REGIONAL GRIDDING CUMULATIVE ENVIRONMENTAL RISK EVALUATION SYSTEM AND METHOD BASED ON RISK FIELD

Information

  • Patent Application
  • 20220230107
  • Publication Number
    20220230107
  • Date Filed
    January 11, 2021
    5 years ago
  • Date Published
    July 21, 2022
    4 years ago
Abstract
The present disclosure discloses a regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation system and method based on a risk field, and belongs to the fields of environmental sciences and environmental risks. The cumulative environmental risk evaluation system comprises a data acquisition unit, a data storage unit, an evaluation analysis unit, and a risk visualization unit. The evaluation method includes: establishing a cumulative environmental risk index evaluation model based on a cumulative environmental risk field intensity index, a cumulative environmental risk control mechanism index, and a cumulative environmental risk receptor index, evaluating a cumulative environmental risk through the established model, and determining a grade of the cumulative environmental risk of the evaluation region. By integrating the cumulative environmental risk evaluation system and evaluation method, a cumulative environmental risk can be scientifically and accurately evaluated, so that a powerful technical support is provided for the management work of the cumulative environmental risk.
Description
CROSS REFERENCE TO RELATED APPLICATIONS

The present application claims the benefit of Chinese Patent Application No. 202010037422.1 filed on Jan. 14, 2020, the contents of which are hereby incorporated by reference.


TECHNICAL FIELD

The present disclosure belongs to the field of environmental science and environmental risks, and particularly relates to a regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation system and method based on a risk field.


BACKGROUND

Since the water pollution event occurred in Songhua River in 2005, the risk management of abrupt environmental incidents in China, especially the emergency management of sudden risks, has developed rapidly, and various policy documents have been introduced densely. However, the current “event-driven” environmental risk management mode in China cannot effectively identify specific environmental risk management objectives at all levels, and there is a lack of regional and integrated environmental risk analysis and evaluation methods and results, which causes that the environmental risk base is unclear, and national and regional major environmental risk factors cannot be effectively identified to achieve various environmental risk division, seriously hampering the development of environmental risk priority management for classification and regionalization. With environmental risk evaluation and drawing of a gridding environmental risk map in units of regions, the priority identification, classification, and regionalization management of environmental risks in China can be supported.


The environmental risks include a sudden environmental risk and a cumulative environmental risk. Aiming at regional gridding sudden environmental risk evaluation, China has issued “Recommended Measures for the Risk Evaluation of Abrupt Environmental Incidents in Administrative Regions” as the technical basis of regional sudden environmental risk evaluation based on a risk field. In terms of the cumulative environmental risk, the existing evaluation methods are mainly carried out on the basis of pollution concentration data, population exposure conditions, and corresponding exposure response relationships, and are difficult to apply when evaluating environmental risks lacking information of pollutant exposure and exposure response relationships. Therefore, the existing evaluation methods can generally only be used for cumulative risk evaluation of one or a limited number of pollutants with exposure response relationships. Although Chinese Patent Application No. 201610098851.3 discloses a regional integrated environmental risk evaluation and regionalization method, which evaluates an environmental risk from a macroscopic perspective, this method still relies on data such as pollutant exposure and exposure response relationships.


Therefore, based on the above analysis, the existing method relies on the data such as pollutant exposure and exposure response relationships, can only be used for cumulative risk evaluation of one or a limited number of pollutants with exposure response relationships, is difficult to adapt to gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation when there are potential multiple pollutants exposure, and is inaccurate in evaluation and poor in universality.


SUMMARY

Technical Problem: The present disclosure provides a regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation system and method based on a risk field. The system and the method are used for cumulative environmental risk evaluation, can be independent of information of pollutant exposure and exposure response relationships, are suitable for cumulative environmental risk evaluation when there are potential multiple pollutants exposure, are accurate in evaluation, and have high universality, scientificity, and accuracy.


Technical Solution: The regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation system based on the risk field of the present disclosure includes a processor, a memory that stores operational instructions that executed by the processor, where the processor comprises a data acquisition unit, an evaluation analysis unit, and a risk visualization unit, the memory comprises a data storage unit.


The data acquisition unit is configured to acquire environmental risk related data in an evaluation region.


The data storage unit is configured to store the environmental risk related data acquired by the data acquisition unit.


The evaluation analysis unit is provided with a plurality of sub-evaluation analysis units according to categories of environmental media, and is configured to evaluate a cumulative environmental risk of each environmental medium and evaluate a cumulative integrated environmental risk integrating all the environmental media.


The risk visualization unit is configured to generate a cumulative environmental risk map and visually display a cumulative environmental risk condition in the evaluation region.


Further, the evaluation analysis unit includes: a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk evaluation analysis unit, configured to evaluate a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk;


a cumulative water environmental risk evaluation analysis unit, configured to evaluate a cumulative water environmental risk;


a cumulative soil environmental risk evaluation analysis unit, configured to evaluate a cumulative soil environmental risk; and


a cumulative integrated risk evaluation unit, configured to evaluate a cumulative integrated environmental risk integrating atmosphere, water, and soil.


The regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation method based on the risk field of the present disclosure is used for cumulative environmental risk evaluation, using the cumulative environmental risk evaluation system, and specifically includes:


determining an evaluation region, performing grid division on the evaluation region, collecting environmental risk related data including pollution condition data, environmental management statistical data, and geographic information data in the evaluation region using a data acquisition module, and storing the environmental risk related data in the data storage unit;


establishing, for a plurality of environmental media, a cumulative environmental risk index evaluation model based on a cumulative environmental risk field intensity index, a cumulative environmental risk control mechanism index, and a cumulative environmental risk receptor index, and placing the cumulative environmental risk index evaluation model in the evaluation analysis unit for evaluating the cumulative environmental risks, the cumulative environmental risk index evaluation model including cumulative environmental risk indexes corresponding to various environmental media and a cumulative integrated environmental risk index integrating all the categories of environmental media, and a method for calculating the cumulative integrated environmental risk index being:








R
⁢
C

=



∑

k
=
1

m

⁢

R
⁢

C
k
5



5


,




where RC represents a cumulative integrated environmental risk index of a grid, RCk represents a cumulative environmental risk index corresponding to a kth environmental medium of the grid, k is a serial number, and m represents categories of environmental media in the grid; and


performing grade division on the cumulative environmental risks of the evaluation region, determining a grade corresponding to the cumulative environmental risk of each grid in the evaluation region, and drawing a cumulative environmental risk map by the risk visualization unit.


Further, a method for calculating the cumulative environmental risk indexes corresponding to various environmental media is:








RC
k

=



SF
k

×

SV
k

×

SM
k


3


,

k
=

1
⁢



⁢
…
⁢



⁢
m


,




where RCk represents a cumulative environmental risk index corresponding to a kth environmental medium of a grid, SFk represents a cumulative environmental risk field intensity index corresponding to the kth environmental medium of the grid, SMk represents a cumulative environmental risk control mechanism index corresponding to the kth environmental medium of the grid, SVk represents a cumulative environmental risk receptor index corresponding to the kth environmental medium of the grid, k is a serial number, and m represents categories of environmental media in the grid.


Further, the environmental media include water, atmosphere, and soil, and the corresponding cumulative environmental risk field intensity indexes include: a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index, a cumulative water environmental risk field intensity index, and a cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity index.


The corresponding cumulative environmental risk control mechanism indexes include: a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanism index, a cumulative water environmental risk control mechanism index, and a cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism index.


The corresponding cumulative environmental risk receptor indexes include: a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk receptor index, a cumulative water environmental risk receptor index, and a cumulative soil environmental risk receptor index.


Further, a method for calculating the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index is:







F
⁢

A

x
,
y



=


∑
i
n

⁢



DA
i

⁡

(


u
i

+
1

)


2









DA
i

⁢



=



SA
i

×

MA
i










u
i

=

{





1
+

0
⁢

k
1


+

0
⁢

k
2


+

0
⁢
j


,





l
i

≤

s
1











s
2

-

l
i




s
2

-

s
1



+




l
i

-

s
1




s
2

-

s
1



⁢

k
1


+

0
⁢

k
2


+

0
⁢
j


,





s
1

<

l
i

≤

s
2








0
+




s
3

-

l
i




s
3

-

s
2



⁢

k
1


+




l
i

-

s
2




s
3

-

s
2



⁢

k
2


+

0
⁢
j


,





s
2

<

l
i

≤

s
3








0
+

0
⁢

k
1


+




s
4

-

l
i




s
4

-

s
3



⁢

k
2


+




l
i

-

s
3




s
4

-

s
3



⁢
j


,





s
3

<

l
i

≤

s
4








0
+

0
⁢

k
1


+

0
⁢

k
2


+

1
j


,





l
i

>

s
4










where FAx,y is a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index of a grid (x, y); DAi is a source intensity of an ith cumulative atmosphere environmental risk source; SAT is an environmental risk index of the ith cumulative atmosphere environmental risk source in the evaluation region; MAi is an environmental risk management and control level index of the ith cumulative atmosphere environmental risk source in the evaluation region; ui is a connection degree between the ith risk source and the grid (x, y); li is a distance between a center point of the grid (x, y) and the ith risk source in km; and i is a serial number, k is a difference coefficient, and j is an opposite of coefficient, where n is the number of cumulative atmosphere environmental risk sources, s1, s2, s3, and s4 are all constants used for dividing a spatial range in the calculation of the connection degree, and x and y are coordinates of the grid.


