The present disclosure generally relates to systems and methods for evaluating and maintaining structural integrity. More particularly, the present disclosure relates to evaluating structural integrity by predicting failure and corresponding consequences for different components in a respective structure using geospatial data for criteria related to the structural components and multiple weights assigned to each respective criterion. The integrity of the structure is maintained by inspecting, repairing and/or replacing one or more components in the structure based on the predicted structural failure and its corresponding consequence.
Some conventional systems and methods for evaluating and maintaining structural integrity consider multiple probability of failure criteria and failure consequence criteria for each structural component. The probability of failure criteria include respective multipliers and respective weights. The failure consequence criteria include respective weights. Each weight is associated with a yes or no response to a single database query. Each weight is thus, either a (0) or a (1). The weight associated with each probability of failure criterion is based on historical frequencies of occurrence in the industry—not severity of the failure. Moreover, the weight associated with each failure consequence criterion is based on its monetary impact—not its impact on the surrounding environment/population/structures.
The criteria, multipliers and weights are typically set-meaning they may not be modified to account for the structural data that is available. Structural data includes historical data related to the structure but excludes data that is geospatially associated with the structural components. In other words, the structural data excludes geospatial data for evaluating structural integrity such as, for example, historical data that is geospatially associated with the area of a structure (e.g. fault lines, flood zones, earthquakes, soil studies, critical habitats, places of interest, landslide prone areas, roads, railroads, other nearby pipelines and rivers).
The structural data are correlated with i) the probability of failure criteria, respective multipliers and respective weights; and ii) the failure consequence criteria and respective weights. A probability of failure rank and a failure consequence rank are determined for each structural component based on the multiplication of each together, as in a Monte Carlo simulation. The failure consequence rank is based, in part, on the probability of failure rank to arrive at a monetary value. There is no geospatial representation of each structural component displayed with its probability of failure rank and a failure consequence rank. In short, the lack of multiple database queries for each criterion, the lack of geospatial data and the dependence of the failure consequence rank on the probability of failure rank render conventional systems and methods for evaluating and maintaining structural integrity less than desirable in accuracy. This can lead to wasted time and money for needless inspections, without providing a relative ranking system of potential failure and their respective consequence.
The present disclosure is described with reference to the accompanying drawings, in which like elements are referenced with like reference numbers, and in which:
The subject matter of the present disclosure is described with specificity, however, the description itself is not intended to limit the scope of the disclosure. The subject matter thus, might also be embodied in other ways, to include different structures, steps and/or combinations similar to and/or fewer than those described herein, in conjunction with other present or future technologies. Although the term “step” may be used herein to describe different elements of methods employed, the term should not be interpreted as implying any particular order among or between various steps herein disclosed unless otherwise expressly limited by the description to a particular order. Other features and advantages of the disclosed embodiments will be or will become apparent to one of ordinary skill in the art upon examination of the following figures and detailed description. It is intended that all such additional features and advantages be included within the scope of the disclosed embodiments. Further, the illustrated figures are only exemplary and are not intended to assert or imply any limitation with regard to the environment, architecture, design, or process in which different embodiments may be implemented.
The systems and methods of the present disclosure overcome one or more of the prior art disadvantages by predicting failure and corresponding consequences for different components in a respective structure using geospatial data for criteria related to the structural components and multiple weights assigned to each respective criterion.
In one embodiment, the present disclosure includes a method for evaluating and maintaining structural integrity, which comprises: a) inputting structural data and geospatial data into a geographical information system for each structural component; b) inputting i) probability of failure criteria, a respective multiplier and respective weights into the geographical information system for each structural component and ii) failure consequence criteria and respective weights into the geographical information system for each structural component; c) correlating the structural data and the geospatial data for each structural component with i) the probability of failure criteria or modified probability of failure criteria, the respective multiplier or a modified respective multiplier and each respective weight or each modified respective weight and ii) the failure consequence criteria or modified failure consequence criteria and each respective weight or each modified respective weight; d) determining a relative probability of failure rank and an independent failure consequence rank for each structural component based on the correlation from step c) using a computer processor; e) displaying a representation of each structural component in a matrix on a computer monitor based on the relative probability of failure rank and the independent failure consequence rank for each structural component; and f) inspecting one or more structural components based on the display.
In another embodiment, the present invention includes a non-transitory program carrier device tangibly carrying computer-executable instructions for evaluating and maintaining structural integrity, the instructions being executable to implement; a) inputting structural data and geospatial data into a geographical information system for each structural component; b) inputting i) probability of failure criteria, a respective multiplier and respective weights into the geographical information system for each structural component and ii) failure consequence criteria and respective weights into the geographical information system for each structural component; c) correlating the structural data and the geospatial data for each structural component with i) the probability of failure criteria or modified probability of failure criteria, the respective multiplier or a modified respective multiplier and each respective weight or each modified respective weight and ii) the failure consequence criteria or modified failure consequence criteria and each respective weight or each modified respective weight; d) determining a relative probability of failure rank and an independent failure consequence rank for each structural component based on the correlation from step c); e) displaying a representation of each structural component on a matrix based on the relative probability of failure rank and the independent failure consequence rank for each structural component; and f) inspecting one or more structural components based on the display.
