This disclosure relates generally to optimization of impressions of advertisement creatives.
A given advertisement campaign can include multiple advertisement creatives for display on a webpage. Advertisement creatives can include various visual renderings of a particular advertisement campaign. Conventional systems select each advertisement creative at equal or random frequencies for display on the webpage.
To facilitate further description of the embodiments, the following drawings are provided in which:
For simplicity and clarity of illustration, the drawing figures illustrate the general manner of construction, and descriptions and details of well-known features and techniques may be omitted to avoid unnecessarily obscuring the present disclosure. Additionally, elements in the drawing figures are not necessarily drawn to scale. For example, the dimensions of some of the elements in the figures may be exaggerated relative to other elements to help improve understanding of embodiments of the present disclosure. The same reference numerals in different figures denote the same elements.
The terms “first,” “second,” “third,” “fourth,” and the like in the description and in the claims, if any, are used for distinguishing between similar elements and not necessarily for describing a particular sequential or chronological order. It is to be understood that the terms so used are interchangeable under appropriate circumstances such that the embodiments described herein are, for example, capable of operation in sequences other than those illustrated or otherwise described herein. Furthermore, the terms “include,” and “have,” and any variations thereof, are intended to cover a non-exclusive inclusion, such that a process, method, system, article, device, or apparatus that comprises a list of elements is not necessarily limited to those elements, but may include other elements not expressly listed or inherent to such process, method, system, article, device, or apparatus.
The terms “left,” “right,” “front,” “back,” “top,” “bottom,” “over,” “under,” and the like in the description and in the claims, if any, are used for descriptive purposes and not necessarily for describing permanent relative positions. It is to be understood that the terms so used are interchangeable under appropriate circumstances such that the embodiments of the apparatus, methods, and/or articles of manufacture described herein are, for example, capable of operation in other orientations than those illustrated or otherwise described herein.
The terms “couple,” “coupled,” “couples,” “coupling,” and the like should be broadly understood and refer to connecting two or more elements mechanically and/or otherwise. Two or more electrical elements may be electrically coupled together, but not be mechanically or otherwise coupled together. Coupling may be for any length of time, e.g., permanent or semi-permanent or only for an instant. “Electrical coupling” and the like should be broadly understood and include electrical coupling of all types. The absence of the word “removably,” “removable,” and the like near the word “coupled,” and the like does not mean that the coupling, etc. in question is or is not removable.
As defined herein, two or more elements are “integral” if they are comprised of the same piece of material. As defined herein, two or more elements are “non-integral” if each is comprised of a different piece of material.
As defined herein, “real-time” can, in some embodiments, be defined with respect to operations carried out as soon as practically possible upon occurrence of a triggering event. A triggering event can include receipt of data necessary to execute a task or to otherwise process information. Because of delays inherent in transmission and/or in computing speeds, the term “real time” encompasses operations that occur in “near” real time or somewhat delayed from a triggering event. In a number of embodiments, “real time” can mean real time less a time delay for processing (e.g., determining) and/or transmitting data. The particular time delay can vary depending on the type and/or amount of the data, the processing speeds of the hardware, the transmission capability of the communication hardware, the transmission distance, etc. However, in many embodiments, the time delay can be less than approximately one second, two seconds, five seconds, or ten seconds.
As defined herein, “approximately” can, in some embodiments, mean within plus or minus ten percent of the stated value. In other embodiments, “approximately” can mean within plus or minus five percent of the stated value. In further embodiments, “approximately” can mean within plus or minus three percent of the stated value. In yet other embodiments, “approximately” can mean within plus or minus one percent of the stated value.
A number of embodiments can include a system. The system can include one or more processing modules and one or more non-transitory storage modules storing computing instructions configured to run on the one or more processing modules. The one or more processing modules can be configured to run on the one or more processing modules and perform the act of receiving a plurality of advertisement creatives for an advertisement campaign. Each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives can be for display within an impression slot of webpages displayed to online users, wherein the plurality of advertisement creatives have a first set of dimensions and the impression slot has the first set of dimensions. The one or more processing modules can be configured to run on the one or more processing modules and perform the act of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives. The first predefined frequency weights can comprise a weighted frequency that each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives are to be displayed to the online users. The one or more processing modules can be configured to run on the one or more processing modules and perform the act of coordinating a display of the plurality of advertisement creatives within the impression slot of the webpages displayed to the online users based on the first predefined frequency weights, as generated, such that a first advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives is displayed more frequently than a second advertisement creative of the plurality of creatives because the first advertisement comprises a first frequency weight that is higher than a second frequency weight of the second advertisement creative.
Various embodiments include a method. The method can include receiving a plurality of advertisement creatives for an advertisement campaign. Each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives can be for display within an impression slot of webpages displayed to online users, wherein the plurality of advertisement creatives have a first set of dimensions and the impression slot has the first set of dimensions. The method can also include generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives. The first predefined frequency weights can comprise a weighted frequency that each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives are to be displayed to the online users. The method can also include coordinating a display of the plurality of advertisement creatives within the impression slot of the webpages displayed to the online users based on the first predefined frequency weights, as generated, such that a first advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives is displayed more frequently than a second advertisement creative of the plurality of creatives because the first advertisement comprises a first frequency weight that is higher than a second frequency weight of the second advertisement creative.
