The present invention relates to methods providing a user real time stock market data and information helpful for market entry.
In 2006, Betrader Financial Inc. (Cupertino, Calif.) released Version 2 of its RTS-STD real time stock software program. A more recent product RTS-PRO is available through its website http://www.betrader.com.
Once a user signs in RTS-PRO, a main viewing window 10 as shown in
The “Show Layers” button 14 allows user to select one of four layers that RTS displays. Although the layers are numbered to identify them, they can be viewed in any order. The user can also choose to hide particular layers here.
The “New Scan” button 13, once clicked, will open a blank lift/filter sheet. This sheet has two buttons activatable by the user. The first one is a “List” button 32, shown in
Shown in
1. Daily trading volume larger than 800,000 shares. This is achieved as shown in
2. Stock price greater than $30. This is achieved by clicking the box 23 next to “Price Greater Than” and entering “30” in the box 24 to the right.
3. Trading volume 180% or more of the average trading volume. This is done by clicking the box 25 next to “Vol/Ave Vol Greater Than”, and then entering “180” in the box 26 to the right. Once all above conditions have been made as shown in
In the RTS-PRO, a stock chart is typically represented by a group of candlesticks. Each candlestick comprises a body section or bar, and two lines vertically extending from the bar. The bar indicates the opening and closing price of a stock in a unit of 1 day, 1 week, 5 min or other time period. A white or green bar indicates a rising price, and a black or red bar indicates a falling price. The two black lines, if seen, indicate the highest price and lowest price during this period.
In the RTS-PRO, a term “trend box” (TB) is employed, which is a box covering one or more candlesticks. Similar to the candlestick, a TB can also be either green or red, lay on top of the corresponding candlestick(s).
When there is a new green candlestick appeared with its high exceeding the high of the preceding green trend box, a new green trend box is formed, usually. The high of this new green TB will be equal to the high of this new green bar. The low of this new green trend box is automatically set the same as the high of the preceding TB. This green trend box will continue cover all succeeding candlesticks until a new trend box is formed.
Conversely, when there is a new red bar appeared, with its low falling below the low of the preceding green TB, a new red TB is formed, usually. The low of this new red TB will be assigned same as the low of the new red bar. The high of this new red TB will be the same as the low of the preceding green TB. This red TB will be extended until another new TB is formed. The formation of a new red or green trend box right after a red TB can also be similarly constructed.
In the RTS-PRO, a term “trend box signal” (TBS) is also used. This TBS is similar to a conventional three lines break (3LB), which usually refers to a trend reversal when a rising bar immediately follows three consecutive falling bars or a falling bar immediately follows three consecutive rising bars. Such trend reversal represents a good time for entry either for long or short.
In RTS-PRO, a TBS can be either an up green arrow or a down red arrow. A green TBS is assigned to a price chart at a place where there is a reversal typically from three consecutive red trend boxes to a green trend box, while a red TBS is assigned to a price chart at a place where there is a reversal typically from three consecutive green trend boxes to a red trend box. This trend box reversal is an improvement over the conventional 3LB, mainly due to the elimination of some noise associated with the use of candlesticks, and makes the reversal more reliable.
In RTS-PRO, the TBS are placed in the charts to point out the best time for a trader to enter a long trade or short trade. There is a filter 27 in RTS-PRO, “TB Bullish or Bearish Reversal After ______ same color TB”, as seen in
Therefore, it would be more beneficial that a filter could be devised that it not only can scan the data base to find out the stocks showing TB reversal after several same color TB, but also limit the reporting to only stocks having such reversal in the past 10, 20 minutes or some assigned short time duration. Furthermore, it would be even better if a TBS, i.e., a green or red arrow, happening within a specified short time window could be searched and reported. It would assure that all reported stocks are not only fresh, but also valid with its TBS assurance.
Seven filters are disclosed for further improving the capability of the present RTS software as well as any real time stock software with filtering capability. These seven filters are mainly applied for intraday swing trading, in which both buy and sell of the same stock are done in a single day. But it may also be used for multiple days swing trading if the market condition favors the holding of the purchased stocks for more than one day.
The first filter is for quickly searching and disclosing all recent trend box signals (TBS) within a user specified time period, preferable less than 60 minutes prior to filter processing time, for the user. The user may timely enter a trade for long, short or other trades including options, etc., based on this TBS information as well as the overall market condition.
The user may initiate one such filtering by first clicking the New Scan button. A empty list/filter sheet will appear. The user will next click the List button to select a database, which is either a stored stocks file or a group of stocks from the market in real time. Once a selection is made, the modified RTS-PRO will extract all data for each selected stocks including its real time price as well as many derived information, and load them to the list/filter sheet.
