115


persistent


nCohort Persistent
43
42
18
39
37
16
35
35
16


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569


Sensitivity
88%
88%
94%
87%
86%
94%
89%
86%
94%


Specificity
31%
31%
28%
30%
30%
28%
30%
29%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
65%
69%
72%
72%
70%
75%
71%
69%
75%


Specificity
57%
58%
53%
59%
57%
53%
58%
56%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66


Sensitivity
35%
36%
44%
38%
41%
50%
37%
37%
50%


Specificity
80%
80%
78%
81%
81%
78%
79%
79%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.49
3.40
6.72
2.93
2.72
5.78
3.31
2.47
5.78


p Value
0.018
0.021
0.070
0.042
0.060
0.096
0.038
0.090
0.096


Lower limit of
1.24
1.21
0.858
1.04
0.959
0.733
1.07
0.870
0.733


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.81
9.57
52.6
8.27
7.69
45.6
10.2
7.02
45.6


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.51
3.14
2.94
3.68
3.19
3.39
3.41
2.81
3.39


p Value
0.017
0.0040
0.053
0.0016
0.0053
0.044
0.0040
0.014
0.044


Lower limit of
1.18
1.44
0.984
1.64
1.41
1.03
1.48
1.24
1.03


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.33
6.83
8.80
8.29
7.21
11.1
7.88
6.37
11.1


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.11
2.19
2.82
2.60
2.88
3.60
2.28
2.25
3.60


p Value
0.071
0.060
0.049
0.023
0.013
0.020
0.056
0.060
0.020


Lower limit of
0.937
0.969
1.00
1.14
1.25
1.23
0.978
0.965
1.23


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.76
4.96
7.89
5.94
6.63
10.6
5.29
5.22
10.6


95% CI
















TABLE 24.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence


starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.970
1.36
0.960
1.54
0.970
1.54


Average
1.73
3.75
1.67
4.12
1.68
4.32


Stdev
6.68
11.3
6.45
12.0
6.30
12.5


p (t-test)

0.20

0.13

0.11


Min
0.0156
0.00242
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.310


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
79
53
85
47
89
43







sCr only













Median
0.965
1.36
0.965
1.43
0.978
1.39


Average
1.72
3.84
1.68
4.09
1.71
4.20


Stdev
6.64
11.5
6.48
12.0
6.37
12.4


p (t-test)

0.18

0.14

0.13


Min
0.0156
0.00242
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
80
51
84
47
87
44







UO only













Median
1.05
1.48
1.05
1.58
1.05
1.58


Average
1.67
6.52
1.66
7.02
1.66
7.02


Stdev
5.75
16.5
5.70
17.2
5.70
17.2


p (t-test)

0.015

0.0093

0.0093


Min
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
107
24
109
22
109
22












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.68
0.68
0.71
0.70
0.69
0.70
0.67
0.69


SE
0.049
0.049
0.065
0.049
0.050
0.067
0.051
0.052
0.067


p Value
3.3E−4
2.6E−4
0.0068
2.0E−5
8.2E−5
0.0039
7.5E−5
9.1E−4
0.0039


nCohort Non-
79
80
107
85
84
109
89
87
109


persistent


nCohort Persistent
53
51
24
47
47
22
43
44
22


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569


Sensitivity
87%
86%
92%
87%
87%
91%
88%
86%
91%


Specificity
33%
32%
29%
32%
32%
28%
31%
31%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
62%
65%
67%
68%
66%
68%
70%
66%
68%


Specificity
58%
59%
53%
60%
58%
53%
60%
57%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66


Sensitivity
38%
37%
42%
40%
38%
45%
40%
36%
45%


Specificity
84%
82%
79%
84%
82%
79%
82%
80%
79%


OR Quartile 2
3.22
3.03
4.49
3.18
3.24
3.97
3.49
2.85
3.97


p Value
0.013
0.019
0.051
0.019
0.018
0.074
0.018
0.035
0.074


Lower limit of
1.28
1.20
0.995
1.20
1.23
0.876
1.24
1.08
0.876


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.12
7.63
20.2
8.40
8.55
18.0
9.81
7.54
18.0


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.30
2.61
2.28
3.20
2.71
2.44
3.40
2.61
2.44


p Value
0.022
0.0096
0.082
0.0024
0.0085
0.073
0.0020
0.013
0.073


Lower limit of
1.13
1.26
0.900
1.51
1.29
0.921
1.56
1.23
0.921


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.69
5.40
5.78
6.78
5.70
6.45
7.38
5.56
6.45


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.08
2.80
2.61
3.44
2.86
3.12
2.98
2.35
3.12


p Value
0.0068
0.013
0.044
0.0030
0.011
0.020
0.0087
0.039
0.020


Lower limit of
1.36
1.25
1.03
1.52
1.27
1.20
1.32
1.05
1.20


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.94
6.29
6.63
7.79
6.42
8.11
6.75
5.30
8.11


95% CI
















TABLE 24.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence


starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.965
1.35
0.960
1.36
0.965
1.39


Average
1.79
3.50
1.73
3.75
1.72
3.88


Stdev
6.90
10.8
6.68
11.3
6.56
11.6


p (t-test)

0.27

0.20

0.17


Min
0.0156
0.00242
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.310


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
74
58
79
53
82
50







sCr only













Median
0.960
1.36
0.960
1.39
0.970
1.39


Average
1.75
3.68
1.71
3.90
1.72
3.98


Stdev
6.77
11.2
6.60
11.6
6.52
11.9


p (t-test)

0.22

0.17

0.16


Min
0.0156
0.00242
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
77
54
81
50
83
48







UO only













Median
1.05
1.36
1.05
1.45
1.05
1.45


Average
1.69
5.61
1.67
6.16
1.67
6.16


Stdev
5.89
15.1
5.80
15.9
5.80
15.9


p (t-test)

0.035

0.020

0.020


Min
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
102
29
105
26
105
26












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.66
0.67
0.64
0.68
0.69
0.67
0.68
0.67
0.67


SE
0.048
0.049
0.061
0.049
0.049
0.063
0.049
0.050
0.063


p Value
0.0011
4.5E−4
0.018
2.3E−4
1.6E−4
0.0058
2.3E−4
5.2E−4
0.0058


nCohort Non-
74
77
102
79
81
105
82
83
105


persistent


nCohort Persistent
58
54
29
53
50
26
50
48
26


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569


Sensitivity
84%
85%
86%
85%
86%
88%
86%
85%
88%


Specificity
32%
32%
28%
32%
32%
29%
32%
31%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
60%
63%
62%
64%
64%
65%
66%
65%
65%


Specificity
58%
58%
53%
59%
58%
53%
60%
58%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66


Sensitivity
34%
35%
38%
36%
36%
42%
36%
35%
42%


Specificity
82%
82%
78%
82%
81%
79%
82%
81%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.61
2.76
2.48
2.60
2.90
3.07
2.85
2.67
3.07


p Value
0.029
0.025
0.12
0.035
0.024
0.085
0.026
0.038
0.085


Lower limit of
1.10
1.14
0.794
1.07
1.15
0.857
1.13
1.06
0.857


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.18
6.73
7.76
6.34
7.32
11.0
7.19
6.74
11.0


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.11
2.39
1.84
2.63
2.46
2.16
2.88
2.50
2.16


p Value
0.036
0.017
0.16
0.0084
0.015
0.092
0.0046
0.014
0.092


Lower limit of
1.05
1.17
0.791
1.28
1.19
0.883
1.38
1.20
0.883


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.25
4.88
4.29
5.39
5.08
5.28
6.00
5.21
5.28


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.47
2.44
2.22
2.59
2.47
2.77
2.51
2.30
2.77


p Value
0.028
0.030
0.077
0.020
0.027
0.028
0.025
0.043
0.028


Lower limit of
1.10
1.09
0.916
1.16
1.11
1.11
1.12
1.03
1.11


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.54
5.46
5.39
5.81
5.53
6.87
5.62
5.13
6.87


95% CI
















TABLE 24.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence


starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.960
1.36
0.950
1.39
0.965
1.39


Average
1.79
3.47
1.73
3.71
1.74
3.77


Stdev
6.95
10.7
6.73
11.2
6.64
11.4


p (t-test)

0.28

0.21

0.20


Min
0.0156
0.00242
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
73
59
78
54
80
52







sCr only













Median
0.960
1.36
0.960
1.39
0.970
1.39


Average
1.77
3.59
1.73
3.79
1.74
3.86


Stdev
6.86
11.0
6.68
11.4
6.60
11.6


p (t-test)

0.25

0.19

0.18


Min
0.0156
0.00242
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
75
56
79
52
81
50







UO only













Median
1.05
1.36
1.05
1.45
1.05
1.45


Average
1.70
5.11
1.67
5.54
1.67
5.54


Stdev
6.01
14.2
5.92
14.8
5.92
14.8


p (t-test)

0.056

0.036

0.036


Min
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
98
33
101
30
101
30












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.67
0.65
0.69
0.68
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67


SE
0.048
0.048
0.058
0.048
0.049
0.059
0.049
0.050
0.059


p Value
5.6E−4
4.5E−4
0.011
1.0E−4
1.7E−4
0.0037
3.5E−4
5.5E−4
0.0037


nCohort Non-
73
75
98
78
79
101
80
81
101


persistent


nCohort Persistent
59
56
33
54
52
30
52
50
30


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569


Sensitivity
85%
84%
88%
85%
85%
90%
85%
84%
90%


Specificity
33%
32%
30%
32%
32%
30%
31%
31%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
61%
62%
61%
65%
63%
63%
65%
64%
63%


Specificity
59%
59%
53%
60%
58%
53%
60%
58%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66


Sensitivity
36%
36%
39%
37%
37%
43%
37%
36%
43%


Specificity
84%
83%
80%
83%
82%
80%
82%
81%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.72
2.46
3.05
2.71
2.55
3.80
2.50
2.34
3.80


p Value
0.023
0.041
0.054
0.028
0.040
0.039
0.043
0.061
0.039


Lower limit of
1.15
1.04
0.983
1.12
1.05
1.07
1.03
0.961
1.07


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.44
5.82
9.45
6.60
6.20
13.5
6.08
5.71
13.5


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.24
2.37
1.74
2.79
2.42
1.98
2.83
2.46
1.98


p Value
0.024
0.017
0.18
0.0051
0.016
0.11
0.0049
0.015
0.11


Lower limit of
1.11
1.16
0.779
1.36
1.18
0.857
1.37
1.19
0.857


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.52
4.81
3.88
5.73
4.97
4.59
5.85
5.08
4.59


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.81
2.65
2.54
2.94
2.67
3.10
2.71
2.47
3.10


p Value
0.013
0.018
0.033
0.0092
0.017
0.011
0.015
0.027
0.011


Lower limit of
1.24
1.18
1.08
1.31
1.19
1.29
1.21
1.11
1.29


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.36
5.96
5.95
6.63
5.99
7.41
6.08
5.53
7.41


95% CI
















TABLE 24.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence


starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.960
1.36
0.950
1.39
0.965
1.39


Average
1.79
3.47
1.73
3.71
1.74
3.77


Stdev
6.95
10.7
6.73
11.2
6.64
11.4


p (t-test)

0.28

0.21

0.20


Min
0.0156
0.00242
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
73
59
78
54
80
52







sCr only













Median
0.965
1.36
0.965
1.36
0.979
1.36


Average
1.79
3.53
1.75
3.72
1.76
3.78


Stdev
6.90
10.9
6.72
11.3
6.64
11.5


p (t-test)

0.27

0.21

0.20


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.00242
0.0156
0.00242
0.0156


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
74
57
78
53
80
51







UO only













Median
1.05
1.36
1.05
1.36
1.05
1.36


Average
1.71
4.88
1.70
5.12
1.70
5.12


Stdev
6.07
13.8
6.01
14.2
6.01
14.2


p (t-test)

0.070

0.055

0.055


Min
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
96
35
98
33
98
33












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.65
0.64
0.69
0.67
0.65
0.67
0.65
0.65


SE
0.048
0.049
0.057
0.048
0.049
0.058
0.049
0.050
0.058


p Value
5.6E−4
0.0016
0.013
1.0E−4
7.0E−4
0.0093
3.5E−4
0.0020
0.0093


nCohort Non-
73
74
96
78
78
98
80
80
98


persistent


nCohort Persistent
59
57
35
54
53
33
52
51
33


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569


Sensitivity
85%
82%
89%
85%
83%
88%
85%
82%
88%


Specificity
33%
31%
30%
32%
31%
30%
31%
30%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
61%
61%
60%
65%
62%
61%
65%
63%
61%


Specificity
59%
58%
53%
60%
58%
53%
60%
57%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66


Sensitivity
36%
35%
37%
37%
36%
39%
37%
35%
39%


Specificity
84%
82%
79%
83%
82%
80%
82%
81%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.72
2.12
3.35
2.71
2.17
3.05
2.50
2.00
3.05


p Value
0.023
0.080
0.036
0.028
0.078
0.054
0.043
0.12
0.054


Lower limit of
1.15
0.914
1.08
1.12
0.916
0.983
1.03
0.843
0.983


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.44
4.92
10.4
6.60
5.15
9.45
6.08
4.75
9.45


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.24
2.21
1.70
2.79
2.25
1.74
2.83
2.28
1.74


p Value
0.024
0.028
0.19
0.0051
0.026
0.18
0.0049
0.025
0.18


Lower limit of
1.11
1.09
0.775
1.36
1.10
0.779
1.37
1.11
0.779


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.52
4.47
3.73
5.73
4.60
3.88
5.85
4.68
3.88


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.81
2.54
2.25
2.94
2.55
2.54
2.71
2.36
2.54


p Value
0.013
0.024
0.060
0.0092
0.023
0.033
0.015
0.036
0.033


Lower limit of
1.24
1.13
0.965
1.31
1.14
1.08
1.21
1.06
1.08


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.36
5.70
5.22
6.63
5.72
5.95
6.08
5.28
5.95


95% CI









Example 25. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 18 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 18 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 25.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence


starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.845
1.33
0.979
1.34
0.989
1.36


Average
0.977
3.63
1.02
4.25
1.02
4.55


Stdev
0.836
11.4
0.798
12.7
0.777
13.2


p (t-test)

0.091

0.036

0.023


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
54
78
70
62
75
57







sCr only













Median
0.870
1.31
0.970
1.35
0.989
1.44


Average
0.984
3.75
1.000
4.38
1.00
4.75


Stdev
0.819
11.7
0.777
12.9
0.752
13.6


p (t-test)

0.077

0.030

0.017


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
57
74
71
60
77
54







UO only













Median
0.983
1.59
1.02
1.59
1.04
1.61


Average
1.64
5.80
1.64
6.89
1.63
7.41


Stdev
5.89
15.1
5.73
16.8
5.67
17.5


p (t-test)

0.025

0.0095

0.0058


Min
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
102
29
108
23
110
21












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.66
0.65
0.73
0.64
0.66
0.74
0.65
0.66
0.74


SE
0.047
0.048
0.057
0.048
0.048
0.063
0.049
0.049
0.066


p Value
0.0011
0.0017
5.0E−5
0.0038
0.0012
1.8E−4
0.0017
8.2E−4
2.7E−4


nCohort Non-
54
57
102
70
71
108
75
77
110


persistent


nCohort Persistent
78
74
29
62
60
23
57
54
21


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569


Sensitivity
83%
82%
97%
85%
85%
96%
86%
85%
95%


Specificity
37%
35%
31%
34%
34%
30%
33%
32%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
59%
59%
79%
58%
62%
78%
60%
61%
76%


Specificity
63%
61%
58%
57%
59%
56%
57%
57%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66


Sensitivity
29%
31%
38%
32%
33%
43%
35%
37%
48%


Specificity
81%
82%
78%
81%
82%
79%
83%
83%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.94
2.54
12.8
3.07
2.89
9.26
3.06
2.76
8.21


p Value
0.0092
0.024
0.014
0.011
0.016
0.033
0.014
0.025
0.044


Lower limit of
1.31
1.13
1.67
1.30
1.22
1.20
1.26
1.14
1.06


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.63
5.70
98.3
7.27
6.86
71.7
7.44
6.73
63.7


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.44
2.33
5.26
1.85
2.33
4.50
1.99
2.10
3.84


p Value
0.014
0.019
9.1E−4
0.082
0.018
0.0055
0.054
0.041
0.014


Lower limit of
1.20
1.15
1.97
0.924
1.15
1.56
0.987
1.03
1.31


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.99
4.73
14.0
3.69
4.71
13.0
4.00
4.26
11.2


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.84
2.12
2.22
2.09
2.23
2.84
2.58
2.90
3.44


p Value
0.16
0.080
0.077
0.073
0.051
0.030
0.022
0.010
0.013


Lower limit of
0.793
0.914
0.916
0.934
0.996
1.11
1.15
1.28
1.30


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.27
4.92
5.39
4.67
5.00
7.31
5.79
6.53
9.09


95% CI
















TABLE 25.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence


starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.774
1.33
0.965
1.31
0.965
1.35


Average
0.895
3.51
0.997
4.00
0.988
4.19


Stdev
0.778
11.0
0.784
12.2
0.766
12.5


p (t-test)

0.10

0.051

0.037


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
49
83
64
68
68
64







sCr only













Median
0.797
1.35
0.950
1.35
0.960
1.36


Average
0.903
3.70
0.953
4.16
0.952
4.32


Stdev
0.750
11.5
0.734
12.4
0.721
12.7


p (t-test)

0.076

0.038

0.030


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
54
77
66
65
69
62







UO only













Median
0.974
1.42
1.00
1.43
1.02
1.54


Average
1.69
4.77
1.68
5.39
1.68
5.66


Stdev
6.13
13.4
5.95
14.6
5.89
15.1


p (t-test)

0.073

0.042

0.032


Min
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
94
37
100
31
102
29












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.65
0.67
0.68
0.66
0.68
0.67


SE
0.046
0.046
0.054
0.048
0.047
0.058
0.047
0.047
0.060


p Value
4.1E−5
4.7E−5
5.7E−4
0.0023
3.2E−4
0.0024
8.2E−4
1.8E−4
0.0039


nCohort Non-
49
54
94
64
66
100
68
69
102


persistent


nCohort Persistent
83
77
37
68
65
31
64
62
29


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569


Sensitivity
83%
83%
92%
84%
85%
90%
84%
85%
90%


Specificity
39%
37%
32%
34%
35%
30%
34%
35%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
60%
61%
73%
57%
60%
71%
59%
60%
69%


Specificity
67%
65%
59%
58%
59%
56%
59%
58%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66


Sensitivity
31%
34%
32%
32%
34%
35%
34%
35%
38%


Specificity
86%
87%
78%
83%
83%
78%
84%
84%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.12
2.90
5.31
2.71
2.94
4.00
2.76
3.14
3.61


p Value
0.0060
0.010
0.0092
0.018
0.012
0.032
0.018
0.0093
0.047


Lower limit of
1.38
1.28
1.51
1.19
1.27
1.13
1.19
1.33
1.02


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.03
6.53
18.7
6.20
6.83
14.2
6.40
7.44
12.8


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.12
2.89
3.81
1.84
2.17
3.11
2.09
2.04
2.71


p Value
0.0026
0.0040
0.0017
0.083
0.030
0.011
0.038
0.045
0.026


Lower limit of
1.49
1.40
1.65
0.924
1.08
1.30
1.04
1.02
1.12


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.56
5.94
8.76
3.68
4.35
7.43
4.18
4.10
6.51


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.74
3.42
1.67
2.30
2.56
1.95
2.71
2.90
2.22


p value
0.033
0.0090
0.23
0.047
0.026
0.13
0.018
0.012
0.077


Lower limit of
1.09
1.36
0.719
1.01
1.12
0.813
1.19
1.27
0.916


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.90
8.62
3.87
5.26
5.85
4.68
6.20
6.64
5.39


95% CI
















TABLE 25.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence


starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.774
1.33
0.965
1.31
0.979
1.34


Average
0.895
3.51
0.997
4.00
1.00
4.08


Stdev
0.778
11.0
0.784
12.2
0.773
12.3


p (t-test)

0.10

0.051

0.045


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
49
83
64
68
66
66







sCr only













Median
0.819
1.34
0.960
1.34
0.970
1.35


Average
0.911
3.66
0.960
4.11
0.967
4.20


Stdev
0.755
11.4
0.737
12.3
0.727
12.5


p (t-test)

0.082

0.042

0.037


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
53
78
65
66
67
64







UO only













Median
1.02
1.35
1.05
1.35
1.06
1.34


Average
1.75
4.29
1.74
4.73
1.73
4.93


Stdev
6.30
12.7
6.10
13.6
6.04
14.0


p (t-test)

0.13

0.085

0.071


Min
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310
0.00242
0.310


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
89
42
95
36
97
34












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.68
0.64
0.65
0.66
0.62
0.64
0.66
0.62


SE
0.046
0.046
0.053
0.048
0.047
0.057
0.048
0.048
0.058


p Value
4.1E−5
1.1E−4
0.0096
0.0023
6.6E−4
0.031
0.0028
8.3E−4
0.046


nCohort Non-
49
53
89
64
65
95
66
67
97


persistent


nCohort Persistent
83
78
42
68
66
36
66
64
34


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569


Sensitivity
83%
82%
88%
84%
83%
86%
83%
83%
85%


Specificity
39%
36%
31%
34%
34%
29%
33%
33%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
60%
60%
64%
57%
59%
61%
58%
58%
59%


Specificity
67%
64%
56%
58%
58%
54%
58%
57%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66


Sensitivity
31%
33%
29%
32%
33%
31%
33%
34%
32%


Specificity
86%
87%
76%
83%
83%
77%
83%
84%
77%


OR Quartile 2
3.12
2.55
3.40
2.71
2.56
2.59
2.50
2.36
2.35


p Value
0.0060
0.023
0.021
0.018
0.026
0.073
0.030
0.042
0.11


Lower limit of
1.38
1.14
1.21
1.19
1.12
0.914
1.10
1.03
0.827


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.03
5.72
9.57
6.20
5.85
7.35
5.71
5.38
6.70


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.12
2.71
2.31
1.84
2.03
1.82
1.84
1.80
1.58


p Value
0.0026
0.0067
0.030
0.083
0.046
0.13
0.083
0.098
0.25


Lower limit of
1.49
1.32
1.08
0.924
1.01
0.833
0.923
0.898
0.718


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.56
5.58
4.92
3.68
4.08
3.98
3.67
3.59
3.49


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.74
3.29
1.30
2.30
2.45
1.46
2.50
2.67
1.63


p Value
0.033
0.012
0.54
0.047
0.033
0.39
0.030
0.020
0.27


Lower limit of
1.09
1.30
0.565
1.01
1.07
0.621
1.10
1.17
0.689


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.90
8.28
2.97
5.26
5.61
3.43
5.71
6.10
3.86


95% CI
















TABLE 25.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence


starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.774
1.33
0.960
1.33
0.970
1.35


Average
0.895
3.51
0.985
3.96
0.991
4.05


Stdev
0.778
11.0
0.785
12.1
0.774
12.2


p (t-test)

0.10

0.053

0.047


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
49
83
63
69
65
67







sCr only













Median
0.819
1.34
0.950
1.35
0.965
1.36


Average
0.911
3.66
0.949
4.07
0.955
4.16


Stdev
0.755
11.4
0.736
12.2
0.726
12.4


p (t-test)

0.082

0.044

0.038


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
53
78
64
67
66
65







UO only













Median
1.00
1.36
1.05
1.35
1.06
1.34


Average
1.75
4.11
1.76
4.39
1.75
4.55


Stdev
6.41
12.2
6.23
13.0
6.16
13.3


p (t-test)

0.15

0.12

0.10


Min
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
86
45
91
40
93
38












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.68
0.64
0.65
0.67
0.62
0.65
0.67
0.61


SE
0.046
0.046
0.052
0.047
0.047
0.055
0.048
0.047
0.056


p Value
4.1E−5
1.1E−4
0.0059
0.0012
2.9E−4
0.032
0.0014
3.8E−4
0.047


nCohort Non-
49
53
86
63
64
91
65
66
93


persistent


nCohort Persistent
83
78
45
69
67
40
67
65
38


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569


Sensitivity
83%
82%
87%
84%
84%
85%
84%
83%
84%


Specificity
39%
36%
31%
35%
34%
30%
34%
33%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
60%
60%
64%
58%
60%
60%
58%
58%
58%


Specificity
67%
64%
57%
59%
59%
54%
58%
58%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66


Sensitivity
31%
33%
31%
33%
34%
32%
34%
35%
34%


Specificity
86%
87%
78%
84%
84%
78%
85%
85%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.12
2.55
2.97
2.83
2.67
2.39
2.60
2.45
2.18


p Value
0.0060
0.023
0.028
0.014
0.020
0.081
0.023
0.033
0.12


Lower limit of
1.38
1.14
1.12
1.24
1.17
0.899
1.14
1.07
0.819


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.03
5.72
7.87
6.47
6.10
6.35
5.95
5.61
5.81


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.12
2.71
2.40
1.96
2.17
1.75
1.96
1.91
1.53


p Value
0.0026
0.0067
0.021
0.056
0.030
0.15
0.057
0.068
0.27


Lower limit of
1.49
1.32
1.14
0.982
1.08
0.823
0.981
0.954
0.715


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.56
5.58
5.06
3.92
4.35
3.72
3.92
3.82
3.28


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.74
3.29
1.59
2.65
2.82
1.71
2.87
3.07
1.90


p Value
0.033
0.012
0.26
0.023
0.016
0.20
0.014
0.0092
0.13


Lower limit of
1.09
1.30
0.708
1.14
1.22
0.748
1.24
1.32
0.825


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.90
8.28
3.58
6.14
6.55
3.91
6.67
7.13
4.37


95% CI
















TABLE 25.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence


starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.774
1.33
0.950
1.33
0.965
1.34


Average
0.895
3.51
0.980
3.93
0.986
4.01


Stdev
0.778
11.0
0.791
12.0
0.779
12.2


p (t-test)

0.10

0.056

0.049


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
49
83
62
70
64
68







sCr only













Median
0.819
1.34
0.950
1.35
0.965
1.36


Average
0.911
3.66
0.949
4.07
0.955
4.16


Stdev
0.755
11.4
0.736
12.2
0.726
12.4


p (t-test)

0.082

0.044

0.038


Min
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242
0.0264
0.00242


Max
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0
4.23
60.0


n (Patient)
53
78
64
67
66
65







UO only













Median
1.00
1.36
1.04
1.35
1.05
1.33


Average
1.77
3.98
1.78
4.17
1.77
4.30


Stdev
6.48
12.0
6.33
12.5
6.26
12.8


p (t-test)

0.17

0.15

0.13


Min
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233
0.00242
0.233


Max
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0


n (Patient)
84
47
88
43
90
41












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.68
0.64
0.66
0.67
0.62
0.65
0.67
0.61


SE
0.046
0.046
0.052
0.047
0.047
0.054
0.047
0.047
0.054


p Value
4.1E−5
1.1E−4
0.0064
8.8E−4
2.9E−4
0.030
0.0011
3.8E−4
0.045


nCohort Non-
49
53
84
62
64
88
64
66
90


persistent


nCohort Persistent
83
78
47
70
67
43
68
65
41


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569
0.561
0.557
0.569


Sensitivity
83%
82%
87%
84%
84%
86%
84%
83%
85%


Specificity
39%
36%
32%
35%
34%
31%
34%
33%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07
1.07


Sensitivity
60%
60%
64%
59%
60%
60%
59%
58%
59%


Specificity
67%
64%
57%
60%
59%
55%
59%
58%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.66


Sensitivity
31%
33%
30%
33%
34%
30%
34%
35%
32%


Specificity
86%
87%
77%
84%
84%
77%
84%
85%
78%


OR Quartile 2
3.12
2.55
3.24
2.95
2.67
2.73
2.71
2.45
2.50


p Value
0.0060
0.023
0.018
0.010
0.020
0.043
0.018
0.033
0.066


Lower limit of
1.38
1.14
1.23
1.29
1.17
1.03
1.19
1.07
0.942


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.03
5.72
8.55
6.75
6.10
7.23
6.20
5.61
6.64


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.12
2.71
2.35
2.09
2.17
1.84
2.09
1.91
1.61


p Value
0.0026
0.0067
0.023
0.037
0.030
0.11
0.038
0.068
0.21


Lower limit of
1.49
1.32
1.13
1.04
1.08
0.874
1.04
0.954
0.765


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.56
5.58
4.91
4.19
4.35
3.85
4.18
3.82
3.40


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.74
3.29
1.45
2.54
2.82
1.47
2.76
3.07
1.62


p Value
0.033
0.012
0.37
0.029
0.016
0.35
0.018
0.0092
0.25


Lower limit of
1.09
1.30
0.647
1.10
1.22
0.649
1.19
1.32
0.713


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.90
8.28
3.25
5.90
6.55
3.34
6.40
7.13
3.71