Various embodiments disclosed herein describe methodology and optimization models for advertisement creatives optimization. In some embodiments, an advertiser sets up a display advertisement campaign by supplying advertisement creatives, defining a target user segment, and defining a webpage context. Delivery or coordinating display of an advertisement impression can be driven by a targeted user visiting a webpage within the given webpage context. In some embodiments, the advertiser provides multiple advertisement creatives of the same size, of which advertisement creatives the impressions are delivered by an advertisement server to the viewers on a rotational basis following a predefined set of optimal frequency weights. In some embodiments, every time an advertisement impression is to be delivered and there are multiple advertisement creatives available for the given size of advertisement impression, a probability that a particular advertisement creative is chosen is equal or proportional to its corresponding frequency weight. Thus, conversions of the advertisement creatives can by maximized by exploiting the differences in the intrinsic attractiveness for conversion. The advertisement creatives can be variations of the same advertisement, with different color schemes or text messages. In some embodiments, a predefined set of optimal frequency weights is generated such that the total conversion for the advertisement campaign is maximized.
Various embodiments disclosed herein are necessarily rooted in computer technology in order to overcome one or more problems specifically arising in the realm of computer networks, the internet, an intranet, etc. For example, a problem encountered with ecommerce websites on computer networks is displaying advertisement creatives that maximize conversion of advertisement based on at least one of a click-through rate or a conversion rate of the advertisement creative. More specifically, ecommerce websites on computer networks must determine which of a plurality of advertisement creatives should be displayed to maximize conversion of the advertisement campaign. Thus, if a first advertisement creative and a second advertisement creative have been displayed an equal number of times on webpages of an ecommerce website, systems contemplated herein can coordinate display of the first advertisement creative on a subsequent webpage of the ecommerce website rather than the second advertisement creative if the first advertisement creative has a higher predefined optimal frequency weight than the second advertisement creative. Furthermore, in some embodiments, generating first predefined frequency weights for a plurality of advertisement creatives and coordinating display of the plurality of advertisement creatives based on the first predefined frequency weight, as generated, can be performed automatically and in real-time by various systems described herein. Thus, websites utilizing the various systems and methods described herein are able to display advertisement creatives both at a frequency that will maximize conversion of the advertisement, and also at a speed that a user of the website will not perceive a lag time while the system determines which advertisement creative to display to maximize conversion of the advertisement.
Turning to the drawings,
Continuing with
In various examples, portions of the memory storage module(s) of the various embodiments disclosed herein (e.g., portions of the non-volatile memory storage module(s)) can be encoded with a boot code sequence suitable for restoring computer system 100 (
As used herein, “processor” and/or “processing module” means any type of computational circuit, such as but not limited to a microprocessor, a microcontroller, a controller, a complex instruction set computing (CISC) microprocessor, a reduced instruction set computing (RISC) microprocessor, a very long instruction word (VLIW) microprocessor, a graphics processor, a digital signal processor, or any other type of processor or processing circuit capable of performing the desired functions. In some examples, the one or more processing modules of the various embodiments disclosed herein can comprise CPU 210.
Alternatively, or in addition to, the systems and procedures described herein can be implemented in hardware, or a combination of hardware, software, and/or firmware. For example, one or more application specific integrated circuits (ASICs) can be programmed to carry out one or more of the systems and procedures described herein. For example, one or more of the programs and/or executable program components described herein can be implemented in one or more ASICs. In many embodiments, an application specific integrated circuit (ASIC) can comprise one or more processors or microprocessors and/or memory blocks or memory storage.
In the depicted embodiment of
Network adapter 220 can be suitable to connect computer system 100 (
Returning now to
Meanwhile, when computer system 100 is running, program instructions (e.g., computer instructions) stored on one or more of the memory storage module(s) of the various embodiments disclosed herein can be executed by CPU 210 (
Further, although computer system 100 is illustrated as a desktop computer in
Turning ahead in the drawings,
Generally, therefore, system 300 can be implemented with hardware and/or software, as described herein. In some embodiments, part or all of the hardware and/or software can be conventional, while in these or other embodiments, part or all of the hardware and/or software can be customized (e.g., optimized) for implementing part or all of the functionality of system 300 described herein.
