TRIAGE BIOMARKERS AND USE THEREFOR

Abstract
Disclosed are methods, apparatus, kits and compositions for determining the absence of a systemic bacterial infection (sepsis) in patients, particularly ones presenting to hospital emergency departments (ED) as outpatients, by measurement of the host immune response using peripheral blood. The are methods, apparatus, kits and compositions can be used in mammals for diagnosing, making treatment decisions, determining the next procedure or diagnostic test, or management of patients suspected of having an infection, including those presenting with fever or other signs of systemic inflammation. More particularly, peripheral blood RNA and protein biomarkers are disclosed that are useful for distinguishing between the host immune response to bacteria compared to the host immune response to other causes of systemic inflammation including trauma, burns, autoimmune disease, asthma, anaphylaxis, arthritis, obesity and viral infections. As such, the biomarkers are useful for distinguishing bacterial-associated systemic inflammatory response syndrome from non-bacterial systemic inflammation to provide clinicians with strong negative predictive value (>95%) so that sepsis can be excluded as a diagnosis in patients presenting to ED with clinical signs of systemic inflammation.
Description
FIELD OF THE INVENTION
Sequence Listing

The text of the computer readable sequence listing filed herewith, titled “41163-303_SEQUENCE_LISTING”, created Mar. 5, 2024, having a file size of 677,669 bytes, is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety.


This invention relates generally to methods, apparatus, kits and compositions for determining the absence of a systemic bacterial infection (sepsis) in patients, particularly ones presenting to hospital emergency departments (ED) as outpatients, by measurement of the host immune response using peripheral blood. The invention can be used in mammals for diagnosing, making treatment decisions, determining the next procedure or diagnostic test, or management of patients suspected of having an infection, including those presenting with fever or other signs of systemic inflammation. More particularly, the present invention relates to peripheral blood RNA and protein biomarkers that are useful for distinguishing between the host immune response to bacteria compared to the host immune response to other causes of systemic inflammation including trauma, burns, autoimmune disease, asthma, anaphylaxis, arthritis, obesity and viral infections. As such, the biomarkers are useful for distinguishing bacterial-associated systemic inflammatory response syndrome from non-bacterial systemic inflammation to provide clinicians with strong negative predictive value (>95%) so that sepsis can be excluded as a diagnosis in patients presenting to ED with clinical signs of systemic inflammation.


BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

In 2010, there were over 129 million visits in the USA to emergency departments (ED). The most common principal reasons for ED visits in the USA in 2010 (all ages and in order) included; stomach and abdominal pain and spasms, chest pain, fever, headache, back symptoms, shortness of breath, cough, pain (non-specific), vomiting, and throat symptoms. The two most common principal reasons for ED visits in the USA for children under the age of 15 are fever and cough. However, the two most common primary diagnoses (as determined by a physician and by major disease category) are “injury and poisoning” and “μl-defined conditions” (Niska, R., Bhuiya, F., & Xu, J. (2010). National hospital ambulatory medical care survey: 2007 emergency department summary. Natl Health Stat Report, 26(26), 1-31). Thus, patients presenting to ED are very heterogenous and often ill-defined with respect to principal reason for presenting and primary diagnosis respectively. In a setting with limited resources and time such patients need to be triaged efficiently. That is, a clinician needs to decide on one or more of the following actions 1) admit the patient 2) observe the patient for a prescribed time period 3) send the patient home 4) take appropriate samples for diagnostic testing 5) determine the next procedure (e.g. X-ray, scan) 6) administer appropriate treatment(s). Underlying each patient's symptoms and presenting clinical signs are etiologies. It is the ED clinician's job to determine an etiology in each case and decide on an appropriate course of action to ensure the best outcomes for the patient. In many instances determining an etiology and course of action is comparatively easy—for example, an adult with a sprained ankle can be sent home after appropriate treatment and advice, a child with severe burns can be admitted immediately, an adult 70-year old male with chest pain can undergo appropriate blood tests and treatments under observation, and a trauma patient in shock can be admitted to intensive care in preparation for surgery. In other instances determining an etiology and course of action is more challenging—for example, in children or adults presenting with fever of unknown origin, or clinical signs that may indicate the presence of an infection, it can be difficult to decide on the next course of action, especially given that some patients presenting with mild clinical signs can deteriorate rapidly. Clinical signs of infection are well known and described in the literature (Bone, R., Balk, R., Cerra, F., Dellinger, R., Fein, A., Knaus, W., et al. (1992). Definitions for sepsis and organ failure and guidelines for the use of innovative therapies in sepsis. The ACCP/SCCM Consensus Conference Committee. American College of Chest Physicians/Society of Critical Care Medicine. Chest, 101(6), 1644-1655). However, identifying, managing and triaging patients with clinical signs of infection is challenging because of the medical risk of such patients progressing to sepsis, severe sepsis and septic shock (Brown, T., Ghelani-Allen, A., Yeung, D., & Nguyen, H. B. (2014). Comparative effectiveness of physician diagnosis and guideline definitions in identifying sepsis patients in the emergency department. Journal of Critical Care; Glickman, S. W., Cairns, C. B., Otero, R. M., Woods, C. W., Tsalik, E. L., Langley, R. J., et al. (2010). Disease Progression in Hemodynamically Stable Patients Presenting to the Emergency Department With Sepsis. Academic Emergency Medicine, 17(4), 383-390; Dellinger, R. P. et al. Surviving Sepsis Campaign: international guidelines for management of severe sepsis and septic shock: 2008. in Crit. Care Med. 36, 296-327 (2008)). Thus, missing a diagnosis of sepsis in patients presenting to ED carries both medical (patient) and professional (clinician) risk. With respect to correctly diagnosing sepsis, blood culture has unacceptably low negative predictive value (NPV), or unacceptably high false negative levels. Further, diagnosis based on clinical signs alone has unacceptably low positive predictive value (PPV), or unacceptably high false positive levels. In the latter instance the consequence is that many patients are unnecessarily prescribed antibiotics because of 1) the clinical risk of misdiagnosing sepsis, 2) the lack of a gold standard diagnostic test, and 3) the fact that blood culture results take too long to provide results that are clinically actionable (Braykov, N. P., Morgan, D. J., Schweizer, M. L., Uslan, D. Z., Kelesidis, T., Weisenberg, S. A., et al. (2014). Assessment of empirical antibiotic therapy optimisation in six hospitals: an observational cohort study. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 14(12), 1220-1227). Further, diagnosis of a viral infection is often done based on presenting clinical signs only. The reasons for this are; most viral infections are not life-threatening, there are few therapeutic interventions available, many viral infections cause the same clinical signs, and most diagnostic assays take too long and are too expensive. The consequence is that many virus-infected patients are unnecessarily prescribed antibiotics because of the clinical risk of misdiagnosing bacterial associated systemic inflammatory response syndrome (BaSIRS) or sepsis.


Therefore, in ED patients, what is needed is an assay that can distinguish patients with sepsis from those without an infection but presenting with clinical signs similar to sepsis. Such an assay needs to have high negative predictive value (that is, exclude sepsis as a diagnosis) so that a clinician can confidently either observe, or send the patient home, and/or not prescribe antibiotics. An assay with high negative predictive value for sepsis therefore provides safety for patients, surety and peace of mind for clinicians, reduced costs of care for hospitals and health care systems, reduced antibiotic use, and potentially reduced development of antibiotic resistance.


Whilst the sensitivity and specificity of an assay are independent of prevalence, negative and positive predictive value are not (Lalkhen, A. G., & McCluskey, A. (2008). Clinical tests: sensitivity and specificity. Continuing Education in Anaesthesia, Critical Care & Pain, 8(6), 221-223). In the case of diagnosing BaSIRS in the ED it is important that an assay has a low false negative rate, or is sensitive, or will not miss any cases that actually do have BaSIRS. As disease prevalence decreases in a population the negative predictive value of a sensitive assay increases. Thus, in a population with low disease prevalence an assay with high sensitivity will have high negative predictive value. The prevalence of severe sepsis in adults and children in ED patients is relatively low (6.4% and 0.34% respectively) (Rezende, E., Silva Junior, J. M., Isola, A. M., Campos, E. V., Amendola, C. P., & Almeida, S. L. (2008). Epidemiology of severe sepsis in the emergency department and difficulties in the initial assistance. Clinics, 63(4), 457-464; Singhal, S., Allen, M. W., McAnnally, J.-R., Smith, K. S., Donnelly, J. P., & Wang, H. E. (2013). National estimates of emergency department visits for pediatric severe sepsis in the United States. PeerJ, 1(Suppl 1), e79-12). The prevalence of “infection” as a primary diagnosis in ED patients is also relatively low at approximately 10% for children and 5% for adults (Niska, R., Bhuiya, F., & Xu, J. (2010). National hospital ambulatory medical care survey: 2007 emergency department summary. Natl Health Stat Report, 26(26), 1-31). Similarly, the prevalence of suspected systemic infection, as determined by the percent of patients presenting to emergency that had a blood culture taken, is also low and estimated to be 4% (Niska et al., 2010). Thus, the prevalence of BaSIRS in adult patients presenting to ER in the USA is estimated to be between 4 and 10%.


In patients suspected of having a BaSIRS a clinical diagnosis and treatment regimen is provided by the physician(s) at the time the patient presents and often in the absence of any results from diagnostic tests. This is done in the interests of rapid treatment and positive patient outcomes. However, such an approach leads to over-prescribing of antibiotics irrespective of whether the patient has a microbial infection or not. Clinician diagnosis (diagnosis by the clinician without the aid of other diagnostic tests) of BaSIRS is reasonably reliable (0.88) in children but only with respect to differentiating between patients ultimately shown to be blood culture positive and those that were judged to be unlikely to have an infection at the time antibiotics were administered (Fischer, J. E. et al. Quantifying uncertainty: physicians' estimates of infection in critically ill neonates and children. Clin. Infect. Dis. 38, 1383-1390 (2004)). In Fischer et al. (2004), 54% of critically ill children were put on antibiotics during their hospital stay, of which only 14% and 16% had proven systemic bacterial infection or localized infection respectively. In this study, 53% of antibiotic treatment courses for critically ill children were for those that had an unlikely infection and 38% were antibiotic treatment courses for critically ill children as a rule-out treatment episode. Clearly, pediatric physicians err on the side of caution with respect to treating critically ill patients by placing all patients suspected of an infection on antibiotics—38% of all antibiotics used in critically ill children are used on the basis of ruling out BaSIRS, that is, are used as a precaution. Antibiotics are also widely prescribed and overused in adult patients as reported in Braykov et al., 2014 (Braykov, N. P., Morgan, D. J., Schweizer, M. L., Uslan, D. Z., Kelesidis, T., Weisenberg, S. A., et al. (2014). Assessment of empirical antibiotic therapy optimisation in six hospitals: an observational cohort study. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 14(12), 1220-1227). In this study, across six US hospitals over four days in 2009 and 2010, 60% of all patients admitted received antibiotics. Of those patients prescribed antibiotics 30% were afebrile and had a normal white blood cell count and were therefore prescribed antibiotics as a precaution. Independent surveys of clinicians, conducted by the current patent authors, their colleagues and associates, have revealed that for a clinician to withhold antibiotics from a patient a diagnostic assay for sepsis would need to have a negative predictive value of at least 95%. As such, an assay that can accurately diagnose patients without BaSIRS with negative predictive value greater than 95% would be clinically useful and may lead to more appropriate use of antibiotics.


Testing for the presence of bacteria requires that clinical samples be taken from patients. Examples of clinical samples include; blood, plasma, serum, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), stool, urine, tissue, pus, saliva, semen, skin, other body fluids. Examples of clinical sampling methods include; venipuncture, biopsy, scrapings, aspirate, lavage, collection of body fluids and stools into sterile containers. Most clinical sampling methods are invasive (physically or on privacy), or painful, or laborious, or require multiple samplings over time, or, in some instances, dangerous (e.g. large CSF volumes in neonates). In some instances multiple samples from multiple sites may need to be taken to increase the likelihood of isolating bacteria. The taking of blood via venipuncture is perhaps the least invasive method of clinical sampling and host immune response markers circulate in peripheral blood in response to both systemic and localized infection. Therefore, what is needed is a diagnostic assay, based on the use of a peripheral blood sample, with high negative predictive value for BaSIRS in an heterogenous ED patient population.


The purported “gold standard” of diagnosis for microbial infection is culture (growth of an organism and partial or complete identification by staining or biochemical or serological assays). Thus, confirmation of a diagnosis of BaSIRS requires isolation and identification of live microbes from blood or tissue or body fluid samples using culture, but this technique has its limitations (Thierry Calandra and Jonathan Cohen, “The International Sepsis Forum Consensus Conference on Definitions of Infection in the Intensive Care Unit,” Critical Care Medicine 33, no. 7 (July 2005): 1538-1548; R Phillip Dellinger et al., “Surviving Sepsis Campaign: International Guidelines for Management of Severe Sepsis and Septic Shock: 2008.,” vol. 36, 2008, 296-327, doi:10.1097/01.CCM.0000298158.12101.41). Microbial culture usually takes a number of days to obtain a positive result and over five days (up to a month) to confirm a negative result—hence blood culture has little to no negative predictive value in an ED setting. A positive result confirms bacteremia if the sample used was whole blood. However, blood culture is insufficiently reliable with respect to sensitivity, specificity and predictive value, failing to detect a clinically determined ‘bacterial’ cause of fever in 60-80% of patients with suspected primary or secondary bloodstream infection, and in many instances the organism grown is a contaminant (Miller, B., Schuetz, P. & Trampuz, A. Circulating biomarkers as surrogates for bloodstream infections. International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents 30, 16-23 (2007); Jean-Louis Vincent et al., “Sepsis in European Intensive Care Units: Results of the SOAP Study*,” Critical Care Medicine 34, no. 2 (February 2006): 344-353, doi:10.1097/01.CCM.0000194725.48928.3A; Brigitte Lamy et al., “What Is the Relevance of Obtaining Multiple Blood Samples for Culture? A Comprehensive Model to Optimize the Strategy for Diagnosing Bacteremia”, Clinical Infectious Diseases: an Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America 35, no. 7 (Oct. 1, 2002): 842-850, doi:10.1086/342383; M D Aronson and D H Bor, “Blood Cultures.,” Annals of Internal Medicine 106, no. 2 (February 1987): 246-253); Bates, D. W., Goldman, L. & Lee, T. H. Contaminant blood cultures and resource utilization. The true consequences of false-positive results. JAMA 265, 365-369 (1991)).


In an attempt to overcome the turnaround time limitations of blood culture molecular nucleic acid-based tests have been developed to detect the major sepsis-causing microbial pathogens in whole blood from patients with suspected sepsis (e.g., SeptiFast® from Roche, Iridica® from Abbott, Sepsis Panel from Biofire (Biomerieux), Prove-It® Sepsis from Mobidiag, SepsiTest from Molzym Molecular Diagnostics). Whilst sensitive and specific, such assays also have limitations, especially with respect to clinical interpretation of assay results for suspected sepsis patients that are 1) PCR or assay positive and blood culture negative, and 2) PCR or assay negative (Bauer M, Reinhart K (2010) Molecular diagnostics of sepsis—Where are we today? International Journal of Medical Microbiology 300: 411-413; Ljungström, L., Enroth, H., Claesson, B. E., Ovemyr, I., Karlsson, J., Fröberg, B., et al. (2015). Clinical evaluation of commercial nucleic acid amplification tests in patients with suspected sepsis. BMC Infectious Diseases, 15(1), 199; Avolio, M., Diamante, P., Modolo, M. L., De Rosa, R., Stano, P., & Camporese, A. (2014). Direct Molecular Detection of Pathogens in Blood as Specific Rule-In Diagnostic Biomarker in Patients With Presumed Sepsis. Shock, 42(2), 86-92).


Alternative diagnostic approaches to BaSIRS have been investigated including determination of host response using biomarkers (Michael Bauer and Konrad Reinhart, “Molecular Diagnostics of Sepsis—Where Are We Today?” International Journal of Medical Microbiology 300, no. 6 (Aug. 1, 2010): 411-413, doi:10.1016/j.ijmm.2010.04.006; John C Marshall and Konrad Reinhart, “Biomarkers of Sepsis,” Critical Care Medicine 37, no. 7 (July 2009): 2290-2298, doi:10.1097/CCM.0b013e3181a02afc.). A systematic literature search identified nearly 180 molecules as potential biomarkers of sepsis of which 20% have been assessed in appropriately designed sepsis studies including C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), and IL6 (Reinhart, K., Bauer, M., Riedemann, N. C. & Hartog, C. S. New Approaches to Sepsis: Molecular Diagnostics and Biomarkers. Clinical Microbiology Reviews 25, 609-634 (2012)). PCT is perhaps the best studied of these biomarkers (Wacker, C., Prkno, A., Brunkhorst, F. M., & Schlattmann, P. (2013). Procalcitonin as a diagnostic marker for sepsis: a systematic review and meta-analysis. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 13(5), 426-435) but it also has its limitations with respect to determining the presence of BaSIRS and it is generally considered that PCT is a marker of systemic inflammation rather than a specific marker for BaSIRS (Hoenigl, M., Raggam, R. B., Wagner, J., Prueller, F., Grisold, A. J., Leitner, E., et al. (2014). Procalcitonin fails to predict bacteremia in SIRS patients: a cohort study. International Journal of Clinical Practice, 68(10), 1278-1281). A combination of biomarkers has been researched to gain better diagnostic performance in sepsis (Gibot, S., Bene, M. C., Noel, R., Massin, F., Guy, J., Cravoisy, A., et al. (2012). Combination biomarkers to diagnose sepsis in the critically ill patient. American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, 186(1), 65-71) as has the use of a single biomarker (PCT) on multiple days through the determination of a PCT ratio to rule out soft necrotizing tissue infections (Friederichs, J., Hutter, M., Hierholzer, C., Novotny, A., Friess, H., Buhren, V., & Hungerer, S. (2013). Procalcitonin ratio as a predictor of successful surgical treatment of severe necrotizing soft tissue infections. American Journal of Surgery, 206(3), 368-373).


Because of a current lack of suitable diagnostic tools that clinicians can use to diagnose BaSIRS in the ED they rely largely on clinical judgment, the presence or absence of pathognomonic clinical signs, clinical algorithms and standard international definitions. However, it has been shown that such an approach lacks discriminative ability such that patients with BaSIRS are missed or patients with non-bacterial SIRS are unnecessarily prescribed antibiotics (Gille-Johnson, P., Hansson, K. E., & Gardlund, B. (2013). Severe sepsis and systemic inflammatory response syndrome in emergency department patients with suspected severe infection. Scandinavian Journal of Infectious Diseases, 45(3), 186-193; Brown, T., Ghelani-Allen, A., Yeung, D., & Nguyen, H. B. (2014). Comparative effectiveness of physician diagnosis and guideline definitions in identifying sepsis patients in the emergency department. Journal of Critical Care; Craig, J. C., Williams, G. J., Jones, M., Codarini, M., Macaskill, P., Hayen, A., et al. (2010). The accuracy of clinical symptoms and signs for the diagnosis of serious bacterial infection in young febrile children: prospective cohort study of 15,781 febrile illnesses. BMJ (Clinical Research Ed.), 340, c1594).


Whilst there is a reasonable body of knowledge describing biomarkers capable of determining the presence of sepsis, or predicting likelihood of mortality in patients at risk of sepsis, the literature is silent on identifying biomarkers that have high negative predictive value for a systemic host response to infection in an heterogenous patient population with a low to medium prevalence of systemic inflammation. Biomarkers with high negative predictive value would have clinical utility in that they provide clinicians with the confidence to send patients home, or withhold antibiotics, despite the presence of clinical signs of systemic inflammation.


SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

The present invention arises from the discovery that certain host response peripheral blood expression products, including RNA transcripts, are specifically and differentially expressed in patients presenting to emergency departments with systemic inflammation associated with bacterial infection. Surprisingly these expression products have high negative predictive value and, as such, are useful in excluding a bacterial infection as the cause of the presenting clinical signs associated with systemic inflammation (e.g., fever, increased heart rate, increased respiratory rate, increased white blood cell count).


Based on this determination, the present inventors have developed various methods, apparatus, compositions, and kits, which take advantage of these differentially expressed biomarkers (which are referred to herein as ‘rule out’ (RO) BaSIRS biomarkers, including ratios thereof (derived RO BaSIRS biomarkers), to exclude the presence of BaSIRS in subjects presenting to emergency departments with fever or clinical signs of systemic inflammation. In certain embodiments, these methods, apparatus, compositions, and kits represent a significant advance over prior art processes and products, which have not been able to distinguish BaSIRS from other etiologies of systemic inflammation, including viruses, trauma, autoimmune disease, allergy and cancer.


Accordingly, in one aspect, the present invention provides methods for determining an indicator used in assessing a likelihood of a subject presenting to emergency having an absence of BaSIRS. These methods generally comprise, consist or consist essentially of: (1) determining biomarker values that are measured or derived for at least two (e.g., 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, or more) corresponding RO BaSIRS biomarkers in a sample taken from the subject and that is at least partially indicative of the levels of the RO BaSIRS biomarkers in the sample; and (2) determining the indicator using the biomarker values. Suitably, the methods further comprise ruling out the likelihood of BaSIRS for the subject or not, based on the indicator.


Thus, in a related aspect, the present invention provides methods for ruling out the likelihood of BaSIRS (i.e., for diagnosing the absence of BaSIRS), or not, for a subject presenting to emergency having an absence of BaSIRS. These methods generally comprise, consist or consist essentially of: (1) determining biomarker values that are measured or derived for at least two (e.g., 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, or more) corresponding RO BaSIRS biomarkers in a sample taken from the subject and that is at least partially indicative of the levels of the RO BaSIRS biomarkers in the sample; (2) determining the indicator using the biomarker values; and (3) ruling out the likelihood of BaSIRS for the subject or not, based on the indicator.


The subject typically has at least one clinical sign of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS). The at least two RO BaSIRS biomarkers are suitably not biomarkers of at least one other SIRS condition (e.g., 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5 other SIRS conditions) selected from the group consisting of: autoimmune disease associated SIRS (ADaSIRS), cancer associated SIRS (CANaSIRS), trauma associated SIRS (TRAUMaSIRS), anaphylaxis associated SIRS (ANAPHYLaSIRS), schizophrenia associated SIRS (SCHIZaSIRS) and virus associated SIRS (VaSIRS). The sample is suitably a biological sample, representative examples of which include blood samples including peripheral blood samples, and leukocyte samples. The at least two RO BaSIRS biomarkers and their corresponding biomarkers values on which an indicator is determined that is indicative of the likelihood of the absence of BaSIRS, and on which the likelihood of BaSIRS is ruled out, or not, define a RO BaSIRS biomarker profile.


In specific embodiments, the at least two RO BaSIRS biomarkers are expression products of a gene selected from the group consisting of: ADAM19, ADD1, ADGRE1, AIF1, AKAP7, AKT1, AKTIP, ALDOA, AMD1, ARL2BP, ATG9A, ATP13A3, ATP6VOA1, ATP8B4, BRD7, BTG2, C21orf59, C6orf48, CCND2, CD44, CD59, CDC14A, CERK, CHPT1, CLEC4E, CLU, CNBP, COMMD4, COQ10B, COX5B, CPVL, CTDSP2, CTSA, CTSC, CTSH, CYBB, CYP20A1, DERA, DHX16, DIAPH2, DLST, EIF4A2, EIF4E2, EMP3, ENO1, FBXO7, FCER1G, FGL2, FLVCR2, FTL, FURIN, FUT8, FXR1, GAPDH, GAS7, GBP2, GIMAP4, GLOD4, GNS, GRAP2, GSTO1, HEBP1, HIST1H2BM, HISTiH3C, HISTiH4L, HLA-DPA1, HMG20B, HMGN4, HOXB6, HSPA4, ID3, IFIT1, IFNGR2, IL7R, IMP3, IMPDH1, INPP1, ISG20, ITGAX, ITGB1, KATNA1, KLF2, KLRF1, LAMP1, LFNG, LHFPL2, LILRB3, LTA4H, LTF, MAP4K2, MAPK14, MAPK8IP3, MCTP1, MEGF9, METTL9, MFSD10, MICAL1, MMP8, MNT, MRPS18B, MUT, MX1, MYL9, MYOM2, NAGK, NMI, NUPL2, OBFC1, OSBPL9, PAFAH2, PARL, PDCDS, PDGFC, PHB, PHF3, PLAC8, PLEKHG3, PLEKHM2, POLR2C, PPP1CA, PPP1CB, PPP1R11, PROS1, PRPF40A, PRRG4, PSMB4, PSTPIP2, PTPN2, PUS3, RAB11FIP1, RAB11FIP3, RAB9A, RANBP10, RASGRP2, RASGRP3, RASSF7, RDX, RNASE6, RNF34, RPA2, RPS6KB2, RPS8, S100A12, S100P, SASH3, SBF1, SDF2L1, SDHC, SERTAD2, SH3BGRL, SH3GLB2, SLAMF7, SLC11A2, SLC12A9, SLC25A37, SLC2A3, SLC39A8, SLC9A3R1, SNAPC1, SORT1, SSBP2, ST3GAL5, ST3GAL6, STK38, SYNE2, TAX1BP1, TIMP1, TINF2, TLR5, TMEM106C, TMEM80, TOB1, TPP2, TRAF3IP2, USP3, VAV1, WDR33, YPELS, and ZBTB17. Non-limiting examples of nucleotide sequences for these RO BaSIRS biomarkers are listed in SEQ ID NOs: 1-179. Non-limiting examples of amino acid sequences for these RO BaSIRS biomarkers are listed in SEQ ID NOs: 180-358. In illustrative examples, an individual RO BaSIRS biomarker is selected from the group consisting of: (a) a polynucleotide expression product comprising a nucleotide sequence that shares at least 70% (or at least 71% to at least 99% and all integer percentages in between) sequence identity with the sequence set forth in any one of SEQ ID NO: 1-179, or a complement thereof; (b) a polynucleotide expression product comprising a nucleotide sequence that encodes a polypeptide comprising the amino acid sequence set forth in any one of SEQ ID NO: 180-358; (c) a polynucleotide expression product comprising a nucleotide sequence that encodes a polypeptide that shares at least 70% (or at least 71% to at least 99% and all integer percentages in between) sequence similarity or identity with at least a portion of the sequence set forth in SEQ ID NO: 180-358; (d) a polynucleotide expression product comprising a nucleotide sequence that hybridizes to the sequence of (a), (b), (c) or a complement thereof, under medium or high stringency conditions; (e) a polypeptide expression product comprising the amino acid sequence set forth in any one of SEQ ID NO: 180-358; and (f) a polypeptide expression product comprising an amino acid sequence that shares at least 70% (or at least 71% to at least 99% and all integer percentages in between) sequence similarity or identity with the sequence set forth in any one of SEQ ID NO: 180-358.


The RO BaSIRS biomarkers of the present invention have strong negative predictive value when combined with one or more other RO BaSIRS biomarkers. In some embodiments, pairs of biomarkers are used to determine the indicator. In illustrative examples of this type, one biomarker of a biomarker pair is selected from Group A RO BaSIRS biomarkers and the other is selected from Group B RO BaSIRS biomarkers, wherein an individual Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker is an expression product of a gene selected from the group consisting of: DIAPH2, CYBB, SLC39A8, PRPF40A, MUT, NMI, PUS3, MNT, SLC11A2, FXR1, SNAPC1, PRRG4, SLAMF7, MAPK8IP3, GBP2, PPP1CB, TMEM80, HIST1H2BM, NAGK, HIST1H4L and wherein an individual Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker is an expression product of a gene selected from the group consisting of: SERTAD2, PHF3, BRD7, TOB1, MAP4K2, WDR33, BTG2, AMD1, RNASE6, RAB11FIP1, ADD1, HMG20B.


In other illustrative examples, one biomarker of a biomarker pair is selected from Group C RO BaSIRS biomarkers and the other is selected from Group D RO BaSIRS biomarkers, wherein an individual Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker is an expression product of a gene selected from the group consisting of: PARL, AIF1, PTPN2, COX5B, PSMB4, EIF4E2, RDX, DERA, CTSH, HSPA4, VAV1, PPP1CA, CPVL, PDCDS, and wherein an individual Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker is an expression product of a gene selected from the group consisting of: PAFAH2, IMP3, GLOD4, IL7R, ID3, KLRF1, SBF1, CCND2, LFNG, MRPS18B, HLA-DPA1, SLC9A3R1, HMGN4, C6orf48, ARL2BP, CDC14A, RPA2, ST3GAL5, EIF4A2, CERK, RASSF7, PHB, TRAF3IP2, KLF2, RAB11FIP3, C21orf59, SSBP2, GIMAP4, CYP20A1, RASGRP2, AKT1, HCPS, TPP2, SYNE2, FUT8, NUPL2, MYOM2, RPS8, RNF34, DLST, CTDSP2, EMP3, PLEKHG3, DHX16, RASGRP3, COMMD4, ISG20, POLR2C, SH3GLB2, SASH3, GRAP2, RPS6KB2, FGL2, AKAP7, SDF2L1, FBXO7, MX1, IFIT1, TMEM106C, RANBP10.


In other illustrative examples, one biomarker of a biomarker pair is selected from Group E RO BaSIRS biomarkers and the other is selected from Group F RO BaSIRS biomarkers, wherein an individual Group E RO BaSIRS biomarker is an expression product of a gene selected from the group consisting of: SORT1, GAS7, FLVCR2, TLR5, FCER1G, SLC2A3, S100A12, PSTPIP2, GNS, METTL9, MMP8, MAPK14, CD59, CLEC4E, MICAL1, MCTP1, GAPDH, IMPDH1, ATP8B4, EMR1, SLC12A9, S100P, IFNGR2, PDGFC, CTSA, ALDOA, ITGAX, GSTO1, LHFPL2, LTF, SDHC, TIMP1, LTA4H, USP3, MEGF9, FURIN, ATP6VOA1, PROS1, ATG9A, PLAC8, LAMP1, COQ10B, ST3GAL6, CTSC, ENO1, OBFC1, TAX1BP1, MYL9, HISTiH3C, ZBTB17, CHPT1, SLC25A37, PLEKHM2, LILRB3, YPELS, FTL, SH3BGRL, HOXB6, PPP1R11, CLU, HEBP1, and wherein an individual Group F RO BaSIRS biomarker is an expression product of a gene selected from the group consisting of: OSBPL9, CD44, AKTIP, ATP13A3, ADAM19, KATNA1, STK38, TINF2, RAB9A, INPP1, CNBP, ITGB1, MFSD10.


In some embodiments, biomarker values are measured or derived for a Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker and for a Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker, and the indicator is determined by combining the biomarker values. In some embodiments, biomarker values are measured or derived for a Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker and for a Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker, and the indicator is determined by combining the biomarker values. In some embodiments, biomarker values are measured or derived for a Group E RO BaSIRS biomarker and for a Group F RO BaSIRS biomarker, and the indicator is determined by combining the biomarker values. In other embodiments, biomarker values are measured or derived for a Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker, for a Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker, for a Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker and for a Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker, and the indicator is determined by combining the biomarker values. In other embodiments, biomarker values are measured or derived for a Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker, for a Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker, for a Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker, for a Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker, for a Group E RO BaSIRS biomarker, for a Group F RO BaSIRS biomarker, and the indicator is determined by combining the biomarker values. Suitably, in the above embodiments, the methods comprise combining the biomarker values using a combining function, wherein the combining function is at least one of: an additive model; a linear model; a support vector machine; a neural network model; a random forest model; a regression model; a genetic algorithm; an annealing algorithm; a weighted sum; a nearest neighbor model; and a probabilistic model.


In some embodiments, the methods comprise: (a) determining a pair of biomarker values, each biomarker value being a value measured or derived for at least one corresponding RO BaSIRS biomarker; (b) determining a derived biomarker value using the pair of biomarker values, the derived biomarker value being indicative of a ratio of concentrations of the pair of RO BaSIRS biomarkers; and determining the indicator using the derived marker value. In illustrative examples of this type, biomarker values are measured or derived for a Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker and for a Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker to obtain the pair of biomarker values and the derived biomarker value is determined using the pair of biomarker values. In other illustrative examples, biomarker values are measured or derived for a Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker and for a Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker to obtain the pair of biomarker values and the derived biomarker value is determined using the pair of biomarker values. In other illustrative examples, biomarker values are measured or derived for a Group E RO BaSIRS biomarker and for a Group F RO BaSIRS biomarker to obtain the pair of biomarker values and the derived biomarker value is determined using the pair of biomarker values.


In some embodiments, the methods comprise: (a) determining a first derived biomarker value using a first pair of biomarker values, the first derived biomarker value being indicative of a ratio of concentrations of first and second RO BaSIRS biomarkers; (b) determining a second derived biomarker value using a second pair of biomarker values, the second derived biomarker value being indicative of a ratio of concentrations of third and fourth RO BaSIRS biomarkers; (c) determining a third derived biomarker value using a third pair of biomarker values, the third derived biomarker value being indicative of a ratio of concentrations of fifth and sixth RO BaSIRS biomarkers; and (d) determining the indicator by combining the first, second and third derived biomarker values. Suitably, the first RO BaSIRS biomarker is selected from Group A RO BaSIRS biomarkers, the second RO BaSIRS biomarker is selected from Group B RO BaSIRS biomarkers, the third RO BaSIRS biomarker is selected from Group C RO BaSIRS biomarkers, the fourth RO BaSIRS biomarker is selected from Group D RO BaSIRS biomarkers, the fifth RO BaSIRS biomarker is selected from Group E RO BaSIRS biomarkers, and the sixth RO BaSIRS biomarker is selected from Group F RO BaSIRS biomarkers. In illustrative examples of this type, the methods comprise combining the biomarker values using a combining function, wherein the combining function is at least one of: an additive model; a linear model; a support vector machine; a neural network model; a random forest model; a regression model; a genetic algorithm; an annealing algorithm; a weighted sum; a nearest neighbor model; and a probabilistic model.


