The contents of the following Japanese patent application are incorporated herein by reference:
1. Technical Field
The present invention relates to a power demand management apparatus and a power demand management system that manage power demand of a consumer house.
2. Related Art
Citation 1 describes a system that, when the power consumption in a certain geographical region exceeds a prescribed reference value, broadcasts a power conservation request to consumer houses in this region. Citation 2 discloses a system that, based on actual data concerning the compliance of each device in a consumer house with a request for power demand restriction, predicts whether each device in the consumer house will comply with such requests in the future.
However, there are cases in which a company such as a specified power supplier uses a grid system of a general power supplier, and supplies power to consumer houses under contract from an owned or contracted power supply. Such companies predict the power demand during certain periods in the future, and purchase in advance power for these periods in order to fulfill the predicted power demands.
In recent years, in consideration of reducing carbon dioxide, for example, there are cases where it is undesirable to purchase in advance enough power to fulfill the predicted power demand and then provide this power to the consumer houses.
Therefore, the present invention provides a power demand management apparatus and a power demand management system that realize energy conservation.
According to one aspect of the present invention, provided is a power demand management apparatus comprising a power demand acquiring section that acquires a predicted power demand, which is a power demand predicted for a predetermined period in the future; a consumer house information holding section that, for each of a plurality of request methods or request conditions for requesting that a consumer house restrict power demand, and for each of a plurality of the consumer houses, holds a sensitivity that indicates a probability that the consumer house will comply with a request when the request is issued to the consumer house with the corresponding request method or request condition; a consumer house selecting section that, when the predicted power demand exceeds a predetermined target value, selects a first consumer house whose sensitivity with respect to a first request method or request condition is greater than or equal to a first reference value and selects a second consumer house whose sensitivity with respect to a second request method or request condition is greater than or equal to a second reference value; and a restriction requesting section that issues a request for power demand restriction to the first consumer house using the first request method or request condition, and issues a request for power demand restriction to the second consumer house using the second request method or request condition.
In the power demand management apparatus described above, the power demand acquiring section may acquire a new power supply demand that is updated based on the result responses predicted based on the sensitivity of the first consumer house and the second consumer house with respect to the power demand request, and the request selecting section may handle the selection of the request method or request condition again when the new predicted power demand exceeds the target value.
In the power demand management apparatus described above, the request method may include a request time at which the restriction requesting section issues the request for power demand restriction, and the consumer house information holding section may hold, for each consumer house, the sensitivity at each request time.
In the power demand management apparatus described above, the request condition may include rewards provided to the consumer house if the consumer house permits the power demand restriction, and the consumer house information holding section may hold, for each consumer house, a sensitivity for each type of reward.
In the power demand management apparatus described above, the request condition may include an environmental condition that is predicted for a time period in which the restriction requesting section requests the power demand restriction, and the consumer house information holding section may hold, for each consumer house, a sensitivity for each environmental condition.
The power demand management apparatus described above may further comprise a response result holding section that holds response results from the first consumer house and the second consumer house issued in response to the request for power demand restriction, and a restriction instructing section that transmits power restriction instructions to the consumer houses that have complied with the request, based on the response results.
In the power demand management apparatus described above, the consumer house information holding section may hold, for each consumer house, a request time at which the restriction requesting section requests the power demand restriction in association with a reward amount to be provided to the consumer house if the consumer house permits the power demand restriction, and the reward amount may be higher when the request time is closer to a transmission time at which the power restriction instructions are transmitted.
According to an aspect of the present invention, provided is a power demand management system comprising the power demand management apparatus; and a robot that performs power restriction on electrical devices used by the consumer houses, in response to receiving power restriction instructions.
The summary clause does not necessarily describe all necessary features of the embodiments of the present invention. The present invention may also be a sub-combination of the features described above.
Hereinafter, some embodiments of the present invention will be described. The embodiments do not limit the invention according to the claims, and all the combinations of the features described in the embodiments are not necessarily essential to means provided by aspects of the invention.
The robots 200 are arranged in the rooms of the consumer houses. In response to receiving power restriction instructions, the robots 200 move within the houses and perform power restriction on the devices within the rooms. The devices may be electrical devices that consume power, such as lighting apparatuses, air conditioners, and televisions, for example. The devices are supplied with power from a commercial power supply. The devices each include an infrared light receiving section and a switch. Each robot 200 includes an arm mechanism, and may turn OFF the power supplies of the devices by using the arm mechanism to turn OFF the switch according to the power restriction instructions, thereby restricting the power demand. Each robot 200 includes an infrared transmitting section, and may turn OFF the power supplies of the devices by using the infrared transmitting section to transmit OFF commands to the devices according to the power restriction instructions, thereby restricting the power demand. Each robot 200 may restrict the power demand by adjusting the brightness of a lighting apparatus via the infrared light receiving section or the switch, according to the power restriction instructions. Each robot 200 may restrict the power demand by adjusting the temperature set for an air conditioner via the infrared light receiving section or the switch, according to the power restriction instructions.