In some embodiments, system 300 can include an advertisement creatives system 310, a web server 320, a display system 360, and/or an optimization system 370. Advertisement creatives system 310, web server 320, display system 360, and optimization system 370 can each be a computer system, such as computer system 100 (
In many embodiments, system 300 also can comprise user computers 340, 341. In some embodiments, user computers 340, 341 can be a mobile device. A mobile electronic device can refer to a portable electronic device (e.g., an electronic device easily conveyable by hand by a person of average size) with the capability to present audio and/or visual data (e.g., text, images, videos, music, etc.). For example, a mobile electronic device can comprise at least one of a digital media player, a cellular telephone (e.g., a smartphone), a personal digital assistant, a handheld digital computer device (e.g., a tablet personal computer device), a laptop computer device (e.g., a notebook computer device, a netbook computer device), a wearable user computer device, or another portable computer device with the capability to present audio and/or visual data (e.g., images, videos, music, etc.). Thus, in many examples, a mobile electronic device can comprise a volume and/or weight sufficiently small as to permit the mobile electronic device to be easily conveyable by hand. For examples, in some embodiments, a mobile electronic device can occupy a volume of less than or equal to approximately 1790 cubic centimeters, 2434 cubic centimeters, 2876 cubic centimeters, 4056 cubic centimeters, and/or 5752 cubic centimeters. Further, in these embodiments, a mobile electronic device can weigh less than or equal to 15.6 Newtons, 17.8 Newtons, 22.3 Newtons, 31.2 Newtons, and/or 44.5 Newtons.
Exemplary mobile electronic devices can comprise (i) an iPod®, iPhone®, iTouch®, iPad®, MacBook® or similar product by Apple Inc. of Cupertino, Calif., United States of America, (ii) a Blackberry® or similar product by Research in Motion (RIM) of Waterloo, Ontario, Canada, (iii) a Lumia® or similar product by the Nokia Corporation of Keilaniemi, Espoo, Finland, and/or (iv) a Galaxy™ or similar product by the Samsung Group of Samsung Town, Seoul, South Korea. Further, in the same or different embodiments, a mobile electronic device can comprise an electronic device configured to implement one or more of (i) the iPhone® operating system by Apple Inc. of Cupertino, Calif., United States of America, (ii) the Blackberry® operating system by Research In Motion (RIM) of Waterloo, Ontario, Canada, (iii) the Palm® operating system by Palm, Inc. of Sunnyvale, Calif., United States, (iv) the Android™ operating system developed by the Open Handset Alliance, (v) the Windows Mobile™ operating system by Microsoft Corp. of Redmond, Wash., United States of America, or (vi) the Symbian™ operating system by Nokia Corp. of Keilaniemi, Espoo, Finland.
Further still, the term “wearable user computer device” as used herein can refer to an electronic device with the capability to present audio and/or visual data (e.g., text, images, videos, music, etc.) that is configured to be worn by a user and/or mountable (e.g., fixed) on the user of the wearable user computer device (e.g., sometimes under or over clothing; and/or sometimes integrated with and/or as clothing and/or another accessory, such as, for example, a hat, eyeglasses, a wrist watch, shoes, etc.). In many examples, a wearable user computer device can comprise a mobile electronic device, and vice versa. However, a wearable user computer device does not necessarily comprise a mobile electronic device, and vice versa.
In specific examples, a wearable user computer device can comprise a head mountable wearable user computer device (e.g., one or more head mountable displays, one or more eyeglasses, one or more contact lenses, one or more retinal displays, etc.) or a limb mountable wearable user computer device (e.g., a smart watch). In these examples, a head mountable wearable user computer device can be mountable in close proximity to one or both eyes of a user of the head mountable wearable user computer device and/or vectored in alignment with a field of view of the user.
In more specific examples, a head mountable wearable user computer device can comprise (i) Google Glass™ product or a similar product by Google Inc. of Menlo Park, Calif., United States of America; (ii) the Eye Tap™ product, the Laser Eye Tap™ product, or a similar product by ePI Lab of Toronto, Ontario, Canada, and/or (iii) the Raptyr™ product, the STAR 1200™ product, the Vuzix Smart Glasses M100™ product, or a similar product by Vuzix Corporation of Rochester, N.Y., United States of America. In other specific examples, a head mountable wearable user computer device can comprise the Virtual Retinal Display™ product, or similar product by the University of Washington of Seattle, Wash., United States of America. Meanwhile, in further specific examples, a limb mountable wearable user computer device can comprise the iWatch™ product, or similar product by Apple Inc. of Cupertino, Calif., United States of America, the Galaxy Gear or similar product of Samsung Group of Samsung Town, Seoul, South Korea, the Moto 360 product or similar product of Motorola of Schaumburg, Ill., United States of America, and/or the Zip™ product, One™ product, Flex™ product, Charge™ product, Surge™ product, or similar product by Fitbit Inc. of San Francisco, Calif., United States of America.
In some embodiments, web server 320 can be in data communication through Internet 330 with user computers (e.g., 340, 341). In certain embodiments, user computers 340-341 can be desktop computers, laptop computers, smart phones, tablet devices, and/or other endpoint devices. Web server 320 can host one or more websites. For example, web server 320 can host an eCommerce website that allows users to browse and/or search for products, to add products to an electronic shopping cart, and/or to purchase products, in addition to other suitable activities.
