Methods and compositions for diagnosis and prognosis of renal injury and renal failure

Information

  • Patent Grant
  • 12099067
  • Patent Number
    12,099,067
  • Date Filed
    Thursday, March 31, 2022
    2 years ago
  • Date Issued
    Tuesday, September 24, 2024
    a month ago
Abstract
The present invention relates to methods and compositions for monitoring, diagnosis, prognosis, and determination of treatment regimens in subjects suffering from or suspected of having a renal injury. In particular, the invention relates to using assays that detect one or more of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO as diagnostic and prognostic biomarker assays in renal injuries.
Description
BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

The following discussion of the background of the invention is merely provided to aid the reader in understanding the invention and is not admitted to describe or constitute prior art to the present invention.


The kidney is responsible for water and solute excretion from the body. Its functions include maintenance of acid-base balance, regulation of electrolyte concentrations, control of blood volume, and regulation of blood pressure. As such, loss of kidney function through injury and/or disease results in substantial morbidity and mortality. A detailed discussion of renal injuries is provided in Harrison's Principles of Internal Medicine, 17th Ed., McGraw Hill, New York, pages 1741-1830, which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety. Renal disease and/or injury may be acute or chronic. Acute and chronic kidney disease are described as follows (from Current Medical Diagnosis & Treatment 2008, 47th Ed, McGraw Hill, New York, pages 785-815, which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety): “Acute renal failure is worsening of renal function over hours to days, resulting in the retention of nitrogenous wastes (such as urea nitrogen) and creatinine in the blood. Retention of these substances is called azotemia. Chronic renal failure (chronic kidney disease) results from an abnormal loss of renal function over months to years”.


Acute renal failure (ARF, also known as acute kidney injury, or AKI) is an abrupt (typically detected within about 48 hours to 1 week) reduction in glomerular filtration. This loss of filtration capacity results in retention of nitrogenous (urea and creatinine) and non-nitrogenous waste products that are normally excreted by the kidney, a reduction in urine output, or both. It is reported that ARF complicates about 5% of hospital admissions, 4-15% of cardiopulmonary bypass surgeries, and up to 30% of intensive care admissions. ARF may be categorized as prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal in causation. Intrinsic renal disease can be further divided into glomerular, tubular, interstitial, and vascular abnormalities. Major causes of ARF are described in the following table, which is adapted from the Merck Manual, 17th ed., Chapter 222, and which is hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety:













Type
Risk Factors







Prerenal



ECF volume depletion
Excessive diuresis, hemorrhage, GI losses, loss of



intravascular fluid into the extravascular space (due to



ascites, peritonitis, pancreatitis, or burns), loss of skin



and mucus membranes, renal salt- and water-wasting states


Low cardiac output
Cardiomyopathy, MI, cardiac tamponade, pulmonary embolism,



pulmonary hypertension, positive-pressure mechanical ventilation


Low systemic vascular
Septic shock, liver failure, antihypertensive drugs


resistance



Increased renal vascular
NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, hypercalcemia,


resistance
anaphylaxis, anesthetics, renal artery obstruction, renal



vein thrombosis, sepsis, hepatorenal syndrome


Decreased efferent
ACE inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers


arteriolar tone (leading to



decreased GFR from



reduced glomerular



transcapillary pressure,



especially in patients with



bilateral renal artery



stenosis)



Intrinsic Renal



Acute tubular injury
Ischemia (prolonged or severe prerenal state): surgery,



hemorrhage, arterial or venous obstruction; Toxins:



NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides,



foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin,



ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque



contrast agents, streptozotocin


Acute glomerulonephritis
ANCA-associated: Crescentic glomerulonephritis,



polyarteritis nodosa, Wegener's granulomatosis; Anti-



GBM glomerulonephritis: Goodpasture's syndrome;



Immune-complex: Lupus glomerulonephritis,



postinfectious glomerulonephritis, cryoglobulinemic



glomerulonephritis


Acute tubulointerstitial
Drug reaction (eg, β-lactams, NSAIDs, sulfonamides,


nephritis
ciprofloxacin, thiazide diuretics, furosemide, phenytoin,



allopurinol, pyelonephritis, papillary necrosis


Acute vascular
Vasculitis, malignant hypertension, thrombotic


nephropathy
microangiopathies, scleroderma, atheroembolism


Infiltrative diseases
Lymphoma, sarcoidosis, leukemia


Postrenal



Tubular precipitation
Uric acid (tumor lysis), sulfonamides, triamterene,



acyclovir, indinavir, methotrexate, ethylene glycol



ingestion, myeloma protein, myoglobin


Ureteral obstruction
Intrinsic: Calculi, clots, sloughed renal tissue, fungus



ball, edema, malignancy, congenital defects; Extrinsic:



Malignancy, retroperitoneal fibrosis, ureteral trauma



during surgery or high impact injury


Bladder obstruction
Mechanical: Benign prostatic hyperplasia, prostate



cancer, bladder cancer, urethral strictures, phimosis,



paraphimosis, urethral valves, obstructed indwelling



urinary catheter; Neurogenic: Anticholinergic drugs,



upper or lower motor neuron lesion









In the case of ischemic ARF, the course of the disease may be divided into four phases. During an initiation phase, which lasts hours to days, reduced perfusion of the kidney is evolving into injury. Glomerular ultrafiltration reduces, the flow of filtrate is reduced due to debris within the tubules, and back leakage of filtrate through injured epithelium occurs. Renal injury can be mediated during this phase by reperfusion of the kidney. Initiation is followed by an extension phase which is characterized by continued ischemic injury and inflammation and may involve endothelial damage and vascular congestion. During the maintenance phase, lasting from 1 to 2 weeks, renal cell injury occurs, and glomerular filtration and urine output reaches a minimum. A recovery phase can follow in which the renal epithelium is repaired and GFR gradually recovers. Despite this, the survival rate of subjects with ARF may be as low as about 60%.


Acute kidney injury caused by radiocontrast agents (also called contrast media) and other nephrotoxins such as cyclosporine, antibiotics including aminoglycosides and anticancer drugs such as cisplatin manifests over a period of days to about a week. Contrast induced nephropathy (CIN, which is AKI caused by radiocontrast agents) is thought to be caused by intrarenal vasoconstriction (leading to ischemic injury) and from the generation of reactive oxygen species that are directly toxic to renal tubular epithelial cells. CIN classically presents as an acute (onset within 24-48 h) but reversible (peak 3-5 days, resolution within 1 week) rise in blood urea nitrogen and serum creatinine.


A commonly reported criteria for defining and detecting AKI is an abrupt (typically within about 2-7 days or within a period of hospitalization) elevation of serum creatinine. Although the use of serum creatinine elevation to define and detect AKI is well established, the magnitude of the serum creatinine elevation and the time over which it is measured to define AKI varies considerably among publications. Traditionally, relatively large increases in serum creatinine such as 100%, 200%, an increase of at least 100% to a value over 2 mg/dL and other definitions were used to define AKI. However, the recent trend has been towards using smaller serum creatinine rises to define AKI. The relationship between serum creatinine rise, AKI and the associated health risks are reviewed in Praught and Shlipak, Curr Opin Nephrol Hypertens 14:265-270, 2005 and Chertow et al, J Am Soc Nephrol 16: 3365-3370, 2005, which, with the references listed therein, are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety. As described in these publications, acute worsening renal function (AKI) and increased risk of death and other detrimental outcomes are now known to be associated with very small increases in serum creatinine. These increases may be determined as a relative (percent) value or a nominal value. Relative increases in serum creatinine as small as 20% from the pre-injury value have been reported to indicate acutely worsening renal function (AKI) and increased health risk, but the more commonly reported value to define AKI and increased health risk is a relative increase of at least 25%. Nominal increases as small as 0.3 mg/dL, 0.2 mg/dL or even 0.1 mg/dL have been reported to indicate worsening renal function and increased risk of death. Various time periods for the serum creatinine to rise to these threshold values have been used to define AKI, for example, ranging from 2 days, 3 days, 7 days, or a variable period defined as the time the patient is in the hospital or intensive care unit. These studies indicate there is not a particular threshold serum creatinine rise (or time period for the rise) for worsening renal function or AKI, but rather a continuous increase in risk with increasing magnitude of serum creatinine rise.


One study (Lassnigg et all, J Am Soc Nephrol 15:1597-1605, 2004, hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety) investigated both increases and decreases in serum creatinine. Patients with a mild fall in serum creatinine of −0.1 to −0.3 mg/dL following heart surgery had the lowest mortality rate. Patients with a larger fall in serum creatinine (more than or equal to −0.4 mg/dL) or any increase in serum creatinine had a larger mortality rate. These findings caused the authors to conclude that even very subtle changes in renal function (as detected by small creatinine changes within 48 hours of surgery) seriously effect patient's outcomes. In an effort to reach consensus on a unified classification system for using serum creatinine to define AKI in clinical trials and in clinical practice, Bellomo et al., Crit Care. 8(4):R204-12, 2004, which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, proposes the following classifications for stratifying AKI patients:

    • “Risk”: serum creatinine increased 1.5 fold from baseline OR urine production of <0.5 ml/kg body weight/hr for 6 hours;
    • “Injury”: serum creatinine increased 2.0 fold from baseline OR urine production <0.5 ml/kg/hr for 12 h;
    • “Failure”: serum creatinine increased 3.0 fold from baseline OR creatinine >355 μmol/l (with a rise of >44) or urine output below 0.3 ml/kg/hr for 24 h or anuria for at least 12 hours;


      And included two clinical outcomes:
    • “Loss”: persistent need for renal replacement therapy for more than four weeks.
    • “ESRD”: end stage renal disease—the need for dialysis for more than 3 months.


      These criteria are called the RIFLE criteria, which provide a useful clinical tool to classify renal status. As discussed in Kellum, Crit. Care Med. 36: S141-45, 2008 and Ricci et al., Kidney Int. 73, 538-546, 2008, each hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, the RIFLE criteria provide a uniform definition of AKI which has been validated in numerous studies.


More recently, Mehta et al., Crit. Care 11:R31 (doi:10.1186.cc5713), 2007, hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, proposes the following similar classifications for stratifying AKI patients, which have been modified from RIFLE:

    • “Stage I”: increase in serum creatinine of more than or equal to 0.3 mg/dL (≥26.4 μmol/L) or increase to more than or equal to 150% (1.5-fold) from baseline OR urine output less than 0.5 mL/kg per hour for more than 6 hours;
    • “Stage II”: increase in serum creatinine to more than 200% (>2-fold) from baseline OR urine output less than 0.5 mL/kg per hour for more than 12 hours;
    • “Stage III”: increase in serum creatinine to more than 300% (>3-fold) from baseline OR serum creatinine ≥354 μmol/L accompanied by an acute increase of at least 44 μmol/L OR urine output less than 0.3 mL/kg per hour for 24 hours or anuria for 12 hours.


The CIN Consensus Working Panel (McCollough et al, Rev Cardiovasc Med. 2006; 7(4):177-197, hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety) uses a serum creatinine rise of 25% to define Contrast induced nephropathy (which is a type of AKI). Although various groups propose slightly different criteria for using serum creatinine to detect AKI, the consensus is that small changes in serum creatinine, such as 0.3 mg/dL or 25%, are sufficient to detect AKI (worsening renal function) and that the magnitude of the serum creatinine change is an indicator of the severity of the AKI and mortality risk.


Although serial measurement of serum creatinine over a period of days is an accepted method of detecting and diagnosing AKI and is considered one of the most important tools to evaluate AKI patients, serum creatinine is generally regarded to have several limitations in the diagnosis, assessment and monitoring of AKI patients. The time period for serum creatinine to rise to values (e.g., a 0.3 mg/dL or 25% rise) considered diagnostic for AKI can be 48 hours or longer depending on the definition used. Since cellular injury in AKI can occur over a period of hours, serum creatinine elevations detected at 48 hours or longer can be a late indicator of injury, and relying on serum creatinine can thus delay diagnosis of AKI. Furthermore, serum creatinine is not a good indicator of the exact kidney status and treatment needs during the most acute phases of AKI when kidney function is changing rapidly. Some patients with AKI will recover fully, some will need dialysis (either short term or long term) and some will have other detrimental outcomes including death, major adverse cardiac events and chronic kidney disease. Because serum creatinine is a marker of filtration rate, it does not differentiate between the causes of AKI (pre-renal, intrinsic renal, post-renal obstruction, atheroembolic, etc) or the category or location of injury in intrinsic renal disease (for example, tubular, glomerular or interstitial in origin). Urine output is similarly limited, Knowing these things can be of vital importance in managing and treating patients with AKI.


These limitations underscore the need for better methods to detect and assess AKI, particularly in the early and subclinical stages, but also in later stages when recovery and repair of the kidney can occur. Furthermore, there is a need to better identify patients who are at risk of having an AKI.


BRIEF SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

It is an object of the invention to provide methods and compositions for evaluating renal function in a subject. As described herein, measurement of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO (collectively referred to herein as “kidney injury markers, and individually as a “kidney injury marker”) can be used for diagnosis, prognosis, risk stratification, staging, monitoring, categorizing and determination of further diagnosis and treatment regimens in subjects suffering or at risk of suffering from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, and/or acute renal failure (also called acute kidney injury).


These kidney injury markers may be used, individually or in panels comprising a plurality of kidney injury markers, for risk stratification (that is, to identify subjects at risk for a future injury to renal function, for future progression to reduced renal function, for future progression to ARF, for future improvement in renal function, etc.); for diagnosis of existing disease (that is, to identify subjects who have suffered an injury to renal function, who have progressed to reduced renal function, who have progressed to ARF, etc.); for monitoring for deterioration or improvement of renal function; and for predicting a future medical outcome, such as improved or worsening renal function, a decreased or increased mortality risk, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will require renal replacement therapy (i.e., hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, hemofiltration, and/or renal transplantation, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will recover from an injury to renal function, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will recover from ARF, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will progress to end stage renal disease, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will progress to chronic renal failure, a decreased or increased risk that a subject will suffer rejection of a transplanted kidney, etc.


In a first aspect, the present invention relates to methods for evaluating renal status in a subject. These methods comprise performing an assay method that is configured to detect one or more kidney injury markers of the present invention in a body fluid sample obtained from the subject. The assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are then correlated to the renal status of the subject. This correlation to renal status may include correlating the assay result(s) to one or more of risk stratification, diagnosis, prognosis, staging, classifying and monitoring of the subject as described herein. Thus, the present invention utilizes one or more kidney injury markers of the present invention for the evaluation of renal injury.


In certain embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for risk stratification of the subject; that is, assigning a likelihood of one or more future changes in renal status to the subject. In these embodiments, the assay result(s) is/are correlated to one or more such future changes. The following are preferred risk stratification embodiments.


In preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's risk for a future injury to renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to a likelihood of such a future injury to renal function. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of suffering a future injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of suffering a future injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


In other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's risk for future reduced renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to a likelihood of such reduced renal function. For example, the measured concentrations may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of suffering a future reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of future reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


In still other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's likelihood for a future improvement in renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to a likelihood of such a future improvement in renal function. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of a future improvement in renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of a future improvement in renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold.


In yet other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's risk for progression to ARF, and the result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to a likelihood of such progression to ARF. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of progression to ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of progression to ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


And in other preferred risk stratification embodiments, these methods comprise determining a subject's outcome risk, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to a likelihood of the occurrence of a clinical outcome related to a renal injury suffered by the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may each be compared to a threshold value. For a “positive going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of one or more of: acute kidney injury, progression to a worsening stage of AKI, mortality, a requirement for renal replacement therapy, a requirement for withdrawal of renal toxins, end stage renal disease, heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, progression to chronic kidney disease, etc., is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold. For a “negative going” kidney injury marker, an increased likelihood of one or more of: acute kidney injury, progression to a worsening stage of AKI, mortality, a requirement for renal replacement therapy, a requirement for withdrawal of renal toxins, end stage renal disease, heart failure, stroke, myocardial infarction, progression to chronic kidney disease, etc., is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold, relative to a likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold.


In such risk stratification embodiments, preferably the likelihood or risk assigned is that an event of interest is more or less likely to occur within 180 days of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject. In particularly preferred embodiments, the likelihood or risk assigned relates to an event of interest occurring within a shorter time period such as 18 months, 120 days, 90 days, 60 days, 45 days, 30 days, 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, 12 hours, or less. A risk at 0 hours of the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject is equivalent to diagnosis of a current condition.


In preferred risk stratification embodiments, the subject is selected for risk stratification based on the pre-existence in the subject of one or more known risk factors for prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal ARF. For example, a subject undergoing or having undergone major vascular surgery, coronary artery bypass, or other cardiac surgery; a subject having pre-existing congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, glomerular filtration below the normal range, cirrhosis, serum creatinine above the normal range, or sepsis; or a subject exposed to NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin are all preferred subjects for monitoring risks according to the methods described herein. This list is not meant to be limiting. By “pre-existence” in this context is meant that the risk factor exists at the time the body fluid sample is obtained from the subject. In particularly preferred embodiments, a subject is chosen for risk stratification based on an existing diagnosis of injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF.


In other embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for diagnosing a renal injury in the subject; that is, assessing whether or not a subject has suffered from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF. In these embodiments, the assay result(s) is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status. The following are preferred diagnostic embodiments.


In preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of such an injury. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury to renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury to renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of reduced renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury causing reduced renal function may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In yet other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing the occurrence or nonoccurrence of ARF, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of an injury causing ARF. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of ARF may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of ARF is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of ARF may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In still other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing a subject as being in need of renal replacement therapy, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to a need for renal replacement therapy. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal replacement therapy may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In still other preferred diagnostic embodiments, these methods comprise diagnosing a subject as being in need of renal transplantation, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to a need for renal transplantation. For example, each of the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is above the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold). For a negative going marker, an increased likelihood of the occurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation is assigned to the subject when the measured concentration is below the threshold (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is above the threshold); alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an increased likelihood of the nonoccurrence of an injury creating a need for renal transplantation may be assigned to the subject (relative to the likelihood assigned when the measured concentration is below the threshold).


In still other embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for monitoring a renal injury in the subject; that is, assessing whether or not renal function is improving or worsening in a subject who has suffered from an injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF. In these embodiments, the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status. The following are preferred monitoring embodiments.


In preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject suffering from an injury to renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In other preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject suffering from reduced renal function, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In yet other preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject suffering from acute renal failure, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In other additional preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject at risk of an injury to renal function due to the pre-existence of one or more known risk factors for prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal ARF, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a change in renal status in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a worsening of renal function may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, an improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In yet other preferred monitoring embodiments, these methods comprise monitoring renal status in a subject having, or at risk of, an injury to renal function for future persistence of acute kidney injury. “Future persistence” as used herein refers to an existing acute renal injury that will continue for a period selected from the group consisting of 21 days, 14 days, 7 days, 5 days, 96 hours, 72 hours, 48 hours, 36 hours, 24 hours, and 12 hours. In certain embodiments the subject has an acute kidney injury at the time the sample is obtained. This is not meant to imply that the subject must have an acute kidney injury at the time the sample is obtained, but rather that the subject, upon onset of an acute kidney injury, suffers from an acute kidney injury that will persist. In various embodiments, the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to the future persistence of the acute kidney injury in the subject. For example, the measured concentration(s) may be compared to a threshold value. For a positive going marker, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a future persistence of acute kidney injury may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a future improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject. For a negative going marker, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a future persistence of acute kidney injury may be assigned to the subject; alternatively, when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a future improvement of renal function may be assigned to the subject.


In still other embodiments, the methods for evaluating renal status described herein are methods for classifying a renal injury in the subject; that is, determining whether a renal injury in a subject is prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal; and/or further subdividing these classes into subclasses such as acute tubular injury, acute glomerulonephritis acute tubulointerstitial nephritis, acute vascular nephropathy, or infiltrative disease; and/or assigning a likelihood that a subject will progress to a particular RIFLE stage. In these embodiments, the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to a particular class and/or subclass. The following are preferred classification embodiments.


In preferred classification embodiments, these methods comprise determining whether a renal injury in a subject is prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal; and/or further subdividing these classes into subclasses such as acute tubular injury, acute glomerulonephritis acute tubulointerstitial nephritis, acute vascular nephropathy, or infiltrative disease; and/or assigning a likelihood that a subject will progress to a particular RIFLE stage, and the assay result(s), for example a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and/or Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO, is/are correlated to the injury classification for the subject. For example, the measured concentration may be compared to a threshold value, and when the measured concentration is above the threshold, a particular classification is assigned; alternatively, when the measured concentration is below the threshold, a different classification may be assigned to the subject.


A variety of methods may be used by the skilled artisan to arrive at a desired threshold value for use in these methods. For example, the threshold value may be determined from a population of normal subjects by selecting a concentration representing the 75th, 85th, 90th, 95th, or 99th percentile of a kidney injury marker measured in such normal subjects. Alternatively, the threshold value may be determined from a “diseased” population of subjects, e.g., those suffering from an injury or having a predisposition for an injury (e.g., progression to ARF or some other clinical outcome such as death, dialysis, renal transplantation, etc.), by selecting a concentration representing the 75th, 85th, 90th, 95th, or 99th percentile of a kidney injury marker measured in such subjects. In another alternative, the threshold value may be determined from a prior measurement of a kidney injury marker in the same subject; that is, a temporal change in the level of a kidney injury marker in the subject may be used to assign risk to the subject.


The foregoing discussion is not meant to imply, however, that the kidney injury markers of the present invention must be compared to corresponding individual thresholds. Methods for combining assay results can comprise the use of multivariate logistical regression, loglinear modeling, neural network analysis, n-of-m analysis, decision tree analysis, calculating ratios of markers, etc. This list is not meant to be limiting. In these methods, a composite result which is determined by combining individual markers may be treated as if it is itself a marker; that is, a threshold may be determined for the composite result as described herein for individual markers, and the composite result for an individual patient compared to this threshold.


The ability of a particular test to distinguish two populations can be established using ROC analysis. For example, ROC curves established from a “first” subpopulation which is predisposed to one or more future changes in renal status, and a “second” subpopulation which is not so predisposed can be used to calculate a ROC curve, and the area under the curve provides a measure of the quality of the test. Preferably, the tests described herein provide a ROC curve area greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9, and most preferably at least 0.95.


In certain aspects, the measured concentration of one or more kidney injury markers, or a composite of such markers, may be treated as continuous variables. For example, any particular concentration can be converted into a corresponding probability of a future reduction in renal function for the subject, the occurrence of an injury, a classification, etc. In yet another alternative, a threshold that can provide an acceptable level of specificity and sensitivity in separating a population of subjects into “bins” such as a “first” subpopulation (e.g., which is predisposed to one or more future changes in renal status, the occurrence of an injury, a classification, etc.) and a “second” subpopulation which is not so predisposed. A threshold value is selected to separate this first and second population by one or more of the following measures of test accuracy:

    • an odds ratio greater than 1, preferably at least about 2 or more or about 0.5 or less, more preferably at least about 3 or more or about 0.33 or less, still more preferably at least about 4 or more or about 0.25 or less, even more preferably at least about 5 or more or about 0.2 or less, and most preferably at least about 10 or more or about 0.1 or less;
    • a specificity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least about 0.6, more preferably at least about 0.7, still more preferably at least about 0.8, even more preferably at least about 0.9 and most preferably at least about 0.95, with a corresponding sensitivity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than about 0.3, more preferably greater than about 0.4, still more preferably at least about 0.5, even more preferably about 0.6, yet more preferably greater than about 0.7, still more preferably greater than about 0.8, more preferably greater than about 0.9, and most preferably greater than about 0.95;
    • a sensitivity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least about 0.6, more preferably at least about 0.7, still more preferably at least about 0.8, even more preferably at least about 0.9 and most preferably at least about 0.95, with a corresponding specificity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than about 0.3, more preferably greater than about 0.4, still more preferably at least about 0.5, even more preferably about 0.6, yet more preferably greater than about 0.7, still more preferably greater than about 0.8, more preferably greater than about 0.9, and most preferably greater than about 0.95;
    • at least about 75% sensitivity, combined with at least about 75% specificity;
    • a positive likelihood ratio (calculated as sensitivity/(1-specificity)) of greater than 1, at least about 2, more preferably at least about 3, still more preferably at least about 5, and most preferably at least about 10; or
    • a negative likelihood ratio (calculated as (1-sensitivity)/specificity) of less than 1, less than or equal to about 0.5, more preferably less than or equal to about 0.3, and most preferably less than or equal to about 0.1.


      The term “about” in the context of any of the above measurements refers to +/−5% of a given measurement.


Multiple thresholds may also be used to assess renal status in a subject. For example, a “first” subpopulation which is predisposed to one or more future changes in renal status, the occurrence of an injury, a classification, etc., and a “second” subpopulation which is not so predisposed can be combined into a single group. This group is then subdivided into three or more equal parts (known as tertiles, quartiles, quintiles, etc., depending on the number of subdivisions). An odds ratio is assigned to subjects based on which subdivision they fall into. If one considers a tertile, the lowest or highest tertile can be used as a reference for comparison of the other subdivisions. This reference subdivision is assigned an odds ratio of 1. The second tertile is assigned an odds ratio that is relative to that first tertile. That is, someone in the second tertile might be 3 times more likely to suffer one or more future changes in renal status in comparison to someone in the first tertile. The third tertile is also assigned an odds ratio that is relative to that first tertile.


In certain embodiments, the assay method is an immunoassay. Antibodies for use in such assays will specifically bind a full length kidney injury marker of interest, and may also bind one or more polypeptides that are “related” thereto, as that term is defined hereinafter. Numerous immunoassay formats are known to those of skill in the art. Preferred body fluid samples are selected from the group consisting of urine, blood, serum, saliva, tears, and plasma.


The foregoing method steps should not be interpreted to mean that the kidney injury marker assay result(s) is/are used in isolation in the methods described herein. Rather, additional variables or other clinical indicia may be included in the methods described herein. For example, a risk stratification, diagnostic, classification, monitoring, etc. method may combine the assay result(s) with one or more variables measured for the subject selected from the group consisting of demographic information (e.g., weight, sex, age, race), medical history (e.g., family history, type of surgery, pre-existing disease such as aneurism, congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, or sepsis, type of toxin exposure such as NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin), clinical variables (e.g., blood pressure, temperature, respiration rate), risk scores (APACHE score, PREDICT score, TIMI Risk Score for UA/NSTEMI, Framingham Risk Score), a glomerular filtration rate, an estimated glomerular filtration rate, a urine production rate, a serum or plasma creatinine concentration, a urine creatinine concentration, a fractional excretion of sodium, a urine sodium concentration, a urine creatinine to serum or plasma creatinine ratio, a urine specific gravity, a urine osmolality, a urine urea nitrogen to plasma urea nitrogen ratio, a plasma BUN to creatinine ratio, a renal failure index calculated as urine sodium/(urine creatinine/plasma creatinine), a serum or plasma neutrophil gelatinase (NGAL) concentration, a urine NGAL concentration, a serum or plasma cystatin C concentration, a serum or plasma cardiac troponin concentration, a serum or plasma BNP concentration, a serum or plasma NTproBNP concentration, and a serum or plasma proBNP concentration. Other measures of renal function which may be combined with one or more kidney injury marker assay result(s) are described hereinafter and in Harrison's Principles of Internal Medicine, 17th Ed., McGraw Hill, New York, pages 1741-1830, and Current Medical Diagnosis & Treatment 2008, 47th Ed, McGraw Hill, New York, pages 785-815, each of which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety.


When more than one marker is measured, the individual markers may be measured in samples obtained at the same time, or may be determined from samples obtained at different (e.g., an earlier or later) times. The individual markers may also be measured on the same or different body fluid samples. For example, one kidney injury marker may be measured in a serum or plasma sample and another kidney injury marker may be measured in a urine sample. In addition, assignment of a likelihood may combine an individual kidney injury marker assay result with temporal changes in one or more additional variables.


In various related aspects, the present invention also relates to devices and kits for performing the methods described herein. Suitable kits comprise reagents sufficient for performing an assay for at least one of the described kidney injury markers, together with instructions for performing the described threshold comparisons.


In certain embodiments, reagents for performing such assays are provided in an assay device, and such assay devices may be included in such a kit. Preferred reagents can comprise one or more solid phase antibodies, the solid phase antibody comprising antibody that detects the intended biomarker target(s) bound to a solid support. In the case of sandwich immunoassays, such reagents can also include one or more detectably labeled antibodies, the detectably labeled antibody comprising antibody that detects the intended biomarker target(s) bound to a detectable label. Additional optional elements that may be provided as part of an assay device are described hereinafter.


Detectable labels may include molecules that are themselves detectable (e.g., fluorescent moieties, electrochemical labels, ecl (electrochemical luminescence) labels, metal chelates, colloidal metal particles, etc.) as well as molecules that may be indirectly detected by production of a detectable reaction product (e.g., enzymes such as horseradish peroxidase, alkaline phosphatase, etc.) or through the use of a specific binding molecule which itself may be detectable (e.g., a labeled antibody that binds to the second antibody, biotin, digoxigenin, maltose, oligohistidine, 2,4-dintrobenzene, phenylarsenate, ssDNA, dsDNA, etc.).


Generation of a signal from the signal development element can be performed using various optical, acoustical, and electrochemical methods well known in the art. Examples of detection modes include fluorescence, radiochemical detection, reflectance, absorbance, amperometry, conductance, impedance, interferometry, ellipsometry, etc. In certain of these methods, the solid phase antibody is coupled to a transducer (e.g., a diffraction grating, electrochemical sensor, etc) for generation of a signal, while in others, a signal is generated by a transducer that is spatially separate from the solid phase antibody (e.g., a fluorometer that employs an excitation light source and an optical detector). This list is not meant to be limiting. Antibody-based biosensors may also be employed to determine the presence or amount of analytes that optionally eliminate the need for a labeled molecule.







DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION

The present invention relates to methods and compositions for diagnosis, differential diagnosis, risk stratification, monitoring, classifying and determination of treatment regimens in subjects suffering or at risk of suffering from injury to renal function, reduced renal function and/or acute renal failure through measurement of one or more kidney injury markers. In various embodiments, a measured concentration of one or more markers selected from the group consisting of C-C motif chemokine 16, C-C motif chemokine 14, and Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO or one or more markers related thereto, and optionally one or more additional kidney injury markers known in the art, are correlated to the renal status of the subject.


For purposes of this document, the following definitions apply:


As used herein, an “injury to renal function” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) measurable reduction in a measure of renal function. Such an injury may be identified, for example, by a decrease in glomerular filtration rate or estimated GFR, a reduction in urine output, an increase in serum creatinine, an increase in serum cystatin C, a requirement for renal replacement therapy, etc. “Improvement in Renal Function” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) measurable increase in a measure of renal function. Preferred methods for measuring and/or estimating GFR are described hereinafter.


As used herein, “reduced renal function” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) reduction in kidney function identified by an absolute increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 0.1 mg/dL (≥8.8 μmol/L), a percentage increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 20% (1.2-fold from baseline), or a reduction in urine output (documented oliguria of less than 0.5 ml/kg per hour).


As used herein, “acute renal failure” or “ARF” is an abrupt (within 14 days, preferably within 7 days, more preferably within 72 hours, and still more preferably within 48 hours) reduction in kidney function identified by an absolute increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 0.3 mg/dl (≥26.4 μmol/l), a percentage increase in serum creatinine of greater than or equal to 50% (1.5-fold from baseline), or a reduction in urine output (documented oliguria of less than 0.5 ml/kg per hour for at least 6 hours). This term is synonymous with “acute kidney injury” or “AKI.”


In this regard, the skilled artisan will understand that the signals obtained from an immunoassay are a direct result of complexes formed between one or more antibodies and the target biomolecule (i.e., the analyte) and polypeptides containing the necessary epitope(s) to which the antibodies bind. While such assays may detect the full length biomarker and the assay result be expressed as a concentration of a biomarker of interest, the signal from the assay is actually a result of all such “immunoreactive” polypeptides present in the sample. Expression of biomarkers may also be determined by means other than immunoassays, including protein measurements (such as dot blots, western blots, chromatographic methods, mass spectrometry, etc.) and nucleic acid measurements (mRNA quatitation). This list is not meant to be limiting.


As used herein, the term “C-C motif chemokine 16” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the C-C motif chemokine 16 precursor (human sequence: Swiss-Prot 015467 (SEQ ID NO: 1)):











MKVSEAALSL LVLILIITSA SRSQPKVPEW VNTPSTCCLK YYEKVLPRRL
50






VVGYRKALNC HLPAIIFVTK RNREVCTNPN DDWVQEYIKD PNLPLLPTRN
100





LSTVKIITAK NGQPQLLNSQ
120






The following domains have been identified in C-C motif chemokine 16:

















Residues
Length
Domain ID









 1-23
23
Signal peptide



24-120
97
C-C motif chemokine 16










As used herein, the term “C-C motif chemokine 14” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the C-C motif chemokine 14 precursor (human sequence: Swiss-Prot Q16627 (SEQ ID NO: 1)):











MKISVAAIPE FLLITIALGT KTESSSRGPY HPSECCFTYT TYKIPRQRIM
50






DYYETNSQCS KPGIVFITKR GHSVCTNPSD KWVQDYIKDM KEN
93






The following domains have been identified in C-C motif chemokine 14:

















Residues
Length
Domain ID









 1-19
19
Signal peptide







20-93
74
C-C motif chemokine 14







22-93
72
HCC-1(3-74)







23-93
71
HCC-1(4-74)







28-93
66
HCC-1(9-74)







27

R → QTGGKPKVVKIQLKLVG





(SEQ ID NO: 2) in isoform 2










As used herein, the term “Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO” refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO precursor (human sequence: Swiss-Prot P30530 (SEQ ID NO: 1)):











MAWRCPRMGR VPLAWCLALC GWACMAPRGT QAEESPFVGN PGNITGARGL
50






TGTLRCQLQV QGEPPEVHWL RDGQILELAD STQTQVPLGE DEQDDWIVVS
100





QLRITSLQLS DTGQYQCLVF LGHQTFVSQP GYVGLEGLPY FLEEPEDRTV
150





AANTPFNLSC QAQGPPEPVD LLWLQDAVPL ATAPGHGPQR SLHVPGLNKT
200





SSFSCEAHNA KGVTTSRTAT ITVLPQQPRN LHLVSRQPTE LEVAWTPGLS
250





GIYPLTHCTL QAVLSNDGMG IQAGEPDPPE EPLTSQASVP PHQLRLGSLH
300





PHTPYHIRVA CTSSQGPSSW THWLPVETPE GVPLGPPENI SATRNGSQAF
350





VHWQEPRAPL QGTLLGYRLA YQGQDTPEVL MDIGLRQEVT LELQGDGSVS
400





NLTVCVAAYT AAGDGPWSLP VPLEAWRPGQ AQPVHQLVKE PSTPAFSWPW
450





WYVLLGAVVA AACVLILALF LVHRRKKETR YGEVFEPTVE RGELVVRYRV
500





RKSYSRRTTE ATLNSLGISE ELKEKLRDVM VDRHKVALGK TLGEGEFGAV
550





MEGQLNQDDS ILKVAVKTMK IAICTRSELE DFLSEAVCMK EFDHPNVMRL
600





IGVCFQGSER ESFPAPVVIL PFMKHGDLHS FLLYSRLGDQ PVYLPTQMLV
650





KFMADIASGM EYLSTKRFIH RDLAARNCML NENMSVCVAD FGLSKKIYNG
700





DYYRQGRIAK MPVKWIAIES LADRVYTSKS DVWSFGVTMW EIATRGQTPY
750





PGVENSEIYD YLRQGNRLKQ PADCLDGLYA LMSRCWELNP QDRPSFTELR
800





EDLENTLKAL PPAQEPDEIL YVNMDEGGGY PEPPGAAGGA DPPTQPDPKD
850





SCSCLTAAEV HPAGRYVLCP STTPSPAQPA DRGSPAAPGQ EDGA
894






In certain embodiments, the Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO assay detects one or more soluble forms of Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO. Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO is a single-pass membrane protein having an extracellular domain which may be found in Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO forms of Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO generated by proteolysis of the membrane-bound form or by alternative splicing. In the case of an immunoassay, one or more antibodies that bind to epitopes within an extracellular domain may be used to detect these Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO form(s). The following domains have been identified in Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO:

















Residues
Length
Domain ID









  1-25
 25
Signal peptide



 26-894
869
Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO



473-894
422
cytoplasmic domain



452-472
 21
transmembrane domain



 26-451
426
extracellular domain



429-437

Missing in isoform 2










As used herein, the term “relating a signal to the presence or amount” of an analyte reflects this understanding. Assay signals are typically related to the presence or amount of an analyte through the use of a standard curve calculated using known concentrations of the analyte of interest. As the term is used herein, an assay is “configured to detect” an analyte if an assay can generate a detectable signal indicative of the presence or amount of a physiologically relevant concentration of the analyte. Because an antibody epitope is on the order of 8 amino acids, an immunoassay configured to detect a marker of interest will also detect polypeptides related to the marker sequence, so long as those polypeptides contain the epitope(s) necessary to bind to the antibody or antibodies used in the assay.


The term “related marker” as used herein with regard to a biomarker such as one of the kidney injury markers described herein refers to one or more fragments, variants, etc., of a particular marker or its biosynthetic parent that may be detected as a surrogate for the marker itself or as independent biomarkers. The term also refers to one or more polypeptides present in a biological sample that are derived from the biomarker precursor complexed to additional species, such as binding proteins, receptors, heparin, lipids, sugars, etc.


The term “positive going” marker as that term is used herein refer to a marker that is determined to be elevated in subjects suffering from a disease or condition, relative to subjects not suffering from that disease or condition. The term “negative going” marker as that term is used herein refer to a marker that is determined to be reduced in subjects suffering from a disease or condition, relative to subjects not suffering from that disease or condition.


The term “subject” as used herein refers to a human or non-human organism. Thus, the methods and compositions described herein are applicable to both human and veterinary disease. Further, while a subject is preferably a living organism, the invention described herein may be used in post-mortem analysis as well. Preferred subjects are humans, and most preferably “patients,” which as used herein refers to living humans that are receiving medical care for a disease or condition. This includes persons with no defined illness who are being investigated for signs of pathology.


Preferably, an analyte is measured in a sample. Such a sample may be obtained from a subject, or may be obtained from biological materials intended to be provided to the subject. For example, a sample may be obtained from a kidney being evaluated for possible transplantation into a subject, and an analyte measurement used to evaluate the kidney for preexisting damage. Preferred samples are body fluid samples.


The term “body fluid sample” as used herein refers to a sample of bodily fluid obtained for the purpose of diagnosis, prognosis, classification or evaluation of a subject of interest, such as a patient or transplant donor. In certain embodiments, such a sample may be obtained for the purpose of determining the outcome of an ongoing condition or the effect of a treatment regimen on a condition. Preferred body fluid samples include blood, serum, plasma, cerebrospinal fluid, urine, saliva, sputum, and pleural effusions. In addition, one of skill in the art would realize that certain body fluid samples would be more readily analyzed following a fractionation or purification procedure, for example, separation of whole blood into serum or plasma components.


The term “diagnosis” as used herein refers to methods by which the skilled artisan can estimate and/or determine the probability (“a likelihood”) of whether or not a patient is suffering from a given disease or condition. In the case of the present invention, “diagnosis” includes using the results of an assay, most preferably an immunoassay, for a kidney injury marker of the present invention, optionally together with other clinical characteristics, to arrive at a diagnosis (that is, the occurrence or nonoccurrence) of an acute renal injury or ARF for the subject from which a sample was obtained and assayed. That such a diagnosis is “determined” is not meant to imply that the diagnosis is 100% accurate. Many biomarkers are indicative of multiple conditions. The skilled clinician does not use biomarker results in an informational vacuum, but rather test results are used together with other clinical indicia to arrive at a diagnosis. Thus, a measured biomarker level on one side of a predetermined diagnostic threshold indicates a greater likelihood of the occurrence of disease in the subject relative to a measured level on the other side of the predetermined diagnostic threshold.


Similarly, a prognostic risk signals a probability (“a likelihood”) that a given course or outcome will occur. A level or a change in level of a prognostic indicator, which in turn is associated with an increased probability of morbidity (e.g., worsening renal function, future ARF, or death) is referred to as being “indicative of an increased likelihood” of an adverse outcome in a patient.


Marker Assays


In general, immunoassays involve contacting a sample containing or suspected of containing a biomarker of interest with at least one antibody that specifically binds to the biomarker. A signal is then generated indicative of the presence or amount of complexes formed by the binding of polypeptides in the sample to the antibody. The signal is then related to the presence or amount of the biomarker in the sample. Numerous methods and devices are well known to the skilled artisan for the detection and analysis of biomarkers. See, e.g., U.S. Pat. Nos. 6,143,576; 6,113,855; 6,019,944; 5,985,579; 5,947,124; 5,939,272; 5,922,615; 5,885,527; 5,851,776; 5,824,799; 5,679,526; 5,525,524; and 5,480,792, and The Immunoassay Handbook, David Wild, ed. Stockton Press, New York, 1994, each of which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, including all tables, figures and claims.


The assay devices and methods known in the art can utilize labeled molecules in various sandwich, competitive, or non-competitive assay formats, to generate a signal that is related to the presence or amount of the biomarker of interest. Suitable assay formats also include chromatographic, mass spectrographic, and protein “blotting” methods. Additionally, certain methods and devices, such as biosensors and optical immunoassays, may be employed to determine the presence or amount of analytes without the need for a labeled molecule. See, e.g., U.S. Pat. Nos. 5,631,171; and 5,955,377, each of which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety, including all tables, figures and claims. One skilled in the art also recognizes that robotic instrumentation including but not limited to Beckman ACCESS®, Abbott AXSYM®, Roche ELECSYS®, Dade Behring STRATUS® systems are among the immunoassay analyzers that are capable of performing immunoassays. But any suitable immunoassay may be utilized, for example, enzyme-linked immunoassays (ELISA), radioimmunoassays (RIAs), competitive binding assays, and the like.


Antibodies or other polypeptides may be immobilized onto a variety of solid supports for use in assays. Solid phases that may be used to immobilize specific binding members include those developed and/or used as solid phases in solid phase binding assays. Examples of suitable solid phases include membrane filters, cellulose-based papers, beads (including polymeric, latex and paramagnetic particles), glass, silicon wafers, microparticles, nanoparticles, TentaGels, AgroGels, PEGA gels, SPOCC gels, and multiple-well plates. An assay strip could be prepared by coating the antibody or a plurality of antibodies in an array on solid support. This strip could then be dipped into the test sample and then processed quickly through washes and detection steps to generate a measurable signal, such as a colored spot. Antibodies or other polypeptides may be bound to specific zones of assay devices either by conjugating directly to an assay device surface, or by indirect binding. In an example of the later case, antibodies or other polypeptides may be immobilized on particles or other solid supports, and that solid support immobilized to the device surface.


Biological assays require methods for detection, and one of the most common methods for quantitation of results is to conjugate a detectable label to a protein or nucleic acid that has affinity for one of the components in the biological system being studied. Detectable labels may include molecules that are themselves detectable (e.g., fluorescent moieties, electrochemical labels, metal chelates, etc.) as well as molecules that may be indirectly detected by production of a detectable reaction product (e.g., enzymes such as horseradish peroxidase, alkaline phosphatase, etc.) or by a specific binding molecule which itself may be detectable (e.g., biotin, digoxigenin, maltose, oligohistidine, 2,4-dintrobenzene, phenylarsenate, ssDNA, dsDNA, etc.).


Preparation of solid phases and detectable label conjugates often comprise the use of chemical cross-linkers. Cross-linking reagents contain at least two reactive groups, and are divided generally into homofunctional cross-linkers (containing identical reactive groups) and heterofunctional cross-linkers (containing non-identical reactive groups). Homobifunctional cross-linkers that couple through amines, sulfhydryls or react non-specifically are available from many commercial sources. Maleimides, alkyl and aryl halides, alpha-haloacyls and pyridyl disulfides are thiol reactive groups. Maleimides, alkyl and aryl halides, and alpha-haloacyls react with sulfhydryls to form thiol ether bonds, while pyridyl disulfides react with sulfhydryls to produce mixed disulfides. The pyridyl disulfide product is cleavable. Imidoesters are also very useful for protein-protein cross-links. A variety of heterobifunctional cross-linkers, each combining different attributes for successful conjugation, are commercially available.


In certain aspects, the present invention provides kits for the analysis of the described kidney injury markers. The kit comprises reagents for the analysis of at least one test sample which comprise at least one antibody that a kidney injury marker. The kit can also include devices and instructions for performing one or more of the diagnostic and/or prognostic correlations described herein. Preferred kits will comprise an antibody pair for performing a sandwich assay, or a labeled species for performing a competitive assay, for the analyte. Preferably, an antibody pair comprises a first antibody conjugated to a solid phase and a second antibody conjugated to a detectable label, wherein each of the first and second antibodies that bind a kidney injury marker. Most preferably each of the antibodies are monoclonal antibodies. The instructions for use of the kit and performing the correlations can be in the form of labeling, which refers to any written or recorded material that is attached to, or otherwise accompanies a kit at any time during its manufacture, transport, sale or use. For example, the term labeling encompasses advertising leaflets and brochures, packaging materials, instructions, audio or video cassettes, computer discs, as well as writing imprinted directly on kits.


Antibodies


The term “antibody” as used herein refers to a peptide or polypeptide derived from, modeled after or substantially encoded by an immunoglobulin gene or immunoglobulin genes, or fragments thereof, capable of specifically binding an antigen or epitope. See, e.g. Fundamental Immunology, 3rd Edition, W. E. Paul, ed., Raven Press, N.Y. (1993); Wilson (1994; J. Immunol. Methods 175:267-273; Yarmush (1992) J. Biochem. Biophys. Methods 25:85-97. The term antibody includes antigen-binding portions, i.e., “antigen binding sites,” (e.g., fragments, subsequences, complementarity determining regions (CDRs)) that retain capacity to bind antigen, including (i) a Fab fragment, a monovalent fragment consisting of the VL, VH, CL and CH1 domains; (ii) a F(ab′)2 fragment, a bivalent fragment comprising two Fab fragments linked by a disulfide bridge at the hinge region; (iii) a Fd fragment consisting of the VH and CH1 domains; (iv) a Fv fragment consisting of the VL and VH domains of a single arm of an antibody, (v) a dAb fragment (Ward et al., (1989) Nature 341:544-546), which consists of a VH domain; and (vi) an isolated complementarity determining region (CDR). Single chain antibodies are also included by reference in the term “antibody.”


Antibodies used in the immunoassays described herein preferably specifically bind to a kidney injury marker of the present invention. The term “specifically binds” is not intended to indicate that an antibody binds exclusively to its intended target since, as noted above, an antibody binds to any polypeptide displaying the epitope(s) to which the antibody binds. Rather, an antibody “specifically binds” if its affinity for its intended target is about 5-fold greater when compared to its affinity for a non-target molecule which does not display the appropriate epitope(s). Preferably the affinity of the antibody will be at least about 5 fold, preferably 10 fold, more preferably 25-fold, even more preferably 50-fold, and most preferably 100-fold or more, greater for a target molecule than its affinity for a non-target molecule. In preferred embodiments, Preferred antibodies bind with affinities of at least about 107 M−1, and preferably between about 108 M−1 to about 109 M−1, about 109 M−1 to about 1010 M−1, or about 1010 M−1 to about 1012 M−1.


Affinity is calculated as Kd=koff/kon (koff is the dissociation rate constant, Kon is the association rate constant and Kd is the equilibrium constant). Affinity can be determined at equilibrium by measuring the fraction bound (r) of labeled ligand at various concentrations (c). The data are graphed using the Scatchard equation: r/c=K(n−r): where r=moles of bound ligand/mole of receptor at equilibrium; c=free ligand concentration at equilibrium; K=equilibrium association constant; and n=number of ligand binding sites per receptor molecule. By graphical analysis, r/c is plotted on the Y-axis versus r on the X-axis, thus producing a Scatchard plot. Antibody affinity measurement by Scatchard analysis is well known in the art. See, e.g., van Erp et al., J. Immunoassay 12: 425-43, 1991; Nelson and Griswold, Comput. Methods Programs Biomed. 27: 65-8, 1988.


The term “epitope” refers to an antigenic determinant capable of specific binding to an antibody. Epitopes usually consist of chemically active surface groupings of molecules such as amino acids or sugar side chains and usually have specific three dimensional structural characteristics, as well as specific charge characteristics. Conformational and nonconformational epitopes are distinguished in that the binding to the former but not the latter is lost in the presence of denaturing solvents.


Numerous publications discuss the use of phage display technology to produce and screen libraries of polypeptides for binding to a selected analyte. See, e.g, Cwirla et al., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 87, 6378-82, 1990; Devlin et al., Science 249, 404-6, 1990, Scott and Smith, Science 249, 386-88, 1990; and Ladner et al., U.S. Pat. No. 5,571,698. A basic concept of phage display methods is the establishment of a physical association between DNA encoding a polypeptide to be screened and the polypeptide. This physical association is provided by the phage particle, which displays a polypeptide as part of a capsid enclosing the phage genome which encodes the polypeptide. The establishment of a physical association between polypeptides and their genetic material allows simultaneous mass screening of very large numbers of phage bearing different polypeptides. Phage displaying a polypeptide with affinity to a target bind to the target and these phage are enriched by affinity screening to the target. The identity of polypeptides displayed from these phage can be determined from their respective genomes. Using these methods a polypeptide identified as having a binding affinity for a desired target can then be synthesized in bulk by conventional means. See, e.g., U.S. Pat. No. 6,057,098, which is hereby incorporated in its entirety, including all tables, figures, and claims.


The antibodies that are generated by these methods may then be selected by first screening for affinity and specificity with the purified polypeptide of interest and, if required, comparing the results to the affinity and specificity of the antibodies with polypeptides that are desired to be excluded from binding. The screening procedure can involve immobilization of the purified polypeptides in separate wells of microtiter plates. The solution containing a potential antibody or groups of antibodies is then placed into the respective microtiter wells and incubated for about 30 min to 2 h. The microtiter wells are then washed and a labeled secondary antibody (for example, an anti-mouse antibody conjugated to alkaline phosphatase if the raised antibodies are mouse antibodies) is added to the wells and incubated for about 30 min and then washed. Substrate is added to the wells and a color reaction will appear where antibody to the immobilized polypeptide(s) are present.


The antibodies so identified may then be further analyzed for affinity and specificity in the assay design selected. In the development of immunoassays for a target protein, the purified target protein acts as a standard with which to judge the sensitivity and specificity of the immunoassay using the antibodies that have been selected. Because the binding affinity of various antibodies may differ; certain antibody pairs (e.g., in sandwich assays) may interfere with one another sterically, etc., assay performance of an antibody may be a more important measure than absolute affinity and specificity of an antibody.


Assay Correlations


The term “correlating” as used herein in reference to the use of biomarkers refers to comparing the presence or amount of the biomarker(s) in a patient to its presence or amount in persons known to suffer from, or known to be at risk of, a given condition; or in persons known to be free of a given condition. Often, this takes the form of comparing an assay result in the form of a biomarker concentration to a predetermined threshold selected to be indicative of the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a disease or the likelihood of some future outcome.


Selecting a diagnostic threshold involves, among other things, consideration of the probability of disease, distribution of true and false diagnoses at different test thresholds, and estimates of the consequences of treatment (or a failure to treat) based on the diagnosis. For example, when considering administering a specific therapy which is highly efficacious and has a low level of risk, few tests are needed because clinicians can accept substantial diagnostic uncertainty. On the other hand, in situations where treatment options are less effective and more risky, clinicians often need a higher degree of diagnostic certainty. Thus, cost/benefit analysis is involved in selecting a diagnostic threshold.


Suitable thresholds may be determined in a variety of ways. For example, one recommended diagnostic threshold for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction using cardiac troponin is the 97.5th percentile of the concentration seen in a normal population. Another method may be to look at serial samples from the same patient, where a prior “baseline” result is used to monitor for temporal changes in a biomarker level.


Population studies may also be used to select a decision threshold. Reciever Operating Characteristic (“ROC”) arose from the field of signal dectection theory developed during World War II for the analysis of radar images, and ROC analysis is often used to select a threshold able to best distinguish a “diseased” subpopulation from a “nondiseased” subpopulation. A false positive in this case occurs when the person tests positive, but actually does not have the disease. A false negative, on the other hand, occurs when the person tests negative, suggesting they are healthy, when they actually do have the disease. To draw a ROC curve, the true positive rate (TPR) and false positive rate (FPR) are determined as the decision threshold is varied continuously. Since TPR is equivalent with sensitivity and FPR is equal to 1-specificity, the ROC graph is sometimes called the sensitivity vs (1-specificity) plot. A perfect test will have an area under the ROC curve of 1.0; a random test will have an area of 0.5. A threshold is selected to provide an acceptable level of specificity and sensitivity.


In this context, “diseased” is meant to refer to a population having one characteristic (the presence of a disease or condition or the occurrence of some outcome) and “nondiseased” is meant to refer to a population lacking the characteristic. While a single decision threshold is the simplest application of such a method, multiple decision thresholds may be used. For example, below a first threshold, the absence of disease may be assigned with relatively high confidence, and above a second threshold the presence of disease may also be assigned with relatively high confidence. Between the two thresholds may be considered indeterminate. This is meant to be exemplary in nature only.


In addition to threshold comparisons, other methods for correlating assay results to a patient classification (occurrence or nonoccurrence of disease, likelihood of an outcome, etc.) include decision trees, rule sets, Bayesian methods, and neural network methods. These methods can produce probability values representing the degree to which a subject belongs to one classification out of a plurality of classifications.


Measures of test accuracy may be obtained as described in Fischer et al., Intensive Care Med. 29: 1043-51, 2003, and used to determine the effectiveness of a given biomarker. These measures include sensitivity and specificity, predictive values, likelihood ratios, diagnostic odds ratios, and ROC curve areas. The area under the curve (“AUC”) of a ROC plot is equal to the probability that a classifier will rank a randomly chosen positive instance higher than a randomly chosen negative one. The area under the ROC curve may be thought of as equivalent to the Mann-Whitney U test, which tests for the median difference between scores obtained in the two groups considered if the groups are of continuous data, or to the Wilcoxon test of ranks.


As discussed above, suitable tests may exhibit one or more of the following results on these various measures: a specificity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably at least 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9 and most preferably at least 0.95, with a corresponding sensitivity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than 0.3, more preferably greater than 0.4, still more preferably at least 0.5, even more preferably 0.6, yet more preferably greater than 0.7, still more preferably greater than 0.8, more preferably greater than 0.9, and most preferably greater than 0.95; a sensitivity of greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably at least 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9 and most preferably at least 0.95, with a corresponding specificity greater than 0.2, preferably greater than 0.3, more preferably greater than 0.4, still more preferably at least 0.5, even more preferably 0.6, yet more preferably greater than 0.7, still more preferably greater than 0.8, more preferably greater than 0.9, and most preferably greater than 0.95; at least 75% sensitivity, combined with at least 75% specificity; a ROC curve area of greater than 0.5, preferably at least 0.6, more preferably 0.7, still more preferably at least 0.8, even more preferably at least 0.9, and most preferably at least 0.95; an odds ratio different from 1, preferably at least about 2 or more or about 0.5 or less, more preferably at least about 3 or more or about 0.33 or less, still more preferably at least about 4 or more or about 0.25 or less, even more preferably at least about 5 or more or about 0.2 or less, and most preferably at least about 10 or more or about 0.1 or less; a positive likelihood ratio (calculated as sensitivity/(1-specificity)) of greater than 1, at least 2, more preferably at least 3, still more preferably at least 5, and most preferably at least 10; and or a negative likelihood ratio (calculated as (1-sensitivity)/specificity) of less than 1, less than or equal to 0.5, more preferably less than or equal to 0.3, and most preferably less than or equal to 0.1


Additional clinical indicia may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) of the present invention. These include other biomarkers related to renal status. Examples include the following, which recite the common biomarker name, followed by the Swiss-Prot entry number for that biomarker or its parent: Actin (P68133); Adenosine deaminase binding protein (DPP4, P27487); Alpha-1-acid glycoprotein 1 (P02763); Alpha-1-microglobulin (P02760); Albumin (P02768); Angiotensinogenase (Renin, P00797); Annexin A2 (P07355); Beta-glucuronidase (P08236); B-2-microglobulin (P61769); Beta-galactosidase (P16278); BMP-7 (P18075); Brain natriuretic peptide (proBNP, BNP-32, NTproBNP; P16860); Calcium-binding protein Beta (S100-beta, P04271); Carbonic anhydrase 9 (Q16790); Casein Kinase 2 (P68400); Clusterin (P10909); Complement C3 (P01024); Cysteine-rich protein (CYR61, O00622); Cytochrome C (P99999); Epidermal growth factor (EGF, P01133); Endothelin-1 (P05305); Exosomal Fetuin-A (P02765); Fatty acid-binding protein, heart (FABP3, P05413); Fatty acid-binding protein, liver (P07148); Ferritin (light chain, P02792; heavy chain P02794); Fructose-1,6-biphosphatase (P09467); GRO-alpha (CXCL1, (P09341); Growth Hormone (P01241); Hepatocyte growth factor (P14210); Insulin-like growth factor I (P05019); Immunoglobulin G; Immunoglobulin Light Chains (Kappa and Lambda); Interferon gamma (P01308); Lysozyme (P61626); Interleukin-1alpha (P01583); Interleukin-2 (P60568); Interleukin-4 (P05112); Interleukin-9 (P15248); Interleukin-12p40 (P29460); Interleukin-13 (P35225); Interleukin-16 (Q14005); L1 cell adhesion molecule (P32004); Lactate dehydrogenase (P00338); Leucine Aminopeptidase (P28838); Meprin A-alpha subunit (Q16819); Meprin A-beta subunit (Q16820); Midkine (P21741); MIP2-alpha (CXCL2, P19875); MMP-2 (P08253); MMP-9 (P14780); Netrin-1 (O95631); Neutral endopeptidase (P08473); Osteopontin (O14788); Renal papillary antigen 1 (RPA1); Renal papillary antigen 2 (RPA2); Retinol binding protein (P09455); Ribonuclease; S100 calcium-binding protein A6 (P06703); Serum Amyloid P Component (P02743); Sodium/Hydrogen exchanger isoform (NHE3, P48764); Spermidine/spermine N1-acetyltransferase (P21673); TGF-Beta1 (P01137); Transferrin (P02787); Trefoil factor 3 (TFF3, Q07654); Toll-Like protein 4 (O00206); Total protein; Tubulointerstitial nephritis antigen (Q9UJW2); Uromodulin (Tamm-Horsfall protein, P07911).


For purposes of risk stratification, Adiponectin (Q15848); Alkaline phosphatase (P05186); Aminopeptidase N (P15144); CalbindinD28k (P05937); Cystatin C (P01034); 8 subunit of FIFO ATPase (P03928); Gamma-glutamyltransferase (P19440); GSTa (alpha-glutathione-S-transferase, P08263); GSTpi (Glutathione-S-transferase P; GST class-pi; P09211); IGFBP-1 (P08833); IGFBP-2 (P18065); IGFBP-6 (P24592); Integral membrane protein 1 (Itm1, P46977); Interleukin-6 (P05231); Interleukin-8 (P10145); Interleukin-18 (Q14116); IP-10 (10 kDa interferon-gamma-induced protein, P02778); IRPR (IFRD1, O00458); Isovaleryl-CoA dehydrogenase (IVD, P26440); I-TAC/CXCL11 (O14625); Keratin 19 (P08727); Kim-1 (Hepatitis A virus cellular receptor 1, 043656); L-arginine:glycine amidinotransferase (P50440); Leptin (P41159); Lipocalin2 (NGAL, P80188); MCP-1 (P13500); MIG (Gamma-interferon-induced monokine Q07325); MIP-la (P10147); MIP-3a (P78556); MIP-1beta (P13236); MIP-1d (Q16663); NAG (N-acetyl-beta-D-glucosaminidase, P54802); Organic ion transporter (OCT2, O15244); Osteoprotegerin (O14788); P8 protein (O60356); Plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 (PAI-1, P05121); ProANP (1-98) (P01160); Protein phosphatase 1-beta (PPI-beta, P62140); Rab GDI-beta (P50395); Renal kallikrein (P06870); RT1.B-1 (alpha) chain of the integral membrane protein (Q5Y7A8); soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 1A (sTNFR-I, P19438); soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 1B (sTNFR-II, P20333); Tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases 3 (TIMP-3, P35625); uPAR (Q03405) may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) of the present invention.


Other clinical indicia which may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) of the present invention includes demographic information (e.g., weight, sex, age, race), medical history (e.g., family history, type of surgery, pre-existing disease such as aneurism, congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, or sepsis, type of toxin exposure such as NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin), clinical variables (e.g., blood pressure, temperature, respiration rate), risk scores (APACHE score, PREDICT score, TIMI Risk Score for UA/NSTEMI, Framingham Risk Score), a urine total protein measurement, a glomerular filtration rate, an estimated glomerular filtration rate, a urine production rate, a serum or plasma creatinine concentration, a renal papillary antigen 1 (RPA1) measurement; a renal papillary antigen 2 (RPA2) measurement; a urine creatinine concentration, a fractional excretion of sodium, a urine sodium concentration, a urine creatinine to serum or plasma creatinine ratio, a urine specific gravity, a urine osmolality, a urine urea nitrogen to plasma urea nitrogen ratio, a plasma BUN to creatnine ratio, and/or a renal failure index calculated as urine sodium/(urine creatinine/plasma creatinine). Other measures of renal function which may be combined with the kidney injury marker assay result(s) are described hereinafter and in Harrison's Principles of Internal Medicine, 17th Ed., McGraw Hill, New York, pages 1741-1830, and Current Medical Diagnosis & Treatment 2008, 47th Ed, McGraw Hill, New York, pages 785-815, each of which are hereby incorporated by reference in their entirety.


Combining assay results/clinical indicia in this manner can comprise the use of multivariate logistical regression, loglinear modeling, neural network analysis, n-of-m analysis, decision tree analysis, etc. This list is not meant to be limiting.


Diagnosis of Acute Renal Failure


As noted above, the terms “acute renal (or kidney) injury” and “acute renal (or kidney) failure” as used herein are defined in part in terms of changes in serum creatinine from a baseline value. Most definitions of ARF have common elements, including the use of serum creatinine and, often, urine output. Patients may present with renal dysfunction without an available baseline measure of renal function for use in this comparison. In such an event, one may estimate a baseline serum creatinine value by assuming the patient initially had a normal GFR. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is the volume of fluid filtered from the renal (kidney) glomerular capillaries into the Bowman's capsule per unit time. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) can be calculated by measuring any chemical that has a steady level in the blood, and is freely filtered but neither reabsorbed nor secreted by the kidneys. GFR is typically expressed in units of ml/min:






GFR
=


Urine





Concentration
×
Urine





Flow


Plasma





Concentration






By normalizing the GFR to the body surface area, a GFR of approximately 75-100 ml/min per 1.73 m2 can be assumed. The rate therefore measured is the quantity of the substance in the urine that originated from a calculable volume of blood.


There are several different techniques used to calculate or estimate the glomerular filtration rate (GFR or eGFR). In clinical practice, however, creatinine clearance is used to measure GFR. Creatinine is produced naturally by the body (creatinine is a metabolite of creatine, which is found in muscle). It is freely filtered by the glomerulus, but also actively secreted by the renal tubules in very small amounts such that creatinine clearance overestimates actual GFR by 10-20%. This margin of error is acceptable considering the ease with which creatinine clearance is measured.


Creatinine clearance (CCr) can be calculated if values for creatinine's urine concentration (UCr), urine flow rate (V), and creatinine's plasma concentration (PCr) are known. Since the product of urine concentration and urine flow rate yields creatinine's excretion rate, creatinine clearance is also said to be its excretion rate (UCr×V) divided by its plasma concentration. This is commonly represented mathematically as:







C
Cr

=



U
Cr

×
V


P
Cr






Commonly a 24 hour urine collection is undertaken, from empty-bladder one morning to the contents of the bladder the following morning, with a comparative blood test then taken:







C
Cr

=



U
Cr

×
24


-


hour





volume



P
Cr

×
24
×
60





mins






To allow comparison of results between people of different sizes, the CCr is often corrected for the body surface area (BSA) and expressed compared to the average sized man as ml/min/1.73 m2. While most adults have a BSA that approaches 1.7 (1.6-1.9), extremely obese or slim patients should have their CCr corrected for their actual BSA:







C

Cr
-
corrected


=



C
Cr

×
1.73

BSA





The accuracy of a creatinine clearance measurement (even when collection is complete) is limited because as glomerular filtration rate (GFR) falls creatinine secretion is increased, and thus the rise in serum creatinine is less. Thus, creatinine excretion is much greater than the filtered load, resulting in a potentially large overestimation of the GFR (as much as a twofold difference). However, for clinical purposes it is important to determine whether renal function is stable or getting worse or better. This is often determined by monitoring serum creatinine alone. Like creatinine clearance, the serum creatinine will not be an accurate reflection of GFR in the non-steady-state condition of ARF. Nonetheless, the degree to which serum creatinine changes from baseline will reflect the change in GFR. Serum creatinine is readily and easily measured and it is specific for renal function.


For purposes of determining urine output on a Urine output on a mL/kg/hr basis, hourly urine collection and measurement is adequate. In the case where, for example, only a cumulative 24-h output was available and no patient weights are provided, minor modifications of the RIFLE urine output criteria have been described. For example, Bagshaw et al., Nephrol. Dial. Transplant. 23: 1203-1210, 2008, assumes an average patient weight of 70 kg, and patients are assigned a RIFLE classification based on the following: <35 mL/h (Risk), <21 mL/h (Injury) or <4 mL/h (Failure).


Selecting a Treatment Regimen


Once a diagnosis is obtained, the clinician can readily select a treatment regimen that is compatible with the diagnosis, such as initiating renal replacement therapy, withdrawing delivery of compounds that are known to be damaging to the kidney, kidney transplantation, delaying or avoiding procedures that are known to be damaging to the kidney, modifying diuretic administration, initiating goal directed therapy, etc. The skilled artisan is aware of appropriate treatments for numerous diseases discussed in relation to the methods of diagnosis described herein. See, e.g., Merck Manual of Diagnosis and Therapy, 17th Ed. Merck Research Laboratories, Whitehouse Station, N J, 1999. In addition, since the methods and compositions described herein provide prognostic information, the markers of the present invention may be used to monitor a course of treatment. For example, improved or worsened prognostic state may indicate that a particular treatment is or is not efficacious.


One skilled in the art readily appreciates that the present invention is well adapted to carry out the objects and obtain the ends and advantages mentioned, as well as those inherent therein. The examples provided herein are representative of preferred embodiments, are exemplary, and are not intended as limitations on the scope of the invention.


Example 1: Contrast-Induced Nephropathy Sample Collection

The objective of this sample collection study is to collect samples of plasma and urine and clinical data from patients before and after receiving intravascular contrast media. Approximately 250 adults undergoing radiographic/angiographic procedures involving intravascular administration of iodinated contrast media are enrolled. To be enrolled in the study, each patient must meet all of the following inclusion criteria and none of the following exclusion criteria:


Inclusion Criteria






    • males and females 18 years of age or older;

    • undergoing a radiographic/angiographic procedure (such as a CT scan or coronary intervention) involving the intravascular administration of contrast media;

    • expected to be hospitalized for at least 48 hours after contrast administration.

    • able and willing to provide written informed consent for study participation and to comply with all study procedures.


      Exclusion Criteria

    • renal transplant recipients;

    • acutely worsening renal function prior to the contrast procedure;

    • already receiving dialysis (either acute or chronic) or in imminent need of dialysis at enrollment;

    • expected to undergo a major surgical procedure (such as involving cardiopulmonary bypass) or an additional imaging procedure with contrast media with significant risk for further renal insult within the 48 hrs following contrast administration;

    • participation in an interventional clinical study with an experimental therapy within the previous 30 days;

    • known infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or a hepatitis virus.





Immediately prior to the first contrast administration (and after any pre-procedure hydration), an EDTA anti-coagulated blood sample (10 mL) and a urine sample (10 mL) are collected from each patient. Blood and urine samples are then collected at 4 (±0.5), 8 (±1), 24 (±2) 48 (±2), and 72 (±2) hrs following the last administration of contrast media during the index contrast procedure. Blood is collected via direct venipuncture or via other available venous access, such as an existing femoral sheath, central venous line, peripheral intravenous line or hep-lock. These study blood samples are processed to plasma at the clinical site, frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc., San Diego, CA. The study urine samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc.


Serum creatinine is assessed at the site immediately prior to the first contrast administration (after any pre-procedure hydration) and at 4 (±0.5), 8 (±1), 24 (±2) and 48 (±2)), and 72 (±2) hours following the last administration of contrast (ideally at the same time as the study samples are obtained). In addition, each patient's status is evaluated through day 30 with regard to additional serum and urine creatinine measurements, a need for dialysis, hospitalization status, and adverse clinical outcomes (including mortality).


Prior to contrast administration, each patient is assigned a risk based on the following assessment: systolic blood pressure <80 mm Hg=5 points; intra-arterial balloon pump=5 points; congestive heart failure (Class III-IV or history of pulmonary edema)=5 points; age >75 yrs=4 points; hematocrit level <39% for men, <35% for women=3 points; diabetes=3 points; contrast media volume=1 point for each 100 mL; serum creatinine level >1.5 g/dL=4 points OR estimated GFR 40-60 mL/min/1.73 m2=2 points, 20-40 mL/min/1.73 m2=4 points, <20 mL/min/1.73 m2=6 points. The risks assigned are as follows: risk for CIN and dialysis: 5 or less total points=risk of CIN—7.5%, risk of dialysis—0.04%; 6-10 total points=risk of CIN—14%, risk of dialysis—0.12%; 11-16 total points=risk of CIN—26.1%, risk of dialysis—1.09%; >16 total points=risk of CIN—57.3%, risk of dialysis—12.8%.


Example 2: Cardiac Surgery Sample Collection

The objective of this sample collection study is to collect samples of plasma and urine and clinical data from patients before and after undergoing cardiovascular surgery, a procedure known to be potentially damaging to kidney function. Approximately 900 adults undergoing such surgery are enrolled. To be enrolled in the study, each patient must meet all of the following inclusion criteria and none of the following exclusion criteria:


Inclusion Criteria






    • males and females 18 years of age or older;

    • undergoing cardiovascular surgery;

    • Toronto/Ottawa Predictive Risk Index for Renal Replacement risk score of at least 2 (Wijeysundera et al., JAMA 297: 1801-9, 2007); and

    • able and willing to provide written informed consent for study participation and to comply with all study procedures.


      Exclusion Criteria

    • known pregnancy;

    • previous renal transplantation;

    • acutely worsening renal function prior to enrollment (e.g., any category of RIFLE criteria);

    • already receiving dialysis (either acute or chronic) or in imminent need of dialysis at enrollment;

    • currently enrolled in another clinical study or expected to be enrolled in another clinical study within 7 days of cardiac surgery that involves drug infusion or a therapeutic intervention for AKI;

    • known infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or a hepatitis virus.





Within 3 hours prior to the first incision (and after any pre-procedure hydration), an EDTA anti-coagulated blood sample (10 mL), whole blood (3 mL), and a urine sample (35 mL) are collected from each patient. Blood and urine samples are then collected at 3 (±0.5), 6 (±0.5), 12 (±1), 24 (±2) and 48 (±2) hrs following the procedure and then daily on days 3 through 7 if the subject remains in the hospital. Blood is collected via direct venipuncture or via other available venous access, such as an existing femoral sheath, central venous line, peripheral intravenous line or hep-lock. These study blood samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc., San Diego, CA. The study urine samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc.


Example 3: Acutely Ill Subject Sample Collection

The objective of this study is to collect samples from acutely ill patients. Approximately 900 adults expected to be in the ICU for at least 48 hours will be enrolled. To be enrolled in the study, each patient must meet all of the following inclusion criteria and none of the following exclusion criteria:


Inclusion Criteria






    • males and females 18 years of age or older;

    • Study population 1: approximately 300 patients that have at least one of:

    • shock (SBP <90 mmHg and/or need for vasopressor support to maintain MAP >60 mmHg and/or documented drop in SBP of at least 40 mmHg); and

    • sepsis;


      Study population 2: approximately 300 patients that have at least one of:

    • IV antibiotics ordered in computerized physician order entry (CPOE) within 24 hours of enrollment;

    • contrast media exposure within 24 hours of enrollment;

    • increased Intra-Abdominal Pressure with acute decompensated heart failure; and

    • severe trauma as the primary reason for ICU admission and likely to be hospitalized in the ICU for 48 hours after enrollment;


      Study population 3: approximately 300 patients

    • expected to be hospitalized through acute care setting (ICU or ED) with a known risk factor for acute renal injury (e.g. sepsis, hypotension/shock (Shock=systolic BP<90 mmHg and/or the need for vasopressor support to maintain a MAP >60 mmHg and/or a documented drop in SBP >40 mmHg), major trauma, hemorrhage, or major surgery); and/or expected to be hospitalized to the ICU for at least 24 hours after enrollment.


      Exclusion Criteria

    • known pregnancy;

    • institutionalized individuals;

    • previous renal transplantation;

    • known acutely worsening renal function prior to enrollment (e.g., any category of RIFLE criteria);

    • received dialysis (either acute or chronic) within 5 days prior to enrollment or in imminent need of dialysis at the time of enrollment;

    • known infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or a hepatitis virus;

    • meets only the SBP <90 mmHg inclusion criterion set forth above, and does not have shock in the attending physician's or principal investigator's opinion.





