The present invention relates to a power demand regulating apparatus, a power regulating network system, and a power regulating method.
In order to realize lasting comfortable societies, smart grid techniques have been developed all over the world for the purpose of adaptation to a low-carbon society based on power distribution, enhancement in stable supply, and enhancement in economic feasibility. As a kind of wide-ranging smart grid technique, a demand-side management technique is known which can achieve alleviation of load concentration in a power system or utilization of surplus power based on distributed power sources by requesting consumers to change operating statuses of equipped appliances. For example, such a demand-side management technique is described in PTL 1. In this technique, when a time zone in which a load concentration in a power system is predicted is present in the future such as a next day, consumers are requested to reduce the amount of energy to be used. An incentive such as a discount of power charge is given as a payback to the consumers having changed the use of energy to another time zone in response to the request. This technique is characterized in that the consumers are requested to reduce the amount of energy to be used on the basis of information on appliances and time zones. For example, the details are “If the tomorrow operating time of a dishwasher is changed to 10 to 11 O'clock, the unit power price is changed to a relatively cheap price, * yen”. By materializing the request details, consumers can easily respond to the request and it is thus possible to shift the peak of a load concentration in a power system with a high expected value.
However, in the above-mentioned technique, all consumers are requested. Therefore, when all the consumers are requested to reduce the amount of energy to be used and consumers much more than initially assumed respond to the request as a result, there is a problem in that the amount of energy to be used is reduced more than necessary, the use of energy is concentrated on another time zone, and the effect of peak shift is not satisfactory. An object of the present invention is to solve this problem.
In order to achieve the above-mentioned object, the invention has a configuration in which consumers who are requested to change setting states of appliances out of ranked consumers are selected on the basis of the ranks of the ranked consumers.
According to the present invention, it is possible to realize an appropriate peak shift.
Other objects, features, and advantages of the present invention will become apparent from the following description of embodiments of the present invention with reference to the accompanying drawings.
An embodiment of the present invention will be described below.
Reference numeral 0101 represents a demand regulation server which includes a function database to be described below. The demand regulation server 0101 can be embodied by a general-purpose server device.
Reference numeral 0102 represents a power demand record database on which record values [Wh] of power consumption by consumers, by appliances, and by time zones are recorded. This information is normally transmitted from a consumer-side measuring function 0118 through the use of a communication function 0112. The format of the power demand record database 0102 has the same structure as shown in
Reference numeral 0103 represents a power demand predicting function which predicts a power demand [Wh] by consumers, appliances, and time zones (for example, every 30 minutes) of the next day on the basis of the information of the power demand record database 0102. As the prediction method, a method of calculating an average value of previous power consumption by appliances and time zones or the like can be considered. The prediction result is stored in a memory function in the format shown in
Reference numeral 0104 represents a weather prediction database in which records of previous weather information or predicted weather information of the next day are recorded by time zones (for example, every 30 minutes). Weather type (such as clear, cloudy, and rainy) or the duration of sunshine for each time zone is recorded in the weather information.
Reference numeral 0105 represents a PV (Photovoltaic) power predicting function which is a function of predicting photovoltaic power generated for each time zone (for example, every 30 minutes) of the next day on the basis of information such as the duration of sunshine recorded in the weather prediction database 0104. A method expressed by Expression 1 or the like can be considered as the method of predicting the photovoltaic power. Instead of PV or in addition to PV, a power generator using natural energy such as wind power generation other than PV may be used.
[Math. 1]
P
pv(t)=Ppv0(t)×T(t)/W Expression 1
Here, Ppv(t) represents a predicted value of the photovoltaic power [Wh] generated in time zone t of the next day, Ppv0(t) represents a predicted value of the photovoltaic power [Wh] generated in a clear weather in time zone t of the next day and is information recorded in advance on a memory not shown, T(t) represents a duration of sunshine [h] per 30 minutes in time zone t of the next day and is information recorded on the weather prediction database 0104, and W represents a time width [h] (30 minutes) of each time zone.
Reference numeral 0106 represents a necessary regulation value calculating function, which calculates a demand regulation value of the overall community on the basis of a predicted power demand value obtained by adding a predicted power demand value of each consumer, which is obtained by adding predicted power demand values of consumer appliances, over the consumers of the community, a value obtained by adding the predicted value of the photovoltaic power generated from each consumer over the overall community, and predetermined upper and lower threshold values of the power demand in a power distribution system.