Further, after a grid is determined as a water body, the cumulative water environmental risk field intensity index is calculated according to the following formula:







F
⁢

W

x
,
y



=

{








∑

i
=
1

n

⁢

DW
i


,




0
≤

l
i

≤
1








∑

i
=
1

n

⁢


(

1
-


l
i

10


)

⁢

DW
i



,




1
<

l
i

≤
10






0
,




10
,

<

l
i






⁢



⁢
D
⁢

W
i


=


S
⁢

W
i

×
M
⁢

W
i









where FWx,y is a cumulative water environmental risk field intensity index of a grid (x, y); DWi is a source intensity of an ith cumulative water environmental risk source; li is a distance between a center point of the grid (x, y) and the ith water environmental risk source in km; SWi is an environmental risk index of the ith cumulative water environmental risk source in the evaluation region; and MWi is an environmental risk management and control level index of the ith cumulative water environmental risk source in the evaluation region, where n is the number of cumulative water environmental risk sources, i is a serial number, and x and y are coordinates of the grid.


Further, a method for calculating the cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity index is:






FS
x,y
=F
x,y
+FW
x,y


where FSx,y is a cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity index of a grid (x, y); FAx,y is a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index of the grid (x, y); FWx,y is a cumulative water environmental risk field intensity index of the grid (x, y); and x and y are coordinates of the grid.


Further, the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanism index, the cumulative water environmental risk control mechanism index, the cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism index, the cumulative water environmental risk receptor index, and the cumulative soil environmental risk receptor index are determined by a scoring method, evaluation indicators of various environmental media are determined and assigned with weights and scores, such that quantification is performed, and various indicator scores are integrated to calculate a score of each index.


Further, the pollution condition data includes basic information of a pollution enterprise, violation condition and characteristic pollutant monitoring, waste discharge and treatment, and storage of dangerous chemicals. The environmental management statistical data includes environmental governance investment, environmental management law enforcement investment, and environmental problem letters and visits and complaint conditions. The geographic information data includes water body distribution, terrain elevation data, meteorological data, population distribution, and land use types.


Beneficial effects: Compared with the prior art, the present disclosure has the following advantages:


(1) The regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation system based on the risk field of the present disclosure includes a data acquisition unit, a data storage unit, an evaluation analysis unit, and a risk visualization unit, which can complete data acquisition, data storage, environmental risk evaluation, and environmental risk visualization, thus completing the whole environmental risk evaluation process, so that an environmental risk can be managed and regulated scientifically, and the technical support is provided for accurate management work of regionalization classification of cumulative environmental risks.


(2) According to the regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation method based on the risk field of the present disclosure, various data types such as enterprise-level environmental performance data, regional environmental management data, and geographic data are integrated, and grid division is performed on an evaluation region. Then, a cumulative environmental risk index evaluation model is constructed from a cumulative environmental risk field intensity, a cumulative environmental risk control mechanism, and a cumulative environmental risk receptor respectively based on a risk field theory, and grade division is performed according to a score of a cumulative environmental risk index, so that a cumulative environmental risk grade of the evaluation region is determined, a visual map is drawn, and evaluation and visualization of the regional gridding cumulative environmental risk are realized. The method of the present disclosure is independent of exposure data and information of exposure response relationships, so that the cumulative environmental risk can be evaluated macroscopically. Therefore, the method is high in universality and comprehensive in evaluation, and thus can be used as a technical means for identifying a priority of the cumulative environmental risk in China to provide a technical support for accurate management work of regionalization and classification of the cumulative environmental risks.


(3) According to the method of the present disclosure, the difference of different environmental media such as atmosphere, water, and soil is fully considered, a cumulative atmosphere/water/soil environmental risk field intensity index, a cumulative atmosphere/water/soil environmental risk control mechanism index, and a cumulative atmosphere/water/soil environmental risk receptor index in the evaluation region are calculated, the cumulative environmental risk index of each environmental medium in the evaluation region is determined according to the three indexes, and the cumulative integrated environmental risk indexes of all environmental medium, so that the cumulative environmental risk in the evaluation region is integrally evaluated. In particular, in the method of the present disclosure, the cumulative risk of soil is fully considered, so that the cumulative environmental risk evaluation is more accurate.


(4) According to the method of the present disclosure, when part of evaluation indexes are calculated, a scoring method is mainly adopted, different evaluation indicators are set for each environmental medium in the evaluation region, and the indicators are scored and quantified, so that accurate exposure data and exposure response relationship are not required. That is, the environmental risk can be scientifically quantified, and various factors can be integrally considered, not limited to a single indicator, so that the cumulative environmental risk in the evaluation region is scientifically and accurately evaluated, the operation is simple, and the universality is strong. Moreover, when each indicator is weighted, an equal weight form is adopted. The defects of strong subjectivity, high complexity and high difficulty when different weights are adopted are avoided, so that the cumulative environmental risk is evaluated more scientifically and accurately.


(5) According to the method of the present disclosure, the cumulative environmental risk of soil is integrally considered. Since the ways for pollutants to enter a soil environment include atmospheric dry and wet sedimentation, groundwater pollution, and the like, the mechanism is complex, and data is difficult to obtain, the method of the present disclosure determines a calculation method of a cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity so as to reduce the underestimation of the cumulative soil environmental risk under high uncertainty, so that the environmental risk evaluation is more comprehensive and accurate.


(6) According to the method of the present disclosure, a new calculation method for calculating a cumulative integrated environmental risk index is constructed by adopting a Euclidean norm method, and environmental risks of different media are superposed, so as to ensure that the division of the superposed integrated environmental risk is in a reasonable environmental risk grade, the discrimination of the superposed environmental risk index is maintained, the defects of inaccurate evaluation of the cumulative environmental risk and unreasonable risk grade classification of a traditional method are avoided, and the calculation of the cumulative environmental risk of the evaluation region is more scientific and accurate.





BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS


FIG. 1 is a frame diagram of a regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation system based on a risk field according to the present disclosure.



FIG. 2 is a calculation flow chart of a regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation method based on a risk field according to the present disclosure.



FIG. 3 is a cumulative environmental risk map of Nanjing District drawn based on the method of the present disclosure.





DETAILED DESCRIPTION

The following further describes the present disclosure in detail with reference to the embodiments and the accompanying drawings in this specification.


As shown in FIG. 1, the regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation system based on the risk field of the present disclosure includes a processor, a memory that stores operational instructions that executed by the processor, where the processor comprises a data acquisition unit, an evaluation analysis unit, and a risk visualization unit, the memory comprises a data storage unit. The data acquisition unit is configured to acquire environmental risk related data in an evaluation region. The data storage unit is configured to store the environmental risk related data acquired by the data acquisition unit. The evaluation analysis unit is provided with a plurality of sub-evaluation analysis units according to categories of environmental media, and is configured to evaluate a cumulative environmental risk of each environmental medium and evaluate a cumulative integrated environmental risk integrating all the environmental media. The risk visualization unit is configured to generate a cumulative environmental risk map and visually display a cumulative environmental risk condition in the evaluation region.


In an embodiment of the present disclosure, the environmental media include atmosphere, water, and soil. Therefore, the evaluation analysis unit in the cumulative environmental risk evaluation system includes: a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk evaluation analysis unit, configured to evaluate a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk; a cumulative water environmental risk evaluation analysis unit, configured to evaluate a cumulative water environmental risk; a cumulative soil environmental risk evaluation analysis unit, configured to evaluate a cumulative soil environmental risk; and a cumulative integrated risk evaluation unit, configured to evaluate a cumulative integrated environmental risk integrating atmosphere, water, and soil.


The cumulative environmental risk evaluation system can complete data acquisition, data storage, environmental risk evaluation, and environmental risk visualization, thus completing the whole environmental risk evaluation process, so that an environmental risk can be managed and regulated scientifically, and the technical support is provided for accurate management work of regionalization classification of cumulative environmental risks.


According to the regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation method based on the risk field of the present disclosure, environmental risk evaluation can be performed by adopting the cumulative risk evaluation system of the present disclosure. As shown in FIG. 2, in the method, an evaluation region is firstly determined and is subjected to grid division, environmental risk related data in the evaluation region is collected by adopting the data acquisition module, and the environmental risk related data is stored in the data storage unit. The environmental risk related data in the evaluation region includes: pollution condition data, environmental management statistical data, and geographic information data. The pollution condition data includes basic information of a pollution enterprise, violation condition and characteristic pollutant monitoring, waste discharge and treatment, and storage of dangerous chemicals. The environmental management statistical data includes environmental governance investment, environmental management law enforcement investment, and environmental problem letters and visits and complaint conditions. The geographic information data includes water body distribution, terrain elevation data, meteorological data, population distribution, and land use types. As can be seen from the environmental related data, the data are all state information in the evaluation region, which shows an environmental related state in the evaluation region.