In many embodiments, advertisement creatives system 310, web server 320, display system 360, and optimization system 370 can each comprise one or more input devices (e.g., one or more keyboards, one or more keypads, one or more pointing devices such as a computer mouse or computer mice, one or more touchscreen displays, a microphone, etc.), and/or can each comprise one or more display devices (e.g., one or more monitors, one or more touch screen displays, projectors, etc.). In these or other embodiments, one or more of the input device(s) can be similar or identical to keyboard 104 (
In many embodiments, advertisement creatives system 310, web server 320, display system 360, and optimization system 370 can be configured to communicate with one or more customer computers 340 and 341. In some embodiments, customer computers 340 and 341 also can be referred to as user computers. In some embodiments, advertisement creatives system 310, web server 320, display system 360, and optimization system 370 can communicate or interface (e.g. interact) with one or more customer computers (such as customer computers 340 and 341) through a network or internet 330. Internet 330 can be an intranet that is not open to the public. Accordingly, in many embodiments, advertisement creatives system 310, web server 320, display system 360, and optimization system 370 (and/or the software used by such systems) can refer to a back end of system 300 operated by an operator and/or administrator of system 300, and customer computers 340 and 341 (and/or the software used by such systems) can refer to a front end of system 300 used by one or more customers 350 and 351, respectively. In some embodiments, customers 350 and 351 also can be referred to as users. In these or other embodiments, the operator and/or administrator of system 300 can manage system 300, the processing module(s) of system 300, and/or the memory storage module(s) of system 300 using the input device(s) and/or display device(s) of system 300.
Meanwhile, in many embodiments, advertisement creatives system 310, web server 320, display system 360, and optimization system 370 also can be configured to communicate with one or more databases. The one or more databases can comprise a product database that contains information about products, items, or SKUs sold by a retailer. The one or more databases can be stored on one or more memory storage modules (e.g., non-transitory memory storage module(s)), which can be similar or identical to the one or more memory storage module(s) (e.g., non-transitory memory storage module(s)) described above with respect to computer system 100 (
The one or more databases can each comprise a structured (e.g., indexed) collection of data and can be managed by any suitable database management systems configured to define, create, query, organize, update, and manage database(s). Exemplary database management systems can include MySQL (Structured Query Language) Database, PostgreSQL Database, Microsoft SQL Server Database, Oracle Database, SAP (Systems, Applications, & Products) Database, and IBM DB2 Database.
Meanwhile, communication between advertisement creatives system 310, web server 320, display system 360, and optimization system 370, and/or the one or more databases can be implemented using any suitable manner of wired and/or wireless communication. Accordingly, system 300 can comprise any software and/or hardware components configured to implement the wired and/or wireless communication. Further, the wired and/or wireless communication can be implemented using any one or any combination of wired and/or wireless communication network topologies (e.g., ring, line, tree, bus, mesh, star, daisy chain, hybrid, etc.) and/or protocols (e.g., personal area network (PAN) protocol(s), local area network (LAN) protocol(s), wide area network (WAN) protocol(s), cellular network protocol(s), powerline network protocol(s), etc.). Exemplary PAN protocol(s) can comprise Bluetooth, Zigbee, Wireless Universal Serial Bus (USB), Z-Wave, etc.; exemplary LAN and/or WAN protocol(s) can comprise Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers (IEEE) 802.3 (also known as Ethernet), IEEE 802.11 (also known as WiFi), etc.; and exemplary wireless cellular network protocol(s) can comprise Global System for Mobile Communications (GSM), General Packet Radio Service (GPRS), Code Division Multiple Access (CDMA), Evolution-Data Optimized (EV-DO), Enhanced Data Rates for GSM Evolution (EDGE), Universal Mobile Telecommunications System (UMTS), Digital Enhanced Cordless Telecommunications (DECT), Digital AMPS (IS-136/Time Division Multiple Access (TDMA)), Integrated Digital Enhanced Network (iDEN), Evolved High-Speed Packet Access (HSPA+), Long-Term Evolution (LTE), WiMAX, etc. The specific communication software and/or hardware implemented can depend on the network topologies and/or protocols implemented, and vice versa. In many embodiments, exemplary communication hardware can comprise wired communication hardware including, for example, one or more data buses, such as, for example, universal serial bus(es), one or more networking cables, such as, for example, coaxial cable(s), optical fiber cable(s), and/or twisted pair cable(s), any other suitable data cable, etc. Further exemplary communication hardware can comprise wireless communication hardware including, for example, one or more radio transceivers, one or more infrared transceivers, etc. Additional exemplary communication hardware can comprise one or more networking components (e.g., modulator-demodulator components, gateway components, etc.)
Turning ahead in the drawings,
Method 400 can comprise an activity 405 of receiving a plurality of advertisement creatives for an advertisement campaign. More particularly, method 400 can comprise an activity of receiving a plurality of advertisement creatives for an advertisement campaign, each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives for display within an impression slot of webpages displayed to online users, wherein the plurality of advertisement creatives have a first set of dimensions and the impression slot has the first set of dimensions. In some embodiments, the plurality of advertisement creatives can be equal-sized to the impression slot of the webpages. The impression slot(s) can be on a plurality of webpages and can be equal-sized on each webpage of the plurality of webpages. Thus, within a non-limiting advertisement campaign, multiple advertisement creatives of the same dimension can be rotated to display within the same impression slot of a webpage. The plurality of advertisement creatives also can be variations of the same advertisement and/or advertisement campaign, with different color schemes and/or text messages for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives. In some embodiments, the advertiser also can define one or more target user segments and one or more webpage contexts for the advertisement campaign and/or the advertisement creatives. More particularly, the products or items of the advertisement campaign, the targeting segment of the advertisement campaign, and the context of the advertisement campaign can all be fixed by the advertiser.