For each request condition or request method used to request a restriction of the power demand, the consumer house information holding section 120 holds, for each consumer house, a sensitivity indicating the probability that the consumer house will comply with the request when a request is made to the consumer house with the corresponding request condition or request method. The consumer house information holding section 120 may hold the sensitivity of each consumer house in association with the request methods and request conditions. Here, the request method may include a request time at which a request for restriction is made to the consumer house. Furthermore, the request method may include a communication method for requesting restriction for a consumer house, such as phone, FAX, or e-mail. The request conditions may include content of a reward provided when a consumer house complies with the request, such as reward money or a type of product. Depending on the consumer house, there may be cases where the probability of complying with a request, i.e. the sensitivity, changes according to the reward amount, request time, or communication method, for example. Therefore, in the present embodiment, the sensitivity for each request method and request condition is held in association with each consumer house. Furthermore, consumer house information may indicate the sensitivity in association with environmental conditions such as temperature, weather, and season. For example, the consumer house information holding section 120 may hold consumer house information indicating the sensitivity of each consumer house for each combination of a request time, a reward amount, and a season. The power demand management apparatus 100 may update the sensitivity of each consumer house based on the history of the request response results for the consumer house.
When the predicted power demand exceeds the target value, in order to perform an adjustment causing the predicted power demand to drop below the target value, the consumer house selecting section 114 references the consumer house information holding section 120 and selects a plurality of request methods and/or request conditions. The request methods and request conditions to be selected may be held in advance by the consumer house selecting section 114. For example, the consumer house selecting section 114 may hold in advance a plurality of combinations in which request times are associated with reward amounts. The consumer house selecting section 114 may allow the user to designate request methods and request conditions on a case by case basis. Furthermore, the consumer house selecting section 114 may hold these combinations in which request times and reward amounts are associated for each environmental condition. In this case, the consumer house selecting section 114 may select combinations of associated request times and reward amounts that correspond to the environmental conditions, e.g. season or temperature, indicated by the environmental information supplied from an environmental information acquiring section 116, which is described further below. The consumer house selecting section 114 identifies the sensitivity of each consumer house corresponding to the selected combinations of request methods and request conditions, by referencing the consumer house information holding section 120. For each combination of a request method and a request condition, the consumer house selecting section 114 selects the optimal consumer house to adjust the predicted power demand to drop below the target value, based on the sensitivity of each identified consumer house. For example, the consumer house selecting section 114 may adjust the predicted power demand to be no greater than the target value by selecting, for each combination of a request method and a request condition, a consumer house whose sensitivity is greater than or equal to a predetermined reference value. The consumer house selecting section 114 may hold a reference value for each amount of power reduction required for the predicted power demand to become less than or equal to the target value, for example. In this case, the consumer house selecting section 114 may identify the reference value corresponding to a power reduction amount calculated based on the predicted power demand and the target value, and select a consumer house that has a sensitivity greater than or equal to the identified reference value, for each combination of a request method and a request condition. After selecting a consumer house that is a target of the request for each combination of a request method and a request condition and that causes the predicted power demand to drop below the target value, the consumer house selecting section 114 may provide the restriction requesting section 118 with request information indicating the consumer house that is a target of the request for each combination of a request method and a request condition.
The environmental information acquiring section 116 acquires the environmental information concerning the temperature and humidity, for example, during a prediction period, and provides this information to the consumer house selecting section 114. For example, the environmental information acquiring section 116 may acquire the environmental information via a network such as the Internet. The restriction requesting section 118 transmits the request information indicating a request for power restriction to the consumer house selected by the consumer house selecting section 114. The restriction requesting section 118 may transmit the request information via the robot 200 arranged within a room in the selected consumer house or via a portable terminal held in the selected consumer house. The request information may indicate a restriction execution time at which the power demand restriction is to be performed and reward money to be provided when the power restriction is permitted. Furthermore, the restriction requesting section 118 acquires a response result from the consumer house to which a request was issued, via the robot 200 or the portable terminal, and registers the response result in the response result holding section 122. The restriction instructing section 124 references the response result holding section 122 and transmits power restriction instructions to the consumer house based on the request method and request condition permitted by the consumer house. The restriction instructing section 124 may transmit the power restriction instructions to the robot 200 corresponding to the consumer house that has granted permission.
The restriction execution time may be a time that is a predetermined amount of time before the predicted time at which the predicted power demand, which was predicted prior to the power restriction request being issued, exceeds the target value. Furthermore, the reward amount may be higher when the request time is closer to the restriction execution time. In this way, a company such as the specified power supplier can minimize the reward money that must be provided to the consumer house and can decrease the increase in cost caused by buying more power to compensate for a lack of power due to the predicted power demand exceeding the target value, for example. In other words, when there is a relatively large amount of time until the restriction execution time, a small amount of reward money is offered to the consumer houses, in order to find a consumer house that will permit the restriction for this amount of reward money. As a result, the reward money that must be provided to the consumer house is kept low. In addition, even at a time immediately before the restriction execution time, if the predicted power demand still exceeds the target value, the consumer houses are offered a reward amount that is greater than the previously offered reward amount but less than the cost of purchasing the necessary power to compensate for the lack of power, and therefore it is more likely that a consumer house will grant permission. In this way, a new purchase of power to compensate for the insufficient power due to the actual power demand exceeding the target value can be prevented.
