The present disclosure relates to the technical field of electric power engineering, and specifically, to a risk assessment technology of a power system.
In recent years, as a transmission voltage level of a line increases, a transmission tower becomes higher, and a long-span transmission line crosses a plateau, a mountainous area, and other areas with serious lightning damages, line tripping caused by a lightning shielding failure on the line has gradually become a main cause for tripping of a power grid. Frequent line tripping caused by the lightning shielding failure on the line greatly affects reliability and quality of power supply. Outage and emergency operation and maintenance cause an economic loss and increase operation and maintenance costs. In order to carry out differentiated operation and maintenance on a weak link of lightning protection of the transmission line and improve a capability against the lightning shielding failure for the line, an effective analysis method for a tripping risk of the whole transmission line due to the lightning shielding failure should be established to provide guidance for line construction and operation and maintenance.
At present, there is no accurate and reliable assessment means for a lightning shielding failure risk of the whole line. Standard methods have large errors in calculating a lightning shielding failure probability of the transmission line, and does not consider influence of an altitude, a terrain, a lightning strike angle, and other factors thoroughly or make corresponding correction. In addition, the prior art can only analyze and calculate a lightning shielding failure risk of a transmission line on a specific tower. Because the whole transmission line is characterized by a long span, diverse terrains, and different combinations of nominal height, calculating the lightning shielding failure risk of the whole transmission line by analyzing and calculating a lightning shielding failure risk of each tower on the whole transmission line is not feasible and results in a huge amount of calculation.
Therefore, how to correct a model based on the factors such as the altitude, the terrain, and the lightning strike angle, comprehensively and objectively reflect a rule of affecting the power system by a natural disaster when information about terrains, nominal heights, and thunderstorm quantities of different sections of the line cannot be collected completely, and analyze a tripping risk of the whole transmission line due to the lightning shielding failure is of great significance to reduce tripping of the power grid due to the lightning shielding failure.
A technical problem to be resolved in the present disclosure is to provide a multi-dimensional analysis method for a tripping risk of a whole transmission line due to a lightning shielding failure, to consider more comprehensive factors and analyze a tripping risk of a whole transmission line due to a lightning shielding failure more accurately.
To resolve the above technical problem, the present disclosure adopts the following technical solution: A multi-dimensional analysis method for a tripping risk of a whole transmission line due to a lightning shielding failure includes the following steps:
Preferably, the calculating a ground wire protection angle, a striking distance, and a corrected insulator flashover voltage in step 1 includes the following steps:
Preferably, the lightning current amplitude is calculated according to a recommended probability of the lightning current amplitude in GB/T50064-2014 Code for Design of Overvoltage Protection and Insulation Coordination for AC Electrical Installations and the following formulas:
Preferably, a tripping risk of the typical combination of the tower protection angle, the terrain, the nominal height, and the quantity of thunderstorm days due to the lightning shielding failure is calculated and analyzed based on a discharge mechanism of the lightning leader and an equivalence circuit diagram of the lightning shielding failure, which specifically includes the following steps:
Preferably, in step 4, the tripping risk of the whole line due to the lightning shielding failure is analyzed through weighted averaging of the typical combination:
The technical solution adopted in the present disclosure has the following beneficial effects:
1. Altitude correction and terrain influence are considered in the lightning shielding failure calculation model, and more comprehensive factors are considered.
2. The analysis method proposed in the present disclosure can obtain the high-risk typical combination of the nominal height, the terrain, the quantity of thunderstorm days, and the protection angle through analysis, and identify a weak link of the whole line.
3. The analysis method proposed in the present disclosure can quickly analyze the tripping risk of the whole line due to the lightning shielding failure through weighted averaging of the typical combination, without massive calculation for a tower analysis of the whole line, so as to provide an effective suggestion for lightning protection of the line.
The specific technical solution in the present disclosure and its beneficial effects will be described in detail in the following specific implementations with reference to the accompanying drawings.
The present disclosure is further described below with reference to the accompanying drawings and specific implementations.
The technical solutions of the embodiments of the present disclosure are clearly and completely described below with reference to the accompanying drawings in the embodiments of the present disclosure. Apparently, the described embodiments are merely a part rather than all of the embodiments of the present disclosure. The following description of at least one exemplary embodiment is merely illustrative, and not intended to limit the present disclosure and application or use thereof in any way. All other embodiments obtained by a person of ordinary skill in the art based on the embodiments of the present disclosure without creative efforts shall fall within the protection scope of the present disclosure.
As shown in
Step 1: Extract a size parameter of a main tower head, an insulation configuration for a line, a quantity of monitored thunderstorm days, and an average altitude for the line, and calculating a ground wire protection angle, a striking distance, and a corrected insulator flashover voltage.
The main tower head herein is a tower head with a largest quantity and a highest proportion, which is preferably selected and used based on a quantity of each type of tower head used during construction and statistical data.