95% CI









Example 26. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 23 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 23 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 26.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00282
0.0144
0.00258
0.0130
0.00282
0.0123


Average
0.00875
0.134
0.00707
0.129
0.00774
0.127


Stdev
0.0140
0.372
0.00989
0.366
0.0103
0.363


p (t-test)

0.012

0.025

0.037


Min
7.19E−7
3.28E−9
7.19E−7
3.28E−9
7.19E−7
3.28E−9


Max
0.0790
2.47
0.0380
2.47
0.0380
2.47


n (Patient)
57
260
46
271
41
276







sCr only













Median
0.00278
0.0172
0.00278
0.0168
0.00282
0.0162


Average
0.00748
0.144
0.00760
0.143
0.00783
0.141


Stdev
0.0121
0.386
0.0123
0.384
0.0125
0.382


p (t-test)

0.0022

0.0027

0.0038


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
0.0790
2.47
0.0790
2.47
0.0790
2.47


n (Patient)
76
240
74
242
70
246







UO only













Median
0.00780
0.0134
0.00783
0.0129
0.00764
0.0134


Average
0.0920
0.144
0.0859
0.144
0.0865
0.137


Stdev
0.347
0.331
0.338
0.345
0.350
0.332


p (t-test)

0.19

0.14

0.19


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.92
2.47
1.92


n (Patient)
194
121
173
142
156
159












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.73
0.57
0.71
0.73
0.57
0.69
0.72
0.57


SE
0.035
0.030
0.033
0.037
0.030
0.033
0.040
0.031
0.032


p Value
9.9E−9
 5.1E−15
0.036
1.9E−8
 5.0E−14
0.034
2.0E−6
 1.1E−12
0.020


nCohort Recovered
57
76
194
46
74
173
41
70
156


nCohort Non-
260
240
121
271
242
142
276
246
159


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207


Sensitivity
78%
80%
78%
78%
80%
78%
77%
80%
78%


Specificity
40%
42%
27%
43%
42%
28%
39%
41%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
56%
59%
55%
55%
59%
54%
54%
58%
54%


Specificity
75%
79%
53%
76%
78%
53%
73%
77%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478


Sensitivity
30%
32%
36%
30%
32%
35%
29%
32%
33%


Specificity
98%
99%
82%
100% 
99%
83%
100% 
99%
83%


OR Quartile 2
2.46
2.99
1.27
2.76
2.91
1.37
2.16
2.77
1.39


p Value
0.0035
1.1E−4
0.37
0.0022
1.8E−4
0.23
0.028
4.3E−4
0.21


Lower limit of
1.34
1.71
0.748
1.44
1.67
0.818
1.09
1.57
0.834


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.52
5.21
2.17
5.30
5.10
2.31
4.30
4.89
2.32


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.87
5.43
1.40
3.83
5.15
1.35
3.15
4.61
1.37


p Value
4.6E−5
5.0E−8
0.14
2.5E−4
1.4E−7
0.19
0.0021
1.0E−6
0.16


Lower limit of
2.02
2.96
0.890
1.87
2.80
0.862
1.52
2.50
0.882


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.42
9.99
2.22
7.85
9.47
2.10
6.55
8.50
2.14


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
24.4
36.1
2.60
39.1
34.7
2.51
34.0
32.0
2.50


p Value
0.0017
4.2E−4
3.3E−4
0.010
4.8E−4
5.7E−4
0.014
6.5E−4
7.9E−4


Lower limit of
3.32
4.93
1.54
2.38
4.74
1.49
2.07
4.37
1.46


95% CI


Upper limit of
180
265
4.37
642
254
4.24
559
235
4.27


95% CI
















TABLE 26.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00296
0.0184
0.00282
0.0168
0.00285
0.0162


Average
0.00925
0.152
0.00872
0.145
0.00897
0.141


Stdev
0.0164
0.395
0.0154
0.387
0.0157
0.382


p (t-test)

 7.3E−4

0.0019

0.0039


Min
7.09E−7
3.28E−9
7.09E−7
3.28E−9
7.09E−7
3.28E−9


Max
0.102
2.47
0.102
2.47
0.102
2.47


n (Patient)
90
227
79
238
71
246







sCr only













Median
0.00328
0.0222
0.00328
0.0220
0.00329
0.0213


Average
0.00870
0.163
0.00881
0.161
0.00872
0.158


Stdev
0.0153
0.408
0.0154
0.406
0.0155
0.402


p (t-test)

 1.3E−4

 1.6E−4

 2.7E−4


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
0.102
2.47
0.102
2.47
0.102
2.47


n (Patient)
106
211
104
213
99
218







UO only













Median
0.00764
0.0192
0.00780
0.0175
0.00764
0.0169


Average
0.0920
0.153
0.0981
0.134
0.0990
0.129


Stdev
0.336
0.351
0.350
0.328
0.361
0.315


p (t-test)

0.14

0.37

0.44


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
212
103
194
121
178
137












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.75
0.59
0.73
0.75
0.57
0.72
0.74
0.57


SE
0.029
0.027
0.035
0.030
0.027
0.033
0.031
0.028
0.033


p Value
 7.5E−15
0
0.012
 3.1E−14
0
0.035
 6.9E−12
0
0.026


nCohort Recovered
90
106
212
79
104
194
71
99
178


nCohort Non-
227
211
103
238
213
121
246
218
137


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207


Sensitivity
81%
82%
78%
81%
82%
79%
80%
82%
79%


Specificity
39%
40%
26%
42%
39%
28%
41%
39%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
60%
64%
59%
59%
63%
56%
57%
62%
55%


Specificity
76%
77%
54%
76%
77%
54%
75%
77%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478


Sensitivity
34%
36%
36%
33%
36%
33%
32%
35%
32%


Specificity
97%
97%
80%
97%
97%
80%
97%
97%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.65
3.09
1.25
2.99
3.00
1.48
2.71
2.89
1.45


p Value
3.8E−4
2.7E−5
0.43
9.5E−5
4.5E−5
0.15
5.6E−4
8.4E−5
0.16


Lower limit of
1.55
1.82
0.717
1.73
1.77
0.863
1.54
1.70
0.861


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.53
5.23
2.18
5.19
5.08
2.54
4.77
4.91
2.46


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.71
6.07
1.72
4.51
5.77
1.48
3.95
5.48
1.46


p Value
3.3E−8
 3.9E−11
0.026
3.1E−7
 1.3E−10
0.091
5.2E−6
 7.1E−10
0.098


Lower limit of
2.72
3.56
1.07
2.53
3.38
0.939
2.19
3.19
0.932


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.15
10.4
2.77
8.03
9.85
2.34
7.14
9.41
2.28


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
14.9
19.7
2.27
18.8
19.1
1.96
16.0
17.5
1.93


p Value
7.7E−6
7.6E−7
0.0022
5.8E−5
1.0E−6
0.011
1.5E−4
2.1E−6
0.012


Lower limit of
4.56
6.05
1.34
4.49
5.85
1.17
3.83
5.36
1.15


95% CI


Upper limit of
48.6
64.3
3.84
78.4
62.1
3.29
67.0
57.0
3.24


95% CI
















TABLE 26.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00324
0.0215
0.00306
0.0200
0.00321
0.0178


Average
0.0146
0.165
0.0151
0.160
0.0158
0.153


Stdev
0.0391
0.415
0.0403
0.409
0.0422
0.401


p (t-test)

 1.3E−4

 3.0E−4

 8.6E−4


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
0.361
2.47
0.361
2.47
0.361
2.47


n (Patient)
114
203
107
210
97
220







sCr only













Median
0.00365
0.0249
0.00367
0.0232
0.00365
0.0226


Average
0.0139
0.176
0.0142
0.174
0.0142
0.170


Stdev
0.0371
0.427
0.0375
0.424
0.0382
0.420


p (t-test)

 2.6E−5

 3.9E−5

 7.2E−5


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
0.361
2.47
0.361
2.47
0.361
2.47


n (Patient)
127
190
124
193
119
198







UO only













Median
0.00730
0.0207
0.00764
0.0182
0.00724
0.0182


Average
0.0934
0.151
0.0971
0.139
0.0964
0.135


Stdev
0.335
0.354
0.342
0.340
0.350
0.328


p (t-test)

0.16

0.30

0.32


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
214
101
204
111
190
125












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.72
0.73
0.59
0.72
0.73
0.57
0.71
0.72
0.59


SE
0.028
0.028
0.035
0.029
0.028
0.034
0.029
0.028
0.033


p Value
 1.8E−15
0
0.0072
 2.2E−14
 6.7E−16
0.029
 7.5E−13
 1.1E−15
0.0092


nCohort Recovered
114
127
214
107
124
204
97
119
190


nCohort Non-
203
190
101
210
193
111
220
198
125


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207


Sensitivity
82%
83%
79%
82%
83%
79%
82%
82%
80%


Specificity
38%
37%
27%
39%
37%
27%
40%
37%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
63%
65%
61%
61%
64%
58%
60%
64%
58%


Specificity
72%
72%
55%
71%
72%
54%
71%
72%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478


Sensitivity
36%
38%
34%
35%
38%
32%
33%
37%
32%


Specificity
94%
94%
79%
93%
94%
78%
93%
94%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.81
2.90
1.42
3.02
2.86
1.45
3.03
2.73
1.59


p Value
1.1E−4
6.7E−5
0.23
3.8E−5
8.2E−5
0.19
4.4E−5
1.6E−4
0.093


Lower limit of
1.67
1.72
0.803
1.79
1.70
0.833
1.78
1.62
0.926


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.74
4.90
2.50
5.11
4.82
2.52
5.15
4.60
2.73


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.28
4.94
1.95
3.83
4.57
1.59
3.63
4.56
1.64


p Value
1.0E−8
1.8E−10
0.0065
1.5E−7
1.2E−9
0.050
9.5E−7
1.9E−9
0.033


Lower limit of
2.60
3.02
1.21
2.32
2.80
0.999
2.17
2.78
1.04


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.04
8.07
3.17
6.32
7.46
2.54
6.07
7.48
2.59


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
8.58
10.7
1.91
7.61
10.2
1.67
6.38
9.34
1.82


p Value
2.5E−7
1.3E−8
0.017
1.1E−6
2.6E−8
0.052
9.1E−6
8.1E−8
0.022


Lower limit of
3.79
4.73
1.12
3.36
4.50
0.994
2.82
4.13
1.09


95% CI


Upper limit of
19.4
24.2
3.23
17.2
23.0
2.82
14.5
21.1
3.05


95% CI
















TABLE 26.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00383
0.0238
0.00365
0.0217
0.00348
0.0194


Average
0.0158
0.181
0.0164
0.173
0.0171
0.164


Stdev
0.0389
0.434
0.0402
0.426
0.0419
0.416


p (t-test)

 1.5E−5

 5.3E−5

 2.0E−4


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
0.361
2.47
0.361
2.47
0.361
2.47


n (Patient)
134
183
125
192
114
203







sCr only













Median
0.00383
0.0285
0.00396
0.0284
0.00379
0.0272


Average
0.0150
0.187
0.0152
0.185
0.0151
0.183


Stdev
0.0379
0.440
0.0382
0.438
0.0385
0.435


p (t-test)

 5.8E−6

 8.0E−6

 1.2E−5


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
0.361
2.47
0.361
2.47
0.361
2.47


n (Patient)
140
177
138
179
135
182







UO only













Median
0.00717
0.0215
0.00711
0.0199
0.00710
0.0184


Average
0.0925
0.154
0.0956
0.143
0.0948
0.139


Stdev
0.333
0.357
0.340
0.344
0.347
0.333


p (t-test)

0.14

0.24

0.26


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
216
99
207
108
194
121












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.72
0.74
0.61
0.71
0.73
0.59
0.70
0.73
0.59


SE
0.028
0.028
0.035
0.029
0.028
0.034
0.029
0.028
0.033


p Value
 5.1E−15
0
0.0024
 1.1E−13
 4.4E−16
0.0073
 5.9E−12
0
0.0063


nCohort Recovered
134
140
216
125
138
207
114
135
194


nCohort Non-
183
177
99
192
179
108
203
182
121


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207


Sensitivity
83%
84%
80%
83%
84%
80%
82%
84%
79%


Specificity
35%
36%
27%
37%
36%
28%
38%
37%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
64%
66%
65%
62%
65%
61%
61%
65%
60%


Specificity
69%
70%
56%
68%
70%
56%
68%
70%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478


Sensitivity
38%
40%
34%
36%
40%
32%
34%
39%
32%


Specificity
93%
94%
79%
92%
93%
79%
91%
93%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.55
3.05
1.48
2.81
2.94
1.49
2.81
3.10
1.48


p Value
4.3E−4
3.8E−5
0.18
1.1E−4
6.2E−5
0.17
1.1E−4
2.7E−5
0.15


Lower limit of
1.51
1.79
0.836
1.66
1.73
0.849
1.67
1.83
0.863


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.29
5.18
2.64
4.73
4.98
2.60
4.74
5.27
2.54


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.12
4.55
2.37
3.46
4.31
1.96
3.33
4.49
1.85


p Value
5.7E−9
 4.8E−10
5.8E−4
3.0E−7
1.7E−9
0.0053
1.2E−6
 8.4E−10
0.0091


Lower limit of
2.56
2.82
1.45
2.15
2.68
1.22
2.05
2.78
1.16


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.63
7.33
3.88
5.57
6.94
3.16
5.41
7.24
2.92


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
7.68
9.75
1.99
6.60
9.42
1.78
5.47
8.95
1.83


p Value
1.8E−8
1.6E−9
0.011
1.9E−7
2.7E−9
0.031
2.7E−6
6.1E−9
0.022


Lower limit of
3.78
4.66
1.17
3.24
4.50
1.05
2.69
4.28
1.09


95% CI


Upper limit of
15.6
20.4
3.37
13.4
19.7
3.00
11.1
18.7
3.07


95% CI
















TABLE 26.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00615
0.0222
0.00601
0.0213
0.00601
0.0213


Average
0.0697
0.172
0.0707
0.168
0.0707
0.168


Stdev
0.294
0.392
0.297
0.388
0.297
0.388


p (t-test)

0.0086

0.012

0.012


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47


n (Patient)
188
129
185
132
185
132







sCr only













Median
0.00460
0.0298
0.00458
0.0284
0.00443
0.0284


Average
0.0332
0.191
0.0336
0.187
0.0338
0.186


Stdev
0.161
0.443
0.163
0.439
0.163
0.438


p (t-test)

 3.2E−5

 4.9E−5

 5.7E−5


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
1.92
2.47
1.92
2.47
1.92
2.47


n (Patient)
160
157
157
160
156
161







UO only













Median
0.00709
0.0213
0.00710
0.0207
0.00709
0.0209


Average
0.0861
0.164
0.0872
0.160
0.0868
0.159


Stdev
0.328
0.363
0.330
0.359
0.332
0.355


p (t-test)

0.056

0.074

0.075


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
211
104
208
107
205
110












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.71
0.61
0.65
0.71
0.61
0.65
0.71
0.61


SE
0.032
0.029
0.034
0.032
0.029
0.034
0.032
0.029
0.034


p Value
2.6E−6
3.5E−13
9.2E−4
3.0E−6
3.9E−13 
0.0021
3.0E−6
3.8E−13 
0.0013


nCohort Recovered
188
160
211
185
157
208
185
156
205


nCohort Non-
129
157
104
132
160
107
132
161
110


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207


Sensitivity
83%
83%
80%
83%
84%
79%
83%
84%
79%


Specificity
30%
33%
27%
31%
34%
27%
31%
34%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
67%
68%
65%
66%
68%
64%
66%
68%
64%


Specificity
61%
68%
57%
61%
68%
57%
61%
68%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478


Sensitivity
36%
41%
35%
35%
40%
34%
35%
40%
34%


Specificity
82%
90%
80%
82%
90%
79%
82%
90%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.12
2.50
1.50
2.23
2.63
1.46
2.23
2.67
1.42


p Value
0.0080
7.9E−4 
0.16
0.0046
4.0E−4
0.19
0.0046
3.2E−4
0.21


Lower limit of
1.22
1.46
0.851
1.28
1.54
0.834
1.28
1.57
0.818


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.68
4.26
2.64
3.87
4.48
2.55
.3.87
4.56
2.47


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.15
4.44
2.54
3.03
4.57
2.29
3.03
4.44
2.33


p Value
1.6E−6
5.6E−10
1.8E−4
3.0E−6
2.9E−10 
7.3E−4
3.0E−6
5.6E−10 
5.2E−4


Lower limit of
1.97
2.77
1.56
1.90
2.85
1.41
1.90
2.77
1.44


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.04
7.12
4.13
4.83
7.34
3.69
4.83
7.12
3.75


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.51
6.19
2.07
2.38
5.88
1.95
2.38
5.77
1.97


p Value
4.9E−4
3.8E−9 
0.0066
0.0010
1.0E−8
0.013
0.0010
1.4E−8
0.011


Lower limit of
1.50
3.38
1.22
1.42
3.20
1.15
1.42
3.15
1.17


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.21
11.4
3.50
3.98
10.8
3.28
3.98
10.6
3.31


95% CI









Example 27. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 23 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 23 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 27.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00335
0.0207
0.00326
0.0192
0.00296
0.0192


Average
0.0505
0.143
0.0522
0.140
0.0531
0.138


Stdev
0.299
0.357
0.305
0.354
0.311
0.351


p (t-test)

0.022

0.031

0.039


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
108
209
104
213
100
217







sCr only













Median
0.00335
0.0249
0.00335
0.0235
0.00335
0.0231


Average
0.0443
0.156
0.0449
0.154
0.0456
0.153


Stdev
0.277
0.372
0.279
0.370
0.282
0.368


p (t-test)

0.0042

0.0052

0.0063


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
126
190
124
192
122
194







UO only













Median
0.00809
0.0175
0.00780
0.0169
0.00744
0.0175


Average
0.0873
0.171
0.0900
0.155
0.0930
0.144


Stdev
0.327
0.370
0.337
0.348
0.345
0.335


p (t-test)

0.048

0.11

0.20


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
222
93
208
107
198
117












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.71
0.74
0.57
0.70
0.74
0.58
0.72
0.73
0.59


SE
0.029
0.027
0.036
0.029
0.028
0.034
0.029
0.028
0.034


p Value
 9.9E−13
0
0.042
3.1E−12
0
0.021
1.4E−13
0
0.011


nCohort Recovered
108
126
222
104
124
208
100
122
198


nCohort Non-
209
190
93
213
192
107
217
194
117


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207


Sensitivity
80%
83%
75%
81%
83%
79%
81%
82%
79%


Specificity
35%
37%
25%
37%
37%
27%
38%
37%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
62%
66%
58%
61%
65%
57%
60%
64%
57%


Specificity
72%
74%
53%
71%
73%
53%
72%
73%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478


Sensitivity
36%
38%
39%
35%
38%
38%
35%
38%
38%


Specificity
95%
95%
81%
95%
95%
82%
96%
95%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.22
2.94
1.03
2.42
2.84
1.35
2.63
2.75
1.49


p Value
0.0027
5.6E−5
0.93
9.9E−4
9.0E−5
0.29
3.3E−4
1.4E−4
0.15


Lower limit of
1.32
1.74
0.586
1.43
1.68
0.773
1.55
1.63
0.863


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.75
4.96
1.80
4.08
4.79
2.34
4.46
4.63
2.57


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.19
5.42
1.57
3.79
5.14
1.52
3.92
4.89
1.58


p Value
2.7E−8
 2.8E−11
0.070
2.4E−7
1.0E−10
0.082
2.0E−7
3.6E−10
0.053


Lower limit of
2.53
3.30
0.963
2.29
3.13
0.949
2.34
2.98
0.994


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.95
8.91
2.56
6.28
8.45
2.43
6.55
8.02
2.50


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
11.5
12.5
2.63
10.8
12.1
2.78
12.9
11.7
2.81


p Value
3.5E−7
1.3E−8
3.9E−4
7.5E−7
2.1E−8
1.4E−4
1.4E−6
3.2E−8
1.1E−4


Lower limit of
4.50
5.23
1.54
4.20
5.05
1.64
4.58
4.88
1.66


95% CI


Upper limit of
29.5
29.8
4.48
27.6
28.8
4.70
36.5
27.9
4.73


95% CI
















TABLE 27.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00396
0.0222
0.00396
0.0220
0.00368
0.0217


Average
0.0487
0.158
0.0494
0.157
0.0503
0.153


Stdev
0.268
0.380
0.270
0.378
0.275
0.374


p (t-test)

0.0045

0.0055

0.0081


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
136
181
134
183
129
188







sCr only













Median
0.00420
0.0272
0.00413
0.0260
0.00413
0.0259


Average
0.0452
0.170
0.0455
0.169
0.0460
0.167


Stdev
0.257
0.392
0.257
0.391
0.259
0.389


p (t-test)

0.0011

0.0012

0.0015


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
149
168
148
169
146
171







UO only













Median
0.00730
0.0220
0.00744
0.0215
0.00722
0.0209


Average
0.0877
0.173
0.0889
0.165
0.0927
0.149


Stdev
0.326
0.374
0.330
0.363
0.340
0.344


p (t-test)

0.045

0.069

0.17


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
226
89
220
95
207
108












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.72
0.61
0.69
0.72
0.61
0.69
0.71
0.61


SE
0.029
0.028
0.036
0.029
0.028
0.035
0.029
0.029
0.034


p Value
 1.5E−10
 3.1E−14
0.0017
 2.5E−10
 3.3E−14
0.0019
 3.4E−11
 1.9E−13
0.0020


nCohort Recovered
136
149
226
134
148
220
129
146
207


nCohort Non-
181
168
89
183
169
95
188
171
108


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207


Sensitivity
81%
83%
80%
81%
83%
81%
81%
82%
81%


Specificity
32%
34%
27%
33%
34%
28%
34%
34%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
63%
67%
64%
62%
66%
62%
62%
65%
60%


Specificity
67%
68%
55%
66%
68%
55%
67%
68%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478


Sensitivity
38%
40%
38%
37%
40%
38%
37%
39%
36%


Specificity
91%
91%
80%
91%
91%
80%
91%
91%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.00
2.42
1.46
2.07
2.46
1.64
2.26
2.37
1.75


p Value
0.0086
9.7E−4
0.21
0.0058
7.7E−4
0.10
0.0020
0.0012
0.054


Lower limit of
1.19
1.43
0.804
1.23
1.46
0.908
1.35
1.41
0.990


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.34
4.09
2.64
3.46
4.16
2.97
3.80
4.00
3.11


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.44
4.34
2.20
3.27
4.22
2.00
3.22
4.00
1.85


p Value
2.2E−7
1.0E−9
0.0022
6.6E−7
2.0E−9
0.0057
1.0E−6
7.0E−9
0.011


Lower limit of
2.16
2.71
1.33
2.05
2.64
1.22
2.01
2.50
1.15


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.49
6.95
3.66
5.21
6.76
3.28
5.15
6.39
2.97


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
6.22
6.94
2.49
6.01
6.82
2.51
6.22
6.59
2.36


p Value
7.0E−8
4.5E−9
9.1E−4
1.2E−7
6.1E−9
6.9E−4
1.7E−7
1.1E−8
0.0013


Lower limit of
3.20
3.63
1.45
3.09
3.57
1.48
3.13
3.45
1.40


95% CI


Upper limit of
12.1
13.3
4.26
11.7
13.0
4.27
12.3
12.6
3.98


95% CI
















TABLE 27.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00427
0.0260
0.00427
0.0259
0.00396
0.0232


Average
0.0490
0.170
0.0496
0.168
0.0506
0.164


Stdev
0.255
0.397
0.257
0.395
0.260
0.391


p (t-test)

0.0015

0.0019

0.0029


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
154
163
152
165
148
169







sCr only













Median
0.00427
0.0295
0.00427
0.0293
0.00427
0.0289


Average
0.0471
0.177
0.0473
0.176
0.0476
0.175


Stdev
0.250
0.404
0.251
0.403
0.251
0.402


p (t-test)

 6.0E−4

 6.8E−4

 7.9E−4


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
161
156
160
157
159
158







UO only













Median
0.00710
0.0222
0.00711
0.0221
0.00717
0.0212


Average
0.0895
0.167
0.0899
0.165
0.0934
0.150


Stdev
0.328
0.370
0.328
0.368
0.336
0.351


p (t-test)

0.068

0.075

0.17


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
224
91
223
92
212
103












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.71
0.72
0.62
0.70
0.72
0.62
0.70
0.72
0.61


SE
0.029
0.029
0.036
0.029
0.029
0.036
0.029
0.029
0.035


p Value
 7.9E−13
 7.8E−15
4.9E−4
 3.3E−12
 8.7E−15
6.1E−4
 2.7E−12
 5.9E−14
0.0013


nCohort Recovered
154
161
224
152
160
223
148
159
212


nCohort Non-
163
156
91
165
157
92
169
158
103


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207


Sensitivity
84%
85%
81%
84%
85%
82%
84%
85%
83%


Specificity
34%
35%
28%
34%
35%
28%
35%
35%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
65%
67%
67%
64%
67%
66%
63%
66%
62%


Specificity
66%
66%
57%
65%
66%
57%
65%
66%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478


Sensitivity
39%
41%
37%
39%
41%
37%
38%
41%
35%


Specificity
90%
90%
80%
89%
90%
80%
89%
90%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.77
3.08
1.67
2.66
3.14
1.70
2.85
2.95
1.91


p Value
1.9E−4
5.7E−5
0.097
3.1E−4
4.4E−5
0.085
1.2E−4
9.5E−5
0.032


Lower limit of
1.62
1.78
0.912
1.56
1.81
0.930
1.67
1.71
1.06


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.72
5.34
3.04
4.52
5.43
3.10
4.85
5.09
3.44


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.54
4.08
2.66
3.36
3.96
2.56
3.19
3.85
2.06


p Value
8.4E−8
3.9E−9
1.7E−4
2.7E−7
7.3E−9
2.9E−4
8.0E−7
1.4E−8
0.0033


Lower limit of
2.23
2.56
1.60
2.12
2.49
1.54
2.01
2.42
1.27


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.63
6.51
4.44
5.32
6.32
4.24
5.05
6.14
3.33


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.58
6.30
2.37
5.39
6.19
2.32
5.03
6.09
2.11


p Value
2.7E−8
2.7E−9
0.0016
5.0E−8
3.8E−9
0.0021
1.7E−7
5.4E−9
0.0053


Lower limit of
3.04
3.44
1.39
2.94
3.38
1.36
2.75
3.32
1.25


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.2
11.6
4.06
9.87
11.4
3.96
9.21
11.2
3.57


95% CI
















TABLE 27.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00443
0.0285
0.00428
0.0272
0.00427
0.0249


Average
0.0480
0.183
0.0488
0.179
0.0497
0.175


Stdev
0.245
0.412
0.248
0.409
0.251
0.405


p (t-test)

 4.1E−4

 6.1E−4

0.0010


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
168
149
165
152
161
156







sCr only













Median
0.00443
0.0336
0.00428
0.0317
0.00443
0.0298


Average
0.0468
0.188
0.0471
0.186
0.0473
0.185


Stdev
0.243
0.417
0.243
0.416
0.244
0.415


p (t-test)

 2.2E−4

 2.5E−4

 2.9E−4


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
172
145
171
146
170
147







UO only













Median
0.00711
0.0227
0.00710
0.0222
0.00710
0.0215


Average
0.0898
0.165
0.0902
0.164
0.0927
0.153


Stdev
0.328
0.368
0.329
0.366
0.335
0.354


p (t-test)

0.074

0.081

0.15


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
223
92
222
93
214
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.71
0.72
0.62
0.70
0.72
0.62
0.70
0.72
0.62


SE
0.029
0.029
0.036
0.029
0.029
0.036
0.029
0.029
0.035


p Value
 8.1E−13
 1.0E−14
4.6E−4
 3.6E−12
 1.2E−14
4.9E−4
 3.5E−12
 8.0E−14
8.7E−4


nCohort
168
172
223
165
171
222
161
170
214


Recovered


nCohort Non-
149
145
92
152
146
93
156
147
101


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207


Sensitivity
85%
86%
82%
84%
86%
82%
85%
86%
82%


Specificity
33%
34%
28%
33%
35%
28%
34%
34%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
67%
68%
68%
66%
68%
68%
65%
67%
64%


Specificity
65%
65%
57%
64%
65%
57%
64%
65%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478


Sensitivity
41%
43%
37%
40%
42%
37%
39%
42%
35%


Specificity
89%
90%
80%
88%
89%
80%
88%
89%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.74
3.26
1.70
2.67
3.32
1.73
2.85
3.11
1.84


p Value
3.1E−4
4.4E−5
0.085
4.0E−4
3.4E−5
0.074
1.6E−4
7.3E−5
0.043


Lower limit of
1.58
1.85
0.930
1.55
1.88
0.949
1.66
1.77
1.02


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.74
5.76
3.10
4.59
5.85
3.16
4.91
5.44
3.32