Suitably, in embodiments that utilize pairs of RO BaSIRS biomarkers as broadly described above and elsewhere herein, an individual pair of RO BaSIRS biomarkers has a mutual correlation in respect of ruling out BaSIRS that lies within a mutual correlation range, the mutual correlation range being between ±0.9 (or between ±0.8, ±0.7, ±0.6, ±0.5, ±0.4, ±0.3, ±0.2 or ±0.1) and the indicator has a performance value greater than or equal to a performance threshold representing the ability of the indicator to diagnose the absence of BaSIRS, wherein the performance threshold is indicative of an explained variance of at least 0.3. In illustrative examples of this type, an individual RO BaSIRS biomarker has a condition correlation with the absence of RO BaSIRS that lies outside a condition correlation range, wherein the condition correlation range is between ±0.3. In other illustrative examples, an individual RO BaSIRS biomarker has a condition correlation with the absence of BaSIRS that lies outside a condition correlation range, wherein the condition correlation range is at least one of ±0.9, ±0.8, ±0.7, ±0.6, ±0.5 or ±0.4. In specific embodiments, the performance threshold is indicative of an explained variance of at least one of 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8 and 0.9.


In certain embodiments that utilize pairs of RO BaSIRS biomarkers as broadly described above and elsewhere herein the Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker is suitably an expression product of DIAPH2, the Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker is suitably an expression product of SERTAD2, the Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker is suitably an expression product of PARL, the Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker is suitably an expression product of PAFAH2, the Group E RO BaSIRS biomarker is suitably an expression product of SORT1, and the Group F RO BaSIRS biomarker is suitably an expression product of OSBPL9.


Another aspect of the present invention provides apparatus for determining an indicator used in assessing a likelihood of a subject having an absence of BaSIRS. This apparatus generally comprises at least one electronic processing device that:

    • a) determines a pair of biomarker values, each biomarker value being a value measured or derived for at least one corresponding RO BaSIRS biomarker, as broadly described above and elsewhere herein, of a sample taken from the subject and being at least partially indicative of a concentration of the RO BaSIRS biomarker in the sample;
    • b) determines a derived biomarker value using the pair of biomarker values, the derived biomarker value being indicative of a ratio of concentrations of the pair of RO BaSIRS biomarkers; and
    • c) determines the indicator using the derived biomarker value.


In yet another aspect, the present invention provides compositions for determining an indicator used in assessing a likelihood of a subject having an absence of BaSIRS. These compositions generally comprise, consist or consist essentially of at least one pair of cDNAs and at least one oligonucleotide primer or probe that hybridizes to an individual one of the cDNAs, wherein the at least one pair of cDNAs is selected from pairs of cDNAs including a first pair, a second pair and a third pair of cDNAs, wherein the first pair comprises a Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker cDNA and a Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker cDNA, and wherein the second pair comprises a Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker cDNA and a Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker cDNA, and wherein the third pair comprises a Group E RO BaSIRS biomarker cDNA and a Group F RO BaSIRS biomarker cDNA. Suitably, the compositions comprise a population of cDNAs corresponding to mRNA derived from a cell or cell population. In some embodiments, the cell is a cell of the immune system, suitably a leukocyte. In some embodiments, the cell population is blood, suitably peripheral blood. In some embodiments, the at least one oligonucleotide primer or probe is hybridized to an individual one of the cDNAs. In any of the above embodiments, the composition may further comprise a labeled reagent for detecting the cDNA. In illustrative examples of this type, the labeled reagent is a labeled said at least one oligonucleotide primer or probe. In other embodiments, the labeled reagent is a labeled said cDNA. Suitably, the at least one oligonucleotide primer or probe is in a form other than a high density array. In non-limiting examples of these embodiments, the compositions comprise labeled reagents for detecting and/or quantifying no more than 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 15, 20, 30, 40 or 50 different RO BaSIRS biomarker cDNAs. In specific embodiments, the compositions comprise for a respective cDNA, (1) two oligonucleotide primers (e.g., nucleic acid amplification primers) that hybridize to opposite complementary strands of the cDNA, and (2) an oligonucleotide probe that hybridizes to the cDNA. In some embodiments, one or both of the oligonucleotide primers are labeled. In some embodiments, the oligonucleotide probe is labeled. In illustrative examples, the oligonucleotide primers are not labeled and the oligonucleotide probe is labeled. Suitably, in embodiments in which the oligonucleotide probe is labeled, the labeled oligonucleotide probe comprises a fluorophore. In representative examples of this type, the labeled oligonucleotide probe further comprises a quencher. In certain embodiments, different labeled oligonucleotide probes are included in the composition for hybridizing to different cDNAs, wherein individual oligonucleotide probes comprise detectably distinct labels (e.g. different fluorophores).


Still another aspect of the present invention provides kits for determining an indicator which is indicative of the likelihood of the absence of BaSIRS, and on which the likelihood of BaSIRS is ruled out or not. The kits generally comprise, consist or consist essentially of at least one pair of reagents selected from reagent pairs including a first pair of reagents, a second pair of reagents and a third pair of reagents, wherein the first pair of reagents comprises (i) a reagent that allows quantification of a Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker; and (ii) a reagent that allows quantification of a Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker, wherein the second pair of reagents comprises: (iii) a reagent that allows quantification of a Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker; and (iv) a reagent that allows quantification of a Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker, and wherein the third pair of reagents comprises: (v) a reagent that allows quantification of a Group E RO BaSIRS biomarker; and (vi) a reagent that allows quantification of a Group F RO BaSIRS biomarker. In non-limiting examples of these embodiments, the kits comprise labeled reagents for detecting and/or quantifying no more than 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 15, 20, 30, 40 or 50 different RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotides (e.g., mRNAs, cDNAs, etc.).


In a further aspect, the present invention provides methods for managing a subject with at least one clinical sign of SIRS. These methods generally comprise, consist or consist essentially of: not exposing the subject to a treatment regimen for specifically treating BaSIRS based on an indicator obtained from an indicator-determining method, wherein the indicator is indicative of the absence of BaSIRS in the subject, and of ruling out the likelihood of the presence of BaSIRS in the subject, and wherein the indicator-determining method is an indicator-determining method as broadly described above and elsewhere herein. In some embodiments, when the indicator is indicative of the absence of BaSIRS in the subject, the methods further comprise exposing the subject to a non-BaSIRS treatment. In illustrative examples of this type, the non-BaSIRS treatment is a treatment for a SIRS other than BaSIRS (e.g., a treatment for ADaSIRS, CANaSIRS, TRAUMaSIRS, ANAPHYLaSIRS, SCHIZaSIRS and VaSIRS). In other embodiments, when the indicator is indicative of the absence of BaSIRS in the subject, the methods further comprises not exposing the subject to a treatment. In some embodiments, the methods further comprise taking a sample from the subject and determining an indicator indicative of the likelihood of the absence of BaSIRS using the indicator-determining method. In other embodiments, the methods further comprise sending a sample taken from the subject to a laboratory at which the indicator is determined according to the indicator-determining method. In these embodiments, the methods suitably further comprise receiving the indicator from the laboratory.





BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS


FIG. 1a: ROC curves for the components of the derived biomarker signature consisting of DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9. The dashed line is the ROC curve for DIAPH2/SERTAD2 alone (AUC=0.863). The full line is for the combination of DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2 (AUC=0.92). The dotted line is for the combination of DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9 (AUC=0.94).



FIG. 1b: ROC curve for the final triage signature consisting of DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9 indicating the chosen specificity and sensitivity used to determine AUC and NPV at set prevalences of 10% and 5% (see Table 6 and Table 7), and NPV at prevalences of 4%, 6%, 8% and 10% (see Table 8).



FIG. 2: Box and whisker plots of the performance of the combined derived biomarker signature (DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9) in the BaSIRS datasets. Dark dots represent the control samples (those subjects without BaSIRS) and lighter dots represent samples from those patients with BaSIRS.



FIG. 3: Scatter plot showing performance of the combined derived biomarker signature (DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9) in all of the samples in the BaSIRS datasets. Dark dots represent the control samples (those subjects without BaSIRS) and lighter dots represent samples from those patients with BaSIRS (case). The AUC for the combined derived biomarker signature is 0.94.



FIG. 4: Plots of AUC versus the number and identity of biomarker ratios applying a correlation filter at different coefficient cut-off values. Correlation cut-off values of 70, 80 and 90 were used for selecting derived biomarkers from the non-BaSIRS datasets by removing ratios with high pair-wise correlations. As such the data was enriched to contain ratios with orthogonal information, i.e. ratios that contain biologically relevant information but have lower correlation to each other. Such derived biomarkers were then subtracted from the pool of derived biomarkers from the BaSIRS datasets. The lower the cut-off value the larger the number of derived biomarkers that were subtracted. As such, 92, 493 and 3257 derived biomarkers remained following subtraction when using cut-off values of 70, 80 and 90 respectively. Ultimately a cut-off of 70 was used to ensure specificity in the final derived biomarker signature (see curve on the left hand side). Looking at the curves it can be seen that the AUC increases with each successive addition of a derived biomarker. It was considered that a combination of three derived biomarkers provided the best AUC (0.94) with the least likelihood of introduction of noise. As such, the combination of DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9 was considered to have the greatest commercial utility.



FIG. 5a: Box and whisker plot of the results of validation of this six biomarker signature on an unseen validation set of ED patients presenting with fever, the AUC was 0.903 between bacterial positive patients and all others (viral positive and bacterial negative pooled). Each patient was clinically and retrospectively (note, not at the time the sample was taken) confirmed as having either a bacteria isolated from a sterile site, a confirmed viral infection or no positive microbiology result (and the patient was not on antibiotics). Each patient sample had a SeptiCyte Triage score calculated (Y axis on left hand side). In this instance, on a scale of minus 0.4 to positive 0.4, it can be seen that patients with positive clinical microbiology obtain a higher Diagnostic Score compared to those without positive microbiology. Patients with a confirmed viral infection (only) also have a low Diagnostic Score. Further, it can be seen that an arbitrary cut-off line can be drawn that more or less separates the two conditions depending upon the desired false negative or false positive rate (when using clinical microbiology as the gold standard).



FIG. 5b: Box and whisker plot of the results of validation of a six biomarker signature, DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9, on an expanded cohort of 59 ED patients presenting with fever and admitted to hospital. Each patient was clinically and retrospectively (note, not at the time the sample was taken) confirmed as having either a bacteria isolated from a sterile site (“bacterial”, n=32), a confirmed viral infection (virus identified=“Viral”, n=14) or no positive microbiology result (and the patient was not on antibiotics and the condition resolved=“No positive micro, no Abx”, n=13). Only those patients suspected of having a viral infection were tested for the presence of the suspected virus. Each patient sample had a SeptiCyte Triage score calculated (Y axis on left hand side). In this instance, it can be seen that patients with positive clinical microbiology obtain a higher Diagnostic Score compared to those without positive microbiology. Patients with a confirmed viral infection (only) also have a lower Diagnostic Score. AUCs for bacterial vs viral and bacterial vs indeterminate are 0.79 and 0.65 respectively. Negative Predictive Value (NPV) for bacterial vs other is 0.975 (at a sepsis prevalence of 4%, specificity of 0.78, sensitivity of 0.53 and threshold 25). It should be noted that patients were selected based on presenting signs of a fever, which is not a good indicator of a bacterial infection and, as such, this patient cohort is not fully representative of patients that would be tested for being at risk of sepsis. Further, not all patients received comprehensive microbial or viral testing and, as such, the final diagnosis for some patients is based on clinical impression only. The performance of individual ratios in this signature can be found in Table 6.



FIG. 5c: Box and whisker plot of the results of validation of another six biomarker signature, DIAPH2/IL7R+GBP2/GIMAP4+TLR5/FGL2 (using biomarkers from different groups for each ratio), on an expanded cohort of 59 ED patients presenting with fever and admitted to hospital. Each patient sample had a SeptiCyte Triage score calculated (Y axis on left hand side). In this instance, it can be seen that patients with positive clinical microbiology obtain a higher Diagnostic Score compared to those without positive microbiology. Patients with a confirmed viral infection (only) also have a lower Diagnostic Score. AUCs for bacterial vs viral and bacterial vs indeterminate are 0.93 and 0.83 respectively. Negative Predictive Value (NPV) for bacterial vs other is 0.978 (at a sepsis prevalence of 4%, specificity of 0.9, sensitivity of 0.53 and threshold 0.00). The performance of individual ratios in this signature can be found in Table 6.



FIG. 6: Example output depicting an indicator that is useful for assessing the absence of BaSIRS in a patient. In this instance the patient had a score of 5.9 indicating a >80% likelihood of BaSIRS.





BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE TABLES

Table 1: List and condition description of public datasets (GEO) used to find the best performing BaSIRS derived biomarkers for use in a triage setting, including the number of subjects in each cohort (in brackets).


Table 2: List and condition description of public datasets (GEO) used to find the best performing non-bacterial SIRS derived biomarkers. These were then subtracted from the BaSIRS derived biomarkers identified from the datasets in Table 1. Note that other datasets were used to derive a set of specific viral derived biomarkers which were also subtracted from the BaSIRS derived biomarkers identified from the datasets in Table 1.


Table 3: The mean cumulative performance (AUC) in the BaSIRS datasets of the derived biomarkers (that comprise the three derived biomarker signature) when each are added sequentially.


Table 4: Results of greedy searches to find the best performing derived biomarkers (when added sequentially up to 10) using the combined bacterial datasets. Three different cut-off values were used (r=70, 80 and 90) for derived biomarkers in the non-bacterial datasets. Using a low cut-off value in the non-bacterial datasets resulted in more derived biomarkers that were taken from the pool of derived biomarkers identified using the bacterial datasets. Hence, the total numbers of derived biomarkers remaining after subtraction were 92, 493 and 3257 for cut-off values of 70, 80 and 90 respectively. The best combination of derived biomarkers with the maximum AUC, maximum specificity, minimum noise and highest commercial utility was considered to be DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9 obtained after the third greedy search iteration.


Table 5 (a and b): Groups of derived biomarkers (A-F) based on their correlation to each individual biomarker in the three derived biomarker signature of DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9. Groups A-C are contained in Table 5a and Groups D-F are contained in Table 5b. A DNA SEQ ID # is provided for each biomarker HUGO gene symbol.


Table 6: Performance of 200 derived biomarkers at a set sepsis prevalence of 10%. Performance measures include Area Under Curve (AUC) and Negative Predictive Value (NPV). The NPV of these derived biomarkers increases as the prevalence of sepsis decreases, so all those listed would perform well in an emergency room setting where the prevalence of sepsis is estimated to be closer to 4%.


Table 7: Performance of 200 derived biomarkers at a set sepsis prevalence of 5%.


Table 8: Table of calculated negative predictive values (NPV) for the final triage signature (DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9) at sepsis prevalences of 4, 6, 8 and 10%. Based on the scientific literature, the prevalence of sepsis in the ER is approximately 4%. For these calculations the sensitivity and specificity were set at 0.9535 and 0.7303 respectively based on the ROC curve for the final triage signature (see FIG. 1b).


Table 9: List of numerators and denominators that occur more than once in the top 200 derived biomarkers.


Table 10: SEQ ID numbers, HUGO gene symbol and Ensembl ID for individual biomarkers.


Table 11: SEQ ID numbers, HUGO gene symbol and Ensembl ID for individual biomarkers.


DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION
1. Definitions

Unless defined otherwise, all technical and scientific terms used herein have the same meaning as commonly understood by those of ordinary skill in the art to which the invention belongs. Although any methods and materials similar or equivalent to those described herein can be used in the practice or testing of the present invention, preferred methods and materials are described. For the purposes of the present invention, the following terms are defined below.


The articles “a” and “an” are used herein to refer to one or to more than one (i.e., to at least one) of the grammatical object of the article. By way of example, “an element” means one element or more than one element.


As used herein, “and/or” refers to and encompasses any and all possible combinations of one or more of the associated listed items, as well as the lack of combinations when interpreted in the alternative (or).


The term “biomarker” broadly refers to any detectable compound, such as a protein, a peptide, a proteoglycan, a glycoprotein, a lipoprotein, a carbohydrate, a lipid, a nucleic acid (e.g., DNA, such as cDNA or amplified DNA, or RNA, such as mRNA), an organic or inorganic chemical, a natural or synthetic polymer, a small molecule (e.g., a metabolite), or a discriminating molecule or discriminating fragment of any of the foregoing, that is present in or derived from a sample. “Derived from” as used in this context refers to a compound that, when detected, is indicative of a particular molecule being present in the sample. For example, detection of a particular cDNA can be indicative of the presence of a particular RNA transcript in the sample. As another example, detection of or binding to a particular antibody can be indicative of the presence of a particular antigen (e.g., protein) in the sample. Here, a discriminating molecule or fragment is a molecule or fragment that, when detected, indicates presence or abundance of an above-identified compound. A biomarker can, for example, be isolated from a sample, directly measured in a sample, or detected in or determined to be in a sample. A biomarker can, for example, be functional, partially functional, or non-functional. In specific embodiments, the “biomarkers” include “immune system biomarkers”, which are described in more detail below.


The term “biomarker value” refers to a value measured or derived for at least one corresponding biomarker of a subject and which is typically at least partially indicative of an abundance or concentration of a biomarker in a sample taken from the subject. Thus, biomarker values could be measured biomarker values, which are values of biomarkers measured for the subject, or alternatively could be derived biomarker values, which are values that have been derived from one or more measured biomarker values, for example by applying a function to the one or more measured biomarker values. Biomarker values can be of any appropriate form depending on the manner in which the values are determined. For example, the biomarker values could be determined using high-throughput technologies such as mass spectrometry, sequencing platforms, array and hybridization platforms, immunoassays, flow cytometry, or any combination of such technologies and in one preferred example, the biomarker values relate to a level of activity or abundance of an expression product or other measurable molecule, quantified using a technique such as polymerase chain reaction (PCR), sequencing or the like. In this case, the biomarker values can be in the form of amplification amounts, or cycle times, which are a logarithmic representation of the concentration of the biomarker within a sample, as will be appreciated by persons skilled in the art and as will be described in more detail below.


As used herein, the term “biomarker profile” refers to a plurality of one or more types of biomarkers (e.g., an mRNA molecule, a cDNA molecule and/or a protein, etc.), or an indication thereof, together with a feature, such as a measurable aspect (e.g., biomarker value) of the biomarker(s). A biomarker profile may comprise at least two such biomarkers or indications thereof, where the biomarkers can be in the same or different classes, such as, for example, a nucleic acid and a polypeptide. Thus, a biomarker profile may comprise at least 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, 50, 55, 60, 65, 70, 75, 80, 85, 90, 95, or 100 or more biomarkers or indications thereof. In some embodiments, a biomarker profile comprises hundreds, or even thousands, of biomarkers or indications thereof. A biomarker profile can further comprise one or more controls or internal standards. In certain embodiments, the biomarker profile comprises at least one biomarker, or indication thereof, that serves as an internal standard. In other embodiments, a biomarker profile comprises an indication of one or more types of biomarkers. The term “indication” as used herein in this context merely refers to a situation where the biomarker profile contains symbols, data, abbreviations or other similar indicia for a biomarker, rather than the biomarker molecular entity itself. The term “biomarker profile” is also used herein to refer to a combination of at least two biomarker values, wherein individual biomarker values correspond to values of biomarkers that can be measured or derived from one or more subjects, which combination is characteristic of a discrete condition or not, stage of condition or not, subtype of condition or not or a prognosis for a discrete condition or not, stage of condition or not, subtype of condition or not. The term “profile biomarkers” is used to refer to a subset of the biomarkers that have been identified for use in a biomarker profile that can be used in performing a clinical assessment, such as to rule in or rule out a specific condition, different stages or severity of conditions, subtypes of different conditions or different prognoses. The number of profile biomarkers will vary, but is typically of the order of 10 or less.


The terms “complementary” and “complementarity” refer to polynucleotides (i.e., a sequence of nucleotides) related by the base-pairing rules. For example, the sequence “A-G-T,” is complementary to the sequence “T-C-A.” Complementarity may be “partial,” in which only some of the nucleic acids' bases are matched according to the base pairing rules. Or, there may be “complete” or “total” complementarity between the nucleic acids. The degree of complementarity between nucleic acid strands has significant effects on the efficiency and strength of hybridization between nucleic acid strands.


Throughout this specification, unless the context requires otherwise, the words “comprise,” “comprises” and “comprising” will be understood to imply the inclusion of a stated step or element or group of steps or elements but not the exclusion of any other step or element or group of steps or elements. Thus, use of the term “comprising” and the like indicates that the listed elements are required or mandatory, but that other elements are optional and may or may not be present. By “consisting of” is meant including, and limited to, whatever follows the phrase “consisting of”. Thus, the phrase “consisting of” indicates that the listed elements are required or mandatory, and that no other elements may be present. By “consisting essentially of” is meant including any elements listed after the phrase, and limited to other elements that do not interfere with or contribute to the activity or action specified in the disclosure for the listed elements. Thus, the phrase “consisting essentially of” indicates that the listed elements are required or mandatory, but that other elements are optional and may or may not be present depending upon whether or not they affect the activity or action of the listed elements.


The term “correlating” refers to determining a relationship between one type of data with another or with a state.


As used herein, the terms “detectably distinct” and “detectably different” are used interchangeably herein to refer to a signal that is distinguishable or separable by a physical property either by observation or by instrumentation. For example, a fluorophore is readily distinguishable either by spectral characteristics or by fluorescence intensity, lifetime, polarization or photo-bleaching rate from another fluorophore in a sample, as well as from additional materials that are optionally present. In certain embodiments, the terms “detectably distinct” and “detectably different” refer to a set of labels (such as dyes, suitably organic dyes) that can be detected and distinguished simultaneously.


As used herein, the terms “diagnosis”, “diagnosing” and the like are used interchangeably herein to encompass determining the likelihood that a subject has or a condition, or not, or will develop a condition, or not, or the existence or nature of a condition in a subject. These terms also encompass determining the severity of disease or episode of disease, as well as in the context of rational therapy, in which the diagnosis guides therapy, including initial selection of therapy, modification of therapy (e.g., adjustment of dose or dosage regimen), and the like. By “likelihood” is meant a measure of whether a subject with particular measured or derived biomarker values actually has a condition, or not, based on a given mathematical model. An increased likelihood for example may be relative or absolute and may be expressed qualitatively or quantitatively. For instance, a decreased likelihood may be determined simply by determining the subject's measured or derived biomarker values for at least two RO BaSIRS biomarkers and placing the subject in an “decreased likelihood” category, based upon previous population studies. The term “likelihood” is also used interchangeably herein with the term “probability”. The term “risk” relates to the possibility or probability of a particular event occurring at some point in the future. “Risk stratification” refers to an arraying of known clinical risk factors to allow physicians to classify patients into a low, moderate, high or highest risk of having, or developing, a particular disease or condition.


As used herein, “emergency” refers to any location, including an emergency care environment, where subjects feeling unwell or subjects looking for an evaluation of their individual risk of developing certain diseases present, in order to consult a person having a medical background, preferably a physician, to obtain an analysis of their physiological status and/or the cause underlying their discomfort. Typical examples are emergency departments (ED) or emergency rooms (ER) in hospitals, ambulances, medical doctors' practices or doctors' offices and other institutions suitable for diagnosis and/or treatment of subjects.


“Fluorophore” as used herein to refer to a moiety that absorbs light energy at a defined excitation wavelength and emits light energy at a different defined wavelength. Examples of fluorescence labels include, but are not limited to: Alexa Fluor dyes (Alexa Fluor 350, Alexa Fluor 488, Alexa Fluor 532, Alexa Fluor 546, Alexa Fluor 568, Alexa Fluor 594, Alexa Fluor 633, Alexa Fluor 660 and Alexa Fluor 680), AMCA, AMCA-S, BODIPY dyes (BODIPY FL, BODIPY R6G, BODIPY TMR, BODIPY TR, BODIPY 530/550, BODIPY 558/568, BODIPY 564/570, BODIPY 576/589, BODIPY 581/591, BODIPY 630/650, BODIPY 650/665), Carboxyrhodamine 6G, carboxy-X-rhodamine (ROX), Cascade Blue, Cascade Yellow, Cyanine dyes (Cy3, Cy5, Cy3.5, Cy5.5), Dansyl, Dapoxyl, Dialkylaminocoumarin, 4′,5′-Dichloro-2′,7′-dimethoxy-fluorescein, DM-NERF, Eosin, Erythrosin, Fluorescein, FAM, Hydroxycoumarin, IRDyes (IRD40, IRD 700, IRD 800), JOE, Lissamine rhodamine B, Marina Blue, Methoxycoumarin, Naphthofluorescein, Oregon Green 488, Oregon Green 500, Oregon Green 514, Pacific Blue, PyMPO, Pyrene, Rhodamine 6G, Rhodamine Green, Rhodamine Red, Rhodol Green, 2′,4′,5′,7′-Tetra-bromosulfone-fluorescein, Tetramethyl-rhodamine (TMR), Carboxytetramethylrhodamine (TAMRA), Texas Red and Texas Red-X.


The term “gene”, as used herein, refers to a stretch of nucleic acid that codes for a polypeptide or for an RNA chain that has a function. While it is the exon region of a gene that is transcribed to form mRNA, the term “gene” also includes regulatory regions such as promoters and enhancers that govern expression of the exon region.


The term “high-density array” refers to a substrate or collection of substrates or surfaces bearing a plurality of array elements (e.g., discrete regions having particular moieties, e.g., proteins (e.g., antibodies), nucleic acids (e.g., oligonucleotide probes), etc., immobilized thereto), where the array elements are present at a density of about 100 elements/cm2 or more, about 1,000 elements/cm2 or more, about 10,000 elements/cm2 or more, or about 100,000 elements/cm2 or more. In specific embodiments, a “high-density array” is one that comprises a plurality of array elements for detecting about 100 or more different biomarkers, about 1,000 or more different biomarkers, about 10,000 or more different biomarkers, or about 100,000 or more different biomarkers. In representative example of these embodiments, a “high-density array” is one that comprises a plurality of array elements for detecting biomarkers of about 100 or more different genes, of about 1,000 or more different genes, of about 10,000 or more different genes, or of about 100,000 or more different genes. Generally, the elements of a high-density array are not labeled. The term “low-density array” refers to a substrate or collection of substrates or surfaces bearing a plurality of array elements (e.g., discrete regions having particular moieties, e.g., proteins (e.g., antibodies), nucleic acids (e.g., oligonucleotide probes), etc., immobilized thereto), where the array elements are present at a density of about 100 elements/cm2 or less, about 50 elements/cm2 or less, about 20 elements/cm2 or less, or about 10 elements/cm2 or less. In specific embodiments, a “low-density array” is one that comprises a plurality of array elements for detecting about 100 or less different biomarkers, about 50 or less different biomarkers, about 20 or less different biomarkers, or about 10 or less different biomarkers. In representative example of these embodiments, a “low-density array” is one that comprises a plurality of array elements for detecting biomarkers of about 100 or less different genes, of about 50 or less different genes, of about 20 or less different genes, or of about 10 or less different genes. Generally, the elements of a low-density array are not labeled. In specific embodiments, the a “high-density array” or “low-density array” is a microarray.


The term “indicator” as used herein refers to a result or representation of a result, including any information, number, ratio, signal, sign, mark, or note by which a skilled artisan can estimate and/or determine a likelihood or risk of whether or not a subject is suffering from a given disease or condition. In the case of the present invention, the “indicator” may optionally be used together with other clinical characteristics, to arrive at a diagnosis (that is, the occurrence or nonoccurrence) of an absence of BaSIRS or a prognosis for a non-BaSIRS condition in a subject. That such an indicator is “determined” is not meant to imply that the indicator is 100% accurate. The skilled clinician may use the indicator together with other clinical indicia to arrive at a diagnosis.


The term “immobilized” means that a molecular species of interest is fixed to a solid support, suitably by covalent linkage. This covalent linkage can be achieved by different means depending on the molecular nature of the molecular species. Moreover, the molecular species may be also fixed on the solid support by electrostatic forces, hydrophobic or hydrophilic interactions or Van-der-Waals forces. The above described physico-chemical interactions typically occur in interactions between molecules. In particular embodiments, all that is required is that the molecules (e.g., nucleic acids or polypeptides) remain immobilized or attached to a support under conditions in which it is intended to use the support, for example in applications requiring nucleic acid amplification and/or sequencing or in in antibody-binding assays. For example, oligonucleotides or primers are immobilized such that a 3′ end is available for enzymatic extension and/or at least a portion of the sequence is capable of hybridizing to a complementary sequence. In some embodiments, immobilization can occur via hybridization to a surface attached primer, in which case the immobilized primer or oligonucleotide may be in the 3′-5′ orientation. In other embodiments, immobilization can occur by means other than base-pairing hybridization, such as the covalent attachment.


The term “immune system”, as used herein, refers to cells, molecular components and mechanisms, including antigen-specific and non-specific categories of the adaptive and innate immune systems, respectively, that provide a defense against damage and insults resulting from a viral infection. The term “innate immune system” refers to a host's non-specific reaction to insult to include antigen-nonspecific defense cells, molecular components and mechanisms that come into action immediately or within several hours after exposure to almost any insult or antigen. Elements of the innate immunity include for example phagocytic cells (monocytes, macrophages, dendritic cells, polymorphonuclear leukocytes such as neutrophils, reticuloendothelial cells such as Kupffer cells, and microglia), cells that release inflammatory mediators (basophils, mast cells and eosinophils), natural killer cells (NK cells) and physical barriers and molecules such as keratin, mucous, secretions, complement proteins, immunoglobulin M (IgM), acute phase proteins, fibrinogen and molecules of the clotting cascade, and cytokines. Effector compounds of the innate immune system include chemicals such as lysozymes, IgM, mucous and chemoattractants (e.g., cytokines or histamine), complement and clotting proteins. The term “adaptive immune system” refers to antigen-specific cells, molecular components and mechanisms that emerge over several days, and react with and remove a specific antigen. The adaptive immune system develops throughout a host's lifetime. The adaptive immune system is based on leukocytes, and is divided into two major sections: the humoral immune system, which acts mainly via immunoglobulins produced by B cells, and the cell-mediated immune system, which functions mainly via T cells.


Reference herein to “immuno-interactive” includes reference to any interaction, reaction, or other form of association between molecules and in particular where one of the molecules is, or mimics, a component of the immune system.


As used herein, the term “label” and grammatical equivalents thereof, refer to any atom or molecule that can be used to provide a detectable and/or quantifiable signal. In particular, the label can be attached, directly or indirectly, to a nucleic acid or protein. Suitable labels that can be attached include, but are not limited to, radioisotopes, fluorophores, quenchers, chromophores, mass labels, electron dense particles, magnetic particles, spin labels, molecules that emit chemiluminescence, electrochemically active molecules, enzymes, cofactors, and enzyme substrates. A label can include an atom or molecule capable of producing a visually detectable signal when reacted with an enzyme. In some embodiments, the label is a “direct” label which is capable of spontaneously producing a detectible signal without the addition of ancillary reagents and is detected by visual means without the aid of instruments. For example, colloidal gold particles can be used as the label. Many labels are well known to those skilled in the art. In specific embodiments, the label is other than a naturally-occurring nucleoside. The term “label” also refers to an agent that has been artificially added, linked or attached via chemical manipulation to a molecule.


The term “microarray” refers to an arrangement of hybridizable array elements, e.g., probes (including primers), ligands, biomarker nucleic acid sequence or protein sequences on a substrate.


The term “nucleic acid” or “polynucleotide” as used herein includes RNA, mRNA, miRNA, cRNA, cDNA mtDNA, or DNA. The term typically refers to a polymeric form of nucleotides of at least 10 bases in length, either ribonucleotides or deoxynucleotides or a modified form of either type of nucleotide. The term includes single and double stranded forms of DNA or RNA.


By “obtained” is meant to come into possession. Samples so obtained include, for example, nucleic acid extracts or polypeptide extracts isolated or derived from a particular source. For instance, the extract may be isolated directly from a biological fluid or tissue of a subject.


“Protein”, “polypeptide” and “peptide” are used interchangeably herein to refer to a polymer of amino acid residues and to variants and synthetic analogues of the same.


By “primer” is meant an oligonucleotide which, when paired with a strand of DNA, is capable of initiating the synthesis of a primer extension product in the presence of a suitable polymerizing agent. The primer is preferably single-stranded for maximum efficiency in amplification but can alternatively be double-stranded. A primer must be sufficiently long to prime the synthesis of extension products in the presence of the polymerization agent. The length of the primer depends on many factors, including application, temperature to be employed, template reaction conditions, other reagents, and source of primers. For example, depending on the complexity of the target sequence, the primer may be at least about 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 35, 40, 50, 75, 100, 150, 200, 300, 400, 500, to one base shorter in length than the template sequence at the 3′ end of the primer to allow extension of a nucleic acid chain, though the 5′ end of the primer may extend in length beyond the 3′ end of the template sequence. In certain embodiments, primers can be large polynucleotides, such as from about 35 nucleotides to several kilobases or more. Primers can be selected to be “substantially complementary” to the sequence on the template to which it is designed to hybridize and serve as a site for the initiation of synthesis. By “substantially complementary”, it is meant that the primer is sufficiently complementary to hybridize with a target polynucleotide. Desirably, the primer contains no mismatches with the template to which it is designed to hybridize but this is not essential. For example, non-complementary nucleotide residues can be attached to the 5′ end of the primer, with the remainder of the primer sequence being complementary to the template. Alternatively, non-complementary nucleotide residues or a stretch of non-complementary nucleotide residues can be interspersed into a primer, provided that the primer sequence has sufficient complementarity with the sequence of the template to hybridize therewith and thereby form a template for synthesis of the extension product of the primer.


As used herein, the term “probe” refers to a molecule that binds to a specific sequence or sub-sequence or other moiety of another molecule. Unless otherwise indicated, the term “probe” typically refers to a nucleic acid probe that binds to another nucleic acid, also referred to herein as a “target polynucleotide”, through complementary base pairing. Probes can bind target polynucleotides lacking complete sequence complementarity with the probe, depending on the stringency of the hybridization conditions. Probes can be labeled directly or indirectly and include primers within their scope.