Step 1.1: Calculate the ground wire protection angle according to the following formula, where the ground wire protection angle reflects a spatial position relationship between a conductor and a ground wire, and is determined by a spacing between tower crossarms, a length of a crossarm, an insulator string configuration, and a ground wire support:
In the above formula, SC represents a length of a crossarm of the conductor, SG represents a length of a crossarm of the ground wire, h1 represents a distance between the crossarm of the conductor and the ground wire support, hG represents a height of the ground wire support, lG represents a length of a ground wire string, and lC represents a length of a conductor string.
Step 1.2: Calculate striking distances of the conductor, the ground wire, and the ground according to the following formulas, where the striking distance is a critical breakdown distance between a head of a lightning charge leader in the air and a ground struck by lightning, or between the head of the lightning charge leader in the air and an object on the ground, a higher potential of the head of the leader leads to a longer striking distance, and a potential is determined by a lightning current amplitude:
In the above formula, rs represents a striking distance between the leader and the ground wire, I represents the lightning current amplitude, re represents a striking distance between the leader and the conductor, UDC represents a voltage level of the transmission line, rg represents a striking distance between the leader and the ground, and hc.av represents an average height of the conductor relative to the ground.
The lightning current amplitude is calculated according to a recommended probability of the lightning current amplitude in GB/T50064-2014 Code for Design of Overvoltage Protection and Insulation Coordination for AC Electrical Installations and the following formulas:
In the above formulas, P(I0≥i0) represents a probability that the lightning current amplitude exceeds i0, I0 represents a variable of the lightning current amplitude, and i0 represents a given lightning current amplitude.
Step 1.3: Introduce an altitude correction factor, where the insulator flashover voltage is a key index for determining whether a flashover tripping occurs, no flashover occurs when insulation performance is good enough to withstand lightning impulse, and the insulator flashover voltage is affected by the altitude:
In the above formula, L represents a dry-arcing distance of an insulator, H represents the altitude, and U50% represents an absolute value of 50% flashover voltage of the insulator.
Step 2: Set an analysis group based on the protection angle, a terrain, a nominal height, and the quantity of thunderstorm days, where because tower heights are diversified, and the ground wire protection angle has been set during line construction and is associated with the terrain, a typical combination can be extracted based on line parameters to analyze a lightning shielding failure risk value of the line in each case. For specific analysis, refer to step 3.
Step 3: Calculate and analyze a tripping risk of each typical combination due to the lightning shielding failure in step 2 based on an altitude correction parameter and terrain influence, and identify a weak link based on a quantitative risk value, where this step specifically includes the following steps:
Step 3.1: Fit a probability distribution of a lightning strike angle according to the following formula, where an occurrence mechanism of the lightning shielding failure on the line shows that the strike angle is randomly distributed when the lightning charge leader reaches near the line:
g(ψ)=Km cosm(ψ)
In the above formula, g(ψ) represents a probability that the strike angle of the lightning charge leader is ψ; and Km represents a normalization coefficient and needs to meet the following formula:
Step 3.2: Obtain an exposure arc of the conductor based on a circle centered on the conductor and with a radius being a striking distance of the conductor, within a ground wire protection range and a striking distance protection range of the ground, and then calculate an exposure distance of the conductor according to the following formula, where the lightning shielding failure occurs on the line when the lightning charge leader is in the exposure arc of the conductor:
In the above formula, θ1 represents a horizontal included angle at an intersection point of the ground protection range and the exposure circle of the conductor, θ2 represents a horizontal included angle at an intersection point of the ground wire protection range and the exposure circle of the conductor, ψ1(θ) represents a minimum included angle of a horizontal included angle of a leading process of lightning, and ψ2(θ) represents a maximum included angle of a horizontal included angle of a leading process of lightning.
Step 3.3: Analyze a lightning resisting level of line insulation by using an equivalent circuit of the lightning shielding failure of which wave impedance of the conductor is connected in series to a voltage source of the line and then connected in parallel to wave impedance of a lightning channel, and calculate, according to the following formula, a lightning voltage applied to a discharge channel at the moment of the lightning shielding failure:
In the above formula, Z0 represents the wave impedance of the lightning channel, Z represents the wave impedance of the conductor, I represents a lightning current amplitude, UAC represents a voltage of the transmission line to the ground, and UA represents the lightning voltage applied to the discharge channel.
There is a corresponding relationship between equivalent wave impedance of the lightning channel and the lightning current amplitude, Z0 is obtained based on a characteristic curve of the equivalent wave impedance of the lightning channel and the lightning current amplitude after the lightning current amplitude is determined, and the lightning resisting level is calculated based on an occurrence criterion of the lightning shielding failure, where the lightning shielding failure occurs when UA≥U50%:
Step 3.4: Calculate the lightning shielding failure risk value of the line in each case of the typical combination according to the following formula:
In the above formula, Ng represents a ground flash density in this area, X represents the exposure distance of the conductor, I represents the lightning current amplitude, Ic represents a lightning resisting level of the transmission line, and Imax represents an upper limit of the lightning current amplitude.