In many embodiments, the plurality of advertisement creatives can be received from or supplied by an advertiser. In more particular embodiments, a user can request a webpage from a content server, and the content server can return webpage content with advertisement html to the user's computer. The user's computer can then send an advertisement request to an advertisement server, and the advertisement server can allocate an impression of an advertisement creative to the user's computer for display, as described in greater detail elsewhere in this document. Thus, in many embodiments, while an advertisement server can deliver one or more advertisement creatives, an administrator can control parameters for how often certain advertisement creatives are delivered to the computer of a user for display.
Next, method 400 can comprise an activity 407 of determining at least one of a conversion rate or a click-through rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives. A conversion rate for a particular advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives can comprise a number of times a product is purchased after a user clicks on or otherwise selects the particular advertisement creative per a number of times the particular advertisement creative is delivered for display in an impression slot of a webpage. A click-through rate for a particular advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives can comprise a number of times an advertisement is clicked on or otherwise selected by a user per a number of times the particular advertisement creative is delivered for display in an impression slot of a webpage.
In some embodiments, determining at least one of a conversion rate or a click-through rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives can comprise determining a conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives, the conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives comprising at least one of (1) a long-term conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives as measured since the advertisement campaign began, or (2) a short-term conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives as measured in a shorter predetermined period of time. In some embodiments, determining at least one of a conversion rate or a click-through rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives can comprise determining a click-through rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives, the click-through rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives comprising at least one of (1) a long-term click-through rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives as measured since the advertisement campaign began, or (2) a short-term click-through rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives as measured in a shorter predetermined period of time. Still other embodiments can comprise determining any combination of a long-term click-through rate, a short-term click-through rate, a long-term conversion rate, and/or a short-term conversion rate.
After activity 407, method 400 can comprise an activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives. According to some aspects, the first predefined frequency can be optimal frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives for a maximized total conversion of the advertisement campaign. More particularly, method 400 can comprise an activity of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives, the first predefined frequency weights comprising a weighted frequency that each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives are to be displayed to the online users for a maximized total conversion of the advertisement campaign.
In some embodiments, an activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives can comprise using one or more formulations. In some embodiments, a plurality of advertisement creatives (m) are available for rotation at a given impression slot. The conversion rates of the advertisement creatives can be denoted by an m-vector r, which has mean μ and covariance matrix D for conversion rates of each advertisement creatives, with sigma squares on the diagonal of the covariance matrix. More particularly, μ is a mean of conversion rates for each advertisement creative, g is a lower bound of μ, and
μϵ{μ≥μ≥
and similarly for the co-variance matrix:
Dϵ{diag(σ2),σiϵ[σi,
The decision variables can be an m-vector w, the impressions allocation/distributions weights in percentages, or a vector frequency weight, for delivering each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives for display in an impression slot. Hence,
wϵW, the simplex W:={w|w≥0,eTw=1},
where e is a standard representation of a vector of all ones, W constrains the w's elements to be between 0 and 1 and sum up to 1, and T is a transpose.
In some embodiments, activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives of method 400 can comprise an activity 435 of requiring a best-case expected return for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives to exceed a predetermined level. More particularly, in some embodiments, a mean-variance optimization, or the Markowitz model, can be used as part of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives. Mean-variance optimization can maximize the expected return, while also controlling the total variance (i.e. risk) at a given level. The variance here can be inherent to the assumption on the statistical distribution of the expected returns, for example, binomial distribution. Requiring the best-case expected return for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives to exceed a predetermined level can be accomplished with Formulation 1:
maxwμTw
subject to: wTDw≤p
eTw=1
w≥0,
where p is a given constraint on a portfolio variance.
In some embodiments, a solution of Formulation 1 can be sensitive to the noise in the input parameters μ and D. These input parameters can sometimes be estimated from noise data. Furthermore, setting p is sometimes not clear. One or more embodiments of this disclosure consider one or more of the following improvements: (1) robustify the basic mean-variance model; (2) tuning parameters that set automatically or are easy to set; and (3) sufficiently exploring the multi-arm bandits (MAB) setting. As shall be described in greater detail below, in some embodiments, activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives of method 400 can comprise an activity 420 of reducing statistical noise of a covariance matrix and a mean of a conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives. The conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives can comprise at least one of (1) a long-term conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives as measured since the advertisement campaign began, or (2) a short-term conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives as measured in a predetermined period of time.
According to some aspects, a model for generating first predefined frequency weights can take into account the uncertainty the input parameters p and D, which exhibits itself as box constraints {μ≥μ≥
minw−μTw+ρwT
subject to: (μ+σ)Tw≥q
eTw=1
w≥0,
where q is a benchmark conversion rate level. Formulation 2 can comprise a diagonal covariance matrix assumption.