After providing informed consent, an EDTA anti-coagulated blood sample (10 mL) and a urine sample (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient. Blood and urine samples are then collected at 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. Blood is collected via direct venipuncture or via other available venous access, such as an existing femoral sheath, central venous line, peripheral intravenous line or hep-lock. These study blood samples are processed to plasma at the clinical site, frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc., San Diego, CA. The study urine samples are frozen and shipped to Astute Medical, Inc.


Example 4. Immunoassay Format

Analytes are measured using standard sandwich enzyme immunoassay techniques. A first antibody which binds the analyte is immobilized in wells of a 96 well polystyrene microplate. Analyte standards and test samples are pipetted into the appropriate wells and any analyte present is bound by the immobilized antibody. After washing away any unbound substances, a horseradish peroxidase-conjugated second antibody which binds the analyte is added to the wells, thereby forming sandwich complexes with the analyte (if present) and the first antibody. Following a wash to remove any unbound antibody-enzyme reagent, a substrate solution comprising tetramethylbenzidine and hydrogen peroxide is added to the wells. Color develops in proportion to the amount of analyte present in the sample. The color development is stopped and the intensity of the color is measured at 540 nm or 570 nm. An analyte concentration is assigned to the test sample by comparison to a standard curve determined from the analyte standards. Units for C-C motif chemokine 16 reported herein are ng/mL. Units for C-C motif chemokine 14 reported herein are ng/mL. Units for soluble Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO reported herein are ng/mL.


Example 5. Apparently Healthy Donor and Chronic Disease Patient Samples

Human urine samples from donors with no known chronic or acute disease (“Apparently Healthy Donors”) were purchased from two vendors (Golden West Biologicals, Inc., 27625 Commerce Center Dr., Temecula, CA. 92590 and Virginia Medical Research, Inc., 915 First Colonial Rd., Virginia Beach, VA 23454). The urine samples were shipped and stored frozen at less than −20° C. The vendors supplied demographic information for the individual donors including gender, race (Black/White), smoking status and age.


Human urine samples from donors with various chronic diseases (“Chronic Disease Patients”) including congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes mellitus and hypertension were purchased from Virginia Medical Research, Inc., 915 First Colonial Rd., Virginia Beach, VA 23454. The urine samples were shipped and stored frozen at less than −20 degrees centigrade. The vendor provided a case report form for each individual donor with age, gender, race (Black/White), smoking status and alcohol use, height, weight, chronic disease(s) diagnosis, current medications and previous surgeries.


Example 6. Use of C-C Motif Chemokine 14 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and a urine samples (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. C-C motif chemokine 14 is measured in the earliest samples collected while the patients were in RIFLE I or F by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output during a period starting at 12, 24, 48, or 72 hours after sample collection or at any time within 7 days after sample collection. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0). “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F). If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) within 9 days of enrollment, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 6.1







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 12 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.475
1.19
0.547
1.15
0.805
1.04


Average
0.567
2.10
0.625
2.06
0.744
2.02


Stdev
0.332
2.12
0.365
2.11
0.384
2.10


p (t-test)

6.1E−7

1.9E−5

0.0017


Min
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121


Max
1.16
7.86
1.16
7.86
1.16
7.86


n (Patient)
8
73
6
75
4
77










sCr only













Median
0.551
1.58
0.557
1.38
0.611
1.20


Average
0.964
2.53
1.01
2.45
1.04
2.38


Stdev
0.898
2.32
0.916
2.31
0.939
2.30


p (t-test)

6.0E−5

1.7E−4

4.4E−4


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
3.52
7.86
3.52
7.86
3.52
7.86


n (Patient)
30
51
28
53
26
55










UO only













Median
0.640
1.33
0.838
1.26
1.04
1.19


Average
1.21
2.18
1.30
2.15
1.42
2.09


Stdev
1.33
2.13
1.36
2.13
1.38
2.13


p (t-test)

0.068

0.13

0.25


Min
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121


Max
4.74
7.86
4.74
7.86
4.74
7.86


n (Patient)
11
61
10
62
9
64




















sCr
sCr
UO
sCr
sCr
UO
sCr
sCr
UO



or UO
only
only
or UO
only
only
or UO
only
only





AUC
0.75
0.71
0.65
0.71
0.68
0.61
0.65
0.67
0.56


SE
0.076
0.057
0.084
0.094
0.060
0.091
0.13
0.062
0.100


p Value
8.8E−4
2.0E−4
0.076
0.024
0.0022
0.24
0.24
0.0070
0.57


nCohort Recovered
8
30
11
6
28
10
4
26
9


nCohort Non-recovered
73
51
61
75
53
62
77
55
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.460
0.460
0.525
0.460
0.460
0.502
0.460
0.460
0.474


Sensitivity
 77%
80%
77%
 75%
77%
74%
 74%
78%
72%


Specificity
 50%
37%
36%
 33%
32%
20%
 25%
35%
11%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.04
1.04
1.15
1.04
1.04
1.15
1.04
1.04
1.15


Sensitivity
 52%
57%
54%
 51%
55%
53%
 49%
53%
52%


Specificity
 75%
63%
73%
 67%
61%
70%
 50%
58%
67%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2.87
2.87
2.94
2.87
2.87
2.94
2.87
2.87
2.91


Sensitivity
 27%
35%
28%
 27%
34%
27%
 26%
33%
27%


Specificity
100%
93%
91%
100%
93%
90%
100%
92%
89%


OR Quartile 2
3.29
2.37
1.92
1.47
1.62
0.719
0.950
1.90
0.319


p Value
0.12
0.095
0.35
0.67
0.36
0.69
0.97
0.22
0.30


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.744
0.861
0.490
0.250
0.583
0.138
0.0934
0.677
0.0372


Upper limit of 95% CI
14.6
6.55
7.52
8.70
4.49
3.74
9.67
5.32
2.74


OR Quartile 3
3.26
2.28
3.14
2.05
1.87
2.66
0.974
1.52
2.13


p Value
0.16
0.082
0.11
0.42
0.19
0.18
0.98
0.38
0.31


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.616
0.901
0.760
0.355
0.736
0.628
0.131
0.594
0.489


Upper limit of 95% CI
17.2
5.75
13.0
11.9
4.74
11.2
7.27
3.90
9.26


OR Quartile 4
6.51
7.64
3.86
4.80
6.69
3.40
3.21
5.84
2.89


p Value
0.20
0.0099
0.21
0.29
0.016
0.26
0.44
0.026
0.33


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.359
1.63
0.459
0.259
1.42
0.400
0.165
1.24
0.337


Upper limit of 95% CI
118
35.8
32.5
89.1
31.4
28.9
62.2
27.5
24.9
















TABLE 6.2







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.









Recovery Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-



Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.545
1.19
1.04
1.09
1.05
1.03


Average
0.882
2.14
1.06
2.07
1.17
2.05


Stdev
0.714
2.16
0.765
2.14
0.748
2.14


p (t-test)

7.0E−4

0.015

0.042


Min
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121


Max
2.75
7.86
2.75
7.86
2.75
7.86


n (Patient)
11
69
8
72
7
73










sCr only













Median
0.556
1.60
0.651
1.48
0.651
1.48


Average
0.967
2.61
1.02
2.48
1.02
2.48


Stdev
0.884
2.34
0.914
2.32
0.914
2.32


p (t-test)

4.3E−5

1.8E−4

1.8E−4


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
3.52
7.86
3.52
7.86
3.52
7.86


n (Patient)
31
49
28
52
28
52










UO only













Median
1.04
1.19
1.05
1.19
1.11
1.15


Average
1.34
2.16
1.42
2.12
1.51
2.05


Stdev
1.21
2.10
1.22
2.10
1.22
2.09


p (t-test)

0.073

0.13

0.26


Min
0.212
0.121
0.212
0.121
0.212
0.121


Max
4.74
6.66
4.74
6.66
4.74
6.66


n (Patient)
14
54
13
55
12
57




















sCr
sCr
UO
sCr
sCr
UO
sCr
sCr
UO



or UO
only
only
or UO
only
only
or UO
only
only





AUC
0.67
0.72
0.59
0.60
0.69
0.55
0.54
0.69
0.50


SE
0.080
0.057
0.083
0.10
0.060
0.087
0.11
0.060
0.092


p Value
0.036
1.5E−4
0.29
0.33
0.0019
0.58
0.71
0.0019
1.0


nCohort Recovered
11
31
14
8
28
13
7
28
12


nCohort Non-recovered
69
49
54
72
52
55
73
52
57


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.457
0.457
0.525
0.457
0.457
0.502
0.457
0.457
0.474


Sensitivity
 77%
82%
76%
 75%
81%
73%
 74%
81%
70%


Specificity
 36%
35%
29%
 25%
36%
15%
 14%
36%
 8%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.04
1.04
1.15
1.04
1.04
1.15
1.04
1.04
1.15


Sensitivity
 52%
59%
52%
 50%
56%
51%
 49%
56%
49%


Specificity
 64%
65%
57%
 50%
61%
54%
 43%
61%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2.88
2.88
2.94
2.88
2.88
2.94
2.88
2.88
2.91


Sensitivity
 29%
37%
30%
 28%
35%
29%
 27%
35%
28%


Specificity
100%
94%
93%
100%
93%
92%
100%
93%
92%


OR Quartile 2
1.89
2.44
1.26
1.00
2.33
0.485
0.474
2.33
0.214


p Value
0.35
0.089
0.73
1.0
0.11
0.38
0.50
0.11
0.15


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.491
0.871
0.338
0.185
0.828
0.0960
0.0535
0.828
0.0256


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.30
6.86
4.71
5.40
6.57
2.45
4.19
6.57
1.79


OR Quartile 3
1.91
2.64
1.44
1.00
1.95
1.21
0.730
1.95
0.966


p Value
0.34
0.041
0.55
1.0
0.16
0.76
0.69
0.16
0.96


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.512
1.04
0.439
0.232
0.765
0.360
0.152
0.765
0.278


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.12
6.69
4.70
4.31
4.96
4.06
3.49
4.96
3.35


OR Quartile 4
9.53
8.42
5.47
6.64
6.88
4.92
5.75
6.88
4.29


p Value
0.12
0.0069
0.12
0.20
0.015
0.14
0.24
0.015
0.18


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.536
1.79
0.660
0.366
1.46
0.590
0.314
1.46
0.512


Upper limit of 95% CI
169
39.5
45.4
120
32.3
41.1
105
32.3
36.0
















TABLE 6.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
1.04
1.19
1.05
1.03
1.05
1.03


Average
1.18
2.29
1.27
2.22
1.27
2.22


Stdev
0.991
2.30
0.993
2.29
0.993
2.29


p (t-test)

0.0038

0.012

0.012


Min
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121


Max
3.52
7.86
3.52
7.86
3.52
7.86


n (Patient)
23
57
21
59
21
59







sCr only













Median
0.653
1.58
0.640
1.48
0.640
1.48


Average
1.17
2.50
1.16
2.47
1.16
2.47


Stdev
1.27
2.32
1.29
2.30
1.29
2.30


p (t-test)

0.0020

0.0022

0.0022


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
6.43
7.86
6.43
7.86
6.43
7.86


n (Patient)
34
45
33
46
33
46







UO only













Median
1.10
1.33
1.24
1.19
1.24
1.19


Average
1.47
2.48
1.58
2.32
1.58
2.32


Stdev
1.23
2.32
1.24
2.30
1.24
2.30


p (t-test)

0.036

0.12

0.12


Min
0.212
0.121
0.212
0.121
0.212
0.121


Max
4.74
6.66
4.74
6.66
4.74
6.66


n (Patient)
22
37
20
40
20
40














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.61
0.68
0.58
0.56
0.69
0.52
0.56
0.69
0.52


SE
0.067
0.060
0.076
0.072
0.059
0.079
0.072
0.059
0.079


p Value
0.099
0.0028
0.29
0.38
0.0018
0.80
0.38
0.0018
0.80


nCohort
23
34
22
21
33
20
21
33
20


Recovered











nCohort Non-
57
45
37
59
46
40
59
46
40


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.457
0.454
0.520
0.457
0.454
0.502
0.457
0.454
0.502


Sensitivity
75%
82%
73%
73%
83%
68%
73%
83%
68%


Specificity
26%
35%
23%
19%
36%
10%
19%
36%
10%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.04
1.04
1.20
1.04
1.04
1.19
1.04
1.04
1.19


Sensitivity
51%
56%
51%
49%
57%
50%
49%
57%
50%


Specificity
52%
59%
55%
48%
61%
50%
48%
61%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2.88
2.82
2.98
2.88
2.82
2.94
2.88
2.82
2.94


Sensitivity
32%
38%
32%
31%
37%
30%
31%
37%
30%


Specificity
91%
91%
86%
90%
91%
85%
90%
91%
85%


OR Quartile 2
1.08
2.52
0.794
0.632
2.71
0.231
0.632
2.71
0.231


p Value
0.89
0.081
0.71
0.47
0.060
0.073
0.47
0.060
0.073


Lower limit of
0.358
0.893
0.231
0.185
0.958
0.0464
0.185
0.958
0.0464


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.29
7.13
2.73
2.17
7.69
1.15
2.17
7.69
1.15


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.13
1.79
1.27
0.879
2.00
1.00
0.879
2.00
1.00


p Value
0.80
0.21
0.66
0.80
0.14
1.0
0.80
0.14
1.0


Lower limit of
0.429
0.725
0.440
0.324
0.805
0.342
0.324
0.805
0.342


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.98
4.40
3.65
2.38
4.97
2.93
2.38
4.97
2.93


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
4.85
6.27
3.04
4.17
5.86
2.43
4.17
5.86
2.43


p Value
0.047
0.0068
0.12
0.073
0.0091
0.21
0.073
0.0091
0.21


Lower limit of
1.02
1.66
0.751
0.877
1.55
0.598
0.877
1.55
0.598


95% CI











Upper limit of
22.9
23.7
12.3
19.8
22.1
9.86
19.8
22.1
9.86


95% CI

























TABLE 6.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.838
1.19
1.04
1.11
1.04
1.11


Average
1.11
2.37
1.14
2.33
1.14
2.33


Stdev
0.912
2.35
0.915
2.34
0.915
2.34


p (t-test)

0.0012

0.0020

0.0020


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
3.52
7.86
3.52
7.86
3.52
7.86


n (Patient)
26
53
25
54
25
54







sCr only













Median
0.665
1.19
0.653
1.20
0.848
1.19


Average
1.36
2.33
1.25
2.40
1.31
2.31


Stdev
1.58
2.29
1.46
2.31
1.49
2.30


p (t-test)

0.034

0.010

0.025


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
6.43
7.86
6.43
7.86
6.43
7.86


n (Patient)
35
42
34
43
32
45







UO only













Median
1.05
1.33
1.10
1.26
1.10
1.26


Average
1.80
2.43
1.89
2.38
1.89
2.38


Stdev
1.74
2.27
1.75
2.26
1.75
2.26


p (t-test)

0.28

0.42

0.42


Min
0.212
0.121
0.212
0.121
0.212
0.121


Max
6.26
6.66
6.26
6.66
6.26
6.66


n (Patient)
17
35
16
36
16
36














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.63
0.64
0.57
0.61
0.66
0.53
0.61
0.62
0.53


SE
0.064
0.063
0.084
0.066
0.062
0.087
0.066
0.064
0.087


p Value
0.038
0.025
0.43
0.089
0.0091
0.70
0.089
0.055
0.70


nCohort Recovered
26
35
17
25
34
16
25
32
16


nCohort Non-
53
42
35
54
43
36
54
45
36


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.454
0.448
0.525
0.454
0.448
0.525
0.454
0.448
0.525


Sensitivity
77%
81%
74%
76%
81%
72%
76%
78%
72%


Specificity
31%
34%
24%
28%
35%
19%
28%
31%
19%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.04
1.03
1.19
1.04
1.03
1.19
1.04
1.03
1.19


Sensitivity
51%
52%
54%
50%
53%
53%
50%
51%
53%


Specificity
54%
54%
59%
52%
56%
56%
52%
53%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2.82
2.75
3.17
2.82
2.75
3.17
2.82
2.75
3.17


Sensitivity
34%
36%
26%
33%
37%
25%
33%
36%
25%


Specificity
92%
89%
76%
92%
91%
75%
92%
91%
75%


OR Quartile 2
1.52
2.22
0.889
1.23
2.39
0.600
1.23
1.59
0.600


p Value
0.44
0.13
0.86
0.71
0.10
0.49
0.71
0.38
0.49


Lower limit of
0.530
0.784
0.230
0.419
0.842
0.140
0.419
0.570
0.140


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.35
6.27
3.44
3.59
6.76
2.56
3.59
4.44
2.56


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.21
1.31
1.70
1.08
1.46
1.44
1.08
1.18
1.44


p Value
0.69
0.56
0.38
0.87
0.41
0.55
0.87
0.71
0.55


Lower limit of
0.473
0.531
0.525
0.419
0.590
0.439
0.419
0.478
0.439


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.10
3.21
5.48
2.80
3.60
4.70
2.80
2.94
4.70


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
6.17
4.31
1.12
5.75
6.12
1.00
5.75
5.33
1.00


p Value
0.021
0.019
0.86
0.027
0.0079
1.0
0.027
0.014
1.0


Lower limit of
1.31
1.27
0.291
1.22
1.61
0.257
1.22
1.40
0.257


95% CI











Upper limit of
29.1
14.5
4.35
27.1
23.3
3.90
27.1
20.3
3.90


95% CI
















TABLE 6.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 7 days after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.620
1.26
0.637
1.19
0.640
1.16


Average
1.44
2.41
1.43
2.33
1.49
2.25


Stdev
1.70
2.24
1.68
2.22
1.71
2.21


p (t-test)

0.030

0.040

0.085


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
41
42
37
46
35
48







sCr only













Median
0.848
1.20
0.848
1.20
1.03
1.19


Average
1.66
2.37
1.62
2.38
1.71
2.21


Stdev
1.88
2.24
1.86
2.24
1.92
2.18


p (t-test)

0.15

0.11

0.29


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
48
33
46
35
42
39







UO only













Median
1.04
1.08
1.04
1.08
1.04
1.03


Average
1.86
2.01
1.60
2.10
1.65
2.07


Stdev
2.29
2.00
1.84
2.09
1.85
2.09


p (t-test)

0.77

0.27

0.36


Min
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121


Max
8.44
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
31
48
31
48
30
49














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.62
0.55
0.64
0.62
0.57
0.60
0.58
0.55


SE
0.060
0.064
0.066
0.061
0.064
0.065
0.062
0.064
0.066


p Value
0.0088
0.070
0.42
0.023
0.070
0.26
0.100
0.20
0.44


nCohort Recovered
41
48
31
37
46
31
35
42
30


nCohort Non-
42
33
48
46
35
48
48
39
49


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.467
0.460
0.493
0.467
0.460
0.493
0.467
0.460
0.493


Sensitivity
81%
79%
77%
80%
77%
77%
77%
77%
76%


Specificity
32%
29%
29%
32%
28%
29%
29%
29%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.04


Sensitivity
57%
55%
50%
54%
54%
50%
52%
51%
49%


Specificity
59%
54%
52%
57%
54%
52%
54%
52%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2.82
2.87
2.82
2.82
2.87
2.82
2.82
2.87
2.82


Sensitivity
33%
30%
27%
33%
31%
29%
31%
28%
29%


Specificity
83%
79%
77%
84%
80%
81%
83%
79%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.97
1.53
1.38
1.97
1.33
1.38
1.35
1.33
1.12


p Value
0.19
0.42
0.54
0.18
0.58
0.54
0.56
0.57
0.83


Lower limit of
0.717
0.540
0.493
0.724
0.481
0.493
0.497
0.490
0.397


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.43
4.33
3.84
5.38
3.68
3.84
3.64
3.63
3.17


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.88
1.42
1.07
1.56
1.41
1.07
1.29
1.16
0.960


p Value
0.15
0.44
0.89
0.32
0.44
0.89
0.57
0.74
0.93


Lower limit of
0.787
0.582
0.432
0.654
0.585
0.432
0.539
0.484
0.387


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.50
3.45
2.63
3.74
3.42
2.63
3.09
2.77
2.38


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.43
1.65
1.27
2.50
1.88
1.72
2.20
1.44
1.60


p Value
0.093
0.33
0.65
0.093
0.22
0.33
0.15
0.48
0.40


Lower limit of
0.862
0.597
0.443
0.858
0.680
0.579
0.753
0.522
0.539


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.84
4.57
3.66
7.29
5.22
5.09
6.41
3.97
4.75


95% CI

























TABLE 6.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


at 12 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
125
258
108
255
111
254


Average
149
277
107
275
116
272


Stdev
59.3
120
20.2
119
12.5
120


p (t-test)

2.9E−4

1.8E−10

6.9E−13


Min
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8
105
73.7


Max
255
651
137
651
137
651


n (Patient)
8
74
5
77
4
78







sCr only













Median
182
285
182
283
171
283


Average
206
301
205
298
201
297


Stdev
89.8
126
92.3
125
93.2
123


p (t-test)

1.9E−4

3.3E−4

2.8E−4


Min
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8


Max
446
651
446
651
446
651


n (Patient)
31
50
29
52
27
54







UO only













Median
243
253
265
251
289
249


Average
232
278
233
277
253
273


Stdev
112
125
118
124
110
125


p (t-test)

0.28

0.35

0.66


Min
73.7
110
73.7
110
108
73.7


Max
395
651
395
651
395
651


n (Patient)
10
61
9
62
8
64














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.84
0.73
0.59
0.97
0.73
0.59
0.95
0.74
0.53


SE
0.057
0.055
0.093
0.021
0.056
0.097
0.033
0.055
0.11


p Value
2.6E−9
2.9E−5
0.31
0
4.3E−5
0.35
0
1.4E−5
0.78


nCohort Recovered
8
31
10
5
29
9
4
27
8


nCohort Non-recovered
74
50
61
77
52
62
78
54
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
172
171
174
172
171
174
172
171
175


Sensitivity
 78%
86%
77%
 79%
87%
77%
 78%
87%
77%


Specificity
 62%
45%
40%
100%
48%
44%
100%
52%
38%


Cutoff Quartile 3
249
249
253
249
249
253
249
249
251


Sensitivity
 54%
62%
49%
53%
62%
48%
 53%
61%
48%


Specificity
 88%
71%
50%
100%
72%
44%
100%
74%
38%


Cutoff Quartile 4
331
331
339
331
331
339
331
331
337


Sensitivity
 28%
34%
26%
 27%
33%
26%
 27%
31%
25%


Specificity
100%
90%
80%
100%
90%
78%
100%
89%
75%


OR Quartile 2
6.04
5.06
2.24
41.0
6.00
2.74
31.6
7.23
1.96


p Value
0.022
0.0029
0.26
0.013
0.0011
0.17
0.023
4.0E-4
0.39


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.30
1.74
0.553
2.16
2.04
0.648
1.62
2.42
0.419


Upper limit of 95% CI
28.0
14.7
9.07
780
17.7
11.6
616
21.6
9.18


OR Quartile 3
8.24
3.99
0.968
12.5
4.20
0.750
9.96
4.49
0.564


p Value
0.054
0.0049
0.96
0.091
0.0044
0.69
0.13
0.0039
0.46


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.964
1.52
0.254
0.668
1.56
0.184
0.519
1.62
0.124


Upper limit of 95% CI
70.3
10.4
3.69
234
11.3
3.06
191
12.5
2.56


OR Quartile 4
6.83
4.81
1.42
4.19
4.21
1.22
3.37
3.68
1.00


p Value
0.19
0.020
0.68
0.34
0.034
0.82
0.42
0.055
1.0


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.377
1.28
0.273
0.222
1.12
0.229
0.174
0.972
0.183


Upper limit of 95% CI
124
18.1
7.41
79.0
15.9
6.48
65.2
13.9
5.46
















TABLE 6.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


at 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
179
255
132
254
132
254


Average
196
279
186
278
183
276


Stdev
90.2
121
97.7
119
88.7
120


p (t-test)

0.027

0.044

0.068


Min
73.7
103
73.7
103
108
73.7


Max
329
651
329
651
329
651


n (Patient)
10
70
8
72
6
74







sCr only













Median
204
293
193
283
187
285


Average
213
306
211
303
208
303


Stdev
88.7
126
91.4
124
90.8
123


p (t-test)

2.9E−4

4.5E−4

2.6E−4


Min
73.7
103
73.7
103
73.7
103


Max
446
651
446
651
446
651


n (Patient)
31
48
29
50
28
51







UO only













Median
314
239
321
235
328
235


Average
265
275
268
273
283
270


Stdev
102
129
105
129
93.9
129


p (t-test)

0.76

0.87

0.69


Min
73.7
110
73.7
110
108
73.7


Max
395
651
395
651
395
651


n (Patient)
15
54
14
55
13
57














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.72
0.48
0.73
0.72
0.47
0.75
0.74
0.41


SE
0.079
0.057
0.084
0.081
0.057
0.086
0.088
0.056
0.085


p Value
0.013
8.0E−5
0.77
0.0046
1.0E−4
0.69
0.0051
2.4E−5
0.31


nCohort Recovered
10
31
15
8
29
14
6
28
13


nCohort Non-
70
48
54
72
50
55
74
51
57


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
176
175
177
176
175
177
176
175
178


Sensitivity
 79%
85%
74%
 79%
86%
75%
 78%
86%
74%


Specificity
 50%
42%
27%
 62%
45%
29%
 67%
46%
23%


Cutoff Quartile 3
251
249
253
251
249
253
251
249
251


Sensitivity
 51%
60%
44%
 51%
60%
44%
 51%
61%
44%


Specificity
 60%
68%
33%
 62%
69%
29%
 67%
71%
23%


Cutoff Quartile 4
332
333
335
332
333
335
332
333
334


Sensitivity
 29%
35%
26%
 28%
34%
25%
 27%
33%
25%


Specificity
100%
90%
80%
100%
90%
79%
100%
89%
69%


OR Quartile 2
3.67
4.23
1.04
6.33
4.99
1.17
7.25
5.45
0.840


p Value
0.062
0.0084
0.95
0.019
0.0036
0.81
0.030
0.0023
0.81


Lower limit of
0.937
1.45
0.284
1.36
1.69
0.316
1.22
1.83
0.203


95% CI











Upper limit of
14.4
12.4
3.80
29.5
14.7
4.34
43.2
16.2
3.47


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.59
3.21
0.400
1.76
3.33
0.310
2.11
3.88
0.234


p Value
0.50
0.016
0.13
0.46
0.015
0.072
0.40
0.0076
0.041


Lower limit of
0.412
1.24
0.120
0.392
1.26
0.0864
0.364
1.43
0.0582


95% CI











Upper limit of
6.12
8.28
1.33
7.93
8.78
1.11
12.2
10.5
0.943


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
8.52
5.12
1.40
6.64
4.46
1.25
4.89
4.17
0.733


p Value
0.15
0.016
0.64
0.20
0.028
0.76
0.29
0.036
0.64


Lower limit of
0.477
1.35
0.344
0.366
1.18
0.305
0.263
1.10
0.195


95% CI











Upper limit of
152
19.3
5.70
120
16.9
5.15
90.8
15.8
2.75


95% CI

























TABLE 6.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


at 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
235
256
223
255
223
255


Average
233
283
237
280
237
280


Stdev
100
127
99.5
127
99.5
127


p (t-test)

0.082

0.15

0.15


Min
73.7
103
108
73.7
108
73.7


Max
446
651
446
651
446
651


n (Patient)
21
56
18
59
18
59







sCr only













Median
210
283
210
285
210
285


Average
220
305
217
305
217
305


Stdev
91.8
131
91.7
129
91.7
129


p (t-test)

0.0015

9.6E−4

9.6E−4


Min
73.7
103
73.7
103
73.7
103


Max
446
651
446
651
446
651


n (Patient)
32
44
31
45
31
45







UO only













Median
301
231
320
227
320
227


Average
280
280
296
272
296
272


Stdev
89.4
139
77.1
138
77.1
138


p (t-test)

1.00

0.42

0.42


Min
73.7
114
108
73.7
108
73.7


Max
429
651
429
651
429
651


n (Patient)
20
37
18
40
18
40














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.60
0.69
0.41
0.59
0.70
0.35
0.59
0.70
0.35


SE
0.070
0.060
0.078
0.074
0.059
0.075
0.074
0.059
0.075


p Value
0.16
0.0015
0.28
0.24
5.7E−4
0.048
0.24
5.7E−4
0.048


nCohort Recovered
21
32
20
18
31
18
18
31
18


nCohort Non-recovered
56
44
37
59
45
40
59
45
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
174
173
185
174
173
187
174
173
187


Sensitivity
79%
86%
68%
78%
87%
68%
78%
87%
68%


Specificity
38%
41%
15%
39%
42%
11%
39%
42%
11%


Cutoff Quartile 3
249
249
257
249
249
255
249
249
255


Sensitivity
52%
61%
41%
51%
62%
40%
51%
62%
40%


Specificity
57%
66%
35%
56%
68%
28%
56%
68%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 4
335
334
335
335
334
334
335
334
334


Sensitivity
29%
34%
24%
27%
33%
22%
27%
33%
22%


Specificity
86%
88%
75%
83%
87%
67%
83%
87%
67%


OR Quartile 2
2.26
4.33
0.368
2.25
4.69
0.260
2.25
4.69
0.260


p Value
0.14
0.0098
0.16
0.16
0.0067
0.10
0.16
0.0067
0.10


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.760
1.42
0.0900
0.727
1.54
0.0518
0.727
1.54
0.0518


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.70
13.2
1.50
6.97
14.3
1.30
6.97
14.3
1.30


OR Quartile 3
1.43
3.03
0.367
1.29
3.46
0.256
1.29
3.46
0.256


p Value
0.49
0.022
0.082
0.63
0.012
0.027
0.63
0.012
0.027


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.521
1.17
0.119
0.448
1.32
0.0765
0.448
1.32
0.0765


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.94
7.83
1.14
3.73
9.07
0.860
3.73
9.07
0.860


OR Quartile 4
2.40
3.62
0.964
1.86
3.38
0.581
1.86
3.38
0.581


p Value
0.20
0.039
0.95
0.37
0.051
0.39
0.37
0.051
0.39


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.620
1.07
0.273
0.475
0.997
0.170
0.475
0.997
0.170


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.28
12.3
3.40
7.29
11.4
1.99
7.29
11.4
1.99
















TABLE 6.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


at 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
210
267
210
267
210
267


Average
220
289
220
289
220
289


Stdev
87.3
129
87.3
129
87.3
129


p (t-test)

0.011

0.011

0.011


Min
108
73.7
108
73.7
108
73.7


Max
395
651
395
651
395
651


n (Patient)
22
52
22
52
22
52







sCr only













Median
221
279
211
283
211
279


Average
238
290
228
295
230
291


Stdev
119
119
112
121
115
121


p (t-test)

0.070

0.017

0.035


Min
73.7
103
73.7
103
73.7
103


Max
651
592
651
592
651
592


n (Patient)
33
40
31
42
29
44







UO only













Median
308
240
308
240
308
240


Average
287
287
287
287
287
287


Stdev
72.0
142
72.0
142
72.0
142


p (t-test)

0.99

0.99

0.99


Min
140
73.7
140
73.7
140
73.7


Max
395
651
395
651
395
651


n (Patient)
14
34
14
34
14
34














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.64
0.41
0.65
0.67
0.41
0.65
0.66
0.41


SE
0.067
0.064
0.089
0.067
0.063
0.089
0.067
0.064
0.089


p Value
0.021
0.031
0.32
0.021
0.0055
0.32
0.021
0.014
0.32


nCohort Recovered
22
33
14
22
31
14
22
29
14


nCohort Non-recovered
52
40
34
52
42
34
52
44
34


Cutoff Quartile 2
175
174
201
175
174
201
175
174
201


Sensitivity
81%
82%
71%
81%
83%
71%
81%
82%
71%


Specificity
41%
36%
14%
41%
39%
14%
41%
38%
14%


Cutoff Quartile 3
249
249
261
249
249
261
249
249
261


Sensitivity
56%
57%
41%
56%
60%
41%
56%
57%
41%


Specificity
64%
61%
29%
64%
65%
29%
64%
62%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 4
331
329
345
331
329
345
331
329
345


Sensitivity
29%
30%
26%
29%
31%
26%
29%
30%
26%


Specificity
82%
82%
79%
82%
84%
79%
82%
83%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.91
2.69
0.400
2.91
3.16
0.400
2.91
2.75
0.400


p Value
0.056
0.072
0.28
0.056
0.038
0.28
0.056
0.064
0.28


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.973
0.914
0.0754
0.973
1.07
0.0754
0.973
0.941
0.0754


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.69
7.94
2.12
8.69
9.36
2.12
8.69
8.03
2.12


OR Quartile 3
2.21
2.08
0.280
2.21
2.67
0.280
2.21
2.15
0.280


p Value
0.13
0.13
0.064
0.13
0.045
0.064
0.13
0.12
0.064


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.790
0.814
0.0729
0.790
1.02
0.0729
0.790
0.826
0.0729


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.16
5.32
1.08
6.16
6.98
1.08
6.16
5.61
1.08


OR Quartile 4
1.82
1.93
1.32
1.82
2.33
1.32
1.82
2.01
1.32


p Value
0.34
0.25
0.71
0.34
0.15
0.71
0.34
0.24
0.71


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.529
0.633
0.298
0.529
0.731
0.298
0.529
0.630
0.298


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.29
5.87
5.84
6.29
7.43
5.84
6.29
6.43
5.84
















TABLE 6.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where


recovery starts within 7 days after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE


criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
246
255
246
255
246
252


Average
243
292
239
290
243
285


Stdev
101
141
101
137
100
138


p (t-test)

0.076

0.055

0.11


Min
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8
103
73.7


Max
446
651
446
651
446
651


n (Patient)
44
40
40
44
38
46







sCr only













Median
246
249
246
249
239
255


Average
254
280
254
280
246
285


Stdev
121
124
122
122
119
123


p (t-test)

0.36

0.35

0.15


Min
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8


Max
651
592
651
592
651
592


n (Patient)
48
33
46
35
42
39







UO only













Median
273
238
265
231
273
227


Average
266
274
259
274
265
270


Stdev
105
140
90.5
142
85.3
143


p (t-test)

0.77

0.56

0.84


Min
73.7
105
73.7
105
108
73.7


Max
559
651
429
651
429
651


n (Patient)
30
48
31
47
30
48














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.58
0.56
0.47
0.59
0.56
0.48
0.57
0.59
0.45


SE
0.063
0.066
0.067
0.062
0.065
0.067
0.063
0.063
0.067


p Value
0.21
0.39
0.69
0.14
0.35
0.76
0.27
0.14
0.48


nCohort Recovered
44
48
30
40
46
31
38
42
30


nCohort Non-recovered
40
33
48
44
35
47
46
39
48


Cutoff Quartile 2
169
171
172
169
171
172
169
171
172


Sensitivity
80%
82%
73%
82%
83%
72%
80%
85%
71%


Specificity
30%
31%
23%
32%
33%
23%
32%
36%
20%


Cutoff Quartile 3
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249


Sensitivity
52%
52%
46%
52%
51%
45%
52%
54%
44%


Specificity
52%
52%
43%
52%
52%
42%
53%
55%
40%


Cutoff Quartile 4
332
331
334
332
331
334
332
331
334


Sensitivity
28%
24%
27%
30%
26%
28%
28%
28%
27%


Specificity
77%
75%
77%
80%
76%
77%
79%
79%
77%


OR Quartile 2
1.68
2.05
0.819
2.17
2.34
0.763
1.90
3.06
0.607


p Value
0.32
0.19
0.71
0.13
0.12
0.62
0.21
0.042
0.37


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.611
0.698
0.284
0.787
0.799
0.265
0.699
1.04
0.204


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.60
5.99
2.36
5.96
6.84
2.20
5.15
8.95
1.81


OR Quartile 3
1.21
1.15
0.647
1.21
1.16
0.583
1.21
1.41
0.519


p Value
0.66
0.75
0.35
0.66
0.75
0.25
0.66
0.44
0.16


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.514
0.476
0.258
0.514
0.479
0.233
0.513
0.589
0.205


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.85
2.80
1.62
2.85
2.78
1.46
2.87
3.39
1.31


OR Quartile 4
1.29
0.960
1.22
1.68
1.10
1.31
1.48
1.44
1.22


p Value
0.61
0.94
0.71
0.32
0.85
0.62
0.45
0.48
0.71


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.480
0.343
0.423
0.611
0.398
0.456
0.538
0.522
0.423


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.47
2.69
3.52
4.60
3.04
3.77
4.06
3.97
3.52









Example 7. Use of C-C Motif Chemokine 14 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and a urine samples (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. C-C motif chemokine 14 is measured in the earliest samples collected while the patients were in RIFLE I or F by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output during a period starting at 12, 24, 48, or 72 hours after sample collection or at any time within 7 days after sample collection. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R). “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F). If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) within 9 days of enrollment, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 7.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


12 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.474
1.33
0.506
1.33
0.537
1.26


Average
1.07
2.22
1.11
2.19
1.15
2.17


Stdev
1.70
2.09
1.74
2.09
1.78
2.08


p (t-test)

0.023

0.038

0.060


Min
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
19
62
18
63
17
64







sCr only













Median
0.640
2.07
0.640
1.78
0.640
1.78


Average
1.44
2.67
1.48
2.55
1.48
2.55


Stdev
1.75
2.25
1.77
2.24
1.77
2.24


p (t-test)

0.011

0.024

0.024


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
47
34
45
36
45
36







UO only













Median
0.589
1.33
0.537
1.33
0.589
1.33


Average
1.53
2.23
1.48
2.26
1.52
2.19


Stdev
1.89
2.09
1.86
2.10
1.90
2.09


p (t-test)

0.19

0.14

0.21


Min
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121


Max
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
20
52
21
51
20
53














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.72
0.69
0.64
0.71
0.66
0.65
0.70
0.66
0.64


SE
0.061
0.061
0.070
0.063
0.061
0.068
0.065
0.061
0.070


p Value
2.4E−4
0.0022
0.047
0.0010
0.0080
0.026
0.0023
0.0080
0.051


nCohort Recovered
19
47
20
18
45
21
17
45
20


nCohort Non-recovered
62
34
52
63
36
51
64
36
53


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.460
0.460
0.525
0.460
0.460
0.502
0.460
0.460
0.474


Sensitivity
81%
82%
83%
79%
81%
82%
80%
81%
79%


Specificity
47%
32%
45%
44%
31%
43%
47%
31%
40%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.04
1.04
1.15
1.04
1.04
1.15
1.04
1.04
1.15


Sensitivity
56%
62%
56%
56%
58%
57%
55%
58%
55%


Specificity
74%
60%
65%
72%
58%
67%
71%
58%
65%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2.87
2.87
2.94
2.87
2.87
2.94
2.87
2.87
2.91


Sensitivity
31%
38%
29%
30%
36%
29%
30%
36%
28%


Specificity
95%
85%
85%
94%
84%
86%
94%
84%
85%


OR Quartile 2
3.75
2.19
3.91
3.08
1.87
3.50
3.49
1.87
2.55


p Value
0.018
0.15
0.019
0.048
0.24
0.029
0.030
0.24
0.10


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.25
0.747
1.25
1.01
0.662
1.14
1.13
0.662
0.836


Upper limit of 95% CI
11.3
6.40
12.2
9.36
5.29
10.8
10.8
5.29
7.75


OR Quartile 3
3.63
2.38
2.34
3.25
1.92
2.64
2.90
1.92
2.24


p Value
0.026
0.060
0.12
0.044
0.15
0.074
0.071
0.15
0.14


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.16
0.964
0.804
1.03
0.788
0.911
0.914
0.788
0.773


Upper limit of 95% CI
11.3
5.88
6.82
10.2
4.66
7.63
9.18
4.66
6.52


OR Quartile 4
7.95
3.54
2.30
7.34
3.07
2.50
6.76
3.07
2.24


p Value
0.051
0.019
0.23
0.061
0.037
0.19
0.073
0.037
0.25


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.989
1.23
0.586
0.910
1.07
0.640
0.835
1.07
0.571


Upper limit of 95% CI
64.0
10.2
9.01
59.2
8.81
9.77
54.6
8.81
8.76
















TABLE 7.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.541
1.33
0.545
1.33
0.551
1.26


Average
1.12
2.33
1.16
2.30
1.19
2.27


Stdev
1.57
2.15
1.60
2.15
1.62
2.14


p (t-test)

0.0076

0.013

0.021


Min
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
24
56
23
57
22
58







sCr only













Median
0.640
1.99
0.653
1.78
0.640
1.99


Average
1.47
2.61
1.50
2.55
1.46
2.56


Stdev
1.78
2.24
1.79
2.24
1.79
2.21


p (t-test)

0.018

0.027

0.019


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
45
35
44
36
43
37







UO only













Median
0.598
1.33
0.556
1.33
0.598
1.33


Average
1.20
2.36
1.16
2.40
1.19
2.32


Stdev
1.17
2.16
1.16
2.17
1.18
2.16


p (t-test)

0.0063

0.0037

0.0078


Min
0.212
0.121
0.212
0.121
0.212
0.121


Max
4.74
6.66
4.74
6.66
4.74
6.66


n (Patient)
22
46
23
45
22
47














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.70
0.68
0.67
0.69
0.66
0.68
0.68
0.67
0.66


SE
0.060
0.061
0.067
0.062
0.062
0.066
0.063
0.061
0.067


p Value
6.9E−4
0.0036
0.013
0.0023
0.0095
0.0065
0.0047
0.0043
0.017


nCohort Recovered
24
45
22
23
44
23
22
43
22


nCohort Non-recovered
56
35
46
57
36
45
58
37
47


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.457
0.457
0.525
0.457
0.457
0.502
0.457
0.457
0.474


Sensitivity
82%
86%
83%
81%
83%
82%
81%
84%
79%


Specificity
42%
33%
41%
39%
32%
39%
41%
33%
36%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.04
1.04
1.15
1.04
1.04
1.15
1.04
1.04
1.15


Sensitivity
57%
60%
57%
56%
58%
58%
55%
59%
55%


Specificity
67%
58%
64%
65%
57%
65%
64%
58%
64%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2.88
2.88
2.94
2.88
2.88
2.94
2.88
2.88
2.91


Sensitivity
34%
37%
33%
33%
36%
33%
33%
38%
32%


Specificity
96%
84%
91%
96%
84%
91%
95%
86%
91%


OR Quartile 2
3.29
3.00
3.29
2.69
2.33
2.97
2.96
2.49
2.11


p Value
0.028
0.057
0.041
0.069
0.12
0.060
0.048
0.098
0.19


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.14
0.968
1.05
0.927
0.791
0.957
1.01
0.845
0.694


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.50
9.30
10.3
7.80
6.88
9.24
8.66
7.36
6.45


OR Quartile 3
2.67
2.05
2.28
2.40
1.84
2.57
2.15
2.04
2.17


p Value
0.055
0.12
0.12
0.088
0.18
0.076
0.14
0.12
0.15


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.981
0.836
0.799
0.879
0.755
0.905
0.784
0.834
0.764


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.25
5.04
6.48
6.56
4.49
7.28
5.92
4.98
6.14


OR Quartile 4
11.8
3.21
4.84
11.0
2.99
5.25
10.2
3.75
4.69


p Value
0.020
0.031
0.050
0.024
0.042
0.039
0.028
0.017
0.055


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.48
1.11
0.998
1.38
1.04
1.08
1.28
1.26
0.968


Upper limit of 95% CI
94.3
9.24
23.5
87.9
8.59
25.4
81.9
11.2
22.7
















TABLE 7.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and ″non-recovered″ cohorts where recovery starts at


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.653
1.29
0.838
1.19
1.04
1.19


Average
1.34
2.54
1.42
2.38
1.45
2.33


Stdev
1.52
2.33
1.58
2.29
1.59
2.28


p (t-test)

0.0085

0.032

0.048


Min
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86





n (Patient)
38
42
34
46
33
47







sCr only













Median
1.03
1.19
0.848
1.20
0.848
1.20


Average
1.60
2.41
1.57
2.43
1.57
2.43


Stdev
1.80
2.27
1.81
2.24
1.81
2.24


p (t-test)

0.10

0.077

0.077


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
47
32
46
33
46
33







UO only













Median
1.04
2.07
1.05
1.33
1.10
1.26


Average
1.44
2.74
1.56
2.44
1.61
2.38


Stdev
1.46
2.31
1.54
2.27
1.55
2.26


p (t-test)

0.015

0.085

0.13


Min
0.212
0.121
0.212
0.121
0.212
0.121


Max
6.26
6.66
6.26
6.66
6.26
6.66


n (Patient)
29
30
25
35
24
36














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.62
0.65
0.61
0.63
0.60
0.60
0.63
0.57


SE
0.062
0.065
0.071
0.063
0.064
0.074
0.064
0.064
0.075


p Value
0.021
0.075
0.031
0.072
0.043
0.20
0.13
0.043
0.33


nCohort Recovered
38
47
29
34
46
25
33
46
24


nCohort Non-recovered
42
32
30
46
33
35
47
33
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.457
0.454
0.520
0.457
0.454
0.502
0.457
0.454
0.502


Sensitivity
79%
81%
80%
78%
82%
74%
77%
82%
72%


Specificity
29%
30%
31%
29%
30%
24%
27%
30%
21%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.04
1.04
1.20
1.04
1.04
1.19
1.04
1.04
1.19


Sensitivity
55%
53%
57%
52%
55%
54%
51%
55%
53%


Specificity
55%
53%
59%
53%
54%
56%
52%
54%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2.88
2.82
2.98
2.88
2.82
2.94
2.88
2.82
2.94


Sensitivity
36%
34%
37%
33%
36%
31%
32%
36%
31%


Specificity
87%
81%
86%
85%
83%
84%
85%
83%
83%


OR Quartile 2
1.49
1.84
1.80
1.50
1.97
0.912
1.23
1.97
0.684


p Value
0.44
0.27
0.33
0.43
0.22
0.88
0.69
0.22
0.54


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.540
0.621
0.547
0.542
0.665
0.277
0.442
0.665
0.201


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.13
5.44
5.92
4.15
5.83
3.00
3.41
5.83
2.33


OR Quartile 3
1.50
1.29
1.85
1.23
1.43
1.51
1.11
1.43
1.32


p Value
0.37
0.58
0.24
0.65
0.44
0.43
0.82
0.44
0.60


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.619
0.524
0.659
0.505
0.582
0.538
0.455
0.582
0.469


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.61
3.17
5.21
2.98
3.51
4.24
2.70
3.51
3.72


OR Quartile 4
3.67
2.21
3.62
2.81
2.71
2.41
2.62
2.71
2.20


p Value
0.025
0.13
0.051
0.074
0.060
0.18
0.095
0.060
0.23


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.18
0.790
0.996
0.905
0.958
0.665
0.846
0.958
0.608


Upper limit of 95% CI
11.4
6.19
13.2
8.70
7.69
8.70
8.14
7.69
7.97
















TABLE 7.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.629
1.33
0.637
1.26
0.637
1.26


Average
1.31
2.55
1.33
2.50
1.33
2.50


Stdev
1.52
2.33
1.53
2.33
1.53
2.33


p (t-test)

0.0069

0.011

0.011


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
38
41
37
42
37
42







sCr only













Median
0.653
1.20
0.653
1.20
0.653
1.20


Average
1.51
2.46
1.51
2.46
1.51
2.46


Stdev
1.80
2.28
1.80
2.28
1.80
2.28


p (t-test)

0.062

0.062

0.062


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
46
31
46
31
46
31







UO only













Median
0.838
1.68
1.04
1.38
1.04
1.38


Average
1.57
2.64
1.63
2.57
1.63
2.57


Stdev
1.69
2.27
1.71
2.27
1.71
2.27


p (t-test)

0.064

0.11

0.11


Min
0.212
0.121
0.212
0.121
0.212
0.121


Max
6.26
6.66
6.26
6.66
6.26
6.66


n (Patient)
20
32
19
33
19
33














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.67
0.64
0.66
0.65
0.64
0.63
0.65
0.64
0.63


SE
0.060
0.065
0.076
0.061
0.065
0.078
0.061
0.065
0.078


p Value
0.0045
0.034
0.036
0.012
0.034
0.089
0.012
0.034
0.089


nCohort Recovered
38
46
20
37
46
19
37
46
19


nCohort Non-recovered
41
31
32
42
31
33
42
31
33


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.454
0.448
0.525
0.454
0.448
0.525
0.454
0.448
0.525


Sensitivity
83%
81%
81%
81%
81%
79%
81%
81%
79%


Specificity
34%
30%
35%
32%
30%
32%
32%
30%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.04
1.03
1.19
1.04
1.03
1.19
1.04
1.03
1.19


Sensitivity
56%
55%
59%
55%
55%
58%
55%
55%
58%


Specificity
58%
54%
65%
57%
54%
63%
57%
54%
63%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2.82
2.75
3.17
2.82
2.75
3.17
2.82
2.75
3.17


Sensitivity
37%
39%
28%
36%
39%
27%
36%
39%
27%


Specificity
87%
85%
80%
86%
85%
79%
86%
85%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.53
1.82
2.33
2.04
1.82
1.71
2.04
1.82
1.71


p Value
0.085
0.28
0.19
0.18
0.28
0.41
0.18
0.28
0.41


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.880
0.613
0.650
0.726
0.613
0.478
0.726
0.613
0.478


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.25
5.42
8.37
5.73
5.42
6.15
5.73
5.42
6.15


OR Quartile 3
1.76
1.45
2.71
1.59
1.45
2.33
1.59
1.45
2.33


p Value
0.22
0.43
0.091
0.31
0.43
0.15
0.31
0.43
0.15


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.720
0.579
0.852
0.652
0.579
0.729
0.652
0.579
0.729


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.29
3.61
8.64
3.87
3.61
7.42
3.87
3.61
7.42


OR Quartile 4
3.81
3.52
1.57
3.56
3.52
1.41
3.56
3.52
1.41


p Value
0.021
0.023
0.51
0.028
0.023
0.62
0.028
0.023
0.62


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.22
1.19
0.410
1.14
1.19
0.367
1.14
1.19
0.367


Upper limit of 95% CI
11.8
10.4
5.97
11.1
10.4
5.39
11.1
10.4
5.39
















TABLE 7.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 7 days after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.665
1.68
0.639
1.38
0.639
1.38


Average
1.54
2.54
1.47
2.55
1.47
2.55


Stdev
1.85
2.19
1.76
2.24
1.76
2.24


p (t-test)

0.038

0.022

0.022


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
51
32
48
35
48
35







sCr only













Median
0.911
1.20
0.911
1.20
0.911
1.20


Average
1.74
2.48
1.72
2.47
1.72
2.47


Stdev
1.89
2.36
1.90
2.31
1.90
2.31


p (t-test)

0.20

0.17

0.17


Min
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194
0.121


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
58
23
56
25
56
25







UO only













Median
0.727
1.19
0.665
1.29
0.653
1.20


Average
1.69
2.23
1.43
2.43
1.44
2.38


Stdev
2.09
2.11
1.68
2.20
1.70
2.19


p (t-test)

0.27

0.029

0.039


Min
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121
0.208
0.121


Max
8.44
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
40
39
41
38
40
39













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.66
0.59
0.59
0.67
0.60
0.64
0.67
0.60
0.64


SE
0.063
0.072
0.064
0.061
0.070
0.063
0.061
0.070
0.062


p Value
0.014
0.22
0.16
0.0064
0.15
0.026
0.0064
0.15
0.026


nCohort
51
58
40
48
56
41
48
56
40


Recovered











nCohort
32
23
39
35
25
38
35
25
39


Non-recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.467
0.460
0.493
0.467
0.460
0.493
0.467
0.460
0.493


Sensitivity
81%
74%
79%
83%
76%
82%
83%
76%
82%


Specificity
29%
26%
30%
31%
27%
32%
31%
27%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.04


Sensitivity
62%
57%
54%
60%
56%
58%
60%
56%
56%


Specificity
59%
53%
55%
58%
54%
59%
58%
54%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2.82
2.87
2.82
2.82
2.87
2.82
2.82
2.87
2.82


Sensitivity
38%
30%
31%
37%
32%
34%
37%
32%
33%


Specificity
82%
78%
80%
83%
79%
83%
83%
79%
82%


OR Quartile 2
1.81
0.988
1.66
2.20
1.16
2.06
2.20
1.16
2.20


p Value
0.28
0.98
0.33
0.15
0.79
0.18
0.15
0.79
0.14


Lower limit of
0.618
0.329
0.593
0.753
0.389
0.719
0.753
0.389
0.769


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.28
2.97
4.65
6.41
3.45
5.88
6.41
3.45
6.30


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.38
1.49
1.43
2.10
1.47
1.94
2.10
1.47
1.75


p Value
0.061
0.42
0.43
0.10
0.43
0.15
0.10
0.43
0.22


Lower limit of
0.961
0.564
0.588
0.865
0.569
0.793
0.865
0.569
0.718


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.90
3.95
3.46
5.10
3.79
4.75
5.10
3.79
4.27


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
2.80
1.51
1.78
2.95
1.73
2.53
2.95
1.73
2.36


p Value
0.047
0.45
0.27
0.038
0.31
0.085
0.038
0.31
0.11


Lower limit of
1.01
0.513
0.634
1.06
0.601
0.880
1.06
0.601
0.823


95% CI











Upper limit of
7.73
4.47
4.98
8.22
4.96
7.25
8.22
4.96
6.76


95% CI
















TABLE 7.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


at 12 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
207
268
211
260
216
258


Average
205
284
207
282
207
281


Stdev
82.7
126
84.7
126
87.0
125


p (t-test)

0.0028

0.0050

0.0076


Min
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8


Max
360
651
360
651
360
651


n (Patient)
20
62
19
63
18
64







sCr only













Median
239
281
239
276
239
276


Average
240
297
241
294
241
294


Stdev
108
133
110
131
110
131


p (t-test)

0.044

0.057

0.057


Min
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8


Max
651
592
651
592
651
592


n (Patient)
46
35
44
37
44
37







UO only













Median
221
258
216
260
249
257


Average
237
286
234
288
239
284


Stdev
106
128
104
129
106
128


p (t-test)

0.10

0.073

0.13


Min
73.7
110
73.7
110
73.7
110


Max
421
651
421
651
421
651


n (Patient)
21
50
22
49
21
51













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.68
0.62
0.60
0.67
0.61
0.62
0.67
0.61
0.59


SE
0.064
0.063
0.071
0.066
0.063
0.070
0.067
0.063
0.072


p Value
0.0044
0.055
0.15
0.0080
0.072
0.098
0.011
0.072
0.20


nCohort Recovered
20
46
21
19
44
22
18
44
21


nCohort Non-recovered
62
35
50
63
37
49
64
37
51


Cutoff Quartile 2
172
171
174
172
171
174
172
171
175


Sensitivity
79%
83%
80%
79%
84%
80%
80%
84%
80%


Specificity
40%
33%
38%
42%
34%
36%
44%
34%
38%


Cutoff Quartile 3
249
249
253
249
249
253
249
249
251


Sensitivity
55%
54%
52%
54%
54%
53%
53%
54%
51%


Specificity
65%
54%
57%
63%
55%
59%
61%
55%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
331
331
339
331
331
339
331
331
337


Sensitivity
29%
34%
28%
29%
32%
29%
28%
32%
27%


Specificity
85%
83%
81%
84%
82%
82%
83%
82%
81%


OR Quartile 2
2.51
2.34
2.46
2.80
2.67
2.23
3.14
2.67
2.52


p Value
0.096
0.12
0.12
0.066
0.073
0.16
0.044
0.073
0.11


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.850
0.799
0.803
0.935
0.913
0.733
1.03
0.913
0.824


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.43
6.84
7.55
8.37
7.82
6.78
9.54
7.82
7.73


OR Quartile 3
2.26
1.41
1.44
2.01
1.41
1.63
1.78
1.41
1.14


p Value
0.13
0.44
0.48
0.19
0.44
0.35
0.29
0.44
0.80


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.792
0.585
0.517
0.699
0.587
0.590
0.613
0.587
0.414


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.42
3.42
4.03
5.78
3.40
4.52
5.18
3.40
3.16


OR Quartile 4
2.32
2.48
1.65
2.13
2.16
1.80
1.96
2.16
1.61


p Value
0.22
0.085
0.43
0.27
0.14
0.36
0.33
0.14
0.46


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.604
0.882
0.473
0.554
0.771
0.517
0.505
0.771
0.460


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.89
6.97
5.78
8.22
6.05
6.27
7.58
6.05
5.62
















TABLE 7.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


at 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
216
277
221
260
235
258


Average
217
294
221
288
221
287


Stdev
84.9
127
88.3
126
90.2
126


p (t-test)

0.0023

0.0095

0.014


Min
73.7
110
73.7
110
73.7
110


Max
360
651
360
651
360
651


n (Patient)
26
54
23
57
22
58







sCr only













Median
239
281
243
279
239
281


Average
245
302
247
299
245
299


Stdev
115
122
116
122
117
120


p (t-test)

0.042

0.061

0.053


Min
73.7
123
73.7
123
73.7
123


Max
651
592
651
592
651
592


n (Patient)
46
33
45
34
44
35







UO only













Median
243
258
237
257
253
249


Average
241
291
242
288
247
284


Stdev
99.6
133
100
133
101
131


p (t-test)

0.088

0.12

0.21


Min
73.7
110
73.7
110
73.7
110


Max
421
651
421
651
421
651


n (Patient)
25
44
24
45
23
47













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or





UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.67
0.64
0.59
0.65
0.62
0.58
0.64
0.63
0.56


SE
0.061
0.064
0.070
0.065
0.064
0.071
0.066
0.064
0.072


p Value
0.0047
0.032
0.19
0.025
0.052
0.25
0.035
0.039
0.43


nCohort
26
46
25
23
45
24
22
44
23


Recovered











nCohort Non-
54
33
44
57
34
45
58
35
47


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
176
175
177
176
175
177
176
175
178


Sensitivity
81%
85%
80%
81%
85%
78%
81%
86%
79%


Specificity
38%
33%
36%
39%
33%
33%
41%
34%
35%


Cutoff Quartile 3
251
249
253
251
249
253
251
249
251


Sensitivity
56%
55%
52%
53%
53%
51%
52%
54%
49%


Specificity
62%
54%
56%
57%
53%
54%
55%
55%
48%


Cutoff Quartile 4
332
333
335
332
333
335
332
333
334


Sensitivity
31%
33%
30%
30%
32%
29%
29%
31%
28%


Specificity
88%
80%
84%
87%
80%
83%
86%
80%
78%


OR Quartile 2
2.75
2.71
2.19
2.69
2.90
1.75
2.96
3.10
1.97


p Value
0.058
0.085
0.16
0.069
0.066
0.32
0.048
0.050
0.23


Lower limit of
0.965
0.872
0.730
0.927
0.933
0.581
1.01
0.999
0.653


95% CI











Upper limit of
7.83
8.42
6.55
7.80
9.01
5.27
8.66
9.64
5.97


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
2.00
1.43
1.39
1.44
1.29
1.24
1.29
1.42
0.878


p Value
0.15
0.44
0.51
0.46
0.58
0.68
0.62
0.44
0.80


Lower limit of
0.769
0.582
0.520
0.545
0.527
0.458
0.480
0.584
0.324


95% CI











Upper limit of
5.20
3.51
3.74
3.83
3.14
3.34
3.44
3.47
2.38


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.52
2.06
2.20
2.83
1.91
2.03
2.63
1.78
1.38


p Value
0.064
0.17
0.22
0.13
0.21
0.27
0.16
0.27
0.60


Lower limit of
0.929
0.736
0.631
0.742
0.687
0.581
0.686
0.641
0.423


95% CI











Upper limit of
13.4
5.74
7.69
10.8
5.33
7.11
10.1
4.96
4.48


95% CI
















TABLE 7.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


at 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
242
257
251
249
253
248


Average
243
293
244
288
248
285


Stdev
99.5
136
100
133
100
134


p (t-test)

0.072

0.11

0.18


Min
73.7
114
73.7
114
73.7
114


Max
446
651
446
651
446
651


n (Patient)
36
41
32
45
31
46







sCr only













Median
246
263
243
276
243
276


Average
251
297
250
297
250
297


Stdev
117
127
118
125
118
125


p (t-test)

0.12

0.11

0.11


Min
73.7
123
73.7
123
73.7
123


Max
651
592
651
592
651
592


n (Patient)
46
30
45
31
45
31







UO only













Median
281
246
288
231
295
227


Average
266
293
275
283
281
279


Stdev
90.7
146
87.4
141
85.0
141


p (t-test)

0.41

0.79

0.96


Min
73.7
114
73.7
114
73.7
114


Max
429
651
429
651
429
651


n (Patient)
27
30
23
35
22
36













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
0.60
0.49
0.57
0.61
0.43
0.55
0.61
0.40


SE
0.065
0.067
0.077
0.066
0.067
0.077
0.067
0.067
0.076


p Value
0.18
0.13
0.92
0.29
0.11
0.39
0.44
0.11
0.20


nCohort Recovered
36
46
27
32
45
23
31
45
22


nCohort Non-recovered
41
30
30
45
31
35
46
31
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
174
173
185
174
173
187
174
173
187


Sensitivity
80%
87%
70%
80%
87%
69%
78%
87%
67%


Specificity
33%
33%
22%
34%
33%
17%
32%
33%
14%


Cutoff Quartile 3
249
249
257
249
249
255
249
249
255


Sensitivity
51%
53%
43%
49%
55%
43%
48%
55%
42%


Specificity
53%
52%
44%
50%
53%
39%
48%
53%
36%


Cutoff Quartile 4
335
334
335
335
334
334
335
334
334


Sensitivity
27%
30%
27%
27%
29%
26%
26%
29%
25%


Specificity
78%
78%
78%
78%
78%
74%
77%
78%
73%


OR Quartile 2
2.06
3.15
0.667
2.10
3.38
0.459
1.71
3.38
0.316


p Value
0.17
0.066
0.51
0.16
0.051
0.24
0.30
0.051
0.11


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.731
0.929
0.201
0.746
0.997
0.126
0.613
0.997
0.0778


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.82
10.7
2.21
5.88
11.4
1.67
4.79
11.4
1.28


OR Quartile 3
1.17
1.25
0.612
0.957
1.39
0.482
0.859
1.39
0.408


p Value
0.73
0.64
0.36
0.92
0.48
0.18
0.74
0.48
0.11


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.479
0.496
0.215
0.386
0.554
0.165
0.345
0.554
0.137


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.88
3.13
1.74
2.37
3.48
1.41
2.14
3.48
1.22


OR Quartile 4
1.28
1.54
1.27
1.30
1.43
0.981
1.21
1.43
0.889


p Value
0.64
0.42
0.70
0.63
0.50
0.97
0.73
0.50
0.85


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.451
0.540
0.377
0.447
0.503
0.295
0.416
0.503
0.267


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.65
4.41
4.29
3.78
4.08
3.26
3.52
4.08
2.96
















TABLE 7.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


at 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
239
267
243
257
243
257


Average
235
300
237
296
237
296


Stdev
95.7
135
95.9
135
95.9
135


p (t-test)

0.020

0.034

0.034


Min
73.7
123
73.7
123
73.7
123


Max
421
651
421
651
421
651


n (Patient)
36
38
35
39
35
39







sCr only













Median
246
249
246
249
246
249


Average
249
293
249
293
249
293


Stdev
115
127
115
127
115
127


p (t-test)

0.15

0.15

0.15


Min
73.7
123
73.7
123
73.7
123


Max
651
592
651
592
651
592


n (Patient)
44
29
44
29
44
29







UO only













Median
273
253
281
249
281
249


Average
262
302
269
297
269
297


Stdev
85.6
143
83.3
143
83.3
143


p (t-test)

0.24

0.39

0.39


Min
73.7
149
73.7
148
73.7
148


Max
395
651
395
651
395
651


n (Patient)
18
30
17
31
17
31














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.63
0.59
0.52
0.61
0.59
0.48
0.61
0.59
0.48


SE
0.065
0.069
0.087
0.065
0.069
0.088
0.065
0.069
0.088


p Value
0.048
0.17
0.80
0.096
0.17
0.84
0.096
0.17
0.84


nCohort Recovered
36
44
18
35
44
17
35
44
17


nCohort Non-recovered
38
29
30
39
29
31
39
29
31


Cutoff Quartile 2
175
174
201
175
174
201
175
174
201


Sensitivity
84%
83%
73%
82%
83%
71%
82%
83%
71%


Specificity
36%
32%
22%
34%
32%
18%
34%
32%
18%


Cutoff Quartile 3
249
249
261
249
249
261
249
249
261


Sensitivity
55%
52%
47%
54%
52%
45%
54%
52%
45%


Specificity
56%
52%
44%
54%
52%
41%
54%
52%
41%


Cutoff Quartile 4
331
329
345
331
329
345
331
329
345


Sensitivity
29%
28%
30%
28%
28%
29%
28%
28%
29%


Specificity
78%
77%
83%
77%
77%
82%
77%
77%
82%


OR Quartile 2
3.01
2.24
0.786
2.39
2.24
0.524
2.39
2.24
0.524


p Value
0.050
0.17
0.73
0.11
0.17
0.39
0.11
0.17
0.39


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.998
0.707
0.199
0.814
0.707
0.121
0.814
0.707
0.121


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.11
7.10
3.11
6.99
7.10
2.27
6.99
7.10
2.27


OR Quartile 3
1.54
1.17
0.700
1.39
1.17
0.576
1.39
1.17
0.576


p Value
0.35
0.74
0.55
0.49
0.74
0.37
0.49
0.74
0.37


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.617
0.459
0.216
0.554
0.459
0.174
0.554
0.459
0.174


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.86
3.00
2.26
3.46
3.00
1.91
3.46
3.00
1.91


OR Quartile 4
1.43
1.30
2.14
1.33
1.30
1.91
1.33
1.30
1.91


p Value
0.51
0.64
0.31
0.60
0.64
0.39
0.60
0.64
0.39


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.497
0.441
0.495
0.463
0.441
0.440
0.463
0.441
0.440


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.09
3.80
9.27
3.80
3.80
8.29
3.80
3.80
8.29
















TABLE 7.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where


recovery starts within 7 days after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE


criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
247
255
246
255
246
255


Average
249
296
249
294
249
294


Stdev
108
144
110
140
110
140


p (t-test)

0.14

0.14

0.14


Min
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8


Max
592
651
592
651
592
651


n (Patient)
54
30
52
32
52
32







sCr only













Median
255
221
256
224
256
224


Average
263
271
263
270
263
270


Stdev
120
129
121
127
121
127


p (t-test)

0.81

0.84

0.84


Min
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8


Max
651
590
651
590
651
590


n (Patient)
59
22
58
23
58
23







UO only













Median
248
249
248
249
249
249


Average
253
290
247
293
248
291


Stdev
107
145
94.9
147
95.4
146


p (t-test)

0.21

0.11

0.14


Min
73.7
105
73.7
105
73.7
105


Max
559
651
429
651
429
651


n (Patient)
40
38
42
36
41
37














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.58
0.50
0.55
0.58
0.50
0.56
0.58
0.50
0.56


SE
0.066
0.073
0.065
0.065
0.072
0.066
0.065
0.072
0.065


p Value
0.25
0.96
0.43
0.24
0.97
0.33
0.24
0.97
0.38


nCohort Recovered
54
59
40
52
58
42
52
58
41


nCohort Non-recovered
30
22
38
32
23
36
32
23
37


Cutoff Quartile 2
169
171
172
169
171
172
169
171
172


Sensitivity
80%
77%
79%
81%
78%
78%
81%
78%
78%


Specificity
28%
27%
30%
29%
28%
29%
29%
28%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249


Sensitivity
53%
41%
50%
53%
39%
50%
53%
39%
51%


Specificity
52%
47%
50%
52%
47%
50%
52%
47%
51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
332
331
334
332
331
334
332
331
334


Sensitivity
30%
27%
29%
28%
26%
31%
28%
26%
30%


Specificity
78%
76%
78%
77%
76%
79%
77%
76%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.54
1.27
1.61
1.76
1.37
1.40
1.76
1.37
1.50


p Value
0.43
0.69
0.37
0.30
0.59
0.52
0.30
0.59
0.44


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.525
0.400
0.572
0.602
0.436
0.499
0.602
0.436
0.534


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.51
4.00
4.51
5.13
4.31
3.93
5.13
4.31
4.21


OR Quartile 3
1.23
0.625
1.00
1.22
0.560
1.00
1.22
0.560
1.11


p Value
0.65
0.35
1.0
0.65
0.25
1.0
0.65
0.25
0.82


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.503
0.232
0.411
0.507
0.209
0.411
0.507
0.209
0.456


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.01
1.69
2.43
2.96
1.50
2.44
2.96
1.50
2.70


OR Quartile 4
1.50
1.21
1.40
1.30
1.11
1.61
1.30
1.11
1.50


p Value
0.43
0.74
0.52
0.60
0.85
0.36
0.60
0.85
0.43


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.546
0.396
0.506
0.477
0.366
0.580
0.477
0.366
0.542


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.12
3.67
3.90
3.56
3.36
4.49
3.56
3.36
4.18









Example 8. Use of C-C Motif Chemokine 16 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and a urine samples (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. C-C motif chemokine 16 is measured in the earliest samples collected while the patients were in RIFLE I or F by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output during a period starting at 12, 24, 48, or 72 hours after sample collection or at any time within 7 days after sample collection. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0). “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F). If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) within 9 days of enrollment, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 8.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


12 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.00821
0.0173
0.0120
0.0157
0.0120
0.0157


Average
0.0135
0.0735
0.0153
0.0717
0.0167
0.0702


Stdev
0.0140
0.346
0.0158
0.342
0.0171
0.338


p (t-test)

0.15

0.17

0.18


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
7.74E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.0427
2.98
0.0427
2.98
0.0427
2.98


n (Patient)
8
73
6
75
4
77







sCr only













Median
0.00821
0.0225
0.00715
0.0208
0.0122
0.0182


Average
0.0157
0.0981
0.0162
0.0947
0.0173
0.0913


Stdev
0.0223
0.412
0.0230
0.404
0.0236
0.397


p (t-test)

0.16

0.17

0.18


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98


n (Patient)
30
51
28
53
26
55







UO only













Median
0.0213
0.0181
0.0231
0.0177
0.0213
0.0177


Average
0.0368
0.0809
0.0405
0.0797
0.0422
0.0776


Stdev
0.0475
0.378
0.0483
0.375
0.0506
0.369


p (t-test)

0.39

0.44

0.48


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
11
61
10
62
9
64














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.61
0.68
0.49
0.59
0.67
0.45
0.56
0.64
0.44


SE
0.098
0.060
0.095
0.11
0.061
0.096
0.14
0.064
0.100


p Value
0.26
0.0033
0.94
0.41
0.0067
0.57
0.70
0.030
0.57


nCohort Recovered
8
30
11
6
28
10
4
26
9


nCohort Non-
73
51
61
75
53
62
77
55
64


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00161
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202


Sensitivity
71%
78%
74%
72%
79%
71%
71%
78%
70%


Specificity
25%
40%
18%
33%
43%
10%
25%
42%
11%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0157
0.0157
0.0193
0.0157
0.0157
0.0193
0.0157
0.0157
0.0181


Sensitivity
51%
59%
49%
49%
57%
48%
49%
55%
48%


Specificity
62%
67%
45%
50%
64%
40%
50%
62%
44%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0427
0.0427
0.0464
0.0427
0.0427
0.0464
0.0427
0.0427
0.0460


Sensitivity
27%
35%
26%
27%
34%
26%
26%
33%
25%


Specificity
100%
93%
82%
100%
93%
80%
100%
92%
78%


OR Quartile 2
0.825
2.42
0.625
1.29
2.86
0.272
0.833
2.63
0.296


p Value
0.82
0.079
0.57
0.78
0.039
0.23
0.88
0.060
0.27


Lower limit of
0.154
0.901
0.122
0.219
1.05
0.0320
0.0822
0.960
0.0346


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.42
6.52
3.21
7.55
7.79
2.30
8.45
7.20
2.53


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.71
2.86
0.806
0.974
2.35
0.625
0.974
1.92
0.752


p Value
0.48
0.029
0.74
0.97
0.077
0.50
0.98
0.18
0.69


Lower limit of
0.381
1.11
0.222
0.185
0.913
0.160
0.131
0.741
0.185


95% CI











Upper limit of
7.70
7.33
2.93
5.14
6.04
2.43
7.27
4.97
3.06


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
6.51
7.64
1.60
4.80
6.69
1.39
3.21
5.84
1.17


p Value
0.20
0.0099
0.57
0.29
0.016
0.69
0.44
0.026
0.86


Lower limit of
0.359
1.63
0.312
0.259
1.42
0.267
0.165
1.24
0.220


95% CI











Upper limit of
118
35.8
8.21
89.1
31.4
7.25
62.2
27.5
6.20


95% CI

























TABLE 8.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0151
0.0173
0.0209
0.0155
0.0206
0.0157


Average
0.0159
0.0768
0.0207
0.0737
0.0201
0.0730


Stdev
0.0128
0.356
0.0115
0.349
0.0122
0.347


p (t-test)

0.16

0.21

0.20


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
0.00279
4.13E−6
0.00279
4.13E−6


Max
0.0427
2.98
0.0427
2.98
0.0427
2.98


n (Patient)
11
69
8
72
7
73







sCr only













Median
0.00908
0.0225
0.0122
0.0195
0.0122
0.0195


Average
0.0159
0.102






Stdev
0.0222
0.420
0.0231
0.408
0.0231
0.408


p (t-test)

0.16

0.17

0.17


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98


n (Patient)
31
49
28
52
28
52







UO only













Median
0.0209
0.0190
0.0213
0.0173
0.0209
0.0173


Average
0.0366
0.0881
0.0395
0.0866
0.0407
0.0840


Stdev
0.0417
0.401
0.0419
0.398
0.0434
0.391


p (t-test)