The lightning shielding failure risk value of the line in each case of the typical combination is sorted to obtain a high-risk typical combination. In the line, a link whose nominal height, terrain, quantity of thunderstorm days, and protection angle are closer to the high-risk typical combination is the weak link, which is provided with an additional lightning protection measure.
Step 4: Extract a weight coefficient based on a terrain proportion, tower usage, and a protection angle setting of the whole line, and calculate a lightning shielding failure risk of the whole line according to the following formula, where a landform for tower construction is fixed, and proportions of various combinations of the protection angle, the terrain, the nominal height, and the quantity of thunderstorm days are fixed:
In the above formula, hj represents a height of a jth type of tower; βj represents a proportion of a tower whose nominal height is hj; SFFφ
The following is a specific case of adopting the above method:
Based on operation statistics of a power grid from 2010 to 2019, and a typical combination of a protection angle, a terrain, a nominal height, and a quantity of thunderstorm days, a lightning shielding failure risk value of a line in each case of the typical combination is calculated and sorted to obtain a high-risk typical combination, and an additional lightning protection measure is set for a line section with a medium-risk or high-risk typical combination. In addition, a weight coefficient is extracted based on a situation of the whole line, and a lightning shielding failure risk of the whole line is analyzed.
A size parameter of a tower head and insulator string data are extracted for the line, and an analysis diagram of upper and lower limits of a strike angle of a leader is obtained based on a striking distance through calculation, as shown in
An equivalence circuit of a conductor in the case of a lightning shielding failure is constructed based on a discharge principle of the lightning leader, as shown in
Table 1 lists lightning shielding failure risks calculated for typical combinations of different nominal heights, terrains, quantities of thunderstorm days, and protection angles.
Lightning shielding failure risks under different nominal heights when the quantity of thunderstorm days is 40, the protection angle is 14°, and the inclination angles of the ground are 0°, 10°, 20° and 30° are analyzed to obtain characteristics of the nominal height and the lightning shielding failure risk, as shown in
Lightning shielding failure risks under different terrains (inclination angles of the ground) when the quantity of thunderstorm days is 40, the protection angle is 14°, and the nominal heights are 37 m, 40 m, 43 m, and 46 m are analyzed to obtain characteristics of the inclination angle of the ground and the lightning shielding failure risk, as shown in
Lightning shielding failure risks under different quantities of thunderstorm days when the inclination angle of the ground is 20°, the protection angle is 14°, and the nominal heights are 37 m, 40 m, 43 m, and 46 m are analyzed to obtain characteristics of the quantity of thunderstorm days and the lightning shielding failure risk, as shown in
Lightning shielding failure risks under different protection angles when the nominal height is 40 m, the quantity of thunderstorm days is 50, and the inclination angles of the ground are 0°, 10°, 20° and 30° are analyzed to obtain characteristics of the protection angle and the lightning shielding failure risk, as shown in
Based on operation and maintenance and monitoring data provided by the line department, it is obtained that the quantity of thunderstorm days of the whole line is 40 (days/year), the ground wire protection angle is 14°, and weights B; and di are shown in Table 2 and Table 3.
A lightning shielding failure risk of the existing whole line is calculated, and lightning shielding failure risks of the whole line under different protection angles are analyzed. Calculation results are shown in Table 4, which can provide guidance for operation and maintenance of the current line and setting of a protection angle of a new line in the same area in the future.
To sum up, the method provided in the present disclosure can quickly analyze the tripping risk of the whole line due to the lightning shielding failure through weighted averaging of the typical combination, so as to provide an effective suggestion for lightning protection of the line and achieve good accuracy and objectivity.
The above described are only specific implementations of the present disclosure, which do not constitute a limitation on the protection scope of the present disclosure. Those skilled in the art should understand that the present disclosure includes but is not limited to the content described in the above specific implementations. Any modification without departing from the functional and structural principles of the present disclosure fall within the scope of the claims.
Number | Date | Country | Kind |
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202011508929.7 | Dec 2020 | CN | national |
Filing Document | Filing Date | Country | Kind |
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PCT/CN2021/135293 | 12/3/2021 | WO |
Publishing Document | Publishing Date | Country | Kind |
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WO2022/127616 | 6/23/2022 | WO | A |
Number | Name | Date | Kind |
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20100286954 | Chen | Nov 2010 | A1 |
Number | Date | Country |
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110865269 | Mar 2020 | CN |
111695775 | Sep 2020 | CN |
111751638 | Oct 2020 | CN |
Entry |
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Code for design of overvoltage protection and insulation coordination for AC electrical installations, National Standards of the People's Republic of China, Mar. 31, 2014, GB/T 50064-2014. |
Xing Li et al., The Improved EGM Model-Based Calculation Method for Shielding Failure Trip-out Rate of Multi-circuit Transmission Lines at the Same Tower, Southern Power System Technology, Apr. 30, 2013, pp. 55-59, vol. 7, No. 4. |
Number | Date | Country | |
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20230243883 A1 | Aug 2023 | US |