When the evaluation region is subjected to grid division, a coordinate system is established by taking a longitude line passing through the westernmost point of the evaluation region as a Y-axis in a northward positive direction, a latitude line passing through the southernmost point of the evaluation region as an X-axis in an eastward positive direction, and an intersection point of two coordinate axes as an origin. Grid units are divided according to a set resolution in the coordinate system, and parts of the region falling in the grid are numbered. The resolution is typically set to 500 m×500 m and/or 1000 m×1000 m, which ensures that each grid unit contains enough information to reflect an environmental risk in the grid unit and avoids inaccurate evaluation due to too large selection range. After the coordinate system is established and the grids are divided according to the set resolution, any grid may be represented by (x, y) and the coordinates of the grid may be represented by x and y.


For a plurality of environmental media, a cumulative environmental risk index evaluation model is established based on a cumulative environmental risk field intensity index, a cumulative environmental risk control mechanism index, and a cumulative environmental risk receptor index, and the cumulative environmental risk index evaluation model is placed in the evaluation analysis unit for evaluating the cumulative environmental risks. The cumulative environmental risk field intensity index is used to describe a distribution pattern formed by each cumulative environmental risk source in a certain environmental space. The cumulative risk control mechanism index is used to indicate the effectiveness of policies, measures, and technologies for reducing environmental risks in a certain environmental space. The cumulative environmental risk receptor index is used to describe the vulnerability and importance of risk receptors, including population and ecosystem. The three indexes are integrated to establish a cumulative environmental risk index evaluation model. The cumulative environmental risk index evaluation model includes cumulative environmental risk indexes corresponding to all environmental media and a cumulative integrated environmental risk index integrating all environmental media. For example, in an embodiment of the present disclosure, the environmental media include atmosphere, water, and soil. The cumulative environmental risk index corresponding to a single environmental medium includes a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk index, a cumulative water environmental risk index, and a cumulative soil environmental risk index, respectively corresponding to a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk evaluation analysis unit, a cumulative water environmental risk evaluation analysis unit, and a cumulative soil environmental risk evaluation analysis unit of the cumulative environmental risk evaluation system, and a cumulative integrated environmental risk index is obtained by integrating three environmental media: atmosphere, water, and soil, and corresponds to a cumulative integrated environmental risk evaluation analysis unit.


In a specific implementation process, the cumulative environmental risk field intensity index, the cumulative environmental risk control mechanism index, and the cumulative environmental risk receptor index of each environmental medium of each grid in the evaluation region are calculated respectively, and the cumulative environmental risk index corresponding to each environmental medium of the grid and the cumulative integrated environmental risk index integrating all environmental media are determined.


In the embodiment of the present disclosure, the environmental media include water, atmosphere, and soil, so that the corresponding cumulative environmental risk field intensity indexes include: a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index, a cumulative water environmental risk field intensity index, and a cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity index. The corresponding cumulative environmental risk control mechanism indexes include: a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanism index, a cumulative water environmental risk control mechanism index, and a cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism index. The corresponding cumulative environmental risk receptor indexes include: a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk receptor index, a cumulative water environmental risk receptor index, and a cumulative soil environmental risk receptor index.


Since the soil medium is poor in fluidity, and pollutants are relatively easy to accumulate, the soil medium is indispensable in cumulative environmental risk evaluation. Therefore, in the method of the present disclosure, it is included in the evaluation scope, which makes the evaluation more comprehensive.


The calculation process of the cumulative environmental risk field intensity index, the cumulative environmental risk control mechanism index, and the cumulative environmental risk receptor index is described in conjunction with the flowchart shown in FIG. 2. Since each grid unit is independently performed at the time of evaluation, the calculation process and method of each index are described below in units of one grid at the time of calculation.


(1) A cumulative environmental risk field intensity index (F) of each grid unit is calculated: cumulative environmental risk field intensity indexes of three environmental media are respectively calculated, including a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index (FA), a cumulative water environmental risk field intensity index (FW), and a cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity index (FS).


1) A calculation formula of the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index (FA) is as shown in (1)-(3):










F
⁢

A

x
,
y



=


∑
i
n

⁢



DA
i

⁡

(


u
i

+
1

)


2






(
1
)







DA
i

⁢



=



SA
i

×

MA
i







(
2
)







u
i

=

{





1
+

0
⁢

k
1


+

0
⁢

k
2


+

0
⁢
j


,





l
i

≤

s
1











s
2

-

l
i




s
2

-

s
1



+




l
i

-

s
1




s
2

-

s
1



⁢

k
1


+

0
⁢

k
2


+

0
⁢
j


,





s
1

<

l
i

≤

s
2








0
+




s
3

-

l
i




s
3

-

s
2



⁢

k
1


+




l
i

-

s
2




s
3

-

s
2



⁢

k
2


+

0
⁢
j


,





s
2

<

l
i

≤

s
3








0
+

0
⁢

k
1


+




s
4

-

l
i




s
4

-

s
3



⁢

k
2


+




l
i

-

s
3




s
4

-

s
3



⁢
j


,





s
3

<

l
i

≤

s
4








0
+

0
⁢

k
1


+

0
⁢

k
2


+

1
j


,





l
i

>

s
4










(
3
)







In Formulas (1)-(3), FAx,y is a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index of a grid (x, y); DTi is a source intensity of an ith cumulative atmosphere environmental risk source; SAT is an environmental risk index of the ith cumulative atmosphere environmental risk source in the evaluation region; MAi is an environmental risk management and control level index of the ith cumulative atmosphere environmental risk source in the evaluation region; ui is a connection degree between the ith risk source and the grid (x, y); li is a distance between a center point of the grid (x, y) and the ith risk source in km; and i is a serial number, k is a difference coefficient, and j is an opposite of coefficient, where n is the number of cumulative atmosphere environmental risk sources. In the embodiment of the present disclosure, k1=0.5, k2=−0.5, and j=−1 respectively; s1, s2, s3, and s4 are all constants for dividing a space range in the calculation of the connection degree, and are 1 km, 3 km, 5 km, and 10 km respectively.


A calculation result is standardized by a range method and adjusted to be within a range of 0-100 as shown in Formula (4):










SFA

x
,
y


=




FA

x
,
y


-

FA
min




FA
max

-

FA
min



×
100





(
4
)







In Formula (4), SFAx,y is a standardized cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field index of the grid (x, y); FAmax is a maximum value of cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensities of all grids in an evaluation region; and FAmin is a minimum value of the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensities of all the grids in the evaluation region.


Since the situation of a risk source is integrally considered, the calculated cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index is more scientific and accurate, laying a foundation for accurate cumulative environmental risk evaluation.


Illustratively, an environmental risk index of the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk source in Formula (2) is used for representing the degree of a potential cumulative hazard caused by the risk source. The environmental risk index of the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk source mainly includes a storage chemical substance risk source index and an emission pollutant risk source index. Emission pollutants include heavy metals and volatile organic compounds.


The storage chemical substance risk source index includes a storage chemical substance ecological health index and a population health index. A calculation mode of the ecological health index is: multiplying an existing quantity of each air-related risk substance of the risk source by a corresponding Bioconcentration factor (BCF), and then summing. If the air-related risk substance does not have the BCF, an atmosphere environment ecological health influence is not considered.


A calculation mode of the population health index is: multiplying an existing quantity of each air-related risk substance of the risk source by a corresponding inhalation carcinogenic slope factor, and then summing. If the substance does not have the inhalation carcinogenic slope factor, an atmosphere environment population health influence is not considered.


A calculation mode of the emission pollutant risk source index is: dividing an annual emission of each heavy metal and volatile organic compound in exhaust emissions by a corresponding exhaust emission concentration standard, and then summing.


In order to make the index of each part in the same interval range, a natural logarithm is taken for each part, a result is standardized by using a range method, and adjusted to be within a range of 0-100, and all parts are finally added and summed to obtain the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk source index of the risk source.