The next step for the user is to click the Filter button to open a List Filter panel similar to
The second filter is similar to the first filter. It can be used only when it is felt that TB reversal after three TB of the same color is not solid enough, and four or more TB of the same color will be needed before TB reversal can happen.
The third filter involves a term, NO %, net open percent, which expresses the percent change from the current day's opening. For a stock, the value of NO % (stock) is typically driven by two force components. The first component is the net open percent of the market, or a reference, NO % (reference), such as $DJI or $SPX. The second component is a factor unique to this stock, due to the fundamental of this stock. A new term, NO % D, can be introduced as
NO % D=NO % (stock)−NO % (reference)
or =NO % (stock)−NO % ($SPX), if the reference is $SPX.
Most “average” stocks will move up or down at the same rate as the reference, which means their NO % D value is zero or near zero. A positive NO % D for a stock means that this is a strong stock with good fundamental. In an up market, or positive NO % ($SPX), the rate of increase in the price of this stock is faster than that of the reference. In a down market, or negative NO % ($SPX), the rate of decrease in price of this stock is slower than that of the reference. Investment in this stock will likely have profitability higher than that of an average stock during an up market, or a loss less than that of an average stock during a down market. It is suggested that a trade long can be placed in this stock, preferably during an up market, along with many other favorable market conditions. Conversely, a negative NO % D for a stock means that this is a weak stock with poor fundamental. It is suggested that a trade short be placed in this stock, preferable during a down market.
The third filter for trading long or short may also be combined with the appropriate filter 1 or 2. It means that for trading long, the filtered stocks not only each has a TBS or TB reversal suitable for trading long, each stock is also a strong stock with higher profitability than that of an average stock. It also means that for trading short, the filtered stocks not only each has a TBS or TB reversal suitable for trading short, each stock is also a weak stock with faster falling rate than that of an average stock.
For a long or short trading based on the NO % D filter, the user has the choice to set the limit of NO % D value, in order to adjust the number of filtered stocks displayed to a manageable level. A sorting of such NO % D value is also provided for the user to choose the most desirable stocks for trade.
The fourth filter is based on another new term, N % D, net percent difference, which expresses the difference between the net percent change of a stock from previous day's closing price, N % (stock), and that of a reference, typically, N % ($SPX). The use of this filter is similar to the third filter, but is most suitable for multiple days swing trading.
With the filter 5, the computer will filter the list stocks to find out stocks each with its present bar above or below last, typically 3 or more, 5 min bars. This filter is very good for long or short trade, respectively. In a stable market, with not many TB reversal or TBS, such stocks may be the most feasible stocks for trade.
It is a great idea that the above/below filter 5 be combined with an appropriate NO % D or N % D filter. When a stock meets both filters for long, it indicates that this stock is not only in a continuous up rising trend, but also outperforms other rising stocks in its higher profitability. It is also true if a stock meets both filters for short.
The filter 6 is similar to the filter 5 except that the item to be compared for the filter 6 are the closing price of the present bar and the closing prices of the specified number of preceding bars. The above or below filter can also be used alone or in combination with an appropriate NO % D or N % D filter. Compared with the filter 5, the use of the closing price for comparison is more statistically valid and preferred.
The filter 7 employs a small visual alert sheet placed on a corner of the PC screen to alert the user the presence of an up and/or down TBS in the last 5 minutes or other preset duration. The appearance of the bright green up arrow and/or the bright red down arrow constantly reminds the user that there are more profitable investing opportunities out there.
In summary, the above seven filters may provide the user many potentially profitable opportunities for trade entries. Twenty or more trade entries can be made in a typical days. But only four stocks are active at a time. Most trade each may last no more than 30 minutes, and must be exit once the price becomes stagnant, for keeping the gain and freeing up the cash for the next promising trade. In such a fast pace action, more time will be spent on trading, less time on searching and study of stocks, especially on those stocks leading to no trading. Each investment dollar may be recycled four or more times for maximum profit.
Shown in
For the sake of explanation, a new term “modified RTS-PRO” is used here to refer to the current RTS-PRO program that has been modified to incorporate all needed revision for successfully running all seven filters of the present invention. Although such modified RTS-PRO program is not yet in existence, any person skilled in the art would be able to make such modification based on the teaching of the present application. In order to make the distinction, the term “RTS-PRO” now on will refer to the current RTS-PRO program without any modification.