Referring now to
In step 102, structural data and geospatial data are automatically input into a GIS for each structural component. Typical structural data for evaluating the structural integrity of a pipeline may include, for example, pipeline type, pipeline coating type and welding type, pipeline protection, pipeline service results from an in-line pigging inspection, previous pipeline failures and pipeline coordinates. The structural data therefore, may include historical data that is geospatially associated with the structural components of a preexisting pipeline (e.g. joints, welds, valves, etc.). Structural data that is not publicly accessible must be obtained from the pipeline owner or operator. Typical geospatial data for evaluating the structural integrity of a pipeline may include, for example, historical data that is geospatially associated with the area of a preexisting pipeline (e.g. fault lines, flood zones, earthquakes, soil studies, critical habitats, places of interest, landslide prone areas, roads, railroads, other nearby pipelines and rivers). Geospatial data may be applied to the entire structure or select structural components impacted most by the geospatial data. Geospatial data is usually accessible from public sources such as the US Geological Survey (USGS) (earthquakes, fault lines, landslides), Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) (flood zones), US Department of Agriculture (USDA) (soil studies), US Fish & Wildlife Services (critical habitats), and Google Maps (places of interest, roads, railroads rivers). Geospatial data for preexisting pipelines may be obtained for a fee from Rextag. The structural data and geospatial data for evaluating the structural integrity of a pipeline are collectively part of the GIS illustrated in
In step 104, probability of failure criteria and failure consequence criteria are automatically input into the GIS for each structural component. The probability of failure criteria include a respective multiplier and respective weights. The failure consequence criteria include respective weights. Each weight is associated with a database query. Typical probability of failure criteria for evaluating the structural integrity of a pipeline may include, for example, the criteria that is part of the GIS illustrated in
In step 106, the method 100 determines whether to modify i) the probability of failure criteria, the respective multiplier and/or each respective weight; and/or ii) the failure consequence criteria and/or each respective weight from step 104. Modification may be based on the type of structure, its components and/or the data available as input in step 102. The determination may be automatic or may be made using the client interface, the video interface and/or the GUI described further in reference to
In step 108, the i) probability of failure criteria, the respective multiplier and/or each respective weight; and/or the ii) failure consequence criteria and/or each respective weight from step 104 are modified using the client interface, the video interface and/or the GUI described further in reference to
In step 110, the structural data and geospatial data from step 102 are automatically correlated with i) the probability of failure criteria, the respective multiplier and each respective weight; and ii) the failure consequence criteria and each respective weight from step 104 or step 108. Correlation finds the structural data and geospatial data for each structural component that most closely corresponds to one or more of the database queries associated with a respective weight for each structural component. Because each structural component includes multiple probability of failure criteria and failure consequence criteria and each criterion includes multiple weights associated with a respective database query, it is possible that the same or different structural data and geospatial data may correspond to more than one database query for any given criterion or the structural data and geospatial data may not correspond to any database query for any given criterion. If the same or different structural data and geospatial data corresponds to more than one database query for any given criterion, then the structural data and geospatial data are correlated with the database query associated with the highest respective weight representing a worst-case scenario. In
In step 112, a relative probability of failure rank and a failure consequence rank are automatically and independently determined for each structural component based on the correlation from step 110. The relative probability of failure rank is determined by adding the weights associated with the correlated database queries from step 110 for each structural component and dividing the added weight for each structural component (representing a total weighted score) by a total weight representing the sum of the weights associated with a respective database query for each respective structural component. Any null weight associated with a correlated database query is not considered in the total weight representing the sum of the weights associated with a respective database query for each respective structural component. The failure consequence rank is independently determined by adding the weights associated with the correlated database queries from step 110 for each structural component. Thus, the relative probability of failure rank has no bearing on the determination of the failure consequence rank. In this manner, areas of higher risk to public health and safety based on the failure consequence rank may be addressed first, without bias to areas with a higher probability but in lower risk locations.
In step 114, a representation of each structural component is displayed in a matrix, using the client interface, video interface and/or the GUI described further in reference to
In step 116, a representation of each structural component is displayed on a map, using the client interface, video interface and/or the GUI described further in reference to
In step 118, the method 100 determines whether to input additional structural data and/or geospatial data for a structural component based on availability. Additional structural data and/or geospatial data may include data that was previously unavailable and updated data that is time-dependent. The determination may be automatic or may be made using the client interface, the video interface and/or the GUI described further in reference to
In step 120, the last relative probability of failure rank for each structural component from step 112 may be validated using a physical integrity inspection of each structural component within a predetermined time-frame, the client interface, the video interface and/or the GUI described further in reference to
In step 122, one or more structural components are physically inspected, repaired and/or replaced based on the displays in steps 114 and/or 116, and/or the validation from step 120. Using at least one of the displays in
The method 100 accurately and efficiently identifies structural integrity risks, where (geospatially) they may occur and the severity of the consequence if a failure occurs in that location. The method 100 may therefore, be used to support owners and operators of preexisting pipelines that are subject to PHMSA regulations. The method 100 may also be used in the process of designing structures with fewer potential failures and consequences.