An environmental risk management and control level index of the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk source in Formula (3) represents the effectiveness of policies, measures, technologies, and the like for reducing the cumulative environmental risk of the risk source. The environmental risk management and control level index of the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk source may be quantitatively evaluated by adopting a scoring method, and evaluation indicators are shown in Table 1:









TABLE 1







Cumulative Atmosphere Environmental Risk Management and


Control Level Indicators and Evaluation










Evaluation





Indicators
Evaluation Classification Condition
Weight
Score













Collection
No volatile organic primary and
¼
30


mode
secondary materials exist




of volatile
Volatile organic primary and

60


organic
secondary materials exist, but




compounds
are discharged to





a treatment facility





Volatile organic primary and

100



secondary materials are free





of organic emission and





there are no volatile organic





treatment facilities




Automatic
No heavy metals and
¼
30


monitoring
volatile organic compounds are




data
involved




of heavy
Heavy metals and volatile organic

60


metals
compounds are involved,




and volatile
and there is automatic monitoring data




organic
Heavy metals and volatile organic

100


compounds
compounds are involved,





and there is no automatic monitoring data




Toxic gas
No toxic and harmful
¼
30


leakage
gases are involved




monitoring
A toxic and harmful gas

60


early
prevention and control early




warning
warning system is provided




measures
No toxic and harmful gas

100



prevention and control early





warning system is provided




Emission of
No heavy metals and volatile
¼
30


heavy metals
organic compounds are




and volatile
involved




organic
Emission concentrations

60


compounds
of heavy metals and volatile organic




and
compounds reach the standard




information
Emission concentrations

100


of
of heavy metals and volatile




reaching
organic compounds do




standard
not reach the standard









The obtained scores of all the indicators are accumulated, the environmental risk management and control level index of the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk source of the risk source is determined, and then the obtained scores are standardized.


2) Cumulative water environmental risk field intensity index (FW): the calculation of a cumulative water environmental risk field intensity is mainly aimed at a water body possibly influenced by cumulative environmental risk substances in the evaluation region, so that the evaluation range is mainly river, lake, reservoir, and other water bodies, and the land is not within the calculation range of a cumulative water environmental risk field. Therefore, the types of the grids need to be classified to determine whether the grids are water body types, as shown in Formula (5):










T
⁡

(

x
,
y

)


=

{




1
,




Water
⁢



⁢
body






0
,



Other








(
5
)







In Formula (5), T(x,y) is a type of a grid (x, y), T(x,y)=1, indicating that the grid is a water body, and T(x,y)=0, indicating that the grid is of another type.


If T(x,y) corresponding to the grid (x, y) is equal to 0, the evaluation of a water environmental risk field of the grid is stopped, and a water environmental risk of the grid is set to 0. If T(x,y) corresponding to the grid (x, y)=1, a water environmental risk field index is calculated by using Formula (6).










F
⁢

W

x
,
y



=

{






∑

i
=
1

n

⁢

DW
i


,




0
≤

l
i

≤
1








∑

i
=
1

n

⁢


(

1
-


l
i

10


)

⁢

DW
i



,




1
<

l
i

≤
10






0
,




10
<

l
i










(
6
)







DW
i

=



SW
i

×

MW
i







(
7
)







In Formulas (6)-(7), FWx,y is a cumulative water environmental risk field intensity of a grid (x, y); DWi is a source intensity of an ith cumulative water environmental risk source; li is a distance between a center point of the grid (x, y) and the ith water environmental risk source in km; SWi is an environmental risk index of the ith cumulative water environmental risk source in the evaluation region; and MWi is an environmental risk management and control level index of the ith cumulative water environmental risk source in the evaluation region, where n is the number of cumulative water environmental risk sources, and i is a serial number.


A calculation result is standardized by a range method and adjusted to be within a range of 0-100 as shown in Formula (8):










SFW

x
,
y


=




FW

x
,
y


-

FW
min




FW
max

-

FW
min



×
100





(
8
)







In Formula (8), SFWx,y is a standardized cumulative water environmental risk field intensity of the grid (x, y); FWmax is a maximum value of water environmental risk field intensities of all grids in the evaluation region; and FWmin is a minimum value of the water environmental risk field intensities of all the grids in the evaluation region.


Since the situation of a risk source is integrally considered, the calculated cumulative water environmental risk field intensity index is more scientific and accurate, laying a foundation for accurate cumulative environmental risk evaluation.


Illustratively, an environmental risk index of the cumulative water environmental risk source in Formula (7) is used for representing the degree of a potential cumulative hazard caused by the risk source. The environmental risk index of the cumulative water environmental risk source mainly includes a storage chemical substance risk source index and an emission pollutant risk source index. Emission pollutants include heavy metals and volatile organic compounds.


The storage chemical substance risk source index includes a storage chemical substance ecological health index and a population health index. A calculation mode of the ecological health index is: multiplying an existing quantity of each water-related risk substance of the risk source by a corresponding BCF, and then summing. If the water-related risk substance does not have the BCF, a water environment ecological health influence is not considered.


A calculation mode of the population health index is: multiplying an existing quantity of each water-related risk substance of the risk source by a corresponding oral carcinogenic slope factor, and then summing. If the substance does not have the oral carcinogenic slope factor, a water environment population health influence is not considered.


A calculation mode of the emission pollutant risk source index is: dividing an annual emission of each heavy metal and petroleum substance in wastewater emissions by a corresponding wastewater emission concentration standard, and then summing.


In order to make the index of each part in the same interval range, a natural logarithm is taken for each part, standardization processing is performed by using a range method, the natural logarithm is adjusted to be within a range of 0-100, and all parts are finally added and summed to obtain the cumulative water environmental risk source index of the risk source.


An environmental risk management and control level index of the cumulative water environmental risk source in Formula (7) represents the effectiveness of policies, measures, technologies, and the like for reducing the cumulative environmental risk of the risk source. The environmental risk management and control level index of the cumulative water environmental risk source may be quantitatively evaluated by adopting a scoring method, and evaluation indicators are shown in Table 2:









TABLE 2







Enterprise Cumulative Water Environmental Risk Management


and Control Level Indicators and Evaluation










Evaluation





Indicators
Evaluation Classification Condition
Weight
Score













Closure
Heavy metals and petroleum
¼
30


measure
substances are not involved




condition
Heavy metals and petroleum

60



substances are involved, which





satisfy: (1) an environmental





risk unit is provided with anti-





leakage, anti-corrosion, anti-leaching,





and anti-loss measures;





(2) a drainage switching valve





is arranged outside a device





cofferdam and a tank farm





fire dike (cofferdam), a valve





leading to a rainwater system





is normally turned off, and a





valve leading to an accident





liquid storage pool, an emergency





accident water pool, a clean





wastewater emission buffer pool,





or a sewage treatment





system is turned on; and (3) the





foregoing measures are good





in daily management and





maintenance, and there is a special





person responsible for valve





switching or an automatic





switching facility is arranged to





ensure that initial rainwater,





leakages and polluted fire-fighting





water are discharged into a





sewage system




Monitoring
Heavy metals and petroleum

100


condition
substances are involved, and any




of heavy
of the requirements above is not met




metals and
Heavy metals and petroleum
¼
25


petroleum
substances are not involved




substances
Heavy metals and petroleum

50



substances are involved, and are





monitored on line





Heavy metals and petroleum

75



substances are involved, and are





subjected to enterprise self-test





or entrusted monitoring or





supervised monitoring





Heavy metals and petroleum

100



substances are involved without





any monitoring




Risk
No production wastewater
¼
30


prevention
is generated or discharged




and control
Wastewater is discharged, and

60


measures
any of the requirements below is




of
met: (1) polluted circulating




production
cooling water, rainwater, fire




wastewater
water, and the like are discharged




treatment
into a production wastewater




system
system or an independent





treatment system; (2) a monitoring





pool is arranged before the





production wastewater is





discharged, and unqualified





wastewater can be sent to a





wastewater processing facility





for treatment; (3) if polluted





clean wastewater or rainwater





of an enterprise enters a





wastewater processing system





for treatment, an accident water





buffering facility should





be arranged in the wastewater





processing system; and (4) a





monitoring and closing facility for





a general production wastewater





discharge port is provided, and





there is a special person responsible





for opening and closing to





ensure that leakages, polluted





fire-fighting water and





unqualified wastewater are





not discharged outside the plant





Wastewater is discharged, and any of the

100



requirements above is not met




Emission
Heavy metals and petroleum
¼
30


of heavy
substances are not involved




metals and
Emission concentrations of

60


petroleum
heavy metals and petroleum




substances
substances reach the standard




and
Emission concentrations of

100


information
heavy metals and petroleum




of reaching
substances do not reach the standard




standard









The obtained scores of all the indicators are accumulated, the environmental risk management and control level index of the cumulative water environmental risk source of the risk source is determined, and then the obtained scores are standardized.


3) Cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity index (FS): the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity and the water environmental risk field intensity in the grid are superposed and calculated, and then standardized to obtain a final cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity of the grid, and a calculation method is shown in Formula (9):






FS
x,y
=FA
x,y
+FW
x,y   (9)


In Formula (9), FSx,y is a cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity of a grid (x, y); FAx,y is a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity of the grid (x, y); and FWx,y is a cumulative water environmental risk field intensity of the grid (x, y).


A calculation result is standardized by a range method and adjusted to be within a range of 0-100 as shown in Formula (10):










SFS

x
,
y


=




FS

x
,
y


-

FS
min




FS
max

-

FS
min



×
100





(
10
)







In the formula (10), SFSx,y is a standardized cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity of a grid (x, y); FSmax is a maximum value of cumulative soil environmental risk field intensities of all grids; and FSmin is a minimum value of the cumulative soil environmental risk field intensities of all the grids.