The term “prognosis” as used herein refers to a prediction of the probable course and outcome of a clinical condition or disease. A prognosis is usually made by evaluating factors or symptoms of a disease that are indicative of a favorable or unfavorable course or outcome of the disease. The skilled artisan will understand that the term “prognosis” refers to an increased probability that a certain course or outcome will occur; that is, that a course or outcome is more likely to occur in a subject exhibiting a given condition, when compared to those individuals not exhibiting the condition.


As used herein, the term “quencher” includes any moiety that in close proximity to a donor fluorophore, takes up emission energy generated by the donor fluorophore and either dissipates the energy as heat or emits light of a longer wavelength than the emission wavelength of the donor fluorophore. In the latter case, the quencher is considered to be an acceptor fluorophore. The quenching moiety can act via proximal (i.e., collisional) quenching or by Forster or fluorescence resonance energy transfer (“FRET”). Quenching by FRET is generally used in TaqMan® probes while proximal quenching is used in molecular beacon and Scorpion® type probes. Suitable quenchers are selected based on the fluorescence spectrum of the particular fluorophore. Useful quenchers include, for example, the Black Hole™ quenchers BHQ-1, BHQ-2, and BHQ-3 (Biosearch Technologies, Inc.), and the ATTO-series of quenchers (ATTO 540Q, ATTO 580Q, and ATTO 612Q; Atto-Tec GmbH).


The term “rule-out” and its grammatical equivalents refer to a diagnostic test with high sensitivity that optionally coupled with a clinical assessment indicates a lower likelihood for BaSIRS. Accordingly, the term “ruling out” as used herein is meant that the subject is selected not to receive a BaSIRS treatment protocol or regimen.


The term “sample” as used herein includes any biological specimen that may be extracted, untreated, treated, diluted or concentrated from a subject. Samples may include, without limitation, biological fluids such as whole blood, serum, red blood cells, white blood cells, plasma, saliva, urine, stool (i.e., feces), tears, sweat, sebum, nipple aspirate, ductal lavage, tumor exudates, synovial fluid, ascitic fluid, peritoneal fluid, amniotic fluid, cerebrospinal fluid, lymph, fine needle aspirate, amniotic fluid, any other bodily fluid, cell lysates, cellular secretion products, inflammation fluid, semen and vaginal secretions. Samples may include tissue samples and biopsies, tissue homogenates and the like. Advantageous samples may include ones comprising any one or more biomarkers as taught herein in detectable quantities. Suitably, the sample is readily obtainable by minimally invasive methods, allowing the removal or isolation of the sample from the subject. In certain embodiments, the sample contains blood, especially peripheral blood, or a fraction or extract thereof. Typically, the sample comprises blood cells such as mature, immature or developing leukocytes, including lymphocytes, polymorphonuclear leukocytes, neutrophils, monocytes, reticulocytes, basophils, coelomocytes, hemocytes, eosinophils, megakaryocytes, macrophages, dendritic cells natural killer cells, or fraction of such cells (e.g., a nucleic acid or protein fraction). In specific embodiments, the sample comprises leukocytes including peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC).


The term “solid support” as used herein refers to a solid inert surface or body to which a molecular species, such as a nucleic acid and polypeptides can be immobilized. Non-limiting examples of solid supports include glass surfaces, plastic surfaces, latex, dextran, polystyrene surfaces, polypropylene surfaces, polyacrylamide gels, gold surfaces, and silicon wafers. In some embodiments, the solid supports are in the form of membranes, chips or particles. For example, the solid support may be a glass surface (e.g., a planar surface of a flow cell channel). In some embodiments, the solid support may comprise an inert substrate or matrix which has been “functionalized”, such as by applying a layer or coating of an intermediate material comprising reactive groups which permit covalent attachment to molecules such as polynucleotides. By way of non-limiting example, such supports can include polyacrylamide hydrogels supported on an inert substrate such as glass. The molecules (e.g., polynucleotides) can be directly covalently attached to the intermediate material (e.g., a hydrogel) but the intermediate material can itself be non-covalently attached to the substrate or matrix (e.g., a glass substrate). The support can include a plurality of particles or beads each having a different attached molecular species.


As used herein, the term SIRS (“systemic inflammatory response syndrome”) refers to a clinical response arising from a non-specific insult with two or more of the following measureable clinical characteristics; a body temperature greater than 38° C. or less than 36° C., a heart rate greater than 90 beats per minute, a respiratory rate greater than 20 per minute, a white blood cell count (total leukocytes) greater than 12,000 per mm3 or less than 4,000 per mm3, or a band neutrophil percentage greater than 10%. From an immunological perspective, it may be seen as representing a systemic response to insult (e.g., major surgery) or systemic inflammation. As used herein, “BaSIRS” includes any one or more (e.g., 1, 2, 3, 4, 5) of the clinical responses noted above but with underlying bacterial infection etiology. Confirmation of infection can be determined using any suitable procedure known in the art, illustrative examples of which include blood culture, nucleic acid detection (e.g., PCR, mass spectroscopy, immunological detection (e.g., ELISA), isolation of bacteria from infected cells, cell lysis and imaging techniques such as electron microscopy. From an immunological perspective, BaSIRS may be seen as a systemic response to bacterial infection, whether it is a local, peripheral or systemic infection.


The terms “subject”, “individual” and “patient” are used interchangeably herein to refer to an animal subject, particularly a vertebrate subject, and even more particularly a mammalian subject. Suitable vertebrate animals that fall within the scope of the invention include, but are not restricted to, any member of the phylum Chordata, subphylum vertebrata including primates, rodents (e.g., mice rats, guinea pigs), lagomorphs (e.g., rabbits, hares), bovines (e.g., cattle), ovines (e.g., sheep), caprines (e.g., goats), porcines (e.g., pigs), equines (e.g., horses), canines (e.g., dogs), felines (e.g., cats), avians (e.g., chickens, turkeys, ducks, geese, companion birds such as canaries, budgerigars etc.), marine mammals (e.g., dolphins, whales), reptiles (snakes, frogs, lizards, etc.), and fish. A preferred subject is a primate (e.g., a human, ape, monkey, chimpanzee). The subject suitably has at least one (e.g., 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or more) clinical sign of SIRS.


As used herein, the term “treatment regimen” refers to prophylactic and/or therapeutic (i.e., after onset of a specified condition) treatments, unless the context specifically indicates otherwise. The term “treatment regimen” encompasses natural substances and pharmaceutical agents (i.e., “drugs”) as well as any other treatment regimen including but not limited to dietary treatments, physical therapy or exercise regimens, surgical interventions, and combinations thereof.


It will be appreciated that the terms used herein and associated definitions are used for the purpose of explanation only and are not intended to be limiting.


2. Bacterial Systemic Inflammation Biomarkers and their Use for Identifying Subjects with and without BaSIRS

The present invention concerns methods, apparatus, compositions and kits for identifying subjects without BaSIRS or for providing strong negative predictive value in patients presenting to emergency rooms suspected of having BaSIRS. In particular, RO BaSIRS biomarkers are disclosed for use in these modalities to assess the likelihood of the absence of BaSIRS in subjects, or for providing high negative predictive value for BaSIRS in subjects presenting to emergency with at least one clinical sign of SIRS. The methods, apparatus, compositions and kits of the invention are useful for exclusion of BaSIRS as a diagnosis, thus allowing better treatment interventions for subjects with symptoms of SIRS that do not have a bacterial infection.


The present inventors have determined that certain expression products are commonly, specifically and differentially expressed during systemic inflammations with a range of bacterial etiologies. The results presented herein provide clear evidence that a unique biologically-relevant biomarker profile can exclude BaSIRS with a NPV greater than 95% in emergency room patients. This rule-out “bacterial” systemic inflammation biomarker profile was validated in an independently derived external dataset consisting of subjects presenting to emergency with fever (see FIG. 5), and subsequently produced an AUC of 0.903 between infection positive and control patients (infection negative or viral positive). Overall, these findings provide compelling evidence that the expression products disclosed herein can function as biomarkers for excluding BaSIRS and may potentially serve as a useful diagnostic for triaging treatment decisions for SIRS-affected subjects. In this regard, it is proposed that the methods, apparatus, compositions and kits disclosed herein that are based on these biomarkers may serve in the point-of-care diagnostics that allow for rapid and inexpensive screening for BaSIRS, which may result in significant cost savings to the medical system as subjects without BaSIRS can be either exposed, or not exposed, to appropriate management procedures and therapeutic agents, including antibiotics, that are suitable for treating a particular type of SIRS.


Thus, specific expression products are disclosed herein as RO BaSIRS biomarkers that provide a means for distinguishing BaSIRS from other SIRS conditions including ADaSIRS, CANaSIRS, TRAUMaSIRS, ANAPHYLaSIRS, SCHIZaSIRS and VaSIRS. Evaluation of these RO BaSIRS biomarkers through analysis of their levels in a subject or in a sample taken from a subject provides a measured or derived biomarker value for determining an indicator that can be used for assessing the absence of BaSIRS in a subject.


Accordingly, biomarker values can be measured derived biomarker values, which are values that have been derived from one or more measured biomarker values, for example by applying a function to the one or more measured biomarker values. As used herein, biomarkers to which a function has been applied are referred to as “derived markers”.


The biomarker values may be determined in any one of a number of ways. An exemplary method of determining biomarker values is described by the present inventors in WO 2015/117204, which is incorporated herein by reference in its entirety. In one example, the process of determining biomarker values can include measuring the biomarker values, for example by performing tests on the subject or on sample(s) taken from the subject. More typically however, the step of determining the biomarker values includes having an electronic processing device receive or otherwise obtain biomarker values that have been previously measured or derived. This could include for example, retrieving the biomarker values from a data store such as a remote database, obtaining biomarker values that have been manually input, using an input device, or the like. The indicator is determined using a combination of the plurality of biomarker values, the indicator being at least partially indicative of the absence of BaSIRS. Assuming the method is performed using an electronic processing device, an indication of the indicator is optionally displayed or otherwise provided to the user. In this regard, the indication could be a graphical or alphanumeric representation of an indicator value. Alternatively however, the indication could be the result of a comparison of the indicator value to predefined thresholds or ranges, or alternatively could be an indication of the absence of a BaSIRS derived using the indicator.


In some embodiments, biomarker values are combined, for example by adding, multiplying, subtracting, or dividing biomarker values to determine an indicator value. This step is performed so that multiple biomarker values can be combined into a single indicator value, providing a more useful and straightforward mechanism for allowing the indicator to be interpreted and hence used in diagnosing the absence of BaSIRS in the subject.


In some embodiments in which a plurality of biomarkers and biomarker values are used, in order to ensure that an effective diagnosis or prognosis can be determined, at least two of the biomarkers have a mutual correlation in respect of absence of BaSIRS that lies within a mutual correlation range, the mutual correlation range being between ±0.9. This requirement means that the two biomarkers are not entirely correlated in respect of each other when considered in the context of the absence of BaSIRS being diagnosed or prognosed. In other words, at least two of the biomarkers in the combination respond differently as the condition changes, which adds significantly to their ability when combined to discriminate between at least two conditions, to diagnose the absence of BaSIRS.


Typically, the requirement that biomarkers have a low mutual correlation means that the biomarkers may relate to different biological attributes or domains such as, but not limited, to different molecular functions, different biological processes and different cellular components. Illustrative examples of molecular function include addition of, or removal of, one of more of the following moieties to, or from, a protein, polypeptide, peptide, nucleic acid (e.g., DNA, RNA): linear, branched, saturated or unsaturated alkyl (e.g., C1-C24 alkyl); phosphate; ubiquitin; acyl; fatty acid, lipid, phospholipid; nucleotide base; hydroxyl and the like. Molecular functions also include signaling pathways, including without limitation, receptor signaling pathways and nuclear signaling pathways. Non-limiting examples of molecular functions also include cleavage of a nucleic acid, peptide, polypeptide or protein at one or more sites; polymerization of a nucleic acid, peptide, polypeptide or protein; translocation through a cell membrane (e.g., outer cell membrane; nuclear membrane); translocation into or out of a cell organelle (e.g., Golgi apparatus, lysosome, endoplasmic reticulum, nucleus, mitochondria); receptor binding, receptor signaling, membrane channel binding, membrane channel influx or efflux; and the like.


Illustrative examples of biological processes include: stages of the cell cycle such as meiosis, mitosis, cell division, prophase, metaphase, anaphase, telophase and interphase, stages of cell differentiation; apoptosis; necrosis; chemotaxis; immune responses including adaptive and innate immune responses, pro-inflammatory immune responses, autoimmune responses, tolerogenic responses and the like. Other illustrative examples of biological processes include generating or breaking down adenosine triphosphate (ATP), saccharides, polysaccharides, fatty acids, lipids, phospholipids, sphingolipids, glycolipids, cholesterol, nucleotides, nucleic acids, membranes (e.g., cell plasma membrane, nuclear membrane), amino acids, peptides, polypeptides, proteins and the like. Representative examples of cellular components include organelles, membranes, as for example noted above, and others.


It will be understood that the use of biomarkers that have different biological attributes or domains provides further information than if the biomarkers were related to the same or common biological attributes or domains. In this regard, it will be appreciated if the at least two biomarkers are highly correlated to each other, the use of both biomarkers would add little diagnostic/prognostic improvement compared to the use of a single one of the biomarkers. Accordingly, an indicator-determining method of the present invention in which a plurality of biomarkers and biomarker values are used preferably employ biomarkers that are not well correlated with each other, thereby ensuring that the inclusion of each biomarker in the method adds significantly to the discriminative ability of the indicator.


Despite this, in order to ensure that the indicator can accurately be used in performing the discrimination between at least two conditions (e.g., BaSIRS and a SIRS other than BaSIRS), or the diagnosis of the absence of BaSIRS, the indicator has a performance value that is greater than or equal to a performance threshold. The performance threshold may be of any suitable form but is to be typically indicative of an explained variance of at least 0.3, or an equivalent value of another performance measure.


Suitably, a combination of biomarkers is employed, which biomarkers have a mutual correlation between ±0.9 and which combination provides an explained variance of at least 0.3. This typically allows an indicator to be defined that is suitable for ensuring that an accurate discrimination, diagnosis or prognosis can be obtained whilst minimizing the number of biomarkers that are required. Typically the mutual correlation range is one of ±0.8; ±0.7; ±0.6; ±0.5; ±0.4; ±0.3; ±0.2; and, ±0.1. Typically each RO BaSIRS biomarker has a condition correlation with the absence of BaSIRS that lies outside a condition correlation range, the condition correlation range being between ±0.3 and more typically ±0.9; ±0.8; ±0.7; ±0.6; ±0.5; and, ±0.4. Typically the performance threshold is indicative of an explained variance of at least one of 0.4; 0.5; 0.6; 0.7; 0.8; and 0.9.


It will be understood that in this context, the biomarkers used within the above-described method can define a biomarker profile indicative of the likelihood of an absence of BaSIRS or for ruling out BaSIRS, which includes a minimal number of biomarkers, whilst maintaining sufficient performance to allow the biomarker profile to be used in making a clinically relevant diagnosis, prognosis, or differentiation. Minimizing the number of biomarkers used minimizes the costs associated with performing diagnostic or prognostic tests and in the case of nucleic acid expression products, allows the test to be performed utilizing relatively straightforward techniques such as nucleic acid array, and PCR processes, or the like, allowing the test to be performed rapidly in a clinical environment.


Furthermore, producing a single indicator value allows the results of the test to be easily interpreted by a clinician or other medical practitioner, so that test can be used for reliable diagnosis in a clinical environment.


Processes for generating suitable biomarker profiles are described for example in WO 2015/117204, which uses the term “biomarker signature” in place of “biomarker profile” as defined herein. It will be understood, therefore, that terms “biomarker profile” and “biomarker signature” are equivalent in scope. The biomarker profile-generating processes disclosed in WO 2015/117204 provide mechanisms for selecting a combination of biomarkers, and more typically derived biomarkers, that can be used to form a biomarker profile, which in turn can be used in diagnosing the absence of BaSIRS. In this regard, the biomarker profile defines the biomarkers that should be measured (i.e., the profile biomarkers), how derived biomarker values should be determined for measured biomarker values, and then how biomarker values should be subsequently combined to generate an indicator value. The biomarker profile can also specify defined indicator value ranges that indicate a particular absence of BaSIRS.


Using the above-described methods a number of biomarkers have been identified that are particularly useful for assessing a likelihood that a subject has an absence of BaSIRS and for ruling out the presence of BaSIRS in a subject. These biomarkers are referred to herein as “RO BaSIRS biomarkers”. As used herein, the term “RO BaSIRS biomarker” refers to a biomarker of the host, generally a biomarker of the host's immune system, which is altered, or whose level of expression is altered, as part of an inflammatory response to damage or insult resulting from a SIRS other than BaSIRS. The RO BaSIRS biomarkers are suitably expression products of genes (also referred to interchangeably herein as “RO BaSIRS biomarker genes”), including polynucleotide and polypeptide expression products. As used herein, polynucleotide expression products of RO BaSIRS biomarker genes are referred to herein as “RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotides.” Polypeptide expression products of the RO BaSIRS biomarker genes are referred to herein as “RO BaSIRS biomarker polypeptides.”


RO BaSIRS biomarkers are suitably selected from expression products of any one or more of the following RO BaSIRS genes: ADAM19, ADD1, ADGRE1, AIF1, AKAP7, AKT1, AKTIP, ALDOA, AMD1, ARL2BP, ATG9A, ATP13A3, ATP6VOA1, ATP8B4, BRD7, BTG2, C21orf59, C6orf48, CCND2, CD44, CD59, CDC14A, CERK, CHPT1, CLEC4E, CLU, CNBP, COMMD4, COQ10B, COX5B, CPVL, CTDSP2, CTSA, CTSC, CTSH, CYBB, CYP20A1, DERA, DHX16, DIAPH2, DLST, EIF4A2, EIF4E2, EMP3, ENO1, FBXO7, FCER1G, FGL2, FLVCR2, FTL, FURIN, FUT8, FXR1, GAPDH, GAS7, GBP2, GIMAP4, GLOD4, GNS, GRAP2, GSTO1, HEBP1, HIST1H2BM, HISTiH3C, HIST1H4L, HLA-DPA1, HMG20B, HMGN4, HOXB6, HSPA4, ID3, IFIT1, IFNGR2, IL7R, IMP3, IMPDH1, INPP1, ISG20, ITGAX, ITGB1, KATNA1, KLF2, KLRF1, LAMP1, LFNG, LHFPL2, LILRB3, LTA4H, LTF, MAP4K2, MAPK14, MAPK8IP3, MCTP1, MEGF9, METTL9, MFSD10, MICAL1, MMP8, MNT, MRPS18B, MUT, MX1, MYL9, MYOM2, NAGK, NMI, NUPL2, OBFC1, OSBPL9, PAFAH2, PARL, PDCDS, PDGFC, PHB, PHF3, PLAC8, PLEKHG3, PLEKHM2, POLR2C, PPP1CA, PPP1CB, PPP1R11, PROS1, PRPF40A, PRRG4, PSMB4, PSTPIP2, PTPN2, PUS3, RAB11FIP1, RAB11FIP3, RAB9A, RANBP10, RASGRP2, RASGRP3, RASSF7, RDX, RNASE6, RNF34, RPA2, RPS6KB2, RPS8, S100A12, S100P, SASH3, SBF1, SDF2L1, SDHC, SERTAD2, SH3BGRL, SH3GLB2, SLAMF7, SLC11A2, SLC12A9, SLC25A37, SLC2A3, SLC39A8, SLC9A3R1, SNAPC1, SORT1, SSBP2, ST3GAL5, ST3GAL6, STK38, SYNE2, TAX1BP1, TIMP1, TINF2, TLR5, TMEM106C, TMEM80, TOB1, TPP2, TRAF3IP2, USP3, VAV1, WDR33, YPELS, and ZBTB17. Non-limiting examples of nucleotide sequences for these RO BaSIRS biomarkers are listed in SEQ ID NOs: 1-179. Non-limiting examples of amino acid sequences for these RO BaSIRS biomarkers are listed in SEQ ID NOs: 180-358.


The present inventors have determined that certain RO BaSIRS biomarkers have strong diagnostic performance when combined with one or more other RO BaSIRS biomarkers. In advantageous embodiments, pairs of RO BaSIRS biomarkers have been identified that can be used to determine the indicator. Accordingly, in representative examples of this type, an indicator is determined that correlates to a ratio of RO BaSIRS biomarkers, which can be used in assessing a likelihood of a subject having an absence of RO BaSIRS, and for ruling out the presence of BaSIRS in the subject.


In these examples, the indicator-determining methods suitably include determining a pair of biomarker values, wherein each biomarker value is a value measured or derived for at least one corresponding RO BaSIRS biomarker of the subject and is at least partially indicative of a concentration of the RO BaSIRS biomarker in a sample taken from the subject. The biomarker values are typically used to determine a derived biomarker value using the pair of biomarker values, wherein the derived biomarker value is indicative of a ratio of concentrations of the pair of RO BaSIRS biomarkers. Thus, if the biomarker values denote the concentrations of the RO BaSIRS biomarkers, then the derived biomarker value will be based on a ratio of the biomarker values. However, if the biomarker values are related to the concentrations of the biomarkers, for example if they are logarithmically related by virtue of the biomarker values being based on PCR cycle times, or the like, then the biomarker values may be combined in some other manner, such as by subtracting the cycle times to determine a derived biomarker value indicative of a ratio of the concentrations of the RO BaSIRS biomarkers.


The derived biomarker value is then used to determine the indicator, either by using the derived biomarker value as an indicator value, or by performing additional processing, such as comparing the derived biomarker value to a reference or the like, as will be described in more detail below.


In some embodiments in which pairs of RO BaSIRS biomarkers are used to determine a derived biomarker value, one biomarker of a biomarker pair is selected from Group A RO BaSIRS biomarkers and the other is selected from Group B RO BaSIRS biomarkers, wherein an individual Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker is an expression product of a gene selected from the group consisting of: DIAPH2, CYBB, SLC39A8, PRPF40A, MUT, NMI, PUS3, MNT, SLC11A2, FXR1, SNAPC1, PRRG4, SLAMF7, MAPK8IP3, GBP2, PPP1CB, TMEM80, HIST1H2BM, NAGK, HIST1H4L and wherein an individual Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker is an expression product of a gene selected from the group consisting of: SERTAD2, PHF3, BRD7, TOB1, MAP4K2, WDR33, BTG2, AMD1, RNASE6, RAB11FIPI, ADD1, HMG20B.


In other embodiments in which pairs of RO BaSIRS biomarkers are used to determine a derived biomarker value, one biomarker of a biomarker pair is selected from Group C RO BaSIRS biomarkers and the other is selected from Group D RO BaSIRS biomarkers, wherein an individual Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker is an expression product of a gene selected from the group consisting of: PARL, AIF1, PTPN2, COX5B, PSMB4, EIF4E2, RDX, DERA, CTSH, HSPA4, VAV1, PPP1CA, CPVL, PDCDS, and wherein an individual Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker is an expression product of a gene selected from the group consisting of: PAFAH2, IMP3, GLOD4, IL7R, ID3, KLRF1, SBF1, CCND2, LFNG, MRPS18B, HLA-DPA1, SLC9A3R1, HMGN4, C6orf48, ARL2BP, CDC14A, RPA2, ST3GAL5, EIF4A2, CERK, RASSF7, PHB, TRAF3IP2, KLF2, RAB11FIP3, C21orf59, SSBP2, GIMAP4, CYP20A1, RASGRP2, AKT1, HCPS, TPP2, SYNE2, FUT8, NUPL2, MYOM2, RPS8, RNF34, DLST, CTDSP2, EMP3, PLEKHG3, DHX16, RASGRP3, COMMD4, ISG20, POLR2C, SH3GLB2, SASH3, GRAP2, RPS6KB2, FGL2, AKAP7, SDF2L1, FBXO7, MX1, IFIT1, TMEM106C, RANBP10.


In other embodiments in which pairs of RO BaSIRS biomarkers are used to determine a derived biomarker value, one biomarker of a biomarker pair is selected from Group E RO BaSIRS biomarkers and the other is selected from Group F RO BaSIRS biomarkers, wherein an individual Group E RO BaSIRS biomarker is an expression product of a gene selected from the group consisting of: SORT1, GAS7, FLVCR2, TLR5, FCER1G, SLC2A3, S100A12, PSTPIP2, GNS, METTL9, MMP8, MAPK14, CD59, CLEC4E, MICAL1, MCTP1, GAPDH, IMPDH1, ATP8B4, EMR1, SLC12A9, S100P, IFNGR2, PDGFC, CTSA, ALDOA, ITGAX, GSTO1, LHFPL2, LTF, SDHC, TIMP1, LTA4H, USP3, MEGF9, FURIN, ATP6VOA1, PROS1, ATG9A, PLAC8, LAMP1, COQ10B, ST3GAL6, CTSC, ENO1, OBFC1, TAX1BP1, MYL9, HISTiH3C, ZBTB17, CHPT1, SLC25A37, PLEKHM2, LILRB3, YPELS, FTL, SH3BGRL, HOXB6, PPP1R11, CLU, HEBP1, and wherein an individual Group F RO BaSIRS biomarker is an expression product of a gene selected from the group consisting of: OSBPL9, CD44, AKTIP, ATP13A3, ADAM19, KATNA1, STK38, TINF2, RAB9A, INPP1, CNBP, ITGB1, MFSD10.


In specific embodiments, the indicator-determining methods involve determining a first derived biomarker value using a first pair of biomarker values, the first derived biomarker value being indicative of a ratio of concentrations of first and second RO BaSIRS biomarkers, determining a second derived biomarker value using a second pair of biomarker values, the second derived biomarker value being indicative of a ratio of concentrations of third and fourth RO BaSIRS biomarkers, determining a third derived biomarker value using a third pair of biomarker values, the third derived biomarker value being indicative of a ratio of concentrations of fifth and sixth RO BaSIRS biomarkers and determining the indicator by combining the first, second and third derived biomarker values. Thus, in these embodiments, three pairs of derived biomarker values can be used, which can assist in increasing the ability of the indicator to reliably determine the likelihood of a subject having or not having BaSIRS.


The derived biomarker values could be combined using a combining function such as an additive model; a linear model; a support vector machine; a neural network model; a random forest model; a regression model; a genetic algorithm; an annealing algorithm; a weighted sum; a nearest neighbor model; and a probabilistic model. In some embodiments, biomarker values are measured or derived for a Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker and for a Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker, and the indicator is determined by combining the biomarker values. In some embodiments, biomarker values are measured or derived for a Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker and for a Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker, and the indicator is determined by combining the biomarker values. In some embodiments, biomarker values are measured or derived for a Group E RO BaSIRS biomarker and for a Group F RO BaSIRS biomarker, and the indicator is determined by combining the biomarker values. In still other embodiments, biomarker values are measured or derived for a Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker, for a Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker, for a Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker and for a Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker, and the indicator is determined by combining the biomarker values. In still other embodiments, biomarker values are measured or derived for a Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker, for a Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker, for a Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker, for a Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker, for a Group E RO BaSIRS biomarker and for a Group F RO BaSIRS biomarker and the indicator is determined by combining the biomarker values.


In some embodiments, the indicator is compared to an indicator reference, with a likelihood being determined in accordance with results of the comparison. The indicator reference may be derived from indicators determined for a number of individuals in a reference population. The reference population typically includes individuals having different characteristics, such as a plurality of individuals of different sexes; and/or ethnicities, with different groups being defined based on different characteristics, with the subject's indicator being compared to indicator references derived from individuals with similar characteristics. The reference population can also include a plurality of healthy individuals, a plurality of individuals suffering from BaSIRS, a plurality of individuals suffering from a SIRS other than BaSIRS (e.g., ADaSIRS, CANaSIRS, TRAUMaSIRS, ANAPHYLaSIRS, SCHIZaSIRS and VaSIRS), a plurality of individuals showing clinical signs of BaSIRS, a plurality of individuals showing clinical signs of a SIRS other than BaSIRS (e.g., ADaSIRS, CANaSIRS, TRAUMaSIRS, ANAPHYLaSIRS, SCHIZaSIRS and VaSIRS), and/or first and second groups of individuals, each group of individuals suffering from a respective diagnosed SIRS.


The indicator can also be used for determining a likelihood of the subject having a first or second condition, wherein the first condition is BaSIRS and the second condition is a healthy condition or a non-bacterial associated SIRS (e.g., ADaSIRS, CANaSIRS, TRAUMaSIRS, ANAPHYLaSIRS, SCHIZaSIRS and VaSIRS); in other words to distinguish between these conditions. In this case, this would typically be achieved by comparing the indicator to first and second indicator references, the first and second indicator references being indicative of first and second conditions and determining the likelihood in accordance with the results of the comparison. In particular, this can include determining first and second indicator probabilities using the results of the comparisons and combining the first and second indicator probabilities, for example using a Bayes method, to determine a condition probability corresponding to the likelihood of the subject having one of the conditions. In this situation the first and second conditions could include BaSIRS and a SIRS condition other than BaSIRS, or BaSIRS and a healthy condition. In this case, the first and second indicator references are distributions of indicators determined for first and second groups of a reference population, the first and second group consisting of individuals diagnosed with the first or second condition respectively.


In specific embodiments, the indicator-determining methods of the present invention are performed using at least one electronic processing device, such as a suitably programmed computer system or the like. In this case, the electronic processing device typically obtains at least three pairs of measured biomarker values, either by receiving these from a measuring or other quantifying device, or by retrieving these from a database or the like. The processing device then determines a first derived biomarker value indicative of a ratio of concentrations of first and second immune system biomarkers, a second derived biomarker value indicative of a ratio of third and fourth immune system biomarkers, and a third derived biomarker value indicative of a ratio of fifth and sixth immune system biomarkers. The processing device then determines the indicator by combining the first, second and third derived biomarker values.


The processing device can then generate a representation of the indicator, for example by generating an alphanumeric indication of the indicator, a graphical indication of a comparison of the indicator to one or more indicator references or an alphanumeric indication of a likelihood of the subject having at least one medical condition.


The indicator-determining methods of the present invention typically include obtaining a sample from a subject, who typically has at least one clinical sign of SIRS, wherein the sample includes one or more RO BaSIRS biomarkers (e.g., polynucleotide or polypeptide expression products of RO BaSIRS genes) and quantifying at least two (e.g., 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 or more) of the RO BaSIRS biomarkers within the sample to determine biomarker values. This can be achieved using any suitable technique, and will depend on the nature of the RO BaSIRS biomarkers. Suitably, an individual measured or derived RO BaSIRS biomarker value corresponds to the level, abundance or amount of a respective RO BaSIRS biomarker or to a function that is applied to that level or amount. As used herein the terms “level”, “abundance” and “amount” are used interchangeably herein to refer to a quantitative amount (e.g., weight or moles), a semi-quantitative amount, a relative amount (e.g., weight % or mole % within class), a concentration, and the like. Thus, these terms encompass absolute or relative amounts or concentrations of RO BaSIRS biomarkers in a sample. For example, if the indicator in some embodiments of the indicator-determining method of the present invention, which uses a plurality of RO BaSIRS biomarkers, is based on a ratio of concentrations of the polynucleotide expression products, this process would typically include quantifying polynucleotide expression products by amplifying at least some polynucleotide expression products in the sample, determining an amplification amount representing a degree of amplification required to obtain a defined level of each of a pair of polynucleotide expression products and determining the indicator by determining a difference between the amplification amounts. In this regard, the amplification amount is generally a cycle time, a number of cycles, a cycle threshold and an amplification time. In this case, the method includes determining a first derived biomarker value by determining a difference between the amplification amounts of a first pair of polynucleotide expression products, determining a second derived biomarker value by determining a difference between the amplification amounts of a second pair of polynucleotide expression products, determining a third derived biomarker value by determining a difference between the amplification amounts of a third pair of polynucleotide expression products and determining the indicator by adding the first, second and third derived biomarker values.


In some embodiments, the likelihood that BaSIRS is absent in a subject is established by determining two or more RO BaSIRS biomarker values, wherein a RO BaSIRS biomarker value is indicative of a value measured or derived for RO BaSIRS biomarkers in a subject or in a sample taken from the subject. These biomarkers are referred to herein as “sample RO BaSIRS biomarkers”. In accordance with the present invention, a sample RO BaSIRS biomarker corresponds to a reference RO BaSIRS biomarker (also referred to herein as a “corresponding RO BaSIRS biomarker”). By “corresponding RO BaSIRS biomarker” is meant a RO BaSIRS biomarker that is structurally and/or functionally similar to a reference RO BaSIRS biomarker as set forth for example in SEQ ID NOs: 1-179. Representative corresponding RO BaSIRS biomarkers include expression products of allelic variants (same locus), homologues (different locus), and orthologues (different organism) of reference RO BaSIRS biomarker genes. Nucleic acid variants of reference RO BaSIRS biomarker genes and encoded RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotide expression products can contain nucleotide substitutions, deletions, inversions and/or insertions. Variation can occur in either or both the coding and non-coding regions. The variations can produce both conservative and non-conservative amino acid substitutions (as compared in the encoded product). For nucleotide sequences, conservative variants include those sequences that, because of the degeneracy of the genetic code, encode the amino acid sequence of a reference RO BaSIRS polypeptide.