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.77
4.02
2.93
3.46
3.90
2.81
3.26
3.78
2.35


p Value
2.4E−8
6.5E−9
4.2E−5
1.5E−7
1.2E−8
7.2E−5
4.7E−7
2.3E−8
6.1E−4


Lower limit of
2.37
2.51
1.75
2.18
2.44
1.69
2.06
2.37
1.44


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.01
6.43
4.89
5.49
6.22
4.67
5.16
6.03
3.83


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.44
6.39
2.32
5.15
6.27
2.27
4.80
6.16
2.05


p Value
9.7E−9
 6.6E−10
0.0021
2.7E−8
 9.5E−10
0.0027
9.8E−8
1.4E−9
0.0077


Lower limit of
3.05
3.55
1.36
2.89
3.48
1.33
2.70
3.42
1.21


95% CI


Upper limit of
9.69
11.5
3.96
9.18
11.3
3.87
8.54
11.1
3.47


95% CI
















TABLE 27.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00638
0.0249
0.00638
0.0235
0.00651
0.0232


Average
0.0834
0.161
0.0842
0.158
0.0846
0.157


Stdev
0.333
0.350
0.334
0.348
0.335
0.347


p (t-test)

0.052

0.063

0.069


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
203
114
201
116
200
117







sCr only













Median
0.00574
0.0344
0.00574
0.0344
0.00574
0.0344


Average
0.0509
0.196
0.0509
0.196
0.0509
0.196


Stdev
0.238
0.433
0.238
0.433
0.238
0.433


p (t-test)

 1.7E−4

 1.7E−4

 1.7E−4


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
185
132
185
132
185
132







UO only













Median
0.00708
0.0235
0.00701
0.0232
0.00709
0.0222


Average
0.0838
0.174
0.0841
0.172
0.0849
0.169


Stdev
0.324
0.372
0.325
0.370
0.326
0.367


p (t-test)

0.029

0.033

0.041


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
217
98
216
99
214
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.71
0.64
0.64
0.71
0.64
0.64
0.71
0.63


SE
0.033
0.030
0.035
0.033
0.030
0.035
0.033
0.030
0.035


p Value
4.7E−6
7.9E−12
6.6E−5
1.1E−5
7.9E−12
7.0E−5
1.5E−5
7.9E−12
1.9E−4


nCohort
203
185
217
201
185
216
200
185
214


Recovered


nCohort Non-
114
132
98
116
132
99
117
132
101


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207
0.00202
0.00202
0.00207


Sensitivity
83%
84%
83%
83%
84%
83%
83%
84%
82%


Specificity
30%
31%
29%
29%
31%
29%
30%
31%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
69%
71%
69%
68%
71%
69%
68%
71%
67%


Specificity
61%
65%
59%
60%
65%
58%
60%
65%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478
0.0477
0.0477
0.0478


Sensitivity
37%
42%
37%
36%
42%
36%
36%
42%
36%


Specificity
81%
87%
80%
81%
87%
80%
81%
87%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.10
2.41
1.91
1.99
2.41
1.94
2.03
2.41
1.84


p Value
0.012
0.0021
0.035
0.017
0.0021
0.030
0.015
0.0021
0.043


Lower limit of
1.18
1.38
1.05
1.13
1.38
1.07
1.15
1.38
1.02


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.74
4.23
3.47
3.52
4.23
3.54
3.59
4.23
3.32


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.47
4.57
3.20
3.23
4.57
3.07
3.12
4.57
2.84


p Value
5.7E−7
7.0E−10
7.1E−6
1.9E−6
7.0E−10
1.3E−5
3.3E−6
7.0E−10
3.8E−5


Lower limit of
2.13
2.82
1.93
1.99
2.82
1.86
1.93
2.82
1.73


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.65
7.40
5.31
5.23
7.40
5.08
5.04
7.40
4.66


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.53
4.94
2.35
2.43
4.94
2.30
2.39
4.94
2.20


p Value
4.5E−4
1.3E−8 
0.0016
7.6E−4
1.3E−8 
0.0020
9.7E−4
1.3E−8 
0.0033


Lower limit of
1.51
2.85
1.38
1.45
2.85
1.36
1.42
2.85
1.30


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.26
8.57
3.99
4.09
8.57
3.90
4.00
8.57
3.73


95% CI









Example 28. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 23 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 23 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 28.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00597
0.0390
0.00601
0.0499
0.00709
0.0479


Average
0.0619
0.201
0.0592
0.231
0.0780
0.208


Stdev
0.283
0.412
0.273
0.438
0.320
0.380


p (t-test)

 4.5E−4

 3.0E−5

0.0029


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
205
112
221
96
236
81







sCr only













Median
0.00599
0.0390
0.00630
0.0479
0.00694
0.0443


Average
0.0644
0.202
0.0621
0.230
0.0812
0.199


Stdev
0.284
0.417
0.274
0.444
0.323
0.379


p (t-test)

 6.2E−4

 5.8E−5

0.0072


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
208
108
223
93
235
81







UO only













Median
0.00870
0.0349
0.00864
0.0832
0.00859
0.0861


Average
0.0897
0.265
0.0887
0.286
0.0884
0.294


Stdev
0.311
0.484
0.309
0.497
0.309
0.502


p (t-test)

0.0023

 9.0E−4

 6.2E−4


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
275
40
278
37
279
36












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.70
0.63
0.73
0.72
0.66
0.70
0.69
0.68


SE
0.032
0.032
0.050
0.032
0.033
0.051
0.036
0.036
0.051


p Value
9.9E−11
1.6E−10
0.011
6.3E−13
2.0E−11
0.0017
4.1E−8
1.1E−7
4.7E−4


nCohort Non-
205
208
275
221
223
278
236
235
279


persistent


nCohort
112
108
40
96
93
37
81
81
36


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207


Sensitivity
84%
85%
78%
86%
87%
81%
84%
86%
83%


Specificity
30%
30%
25%
30%
30%
26%
28%
29%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
72%
73%
68%
76%
75%
73%
73%
74%
75%


Specificity
62%
62%
52%
61%
61%
53%
58%
58%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478


Sensitivity
47%
47%
48%
52%
51%
51%
51%
48%
53%


Specificity
87%
87%
78%
86%
86%
78%
83%
83%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.21
2.50
1.18
2.72
2.90
1.50
2.03
2.59
1.77


p Value
0.0080
0.0031
0.69
0.0026
0.0019
0.36
0.035
0.0073
0.22


Lower limit of
1.23
1.36
0.534
1.42
1.48
0.630
1.05
1.29
0.709


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.98
4.59
2.59
5.22
5.67
3.56
3.92
5.19
4.43


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.25
4.45
2.28
4.98
4.67
3.03
3.65
3.99
3.39


p Value
1.5E−8 
9.3E−9 
0.021
6.0E−9 
2.5E−8 
0.0044
4.6E−6
1.3E−6
0.0025


Lower limit of
2.58
2.67
1.13
2.90
2.71
1.41
2.10
2.28
1.54


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.02
7.40
4.61
8.56
8.03
6.50
6.34
7.00
7.47


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
5.92
5.75
3.24
6.92
6.10
3.84
5.18
4.53
4.08


p Value
2.2E−10
4.2E−10
7.4E−4
8.7E−12
1.4E−10
1.9E−4
6.3E−9
8.7E−8
1.1E−4


Lower limit of
3.42
3.32
1.64
3.97
3.51
1.89
2.97
2.60
2.00


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.3
9.96
6.42
12.1
10.6
7.76
9.02
7.87
8.33


95% CI
















TABLE 28.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00500
0.0347
0.00576
0.0465
0.00630
0.0472


Average
0.0512
0.196
0.0487
0.224
0.0681
0.207


Stdev
0.245
0.429
0.234
0.456
0.294
0.413


p (t-test)

 1.6E−4

 8.6E−6

 7.0E−4


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.34


n (Patient)
186
131
204
113
219
98







sCr only













Median
0.00576
0.0338
0.00578
0.0422
0.00615
0.0387


Average
0.0548
0.199
0.0526
0.222
0.0724
0.198


Stdev
0.244
0.439
0.236
0.461
0.297
0.412


p (t-test)

 2.1E−4

 2.2E−5

0.0023


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.34


n (Patient)
192
124
206
110
218
98







UO only













Median
0.00780
0.0298
0.00780
0.0355
0.00778
0.0410


Average
0.0894
0.210
0.0882
0.224
0.0879
0.228


Stdev
0.319
0.414
0.317
0.425
0.316
0.428


p (t-test)

0.014

0.0073

0.0059


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
256
59
260
55
261
54












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.72
0.71
0.65
0.74
0.73
0.67
0.72
0.70
0.68


SE
0.030
0.031
0.042
0.030
0.031
0.043
0.033
0.033
0.043


p Value
2.1E−13
 1.3E−11
4.3E−4
6.7E−16
8.0E−14
8.4E−5
2.1E−11
 8.4E−10
2.3E−5


nCohort Non-
186
192
256
204
206
260
219
218
261


persistent


nCohort
131
124
59
113
110
55
98
98
54


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207


Sensitivity
84%
85%
81%
87%
87%
84%
86%
87%
85%


Specificity
31%
31%
27%
31%
32%
27%
30%
30%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
72%
72%
71%
76%
75%
75%
74%
74%
76%


Specificity
65%
64%
55%
64%
64%
55%
61%
61%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478


Sensitivity
45%
44%
46%
50%
47%
47%
50%
46%
48%


Specificity
89%
87%
80%
88%
87%
80%
86%
84%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.37
2.51
1.58
2.99
3.16
1.88
2.53
2.84
2.15


p Value
0.0025
0.0017
0.21
5.3E−4 
3.7E−4 
0.10
0.0042
0.0017
0.061


Lower limit of
1.36
1.41
0.775
1.61
1.68
0.876
1.34
1.48
0.967


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.16
4.47
3.22
5.54
5.95
4.05
4.78
5.45
4.78


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.73
4.53
2.98
5.72
5.37
3.58
4.52
4.57
3.88


p Value
3.5E−10
1.5E−9
5.0E−4
4.4E−11
2.2E−10
1.3E−4
2.3E−8 
1.9E−8
7.2E−5


Lower limit of
2.91
2.78
1.61
3.40
3.20
1.86
2.66
2.69
1.99


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.68
7.40
5.51
9.60
9.02
6.88
7.66
7.76
7.58


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
6.44
5.15
3.31
7.37
5.94
3.50
6.06
4.59
3.64


p Value
1.5E−10
5.2E−9
8.2E−5
3.7E−12
2.3E−10
5.5E−5
1.2E−10
3.1E−8
3.6E−5


Lower limit of
3.64
2.97
1.82
4.19
3.43
1.90
3.50
2.68
1.97


95% CI


Upper limit of
11.4
8.93
6.01
12.9
10.3
6.44
10.5
7.89
6.73


95% CI
















TABLE 28.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00463
0.0344
0.00466
0.0443
0.00597
0.0434


Average
0.0451
0.193
0.0427
0.214
0.0589
0.207


Stdev
0.240
0.421
0.230
0.440
0.280
0.415


p (t-test)

 1.1E−4

 9.0E−6

 1.9E−4


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.34


n (Patient)
175
142
190
127
205
112







sCr only













Median
0.00500
0.0344
0.00531
0.0425
0.00599
0.0387


Average
0.0479
0.198
0.0462
0.217
0.0622
0.206


Stdev
0.239
0.430
0.231
0.449
0.280
0.421


p (t-test)

 9.9E−5

 1.2E−5

 3.3E−4


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.34


n (Patient)
182
134
195
121
208
108







UO only













Median
0.00765
0.0238
0.00751
0.0272
0.00751
0.0272


Average
0.0863
0.203
0.0849
0.218
0.0849
0.218


Stdev
0.314
0.415
0.311
0.428
0.311
0.428


p (t-test)

0.012

0.0053

0.0053


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
246
69
251
64
251
64












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.72
0.63
0.75
0.75
0.66
0.72
0.71
0.66


SE
0.029
0.029
0.040
0.029
0.029
0.040
0.031
0.032
0.040


p Value
7.8E−15
2.9E−14
9.5E−4
0
0
9.0E−5
9.3E−13
 1.4E−11
9.0E−5


nCohort Non-
175
182
246
190
195
251
205
208
251


persistent


nCohort
142
134
69
127
121
64
112
108
64


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207


Sensitivity
84%
85%
81%
87%
88%
84%
86%
87%
84%


Specificity
32%
32%
27%
33%
33%
27%
31%
31%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
71%
72%
68%
76%
75%
72%
74%
74%
72%


Specificity
67%
66%
55%
67%
66%
55%
63%
62%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478


Sensitivity
44%
44%
42%
48%
47%
44%
47%
45%
44%


Specificity
90%
89%
80%
90%
89%
80%
87%
86%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.43
2.73
1.58
3.13
3.45
2.05
2.66
3.05
2.05


p Value
0.0015
5.1E−4 
0.18
1.6E−4 
8.5E−5 
0.054
0.0016
5.6E−4
0.054


Lower limit of
1.41
1.55
0.811
1.73
1.86
0.987
1.45
1.62
0.987


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.21
4.82
3.07
5.68
6.40
4.25
4.88
5.75
4.25


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.97
4.89
2.60
6.24
5.80
3.17
4.86
4.76
3.17


p Value
6.1E−11
1.4E−10
9.3E−4
1.2E−12
1.2E−11
1.6E−4
1.2E−9 
2.6E−9
1.6E−4


Lower limit of
3.07
3.01
1.48
3.77
3.49
1.74
2.92
2.85
1.74


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.03
7.94
4.57
10.3
9.63
5.77
8.08
7.96
5.77


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
7.41
6.37
2.84
8.32
7.00
3.05
5.92
4.93
3.05


p Value
6.0E−11
3.0E−10
3.3E−4
1.7E−12
2.1E−11
1.7E−4
2.2E−10
7.8E−9
1.7E−4


Lower limit of
4.07
3.58
1.61
4.62
3.96
1.70
3.42
2.87
1.70


95% CI


Upper limit of
13.5
11.3
5.03
15.0
12.4
5.46
10.3
8.47
5.46


95% CI
















TABLE 28.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00463
0.0338
0.00470
0.0434
0.00578
0.0422


Average
0.0456
0.190
0.0429
0.212
0.0478
0.221


Stdev
0.241
0.418
0.231
0.439
0.227
0.458


p (t-test)

 1.5E−4

 1.1E−5

 9.8E−6


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
173
144
189
128
201
116







sCr only













Median
0.00552
0.0338
0.00552
0.0422
0.00599
0.0387


Average
0.0484
0.195
0.0462
0.212
0.0508
0.222


Stdev
0.240
0.428
0.233
0.444
0.228
0.465


p (t-test)

 1.4E−4

 1.9E−5

 1.6E−5


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
180
136
192
124
204
112







UO only













Median
0.00751
0.0235
0.00751
0.0272
0.00751
0.0272


Average
0.0865
0.192
0.0847
0.207
0.0847
0.207


Stdev
0.318
0.400
0.314
0.413
0.314
0.413


p (t-test)

0.019

0.0080

0.0080


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
239
76
245
70
245
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.72
0.72
0.63
0.75
0.74
0.66
0.72
0.71
0.66


SE
0.029
0.030
0.038
0.029
0.029
0.039
0.031
0.031
0.039


p Value
1.7E−14
3.4E−13
4.9E−4
0
2.2E−16
3.8E−5
2.7E−13
 7.6E−12
3.8E−5


nCohort Non-
173
180
239
189
192
245
201
204
245


persistent


nCohort
144
136
76
128
124
70
116
112
70


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207


Sensitivity
84%
85%
83%
87%
87%
86%
86%
87%
86%


Specificity
32%
32%
28%
33%
33%
28%
31%
31%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
70%
71%
67%
75%
74%
71%
74%
73%
71%


Specificity
66%
66%
55%
67%
66%
56%
64%
63%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478


Sensitivity
44%
43%
41%
48%
47%
43%
47%
46%
43%


Specificity
90%
89%
80%
90%
89%
80%
87%
86%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.52
2.60
1.85
3.19
3.30
2.35
2.85
2.96
2.35


p Value
9.5E−4 
8.2E−4 
0.068
1.3E−4 
1.1E−4 
0.021
7.0E−4 
6.0E−4
0.021


Lower limit of
1.46
1.49
0.955
1.76
1.80
1.14
1.56
1.59
1.14


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.36
4.56
3.58
5.77
6.04
4.86
5.23
5.49
4.86


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.66
4.57
2.52
6.00
5.49
3.17
5.03
4.60
3.17


p Value
2.5E−10
5.6E−10
8.5E−4
2.5E−12
2.6E−11
8.8E−5
3.8E−10
3.2E−9
8.8E−5


Lower limit of
2.89
2.83
1.46
3.63
3.33
1.78
3.03
2.78
1.78


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.50
7.38
4.33
9.91
9.05
5.65
8.33
7.63
5.65


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
7.14
6.13
2.74
8.15
7.16
3.00
5.86
5.26
3.00


p Value
1.3E−10
6.6E−10
3.8E−4
2.6E−12
1.9E−11
1.5E−4
3.0E−10
2.5E−9
1.5E−4


Lower limit of
3.92
3.45
1.57
4.53
4.03
1.70
3.38
3.05
1.70


95% CI


Upper limit of
13.0
10.9
4.78
14.7
12.7
5.29
10.2
9.07
5.29


95% CI
















TABLE 28.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00463
0.0317
0.00466
0.0384
0.00578
0.0369


Average
0.0464
0.185
0.0438
0.205
0.0485
0.214


Stdev
0.244
0.413
0.234
0.432
0.229
0.452


p (t-test)

 2.6E−4

 2.7E−5

 2.1E−5


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
169
148
184
133
197
120







sCr only













Median
0.00552
0.0317
0.00552
0.0369
0.00599
0.0351


Average
0.0493
0.190
0.0469
0.206
0.0516
0.215


Stdev
0.243
0.423
0.235
0.438
0.231
0.458


p (t-test)

 2.5E−4

 3.8E−5

 3.5E−5


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
176
140
188
128
200
116







UO only













Median
0.00717
0.0285
0.00722
0.0291
0.00722
0.0291


Average
0.0798
0.205
0.0791
0.212
0.0791
0.212


Stdev
0.312
0.402
0.311
0.409
0.311
0.409


p (t-test)

0.0045

0.0028

0.0028


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
234
81
237
78
237
78












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.72
0.71
0.66
0.74
0.73
0.66
0.72
0.70
0.66


SE
0.029
0.030
0.037
0.029
0.030
0.037
0.031
0.031
0.037


p Value
7.2E−14
 2.8E−12
2.1E−5
0
4.7E−15
1.1E−5
 2.3E−12
 7.2E−11
1.1E−5


nCohort Non-
169
176
234
184
188
237
197
200
237


persistent


nCohort
148
140
81
133
128
78
120
116
78


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207


Sensitivity
84%
84%
84%
86%
86%
85%
86%
85%
85%


Specificity
33%
32%
28%
33%
32%
28%
31%
31%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
69%
69%
69%
73%
73%
71%
72%
72%
71%


Specificity
66%
65%
56%
66%
65%
57%
63%
62%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478


Sensitivity
43%
42%
42%
46%
45%
42%
45%
44%
42%


Specificity
90%
89%
81%
90%
89%
81%
87%
86%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.49
2.37
2.05
3.17
2.94
2.17
2.78
2.62
2.17


p Value
9.7E−4 
0.0020
0.032
1.1E−4 
3.0E−4 
0.025
7.4E−4
0.0015
0.025


Lower limit of
1.45
1.37
1.06
1.77
1.64
1.10
1.54
1.44
1.10


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.29
4.11
3.97
5.68
5.27
4.27
5.04
4.75
4.27


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.36
4.25
2.90
5.30
5.03
3.11
4.58
4.19
3.11


p Value
9.9E−10
2.3E−9
1.0E−4
2.4E−11
1.2E−10
5.3E−5
1.7E−9
1.4E−8
5.3E−5


Lower limit of
2.72
2.65
1.69
3.25
3.08
1.79
2.79
2.56
1.79


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.99
6.84
4.96
8.65
8.22
5.39
7.51
6.87
5.39


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
6.63
5.68
3.04
7.36
6.59
3.04
5.38
4.82
3.04


p Value
5.6E−10
3.0E−9
7.1E−5
2.2E−11
1.0E−10
7.8E−5
1.7E−9
1.3E−8
7.8E−5


Lower limit of
3.64
3.20
1.76
4.10
3.72
1.75
3.11
2.80
1.75


95% CI


Upper limit of
12.0
10.1
5.26
13.2
11.7
5.29
9.30
8.29
5.29


95% CI









Example 29. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 23 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 23 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 29.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00330
0.0226
0.00434
0.0230
0.00458
0.0289


Average
0.0467
0.150
0.0475
0.175
0.0486
0.192


Stdev
0.285
0.365
0.250
0.402
0.239
0.426


p (t-test)

0.0087

 8.3E−4

 1.7E−4


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
119
198
158
159
179
138







sCr only













Median
0.00367
0.0249
0.00428
0.0259
0.00460
0.0351


Average
0.0479
0.156
0.0473
0.179
0.0487
0.199


Stdev
0.277
0.374
0.250
0.406
0.238
0.433


p (t-test)

0.0055

 5.6E−4

 9.8E−5


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
130
186
162
154
184
132







UO only













Median
0.00834
0.0202
0.00834
0.0367
0.00834
0.0554


Average
0.0863
0.195
0.0833
0.236
0.0824
0.261


Stdev
0.317
0.404
0.308
0.442
0.304
0.464


p (t-test)

0.016

0.0018

 5.1E−4


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
241
74
256
59
263
52












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.73
0.60
0.69
0.71
0.63
0.71
0.72
0.66


SE
0.028
0.028
0.039
0.030
0.029
0.042
0.030
0.030
0.044


p Value
 4.4E−16
 2.2E−16
0.0089
 2.1E−10
 1.2E−12
0.0019
 2.9E−12
 2.0E−13
2.9E−4


nCohort Non-
119
130
241
158
162
256
179
184
263


persistent


nCohort
198
186
74
159
154
59
138
132
52


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207


Sensitivity
82%
83%
78%
82%
83%
76%
85%
86%
79%


Specificity
36%
36%
26%
32%
33%
25%
32%
33%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
64%
66%
61%
65%
67%
66%
67%
69%
69%


Specificity
72%
72%
53%
65%
66%
54%
63%
64%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478


Sensitivity
37%
38%
41%
39%
40%
47%
42%
43%
52%


Specificity
95%
94%
80%
89%
90%
80%
88%
88%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.55
2.73
1.28
2.08
2.39
1.09
2.67
2.88
1.30


p Value
4.3E−4
1.7E−4
0.43
0.0063
0.0014
0.79
5.9E−4
3.2E−4
0.48


Lower limit of
1.51
1.62
0.688
1.23
1.40
0.564
1.53
1.62
0.632


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.28
4.60
2.39
3.50
4.08
2.12
4.68
5.12
2.67


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.56
4.98
1.76
3.35
3.93
2.24
3.54
3.88
2.60


p Value
1.9E−9
 1.2E−10
0.037
2.7E−7
9.5E−9
0.0075
1.2E−7
2.3E−8
0.0033


Lower limit of
2.78
3.05
1.03
2.11
2.46
1.24
2.22
2.41
1.38


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.48
8.12
2.99
5.31
6.27
4.06
5.65
6.24
4.92


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
11.2
9.42
2.67
4.97
5.75
3.63
5.17
5.60
4.38


p Value
5.0E−8
1.4E−8
5.9E−4
7.8E−8
9.3E−9
2.2E−5
8.7E−9
2.0E−9
3.3E−6


Lower limit of
4.71
4.34
1.53
2.77
3.16
2.00
2.96
3.19
2.35


95% CI


Upper limit of
26.8
20.4
4.68
8.93
10.4
6.59
9.06
9.83
8.17


95% CI
















TABLE 29.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00314
0.0220
0.00406
0.0249
0.00406
0.0317


Average
0.0484
0.146
0.0463
0.167
0.0462
0.182


Stdev
0.294
0.360
0.258
0.390
0.247
0.409


p (t-test)

0.015

0.0015

 3.6E−4


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
112
205
147
170
165
152







sCr only













Median
0.00335
0.0249
0.00413
0.0272
0.00420
0.0341


Average
0.0485
0.153
0.0481
0.172
0.0484
0.184


Stdev
0.281
0.371
0.256
0.397
0.247
0.413


p (t-test)

0.0074

0.0012

 3.9E−4


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
126
190
154
162
169
147







UO only













Median
0.00730
0.0215
0.00744
0.0285
0.00737
0.0326


Average
0.0880
0.169
0.0843
0.197
0.0833
0.212


Stdev
0.328
0.367
0.318
0.396
0.314
0.412


p (t-test)

0.055

0.011

0.0053


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
222
93
238
77
245
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.74
0.61
0.71
0.72
0.64
0.73
0.74
0.66


SE
0.028
0.027
0.036
0.029
0.028
0.038
0.028
0.028
0.039


p Value
 2.2E−16
0
0.0013
 2.4E−13
 8.0E−15
1.9E−4
 2.2E−16
0
2.7E−5


nCohort Non-
112
126
222
147
154
238
165
169
245


persistent


nCohort
205
190
93
170
162
77
152
147
70


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207


Sensitivity
82%
83%
81%
82%
84%
79%
86%
86%
81%


Specificity
38%
37%
27%
33%
34%
26%
35%
35%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
63%
65%
63%
66%
67%
69%
68%
69%
71%


Specificity
73%
73%
55%
68%
68%
56%
67%
67%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478


Sensitivity
37%
38%
39%
39%
40%
44%
42%
42%
47%


Specificity
96%
94%
81%
90%
90%
81%
90%
90%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.72
2.94
1.58
2.33
2.74
1.37
3.12
3.41
1.62


p Value
1.7E−4
5.6E−5
0.13
0.0015
2.2E−4
0.32
5.8E−5
2.3E−5 
0.16


Lower limit of
1.62
1.74
0.873
1.38
1.61
0.737
1.79
1.93
0.831


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.59
4.96
2.86
3.93
4.69
2.55
5.43
6.01
3.14


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.64
5.08
2.16
4.11
4.41
2.80
4.33
4.57
3.17


p Value
2.6E−9
 1.1E−10
0.0025
3.7E−9
 7.3E−10
2.2E−4
1.0E−9
3.5E−10
8.8E−5


Lower limit of
2.80
3.10
1.31
2.57
2.75
1.62
2.71
2.84
1.78


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.69
8.33
3.55
6.57
7.06
4.83
6.94
7.35
5.65


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
12.3
10.4
2.63
6.03
6.05
3.39
6.77
6.52
3.86


p Value
1.6E−7
2.0E−8
3.9E−4
2.4E−8
1.2E−8
1.6E−5
 6.9E−10
8.3E−10
3.2E−6


Lower limit of
4.82
4.58
1.54
3.21
3.26
1.95
3.69
3.58
2.19


95% CI


Upper limit of
31.6
23.5
4.48
11.3
11.2
5.91
12.4
11.9
6.81


95% CI
















TABLE 29.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00321
0.0217
0.00424
0.0232
0.00424
0.0285


Average
0.0488
0.145
0.0472
0.164
0.0478
0.174


Stdev
0.295
0.359
0.261
0.388
0.252
0.401


p (t-test)

0.016

0.0022

 8.8E−4


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
111
206
144
173
158
159







sCr only













Median
0.00352
0.0235
0.00427
0.0259
0.00427
0.0293


Average
0.0493
0.152
0.0490
0.169
0.0500
0.177


Stdev
0.283
0.369
0.259
0.394
0.252
0.407


p (t-test)

0.0091

0.0018

 8.9E−4


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
124
192
151
165
163
153







UO only













Median
0.00717
0.0212
0.00722
0.0235
0.00717
0.0260


Average
0.0910
0.155
0.0880
0.172
0.0869
0.182


Stdev
0.336
0.351
0.327
0.371
0.322
0.384


p (t-test)

0.12

0.050

0.029


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
212
103
225
90
232
83












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.73
0.61
0.70
0.71
0.62
0.72
0.72
0.64


SE
0.028
0.028
0.035
0.029
0.029
0.036
0.028
0.029
0.037


p Value
 6.7E−16
 2.2E−16
0.0019
 3.1E−12
 4.3E−13
5.8E−4
 8.4E−15
 3.6E−14
1.3E−4


nCohort Non-
111
124
212
144
151
225
158
163
232


persistent


nCohort
206
192
103
173
165
90
159
153
83


Persistent


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207


Sensitivity
82%
83%
81%
82%
83%
80%
85%
85%
82%


Specificity
38%
37%
28%
33%
34%
27%
35%
34%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
63%
65%
63%
65%
66%
67%
67%
67%
69%