Since soil medium is poor in fluidity, and pollutants are relatively easy to accumulate, the soil medium is indispensable in cumulative environmental risk evaluation. Therefore, in the method of the present disclosure, the soil medium is included in the evaluation scope. Since the ways for pollutants to enter a soil environment include atmospheric dry and wet sedimentation, groundwater pollution, and the like, the mechanism is complex, and data is difficult to obtain, the method of the present disclosure determines a simplified calculation method of a cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity based on an idea of a maximum credible accident so as to reduce the underestimation of the cumulative soil environmental risk under high uncertainty. According to the method of the present disclosure, an environmental risk of soil is integrally considered, so that the environmental risk evaluation is more comprehensive and accurate.


(2) A cumulative environmental risk control mechanism index (M) of each grid unit is calculated: cumulative environmental risk control mechanism indexes of three environmental media are respectively calculated, including a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanism index (MA), a cumulative water environmental risk control mechanism index (MW), and a cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism index (MS).


1) The cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanism index (MA) is quantified by adopting a scoring method, and the evaluation indicators are shown in Table 3:









TABLE 3







Cumulative Atmosphere Environmental Risk Control


Mechanism Evaluation Indicators











Evaluation
Description





Indicators
of Indicators
Evaluation Basis
Weight
Score














Investment
Percentage
The proportion of
¼
100


proportion
of
regional exhaust gas




of
amount of
control investment to GDP




regional
investment
is less than 0.025%




exhaust gas
in
The proportion of

75


control
industrial
regional exhaust gas





exhaust gas
control investment





control per
to GDP is more





year in an
than or equal to 0.025%





administrative
and less than 0.05%





region
The proportion of

50



where
regional exhaust gas





a grid is
control investment





located in
to GDP is more





GDP
than or equal to






0.05% and less than






0.075%






The proportion of

25




regional exhaust gas






control investment






to GDP is more






than or equal to 0.075%




Environ-
Quantity
The quantity ratio
¼
100


mental
ratio
of environmental




management
of
managers to pollution




law
environ-
source enterprises in an




enforcement
mental
administrative region




investment
managers
where a grid is located




of
to
is less than 1




regional
pollution
The quantity ratio

75


enterprises
source
of environmental





enterprises
managers to pollution





in an
source enterprises in an





admin-
administrative region





istrative
where a grid is located





region where
is more than or





a grid is
equal to 1 and





located
less than 1.7






The quantity ratio

50




of environmental






managers to






pollution source






enterprises in an






administrative region






where a grid is located






is more than or






equal to 1.7 and






less than 2.5






The quantity ratio

25




of environmental






managers to






pollution source






enterprises in an






administrative region






where a grid is located






is more than or






equal to 2.5




Regional
Ratio of
The ratio of the
¼
100


enterprise
number of
number of enterprises




violations
enterprises
recorded with





recorded
gas-related violations is





with
more than 75%





gas-related
The ratio of the

75



violations to
number of enterprises





total number
recorded with





of enterprises
gas-related violations is





in an
more than 50% and





administrative
less than or equal





region where
to 75%





a grid is
The ratio of the

50



located
number of enterprises






recorded with






gas-related violations is






more than 25% and






less than or equal






to 50%






The ratio of the

25




number of enterprises






recorded with






gas-related violations is






less than or






equal to 25%




Letters and
Number of
The number of
¼
100


visits and
letters and
letters and visits and




complaints
visits and
complaints in an




on
complaints
administrative region




regional
in an
where a grid is




environmental
administrative
located is more than




issues
region where
39,000





a grid is
The number of

75



located
letters and visits and






complaints in an






administrative region






where a grid is






located is more than






32,000 and less than






or equal to 39,000






The number of

50




letters and visits and






complaints in an






administrative region






where a grid is






located is more than






25000 and less than






or equal to 32000






The number of

25




letters and visits and






complaints in an






administrative region






where a grid is






located is less than or






equal to 25,000









The obtained scores of all the indicators are accumulated, and a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanism index Mx,y in the grid (x, y) is determined. If the evaluated grid (x, y) spans different administrative regions and scores of cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanisms of the administrative regions are inconsistent, the highest score is taken as a final score.


A calculation result is standardized by a range method and adjusted to be within a range of 0-100 as shown in Formula (11):










SMA

x
,
y


=




MA

x
,
y


-

MA
min




MA
max

-

MA
min



×
100





(
11
)







In Formula (11), SMAx,y represents a standardized cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanism index of a grid (x, y), MAmin represents a minimum value of cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanism indexes of all grids, and MAmax represents a maximum value of the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanism indexes of all grids. Illustratively, a percentage system is adopted in the design of the scores of the evaluation indicators. Therefore, in an actual operation, standardization may not be needed. The standardization is used for unification, making the result more accurate.


2) The cumulative water environmental risk control mechanism index (MW) is quantified by adopting a scoring method, and evaluation indicators are shown in Table 4. If the type of the grid is not a water body, i.e., T(x,y) corresponding to a grid (x, y) is equal to 0, the evaluation of a water environmental risk control mechanism of the grid is stopped.









TABLE 4







Cumulative Water Environmental Risk Control Mechanism


Evaluation Indicators











Evaluation
Description of





Indicators
Indicators
Evaluation Basis
Weight
Score














Investment
Percentage of
The proportion of
¼
100


proportion
amount of
regional wastewater




of
investment in
control investment




regional
industrial
to GDP is less than




wastewater
wastewater
0.009%




control
control per
The proportion of

75



year in an
regional wastewater





administrative
control investment





region where a
to GDP is more





grid is located
than or equal to





in GDP
0.009% and less than






0.017%






The proportion of

50




regional wastewater






control investment






to GDP is more






than or equal to






0.017% and less than






0.025%






The proportion of

25




regional wastewater






control investment






to GDP is more






than or equal to 0.025%




Environ-
Quantity
The quantity ratio
¼
100


mental
ratio
of environmental




management
of
managers to




law
environ-
pollution source




enforcement
mental
enterprises in an




investment
managers to
administrative region




of
pollution
where a grid is




regional
source
located is less than 1




enterprises
enterprises in
The quantity ratio

75



an
of environmental





administrative
managers to





region where a
pollution source





grid is located
enterprises in an






administrative region






where a grid is






located is more than or






equal to 1 and






less than 1.7






The quantity ratio

50




of environmental






managers to






pollution source






enterprises in an






administrative region






where a grid is located






is more than or






equal to 1.7 and






less than 2.5






The quantity ratio

25




of environmental






managers to






pollution source






enterprises in an






administrative region






where a grid is located






is more than or






equal to 2.5




Regional
Ratio of
The ratio of the
¼
100


enterprise
number of
number of enterprises




violations
enterprises
recorded with





recorded with
water-related violations





water-related
is more than 75%





violations to
The ratio of the

75



total
number of enterprises





number of
recorded with





enterprises in
water-related violations





an
is more than 50%





administrative
and less than or





region where a
equal to 75%





grid is located
The ratio of the

50




number of enterprises






recorded with water-






related violations






is more than 25%






and less than or






equal to 50%






The ratio of the

25




number of enterprises






recorded with water-






related violations






is less than or






equal to 25%




Letters and
Number of
The number of letters
¼
100


visits and
letters and
and visits and




complaints
visits and
complaints in an




on
complaints
administrative region




regional
in an
where a grid is




environmental
administrative
located is more than




issues
region where a
39,000





grid is located
The number of

75




letters and visits and






complaints in an






administrative region






where a grid is






located is more than






32,000 and less






than or equal to






39,000






The number of

50




letters and visits and






complaints in an






administrative region






where a grid is






located is more than






25000 and less than






or equal to 32000






The number of

25




letters and visits and






complaints in an






administrative region






where a grid is






located is less than or






equal to 25,000









The scores of all the indicators are accumulated, and a cumulative water environmental risk control mechanism index MWx,y in the grid (x, y) is determined. If the evaluated grid (x, y) spans different administrative regions and scores of cumulative water environmental risk control mechanisms of the administrative regions are inconsistent, the highest score is taken as a final score.


A calculation result is standardized by a range method and adjusted to be within a range of 0-100 as shown in Formula (12):










SMW

x
,
y


=




MW

x
,
y


-

MW
min




MW
max

-

MW
min



×
100





(
12
)







In Formula (12), SMWx,y represents a standardized cumulative water environmental risk control mechanism index of a grid (x, y), MAmin represents a minimum value of cumulative water environmental risk control mechanism indexes of all grids, and MAmax represents a maximum value of the cumulative water environmental risk control mechanism indexes of all grids. Illustratively, a percentage system is adopted in the design of the scores of the evaluation indicators. Therefore, in an actual operation, standardization may not be needed. The standardization is used for unification, making the result more accurate.


3) The cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism index (MS) is quantified by adopting a scoring method, and evaluation indicators are shown in Table 5.