Generally, variants of a particular RO BaSIRS biomarker gene or polynucleotide will have at least about 40%, 45%, 50%, 51%, 52%, 53%, 54%, 55%, 56%, 57%, 58%, 59% 60%, 61%, 62%, 63%, 64%, 65%, 66%, 67%, 68%, 69% 70%, 71%, 72%, 73%, 74%, 75%, 76%, 77%, 78%, 79%, 80%, 81%, 82%, 83%, 84%, 85%, 86%, 87%, 88%, 89%, 90%, 91%, 92%, 93%, 94%, 95%, 96%, 97%, 98%, 99% or more sequence identity to that particular nucleotide sequence as determined by sequence alignment programs known in the art using default parameters. In some embodiments, the RO BaSIRS biomarker gene or polynucleotide displays at least about 40%, 45%, 50%, 51%, 52%, 53%, 54%, 55%, 56%, 57%, 58%, 59% 60%, 61%, 62%, 63%, 64%, 65%, 66%, 67%, 68%, 69% 70%, 71%, 72%, 73%, 74%, 75%, 76%, 77%, 78%, 79%, 80%, 81%, 82%, 83%, 84%, 85%, 86%, 87%, 88%, 89%, 90%, 91%, 92%, 93%, 94%, 95%, 96%, 97%, 98%, 99% or more sequence identity to a nucleotide sequence selected from any one of SEQ ID NO: 1-179.


Corresponding RO BaSIRS biomarkers also include amino acid sequences that display substantial sequence similarity or identity to the amino acid sequence of a reference RO BaSIRS biomarker polypeptide. In general, an amino acid sequence that corresponds to a reference amino acid sequence will display at least about 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 81, 82, 83, 84, 85, 86, 97, 88, 89, 90, 91, 92, 93, 94, 95, 96, 97, 98, 99% or even up to 100% sequence similarity or identity to a reference amino acid sequence selected from any one of SEQ ID NO: 180-358.


In some embodiments, calculations of sequence similarity or sequence identity between sequences are performed as follows:


To determine the percentage identity of two amino acid sequences, or of two nucleic acid sequences, the sequences are aligned for optimal comparison purposes (e.g., gaps can be introduced in one or both of a first and a second amino acid or nucleic acid sequence for optimal alignment and non-homologous sequences can be disregarded for comparison purposes). In some embodiments, the length of a reference sequence aligned for comparison purposes is at least 30%, usually at least 40%, more usually at least 50%, 60%, and even more usually at least 70%, 80%, 90%, 100% of the length of the reference sequence. The amino acid residues or nucleotides at corresponding amino acid positions or nucleotide positions are then compared. When a position in the first sequence is occupied by the same amino acid residue or nucleotide at the corresponding position in the second sequence, then the molecules are identical at that position. For amino acid sequence comparison, when a position in the first sequence is occupied by the same or similar amino acid residue (i.e., conservative substitution) at the corresponding position in the second sequence, then the molecules are similar at that position.


The percentage identity between the two sequences is a function of the number of identical amino acid residues shared by the sequences at individual positions, taking into account the number of gaps, and the length of each gap, which need to be introduced for optimal alignment of the two sequences. By contrast, the percentage similarity between the two sequences is a function of the number of identical and similar amino acid residues shared by the sequences at individual positions, taking into account the number of gaps, and the length of each gap, which need to be introduced for optimal alignment of the two sequences.


The comparison of sequences and determination of percentage identity or percentage similarity between sequences can be accomplished using a mathematical algorithm. In certain embodiments, the percentage identity or similarity between amino acid sequences is determined using the Needleman and Wunsch, (1970, J. Mol. Biol. 48: 444-453) algorithm which has been incorporated into the GAP program in the GCG software package (available at http://www.gcg.com), using either a Blossum 62 matrix or a PAM250 matrix, and a gap weight of 16, 14, 12, 10, 8, 6, or 4 and a length weight of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6. In specific embodiments, the percent identity between nucleotide sequences is determined using the GAP program in the GCG software package (available at http://www.gcg.com), using a NWSgapdna.CMP matrix and a gap weight of 40, 50, 60, 70, or 80 and a length weight of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6. An non-limiting set of parameters (and the one that should be used unless otherwise specified) includes a Blossum 62 scoring matrix with a gap penalty of 12, a gap extend penalty of 4, and a frameshift gap penalty of 5.


In some embodiments, the percentage identity or similarity between amino acid or nucleotide sequences can be determined using the algorithm of E. Meyers and W. Miller (1989, Cabios, 4: 11-17) which has been incorporated into the ALIGN program (version 2.0), using a PAM120 weight residue table, a gap length penalty of 12 and a gap penalty of 4.


The nucleic acid and protein sequences described herein can be used as a “query sequence” to perform a search against public databases to, for example, identify other family members or related sequences. Such searches can be performed using the NBLAST and XBLAST programs (version 2.0) of Altschul, et al., (1990, J Mol Biol., 215: 403-10). BLAST nucleotide searches can be performed with the NBLAST program, score=100, wordlength=12 to obtain nucleotide sequences homologous to 53010 nucleic acid molecules of the invention. BLAST protein searches can be performed with the XBLAST program, score=50, wordlength=3 to obtain amino acid sequences homologous to protein molecules of the invention. To obtain gapped alignments for comparison purposes, Gapped BLAST can be utilized as described in Altschul et al., (1997, Nucleic Acids Res, 25: 3389-3402). When utilizing BLAST and Gapped BLAST programs, the default parameters of the respective programs (e.g., XBLAST and NBLAST) can be used.


Corresponding RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotides also include nucleic acid sequences that hybridize to reference RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotides, or to their complements, under stringency conditions described below. As used herein, the term “hybridizes under low stringency, medium stringency, high stringency, or very high stringency conditions” describes conditions for hybridization and washing. “Hybridization” is used herein to denote the pairing of complementary nucleotide sequences to produce a DNA-DNA hybrid or a DNA-RNA hybrid. Complementary base sequences are those sequences that are related by the base-pairing rules. In DNA, A pairs with T and C pairs with G. In RNA, U pairs with A and C pairs with G. In this regard, the terms “match” and “mismatch” as used herein refer to the hybridization potential of paired nucleotides in complementary nucleic acid strands. Matched nucleotides hybridize efficiently, such as the classical A-T and G-C base pair mentioned above. Mismatches are other combinations of nucleotides that do not hybridize efficiently.


Guidance for performing hybridization reactions can be found in Ausubel et al., (“CURRENT PROTOCOLS IN MOLECULAR BIOLOGY”, John Wiley & Sons Inc., 1994-1998), Sections 6.3.1-6.3.6. Aqueous and non-aqueous methods are described in that reference and either can be used. Reference herein to low stringency conditions include and encompass from at least about 1% v/v to at least about 15% v/v formamide and from at least about 1 M to at least about 2 M salt for hybridization at 42° C., and at least about 1 M to at least about 2 M salt for washing at 42° C. Low stringency conditions also may include 1% Bovine Serum Albumin (BSA), 1 mM EDTA, 0.5 M NaHPO4 (pH 7.2), 7% SDS for hybridization at 65° C., and (i) 2×SSC, 0.1% SDS; or (ii) 0.5% BSA, 1 mM EDTA, 40 mM NaHPO4 (pH 7.2), 5% SDS for washing at room temperature. One embodiment of low stringency conditions includes hybridization in 6×sodium chloride/sodium citrate (SSC) at about 450 C, followed by two washes in 0.2×SSC, 0.1% SDS at least at 50° C. (the temperature of the washes can be increased to 55° C. for low stringency conditions). Medium stringency conditions include and encompass from at least about 16% v/v to at least about 30% v/v formamide and from at least about 0.5 M to at least about 0.9 M salt for hybridization at 42° C., and at least about 0.1 M to at least about 0.2 M salt for washing at 55° C. Medium stringency conditions also may include 1% Bovine Serum Albumin (BSA), 1 mM EDTA, 0.5 M NaHPO4 (pH 7.2), 7% SDS for hybridization at 65° C., and (i) 2×SSC, 0.1% SDS; or (ii) 0.5% BSA, 1 mM EDTA, 40 mM NaHPO4 (pH 7.2), 5% SDS for washing at 60-65° C. One embodiment of medium stringency conditions includes hybridizing in 6×SSC at about 450 C, followed by one or more washes in 0.2×SSC, 0.1% SDS at 60° C. High stringency conditions include and encompass from at least about 31% v/v to at least about 50% v/v formamide and from about 0.01 M to about 0.15 M salt for hybridization at 42° C., and about 0.01 M to about 0.02 M salt for washing at 55° C. High stringency conditions also may include 1% BSA, 1 mM EDTA, 0.5 M NaHPO4 (pH 7.2), 7% SDS for hybridization at 65° C., and (i) 0.2×SSC, 0.1% SDS; or (ii) 0.5% BSA, 1 mM EDTA, 40 mM NaHPO4 (pH 7.2), 1% SDS for washing at a temperature in excess of 65° C. One embodiment of high stringency conditions includes hybridizing in 6×SSC at about 450 C, followed by one or more washes in 0.2×SSC, 0.1% SDS at 65° C.


In certain embodiments, a corresponding RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotide is one that hybridizes to a disclosed nucleotide sequence under very high stringency conditions. One embodiment of very high stringency conditions includes hybridizing 0.5 M sodium phosphate, 7% SDS at 650 C, followed by one or more washes at 0.2×SSC, 1% SDS at 65° C.


Other stringency conditions are well known in the art and a skilled addressee will recognize that various factors can be manipulated to optimize the specificity of the hybridization. Optimization of the stringency of the final washes can serve to ensure a high degree of hybridization. For detailed examples, see Ausubel et al., supra at pages 2.10.1 to 2.10.16 and Sambrook et al. (MOLECULAR CLONING. A LABORATORY MANUAL, Cold Spring Harbor Press, 1989) at sections 1.101 to 1.104.


Generally, a sample is processed prior to RO BaSIRS biomarker detection or quantification. For example, nucleic acid and/or proteins may be extracted, isolated, and/or purified from a sample prior to analysis. Various DNA, mRNA, and/or protein extraction techniques are well known to those skilled in the art. Processing may include centrifugation, ultracentrifugation, ethanol precipitation, filtration, fractionation, resuspension, dilution, concentration, etc. In some embodiments, methods and systems provide analysis (e.g., quantification of RNA or protein biomarkers) from raw sample (e.g., biological fluid such as blood, serum, etc.) without or with limited processing.


Methods may comprise steps of homogenizing a sample in a suitable buffer, removal of contaminants and/or assay inhibitors, adding a RO BaSIRS biomarker capture reagent (e.g., a magnetic bead to which is linked an oligonucleotide complementary to a target RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotide), incubated under conditions that promote the association (e.g., by hybridization) of the target biomarker with the capture reagent to produce a target biomarker:capture reagent complex, incubating the target biomarker:capture complex under target biomarker-release conditions. In some embodiments, multiple RO BaSIRS biomarkers are isolated in each round of isolation by adding multiple RO BaSIRS biomarker capture reagents (e.g., specific to the desired biomarkers) to the solution. For example, multiple RO BaSIRS biomarker capture reagents, each comprising an oligonucleotide specific for a different target RO BaSIRS biomarker can be added to the sample for isolation of multiple RO BaSIRS biomarker. It is contemplated that the methods encompass multiple experimental designs that vary both in the number of capture steps and in the number of target RO BaSIRS biomarker captured in each capture step. In some embodiments, capture reagents are molecules, moieties, substances, or compositions that preferentially (e.g., specifically and selectively) interact with a particular biomarker sought to be isolated, purified, detected, and/or quantified. Any capture reagent having desired binding affinity and/or specificity to the particular RO BaSIRS biomarker can be used in the present technology. For example, the capture reagent can be a macromolecule such as a peptide, a protein (e.g., an antibody or receptor), an oligonucleotide, a nucleic acid, (e.g., nucleic acids capable of hybridizing with the RO BaSIRS biomarkers), vitamins, oligosaccharides, carbohydrates, lipids, or small molecules, or a complex thereof. As illustrative and non-limiting examples, an avidin target capture reagent may be used to isolate and purify targets comprising a biotin moiety, an antibody may be used to isolate and purify targets comprising the appropriate antigen or epitope, and an oligonucleotide may be used to isolate and purify a complementary oligonucleotide.


Any nucleic acids, including single-stranded and double-stranded nucleic acids, that are capable of binding, or specifically binding, to a target RO BaSIRS biomarker can be used as the capture reagent. Examples of such nucleic acids include DNA, RNA, aptamers, peptide nucleic acids, and other modifications to the sugar, phosphate, or nucleoside base. Thus, there are many strategies for capturing a target and accordingly many types of capture reagents are known to those in the art.


In addition, RO BaSIRS biomarker capture reagents may comprise a functionality to localize, concentrate, aggregate, etc. the capture reagent and thus provide a way to isolate and purify the target RO BaSIRS biomarker when captured (e.g., bound, hybridized, etc.) to the capture reagent (e.g., when a target:capture reagent complex is formed). For example, in some embodiments the portion of the capture reagent that interacts with the RO BaSIRS biomarker (e.g., an oligonucleotide) is linked to a solid support (e.g., a bead, surface, resin, column, and the like) that allows manipulation by the user on a macroscopic scale. Often, the solid support allows the use of a mechanical means to isolate and purify the target:capture reagent complex from a heterogeneous solution. For example, when linked to a bead, separation is achieved by removing the bead from the heterogeneous solution, e.g., by physical movement. In embodiments in which the bead is magnetic or paramagnetic, a magnetic field is used to achieve physical separation of the capture reagent (and thus the target RO BaSIRS biomarker) from the heterogeneous solution.


The RO BaSIRS biomarkers may be quantified or detected using any suitable technique. In specific embodiments, the RO BaSIRS biomarkers are quantified using reagents that determine the level, abundance or amount of individual RO BaSIRS biomarkers. Non-limiting reagents of this type include reagents for use in nucleic acid- and protein-based assays.


In illustrative nucleic acid-based assays, nucleic acid is isolated from cells contained in the biological sample according to standard methodologies (Sambrook, et al., 1989, supra; and Ausubel et al., 1994, supra). The nucleic acid is typically fractionated (e.g., poly A+ RNA) or whole cell RNA. Where RNA is used as the subject of detection, it may be desired to convert the RNA to a complementary DNA. In some embodiments, the nucleic acid is amplified by a template-dependent nucleic acid amplification technique. A number of template dependent processes are available to amplify the RO BaSIRS biomarker sequences present in a given template sample. An exemplary nucleic acid amplification technique is PCR, which is described in detail in U.S. Pat. Nos. 4,683,195, 4,683,202 and 4,800,159, Ausubel et al. (supra), and in Innis et al., (“PCR Protocols”, Academic Press, Inc., San Diego Calif., 1990). Briefly, in PCR, two primer sequences are prepared that are complementary to regions on opposite complementary strands of the biomarker sequence. An excess of deoxynucleotide triphosphates are added to a reaction mixture along with a DNA polymerase, e.g., Taq polymerase. If a cognate RO BaSIRS biomarker sequence is present in a sample, the primers will bind to the biomarker and the polymerase will cause the primers to be extended along the biomarker sequence by adding on nucleotides. By raising and lowering the temperature of the reaction mixture, the extended primers will dissociate from the biomarker to form reaction products, excess primers will bind to the biomarker and to the reaction products and the process is repeated. A reverse transcriptase PCR amplification procedure may be performed in order to quantify the amount of mRNA amplified. Methods of reverse transcribing RNA into cDNA are well known and described in Sambrook et al., 1989, supra. Alternative methods for reverse transcription utilize thermostable, RNA-dependent DNA polymerases. These methods are described in WO 90/07641. Polymerase chain reaction methodologies are well known in the art. In specific embodiments in which whole cell RNA is used, cDNA synthesis using whole cell RNA as a sample produces whole cell cDNA.


In certain advantageous embodiments, the template-dependent amplification involves quantification of transcripts in real-time. For example, RNA or DNA may be quantified using the Real-Time PCR (RT-PCR) technique (Higuchi, 1992, et al., Biotechnology 10: 413-417). By determining the concentration of the amplified products of the target DNA in PCR reactions that have completed the same number of cycles and are in their linear ranges, it is possible to determine the relative concentrations of the specific target sequence in the original DNA mixture. If the DNA mixtures are cDNAs synthesized from RNAs isolated from different tissues or cells, the relative abundance of the specific mRNA from which the target sequence was derived can be determined for the respective tissues or cells. This direct proportionality between the concentration of the PCR products and the relative mRNA abundance is only true in the linear range of the PCR reaction. The final concentration of the target DNA in the plateau portion of the curve is determined by the availability of reagents in the reaction mix and is independent of the original concentration of target DNA. In specific embodiments, multiplexed, tandem PCR (MT-PCR) is employed, which uses a two-step process for gene expression profiling from small quantities of RNA or DNA, as described for example in US Pat. Appl. Pub. No. 20070190540. In the first step, RNA is converted into cDNA and amplified using multiplexed gene specific primers. In the second step each individual gene is quantitated by RT-PCR. Real-time PCR is typically performed using any PCR instrumentation available in the art. Typically, instrumentation used in real-time PCR data collection and analysis comprises a thermal cycler, optics for fluorescence excitation and emission collection, and optionally a computer and data acquisition and analysis software.


In some embodiments of RT-PCR assays, a TaqMan® probe is used for quantitating nucleic acid. Such assays may use energy transfer (“ET”), such as fluorescence resonance energy transfer (“FRET”), to detect and quantitate the synthesized PCR product. Typically, the TaqMan® probe comprises a fluorescent label (e.g., a fluorescent dye) coupled to one end (e.g., the 5′-end) and a quencher molecule is coupled to the other end (e.g., the 3′-end), such that the fluorescent label and the quencher are in close proximity, allowing the quencher to suppress the fluorescence signal of the dye via FRET. When a polymerase replicates the chimeric amplicon template to which the fluorescent labeled probe is bound, the 5′-nuclease of the polymerase cleaves the probe, decoupling the fluorescent label and the quencher so that label signal (such as fluorescence) is detected. Signal (such as fluorescence) increases with each PCR cycle proportionally to the amount of probe that is cleaved.


TaqMan® probes typically comprise a region of contiguous nucleotides having a sequence that is identically present in or complementary to a region of a RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotide such that the probe is specifically hybridizable to the resulting PCR amplicon. In some embodiments, the probe comprises a region of at least 6 contiguous nucleotides having a sequence that is fully complementary to or identically present in a region of a target RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotide, such as comprising a region of at least 8 contiguous nucleotides, at least 10 contiguous nucleotides, at least 12 contiguous nucleotides, at least 14 contiguous nucleotides, or at least 16 contiguous nucleotides having a sequence that is complementary to or identically present in a region of a target RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotide to be detected and/or quantitated.


In addition to the TaqMan® assays, other real-time PCR chemistries useful for detecting PCR products in the methods presented herein include, but are not limited to, Molecular Beacons, Scorpion probes and intercalating dyes, such as SYBR Green, EvaGreen, thiazole orange, YO-PRO, TO-PRO, etc. For example, Molecular Beacons, like TaqMan® probes, use FRET to detect and quantitate a PCR product via a probe having a fluorescent label (e.g., a fluorescent dye) and a quencher attached at the ends of the probe. Unlike TaqMan® probes, however, Molecular Beacons remain intact during the PCR cycles. Molecular Beacon probes form a stem-loop structure when free in solution, thereby allowing the fluorescent label and quencher to be in close enough proximity to cause fluorescence quenching. When the Molecular Beacon hybridizes to a target, the stem-loop structure is abolished so that the fluorescent label and the quencher become separated in space and the fluorescent label fluoresces. Molecular Beacons are available, e.g., from Gene Link™ (see www.genelink.com/newsite/products/mbintro.asp).


In some embodiments, Scorpion probes can be used as both sequence-specific primers and for PCR product detection and quantitation. Like Molecular Beacons, Scorpion probes form a stem-loop structure when not hybridized to a target nucleic acid. However, unlike Molecular Beacons, a Scorpion probe achieves both sequence-specific priming and PCR product detection. A fluorescent label (e.g., a fluorescent dye molecule) is attached to the 5′-end of the Scorpion probe, and a quencher is attached to the 3′-end. The 3′ portion of the probe is complementary to the extension product of the PCR primer, and this complementary portion is linked to the 5′-end of the probe by a non-amplifiable moiety. After the Scorpion primer is extended, the target-specific sequence of the probe binds to its complement within the extended amplicon, thus opening up the stem-loop structure and allowing the fluorescent label on the 5′-end to fluoresce and generate a signal. Scorpion probes are available from, e.g., Premier Biosoft International (see www.premierbiosoft.com/tech_notes/Scorpion.html).


In some embodiments, labels that can be used on the FRET probes include colorimetric and fluorescent dyes such as Alexa Fluor dyes, BODIPY dyes, such as BODIPY FL; Cascade Blue; Cascade Yellow; coumarin and its derivatives, such as 7-amino-4-methylcoumarin, aminocoumarin and hydroxycoumarin; cyanine dyes, such as Cy3 and Cy5; eosins and erythrosins; fluorescein and its derivatives, such as fluorescein isothiocyanate; macrocyclic chelates of lanthanide ions, such as Quantum Dye™; Marina Blue; Oregon Green; rhodamine dyes, such as rhodamine red, tetramethylrhodamine and rhodamine 6G; Texas Red; fluorescent energy transfer dyes, such as thiazole orange-ethidium heterodimer; and, TOTAB.


Specific examples of dyes include, but are not limited to, those identified above and the following: Alexa Fluor 350, Alexa Fluor 405, Alexa Fluor 430, Alexa Fluor 488, Alexa Fluor 500. Alexa Fluor 514, Alexa Fluor 532, Alexa Fluor 546, Alexa Fluor 555, Alexa Fluor 568, Alexa Fluor 594, Alexa Fluor 610, Alexa Fluor 633, Alexa Fluor 647, Alexa Fluor 660, Alexa Fluor 680, Alexa Fluor 700, and, Alexa Fluor 750; amine-reactive BODIPY dyes, such as BODIPY 493/503, BODIPY 530/550, BODIPY 558/568, BODIPY 564/570, BODIPY 576/589, BODIPY 581/591, BODIPY 630/650, BODIPY 650/655, BODIPY FL, BODIPY R6G, BODIPY TMR, and, BODIPY-TR; Cy3, Cy5, 6-FAM, Fluorescein Isothiocyanate, HEX, 6-JOE, Oregon Green 488, Oregon Green 500, Oregon Green 514, Pacific Blue, REG, Rhodamine Green, Rhodamine Red, Renographin, ROX, SYPRO, TAMRA, 2′,4′,5′,7′-Tetrabromosulfonefluorescein, and TET.


Examples of dye/quencher pairs (i.e., donor/acceptor pairs) include, but are not limited to, fluorescein/tetramethylrhodamine; IAEDANS/fluorescein; EDANS/dabcyl; fluorescein/fluorescein; BODIPY FL/BODIPY FL; fluorescein/QSY 7 or QSY 9 dyes. When the donor and acceptor are the same, FRET may be detected, in some embodiments, by fluorescence depolarization. Certain specific examples of dye/quencher pairs (i.e., donor/acceptor pairs) include, but are not limited to, Alexa Fluor 350/Alexa Fluor488; Alexa Fluor 488/Alexa Fluor 546; Alexa Fluor 488/Alexa Fluor 555; Alexa Fluor 488/Alexa Fluor 568; Alexa Fluor 488/Alexa Fluor 594; Alexa Fluor 488/Alexa Fluor 647; Alexa Fluor 546/Alexa Fluor 568; Alexa Fluor 546/Alexa Fluor 594; Alexa Fluor 546/Alexa Fluor 647; Alexa Fluor 555/Alexa Fluor 594; Alexa Fluor 555/Alexa Fluor 647; Alexa Fluor 568/Alexa Fluor 647; Alexa Fluor 594/Alexa Fluor 647; Alexa Fluor 350/QSY35; Alexa Fluor 350/dabcyl; Alexa Fluor 488/QSY 35; Alexa Fluor 488/dabcyl; Alexa Fluor 488/QSY 7 or QSY 9; Alexa Fluor 555/QSY 7 or QSY9; Alexa Fluor 568/QSY 7 or QSY 9; Alexa Fluor 568/QSY 21; Alexa Fluor 594/QSY 21; and Alexa Fluor 647/QSY 21. In some embodiments, the same quencher may be used for multiple dyes, for example, a broad spectrum quencher, such as an Iowa Black® quencher (Integrated DNA Technologies, Coralville, Iowa) or a Black Hole Quencher™ (BHQ™; Sigma-Aldrich, St. Louis, Mo.).


In some embodiments, for example, in a multiplex reaction in which two or more moieties (such as amplicons) are detected simultaneously, each probe comprises a detectably different dye such that the dyes may be distinguished when detected simultaneously in the same reaction. One skilled in the art can select a set of detectably different dyes for use in a multiplex reaction. In some embodiments, multiple target RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotides are detected and/or quantitated in a single multiplex reaction. In some embodiments, each probe that is targeted to a different RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotide is spectrally distinguishable when released from the probe. Thus, each target RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotide is detected by a unique fluorescence signal.


Specific examples of fluorescently labeled ribonucleotides useful in the preparation of real-time PCR probes for use in some embodiments of the methods described herein are available from Molecular Probes (Invitrogen), and these include, Alexa Fluor 488-5-UTP, Fluorescein-12-UTP, BODIPY FL-14-UTP, BODIPY TMR-14-UTP, Tetramethylrhodamine-6-UTP, Alexa Fluor 546-14-UTP, Texas Red-5-UTP, and BODIPY TR-14-UTP. Other fluorescent ribonucleotides are available from Amersham Biosciences (GE Healthcare), such as Cy3-UTP and Cy5-UTP.


Examples of fluorescently labeled deoxyribonucleotides useful in the preparation of real-time PCR probes for use in the methods described herein include Dinitrophenyl (DNP)-1′-dUTP, Cascade Blue-7-dUTP, Alexa Fluor 488-5-dUTP, Fluorescein-12-dUTP, Oregon Green 488-5-dUTP, BODIPY FL-14-dUTP, Rhodamine Green-5-dUTP, Alexa Fluor 532-5-dUTP, BODIPYTMR-14-dUTP, Tetramethylrhodamine-6-dUTP, Alexa Fluor 546-14-dUTP, Alexa Fluor 568-5-dUTP, Texas Red-12-dUTP, Texas Red-5-dUTP, BODIPY TR-14-dUTP, Alexa Fluor 594-5-dUTP, BODIPY 630/650-14-dUTP, BODIPY 650/665-14-dUTP; Alexa Fluor 488-7-OBEA-dCTP, Alexa Fluor 546-16-OBEA-dCTP, Alexa Fluor 594-7-OBEA-dCTP, Alexa Fluor 647-12-OBEA-dCTP. Fluorescently labeled nucleotides are commercially available and can be purchased from, e.g., Invitrogen.


In certain embodiments, target nucleic acids are quantified using blotting techniques, which are well known to those of skill in the art. Southern blotting involves the use of DNA as a target, whereas Northern blotting involves the use of RNA as a target. Each provides different types of information, although cDNA blotting is analogous, in many aspects, to blotting or RNA species. Briefly, a probe is used to target a DNA or RNA species that has been immobilized on a suitable matrix, often a filter of nitrocellulose. The different species should be spatially separated to facilitate analysis. This often is accomplished by gel electrophoresis of nucleic acid species followed by “blotting” on to the filter. Subsequently, the blotted target is incubated with a probe (usually labeled) under conditions that promote denaturation and rehybridization. Because the probe is designed to base pair with the target, the probe will bind a portion of the target sequence under renaturing conditions. Unbound probe is then removed, and detection is accomplished as described above. Following detection/quantification, one may compare the results seen in a given subject with a control reaction or a statistically significant reference group or population of control subjects as defined herein. In this way, it is possible to correlate the amount of RO BaSIRS biomarker nucleic acid detected with the progression or severity of the disease.


Also contemplated are biochip-based technologies such as those described by Hacia et al. (1996, Nature Genetics 14: 441-447) and Shoemaker et al. (1996, Nature Genetics 14: 450-456). Briefly, these techniques involve quantitative methods for analyzing large numbers of genes rapidly and accurately. By tagging genes with oligonucleotides or using fixed nucleic acid probe arrays, one can employ biochip technology to segregate target molecules as high-density arrays and screen these molecules on the basis of hybridization. See also Pease et al. (1994, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 91: 5022-5026); Fodor et al. (1991, Science 251: 767-773). Briefly, nucleic acid probes to RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotides are made and attached to biochips to be used in screening and diagnostic methods, as outlined herein. The nucleic acid probes attached to the biochip are designed to be substantially complementary to specific expressed RO BaSIRS biomarker nucleic acids, i.e., the target sequence (either the target sequence of the sample or to other probe sequences, for example in sandwich assays), such that hybridization of the target sequence and the probes of the present invention occur. This complementarity need not be perfect; there may be any number of base pair mismatches, which will interfere with hybridization between the target sequence and the nucleic acid probes of the present invention. However, if the number of mismatches is so great that no hybridization can occur under even the least stringent of hybridization conditions, the sequence is not a complementary target sequence. In certain embodiments, more than one probe per sequence is used, with either overlapping probes or probes to different sections of the target being used. That is, two, three, four or more probes, with three being desirable, are used to build in a redundancy for a particular target. The probes can be overlapping (i.e. have some sequence in common), or separate.


In an illustrative biochip analysis, oligonucleotide probes on the biochip are exposed to or contacted with a nucleic acid sample suspected of containing one or more RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotides under conditions favoring specific hybridization. Sample extracts of DNA or RNA, either single or double-stranded, may be prepared from fluid suspensions of biological materials, or by grinding biological materials, or following a cell lysis step which includes, but is not limited to, lysis effected by treatment with SDS (or other detergents), osmotic shock, guanidinium isothiocyanate and lysozyme. Suitable DNA, which may be used in the method of the invention, includes cDNA. Such DNA may be prepared by any one of a number of commonly used protocols as for example described in Ausubel, et al., 1994, supra, and Sambrook, et al., 1989, supra.


Suitable RNA, which may be used in the method of the invention, includes messenger RNA, complementary RNA transcribed from DNA (cRNA) or genomic or subgenomic RNA. Such RNA may be prepared using standard protocols as for example described in the relevant sections of Ausubel, et al. 1994, supra and Sambrook, et al. 1989, supra).


cDNA may be fragmented, for example, by sonication or by treatment with restriction endonucleases. Suitably, cDNA is fragmented such that resultant DNA fragments are of a length greater than the length of the immobilized oligonucleotide probe(s) but small enough to allow rapid access thereto under suitable hybridization conditions. Alternatively, fragments of cDNA may be selected and amplified using a suitable nucleotide amplification technique, as described for example above, involving appropriate random or specific primers.


Usually the target RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotides are detectably labeled so that their hybridization to individual probes can be determined. The target polynucleotides are typically detectably labeled with a reporter molecule illustrative examples of which include chromogens, catalysts, enzymes, fluorochromes, chemiluminescent molecules, bioluminescent molecules, lanthanide ions (e.g., Eu34), a radioisotope and a direct visual label. In the case of a direct visual label, use may be made of a colloidal metallic or non-metallic particle, a dye particle, an enzyme or a substrate, an organic polymer, a latex particle, a liposome, or other vesicle containing a signal producing substance and the like. Illustrative labels of this type include large colloids, for example, metal colloids such as those from gold, selenium, silver, tin and titanium oxide. In some embodiments in which an enzyme is used as a direct visual label, biotinylated bases are incorporated into a target polynucleotide.


The hybrid-forming step can be performed under suitable conditions for hybridizing oligonucleotide probes to test nucleic acid including DNA or RNA. In this regard, reference may be made, for example, to NUCLEIC ACID HYBRIDIZATION, A PRACTICAL APPROACH (Homes and Higgins, eds.) (IRL press, Washington D.C., 1985). In general, whether hybridization takes place is influenced by the length of the oligonucleotide probe and the polynucleotide sequence under test, the pH, the temperature, the concentration of mono- and divalent cations, the proportion of G and C nucleotides in the hybrid-forming region, the viscosity of the medium and the possible presence of denaturants. Such variables also influence the time required for hybridization. The preferred conditions will therefore depend upon the particular application. Such empirical conditions, however, can be routinely determined without undue experimentation.


After the hybrid-forming step, the probes are washed to remove any unbound nucleic acid with a hybridization buffer. This washing step leaves only bound target polynucleotides. The probes are then examined to identify which probes have hybridized to a target polynucleotide.


The hybridization reactions are then detected to determine which of the probes has hybridized to a corresponding target sequence. Depending on the nature of the reporter molecule associated with a target polynucleotide, a signal may be instrumentally detected by irradiating a fluorescent label with light and detecting fluorescence in a fluorimeter; by providing for an enzyme system to produce a dye which could be detected using a spectrophotometer; or detection of a dye particle or a colored colloidal metallic or non-metallic particle using a reflectometer; in the case of using a radioactive label or chemiluminescent molecule employing a radiation counter or autoradiography. Accordingly, a detection means may be adapted to detect or scan light associated with the label which light may include fluorescent, luminescent, focused beam or laser light. In such a case, a charge couple device (CCD) or a photocell can be used to scan for emission of light from a probe:target polynucleotide hybrid from each location in the micro-array and record the data directly in a digital computer. In some cases, electronic detection of the signal may not be necessary. For example, with enzymatically generated color spots associated with nucleic acid array format, visual examination of the array will allow interpretation of the pattern on the array. In the case of a nucleic acid array, the detection means is suitably interfaced with pattern recognition software to convert the pattern of signals from the array into a plain language genetic profile. In certain embodiments, oligonucleotide probes specific for different RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotides are in the form of a nucleic acid array and detection of a signal generated from a reporter molecule on the array is performed using a ‘chip reader’. A detection system that can be used by a ‘chip reader’ is described for example by Pirrung et al. (U.S. Pat. No. 5,143,854). The chip reader will typically also incorporate some signal processing to determine whether the signal at a particular array position or feature is a true positive or maybe a spurious signal. Exemplary chip readers are described for example by Fodor et al. (U.S. Pat. No. 5,925,525). Alternatively, when the array is made using a mixture of individually addressable kinds of labeled microbeads, the reaction may be detected using flow cytometry.