0.36

0.40

0.42


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
0.00856
4.13E−6
0.00856
4.13E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
14
54
13
55
12
57














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.58
0.69
0.44
0.47
0.65
0.40
0.48
0.65
0.39


SE
0.090
0.059
0.084
0.11
0.062
0.084
0.11
0.062
0.085


p Value
0.40
0.0016
0.49
0.76
0.013
0.23
0.85
0.013
0.20


nCohort
11
31
14
8
28
13
7
28
12


Recovered











nCohort Non-
69
49
54
72
52
55
73
52
57


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00161
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202


Sensitivity
71%
82%
70%
69%
81%
67%
70%
81%
67%


Specificity
18%
42%
7%
0%
43%
0%
0%
43%
0%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0165
0.0165
0.0207
0.0165
0.0165
0.0207
0.0165
0.0165
0.0206


Sensitivity
51%
59%
50%
49%
56%
49%
49%
56%
49%


Specificity
55%
65%
50%
38%
61%
46%
43%
61%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0435
0.0435
0.0464
0.0435
0.0435
0.0464
0.0435
0.0435
0.0460


Sensitivity
29%
37%
26%
28%
35%
25%
27%
35%
25%


Specificity
100%
94%
79%
100%
93%
77%
100%
93%
75%


OR Quartile 2
0.544
3.21
0.183
0.132
3.15
0.0751
0.153
3.15
0.0790


p Value
0.46
0.024
0.12
0.17
0.027
0.078
0.20
0.027
0.084


Lower limit of
0.108
1.16
0.0220
0.00730
1.14
0.00423
0.00835
1.14
0.00444


95% CI











Upper limit of
2.75
8.86
1.52
2.39
8.72
1.33
2.79
8.72
1.41


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.24
2.64
1.00
0.568
1.95
0.827
0.730
1.95
0.966


p Value
0.75
0.041
1.0
0.46
0.16
0.76
0.69
0.16
0.96


Lower limit of
0.344
1.04
0.309
0.126
0.765
0.246
0.152
0.765
0.278


95% CI











Upper limit of
4.43
6.69
3.24
2.55
4.96
2.78
3.49
4.96
3.35


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
9.53
8.42
1.28
6.64
6.88
1.14
5.75
6.88
0.977


p Value
0.12
0.0069
0.73
0.20
0.015
0.86
0.24
0.015
0.97


Lower limit of
0.536
1.79
0.312
0.366
1.46
0.274
0.314
1.46
0.232


95% CI











Upper limit of
169
39.5
5.28
120
32.3
4.74
105
32.3
4.12


95% CI
















TABLE 8.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72













Recovery

Non-

Non-

Non-


Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0157
0.0173
0.0157
0.0173
0.0157
0.0173


Average
0.0210
0.0875
0.0218
0.0850
0.0218
0.0850


Stdev
0.0231
0.391
0.0237
0.384
0.0237
0.384


p (t-test)

0.21

0.22

0.22


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98


n (Patient)
23
57
21
59
21
59







sCr only













Median
0.0146
0.0208
0.0142
0.0217
0.0142
0.0217


Average
0.0183
0.106
0.0174
0.105
0.0174
0.105


Stdev
0.0227
0.438
0.0224
0.433
0.0224
0.433


p (t-test)

0.19

0.18

0.18


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98


n (Patient)
34
45
33
46
33
46







UO only













Median
0.0227
0.0208
0.0227
0.0190
0.0227
0.0190


Average
0.0348
0.116
0.0368
0.108
0.0368
0.108


Stdev
0.0385
0.481
0.0397
0.464
0.0397
0.464


p (t-test)

0.32

0.34

0.34


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
22
37
20
40
20
40













Recovery
24
48
72
















Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.54
0.63
0.46
0.52
0.65
0.43
0.52
0.65
0.43


SE
0.071
0.062
0.078
0.073
0.062
0.078
0.073
0.062
0.078


p Value
0.58
0.032
0.60
0.77
0.016
0.38
0.77
0.016
0.38


nCohort
23
34
22
21
33
20
21
33
20


Recovered











nCohort Non-
57
45
37
59
46
40
59
46
40


recovered











Cutoff Quar-
0.00202
0.00202
0.00393
0.00202
0.00202
0.00260
0.00202
0.00202
0.00260


tile 2











Sensitivity
70%
80%
65%
69%
80%
68%
69%
80%
68%


Specificity
22%
38%
9%
19%
39%
10%
19%
39%
10%


Cutoff Quar-
0.0165
0.0157
0.0208
0.0165
0.0157
0.0207
0.0165
0.0157
0.0207


tile 3











Sensitivity
51%
56%
49%
51%
57%
50%
51%
57%
50%


Specificity
52%
59%
50%
52%
61%
50%
52%
61%
50%


Cutoff Quar-
0.0435
0.0427
0.0467
0.0435
0.0427
0.0464
0.0435
0.0427
0.0464


tile 4











Sensitivity
32%
33%
27%
31%
35%
25%
31%
35%
25%


Specificity
91%
88%
77%
90%
91%
75%
90%
91%
75%


OR Quartile 2
0.654
2.48
0.185
0.536
2.67
0.231
0.536
2.67
0.231


p Value
0.47
0.077
0.039
0.32
0.056
0.073
0.32
0.056
0.073


Lower limit
0.209
0.906
0.0372
0.158
0.974
0.0464
0.158
0.974
0.0464


of 95% CI











Upper limit
2.05
6.77
0.917
1.82
7.33
1.15
1.82
7.33
1.15


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.13
1.79
0.947
1.14
2.00
1.00
1.14
2.00
1.00


p Value
0.80
0.21
0.92
0.80
0.14
1.0
0.80
0.14
1.0


Lower limit
0.429
0.725
0.330
0.420
0.805
0.342
0.420
0.805
0.342


of 95% CI











Upper limit
2.98
4.40
2.72
3.08
4.97
2.93
3.08
4.97
2.93


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
4.85
3.75
1.26
4.17
5.33
1.00
4.17
5.33
1.00


p Value
0.047
0.033
0.71
0.073
0.014
1.0
0.073
0.014
1.0


Lower limit
1.02
1.11
0.367
0.877
1.41
0.289
0.877
1.41
0.289


of 95% CI











Upper limit
22.9
12.6
4.32
19.8
20.2
3.45
19.8
20.2
3.45


of 95% CI

























TABLE 8.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0152
0.0182
0.0153
0.0177
0.0153
0.0177


Average
0.0216
0.0915
0.0225
0.0898
0.0225
0.0898


Stdev
0.0287
0.405
0.0290
0.401
0.0290
0.401


p (t-test)

0.22

0.23

0.23


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.113
2.98
0.113
2.98
0.113
2.98


n (Patient)
26
53
25
54
25
54







sCr only













Median
0.0151
0.0177
0.0146
0.0182
0.0152
0.0173


Average
0.0191
0.108
0.0179
0.107
0.0190
0.102


Stdev
0.0229
0.453
0.0220
0.448
0.0222
0.438


p (t-test)

0.22

0.20

0.21


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98


n (Patient)
35
42
34
43
32
45







UO only













Median
0.0293
0.0225
0.0296
0.0217
0.0296
0.0217


Average
0.0427
0.122
0.0453
0.118
0.0453
0.118


Stdev
0.0434
0.494
0.0434
0.488
0.0434
0.488


p (t-test)

0.36

0.39

0.39


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
17
35
16
36
16
36














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.58
0.60
0.45
0.56
0.62
0.41
0.56
0.58
0.41


SE
0.067
0.064
0.085
0.069
0.064
0.084
0.069
0.066
0.084


p Value
0.21
0.11
0.55
0.37
0.056
0.29
0.37
0.23
0.29


nCohort
26
35
17
25
34
16
25
32
16


Recovered











nCohort Non-
53
42
35
54
43
36
54
45
36


recovered











Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00449
0.00202
0.00202
0.00449
0.00202
0.00202
0.00449


Sensitivity
74%
79%
71%
72%
79%
69%
72%
76%
69%


Specificity
31%
37%
18%
28%
38%
12%
28%
34%
12%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0157
0.0153
0.0237
0.0157
0.0153
0.0237
0.0157
0.0153
0.0237


Sensitivity
53%
52%
49%
52%
53%
47%
52%
51%
47%


Specificity
58%
54%
47%
56%
56%
44%
56%
53%
44%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0427
0.0411
0.0494
0.0427
0.0411
0.0494
0.0427
0.0411
0.0494


Sensitivity
30%
31%
23%
30%
33%
22%
30%
31%
22%


Specificity
88%
83%
71%
88%
85%
69%
88%
84%
69%


OR Quartile 2
1.24
2.17
0.536
1.01
2.34
0.325
1.01
1.62
0.325


p Value
0.69
0.13
0.40
0.98
0.099
0.18
0.98
0.34
0.18


Lower limit of
0.441
0.792
0.126
0.351
0.853
0.0628
0.351
0.597
0.0628


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.48
5.93
2.28
2.91
6.42
1.68
2.91
4.39
1.68


95% CI











OR Quartile 3
1.53
1.31
0.840
1.37
1.46
0.696
1.37
1.18
0.696


p Value
0.38
0.56
0.77
0.52
0.41
0.55
0.52
0.71
0.55


Lower limit of
0.593
0.531
0.263
0.528
0.590
0.213
0.528
0.478
0.213


95% CI











Upper limit of
3.94
3.21
2.68
3.56
3.60
2.28
3.56
2.94
2.28


95% CI











OR Quartile 4
3.32
2.17
0.711
3.09
2.80
0.629
3.09
2.44
0.629


p Value
0.079
0.17
0.61
0.099
0.078
0.49
0.099
0.13
0.49


Lower limit of
0.869
0.724
0.192
0.808
0.892
0.168
0.808
0.777
0.168


95% CI











Upper limit of
12.6
6.48
2.63
11.8
8.79
2.35
11.8
7.66
2.35


95% CI

























TABLE 8.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


within 7 days after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine


(sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72













Recovery

Non-

Non-

Non-


Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0151
0.0177
0.0153
0.0171
0.0153
0.0171


Average
0.0265
0.105 
0.0250
0.0996
0.0254
0.0961


Stdev
0.0352
0.453 
0.0302
0.434 
0.0309
0.425 


p (t-test)

0.27  

0.26  

0.26  


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151 
2.98  
0.113 
2.98  
0.113 
2.98  


n (Patient)
41   
42   
37      
46     
35     
48     







sCr only













Median
0.0152
0.0182
0.0152
0.0182
0.0155
0.0173


Average
0.0268
0.127 
0.0245
0.124 
0.0254
0.113 


Stdev
0.0341
0.509 
0.0294
0.494 
0.0301
0.469 


p (t-test)

0.27  

0.25  

0.26  


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151 
2.98  
0.113 
2.98  
0.113 
2.98  


n (Patient)
48   
33     
46     
35     
42     
39     







UO only













Median
0.0206
0.0150
0.0181
0.0150
0.0169
0.0151


Average
0.0322
0.0925
0.0297
0.0933
0.0299
0.0919


Stdev
0.0413
0.425 
0.0365
0.425 
0.0371
0.421 


p (t-test)

0.34  

0.31  

0.31  


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.191 
2.98  
0.151 
2.98  
0.151 
2.98  


n (Patient)
31   
48     
31     
48     
30     
49     













Recovery
24
48
72
















Period
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO
sCr or
sCr
UO


Duration (hr)
UO
only
only
UO
only
only
UO
only
only





AUC
0.57
0.57
0.47
0.55
0.58
0.49
0.55
0.56
0.50


SE
0.063
0.066
0.067
0.063
0.065
0.067
0.064
0.064
0.067


p Value
0.27
0.31
0.67
0.39
0.21
0.88
0.39
0.37
0.94


nCohort
41
48
31
37
46
31
35
42
30


Recovered











nCohort Non-
42
33
48
46
35
48
48
39
49


recovered











Cutoff Quar-
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202


tile 2











Sensitivity
76%
79%
69%
76%
80%
69%
77%
79%
69%


Specificity
32%
33%
23%
32%
35%
23%
34%
36%
23%


Cutoff Quar-
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157


tile 3











Sensitivity
55%
55%
46%
52%
54%
48%
52%
51%
49%


Specificity
56%
54%
45%
54%
54%
48%
54%
52%
50%


Cutoff Quar-
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427


tile 4











Sensitivity
26%
27%
23%
26%
29%
25%
25%
28%
24%


Specificity
78%
77%
74%
78%
78%
77%
77%
79%
77%


OR Quar-
1.49
1.86
0.642
1.53
2.13
0.642
1.75
2.15
0.690


tile 2











p Value
0.42
0.24
0.40
0.39
0.15
0.40
0.26
0.13
0.48


Lower limit
0.564
0.664
0.227
0.581
0.764
0.227
0.666
0.791
0.243


of 95% CI











Upper limit
3.91
5.19
1.82
4.01
5.96
1.82
4.63
5.86
1.95


of 95% CI











OR Quar-
1.55
1.42
0.697
1.28
1.41
0.862
1.29
1.16
0.960


tile 3











p Value
0.32
0.44
0.44
0.57
0.44
0.75
0.57
0.74
0.93


Lower limit
0.651
0.582
0.281
0.539
0.585
0.349
0.539
0.484
0.387


of 95% CI











Upper limit
3.68
3.45
1.73
3.06
3.42
2.13
3.09
2.77
2.38


of 95% CI











OR Quar-
1.26
1.26
0.855
1.28
1.44
1.14
1.12
1.44
1.07


tile 4











p Value
0.65
0.66
0.77
0.64
0.48
0.81
0.82
0.48
0.91


Lower limit
0.460
0.455
0.299
0.460
0.522
0.394
0.404
0.522
0.366


of 95% CI











Upper limit
3.46
3.50
2.44
3.56
3.97
3.32
3.13
3.97
3.10


of 95% CI

























TABLE 8.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


at 12 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
8.48
9.96
8.41
10.0
8.48
9.96


Average
8.83
12.4
6.73
12.4
8.01
12.3


Stdev
4.38
8.96
2.95
8.82
1.64
8.85


p (t-test)

0.090

0.012

0.0088


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
5.31
1.32


Max
15.9
38.9
9.75
38.9
9.75
38.9


n (Patient)
8
74
5
77
4
78







sCr only













Median
7.90
10.6
7.72
10.9
7.90
10.6


Average
9.48
13.8
9.08
13.8
9.33
13.5


Stdev
5.27
9.94
5.22
9.75
5.29
9.70


p (t-test)

0.014

0.0061

0.015


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
22.8
38.9
22.8
38.9
22.8
38.9


n (Patient)
31
50
29
52
27
54







UO only













Median
8.48
9.53
8.56
9.28
10.8
8.94


Average
12.3
11.8
12.9
11.8
14.3
11.6


Stdev
8.63
8.65
8.87
8.62
8.41
8.59


p (t-test)

0.88

0.75

0.43


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
5.31
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
10
61
9
62
8
64














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.58
0.62
0.48
0.69
0.64
0.46
0.61
0.62
0.38


SE
0.10
0.063
0.098
0.11
0.062
0.10
0.13
0.064
0.098


p Value
0.40
0.065
0.83
0.074
0.020
0.66
0.40
0.057
0.22


nCohort Recovered
8
31
10
5
29
9
4
27
8


nCohort Non-recovered
74
50
61
77
52
62
78
54
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
6.18
6.19
6.19
6.18
6.19
6.19
6.18
6.19
6.19


Sensitivity
74%
78%
74%
75%
79%
74%
 74%
78%
73%


Specificity
25%
32%
20%
40%
34%
22%
 25%
33%
12%


Cutoff Quartile 3
9.66
9.75
9.00
9.66
9.75
9.00
9.66
9.75
8.94


Sensitivity
51%
58%
51%
52%
60%
50%
 51%
57%
50%


Specificity
62%
65%
60%
80%
69%
56%
 75%
67%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
15.6
15.9
14.3
15.6
15.9
14.6
15.6
15.9
14.6


Sensitivity
27%
32%
25%
27%
31%
24%
 27%
30%
23%


Specificity
88%
87%
70%
100%
86%
67%
100%
85%
62%


OR Quartile 2
0.965
1.69
0.703
2.04
1.96
0.821
0.967
1.75
0.395


p Value
0.97
0.31
0.68
0.45
0.19
0.82
0.98
0.28
0.40


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.179
0.617
0.135
0.316
0.711
0.154
0.0950
0.628
0.0452


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.19
4.62
3.67
13.1
5.41
4.37
9.83
4.88
3.45


OR Quartile 3
1.76
2.51
1.55
4.32
3.28
1.25
3.16
2.70
1.00


p Value
0.46
0.051
0.53
0.20
0.016
0.76
0.33
0.044
1.0


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.392
0.995
0.397
0.462
1.25
0.306
0.315
1.03
0.230


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.90
6.34
6.05
40.5
8.59
5.10
31.7
7.08
4.35


OR Quartile 4
2.59
3.18
0.761
4.19
2.78
0.638
3.37
2.42
0.510


p Value
0.39
0.060
0.72
0.34
0.098
0.56
0.42
0.15
0.39


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.300
0.950
0.174
0.222
0.829
0.142
0.174
0.721
0.109


Upper limit of 95% CI
22.4
10.6
3.32
79.0
9.30
2.87
65.2
8.13
2.39
















TABLE 8.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


at 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
6.35
10.2
5.75
10.2
7.30
9.96


Average
9.04
12.5
8.67
12.5
10.7
12.2


Stdev
7.82
8.84
8.47
8.74
8.89
8.77


p (t-test)

0.24

0.29

0.72


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
5.31
1.32


Max
30.3
38.9
30.3
38.9
30.3
38.9


n (Patient)
10
70
8
72
6
74







sCr only













Median
7.72
10.9
7.38
10.9
7.64
10.7


Average
9.80
13.7
9.71
13.6
9.92
13.4


Stdev
6.40
9.78
6.54
9.62
6.56
9.62


p (t-test)

0.037

0.038

0.064


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
30.3
38.9
30.3
38.9
30.3
38.9


n (Patient)
31
48
29
50
28
51







UO only













Median
7.94
9.74
8.17
9.91
8.41
9.56


Average
10.2
12.4
10.4
12.4
11.1
12.1


Stdev
7.79
8.93
8.00
8.89
7.91
8.87


p (t-test)

0.36

0.44

0.69


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
3.20
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
15
54
14
55
13
57














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.62
0.59
0.69
0.63
0.58
0.59
0.61
0.53


SE
0.085
0.063
0.081
0.088
0.063
0.083
0.11
0.065
0.088


p Value
0.076
0.053
0.28
0.031
0.038
0.36
0.42
0.082
0.72


nCohort Recovered
10
31
15
8
29
14
6
28
13


nCohort Non-recovered
70
48
54
72
50
55
74
51
57


Cutoff Quartile 2
6.16
6.19
6.18
6.16
6.19
6.18
6.16
6.19
6.19


Sensitivity
77%
79%
76%
78%
80%
76%
76%
78%
75%


Specificity
40%
32%
33%
50%
34%
36%
33%
32%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
9.28
9.56
9.00
9.28
9.56
9.00
9.28
9.56
8.94


Sensitivity
54%
58%
54%
54%
58%
53%
53%
57%
53%


Specificity
80%
65%
67%
88%
66%
64%
83%
64%
62%


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0
16.1
14.5
16.0
16.1
14.7
16.0
16.1
14.7


Sensitivity
27%
31%
26%
26%
30%
25%
26%
29%
26%


Specificity
90%
84%
80%
88%
83%
79%
83%
82%
77%


OR Quartile 2
2.25
1.81
1.58
3.50
2.11
1.79
1.56
1.72
1.37


p Value
0.25
0.26
0.47
0.10
0.16
0.36
0.63
0.30
0.64


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.565
0.649
0.456
0.786
0.750
0.510
0.263
0.611
0.363


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.97
5.05
5.46
15.6
5.91
6.31
9.21
4.86
5.13


OR Quartile 3
4.75
2.55
2.32
8.27
2.62
2.01
5.57
2.37
1.78


p Value
0.059
0.050
0.17
0.054
0.046
0.26
0.13
0.075
0.36


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.941
1.00
0.699
0.968
1.02
0.596
0.620
0.917
0.518


Upper limit of 95% CI
24.0
6.47
7.70
70.7
6.78
6.76
50.0
6.14
6.10


OR Quartile 4
3.35
2.36
1.40
2.51
2.06
1.25
1.73
1.92
1.19


p Value
0.27
0.14
0.64
0.40
0.21
0.76
0.63
0.26
0.81


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.398
0.760
0.344
0.289
0.659
0.305
0.190
0.613
0.288


Upper limit of 95% CI
28.3
7.35
5.70
21.8
6.42
5.15
15.7
5.99
4.92
















TABLE 8.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


at 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
7.11
10.6
8.15
10.3
8.15
10.3


Average
9.28
13.1
10.1
12.7
10.1
12.7


Stdev
6.82
8.98
6.94
8.98
6.94
8.98


p (t-test)

0.055

0.23

0.23


Min
1.62
1.32
3.20
1.32
3.20
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
21
56
18
59
18
59







sCr only













Median
7.25
11.5
7.38
11.0
7.38
11.0


Average
8.89
14.0
9.06
13.7
9.06
13.7


Stdev
5.17
9.57
5.16
9.58
5.16
9.58


p (t-test)

0.0046

0.0085

0.0085


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
22.8
38.9
22.8
38.9
22.8
38.9


n (Patient)
32
44
31
45
31
45







UO only













Median
8.41
10.0
9.39
9.74
9.39
9.74


Average
11.6
13.0
12.4
12.4
12.4
12.4


Stdev
7.66
9.86
7.63
9.71
7.63
9.71


p (t-test)

0.57

0.99

0.99


Min
1.62
1.32
3.20
1.32
3.20
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
20
37
18
40
18
40














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.67
0.52
0.59
0.65
0.47
0.59
0.65
0.47


SE
0.067
0.062
0.080
0.074
0.063
0.082
0.074
0.063
0.082


p Value
0.023
0.0061
0.78
0.21
0.017
0.73
0.21
0.017
0.73


nCohort Recovered
21
32
20
18
31
18
18
31
18


nCohort Non-recovered
56
44
37
59
45
40
59
45
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
6.19
6.19
6.24
6.19
6.19
6.29
6.19
6.19
6.29


Sensitivity
80%
82%
76%
78%
80%
75%
78%
80%
75%


Specificity
43%
34%
30%
39%
32%
28%
39%
32%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
9.56
9.28
9.91
9.56
9.28
9.74
9.56
9.28
9.74


Sensitivity
57%
61%
51%
54%
60%
50%
54%
60%
50%


Specificity
71%
66%
55%
67%
65%
50%
67%
65%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
15.9
15.0
15.9
15.9
15.0
15.6
15.9
15.0
15.6


Sensitivity
29%
34%
24%
27%
33%
25%
27%
33%
25%


Specificity
86%
88%
75%
83%
87%
72%
83%
87%
72%


OR Quartile 2
3.07
2.36
1.33
2.25
1.90
1.15
2.25
1.90
1.15


p Value
0.043
0.11
0.64
0.16
0.23
0.82
0.16
0.23
0.82


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.03
0.818
0.395
0.727
0.667
0.329
0.727
0.667
0.329


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.10
6.79
4.50
6.97
5.44
4.05
6.97
5.44
4.05


OR Quartile 3
3.33
3.03
1.29
2.37
2.73
1.00
2.37
2.73
1.00


p Value
0.030
0.022
0.65
0.13
0.038
1.0
0.13
0.038
1.0


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.13
1.17
0.433
0.784
1.06
0.329
0.784
1.06
0.329


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.86
7.83
3.84
7.16
7.03
3.04
7.16
7.03
3.04


OR Quartile 4
2.40
3.62
0.964
1.86
3.38
0.867
1.86
3.38
0.867


p Value
0.20
0.039
0.95
0.37
0.051
0.82
0.37
0.051
0.82


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.620
1.07
0.273
0.475
0.997
0.247
0.475
0.997
0.247


Upper limit of 95% CI
9.28
12.3
3.40
7.29
11.4
3.04
7.29
11.4
3.04
















TABLE 8.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts


at 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
8.17
10.6
8.17
10.6
8.17
10.6


Average
9.65
12.8
9.65
12.8
9.65
12.8


Stdev
5.94
9.17
5.94
9.17
5.94
9.17


p (t-test)

0.094

0.094

0.094


Min
3.20
1.32
3.20
1.32
3.20
1.32


Max
24.1
38.9
24.1
38.9
24.1
38.9


n (Patient)
22
52
22
52
22
52







sCr only













Median
7.90
10.9
7.90
10.9
7.94
10.6


Average
10.4
12.7
9.67
13.1
9.84
12.9


Stdev
8.00
8.57
6.69
9.18
6.88
9.05


p (t-test)

0.26

0.071

0.12


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
36.8
38.9
34.6
38.9
34.6
38.9


n (Patient)
33
40
31
42
29
44







UO only













Median
10.2
9.46
10.2
9.46
10.2
9.46


Average
11.9
12.8
11.9
12.8
11.9
12.8


Stdev
5.52
10.2
5.52
10.2
5.52
10.2


p (t-test)

0.69

0.69

0.69


Min
5.31
1.32
5.31
1.32
5.31
1.32


Max
24.1
38.9
24.1
38.9
24.1
38.9


n (Patient)
14
34
14
34
14
34














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.60
0.60
0.45
0.60
0.63
0.45
0.60
0.61
0.45


SE
0.070
0.066
0.091
0.070
0.065
0.091
0.070
0.066
0.091


p Value
0.16
0.12
0.58
0.16
0.055
0.58
0.16
0.10
0.58


nCohort Recovered
22
33
14
22
31
14
22
29
14


nCohort Non-recovered
52
40
34
52
42
34
52
44
34


Cutoff Quartile 2
6.19
6.18
6.96
6.19
6.18
6.96
6.19
6.18
6.96


Sensitivity
79%
78%
71%
79%
79%
71%
79%
80%
71%


Specificity
36%
30%
14%
36%
32%
14%
36%
34%
14%


Cutoff Quartile 3
9.28
9.00
9.96
9.28
9.00
9.96
9.28
9.00
9.96


Sensitivity
56%
60%
47%
56%
60%
47%
56%
57%
47%


Specificity
64%
64%
43%
64%
65%
43%
64%
62%
43%


Cutoff Quartile 4
14.7
14.6
14.9
14.7
14.6
14.9
14.7
14.6
14.9


Sensitivity
31%
32%
26%
31%
33%
26%
31%
32%
26%


Specificity
86%
85%
79%
86%
87%
79%
86%
86%
79%


OR Quartile 2
2.13
1.50
0.400
2.13
1.75
0.400
2.13
2.05
0.400


p Value
0.18
0.45
0.28
0.18
0.30
0.28
0.18
0.19
0.28


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.713
0.524
0.0754
0.713
0.609
0.0754
0.713
0.709
0.0754


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.36
4.28
2.12
6.36
5.01
2.12
6.36
5.91
2.12


OR Quartile 3
2.21
2.62
0.667
2.21
2.67
0.667
2.21
2.15
0.667


p Value
0.13
0.047
0.53
0.13
0.045
0.53
0.13
0.12
0.53


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.790
1.01
0.190
0.790
1.02
0.190
0.790
0.826
0.190


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.16
6.79
2.34
6.16
6.98
2.34
6.16
5.61
2.34


OR Quartile 4
2.81
2.70
1.32
2.81
3.38
1.32
2.81
2.92
1.32


p Value
0.13
0.093
0.71
0.13
0.053
0.71
0.13
0.088
0.71


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.728
0.846
0.298
0.728
0.986
0.298
0.728
0.851
0.298


Upper limit of 95% CI
10.9
8.59
5.84
10.9
11.6
5.84
10.9
9.99
5.84
















TABLE 8.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where


recovery starts within 7 days after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE citeria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
9.06
10.2
8.48
10.5
8.48
10.5


Average
11.3
12.9
11.1
13.0
11.2
12.8


Stdev
7.16
9.92
7.39
9.52
7.40
9.46


p (t-test)

0.41

0.32

0.42


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
3.20
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
22
52
22
52
22
52







sCr only













Median
8.48
10.4
8.41
10.5
8.41
10.5


Average
11.6
12.9
11.4
13.1
11.4
12.9


Stdev
7.97
9.65
8.08
9.40
8.39
8.99


p (t-test)

0.54

0.41

0.46


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
36.8
38.9
36.8
38.9
36.8
38.9


n (Patient)
48
33
46
35
42
39







UO only













Median
8.48
10.2
8.41
10.4
8.48
10.2


Average
11.1
13.1
10.4
13.2
10.7
13.0


Stdev
7.72
9.28
6.57
9.30
6.48
9.36


p (t-test)

0.33

0.12

0.21


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
3.20
1.32


Max
33.3
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
30
48
31
47
30
48














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.53
0.53
0.55
0.56
0.55
0.58
0.54
0.56
0.55


SE
0.063
0.066
0.067
0.063
0.065
0.066
0.063
0.064
0.067


p Value
0.69
0.65
0.44
0.38
0.40
0.24
0.49
0.31
0.43


nCohort Recovered
44
48
30
40
46
31
38
42
30


nCohort Non-recovered
40
33
48
44
35
47
46
39
48


Cutoff Quartile 2
6.19
6.19
6.24
6.19
6.19
6.24
6.19
6.19
6.24


Sensitivity
75%
76%
75%
77%
77%
77%
76%
79%
75%


Specificity
25%
27%
30%
28%
28%
32%
26%
31%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
9.66
9.75
9.66
9.66
9.75
9.66
9.66
9.75
9.66


Sensitivity
52%
55%
54%
55%
57%
55%
54%
56%
54%


Specificity
52%
54%
57%
55%
57%
58%
55%
57%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0
15.9
15.6
16.0
15.9
15.6
16.0
15.9
15.6


Sensitivity
30%
30%
31%
30%
31%
32%
28%
28%
31%


Specificity
80%
79%
83%
80%
80%
84%
79%
79%
83%


OR Quartile 2
1.00
1.16
1.29
1.29
1.33
1.56
1.14
1.74
1.29


p Value
1.0
0.77
0.63
0.61
0.58
0.39
0.80
0.29
0.63


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.372
0.419
0.464
0.480
0.481
0.567
0.422
0.629
0.464


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.69
3.22
3.56
3.47
3.68
4.29
3.06
4.80
3.56


OR Quartile 3
1.21
1.42
1.55
1.47
1.73
1.71
1.47
1.73
1.55


p Value
0.66
0.44
0.35
0.38
0.22
0.25
0.38
0.22
0.35


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.514
0.582
0.617
0.620
0.713
0.686
0.620
0.716
0.617


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.85
3.45
3.87
3.47
4.21
4.29
3.49
4.16
3.87


OR Quartile 4
1.67
1.65
2.27
1.68
1.88
2.44
1.48
1.44
2.27


p Value
0.32
0.33
0.16
0.32
0.22
0.12
0.45
0.48
0.16


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.615
0.597
0.728
0.611
0.680
0.782
0.538
0.522
0.728


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.52
4.57
7.09
4.60
5.22
7.60
4.06
3.97
7.09









Example 9. Use of C-C Motif Chemokine 16 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and a urine samples (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. C-C motif chemokine 16 is measured in the earliest samples collected while the patients were in RIFLE I or F by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output during a period starting at 12, 24, 48, or 72 hours after sample collection or at any time within 7 days after sample collection. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R). “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F). If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) within 9 days of enrollment, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 9.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


12 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.00734
0.0207
0.00738
0.0206
0.00908
0.0194


Average
0.0126
0.0844
0.0129
0.0832
0.0134
0.0819


Stdev
0.0148
0.375
0.0151
0.372
0.0154
0.369


p (t-test)

0.14

0.14

0.15


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.0518
2.98
0.0518
2.98
0.0518
2.98


n (Patient)
19
62
18
63
17
64







sCr only













Median
0.0108
0.0262
0.0142
0.0217
0.0142
0.0217


Average
0.0190
0.135
0.0197
0.127
0.0197
0.127


Stdev
0.0228
0.500
0.0230
0.487
0.0230
0.487


p (t-test)

0.19

0.20

0.20


Min
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98


n (Patient)
47
34
45
36
45
36







UO only













Median
0.0125
0.0217
0.0108
0.0225
0.0125
0.0208


Average
0.0293
0.0914
0.0282
0.0932
0.0290
0.0899


Stdev
0.0407
0.408
0.0400
0.412
0.0409
0.405


p (t-test)

0.29

0.28

0.29


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
20
52
21
51
20
53














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.67
0.68
0.55
0.67
0.64
0.57
0.66
0.64
0.56


SE
0.066
0.061
0.075
0.068
0.062
0.073
0.069
0.062
0.074


p Value
0.0095
0.0039
0.48
0.014
0.023
0.37
0.021
0.023
0.40


nCohort Recovered
19
47
20
18
45
21
17
45
20


nCohort Non-recovered
62
34
52
63
36
51
64
36
53


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00161
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202


Sensitivity
73%
82%
73%
73%
81%
73%
73%
81%
74%


Specificity
32%
36%
20%
33%
36%
24%
35%
36%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0157
0.0157
0.0193
0.0157
0.0157
0.0193
0.0157
0.0157
0.0181


Sensitivity
56%
62%
54%
56%
58%
55%
55%
58%
53%


Specificity
74%
60%
60%
72%
58%
62%
71%
58%
60%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0427
0.0427
0.0464
0.0427
0.0427
0.0464
0.0427
0.0427
0.0460


Sensitivity
31%
38%
27%
30%
36%
27%
30%
36%
26%


Specificity
95%
85%
80%
94%
84%
81%
94%
84%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.22
2.64
0.679
1.35
2.29
0.826
1.51
2.29
1.19


p Value
0.73
0.073
0.54
0.60
0.11
0.75
0.48
0.11
0.76


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.400
0.913
0.193
0.438
0.819
0.254
0.483
0.819
0.384


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.73
7.66
2.38
4.18
6.38
2.68
4.71
6.38
3.71


OR Quartile 3
3.63
2.38
1.75
3.25
1.92
1.98
2.90
1.92
1.68


p Value
0.026
0.060
0.30
0.044
0.15
0.20
0.071
0.15
0.33


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.16
0.964
0.614
1.03
0.788
0.700
0.914
0.788
0.591


Upper limit of 95% CI
11.3
5.88
4.99
10.2
4.66
5.59
9.18
4.66
4.78


OR Quartile 4
7.95
3.54
1.47
7.34
3.07
1.61
6.76
3.07
1.44


p Value
0.051
0.019
0.54
0.061
0.037
0.46
0.073
0.037
0.57


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.989
1.23
0.420
0.910
1.07
0.460
0.835
1.07
0.410


Upper limit of 95% CI
64.0
10.2
5.17
59.2
8.81
5.62
54.6
8.81
5.03
















TABLE 9.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0125
0.0217
0.0142
0.0208
0.0146
0.0195


Average
0.0158
0.0909
0.0162
0.0895
0.0167
0.0880


Stdev
0.0150
0.394
0.0152
0.390
0.0154
0.387


p (t-test)

0.16

0.17

0.17


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.0518
2.98
0.0518
2.98
0.0518
2.98


n (Patient)
24
56
23
57
22
58







sCr only













Median
0.0142
0.0225
0.0146
0.0217
0.0142
0.0225


Average
0.0199
0.131
0.0202
0.127
0.0197
0.125


Stdev
0.0229
0.493
0.0231
0.487
0.0231
0.480


p (t-test)

0.20

0.20

0.20


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98
0.106
2.98


n (Patient)
45
35
44
36
43
37







UO only













Median
0.0167
0.0237
0.0153
0.0249
0.0167
0.0225


Average
0.0298
0.100
0.0288
0.103
0.0296
0.0985


Stdev
0.0382
0.433
0.0376
0.438
0.0384
0.429


p (t-test)

0.28

0.27

0.29


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
22
46
23
45
22
47














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.61
0.65
0.52
0.61
0.64
0.54
0.60
0.65
0.53


SE
0.066
0.063
0.075
0.068
0.063
0.074
0.069
0.062
0.074


p Value
0.086
0.021
0.76
0.11
0.030
0.61
0.16
0.018
0.69


nCohort Recovered
24
45
22
23
44
23
22
43
22


nCohort Non-recovered
56
35
46
57
36
45
58
37
47


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00161
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202


Sensitivity
70%
80%
70%
70%
81%
69%
71%
81%
70%


Specificity
21%
33%
14%
22%
34%
17%
23%
35%
23%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0165
0.0165
0.0207
0.0165
0.0165
0.0207
0.0165
0.0165
0.0206


Sensitivity
55%
60%
54%
54%
58%
56%
53%
59%
53%


Specificity
62%
58%
59%
61%
57%
61%
59%
58%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0435
0.0435
0.0464
0.0435
0.0435
0.0464
0.0435
0.0435
0.0460


Sensitivity
32%
37%
28%
32%
36%
29%
31%
35%
28%


Specificity
92%
84%
82%
91%
84%
83%
91%
84%
82%


OR Quartile 2
0.604
2.00
0.361
0.654
2.14
0.466
0.709
2.30
0.693


p Value
0.38
0.19
0.14
0.47
0.15
0.23
0.56
0.12
0.54


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.193
0.711
0.0917
0.209
0.762
0.134
0.225
0.816
0.214


Upper limit of 95% CI
1.88
5.63
1.42
2.05
6.03
1.63
2.23
6.46
2.25


OR Quartile 3
2.07
2.05
1.72
1.85
1.84
1.94
1.66
2.04
1.64


p Value
0.15
0.12
0.30
0.22
0.18
0.20
0.32
0.12
0.34


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.776
0.836
0.614
0.692
0.755
0.699
0.614
0.834
0.589


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.51
5.04
4.81
4.97
4.49
5.41
4.48
4.98
4.57


OR Quartile 4
5.21
3.21
1.77
4.85
2.99
1.93
4.50
2.79
1.72


p Value
0.037
0.031
0.37
0.047
0.042
0.31
0.058
0.057
0.40


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.10
1.11
0.503
1.02
1.04
0.549
0.949
0.971
0.489


Upper limit of 95% CI
24.6
9.24
6.25
22.9
8.59
6.78
21.3
7.99
6.05
















TABLE 9.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0129
0.0262
0.0152
0.0195
0.0153
0.0182


Average
0.0232
0.109
0.0257
0.0999
0.0265
0.0978


Stdev
0.0336
0.452
0.0347
0.433
0.0349
0.429


p (t-test)

0.23

0.26

0.27


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
24
56
23
57
22
58







sCr only













Median
0.0151
0.0195
0.0146
0.0208
0.0146
0.0208


Average
0.0248
0.132
0.0244
0.129
0.0244
0.129


Stdev
0.0321
0.516
0.0323
0.508
0.0323
0.508


p (t-test)

0.26

0.25

0.25


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
47
32
46
33
46
33







UO only













Median
0.0157
0.0315
0.0206
0.0208
0.0227
0.0190


Average
0.0295
0.141
0.0336
0.121
0.0350
0.118


Stdev
0.0373
0.532
0.0386
0.495
0.0388
0.488


p (t-test)

0.27

0.31

0.33


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
29
30
25
35
24
36














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.61
0.65
0.52
0.61
0.64
0.54
0.60
0.65
0.53


SE
0.066
0.063
0.075
0.068
0.063
0.074
0.069
0.062
0.074


p Value
0.086
0.021
0.76
0.11
0.030
0.61
0.16
0.018
0.69


nCohort Recovered
24
45
22
23
44
23
22
43
22


nCohort Non-recovered
56
35
46
57
36
45
58
37
47


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00161
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202


Sensitivity
70%
80%
70%
70%
81%
69%
71%
81%
70%


Specificity
21%
33%
14%
22%
34%
17%
23%
35%
23%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0165
0.0165
0.0207
0.0165
0.0165
0.0207
0.0165
0.0165
0.0206


Sensitivity
55%
60%
54%
54%
58%
56%
53%
59%
53%


Specificity
62%
58%
59%
61%
57%
61%
59%
58%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0435
0.0435
0.0464
0.0435
0.0435
0.0464
0.0435
0.0435
0.0460


Sensitivity
32%
37%
28%
32%
36%
29%
31%
35%
28%


Specificity
92%
84%
82%
91%
84%
83%
91%
84%
82%


OR Quartile 2
0.604
2.00
0.361
0.654
2.14
0.466
0.709
2.30
0.693


p Value
0.38
0.19
0.14
0.47
0.15
0.23
0.56
0.12
0.54


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.193
0.711
0.0917
0.209
0.762
0.134
0.225
0.816
0.214


Upper limit of 95% CI
1.88
5.63
1.42
2.05
6.03
1.63
2.23
6.46
2.25


OR Quartile 3
2.07
2.05
1.72
1.85
1.84
1.94
1.66
2.04
1.64


p Value
0.15
0.12
0.30
0.22
0.18
0.20
0.32
0.12
0.34


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.776
0.836
0.614
0.692
0.755
0.699
0.614
0.834
0.589


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.51
5.04
4.81
4.97
4.49
5.41
4.48
4.98
4.57


OR Quartile 4
5.21
3.21
1.77
4.85
2.99
1.93
4.50
2.79
1.72


p Value
0.037
0.031
0.37
0.047
0.042
0.31
0.058
0.057
0.40


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.10
1.11
0.503
1.02
1.04
0.549
0.949
0.971
0.489


Upper limit of 95% CI
24.6
9.24
6.25
22.9
8.59
6.78
21.3
7.99
6.05
















TABLE 9.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0146
0.0208
0.0151
0.0195
0.0151
0.0195


Average
0.0251
0.109
0.0258
0.106
0.0258
0.106


Stdev
0.0349
0.458
0.0351
0.453
0.0351
0.453


p (t-test)

0.26

0.26

0.26


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
38
41
37
42
37
42







sCr only













Median
0.0146
0.0182
0.0146
0.0182
0.0146
0.0182


Average
0.0237
0.133
0.0237
0.133
0.0237
0.133


Stdev
0.0308
0.524
0.0308
0.524
0.0308
0.524


p (t-test)

0.26

0.26

0.26


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
46
31
46
31
46
31







UO only













Median
0.0227
0.0265
0.0249
0.0225
0.0249
0.0225


Average
0.0375
0.132
0.0395
0.128
0.0395
0.128


Stdev
0.0421
0.516
0.0423
0.508
0.0423
0.508


p (t-test)

0.32

0.33

0.33


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
20
32
19
33
19
33














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
0.58
0.52
0.57
0.58
0.49
0.57
0.58
0.49


SE
0.064
0.067
0.083
0.064
0.067
0.084
0.064
0.067
0.084


p Value
0.14
0.25
0.81
0.25
0.25
0.86
0.25
0.25
0.86


nCohort Recovered
38
46
20
37
46
19
37
46
19


nCohort Non-recovered
41
31
32
42
31
33
42
31
33


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00449
0.00202
0.00202
0.00449
0.00202
0.00202
0.00449


Sensitivity
76%
77%
75%
74%
77%
73%
74%
77%
73%


Specificity
32%
33%
25%
30%
33%
21%
30%
33%
21%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0157
0.0153
0.0237
0.0157
0.0153
0.0237
0.0157
0.0153
0.0237


Sensitivity
56%
55%
50%
55%
55%
48%
55%
55%
48%


Specificity
58%
54%
50%
57%
54%
47%
57%
54%
47%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0427
0.0411
0.0494
0.0427
0.0411
0.0494
0.0427
0.0411
0.0494


Sensitivity
29%
26%
25%
29%
26%
24%
29%
26%
24%


Specificity
82%
76%
75%
81%
76%
74%
81%
76%
74%


OR Quartile 2
1.43
1.66
1.00
1.19
1.66
0.711
1.19
1.66
0.711


p Value
0.48
0.34
1.0
0.73
0.34
0.62
0.73
0.34
0.62


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.533
0.584
0.275
0.445
0.584
0.186
0.445
0.584
0.186


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.84
4.71
3.63
3.19
4.71
2.72
3.19
4.71
2.72


OR Quartile 3
1.76
1.45
1.00
1.59
1.45
0.847
1.59
1.45
0.847


p Value
0.22
0.43
1.0
0.31
0.43
0.77
0.31
0.43
0.77


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.720
0.579
0.327
0.652
0.579
0.274
0.652
0.579
0.274


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.29
3.61
3.06
3.87
3.61
2.62
3.87
3.61
2.62


OR Quartile 4
1.83
1.11
1.00
1.71
1.11
0.896
1.71
1.11
0.896


p Value
0.26
0.85
1.0
0.32
0.85
0.87
0.32
0.85
0.87


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.634
0.387
0.275
0.594
0.387
0.245
0.594
0.387
0.245


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.29
3.17
3.63
4.95
3.17
3.27
4.95
3.17
3.27
















TABLE 9.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


within 7 days after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
0.0108
0.0262
0.0112
0.0225
0.0112
0.0225


Average
0.0243
0.133
0.0245
0.124
0.0245
0.124


Stdev
0.0335
0.515
0.0340
0.494
0.0340
0.494


p (t-test)

0.25

0.25

0.25


Min
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
51
32
48
35
48
35







sCr only













Median
0.0152
0.0182
0.0152
0.0182
0.0152
0.0182


Average
0.0265
0.171
0.0267
0.159
0.0267
0.159


Stdev
0.0323
0.604
0.0328
0.581
0.0328
0.581


p (t−test)

0.27

0.28

0.28


Min
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6


Max
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
58
23
56
25
56
25







UO only













Median
0.0155
0.0170
0.0142
0.0190
0.0147
0.0173


Average
0.0285
0.110
0.0257
0.114
0.0262
0.112


Stdev
0.0391
0.470
0.0349
0.475
0.0352
0.469


p (t−test)

0.29

0.26

0.27


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
0.191
2.98
0.151
2.98
0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
40
39
41
38
40
39














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.64
0.57
0.53
0.63
0.57
0.58
0.63
0.57
0.56


SE
0.064
0.072
0.065
0.063
0.070
0.065
0.063
0.070
0.065


p Value
0.023
0.33
0.68
0.044
0.31
0.23
0.044
0.31
0.32


nCohort Recovered
51
58
40
48
56
41
48
56
40


nCohort Non−recovered
32
23
39
35
25
38
35
25
39


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202
0.00202


Sensitivity
84%
78%
74%
83%
80%
76%
83%
80%
77%


Specificity
35%
31%
30%
35%
32%
32%
35%
32%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157
0.0157


Sensitivity
66%
57%
51%
63%
56%
55%
63%
56%
54%


Specificity
61%
53%
52%
60%
54%
56%
60%
54%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427
0.0427


Sensitivity
28%
30%
26%
29%
28%
29%
29%
28%
28%


Specificity
78%
78%
78%
79%
77%
80%
79%
77%
80%


OR Quartile 2
2.95
1.62
1.24
2.65
1.89
1.50
2.65
1.89
1.60


p Value
0.057
0.41
0.67
0.071
0.27
0.43
0.071
0.27
0.35


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.967
0.520
0.463
0.919
0.613
0.553
0.919
0.613
0.593


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.97
5.05
3.33
7.65
5.86
4.05
7.65
5.86
4.35


OR Quartile 3
2.96
1.49
1.16
2.58
1.47
1.58
2.58
1.47
1.43


p Value
0.021
0.42
0.74
0.038
0.43
0.31
0.038
0.43
0.43


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.18
0.564
0.481
1.05
0.569
0.649
1.05
0.569
0.588


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.43
3.95
2.81
6.33
3.79
3.84
6.33
3.79
3.46


OR Quartile 4
1.42
1.51
1.19
1.52
1.29
1.68
1.52
1.29
1.57


p Value
0.50
0.45
0.74
0.42
0.64
0.33
0.42
0.64
0.40


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.513
0.513
0.423
0.553
0.441
0.592
0.553
0.441
0.554


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.94
4.47
3.34
4.18
3.75
4.77
4.18
3.75
4.46
















TABLE 9.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


12 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
7.55
10.4
7.38
10.4
7.25
10.4


Average
9.81
12.8
9.49
12.8
9.59
12.7


Stdev
7.72
8.86
7.79
8.80
7.99
8.75


p (t-test)

0.17

0.13

0.17


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
20
62
19
63
18
64







sCr only













Median
8.41
10.5
8.41
10.5
8.41
10.5


Average
11.8
12.6
11.9
12.4
11.9
12.4


Stdev
9.26
7.92
9.35
7.89
9.35
7.89


p (t−test)

0.70

0.81

0.81


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
46
35
44
37
44
37







UO only













Median
7.72
10.2
7.83
10.3
7.56
10.3


Average
9.64
12.8
9.93
12.8
9.61
12.8


Stdev
6.85
9.15
6.82
9.23
6.86
9.08


p (t−test)

0.13

0.15

0.12


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
21
50
22
49
21
51














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.62
0.56
0.61
0.64
0.55
0.59
0.64
0.55
0.61


SE
0.069
0.065
0.071
0.068
0.065
0.071
0.070
0.065
0.071


p Value
0.080
0.33
0.13
0.038
0.41
0.21
0.044
0.41
0.12


nCohort Recovered
20
46
21
19
44
22
18
44
21


nCohort Non−recovered
62
35
50
63
37
49
64
37
51


Cutoff Quartile 2
6.18
6.19
6.19
6.18
6.19
6.19
6.18
6.19
6.19


Sensitivity
76%
80%
76%
76%
78%
76%
77%
78%
76%


Specificity
30%
30%
29%
32%
30%
27%
33%
30%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
9.66
9.75
9.00
9.66
9.75
9.00
9.66
9.75
8.94


Sensitivity
56%
57%
58%
57%
57%
57%
56%
57%
59%


Specificity
70%
57%
71%
74%
57%
68%
72%
57%
71%


Cutoff Quartile 4
15.6
15.9
14.3
15.6
15.9
14.6
15.6
15.9
14.6


Sensitivity
29%
31%
30%
30%
30%
29%
30%
30%
29%


Specificity
85%
80%
86%
89%
80%
82%
89%
80%
86%


OR Quartile 2
1.34
1.75
1.27
1.48
1.52
1.16
1.63
1.52
1.30


p Value
0.61
0.29
0.69
0.50
0.42
0.80
0.40
0.42
0.65


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.439
0.619
0.402
0.478
0.550
0.369
0.523
0.550
0.413


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.11
4.95
3.99
4.56
4.20
3.62
5.10
4.20
4.09


OR Quartile 3
3.02
1.73
3.45
3.73
1.73
2.86
3.34
1.73
3.57


p Value
0.045
0.22
0.027
0.023
0.22
0.052
0.039
0.22
0.023


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.03
0.713
1.15
1.20
0.714
0.989
1.07
0.714
1.19


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.91
4.21
10.4
11.6
4.17
8.25
10.5
4.17
10.7


OR Quartile 4
2.32
1.88
2.57
3.67
1.65
1.80
3.38
1.65
2.50


p Value
0.22
0.22
0.17
0.10
0.34
0.36
0.13
0.34
0.19


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.604
0.680
0.658
0.771
0.595
0.517
0.706
0.595
0.640


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.89
5.22
10.1
17.5
4.55
6.27
16.2
4.55
9.77
















TABLE 9.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at


24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.



















24
48
72















Non-

Non-

Non-


Recovery Period
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered
Recovered
recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
7.55
10.6
7.11
10.6
6.81
10.5


Average
9.74
13.2
9.43
13.2
9.51
13.1


Stdev
7.47
9.15
7.83
8.93
8.00
8.88


p (t-test)

0.078

0.074

0.097


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
26
54
23
57
22
58







sCr only













Median
8.17
10.7
7.94
11.4
7.92
12.0


Average
11.8
12.7
11.7
12.8
11.1
13.6


Stdev
9.25
8.16
9.33
8.05
8.47
9.05


p (t−test)

0.65

0.58

0.23


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2
36.8
38.9


n (Patient)
46
33
45
34
44
35







UO only













Median
7.94
10.2
7.83
10.3
7.56
10.3


Average
9.91
13.1
10.1
13.0
9.86
13.0


Stdev
6.93
9.44
7.17
9.34
7.23
9.18


p (t−test)

0.12

0.16

0.13


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
25
44
24
45
23
47














24
48
72
















Recovery Period
sCr or


sCr or


sCr or




Duration (hr)
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only
UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.63
0.56
0.60
0.66
0.58
0.60
0.66
0.60
0.62


SE
0.064
0.066
0.070
0.064
0.066
0.070
0.065
0.065
0.069


p Value
0.042
0.33
0.14
0.013
0.24
0.16
0.015
0.12
0.088


nCohort Recovered
26
46
25
23
45
24
22
44
23


nCohort Non−recovered
54
33
44
57
34
45
58
35
47


Cutoff Quartile 2
6.16
6.19
6.18
6.16
6.19
6.18
6.16
6.19
6.19


Sensitivity
80%
79%
77%
81%
79%
78%
81%
80%
79%


Specificity
35%
28%
32%
39%
29%
33%
41%
30%
35%


Cutoff Quartile 3
9.28
9.56
9.00
9.28
9.56
9.00
9.28
9.56
8.94


Sensitivity
57%
58%
57%
60%
59%
58%
59%
60%
60%


Specificity
65%
57%
64%
74%
58%
67%
73%
59%
70%


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0
16.1
14.5
16.0
16.1
14.7
16.0
16.1
14.7


Sensitivity
31%
33%
30%
30%
32%
27%
29%
34%
30%


Specificity
88%
80%
84%
87%
80%
79%
86%
82%
83%


OR Quartile 2
2.07
1.46
1.60
2.69
1.57
1.75
2.96
1.68
1.97


p Value
0.17
0.48
0.40
0.069
0.40
0.32
0.048
0.33
0.23


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.728
0.511
0.534
0.927
0.547
0.581
1.01
0.586
0.653


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.88
4.19
4.79
7.80
4.49
5.27
8.66
4.80
5.97


OR Quartile 3
2.55
1.76
2.34
4.19
1.95
2.74
3.78
2.17
3.37


p Value
0.059
0.22
0.100
0.0087
0.15
0.056
0.015
0.094
0.025


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.964
0.715
0.851
1.44
0.792
0.973
1.29
0.877
1.16


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.73
4.35
6.43
12.2
4.83
7.70
11.1
5.35
9.74


OR Quartile 4
3.52
2.06
2.20
2.83
1.91
1.38
2.63
2.35
2.02


p Value
0.064
0.17
0.22
0.13
0.21
0.59
0.16
0.11
0.27


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.929
0.736
0.631
0.742
0.687
0.422
0.686
0.833
0.579


Upper limit of 95% CI
13.4
5.74
7.69
10.8
5.33
4.52
10.1
6.62
7.01
















TABLE 9.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 7.81
10.7
 7.92
10.4
 7.94
10.4


Average
 9.91
14.0
10.2
13.4
10.3
13.3


Stdev
 6.55
 9.69
 6.86
 9.44
 6.95
 9.38


p (t-test)

 0.035

 0.089

 0.11


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
36
41
32
45
31
46










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 8.17
10.6
 7.94
10.7
 7.94
10.7


Average
11.5
12.4
10.9
13.2
10.9
13.2


Stdev
 8.68
 7.90
 7.74
 9.08
 7.74
 9.08


p (t-test)

 0.64

 0.24

 0.24


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
38.9
37.2
36.8
38.9
36.8
38.9


n (Patient)
46
30
45
31
45
31










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 8.41
10.4
 8.41
10.3
 8.41
10.2


Average
10.9
13.9
11.1
13.3
11.3
13.1


Stdev
 6.91
10.6
 7.29
10.0
 7.41
 9.95


p (t-test)

 0.21

 0.35

 0.43


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
27
30
23
35
22
36













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.63
 0.57
 0.56
 0.61
 0.59
 0.55
 0.60
 0.59
 0.54


SE
 0.063
 0.068
 0.076
 0.065
 0.067
 0.077
 0.065
 0.067
 0.078


p Value
 0.041
 0.34
 0.43
 0.099
 0.17
 0.51
 0.13
 0.17
 0.61


nCohort Recovered
36
46
27
32
45
23
31
45
22


nCohort Non-recovered
41
30
30
45
31
35
46
31
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
 6.19
 6.19
 6.24
 6.19
 6.19
 6.29
 6.19
 6.19
 6.29


Sensitivity
80%
80%
77%
80%
81%
74%
80%
81%
75%


Specificity
33%
28%
30%
34%
29%
26%
35%
29%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 9.56
 9.28
 9.91
 9.56
 9.28
 9.74
 9.56
 9.28
 9.74


Sensitivity
61%
60%
57%
58%
61%
57%
57%
61%
56%


Specificity
64%
57%
59%
62%
58%
61%
61%
58%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
15.9
15.0
15.9
15.9
15.0
15.6
15.9
15.0
15.6


Sensitivity
32%
30%
30%
29%
32%
29%
28%
32%
28%


Specificity
83%
78%
81%
81%
80%
78%
81%
80%
77%


OR Quartile 2
 2.06
 1.58
 1.38
 2.10
 1.69
 1.02
 2.26
 1.69
 1.12


p Value
 0.17
 0.42
 0.59
 0.16
 0.35
 0.97
 0.12
 0.35
 0.85


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.731
 0.524
 0.424
 0.746
 0.564
 0.307
 0.803
 0.564
 0.338


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.82
 4.74
 4.51
 5.88
 5.08
 3.39
 6.37
 5.08
 3.75


OR Quartile 3
 2.76
 1.95
 1.90
 2.28
 2.17
 2.07
 2.06
 2.17
 1.81


p Value
 0.031
 0.16
 0.23
 0.082
 0.10
 0.18
 0.13
 0.10
 0.28


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.10
 0.766
 0.663
 0.901
 0.851
 0.710
 0.813
 0.851
 0.617


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.97
 4.96
 5.46
 5.77
 5.51
 6.06
 5.21
 5.51
 5.29


OR Quartile 4
 2.32
 1.54
 1.89
 1.76
 1.90
 1.44
 1.64
 1.90
 1.31


p Value
 0.13
 0.42
 0.32
 0.31
 0.23
 0.56
 0.38
 0.23
 0.67


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.776
 0.540
 0.542
 0.588
 0.667
 0.420
 0.547
 0.667
 0.380


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.95
 4.41
 6.56
 5.27
 5.44
 4.94
 4.92
 5.44
 4.50
















TABLE 9.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 8.17
10.6
 8.41
10.4
 8.41
10.4


Average
 9.99
13.6
10.1
13.4
10.1
13.4


Stdev
 6.20
 9.83
 6.28
 9.75
 6.28
 9.75


p (t-test)

 0.068

 0.086

 0.086


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
24.1
38.9
24.1
38.9
24.1
38.9


n (Patient)
36
38
35
39
35
39










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 8.17
10.4
 8.17
10.4
 8.17
10.4


Average
10.8
12.9
10.8
12.9
10.8
12.9


Stdev
 7.69
 9.22
 7.69
 9.22
 7.69
 9.22


p (t-test)

 0.33

 0.33

 0.33


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
36.8
38.9
36.8
38.9
36.8
38.9


n (Patient)
44
29
44
29
44
29










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 8.99
10.6
 9.56
10.4
 9.56
10.4


Average
10.5
13.8
10.7
13.5
10.7
13.5


Stdev
 5.62
10.4
 5.73
10.3
 5.73
10.3


p (t-test)

 0.17

 0.23

 0.23


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
24.1
38.9
24.1
38.9
24.1
38.9


n (Patient)
18
30
17
31
17
31













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.60
 0.57
 0.56
 0.60
 0.57
 0.54
 0.60
 0.57
 0.54


SE
 0.066
 0.069
 0.085
 0.066
 0.069
 0.087
 0.066
 0.069
 0.087


p Value
 0.11
 0.29
 0.49
 0.15
 0.29
 0.62
 0.15
 0.29
 0.62


nCohort Recovered
36
44
18
35
44
17
35
44
17


nCohort Non-recovered
38
29
30
39
29
31
39
29
31


Cutoff Quartile 2
 6.19
 6.18
 6.96
 6.19
 6.18
 6.96
 6.19
 6.18
 6.96


Sensitivity
82%
79%
73%
82%
79%
74%
82%
79%
74%


Specificity
33%
30%
22%
34%
30%
24%
34%
30%
24%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 9.28
 9.00
 9.96
 9.28
 9.00
 9.96
 9.28
 9.00
 9.96


Sensitivity
58%
59%
53%
56%
59%
52%
56%
59%
52%


Specificity
58%
57%
56%
57%
57%
53%
57%
57%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
14.7
14.6
14.9
14.7
14.6
14.9
14.7
14.6
14.9


Sensitivity
32%
31%
30%
31%
31%
29%
31%
31%
29%


Specificity
81%
80%
83%
80%
80%
82%
80%
80%
82%


OR Quartile 2
 2.21
 1.61
 0.786
 2.39
 1.61
 0.885
 2.39
 1.61
 0.885


p Value
 0.15
 0.40
 0.73
 0.11
 0.40
 0.86
 0.11
 0.40
 0.86


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.757
 0.531
 0.199
 0.814
 0.531
 0.223
 0.814
 0.531
 0.223


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.48
 4.87
 3.11
 6.99
 4.87
 3.51
 6.99
 4.87
 3.51


OR Quartile 3
 1.92
 1.86
 1.43
 1.73
 1.86
 1.20
 1.73
 1.86
 1.20


p Value
 0.16
 0.20
 0.55
 0.25
 0.20
 0.76
 0.25
 0.20
 0.76


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.764
 0.721
 0.442
 0.687
 0.721
 0.367
 0.687
 0.721
 0.367


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.85
 4.82
 4.62
 4.34
 4.82
 3.92
 4.34
 4.82
 3.92


OR Quartile 4
 1.91
 1.75
 2.14
 1.78
 1.75
 1.91
 1.78
 1.75
 1.91


p Value
 0.24
 0.31
 0.31
 0.29
 0.31
 0.39
 0.29
 0.31
 0.39


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.655
 0.597
 0.495
 0.609
 0.597
 0.440
 0.609
 0.597
 0.440


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.59
 5.13
 9.27
 5.19
 5.13
 8.29
 5.19
 5.13
 8.29
















TABLE 9.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 7 days after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 9.06
10.2
 9.06
10.2
 9.06
10.2


Average
11.4
13.3
11.4
13.1
11.4
13.1


Stdev
 7.18
10.6
 7.17
10.5
 7.17
10.5


p (t-test)

 0.39

 0.44

 0.44


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
54
30
52
32
52
32










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 9.75
 9.74
 9.16
 9.91
 9.16
 9.91


Average
12.6
10.8
12.5
11.1
12.5
11.1


Stdev
 8.99
 7.79
 9.04
 7.73
 9.04
 7.73


p (t-test)

 0.38

 0.47

 0.47


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
59
22
58
23
58
23










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 8.48
10.6
 8.48
10.6
 8.41
10.7


Average
11.0
13.7
10.5
13.9
10.5
13.9


Stdev
 7.48
 9.75
 6.64
 9.84
 6.58
 9.82


p (t-test)

 0.19

 0.089

 0.089


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
33.3
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
40
38
42
36
41
37













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.53
 0.46
 0.57
 0.52
 0.48
 0.59
 0.52
 0.48
 0.59


SE
 0.066
 0.073
 0.065
 0.065
 0.072
 0.065
 0.065
 0.072
 0.065


p Value
 0.68
 0.62
 0.26
 0.78
 0.79
 0.17
 0.78
 0.79
 0.17


nCohort Recovered
54
59
40
52
58
42
52
58
41


nCohort Non-recovered
30
22
38
32
23
36
32
23
37


Cutoff Quartile 2
 6.19
 6.19
 6.24
 6.19
 6.19
 6.24
 6.19
 6.19
 6.24


Sensitivity
77%
77%
79%
75%
78%
81%
75%
78%
78%


Specificity
26%
27%
32%
25%
28%
33%
25%
28%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 9.66
 9.75
 9.66
 9.66
 9.75
 9.66
 9.66
 9.75
 9.66


Sensitivity
53%
50%
58%
53%
52%
58%
53%
52%
59%


Specificity
52%
51%
57%
52%
52%
57%
52%
52%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0
15.9
15.6
16.0
15.9
15.6
16.0
15.9
15.6


Sensitivity
27%
14%
34%
28%
17%
33%
28%
17%
35%


Specificity
76%
71%
82%
77%
72%
81%
77%
72%
83%


OR Quartile 2
 1.15
 1.27
 1.81
 1.00
 1.37
 2.07
 1.00
 1.37
 1.68


p Value
 0.79
 0.69
 0.26
 1.0
 0.59
 0.17
 1.0
 0.59
 0.32


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.406
 0.400
 0.649
 0.362
 0.436
 0.728
 0.362
 0.436
 0.605


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.26
 4.00
 5.02
 2.76
 4.31
 5.89
 2.76
 4.31
 4.68


OR Quartile 3
 1.23
 1.03
 1.86
 1.22
 1.17
 1.87
 1.22
 1.17
 2.07


p Value
 0.65
 0.95
 0.18
 0.65
 0.75
 0.17
 0.65
 0.75
 0.11


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.503
 0.389
 0.757
 0.507
 0.445
 0.758
 0.507
 0.445
 0.839


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.01
 2.75
 4.57
 2.96
 3.07
 4.60
 2.96
 3.07
 5.11


OR Quartile 4
 1.15
 0.390
 2.45
 1.30
 0.553
 2.12
 1.30
 0.553
 2.63


p Value
 0.79
 0.17
 0.096
 0.60
 0.34
 0.15
 0.60
 0.34
 0.073


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.413
 0.102
 0.853
 0.477
 0.163
 0.754
 0.477
 0.163
 0.914


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.19
 1.49
 7.04
 3.56
 1.88
 5.99
 3.56
 1.88
 7.57









Example 10. Use of Tyrosine-Protein Kinase Receptor UFO for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and a urine samples (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO is measured in the earliest samples collected while the patients were in RIFLE I or F by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output during a period starting at 12, 24, 48, or 72 hours after sample collection or at any time within 7 days after sample collection. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0). “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is risk of injury (R), injury (I) or failure (F). If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) within 9 days of enrollment, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 10.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 12 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 6.03
 3.67
 5.42
 3.71
 6.03
 3.71


Average
 6.95
 4.61
 5.98
 4.75
 6.82
 4.74


Stdev
 2.51
 4.17
 2.14
 4.21
 2.09
 4.15


p (t-test)

 0.051

 0.29

 0.18


Min
 3.44
 0.276
 3.44
 0.276
 4.88
 0.276


Max
10.3
20.6
10.3
20.6
10.3
20.6


n (Patient)
 8
73
 6
75
 4
77










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 7.53
 2.44
 6.87
 2.51
 6.87
 2.51


Average
 8.09
 2.93
 7.97
 3.20
 7.89
 3.40


Stdev
 4.48
 2.25
 4.61
 2.57
 4.52
 2.94


p (t-test)

1.1E−6

1.5E−5

6.4E−5


Min
 0.696
 0.276
 0.696
 0.276
 0.696
 0.276


Max
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5
20.6
14.5


n (Patient)
30
51
28
53
26
55










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 3.44
 4.42
 4.16
 4.30
 3.44
 4.30


Average
 3.86
 5.21
 4.05
 5.21
 3.93
 5.17


Stdev
 2.86
 4.32
 2.94
 4.35
 3.07
 4.29


p (t-test)

 0.22

 0.32

 0.33


Min
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398


Max
10.3
20.6
10.3
20.6
10.3
20.6


n (Patient)
11
61
10
62
9
64













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.24
 0.12
 0.58
 0.31
 0.15
 0.56
 0.24
 0.16
 0.58


SE
 0.076
 0.037
 0.090
 0.099
 0.041
 0.095
 0.10
 0.043
 0.098


p Value
6.7E−4
 0
 0.38
 0.053
 0
 0.54
 0.0097
1.6E−15
 0.44


nCohort Recovered
 8
30
11
 6
28
10
 4
26
 9


nCohort Non-recovered
73
51
61
75
53
62
77
55
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
 1.99
 1.99
 2.09
 1.99
 1.99
 2.09
 1.99
 1.99
 2.12


Sensitivity
71%
61%
77%
72%
62%
76%
73%
64%
77%


Specificity
 0%
 3%
36%
 0%
 4%
30%
 0%
 4%
44%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 3.81
 3.81
 4.30
 3.81
 3.81
 4.30
 3.81
 3.81
 4.18


Sensitivity
45%
27%
51%
47%
30%
50%
47%
31%
50%


Specificity
12%
13%
55%
17%
14%
50%
 0%
12%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.29
 6.29
 6.33
 6.29
 6.29
 6.33
 6.29
 6.29
 6.32


Sensitivity
22%
 4%
26%
24%
 8%
26%
23%
 9%
25%


Specificity
50%
40%
82%
67%
43%
80%
50%
42%
78%


OR Quartile 2
 0.144
 0.0534
 1.92
 0.195
 0.0611
 1.34
 0.292
 0.0700
 2.61


p Value
 0.19
 0.0056
 0.35
 0.27
 0.0082
 0.69
 0.42
 0.012
 0.19


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.00793
 0.00674
 0.490
 0.0105
 0.00770
 0.308
 0.0151
 0.00881
 0.621


Upper limit of 95% CI
 2.60
 0.424
 7.52
 3.61
 0.485
 5.85
 5.66
 0.556
11.0


OR Quartile 3
 0.118
 0.0582
 1.24
 0.175
 0.0721
 1.00
 0.0977
 0.0584
 1.25


p Value
 0.051
4.8E−6
 0.74
 0.12
2.0E−5
 1.0
 0.12
2.9E−5
 0.76


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0138
 0.0172
 0.342
 0.0195
 0.0215
 0.263
 0.00509
 0.0154
 0.307


Upper limit of 95% CI
 1.01
 0.197
 4.50
 1.57
 0.242
 3.80
 1.88
 0.221
 5.08


OR Quartile 4
 0.281
 0.0272
 1.60
 0.632
 0.0612
 1.39
 0.305
 0.0733
 1.17


p Value
 0.095
9.0E−6
 0.57
 0.61
1.5E−5
 0.69
 0.25
2.1E−5
 0.86


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0631
 0.00554
 0.312
 0.107
 0.0173
 0.267
 0.0401
 0.0220
 0.220


Upper limit of 95% CI
 1.25
 0.134
 8.21
 3.74
 0.217
 7.25
 2.32
 0.245
 6.20
















TABLE 10.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 6.38
 3.60
 6.87
 3.52
 7.36
 3.60


Average
 6.96
 4.50
 7.71
 4.51
 8.08
 4.52


Stdev
 3.14
 4.16
 2.76
 4.13
 2.76
 4.10


p (t-test)

 0.042

 0.019

 0.019


Min
 1.99
 0.276
 4.88
 0.276
 4.88
 0.276


Max
13.5
20.6
13.5
20.6
13.5
20.6


n (Patient)
11
69
 8
72
 7
73










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 6.38
 2.44
 6.35
 2.51
 6.35
 2.51


Average
 7.72
 3.01
 7.58
 3.36
 7.58
 3.36


Stdev
 4.54
 2.47
 4.52
 2.99
 4.52
 2.99


p (t-test)

5.4E−6

8.7E−5

8.7E−5


Min
 0.696
 0.276
 0.696
 0.276
 0.696
 0.276


Max
20.6
11.5
20.6
14.5
20.6
14.5


n (Patient)
31
49
28
52
28
52










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.30
 4.30
 4.88
 4.18
 4.30
 4.18


Average
 3.90
 5.11
 4.05
 5.11
 3.96
 5.07


Stdev
 2.62
 4.35
 2.67
 4.38
 2.76
 4.32


p (t-test)

 0.21

 0.28

 0.28


Min
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398


Max
 8.32
20.6
 8.32
20.6
 8.32
20.6


n (Patient)
14
54
13
55
12
57













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.26
 0.14
 0.55
 0.19
 0.17
 0.53
 0.17
 0.17
 0.55


SE
 0.070
 0.041
 0.085
 0.065
 0.045
 0.088
 0.064
 0.045
 0.090


p Value
5.2E−4
 0
 0.55
1.7E−6
3.6E−13
 0.71
3.1E−7
3.6E−13
 0.61


nCohort Recovered
11
31
14
 8
28
13
 7
28
12


nCohort Non-recovered
69
49
54
72
52
55
73
52
57


Cutoff Quartile 2
 1.90
 1.90
 1.90
 1.90
 1.90
 1.90
 1.90
 1.90
 1.99


Sensitivity
71%
61%
76%
72%
63%
76%
73%
63%
75%


Specificity
 0%
 3%
29%
 0%
 4%
31%
 0%
 4%
33%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 3.77
 3.77
 4.30
 3.77
 3.77
 4.30
 3.77
 3.77
 4.18


Sensitivity
45%
27%
50%
44%
29%
49%
45%
29%
49%


Specificity
18%
13%
50%
 0%
11%
46%
 0%
11%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.30
 6.30
 6.30
 6.30
 6.30
 6.30
 6.30
 6.30
 6.29


Sensitivity
20%
 6%
26%
21%
10%
25%
21%
10%
25%


Specificity
45%
45%
79%
38%
46%
77%
29%
46%
75%


OR Quartile 2
 0.105
 0.0526
 1.26
 0.151
 0.0643
 1.44
 0.174
 0.0643
 1.54


p Value
 0.12
 0.0054
 0.73
 0.20
 0.0095
 0.59
 0.24
 0.0095
 0.53


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.00591
 0.00662
 0.338
 0.00831
 0.00808
 0.379
 0.00950
 0.00808
 0.401


Upper limit of 95% CI
 1.87
 0.419
 4.71
 2.73
 0.512
 5.44
 3.19
 0.512
 5.88


OR Quartile 3
 0.181
 0.0535
 1.00
 0.0472
 0.0486
 0.827
 0.0551
 0.0486
 0.966


p Value
 0.037
2.9E−6
 1.0
 0.038
9.7E−6
 0.76
 0.050
9.7E−6
 0.96


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0365
 0.0157
 0.309
 0.00263
 0.0127
 0.246
 0.00304
 0.0127
 0.278


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.901
 0.182
 3.24
 0.849
 0.186
 2.78
 1.00
 0.186
 3.35