TABLE 5







Cumulative Soil Environmental Risk Control


Mechanism Evaluation Indicators











Evaluation
Description





Indicators
of Indicators
Evaluation Basis
Weight
Score





Investment
Percentage of
The proportion of
¼
100


proportion
amount of
regional solid waste




of
investment in
control investment




regional
industrial solid
to GDP is less than




industrial
waste control
0.0001%




solid waste
per year in an
The proportion of

75


control
administrative
regional solid waste





region where a
control investment





grid is located
to GDP is more





in GDP
than or equal to






0.0001% and less






than 0.0018%






The proportion of

50




regional solid waste






control investment






to GDP is more






than or equal to






0.0018% and less






than 0.0035%






The proportion of

25




regional solid waste






control investment






to GDP is more






than or equal






to 0.0035%




Environ-
Quantity ratio
The quantity ratio
¼
100


mental
of
of environmental




management
environmental
managers to




law
managers to
pollution source




enforcement
pollution
enterprises in an




investment
source
administrative region




of
enterprises in
where a grid is




regional
an
located is less than 1




enterprises
administrative
The quantity ratio

75



region where a
of environmental





grid is located
managers to






pollution source






enterprises in an






administrative region






where a grid is located






is more than or






equal to 1 and






less than 1.7






The quantity ratio

50




of environmental






managers to






pollution source






enterprises in an






administrative region






where a grid is located






is more than or






equal to 1.7 and






less than 2.5






The quantity ratio

25




of environmental






managers to






pollution source






enterprises in an






administrative region






where a grid is located






is more than or






equal to 2.5




Regional
Ratio of
The ratio of the
¼
100


enterprise
number of
number of enterprises




violations
enterprises
recorded with soil-





recorded with
related violations is





soil-related
more than 75%





violations to
The ratio of the

75



total number
number of enterprises





of
recorded with soil-





enterprises in
related violations is





an
more than 50% and





administrative
less than or equal





region where a
to 75%





grid is located
The ratio of the

50




number of enterprises






recorded with soil-






related violations is






more than 25% and






less than or equal






to 50%






The ratio of the

25




number of enterprises






recorded with soil-






related violations is






less than or equal to 25%




Letters and
Number of
The number of
¼
100


visits and
letters and
letters and visits and




complaints
visits and
complaints in an




on
complaints in
administrative region




regional
an
where a grid is




environmental
administrative
located is more than




issues
region where a
39,000





grid is located
The number of

75




letters and visits and






complaints in an






administrative region






where a grid is






located is more than






32,000 and less than or






equal to 39,000






The number of

50




letters and visits and






complaints in an






administrative region






where a grid is






located is more than






25000 and less than






or equal to 32000






The number of

25




letters and visits and






complaints in an






administrative region






where a grid is






located is less than or






equal to 25,000









The scores of all the indicators are accumulated, and a cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism index MSx,y in the grid (x, y) is determined. If the evaluated grid (x, y) spans different administrative regions and scores of cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanisms of the administrative regions are inconsistent, the highest score is taken as a final score.


A calculation result is standardized by a range method and adjusted to be within a range of 0-100 as shown in Formula (13):










S
⁢
M
⁢

S

x
,
y



=




M
⁢

S

x
,
y



-

M
⁢

S
min





M
⁢

S
max


-

M
⁢

S
min




×
1
⁢
0
⁢
0





(
13
)







In Formula (13), SMSx,y represents a standardized cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism index of a grid (x, y), MSmin represents a minimum value of cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism indexes of all grids, and MSmax represents a maximum value of the cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism indexes of all grids. Illustratively, a percentage system is adopted in the design of the scores of the evaluation indicators. Therefore, in an actual operation, standardization may not be needed. The standardization is used for unification, making the result more accurate.


It can be seen that in the embodiment of the present disclosure, an adopted scoring table is used for evaluating the performance of regional atmosphere environmental risk management and control in the aspects of fund and personnel investment, management effect, and the like, is not limited to a single indicator, and more comprehensively reflects the level of atmosphere, water and soil environmental risk control mechanisms. The indicators in the table are independent of information of exposure data and exposure response relationships, and data is readily available. The reason why an average weight is adopted is that the importance of each score indicator is similar, and if a difference weight is set, the subjectivity is strong, the complexity of the method is greatly increased, and the difficulty of the actual operation is increased. The average weight method can avoid influence on evaluation accuracy caused by over subjectivity. A general framework of an indicator system is consistent with that of atmosphere and water, and reflects the consistency of evaluation, and some indicators also highlight the specificity of a medium and reflect the accuracy of evaluation. Meanwhile, the cumulative soil environmental risk is integrally considered, so that the evaluation is more scientific and comprehensive.


(3) A cumulative environmental risk receptor index (V) of each grid is calculated: cumulative environmental risk receptor indexes of three media are respectively calculated, including a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk receptor index (VA), a cumulative water environmental risk receptor index (VW), and a cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism index (VS).


1) The cumulative atmosphere environmental risk receptor index (VA) is calculated by using Formulas (14)-(16).










VA

x
,
y


=



p

x
,
y


×

v

x
,
y








(
14
)







p

x
,
y


=



pop

x
,
y


-

pop
min




pop
max

-

pop
min







(
15
)







v

x
,
y


=




v
~


x
,
y


-

v
min




v
max

-

v
min







(
16
)







In Formulas (14)-(16), VAx,y is a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk receptor index of a grid (x, y); px,y is a standardized population index of the grid (x, y); popx,y is the population in the grid (x, y); popmax is a 99-quantile population value (with an extreme value removed) of all grids; popmin is a minimum value of population of all the grids; vx,y is a standardized wind speed index of the grid (x, y); {tilde over (v)}x,y is an average wind speed (m/s) in the grid (x, y); vmax is a 99-quantile wind speed (with an extreme value removed) (m/s) of all the grids; and vmin is a minimum value (m/s) of wind speeds of all the grids. A result is standardized by a range method and adjusted to be within a range of 0-100 as shown in Formula (17):










SVA

x
,
y


=




VA

x
,
y


-

VA
min




VA
max

-

VA
min



×
1
⁢
0
⁢
0





(
17
)







In Formula (17), SVAx,y represents a standardized cumulative atmosphere environmental receptor index of a grid (x, y), VAmin represents a minimum value of cumulative atmosphere environmental receptor indexes of all grids, and VAmax represents a maximum value of the cumulative atmosphere environmental receptor indexes of all grids.


2) The cumulative water environmental risk receptor index (VW) is quantified by adopting a scoring method, and evaluation indicators are shown in Table 6. If the type of the grid is not a water body, i.e., T(x,y) corresponding to a grid (x, y) is equal to 0, the evaluation of a water environmental risk receptor of the grid is stopped.









TABLE 6







Cumulative Water Environmental Risk Receptor Index Evaluation Table











Target
Indicator
Evaluation Basis
Weight
Score














Cumulative
River, lake
Grid through which
½
100


water
and
a first-level river,




environ-
reservoir
lake and reservoir pass




mental
level
Grid through which

80


risk receptor

a second-level




vulnerability

river, lake and reservoir pass




index

Grid through which

60




a third-level river,






lake and reservoir pass






Grid through which

40




a fourth-level






river, lake and






reservoir pass






Grid through which

20




a fifth-level river,






lake and reservoir pass





Water
Grid through which
½
100



body
a river, lake and





functional
reservoir of class-I water pass





region
Grid through which

80




a river, lake and






reservoir of class-II water pass






Grid through which

60




a river, lake and






reservoir of class-III water pass






Grid through which

40




a river, lake and






reservoir of class-IV water pass






Grid through which

20




a river, lake and






reservoir of class-V-below






water pass









The scores of all the indicators are accumulated, and a cumulative water environmental risk receptor index VWx,y in the grid (x, y) is determined. A calculation result is standardized by a range method and adjusted to be within a range of 0-100 as shown in Formula (18):










S
⁢

W

x
,
y



=




V
⁢

W

x
,
y



-

V
⁢

W
min





V
⁢

W
max


-

V
⁢

W
min




×
1
⁢
0
⁢
0





(
18
)







In Formula (18), SVWx,y represents a standardized cumulative water environmental receptor index of a grid (x, y), VWmin represents a minimum value of cumulative water environmental receptor indexes of all grids, and VWmax represents a maximum value of the cumulative water environmental receptor indexes of all grids. Illustratively, a percentage system is adopted in the design of the scores of the evaluation indicators. Therefore, in an actual operation, standardization may not be needed. The standardization is used for unification, making the result more accurate.


When a scoring table is constructed, a water body level and a water body function are selected as evaluation indicators. Therefore, resource conditions and borne human activity intensity of a water environment receptor are integrally evaluated from the perspective of the water body level and function, so that the integrated evaluation is carried out, and the evaluation result is more scientific and accurate.


3) The cumulative soil environmental risk receptor index (VS) is quantified by adopting a scoring method, and evaluation indicators are shown in Table 7.