In certain embodiments, the RO BaSIRS biomarker is a target RNA (e.g., mRNA) or a DNA copy of the target RNA whose level or abundance is measured using at least one nucleic acid probe that hybridizes under at least low, medium, or high stringency conditions to the target RNA or to the DNA copy, wherein the nucleic acid probe comprises at least 15 (e.g., 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, or more) contiguous nucleotides of RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotide. In some embodiments, the measured level or abundance of the target RNA or its DNA copy is normalized to the level or abundance of a reference RNA or a DNA copy of the reference RNA. Suitably, the nucleic acid probe is immobilized on a solid or semi-solid support. In illustrative examples of this type, the nucleic acid probe forms part of a spatial array of nucleic acid probes. In some embodiments, the level of nucleic acid probe that is bound to the target RNA or to the DNA copy is measured by hybridization (e.g., using a nucleic acid array). In other embodiments, the level of nucleic acid probe that is bound to the target RNA or to the DNA copy is measured by nucleic acid amplification (e.g., using a polymerase chain reaction (PCR)). In still other embodiments, the level of nucleic acid probe that is bound to the target RNA or to the DNA copy is measured by nuclease protection assay.


Sequencing technologies such as Sanger sequencing, pyrosequencing, sequencing by ligation, massively parallel sequencing, also called “Next-generation sequencing” (NGS), and other high-throughput sequencing approaches with or without sequence amplification of the target can also be used to detect or quantify the presence of RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotides in a sample. Sequence-based methods can provide further information regarding alternative splicing and sequence variation in previously identified genes. Sequencing technologies include a number of steps that are grouped broadly as template preparation, sequencing, detection and data analysis. Current methods for template preparation involve randomly breaking genomic DNA into smaller sizes from which each fragment is immobilized to a support. The immobilization of spatially separated fragment allows thousands to billions of sequencing reaction to be performed simultaneously. A sequencing step may use any of a variety of methods that are commonly known in the art. One specific example of a sequencing step uses the addition of nucleotides to the complementary strand to provide the DNA sequence. The detection steps range from measuring bioluminescent signal of a synthesized fragment to four-color imaging of single molecule. In some embodiments in which NGS is used to detect or quantify the presence of RO BaSIRS nucleic acid biomarker in a sample, the methods are suitably selected from semiconductor sequencing (Ion Torrent; Personal Genome Machine); Helicos True Single Molecule Sequencing (tSMS) (Harris et al. 2008, Science 320:106-109); 454 sequencing (Roche) (Margulies et al. 2005, Nature, 437, 376-380); SOLiD technology (Applied Biosystems); SOLEXA sequencing (Illumina); single molecule, real-time (SMRT™) technology of Pacific Biosciences; nanopore sequencing (Soni and Meller, 2007. Clin Chem 53: 1996-2001); DNA nanoball sequencing; sequencing using technology from Dover Systems (Polonator), and technologies that do not require amplification or otherwise transform native DNA prior to sequencing (e.g., Pacific Biosciences and Helicos), such as nanopore-based strategies (e.g., Oxford Nanopore, Genia Technologies, and Nabsys).


In other embodiments, RO BaSIRS biomarker protein levels are assayed using protein-based assays known in the art. For example, when RO BaSIRS biomarker protein is an enzyme, the protein can be quantified based upon its catalytic activity or based upon the number of molecules of the protein contained in a sample. Antibody-based techniques may be employed including, for example, immunoassays, such as the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and the radioimmunoassay (RIA).


In specific embodiments, protein-capture arrays that permit simultaneous detection and/or quantification of a large number of proteins are employed. For example, low-density protein arrays on filter membranes, such as the universal protein array system (Ge, 2000 Nucleic Acids Res. 28(2):e3) allow imaging of arrayed antigens using standard ELISA techniques and a scanning charge-coupled device (CCD) detector. Immuno-sensor arrays have also been developed that enable the simultaneous detection of clinical analytes. It is now possible using protein arrays, to profile protein expression in bodily fluids, such as in sera of healthy or diseased subjects, as well as in subjects pre- and post-drug treatment.


Exemplary protein capture arrays include arrays comprising spatially addressed antigen-binding molecules, commonly referred to as antibody arrays, which can facilitate extensive parallel analysis of numerous proteins defining a proteome or subproteome. Antibody arrays have been shown to have the required properties of specificity and acceptable background, and some are available commercially (e.g., BD Biosciences, Clontech, Bio-Rad and Sigma). Various methods for the preparation of antibody arrays have been reported (see, e.g., Lopez et al., 2003 J. Chromatogram. B 787:19-27; Cahill, 2000 Trends in Biotechnology 7:47-51; U.S. Pat. App. Pub. 2002/0055186; U.S. Pat. App. Pub. 2003/0003599; PCT publication WO 03/062444; PCT publication WO 03/077851; PCT publication WO 02/59601; PCT publication WO 02/39120; PCT publication WO 01/79849; PCT publication WO 99/39210). The antigen-binding molecules of such arrays may recognize at least a subset of proteins expressed by a cell or population of cells, illustrative examples of which include growth factor receptors, hormone receptors, neurotransmitter receptors, catecholamine receptors, amino acid derivative receptors, cytokine receptors, extracellular matrix receptors, antibodies, lectins, cytokines, serpins, proteases, kinases, phosphatases, ras-like GTPases, hydrolases, steroid hormone receptors, transcription factors, heat-shock transcription factors, DNA-binding proteins, zinc-finger proteins, leucine-zipper proteins, homeodomain proteins, intracellular signal transduction modulators and effectors, apoptosis-related factors, DNA synthesis factors, DNA repair factors, DNA recombination factors and cell-surface antigens.


Individual spatially distinct protein-capture agents are typically attached to a support surface, which is generally planar or contoured. Common physical supports include glass slides, silicon, microwells, nitrocellulose or PVDF membranes, and magnetic and other microbeads.


Particles in suspension can also be used as the basis of arrays, providing they are coded for identification; systems include color coding for microbeads (e.g., available from Luminex, Bio-Rad and Nanomics Biosystems) and semiconductor nanocrystals (e.g., QDots™, available from Quantum Dots), and barcoding for beads (UltraPlex™, available from Smartbeads) and multimetal microrods (Nanobarcodes™ particles, available from Surromed). Beads can also be assembled into planar arrays on semiconductor chips (e.g., available from LEAPS technology and BioArray Solutions). Where particles are used, individual protein-capture agents are typically attached to an individual particle to provide the spatial definition or separation of the array. The particles may then be assayed separately, but in parallel, in a compartmentalized way, for example in the wells of a microtiter plate or in separate test tubes.


In operation, a protein sample, which is optionally fragmented to form peptide fragments (see, e.g., U.S. Pat. App. Pub. 2002/0055186), is delivered to a protein-capture array under conditions suitable for protein or peptide binding, and the array is washed to remove unbound or non-specifically bound components of the sample from the array. Next, the presence or amount of protein or peptide bound to each feature of the array is detected using a suitable detection system. The amount of protein bound to a feature of the array may be determined relative to the amount of a second protein bound to a second feature of the array. In certain embodiments, the amount of the second protein in the sample is already known or known to be invariant.


In specific embodiments, the RO BaSIRS biomarker is a target polypeptide whose level is measured using at least one antigen-binding molecule that is immuno-interactive with the target polypeptide. In these embodiments, the measured level of the target polypeptide is normalized to the level of a reference polypeptide. Suitably, the antigen-binding molecule is immobilized on a solid or semi-solid support. In illustrative examples of this type, the antigen-binding molecule forms part of a spatial array of antigen-binding molecule. In some embodiments, the level of antigen-binding molecule that is bound to the target polypeptide is measured by immunoassay (e.g., using an ELISA).


All the essential reagents required for detecting and quantifying the RO BaSIRS biomarkers of the invention may be assembled together in a kit. In some embodiments, the kit comprises a reagent that permits quantification of at least one RO BaSIRS biomarker. In some embodiments the kit comprises: (i) a reagent that allows quantification (e.g., determining the level or abundance) of a first RO BaSIRS biomarker; and (ii) a reagent that allows quantification (e.g., determining the level or abundance) of a second RO BaSIRS biomarker, wherein the first and second biomarkers have a mutual correlation in respect of the absence of BaSIRS that lies within a mutual correlation range of between ±0.9, and wherein a combination of respective biomarker values for the first and second RO BaSIRS biomarkers that are measured or derived for a subject has a performance value greater than or equal to a performance threshold representing the ability of the combination of the first and second RO BaSIRS biomarkers to diagnose the absence of BaSIRS, or to provide a prognosis for a non-BaSIRS condition (e.g., a SIRS condition other than BaSIRS), the performance threshold being a variance explained of at least 0.3. In some embodiments, the kit further comprises (iii) a reagent that allows quantification (e.g., determining the level or abundance) of a third RO BaSIRS biomarker; and (iv) a reagent that allows quantification (e.g., determining the level or abundance) of a fourth RO BaSIRS biomarker, wherein the third and fourth RO BaSIRS biomarkers have a mutual correlation in respect of the absence of BaSIRS that lies within a mutual correlation range of between ±0.9, and wherein a combination of respective biomarker values for the third and fourth RO BaSIRS biomarkers that are measured or derived for a subject has a performance value greater than or equal to a performance threshold representing the ability of the combination of the third and fourth RO BaSIRS biomarkers to diagnose the absence of BaSIRS, or to provide a prognosis for a non-BaSIRS condition (e.g., a SIRS condition other than BaSIRS), the performance threshold being a variance explained of at least 0.3. In some embodiments, the kit further comprises (v) a reagent that allows quantification (e.g., determining the level or abundance) of a fifth RO BaSIRS biomarker; and (vi) a reagent that allows quantification (e.g., determining the level or abundance) of a sixth RO BaSIRS biomarker, wherein the fifth and sixth RO BaSIRS biomarkers have a mutual correlation in respect of the absence of BaSIRS that lies within a mutual correlation range of between ±0.9, and wherein a combination of respective biomarker values for the fifth and sixth RO BaSIRS biomarkers that are measured or derived for a subject has a performance value greater than or equal to a performance threshold representing the ability of the combination of the fifth and sixth RO BaSIRS biomarkers to diagnose the absence of BaSIRS, or to provide a prognosis for a non-BaSIRS condition (e.g., a SIRS condition other than BaSIRS), the performance threshold being a variance explained of at least 0.3.


In the context of the present invention, “kit” is understood to mean a product containing the different reagents necessary for carrying out the methods of the invention packed so as to allow their transport and storage. Materials suitable for packing the components of the kit include crystal, plastic (polyethylene, polypropylene, polycarbonate and the like), bottles, vials, paper, envelopes and the like. Additionally, the kits of the invention can contain instructions for the simultaneous, sequential or separate use of the different components contained in the kit. The instructions can be in the form of printed material or in the form of an electronic support capable of storing instructions such that they can be read by a subject, such as electronic storage media (magnetic disks, tapes and the like), optical media (CD-ROM, DVD) and the like. Alternatively or in addition, the media can contain Internet addresses that provide the instructions.


Reagents that allow quantification of a RO BaSIRS biomarker include compounds or materials, or sets of compounds or materials, which allow quantification of the RO BaSIRS biomarker. In specific embodiments, the compounds, materials or sets of compounds or materials permit determining the expression level of a gene (e.g., RO BaSIRS biomarker gene), including without limitation the extraction of RNA material, the determination of the level of a corresponding RNA, etc., primers for the synthesis of a corresponding cDNA, primers for amplification of DNA, and/or probes capable of specifically hybridizing with the RNAs (or the corresponding cDNAs) encoded by the genes, TaqMan probes, etc.


The kits may also optionally include appropriate reagents for detection of labels, positive and negative controls, washing solutions, blotting membranes, microtiter plates, dilution buffers and the like. For example, a nucleic acid-based detection kit may include (i) a RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotide (which may be used as a positive control), (ii) a primer or probe that specifically hybridizes to a RO BaSIRS biomarker polynucleotide. Also included may be enzymes suitable for amplifying nucleic acids including various polymerases (reverse transcriptase, Taq, Sequenase™, DNA ligase etc. depending on the nucleic acid amplification technique employed), deoxynucleotides and buffers to provide the necessary reaction mixture for amplification. Such kits also generally will comprise, in suitable means, distinct containers for each individual reagent and enzyme as well as for each primer or probe. Alternatively, a protein-based detection kit may include (i) a RO BaSIRS biomarker polypeptide (which may be used as a positive control), (ii) an antibody that binds specifically to a RO BaSIRS biomarker polypeptide. The kit can also feature various devices (e.g., one or more) and reagents (e.g., one or more) for performing one of the assays described herein; and/or printed instructions for using the kit to quantify the expression of a RO BaSIRS biomarker gene and/or carry out an indicator-determining method, as broadly described above and elsewhere herein.


The reagents described herein, which may be optionally associated with detectable labels, can be presented in the format of a microfluidics card, a chip or chamber, a microarray or a kit adapted for use with the assays described in the examples or below, e.g., RT-PCR or Q PCR techniques described herein.


The reagents also have utility in compositions for detecting and quantifying the biomarkers of the invention. For example, a reverse transcriptase may be used to reverse transcribe RNA transcripts, including mRNA, in a nucleic acid sample, to produce reverse transcribed transcripts, including reverse transcribed mRNA (also referred to as “cDNA”). In specific embodiments, the reverse transcribed mRNA is whole cell reverse transcribed mRNA (also referred to herein as “whole cell cDNA”). The nucleic acid sample is suitably derived from components of the immune system, representative examples of which include components of the innate and adaptive immune systems as broadly discussed for example above. In specific embodiments, the reverse transcribed RNA is derived blood cells (e.g., peripheral blood cells). Suitably, the reverse transcribed RNA is derived leukocytes.


The reagents are suitably used to quantify the reverse transcribed transcripts. For example, oligonucleotide primers that hybridize to the reverse transcribed transcript can be used to amplify at least a portion of the reverse transcribed transcript via a suitable nucleic acid amplification technique, e.g., RT-PCR or qPCR techniques described herein. Alternatively, oligonucleotide probes may be used to hybridize to the reverse transcribed transcript for the quantification, using a nucleic acid hybridization analysis technique (e.g., microarray analysis), as described for example above. Thus, in some embodiments, a respective oligonucleotide primer or probe is hybridized to a complementary nucleic acid sequence of a reverse transcribed transcript in the compositions of the invention. The compositions typically comprise labeled reagents for detecting and/or quantifying the reverse transcribed transcripts. Representative reagents of this type include labeled oligonucleotide primers or probes that hybridize to RNA transcripts or reverse transcribed RNA, labeled RNA, labeled reverse transcribed RNA as well as labeled oligonucleotide linkers or tags (e.g., a labeled RNA or DNA linker or tag) for labeling (e.g., end labeling such as 3′ end labeling) RNA or reverse transcribed RNA. The primers, probes, RNA or reverse transcribed RNA (i.e., cDNA) (whether labeled or non-labeled) may be immobilized or free in solution. Representative reagents of this type include labeled oligonucleotide primers or probes that hybridize to reverse transcribed and transcripts as well as labeled reverse transcribed transcripts. The label can be any reporter molecule as known in the art, illustrative examples of which are described above and elsewhere herein.


The present invention also encompasses non-reverse transcribed RNA embodiments in which cDNA is not made and the RNA transcripts are directly the subject of the analysis. Thus, in other embodiments, reagents are suitably used to quantify RNA transcripts directly. For example, oligonucleotide probes can be used to hybridize to transcripts for quantification of immune system biomarkers of the invention, using a nucleic acid hybridization analysis technique (e.g., microarray analysis), as described for example above. Thus, in some embodiments, a respective oligonucleotide probe is hybridized to a complementary nucleic acid sequence of an immune system biomarker transcript in the compositions of the invention. In illustrative examples of this type, the compositions may comprise labeled reagents that hybridize to transcripts for detecting and/or quantifying the transcripts. Representative reagents of this type include labeled oligonucleotide probes that hybridize to transcripts as well as labeled transcripts. The primers or probes may be immobilized or free in solution.


The present invention also extends to the management of SIRS, or prevention of progression to SIRS with at least one clinical sign of SIRS. A subject positively identified as having an absence of BaSIRS is either not exposed to treatment or exposed to a non-BaSIRS treatment, including a treatment for SIRS conditions other than BaSIRS, such as but not limited to, a treatment for ADaSIRS, CANaSIRS, TRAUMaSIRS, ANAPHYLaSIRS, SCHIZaSIRS or VaSIRS. Representative treatments of this type typically include administration of vasoactive compounds, steroids, anti tumour necrosis factor agents, recombinant protein C and anti-viral compounds such as Aciclovir, Brivudine, Cidofovir, Famciclovir, Fomivirsen, Foscarnet, Ganciclovir, HDP-CDV, Idoxuridine, Letermovir, Maribavir, Penciclovir, Resiquimod, Sorivudine, Trifluridine, Tromantadine, Valaciclovir, Valganciclovir, Vidarabine or salts and combinations thereof. Non-limiting therapies for non-bacterium associated SIRS conditions are disclosed for example by Healy (2002, Ann. Pharmacother. 36(4): 648-54) and Brindley (2005, CJEM. 7(4): 227) and Jenkins (2006, J Hosp Med. 1(5): 285-295). In representative embodiments in which BaSIRS is ruled out, the subject is not exposed to antibiotics.


Typically, the therapeutic agents will be administered in pharmaceutical (or veterinary) compositions together with a pharmaceutically acceptable carrier and in an effective amount to achieve their intended purpose. The dose of active compounds administered to a subject should be sufficient to achieve a beneficial response in the subject over time such as a reduction in, or relief from, the symptoms of BaSIRS. The quantity of the pharmaceutically active compounds(s) to be administered may depend on the subject to be treated inclusive of the age, sex, weight and general health condition thereof. In this regard, precise amounts of the active compound(s) for administration will depend on the judgment of the practitioner. In determining the effective amount of the active compound(s) to be administered in the treatment or prevention of BaSIRS, the medical practitioner or veterinarian may evaluate severity of any symptom or clinical sign associated with the presence of BaSIRS or degree of BaSIRS including, inflammation, blood pressure anomaly, tachycardia, tachypnea fever, chills, vomiting, diarrhea, skin rash, headaches, confusion, muscle aches, seizures. In any event, those of skill in the art may readily determine suitable dosages of the therapeutic agents and suitable treatment regimens without undue experimentation.


The therapeutic agents may be administered in concert with adjunctive (palliative) therapies to increase oxygen supply to major organs, increase blood flow to major organs and/or to reduce the inflammatory response. Illustrative examples of such adjunctive therapies include non-steroidal-anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), intravenous saline and oxygen.


The present invention also contemplates the use of the indicator-determining methods, apparatus, compositions and kits disclosed herein in methods for managing a subject with at least one clinical sign of SIRS. These methods (also referred to herein as “management methods”) generally comprise not exposing the subject to a treatment regimen for specifically treating BaSIRS based on an indicator obtained from an indicator-determining method, wherein the indicator is indicative of the absence of BaSIRS in the subject, and of ruling out the likelihood of the presence of BaSIRS in the subject, and wherein the indicator-determining method is an indicator-determining method as broadly described above and elsewhere herein. In specific embodiments, the management methods comprise: (a) determining a plurality of biomarker values, each biomarker value being indicative of a value measured or derived for at least two (e.g., 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, or more) RO BaSIRS biomarker of the subject; (b) determining an indicator using a combination of the plurality of biomarker values, the indicator being at least partially indicative of the absence of BaSIRS, wherein: (i) at least two (e.g., 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, or more) RO BaSIRS biomarkers have a mutual correlation in respect of the absence of BaSIRS that lies within a mutual correlation range, the mutual correlation range being between ±0.9; and (ii) the indicator has a performance value greater than or equal to a performance threshold representing the ability of the indicator to diagnose the absence of BaSIRS, the performance threshold being indicative of an explained variance of at least 0.3; and (c) not exposing the subject to a treatment regimen for specifically treating BaSIRS and/or exposing the subject to a non-BaSIRS treatment, or not exposing the subject to a treatment.


In advantageous embodiments, the management methods comprise: (1) determining a plurality of measured biomarker values, each measured biomarker value being a measured value of a RO BaSIRS biomarker of the subject; and (2) applying a function to at least one of the measured biomarker values to determine at least one derived biomarker value, the at least one derived biomarker value being indicative of a value of a corresponding derived RO BaSIRS biomarker. The function suitably includes at least one of: (a) multiplying two biomarker values; (b) dividing two biomarker values; (c) adding two biomarker values; (d) subtracting two biomarker values; (e) a weighted sum of at least two biomarker values; (f) a log sum of at least two biomarker values; and (g) a sigmoidal function of at least two biomarker values.


The present invention also contemplates methods in which the indicator-determining method of the invention is implemented using one or more processing devices. In some embodiments, these methods comprise: (1) determining a pair of biomarker values, the pair of biomarker values being selected from the group consisting of: (a) a first pair of biomarker values indicative of a concentration of polynucleotide expression products of a Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., DIAPH2) and a Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., SERTAD2); and (b) a second pair of biomarker values indicative of a concentration of polynucleotide expression products of a Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., PARL) gene and a Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., PAFAH2); and (c) a third pair of biomarker values indicative of a concentration of polynucleotide expression products of a Group E RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., SORT1) gene and a Group F RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., OSBPL9); (2) determining an indicator indicative of a ratio of the concentrations of the polynucleotide expression products using all three biomarker values; (3) retrieving previously determined first, second and third indicator references from a database, the first, second and third indicator references being determined based on indicators determined from first, second and third groups of a reference population, one of the groups consisting of individuals diagnosed with a non-BaSIRS SIRS condition; (4) comparing the indicator to the first, second and third indicator references; (5) using the results of the comparison to determine a probability indicative of the subject having or not having BaSIRS; and (6) generating a representation of the probability, the representation being displayed to a user to allow the user to assess the likelihood of a biological subject having an absence of BaSIRS or not.


Similarly apparatus can be provided for determining the likelihood of a subject having an absence of BaSIRS, the apparatus including: (A) a sampling device that obtains a sample taken from a subject, the sample including polynucleotide expression products; (B) a measuring device that quantifies polynucleotide expression products within the sample to determine three biomarker values, the three biomarker values being selected from the group consisting of: (a) a first pair of biomarker values indicative of a concentration of polynucleotide expression products of a Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., DIAPH2) and a Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., SERTAD2); and (b) a second pair of biomarker values indicative of a concentration of polynucleotide expression products of a Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., PARL) gene and a Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., PAFAH2); and (c) a third pair of biomarker values indicative of a concentration of polynucleotide expression products of a Group E RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., SORT1) gene and a Group F RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., OSBPL9); (C) at least one processing device that: (i) receives an indication of the pair of biomarker values from the measuring device; (ii) determines an indicator using a ratio of the concentration of the first, second and third polynucleotide expression products using the biomarker values; (iii) compares the indicator to at least one indicator reference; (iv) determines a likelihood of the subject having or not having BaSIRS condition using the results of the comparison; and (v) generates a representation of the indicator and the likelihood for display to a user.


The present invention also encompasses methods for differentiating between BaSIRS and another SIRS other than BaSIRS in a subject. These methods suitably comprise: (a) obtaining a sample taken from a subject showing a clinical sign of SIRS, the sample including polynucleotide expression products; (b) in a measuring device: (i) amplifying at least some polynucleotide expression products in the sample; (ii) determining an amplification amount representing a degree of amplification required to obtain a defined level of polynucleotide expression products including: amplification amounts for a first pair of polynucleotide expression products of a Group A RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., DIAPH2) and a Group B RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., SERTAD2); and amplification amounts for a second pair of polynucleotide expression products of a Group C RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., PARL) gene and a Group D RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., PAFAH2); and amplification amounts for a third pair of polynucleotide expression products of a Group E RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., SORT1) gene and a Group F RO BaSIRS biomarker gene (e.g., OSBPL9); (c) in a processing system: (i) retrieving the amplification amounts; (ii) determining an indicator by: determining a first derived biomarker value indicative of a ratio of concentrations of the first pair of polynucleotide expression products by determining a difference between the amplification amounts for the first pair; determining a second derived biomarker value indicative of a ratio of concentrations of the second pair of polynucleotide expression products by determining a difference between the amplification amounts for the second pair; determining a third derived biomarker value indicative of a ratio of concentrations of the third pair of polynucleotide expression products by determining a difference between the amplification amounts for the third pair; (d) determining the indicator by adding the first, second and third derived biomarker values; (e) retrieving previously determined first, second and third indicator references from a database, wherein the first, second and third indicator references are distributions of indicators determined for first and second groups of a reference population, the first and second groups consisting of individuals diagnosed with BaSIRS and SIRS conditions other than BaSIRS, respectively; (f) comparing the indicator to the first and second indicator references; (g) using the results of the comparison to determine a probability of the subject being classified within the first or second group; (h) generating a representation at least partially indicative of the indicator and the probability; and (i) providing the representation to a user to allow the user to assess the likelihood of a subject having or not having BaSIRS or the other SIRS condition.


Additionally, methods can be provided for determining an indicator used in assessing a likelihood of a subject having an absence of BaSIRS. These methods suitably include: (1) determining a plurality of biomarker values, each biomarker value being indicative of a value measured or derived for at least one corresponding RO BaSIRS biomarker of the subject and being at least partially indicative of a concentration of the RO BaSIRS biomarker in a sample taken from the subject; (2) determining the indicator using a combination of the plurality of biomarker values, wherein: at least two biomarkers have a mutual correlation in respect of an absence of BaSIRS that lies within a mutual correlation range, the mutual correlation range being between ±0.9; and the indicator has a performance value greater than or equal to a performance threshold representing the ability of the indicator to diagnose the absence of BaSIRS, the performance threshold being indicative of an explained variance of at least 0.3.


In order that the invention may be readily understood and put into practical effect, particular preferred embodiments will now be described by way of the following non-limiting examples.


EXAMPLES
Example 1
Groups a, B, C, D, E and F Biomarkers. Biomarkers are Grouped Based on their Correlation to DIAPH2, SERTAD2, PARL, PAFAH2, SORT1 AND OSBPL9

Three pairs of derived biomarkers (DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9) were discovered that provided the highest AUC across all of bacterial datasets studied. Biomarkers were then allocated to one of six Groups, as individual biomarkers, based on their correlation to either DIAPH2 (Group A), SERTAD2 (Group B), PARL (Group C), PAFAH2 (Group D), SORT1 (Group E) or OSBPL9 (Group F), as presented in Table 5. Calculated Negative Predictive Values (NPV) and Areas Under Curve (AUC) for 200 derived biomarkers at a set BaSIRS prevalence of 10% and 5% are presented in Table 6 and Table 7. The NPV of these 200 derived biomarkers increases as the prevalence of BaSIRS decreases, so all those listed would perform well in an emergency room setting where the prevalence of BaSIRS is estimated to be closer to 4%.


Example 2
RO BaSIRS Biomarker Derivation (Derived Biomarkers)

An illustrative process for the identification of emergency room (ER) RO BaSIRS biomarkers for use in diagnostic algorithms will now be described.


Using publicly available datasets (from Gene Expression Omnibus, GEO) the aim was to find specific biomarkers that differentiated between those subjects with BaSIRS and those subjects that are either healthy, have a known viral infection, or have other known non-bacterial inflammation. First, biomarkers with strong diagnostic potential were generated that were able to differentiate BaSIRS and healthy subjects (Set A biomarkers)—see Table 1 for a list of the GEO datasets used to generate these biomarkers. Secondly, biomarkers with strong diagnostic potential were generated that were able to differentiate BaSIRS and subjects with non-bacterial systemic inflammation, including viral infection, autoimmune disease and trauma (Set B biomarkers)—see Table 2 for a list of the GEO datasets used to generate these biomarkers. Thirdly, biomarkers with diagnostic potential were generated that were able to differentiate non-bacterial systemic inflammation and healthy subjects (Set C biomarkers). Set A and B biomarkers were then pooled, since they are able to differentiate BaSIRS from other infections and systemic inflammation, and Set C biomarkers were subtracted from this pool. Thus, the formula for generating RO BaSIRS-specific biomarkers in this instance was (A+B)−C.


A list of the public datasets used to generate biomarker Sets A, B and C can be found in Tables 1 and 2. Each of the public datasets were quality control screened prior to inclusion in each Set to ensure that no artifacts existed (such as batch effect). The primary tool used to determine the quality of each dataset was Principal Component Analysis (PCA).


Once appropriate datasets had been selected a search for derived biomarkers (as a ratio) was implemented. For inclusion in biomarker Sets A and B the derived biomarkers were required to obtain a significant Area Under Curve (AUC) in each of the eight RO BaSIRS datasets individually (rather than including any derived biomarker that reached a significant AUC in any dataset). The total number of derived biomarkers considered initially in Sets A and B was over 18 million. For inclusion in biomarker Set C the derived biomarkers were required to obtain an Area Under Curve (AUC) higher than 0.8.


Following selection of derived biomarkers in Sets A, B and C the derived biomarkers in Set C were taken from the pool of derived biomarkers that made up Sets A and B (12,379,842 ratios). That is, the formula (A+B)−C was performed. Table 2 shows the percent overlap of significant derived biomarkers for each dataset in Set C when compared to the derived biomarkers that made up Sets A and B. The largest overlap with RO BaSIRS derived biomarkers was found between significant derived biomarkers found in major trauma (55%). Such overlap was to be expected since it has been published that major trauma causes a “genomic storm” response in gene expression changes in peripheral blood (Xiao, W., Mindrinos, M. N., Seok, J., Cuschieri, J., Cuenca, A. G., Gao, H., et al. (2011). A genomic storm in critically injured humans. Journal of Experimental Medicine, 208(13), 2581-2590). After only allowing ratios in the clinical datasets above an AUC of 0.8 and then subtraction of the C ratios, only 111929 derived biomarkers remained (of 12 million). Thus, it can be considered that these remaining derived biomarkers are specific to BaSIRS in a heterogenous SIRS patient population with low prevalence of BaSIRS. Such specificity to BaSIRS provides strong negative predictive value, or an ability to rule out BaSIRS. The AUC of the best single derived biomarker in this final set was 0.896 (SORT1/CD81).


With respect to host response markers, a non-limiting example of how biomarkers were identified will now be described. For the purpose of illustration and in general, the process as described in Australian Provisional Patent Application number AU2014900363 (“Biomarker signature method and apparatus and kits therefor”) was used to select biomarkers that provided the theoretical best diagnostic biomarkers, selected from combinations including measured and/or derived biomarkers using publicly available datasets (Gene Expression Omnibus, GEO) that contain patient cohorts of known status, including bacterial infection, non-bacterial inflammation and healthy conditions; GSE30119, GSE33341, GSE16129, GSE25504, GSE40586, GSE6269, GSE40012, GSE40396, GSE17755, GSE19301, GSE35846, GSE36809, GSE38485, GSE47655 and GSE52428. All datasets used fitted the following criteria; peripheral blood samples were used, appropriate controls were used, an appropriate number of samples were used to provide significance following False-Discovery Rate (FDR) adjustment, all data passed standard quality control metrics, principle component analysis did not reveal any artifacts or potential biases. As a first step biomarkers and derived biomarkers with good performance (mean Under Curve, AUC>0.8 across all bacterial infection datasets) for separating cohorts with known bacterial infection from non-bacterial inflammation and from healthy were selected. Secondly, biomarkers and derived biomarkers with good performance (any biomarker with an AUC>0.78 for separating cohorts with known non-bacterial inflammation and from healthy were selected. The latter were then subtracted from the former to ensure that the remaining biomarkers and derived biomarkers were specific to bacterial infection. In total, over 12 million ratio combinations were generated in the first step resulted in ˜4000 ratios that hold valuable information in the diagnosis of BaSIRS vs non-bacterial SIRS in an ED cohort. To further reduce number of biomarkers and to reduce the collinearity in the system, a between-ratio correlation cutoff of 0.7 was used which resulted in 200 final ratios following subtraction and filtering steps. Using machine learning methods the best combinations of biomarkers and derived biomarkers was then determined.


The performance of the top three derived biomarkers, singly and in combination, that are best capable of separating BaSIRS and non-bacterial SIRS are shown in the FIGS. 1, 2, 3 and 5. Additional lists of top performing derived biomarkers (as measured by AUC and NPV) are also presented in Table 6 and Table 7.


Example 3
RO BaSIRS Biomarker Derivation (Combination of Derived Biomarkers)

Following filtering out of derived biomarkers non-specific to BaSIRS various machine learning methods were applied to identify the optimal combination of derived biomarkers that provided the greatest AUC. Machine learning methods used included; random forests, support vector machines, logistic regression and greedy forward selection. After applying all of these methods individually it was found that they all performed equally well when restricting the model to the use of five derived biomarkers or less. This latter restriction was applied for practicality and to ensure ability to reduce the biomarkers to a working assay. Ultimately greedy forward selection was used, which resulted in a number of sets of derived biomarkers with high AUCs (see FIG. 4).


Following the application of the greedy search algorithm the top three derived biomarker combinations identified were DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9. The combination of these three biomarker ratios gave an AUC of 0.94 for separating BaSIRS from non-BaSIRS SIRS conditions, which was considered to be the minimal set of derived biomarkers with optimal commercial utility. Optimal commercial utility in this instance means consideration of the following non-limiting factors; diagnostic performance, clinical utility, diagnostic noise (introduced by using too many derived biomarkers), transferability to available molecular chemistries (e.g., PCR, microarray, DNA sequencing), transferability to available point-of-care platforms (e.g. Biocartis Idylla, Cepheid GeneXpert, Becton Dickinson BD Max, Curetis Unyvero, Oxford Nanopore Technologies MinION), cost of assay manufacture (the more reagents and biomarkers the larger the cost), ability to multiplex biomarkers, availability of suitable reporter dyes, complexity of results interpretation.


Example 4
RO BaSIRS Biomarker Performance (Derived Biomarkers and Combined Derived Biomarkers)

The performance (AUC and NPV) of the top 200 derived biomarkers at a defined BaSIRS prevalence of 10% and 5% is shown in Table 6 and Table 7. The NPV of each of these derived biomarkers in practice could possibly be higher than that shown in these tables because the prevalence of suspected BaSIRS in emergency rooms has been shown to be approximately 4% (Niska, R., Bhuiya, F., & Xu, J. (2010). National hospital ambulatory medical care survey: 2007 emergency department summary. Natl Health Stat Report, 26(26), 1-31). The lower the prevalence the higher the NPV of these derived biomarkers.