In some embodiments, therefore, activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives of method 400 can comprise an activity 440 of maximizing a worst-case expected return for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives. More particularly, a worst-case expected return can be maximized, while also requiring that the best-case expected return exceed a certain level in some embodiments. Formulation 2 is a quadratic program (QP) and can be solved by a QP solver, typically using interior-point method. Formulation 2 also can be equivalently formulated as a second-order cone program (SOCP) by introducing an additional decision variable δ of Formulation 3:
Where ρ is a penalty parameter, and δ is a decision variable which in the optimal solution is equal to the portfolio standard deviation. The penalty parameter in Formulation 3 is different from other Formulation 2. Setting the penalty parameter in this formulation can be intuitive. For example, in an optimal solution,
which is an estimate of a standard deviation of μTw. Hence, an original objective function μTw−ρδ can be interpreted as the lowest point in the ellipsoid (approximating the distribution of μTw by Gaussian) that is desirable to be maximized. In some embodiments, ρ can determine the number of standard deviations and can, for example be set to ρ=1. Therefore, in some embodiments, activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives of method 400 can comprise an activity 445 of setting a penalty parameter.
In some embodiments, activity 410 of method 400 can comprise an activity 430 of automatically setting one or more tuning parameters for the first predefined frequency weights. The tuning parameters can comprise one or more of ρ and q. Setting ρ as a tuning parameter can comprise one or more of the activities described above. Setting q as a tuning parameter can comprise setting q to a value of the left-hand-side of the formulation, with w equal to the weight distribution proportional to the current total impressions allocation. More particularly, w is a decision variable, and q can be a constant and can be computer by setting w on the left-hand-side to the proposed values.
According to some aspects, generating first predefined frequency weights depends on the input estimates for the conversion rates of the advertisement creatives, which are open to multiple interpretations. In some embodiments, a cumulative conversion or long-term conversion rate is used, which is measured from the launch of the advertisement campaign. For an advertisement campaign that has been running for a relatively long period of time, the conversion trend observed more recently (i.e., the short-term conversion rate) may not align well with the long-term conversion rate. Depending on which of the short-term or long-term conversion rates is used, the generating first predefined frequency weights could be considerably different. In some embodiments, a balance is achieved between the long-term rates and the short-term rates.
In some embodiments, activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives of method 400 can comprise an activity 425 of combining both the long-term conversion rate and the short-term conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives. Using long-term and short-term conversion rates of the advertisement creatives produces two different sets of results. The two sets of results can be combined together by entering each result vector into both sets of input parameters to obtain two random variables representing two different portfolios, each defined by its mean and variance. It is noted that the parameters for long-term conversion rates of each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives is θL:=(μL, ΣL), and the parameter for short-term conversion rates of each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives is θS:=(μS, ΣS). The weights are obtained by solving Formulation 3 with θL and θS as input parameters w(θL) and w(θS), respectively, and wL and wS in short form. With these parameters and the corresponding solutions in place, four different random variables representing the total conversion rate of the resulting advertisement creatives portfolio can be obtained by assembling impressions of advertisement creatives with conversion rate parameters θ using weights w. For example, RLS can denote a resulting random variable with mean μLTwS and variance wSTΣLwS. P(RLL>RLS) and P(RSL>RSS) are computed, and a final convex combination coefficient for combining wL and wS is set to ½(P(RLL>RLS)+P(RSL>RSS)). These probabilities are computed with the Gaussian assumption. The convex combination coefficient may also be referred to as a convex combination parameter, and is an average of the short-term conversion rate and the long-term conversion rate.
Availability of conversion rate data for the plurality of advertisement creatives typically lags behind the current time due to the attribution window for collecting and matching purchase information. This window could be as long as two weeks. While using the most recent empirical conversion rates of the advertisement creatives as input in generating optimal frequency weights is viable, strong trends can affect performance of the optimization model. To address this problem, a machine learning model for predicting the advertisement creatives conversion rates for the immediate future is described herein. The features for the predictive model can comprise one or more of the following groups: (1) current click-through rates and last week click-through rates for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives; (2) the latest (ergo, two-week old, or three-week old) conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives; and (3) averages of (1) and (2) for each advertisement creative relative to other advertisement creatives of the plurality of advertisement creatives. These groups cover information on a given advertisement creative's current performance, recent trend, and its immediate peers' performances. The training spans over all the line items within a given order.
In some embodiments, therefore, activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives of method 400 can comprise an activity of generating the first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives based on a combination of: (1) a current click-through-rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives; (2) a previous two weeks click-through-rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives; (3) a previous two weeks conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives; (4) a long-term click-through-rate trend for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives; (5) a short-term click-through-rate trend for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives; (6) a long-term conversion rate trend for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives; and (7) a short-term conversion rate trend for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives. In these or other embodiments, generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives can be based on one or more of: (1) average conversion rates and/or click-through-rates of other advertisement creatives of the plurality of advertisement creatives; (2) correlations among other advertisement creatives of the plurality of advertisement creatives; and/or (3) a random forest regression model trained on data from all advertisement creatives of the plurality of advertisement creatives with a given order.