Specificity
73%
73%
56%
67%
68%
56%
66%
66%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478


Sensitivity
36%
38%
37%
38%
39%
40%
40%
41%
42%


Specificity
95%
94%
81%
90%
90%
81%
90%
90%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.78
2.84
1.60
2.29
2.50
1.49
3.00
2.96
1.73


p Value
1.3E−4
9.0E−5
0.11
0.0018
6.9E−4
0.19
7.4E−5
1.1E−4
0.089


Lower limit of
1.65
1.68
0.902
1.36
1.47
0.821
1.74
1.71
0.921


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.69
4.79
2.84
3.85
4.23
2.70
5.17
5.12
3.24


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.52
4.83
2.19
3.79
4.05
2.59
3.96
4.05
2.84


p Value
4.7E−9
 3.9E−10
0.0015
2.3E−8
5.0E−9
2.6E−4
7.4E−9
5.0E−9
1.2E−4


Lower limit of
2.73
2.95
1.35
2.37
2.54
1.55
2.48
2.53
1.67


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.50
7.90
3.55
6.05
6.48
4.32
6.32
6.46
4.84


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
12.1
10.0
2.44
5.73
5.75
2.82
5.98
5.85
3.12


p Value
2.0E−7
3.2E−8
8.9E−4
5.9E−8
3.0E−8
1.5E−4
7.4E−9
6.6E−9
4.4E−5


Lower limit of
4.74
4.43
1.44
3.05
3.10
1.65
3.26
3.22
1.81


95% CI


Upper limit of
31.1
22.7
4.12
10.8
10.7
4.83
11.0
10.6
5.38


95% CI
















TABLE 29.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00314
0.0215
0.00420
0.0231
0.00424
0.0284


Average
0.0492
0.144
0.0475
0.164
0.0484
0.172


Stdev
0.296
0.358
0.262
0.387
0.254
0.399


p (t-test)

0.018

0.0024

0.0011


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
110
207
143
174
156
161







sCr only













Median
0.00352
0.0235
0.00424
0.0249
0.00427
0.0289


Average
0.0493
0.152
0.0493
0.168
0.0503
0.176


Stdev
0.283
0.369
0.259
0.393
0.253
0.405


p (t-test)

0.0091

0.0020

0.0010


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
124
192
150
166
162
154







UO only













Median
0.00710
0.0207
0.00717
0.0222
0.00717
0.0232


Average
0.0925
0.150
0.0897
0.163
0.0888
0.170


Stdev
0.339
0.345
0.330
0.363
0.326
0.373


p (t-test)

0.16

0.079

0.056


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
208
107
220
95
226
89












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.73
0.61
0.70
0.71
0.62
0.71
0.72
0.63


SE
0.028
0.028
0.034
0.029
0.029
0.035
0.029
0.029
0.036


p Value
 6.7E−16
 2.2E−16
0.0020
 4.7E−12
 6.7E−13
6.9E−4
 7.8E−14
 6.0E−14
3.6E−4


nCohort Non-
110
124
208
143
150
220
156
162
226


persistent


nCohort Persistent
207
192
107
174
166
95
161
154
89


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207


Sensitivity
82%
83%
81%
82%
83%
81%
84%
85%
82%


Specificity
38%
37%
28%
34%
34%
28%
35%
35%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
62%
65%
63%
64%
66%
66%
66%
67%
67%


Specificity
73%
73%
56%
67%
67%
57%
66%
66%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478


Sensitivity
36%
38%
36%
38%
39%
38%
40%
40%
39%


Specificity
95%
94%
80%
90%
90%
80%
90%
90%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.84
2.84
1.72
2.33
2.54
1.64
2.88
3.01
1.76


p Value
9.5E−5
9.0E−5
0.062
0.0015
5.5E−4
0.10
1.2E−4
8.3E−5
0.070


Lower limit of
1.68
1.68
0.972
1.38
1.50
0.908
1.68
1.74
0.954


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.79
4.79
3.05
3.92
4.31
2.97
4.94
5.21
3.26


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.41
4.83
2.15
3.69
3.94
2.59
3.75
3.93
2.70


p Value
8.5E−9
 3.9E−10
0.0017
4.2E−8
9.3E−9
2.0E−4
2.5E−8
9.5E−9
1.6E−4


Lower limit of
2.66
2.95
1.34
2.31
2.47
1.57
2.35
2.46
1.61


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.31
7.90
3.47
5.89
6.29
4.28
5.96
6.27
4.52


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
11.9
10.0
2.24
5.63
5.65
2.51
5.77
5.75
2.68


p Value
2.4E−7
3.2E−8
0.0025
7.9E−8
4.1E−8
6.9E−4
1.4E−8
9.3E−9
3.3E−4


Lower limit of
4.66
4.43
1.33
3.00
3.04
1.48
3.15
3.16
1.57


95% CI


Upper limit of
30.6
22.7
3.78
10.6
10.5
4.27
10.6
10.4
4.59


95% CI
















TABLE 29.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
0.00294
0.0212
0.00396
0.0222
0.00413
0.0259


Average
0.0503
0.142
0.0487
0.159
0.0498
0.166


Stdev
0.302
0.355
0.267
0.382
0.259
0.393


p (t-test)

0.024

0.0039

0.0022


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
106
211
138
179
150
167







sCr only













Median
0.00330
0.0232
0.00396
0.0249
0.00413
0.0289


Average
0.0499
0.150
0.0498
0.164
0.0508
0.172


Stdev
0.287
0.366
0.263
0.389
0.256
0.401


p (t-test)

0.011

0.0028

0.0015


Min
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43
2.47
2.43


n (Patient)
121
195
146
170
158
158







UO only













Median
0.00675
0.0215
0.00709
0.0232
0.00708
0.0249


Average
0.0858
0.158
0.0841
0.169
0.0836
0.175


Stdev
0.335
0.350
0.327
0.364
0.324
0.372


p (t-test)

0.070

0.038

0.028


Min
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
6.85E−7
3.28E−9
3.28E−9
3.28E−9


Max
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82
2.47
1.82


n (Patient)
202
113
212
103
217
98












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.73
0.74
0.63
0.70
0.72
0.63
0.71
0.72
0.64


SE
0.028
0.028
0.033
0.029
0.028
0.034
0.029
0.028
0.035


p Value
0
0
1.5E−4
 2.8E−12
 3.9E−14
1.1E−4
 2.3E−13
 3.6E−15
3.8E−5


nCohort Non-
106
121
202
138
146
212
150
158
217


persistent


nCohort Persistent
211
195
113
179
170
103
167
158
98


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207
0.00202
0.00200
0.00207


Sensitivity
82%
83%
82%
83%
84%
82%
84%
85%
83%


Specificity
40%
38%
29%
35%
35%
28%
35%
35%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104
0.0104


Sensitivity
63%
65%
65%
64%
66%
67%
65%
68%
68%


Specificity
75%
74%
58%
68%
69%
58%
67%
68%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478
0.0477
0.0468
0.0478


Sensitivity
36%
37%
35%
37%
38%
37%
38%
39%
38%


Specificity
95%
94%
81%
90%
90%
81%
89%
89%
81%


OR Quartile 2
3.09
3.01
1.92
2.55
2.72
1.75
2.96
3.22
1.91


p Value
2.7E−5
3.8E−5
0.025
4.5E−4
2.1E−4
0.060
7.1E−5
3.0E−5
0.035


Lower limit of
1.82
1.78
1.08
1.51
1.60
0.976
1.73
1.86
1.05


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.23
5.09
3.39
4.29
4.62
3.12
5.06
5.58
3.47


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
4.89
5.42
2.51
3.84
4.45
2.80
3.76
4.40
2.99


p Value
2.0E−9
 4.6E−11
1.5E−4
2.1E−8
 6.8E−10
4.1E−5
2.5E−8
 7.3E−10
2.0E−5


Lower limit of
2.91
3.28
1.56
2.40
2.77
1.71
2.36
2.75
1.81


95% CI


Upper limit of
8.21
8.97
4.04
6.15
7.15
4.59
5.99
7.05
4.95


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
11.1
9.53
2.29
5.17
5.27
2.44
5.20
5.36
2.53


p Value
5.2E−7
6.3E−8
0.0018
3.2E−7
1.3E−7
8.9E−4
9.1E−8
3.4E−8
6.0E−4


Lower limit of
4.35
4.21
1.36
2.75
2.84
1.44
2.84
2.95
1.49


95% CI


Upper limit of
28.6
21.6
3.85
9.72
9.78
4.12
9.53
9.72
4.29


95% CI









Example 30. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 24 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 24 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 30.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
9.06
33.1
10.0
32.0
11.0
31.8


Average
45.2
80.7
42.4
79.7
44.4
78.8


Stdev
111
153
104
152
110
151


p (t-test)

0.098

0.11

0.16


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
670
1150
670
1150
670
1150


n (Patient)
57
259
46
270
41
275







sCr only













Median
11.9
35.0
11.5
36.2
10.0
37.4


Average
54.4
79.7
54.2
79.5
52.8
79.5


Stdev
147
146
149
145
152
144


p (t-test)

0.19

0.19

0.18


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
76
239
74
241
70
245







UO only













Median
19.3
47.2
18.3
43.7
18.4
40.8


Average
52.4
109
49.3
104
44.3
103


Stdev
115
182
113
175
79.7
186


p (t-test)

8.4E−4

8.6E−4

3.2E−4


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
670
1150


n (Patient)
193
121
172
142
155
159












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.62
0.66
0.64
0.63
0.66
0.63
0.65
0.64


SE
0.037
0.035
0.032
0.041
0.035
0.031
0.043
0.035
0.031


p Value
8.8E−5
4.2E−4
3.1E−7
8.5E−4
1.5E−4
1.3E−7
0.0027
1.7E−5
8.6E−6


nCohort Recovered
57
76
193
46
74
172
41
70
155


nCohort Non-
259
239
121
270
241
142
275
245
159


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13


Sensitivity
78%
79%
87%
77%
79%
85%
77%
79%
82%


Specificity
40%
37%
33%
39%
38%
34%
39%
40%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.3
28.8
29.6
29.3
28.8
29.6
29.3
28.8


Sensitivity
54%
55%
65%
53%
56%
63%
53%
56%
60%


Specificity
68%
66%
60%
67%
68%
61%
68%
70%
61%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.4
74.6
74.9
74.4
74.6
74.9
74.4
74.6


Sensitivity
28%
28%
39%
27%
28%
36%
27%
28%
35%


Specificity
88%
84%
83%
87%
85%
84%
85%
86%
85%


OR Quartile 2
2.45
2.15
3.18
2.20
2.27
2.93
2.15
2.54
2.29


p Value
0.0037
0.0073
1.8E−4
0.019
0.0043
1.7E−4
0.029
0.0013
0.0021


Lower limit of
1.34
1.23
1.73
1.14
1.29
1.67
1.08
1.44
1.35


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.50
3.76
5.83
4.25
3.98
5.14
4.28
4.48
3.89


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.55
2.37
2.77
2.33
2.61
2.71
2.40
2.96
2.35


p Value
0.0026
0.0017
2.3E−5
0.012
6.2E−4
2.0E−5
0.014
1.9E−4
2.2E−4


Lower limit of
1.39
1.39
1.73
1.20
1.51
1.71
1.19
1.67
1.49


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.69
4.06
4.45
4.51
4.52
4.29
4.83
5.23
3.69


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.75
2.08
3.20
2.47
2.25
2.88
2.11
2.35
2.89


p Value
0.018
0.035
1.5E−5
0.049
0.023
9.2E−5
0.11
0.021
1.3E−4


Lower limit of
1.19
1.05
1.89
1.01
1.12
1.70
0.852
1.14
1.68


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.35
4.09
5.41
6.07
4.53
4.90
5.22
4.86
4.97


95% CI
















TABLE 30.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
12.5
38.0
12.2
33.1
12.2
33.1


Average
34.3
90.3
37.0
86.7
37.2
85.1


Stdev
77.1
164
81.7
161
85.6
158


p (t-test)

0.0020

0.0088

0.015


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
670
1150
670
1150
670
1150


n (Patient)
90
226
79
237
71
245







sCr only













Median
13.6
38.0
12.9
38.4
11.7
39.2


Average
47.3
88.0
47.0
87.7
45.5
87.5


Stdev
125
154
127
154
129
152


p (t-test)

0.019

0.020

0.018


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
106
210
104
212
99
217







UO only













Median
22.7
51.1
20.4
49.9
21.0
43.2


Average
52.2
119
50.8
111
46.6
110


Stdev
112
193
113
183
83.6
196


p (t-test)

1.2E−4

3.3E−4

1.4E−4


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
670
1150


n (Patient)
211
103
193
121
177
137












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.64
0.67
0.63
0.64
0.66
0.63
0.66
0.64


SE
0.032
0.032
0.034
0.034
0.032
0.032
0.035
0.031
0.032


p Value
1.9E−6
2.1E−5
3.8E−7
1.2E−4
7.4E−6
4.5E−7
1.6E−4
4.3E−7
1.8E−5


nCohort Recovered
90
106
211
79
104
193
71
99
177


nCohort Non-
226
210
103
237
212
121
245
217
137


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13


Sensitivity
80%
80%
86%
78%
81%
85%
78%
81%
82%


Specificity
37%
36%
31%
35%
37%
32%
37%
38%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8


Sensitivity
56%
57%
66%
54%
57%
64%
54%
58%
61%


Specificity
66%
63%
58%
63%
64%
59%
65%
67%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6


Sensitivity
31%
31%
43%
30%
31%
39%
29%
31%
37%


Specificity
91%
87%
83%
90%
88%
83%
90%
89%
84%


OR Quartile 2
2.27
2.30
2.83
2.00
2.40
2.64
2.09
2.67
2.12


p Value
0.0029
0.0018
0.0013
0.014
0.0011
0.0011
0.011
2.7E−4
0.0066


Lower limit of
1.32
1.36
1.50
1.15
1.42
1.47
1.18
1.58
1.23


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.88
3.89
5.34
3.49
4.06
4.75
3.70
4.54
3.66


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.44
2.25
2.66
2.06
2.41
2.47
2.18
2.72
2.14


p Value
5.7E−4
9.5E−4
9.2E−5
0.0069
3.8E−4
1.5E−4
0.0052
8.1E−5
0.0010


Lower limit of
1.47
1.39
1.63
1.22
1.48
1.55
1.26
1.65
1.36


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.06
3.63
4.35
3.48
3.91
3.95
3.78
4.47
3.37


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.70
2.95
3.75
3.80
3.16
3.20
3.81
3.65
3.16


p Value
9.9E−5
8.4E−4
1.2E−6
8.3E−4
5.1E−4
1.5E−5
0.0015
2.3E−4
2.3E−5


Lower limit of
2.16
1.56
2.20
1.74
1.65
1.89
1.66
1.83
1.85


95% CI


Upper limit of
10.2
5.55
6.39
8.30
6.06
5.41
8.70
7.27
5.37


95% CI
















TABLE 30.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
17.2
39.4
15.8
37.8
12.9
38.2


Average
42.9
92.0
44.2
89.7
42.7
88.3


Stdev
85.0
169
87.6
167
89.9
164


p (t-test)

0.0040

0.0086

0.010


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
670
1150
670
1150
670
1150


n (Patient)
114
202
107
209
97
219







sCr only













Median
17.6
40.2
16.4
40.3
14.3
41.4


Average
49.6
90.9
49.7
90.2
47.1
90.8


Stdev
119
160
120
159
122
157


p (t-test)

0.014

0.016

0.0100


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
127
189
124
192
119
197







UO only













Median
20.4
54.9
20.3
51.1
20.3
49.9


Average
53.0
119
53.5
112
54.5
104


Stdev
114
192
117
185
120
176


p (t-test)

1.8E−4

6.9E−4

0.0033


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
213
101
203
111
189
125












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.63
0.68
0.63
0.63
0.67
0.64
0.65
0.65


SE
0.032
0.031
0.033
0.032
0.031
0.033
0.032
0.031
0.032


p Value
4.4E−5
5.7E−5
4.6E−8
9.2E−5
3.0E−5
2.3E−7
3.2E−5
7.6E−7
1.9E−6


nCohort Recovered
114
127
213
107
124
203
97
119
189


nCohort Non-
202
189
101
209
192
111
219
197
125


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13


Sensitivity
80%
81%
86%
80%
81%
86%
80%
82%
85%


Specificity
34%
34%
31%
36%
35%
31%
36%
36%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8


Sensitivity
57%
58%
68%
56%
58%
67%
56%
59%
64%


Specificity
62%
61%
59%
62%
62%
59%
64%
65%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6


Sensitivity
32%
32%
43%
31%
32%
40%
31%
32%
38%


Specificity
87%
85%
83%
86%
85%
83%
88%
87%
84%


OR Quartile 2
2.11
2.18
2.73
2.26
2.30
2.67
2.25
2.53
2.59


p Value
0.0049
0.0032
0.0020
0.0023
0.0016
0.0015
0.0028
4.7E−4
0.0012


Lower limit of
1.25
1.30
1.45
1.34
1.37
1.46
1.32
1.50
1.46


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.54
3.65
5.15
3.81
3.86
4.90
3.81
4.26
4.62


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.18
2.17
3.06
2.05
2.25
2.89
2.27
2.63
2.59


p Value
0.0011
9.5E−4
1.2E−5
0.0032
6.1E−4
1.7E−5
0.0011
5.9E−5
6.6E−5


Lower limit of
1.36
1.37
1.86
1.27
1.41
1.78
1.39
1.64
1.62


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.49
3.43
5.05
3.29
3.56
4.69
3.72
4.21
4.12


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.06
2.64
3.65
2.71
2.74
3.15
3.12
3.34
3.18


p Value
3.9E−4
9.4E−4
2.0E−6
0.0016
7.2E−4
1.9E−5
8.6E−4
1.3E−4
1.7E−5


Lower limit of
1.65
1.49
2.14
1.46
1.53
1.86
1.60
1.80
1.87


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.68
4.70
6.21
5.03
4.92
5.34
6.10
6.19
5.38


95% CI
















TABLE 30.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
17.9
40.3
16.9
38.2
15.9
39.4


Average
53.8
89.4
55.9
86.4
45.0
90.8


Stdev
124
159
128
156
91.0
168


p (t-test)

0.032

0.070

0.0073


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
670
1150


n (Patient)
134
182
125
191
114
202







sCr only













Median
17.2
40.6
16.4
40.6
15.8
41.4


Average
51.7
92.3
51.8
91.8
49.7
92.7


Stdev
119
163
120
162
120
161


p (t-test)

0.014

0.016

0.0097


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
140
176
138
178
135
181







UO only













Median
20.3
55.1
20.4
52.8
20.3
50.6


Average
57.4
111
58.4
104
54.5
106


Stdev
133
167
136
162
119
178


p (t-test)

0.0027

0.0082

0.0026


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
215
99
206
108
193
121












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.63
0.69
0.62
0.64
0.67
0.64
0.65
0.66


SE
0.031
0.031
0.033
0.031
0.031
0.033
0.031
0.031
0.032


p Value
2.9E−5
1.6E−5
1.0E−8
9.7E−5
1.1E−5
3.1E−7
7.4E−6
8.2E−7
6.9E−7


nCohort Recovered
134
140
215
125
138
206
114
135
193


nCohort Non-
182
176
99
191
178
108
202
181
121


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13


Sensitivity
82%
82%
88%
82%
83%
86%
81%
83%
86%


Specificity
34%
34%
31%
35%
35%
31%
36%
36%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8


Sensitivity
58%
59%
70%
57%
59%
67%
57%
60%
64%


Specificity
61%
61%
59%
61%
62%
59%
63%
63%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6


Sensitivity
32%
32%
43%
31%
33%
41%
32%
34%
39%


Specificity
85%
84%
83%
84%
85%
83%
87%
87%
83%


OR Quartile 2
2.36
2.44
3.28
2.42
2.53
2.79
2.42
2.67
2.90


p Value
0.0012
8.0E−4
5.0E−4
8.4E−4
5.0E−4
0.0012
8.5E−4
2.3E−4
4.6E−4


Lower limit of
1.40
1.45
1.68
1.44
1.50
1.50
1.44
1.58
1.60


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.97
4.11
6.41
4.07
4.26
5.19
4.08
4.50
5.25


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.20
2.30
3.32
2.06
2.31
2.85
2.31
2.52
2.62


p Value
7.0E−4
3.2E−4
3.6E−6
0.0020
3.2E−4
2.5E−5
5.0E−4
8.1E−5
6.0E−5


Lower limit of
1.39
1.46
2.00
1.30
1.46
1.75
1.44
1.59
1.64


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.47
3.62
5.51
3.26
3.64
4.63
3.71
3.98
4.19


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.73
2.57
3.82
2.35
2.69
3.36
3.06
3.30
3.20


p Value
5.1E−4
8.4E−4
9.2E−7
0.0033
5.3E−4
7.1E−6
3.9E−4
6.1E−5
1.5E−5


Lower limit of
1.55
1.48
2.24
1.33
1.54
1.98
1.65
1.84
1.89


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.82
4.47
6.52
4.14
4.72
5.70
5.68
5.93
5.41


95% CI
















TABLE 30.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
19.2
44.7
19.3
44.7
19.3
44.7


Average
58.6
97.0
59.3
95.2
59.3
95.2


Stdev
138
155
139
154
139
154


p (t-test)

0.022

0.031

0.031


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
187
129
184
132
184
132







sCr only













Median
18.4
42.2
19.7
41.6
19.2
41.8


Average
52.9
96.0
53.8
94.3
53.0
94.8


Stdev
117
168
118
167
118
167


p (t-test)

0.0087

0.014

0.011


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
159
157
156
160
155
161







UO only













Median
20.4
54.2
20.4
53.9
20.4
52.5


Average
58.5
106
59.0
104
59.0
102


Stdev
135
164
136
163
137
161


p (t-test)

0.0068

0.011

0.012


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
210
104
207
107
204
110












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.66
0.64
0.68
0.65
0.63
0.67
0.65
0.63
0.67


SE
0.032
0.031
0.033
0.032
0.031
0.033
0.032
0.031
0.033


p Value
4.0E−7
1.0E−5
7.1E−8
2.2E−6
6.0E−5
2.6E−7
2.2E−6
2.7E−5
1.6E−7


nCohort Recovered
187
159
210
184
156
207
184
155
204


nCohort Non-
129
157
104
132
160
107
132
161
110


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13


Sensitivity
86%
83%
88%
85%
82%
87%
85%
82%
87%


Specificity
33%
33%
31%
32%
32%
31%
32%
32%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8


Sensitivity
65%
62%
68%
64%
61%
67%
64%
61%
67%


Specificity
60%
62%
59%
60%
61%
59%
60%
61%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6


Sensitivity
37%
35%
41%
36%
34%
40%
36%
35%
40%


Specificity
83%
85%
83%
83%
85%
83%
83%
85%
83%


OR Quartile 2
2.99
2.34
3.21
2.64
2.13
3.04
2.64
2.17
3.21


p Value
2.4E−4
0.0017
4.4E−4
7.9E−4
0.0047
5.9E−4
7.9E−4
0.0038
3.1E−4


Lower limit of
1.66
1.38
1.67
1.50
1.26
1.61
1.50
1.28
1.70


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.36
3.98
6.15
4.66
3.60
5.73
4.66
3.66
6.04


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.85
2.60
3.10
2.75
2.40
2.95
2.75
2.46
3.00


p Value
1.0E−5
3.7E−5
7.7E−6
1.8E−5
1.5E−4
1.5E−5
1.8E−5
9.4E−5
9.8E−6


Lower limit of
1.79
1.65
1.89
1.73
1.53
1.81
1.73
1.57
1.84


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.54
4.09
5.10
4.37
3.77
4.82
4.37
3.87
4.87


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.98
3.03
3.41
2.82
2.88
3.19
2.82
3.06
3.22


p Value
4.6E−5
6.4E−5
5.9E−6
1.1E−4
1.4E−4
1.6E−5
1.1E−4
6.5E−5
1.4E−5


Lower limit of
1.76
1.76
2.01
1.67
1.67
1.88
1.67
1.77
1.90


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.04
5.23
5.79
4.76
4.96
5.41
4.76
5.30
5.45


95% CI
















TABLE 30.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
330
375
245
375
364
374


Average
391
540
385
536
399
532


Stdev
281
543
298
536
310
533


p (t-test)

0.19

0.21

0.29


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1070
4690
1070
4690
1070
4690


n (Patient)
25
126
21
130
19
132







sCr only













Median
330
374
287
375
304
374


Average
428
535
423
535
433
531


Stdev
402
536
408
534
422
530


p (t-test)

0.32

0.30

0.38


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
29
121
28
122
26
124







UO only













Median
364
380
330
384
337
380


Average
494
528
499
519
456
563


Stdev
552
427
573
407
341
632


p (t-test)

0.69

0.81

0.19


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1880
4690
1880
1540
4690


n (Patient)
91
59
84
66
77
73












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.58
0.54
0.59
0.59
0.55
0.58
0.59
0.54


SE
0.060
0.057
0.049
0.064
0.057
0.048
0.067
0.059
0.047


p Value
0.18
0.14
0.44
0.14
0.097
0.32
0.23
0.13
0.40


nCohort Recovered
25
29
91
21
28
84
19
26
77


nCohort Non-
126
121
59
130
122
66
132
124
73


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
217
217
218
217
217
218
217
217


Sensitivity
76%
77%
76%
76%
77%
79%
77%
77%
77%


Specificity
32%
34%
26%
33%
36%
29%
37%
38%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
372
372
373
372
372
373
372
372


Sensitivity
52%
51%
53%
52%
52%
53%
51%
51%
52%


Specificity
56%
55%
52%
57%
57%
52%
53%
54%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
661
661
674
661
661
674
661
661


Sensitivity
27%
26%
29%
26%
26%
26%
26%
26%
26%


Specificity
84%
79%
77%
81%
79%
75%
79%
77%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.51
1.75
1.15
1.60
1.87
1.49
1.90
2.14
1.24


p Value
0.39
0.21
0.72
0.36
0.17
0.31
0.22
0.095
0.58


Lower limit of
0.591
0.729
0.539
0.592
0.773
0.697
0.689
0.875
0.590


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.84
4.19
2.46
4.31
4.50
3.17
5.25
5.25
2.59


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.36
1.29
1.18
1.42
1.42
1.24
1.15
1.20
1.17


p Value
0.49
0.54
0.62
0.46
0.40
0.51
0.78
0.67
0.62


Lower limit of
0.572
0.573
0.614
0.559
0.622
0.651
0.437
0.516
0.618


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.22
2.92
2.28
3.59
3.26
2.37
3.00
2.81
2.23


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.94
1.38
1.35
1.51
1.30
1.04
1.30
1.16
1.07


p Value
0.25
0.52
0.43
0.49
0.60
0.92
0.66
0.77
0.85


Lower limit of
0.621
0.515
0.640
0.473
0.485
0.496
0.404
0.428
0.514


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.06
3.69
2.84
4.79
3.50
2.18
4.19
3.14
2.24


95% CI
















TABLE 30.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
347
376
344
376
344
374


Average
454
537
458
533
471
527


Stdev
394
548
411
540
433
532


p (t-test)

0.38

0.44

0.59


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
40
111
36
115
32
119







sCr only













Median
327
380
324
386
291
380


Average
434
548
431
549
436
544


Stdev
392
552
396
549
410
543


p (t-test)

0.21

0.20

0.26


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
44
107
43
108
40
111







UO only













Median
350
394
332
396
337
392


Average
480
563
481
551
444
591


Stdev
530
452
548
426
329
663


p (t-test)

0.35

0.42

0.078


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1880
4690
1880
1540
4690


n (Patient)
100
50
93
57
85
65












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.55
0.58
0.56
0.55
0.59
0.57
0.55
0.59
0.56


SE
0.052
0.050
0.050
0.054
0.050
0.049
0.056
0.051
0.048


p Value
0.35
0.097
0.23
0.32
0.073
0.13
0.37
0.073
0.24


nCohort Recovered
40
44
100
36
43
93
32
40
85


nCohort Non-
111
107
50
115
108
57
119
111
65


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
218
217
218
218
217
218
218
217


Sensitivity
76%
78%
78%
76%
78%
81%
76%
78%
77%


Specificity
28%
32%
27%
28%
33%
29%
31%
35%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
373
372
373
373
372
373
373
372


Sensitivity
51%
52%
54%
51%
53%
56%
51%
52%
54%


Specificity
52%
55%
52%
53%
56%
54%
53%
55%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
674
661
674
674
661
674
674
661