The present disclosure may be implemented through a computer-executable program of instructions, such as program modules, generally referred to as software applications or application programs executed by a computer. The software may include, for example, routines, programs, objects, components and data structures that perform particular tasks or implement particular abstract data types. The software forms an interface to allow a computer to react according to a source of input. A predictive modeling software platform may be used as an interface application to implement the present disclosure. The software may also cooperate with other code segments to initiate a variety of tasks in response to data received in conjunction with the source of the received data. The software may be stored and/or carried on any variety of memory such as CD-ROM, magnetic disk, bubble memory and semiconductor memory (e.g. various types of RAM or ROM). Furthermore, the software and its results may be transmitted over a variety of carrier media such as optical fiber, metallic wire and/or through any of a variety of networks, such as the Internet.
Moreover, those skilled in the art will appreciate that the disclosure may be practiced with a variety of computer-system configurations, including hand-held devices, multiprocessor systems, microprocessor-based or programmable-consumer electronics, minicomputers, mainframe computers, and the like. Any number of computer-systems and computer networks are acceptable for use with the present disclosure. The disclosure may be practiced in distributed-computing environments where tasks are performed by remote-processing devices that are linked through a communications network. In a distributed-computing environment, program modules may be located in both local and remote computer-storage media including memory storage devices. The present disclosure may therefore, be implemented in connection with various hardware, software or a combination thereof, in a computer system or other processing system.
Referring now to
The memory primarily stores the application programs, which may also be described as program modules containing computer-executable instructions, executed by the computing unit for implementing the present disclosure described herein and illustrated in
Although the computing unit is shown as having a generalized memory, the computing unit typically includes a variety of computer readable media. By way of example, and not limitation, computer readable media may comprise computer storage media and communication media. The computing system memory may include computer storage media in the form of volatile and/or nonvolatile memory such as a read only memory (ROM) and random access memory (RAM). A basic input/output system (BIOS), containing the basic routines that help to transfer information between elements within the computing unit, such as during start-up, is typically stored in ROM. The RAM typically contains data and/or program modules that are immediately accessible to, and/or presently being operated on, the processing unit. By way of example, and not limitation, the computing unit includes an operating system, application programs, other program modules, and program data.
The components shown in the memory may also be included in other removable/nonremovable, volatile/nonvolatile computer storage media or they may be implemented in the computing unit through an application program interface (“API”) or cloud computing, which may reside on a separate computing unit connected through a computer system or network. For example only, a hard disk drive may read from or write to nonremovable, nonvolatile magnetic media, a magnetic disk drive may read from or write to a removable, nonvolatile magnetic disk, and an optical disk drive may read from or write to a removable, nonvolatile optical disk such as a CD ROM or other optical media. Other removable/nonremovable, volatile/nonvolatile computer storage media that can be used in the exemplary operating environment may include, but are not limited to, magnetic tape cassettes, flash memory cards, digital versatile disks, digital video tape, solid state RAM, solid state ROM, and the like. The drives and their associated computer storage media discussed above provide storage of computer readable instructions, data structures, program modules and other data for the computing unit.
A client may enter commands and information into the computing unit through the client interface, which may be input devices such as a keyboard and pointing device, commonly referred to as a mouse, trackball or touch pad. Input devices may include a microphone, joystick, satellite dish, scanner, or the like. These and other input devices are often connected to the processing unit through the client interface that is coupled to a system bus, but may be connected by other interface and bus structures, such as a parallel port or a universal serial bus (USB).
A monitor or other type of display device may be connected to the system bus via an interface, such as a video interface. A GUI may also be used with the video interface to receive instructions from the client interface and transmit instructions to the processing unit. In addition to the monitor, computers may also include other peripheral output devices such as speakers and printer, which may be connected through an output peripheral interface.
Although many other internal components of the computing unit are not shown, those of ordinary skill in the art will appreciate that such components and their interconnection are well-known.
While the present disclosure has been described in connection with presently preferred embodiments, it will be understood by those skilled in the art that it is not intended to limit the disclosure to those embodiments. For example, the present disclosure has been described with respect to pipeline structures, however, it is not limited thereto and may also be applied to other structures (e.g. transmission lines, railroads, tunnels, etc.) to achieve similar results. It is therefore, contemplated that various alternative embodiments and modifications may be made to the disclosed embodiments without departing from the spirit and scope of the disclosure defined by the appended claims and equivalents thereof.
The priority of U.S. Provisional Patent Application No. 62/450,351, filed Jan. 25, 2017, is hereby claimed and the specification thereof is incorporated herein by reference.
Filing Document | Filing Date | Country | Kind |
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PCT/US17/39058 | 6/23/2017 | WO | 00 |
Number | Date | Country | |
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62450351 | Jan 2017 | US |