The filter 1, 51 shown in
For example, a user sits in front of a computer on Apr. 26, 2010 at 14:10 EST, can enter this filter by clicking the box 58 beside the word “TBS” and the circles 59 and 61 beside the words “up” and “20 min”, respectively, as shown in
One of the stocks discovered by this filter and listed in the list/filter sheet is the stock IBM. Since this sheet is color linked to a chart display window in layer 3 similar to
At this point the user needs to quickly study this IBM stock to decide whether to place a buy order. He needs to check whether the overall market is in up trend. He may also find that this IBM chart is currently above indicators such as VWAP, and PP. All these positive indications could convince him to place a long trade shortly after 14:10 EST.
Similar to the up TBS, the down TBS is also very valuable for indicating an ideal time for trade entry. As an example, this user also starts a filter 1 at 11:20 EST the same day for the following request:
“Down TBS in the last 20 min.”
The flow diagram for this filtering is similar to the one shown in
The resulted down TBS list/filter sheet is a separate sheet and different from the up TBS list/filter sheet above described. The stock symbols listed in this sheet is color linked to a layer 4 chart display window, which is set up for displaying 20 charts in the same manner as the chart display window in
It is noted that in
It should be noted that once a TBS filter process is initiated, the filtering becomes an ongoing process and is repeated every few seconds. This means that the listed stocks in the list/filter sheet can be changed as a result of each filtering process. The user needs to continue watching this sheet to consider whether a new trade entry is needed on the appearance of a new TBS.
In the present example, around 14:30 that day the list/filter sheet and the linked chart display window in Layer 3 will no longer include IBM, because by then there is no longer any up TBS on the IBM chart in the last 20 minutes. It is important that once a trade has been entered, the user must manually relocate it in order to monitor it continuously. A quote sheet and its color linked chart display window in layer 2 are set aside for this purpose. This layer 2 chart display window also can display 20 charts, for four stocks and a reference such as $SPX. Each stock has three price charts (1 day, 5 min, 1 min) and a NO % D chart, which will be described in a latter section. All these four charts are linked by a common color to the quote sheet and will show up once the symbol of the entered stock is typed in the quote sheet. The 1 day and 5 min charts of IBM are the same as that shown in
The present RTS-PRO program also allows the user to stop this repeated filtering in order to concentrate on the stocks currently on the list/filter sheet. This is achieved by clicking the “Pause” button on the upper right of the sheet and converting the button display from “Pause” to “Resume”. At a latter time the user can also restore the repeated filtering by clicking the Resume button and converting the button display back from “Resume” to “Pause”. Of course the user can also click the “X” button on the top right corner of the sheet anytime to turn off this sheet.
It is noted that the list/filter sheet in the current version of RTS-PRO has two types of lists. The first type of the list is a fixed list, which normally is imported into RTS-PRO from a computer file such as a “My Scan List”. The other type list is coming from the market in real time. But it will first go through a filter-like screening to select only those stocks from the market that meet certain specified screening criteria. For example, a screening listed under the “Swing Modules” in the List is termed “Bullish TB Reversal (TBRU)” seen in the most current TRS-PRO program. This screening is virtually the same as the filter 27 “TB Bullish Reversal After 3 Same Color TB” included in the LIST FILTER panel 20 shown in
It is worthwhile emphasizing that the TBS filter can also be combined with a volume filter. In the List Filter panel shown in
This filter 2 is similar to the filter 1. It can be used to replace the filter 1 only when it is felt that TB reversal after 3 TB of the same color in not solid enough, and 4 or more TB of the same color will be needed before TB reversal can happen. The flow diagram for filter 2 is similar as the one for filter 1 in
As seen in
For a stock, the value of NO % (stock) is typically driven by two force components. The first component is the net open percent of the market, or a reference, NO % (reference), such as $DJI or $SPX. The second component is a factor unique to this stock, due to the fundamental of this stock. A new term, NO % D, can be introduced as
NO % D=NO % (stock)−NO % (reference)
or =NO % (stock)−NO % ($SPX), if the reference is $SPX.
Most average stocks will move up or down at the same rate as the reference, which means their NO % D value is zero or near zero. A positive NO % D for a stock means this is a strong stock with good fundamental. In an up market, or positive NO % ($SPX), the rate of increase in price of this stock is faster than that of the reference. In a down market, or negative NO % ($SPX), the rate of decrease in price of this stock is slower than that of the reference. Investment in this stock will likely have profitability higher than that of an average stock during an up market, or a loss less than that of an average stock during a down market. It is suggested that a trade long can be placed in this stock, preferably during an up market, along with many other favorable market conditions. Conversely, a negative NO % D for a stock means that this is a weak stock with poor fundamental. It is suggested that a trade short be placed in this stock, preferable during a down market.
For a long trading based on the NO % D filter 53, the user has the choice to decide whether the NO % D value must be above 0%, 1%, or any positive percentage entered by the user. This option will allow the user to adjust the total number of filtered stocks with best long trade profitability.