Reference numeral 0107 represents an equipment information database in which information such as rated power of appliances (such as home appliances) of the consumers is stored.
Reference numeral 0108 represents an appliance regulation capability calculating function which calculates a variation in power demand (=demand regulation capability) when a deactivated appliance is activated (demand stimulation) or when an activated appliance is deactivated (demand restraint).
Reference numeral 0109 represents a regulation request creating function which creates regulation request information including consumer appliances to be requested to regulate the demand, the setting method (“deactivating” or “activating”) thereof, and information of incentive points given to a consumer when the consumer responds to the request.
Reference numeral 0110 represents a request record database which is a database on which previous regulation request information to the consumers is recorded.
Reference numeral 0111 represents a cooperation level determining function which is a function of quantifying the height of a cooperation sense with a demand regulation request for each consumer.
Reference numeral 0112 represents a communication function which is a function of communicating with a consumer terminal installed for each consumer in a community.
Reference numeral 0122 is a memory function which is a function of temporarily storing information.
Reference numeral 0113 represents a communication network, which may employ the Internet, a mobile phone network, independent communication means, and the like.
Reference numeral 0114 represents a consumer terminal. The consumer terminal may employ various devices such as a PC, a mobile phone, and an independent terminal.
Reference numeral 0115 represents a communication function which is a function of communicating with the communication function 0112 of the demand regulation server 0101.
Reference numeral 0116 represents a request acceptance exclusion determining function which is a device that analyzes the regulation request information transmitted from the demand regulation server and automatically changes operation setting of an appliance which is requested to regulate the power demand. In addition to a method of automatically changing the setting of a consumer appliance on the basis of the regulation request information transmitted from the demand regulating function, a consumer may visually confirm details of the regulation request output by the display function (output function) 0120 and may change the appliance setting depending on the consumer's own determination.
Reference numeral 0117 represents a consumer appliance which may employ a water heater, a fuel battery, or an air conditioner.
Reference numeral 0118 represents a measuring function which is a function of measuring power consumption for each consumer appliance.
Reference numeral 0119 represents an input function which is means for allowing a consumer to manipulate the consumer terminal thereof.
Reference numeral 0120 represents a display function which is means for providing a consumer with information from the consumer terminal.
Reference numeral 0121 represents a display history managing function which is a function of counting the number of times of a consumer's display on a monitor of the consumer terminal and transmitting the counted value to the demand regulation server.
The necessary regulation value calculating function 0106, the appliance regulation capability calculating function 0108, the regulation request creating function 0109, the cooperation level determining function 0111, and the display history managing function 0121, which are functions requiring particular explanation, will be described below.
First, the necessary regulation value calculating function 0106 will be described with reference to
S0201 represents a process of acquiring a threshold value used to calculate a necessary regulation value. The threshold value includes upper and lower threshold values of power demand in a power distribution system, and may be set on the basis of equipment capacity of the power distribution system or may be set on the basis of other conditions.
S0202 represents a time zone loop process. In this example, the loop process is performed in the order of 00:00 to 00:30, 00:30 to 01:00, . . . with 30 minutes as the time width.
S0203 represents a consumer ID loop process. In this example, it is assumed that an ID is allocated to each consumer. Numbers based on the connection relationship to the power distribution system are sequentially given as the consumer IDs.
S0204 represents an appliance equipment loop process, in which appliance demand prediction information output from the power demand predicting function 0103 of
S0206 represents a PV (photovoltaic) power prediction acquiring process in which a predicted value of photovoltaic power generated by consumers and by time zones and predicted in the PV power predicting function 0105 of
S0207 represents a load balance calculating process. Here, a load balance is defined as “power demand after the generated photovoltaic power is cancelled”. A load balance calculating expression is expressed by Expression 2.
Here, P(t) represents the load balance [Wh] (by time zones) over the overall community on the next day, Phe(t) represents a predicted value [Wh] of a consumer appliance power demand on the next day, and Ppv(t) represents a predicted value [Wh] (by time zones) of the photovoltaic power generated for each consumer on the next day.