Following a greedy search the best performing individual derived biomarker was DIAPH2/SERTAD2 with an AUC of 0.863. The best second unique derived biomarker to add to the first derived biomarker was PARL/PAFAH2. The AUC obtained across the normalized dataset using these two derived biomarkers was 0.92, an 0.057 improvement over the use of a single derived biomarker. The addition of a third derived biomarker (SORT1/OSBPL9) improved the AUC by 0.02 to 0.94 (AUC ROC plots for these derived biomarkers are shown in FIG. 1). It is possible that the addition of more derived biomarkers created overfitting and noise (see FIG. 4). Thus, it was considered that the optimal commercial RO BaSIRS signature consists of the following three derived biomarkers: DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9.



FIG. 2, FIG. 3 and FIG. 5 show plots demonstrating the performance of the top three derived biomarkers in each of the RO BaSIRS datasets, in the RO BaSIRS datasets combined, and in a dataset consisting of samples collected from a clinical trial performed by the applicants respectively. This latter dataset involved collecting samples from patients presenting to emergency with fever.


Example 5
RO BaSIRS Biomarker Profiles (Grouping)

The BaSIRS biomarker profiles can be grouped into derived biomarkers and combinations of derived biomarkers.


There are six biomarkers in the best performing three derived biomarker signature: DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9, 102 derived biomarkers with an NPV>0.95 (prevalence 10%) and 179 unique biomarkers. For each unique biomarker, a correlation coefficient was calculated. Table 5 lists 179 unique biomarkers and their correlation to each of the six biomarkers in the top performing three-derived biomarker signature. Each set of biomarkers make up Groups A, B, C, D, E and F respectively.


The best combination of derived biomarkers was determined to be: DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9 (Group G).


Example 6
Analysis of Derived Biomarkers

Performance (AUC and NPV) of 200 derived biomarkers at a set prevalence of 10% is shown in Table 6, and of these, 102 have NPV greater than 0.95. Performance of DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9 across each of the BaSIRS datasets is shown in FIG. 2. Performance of DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2 and SORT1/OSBPL9 are shown in FIGS. 1 and 3.


Numerators and denominators that appear more than once in the top 200 derived biomarkers are listed in Table 9. The two most common numerators include TLR5 and MMP8, and the two most common denominators include ILR7 and CCND2.


Example 7
Validation of Derived Biomarkers in an Independent Dataset

A dataset used for validation also satisfied the conditions stated above and was derived from a clinical trial within an ED based at University College London. Patients (n=36) were included in they presented with fever (FIG. 5a). Retrospective clinical microbiology results were used to categorize subjects into three groups, including: positive microbiology from a sterile site, positive virology, negative microbiology (and not on antibiotics). FIG. 5a presents a box and whisker plot using the combined derived biomarkers of DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2 and SORT1/OSBPL9 on this patient population. The AUC between patients with positive microbiology and all others (viral positive and negative microbiology) was 0.904 in this validation set. FIGS. 5b and 5c represent box and whisker plots for two signatures validated in an expanded patient cohort from the same independent clinical trial involving patients presenting to an ED at University College London (see FIGS. 5b and 5c). Patients (n=59) were included in they presented with fever and were admitted to hospital. Retrospective clinical microbiology results were used to categorize subjects into three groups, including: positive microbiology from a sterile site (“bacterial, n=32), positive virology (“viral”, n=14), negative microbiology, not on antibiotics and recovered without incident (“No positive micro, no Abx”, n=13). Only those patients suspected of having a viral infection were tested for viruses using either PCR or serology. FIGS. 5b and 5c present a box and whisker plots using the combined derived biomarkers of a) DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2 and SORT1/OSBPL9 or, b) DIAPH2/IL7R; GBP2/GIMAP4; TLR5/FGL2 on this patient population. Performance of individual ratios in each of these signatures can be found in Table 6. This patient population does not fully represent the intended use of the RO BaSIRS since the patients were all admitted to hospital with a clinical suspicion of infection. However, the AUCs between “bacterial” vs “viral” and “bacterial” vs “indeterminate” for signatures a and b were respectively; 0.79, 0.65 and 0.93, 0.83. Negative Predictive Values (NPV) for bacterial vs other for signatures a and b were 0.975 and 0.978 respectively at a sepsis prevalence of 4%. A better patient cohort to truly test the clinical utility of the RO BaSIRS biomarkers would be to compare those patients that had an initial suspicion of infection but were not admitted to hospital (and were not admitted at a later date) to those that were admitted that had a confirmed diagnosis of BaSIRS.


Example 8
Example Applications of RO BaSIRS Biomarker Profiles

Use of the above described biomarkers and resulting RO BaSIRS biomarker profiles in patient populations and benefits in respect of differentiating various conditions, will now be described.


An assay capable of excluding BaSIRS in patients presenting to emergency departments can be used to help appropriately triage such patients (to ensure appropriate management, therapy and procedures are employed), as part of efforts to ensure judicious use of antibiotic and anti-viral compounds, and determination of the aetiology of systemic inflammation when due to a bacterial infection.


Example Use of SeptiCyte Triage in an ED Patient Population

In 2010, approximately 130 million people presented to emergency departments in the USA and the third most common primary reason for the visit was fever (5.6 million people had a fever (>38° C.) and for 5 million people it was the primary reason for the visit) (Niska R, Bhuiya F, Xu J (2010) National hospital ambulatory medical care survey: 2007 emergency department summary. Natl Health Stat Report 26: 1-31). Of those patients with a fever, 664,000 had a fever of unknown origin—that is, the cause of the fever was not obvious at presentation. However, fever as a presenting clinical sign has a reasonable correlation to a final diagnosis of the presence of an infection (van Laar, P. J., & Cohen, J. (2003). A prospective study of fever in the accident and emergency department. Clinical Microbiology and Infection: the Official Publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, 9(8), 878-880; Manning, L. V., & Touquet, R. (1988). The relevance of pyrexia in adults as a presenting symptom in the accident and emergency department. Archives of Emergency Medicine, 5(2), 86-90). As such, in patients presenting to emergency with a fever, it is important to rule out an infection so that unnecessary procedures (including admission), diagnostic tests and therapies are not performed or administered. By example, as part of diagnosing the reason for the emergency department visit in 2010 in the USA, 48,614,000 complete blood counts (CBC) were performed and 5.3 million blood cultures were taken. In 3.65 million patients presenting the primary diagnosis was “infectious” and in approximately 25% of cases (32.4 million) antibiotics were administered. 13.5% of all people presenting to emergency were admitted to hospital. Clinicians in emergency need to determine the answer to a number of questions quickly, including: what is the reason for the visit, is the reason for the visit an infection, does the patient need to be admitted? The diagnosis, treatment and management of patients with a fever, BaSIRS or SIRS due to other causes are different. By way of example, a patient with a fever without other systemic inflammation clinical signs, negative for BaSIRS, and no obvious source of bacterial infection may be sent home, or provided with other non-hospital services, without further hospital treatment. However, a patient with a fever may have early BaSIRS, and not admitting such a patient and aggressively treating with antibiotics may put their life at risk.


The difference in the number of patients presenting to emergency that are ultimately diagnosed with an “infection” (3.65 million) and the number treated with antibiotics (32.4 million) suggests the following; 1) diagnostic tools that determine the presence or absence of an infection are not available, or are not being used, or are not accurate enough, or do not provide strong enough negative predictive value, or are not providing accurate information that can be acted on within a reasonable timeframe 2) when it comes to suspected infection, and because of the acute nature of infections, clinicians err on the side of caution by administering antibiotics. Further, in a study performed in the Netherlands on patients presenting to emergency with fever, 36.6% of patients admitted to hospital had a suspected bacterial infection (that is, it was not confirmed) (Limper M, Eeftinck Schattenkerk D, de Kruif M D, van Wissen M, Brandjes D P M, et al. (2011) One-year epidemiology of fever at the Emergency Department. Neth J Med 69: 124-128). This suggests that a large proportion of patients presenting to emergency are admitted to hospital without a diagnosis. The biomarkers and derived biomarkers outlined in this patent can identify those SIRS patients with a bacterial infection from those without a bacterial infection with high negative predictive value, assisting medical practitioners in triaging patients presenting with fever or other clinical signs of systemic inflammation. Such effective triage tools make best use of scarce hospital resources, including staff, equipment and therapies. Accurate triage decision-making also ensures that patients requiring hospital treatment are given it, and those that don't are provided with other appropriate services.


Excluding BaSIRS in the Immunocompromised and Neutropenic

Patients on chemotherapy/immunosuppressants for the management of tumors or transplants are often immunocompromised and/or develop a neutropenia, with or without fever. Such patients are often outpatients and present to emergency departments with clinical signs of SIRS. Such patients need to be managed carefully and it is important to be able to diagnose or exclude the presence of microbial and opportunistic infections so that appropriate therapies and procedures can be implemented in the shortest possible time (de Naurois, J., Novitzky-Basso, I., Gill, M. J., Marti, F. M., Cullen, M. H., Roila, F., On behalf of the ESMO Guidelines Working Group. (2010). Management of febrile neutropenia: ESMO Clinical Practice Guidelines. Annals of Oncology, 21(Supplement 5), v252-v256; Kasiske, B. L., Vazquez, M. A., Harmon, W. E., Brown, R. S., Danovitch, G. M., Gaston, R. S., et al. (2000, October). Recommendations for the outpatient surveillance of renal transplant recipients. American Society of Transplantation. Journal of the American Society of Nephrology, 11, S1-S86). The biomarkers detailed in this patent can exclude the presence of BaSIRS and could therefore be useful in monitoring immunocompromised patients to; 1) enable early and appropriate treatment if required 2) reduce the use of inappropriate therapies, procedures and management in immunocompromised patients without BaSIRS.


Antibiotic Stewardship

In patients suspected of having a systemic infection (viral, bacterial, fungal, parasitic) a clinical diagnosis and treatment regimen is provided by the physician(s) at the time the patient presents and often in the absence of any results from diagnostic tests. This is done in the interests of rapid treatment and positive patient outcomes. However, such an approach leads to over-prescribing of antibiotics irrespective of whether the patient has a microbial infection or not. Clinician diagnosis of BaSIRS is reasonably reliable (0.88) in children but only with respect to differentiating between patients ultimately shown to be blood culture positive and those that were judged to be unlikely to have an infection at the time antibiotics were administered (Fischer, J. E., Harbarth, S., Agthe, A. G., Benn, A., Ringer, S. A., Goldmann, D. A., & Fanconi, S. (2004). Quantifying uncertainty: physicians' estimates of infection in critically ill neonates and children. Clinical Infectious Diseases: an Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 38(10), 1383-1390). In Fischer et al., (2004), 54% of critically ill children were put on antibiotics during their hospital stay, of which only 14% and 16% had proven systemic bacterial infection or localized infection respectively. In this study, 53% of antibiotic treatment courses for critically ill children were for those that had an unlikely infection and 38% were antibiotic treatment courses for critically ill children as a rule-out treatment episode. Clearly, pediatric physicians err on the side of caution with respect to treating critically ill patients by placing all patients suspected of an infection on antibiotics—38% of all antibiotics used in critically ill children are used on the basis of ruling out BaSIRS, that is, are used as a precaution. Antibiotics are also widely prescribed and overused in adult patients as reported in Braykov et al., 2014 (Braykov, N. P., Morgan, D. J., Schweizer, M. L., Uslan, D. Z., Kelesidis, T., Weisenberg, S. A., et al. (2014). Assessment of empirical antibiotic therapy optimisation in six hospitals: an observational cohort study. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 14(12), 1220-1227). In this study, across six US hospitals over four days in 2009 and 2010, 60% of all patients admitted received antibiotics. Of those patients prescribed antibiotics 30% were afebrile and had a normal white blood cell count and where therefore prescribed antibiotics as a precaution. As such, an assay that can accurately diagnose an absence of BaSIRS in patients presenting with non-pathognomonic clinical signs of infection would be clinically useful and may lead to more appropriate use of antibiotics and anti-herpes viral therapies.


Example 9
First Example Workflow for Determining Host Response

A first example workflow for measuring host response to ensure that a SIRS is not BaSIRS will now be described. The workflow involves a number of steps depending upon availability of automated platforms. The assay uses quantitative, real-time determination of the amount of each host immune cell RNA transcript in the sample based on the detection of fluorescence on a qRT-PCR instrument (e.g. Applied Biosystems 7500 Fast Dx Real-Time PCR Instrument, Applied Biosystems, Foster City, CA, catalogue number 440685; K082562). Transcripts are each reverse-transcribed, amplified, detected, and quantified in a separate reaction well using a probe that is visualized in the FAM channel (by example). Such reactions can be run as single-plexes (one probe for one transcript per tube), multiplexed (multiple probes for multiple transcripts in one tube), one-step (reverse transcription and PCR are performed in the same tube), or two-step (reverse transcription and PCR performed as two separate reactions in two tubes). A score is calculated using interpretive software provided separately to the kit but designed to integrate with RT-PCR machines.


The workflow below describes the use of manual processing and a pre-prepared kit.


Pre-Analytical





    • Blood collection

    • Total RNA isolation





Analytical





    • Reverse transcription (generation of cDNA)

    • qPCR preparation

    • qPCR

    • Software, Interpretation of Results and Quality Control

    • Output.





Kit Contents





    • Diluent

    • RT Buffer

    • RT Enzyme Mix

    • qPCR Buffer

    • Primer/Probe Mix

    • AmpliTaq Gold® (or similar)

    • High Positive Control

    • Low Positive Control

    • Negative Control





Blood Collection

The specimen used is a 2.5 mL sample of blood collected by venipuncture using the PAXgene® collection tubes within the PAXgene® Blood RNA System (Qiagen, kit catalogue #762164; Becton Dickinson, Collection Tubes catalogue number 762165; K042613). An alternate collection tube is Tempus® (Life Technologies).


Total RNA Isolation

Blood (2.5 mL) collected into a PAXgene RNA tube is processed according to the manufacturer's instructions. Briefly, 2.5 mL sample of blood collected by venipuncture using the PAXgene™ collection tubes within the PAXgene™ Blood RNA System (Qiagen, kit catalogue #762164; Becton Dickinson, Collection Tubes catalogue number 762165; K042613). Total RNA isolation is performed using the procedures specified in the PAXgene™ Blood RNA kit (a component of the PAXgene™ Blood RNA System). The extracted RNA is then tested for purity and yield (for example by running an A260/280 ratio using a Nanodrop® (Thermo Scientific)) for which a minimum quality must be (ratio >1.6). RNA should be adjusted in concentration to allow for a constant input volume to the reverse transcription reaction (below). RNA should be processed immediately or stored in single-use volumes at or below −70° C. for later processing.


Reverse Transcription

Determine the appropriate number of reaction equivalents to be prepared (master mix formulation) based on a plate map and the information provided directly below. Each clinical specimen is run in singleton.


Each batch run desirably includes the following specimens:

    • High Control, Low Control, Negative Control, and No Template Control (Test Diluent instead of sample) in singleton each


Program the ABI 7500 Fast Dx Instrument as detailed below.

    • Launch the software.
    • Click Create New Document
    • In the New Document Wizard, select the following options:
    • i. Assay: Standard Curve (Absolute Quantitation)
    • ii. Container: 96-Well Clear
    • iii. Template: Blank Document (or select a laboratory-defined template)
    • iv. Run Mode: Standard 7500
    • v. Operator: Enter operator's initials
    • vi. Plate name: [default]
    • Click Finish
    • Select the Instrument tab in the upper left
    • In the Thermal Cycler Protocol area, Thermal Profile tab, enter the following times:
    • i. 25° C. for 10 minutes
    • ii. 45° C. for 45 minutes
    • iii. 93° C. for 10 minutes
    • iv. Hold at 25° C. for 60 minutes


In a template-free area, remove the test Diluent and RT-qPCR Test RT Buffer to room temperature to thaw. Leave the RT-qPCR Test RT Enzyme mix in the freezer and/or on a cold block.


In a template-free area, assemble the master mix in the order listed below.


RT Master Mix—Calculation:

















Per well
×N








RT-qPCR Test RT Buffer
3.5 μL
3.5 × N



RT-qPCR Test RT Enzyme mix
1.5 μL
1.5 × N



Total Volume
  5 μL
  5 × N









Gently vortex the master mix then pulse spin. Add the appropriate volume (5 μL) of the RT Master Mix into each well at room temperature.


Remove clinical specimens and control RNAs to thaw. (If the specimens routinely take longer to thaw, this step may be moved upstream in the validated method.)


Vortex the clinical specimens and control RNAs, then pulse spin. Add 10 μL of control RNA or RT-qPCR Test Diluent to each respective control or negative well.


Add 10 μL of sample RNA to each respective sample well (150 ng total input for RT; OD260/OD280 ratio greater than 1.6). Add 10 μL of RT-qPCR Test Diluent to the respective NTC well.


Note: The final reaction volume per well is 15 μL.
















Samples








RT Master Mix
 5 μL



RNA sample
10 μL



Total Volume (per well)
15 μL









Mix by gentle pipetting. Avoid forming bubbles in the wells.


Cover wells with a seal.


Spin the plate to remove any bubbles (1 minute at 400×g).


Rapidly transfer to ABI 7500 Fast Dx Instrument pre-programmed as detailed above.


Click Start. Click Save and Continue. Before leaving the instrument, it is recommended to verify that the run started successfully by displaying a time under Estimated Time Remaining.


qPCR master mix may be prepared to coincide roughly with the end of the RT reaction. For example, start about 15 minutes before this time. See below.


When RT is complete (i.e. resting at 25° C.; stop the hold at any time before 60 minutes is complete), spin the plate to collect condensation (1 minute at 400×g).


qPCR Preparation


Determine the appropriate number of reaction equivalents to be prepared (master mix formulation) based on a plate map and the information provided in RT Preparation above.


Program the ABI 7500 Fast Dx with the settings below.

    • a) Launch the software.
    • b) Click Create New Document
    • c) In the New Document Wizard, select the following options:
    • i. Assay: Standard Curve (Absolute Quantitation)
    • ii. Container: 96-Well Clear
    • iii. Template: Blank Document (or select a laboratory-defined template)
    • iv. Run Mode: Standard 7500
    • v. Operator: Enter operator's initials
    • vi. Plate name: Enter desired file name
    • d) Click Next
    • e) In the Select Detectors dialog box:
    • i. Select the detector for the first biomarker, and then click Add>>.
    • ii. Select the detector second biomarker, and then click Add>>, etc.
    • iii. Passive Reference: ROX
    • f) Click Next
    • g) Assign detectors to appropriate wells according to plate map.
    • i. Highlight wells in which the first biomarker assay will be assigned
    • ii. Click use for the first biomarker detector
    • iii. Repeat the previous two steps for the other biomarkers
    • iv. Click Finish
    • h) Ensure that the Setup and Plate tabs are selected
    • i) Select the Instrument tab in the upper left
    • j) In the Thermal Cycler Protocol area, Thermal Profile tab, perform the following actions, with the results shown in FIG. 9:
    • i. Delete Stage 1 (unless this was completed in a laboratory-defined template).
    • ii. Enter sample volume of 25 μL.
    • iii. 95° C. 10 minutes
    • iv. 40 cycles of 95° C. for 15 seconds, 63° C. for 1 minute
    • v. Run Mode: Standard 7500
    • vi. Collect data using the “stage 2, step 2 (63.0®1:00)” setting
    • k) Label the wells as below using this process: Right click over the plate map, then select Well Inspector. With the Well Inspector open, select a well or wells. Click back into the Well Inspector and enter the Sample Name. Close the Well Inspector when completed.
    • i. CONH for High Control
    • ii. CONL for Low Control
    • iii. CONN for Negative Control
    • iv. NTC for No Template Control
    • v. [Accession ID] for clinical specimens
    • l) Ensure that detectors and quenchers are selected as listed below.
    • i. FAM for DIAPH2 biomarker 1; quencher=none
    • ii. FAM for SERTAD2 biomarker 2; quencher=none
    • iii. FAM for PARL; biomarker 3; quencher=none
    • iv. FAM for PAFAH2; biomarker 4; quencher=none
    • v. FAM for SORT1; biomarker 5; quencher=none
    • vi. FAM for OSBPL9; biomarker 6; quencher=none
    • vii. Select “ROX” for passive reference


      qPCR


In a template-free area, remove the assay qPCR Buffer and assay Primer/Probe Mixes for each target to room temperature to thaw. Leave the assay AmpliTaq Gold in the freezer and/or on a cold block.


Still in a template-free area, prepare qPCR Master Mixes for each target in the listed order at room temperature.


qPCR Master Mixes—Calculation Per Sample

















Per well
×N








qPCR Buffer
 11 μL
 11 × N



Primer/Probe Mix
3.4 μL
3.4 × N



AmpliTaq Gold ®
0.6 μL
0.6 × N



Total Volume
 15 μL
 15 × N









Example forward (F) and reverse (R) primers and probes (P) and their final reaction concentration for measuring six host response transcripts to BaSIRS biomarkers are contained in the following table (F, forward; R, reverse; P, probe).


















Reaction



Reagent
5′-3′ Sequence
mM








DIAPH2-F
GTCCATGAAGAGAATCAATTGGTC
360






DIAPH2-R
AACTTGTCTTCTTTGACTCTTAACC
360






DIAPH2-P
CCCACAGAATTATCTGAGAACTG
 50






SERTAD2-F
GTTCCCAGGTGGAGCTGCATG
360






SERTAD2-R
CCTTCCAGCCCATCTTCATGCTC
360






SERTAD2-P
ATGTTGGGTAAAGGAGGAAAACGG
 50






PARL-F
CATCTTGGGGGAGCTCTTTTTGG
360






PARL-R
CACCACTACTGTCCAATCCCAGT
360






PARL-P
GGAAGAACAGGGAGCCGCTAG
 50






PAFAH2-F
CGGGCCATGTTGGCCTTC
360






PAFAH2-R
CTGGGGTGAGCGACGGT
360






PAFAH2-P
CAGAAGCACCTCGACCTGAAAG
 50






SORT1
GATGCTTTGGACACAGCCTCCC
360






SORT1
TGCTGGGTCCAGCTCCTCTG
360






SORT1
GATGACTCAGATGAGGACCTCTTGG
 50






OSBPL9
GATCAGAACGAGTATGAATCCCGC
360






OSBPL9
CCCACTGAATTTCCTTCTCCTTCC
360






OSBPL9
ACTGAAGCAAAGCACAGGCTTG
 50









Gently mix the master mixes by flicking or by vortexing, and then pulse spin. Add 15 μL of qPCR Master Mix to each well at room temperature.


In a template area, add 130 μL of SeptiCyte Triage Test Diluent to each cDNA product from the RT Reaction. Reseal the plate tightly and vortex the plate to mix thoroughly.


Add 10 μL of diluted cDNA product to each well according to the plate layout.


Mix by gentle pipetting. Avoid forming bubbles in the wells.


Cover wells with an optical seal.


Spin the plate to remove any bubbles (1 minute at 400×g).


Place on real-time thermal cycler pre-programmed with the settings above.


Click Start. Click Save and Continue. Before leaving the instrument, it is recommended to verify that the run started successfully by displaying a time under Estimated Time Remaining.


Note: Do not open the qPCR plate at any point after amplification has begun. When amplification has completed, discard the unopened plate.


Software, Interpretation of Results and Quality Control

Software is specifically designed to integrate with the output of PCR machines and to apply an algorithm based on the use of multiple biomarkers. The software takes into account appropriate controls and reports results in a desired format.


When the run has completed on the ABI 7500 Fast Dx Instrument, complete the steps below in the application 7500 Fast System with 21 CFR Part 11 Software, ABI software SDS v1.4.


Click on the Results tab in the upper left corner.


Click on the Amplification Plot tab in the upper left corner.


In the Analysis Settings area, select an auto baseline and manual threshold for all targets. Enter 0.01 as the threshold.


Click on the Analyse button on the right in the Analysis Settings area.


From the menu bar in the upper left, select File then Close.


Complete the form in the dialog box that requests a reason for the change. Click OK.


Transfer the data file (.sds) to a separate computer running the specific assay RT-qPCR Test Software.


Launch the assay RT-qPCR Test Software. Log in.


From the menu bar in the upper left, select File then Open.


Browse to the location of the transferred data file (.sds). Click OK.


The data file will then be analysed using the assay's software application for interpretation of results.


Interpretation of Results and Quality Control
Results

Launch the interpretation software. Software application instructions are provided separately.


Following upload of the .sds file, the Software will automatically generate classifier scores for controls and clinical specimens.


Controls

The Software compares each CON (control) specimen (CONH, CONL, CONN) to its expected result. The controls are run in singleton.















Control specimen












Designation
Name
Expected result






CONH
High Control
Score range



CONL
Low Control
Score range



CONN
Negative Control
Score range



NTC
No Template Control
Fail (no Ct for all targets)









If CONH, CONL, and/or CONN fail the batch run is invalid and no data will be reported for the clinical specimens. This determination is made automatically by the interpretive software. The batch run should be repeated starting with either a new RNA preparation or starting at the RT reaction step.


If NTC yields a result other than Fail (no Ct for all targets), the batch run is invalid and no data may be reported for the clinical specimens. This determination is made by visual inspection of the run data. The batch run should be repeated starting with either a new RNA preparation or starting at the RT reaction step.


If a second batch run fails, please contact technical services. If both the calibrations and all controls are valid, then the batch run is valid and specimen results will be reported.


Specimens

Note that a valid batch run may contain both valid and invalid specimen results.


Analytical criteria (e.g. Ct values) that qualify each specimen as passing or failing (using pre-determined data) are called automatically by the software.


Scores out of range—reported.


Quality Control

Singletons each of the Negative Control, Low Positive Control, and High Positive Control must be included in each batch run. The batch is valid if no flags appear for any of these controls.


A singleton of the No Template Control is included in each batch run and Fail (no Ct for all targets) is a valid result indicating no amplifiable material was detectable in the well.


The negative control must yield a Negative result. If the negative control is flagged as Invalid, then the entire batch run is invalid.


The low positive and high positive controls must fall within the assigned ranges. If one or both of the positive controls are flagged as Invalid, then the entire batch run is invalid.


Example 10
Example Output

A possible example output from the software for a RO BaSIRS assay is presented FIG. 6. The format of such a report depends on many factors including; quality control, regulatory authorities, cut-off values, the algorithm used, laboratory and clinician requirements, likelihood of misinterpretation.


In this instance the assay is called “SeptiCyte Triage”. The result is reported as a number (5.9), a position on a 0-10 scale, and a probability of the patient having an absence of BaSIRS, or not, based on historical results and the use of a pre-determined cut-off (using results from clinical studies). Results of controls within the assay may also be reported. Other information that could be reported might include: previous results and date and time of such results, a prognosis, a scale that provides cut-off values for historical testing results that separate the conditions of healthy, non-bacterial SIRS and BaSIRS such that those patients with higher scores are considered to have more severe BaSIRS. The reporting of results in this fashion would allow clinicians to see the probability of a patient having BaSIRS to enable ruling out BaSIRS with confidence.


Example 11
Second Example Workflow

A second example workflow will now be described. Machines have been, and are being, developed that are capable of processing a patient sample at point-of-care, or near point-of-care. Such machines require few molecular biology skills to run and are aimed at non-technical users. The idea is that the sample would be pipetted directly into a disposable cartridge(s) that is/are then inserted into the machine. For determining a specific host response the cartridge will need to extract high quality RNA from the cells in the sample for use with an appropriately designed composition to allow reverse transcription followed by RT-PCR. The machines are designed for minimum user interaction such that the user presses “Start” and within 1-3 hours results are generated. The cartridges contains all of the required reagents to perform host cell nucleic acid extraction (RNA), reverse transcription, and qRT-PCR, and the machine has appropriate software incorporated to allow use of algorithms to interpret each result and combine results, and final interpretation and printing of results.


Fresh, whole, anti-coagulated blood can be pipetted into a specialized cartridge (e.g. cartridges designed for Enigma ML machine by Enigma Diagnostics Limited (Enigma Diagnostics Limited, Building 224, Tetricus Science Park, Dstl, Porton Down, Salisbury, Wiltshire SP4 0JQ) or similar (Unyvero, Curetis AG, Max-Eyth-Str. 42 71088 Holzgerlingen, Germany)), and on-screen instructions followed to test for differentiating a BaSIRS from other forms of SIRS. Inside the machine RNA is first extracted from the whole blood and is then converted into cDNA. The cDNA is then used in qRT-PCR reactions. The reactions are followed in real time and Ct values calculated. On-board software generates a result output (see, FIG. 6). Appropriate quality control measures for RNA quality, no template controls, high and low template controls and expected Ct ranges ensure that results are not reported erroneously.


Example 12
Example Algorithm Combining Derived Biomarkers for Assessing a Suspected BaSIRS

Derived biomarkers can be used in combination to increase the diagnostic power for separating various conditions. Determining which markers to use, and how many, for separating various conditions can be achieved by calculating Area Under Curve (AUC).


Biomarker ratios (derived markers) can be used in combination to increase the diagnostic power for separating BaSIRS and SIRS due to other causes. Determining which markers to use, and how many, for separating various conditions can be achieved by calculating Area Under Curve (AUC).



FIG. 4 shows the effect on AUC (in this instance for separating BaSIRS and SIRS due to other causes) of adding derived biomarkers to the diagnostic signature for separating subjects with and without BaSIRS in Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) datasets. Diagnostic power (as measured by AUC, Y axis) of a single derived biomarker starts at around 0.86 and increases as derived markers are added to a maximum of around 0.96. However, beyond the use of three derived markers (AUC˜0.94) there is likely overfitting, or introduction of noise. For commercial development of derived markers other factors come into play such as cost-effectiveness, assay complexity and capabilities of the qRT-PCR platform. In this example, the addition of derived biomarkers beyond three or four does not significantly improve performance, adds little additional information and likely runs the risk of data over-fitting and addition of noise. Thus, for commercial purposes, a combination of the three best derived markers provides a balance between maximal AUC and over-fitting.


As such, and by example, a six-biomarker signature (three derived biomarkers) offers the appropriate balance between simplicity, practicality and commercial risk for separating BaSIRS and SIRS due to other causes. Further, an equation using six biomarkers weighs each marker equally which also provides additional robustness in cases of analytical or clinical variability.


One example equation that provides good diagnostic power for separating BaSIRS and SIRS due to other causes is (where the value for each biomarker is a Ct value):





“Diagnostic Score”=(DIAPH2−SERTAD2)+(PARL−PAFAH2)+(SORT1−OSBPL9)


Box and whisker plots using these six biomarkers for six GEO datasets are shown in FIG. 6 showing good separation between controls (lower box and whiskers—those subjects without BaSIRS) and cases (higher box and whiskers—those subjects with confirmed BaSIRS).


Note: each marker in the Diagnostic Score above is the Log 2 transformed concentration of the marker in the sample.


The disclosure of every patent, patent application, and publication cited herein is hereby incorporated herein by reference in its entirety.


The citation of any reference herein should not be construed as an admission that such reference is available as “Prior Art” to the instant application.


Throughout the specification the aim has been to describe the preferred embodiments of the invention without limiting the invention to any one embodiment or specific collection of features. Those of skill in the art will therefore appreciate that, in light of the instant disclosure, various modifications and changes can be made in the particular embodiments exemplified without departing from the scope of the present invention. All such modifications and changes are intended to be included within the scope of the appended claims.









TABLE 1







List and condition description of public datasets (GEO) used to find the best


performing BaSIRS derived biomarkers for use in a triage setting, including the number of subjects


in each cohort (in brackets).








Dataset
Condition





GSE30119

Staphylococcus aureus (99) vs Healthy (44)



GSE33341

S. aureus, E coli (51) vs Healthy (43)



GSE16129

S. aureus (42) vs Healthy (10)



GSE25504
Bacterial (26) vs Healthy (37)


GSE40586
Bacterial meningitis (21) vs Healthy (18)


GSE40012
Bacterial pneumonia (19) vs Viral and SIRS (115)
















TABLE 2







List and condition description of public datasets (GEO) used to find the best


performing non-bacterial SIRS derived biomarkers. These were then subtracted from the BaSIRS


derived biomarkers identified from the datasets in Table 1. Note that other datasets were used to


derive a set of specific viral derived biomarkers which were also subtracted from the BaSIRS


derived biomarkers identified from the datasets in Table 1.












Cases vs



Dataset
Description
Controls
Overlapping Ratios with BaSIRS





GSE17755
Arthritis; Lupus
191 vs 53
 2346 (8%)


GSE19301
Asthma
166 vs 394
  1 (<1%)


GSE35846
Race, gender, BMI
190 vs 0
 1180 (4%)


GSE36809
Trauma
167 vs 37
16944 (55%)


GSE38485
Schizophrenia
106 vs 96
  13 (<1%)


GSE47655
Anaphylaxis
 6 vs 5
 733 (2%)


GSE52428
Influenza
 41 vs 39
 6401 (21%)
















TABLE 3







The mean cumulative performance (AUC) in the BaSIRS


datasets of the derived biomarkers (that comprise the three


derived biomarker signature) when each are added sequentially.








Derived Biomarker
Cumulative AUC





DIAPH2:SERTAD2
0.863


PARL:PAFAH2
0.92


SORT1:OSBPL9
0.94
















TABLE 4







Results of greedy searches to find the best performing derived biomarkers (when added sequentially up to 10) using the combined


bacterial datasets. Three different cut-off values were used (AUC 70, 80 and 90) for derived biomarkers in the non-bacterial datasets.


Using a low cut-off value in the non-bacterial datasets resulted in more derived biomarkers that were taken from the pool


of derived biomarkers identified using the bacterial datasets. Hence, the total numbers of derived biomarkers remaining after


subtraction were 92, 493 and 3257 for cut-off values of 70, 80 and 90 respectively. The best combination of derived


biomarkers with the maximum AUC, maximum specificity, minimum noise and highest commercial utility was considered


to be DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9 obtained after the third greedy search iteration.