Cold-starting an advertisement campaign can be a significant challenge to data-driven solutions. For the first line item of a new order, there is very sparse conversion data to build a predictive model. Even the empirical conversion rate values can be unreliable. To address this problem, a stage-wise evolution on the optimization of advertisement creatives is contemplated. The stage-wise evolution on the optimization of advertisement creatives uses data from selected intervals, such as the click-through rate of the advertisement creatives available two weeks after an advertisement campaign begins, the click-through rate and the conversion rate of the plurality of advertisement creatives four weeks after the advertisement campaign begins, and the click-through rate and the conversion rate of the plurality of advertisement creatives six weeks after the advertisement campaign begins.
Thus, in some embodiments, generating the first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives comprises at least one, at least two, or all three of the following: (1) generating the first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives after a first time period after the advertisement campaign begins and based on a click-through-rate of each advertisement creative of the plurality of creatives; (2) generating the first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives after a second time period after the advertisement campaign begins and based on an available conversation rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of creatives; and/or (3) generating the first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives after a third time period after the advertisement campaign begins and based on a predicted conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives. In some embodiments, each of the first, second, and third time periods can increase equally in duration, while in other embodiments each of the first, second, and third time periods can be of different durations as selected by an administrator. In one, non-limiting embodiment, the first, second and third time periods increase equally in two-week durations from the beginning of the advertisement campaign, i.e. the first time period is two weeks from the beginning of the advertisement campaign, the second time period is approximately four weeks from the beginning of the advertisement campaign, and the third time period is approximately six weeks from the beginning of the advertisement campaign. Thus, generating the first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives can comprise: (1) generating the first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives based on a click-through-rate of each advertisement creative of the plurality of creatives two weeks after the advertisement campaign begins; (2) generating the first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives based on an available conversation rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of creatives four weeks after the advertisement campaign begins; and/or (3) generating the first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives based on a predicted conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives six weeks after the advertisement campaign begins.
In more particular embodiments, after activity 410, method 400 can comprise an activity 412 of selecting which of the first advertisement creative and the second advertisement creative should be displayed to the online users for the maximized total conversion of the advertisement based on the first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives. According to some aspects, a probability that the first advertisement creative is selected for display within the impression slot is proportional to the higher frequency weight of the first advertisement creative, and a probability that the second advertisement creative is selected for display within the impression slot is proportional to the lower frequency weight of the second advertisement creative. In other embodiments, a probability that the first advertisement creative is selected for display within the impression slot is equal to the higher frequency weight of the first advertisement creative, and a probability that the second advertisement creative is selected for display within the impression slot is proportional to the lower frequency weight of the second advertisement creative. Other embodiments can comprise third, fourth, fifth, and so on advertisement creatives selected for display within the impression slot proportional or equal to a corresponding frequency weight of the respective advertisement creative.
After activity 412, method 400 can further comprise an activity 415 of coordinating a display of the plurality of advertisement creatives based on the first predefined frequency weights. More particularly, a method can comprise an activity of coordinating a display of the plurality of advertisement creatives within the impression slot of the webpages displayed to the online users based on the first predefined frequency weights, as generated, such that a first advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives is displayed more frequently than a second advertisement creative of the plurality of creatives because the first advertisement comprises a first frequency weight that is higher than a second frequency weight of the second advertisement creative. Coordinating the display of the plurality of advertised creatives based on the first predefined frequency weights can be according to any of the generated first predefined frequency weights as described in elsewhere in this document.
In some embodiments, method 400 can comprise activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives, followed by activity 412 of selecting which advertisement creatives of the plurality of advertisement creatives should be display for the maximized total conversion of the advertisement. In other embodiments, method 400 can comprise activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives, which activity 410 can comprise activity 420 of reducing statistical noise of a covariance matrix and a mean of a conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives and activity 425 of combining both the long term conversion rate and the short-term conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives, followed by activity 412 of selecting which advertisement creatives of the plurality of advertisement creatives should be display for the maximized total conversion of the advertisement.
In some embodiments, method 400 can comprise activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives, which activity 410 can comprise activity 430 of automatically setting one or more tuning parameters for the first predefined frequency weights, followed by activity 412 of selecting which advertisement creatives of the plurality of advertisement creatives should be display for the maximized total conversion of the advertisement. In other embodiments, method 400 can comprise activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives, which activity 410 can comprise activity 420 of reducing statistical noise of a covariance matrix and a mean of a conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives, activity 425 of combining both the long term conversion rate and the short-term conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives, and activity 430 of automatically setting one or more tuning parameters for the first predefined frequency weights, followed by activity 412 of selecting which advertisement creatives of the plurality of advertisement creatives should be display for the maximized total conversion of the advertisement.