OR Quartile 4
 0.212
 0.0537
 1.28
 0.158
 0.0922
 1.14
 0.103
 0.0922
 0.977


p Value
 0.022
2.7E−5
 0.73
 0.019
7.9E−5
 0.86
 0.010
7.9E−5
 0.97


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0564
 0.0137
 0.312
 0.0338
 0.0282
 0.274
 0.0182
 0.0282
 0.232


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.797
 0.210
 5.28
 0.737
 0.301
 4.74
 0.587
 0.301
 4.12
















TABLE 10.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 6.01
 2.51
 6.32
 2.77
 6.32
 2.77


Average
 7.12
 3.91
 7.42
 3.91
 7.42
 3.91


Stdev
 3.85
 3.87
 3.88
 3.81
 3.88
 3.81


p (t-test)

 0.0020

 0.0013

 0.0013


Min
 2.12
 0.276
 2.12
 0.276
 2.12
 0.276


Max
20.6
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6
20.5


n (Patient)
23
57
21
59
21
59










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.77
 2.51
 5.79
 2.47
 5.79
 2.47


Average
 6.84
 3.39
 7.02
 3.34
 7.02
 3.34


Stdev
 4.45
 3.15
 4.40
 3.13
 4.40
 3.13


p (t-test)

3.6E−4

1.6E−4

1.6E−4


Min
 0.696
 0.276
 0.696
 0.276
 0.696
 0.276


Max
20.6
14.5
20.6
14.5
20.6
14.5


n (Patient)
34
45
33
46
33
46










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.32
 3.03
 5.19
 3.15
 5.19
 3.15


Average
 5.34
 4.26
 4.90
 4.50
 4.90
 4.50


Stdev
 3.35
 4.07
 2.83
 4.24
 2.83
 4.24


p (t-test)

 0.28

 0.67

 0.67


Min
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
0.398


Max
14.5
20.5
 9.65
20.5
 9.65
20.5


n (Patient)
22
37
20
40
20
40













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.20
 0.22
 0.37
 0.19
 0.20
 0.40
 0.19
 0.20
 0.40


SE
 0.050
 0.051
 0.073
 0.048
 0.049
 0.076
 0.048
 0.049
 0.076


p Value
1.9E−9
3.4E−8
 0.070
7.1E−11
5.2E−10
 0.21
7.1E−11
5.2E−10
 0.21


nCohort Recovered
23
34
22
21
33
20
21
33
20


nCohort Non-recovered
57
45
37
59
46
40
59
46
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
 1.90
 2.05
 1.62
 1.90
 2.05
 1.63
 1.90
 2.05
 1.63


Sensitivity
65%
62%
68%
66%
61%
70%
66%
61%
70%


Specificity
 0%
 9%
14%
 0%
 6%
15%
 0%
 6%
15%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 3.77
 3.81
 3.81
 3.77
 3.81
 3.77
 3.77
 3.81
 3.77


Sensitivity
35%
29%
41%
36%
28%
42%
36%
28%
42%


Specificity
13%
24%
36%
10%
21%
35%
10%
21%
35%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.30
 6.30
 6.15
 6.30
 6.30
 6.08
 6.30
 6.30
 6.08


Sensitivity
16%
11%
22%
15%
11%
22%
15%
11%
22%


Specificity
52%
56%
68%
48%
55%
70%
48%
55%
70%


OR Quartile 2
 0.0389
 0.159
 0.329
 0.0448
 0.100
 0.412
 0.0448
 0.100
 0.412


p Value
 0.026
 0.068
 0.12
 0.033
 0.0036
 0.21
 0.033
 0.0036
 0.21


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.00225
 0.0422
 0.0812
 0.00258
 0.0214
 0.101
 0.00258
 0.0214
 0.101


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.675
 0.602
 1.33
 0.778
 0.472
 1.67
 0.778
 0.472
 1.67


OR Quartile 3
 0.0811
 0.125
 0.390
 0.0582
 0.106
 0.398
 0.0582
 0.106
 0.398


p Value
2.1E−4
6.6E−5
 0.090
3.3E−4
3.0E−5
 0.10
3.3E−4
3.0E−5
 0.10


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0214
 0.0450
 0.131
 0.0123
 0.0370
 0.131
 0.0123
 0.0370
 0.131


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.307
 0.347
 1.16
 0.274
 0.304
 1.21
 0.274
 0.304
 1.21


OR Quartile 4
 0.205
 0.158
 0.591
 0.164
 0.146
 0.677
 0.164
 0.146
 0.677


p Value
 0.0041
 0.0017
 0.39
 0.0014
 0.0011
 0.53
 0.0014
 0.0011
 0.53


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0691
 0.0501
 0.180
 0.0538
 0.0462
 0.202
 0.0538
 0.0462
 0.202


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.605
 0.500
 1.94
 0.498
 0.464
 2.27
 0.498
 0.464
 2.27
















TABLE 10.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.90
 2.77
 6.01
 2.64
 6.01
 2.64


Average
 6.65
 3.65
 6.83
 3.62
 6.83
 3.62


Stdev
 3.99
 3.19
 3.96
 3.16
 3.96
 3.16


p (t-test)

 0.0021

 0.0012

 0.0012


Min
 0.502
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276


Max
20.5
14.5
20.5
14.5
20.5
14.5


n (Patient)
26
53
25
54
25
54










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.58
 2.65
 5.67
 2.51
 5.67
 2.77


Average
 6.10
 3.56
 6.24
 3.50
 6.27
 3.60


Stdev
 3.92
 3.19
 3.89
 3.17
 3.94
 3.20


p (t-test)

 0.0034

 0.0017

 0.0029


Min
 0.502
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276


Max
20.5
14.5
20.5
14.5
20.5
14.5


n (Patient)
35
42
34
43
32
45










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 3.72
 3.03
 4.09
 2.91
 4.09
 2.91


Average
 4.05
 4.06
 4.18
 4.00
 4.18
 4.00


Stdev
 2.71
 3.51
 2.74
 3.48
 2.74
 3.48


p (t-test)

 0.99

 0.85

 0.85


Min
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398


Max
 9.53
14.5
 9.53
14.5
 9.53
14.5


n (Patient)
17
35
16
36
16
36













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.24
 0.27
 0.46
 0.22
 0.25
 0.44
 0.22
 0.26
 0.44


SE
 0.054
 0.057
 0.085
 0.052
 0.055
 0.086
 0.052
 0.056
 0.086


p Value
1.1E−6
6.3E−5
 0.64
5.5E−8
8.5E−6
 0.50
5.5E−8
2.0E−5
 0.50


nCohort Recovered
26
35
17
25
34
16
25
32
16


nCohort Non-recovered
53
42
35
54
43
36
54
45
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
 1.81
 2.12
 1.56
 1.81
 2.12
 1.56
 1.81
 2.12
 1.56


Sensitivity
66%
67%
71%
67%
65%
72%
67%
67%
72%


Specificity
 8%
17%
18%
 8%
15%
19%
 8%
16%
19%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 3.72
 3.81
 3.36
 3.72
 3.81
 3.36
 3.72
 3.81
 3.36


Sensitivity
34%
31%
46%
33%
30%
44%
33%
31%
44%


Specificity
19%
29%
41%
16%
26%
38%
16%
25%
38%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.15
 6.29
 5.39
 6.15
 6.29
 5.39
 6.15
 6.29
 5.39


Sensitivity
15%
12%
20%
15%
12%
19%
15%
13%
19%


Specificity
54%
60%
65%
52%
59%
62%
52%
59%
62%


OR Quartile 2
 0.162
 0.414
 0.536
 0.174
 0.322
 0.600
 0.174
 0.370
 0.600


p Value
 0.021
 0.11
 0.40
 0.027
 0.051
 0.49
 0.027
 0.087
 0.49


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0344
 0.139
 0.126
 0.0368
 0.103
 0.140
 0.0368
 0.119
 0.140


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.764
 1.23
 2.28
 0.821
 1.00
 2.56
 0.821
 1.16
 2.56


OR Quartile 3
 0.122
 0.179
 0.589
 0.0952
 0.156
 0.480
 0.0952
 0.151
 0.480


p Value
2.7E−4
6.1E−4
 0.38
1.4E−4
2.8E−4
 0.23
1.4E−4
2.7E−4
 0.23


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0396
 0.0671
 0.182
 0.0284
 0.0573
 0.144
 0.0284
 0.0543
 0.144


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.379
 0.479
 1.90
 0.319
 0.425
 1.60
 0.319
 0.417
 1.60


OR Quartile 4
 0.207
 0.203
 0.458
 0.188
 0.188
 0.402
 0.188
 0.225
 0.402


p Value
 0.0042
 0.0067
 0.24
 0.0026
 0.0046
 0.17
 0.0026
 0.0085
 0.17


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0706
 0.0640
 0.126
 0.0636
 0.0592
 0.109
 0.0636
 0.0740
 0.109


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.609
 0.642
 1.67
 0.558
 0.597
 1.49
 0.558
 0.684
 1.49
















TABLE 10.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 7 days after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.58
 2.51
 5.58
 2.51
 5.58
 2.65


Average
 6.47
 3.34
 6.43
 3.65
 6.38
 3.80


Stdev
 4.50
 2.83
 4.34
 3.34
 4.43
 3.38


p (t-test)

4.0E−4

0.0024

 0.0060


Min
 0.366
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276


Max
20.6
11.5
20.6
14.5
20.6
14.5


n (Patient)
41
42
37
46
35
48










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.32
 2.51
 5.32
 2.51
 5.32
 2.51


Average
 6.07
 3.07
 6.10
 3.20
 6.03
 3.56


Stdev
 4.53
 2.46
 4.51
 2.72
 4.40
 3.30


p (t-test)

3.0E−4

6.8E−4

 0.0059


Min
 0.366
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276


Max
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5
20.6
14.5


n (Patient)
48
33
46
35
42
39










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.16
 3.52
 5.16
 3.52
 5.19
 3.60


Average
 5.76
 4.53
 5.74
 4.56
 5.76
 4.57


Stdev
 4.17
 4.00
 4.17
 4.00
 4.23
 3.96


p (t-test)

 0.21

 0.22

 0.23


Min
 0.0344
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398


Max
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6


n (Patient)
31
48
31
48
30
49













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.26
 0.27
 0.39
 0.26
 0.27
 0.39
 0.28
 0.29
 0.39


SE
 0.054
 0.059
 0.064
 0.054
 0.058
 0.064
 0.056
 0.058
 0.064


p Value
6.4E−6
1.2E−4
 0.073
1.2E−5
9.7E−5
 0.087
1.1E−4
3.2E−4
 0.10


nCohort Recovered
41
48
31
37
46
31
35
42
30


nCohort Non-recovered
42
33
48
46
35
48
48
39
49


Cutoff Quartile 2
 2.05
 1.99
 2.05
 2.05
 1.99
 2.05
 2.05
 1.99
 2.05


Sensitivity
60%
64%
69%
61%
63%
69%
62%
64%
69%


Specificity
10%
19%
16%
 8%
17%
16%
 9%
17%
17%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 4.01
 3.81
 4.42
 4.01
 3.81
 4.42
 4.01
 3.81
 4.42


Sensitivity
31%
27%
40%
33%
29%
42%
35%
31%
43%


Specificity
32%
35%
35%
30%
35%
39%
31%
33%
40%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.30
 6.29
 6.35
 6.30
 6.29
 6.35
 6.30
 6.29
 6.35


Sensitivity
12%
 6%
21%
15%
 9%
21%
17%
13%
20%


Specificity
61%
62%
68%
62%
63%
68%
63%
64%
67%


OR Quartile 2
 0.159
 0.404
 0.423
 0.137
 0.356
 0.423
 0.156
 0.357
 0.453


p Value
 0.0027
 0.080
 0.14
 0.0032
 0.049
 0.14
 0.0058
 0.053
 0.17


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0478
 0.146
 0.136
 0.0366
 0.128
 0.136
 0.0417
 0.126
 0.146


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.529
 1.11
 1.32
 0.514
 0.993
 1.32
 0.585
 1.01
 1.41


OR Quartile 3
 0.208
 0.206
 0.360
 0.205
 0.213
 0.451
 0.251
 0.222
 0.500


p Value
9.1E−4
 0.0014
 0.033
9.0E−4
 0.0015
 0.091
 0.0035
 0.0016
 0.14


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0823
 0.0781
 0.141
 0.0802
 0.0824
 0.179
 0.0995
 0.0873
 0.198


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.526
 0.541
 0.919
 0.522
 0.553
 1.14
 0.635
 0.566
 1.26


OR Quartile 4
 0.211
 0.108
 0.553
 0.295
 0.160
 0.553
 0.338
 0.265
 0.513


p Value
 0.0067
 0.0047
 0.26
 0.022
 0.0068
 0.26
 0.038
 0.021
 0.20


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0685
 0.0229
 0.198
 0.104
 0.0425
 0.198
 0.122
 0.0854
 0.183


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.650
 0.504
 1.54
 0.837
 0.602
 1.54
 0.941
 0.820
 1.44
















TABLE 10.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 12 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.706
 0.614
 0.468
 0.636
 0.373
 0.640


Average
 0.685
 0.887
 0.537
 0.889
 0.434
 0.890


Stdev
 0.369
 0.875
 0.329
 0.859
 0.288
 0.854


p (t-test)

 0.26

 0.11

 0.061


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 1.22
 4.86
 0.948
 4.86
 0.881
 4.86


n (Patient)
 8
74
 5
77
 4
78










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.522
 0.737
 0.484
 0.737
 0.484
 0.690


Average
 0.615
 1.04
 0.603
 1.03
 0.612
 1.01


Stdev
 0.410
 0.990
 0.416
 0.973
 0.428
 0.961


p (t-test)

 0.010

 0.0087

 0.014


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.35
 4.86
 2.35
 4.86
 2.35
 4.86


n (Patient)
31
50
29
52
27
54










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.915
 0.575
 0.881
 0.571
 0.817
 0.571


Average
 0.880
 0.870
 0.842
 0.872
 0.829
 0.863


Stdev
 0.451
 0.921
 0.460
 0.915
 0.487
 0.905


p (t-test)

 0.96

 0.88

 0.88


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 1.47
 4.86
 1.47
 4.86
 1.47
 4.86


n (Patient)
10
61
 9
62
 8
64













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.52
 0.63
 0.38
 0.64
 0.64
 0.42
 0.72
 0.63
 0.43


SE
 0.11
 0.062
 0.090
 0.12
 0.062
 0.098
 0.11
 0.064
 0.10


p Value
 0.87
 0.039
 0.19
 0.23
 0.022
 0.39
 0.046
 0.041
 0.52


nCohort Recovered
 8
31
10
 5
29
 9
 4
27
 8


nCohort Non-recovered
74
50
61
77
52
62
78
54
64


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.374
 0.374
 0.375
 0.374
 0.374
 0.375
 0.374
 0.374
 0.374


Sensitivity
74%
78%
74%
 75%
79%
74%
 76%
78%
75%


Specificity
25%
32%
20%
 40%
34%
22%
 50%
33%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.614
 0.636
 0.636
 0.614
 0.636
 0.593
 0.614
 0.636
 0.584


Sensitivity
50%
56%
46%
 51%
56%
47%
 51%
54%
48%


Specificity
50%
61%
30%
 60%
62%
33%
 75%
59%
38%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.04
 1.04
 0.990
 1.04
 1.04
 0.990
 1.04
 1.04
 0.984


Sensitivity
26%
36%
23%
 27%
35%
24%
 27%
33%
23%


Specificity
75%
94%
60%
100%
93%
67%
100%
93%
62%


OR Quartile 2
 0.965
 1.69
 0.703
 2.04
 1.96
 0.821
 3.11
 1.75
 1.00


p Value
 0.97
 0.31
 0.68
 0.45
 0.19
 0.82
 0.27
 0.28
 1.0


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.179
 0.617
 0.135
 0.316
 0.711
 0.154
 0.409
 0.628
 0.183


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.19
 4.62
 3.67
13.1
 5.41
 4.37
23.6
 4.88
 5.46


OR Quartile 3
 1.00
 2.02
 0.364
 1.54
 2.06
 0.439
 3.16
 1.69
 0.564


p Value
 1.0
 0.13
 0.17
 0.65
 0.13
 0.27
 0.33
 0.27
 0.46


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.232
 0.808
 0.0859
 0.243
 0.815
 0.101
 0.315
 0.662
 0.124


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.30
 5.02
 1.54
 9.73
 5.22
 1.92
31.7
 4.30
 2.56


OR Quartile 4
 1.04
 8.16
 0.447
 4.19
 7.15
 0.638
 3.37
 6.25
 0.510


p Value
 0.97
 0.0078
 0.26
 0.34
 0.013
 0.56
 0.42
 0.020
 0.39


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.193
 1.74
 0.110
 0.222
 1.52
 0.142
 0.174
 1.33
 0.109


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.58
38.2
 1.81
79.0
33.5
 2.87
65.2
29.4
 2.39
















TABLE 10.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.724
 0.614
 0.517
 0.640
 0.517
 0.640


Average
 0.809
 0.881
 0.728
 0.888
 0.755
 0.881


Stdev
 0.557
 0.882
 0.594
 0.871
 0.661
 0.861


p (t-test)

 0.74

 0.53

 0.70


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.14
 4.86
 2.14
 4.86
 2.14
 4.86


n (Patient)
10
70
 8
72
 6
74










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.567
 0.644
 0.522
 0.644
 0.545
 0.643


Average
 0.685
 1.01
 0.675
 0.999
 0.687
 0.986


Stdev
 0.486
 1.000
 0.498
 0.981
 0.502
 0.975


p (t-test)

 0.065

 0.058

 0.079


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.35
 4.86
 2.35
 4.86
 2.35
 4.86


n (Patient)
31
48
29
50
28
51










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.754
 0.640
 0.673
 0.636
 0.593
 0.636


Average
 0.923
 0.874
 0.902
 0.877
 0.898
 0.866


Stdev
 0.685
 0.925
 0.704
 0.919
 0.730
 0.907


p (t-test)

 0.83

 0.91

 0.90


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86


n (Patient)
15
54
14
55
13
57













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.48
 0.58
 0.42
 0.56
 0.59
 0.44
 0.56
 0.58
 0.45


SE
 0.097
 0.065
 0.081
 0.10
 0.065
 0.084
 0.12
 0.066
 0.087


p Value
 0.87
 0.23
 0.32
 0.55
 0.15
 0.50
 0.61
 0.24
 0.59


nCohort Recovered
10
31
15
 8
29
14
 6
28
13


nCohort Non-recovered
70
48
54
72
50
55
74
51
57


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.374
 0.375
 0.376
 0.374
 0.375
 0.376
 0.374
 0.375
 0.375


Sensitivity
76%
77%
72%
76%
78%
73%
76%
76%
74%


Specificity
30%
29%
20%
38%
31%
21%
33%
29%
23%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.614
 0.636
 0.643
 0.614
 0.636
 0.636
 0.614
 0.636
 0.614


Sensitivity
50%
52%
48%
51%
52%
49%
51%
51%
51%


Specificity
50%
55%
47%
62%
55%
50%
67%
54%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.04
 1.04
 1.00
 1.04
 1.04
 1.00
 1.04
 1.04
 0.995


Sensitivity
24%
33%
22%
26%
34%
24%
26%
33%
25%


Specificity
70%
87%
67%
88%
90%
71%
83%
89%
69%


OR Quartile 2
 1.34
 1.38
 0.650
 1.94
 1.60
 0.727
 1.56
 1.30
 0.840


p Value
 0.70
 0.54
 0.55
 0.40
 0.38
 0.66
 0.63
 0.62
 0.81


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.311
 0.493
 0.161
 0.420
 0.568
 0.178
 0.263
 0.457
 0.203


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.75
 3.84
 2.63
 8.98
 4.48
 2.97
 9.21
 3.69
 3.47


OR Quartile 3
 1.00
 1.32
 0.812
 1.76
 1.33
 0.964
 2.11
 1.20
 1.21


p Value
 1.0
 0.55
 0.72
 0.46
 0.54
 0.95
 0.40
 0.70
 0.76


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.266
 0.533
 0.258
 0.392
 0.532
 0.298
 0.364
 0.477
 0.361


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.76
 3.27
 2.56
 7.93
 3.34
 3.12
12.2
 3.02
 4.04


OR Quartile 4
 0.748
 3.38
 0.571
 2.51
 4.46
 0.774
 1.73
 4.17
 0.733


p Value
 0.70
 0.049
 0.38
 0.40
 0.028
 0.70
 0.63
 0.036
 0.64


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.174
 1.01
 0.164
 0.289
 1.18
 0.208
 0.190
 1.10
 0.195


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.22
11.3
 2.00
21.8
16.9
 2.88
15.7
15.8
 2.75
















TABLE 10.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.567
 0.614
 0.625
 0.593
 0.625
 0.593


Average
 0.692
 0.915
 0.725
 0.894
 0.725
 0.894


Stdev
 0.563
 0.923
 0.587
 0.907
 0.587
 0.907


p (t-test)

 0.21

 0.37

 0.37


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86


n (Patient)
21
56
18
59
18
59










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.503
 0.644
 0.522
 0.643
 0.522
 0.643


Average
 0.674
 0.988
 0.685
 0.973
 0.685
 0.973


Stdev
 0.578
 0.983
 0.584
 0.977
 0.584
 0.977


p (t-test)

 0.090

 0.12

 0.12


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86


n (Patient)
32
44
31
45
31
45










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.718
 0.532
 0.718
 0.553
 0.718
 0.553


Average
 0.857
 0.880
 0.865
 0.859
 0.865
 0.859


Stdev
 0.604
 0.879
 0.634
 0.853
 0.634
 0.853


p (t-test)

 0.91

 0.98

 0.98


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.99
 4.60
 2.99
 4.60
 2.99
 4.60


n (Patient)
20
37
18
40
18
40













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.55
 0.61
 0.43
 0.51
 0.59
 0.43
 0.51
 0.59
 0.43


SE
 0.073
 0.065
 0.079
 0.078
 0.066
 0.080
 0.078
 0.066
 0.080


p Value
 0.53
 0.094
 0.34
 0.89
 0.16
 0.36
 0.89
 0.16
 0.36


nCohort Recovered
21
32
20
18
31
18
18
31
18


nCohort Non-recovered
56
44
37
59
45
40
59
45
40


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.374
 0.374
 0.389
 0.374
 0.374
 0.379
 0.374
 0.374
 0.379


Sensitivity
73%
80%
68%
71%
78%
70%
71%
78%
70%


Specificity
24%
31%
15%
17%
29%
17%
17%
29%
17%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.593
 0.584
 0.636
 0.593
 0.584
 0.614
 0.593
 0.584
 0.614


Sensitivity
50%
57%
46%
49%
56%
48%
49%
56%
48%


Specificity
52%
59%
45%
50%
58%
44%
50%
58%
44%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.00
 1.01
 1.07
 1.00
 1.01
 1.06
 1.00
 1.01
 1.06


Sensitivity
32%
36%
24%
31%
36%
25%
31%
36%
25%


Specificity
95%
91%
75%
94%
90%
72%
94%
90%
72%


OR Quartile 2
 0.854
 1.77
 0.368
 0.494
 1.43
 0.467
 0.494
 1.43
 0.467


p Value
 0.79
 0.29
 0.16
 0.31
 0.50
 0.29
 0.31
 0.50
 0.29


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.266
 0.621
 0.0900
 0.127
 0.503
 0.114
 0.127
 0.503
 0.114


Upper limit of 95% CI
 2.74
 5.03
 1.50
 1.93
 4.08
 1.92
 1.93
 4.08
 1.92


OR Quartile 3
 1.10
 1.92
 0.695
 0.967
 1.73
 0.724
 0.967
 1.73
 0.724


p Value
 0.85
 0.17
 0.51
 0.95
 0.24
 0.57
 0.95
 0.24
 0.57


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.403
 0.763
 0.233
 0.336
 0.687
 0.237
 0.336
 0.687
 0.237


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.00
 4.84
 2.07
 2.78
 4.36
 2.21
 2.78
 4.36
 2.21


OR Quartile 4
 9.47
 5.52
 0.964
 7.46
 5.15
 0.867
 7.46
 5.15
 0.867


p Value
 0.035
 0.012
 0.95
 0.060
 0.016
 0.82
 0.060
 0.016
 0.82


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.18
 1.45
 0.273
 0.922
 1.35
 0.247
 0.922
 1.35
 0.247


Upper limit of 95% CI
76.2
21.1
 3.40
60.4
19.6
 3.04
60.4
19.6
 3.04
















TABLE 10.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.669
 0.584
 0.669
 0.584
 0.669
 0.584


Average
 0.832
 0.883
 0.832
 0.883
 0.832
 0.883


Stdev
 0.672
 0.927
 0.672
 0.927
 0.672
 0.927


p (t-test)

 0.80

 0.80

 0.80


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86


n (Patient)
22
52
22
52
22
52










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.567
 0.614
 0.567
 0.614
 0.656
 0.584


Average
 0.779
 0.927
 0.782
 0.917
 0.818
 0.888


Stdev
 0.650
 0.999
 0.663
 0.980
 0.671
 0.967


p (t-test)

 0.46

 0.49

 0.72


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86


n (Patient)
33
40
31
42
29
44










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.625
 0.605
 0.625
 0.605
 0.625
 0.605


Average
 0.752
 0.880
 0.752
 0.880
 0.752
 0.880


Stdev
 0.372
 0.871
 0.372
 0.871
 0.372
 0.871


p (t-test)

 0.49

 0.49

 0.49


Min
 0.279
 0.172
 0.279
 0.172
 0.279
 0.172


Max
 1.47
 4.60
 1.47
 4.60
 1.47
 4.60


n (Patient)
14
34
14
34
14
34













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.48
 0.53
 0.45
 0.48
 0.53
 0.45
 0.48
 0.48
 0.45


SE
 0.073
 0.068
 0.091
 0.073
 0.069
 0.091
 0.073
 0.069
 0.091


p Value
 0.78
 0.67
 0.59
 0.78
 0.69
 0.59
 0.78
 0.82
 0.59


nCohort Recovered
22
33
14
22
31
14
22
29
14


nCohort Non-recovered
52
40
34
52
42
34
52
44
34


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.375
 0.374
 0.397
 0.375
 0.374
 0.397
 0.375
 0.374
 0.397


Sensitivity
73%
75%
71%
73%
74%
71%
73%
70%
71%


Specificity
23%
27%
14%
23%
26%
14%
23%
21%
14%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.614
 0.593
 0.614
 0.614
 0.593
 0.614
 0.614
 0.593
 0.614


Sensitivity
48%
50%
50%
48%
50%
50%
48%
48%
50%


Specificity
45%
52%
50%
45%
52%
50%
45%
48%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.03
 1.00
 1.05
 1.03
 1.00
 1.05
 1.03
 1.00
 1.05


Sensitivity
29%
30%
26%
29%
31%
26%
29%
30%
26%


Specificity
82%
82%
79%
82%
84%
79%
82%
83%
79%


OR Quartile 2
 0.798
 1.12
 0.400
 0.798
 0.980
 0.400
 0.798
 0.622
 0.400


p Value
 0.71
 0.83
 0.28
 0.71
 0.97
 0.28
 0.71
 0.40
 0.28


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.248
 0.394
 0.0754
 0.248
 0.340
 0.0754
 0.248
 0.206
 0.0754


Upper limit of 95% CI
 2.57
 3.21
 2.12
 2.57
 2.83
 2.12
 2.57
 1.88
 2.12


OR Quartile 3
 0.772
 1.06
 1.00
 0.772
 1.07
 1.00
 0.772
 0.852
 1.00


p Value
 0.61
 0.90
 1.0
 0.61
 0.89
 1.0
 0.61
 0.74
 1.0


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.284
 0.423
 0.288
 0.284
 0.421
 0.288
 0.284
 0.333
 0.288


Upper limit of 95% CI
 2.10
 2.67
 3.47
 2.10
 2.70
 3.47
 2.10
 2.18
 3.47


OR Quartile 4
 1.82
 1.93
 1.32
 1.82
 2.33
 1.32
 1.82
 2.01
 1.32


p Value
 0.34
 0.25
 0.71
 0.34
 0.15
 0.71
 0.34
 0.24
 0.71


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.529
 0.633
 0.298
 0.529
 0.731
 0.298
 0.529
 0.630
 0.298


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.29
 5.87
 5.84
 6.29
 7.43
 5.84
 6.29
 6.43
 5.84
















TABLE 10.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 7 days after sample collection and renal status is assessed


by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.602
 0.618
 0.612
 0.614
 0.561
 0.640


Average
 0.845
 0.874
 0.875
 0.844
 0.869
 0.851


Stdev
 0.838
 0.827
 0.872
 0.796
 0.894
 0.779


p (t-test)

 0.88

 0.87

 0.92


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60


n (Patient)
44
40
40
44
38
46










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.561
 0.644
 0.602
 0.643
 0.539
 0.644


Average
 0.845
 0.919
 0.865
 0.889
 0.862
 0.889


Stdev
 0.847
 0.836
 0.860
 0.821
 0.897
 0.781


p (t-test)

 0.71

 0.90

 0.89


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60


n (Patient)
48
33
46
35
42
39










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.580
 0.609
 0.593
 0.575
 0.580
 0.609


Average
 0.753
 0.906
 0.746
 0.909
 0.739
 0.910


Stdev
 0.537
 0.979
 0.533
 0.989
 0.541
 0.979


p (t-test)

 0.38

 0.35

 0.33


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86


n (Patient)
30
48
31
47
30
48













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.51
 0.56
 0.47
 0.49
 0.53
 0.47
 0.51
 0.56
 0.49


SE
 0.063
 0.066
 0.067
 0.063
 0.065
 0.067
 0.064
 0.064
 0.067


p Value
 0.94
 0.39
 0.67
 0.86
 0.61
 0.71
 0.87
 0.32
 0.84


nCohort Recovered
44
48
30
40
46
31
38
42
30


nCohort Non-recovered
40
33
48
44
35
47
46
39
48


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.372
 0.374
 0.375
 0.372
 0.374
 0.374
 0.372
 0.374
 0.374


Sensitivity
72%
79%
69%
73%
77%
70%
74%
79%
71%


Specificity
23%
29%
17%
22%
28%
19%
24%
31%
20%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.614
 0.636
 0.584
 0.614
 0.636
 0.584
 0.614
 0.636
 0.584


Sensitivity
50%
55%
50%
50%
51%
49%
52%
54%
50%


Specificity
50%
54%
50%
50%
52%
48%
53%
55%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.04
 1.04
 0.995
 1.04
 1.04
 0.995
 1.04
 1.04
 0.995


Sensitivity
30%
30%
29%
27%
29%
30%
28%
28%
29%


Specificity
80%
79%
80%
78%
78%
81%
79%
79%
80%


OR Quartile 2
 0.775
 1.53
 0.440
 0.774
 1.33
 0.566
 0.879
 1.74
 0.607


p Value
 0.61
 0.42
 0.16
 0.61
 0.58
 0.30
 0.80
 0.29
 0.37


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.288
 0.540
 0.141
 0.286
 0.481
 0.190
 0.325
 0.629
 0.204


Upper limit of 95% CI
 2.09
 4.33
 1.37
 2.09
 3.68
 1.68
 2.38
 4.80
 1.81


OR Quartile 3
 1.00
 1.42
 1.00
 1.00
 1.16
 0.898
 1.21
 1.41
 1.00


p Value
 1.0
 0.44
 1.0
 1.0
 0.75
 0.82
 0.66
 0.44
 1.0


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.425
 0.582
 0.402
 0.425
 0.479
 0.363
 0.513
 0.589
 0.402


Upper limit of 95% CI
 2.35
 3.45
 2.49
 2.35
 2.78
 2.23
 2.87
 3.39
 2.49


OR Quartile 4
 1.67
 1.65
 1.65
 1.29
 1.44
 1.77
 1.48
 1.44
 1.65


p Value
 0.32
 0.33
 0.37
 0.61
 0.48
 0.30
 0.45
 0.48
 0.37


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.615
 0.597
 0.554
 0.477
 0.522
 0.595
 0.538
 0.522
 0.554


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.52
 4.57
 4.90
 3.50
 3.97
 5.25
 4.06
 3.97
 4.90









Example 11. Use of Tyrosine-Protein Kinase Receptor UFO for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Recovery to RIFLE 0 and R from RIFLE I and F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and a urine samples (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO is measured in the earliest samples collected while the patients were in RIFLE I or F by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output during a period starting at 12, 24, 48, or 72 hours after sample collection or at any time within 7 days after sample collection. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “recovered” and a “non-recovered” population. “Recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R). “Non-recovered” indicates those patients whose maximum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F). If a patient dies or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) within 9 days of enrollment, the patient is considered “non-recovered”.


The ability to distinguish the “recovered” and “non-recovered” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 11.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 12 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed


by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.79
 3.52
 5.74
 3.60
 5.69
 3.64


Average
 6.19
 4.43
 5.96
 4.53
 5.46
 4.68


Stdev
 3.26
 4.24
 3.19
 4.27
 2.51
 4.41


p (t-test)

 0.070

 0.14

 0.36


Min
 1.99
 0.276
 1.99
 0.276
 1.99
 0.276


Max
14.5
20.6
14.5
20.6
10.3
20.6


n (Patient)
19
62
18
63
17
64










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.58
 2.32
 5.58
 2.47
 5.58
 2.47


Average
 6.33
 2.79
 6.31
 3.02
 6.31
 3.02


Stdev
 4.42
 2.41
 4.45
 2.65
 4.45
 2.65


p (t-test)

2.0E−5

1.1E−4

1.1E−4


Min
 0.502
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276


Max
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5


n (Patient)
47
34
45
36
45
36










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.74
 4.09
 4.88
 4.01
 4.21
 4.18


Average
 4.87
 5.05
 5.13
 5.01
 4.29
 5.29


Stdev
 3.50
 4.39
 3.61
 4.42
 2.74
 4.58


p (t-test)

 0.86

 0.91

 0.27


Min
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398


Max
14.5
20.6
14.5
20.6
10.3
20.6


n (Patient)
20
52
21
51
20
53













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.30
 0.21
 0.48
 0.33
 0.23
 0.46
 0.35
 0.23
 0.53


SE
 0.064
 0.053
 0.076
 0.067
 0.054
 0.074
 0.071
 0.054
 0.076


p Value
 0.0021
6.9E−8
 0.83
 0.0094
9.1E−7
 0.58
 0.039
9.1E−7
 0.73


nCohort Recovered
19
47
20
18
45
21
17
45
20


nCohort Non-recovered
62
34
52
63
36
51
64
36
53


Cutoff Quartile 2
 1.99
 1.99
 2.09
 1.99
 1.99
 2.09
 1.99
 1.99
 2.12


Sensitivity
68%
56%
75%
68%
58%
75%
69%
58%
75%


Specificity
 5%
13%
25%
 6%
13%
24%
 6%
13%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 3.81
 3.81
 4.30
 3.81
 3.81
 4.30
 3.81
 3.81
 4.18


Sensitivity
44%
24%
48%
44%
25%
47%
45%
25%
49%


Specificity
32%
32%
45%
33%
31%
43%
35%
31%
50%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.29
 6.29
 6.33
 6.29
 6.29
 6.33
 6.29
 6.29
 6.32


Sensitivity
21%
 6%
25%
22%
 8%
24%
23%
 8%
26%


Specificity
63%
62%
75%
67%
62%
71%
71%
62%
80%


OR Quartile 2
 0.117
 0.185
 1.00
 0.126
 0.215
 0.913
 0.138
 0.215
 1.32


p Value
 0.043
 0.0025
 1.0
 0.052
 0.0056
 0.88
 0.063
 0.0056
 0.64


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0145
 0.0622
 0.304
 0.0157
 0.0728
 0.279
 0.0170
 0.0728
 0.421


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.937
 0.552
 3.29
 1.02
 0.638
 2.99
 1.11
 0.638
 4.14


OR Quartile 3
 0.356
 0.144
 0.758
 0.400
 0.151
 0.667
 0.452
 0.151
 0.963


p Value
 0.063
1.5E−4
 0.60
 0.10
1.6E−4
 0.44
 0.16
1.6E−4
 0.94


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.120
 0.0530
 0.269
 0.133
 0.0563
 0.239
 0.149
 0.0563
 0.344


Upper limit of 95% CI
 1.06
 0.393
 2.13
 1.20
 0.403
 1.86
 1.37
 0.403
 2.69


OR Quartile 4
 0.455
 0.101
 1.00
 0.571
 0.150
 0.769
 0.735
 0.150
 1.44


p Value
 0.17
 0.0036
 1.0
 0.34
 0.0050
 0.65
 0.61
 0.0050
 0.57


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.149
 0.0215
 0.304
 0.182
 0.0397
 0.244
 0.223
 0.0397
 0.410


Upper limit of 95% CI
 1.39
 0.472
 3.29
 1.80
 0.564
 2.42
 2.42
 0.564
 5.03
















TABLE 11.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed


by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.90
 3.15
 5.79
 3.28
 5.79
 3.36


Average
 6.37
 4.17
 6.20
 4.28
 5.83
 4.46


Stdev
 3.54
 4.18
 3.52
 4.22
 3.11
 4.39


p (t-test)

 0.022

 0.046

 0.13


Min
 0.502
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276


Max
14.5
20.6
14.5
20.6
13.5
20.6


n (Patient)
24
56
23
57
22
58










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.58
 2.44
 5.54
 2.47
 5.58
 2.51


Average
 6.41
 2.81
 6.32
 3.02
 6.34
 3.08


Stdev
 4.49
 2.38
 4.50
 2.65
 4.55
 2.65


p (t-test)

2.1E−5

1.4E−4

1.9E−4


Min
 0.502
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276
 0.502
 0.276


Max
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5


n (Patient)
45
35
44
36
43
37










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.02
 3.84
 5.16
 3.67
 4.74
 4.01


Average
 4.96
 4.82
 5.19
 4.77
 4.42
 5.09


Stdev
 3.39
 4.38
 3.49
 4.42
 2.70
 4.61


p (t-test)

 0.89

 0.67

 0.46


Min
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398


Max
14.5
20.6
14.5
20.6
8.84
20.6


n (Patient)
22
46
23
45
22
47













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.28
 0.21
 0.45
 0.30
 0.24
 0.43
 0.33
 0.25
 0.49


SE
 0.059
 0.053
 0.074
 0.061
 0.055
 0.072
 0.064
 0.055
 0.075


p Value
2.4E−4
6.3E−8
0.49
0.0014
1.4E−6
 0.31
 0.0071
3.8E−6
 0.91


nCohort Recovered
24
45
22
23
44
23
22
43
22


nCohort Non-recovered
56
35
46
57
36
45
58
37
47


Cutoff Quartile 2
 1.90
 1.90
 1.90
 1.90
 1.90
 1.90
 1.90
 1.90
 1.99


Sensitivity
66%
57%
74%
67%
58%
73%
67%
59%
74%


Specificity
 4%
11%
23%
 4%
11%
22%
 5%
12%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 3.77
 3.77
 4.30
 3.77
 3.77
 4.30
 3.77
 3.77
 4.18


Sensitivity
41%
23%
46%
42%
25%
44%
43%
27%
47%


Specificity
29%
29%
41%
30%
30%
39%
32%
30%
45%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.30
 6.30
 6.30
 6.30
 6.30
 6.30
 6.30
 6.30
 6.29


Sensitivity
16%
 6%
22%
18%
 8%
20%
19%
 8%
23%


Specificity
54%
60%
68%
57%
61%
65%
59%
60%
73%


OR Quartile 2
 0.0847
 0.167
 0.833
 0.0909
 0.179
 0.764
 0.0977
 0.193
 1.09


p Value
 0.020
 0.0022
 0.76
 0.024
 0.0032
 0.66
 0.028
 0.0047
 0.88


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0106
 0.0530
 0.252
 0.0114
 0.0572
 0.232
 0.0122
 0.0617
 0.348


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.676
 0.524
 2.75
 0.726
 0.563
 2.51
 0.782
 0.604
 3.44


OR Quartile 3
 0.287
 0.120
 0.582
 0.318
 0.140
 0.514
 0.354
 0.160
 0.733


p Value
 0.017
4.6E−5
 0.30
 0.030
1.0E−4
 0.20
 0.049
2.3E−4
 0.55


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.103
 0.0435
 0.208
 0.113
 0.0517
 0.185
 0.125
 0.0606
 0.265


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.803
 0.333
 1.63
 0.893
 0.378
 1.43
 0.997
 0.425
 2.03


OR Quartile 4
 0.226
 0.0909
 0.595
 0.277
 0.144
 0.469
 0.338
 0.135
 0.815


p Value
 0.0067
 0.0024
 0.37
 0.019
 0.0043
 0.19
 0.048
 0.0031
 0.73


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0773
 0.0194
 0.191
 0.0948
 0.0382
 0.152
 0.116
 0.0357
 0.256


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.662
 0.427
 1.86
 0.807
 0.545
 1.45
 0.989
 0.510
 2.59
















TABLE 11.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed


by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.67
 2.65
 5.67
 2.91
 5.58
 3.03


Average
 6.19
 3.61
 5.96
 4.00
 5.88
 4.10


Stdev
 4.10
 3.75
 3.96
 4.05
 3.99
 4.06


p (t-test)

 0.0051

 0.036

 0.059


Min
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276


Max
20.6
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6
20.5


n (Patient)
38
42
34
46
33
47










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.36
 2.65
 5.32
 2.78
 5.32
 2.78


Average
 6.01
 3.20
 6.03
 3.27
 6.03
 3.27


Stdev
 4.52
 2.75
 4.57
 2.73
 4.57
 2.73


p (t-test)

 0.0011

 0.0014

 0.0014


Min
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276


Max
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5


n (Patient)
47
32
46
33
46
33










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.16
 2.91
 4.88
 3.28
 4.67
 3.36


Average
 5.49
 3.87
 4.76
 4.54
 4.59
 4.66


Stdev
 3.43
 4.07
 2.79
 4.42
 2.72
 4.42


p (t-test)

 0.11

 0.81

 0.95


Min
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398


Max
14.5
20.5
9.65
20.5
9.65
20.5


n (Patient)
29
30
25
35
24
36













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.27
 0.28
 0.32
 0.30
 0.29
 0.41
 0.32
 0.29
 0.44


SE
 0.056
 0.060
 0.070
 0.058
 0.060
 0.074
 0.059
 0.060
 0.075


p Value
2.3E−5
2.7E−4
 0.0095
7.0E−4
5.3E−4
 0.23
 0.0023
5.3E−4
 0.39


nCohort Recovered
38
47
29
34
46
25
33
46
21


nCohort Non-recovered
42
32
30
46
33
35
47
33
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
 1.90
 2.05
 1.62
 1.90
 2.05
 1.63
 1.90
 2.05
 1.63


Sensitivity
60%
62%
60%
63%
64%
66%
64%
64%
67%


Specificity
 8%
17%
10%
 9%
17%
12%
 9%
17%
12%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 3.77
 3.81
 3.81
 3.77
 3.81
 3.77
 3.77
 3.81
 3.77


Sensitivity
33%
28%
37%
37%
30%
43%
38%
30%
44%


Specificity
32%
36%
38%
32%
37%
40%
33%
37%
42%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.30
 6.30
 6.15
 6.30
 6.30
 6.08
 6.30
 6.30
 6.08


Sensitivity
12%
 9%
17%
15%
 9%
23%
17%
 9%
25%


Specificity
61%
64%
66%
62%
63%
72%
64%
63%
75%


OR Quartile 2
 0.126
 0.342
 0.173
 0.165
 0.368
 0.261
 0.176
 0.368
 0.286


p Value
 0.0023
 0.044
 0.014
 0.0078
 0.060
 0.059
 0.010
 0.060
 0.078


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0333
 0.120
 0.0427
 0.0438
 0.130
 0.0649
 0.0468
 0.130
 0.0709


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.477
 0.972
 0.702
 0.623
 1.04
 1.05
 0.666
 1.04
 1.15


OR Quartile 3
 0.231
 0.222
 0.354
 0.280
 0.255
 0.500
 0.310
 0.255
 0.571


p Value
 0.0022
 0.0024
 0.054
 0.0077
 0.0050
 0.19
 0.014
 0.0050
 0.29


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0903
 0.0838
 0.123
 0.110
 0.0982
 0.176
 0.122
 0.0982
 0.201


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.589
 0.587
 1.02
 0.714
 0.661
 1.42
 0.789
 0.661
 1.62


OR Quartile 4
 0.207
 0.183
 0.380
 0.290
 0.171
 0.762
 0.359
 0.171
 1.00


p Value
 0.0067
 0.012
 0.12
 0.022
 0.0091
 0.65
 0.054
 0.0091
 1.0


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0664
 0.0483
 0.111
 0.100
 0.0451
 0.235
 0.127
 0.0451
 0.303


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.647
 0.690
 1.30
 0.838
 0.645
 2.47
 1.02
 0.645
 3.30
















TABLE 11.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed


by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.54
 2.44
 5.49
 2.47
 5.49
 2.47


Average
 5.89
 3.47
 5.81
 3.60
 5.81
 3.60


Stdev
 3.78
 3.32
 3.79
 3.38
 3.79
 3.38


p (t-test)

 0.0039

 0.0090

 0.0090


Min
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276


Max
20.5
14.5
20.5
14.5
20.5
14.5


n (Patient)
38
41
37
42
37
42










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.02
 2.51
 5.02
 2.51
 5.02
 2.51


Average
 5.72
 3.21
 5.72
 3.21
 5.72
 3.21


Stdev
 3.98
 2.80
 3.98
 2.80
 3.98
 2.80


p (t-test)

 0.0020

 0.0020

 0.0020


Min
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276


Max
20.5
11.5
20.5
11.5
20.5
11.5


n (Patient)
46
31
46
31
46
31










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.09
 2.91
 3.72
 3.03
 3.72
 3.03


Average
 4.28
 3.92
 4.04
 4.06
 4.04
 4.06


Stdev
 2.74
 3.56
 2.59
 3.60
 2.59
 3.60


p (t-test)

 0.69

 0.98

 0.98


Min
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398


Max
 9.53
14.5
 9.53
14.5
 9.53
14.5


n (Patient)
20
32
19
33
19
33













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.27
 0.28
 0.42
 0.29
 0.28
 0.45
 0.29
 0.28
 0.45


SE
 0.056
 0.061
 0.081
 0.057
 0.061
 0.083
 0.057
 0.061
 0.083


p Value
3.8E−5
4.3E−4
 0.32
1.9E−4
4.3E−4
 0.54
1.9E−4
4.3E−4
 0.54


nCohort Recovered
38
46
20
37
46
19
37
46
19


nCohort Non-recovered
41
31
32
42
31
33
42
31
33


Cutoff Quartile 2
 1.81
 2.12
 1.56
 1.81
 2.12
 1.56
 1.81
 2.12
 1.56


Sensitivity
59%
61%
69%
60%
61%
70%
60%
61%
70%


Specificity
 8%
17%
15%
 8%
17%
16%
 8%
17%
16%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 3.72
 3.81
 3.36
 3.72
 3.81
 3.36
 3.72
 3.81
 3.36


Sensitivity
32%
29%
44%
33%
29%
45%
33%
29%
45%


Specificity
32%
37%
40%
32%
37%
42%
32%
37%
42%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.15
 6.29
 5.39
 6.15
 6.29
 5.39
 6.15
 6.29
 5.39


Sensitivity
15%
10%
19%
17%
10%
21%
17%
10%
21%


Specificity
63%
65%
65%
65%
65%
68%
65%
65%
68%


OR Quartile 2
 0.121
 0.333
 0.388
 0.130
 0.333
 0.431
 0.130
 0.333
 0.431


p Value
 0.0019
 0.040
 0.20
 0.0026
 0.040
 0.25
 0.0026
 0.040
 0.25


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0319
 0.117
 0.0922
 0.0343
 0.117
 0.102
 0.0343
 0.117
 0.102


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.459
 0.953
 1.63
 0.491
 0.953
 1.82
 0.491
 0.953
 1.82


OR Quartile 3
 0.214
 0.240
 0.519
 0.240
 0.240
 0.606
 0.240
 0.240
 0.606


p Value
 0.0015
 0.0043
 0.26
 0.0030
 0.0043
 0.39
 0.0030
 0.0043
 0.39


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0830
 0.0900
 0.167
 0.0937
 0.0900
 0.194
 0.0937
 0.0900
 0.194


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.554
 0.639
 1.61
 0.615
 0.639
 1.89
 0.615
 0.639
 1.89


OR Quartile 4
 0.294
 0.201
 0.429
 0.369
 0.201
 0.583
 0.369
 0.201
 0.583


p Value
 0.027
 0.019
 0.19
 0.064
 0.019
 0.41
 0.064
 0.019
 0.41


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0990
 0.0528
 0.119
 0.128
 0.0528
 0.163
 0.128
 0.0528
 0.163


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.873
 0.764
 1.54
 1.06
 0.764
 2.09
 1.06
 0.764
 2.09
















TABLE 11.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 7 days after sample collection and renal status is assessed


by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.16
 2.35
 5.54
 2.51
 5.54
 2.51


Average
 6.00
 3.11
 6.18
 3.11
 6.18
 3.11


Stdev
 4.39
 2.63
 4.45
 2.55
 4.45
 2.55


p (t-test)

3.8E−4

1.9E−4

1.9E−4


Min
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276


Max
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5


n (Patient)
51
32
48
35
48
35










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.87
 2.44
 4.88
 2.44
 4.88
 2.44


Average
 5.57
 3.02
 5.66
 3.01
 5.66
 3.01


Stdev
 4.33
 2.71
 4.37
 2.63
 4.37
 2.63


p (t-test)

 0.0027

 0.0014

 0.0014


Min
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276


Max
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5


n (Patient)
58
23
56
25
56
25










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.02
 3.28
 5.16
 3.23
 5.02
 3.43


Average
 5.61
 4.41
 5.69
 4.29
 5.56
 4.46


Stdev
 3.99
 4.15
 4.02
 4.08
 4.01
 4.14


p (t-test)

 0.20

 0.14

 0.24


Min
 0.0344
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398


Max
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6


n (Patient)
40
39
41
38
40
39













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.27
 0.29
 0.38
 0.26
 0.29
 0.36
 0.26
 0.29
 0.39


SE
 0.059
 0.068
 0.063
 0.057
 0.065
 0.063
 0.057
 0.065
 0.063


p Value
8.5E−5
 0.0020
 0.050
1.9E−5
9.8E−4
 0.029
1.9E−5
9.8E−4
 0.073


nCohort Recovered
51
58
40
48
56
41
48
56
40


nCohort Non-recovered
32
23
39
35
25
38
35
25
39


Cutoff Quartile 2
 2.05
 1.99
 2.05
 2.05
 1.99
 2.05
 2.05
 1.99
 2.05


Sensitivity
56%
61%
67%
57%
60%
66%
57%
60%
67%


Specificity
14%
21%
18%
12%
20%
17%
12%
20%
18%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 4.01
 3.81
 4.42
 4.01
 3.81
 4.42
 4.01
 3.81
 4.42


Sensitivity
28%
22%
36%
29%
24%
37%
29%
24%
38%


Specificity
37%
40%
38%
35%
39%
39%
35%
39%
40%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.30
 6.29
 6.35
 6.30
 6.29
 6.35
 6.30
 6.29
 6.35


Sensitivity
 9%
 9%
18%
 9%
 8%
16%
 9%
 8%
18%


Specificity
65%
69%
68%
62%
68%
66%
62%
68%
68%


OR Quartile 2
 0.205
 0.406
 0.424
 0.190
 0.367
 0.396
 0.190
 0.367
 0.424


p Value
 0.0033
 0.093
 0.11
 0.0028
 0.058
 0.085
 0.0028
 0.058
 0.11


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0709
 0.142
 0.148
 0.0643
 0.130
 0.138
 0.0643
 0.130
 0.148


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.590
 1.16
 1.22
 0.564
 1.03
 1.14
 0.564
 1.03
 1.22


OR Quartile 3
 0.232
 0.183
 0.336
 0.219
 0.204
 0.373
 0.219
 0.204
 0.417


p Value
 0.0028
 0.0030
 0.020
 0.0016
 0.0034
 0.034
 0.0016
 0.0034
 0.058


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0892
 0.0594
 0.135
 0.0855
 0.0706
 0.150
 0.0855
 0.0706
 0.169


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.605
 0.560
 0.839
 0.563
 0.592
 0.928
 0.563
 0.592
 1.03


OR Quartile 4
 0.190
 0.212
 0.454
 0.156
 0.184
 0.362
 0.156
 0.184
 0.454


p Value
 0.014
 0.050
 0.14
 0.0058
 0.032
 0.066
 0.0058
 0.032
 0.14


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0507
 0.0448
 0.159
 0.0417
 0.0390
 0.122
 0.0417
 0.0390
 0.159


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.710
 1.00
 1.30
 0.585
 0.865
 1.07
 0.585
 0.865
 1.30
















TABLE 11.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 12 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed


by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.659
 0.584
 0.682
 0.575
 0.718
 0.584


Average
 0.828
 0.881
 0.843
 0.875
 0.855
 0.871


Stdev
 0.681
 0.886
 0.695
 0.880
 0.712
 0.874


p (t-test)

 0.78

 0.87

 0.94


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86


n (Patient)
20
62
19
63
18
64










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.527
 0.979
 0.539
 0.738
 0.539
 0.738


Average
 0.724
 1.07
 0.734
 1.04
 0.734
 1.04


Stdev
 0.611
 1.04
 0.623
 1.02
 0.623
 1.02


p (t-test)

 0.087

 0.12

 0.12


Min
 0.108
 0.204
 0.108
 0.204
 0.108
 0.204


Max
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86


n (Patient)
46
35
44
37
44
37










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.682
 0.571
 0.659
 0.567
 0.682
 0.567


Average
 1.01
 0.814
 0.988
 0.815
 0.989
 0.806


Stdev
 1.06
 0.771
 1.04
 0.778
 1.07
 0.764


p (t-test)

 0.46

 0.50

 0.49


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60


n (Patient)
21
50
22
49
21
51













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.50
 0.63
 0.45
 0.50
 0.62
 0.45
 0.50
 0.62
 0.47


SE
 0.075
 0.063
 0.074
 0.076
 0.063
 0.073
 0.077
 0.063
 0.074


p Value
 0.97
 0.045
 0.46
 1.00
 0.063
 0.48
 1.0
 0.063
 0.66


nCohort Recovered
20
46
21
19
44
22
18
44
21


nCohort Non-recovered
62
35
50
63
37
49
64
37
51


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.374
 0.374
 0.375
 0.374
 0.374
 0.375
 0.374
 0.374
 0.374


Sensitivity
76%
80%
76%
76%
81%
76%
77%
81%
76%


Specificity
30%
30%
29%
32%
32%
27%
33%
32%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.614
 0.636
 0.636
 0.614
 0.636
 0.593
 0.614
 0.636
 0.584


Sensitivity
48%
60%
48%
48%
57%
47%
48%
57%
47%


Specificity
45%
59%
48%
42%
57%
45%
44%
57%
43%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.04
 1.04
 0.990
 1.04
 1.04
 0.990
 1.04
 1.04
 0.984


Sensitivity
26%
40%
24%
25%
38%
24%
25%
38%
24%


Specificity
75%
87%
71%
74%
86%
73%
72%
86%
71%


OR Quartile 2
 1.34
 1.75
 1.27
 1.48
 2.00
 1.16
 1.63
 2.00
 1.30


p Value
 0.61
 0.29
 0.69
 0.50
 0.19
 0.80
 0.40
 0.19
 0.65


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.439
 0.619
 0.402
 0.478
 0.708
 0.369
 0.523
 0.708
 0.413


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.11
 4.95
 3.99
 4.56
 5.65
 3.62
 5.10
 5.65
 4.09


OR Quartile 3
 0.767
 2.13
 0.839
 0.661
 1.73
 0.737
 0.752
 1.73
 0.667


p Value
 0.61
 0.098
 0.74
 0.43
 0.22
 0.55
 0.59
 0.22
 0.44


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.279
 0.871
 0.302
 0.235
 0.714
 0.269
 0.263
 0.714
 0.239


Upper limit of 95% CI
 2.11
 5.22
 2.33
 1.86
 4.17
 2.02
 2.15
 4.17
 1.86


OR Quartile 4
 1.04
 4.44
 0.789
 0.953
 3.86
 0.865
 0.867
 3.86
 0.769


p Value
 0.94
 0.0075
 0.69
 0.94
 0.015
 0.80
 0.81
 0.015
 0.65


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.327
 1.49
 0.251
 0.296
 1.30
 0.276
 0.267
 1.30
 0.244


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.33
13.3
 2.49
 3.07
11.4
 2.71
 2.81
11.4
 2.42
















TABLE 11.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed


by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.602
 0.618
 0.636
 0.593
 0.625
 0.614


Average
 0.763
 0.924
 0.795
 0.903
 0.802
 0.899


Stdev
 0.616
 0.936
 0.647
 0.916
 0.660
 0.908


p (t-test)

 0.37

 0.56

 0.61


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86


n (Patient)
26
54
23
57
22
58










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.544
 0.738
 0.555
 0.691
 0.561
 0.644


Average
 0.736
 1.08
 0.741
 1.06
 0.754
 1.04


Stdev
 0.614
 1.07
 0.620
 1.06
 0.621
 1.05


p (t-test)

 0.11

 0.12

 0.17


Min
 0.108
 0.217
 0.108
 0.217
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86


n (Patient)
46
33
45
34
44
35










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.656
 0.609
 0.659
 0.575
 0.682
 0.575


Average
 0.950
 0.848
 0.969
 0.835
 0.969
 0.825


Stdev
 0.981
 0.813
 0.996
 0.807
 1.02
 0.791


p (t-test)

 0.67

 0.58

 0.56


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60


n (Patient)
25
44
24
45
23
47













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.53
 0.61
 0.46
 0.52
 0.61
 0.44
 0.52
 0.59
 0.46


SE
 0.069
 0.065
 0.072
 0.071
 0.065
 0.072
 0.072
 0.065
 0.073


p Value
 0.66
 0.078
 0.58
 0.83
 0.088
 0.43
 0.82
 0.19
 0.57


nCohort Recovered
26
46
25
23
45
24
22
44
23


nCohort Non-recovered
54
33
44
57
34
45
58
35
47


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.374
 0.375
 0.376
 0.374
 0.375
 0.376
 0374
 0.375
 0.375


Sensitivity
78%
82%
75%
77%
82%
73%
78%
80%
77%


Specificity
31%
30%
28%
30%
31%
25%
32%
30%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.614
 0.636
 0.643
 0.614
 0.636
 0.636
 0.614
 0.636
 0.614


Sensitivity
50%
58%
48%
49%
56%
49%
50%
54%
49%


Specificity
50%
57%
48%
48%
56%
50%
50%
55%
48%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.04
 1.04
 1.00
 1.04
 1.04
 1.00
 1.04
 1.04
 0.995


Sensitivity
28%
36%
25%
26%
35%
24%
26%
34%
26%


Specificity
81%
83%
76%
78%
82%
75%
77%
82%
74%


OR Quartile 2
 1.56
 1.97
 1.17
 1.48
 2.11
 0.917
 1.62
 1.68
 1.43


p Value
 0.41
 0.22
 0.79
 0.48
 0.18
 0.88
 0.39
 0.33
 0.53


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.544
 0.665
 0.385
 0.502
 0.713
 0.294
 0.544
 0.586
 0.469


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.45
 5.83
 3.53
 4.37
 6.23
 2.85
 4.80
 4.80
 4.37


OR Quartile 3
 1.00
 1.76
 0.843
 0.885
 1.58
 0.957
 1.00
 1.42
 0.878


p Value
 1.0
 0.22
 0.73
 0.80
 0.32
 0.93
 1.0
 0.44
 0.80


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.392
 0.715
 0.315
 0.336
 0.646
 0.355
 0.375
 0.584
 0.324


Upper limit of 95% CI
 2.55
 4.35
 2.25
 2.33
 3.88
 2.58
 2.67
 3.47
 2.38


OR Quartile 4
 1.62
 2.71
 1.06
 1.29
 2.52
 0.971
 1.19
 2.35
 0.971


p Value
 0.41
 0.060
 0.93
 0.67
 0.081
 0.96
 0.77
 0.11
 0.96


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.515
 0.958
 0.336
 0.406
 0.893
 0.308
 0.373
 0.833
 0.311


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.06
 7.69
 3.31
 4.07
 7.13
 3.06
 3.77
 6.62
 3.03
















TABLE 11.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed


by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.539
 0.644
 0.561
 0.636
 0.567
 0.614


Average
 0.668
 1.02
 0.698
 0.966
 0.710
 0.952


Stdev
 0.511
 1.03
 0.531
 0.997
 0.536
 0.990


p (t-test)

 0.062

 0.14

 0.17


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86


n (Patient)
36
41
32
45
31
46










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.503
 0.691
 0.522
 0.644
 0.522
 0.644


Average
 0.706
 1.09
 0.718
 1.06
 0.718
 1.06


Stdev
 0.594
 1.10
 0.595
 1.09
 0.595
 1.09


p (t-test)

 0.096

 0.13

 0.13


Min
 0.108
 0.217
 0.108
 0172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86
 2.99
 4.86


n (Patient)
46
30
45
31
45
31










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.593
 0.644
 0.682
 0.575
 0.718
 0.553


Average
 0.771
 0.963
 0.816
 0.890
 0.838
 0.875


Stdev
 0.561
 0.946
 0.596
 0.896
 0.600
 0.888


p (t-test)

 0.36

 0.71

 0.85


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 2.99
 4.60
 2.99
 4.60
 2.99
 4.60


n (Patient)
27
30
23
35
22
36













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.60
 0.64
 0.50
 0.56
 0.61
 0.46
 0.55
 0.61
 0.44


SE
 0.065
 0.066
 0.077
 0.066
 0.067
 0.077
 0.067
 0.067
 0.077


p Value
 0.13
 0.034
 0.97
 0.34
 0.090
 0.59
 0.49
 0.090
 0.40


nCohort Recovered
36
46
27
32
45
23
31
45
22


nCohort Non-recovered
41
30
30
45
31
35
46
31
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.374
 0.374
 0.389
 0.374
 0.374
 0.379
 0.374
 0.374
 0.379


Sensitivity
78%
90%
67%
78%
87%
71%
76%
87%
69%


Specificity
31%
35%
19%
31%
33%
22%
29%
33%
18%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.593
 0.584
 0.636
 0.593
 0.584
 0.614
 0.593
 0.584
 0.614


Sensitivity
54%
60%
53%
51%
58%
49%
50%
58%
47%


Specificity
56%
57%
56%
53%
56%
48%
52%
56%
45%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.00
 1.01
 1.07
 1.00
 1.01
 1.06
 1.00
 1.01
 1.06


Sensitivity
34%
37%
27%
31%
35%
26%
30%
35%
25%


Specificity
86%
83%
78%
84%
82%
74%
84%
82%
73%


OR Quartile 2
 1.56
 4.80
 0.455
 1.59
 3.38
 0.694
 1.30
 3.38
 0.505


p Value
 0.39
 0.022
 0.21
 0.38
 0.051
 0.56
 0.62
 0.051
 0.30


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.562
 1.26
 0.133
 0.570
 0.997
 0.202
 0.465
 0.997
 0.138


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.36
18.3
 1.56
 4.44
11.4
 2.38
 3.65
11.4
 1.84


OR Quartile 3
 1.45
 1.95
 1.43
 1.18
 1.73
 0.866
 1.07
 1.73
 0.746


p Value
 0.42
 0.16
 0.50
 0.71
 0.24
 0.79
 0.89
 0.24
 0.59


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.589
 0.766
 0.503
 0.478
 0.687
 0.302
 0.429
 0.687
 0.257


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.56
 4.96
 4.06
 2.94
 4.36
 2.48
 2.65
 4.36
 2.16


OR Quartile 4
 3.21
 2.75
 1.27
 2.44
 2.54
 0.981
 2.28
 2.54
 0.889


p Value
 0.045
 0.062
 0.70
 0.13
 0.085
 0.97
 0.16
 0.085
 0.85


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.02
 0.949
 0.377
 0.777
 0.881
 0.295
 0.724
 0.881
 0.267


Upper limit of 95% CI
10.1
 7.97
 4.29
 7.66
 7.35
 3.26
 7.15
 7.35
 2.96
















TABLLE 11.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts at 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed


by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.612
 0.614
 0.656
 0.593
 0.656
 0.593


Average
 0.849
 0.886
 0.864
 0.872
 0.864
 0.872


Stdev
 0.892
 0.827
 0.901
 0.821
 0.901
 0.821


p (t-test)

 0.85

 0.97

 0.97


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60


n (Patient)
36
38
35
39
35
39










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.561
 0.643
 0.561
 0.643
 0.561
 0.643


Average
 0.815
 0.927
 0.815
 0.927
 0.815
 0.927


Stdev
 0.853
 0.872
 0.853
 0.872
 0.853
 0.872


p (t-test)

 0.60

 0.60

 0.60


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60


n (Patient)
44
29
44
29
44
29










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.625
 0.605
 0.656
 0.575
 0.656
 0.575


Average
 0.735
 0.907
 0.759
 0.889
 0.759
 0.889


Stdev
 0.385
 0.910
 0.383
 0.901
 0.383
 0.901


p (t-test)

 0.38

 0.50

 0.50


Min
 0.200
 0.172
 0.200
 0.172
 0.200
 0.172


Max
 1.47
 4.60
 1.47
 4.60
 1.47
 4.60


n (Patient)
18
30
17
31
17
31













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.54
 0.58
 0.48
 0.53
 0.58
 0.45
 0.53
 0.58
 0.45


SE
 0.067
 0.069
 0.087
 0.067
 0.069
 0.087
 0.067
 0.069
 0.087


p Value
 0.51
 0.26
 0.81
 0.69
 0.26
 0.58
 0.69
 0.26
 0.58


nCohort Recovered
36
44
18
35
44
17
35
44
17


nCohort Non-recovered
38
29
30
39
29
31
39
29
31


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.375
 0.374
 0.397
 0.375
 0.374
 0.397
 0.375
 0.374
 0.397


Sensitivity
82%
83%
73%
79%
83%
71%
79%
83%
71%


Specificity
33%
32%
22%
31%
32%
18%
31%
32%
18%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.614
 0.593
 0.614
 0.614
 0.593
 0.614
 0.614
 0.593
 0.614


Sensitivity
50%
52%
50%
49%
52%
48%
49%
52%
48%


Specificity
50%
52%
50%
49%
52%
47%
49%
52%
47%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.03
 1.00
 1.05
 1.03
 1.00
 1.05
 1.03
 1.00
 1.05


Sensitivity
32%
34%
27%
31%
34%
26%
31%
34%
26%


Specificity
81%
82%
78%
80%
82%
76%
80%
82%
76%


OR Quartile 2
 2.21
 2.24
 0.786
 1.78
 2.24
 0.524
 1.78
 2.24
 0.524


p Value
 0.15
 0.17
 0.73
 0.29
 0.17
 0.39
 0.29
 0.17
 0.39


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.757
 0.707
 0.199
 0.618
 0.707
 0.121
 0.618
 0.707
 0.121


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.48
 7.10
 3.11
 5.10
 7.10
 2.27
 5.10
 7.10
 2.27


OR Quartile 3
 1.00
 1.17
 1.00
 0.897
 1.17
 0.833
 0.897
 1.17
 0.833


p Value
 1.0
 0.74
 1.0
 0.82
 0.74
 0.76
 0.82
 0.74
 0.76


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.402
 0.459
 0.311
 0.360
 0.459
 0.255
 0.360
 0.459
 0.255


Upper limit of 95% CI
 2.49
 3.00
 3.22
 2.24
 3.00
 2.72
 2.24
 3.00
 2.72


OR Quartile 4
 1.91
 2.37
 1.27
 1.78
 2.37
 1.13
 1.78
 2.37
 1.13


p Value
 0.24
 0.12
 0.73
 0.29
 0.12
 0.86
 0.29
 0.12
 0.86


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.655
 0.802
 0.322
 0.609
 0.802
 0.285
 0.609
 0.802
 0.285


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.59
 7.00
 5.03
 5.19
 7.00
 4.49
 5.19
 7.00
 4.49
















TABLE 11.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “recovered” and


“non-recovered” cohorts where recovery starts within 7 days after sample collection and renal status is assessed


by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.544
 0.765
 0.544
 0.765
 0.544
 0.765


Average
 0.780
 1.00
 0.776
 0.994
 0.776
 0.994


Stdev
 0.779
 0.906
 0.789
 0.883
 0.789
 0.883


p (t-test)

 0.27

 0.27

 0.27


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60


n (Patient)
54
30
52
32
52
32










sCr only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.567
 0.860
 0.561
 0.981
 0.561
 0.981


Average
 0.806
 1.06
 0.798
 1.07
 0.798
 1.07


Stdev
 0.782
 0.965
 0.786
 0.945
 0.786
 0.945


p (t-test)

 0.29

 0.24

 0.24


Min
 0.108
 0.217
 0.108
 0.217
 0.108
 0.217


Max
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60


n (Patient)
59
22
58
23
58
23










UO only











24
48
72













Recovery Period
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered
Recovered
Non-recovered


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.539
 0.646
 0.527
 0.669
 0.522
 0.647


Average
 0.788
 0.910
 0.769
 0.932
 0.768
 0.929


Stdev
 0.817
 0.860
 0.802
 0.879
 0.814
 0.864


p (t-test)

 0.53

 0.41

 0.41


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.172


Max
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60
 4.86
 4.60


n (Patient)
40
38
42
36
41
37













Recovery Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.58
 0.60
 0.53
 0.60
 0.62
 0.55
 0.60
 0.62
 0.56


SE
 0.066
 0.073
 0.066
 0.065
 0.071
 0.066
 0.065
 0.071
 0.065


p Value
 0.20
 0.16
 0.61
 0.14
 0.087
 0.48
 0.14
 0.087
 0.33


nCohort Recovered
54
59
40
52
58
42
52
58
41


nCohort Non-recovered
30
22
38
32
23
36
32
23
37


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.372
 0.374
 0.375
 0.372
 0.374
 0.374
 0.372
 0.374
 0.374


Sensitivity
77%
82%
74%
78%
83%
72%
78%
83%
76%


Specificity
26%
29%
25%
27%
29%
24%
27%
29%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.614
 0.636
 0.584
 0.614
 0.636
 0.584
 0.614
 0.636
 0.584


Sensitivity
63%
64%
55%
62%
65%
58%
62%
65%
57%


Specificity
57%
56%
55%
58%
57%
57%
58%
57%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.04
 1.04
 0.995
 1.04
 1.04
 0.995
 1.04
 1.04
 0.995


Sensitivity
37%
36%
34%
38%
39%
36%
38%
39%
35%


Specificity
81%
80%
82%
83%
81%
83%
83%
81%
83%


OR Quartile 2
 1.15
 1.82
 0.933
 1.32
 1.97
 0.812
 1.32
 1.97
 1.14


p Value
 0.79
 0.34
 0.89
 0.60
 0.28
 0.69
 0.60
 0.28
 0.80


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.406
 0.537
 0.338
 0.466
 0.583
 0.294
 0.466
 0.583
 0.411


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.26
 6.18
 2.58
 3.72
 6.65
 2.25
 3.72
 6.65
 3.16


OR Quartile 3
 2.33
 2.22
 1.51
 2.27
 2.47
 1.87
 2.27
 2.47
 1.68


p Value
 0.071
 0.12
 0.37
 0.075
 0.077
 0.17
 0.075
 0.077
 0.26


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.930
 0.810
 0.618
 0.922
 0.908
 0.758
 0.922
 0.908
 0.684


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.83
 6.09
 3.69
 5.61
 6.75
 4.60
 5.61
 6.75
 4.11


OR Quartile 4
 2.55
 2.24
 2.45
 2.87
 2.75
 2.83
 2.87
 2.75
 2.63


p Value
 0.070
 0.14
 0.096
 0.042
 0.063
 0.054
 0.042
 0.063
 0.073


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.927
 0.764
 0.853
 1.04
 0.948
 0.980
 1.04
 0.948
 0.914


Upper limit of 95% CI
 7.00
 6.56
 7.04
 7.90
 7.96
 8.15
 7.90
 7.96
 7.57









Example 12. Use of C-C Motif Chemokine 14 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and a urine samples (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. C-C motif chemokine 14 is measured in the earliest samples collected while the patients were in RIFLE I or F by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 12.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the


“persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum


creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.704
2.96
0.768
5.37
0.779
5.21


Average
1.43
3.29
1.49
4.09
1.56
3.92


Stdev
1.69
2.40
1.68
2.44
1.76
2.45


p (t-test)

1.7E−4

5.3E−6

7.5E−5


Min
0.194
0.121
0.121
0.422
0.121
0.422


Max
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
61
22
69
14
70
13










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.801
3.80
0.812
2.87
1.03
2.16


Average
1.61
3.63
1.70
3.64
1.83
3.08


Stdev
1.80
2.57
1.87
2.68
1.98
2.66


p (t-test)

7.2E−4

0.0037

0.090


Min
0.121
0.422
0.121
0.422
0.121
0.422


Max
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
66
14
69
11
71
9










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.704
2.87
0.768
5.53
0.768
5.53


Average
1.55
3.19
1.54
4.72
1.54
4.72


Stdev
1.81
2.32
1.75
1.99
1.75
1.99


p (t-test)

0.0027

2.9E−6

2.9E−6


Min
0.194
0.121
0.121
1.03
0.121
1.03


Max
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
61
17
69
9
69
9













Persistence





Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.73    
 0.72    
 0.74    
 0.79    
 0.71    
  0.87    
 0.77    
 0.64    
 0.87    