TABLE 7







Cumulative Soil Environmental Risk Receptor Index Evaluation Table











Target
Indicator
Description
Weight
Score














Cumulative
Land use type
Grid with cultivated land
½
100


soil

Grid with urban and rural,

80


environmental

industrial and mining, and




risk receptor

residential land




index

Grid with grassland

60




Grid with forest land

40




Grid with unused land type

20



Soil property
Clay
½
100




Loam

60




Sandy soil

30









The scores of all the indicators are accumulated, and a cumulative soil environmental risk receptor index VSx,y in the grid (x, y) is determined. A calculation result is standardized by a range method and adjusted to be within a range of 0-100 as shown in Formula (19):










SVS

x
,
y


=




VS

x
,
y


-

VS
min




VS
max

-

VS
min



×
100





(
19
)







In Formula (19), SVSx,y represents a standardized cumulative soil environmental receptor index of a grid (x, y), VSmin represents a minimum value of cumulative soil environmental receptor indexes of all grids, and VSmin represents a maximum value of the cumulative soil environmental receptor indexes of all grids. Illustratively, a percentage system is adopted in the design of the scores of the evaluation indicators. Therefore, in an actual operation, standardization may not be needed. The standardization is used for unification, making the result more accurate.


In the constructed scoring table, the human activity intensity to a soil environmental receptor and pollutant diffusion property are integrally evaluated from the aspects of land use type and soil property, so that the integrated evaluation is carried out, and the evaluation result is more scientific and accurate.


(4) The cumulative environmental risk index (RC) of each grid unit is calculated


In the calculation of the cumulative environmental risk index, three aspects of risk source, risk control mechanism and risk receptor should be considered comprehensively to obtain an integrated score. For each grid unit, two aspects of cumulative environmental risk indexes need to be considered, including a cumulative environmental risk index of a single environmental medium and a cumulative integrated environmental risk index integrating all environmental media.


When the cumulative environmental risk index of various environmental media is calculated, the calculation method adopts the following formula (20):











RC
k

=



SF
k

×

SV
k

×

SM
k


3


,

k
=

1
⁢



⁢
…
⁢



⁢
m


,




(
20
)







where RCk represents a cumulative environmental risk index corresponding to a kth environmental medium of a certain grid, SFk represents a cumulative environmental risk field intensity index corresponding to the kth environmental medium of the certain grid, SMk represents a cumulative environmental risk control mechanism index corresponding to the kth environmental medium of the certain grid, SVk represents a cumulative environmental risk receptor index corresponding to the kth environmental medium of the certain grid, k is a serial number, and m represents that there are m environmental media. Illustratively, in general, SFk, SVk, and SMk adopt standardized values, and illustratively, certain means one of them.


In the embodiment of the present disclosure, there are three environmental media including atmosphere, water and soil. Therefore, it can be seen that the value of m is 3, and then:


1) A calculation formula (21) of the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk index of each grid is as follows:










R
⁢
C
⁢

A

x
,
y



=



SFA

x
,
y


×

SVA

x
,
y


×

SMA

x
,
y



3





(
21
)







In Formula (21), RCAx,y is a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk index of a grid (x, y); SFAx,y is a standardized cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index of the grid (x, y); SVAx,y is a standardized cumulative atmosphere environmental risk receptor index of the grid (x, y); and SVAx,y is a standardized cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanism index of the grid (x, y). Illustratively, if an index indicated by SFAx,y, SVAx,y, or SMAx,y is within a set score range before standardization, e.g., 0-100, the corresponding index value may also use non-normalized data.


2) A calculation formula (22) of the cumulative water environmental risk index of each grid is as follows:










RCW

x
,
y


=



SFW

x
,
y


×

SVW

x
,
y


×

SMW

x
,
y



3





(
22
)







In Formula (22), RCWx,y is a cumulative water environmental risk index of a grid (x, y); SFWx,y is a standardized cumulative water environmental risk field intensity index of the grid (x, y); SVWx,y is a standardized cumulative water environmental risk receptor index of the grid (x, y); and SMWx,y is a cumulative water environmental risk control mechanism index of the grid (x, y). Illustratively, if an index indicated by SFWx,y, SVWx,y, or SMWx,y is within a set score range before standardization, e.g., 0-100, the corresponding index value may also use non-normalized data.


3) A calculation formula (23) of the cumulative soil environmental risk index of each grid is as follows:










RCS

x
,
y


=



SFS

x
,
y


×

SVS

x
,
y


×

SMS

x
,
y



3





(
23
)







In Formula (23), RCSx,y is a cumulative soil environmental risk index of a grid (x, y); SFSx,y is a standardized cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity of the grid (x, y); SVSxy is a standardized cumulative soil environmental risk receptor index of the grid (x, y); and SMSx,y is a standardized cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism index of the grid (x, y). Illustratively, if an index indicated by SFSx,y, SVSx,y, or SMSx,y is within a set score range before standardization, e.g., 0-100, the corresponding index value may also use non-normalized data.


The cumulative integrated environmental risk index integrating all the environmental media is calculated by superposing the cumulative risk indexes of all the environmental media using a Euclidean vector norm calculation method. A general calculation formula is as shown in Formula (24):










RC
=



∑

k
=
1

m

⁢

RC
k
5


5


,




(
24
)







where RC represents a cumulative integrated environmental risk index of a grid, RCk represents a cumulative environmental risk index corresponding to a kth environmental medium of the grid, k is a serial number, and m represents categories of environmental media in the grid.


Therefore, if there are three environmental media including atmosphere, water and soil in the embodiment of the present disclosure, the calculation method of the cumulative integrated environmental risk index is as follows:










R
⁢
C

=



RCA

x
,
y

5

+

RCW

x
,
y

5

+

RCS

x
,
y

5


5





(
25
)







In Formula (25), environmental risks of different media are superposed, so as to ensure that the division of the superposed integrated environmental risk is in a reasonable environmental risk grade, and the discrimination of the superposed environmental risk index is maintained. Therefore, cumulative environmental risks of various environmental media are integrated, so that a cumulative environmental risk of an evaluation region is scientifically and accurately evaluated.


(5) Cumulative environmental risk division and environmental risk map drawing are performed


According to Table 8, the cumulative environmental risk of the evaluation region is subjected to grade division, grids with different RC scores are divided into different environmental risk grades, and then a grade state of the cumulative environmental risk of each grid in the evaluation region is determined.









TABLE 8







Cumulative Environmental Risk Grade Division Standard










Cumulative Environmental Risk Index
Environmental



(Atmosphere/Water/Soil/Integrated)
Risk Grade







≥80
Very High (VH)



[50, 80)
High (H)



[40, 50)
Relatively High




(RH)



[30, 40)
Medium (M)



<30
Low (L)










According to the grade division results of the cumulative environmental risks of all the grids, spatial representation is performed on the cumulative environmental risk grades of the evaluation grids by adopting different colors with a GIS spatial representation technology, and environmental risk maps are respectively drawn by adopting a risk visualization unit of the cumulative environmental risk evaluation system. The environmental risk maps include a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk map, a cumulative water environmental risk map, a cumulative soil environmental risk map, and a cumulative integrated environmental risk map. By grading the cumulative environmental risk indexes of the evaluation region and displaying the cumulative environmental risk situation in the evaluation region in a risk map according to the divided grade, scientific environmental risk management of the evaluation region is realized.


In order to further illustrate the accuracy of the method of the present disclosure, the environmental risk is evaluated according to the cumulative integrated environmental risk index in combination with the grades divided in Table 8. The method for calculating a cumulative integrated environmental risk index by adopting the method provided by the present disclosure is compared with a traditional method which mostly adopts Euclidean 2-norm (i.e., square root of sum of squares).


The cumulative atmosphere environmental risk index, the cumulative water environmental risk index, and the cumulative soil environmental risk index are taken as lower limit values of each grade, respectively, as shown in Table 9.









TABLE 9







Comparison of Method of the Present Disclosure with Traditional Method











Cumulative
Cumulative
Cumulative
Method



Atmosphere
Water
Soil
of the
Traditional


Environmental
Environmental
Environmental
Present
Method


Risk Index
Risk Index
Risk Index
Disclosure
(2-Norm)





30
30
30
37.37
51.96


40
40
40
49.83
69.28


50
50
50
62.29
86.60









As can be seen from Table 9, when the cumulative atmosphere, water and soil environmental risk indexes are all 30, which are the lowest values of Grade-medium (M), the score of the cumulative integrated environmental risk index should also be located at Grade-medium (M). The score of the cumulative integrated environmental risk index calculated by using the method of the present disclosure is 37.37, just within an interval of Grade-medium (M). The score of the cumulative integrated environmental risk index calculated by the traditional method is 51.96, which falls within an interval of Grade-relatively high (RH). When the cumulative atmosphere, water and soil environmental risk indexes are all 40, which are the lowest values of Grade-relatively high (RH), the score of the cumulative integrated environmental risk index should also be located at Grade-relatively high (RH). The score of the cumulative integrated environmental risk index calculated by using the method of the present disclosure is 49.83, just within an interval of Grade-relatively high (RH). The score of the cumulative integrated environmental risk index calculated by the traditional method is 69.28, which falls within an interval of Grade-high (H). When the cumulative atmosphere, water and soil environmental risk indexes are all 50, which are the lowest values of Grade-high (H), the score of the cumulative integrated environmental risk index should also be located at Grade-high (H). The score of the cumulative integrated environmental risk index calculated by using the method of the present disclosure is 62.29, just within an interval of Grade-high (H). The score of the cumulative integrated environmental risk index calculated by the traditional method is 86.60, which falls within an interval of Grade-very high (VH). Therefore, it can be seen that the grade of the cumulative environmental risk is overestimated and the discrimination of the superimposed environmental risk indexes is difficult to maintain due to the inaccurate calculation of the traditional method. By using the method of the present disclosure, the grade of the cumulative environmental risk can be accurately estimated and the discrimination of the superimposed environmental risk indexes can be maintained.