Greedy Search
Cut-
Mean



Iteration
off
AUC
Combination













1
70
0.863
DIAPH2_SERTAD2


2
70
0.920
PARL_PAFAH2 + DIAPH2_SERTAD2


3
70
0.940
PARL_PAFAH2 + SORT1_OSBPL9 + DIAPH2_SERTAD2


4
70
0.952
PARL_PAFAH2 + SORT1_OSBPL9 + CHPT1_RANBP10 + DIAPH2_SERTAD2


5
70
0.956
PARL_PAFAH2 + SORT1_OSBPL9 + FLVCR2_KATNA1 + CHPT1_RANBP10 +





DIAPH2_SERTAD2


6
70
0.959
PARL_PAFAH2 + SORT1_OSBPL9 + GAS7_RAB11FIP1 + FLVCR2_KATNA1 +





CHPT1_RANBP10 + DIAPH2_SERTAD2


7
70
0.962
PARL_PAFAH2 + SORT1_OSBPL9 + GAS7_RAB11FIP1 + FLVCR2_KATNA1 +





CHPT1_RANBP10 + DIAPH2_SERTAD2 + PRRG4_GLOD4


8
70
0.963
PARL_PAFAH2 + SORT1_OSBPL9 + GAS7_RAB11FIP1 + FLVCR2_KATNA1 +





CHPT1_RANBP10 + DIAPH2_SERTAD2 + PRRG4_GLOD4 + FURIN_RANBP10


9
70
0.964
CHPT1_FBXO7 + PARL_PAFAH2 + SORT1_OSBPL9 + GAS7_RAB11FIP1 +





FLVCR2_KATNA1 + CHPT1_RANBP10 + DIAPH2_SERTAD2 + PRRG4_GLOD4 +





FURIN_RANBP10


10
70
0.965
CHPT1_FBXO7 + PARL_PAFAH2 + SORT1_OSBPL9 + GAS7_RAB11FIP1 + SORT1_CNBP +





FLVCR2_KATNA1 + CHPT1_RANBP10 + DIAPH2_SERTAD2 + PRRG4_GLOD4 +





FURIN_RANBP10


1
80
0.873
SLC25A28_ID3


2
80
0.917
SLC25A28_ID3 + SORT1_INPP1


3
80
0.937
DIAPH2_SERTAD2 + SLC25A28_ID3 + SORT1_INPP1


4
80
0.947
RHEB_IMP3 + DIAPH2_SERTAD2 + SLC25A28_ID3 + SORT1_INPP1


5
80
0.952
DIAPH2_CRLF3 + RHEB_IMP3 + DIAPH2_SERTAD2 + SLC25A28_ID3 + SORT1_INPP1


6
80
0.956
DIAPH2_CRLF3 + RHEB_IMP3 + DIAPH2_SERTAD2 + HOXB6_PAFAH2 + SLC25A28_ID3 +





SORT1_INPP1


7
80
0.959
CHPT1_FBXO7 + DIAPH2_CRLF3 + RHEB_IMP3 + DIAPH2_SERTAD2 + HOXB6_PAFAH2 +





SLC25A28_ID3 + SORT1_INPP1


8
80
0.961
CHPT1_FBXO7 + DIAPH2_CRLF3 + SORT1_OSBPL9 + RHEB_IMP3 + DIAPH2_SERTAD2 +





HOXB6_PAFAH2 + SLC25A28_ID3 + SORT1_INPP1


9
80
0.963
CHPT1_FBXO7 + DIAPH2_CRLF3 + SMPDL3A_BTG2 + SORT1_OSBPL9 + RHEB_IMP3 +





DIAPH2_SERTAD2 + HOXB6_PAFAH2 + SLC25A28_ID3 + SORT1_INPP1


10
80
0.965
CHPT1_FBXO7 + DIAPH2_CRLF3 + SMPDL3A_BTG2 + SORT1_OSBPL9 + RHEB_IMP3 +





DIAPH2_SERTAD2 + HOXB6_PAFAH2 + FURIN_RANBP10 + SLC25A28_ID3 +





SORT1_INPP1


1
90
0.893
DIAPH2_PAFAH2


2
90
0.927
SORT1_OSBPL9 + DIAPH2_PAFAH2


3
90
0.944
SORT1_OSBPL9 + CHPT1_RANBP10 + DIAPH2_PAFAH2


4
90
0.950
SORT1_OSBPL9 + CHPT1_RANBP10 + SMPDL3A_SYPL1 + DIAPH2_PAFAH2


5
90
0.954
SORT1_OSBPL9 + GAS7_RAB11FIP1 + CHPT1_RANBP10 + SMPDL3A_SYPL1 +





DIAPH2_PAFAH2


6
90
0.956
SORT1_OSBPL9 + GAS7_RAB11FIP1 + HIST1H2BK_WDR33 + CHPT1_RANBP10 +





SMPDL3A_SYPL1 + DIAPH2_PAFAH2


7
90
0.959
SORT1_OSBPL9 + GAS7_RAB11FIP1 + HIST1H2BK_WDR33 + CHPT1_RANBP10 +





SMPDL3A_SYPL1 + DIAPH2_CCR3 + DIAPH2_PAFAH2


8
90
0.960
SORT1_OSBPL9 + GAS7_RAB11FIP1 + HIST1H2BK_WDR33 + CHPT1_RANBP10 +





MUT_ACTL6A + SMPDL3A_SYPL1 + DIAPH2_CCR3 + DIAPH2_PAFAH2


9
90
0.962
SORT1_OSBPL9 + GAS7_RAB11FIP1 + FLVCR2_KATNA1 + HIST1H2BK_WDR33 + CHPT1_





RANBP10 + MUT_ACTL6A + SMPDL3A_SYPL1 + DIAPH2_CCR3 + DIAPH2_PAFAH2


10
90
0.964
SORT1_OSBPL9 + GAS7_RAB11FIP1 + FLVCR2_KATNA1 + HIST1H2BK_WDR33 + CHPT1_





RANBP10 + MUT_ACTL6A + SMPDL3A_SYPL1 + SORT1_AKAP7 + DIAPH2_CCR3 +





DIAPH2_PAFAH2









Table 5 (a and b): Groups of derived biomarkers (A-F) based on their correlation to each individual biomarker in the three derived biomarker signature of DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9. Groups A-C are contained in Table 5a and Groups D-F are contained in Table 5b. A DNA SEQ ID # is provided for each biomarker HUGO gene symbol.











TABLE 5a







Group A
Group B
Group C
















DNA
Correlation to

DNA
Correlation to

DNA
Correlation to


Symbol
SEQ ID
DIAPH2
Symbol
SEQ ID
SERTAD2
Symbol
SEQ ID
PARL


















CYBB
36
0.626
PHF3
115
0.380
AIF1
4
0.516


FXR1
53
0.351
BRD7
15
0.327
PTPN2
128
0.478


GBP2
56
0.280
TOB1
172
0.326
COX5B
30
0.439


HIST1H2BM
63
0.141
MAP4K2
90
0.285
PSMB4
126
0.429


HIST1H4L
65
0.061
WDR33
177
0.269
EIF4E2
43
0.426


MAPK8IP3
92
0.289
BTG2
16
0.243
RDX
137
0.403


MNT
99
0.395
AMD1
9
0.237
DERA
38
0.376


MUT
101
0.421
RNASE6
138
0.224
CTSH
35
0.366


NAGK
105
0.125
RAB11FIP1
130
0.183
HSPA4
70
0.292


NMI
106
0.419
ADD1
2
0.158
VAV1
176
0.240


PPP1CB
121
0.239
HMG20B
67
0.139
PPP1CA
120
0.223


PRPF40A
124
0.469



CPVL
31
0.223


PRRG4
125
0.291



PDCD5
112
0.191


PUS3
129
0.417








SLAMF7
152
0.290








SLC11A2
153
0.388








SLC39A8
157
0.510








SNAPC1
159
0.317








TMEM80
171
0.215


















TABLE 5b







Group D
Group E
Group F
















DNA
Correlation to

DNA
Correlation to

DNA
Correlation to


Symbol
SEQ ID
PAFAH2
Symbol
SEQ ID
SORT1
Symbol
SEQ ID
OSBPL9


















IMP3
75
0.651
GAS7
55
0.765
CD44
20
0.487


GLOD4
58
0.634
FLVCR2
49
0.762
AKTIP
7
0.477


IL7R
74
0.632
TLR5
169
0.761
ATP13A3
12
0.473


ID3
71
0.604
FCER1G
47
0.753
ADAM19
1
0.429


KLRF1
83
0.604
SLC2A3
156
0.740
KATNA1
81
0.408


SBF1
146
0.573
S100A12
143
0.730
STK38
164
0.407


CCND2
19
0.563
PSTPIP2
127
0.709
TINF2
168
0.326


LFNG
85
0.562
GNS
59
0.698
RAB9A
132
0.321


MRPS18B
100
0.551
METTL9
95
0.695
INPP1
77
0.261


HLA-DPA1
66
0.545
MMP8
98
0.685
CNBP
27
0.240


SLC9A3R1
158
0.542
MAPK14
91
0.678
ITGB1
80
0.193


HMGN4
68
0.537
CD59
21
0.675
MFSD10
96
0.173


C6orf48
18
0.529
CLEC4E
25
0.673





ARL2BP
10
0.522
MICAL1
97
0.658





CDC14A
22
0.517
MCTP1
93
0.644





RPA2
140
0.503
GAPDH
54
0.640





ST3GAL5
162
0.502
IMPDH1
76
0.638





EIF4A2
42
0.501
ATP8B4
14
0.623





CERK
23
0.496
EMR1
44
0.618





RASSF7
136
0.491
SLC12A9
154
0.610





PHB
114
0.488
S100P
144
0.603





TRAF3IP2
174
0.487
IFNGR2
73
0.594





KLF2
82
0.485
PDGFC
113
0.592





RAB11FIP3
131
0.476
CTSA
33
0.559





C21orf59
17
0.475
ALDOA
8
0.552





SSBP2
161
0.473
ITGAX
79
0.549





GIMAP4
57
0.437
GSTO1
61
0.545





CYP20A1
37
0.428
LHFPL2
86
0.526





RASGRP2
134
0.427
LTF
89
0.515





AKT1
6
0.413
SDHC
148
0.493





HCP5
61
0.388
TIMP1
167
0.484





TPP2
173
0.386
LTA4H
88
0.474





SYNE2
165
0.383
USP3
175
0.460





FUT8
52
0.369
MEGF9
94
0.456





NUPL2
107
0.361
FURIN
51
0.442





MYOM2
104
0.360
ATP6V0A1
13
0.425





RPS8
142
0.355
PROS1
123
0.424





RNF34
139
0.342
ATG9A
11
0.398





DLST
41
0.329
PLAC8
116
0.394





CTDSP2
32
0.310
LAMP1
84
0.393





EMP3
44
0.306
COQ10B
29
0.393





PLEKHG3
117
0.274
ST3GAL6
163
0.391





DHX16
39
0.271
CTSC
34
0.391





RASGRP3
135
0.232
ENO1
45
0.389





COMMD4
28
0.223
OBFC1
108
0.382





ISG20
78
0.222
TAX1BP1
166
0.375





POLR2C
119
0.204
MYL9
103
0.350





SH3GLB2
151
0.187
HIST1H3C
64
0.287





SASH3
145
0.182
ZBTB17
179
0.281





GRAP2
60
0.157
CHPT1
24
0.279





RPS6KB2
141
0.154
SLC25A37
155
0.266





FGL2
48
0.154
PLEKHM2
118
0.266





AKAP7
5
0.141
LILRB3
87
0.261





SDF2L1
147
0.136
YPEL5
178
0.226





FBXO7
46
0.116
FTL
50
0.205





MX1
102
0.112
SH3BGRL
150
0.163





IFIT1
72
0.062
HOXB6
69
0.144





TMEM106C
170
0.057
PPP1R11
122
0.139





RANBP10
133
0.045
CLU
26
0.136








HEBP1
62
0.125
















TABLE 6







Performance of 200 derived biomarkers at a set sepsis prevalence of 10%.


Performance measures include Area Under Curve (AUC) and Negative


Predictive Value (NPV). The NPV of these derived biomarkers increases


as the prevalence of sepsis decreases, so all those listed would perform


well in an emergency room setting where the prevalence of sepsis is


estimated to be closer to 4% (see Table 7).
















AUC
AUC
NPV
NPV


Derived Biomarker
AUC
NPV
(upper)
(lower)
(lower)
(upper)
















AIF1_HMGN4
0.809
94.599
0.697
0.905
92.208
97.370


ALDOA_MAP4K2
0.813
95.000
0.663
0.936
95.000
100.000


ATG9A_RAB11FIP3
0.802
95.254
0.698
0.889
92.203
98.649


ATP13A3_IL7R
0.839
95.044
0.707
0.936
92.303
97.648


ATP6V0A1_RASSF7
0.808
94.884
0.673
0.913
91.856
97.532


ATP8B4_CCND2
0.833
94.937
0.734
0.923
92.396
97.562


CD44_GIMAP4
0.748
95.034
0.591
0.911
90.562
100.000


CD44_HLA-DPA1
0.751
95.065
0.576
0.897
91.661
98.552


CD44_IL7R
0.781
95.030
0.652
0.906
92.500
97.503


CD44_RPA2
0.760
95.100
0.625
0.917
92.578
98.552


CD59_GIMAP4
0.803
94.977
0.638
0.925
91.765
97.532


CDC14A_CCND2
0.587
92.613
0.439
0.719
66.667
100.000


CDC14A_IL7R
0.611
93.349
0.456
0.766
80.000
100.000


CHPT1_FBXO7
0.819
94.665
0.715
0.929
91.949
97.720


CHPT1-RANBP10
0.800
95.205
0.672
0.914
92.400
97.531


CLEC4E_MX1
0.718
94.976
0.551
0.877
91.070
98.279


CLEC4E_SYNE2
0.793
94.971
0.673
0.922
91.775
98.651


CLU_CCND2
0.758
94.854
0.613
0.870
91.341
97.468


CLU_IL7R
0.760
94.633
0.643
0.868
91.543
97.260


COQ10B TRAF3IP2
0.799
94.810
0.650
0.923
91.566
97.590


COX5B PHB
0.832
94.855
0.730
0.926
92.308
97.677


CPVL_IL7R
0.677
94.613
0.539
0.789
80.000
100.000


CTSA_DLST
0.822
94.991
0.678
0.933
92.456
97.620


CTSA_HMG20B
0.821
94.629
0.706
0.936
92.130
97.592


CTSC_CCND2
0.799
95.082
0.642
0.907
92.016
97.588


CTSH_IL7R
0.787
95.016
0.661
0.885
92.000
97.608


CYBB_BRD7
0.805
95.164
0.667
0.915
75.000
100.000


DERA_HMGN4
0.827
94.719
0.718
0.935
91.860
97.648


DIAPH2_CCND2
0.894
95.000
0.805
0.964
95.000
100.000


DIAPH2_HLA-DPA1
0.862
94.896
0.749
0.953
91.574
97.620


DIAPH2_IL7R
0.871
94.999
0.777
0.948
92.130
97.647


DIAPH2 PHF3
0.822
94.627
0.727
0.911
91.856
97.438


DIAPH2_RAB9A
0.806
94.974
0.669
0.918
92.041
97.619


DIAPH2_RNASE6
0.792
95.025
0.668
0.898
91.667
97.335


DIAPH2_SERTAD2
0.857
94.759
0.726
0.935
91.860
97.593


DIAPH2_ST3GAL5
0.818
94.839
0.683
0.941
92.130
97.592


DIAPH2_STK38
0.795
95.399
0.671
0.880
91.539
98.572


EIF4E2_C21orf59
0.821
95.255
0.717
0.923
92.098
98.685


EMR1_AKT1
0.786
94.876
0.667
0.891
91.775
98.571


ENO1_IL7R
0.803
94.555
0.653
0.903
91.886
97.468


FCER1G_CD44
0.740
95.150
0.596
0.858
90.909
98.439


FCER1G_CDC14A
0.847
95.200
0.751
0.932
92.130
97.592


FCER1G_MX1
0.780
94.926
0.566
0.931
91.837
97.678


FCER1G_SDHC
0.673
95.181
0.523
0.789
88.868
100.000


FLVCR2_KATNA1
0.837
95.209
0.700
0.947
92.045
97.802


FTL_CCND2
0.748
95.191
0.634
0.868
91.803
98.662


FTL_IL7R
0.770
95.203
0.654
0.872
92.000
98.509


FURIN_ADD1
0.824
95.043
0.694
0.931
92.203
97.500


FURIN_BTG2
0.830
94.872
0.733
0.918
92.771
97.590


FURIN_RANBP10
0.824
94.819
0.716
0.912
92.573
97.373


FURIN_SH3GLB2
0.826
95.000
0.693
0.938
95.000
100.000


FUT8_IL7R
0.593
94.288
0.431
0.764
80.000
100.000


FXR1_EIF4A2
0.816
95.052
0.690
0.927
91.760
97.561


GAPDH_COMMD4
0.794
95.061
0.622
0.922
92.295
97.778


GAPDH_PPP1CA
0.802
94.851
0.684
0.915
91.358
98.668


GAPDH_RPS6KB2
0.789
95.186
0.640
0.919
91.775
98.701


GAS7_ADD1
0.809
94.939
0.672
0.935
91.561
97.698


GAS7_RAB11FIP1
0.855
95.397
0.719
0.950
92.748
97.648


GBP2_GIMAP4
0.808
95.089
0.657
0.926
92.593
97.590


GBP2_HCP5
0.796
94.955
0.684
0.913
91.765
98.630


GBP2_MX1
0.709
94.867
0.533
0.858
87.097
100.000


GNS_PLEKHG3
0.833
95.069
0.726
0.937
92.126
97.676


GSTO1_RASGRP3
0.802
94.904
0.654
0.923
91.667
97.619


GSTO1_SDF2L1
0.793
94.946
0.668
0.913
79.750
100.000


HEBP1_SSBP2
0.824
95.019
0.690
0.926
91.238
97.620


HIST1H2BM_CCND2
0.757
95.085
0.622
0.858
92.374
98.463


HIST1H2BM_IL7R
0.755
94.864
0.620
0.865
91.524
98.462


HIST1H3C_IL7R
0.804
95.337
0.701
0.897
92.758
98.593


HOXB6_PAFAH2
0.832
94.632
0.728
0.910
91.517
97.502


HSPA4_IMP3
0.820
94.753
0.704
0.904
92.102
97.404


IFNGR2_CCND2
0.841
95.248
0.715
0.931
92.400
97.562


IFNGR2_HLA-DPA1
0.812
94.909
0.663
0.935
91.954
98.687


IFNGR2_IL7R
0.823
94.941
0.684
0.918
91.945
97.561


IMPDH1_BTG2
0.837
95.128
0.701
0.940
93.231
97.701


ITGAX_RASGRP2
0.791
95.077
0.668
0.892
92.303
97.468


ITGB1_IL7R
0.708
95.114
0.571
0.846
83.284
100.000


LAMP1_HLA-DPA1
0.760
94.964
0.598
0.895
91.667
98.630


LAMP1_IL7R
0.775
94.949
0.635
0.900
75.000
100.000


LHFPL2_ISG20
0.804
94.887
0.678
0.899
91.635
97.502


LILRB3_IL7R
0.816
94.833
0.684
0.926
79.167
100.000


LTA4H_CCND2
0.812
95.186
0.682
0.921
92.176
98.595


LTA4H_CERK
0.809
95.000
0.706
0.905
95.000
100.000


LTA4H_CPVL
0.761
94.870
0.628
0.860
91.983
97.470


LTA4H_RPS8
0.847
94.744
0.725
0.948
92.473
96.703


LTA4H_ST3GAL5
0.760
95.048
0.583
0.903
91.347
97.583


LTA4H_TMEM106C
0.708
95.071
0.566
0.836
90.843
98.173


LTA4H_WDR33
0.784
95.012
0.664
0.916
91.549
98.632


LTF MAP4K2
0.777
95.138
0.624
0.909
91.949
98.684


MAPK14_GIMAP4
0.827
95.325
0.711
0.909
92.395
97.500


MAPK14_IL7R
0.836
94.894
0.710
0.917
91.954
97.534


MAPK14_MX1
0.715
94.947
0.568
0.868
92.423
98.465


MAPK8IP3_IMP3
0.819
95.259
0.705
0.932
92.551
98.670


MCTP1_AMD1
0.845
95.150
0.699
0.957
74.583
100.000


MCTP1_TOB1
0.841
95.250
0.733
0.933
92.209
98.719


MEGF9_CCND2
0.785
95.203
0.656
0.907
92.830
97.531


MEGF9_CDC14A
0.754
95.057
0.628
0.895
71.429
100.000


MEGF9_GIMAP4
0.763
94.755
0.609
0.893
91.760
97.588


MEGF9_HLA-DPA1
0.758
95.055
0.589
0.900
92.762
97.590


MEGF9_IL7R
0.786
95.082
0.640
0.893
92.857
97.674


METTL9_AKTIP
0.808
95.102
0.680
0.904
91.876
97.593


MICAL1_DHX16
0.805
94.977
0.680
0.903
92.195
97.470


MICAL1_STK38
0.801
95.014
0.692
0.905
92.405
97.526


MMP8_CCND2
0.851
94.945
0.744
0.946
91.954
97.701


MMP8_CD44
0.681
95.171
0.550
0.817
89.617
100.000


MMP8 CTSC
0.628
93.515
0.476
0.781
90.284
96.777


MMP8_ENO1
0.657
94.033
0.498
0.810
89.186
97.738


MMP8_FGL2
0.745
95.048
0.598
0.892
91.892
98.554


MMP8_FTL
0.675
95.472
0.527
0.840
88.199
100.000


MMP8_FUT8
0.830
95.077
0.682
0.941
92.495
97.671


MMP8_IL7R
0.854
94.995
0.753
0.941
91.667
97.623


MMP8_ITGB1
0.762
95.044
0.621
0.884
91.364
98.388


MMP8_LAMP1
0.668
95.074
0.525
0.798
86.894
100.000


MMP8_PLAC8
0.615
92.780
0.452
0.764
89.987
95.062


MMP8_RPS8
0.845
94.742
0.711
0.947
92.218
96.591


MMPS_SDHC
0.626
94.167
0.465
0.773
66.667
100.000


MMP8_ST3GAL5
0.783
95.070
0.646
0.895
92.194
97.468


MMP8_TMEM106C
0.792
95.070
0.678
0.897
91.755
97.503


MMP8_TPP2
0.786
94.959
0.666
0.892
92.400
97.438


MMP8_VAV1
0.644
94.122
0.489
0.787
87.500
100.000


MNT_KLF2
0.823
94.677
0.704
0.904
91.856
97.375


MNT_SLC9A3R1
0.797
94.996
0.662
0.918
91.561
98.702


MUT_NUPL2
0.794
95.276
0.701
0.890
92.303
98.489


MYL9_GRAP2
0.830
95.275
0.723
0.945
92.857
97.647


MYL9_KLF2
0.828
95.000
0.729
0.921
95.000
100.000


NMI_MX1
0.707
95.147
0.594
0.847
88.000
100.000


OBFC1_C6orf48
0.789
95.003
0.668
0.909
92.651
97.561


PARL_PAFAH2
0.832
94.723
0.703
0.925
91.949
97.697


PDGFC_CCND2
0.853
95.770
0.724
0.940
93.182
97.701


PDGFC_FUT8
0.823
94.969
0.705
0.924
92.853
97.647


PDGFC_IL7R
0.859
95.136
0.740
0.935
92.218
97.755


PDGFC_ITGB1
0.796
94.980
0.705
0.891
92.396
97.503


PLEKHM2_SBF1
0.832
94.929
0.685
0.925
92.649
97.675


PPP1CB_PAFAH2
0.805
94.706
0.658
0.915
91.856
97.622


PROS1_MYOM2
0.793
95.000
0.671
0.901
95.000
100.000


PROS1_WDR33
0.786
94.905
0.684
0.869
92.303
97.338


PRPF40A_MRPS18B
0.782
94.822
0.641
0.906
91.860
97.470


PRRG4_GLOD4
0.838
95.228
0.735
0.935
92.292
97.673


PSMB4_IMP3
0.832
95.047
0.704
0.927
91.744
98.703


PSTPIP2_AKAP7
0.816
94.930
0.687
0.925
91.662
97.438


PTPN2_CYP20A1
0.819
95.000
0.679
0.913
95.000
100.000


PUS3_PAFAH2
0.832
95.234
0.710
0.936
92.121
98.686


S100A12_POLR2C
0.780
95.052
0.665
0.885
91.892
98.510


S100P_GIMAP4
0.798
95.217
0.637
0.932
74.583
100.000


S100P_HLA-DPA1
0.802
94.985
0.675
0.907
91.453
97.403


S100P_IL7R
0.842
94.982
0.724
0.941
92.130
97.702


SH3BGRL_GLOD4
0.790
95.143
0.627
0.924
91.765
98.593


SLC11A2_ID3
0.845
95.105
0.747
0.921
92.222
97.619


SLC12A9_CTDSP2
0.829
95.177
0.733
0.915
92.674
98.633


SLC25A37_FBXO7
0.816
95.088
0.713
0.931
91.755
98.668


SLC2A3 ADAM19
0.813
94.857
0.650
0.914
91.458
97.535


SLC2A3_MFSD10
0.772
94.829
0.611
0.882
91.870
97.470


SLC39A8_CCND2
0.865
94.713
0.759
0.952
91.489
97.676


SLC39A8_IL7R
0.852
95.299
0.719
0.938
91.949
97.620


SLC39A8_LFNG
0.806
94.936
0.655
0.921
92.378
97.439


SLC39A8_WDR33
0.816
95.142
0.677
0.947
92.676
98.702


SNAPC1_IL7R
0.800
95.001
0.674
0.915
92.570
98.688


SORT1_CNBP
0.857
94.991
0.758
0.940
92.905
97.620


SORT1_INPP1
0.811
94.668
0.698
0.910
92.027
96.631


SORT1_NAGK
0.801
94.573
0.688
0.909
92.093
97.372


SORT1_OSBPL9
0.825
95.073
0.682
0.941
92.126
98.766


SORT1_PDCD5
0.830
95.024
0.706
0.933
92.303
97.702


SORT1_PPP1R11
0.792
95.009
0.682
0.926
91.463
97.531


SORT1_SASH3
0.792
95.434
0.648
0.909
92.674
98.650


SORT1_TINF2
0.795
94.799
0.650
0.917
91.954
97.561


ST3GAL6_KLRF1
0.812
95.008
0.702
0.918
91.954
97.592


TAX1BP1_NUPL2
0.802
94.928
0.689
0.901
91.458
97.503


TIMP1_EMP3
0.804
95.149
0.694
0.903
92.308
98.631


TIMP1_IL7R
0.848
94.932
0.751
0.928
92.500
97.532


TLR5_CPVL
0.777
94.789
0.645
0.906
91.239
97.522


TLR5_CTSH
0.658
94.708
0.517
0.808
75.000
100.000


TLR5_DIAPH2
0.558
94.871
0.385
0.738
74.583
100.000


TLR5_ENO1
0.666
95.005
0.499
0.805
77.639
100.000


TLR5_FGL2
0.788
94.815
0.652
0.892
91.122
98.593


TLR5_FTL
0.705
95.000
0.557
0.852
91.063
98.362


TLR5_FUT8
0.841
94.932
0.715
0.939
91.760
97.592


TLR5_GBP2
0.667
94.997
0.499
0.856
80.000
100.000


TLR5_HIST1H2BM
0.727
94.972
0.589
0.870
91.045
98.462


TLR5 HIST1H3C
0.660
95.055
0.501
0.785
87.458
100.000


TLR5_HIST1H4L
0.711
95.181
0.562
0.839
87.500
100.000


TLR5_HLA-DPA1
0.828
94.893
0.715
0.940
92.385
97.641


TLR5_IFIT1
0.756
95.063
0.603
0.906
81.818
100.000


TLR5_IFNGR2
0.630
94.879
0.476
0.754
83.333
100.000


TLR5_ITGB1
0.788
94.871
0.657
0.888
91.760
97.436


TLR5_MX1
0.768
94.964
0.613
0.910
92.192
98.650


TLR5_NMI
0.644
94.892
0.522
0.773
89.730
100.000


TLR5_PLAC8
0.640
94.258
0.491
0.802
88.537
100.000


TLR5_RDX
0.712
95.106
0.551
0.853
87.473
100.000


TLR5_SDHC
0.678
95.081
0.532
0.805
88.889
100.000


TLR5_SLAMF7
0.681
95.347
0.524
0.840
89.617
100.000


TLR5_ST3GAL5
0.808
94.993
0.693
0.925
92.209
98.704


TLR5_TMEM106C
0.767
95.122
0.603
0.890
92.208
97.487


TLR5_TPP2
0.811
95.247
0.671
0.933
75.000
100.000


TLR5_VAV1
0.692
95.083
0.556
0.833
66.667
100.000


TMEM106C_IL7R
0.683
94.808
0.562
0.797
91.379
98.214


TMEM80 IMP3
0.818
94.948
0.697
0.917
92.561
97.562


TPP2_IL7R
0.658
95.008
0.515
0.782
83.333
100.000


USP3_RNF34
0.808
95.276
0.702
0.918
92.948
98.593


VAV1_IL7R
0.805
94.652
0.694
0.886
91.949
97.561


YPEL5_ARL2BP
0.793
95.099
0.621
0.914
92.593
97.590


ZBTB17_ID3
0.839
95.050
0.717
0.937
66.667
100.000
















TABLE 7







Performance of 200 derived biomarkers at a set sepsis prevalence of 5%.


Performance measures include Area Under Curve (AUC) and Negative


Predictive Value (NPV).
