SE
 0.067   
 0.082    
 0.075    
 0.075   
 0.092   
  0.077    
 0.080    
 0.10    
 0.077    


p Value
5.0E−4
 0.0066   
 0.0015   
1.1E−4
 0.023   
1.2E−6
7.8E−4
 0.17    
1.2E−6


nCohort
61       
66      
61       
69       
69       
 69      
70      
71       
 69      


Non-











persistent











nCohort
22       
14      
17       
14       
11       
 9      
13      
 9       
 9      


Persistent











Cutoff
 0.467   
 0.457    
 0.483    
 0.467   
 0.457   
 0.483    
 0.467    
 0.457   
 0.483    


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
91%    
86%   
94%   
93%   
82%   
100%   
92%   
78%   
100%   


Specificity
31%    
27%   
31%   
29%   
26%   
 29%   
29%   
25%   
 29%   


Cutoff
 1.04    
 1.04    
 1.03    
 1.04    
 1.04    
 1.03    
 1.04    
 1.04    
 1.03    


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
73%    
71%   
76%   
79%   
73%   
 89%   
77%   
67%   
 89%   


Specificity
57%    
55%   
57%   
55%   
54%   
 55%   
54%   
52%   
 55%   


Cutoff
 2.82    
 2.88    
 2.84    
 2.82    
 2.88    
 2.84    
 2.82    
 2.88    
 2.84    


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
55%    
50%   
53%   
64%   
45%   
 78%   
62%   
33%   
 78%   


Specificity
85%    
80%   
82%   
83%   
78%   
 81%   
81%   
76%   
 81%   


OR
 4.52    
 2.25    
 7.24    
 5.31    
 1.59    
 7.87    
 4.80    
 1.19    
 7.87    


Quartile 2











p Value
 0.057   
 0.32    
 0.064    
 0.12    
 0.58    
 0.16    
 0.14    
 0.84    
 0.16    


Lower limit
 0.959   
 0.458    
 0.894    
 0.650   
 0.313   
 0.437    
 0.585    
 0.226   
 0.437    


of 95% CI











Upper limit
21.3     
11.1    
58.6     
43.3    
 8.06    
142      
39.4     
 6.25    
142      


of 95% CI











OR
 3.59    
 3.00    
 4.38    
 4.49    
 3.08    
 9.81    
 3.96    
 2.18    
 9.81    


Quartile 3











p Value
 0.019   
 0.087    
 0.019    
 0.031   
 0.12    
 0.036    
 0.050    
 0.30    
 0.036    


Lower limit
 1.24    
 0.854    
 1.28    
 1.15    
 0.754   
 1.16    
 1.00    
 0.504   
 1.16    


of 95% CI











Upper limit
10.4     
10.5     
15.0     
17.5    
12.6    
 82.7     
15.6     
 9.39    
 82.7     


of 95% CI











OR
 6.93    
 4.08    
 5.11    
 8.55    
 3.00    
  15.1     
 7.02    
 1.59    
 15.1     


Quartile 4











p Value
5.5E−4
 0.023    
 0.0056   
8.3E−4
 0.10    
 0.0016   
 0.0026   
 0.54    
 0.0016   


Lower limit
 2.31    
 1.21    
 1.61    
 2.43    
 0.803   
 2.80    
 1.97    
 0.358   
 2.80    


of 95% CI











Upper limit
20.8     
13.7     
16.2     
30.1    
11.2    
 81.2     
25.0     
 7.04    
 81.2     


of 95% CI
















TABLE 12.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.685
2.87
0.763
5.21
0.768
4.04


Average
1.35
3.26
1.42
3.91
1.49
3.76


Stdev
1.59
2.41
1.59
2.48
1.69
2.49


p (t-test)

5.3E−5

2.5E−6

3.6E−5


Min
0.194
0.121
0.121
0.422
0.121
0.422


Max
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
58
25
66
17
67
16










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.801
3.80
0.812
2.87
1.03
2.16


Average
1.61
3.63
1.70
3.64
1.83
3.08


Stdev
1.80
2.57
1.87
2.68
1.98
2.66


p (t-test)

7.2E−4

0.0037

0.090


Min
0.121
0.422
0.121
0.422
0.121
0.422


Max
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
66
14
69
11
71
9










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.665
2.87
0.757
5.53
0.757
5.53


Average
1.38
3.32
1.40
4.45
1.40
4.45


Stdev
1.63
2.39
1.57
2.24
1.57
2.24


p (t-test)

1.1E−4

8.5E−8

8.5E−8


Min
0.194
0.121
0.121
0.448
0.121
0.448


Max
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
57
21
65
13
65
13













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.74    
 0.72    
 0.76    
 0.78    
 0.71    
 0.85    
 0.76     
 0.64    
 0.85    


SE
 0.063   
 0.082    
 0.067    
 0.070   
 0.092   
 0.069   
 0.074    
 0.10    
 0.069   


p Value
1.7E−4
 0.0066   
9.8E−5
6.5E−5
 0.023   
3.5E−7
4.5E−4
 0.17    
3.5E−7


nCohort
58      
66      
57      
66      
69      
65      
67      
71      
65      


Non-











persistent











nCohort
25      
14      
21      
17      
11      
13      
16      
 9      
13      


Persistent











Cutoff
 0.467   
 0.457    
 0.483    
 0.467   
 0.457   
 0.483   
 0.467   
 0.457   
 0.483   


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
88%   
86%   
90%   
88%   
82%   
92%   
88%   
78%   
92%   


Specificity
31%   
27%   
32%   
29%   
26%   
29%   
28%   
25%   
29%   


Cutoff
 1.04    
 1.04    
 1.03    
 1.04    
 1.04    
 1.03    
 1.04     
 1.04    
 1.03    


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
72%   
71%   
76%   
76%   
73%   
85%   
75%   
67%   
85%   


Specificity
59%   
55%   
60%   
56%   
54%   
57%   
55%   
52%   
57%   


Cutoff
 2.82    
 2.88    
 2.84    
 2.82    
 2.88    
 2.84    
 2.82     
 2.88    
 2.84    


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
52%   
50%   
52%   
59%   
45%   
69%   
56%   
33%   
69%   


Specificity
86%   
80%   
84%   
83%   
78%   
83%   
82%   
76%   
83%   


OR
 3.30    
 2.25    
 4.38    
 3.03    
 1.59    
 4.96    
 2.77     
 1.19    
 4.96    


Quartile 2











p Value
 0.078   
 0.32    
 0.063    
 0.17    
 0.58    
 0.14    
 0.20     
 0.84    
 0.14    


Lower limit
 0.874   
 0.458    
 0.921    
 0.632   
 0.313   
 0.602   
 0.574    
 0.226   
 0.602   


of 95% CI











Upper limit
12.5    
11.1     
20.9     
14.6    
 8.06    
40.8    
13.4     
 6.25    
40.8    


of 95% CI











OR
 3.64    
 3.00    
 4.73    
 4.15    
 3.08    
 7.27    
 3.70     
 2.18    
 7.27    


Quartile 3











p Value
 0.013   
 0.087    
 0.0073   
 0.022   
 0.12    
 0.014   
 0.037    
 0.30    
 0.014   


Lower limit
 1.32    
 0.854    
 1.52    
 1.22    
 0.754   
 1.49    
 1.08     
 0.504   
 1.49    


of 95% CI











Upper limit
10.1    
10.5     
14.7     
14.1    
12.6    
35.4    
12.7     
 9.39    
35.4    


of 95% CI











OR
 6.77    
 4.08    
 5.87    
 7.14    
 3.00    
11.0    
 5.89     
 1.59    
11.0    


Quartile 4











p Value
5.4E−4
 0.023    
 0.0018   
9.2E−4
 0.10    
4.6E−4
 0.0029   
 0.54    
4.6E−4


Lower limit
 2.29    
 1.21    
 1.93    
 2.23    
 0.803   
 2.88    
 1.83     
 0.358   
 2.88    


of 95% CI











Upper limit
20.0    
13.7     
17.9     
22.8    
11.2    
42.4    
19.0     
 7.04    
42.4    


of 95% CI
















TABLE 12.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.665
2.56
0.768
4.04
0.779
2.87


Average
1.36
3.16
1.43
3.73
1.50
3.58


Stdev
1.60
2.42
1.60
2.52
1.70
2.52


p (t-test)

1.3E−4

1.0E−5

1.2E−4


Min
0.194
0.121
0.121
0.422
0.121
0.422


Max
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
57
26
65
18
66
17










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.812
2.87
0.812
2.87
1.03
2.16


Average
1.63
3.44
1.70
3.64
1.83
3.08


Stdev
1.81
2.59
1.87
2.68
1.98
2.66


p (t-test)

0.0020

0.0037

0.090


Min
0.121
0.422
0.121
0.422
0.121
0.422


Max
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
65
15
69
11
71
9










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.653
2.82
0.768
5.21
0.736
5.37


Average
1.40
3.20
1.42
3.95
1.41
4.18


Stdev
1.64
2.40
1.59
2.45
1.58
2.37


p (t-test)

2.8E−4

4.3E−6

7.2E−7


Min
0.194
0.121
0.121
0.448
0.121
0.448


Max
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
56
22
63
15
64
14













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.73
0.70
0.75
0.76
0.71
0.80
0.74
0.64
0.83


SE
0.063
0.081
0.066
0.070
0.092
0.072
0.074
0.10
0.071


p Value
3.0E−4
0.011
2.0E−4
1.7E−4
0.023
2.8E−5
9.7E−4
0.17
4.5E−6


nCohort Non-persistent
57
65
56
65
69
63
66
71
64


nCohort Persistent
26
15
22
18
11
15
17
9
14


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.467
0.457
0.483
0.467
0.457
0.483
0.467
0.457
0.483


Sensitivity
88%
87%
91%
89%
82%
93%
88%
78%
93%


Specificity
32%
28%
32%
29%
26%
30%
29%
25%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
1.04
1.04
1.03
1.04
1.04
1.03
1.04
1.04
1.03


Sensitivity
69%
67%
73%
72%
73%
73%
71%
67%
79%


Specificity
58%
54%
59%
55%
54%
56%
55%
52%
56%


Cutoff Quartile 4
2.82
2.88
2.84
2.82
2.88
2.84
2.82
2.88
2.84


Sensitivity
50%
47%
50%
56%
45%
60%
53%
33%
64%


Specificity
86%
80%
84%
83%
78%
83%
82%
76%
83%


OR Quartile 2
3.54
2.49
4.74
3.30
1.59
6.05
3.03
1.19
5.49


p Value
0.062
0.26
0.050
0.13
0.58
0.093
0.17
0.84
0.11


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.939
0.510
0.997
0.691
0.313
0.741
0.632
0.226
0.670


Upper limit of 95% CI
13.3
12.1
22.5
15.8
8.06
49.3
14.6
6.25
45.0


OR Quartile 3
3.09
2.33
3.83
3.23
3.08
3.44
2.88
2.18
4.71


p Value
0.025
0.16
0.015
0.044
0.12
0.052
0.071
0.30
0.026


Lower limit of 95% CI
1.16
0.718
1.30
1.03
0.754
0.987
0.912
0.504
1.20


Upper limit of 95% CI
8.28
7.59
11.3
10.1
12.6
12.0
9.10
9.39
18.5


OR Quartile 4
6.12
3.50
5.22
6.14
3.00
7.09
5.06
1.59
8.67


p Value
9.2E−4
0.038
0.0032
0.0017
0.10
0.0017
0.0053
0.54
8.7E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
2.10
1.07
1.74
1.98
0.803
2.09
1.62
0.358
2.43


Upper limit of 95% CI
17.9
11.4
15.7
19.1
11.2
24.0
15.8
7.04
30.9
















TABLE 12.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.665
 2.56  
 0.779
 2.87  
 0.790
 2.56 


Average
 1.36 
 3.16  
 1.44 
 3.57  
 1.51 
 3.42 


Stdev
 1.60 
 2.42  
 1.61 
 2.55  
 1.71 
 2.54 


p (t-test)

1.3E−4

3.7E−5

3.5E−4


Min
 0.194
 0.121 
 0.121
 0.422 
 0.121
 0.422


Max
 7.86 
 6.66  
 7.86 
 6.66  
 7.86 
 6.66 


n (Patient)
57    
26   
64   
19   
65   
18   










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.812
 2.87  
 0.922
 2.51  
 1.03 
 2.07 


Average
 1.63 
 3.44  
 1.72 
 3.38  
 1.84 
 2.83 


Stdev
 1.81 
 2.59  
 1.87 
 2.70  
 1.99 
 2.62 


p (t-test)

 0.0020

 0.0098

 0.16 


Min
 0.121
 0.422 
 0.121
 0.422 
 0.121
 0.422


Max
 7.86 
 6.66  
 7.86 
 6.66  
 7.86 
 6.66 


n (Patient)
65   
15   
68   
12   
70   
10   










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.653
 2.82 
 0.779
 4.04 
 0.768
 5.21 


Average
 1.40 
 3.20 
 1.43 
 3.74 
 1.42 
 3.95 


Stdev
 1.64 
 2.40 
 1.60 
 2.51 
 1.59 
 2.46 


p (t-test)

2.8E−4

2.1E−5

4.6E−6


Min
 0.194
 0.1216 
 0.121
 0.4486 
 0.121
 0.448


Max
 7.86 
 6.66 
 7.86 
 6.66 
 7.86 
 6.66 


n (Patient)
56   
22   
62   
16   
63   
15   













Persistence





Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.73
0.70
0.75
0.75
0.68
0.78
0.72
0.62
0.80


SE
0.063
0.081
0.066
0.070
0.090
0.073
0.073
0.10
0.073


p Value
3.0E−4
0.011
2.0E−4
4.8E−4
0.044
1.4E−4
0.0023
0.24
4.1E−5


nCohort
57
65
56
64
68
62
65
70
63


Non-











persistent











nCohort
26
15
22
19
12
16
18
10
15


Persistent











Cutoff
0.467
0.457
0.483
0.467
0.457
0.483
0.467
0.457
0.483


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
88%
87%
91%
89%
83%
94%
89%
80%
93%


Specificity
32%
28%
32%
30%
26%
31%
29%
26%
30%


Cutoff
1.04
1.04
1.03
1.04
1.04
1.03
1.04
1.04
1.03


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
69%
67%
73%
68%
67%
69%
67%
60%
73%


Specificity
58%
54%
59%
55%
53%
55%
54%
51%
56%


Cutoff
2.82
2.88
2.84
2.82
2.88
2.84
2.82
2.88
2.84


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
50%
47%
50%
53%
42%
56%
50%
30%
60%


Specificity
86%
80%
84%
83%
78%
82%
82%
76%
83%


OR
3.54
2.49
4.74
3.59
1.80
6.63
3.30
1.38
6.05


Quartile 2











p Value
0.062
0.26
0.050
0.11
0.47
0.077
0.13
0.70
0.093


Lower limit
0.939
0.510
0.997
0.754
0.359
0.816
0.691
0.269
0.741


of 95% CI











Upper limit
13.3
12.1
22.5
17.1
9.01
53.9
15.8
7.14
49.3


of 95% CI











OR
3.09
2.33
3.83
2.61
2.25
2.67
2.33
1.59
3.44


Quartile 3











p Value
0.025
0.16
0.015
0.083
0.22
0.100
0.13
0.50
0.052


Lower limit
1.16
0.718
1.30
0.883
0.619
0.830
0.781
0.412
0.987


of 95% CI











Upper limit
8.28
7.59
11.3
7.74
8.18
8.60
6.97
6.12
12.0


of 95% CI











OR
6.12
3.50
5.22
5.35
2.52
5.96
4.42
1.34
7.09


Quartile 4











p Value
9.2E−4
0.038
0.0032
0.0031
0.16
0.0031
0.0091
0.70
0.0017


Lower limit
2.10
1.07
1.74
1.76
0.700
1.83
1.45
0.311
2.09


of 95% CI











Upper limit
17.9
11.4
15.7
16.2
9.10
19.5
13.5
5.75
24.0


of 95% CI
















TABLE 12.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts


where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO)


only, or serum creatinine or urine outpu tRIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.639
 2.77 
 0.736
 2.77  
0.779 
2.77 


Average
 1.26 
 3.18 
 1.37 
 3.38  
1.45 
3.34 


Stdev
 1.52 
 2.36 
 1.55 
 2.51  
1.65 
2.51 


p (t-test)

2.2E−5

3.2E−5

1.7E−4


Min
 0.194
 0.121
 0.194
 0.121 
0.194 
0.121


Max
 7.86 
 6.66 
 7.86 
 6.66  
7.86 
6.66 


n (Patient)
54    
29    
60    
23     
62    
21    










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.801
 3.80 
 0.812
 2.87  
0.922
2.51 


Average
 1.56 
 3.58 
 1.66 
 3.56  
1.73 
3.34 


Stdev
 1.75 
 2.56 
 1.82 
 2.66  
1.89 
2.65 


p (t-test)

3.6E−4

 0.0021

0.013


Min
 0.121
 0.422
 0.121
 0.422 
0.121
0.422


Max
 7.86 
 6.66 
 7.86 
 6.66  
7.86 
6.66 


n (Patient)
64    
16    
67    
13     
68    
12    










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.639
 2.82 
0.717
 2.82  
 0.704
 2.87 


Average
 1.31 
 3.25 
1.37 
 3.46  
 1.36 
 3.60 


Stdev
 1.56 
 2.36 
1.55 
 2.50  
 1.54 
 2.48 


p (t-test)

4.7E−5

3.6E−5

1.1E−5


Min
 0.194
 0.121
0.194
 0.121 
 0.194
 0.121


Max
 7.86 
 6.66 
7.86 
 6.66  
 7.86 
 6.66 


n (Patient)
54    
24    
58    
20     
59    
19    













Persistence





Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.76
0.72
0.77
0.73
0.71
0.75
0.71
0.68
0.76


SE
0.059
0.077
0.062
0.066
0.086
0.069
0.070
0.091
0.069


p Value
1.4E−5
0.0037
1.7E−5
4.9E−4
0.017
2.8E−4
0.0027
0.050
1.2E−4


nCohort
54
64
54
60
67
58
62
68
59


Non-











persistent











nCohort
29
16
24
23
13
20
21
12
19


Persistent











Cutoff
0.467
0.457
0.483
0.467
0.457
0.483
0.467
0.457
0.483


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
90%
88%
92%
87%
85%
90%
86%
83%
89%


Specificity
33%
28%
33%
30%
27%
31%
29%
26%
31%


Cutoff
1.04
1.04
1.03
1.04
1.04
1.03
1.04
1.04
1.03


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
72%
69%
75%
70%
69%
70%
67%
67%
74%


Specificity
61%
55%
61%
57%
54%
57%
55%
53%
58%


Cutoff
2.82
2.88
2.84
2.82
2.88
2.84
2.82
2.88
2.84


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
48%
50%
50%
48%
46%
50%
48%
42%
53%


Specificity
87%
81%
85%
83%
79%
83%
82%
78%
83%


OR
4.33
2.74
5.50
2.86
2.02
4.05
2.45
1.80
3.73


Quartile 2











p Value
0.030
0.21
0.032
0.12
0.39
0.079
0.19
0.47
0.099


Lower limit
1.15
0.565
1.16
0.753
0.408
0.848
0.643
0.359
0.779


of 95% CI











Upper limit
16.3
13.3
26.0
10.8
10.0
19.3
9.37
9.01
17.9


of 95% CI











OR
4.12
2.66
4.71
2.99
2.61
3.08
2.43
2.25
3.81


Quartile 3











p Value
0.0046
0.10
0.0047
0.036
0.14
0.043
0.093
0.22
0.022


Lower limit
1.55
0.827
1.61
1.07
0.732
1.04
0.862
0.619
1.21


of 95% CI











Upper limit
11.0
8.52
13.8
8.33
9.32
9.15
6.84
8.18
12.0


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
6.27
4.33
5.75
4.58
3.24
4.80
4.21
2.52
5.44





p Value
8.4E−4
0.014
0.0018
0.0050
0.063
0.0056
0.0088
0.16
0.0032


Lower limit
2.13
1.35
1.92
1.58
0.940
1.58
1.44
0.700
1.76


of 95% CI











Upper limit
18.4
13.9
17.2
13.3
11.2
14.6
12.4
9.10
16.8


of 95% CI

























TABLE 12.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts


where persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine


output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
231  
285    
233  
293   
235  
285   


Average
248  
313    
250  
335   
250  
337   


Stdev
111  
148    
108  
166   
107  
172   


p (t-test)

  0.031 

  0.013

  0.014


Min
 73.7
 89.8   
 73.7
 89.8 
 73.7
 89.8 


Max
512  
651    
512  
651   
512  
651   


n (Patient)
 61  
 23    
 68  
 16   
 69  
 15   










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
235  
307    
243  
307   
245  
312   


Average
252  
324    
254  
325   
255  
327   


Stdev
114  
154    
113  
166   
112  
174   


p (t-test)

  0.047 

  0.068

  0.073


Min
 73.7
 89.8   
 73.7
 89.8 
 73.7
 89.8 


Max
651  
592    
651  
592   
651  
592   


n (Patient)
 67  
 14    
 69  
 12   
 70  
 11   










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
233  
302    
235  
350   
235  
350   


Average
248  
346    
252  
388   
252  
388   


Stdev
110  
147    
111  
155   
111  
155   


p (t-test)

  0.0037

9.9E−4

9.9E−4


Min
 73.7
161    
 73.7
177   
 73.7
177   


Max
590  
651    
590  
651   
590  
651   


n (Patient)
 60  
 17    
 67  
 10   
 67  
 10   













Persistence





Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
UO only
sCr only
sCr or UO
UO only
sCr only
sCr or UO
UO only
sCr only





AUC
0.63
0.64
0.70
0.65
0.62
0.77
0.64
0.61
0.77


SE
0.071
0.086
0.077
0.081
0.093
0.091
0.083
0.096
0.091


p Value
0.064
0.10
0.0081
0.066
0.20
0.0030
0.085
0.25
0.0030


nCohort
61
67
60
68
69
67
69
70
67


Non-











persistent











nCohort
23
14
17
16
12
10
15
11
10


Persistent











Cutoff
169
171
174
169
171
174
169
171
174


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
87%
86%
88%
88%
83%
100%
87%
82%
100%


Specificity
30%
27%
28%
28%
26%
 28%
28%
26%
 28%


Cutoff
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
70%
71%
76%
75%
67%
 90%
73%
64%
 90%


Specificity
57%
54%
57%
56%
52%
 55%
55%
51%
 55%


Cutoff
332
331
335
332
331
335
332
331
335


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
30%
36%
41%
31%
33%
 50%
33%
36%
 50%


Specificity
77%
76%
78%
76%
75%
 78%
77%
76%
 78%


OR
2.79
2.20
2.97
2.71
1.76
8.44
2.47
1.56
8.44


Quartile 2











p Value
0.13
0.33
0.18
0.21
0.49
0.15
0.26
0.59
0.15


Lower limit
0.736
0.449
0.612
0.563
0.353
0.471
0.509
0.307
0.471


of 95% CI











Upper limit
10.6
10.8
14.4
13.1
8.83
151
12.0
7.90
151


of 95% CI











OR
3.08
2.90
4.25
3.80
2.18
11.1
3.37
1.85
11.1


Quartile 3











p Value
0.031
0.096
0.021
0.033
0.24
0.026
0.055
0.36
0.026


Lower limit
1.11
0.828
1.24
1.11
0.601
1.33
0.977
0.498
1.33


of 95% CI











Upper limit
8.56
10.2
14.6
13.0
7.92
92.6
11.6
6.90
92.6


of 95% CI











OR
1.47
1.77
2.53
1.48
1.53
3.47
1.66
1.78
3.47


Quartile 4











p Value
0.48
0.36
0.11
0.52
0.53
0.075
0.41
0.40
0.075


Lower limit
0.504
0.518
0.806
0.447
0.409
0.884
0.494
0.464
0.884


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.28
6.05
7.95
4.89
5.72
13.6
5.56
6.83
13.6


of 95% CI

























TABLE 12.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts


where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only,


or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
226  
293   
231  
302   
233  
298   


Average
245  
317   
247  
339   
248  
341   


Stdev
110  
145   
107  
162   
107  
167   


p (t-test)

  0.016

  0.0061

  0.0065


Min
 73.7
 89.8  
 73.7
 89.8  
 73.7
 89.8  


Max
512  
651   
512  
651   
512  
651   


n (Patient)
 60  
 24   
 67  
 17   
 68  
 16   










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
235  
307   
243  
307   
245  
312   


Average
252  
324   
254  
325   
255  
327   


Stdev
114  
154   
113  
166   
112  
174   


p (t-test)

  0.047

  0.068 

  0.073 


Min
 73.7
 89.8  
 73.7
 89.8  
 73.7
 89.8  


Max
651  
592   
651  
592   
651  
592   


n (Patient)
 67  
 14   
 69  
 12   
 70  
 11   










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
226  
312
231  
396   
231  
396   


Average
239  
362
244  
406   
244  
406   


Stdev
100  
150
102  
152   
102  
152   


p (t-test)

1.2E−4

1.5E−5

1.5E−5


Min
 73.7
161
 73.7
177   
73.7
177   


Max
493  
651
512  
651   
512  
651   


n (Patient)
 58  
 19
 65  
 12   
65  
 12   













Persistence





Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.64
0.75
0.67
0.62
0.81
0.66
0.61
0.81


SE
0.069
0.086
0.071
0.078
0.093
0.078
0.080
0.096
0.078


p Value
0.032
0.10
4.7E−4
0.031
0.20
5.8E−5
0.041
0.25
5.8E−5


nCohort
60
67
58
67
69
65
68
70
65


Non-











persistent











nCohort
24
14
19
17
12
12
16
11
12


Persistent











Cutoff
169
171
174
169
171
174
169
171
174


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
88%
86%
89%
88%
83%
100%
88%
82%
100%


Specificity
30%
27%
29%
28%
26%
 29%
28%
26%
 29%


Cutoff
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
71%
71%
79%
76%
67%
 92%
75%
64%
 92%


Specificity
58%
54%
59%
57%
52%
 57%
56%
51%
 57%


Cutoff
332
331
335
332
331
335
332
331
335


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
33%
36%
47%
35%
33%
 58%
38%
36%
 58%


Specificity
78%
76%
81%
78%
75%
 80%
78%
76%
 80%


OR
3.00
2.20
3.52
2.97
1.76
10.5
2.71
1.56
10.5


Quartile 2











p Value
0.11
0.33
0.12
0.17
0.49
0.11
0.21
0.59
0.11


Lower limit
0.794
0.449
0.733
0.619
0.353
0.591
0.563
0.307
0.591


of 95% CI











Upper limit
11.3
10.8
16.9
14.2
8.83
186
13.1
7.90
186


of 95% CI











OR
3.40
2.90
5.31
4.26
2.18
14.5
3.80
1.85
14.5


Quartile 3











p Value
0.019
0.096
0.0073
0.020
0.24
0.013
0.033
0.36
0.013


Lower limit
1.23
0.828
1.57
1.26
0.601
1.77
1.11
0.498
1.77


of 95% CI











Upper limit
9.42
10.2
18.0
14.4
7.92
119
13.0
6.90
119


of 95% CI











OR
1.81
1.77
3.85
1.89
1.53
5.60
2.12
1.78
5.60


Quartile 4











p Value
0.27
0.36
0.018
0.28
0.53
0.0093
0.21
0.40
0.0093


Lower limit
0.634
0.518
1.26
0.600
0.409
1.53
0.662
0.464
1.53


of 95% CI











Upper limit
5.15
6.05
11.7
5.96
5.72
20.5
6.78
6.83
20.5


of 95% CI

























TABLE 12.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
221  
285   
233  
293   
235  
285   


Average
245  
315   
248  
333   
249  
334   


Stdev
111  
143   
108  
160   
107  
164   


p (t-test)

  0.017

  0.0097

  0.010


Min
 73.7
 89.8  
 73.7
 89.8   
 73.7
 89.8  


Max
512  
651   
512  
651   
512  
651   


n (Patient)
 59  
 25   
 66  
 18   
 67  
 17   










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
233  
302   
243  
307   
245  
312   


Average
252  
321   
254  
325   
255  
327   


Stdev
114  
149   
113  
166   
112  
174   


p (t-test)

  0.050

  0.068 

  0.073


Min
 73.7
 89.8  

 89.8   
 73.7
 89.8  


Max
651  
592   
651  
592   
651  
592   


n (Patient)
 66  
 15   
 69  
 12   
 70  
 11   










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
221  
307   
231  
350   
233  
389   


Average
239  
358   
244  
384   
245  
392   


Stdev
101  
147   
104  
151   
103  
154   


p (t-test)

1.5E−4

8.3E−5

5.2E−5


Min
 73.7
161   
 73.7
177   
 73.7
177   


Max
493  
651   
512  
651   
512  
651   


n (Patient)
 57  
 20   
 63  
 14   
 64  
 13   













Persistence





Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.65 
 0.64 
 0.74 
 0.66 
 0.62 
 0.78
 0.65 
 0.61 
 0.79 


SE
 0.068
 0.084
 0.069 
 0.077
 0.093
 0.077
 0.079
 0.096
 0.079


p Value
 0.028
 0.098
4.4E−4
 0.040
 0.20 
3.3E−4
 0.053
 0.25 
2.7E−4


nCohort
 59   
 66   
 57   
 66   
 69   
63   
 67   
70   
 64   


Non-











persistent











nCohort
 25
 15   
 20   
 18   
 12   
14   
 17   
 11   
 13   


Persistent











Cutoff
169   
171   
174   
169   
171   
174   
169   
171   
174   


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
 88%
87%
90%
89%
83%
100%
88%
82%
100%


Specificity
 31%
27%
30%
29%
26%
 30%
28%
26%
 30%


Cutoff
249   
249   
249   
249
249   
249   
249   
249   
249   


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
 72%
73%
80%
72%
67%
 86%
71%
64%
 85%


Specificity
 59%
55%
60%
56%
52%
 57%
55%
51%
 56%


Cutoff
332   
331   
335   
332   
331   
335   
332   
331   
335   


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
32%
33%
45%
33%
33%
 50%
35%
36%
 54%


Specificity
78%
76%
81%
77%
75%
 79%
78%
76%
 80%


OR Quartile 2
 3.22 
 2.44 
 3.82 
 3.23 
 1.76 
12.7
 2.97 
 1.56
 11.6 


p Value
 0.084
 0.27 
 0.093 
 0.14 
 0.49 
 0.082
 0.17 
 0.59
 0.095


Lower limit
 0.854
 0.500
 0.798 
 0.677
 0.353
 0.721
 0.619
 0.307
 0.655


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 12.1  
 11.9  
18.3   
 15.4 
 8.83 
224   
 14.2 
  7.90 
205   


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
 3.75 
 3.30 
 5.91 
 3.32 
 2.18 
 8.00
 2.96 
 1.85 
 7.07 


p Value
 0.011
 0.060
 0.0042
 0.039
 0.24 
 0.0098
 0.064
 0.36 
 0.016


Lower limit
 1.36 
 0.952
 1.75 
 1.06 
 0.601
 1.65
 0.938
 0.498
 1.45 


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 10.4 
 11.4 
 20.0  
 10.4 
 7.92 
38.8
 9.34 
 6.90 
 34.5 


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
 1.67 
 1.56 
 3.42 
 1.70 
 1.53 
 3.85
 1.89 
 1.78 
 4.58 


p Value
 0.34 
 0.47 
 0.028 
 0.36 
 0.53 
 0.029
 0.28 
 0.40 
 0.017


Lower limit
 0.588
 0.465
 1.14 
 0.546
 0.409
 1.14
 0.600
 0.464
 1.31 


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 4.72 
 5.25 
 10.3  
 5.30 
 5.72 
12.9
 5.96 
 6.83 
16.0 


of 95% CI
















TABLE 12.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status


is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO)


only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
221
285
231
285
233
283


Average
245
315
247
330
248
331


Stdev
111
143
109
155
108
160


p (t-test)

0.017

0.010

0.011


Min
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8


Max
512
651
512
651
512
651


n (Patient)
59
25
65
19
66
18










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
233
302
239
302
243
297


Average
252
321
254
322
255
323


Stdev
114
149
114
160
113
167


p (t-test)

0.050

0.071

0.076


Min
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8


Max
651
592
651
592
651
592


n (Patient)
66
15
68
13
69
12










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
221
307
226
312
231
350


Average
239
358
244
377
244
384


Stdev
101
147
105
148
104
151


p (t-test)

1.5E−4

1.2E−4

7.8E−5


Min
73.7
161
73.7
177
73.7
177


Max
493
651
512
651
512
651


n (Patient)
57
20
62
15
63
14













Persistence





Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.64
0.74
0.66
0.62
0.77
0.65
0.61
0.78


SE
0.068
0.084
0.069
0.075
0.089
0.076
0.077
0.093
0.077


p Value
0.028
0.098
4.4E−4
0.035
0.18
3.2E−4
0.047
0.23
2.8E−4


nCohort
59
66
57
65
68
62
66
69
63


Non-











persistent











nCohort
25
15
20
19
13
15
18
12
14


Persistent











Cutoff
169
171
174
169
171
174
169
171
174


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
88%
87%
90%
89%
85%
100%
89%
83%
100%


Specificity
31%
27%
30%
29%
26%
 31%
29%
26%
 30%


Cutoff
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
72%
73%
80%
74%
69%
 87%
72%
67%
 86%


Specificity
59%
55%
60%
57%
53%
 58%
56%
52%
 57%


Cutoff
332
331
335
332
331
335
332
331
335


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
32%
33%
45%
32%
31%
 47%
33%
33%
 50%


Specificity
78%
76%
81%
77%
75%
 79%
77%
75%
 79%


OR
3.22
2.44
3.82
3.51
1.98
13.9
3.23
1.76
12.7


Quartile 2











p Value
0.084
0.27
0.093
0.11
0.40
0.072
0.14
0.49
0.082


Lower limit
0.854
0.500
0.798
0.738
0.400
0.791
0.677
0.353
0.721


of 95% CI











Upper limit
12.1
11.9
18.3
16.7
9.81
244
15.4
8.83
224


of 95% CI











OR
3.75
3.30
5.91
3.70
2.53
9.00
3.32
2.18
8.00


Quartile 3











p Value
0.011
0.060
0.0042
0.024
0.15
0.0061
0.039
0.24
0.0098


Lower limit
1.36
0.952
1.75
1.19
0.711
1.87
1.06
0.601
1.65


of 95% CI











Upper limit
10.4
11.4
20.0
11.5
9.02
43.3
10.4
7.92
38.8


of 95% CI











OR
1.67
1.56
3.42
1.54
1.33
3.30
1.70
1.53
3.85


Quartile 4











p Value
0.34
0.47
0.028
0.45
0.66
0.048
0.36
0.53
0.029


Lower limit
0.588
0.465
1.14
0.499
0.364
1.01
0.546
0.409
1.14


of 95% CI











Upper limit
4.72
5.25
10.3
4.75
4.89
10.8
5.30
5.72
12.9


of 95% CI
















TABLE 12.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent”


cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours after sample


collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only,


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
219
302
226
293
233
283


Average
237
327
241
335
246
328


Stdev
104
144
102
155
107
158


p (t-test)

0.0016

0.0020

0.0099


Min
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8


Max
493
651
493
651
512
651


n (Patient)
57
27
62
22
64
20










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
233
302
239
302
243
297


Average
252
321
254
322
255
323


Stdev
114
149
114
160
113
167


p (t-test)

0.050

0.071

0.076


Min
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8
73.7
89.8


Max
651
592
651
592
651
592


n (Patient)
66
15
68
13
69
12










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
220
302
221
298
226
312


Average
239
352
240
366
241
371


Stdev
102
146
101
150
100
153


p (t-test)

2.3E−4

1.1E−4

8.4E−5


Min
73.7
161
73.7
161
73.7
161


Max
493
651
493
651
493
651


n (Patient)
56
21
59
18
60
17













Persistence





Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.69
0.64
0.74
0.68
0.62
0.75
0.65
0.61
0.75


SE
0.065
0.084
0.069
0.070
0.089
0.072
0.074
0.093
0.073


p Value
0.0031
0.098
5.7E−4
0.010
0.18
4.9E−4
0.040
0.23
5.0E−4


nCohort
57
66
56
62
68
59
64
69
60


Non-











persistent











nCohort
27
15
21
22
13
18
20
12
17


Persistent











Cutoff
169
171
174
169
171
174
169
171
174


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
89%
87%
90%
86%
85%
94%
85%
83%
94%


Specificity
32%
27%
30%
29%
26%
31%
28%
26%
30%


Cutoff
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
74%
73%
81%
73%
69%
83%
70%
67%
82%


Specificity
61%
55%
61%
58%
53%
59%
56%
52%
58%


Cutoff
332
331
335
332
331
335
332
331
335


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
37%
33%
43%
36%
31%
44%
35%
33%
47%


Specificity
81%
76%
80%
79%
75%
80%
78%
75%
80%


OR
3.69
2.44
4.14
2.59
1.98
7.46
2.22
1.76
6.86


Quartile 2











p Value
0.053
0.27
0.075
0.16
0.40
0.060
0.25
0.49
0.072


Lower limit
0.983
0.500
0.866
0.682
0.400
0.922
0.579
0.353
0.844


of 95% CI











Upper limit
13.9
11.9
19.8
9.85
9.81
60.4
8.49
8.83
55.7


of 95% CI











OR
4.55
3.30
6.57
3.69
2.53
7.29
3.00
2.18
6.53


Quartile 3











p Value
0.0034
0.060
0.0024
0.016
0.15
0.0038
0.045
0.24
0.0064


Lower limit
1.65
0.952
1.95
1.27
0.711
1.90
1.02
0.601
1.70


of 95% CI











Upper limit
12.5
11.4
22.1
10.7
9.02
28.0
8.80
7.92
25.2


of 95% CI











OR
2.46
1.56
3.07
2.15
1.33
3.13
1.92
1.53
3.56


Quartile 4











p Value
0.084
0.47
0.043
0.16
0.66
0.047
0.24
0.53
0.030


Lower limit
0.886
0.465
1.03
0.744
0.364
1.02
0.644
0.409
1.13


of 95% CI











Upper limit
6.83
5.25
9.10
6.23
4.89
9.65
5.74
5.72
11.2


of 95% CI









Example 13. Use of C-C Motif Chemokine 14 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and a urine samples (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. C-C motif chemokine 14 is measured in the earliest samples collected while the patients were in RIFLE I or F by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 13.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 24 hours after sample


collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr)


only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.672
1.38
0.731
2.77
0.731
2.87


Average
1.36
2.40
1.38
3.06
1.38
3.35


Stdev
1.75
2.19
1.62
2.42
1.59
2.46


p (t-test)

0.020

3.4E−4

5.0E−5


Min
0.208
0.121
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.349


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
38
45
56
27
60
23










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.768
2.77
0.812
2.25
0.922
2.20


Average
1.50
3.13
1.64
3.02
1.72
2.96


Stdev
1.76
2.40
1.83
2.53
1.88
2.59


p (t-test)

0.0011

0.011

0.033


Min
0.121
0.349
0.121
0.349
0.121
0.349


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
57
23
61
19
64
16










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.790
1.15
0.790
1.19
0.790
1.19


Average
1.72
2.05
1.68
2.29
1.64
2.39


Stdev
2.05
2.04
1.95
2.15
1.92
2.19


p (t-test)

0.48

0.20

0.12


Min
0.208
0.121
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194


Max
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
35
43
49
29
51
27













Persistence





Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.66 
 0.71 
 0.56 
 0.71 
 0.67 
 0.59 
 0.74 
 0.64 
 0.60 


SE
 0.059 
 0.067 
0.065
 0.064 
 0.075
 0.068
 0.065
 0.081
 0.069


p Value
 0.0074
0.0015
 0.32 
 0.0011
 0.027
 0.20 
2.3E−4
 0.078
 0.14 


nCohort
38   
57   
35  
56   
61   
49   
60   
64  
51   


Non-











persistent











nCohort
45   
23   
43  
27   
19   
29   
23   
16    
27   


Persistent











Cutoff
 0.467 
 0.457 
 0.483
 0.467 
 0.457
 0.483
 0.467
 0.457
0.483


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
82%
87%
79%
85%
84%
79%
87%
81%
81%


Specificity
34%
30%
31%
30%
28%
29%
30%
27%
29%


Cutoff
 1.04 
 1.04 
 1.03 
 1.04 
 1.04 
 1.03 
 1.04 
 1.04 
 1.03 


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
60%
70%
53%
67%
63%
55%
70%
62%
56%


Specificity
61%
58%
54%
57%
54%
53%
57%
53%
53%


Cutoff
 2.82 
 2.88 
 2.84 
 2.82 
 2.88 
 2.84 
 2.82 
 2.88 
 2.84 


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
38%
43%
30%
48%
37%
34%
52%
31%
37%


Specificity
89%
82%
80%
86%
79%
80%
85%
77%
80%


OR
 2.40 
 2.83 
 1.73 
 2.51 
 2.06 
 1.53 
 2.86 
 1.57 
 1.83 


Quartile 2











p Value
 0.091 
 0.13 
 0.29 
 0.14 
 0.30 
 0.44 
 0.12 
 0.52 
 0.30 


Lower limit
 0.870 
 0.742 
0.622
 0.751 
 0.532
 0.515
 0.753
 0.397
 0.585


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 6.65 
 10.8  
 4.82 
 8.36 
 7.98 
 4.57 
10.8 
 6.18 
 5.75 


of 95% CI











OR
 2.30 
 3.14 
 1.37 
 2.67 
 2.02 
 1.39 
 2.99 
 1.89 
 1.41 


Quartile 3











p Value
 0.064 
 0.030 
 0.50 
 0.045 
 0.19 
 0.48 
 0.036
 0.27 
 0.48 


Lower limit
 0.952 
 1.12 
 0.558
 1.02 
 0.700
 0.553
 1.07 
 0.613
 0.551


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 5.56 
 8.82 
 3.34 
 6.96 
 5.83 
 3.50 
 8.33 
 5.82 
 3.59 


of 95% CI











OR
 5.16 
 3.62 
 1.73 
 5.57 
 2.15 
 2.05 
 6.18 
 1.48 
 2.41 


Quartile 4











p Value
 0.0073
 0.019 
 0.31 
 0.0015
 0.18 
 0.17 
9.7E−4
 0.52 
 0.098


Lower limit
 1.56 
 1.24 
 0.605
 1.92 
0.706
 0.730
 2.09 
 0.445
 0.850


of 95% CI











Upper limit
17.1  
10.5  
 4.97 
16.1 
 6.57 
 5.77 
18.2 
 4.95 
 6.84 


of 95% CI
















TABLE 13.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.557
1.20
0.653
2.16
0.653
2.25


Average
1.29
2.29
1.31
2.86
1.32
3.06


Stdev
1.70
2.17
1.54
2.40
1.52
2.45


p (t-test)

0.033

5.7E−4

1.4E−4


Min
0.208
0.121
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.349


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
30
53
50
33
54
29










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.665
2.25
0.922
2.20
0.922
2.20


Average
1.50
2.89
1.63
2.84
1.70
2.88


Stdev
1.79
2.34
1.85
2.45
1.89
2.50


p (t-test)

0.0040

0.020

0.034


Min
0.121
0.349
0.121
0.349
0.121
0.349


Max
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79
7.86
6.79


n (Patient)
53
27
58
22
62
18










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.790
1.15
0.773
1.28
0.773
1.59


Average
1.51
2.14
1.50
2.43
1.47
2.52


Stdev
1.83
2.13
1.77
2.26
1.74
2.29


p (t-test)

0.19

0.046

0.024


Min
0.208
0.121
0.121
0.194
0.121
0.194


Max
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66
7.86
6.66


n (Patient)
29
49
44
34
46
32













Persistence





Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.67  
 0.70 
 0.59 
 0.71 
 0.66 
 0.62 
 0.73 
 0.65 
 0.63 


SE
 0.060 
 0.064 
 0.066 
 0.060 
 0.071
 0.065
 0.061 
 0.077
 0.065


p Value
0.0046
 0.0015
 0.15 
5.6E−4
 0.022
 0.060
1.7E−4
 0.050
 0.038


nCohort
30   
53  
29  
50   
58   
44   
54   
62   
46   


Non-











persistent











nCohort
53   
27  
49  
33   
22   
34   
29   
18   
32   


Persistent











Cutoff
 0.467 
 0.457 
 0.483 
 0.467 
 0.457
 0.483
 0.467 
 0.457
 0.483


Quartile 2











Sensitivity
81%
89%
78%
85%
86%
79%
86%
83%
81%


Specificity
37%
32%
31%
32%
29%
30%
31%
27%
30%


Cutoff
 1.04  
 1.04 
 1.03 
 1.04 
 1.04 
 1.03 
 1.04 
 1.04 
 1.03 


Quartile 3











Sensitivity
57%
63%
53%
64%
59%
56%
66%
61%
56%


Specificity
60%
57%
55%
58%
53%
55%
57%
53%
54%


Cutoff
 2.82  
 2.88 
 2.84 
 2.82 
 2.88 
 2.84 
 2.82 
 2.88 
 2.84 


Quartile 4











Sensitivity
34%
41%
31%
42%
36%
35%
45%
33%
38%


Specificity
90%
83%
83%
86%
79%
82%
85%
77%
83%


OR
 2.49  
 3.78 
 1.55 
 2.64 
 2.63 
 1.62 
 2.87 
 1.89 
 1.90 


Quartile 2











p Value
 0.077 
 0.050 
 0.40 
 0.090 
 0.16 
 0.37 
 0.085 
 0.36 
 0.25 


Lower limit
 0.905 
 0.997 
 0.553 
 0.858 
 0.686
 0.564
 0.864 
 0.485
 0.639


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 6.85  
14.3  
 4.37 
 8.09 
10.1 
 4.64 
 9.55 
 7.36 
 5.62 


of 95% CI











OR
 1.96  
 2.22 
 1.39 
 2.42 
 1.66 
 1.52 
 2.56 
 1.79 
 1.53 


Quartile 3











p Value
 0.15  
 0.10 
 0.48 
 0.056 
 0.32 
 0.36 
 0.049 
 0.29 
 0.36 


Lower limit
 0.787 
 0.856 
 0.553 
 0.978 
 0.614
0.618
 1.00 
 0.613
 0.617


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 4.86  
 5.74 
 3.50 
 5.97 
 4.48 
 3.74 
 6.53 
 5.22 
 3.79 


of 95% CI











OR
 4.63  
 3.36 
 2.12 
 4.53 
 2.19 
 2.45 
 4.67 
 1.71 
 2.85 


Quartile 4











p Value
 0.023 
 0.024 
 0.20 
 0.0051
 0.15 
 0.091
 0.0040
 0.36 
 0.050


Lower limit
 1.23  
 1.18 
 0.678 
 1.57 
 0.747
 0.868
 1.64 
0.545
 1.00 


of 95% CI











Upper limit
17.4   
 9.61 
 6.62 
13.0  
 6.43 
 6.94 
13.3  
 5.40 
 8.11 


of 95% CI
















TABLE 13.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 0.557
 1.19
 0.653
 1.99
 0.653
 2.16


Average
 1.32
 2.25
 1.34
 2.73
 1.35
 2.90


Stdev
 1.72
 2.16
 1.56
 2.39
 1.54
 2.45


p (t-test)

 0.049

 0.0020

 6.3E-4


Min
 0.208
 0.121
 0.121
 0.194
 0.121
 0.349


Max
 7.86
 6.79
 7.86
 6.79
 7.86
 6.79


n (Patient)
29
54
48
35
52
31







sCr only













Median
 0.739
 2.20
 1.03
 2.16
 1.03
 2.16


Average
 1.52
 2.80
 1.66
 2.74
 1.72
 2.75


Stdev
 1.80
 2.35
 1.86
 2.45
 1.90
 2.49


p (t-test)

 0.0077

 0.035

 0.061


Min
 0.121
 0.349
 0.121
 0.349
 0.121
 0.349


Max
 7.86
 6.79
 7.86
 6.79
 7.86
 6.79


n (Patient)
52
28
57
23
61
19







UO only













Median
 0.790
 1.15
 0.790
 1.19
 0.790
 1.19


Average
 1.51
 2.14
 1.52
 2.38
 1.49
 2.47


Stdev
 1.83
 2.13
 1.79
 2.24
 1.76
 2.27


p (t-test)

 0.19

 0.063

 0.035


Min
 0.208
 0.121
 0.121
 0.194
 0.121
 0.194


Max
 7.86
 6.66
 7.86
 6.66
 7.86
 6.66


n (Patient)
29
49
43
35
45
33












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.65
 0.68
 0.59
 0.68
 0.64
 0.62
 0.70
 0.62
 0.63


SE
 0.061
 0.065
 0.066
 0.060
 0.071
 0.064
 0.061
 0.077
 0.065


p Value
 0.012
 0.0048
 0.15
 0.0025
 0.051
 0.069
 0.0010
 0.11
 0.045


nCohort Non-persistent
29
52
29
48
57
43
52
61
45


nCohort Persistent
54
28
49
35
23
35
31
19
33


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.467
 0.457
 0.483
 0.467
 0.457
 0.483
 0.467
 0.457
 0.483


Sensitivity
80%
86%
78%
83%
83%
80%
84%
79%
82%


Specificity
34%
31%
31%
31%
28%
30%
31%
26%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 1.04
 1.04
 1.03
 1.04
 1.04
 1.03
 1.04
 1.04
 1.03


Sensitivity
56%
61%
53%
60%
57%
54%
61%
58%
55%


Specificity
59%
56%
55%
56%
53%
53%
56%
52%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 2.82
 2.88
 2.84
 2.82
 2.88
 2.84
 2.82
 2.88
 2.84


Sensitivity
33%
39%
31%
40%
35%
34%
42%
32%
36%


Specificity
90%
83%
83%
85%
79%
81%
85%
77%
82%


OR Quartile 2
 2.06
 2.67
 1.55
 2.20
 1.85
 1.73
 2.31
 1.33
 2.03


p Value
 0.16
 0.11
 0.40
 0.15
 0.32
 0.31
 0.14
 0.65
 0.20


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.748
 0.794
 0.553
 0.753
 0.545
 0.605
 0.751
 0.385
 0.686


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.66
 8.95
 4.37
 6.41
 6.30
 4.97
 7.11
 4.62
 6.02


OR Quartile 3
 1.77
 1.95
 1.39
 1.93
 1.44
 1.37
 2.00
 1.52
 1.37


p Value
 0.22
 0.16
 0.48
 0.15
 0.46
 0.50
 0.13
 0.43
 0.49


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.710
 0.765
 0.553
 0.796
 0.545
 0.558
 0.806
 0.536
 0.557


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.41
 4.96
 3.50
 4.67
 3.83
 3.34
 4.94
 4.29
 3.38


OR Quartile 4
 4.33
 3.09
 2.12
 3.90
 2.00
 2.28
 3.97
 1.55
 2.64


p Value
 0.030
 0.034
 0.20
 0.011
 0.20
 0.12
 0.0092
 0.45
 0.068


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.15
 1.09
 0.678
 1.37
 0.687
 0.809
 1.41
 0.497
 0.932


Upper limit of 95% CI
16.3
 8.79
 6.62
11.1
 5.82
 6.44
11.2
 4.83
 7.50
















TABLE 13.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 0.556
 1.19
 0.637
 1.68
 0.639
 1.99


Average
 1.18
 2.29
 1.26
 2.72
 1.28
 2.81


Stdev
 1.56
 2.18
 1.47
 2.37
 1.46
 2.42


p (t-test)

 0.021

 9.7E−4

 5.8E−4


Min
 0.208
 0.121
 0.121
 0.194
 0.121
 0.349


Max
 7.86
 6.79
 7.86
 6.79
 7.86
 6.79


n (Patient)
27
56
45
38
48
35







sCr only













Median
 0.653
 2.20
 1.03
 2.16
 1.03
 2.07


Average
 1.50
 2.74
 1.65
 2.67
 1.74
 2.58


Stdev
 1.82
 2.29
 1.88
 2.38
 1.93
 2.39


p (t-test)

 0.0089

 0.041

 0.11


Min
 0.121
 0.349
 0.121
 0.349
 0.121
 0.349


Max
 7.86
 6.79
 7.86
 6.79
 7.86
 6.79


n (Patient)
50
30
55
25
58
22







UO only













Median
 0.640
 1.15
 0.665
 1.19
 0.727
 1.16


Average
 1.38
 2.18
 1.46
 2.35
 1.45
 2.38


Stdev
 1.70
 2.16
 1.74
 2.23
 1.72
 2.25


p (t-test)

 0.097

 0.052

 0.044


Min
 0.208
 0.121
 0.121
 0.194
 0.121
 0.194


Max
 7.86
 6.66
 7.86
 6.66
 7.86
 6.66


n (Patient)
27
51
39
39
40
38












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.68
 0.69
 0.62
 0.70
 0.65
 0.63
 0.71
 0.62
 0.63


SE
 0.060
 0.063
 0.065
 0.058
 0.069
 0.063
 0.059
 0.073
 0.063


p Value
 0.0029
 0.0025
 0.072
 5.5E−4
 0.033
 0.034
 3.8E−4
 0.10
 0.044


nCohort Non-persistent
27
50
27
45
55
39
48
58
40


nCohort Persistent
56
30
51
38
25
39
35
22
38


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.467
 0.457
 0.483
 0.467
 0.457
 0.483
 0.467
 0.457
 0.483


Sensitivity
80%
87%
78%
84%
84%
82%
86%
82%
82%


Specificity
37%
32%
33%
33%
29%
33%
33%
28%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 1.04
 1.04
 1.03
 1.04
 1.04
 1.03
 1.04
 1.04
 1.03


Sensitivity
55%
60%
53%
61%
56%
54%
60%
55%
53%


Specificity
59%
56%
56%
58%
53%
54%
56%
52%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 2.82
 2.88
 2.84
 2.82
 2.88
 2.84
 2.82
 2.88
 2.84


Sensitivity
34%
40%
31%
39%
36%
33%
40%
32%
34%


Specificity
93%
84%
85%
87%
80%
82%
85%
78%
82%


OR Quartile 2
 2.41
 3.06
 1.82
 2.67
 2.15
 2.29
 3.00
 1.71
 2.13


p Value
 0.092
 0.070
 0.26
 0.072
 0.22
 0.12
 0.055
 0.39
 0.16


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.866
 0.913
 0.641
 0.915
 0.638
 0.796
 0.978
 0.503
 0.743


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.69
 10.2
 5.15
 7.77
 7.28
 6.56
 9.20
 5.85
 6.12


OR Quartile 3
 1.80
 1.91
 1.41
 2.10
 1.42
 1.36
 1.93
 1.29
 1.23


p Value
 0.21
 0.17
 0.48
 0.099
 0.47
 0.50
 0.15
 0.62
 0.65


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.711
 0.761
 0.551
 0.871
 0.549
 0.559
 0.796
 0.480
 0.505


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.58
 4.79
 3.59
 5.05
 3.67
 3.32
 4.67
 3.44
 2.99


OR Quartile 4
 6.42
 3.50
 2.63
 4.24
 2.25
 2.29
 3.90
 1.62
 2.45


p Value
 0.018
 0.020
 0.12
 0.0086
 0.13
 0.12
 0.011
 0.39
 0.096


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.37
 1.22
 0.780
 1.44
 0.787
 0.796
 1.37
 0.544
 0.853


Upper limit of 95% CI
30.0
10.0
 8.86
12.5
 6.43
 6.56
11.1
 4.80
 7.04
















TABLE 13.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 0.556
 1.19
 0.637
 1.68
 0.639
 1.99


Average
 1.14
 2.27
 1.24
 2.66
 1.27
 2.75


Stdev
 1.57
 2.16
 1.47
 2.35
 1.46
 2.40


p (t-test)

 0.021

 0.0013

 8.6E−4


Min
 0.208
 0.121
 0.208
 0.121
 0.194
 0.121


Max
 7.86
 6.79
 7.86
 6.79
 7.86
 6.79


n (Patient)
25
58
43
40
46
37







sCr only













Median
 0.640
 2.25
 0.911
 2.20
 0.911
 2.20


Average
 1.41
 2.84
 1.57
 2.79
 1.59
 2.85


Stdev
 1.73
 2.32
 1.81
 2.40
 1.80
 2.46


p (t-test)

 0.0024

 0.014

 0.012


Min
 0.121
 0.349
 0.121
 0.349
 0.121
 0.349


Max
 7.86
 6.79
 7.86
 6.79
 7.86
 6.79


n (Patient)
49
31
54
26
56
24







UO only













Median
 0.715
 1.14
 0.790
 1.14
 0.790
 1.14


Average
 1.42
 2.15
 1.52
 2.25
 1.49
 2.32


Stdev
 1.72
 2.15
 1.77
 2.22
 1.73
 2.25


p (t-test)

 0.14

 0.12

 0.071


Min
 0.208
 0.121
 0.208
 0.121
 0.208
 0.121


Max
 7.86
 6.66
 7.86
 6.66
 7.86
 6.66


n (Patient)
26
52
37
41
39
39












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.68
 0.71
 0.60
 0.69
 0.67
 0.59
 0.70
 0.66
 0.60


SE
  0.061
 0.061
 0.067
 0.058
 0.067
 0.064
 0.059
 0.069
 0.064


p Value
  0.0027
 6.8E−4
 0.14
 0.0012
 0.014
 0.16
 8.9E−4
 0.021
 0.11


nCohort Non-persistent
 25
49
26
43
54
37
46
56
39


nCohort Persistent
 58
31
52
40
26
41
37
24
39


Cutoff Quartile 2
  0.467
 0.457
 0.483
 0.467
 0.457
 0.483
 0.467
 0.457
 0.483


Sensitivity
79%
87%
77%
82%
85%
78%
84%
83%
79%


Specificity
36%
33%
31%
33%
30%
30%
33%
29%
31%


Cutoff Quartile 3
  1.04
 1.04
 1.03
 1.04
 1.04
 1.03
 1.04
 1.04
 1.03


Sensitivity
55%
61%
52%
60%
58%
51%
59%
58%
51%


Specificity
60%
57%
54%
58%
54%
51%
57%
54%
51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 2.82
 2.88
 2.84
 2.82
 2.88
 2.84
 2.82
 2.88
 2.84


Sensitivity
34%
42%
 31%
40%
38%
32%
41%
38%
33%


Specificity
96%
86%
 85%
88%
81%
81%
87%
80%
82%


OR Quartile 2
 2.16
 3.27
 1.48
 2.28
 2.32
 1.50
 2.50
 2.00
 1.72


p Value
 0.15
 0.054
 0.46
 0.12
 0.18
 0.43
 0.093
 0.27
 0.30


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.766
 0.978
 0.517
 0.808
 0.687
 0.542
 0.858
 0.590
 0.613


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.07
 11.0
 4.25
 6.41
 7.80
 4.18
 7.29
 6.77
 4.84


OR Quartile 3
 1.85
 2.11
 1.26
 2.08
 1.58
 1.11
 1.91
 1.62
 1.11


p Value
 0.21
 0.11
 0.63
 0.10
 0.34
 0.82
 0.15
 0.33
 0.82


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.712
 0.843
 0.490
 0.868
 0.615
 0.456
 0.793
 0.614
 0.456


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.79
 5.29
 3.24
 5.00
 4.07
 2.70
 4.59
 4.25
 2.69


OR Quartile 4
 12.6
 4.33
 2.44
 5.07
 2.75
 1.99
 4.55
 2.45
 2.29


p Value
 0.016
 0.0073
 0.15
 0.0048
 0.058
 0.20
 0.0060
 0.096
 0.12


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.59
 1.48
 0.724
 1.64
 0.965
 0.694
 1.54
 0.853
 0.796


Upper limit of 95% CI
100
12.7
 8.26
15.6
 7.83
 5.71
13.4
 7.06
 6.56
















TABLE 13.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
219
302
220
302
224
302


Average
224
306
236
326
242
330


Stdev
 86.6
142
94.4
155
101
157


p (t-test)

 0.0024

 0.0013

 0.0033


Min
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8


Max
434
651
446
651
512
651


n (Patient)
 41
 43
 56
 28
 61
 23







sCr only













Median
226
312
235
307
243
307


Average
242
322
248
317
251
313


Stdev
111
136
112
145
112
151


p (t-test)

 0.0085

 0.030

 0.061


Min
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8


Max
651
592
651
592
651
592


n (Patient)
 58
 23
 61
 20
 63
 18







UO only
















Median
243
252
235
257
235
257


Average
254
284
252
301
256
297


Stdev
107
140
106
150
110
148


p (t-test)

 0.28

 0.098

 0.17


Min
108
 73.7
 73.7
105
 73.7
105


Max
590
651
590
651
590
651


n (Patient)
 37
 40
 49
 28
 51
 26












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
  0.67
  0.68
  0.55
  0.67
  0.64
  0.58
  0.66
  0.62
  0.57


SE
  0.059
  0.069
  0.066
  0.065
  0.075
  0.069
  0.070
  0.078
  0.070


p Value
  0.0047
  0.0094
  0.43
  0.0080
  0.059
  0.24
  0.018
  0.13
  0.32


nCohort Non-persistent
 41
 58
 37
 56
 61
 49
 61
 63
 51


nCohort Persistent
 43
 23
 40
 28
 20
 28
 23
 18
 26


Cutoff Quartile 2
169
171
174
169
171
174
169
171
174


Sensitivity
79%
87%
78%
82%
85%
82%
83%
83%
81%


Specificity
29%
29%
27%
29%
28%
29%
28%
27%
27%


Cutoff Quartile 3
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249


Sensitivity
63%
70%
52%
71%
65%
57%
74%
61%
58%


Specificity
63%
57%
51%
61%
54%
53%
59%
52%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
332
331
335
332
331
335
332
331
335


Sensitivity
37%
39%
30%
36%
35%
32%
35%
33%
31%


Specificity
88%
79%
78%
80%
77%
78%
79%
76%
76%


OR Quartile 2
 1.56
 2.76
 1.28
 1.84
 2.19
 1.84
 1.84
 1.85
 1.59


p Value
 0.38
 0.14
 0.65
 0.29
 0.25
 0.30
 0.33
 0.38
 0.43


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.577
 0.725
 0.452
 0.596
 0.568
 0.583
 0.545
 0.475
 0.502


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.23
 10.5
 3.60
 5.68
 8.44
 5.80
 6.18
 7.19
 5.03


OR Quartile 3
 2.92
 3.02
 1.17
 3.86
 2.19
 1.51
 4.08
 1.73
 1.53


p Value
 0.018
 0.035
 0.74
 0.0069
 0.14
 0.39
 0.0094
 0.32
 0.38


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.21
 1.08
 0.477
 1.45
 0.768
 0.591
 1.41
 0.594
 0.592


Upper limit of 95% CI
 7.10
 8.44
 2.85
 10.3
 6.24
 3.84
 11.8
 5.03
 3.98


OR Quartile 4
 4.27
 2.46
 1.55
 2.27
 1.81
 1.64
 1.97
 1.60
 1.44


p Value
 0.011
 0.093
 0.40
 0.11
 0.29
 0.35
 0.21
 0.42
 0.49


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.39
 0.861
 0.552
 0.823
 0.604
 0.579
 0.686
 0.512
 0.503


Upper limit of 95% CI
 13.1
 7.05
 4.37
 6.28
 5.41
 4.62
 5.65
 5.00
 4.15
















TABLE 13.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
215
280
215
293
221
302


Average
214
298
229
320
236
322


Stdev
 82.2
136
 92.0
146
100
147


p (t-test)

 0.0021

 7.3E−4

 0.0023


Min
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8


Max
360
651
446
651
512
651


n (Patient)
 32
 52
 50
 34
 55
 29







sCr only













Median
220
304
226
302
235
307


Average
239
316
244
317
248
316


Stdev
112
132
112
138
111
146


p (t-test)

 0.0080

 0.016

 0.034


Min
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8


Max
651
592
651
592
651
592


n (Patient)
 54
 27
 58
 23
 61
 20







UO only













Median
232
255
229
260
229
260


Average
244
286
244
304
248
302


Stdev
 93.8
140
 94.4
152
101
150


p (t-test)

 0.15

 0.034

 0.064


Min
108
 73.7
 73.7
105
 73.7
105


Max
421
651
429
651
512
651


n (Patient)
 30
 47
 44
 33
 46
 31












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.68
 0.68
 0.57
 0.68
 0.66
 0.60
 0.67
 0.64
 0.59


SE
 0.058
 0.066
 0.066
 0.061
 0.070
 0.066
 0.064
 0.075
 0.067


p Value
 0.0016
 0.0066
 0.29
 0.0024
 0.024
 0.13
 0.0074
 0.068
 0.18


nCohort Non-persistent
 32
 54
 30
 50
 58
 44
 55
 61
 46


nCohort Persistent
 52
 27
 47
 34
 23
 33
 29
 20
 31


Cutoff Quartile 2
169
171
174
169
171
174
169
171
174


Sensitivity
83%
89%
79%
85%
87%
82%
86%
85%
81%


Specificity
38%
31%
30%
32%
29%
30%
31%
28%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249


Sensitivity
60%
67%
53%
68%
65%
58%
69%
60%
58%


Specificity
66%
57%
53%
62%
55%
55%
60%
52%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
332
331
335
332
331
335
332
331
335


Sensitivity
35%
37%
30%
35%
35%
33%
34%
35%
32%


Specificity
91%
80%
80%
82%
78%
80%
80%
77%
78%


OR Quartile 2
 2.87
 3.68
 1.59
 2.73
 2.76
 1.89
 2.80
 2.19
 1.64


p Value
 0.042
 0.055
 0.39
 0.079
 0.14
 0.26
 0.093
 0.25
 0.38


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.04
 0.972
 0.556
 0.891
 0.725
 0.630
 0.842
 0.568
 0.547


Upper limit of 95% CI
 7.90
 13.9
 4.52
 8.36
 10.5
 5.65
 9.29
 8.44
 4.92


OR Quartile 3
 2.82
 2.70
 1.30
 3.41
 2.31
 1.63
 3.33
 1.66
 1.65


p Value
 0.027
 0.044
 0.58
 0.0088
 0.10
 0.29
 0.013
 0.34
 0.29


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.13
 1.03
 0.519
 1.36
 0.847
 0.655
 1.28
 0.593
 0.657


Upper limit of 95% CI
 7.04
 7.08
 3.25
 8.54
 6.29
 4.05
 8.65
 4.62
 4.13


OR Quartile 4
 5.12
 2.30
 1.70
 2.48
 1.85
 1.94
 2.11
 1.81
 1.71


p Value
 0.015
 0.11
 0.34
 0.077
 0.26
 0.21
 0.15
 0.29
 0.30


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.37
 0.826
 0.570
 0.907
 0.642
 0.694
 0.766
 0.604
 0.613


Upper limit of 95% CI
 19.1
 6.40
 5.05
 6.81
 5.31
 5.45
 5.79
 5.41
 4.79
















TABLE 13.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
219
279
219
285
221
285


Average
215
296
230
316
238
314


Stdev
 83.4
135
 92.7
146
102
145


p (t-test)

 0.0034

 0.0014

 0.0059


Min
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8


Max
360
651
446
651
512
651


n (Patient)
 31
 53
 49
 35
 53
 31







sCr only













Median
221
303
231
292
239
302


Average
241
311
245
311
249
309


Stdev
113
132
112
138
112
146


p (t-test)

 0.014

 0.027

 0.056


Min
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8


Max
651
592
651
592
651
592


n (Patient)
 53
 28
 57
 24
 60
 21







UO only













Median
232
255
235
257
235
257


Average
244
286
244
302
249
299


Stdev
 93.8
140
 95.5
150
102
149


p (t-test)

 0.15

 0.042

 0.079


Min
108
 73.7
 73.7
105
 73.7
105


Max
421
651
429
651
512
651


n (Patient)
 30
 47
 43
 34
 45
 32












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.67
 0.66
 0.57
 0.67
 0.64
 0.60
 0.65
 0.62
 0.58


SE
 0.059
 0.066
 0.066
 0.061
 0.070
 0.066
 0.064
 0.074
 0.067


p Value
 0.0030
 0.012
 0.29
 0.0047
 0.042
 0.15
 0.016
 0.11
 0.21


nCohort Non-persistent
 31
 53
 30
 49
 57
 43
 53
 60
 45


nCohort Persistent
 53
 28
 47
 35
 24
 34
 31
 21
 32


Cutoff Quartile 2
169
171
174
169
171
174
169
171
174


Sensitivity
83%
89%
79%
86%
88%
82%
87%
86%
81%


Specificity
39%
32%
30%
33%
30%
30%
32%
28%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249


Sensitivity
58%
64%
53%
66%
62%
56%
65%
57%
56%


Specificity
65%
57%
53%
61%
54%
53%
58%
52%
53%


Cutoff Quartile 4
332
331
335
332
331
335
332
331
335


Sensitivity
34%
36%
30%
34%
33%
32%
32%
33%
31%


Specificity
90%
79%
80%
82%
77%
79%
79%
77%
78%


OR Quartile 2
 3.09
 3.94
 1.59
 2.91
 2.98
 2.02
 3.19
 2.37
 1.76


p Value
 0.030
 0.043
 0.39
 0.062
 0.11
 0.21
 0.058
 0.21
 0.31


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.12
 1.04
 0.556
 0.950
 0.782
 0.676
 0.962
 0.618
 0.588


Upper limit of 95% CI
 8.55
 14.9
 4.52
 8.91
 11.3
 6.05
 10.6
 9.11
 5.27


OR Quartile 3
 2.56
 2.35
 1.30
 3.03
 1.99
 1.46
 2.56
 1.43
 1.47


p Value
 0.044
 0.077
 0.58
 0.016
 0.17
 0.41
 0.044
 0.49
 0.41


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.02
 0.913
 0.519
 1.23
 0.748
 0.590
 1.02
 0.523
 0.591


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.41
 6.04
 3.25
 7.47
 5.28
 3.60
 6.41
 3.88
 3.66


OR Quartile 4
 4.80
 2.12
 1.70
 2.32
 1.69
 1.81
 1.82
 1.64
 1.59


p Value
 0.020
 0.15
 0.34
 0.10
 0.33
 0.26
 0.24
 0.37
 0.38


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.28
 0.766
 0.570
 0.849
 0.592
 0.647
 0.666
 0.554
 0.570


Upper limit of 95% CI
 18.0
 5.88
 5.05
 6.33
 4.84
 5.05
 4.96
 4.87
 4.44
















TABLE 13.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
216
277
211
285
216
283


Average
215
294
227
316
232
316


Stdev
 84.8
135
 91.7
143
 97.1
144


p (t-test)

 0.0043

 9.1E−4

 0.0019


Min
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8


Max
360
651
446
651
446
651


n (Patient)
 30
 54
 47
 37
 50
 34







sCr only













Median
221
302
231
292
235
292


Average
240
308
245
307
248
304


Stdev
115
128
114
134
115
137


p (t-test)

 0.016

 0.032

 0.064


Min
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8


Max
651
592
651
592
651
592


n (Patient)
 51
 30
 55
 26
 57
 24







UO only













Median
243
252
228
260
235
257


Average
245
285
240
302
244
299


Stdev
 95.4
139
 96.0
145
 97.6
146


p (t-test)

 0.18

 0.030

 0.051


Min
108
 73.7
 73.7
105
 73.7
105


Max
421
651
429
651
429
651


n (Patient)
 29
 48
 40
 37
 41
 36












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.67
 0.66
 0.57
 0.68
 0.64
 0.61
 0.67
 0.62
 0.59


SE
 0.059
 0.064
 0.067
 0.060
 0.068
 0.064
 0.061
 0.070
 0.065


p Value
 0.0036
 0.012
 0.33
 0.0024
 0.041
 0.086
 0.0053
 0.093
 0.15


nCohort Non-persistent
 30
 51
 29
 47
 55
 40
 50
 57
 41


nCohort Persistent
 54
 30
 48
 37
 26
 37
 34
 24
 36


Cutoff Quartile 2
169
171
174
169
171
174
169
171
174


Sensitivity
83%
90%
79%
86%
88%
84%
88%
88%
83%


Specificity
40%
33%
31%
34%
31%
32%
34%
30%
32%


Cutoff Quartile 3
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249


Sensitivity
57%
63%
52%
65%
62%
57%
65%
58%
56%


Specificity
63%
57%
52%
62%
55%
55%
60%
53%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
332
331
335
332
331
335
332
331
335


Sensitivity
33%
33%
29%
35%
31%
32%
32%
29%
31%


Specificity
90%
78%
79%
83%
76%
80%
80%
75%
78%


OR Quartile 2
 3.33
 4.50
 1.71
 3.30
 3.43
 2.49
 3.86
 2.98
 2.32


p Value
 0.021
 0.026
 0.32
 0.036
 0.070
 0.10
 0.027
 0.11
 0.13


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.20
 1.19
 0.598
 1.08
 0.905
 0.831
 1.17
 0.782
 0.776


Upper limit of 95% CI
 9.27
 17.0
 4.89
 10.1
 13.0
 7.45
 12.8
 11.3
 6.95


OR Quartile 3
 2.33
 2.28
 1.16
 2.97
 1.92
 1.60
 2.75
 1.56
 1.45


p Value
 0.071
 0.082
 0.75
 0.017
 0.18
 0.30
 0.028
 0.37
 0.42


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.930
 0.901
 0.463
 1.22
 0.741
 0.652
 1.12
 0.593
 0.589


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.83
 5.75
 2.93
 7.28
 4.97
 3.95
 6.78
 4.08
 3.56


OR Quartile 4
 4.50
 1.82
 1.58
 2.64
 1.44
 1.92
 1.91
 1.26
 1.56


p Value
 0.026
 0.25
 0.41
 0.061
 0.50
 0.22
 0.20
 0.67
 0.39


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.20
 0.662
 0.529
 0.955
 0.508
 0.681
 0.705
 0.435
 0.562


Upper limit of 95% CI
 16.8
 5.00
 4.71
 7.30
 4.06
 5.41
 5.19
 3.68
 4.36
















TABLE 13.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
216
268
211
281
216
280