Sensitivity
27%
28%
34%
26%
28%
30%
25%
27%
29%


Specificity
80%
82%
79%
78%
81%
77%
75%
80%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.18
1.61
1.31
1.20
1.69
1.71
1.48
1.95
1.24


p Value
0.69
0.23
0.51
0.68
0.19
0.19
0.37
0.098
0.58


Lower limit of
0.521
0.740
0.588
0.514
0.772
0.772
0.626
0.885
0.584


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.67
3.52
2.92
2.78
3.70
3.79
3.49
4.31
2.62


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.17
1.32
1.27
1.18
1.41
1.49
1.19
1.34
1.31


p Value
0.68
0.44
0.49
0.67
0.34
0.24
0.66
0.43
0.41


Lower limit of
0.566
0.652
0.644
0.556
0.694
0.767
0.545
0.647
0.687


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.41
2.66
2.51
2.49
2.87
2.89
2.61
2.76
2.51


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.48
1.75
1.94
1.24
1.68
1.46
1.01
1.48
1.43


p Value
0.38
0.21
0.087
0.64
0.24
0.32
0.98
0.38
0.34


Lower limit of
0.614
0.731
0.908
0.508
0.701
0.690
0.411
0.614
0.685


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.57
4.20
4.13
3.01
4.04
3.08
2.49
3.57
3.00


95% CI
















TABLE 30.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
369
374
327
380
327
376


Average
469
538
457
541
463
534


Stdev
383
565
394
555
414
543


p (t-test)

0.44

0.36

0.45


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
50
101
46
105
40
111







sCr only













Median
327
380
311
392
298
394


Average
447
553
436
557
430
556


Stdev
386
568
389
563
395
556


p (t-test)

0.22

0.17

0.16


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
54
97
52
99
49
102







UO only













Median
331
397
329
397
334
390


Average
474
572
477
559
493
527


Stdev
534
443
544
432
563
419


p (t-test)

0.26

0.34

0.68


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880


n (Patient)
98
52
94
56
86
64












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.53
0.57
0.58
0.55
0.59
0.58
0.55
0.60
0.54


SE
0.050
0.048
0.050
0.050
0.048
0.049
0.052
0.048
0.048


p Value
0.60
0.14
0.10
0.31
0.067
0.12
0.30
0.039
0.37


nCohort Recovered
50
54
98
46
52
94
40
49
86


nCohort Non-
101
97
52
105
99
56
111
102
64


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
218
217
218
218
217
218
218
217


Sensitivity
74%
77%
79%
75%
78%
79%
77%
78%
77%


Specificity
24%
30%
28%
26%
31%
28%
30%
33%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
373
372
373
373
372
373
373
372


Sensitivity
50%
53%
58%
52%
54%
59%
52%
54%
55%


Specificity
50%
54%
54%
54%
56%
55%
55%
57%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
674
661
674
674
661
674
674
661


Sensitivity
27%
28%
33%
27%
28%
30%
26%
28%
28%


Specificity
78%
80%
79%
78%
81%
78%
78%
82%
77%


OR Quartile 2
0.911
1.44
1.42
1.07
1.56
1.40
1.40
1.76
1.19


p Value
0.82
0.35
0.39
0.86
0.25
0.40
0.41
0.14
0.65


Lower limit of
0.414
0.676
0.637
0.485
0.731
0.641
0.626
0.824
0.563


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.00
3.05
3.15
2.37
3.31
3.06
3.14
3.77
2.52


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.02
1.29
1.61
1.31
1.45
1.78
1.34
1.56
1.39


p Value
0.95
0.46
0.17
0.45
0.28
0.093
0.43
0.20
0.32


Lower limit of
0.518
0.660
0.815
0.653
0.740
0.909
0.647
0.785
0.725


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.01
2.51
3.17
2.62
2.85
3.47
2.76
3.10
2.66


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.29
1.51
1.78
1.31
1.66
1.52
1.22
1.77
1.29


p Value
0.53
0.31
0.13
0.52
0.23
0.28
0.65
0.19
0.50


Lower limit of
0.581
0.679
0.838
0.575
0.732
0.717
0.518
0.761
0.616


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.88
3.35
3.79
2.98
3.75
3.20
2.86
4.10
2.71


95% CI
















TABLE 30.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
381
371
330
378
330
375


Average
484
535
460
545
466
537


Stdev
385
578
384
569
400
555


p (t-test)

0.55

0.33

0.43


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
58
93
53
98
47
104







sCr only













Median
347
376
330
378
324
386


Average
454
555
447
559
439
561


Stdev
380
581
379
579
382
573


p (t-test)

0.24

0.19

0.15


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
60
91
59
92
57
94







UO only













Median
331
397
329
397
334
390


Average
481
555
477
557
491
531


Stdev
542
432
546
432
560
424


p (t-test)

0.39

0.35

0.63


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880


n (Patient)
96
54
92
58
86
64












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.51
0.56
0.57
0.55
0.57
0.57
0.55
0.58
0.54


SE
0.048
0.047
0.049
0.049
0.047
0.048
0.050
0.047
0.048


p Value
0.82
0.21
0.16
0.34
0.15
0.13
0.36
0.077
0.36


nCohort
58
60
96
53
59
92
47
57
86


Recovered


nCohort Non-
93
91
54
98
92
58
104
94
64


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
218
217
218
218
217
218
218
217


Sensitivity
75%
78%
78%
77%
78%
78%
77%
79%
77%


Specificity
26%
30%
27%
28%
31%
27%
30%
32%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
373
372
373
373
372
373
373
372


Sensitivity
49%
52%
57%
52%
52%
59%
52%
53%
55%


Specificity
48%
52%
54%
53%
53%
55%
53%
54%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
674
661
674
674
661
674
674
661


Sensitivity
25%
26%
30%
26%
27%
29%
25%
28%
28%


Specificity
74%
77%
77%
75%
78%
77%
74%
79%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.06
1.52
1.30
1.29
1.58
1.29
1.41
1.71
1.19


p Value
0.88
0.27
0.51
0.51
0.23
0.51
0.38
0.16
0.65


Lower limit of
0.500
0.724
0.594
0.603
0.752
0.598
0.652
0.810
0.563


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.25
3.20
2.85
2.75
3.32
2.79
3.07
3.60
2.52


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
0.913
1.14
1.59
1.22
1.21
1.76
1.23
1.35
1.39


p Value
0.79
0.69
0.17
0.57
0.57
0.095
0.56
0.37
0.32


Lower limit of
0.474
0.595
0.813
0.622
0.628
0.906
0.616
0.700
0.725


95% CI


Upper limit of
1.76
2.19
3.12
2.37
2.32
3.43
2.45
2.62
2.66


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
0.942
1.18
1.42
1.05
1.32
1.40
0.972
1.43
1.29


p Value
0.88
0.67
0.37
0.89
0.48
0.37
0.94
0.37
0.50


Lower limit of
0.443
0.551
0.667
0.486
0.612
0.665
0.440
0.657
0.616


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.00
2.51
3.01
2.28
2.85
2.96
2.15
3.13
2.71


95% CI
















TABLE 30.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
364
386
348
392
348
392


Average
529
499
520
510
520
510


Stdev
611
368
610
376
610
376


p (t-test)

0.72

0.90

0.90


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1540
4690
1540
4690
1540


n (Patient)
81
70
80
71
80
71







sCr only













Median
364
378
364
378
364
378


Average
456
563
455
561
455
561


Stdev
375
597
374
593
374
593


p (t-test)

0.20

0.21

0.21


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
67
84
65
86
65
86







UO only













Median
328
428
328
428
328
428


Average
479
558
475
561
475
558


Stdev
555
405
553
413
559
408


p (t-test)

0.36

0.31

0.33


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880


n (Patient)
95
55
93
57
91
59












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.53
0.56
0.59
0.54
0.56
0.59
0.54
0.56
0.59


SE
0.047
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.047
0.048
0.047
0.047
0.048


p Value
0.59
0.20
0.059
0.43
0.21
0.062
0.43
0.21
0.058


nCohort
81
67
95
80
65
93
80
65
91


Recovered


nCohort Non-
70
84
55
71
86
57
71
86
59


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
218
217
218
218
217
218
218
217


Sensitivity
76%
79%
80%
76%
78%
79%
76%
78%
80%


Specificity
26%
30%
28%
26%
29%
28%
26%
29%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
373
372
373
373
372
373
373
372


Sensitivity
53%
52%
60%
54%
52%
60%
54%
52%
59%


Specificity
52%
52%
56%
52%
52%
56%
52%
52%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
674
661
674
674
661
674
674
661


Sensitivity
26%
27%
31%
27%
28%
32%
27%
28%
32%


Specificity
75%
78%
78%
76%
78%
78%
76%
78%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.09
1.56
1.59
1.13
1.46
1.46
1.13
1.46
1.57


p Value
0.82
0.24
0.26
0.74
0.32
0.35
0.74
0.32
0.26


Lower limit of
0.521
0.746
0.716
0.540
0.696
0.666
0.540
0.696
0.718


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.28
3.27
3.52
2.37
3.05
3.18
2.37
3.05
3.42


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.21
1.20
1.89
1.27
1.20
1.87
1.27
1.20
1.86


p Value
0.56
0.57
0.064
0.46
0.57
0.066
0.46
0.57
0.067


Lower limit of
0.636
0.633
0.964
0.671
0.632
0.960
0.671
0.632
0.957


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.29
2.29
3.72
2.41
2.29
3.66
2.41
2.29
3.61


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.06
1.31
1.58
1.17
1.41
1.68
1.17
1.41
1.80


p Value
0.89
0.48
0.23
0.67
0.37
0.17
0.67
0.37
0.12


Lower limit of
0.506
0.618
0.745
0.562
0.662
0.799
0.562
0.662
0.855


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.20
2.76
3.34
2.45
3.00
3.55
2.45
3.00
3.79


95% CI









Example 31. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 24 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 24 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the recovery period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 31.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered”


and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
12.9
40.4
12.2
40.4
12.5
39.7


Average
40.8
91.5
39.2
91.3
40.0
90.2


Stdev
87.7
166
88.2
165
89.4
164


p (t-test)

0.0035

0.0029

0.0044


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
670
1150
670
1150
670
1150


n (Patient)
107
209
103
213
100
216







sCr only













Median
15.8
39.8
14.5
40.3
14.5
40.4


Average
51.4
88.2
51.4
87.7
51.2
87.7


Stdev
125
157
126
156
127
156


p (t-test)

0.029

0.031

0.031


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
125
190
123
192
122
193







UO only













Median
20.4
51.1
18.4
51.1
18.4
50.6


Average
54.7
121
51.1
119
52.0
112


Stdev
117
193
117
184
120
178


p (t-test)

2.5E−4

9.3E−5

4.7E−4


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
221
93
207
107
197
117












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.63
0.68
0.66
0.64
0.71
0.66
0.64
0.69


SE
0.031
0.031
0.034
0.031
0.031
0.032
0.031
0.031
0.032


p Value
1.5E−6
2.5E−5
9.7E−8
1.7E−7
1.3E−5
8.3E−11 
4.8E−7
7.2E−6
1.3E−9


nCohort
107
125
221
103
123
207
100
122
197


Recovered


nCohort Non-
209
190
93
213
192
107
216
193
117


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13


Sensitivity
80%
81%
88%
81%
81%
90%
81%
81%
88%


Specificity
36%
34%
31%
37%
35%
33%
37%
35%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.3
28.8
29.6
29.3
28.8
29.6
29.3
28.8


Sensitivity
59%
59%
69%
59%
60%
71%
58%
60%
68%


Specificity
67%
64%
58%
69%
65%
61%
68%
66%
61%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.4
74.6
74.9
74.4
74.6
74.9
74.4
74.6


Sensitivity
32%
32%
43%
32%
32%
43%
31%
32%
40%


Specificity
88%
86%
82%
89%
85%
84%
89%
86%
84%


OR Quartile 2
2.26
2.24
3.31
2.45
2.33
4.27
2.43
2.37
3.62


p Value
0.0023
0.0022
6.8E−4
8.2E−4
0.0014
3.6E−5
9.6E−4
0.0011
6.6E−5


Lower limit of
1.34
1.34
1.66
1.45
1.39
2.15
1.44
1.41
1.92


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.81
3.76
6.61
4.15
3.91
8.50
4.12
3.99
6.82


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.94
2.61
3.04
3.21
2.78
3.81
2.98
2.87
3.37


p Value
1.5E−5
5.5E−5
2.2E−5
4.5E−6
2.0E−5
1.8E−7
1.9E−5
1.2E−5
8.4E−7


Lower limit of
1.80
1.64
1.82
1.95
1.74
2.31
1.80
1.79
2.08


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.80
4.16
5.08
5.29
4.44
6.30
4.90
4.60
5.46


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.34
2.81
3.52
3.92
2.72
3.98
3.72
2.92
3.46


p Value
2.7E−4
5.3E−4
4.3E−6
1.0E−4
8.2E−4
4.0E−7
1.9E−4
4.1E−4
4.2E−6


Lower limit of
1.74
1.57
2.06
1.97
1.51
2.33
1.87
1.61
2.04


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.39
5.04
6.02
7.81
4.88
6.78
7.40
5.30
5.88


95% CI
















TABLE 31.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
16.9
43.2
14.5
43.2
14.5
42.2


Average
38.1
101
37.6
101
37.1
100.0


Stdev
73.1
178
73.5
177
73.5
176


p (t-test)

1.3E−4

1.3E−4

1.5E−4


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
670
1150
670
1150
670
1150


n (Patient)
135
181
133
183
129
187







sCr only













Median
17.9
42.7
17.6
42.2
17.2
42.7


Average
46.2
99.1
46.2
98.8
46.0
98.6


Stdev
111
168
111
168
112
167


p (t-test)

0.0012

0.0014

0.0014


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
148
168
147
169
146
170







UO only













Median
20.4
69.8
19.9
69.8
19.7
55.0


Average
53.3
127
51.1
127
51.6
117


Stdev
117
195
115
192
118
183


p (t-test)

4.9E−5

1.9E−5

1.5E−4


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
225
89
219
95
206
108












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.66
0.65
0.70
0.67
0.65
0.71
0.67
0.66
0.69


SE
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.033
0.030
0.030
0.032


p Value
1.2E−7
4.5E−7
2.9E−9
3.9E−8
3.6E−7
 1.4E−10 
3.7E−8
1.8E−7
2.7E−9


nCohort
135
148
225
133
147
219
129
146
206


Recovered


nCohort Non-
181
168
89
183
169
95
187
170
108


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13


Sensitivity
82%
83%
89%
82%
83%
89%
82%
83%
87%


Specificity
34%
34%
31%
35%
34%
32%
35%
34%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8


Sensitivity
61%
61%
72%
61%
62%
73%
60%
62%
69%


Specificity
64%
63%
59%
65%
63%
60%
65%
64%
60%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6


Sensitivity
34%
35%
47%
34%
34%
47%
34%
35%
44%


Specificity
87%
86%
84%
88%
86%
84%
88%
86%
84%


OR Quartile 2
2.32
2.45
3.49
2.40
2.49
3.91
2.41
2.53
3.10


p Value
0.0015
8.5E−4
6.2E−4
9.3E−4
6.8E−4
1.8E−4
8.9E−4
5.3E−4
4.8E−4


Lower limit of
1.38
1.45
1.71
1.43
1.47
1.91
1.43
1.50
1.64


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.89
4.14
7.15
4.04
4.21
7.99
4.05
4.28
5.83


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.81
2.68
3.63
2.98
2.76
3.95
2.85
2.83
3.44


p Value
1.2E−5
2.2E−5
2.1E−6
4.0E−6
1.4E−5
3.0E−7
1.0E−5
8.1E−6
1.0E−6


Lower limit of
1.77
1.70
2.13
1.87
1.75
2.34
1.79
1.79
2.09


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.46
4.23
6.19
4.75
4.35
6.68
4.54
4.48
5.64


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.62
3.19
4.54
3.84
3.14
4.90
3.95
3.35
4.19


p Value
2.2E−5
5.0E−5
5.4E−8
1.3E−5
6.5E−5
1.0E−8
1.3E−5
3.0E−5
1.6E−7


Lower limit of
2.00
1.82
2.63
2.10
1.79
2.84
2.13
1.90
2.45


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.55
5.59
7.83
7.03
5.49
8.44
7.33
5.91
7.16


95% CI
















TABLE 31.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
16.9
44.6
16.9
44.6
15.9
44.6


Average
49.3
97.8
49.6
96.9
49.2
96.2


Stdev
117
166
118
166
119
164


p (t-test)

0.0031

0.0040

0.0042


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
153
163
151
165
147
169







sCr only













Median
17.2
44.7
16.9
44.6
16.4
44.7


Average
47.8
102
47.8
101
47.6
101


Stdev
112
171
112
170
113
170


p (t-test)

0.0010

0.0011

0.0011


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
160
156
159
157
158
158







UO only













Median
23.0
58.3
22.9
56.7
21.0
54.5


Average
59.8
110
59.8
109
60.6
102


Stdev
137
163
138
162
141
155


p (t-test)

0.0062

0.0068

0.019


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
223
91
222
92
211
103












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.66
0.67
0.68
0.66
0.67
0.68
0.67
0.67
0.66


SE
0.030
0.030
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.035
0.030
0.030
0.034


p Value
8.2E−8
3.1E−8
4.0E−7
1.1E−7
2.5E−8
3.1E−7
3.3E−8
1.2E−8
1.1E−6


nCohort
153
160
223
151
159
222
147
158
211


Recovered


nCohort Non-
163
156
91
165
157
92
169
158
103


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13


Sensitivity
83%
84%
86%
83%
84%
86%
83%
84%
85%


Specificity
33%
34%
30%
34%
34%
30%
35%
34%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8


Sensitivity
63%
63%
68%
62%
64%
68%
62%
64%
67%


Specificity
63%
63%
57%
64%
64%
58%
64%
64%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6


Sensitivity
36%
36%
45%
35%
36%
45%
35%
36%
42%


Specificity
86%
86%
83%
86%
86%
83%
86%
86%
83%


OR Quartile 2
2.41
2.67
2.52
2.50
2.72
2.57
2.68
2.76
2.55


p Value
0.0011
3.6E−4
0.0055
6.9E−4
2.8E−4
0.0046
2.7E−4
2.2E−4
0.0031


Lower limit of
1.42
1.56
1.31
1.47
1.58
1.34
1.58
1.61
1.37


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.09
4.58
4.85
4.23
4.65
4.94
4.54
4.74
4.75


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.90
2.97
2.88
2.90
3.06
2.96
2.91
3.14
2.84


p Value
5.1E−6
3.0E−6
5.6E−5
5.0E−6
1.8E−6
3.6E−5
4.9E−6
1.0E−6
3.5E−5


Lower limit of
1.83
1.88
1.72
1.84
1.93
1.77
1.84
1.98
1.73


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.57
4.70
4.82
4.58
4.83
4.95
4.60
4.97
4.65


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.47
3.34
3.99
3.36
3.28
3.89
3.41
3.49
3.48


p Value
1.4E−5
1.7E−5
5.2E−7
2.3E−5
2.3E−5
7.9E−7
2.3E−5
1.0E−5
4.1E−6


Lower limit of
1.98
1.93
2.32
1.91
1.89
2.27
1.93
2.00
2.05


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.09
5.78
6.86
5.88
5.68
6.68
6.01
6.08
5.93


95% CI
















TABLE 31.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
16.5
49.9
16.7
48.2
16.2
48.2


Average
53.9
97.2
54.5
95.6
54.2
94.9


Stdev
127
163
128
161
129
160


p (t-test)

0.0083

0.012

0.013


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
167
149
164
152
160
156







sCr only













Median
16.9
49.9
16.7
49.5
16.5
49.9


Average
52.1
100
52.2
100
52.0
99.9


Stdev
123
167
123
166
124
166


p (t-test)

0.0033

0.0036

0.0036


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
171
145
170
146
169
147







UO only













Median
20.7
64.0
21.0
58.3
21.0
54.7


Average
59.5
110
59.8
108
60.5
103


Stdev
138
161
138
161
140
156


p (t-test)

0.0057

0.0072

0.016


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
222
92
221
93
213
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.67
0.69
0.67
0.68
0.69
0.67
0.68
0.67


SE
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.034
0.030
0.030
0.034


p Value
8.1E−9
1.0E−8
1.3E−8
3.3E−8
8.2E−9
4.6E−8
1.1E−8
3.8E−9
5.5E−7


nCohort
167
171
222
164
170
221
160
169
213


Recovered


nCohort Non-
149
145
92
152
146
93
156
147
101


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13


Sensitivity
84%
84%
88%
84%
84%
87%
84%
84%
86%


Specificity
33%
33%
31%
33%
33%
30%
34%
33%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8


Sensitivity
66%
66%
71%
65%
66%
70%
65%
66%
67%


Specificity
64%
63%
59%
64%
64%
58%
64%
64%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6


Sensitivity
37%
37%
46%
36%
37%
45%
36%
37%
43%


Specificity
86%
85%
83%
85%
85%
83%
86%
86%
83%


OR Quartile 2
2.56
2.58
3.25
2.49
2.63
2.94
2.67
2.67
2.73


p Value
7.0E−4
6.9E−4
8.3E−4
8.8E−4
5.5E−4
0.0016
3.6E−4
4.4E−4
0.0020


Lower limit of
1.49
1.49
1.63
1.46
1.52
1.50
1.56
1.54
1.45


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.40
4.47
6.49
4.27
4.55
5.74
4.58
4.62
5.15


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.43
3.26
3.40
3.32
3.34
3.26
3.32
3.43
2.87


p Value
1.9E−7
5.6E−7
4.3E−6
3.4E−7
3.2E−7
7.8E−6
3.4E−7
1.8E−7
3.2E−5


Lower limit of
2.16
2.05
2.02
2.10
2.10
1.94
2.09
2.16
1.75


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.45
5.17
5.73
5.27
5.31
5.46
5.26
5.46
4.72


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.49
3.47
4.20
3.31
3.40
4.10
3.34
3.61
3.65


p Value
7.2E−6
6.9E−6
2.0E−7
1.7E−5
9.2E−6
3.1E−7
1.7E−5
4.0E−6
2.0E−6


Lower limit of
2.02
2.02
2.44
1.92
1.98
2.39
1.93
2.09
2.14


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.02
5.96
7.22
5.70
5.85
7.03
5.78
6.24
6.21


95% CI
















TABLE 31.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
19.7
49.9
20.1
48.2
19.9
49.2


Average
60.2
99.3
60.8
97.7
60.8
97.3


Stdev
141
153
141
152
142
152


p (t-test)

0.022

0.030

0.032


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
202
114
200
116
199
117







sCr only













Median
18.8
46.0
18.8
46.0
18.8
46.0


Average
53.6
103
53.6
103
53.6
103


Stdev
120
173
120
173
120
173


p (t-test)

0.0028

0.0028

0.0028


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
184
132
184
132
184
132







UO only













Median
21.9
54.2
22.7
53.9
22.7
53.9


Average
61.1
103
61.4
102
61.7
101


Stdev
140
158
140
157
141
156


p (t-test)

0.019

0.023

0.028


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
216
98
215
99
213
101












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.66
0.67
0.66
0.66
0.67
0.66
0.66
0.67


SE
0.032
0.031
0.034
0.033
0.031
0.034
0.032
0.031
0.034


p Value
1.7E−7
4.6E−7
3.0E−7
8.0E−7
4.6E−7
8.5E−7
5.6E−7
4.6E−7
1.0E−6


nCohort
202
184
216
200
184
215
199
184
213


Recovered


nCohort Non-
114
132
98
116
132
99
117
132
101


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13
4.17
4.17
4.13


Sensitivity
87%
84%
88%
86%
84%
87%
86%
84%
87%


Specificity
32%
32%
31%
32%
32%
31%
32%
32%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8
29.6
29.6
28.8


Sensitivity
68%
65%
68%
66%
65%
68%
67%
65%
67%


Specificity
60%
61%
58%
60%
61%
58%
60%
61%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6
74.9
74.9
74.6


Sensitivity
39%
39%
42%
39%
39%
41%
38%
39%
41%


Specificity
83%
85%
82%
83%
85%
82%
83%
85%
82%


OR Quartile 2
3.06
2.43
3.22
2.87
2.43
2.93
2.92
2.43
3.04


p Value
3.9E−4
0.0019
6.1E−4
6.4E−4
0.0019
0.0012
5.2E−4
0.0019
8.1E−4


Lower limit of
1.65
1.39
1.65
1.57
1.39
1.53
1.60
1.39
1.59


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.68
4.26
6.29
5.27
4.26
5.62
5.36
4.26
5.83


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.11
2.91
3.03
2.90
2.91
2.91
2.98
2.91
2.87


p Value
4.1E−6
6.7E−6
1.7E−5
1.2E−5
6.7E−6
2.9E−5
7.7E−6
6.7E−6
3.2E−5


Lower limit of
1.92
1.83
1.83
1.80
1.83
1.76
1.85
1.83
1.75


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.04
4.63
5.01
4.68
4.63
4.80
4.80
4.63
4.72


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.22
3.51
3.37
3.09
3.51
3.29
3.03
3.51
3.15


p Value
1.3E−5
4.0E−6
7.8E−6
2.5E−5
4.0E−6
1.1E−5
3.4E−5
4.0E−6
2.2E−5


Lower limit of
1.90
2.06
1.98
1.83
2.06
1.93
1.80
2.06
1.85


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.45
5.98
5.74
5.23
5.98
5.60
5.12
5.98
5.35


95% CI
















TABLE 31.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
330
386
344
380
368
376


Average
417
562
419
560
429
553


Stdev
315
579
318
576
321
573


p (t-test)

0.10

0.11

0.17


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1640
4690
1640
4690
1640
4690


n (Patient)
49
102
48
103
46
105







sCr only













Median
327
386
327
386
330
380


Average
437
555
437
555
441
552


Stdev
379
569
379
569
382
567


p (t-test)

0.18

0.18

0.21


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
52
98
52
98
51
99







UO only













Median
368
384
371
376
364
392


Average
505
514
485
549
487
540


Stdev
546
404
538
440
550
428


p (t-test)

0.92

0.47

0.53


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880


n (Patient)
104
46
97
53
91
59












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.57
0.57
0.53
0.57
0.57
0.56
0.55
0.57
0.56


SE
0.049
0.048
0.052
0.049
0.048
0.050
0.050
0.049
0.048


p Value
0.15
0.13
0.54
0.16
0.13
0.25
0.29
0.16
0.25


nCohort
49
52
104
48
52
97
46
51
91


Recovered


nCohort Non-
102
98
46
103
98
53
105
99
59


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
217
217
218
217
217
218
217
217


Sensitivity
75%
77%
78%
76%
77%
79%
75%
77%
78%


Specificity
27%
29%
27%
27%
29%
28%
26%
29%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
372
372
373
372
372
373
372
372


Sensitivity
53%
53%
52%
52%
53%
51%
51%
53%
53%


Specificity
55%
56%
51%
54%
56%
51%
52%
55%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
661
661
674
661
661
674
661
661


Sensitivity
29%
29%
30%
29%
29%
32%
29%
28%
31%


Specificity
84%
81%
77%
83%
81%
78%
83%
80%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.11
1.32
1.33
1.16
1.32
1.47
1.07
1.38
1.34


p Value
0.79
0.47
0.50
0.71
0.47
0.34
0.86
0.41
0.46


Lower limit of
0.511
0.618
0.582
0.531
0.618
0.663
0.485
0.643
0.621


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.42
2.83
3.02
2.53
2.83
3.27
2.37
2.95
2.89


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.38
1.43
1.13
1.30
1.43
1.06
1.16
1.35
1.18


p Value
0.36
0.30
0.72
0.45
0.30
0.86
0.68
0.39
0.62


Lower limit of
0.697
0.725
0.566
0.655
0.725
0.543
0.577
0.684
0.614


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.74
2.80
2.27
2.59
2.80
2.07
2.31
2.65
2.28


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.14
1.68
1.46
2.05
1.68
1.71
1.90
1.62
1.56


p Value
0.087
0.21
0.34
0.10
0.21
0.16
0.15
0.25
0.24


Lower limit of
0.895
0.742
0.671
0.861
0.742
0.805
0.794
0.714
0.741


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.09
3.80
3.17
4.90
3.80
3.63
4.54
3.66
3.28


95% CI
















TABLE 31.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
331
392
331
392
348
380


Average
453
561
453
561
461
553


Stdev
367
594
367
594
369
590


p (t-test)

0.20

0.20

0.28


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
64
87
64
87
62
89







sCr only













Median
330
394
330
394
331
392


Average
446
570
446
570
449
566


Stdev
368
599
368
599
370
596


p (t-test)

0.14

0.14

0.16


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
67
84
67
84
66
85







UO only













Median
337
396
337
396
337
396


Average
493
543
487
554
496
529


Stdev
544
404
542
413
557
403


p (t-test)

0.58

0.45

0.70


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1700
4690
1700
4690
1700


n (Patient)
105
45
103
47
95
55












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.55
0.57
0.56
0.55
0.57
0.57
0.53
0.56
0.55