AUC
AUC
NPV
NPV


Derived Biomarker
AUC
NPV
(upper)
(lower)
(lower)
(upper)
















AIF1_HMGN4
0.797
95.000
0.610
0.924
95.000
95.000


ALDOA_MAP4K2
0.808
95.038
0.621
0.956
95.000
95.000


ATG9A_RAB11FIP3
0.810
95.019
0.674
0.924
95.000
95.000


ATP13A3_IL7R
0.846
95.038
0.692
0.971
95.000
95.000


ATP6VOA1_RASSF7
0.832
95.096
0.686
0.960
95.000
95.960


ATP8B4_CCND2
0.827
95.067
0.646
0.954
95.000
95.960


CD44_GIMAP4
0.737
95.010
0.531
0.943
95.000
95.000


CD44_HLA-DPA1
0.746
95.096
0.567
0.939
95.000
95.960


CD44_IL7R
0.779
95.125
0.595
0.943
95.000
95.960


CD44_RPA2
0.780
95.058
0.604
0.931
95.000
95.960


CD44_RPA2
0.777
95.058
0.528
0.943
95.000
95.960


CD59_GIMAP4
0.831
95.086
0.632
0.956
95.000
95.960


CDC14A_CCND2
0.594
95.003
0.333
0.832
94.949
95.000


CDC14A_IL7R
0.617
95.038
0.340
0.842
95.000
95.000


CHPT1_FBXO7
0.813
95.048
0.676
0.937
95.000
95.048


CHPT1_RANBP10
0.792
95.058
0.602
0.941
95.000
95.960


CHPT1_RANBP10
0.800
95.058
0.584
0.960
95.000
95.960


CLEC4E_MX1
0.704
95.086
0.439
0.941
95.000
95.960


CLEC4E_MX1
0.751
95.086
0.496
0.950
95.000
95.960


CLEC4E_SYNE2
0.780
95.010
0.556
0.929
94.949
95.000


CLU_CCND2
0.749
95.053
0.591
0.895
94.898
95.920


CLU_IL7R
0.767
95.020
0.602
0.917
94.949
95.000


COQ10B_TRAF3IP2
0.793
95.048
0.574
0.952
95.000
95.048


COX5B_PHB
0.846
95.000
0.703
0.975
95.000
95.000


CPVL_IL7R
0.695
95.048
0.498
0.897
95.000
95.048


CTSA_DLST
0.826
95.040
0.658
0.965
94.949
95.918


CTSA_HMG20B
0.815
95.010
0.665
0.950
95.000
95.000


CTSC_CCND2
0.806
95.059
0.581
0.937
94.949
95.918


CTSH_IL7R
0.801
95.058
0.617
0.935
95.000
95.048


CYBB_BRD7
0.794
95.010
0.619
0.939
95.000
95.000


DERA HMGN4
0.818
95.117
0.677
0.950
94.949
95.960


DIAPH2_CCND2
0.878
95.043
0.728
0.979
94.949
95.918


DIAPH2_HLA-DPA1
0.849
95.019
0.690
0.971
95.000
95.000


DIAPH2_IL7R
0.886
95.086
0.774
0.975
95.000
95.960


DIAPH2_PHF3
0.815
95.038
0.623
0.933
95.000
95.000


DIAPH2_RAB9A
0.795
95.038
0.583
0.945
95.000
95.000


DIAPH2_RNASE6
0.773
95.029
0.551
0.929
95.000
95.000


DIAPH2_SERTAD2
0.850
95.049
0.701
0.947
94.949
95.918


DIAPH2_ST3GAL5
0.832
95.000
0.633
0.962
95.000
95.000


DIAPH2_STK38
0.781
95.029
0.627
0.901
95.000
95.000


EIF4E2 C21orf59
0.808
95.046
0.644
0.933
94.898
95.918


EMR1_AKT1
0.772
95.125
0.584
0.918
95.000
95.960


ENO1_IL7R
0.704
95.040
0.613
0.922
94.949
95.960


FCER1G_CD44
0.731
95.014
0.519
0.893
94.949
95.000


FCER1G_CDC14A
0.843
95.000
0.720
0.952
95.000
95.000


FCER1G MX1
0.793
95.029
0.568
0.948
95.000
95.000


FCER1G_SDHC
0.667
95.034
0.421
0.870
94.949
95.048


FLVCR2_KATNA1
0.835
95.029
0.671
0.967
95.000
95.000


FTL_CCND2
0.733
95.068
0.534
0.900
94.898
95.918


FTL_IL7R
0.757
95.010
0.593
0.906
95.000
95.000


FURIN_ADD1
0.842
95.000
0.707
0.945
95.000
95.000


FURIN_BTG2
0.834
95.125
0.691
0.945
95.000
95.960


FURIN_RANBP10
0.828
95.010
0.650
0.975
95.000
95.000


FURIN_SH3GLB2
0.811
95.077
0.650
0.952
95.000
95.960


FUT8_IL7R
0.564
95.010
0.345
0.805
95.000
95.000


FXR1_EIF4A2
0.836
95.000
0.678
0.954
95.000
95.000


GAPDH_COMMD4
0.810
95.000
0.595
0.956
95.000
95.000


GAPDH_PPP1CA
0.787
95.058
0.623
0.918
95.000
95.960


GAPDH_RPS6KB2
0.816
95.019
0.642
0.962
95.000
95.000


GAS7_ADD1
0.805
95.000
0.628
0.958
95.000
95.000


GAS7_RAB11FIP1
0.851
95.029
0.654
0.989
95.000
95.000


GBP2_GIMAP4
0.810
95.039
0.648
0.931
94.898
95.918


GBP2_HCP5
0.789
95.010
0.625
0.937
94.898
95.878


GBP2_MX1
0.690
95.053
0.482
0.895
94.949
95.918


GNS_PLEKHG3
0.829
95.000
0.670
0.958
95.000
95.000


GNS_PLEKHG3
0.845
95.000
0.678
0.963
95.000
95.000


GSTO1_RASGRP3
0.817
95.077
0.613
0.960
95.000
95.960


GSTO1_SDF2L1
0.792
95.067
0.623
0.929
95.000
95.960


HEBP1_SSBP2
0.824
94.924
0.656
0.958
79.333
100.000


HIST1H2BM_CCND2
0.748
94.994
0.520
0.908
94.949
95.000


HIST1H2BM_IL7R
0.768
95.002
0.555
0.927
94.949
95.000


HIST1H3C_IL7R
0.793
95.000
0.627
0.912
95.000
100.000


HOXB6_PAFAH2
0.829
95.063
0.656
0.945
94.949
95.920


HSPA4_IMP3
0.813
95.000
0.616
0.950
95.000
95.000


HSPA4_IMP3
0.818
95.000
0.636
0.947
95.000
95.000


HSPA4_IMP3
0.819
95.000
0.658
0.935
95.000
95.000


HSPA4_IMP3
0.825
95.000
0.669
0.947
95.000
95.000


IFNGR2_CCND2
0.829
95.058
0.623
0.969
95.000
95.960


IFNGR2_HLA-DPA1
0.807
95.010
0.605
0.960
95.000
95.000


IFNGR2_IL7R
0.830
95.048
0.638
0.958
95.000
95.048


IMPDH1_BTG2
0.831
95.010
0.634
0.985
95.000
95.000


IMPDH1_BTG2
0.840
95.010
0.679
0.979
95.000
95.000


ITGAX_RASGRP2
0.813
95.003
0.612
0.952
94.949
95.000


ITGB1_IL7R
0.674
95.063
0.484
0.910
94.949
95.960


LAMP1_HLA-DPA1
0.752
95.077
0.535
0.941
95.000
95.960


LAMP1_IL7R
0.777
95.029
0.600
0.935
95.000
95.000


LHFPL2_ISG20
0.790
95.038
0.623
0.912
95.000
95.000


LILRB3_IL7R
0.808
95.010
0.602
0.952
95.000
95.000


LTA4H_CCND2
0.822
95.097
0.686
0.950
94.949
95.920


LTA4H_CERK
0.789
95.106
0.624
0.939
95.000
95.960


LTA4H CPVL
0.753
95.058
0.524
0.929
95.000
95.960


LTA4H_RPS8
0.839
95.067
0.619
0.992
95.000
95.960


LTA4H_ST3GAL5
0.754
95.010
0.549
0.941
95.000
95.000


LTA4H_TMEM106C
0.688
95.058
0.416
0.910
95.000
95.960


LTA4H_WDR33
0.794
95.000
0.585
0.950
95.000
95.000


LTF_MAP4K2
0.770
95.010
0.547
0.948
95.000
95.000


MAPK14_GIMAP4
0.833
95.019
0.667
0.939
95.000
95.000


MAPK14_IL7R
0.823
95.058
0.689
0.931
95.000
95.960


MAPK14_IL7R
0.842
95.058
0.693
0.958
95.000
95.960


MAPK14_IL7R
0.828
95.058
0.659
0.949
95.000
95.960


MAPK14_MX1
0.727
95.048
0.497
0.935
95.000
95.048


MAPK8IP3_IMP3
0.817
95.029
0.624
0.964
95.000
95.000


MCTP1_AMD1
0.836
95.048
0.681
0.969
95.000
95.048


MCTP1_TOB1
0.847
95.230
0.667
0.954
95.000
95.960


MEGF9_CCND2
0.790
95.061
0.577
0.949
94.949
95.918


MEGF9_CDC14A
0.752
95.067
0.547
0.929
95.000
95.960


MEGF9_GIMAP4
0.760
95.004
0.561
0.941
94.949
95.000


MEGF9_HLA-DPA1
0.769
95.063
0.535
0.945
94.949
95.918


MEGF9_IL7R
0.779
95.017
0.526
0.946
74.583
100.000


METTL9_AKTIP
0.814
95.001
0.665
0.929
94.898
95.000


MICAL1_DHX16
0.808
95.029
0.600
0.935
95.000
95.000


MICAL1_STK38
0.812
95.019
0.648
0.941
95.000
95.000


MICAL1_STK38
0.817
95.019
0.658
0.931
95.000
95.000


MMP8_CCND2
0.857
95.164
0.666
0.962
95.000
95.960


MMP8_CD44
0.664
95.051
0.431
0.872
94.949
95.920


MMP8_CTSC
0.616
95.002
0.374
0.836
94.845
95.918


MMP8_ENO1
0.629
95.049
0.423
0.861
94.898
95.878


MMPS_FGL2
0.736
95.065
0.561
0.912
94.949
95.920


MMP8_FTL
0.674
95.056
0.390
0.845
94.898
95.918


MMP8_FUT8
0.834
95.019
0.666
0.981
95.000
95.000


MMP8_IL7R
0.859
95.058
0.711
0.954
94.949
95.920


MMP8_ITGB1
0.762
95.038
0.507
0.924
95.000
95.000


MMP8_LAMP1
0.642
95.022
0.429
0.843
94.898
95.044


MMP8_PLAC8
0.587
95.141
0.340
0.849
94.947
95.960


MMP8_RPS8
0.856
95.058
0.667
0.969
95.000
95.960


MMP8_SDHC
0.651
95.006
0.460
0.847
94.898
95.000


MMP8_ST3GAL5
0.765
95.048
0.602
0.922
95.000
95.000


MMP8_TMEM106C
0.813
95.000
0.595
0.960
95.000
95.000


MMP8_TPP2
0.807
95.086
0.614
0.947
95.000
95.960


MMP8_TPP2
0.792
95.086
0.601
0.945
95.000
95.960


MMP8_VAV1
0.623
95.062
0.366
0.862
94.949
95.960


MNT_KLF2
0.806
95.066
0.595
0.939
94.949
95.918


MNT_SLC9A3R1
0.791
95.106
0.600
0.927
95.000
95.960


MUT_NUPL2
0.789
95.010
0.625
0.916
95.000
95.000


MUT_NUPL2
0.773
95.010
0.598
0.901
95.000
95.000


MYL9 GRAP2
0.814
95.000
0.607
0.964
95.000
100.000


MYL9_KLF2
0.834
95.000
0.678
0.937
95.000
100.000


NMI_MX1
0.671
95.019
0.467
0.910
95.000
95.000


OBFC1_C6orf48
0.802
95.108
0.526
0.966
94.949
95.960


PARL_PAFAH2
0.830
95.010
0.675
0.968
95.000
95.000


PARL_PAFAH2
0.819
95.010
0.646
0.947
95.000
95.000


PDGFC_CCND2
0.848
95.048
0.698
0.956
95.000
95.048


PDGFC_FUT8
0.823
95.086
0.601
0.956
95.000
95.960


PDGFC_IL7R
0.844
95.038
0.678
0.973
95.000
95.000


PDGFC_ITGB1
0.778
95.038
0.611
0.922
95.000
95.000


PLEKHM2_SBF1
0.825
95.084
0.669
0.935
94.845
95.918


PPP1CB_PAFAH2
0.798
95.042
0.613
0.945
94.949
95.920


PROS1_MYOM2
0.793
95.048
0.599
0.916
95.000
95.048


PROS1_WDR33
0.788
95.058
0.612
0.917
95.000
95.960


PRPF40A_MRPS18B
0.796
95.048
0.575
0.948
95.000
95.048


PRRG4_GLOD4
0.837
95.058
0.627
0.966
95.000
95.960


PSMB4_IMP3
0.837
95.010
0.661
0.958
95.000
95.000


PSTPIP2 AKAP7
0.825
95.010
0.672
0.962
95.000
95.000


PTPN2_CYP20A1
0.824
95.048
0.664
0.954
95.000
95.048


PUS3_PAFAH2
0.842
95.038
0.682
0.954
95.000
95.000


S100A12_POLR2C
0.783
95.048
0.618
0.923
95.000
95.000


S100P_GIMAP4
0.780
95.019
0.568
0.956
95.000
95.000


S100P_HLA-DPA1
0.804
95.000
0.620
0.947
95.000
95.000


S100P_IL7R
0.837
95.053
0.666
0.939
94.949
95.960


SH3BGRL_GLOD4
0.788
95.058
0.596
0.950
95.000
95.960


SLC11A2_ID3
0.814
94.998
0.625
0.944
94.898
95.000


SLC12A9_CTDSP2
0.821
95.038
0.686
0.929
95.000
95.000


SLC12A9_CTDSP2
0.815
95.038
0.669
0.949
95.000
95.000


SLC25A37_FBXO7
0.808
95.048
0.614
0.944
95.000
95.048


SLC25A37_FBXO7
0.804
95.048
0.665
0.950
95.000
95.048


SLC25A37_FBXO7
0.802
95.048
0.612
0.956
95.000
95.048


SLC2A3 ADAM19
0.795
95.010
0.599
0.937
95.000
95.000


SLC2A3_MFSD10
0.790
95.099
0.613
0.929
94.949
95.960


SLC39A8_CCND2
0.867
95.069
0.726
0.969
94.949
95.960


SLC39A8_IL7R
0.848
95.051
0.705
0.963
94.949
95.920


SLC39A8_LFNG
0.798
95.058
0.637
0.933
95.000
95.960


SLC39A8_WDR33
0.819
95.019
0.660
0.958
95.000
95.000


SNAPC1_IL7R
0.816
95.000
0.644
0.967
95.000
95.000


SORT1_CNBP
0.849
94.997
0.703
0.954
94.949
95.000


SORT1_INPP1
0.837
95.077
0.685
0.954
95.000
95.960


SORT1_NAGK
0.807
95.077
0.683
0.916
95.000
95.960


SORT1_OSBPL9
0.847
95.038
0.617
0.981
95.000
95.000


SORT1_PDCD5
0.815
95.010
0.614
0.977
95.000
95.000


SORT1_PDCD5
0.841
95.010
0.610
0.966
95.000
95.000


SORT1_PPP1R11
0.812
95.038
0.641
0.943
94.898
95.878


SORT1_SASH3
0.781
95.009
0.613
0.935
94.949
95.000


SORT1_TINF2
0.798
95.096
0.599
0.929
94.949
95.960


ST3GAL6_KLRF1
0.820
95.077
0.661
0.960
95.000
95.960


TAX1BP1_NUPL2
0.802
95.000
0.628
0.929
95.000
100.000


TIMP1_EMP3
0.801
95.049
0.624
0.931
94.898
95.918


TIMP1_IL7R
0.839
95.000
0.703
0.944
95.000
100.000


TLR5_CPVL
0.789
95.086
0.626
0.918
95.000
95.960


TLR5_CTSH
0.664
95.019
0.448
0.835
94.949
95.000


TLR5_DIAPH2
0.553
95.035
0.328
0.761
94.444
95.831


TLR5_ENO1
0.662
95.002
0.457
0.861
94.949
95.000


TLR5_FGL2
0.792
95.163
0.644
0.933
95.000
95.960


TLR5_FTL
0.707
94.996
0.533
0.872
94.898
95.000


TLR5_FUT8
0.862
95.048
0.701
0.962
95.000
95.048


TLR5_GBP2
0.663
95.185
0.425
0.870
94.949
95.960


TLR5_HIST1H2BM
0.722
94.990
0.469
0.923
94.949
95.000


TLR5_HIST1H3C
0.637
95.242
0.409
0.820
94.565
96.705


TLR5_HIST1H4L
0.711
95.029
0.484
0.900
95.000
95.000


TLR5_HLA-DPA1
0.848
95.067
0.663
0.966
95.000
95.960


TLR5_IFIT1
0.759
95.038
0.543
0.933
95.000
95.000


TLR5_IFNGR2
0.613
94.983
0.427
0.768
94.898
95.000


TLR5_ITGB1
0.779
95.010
0.546
0.933
95.000
95.000


TLR5_ITGB1
0.786
95.010
0.583
0.943
95.000
95.000


TLR5_MX1
0.756
95.307
0.524
0.935
95.000
95.960


TLR5_NMI
0.681
95.028
0.418
0.878
94.681
95.833


TLR5_PLAC8
0.640
94.769
0.455
0.836
80.000
100.000


TLR5_RDX
0.699
95.077
0.456
0.901
95.000
95.960


TLR5_SDHC
0.641
94.983
0.391
0.844
94.898
95.000


TLR5_SLAMF7
0.706
95.144
0.482
0.879
95.000
95.960


TLR5_ST3GAL5
0.821
95.115
0.669
0.960
95.000
95.960


TLR5_TMEM106C
0.752
95.002
0.576
0.939
94.949
95.000


TLR5_TPP2
0.812
95.010
0.631
0.951
95.000
95.000


TLR5_VAV1
0.677
95.284
0.446
0.868
94.949
95.960


TMEM106C_IL7R
0.666
95.004
0.492
0.872
94.949
95.000


TMEM80_IMP3
0.795
95.086
0.625
0.946
95.000
95.960


TPP2_IL7R
0.659
95.000
0.460
0.870
95.000
95.000


USP3_RNF34
0.812
94.999
0.655
0.935
94.949
95.000


VAV1_IL7R
0.798
95.010
0.644
0.937
95.000
95.000


YPEL5_ARL2BP
0.793
95.006
0.621
0.942
94.949
95.000


ZBTB17_ID3
0.831
95.067
0.627
0.960
95.000
95.960
















TABLE 8







Table of calculated negative predictive values (NPV) for the final triage signature


(DIAPH2/SERTAD2; PARL/PAFAH2; SORT1/OSBPL9) at sepsis prevalences of 4, 6, 8 and 10%.


Based on the scientific literature, the prevalence of sepsis in the ER is approximately 4%. For


these calculations the sensitivity and specificity were set at 0.9535 and 0.7303 respectively based


on the ROC curve for the final triage signature (see FIG. 1b).










Sepsis Prevalence
Sensitivity
Specificity
NPV





4%
0.9535
0.7303
0.99735


6%
0.9535
0.7303
0.99595


8%
0.9535
0.7303
0.99449


10% 
0.9535
0.7303
0.99297
















TABLE 9







List of numerators and denominators that appear more than once


in the top 200 derived biomarkers.










Numerator

Denominator



Symbol
Times Appearing
Symbol
Times Appearing













TLR5
25
IL7R
27


MMP8
17
CCND2
13


DIAPH2
9
HLA-DPA1
7


SORT1
8
GIMAP4
6


LTA4H
7
MX1
6


MEGF9
5
IMP3
4


CD44
4
PAFAH2
4


FCER1G
4
ST3GAL5
4


FURIN
4
FUT8
3


PDGFC
4
ITGB1
3


SLC39A8
4
SDHC
3


GAPDH
3
TMEM106C
3


GBP2
3
WDR33
3


IFNGR2
3
ADD1
2


MAPK14
3
BTG2
2


MNT
3
CD44
2


S100P
3
CDC14A
2


CDC14A
2
CPVL
2


CHPT1
2
ENO1
2


CLEC4E
2
FBXO7
2


CLU
2
FGL2
2


CTSA
2
FTL
2


FTL
2
GLOD4
2


GAS7
2
HMGN4
2


GSTO1
2
ID3
2


HIST1H2BM
2
KLF2
2


LAMP1
2
MAP4K2
2


MCTP1
2
NUPL2
2


MICAL1
2
PLAC8
2


MYL9
2
RANBP10
2


PROS1
2
RPS8
2


TIMP1
2
STK38
2




TPP2
2




VAV1
2
















TABLE 10







SEQ ID numbers, HUGO gene symbol and Ensembl ID of


individual biomarkers.









SEQ ID#
Symbol
Ensembl












1
ADAM19
ENST00000257527


2
ADD1
ENST00000398129


3
ADGRE1
ENST00000312053


4
AIF1
ENST00000440907


5
AKAP7
ENST00000342266


6
AKT1
ENST00000555528


7
AKTIP
ENST00000394657


8
ALDOA
ENST00000338110


9
AMD1
ENST00000368885


10
ARL2BP
ENST00000219204


11
ATG9A
ENST00000396761


12
ATP13A3
ENST00000256031


13
ATP6V0A1
ENST00000393829


14
ATP8B4
ENST00000284509


15
BRD7
ENST00000394688


16
BTG2
ENST00000290551


17
C21orf59
ENST00000290155


18
C6orf48
ENST00000414434


19
CCND2
ENST00000261254


20
CD44
ENST00000428726


21
CD59
ENST00000395850


22
CDC14A
ENST00000336454


23
CERK
ENST00000216264


24
CHPT1
ENST00000229266


25
CLEC4E
ENST00000299663


26
CLU
ENST00000316403


27
CNBP
ENST00000422453


28
COMMD4
ENST00000267935


29
COQ10B
ENST00000263960


30
COX5B
ENST00000258424


31
CPVL
ENST00000396276


32
CTDSP2
ENST00000398073


33
CTSA
ENST00000372484


34
CTSC
ENST00000227266


35
CTSH
ENST00000220166


36
CYBB
ENST00000378588


37
CYP20A1
ENST00000356079


38
DERA
ENST00000428559


39
DHX16
ENST00000451456


40
DIAPH2
ENST00000324765


41
DLST
ENST00000334220


42
EIF4A2
ENST00000323963


43
EIF4E2
ENST00000258416


44
EMP3
ENST00000270221


45
ENO1
ENST00000234590


46
FBXO7
ENST00000266087


47
FCER1G
ENST00000289902


48
FGL2
ENST00000248598


49
FLVCR2
ENST00000238667


50
FTL
ENST00000331825


51
FURIN
ENST00000268171


52
FUT8
ENST00000557164


53
FXR1
ENST00000357559


54
GAPDH
ENST00000229239


55
GAS7
ENST00000580865


56
GBP2
ENST00000370466


57
GIMAP4
ENST00000255945


58
GLOD4
ENST00000301329


59
GNS
ENST00000258145


60
GRAP2
ENST00000344138


61
GSTO1
ENST00000369713


62
HEBP1
ENST00000014930


63
HIST1H2BM
ENST00000621112


64
HIST1H3C
ENST00000612966


65
HIST1H4L
ENST00000618305


66
HLA-DPA1
ENST00000383224


67
HMG20B
ENST00000333651


68
HMGN4
ENST00000377575


69
HOXB6
ENST00000225648


70
HSPA4
ENST00000304858


71
ID3
ENST00000374561


72
IFIT1
ENST00000371804


73
IFNGR2
ENST00000290219


74
1L7R
ENST00000303115


75
IMP3
ENST00000403490


76
IMPDH1
ENST00000338791


77
INPP1
ENST00000322522


78
ISG20
ENST00000306072


79
ITGAX
ENST00000268296


80
ITGB1
ENST00000302278


81
KATNA1
ENST00000367411


82
KLF2
ENST00000248071


83
KLRF1
ENST00000617889


84
LAMP1
ENST00000332556


85
LFNG
ENST00000402045


86
LHFPL2
ENST00000380345


87
LILRB3
ENST00000617251


88
LTA4H
EN ST00000228740


89
LTF
ENST00000231751


90
MAP4K2
ENST00000294066


91
MAPK14
ENST00000229795


92
MAPK8IP3
ENST00000250894


93
MCTP1
ENST00000515393


94
MEGF9
ENST00000373930


95
METTL9
ENST00000358154


96
MFSD10
ENST00000329687


97
MICAL1
ENST00000358807


98
MMP8
ENST00000236826


99
MNT
ENST00000174618


100
MRPS18B
ENST00000412451


101
MUT
ENST00000274813


102
MX1
ENST00000398598


103
MYL9
EN ST00000279022


104
MYOM2
ENST00000616680


105
NAGK
ENST00000613852


106
NMI
ENST00000243346


107
NUPL2
ENST00000258742


108
OBFC1
ENST00000224950


109
OSBPL9
ENST00000428468


110
PAFAH2
ENST00000374282


111
PARL
ENST00000317096


112
PDCD5
ENST00000590247


113
PDGFC
ENST00000502773


114
PHB
ENST00000300408


115
PHF3
ENST00000393387


116
PLAC8
ENST00000311507


117
PLEKHG3
ENST00000247226


118
PLEKHM2
ENST00000375799


119
POLR2C
ENST00000219252


120
PPP1CA
ENST00000376745


121
PPP1CB
ENST00000395366


122
PPP1R11
ENST00000431424


123
PROS1
ENST00000394236


124
PRPF40A
ENST00000410080


125
PRRG4
ENST00000257836


126
PSMB4
ENST00000290541


127
PSTPIP2
ENST00000409746


128
PTPN2
ENST00000309660


129
PUS3
ENST00000227474


130
RAB11FIP1
ENST00000287263


131
RAB11FIP3
ENST00000611004


132
RAB9A
ENST00000464506


133
RANBP10
ENST00000317506


134
RASGRP2
ENST00000354024


135
RASGRP3
ENST00000407811


136
RASSF7
ENST00000622100


137
RDX
ENST00000343115


138
RNASE6
ENST00000304677


139
RNF34
ENST00000361234


140
RPA2
ENST00000373912


141
RPS6KB2
ENST00000312629


142
RPS8
ENST00000396651


143
S100A12
ENST00000368737


144
S100P
ENST00000296370


145
SASH3
ENST00000356892


146
SBF1
ENST00000380817


147
SDF2L1
ENST00000248958


148
SDHC
ENST00000367975


149
SERTAD2
ENST00000313349


150
SH3BGRL
ENST00000373212


151
SH3GLB2
ENST00000372564


152
SLAMF7
ENST00000368043


153
SLC11A2
ENST00000262052


154
SLC12A9
ENST00000354161


155
SLC25A37
ENST00000519973


156
SLC2A3
ENST00000075120


157
SLC39A8
ENST00000394833


158
SLC9A3R1
ENST00000262613


159
SNAPC1
ENST00000216294


160
SORT1
ENST00000256637


161
SSBP2
ENST00000320672


162
ST3GAL5
ENST00000377332


163
ST3GAL6
ENST00000394162


164
STK38
ENST00000229812


165
SYNE2
ENST00000344113


166
TAX1BP1
ENST00000396319


167
TIMP1
ENST00000218388


168
TINF2
ENST00000399423


169
TLR5
ENST00000366881


170
TMEM106C
ENST00000552561


171
TMEM80
ENST00000397510


172
TOB1
ENST00000499247


173
TPP2
ENST00000376065


174
TRAF3IP2
ENST00000340026


175
USP3
ENST00000380324


176
VAV1
ENST00000602142


177
WDR33
ENST00000322313


178
YPEL5
ENST00000261353


179
ZBTB17
ENST00000375743
















TABLE 11







SEQ ID numbers, HUGO gene symbol and Ensembl ID of


individual biomarkers.









SEQ ID#
Symbol
Genbank





180
ADAM19
NP_150377


181
ADD1
NP_001110


182
ADGRE1
NP_001965


183
AIF1
NP_001614


184
AKAP7
NP_004833


185
AKT1
NP_005154


186
AKTIP
NP_071921


187
ALDOA
NP_000025


188
AMD1
NP_001625


189
ARL2BP
NP_036238


190
ATG9A
NP_076990


191
ATP13A3
NP_078800


192
ATP6V0A1
NP_005168


193
ATP8B4
NP_079113


194
BRD7
NP_037395


195
BTG2
NP_006754


196
C21orf59
NP_067077


197
C6orf48
NP_001035527


198
CCND2
NP_001750


199
CD44
NP_000601


200
CD59
NP_000602


201
CDC14A
NP_003663


202
CERK
NP_073603


203
CHPT1
NP_064629


204
CLEC4E
NP_055173


205
CLU
NP_001822


206
CNBP
NP_003409


207
COMMD4
NP_060298


208
COQ10B
NP_079423


209
COX5B
NP_001853


210
CPVL
NP_061902


211
CTDSP2
NP_005721


212
CTSA
NP_000299


213
CTSC
NP_001805


214
CTSH
NP_004381


215
CYBB
NP_000388


216
CYP20A1
NP_803882


217
DERA
NP_057038


218
DHX16
NP_003578


219
DIAPH2
NP_006720


220
DLST
NP_001924


221
EIF4A2
NP_001958


222
EIF4E2
NP_004837


223
EMP3
NP_001416


224
ENO1
NP_001419


225
FBXO7
NP_036311


226
FCER1G
NP_004097


227
FGL2
NP_006673


228
FLVCR2
NP_060261


229
FTL
NP_000137


230
FURIN
NP_002560


231
FUT8
NP_004471


232
FXR1
NP_005078


233
GAPDH
NP_002037


234
GAS7
NP_003635


235
GBP2
NP_004111


236
GIMAP4
NP_060796


237
GLOD4
NP_057164


238
GNS
NP_002067


239
GRAP2
NP_004801


240
GSTO1
NP_004823


241
HEBP1
NP_057071


242
HIST1H2BM
NP_003512


243
HIST1H3C
NP_003522


244
HIST1H4L
NP_003537


245
HLA-DPA1
NP_291032


246
HMG20B
NP_006330


247
HMGN4
NP_006344


248
HOXB6
NP_061825


249
HSPA4
NP_002145


250
ID3
NP_002158


251
IFIT1
NP_001539


252
IFNGR2
NP_005525


253
IL7R
NP_002176


254
IMP3
NP_060755


255
IMPDH1
NP_000874


256
INPP1
NP_002185


257
ISG20
NP_002192


258
ITGAX
NP_000878


259
ITGB1
NP_002202


260
KATNA1
NP_008975


261
KLF2
NP_057354


262
KLRF1
NP_057607


263
LAMP1
NP_005552


264
LFNG
NP_002295


265
LHFPL2
NP_005770


266
LILRB3
NP_006855


267
LTA4H
NP_000886


268
LTF
NP_002334


269
MAP4K2
NP_004570


270
MAPK14
NP_001306


271
MAPK8IP3
NP_055948


272
MCTP1
NP_078993


273
MEGF9
NP_001073966


274
METTL9
NP_057109


275
MFSD10
NP_001111


276
MICAL1
NP_073602


277
MMP8
NP_002415


278
MNT
NP_064706


279
MRPS18B
NP_054765


280
MUT
NP_000246


281
MX1
NP_002453


282
MYL9
NP_006088


283
MYOM2
NP_003961


284
NAGK
NP_060037


285
NMI
NP_004679


286
NUPL2
NP_031368


287
OBFC1
NP_079204


288
OSBPL9
NP_078862


289
PAFAH2
NP_000428


290
PARL
NP_061092


291
PDCD5
NP_004699


292
PDGFC
NP_057289


293
PHB
NP_002625


294
PHF3
NP_055968


295
PLAC8
NP_057703


296
PLEKHG3
NP_056364


297
PLEKHM2
NP_055979


298
POLR2C
NP_116558


299
PPP1CA
NP_002699


300
PPP1CB
NP_002700


301
PPP1R11
NP_068778


302
PROS1
NP_000304


303
PRPF40A
NP_060362


304
PRRG4
NP_076986


305
PSMB4
NP_002787


306
PSTPIP2
NP_077748


307
PTPN2
NP_002819


308
PUS3
NP_112597


309
RAB11FIP1
NP_079427


310
RAB11FIP3
NP_055515


311
RAB9A
NP_004242


312
RANBP10
NP_065901


313
RASGRP2
NP_722541


314
RASGRP3
NP_056191


315
RASSF7
NP_003466


316
RDX
NP_002897


317
RNASE6
NP_005606


318
RNF34
NP_079402


319
RPA2
NP_002937


320
RPS6KB2
NP_003943


321
RPS8
NP_001003


322
S100A12
NP_005612


323
S100P
NP_005971


324
SASH3
NP_061863


325
SBF1
NP_002963


326
SDF2L1
NP_071327


327
SDHC
NP_002992


328
SERTAD2
NP_055570


329
SH3BGRL
NP_003013


330
SH3GLB2
NP_064530


331
SLAMF7
NP_067004


332
SLC11A2
NP_000608


333
SLC12A9
NP_064631


334
SLC25A37
NP_057696


335
SLC2A3
NP_008862


336
SLC39A8
NP_071437


337
SLC9A3R1
NP_004243


338
SNAPC1
NP_003073


339
SORT1
NP_002950


340
SSBP2
NP_036578


341
ST3GAL5
NP_003887


342
ST3GAL6
NP_006091


343
STK38
NP_009202


344
SYNE2
NP_055995


345
TAX1BP1
NP_006015


346
TIMP1
NP_003245


347
TINF2
NP_036593


348
TLR5
NP_003259


349
TMEM106C
NP_076961


350
TMEM80
NP_777600


351
TOB1
NP_005740


352
TPP2
NP_003282


353
TRAF3IP2
NP_671733


354
USP3
NP_006528


355
VAV1
NP_005419


356
WDR33
NP_060853


357
YPEL5
NP_057145


358
ZBTB17
NP_003434








Claims
  • 1.-55. (canceled)
  • 56. A composition comprising a DNA polymerase, whole peripheral blood leukocyte cDNA from a subject with a clinical sign of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), wherein the whole peripheral blood leukocyte cDNA comprises a guanylate binding protein 2 (GBP2) cDNA and one or both of a GTPase IMAP family member 4 (GIMAP4) cDNA and a Toll-like receptor 5 (TLR5) cDNA, wherein the composition further comprises for each cDNA two oligonucleotide primers that hybridize to opposite complementary strands of the cDNA.
  • 57. The composition of claim 56, further comprising for each cDNA an oligonucleotide probe that hybridizes to the cDNA and that comprises a reporter molecule.
  • 58. The composition of claim 57, wherein the oligonucleotide probe comprises a fluorescent label.
  • 59. The composition of claim 57, wherein the oligonucleotide probe comprises a fluorescent label and a quencher molecule.
  • 60. The composition of claim 57, wherein the oligonucleotide probe is a real-time polymerase chain reaction probe.
  • 61. The composition of claim 57, wherein the oligonucleotide probe is a TaqMan® probe.
  • 62. The composition of claim 57, wherein the oligonucleotide probe that hybridizes to one of the cDNAs comprises a detectably different reporter molecule than the reporter molecule of the oligonucleotide probe that hybridizes to another of the cDNAs.
  • 63. The composition of claim 56, wherein the DNA polymerase is a thermostable DNA polymerase.
  • 64. The composition of claim 63, wherein the DNA polymerase is a Taq polymerase.
  • 65. The composition of claim 56, wherein the composition comprises two oligonucleotide primers that hybridize to opposite complementary strands of the GBP2 cDNA and two oligonucleotide primers that hybridize to opposite complementary strands of the GIMAP4 cDNA.
  • 66. The composition of claim 65, further comprising a first oligonucleotide probe that hybridizes to the GBP2 cDNA and that comprises a first reporter molecule and a second oligonucleotide probe that hybridizes to the GIMAP4 cDNA and that comprises a second reporter molecule.
  • 67. The composition of claim 56, wherein the composition comprises two oligonucleotide primers that hybridize to opposite complementary strands of the GBP2 cDNA and two oligonucleotide primers that hybridize to opposite complementary strands of the TLR5 cDNA.
  • 68. The composition of claim 67, further comprising a first oligonucleotide probe that hybridizes to the GBP2 cDNA and that comprises a first reporter molecule and a second oligonucleotide probe that hybridizes to the TLR5 cDNA and that comprises a second reporter molecule.
  • 69. The composition of claim 56, wherein the composition comprises two oligonucleotide primers that hybridize to opposite complementary strands of the GBP2 cDNA, two oligonucleotide primers that hybridize to opposite complementary strands of the GIMAP4 cDNA, and two oligonucleotide primers that hybridize to opposite complementary strands of the TLR5 cDNA.
  • 70. The composition of claim 69, further comprising a first oligonucleotide probe that hybridizes to the GBP2 cDNA and that comprises a first reporter molecule, a second oligonucleotide probe that hybridizes to the GIMAP4 cDNA and that comprises a second reporter molecule, and a third oligonucleotide probe that hybridizes to the TLR5 cDNA and that comprises a third reporter molecule.
Priority Claims (1)
Number Date Country Kind
20 Dec 2015 AU national
Parent Case Info

This application is a continuation of U.S. patent application Ser. No. 17/515,130, filed Oct. 29, 2021, which is a continuation of U.S. patent application Ser. No. 16/065,752, filed Jun. 22, 2018, which is a § 371 national entry application of PCT/AU2016/051269, filed Dec. 22, 2016, which claims priority to Australian Provisional Application No. 2015905392 entitled “Triage biomarkers and uses therefor” filed 24 Dec. 2015, the contents of which are incorporated herein by reference in their entirety.

Continuations (2)
Number Date Country
Parent 17515130 Oct 2021 US
Child 18596338 US
Parent 16065752 Jun 2018 US
Child 17515130 US