S0208 represents a necessary regulation value calculating process. The necessary regulation value is defined as a departing value when the load balance departs from the threshold value. The necessary regulation value will be described below with reference to
Description will be made below with a focus on the necessary regulation value P1 of 13:00 to 13:30.
Referring to
Referring to
S0601 represents a time zone loop process. Here, the loop process is performed in the order of 00:00 to 00:30, 00:30 to 01:00, . . . with 30 minutes as the time width.
S0602 represents a consumer ID loop process. The method of setting the consumer ID is the same as described in S0203.
S0603 represents an appliance loop process in which the types of the consumer appliance such as a water heater, a fuel battery, and a storage battery are sequentially set.
S0604 represents a regulation capability estimating process. The regulation capability is defined as an increase in power demand (possible demand stimulation) [Wh] when a deactivated appliance is activated or a decrease in power demand (possible demand restraint) [Wh] when an activated appliance is deactivated. Here, for example, the possible demand stimulation or the possible demand restraint is calculated as follows.
As for an appliance predicted to be deactivated in a certain time zone of the next day by the power demand predicting function 0103, the power consumption calculated from the rated power information recorded in the equipment information database 0107 is considered as the possible demand stimulation [Wh].
As for an appliance predicted to be activated in a certain time zone of the next day by the power demand predicting function 0103, the predicted value of power demand at the time of activation is considered as the possible demand restraint [Wh]. The predicted value of power demand at the time of activation can be acquired by statistically processing the record information of the power demand record database 0102.
S0605 represents a recording process. In the recording process S0605, the calculated appliance regulation capability is arranged in the format shown in
Referring to
S0801 represents a necessary regulation value acquiring process. The necessary regulation value information is information in the table shown in
S0802 represents a loop process by time zones. Here, the loop process is performed in the order of 00:00 to 00:30, 00:30 to 01:00, . . . with 30 minutes as the time width.
S0803 represents a loop process by QOL influence levels. Here, QOL means “quality of life”. In the present invention, as shown in
Referring to
S0805 represents a demand regulation appliance extracting process. The demand regulation appliance is recorded in correlation with the cooperation level in the format shown in
S0806 represents a regulation capability acquiring process in which data matched in consumer ID, time zone, and appliance name with the data extracted in S0805 is acquired from the data table shown in
S0807 represents an incentive setting process. The incentive is a profit which a consumer obtains from the operator of the demand regulation server when the consumer sets the appliances in response to the demand regulation request. As a method of setting the incentive, a method of allocating an incentive at a fixed ratio with respect to the demand regulation value, for example, like one point per 1 kWh of demand regulation value, can be considered. In this method, the incentive point allocated to the regulation value 500 Wh based on deactivation in the record with a consumer ID of 00001, a time zone of 13:00 to 13:30, and an appliance name of water heater is 0.5 points.
S0808 represents an adding process in which the regulation values extracted in S0805 are sequentially added.
In S0809, it is determined whether the regulation capability is sufficient for the necessary regulation value. This process will be described below with reference to
S0810 represents a recording process in which the countermeasure having the regulation capability processed in S0809 is recorded in the request record database shown in
Referring to
S1301 represents a loop process by consumer IDs.
S1302 represents a loop process by appliances in which the types of consumer appliances such as a water heater, a fuel battery, and a storage battery are sequentially set.
S1303 represents a loop process by previous dates. The range of the loop can be set, for example, to three months to the past from the day just before the execution date.
S1304 represents a loop process by time zones. Here, the loop process is performed in the order of 00:00 to 00:30, 00:30 to 01:00, . . . with 30 minutes as the time width.
S1305 represents a request record acquiring process. The previous request record is acquired from the information of the table shown in
S1306 represents a power demand record acquiring process. The power demand record is recorded on the power demand record database 0102 in the format shown in
S1307 represents a cooperation determining process. It is determined whether a consumer cooperates with a demand regulation request, by comparing information of the power demand record database 0102 with the request record database 0110.