SE
0.047
0.047
0.052
0.047
0.047
0.051
0.048
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.29
0.15
0.23
0.29
0.15
0.16
0.46
0.18
0.34


nCohort
64
67
105
64
67
103
62
66
95


Recovered


nCohort Non-
87
84
45
87
84
47
89
85
55


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
218
217
218
218
217
218
218
217


Sensitivity
75%
76%
80%
75%
76%
81%
74%
76%
76%


Specificity
25%
27%
28%
25%
27%
28%
24%
27%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
373
372
373
373
372
373
373
372


Sensitivity
54%
55%
56%
54%
55%
55%
53%
54%
55%


Specificity
55%
55%
52%
55%
55%
52%
53%
55%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
674
661
674
674
661
674
674
661


Sensitivity
29%
30%
33%
29%
30%
34%
28%
29%
31%


Specificity
80%
81%
78%
80%
81%
79%
79%
80%
78%


OR Quartile 2
0.985
1.18
1.53
0.985
1.18
1.65
0.916
1.22
1.15


p Value
0.97
0.67
0.33
0.97
0.67
0.24
0.82
0.60
0.72


Lower limit of
0.468
0.562
0.655
0.468
0.562
0.711
0.432
0.583
0.533


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.07
2.46
3.56
2.07
2.46
3.85
1.94
2.55
2.50


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.42
1.49
1.38
1.42
1.49
1.36
1.27
1.42
1.33


p Value
0.29
0.22
0.37
0.29
0.22
0.38
0.47
0.29
0.40


Lower limit of
0.742
0.783
0.682
0.742
0.783
0.682
0.665
0.742
0.685


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.71
2.85
2.77
2.71
2.85
2.73
2.44
2.70
2.60


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.58
1.76
1.78
1.58
1.76
1.90
1.47
1.70
1.58


p Value
0.24
0.15
0.14
0.24
0.15
0.10
0.32
0.17
0.23


Lower limit of
0.736
0.819
0.823
0.736
0.819
0.884
0.684
0.790
0.745


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.40
3.78
3.86
3.40
3.78
4.09
3.17
3.65
3.34


95% CI
















TABLE 31.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
332
386
348
380
348
380


Average
461
566
467
559
460
563


Stdev
373
612
372
611
363
610


p (t-test)

0.21

0.27

0.22


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
73
78
72
79
70
81







sCr only













Median
331
392
331
392
331
392


Average
448
580
448
580
448
580


Stdev
366
616
366
616
366
616


p (t-test)

0.11

0.11

0.11


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
74
77
74
77
74
77







UO only













Median
332
396
330
397
334
394


Average
500
526
487
554
496
528


Stdev
550
385
546
401
555
405


p (t-test)

0.78

0.45

0.71


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1700
4690
1700
4690
1700


n (Patient)
105
45
103
47
96
54












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.55
0.57
0.56
0.54
0.57
0.58
0.54
0.57
0.54


SE
0.047
0.047
0.052
0.047
0.047
0.051
0.047
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.29
0.13
0.28
0.42
0.13
0.11
0.41
0.13
0.37


nCohort
73
74
105
72
74
103
70
74
96


Recovered


nCohort Non-
78
77
45
79
77
47
81
77
54


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
218
217
218
218
217
218
218
217


Sensitivity
77%
78%
80%
76%
78%
81%
75%
78%
76%


Specificity
27%
28%
28%
26%
28%
28%
26%
28%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
373
372
373
373
372
373
373
372


Sensitivity
54%
55%
58%
53%
55%
60%
53%
55%
56%


Specificity
53%
54%
53%
53%
54%
54%
53%
54%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
674
661
674
674
661
674
674
661


Sensitivity
27%
29%
29%
27%
29%
32%
27%
29%
30%


Specificity
77%
78%
76%
76%
78%
78%
77%
78%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.26
1.40
1.53
1.13
1.40
1.65
1.06
1.40
1.11


p Value
0.54
0.37
0.33
0.74
0.37
0.24
0.89
0.37
0.79


Lower limit of
0.602
0.668
0.655
0.543
0.668
0.711
0.506
0.668
0.513


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.63
2.93
3.56
2.36
2.93
3.85
2.20
2.93
2.40


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.34
1.41
1.56
1.27
1.41
1.76
1.27
1.41
1.42


p Value
0.37
0.29
0.21
0.47
0.29
0.11
0.47
0.29
0.31


Lower limit of
0.706
0.744
0.773
0.669
0.744
0.872
0.668
0.744
0.725


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.54
2.68
3.16
2.41
2.68
3.54
2.41
2.68
2.77


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.21
1.45
1.30
1.17
1.45
1.63
1.26
1.45
1.42


p Value
0.61
0.33
0.51
0.67
0.33
0.21
0.54
0.33
0.37


Lower limit of
0.580
0.690
0.593
0.560
0.690
0.756
0.599
0.690
0.667


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.54
3.05
2.85
2.45
3.05
3.52
2.64
3.05
3.01


95% CI
















TABLE 31.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
348
392
364
386
364
386


Average
456
575
461
568
455
571


Stdev
368
621
368
620
359
619


p (t-test)

0.15

0.20

0.16


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
76
75
75
76
73
78







sCr only













Median
330
397
330
397
330
397


Average
439
594
439
594
439
594


Stdev
363
623
363
623
363
623


p (t-test)

0.063

0.063

0.063


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
77
74
77
74
77
74







UO only













Median
329
412
329
412
332
396


Average
487
550
487
550
493
532


Stdev
551
398
551
398
555
407


p (t-test)

0.47

0.47

0.65


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1700
4690
1700
4690
1700


n (Patient)
100
50
100
50
95
55












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.56
0.59
0.58
0.55
0.59
0.58
0.55
0.59
0.55


SE
0.047
0.046
0.050
0.047
0.046
0.050
0.047
0.046
0.049


p Value
0.22
0.052
0.11
0.33
0.052
0.11
0.32
0.052
0.31


nCohort Recovered
76
77
100
75
77
100
73
77
95


nCohort Non-
75
74
50
76
74
50
78
74
55


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
218
217
218
218
217
218
218
217


Sensitivity
77%
80%
80%
76%
80%
80%
76%
80%
76%


Specificity
28%
30%
28%
27%
30%
28%
26%
30%
26%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
373
372
373
373
372
373
373
372


Sensitivity
53%
55%
60%
53%
55%
60%
53%
55%
56%


Specificity
53%
55%
55%
52%
55%
55%
52%
55%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
674
661
674
674
661
674
674
661


Sensitivity
28%
30%
30%
28%
30%
30%
28%
30%
29%


Specificity
78%
79%
77%
77%
79%
77%
78%
79%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.30
1.68
1.56
1.17
1.68
1.56
1.09
1.68
1.15


p Value
0.48
0.18
0.29
0.67
0.18
0.29
0.81
0.18
0.72


Lower limit of
0.623
0.793
0.686
0.561
0.793
0.686
0.524
0.793
0.533


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.73
3.54
3.53
2.45
3.54
3.53
2.28
3.54
2.50


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.27
1.49
1.83
1.20
1.49
1.83
1.20
1.49
1.50


p Value
0.46
0.22
0.085
0.57
0.22
0.085
0.57
0.22
0.24


Lower limit of
0.670
0.785
0.920
0.636
0.785
0.920
0.635
0.785
0.767


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.41
2.83
3.65
2.28
2.83
3.65
2.28
2.83
2.92


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.35
1.61
1.43
1.30
1.61
1.43
1.40
1.61
1.36


p Value
0.43
0.21
0.35
0.48
0.21
0.35
0.37
0.21
0.42


Lower limit of
0.645
0.768
0.669
0.623
0.768
0.669
0.666
0.768
0.642


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.82
3.39
3.08
2.73
3.39
3.08
2.94
3.39
2.89


95% CI
















TABLE 31.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
332
397
334
396
332
397


Average
509
525
514
518
505
529


Stdev
590
377
591
378
589
386


p (t-test)

0.85

0.96

0.78


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1540
4690
1540
4690
1540


n (Patient)
89
62
88
63
87
64







sCr only













Median
332
397
332
397
332
397


Average
451
586
451
586
451
586


Stdev
373
625
373
625
373
625


p (t-test)

0.11

0.11

0.11


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
79
72
79
72
79
72







UO only













Median
326
448
326
448
326
448


Average
489
544
489
544
485
548


Stdev
565
368
565
368
564
379


p (t-test)

0.53

0.53

0.47


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1510
4690
1510
4690
1510


n (Patient)
98
52
98
52
96
54












Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.56
0.58
0.59
0.55
0.58
0.59
0.56
0.58
0.59


SE
0.048
0.047
0.050
0.048
0.047
0.050
0.048
0.047
0.049


p Value
0.22
0.096
0.068
0.34
0.096
0.068
0.23
0.096
0.072


nCohort Recovered
89
79
98
88
79
98
87
79
96


nCohort Non-
62
72
52
63
72
52
64
72
54


recovered


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
218
217
218
218
217
218
218
217


Sensitivity
77%
79%
81%
76%
79%
81%
77%
79%
80%


Specificity
27%
29%
29%
26%
29%
29%
26%
29%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
373
372
373
373
372
373
373
372


Sensitivity
56%
56%
62%
56%
56%
62%
56%
56%
61%


Specificity
54%
54%
56%
53%
54%
56%
54%
54%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
674
661
674
674
661
674
674
661


Sensitivity
27%
29%
31%
27%
29%
31%
28%
29%
31%


Specificity
76%
78%
78%
76%
78%
78%
77%
78%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.27
1.56
1.68
1.13
1.56
1.68
1.17
1.56
1.53


p Value
0.54
0.24
0.21
0.75
0.24
0.21
0.67
0.24
0.30


Lower limit of
0.594
0.739
0.742
0.535
0.739
0.742
0.555
0.739
0.689


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.70
3.30
3.80
2.40
3.30
3.80
2.48
3.30
3.40


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.52
1.49
2.05
1.43
1.49
2.05
1.51
1.49
2.02


p Value
0.21
0.22
0.041
0.28
0.22
0.041
0.21
0.22
0.043


Lower limit of
0.790
0.786
1.03
0.748
0.786
1.03
0.789
0.786
1.02


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.91
2.84
4.07
2.74
2.84
4.07
2.89
2.84
3.99


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.22
1.50
1.54
1.18
1.50
1.54
1.31
1.50
1.64


p Value
0.59
0.28
0.27
0.66
0.28
0.27
0.47
0.28
0.20


Lower limit of
0.582
0.717
0.721
0.562
0.717
0.721
0.626
0.717
0.774


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.57
3.14
3.27
2.47
3.14
3.27
2.75
3.14
3.48


95% CI









Example 32. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 24 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 24 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 32.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
19.2
54.8
19.9
72.5
23.1
73.8


Average
53.8
112
53.2
123
61.3
112


Stdev
120
180
116
191
136
168


p (t-test)

7.2E−4

8.7E−5

0.0070


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
204
112
220
96
235
81







sCr only













Median
19.4
50.8
20.7
54.5
23.1
54.5


Average
58.7
102
59.1
108
66.1
95.1


Stdev
140
153
137
162
153
121


p (t-test)

0.012

0.0062

0.12


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150
679


n (Patient)
207
108
222
93
234
81







UO only













Median
25.9
97.0
26.1
105
25.9
109


Average
66.2
129
66.0
135
65.9
138


Stdev
138
191
137
197
137
199


p (t-test)

0.011

0.0069

0.0050


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
274
40
277
37
278
36












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.69
0.68
0.72
0.72
0.69
0.73
0.69
0.68
0.74


SE
 0.032
 0.033
0.048
 0.033
 0.034
0.049
 0.036
 0.036
0.049


p Value
3.1E−9
4.3E−8
5.3E−6
 4.3E−11
1.9E−8
2.8E−6
7.3E−8
1.1E−6
1.2E−6


nCohort Non-
204   
207   
274
220   
222   
277
235   
234   
278


persistent


nCohort Persistent
112   
108   
40
96   
93   
37
81   
81   
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13


Sensitivity
86%
86%
92%
90%
89%
95%
89%
89%
94%


Specificity
31%
31%
28%
31%
31%
28%
30%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6 
29.3 
28.8
29.6 
29.3 
28.8
29.6 
29.3 
28.8


Sensitivity
68%
67%
75%
71%
69%
76%
69%
68%
78%


Specificity
60%
58%
54%
59%
58%
53%
57%
56%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9 
74.4 
74.6
74.9 
74.4 
74.6
74.9 
74.4 
74.6


Sensitivity
43%
43%
57%
47%
44%
59%
47%
44%
61%


Specificity
85%
84%
80%
85%
83%
79%
83%
82%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.68
2.77
4.73
3.93
3.74
6.74
3.39
3.41
6.51


p Value
 0.0014
 0.0013
0.012
1.7E−4
3.0E−4
0.0099
 0.0013
 0.0013
0.011


Lower limit of
1.46
1.49
1.42
1.92
1.83
1.58
1.61
1.62
1.53


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.92
5.16
15.8
8.03
7.65
28.7
7.17
7.21
27.8


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.14
2.81
3.47
3.51
3.01
3.57
2.92
2.69
4.04


p Value
3.8E−6
3.0E−5
0.0012
1.8E−6
2.6E−5
0.0015
9.3E−5
2.7E−4
8.5E−4


Lower limit of
1.93
1.73
1.63
2.09
1.80
1.62
1.71
1.58
1.78


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.10
4.58
7.38
5.88
5.02
7.84
5.00
4.59
9.18


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.19
3.91
5.27
4.83
3.82
5.66
4.18
3.55
6.09


p Value
1.6E−7
5.2E−7
2.6E−6
1.3E−8
1.1E−6
2.2E−6
3.7E−7
6.0E−6
1.2E−6


Lower limit of
2.45
2.30
2.64
2.81
2.23
2.76
2.41
2.05
2.93


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.15
6.67
10.5
8.30
6.54
11.6
7.26
6.15
12.7


95% CI
















TABLE 32.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
16.9
54.6
18.0
63.7
20.4
59.3


Average
52.1
106
51.2
116
59.6
107


Stdev
123
169
119
179
139
157


p (t-test)

0.0012

1.5E−4

0.0077


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
185
131
203
113
218
98







sCr only













Median
18.3
50.9
18.4
54.6
20.4
50.9


Average
59.3
95.6
58.3
102
66.3
89.6


Stdev
146
144
141
151
158
113


p (t-test)

0.031

0.011

0.19


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150
679


n (Patient)
191
124
205
110
217
98







UO only













Median
24.4
78.9
24.4
82.3
24.4
86.0


Average
62.8
124
62.5
129
62.3
131


Stdev
135
182
134
187
134
188


p (t-test)

0.0040

0.0021

0.0016


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
255
59
259
55
260
54












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.70
0.68
0.69
0.73
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.68
0.71


SE
 0.030
 0.031
 0.041
 0.031
 0.032
 0.042
 0.033
 0.034
 0.042


p Value
 2.8E−11
6.6E−9
1.9E−6
 1.8E−13
1.7E−10
1.0E−6
1.4E−9
1.3E−7
5.6E−7


nCohort Non-
185   
191   
255   
203   
205   
259   
218   
217   
260   


persistent


nCohort Persistent
131   
124   
59   
113   
110   
55   
98   
98   
54   


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13


Sensitivity
86%
86%
90%
90%
90%
91%
90%
90%
91%


Specificity
33%
32%
29%
33%
33%
29%
32%
32%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6 
29.3 
28.8 
29.6 
29.3 
28.8 
29.6 
29.3 
28.8 


Sensitivity
68%
67%
71%
72%
70%
73%
70%
68%
74%


Specificity
63%
61%
55%
62%
60%
55%
59%
58%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9 
74.4 
74.6 
74.9 
74.4 
74.6 
74.9 
74.4 
74.6 


Sensitivity
40%
40%
51%
44%
42%
53%
45%
42%
54%


Specificity
86%
84%
81%
86%
84%
81%
84%
82%
81%


OR Quartile 2
3.09
3.03
3.54
4.67
4.47
4.00
4.08
4.10
3.90


p Value
1.6E−4
2.6E−4
 0.0052
1.1E−5
2.0E−5
 0.0046
1.1E−4
1.1E−4
 0.0054


Lower limit of
1.72
1.67
1.46
2.35
2.25
1.53
2.00
2.01
1.49


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.54
5.48
8.60
9.28
8.88
10.4 
8.32
8.38
10.2 


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
3.56
3.13
3.01
4.14
3.57
3.24
3.45
2.99
3.49


p Value
1.4E−7
2.3E−6
4.5E−4
2.2E−8
4.6E−7
3.4E−4
2.0E−6
2.0E−5
1.9E−4


Lower limit of
2.22
1.95
1.63
2.52
2.18
1.70
2.07
1.81
1.81


95% CI


Upper limit of
5.72
5.03
5.56
6.81
5.86
6.15
5.75
4.95
6.73


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
4.16
3.51
4.35
4.76
3.75
4.66
4.26
3.39
4.87


p Value
2.6E−7
3.6E−6
1.4E−6
1.5E−8
1.1E−6
8.5E−7
1.3E−7
7.1E−6
5.0E−7


Lower limit of
2.42
2.06
2.39
2.77
2.20
2.53
2.49
1.99
2.63


95% CI


Upper limit of
7.14
5.96
7.91
8.18
6.37
8.60
7.29
5.77
9.03


95% CI
















TABLE 32.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
18.2
50.6
18.3
54.6
20.7
50.9


Average
52.1
102
50.2
110
59.8
101


Stdev
123
167
118
175
141
153


p (t-test)

0.0026

3.1E−4

0.017


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
174
142
189
127
204
112







sCr only













Median
19.2
48.2
19.7
50.6
22.7
48.2


Average
58.8
93.6
59.1
96.8
68.0
84.3


Stdev
146
145
144
146
161
110


p (t-test)

0.036

0.026

0.35


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150
679


n (Patient)
181
134
194
121
207
108







UO only













Median
24.4
73.5
24.9
73.6
24.9
73.6


Average
62.2
117
62.0
122
62.0
122


Stdev
135
177
134
182
134
182


p (t-test)

0.0063

0.0035

0.0035


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
245
69
250
64
250
64












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.65
0.67
0.70
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.65
0.67


SE
 0.031
 0.032
 0.039
 0.031
 0.032
 0.040
 0.033
 0.033
 0.040


p Value
4.2E−8
1.1E−6
1.3E−5
1.2E−10
5.1E−8
1.5E−5
1.2E−7
8.7E−6
1.5E−5


nCohort Non-
174   
181   
245   
189   
194   
250   
204   
207   
250   


persistent


nCohort Persistent
142   
134   
69   
127   
121   
64   
112   
108   
64   


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13


Sensitivity
82%
82%
86%
85%
85%
86%
85%
85%
86%


Specificity
30%
30%
28%
32%
31%
28%
30%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6 
29.3 
28.8 
29.6 
29.3 
28.8 
29.6 
29.3 
28.8 


Sensitivity
64%
63%
68%
68%
66%
69%
67%
65%
69%


Specificity
61%
60%
55%
62%
60%
55%
59%
57%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9 
74.4 
74.6 
74.9 
74.4 
74.6 
74.9 
74.4 
74.6 


Sensitivity
39%
38%
46%
42%
40%
47%
41%
39%
47%


Specificity
86%
85%
81%
86%
84%
80%
84%
82%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.95
2.00
2.31
2.64
2.62
2.38
2.44
2.52
2.38


p Value
 0.014
 0.012
 0.024
9.4E−4
 0.0012
 0.025
 0.0034
 0.0029
 0.025


Lower limit of
1.15
1.16
1.12
1.49
1.46
1.11
1.34
1.37
1.11


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.33
3.44
4.78
4.70
4.71
5.07
4.43
4.62
5.07


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.85
2.57
2.62
3.41
2.90
2.67
2.96
2.49
2.67


p Value
7.8E−6
6.0E−5
8.3E−4
3.9E−7
1.0E−5
1.0E−3
1.1E−5
2.0E−4
1.0E−3


Lower limit of
1.80
1.62
1.49
2.12
1.81
1.49
1.82
1.54
1.49


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.51
4.07
4.62
5.47
4.66
4.78
4.79
4.03
4.78


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.95
3.36
3.64
4.49
3.46
3.62
3.61
2.92
3.62


p Value
8.7E−7
8.4E−6
8.8E−6
6.2E−8
4.4E−6
1.5E−5
2.0E−6
6.3E−5
1.5E−5


Lower limit of
2.29
1.97
2.06
2.61
2.04
2.02
2.13
1.73
2.02


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.83
5.72
6.44
7.73
5.87
6.48
6.13
4.94
6.48


95% CI
















TABLE 32.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
18.2
49.9
18.2
54.6
19.7
50.9


Average
52.4
100
50.3
110
59.0
101


Stdev
123
167
119
174
141
152


p (t-test)

0.0035

3.6E−4

0.015


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
172
144
188
128
200
116







sCr only













Median
18.4
48.2
18.4
50.9
20.4
49.9


Average
58.8
93.0
56.9
99.2
65.2
88.8


Stdev
146
144
142
149
160
116


p (t-test)

0.039

0.012

0.17


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150
679


n (Patient)
179
136
191
124
203
112







UO only













Median
23.8
71.6
24.1
73.6
24.1
73.6


Average
62.3
111
61.9
117
61.9
117


Stdev
137
169
135
175
135
175


p (t-test)

0.011

0.0053

0.0053


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
238
76
244
70
244
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.66
0.67
0.70
0.68
0.68
0.68
0.66
0.68


SE
 0.031
 0.031
 0.037
 0.031
 0.031
 0.038
 0.032
 0.033
 0.038


p Value
6.9E−8
5.4E−7
3.6E−6
 1.1E−10
6.6E−9
2.2E−6
2.2E−8
6.5E−7
2.2E−6


nCohort Non-
172   
179   
238   
188   
191   
244   
200   
203   
244   


persistent


nCohort Persistent
144   
136   
76   
128   
124   
70   
116   
112   
70   


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13


Sensitivity
82%
82%
87%
85%
85%
87%
85%
86%
87%


Specificity
31%
31%
29%
32%
32%
29%
31%
31%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6 
29.3 
28.8 
29.6 
29.3 
28.8 
29.6 
29.3 
28.8 


Sensitivity
64%
64%
68%
68%
67%
70%
67%
66%
70%


Specificity
62%
60%
56%
62%
61%
56%
60%
59%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9 
74.4 
74.6 
74.9 
74.4 
74.6 
74.9 
74.4 
74.6 


Sensitivity
38%
38%
46%
41%
40%
47%
41%
40%
47%


Specificity
86%
85%
82%
86%
85%
81%
84%
83%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.02
2.07
2.69
2.69
2.76
2.73
2.62
2.70
2.73


p Value
 0.0098
 0.0087
 0.0071
7.6E−4
6.6E−4
 0.0090
 0.0015
 0.0013
 0.0090


Lower limit of
1.19
1.20
1.31
1.51
1.54
1.28
1.44
1.47
1.28


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.45
3.56
5.55
4.78
4.96
5.79
4.75
4.95
5.79


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.84
2.70
2.74
3.50
3.13
2.94
3.08
2.76
2.94


p Value
8.0E−6
2.4E−5
3.0E−4
2.3E−7
2.3E−6
2.1E−4
4.4E−6
3.5E−5
2.1E−4


Lower limit of
1.80
1.70
1.59
2.18
1.95
1.66
1.91
1.71
1.66


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.49
4.28
4.74
5.62
5.03
5.20
4.98
4.46
5.20


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.81
3.49
3.76
4.40
3.77
3.84
3.85
3.34
3.84


p Value
1.6E−6
5.0E−6
3.1E−6
8.9E−8
1.1E−6
3.5E−6
6.9E−7
7.5E−6
3.5E−6


Lower limit of
2.21
2.04
2.16
2.56
2.21
2.17
2.26
1.97
2.17


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.58
5.96
6.57
7.58
6.44
6.78
6.55
5.66
6.78


95% CI
















TABLE 32.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
18.2
49.9
18.3
54.5
19.7
50.9


Average
52.8
98.7
50.9
107
59.5
98.5


Stdev
125
165
120
172
143
150


p (t-test)

0.0053

7.7E−4

0.021


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
168
148
183
133
196
120







sCr only













Median
18.4
48.2
18.4
50.9
20.4
49.9


Average
59.4
91.3
57.4
97.1
65.8
86.9


Stdev
148
142
144
147
161
114


p (t-test)

0.054

0.018

0.22


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150
679


n (Patient)
175
140
187
128
199
116







UO only













Median
23.7
55.1
23.8
62.5
23.8
62.5


Average
62.5
108
62.3
110
62.3
110


Stdev
138
165
137
168
137
168


p (t-test)

0.017

0.012

0.012


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
233
81
236
78
236
78












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
 0.662
0.65
0.67
0.69
0.67
0.67
0.68
0.65
0.67


SE
 0.031
 0.031
 0.037
 0.031
 0.031
 0.037
 0.032
 0.033
 0.037


p Value
1.3E−7
1.6E−6
4.5E−6
 6.4E−10
2.7E−8
2.4E−6
2.6E−8
2.2E−6
2.4E−6


nCohort Non-
168   
175   
233   
183   
187   
236   
196   
199   
236   


persistent


nCohort Persistent
148   
140   
81   
133   
128   
78   
120   
116   
78   


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13


Sensitivity
82%
81%
86%
85%
84%
87%
86%
84%
87%


Specificity
31%
30%
29%
32%
32%
29%
32%
31%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6 
29.3 
28.8 
29.6 
29.3 
28.8 
29.6 
29.3 
28.8 


Sensitivity
64%
64%
68%
67%
66%
69%
67%
66%
69%


Specificity
62%
61%
56%
62%
61%
56%
60%
59%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9 
74.4 
74.6 
74.9 
74.4 
74.6 
74.9 
74.4 
74.6 


Sensitivity
38%
38%
44%
41%
40%
45%
41%
40%
45%


Specificity
86%
85%
82%
86%
85%
81%
85%
83%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.01
1.90
2.62
2.69
2.49
2.81
2.80
2.41
2.81


p Value
 0.0099
 0.018
 0.0066
6.4E−4
 0.0017
 0.0050
6.8E−4
 0.0033
 0.0050


Lower limit of
1.18
1.12
1.31
1.52
1.41
1.37
1.55
1.34
1.37


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.41
3.25
5.26
4.74
4.39
5.78
5.08
4.32
5.78


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.83
2.68
2.72
3.34
3.09
2.91
3.03
2.71
2.91


p Value
8.3E−6
2.5E−5
2.4E−4
4.6E−7
2.6E−6
1.3E−4
5.0E−6
4.0E−5
1.3E−4


Lower limit of
1.79
1.69
1.59
2.09
1.93
1.68
1.88
1.68
1.68


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.47
4.24
4.63
5.34
4.94
5.01
4.87
4.36
5.01


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.84
3.49
3.53
4.32
3.76
3.55
3.82
3.31
3.55


p Value
1.7E−6
5.4E−6
6.6E−6
1.5E−7
1.2E−6
7.2E−6
8.2E−7
8.8E−6
7.2E−6


Lower limit of
2.21
2.04
2.04
2.50
2.20
2.04
2.24
1.95
2.04


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.66
5.98
6.12
7.46
6.42
6.18
6.50
5.60
6.18


95% CI
















TABLE 32.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
372
376
348
396
373
356


Average
482
573
466
624
527
483


Stdev
382
682
376
722
557
359


p (t-test)

0.30

0.080

0.64


Min
46.8
63.9
46.8
66.1
46.8
66.1


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
4690
1700


n (Patient)
96
55
104
47
111
40







sCr only













Median
368
384
364
392
372
356


Average
473
582
476
598
521
496


Stdev
380
679
385
717
557
381


p (t-test)

0.21

0.18

0.79


Min
46.8
63.9
46.8
63.9
46.8
63.9


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
4690
1700


n (Patient)
94
56
103
47
108
42







UO only













Median
364
392
364
392
350
394


Average
518
435
518
435
517
441


Stdev
531
260
531
260
529
265


p (t-test)

0.50

0.50

0.55


Min
46.8
66.1
46.8
66.1
46.8
66.1


Max
4690
1050
4690
1050
4690
1050


n (Patient)
131
19
131
19
132
18












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.52
0.54
0.51
0.57
0.55
0.51
0.52
0.52
0.51


SE
0.049
0.049
0.071
0.051
0.051
0.071
0.054
0.053
0.073


p Value
0.61
0.42
0.94
0.15
0.33
0.94
0.74
0.69
0.89


nCohort Non-
96
94
131
104
103
131
111
108
132


persistent


nCohort Persistent
55
56
19
47
47
19
40
42
18


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
217
217
218
217
217
218
217
217


Sensitivity
76%
77%
84%
83%
81%
84%
82%
81%
83%


Specificity
26%
27%
27%
29%
28%
27%
28%
28%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
372
372
373
372
372
373
372
372