The filter 3 for trading short also allow the trader a choice to select whether the NO % D value must be below 0%, −1%, or any negative percentage entered by the trader.
It is not necessary, but highly desirable; to also include a listing of all calculated NO % D data in all stocks in the list/filter sheet. The list/filter sheet shown in
In
It is noted that the present NO % D criteria does not set any restriction on the value of NO % (stock) or NO % (reference). A trader may follow the general rule that long daily trade be entered only when the general market is up, i.e., NO % (reference) is positive. A short daily trade be entered when the general market is down, i.e., NO % (reference) is negative.
The third filter for trading long or short may also be combined with the appropriate filter 1 or 2. It means that for trading long, the filtered stocks not only each has a TBS or TB reversal suitable for trading long, each stock is also a strong stock with higher profitability than that of an average stock. It also means that for trading short, the filtered stocks not only each has a TBS or TB reversal suitable for trading short, each stock is also a weak stock with faster falling rate than that of an average stock.
Once a stock is entered as a result of long or short NO % D filtering or NO % D combined with filter 1 or 2, the investor needs to type this stock's symbol on a blank or expired stock chart on the layer 2 chart display window to display 4 charts of the entered stock.
The last chart on
As seen in
As seen in
Similar to NO %, the N % value of one stock can also be compared with the N % value of one reference. A new term N % D can be introduced, which equals to N % (stock)−N % ($SPX), if the reference is $SPX.
The filter 4 in
The flow diagrams for filter 4 are not shown, but are very similar to the flow diagrams for filter 3 shown in
As seen in
With the filter 5 in
As is clear from
The purpose of the present filter 5 is to find a steadily rising or falling stock. But this is not a sure thing. The investor must check all other indicators such as volume, PPC, and VWap before making a trade. Unlike a TB reversal stock, this continuously rising or falling stock doesn't have a strong momentum favoring its continued movement in the same direction. After entering the trade, the investor must closely watch the charts and exit the trade once the 1 min and 5 min charts indicate a sign of price stagnation.
It is suggested that the filter 5 not be combined with the filter 1 or 2 due to their different nature. Filter 5 is to be used in a steady market for finding continuously rising or falling stocks. On the other hand, the filter 1 or 2 is to be used in a volatile market for finding many TB reversal or TBS stocks. The filter 5 may not be needed if the market presents many profitable TBS stocks.
On the other hand, it is a great idea that the filter 5 be combined with the NO % D or N % D filter. When a stock meets both filters for long, it indicates that this stock is not only in a continuously up rising trend, but also outperforms other rising stocks in its higher profitability. It is also true if a stock meets both filters for short.
The filter 6 in
Compared with the filter 5, the use of the closing price is more statistically valid, because for a 5 min chart, the time apart between two adjacent prices is always 5 minutes. It should be the filter of choice.
The filter 6 can be used alone, or in conjunction with a NO % D or N % D filter. The filtered above and below closing price stocks can be listed in two list/filter sheets, respectively, and color linked with layers 3 and 4, respectively, chart display windows. Each entered stocks also need to be typed into the layer 2 chart display window for continued monitoring.
It should be noted that these alerts don't tell which stocks or how many stocks have the up TBS or down TBS in the last 5 minutes. If the trader wants to follow up on this lead, he must activate the filter 1 for either up TBS or down TBS or both for the display of all stocks meeting the alert criteria. Of course each filtered stock must be further investigated to see whether this stock is indeed suitable for long or short entry.
The present visual alert filter serves its purpose as an alert. It sits at a corner of the PC screen. It updates itself every few seconds. The bright green up and/or bright red down arrow constantly reminds the investor that there are more profitable investing opportunities out there. It may encourage the trader to take a close look at his current stock holdings and to exit one or more holdings with stagnant price movement, and free up the cash for more stock entries with larger profit potential.
An example is described here to illustrate the benefit of the TBS alert system. During a down market day, one green up TBS arrow suddenly appears at 10:30, Jun. 1, 2010 in the alert sheet. The user immediately responded to this signal by activating one up TBS filter 1. The stock showing this TBS signal was found to be DDS (Dillard, Inc.). After briefly studying the 5 min chart he timely entered the buy trade at 10:31.
After entry the user opened all four charts for this stock, as shown in
It is interesting to point out that a NO % D chart is also shown for this stock as seen in
As a matter of fact, the NO % D>2% filter would have uncovered this stock an even earlier time at 10:05 that day. A timely entry would have a gain of more than 1%. This fact indicates that a high value NO % D, especially the one with continuously rising percentage, may be quite beneficial in uncovering promising stocks for long, not found by or earlier than TBS. Same is also true for NO % D for short.