In some embodiments, method 400 can comprise activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives, which activity 410 can comprise activity 435 of requiring a best-case expected return for each advertisement creative to exceed a predetermined level and activity 440 of maximizing a worst-case expected return for each advertisement creative, followed by activity 412 of selecting which advertisement creatives of the plurality of advertisement creatives should be display for the maximized total conversion of the advertisement. In other embodiments, method 400 can comprise activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives, which activity 410 can comprise activity 420 of reducing statistical noise of a covariance matrix and a mean of a conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives, activity 425 of combining both the long term conversion rate and the short-term conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives, activity 430 of automatically setting one or more tuning parameters for the first predefined frequency weights, activity 435 of requiring a best-case expected return for each advertisement creative to exceed a predetermined level, and activity 440 of maximizing a worst-case expected return for each advertisement creative, followed by activity 412 of selecting which advertisement creatives of the plurality of advertisement creatives should be display for the maximized total conversion of the advertisement.
In some embodiments, method 400 can comprise activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives, which activity 410 can comprise activity 445 of setting a penalty parameter, followed by activity 412 of selecting which advertisement creatives of the plurality of advertisement creatives should be display for the maximized total conversion of the advertisement. In other embodiments, method 400 can comprise activity 410 of generating first predefined frequency weights for the plurality of advertisement creatives, which activity 410 can comprise activity 420 of reducing statistical noise of a covariance matrix and a mean of a conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives, activity 425 of combining both the long term conversion rate and the short-term conversion rate for each advertisement creative of the plurality of advertisement creatives, activity 430 of automatically setting one or more tuning parameters for the first predefined frequency weights, activity 435 of requiring a best-case expected return for each advertisement creative to exceed a predetermined level, activity 440 of maximizing a worst-case expected return for each advertisement creative, and activity 445 of setting a penalty parameter, followed by activity 412 of selecting which advertisement creatives of the plurality of advertisement creatives should be display for the maximized total conversion of the advertisement.
In many embodiments, advertisement creatives system 310 can comprise non-transitory memory storage module 512, display system 360 can comprise a non-transitory memory storage module 562, and optimization system 370 can comprise non-transitory memory storage module 572. Memory storage module 512 can be referred to as advertisement creatives module 512. Memory storage module 562 can be referred to as display module 562. Memory storage module 572 can be refereed to as optimization module 572.
In many embodiments, advertisement creatives module 512 can store computing instructions configured to run on one or more processing modules and perform one or more acts of method 400 (
Although optimization of advertisement creatives has been described with reference to specific embodiments, it will be understood by those skilled in the art that various changes may be made without departing from the spirit or scope of the disclosure. Accordingly, the disclosure of embodiments is intended to be illustrative of the scope of the disclosure and is not intended to be limiting. It is intended that the scope of the disclosure shall be limited only to the extent required by the appended claims. For example, to one of ordinary skill in the art, it will be readily apparent that any element of
All elements claimed in any particular claim are essential to the embodiment claimed in that particular claim. Consequently, replacement of one or more claimed elements constitutes reconstruction and not repair. Additionally, benefits, other advantages, and solutions to problems have been described with regard to specific embodiments. The benefits, advantages, solutions to problems, and any element or elements that may cause any benefit, advantage, or solution to occur or become more pronounced, however, are not to be construed as critical, required, or essential features or elements of any or all of the claims, unless such benefits, advantages, solutions, or elements are stated in such claim.
Moreover, embodiments and limitations disclosed herein are not dedicated to the public under the doctrine of dedication if the embodiments and/or limitations: (1) are not expressly claimed in the claims; and (2) are or are potentially equivalents of express elements and/or limitations in the claims under the doctrine of equivalents.
Number | Name | Date | Kind |
---|---|---|---|
5848396 | Gerace | Dec 1998 | A |
20070027865 | Bartz | Feb 2007 | A1 |
20090030784 | Goyal et al. | Jan 2009 | A1 |
20100138452 | Henkin | Jun 2010 | A1 |
20110258054 | Pandey | Oct 2011 | A1 |
20110258056 | Ioffe | Oct 2011 | A1 |
20120022952 | Cetin | Jan 2012 | A1 |
20120150626 | Zhang | Jun 2012 | A1 |
20140039823 | Raghupathy | Feb 2014 | A1 |
20140114746 | Pani et al. | Apr 2014 | A1 |
20140188774 | George | Jul 2014 | A1 |
20150302467 | Ko | Oct 2015 | A1 |
20150324857 | Siegel | Nov 2015 | A1 |
20160191450 | Lineberger | Jun 2016 | A1 |
20180053205 | Qin | Feb 2018 | A1 |
Entry |
---|
Lobo, Second Order Cone Programming, Oct. 20, 1997, Stanford University. |
Shivaswamy, Second Order Cone Programming Approaches for Handling Missing and Uncertain Dta, Jul. 2006, Journal of Machine Learning Research, p. 1283-1314. |
D. Goldfarb and G. Iyengar; “CORC Technical Report TR-2002-03 Robust portfolio selection problems” pp. 1-41; Dec. 26, 2001. |
Number | Date | Country | |
---|---|---|---|
20180053205 A1 | Feb 2018 | US |