Average
216
291
228
309
233
310


Stdev
 86.9
134
 93.3
142
 98.6
143


p (t-test)

 0.0091

 0.0024

 0.0048


Min
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8


Max
360
651
446
651
446
651


n (Patient)
 28
 56
 45
 39
 48
 36







sCr only













Median
221
302
231
292
235
292


Average
240
308
245
307
248
304


Stdev
115
128
114
134
115
137


p (t-test)

 0.016

 0.032

 0.064


Min
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8
 73.7
 89.8


Max
651
592
651
592
651
592


n (Patient)
 51
 30
 55
 26
 57
 24







UO only













Median
248
249
239
255
239
255


Average
248
282
245
294
246
295


Stdev
 95.3
139
 96.4
145
 97.9
146


p (t-test)

0.26

0.082

0.081


Min
108
 73.7
 73.7
105
 73.7
105


Max
421
651
429
651
429
651


n (Patient)
 28
 49
 38
 39
 40
 37












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.66
 0.66
 0.55
 0.66
 0.64
 0.58
 0.65
 0.62
 0.58


SE
 0.061
 0.064
 0.068
 0.060
 0.068
 0.065
 0.061
 0.070
 0.065


p Value
 0.0096
 0.012
 0.49
 0.0061
 0.041
 0.23
 0.013
 0.093
 0.23


nCohort Non-persistent
 28
 51
 28
 45
 55
 38
 48
 57
 40


nCohort Persistent
 56
 30
 49
 39
 26
 39
 36
 24
 37


Cutoff Quartile 2
169
171
174
169
171
174
169
171
174


Sensitivity
82%
90%
78%
85%
88%
79%
86%
88%
81%


Specificity
39%
33%
29%
33%
31%
29%
33%
30%
30%


Cutoff Quartile 3
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249
249


Sensitivity
55%
63%
51%
62%
62%
54%
61%
58%
54%


Specificity
61%
57%
50%
60%
55%
53%
58%
53%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
332
331
335
332
331
335
332
331
335


Sensitivity
32%
33%
29%
33%
31%
31%
31%
29%
30%


Specificity
89%
78%
79%
82%
76%
79%
79%
75%
78%


OR Quartile 2
 2.98
 4.50
 1.38
 2.75
 3.43
 1.58
 3.10
 2.98
 1.84


p Value
 0.036
 0.026
 0.55
 0.063
 0.070
 0.39
 0.048
 0.11
 0.26


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.07
 1.19
 0.479
 0.945
 0.905
 0.554
 1.01
 0.782
 0.633


Upper limit of 95% CI
 8.26
 17.0
 3.99
 8.00
 13.0
 4.50
 9.49
 11.3
 5.33


OR Quartile 3
 1.92
 2.28
 1.04
 2.40
 1.92
 1.30
 2.20
 1.56
 1.30


p Value
 0.17
 0.082
 0.93
 0.051
 0.18
 0.57
 0.080
 0.37
 0.57


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.761
 0.901
 0.412
 0.997
 0.741
 0.529
 0.911
 0.593
 0.531


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.83
 5.75
 2.64
 5.78
 4.97
 3.17
 5.32
 4.08
 3.19


OR Quartile 4
 3.95
 1.82
 1.47
 2.31
 1.44
 1.67
 1.67
 1.26
 1.46


p Value
 0.042
 0.25
 0.49
 0.10
 0.50
 0.33
 0.31
 0.67
 0.47


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.05
 0.662
 0.491
 0.839
 0.508
 0.592
 0.619
 0.435
 0.524


Upper limit of 95% CI
 14.8
 5.00
 4.38
 6.37
 4.06
 4.69
 4.52
 3.68
 4.06









Example 14. Use of C-C Motif Chemokine 16 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and a urine samples (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. C-C motif chemokine 16 is measured in the earliest samples collected while the patients were in RIFLE I or F by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 14.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 0.0115
 0.0419
 0.0133
 0.0444
 0.0137
 0.0427


Average
 0.0200
 0.195
 0.0235
 0.277
 0.0243
 0.293


Stdev
 0.0260
 0.627
 0.0313
 0.783
 0.0318
 0.813


p (t-test)

 0.031

 0.0074

 0.0059


Min
 4.13E−6
 6.68E−6
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5


Max
 0.113
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
61
22
69
14
70
13







sCr only













Median
 0.0124
 0.0487
 0.0142
 0.0329
 0.0151
 0.0305


Average
 0.0226
 0.283
 0.0258
 0.335
 0.0318
 0.356


Stdev
 0.0281
 0.782
 0.0326
 0.884
 0.0550
 0.983


p (t-test)

 0.0070

 0.0037

 0.0053


Min
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5


Max
 0.113
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.399
 2.98


n (Patient)
66
14
69
11
71
 9







UO only













Median
 0.0108
 0.0473
 0.0133
 0.0671
 0.0133
 0.0671


Average
 0.0214
 0.240
 0.0232
 0.420
 0.0232
 0.420


Stdev
 0.0300
 0.711
 0.0307
 0.966
 0.0307
 0.966


p (t-test)

 0.017

 6.4E−4

 6.4E−4


Min
 4.13E−6
 6.68E−6
 4.13E−6
 0.0305
 4.13E−6
 0.0305


Max
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
61
17
69
 9
69
 9












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.76
 0.78
 0.79
 0.77
 0.71
  0.89
 0.76
 0.64
  0.89


SE
 0.065
 0.077
 0.070
 0.077
 0.092
  0.073
 0.082
 0.10
  0.073


p Value
 9.3E−5
 3.6E−4
 3.0E−5
 3.8E−4
 0.021
  7.2E−8
 0.0017
 0.17
  7.2E−8


nCohort Non-persistent
61
66
61
69
69
 69
70
71
 69


nCohort Persistent
22
14
17
14
11
  9
13
 9
  9


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
  0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
  0.00202


Sensitivity
86%
93%
88%
93%
91%
100%
92%
89%
100%


Specificity
28%
29%
28%
28%
28%
 28%
27%
27%
 28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
  0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
  0.0155


Sensitivity
82%
86%
88%
86%
82%
100%
85%
78%
100%


Specificity
61%
58%
61%
57%
55%
 57%
56%
54%
 57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
  0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
  0.0427


Sensitivity
50%
57%
59%
57%
45%
 78%
54%
33%
 78%


Specificity
82%
82%
82%
80%
78%
 80%
79%
76%
 80%


OR Quartile 2
 2.45
 5.26
 2.90
 4.94
 3.80
  7.34
 4.47
 2.92
  7.34


p Value
 0.19
 0.12
 0.19
 0.14
 0.22
  0.18
 0.16
 0.33
  0.18


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.641
 0.642
 0.598
 0.604
 0.455
  0.407
 0.544
 0.342
  0.407


Upper limit of 95% CI
 9.35
 43.0
 14.0
 40.4
 31.7
  132
 36.8
 25.0
  132


OR Quartile 3
 6.94
 8.14
 11.6
 7.80
 5.52
  24.6
 6.92
 4.03
  24.6


p Value
 0.0015
 0.0090
 0.0021
 0.010
 0.037
  0.029
 0.016
 0.096
  0.029


Lower limit of 95% CI
 2.09
 1.69
 2.42
 1.62
 1.11
  1.38
 1.43
 0.782
  1.38


Upper limit of 95% CI
 23.0
 39.3
 55.2
 37.5
 27.4
440
 33.6
 20.8
440


OR Quartile 4
 4.55
 6.00
 6.49
 5.24
 3.00
 13.8
 4.28
 1.59
 13.8


p Value
 0.0051
 0.0043
 0.0017
 0.0073
 0.10
  0.0022
 0.021
 0.54
  0.0022


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.57
 1.75
 2.02
 1.56
 0.803
  2.57
 1.25
 0.358
  2.57


Upper limit of 95% CI
13.1
20.5
20.8
17.6
11.2
 73.6
14.6
 7.04
 73.6
















TABLE 14.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 0.0112
 0.0411
 0.0128
 0.0427
 0.0133
 0.0389


Average
 0.0197
 0.174
 0.0234
 0.233
 0.0242
 0.243


Stdev
 0.0262
 0.589
 0.0317
 0.713
 0.0322
 0.735


p (t-test)

 0.048

 0.018

 0.016


Min
 4.13E−6
 6.68E−6
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5


Max
 0.113
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
2.98


n (Patient)
58
25
66
17
67
16







sCr only













Median
 0.0124
 0.0487
 0.0142
 0.0329
 0.0151
 0.0305


Average
 0.0226
 0.283
 0.0258
 0.335
 0.0318
 0.356


Stdev
 0.0281
 0.782
 0.0326
 0.884
 0.0550
 0.983


p (t-test)

 0.0070

 0.0037

 0.0053


Min
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5


Max
 0.113
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.399
 2.98


n (Patient)
66
14
69
11
71
 9







UO only













Median
 0.00924
 0.0427
 0.0124
 0.0539
 0.0124
 0.0539


Average
 0.0209
 0.200
 0.0229
 0.300
 0.0229
 0.300


Stdev
 0.0306
 0.642
 0.0313
 0.811
 0.0313
 0.811


p (t-test)

 0.037

 0.0062

 0.0062


Min
 4.13E-6
 6.68E-6
 4.13E−6
 0.00279
 4.13E−6
 0.00279


Max
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
57
21
65
13
65
13












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.75
 0.78
 0.78
 0.75
 0.71
 0.82
 0.73
 0.64
 0.82


SE
 0.063
 0.077
 0.065
 0.073
 0.092
 0.074
 0.076
 0.10
 0.074


p Value
 7.4E−5
 3.6E−4
 1.8E−5
 5.5E−4
 0.021
 1.0E−5
 0.0022
 0.17
 1.0E−5


nCohort Non-persistent
58
66
57
66
69
 65
67
71
 65


nCohort Persistent
25
14
21
17
11
 13
16
 9
 13


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
  0.00202


Sensitivity
88%
93%
90%
94%
91%
100%
94%
89%
100%


Specificity
29%
29%
30%
29%
28%
 29%
28%
27%
 29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155


Sensitivity
80%
86%
86%
82%
82%
 92%
81%
78%
 92%


Specificity
62%
58%
63%
58%
55%
 58%
57%
54%
 58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427


Sensitivity
48%
57%
52%
53%
45%
 62%
50%
33%
 62%


Specificity
83%
82%
82%
80%
78%
 80%
79%
76%
 80%


OR Quartile 2
 3.04
 5.26
 4.04
 6.47
 3.80
 11.3
 5.94
 2.92
 11.3


p Value
 0.10
 0.12
 0.080
 0.080
 0.22
 0.098
 0.095
 0.33
 0.098


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.802
 0.642
 0.845
 0.800
 0.455
 0.641
 0.732
 0.342
 0.641


Upper limit of 95% CI
11.5
43.0
19.3
52.3
31.7
200
48.1
25.0
200


OR Quartile 3
 6.55
 8.14
10.3
 6.33
 5.52
 16.9
 5.68
 4.03
 16.9


p Value
 9.5E−4
0.0090
6.2E−4
0.0069
0.037
 0.0083
 0.011
 0.096
 0.0083


Lower limit of 95% CI
 2.15
 1.69
 2.71
 1.66
 1.11
 2.07
 1.48
 0.782
 2.07


Upper limit of 95% CI
19.9
39.3
39.1
24.2
27.4
138
21.8
20.8
138


OR Quartile 4
 4.43
 6.00
 5.17
 4.59
 3.00
 6.40
 3.79
 1.59
 6.40


p Value
 0.0050
 0.0043
 0.0033
 0.0082
 0.10
 0.0042
0.022
0.54
 0.0042


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.57
 1.75
 1.73
 1.48
 0.803
 1.79
 1.21
 0.358
 1.79


Upper limit of 95% CI
12.5
20.5
15.5
14.2
11.2
 22.8
11.9
 7.04
 22.8
















TABLE 14.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 0.0115
 0.0381
 0.0133
 0.0389
 0.0137
 0.0352


Average
 0.0201
 0.168
 0.0237
 0.220
 0.0245
 0.228


Stdev
 0.0263
 0.578
 0.0318
 0.694
 0.0323
 0.714


p (t-test)

 0.056

 0.023

 0.021


Min
 6.68E−6
 4.13E−6
 4.13E−6
 1.26E−5
 4.13E−6
 1.26E−5


Max
 0.113
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
57
26
65
18
66
17







sCr only













Median
 0.0133
 0.0460
 0.0142
 0.0329
 0.0151
 0.0305


Average
 0.0229
 0.265
 0.0258
 0.335
 0.0318
 0.356


Stdev
 0.0282
 0.757
 0.0326
 0.884
 0.0550
 0.983


p (t-test)

 0.011

 0.0037

 0.0053


Min
 6.68E−6
 4.13E−6
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5


Max
 0.113
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.399
 2.98


n (Patient)
65
15
69
11
71
 9







UO only













Median
 0.0100
 0.0419
 0.0133
 0.0427
 0.0128
 0.0483


Average
 0.0213
 0.190
 0.0236
 0.260
 0.0232
 0.278


Stdev
 0.0308
 0.628
 0.0315
 0.758
 0.0314
 0.783


p (t-test)

 0.046

 0.014

 0.0096


Min
 6.68E−6
 4.13E−6
 6.68E−6
 4.13E−6
 4.13E−6
 1.26E−5


Max
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
56
22
63
15
64
14












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.72
 0.72
 0.74
 0.72
 0.71
 0.73
 0.70
 0.64
 0.78


SE
 0.064
 0.080
 0.067
 0.074
 0.092
 0.080
 0.077
 0.10
 0.077


p Value
 7.8E−4
 0.0056
 3.7E−4
 0.0027
 0.021
 0.0044
 0.0084
 0.17
 2.4E−4


nCohort Non-persistent
57
65
56
65
69
63
66
71
64


nCohort Persistent
26
15
22
18
11
15
17
 9
14


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202


Sensitivity
85%
87%
86%
89%
91%
87%
88%
89%
93%


Specificity
28%
28%
29%
28%
28%
27%
27%
27%
28%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155


Sensitivity
77%
80%
82%
78%
82%
80%
76%
78%
86%


Specificity
61%
57%
62%
57%
55%
57%
56%
54%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427


Sensitivity
46%
53%
50%
50%
45%
53%
47%
33%
57%


Specificity
82%
82%
82%
80%
78%
79%
79%
76%
80%


OR Quartile 2
 2.15
 2.49
 2.53
 3.06
 3.80
 2.40
 2.81
 2.92
 5.09


p Value
 0.22
 0.26
 0.18
 0.16
 0.22
 0.28
 0.20
 0.33
 0.13


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.639
 0.510
 0.658
 0.639
 0.455
 0.490
 0.584
 0.342
 0.619


Upper limit of 95% CI
 7.21
 12.1
 9.76
 14.7
 31.7
 11.8
 13.5
 25.0
 41.8


OR Quartile 3
 5.30
 5.29
 7.50
 4.62
 5.52
 5.33
 4.15
 4.03
 8.22


p Value
 0.0020
 0.016
 0.0011
 0.013
 0.037
 0.016
 0.022
 0.096
 0.0088


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.84
 1.36
 2.23
 1.37
 1.11
 1.37
 1.22
 0.782
 1.70


Upper limit of 95% CI
 15.3
 20.5
 25.2
 15.6
 27.4
 20.8
 14.1
 20.8
 39.8


OR Quartile 4
 4.03
 5.05
 4.60
 4.00
 3.00
 4.40
 3.30
 1.59
 5.23


p Value
 0.0080
 0.0078
 0.0056
 0.014
 0.10
 0.014
 0.037
 0.54
 0.0079


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.44
 1.53
 1.56
 1.32
 0.803
 1.35
 1.08
 0.358
 1.54


Upper limit of 95% CI
11.3
16.6
13.5
12.1
11.2
14.4
10.1
 7.04
17.7
















TABLE 14.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 0.0115
 0.0381
 0.0128
 0.0427
 0.0133
 0.0389


Average
 0.0201
 0.168
 0.0233
 0.211
 0.0241
 0.219


Stdev
 0.0263
 0.578
 0.0319
 0.675
 0.0324
 0.694


p (t-test)

 0.056

 0.027

 0.025


Min
 6.68E−6
 4.13E−6
 4.13E−6
 1.26E−5
 4.13E−6
 1.26E−5


Max
 0.113
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
57
26
64
19
65
18







sCr only













Median
 0.0133
 0.0460
 0.0137
 0.0395
 0.0146
 0.0317


Average
 0.0229
 0.265
 0.0254
 0.311
 0.0315
 0.325


Stdev
 0.0282
 0.757
 0.0326
 0.847
 0.0553
 0.932


p (t-test)

 0.011

 0.0055

 0.0083


Min
 6.68E−6
 4.13E−6
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5
 4.13E−6
 1.60E−5


Max
 0.113
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.399
 2.98


n (Patient)
65
15
68
12
70
10







UO only













Median
 0.0100
 0.0419
 0.0128
 0.0471
 0.0124
 0.0514


Average
 0.0213
 0.190
 0.0231
 0.247
 0.0228
 0.263


Stdev
 0.0308
 0.628
 0.0316
 0.734
 0.0315
 0.757


p (t-test)

 0.046

 0.017

 0.012


Min
 6.68E−6
 4.13E−6
 6.68E−6
 4.13E−6
 4.13E−6
 1.26E−5


Max
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
56
22
62
16
63
15












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.72
 0.72
 0.74
 0.73
 0.73
 0.74
 0.71
 0.67
 0.79


SE
 0.064
 0.080
 0.067
 0.071
 0.088
 0.076
 0.074
 0.099
 0.073


p Value
 7.8E−4
 0.0056
 3.7E−4
 0.0010
 0.0097
 0.0017
 0.0037
 0.094
 6.7E−5


nCohort Non-persistent
57
65
56
64
68
62
65
70
63


nCohort Persistent
26
15
22
19
12
16
18
10
15


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202


Sensitivity
85%
87%
86%
89%
92%
88%
89%
90%
93%


Specificity
28%
28%
29%
28%
28%
27%
28%
27%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155


Sensitivity
77%
80%
82%
79%
83%
81%
78%
80%
87%


Specificity
61%
57%
62%
58%
56%
58%
57%
54%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427


Sensitivity
46%
53%
50%
53%
50%
56%
50%
40%
60%


Specificity
82%
82%
82%
81%
79%
81%
80%
77%
81%


OR Quartile 2
 2.15
 2.49
 2.53
 3.33
 4.27
 2.64
 3.06
 3.35
 5.60


p Value
 0.22
 0.26
 0.18
 0.13
 0.18
 0.23
 0.16
 0.27
 0.11


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.639
 0.510
 0.658
 0.697
 0.515
 0.543
 0.639
 0.398
 0.685


Upper limit of 95% CI
 7.21
 12.1
 9.76
 15.9
 35.3
 12.9
 14.7
 28.3
 45.8


OR Quartile 3
 5.30
 5.29
 7.50
 5.14
 6.33
 6.00
 4.62
 4.75
 9.25


p Value
 0.0020
 0.016
 0.0011
 0.0080
 0.023
 0.0094
 0.013
 0.059
 0.0055


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.84
 1.36
 2.23
 1.53
 1.29
 1.55
 1.37
 0.941
 1.92


Upper limit of 95% CI
 15.3
 20.5
 25.2
 17.2
 31.1
 23.2
 15.6
 24.0
 44.5


OR Quartile 4
 4.03
 5.05
 4.60
 4.81
 3.86
 5.36
 4.00
 2.25
 6.38


p Value
 0.0080
 0.0078
 0.0056
 0.0050
 0.038
 0.0050
 0.014
 0.25
 0.0027


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.44
 1.53
 1.56
 1.61
 1.08
 1.66
 1.32
 0.565
 1.90


Upper limit of 95% CI
11.3
16.6
13.5
14.4
13.8
17.3
12.1
 8.97
21.4
















TABLE 14.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 0.0100
 0.0427
 0.0120
 0.0460
 0.0128
 0.0427


Average
 0.0171
 0.158
 0.0212
 0.184
 0.0225
 0.196


Stdev
 0.0234
 0.547
 0.0305
 0.614
 0.0311
 0.643


p (t-test)

 0.061

 0.042

 0.036


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6


Max
 0.113
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
54
29
60
23
62
21







sCr only













Median
 0.0124
 0.0487
 0.0133
 0.0460
 0.0137
 0.0395


Average
 0.0219
 0.253
 0.0245
 0.294
 0.0253
 0.312


Stdev
 0.0272
 0.733
 0.0320
 0.813
 0.0324
 0.846


p (t-test)

 0.012

 0.0069

 0.0054


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
4.13E−6
1.60E−5
4.13E−6
1.60E−5


Max
 0.113
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
64
16
67
13
68
12







UO only













Median
 0.00924
 0.0444
 0.0116
 0.0467
 0.0108
 0.0473


Average
 0.0196
 0.180
 0.0216
 0.206
 0.0213
 0.217


Stdev
 0.0298
 0.601
 0.0311
 0.658
 0.0309
 0.674


p (t-test)

 0.052

 0.034

 0.027


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6


Max
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
54
24
58
20
59
19












Resistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.76
 0.74
 0.77
 0.75
 0.75
 0.74
 0.72
 0.73
 0.78


SE
 0.058
 0.076
 0.062
 0.065
 0.082
 0.069
 0.069
 0.087
 0.067


p Value
6.8E−6
 0.0013
1.7E−5
1.4E−4
 0.0023
4.9E−4
 0.0015
 0.0081
2.1E−5


nCohort Non-persistent
54
64
54
60
67
58
62
68
59


nCohort Persistent
29
16
24
23
13
20
21
12
19


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202


Sensitivity
86%
88%
88%
87%
92%
85%
86%
92%
89%


Specificity
30%
28%
30%
28%
28%
28%
27%
28%
29%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155


Sensitivity
79%
81%
83%
78%
85%
80%
76%
83%
84%


Specificity
65%
58%
65%
60%
57%
60%
58%
56%
61%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427


Sensitivity
52%
56%
54%
57%
54%
60%
52%
50%
63%


Specificity
87%
83%
85%
85%
81%
84%
82%
79%
85%


OR Quartile 2
 2.63
 2.74
 2.95
 2.64
 4.75
 2.16
 2.27
 4.27
 3.44


p Value
 0.12
 0.21
 0.11
 0.16
 0.15
 0.27
 0.23
 0.18
 0.12


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.788
 0.565
 0.769
 0.692
 0.577
 0.556
 0.591
 0.515
 0.716


Upper limit of 95% CI
 8.79
13.3
11.3
10.0
39.1
 8.38
 8.69
35.3
16.5


OR Quartile 3
 7.06
 5.94
 9.21
 5.40
 7.21
 6.09
 4.43
 6.33
 8.35


p Value
2.9E−4
0.0097
3.2E−4
0.0031
0.014
0.0036
0.0094
0.023
0.0019


Lower limit of 95% CI
 2.45
 1.54
 2.75
 1.77
 1.48
 1.81
 1.44
 1.29
 2.19


Upper limit of 95% CI
20.3
22.9
30.9
16.5
35.1
20.5
13.6
31.1
31.9


OR Quartile 4
7.19
 6.19
 6.80
 7.37
 4.85
 8.17
 5.10
 3.86
 9.52


p Value
3.3E−4
0.0025
6.3E−4
3.2E−4
 0.013
3.2E−4
 0.0030
 0.038
1.6E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
 2.45
 1.90
 2.26
 2.48
 1.39
 2.61
 1.74
 1.08
 2.95


Upper limit of 95% CI
21.1
20.2
20.4
21.8
16.9
25.6
15.0
13.8
30.7
















TABLE 14.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
7.94
12.2
8.73
11.4
8.89
12.2


Average
10.6
15.9
11.3
15.3
11.3
15.7


Stdev
6.93
11.5
7.58
12.1
7.52
12.4


p (t-test)

0.012

0.094

0.071


Min
1.53
1.32
1.53
1.32
1.53
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
61
23
68
16
69
15







sCr only













Median
9.00
11.4
9.75
10.0
9.66
10.5


Average
11.9
13.2
12.1
12.2
12.1
12.4


Stdev
8.56
10.0
8.54
10.4
8.49
10.9


p (t-test)

0.62

0.99

0.91


Min
1.53
1.32
1.53
1.32
1.53
1.32


Max
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
67
14
69
12
70
11







UO only













Median
9.23
10.7
9.56
14.2
9.56
14.2


Average
11.1
15.9
11.6
15.8
11.6
15.8


Stdev
7.07
11.9
7.66
12.9
7.66
12.9


p (t-test)

0.040

0.14

0.14


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
37.2
38.9
38.9
36.8
38.9
36.8


n (Patient)
60
17
67
10
67
10












Persistence Period Durtion (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.65
0.54
0.60
0.58
0.49
0.54
0.59
0.49
0.54


SE
0.070
0.087
0.081
0.082
0.091
0.10
0.084
0.095
0.10


p Value
0.039
0.63
0.22
0.31
0.88
0.65
0.29
0.89
0.65


nCohort Non-persistent
61
67
60
68
69
67
69
70
67


nCohort Persistent
23
14
17
16
12
10
15
11
10


Cutoff Quartile 2
6.19
6.19
6.24
6.19
6.19
6.24
6.19
6.19
6.24


Sensitivity
83%
79%
76%
75%
75%
60%
73%
73%
60%


Specificity
28%
25%
25%
25%
25%
22%
25%
24%
22%


Cutoff Quartile 3
9.66
9.75
9.75
9.66
9.75
9.75
9.66
9.75
9.75


Sensitivity
65%
57%
59%
62%
50%
60%
67%
55%
60%


Specificity
56%
51%
52%
53%
49%
51%
54%
50%
51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0
15.9
15.9
16.0
15.9
15.9
16.0
15.9
15.9


Sensitivity
39%
36%
41%
38%
25%
50%
40%
27%
50%


Specificity
80%
76%
78%
78%
74%
78%
78%
74%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.84
1.25
1.08
1.00
0.981
0.433
0.899
0.855
0.433


p Value
0.33
0.76
0.90
1.0
0.98
0.24
0.87
0.83
0.24


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.545
0.310
0.306
0.284
0.238
0.108
0.253
0.204
0.108


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.18
5.01
3.83
3.52
4.04
1.74
3.20
3.59
1.74


OR Quartile 3
2.36
1.37
1.53
1.88
0.971
1.55
2.31
1.20
1.55


p Value
0.091
0.59
0.45
0.27
0.96
0.53
0.16
0.78
0.53


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.872
0.430
0.513
0.613
0.285
0.400
0.715
0.335
0.400


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.39
4.39
4.54
5.74
3.31
5.98
7.47
4.30
5.98


OR Quartile 4
2.62
1.77
2.53
2.12
0.944
3.47
2.40
1.08
3.47


p Value
0.071
0.36
0.11
0.21
0.94
0.075
0.15
0.91
0.075


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.920
0.518
0.806
0.662
0.230
0.884
0.737
0.259
0.884


Upper limit of 95% CI
7.49
6.05
7.95
6.78
3.88
13.6
7.82
4.53
13.6
















TABLE 14.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
8.17
11.5
8.89
10.5
8.94
11.4


Average
10.7
15.5
11.4
14.8
11.3
15.1


Stdev
6.97
11.4
7.61
11.9
7.56
12.2


p (t-test)

0.021

0.14

0.12


Min
1.53
1.32
1.53
1.32
1.53
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
60
24
67
17
68
16







sCr only













Median
9.00
11.4
9.75
10.0
9.66
10.5


Average
11.9
13.2
12.1
12.2
12.1
12.4


Stdev
8.56
10.0
8.54
10.4
8.49
10.9


p (t-test)

0.62

0.99

0.91


Min
1.53
1.32
1.53
1.32
1.53
1.32


Max
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
67
14
69
12
70
11







UO only













Median
9.23
10.7
9.56
14.2
9.56
14.2


Average
10.7
16.5
11.3
16.8
11.3
16.8


Stdev
6.27
12.5
7.05
13.6
7.05
13.6


p (t-test)

0.0094

0.038

0.038


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
58
19
65
12
65
12












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.63
0.54
0.61
0.56
0.49
0.56
0.57
0.49
0.56


SE
0.070
0.087
0.077
0.080
0.091
0.093
0.082
0.095
0.093


p Value
0.063
0.63
0.15
0.42
0.88
0.49
0.41
0.89
0.49


nCohort Non-persistent
60
67
58
67
69
65
68
70
65


nCohort Persistent
24
14
19
17
12
12
16
11
12


Cutoff Quartile 2
6.19
6.19
6.24
6.19
6.19
6.24
6.19
6.19
6.24


Sensitivity
83%
79%
79%
76%
75%
67%
75%
73%
67%


Specificity
28%
25%
26%
25%
25%
23%
25%
24%
23%


Cutoff Quartile 3
9.66
9.75
9.75
9.66
9.75
9.75
9.66
9.75
9.75


Sensitivity
62%
57%
58%
59%
50%
58%
62%
55%
58%


Specificity
55%
51%
52%
52%
49%
51%
53%
50%
51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0
15.9
15.9
16.0
15.9
15.9
16.0
15.9
15.9


Sensitivity
38%
36%
42%
35%
25%
50%
38%
27%
50%


Specificity
80%
76%
79%
78%
74%
78%
78%
74%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.98
1.25
1.31
1.10
0.981
0.600
1.00
0.855
0.600


p Value
0.27
0.76
0.67
0.88
0.98
0.45
1.0
0.83
0.45


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.589
0.310
0.375
0.317
0.238
0.158
0.284
0.204
0.158


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.64
5.01
4.56
3.85
4.04
2.27
3.52
3.59
2.27


OR Quartile 3
2.04
1.37
1.47
1.56
0.971
1.44
1.88
1.20
1.44


p Value
0.15
0.59
0.47
0.42
0.96
0.56
0.27
0.78
0.56


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.772
0.430
0.517
0.532
0.285
0.415
0.613
0.335
0.415


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.38
4.39
4.19
4.59
3.31
5.02
5.74
4.30
5.02


OR Quartile 4
2.40
1.77
2.79
1.89
0.944
3.64
2.12
1.08
3.64


p Value
0.099
0.36
0.070
0.28
0.94
0.047
0.21
0.91
0.047


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.848
0.518
0.918
0.600
0.230
1.02
0.662
0.259
1.02


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.80
6.05
8.46
5.96
3.88
13.1
6.78
4.53
13.1
















TABLE 14.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
8.41
10.7
8.73
10.6
8.89
10.7


Average
10.8
15.0
11.4
14.6
11.4
14.9


Stdev
6.95
11.4
7.67
11.6
7.61
11.9


p (t-test)

0.043

0.17

0.13


Min
1.53
1.32
1.53
1.32
1.53
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
59
25
66
18
67
17







sCr only













Median
9.37
10.5
9.75
10.0
9.66
10.5


Average
12.0
12.5
12.1
12.2
12.1
12.4


Stdev
8.55
10.0
8.54
10.4
8.49
10.9


p (t-test)

0.86

0.99

0.91


Min
1.53
1.32
1.53
1.32
1.53
1.32


Max
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
66
15
69
12
70
11







UO only













Median
9.56
10.3
9.56
10.3
9.28
10.7


Average
10.9
15.8
11.4
15.4
11.3
16.4


Stdev
6.23
12.6
7.08
13.2
7.11
13.2


p (t-test)

0.024

0.12

0.050


Min
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32
1.62
1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
57
20
63
14
64
13












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.60
0.50
0.58
0.57
0.49
0.52
0.57
0.49
0.57


SE
0.069
0.083
0.076
0.078
0.091
0.087
0.080
0.095
0.090


p Value
0.14
0.96
0.32
0.38
0.88
0.77
0.37
0.89
0.45


nCohort Non-persistent
59
66
57
66
69
63
67
70
64


nCohort Persistent
25
15
20
18
12
14
17
11
13


Cutoff Quartile 2
6.19
6.19
6.24
6.19
6.19
6.24
6.19
6.19
6.24


Sensitivity
80%
73%
75%
78%
75%
64%
76%
73%
69%


Specificity
27%
24%
25%
26%
25%
22%
25%
24%
23%


Cutoff Quartile 3
9.66
9.75
9.75
9.66
9.75
9.75
9.66
9.75
9.75


Sensitivity
60%
53%
55%
61%
50%
57%
65%
55%
62%


Specificity
54%
50%
51%
53%
49%
51%
54%
50%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0
15.9
15.9
16.0
15.9
15.9
16.0
15.9
15.9


Sensitivity
36%
33%
40%
33%
25%
43%
35%
27%
46%


Specificity
80%
76%
79%
77%
74%
78%
78%
74%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.49
0.880
0.977
1.21
0.981
0.514
1.10
0.855
0.689


p Value
0.49
0.84
0.97
0.76
0.98
0.29
0.88
0.83
0.58


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.478
0.246
0.301
0.351
0.238
0.148
0.317
0.204
0.185


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.63
3.15
3.17
4.20
4.04
1.78
3.85
3.59
2.56


OR Quartile 3
1.78
1.14
1.27
1.77
0.971
1.38
2.13
1.20
1.70


p Value
0.24
0.82
0.65
0.29
0.96
0.59
0.18
0.78
0.39


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.688
0.372
0.455
0.612
0.285
0.428
0.705
0.335
0.503


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.60
3.51
3.52
5.14
3.31
4.43
6.43
4.30
5.77


OR Quartile 4
2.20
1.56
2.50
1.70
0.944
2.62
1.89
1.08
3.06


p Value
0.13
0.47
0.10
0.36
0.94
0.12
0.28
0.91
0.077


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.784
0.465
0.834
0.546
0.230
0.780
0.600
0.259
0.885


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.19
5.25
7.50
5.30
3.88
8.84
5.96
4.53
10.6
















TABLE 14.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 8.41
10.7
 8.56
10.7
 8.73
11.5


Average
10.8
15.0
11.2
15.0
11.2
15.3


Stdev
 6.95
11.4
 7.60
11.4
7.55
11.7


p (t-test)

0.043

0.094

 0.074


Min
 1.53
 1.32
 1.53
 1.32
 1.53
 1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
59
25
65
19
66
18







sCr only













Median
 9.37
10.5
 9.37
10.5
 9.56
11.4


Average
12.0
12.5
12.0
13.0
11.9
13.2


Stdev
 8.55
10.0
 8.51
10.4
 8.45
10.8


p (t-test)

 0.86

 0.71

 0.64


Min
1.53
 1.32
 1.53
 1.32
 1.53
 1.32


Max
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
66
15
68
13
69
12







UO only













Median
 9.56
10.3
 9.28
10.7
 9.00
14.6


Average
10.9
15.8
11.3
15.9
11.1
16.8


Stdev
 6.23
12.6
 7.00
12.8
7.02
12.7


p (t-test)

 0.024

 0.060

 0.023


Min
 1.62
 1.32
1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
57
20
62
15
63
14












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.60
 0.50
 0.58
 0.59
 0.52
 0.55
 0.60
 0.52
 0.60


SE
 0.069
 0.083
 0.076
 0.077
 0.089
 0.085
 0.078
 0.092
 0.087


p Value
 0.14
 0.96
 0.32
 0.23
 0.82
 0.53
 0.22
 0.80
 0.27


nCohort Non-persistent
59
66
57
65
68
62
66
69
63


nCohort Persistent
25
15
20
19
13
15
18
12
14


Cutoff Quartile 2
 6.19
 6.19
 6.24
 6.19
 6.19
 6.24
 6.19
 6.19
 6.24


Sensitivity
80%
73%
75%
79%
77%
67%
78%
75%
71%


Specificity
27%
24%
25%
26%
25%
23%
26%
25%
24%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 9.66
 9.75
 9.75
 9.66
 9.75
 9.75
 9.66
 9.75
 9.75


Sensitivity
60%
53%
55%
63%
54%
60%
67%
58%
64%


Specificity
54%
50%
51%
54%
50%
52%
55%
51%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0
15.9
15.9
16.0
15.9
15.9
16.0
15.9
15.9


Sensitivity
36%
33%
40%
37%
31%
47%
39%
33%
50%


Specificity
80%
76%
79%
78%
75%
79%
79%
75%
79%


OR Quartile 2
 1.49
 0.880
 0.977
 1.33
 1.11
 0.583
 1.21
 0.981
 0.781


p Value
 0.49
 0.84
 0.97
 0.65
 0.88
 0.39
 0.76
 0.98
 0.71


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.478
 0.246
 0.301
 0.387
 0.273
 0.171
 0.351
 0.238
 0.214


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.63
 3.15
 3.17
 4.56
 4.52
 1.99
 4.20
 4.04
 2.86


OR Quartile 3
 1.78
 1.14
 1.27
 2.00
 1.17
 1.60
 2.40
 1.44
 1.98


p Value
 0.24
 0.82
 0.65
 0.20
 0.80
 0.42
 0.12
 0.56
 0.26


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.688
 0.372
 0.455
 0.698
 0.355
 0.508
 0.804
 0.417
 0.596


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.60
 3.51
 3.52
 5.73
 3.83
 5.04
 7.16
 4.98
 6.57


OR Quartile 4
 2.20
 1.56
 2.50
 2.12
 1.33
 3.30
 2.36
 1.53
 3.85


p Value
 0.13
 0.47
 0.10
 0.18
 0.66
 0.048
 0.13
 0.53
 0.029


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.784
 0.465
 0.834
 0.705
 0.364
 1.01
 0.774
 0.409
 1.14


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.19
 5.25
 7.50
 6.41
 4.89
 10.8
 7.22
 5.72
 12.9
















TABLE 14.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 8.56
10.5
 8.73
10.2
 8.73
10.6


Average
11.0
14.4
11.4
13.9
11.3
14.5


Stdev
 7.01
11.2
 7.72
10.9
 7.62
11.3


p (t-test)

 0.096

 0.24

 0.16


Min
 1.53
 1.32
 1.53
 1.32
 1.53
 1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
57
27
62
22
64
20







 sCr only













Median
 9.37
10.5
 9.37
10.5
 9.56
11.4


Average
12.0
12.5
12.0
13.0
11.9
13.2


Stdev
 8.55
10.0
 8.51
10.4
 8.45
10.8


p (t-test)

 0.86

 0.71

 0.64


Min
 1.53
 1.32
 1.53
 1.32
 1.53
 1.32


Max
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
66
15
68
13
69
12







 UO only













Median
 9.23
10.7
 9.56
10.3
 9.23
10.7


Average
10.8
15.7
11.3
14.8
11.2
15.5


Stdev
 6.29
12.3
 7.15
11.9
 7.18
11.9


p (t-test)

 0.027

 0.13

 0.064


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
56
21
59
18
60
17












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.57
 0.50
 0.58
 0.55
 0.52
 0.55
 0.56
 0.52
 0.58


SE
 0.068
 0.083
 0.075
 0.073
 0.089
 0.079
 0.075
 0.092
 0.081


p Value
 0.29
 0.96
 0.27
 0.47
 0.82
 0.56
 0.40
 0.80
 0.31


nCohort Non-persistent
57
66
56
62
68
59
64
69
60


nCohort Persistent
27
15
21
22
13
18
20
12
17


Cutoff Quartile 2
 6.19
 6.19
 6.24
 6.19
 6.19
 6.24
 6.19
 6.19
 6.24


Sensitivity
78%
73%
76%
77%
77%
72%
75%
75%
76%


Specificity
26%
24%
25%
26%
25%
24%
25%
25%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 9.66
 9.75
 9.75
 9.66
 9.75
 9.75
 9.66
 9.75
 9.75


Sensitivity
56%
53%
57%
55%
54%
56%
60%
58%
59%


Specificity
53%
50%
52%
52%
50%
51%
53%
51%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0
15.9
15.9
16.0
15.9
15.9
16.0
15.9
15.9


Sensitivity
33%
33%
38%
32%
31%
39%
35%
33%
41%


Specificity
79%
76%
79%
77%
75%
78%
78%
75%
78%


OR Quartile 2
 1.25
 0.880
 1.07
 1.18
 1.11
 0.809
 1.00
 0.981
 1.08


p Value
 0.69
 0.84
 0.91
 0.77
 0.88
 0.73
 1.0
 0.98
 0.90


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.424
 0.246
 0.330
 0.375
 0.273
 0.245
 0.314
 0.238
 0.306


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.69
 3.15
 3.44
 3.73
 4.52
 2.67
 3.19
 4.04
 3.83


OR Quartile 3
 1.39
 1.14
 1.43
 1.28
 1.17
 1.29
 1.70
 1.44
 1.53


p Value
 0.48
 0.82
 0.49
 0.62
 0.80
 0.63
 0.31
 0.56
 0.45


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.553
 0.372
 0.521
 0.482
 0.355
 0.448
 0.613
 0.417
 0.513


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.49
 3.51
 3.94
 3.40
 3.83
 3.73
 4.72
 4.98
 4.54


OR Quartile 4
 1.88
 1.56
 2.26
 1.60
 1.33
 2.25
 1.92
 1.53
 2.53


p Value
 0.23
 0.47
 0.14
 0.39
 0.66
 0.16
 0.24
 0.53
 0.11


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.674
 0.465
 0.760
 0.545
 0.364
 0.727
 0.644
 0.409
 0.806


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.21
 5.25
 6.70
 4.70
 4.89
 6.97
 5.74
 5.72
 7.95









Example 15. Use of C-C Motif Chemokine 16 for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and a urine samples (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. C-C motif chemokine 16 is measured in the earliest samples collected while the patients were in RIFLE I or F by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 15.1







Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output









RIFLE criteria.












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 0.0100
 0.0299
 0.00924
 0.0411
 0.0100
 0.0352


Average
 0.0164
 0.108
 0.0204
 0.162
 0.0221
 0.182


Stdev
 0.0191
 0.442
 0.0311
 0.568
 0.0317
 0.615


p (t-test)

 0.20

 0.065

 0.046


Min
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
1.60E−5


Max
 0.0865
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
38
45
56
27
60
23







sCr only













Median
 0.0108
 0.0460
 0.0133
 0.0329
 0.0146
 0.0265


Average
 0.0193
 0.190
 0.0239
 0.211
 0.0312
 0.216


Stdev
 0.0233
 0.613
 0.0316
 0.676
 0.0566
 0.737


p (t-test)

 0.038

 0.032

 0.046


Min
4.13E−6
1.26E−5
4.13E−6
1.26E−5
4.13E−6
1.26E−5


Max
 0.106
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.399
 2.98


n (Patient)
57
23
61
19
64
16







UO Only













Median
 0.0142
 0.0170
 0.0153
 0.0170
 0.0153
 0.0170


Average
 0.0264
 0.104
 0.0264
 0.141
 0.0264
 0.149


Stdev
 0.0352
 0.453
 0.0342
 0.550
 0.0337
 0.570


p (t-test)

 0.32

 0.15

 0.13


Min
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6


Max
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
35
43
49
29
51
27












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.65
 0.75
 0.54
 0.76
 0.69
 0.56
 0.75
 0.63
 0.56


SE
 0.060
 0.065
 0.066
 0.060
 0.074
 0.068
 0.065
 0.082
 0.069


p Value
 0.0094
1.3E-4
 0.50
2.1E-5
 0.0086
 0.38
1.6E-4
 0.12
 0.43


nCohort Non-persistent
38
57
35
56
61
49
60
64
51


nCohort Persistent
45
23
43
27
19
29
23
16
27


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202


Sensitivity
76%
91%
72%
93%
89%
76%
96%
88%
74%


Specificity
24%
32%
20%
32%
30%
24%
32%
28%
24%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155


Sensitivity
 62%
 74%
 53%
 78%
 74%
 52%
 78%
 69%
 52%


Specificity
 63%
 60%
 54%
 62%
 57%
 51%
 60%
 55%
 51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427


Sensitivity
38%
52%
30%
48%
47%
34%
43%
38%
33%


Specificity
87%
86%
77%
84%
82%
78%
80%
78%
76%


OR Quartile 2
 0.959
 4.85
 0.646
 5.92
 3.56
 1.02
 10.2
 2.74
 0.879


p Value
 0.94
 0.047
 0.42
 0.024
 0.11
 0.97
 0.028
 0.21
 0.81


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.349
 1.02
 0.223
 1.26
 0.744
 0.349
 1.28
 0.565
 0.299


Upper limit of 95% CI
 2.64
 22.9
 1.87
 27.8
 17.0
 2.98
 81.3
 13.3
 2.58


OR Quartile 3
 2.82
 4.19
 1.37
 5.83
 3.77
 1.12
 5.40
 2.66
 1.12


p Value
 0.023
 0.0087
 0.50
 0.0011
 0.023
 0.81
 0.0031
 0.10
 0.81


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.16
 1.44
 0.558
 2.03
 1.21
 0.445
 1.77
 0.827
 0.440


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.90
 12.2
 3.34
 16.8
 11.8
 2.80
 16.5
 8.52
 2.85


OR Quartile 4
 4.01
 6.68
 1.46
 4.85
 4.09
 1.82
 3.08
 2.14
 1.62


p Value
 0.015
 7.8E-4
 0.47
 0.0029
 0.013
 0.25
 0.034
 0.20
 0.36


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.31
 2.21
 0.526
 1.72
 1.35
 0.657
 1.09
 0.663
 0.581


Upper limit of 95% CI
12.2
20.2
 4.07
13.7
12.4
 5.03
 8.70
 6.92
 4.55
















TABLE 15.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 0.0137
 0.0182
 0.0100
 0.0329
 0.0112
 0.0305


Average
 0.0175
 0.0939
 0.0209
 0.135
 0.0228
 0.147


Stdev
 0.0194
 0.408
 0.0322
 0.515
 0.0328
 0.549


p (t-test)

 0.31

 0.12

 0.099


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
 0.0865
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
30
53
50
33
54
29







sCr only













Median
 0.0133
 0.0305
 0.0137
 0.0302
 0.0146
 0.0262


Average
 0.0199
 0.163
 0.0245
 0.184
 0.0316
 0.195


Stdev
 0.0238
 0.568
 0.0322
 0.630
 0.0575
 0.695


p (t-test)

 0.069

 0.056

0.068


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
4.13E−6
1.26E−5


Max
 0.106
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.399
 2.98


n (Patient)
53
27
58
22
62
18







UO only













Median
 0.0142
 0.0170
 0.0147
 0.0189
 0.0147
 0.0189


Average
 0.0280
 0.0933
 0.0268
 0.124
 0.0268
 0.130


Stdev
 0.0374
 0.425
 0.0354
 0.509
 0.0349
 0.524


p (t-test)

 0.41

 0.21

 0.19


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E-6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
29
49
44
34
46
32












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.60
 0.69
 0.52
 0.71
 0.65
 0.55
 0.69
 0.62
 0.55


SE
 0.063
 0.065
 0.068
 0.060
 0.072
 0.066
 0.063
 0.078
 0.067


p Value
 0.10
 0.0034
 0.78
5.5E−4
 0.038
 0.43
 0.0032
 0.13
 0.48


nCohort Non-persistent
30
53
29
50
58
44
54
62
46


nCohort Persistent
53
27
49
33
22
34
29
18
32


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202


Sensitivity
75%
89%
71%
91%
86%
76%
93%
89%
75%


Specificity
23%
32%
17%
34%
29%
25%
33%
29%
24%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155


Sensitivity
57%
 67%
53%
70%
68%
53%
69%
67%
53%


Specificity
60%
 58%
55%
62%
57%
52%
59%
55%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427


Sensitivity
34%
44%
29%
42%
41%
32%
 38%
33%
31%


Specificity
87%
85%
76%
84%
81%
77%
 80%
77%
76%


OR Quartile 2
 0.936
 3.78
 0.521
 5.15
 2.63
 1.08
 6.75
 3.27
 0.943


p Value
 0.90
 0.050
 0.26
 0.015
 0.16
 0.88
 0.015
 0.14
 0.91


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.327
 0.997
 0.166
 1.37
 0.686
 0.381
 1.44
 0.682
 0.330


Upper limit of 95% CI
 2.68
14.3
 1.64
 19.3
10.1
 3.08
 31.6
 15.7
 2.69


OR Quartile 3
 1.96
 2.82
 1.39
 3.75
 2.83
 1.23
 3.23
 2.43
 1.24


p Value
 0.15
 0.036
 0.48
 0.0057
 0.049
 0.65
 0.016
 0.11
 0.65


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.787
 1.07
 0.553
 1.47
 1.00
 0.503
 1.24
 0.808
 0.501


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.86
 7.43
 3.50
 9.57
 7.98
 3.02
 8.41
 7.30
 3.05


OR Quartile 4
 3.34
 4.50
 1.26
 3.87
 2.96
 1.63
 2.39
 1.71
 1.45


p Value
 0.048
 0.0058
 0.67
 0.0096
 0.048
 0.34
 0.088
 0.36
 0.47


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.01
 1.55
 0.439
 1.39
 1.01
 0.594
 0.878
 0.545
 0.527


Upper limit of 95% CI
11.1
13.1
 3.60
10.8
 8.66
 4.45
 6.50
 5.40
 3.97
















TABLE 15.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 0.0142
 0.0177
 0.0112
 0.0305
 0.0124
 0.0299


Average
 0.0179
 0.0923
 0.0216
 0.128
 0.0235
 0.138


Stdev
 0.0197
 0.405
 0.0327
 0.500
 0.0332
 0.532


p (t-test)

 0.33

 0.15

 0.12


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
 0.0865
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
29
54
48
35
52
31







sCr only













Median
 0.0137
 0.0302
 0.0142
 0.0299
 0.0151
 0.0225


Average
 0.0202
 0.158
 0.0248
 0.176
 0.0320
 0.185


Stdev
 0.0240
 0.558
 0.0324
 0.616
 0.0579
 0.677


p (t-test)

 0.079

 0.066

 0.081


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
4.13E-6
1.26E−5


Max
 0.106
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.399
 2.98


n (Patient)
52
28
57
23
61
19







UO only













Median
 0.0142
 0.0170
 0.0153
 0.0170
 0.0153
 0.0170


Average
 0.0280
 0.0933
 0.0274
 0.120
 0.0274
 0.126


Stdev
 0.0374
 0.425
 0.0356
 0.502
 0.0351
 0.517


p (t-test)

 0.41

 0.23

 0.21


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
29
49
43
35
45
33












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.60
 0.68
 0.52
 0.68
 0.64
 0.54
 0.66
 0.60
 0.53


SE
 0.064
 0.065
 0.068
 0.060
 0.071
 0.066
 0.064
 0.077
 0.067


p Value
 0.13
 0.0060
 0.78
 0.0029
 0.057
 0.57
 0.013
 0.17
 0.63


nCohort Non-persistent
29
52
29
48
57
43
52
61
45


nCohort Persistent
54
28
49
35
23
35
31
19
33


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202


Sensitivity
76%
89%
71%
89%
87%
74%
90%
89%
73%


Specificity
24%
33%
17%
33%
30%
23%
33%
30%
22%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155


Sensitivity
56%
64%
53%
66%
65%
51%
65%
63%
52%


Specificity
59%
58%
55%
60%
56%
51%
58%
54%
51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427


Sensitivity
33%
43%
29%
40%
39%
31%
35%
32%
30%


Specificity
86%
85%
76%
83%
81%
77%
79%
77%
76%


OR Quartile 2
 1.00
 4.05
 0.521
 3.88
 2.83
 0.875
 4.53
 3.56
 0.762


p Value
 0.99
 0.039
 0.26
 0.027
 0.13
 0.80
 0.025
 0.11
 0.61


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.349
 1.07
 0.166
 1.16
 0.742
 0.310
 1.21
 0.744
 0.269


Upper limit of 95% CI
 2.88
 15.3
 1.64
 12.9
 10.8
 2.47
 17.0
 17.0
 2.15


OR Quartile 3
 1.77
 2.45
 1.39
 2.93
 2.40
 1.11
 2.48
 2.02
 1.11


p Value
 0.22
 0.064
 0.48
 0.020
 0.088
 0.82
 0.053
 0.19
 0.82


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.710
 0.950
 0.553
 1.18
 0.879
 0.454
 0.989
 0.700
 0.452


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.41
 6.34
 3.50
 7.24
 6.56
 2.71
 6.21
 5.83
 2.73


OR Quartile 4
 3.12
 4.12
 1.26
 3.33
 2.69
 1.51
 2.05
 1.55
 1.34


p Value
 0.062
 0.0089
 0.67
 0.020
 0.069
 0.42
 0.16
 0.45
 0.56


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.944
 1.43
 0.439
 1.21
 0.927
 0.554
 0.760
 0.497
 0.491


Upper limit of 95% CI
10.4
11.9
 3.60
 9.21
 7.80
 4.13
 5.53
 4.83
 3.68
















TABLE 15.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 0.0142
 0.0177
 0.0108
 0.0302
 0.0100
 0.0305


Average
 0.0155
 0.0908
 0.0208
 0.120
 0.0213
 0.128


Stdev
 0.0151
 0.397
 0.0322
 0.481
 0.0328
 0.500


p (t-test)

 0.33

 0.17

 0.14


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
 0.0518
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
27
56
45
38
48
35







sCr only













Median
 0.0125
 0.0302
 0.0142
 0.0299
 0.0146
 0.0262


Average
 0.0199
 0.149
 0.0247
 0.164
 0.0318
 0.164


Stdev
 0.0243
 0.540
 0.0329
 0.591
 0.0593
 0.629


p (t-test)

 0.094

 0.083

 0.11


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
4.13E−6
1.26E−5


Max
 0.106
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.399
 2.98


n (Patient)
50
30
55
25
58
22







UO only













Median
 0.0142
 0.0170
 0.0153
 0.0170
 0.0147
 0.0189


Average
 0.0264
 0.0916
 0.0263
 0.112
 0.0257
 0.115


Stdev
 0.0370
 0.416
 0.0357
 0.475
 0.0354
 0.481


p (t-test)

 0.42

 0.27

 0.25


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
27
51
39
39
40
38












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.62
 0.68
 0.54
 0.68
 0.64
 0.56
 0.70
 0.62
 0.57


SE
 0.064
 0.063
 0.068
 0.059
 0.069
 0.065
 0.059
 0.073
 0.065


p Value
 0.061
 0.0041
 0.55
 0.0020
 0.045
 0.37
8.8E−4
 0.089
 0.27


nCohort Non-persistent
27
50
27
45
55
39
48
58
40


nCohort Persistent
56
30
51
38
25
39
35
22
38


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202


Sensitivity
77%
90%
73%
89%
88%
77%
91%
91%
76%


Specificity
26%
34%
19%
36%
31%
26%
35%
31%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155


Sensitivity
55%
63%
53%
63%
64%
51%
66%
64%
53%


Specificity
59%
58%
56%
60%
56%
51%
60%
55%
52%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427


Sensitivity
34%
40%
29%
39%
36%
33%
40%
32%
34%


Specificity
89%
84%
78%
84%
80%
79%
83%
78%
80%


OR Quartile 2
 1.16
 4.64
 0.601
 4.69
 3.28
 1.15
 5.85
 4.50
 1.07


p Value
 0.79
 0.024
 0.38
 0.012
 0.081
 0.79
 0.0089
 0.058
 0.89


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.401
 1.23
 0.190
 1.41
 0.863
 0.408
 1.56
 0.949
 0.381


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.34
17.5
 1.90
15.6
12.5
 3.24
 22.0
 21.3
 3.02


OR Quartile 3
 1.80
 2.39
 1.41
 2.57
 2.30
 1.11
 2.93
 2.15
 1.23


p Value
 0.21
 0.067
 0.48
 0.037
 0.095
 0.82
 0.020
 0.14
 0.65


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.711
 0.940
 0.551
 1.06
 0.866
 0.456
 1.18
 0.784
 0.505


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.58
 6.05
 3.59
 6.25
 6.09
 2.69
 7.24
 5.92
 2.99


OR Quartile 4
 4.11
 3.50
 1.46
 3.54
 2.25
 1.94
 3.33
 1.62
 2.08


p Value
 0.036
 0.020
 0.50
 0.017
 0.13
 0.21
 0.020
 0.39
 0.16


Lower limit of 95% CI
 1.10
 1.22
 0.491
 1.26
 0.787
 0.696
 1.21
 0.544
 0.747


Upper limit of 95% CI
15.4
10.0
 4.33
 9.98
 6.43
 5.39
 9.21
 4.80
 5.79
















TABLE 15.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 0.0142
 0.0177
 0.0108
 0.0262
 0.0100
 0.0299


Average
 0.0159
 0.0880
 0.0213
 0.115
 0.0218
 0.122


Stdev
 0.0154
 0.391
 0.0328
 0.469
 0.0334
 0.487


p (t-test)

 0.36

 0.20

 0.17


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
 0.0518
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
25
58
43
40
46
37







sCr only













Median
 0.0108
 0.0305
 0.0129
 0.0302
 0.0129
 0.0302


Average
 0.0185
 0.147
 0.0236
 0.161
 0.0243
 0.171


Stdev
 0.0225
 0.531
 0.0321
 0.580
 0.0327
 0.603


p (t-test)

 0.094

 0.084

 0.071


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
4.13E−6
1.26E−5


Max
 0.106
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
49
31
54
26
56
24







UO only













Median
 0.0147
 0.0163
 0.0157
 0.0151
 0.0153
 0.0170


Average
 0.0274
 0.0898
 0.0277
 0.106
 0.0264
 0.112


Stdev
 0.0373
 0.413
 0.0361
 0.464
 0.0356
 0.475


p (t-test)

 0.45

 0.31

 0.27


Min
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6
6.68E−6
4.13E−6


Max
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98
 0.151
 2.98


n (Patient)
26
52
37
41
39
39












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.61
 0.70
 0.52
 0.67
 0.66
 0.52
 0.68
 0.67
 0.55


SE
 0.066
 0.062
 0.069
 0.060
 0.067
 0.066
 0.060
 0.069
 0.065


p Value
 0.11
 0.0011
 0.80
 0.0055
 0.018
 0.80
 0.0028
 0.013
 0.44


nCohort Non-persistent
25
49
26
43
54
37
46
56
39


nCohort Persistent
58
31
52
40
26
41
37
24
39


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202
 0.00202
 0.00161
 0.00202


Sensitivity
76%
90%
71%
88%
88%
73%
89%
92%
74%


Specificity
24%
35%
15%
35%
31%
22%
35%
32%
23%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155
 0.0157
 0.0165
 0.0155


Sensitivity
55%
65%
52%
62%
65%
49%
65%
67%
51%


Specificity
60%
59%
54%
60%
57%
49%
61%
57%
51%


Cutoff Quartile 4
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427
 0.0427
 0.0435
 0.0427


Sensitivity
33%
42%
29%
38%
38%
32%
38%
38%
33%


Specificity
88%
86%
77%
84%
81%
78%
83%
80%
79%


OR Quartile 2
 0.992
 4.96
 0.448
 3.75
 3.52
 0.752
 4.40
 5.21
 0.870


p Value
 0.99
 0.018
 0.20
 0.022
 0.064
 0.59
 0.016
 0.037
 0.79


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.331
 1.31
 0.132
 1.21
 0.929
 0.265
 1.32
 1.10
 0.309


Upper limit of 95% CI
 2.97
18.7
 1.52
11.6
13.4
 2.14
 14.6
 24.6
 2.45


OR Quartile 3
 1.85
 2.64
 1.26
 2.55
 2.55
 0.902
 2.87
 2.67
 1.11


p Value
 0.21
 0.041
 0.63
 0.038
 0.059
 0.82
 0.021
 0.055
 0.82


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.712
 1.04
 0.490
 1.05
 0.964
 0.371
 1.17
 0.981
 0.456


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.79
 6.69
 3.24
 6.18
 6.73
 2.20
 7.05
 7.25
 2.69


OR Quartile 4
 3.57
 4.33
 1.35
 3.09
 2.75
 1.68
 2.89
 2.45
 1.94


p Value
 0.060
 0.0073
 0.59
 0.032
 0.058
 0.32
 0.040
 0.096
 0.21


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.950
 1.48
 0.453
 1.10
 0.965
 0.605
 1.05
 0.853
 0.696


Upper limit of 95% CI
13.4
12.7
 4.03
 8.66
 7.83
 4.68
 7.95
 7.06
 5.39
















TABLE 15.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.

















Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72














Non-persistent

Non-persistent

Non-persistent




Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort
Cohort
Persistent Cohort










sCr or UO













Median
 7.72
10.6
 8.48
10.6
 8.56
10.5


Average
10.3
13.8
10.8
14.6
10.9
15.2


Stdev
 7.18
 9.68
 6.82
11.3
 6.79
12.0


p (t-test)

 0.067

 0.059

 0.040


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9
30.8
38.9


n (Patient)
41
43
56
28
61
23







sCr only













Median
 8.48
12.0
 9.00
10.6
 9.75
10.0


Average
11.6
13.4
12.1
12.3
12.3
11.6


Stdev
 8.72
 8.96
 8.75
 9.05
 8.71
 9.21


p (t-test)

0.43

0.93

0.78


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2


n (Patient)
58
23
61
20
63
18







UO only













Median
 8.41
10.5
 8.89
11.3
 8.89
11.3


Average
11.3
13.0
11.2
13.8
11.2
14.0


Stdev
 8.07
 8.97
 7.59
 9.90
 7.48
10.2


p (t-test)

 0.37

 0.20

 0.18


Min
 2.64
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32


Max
37.2
38.9
37.2
38.9
37.2
38.9


n (Patient)
37
40
49
28
51
26












Persistence Period Duration (hr)











24
48
72

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.62
 0.58
 0.57
 0.59
 0.52
 0.57
 0.59
 0.49
 0.57


SE
 0.061
 0.072
 0.065
 0.067
 0.075
 0.069
 0.072
 0.078
 0.070


p Value
 0.043
 0.25
 0.27
 0.21
 0.74
 0.30
 0.23
 0.87
 0.34


nCohort Non-persistent
41
58
37
56
61
49
61
63
51


nCohort Persistent
43
23
40
28
20
28
23
18
26


Cutoff Quartile 2
 6.19
 6.19
 6.24
 6.19
 6.19
 6.24
 6.19
 6.19
 6.24


Sensitivity
81%
83%
80%
79%
80%
79%
78%
78%
77%


Specificity
32%
28%
30%
27%
26%
27%
26%
25%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
 9.66
 9.75
 9.75
 9.66
 9.75
 9.75
 9.66
 9.75
 9.75


Sensitivity
58%
61%
57%
57%
55%
61%
57%
50%
62%


Specificity
59%
53%
57%
54%
51%
55%
52%
49%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0
15.9
15.9
16.0
15.9
15.9
16.0
15.9
15.9


Sensitivity
33%
35%
30%
36%
25%
36%
39%
22%
35%


Specificity
83%
78%
78%
80%
74%
80%
80%
73%
78%


OR Quartile 2
 2.03
 1.81
 1.69
 1.34
 1.42
 1.32
 1.28
 1.19
 1.14


p Value
 0.17
 0.34
 0.32
 0.59
 0.58
 0.62
 0.67
 0.78
 0.82


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.739
 0.533
 0.594
 0.456
 0.414
 0.439
 0.408
 0.342
 0.376


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.58
 6.14
 4.82
 3.95
 4.89
 3.99
 4.02
 4.15
 3.46


OR Quartile 3
 1.96
 1.79
 1.78
 1.54
 1.26
 1.90
 1.43
 0.969
 1.95


p Value
 0.13
 0.25
 0.21
 0.36
 0.65
 0.18
 0.46
 0.95
 0.18


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.823
 0.668
 0.720
 0.617
 0.458
 0.738
 0.546
 0.340
 0.743


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.67
 4.78
 4.38
 3.84
 3.48
 4.88
 3.77
 2.76
 5.11


OR Quartile 4
 2.34
 1.85
 1.55
 2.27
 0.938
 2.17
 2.62
 0.773
 1.93


p Value
 0.11
 0.26
 0.40
 0.11
 0.91
 0.14
 0.071
 0.68
 0.22


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.834
 0.642
 0.552
 0.823
 0.293
 0.766
 0.920
 0.223
 0.675


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.59
 5.31
 4.37
 6.28
 3.00
 6.13
 7.49
 2.68
 5.49
















TABLE 15.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the


“persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only,


or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 7.83
10.5 
 8.78
10.2 
 9.00
 9.91 


Average
10.3 
13.2 
11.1 
13.5 
11.1 
13.8 


Stdev
 7.46
 9.25
 6.97
10.7 
 6.92
11.2 


p (t-test)

 0.15

 0.21 

 0.18 


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32 
 1.62
 1.32 


Max
30.8 
38.9 
30.8 
38.9 
30.8 
38.9 


n (Patient)
32  
52  
50  
34   
55   
29   










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 8.48
12.0 
 9.37
10.5 
 9.75
10.0 


Average
11.6 
13.2 
12.3 
11.8 
12.3 
11.6 


Stdev
 8.75

 8.82
 8.84 
 8.78
 8.95 


p (t-test)

 0.46

 0.82 

 0.75 


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32 
 1.62
 1.32 


Max
38.9 
37.2 
38.9 
37.2 
38.9 
37.2 


n (Patient)
54  
27  
58  
23   
61  
20   










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 8.17
10.6 
 8.73
12.0 
 8.73
12.0 


Average
10.6 
13.2 
10.6 
14.2 
10.7 
14.3 


Stdev
 6.96
 9.33
 6.57
10.4 
 6.49
10.6 


p (t-test)

 0.19

 0.071

 0.065


Min
 2.64
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32 
 1.62
 1.32 


Max
30.8 
38.9 
30.8 
38.9 
30.8 
38.9 


n (Patient)
30  
47  
44  
33   
46  
31   













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.61    
 0.57    
 0.58    
 0.54    
 0.49    
 0.58    
 0.54    
 0.48    
 0.58    


SE
 0.062   
 0.069   
 0.066   
 0.065   
 0.072   
 0.066   
 0.067   
 0.075   
 0.067   


p Value
 0.092   
 0.32    
 0.21    
 0.53    
 0.90    
 0.22    
 0.60    
 0.81    
 0.25    


nCohort Non-persistent
32      
54      
30      
50      
58      
44      
55      
61      
46      


nCohort Persistent
52      
27      
47      
34      
23      
33      
29      
20      
31      


Cutoff Quartile 2
 6.19    
 6.19    
 6.24    
 6.19    
 6.19    
 6.24    
 6.19    
 6.19    
 6.24    


Sensitivity
79%   
78%   
79%   
76%   
74%   
79%   
76%   
75%   
77%   


Specificity
31%   
26%   
30%   
26%   
24%   
27%   
25%   
25%   
26%   


Cutoff Quartile 3
 9.66    
 9.75    
 9.75    
 9.66    
 9.75    
 9.75    
 9.66    
 9.75    
 9.75    


Sensitivity
56%   
59%   
57%   
53%   
52%   
61%   
52%   
50%   
61%   


Specificity
59%   
54%   
60%   
52%   
50%   
57%   
51%   
49%   
57%   


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0    
15.9    
15.9    
16.0    
15.9    
15.9    
16.0    
15.9    
15.9    


Sensitivity
31%   
37%   
30%   
32%   
26%   
36%   
34%   
25%   
35%   


Specificity
84%   
80%   
80%   
80%   
74%   
82%   
80%   
74%   
80%   


OR Quartile 2
 1.69    
 1.22    
 1.59    
 1.14    
 0.902   
 1.39    
 1.07    
 0.978   
 1.21    


p Value
 0.30    
 0.72    
 0.39    
 0.80    
 0.85    
 0.54    
 0.89    
 0.97    
 0.73    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.623   
 0.411   
 0.556   
 0.414   
 0.298   
 0.480   
 0.378   
 0.304   
 0.416   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.61    
 3.65    
 4.52    
 3.15    
 2.73    
 4.05    
 3.05    
 3.15    
 3.52    


OR Quartile 3
 1.84    
 1.69    
 2.02    
 1.22    
 1.09    
 2.02    
 1.11    
 0.968   
 2.06    


p Value
 0.18    
 0.27    
 0.14    
 0.66    
 0.86    
 0.13    
 0.82    
 0.95    
 0.13    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.755   
 0.662   
 0.798   
 0.509   
 0.415   
 0.808   
 0.452   
 0.352   
 0.813   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.50    
 4.30    
 5.14    
 2.92    
 2.87    
 5.07    
 2.73    
 2.66    
 5.21    


OR Quartile 4
 2.40    
 2.30    
 1.70    
 1.91    
 1.01    
 2.57    
 2.11    
 0.938   
 2.26    


p Value
 0.13    
 0.11    
 0.34    
 0.20    
 0.98    
 0.076   
 0.15    
 0.91    
 0.12    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.782   
 0.826   
 0.570   
 0.705   
 0.337   
 0.905   
 0.766   
 0.293   
 0.803   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 7.37    
 6.40    
 5.05    
 5.19    
 3.04    
 7.30    
 5.79    
 3.00    
 6.37    
















TABLE 15.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 7.72
10.6 
 8.56 
10.5 
 8.56
10.5 


Average
10.1 
13.2 
11.0  
13.6 
11.1 
13.8 


Stdev
 7.51
 9.17
 7.00 
10.5 
 7.02
10.9 


p (t-test)

 0.12

 0.18

 0.16 


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62 
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32 


Max
30.8 
38.9 
30.8  
38.9 
30.8 
38.9 


n (Patient)
31  
53  
49   
35  
53  
31   










sCr only











24
48
72














Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 8.41
12.1 
 9.00 
10.6 
 9.37
10.5 


Average
11.5 
13.3 
12.2  
11.9 
12.2 
11.8 


Stdev
 8.82
 8.73
 8.88 
 8.69
 8.84
 8.77 


p (t-test)

 0.40

 0.90

 0.84 


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62 
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32 


Max
38.9 
37.2 
38.9  
37.2 
38.9 
37.2 


n (Patient)
53  
28  
57   
24  
60  
21   










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 8.17
10.6 
 8.56 
11.4 
 8.56
11.4 


Average
10.6 
13.2 
10.6  
14.1 
10.7 
14.2 


Stdev
 6.96
 9.33
 6.65 
10.2 
 6.56
10.5 


p (t-test)

 0.19

 0.078

 0.073


Min
 2.64
 1.32
 1.62 
 1.32 
 1.62
 1.32 


Max
30.8 
38.9 
30.8  
38.9 
30.8 
38.9 


n (Patient)
30  
47  
43   
34   
45  
32   













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.62    
 0.58    
 0.58    
 0.55    
 0.51    
 0.59    
 0.55    
 0.50    
 0.58    


SE
 0.062   
 0.068   
 0.066   
 0.064   
 0.071   
 0.066   
 0.066   
 0.074   
 0.067   


p Value
 0.055   
 0.23    
 0.21    
 0.42    
 0.93    
 0.19    
 0.43    
 0.98    
 0.22    


nCohort Non-persistent
31      
53      
30      
49      
57      
43      
53      
60      
45      


nCohort Persistent
53      
28      
47      
35      
24      
34      
31      
21      
32      


Cutoff Quartile 2
 6.19    
 6.19    
 6.24    
 6.19    
 6.19    
 6.24    
 6.19    
 6.19    
 6.24    


Sensitivity
79%   
79%   
79%   
77%   
75%   
79%   
77%   
76%   
78%   


Specificity
32%   
26%   
30%   
27%   
25%   
28%   
26%   
25%   
27%   


Cutoff Quartile 3
 9.66    
 9.75    
 9.75    
 9.66    
 9.75    
 9.75    
 9.66    
 9.75    
 9.75    


Sensitivity
57%   
61%   
57%   
54%   
54%   
62%   
55%   
52%   
62%   


Specificity
61%   
55%   
60%   
53%   
51%   
58%   
53%   
50%   
58%   


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0    
15.9    
15.9    
16.0    
15.9    
15.9    
16.0    
15.9    
15.9    


Sensitivity
30%   
39%   
30%   
31%   
29%   
35%   
32%   
29%   
34%   


Specificity
84%   
81%   
80%   
80%   
75%   
81%   
79%   
75%   
80%   


OR Quartile 2
 1.82    
 1.32    
 1.59    
 1.22    
 0.977   
 1.49    
 1.23    
 1.07    
 1.30    


p Value
 0.24    
 0.62    
 0.39    
 0.70    
 0.97    
 0.46    
 0.70    
 0.91    
 0.63    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.666   
 0.443   
 0.556   
 0.443   
 0.324   
 0.514   
 0.435   
 0.334   
 0.447   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.96    
 3.91    
 4.52    
 3.35    
 2.94    
 4.33    
 3.48    
 3.41    
 3.78    


OR Quartile 3
 2.07    
 1.87    
 2.02    
 1.34    
 1.22    
 2.24    
 1.36    
 1.10    
 2.28    


p Value
 0.12    
 0.19    
 0.14    
 0.51    
 0.68    
 0.085   
 0.50    
 0.85    
 0.082   


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.836   
 0.736   
 0.798   
 0.562   
 0.470   
 0.895   
 0.559   
 0.407   
 0.901   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.10    
 4.74    
 5.14    
 3.20    
 3.18    
 5.63    
 3.31    
 2.97    
 5.77    


OR Quartile 4
 2.25    
 2.78    
 1.70    
 1.79    
 1.26    
 2.39    
 1.82    
 1.20    
 2.10    


p Value
 0.16    
 0.050   
 0.34    
 0.25    
 0.67    
 0.10    
 0.24    
 0.75    
 0.16    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.732   
 0.999   
 0.570   
 0.660   
 0.435   
 0.842   
 0.666   
 0.394   
 0.746   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.91    
 7.75    
 5.05    
 4.84    
 3.68    
 6.76    
 4.96    
 3.65    
 5.88    
















TABLE 15.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 7.83
10.5 
 8.56
10.5 
 8.78
10.2  


Average
10.3 
13.1 
11.1 
13.3 
11.0 
13.6  


Stdev
 7.60
 9.14
 7.11
10.3 
 6.99
10.6  


p (t-test)

 0.16

 0.25 

 0.18 


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32 
 1.62
 1.32 


Max
30.8 
38.9 
30.8 
38.9 
30.8 
38.9  


n (Patient)
30  
54  
47  
37   
50  
34   










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 8.41 
12.1 
 9.00
10.6 
 9.00
10.6  