Sensitivity
51%
52%
58%
55%
53%
58%
50%
50%
61%


Specificity
50%
51%
51%
52%
51%
51%
50%
50%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
661
661
674
661
661
674
661
661


Sensitivity
27%
29%
16%
30%
28%
16%
22%
24%
17%


Specificity
76%
77%
73%
77%
76%
73%
74%
74%
73%


OR Quartile 2
1.14
1.20
1.94
1.98
1.65
1.94
1.83
1.63
1.80


p Value
0.74
0.65
0.31
0.13
0.24
0.31
0.20
0.27
0.37


Lower limit of
0.526
0.554
0.534
0.827
0.711
0.534
0.732
0.680
0.492


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.46
2.59
7.08
4.72
3.85
7.08
4.56
3.93
6.61


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.04
1.12
1.44
1.34
1.20
1.44
0.982
1.00
1.67


p Value
0.91
0.74
0.46
0.41
0.60
0.46
0.96
1.0
0.32


Lower limit of
0.534
0.578
0.544
0.669
0.604
0.544
0.477
0.490
0.610


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.01
2.17
3.81
2.67
2.40
3.81
2.02
2.04
4.57


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.19
1.31
0.514
1.41
1.19
0.514
0.821
0.893
0.554


p Value
0.65
0.48
0.31
0.38
0.66
0.31
0.65
0.79
0.37


Lower limit of
0.559
0.618
0.141
0.652
0.546
0.141
0.349
0.389
0.151


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.54
2.77
1.87
3.07
2.61
1.87
1.93
2.05
2.03


95% CI
















TABLE 32.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
348
396
348
396
373
356


Average
451
605
448
626
514
518


Stdev
359
662
353
689
557
409


p (t-test)

0.068

0.037

0.96


Min
46.8
63.9
46.8
63.9
46.8
63.9


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
4690
1700


n (Patient)
88
63
94
57
101
50







sCr only













Median
331
397
330
397
364
392


Average
442
616
437
639
497
547


Stdev
354
668
348
690
555
422


p (t-test)

0.040

0.019

0.58


Min
46.8
63.9
46.8
63.9
46.8
63.9


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
4690
1700


n (Patient)
88
62
93
57
99
51







UO only













Median
364
392
364
392
350
394


Average
508
505
508
505
507
512


Stdev
531
374
531
374
529
380


p (t-test)

0.97

0.97

0.96


Min
46.8
66.1
46.8
66.1
46.8
66.1


Max
4690
1510
4690
1510
4690
1510


n (Patient)
123
27
123
27
124
26












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.57
0.58
0.54
0.58
0.60
0.54
0.53
0.56
0.54


SE
0.048
0.048
0.062
0.048
0.048
0.062
0.050
0.050
0.063


p Value
0.12
0.077
0.57
0.091
0.041
0.57
0.53
0.22
0.53


nCohort Non-
88
88
123
94
93
123
101
99
124


persistent


nCohort Persistent
63
62
27
57
57
27
50
51
26


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
217
217
218
217
217
218
217
217


Sensitivity
79%
79%
81%
81%
81%
81%
80%
80%
81%


Specificity
28%
28%
27%
29%
29%
27%
28%
28%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
372
372
373
372
372
373
372
372


Sensitivity
54%
55%
56%
54%
56%
56%
50%
53%
58%


Specificity
52%
53%
51%
52%
54%
51%
50%
52%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
661
661
674
661
661
674
661
661


Sensitivity
30%
31%
26%
32%
32%
26%
26%
27%
27%


Specificity
78%
78%
75%
79%
78%
75%
75%
76%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.53
1.50
1.61
1.69
1.71
1.61
1.53
1.62
1.52


p Value
0.28
0.30
0.37
0.20
0.19
0.37
0.31
0.25
0.43


Lower limit of
0.709
0.695
0.565
0.761
0.772
0.565
0.677
0.714
0.531


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.28
3.22
4.61
3.73
3.79
4.61
3.48
3.66
4.37


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.28
1.39
1.31
1.30
1.49
1.31
0.980
1.20
1.45


p Value
0.45
0.32
0.52
0.44
0.24
0.52
0.95
0.61
0.39


Lower limit of
0.671
0.725
0.568
0.671
0.767
0.568
0.498
0.608
0.619


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.46
2.67
3.03
2.51
2.89
3.03
1.93
2.35
3.42


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.57
1.60
1.04
1.71
1.68
1.04
1.07
1.18
1.11


p Value
0.23
0.21
0.94
0.16
0.17
0.94
0.87
0.67
0.84


Lower limit of
0.748
0.765
0.401
0.810
0.799
0.401
0.491
0.549
0.424


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.29
3.37
2.69
3.60
3.55
2.69
2.32
2.55
2.88


95% CI
















TABLE 32.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
332
394
331
396
348
392


Average
451
594
448
605
505
531


Stdev
361
644
358
655
572
397


p (t-test)

0.086

0.062

0.76


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
63.9


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
4690
1700


n (Patient)
83
68
86
65
94
57







sCr only













Median
331
394
331
394
332
392


Average
443
599
444
608
494
547


Stdev
357
647
353
662
567
413


p (t-test)

0.063

0.051

0.54


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
63.9


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
4690
1700


n (Patient)
82
68
86
64
93
57







UO only













Median
332
396
332
396
331
397


Average
498
540
498
540
496
547


Stdev
538
383
538
383
536
386


p (t-test)

0.66

0.66

0.61


Min
46.8
66.1
46.8
66.1
46.8
66.1


Max
4690
1510
4690
1510
4690
1510


n (Patient)
115
35
115
35
116
34












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.57
0.58
0.57
0.58
0.58
0.57
0.56
0.57
0.57


SE
0.047
0.047
0.057
0.047
0.047
0.057
0.049
0.049
0.057


p Value
0.15
0.11
0.22
0.11
0.11
0.22
0.23
0.15
0.20


nCohort Non-
83
82
115
86
86
115
94
93
116


persistent


nCohort Persistent
68
68
35
65
64
35
57
57
34


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
217
217
218
217
217
218
217
217


Sensitivity
78%
78%
83%
78%
78%
83%
81%
81%
82%


Specificity
28%
28%
28%
28%
28%
28%
29%
29%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
372
372
373
372
372
373
372
372


Sensitivity
54%
54%
60%
55%
55%
60%
54%
54%
62%


Specificity
53%
54%
53%
53%
53%
53%
52%
53%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
661
661
674
661
661
674
661
661


Sensitivity
31%
31%
31%
31%
30%
31%
28%
28%
32%


Specificity
80%
79%
77%
79%
78%
77%
77%
76%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.35
1.38
1.86
1.41
1.38
1.86
1.69
1.71
1.78


p Value
0.43
0.40
0.21
0.37
0.40
0.21
0.20
0.19
0.25


Lower limit of
0.641
0.651
0.707
0.662
0.648
0.707
0.761
0.772
0.673


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.86
2.91
4.91
3.00
2.95
4.91
3.73
3.79
4.70


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.35
1.38
1.69
1.43
1.39
1.69
1.30
1.33
1.85


p Value
0.36
0.33
0.18
0.28
0.32
0.18
0.44
0.40
0.12


Lower limit of
0.708
0.725
0.785
0.747
0.725
0.785
0.671
0.685
0.848


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.56
2.63
3.66
2.73
2.66
3.66
2.51
2.57
4.05


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.73
1.71
1.49
1.68
1.49
1.49
1.28
1.26
1.58


p Value
0.15
0.16
0.35
0.17
0.29
0.35
0.52
0.55
0.29


Lower limit of
0.827
0.814
0.649
0.801
0.711
0.649
0.604
0.595
0.682


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.64
3.59
3.44
3.52
3.12
3.44
2.70
2.67
3.64


95% CI
















TABLE 32.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
332
394
330
397
330
397


Average
455
585
447
603
498
541


Stdev
363
638
360
650
576
398


p (t-test)

0.12

0.063

0.61


Min
50.8
46.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
63.9


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
4690
1700


n (Patient)
81
70
85
66
91
60







sCr only













Median
330
396
329
397
329
397


Average
442
598
440
608
492
547


Stdev
359
642
356
652
576
403


p (t-test)

0.064

0.045

0.52


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
63.9


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
4690
1700


n (Patient)
81
69
84
66
90
60







UO only













Median
332
396
331
397
330
397


Average
503
520
499
531
497
537


Stdev
549
369
548
365
546
368


p (t-test)

0.86

0.73

0.68


Min
50.8
46.8
46.8
66.1
46.8
66.1


Max
4690
1510
4690
1510
4690
1510


n (Patient)
109
41
110
40
111
39












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.56
0.58
0.55
0.58
0.59
0.57
0.58
0.58
0.58


SE
0.047
0.047
0.054
0.047
0.047
0.054
0.048
0.048
0.054


p Value
0.22
0.092
0.30
0.095
0.067
0.18
0.12
0.083
0.16


nCohort Non-
81
81
109
85
84
110
91
90
111


persistent


nCohort Persistent
70
69
41
66
66
40
60
60
39


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
217
217
218
217
217
218
217
217


Sensitivity
77%
78%
80%
79%
79%
82%
82%
82%
82%


Specificity
27%
28%
28%
28%
29%
28%
30%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
372
372
373
372
372
373
372
372


Sensitivity
54%
55%
59%
56%
56%
60%
57%
57%
62%


Specificity
53%
54%
53%
54%
55%
54%
54%
54%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
661
661
674
661
661
674
661
661


Sensitivity
30%
30%
29%
30%
30%
30%
28%
28%
31%


Specificity
79%
79%
76%
79%
79%
76%
77%
77%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.26
1.43
1.57
1.46
1.49
1.85
1.88
1.91
1.77


p Value
0.54
0.35
0.32
0.33
0.31
0.19
0.12
0.11
0.22


Lower limit of
0.599
0.675
0.650
0.686
0.697
0.741
0.850
0.863
0.708


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.64
3.02
3.77
3.11
3.17
4.62
4.16
4.22
4.43


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.34
1.46
1.61
1.50
1.54
1.74
1.53
1.56
1.88


p Value
0.37
0.25
0.20
0.22
0.19
0.14
0.21
0.18
0.096


Lower limit of
0.707
0.765
0.777
0.788
0.807
0.832
0.792
0.809
0.893


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.55
2.78
3.32
2.87
2.95
3.62
2.94
3.02
3.97


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.61
1.65
1.32
1.62
1.59
1.38
1.32
1.30
1.45


p Value
0.21
0.19
0.50
0.20
0.22
0.43
0.47
0.49
0.37


Lower limit of
0.770
0.785
0.591
0.773
0.761
0.618
0.626
0.617
0.647


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.38
3.46
2.95
3.39
3.34
3.10
2.77
2.73
3.26


95% CI
















TABLE 32.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence


starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
331
396
330
397
329
397


Average
451
584
448
593
496
542


Stdev
360
630
357
640
581
399


p (t-test)

0.11

0.082

0.59


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
4690
1700


n (Patient)
78
73
81
70
88
63







sCr only













Median
330
396
329
397
329
397


Average
446
590
443
599
496
539


Stdev
361
636
358
646
581
401


p (t-test)

0.086

0.063

0.61


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
63.9


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
4690
1700


n (Patient)
79
71
82
68
88
62







UO only













Median
334
394
334
394
332
396


Average
506
513
506
513
504
518


Stdev
551
366
551
366
549
370


p (t-test)

0.93

0.93

0.88


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1510
4690
1510
4690
1510


n (Patient)
108
42
108
42
109
41












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.56
0.57
0.55
0.57
0.58
0.55
0.58
0.57
0.55


SE
0.047
0.047
0.053
0.047
0.047
0.053
0.048
0.048
0.054


p Value
0.19
0.13
0.35
0.14
0.095
0.35
0.11
0.12
0.33


nCohort Non-
78
79
108
81
82
108
88
88
109


persistent


nCohort Persistent
73
71
42
70
68
42
63
62
41


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
217
217
218
217
217
218
217
217


Sensitivity
77%
77%
81%
77%
78%
81%
81%
81%
80%


Specificity
27%
28%
28%
27%
28%
28%
30%
30%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
372
372
373
372
372
373
372
372


Sensitivity
55%
55%
57%
56%
56%
57%
57%
56%
59%


Specificity
54%
54%
53%
54%
55%
53%
55%
55%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
661
661
674
661
661
674
661
661


Sensitivity
30%
30%
29%
30%
29%
29%
29%
27%
29%


Specificity
79%
78%
76%
79%
78%
76%
77%
76%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.21
1.33
1.63
1.26
1.38
1.63
1.78
1.75
1.57


p Value
0.61
0.46
0.27
0.54
0.40
0.27
0.15
0.16
0.32


Lower limit of
0.580
0.631
0.680
0.599
0.651
0.680
0.819
0.802
0.650


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.54
2.79
3.93
2.64
2.91
3.93
3.88
3.81
3.77


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.41
1.46
1.49
1.50
1.54
1.49
1.60
1.56
1.61


p Value
0.29
0.25
0.28
0.22
0.19
0.28
0.16
0.19
0.20


Lower limit of
0.745
0.765
0.726
0.786
0.807
0.726
0.834
0.809
0.777


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.68
2.77
3.06
2.85
2.94
3.06
3.07
2.99
3.32


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.67
1.53
1.26
1.61
1.48
1.26
1.36
1.21
1.32


p Value
0.18
0.26
0.57
0.21
0.30
0.57
0.42
0.62
0.50


Lower limit of
0.795
0.731
0.566
0.770
0.708
0.566
0.649
0.574
0.591


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.51
3.21
2.81
3.38
3.10
2.81
2.85
2.53
2.95


95% CI









Example 33. Use of C—C Motif Chemokine 24 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) with RIFLE stage of injury (I) or failure (F) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, and at every 12 hours up to day 3, and then every 24 hours thereafter up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C—C motif chemokine 24 is measured in the enrollment samples by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 33.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
15.2
39.8
19.3
42.2
19.8
44.7


Average
54.0
86.4
51.3
97.0
52.6
102


Stdev
132
153
117
168
115
175


p (t-test)

0.056

0.0054

0.0026


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
118
198
157
159
178
138







sCr only













Median
17.6
38.9
19.3
42.0
20.4
46.0


Average
54.6
86.7
50.8
97.3
53.1
102


Stdev
127
157
116
169
114
178


p (t-test)

0.054

0.0046

0.0033


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
129
186
161
154
183
132







UO only













Median
22.9
73.9
24.4
89.6
25.6
97.6


Average
57.8
127
59.3
138
60.8
142


Stdev
131
181
130
191
131
197


p (t-test)

3.2E−4

1.7E−4

2.6E−4


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
240
74
255
59
262
52












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.63
0.62
0.70
0.64
0.64
0.71
0.65
0.65
0.71


SE
0.032
0.032
0.037
0.031
0.031
0.040
0.031
0.032
0.043


p Value
5.0E−5
1.9E−4
4.1E−8
1.2E−5
6.5E−6
1.2E−7
1.1E−6
4.2E−6
6.4E−7


nCohort Non-
118
129
240
157
161
255
178
183
262


persistent


nCohort Persistent
198
186
74
159
154
59
138
132
52


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13


Sensitivity
80%
81%
89%
81%
82%
90%
83%
83%
90%


Specificity
34%
33%
30%
31%
32%
29%
31%
31%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.3
28.8
29.6
29.3
28.8
29.6
29.3
28.8


Sensitivity
58%
59%
72%
60%
60%
73%
62%
62%
71%


Specificity
64%
62%
57%
60%
60%
55%
60%
58%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.4
74.6
74.9
74.4
74.6
74.9
74.4
74.6


Sensitivity
31%
32%
49%
35%
35%
54%
37%
36%
56%


Specificity
86%
84%
82%
85%
84%
82%
84%
83%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.09
2.08
3.47
1.95
2.09
3.54
2.30
2.26
3.70


p Value
0.0052
0.0053
0.0019
0.012
0.0063
0.0052
0.0030
0.0039
0.0076


Lower limit of
1.25
1.24
1.58
1.16
1.23
1.46
1.33
1.30
1.42


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.51
3.49
7.59
3.29
3.53
8.60
3.97
3.94
9.67


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.42
2.31
3.30
2.21
2.25
3.32
2.43
2.31
2.92


p Value
2.3E−4
3.6E−4
3.6E−5
5.3E−4
4.2E−4
1.6E−4
1.3E−4
3.5E−4
0.0012


Lower limit of
1.51
1.46
1.87
1.41
1.43
1.78
1.54
1.46
1.53


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.86
3.66
5.81
3.47
3.53
6.21
3.84
3.65
5.58


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
2.71
2.53
4.34
2.93
2.94
5.25
3.14
2.80
5.35


p Value
0.0010
0.0013
3.2E−7
1.1E−4
9.1E−5
6.9E−8
2.4E−5
1.2E−4
1.7E−7


Lower limit of
1.49
1.43
2.47
1.70
1.71
2.87
1.85
1.66
2.85


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.91
4.47
7.62
5.05
5.04
9.58
5.34
4.73
10.0


95% CI
















TABLE 33.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
14.3
40.4
17.9
42.7
17.9
44.7


Average
47.1
89.0
47.9
97.0
49.1
101


Stdev
125
155
115
166
114
171


p (t-test)

0.015

0.0028

0.0014


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
111
205
146
170
164
152







sCr only













Median
15.8
39.7
18.3
42.7
17.9
44.7


Average
48.6
90.0
45.9
99.7
47.6
103


Stdev
119
159
109
170
110
174


p (t-test)

0.014

9.9E−4

6.6E−4


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
125
190
153
162
168
147







UO only













Median
19.9
55.1
23.0
74.0
23.8
74.7


Average
57.2
114
59.1
121
60.7
121


Stdev
135
165
134
173
135
176


p (t-test)

0.0015

0.0013

0.0023


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
221
93
237
77
244
70












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.63
0.70
0.65
0.66
0.70
0.67
0.67
0.69


SE
0.031
0.031
 0.034
0.031
0.031
0.037
 0.030
 0.031
0.038


p Value
1.6E−6
2.1E−5
4.1E−9
6.2E−7
3.8E−7
6.0E−8
5.1E−8
3.5E−8
4.0E−7


nCohort Non-
111
125
221   
146
153
237
164   
168   
244


persistent


nCohort Persistent
205
190
93   
170
162
77
152   
147   
70


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13


Sensitivity
80%
81%
88%
82%
83%
88%
84%
84%
89%


Specificity
35%
34%
31%
33%
33%
30%
33%
33%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.3
28.8 
29.6
29.3
28.8
29.6 
29.3 
28.8


Sensitivity
59%
59%
72%
61%
61%
73%
63%
64%
71%


Specificity
67%
64%
59%
62%
61%
57%
62%
62%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.4
74.6 
74.9
74.4
74.6
74.9 
74.4 
74.6


Sensitivity
32%
32%
46%
35%
35%
49%
37%
37%
50%


Specificity
88%
86%
84%
86%
86%
83%
86%
85%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.23
2.24
3.31
2.20
2.39
3.17
2.49
2.70
3.18


p Value
0.0025
0.0022
6.8E−4
0.0030
0.0012
0.0026
8.8E−4
4.0E−4
0.0039


Lower limit of
1.33
1.34
1.66
1.31
1.41
1.50
1.46
1.56
1.45


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.76
3.76
6.61
3.70
4.06
6.70
4.27
4.67
6.98


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.88
2.61
3.75
2.54
2.50
3.59
2.82
2.88
3.20


p Value
1.8E−5
5.5E−5
8.6E−7
5.7E−5
7.3E−5
8.8E−6
8.5E−6
6.1E−6
7.7E−5


Lower limit of
1.78
1.64
2.22
1.61
1.59
2.04
1.79
1.82
1.80


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.67
4.16
6.35
4.01
3.94
6.31
4.45
4.56
5.70


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.58
2.81
4.42
3.35
3.23
4.66
3.58
3.32
4.55


p Value
1.2E−4
5.3E−4
7.7E−8
3.0E−5
3.4E−5
7.0E−8
5.7E−6
1.4E−5
2.0E−7


Lower limit of
1.87
1.57
2.57
1.90
1.86
2.66
2.06
1.93
2.57


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.85
5.04
7.60
5.91
5.63
8.15
6.20
5.71
8.05


95% CI
















TABLE 33.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
13.6
40.3
16.9
43.2
16.9
44.6


Average
47.4
88.7
47.8
96.2
49.6
98.7


Stdev
125
155
116
164
116
168


p (t-test)

0.017

0.0032

0.0027


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
110
206
143
173
157
159







sCr only













Median
14.5
39.7
17.2
43.2
17.2
44.6


Average
48.7
89.5
45.9
98.8
48.0
101


Stdev
120
159
110
169
111
172


p (t-test)

0.015

0.0012

0.0013


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
123
192
150
165
162
153







UO only













Median
20.3
54.7
22.9
64.0
23.7
69.8


Average
58.5
106
60.1
109
61.7
109


Stdev
138
159
138
163
138
164


p (t-test)

0.0064

0.0069

0.012


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
211
103
224
90
231
83












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.65
0.64
0.68
0.66
0.66
0.68
0.66
0.66
0.67


SE
0.031
0.031
0.033
0.030
 0.030
0.035
0.030
 0.030
0.036


p Value
1.9E−6
1.4E−5
9.0E−8
2.5E−7
1.7E−7
2.3E−7
6.2E−8
6.7E−8
1.6E−6


nCohort Non-
110
123
211
143
150   
224
157
162   
231


persistent


nCohort Persistent
206
192
103
173
165   
90
159
153   
83


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13


Sensitivity
81%
81%
85%
82%
83%
86%
83%
84%
86%


Specificity
35%
35%
30%
34%
34%
29%
33%
33%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.3
28.8
29.6
29.3 
28.8
29.6
29.3 
28.8


Sensitivity
59%
59%
69%
61%
61%
70%
63%
63%
69%


Specificity
66%
64%
59%
63%
62%
58%
63%
62%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.4
74.6
74.9
74.4 
74.6
74.9
74.4 
74.6


Sensitivity
32%
32%
43%
35%
35%
46%
36%
36%
46%


Specificity
88%
86%
83%
87%
86%
83%
86%
85%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.28
2.33
2.55
2.31
2.52
2.47
2.42
2.56
2.42


p Value
0.0019
0.0014
0.0031
0.0016
6.1E−4
0.0066
0.0011
6.3E−4
0.010


Lower limit of
1.35
1.39
1.37
1.37
1.49
1.29
1.42
1.49
1.23


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.84
3.91
4.75
3.90
4.28
4.76
4.12
4.39
4.75


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.81
2.62
3.22
2.62
2.57
3.23
2.89
2.87
2.87


p Value
2.8E−5
5.3E−5
4.3E−6
3.5E−5
4.6E−5
1.1E−5
5.1E−6
6.3E−6
1.0E−4


Lower limit of
1.73
1.64
1.96
1.66
1.63
1.91
1.83
1.82
1.69


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.55
4.19
5.31
4.14
4.06
5.44
4.57
4.53
4.89


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.52
2.97
3.75
3.47
3.33
4.10
3.43
3.23
3.91


p Value
1.4E−4
3.3E−4
1.2E−6
2.3E−5
2.6E−5
3.4E−7
1.4E−5
2.5E−5
1.1E−6


Lower limit of
1.84
1.64
2.20
1.95
1.90
2.38
1.97
1.87
2.26


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.73
5.39
6.39
6.16
5.84
7.04
5.97
5.57
6.77


95% CI
















TABLE 33.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
14.3
40.2
16.4
42.7
15.9
44.6


Average
47.8
88.2
47.9
95.9
49.6
98.1


Stdev
126
155
117
164
117
167


p (t-test)

0.019

0.0036

0.0032


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
109
207
142
174
155
161







sCr only













Median
14.5
39.7
16.9
42.7
16.9
44.6


Average
48.7
89.5
45.9
98.4
48.1
100


Stdev
120
159
111
168
112
171


p (t-test)

0.015

0.0014

0.0014


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
123
192
149
166
161
154







UO only













Median
19.9
54.5
20.4
55.1
22.7
55.1


Average
58.7
104
60.2
106
62.0
105


Stdev
139
157
139
159
140
159


p (t-test)

0.0091

0.010

0.019


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
207
107
219
95
225
89












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.64
0.67
0.66
0.66
0.68
0.67
0.67
0.68


SE
0.031
0.031
0.033
0.030
 0.030
0.034
 0.030
 0.030
0.035


p Value
4.8E−6
1.4E−5
1.4E−7
2.2E−7
1.5E−7
1.1E−7
3.4E−8
5.9E−8
5.9E−7


nCohort Non-
109
123
207
142
149   
219
155   
161   
225


persistent


nCohort Persistent
207
192
107
174
166   
95
161   
154   
89


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13


Sensitivity
80%
81%
85%
82%
83%
86%
83%
84%
87%


Specificity
35%
35%
30%
34%
34%
30%
34%
34%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.3
28.8
29.6
29.3 
28.8
29.6 
29.3 
28.8


Sensitivity
58%
59%
68%
61%
61%
69%
63%
64%
69%


Specificity
66%
64%
59%
63%
62%
58%
64%
63%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.4
74.6
74.9
74.4 
74.6
74.9 
74.4 
74.6


Sensitivity
32%
32%
42%
34%
35%
44%
35%
36%
44%


Specificity
88%
86%
84%
87%
86%
83%
86%
85%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.17
2.33
2.49
2.36
2.56
2.72
2.51
2.60
2.72


p Value
0.0037
0.0014
0.0033
0.0013
4.8E−4
0.0026
7.0E−4
5.0E−4
0.0035


Lower limit of
1.29
1.39
1.35
1.40
1.51
1.42
1.47
1.52
1.39


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.65
3.91
4.57
3.97
4.35
5.22
4.26
4.46
5.33


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.74
2.62
3.14
2.70
2.65
3.20
3.06
2.95
2.93


p Value
4.4E−5
5.3E−5
5.2E−6
2.1E−5
2.8E−5
8.7E−6
1.8E−6
3.8E−6
5.1E−5


Lower limit of
1.69
1.64
1.92
1.71
1.68
1.92
1.93
1.86
1.74


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.44
4.19
5.14
4.26
4.17
5.35
4.83
4.66
4.92


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.46
2.97
3.69
3.41
3.27
3.90
3.31
3.17
3.61


p Value
1.8E−4
3.3E−4
1.5E−6
3.0E−5
3.4E−5
7.0E−7
2.3E−5
3.3E−5
3.3E−6


Lower limit of
1.81
1.64
2.17
1.92
1.87
2.28
1.90
1.84
2.10


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.61
5.39
6.28
6.06
5.74
6.67
5.77
5.47
6.19


95% CI
















TABLE 33.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent”


and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal


status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
14.3
39.2
14.5
43.2
15.8
44.6


Average
48.8
87.0
48.1
94.4
50.2
95.8


Stdev
128
153
119
162
119
164


p (t-test)

0.029

0.0052

0.0055


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
105
211
137
179
149
167







sCr only













Median
14.5
39.2
15.8
42.7
15.9
44.6


Average
49.2
88.6
46.1
97.0
48.3
98.7


Stdev
122
158
112
166
113
169


p (t-test)

0.020

0.0020

0.0021


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1070
1150
1070
1150
1070
1150


n (Patient)
120
195
145
170
157
158







UO only













Median
19.9
50.6
20.4
54.5
21.9
52.8


Average
59.5
100
61.3
101
63.2
98.3


Stdev
141
154
142
154
143
154


p (t-test)

0.018

0.026

0.050


Min
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127
0.00127


Max
1140
1150
1140
1150
1140
1150


n (Patient)
201
113
211
103
216
98












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.64
0.64
0.67
0.66
0.66
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.66


SE
0.032
 0.031
0.033
 0.030
 0.030
0.034
 0.030
 0.030
0.034


p Value
8.0E−6
1.6E−5
2.9E−7
8.7E−8
9.6E−8
3.2E−7
2.4E−8
3.9E−8
1.7E−6


nCohort Non-
105
120   
201
137   
145   
211
149   
157   
216


persistent


nCohort Persistent
211
195   
113
179   
170   
103
167   
158   
98


Cutoff Quartile 2
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13
4.17
4.15
4.13


Sensitivity
81%
82%
85%
83%
84%
86%
84%
84%
87%


Specificity
36%
36%
31%
35%
35%
31%
35%
34%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
29.6
29.3 
28.8
29.6 
29.3 
28.8
29.6 
29.3 
28.8


Sensitivity
58%
59%
67%
61%
61%
68%
63%
63%
67%


Specificity
66%
64%
60%
64%
63%
59%
64%
63%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
74.9
74.4 
74.6
74.9 
74.4 
74.6
74.9 
74.4 
74.6