When the demand stimulation is requested (when the sign of the power regulation value in
When the demand restraint is requested (when the sign of the power regulation value in
In both of (1) and (2), when it is determined that a consumer cooperates with a demand regulation request, the consumer ID, the date, the time zone, the appliance name, and the acquired incentive points are recorded in the format shown in
In S1308, the number of times of determining that the corresponding consumer “cooperates with the request” is counted.
After the loop processes by dates and by time zones are performed on a certain consumer, the cooperation level is calculated in S1309. The cooperation level is calculated by the use of Expression 3.
Level represents the cooperation level, N1 represents the previous number of times [times] of cooperation of the corresponding consumer by appliances, and N0 represents the previous number of times [times] of request of the corresponding consumer by appliances. The request details and the calculated cooperation level are recorded in the format shown in
The method using behavior based on the cooperation sense of a consumer as an index which is the second method of calculating a cooperation level will be described below. The height of the cooperation sense with a demand regulation request is considered to have a high correlation with the number of times of a consumer confirming the monitor of the consumer terminal. Therefore, the cooperation level is calculated on the basis of the number of times of display on the monitor of the consumer terminal.
S1601 represents a loop process by consumer IDs.
S1602 represents a process of calculating the maximum value of the number of times of display on the monitor of a consumer terminal in all the consumers belonging to a community. The calculation of the number of times of display on the monitor of a consumer terminal will be described later (a display history managing function 0121).
In S1603, a loop process is performed by consumer IDs again.
In S1604, a cooperation level is calculated. The cooperation level is calculated by the use of Expression 4.
Here, Level represents the cooperation level, N represents the number of times [times] of display on the monitor of the corresponding consumer in a certain period (for example, one month), and Nmax represents the maximum value (times) of the number of times of display on the monitor of the consumer in all the consumers of the community.
S1605 represents a recording process in which the cooperation level calculated using Expression 4 is recorded in the format shown in
S1701 represents an initialization process in which the previous count information or the like is cleared.
S1702 represents a monitor state observing process. In this process, the display state (ON or OFF) of the monitor is observed.
In S1703, it is determined whether a consumer manipulates the display on the monitor. When the consumer does not manipulate the display on the monitor, the flow of processes goes back to the observing of the monitor state in S1702. On the other hand, when the consumer manipulates the display on the monitor, 1 is counted up in S1704.
In S1705, it is determined whether a predetermined period elapses after the initialization process. Here, for example, it is determined whether one month elapses. When the elapsed time is less than one month, the flow of processes goes back to S1702. On the other hand, when one month elapses, the counted value is transmitted to the cooperation level determining function (0111 in
Explaining principal points of the embodiment, since it is necessary to observe consumers surely responding to a request for reducing an amount of energy to be used and to transmit the request to only the consumers, the demand regulation server 0101 is provided with the “cooperation level determining function 0111” numerically expressing the height (cooperation level) of the cooperation sense of the consumer with the request for regulating an amount of energy to be used. The operator of the demand regulation server selects consumers or consumer appliances to be requested to regulate an amount of energy to be used on the basis of the magnitude of the cooperation level. Several types of methods of calculating the value of the cooperation level can be considered. The first method is a method using a ratio of the number of times of cooperation of a consumer with the request to the total number of times of request transmitted to the consumer (or the consumer appliance) in a predetermined period in the past. In another method, it is thought that the height of the cooperation sense of a consumer with the request for reducing an amount of energy to be used is highly correlated with the number of times of the consumer confirming the display function 0120 of the consumer terminal 0114. Therefore, a method of counting the number of times in which the consumer manipulates the consumer terminal and displays information on the display function 0120 for each consumer and calculating the cooperation rate in the form of a ratio of the counted value of the consumer to the maximum counted value of the consumers of the community can be also considered.
Accordingly, it is possible to shift a peak to a target regulation value with a high expected value. The operator of the demand regulation server can be prevented from distributing incentives more than necessary.
While the present invention has been described with reference to the embodiments, it will be apparently understood by those skilled in the art that the present invention is not limited to the embodiments and can be changed and modified in various forms without departing from the concept of the present invention and the scope of the appended claims.
Number | Date | Country | Kind |
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2011-008382 | Jan 2011 | JP | national |
Filing Document | Filing Date | Country | Kind | 371c Date |
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PCT/JP2011/069781 | 8/31/2011 | WO | 00 | 6/19/2013 |