The consumer house selecting section 114 references the consumer house information shown in
In the manner described above, the power demand management apparatus 100 sets the reward money in advance for each of a plurality of request times spanning up to the restriction execution time. Based on the sensitivity of each consumer house when presented with a request at each request time and with each amount of reward money, the power demand management apparatus 100 selects the consumer house to which a request will be issued at each request time in order to cause the predicted power demand to be less than or equal to the target value. Here, the power demand corresponding to the target value takes into consideration the amount of power reduction resulting from the restriction permitted by the consumer houses. Therefore, by purchasing power based on the predicted power demand that takes into consideration the reduced power consumption, a company such as the specified power supplier can reduced the power that is purchased in advance, thereby conserving energy.
The power demand acquiring section 112 acquires the predicted power demand for 30 minutes after the current time, from the power demand predicting section 110 (S200). The power demand acquiring section 112 acquires the target value held by the target value holding section 115 and determines whether the predicted power demand exceeds the target value (S202). If the result of this determination indicates that the predicted power demand does not exceed the target value, the process is ended.
On the other hand, if the predicted power demand exceeds the target value, the consumer house selecting section 114 identifies a request method and a request condition (S204). The consumer house selecting section 114 may hold in advance a plurality of combinations, which are set in advance and intended for execution, in which the reward money and request time are associated, and may identify the earliest request time that is after the current time and a reward amount corresponding to this request time. Next, the consumer house selecting section 114 references the consumer house information corresponding to the identified request method and request condition, and selects the consumer houses having sensitivity that is 70% or more, for example, of the reference value set in advance for the identified request method and request condition (S206). The restriction requesting section 118 then issues a request for power demand restriction to each of the selected consumer houses, at the request time indicated by the identified request method (S208).
Next, according to the response results from each of the consumer houses, the restriction requesting section 118 registers the response results of the consumer houses in the response result holding section 122 (S210). The power demand predicting section 110 predicts a new predicted power demand based on the response results of the consumer houses. For example, the power demand predicting section 110 may hold in advance, as the power reduction amount of each consumer house, the amount of power reduction that would result from the consumer houses permitting the restriction. In this case, the power demand predicting section 110 references the response results, identifies the power reduction amounts of the consumer houses that have granted permission, and updates the predicted power demand based on the identified power reduction amounts. The power demand acquiring section 112 acquires the predicted power demand after the update (S212), and determines whether the updated predicted power demand exceeds the target value (S214). Steps S204 to S214 are repeated until the result of this determination indicates that the updated predicted power demand does not exceed the target value.
In the manner described above, the power demand management apparatus 100 repeatedly issues the restriction request to selected consumer houses based on the sensitivity, until the restriction execution time has been reached. As a result, the power demand management apparatus 100 can control the power demand such that the predicted power demand does not exceed the target value corresponding to the power that has been purchased in advance, for example.
As described above, in the present embodiment, based on the sensitivity of the consumer houses when requests are issued using each of the request methods and request conditions, the power demand management apparatus 100 selects the consumer houses to which a request will be issued at each request time in order to cause the predicted power demand to be less than or equal to the target value, thereby reducing the predicted power demand to the target value. In this way, by purchasing power based on the predicted power demand that takes into consideration the reduced power amount resulting from the power demand restriction, a company such as the specified power supplier can reduce the power that is purchased in advance, thereby conserving energy.
In the present embodiment, the power demand management apparatus 100 repeatedly issues the restriction request to the selected consumer houses based on the sensitivity, until the restriction execution time is reached. In this way, the power demand management apparatus 100 can control the power demand such that the predicted power demand does not exceed the target value corresponding to the power that has been purchased in advance, for example.
While the embodiments of the present invention have been described, the technical scope of the invention is not limited to the above described embodiments. It is apparent to persons skilled in the art that various alterations and improvements can be added to the above-described embodiments. It is also apparent from the scope of the claims that the embodiments added with such alterations or improvements can be included in the technical scope of the invention.
The operations, procedures, steps, and stages of each process performed by an apparatus, system, program, and method shown in the claims, embodiments, or diagrams can be performed in any order as long as the order is not indicated by “prior to,” “before,” or the like and as long as the output from a previous process is not used in a later process. Even if the process flow is described using phrases such as “first” or “next” in the claims, embodiments, or diagrams, it does not necessarily mean that the process must be performed in this order.
Number | Date | Country | Kind |
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2010-124749 | May 2010 | JP | national |
Number | Date | Country | |
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Parent | PCT/JP2011/003012 | May 2011 | US |
Child | 13689777 | US |