Sensitivity
31%
32%
41%
34%
35%
42%
35%
35%
41%


Specificity
88%
86%
84%
87%
86%
83%
86%
85%
82%


OR Quartile 2
2.35
2.47
2.52
2.57
2.75
2.83
2.78
2.79
2.88


p Value
0.0014
6.6E−4
0.0024
3.9E−4
1.8E−4
0.0013
1.7E−4
1.9E−4
0.0015


Lower limit of
1.39
1.47
1.39
1.53
1.62
1.50
1.63
1.63
1.50


95% CI


Upper limit of
3.97
4.15
4.57
4.34
4.67
5.34
4.73
4.78
5.52


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
2.63
2.57
3.04
2.80
2.66
3.02
3.07
2.94
2.83


p Value
1.0E−4
8.0E−5
6.5E−6
1.2E−5
2.8E−5
1.3E−5
1.7E−6
3.8E−6
4.7E−5


Lower limit of
1.61
1.61
1.88
1.76
1.68
1.84
1.94
1.86
1.72


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.28
4.12
4.94
4.43
4.19
4.97
4.86
4.65
4.68


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
3.22
2.82
3.50
3.42
3.32
3.48
3.24
3.20
3.13


p Value
4.2E−4
6.3E−4
3.6E−6
3.7E−5
3.4E−5
4.1E−6
3.9E−5
3.4E−5
2.6E−5


Lower limit of
1.68
1.56
2.06
1.91
1.88
2.05
1.85
1.85
1.84


95% CI


Upper limit of
6.17
5.12
5.93
6.13
5.86
5.93
5.68
5.54
5.33


95% CI
















TABLE 33.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
347
380
364
378
373
355


Average
446
549
470
559
487
552


Stdev
374
566
370
620
381
644


p (t-test)

0.24

0.29

0.44


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
50
101
75
76
85
66







sCr only













Median
327
386
371
374
376
332


Average
437
555
481
545
491
544


Stdev
379
569
387
610
393
642


p (t-test)

0.18

0.45

0.54


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
52
98
73
77
86
64







UO only













Median
334
397
331
412
330
428


Average
504
520
504
524
509
503


Stdev
545
370
537
354
539
287


p (t-test)

0.87

0.84

0.96


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1700
4690
1700
4690
1050


n (Patient)
112
38
120
30
125
25












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.55
0.57
0.55
0.53
0.52
0.57
0.51
0.51
0.57


SE
0.049
0.048
0.055
0.047
0.047
0.060
0.048
0.048
0.065


p Value
0.27
0.13
0.37
0.58
0.72
0.25
0.88
0.86
0.29


nCohort Non-
50
52
112
75
73
120
85
86
125


persistent


nCohort Persistent
101
98
38
76
77
30
66
64
25


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
217
217
218
217
217
218
217
217


Sensitivity
75%
77%
79%
74%
74%
83%
74%
77%
84%


Specificity
26%
29%
27%
24%
25%
28%
25%
27%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
372
372
373
372
372
373
372
372


Sensitivity
52%
53%
58%
53%
51%
63%
50%
48%
68%


Specificity
54%
56%
53%
52%
51%
53%
49%
49%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
661
661
674
661
661
674
661
661


Sensitivity
29%
29%
34%
30%
29%
33%
27%
25%
32%


Specificity
82%
81%
78%
80%
78%
77%
76%
74%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.07
1.32
1.37
0.884
0.933
1.90
0.946
1.19
1.96


p Value
0.87
0.47
0.48
0.74
0.85
0.23
0.88
0.65
0.25


Lower limit of
0.491
0.618
0.566
0.424
0.446
0.670
0.451
0.563
0.628


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.32
2.83
3.32
1.85
1.95
5.37
1.98
2.52
6.13


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.30
1.43
1.53
1.20
1.05
1.97
0.977
0.897
2.45


p Value
0.45
0.30
0.26
0.57
0.87
0.11
0.94
0.74
0.053


Lower limit of
0.657
0.725
0.728
0.636
0.556
0.865
0.513
0.469
0.987


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.56
2.80
3.22
2.28
2.00
4.50
1.86
1.71
6.10


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.83
1.68
1.81
1.74
1.42
1.64
1.22
0.970
1.49


p Value
0.16
0.21
0.15
0.15
0.35
0.26
0.60
0.94
0.40


Lower limit of
0.792
0.742
0.810
0.822
0.678
0.689
0.583
0.460
0.585


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.25
3.80
4.04
3.67
3.00
3.92
2.55
2.04
3.80


95% CI
















TABLE 33.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
330
386
368
376
373
355


Average
443
550
468
556
473
561


Stdev
377
563
366
610
364
635


p (t-test)

0.23

0.29

0.29


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
49
102
70
81
79
72







sCr only













Median
324
392
348
378
371
374


Average
434
555
453
567
458
576


Stdev
382
566
362
613
360
639


p (t-test)

0.17

0.18

0.16


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
51
99
70
80
79
71







UO only













Median
364
392
337
396
334
397


Average
493
540
494
548
500
535


Stdev
540
421
533
420
535
393


p (t-test)

0.60

0.57

0.72


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1700
4690
1700
4690
1510


n (Patient)
103
47
111
39
116
34












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.56
0.58
0.54
0.53
0.55
0.56
0.52
0.54
0.56


SE
0.049
0.048
0.051
0.047
0.047
0.054
0.047
0.047
0.057


p Value
0.22
0.097
0.39
0.58
0.32
0.28
0.69
0.36
0.33


nCohort Non-
49
51
103
70
70
111
79
79
116


persistent


nCohort Persistent
102
99
47
81
80
39
72
71
34


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
217
217
218
217
217
218
217
217


Sensitivity
75%
77%
77%
74%
75%
79%
75%
76%
79%


Specificity
27%
29%
26%
24%
26%
27%
25%
27%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
372
372
373
372
372
373
372
372


Sensitivity
53%
54%
53%
52%
52%
56%
50%
51%
59%


Specificity
55%
57%
51%
51%
53%
52%
49%
51%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
661
661
674
661
661
674
661
661


Sensitivity
28%
28%
34%
30%
30%
33%
28%
28%
32%


Specificity
82%
80%
79%
80%
80%
77%
77%
77%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.11
1.38
1.16
0.916
1.04
1.44
1.02
1.15
1.41


p Value
0.79
0.41
0.71
0.82
0.92
0.42
0.96
0.71
0.47


Lower limit of
0.511
0.643
0.520
0.438
0.497
0.594
0.487
0.549
0.556


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.42
2.95
2.60
1.92
2.17
3.47
2.12
2.41
3.56


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.38
1.52
1.20
1.14
1.24
1.42
0.975
1.05
1.58


p Value
0.36
0.23
0.60
0.69
0.51
0.35
0.94
0.87
0.24


Lower limit of
0.697
0.769
0.604
0.601
0.652
0.679
0.515
0.556
0.731


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.74
3.00
2.40
2.16
2.36
2.95
1.85
2.00
3.44


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.77
1.62
1.90
1.68
1.71
1.72
1.30
1.33
1.58


p Value
0.19
0.25
0.10
0.18
0.16
0.18
0.48
0.45
0.29


Lower limit of
0.761
0.714
0.884
0.791
0.805
0.772
0.624
0.636
0.682


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.10
3.66
4.09
3.58
3.65
3.83
2.72
2.78
3.64


95% CI
















TABLE 33.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
330
386
364
378
364
378


Average
443
550
465
557
463
567


Stdev
377
563
368
606
368
620


p (t-test)

0.23

0.27

0.22


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
49
102
69
82
75
76







sCr only













Median
324
392
332
380
332
380


Average
434
555
450
568
450
578


Stdev
382
566
364
610
364
624


p (t-test)

0.17

0.16

0.13


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
51
99
69
81
75
75







UO only













Median
334
394
332
396
331
397


Average
491
538
495
538
501
527


Stdev
551
408
544
403
546
376


p (t-test)

0.59

0.63

0.78


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1700
4690
1700
4690
1510


n (Patient)
98
52
105
45
110
40












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.56
0.58
0.55
0.53
0.55
0.56
0.54
0.56
0.56


SE
0.049
0.048
0.050
0.047
0.047
0.052
0.047
0.047
0.054


p Value
0.22
0.097
0.28
0.49
0.26
0.25
0.38
0.18
0.30


nCohort Non-
49
51
98
69
69
105
75
75
110


persistent


nCohort Persistent
102
99
52
82
81
45
76
75
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
217
217
218
217
217
218
217
217


Sensitivity
75%
77%
77%
74%
75%
80%
76%
77%
80%


Specificity
27%
29%
27%
25%
26%
28%
27%
28%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
372
372
373
372
372
373
372
372


Sensitivity
53%
54%
56%
52%
53%
58%
53%
53%
60%


Specificity
55%
57%
53%
52%
54%
53%
52%
53%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
661
661
674
661
661
674
661
661


Sensitivity
28%
28%
33%
29%
30%
31%
28%
28%
30%


Specificity
82%
80%
79%
80%
80%
77%
77%
77%
76%


OR Quartile 2
1.11
1.38
1.20
0.950
1.08
1.53
1.17
1.33
1.50


p Value
0.79
0.41
0.64
0.89
0.84
0.33
0.67
0.45
0.37


Lower limit of
0.511
0.643
0.549
0.454
0.515
0.655
0.561
0.634
0.621


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.42
2.95
2.64
1.99
2.25
3.56
2.45
2.78
3.62


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.38
1.52
1.43
1.20
1.31
1.56
1.20
1.31
1.74


p Value
0.36
0.23
0.30
0.57
0.41
0.21
0.57
0.41
0.14


Lower limit of
0.697
0.769
0.725
0.634
0.687
0.773
0.636
0.688
0.832


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.74
3.00
2.80
2.28
2.49
3.16
2.28
2.48
3.62


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.77
1.62
1.78
1.63
1.65
1.52
1.30
1.33
1.38


p Value
0.19
0.25
0.13
0.21
0.19
0.29
0.48
0.45
0.43


Lower limit of
0.761
0.714
0.838
0.764
0.777
0.700
0.623
0.634
0.618


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.10
3.66
3.79
3.46
3.52
3.32
2.73
2.78
3.10


95% CI
















TABLE 33.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for


the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts


within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
330
386
348
380
348
380


Average
443
550
465
557
463
566


Stdev
377
563
370
602
370
616


p (t-test)

0.23

0.27

0.22


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
49
102
68
83
74
77







sCr only













Median
324
392
331
386
331
386


Average
434
555
449
567
449
577


Stdev
382
566
366
606
366
620


p (t-test)

0.17

0.16

0.13


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
51
99
68
82
74
76







UO only













Median
330
397
329
412
328
428


Average
483
551
486
550
493
541


Stdev
554
408
551
399
552
375


p (t-test)

0.43

0.47

0.60


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1700
4690
1700
4690
1510


n (Patient)
95
55
100
50
105
45












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.56
0.58
0.57
0.54
0.56
0.58
0.55
0.57
0.58


SE
0.049
0.048
0.049
0.047
0.047
0.050
0.047
0.047
0.052


p Value
0.22
0.097
0.13
0.45
0.22
0.11
0.34
0.16
0.14


nCohort Non-
49
51
95
68
68
100
74
74
105


persistent


nCohort Persistent
102
99
55
83
82
50
77
76
45


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
217
217
218
217
217
218
217
217


Sensitivity
75%
77%
78%
75%
76%
80%
77%
78%
80%


Specificity
27%
29%
27%
25%
26%
28%
27%
28%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
372
372
373
372
372
373
372
372


Sensitivity
53%
54%
58%
53%
54%
60%
53%
54%
62%


Specificity
55%
57%
55%
53%
54%
55%
53%
54%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
661
661
674
661
661
674
661
661


Sensitivity
28%
28%
33%
29%
29%
32%
27%
28%
31%


Specificity
82%
80%
79%
79%
79%
78%
77%
77%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.11
1.38
1.35
0.984
1.12
1.56
1.21
1.38
1.53


p Value
0.79
0.41
0.45
0.97
0.77
0.29
0.61
0.40
0.33


Lower limit of
0.511
0.643
0.617
0.470
0.534
0.686
0.582
0.657
0.655


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.42
2.95
2.95
2.06
2.33
3.53
2.53
2.88
3.56


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.38
1.52
1.68
1.27
1.38
1.83
1.27
1.38
2.03


p Value
0.36
0.23
0.13
0.47
0.33
0.085
0.47
0.33
0.052


Lower limit of
0.697
0.769
0.860
0.668
0.725
0.920
0.670
0.725
0.994


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.74
3.00
3.29
2.41
2.63
3.65
2.40
2.62
4.15


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.77
1.62
1.82
1.57
1.60
1.67
1.26
1.28
1.52


p Value
0.19
0.25
0.12
0.24
0.23
0.19
0.54
0.51
0.29


Lower limit of
0.761
0.714
0.863
0.737
0.749
0.781
0.601
0.611
0.700


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.10
3.66
3.86
3.34
3.40
3.57
2.63
2.68
3.32


95% CI
















TABLE 33.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples


for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence


starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-

Non-

Non-




persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent
persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort











sCr or UO













Median
330
386
330
394
331
392


Average
432
553
442
570
447
574


Stdev
374
561
357
599
358
611


p (t-test)

0.18

0.13

0.13


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
47
104
65
86
70
81







sCr only













Median
327
386
331
386
331
386


Average
436
553
450
564
449
573


Stdev
386
564
371
599
371
612


p (t-test)

0.19

0.18

0.14


Min
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8


Max
1880
4690
1880
4690
1880
4690


n (Patient)
50
100
66
84
72
78







UO only













Median
329
412
328
428
328
428


Average
484
545
484
548
495
533


Stdev
563
399
558
400
561
378


p (t-test)

0.48

0.46

0.67


Min
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8
50.8
46.8


Max
4690
1700
4690
1700
4690
1510


n (Patient)
92
58
95
55
99
51












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO



UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.57
0.58
0.58
0.56
0.56
0.58
0.56
0.57
0.57


SE
0.049
0.049
0.048
0.047
0.047
0.049
0.047
0.047
0.050


p Value
0.14
0.10
0.11
0.18
0.20
0.10
0.20
0.14
0.18


nCohort Non-
47
50
92
65
66
95
70
72
99


persistent


nCohort Persistent
104
100
58
86
84
55
81
78
51


Cutoff Quartile 2
218
217
217
218
217
217
218
217
217


Sensitivity
76%
77%
79%
76%
76%
80%
77%
78%
78%


Specificity
28%
30%
28%
26%
27%
28%
27%
29%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
373
372
372
373
372
372
373
372
372


Sensitivity
53%
53%
59%
55%
54%
60%
54%
54%
61%


Specificity
55%
56%
55%
55%
55%
56%
54%
54%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
674
661
661
674
661
661
674
661
661


Sensitivity
29%
28%
31%
30%
29%
31%
28%
27%
29%


Specificity
83%
80%
78%
82%
79%
78%
79%
76%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.21
1.43
1.51
1.10
1.20
1.59
1.22
1.48
1.36


p Value
0.64
0.35
0.30
0.81
0.63
0.26
0.60
0.30
0.45


Lower limit of
0.553
0.669
0.692
0.523
0.573
0.716
0.582
0.705
0.612


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.64
3.08
3.30
2.30
2.51
3.52
2.54
3.10
3.04


95% CI


OR Quartile 3
1.39
1.44
1.76
1.50
1.38
1.89
1.41
1.38
1.94


p Value
0.35
0.30
0.095
0.22
0.32
0.064
0.29
0.33
0.059


Lower limit of
0.696
0.725
0.906
0.783
0.725
0.964
0.743
0.725
0.974


95% CI


Upper limit of
2.78
2.84
3.43
2.86
2.64
3.72
2.68
2.62
3.85


95% CI


OR Quartile 4
1.98
1.56
1.62
1.91
1.49
1.58
1.45
1.19
1.38


p Value
0.13
0.29
0.20
0.10
0.31
0.23
0.33
0.64
0.41


Lower limit of
0.827
0.686
0.769
0.880
0.697
0.745
0.688
0.569
0.643


95% CI


Upper limit of
4.72
3.53
3.41
4.16
3.17
3.34
3.07
2.50
2.95


95% CI









While the invention has been described and exemplified in sufficient detail for those skilled in this art to make and use it, various alternatives, modifications, and improvements should be apparent without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention. The examples provided herein are representative of preferred embodiments, are exemplary, and are not intended as limitations on the scope of the invention. Modifications therein and other uses will occur to those skilled in the art. These modifications are encompassed within the spirit of the invention and are defined by the scope of the claims.


It will be readily apparent to a person skilled in the art that varying substitutions and modifications may be made to the invention disclosed herein without departing from the scope and spirit of the invention.


All patents and publications mentioned in the specification are indicative of the levels of those of ordinary skill in the art to which the invention pertains. All patents and publications are herein incorporated by reference to the same extent as if each individual publication was specifically and individually indicated to be incorporated by reference.


The invention illustratively described herein suitably may be practiced in the absence of any element or elements, limitation or limitations which is not specifically disclosed herein. Thus, for example, in each instance herein any of the terms “comprising”, “consisting essentially of” and “consisting of” may be replaced with either of the other two terms. The terms and expressions which have been employed are used as terms of description and not of limitation, and there is no intention that in the use of such terms and expressions of excluding any equivalents of the features shown and described or portions thereof, but it is recognized that various modifications are possible within the scope of the invention claimed. Thus, it should be understood that although the present invention has been specifically disclosed by preferred embodiments and optional features, modification and variation of the concepts herein disclosed may be resorted to by those skilled in the art, and that such modifications and variations are considered to be within the scope of this invention as defined by the appended claims.


Other embodiments are set forth within the following claims.

Claims
  • 1. A method for evaluating renal status in a subject, comprising: performing one or more of an assay method configured to detect Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1,an assay method configured to detect Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2,an assay method configured to detect Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4,an assay method configured to detect C—C motif chemokine 15,an assay method configured to detect C—C motif chemokine 18,an assay method configured to detect C—C motif chemokine 23, and/oran assay method configured to detect C—C motif chemokine 24,on a body fluid sample obtained from the subject to provide one or more assay result(s); andcorrelating the assay result(s) to the renal status of the subject.
  • 2. A method according to claim 1, wherein said correlation step comprises correlating the assay result(s) to one or more of risk stratification, diagnosis, staging, prognosis, classifying and monitoring of the renal status of the subject.
  • 3. A method according to claim 1, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood of one or more future changes in renal status to the subject based on the assay result(s).
  • 4. A method according to claim 3, wherein said one or more future changes in renal status comprise one or more of a future injury to renal function, future reduced renal function, future improvement in renal function, future acute renal failure (ARF), and future persistence of existing ARF.
  • 5. A method according to one of claims 1-4, wherein said assay result(s) comprise one or more of a measured concentration of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1,a measured concentration of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2,a measured concentration of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4,a measured concentration of C—C motif chemokine 15,a measured concentration of C—C motif chemokine 18,a measured concentration of C—C motif chemokine 23, and/ora measured concentration of C—C motif chemokine 24.
  • 6. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said correlating step comprises combining a plurality of assay results using a function that converts the plurality of assay results into a single composite result.
  • 7. A method according to claim 3, wherein said one or more future changes in renal status comprise a clinical outcome related to a renal injury suffered by the subject.
  • 8. A method according to claim 3, wherein the likelihood of one or more future changes in renal status is that an event of interest is more or less likely to occur within 30 days of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject.
  • 9. A method according to claim 8, wherein the likelihood of one or more future changes in renal status is that an event of interest is more or less likely to occur within a period selected from the group consisting of 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, and 12 hours.
  • 10. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject is selected for evaluation of renal status based on the pre-existence in the subject of one or more known risk factors for prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal ARF.
  • 11. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject is selected for evaluation of renal status based on an existing diagnosis of one or more of congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, glomerular filtration below the normal range, cirrhosis, serum creatinine above the normal range, sepsis, injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF, or based on undergoing or having undergone major vascular surgery, coronary artery bypass, or other cardiac surgery, or based on exposure to NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin.
  • 12. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a diagnosis of the occurrence or nonoccurrence of one or more of an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF to the subject based on the assay result.
  • 13. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said correlating step comprises assessing whether or not renal function is improving or worsening in a subject who has suffered from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF based on the assay result.
  • 14. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function in said subject.
  • 15. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of reduced renal function in said subject.
  • 16. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of acute renal failure in said subject.
  • 17. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a need for renal replacement therapy in said subject.
  • 18. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a need for renal transplantation in said subject.
  • 19. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of assigning a risk of the future occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function in said subject.
  • 20. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of assigning a risk of the future occurrence or nonoccurrence of reduced renal function in said subject.
  • 21. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of assigning a risk of the future occurrence or nonoccurrence of acute renal failure in said subject.
  • 22. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of assigning a risk of the future occurrence or nonoccurrence of a need for renal replacement therapy in said subject.
  • 23. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said method is a method of assigning a risk of the future occurrence or nonoccurrence of a need for renal transplantation in said subject.
  • 24. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said one or more future changes in renal status comprise one or more of a future injury to renal function, future reduced renal function, future improvement in renal function, and future acute renal failure (ARF) within 72 hours of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 25. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said one or more future changes in renal status comprise one or more of a future injury to renal function, future reduced renal function, future improvement in renal function, and future acute renal failure (ARF) within 48 hours of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 26. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said one or more future changes in renal status comprise one or more of a future injury to renal function, future reduced renal function, future improvement in renal function, and future acute renal failure (ARF) within 24 hours of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 27. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0 or R.
  • 28. A method according to claim 27, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage R, I or F within 72 hours.
  • 29. A method according to claim 28, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 72 hours.
  • 30. A method according to claim 28, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 72 hours.
  • 31. A method according to claim 27, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0 or R, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 72 hours.
  • 32. A method according to claim 31, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0 or R, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 72 hours.
  • 33. A method according to claim 27, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage R, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 72 hours.
  • 34. A method according to claim 33, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage R, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 72 hours.
  • 35. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage 0, R, or I, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 72 hours.
  • 36. A method according to claim 35, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage I, and said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 72 hours.
  • 37. A method according to claim 28, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage R, I or F within 48 hours.
  • 38. A method according to claim 29, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 48 hours.
  • 39. A method according to claim 30, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 48 hours.
  • 40. A method according to claim 31, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 48 hours.
  • 41. A method according to claim 32, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 48 hours.
  • 42. A method according to claim 33, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 48 hours.
  • 43. A method according to claim 34, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 48 hours.
  • 44. A method according to claim 35, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 48 hours.
  • 45. A method according to claim 36, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 48 hours.
  • 46. A method according to claim 28, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage R, I or F within 24 hours.
  • 47. A method according to claim 29, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 24 hours.
  • 48. A method according to claim 30, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 24 hours.
  • 49. A method according to claim 31, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 24 hours.
  • 50. A method according to claim 32, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 24 hours.
  • 51. A method according to claim 33, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage I or F within 24 hours.
  • 52. A method according to claim 34, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 24 hours.
  • 53. A method according to claim 35, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 24 hours.
  • 54. A method according to claim 36, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that the subject will reach RIFLE stage F within 24 hours.
  • 55. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject is not in acute renal failure.
  • 56. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has not experienced a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 57. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has a urine output of at least 0.5 ml/kg/hr over the 6 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 58. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has not experienced an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 59. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject (i) has not experienced a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, (ii) has a urine output of at least 0.5 ml/kg/hr over the 6 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, and (iii) has not experienced an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 60. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has not experienced a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 61. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has a urine output of at least 0.5 ml/kg/hr over the 6 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 62. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject (i) has not experienced a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, (ii) has a urine output of at least 0.5 ml/kg/hr over the 12 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, and (iii) has not experienced an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 63. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will (i) experience a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period, or (iii) experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 64. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will (i) experience a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period, or (iii) experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 65. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will (i) experience a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period, or (iii) experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 66. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will experience a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 67. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 68. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 69. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will experience a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 70. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 71. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 72. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will experience a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 73. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 74. A method according to claim 63, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 75. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has not experienced a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 76. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has a urine output of at least 0.5 ml/kg/hr over the 12 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 77. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject (i) has not experienced a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, (ii) has a urine output of at least 0.5 ml/kg/hr over the 2 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, and (iii) has not experienced an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 78. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has not experienced a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 79. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject has a urine output of at least 0.3 ml/kg/hr over the 24 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, or anuria over the 12 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 80. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein the subject (i) has not experienced a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, (ii) has a urine output of at least 0.3 ml/kg/hr over the 24 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, or anuria over the 12 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained, and (iii) has not experienced an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 81. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will (i) experience a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 12 hour period, or (iii) experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 82. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will (i) experience a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period, or (iii) experience an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or greater in serum creatinine.
  • 83. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will (i) experience a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine, or (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 84. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will experience a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 85. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 86. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will experience a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 87. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 88. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will experience a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 89. A method according to claim 81, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg/hr over a 6 hour period.
  • 90. A method according to one of claims 1-5, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will (i) experience a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine, or (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.3 ml/kg/hr over a 24 hour period or anuria over a 12 hour period.
  • 91. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will (i) experience a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine, or (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.3 ml/kg/hr over a 24 hour period or anuria over a 12 hour period.
  • 92. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning one or more of: a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will (i) experience a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine, or (ii) have a urine output of less than 0.3 ml/kg/hr over a 24 hour period or anuria over a 12 hour period.
  • 93. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will experience a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 94. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 72 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.3 ml/kg/hr over a 24 hour period or anuria over a 12 hour period.
  • 95. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will experience a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 96. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 48 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.3 ml/kg/hr over a 24 hour period or anuria over a 12 hour period.
  • 97. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will experience a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine.
  • 98. A method according to claim 90, wherein said correlating step comprises assigning a likelihood that within 24 hours the subject will have a urine output of less than 0.3 ml/kg/hr over a 24 hour period or anuria over a 12 hour period.
  • 99. A method according to one of claims 1-98, wherein the body fluid sample is a urine sample.
  • 100. A method according to one of claims 1-98, wherein the body fluid sample is a blood, serum, or plasma sample.
  • 101. A method according to one of claims 1-100, wherein the assay method comprises introducing the body fluid sample obtained from the subject into an assay instrument which (i) contacts the body fluid sample with one or more reagents which specifically bind for detection one or more of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, (ii) generates one or more assay results indicative of one or more of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24 in the urine sample, and (iii) uses the assay result(s) to assign the subject to a predetermined subpopulation of individuals having a known predisposition of a current or future acute renal injury or current or future acute renal failure.
  • 102. A method according to claim 101, further comprising treating the subject based on the predetermined subpopulation of individuals to which the patient is assigned, wherein the treatment comprises one or more of initiating renal replacement therapy, withdrawing delivery of compounds that are known to be damaging to the kidney, delaying or avoiding procedures that are known to be damaging to the kidney, and modifying diuretic administration.
  • 103. A method according to claim 101 or 102, wherein the subject does not have a current acute renal injury or acute renal failure, and the assay result is used to assign the subject to a predetermined subpopulation of individuals having a known predisposition of a future acute renal injury or future acute renal failure.
  • 104. A method according to claim 103, wherein the future acute renal injury or future acute renal failure is within a period selected from the group consisting of 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, and 12 hours
  • 105. A method according to claim 101 or 102, wherein the subject has a current acute renal injury or acute renal failure, and the assay result is used to assign the subject to a predetermined subpopulation of individuals having a known predisposition of future recovery from acute renal injury or acute renal failure.
  • 106. A method according to claim 105, wherein the future recovery from acute renal injury or acute renal failure is within a period selected from the group consisting of 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, and 12 hours
  • 107. A method according to claim 101 or 102, wherein the assay result is used to assign the subject to a predetermined subpopulation of individuals having a known predisposition of future persistence of an acute renal injury or acute renal failure.
  • 108. A method according to claim 107, wherein the future persistence is over a period selected from the group consisting of 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, and 12 hours.
  • 109. A method according to claim 107 or 108, wherein the subject has an acute renal injury or acute renal failure at the time the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 110. Measurement of one or more of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24 for the evaluation of renal injury, particularly acute renal injury, and most particularly persistent acute renal injury.
  • 111. A kit, comprising: reagents for performing one or more assays configured to detect one or more of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, anda device which contains one or more encoded calibration curves for correlating results from performing said assay(s) to a concentration of one or more of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, wherein the concentration range of said calibration curve(s) comprise a normal concentration of one or more of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24, and a threshold concentration of one or more of Metalloproteinase inhibitor 1, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 2, Metalloproteinase inhibitor 4, C—C motif chemokine 15, C—C motif chemokine 18, C—C motif chemokine 23, and/or, C—C motif chemokine 24 that indicates persistent acute renal injury in a human.
Parent Case Info

The present application claims the benefit of U.S. Provisional Patent Application 62/455,503 filed Feb. 6, 2017, which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety including all tables, figures and claims.

PCT Information
Filing Document Filing Date Country Kind
PCT/US2018/017118 2/6/2018 WO 00
Provisional Applications (1)
Number Date Country
62455503 Feb 2017 US