By using the method of the present disclosure, the cumulative environmental risk evaluation is performed on Nanjing District, and the specific process is as follows:


In step 1, evaluation region determination, data collection, and grid division are performed: the whole district of Nanjing is selected as an evaluation region, relevant data is collected, and a resolution of 1 km×1 km is adopted for grid division.


In step 2, a grid c is selected, and a standardized cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index SFAc, water environmental risk field intensity index SFWc, and soil environmental risk field intensity index SFSc of the grid unit are calculated.


Cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index SFAc: the region has 20 atmospheric pollution sources, a distance between risk source 1 and the grid unit c is less than 1 km, u1=1, and an atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index of risk source 1 in the grid unit c is 50. Risk field intensity indexes from 20 risk sources to the grid unit c are sequentially calculated and finally summed to obtain SFAc=60.


Cumulative water environmental risk field intensity index SFWc: the grid unit has no water body, so SFWc=0.


Cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity index SFSc: in this case, the cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity index is equal to the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index, i.e., SFSc is 60.


In step 3, a cumulative environmental risk control mechanism index (M) of the grid unit c is calculated: with reference to evaluation indicators, a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanism index MAc, a cumulative water environmental risk control mechanism index MWc, and a cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism index MSc are calculated as 25, 0, and 50, separately, and are standardized. Of course, since the values are all within a range of 0-100, they may not be standardized.


In step 4, a cumulative environmental risk receptor index (V) of the grid unit c is calculated: in the grid unit c, the population is 500, popmax is 2,000, popmin is 10, popc is calculated as 0.25, vc is calculated as 0.4 similarly, and then a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk receptor index VAc is 0.32, and then standardized to obtain a result of 40. With reference to evaluation indicators, a cumulative water environmental risk receptor index VWc is calculated as 0 and a cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism index VSc is calculated as 70.


In step 5, a cumulative environmental risk index (RC) of the grid unit c is calculated: the index including cumulative environmental risk indexes corresponding to various environmental media and a cumulative integrated environmental risk index are calculated with reference to Formulas (21)-(25) to obtain RCAc of 40, RCWc of 0, RCSc of 60, and RC of 61.50.


In step 6, cumulative environmental risk division and map drawing are performed according to Table 8: according to step 5, the cumulative environmental risk of the grid belongs to Grade-high (H), after the cumulative environmental risk indexes of all grid units are calculated by repeating steps 2-5, the grids are characterized by adopting different colors on a map with reference to grading standard ratings, and the result is shown in FIG. 3.


The regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation method based on the risk field of the present disclosure is used for cumulative environmental risk evaluation using a constructed evaluation system. The cumulative environmental risk can be scientifically evaluated and managed by the evaluation system. According to the evaluation method, a cumulative environmental risk index evaluation model is constructed from a cumulative environmental risk field intensity, a cumulative environmental risk control mechanism, and a cumulative environmental risk receptor respectively based on a risk field theory, and grade division is performed according to a score of a cumulative environmental risk index, so that a cumulative environmental risk grade of the evaluation region is determined, and a visual map is drawn, thereby realizing the evaluation and visualization of the regional gridding cumulative environmental risk. The evaluation method is independent of information of exposure data and exposure response relationships, so that the cumulative environmental risk can be evaluated macroscopically. Therefore, the method is high in universality, and is more scientific and accurate in evaluation compared to the traditional method, thereby providing a scientific method for the cumulative environmental risk evaluation, and enriching the cumulative environmental risk evaluation theory.


The foregoing embodiments are merely exemplary implementations of the present disclosure. It should be noted that a person of ordinary skill in the art may make some improvement and equivalent replacement without departing from the principle of the present disclosure, and such technical solutions making improvement and equivalent replacement to the claims of the present disclosure shall fall within the protection scope of the present disclosure.

Claims
  • 1. A regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation system based on a risk field, comprising a processor, a memory that stores operational instructions that executed by the processor, wherein the processor comprising a data acquisition unit, an evaluation analysis unit, and a risk visualization unit, the memory comprising a data storage unit;the data acquisition unit is configured to acquire environmental risk related data in an evaluation region;the data storage unit is configured to store the environmental risk related data acquired by the data acquisition unit;the evaluation analysis unit is provided with a plurality of sub-evaluation analysis units according to categories of environmental media, and is configured to evaluate a cumulative environmental risk of each environmental medium and evaluate a cumulative integrated environmental risk integrating all the environmental media; andthe risk visualization unit is configured to generate a cumulative environmental risk map and visually display a cumulative environmental risk condition in the evaluation region.
  • 2. The regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation system based on the risk field according to claim 1, wherein the evaluation analysis unit comprises: a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk evaluation analysis unit, configured to evaluate a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk; a cumulative water environmental risk evaluation analysis unit, configured to evaluate a cumulative water environmental risk;a cumulative soil environmental risk evaluation analysis unit, configured to evaluate a cumulative soil environmental risk; anda cumulative integrated risk evaluation unit, configured to evaluate a cumulative integrated environmental risk integrating atmosphere, water, and soil.
  • 3. A regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation method based on a risk field, for cumulative environmental risk evaluation using the cumulative environmental risk evaluation system according to claim 1, specifically comprising: determining an evaluation region, performing grid division on the evaluation region, collecting environmental risk related data comprising pollution condition data, environmental management statistical data, and geographic information data in the evaluation region using a data acquisition module, and storing the environmental risk related data in the data storage unit;establishing, for a plurality of environmental media, a cumulative environmental risk index evaluation model based on a cumulative environmental risk field intensity index, a cumulative environmental risk control mechanism index, and a cumulative environmental risk receptor index, and placing the cumulative environmental risk index evaluation model in the evaluation analysis unit for evaluating the cumulative environmental risks, the cumulative environmental risk index evaluation model comprising cumulative environmental risk indexes corresponding to various environmental media and a cumulative integrated environmental risk index integrating all the categories of environmental media, and a method for calculating the cumulative integrated environmental risk index being:
  • 4. The regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation method based on the risk field according to claim 3, wherein a method for calculating the cumulative environmental risk indexes corresponding to various environmental media is:
  • 5. The regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation method based on the risk field according to claim 3, wherein the environmental media comprise water, atmosphere, and soil, and the corresponding cumulative environmental risk field intensity indexes comprise: a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index, a cumulative water environmental risk field intensity index, and a cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity index; the corresponding cumulative environmental risk control mechanism indexes comprise: a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanism index, a cumulative water environmental risk control mechanism index, and a cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism index; andthe corresponding cumulative environmental risk receptor indexes comprise: a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk receptor index, a cumulative water environmental risk receptor index, and a cumulative soil environmental risk receptor index.
  • 6. The regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation method based on the risk field according to claim 5, wherein a method for calculating the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index is:
  • 7. The regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation method based on the risk field according to claim 5, wherein after a grid is determined as a water body, the cumulative water environmental risk field intensity index is calculated according to the following formula:
  • 8. The regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation method based on the risk field according to claim 5, wherein a method for calculating the cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity index is: FSx,y=FAx,y+FWx,y wherein FSx,y is a cumulative soil environmental risk field intensity index of a grid (x, y); FAx,y is a cumulative atmosphere environmental risk field intensity index of the grid (x, y); FWx,y is a cumulative water environmental risk field intensity index of the grid (x, y); and x and y are coordinates of the grid.
  • 9. The regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation method based on the risk field according to claim 5, wherein the cumulative atmosphere environmental risk control mechanism index, the cumulative water environmental risk control mechanism index, the cumulative soil environmental risk control mechanism index, the cumulative water environmental risk receptor index, and the cumulative soil environmental risk receptor index are determined by a scoring method, evaluation indicators of various environmental media are determined and assigned with weights and scores, such that quantification is performed, and various indicator scores are integrated to calculate a score of each index.
  • 10. The regional gridding cumulative environmental risk evaluation method based on the risk field according to claim 3, wherein the pollution condition data comprises basic information of a pollution enterprise, violation condition and characteristic pollutant monitoring, waste discharge and treatment, and storage of dangerous chemicals; the environmental management statistical data comprises environmental governance investment, environmental management law enforcement investment, and environmental problem letters and visits and complaint conditions; andthe geographic information data comprises water body distribution, terrain elevation data, meteorological data, population distribution, and land use types.
Priority Claims (1)
Number Date Country Kind
202010037422.1 Jan 2020 CN national
PCT Information
Filing Document Filing Date Country Kind
PCT/CN2021/071030 1/11/2021 WO 00