Average
11.1 
13.9 
11.8 
12.7 
11.7 
13.1  


Stdev
 8.06 
 9.76
 8.23
 9.97 
 8.17
10.2  


p (t-test)

 0.17

 0.67 

 0.52 


Min
 1.62 
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32 
 1.62
 1.32 


Max
36.8 
38.9 
36.8 
38.9 
36.8 
38.9  


n (Patient)
51   
30  
55  
26   
57  
24   










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 8.41 
10.5 
 8.48 
10.8 
 8.56
11.4 


Average
10.7 
13.0 
10.5 
14.0 
10.5 
14.1 


Stdev
 7.03 
 9.29 
 6.59 
10.0 
 6.51
10.1 


p (t-test)

 0.25 

 0.069

 0.063


Min
 2.64 
 1.32 
 1.62 
 1.32 
 1.62
 1.32 


Max
30.8 
38.9 
30.8 
38.9 
30.8 
38.9 


n (Patient)
29   
48   
40   
37   
41  
36   













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.60    
 0.59    
 0.57    
 0.54    
 0.52    
 0.59    
 0.55    
 0.53    
 0.59    


SE
 0.063   
 0.067   
 0.067   
 0.064   
 0.069   
 0.065   
 0.065   
 0.071   
 0.065   


p Value
 0.096   
 0.18    
 0.32    
 0.51    
 0.81    
 0.15    
 0.46    
 0.66    
 0.18    


nCohort Non-persistent
30      
51      
29      
47      
55      
40      
50      
57      
41      


nCohort Persistent
54      
30      
48      
37      
26      
37      
34      
24      
36      


Cutoff Quartile 2
 6.19    
 6.19    
 6.24    
 6.19    
 6.19    
 6.24    
 6.19    
 6.19    
 6.24    


Sensitivity
78%   
77%   
77%   
76%   
73%   
78%   
76%   
75%   
78%   


Specificity
30%   
25%   
28%   
26%   
24%   
28%   
26%   
25%   
27%   


Cutoff Quartile 3
 9.66    
 9.75    
 9.75    
 9.66    
 9.75    
 9.75    
 9.66    
 9.75    
 9.75    


Sensitivity
56%   
60%   
56%   
54%   
54%   
62%   
53%   
54%   
61%   


Specificity
60%   
55%   
59%   
53%   
51%   
60%   
52%   
51%   
59%   


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0    
15.9    
15.9    
16.0    
15.9    
15.9    
16.0    
15.9    
15.9    


Sensitivity
30%   
40%   
29%   
30%   
31%   
35%   
32%   
33%   
36%   


Specificity
83%   
82%   
79%   
79%   
76%   
82%   
80%   
77%   
83%   


OR Quartile 2
 1.50    
 1.12    
 1.28    
 1.07    
 0.840   
 1.38    
 1.14    
 0.977   
 1.28    


p Value
 0.43    
 0.83    
 0.65    
 0.90    
 0.75    
 0.55    
 0.80    
 0.97    
 0.64    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.546   
 0.391   
 0.445   
 0.394   
 0.289   
 0.483   
 0.414   
 0.324   
 0.451   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.12    
 3.23    
 3.69    
 2.89    
 2.44    
 3.91    
 3.15    
 2.94    
 3.65    


OR Quartile 3
 1.88    
 1.83    
 1.82    
 1.34    
 1.21    
 2.46    
 1.22    
 1.22    
 2.22    


p Value
 0.17    
 0.20    
 0.21    
 0.51    
 0.69    
 0.054   
 0.66    
 0.68    
 0.087   


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.757   
 0.731   
 0.716   
 0.564   
 0.475   
 0.985   
 0.509   
 0.470   
 0.890   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.64    
 4.56    
 4.63    
 3.17    
 3.08    
 6.17    
 2.92    
 3.18    
 5.53    


OR Quartile 4
 2.11    
 3.11    
 1.58    
 1.57    
 1.44    
 2.55    
 1.91    
 1.69    
 2.75    


p Value
 0.19    
 0.030   
 0.41    
 0.38    
 0.50    
 0.083   
 0.20    
 0.33    
 0.062   


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.684   
 1.12    
 0.529   
 0.580   
 0.508   
 0.886   
 0.705   
 0.592   
 0.951   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.48    
 8.68    
 4.71    
 4.22    
 4.06    
 7.36    
 5.19    
 4.84    
 7.93    
















TABLE 15.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 7.83
10.5 
 8.41
10.5 
 8.48
10.2 


Average
10.3 
13.0 
11.1 
13.2 
11.0 
13.5 


Stdev
 7.83
 9.00
 7.25
10.1 
 7.12
10.3 


p (t-test)

 0.18

 0.27

 0.19 


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32 


Max
30.8 
38.9 
30.8 
38.9 
30.8 
38.9 


n (Patient)
28  
56  
45  
39  
48  
36   










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
8.41
12.1 
 9.00
10.6 
 9.00
10.6 


Average
11.1 
13.9 
11.8 
12.7 
11.7 
13.1 


Stdev
 8.06
 9.76
 8.23
 9.97
 8.17
10.2 


p (t-test)

 0.17

 0.67

 0.52 


Min
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32 


Max
36.8 
38.9 
36.8 
38.9 
36.8 
38.9 


n (Patient)
51  
30  
55  
26  
57  
24   










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 8.48
10.4 
 8.48
10.7 
 8.48
10.7 


Average
10.8 
12.9 
10.6 
13.7 
10.5 
13.9 


Stdev
 7.12
 9.23
 6.74
 9.82
 6.58
10.0 


p (t-test)

 0.31

 0.11

 0.077


Min
 2.64
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32
 1.62
 1.32 


Max
30.8 
38.9 
30.8 
38.9 
30.8 
38.9 


n (Patient)
28  
49  
38  
39  
40  
37   













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.61    
 0.59    
 0.56    
 0.55    
 0.52    
 0.58    
 0.55    
 0.53    
 0.59    


SE
 0.064   
 0.067   
 0.068   
 0.063   
 0.069   
 0.065   
 0.064   
 0.071   
 0.065   


p Value
 0.083   
 0.18    
 0.39    
 0.43    
 0.81    
 0.20    
 0.39    
 0.66    
 0.19    


nCohort Non-persistent
28     
51     
28     
45     
55     
38     
48     
57     
40     


nCohort Persistent
56     
30     
49     
39     
26     
39     
36     
24     
37     


Cutoff Quartile 2
 6.19    
 6.19    
 6.24    
 6.19    
 6.19    
 6.24    
 6.19    
 6.19    
 6.24    


Sensitivity
79%   
77%   
78%   
77%   
73%   
79%   
78%   
75%   
78%   


Specificity
32%   
25%   
29%   
27%   
24%   
29%   
27%   
25%   
28%   


Cutoff Quartile 3
 9.66    
 9.75    
 9.75    
 9.66    
 9.75    
 9.75    
 9.66    
 9.75    
 9.75    


Sensitivity
55%   
60%   
55%   
54%   
54%   
59%   
53%   
54%   
59%   


Specificity
61%   
55%   
57%   
53%   
51%   
58%   
52%   
51%   
57%   


Cutoff Quartile 4
16.0    
15.9    
15.9    
16.0    
15.9    
15.9    
16.0    
15.9    
15.9    


Sensitivity
29%   
40%   
29%   
28%   
31%   
33%   
31%   
33%   
35%   


Specificity
82%   
82%   
79%   
78%   
76%   
82%   
79%   
77%   
82%   


OR Quartile 2
 1.74    
 1.12    
 1.38    
 1.21    
 0.840   
 1.58    
 1.30    
 0.977   
 1.38    


p Value
 0.29    
 0.83    
 0.55    
 0.70    
 0.75    
 0.39    
 0.61    
 0.97    
 0.55    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.628   
 0.391   
 0.479   
 0.448   
 0.289   
 0.554   
 0.473   
 0.324   
 0.483   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.81    
 3.23    
 3.99    
 3.28    
 2.44    
 4.50    
 3.57    
 2.94    
 3.91    


OR Quartile 3
 1.92    
 1.83    
 1.64    
 1.33    
 1.21    
 1.98    
 1.21    
 1.22    
 1.98    


p Value
 0.17    
 0.20    
 0.30    
 0.51    
 0.69    
 0.14    
 0.66    
 0.68    
 0.14    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.761   
 0.731   
 0.641   
 0.564   
 0.475   
 0.798   
 0.511   
 0.470   
 0.801   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.83    
 4.56    
 4.17    
 3.15    
 3.08    
 4.89    
 2.89    
 3.18    
 4.92    


OR Quartile 4
 1.84    
 3.11    
 1.47    
 1.38    
 1.44    
 2.21    
 1.67    
 1.69    
 2.55    


p Value
 0.29    
 0.030   
 0.49    
 0.53    
 0.50    
 0.14    
 0.31    
 0.33    
 0.083   


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.596   
 1.12    
 0.491   
 0.511   
 0.508   
 0.770   
 0.619   
 0.592   
 0.886   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 5.68    
 8.68    
 4.38    
 3.70    
 4.06    
 6.37    
 4.52    
 4.84    
 7.36    









Example 16. Use of Tyrosine-Protein Kinase Receptor UFO for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and a urine samples (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO is measured in the earliest samples collected while the patients were in RIFLE I or F by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0), risk of injury (R), or injury (I) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 16.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.87 
 1.89 
 4.87 
 1.22 
 4.85 
 1.16 


Average
 5.74 
 2.51 
 5.59 
 1.43 
 5.54 
 1.35 


Stdev
 4.27 
 2.28 
 4.12 
 1.09 
 4.10 
 1.09 


p (t-test)

 0.0011

3.5E−4

4.8E−4


Min
 0.432
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276


Max
20.6 
 9.53 
20.6 
 4.01 
20.6 
 4.01 


n (Patient)
61   
22   
69   
14   
70   
13   










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.83 
 1.52 
 4.60 
 1.45 
 4.45 
 1.45 


Average
 5.45 
 2.17 
 5.30 
 2.25 
 5.20 
 2.35 


Stdev
 4.22 
 2.35 
 4.20 
 2.57 
 4.18 
 2.85 


p (t-test)

 0.0062

 0.022 

 0.051 


Min
 0.432

 0.366
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 


Max
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 


n (Patient)
66   
14   
69   
11   
71   
 9   










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.87 
 2.78 
 4.87 
 1.29 
 4.87 
 1.29 


Average
 5.64 
 2.97 
 5.51 
 1.60 
 5.51 
 1.60 


Stdev
 4.36 
 2.35 
 4.19 
 1.13 
 4.19 
 1.13 


p (t-test)

 0.018

 0.0071

 0.0071


Min
 0.366
 0.489
 0.366
 0.489 
 0.366
 0.489 


Max
20.6 
 9.53 
20.6 
 4.01 
20.6 
 4.01 


n (Patient)
61   
17   
69   
 9   
69   
 9   













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.22    
 0.20    
 0.29    
 0.12     
 0.22    
 0.16     
 0.11     
 0.23    
 0.16     


SE
 0.063    
 0.075    
 0.077    
 0.061    
 0.086    
 0.085     
 0.062    
 0.096    
 0.085    


p Value
1.4E−5
7.6E−5
 0.0067   
5.3E−10
 0.0013   
7.5E−5
3.0E−10
 0.0058   
7.5E−5


nCohort
61      
66      
61      
69       
69      
69       
70       
71      
69       


Non-persistent











nCohort
22      
14      
17      
14       
11      
 9       
13       
 9      
 9       


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
 2.05    
 1.90    
 2.02    
 2.05     
 1.90    
 2.02     
 2.05     
 1.90    
 2.02     


Sensitivity
50%   
43%   
53%   
29%    
45%   
22%    
23%    
44%   
22%    


Specificity
16%   
18%   
20%   
16%    
20%   
19%    
16%    
21%   
19%    


Cutoff Quartile 3
 4.01    
 3.91    
 4.44    
 4.01     
 3.91    
 4.44     
 4.01     
 3.91    
 4.44     


Sensitivity
23%   
14%   
18%   
 7%    
18%   
 0%    
 8%    
22%   
 0%    


Specificity
39%   
42%   
41%   
41%    
45%   
43%    
41%    
46%   
43%    


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.30    
 6.30    
 6.36    
 6.30     
 6.30    
 6.36     
 6.30     
 6.30    
 6.36     


Sensitivity
 5%   
 7%   
 6%   
 0%    
 9%   
 0%    
 0%    
11%   
 0%    


Specificity
67%   
71%   
69%   
70%    
72%   
71%    
70%    
73%   
71%    


OR Quartile 2
 0.196    
 0.167    
 0.276    
 0.0759    
 0.212    
 0.0663    
 0.0559    
 0.214    
 0.0663    


p Value
 0.0030   
 0.0043   
 0.027    
1.4E−4
 0.022    
 0.0016    
8.9E−5
 0.035    
 0.0016    


Lower limit
 0.0668   
 0.0487   
 0.0879   
 0.0201    
 0.0564   
 0.0123    
 0.0132    
 0.0511   
 0.0123    


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 0.575    
 0.570    
 0.864    
 0.286    
 0.797    
 0.357    
 0.237    
 0.898    
 0.357    


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
 0.191    
 0.123    
 0.149    
 0.0525    
 0.181    
 0.0406    
 0.0589    
 0.248    
 0.0406    


p Value
 0.0038   
 0.0090   
 0.0056   
 0.0057    
 0.037    
 0.029    
 0.0081    
 0.096    
 0.029    


Lower limit
 0.0621   
 0.0254   
 0.0387   
 0.00650   
 0.0365   
 0.00227   
 0.00726   
 0.0482   
 0.00227   


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 0.586    
 0.593    
 0.572    
 0.425    
 0.901    
 0.726    
 0.479    
 1.28    
 0.726    


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
 0.0976   
 0.190    
 0.138    
 0.0778    
 0.263    
 0.127    
 0.0853    
 0.342    
 0.127    


p Value
 0.028    
 0.12    
 0.064    
 0.081    
 0.22    
 0.16     
 0.092    
 0.33    
 0.16     


Lower limit
 0.0122   
 0.0232   
 0.0171   
 0.00443   
 0.0315   
 0.00706   
 0.00485   
 0.0401   
 0.00706   


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 0.778    
 1.56    
 1.12    
 1.36     
 2.20    
 2.29     
 1.50     
 2.92    
 2.29     


of 95% CI
















TABLE 16.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence Period
24
48
72













Duration (hr)
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent



Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.88 
 2.19 
 4.87 
 1.29 
 4.87 
 1.22 


Average
 5.79 
 2.79 
 5.62 
 2.02 
 5.58 
 2.00 


Stdev
 4.29 
 2.58 
 4.14 
 2.25 
 4.12 
 2.32 


p (t-test)

 0.0017

8.9E−4

 0.0013


Min
 0.502
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 


Max
20.6 
 9.53 
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 


n (Patient)
58   
25   
66
17   
67   
16   










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.83 
 1.52 
 4.60 
 1.45 
 4.45 
 1.45 


Average
 5.45 
 2.17 
 5.30 
 2.25 
 5.20 
 2.35 


Stdev
 4.22 
 2.35 
 4.20 
 2.57 
 4.18 
 2.85 


p (t-test)

 0.0062

 0.022 

 0.051 


Min
 0.432
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 


Max
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6  
 9.11 


n (Patient)
66   
14   
69
11   
71   
 9   










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.88 
 2.78 
 4.87 
 1.29 
 4.87 
 1.29 


Average
 5.77 
 3.10 
 5.62 
 2.25 
 5.62 
 2.25 


Stdev
 4.38 
 2.67 
 4.20 
 2.49 
 4.20 
 2.49 


p (t-test)

 0.011 

 0.0067

 0.0067


Min
 0.366
 0.398 
 0.366
 0.398 
 0.366
 0.398 


Max
20.6 
 9.53 
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 


n (Patient)
57   
21   
65   
13   
65   
13   













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.24    
 0.20    
 0.28    
 0.17    
 0.22    
 0.20    
 0.17    
 0.23    
 0.20    


SE
 0.062    
 0.075    
 0.070    
 0.065    
 0.086    
 0.077    
 0.066    
 0.096    
 0.077    


p Value
3.7E−5
7.6E−5
 0.0021   
3.7E−7
 0.0013   
1.2E−4
5.6E−7
 0.0058   
1.2E−4


nCohort Non-persistent
58      
66      
57      
66      
69      
65      
67      
71      
65      


nCohort Persistent
25      
14      
21      
17      
11      
13      
16      
 9      
13      


Cutoff Quartile 2
 2.05    
 1.90    
 2.02    
 2.05    
 1.90    
 2.02    
 2.05    
 1.90    
 2.02    


Sensitivity
52%   
43%   
52%   
35%   
45%   
31%   
31%   
44%   
31%   


Specificity
16%   
18%   
18%   
15%   
20%   
17%   
15%   
21%   
17%   


Cutoff Quartile 3
 4.01    
 3.91    
 4.44    
 4.01    
 3.91    
 4.44    
 4.01    
 3.91    
 4.44    


Sensitivity
28%   
14%   
24%   
18%   
18%   
15%   
19%   
22%   
15%   


Specificity
40%   
42%   
40%   
41%   
45%   
43%   
42%   
46%   
43%   


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.30    
 6.30    
 6.36    
 6.30    
 6.30    
 6.36    
 6.30    
 6.30    
 6.36    


Sensitivity
 8%     
 7%   
10%   
 6%   
 9%   
 8%   
 6%   
11%   
 8%   


Specificity
67%   
71%   
68%   
70%   
72%   
71%   
70%   
73%   
71%   


OR Quartile 2
 0.199    
 0.167    
 0.234    
 0.0974
 0.212    
 0.0905   
 0.0797   
 0.214    
 0.0905   


p Value
 0.0028   
 0.0043   
 0.0093   
1.4E−4
 0.022    
4.6E−4
7.6E−5
 0.035    
4.6E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0690   
 0.0487   
 0.0783   
 0.0293   
 0.0564   
 0.0236   
 0.0228   
 0.0511   
 0.0236   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.574    
 0.570    
 0.700    
 0.324    
 0.797    
 0.347    
 0.279    
 0.898    
 0.347    


OR Quartile 3
 0.256    
 0.123    
 0.211    
 0.148    
 0.181    
 0.138    
 0.166    
 0.248    
 0.138    


p Value
 0.0087   
 0.0090   
 0.0073   
 0.0053   
 0.037    
 0.014    
 0.0089   
 0.096    
 0.014    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0922   
 0.0254   
 0.0679   
 0.0388   
 0.0365   
 0.0282   
 0.0431   
 0.0482   
 0.0282   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.708    
 0.593    
 0.658    
 0.567    
 0.901    
 0.671    
 0.637    
 1.28    
 0.671    


OR Quartile 4
 0.178    
 0.190    
 0.228    
 0.144    
 0.263    
 0.202    
 0.157    
 0.342    
 0.202    


p Value
 0.029    
 0.12    
 0.063    
 0.069    
 0.22    
 0.14    
 0.082    
 0.33    
 0.14    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0381   
 0.0232   
 0.0479   
 0.0178   
 0.0315   
 0.0245   
 0.0194   
 0.0401   
 0.0245   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.837    
 1.56    
 1.09    
 1.16    
 2.20    
 1.66    
 1.27    
 2.92    
 1.66    
















TABLE 16.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.88 
 2.32 
 4.87 
 1.37 
 4.87 
 1.29 


Average
 5.83 
 2.81 
 5.66 
 2.08 
 5.61 
 2.06 


Stdev
 4.32 
 2.53 
 4.16 
 2.20 
 4.14 
 2.26 


p (t-test)

 0.0014

7.2E−4

 0.0010


Min
 0.502
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 


Max
20.6 
 9.53 
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 


n (Patient)
57   
26   
65   
18   
66   
17   










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.84 
 1.59 
 4.60 
 1.45 
 4.45 
 1.45 


Average
 5.49 
 2.24 
 5.30 
 2.25 
 5.20 
 2.35 


Stdev
 4.24 
 2.29 
 4.20 
 2.57 
 4.18 
 2.85 


p (t-test)

 0.0055

 0.022 

 0.051 


Min
 0.432
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 


Max
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 


n (Patient)
65   
15   
69   
11   
71   
 9   










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.02 
 2.91 
 4.88 
 1.59 
 4.88 
 1.44 


Average
 5.82 
 3.11 
 5.70 
 2.37 
 5.66 
 2.30 


Stdev
 4.41 
 2.60 
 4.24 
 2.33 
 4.22 
 2.40 


p (t-test)

 0.0087

 0.0045

 0.0054


Min
 0.366
 0.398 
 0.366
 0.398 
 0.366
 0.398 


Max
20.6 
 9.53 
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 


n (Patient)
56   
22   
63   
15   
64   
14   













Persistence Period
24

72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.24    
 0.21    
 0.28    
 0.18    
 0.22    
 0.21    
 0.18    
 0.23    
 0.21    


SE
 0.061    
 0.074    
 0.069    
 0.064    
 0.086    
 0.074    
 0.065    
 0.096    
 0.076    


p Value
2.9E−5
8.7E−5
 0.0016   
4.2E−7
 0.0013   
1.0E−4
6.8E−7
 0.0058   
1.1E−4


nCohort Non-persistent
57      
65      
56      
65      
69      
63      
66      
71      
64      


nCohort Persistent
26      
15      
22      
18      
11      
15      
17      
 9      
14      


Cutoff Quartile 2
 2.05    
 1.90    
 2.02    
 2.05    
 1.90    
 2.02    
 2.05    
 1.90    
 2.02    


Sensitivity
54%   
47%   
55%   
39%   
45%   
40%   
35%   
44%   
36%   


Specificity
16%   
18%   
18%   
15%   
20%   
17%   
15%   
21%   
17%   


Cutoff Quartile 3
 4.01    
 3.91    
 4.44    
 4.01    
 3.91    
 4.44    
 4.01    
 3.91    
 4.44    


Sensitivity
27%   
13%   
23%   
17%   
18%   
13%   
18%   
22%   
14%   


Specificity
39%   
42%   
39%   
40%   
45%   
41%   
41%   
46%   
42%   


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.30    
 6.30    
 6.36    
 6.30    
 6.30    
 6.36    
 6.30    
 6.30    
 6.36    


Sensitivity
 8%   
 7%   
 9%   
 6%   
 9%   
 7%   
 6%   
11%   
 7%   


Specificity
67%   
71%   
68%   
69%   
72%   
70%   
70%   
73%   
70%   


OR Quartile 2
 0.219    
 0.198    
 0.261    
 0.116    
 0.212    
 0.141    
 0.0974   
 0.214    
 0.115    


p Value
 0.0045   
 0.0078   
 0.015    
2.8E−4
 0.022    
 0.0017   
1.4E−4
 0.035    
8.7E−4


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0766   
 0.0601   
 0.0884   
 0.0362   
 0.0564   
 0.0416   
 0.0293   
 0.0511   
 0.0323   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.625    
 0.653    
 0.770    
 0.370    
 0.797    
 0.478    
 0.324    
 0.898    
 0.411    


OR Quartile 3
 0.232    
 0.109    
 0.190    
 0.133    
 0.181    
 0.108    
 0.148    
 0.248    
 0.122    


p Value
 0.0048   
 0.0057   
 0.0041   
 0.0031   
 0.037    
 0.0055   
 0.0053   
 0.096    
 0.0088   


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0837   
 0.0228   
 0.0613   
 0.0351   
 0.0365   
 0.0225   
 0.0388   
 0.0482   
 0.0251   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.641    
 0.525    
 0.590    
 0.507    
 0.901    
 0.520    
 0.567    
 1.28    
 0.589    


OR Quartile 4
 0.167    
 0.173    
 0.211    
 0.132    
 0.263    
 0.165    
 0.144    
 0.342    
 0.182    


p Value
 0.023    
 0.10    
 0.050    
 0.057    
 0.22    
 0.093    
 0.069    
 0.33    
 0.11    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0356   
 0.0212   
 0.0445   
 0.0165   
 0.0315   
 0.0203   
 0.0178   
 0.0401   
 0.0222   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.781    
 1.41    
 1.00    
 1.06    
 2.20    
 1.35    
 1.16    
 2.92    
 1.49    
















TABLE 16.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.88 
 2.32 
 4.88 
 1.45 
 4.87 
 1.37 


Average
 5.83 
 2.81 
 5.69 
 2.16 
 5.64 
 2.15 


Stdev
 4.32 
 2.53 
 4.18 
 2.17 
 4.17 
 2.23 


p (t-test)

 0.0014

6.8E−4

9.9E−4


Min
 0.502
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 


Max
20.6 
 9.53 
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 


n (Patient)
57   
26   
64   
19   
65   
18   










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.84 
 1.59 
 4.71 
 1.82 
 4.53
 1.82 


Average
 5.49 
 2.24 
 5.32 
 2.36 
 5.22
 2.48 


Stdev
 4.24 
 2.29 
 4.23 
 2.49 
 4.21
 2.72 


p (t-test)

 0.0055

 0.022 

 0.049 


Min
 0.432
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276 


Max
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 


n (Patient)
65   
15   
68   
12   
70   
10   










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.02 
 2.91 
 5.02 
 1.59 
 4.88 
 1.59 


Average
 5.82 
 3.11 
 5.73 
 2.45 
 5.69 
 2.39 


Stdev
 4.41 
 2.60 
 4.27 
 2.27 
 4.25 
 2.34 


p (t-test)

 0.0087

 0.0041

 0.0050


Min
 0.366
 0.398 
 0.366
 0.398 
 0.366
 0.398 


Max
20.6 
 9.53 
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 


n (Patient)
56   
22   
62   
16   
63   
15   













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.24    
 0.21    
 0.28    
 0.19    
 0.24    
 0.22    
 0.19    
 0.25    
 0.22    


SE
 0.061    
 0.074    
 0.069    
 0.063    
 0.084    
 0.073    
 0.065    
 0.093    
 0.074    


p Value
2.9E−5
8.7E−5
 0.0016   
7.4E−7
 0.0019   
1.2E−4
1.3E−6
 0.0081   
1.4E−4


nCohort Non-persistent
57      
65      
56      
64      
68      
62      
65      
70      
63      


nCohort Persistent
26      
15      
22      
19      
12      
16      
18      
10      
15      


Cutoff Quartile 2
 2.05    
 1.90    
 2.02    
 2.05    
 1.90    
 2.02    
 2.05    
 1.90    
 2.02    


Sensitivity
54%   
47%   
55%   
42%   
50%   
44%   
39%   
50%   
40%   


Specificity
16%   
18%   
18%   
16%   
21%   
18%   
15%   
21%   
17%   


Cutoff Quartile 3
 4.01    
 3.91    
 4.44    
 4.01    
 3.91    
 4.44    
 4.01    
 3.91    
 4.44    


Sensitivity
27%   
13%   
23%   
16%   
17%   
12%   
17%   
20%   
13%   


Specificity
39%   
42%   
39%   
39%   
44%   
40%   
40%   
46%   
41%   


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.30    
 6.30    
 6.36    
 6.30    
 6.30     
 6.36    
 6.30    
 6.30    
 6.36    


Sensitivity
 8%   
 7%   
 9%   
 5%   
 8%   
 6%   
 6%   
10%   
 7%   


Specificity
67%   
71%   
68%   
69%   
72%   
69%   
69%   
73%   
70%   


OR Quartile 2
 0.219    
 0.198    
 0.261    
 0.135    
 0.259    
 0.168    
 0.116    
 0.273    
 0.141    


p Value
 0.0045   
 0.0078   
 0.015    
 5.3E−4   
 0.038    
 0.0031   
 2.8E−4
 0.062    
 0.0017   


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0766   
 0.0601   
 0.0884   
 0.0434   
 0.0724   
 0.0514   
 0.0362   
 0.0697   
 0.0416   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.625    
 0.653    
 0.770    
 0.418    
 0.928    
 0.548    
 0.370    
 1.07    
 0.478    


OR Quartile 3
 0.232    
 0.109    
 0.190    
 0.120    
 0.158    
 0.0965   
 0.133    
 0.211    
 0.108    


p Value
 0.0048   
 0.0057   
 0.0041   
 0.0018   
 0.023    
 0.0034   
 0.0031   
 0.059    
 0.0055   


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0837   
 0.0228   
 0.0613   
 0.0317   
 0.0321   
 0.0202   
 0.0351   
 0.0417   
 0.0225   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.641    
 0.525    
 0.590    
 0.455    
 0.776    
 0.462    
 0.507    
 1.06    
 0.520    


OR Quartile 4
 0.167    
 0.173    
 0.211    
 0.122    
 0.234    
 0.151    
 0.132    
 0.298    
 0.165    


p Value
 0.023    
 0.10    
 0.050    
 0.048    
 0.18    
 0.077    
 0.057    
 0.27    
 0.093    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.0356   
 0.0212   
 0.0445   
 0.0152   
 0.0283   
 0.0186   
 0.0165   
 0.0354   
 0.0203   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 0.781    
 1.41    
 1.00    
 0.980    
 1.94    
 1.23    
 1.06    
 2.52    
 1.35    
















TABLE 16.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 168 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO













Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.37 
 2.19 
 5.26 
 1.59 
 5.02 
 1.59 


Average
 6.03 
 2.75 
 5.90 
 2.23 
 5.77 
 2.28 


Stdev
 4.34 
 2.44 
 4.23 
 2.04 
 4.22 
 2.12 


p (t-test)

3.2E−4

1.5E−4

5.0E−4


Min
 0.502
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276 


Max
20.6 
 9.53 
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 


n (Patient)
54   
29   
60   
23   
62   
21   










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 4.85 
 1.89 
 4.82 
 2.19 
 4.71 
 1.82 


Average
 5.51 
 2.36 
 5.34 
 2.50 
 5.30 
 2.51 


Stdev
 4.28 
 2.26 
 4.26 
 2.43 
 4.24 
 2.54 


p (t-test)

 0.0058

 0.023

 0.031 


Min
 0.432
 0.276 
 0.366
 0.276
 0.366
 0.276 


Max
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 


n (Patient)
64   
16   
67   
13   
68   
12   










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 5.37 
 2.91 
 5.42 
 1.59 
 5.36 
 1.59 


Average
 5.93 
 3.09 
 5.95 
 2.47 
 5.90 
 2.42 


Stdev
 4.44 
 2.52 
 4.31 
 2.11 
 4.29 
 2.16 


p (t-test)

 0.0045

8.9E−4

 0.0011


Min
 0.366
 0.398 
 0.366
 0.398
 0.366
 0.398 


Max
20.6 
 9.53 
20.6 
 9.11 
20.6 
 9.11 


n (Patient)
54   
24   
58   
20   
59   
19   













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.22    
 0.23    
 0.27    
 0.18    
 0.26    
 0.21    
 0.20    
 0.26    
 0.21    


SE
 0.057    
 0.073   
 0.066    
 0.058    
 0.083    
 0.065    
 0.062    
 0.086    
 0.066    


p Value
1.3E−6
1.8E−4
6.3E−4
2.9E−8
 0.0033   
6.2E−6
7.4E−7
 0.0047   
8.1E−6


nCohort
54      
64      
54      
60      
67      
58      
62      
68      
59      


Non-persistent











nCohort Persistent
29      
16      
24      
23      
13      
20      
21      
12      
19      


Cutoff Quartile 2
 2.05    
 1.90    
 2.02    
 2.05    
 1.90    
 2.02    
 2.05    
 1.90    
 2.02    


Sensitivity
52%   
50%   
54%   
43%   
54%   
45%   
43%   
50%   
42%   


Specificity
13%   
19%   
17%   
13%   
21%   
16%   
15%   
21%   
15%   


Cutoff Quartile 3
 4.01    
 3.91    
 4.44    
 4.01    
 3.91    
 4.44    
 4.01    
 3.91    
 4.44    


Sensitivity
28%   
19%   
21%   
17%   
23%   
10%   
19%   
25%   
11%   


Specificity
37%   
42%   
37%   
37%   
45%   
36%   
39%   
46%   
37%   


Cutoff Quartile 4
 6.30    
 6.30    
 6.36    
 6.30    
 6.30    
 6.36    
 6.30    
 6.30    
 6.36    


Sensitivity
 7%   
 6%   
 8%   
 4%   
 8%   
 5%   
 5%   
 8%   
 5%   


Specificity
65%   
70%   
67%   
67%   
72%   
67%   
68%   
72%   
68%   


OR Quartile 2
 0.160    
 0.231    
 0.236    
 0.118    
 0.308    
 0.150    
 0.127    
 0.259    
 0.131    


p Value
8.4E−4
 0.014    
 0.0086   
1.7E−4
 0.063    
 0.0010   
3.0E−4
 0.038    
5.6E−4


Lower limit
 0.0543   
 0.0721   
 0.0806   
 0.0390   
 0.0892   
 0.0485   
 0.0417   
 0.0724   
 0.0413   


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 0.469    
 0.739    
 0.693    
 0.359    
 1.06    
 0.466    
 0.389    
 0.928    
 0.415    


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
 0.224    
 0.168    
 0.155    
 0.122    
 0.243    
 0.0631   
 0.149    
 0.279    
 0.0700   


p Value
 0.0029   
 0.0097   
 0.0012   
5.8E−4
 0.044    
5.0E−4
 0.0019   
 0.072    
8.1E−4


Lower limit
 0.0838   
 0.0437   
 0.0500   
 0.0367   
 0.0614   
 0.0133   
 0.0446   
 0.0695   
 0.0147   


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 0.599    
 0.650    
 0.479    
 0.404    
 0.964    
 0.299    
 0.495    
 1.12    
 0.332    


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
 0.136    
 0.158    
 0.182    
 0.0909   
 0.211    
 0.108    
 0.105    
 0.234    
 0.117    


p Value
 0.011    
 0.084    
 0.032    
 0.023    
 0.15    
 0.036    
 0.034    
 0.18    
 0.044    


Lower limit
 0.0292   
 0.0194   
 0.0384   
 0.0114   
 0.0256   
 0.0134   
 0.0131   
 0.0283   
 0.0145   


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 0.637    
 1.28    
 0.860    
 0.724    
 1.73    
 0.869    
 0.839    
 1.94    
 0.942    


of 95% CI
















TABLE 16.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 24 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.555
 0.791
 0.544
 1.03 
 0.532
 1.07 


Average
 0.769
 1.10 
 0.765
 1.26 
 0.761
 1.31 


Stdev
 0.751
 1.01 
 0.736
 1.12 
 0.731
 1.14 


p (t-test)

 0.11 

 0.032

 0.020


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.249
 0.108
 0.249


Max
 4.86 
 4.60 
 4.86 
 4.60 
 4.86 
 4.60 


n (Patient)
61   
23   
68   
16   
69   
15   










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.567
 0.990
 0.567
 1.03 
 0.561
 1.07 


Average
 0.860
 0.948
 0.853
 1.00 
 0.848
 1.05 


Stdev
 0.892
 0.617
 0.882
 0.637
 0.877
 0.647


p (t-test)

 0.73 

 0.58 

 0.47 


Min
 0.108
 0.217
 0.108
 0.217
 0.108
 0.217


Max
 4.86 
 2.58 
 4.86 
 2.58 
 4.86 
 2.58 


n (Patient)
67   
14   
69   
12   
70   
11   










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
 0.544
 0.979
 0.555
 1.02 
 0.555
 1.02 


Average
 0.748
 1.21 
 0.758
 1.47 
 0.758
 1.47 


Stdev
 0.734
 1.13 
 0.720
 1.36 
 0.720
 1.36 


p (t-test)

 0.047

 0.013

 0.013


Min
 0.108
 0.172
 0.108
 0.249
 0.108
 0.249


Max
 4.86 
 4.60 
 4.86 
 4.60 
 4.86 
 4.60 


n (Patient)
60   
17   
67   
10   
67   
10   













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.61    
 0.62    
 0.64    
 0.68    
 0.65    
 0.68    
 0.70     
 0.67    
 0.68    


SE
 0.071   
 0.087   
 0.080   
 0.080   
 0.092   
 0.099   
 0.081    
 0.095   
 0.099   


p Value
 0.12    
 0.18    
 0.086   
 0.022   
 0.100   
 0.067   
 0.015    
 0.070   
 0.067   


nCohort Non-persistent
61      
67      
60      
68      
69      
67      
69       
70      
67      


nCohort Persistent
23      
14      
17      
16      
12      
10      
15       
11      
10      


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.372   
 0.374   
 0.374   
 0.372   
 0.374   
 0.374   
 0.372    
 0.374   
 0.374   


Sensitivity
78%   
86%   
76%   
88%   
92%   
80%   
87%    
91%   
80%   


Specificity
26%   
27%   
25%   
28%   
28%   
25%   
28%    
27%   
25%   


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.614   
 0.636   
 0.593   
 0.614   
 0.636   
 0.593   
 0.614    
 0.636   
 0.593   


Sensitivity
61%   
64%   
65%   
69%   
67%   
70%   
73%    
73%   
70%   


Specificity
54%   
52%   
53%   
54%   
52%   
52%   
55%    
53%   
52%   


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.04    
 1.04    
 1.00    
 1.04    
 1.04    
 1.00    
 1.04     
 1.04    
 1.00    


Sensitivity
39%   
43%   
47%   
50%   
50%   
60%   
53%    
55%   
60%   


Specificity
80%   
78%   
80%   
81%   
78%   
79%   
81%    
79%   
79%   


OR Quartile 2
 1.28    
 2.20    
 1.08    
 2.71    
 4.18    
 1.36    
 2.47     
 3.73    
 1.36    


p Value
 0.67    
 0.33    
 0.90    
 0.21    
 0.18    
 0.71    
 0.26     
 0.22    
 0.71    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.408   
 0.449   
 0.306   
 0.563   
 0.505   
 0.263   
 0.509    
 0.446   
 0.263   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.02    
 10.8    
 3.83    
13.1     
34.6     
 7.04    
12.0      
31.1     
 7.04    


OR Quartile 3
 1.83    
 1.97    
 2.10    
 2.63    
 2.18    
 2.55    
 3.37     
 2.99    
 2.55    


p Value
 0.22    
 0.27    
 0.19    
 0.10    
 0.24    
 0.20    
 0.055    
 0.13    
 0.20    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.690   
 0.597   
 0.686   
 0.823   
 0.601   
 0.608   
 0.977    
 0.732   
 0.608   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 4.87    
 6.50    
 6.40    
 8.38    
 7.92    
10.7    
11.6     
12.2    
10.7    


OR Quartile 4
 2.62    
 2.60    
 3.56    
 4.23    
 3.60    
 5.68    
 4.92     
 4.40    
 5.68    


p Value
 0.071   
 0.12    
 0.030   
 0.014   
 0.048   
 0.015   
 0.0081   
 0.027   
 0.015   


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.920   
 0.780   
 1.13    
 1.34    
 1.01    
 1.41    
 1.51     
 1.18    
 1.41    


Upper limit of 95% CI
 7.49    
 8.67    
11.2    
13.4    
12.8    
22.9    
16.0     
16.4    
22.9    
















TABLE 16.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 48 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.561
0.787
0.555
1.00
0.544
1.03


Average
0.778
1.06
0.773
1.20
0.769
1.24


Stdev
0.754
1.01
0.739
1.11
0.734
1.13


p (t-test)

0.16

0.061

0.041


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
60
24
67
17
68
16










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.567
0.990
0.567
1.03
0.561
1.07


Average
0.860
0.948
0.853
1.00
0.848
1.05


Stdev
0.892
0.617
0.882
0.637
0.877
0.647


p (t-test)

0.73

0.58

0.47


Min
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.86
2.58
4.86
2.58
4.86
2.58


n (Patient)
67
14
69
12
70
11










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.544
0.791
0.555
0.896
0.555
0.896


Average
0.759
1.13
0.768
1.29
0.768
1.29


Stdev
0.744
1.10
0.728
1.29
0.728
1.29


p (t-test)

0.10

0.049

0.049


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
58
19
65
12
65
12













Persistence





Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.58    
 0.62    
 0.60    
 0.64    
 0.65    
 0.62    
 0.66    
 0.67    
 0.62    


SE
 0.071   
 0.087   
 0.077   
 0.079   
 0.092   
 0.093   
 0.081   
 0.095   
 0.093   


p Value
 0.24    
 0.18    
 0.20    
 0.071   
 0.100   
 0.21    
 0.054   
 0.070   
 0.21    


nCohort
60     
67     
58     
67     
69     
65     
68     
70     
65     


Non-persistent











nCohort
24     
14     
19     
17     
12     
12     
16     
11     
12     


Persistent











Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.372   
 0.374   
 0.374   
 0.372   
 0.374   
 0.374   
 0.372   
 0.374   
 0.374   


Sensitivity
75%   
86%   
74%   
82%   
92%   
75%   
81%   
91%   
75%   


Specificity
25%   
27%   
24%   
27%   
28%   
25%   
26%   
27%   
25%   


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.614   
 0.636   
 0.593   
 0.614   
 0.636   
 0.593   
 0.614   
 0.636   
 0.593   


Sensitivity
58%   
64%   
63%   
65%   
67%   
67%   
69%   
73%   
67%   


Specificity
53%   
52%   
53%   
54%   
52%   
52%   
54%   
53%   
52%   


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.04    
 1.04    
 1.00    
 1.04    
 1.04    
 1.00    
 1.04    
 1.04    
 1.00    


Sensitivity
38%   
43%   
42%   
47%   
50%   
50%   
50%   
55%   
50%   


Specificity
80%   
78%   
79%   
81%   
78%   
78%   
81%   
79%   
78%   


OR Quartile 2
 1.00    
 2.20    
 0.891   
 1.71    
 4.18    
 0.980   
 1.56    
 3.73    
 0.980   


p Value
 1.0    
 0.33    
 0.85    
 0.44    
 0.18    
 0.98    
 0.52    
 0.22    
 0.98    


Lower limit
 0.335   
 0.449   
 0.272   
 0.440   
 0.505   
 0.236   
 0.398   
 0.446   
 0.236   


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 2.98    
 10.8    
 2.91    
 6.67    
34.6    
 4.07    
 6.12    
31.1    
 4.07    


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 3
 1.60    
 1.97    
 1.97    
 2.13    
 2.18    
 2.19    
 2.63    
 2.99    
 2.19    


p Value
 0.34    
 0.27    
 0.21    
 0.18    
 0.24    
 0.23    
 0.10    
 0.13    
 0.23    


Lower limit
 0.614   
 0.597   
 0.678   
 0.705   
 0.601   
 0.601   
 0.823   
 0.732   
 0.601   


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 4.17    
 6.50    
 5.71    
 6.43    
 7.92    
 8.01    
 8.38    
 12.2    
 8.01    


of 95% CI











OR Quartile 4
 2.40    
 2.60    
 2.79    
 3.69    
 3.60    
 3.64    
 4.23    
 4.40    
 3.64    


p Value
 0.099   
 0.12    
 0.070   
 0.023   
 0.048   
 0.047   
 0.014   
 0.027   
 0.047   


Lower limit
 0.848   
 0.780   
 0.918   
 1.19    
 1.01    
 1.02    
 1.34    
 1.18    
 1.02    


of 95% CI











Upper limit
 6.80    
 8.67    
 8.46    
11.4    
12.8    
13.1    
13.4    
16.4    
13.1    


of 95% CI
















TABLE 16.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve


(AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where


persistence starts within 72 hours after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output


RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.567
0.783
0.544
1.03
0.532
1.07


Average
0.783
1.04
0.754
1.24
0.750
1.29


Stdev
0.760
0.993
0.728
1.10
0.723
1.11


p (t-test)

0.21

0.027

0.017


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
59
25
66
18
67
17










sCr only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.580
0.979
0.567
1.03
0.561
1.07


Average
0.866
0.918
0.853
1.00
0.848
1.05


Stdev
0.898
0.607
0.882
0.637
0.877
0.647


p (t-test)

0.83

0.58

0.47


Min
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.86
2.58
4.86
2.58
4.86
2.58


n (Patient)
66
15
69
12
70
11










UO only










Persistence
24
48
72













Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.555
0.787
0.555
0.896
0.544
1.00


Average
0.763
1.10
0.753
1.29
0.749
1.35


Stdev
0.749
1.08
0.721
1.23
0.716
1.25


p (t-test)

0.13

0.033

0.019


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
57
20
63
14
64
13













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
 0.58    
 0.60    
 0.59    
 0.67     
 0.65    
 0.63    
 0.68    
 0.67    
 0.65    


SE
 0.070   
 0.084   
 0.076   
 0.076    
 0.092   
 0.087   
 0.078    
 0.095   
 0.089   


p Value
 0.27    
 0.23    
 0.24    
 0.030    
 0.100   
 0.13    
 0.022    
 0.070   
 0.100   


nCohort Non-persistent
59      
66      
57      
66       
69   
63      
67      
70      
64      


nCohort Persistent
25      
15      
20      
18       
12   
14      
17      
11      
13      


Cutoff Quartile 2
 0.372   
 0.374   
 0.374   
 0.372    
 0.374   
 0.374   
 0.372    
 0.374   
 0.374   


Sensitivity
76%   
87%   
75%   
83%    
92%   
79%   
82%   
91%   
77%   


Specificity
25%   
27%   
25%   
27%    
28%   
25%   
27%   
27%   
25%   


Cutoff Quartile 3
 0.614   
 0.636   
 0.593   
 0.614    
 0.636   
 0.593   
 0.614   
 0.636   
 0.593   


Sensitivity
56%   
60%   
60%   
67%    
67%   
64%   
71%   
73%   
69%   


Specificity
53%   
52%   
53%   
55%    
52%   
52%   
55%   
53%   
53%   


Cutoff Quartile 4
 1.04    
 1.04    
 1.00    
 1.04     
 1.04    
 1.00    
 1.04    
 1.04    
 1.00    


Sensitivity
36%   
40%   
40%   
50%    
50%   
50%   
53%   
55%   
54%   


Specificity
80%   
77%   
79%   
82%    
78%   
79%   
82%   
79%   
80%   


OR Quartile 2
 1.08    
 2.44    
 0.977   
 1.88     
 4.18    
 1.25    
 1.71    
 3.73    
 1.11    


p Value
 0.89    
 0.27    
 0.97    
 0.36     
 0.18    
 0.76    
 0.44    
 0.22    
 0.88    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.363   
 0.500   
 0.301   
 0.485    
 0.505   
 0.309   
 0.440    
 0.446   
 0.272   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.21    
11.9    
 3.17    
 7.25     
 34.6    
 5.05    
 6.67    
31.1    
 4.55    


OR Quartile 3
 1.41    
 1.59    
 1.67    
 2.40     
 2.18    
 1.98    
 2.96    
 2.99    
 2.55    


p Value
 0.47    
 0.42    
 0.33    
 0.12     
 0.24    
 0.26    
 0.064    
 0.13    
 0.15    


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.550   
 0.510   
 0.592   
 0.804    
 0.601   
 0.596   
 0.938    
 0.732   
 0.712   


Upper limit of 95% CI
 3.61    
 4.98    
 4.69    
 7.16     
 7.92    
 6.57    
 9.34    
 12.2    
 9.14    


OR Quartile 4
 2.20    
 2.27    
 2.50    
 4.50     
 3.60    
 3.85    
 5.16    
 4.40    
 4.58    


p Value
 0.13    
 0.18    
 0.10    
 0.0082   
 0.048   
 0.029   
 0.0048   
 0.027   
 0.017   


Lower limit of 95% CI
 0.784   
 0.695   
 0.834   
 1.47     
 1.01    
 1.14    
 1.65    
 1.18    
 1.31    


Upper limit of 95% CI
 6.19    
 7.40    
 7.50    
13.7     
12.8    
12.9    
16.1     
16.4    
16.0    
















TABLE 16.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.567
0.783
0.532
1.00
0.527
1.03


Average
0.783
1.04
0.751
1.23
0.747
1.27


Stdev
0.760
0.993
0.733
1.07
0.728
1.08


p (t-test)

0.21

0.027

0.018


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
59
25
65
19
66
18










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.580
0.979
0.561
1.00
0.555
1.03


Average
0.866
0.918
0.851
1.000
0.846
1.04


Stdev
0.898
0.607
0.889
0.610
0.883
0.617


p (t-test)

0.83

0.57

0.46


Min
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.86
2.58
4.86
2.58
4.86
2.58


n (Patient)
66
15
68
13
69
12










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.555
0.787
0.544
0.979
0.532
0.990


Average
0.763
1.10
0.749
1.27
0.745
1.32


Stdev
0.749
1.08
0.726
1.19
0.721
1.21


p (t-test)

0.13

0.034

0.021


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
57
20
62
15
63
14













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.58
0.60
0.59
0.67
0.66
0.64
0.69
0.68
0.66


SE
0.070
0.084
0.076
0.075
0.088
0.084
0.076
0.091
0.086


p Value
0.27
0.23
0.24
0.020
0.071
0.088
0.014
0.049
0.065


nCohort Non-persistent
59
66
57
65
68
62
66
69
63


nCohort Persistent
25
15
20
19
13
15
18
12
14


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374


Sensitivity
76%
87%
75%
84%
92%
80%
83%
92%
79%


Specificity
25%
27%
25%
28%
28%
26%
27%
28%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593


Sensitivity
56%
60%
60%
68%
69%
67%
72%
75%
71%


Specificity
53%
52%
53%
55%
53%
53%
56%
54%
54%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00


Sensitivity
36%
40%
40%
47%
46%
47%
50%
50%
50%


Specificity
80%
77%
79%
82%
78%
79%
82%
78%
79%


OR Quartile 2
1.08
2.44
0.977
2.04
4.65
1.39
1.88
4.18
1.25


p Value
0.89
0.27
0.97
0.30
0.15
0.64
0.36
0.18
0.76


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.363
0.500
0.301
0.531
0.565
0.348
0.485
0.505
0.309


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.21
11.9
3.17
7.86
38.3
5.57
7.25
34.6
5.05


OR Quartile 3
1.41
1.59
1.67
2.69
2.53
2.28
3.32
3.47
2.93


p Value
0.47
0.42
0.33
0.074
0.15
0.17
0.039
0.079
0.095


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.550
0.510
0.592
0.910
0.711
0.697
1.06
0.864
0.831


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.61
4.98
4.69
7.95
9.02
7.43
10.4
13.9
10.3


OR Quartile 4
2.20
2.27
2.50
3.97
3.03
3.30
4.50
3.60
3.85


p Value
0.13
0.18
0.10
0.014
0.078
0.048
0.0082
0.048
0.029


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.784
0.695
0.834
1.33
0.884
1.01
1.47
1.01
1.14


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.19
7.40
7.50
11.9
10.4
10.8
13.7
12.8
12.9
















TABLE 16.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.555
0.791
0.527
1.02
0.527
1.02


Average
0.773
1.04
0.746
1.18
0.749
1.21


Stdev
0.771
0.955
0.746
1.01
0.737
1.05


p (t-test)

0.17

0.038

0.030


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
57
27
62
22
64
20










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.580
0.979
0.561
1.00
0.555
1.03


Average
0.866
0.918
0.851
1.000
0.846
1.04


Stdev
0.898
0.607
0.889
0.610
0.883
0.617


p (t-test)

0.83

0.57

0.46


Min
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.86
2.58
4.86
2.58
4.86
2.58


n (Patient)
66
15
68
13
69
12










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.544
0.791
0.532
0.990
0.527
1.00


Average
0.758
1.10
0.745
1.20
0.740
1.24


Stdev
0.755
1.05
0.740
1.10
0.734
1.12


p (t-test)

0.12

0.048

0.032


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
56
21
59
18
60
17













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.60
0.60
0.61
0.67
0.66
0.65
0.67
0.68
0.66


SE
0.068
0.084
0.075
0.070
0.088
0.078
0.073
0.091
0.079


p Value
0.13
0.23
0.16
0.015
0.071
0.063
0.023
0.049
0.047


nCohort Non-persistent
57
66
56
62
68
59
64
69
60


nCohort Persistent
27
15
21
22
13
18
20
12
17


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374


Sensitivity
78%
87%
76%
82%
92%
78%
80%
92%
76%


Specificity
26%
27%
25%
27%
28%
25%
27%
28%
25%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593


Sensitivity
59%
60%
62%
68%
69%
67%
70%
75%
71%


Specificity
54%
52%
54%
56%
53%
54%
56%
54%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00


Sensitivity
37%
40%
43%
45%
46%
50%
45%
50%
53%


Specificity
81%
77%
80%
82%
78%
81%
81%
78%
82%


OR Quartile 2
1.25
2.44
1.07
1.70
4.65
1.19
1.45
4.18
1.08


p Value
0.69
0.27
0.91
0.39
0.15
0.78
0.56
0.18
0.90


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.424
0.500
0.330
0.503
0.565
0.340
0.424
0.505
0.306


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.69
11.9
3.44
5.75
38.3
4.19
4.94
34.6
3.83


OR Quartile 3
1.73
1.59
1.88
2.78
2.53
2.37
3.00
3.47
2.93


p Value
0.24
0.42
0.23
0.051
0.15
0.13
0.045
0.079
0.069


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.686
0.510
0.672
0.994
0.711
0.784
1.02
0.864
0.919


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.39
4.98
5.23
7.77
9.02
7.16
8.80
13.9
9.36


OR Quartile 4
2.46
2.27
3.07
3.86
3.03
4.36
3.55
3.60
5.01


p Value
0.084
0.18
0.043
0.013
0.078
0.011
0.022
0.048
0.0063


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.886
0.695
1.03
1.34
0.884
1.41
1.20
1.01
1.58


Upper limit of 95% CI
6.83
7.40
9.10
11.2
10.4
13.5
10.5
12.8
15.9









Example 17. Use of Tyrosine-Protein Kinase Receptor UFO for Evaluating Renal Status in Patients Admitted to the ICU: Persistent at RIFLE I or F

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) are enrolled in the following study. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and a urine samples (25-30 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, 4 (±0.5) and 8 (±1) hours after contrast administration (if applicable); at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), and 48 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 to day 14 while the subject is hospitalized. Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO is measured in the earliest samples collected while the patients were in RIFLE I or F by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents.


Kidney status is assessed by RIFLE criteria based on serum creatinine, urine output, or both serum creatinine and urine output. Two cohorts are defined to represent a “persistent” and a “non-persistent” population. “Persistent” indicates those patients whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is injury (I) or failure (F) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. “Non-persistent” indicates those patients who are not persistent at injury (I) or failure (F) and whose minimum RIFLE stage during a period of 24, 48 or 72 hours is non-injury (RIFLE 0) or risk of injury (R) where the persistence period can start from the time of sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection. If a patient dies after injury (I) or failure (F) or is placed on renal replacement therapy (RRT) at any time from sample collection to 24, 48, 72, 96 or 168 hours after sample collection, the patient is considered “persistent”.


The ability to distinguish the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts is determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.









TABLE 17.1





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC)


in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by


serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
5.79
2.78
5.32
2.16
4.88
1.59


Average
6.32
3.68
6.03
2.52
5.86
2.34


Stdev
4.29
3.52
4.37
1.91
4.28
1.92


p (t-test)

0.0028

1.5E−4

3.0E−4


Min
0.432
0.276
0.366
0.276
0.366
0.276


Max
20.5
20.6
20.6
7.34
20.6
7.34


n (Patient)
38
45
56
27
60
23










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
5.16
1.64
4.87
2.19
4.85
1.89


Average
5.94
2.24
5.66
2.38
5.54
2.24


Stdev
4.32
1.98
4.32
2.13
4.26
2.20


p (t-test)

1.7E−4

0.0021

0.0038


Min
0.502
0.276
0.366
0.276
0.366
0.276


Max
20.6
9.11
20.6
9.11
20.6
9.11


n (Patient)
57
23
61
19
64
16










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
4.84
4.01
4.84
2.78
4.84
2.78


Average
5.51
4.69
5.39
4.48
5.41
4.39


Stdev
4.46
3.90
3.96
4.46
3.99
4.43


p (t-test)

0.39

0.35

0.31


Min
0.366
0.489
0.366
0.489
0.366
0.489


Max
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6


n (Patient)
35
43
49
29
51
27













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.28
0.19
0.45
0.22
0.22
0.40
0.21
0.21
0.40


SE
0.056
0.058
0.065
0.058
0.068
0.068
0.061
0.072
0.069


p Value
1.1E−4
7.0E−8
0.44
9.9E−7
4.6E−5
0.15
1.5E−6
6.7E−5
0.13


nCohort Non-persistent
38
57
35
56
61
49
60
64
51


nCohort Persistent
45
23
43
27
19
29
23
16
27


Cutoff Quartile 2
2.05
1.90
2.02
2.05
1.90
2.02
2.05
1.90
2.02


Sensitivity
67%
48%
74%
52%
53%
62%
48%
50%
63%


Specificity
16%
14%
26%
14%
18%
18%
15%
19%
20%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4.01
3.91
4.44
4.01
3.91
4.44
4.01
3.91
4.44


Sensitivity
38%
13%
47%
26%
16%
41%
22%
12%
41%


Specificity
34%
35%
46%
38%
39%
45%
38%
41%
45%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6.30
6.30
6.36
6.30
6.30
6.36
6.30
6.30
6.36


Sensitivity
11%
 4%
16%
 4%
 5%
17%
 4%
 6%
15%


Specificity
58%
67%
63%
64%
69%
69%
67%
70%
69%


OR Quartile 2
0.375
0.150
1.01
0.179
0.244
0.368
0.162
0.231
0.415


p Value
0.072
7.8E−4
0.99
0.0015
0.013
0.060
9.7E−4
0.014
0.098


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.129
0.0494
0.362
0.0620
0.0804
0.130
0.0548
0.0721
0.146


Upper limit of 95% CI
1.09
0.453
2.80
0.520
0.743
1.04
0.477
0.739
1.18


OR Quartile 3
0.316
0.0811
0.732
0.210
0.122
0.575
0.173
0.0977
0.565


p Value
0.012
2.1E−4
0.50
0.0026
0.0020
0.24
0.0021
0.0036
0.24


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.128
0.0214
0.299
0.0760
0.0320
0.227
0.0564
0.0205
0.219


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.778
0.307
1.79
0.580
0.463
1.46
0.529
0.467
1.45


OR Quartile 4
0.172
0.0909
0.329
0.0692
0.123
0.472
0.0909
0.158
0.380


p Value
0.0023
0.024
0.040
0.011
0.049
0.20
0.023
0.084
0.12


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.0555
0.0114
0.114
0.00873
0.0153
0.151
0.0114
0.0194
0.113


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.533
0.726
0.951
0.549
0.988
1.48
0.724
1.28
1.28
















TABLE 17.2





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
5.90
3.03
5.54
2.19
5.02
2.16


Average
6.86
3.77
6.24
2.83
6.04
2.73


Stdev
4.39
3.47
4.46
2.25
4.37
2.32


p (t-test)

6.7E−4

1.1E−4

2.8E−4


Min
0.502
0.276
0.366
0.276
0.366
0.276


Max
20.5
20.6
20.6
9.11
20.6
9.11


n (Patient)
30
53
50
33
54
29










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
5.49
1.64
5.02
2.32
4.87
1.89


Average
6.21
2.27
5.79
2.47
5.62
2.31


Stdev
4.35
1.91
4.38
2.04
4.29
2.15


p (t-test)

2.5E−5

0.0010

0.0023


Min
0.502
0.276
0.366
0.276
0.366
0.276


Max
20.6
9.11
20.6
9.11
20.6
9.11


n (Patient)
53
27
58
22
62
18










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
4.88
4.01
4.88
3.03
4.88
3.03


Average
5.74
4.65
5.60
4.35
5.60
4.27


Stdev
4.61
3.84
3.99
4.31
4.02
4.27


p (t-test)

0.26

0.19

0.16


Min
0.366
0.398
0.366
0.398
0.366
0.398


Max
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6


n (Patient)
29
49
44
34
46
32













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.25
0.17
0.43
0.23
0.23
0.37
0.23
0.22
0.37


SE
0.053
0.053
0.066
0.055
0.064
0.064
0.058
0.069
0.065


p Value
4.1E−6
3.6E−10
0.27
1.1E−6
1.9E−5
0.047
3.6E−6
3.9E−5
0.042


nCohort Non-persistent
30
53
29
50
58
44
54
62
46


nCohort Persistent
53
27
49
33
22
34
29
18
32


Cutoff Quartile 2
2.05
1.90
2.02
2.05
1.90
2.02
2.05
1.90
2.02


Sensitivity
66%
48%
73%
55%
55%
62%
52%
50%
62%


Specificity
10%
11%
24%
12%
17%
16%
13%
18%
17%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4.01
3.91
4.44
4.01
3.91
4.44
4.01
3.91
4.44


Sensitivity
40%
15%
47%
30%
18%
41%
28%
17%
41%


Specificity
30%
32%
45%
36%
38%
43%
37%
40%
43%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6.30
6.30
6.36
6.30
6.30
6.36
6.30
6.30
6.36


Sensitivity
13%
 4%
18%
 6%
 5%
18%
 7%
 6%
16%


Specificity
53%
64%
62%
62%
67%
68%
65%
69%
67%


OR Quartile 2
0.216
0.119
0.881
0.164
0.250
0.306
0.160
0.216
0.351


p Value
0.023
2.4E−4
0.82
0.0012
0.012
0.029
8.4E−4
0.0078
0.050


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.0576
0.0380
0.305
0.0548
0.0848
0.106
0.0543
0.0696
0.123


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.810
0.369
2.55
0.489
0.737
0.885
0.469
0.668
0.998


OR Quartile 3
0.281
0.0821
0.719
0.245
0.136
0.532
0.224
0.135
0.526


p Value
0.0093
5.0E−5
0.48
0.0033
0.0012
0.17
0.0029
0.0034
0.17


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.108
0.0245
0.286
0.0955
0.0406
0.215
0.0838
0.0354
0.211


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.731
0.275
1.81
0.626
0.454
1.32
0.599
0.516
1.31


OR Quartile 4
0.174
0.0688
0.368
0.105
0.0977
0.459
0.136
0.133
0.383


p Value
0.0014
0.011
0.060
0.0042
0.028
0.16
0.011
0.058
0.098


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.0596
0.00864
0.130
0.0226
0.0122
0.155
0.0292
0.0165
0.123


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.507
0.548
1.04
0.491
0.782
1.36
0.637
1.07
1.19
















TABLE 17.3





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
5.79
3.15
5.54
2.44
5.02
2.19


Average
6.74
3.89
6.22
3.05
6.02
2.99


Stdev
4.42
3.55
4.49
2.52
4.39
2.62


p (t-test)

0.0020

3.1E−4

8.0E−4


Min
0.502
0.276
0.366
0.276
0.366
0.276


Max
20.5
20.6
20.6
10.3
20.6
10.3


n (Patient)
29
54
48
35
52
31










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
5.42
1.92
4.88
2.44
4.87
2.19


Average
6.13
2.56
5.71
2.81
5.55
2.74


Stdev
4.35
2.42
4.37
2.58
4.28
2.78


p (t-test)

1.4E−4

0.0040

0.0090


Min
0.502
0.276
0.366
0.276
0.366
0.276


Max
20.6
10.3
20.6
10.3
20.6
10.3


n (Patient)
52
28
57
23
61
19










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
4.88
4.01
4.88
3.03
4.88
3.03


Average
5.74
4.65
5.66
4.32
5.66
4.23


Stdev
4.61
3.84
4.01
4.25
4.04
4.21


p (t-test)

0.26

0.16

0.13


Min
0.366
0.398
0.366
0.398
0.366
0.398


Max
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6


n (Patient)
29
49
43
35
45
33













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.27
0.20
0.43
0.25
0.26
0.37
0.26
0.26
0.36


SE
0.055
0.055
0.066
0.056
0.066
0.064
0.058
0.071
0.064


p Value
3.9E−5
4.9E−8
0.27
8.7E−6
2.4E−4
0.036
3.0E−5
5.8E−4
0.032


nCohort Non-persistent
29
52
29
48
57
43
52
61
45


nCohort Persistent
54
28
49
35
23
35
31
19
33


Cutoff Quartile 2
2.05
1.90
2.02
2.05
1.90
2.02
2.05
1.90
2.02


Sensitivity
67%
50%
73%
57%
57%
63%
55%
53%
64%


Specificity
10%
12%
24%
12%
18%
16%
13%
18%
18%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4.01
3.91
4.44
4.01
3.91
4.44
4.01
3.91
4.44


Sensitivity
41%
18%
47%
31%
22%
40%
29%
21%
39%


Specificity
31%
33%
45%
35%
39%
42%
37%
41%
42%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6.30
6.30
6.36
6.30
6.30
6.36
6.30
6.30
6.36


Sensitivity
15%
 7%
18%
 9%
 9%
17%
10%
11%
15%


Specificity
55%
65%
62%
62%
68%
67%
65%
70%
67%


OR Quartile 2
0.231
0.130
0.881
0.190
0.277
0.329
0.189
0.244
0.378


p Value
0.030
4.0E−4
0.82
0.0028
0.019
0.040
0.0022
0.013
0.068


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.0615
0.0422
0.305
0.0643
0.0948
0.114
0.0651
0.0804
0.133


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.866
0.403
2.55
0.564
0.807
0.951
0.548
0.743
1.07


OR Quartile 3
0.309
0.106
0.719
0.251
0.175
0.480
0.236
0.185
0.475


p Value
0.016
9.3E−5
0.48
0.0035
0.0024
0.11
0.0031
0.0065
0.11


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.119
0.0342
0.286
0.0995
0.0567
0.194
0.0903
0.0549
0.190


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.805
0.326
1.81
0.635
0.538
1.19
0.615
0.624
1.19


OR Quartile 4
0.214
0.145
0.368
0.156
0.206
0.429
0.202
0.281
0.357


p Value
0.0040
0.015
0.060
0.0058
0.047
0.13
0.018
0.11
0.076


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.0750
0.0309
0.130
0.0417
0.0436
0.145
0.0540
0.0588
0.115


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.611
0.683
1.04
0.585
0.976
1.27
0.758
1.34
1.11
















TABLE 17.4





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
5.79
3.36
5.58
2.47
5.32
2.44


Average
6.66
4.03
6.24
3.29
6.09
3.23


Stdev
4.46
3.63
4.53
2.79
4.43
2.88


p (t-test)

0.0053

7.7E−4

0.0012


Min
0.502
0.276
0.366
0.276
0.366
0.276


Max
20.5
20.6
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5


n (Patient)
27
56
45
38
48
35










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
5.32
2.32
4.87
2.51
4.85
2.47


Average
6.04
2.95
5.61
3.26
5.48
3.30


Stdev
4.37
2.88
4.38
3.05
4.32
3.22


p (t-test)

9.4E−4

0.018

0.035


Min
0.502
0.276
0.366
0.276
0.366
0.276


Max
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5


n (Patient)
50
30
55
25
58
22










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
4.88
4.18
5.16
3.28
5.02
3.44


Average
5.58
4.78
5.68
4.43
5.60
4.49


Stdev
4.64
3.88
4.06
4.20
4.04
4.24


p (t-test)

0.42

0.19

0.24


Min
0.366
0.398
0.366
0.398
0.366
0.398


Max
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6


n (Patient)
27
51
39
39
40
38













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.29
0.24
0.45
0.27
0.30
0.38
0.27
0.31
0.39


SE
0.057
0.058
0.068
0.056
0.067
0.063
0.057
0.070
0.064


p Value
2.4E−4
6.1E−6
0.45
3.9E−5
0.0033
0.050
5.3E−5
0.0079
0.073


nCohort Non-persistent
27
50
27
45
55
39
48
58
40


nCohort Persistent
56
30
51
38
25
39
35
22
38


Cutoff Quartile 2
2.05
1.90
2.02
2.05
1.90
2.02
2.05
1.90
2.02


Sensitivity
68%
53%
75%
61%
60%
67%
57%
59%
66%


Specificity
11%
12%
26%
13%
18%
18%
12%
19%
18%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4.01
3.91
4.44
4.01
3.91
4.44
4.01
3.91
4.44


Sensitivity
43%
23%
47%
34%
28%
38%
31%
27%
39%


Specificity
33%
34%
44%
36%
40%
38%
35%
41%
40%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6.30
6.30
6.36
6.30
6.30
6.36
6.30
6.30
6.36


Sensitivity
16%
10%
20%
11%
12%
18%
11%
14%
18%


Specificity
56%
66%
63%
62%
69%
67%
65%
71%
68%


OR Quartile 2
0.264
0.156
1.02
0.236
0.333
0.438
0.190
0.338
0.408


p Value
0.049
0.0011
0.97
0.0086
0.041
0.12
0.0028
0.048
0.096


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.0702
0.0511
0.352
0.0803
0.116
0.152
0.0643
0.116
0.142


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.993
0.475
2.97
0.693
0.956
1.26
0.564
0.989
1.17


OR Quartile 3
0.375
0.157
0.711
0.287
0.259
0.391
0.251
0.265
0.435


p Value
0.045
4.2E−4
0.48
0.0069
0.0099
0.043
0.0035
0.015
0.072


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.144
0.0560
0.279
0.116
0.0929
0.157
0.0995
0.0904
0.175


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.979
0.439
1.82
0.710
0.724
0.973
0.635
0.775
1.08


OR Quartile 4
0.239
0.216
0.415
0.194
0.305
0.437
0.235
0.381
0.469


p Value
0.0071
0.024
0.098
0.0073
0.081
0.12
0.018
0.16
0.16


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.0845
0.0571
0.146
0.0584
0.0802
0.152
0.0710
0.0995
0.163


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.678
0.814
1.18
0.642
1.16
1.26
0.779
1.46
1.35
















TABLE 17.5





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in urine samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
5.79
3.36
5.69
2.47
5.54
2.44


Average
6.78
4.07
6.42
3.24
6.25
3.18


Stdev
4.50
3.64
4.55
2.73
4.45
2.82


p (t-test)

0.0048

2.6E−4

4.6E−4


Min
0.502
0.276
0.366
0.276
0.366
0.276


Max
20.5
20.6
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5


n (Patient)
25
58
43
40
46
37










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
5.49
2.44
4.88
2.65
4.87
2.47


Average
6.07
2.99
5.64
3.30
5.58
3.24


Stdev
4.41
2.84
4.42
3.00
4.35
3.11


p (t-test)

8.7E−4

0.017

0.020


Min
0.502
0.276
0.366
0.276
0.366
0.276


Max
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5
20.6
11.5


n (Patient)
49
31
54
26
56
24










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
4.74
4.30
5.16
3.43
5.16
3.43


Average
5.46
4.85
5.65
4.52
5.65
4.46


Stdev
4.69
3.89
4.12
4.15
4.08
4.19


p (t-test)

0.55

0.23

0.21


Min
0.366
0.398
0.366
0.398
0.366
0.398


Max
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6
20.5
20.6


n (Patient)
26
52
37
41
39
39













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.28
0.24
0.47
0.25
0.31
0.39
0.25
0.30
0.38


SE
0.057
0.058
0.069
0.054
0.066
0.064
0.055
0.067
0.063


p Value
1.6E−4
7.9E−6
0.64
4.3E−6
0.0039
0.077
7.0E−6
0.0036
0.059


nCohort Non-persistent
25
49
26
43
54
37
46
56
39


nCohort Persistent
58
31
52
40
26
41
37
24
39


Cutoff Quartile 2
2.05
1.90
2.02
2.05
1.90
2.02
2.05
1.90
2.02


Sensitivity
67%
55%
75%
60%
62%
68%
57%
58%
67%


Specificity
 8%
12%
27%
12%
19%
19%
11%
18%
18%


Cutoff Quartile 3
4.01
3.91
4.44
4.01
3.91
4.44
4.01
3.91
4.44


Sensitivity
43%
26%
48%
32%
31%
39%
30%
29%
38%


Specificity
32%
35%
46%
33%
41%
38%
33%
41%
38%


Cutoff Quartile 4
6.30
6.30
6.36
6.30
6.30
6.36
6.30
6.30
6.36


Sensitivity
17%
10%
21%
10%
12%
20%
11%
12%
18%


Specificity
56%
65%
65%
60%
69%
68%
63%
70%
67%


OR Quartile 2
0.178
0.169
1.11
0.197
0.364
0.503
0.160
0.304
0.438


p Value
0.029
0.0017
0.85
0.0048
0.058
0.20
0.0015
0.028
0.12


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.0381
0.0559
0.379
0.0640
0.128
0.175
0.0515
0.105
0.152


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.837
0.514
3.22
0.609
1.04
1.44
0.497
0.880
1.26


OR Quartile 3
0.357
0.185
0.794
0.232
0.306
0.390
0.205
0.287
0.391


p Value
0.041
9.0E−4
0.63
0.0019
0.019
0.043
9.0E−4
0.017
0.043


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.133
0.0682
0.309
0.0927
0.113
0.156
0.0802
0.103
0.157


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.958
0.501
2.04
0.583
0.826
0.972
0.522
0.803
0.973


OR Quartile 4
0.265
0.202
0.507
0.170
0.284
0.505
0.207
0.328
0.437


p Value
0.013
0.018
0.20
0.0038
0.064
0.20
0.0099
0.10
0.12


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.0934
0.0534
0.178
0.0512
0.0748
0.179
0.0624
0.0861
0.152


Upper limit of 95% CI
0.752
0.761
1.44
0.564
1.08
1.42
0.685
1.25
1.26
















TABLE 17.6





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 24 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.555
0.647
0.505
0.980
0.532
0.791


Average
0.738
0.974
0.686
1.21
0.783
1.06


Stdev
0.602
1.01
0.546
1.17
0.768
0.990


p (t-test)

0.20

0.0066

0.18


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172


Max
2.99
4.86
2.99
4.86
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
41
43
56
28
61
23










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.527
1.00
0.522
1.03
0.532
1.03


Average
0.771
1.14
0.767
1.21
0.835
1.01


Stdev
0.767
0.996
0.759
1.03
0.908
0.599


p (t-test)

0.080

0.044

0.43


Min
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.86
2.58


n (Patient)
58
23
61
20
63
18










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.555
0.669
0.522
0.713
0.532
0.713


Average
0.830
0.869
0.800
0.937
0.802
0.945


Stdev
0.899
0.816
0.816
0.918
0.802
0.950


p (t-test)

0.84

0.50

0.49


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172


Max
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
37
40
49
28
51
26













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.56
0.67
0.54
0.66
0.71
0.56
0.61
0.68
0.55


SE
0.063
0.070
0.066
0.065
0.071
0.069
0.071
0.076
0.070


p Value
0.31
0.015
0.50
0.011
0.0030
0.36
0.11
0.019
0.49


nCohort Non-persistent
41
58
37
56
61
49
61
63
51


nCohort Persistent
43
23
40
28
20
28
23
18
26


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374


Sensitivity
77%
87%
75%
82%
95%
75%
83%
94%
73%


Specificity
27%
29%
24%
29%
31%
24%
28%
30%
24%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593


Sensitivity
53%
65%
55%
64%
70%
61%
61%
67%
62%


Specificity
54%
55%
54%
57%
56%
55%
54%
54%
55%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00


Sensitivity
30%
48%
30%
43%
50%
36%
39%
50%
35%


Specificity
80%
83%
78%
84%
82%
80%
80%
81%
78%


OR Quartile 2
1.21
2.76
0.964
1.84
8.60
0.973
1.84
7.34
0.835


p Value
0.71
0.14
0.95
0.29
0.043
0.96
0.33
0.061
0.74


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.450
0.725
0.342
0.596
1.07
0.332
0.545
0.910
0.283


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.25
10.5
2.72
5.68
69.0
2.85
6.18
59.2
2.46


OR Quartile 3
1.33
2.31
1.44
2.40
2.94
1.90
1.83
2.34
1.95


p Value
0.51
0.10
0.43
0.067
0.051
0.18
0.22
0.13
0.18


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.565
0.847
0.586
0.940
0.996
0.738
0.690
0.782
0.743


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.14
6.29
3.53
6.12
8.67
4.88
4.87
7.03
5.11


OR Quartile 4
1.79
4.40
1.55
3.92
4.55
2.17
2.62
4.25
1.93


p Value
0.26
0.0064
0.40
0.0096
0.0066
0.14
0.071
0.011
0.22


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.651
1.52
0.552
1.39
1.52
0.766
0.920
1.39
0.675


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.91
12.8
4.37
11.0
13.6
6.13
7.49
13.0
5.49
















TABLE 17.7





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 48 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.561
0.645
0.479
0.980
0.522
0.791


Average
0.759
0.920
0.669
1.14
0.778
1.01


Stdev
0.649
0.936
0.561
1.08
0.800
0.901


p (t-test)

0.40

0.011

0.23


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172


Max
2.99
4.86
2.99
4.86
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
32
52
50
34
55
29










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.527
1.00
0.503
1.04
0.522
1.05


Average
0.769
1.09
0.758
1.17
0.825
1.03


Stdev
0.789
0.936
0.774
0.970
0.920
0.569


p (t-test)

0.11

0.048

0.35


Min
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.86
2.58


n (Patient)
54
27
58
23
61
20










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.561
0.644
0.507
0.691
0.527
0.691


Average
0.840
0.857
0.780
0.944
0.782
0.951


Stdev
0.938
0.802
0.821
0.895
0.805
0.921


p (t-test)

0.93

0.41

0.40


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172


Max
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
30
47
44
33
46
31













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.55
0.67
0.53
0.68
0.72
0.57
0.63
0.70
0.56


SE
0.064
0.066
0.068
0.061
0.067
0.066
0.066
0.072
0.067


p Value
0.43
0.0093
0.70
0.0035
8.2E−4
0.27
0.052
0.0043
0.37


nCohort Non-persistent
32
54
30
50
58
44
55
61
46


nCohort Persistent
52
27
47
34
23
33
29
20
31


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374


Sensitivity
77%
89%
74%
82%
96%
76%
83%
95%
74%


Specificity
28%
31%
23%
30%
33%
25%
29%
31%
24%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593


Sensitivity
52%
63%
53%
65%
70%
61%
62%
70%
61%


Specificity
53%
56%
53%
60%
57%
57%
56%
56%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00


Sensitivity
29%
44%
30%
41%
48%
36%
38%
50%
35%


Specificity
81%
83%
80%
86%
83%
82%
82%
82%
80%


OR Quartile 2
1.30
3.68
0.888
2.00
10.7
1.04
1.97
8.60
0.904


p Value
0.60
0.055
0.83
0.20
0.025
0.94
0.24
0.043
0.85


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.477
0.972
0.304
0.687
1.34
0.365
0.639
1.07
0.316


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.56
13.9
2.59
5.83
85.6
2.97
6.07
69.0
2.59


OR Quartile 3
1.22
2.13
1.30
2.75
3.02
2.02
2.11
2.94
2.06


p Value
0.65
0.12
0.58
0.028
0.035
0.13
0.11
0.051
0.13


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.507
0.824
0.519
1.12
1.08
0.808
0.842
0.996
0.813


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.96
5.48
3.25
6.78
8.44
5.07
5.30
8.67
5.21


OR Quartile 4
1.76
4.00
1.70
4.30
4.40
2.57
2.75
4.55
2.26


p Value
0.30
0.0092
0.34
0.0065
0.0064
0.076
0.051
0.0066
0.12


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.602
1.41
0.570
1.50
1.52
0.905
0.996
1.52
0.803


Upper limit of 95% CI
5.13
11.4
5.05
12.3
12.8
7.30
7.60
13.6
6.37
















TABLE 17.8





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 72 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.567
0.643
0.474
0.979
0.484
0.791


Average
0.767
0.913
0.672
1.12
0.760
1.03


Stdev
0.658
0.929
0.566
1.07
0.796
0.893


p (t-test)

0.44

0.015

0.16


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172


Max
2.99
4.86
2.99
4.86
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
31
53
49
35
53
31










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.522
0.991
0.484
1.02
0.505
1.04


Average
0.774
1.07
0.762
1.14
0.830
1.01


Stdev
0.796
0.924
0.780
0.957
0.927
0.565


p (t-test)

0.14

0.065

0.42


Min
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217
0.108
0.217


Max
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.86
2.58


n (Patient)
53
28
57
24
60
21










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.561
0.644
0.492
0.713
0.522
0.713


Average
0.840
0.857
0.751
0.975
0.755
0.984


Stdev
0.938
0.802
0.808
0.900
0.792
0.925


p (t-test)

0.93

0.26

0.25


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172


Max
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
30
47
43
34
45
32













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.55
0.67
0.53
0.67
0.71
0.60
0.64
0.69
0.58


SE
0.065
0.065
0.068
0.061
0.066
0.066
0.064
0.071
0.067


p Value
0.45
0.012
0.70
0.0042
0.0012
0.15
0.026
0.0061
0.22


nCohort Non-persistent
31
53
30
49
57
43
53
60
45


nCohort Persistent
53
28
47
35
24
34
31
21
32


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374


Sensitivity
77%
89%
74%
83%
96%
76%
84%
95%
75%


Specificity
29%
32%
23%
31%
33%
26%
30%
32%
24%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593


Sensitivity
51%
61%
53%
63%
67%
62%
61%
67%
62%


Specificity
52%
55%
53%
59%
56%
58%
57%
55%
58%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00


Sensitivity
28%
43%
30%
40%
46%
38%
39%
48%
38%


Specificity
81%
83%
80%
86%
82%
84%
83%
82%
82%


OR Quartile 2
1.40
3.94
0.888
2.13
11.5
1.12
2.25
9.27
0.971


p Value
0.51
0.043
0.83
0.16
0.021
0.84
0.16
0.036
0.96


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.510
1.04
0.304
0.732
1.44
0.392
0.732
1.16
0.340


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.83
14.9
2.59
6.21
91.7
3.18
6.91
74.2
2.77


OR Quartile 3
1.11
1.87
1.30
2.45
2.56
2.24
2.07
2.44
2.28


p Value
0.82
0.19
0.58
0.048
0.065
0.085
0.12
0.092
0.082


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.456
0.736
0.519
1.01
0.945
0.895
0.836
0.864
0.901


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.69
4.74
3.25
5.98
6.94
5.63
5.10
6.92
5.77


OR Quartile 4
1.64
3.67
1.70
4.00
3.98
3.18
3.09
4.05
2.78


p Value
0.36
0.014
0.34
0.0095
0.010
0.033
0.030
0.011
0.056


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.563
1.30
0.570
1.40
1.39
1.10
1.12
1.38
0.974


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.81
10.3
5.05
11.4
11.4
9.23
8.55
11.9
7.91
















TABLE 17.9





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in


EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 96 hours after sample collection


and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, .


urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.602
0.618
0.484
0.791
0.479
0.885


Average
0.781
0.902
0.689
1.07
0.757
1.01


Stdev
0.664
0.924
0.572
1.06
0.815
0.861


p (t-test)

0.53

0.036

0.18


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172


Max
2.99
4.86
2.99
4.86
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
30
54
47
37
50
34










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.555
0.980
0.522
0.991
0.522
0.991


Average
0.794
1.01
0.781
1.07
0.848
0.941


Stdev
0.805
0.916
0.788
0.950
0.945
0.569


p (t-test)

0.27

0.15

0.65


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172


Max
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.86
2.58


n (Patient)
51
30
55
26
57
24










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.567
0.644
0.507
0.691
0.492
0.713


Average
0.858
0.846
0.770
0.936
0.756
0.957


Stdev
0.950
0.797
0.830
0.877
0.824
0.881


p (t-test)

0.95

0.40

0.31


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172


Max
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
29
48
40
37
41
36













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.53
0.62
0.51
0.63
0.66
0.56
0.65
0.64
0.59


SE
0.066
0.066
0.068
0.062
0.067
0.066
0.062
0.070
0.065


p Value
0.62
0.078
0.92
0.031
0.019
0.32
0.019
0.042
0.18


nCohort Non-persistent
30
51
29
47
55
40
50
57
41


nCohort Persistent
54
30
48
37
26
37
34
24
36


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374


Sensitivity
76%
83%
73%
78%
88%
73%
82%
88%
75%


Specificity
27%
29%
21%
28%
31%
22%
30%
30%
24%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593


Sensitivity
50%
57%
52%
59%
62%
59%
62%
62%
61%


Specificity
50%
53%
52%
57%
55%
57%
58%
54%
59%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00


Sensitivity
28%
40%
29%
38%
42%
35%
38%
42%
36%


Specificity
80%
82%
79%
85%
82%
82%
84%
81%
83%


OR Quartile 2
1.15
2.08
0.702
1.39
3.43
0.784
2.00
2.98
0.968


p Value
0.79
0.20
0.53
0.53
0.070
0.65
0.20
0.11
0.95


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.413
0.671
0.234
0.505
0.905
0.278
0.687
0.782
0.343


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.19
6.47
2.11
3.81
13.0
2.21
5.83
11.3
2.73


OR Quartile 3
1.00
1.47
1.16
1.98
1.92
1.98
2.23
1.99
2.22


p Value
1.0
0.40
0.75
0.13
0.18
0.14
0.078
0.17
0.087


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.410
0.594
0.463
0.826
0.741
0.801
0.915
0.748
0.890


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.44
3.65
2.93
4.75
4.97
4.92
5.44
5.28
5.53


OR Quartile 4
1.54
3.11
1.58
3.48
3.30
2.55
3.25
2.99
2.75


p Value
0.43
0.030
0.41
0.019
0.024
0.083
0.024
0.040
0.062


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.525
1.12
0.529
1.23
1.17
0.886
1.17
1.05
0.951


Upper limit of 95% CI
4.51
8.68
4.71
9.86
9.31
7.36
9.06
8.49
7.93
















TABLE 17.10





Comparison of marker levels and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in EDTA samples for the “persistent” and “non-persistent” cohorts where persistence starts within 168 hours


after sample collection and renal status is assessed by serum creatinine (sCr) only, urine output (UO) only, or serum creatinine or urine output RIFLE criteria.







sCr or UO











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.602
0.618
0.484
0.738
0.479
0.765


Average
0.802
0.887
0.698
1.04
0.768
0.980


Stdev
0.682
0.910
0.582
1.04
0.830
0.845


p (t-test)

0.66

0.059

0.25


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172


Max
2.99
4.86
2.99
4.86
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
28
56
45
39
48
36










sCr only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.555
0.980
0.522
0.991
0.522
0.991


Average
0.794
1.01
0.781
1.07
0.848
0.941


Stdev
0.805
0.916
0.788
0.950
0.945
0.569


p (t-test)

0.27

0.15

0.65


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172


Max
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.86
2.58


n (Patient)
51
30
55
26
57
24










UO only











24
48
72













Persistence Period
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent
Non-persistent
Persistent


Duration (hr)
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort
Cohort





Median
0.580
0.643
0.539
0.647
0.507
0.691


Average
0.876
0.835
0.793
0.905
0.767
0.940


Stdev
0.962
0.792
0.845
0.865
0.832
0.875


p (t-test)

0.84

0.57

0.38


Min
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172
0.108
0.172


Max
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60
4.86
4.60


n (Patient)
28
49
38
39
40
37













Persistence Period
24
48
72
















Duration (hr)
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.52
0.62
0.49
0.62
0.66
0.53
0.63
0.64
0.57


SE
0.067
0.066
0.069
0.062
0.067
0.066
0.062
0.070
0.066


p Value
0.79
0.078
0.87
0.057
0.019
0.65
0.037
0.042
0.28


nCohort Non-persistent
28
51
28
45
55
38
48
57
40


nCohort Persistent
56
30
49
39
26
39
36
24
37


Cutoff Quartile 2
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374
0.372
0.374
0.374


Sensitivity
75%
83%
71%
77%
88%
69%
81%
88%
73%


Specificity
25%
29%
18%
27%
31%
18%
29%
30%
22%


Cutoff Quartile 3
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593
0.614
0.636
0.593


Sensitivity
50%
57%
51%
59%
62%
56%
61%
62%
59%


Specificity
50%
53%
50%
58%
55%
55%
58%
54%
57%


Cutoff Quartile 4
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00
1.04
1.04
1.00


Sensitivity
27%
40%
29%
36%
42%
33%
36%
42%
35%


Specificity
79%
82%
79%
84%
82%
82%
83%
81%
82%


OR Quartile 2
1.00
2.08
0.543
1.21
3.43
0.508
1.71
2.98
0.784


p Value
1.0
0.20
0.30
0.70
0.070
0.21
0.31
0.11
0.65


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.351
0.671
0.172
0.448
0.905
0.175
0.607
0.782
0.278


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.85
6.47
1.71
3.28
13.0
1.47
4.80
11.3
2.21


OR Quartile 3
1.00
1.47
1.04
1.97
1.92
1.60
2.20
1.99
1.98


p Value
1.0
0.40
0.93
0.13
0.18
0.31
0.080
0.17
0.14


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.404
0.594
0.412
0.824
0.741
0.650
0.911
0.748
0.801


Upper limit of 95% CI
2.48
3.65
2.64
4.70
4.97
3.93
5.32
5.28
4.92


OR Quartile 4
1.34
3.11
1.47
3.04
3.30
2.21
2.83
2.99
2.55


p Value
0.59
0.030
0.49
0.036
0.024
0.14
0.046
0.040
0.083


Lower limit of 95% CI
0.456
1.12
0.491
1.08
1.17
0.770
1.02
1.05
0.886


Upper limit of 95% CI
3.95
8.68
4.38
8.59
9.31
6.37
7.83
8.49
7.36









Example 18. AKI Biomarkers in ICU Patients

Patients from the intensive care unit (ICU) are enrolled in the following study. Each patient is classified by kidney status as non-injury (0), risk of injury (R), injury (I), and failure (F) according to the maximum stage reached within 7 days of enrollment as determined by the RIFLE criteria. EDTA anti-coagulated blood samples (10 mL) and urine samples (50 mL) are collected from each patient at enrollment, at 12 (±1), 24 (±2), 36 (±2), 48 (±2), 60 (±2), 72 (±2), and 84 (±2) hours after enrollment, and thereafter daily up to day 7 while the subject is hospitalized. C-C motif chemokine 14, C-C motif chemokine 16, and Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO are measured by standard immunoassay methods using commercially available assay reagents in the urine samples and the plasma component of the blood samples collected.


Two cohorts are defined to represent a “diseased” and a “normal” population. While these terms are used for convenience, “diseased” and “normal” simply represent two cohorts for comparison (say RIFLE 0 vs RIFLE R, I and F; RIFLE 0 vs RIFLE R; RIFLE 0 and R vs RIFLE I and F; etc.). The time “prior max stage” represents the time at which a sample is collected, relative to the time a particular patient reaches the lowest disease stage as defined for that cohort, binned into three groups which are +/−12 hours. For example, “24 hr prior” which uses 0 vs R, I, F as the two cohorts would mean 24 hr (+/−12 hours) prior to reaching stage R (or I if no sample at R, or F if no sample at R or I).


A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is generated for each biomarker and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) is determined. Patients in Cohort 2 are also separated according to the reason for adjudication to cohort 2 as being based on serum creatinine measurements (sCr), being based on urine output (UO), or being based on either serum creatinine measurements or urine output. Using the same example discussed above (0 vs R, I, F), for those patients adjudicated to stage R, I, or F on the basis of serum creatinine measurements alone, the stage 0 cohort may include patients adjudicated to stage R, I, or F on the basis of urine output; for those patients adjudicated to stage R, I, or F on the basis of urine output alone, the stage 0 cohort may include patients adjudicated to stage R, I, or F on the basis of serum creatinine measurements; and for those patients adjudicated to stage R, I, or F on the basis of serum creatinine measurements or urine output, the stage 0 cohort contains only patients in stage 0 for both serum creatinine measurements and urine output. Also, in the data for patients adjudicated on the basis of serum creatinine measurements or urine output, the adjudication method which yielded the most severe RIFLE stage is used.


The ability to distinguish cohort 1 from Cohort 2 is determined using ROC analysis. SE is the standard error of the AUC, n is the number of sample or individual patients (“pts,” as indicated). Standard errors are calculated as described in Hanley, J. A., and McNeil, B. J., The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology (1982) 143: 29-36; p values are calculated with a two-tailed Z-test. An AUC <0.5 is indicative of a negative going marker for the comparison, and an AUC >0.5 is indicative of a positive going marker for the comparison.


Various biomarker threshold (or “cutoff”) concentrations are selected, and the associated sensitivity and specificity for distinguishing cohort 1 from cohort 2 are determined. OR is the odds ratio calculated for the particular cutoff concentration, and 95% CI is the confidence interval for the odds ratio.









TABLE 18.1





Comparison of marker levels in urine samples collected from Cohort 1


(patients that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0) and in urine samples collected from


subjects at 0, 24 hours, and 48 hours prior to reaching stage R, I or F in Cohort 2.







C-C motif chemokine 14











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
0.368
0.472
0.368
0.381
0.368
0.387


Average
0.696
1.03
0.696
0.784
0.696
0.959


Stdev
1.07
1.45
1.07
1.46
1.07
1.72


p(t-test)

1.7E−4

0.41

0.082


Min
0.00865
2.08E−6
0.00865
0.000797
0.00865
0.0465


Max
8.80
8.57
8.80
10.4
8.80
9.42


n (Samp)
528
287
528
152
528
67


n (Patient)
137
287
137
152
137
67














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
0.414
0.781
0.414
0.481
0.414
0.519


Average
0.758
1.68
0.758
1.40
0.758
1.43


Stdev
1.07
2.15
1.07
2.10
1.07
2.40


p(t-test)

2.8E−14

4.3E−6

1.1E−4


Min
0.00229
2.08E−6
0.00229
0.000797
0.00229
0.0516


Max
8.80
8.78
8.80
10.4
8.80
9.42


n (Samp)
1187
109
1187
74
1187
45


n (Patient)
315
109
315
74
315
45














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
0.403
0.461
0.403
0.372
0.403
0.387


Average
0.880
1.09
0.880
0.778
0.880
1.13


Stdev
1.42
1.54
1.42
1.32
1.42
2.03


p(t-test)

0.046

0.43

0.18














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Min
2.08E−6
0.0157
2.08E−6
0.0404
2.08E−6
0.00229


Max
10.4
7.28
10.4
9.26
10.4
9.39


n (Samp)
685
261
685
147
685
69


n (Patient)
172
261
172
147
172
69














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.59
0.65
0.56
0.51
0.59
0.48
0.53
0.58
0.50


SE
0.021
0.030
0.021
0.027
0.036
0.026
0.038
0.045
0.037


P
2.8E−5
7.6E−7
0.0061
0.63
0.010
0.56
0.42
0.087
0.89


nCohort 1
528
1187
685
528
1187
685
528
1187
685


nCohort 2
287
109
261
152
74
147
67
45
69


Cutoff 1
0.302
0.375
0.300
0.256
0.355
0.253
0.272
0.334
0.272


Sens 1
70%
71%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
71%
71%


Spec 1
41%
45%
38%
35%
43%
32%
38%
40%
35%


Cutoff 2
0.241
0.297
0.239
0.196
0.268
0.179
0.222
0.234
0.172


Sens 2
80%
81%
80%
80%
81%
80%
81%
80%
81%


Spec 2
31%
35%
29%
23%
31%
20%
28%
25%
18%


Cutoff 3
0.146
0.163
0.151
0.143
0.199
0.119
0.104
0.168
0.0781


Sens 3
90%
91%
90%
90%
91%
90%
91%
91%
91%


Spec 3
15%
15%
15%
15%
20%
11%
9%
16%
6%


Cutoff 4
0.592
0.668
0.648
0.592
0.668
0.648
0.592
0.668
0.648


Sens 4
41%
51%
37%
29%
38%
31%
34%
36%
29%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
0.869
0.983
0.977
0.869
0.983
0.977
0.869
0.983
0.977


Sens 5
31%
40%
28%
18%
32%
16%
22%
27%
23%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
1.32
1.60
1.97
1.32
1.60
1.97
1.32
1.60
1.97


Sens 6
21%
31%
15%
10%
20%
7%
16%
22%
16%


Spec 6
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
1.5
1.4
1.5
1.1
1.3
1.1
1.5
0.59
1.6


p Value
0.055
0.39
0.048
0.60
0.56
0.80
0.27
0.32
0.17


95% CI of
0.99
0.68
1.0
0.69
0.58
0.64
0.72
0.21
0.81


OR Quart2
2.3
2.7
2.3
1.9
2.7
1.8
3.2
1.6
3.3


OR Quart 3
1.7
1.6
1.4
1.1
1.8
1.1
1.5
1.5
1.2


p Value
0.015
0.18
0.16
0.79
0.11
0.70
0.27
0.31
0.70


95% CI of
1.1
0.81
0.89
0.64
0.87
0.67
0.72
0.67
0.55


OR Quart3
2.6
3.1
2.1
1.8
3.7
1.8
3.2
3.5
2.4


OR Quart 4
2.5
3.8
1.9
1.2
2.3
1.1
1.2
1.4
1.2


p Value
2.0E−5
1.0E−5
0.0032
0.44
0.023
0.80
0.57
0.41
0.58


95% CI of
1.6
2.1
1.2
0.74
1.1
0.64
0.58
0.62
0.59


OR Quart4
3.8
7.0
2.8
2.0
4.6
1.8
2.7
3.2
2.6
















TABLE 18.2





Comparison of marker levels in urine samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0 or R) and in urine samples collected from subjects at


0, 24 hours, and 48 hours prior to reaching stage I or F in Cohort 2.







C-C motif chemokine 14











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
0.397
0.741
0.397
0.475
0.397
0.374


Average
0.777
1.57
0.777
1.04
0.777
1.03


Stdev
1.22
1.99
1.22
1.60
1.22
1.76


p(t-test)

1.4E−12

0.026

0.098


Min
2.08E−6
0.0110
2.08E−6
0.0184
2.08E−6
0.00229


Max
10.4
9.06
10.4
9.26
10.4
9.39


n (Samp)
970
183
970
133
970
76


n (Patient)
249
183
249
133
249
76














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
0.441
1.19
0.441
0.673
0.441
0.565


Average
0.837
2.39
0.837
1.94
0.837
1.51


Stdev
1.22
2.49
1.22
2.48
1.22
2.26














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





p(t-test)

5.3E−19

3.9E−9

0.0019


Min
2.08E−6
0.000562
2.08E−6
0.0926
2.08E−6
0.0516


Max
10.4
8.81
10.4
9.07
10.4
9.06


n (Samp)
1464
59
1464
49
1464
34


n (Patient)
380
59
380
49
380
34














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
0.428
0.657
0.428
0.464
0.428
0.411


Average
0.992
1.38
0.992
1.01
0.992
1.00


Stdev
1.59
1.78
1.59
1.51
1.59
1.69


p(t-test)

0.0057

0.91

0.96


Min
2.08E−6
0.0110
2.08E−6
0.0184
2.08E−6
0.00229


Max
10.4
9.06
10.4
9.26
10.4
9.39


n (Samp)
1113
156
1113
118
1113
67


n (Patient)
274
156
274
118
274
67














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.67
0.73
0.62
0.55
0.69
0.52
0.50
0.58
0.49


SE
0.023
0.038
0.025
0.027
0.043
0.028
0.034
0.052
0.037


P
2.6E−13
7.5E−10
1.8E−6
0.062
1.4E−5
0.52
0.92
0.13
0.72


nCohort 1
970
1464
1113
970
1464
1113
970
1464
1113


nCohort 2
183
59
156
133
49
118
76
34
67


Cutoff 1
0.434
0.512
0.415
0.280
0.558
0.280
0.251
0.372
0.275


Sens 1
70%
71%
71%
71%
71%
70%
71%
71%
70%


Spec 1
54%
57%
49%
36%
61%
33%
30%
43%
32%


Cutoff 2
0.326
0.386
0.315
0.219
0.401
0.216
0.196
0.253
0.211


Sens 2
80%
81%
80%
80%
82%
81%
80%
82%
81%


Spec 2
41%
45%
37%
25%
46%
22%
22%
27%
21%


Cutoff 3
0.230
0.307
0.216
0.140
0.220
0.134
0.170
0.185
0.170


Sens 3
90%
92%
90%
90%
92%
91%
91%
91%
91%


Spec 3
26%
35%
22%
13%
21%
11%
18%
17%
16%


Cutoff 4
0.639
0.742
0.754
0.639
0.742
0.754
0.639
0.742
0.754


Sens 4
54%
66%
46%
34%
47%
33%
29%
38%
25%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
0.927
1.08
1.13
0.927
1.08
1.13
0.927
1.08
1.13


Sens 5
41%
54%
35%
25%
41%
21%
22%
26%
21%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
1.59
1.82
2.64
1.59
1.82
2.64
1.59
1.82
2.64


Sens 6
27%
41%
16%
18%
27%
 9%
16%
21%
 9%


Spec 6
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
1.6
2.8
1.2
1.00
1.4
1.1
1.3
2.0
0.93


p Value
0.089
0.081
0.47
0.99
0.56
0.69
0.42
0.20
0.85


95% CI of
0.93
0.88
0.70
0.58
0.44
0.65
0.68
0.68
0.45


OR Quart2
2.9
8.9
2.2
1.7
4.5
1.9
2.5
6.0
1.9


OR Quart 3
2.6
2.0
2.2
1.3
2.9
1.0
0.88
1.6
1.3


p Value
5.1E−4
0.26
0.0040
0.30
0.045
0.90
0.72
0.41
0.49


95% CI of
1.5
0.60
1.3
0.78
1.0
0.60
0.44
0.52
0.64


OR Quart3
4.5
6.8
3.7
2.2
8.0
1.8
1.8
5.0
2.5


OR Quart 4
4.9
9.8
2.9
1.4
4.8
1.2
1.1
2.2
1.0


p Value
1.5E−9
1.8E−5
4.0E−5
0.25
0.0016
0.42
0.87
0.14
1.0


95% CI of
2.9
3.5
1.7
0.81
1.8
0.73
0.54
0.77
0.49


OR Quart4
8.1
28
4.8
2.3
13
2.1
2.1
6.5
2.0
















TABLE 18.3





Comparison of marker levels in urine samples collected within 12 hours of


reaching stage R from Cohort 1 (patients that reached, but did not progress beyond,


RIFLE stage R) and from Cohort 2 (patients that reached RIFLE stage I or F).







C-C motif chemokine 14











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
0.462
0.657
0.795
1.45
0.461
0.664


Average
0.689
1.43
0.801
2.27
0.890
1.42














sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Stdev
0.724
1.84
0.595
2.38
1.33
1.82


p(t-test)

0.0085

0.0064

0.066


Min
2.08E−6
0.0157
2.08E−6
0.110
0.0313
0.0157


Max
3.38
8.57
2.51
8.78
7.84
8.08


n (Samp)
46
126
22
38
49
115


n (Patient)
46
126
22
38
49
115












At Enrollment











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.63
0.69
0.61


SE
0.046
0.068
0.046


P
0.0046
0.0042
0.017


nCohort 1
46
22
49


nCohort 2
126
38
115


Cutoff 1
0.384
0.518
0.370


Sens 1
71%
71%
70%


Spec 1
43%
32%
39%


Cutoff 2
0.309
0.435
0.291


Sens 2
80%
82%
80%


Spec 2
35%
32%
33%


Cutoff 3
0.224
0.302
0.214


Sens 3
90%
92%
90%


Spec 3
22%
27%
20%


Cutoff 4
0.754
0.977
0.708


Sens 4
45%
61%
49%


Spec 4
72%
73%
71%


Cutoff 5
0.977
1.10
1.09


Sens 5
38%
58%
35%


Spec 5
80%
82%
82%


Cutoff 6
1.42
1.42
2.81


Sens 6
27%
50%
16%


Spec 6
91%
91%
92%


OR Quart 2
1.7
0.77
1.1


p Value
0.25
0.72
0.82


95% CI of
0.69
0.18
0.45


OR Quart2
4.3
3.2
2.7


OR Quart 3
1.2
1.3
2.0


p Value
0.65
0.71
0.16


95% CI of
0.50
0.31
0.77


OR Quart3
3.0
5.6
5.1


OR Quart 4
4.5
12
2.6


p Value
0.0084
0.030
0.056


95% CI of
1.5
1.3
0.98


OR Quart4
14
120
7.1
















TABLE 18.4





Comparison of the maximum marker levels in urine samples collected from


Cohort 1 (patients that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0) and the maximum values


in urine samples collected from subjects between enrollment and 0, 24 hours, and 48


hours prior to reaching stage F in Cohort 2.







C-C motif chemokine 14











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
0.616
3.05
0.616
1.84
0.616
0.853


Average
1.09
3.78
1.09
3.30
1.09
2.63


Stdev
1.41
2.90
1.41
2.99
1.41
3.10


p(t-test)

1.7E−14

8.0E−10

1.5E−4


Min
0.0409
0.110
0.0409
0.110
0.0409
0.185


Max
8.80
9.39
8.80
9.39
8.80
9.39


n (Samp)
137
47
137
39
137
23


n (Patient)
137
47
137
39
137
23














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
0.670
4.44
0.670
2.70
0.670
1.35


Average
1.21
4.51
1.21
4.06
1.21
3.05


Stdev
1.43
3.20
1.43
3.21
1.43
3.35


p(t-test)

1.8E−21

7.8E−16

2.6E−6


Min
0.0409
0.284
0.0409
0.240
0.0409
0.185


Max
8.80
9.39
8.80
9.39
8.80
9.39


n (Samp)
315
28
315
25
315
18


n (Patient)
315
28
315
25
315
18














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
0.619
2.57
0.619
1.67
0.619
0.686


Average
1.32
3.21
1.32
2.75
1.32
1.79


Stdev
1.84
2.50
1.84
2.71
1.84
2.17


p(t-test)

1.2E−6

5.8E−4

0.37


Min
0.000797
0.110
0.000797
0.110
0.000797
0.221


Max
10.4
8.88
10.4
8.88
10.4
6.68


n (Samp)
172
32
172
27
172
14


n (Patient)
172
32
172
27
172
14














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.82
0.82
0.77
0.77
0.79
0.70
0.62
0.61
0.57


SE
0.040
0.050
0.051
0.047
0.055
0.059
0.066
0.072
0.083


P
2.4E−15
1.3E−10
1.1E−7
1.9E−8
7.9E−8
9.4E−4
0.067
0.13
0.42


nCohort 1
137
315
172
137
315
172
137
315
172


nCohort 2
47
28
32
39
25
27
23
18
14


Cutoff 1
1.79
1.92
1.33
0.937
1.66
0.677
0.606
0.590
0.606


Sens 1
70%
71%
72%
72%
72%
70%
74%
72%
71%


Spec 1
87%
85%
77%
69%
81%
55%
50%
44%
49%


Cutoff 2
0.891
0.851
0.891
0.590
0.851
0.556
0.350
0.350
0.352


Sens 2
81%
82%
81%
82%
80%
81%
83%
83%
86%


Spec 2
66%
59%
62%
49%
59%
44%
21%
19%
20%


Cutoff 3
0.495
0.502
0.456
0.495
0.506
0.398
0.216
0.211
0.270


Sens 3
91%
93%
91%
92%
92%
93%
91%
94%
93%


Spec 3
39%
35%
34%
39%
35%
27%
9%
6%
14%


Cutoff 4
0.971
1.20
1.13
0.971
1.20
1.13
0.971
1.20
1.13


Sens 4
77%
79%
72%
69%
72%
59%
43%
50%
36%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
1.38
1.62
1.58
1.38
1.62
1.58
1.38
1.62
1.58


Sens 5
72%
79%
69%
62%
72%
52%
43%
50%
36%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
2.31
2.86
3.08
2.31
2.86
3.08
2.31
2.86
3.08


Sens 6
60%
54%
44%
44%
44%
33%
30%
33%
21%


Spec 6
91%
90%
90%
91%
90%
90%
91%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
1.7
1.5
1.0
2.2
4.1
3.2
0.30
0.59
0.98


p Value
0.46
0.66
1.0
0.30
0.21
0.17
0.15
0.47
0.98


95% CI of
0.39
0.24
0.19
0.50
0.45
0.61
0.056
0.14
0.19


OR Quart2
7.8
9.2
5.2
9.2
38
17
1.6
2.5
5.1


OR Quart 3
3.5
0.49
1.7
2.6
2.0
2.0
0.81
0.19
1.0


p Value
0.076
0.56
0.47
0.19
0.57
0.42
0.75
0.13
1.0


95% CI of
0.88
0.043
0.39
0.62
0.18
0.36
0.23
0.022
0.19


OR Quart3
14
5.5
7.7
11
23
12
2.9
1.7
5.2


OR Quart 4
27
14
11
15
23
10
1.9
1.9
1.7


p Value
9.9E−7
4.5E−4
2.5E−4
5.4E−5
0.0027
0.0033
0.27
0.28
0.48


95% CI of
7.2
3.2
3.1
4.0
2.9
2.2
0.61
0.60
0.38


OR Quart4
100
63
41
56
170
47
5.8
5.8
7.6
















TABLE 18.5





Comparison of marker levels in urine samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0) and in urine samples collected from


subjects at 0, 24 hours, and 48 hours prior to reaching stage R, I or F in Cohort 2.







C-C motif chemokine 16











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
8.17E−6
0.000221
8.17E−6
9.29E−6
8.17E−6
7.11E−6


Average
0.00491
0.0120
0.00491
0.00833
0.00491
0.0161


Stdev
0.0138
0.0577
0.0138
0.0354
0.0138
0.0894


p(t-test)

0.0071

0.073

0.0082


Min
2.10E−6
1.99E−6
2.10E−6
2.10E−6
2.10E−6
2.10E−6


Max
0.158
0.692
0.158
0.372
0.158
0.718


n (Samp)
528
287
528
152
528
67


n (Patient)
137
287
137
152
137
67














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
8.61E−6
0.00158
8.61E−6
1.41E−5
8.61E−6
8.17E−6


Average
0.00464
0.0263
0.00464
0.0143
0.00464
0.0311


Stdev
0.0130
0.0954
0.0130
0.0315
0.0130
0.115


p(t-test)

1.3E−12

5.7E−8

7.3E−12


Min
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
2.10E−6
1.99E−6
2.10E−6


Max
0.187
0.692
0.187
0.156
0.187
0.718


n (Samp)
1187
109
1187
74
1187
45


n (Patient)
315
109
315
74
315
45














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
8.52E−6
0.000224
8.52E−6
9.29E−6
8.52E−6
7.11E−6


Average
0.0100
0.0260
0.0100
0.0602
0.0100
0.0843


Stdev
0.0547
0.286
0.0547
0.631
0.0547
0.501


p(t-test)

0.16

0.041

2.4E−4


Min
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
2.10E−6


Max
0.819
4.61
0.819
7.64
0.819
4.05


n (Samp)
685
261
685
147
685
69


n (Patient)
172
261
172
147
172
69














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.58
0.61
0.57
0.51
0.58
0.50
0.45
0.52
0.47


SE
0.021
0.030
0.021
0.027
0.036
0.026
0.038
0.044
0.037


P
4.0E−4
3.9E−4
0.0018
0.61
0.017
0.95
0.20
0.72
0.45


nCohort 1
528
1187
685
528
1187
685
528
1187
685


nCohort 2
287
109
261
152
74
147
67
45
69


Cutoff 1
7.11E−6
7.11E−6
7.11E−6
5.32E−6
7.11E−6
5.28E−6
4.12E−6
5.28E−6
4.50E−6


Sens 1
70%
72%
70%
71%
72%
73%
72%
71%
72%


Spec 1
42%
39%
40%
34%
39%
29%
22%
28%
24%


Cutoff 2
4.27E−6
4.98E−6
4.27E−6
3.90E−6
4.98E−6
3.90E−6
3.61E−6
3.61E−6
3.90E−6


Sens 2
81%
81%
80%
83%
81%
81%
81%
80%
83%


Spec 2
22%
25%
22%
19%
25%
19%
16%
16%
19%


Cutoff 3
2.97E−6
3.45E−6
2.97E−6
2.55E−6
3.59E−6
2.35E−6
2.35E−6
2.55E−6
2.55E−6


Sens 3
91%
91%
91%
91%
92%
93%
93%
93%
91%


Spec 3
12%
13%
12%
 9%
13%
 5%
 6%
 9%
 9%


Cutoff 4
0.000773
0.00151
0.00176
0.000773
0.00151
0.00176
0.000773
0.00151
0.00176


Sens 4
43%
50%
40%
33%
41%
33%
25%
33%
28%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
0.00616
0.00593
0.00690
0.00616
0.00593
0.00690
0.00616
0.00593
0.00690


Sens 5
25%
34%
26%
18%
27%
20%
16%
29%
20%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
0.0149
0.0144
0.0169
0.0149
0.0144
0.0169
0.0149
0.0144
0.0169


Sens 6
16%
23%
16%
 9%
20%
 8%
10%
20%
 9%


Spec 6
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
1.0
0.90
0.90
1.1
1.1
0.97
0.84
1.1
0.94


p Value
0.85
0.74
0.65
0.69
0.85
0.90
0.68
0.83
0.86


95% CI of
0.68
0.47
0.59
0.66
0.51
0.58
0.38
0.48
0.45


OR Quart2
1.6
1.7
1.4
1.9
2.3
1.6
1.9
2.5
2.0


OR Quart 3
1.5
1.3
1.4
1.2
1.5
1.1
1.4
0.63
1.2


p Value
0.065
0.45
0.100
0.51
0.29
0.61
0.36
0.34
0.59


95% CI of
0.98
0.69
0.94
0.71
0.72
0.69
0.68
0.24
0.60


OR Quart3
2.2
2.3
2.1
2.0
2.9
1.9
2.9
1.6
2.4


OR Quart 4
1.8
2.2
1.5
1.1
1.8
1.0
1.7
1.4
1.2


p Value
0.0062
0.0045
0.035
0.60
0.074
1.0
0.15
0.42
0.58


95% CI of
1.2
1.3
1.0
0.69
0.94
0.60
0.83
0.62
0.60


OR Quart4
2.7
3.8
2.3
1.9
3.6
1.7
3.4
3.1
2.4
















TABLE 18.6





Comparison of marker levels in urine samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0 or R) and in urine samples collected from subjects at 0, 24 hours,


and 48 hours prior to reaching stage I or F in Cohort 2.







C-C motif chemokine 16











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
8.17E−6
0.000773
8.17E−6
1.41E−5
8.17E−6
1.31E−5


Average
0.00545
0.0233
0.00545
0.0173
0.00545
0.0149


Stdev
0.0252
0.0828
0.0252
0.0629
0.0252
0.0828


p(t-test)

4.3E−8

6.5E−5

0.016


Min
2.10E−6
1.99E−6
2.10E−6
2.10E−6
2.10E−6
2.10E−6


Max
0.649
0.692
0.649
0.568
0.649
0.718


n (Samp)
971
183
971
133
971
76


n (Patient)
249
183
249
133
249
76














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
8.61E−6
0.00462
8.61E−6
0.00430
8.61E−6
0.00293


Average
0.00567
0.0566
0.00567
0.0292
0.00567
0.0157


Stdev
0.0227
0.137
0.0227
0.0838
0.0227
0.0483


p(t-test)

2.9E−27

2.0E−9

0.014


Min
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
2.10E−6


Max
0.649
0.692
0.649
0.568
0.649
0.278


n (Samp)
1465
59
1465
49
1465
34


n (Patient)
380
59
380
49
380
34














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
8.61E−6
0.000636
8.61E−6
1.36E−5
8.61E−6
1.31E−5


Average
0.0532
0.0122
0.0532
0.0124
0.0532
0.0179


Stdev
0.513
0.0322
0.513
0.0418
0.513
0.0913


p(t-test)

0.32

0.39

0.57


Min
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
1.99E−6
2.10E−6


Max
8.98
0.278
8.98
0.372
8.98
0.718


n (Samp)
1113
156
1113
118
1113
67


n (Patient)
274
156
274
118
274
67














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.62
0.66
0.60
0.58
0.66
0.54
0.53
0.60
0.51


SE
0.024
0.039
0.025
0.027
0.043
0.028
0.035
0.052
0.037


P
1.5E−7
6.8E−5
1.7E−4
0.0024
3.3E−4
0.12
0.37
0.066
0.71


nCohort 1
971
1465
1113
971
1465
1113
971
1465
1113


nCohort 2
183
59
156
133
49
118
76
34
67


Cutoff 1
8.17E−6
8.61E−6
8.17E−6
7.08E−6
8.61E−6
7.08E−6
4.50E−6
6.48E−6
5.28E−6


Sens 1
71%
73%
71%
71%
73%
70%
72%
71%
72%


Spec 1
50%
51%
48%
37%
51%
36%
24%
34%
29%


Cutoff 2
5.28E−6
4.12E−6
5.32E−6
4.27E−6
5.28E−6
4.27E−6
3.90E−6
3.90E−6
3.90E−6


Sens 2
81%
85%
81%
82%
82%
81%
82%
82%
82%


Spec 2
30%
20%
32%
22%
27%
22%
19%
18%
19%


Cutoff 3
3.45E−6
3.45E−6
3.45E−6
2.35E−6
2.35E−6
2.35E−6
2.55E−6
2.55E−6
2.97E−6


Sens 3
95%
93%
96%
95%
94%
94%
91%
91%
91%


Spec 3
14%
12%
13%
 6%
 6%
 6%
10%
 9%
12%


Cutoff 4
0.000688
0.00170
0.00215
0.000688
0.00170
0.00215
0.000688
0.00170
0.00215


Sens 4
51%
59%
42%
43%
55%
37%
39%
59%
31%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
0.00482
0.00610
0.00746
0.00482
0.00610
0.00746
0.00482
0.00610
0.00746


Sens 5
37%
44%
30%
33%
43%
26%
26%
35%
19%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
0.0142
0.0154
0.0187
0.0142
0.0154
0.0187
0.0142
0.0154
0.0187


Sens 6
25%
34%
16%
20%
33%
13%
 9%
15%
 7%


Spec 6
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
0.71
0.33
1.2
0.96
0.62
1.1
0.48
0.49
0.69


p Value
0.21
0.054
0.49
0.89
0.40
0.79
0.051
0.25
0.34














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





95% CI of
0.41
0.10
0.70
0.54
0.20
0.62
0.23
0.15
0.33


OR Quart2
1.2
1.0
2.1
1.7
1.9
1.9
1.0
1.7
1.5


OR Quart 3
1.5
0.91
1.7
1.2
1.4
0.91
0.85
0.87
1.2


p Value
0.077
0.83
0.044
0.58
0.49
0.76
0.62
0.79
0.61


95% CI of
0.96
0.40
1.0
0.68
0.55
0.51
0.45
0.31
0.61


OR Quart3
2.5
2.1
2.8
2.0
3.5
1.6
1.6
2.4
2.3


OR Quart 4
2.6
2.8
2.2
2.0
3.3
1.6
1.1
1.9
1.1


p Value
2.2E-5
0.0028
0.0017
0.0073
0.0042
0.072
0.77
0.15
0.86


95% CI of
1.7
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.5
0.96
0.60
0.80
0.54


OR Quart4
4.1
5.6
3.6
3.3
7.3
2.7
2.0
4.6
2.1
















TABLE 18.7





Comparison of marker levels in urine samples collected within 12 hours of


reaching stage R from Cohort 1 (patients that reached, but did not progress beyond,


RIFLE stage R) and from Cohort 2 (patients that reached RIFLE stage 1 or F).







C-C motif chemokine 16











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
1.12E−5
0.00172
1.12E−5
0.00400
8.61E−6
0.00209


Average
0.00367
0.0217
0.00331
0.0527
0.190
0.0113


Stdev
0.00820
0.0855
0.00546
0.150
1.28
0.0224


p(t-test)

0.15

0.13

0.14


Min
2.10E−6
1.99E−6
2.10E−6
1.99E−6
2.10E−6
1.99E−6


Max
0.0462
0.692
0.0177
0.692
8.98
0.139


n (Samp)
46
126
22
38
49
115


n (Patient)
46
126
22
38
49
115












At Enrollment











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.61
0.64
0.62


SE
0.047
0.072
0.046


P
0.016
0.057
0.0092


nCohort 1
46
22
49


nCohort 2
126
38
115


Cutoff 1
8.52E−6
8.61E−6
8.52E−6


Sens 1
71%
74%
72%


Spec 1
46%
45%
45%


Cutoff 2
5.32E−6
3.61E−6
6.48E−6


Sens 2
80%
82%
81%


Spec 2
26%
14%
31%


Cutoff 3
3.45E−6
2.35E−6
3.45E−6


Sens 3
92%
92%
93%


Spec 3
20%
 9%
16%


Cutoff 4
0.00307
0.00307
0.00264


Sens 4
42%
50%
46%


Spec 4
72%
73%
71%


Cutoff 5
0.00473
0.00603
0.00473


Sens 5
36%
42%
36%


Spec 5
80%
82%
82%


Cutoff 6
0.00979
0.0130
0.0232


Sens 6
27%
32%
14%


Spec 6
91%
91%
92%


OR Quart 2
0.65
1.0
0.90


p Value
0.36
1.0
0.82


95% CI of
0.26
0.24
0.37


OR Quart2
1.6
4.2
2.2


OR Quart 3
1.1
1.8
1.6


p Value
0.81
0.46
0.34


95% CI of
0.43
0.40
0.62


OR Quart3
2.9
7.7
4.0


OR Quart 4
2.0
3.5
2.8


p Value
0.20
0.13
0.050


95% CI of
0.70
0.69
1.00


OR Quart4
5.7
18
7.9
















TABLE 18.8





Comparison of the maximum marker levels in urine samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0) and the maximum values in urine samples collected from


subjects between enrollment and 0, 24 hours, and 48 hours prior to reaching stage F in Cohort 2.







C-C motif chemokine 16











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
0.00380
0.0234
0.00380
0.0177
0.00380
0.0116


Average
0.0110
0.185
0.0110
0.112
0.0110
0.100


Stdev
0.0202
0.611
0.0202
0.220
0.0202
0.204


p(t-test)

9.7E−4

2.8E−7

1.2E−6


Min
3.61E−6
1.99E−6
3.61E−6
2.10E−6
3.61E−6
5.32E−6


Max
0.158
4.05
0.158
0.819
0.158
0.718


n (Samp)
137
47
137
39
137
23


n (Patient)
137
47
137
39
137
23














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
0.00380
0.0324
0.00380
0.0235
0.00380
0.0186


Average
0.0104
0.293
0.0104
0.164
0.0104
0.131


Stdev
0.0198
0.778
0.0198
0.262
0.0198
0.225


p(t-test)

2.6E−10

1.5E−21

7.0E−18


Min
2.35E−6
1.99E−6
2.35E−6
3.61E−6
2.35E−6
5.32E−6


Max
0.187
4.05
0.187
0.819
0.187
0.718


n (Samp)
315
28
315
25
315
18


n (Patient)
315
28
315
25
315
18














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
0.00373
0.0167
0.00373
0.00910
0.00373
0.00519


Average
0.0174
0.0349
0.0174
0.0310
0.0174
0.0149


Stdev
0.0667
0.0446
0.0667
0.0465
0.0667
0.0208


p(t-test)

0.16

0.31

0.89


Min
2.10E−6
8.74E−6
2.10E−6
2.10E−6
2.10E−6
7.08E−6


Max
0.819
0.197
0.819
0.197
0.819
0.0703


n (Samp)
172
32
172
27
172
14


n (Patient)
172
32
172
27
172
14














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.74
0.76
0.73
0.72
0.79
0.65
0.67
0.75
0.58


SE
0.045
0.054
0.053
0.050
0.055
0.061
0.065
0.068
0.083


P
1.4E−7
1.4E−6
1.9E−5
1.3E−5
1.5E−7
0.011
0.0092
1.7E−4
0.34


nCohort 1
137
315
172
137
315
172
137
315
172


nCohort 2
47
28
32
39
25
27
23
18
14


Cutoff 1
0.00712
0.0100
0.00589
0.00589
0.0100
0.00406
0.00473
0.00746
0.00214


Sens 1
70%
71%
72%
72%
72%
70%
74%
72%
71%


Spec 1
57%
69%
56%
54%
69%
52%
53%
59%
42%


Cutoff 2
0.00422
0.00593
0.00417
0.00260
0.00746
0.00171
0.00214
0.00523
0.000619


Sens 2
81%
82%
81%
82%
80%
81%
83%
83%
86%


Spec 2
52%
57%
52%
43%
59%
41%
42%
55%
38%


Cutoff 3
0.000619
3.59E−6
0.00214
0.000519
0.00260
0.000519
1.36E−5
0.00260
1.36E−5


Sens 3
91%
93%
91%
92%
92%
93%
91%
94%
93%


Spec 3
38%
 1%
42%
37%
44%
37%
28%
44%
29%


Cutoff 4
0.0119
0.0115
0.0120
0.0119
0.0115
0.0120
0.0119
0.0115
0.0120


Sens 4
60%
68%
56%
54%
64%
44%
48%
61%
36%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
0.0167
0.0162
0.0162
0.0167
0.0162
0.0162
0.0167
0.0162
0.0162


Sens 5
55%
57%
50%
51%
56%
41%
43%
50%
29%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
0.0267
0.0235
0.0282
0.0267
0.0235
0.0282
0.0267
0.0235
0.0282


Sens 6
43%
50%
34%
41%
48%
30%
30%
44%
14%














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





Spec 6
91%
90%
90%
91%
90%
90%
91%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
2.9
0.65
9.3
4.0
3.1
3.8
2.7
1.0
5.4


p Value
0.091
0.64
0.039
0.046
0.34
0.11
0.25
1.0
0.13


95% CI of
0.84
0.11
1.1
1.0
0.31
0.75
0.49
0.062
0.60


OR Quart2
10
4.0
77
16
30
19
15
16
48


OR Quart 3
2.2
2.4
8.0
2.2
6.4
3.2
3.4
6.4
3.1


p Value
0.22
0.21
0.057
0.30
0.090
0.17
0.15
0.089
0.33


95% CI of
0.62
0.60
0.94
0.50
0.75
0.61
0.63
0.75
0.31


OR Quart3
7.9
9.7
67
9.2
54
17
18
54
31


OR Quart 4
12
6.2
23
11
18
7.4
6.3
11
5.4


p Value
2.7E−5
0.0048
0.0030
2.8E−4
0.0057
0.012
0.023
0.023
0.13


95% CI of
3.8
1.7
2.9
3.1
2.3
1.6
1.3
1.4
0.60


OR Quart4
41
22
180
42
140
35
31
89
48
















TABLE 18.9





Comparison of marker levels in urine samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0) and in urine samples collected from subjects at 0, 24 hours,


and 48 hours prior to reaching stage R, I or F in Cohort 2.







Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
4.93
4.61
4.93
4.08
4.93
3.89


Average
5.64
5.61
5.64
5.03
5.64
4.88


Stdev
4.24
4.64
4.24
4.13
4.24
4.05


p(t-test)

0.93

0.11

0.16


Min
0.0189
0.00291
0.0189
0.00439
0.0189
0.133


Max
31.0
28.6
31.0
24.8
31.0
17.0


n (Samp)
528
287
528
152
528
67


n (Patient)
137
287
137
152
137
67














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
5.51
2.52
5.51
3.54
5.51
4.09


Average
6.27
3.44
6.27
5.29
6.27
5.23


Stdev
4.55
3.26
4.55
5.23
4.55
4.50


p(t-test)

3.1E−10

0.077

0.13


Min
0.00291
0.00597
0.00291
0.00439
0.00291
0.133


Max
31.0
16.8
31.0
28.6
31.0
17.8


n (Samp)
1187
109
1187
74
1187
45


n (Patient)
315
109
315
74
315
45














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
4.14
5.16
4.14
4.36
4.14
4.01


Average
5.01
5.93
5.01
5.28
5.01
4.89


Stdev
4.12
4.64
4.12
4.10
4.12
4.23


p(t-test)

0.0031

0.48

0.82


Min
0.00439
0.00291
0.00439
0.111
0.00439
0.0794


Max
31.0
28.6
31.0
24.8
31.0
17.0


n (Samp)
685
261
685
147
685
69


n (Patient)
172
261
172
147
172
69














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.48
0.29
0.56
0.45
0.40
0.52
0.43
0.42
0.48


SE
0.021
0.029
0.021
0.027
0.036
0.026
0.038
0.045
0.037


P
0.43
2.7E−13
0.0055
0.042
0.0043
0.36
0.077
0.072
0.58


nCohort 1
528
1187
685
528
1187
685
528
1187
685


nCohort 2
287
109
261
152
74
147
67
45
69


Cutoff 1
2.65
1.32
2.82
2.54
2.57
2.83
2.44
1.83
2.21


Sens 1
70%
71%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
71%
71%


Spec 1
24%
10%
36%
23%
21%
36%
22%
15%
27%


Cutoff 2
1.71
0.689
1.96
1.85
2.08
1.81
1.71
1.53
1.40


Sens 2
80%
81%
80%
80%
81%
80%
81%
80%
81%


Spec 2
16%
 5%
25%
17%
17%
23%
16%
12%
18%














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





Cutoff 3
0.673
0.418
1.14
0.955
0.905
1.18
0.706
0.374
0.396


Sens 3
90%
91%
90%
90%
91%
90%
91%
91%
91%


Spec 3
 6%
 4%
15%
 9%
 7%
16%
 7%
 3%
 7%


Cutoff 4
6.86
7.65
6.28
6.86
7.65
6.28
6.86
7.65
6.28


Sens 4
30%
12%
37%
23%
19%
33%
22%
24%
25%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
8.46
9.56
7.65
8.46
9.56
7.65
8.46
9.56
7.65


Sens 5
21%
 6%
28%
15%
16%
19%
12%
16%
17%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
10.7
12.3
10.1
10.7
12.3
10.1
10.7
12.3
10.1


Sens 6
15%
 2%
17%
10%
12%
12%
 9%
13%
12%


Spec 6
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
0.84
2.5
0.93
1.0
0.63
1.2
1.4
1.0
1.3


p Value
0.40
0.044
0.73
0.89
0.30
0.60
0.43
1.0
0.46


95% CI of
0.56
1.0
0.61
0.60
0.27
0.68
0.63
0.39
0.64


OR Quart2
1.3
6.1
1.4
1.8
1.5
1.9
3.0
2.6
2.7


OR Quart 3
0.82
4.0
1.2
1.5
1.6
1.3
1.5
1.1
1.1


p Value
0.35
0.0015
0.47
0.15
0.17
0.30
0.33
0.82
0.71


95% CI of
0.55
1.7
0.77
0.87
0.81
0.79
0.68
0.45
0.55


OR Quart3
1.2
9.2
1.8
2.5
3.2
2.2
3.2
2.8
2.4


OR Quart 4
1.2
10
1.5
1.7
2.2
1.3
2.0
1.9
1.2


p Value
0.39
1.5E−8
0.037
0.040
0.020
0.36
0.069
0.11
0.57


95% CI of
0.80
4.5
1.0
1.0
1.1
0.76
0.95
0.85
0.60


OR Quart4
1.8
22
2.3
2.9
4.2
2.1
4.2
4.4
2.5
















TABLE 18.10





Comparison of marker levels in urine samples collected from Cohort 1 (patients that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0 or R) and in urine samples collected from subjects at


0, 24 hours, and 48 hours prior to reaching stage I or F in Cohort 2.







Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
4.56
4.92
4.56
4.61
4.56
4.72


Average
5.46
5.96
5.46
5.44
5.46
5.81


Stdev
4.29
5.18
4.29
4.04
4.29
4.51


p(t-test)

0.16

0.97

0.50


Min
0.00439
0.00597
0.00439
0.00291
0.00439
0.0794


Max
31.0
28.6
31.0
24.1
31.0
20.8


n (Samp)
971
183
971
133
971
76


n (Patient)
249
183
249
133
249
76














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
5.16
1.80
5.16
2.64
5.16
3.62


Average
5.98
2.79
5.98
4.17
5.98
4.45


Stdev
4.54
3.12
4.54
4.09
4.54
3.90


p(t-test)

1.0E−7

0.0058

0.052


Min
0.00291
4.21E−6
0.00291
0.00597
0.00291
0.0794


Max
31.0
16.8
31.0
17.2
31.0
19.1


n (Samp)
1465
59
1465
49
1465
34


n (Patient)
380
59
380
49
380
34














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
4.12
5.64
4.12
5.06
4.12
4.95


Average
5.14
6.50
5.14
5.82
5.14
5.80


Stdev
4.28
5.32
4.28
4.15
4.28
4.36


p(t-test)

3.4E−4

0.10

0.22


Min
0.00439
0.00597
0.00439
0.00291
0.00439
0.133


Max
31.0
28.6
31.0
24.1
31.0
20.8


n (Samp)
1113
156
1113
118
1113
67


n (Patient)
274
156
274
118
274
67














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.51
0.25
0.57
0.51
0.36
0.56
0.52
0.39
0.55


SE
0.023
0.037
0.025
0.027
0.043
0.029
0.035
0.052
0.037


P
0.78
3.0E−11
0.0082
0.82
8.1E−4
0.028
0.61
0.034
0.18


nCohort 1
971
1465
1113
971
1465
1113
971
1465
1113


nCohort 2
183
59
156
133
49
118
76
34
67


Cutoff 1
2.08
0.889
2.72
2.84
1.47
3.25
2.71
2.02
2.71


Sens 1
70%
71%
71%
71%
71%
70%
71%
71%
70%


Spec 1
22%
 8%
34%
31%
14%
40%
29%
19%
34%


Cutoff 2
1.46
0.464
1.74
2.38
0.745
2.53
2.18
1.53
1.90


Sens 2
80%
81%
80%
80%
82%
81%
80%
82%
81%


Spec 2
16%
 5%
22%
25%
 7%
31%
23%
14%
24%


Cutoff 3
0.773
0.258
0.800
1.19
0.374
1.37
1.40
0.776
1.34


Sens 3
90%
92%
90%
90%
92%
91%
91%
91%
91%


Spec 3
 8%
 3%
11%
13%
 4%
18%
15%
 7%
17%


Cutoff 4
6.78
7.40
6.47
6.78
7.40
6.47
6.78
7.40
6.47


Sens 4
33%
 8%
39%
30%
24%
33%
29%
15%
31%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
8.40
9.18
7.95
8.40
9.18
7.95
8.40
9.18
7.95


Sens 5
27%
 3%
33%
20%
14%
25%
21%
 6%
22%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
10.7
12.1
10.5
10.7
12.1
10.5
10.7
12.1
10.5


Sens 6
19%
 2%
22%
10%
 8%
13%
14%
 6%
16%


Spec 6
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
0.49
2.7
0.78
1.5
0.30
1.3
0.94
2.4
1.0


p Value
0.0028
0.14
0.35
0.15
0.065
0.36
0.86
0.22
1.0


95% CI of
0.30
0.71
0.46
0.87
0.081
0.72
0.48
0.61
0.47


OR Quart2
0.78
10
1.3
2.5
1.1
2.4
1.8
9.2
2.1


OR Quart 3
0.65
3.0
1.1
1.3
1.3
1.9
1.00
3.7
1.5


p Value
0.059
0.097
0.80
0.34
0.53
0.028
0.99
0.044
0.23


95% CI of
0.42
0.82
0.65
0.76
0.57
1.1
0.51
1.0
0.77


OR Quart3
1.0
11
1.7
2.2
3.0
3.4
1.9
14
3.1


OR Quart 4
0.95
14
1.7
1.3
2.4
1.9
1.1
4.5
1.3


p Value
0.82
1.0E−5
0.019
0.34
0.024
0.028
0.88
0.020
0.47


95% CI of
0.63
4.4
1.1
0.76
1.1
1.1
0.55
1.3
0.64


OR Quart4
1.4
47
2.7
2.2
5.1
3.4
2.0
16
2.7
















TABLE 18.11





Comparison of marker levels in urine samples collected within 12 hours of


reaching stage R from Cohort 1 (patients that reached, but did not progress beyond,


RIFLE stage R) and from Cohort 2 (patients that reached RIFLE stage I or F).







Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only














Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
4.17
5.43
3.72
2.10
3.89
5.61


Average
5.53
6.10
3.89
3.74
5.94
6.18


Stdev
5.31
4.95
2.93
3.82
5.68
4.75


p(t-test)

0.52

0.88

0.78


Min
0.296
0.00597
0.296
0.00597
0.476
0.00597


Max
28.2
28.6
10.4
16.8
28.2
28.6


n (Samp)
46
126
22
38
49
115


n (Patient)
46
126
22
38
49
115












At Enrollment











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.55
0.45
0.54


SE
0.049
0.077
0.049


P
0.34
0.53
0.40


nCohort 1
46
22
49


nCohort 2
126
38
115


Cutoff 1
2.74
1.22
2.78


Sens 1
71%
71%
70%


Spec 1
41%
32%
39%


Cutoff 2
1.90
0.679
2.13


Sens 2
80%
82%
80%












At Enrollment











sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





Spec 2
35%
23%
33%


Cutoff 3
0.762
0.367
0.925


Sens 3
90%
92%
90%


Spec 3
17%
 5%
12%


Cutoff 4
7.39
5.55
7.88


Sens 4
31%
29%
31%


Spec 4
72%
73%
71%


Cutoff 5
8.90
7.20
9.59


Sens 5
25%
21%
23%


Spec 5
80%
82%
82%


Cutoff 6
12.3
7.39
12.3


Sens 6
11%
18%
10%


Spec 6
91%
91%
92%


OR Quart 2
2.2
0.44
1.5


p Value
0.10
0.28
0.35


95% CI of
0.86
0.10
0.62


OR Quart2
5.8
1.9
3.9


OR Quart 3
1.7
9.3
2.0


p Value
0.25
0.054
0.16


95% CI of
0.69
0.96
0.77


OR Quart3
4.3
91
5.1


OR Quart 4
2.0
1.0
1.7


p Value
0.16
1.0
0.24


95% CI of
0.76
0.23
0.69


OR Quart4
5.0
4.3
4.4
















TABLE 18.12





Comparison of the maximum marker levels in urine samples collected from


Cohort 1 (patients that did not progress beyond RIFLE stage 0) and the maximum values


in urine samples collected from subjects between enrollment and 0, 24 hours, and 48


hours prior to reaching stage F in Cohort 2.







Tyrosine-protein kinase receptor UFO











0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr or UO
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
7.82
4.27
7.82
3.85
7.82
4.27


Average
8.83
6.59
8.83
5.68
8.83
6.05


Stdev
4.43
6.52
4.43
6.12
4.43
5.32


p(t-test)

0.0093

4.5E−4

0.0077


Min
2.71
0.341
2.71
0.142
2.71
0.157


Max
31.0
28.6
31.0
28.6
31.0
22.1


n (Samp)
137
47
137
39
137
23


n (Patient)
137
47
137
39
137
23














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













sCr only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
7.87
4.98
7.87
4.27
7.87
4.98


Average
9.08
5.84
9.08
5.51
9.08
5.95


Stdev
4.98
5.09
4.98
4.85
4.98
4.98


p(t-test)

0.0011

6.1E−4

0.0099


Min
0.794
0.367
0.794
0.367
0.794
0.367


Max
31.0
22.1
31.0
22.1
31.0
22.1


n (Samp)
315
28
315
25
315
18


n (Patient)
315
28
315
25
315
18














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Median
7.10
3.79
7.10
3.50
7.10
4.84


Average
8.03
7.10
8.03
6.11
8.03
7.25


Stdev
4.59
7.62
4.59
7.40
4.59
7.14


p(t-test)

0.35

0.067

0.56


Min
0.611
0.341
0.611
0.142
0.611
0.157














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage













UO only
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 1
Cohort 2





Max
31.0
28.6
31.0
28.6
31.0
25.5


n (Samp)
172
32
172
27
172
14


n (Patient)
172
32
172
27
172
14














0 hr prior to AKI stage
24 hr prior to AKI stage
48 hr prior to AKI stage

















sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only
sCr or UO
sCr only
UO only





AUC
0.31
0.28
0.36
0.25
0.27
0.30
0.27
0.28
0.37


SE
0.047
0.056
0.056
0.049
0.059
0.059
0.063
0.070
0.083


P
4.3E−5
1.3E−4
0.016
3.0E−7
6.2E−5
1.0E−3
1.9E−4
0.0016
0.13


nCohort 1
137
315
172
137
315
172
137
315
172


nCohort 2
47
28
32
39
25
27
23
18
14


Cutoff 1
2.03
2.99
1.90
1.96
2.27
1.63
3.13
3.62
3.18


Sens 1
70%
71%
72%
72%
72%
70%
74%
72%
71%


Spec 1
 0%
 7%
 5%
 0%
 3%
 3%
 3%
11%
12%


Cutoff 2
1.22
1.03
1.19
1.13
1.96
1.02
1.96
3.10
1.90


Sens 2
81%
82%
81%
82%
80%
81%
83%
83%
86%


Spec 2
 0%
 0%
 2%
 0%
 3%
 1%
 0%
 7%
 5%


Cutoff 3
0.585
0.794
0.370
0.367
0.401
0.341
0.472
0.367
1.63


Sens 3
91%
93%
91%
92%
92%
93%
91%
94%
93%


Spec 3
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 0%
 3%


Cutoff 4
10.4
11.1
9.35
10.4
11.1
9.35
10.4
11.1
9.35


Sens 4
21%
14%
25%
13%
12%
15%
13%
11%
21%


Spec 4
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%
70%


Cutoff 5
11.8
12.9
11.4
11.8
12.9
11.4
11.8
12.9
11.4


Sens 5
19%
 7%
25%
13%
 4%
15%
13%
 6%
21%


Spec 5
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%
80%


Cutoff 6
14.4
15.8
14.0
14.4
15.8
14.0
14.4
15.8
14.0


Sens 6
15%
 7%
19%
 8%
 4%
11%
 9%
 6%
14%


Spec 6
91%
90%
90%
91%
90%
90%
91%
90%
90%


OR Quart 2
0.44
0.49
0.34
1.2
0.66
1.0
0.65
0.50
0.33


p Value
0.17
0.41
0.12
0.75
0.65
1.0
0.65
0.57
0.34


95% CI of
0.14
0.087
0.084
0.35
0.11
0.24
0.10
0.044
0.033


OR Quart2
1.4
2.7
1.3
4.4
4.0
4.2
4.1
5.6
3.3


OR Quart 3
0.76
2.1
0.46
1.2
2.5
0.73
2.2
3.2
1.0


p Value
0.60
0.24
0.23
0.75
0.20
0.70
0.30
0.16
1.0


95% CI of
0.27
0.61
0.13
0.35
0.61
0.16
0.50
0.63
0.19


OR Quart3
2.1
7.3
1.6
4.4
9.8
3.5
9.4
16
5.2


OR Quart 4
3.9
4.0
2.7
7.8
4.9
5.6
5.3
5.0
2.6


p Value
0.0032
0.018
0.042
2.6E−4
0.016
0.0044
0.016
0.044
0.18


95% CI of
1.6
1.3
1.0
2.6
1.4
1.7
1.4
1.0
0.64


OR Quart4
9.7
13
7.0
23
18
18
21
24
11









While the invention has been described and exemplified in sufficient detail for those skilled in this art to make and use it, various alternatives, modifications, and improvements should be apparent without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention. The examples provided herein are representative of preferred embodiments, are exemplary, and are not intended as limitations on the scope of the invention. Modifications therein and other uses will occur to those skilled in the art. These modifications are encompassed within the spirit of the invention and are defined by the scope of the claims.


It will be readily apparent to a person skilled in the art that varying substitutions and modifications may be made to the invention disclosed herein without departing from the scope and spirit of the invention.


All patents and publications mentioned in the specification are indicative of the levels of those of ordinary skill in the art to which the invention pertains. All patents and publications are herein incorporated by reference to the same extent as if each individual publication was specifically and individually indicated to be incorporated by reference.


The invention illustratively described herein suitably may be practiced in the absence of any element or elements, limitation or limitations which is not specifically disclosed herein. Thus, for example, in each instance herein any of the terms “comprising”, “consisting essentially of” and “consisting of” may be replaced with either of the other two terms. The terms and expressions which have been employed are used as terms of description and not of limitation, and there is no intention that in the use of such terms and expressions of excluding any equivalents of the features shown and described or portions thereof, but it is recognized that various modifications are possible within the scope of the invention claimed. Thus, it should be understood that although the present invention has been specifically disclosed by preferred embodiments and optional features, modification and variation of the concepts herein disclosed may be resorted to by those skilled in the art, and that such modifications and variations are considered to be within the scope of this invention as defined by the appended claims.


Other embodiments are set forth within the following claims.

Claims
  • 1. A method for evaluating renal status in a subject and treating the subject based on the evaluation, the method comprising: performing an assay method configured to detect C-C motif chemokine 14 on a body fluid sample obtained from the subject to provide an assay result; andcorrelating the assay result to the subject having a current acute kidney injury (AKI) or an increased likelihood of the subject developing a future AKI; andtreating the subject having the current AKI or the increased likelihood of developing a future AKI with a compatible treatment regimen comprising one or more of initiating renal replacement therapy, modifying diuretic administration, or withdrawing delivery of compounds that are known to be damaging to the kidney.
  • 2. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject is selected for evaluation based on the pre-existence in the subject of one or more known risk factors for prerenal, intrinsic renal, or postrenal AKI, wherein the one or more known risk factors are selected from an existing diagnosis of one or more of congestive heart failure, preeclampsia, eclampsia, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, proteinuria, renal insufficiency, glomerular filtration below the normal range, cirrhosis, serum creatinine above the normal range, sepsis, injury to renal function, reduced renal function, or ARF, or based on undergoing or having undergone major vascular surgery, coronary artery bypass, or other cardiac surgery, or based on exposure to NSAIDs, cyclosporines, tacrolimus, aminoglycosides, foscarnet, ethylene glycol, hemoglobin, myoglobin, ifosfamide, heavy metals, methotrexate, radiopaque contrast agents, or streptozotocin.
  • 3. The method of claim 1, wherein the AKI will occur within 72 hours from the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 4. The method of claim 1, wherein the AKI will occur within 48 hours from the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 5. The method of claim 1, wherein the AKI will occur within 24 hours from the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 6. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage R.
  • 7. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage I.
  • 8. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject is in RIFLE stage F.
  • 9. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject has a 1.5-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 10. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject has a urine output of less than 0.5 ml/kg body weight/hr over the 6 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 11. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject has a 2-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 12. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject has a urine output of less than 0.5 mL/kg per hour over the 12 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 13. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject has a 3-fold or greater increase in serum creatinine over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 14. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject has a serum creatinine level of >355 μmol/l or more with a serum creatinine increase of at least 44 μmol/L over a baseline value determined prior to the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 15. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject has a urine output less than 0.3 mL/kg per hour over the 24 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 16. The method of claim 1, wherein the subject has anuria over the 12 hours preceding the time at which the body fluid sample is obtained.
  • 17. The method of claim 1, wherein the body fluid sample is a urine sample, a blood sample, a serum sample, or a plasma sample.
  • 18. The method of claim 1, wherein the assay is an immunoassay.
  • 19. The method of claim 1, wherein the assay is configured as a sandwich binding assay or as a competitive binding assay.
  • 20. The method of claim 1, wherein the renal replacement therapy comprises hemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, hemofiltration, and/or renal transplantation.
Parent Case Info

This application claims the benefit of U.S. Provisional Application No. 62/066,310 filed Oct. 20, 2014; and of U.S. Provisional Application No. 62/066,313 filed Oct. 20, 2014; and of U.S. Provisional Application No. 62/066,316 filed Oct. 20, 2014; each of which is hereby incorporated in its entirety including all tables, figures, and claims.

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Related Publications (1)
Number Date Country
20220236286 A1 Jul 2022 US
Provisional Applications (3)
Number Date Country
62066316 Oct 2014 US
62066313 Oct 2014 US
62066310 Oct 2014 US
Continuations (1)
Number Date Country
Parent 15520817 US
Child 17710832 US